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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20230223Comments(Redacted).pdfMICHAEL DUVAL DEPUTYATTORNEY GENERALIDAHOPUBLICUTILITIESCOMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE,IDAHO 83720-0074 SS:N(208)334-0320 IDAHO BAR NO.11714 Street Address for Express Mail: 11331 W CHINDEN BLVD,BLDG 8,SUITE 201-A BOISE,ID 83714 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF ROCKY MOUNTAIN )POWER'S APPLICATION FOR AUTHORITY )CASE NO.PAC-E-22-13TOIMPLEMENTACOMMERCIALAND)INDUSTRIAL DEMAND RESPONSE )REDACTED COMMENTS OFPROGRAM)THE COMMISSION STAFF STAFF OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission,by and through its Attorney of record,Michael Duval,Deputy AttorneyGeneral,submits the followingcomments. BACKGROUND On August 25,2022,Rocky Mountain Power,a division of PacifiCorp ("Company") applied for authorityto implement a Class 1 Commercial and Industrial Demand Response ("CIDR")program.The Company requested that this program be implemented under the existing Schedule 114 load management flexible tariff within the Demand Side Management ("DSM")portfolio. On October 20,2022,the Commission issued a Notice of Application,set an intervention deadline,and suspended the proposed effective date until February 15,2023.Order No.35568. P4 Production,L.L.C.,an affiliate of Bayer Corporation,and the Idaho IrrigationPumpers Association,Inc.intervened. REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 1 FEBRUARY 23,2023 On December 8,2022,the Commission issued a Notice of Modified Procedure establishing public comment and Company reply deadlines.Order No.35616. At the Commission's January 3,2023,Decision Meeting,Staff conveyedto the Commission that throughdiscovery,the Company provided Staff new data specific to Idaho, which would take additional time to process.To give Staff and Intervenors adequate time to review the Idaho-specific data,work with the Company to determine the relevant information necessary,and make its subsequent recommendation,Staff recommended the Commission (1) vacate the comment deadlines established in Order No.35616 and issue new comment deadlines; and (2)modify the suspension of the proposed effective date.The Company and Intervenors supported modifying the deadlines as proposed by Staff. On January l 1,2023,the Commission issued Order No.35662,vacating the prior comment deadlines set in Order No.35616,and further setting new deadlines for Staff and Intervenor comments by February 23,2023,and Company reply comments by March 9,2023. The Commission also extended the suspension of the proposed effective date until April 1,2023. STAFF ANALYSIS After careful review of the Application,its exhibits,and the Company's response to multipleproduction requests,Staff believes the design of the CIDR program should be cost effective if the assumptions and estimates used to justifythe program are accurate.Given this, Staff recommends the Commission authorize implementation of the program.However,Staff believes there is a risk that the program may not be cost-effective once fully implemented if avoided cost estimates are over-estimated or the program may not remain cost-effective due to changes in the Company's resource mix over time.Because of these risks,Staff makes several recommendations in setting up the initial program and to monitor and manage the program once it is implemented,which are detailed in the sections below.Staff has provided the following sections with its recommendations and justifications: 1.Description of Program Benefits. 2.Cost-Effectiveness of the Program. 3.Development of Avoided Cost. 4.Elements of the Program Design: a.Maximum Incentive. REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 2 FEBRUARY 23,2023 b.Managing Flexible Tariff. c.Dispatch Parameters. d.Monitoring and Metrics. Description of Program Benefits In general,cost-effective Demand Response ("DR")programs are less costly to operate than dispatching traditional marginal cost resources needed to meet system load and reliability requirements.If the Company's proposed Idaho CIDR program is cost-effective,it will likely provide a similar benefit to all customers within the Company's Idaho service territory.The CIDR program is unique in that it can provide benefit throughout the year both in traditional DR called events as well as periods outside of an event. During called DR events,the proposed Idaho CIDR program would offset the need for local system demand and energy by way of load reduction,which in turn reduces the need for energy deliveries into Idaho from other locations on the system.In program hours outside of called events,the program,by its existence and ability to respond,provides operating reserves to PacifiCorp's East ("PACE")balancing area.This offsets the need for other PACE resources to be held as operating reserves for its balancing area.The energy and/or operating reserve resources that are freed up by the CIDR program can in turn be used to avoid higher cost sources of supply elsewhere on the Company's system or can be dispatched for off-system sales. Consideration for locational marginal pricing and transmission losses are also used to identify the benefit specific to Idaho customers. Cost-Effectiveness of the Program In its Application,the Company states that it expects the program to be cost-effectivel with a benefit-cost ratio greater than 1.In support of its claim,the Company provided confidential cost-effectiveness calculations in Response to Production Request No.16 and the Idaho specific avoided cost in Response to Production Request No.26.Staff was able to verify the supporting calculations and avoided cost inputs.While the program is expected to be cost- effective under the Company's estimates for participation,incentive payouts,and other program i The Company states that it considers avoided costs on load control programs,and by extension the cost-effectivenessresults,as proprietary. REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 3 FEBRUARY 23,2023 assumptions,Staff recognizes that the program could become cost-ineffective if incentive payouts are above the value of the avoided cost. Development of Avoided Cost Staff recommends the Company continue to update the program's avoided cost using data derived from its most recent Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP"),which reduces the possibility of the program becoming cost ineffective.The Company's current calculated avoided cost used for implementing the CIDR program seems reasonable,but near-term changes in the procurement and integration of large-scale utilitybatteries into the system cause a reduction in the calculated avoided cost at the end of the five-year period.2 A change in the avoided cost directly affects the basis for determining the program's cost-effectiveness.Using the most current IRP forecast data will in turn provide the most timely and best estimate of the program's future avoided cost, which will require the Company to periodically adjust incentive levels to maintain the program's cost-effectiveness. Staff believes the Company relied on certain program assumptions that could significantlyshift the value of the avoided cost and the subsequent CIDR program's cost- effectiveness.The Company used forecast data from its most recent 2021 IRP to develop the 5-year levelized avoided cost.To estimate the levelized avoided cost,the Company considered program benefits for both called events and for periods when the program provides reserves without an event being called.3 In valuingthe benefit during called events,the Company estimates 27.5 percent of the avoided cost is attributed to reduced hourly energy and capacity amounts that occur through load reduction.The Company expects the program to dispatch approximately event hours each year,which is less than ercent of the total hours of the year.During the remaining hours outside called events,the Company values the program using hourly data categorized as regulation reserves.The Company defined the regulation reserve price as follows: 2 Company Response to Production Request No.53'The Real-Time dispatch option provides frequency response reserves (Company Response to Production RequestNo.2)and the Advanced Notice dispatch option provides resources for Contingency Reserve Obligations (Company Response to Production Request No.3). REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 4 FEBRUARY 23,2023 The regulation reserve price represents the opportunity cost of holding back the associateddispatchableresources.When additional regulation reserve resources like DR are madeavailable,relatively low-cost generators are released from holding reserves and cangeneratetoserveload,reducing the need for more expensive sources of supply,or cansupportwholesaleswhichreducesrevenuerequirement.The net benefit from either of these outcomes is reflected in the regulation reserve price.Specific to the proposed DRprogram,by holding more of the "East 5 Regulation"product for the PacifiCorp East(PACE)BAA4,other resources in the east BAA are relieved of that obligation and can bedeployedinmorebeneficialuses. Company Response to Staff Production Request No.35(c). Although less valuable on an hourly basis,the shear amount of hours contributes significantlyto the remaining 72.5 percent of the avoided cost valuation.Staff believes to fully understand the program's benefit and ensure the program remains cost-effective,the Company should be required to submit CIDR program performance informationfrom the prior year.This annual reporting should continue until the program becomes more established and the program shows that it maintains cost-effectiveness over time throughits DSM prudence filings. Elements of the Program Design Maximum Incentive Staff believes the Company should limit the Maximum Incentive amount to a value supported by the 5-year levelized avoided cost."In setting the initial level for participant incentive,the Company should consider the following: 1.Maintain an incentive amount necessary to retain continued participation in the program over the long term; 2.Offer an incentive amount adequate to encourage new participants into the program;and 3.Limit the incentive amount to a level that keeps the program cost-effective as avoided cost fluctuate. In its Application,the Company provides the annual "maximum incentive up-to"amount of $l25/kW for participation in either the Real-Time Option or Advanced Notice Option;and 4 Balancing Authority Area ("BAA")'The Maximum Incentive is referenced as an "up to"amount referenced from Table 3 of the Application.TheCompany's referenced 5-year levelized avoided cost of used as the basis tosupportcost-effectiveness calculation is referenced from the Company Response to Production Request 26 -[FileName]Attach IPUC26 CONF;[Tab]C&I Results;[Cell]Bl6. REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 5 FEBRUARY 23,2023 $190/kW for participation in both options.The Company states that these values are "determined to be cost-effective based on the assumptions noted in Confidential Exhibit C." Response to Staff Production Request No.12 (a).Considering these maximum incentives,the Company proposed initial incentive offerings of $100/kW and $175/kW for participation in one or both dispatch options,respectively.These maximum incentives and initial offerings are the same amounts contained in the existing Utah program and are not updated using Idaho specific values.Staff is concerned that the methodology the Company used to reach their proposed maximum and initial incentives are not well supported,do not encourage a cost-effective program,and will not provide stable incentives to customers. In the Company's workpapers provided in Response to Production Request No.26,an Idaho specific,5-year levelized avoided cost value is calculated at .This value is much less than the proposed annual maximum incentive of $190/kW and the proposed initial annual incentive offering of $175/kW for participation in both dispatch options.The Company explains that the capacity factor included in the actual incentive calculation will reduce customer payout according to the availabilityof curtailable load during the year.Because the Company does not expect 100%availability from all customers,the outstanding incentive amount can be used to increase the maximum incentive and by extension initial incentive offerings,above what is supported by the avoided cost.While this method would encourage participation through higher incentives,it also runs a significant risk of overcompensatingcustomers if a customer realizes a higher capacity factor.Staff believes,the Company was unable to provide adequate support for offering incentives above what is supported by the avoided cost.By inflating the maximum incentives above what is supported by the avoided cost,the Company has set an unreasonable standard and created a basis for the program that would not be cost-effective,if fully realized. As a general principle,the maximum amount of program incentives plus non-incentive6 costs need to be less than the program avoided costs to be cost-effective;however,at an individual participant level,the maximum incentive may be higher due to varyingincentive levels for participants.Therefore,Staff recommends that the maximum incentive for participation in one or both dispatch options be set at the 5-year levelized avoided costs of 6 Non-incentiveexpenses include program administration,utility administration,and marketing costs.The Companyestimatesthesecostsbetween$97,500 and $142,250 depending on the maturity of the program. REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 6 FEBRUARY 23,2023 calculated in the workpapers provided in Company Response to Production Request No.26.This directly translates to an annual maximum incentive amount of .By using avoided costs as a maximum incentive "up to"limit for individual participants,the program should remain cost-effective at a program level.The maximum incentive assumes a 100%capacity factor for every participant which is unlikely to occur.When calculating the cost-effectiveness of the program,it considers individualcustomer capacity factors,varying incentive offerings by participant,and all non-incentive expenses.When customers are signed up on a lower initial incentive or have lower capacity factors for a given year,this would ensure the program remains cost-effective.For example,if a customer is signed up at a maximum incentive of and has an average capacity factor of 75%,the customer would only receive incentive payments of .Staff believes that this conservative maximum incentive will help ensure that the program remains cost-effective when including non-incentive expenses. Finally,Staff cautions the Company against setting initial incentive offerings too high. Staff notes that the avoided cost forecasts provided in Company Response to Production Request No.26 are predicted to decrease significantlyacross the next several years.For example,when breaking the 20-year avoided cost forecast into consecutive 5-year blocks,this produces 5-year levelized avoided cost of for the 2027-2031 period and for the 2032-2036 period.While these forecasted avoided costs are subject to change when updated in each IRP filing,initial incentive offerings near the maximum incentive may require the Company to make changes to customer incentives when the 5-year avoided cost drops below current offerings. Considering the forecasted decreases in cost-effectiveness,Staff is concerned that the Company will need to make frequent reductions to customer incentives to remain cost-effective.This could be perceived by participants as a take away and result in customer dissatisfaction and reduce participation in the program.Therefore,Staff recommends the Company set initial incentive offerings to customers that will provide stability in their incentive rate over multiple years as the Company's avoided cost declines.When proposing initial incentives based off the maximum incentive "up to"recommended above and in all future Company filings,the Company should be able to explain how the incentives will promote required participation while balancing the risk of future reductions in incentive rates. REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 7 FEBRUARY 23,2023 Managing Flexible Tariff Staff believes the Company should be allowed to adjust the program incentive within the flexible tariff on an annual basis.In its Application,the Company requests that the program is implemented under the existing Schedule 114 load management flexible tariff.If implemented in this way,the flexible tariff would allow the Company to make adjustments to program incentives and other parameters through Rocky Mountain Power's website,with hard copies provided to customers upon request,while allowingfor adequate Staff input.Staff agrees that a flexible tariff will allow the Company to make swift adjustments when necessary and reduce risk to the proposed program.As stated in the previous section,Staff is also concerned that frequent fluctuations in incentives and parameters may create uncertainty for customers and reduce participation.Staff recommends the Company be allowed to adjust the program incentive within the flexible tariff on an annual basis.Yearly changes will provide ample data to identifytrends in program performance metrics such as participation rates and cost-effectiveness.Additionally, annual updates would align more closely with regularly occurring annual DSM reports,DSM prudency filings,and IRP filings. Dispatch Parameters Staff recommends the Company submit an updated Exhibit B in a compliance filing with corrected tables that clearly show the dispatch parameters of each option in the proposed WattSmart Business DR program.During its analysis,Staff discovered different dispatch parameters in Table 6 of the Application and in the proposed tariff shown in Exhibit B.In its Response to Staff Production Request No.33,the Company clarified that the parameters shown in Exhibit B are the combined parameters of the Real-Time and Advanced Notice options.Staff has provided a comparison of the parameters from the two tables as shown in Table 1 below. REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 8 FEBRUARY 23,2023 Table No.1:Comparison of Dispatch Parameters Shown in Application Table 6 and in Exhibit B As shown in ApplicationTable 6 Dispatch Parameter Real-Time Program Advanced Notice Program Dispatch Period January 1through December 31 January 1through December31 Available Dispatch Hours 12:00am to 11:59pm Mountain Time 12:00am to 11:59pm Mountain Time Maximum Dispatch Hours 5 hours 60 hours Maximum Events per Year 50 events per year 25 events per year Dispatch Days Monday-Sunday Monday-Sunday Dispatch Duration 3 minutes to 7 minutes 5 minutes to 4 hours per day As Shown in Exhibit B Dispatch Dispatch Available Maximum Dispatch Dispatch DispatchParameterPeriodDispatchHoursHours/events per year Days Duration WattSmart January 1 12:00am to Events limited Business Demand through 11:59pm Monday-to 4 hours per Response December 31 Mountain Time 65 hours /75 events Sunday day Staff believes it is inappropriate to combine the dispatch parameters of the Real-Time and Advanced Notice options in the proposed tariff.It is clear from the different dispatch parameters presented in Table 6 of the Application that the two options are intended for different functions and should not be combined.As proposed,the Company would be providing inaccurate dispatch parameters to potential customers relative to their subscribed program. Additionally,the Company states that the value of the Real-Time option's primary use for frequency response overlaps with the value of spinning reserves in the avoided cost model and is not directly known.Company Response to Staff Production Request No.26.Staff supports including the incentive because it provides a valuable service for the Company and can be used for other grid management functions.However,Staff recommends that the Company directly identifythe value of frequency response.The Company should describe its efforts to identify the value of frequency response in their annual DSM reports,IRP processes,and offer an appropriate incentive once a value has been identified and vetted by Staff. REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 9 FEBRUARY 23,2023 Monitoring and Metrics Staff is encouraged by the opportunityof the CIDR program proposal.A successful program can help to activelymanage load on the Idaho system and provide a more resilient grid. Consistent with all other Company DSM programs,Staff recommends the Company submit updates on the Wattsmart DR program in its DSM annual reports and request a prudence determination and potential recovery of CIDR program expenses as part of the Company's DSM prudence filing. In addition to all reporting items required in a DSM annual report,the Wattsmart Business CIDR program section should include the followingperformance metrics separated by the Real-Time and Advanced Notice dispatch options: (1)For each program event called during the year: a.the date,time,duration,and reason for the called event (i.e.frequency response,peak load reduction,contingent reserve,regulation reserve,or due to the economics); b.the hourly aggregate amount of DR called,and separately each participant's called amount; c.both the hourly aggregate and individual participant amounts of DR received during the event; d.the program's designated hourly capacity factor both in aggregate and by individual participant; e.both the hourlyaggregate and individual participant amounts of DR received during the called event; f.the value of energy for each hour during the event; g.the hourly value of capacity for each hour during the event; h.separately the value of reserve types for each hour during events; i.the value of spinning reserve offset by load reduction for each hour of the event; j.details of any participant opt outs; (2)For all other hours outside of called events during the year: a.the dates,and times when the Company used incremental contingent reserves or regulation from the program to provide benefit to the system; REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 10 FEBRUARY 23,2023 b.individuallythe value of contingent and regulation reserves for each hour the program provided benefit to the system; c.the hourly value to the system where a resource held in reserve was subsequently allowed to provide generationinto the market due to the programs ability to provide contingent reserves; (3)All other trackable metrics relevant to supporting the programs performance and cost- effectiveness STAFF RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that the Commission authorize the implementation of the CIDR program conditioned on the following: 1.The Company limit the maximum incentive for participation in one or both dispatch options at the current levelized 5-year avoided cost. 2.The Company regularlyupdate the levelized 5-year avoided cost for determining the maximum incentive using the Company's most recent filed IRP. 3.The Company be allowed to adjust the program incentive within the flexible tariff on an annual basis. 4.The Company consider the followingin setting the initial incentive level for program participation: a.Maintain an incentive level amount necessary to retain continued participation within the program over time. b.Offer an incentive level amount adequate to encourage new participants into the program. c.Limit the incentive amount to a level that keeps the program cost-effective. 5.The Company submit in a compliance filing a corrected Exhibit B to the Application that shows corrected tables that clearly reflect the dispatch parameters of each dispatch option in the proposed WattSmart Business DR program. 6.The Company submit updates to the Wattsmart DR program in its DSM annual reports and request a prudency determination and potential recovery of CIDR program expenses as part of the Company's DSM prudency filing. REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 11 FEBRUARY 23,2023 7.The Company submit annual ex post monitoring and trackable metrics that support the program's performance and cost-effectiveness as detailed above. Respectfully submitted this day of February 2023. Michael Duval Deputy Attorney General Technical Staff:Rick Keller Jason Talford Laura Conilogue i:umisc/comments/pace22.13mdrkcomments REDACTED STAFF COMMENTS 12 FEBRUARY 23,2023 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 23RD DAY OF FEBRUARY 2023,SERVED THE FOREGOING REDACTED COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSIONSTAFF,IN CASE NO.PAC-E-22-13,BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF,TO THEFOLLOWING: BRUBAKER &ASSOCIATES THOMAS J.BUDGEBRIANC.COLLINS RACINE,OLSON PLLPGREGMEYER201E.CENTER 16690 SWINGLEY RIDGE RD.,#140 PO BOX 1391 CHESTERFIELD,MO 63017 POCATELLO,ID 83204-1391E-MAIL bcollins@consultbai.com E-MAIL:tj@racineolson.com emever@consultbai.com (Redacted Comments)(Redacted Comments) ERIC L.OLSEN ECHO HAWK &OLSEN PLLC 505 PERSHING AVE.,SUITE 100 PO BOX 6119 POCATELLO,ID 83205 E-MAIL:elo@echohawk.com (Redacted Comments) LANCE KAUFMAN,PH.D. 2623 NW BLUEBELL PLACE CORVALLIS,OR 97330 E-MAIL:lance@aegisinsieht.com (Redacted Comments) SECRËTARf ' CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE