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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20150709Compliance Filing.pdfYPecrnConp July 9,2015 VA OWRNIGHT DELIWRY Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472West Washington Boise, ID 83702-5983 Attention: Ms. Jean D. Jewell Commission Secretary Re: Idaho Docket No. PAC-E-05-08 Compliance Filing To the Idaho Public Utilities Commission: PacifiCorp submits the attachment in compliance with the Commission's Order in this case issued on February 13,2006 and amended on March 14,2006. The Order approved the Stipulation supporting the acquisition of PacifiCorp by MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company.l Commitmentl20 of the Stipulation provides that PacifiCorp will provide to the Commission, on an informational basis, credit rating agency news releases and final reports regarding PacifiCorp when such reports are known to PacifiCorp and are available to the public. Therefore, in compliance with Commitment I20 of the Stipulation, please find the attached report related to PacifiCorp. Very truly yours, f;t;rt* Bruce Williams Vice President and Treasurer Enclosure t On April 30,2074, MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company changed its name to Berkshire Hathaway Energy Company. Pacific Power I Rocky Mountain Powcr 825 NE Multnomah, Suite 2000 Portland, Oregon 97232 PacifiCorp A Subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Energy Full Rating Report Ratings Long-Term IDR Senior Unsecured IDR - lssuer Default Rating. Rating Outlook Long-Term IDR Financial Summary PaclflCorp LTT'I 3t31tl5 BBB+ A- Key Rating Drivers Strong Credit Metrics: PacifiCorp's (PPW) 'BBB+' lssuer Default Rating (lDR) and Positive Rating Outlook reflect the utility's strong credit metrics, supported by rate increases granted by state regulators in recent years to recover its large, historic capex. The ratings and outlook also consider PPW's relatively low business risk, more manageable prospective capex, a competitive resource base and below-industry-average retail rates. Fitch estimates 201F2019 FFO coverage ratios of 4.8x or higher and leverage ratios of 4.0x or lower. Lower Capex: PPW's annual capex is expected to average $842 million during the 2015-2017 period, significantly lower than the average annual run rate of approximately $1.065 billion in 2013 and 2014 and peak investment levels of $1.5 billion per year seen in 201(J-2012. Given the sharply lower trend in 201*2017 capex, Fitch expects cash flow to be slightly negative on average after capex and dividends. Lower capex is expected by Fitch to mitigate upward pressure on retail customer rates. Constructive Regulation: Regulation across PPW's multistate service territory is generally stable and balanced, in Fitch's view, supporting its credit ratings and Positive Rating Outlook. An unexpected, meaningful and sustained deterioration in regulatory oversight would likely trigger adverse rating actions. Ownership Structure: PPWs credit profile benefits from affiliation with Berkshire Hathaway Energy (BHE). Ownership of BHE by Berkshire Hathaway lnc. (BRK, M-/Stable) provides the former with greater flexibility to manage utility subsidiary capital structures and liquidity because there is no dividend payment to ultimate parent BRK from BHE. PPW is ring-fenced to preserve its stand-alone credit profile. Rating OuUook: The Positive Rating Outlook considers PPWs relatively predictable earnings and cash flows, strong credit metrics and generally supportive tariff regimes across its six-state service territory. Rating Sensitivities Positive Rating Action: Sustained PPW earnings and FFO leverage ratios below 3.4x and 4.0x, respectively, along with continued efficient operating performance and balanced regulation could trigger future credit rating upgrades. Negative Rating Action: Unexpected deterioration across key PPW regulatory jurisdictions and/or a prolonged plant outage or other event causing PPWs FFO-adjusted leverage to rise above 5.0x and EBITDA leverage above 3.75x on a sustained basis could trigger negative rating actions. Adjusted RelGnus Operating EBITDAR Cash Flowfrom Op€rations Total Adjusted Debt Tdal Capitalization Cape/ Depreciation (%) FFO Fixe6' Charge Cov€rage (x) FFGAdjusted Leverage (x) Total Adjusted DebUEBITDAR (x) 5,214 5,2522,034 2,042 1,570 1,570 7,310 7j20't4,703 14,829 't.4 1.s 5.0 5.0 3.7 3.6 3_6 3.5 Related Research U.S. Transmission and Distribution Utilities Handbook (A Detailed Reviewof Electric and Gas T&O Utilities) (May 2015) U.S. Utilities, Power and Gas: Ratings Navigator Companion (February 2015) Analysts Philip Smyth, CFA +1 212 908-0531 philip.srny'h@fi tsfldings.com Roshan Bains +'t 212 9084211 roshan. bain@fit*ralings.corn Charlie Penicook +1 312 36&3137 chadie. penbook(Dfi bhratings.com www.fitchratings.com July 2,2015 Financial Overview Liquidity and Debt Structure PPW's liquidity position at March 31, 2015, was $796 million, including $12 million in available cash and remaining borrowing capacity of $784 million under its credit facilities. PPW's stand- alone borrowing capacig under its revolving credit facilities totals $1.2 billion and is composed of two separate facilities equally sized at $600 million maturing 2017 and 2018. Debt Maturities and Liquidity ($ Mil.. as of March 31.2015) Total Debt and Leverage 2015 20'16 2017 2018 Thereafter Cash and Cash Equivalenb Undrawn Committed Facilities Source: Comoenv deta. Fitch.Source: Company data, Fitch. Cash Flow Analysis As indicated in the chart below, PPW was moderately FCF-negative during 201 1-2014, owing primarily to the utility's large capex program. PPW's capex averaged $1.2 billion per year during 201 1-2014. Over the same time horizon, PPW's average annual utility FFO totaled $1.5 billion. Factoring in dividends, FCF deficit averaged $145 million per year, or 12o/o ot average annual 201 1-2014 capex. PPW's annual 2015-2017 capex run rate is estimated at $842 million per year on average. CFO and Cash Use . capex . Dividends ($ uit.1 1,800 1,600: 1,400 1,200 | 1,000 800 6oo rcol 200 :o; Source: Company data, Fitch. 't37 62 62 592 6,241 12 7U ($ Mil.) 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 -TotalAdjustedDebt(LHS) (x) -DebUEBITDAR (RHS) 4.5 LL 2014 LTM 3/31/15 4.0 3.5 3.0 Related Criteria Corporate Rating Methodology -lncluding Short-Term Ratings and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage (May 2014) Rating U.S. Utilities, Power and Gas Companies (Sector Credit Factors) (March 2014) Recovery Ratings and Notching Criteria for Utilities (November 2013) Parent and Subsidiary Rating Linkage Fitch's Approach to Rating Entities within a Corporate Group Structure (August 201 3) L 2013 rCFOI 2012 I 2011 201't 2012 20',t3 2014 LTM PacifiCorp July 2,2015 Peer Group llluer Countrv A- fuizona Public SeMco Co. Unitad Stabs Public Service Companyofoolorado UnitBd States Southom Cdifiomia Edison Company Unibd States lssuer Rating History LT IDR OutloouDate (FCl Wetch Nil24,2015 Oct. 3,2014 Nil7,20',t4 Sept 16,2013 Sopt 17,2012 Sept. 29, 201 1 Oct 1,2010 Oct. 2,2009 Aug. 13,2008 July 13,2007 Jan.31,2006 D6c. 6,2005 Mey 24,2OOs Oct. 5,2004 May 24, 1995 LT IDR - Long-term Issuer Default Rating FC - Foreign currency. Source: Fitch. Peer and Sector Analysis Peer Group Analysis Publlc Servlce Arlzona Public company of iouthem Cellfornla (g Mil.) PaclflCorp Service Co. Colorado Edi.on Company tuof IDR Ou0ook Fundamentel Ratios (x) Op€raling EBITDAR/ (Gross lntsrlst Expense + Rents) FFO Fixed-Charge Coverage Total Adjustad Dsbuop€ratng EBITDAR FFO/Total Adjusted Debt (7o) FFGMju3tod Lev€rege Common Dividend Payout (0/6) lnbmd Caslvcapex (%) Cap€)dDepreciation (%) R6trm on Equity (%) Flnanclal lnfomation R€vonue Revenue Growth (o/o) EBITDA Operating EBITDA Margin (o/o) FCF Total Adjusted Debt with Equity Credit Ca3h and Cash Equvalonts Funds Flow fiom Operations Capcx IDR - lssuer Default Rating. Source: Comoanv data. Fitch. 03/31/15 03/31/15 12t31t',t4 12131114 BBB+ A- A- A- Raling Ou0ook Raling Outook Rating Outook Rating OutookPositiw StaU6 Stable Stable BBB+ PositiveBBB+ Positive BBB StableBBB Stable BBB StablgBBB Stable BBB StableBBB Stable BBB StableBBB Stable BBB StaUe BBB+ Stable 5.15 4.96 3.59 26.8 3.73 99.7 89.1 136.4 9.1 5,214 0.2 2,018 36.9 (10e) 7,310 12 1,565 (1,004) 6.17 6.00 2.79 34.8 2.88 61.0 78.7 214.2 9.5 3,474 0.7 1,26e 29.'l (187) 3,585 6 1,039 (93{) 6.37 6.93 3.63 30.0 3.33 95.4 48.2 293.9 9.4 4,383 4.3 1,181 26.9 (600) 4,341 8 1,114 (1,114) 6.88 7.20 2.75 38.0 2.63 4',t.3 81.9 238.6 14.2 12,9U 0.8 4,442 40.4 065) 12,499 36 4,094 (4,230) A- A- A- Stable StaHe Stable PacifiCorp July 2,2015 Key Rating lssues Constructive Regulation Regulatory outcomes across PPW's multistate service territory have been and are expected to continue to be balanced, with the notable exception of Washington. PPW operates in six states: Utah, Wyoming, ldaho, Oregon, Washington and California. Various riders are in place to facilitate recovery of certain costs outside of general rate case proceedings, including fuel adjustment clauses that mitigate commodity price exposure in all of PPW's regulatory jurisdictions. PPW filed a general rate case with the Wyoming Public Service Commission (WPSC) in March 2015 requesting a $32 million (5%) rate increase. The requested rate hike is based on a 9.85% authorized return on equity (ROE) and a51 .4o/o equity ratio. ln its previous rate case, the WPSC granted PPW a $20.2 million rate increase based on a below-industry-average 9.5% authorized ROE. The December 2014 WPSC authorized rate increase represented approximately 62% of the company supported $32.6 million rate increase rate increase request. PPW filed the rate case in March 2014. ln Fitch's opinion, the WPSC order provides the company with a reasonable opportunity to earn its authorized ROE and is credit-neutral, notwithstanding the below-industry-average ROE authorized by the commission. Recent rulings by the Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission (WUTC) in PPW general rate cases in March 2015 and December 2013 were notably unfavorable for investors. The WUTC orders disallowed costs related to purchased power from qualifying facilities located outside the state of Washington and authorized a below-industry-average 9.5% ROE. ln its March 2015 order, the WUTC authorized a rate increase of $9.6 million, 32% of the $30.4 million requested by PPW in the proceeding. PPW has appealed both WUTC orders. Fitch notes that Washington is a relatively small slice of PPW's operations, representing approximately 8% of consolidated 2014 kilowatt hour (k\A/h) sales. By comparison, Utah, Oregon and Wyoming represent 44o/o, 24o/o and 17o/o of kWh sales, respectively. Regulatory outcomes across the remainder of PPW's service territory have been and are expected to continue to be balanced. Declining Gapex Trend PPW's annual capex was essentially flat in 2014 and 2013 at $1.065 billion and $1.066 billion, respectively, 21o/o below 2012 capex of $1.346 billion. Capex averaged $1.5 billion per year in 201F2012. Projected 291ti-2017 capex approximates $842 million per year on average, more than 4Oo/o below PPW's $1.5 billion 2010-2012 capex. Meaningfully lower projected PPW capex reflects completion of large capital projects, including major transmission and renewables investment in the past several years. ln addition, capex incorporates slower PPW service tenitory load grov(h and efforts by management to minimize customer rate increases. Efforts by management to minimize customer rate increases while maintaining system reliability, safety and customer service have resulted in generally flat O&M expense. Slowing PPW service territory load growth trends are driven primarily, in Fitch's view, by energy efficiency gains and are a source of some uncertainty along with the impact of environmental rules and regulations on PPW's coal-fired generation. Fitch believes these dynamics are manageable within the regulatory compact and unlikely to meaningfully weaken PPW's creditworthiness in the near to intermediate term. PacifiCorp July 2,2015 California I ndependent System Operator PPW is considering the fieasibility, costs and benefits of joining the Califomia lndependent System Operator organization as a participating transmission owner. The analysis is expected to be completed during summer 2015 and, if PPW decides to move forward, would be subject to stakeholder review and input and regulatory approvals. Strong Corporate Parent PPW is a wholly owned indirect subsidiary of BHE, which in turn is majority owned by BRK. Ownership of BHE by BRK is viewed favorably by Fitch, as dividend retention affords BHE greater flexibility in managing operating company growth, dividends and capital structure than other investor-owned utilities. Ring-fence provisions at PPW, including a special purpose entity and a nonrecourse structure to limit PPW exposure to BHE liabilities, are designed to preserve credit quality. PacifiCorp July 2, 2015 Organizational Structure aRated by Fitch EMEA. LT IDR - Long-term lssuer Default Rating. IDR - lssuer Default Rating. Source: Company Repods, Fitch analysis. PacifiCorp July 2,2015 I ll Definitions o FFO-Adjusted Leverage: Gross debt plus lease adjustment minus equity credit for hybrid instruments plus prefened stock diMded by FFO plus gross interest paid plus prefened dividends plus rental expense. . FFO/Debt: FFO divided by gross debt plus lease adjustment minus equity credit for hybrid instruments plus preferred stock. Key Metrics Total Adjusted DebUOp. EBITDAR -p2sifiQ67p -lUC Median (x) 5.0 , I 4.0 t 3.0 2.o t, t.o I 0.0 2011 2012 2013 Source: Company data, Fitch. FFO FixedCharge Coverage -Pacmcorp -lUC Median (x) 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2014 LTM 3t31t15 2011 2012 2013 Source: Company data, Fitch. 2014 LTM 3/31/15 FFO-Adjusted Leverage -Pacifioorp -lUC Median Capex/Depreciation -Pacificorp -lUC Median (%) 300 l 250 i zoo i 150 100 so, 0 20'11 2012 2013 2014 LTM 3t31t15 Sourc€: Company data, Fitch. (x) 4.0 l 3.0 2.0 ', t.o , I 0.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM 3t31t15 Source: Company data, Fitch. PacifiCorp July 2,2015 Company Profile PPW is an integrated electric utility with operations spanning six states throughout portions of the U.S. Rocky Mountains and the Pacific Northwest. PPW owns net 11,136 megawatt of generating capacity, and 60% of its 2014 output was coal-fired, with the remainder supplied via natural gas (16%), hydroelectric (5%), wind or other (5%) and purchased power (14%). Utah, Oregon and Wyoming account for approximately 85% of electricity sold to PPW retail customers by jurisdiction. During 2011-2014, revenue, operating income and net income logged compound annual growth rates of 4.60/o, 6.20/o and 7.9%, respectively. Load growth in 2015 is expected to be in the 0.5%-1% range. Business Trends I 2014 Revenue Dynamics I Revenue -Revenue Groryth ($ litil.l 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 , I 2,OOO i t,ooo j I 0 2011 2012 2013 20'.t4 LTM 3t3'.115 Source: Company data, Fitch. EBITDA Dynamics -EB|TDA _EB|TDAMargin ($ ltlit.l 2,500 2,000 , t,soo 1,ooo i 5oo 0 Source:Company data, Fitch (Yo) 7 6 5 4 l3 2 1 0 ll 2011 2012 (%) 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 PacifiCorp July 2,2015 .,,r,r,i.;-ii.rj#:llq:!1i1t'h :li. ti,l lf.!.titi Financial Summary - PacifiCorp (lDR: BBB+rRating Outlook Positive) (S Mil.. as of March 31. 2015)2014201320112012 LTM Ended 2015 Fundamental Ratios (x) Operating EBITDAR(Gross lnterest Expense + Renk) FFO Fixed-Charge Coverage Total Adjusted Debuoporating EBITDAR FFO/Total Adjusted Debt (%) FFcAdjust€d LevErage Common Dividend Payout (%) lntemal Cash/Capex (0/6) Capex/Depreciation (o/o) Retum on Equity (%) Profitability Revenues Revenue Growth (%) Net Re\renues Operating and Maintenance Expense Operating EBITDA Operating EBITDAR Deprecialion and Amortization Expense Operating EBIT Gross lntelest E)ipsnse Net lncome for Common Operating Maintenance Epense % of Net Revenues Operating EBIT 0/6 of Net Revenues Cash Flow Cash FIow from Operations Change in Working Capital Funds from Operaiions Dividends Capex FCF Net Other lnvestrnent Cash Flow Net Change in Debt Net Equity Proceedg Capital Structure Short-Term Debt Total Long-Term Debt To&l Debt with Equity Credit Total Adjusted Debt with Equity Credit Total HyMd Equity and Minority lnter$t Total Common Shareholde/s Equity Totel Capital Total DebuTotal Capital (o/o) Total Hybfid Equity and Minority lntercsUTotal Capital (%) Common Equity/Total Capital (7o) IDR - lssuer Default Rating. Source: Company data, Fitch. 4.2 4.7 4.1 27.6 3.6 99.5 72.0 246.5 7.6 4,586 3.5 2,950 1,103 1,695 1,713 611 1,084 392 553 37.4 36.7 1,636 121 1,515 (552) (1,506) (422) (23) a: 688 6,234 6,922 6,972 21 7,271 14,214 48.7 0.1 51.2 4.3 4.7 4.2 26.4 3.8 37.5 105.9 210.3 7.2 4,882 6.5 3,064 1,242 1,661 1,675 640 1,02',1 380 534 40.5 33.3 1,6n 170 1,457 (202) (1,348) 79 4nl 6,882 6,882 7,009 21 7,603 14,506 47.4 0.1 52.4 4.9 4.8 3.5 27.7 3.6 73.3 98.7 157.8 8.9 5,'t47 5.4 3,22? 't,1't4 1,939 1,955 675 1,264 379 682 34.6 39.2 1,553 34 1,519 (s02) (1,06s) (14) 16 15 (40) 6,878 6,878 6,926 1 7,785 14,664 46.9 0.0 53.1 5"2 5.0 3.5 27.7 3.6 103.9 79.3 146.8 9.0 5,252 2.0 3,255 1,057 2,026 2,042 726 1,300 379 698 32.5 39.9 1,570 (1 0) 1,580 (725) (1,066) (221) (1 3) ,o: 20 7,054 7,074 7,120 1 7,754 14,829 47.7 0.0 52.3 5.1 5.0 3.6 26.8 3.7 99.7 89.1 136.4 9.1 5,214 0.2 3,245 't,o52 2,018 2,O34 736 't,282 379 677 32.4 39.5 1,570 5 1,565 (675) (1,004) (1 0e) (3s) (16) 2'to 7,054 7,2U 7,310 1 7,438 14,703 49.4 0.0 50.6 PacifiCorp July 2,2015 The ratings above were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, Fitch has been compensated for the provision of the ratings. ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. 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