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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20180226Link Direct - Corrected.pdfl the Company's customers by meeting both near-term and long-term needs for 2 additional resources.My supplemental direct testimony explains the following: 3 The Combined Projects provide net customer benefits under all scenarios 4 studied through 2036,and in seven of the nine scenarios through 2050. 5 Customer benefits increase to $151 million in the medium case through 2050 6 (as compared to $137 million in the original filing),and range from 7 $333 million to $349 million in the medium case through 2036. 8 The analysis reflects changes in federal tax law that were enacted in December 9 2017,and updated best-and-final pricing from bidders received December 21, 10 2017,after the federal tax law changes were known. 11 The treatment of production tax credits ("PTCs")in the system modeling 12 scenarios extending out through 2036 has been changed to better reflect how 13 the PTCs will flow through to customers,which makes the treatment consistent 14 with the nominal revenue requirement results that extend out through 2050. 15 Sensitivityanalysis shows substantial benefits of the Combined Projects persist 16 when paired with PacifiCorp's wind repowering project and are not displaced 17 when considering the potential procurement of solar PPA bids submitted into 18 the on-going RFP for solar resources,the 2017S RFP. 19 2017R RFP RESULTS 20 Q.To recap the status of the 2017R RFP,when was it issued? 2l A.As described in my rebuttal testimony,PacifiCorp issued the 2017R RFP on September 22 27,2017,after it was approved by the Public Service Commission of Utah 23 ("Commission")on September 22,2017,and the Public UtilityCommission of Oregon CORRECTED Link,Di-Supp -2 Rocky Mountain Power l CORRECTED Table 2-SD Updated SO Model and PaR PVRR(d) (Benefit)/Cost of the Combined Projects ($million) PaR Risk- SO Model PaR Stochastie Adjusted Price-Poli Scenario P d Mean P d PVRR Low Gas,Zero CO2 $145 $126 $131 Low Gas,Medium CO2 $186 $146 $152 Low Gas,Hi h CO2 $297)$280 ($294 Medium Gas,Zero CO2 $306 $268 $280 Medium Gas,Medium CO2 $343 $333 $349 Medium Gas,Hi h CO2 ($430)($409)($428 Hi h Gas,Zero CO2 $619 $531 $557 Hi h Gas,Medium CO2 $636 $56l $588 High Gas,High CO2 ($696)($627)($658) 2 Over a 20-year period,the Combined Projects reduce customer costs in all nine 3 price-policy scenarios.This outcome is consistent in both the SO model and PaR 4 results.Under the central price-policy scenario,assuming medium natural-gas prices 5 and medium CO2 prices,the PVRR(d)net benefits range between $333 million,when 6 derived from PaR stochastic-mean results,and $349 million,when derived from PaR 7 risk-adjusted results. 8 Q.What trends do you observe in the modeling results across the different price 9 policy scenarios? 10 A.Projected system net benefits increase with higher natural-gas price assumptions,and 11 similarly,increase with higher CO2 price assumptions.Conversely,system net benefits 12 decline when low natural-gas prices and low CO2 prices are assumed.This trend holds CORRECTED Link,Di-Supp -27 Rocky Mountain Power l results shown in the table are provided as Exhibit No 41. 2 CORRECTED Table 3-SD.Updated Nominal Revenue Requirement PVRR(d) (Benefit)/Cost of the Combined Projects ($million) Annual Revenue Requirement Price-Po °Scenario P d Low Gas,Zero CO2 $195 Low Gas,Medium CO2 $159 Low Gas,Hi h CO2 $79) Medium Gas,Zero CO2 $34 Medium Gas,Medium CO2 $151 Medium Gas,Hi h CO2 $275 Hi h Gas,Zero CO2 $41l Hi h Gas,Medium CO2 $453 High Gas,High CO2 ($559) 3 When system costs and benefits from the Combined Projects are extended out 4 through 2050,covering the full depreciable life of the owned-wind projects included in 5 the 2017R RFP final shortlist,the Combined Projects reduce customer costs in seven 6 out of nine price-policy scenarios.Customer benefits,range from $34 million in the 7 medium natural gas,zero CO2 scenario to $559 million in the high natural gas,high 8 CO2 scenario.Under the central price-policy scenario,assuming medium natural-gas 9 prices and medium CO2 prices,the PVRR(d)benefits of the Combined Projects are 10 $151 million.The Combined Projects providesignificant customer benefits in all price- 11 policy scenarios,and the net benefits are unfavorable only when low natural-gas prices 12 are paired with zero or medium CO2 prices.These results show that upside benefits far 13 outweigh downside risks. CORRECTED Link,Di-Supp -30 Rocky Mountain Power l O&M expenses,the Wyoming wind-production tax,and PTCs.The project costs are 2 netted against updated system impacts from the Combined Projects,reflecting the 3 change in NPC,emissions,non-NPC variable costs,and system fixed costs that are 4 affected by,but not directly associated with,the Combined Projects. 5 CORRECTED Figure 5-SD Updated Total-System Annual Revenue Requirement With the Combined Projects (Benefit)/Cost ($million) $80 $60 6 The data shown in this figure for the updated economic analysis have the same 7 basic profile as the data from the original economic analysis summarized in my direct 8 testimony.This profile shows that despite a reduction in PTC benefits associated with 9 changes in federal tax law,the reduced costs from winning bids from the 2017R RFP 10 continue to generate substantial near-term customer benefits,reduce the magnitude and 11 shorten the duration over which costs increase after federal PTCs for new wind 12 resources expire,and continue to contribute to customer benefits over the long-term. 13 The year-on-year reduction in net benefits from 2036 to 2037 is driven by the 14 Company's conservative approach to extrapolate benefits from 2037 through 2050 15 based on modeled results from the 2028 through 2036 timeframe.This leads to an CORRECTED Link,Di-Supp -32 Rocky Mountain Power l Projects were evaluated without solar PPA bids. 2 CORRECTED Table 4-SD Solar Sensitivity with Solar PPAs Included in lieu of the Combined Projects (Benefit)/Cost ($million) Sensitivity Benchmark Change in PVRR(d)PVRR(d)PVRR(d) Medium Gas,Medium CO2 SO Model $334)$343)$9 PaR Stochastic Mean $222 $333 $111 PaR Risk Adjusted ($233)($349)$116 Low Gas,Zero CO2 SO Model ($206)($145)($61) PaR Stochastic Mean $141 $126 $15 PaR Risk Adjusted ($148)($131)($17) 3 In the medium natural gas,medium CO2 price-policy scenario,a portfolio with 4 the Combined Projects delivers greater customer benefits relative to a portfolio that 5 adds solar PPA bids without the Combined Projects.Customer benefits are greater 6 when the resource portfolio includes the Combined Projects without solar PPA bids by 7 $116 million in the medium natural gas,medium CO2 price-policy scenario based on 8 the risk-adjusted PaR results.In the low natural gas,zero CO2 price-policy scenario, 9 the portfolio with solar PPA bids and without the Combined Projects has higher net 10 customer benefits relative to a portfolio containing just the Combined Projects.The 11 increase in net benefits in the solar PPA portfolio is $17 million based on the risk- 12 adjusted PaR results. 13 Q.What were the results of the solar sensitivity where solar PPA bids are pursued 14 with the Combined Projects? 15 A.Table 5-SD summarizes PVRR(d)results for the solar sensitivity where solar PPA bids CORRECTED Link,Di-Supp -34 Rocky Mountain Power l are assumed to be pursued along with the proposed investments in the Combined 2 Projects.This sensitivity was developed using SO model and PaR simulations through 3 2036 for the medium natural gas,medium CO2 and the low natural gas,zero CO2 pfÏCC- 4 policy scenarios.The results are shown alongside the benchmark study in which the 5 Combined Projects were evaluated without solar PPA bids. 6 CORRECTED Table 5-SD Solar Sensitivity with Solar PPAs Included With the Combined Projects (Benefit)/Cost ($million) Sensitivity Benchmark Change in PVRR(d)PVRR(d)PVRR(d) Medium Gas,Medium CO2 SO Model $602 $343 $259 PaR Stochastic Mean ($482 $333 $149 PaR Risk Adjusted ($504)($349)($155) Low Gas,Zero CO2 SO Model $286 $145 $141 PaR Stochastic Mean $2l7 $126 $91 PaR Risk Adjusted ($227)($131)($96) 7 When the solar PPAs are pursued in additionto the Combined Projects,the total 8 benefits increase,but are diluted (i.e.,the aggregate net benefits are less than the sum 9 of the benefits for the cases where Combined Projects or solar PPAs are pursued 10 independently). 11 Q.What conclusions can you draw from these solar sensitivity analyses? 12 A.These sensitivities demonstrate that should the Company choose to pursue solar bids 13 through the 2017S RFP,the resulting solar PPAs would not displace the Combined 14 Projects as an alternative means to deliver economic savings for customers. 15 While the sensitivity with a portfolio containing solar PPAs without the CORRECTED Link,Di-Supp -35 Rocky Mountain Power 1 Q.What were the results of the wind-repoweringsensitivity? 2 A.Table 6-SD summarizes PVRR(d)results for this wind-repowering sensitivity.This 3 sensitivity was developed using SO model and PaR simulations through 2036 for the 4 medium natural gas,medium CO2 and the low natural gas,zero CO2 price-policy 5 scenarios.The results are shown alongside the benchmark study in which the Combined 6 Projects were evaluated without wind repowering. 7 CORRECTED Table 6-SD Wind-Repowering Sensitivity (Benefit)/Cost ($million) Sensitivity Benchmark Change in PVRR(d)PVRR(d)PVRR(d) Medium Gas,Medium CO2 SO Model ($541)$343 ($198) PaR Stochastic Mean $497 $333 $164 PaR Risk Adjusted ($520)($349)($171) Low Gas,Zero CO2 SO Model ($313)($145 ($169) PaR Stochastic Mean $277 $126 $152 PaR Risk Adjusted ($290)($131)($159) 8 In the wind-repowering sensitivity,customer benefits increase significantly 9 when the wind repowering project is implemented with the Combined Projects in both 10 the medium natural gas,medium CO2 and the low natural gas,zero CO2 price-policy 11 scenarios.These results demonstrate that customer benefits not only persist,but 12 increase,if both the wind-repowering project and the Combined Projects are 13 completed. 14 Q.Please summarize the conclusion of your supplemental direct testimony. 15 A.The results of the 2017R RFP confirmed that the Combined Projects are the least-cost, CORRECTED Link,Di-Supp -37 Rocky Mountain Power REDLINE 1 the Company's customers by meeting both near-term and long-term needs for 2 additional resources.My supplemental direct testimony explains the following: 3 The Combined Projects provide net customer benefits under all scenarios 4 studied through 2036,and in seven of the nine scenarios through 2050. 5 Customer benefits increase to $‡-771 million in the medium case through 6 2050 (as compared to $137 million in the original filing),and range from 7 $-34-1million to $-343 million in the medium case through 2036. 8 The analysis reflects changes in federal tax law that were enacted in December 9 2017,and updated best-and-final pricing from bidders received December 21, 10 2017,after the federal tax law changes were known. 11 The treatment of production tax credits ("PTCs")in the system modeling 12 scenarios extending out through 2036 has been changed to better reflect how 13 the PTCs will flow through to customers,which makes the treatment consistent 14 with the nominal revenue requirement results that extend out through 2050. 15 Sensitivityanalysis shows substantial benefits of the Combined Projects persist 16 when paired with PacifiCorp's wind repowering project and are not displaced 17 when considering the potential procurement of solar PPA bids submitted into 18 the on-going RFP for solar resources,the 2017S RFP. 19 2017R RFP RESULTS 20 Q.To recap the status of the 2017R RFP,when was it issued? 21 A.As described in my rebuttal testimony,PacifiCorp issued the 2017R RFP on September 22 27,2017,after it was approved by the Public Service Commission of Utah 23 ("Commission")on September 22,2017,and the Public UtilityCommission of Oregon Link,Di-Supp -2 Rocky Mountain Power REDLINE 1 CORRECTED Table 2-SD Updated SO Model and PaR PVRR(d) (Benefit)/Cost of the Combined Projects ($million) PaR Risk- SO Model PaR Stochastic Adjusted Price-Poli Scenario P d Mean P d PV d Low Gas,Zero CO2 $145 $-144126 $-19901 |Low Gas,Medium CO2 $186 $-1-241¾$-1-Kl52 Low Gas,Hi h CO2 $297 $258280 $272294 Medium Gas,Zero CO2 $306 $246268 $2582 Medium Gas,Medium CO2 $343 $3R333 $32729 Medium Gas,Hi h CO2 $430 $388409 ($4Mj8 Hi h Gas,Zero CO2 $619 $-509531 $53-5_51 Hi h Gas,Medium CO2 $636 $539¾_1.$-56728 High Gas,High CO2 ($696)($495627)($63462) 2 Over a 20-year period,the Combined Projects reduce customer costs in all nine 3 price-policy scenarios.This outcome is consistent in both the SO model and PaR 4 results.Under the central price-policy scenario,assuming medium natural-gas prices 5 and medium CO2 prices,the PVRR(d)net beneñts range between $-3M-D million, 6 when derived from PaR stochastic-mean results,and $-34319 million,when derived 7 from 84NeedelPaRrisk-adjusted results. 8 Q.What trends do you observe in the modeling results across the different price 9 policy scenarios? 10 A.Projected system net benefits increase with higher natural-gas price assumptions,and 11 similarly,increase with higher CO2 price assumptions.Conversely,system net benefits 12 decline when low natural-gas prices and low CO2 prices are assumed.This trend holds Link,Di-Supp -27 Rocky Mountain Power REDLINE 1 results shown in the table are provided as Exhibit No 41. 2 CORRECTED Table 3-SD.Updated Nominal Revenue Requirement PVRR(d) (Benefit)/Cost of the Combined Projects ($million) Annual Revenue Requirement Price-Poli Scenario PVRR d Low Gas,Zero CO2 $449195 Low Gas,Medium CO2 $4-33159 Low Gas,Hi h CO2 $44679 Medium Gas,Zero CO2 $6034 Medium Gas,Medium CO2 $4-77151 Medium Gas,Hi h CO2 $341-D Hi h Gas,Zero CO2 $437411 Hi h Gas,Medium CO2 $479453 High Gas,High CO2 ($§862) 3 When system costs and benefits from the Combined Projects are extended out 4 through 2050,covering the full depreciable life of the owned-windprojects included in 5 the 2017R RFP final shortlist,the Combined Projects reduce customer costs in seven 6 out of nine price-policy scenarios.Customer benefits,range from $493 million in the 7 medium natural gas,zero CO2 scenario to $5852 million in the high natural gas,high 8 CO2 Scenario.Under the central price-policy scenario,assuming medium natural-gas 9 prices and medium CO2 prices,the PVRR(d)benefits of the Combined Projects are 10 $4-771 million.The Combined Projects provide significant customer benefits in all 11 price-policy scenarios,and the net benefits are unfavorable only when low natural-gas 12 prices are paired with zero or medium CO2 prices.These results show that upside 13 benefits far outweigh downside risks. Link,Di-Supp -30 Rocky Mountain Power REDLINE 1 O&M expenses,the Wyoming wind-production tax,and PTCs.The project costs are 2 netted against updated system impacts from the Combined Projects,reflecting the 3 change in NPC,emissions,non-NPC variable costs,and system fixed costs that are 4 affected by,but not directly associated with,the Combined Projects. 5 CORRECTED Figure 5-SD Updated Total-SystemAnnual Revenue Requirement With the Combined Projects (Benefit)/Cost ($million) $80 $60 6 The data shown in this figure for the updated economic analysis have the same 7 basic profile as the data from the original economic analysis summarized in my direct 8 testimony.This profile shows that despite a reduction in PTC benefits associated with 9 changes in federal tax law,the reduced costs from winning bids from the 2017R RFP 10 continue to generate substantial near-term customer benefits,reduce the magnitude and 11 shorten the duration over which costs increase after federal PTCs for new wind 12 resources expire,and continue to contribute to customer benefits over the long-term. 13 The year-on-year reduction in net benefits from 2036 to 2037 is driven by the 14 Company's conservative approach to extrapolate benefits from 2037 through 2050 15 based on modeled results from the 2028 through 2036 timeframe.This leads to an Link,Di-Supp -32 Rocky Mountain Power REDLINE 1 Projects were evaluated without solar PPA bids. 2 CORRECTED Table 4-SD Solar Sensitivity with Solar PPAs Included in lieu of the Combined Projects (Benefit)/Cost ($million) Sensitivity Benchmark Change in PVRR(d)PVRR(d)PVRR(d) Medium Gas,Medium CO2 SO Model ($334)$343 $9 PaR Stochastic Mean $291222 $3-1-1-D $448111 PaR Risk Adjusted ($2-1-3_22)($327¾9)$-M4]_l_6 Low Gas,Zero CO2 SO Model $206)$145 $61 PaR Stochastic Mean $4-26141 $444126 $2215 PaR Risk Adjusted ($4-331_)($4491_31.)($2411) 3 In the medium natural gas,medium CO2 price-policy scenario,a portfolio with 4 the Combined Projects delivers greater customer benefits relative to a portfolio that 5 adds solar PPA bids without the Combined Projects.Customer benefits are greater 6 when the resource portfolio includes the Combined Projects without solar PPA bids by 7 $N411_6 million in the medium natural gas,medium CO2 price-policy scenario based 8 on the risk-adjusted PaR results.In the low natural gas,zero CO2 price-policy scenario, 9 the portfolio with solar PPA bids and without the Combined Projects has higher net 10 customer benefits relative to a portfolio containing just the Combined Projects.The 11 increase in net benefits in the solar PPA portfolio is $2417 million based on the risk- 12 adjusted PaR results. 13 Q.What were the results of the solar sensitivity where solar PPA bids are pursued 14 with the Combined Projects? 15 A.Table 5-SD summarizes PVRR(d)results for the solar sensitivity where solar PPA bids Link,Di-Supp -34 Rocky Mountain Power REDLINE 1 are assumed to be pursued along with the proposed investments in the Combined 2 Projects.This sensitivity was developed using SO model and PaR simulations through 3 2036 for the medium natural gas,medium CO2 and the low natural gas,zero CO2 price- 4 policy scenarios.The results are shown alongside the benchmark study in which the 5 Combined Projects were evaluated without solar PPA bids. 6 CORRECTED Table 5-SD Solar Sensitivity with Solar PPAs Included With the Combined Projects (Benefit)/Cost ($million) Sensitivity Benchmark Change in PVRR(d)PVRR(d)PVRR(d) Medium Gas,Medium CO2 SO Model $602 $343 $259 I PaR Stochastic Mean $442482 $-3-H-D $411-1_) PaR Risk Adjusted ($4645_04)($-327 ($-1-37 Low Gas,Zero CO2 SO Model $286 $145 $141 I PaR Stochastic Mean $4452_l7 $-194126 $41-91 PaR Risk Adjusted ($495.21)($‡09B)($8496) 7 When the solar PPAs are pursued in additionto the Combined Projects,the total 8 benefits increase,but are diluted (i.e.,the aggregate net benefits are less than the sum 9 of the benefits for the cases where Combined Projects or solar PPAs are pursued 10 independently). 11 Q.What conclusions can you draw from these solar sensitivity analyses? 12 A.These sensitivities demonstrate that should the Company choose to pursue solar bids 13 through the 2017S RFP,the resulting solar PPAs would not displace the Combined 14 Projects as an alternative means to deliver economic savings for customers. 15 While the sensitivity with a portfolio containing solar PPAs without the Link,Di-Supp -35 Rocky Mountain Power REDLINE 1 Q.What were the results of the wind-repoweringsensitivity? 2 A.Table 6-SD summarizes PVRR(d)results for this wind-repowering sensitivity.This 3 sensitivity was developed using SO model and PaR simulations through 2036 for the 4 medium natural gas,medium CO2 and the low natural gas,zero CO2 price-policy 5 scenarios.The results are shown alongside the benchmark study in which the Combined 6 Projects were evaluated without wind repowering. 7 CORRECTED Table 6-SD Wind-Repowering Sensitivity (Benefit)/Cost ($million) Sensitivity Benchmark Change in PVRR(d)PVRR(d)PVRR(d) Medium Gas,Medium CO2 SO Model ($541)$343 $198 PaR Stochastic Mean $475497 $-MU $164 PaR Risk Adjusted ($498 ($-327¾9)($171) Low Gas,Zero CO2 SO Model $313 $145 $169 PaR Stochastic Mean $255277 $-144126 $152 PaR Risk Adjusted ($268¾($4491E)($159) 8 In the wind-repowering sensitivity,customer benefits increase significantly 9 when the wind repowering project is implemented with the Combined Projects in both 10 the medium natural gas,medium CO2 and the low natural gas,zero CO2 price-policy 11 scenarios.These results demonstrate that customer benefits not only persist,but 12 increase,if both the wind-repowering project and the Combined Projects are 13 completed. 14 Q.Please summarize the conclusion of your supplemental direct testimony. 15 A.The results of the 2017R RFP confirmed that the Combined Projects are the least-cost, Link,Di-Supp -37 Rocky Mountain Power Case No.PAC-E-l7-07 Exhibit No.37 -CORRECTED Witness:Rick T.Link BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER Exhibit Accompanying Supplemental Direct Testimony of Rick T.Link February 2018 Rocky Mountain PowerCORRECTEDExhibitNo.37 Page 1 of 2 Case No.PAC-E-17-07 Witness:Rick T.Link (BenefityCost Pimid;2017 2018 2019 2020 |2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 |2026 2027 |2028 2029 2030 |2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofProjects 8806 50 50 50 12 SSB $62 562 $64 568 168 572 572 K77 $102 $221 5225 5230 5235 5241 $246 CliangeinNPC (5806)(50)50 SI ($11)($91)(592)(595)(594)(598)(598)(5101)(Sil4)(5114)(5127)($124)(5126)(5135)(5150)(5144)(5144) ChangeinEmissions $0 50 50 SO SO 50 30 SO SO 50 50 50 SO 50 SO 10 50 $0 $0 $0 50 ChangemDSM (564)50 (50)($1)($2)($3)(S4)($5)(57)(59)(59)($11)(511)(SII)($11)(Sil)($11)(511)(Sil)(511)(510) ChmpeinsvsternFixedCost (SSI)SD (SO)30 (50)(53}(53)(53)(56)(56)(56)(56)(56)(519)(519)($19)(532)($22)($12)(527)($27) Net(Benefit)Cost ($143)(50)(50)(50)($12)(539)(537)(542)(544)(545)(546)(546)(559)(367)(554)167 557 562 562 $59 565 (Benefit}Cost PIRR¢¢2017 2018 2019 2020 |2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 |2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 |2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofProjects 5806 50 SO 50 $2 158 $62 $62 564 168 368 $72 572 $77 5102 5221 5225 5230 5235 5241 5246 ChangemNPC ($795)(30)50 St (Sil)(591)(192)($95)($95)(599)(SPS)($101)($114)($113)(SI26)($123)(5127)(5129)(5135)(5139)($134) ChangeinEnnssions ($16)50 SO 50 SD 30 30 50 SO 50 50 SO SO 50 ($3)(38)(SB)(SB)($7)(57)(39) ChangeinDSM (577)50 (SO)(81)(53)(54)(SS)(SS)(SB)($8)(S9)(510)($10)($12)($12)($14)($16)($17)($18)($19)($20) ChangeinSystemFixedCost (5103)30 (50)(30)(50)(53)(53)(53)(56)(56)($6)(16)(56)($17)(S25)(526)($22)($29)(SS6)($32)(546) Net(BenefityCost (5186)(50)(SO)($1)($12)(539)(537)($42)(545)(544)(546)(546)(559)(S66)(165)549 153 546 519 $44 537 (iknefit)Cost Pl7tRid 2017 2018 2019 2020 |2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2018 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofProjects $806 30 30 50 52 558 562 $62 564 368 $68 572 572 577 5102 3221 $225 $230 $235 $241 $246 ChangemNPC ($85[)(50)SG 50 (513)(593)(594)($97)(198)($102)(5105)(5113}(5135)(5142)($143)($131)($129)(5148)($157)($131)($118) ChangemEnnssions ($136)50 SG 50 50 10 10 So 50 10 (510)(518}($16)($21)(136)(SS2)($57)(544)($44)(541)($56) ChangeinDSM ($27)30 So (30)(SI)(51)(52)($2)(52)($2)(53)(54)(54)(54)(55)(SS)(55)(56)(56)($8)($9) ChangeinSvstemFixedcost (sso)So so 50 (so)(53)(53)(53)(56)(56)(56)(56)(56)(520)(521)(521)(520)(524)($17)(541)(542) Net(BenefityCost ($297)(50)50 (SO)($12)(138)(537)(541)(543)(543)($56)(568)(589)istill .1102)113 111 19 112 519 521 (Benefit)Cost PIRRid)2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 |2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofProjects $306 SO 50 50 52 558 $62 562 364 568 168 572 ¶72 577 5102 5221 5225 5130 $235 $24]$246ChmgeinNPC(1978)($0)50 51 (512)(S97)(599)(5102)(SIOS)($116)($115)(5120)(5133)(5148)($166)(8181)(5184)(SI91)(5204)($181)($146) Chmge in Ennssions SO 50 50 So 50 50 50 50 30 SO 50 50 50 30 50 30 SD SD SD $0 50 ChangeinOSM (143)50 (SI)(51)(52)(52)(D)(53)(S4)($4)(55)(55)(56)(S7)(57)(SS)(19)(S9)(59)($9)($9) ChangeinSystemFixedCosi (592)SD (SO)(50)($0)(D)(D)(53)(56)(36)(56)($6)($6)($20)(520)(520)(Sl7)(522)Sil (543)(594)Net(Benefitycost (5306)(50)(50)(50)($12)(544)(544)(547)(552)(558)(559)1559)(574)(598)(591)512 516 59 534 $8 ($2) (IkmfnyCost |PIRRid>2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 |2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CastofProjects 5806 50 30 SO S2 558 $62 162 $64 $68 568 572 572 577 5102 5221 $125 $230 $235 $241 $246 ChangeinNPC (5906)(50)30 50 (SI3)(597)($100)($102)($106)($117)(5115)(5119)(5133)(5149)(Sl70)($187)($190)($175)($160)(587)(SB) ChangeinEmissions ($10)50 30 So 30 So 30 $0 50 50 50 30 SO 50 (SS)(53)(SS)(SS)(S5)($4)($2) ChangeinDSM ($41)50 30 (51)(Sl)(52)(53)(53)(54)($4)(55)(56)(56)(37)(57)(38)(St)(59)($9)($9)(39) ChangeinSystemFixedCost (5193)50 50 $0 (50)($3)($3)(53)(56)(56)(36)(S6)(S6)($19)($19)($19)(517)(544)(569)(5151)(5247) Net(Benefitycost (3343)(50)So (50)(512)(544)(544)(547)(353)(559)(559)(559)(574)(598)(5100)S2 55 ($2)($8)(Slo)($19) (BenclityCost PI7tRyd)2017 2018 2019 2020 |2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1029 2030 |2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofProjects 5806 50 50 50 $1 $58 $62 562 564 568 368 572 ST2 177 $102 5221 5125 5230 5235 5241 5246 ChangeinNPC (5868)(SD)30 51 (513)tS92)(595)(S97)(5101)($111)($108)(5119)($124)($123)(5169)(5189)(5186)(572)(574)($154)(5160) ChangeinEmissions (396)So SO 50 50 50 50 50 30 30 ($13)(Sit)($36)($49)(510)(513)(517)($17)(518)(518)(520) ChangeinDSM (848)30 (SI)(51)(52)(53)(53)(53)(54)(SS)(S6)($6)(57)(59)(59)(S9)(59)(59)(59)(59)(SIO) ChangeinSystemFixedCost (5224)30 50 50 (SO)(39)(39)(SIO)(513)(513)(513)(514)(SI4)($25)($25)(526)($27)(5147)($148)($73)($75) Net(BenefityCost (5430)(50)(30)(SO)(512)(546)(546)(548)(554)(S61)(173)(585)(5109)($129)(5132)(Sl7)(514)(SIS)(514)(514)($18) (Benefitycost PUR¢d;2017 2018 2019 2020 |2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 1035 2036 CostofProjects $806 50 SO SO $2 558 562 362 $64 $68 $68 572 572 ST1 S102 5221 $225 1230 1235 1241 5246 ChangeinNPC (51.067)(50)SO SI ($19)($117)($126)($118)(5128)($136)(5135)(5140)(5156)($172)(5163)(5150)($94)($180)($153)(1242)($230) angein Emissions 50 50 50 50 $0 50 SO $0 50 50 50 SD SO SO 50 50 SO 50 50 $0 50 ChangeinDSM (819)30 (51)($1)($2)($2)($2)(53)(55)(55)(55)(SS)(56)(56)(56)(S6)($7)(57)(58)(58)($9) ChangeinsystemFixedCost (5319)30 50 50 (SO)($3)(53)(526)(530)(S30)(531)(532)(192)($39)($75)($94)($149)(567)(5109)($51)($71) Net(Benclit)Cost (5619)(50)(50)(SO)($19)(364)(369)(586)(599)($103)(5103)(3105)(5123)(5141)($142)(530)(S25)(524)(534)($60)($64) (BenefityCost Pl9tR(d)2017 2018 1019 2020 202]2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 |2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofProjects $806 30 $0 10 $2 SSS $61 162 $64 168 568 572 572 577 3102 S221 $225 $230 $235 $241 $246 ChangemNPC (51,000)(50)10 51 ($19)($117)($126)(5102)(5106)(5116)(5116)(8120)(Sile)(5146)($139)($136)(5105)($173)(5168)($253)($274) angeinEnussions (513)30 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 30 50 50 SD (53)(54)(53)(56)(56)(59)(510) angemDSM (542)30 (st)($1)(52)(12)(52)(53)(55)(55)(55)(56)(56)(56)(57)(57)(58)(58)(39)(59)(510) ChangeinSystemFixedCosi (S387)SO 50 50 (50)(D)(53)(547)(551)(552)(553)(154)(555)(562)(595)(5108)(5141)(S71)(584)(535)(528] Net(BenefhšCost (5636)(50}(50)(50)(319)(364)(569)(190)(598)(SIOS)(5106)(5108)(5124)(3139)($143)($34)($31)($28)($32)(567)(276) (BenefityCost PIRR(d)2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 |2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofProjects 5806 50 So 50 S2 558 562 562 $64 568 568 571 572 977 5102 5221 $225 5230 $235 $241 $246 ChangeinNPC (51.046)($0)50 SI (519)($115)($124)(587)(590)(599)(S99)($102)(Si]6)($131)(5149)($203)(5203}(5191)(5232)(5298)($311) ChangeinEmissions (364)SO 50 50 50 50 50 30 50 So (54)(58)($11)($15)(518)(510)(522)($19)(526)(518)(528)angeinDSM (539)50 ($1)(Sl)(Sl)(SI)(SI)($3)(54)(54)(54)(SS)(56)(S6)(S6)(57)(77)($8)($8)($9)($10) angeinsysiemFixedCost (5352)50 50 50 (50)(56)(56)(564)($68)(570)(971)(573)(574)(574)(575)(546)($39)(SS9)(S45)16 S4 Net(Benefit)Cost (1696)(30)($0)(50)(SI9)(S65)(570)($93)(5100)(5105)(5111)(5116)(5135)(3149)($146)(545)(546)(546)(576)($59)(5100) (Benefitycost PIRRtd)2017 2018 2019 2020 |2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 |2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofProject $784 50 50 50 $2 555 $$9 559 561 565 565 569 569 573 599 5217 5222 $227 $232 5237 $242 ChangeinNPC (5733)30 50 51 ($12)(585)(586)(588)(587)(S91)(389)(589)(199)(5103)($110)(5113)($116)(5120)(5132)($132)($132) ChangemEmissions 50 50 50 $0 SD 50 SO 50 50 10 50 SO SO $0 30 $0 SO 50 30 50 10ChangeinvOM($17)30 50 50 (Sol (22)($2)($2)(52)(52)(53)(53)(52)($2)($2)(52)($2)(SI)(53)($2)(53) ChangeinDSM (571)50 (50)(51)(53)(53)(54)(56)(58)(510)(Slo)(512)(SI2)($12)(SI2)($12)($12)(512)($12)(512)(511) ChangeinDelictenev (58)30 50 10 $0 50 SD 50 50 50 50 30 SO (S[)($3)($4)($3)($3)(16)($2)($4) ChangemPTClosses(dumpedenergy)50 30 50 $0 SD 50 SD 50 50 50 50 SO SO 30 SG 10 50 50 $0 50 $0 ChangeinSystemFixedcost (Sto)30 (50)So (50)(53)(53)(53)(56)(56)(36)(36)(56)(Sls)(SI9)($19)($32)($22)(512)(527)($27) Net(Benefitycost (5126)50 (30)(51)(St3)($38)(536)(541)(543)(544)(543)(540)(SSI)(563)(547)567 $57 $67 $66 $6]$65 (BenefityCost PIRR(d)2017 2018 2019 2020 |2021 2022 2023 2024 2015 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036CostofProject578450So50S25555595595615653655695691735995217$222 5227 $132 5237 5242 ChangeinNPC (5717)50 SO 51 ($11)(SBS)(185)(588)(587)(591)($89)(389)(S99)($102)($109)(Sill)($113)(5114)($116)($122)($116) ChangemEnussions (S25)SO SO $0 SO 10 50 50 50 SO 50 50 So 30 (59)(S9)(Slo)($12)(514)($12)($13)ChangeinVOM (526)SD So 50 (50)(52)(52)(52)(52)($2)(53)(53)($2)($2)(56)(56)tS6)(57)(57)(57)(57) ChangeinDSM (585)30 (50)($2)($3)(54)(SS)($6)(58)(59)(510)(511}(Sil)(513)($14)(SIS)($17)($19)($20)($20)($22) ChangeinDeficiencv 526 50 50 SO SO $0 SO $0 50 50 50 50 50 (Sl)S2 SI3 113 $18 SIS $13 39 Change in PTC losses(dumped energy)50 50 50 50 50 50 SO 50 50 50 50 50 50 30 SO 30 SO 50 SD $0 30 ChangeinsystemFixedCost ($103)30 (50)(50)(SO)(53)(53)(S3)(56)(56)(S6)($6)(S6)($17)(525)(526)(522)(529)(556)($32)(546} Net(BenefityCost (5146)SO (50)(SI)($13)($38)($36)(541)(543)($43)(543)(540)(551)(562)(862)S62 $67 $65 535 $$6 $47 (Benefit}Cost Pl7tRyd)2017 2018 2019 2020 |2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 |2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofProjcct 5784 50 50 50 S2 555 559 559 361 565 165 569 $69 $73 599 5217 S222 5227 S232 5237 5242 Rocky Mountain Power CORRECTEDExhibit No.37 Page 2 of 2 Case No.PAC-E-17-07 Witness:Rick T.Link ChangeinNPC (ST15)so so so ($13)(587)(587)(590)(590)(595)($96)($99)(5114)(Sils)(5126)($127)(5129)($131)(SI35)(SIlt)($118) ChangeinEmissions (5149)so so 50 50 So 50 So 50 So (Slo)(520)($28)($35)(544)(546)(548)(550)($53)(545)(545)ChangeinvoM (516)so so so (50)($2)(32)($2)(52)(52)($2)(S2)($2)(S2)(52)($2)($2)($3)(54)(52)(52) ChangeinDSM (530)30 50 (30)(Sl)(51)($2)($2)(53)(53)(54)(54)(54)(55)(55)(SS)($6)(56)($6)($9)(510) ChangeinDeficiency (SS)30 30 (50)SO 50 SO SO SO SO SO SO (50)(Sl)($3)(53)(53)(Sl)(Sl)(51)(53) ChangeinFTClosses(dumpedenergy)$0 $0 SO 50 50 50 50 SO SO SO 50 50 50 30 SO $0 30 SD 50 50 50 ChangeinSystemFixedCost (589)30 50 50 (50)(53)(53)(53)(56)(56)(56)(56)(56)(520)(521)(511)(520)(524)($17)(541)(542) Net(Benefitycost (5280)50 SO (50)($12)($37)(535)(539)(140)($40)(554)($62)(585)($108)(SIGI)513 $14 512 $16 521 522 Medhu wLa /m tBI PEP¾kmewh (BenefityCost PURid)2017 2018 2019 (2020 2021 2012 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 |2036 CostofProject 5784 50 50 30 52 555 559 559 561 565 565 569 569 573 599 5217 5222 5227 5232 $237 5242 ChangeinNPC (5886)10 50 SI ($12)(891)(592)(594)(598)(8111)(5108)(5110)(SI25)($133)($146)(5155)($159)(5167)(Sl79)(5161)($126) Change in Ennssicus $3 $0 SO 50 50 50 50 SO $0 50 50 $0 SG $0 50 SD $0 $0 SO SO 50 ChangeinVOM (521)50 So 50 (50)($2)(12)(53)(53)(53)(SI)($3)(52)($2)(53)(13)(53)($5)(SS)(53)(SI) ChangeinDSM (547)SO (SI)(Sl)(52)(52)(54)(54)(54)(54)(SS)(56)(57)(58)(58)(S9)(59)(59)($9)($9)($10) ChangeinDeficiency (56)30 50 50 So (50)so so so so 50 50 50 (50)(52)(53)(SS)(50)(55)(52)(53) ChangeinPTClosses(dumpedenergy)So $0 50 $0 SO SD SD SG SD 50 50 SO $0 SD SO SD 50 SD SO SO SG ChangeinsystemFixedCost (592)30 (SO)(SD)(50)(53)(53)(53)(56)(36)(56)(56)(56)(520)(520)(520)($17)($22)Sll (S43)(594) Net(BenefityCost (5268)So (50)($1)($13)(543)(542)($44)(550)($59)($58)(556)(572)($91)(510)S28 529 524 $45 $19 57 Medh>m N=turm]Gm MrdimfD2 Prke Ituky Smuk (BenefityCost PE7tRid)2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 CostofPmject S784 SO 50 50 52 555 559 559 561 $65 S65 569 $69 573 599 S217 $222 5227 S232 $237 S242 ChangeinNPC ($838)30 50 50 (313)(391)(592)(594)(5100)(5113)(8109)(Slll)($127)($138)($154)($164)($169)($156)(5142)(586)(512) ChmgeinEmissions ($17)50 So 50 $0 $0 50 $0 50 SO 50 50 50 50 ($9)($8)($9)($8)($9)($5)($2)ChangeinVOM (519)50 50 50 (SO)(52)(52)(53)(53)(53)(53)(53)(52)(53)(SI)(53)(53)(53)(53)($2)($I) ChmgeinDSM (544)SO 50 (Sl)(SI)(52)(53)(53)(54)(54)(55)(57)(57)(58)(58)(SP)(59)(39)(59)($9)($9) ChmgeinDeficienev (56)SO So SO 50 50 50 50 50 50 30 50 50 (SI)(52)(53)(55)($4)(56)(51)$2 ChmgeinPTClasses(dumpedenergy)50 50 50 SO 50 50 $0 50 50 50 50 50 50 SO SO 50 SO 10 SO 50 $0 ChangeinSystemFixedCesi ($193)50 50 So (50)(53)(B)(53)(56)(56)(16)(56)($6)($19)($19)($19)($17)($44)($69)($151)(5247) Net(Benefkycost (5333)30 So (50)(513)(543)(841)(544)(552)(560)(559)(557)(574)(595)(SPS)SII SII S2 (37)(SIS)(S27) (IlenetityCast PERR(d)2017 2018 1019 2020 2u2i 2022 2V23 2u24 2U15 2026 2017 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2u35 2036 CostofProject 7784 50 50 50 $1 155 $59 559 561 $65 165 $69 $69 $73 $99 S217 2222 $227 $232 $237 $242 ChangeinNPC ($786)50 50 SI ($12)(586)(187)(589)(594)($106)(5102)(5104)(5118)(5127)(5143)(5153)(5152)(569)(571)($135)($135) ChangeinEmissions ($107)$0 50 30 50 $0 50 50 50 $0 (59)(519)(528)(534)(537)(534)(97)($17)(518)(528)(Slo) ChangeinVOM ($17)$0 SO 30 (50)(52)(52)(52)(S3)(S3)(53)(53)(52)(52)(52)(52)(SI)(31)(Sl)(52)(52) ChangeinDSM (552)30 (51)(SI)(52)(D)(54)(54)(S4)(SS)(37)(S7)(38)(39)(510)(SIO)(SIO)($10)(SIO)(510)($10) ChangeinDeficiency (57)50 50 (50)30 50 (SO)50 50 50 50 50 SO (SO)($2)($2)($2)($3)($3)(34)($9) ChangeinPTClosses(dumpedenergy)$0 50 50 50 50 $0 30 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 ChangeinsystemFixedCosi (5224)30 50 $0 (50)(19)(SP)(SIO)(SI3)($13)(Sl3)($14)(314)($25)(SIS)($26)($27)($147)($148)(573)(575) Net(BenefityCost ($409)$0 (30)(51)($13)(S44)($43)(546)($52)($61)(569)(576)(5101)(5124)(5120)(510)(19)(520)($19)(515)($20) (BenefityCest PYRR(d)2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036CostofPmject578450505012SSS$59 559 $61 565 165 569 $69 $73 $99 5217 5222 $227 $232 $237 $242 ChangeinNPC ($923)50 50 51 ($18)($llo)(SII6)(5107)($112)(Sil7)(5115)(5116)(5132)(5147)(5140)(5130)(585)(5149)(5124)(5198)($189) ChmgeinEmissions 50 30 50 So 50 SO 50 50 50 50 So 50 50 So 50 So 50 So 50 $0 50 ChangeinVOM (sis)50 So 50 (50)(B)(D)($2)($2)(52)(52)(22)($1)($2)($1)($2)(52)($1)($2)(53)($4) ChangeinDSM (542)50 (51)(SI)($2)($2)($2)(53)(SS)($5)(SS)($6)($6)(56)(56)(57)(57)(SR)(58)($9)($9) ChangeinDeficiency (SI2)30 50 50 SO SO SO SO 30 ($0)$0 SS 50 (53)(52)(54)(54)(513)(Sls)50 ($3) ChangeinPTClosses(dumpedenergy)So 50 50 50 SO SO $0 10 SO SO $0 50 50 50 50 50 50 30 50 50 $0 ChangeinSystemFixedCest (919)50 50 SO (50)(53)(53)(526)(530)(S30)(531)(532)(S32)($39)(575)($94)($149)($67)($109)(5$1)($71) Net(Benefitycost (5531)So (30)(SI)($19)($62)($64)(580)(588)($90)($39)(587)(5103)(5121)(5126)($19)(525)(512)(529)(524)(134) (BenefityCost PF7Œtd)2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 203I 2032 2033 2034 2035 |2036 CostofProject 5784 50 $0 SO S2 555 559 559 561 565 S65 $69 569 573 $99 $217 $222 $227 $232 $237 $242 ChangeinNPC (5869)SO 50 SI (SIB)($110)(SIl6)($93)(595)($101)(199)(599)(5113)(5125)(5120)(5117)(590)(5146)($142)(5210)($226) ChangeinEmissions ($17)$0 50 50 50 50 SO 50 50 50 50 50 SO 50 (SS)(55)(54)(SS)(SS)(512)(515)ChangeinVOM ($16)$0 SO 50 (50)($3)($3)(52)(52)(52)(S2)(52)(52)(52)(S2)(52)(SI)($2)($2)(53)(54) ChangeinDSM ($45)10 (Sl)(51)(52)($2)($2)(53)(55)(55)(SS)(56)(57)(57)(SS)(38)(SS)(SP)(59)(510)(511) ChangeinDeficiency (Slo)30 SO 50 50 50 30 50 50 (50)50 SO SO 50 (51)(51)(Sl)($13)(516)(50)(53) ChangeinPTClosses(dumpedenergy)SO 50 50 50 So 50 So SO So so 50 50 50 So 50 So lo 50 50 SD 50 ChangeinSystemFixedCost ($387)30 SO 50 (50)($3)($3)(547)(551)(SS2)(553)(554)(SSS)(562)($95)(5108)($141)(571)(584)(535)(528) Net(BenefityCost (5561)30 (SD)(Sl)($19)(562)(564)(586)(592)(595)($95)($93)(5107)(1123)($131)($24)($24)($21)($31)($34)($44) (BenefityCost PVRR(dj 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 |2036CostofProject87845050SD$2 S$5 359 SS9 $61 $65 $65 569 569 $73 599 5217 5222 5227 5232 5237 5242 ChangeinNPC ($898)30 SO SI (Sls)($108)($114)(SSI)($81)($86)(584)(583)($95)(5110)($126)(5186)(5165)(5158)($190)(5239)(5246) ChangeinEmissions (594)50 So 50 50 50 50 SO 50 So (57)(513)($17)(520)($23)($17)($31)($30)($34)(540)($41) ChangeinVOM (SIS)30 50 So (50)(13)(83)(Sz)(22)(52)(Sz)(52)(52)($2)(52)(54)(53)(52)(53)(54)($4) ChangeinOSM (542)30 (51)($1)(SI)(Sl)(Sl)(53)(15)(55)(55)(56)($6)($6)(57)(57)(58)(58)(59)(Slo)($11) ChangeinDeficienev (57)30 50 $0 SG SO SO SO 10 $0 ($0)50 (50)50 (50)(52)(51)(513)(55)($2)(SS) ChangeinFTClosses(dumpedenergy)30 SO 50 $0 SU 50 50 SO 10 SO SO 50 $0 50 SO 50 50 50 50 50 $0 ChangeinSystemFixedCost ($352)So 50 50 (50)(56)(56)(564)(568)(590)(571)(573)(574)(574)($75)(546)(539)(559)(545)56 54 Net(BenernyCost ($627)$0 (50)(SI)($18)($62)(564)($91)(595)(598)(5104)(5108)(5126)(5138)($135)(545)(524)(544)(553)(551)(562)