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HomeMy WebLinkAbout19901109Eastlake Direct.pdf../?~7ß p ¡:(' ¡:!l -t.Vl-i Dil F!~ED n.Li NOV 9 Pll 'i 12 IDMW PUBue TIES COMMISSI BEFORE TH IDAHO PUBLIC UT COMMSSION IN TH MAttER OF TH APLICATION OF IDAHO POWER COMPAN FOR A CJTICATE OF PUC CONVCE ANNECEIT FOR TH RATEG OFTH MI HYROELC PRCTOR IN TH ALTEA'l A DET-ATtON OF EX STATU POR TI:M HYROELC PRJE. ) CASE NO. JPE-90-8 ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) nIRCT TEONY OF BIL EA IDAHO PULIC UT COMMON NOVEER 9, 199 .. 1 Q.Please state your name and business 2 address for the record. 3 A.My name is Bill Eastlake. My business 4 address is 472 W. Washington Street, Boise, Idaho. 5 Q.By whom are you employed and in what 6 capaci ty7 7 A.I am employed by the Idaho Public 8 utilities Commission as an Economist. 9 Q.Please describe your educational 10 background and work experience. 11 A.I received an H.A.B. (Honors Bachelor of 12 Arts) with emphasis in classics and economics from 13 Xavier University in 1965 and completed graduate 14 course work and general examinations in the Ph.D. 15 program in economics at Ohio State University in 1969. 16 I taught undergraduate economics 17 full-time at Boise State University from 1969 through 18 1976, wi th two years on leave as a Fulbright Exchange 19 Professor at Cuttington College, Liberia, West Africa. 20 I have also taught part-time at Boise State University, 21 College of Idaho, and Ohio State University. 22 I was a part-time Taxpayer Service 23 Representative for the Internal Revenue Service during 24 1977 and 1978. In 1978, I took a posi tion wi th the 25 Idaho Office of Energy as an energy economist, with IPC-E-90-811-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 1 .. 1 responsibility for energy conservation planning and 2 then for economic feasibility analysis of geothermal 3 and other al ternati ve energy proposals. When the 4 office became a division of the Idaho Department of 5 Water Resources in 1981, I became responsible for the 6 Idaho Water Resource Board' s financial programs, loans 7 and grants as well as industrial revenue bonds for 8 water projects. With the demise of the bond program, 9 I assumed responsibility for the design and imple- 10 mentation of a statewide energy conservation loan 11 program. In addition, I provided economic analysis in 12 support of policy decisions concerning water rights, 13 water planning, and agricultural water uses. 14 Q.What is the purpose of your testimony? 15 To suggest policy considerations relatingA. 16 to the addition of hydroelectric power to an existing 17 dam like Milner for the Commission to use in reaching 18 a decision in this case. 19 Q.What is the importance of these policy 20 issues? 21 A.They provide a broader envi ronment in 22 which decisions are made about how much hydroelectric 23 generation is to be procured and at what cost. The 24 main point is that the decision to provide even pre- 25 liminary approval for construction (or a certificate IPC-E-90-811-9-90 EASTLAKE, D iStaff 2 .. 1 of convenience and necessi ty) for the ~~ project 2 is not as simple as merely asking whether its projected 3 cost is greater or less than the published avoided4 cost. 5 Q.Why do you say that? 6 A.Ratepayers are not buying a simple undif- 7 ferentiated product (electrical generation), the sort 8 of purchase where the product is so standard, the only 9 important factor in the purchase decision is price. 10 There are subsidiary considerations that 11 are important to the decision as to whether the 12 resources available from the Milner project are 13 preferable to other possible resources. How the 14 projected cost of power from these resources compares 15 to the cost of other potential resources is indeed 16 important, but is not the sole decision factor. Some 17 discretion must be allowed the Commission to consider 18 other factors in making its decision, except in the 19 case where the cost of the proposed resource is radi- 20 cally different from that of competing resources. 21 Q.Are projected costs from these plants 22 significantly different from avoided cost rates? 23 A.No, they appear to be approximately the 24 same. 25 IPC-E-90-8 11-9-90 EASTLAKE, D iStaff 3 .. 1 Even when adjustments are made to put 2 avoided costs in the same 50 year time frame, the 3 Milner project actually comes in slightly below 4 avoided cost. Mr. Faull' s test imony provides more 5 insight into the specific relationship between the 6 projected cost of electricity from this plant and the 7 newly published avoided cost rates. When the dif- 8 ference is small, as it is here, there are other 9 factors that should enter into the decision process. lO Q.What are some of these other factors 11 which should allow the Commission some discretion. 12 A.There are several. Historical experience 13 wi th prior hydroelectric installations has some rele- 14 vance. The probable future course of environmental 15 constraints through federal legislation is important. 16 The policy stance of the State of Idaho as evidenced 17 in prior energy and water matters is a Iso important. 18 Q.Is hydroelectric power the state's most 19 important native energy resource? 20 A.In the past Idaho relied solely on hydro- 21 electric power for its electric energy needs. As the 22 state has grown there has been the need to supplement 23 hydro with some thermal generation located outside the 24 state. But it remains the fact that Idaho's hydro- 25 electric base is what has allowed power rates to IPC-E-90-8 11-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 4 .. 1 remain at or- near the lowest in the country. Making 2 optimum use of that hydro, which is essentially 3 Idaho' s only significant energy resource, remains a 4 sensible policy to protect the legacy of past low5 rates. 6 Where possible it makes sense to keep 7 local control of that resource, so that the real bene- 8 fits of low cost hydropower are reaped by utilities 9 and ratepayers in Idaho rather than out-of-state. 10 Q.What has been the relevant policy stance 11 of the state wi th respect to the sort of hydro projects 12 proposed here? 13 A.The most comprehensive policy statement 14 in this regard comes from the Idaho state Energy Plan, 15 a study commissioned by the Governor in 1980. The 16 Idaho Energy Resource Policy Board, a diverse group of 17 fifteen persons representing a cross-section of inter- 18 ests within the state, heard testimony from various 19 energy experts and held public hearings over an 20 eighteen month period. The Energy Plan, which came 21 out in February Of 1982, was an outline of how the 22 state could assist in supplying adequate energy for 23 the future. 24 Q.What sorts of policy direction were 25 contained in this plan? IPC-E-90-811-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 5 .. 1 A.The plan stated generally that there was 2 to be a high priori ty placed on conservation and 3 renewables, with an emphasis on improving existing 4 resources. 5 wi th respect to renewables, it stated 6 that "the state should give a high priority to hydro- 7 electric projects, in particular the upgrading of 8 current facilities within the state." 9 In its formal policy implementation 10 guidelines, the plan stated that "priority should be 11 given to the review of sites and approval of projects 12 related to hydroelectric generation and existing 13 hydroelectric upgrades." 14 In the section on hydro, the plan notes 15 the presence of many non-power dams wi th the capa- 16 bi Ii ty to accept generation equipment and some 17 existing power projects which can provide increased 18 capacity through upgrading of generation facilities. 19 The plan even has a range of anticipated costs, from 20 50 mills in 1985 to 75-100 mills in 2000, which seems 21 commensurate with the projected costs contained in the 22 company's applications. 23 Q.Does this Plan have force of law? 24 A.No. The only purpose of ci t ing it here 25 is to indicate that the upgrades proposed by the IPC-E-90-8 11-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 6 .. 1 company seem qui te consistent wi th the policy guidance 2 provided on this issue by a formal board convened to 3 look to Idaho's energy future. 4 Simply put, the Resource Policy Board 5 recognized that hydro has been very good for the state 6 and recommended continuing to exploi t that known 7 resource where possible. 8 While it recognized the potential for 9 some new sma 1 1 hydro development (and, in ret rospect, 10 understated the difficulty of getting new projects 11 permitted) the Board rather clearly indicated a pre- 12 ference for getting more of the hydropower potential 13 available at existing dams. 14 The proposed proj ect, since it makes use 15 of an existing dam with generation facilities, is 16 aligned wi th tha t preference. 17 Q.What was the reason the Board seemed to 18 prefer hydro from existing structures? 19 A.From my recollection of staff work (as 20 an employee of the Energy Bureau of the Idaho 21 Department of Water Resources) for the Board, there 22 was reason to believe that power from existing dams 23 would be less costly than that from new dams. These 24 were large old infrastructure projects that would have 25 been inordinately expensive to replicate in current IPC-E-90-811-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 7 .. 1 dollars. With the water diversion works already in 2 place the only cost was the additional cost of adding 3 generation. 4 Q.Does the same reason to prefer old hydro 5 still hold today? 6 A.I believe the rationale for preferring 7 existing si tes would be somewhat different, but the 8 preference would remain. 9 Q.Why would the rationale be different? 10 A.The rationale would still emphasize the 11 lower cost to be expected from upgrading of existing 12 facilities, but it would not be based so much on an 13 expected difference in the physical cost of construc- 14 tion and equipment. The lower cost expectations would 15 today probably focus more on the lack of insti tutional 16 barriers that face an already existing dam. New dams 17 and diversions face extraordinary obstacles in the way 18 of permi tting requi rements, especially environmental 19 considerations. 20 The Board's initial deliberations took 21 place in an era when it appeared that there were lots 22 of viable small hydro projects available. As time has 23 passed there has been an increase in the number of 24 regulations and in the stringency wi th which they are 25 enforced. What looked like a flood of easily available IPC-E-90-8 11-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 8 .. 1 small hydro has become more of a trickle as one after 2 another has fai led to clear the insti tutional obstacles 3 associated with permitting. 4 Q.Does the current legislative climate 5 seem likely to become less restrictive? 6 A.Just the opposi te. Growing concern for 7 endangered species, recreational, and fish and wildlife 8 values associated with the use of the water resource 9 by hydroelectric projects makes it ever more difficult 10 for a new project to be approved. Though in some cases 11 mitigation is now being required of older projects 12 permi tted in an era when there was less concern for 13 these values, in any case the environmental obstacles 14 fàcing upgrade of existing faci Ii ties are substantially 15 less than that facing a new project. These trends 16 translate into lower projected costs for pre-existing 17 projects, or the absolute inability to even get a new 18 project permitted. 19 Q.How is hydropower considered in the 20 State Water Plan? 21 A.The State Water Plan was created in 1976 22 to help formulate and implement the optimum develop- 23 ment of water resources in the public interest. 24 Adopted by the Idaho Water Resource Board, it is 25 periodically updated and reviewed by the Legis lature. IPC-E-90-8 11-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 9 .. 1 The fi rst State Water Plan was in 1976, with revisions 2 in 1982 and 1986. The Plan was altered in its most 3 recent revision to account for changes needed to 4 reconci Ie it wi th the agreement entered into between 5 the State and Idaho Power Company concerning water 6 rights at Swan Falls Dam. 7 Policy lC of the Water Plan lists various 8 non-consumptive uses of water considered to be "bene- 9 ficial uses" of water recognized under Idaho law. 10 More specif ically, Policy 5E recognizes hydro genera- 11 tion as beneficial and acknowledges a public interest 12 in maintaining minimum river f lows at Swan Fal Is. 13 This is a striking charge from the earlier narrow 14 conception of "beneficial use" which emphasized 15 removal of water from the river, usually for 16 irrigation. 17 Policy 5A actually raised the minimum 18 flows to 3900 cfs (April-October) and 5600 cfs 19 (November-March) at the Murphy gauge in recognition 20 of the importance of those f lows to hydrogeneration. 21 Amounts between those flows and the 8400 cfs originally 22 claimed by Idaho Power are now held in trust by the 23 state for allocation according to the more extensive 24 set of public interest criteria set out by revision to 25 the Idaho Code, part ly in recogni tion of the fact that IPC-E-90-8 11-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 10 .. 1 hydrogeneration was a valuable use of water, foregone 2 by its wi thdrawal from the river for other purposes. 3 Q.Is there anything about the existing 4 structure of water rights that appears to favor the 5 use of pre-existing faci Ii ties for hydrogeneration? 6 A.The whole Swan Falls controversy arose 7 because a group of individuals sued Idaho Power to 8 force the company to assert its water right for power 9 generation vis-a-vis the claims of irrigators. Though 10 this is nei ther the time nor the place to revisi t that 11 controversy, with existing dams there is already a 12 water right in place, with particular rights and 13 responsibilities. New hydropower facilities face a 14 more stringent set of requirements and a general 15 climate in which most of the available water is 16 a 1 ready a 1 located. 17 New facilities bear the burden of proof 18 that their use of water, in this case for the purpose 19 of hydroelectric generation, will create no adverse 20 impact on prior appropriators of water. That burden, 21 of proving that new uses of water are in the public 22 interest, of adhering to the expanded set of criteria 23 established in Idaho Code Section 42-203C to implement 24 the Swan Falls Agreement, creates a formidable and 25 costly process for new hydro developers. IPC-E-90-8 11-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 11 .. 1 Q.Wi 1 1 Idaho Power Company's use of flows 2 from the existing Milner Dam have the kind of adverse 3 impacts predicted for newly-placed hydroelectric 4 projects? 5 A.No. Idaho Power Company's actual 6 generation will depend on water conditions and on the 7 dam owner's pattern of water use for irrigation. 8 Generation will be subsidiary to irrigation needs and 9 will have little impact on the existing flow regime. 10 The proposed project makes use of surplus water which 11 is currently passed through the spillway. The plant 12 will operate basically as run-of-the-river with no 13 additional storage capacity. 14 Q.What has been the stance of prior Com- 15 missions in their deliberations concerning certificates 16 of public convenience and necessity for other hydro- 17 electric projects contemplated by the Company? 18 A.Several cases seem to give evidence of a 19 general leaning toward hydroelectric projects as being 20 in the public interest. 21 In U-1006-70, a request for a rate in- 22 crease in anticipation of the Company's participation 23 in the Jim Bridger Plant, in Order No. 10049, there is 24 notation that ..... it is evident that the power gen- 25 erated by hydropower projects will become increasingly IPC-E-90-8 11-9-90 EASTLAKE, D iStaff 12 .. 1 more valuable." The quotation is vis-a-vis the pro- 2 posed steam generation plant but nevertheless indicates 3 a belief that hydropower seems to improve with age. 4 In U-1006-l07, requesting a certificate 5 of convenience for a new powerhouse at American Falls 6 in connection with rebuild of the dam, the Commission 7 used Order No. 12631 to summarily approve this pro- 8 posed plant that "will permit greater utilization of 9 waters being released" to meet existing and future 10 loads. 11 In U-1006-154, issuing a preliminary 12 certificate for the addition of generation to the 13 existing Cascade Dam, the Commission noted in Order 14 No. 15296 that after installation the economics of 15 hydroelectricity generally improve significantly in 16 comparison with thermal and that the environmental 17 impact wi 11 likely be very slight since the proposed 18 development wi 11 merely replace an existing structure. 19 Q.Was the decision to grant or refuse a 20 certificate to any of these proposed facilities a 21 simple one of comparing the proposed cost to the cost 22 of alternative resources? 23 A.No. The Commission is charged with 24 considering the need for addi tional power to serve the 25 IPC-E-90-8 11-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 13 .. 1 utility's load and with the cost of alternative means 2 of serving such need. 3 In U-1006-l36, requesting a certificate 4 for South Fork of the Payette projects which were ulti- 5 mately turned down, in Order No. 15580 the Commission 6 noted the "process necessari ly requi red the weighing 7 and balancing of numerous (and often competing) con- 8 siderations, many of which cannot be quantified." In 9 other words, it took judgment, not mere fol lowing of a 10 rule. 11 In U-1006-l54, the order cited above, 12 there was explici t recogni tion that thermal generation 13 would cost approximately the same per installed KW as 14 the proposed hydro project, but that consideration of 15 issues beyond first cost of construction were more 16 important in determining what was the best resource 17 decision. 18 Q.Does this conclude your testimony? 19 Yes, it does.A. 20 21 22 23 24 25 IPC-E-90-811-9-90 EASTLAKE, DiStaff 14 .. CETICATB OF SE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 9th DAY OF NOVEMBER, 1990, SERVED THE FOREGOING DIRECT TESTIMONY OF BILL EATLA, CASE NO. IPC-E-90-8, ON ALL PARTIES OF RECORD BY MAILING A COPY THEREOF, POSTAGE PREPAID, TO THE FOLLOWING: LARRY D. RIPLEY, ESQ. LEGAL DEPARTMENT IDAHO POWER COMPANY P. O. BOX 70 BOISE, ID 83707 GRANT E. TANNER, ESQ. DAVIS WRIGHT TREMAINE SUITE 2300 1300 S.W. FIFTH AVENUE PORTLAND, OR 97201 STEVEN L. HERNDON, ESQ. LEGAL DEPARTMENT IDAHO POWER COMPANY P. O. BOX 70 BOISE, ID 83707 HAROLD C. MILES IDAHO CONSUMER AFFAIRS, INC. 316 - 15TH AVENUE SOUTH NAMPA, 10 83651 PETER J. RICHARDSON, ESQ. DAVIS WRIGHT TREMAINE 400 JEFFERSON PLACE 350 N. NINTH STREET BOISE, ID 83702 JAMES N. ROETHE, ESQ. PILLSBURY, MADISON & SUTRO P. O. BOX 7880 SAN FRANCISCO, CA 94120 R. SCOTT PASLEY ASS I STANT GENERAL COUNSEL J. R. S IMPLOT COMPANY P. O. BOX 27 BOISE, ID 83707-0027 R. MICHAEL SOUTHCOMBE, ESQ. CLEMONS, COSHO & HUMPHREY, 815 W. WASH I NGTON STREET BOISE, ID 83702-5590 DAVID H. HAWK, DIRECTOR ENERGY NATURAL RESOURCES J. R. S IMPLOT COMPANY P. O. BOX 27 BOISE, ID 83707-0027 OWEN H. ORNDORFF ORNDORFF & PETERSON SUITE 230 1087 W. RIVER STREET BOISE, ID 83702-7035 J1 l(ì_ SECRETARY lCERT/142