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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20190412Attorney General Letter.pdfflif,il ilvEt) Iill3 ltPR iA Pt{ lr 0l+ STATE OF IDAHO OFFICE OF THE ATTORNEY GENERAL LAWRENCE G, WASDEN VIA E-MAIL Aprll12,2019 Avista Corporation MichaelAndrea michael.andrea@avistacorp. com Avista Utilities l4l I E. Missioh POBox3727 Spokane, WA99220-3727 Rocky Mountain Power Yvonne Hogle yvonne.hogle@pacifi corp.com Ted Weston ted.weston@pacifi corp.com PacifiCorp dba Rocky Mountain Power 1407 West North Temple, Suite 330 Salt Lake City, UT 84116 Idaho Power Company Donovan E. Walker dwalker@idahopower. com Idaho Power Company PO Box 70 Boise, ID 8370'1-007 Clint Kalich clint.kalich@avistacorp.com Avista Utilities l4l I E. Mission POBox3727 Spokane, WA99220-3727 Daniel MacNeil daniel.macneil@pacifi corp.com PacifiCorp dba Rocky Mountain Power 825 NE Multnomah Street Portland, OR97232 Michael Darrington MDarrin gton@idahopower.com Idaho Power Company PO Box 70 Boise,ID 83707-0070 Re: UPDATES TO PUBLISHED AVOIDED COST RATES; Case Nos. IPC-E-19-13, PAC-E- I 9-05, AVU-E-I 9-05. Pursuant to the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978 ("PURPA") and the implementing regulations of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ("FERC"), the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("Commission") has approved a Surrogate Avoided Resource ("SAR") methodology for calculation of avoided cost rates at which PURPA qualiffing cogeneration and small power production facilities ("qualifying facilities" or "QFs") are paid by Idaho Power, Avista, and PacifiCorp. Avoided cost rates are the purchase price paid to QFs for purchases of QF capacity and energy. The release of a new natural gas price forecast by the U.S. Contracts & Administrative Law Division, ldaho Public Utilities Commission P.O. Box 83720, Boise, ldaho 83720-0074, Telephone: (208) 334-0300, FAX: (208) 3349-3762, Email: ipuc@puc.state.id.us Located at 472 West Washington St., Boise, ldaho 33702 lLIC FJISSIOI,J Page2 Energy Information Adminisration ("EIA") triggered an updated calculation of avoided cost rates. In accordance with the methodology approved in Order No. 32697, the "reference case" natural gas price forecast for the Mountain Region's Electric Power sector included in EIA's Annual Energy Outlook serves as the basis for computing avoided cost rates. In Order No. 32697, the Commission also found that the final release of Annual Energy Outlook automatically triggers a recalculation of the published avoided cost rates. In Order No. 32802, the Commission clarified that an update should occur on June 1 or within 30 days of the final release of the Annual Energy Outlook, whichever is later. EIA released the Annual Energy Outlook 2019 on January 24, 2019. A copy of the relevant natural gas price forecast is attached. Staff has incorporated this foreeast into the new model. In addition, the federal Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 changed the federal corporate tax rate from 35 percent to 2l percent, effective January 1,2018. Idaho House Bill 463 changed Idaho corporate tax rate from 7.4 percent to 6.925 pereent, effective January 1,2018. Staffhas also changed the "Federal Defened Rates" and "Federal/All State Combined Tax Rates" in the model to reflect the tax changes. Lastly, Staff updated Avista's eosts of capital in the model according to the stipulation and settlement in Avista's most recent general rate case (Case No. AVU-E-17-01). The conclusion of the rate case has triggered an update of Avista's cost of capital figures in accordance with the approved methodology, and Staff has incorporated the new cost of capital figures listed below in the SAR model, Cost of Debt 5,72% Cost of Common Equity 950% Overall, the combination of al! the ehanges results in about an eight to nine pereent decrease in 2O-year levelized avoided eost rates for all three utilities. Please find attached (l) EIA's 2019 natural gas forecast, (2) updated published avoided cost rates for all three utilities, and (3) a copy of the updated SAR rnodel. Please review these attaehments and file comments with the Commission regarding the updated SAR model and the resulting rates as they pertain to your utility. Staff will present a Decision Memo at the April 15, 2019 Decision Meeting recommending the Comrnission issue Notiees of Application and Notices of Modified Frocedure in these rnatters and set comment deadlines of May 16,2019 and reply comment deadlines of May 23,2019. Avista Idaho Power Rocky Mountain Power Federal/All State Combined Ta,x Rates 24.6700%25.7400%24.5866% Federal Deferred Rates 21.0000%21.0000Yo 2l.0000% Page 3 Thank you for your cooperation. Please contact Yao Yin (vao.yin@puc.idaho.gov) if you have any questions. Sincercly, *>da*-t( &lward Jewell Deputy Attorney General Enclosures: Updated SAR model excel spreadsheet Updated SAR price lists EIA's 2019 Annual Energy Outlook - Mountain Region Electric Power PACIFICORP AVOIDED COST RATES FOR WND PROJECTS June 01, 2019 $/MWh New Contracts and Replacement Contracts without Full Capacity Payments Eliglblllty for these rates ls limited to proiects 100 kW or smaller. LEVELlZED NON.LEVELIZED LENGTH ON.LINE YEAR CONTBACT YEAR NON-LEVELIZED RATES201 I 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8I 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 t8 19 20 26.64 27.67 28.10 28.63 29.35 30.22 31 .16 32.05 32.80 33.76 34.59 35.35 36.04 36.73 37.38 38.01 38.60 39.1 7 39.71 40.22 28.78 28.92 29.40 30.1 7 31.12 32.14 33.09 33.88 34.90 35.78 36.57 37.29 38.00 38.68 39.33 39.95 40.54 41.10 41.63 42.14 29.O7 29.75 30.70 31.83 32.99 34.02 34.86 35.97 36.90 37.74 38.48 39.23 39.94 40.61 41.25 41.87 42.45 43.00 43.53 44.04 30.48 31.62 32.89 34.17 35.25 36.1 1 37.29 38.26 39.12 39.88 40.65 41.38 42.O7 42.73 43.36 43.96 44.53 45.07 45.60 46.1 0 32.84 34.25 35.59 36.69 37.51 38.76 39.75 40.62 41.38 42.16 42.90 43.60 44.28 44.92 45.53 46.1 1 46.66 47.21 47.73 48.22 35.76 37.14 38.1 I 38.92 40.24 41.24 42.12 42.87 43.65 44.40 45.1 1 45.79 46.45 47.O7 47.66 48.22 48.78 49.31 49.82 50.32 201 I 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 26.64 28.78 29.07 30.48 32.84 35.76 38.62 40.55 41.50 46.66 47.59 49.01 50.1 0 52.62 54.47 56.27 57.99 59.99 61.44 63.01 64.70 67.17 68.52 70.1 0 72.75 75.89 Note: These rates will be lurther adiusted with the applicable integration charge. Note: The rates shown in this table have been computed using the U.S. Energy lnformation Administration (ElA)'s Annual Energy Outlook2019,releasedJanuary2019. SeeAnnualEnergyOutlook20l9,Table3.SEnergyPricesbySector-Mountainat https://www.eia. gov/outlooks/aeo/tables_reiphp PACIFICORP Page 1 PACIFICORP AVOIDED COST RATES FOR SOLAR PROJECTS June 01, 2019 $/MWh New Gontracts and Replacement Contracts without Full Capacltv Pavments Ellgibillty lor these rates ls llmited to proiects 100 kW or smaller. ON.LINE YEAR LENGTH CONTRACT NON-LEVELIZED '| 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1l 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 26.64 27.67 28.10 28.63 29.35 30.22 31.16 32.05 32.80 35.83 38.36 40.54 42.44 44.17 45.73 47.16 €.46 49.67 50.78 51.80 28.78 28.92 29.40 30.17 31.12 32.14 33.09 33.88 37.29 40.1 0 42.49 44.53 46.38 48.05 49.55 50.93 52.1 I 53.35 54.42 55.41 29.O7 29.75 30.70 31.83 32.99 34.02 34.86 38.78 41 .91 44.53 46.74 48.72 50.48 52.O7 53.51 54.83 56.04 57.1 5 58.1 8 59.1 6 30.48 31.62 32.89 34.17 35.25 36.1 1 40.64 44.14 47.00 49.37 51.47 53.32 54.98 56.47 57.84 59.08 60.22 61.28 62.29 63.21 32.84 u.25 35.59 36.69 37.51 42.83 46.77 49.87 52.39 54.59 56.52 58.22 59.75 61.15 62.42 63.58 64.65 65.67 66.62 67.49 35.76 37.14 38.1 9 38.92 45.33 49.78 53.14 55.79 58.07 60.04 61.78 63.32 64.73 66.00 67.17 68.24 69.27 70.21 71.10 71.95 201 I 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 26.64 28.78 n.o7 30.48 32.84 35.76 38.62 40.55 41.50 76.53 77.90 79.76 81.31 84.28 86.60 88.87 91.07 93.55 95.50 97.57 99.77 102.75 104.63 106.75 109.93 1 13.62 Note: These rates will be further adiusted with the applicable integration charge. Note: The rates shown in this table have been computed using the U.S. Energy lnformation Administration (ElA)'s Annual Energy Outlook 2019, released January 2019. See Annual Energy Outlook 2019, Table 3.8 Energy Prices by Sector-Mountain at https ://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/tables_ref .php PACIFICORP Page 2 LEVELIZED NON-LEVELIZED PACIFICORP AVOIDED COST RATES FOR NON.SEASONAL HYDRO PROJECTS June 01,2019 UMWh and Eligibility for these rates is limited to projects smaller than 10 aMW. ON-LINE YEAR LENGTH CONTRACT NON.LEVELIZED 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8I 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 26.64 27.67 28.1 0 28.63 29.35 30.22 31.16 32.05 32.80 35.63 37.99 40.04 41.82 43.45 M.92 46.27 47.51 48.65 49.70 50.58 28.78 28.92 29.40 30.1 7 31.12 32.14 33.09 33.88 37.06 39.68 41.91 43.83 45.57 47.14 48.56 49.86 51.06 52.1 6 53.18 54.12 29.07 29.75 30.70 31.83 32.99 34.O2 34.86 38.50 41.43 43.87 45.94 47.80 49.46 50.96 52.32 53.57 54.72 55.78 56.76 57.69 30.48 31.62 32.89 34.17 35.25 36.1 1 40.31 43.57 46.23 48.45 50.42 52.1 6 53.72 55.14 56.43 57.61 58.70 59.71 60.67 61.55 32.84 34.25 35.59 36.69 37.51 42.44 46.09 48.97 51.32 53.39 55.20 56.81 58.25 59.58 60.78 61.88 62.91 63.88 64.78 65.62 35.76 37.14 38.1 9 38.92 44.U 48.95 52.O7 54.53 56.67 58.52 60.16 61.62 62.96 64.16 65.27 66.30 67.28 68.19 69.03 69.85 201 I 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 26.64 28.78 29.O7 30.48 32.84 35.76 38.62 40.55 41.50 73.63 74.96 76.77 78.28 81.21 83.48 85.71 87.86 90.30 92.19 94.21 96.37 99.30 101.13 1 03.1 I 106.32 109.96 Note: These rates will be lurther adjusted with the applicable integration charge. Note: The rates shown in this table have been computed using the U.S. Energy lnformation Administration (ElA)'s Annual Energy Outlook 20 1 9, released January 201 9. See Annual Energy Outlook 201 9, Table 3.8 Energy Prices by SectorMountain at https ://www.eia. gov/outlooks/aeo/tables_ref . php PACIFICORP Page 3 LEVELIZED NON-LEVELIZED PACIFICORP AVOIDED COST RATES FOR SEASONAL HYDRO PROJECTS June 01, 2019 $/MWh New Contracts and Replacement Contracts without Full Capacity Payments Eliglblllty for these rates ls llmited to proJects smaller than 10 aMW. ON-LINE YEAR LENGTH CONTRACT NON.LEVELIZED 1 2 3 4 5 6 7II 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 26.64 27.67 28.10 28.63 29.35 30.22 31 .16 32.05 32.80 37.03 40.55 43.56 46.17 48.51 50.61 52.50 il.22 55.79 57.23 58.56 28.78 28.92 n.40 30.1 7 31.12 32.14 33.09 33.88 38.69 42.62 45.93 48.76 51.27 53.51 55.52 57.33 58.98 60.49 61.88 63.1 5 29.O7 29.75 30.70 31.83 32.99 34.O2 34.86 40.42 44.U 48.49 51.56 54.26 56.64 58.76 60.66 62.39 63.97 65.40 66.73 67.97 30.48 31.62 32.89 34.17 35.25 36.11 42.59 47.58 51.59 54.90 57.78 60.29 62.51 64.49 66.28 67.90 69.38 70.74 72.02 73.1 9 32.84 34.25 35.59 36.69 37.51 45.21 50.86 55.26 58.81 61.85 64..16 66.75 68.78 70.62 72.27 73.77 75.15 76.44 77.63 78.74 35.76 37.14 38.r9 38.92 48.31 54.75 59.57 63.32 66.lB 69.1 7 71.50 73.55 75.39 77.O4 78.55 79.92 81.22 82.41 83.51 84.57 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 26.64 28.78 29.07 30.48 32.84 35.76 38.62 40.55 41.50 93.95 95.57 97.69 99.51 102.75 105.33 107.88 1 10.37 1 13.13 1 15.36 117.73 120.23 123.51 125.70 128.12 131 .62 135.63 Note: A "seasonal hydro proiect' is delined as a generation facility which produces at least 55% of its annual generation during the months of June, July, and August. Order 32802. Note: These rates will be lurther adjusted with the applicable integration charge. Note: The rates shown in this table have been computed using the U.S. Energy lnlormation Administration (ElA)'s Annual Energy Outlook 201 9, released January 201 9. See Annual Energy Outlook 201 9, Table 3.8 Energy Prices by Sector-Mountain at https ://www.eia. gov/outlooks/aeo/tables-ret.php PACIFICORP Page 4 NON-LEVELIZEDLEVELIZED PACIFICORP AVOIDED COST RATES FOR OTHER PROJECTS June 01 , 201 I $/MWh New Contracts and Replacement Contracts without Full Capacity Payments Ellglblllty for these rates ls llmlted to projects smaller than 10 aMW. LEVELIZED NON.LEVELIZED LENGTH ON-LINE YEAR CONTRACT YEAR NON-LEVELIZED RATES2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4 5 6 7II 10 1l 12 13 14 15 16 17 '18 19 20 26.64 27.67 28.1 0 28.63 29.35 30.22 31 .16 32.05 32.80 35.08 37.00 38.67 40.1 3 41.49 42.72 43.86 44.91 45.88 46.79 47.63 28.78 28.92 29.40 30.1 7 31.12 32.14 33.09 33.88 36.43 38.54 40.35 41.92 43.36 44.67 45.87 46.97 47.99 48.93 49.81 50.63 29.O7 29.75 30.70 31.83 32.99 34.02 34.86 37.76 40.1 0 42.08 43.76 45.30 46.68 47.94 49.09 50.16 51.14 52.05 52.90 53.71 30.48 31.62 32.89 34.17 35.25 36.1 1 39.43 42.02 44.16 45.95 47.57 49.01 50.32 51.52 52.62 53.63 v.56 55.44 56.27 57.04 32.84 34.25 35.59 36.69 37.51 41.37 44.24 46.54 48.42 50.1 1 51.61 52.95 54.17 55.30 56.33 57.28 58.1 7 59.02 59.81 60.54 35.76 37.14 38.19 38.92 43.50 46.70 49.16 51.13 52.87 54.40 55.77 57.00 58.1 4 59.1 8 60.1 3 61.03 61.88 62.68 63.42 64.15 201 I 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 26.64 28.78 29.07 30.48 32.84 35.76 38.62 40.55 41.50 65.76 66.97 68.67 70.06 72.87 75.01 77.12 79.1 5 81.45 83.22 85.1 1 87.13 89.92 91.61 93.54 96.52 100.02 Note: "Other projects" refers to projects other than wind, solar, non-seasonal hydro, and seasonal hydro projects. These "Other projects" may include (but are not limited to): cogeneration, biomass, biogas, landfill gas, or geothermal proiects. Note: The rates shown in this table have been computed using the U.S. Energy lnlormation Administration (ElA)'s Annual Energy Outlook 2019, released January 2019. 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