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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20070322Compliance filing, Commitment 120.pdf~!~ !!:t~Q~ c 'c. '0 ' ) ') LU;) I I:: c. \ .... '(' ,\j: \ Pacific Power I Rocky Mountain Power I PacifiCorp Energy 825 NE Multnomah, Suite 1900 LCT Portland. Oregon 97232 ' ~ \-, " March 22, 2007 \L~r " i " \"\ \ ~.:.;.;; \ ... Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington Boise, ill 83702-5983 Attention:Ms. Jean D. Jewell Commission Secretary Re:Idaho Docket No. PAC-O5-08 Compliance Filing To the Idaho Public Utilities Commission: PacifiCorp submits the attachments in compliance with the Commission s Order in this case issued on February 13, 2006 and amended on March 14 2006. The Order approved the Stipulation supporting the acquisition ofPacifiCorp by MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company. Commitment 120 of the Stipulation provides that, PacifiCorp will provide to the Commission, on an informational basis, credit rating agency news releases and final reports regarding PacifiCorp when such reports are known to PacifiCorp and are available to the public. Therefore, in compliance with Commitment 120 of the Stipulation, please find the attached reports related to PacifiCorp. Very truly yours Bruce Williams Vice President and Treasurer Enclosures BW:lb (14-Mar-2007) Research Update: PacifiCorp $600 Million Bonds Rated 'Page I of 3 RESEARCH Research Update: PacifiCorp s $600 Million Bonds Rated ' Publication date: Primary Credit Analyst: 14-Mar-2007 Swami Venkataraman, CFA, San Francisco (1) 415-371-5071; swami- venkataraman~standardandpoors.com Rationale On March 14 , 2007 , Standard & Poor's Ratings Services assigned its to PacifiCorp'$600 million first mortgage bonds due 2037. At the Standard & Poor's affirmed its '' corporate credit rating on the The outlook is stable. The proceeds from the offering will be repay short term debt and for general corporate purposes.PacifiCorp serves 1.7 million customers in six western states and had about $5.8 billion in outstanding debt and preferred stock as of Dec. 31, 2006. On March 21 , 2006, MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co. (MEHC; A-/Stable/-- completed its purchase of PacifiCorp from Scottish Power pIc. The ' A-' corporate credit rating on PacifiCorp reflects MEHC' consolidated credit profile. The rating incorporates MEHC' s strong business risk position , fairly aggressive financial profile, and both explicit and implicit support from Berkshire Hathaway. Explicit support from Berkshire Hathaway is in the form of a $3.5 billion equity commitment agreement, which in our view would be called on , if necessary, to support the rating on MEHC. Neither MEHC nor PacifiCorp displays '' credit metrics on a stand-alone basis. MEHC is expected to fund a significant portion of PacifiCorp' s large upcoming capital program through equity. MEHC has contributed $215 million in equity to date since acquiring PacifiCorp in March 2006. MEHC's business prof ile score is strong at '. (Business profiles are categorized from '1' (excellent) to '10' (vulnerable)). This score incorporates the significant diversity of MEHC's businesses , limited exposure to unregulated ventures (less than 10% of operating income in future), and our expectation that MEHC's future acquisitions will be in the regulated utility segment and not in unregulated or commodity-exposed businesses. MEHC' strategy has been to acquire regulated utilities that can benefit from its established record of enhancing operational and financial performance through a mixture of improved regulatory relationships , cost reductions, and the funding of investment with the use of equity sufficient to maintain roughly a 50-50 capital structure. MEHC owns PacifiCorp through PPW Holdings LLC, a special-purpose entity that ring-fences PacifiCorp from MEHC as required by the Oregon Public Utilities Commission. The ring-fencing includes structural protections, covenants , a pledge of stock, and an independent director. PacifiCorp also agreed to refrain from making dividends to MEHC unless it maintains a common equity ratio of 48.25% through 2008, decreasing annually to 44% by 2012. These factors serve to protect PPW Holdings LLC and PacifiCorp from an MEHC bankruptcy. Due to the ring-fencing, PacifiCorp's corporate credit rating could potentially be as high as three notches above MEHC' s rating, provided its stand-alone credit quality supported such an elevation. Currently, theutilitys stand-alone credit metrics are in the ' BBB' category and do not warrant a rating above MEHC' PacifiCorp's business profile is a satisfactory ' 5', reflecting apredominantly coal-fired generation base that produces competitive, low cost power; average markets, which by virtue of their disparate locations provide a degree of economic and geographical di versi ty; and the potential for improved operating efficiencies through MEHC' s ownership. Challenges that are reflected in PacifiCorp ' s business risk include its exposure to wholesale purchases and hydro variability (about 70% of PacifiCorp' s 2005 energy requirements came 'A-' rating same time, company.used to https://www.ratingsdirectcom/ Apps/RD/controller/ Article?id=567029&type=&outputTyp...3/14/2007 (14-Mar-2007) Research Update: PacifiCorp s $600 Million Bonds Rated 'Page 2 of 3 from owned coal , 21% from purchases , 5% from hydro , and 4% from natural gas), limited fuel and purchased power adjustment mechanisms, and the sometimes-difficult regulatory environments where the company operates. The company has been consistently unable to earn its authorized return on equity, which ranges from 10%-10., depending on the state. In 2006, PacifiCorp settled rate cases, originally filed under the ownership of Scottish Power , in all its jurisdictions but for Washington. Although settlements provide PacifiCorp with revenues lower than requested , sometimes substantially so as in Oregon, and generally prevent the company from going back for rate increases for at least another year , these are largely in linewi th assumptions in our forecasts. MEHC, through Pacif iCorp and MidAmerican Energy Co., has 10 state regulators, which presents unique logistical and performance challenges. Finally, Senate Bill 408 in Oregon will continue to remain a moderate risk for PacifiCorp. Although the tax apportionment rule based on property, sales and payroll appears fairly neutral to PacifiCorp, there is potentialthat, in a bad year , PacifiCorp' s stand-alone tax bill would be lower than what it collects from customers and that may require a refund under the second of the three rules of SB408. The third rule , namely the prospect that Berkshire Hathaway as a whole would pay less in taxes than PacifiCorp alone collects from its ratepayers , is extremely unlikely to occur. We expect that MEHC will contribute substantial equity to fund PacifiCorp's $6.4 billion capital program over the next five years and that a combination of cost reductions and improved regulatory relationships will eventually enable PacifiCorp to improve its financial performance to achieve returns closer to its authorized ROE. This is something PacifiCorp wasn't able to do in recent years under Scottish Power's ownership. These factors should result in an overall improvement in PacifiCorp' s credit metrics. Under the consolidated rating methodology, we focus primarily on MEHC' s consolidated financial profile. While MEHC' s credit metrics are improving, ratios are clearly weak for the ' A-' rating, which benefits from Berkshire Hathaway's support. During 2006, funds from operations coverage (FFO) of interest and debt stood at 3. 4x and 11., respectively. Debt to total capital had shown a substantial improvement from 77.8% as of Dec. 31 , 2005 to approximately 69% as of Dec. 31 , 2006, mainly reflecting the equity infusion for the acquisition of PacifiCorp. Credit metrics should continue to improve over the next few years as MEHC deleverages PacifiCorp through substantial equity infusions and reinvestment of operating cash flow. Short-term credit factorsPacifiCorp's 'A-short-term rating benefits from the explicit and implicit support that MEHC receives from Berkshire Hathaway. We assume that Berkshire Hathaway's extremely strong liquidity would be available to PacifiCorp via MEHC in the unlikely event that PacifiCorp could not repay its CP obligations. Explicit support exists in the form of a $3.5 billion equity commitment agreement between Berkshire Hathaway and MEHC that could be called on to support the liquidity requirements of MEHC's regulated subsidiaries, includingPacifiCorp. PacifiCorp had cash of $59 million as of Dec. 31 , 2006 and an $800 million revolving credit agreement that expires in July 2011. There were no borrowings under the revolver but it supports $79.7 million of commercial paper and various pollution control revenue bonds. Current maturities of long-term debt are manageable at $325.5 million. PacifiCorp's large capital expenditure program will require substantial external funding, including equity contributions from and zero dividends to MEHC to maintain financialratios. Outlook The stable outlook reflects our expectation that MEHC will deleverage PacifiCorp through equity infusions and reinvestment of cash flow into its extensi ve capital expendi ture program and work to improve Pacif iCorp' s regulatory relationships and operating efficiency. We also assume that Berkshire Hathaway will provide credit support and future investment capital https:llwww.ratingsdirectcom/Apps/RD/controller 1 Article?id= 567 029&type=&outputTyp...3/14/2007 (14-Mar-2007) Research Update: PacifiCorp s $600 Million Bonds Rated 'Page 3 of 3 as needed to PacifiCorp. PacifiCorp' s rating could fall to a level commensurate with its stand-alone credit quality if MEHC' s rating is lowered.PacifiCorp's rating has limited near-term upside, as its credit metrics on a stand-alone basis fall well short of the 'A' category. Ratings List New Rating PacifiCorp $600 mil 1st mortg bonds due 2037 Rating Affirmed Corporate credit rating A- /Stable/A- Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect, the real- time Web- based source for Standard & Poor's credi t ratings, research , and risk analysis, at www. ratingsdirect. com. All ratings affected by this rating action can be found on Standard & Poor s public Web site at www.standardandpoors.com; under Credit Ratings in the left navigation bar, select Find a Rating, then Credit Ratings Search. Analytic services provided by Standard & Poor s Ratings Services (Ratings Services) are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of ratings opinions. The credit ratings and observations contained herein are solely statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly, any user of the information contained herein should not rely on any credit rating or other opinion contained herein in making any investment decision. Ratings are based on information received by Ratings Services. Other divisions of Standard & Poor s may have information that is not available to Ratings Services. Standard & Poor has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during the ratings process. Ratings Services receives compensation for its ratings. Such compensation is normally paid either by the issuers of such securities or third parties participating in marketing the securities. While Standard & Poor s reserves the right to disseminate the rating, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees. Copyright iGJ 2007 Standard & Poor , a division of The McGraw-Hili Companies. All Rights Reserved- Privacy Notice Tire McGrow'Hill Comptmfe$i1j~1\iii:lkl" '" ' I, https://www.ratingsdirectcom/Apps/RD/controller/ Article?i d=567029&type=&outputTyp...3/14/2007 Fitch Press.Release Page 1 of FitchRatin KIUlW YOUR RI$I\ Fitch: ,InfoCenter: Press Releases Fitch Rates PacifiCorp s$600MM Issuance of FMBs Ra.tiM 12 Mar20Q79:08AM (EDT) Fitch Ra,tings-New York.t2March2007: Fitch Ratings has assigned a ratirigof ~A-to PacifiCorp s (PPW) anticipatedissuance,df $600 million 5.75% first mortgage bonds (FMBs), due April 1, 2037. Proceedsfrorn the issuance will be used to repay shorHerm debtand forgeneralcorpbrate purposes. The Rating Outlook for PPW is Stable. The ratings fotPPWreflect the company s solid finanqiaLposition, competitive resource base, and relatively low busIness risk profile. The ratings assumereasonableputcomesin pending and future r,';lte proqeeQings to, recovetanticipqted, significant capit(1linvestment. PPWa,ppears to be making solid progrE:iSs on the regulatory front, achieving commission approval of settlement agreernentsduring 2006 related to general rate case proceedings in utah ,Oregon, Wyoming, Idaho and California. In addition" PPW recently received a staff recommendation in its pending Washington general rate case of$12 rnillion-$16rniUibn in which the company requested a$.23million (10'%;) rate Jrmrease. The rate case was filed inOctober2008andafil1al brder expected later this year. Fitch'S analysis also takes ihtoaccount PPW's projected above-industry-average Mrvice t~rritorygrowth, primarily in its Eastern service territory,signifil';antplannedinvestmentin new plantincJuding renewablesand infrastructure to meet its load requirements, andit~ grQwingexposure to gc:ts-fired generating capacity~ PPW's capitClI investment is expected to increClseto$1.bUlionin2007from$1 billion in 2006 and spending on new planLand equipment over the next 10 years is estimClted to approximate $16 billion. The potential for unsuppbttive regulatory actions, especially in light of thecornpany s large construction budget isa primary source6f concern for inVestors. Additionally, PPWfacesgrowing reliance on gas~firedgeneration and exposure to highcomrnodityc6stsintheeVent of a prolonged, unsCheduledhase-loadplant outage during a period of high demand. Changes in utility tax policy mandated by OrEigonSehClteBill408are also an ongoing source of uncertainty forPPW investors. PPW,a wholly owned subsidiClry of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company, provides integrated electric service to approximately 1.7 million retail customers in parts of Utah, Oregon, Wyoming,Washington, Idaho and California. Cbntact.PhilipW. Smyth, CFA +1-212~908-0531, New York; or Karen Anderson +l-c312~368-3165, Chicago, Media Relations: Brian Bertsch , New York, Tel: +1 212-908-0549. Fitch's rating definitions and the termSbf use of SllCh ratings are available on the agency s public site www.fitChratings.corn'. Published ratings, criter'iaandmethodologiesareavailablefromthissite, at all tirries. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewaU,corripliahceand other relevant policies and procedures are also available fr(jrnthe 'CodeofConduct'sectionoUhis site. CQPyright ~2007 by FItch, Inc" Fitch Ratings Ltd. and its subsidiaries. http:/ Ifitchratings .comlcreditdesk/press releases/detail.cfm?p ri nt== 1 &pr _id=34687 4 3/13/2007