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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20231228Exhibit 5.pdfIntermountain Gas Company Avoided Cost Model 2023 – 2028 Exhibit No. 5 Line Nominal Cost Real Percent Real Cost Present Avoided Cost No.Year (a)(b)(c)(d)(e)(f) 1 2023 1.38$ 1.38$ 1.33$ 1.38$ 2 2024 0.83 -41.53%0.80 2.08 1.10 3 2025 0.76 -10.69%0.72 2.73 0.97 4 2026 0.73 -7.15%0.67 3.31 0.90 5 2027 0.68 -9.91%0.60 3.82 0.85 6 2028 0.66 -5.39%0.57 4.28 0.80 7 2029 0.69 0.05%0.57 4.73 0.77 8 2030 0.71 0.19%0.57 5.16 0.75 9 2031 0.73 -0.48%0.57 5.57 0.73 10 2032 0.76 1.84%0.58 5.98 0.72 11 2033 0.80 1.88%0.59 6.39 0.71 12 2034 0.84 1.06%0.59 6.78 0.70 13 2035 0.86 -0.11%0.59 7.16 0.70 14 2036 0.89 -0.34%0.59 7.52 0.69 15 2037 0.91 -0.24%0.59 7.88 0.68 16 2038 0.94 -0.13%0.59 8.22 0.68 17 2039 0.98 0.63%0.59 8.55 0.68 18 2040 1.03 2.13%0.61 8.87 0.67 19 2041 1.10 3.32%0.63 9.20 0.67 20 2042 1.15 1.62%0.64 9.52 0.67 21 2043 1.18 -0.35%0.63 9.82 0.67 22 2044 1.22 0.54%0.64 10.12 0.67 23 2045 1.27 0.54%0.64 10.41 0.67 24 2046 1.32 0.54%0.64 10.70 0.67 25 2047 1.36 0.55%0.65 10.97 0.67 26 2048 1.42 0.55%0.65 11.23 0.67 27 2049 1.47 0.55%0.66 11.49 0.67 28 2050 1.52 0.55%0.66 11.74 0.67 29 2051 1.58 0.55%0.66 11.99 0.67 30 2052 1.64 0.55%0.67 12.22 0.67 Page 11, Line 4, Column (b). Page 11, Line 5, Column (b). INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Avoided Cost by Year NOTES 2 Line Commodity Transportation Total No.Year (a)(b)(c)(d)(e) 1 2023 1.18$ -$ 0.20$ 1.38$ 2 2024 0.62 - 0.21 0.83 3 2025 0.55 - 0.21 0.76 4 2026 0.51 - 0.22 0.73 5 2027 0.45 - 0.23 0.68 6 2028 0.43 - 0.23 0.66 7 2029 0.44 - 0.24 0.69 8 2030 0.46 - 0.25 0.71 9 2031 0.47 - 0.26 0.73 10 2032 0.50 - 0.27 0.76 11 2033 0.53 - 0.27 0.80 12 2034 0.55 - 0.28 0.84 13 2035 0.57 - 0.29 0.86 14 2036 0.59 - 0.30 0.89 15 2037 0.60 - 0.31 0.91 16 2038 0.62 - 0.32 0.94 17 2039 0.65 - 0.33 0.98 18 2040 0.69 - 0.34 1.03 19 2041 0.74 - 0.35 1.10 20 2042 0.79 - 0.36 1.15 21 2043 0.81 - 0.37 1.18 22 2044 0.84 - 0.39 1.22 23 2045 0.87 - 0.40 1.27 24 2046 0.91 - 0.41 1.32 25 2047 0.94 - 0.42 1.36 26 2048 0.98 - 0.44 1.42 27 2049 1.02 - 0.45 1.47 28 2050 1.06 - 0.46 1.52 29 2051 1.10 - 0.48 1.58 30 2052 1.14 - 0.49 1.64 to therms. from Page 11, Line 4, Column (b). INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Nominal Avoided Cost by Year NOTES 3 Line Heating Weighted Basin HDD HDD Commodity No.Year Month (a)(b)(c)(d)(e)(f) 1 2023 10 5.53$ 3%0.18$ 2 2023 11 5.91 8%0.48 3 2023 12 14.21 16%2.23 4 2023 1 27.73 19%5.32 5 2023 2 14.40 16%2.33 6 2023 3 4.24 15%0.66 7 2023 4 2.57 10%0.26 8 2023 5 2.31 7%0.16 9 2023 6 2.39 4%0.08 10 2023 7 3.06 1%0.03 11 2023 8 3.45 0%0.00 12 2023 9 3.05 1%0.02 11.75$ 13 2024 10 2.91 3%0.09 14 2024 11 5.11 8%0.42 15 2024 12 8.26 16%1.30 16 2024 1 8.59 19%1.65 17 2024 2 7.76 16%1.26 18 2024 3 4.64 15%0.72 19 2024 4 2.78 10%0.28 20 2024 5 2.68 7%0.19 21 2024 6 2.68 4%0.09 22 2024 7 3.13 1%0.03 23 2024 8 3.15 0%0.00 24 2024 9 3.11 1%0.02 6.04$ 25 2025 10 3.11 3%0.10 26 2025 11 5.14 8%0.42 27 2025 12 6.74 16%1.06 28 2025 1 6.69 19%1.28 29 2025 2 6.20 16%1.00 30 2025 3 4.29 15%0.66 31 2025 4 2.92 10%0.29 32 2025 5 2.92 7%0.20 33 2025 6 2.90 4%0.10 34 2025 7 3.12 1%0.03 35 2025 8 3.19 0%0.00 36 2025 9 3.19 1%0.02 5.18$ INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Commodity Cost NOTES 4 Line Heating Weighted Basin HDD HDD Commodity No.Year Month (a)(b)(c)(d)(e)(f) 1 2026 10 3.18$ 3%0.10$ 2 2026 11 4.71 8%0.38 3 2026 12 5.83 16%0.91 4 2026 1 5.74 19%1.10 5 2026 2 5.33 16%0.86 6 2026 3 4.09 15%0.63 7 2026 4 2.99 10%0.30 8 2026 5 3.00 7%0.21 9 2026 6 3.01 4%0.11 10 2026 7 3.19 1%0.03 11 2026 8 3.18 0%0.00 12 2026 9 3.16 1%0.02 4.66$ 13 2027 10 3.16 3%0.10 14 2027 11 3.99 8%0.32 15 2027 12 4.63 16%0.73 16 2027 1 4.53 19%0.87 17 2027 2 4.32 16%0.70 18 2027 3 3.82 15%0.59 19 2027 4 3.10 10%0.31 20 2027 5 3.13 7%0.22 21 2027 6 3.18 4%0.11 22 2027 7 3.19 1%0.03 23 2027 8 3.16 0%0.00 24 2027 9 3.12 1%0.02 4.00$ 25 2028 10 3.15 3%0.10 26 2028 11 3.78 8%0.31 27 2028 12 4.06 16%0.64 28 2028 1 4.08 19%0.78 29 2028 2 3.78 16%0.61 30 2028 3 3.53 15%0.55 31 2028 4 3.10 10%0.31 32 2028 5 3.12 7%0.22 33 2028 6 3.14 4%0.11 34 2028 7 3.19 1%0.03 35 2028 8 3.15 0%0.00 36 2028 9 3.10 1%0.02 3.68$ INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Commodity Cost NOTES 5 Line Heating Weighted Basin HDD HDD Commodity No.Year Month (a)(b)(c)(d)(e)(f) 1 2029 10 3.12$ 3%0.10$ 2 2029 11 3.68 8%0.30 3 2029 12 4.03 16%0.63 4 2029 1 3.97 19%0.76 5 2029 2 3.82 16%0.62 6 2029 3 3.63 15%0.56 7 2029 4 3.18 10%0.32 8 2029 5 3.20 7%0.22 9 2029 6 3.22 4%0.11 10 2029 7 3.22 1%0.03 11 2029 8 3.19 0%0.00 12 2029 9 3.15 1%0.02 3.68$ 13 2030 10 3.19 3%0.10 14 2030 11 3.76 8%0.31 15 2030 12 4.05 16%0.64 16 2030 1 3.90 19%0.75 17 2030 2 3.58 16%0.58 18 2030 3 3.60 15%0.56 19 2030 4 3.42 10%0.34 20 2030 5 3.44 7%0.24 21 2030 6 3.57 4%0.13 22 2030 7 3.48 1%0.03 23 2030 8 3.24 0%0.00 24 2030 9 3.23 1%0.02 3.69$ 25 2031 10 3.29 3%0.11 26 2031 11 3.68 8%0.30 27 2031 12 3.80 16%0.60 28 2031 1 3.78 19%0.73 29 2031 2 3.65 16%0.59 30 2031 3 3.69 15%0.57 31 2031 4 3.48 10%0.35 32 2031 5 3.48 7%0.24 33 2031 6 3.66 4%0.13 34 2031 7 3.57 1%0.03 35 2031 8 3.34 0%0.00 36 2031 9 3.28 1%0.02 3.66$ Commodity Cost INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY NOTES 6 Line Heating Weighted Basin HDD HDD Commodity No.Year Month (a)(b)(c)(d)(e)(f) 1 2032 10 3.29$ 3%0.11$ 2 2032 11 3.71 8%0.30 3 2032 12 3.94 16%0.62 4 2032 1 3.88 19%0.74 5 2032 2 3.78 16%0.61 6 2032 3 3.79 15%0.59 7 2032 4 3.59 10%0.36 8 2032 5 3.59 7%0.25 9 2032 6 3.84 4%0.13 10 2032 7 3.72 1%0.03 11 2032 8 3.49 0%0.00 12 2032 9 3.40 1%0.02 3.77$ 13 2033 10 3.38 3%0.11 14 2033 11 3.77 8%0.31 15 2033 12 4.04 16%0.63 16 2033 1 4.00 19%0.77 17 2033 2 3.90 16%0.63 18 2033 3 3.85 15%0.60 19 2033 4 3.73 10%0.37 20 2033 5 3.70 7%0.26 21 2033 6 3.98 4%0.14 22 2033 7 3.82 1%0.04 23 2033 8 3.60 0%0.00 24 2033 9 3.50 1%0.02 3.88$ 25 2034 10 3.48 3%0.11 26 2034 11 3.88 8%0.32 27 2034 12 4.14 16%0.65 28 2034 1 4.06 19%0.78 29 2034 2 3.99 16%0.65 30 2034 3 3.96 15%0.61 31 2034 4 3.69 10%0.37 32 2034 5 3.66 7%0.25 33 2034 6 3.96 4%0.14 34 2034 7 3.79 1%0.04 35 2034 8 3.59 0%0.00 36 2034 9 3.49 1%0.02 3.94$ INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Commodity Cost NOTES 7 Line Heating Weighted Basin HDD HDD Commodity No.Year Month (a)(b)(c)(d)(e)(f) 1 2035 10 3.43$ 3%0.11$ 2 2035 11 3.84 8%0.31 3 2035 12 4.14 16%0.65 4 2035 1 4.07 19%0.78 5 2035 2 3.96 16%0.64 6 2035 3 3.93 15%0.61 7 2035 4 3.72 10%0.37 8 2035 5 3.69 7%0.26 9 2035 6 3.97 4%0.14 10 2035 7 3.81 1%0.04 11 2035 8 3.61 0%0.00 12 2035 9 3.52 1%0.02 3.93$ 13 2036 10 3.47 3%0.11 14 2036 11 3.88 8%0.32 15 2036 12 4.16 16%0.65 16 2036 1 4.01 19%0.77 17 2036 2 3.92 16%0.63 18 2036 3 3.88 15%0.60 19 2036 4 3.72 10%0.37 20 2036 5 3.71 7%0.26 21 2036 6 3.94 4%0.14 22 2036 7 3.81 1%0.04 23 2036 8 3.60 0%0.00 24 2036 9 3.53 1%0.02 3.91$ 25 2037 10 3.53 3%0.11 26 2037 11 3.88 8%0.32 27 2037 12 4.11 16%0.65 28 2037 1 3.96 19%0.76 29 2037 2 3.99 16%0.65 30 2037 3 3.87 15%0.60 31 2037 4 3.67 10%0.37 32 2037 5 3.67 7%0.25 33 2037 6 3.90 4%0.14 34 2037 7 3.77 1%0.04 35 2037 8 3.56 0%0.00 36 2037 9 3.47 1%0.02 3.90$ INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Commodity Cost NOTES 8 Line Heating Weighted Basin HDD HDD Commodity No.Year Month (a)(b)(c)(d)(e)(f) 1 2038 10 3.48$ 3%0.11$ 2 2038 11 3.83 8%0.31 3 2038 12 4.07 16%0.64 4 2038 1 3.92 19%0.75 5 2038 2 3.97 16%0.64 6 2038 3 3.91 15%0.61 7 2038 4 3.71 10%0.37 8 2038 5 3.72 7%0.26 9 2038 6 3.92 4%0.14 10 2038 7 3.79 1%0.04 11 2038 8 3.58 0%0.00 12 2038 9 3.52 1%0.02 3.89$ 13 2039 10 3.56 3%0.12 14 2039 11 3.87 8%0.32 15 2039 12 4.10 16%0.64 16 2039 1 3.94 19%0.76 17 2039 2 3.95 16%0.64 18 2039 3 3.98 15%0.62 19 2039 4 3.78 10%0.38 20 2039 5 3.79 7%0.26 21 2039 6 3.97 4%0.14 22 2039 7 3.85 1%0.04 23 2039 8 3.65 0%0.00 24 2039 9 3.60 1%0.02 3.93$ 25 2040 10 3.65 3%0.12 26 2040 11 3.98 8%0.32 27 2040 12 4.22 16%0.66 28 2040 1 4.08 19%0.78 29 2040 2 4.12 16%0.67 30 2040 3 4.09 15%0.63 31 2040 4 3.89 10%0.39 32 2040 5 3.89 7%0.27 33 2040 6 4.14 4%0.15 34 2040 7 4.05 1%0.04 35 2040 8 3.84 0%0.00 36 2040 9 3.72 1%0.02 4.05$ NOTES INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Commodity Cost 9 Line Heating Weighted Basin HDD HDD Commodity No.Year Month (a)(b)(c)(d)(e)(f) 1 2041 10 3.69$ 3%0.12$ 2 2041 11 4.13 8%0.34 3 2041 12 4.47 16%0.70 4 2041 1 4.32 19%0.83 5 2041 2 4.35 16%0.71 6 2041 3 4.31 15%0.67 7 2041 4 4.01 10%0.40 8 2041 5 4.01 7%0.28 9 2041 6 4.31 4%0.15 10 2041 7 4.20 1%0.04 11 2041 8 3.98 0%0.00 12 2041 9 3.84 1%0.02 4.26$ 13 2042 10 3.78 3%0.12 14 2042 11 4.23 8%0.34 15 2042 12 4.58 16%0.72 16 2042 1 4.43 19%0.85 17 2042 2 4.48 16%0.73 18 2042 3 4.45 15%0.69 19 2042 4 4.06 10%0.41 20 2042 5 4.06 7%0.28 21 2042 6 4.34 4%0.15 22 2042 7 4.25 1%0.04 23 2042 8 4.01 0%0.00 24 2042 9 3.88 1%0.02 4.36$ 25 2043 10 3.83 3%0.12 26 2043 11 4.26 8%0.35 27 2043 12 4.57 16%0.72 28 2043 1 4.43 19%0.85 29 2043 2 4.44 16%0.72 30 2043 3 4.37 15%0.68 31 2043 4 4.03 10%0.40 32 2043 5 4.04 7%0.28 33 2043 6 4.34 4%0.15 34 2043 7 4.26 1%0.04 35 2043 8 4.01 0%0.00 36 2043 9 3.87 1%0.02 4.33$ INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Commodity Cost NOTES 10 Line Combined No.Description RS GS-1 RS and GS-1 (a)(b)(c)(d) 1 2 3 RS and GS-1 Combined Gas Transportation Cost per Therm 0.15776$ 4 5 6 RS and GS-1 Combined Gas Transportation Cost per Therm 0.00467$ 7 0.03862$ 8 Total RS and GS-1 Combined Gas Transportation Cost per Therm 0.20105$ INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Avoided Gas Transportation Cost NOTES 11 Line No.Description Value Ratio Weighting W/Tax benefit (a)(b)(c)(d)(e) 1 2 3 Weighted Average Cost of Capital 6.78% 4 Inflation Assumption 3.2% 5 Real Discount Rate 3.51% NOTES INTERMOUNTAIN GAS COMPANY Discount Rate 12