Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout20031211Application.pdfRECEIVED 2003 December PM 3:31 IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION 825 E. Multnomah Portland, Oregon 97232 (503) 813-5000 PACIFICORP Rl\CIFIC POWER UTAH F'OWER December 5, 2003 Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington Boise, ill 83702-5983 -=P I'\-c - 0 3 - Attention:Jean D. Jewell Commission Secretary Re: Advice No. 03- Schedule 72 - Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider Pacificorp (d.a. Utah Power & Light Company) hereby submits for electronic filing a copy of the following proposed tariff changes associated with Tariff LP.C. No. 28 of Utah Power & Light Company applicable to electric service in the State ofIdaho. The Company respectfully requests an effective date of January 7, 2004. Second Revised Sheet No. 72. Third Revised Sheet No. 72.3 First Revised Sheet No. 72.4 Schedule 72 Schedule 72 Schedule 72 Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider The proposed tariff changes reflect the proposed changes referenced in the Company November 28, 2003 filing. (See Attachment A). The requested effective date of January 7, 2004 would allow the Company sufficient time to comply with the customer notification requirements based on the terms ofthe proposed tariff changes, or based on the terms in the existing tariff. If the Commission elects not to approve these proposed conditions with the January 7, 2004 effective date, the Company would consider it an acceptable outcome to administer the Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider program for the 2004 irrigation season based on the existing conditions of Schedule No. 72. Pcoud Span,o, of me 200212004 US. Olympic Team Advice No. 03- PacifiCorp December 5, 2003 Page 2 The Company will submit a separate compliance filing including the Load Control Service Credit amounts for the 2004 irrigation season. The credit amounts will be calculated based on the same methodology used to determine the 2003 Load Control Service Credit amounts. It is respectfully requested that all formal correspondence and Staff requests regarding this material be addressed to: By E-mail (preferred):datarequestUfuJacifi corp. com By Fax:(503) 813-6060 By regular mail:Data Request Response Center PacifiCorp 825 NE Multnomah St., Suite 800 Portland, OR 97232 Informational questions should be directed to Bob Lively, Manager, Regulation, (801) 220-4052. Sincerely, e~/~~ ! 1Jif Vice President, Regulation Enclosures utahAir.. C. No. 28 Second Revision of Sheet No. 72. Canceling First Revision of Sheet No 72. ELECTRIC SERVICE SCHEDULE NO 72 - ContinuedSCHEDULE: (C) Notification of Credit: The Company will determine the Fixed Monthly Participation Credit and the kWh Credit and shall provide notification of the LCSC to Schedule 10 customers by January 15th ofeach calendar year. (C) Load Control Service Agreement: ConcUITent with the Notification of Credit referenced above the Company will provide a Load Control Service Agreement (LCSA) listing the amO1mt of credit the customer will receive during the irrigation season if they elect to participate in the program. Customers desiring to participate in this load control program shall sign the LCSA and return it to the Company by February 15th of each calendar year to indicate their intent to participate. Notification of Load Control Schedule: The Company will provide the participating Customers the scheduled hours for load control during the Irrigation Season by March 15th of each calendar year. Subject to the limitations described in the Load Control Conditions below, the Company shall have the right to establish at its sole discretion the scheduled load control hours for each participating customer, based on what the Company deems most beneficial to its operations. The scheduled load control hours shall be fixed through the Irrigation Season. Following the Notification of Load Control, customers may notify the Company of their intent to terminate from the program, without penalty until April 15th of each calendar year. Customers notifying the Company of their intent to terminate from participation in the program after April 15th shall be subject to the terms of Special Condition No., Early Termination. LOAD CONTROL CONDITIONS: The Company shall have the right to implement a load control event for participating customers during the hours 2PM to 8PM Mountain Daylight Savings Time. Duration of the load control event can be no more than six (6) continuous hours. Allowable days for load control shall be each Monday through Saturday. No more than two (2) load control events per participating customer per week shall be allowed. Maximum number of hours of load control per participating customer is twelve (12) hours per week. No more than one load.control event per participating customer may occur in one day. (Continued) Submitted Under Advice Letter No. 03- ISSUED: December 5,2003 EFFECTIVE: January 7, 2004 (N) (N) (0) (C) (C) (D) utahAir" C. No. 28 Third Revision of Sheet No. 72. Canceling Second Revision of Sheet No. 72. ELECTRIC SERVICE SCHEDULE NO 72 - Continued LOAD CONTROL SERVICE AGREEMENT: The Customer and Company will execute an agreement for irrigation load control participation. The agreement shall specify the Load Control kW amount that the customer shall curtail during a load control event. The agreement shall also specify the cost of timers or other load control devices required to achieve scheduled load control events that the customer will pay subject to the terms of Special Condition 8, Cost of Control Devices. The agreement will also include typical costs that the customer may incur for early termination. Participating customers shall sign a written agreement for a term of one year. Except as provided in this Schedule, termination of the agreement may only occur on the annual expiration date of the agreement. Participating customers are required to execute a Load Control Service Agreement annually. (C) (C) SPECIAL CONDmONS: 1. Metering. The Customer must have a meter provided by the Company, which is capable of recording usage intervals no less than 15 minutes. 2. Specified Load Control kW. The Load Control kW amount for each month of the Irrigation Season shall be the average of the past three (3) years (or as available history) kW demand for each month for the specific pump installation. 3. Outages. Uncontrolled outages or other types of interruptions do not qualify for payment under this tariff. 4. Liability. The Company is not responsible for any consequences to the participating Customer that result from a Load Control Event or the failure of load control equipment. 5. Load Shifting.Customers participating in this program may not shift irrigation load to other facilities served by the Company or purchase replacement production from another facility served by the Company. PacifiCorp reserves the right to determine if the participating customer is in violation of Special Condition 5, Load Shifting. Violation of Special Condition No.5 shall result in Early Termination under the terms of Special Condition No., forfeiture of the Load Control Service Credit for the current month, and removal from the program for the remainder of the hrigation Season. 6. Failure to futerrupt During a Load Control Event.A Customer must participate in each scheduled load control event during the irrigation season, except to the extent unable to due to mechanical failure or malfunction of the load control device. PacifiCorp reserves the right to (Continued) Submitted Under Advice Letter No. 03- ISSUED: December 5, 2003 EFFECTIVE: January 7 2004 utahAir.., C. No. 28 First Revision of Sheet No. 72.4 Canceling Original Sheet No 72.4 ELECTRIC SERVICE SCHEDULE NO 72 - Continued SPECIAL CONDITIONS: (Continued) determine if load control devices were intentionally damaged to limit load control. Violation of Special Condition No.6 shall result in Early Termination under the terms of Special Condition No.7, forfeiture of the Load Control Service Credit for the current month, and removal from the program for the remainder of the Irrigation Season. 7. Early Termination. If the Customer is terminated from this program the Customer shall be responsible for reimbursing the Company for costs associated with participation in the program. Such costs include, but are not limited to, direct and indirect labor costs associated with enrolling the Customer in the program, investigating intentional damage to load control devices removing the customer from the program, and will not include costs for replacement power. Customers required to pay costs associated with early termination under terms of this Special Condition will be provided a statement detailing such costs. 8. Cost of Control Devices.The participating Customer shall pay the cost of timers or other load control devices and associated installation. Such costs include, but are not limited to, direct and indirect costs of load control devices, labor, and material and equipment required to achieve scheduled load control events. The participating Customer shall pay such cost only to the extent that they exceed one thousand dollars per meter. Customers required to pay the cost control devices under terms of this Special Condition will be provided a statement detailing such costs. 9. Free Riders.Customers may not participate in this program with accounts and meters that would not have used power during the Irrigation Season irrespective of participation in the program. PacifiCorp reserves the right to determine if the participating customer is in violation of Special Condition 9, Free Riders. Violation of Special Condition No.9 shall result in Early Termination under the terms of Special Condition No.7, forfeiture of the Load Control Service Credit for the current month, and removal from the program for the remainder of the Irrigation Season. ELECTRIC SERVICE REGULATIONS: Service under this Schedule will be in accordance with the terms of the Electric Service Agreement between the Customer and the Company. The Electric Service Regulations of the Company on file with and approved by the Idaho Public Utilities Commission, including future applicable amendments, will be considered as forming a part of and incorporated in said Agreement. (Continued) Submitted Under Advice Letter No. 03- ISSUED: December 5, 2003 EFFECTIVE: January 7, 2004 (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) (C) ATTACHMENT A PacifiCorp November 28 , 2003 Filing 825 ' Multnomah Portland, Oregon 97232 (503) 813-5000 PACIFICORP IW:IFIC . POWER UTAH POWER November 28 2003 Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington Boise, ill 83702-5983 Attention:Jean D. Jewell Commissic;m Secretary Idaho 2003 Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider Program Impact Evaluation Report Re: Pacificorp (d.a. Utah Power & Light CompfU1Y) hereby submits an original arid eight copies of the Idaho 2003 Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider Program Impact Evaluation Report. The purpose of this filing is to comply with Commission Order No. 29209 where in the Company was directed to submit a report at the end of the 2003 irrigation season sUmmarizing the results of Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider program (program). The required Program evaluation is provided herein as Attachment A. Also in compliance with Commission Order No. 29209 the Company recommends the following changes toim'prove the program. The intent of these recommendations is twofold: (1) streamline the enrolhnent process and (2) mitigate potential customer concerns that may have limited customer participation in the 2003 Program. The Company proposes to: 1. Provide customers with a Load Control Service Agreement by January 15th of each year together with the Load Control Service Credit notification (the credit the customer would receive should they elect to participate). The Load Control Service Agreement will include the amount of credit the customer would receive during the upcoming irrigation season if participation is elected. 2. Require that customers sign and return the Load Control Service Agreement by February 15th of each year to indicate their intention to participate in the Program. 3. . Notify participating customers of the scheduled hours for load control during the irrigation season by March 15th of each calendar year. 4. Pennit participating customers to notify the Company of their intent to opt out of the Program without penalty by April 15th. Under the Company proposal customers 9)) cmud Spon,o, of th, 20021200' U~. O~mp;cT"m Noveniber 28, 2003 Idaho 2003 Irrigation Load Control Report PacifiCorp Page 2 of2 notifying the Company of their intent to opt out of the Program after April 15th shall. be . subject to the terms of Special Condition No.7, Early Termination (Schedule No. 72). 5. Not enforce the ineligibility for the 2004 irrigation season for customers who submitted an Intent to Participate Notification in the in 2003 Program but subsequently failed to execute a Load Control Service Agreement. This proposal is based on the Company recommendation to eliminate the Intent to Participate Notification as part of the 2004Program. . 6. To limit the potential cost for participating customers under tenns of Special Condition No 8 , Cost of Load Control Devices (Schedule No. 72) to such costs only to the extent that they exceed one thousand dollars. The Company will separately file tariff changes reflecting these recommendations together with the Load Control Service Credit for the 2004 irrigation season. It is respectfully requested that all formal colTespondence and staff requests regarding this matter be addressed to : By E-mail (prefelTed):datarequest~pacifi com. com By Fax:(503) 813-6060 By regular mail:Data Request Response Center PacifiCorp 825NEMultnomah St., Suite 800 Portland, OR 97232 Informal questions should be directed to Bob Lively (801) 220-4052. Sincerely, L~",--/ i?1-. Doug IJarson Vice President, Regulation Enclosures ATTACHMENT A IDAHO 2003 IRRIGATION LOAD CONTROL CREDIT RIDER PROGRAM IMPACT EVALUATION REPORT NOVEMBER 2003 Final Report Idaho 2003 Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider Program Impact Evaluation Submitted to: PacifiCorp Prepared by: Allen Lee, Ph. Brian Hedman Collin Elliot Quantec, LLC November 2003 Table of Contents ntrod uction . ... .......... ~........................... ........ ..... ......... ........ 1- Background ' ........ ................. ........... ...... """"'" .............. ..". ....... ..... ........ 1-1 ' Response to the Idaho Public Utilities Commission Staff Recommendations .... ...... .'... ................... ......... .................... ......... ;...... ..... 1- Overview of Evaluation Approach.................................................:........ 1- II.Data and Assumptions ............. .......................... .............. 11- Energy Data and Ben,efits Valuation ..... .'......................................!......... ll- Costs, ... ...... ....... """'" """""" ........... .... """""""""""" ........ .......... """'" ll- III. Cost-Effectiveness Analysis........................................... 111- Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.................................................................1II- Inputs ...................................:................................................................ I11- Results ........... .... ....... ............ ................... ........... .... ........... ................... Ill- 3 . auantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program introduction Backg rou nd Pursuant to the Company s commitment and Commission Order No. 29034, PacifiCorp agreed to work with irrigators to develop an optional load control program beginning with the 2003-irrigation season. In December 2002 and January 2003 the Company met with representatives of the Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association and the, irrigation customer class to explain the Company s proposed program and to solicit comments and suggestions from the impacted customers. Based on feedback from customers, PacifiCorp filed its proposed Irrigation Load Control Credit Rider Program (program) on January 31, 2003. On March 17,2003, the Idaho Commission approved the PacifiCorp Program for implementation beginning with the 2003 irrigation season. Response to the Idaho Public Utilities Commission Staff Recommendations In March 2003 the Idaho Public Utilities Commission issued Order No. 29209. The order included IPUC Staff recommendations for PacifiCorp to . prepare a report as follows: ... prepare a detailed report on the program and file it with the Commission. The filing should be made no later than December 1,2003 and should contain the number of irrigation customers who 1) were eligible to participate in the program, 2) filed a letter of intent to participate, 3) entered into a load control service agreement, 4) participated in the programfor the full three and one-half months and 5) those not eligible to participate next year. The report should also include the total dollar amount of credits provided under the program identified by month. The filing should further include any proposed changes or recommendations to improve the program. (Order No. 29209, page . auantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 1-1 Commission Findings in Order No. 29209 directed the Company to: ... submit a report aNhe end of the 'irrigation season summarizing its results. The report once filed will be noticed for comment and we anticipate thflt recommendations for program changes will result in an improved program for the 2004 irrigation season. lOrder No. 29209, page The following information responds to the aforementioned IPUC Staff recommendations. Table 1.2 provide~ the data requested regarding customer participation. Table 1.2: Number of Irrigation Customers by Category f""'7", --. ttisiom'etCateg6iy"'7?"-"Jr7'T" " .""~" """ ." Numl)er". ,..",.,. ..n Were eligible to participate in the program 015 accounts /4,466 individually metered sites Filed a letter of intent to participate 915 Entered into a load control service agreement 207 different customers /403 individually metered sites Participated in the program for the full three 207 customers / 402 sites and OIie-half months Were not el~gible to participate next year 708 The total dollar amount of credits provided under the program, identified by month, are summarized in Table 1.3. Additionally, Table 1.4 shows the actual avoided demand by month and control period. Table 1.3: 2003 Avoided Demand and Participation Credit (LCSC) r?' ?~"- ~Kion ~?, ~..;7 JCl \:~~1i ~~~s ~=-fr' June $60,971, July $93,539. August $97 749.45 September $25,323. Total participation credit $277 ,583. Note: Avoided demand (kW) shown should be divided by two to derive the effective average control-day avoided demand. This is because each irrigator was controlled only tWo of the four possible control days. Actual avoided demand by control day is presented in Table 1.4 quantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program Data and Assumptions Energy Data and Benefits Valuation PacifiCorp provided the data used in this evaluation. For this Program, Quantec saw no need to collect energy impact data independently for the following reasons: . The design of the Program was straightforward-participating pumps were . required to be off for the full period during control days . PacifiCorp had good documentation on which pumps were participating and their power rating . PacifiCorp did measure loads on specific circuits and substations and the results clearly demonstrated dramatic power drops during the control periods Random inspections conducted at about 8% of the participating sites found that the equipment was performing flawlessly and that only 3% (1 of 32) of the participants had done anything to override the control system. Figure n.I demonstrates the impact of the Program on the irrigation daily load shape. These SCADA data are from the /IDAHO/BGRASY transmission substation (CB #67) and show measured loads recorded during selected days. This substation was selected because it had a substantial number of Program participants (participants represented 29% of this circuit's load). The graph shows the loads averaged for the control days Monday/Wednesd~yand Tuesdayffhursday and for Friday, a non-control day. Although the load shape and magnitudes vary by day, the impact of the Program is clearly shown as a . significant and sharp load drop during the control hours.2 This figure although not conclusive, is consistent with the expected impact of the Program on demand during the control period. The participant had not intentionally tried to violate the system control but had damaged it during an emergency situation. . The actual levels of demand displayed for the different days should be considered only illustrative since the data represent only five days out of the entire irrigation season. The levels are likely to be influenced by exogenous and short-term variables such as weather, non-irrigation loads, and agricultural practices. A more accurate display of relative usage magnitudes would require longer-term measurements. . auantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 11- Table 1.4: 2003 Actual A vy,ided Demand Realized by Control Period ""c '_C ,"c,, .."" _C""'c,,-, ;,,"',.._"'-""",,-"-~,,-"'---",,'_.----_..."""".."":""' n ,. "n "" ..." Control Period ; JtmeAvoided'July A\'oided AugustAvoided "' SeptemberA\'oided ..'" "" " kW'kW.. ? , kW " "" , Monday Wednesday 533.23,782.22,861.67 20,976. Tuesday Thursday 19,012.21,881.00 20,643.297. Mean Avoided kW 19,772.84 22,831.21,752.19,636. Total Avoided kW 39,545.45,663.505.273. Overview of Evaluation Approach Quantc::c s impact evaluation estimated the benefits and costs of this ProgrfUIl and used them as'inputs to th~ cost-effectiveness analysis. Cost effectiveness was assessed based on the benefit/cost ratio calculated from alternative perspectives. PacifiCorp provided measured and calculated energy impact. data for the analysis. It also provided detailed Program cost data. Quantec used its Demand hnpact Cost Effectiveness (DICE) model to calculate the stream of' Program benefits and costs during the expected life of the Program and , calculated present discounted values. These values were then used to derive the benefit/cost ratios. Quantec has used this model and approach to evaluate numerous utility programs in the past. . auantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program Figure 11.1: Load Shapes for Control and Non-control Days :1E 30 I Control Period 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0 0 O ~ ~ o 00 ~ 00 ~ ID ~ ~ M 'N ~ 0 ~ ro ~ ID ~ ~ M N ~ ~~ ~~ ~~ ~ ~ o0 ~ N M ~ ID ~ ~ 0 ~ M ~ ~ ~ 00 ~ ~ N M ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~. ~ TIme of Day - Mon-Wed Control Average Tue- Thu Control Average Non-control To assess the costs and benefits associated with the clear demand response of participating customers, it is necessary to understand how the Program , influenced participants' overall irrigation behavior. To provide this information, PacifiCorp s irrigation expert obtained feedback from participating customers. PacifiCorp found that, in addition to reducing demand during the control periods, Program participants were not making up for the foregone irrigation by increasing irrigation in non-control periods. The behaviors of irrigators that allowed them to reduce total irrigation on participating fields included the following: Irrigators were able to enroll locations that they believed could tolerate the measurable amount of water that will be avoided as a function of the imposed control schedule. This decision is a function of the soil type, the system used to deliver the water (e., circle irrigation, line irrigation etc.), the growing season, and forecasted climatic conditions (rainfall temperature, Cooling Degree Days, relative humidity, etc. ). Irrigators have the option to manipulate the crop rotation pattern such that drought resistant crops can be synched to pumps and irrigation systems nominated for participation in the Program. Crops such as hay, grain; peas, and corn would typically be good candidates for Program inclusion. Quanfec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 11- In1g,,:tors were able to ropke a busin~ss decision taking into account their risk preferences, given \heir anticipated "strike price" for a particular commOdity. Irrigators were able to choose whether to participate given. the certainty of the Program curtailment credit and their perception of market conditions and theit risk assessment. This finding had a direct implication on the impact analysis. Although the Program was implemented primarily as a way to reduce demand during peak periods, it also resulted in energy savings. Because the aggregate demand reduction (on the order of in MW per control day) was relatively small compared to total system demand and incremental additions of this magnitude to a utility s generation resource mix are unlikely, it was impractical to estimate its benefits in terms of avoided demand alone; Instead, PaciflCorp calculated the value of energy savings using the Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) Decrement approach for valuing Demand Side Management (DSM) programs. FundaIpentally, the IRP Model calculates revenue requirements based on a given set of assumptions, including an hourly load forecast. Decrements (subtractions) to the load forecast are made based on the hourly shape of the DSM program modeled. Values are calculated with and without the Program. The difference, or decrement value, represents the most PacifiCorp would pay to avoid the load being modeled. The resulting values for avoided energy ($lMWh) based on the anticipated load shape of this Program are presented in Tablell. Table 11.1: Estimated Value of Energy Savings :'- C"-" :'-'-'-~~"--"---:'-""-""-'-'-".., i.. ..".y ...,, " ValueofEuergyeft ! ,, " "" ' ' : Saved ($INIWh) 2003 $57. 2004 $57, 2005 $59. 2006 $60. 2007 $62. To estimate the energy and demand savings, PacifiCorp used the characteristics of the participating customers ' loads. In 2003 , there were 207 participants with a total of 403 independent participating sites. From its participant contracts and three-year average historical data, PacifiCorp knew the average historical demand of each site during each month. The total demand reduction for each control period (MonlWed and Tueffhu) was estimated by customer and aggregated to calculate the total load reduction induced by the Program. Table 11.2 presents the calculated demand reductions by period. . auaotec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 11- Table 11.2: A voided 2003 Aggregate Demand by Control Period Note: In 2004 and subsequent Program years, the July estimated avoided demand for the MonfWed period is 489 kW and for the TuefI1tu period it is 21 960 kW. In 2003, the values are slightly lower because several participants did not participate for the full month. , The avoided energy economic benefits of the 2003 Program were calculated on a monthly basis using the following formula: Energy Economic Benefits lNo. ofMonlWed Control Days Mon/Wed Control Days Avoided Demand No. ofTue/Thu Control Days Tueffhu Control Days Avoided Demand) Value of Energy Savings The values of energy savings are shown in Table n.! for each year. For future years, these benefits are calculated using the same formula, but with the value of energy savings for the appropriate year. For purposes of estimating future benefits and costs, we used PacifiCorp , evaluation assumption that the Program will continue for the five-year period 2003-2007. This assumption is used for evaluation purposes only. It is expected that the Program will continue indefinitely. PacifiCorp assumed that the same number of customers and sites would participate each year. Although participation was assumed to be constant, PacifiCorp s planning assumptions included the likelihood that some customers would drop out each year, but that others would be recruited to take their place. Given the strong response to the Program this year, Quantec believes that it is very reasonable to assume that participants who drop out can be replaced easily in future years. Future recruitment costs are discussed in the following section. The economic benefits to Program participants include reduced utility bills and the PacifiCorp participation credit. Given that the participants respond to the Program by reducing their total energy consumption, Quantec calculated the utility bill savings by multiplying the marginal electricity rate for the average irrigator times the total energy savings for all participants. The average irrigator consumes 43 000 kWh/month, and the applicable rate for this level of consumption is $0.048/kWh. 3 The participation credit benefit to participants is discussed in the next section as it is treated as a Program cost from the utility s perspective. Utah Power estimated this consumption level based on an assumption of a 100 hp pump motor, with a 75% load factor, operating 18 hours per day for a 30-day month. ouantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 11- Since the Program does not ~ffect customers' peak demand on non-control days~ we have assumed the ~rogram does not reduce the participants' monthly . peak demand. Consequently; no participant economic benefits were attributed to reductions in charges (power rate) based on maximum demand. Costs PacifiCorp provided a breakdown of 2003 Program year costs and forecasts of, future-year costs. We used both the 2003 cost data and projections for'future years in oui analysis~ Table II.3 summarizes the costs provided by,PacifiCorp. The values for 2003 are actual costs. All values are reported in current dollars and all costs except field expenses and interruption credits are assumed to escalate at a r~te of 3% per year. ' . Table II. 3: Program Costs ...;"" ..7"20iLf"Jr:T21)64'-'r'-"zoos-2006" . :' .2007' .' . Administrative support $9,613 . $9,902 $10 199 $10,505 $10,820 Evaluation 135 $2,199 265 $2,333 $2,403 Filed Expenses $250,223 $85,000 $90,000 $95,000 $100,000 Participation credits $277,584 $277,584 $277 ,584 $277,584 $277,584 Program management $10 993 $11,323 $11,662 $12,012 $12,373 Reporting $352 $362 $373 $384 $396 Total Program costs $550 900 $386 370 $392 084 $397,819 $403,576 Field expenses reflect potential costs for maintaining field equipment and recruiting new participants to replace any who drop out. Given the experience during the fIrst Program year, Quantum believes that the estimates are conservative and that the actual fIeld expense costs are likely to be less than those assumed by PacifiCorp. The participation credit costs are constant for each year since the number of participants is assumed to be unchanged and, and the level of future credits is unknown. These credits are treated as a cost from the utility perspective. From the perspective of the participants, however, they are benefits. The customers were not charged for costs of participating in this Program. Consequently, all Program costs are associated with expenditures byPacifiCorp. . auantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 11- III.Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Cost effectiveness was calculated using Quantec s DICE model. Procedurally, the model takes the first year kWh savings and allocates them over all the 760 hours in a year based on load shapes appropriate for each of end use being analyzed. The achieved hourly kWh savings are then multiplied "by the appropriate avoided cost bas~d on the time of day and season during which they occur (summer peak, summer off-peak, winter peak, etc.). The value of the savings is calculated for each year of the measure life and then discounted back to the present. As part of this evaluation, Quantec conducted an analysis of the Program costs" and benefits from the following perspectives: 1. Program Participants: For participants, Program benefits include bill reductions and the participation credit payments participants received for demand reduction. PacifiCorp: From PacifiCorp s perspective, the benefits are in the fonD of reduced generation or power purchase costs. The costs include marketing and administration associated with funding the Program, as well as the equipment and installation expenses and participant credits. Ratepayers: All ratepayers (participants and non-participants) may experience an increase in rates to recover lost revenue, if any. This test (refeITed to as the Ratepayer hnpact Measure Test, or RIM) includes all PacifiCorp Program costs plus lost revenues. On the benefits side, this test includes all reduced generation or power purchase costs. Total Resource Cost Test (TRC): This test examines the Program benefits and costs from the perspective of the utility and its" customers combined. On the benefit side, it includes reduced generation or power purchase costs. On the cost side, it includes costs incuITed by both the utility and by the participants, but participant credits are excluded because they are transfer payments among customers. Table III. 1 summarizes the various components of the four tests. . auantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 111- Table HI. , ', Benefits and Costs of V ari~us Tests for This Program L--'Tes :r-'7:--Be~1~fifrC- " "" "': '" ' " .'" c()sis"" .:,,,'." ,' - Participant Value of bill savings from None to participants reduced consutTIption and participants' credit payments for demand reduction PacifiCorp Value of avoided energy costs Program administrative, as calculated by PacifiCorp marketing, and equipment costs, IRP model and participant credits RIM Value of avoided energy costs Program administrative as calculated by PacifiCorp marketing, and equipment costs; IRP model participant credits; lost revenues TRC Value of avoided energy costs Program administrative, as calculated by PacifiCorp marketing, and equipment costs IRP model Inputs As noted earlier, PacifiCorp provided the inputs Quantec used in the cost- effectiveness analysis. Quantec thoroughly reviewed these inputs and the assumptions behind them. All costs and benefits' were provided in nominal terms (i., without eliminating the effect of inflation). kWh Savings. Estimated energy savings in 2003 were 7,917,839 kWh annually. These savings were derived from the monthly demand reduction during each of the control periods (MonlWed and TuefThu), times the number of days in each control period each month, times six hours for each control period each day. In future years, the estimated annual energy savings are 964 999 kWh. This value is higher than the 2003 figure because, as noted before, several participants did not participate during the full month of July 2003. The monthly demand reductions in each control period were shown in Table U.2; the demand reduction summed over the Program months and control periods was 167 987 kW in 2003. In 2004 and subsequent years, this estimated value will be higher-168 773 kW-for the same reason that the energy savings will be higher, as discussed above. Life. The Program impacts were calculated over the five-year evaluation term of the Program. In addition to an analysis over the Program evaluation term we conducted an analysis for the first year only. Participant Retail Electricity Rate. An energy rate of $0.048 per kWh was used, based onPacifiCorp s current tariff for irrigators and the average energy use of irrigation customers. quantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 111-2 Program Costs. The costs to the utility included administrative support, evaluation, field expenses (equipment plus labor), participant inteITUption credits, Program management, and reporting. Avoided Costs. Cost effectiveness was calculated based on PacifiCorp estimate of the value of energy savings, as described in Chapter ll. The effect of line losses is included in the avoided cost and in .the calculation of benefits. Discount Rates. To derive present discounted values, all future costs and benefits were discounted using nominal discount rates. The rate used in the TRC was 5.23% and the rate used in all other tests was 7.82%. Results Table III.2 summarizes the DICE model cost effectiveness outputs for the fust year for the Program. The fIrst-year numbers are based on actual Program data provided by PacifiCorp. The Program is cost effective in the fust year (positive net present value and benefit/cost ratios exceeding 1.0) from the Total Resource Cost perspective. From PacifiCorp s perspective (UTC), the fust year of the Program is not cost effective because this is when most costs are incurred. For participants (PART), the Program is cost effective in the fust year, providing benefits of over $657 000 at no cost to the participants. Table 111.2: Cost Effectiveness - First-Year Only l~Iif~ TRC 273 317 452,029 178,712 UTC 550,900 452 029 (98,871) RIM 931,146 452,029 (479,117) PART 657,830 657,830 NJA Detailed Results Benefits TRC UTC RIM PART Avoided Costs 452,029 452,029 452 029 Bill Reduction 380 246 Incentive Payments 277,584 Total Benefits 452,029 452,029 452,029.657,830 Costs TRC UTC RIM PART Program Administration 23,094 23,094 094 Participant Incentives 277,584. $277,584 Field Costs 250,223 250,223 250,223 Lost Revenues 380,246 Total Costs 273,317 550,900 931 146 . auantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 111-3 Table III.3 shows bow energy and demand savings, ~osts, and benefits vary by year for the five..year ~valuation term (~003 through 2007). For each year after the first, the results are based on an assumption that the number of participants is the same as in the first year:'4 Program costs vary by year, as shown previously in Table ll.3. Table IIIj'demonstrates that the Program becomes more cost effective over time. While the (undiscounted) benefits added each year remain constant, Program costs decline after the initial fieldexpenses. 5 Table DI.3: Five-Year Cost-Effectiveness Sul1U11ary "C"'C."l---Ji:" .."--- )r- ."',--" ".' ", "' "-" '-"" RaHo-' ' " kWh kW .'AnnuaJ"Annual Cumulative mulativ Basedonerspeclve ear., . ", ,' ", ,, "" Savmgs:Savmgs Senefits--Costs : Benefits , ' ' Costs "Cumulatlve l."Values) TAC 2003 7,917,839 167,987 $452 02 $273,316 $452,029 $273,316 1. 2004 7 964,999 168,773 ,$437,11 $103,380 $889,146 $376 696 2. 2005 7 964,999 168,773 $425,75 $~O3,402 $1 314 896 $480,098 2. 2006 7 964 999 168 773 $414 70 $103 184 $1 729 603 $583,282 2. 2007 7,964,999 168,773 $403,96 $102,751 $2,133,572, $686,032 3. ,?~~J1Zj~, ~:" ~1-~~~~.~i~ ~j~f$4~gl~g , !~~i$$~~i~gQjr~ ~*r~~\gg~, ~J~-$pfjQ;~Q~;% ~~~~;cWiQJ!1~~& iY-(~~~~~~ ij\~~J~~;;~%~)~:$~gp~~!,., i~!,t~~p~iM~~~ *~~~~mtt '~J~$~tQ;t~~;1; ~j~;r.O(~1!;~9.j,~ i?9~; .~j~~J~~~ ~n~i7ft~~j\';f$mK~~;~ W:~~~~~p-~~j~*~!t~~t~~Ji jt~$J;41~;4'!~t;~;t&4i)~~;lfo:~~~t. $JiOP~ ~~~' ~Sj~~!\fW~i!:$$~~~~:3 , ~~-1rpj~~J~~'~' N':$~.;$p8;~~t; 19PP1~ I~! ~:~~~~!i;;;ft~1i$9J?9j$~ ~~~~rg~kl!l i~B~9Z~~;1~1~ 2003 7 917,839 167 987 '$452 02 $452 029 $931 147 2004 7 964 999 168,773 $426 61 $878,646 $1 645,764 2005 7,964,999 168,773 $405 54 $1,284,188 $2,313,466 2006 7 964,999 168 773 $385 53 $1,669,721 $2 937 316 2007 7 964,999 168,773 $366,53 $2,036,251 $3,520,180 ~QQ~i~;~!:t~~~ H190i~~f):;j:W:$9!57)~~" ;~~r;!$.~~t.~~~mdgd~J g ' ~11'$~;'i7an:M;;;l$~~9;7g~ Jf$1;~~1~$~W; ~~Q.Q~;~\;~~~;(\7~f:%l:;:$&pQ;~,~ \\l'$.j~f3M!;t-?;~M~ ~QP6i $(;'~M;~~~ :;M-Q~iYf~:N;8!..:$$~W;92 , i;:~~;~q~;~~d;j 2QOti 7~~;~,~ h;;1fJ~;7;7$/;W-'$489;63 ::ij$?,~$a;~t,g, AIM For a five-year evaluation term, Table III.4 shows that the Program is cost- effective from both TRC and PacifiCorp s perspectives. To PacifiCorp, the net present value (NPV) of the Program is more than $168 000. From the participants' perspective, the NPV of the Program is more than $2.8 million. The RIM test is the only one under which the five-year Program is not cost The energy savings figures, however, were adjusted upward to account for fun participation in July (as discussed earlier), Note that while Table Ill.3 presents some of the same results as Table III.2, there are some small differences due to rounding. Quanfec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 111- effective. Energy-efficiency programs often do not pass this test because of . the inclusion of lost revenues as a cost. . Table 111. Cost Effectiveness - Five-Year Offering TRC UTC RIM PART Detailed Results Benefits Avoided Costs Bill Reduction Incentive Payments 447,540 168,334 . (1,483,930) 858,320 TRC 133 572 $ UTC 036,250 $ RIM 036,250 PART Total Benefits 133,572 036,250 TRC UTC 110,677 $105 596 $ 206,056 575,356 556,264 $ 686,032 867 916 652,264 1,206,056 858,320 PARTCosts Program Administration Participant Incentives F'mld Costs Lost Revenues Total Costs . auantec Evaluation of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control Credit Program 111-