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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20101116Shu Reb, Exhibits.pdfR".C-"'...~.......~~ 2UID NOV 16 AM 10: 18 UTld¥fMà°ri~U:~~I~;CL\.Jtt'j t\'il SS/()fJ BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE ) APPLICATION OF ROCKY ) MOUNTAIN POWER FOR ) APPROVAL OF CHANGES TO ITS ) ELECTRIC SERVICE SCHEDULES ) AND A PRICE INCREASE OF $27.7 ) MILLION, OR APPROXIMATELY )13.7 PERCENT ) CASE NO. PAC.E.I0.07 Rebuttal Testimony of Hui Shu ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER CASE NO. PAC.E.I0.07 November 2010 1 Q. 2 3 A. 4 5 Q. 6 7 A. 8 Q. 9 A. 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Please state your name, business address and present position with PacitiCorp dba Rocky Mountain Power (the "Company"). My name is Hui Shu, my business address is 825 NE Multnomah, Suite 600, Portland, Oregon 97232. My present position is Manager of Net Power Costs. Are you the same Hui Shu that submitted direct testimony in this proceeding? Yes. What is the purpose of your rebuttal testimony? The purose of my rebuttal testimony is to respond to the adjustments proposed by intervening paries to the Company's fied net power costs~r"NPC") in the curent proceeding. These adjustments ar proposed by Mr. Bryan Lanspery of the Idaho Public Utilities Commssion Staff ("Staff'), Mr. Randall J. Falenberg of the PacifiCorp Idaho Industral Customers ("PILC"), and Mr. Mark T. Widmer of Monsanto. In addition to my testimony, Company's witnesses Mr. Chad A. Teply addesses the adjustments proposed by Mr. Falenberg and Mr. Widmer regarding the Lake Side outage, Colstrp outage and Naughton outages, and Ms. Cindy A. Crane addresses adjustment proposed by Mr. Falenberg regarding the 18 Jim Bridger fuel quality. 19 Recommendation for Company's Net Power Costs 20 Q. 21 A. Has the Company made changes to its originaly tied NPC? Yes. The Company's system NPC has decreased from $1.07 bilon in the 22 original filg to $1.063 bilon. Shu, Di-Reb - 1 Rocky Mountan Power 1 Q. 2 A. 3 4 Q. 5 A. 6 7 8 Q. 9 10 A. 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 What are the reasons why the Company's NPC decreased? This decrease of $6.5 millon reflects corrections and the Company's acceptance of certain adjustments proposed by Staff, PILC and Monsanto. Please summarize the changes in NPC from your direct testimony_ Exhbit No. 71 summares the cost impact of the corrections and adopted adjustments that result in an NPC of approximately $1.063 billion on a total Company basis, which is $69.0 millon on an Idaho-allocated basis. Do you have a general comment regarding the level of NPC that the Company has calculated and the adjustments proposed by other partes? Yes. NPC and its components are volatile and inherently dificult to forecast. Actual operation lacks the same certainty and perfect foresight as the optimzation model used to forecast NPC in regards to the varables.and constraints, such as hourly load and market prices, availabilty of generation and transmission facilities, and weather conditions that impact the amount of hydro and wind generation. As a result, the actual operation/dispatch of the Company's resources may not necessarly achieve what the optimiation model projects. That is, the model optized Npc tends to understate the actual Npc that would be incured for the same period. The Company's net power costs have increase significantly in recent year. With known changes in the Company's resource portolio in the rate effective period, the normaled NP in a historical test period fuer understates the costs that the Company prudently incurs to serve its customers. In the last general rate case, Case No. PAC-E-08-07, the Company agred to Npc of $982 milion, given the design of the test period. However, the actual Npc Shu, Di-Reb - 2 Rocky Mounta Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Q. 14 15 16 A. 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 durng 2008, which was the test period in that case, was $1.121 bilion, and the actual NPC during 2009 when the rates were in effect was $1.022 billon. In the curent case, the Company proposed NPC of $1,070 millon that would be in effect during 2011. The Company's recent filing in Oregon Docket No. UE 216 has shown that the projected NP in 2011 would be approximately $1,289 milion. The preliminar results indicate that the Company's actual NPC though September are at approximately $859 millon, or $1.129 bilion for the 12-month period ended September 2010. Given the significant differences between what the Company proposed in this case and expected actual NPC in the rate effective period, it is unreasonable to mae furher adjustments to reduce the modeled NPC that wil be used to set base rates beginnng Januar 1,2011, especially when the adjustments are as significant as the ones proposed by Staff, PIIC and Monsanto. The Commision has authorized an Energy Cost Adjustment Mechanism ("ECAM") for the Company. Doesn't the implementation of ECAM resolve the under. recovery risks of NPC? No. As noted by Mr. Widmer the "review and determnation of the appropriate Npc is very importt because it represents one of the Company's single largest revenue requirement components and establishes the ECAM baselie."! The amount that the Company is authoried to recover under the ECAM is based on the diferences between actual NPC and the base NPC included in rates durng that period. Curently the Company's ECAM has a 90/10 sharng band. Because of the sharng band the Company is effectively limited to not recover all of the prudently incured NP in the rate effective period when actual NPC are 1 Dit testny of Mar T Widme page 10 lines 14-16. Shu, Di-Reb - 3 Rocky Mountan Power 1 projected to be higher than what the Company proposes in the current case. 2 Company Responses to Specific Adjustments - Overview 3 Q.How have you organized your responses to the parties' modeling adjustments 4 to NPC? 5 A.I have grouped the paries' proposed NPC modeling adjustments into thee 6 . categories. First, there are adjustments to which the Company has agreed in 7 whole. Second, there are adjustments to which the Company has agreed in par, 8 or in response to which the Company has proposed a different position. Third, 9 there are proposed modeling adjustments that the Company disputes as 10 inaccurate, unsubstantiated, or inconsistent with normalized ratemag. 11 Corrections and Adjustments Accepted in Whole 12 Q.Has the Company made any corrections since its initial filing? 13 A.Yes. After the initial fiing, the Company has identified and provided in response 14 to a Monsanto data discovery (Monsanto Data Request 2.33) thee corrections: 15 .Dunlap was modeled without reserve requirements; 16 .STF transmission from southeast Idaho to nortern Utah was not removed 17 after the inclusion of the Populus to Termal trsmission line addition; 18 and 19 .The UAMPS Use of Facilities wheeling expense should have been 20 excluded 21 Correctig these thr items increases the Company's system NPC by 22 approximtely $0.1 milion. Shu, Di-Reb - 4 Rocky Mountan Power 1 Q. 2 3 A. 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Has the Company accepted any adjustments proposed by Staff, PUC or Monsanto? Yes. The Company has accepted the following proposed adjustments: . Commtment Logic Screens (PILC Adjustment 1): As proposed by PIIC, the Company agrees to modi its daily screens consistent with the methodology set forth in the paries' stipulation in Oregon Docket UE 216. This change results in a decrease to system NPC of approximately $1.7 millon. As discussed later in my testimony, the Company does not agree that ths adjustment changes incremental O&M expenses included in the test year, as these expenses were not included in the test year. . Inter-hour Wind Integration Costs of Non-Owned Resources (corrted PIIC Adjustment 4, and portion of Staff wind integration costs adjustment and portion of Monsanto Adjustment 2): The Company agrees to remove inter-hour wind integration costs associated with the wind projects that are located in the Company's balancing areas but do not deliver generation to the Company's system. PIle's inter-hour wind integration adjustment needs to be corrected by removing the wind generation that the Company recives under contract with Seattle City and Light ("SCL"). This adjustment results in a decrease to system NPC of approximately $1.4 millon. . Colstrp Planned Outages (Monsanto Adjustment 8). The Company agrees to ths adjustment that moves the ting of planed outages of the two Colstrp units from fall to sprig. This reduces the system NPC by Shu, Di-Reb - 5 Rocky Mounta Power 1 approximately $0.2 millon. 2 .Modeling of Mona Market (Monsanto Adjustment 14). The Company 3 does not agree to the concept and logic of this adjustment. However, 4 given the complexity around modeling all maket caps in GRID, rather 5 than selectively makng adjustments to only one market for the selected 6 time periods, the Company accepts the amount of adjustment proposed by 7 Monsanto in the current case and wil review the overall modeling of 8 market caps in the futue. This reduces the system NPC by approximately 9 $0.4 millon. 10 Adjustments Accepted in Part 11 APS Supplemental Adjustment (Staff's APS Supplemental Adjustment, Monsanto 12 Adjustment 1) 13 Q.Please explain the issue raised by Staff and Monsanto with respect to the 14 APS Supplemental contract. 15 A.Staff and Monsanto state that the Company's modeling of the APS Supplementa 16 contract causes uneconomic dispatch of the contract, and the contrct should be 17 removed. The proposed adjustment would reduce system NPC by $1.9 millon. 18 Q.Doe the Company agree with the proposal? 19 A.No. Contrar to what Sta indicates as an inconsistency, the Company's 20 modeling consistently reflects the fact that the Company has historically 21 purchased energy from APS under the terms of the contract. It is not reasonable 22 to aritrary remove this contract simply based on modeling results. Shu, Di-Reb - 6 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Q. 2 A. 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q. 13 14 A. 15 16 Please describe the APS Supplemental contract. The Company executed the Supplemental contract in 1990 with the Arona Public Service Company ("APS") and has included it in NPC in Idao since that time. Under the contract, APS makes available to the Company two categories of supplemental fir energy, coal ("APS Coal") and other ("APS Other"). At present, per the terms of contract, APS is obligated to offer the Company 219,000 megawatt-hours of fir energy on an annual basis priced at its incrementa cost of coal generation, and 876,000 megawatt-hours of fir energy from other sources that are primary natual gas-fired resources. The two categories of fir energy cannot be offered at the same time. APS is obligate to offer the energy, but the Company only takes the energy when it is economical to do so. Has the Company modified the modelig of the APS Supplemental contract in the current rebutta filing? Yes. The new approach to modelig this contrct eliminates the increases to NPC when the contract is dispatched. The Company has aligned the tig and pricing of the deliveries with historic experience, rather than algning the volume of 17 deliveries with historic volumes, GRI now exercises the cal option on the 18 available energy when it is economical to do so. Ths change reduces the 19 Company's fied system NP by approximately $2.6 millon. 20 Non.fi Tramiion (Staff NF Transmision Adjustment, Monsanto Adjustment 3) 21 Q.Pleas explai Staffs and Monsto's positions on the modeling of non. firm 22 tramiion. 23 A.Staf and Monsanto recommend that the Company should include non-fir Shu, Di-Reb-7 Rocky Mountan Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 Q. 7 A. 8 9 10 11 12 13 Q. 14 15 A. 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 transmission in GRID. Staff and Monsanto modeled non-firm transmission using a four-year historical average to adjust the capacity of links in the GRI model topology and using a dollar per megawatt-hour energy charge to calculate expenses. Staf's and Monsanto's proposed adjustments would reduce system NPC by $2.5 millon and $2.4 millon, respectively. What is the Company's response to Staff's and Monsto's proposal? The Company agrees to model non-fir transmission in GRI. However, if non- fir transmission is included in the model, it should be included on the same basis as short-term fir transmission. There is no basis for using a different method for non-fir transmission than for short-term trnsmission. Both tyes of transmission should be modeled using a four-year average to adjust the capacity links in the GRID model topology and the most curent year of expenses. Please explain why non. firm transmission should be modeled the same as short. term firm transmision. In the process of reviewing how the Company has utilied non-fir trnsmission, it is clear that the Company purchases and uses short-term fir and non-fir transmission in the same way. The trsmission providers offer certain amount of transmission capacity as fir products, and the rest as non-fir. The only difference between the two products is that non-fi transmission wil be cut first for reliabilty of the trnsmission system. For both short-term fir transmission and non-fir transmission, the wheeling expenses are incur whether the transmission capacity purchased is fully utiized or not. As a result, the Company has modeled the non-firm transmission capabilty base on a four-year average of Shu, Di-Reb - 8 Rocky Mountan Power 1 2 3 Q. 4 A. the historical purchases of non-fir transmission, and the expenses estimated based on what was incured in the base period of the current filng. What is the impact on NPC of includig non.firm transmission in GRID? Including non-fir transmission using an approach that is consistent with the 5 modeling of short-term fir transmission decreases system NPC by 6 approximately $1.2 millon. 7 Top of the World Wind (Monsanto 6) 8 Q. 9 10 A. 11 12 13 14 Q. 15 A. 16 17 18 19 20 Please desribe the adjustment proposed by Monsanto for the power purchase contract with Top of the World Wind. Monsanto proposes to reflect the actual in-service date of the contract, which is one month earlier than what the Company has included in its original filng, but exclude the wind integration costs related to the wind generation. This adjustment would increase system NPC by $1.6 miion. Does the Company agree .with thi adjustment? Parialy. In addition to the impact of additional purchase expenses, the additional wind generation would lead to additional wind integration costs, which is a subject that I wil discuss later. Applying the same methodology as the Company applied for all other wind generation, the additional energy purchased from Top of the World Wind increases system NPC by approximate $1.9 milion, including additional wid integration costs. Shu, Di-Reb - 9 Rocky Mountain Power 1 Company Responses to Contested Adjustments 2 Wind Integration Costs (Staff Wind Integration Costs Adjustment, PUC 3 Adjustment 5, Monsanto Adjustment 2, 2a and 2b) 4 Q. 5 6 7 A. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Q. 22 23 A. What have Staff, PUC and Monsanto proposed with respect to the overall wind integration costs and the wind integration costs of the OATT customers? Staff s proposal is to remove the entire amount of wind integration costs from the Company's filing, which would reduce the Company's system NPC by approximately $34.2 millon. PIIC proposes to remove the intra-hour wind integration costs associated with integrating non-owned wind projects that are interconnected to the Company's transmission system, which would decrease the Company's system NPC by approximately $4.3 millon. Monsanto proposes varous versions of adjustments to the Company's wind integration costs, including the same proposal as the Staff to remove the $34.2 millon of the tota wind integration costs, a similar proposal to PIIC is to remove the wind integration costs of the non-owned wind projects that would reduce the Company's system NPC by approximately $6.4 miion, or to include the wind integration costs for the portion of the test period that incorporated the actual wholesale transactions and reduce the Company's system NPC by approximately $2.6 millon. Do you see any basis to the proposls made by Staff and Monsanto to exclude the entire wind integration costs? No. The proposals seem to be made based on thee general arguments. First, the Shu, Di-Reb - 10 Rocky Mountan Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 Q. 7 A. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 wind integration charge that the Company used is for setting avoided costs rates and not for setting retail rates. Second, the wind integration costs "are neither paid under contract or to any other utility." Third, the costs should be captued in the Company's ECAM. Their arguments to support their adjustments are contradictory and ilogicaL. Please explain. In Case No. PAC-E-09-07, after considerig the Company's proposed wind integration costs and paries' positions on such costs, the Commssion adopted a wind integration charge that was lower than what the Company proposed and authorized the Company to use $6.50 per megawatt-hour charge in determning its avoided costs for wind qualifying facilities in Idaho. Neither Staff nor Monsanto provides any evidence that would explain why this charge is appropriate to apply to wind qualifying facilities, but not appropriate to apply to Company-owned facilities or non-qualifying facilty purchased power agreements. It is also unclear whether Staff or Monsanto is suggesting that by applying this charge, the prices for wind qualifying facilties located in Idao ar understated and whether the reta customers should pay more for the two qualying facilty contracts that are listed in Mr. Lanspery's testiony. Whe implying that the Company's wind integration costs are not real ("neither paid under contract or to any other utilty"), Staf states that the Company's wind integration costs are captued in actual test period expenses and reflected in a number of accounts? In adtion, if the proposal of removing the wind integration costs from the Company's filing is 2 Stafs testimny on page 5, lines 20 thugh 22 suggest that the reference to 200 may nee to be 2010. Oterse, the discussion on a 200 test period would be irlevant in the curent proceeng. Shu, Di-Reb - 11 Rocky Mounta Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Q. 8 9 10 A. 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 based on the fact that the wind integration costs are of significant size, diffcult to calculate, and the Company may capture such costs in its ECAM filings, then the same argument may be made to the wholesale sales revenues: the Company's wholesale revenues are large, the actual amount of revenues in a year never matches the amount that has been projected, and as a result, the Company could use the ECAM filings to capture such revenues. Staff indicates that in the testimony requesting the ECAM, the Company stated that the ECAM was designed to capture the volatilty, including the wind variabilty. How do you respond? It is correct that the ECAM is designed to captue the volatility in NPC that occurs in relation to a properly set base NPC. However, the wind integration costs are not the same as the varation in NPC that the ECAM is designed to captue. Instead of addressing the varation between normlized and actual wind generation as the ECAM is designed for, wind integration costs are costs incured due to additional reserve requirments to integrate the intermttent generation from the wind projects into the Company's portfolio of resources. The addtional reserve requirements include regulatig services that deal with wind variabilty in ten-miute interval, and load following services that deal with wind varabilty over hourly time intervals. Both services should respond to the up and down varations inerent in wind facilties. That is, the additional reserve requirements to integrate wind generation into the Company's resource portfolio taes on the form of regulation up, regulation down, load followig up and load following down. Shu, Di-Reb - 12 Rocky Mountain Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q. 13 14 15 A. 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 In proposing to remove the wind integration costs, Staff never explained why such costs, which are reflected in a number of accounts, simply should not be par of the normlized studies, or at least not "explicitly". The Company could have modeled the wind integration costs "implicitly" by incorporating the additional reserve requirements in GRID, which would certainly lead to a value that is higher than $6.50 per megawatt-hour. The Company applied a simplified calculation using a Commssion-authorized value that is lower than what the Company believes it to be in an attempt to minimize the controversy. In addition, since the ECAM is designed to capture the differences between actual NPC and the base NP, the base NPC should reasonably account for all components, including the wind integration costs. Staff stated that the Commission has never expressly approved wind integrtion costs in any utilty's general rate case. Do you believe that thi is a precedent to follow? No. The fact that the Commssion has never expressly approved such costs does not mean that the costs do not exist or are not prudently incured. The Company's wind resoures have increased significantly in recent years. The subject of wind integration costs has received more and more attention in recent years. The Company is not the only utilty that has recognized the cost impact of integrating wind generation into its resource portolio. By allowing the wind integration costs charged by the Bonnevile Power Admstration ("BPA"), Staf and Monsanto agree that the Company prudently incured wind integration costs in serving its customers at approximately $5.89 per megawatt-hour. Shu, Di-Reb - 13 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Q. 2 3 4 5 6 A. 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Q. 18 19 20 A. 21 22 23 One of Monsanto's arguments for removing wind integration costs seems to be the fact that the Company is unable to calculate its actual wind integration costs, and without knowing the actual costs "it is very dificult to determine the reasonableness of Company's requested recovery." How do you respond? First of all, as Mr. Widmer is aware, the Company operates its resource portfolio to serve all its obligations, and does not differentiate what resources are used for serving which obligations. As such, the Company can only estimate the impact of wind integration costs. Second, if Mr. Widmer is looking for references to check if the Company's wind integration costs are within reasonableness, he only needs to look at the wind integration charge that BPA imposes, the wind integration study that the Company used in proposing wind integration costs for avoided costs, wind integration costs that he quoted in his testimony from the Company's last Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP"), and the wind integration costs of $6.63 per megawatt.,hour that were approved by the Public Service Commssion of Uta in the Company's last general rate case Docket No. 09~035-23. Why do PUC and Monsanto propose disllowing intra.hour wid integration chares assoiate with non.owned wind facilities in the Company's balncing areas? PIIC argues that the Company should not include the wind integration costs incurd by providing wid integration services to the non-owned wind projects beause the Company does not have a trsmission taf to recover the costs from those customers. The proposal would reduce system NPC by $4.3 mion. As a Shu, Di-Reb - 14 Rocky Mountan Power 1 2 3 Q. 4 A. 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q. 13 14 15 A. 16 17 18 19 20 21 Q. 22 23 A. secondar proposal, Monsanto also proposed the same adjustment, which would reduce system NPC by $6.4 millon. Are there any errors in the adjustments by PUC and Monsanto? Yes. The adjustments proposed by PIIC and Monsanto are both incorrectly calculated because, in addition to generation from the non-owned wind projects, their adjustments exclude the generation under the contract between the Company and SCL. Per the terms of the contract, the Company receives wind generation from the portion of the Stateline wind project owned by SCL and then retus fir and shaped energy to SCL. In addition, Monsanto's adjustment also includes an adjustment for inter-hour wind integration for the wind projects that are located in the Company's balancing areas that the Company has interconnected. Why doesn't the Company charge wind generators for wind integation costs that are located in the Company's balancing area but do not provide generation to the Company? The Company could not charge wholesale transmission customers for this type of service without FERC approval of a rate application proposing a new wind integration charge. The Company is required by federa law to interconnect with new facilities under the term of its Open Access Transmission Tarff ("OATT"). Once the Company interconnects a new facilty to its trnsmission system, it is responsible for integratig it into the system. Are there barrers to chang non.owned wind facilities for wind integration costs? Yes. Modfyig the Company's OA TT to impose wind integration charges on Shu, Di-Reb - 15 Rocky Mountan Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Q. 16 A. 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 only non-owned wind facilties would violate the federal statutory mandate that the Company treat all transmission customers, affilated and non-affiliated, on a not unduly discriminatory basis. In addition, there is little regulatory guidance from PERC in this area with respect to what FERC wil ultimately consider to be an adequate proposal for a wind integration charge. Although PERC conditionally accepted a proposal by We star to add a new Schedule 3A charge, whereby all varable generators located within Westar's balancing area pay a regulatory service fee for power exported outside of the balancing area, recently, FERC rejected Puget Sound Energy's proposed revision to its OAIT to add a new charge applicable to all wind generators for wind integration within-hour generation following service. In each case, wind industr advocates vigorously protested the proposed tarff revisions because, among other issues, the proposed charges' constituted significantly higher regulatory service fees to intermttent resources than for dispatch able resources. Does the Company plan to raise this issue in its next FERC rate cae? Yes. The Company plans to fie a rate case with PERC no later than June 1,2011, in which the Company wil include a proposed wind integration charge in its transmission tarrates pendig any PERC guidance on the issue. The Company completed a wind integration study in conjunction with its 2010 Integrated Resource Plan and is in the process of reviewing comments from paries regarding the study. It is hoped that the study can be use in the development of a wind integration charge proposed to be added to the OA IT, however, no determation has yet been made. The Company is closely trackig al developments at PERC Shu, Di-Reb - 16 Rocky Mountan Power 1 2 3 Q. 4 A. 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q. 13 14 A. 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 related to wind integration and is bound to follow any guidance FERC may issue in this regard. Are the costs associated with wind integrtion a prudent expense? Yes. As a balancing area authority, the Company must operate its balancing areas by matching system resources to actual load and generation fluctuations on a moment-to-moment basis though automatic generation control. Maintaining system balance is one of the key functions of a balancing area authority who is required to mantain system reliabilty, including maintaining system frequency. Load fluctuations, outages, and generation output fluctuations all contrbute to the need for balancing resources. The addition of renewable resources such as wind has the tendency to increase the need for balancing resources. What are the benefits to the Company's retail customers of providing such services to the non.owned generation? As a balancing area authority, the Company owns and operates an extensive transmission network that it is required to operate safely and reliably for all of its customers, keeping all resources and loads in balance on a moment-to-moment basis. By providing wind integration services in addition to other transmission related services as a balancing area authority, the Company ensures that its customers are served by a reliable system with diverse resources. Moreover, any transmission revenues received from non-owned generation, which pays wheelig to the Company, ar credted agaist retal rates and therefore have the effect of lowerig retal rates. Shu, Di-Reb - 17 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Q. 2 3 A. 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Q. 13 A. 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 What adjustment does Monsanto propose to the Company's inter.hour wind integration costs? If the Commssion does not agree with Monsanto's proposal to remove the entire wind integration costs from the Company's filng then Monsanto proposes a secondar adjustment. Monsanto claims that the inter-hour wind integration costs for balancing purposes have already been included in the Company's fiing though. the inclusion of actual short term fir transactions, and by calculating the inter-hour wind integration costs for the period from Januar 1 to May 4, 2010, the Company double counted the wind integration costs. The adjustment would reduce Company's system NPC by $2.6 millon for inter-hour wind integration costs from Januar to Apri. What is your response to the propos? I don't agree with the proposal. Monsanto's own arguments present contradictions. On one hand, Mr. Widmer claims that the inter-hour wind integration costs have been included for the first four months of the test period because the Company has included actual short term fir transactions though that period. Then on the other hand, Mr. Widmer also agrees that "(t)he Company has a varety of options for balancing," and these options include redispatch of all flexible resources, fir and non-fir wholesale contracts, generation and wid curlment. The Company has included actual short term fir transactions in its filing. However, those transactions are only a smal porton, if any, of the resources that the Company utilizes to integrte generation from wind facilties into its system. In its filing, the Company has included wind generation at the Shu, Di-Reb - 18 Rocky Mounta Power 1 2 3 4 5 Q. 6 A. 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Q. 19 20 21 A. 22 23 expected level that lacks the significant varabilty as in actual generation. As such, the generation from all other flexible resources is also at the level that does not reflect the impact of the significant varabilty in actual wind generation and the costs of integrating such generation into its system. Are there other problems with Monsanto's proposal? Yes. While not accepting the Company's wind integration costs at $6.50 per megawatt-hour, Mr. Widmer uses the Company's wind integration at $6.92 per megawatt-hour as a reasonable approximation to split the intra-hour and inter- hour wind integration costs. In addition, it is unclear what Mr. Widmer implies by stating that fuer adjustment could be made to what he has proposed in relation to varous other means. If the reference were to the flexible resoure indicated above, the Company's NPC in the proceeding has not considered the impact of significant fluctuation in wind generation on other resources because they are all modeled on a normized basis. If the reference were to the additional sales transactions that the Company could mae, Mr. Widmer would be double countig the presumed impact that he calculated based on short term fir transactions, which wo~ld have included both sales and purchases. What do you recommend the Commision do regarding various proposals to remove all or porton of the wind integration costs that the Company has included in the case? With the exception of inter-hour wind integration costs discussed earlier in my testiony that the Company agrees to remove, the Commssion should reject all other adjustments proposed by Staff, PUC and Monsanto. Shu, Di-Reb - 19 Rocky Mountan Power 1 Bear River Hydro Normalization (Staff Bear River Hydro Generation Adjustment, 2 Monsanto Adjustment 12) 3 Q. 4 A. 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q. 11 A. 12 13 14 15 16 Q. 17 18 A. 19 20 21 22 23 What was the issue on the Bear River normalization? The Company modeled the normalized generation from the Bear River system based on history, excluding the flood control years. Staf and Monsanto argued . that the Company should not have reduced hydro generation from the Bear River system based on long-term drought conditions on the Bear River, and recommend using the historical average generation from the Bear River system. The adjustments would reduce the Company's system NPC by $2.2 milion. Does the Company agree with Staff and Monsanto's argument? No. The water available for generation at the Bear River facilties is dependent on contractually specified irgation and flood control releases from Bear Lake. Flood control on the Bear River is an operational constrt and releases of water for flood control have not been avaiable to the Company since 2001. The usual manner of normalizing hydro requires adjustments for operating constraits. Pleas explain the contractual controls over dishages of water from Bear Lake. Those contractual controls include: (1) The 1958 Bear River Compact approved by the United States Congress which prohibits the release of water from Bear Lae solely for power generation below the irgation reserve level of elevation 5,914.61 feet; (2) the 2000 "Operations Agreement for PacifiCorp's Bear River System," which requirs that the Company operate Bear Lake primaly for irgation and flood control. This agrement was required by Idao, Wyomig, Shu, Di-Reb - 20 Rocky Mountan Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Q. 11 12 A. 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 and Utah as a condition for approving MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company's acquisition of PacifiCorp; and (3) recently, the Company began modeling the impact of the new operating constraints required by the 2003 license for FERC Project #20, including the Grace Plant on the Bear River system, which mandates increased bypass flows below Grace dam for ameliorating fisheries and aquatic issues and to provide recreation opportnities (e.g., white water boating). Water released into. the river channel below the dam bypasses the turbine and cannot be used for generation. This alone reduces total generation available from the Bear River by an estimated 19,000 megawatt-hours. Please provide background on how the Company modeled Bear River generation in the last case. The dams on the Bear River have thee potential sources of water for generation: natural inflow, water withdrawn from Bear Lake to supply downstream irgators, and water withdrawn from Bear Lake for flood control puroses. The Company's operating agreements for the Bear River system referred to above prohibit the Company from withdrawing water from Bear Lake for generation and flood control puroses unless the lake elevation exceeds a certin leveL. For the past 10 years, and for the foreseeable futue assumig median streamow into Bear Lake, ths operational constrait has and wil prevent the Company from operating the Bear River system with flood control releases. The lake elevation is projected to drop to about 5,910 feet at present, which is 11 feet below the 5,921 feet elevation level that allows the Company to release flood contrl storage. The Company previously modeled the Bear River system using historical Shu, Di-Reb - 21 Rocky Mounta Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Q. 10 11 A. 12 13 14 15 16 normlized hydro generation for al the operational modes that included water supply from natual run-off, irgation deliveries, and flood control releases, without considering the operational constraints around flood control operations. After a careful review, the Company concluded that the floòd control mode of operation has now effectively become unavailable, and the Company has begun accounting for this operational constraint in its rate filngs and operations planning by excluding the generation using the flood control water in its normlized hydro generation. What has been the generation from the Bear River system in the recent history? Figure 1 below shows the actual generation from the Bear River system from 1979 to 2009 water year (October of the previous calendar year to September of the curnt year), which is the base period applied in the curent proceeding. The un shaded bars identify the flood control years. It is clear that the generation durng the flood control years is significantly higher than the non-flood control years. The actual generation through 2010 is also added to the Figure. Shu, Di-Reb - 22 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Figure 1. Actual Generation from Bear River 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ------------------------------------------------------------------ --------'" 800,000 ..---------------------------~--~-------------------------------------------------------------------- il~ t1¡ ~ ~ :, 'I lll!700,00 .+----- II --------------------------~ ~"~~ r~ ~ ~ ~ ;:;: ~ !~ ~~ ~š ~ 600,000 -l.---------------ll~~---------------------------T'l~------------~------------ ¡~ ~~ ~~ .~~ ~~ ~'1l 11 11 d II ii _~ ;: ~ š § ~ ~ š š š š 500,000 ~Ln.~~~~~...............lJ..il........tl...........................................................................i..l.J.l........................................................................1 ~~. ~ š ~ i ~ i ~ ~ ~\ ~~~šš~šš ~~š..~šI: ~i ~i I~i~ t'~ ~i i~ ii. š š Š ~ ~ š š .. š Š š š š š š400,000 -r....rT.~...l.....llll1lllnlr........................................,...........lllllr'iï...................................................... 300,000 .t....-rt'r 'lnrtn'" -¡.......................................................~raTt'r................................................... ¡ n n~ H n n !l n ~ q d L i ¡200,000 ll"H'n'l..tntlt--l~lH"I"'I"'"'I''''''''~'''l-:'''l''~'''1''1''' .1--llltll...I.;;-...~...............I......I...l-..-.........I.... ~ ~ ~ .~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ¡ ~ § ~ ~ i I ~ ~ ~ ~ ¡ ~ š ~ ¡ ~ ¡ i I l 100,000 .~ ..¡.§..¡_k..~...g.*.q.l.. 4..H.. .. ... ... ... "'~"'~"'lR"'¡j~.. *"r4..¡'.¡..¡'*.. ...~... ...1.. .. .. .. .. ..~ ~~ ¡li~¡¡SU ~i¡ ~ ~ ~- š! ~~¡¡¡ ~ ~ ¡ ~ I ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ š ~ š ~ ~ ~ .~ ~ ~ i ~ l ~ Š ~ I~ ~ ¡ š ~ ~ ~ ~ i i ¡ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ I ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~. ~ ~ o .i~~~:i..,s.:.""..~t.~"rw~~~~ 1:~ ~~,~~.~, ':' .:' 't' "r' ~u~.1us:'1:uis,~,~~~:~ ~T~':.Æ..~t'~~" ~:''''~~' 1:' ~' 'Or ':' 't"" 't' ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~¡ I September 2010 is preliminary. I L............~..........................................................................................._.............................._..._.............................................................................. Q.How does the normalized hydro generation from the Bear River system compare with actual generation? A.Figure 2 below shows the comparson of historical generation that is unadjusted for any known and measurable changes, such as rules and regulations, over the years, normalized generation in the curent proceeding as proposed by the Company and by Staff and Monsanto, and the most recent actual generation. It is clea that the normed generation in the Company's filing is more representative of the expected generation from the Bear River system. Shu, Di-Reb - 23 Rocky Mountai Power 1 Figure 2 Bear River Generation Comparison 350,000 r..................................................................................................................................................................................... 300,000 .+.- -.------.----.- .--.-.----.- 250,000 .1....... ...........................................................~ 200,001-- 150,000 +--. 50,000 100,000 1979-2008 1979-2008 1979-2008 Average Median Median, wlo Flood Control IOGRC Staff and Water Year Water Year Monsanto 2009 Actual 2010 Actual September 2010 is preliminary. :...........................................................................................................................................n.........~........................................."............................................................................ 2 Q.What then is the consquence of adopting Staff and Monsanto's proposed 3 adjustment for Bear River normalization? 4 A.Adopting Staff and Monsanto's proposal would lead to overstating hydro 5 generation, and understating NPC as a result of not incorporating this operational 6 constraint in normalizing historical generation. I recommend the Commssion 7 reject the adjustment proposed by Sta and Monsanto. 8 Start Up Energy (PUC Adjustment 2) 9 Q.Pleas explain PUC's proposal for the value of sta.up energy. 10 A.PILC proposed that the Company include the energy associated with staing up 11 Cuant Creek, Lae Side, and Chehalis in NPC because the fuel costs of sta-ups 12 are included in NPC. The adjustment would decrease the Company's system 13 NPC by $1.7 milion. Shu, Di-Reb - 24 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Q. 2 A. 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Q. 10 A. 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 What other costs are incurred when starting up the gas. tied plants? Star-up costs are not limited to fueL. In order to accommodate the star-ups of a 500 to 600-megawatt gas unit, the Company must re-dispatch the system. In doing so, the Company incurs costs beyond what it would have incured had the star-ups not occured. These costs could result from ramping down the lower~ costs hydro and thermal units to lower efficiency levels, and increasing generation from higher-cost units prior to when they are needed. None of these costs are included in GRID. Did PUC's proposal contain technical errors? Yes. In calculating the value for the sta-up energy, PILC violated the requirement of the minimum down time required for units to stay offine before retung to service. This is due to the fact that GRID allows units to star instantaneously. However, if sta-up energy is to be considered, the multi-hour star-up sequence must also be considered. The end result is that the units would need to stay offlne and be unavailable for a longer time in order for PIIC' s adjustment to be even applicable. The prolonged downtime would lead to increases in NPC by approximately $4.7 millon from what the Company included in its original filg on a total Company basis, which offsets the $1.7 millon assumed value of the sta..up energy. As a result, I recommend the Commssion reject PIlC's adjustment. Shu, Di-Reb - 25 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Normalation of Call Option Contracts (PUC Adjustment 3, Monsanto Adjustment 2 13) 3 Q. 4 5 6 A. 7 8 9 10 11 Q. 12 A. 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 What were the adjustments that PUC proposes to the modeling of the SMUD sales contract and Monsanto proposes to the modeling of the Black Hils sales contract? PIlC proposes to substitute actual data for normlized data for the sales contrct with the Sacramento Municipal Utilty Distrct ("SMUD"), and Monsanto proposes simlar adjustment for the sales contract with Black Hils Power ("Black Hils"). The adjustmnts would reduce the Company's system NPC by $1.6 milion and $1.3 millon, respectively. Do you have any general comments about the two proposals? Yes. For normalized purposes, the GRID assumes that the counterparies - who control the call options on these two contracts - wil maximize the value of the contracts and take power at the most economical time. GRI assumes optimiation of all flexible resources, while PIIC's and Monsanto's proposals embody an approach of optimiing flexible resources when it lowers NPC and not optimizing flexible resources when it raises NPC. It was based on the assumption that the Company acts rationally and other companies act irationally. PIIC's and Monsanto's proposals violate any reasonable principles of consistency and faiess. If NPC are to be set using an optiation model, then all resources and contracts that ar subject to being optied should be optimid. This is the same argument used by Staff and Monsanto in their proposed treatment of the APS Supplementa contract where they propose that actual historic energy take under Shu, Di-Reb - 26 Rocky Mountain Power 1 2 Q. 3 A. 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Q. 14 15 A. 16 17 18 19 the contract should be rejected in favor of optimiing the contract in GRID. Please explain. The proposed adjustments depar from modeling power costs on a normalized basis. If this type of modeling adjustments were adopted, then consistency and fairess require its application to all other flexible purchase or sale contracts that are modeled in a similar fashion to the SMUD and Black Hils contracts. For that matter, it should also be applied to flexible generating resources. Optimation of the Company's system operations decreases NPC on a net basis. PIIC and Monsanto have not proposed "de-optimiation" across the board, which would increase NPC. Nor have PIlC and Monsanto provided any justifcation for selective "de-optimization" of only two call option sales contrcts, rather than all purchase and sale contracts and flexible generating units. Why is it importnt to treat third party contracts the same whether the Company is sellng or purchasing energy? Use of any delivery patterns other than the optimied delivery patterns wil always lower net power costs for wholesale sales contracts with flexibilty such as the SMUD and Black Hils contracts. The opposite is tre for purchased power contracts that give the Company flexibilty in how the power is taken. It is not fai or consistent to normale dierent contracts using diferent rules. Shu, Di-Reb - 27 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Q. 2 3 4 5 A. 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 How do you respond to the arguments made by PUC and Monsanto that flexible wholesale sales contracts should not be optimized because the Company has not modeled any of the loads, constraints, or forward price curves used by the counterparties? It is correct that the Company does not model the counterparies' systems due to the impossibilty of obtaining the data that are proprietar to those counterparies. However, given that the Company is only one of the may parcipants in the market, the only assumption is to assume that all the paricipants in the same market are rational and wil exercise their rights to the flexible contract to lower their costs. Ths is confired by Black Hils as presented on page 2 of Exhibit No. 72, which was an exhibit to Mr. Falkenberg's testimony in the Company's 2009 Wyoming general rate case, Docket No. 20000-352-ER-093, where it states: "BHP wil captue the maximum contract value by takig delivery of the contract energy to serve load or faciltate market sales." This is exactly what the Company's method of optimization captues, and what is demonstrated in Exhbit Nos. 73-75. Exhibit No. 73 shows the actual delivery taen as a whole, and that the pattern of this energy delivery may appear to be flat. However, lookig at the same data, but by HLH and LLH and by location where the energy was delivered in Exhibit Nos. 74 and 75, it is clear that Black Hils exercised their rights based on price signals from the maket, takng more energy when and where market prices were relatively higher. 3 Both Mr. Falnbeg and Mr. Widmer wer contats to Wyomig Inustral Energy Consumers ("WIEC") in that preeding. Shu, Di-Reb - 28 Rocky Mountan Power 1 Q. 2 A. 3 4 5 6 7 Q. 8 9 A. 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 How is the SMUD contract structured? In addition to the fir energy component that is modeled in GRID explicitly, SMUD also has the right to take provisional power from the Company under the terms of the same contract, which wil be retued in full to the Company next year. For the normalized calculation, the Company assumes the take and return of the provisional power are equal and matching in the test period. Does the historical data display SMUD's preference on when to take energy under the contract? Yes. When both of these are taken together, it is clear that SMUD intends to take energy with preferences by season. Figure 3 below shows the monthly pattern of the total fir and provisional sales in a four-year period. Based on the historical pattern, it would be reasonable to assume that without the flexibilty of the provisional porton of the contract, SMUD would shape their take of the fir portion with a similar seasonal pattern. PIIC's proposal only considers the fir porton of the contract, and suggests that SMUD would tae more energy in sprig than in fall as if SMUD would not have considered their rights to the provisional energy. Shu, Di-Reb - 29 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Figure 3 Historical Shape of Energy Take by SMUD 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 .c;:30,000:5 20,000 10,000 0 2 Q. 3 A. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------:-------------------------------------------- : :~ : : :: : ---:------------------------------------------------------:::. :'. : , : ~'.~ :::: ----------------------------- : :, :, :: : : :.' ~co "-"-~~9 §:r 9 :ri:~i:~i:~i:~.!.!.!.! I &:Finn II Provisional I Does the Company model any contracts based on actual historical data? Yes. The Company models non-flexible contracts, such as the ones with GP 4 Camas, Biomass, and smal purchases, base on historical information because 5 none of these contracts provide the Company the kind of flexibilties that are 6 provided for under the terms of the cal option sales contracts. Base on the 7 priciple of known and measurable information, the only information known to 8 the Company is the history of those contrcts. I recommend the Commssion 9 reject the adjustments proposed by PIIC and Monsanto on the basis that the 10 adjustments violate the faiess in the optiation of all flexible resources to 11 reduce NP. Shu, Di-Reb - 30 Rocky Mountain Power 1 Heat Rate Deration (PUC Adjustment 10) 2 Q. 3 A. 4 5 6 Q. 7 A. 8 9 10 Q. 11 A. 12 13 14 15 16 17 Q. 18 A. 19 20 21 22 23 What does PUC's propose in this adjustment? PILC claims that the Company's application of outages biases the availabilty and average heat rates of the units. The adjustment proposed by PILC would reduce Company's system NPC by $1.8 millon. How does the Company apply the deration method? The Company's approach derates the maximum capacity of the unit in every hour of the year by an equal percent based on historic forced outage rates, which constitutes a "haircut" in unit availabilty. How would PUC's discussion change this method? The discussion presented by PILC would alter thermal units' heat rate cures to arificially increase their effciency as compar with the heat rate cures that are developed from actual plant operating data. The discussion on the "other aspect" of the problem.that PIlC presents is to reduce therml plant mimum generation levels so GRID can run therml units at levels they are physically incapable of reaching. Would PUC's method significantly understate the heat rates? Yes. The only time when the derate adjustment to the heat rate may be applicable is when the unit is dispatched at one paricular level of generation - its derated maxmum capacity, with the assumption that the unit may be dispatched at its state mamum capacity in GRI if there were not the availabilty "haicut". When the unit is dispatched at any level below its derated maximum capacity, GRI has made the optial decision to dispatch that unit at a lower and less Shu, Di-Reb - 31 Rock:Y Mounta Power 1 efficient generation level, whether it has been derated or not. Therefore, derating 2 the entie heat rate cure overstates the efficiency of the unit and understates the 3 heat inputs. 4 Figure 4 and Figure 5 below show the heat rate cures that would be under 5 the methods modeled by the Company and modeled by Mr. Falkenberg in the 6 Company's previous cases in other jursdctions for a coal-fied unit and gas-fired 7 unit, from minimum to maximum generation level, with the assumed generation 8 levels superimposed on the heat rate cures that would be dispatched under the 9 Company's methods. The graphs clearly demonstrate that heat input required for 10 varous levels of generation is understated using the derate-adjusted heat rate. In 11 both cases, there are many hours of dispatch below the derated maxmum 12 capacity, which are the generating levels at which PIle's proposal would 13 understate the heat rate, and subsequently understate NPC. Shu, Di-Reb - 32 Rocky Mountan Power 1 Figure 4 Heat Rate Curve (Coal Unit) -:iii .5 'lai:i ; i Minimum Capacity 1/:H~-~l ."im"mc_\i 'j~ .! .. "71' \J~ ',,,.. ìi~", "'''~ ,i ""'-._ . ~~ ; IPIIC Adjusted Hèat Rate Curve ---____.~..~!..~ I . Derated Capacity ..._--------1 Generation Level 2 Figure 5 Heat Rate Curve (Gas Unit) I Heat Rate cuieI i I !, I /I_m"mc~ Deraed Capcity '5Q,S \;:i ~PIIC Adjuste Heat '" Rate Curve "-"-,,~-I -""",~r- MinimumCapacit j -~____I j --~~ I Genel't1n Level Shu, Di-Reb - 33 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Q. 2 3 A. 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Q. 12 13 A. 14 15 16 Q. 17 18 A. 19 20 21 22 23 Hasn't the Company agreed to adjust the heat rates at leat to the derated maximum capacities of the units as claimed by PUC? No. The Company believes that the only adjustment that may be valid is at units' derated maximum, assuming that the unit could generate at a slightly more efficient level, but the Company does not believe such adjustment should be made. After the Company's application of the "haicut," the units' capacities are stil at relatively efficient levels. In actual operations, a unit can be derated to any level between its minimum and maximum capacities, and from Figure 4 and Figure 5, the heat rate at lower levels are significantly less efficient than at the derated maximum. Do you agree with PUC's discussion that the minimum generation level should be derated becaus the maximum generating level is derated? No. The purose of the "haicut" to the maximum generatig capabilty is to reflect the amount of generation no longer available due to outages. That is fully accomplished though the "haicut" to the maximum generatig capacity. PUC relates the proposal of making duration adjustment to the Company's modeling of fractionally owned units. Do you have comments on that? Yes. PIlC seems to suggest that the porton of the units that would not be available due to outages may be considered to be owned by other entities. Such concept would require the modelig of al aspects of the unts in the same maner, includig the reserve capabilties of the units. In addition, in the case of outages, it is not correct to assume that another entity owns the porton of the units that are forced out. When GRID determes certin amount of generation from a unit, it Shu, Di-Reb - 34 Rocky Mountan Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 Q. 7 A. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Q. 20 A. 21 22 23 does not make the decision based on whether or how much the unit has been derated. That is, for basis that no purchases are modeled at the Nevada-Oregon Border ("NOB"), the point from which the agreement provides wheeling. The two adjustments proposed by PIIC would result in a $4.8 millon decrease to system NPC. Please provide some background on the DC Intertie contract. The DC Intertie contract was executed 16 years ago on May 26, 1994, to provide deliveries of 200 megawatts of power from Southern California Edison at NOB under Amendment 1 to the Winter Power Sales Agreement ("WPSA"). The WPSAwas executed on December 14, 1993 and provided up to 422 MW of power to be delivered to the Company's west control area. At the time the WPSA was executed, the Company had sufficient transmission rights to import 222 megawatts of power into the west control area. The agreement provided that if the Company procured additional transmission rights by June 1, 1993, then it could import the remaining 200 megawatts to its system. The Company secured the remaining 200 megawatts of transmission rights by acquirng 200 megawatts of transmission capacity on the DC intertie. The Company termated the WPSA effective Januar 1,2002, but kept its 200 megawatts of DC Intertie import rights. How doe the DC Intertie contract benefit the Company's customers toy? The agreement taes advantage of the load diversity between summer-peakg Californa and the winter-peag Pacifc Nortwest. The contract provides a valuable means of securng capacity and energy from Californa entities to meet retal loads. Loads in Calorna ar relatively low in the winter when loads in the Shu, Di-Reb - 35 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Company's west control area and the rest of the Pacific Northwest are at their 2 highest. 3 Existing Long Term Contracts (PUC Adjustments 11 and 13 regarding DC Intertie 4 Costs, and Idaho Power PTP Contract) 5 Q. 6 7 A. 8 9 10 11 12 Q. 13 A. 14 15 16 17 Q. 18 19 20 A. 21 22 23 Please explain PUC's proposed adjustment to costs associated with the DC Intertie. PIle argues that costs associated with the DC Interte and Network Transmission Agreement between BPA and the Company should be removed from NPC on the basis that no purchases are modeled atthe NOB, the point from which the agreement provides wheeling. The two adjustments proposed by PIlC would result in a $4.8 millon decrease to NPC. How should the Commission judge the prudence of this contrct? Prdence should always be judged based on the information that was known at the time the contract was executed. It would not be reasonable to judge a 16-year old contract based on inormation that is available today that was not available 16 years ago. But there are no transctions modeled at NOB in the test period in this proceeding. Why is it appropriate to include costs related to the DC Intertie agreement in this proceeding? In makg their proposal, PILC focuses on energy deliveries under the contrct rather than the capacity and diversity benefits of the contract. It would be inappropnate to penalze the Company for prudently acquirng transmission rights 16 years ago by disallowing costs tody basd on hindsight and only lookig at Shu, Di-Reb - 36 Rocky Mounta Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Q. 10 11 A. 12 13 14 15 Q. 16 A. 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 the energy value of a resource that can facilitate the delivery of both capacity and energy. By purchasing these transmission rights, the Company has purchased assurance that it can reliabilty serve its load obligations. PIlC's proposals based on the limited energy-only view of this contract is simlar to arguing that the Company should only be able to recover insurance premiums when it receives proceeds under an insurance policy. The costs associated with this contract are modest in light of the benefit to the Company's overall transmission strategy and hedge against changes in the market. What does PUC propose to adjust for the expenses of the. contract between the Company and the Idaho Power Company ("IPC")? PILC claims that the contract that the Company has with !PC would no longer be needed after the Populus to Termnal section of transmission line goes into service.. As a result, the expenses related to the contract should be removed, which would reduce the Company's system NPC by $0.8 millon. Why doe the Company disagree with this adjustment? The notion that an existing contract should be termnated simply because a new resource may replace the function of that contract is unfounded. The 'referenced contract is a two-year contract that the Company entered into in 2009 to serve reta load, given the information at the time about the resources available to the Company to meet its obligation in the next two years. Ths contract is not the same as the short term fir contracts that the Company enters into from time to tie and for a short duration, such as the ones listed as a correction earlier in my testiony. The capabilty of those short term fir transmission is modeled in Shu, Di-Reb - 37 Rocky Mountain Power 1 GRI at the assumed level based on what the Company has experienced 2 historically, and the assumption should be modified when the Populus to Termnal 3 line can provide the needed transmission capacity. The Company entered into 4 that paricular contract based on expected in-service date of the Populus to 5 Termnal line and with the option of annual contracts only. As the result, the 6 terms of the contract could not perfectly match the in-service date of the new 7 transmission line, and the Company should not be required to time the contract 8 terms precisely with resources that become available subsequently. Had the 9 Company entered into a shorter contract, there would have ben a potential gap 10 prior to the new transmission line being in service to the detrment of customers. 11 I recommend the Commssion reject PIlC's adjustment. 12 Reserve Shutdown (Monsanto Adjustment 5) 13 Q.Please describe Monsanto's adjustment for reserve shutdowns. 14 A.Monsanto claims that the Company's forced outage rates and the rates used in 15 GRID are calculated inconsistently and proposes that reserve shutdown hours 16 should be added to the denominator of the force outage rate calculations. The 17 proposed adjustment would reduce the Company's system NPC about $0.8 18 milion. 19 Q.Do you agree with this adjustment? 20 A.No. This adjustment has the effect of arificially lowering the forced outage rates 21 by stating that the units would be available 100 percent of the time if they were to 22 be called upon to run durng the hours when they were on reserve shutdown for 23 economic reasons. Shu, Di-Reb - 38 Rocky Mountain Power 1 Q.Please explain. 2 A.Contrar to what Monsanto claims, the Company's calculation of forced outage 3 rates is consistent with how GRI applies them. Monsanto agrees that the 4 planned outage hours should be excluded from the denominator in the calculation 5 of forced outages. Removing the reserve shutdown hours are based on the same 6 fact that no forced outage events are collected durng either the planned outage 7 hours or the reserve shutdown hours. Monsanto's proposal is the same as stating 8 that if the units were to run durg the hours when they were shutdown for 9 economic reason, the units would not encounter any forced outage events. The 10 proposal is not supported by logical or analytical reasoning. In addition, given the 11 fact that GRI models reserve shutdowns, the rates are only applied to the hours 12 when they are scheduled to run, which is a fact even supported by Mr. Widmer in 13 his testimony stating that "(tlhe Company's daily screen modeling in GRI 14 specifcally identifies when CCCTs are available but are not economic to run an .15 essentially placed them on reserve shutdown so they cannot run." I recommend 16 the Commssion reject Monsanto's proposal. 17 Cal iso (Monsnto Adjustment 7) 18 Q.Please desribe Monsanto's adjustment to the Cal iso Fee. 19 A.Monsanto reommends removal of the Cal ISO fees that are base on 2009 actual 20 costs incurred by the Company, and replace them with a lower amount. 21 Monsato's recommendation is based on the assumption that a signicant porton 22 of the fees are not matched by electrcity trsactions that the Company included 23 in the case and could incur the fees. This adjustment results in a $4.0 mion Shu, Di-Reb - 39 Rocky Mounta Power 1 2 Q. 3 A. 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Q. 19 20 A. decrease to the Company's system NPC. How do you respond to this adjustment? I urge the Commssion to reject this adjustment. Cal iso fees are incured for transactions at market points of SPI5, NP15, and when the Cal iso is the counterpary.4 The bulk of these transactions are short term transactions made close to the time of delivery. Cal iso is a major counterpar in the Company's activities to balance its system, which is a fact that Monsanto doesn't dispute according to Mr. Widmer's testimony stating "(h)istorical records reveal that most of the transactions with the Cal iso as a counter pary ar incured shortly before or on the actual day of delivery." Such activities are reflected in GRID as par of the system balancing sales and purhases, which are transactions computed by GRID representing the types of transactions that would be consummated shortly before or on the actual day of delivery. The Company continues to do business with the CalISO and continues to incur Cal iso fees. There is no reason to arbitrarly elimiate expenses that are required to be incured when doing business with the Cal iso simply because the data in the Company's filing does not explicitly include those applicable transactions. Would removing the Cal iso as a counterparty affect the operations of the Company's power system? Yes. The Company enters into transactions with the Cal iso in order to 4 Mr. Widm quoed an excerpt presumably frm the testiony by Company's witness Mr. Duval frm the Wyomg Doket No. 200-352-ER-09. Mr. Duval's testimony in that case did not conta the quoted excet. However, Mr. Duval did testiy to content simlar to the excerpt as the Secnd Supplemnta testiny in the Company's Utah gener rae cae Docket No. 08-035-38, where the dicussion was about the reason why the Comany enter into trsactions that had delivery points in SP 15 when it did not have fin trsmission nghts. Shu, Di-Reb - 40 Rocky Mounta Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Q. 8 9 A. 10 11 12 13 14 Q. 15 A. 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 economically balance the system. In doing so, the Company incurs Cal ISO fees. Not allowing the Cal iso fees is the same as makng the assumption that the Company would not do business with the Cal ISO. Removing Cal ISO as counterpary would limit the options that the Company may use to balance its system economically. As aresult, NPC would go up due to those limitations and constraints. Does the Company expet that it wm continue to do business with the Cal iso in2010? Yes. The Company expects to do business with the Cal ISO in 2010 and the futu and incur varous fees in the markets governed by the Cal ISO. Costs such as wheeling costs are typically quantified for ratemakg puroses by using the most recent historic data, absent any known and measurable changes. This is exactly how the Company has normalized Cal ISO costs in ths proceeding. Do you see other problems in Monsanto's proposal? Yes. Despite the fact that the Company requested Monsanto to provide all workpapers supporting their adjustments, the workpapers for this adjustment is among the ones that do not support the amount of the adjustments. Given the magnitude of the adjustment, it seems that Monsanto proposes to remove the entire amount of the Cal ISO fees that the Company included in the case, replacing it with only a fraction of the actual Cal ISO fees that the Company has incurd durg the period that is claied to match the actual short term fir transactions that the Company included in the case. However, though September 2010, the Company has incur approximately $3.2 millon of Cal ISO fees, both Shu, Di-Reb - 41 Rocky Mountan Power 1 wheeling fees and service fees, which are only $66,265, lower than what the 2 Company included in the filng for the corresponding period. Accordingly, the 3 Commssion should reject Monsanto's argument that the Company would not 4 incur Cal iso fees in the test period, as well as rejecting the proposed adjustment, 5 which would replace what the Company has included in the case with a fraction 6 of the actual fees. 7 Cholla 4 Capacity (Monsanto Adjustment 10) 8 Q. 9 A. 10 11 12 13 14 Q. 15 A. 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 What was the issue regarding the capacity of Cholla unit 4? As the result of a major overhaul in 2008 the capacity at Cholla Unit 4 was upgraded. However, due to trnsmission constraints, the generation from the Cholla unit 4 to the Company's system has remained at the previous leveL. Monsanto argues that the upgrade should be reflected in GRI. The adjustment would reduce the Company's system NPC by $1.1 millon. Do you agree with Monsanto's argument? No. Firt, the argument ignores the physical transmission constrts on delivery of power from Cholla. Second, Monsanto has increased transmission capacity to accommodate the increased generation from Cholla unit 4 without increasing any other costs related to that capacity. Thid, the purose of derating the units for forced outages is to captue the lost generation due to such outages, whie Monsanto's proposal would suggest the lost generation due to outages could be supplemented by the possible generation from the unit that cannot be delivered to the system. Shu, Di-Reb - 42 Rocky Mounta Power 1 Morgan Stanly Call Premiums (Monsanto Adjustment 11) 2 Q. 3 A. 4 5 6 7 Q. 8 A. 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Q. 16 A. 17 18 19 20 21 22 Please explai the Monsanto's proposed adjustment. Monsanto proposes to remove the capacity payments related to two of the Company's call option contracts because those contracts are not dispatched durng the test period. The adjustment would reduce the Company's system NPC by $3.1 millon. Do you agree with Monsanto's proposed adjustment? No. Monsanto is seeking to disallow the capacity payments that the Compaily pays on cal option contracts without demonstrating the imprudence of these costs. The Company executed these call option contracts to meet demand and ensure reliable service by providing physical delivery of energy durig periods of increased demad and/or transmission constraints when prices are higher. So even if the contracts are not dispatched in GRI, they can provide customers a real benefit in the event of a change in the Company's system. What would you recommend the Commission do in the current case? The Commssion should reject Monsanto's proposal to remove the capacity payment of the cal option contracts. As state above, the contrcts were entered into to meet demand and ensure reliable service by providig physical delivery of energy durng periods of increased demad and/or transmission constraits when prices are higher. Monsanto's adjustment is simar to requestig a refund of your auto insurance payment every year when you have not been involved in an accident. Shu, Di-Reb - 43 Rocky Mountain Power 1 Other Proposals 2 Combined Cycle O&M Adjustment (PUC Adjustment 14) 3 Q. 4 A. 5 6 Q. 7 A. 8 9 10 11 Q. 12 A. 13 14 15 Q. 16 A. 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Please explain PUC's adjustment to O&M costs of combined cycle plants. PIlC states that the proposed daiy screening adjustment reduces the O&M costs associated with combined cycle plants. What is the basis for PUC's adjustment? Based on Mr. Falkenberg's testimony on this issue in prior cases and the reference to Mr. McDougal's exhbit, PILC seems to be referrng to the O&M that the Company might have added to fixed O&M for each sta-up of a combined cycle plant. Is PUC's adjustment reasonable? No. The Company has not included any incrementa O&M to reflect the additional costs of combined cycle plant sta-ups. Therefore, there are no costs to remove. Do both Staff and Monsanto oppose updates to the Company's filed NPC? Yes. The Company believes that updated information would provide the Commssion with the most recent and more accurate information for the test period. While opposing updates to the Company's NPC, Monsanto proposes to selectively update components of the NPC, such as the recommendation to replace the Cal iso fees that the Company included in the filig with actual Cal iso fees that the Company has incured for period pnor to May 4,2010. If the Company were to update the NPC to reflect all actual information that is avaiable for the test period though September, the NP for the twelve-month period Shu, Di-Reb - 44 Rocky Mounta Power 1 2 3 4 5 6 Q. 7 A. 8 9 10 11 Q. 12 A. 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Q. 23 A. endig December 2010 would be approximately $53.7 millon higher than what was contained in the Company's original fiing. If the Company were to update all NPC for actual information though May 4, 2010, as Monsanto recommended for the Cal iso fees, the test period NPC would be $25.0 millon higher than fied. Has the Company updated its NPC in this rebuttal? No. However the Company believes updates improve the accuracy of NPC forecasts and reserves the right to propose updates in futue fiings Staf, PILC and Monsanto proposed and the Company accepts adjustments to NPC, which total to an approximate $6.5 millon reduction from what the Company originally filed. Please summarize your testimony. In its diect filing, the Company proposed NPC of $1.07 billon on a total Company basis for the 12-month test period ending December 2010. In this curent filng, the Company has revised its projected NPC to $1.063 bilon on a tota Company basis. The revised NPC incorporate corrctions and positions that Staf, PIlC and Monsanto proposed and the Company accepts, which total to an approximte $6.5 millon reduction from what the Company originally fied. For the adjustments that the Company does not agree with, I have provided explanations and evidence to support the Company's positions. I believe the revised NP has reflected more accurate inormtion and presented a reasonable compromise to positions proposed by Staf, PILC and Monsanto. Do this conclude your rebutt testimony? Yes, it does. Shu, Di-Reb - 45 Rocky Mountan Power Case No. PAC-E-I0-07 Exhbit No. 71 Witness: Hui Shu BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER Exhbit Accompanying Rebuttl Testimony of Hui Shu NP Summar November 2010 Rocky Mountain Power Exhibit No. 71 Page 1 of 1 case No. PAC-E-10-07 Witness: Hui Shu Idaho GRC 2010, Inital Filng NPC ($) = $/MWh = $ 1,069,701,315 18.62 Idaho GRC 2010, Rebuttal Filng Corrections, one-off 1 2 3 Adopted, one-off 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Dunlap Reserve Contrbutor Path C STF Transmission UAMPS Use of Facilties Commitment logic screens Non-owned wind interhour Colstrip planned outage moved to Spring Mona market APS Supplemental Non-firm transmission Top of the World Commercial Operaion Date System balancing impact of all changes Total Changes from initial filng = Idaho GRC 2010, rebuttal filng Impact ($) 121,389 (25874.30) (700.00) (1684408.33) (1367358.97) (215922.22) (438529.00) (2640717.11) (1232943.93) 1,90,544 (884,467) (6,471,288) NPC($) 1,069,822,704 1,069,675,44 1,069,694,315 1 ,068,016,906 1 ,068,333,956 1 ,069,48,393 1,069,262,786 1,067,060,598 1,068,468,371 1,071 ,605,859 1,063,23,027 Case No. PAC-E-I0-07 Exhibit No. 72 Witness: Hui Shu BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTITIES COMMISSION ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER Exhibit Accompanying Rebuttl Testimony of Hui Shu Black Hils Power November 2010 BLACK IDLLSPOWER, INC. SD PUC DOCKET: EL-09-018 Rocky Mountain Power Exhibit No. 72 Page 1 of 2 Case No. PAC-E-10-Q7 Witness: Hui Shu REQUEST DATE November 5. 2009 RESPONSE DATE Decembe 8, 2009 REQUESTING PARTY:Black Hils Industral Intervenors BHIRequestNo.I-68: Pleasë:explain the markets, in terms of liquid trdig bubs~ where tbeCompany mak transactions. (e.g. Mid Columbia, 4 Corners, Palo Verde, etc.) Identify each hub where the Com.panytrades, and the test year sales and purcha.e v:ølumeš, costs aìdrë:veniies by hub or market. :Rsponse to BHIIReguest No. 1-68: Black HilsPower(BHP) trades at the following liquid trding hubs, · Mid-Columbia (Md-C) . Four Comers 345 . Mona . Midwest Indepen.dent System Operator (MSO) TIiese pointS of delivery ate considered liquid trading hubs because there are established markets with published prices from vàrous recognzed sources. See Attchment 68.1 for test year sales and purchase volumes, costs and revenues by hub or market Legend for Attachment: .¡ HE ~ the tradingterm for Hout Endig, 0100-0200 would be FI02 and so on ./ PHE ~ the trdig term for Price f~r Hour Endîg .¡ Trasaction Type- is the tye of ener transaction that occurred, whether it is a puche or a sale wi a third par .¡ Zone - the trading point of receipt or point of delivery for energy, for example, the liquid trading hub .¡ Market - the trmission provide location code (P ACW - PacifiCor West, PACE - PacifiCorp East, AZS - Arizona Public Serice, PNM - Public SerVice of New Mexico, MISO - Midwest Independent System Operator) BHP-BHII-OO72 BLACK HILS POWER, mc. SD PUC DOCKET: EL-09-018 Rocky Mountain Ppwer Exhibit No. 72 Page 2 of 2 Case No. PAC-E-10-07 Witness: Hui Shu REQUEST DATE RESPONSE DATE REQUESTING PARTY: November 5, 2009 Decei:her 8, 2009 Black Hill Industral IntervenorS BHRReguest No. 1-58: Please explain why the Company's delivery pattern of power from the Colstripcontrad appears, to have a flatter protile than might be su.ggested by shaping thecontra-ct to optini~einarketreveiiue. Pleaseexp,iain any constraints that the Company encountes that liits its abili to maximize the contrct revenue. Demonstrate that the methodology use is prudent. Response to BHII Request 1-58: Firt and foremost, the lowest cost resouces avaiable to BHP are allowed to serve BHP's Customers. Black Hìls Power (B:H), on a mont1y basis, maximzes the use ofthe Colstrip contrct based upOn contractual pareters. The contract detals are below: Second Restated and Amended Power Sales Agreement between P,acifiCorp .and Black Hils Corporation "'Colstrip Contract" Hourlv MaximumEnrp;Deliverv::50MW Hourlv MaxumChag;e::ì25 MW HourlvMinimum Energy Deliverv:OMW Week1v Maximum Energy Delivery:6,700MWh Monthy Maximum Energy Delivery based upo numbe of days in the 30.day Month 28,710MW ìndividual month:31...day Month 29,610MWh BHP wil captue the maxum contract value by tag delivery of the contrct energy to serve load or faciltate market sales. Typically this contract isutied in the Day Ahead Energy Market where stadard energy market products are traded in 25 MW blocks exrcised in stdad utility products - On-Peak hour equte to Monday though Saturday (0700-2300 MPT), Off-Pea hours equte to Monday through Saturday (0000- 0700,2300-2400) plus Sunda and Holidays (0000-2400). Ifmaxum vaue is detered to be utiliZed for load, then the contrct energy will be scheduled to BBP load, with a shapig pattern. BHP,as a practice; utiles the maxum energy delivery on a monthy basis, if the maket support such. BHP-BHIi. Case No. PAC-E-10-07 Exhibit No. 73 Witness: Hui Shu BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTITIES COMMISSION ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER Exhibit Accompanying Rebuttl Testimony of Hui Shu Black Hils Average Energy November 2010 Rocky Mountain Power Exhibit No. 73 Page 1 of 1 Case No. PAC-E-10-07 Witness: Hui Shu C\.. .... o.. ai co Ø)00N 1i~"..s: C)~ii CD .. ~C s:0Wil-ìI~ GI C0 -=_ 3':æ .c 'a cD w_ C s:C II ~O'l i:: ~ .!-to:i.iu COii v ~~to..o..to~~¡g lAne C' C\ o Case No. PAC-E-1O-07 Exhibit No. 74 Witness: Hui Shu BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER Exhbit Accompanying Rebuttl Testiony of Hui Shu Black Hils HLH November 2010 ooCD o g ooM ooC\ oo,. : :i (3.... ~" ........ I """"...... I. "'........ '....,.. ............ ""..,- "'" ,I' " '\\ o CD"irn J!-::~().!a:::..:: 0)ooC' oo-. ",~ """.... .., ......1i "'\(:, . .~" l', ;'" ,", /",l,.'.' ~.,,,\,'.\\~ '~ i Li ,I ,I ,I ,I ,I /i iI 'i: ~, ''l..l\, ,i ,~ ,, ,,, m.'...., .......... '0,'" ......~,"", "',.'''", Rocky Mountain Power Exhibit No. 74 Page 1 of 1 Case No. PAC.E-10-07 Witness: Hui Shu llM1N1$ "~ ;'" ~i-l .' ...l~.' ~""" , ,i' ~, ," l" ...., ,"" ~/, .rt ;iI .i Ii ,I .I , : ~I ¡ L ".................. ,, " í\,,,\'", "" \1: ,Il¡ ", ", ,. ,i " ,l'~ ~.-8,.~¡~:5 M.. oo o C\,. ,.,.:s:iü"0:! l';t ~ II +II :i..:i ~".gll ~,, ~,,, o,. en eX .. :i..:i 1l:: :: ~ ~ l ~o:¡ CD It :s:i ~ ~ ~ ~ t -. M :i :t ;f :: ~ ~ IC\ ,. Case No. PAC-E-1O-07 Exhibit No. 75 Witness: Hui Shu BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER Exhibit Accompanying Rebuttl Testimony of Hui Shu Black Hils LLH November 2010 ;:I 20 0 9 L L H B l a c k H i l s S a l e s 12 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - . - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - . - - - - - - - - 10 0 80 !i ~ . . ~ .h . . ~ ~ . . ~ . . . . t ~ . " ... . . . . . 60 L ií ' ,/ 1 ii / I " , .. . ~ t - I J! , . , I "l ! .. ~ . . . . ~ . 1 : . . . . . . . ~ . . . . . . ' " . . . . . . . . f . N N . / . p p p , . .', "~ ~ . . . . r" . . . . . . 1'" \ \, ~ . ~ . . ' , , . t h . . . . . .. ~ . . . . . . : ~ ~ ~ " p P ~ ~ _ i = . . . . . 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