20161017Application.pdf

October 14, 2016
VL4 ELECTRONIC FILING
AND OVERNIGHT DELIVERY
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
4 72 West Washington
Boise, ID 83702-5983
Attention: Jean D. Jewell
Commission Secretary
Re: CASE NO. PAC-E-16-15:
REC EIVED
2Gl6 CCT 17 AM 9: 34
1407 W. North Temple, Suite 330
Salt Lake City, Utah 84116
IN THE MATTER OF THE COMMISSION'S REVIEW OF PURPA QF
CONTRACT PROVISIONS INCLUDING THE SURROGATE AVOIDED
RESOURCE (SAR) AND INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLANNING (IRP)
METHODOLOGIES FOR CALCULATING A VOIDED COST RA TES.
Dear Ms. Jewell ;
Please find enclosed for filing an original and (7) seven copies of Rocky Mountain Power's
annual compliance filing to update the model inputs for the IRP method avoided cost calculation,
provided as Appendix A. Pursuant to Commission Order 32697 utilities must provide annual
updates for fuel prices, load forecasts, and changes to long term contracts for purchases or sales
and any new or expiring QF contracts. The 2015 IRP was filed with the Commission on
March 31, 2015. The Company made its last annual compliance filing on October 14, 2015 in
docket PAC-E-15-13 ("Prior Filing").
The Company's current long term load forecast was prepared in July 2016. The load forecast
used in the Prior Filing was prepared in May 2015. Appendix A provides the July 2016 load
forecast summarized annually by jurisdiction. The May 2015 forecast is also provided for
reference only.
The Company 's most recent Official Forward Price Curve was prepared October 12, 2016
(" 161012 OFPC"). The price forecast used in the Prior Filing was prepared September 30, 2015
(" 1509 OFPC"). Appendix A provides the 161012 OFPC natural gas prices summarized annually
by market hub. The 1509 OFPC is also provided for reference only.
Since the Prior Filing, the Company has signed 17 long-term contracts including 15 Jong-term
contracts with qualifying facilities for a total nameplate capacity of 185 .6 megawatts. Eleven
long-term contracts with a combined nameplate capacity of 134.0 megawatts have terminated. A
list of signed and terminated contracts is provided in Appendix A.
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
October 14, 2016
Page 2
In compliance with Commission Order 32802 the Company 1s filing these annual updates
requesting an October 15, 2016 effective date.
Any informal inquiries should be directed to Ted Weston at [phone].
sf/~
Jeffrey K. Larsen
Vice President, Regulation and Government Affairs
APPENDIX A
RMP A VOIDED COST CALCULATION INPUTS
WITH THE LOAD FORECAST UPDATE, NATURAL GAS PRICE UPDATE,
AND LONG-TERM CONTRACTS UPDATE
Year California Idaho
2016 896 3,785
2017 889 3,779
2018 879 3,793
2019 867 3,804
2020 858 3,813
2021 847 3,819
2022 839 3,834
2023 830 3,850
2024 825 3,871
2025 815 3,880
2026 807 3,893
2027 798 3,906
2028 793 3,924
2029 784 3,930
2030 777 3,941
2031 770 3,951
2032 765 3,967
2033 756 3,971
2034 750 3,982
2035 744 3,994
2036 741 4,012
2037 733 4,017
Year California Idaho
2016 872 3,770
2017 864 3,738
2018 856 3,741
2019 846 3,744
2020 839 3,743
2021 829 3,741
2022 821 3,746
2023 810 3,752
2024 800 3,763
2025 784 3,762
2026 771 3,766
2027 759 3,770
2028 748 3,780
2029 735 3,778
2030 725 3,783
2031 715 3,787
2032 707 3,797
2033 698 3,798
2034 689 3,802
2035 689 3,802
2036 679 3,807
2037 672 3,818
Loads are net of DSM
Rocky Mountain Power
Load Forecast Update
Annual GWh
Load Forecast -July 2016
Oregon Utah Washington
14,460 25,800 4,353
14,286 25,486 4,369
14,243 25,420 4,359
14,238 25,547 4,346
14,143 25,628 4,333
14,060 25,627 4,314
14,035 25,730 4,300
14,023 25,843 4,286
14,057 26,014 4,287
14,020 26,071 4,280
13,837 26,193 4,278
13,819 26,326 4,276
13,847 26,556 4,281
13,815 26,651 4,272
13,796 26,819 4,271
13,784 27,009 4,272
13,806 27,292 4,281
13,766 27,420 4,274
13,764 27,641 4,275
13,769 27,886 4,274
13,828 28,232 4,286
13,821 28,425 4,284
Load Forecast -May 2015
Oregon Utah Washington
14,610 26,430 4,554
14,640 26,561 4,538
14,748 26,782 4,530
14,773 27,134 4,518
14,741 27,374 4,510
14,685 27,486 4,482
14,691 27,679 4,465
14,720 27,873 4,446
14,798 28,134 4,441
14,798 28,233 4,415
14,833 28,369 4,405
14,869 28,501 4,395
14,943 28,723 4,400
14,948 28,815 4,381
14,992 28,982 4,377
15,046 29,169 4,373
15,125 29,454 4,384
15,129 29,592 4,372
15,184 29,813 4,373
15,184 29,813 4,373
15,241 30,037 4,375
15,341 30,346 4,388
Wyoming FERC
9,775 26
9,920 166
9,921 306
9,973 306
10,068 306
10,058 305
10,115 305
10,229 305
10,237 306
10,291 305
10,425 304
10,453 165
10,549 24
10,694 24
10,729 24
10,823 24
10,982 23
11,025 23
11,136 23
11,304 23
11,366 23
11,478 23
Wyoming FERC
10,242 46
10,343 196
10,444 341
10,542 341
10,539 341
10,508 340
10,482 340
10,445 340
10,464 340
10,406 339
10,338 339
10,304 339
10,288 340
10,206 338
10,180 338
10,124 338
10,070 339
9,987 338
9,912 338
9,912 338
9,825 337
9,794 338
Appendix A
Page 1 of 3
Total
59,096
58,896
58,920
59,080
59,150
59,031
59,158
59,367
59,597
59,661
59,737
59,743
59,974
60,169
60,356
60,632
61,117
61,235
61,570
61,994
62,489
62,780
Total
60,524
60,879
61,441
61,897
62,088
62,070
62,224
62,386
62,739
62,736
62,822
62,937
63,222
63,202
63,377
63,551
63,876
63,914
64,110
64,110
64,302
64,697
Appendix A
Page 2 of 3
Rocky Mountain Power
Natural Gas Price Update
$/MMBtu
Offical Forward Price Curve -(161012) -10/12/2016
Opal Gas Henry Hub Stanfield San Juan SOCALBOR
Year Index Index Sumas Index Index Index AECO Index Index
2016(a) $3.20 $3.36 $3.24 $3.17 $3.31 $2.41 $3.42
2017 $3.11 $2.92 $3.14 $3.12 $3.32 $2.37 $3.32
2018 $2.84 $2.64 $2.85 $2.86 $3.04 $2.22 $3.02
2019 $2.71 $2.53 $2.70 $2.77 $2.91 $2.12 $2.92
2020 $2.75 $2.62 $2.77 $2.82 $2.92 $2.14 $2.96
2021 $2.90 $2.87 $2.88 $2.99 $3.03 $2.24 $3.14
2022 $3.09 $2.96 $3.06 $3.17 $3.21 $2.44 $3.35
2023 $3.57 $3.41 $3.54 $3.62 $3.71 $2.98 $3.84
2024 $4.04 $3.88 $4.03 $4.07 $4.20 $3.50 $4.32
2025 $4.20 $4.02 $4.20 $4.25 $4.38 $3.70 $4.50
2026 $4.29 $4.08 $4.29 $4.36 $4.49 $3.77 $4.62
2027 $4.52 $4.37 $4.55 $4.60 $4.72 $4.09 $4.85
2028 $4.64 $4.58 $4.65 $4.73 $4.84 $4.31 $4.94
2029 $4.78 $4.73 $4.78 $4.85 $4.95 $4.40 $5.08
2030 $5.06 $5.04 $5.07 $5.08 $5.21 $4.75 $5.33
2031 $5.20 $5.17 $5.21 $5.20 $5.34 $4.87 $5.47
2032 $5.35 $5.32 $5.35 $5.32 $5.46 $5.09 $5.63
2033 $5.53 $5.50 $5.54 $5.44 $5.59 $5.22 $5.78
2034 $5.68 $5.68 $5.69 $5.57 $5.72 $5.25 $5.93
2035 $5.83 $5.86 $5.83 $5.72 $5.85 $5.41 $6.06
Offical Forward Price Curve (1509) -09/30/2015 I Opal Gas Henry Hub Stanfield San Juan SOCALBOR
Year Index Index Sumas Index Index Index AECO Index Index
2016(a) $2.81 $2.97 $2.89 $2.79 $2.97 $2.32 $3.00
2017 $2.81 $2.55 $2.85 $2.81 $2.99 $2.30 $2.99
2018 $2.90 $2.73 $2.94 $2.93 $3.05 $2.38 $3.16
2019 $3.04 $2.90 $3.06 $3.02 $3.11 $2.51 $3.33
2020 $3.18 $2.99 $3.23 $3.16 $3.21 $2.67 $3.53
2021 $3.37 $3.15 $3.38 $3.32 $3.39 $2.92 $3.71
2022 $3.66 $3.46 $3.63 $3.68 $3.75 $3.06 $3.97
2023 $3.92 $3.78 $3.87 $4.00 $4.07 $3.23 $4.20
2024 $4.06 $3.90 $3.99 $4.13 $4.23 $3.52 $4.34
2025 $4.32 $4.15 $4.24 $4.41 $4.51 $3.80 $4.63
2026 $4.36 $4.15 $4.27 $4.44 $4.56 $3.80 $4.69
2027 $4.56 $4.41 $4.49 $4.65 $4.77 $4.02 $4.89
2028 $4.94 $4.88 $4.87 $5.01 $5.14 $4.55 $5.25
2029 $5.14 $5.09 $5.08 $5.19 $5.32 $4.76 $5.44
2030 $5.38 $5.36 $5.33 $5.41 $5.53 $5.00 $5.65
2031 $5.81 $5.78 $5.76 $5.84 $5.94 $5.47 $6.08
2032 $5.90 $5.87 $5.86 $5.94 $6.02 $5.57 $6.18
2033 $6.04 $6.01 $6.02 $6.05 $6.10 $5.67 $6.29
2034 $6.27 $6.28 $6.32 $6.31 $6.32 $5.84 $6.53
2035 $6.41 $6.45 $6.47 $6.42 $6.44 $5.98 $6.65
(a) 2016 Forecast gas prices are for November and December only
No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Rocky Mountain Power
Long-Term Contracts
Long Term Contracts signed since the October 15, 2015 Filing
Contract Nameplate (MW) Start Date
Monsanto (Retail Special Contract) 2016 0101
Nucor Corporation (Retail Special Contract) 2016 0101
Chevron Casper Wind QF 16.50 2016 07 01
Chiloquin Solar 9.90 201612 16
Lower Valley Energy QF 1.70 201610 01
Loyd Fery QF 0.07 2016 07 01
Orchard Windfarm 1, LLC QF 10.00 2019 07 01
Orchard Windfarm 2, LLC QF 10.00 2019 07 01
Orchard Windfarm 3, LLC QF 10.00 2019 07 01
Orchard Windfarm 4, LLC QF 10.00 2019 07 01
Pavant Solar Ill LLC 20.00 2016 12 31
Roush Hydro QF 0.08 2016 07 01
Surprise Valley Electrification Corp QF 3.70 2016 09 01
Sweetwater Solar LLC QF 80.00 20181101
Thayn Hydro LL( QF 0.58 2016 0101
Tooele Army Depot QF 3.20 2016 09 01
Tumbleweed Solar QF 9.90 20161216
Total Signed MW 185.62
Long Term Contracts Terminated since the October 15, 2015 Filing
Contract Nameplate (MW) Terminated
AG Hydro 10.00 2016 0120
CBG Portland, LLC QF 3.00 (1)
CES Sigurd Solar 80.00 (1)
James & Sharon Jans (Odell Creek) QF 0.23 2016 05 23
Manderfield, LLC QF 2.10 201512 01
Norwest Energy 5, LLC (Arlington) QF 2.99 (1)
Norwest Energy 12, LLC (Falvey) QF 2.99 (1)
OM Power 1, LLC QF 10.00 2016 0120
OR Solar 1, LLC (Sprague River Project) QF 10.00 (1)
OR Solar 4, LLC (Bly Project) QF 10.00 (1)
Warm Springs Hydro, LLC QF 2.70 (1)
Total Terminated MW 134.0
(1) Contract being terminated at the request of the developer
Appendix A
Page 3 of 3
Long Term Contracts On-line by July System Peak
Year Nameplate (MW)
2016
2017
2018
2019
17.2
65.6
65.6
185.6
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that on this 14th day of October, 2016, I caused to be served, via E-mail, a
true and correct copy of Rocky Mountain Power's Annual Compliance Filing in Case No.
PAC-E-16-15 to the following:
Donovan E. Walker
Jason Williams
Idaho Power Company
PO Box 70
Boise, ID 83707-0070
E-mail: [e-mail]
[e-mail]
Yvonne Hogle
PacifiCorp dba Rocky Mountain Power
1407 W. North Temple, Suite 320
Salt Lake City, UT 84116
E-mail: [e-mail]
Karl Klein
Deputy Attorneys General
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
472 W. Washington
PO Box 83720
Boise, ID 83720-0074
E-mail: [e-mail]
Robert D. Kahn
Northwest and Intermountain Power
Producers Coalition
1117 Minor Ave., Suite 300
Seattle, WA 9810 I
E-mail: [e-mail]
Robert A. Paul
Grand View Solar II
15690 Vista Circle
Desert Hot Springs, CA 92241
E-mail: [e-mail]
Ronald L. Williams
Williams Bradbury, P.C.
1015 W. Hays St.
Boise ID, 83702
E-mail: [e-mail]
Michael G. Andrea
A vista Corporation
1411 E. Mission Ave.
Spokane, WA 99202
E-mail: [e-mail]
Dr. Don Reading
Exergy Development Group of Idaho LLC
6070 Hill Road
Boise, ID 83702
E-mail: [e-mail]
Peter J. Richardson
Gregory M. Adams
Richardson Adams, PLLC
515 N. 27th Street
PO Box 7218
Boise, ID 83702
E-mail: [e-mail]
[e-mail]
Don Sturtevant
Energy Director
J.R. Simplot Company
PO Box 27
Boise, ID 83707-0027
E-mail: [e-mail]
James Carkulis
Managing Member
Exergy Development Group of Idaho, LLC
802 W. Bannock St., Suite 1200
Boise, ID 83702
E-mail: [e-mail]
C. Thomas Arkoosh
Capitol Law Group PLLC
205 N. 10th St. 4th Floor
PO Box 2598
Boise, ID 83701
E-mail: [e-mail]
John R. Lowe
Consultant to Renewable Energy Coalition
12050 SW Tremont St.
Portland, OR 97225
E-mail: [e-mail]
Bill Piske, Manager
Interconnect Solar Development, LLC
1303 E. Carter
Boise, ID 83706
E-mail: [e-mail]
Shelly M. Davis
Barker Rosholt & Simpson LLP
1010 W. Jefferson St (83702)
PO Box 2139
Boise, ID 83701
E-mail: [e-mail]
Michael J. Uda
Uda Law Firm, P.C
7 W. 61h Avenue, Suite 4E
Helena, MT 59601
E-mail: [e-mail]
Benjamin J. Otto
Idaho Conservation League
710 N. Sixth Street (83702)
PO Box 844
Boise, ID 83701
E-mail: [e-mail]
Don Schoenbeck
RCS
900 Washington St. Suite 780
Vancouver, WA 98660
E-mail: [e-mail]
Ted Diehl
General Manager
North Side Canal Company
921 N. Lincoln St.
Jerome, ID 83338
E-mail: [e-mail]
Ted S. Sorenson, P.E.
Birch Power Company
5203 South 11th East
Idaho Falls, ID 83404
E-mail: [e-mail]
R. Greg Ferney
Mimura Law Offices, PLLC
2176 E. Franklin Rd., Suite 120
Meridian, ID 83642
E-mail: [e-mail]
Dean J. Miller
McDevitt & Miller, LLP
PO Box2564
Boise, ID 83701
E-mail: [e-mail]
J. Kahle Becker
The Alaska Center
1020 W. Main Street, Suite 400
Boise, ID 83702
E-mail: [e-mail]
Wade Thomas
General Counsel
Dynamis Energy, LLC
776 W. Riverside Dr., Suite 15
Eagle, ID 83616
E-mail: [e-mail]
Brian Olmstead
Twin Falls Canal Company
PO Box 326
Twin Falls, ID 83303
E-mail: [e-mail]
Bill Brown, Chair
Board of Commissioners of Adams County, ID
PO Box48
Council, ID 83612
E-mail: [e-mail]
Glenn Ikemoto
Margaret Rueger
Idaho Windfarms, LLC
672 Blair Avenue
Piedmont, CA 94611
E-mail: [e-mail]
[e-mail]
Arron F. Jepson
Blue Ribbon Energy LLC
10660 South 540 East
Sandy, UT 84070
E-mail: [e-mail]
M.J. Humphries
Blue Ribbon Energy LLC
4515 S. Ammon Road
Ammon, ID 83406
E-mail: [e-mail]
Lori Thomas
Capitol Law Group
PO Box 2598
Boise, ID 83701-2598
E-mail: [e-mail]
Megan Walseth Decker
Senior Staff Counsel
Renewable Northwest Project
917 SW Oak Street, Suite 303
Portland, OR 97205
E-mail: [e-mail]
Liz Woodruff
Ken Miller
Snake River Alliance
PO Box 1731
Boise, ID 83701
E-mail:
[e-mail]
[e-mail]
Dean J. Miller
Chas. F. McDevitt
McDevitt & Miller LLP
420 West Bannock Street
Boise, ID 83702
E-mail: joe@mcdevitt-mi I !er.com
[e-mail]
Marv Lewallen
Clearwater Paper Corporation
601 W. Riverside Ave., Suite 1100
Spokane, WA 99201
E-mail: [e-mail]
Tauna Christenson
Energy Integrity Project
769 N 1100 E
Shelley, ID 83274
Email: [e-mail]
Deborah E. Nelson
Kelsey J. Nunez
Givens Pursley LLP
601 W. Bannock Street (83702)
PO Box 2720
Boise, ID 83701-2720
E-mail: [e-mail]
[e-mail]
Coordinator, Administrative Services