20141014Application.pdf

ROCKY MOUNTAIN
FOWER
A DIVISION OF PACIFICORP
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ui tt-ti'irs coi,i r.il lision
201 South Main, Suite 2300
Salt Lake City, Utah 84111
October 14,2014
VA OVERNIGHT DELIWRY
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
472West Washington
Boise,ID 83702-5983
Attention: Jean D. Jewell
Commission Secretary
Re: CASE NO. PAC-E-14-09:
IN THE MATTER OF ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER'S APPLICATION FOR
APPROVAL OF INPUT UPDATES TO THE INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN
(rRP) METHODOLOGY.
Dear Ms. Jewell;
Please find enclosed for filing an original and (7) seven copies of Rocky Mountain Power's
annual compliance filing to update the model inputs for the IRP method avoided cost calculation.
Pursuant to Commission Order 32697 utilities must provide annual updates for fuel prices, load
forecasts, and changes to long term contracts for purchases or sales and any new or expiring QF
contracts.
Any informal inquiries should be directed to Ted Weston at [phone].
Sincerely,
kZ* ,/'"'
Vice President, Regulation and Government Affairs
Daniel E. Solander (ISB# 8930)
201 South Main Street, Suite 2300
Salt Lake City, Utah 84111
Telephone No. [phone]
Facsimile No. [phone]
daniel. so lander@pacificorp. com
Attorneyfor Roclry Mountain Power
BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION
IN THE MATTER OF ROCKY
MOUNTAIN POWER'S
APPLICATION FOR APPROVAL OF
INPUT UPDATES TO THE
INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN
(rRP) METHODOLOGY
CASE NO. PAC.E.14.O9
APPLICATION
Rocky Mountain Power ("Company") hereby respectfully submits to the Idaho Public
Utilities Commission (the "Commission") this filing, in compliance to Order Nos. 32697 and
32802, to update the load forecast, natural gas forecast, and contract information components of
the incremental cost Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP") avoided cost methodology. The Company
is providing its updated load forecast, gas price forecast, and list of new PURPA contracts.
In support of its Application, Rocky Mountain Power states as follows:
1. Rocky Mountain Power is authorized to do and is doing business in the state of
Idaho. The Company provides retail electric service to approximately 74,300 customers in the
state and is subject to the jurisdiction of the Commission. Rocky Mountain Power is a public
utility in the state of Idaho pursuant to Idaho Code $ 6I-129.
2. Communications regarding this Application should be addressed to:
Ted Weston
Daniel E. Solander
201 South Main, Suite 2300
Salt Lake City, Utah 841 1l
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
Case No. PAC-E-14-09
Page2
Telephone : [phone]
Fax: [phone]
Email: [e-mail]
daniel. solander@f acificorp. com
In addition, the Company respectfully requests that all data requests regarding this matter
be addressed to one or more of the following:
By e-mail (preferred)
By regular mail
datarequest@pacifi com. com
Data Request Response Center
PacifiCorp
825 NE Multnomah, Suite 2000
Portland, OR 97232
I. BACKGROUND
3. In its final Order No. 32697r, the Commission determined that the inputs to the
IRP avoided cost methodology, utilized for all proposed Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of
1978 ("PURPA") qualiffing facility ("QF") projects that exceed the published rate eligibility
cap, will be updated every two years upon acknowledgement of the utility's IRP filing, with the
exception of the load forecast, natural gas forecast, and QF contract changes - which are to be
updated annually. The date for the annual update was changed2 from June I to October 15 each
year.
II. LOADFORECAST
4. The Company's long term load forecast to be used for the update to the IRP
avoided cost methodology was prepared in September 2014. The load forecast currently used for
the IRP methodology avoided cost calculation was prepared in June 2013. Table 1 summarizes
the load forecast prepared in September 2014, by jurisdiction. The June 2013 forecast is also
provided for reference only.
' Order No. 32697 page 22.
2 Order No. 32802 page 3.
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
Case No. PAC-E-14-09
Page 3
TABTE 1
Load Forecast - AnnualGWh
Load Forecast - Seotember 2014
Year California ldaho Oreson Utah Washington WYoming FERC Total
20L4
2015
2016
20t7
2018
2019
nn
202t
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
n27
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
890
887
889
885
88s
8&r
882
875
873
87t
873
869
868
ffil
870
869
870
870
875
874
877
3,755
3,740
3,753
3,76L
3,n5
3,792
3,807
3,816
3,830
3,U7
3,871
3,882
3,897
3,911
3,930
3,939
3,955
3,969
3,993
4ms
4,025
t4,624
t4,702
t4,6%
L4,7n
L4,7L3
14,757
L4,79t
14,763
14803
14,W
14,954
L4,%2
14968
L4,WL
15,041
15,014
15,031
15,053
15,109
t5,@7
15,139
25,s31
25,908
26,426
26,673
26,890
27,783
27,453
27,638
27,W
28,22L
28,6L4
28,n2
29,275
29 659
30,130
30 451
30,890
31,323
31,845
32,2L9
32,678
4,476
4,477
4,fi2
4,496
4,502
4s05
4s10
4488
4483
4,487
4s06
4s01
4s08
4s18
4,W
4,$9
4,567
4s81
4611
4,617
4636
70,4L7
10,527
10,767
L0,u2
L0,w
10,954
11,045
10,998
11,043
71,022
[t,t1L
11,055
11,1(B
11,0E1
11,180
11,136
LL,L94
LL,t74
11,255
tt,26
11,262
23t' s9,98
L34' ffi,374
49' 61,079
lw' 01,557
u5' 62,055
345' 62,42l
w' 62,u5
346' 62,923
346' 01283
347' 63,660
w' u,257
348
t
6,4,501
348' u,g72
348' 6138s
350' 66,048
:gg' ffi,3L7
350' 66,857
350 ' 67,321
352' 58,039
351' 6&369
352' 63,96g
Load Forccast - June O13
Year califomia ldaho Oreson Utah Washinston Wvomint FERC Total
2013
2014
2015
2016
n77
2018
2019
nn
202L
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
202t
n28
n?s
2030
2031
3,70L
3,76
3,7L2
3,733
3,744
3,757
3,n2
3,79L
3,800
3,815
3,836
3,853
3,878
3,895
3,912
3,936
3,950
3,970
3,990
14566
L4,W
L4,763
L4,765
14830
t4,w
14881
14961
149ss
15,007
15,080
15,169
15 155
15 183
11208
L5,274
L5,26L
15,2%
L5,327
24,579
24,711
25,531
26,4%
26,798
27,TL8
n,5L3
28,52L
28,892
n369
29,956
30,588
31,067
3r"610
32,t67
32,818
33,318
33,917
u,s28
4,435
4,4L5
4,4L1
4,425
4,4t4
4,422
4,431
44s0
4,M
4,453
4,470
4,fiz
4,5LL
4s31
4,552
4,592
4,@7
4,636
4,ffir
10,175
10,319
10 489
10,670
L0,772
10,888
tL,fi7
11,150
tl,2L7
11,313
tL,4L8
11,554
Ll,62l
LL,7L8
11,818
LL,%T
L2,U3
t2,L62
L2,272
897
882
879
880
875
874
873
873
869
868
858
870
868
855
865
868
868
870
877
228 s&s80
230' 58,904
13g ' 5g,g23
48' 61,006
163 ' 61,597
2ffi' 6z,l7s
268' 62,745
270' 64,015
269' u,w
270
7
65,095
270' 61899
272' 65,g13
27L' 67,371
272' 6g,076
273' 68,796
274
|
69,724
274' 70,32L
274' 71,L26
275' lt,g?3
Loads are net of DSM
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
Case No. PAC-E-14-09
Page 4
III. NATURAL GAS FORECAST
5. The Company's most recent Official Forward Price Curve was prepared
September 30,2014 ("1409 OFPC'). The official forward price curve forecast currently being
used in the IRP method avoided cost calculation was prepared September 30, 2013 ("1309
OFPC"). Table 2 summarizes the September 30,2014 official forward price curve for natural
gas prices annually by market hub. The September 30,2013 official forward price curve is also
provided for reference only.
Intentionally Left Blank
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
Case No. PAC-E-14-09
Page 5
TABLE 2
Natural Gas Price Update - S/fun4Btu
offical Fonrad Price Curve ll4i0/!,l-o9,lnl2illl{
Opal Gas Henry Hub Stanfield San Juan SOCALBOR
lndex Sumas lndex lndex lndex AECO lndex lndexYear lndexnL4 S+.SZE2015 sr.gzg20t6 s3.873
20L7 s+.OOS
2018 s+.rgs20L9 sA.Sag2020 s4,s7snzL ss.063n22 5S.SO12023 sS.OgZn24 sS.gOrn2s s6.o+sn26 s6.246n27 s6.486
2028 56.7322029 $7.0132030 s7.2v2031 fi,nZn32 it.vq
2033 57.725
$a.s+a
S+.mr
5q.on
*,ztt
S+.srg
s4.419
$+.ozo
Ss.rzr
Ss.ozs
Ss.gzz
Sa.uz
So.zrs
S6.412
$o.oss
So.sgr
57.L7s
Sz.+sg
$z.em
fi.tqs
s7.900
s4.s90
59.944
5s.gaa
s4.1s9
54.279
5q:n
s+.s0+
Ss.roa
Ss.sa+
Ss.764
Ss.sso
s6.080
5a,nz
So.agg
So.zrg
S6.e86
57,2s2
s7.390
Sz.ssr
s7.681
sa.sgs
Ss. rzz
Ss.sso
Ss.788
Ss.ggg
So.r+s
So.Eso
So.sgo
So.szs
5t.tzt
s7.404
57.w
Sz.oae
S7.841
S+.srz
53.906
Ss.gez
S+,ros
S+.zos
S+.gog
s+.sos
$s.ora
Ss.sor
Ss.zoc
Ss.gor
S6.oss
5a.zqa
so.+gs
Se.zgz
$t.ozt
s7.307
57.M6
Sz.se8
57,7N
$q.an
Ss.raa
Ss.368
Ss.ssa
Ss.zoo
ss.8s0
Sa.nz
So.s48
So.ozz
So.sgs
S7.026
s7.1s9
s7.303
Sqtat
5t.ttg
5t.zst
S+.nm
Sa.ss+
S+.zoo
Sa.goz
ss.436
$s.mo
So.ozo
s6.280
S6.443
So.os+
So.grs
s7.169
57.472
fi.ns
5t.szt
Ss.oza
Ss.23s
sa.sge
53.s84
Ss.+sg
Ss.sas
Sg.ogs
Sg.arr
S+.rra
Sa.ors
53.e7s
5s.gaz
S+.oso
$q.zqz
S+.s60
Opal Gas Henry Hub
lndex lndex
Stanfield
Sumas lndex lndex
San Juan
lndex AECO lndex
SOCALBOR
lndex
n14
2015
2016
n77
2018
2079
20.20
202L
2022
n23
n24
2025
n26
2027
2028
2029
2030
203L
2032
2033
S3.704
Sg.azz
Ss.agz
S+.ogs
Sa.zs+
S,a.sg+
Ss.oor
Ss.zs4
Ss.sqz
Se.rza
S6.323
S6.390
56.372
$o.qa4
So.ssz
So.szs
Sz.osg
5t.zzz
Sz.am
s3.8s9
5a.oso
sa.r6s
Sa.sor
5q.ut
StJqa
$s.z+a
Ss.ezs
Ss.s6o
So.arr
s6.s63
So.ooz
$o.sa4
So.ozz
$o.zos
s7.tL4
57.304
St.nq
s7.s83
53.8ss
S3.967
Sa.orz
5a.r+e
S+.zgs
S+.ssg
Sa,gas
Ss.zso
Ss,sog
So.oar
So,so6
s5.378
56.379
56,4e2
56.ss9
56.s94
57.tzl
5t,zsz
St.tgt
S:.zar
s3.886
Ss.94r
5a.oe4
5a.zaz
5+.sa0
S+.sag
Ss,zzo
Ss.sss
Ss.us
So.srs
5s.sss
So.rza
So.so+
$o.soz
Sz.oos
57.Lzs
57.2s9
Sz.ao+
57.ss2
s3.718
53.872
53.97s
S+.tzs
Sq.ztt
9.soz
Sa.gzs
Ss.zzs
Ss.soz
So.oor
So.zzs
5o.zgr
5o.zos
56.386
So.+go
So.atz
So.gas
$7.109
57.2sL
s7.396
ss.+20 5s.94r
sg,+gs s+.rss
ss.+gz s4.246
sa.szs }q.qt
$s.240 5a.0oa
sa.ogz 9.gro
S+.oso $s.zqs
ss.og4 ss.+sgss.zta 5s.687
ss.asz s6.zss
So.orz So.aea
ss.ozs s0,sz0
s6.oas 5o.sr0
s6.142 s6.637s6.rsz s0,zoz
s6,ss3 s7.133
so.zoE 57.26r
so.em s7.3e8
s0.gs0 $z.s+6
s7.07s s7.697
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
CaseNo. PAC-E-14-09
Page 6
Iv. CONTRACT ADDITIONS AND TERMINATIONS
6. Since the previous IRP method update compliance filing made in October 2013,
the Company has signed 43 long-term contracts with qualifuing facilities for a total nameplate
capacity of 893.2 megawatts. Two long-term contracts with a combined nameplate capacity of
159.8 megawatts were terminated. A list of signed and terminated contracts is provided in
Table 3.
Intentionally Left Blank
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
Case No. PAC-E-14-09
Page 7
TABTE 3
'erm Contracts
Peak
YeaI
2074
2015
2016
2077
202,7
560.7
747.7
893.2
Term
Contracts signed since the October 2013 Update
No.Contract
Nameplate
lMWl Start Date
1
Z
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
t2
13
t4
15
16
L7
18
19
20
2!
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
Adams Solar Center
Bear Creek Solar Center
Beatty Solar
Black Cap ll
Bly Sol ar Center
Chopin Wind
El be Solar Center
Enterprise Solar I
Escalante Solar I
Escalante Solar ll
Escalante Solar lll
ExxonMobi I
Fiddler's Canyon 3 Solar
Foote Creek ll Wind
Foote Creek lll Wind
George DeRuyter & Sons Dairy
Granite Peak Solar
lvory PineSolar
Kennecott Refinery
Kennecoft Smelter
lrho #1 Solar
Lower Valley Energy
Loyd Fery
Mariah Wind
Milford 2 Solar
Milford Flat Solar
Orem Famlly Wind
Paul Luckey
Pavant Solar
Pioneer Wind
Quichapa 1 Solar
Quichapa 2 Solar
Quichapa 3 Solar
Roseburg Forest Product Dillard
Roush Hydro
Sprague River Solar
St. Anthony Hydro
Stahlbush lsland Farms, lnc.
TATA Chemicals
Three Sister Hydro
Ihreemi le Canyon
Utah Red Hills Solar
Warm Springs Hydro
10.0
10.0
5.0
8.0
8.5
10.0
10.0
80.0
80.0
80.0
80.0
107.4
3.0
1.8
24,8
7.2
3.0
10.0
6.2
31.8
3,0
1.8
0.1
10.0
3.0
3.0
10.0
0.1
50.0
80.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
20.0
0.1
7.0
0.7
1.6
30.0
0.7
9.9
80.0
2.7
2015 10 31
2016 10 31
2016 L20L
2016 t20L
2015 10 31
2016 05 30
2016 10 31
2014 10 02
2014 1002
2014 1002
2014 1002
2012 01 01
2015 10 15
z0t4 06 77
2014 08 01
2014 01 01
2015 07 3L
20L6 t20L
2014 01 01
2014 01 01
2015 07 31
2014 09 02
2014 07 0r
2015 09 01
2015 10 15
2015 07 31
2015 09 01
2014 01 01
2015 12 31
2016 06 30
2016 05 30
2016 06 30
2016 07 30
2014 01 01
2014 07 07
2076 1207
2013 11 30
2014 10 01
2014 01 01
2014 0218
2015 01 01
20767237
2014 05 05
Total Sisned Mw 893.2
Lonp Term Contracts Terminated since the October 2013 Uodate
No.Contract
l{*neplate
lMWl Terminated
I
2
Long Ridge Wind I
Long Ridge Wind ll
79.9
79.9
2014 03 31
2014 03 3l
Total Terminated MW 159.8
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
Case No. PAC-E-14-09
Page 8
7. Rocky Mountain Power submits these updated load forecast, natural gas forecast,
and contract information provided in the Tables l, 2, and 3 in compliance with Commission
Order Nos. 32697 and 32802, and hereby respectfully requests an October 15, 2014 effective
date for the updates.
WHEREFORE, Rocky Mountain Power respectfully requests that the Commission
approve these filed updates to the IRP methodology and that this Application be processed
pursuant to Modified Procedure.
DATED this 14ft day of October, 2014.
ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER
T/rl 1fih
Daniel E. Solander
201 South Main Street, Suite 2300
Salt Lake City, Utah 841l l
Telephone No. [phone]
Facsimile No. [phone]
daniel. solander@nacifi com. com