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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20060915Compliance filing, credit reports.pdf~ ~~~t~t~Qo RECEIVED Pacific Power I Rocky Mountain Power I PacifiCorp Energy 825 NE Multnomah. Suite 1900 LCT Portland. Oregon 97232 2006 SEP I 5 AM 9: 18 IDAHO (UdL_ UTILITIES COiAMISSION September 15 2006 Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington Boise, ill 83702-5983 Attention:Ms. Jean D. Jewell Commission Secretary Re:Idaho Docket No. PAC-O5-08 Compliance Filing To the Idaho Public Utilities Commission: PacifiCorp hereby submits an original and eight (8) copies of the attachment in compliance with the Commission s Order in this case issued on February 13 2006 and amended on March 14 2006. The Order approved the Stipulation supporting MEHC's acquisition ofPacifiCorp from ScottishPower. Commitment 120 of the Stipulation provides that, PacifiCorp will provide to the Commission, on an informational basis, credit rating agency news releases and final reports regarding PacifiCorp when such reports are known to PacifiCorp and are available to the public. Therefore, in compliance with Commitment 120 of the Stipulation, please find the attached report ~elated to PacifiCorp. Very truly yours Bruce Williams Treasurer Enclosure Fi tchRatings KNOW YOUR RISK Corporate Finance Global Power/North America Credit Analysis PacifiCorp (Subsidiary of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co. Ratings Security Class lOR Senior Secured Sr. Unsecured Preferred Stock Short-Term lOR Current Rating BBB+ BBB Previous Rating BBB+ BBB+ Date Changed 1/31/06 1/31/06 1/31/06 1/31/06 12/6/05 !DR - Issuer default rating. NR - Not rated. Rating Watch................................................ None Rating Outlook............................................Stable Analysts Philip W. Smyth, CFA +1212908-0531 philip. smyth~fi tchratings .com Karen Anderson +1312368-3165 karen .anderson~fi tchra tings.com Profile PPW is an indirect operating utility subsidiary of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co., which is 88% owned by Berkshire Hathaway Inc. PPW provides integrated electric service to 6 million retail customers in parts of six Western states: Utah, Oregon, Wyoming, Washington, Idaho and California. Related Research Credit Analysis: March 7, 2006. Credit Update: April 14, 2005. Key Credit Strengths Solid operating cash flow and financial position. Relatively low-cost energy resource base. Key Credit Concerns Ongoing negative fi-ee cash flow due to high capital expenditure requirements. Growing reliance on natural gas-fired generation. Adverse Oregon tax ruling in GRC may signal deterioration in the state regulatory climate. August 31 , 2006 Rating Rationale PacifiCorp s (PPW) ratings and Stable Rating Outlook reflect the company solid operating cash flow and financial position competitive resource base, and relatively low business risk profile. The ratings assume reasonable outcomes in pending and future rate proceedings. Fitch Ratings' analysis also takes into account the utility s projected above-industry-average service territory growth (primarily in its Eastern service territory), significant planned investment in new plant and infrastructure to meet its load requirements, and its growing exposure to gas-fired generating capacity. Capital expenditures for the nine months ended Dec. 31 , 2006, are expected to approximate $945 million. The primary credit concern is the potential for unsupportive regulatory actions, especially in light of the company s large construction budget and historically low earned returns. Additionally, PPW faces growing exposure to gas-fired generation and potentially high commodity costs in the event of a prolonged, unscheduled, base-load plant outage during a period of high demand. Recent unfavorable regulatory developments in Washington and uncertainty regarding utility tax policy in Oregon are sources of concern for investors. Fitch views recent general rate case (GRC) settlements in PPW's two largest jurisdictions, Utah and Oregon, favorably. In addition, PPW recently implemented rate increases consistent with the tenns of its commission-approved stipulation in its Wyoming GRC (see the Recent Developments section for further infonnation). However, regulators and policy makers in Oregon continue to send mixed signals to investors. The Oregon Public Utility Commission s (OPUC) anticipated September 2006 final order in a proceeding to establish pennanent rules implementing Senate Bill No. 408 (SB 408) could have an adverse effect on PPW. Fitch notes that the OPUC reduced PPW's revenue requirement by $26.6 million in its 2005 GRC to reflect the provisions of SB 408, which was enacted in September 2005. Recent Developments PPW recently reached settlement agreements in its pending GRCs in Utah and Oregon, which, if approved by regulators, would result in base-rate increases of $115 million and $43 million, respectively. Under the tenns of the settlement agreement in Utah, the $115 million (10%) rate increase will be phased in, with the rates scheduled to increase of $85 million (7.4%) initially on Dec. 11 2006. The second- phase rate increase of $30 million (2.6%) is to be implemented on www.fitchratings.com FitchRa tings KNOW YOUR RISK Corporate Finance June 1 , 2007. PPW agreed not to file another ORC until after Dec. 11 2007. In addition, PPW agreed to withdraw its petition to implement a fuel-adjustment mechanism in Utah. Hearings on the proposed settlement are scheduled to begin later this month and a final order is expected in the fall of 2006. The $43 million rate increase included in the settlement of PPW's 2006 Oregon ORC, if approvedby the commission, would be effective on Jan. 1 2007. Under the te1Tl1s of the agreement, PPW will not file a new rate case prior to Sept. 1, 2007. A final OPUC ruling is expected in December 2006. Earlier this year, PPW received approval from the Wyoming Public Service Commission for a total annual rate increase of $25 million, a power cost- adjustment mechanism and an agreement to utilize a forward test year in its next ORe. The rate increase was phased in under the te1Tl1s of the settlement, with the initial $15 million rate increase effective on March 1 , 2006, and the remaining $10 million on July 1 2006. In addition, settlements have been reached with parties in Idaho and California that would permit annual rate increases of $8.million and $7.3 million, respectively. In April 2006, the Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission (WUTC) issued an order in response to PPW's GRC filed in May 2005. The order denied the utility s $30 million rate increase request. The WUTC also rejected PPW's subsequent petition for reconsideration and a limited rate increase of not less that $11 million. In Fitch's view the WUTC's rejection ofPPW's rate increase request is a setback for the interjurisdictional cost allocation method under the revised protocol and is a hurdle to improved earned returns. The company is evaluating its legal and regulatory options to recover prudently incurred costs in Washington. Liquidity and Debt Structure At June 30, 2006, PPW had approximately $304 million of short-te1Tl1 debt outstanding and cash and equivalents of $73 million on its balance sheet. On Aug. 7, 2006, PPW issued $350 million 6.10% of its first mortgage bonds, due in 2036. Proceeds from the issuance will be used to repay short-te1Tl1 debt and for general corporate purposes. PPW'total long- and short-te1Tl1 debt was $4.3 billion, and its debt-to-total capital ratio was 51 % at June 30 2006. Debt-to-funds from operations, at the end of the second quarter of 2006 was 5.1 times (x). PPW received a $74 million capital infusion in the second quarter from its direct parent PacifiCorp Holdings, Inc. During July 2006, PPW renegotiated its committed $800 million revolving credit facility, extending the maturity date to July 2011 from August 2010. The credit agreement contains a maximum debt-to-total capitalization covenant of 65%. Rating Outlook Rationale The Stable Rating Outlook assumes balanced regulatory outcomes in response to pending and prospective rate filings. However recent regulatory developments have been mixed. PPW recently filed proposed settlement agreements with regulators in its respective GRC filings in Oregon and Utah. The filing of the proposed settlements along with the implementation of higher rates and adoption of a fuel-adjustment mechanism in Wyoming, are constructive events, in Fitch's view. Less favorable regulatory events include the rejection of PPW's proposed rate increase in its 2005 ORC in Washington, the 2005 rate cut related to implementation of SB 408 in its 2005 Oregon ORC and continuing uncertainty regarding final SB 408 rules, which are expected to be issued by September 2006. What Could Lead to Positive Rating Action? Greater than anticipated relative reduction. debt What Could Lead to Negative Rating Action? Adverse regulatory developments, especiallyin light of the company s large capital expenditures program. . A major, extended generating plant outage. PacifiCorp FitchRatings Corporate Finance KNOW YOUR RISK Financial Summary - PacifiCorp ($ Mil., Fiscal Years Ended March 31) LTM 6/30/06 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Fundamental Ratios (x) Funds from Operations/Interest Expense Cash from Operations/Interest Expense DebUFunds from Operations 5.4 12. Operating EBITllnterest Expense Operating EBITDAllnterest Expense 4.4 DebUOperating EBITDA 3.4 Common Dividend Payout (%)35.65.65.94.98. Internal Cash/Capital Expenditures (%)62.76.74.121.133.4 6.4 Capital ExpenditureslDepreciation (%)244.190.158.128.116.125.4 Profitability Revenues 875 897 049 195 082 354 Net Revenues 347 352 101 038 902 888 O&M Expense 016 015 913 896 885 781 Operating EBITDA 232 240 093 047 923 017 Depreciation and Amortization Expense 453 448 437 429 434 403 Operating EBIT 779 792 656 618 489 614 Interest Expense 279 267 257 270 228 221 Net Income for Common 355 359 250 245 133 315 O&M % of Net Revenues 43.43.43.44.46.41.4 Operating EBIT % of Net Revenues 33.33.31.30.25.32. Cash Flow Cash Flow from Operations 817 895 711 832 682 343 Change in Working Capital (19)(103)(28)(75) Funds from Operations 836 840 814 860 756 333 Dividends (126)(177)(195)(165)(7)(310) Capital Expenditures 108)(852)(690)(550)(505)(505) Free Cash Flow (418)(134)(175)117 169 (473) Net Other Investment Cash Flow (13)(63) Net Change in Debt (138)(266)472 (57)(297)668 Net Change in Equity 433 485 143 (100) Capital Structure Short-Term Debt 659 405 742 369 162 322 Long-Term Debt 620 762 678 577 759 895 Total Debt 278 167 4,420 945 921 217 Preferred and Minority Equity 108 116 Common Equity 121 011 336 279 194 892 Total Capital 8,441 219 797 265 224 225 Total DebtITotal Capital (%)50.50.56.54.54.58.4 Preferred and Minority EquitylTotal Capital (%)1.6 Common EquitylTotal Capital (%)48.48.42.45.44.40. L TM - Latest 12 months. Operating EBIT - Operating income before nonrecurring items. Operating EBITDA - Operating income before nonrecurring items plus depreciation and amortization expense. O&M - Operations and maintenance. Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding and are adjusted for interest and principal payments on transition property securitization certificates. Long-term debt includes trust preferred securities. Source: Financial data obtained from SNL Energy Information System, provided under license by SNL Financial, LC of Chartoltesville, Va. Copyright (!;) 2006 by Fitch. Inc., Fitch Ratings Ud and its subsidiaries. One State Street Plaza, NY, NY 10004. relephone: 1-800-753-4824. (212) 908-0500. Fax: (212) 480-4435. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved All of theinfonnation contained herein is based on infonnalion obtained from issuers, other obligors, undelWriters, and other sources which Fitch believes 10 be reliable. Filch does not audit or verify the truth or accuracy of any such infonnation. 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Theassigrunent, publication, or dissemination of a rating by Fitch shall not constitute a consent by Fitch to use its name as an expert in connection with any registration statement filed under the United States securities laws, the Financial Services and Markets Acl of 2000 of Great Britain, or the securities laws of any particular jurisdiction. Due to the relative efficiency of electronic publishing and distribution, Fitch research may be available to electronic subscribers up 10 three days earlier than to print subscribers. PacifiCorp