20191108Supplement to Application.pdf

November 8,2019
RECEIVED
iSiSliCI -8 Plt 2:09
r'. '..t.,':li,i'lVIA OVERNIGHT DELIVERY
RE: CASE NO. PAC-E-19-16
PACIFICORP'S APPLICATION FORACKNOWLEDGEMENT OF THE 2OI9
INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN
Dear Ms. Hanian:
PacifiCorp identified corrections within the 2019 IRP, Volume - Appendices A-L and one
correction in Volume I - Chapter 5 that are summarized in the table below. Enclosed as a second
supplement to the 2019 IRP are replacement pages incorporating the corrections. Regarding the
work papers that were filed October 25, 2019, PacifiCorp also seeks to replace certain files listed
below with those provided in this second supplement filing. Note, the identified corrections and
replacement files do not affect the analysis, preferred portfolio, inputs or outcomes of the 2019
IRP, and do not affect any other materials provided.
rConections are incorporated in the publicly posted version ofthe 2019 tRP available at:
httos://www.nacifi com.cont tontenVdamheom/documents/en/pacifi corp/energy,/integrated-resourcc-
PacifiCorp 20l9IRP Volume Il Apperdices A-L and Volume I Chrpter 5r
Reference Update Page
Appendix L 248-253
Appendix L
Replacement page conects the data in Table L.55 to reflect initial cases P-16
through P-20 under social cost ofcarbon. This oble was inconectly populated
with initial cases P-45CP through P-53CP.
264
Appcndix L Replacement page corrects the data in Table L.59 and l able L.60 to conect total
PVRR.266
Appendix L
Replacem€nt page corrects graphic ofwinter system capacity trends
olan./2019_lRP VolumeJl Aooendices_A-L.pdf
httos:/1www.nacifi com.com/content/dam/ncom/
plani2o | 9 IRP_Volume_l.pdf
uments/edoacificoro/enersv/inteerated-resource-
ROCKY MOUNTAIN
POVT'ER
A OVTS|ON OF iACTFTCORP
1407 Norlh Temple, Suite 330
Salt Lake City, Utah 84116
Diane Hanian
Commission Secretary
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
1 1331 W Chinden Blvd
Building 8 Suite 201A
Boise, Idaho 83714
Rcplacement pages correct the data in thc standard dcviation column and the
upper tail column ofTables L.1l through L.23.
Replacement page corrects the data ir Tablc L.65 to conect total PVRR for the
P70-P74 cor irmation cases.269
Chapter 5 120
ldaho Public Utilities Commission
November 8,2019
Page 2
Delcte from lst SuDDlement 2019 IRP Data Disc or Drive Location ReDlace with
Tbl L. l-L.64 Stochastic
Simulation Results.xlsx
\Public\Chapten + Appendices\Appendix L -
Stochastic Simulation Results
Tbl L. l -L.65 Stochastic Simulation
Results 2nd Supp.xlsx
Irolder and contents: P_|19-
P26CNW.MMR CONF
\Confi dential\Plannirg & Risk_CONFtGateway
and No Gas Cases_CoNF.zip\Gateway and No
Gas Cascs CorlflModcl Input +
Output CONF\P II9-P26CNW-MMR CONR
Folder and Contents: P_I19-
P26CNW-MMR_CONF 2nd Supp
\Conlidcntial\System Optimizer
OutpuLCONRGateway and No Gas
Cascs_CoNF,zip\Gateway and No Gas
Cases_CONF\lvlodel Input + Ouptut CONF\I 19.
P26CNW-MMR CONF\
Fold€r and contents: II9-P26CNW-
MMR CONI 2nd Supp
PaR Stochastic Summary P_ll9-
P26CNW-MMR
1909300244 CONI'.xlsm
\Conlidential\Planning & Risk_CONF\Gateway
and No Gas Cases CONF.zip\Cateway and No
Gas Cases ConflPaR Summary RcDon CONF\
PaR Stochastic Summary P_l l9-
P26CNW-MMR 19100t1720
CONl 2nd Supp.xlsm
PaR_Detail-Report_P_l I 9-
P26CNW-
MMR 20l9l0l CONF.xlsm
\Confidential\Plaoning & Risk_CONF\Gatewa),
and No Cas Cascs_CONF,zip\Gateway and No
Gas Cases ConflPaR Detail Rcpon CONF\
PaR_Detail_Repon_P_l I 9-
P26CNW-MMR_2019 r 03 CONF
2nd Suop.xlsm
\Confi dential\System Optimizer
Output_CoNF\Gateway and No Cas
Cases_CONF.zip\Gateway and No Cas
Cases_CONF\SO Summalv Report Pre-
Reliabilit_v CONF\
SO Portfolio Il9-P22CNW-
MM_1909290011 CONF znd
Supp,xlsm
SO Portfolio I l9-P23-
MM 1909261445 CONF-xlsm
\Confi dential\System Optimizer
Output_CoNtlcateway and No Gas
Cases_CONF. zip\Gateway and No Cas
Cases_CON F\SO Summary Repon Pre-
R€liability CONF\
SO Portfolio I l9-P23CNw-
MM_l909290013 CONF 2nd
Supp.xlsm
SO Portfolio I19-P25-
MM 1909251201 CONF.xlsm
\Confi dential\System Optimizer
Output CoNncatelvay and No Gas
Cases_CONF.zip\Gateway ard No Gas
Cases_CONF\SO Summar)' Repon Pre-
Reliability coN[\
SO Portfolio I l9-P26-
MM 1909251203 CONF.xlsm
\Confi dential\System Optimizer
OutpuLCONRGateway and No Gas
Cases_CoNF.zip\Gateway and No Gas
Cases CONF\SO Summar,' Report Pre-
Reliability CONn
SO Portfolio Il9-P26CNW-
MM,1909290025 CONF 2nd
Supp.xlsm
SO Ponfolio Il9-P29-
MMR 1909261504 CONF.xlsm
\Confi dential\System Optimizcr
Output_CONF\Gateway and No Gas
Cases_CON F. zip\Gateu ay and No Gas
Cases_CONF\SO Summar)' Report
Reliabiliry CoNF\
SO Portfolio 119-P26CNw-
MMR_I910021007 CONF 2nd
Supp.xlsm
Please find enclosed two data discs containing the second supplement confidential work papers
and second supplement non-confidential work papers outlined in the table below. Please replace
the files as described in the table below that were previously provided on October 25, 2019 with
the files provided in this second supplemental filing. Replacements for confidential files remain
confidential. Confidential information in the 2019 IRP will be provided to any party who has
intervened in this case and signed a non-disclosure agreement. PacifiCorp requests that interested
parties contact the state manager at the number listed below for a copy of the non-disclosure
agreement that must be executed and submitted to the Company prior to obtaining a copy of the
confidential information.
Folder and cont€nts: ll9-
P26CNW-MMR
SO Portfolio I19.P22.
MM 1909251 150 CONF.xlsm
SO Portfolio Il9-P25CNW-
MN4_1909290020 CONF 2nd
Supp.xlsm
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
November 8,2019
Page 3
All formal correspondence and data requests regarding this filing should be addressed as lbllows:
By e-mail (pref'errcd):datarequest@pacifi com. com
[e-mail]
ted.weston@.oacificorp.com
wome. ho gle@pacifi corp.com
By regular mail Data Request Response Center
PacifiCorp
825 NE Multnomah Street, Suile 2000
Portland, Oregon, 97 232
With copies to:Ted Weston
Idaho Regulatory Affairs Manager
Rocky Mountain Power
1407 North Temple, Suite 330
Salt Lake Cily, Utah 84116
Yvorure R. Hogle
Assistant General Counsel
Rocky Mountain Power
1407 North Temple, Suite 320
Salt Lake City. Utah 84116
Informal inquiries may be directed to Ted Weston, Idaho Regulatory Affairs Manager, at
(80r)220-2963.
Sincerely.
Joelle Steward
Vice President, Regulation
Enclosures
CC:
$^r^-C
Jim Yost, Idaho Govemor's Office (without enclosures)
Benjamin Otto, Idaho Conservation League (without enclosures)
Mark Stokes, Idaho Power Company (without enclosures)
Teri Carlock, Idaho Public Utilities Commission staff (without enclosures)
Randy Budge, (Bayer,Monsanto) (without enclosures)
Nancy Kelly, Westem Resource Advocates (without enclosures)
2019 IRP Second Supplemental
PACIFICoRP _ 20I9 IRP
Table L.l1 - Stochastic Risk Results Initial Develo ment Cases - Low Gas No COz
Table L.12 - Stochastic Risk Resul Initial Develo ent Cases - H Gas COr
Table L.13 - Stochastic Risk Results Initial Develo ment Cases - Social Cost of Carbon
PVRR($n)Stsnderd
Devistion sth p€rcentilc 90th percentile 95th percertile
Uppcr Teil
(nean of 3
Highcst)
No Fircd Costs
Pt6 |2 t9,295 19,555 tq 501 8,955
Pl7 86 20,892 zt,t02 2t,t6t
Pl8 22,315 ,r 50,22,623 6,856
103 20,318 7 ,471
94 20,702 20,913 6,962
Initid Cases High Grs, High CO2
PVRR($m)Strndsrd
Devirtion 5th percentile 90th percentile 95th percentile
Upper Tail
(mean of 3
Highest)
No [ired Costs
30,056 30,202
Pl7 r36 28,657 29,014 29,069 15,67 6
Pl8 27,947 28,030 12,249
28,9',70178 29,407 29,539 16,665
P20 28,151 28,700
Initiel Cescs Sociel Coct ofCerbon
PVRR($m)Stendsrd
Deviation sth p€rcentil€90th percentilc 95th percentile
Uppcr Teil
(mean of 3
Highest)
No Fired Cosh
Pl6 212 40,000 40,096 29,355
Pt7 156 36,173 36.63536,605 23,280
PIE t6l 35,050 35,433 3s,491 19,747
Pt9 193 38,1 l5 25,807
P20 184 37,76r 37,881 23,79r
AppENDrx L - STocHAsrrc SIML'I-,ffioN REsuLTs
Initirl Crses Low Ges, No CO2
7,7 59
lll
20,052Pl9 70,296
H!0 20,952
P16 200 29,555 19,534
27,57s'149
P19
163 28,575 14,677
39,365
38,642 38,752
37,236
248
PACITTCORP. 20 19 IRP AppENDIx L - STocrrAsrrc SrMrJr.ATroN REs(rLTs
Table L.14 - Stochastic Risk Results C Cases - Medium Gas Medium COz
Table L.15 - Stochastic Risk Results CP Cases - Medium Gas Medium COz
PVRR($m)
C Casrs
Strndard
Devirtion 5th percentile 90th percentile
Upper Tail
(mean of 3
Highest)
No Fixed
Costs
P3l C 99 23,233 23,s07 23,s36 10,353
P36C 146 23,677 10,27 5
P45C 23,131
104 23,t25 23,4s8 9,864
P46J23C 106 23,445 23,506 9,856
P47C r03 23,045 23,333 23,371
P48C 103 23,073 23,396 9,933
P53C 23,185 23,5t8
P53J23C 107 ?3,?35 23,52s 23,580
P54C 23,547 10,21 I
PVRR($m)Strndsrd
Devietion Sth percentile 90th percentile 95th percendle
Upper Tril
(mean of 3
High.st)
No Fixed
Costs
P36CP 142 23,194 23,65',7
P45CP 23,367 10,061
P46CP 104 23,143
P46J23CP 23,144 23.456 23,492 9,850
23,067 23,393
P48CP 104 23,051 23,327
P53CP r05 23,199 23,52t 9,892
P45Cr{W 23,062
95th percentile
23,213 23,574
99 23,409 23,449 t0,072
P46C 23,404
23,160
10,023
23,342
105 ?3,466 9,92t
9,915
102 23233 23,s09
CP Cases Medium Gas, Medium CO2
23,56r 10,241
100 23,043 23,322
23,426 23,464 9,844
109
P47CP 103 23,349 10,040
23,374 9,963
23,4',76
98 23,348 17.1'71 10,338
249
Table L.16 - Stochastic Risk Results CP Cases - Low Gas Low COz
Table L.17 - Stochastic Risk Resul CP Cases - Hi Gas CO:
PVRR($m)
CP Ceses Low Gas, No CO2
Standrrd
Devietion 9(hh percentile 95th pcrcentile
Uppcr Tril
(men of 3
Highat)
No Fired
Cods
P36CP l0l 20,229 20,485 20,515 7,103
P45CP 68 20,001 ?0,t87 20,216 6,895
P46CP 72 20,387
P46J23CP 79 20,195 20,412 6,802
P47CP
72 20,0'10 20,268 20,293 6,862
P53CP 20,228 6,800
67 19,878 20,085 7,029
CP Cescs High Ges, High CO2
5th percentlle 90th percentile 95th percentile
Upper Teil
(mean of 3
Ilighest)
No Fired
Costs
PVRR($m)Stendard
Devietior
28,091 28,193180
P45CP
27,971 t4,44313927,596 28,067
P46J23CP 142 28,008
134 14,696
27,528 27,893t37 27,990 14,571
140 28,051 28,t44 14,508
P45CPNIW 133 28,121
250
PACIFICoRP_2019 IRP AppENDrx L - STocHASTTc STMULATToN RESTJLTS
5th percentile
20,187 20,409 6,771
20427
72 20,030 20,223 20,264 6,883
P48CP
73 20,428 20,450
P45CPNW 20,052
27,612 t4,782P36CP
133 27,585 27,947 28,039 t4,733
P46CP
27,595 28,059 14,409
P47CP 27,596 2',7,9s',1 28,060
P4ECP
27,672P53CP
?7,748 28,190 l5,l5l
PYRR($m)Standerd
Deviation Sth percentile 90th percentile 95th perccntile
Uppcr Tail
(mcan of 3
Highest)
No Fired
Costs
187 36,278 36,808 36,887 23,413
P45CP 36,713 37,141
153 36451
P46J23CP 153 36,296 36,75s
P47CP t53 37,139 37,150
36,567 3'7,007155
t55 3'1,075
P45CPNW 152 36,877 37,303 24,302
PACIFICORP.2OI9IRP
Table L.18 - Stochastic Risk Resul CP- Social Cost of Carbon
Table L.19 - Stochastic Risk Results, FOT Risk Assessment Crses - Medium Gas, Medium
COz
PYRR($n)
FOT Ceses
Standsrd
Deviation 5th percentile 90th percentile 95th percentile
Upper Tail
(mean of 3
Highest)
No Fixed
Costs
IM 23,9t7
108 23,867 24,t93 r0,923
P46CP 24,239 24,296
109 23,83s 24,130
P48CP 23,927 24,293
P53CP 23,986 24,305
251
AppENDrx L - STocHAsrrc SrMuLArroN REsuLTs
CP Cases Social Cost of Carbon
P36CP
152 37,13',1 23.870
P46CP 36,897 36,923 23,327
36,784 23,151
36,699 23,8t9
P4ECP 37,020 23,620
P53CP 36,576 37,M3 23,436
37,292
P45CNW 24,2t2 24,258 I1,032
P45CP 24,160
ll3 )7 074 10,'162
P47CP 24,t56 10,829
lll 24,241 10,904
ll5 24,357 10,828
PAOFICORP _ 2OI9 IRP AppENDtx L - STocHAsrrc SIMULATToN REsuLTs
Table L.20 - Stochastic Risk Results, Gateway and No Gas Cases - Medium Gas, Medium
COz
Table L.2l - Stochastic Risk Result Sens Cases - Medium Ga Medium COz
Table L.22 - Stochastic Risk Results DSM Rebundled Cases - Medium Gas Medium COz
PVRR($m)
Grtewry rnd No Grs Studies
Standard
Deviatlon Sth percentile 90th percentile 95th pcrcentile
Upper Tail
(meen of 3
Eighest)
No Fired
Costs
P-22CI\l.w 23,470 23,733 10,057
P-23CNW 24,037 24,307 24,3s8 9,625
98 ?4 00?24,4t4 9,958
P-26CI\rW 23,162 23,4s4
P29 23,467 23,503 10,256
P2gPS t23 23,439 23,777 23,803 10,509
Sensitivity Studies
PVRR($m)St ndard
Devirtion 5th percentile 90th pcrcentile 95th percentile
Upper Teil
(mean of 3
Highest)
No Fired
Cosls
96 21,939 22,208 22,248 9,646
s02 I l3 24,t82 1l <11 11,270
s03 103 ,1 )1<23,514 23,550 10,594
s04 100 23,161 23,442 23,480 10,527
s05 99 22,827 23,102
95 23,902 24,183 24,207 I 1,1 l9
s07 98 )) oo7 23,301 t0,346
s08 23,039 23,313
23,372
PVRR ($m)
DP Studies
St ndsrd
Devietion 5th percentile 9fth percentile 95th percentile
Upper Tail
(mean of 3
Highest)
No Fixed
Costs
P45DP 10t 22,956 23,248 t0,026
P46DP 23,012 23,321 23,344
P53DP 23,070 9,687
252
96 1111)
t00
P-25CNW 24,372
99 23,479 t0,255
98 23,182
s0l
24,475
23,134 10,23 I
s06
23,?54
9',7 23,350 10,187
P45CPfrw 98 23,062 23,348 10,338
23,268
106 9,639
107 23,38t 23,401
PACIFICoRP - 2019 IRP APPENDIX L - SToCHASTIC SIMULATIoN REST,]I,TS
Table L.23 - Stochastic Risk Results P70 Cases - Medium Gas Medium COz
Table L,24 - Stochastic Risk Ad usted
Table L.25 - Stochastic Risk Ad usted PVRR Price Scenario
24,806
P70 Studies
Standerd
Deviation 5th pcrcentil€95th pcrcentile
Upper Tail
(mean of 3
Highest)
No Fixed
Costs
P70 99 ?3,882 10,457
P7t 95 23,859 24,139 24,t65 10,384
P7Z 95 23,969 )L )1\10,5 t7
P73 98 24,100
P74 96 24,075 24,364 24,381 10,604
Nrme PVRR($m)Name PYRR($n)Namc PVRR ($m)
P0l 25,319 Plz 24,873
Pl326,1'14 P31 24,667
25,022 Pt4
Pl5 25,506 P33 2s,010
Pl6 P34 ?5,146
Pt7 P35 24,858
P08 25,081 Pl8 2s,602 24,710P45
P19P0924,960 25,211 P46 24,s93
P10 24,848 P20 26.385 P53 24,650
Pll 24,966 P28 24,879 P54
PVRR($n)
Name Med Ges, Med
COz
High Gas, Hlgh
COr
Socid Cost of
Cerbon
20427 2s,097 3r,357 41,7 t7
22,07t 25,400 30,312 38,24',7
29,187
2t,209 25,2t I
P20 21,881 26,385 29,832 39,421
253
Initial Cases
Initial Cases
PVRR($m)90th perccntilc
24,161 24,204
24,238
24,391 24,426 10,502
Med Gas, Mcd CO2
P30 24,928
P02 25,226
P03 24,987 P32 24,947
P04 24,974
25,t39P06 25,097
P07 25,021 25,400
Low Ges, No COr
Pl6
Pt7
P18 23,587 25,602 37,051
P19 30,701 40,334
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CHAPTER 5 - LoAD AND RESoURCE BALAICE
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