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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20230526Direct Ellsworth.pdf BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY’S APPLICATION FOR A CERTIFICATE OF PUBLIC CONVENIENCE AND NECESSITY TO ACQUIRE RESOURCES TO BE ONLINE IN BOTH 2024 AND 2025 AND FOR APPROVAL OF AN ENERGY STORAGE AGREEMENT WITH KUNA BESS LLC. ) ) ) ) ) ) ) ) CASE NO. IPC-E-23-20 IDAHO POWER COMPANY DIRECT TESTIMONY OF JARED L. ELLSWORTH ELLSWORTH, DI 1 Idaho Power Company Q. Please state your name, business address, and 1 present position with Idaho Power Company (“Idaho Power” or 2 “Company”). 3 A. My name is Jared L. Ellsworth and my business 4 address is 1221 West Idaho Street, Boise, Idaho 83702. I 5 am employed by Idaho Power as the Transmission, 6 Distribution & Resource Planning Director for the Planning, 7 Engineering & Construction Department. 8 Q. Please describe your educational background. 9 A. I graduated in 2004 and 2010 from the 10 University of Idaho in Moscow, Idaho, receiving a Bachelor 11 of Science Degree and Master of Engineering Degree in 12 Electrical Engineering, respectively. I am a licensed 13 professional engineer in the State of Idaho. 14 Q. Please describe your work experience with 15 Idaho Power. 16 A. In 2004, I was hired as a Distribution 17 Planning engineer in the Company’s Delivery Planning 18 department. In 2007, I moved into the System Planning 19 department, where my principal responsibilities included 20 planning for bulk high-voltage transmission and substation 21 projects, generation interconnection projects, and North 22 American Electric Reliability Corporation’s (“NERC”) 23 reliability compliance standards. I transitioned into the 24 Transmission Policy & Development group with a similar 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 2 Idaho Power Company role, and in 2013, I spent a year cross-training with the 1 Company’s Load Serving Operations group. In 2014, I was 2 promoted to Engineering Leader of the Transmission Policy & 3 Development department and assumed leadership of the System 4 Planning group in 2018. In early 2020, I was promoted into 5 my current role as the Transmission, Distribution and 6 Resource Planning Director. I am currently responsible for 7 the planning of the Company’s wires and resources to 8 continue to provide customers with cost-effective and 9 reliable electrical service. 10 Q. What is the purpose of your testimony in this 11 case? 12 A. The purpose of my testimony is to inform the 13 Idaho Public Utilities Commission (“Commission”) of the 14 Company’s need for new generation capacity based upon the 15 load and resource balance utilized in the 2021 Integrated 16 Resource Plan (“IRP”) and subsequently further enhanced 17 through a system resource adequacy reliability evaluation. 18 I will describe the most recent assessment of system 19 reliability and its impact to the capacity deficit 20 identified in the load and resource balance. Finally, I 21 will provide support for the acquisition of new resources 22 to address the identified near-term peak capacity needs. 23 I. BACKGROUND 24 Q. What is the goal of the IRP? 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 3 Idaho Power Company A. The goal of the IRP is to ensure: (1) Idaho 1 Power’s system has sufficient resources to reliably serve 2 customer demand and flexible capacity needs over a 20-year 3 planning period, (2) the selected resource portfolio 4 balances cost, risk, and environmental concerns, (3) 5 balanced treatment is given to both supply-side resources 6 and demand-side measures, and (4) the public is involved in 7 the planning process in a meaningful way. To verify the 8 portfolios produced through the planning process meet the 9 Company’s reliability requirements, Idaho Power utilizes a 10 Loss of Load Expectation (“LOLE”) methodology. 11 Q. Please explain the Loss of Load Expectation. 12 A. The LOLE is a statistical measure of a 13 system’s resource adequacy, describing the expected number 14 of event-days per year that a system would be unable to 15 meet demand. As utilities continue to add more renewable 16 energy to the electric grid, analyzing the effect variable 17 energy resources have on system reliability has become more 18 critical. To assess system reliability, the Company uses an 19 internally developed reliability and capacity assessment 20 tool, which ensures that portfolios include a recognition 21 that the output of variable energy resources, such as wind 22 and solar, change with time (with their hourly output being 23 dependent on a multitude of factors like weather and 24 environmental conditions); it is essential to capture and 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 4 Idaho Power Company value that variability. The results of the LOLE analysis 1 are used to determine various modeling outputs, such as the 2 Company’s capacity position in a given year, the capacity 3 contribution of variable and energy limited resources and 4 an overall quantification of Idaho Power’s system 5 reliability. 6 Q. Please explain the “load and resource 7 balance.” 8 A. The load and resource balance is the Company’s 9 tabulated plan that identifies resource deficiencies during 10 the 20-year IRP planning horizon. It helps visually ensure 11 Idaho Power has sufficient resources to meet projected 12 customer demand including a margin to account for extreme 13 conditions, reserves, and resource outages. It is critical 14 when comparing future resource portfolios that each plan 15 achieves at least a base reliability threshold, which is 16 why Idaho Power considers the LOLE methodology when 17 creating a load and resource balance. 18 Q. How is the resulting resource sufficiency or 19 deficiency determined through the load and resource 20 balance? 21 A. At a high level, the load and resource balance 22 incorporates the expected availability of Idaho Power’s 23 existing resources, comparing the total output to the 24 Company’s forecasted load, and illustrates the resulting 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 5 Idaho Power Company capacity length or deficit. This will identify the timing 1 of the Company’s first resource need, or the point at which 2 Idaho Power’s reliability requirements may not be met. 3 Q. How is the expected availability of the 4 Company’s existing resources determined? 5 A. The availability of existing resources, 6 including Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act (“PURPA”) 7 projects, Power Purchase Agreements (“PPA”), hydro, coal, 8 gas, demand response, and market purchases, is determined 9 using a number of factors such as expected stream flows, 10 plant run times, forced outages, historical performance, 11 and transmission import capability, among other 12 considerations. 13 Q. How is the load forecast determined? 14 A. Throughout the year, the Company prepares a 15 forecast of sales and demand of electricity based on a 16 combination of historical system data and trends in 17 electricity usage along with numerous external economic and 18 demographic factors. The anticipated load and anticipated 19 peak-hour demand forecast represent Idaho Power’s most 20 probable outcome for load requirements during the planning 21 period. 22 Q. What have previous load and resource balance 23 results indicated with respect to Idaho Power’s resource 24 sufficiency? 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 6 Idaho Power Company A. The Company has been generally resource-1 sufficient since the addition of the Langley Gulch natural-2 gas fired power plant almost a decade ago until recently. 3 The load and resource balance from the Second Amended 2019 4 IRP did not show a capacity deficiency occurring until the 5 summer of 2028. However, several converging factors, 6 including limited third-party transmission capacity, load 7 growth, and a decline in the peak serving effectiveness of 8 certain supply-side and demand-side resources caused Idaho 9 Power to rapidly move to a near-term capacity deficiency 10 starting in 2023. These dynamic circumstances led the 11 Company to immediately file a request for a Certificate of 12 Public Convenience and Necessity (“CPCN”) to acquire 13 resources to be online in 20231 as well as a CPCN to acquire 14 resources to be online in 20242, and Idaho Power expects to 15 acquire additional resources each year thereafter through 16 (at least) through 2027, as discussed in the Company’s 17 request in this case. 18 II. 2021 IRP LOAD AND RESOURCE BALANCE 19 Q. When did Idaho Power identify that there was a 20 resource deficiency starting in 2023? 21 A. The Company first identified a resource 22 deficiency beginning in 2023 in the spring of 2021 while 23 1 Case No. IPC-E-22-13 2 Case No. IPC-E-23-05 ELLSWORTH, DI 7 Idaho Power Company refreshing the load and resource balance during the 1 development of a Valmy Unit 2 exit analysis, as directed by 2 the Commission in Order No. 34349, Idaho Power’s request to 3 update rates to reflect the accelerated depreciation 4 associated with an early exit from coal-fired operations at 5 Valmy, Case No. IPC-E-19-08. Following the filing of the 6 Second Amended 2019 IRP, in the first quarter of 2021, 7 Idaho Power began preparing the required Valmy Unit 2 exit 8 analysis, which included an evaluation of system 9 reliability. This analysis was performed simultaneously 10 with preparation of the 2021 IRP, and the refreshed load 11 and resource balance was further refined through the 12 remainder of the development of the 2021 IRP. 13 Q. What drove the rapid shift from resource 14 sufficiency to a resource deficiency at this time? 15 A. Several factors contributed to the change in 16 the load and resource balance at this time, including 17 significant third-party transmission constraints limiting 18 wholesale market import purchases at peak, the ability of 19 demand response programs to meet load during the highest 20 risk hours, planning reserve margin determinations and 21 methodology modernization, and load growth exceeding 22 previously forecasted expectations. The net change between 23 the Second Amended 2019 IRP and the updated load and 24 resource balance utilized for the Valmy Unit 2 exit 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 8 Idaho Power Company analysis was a reduction in over 500 megawatts (“MW”) in 1 available capacity each July during the 2022 through 2025 2 period. 3 Q. What enhancements were made to the capacity 4 contribution of variable energy resources utilized to meet 5 reliability requirements for the 2021 IRP? 6 A. For reliability purposes, in the 2021 IRP the 7 Company planned its resource portfolio to have a LOLE of 8 0.05 event-days per year or better (i.e. less than one 9 resource adequacy related outage event-day in 20 years). 10 Aside from taking a more granular hourly approach, the LOLE 11 methodology can also be used to evaluate the capability of 12 existing resources to meet capacity need through the 13 determination of Effective Load Carrying Capability 14 (“ELCC”). 15 Q. Did the application of ELCC values result in 16 any significant changes to the contributing capacity of 17 Idaho Power’s existing resources? 18 A. Yes. When analyzing Idaho Power’s system on a 19 probabilistic hour-by-hour basis, existing variable 20 resource capacity contributions fluctuated. As an example, 21 the results showed that the ELCC of the demand response 22 programs under the changing dynamics of Idaho Power’s 23 system was significantly lower than previously assumed. 24 This is primarily the result of increased solar resources 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 9 Idaho Power Company on the Company’s system pushing high-risk (i.e. net peak 1 load) hours outside the longstanding demand response 2 program dispatch window of 1 PM to 9 PM. As a result, Idaho 3 Power filed a request for modifications to its demand 4 response programs that are designed to make the programs 5 more effective at meeting system needs. On March 4, 2022, 6 the Commission issued Order No. 35336, approving Idaho 7 Power’s proposed modifications to the demand response 8 programs, effective for the 2022 demand response season. 9 Q. What was the resulting capacity deficiency 10 identified in the load and resource balance prepared for 11 the 2021 IRP? 12 A. The resulting capacity deficiency was 13 approximately 101 MW in 2023, 186 MW in 2024, and 311 MW in 14 2025, which led to Idaho Power’s request for a CPCN in Case 15 No. IPC-E-22-13 for the 2023 resource procurement. 16 III. LOAD AND RESOURCE UPDATE 17 Q. Since the completion of the 2021 IRP, has the 18 Company continued to monitor other factors that could 19 influence the load and resource balance, and by extension, 20 Idaho Power’s resource need? 21 A. Yes. While the load and resource balance 22 prepared for an IRP is the primary source of information 23 used to inform resource procurement decisions, the Company 24 also recognizes that during the near-term resource 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 10 Idaho Power Company decision-making phase, the capacity deficit period can be 1 very fluid. As a result, Idaho Power continually assesses 2 system reliability, monitoring near-term known changes, 3 operational enhancements, limitations, or constraints on 4 the existing system, if any, that would impact the resource 5 needs. In the face of growing loads, Idaho Power is also 6 keenly focused on current supply chain challenges, which 7 requires the Company to constantly monitor resource needs 8 and respond with added urgency. This is evidenced by Idaho 9 Power’s consecutive requests for CPCNs to acquire resources 10 to be online in both 2023 and 2024.3 11 Q. Has the capacity deficiency changed since 12 Idaho Power’s request in Case No. IPC-E-23-05 was filed? 13 A. Yes. As preparation of the 2023 IRP began, 14 Idaho Power incorporated modeling input updates and made 15 additional enhancements to the Company’s reliability 16 evaluation which impact the need for new resources. 17 Q. What input updates and enhancements have been 18 made to the Company’s reliability evaluation? 19 A. First, in Case No. IPC-E-21-43, Commission 20 Staff requested that Idaho Power address the 21 appropriateness of the LOLE threshold utilized in the 2021 22 IRP; the Company has since changed the reliability target 23 from 0.05 event-days per year to 0.1 event-days per year as 24 3 Case Nos. IPC-E-22-13 and IPC-E-23-05. ELLSWORTH, DI 11 Idaho Power Company well as utilizing a 70th percentile peak load forecast as 1 opposed to the 50th percentile peak load forecast utilized 2 in the 2021 IRP. In addition, the Company adjusted Idaho 3 Power’s resource capacities to account for Equivalent 4 Forced Outage Rates during Demand (“EFORd”) using a 5-year 5 rolling average from the North American Electric 6 Reliability Corporation (“NERC”) Generation Availability 7 Data System (“GADS”). The updated 5-year rolling average 8 EFORd values will better reflect industry average 9 generation resource performance data and resulting outage 10 rates. Finally, the Company reduced the resource 11 availability associated with the capacity benefit margin 12 (“CBM”) from 330 MW to 200 MW from March through October 13 and to 0 MW from November to February for resource adequacy 14 purposes. 15 Q. What is CBM? 16 A. The NERC defines CBM as: 17 “The amount of firm transmission transfer 18 capability preserved by the transmission 19 provider for Load-Serving Entities (“LSEs”), 20 whose loads are located on that Transmission 21 Service Provider’s system, to enable access by 22 the LSEs to generation from interconnected 23 systems to meet generation reliability 24 requirements. Preservation of CBM for an LSE 25 allows that entity to reduce its installed 26 generating capacity below that which may 27 otherwise have been necessary without 28 interconnections to meet its generation 29 reliability requirements.” 30 ELLSWORTH, DI 12 Idaho Power Company Including CBM within the load and resource balance 1 recognizes this held transmission capacity allows Idaho 2 Power to reduce its installed generation capacity to meet 3 reliability requirements under emergency conditions. As an 4 example, if an energy emergency is declared following the 5 loss of multiple Idaho Power network resources, CBM 6 transmission capacity could be utilized to fill the 7 resource capacity need via market purchases. Effectively, 8 Idaho Power considers CBM a reserve resource and applies 9 credit in the load and resource balance. 10 Q. When applying input updates and enhancements 11 to the Company’s reliability evaluation, what changes were 12 made to the CBM modeling assumptions? 13 A. As explained in Idaho Power’s request in Case 14 No. IPC-E-22-05, following an evaluation of the ability to 15 acquire transmission to the market during emergency 16 conditions, the Company determined that it may not be 17 possible with current transmission constraints, especially 18 during regional extreme weather events, which was evidenced 19 during recent energy emergency events due to extreme 20 weather in the region. Increased demand could not be met 21 with local generation, resulting in strain on the 22 interconnected transmission system. Last minute 23 transmission acquisition under these emergency conditions 24 ELLSWORTH, DI 13 Idaho Power Company between the market and Idaho Power’s border have not been 1 consistently available. 2 Put another way, in the event of an energy 3 emergency, the Company will be able to utilize available 4 transmission within its borders; however, there may not be 5 available transmission between Idaho Power’s border and the 6 Mid-C market given the new transmission constraints. The 7 transmission constraints, however, may be short term 8 because the Boardman to Hemingway project will create 9 incremental transmission capacity between Idaho Power and 10 the Mid-C market. The results of the evaluation of the 11 ability to acquire transmission to the market during 12 emergency conditions indicate that an adjustment to CBM is 13 appropriate. 14 Q. Were there any other factors that impacted the 15 Company decision to reduce the capacity availability of CBM 16 as part of the enhancements to Idaho Power’s reliability 17 evaluation? 18 A. Yes. In addition to the evaluation of the 19 acquisition of transmission during emergency conditions, as 20 the Company began preparing for its future non-binding 21 participation in the Western Resource Adequacy Program 22 (“WRAP”), it was determined that CBM will not have similar 23 value in that program. 24 Q. What is the WRAP? 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 14 Idaho Power Company A. The WRAP will deliver a region-wide approach 1 for assessing and addressing resource adequacy and is an 2 important step forward for reliability in the region. It 3 started at the request of many in the industry who were 4 concerned about the issue of resource adequacy in the west. 5 Q. How does the WRAP affect the Company’s 6 transmission assumption associated with CBM? 7 A. When evaluating resource adequacy planning 8 requirements under the WRAP, quantification of firm 9 resources will not allow for the inclusion of CBM to 10 demonstrate adequacy. For Idaho Power to meet the WRAP 11 forward showing requirements, have access to the program, 12 and avoid penalties, the Company must acquire firm 13 resources on firm transmission well in advance of each 14 season. CBM, by definition, is only available as firm 15 transmission when the Company is in an energy emergency, 16 and therefore cannot be utilized for WRAP forward showing 17 purposes. However, the Company believes participation in 18 the WRAP will benefit Idaho Power and its customers, as 19 outlined in the Company’s request for Commission 20 acknowledgement of participation in WRAP in Case No. IPC-E-21 23-08. 22 Q. If CBM cannot be used in the WRAP, why is 23 Idaho Power reducing CBM from 330 MW to 200 MW for a 24 ELLSWORTH, DI 15 Idaho Power Company portion of the year instead of reducing CBM from 330 MW to 1 0 MW for the entire year? 2 A. The Company is taking an incremental approach 3 to changing assumptions associated with the reliability 4 benefits provided by CBM. As discussed earlier, the WRAP is 5 only one of two major considerations. The WRAP program will 6 not be binding until approximately the summer of 2027, and 7 there remains uncertainty related to the load obligations 8 Idaho Power will be required to meet in the WRAP, and the 9 credit the Company will receive for its resources in the 10 WRAP program. Idaho Power will continue to consider the 11 transmission assumptions associated with CBM in the 12 assessment of system reliability as the WRAP matures. 13 The second major consideration to CBM is whether it 14 enhances the Company’s ability to recover from a major 15 unplanned disturbance. Following such a disturbance, the 16 Company can utilize its CBM capacity to bring in reserves 17 for one hour, and in that hour, Idaho Power must acquire 18 capacity from the market, and the transmission between the 19 capacity resource or market hub and the Company’s 20 transmission system, to continue to utilize CBM. 21 Given Idaho Power’s movement towards WRAP, the 22 certainty that the WRAP program will assign no resource 23 adequacy value to CBM, and the uncertainty of being able to 24 access emergency capacity resources when the Company is in 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 16 Idaho Power Company an energy emergency (the purpose of CBM), especially at 1 times when other utilities in the Pacific Northwest region 2 experience peak loads, Idaho Power has decided to reduce 3 the inclusion of CBM from 330 MW to 200 MW during the March 4 through October time frame for resource adequacy planning 5 purposes. The Company will continue to evaluate CBM’s 6 reliability benefits and effectiveness in future system 7 reliability evaluations and IRPs. 8 Q. Were there any other updates made to the 9 system reliability evaluation that impacted the capacity 10 deficiency and Idaho Power’s need for new resources? 11 A. Yes. Any time the system reliability 12 evaluation is performed, Idaho Power includes the most up-13 to-date load and resource inputs. The Company’s service 14 area continues to experience very high load growth; in 15 response, the load forecast was updated and implemented as 16 soon as it became readily available. Current transmission 17 reservations were included. Resource inputs were updated to 18 include new resource additions anticipated since 19 development of the 2021 IRP, including: (1) the Black Mesa 20 project, a 40 MW solar photovoltaic (“PV”) PPA in 21 combination with a 40 MW four-hour duration battery storage 22 facility, (2) the Hemingway 80 MW four-hour duration 23 battery storage facility project in 2023 and an additional 24 12 MW of four-hour duration battery storage in 2024, (3) 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 17 Idaho Power Company the 11 MW four-hour duration battery storage at various 1 distribution substations, (4) the Franklin project, a 100 2 MW solar PV PPA in combination with a 60 MW four-hour 3 duration battery storage facility, and the (5) 200 MW 4 Pleasant Valley solar project in 2025. 5 Q. Are there any changes to the resource inputs, 6 aside from the cycle-to-cycle data updates, that have 7 increased the capacity deficiency since preparation of the 8 load and resource balance for the 2021 IRP? 9 A. Yes. There are two adjustments to the resource 10 inputs that increased the capacity deficiency beginning in 11 2023: (1) a planned refurbishment of one hydro unit per 12 year, for three years, at the American Falls facility will 13 reduce the overall resource availability by approximately 14 30 MW through 2025, and (2) the Langley Gulch facility has 15 recently been derated by 20 MW through the fall of 2025 due 16 to parts failure and supply chain issues of those higher 17 capacity parts. In addition, due to uncertainty associated 18 with the two solar PURPA projects located in eastern 19 Oregon, totaling 72 MW of nameplate capacity, that were 20 expected to be online by the summer of 2025, the Company 21 has removed these projects from the system reliability 22 analysis, resulting in an increase to the capacity 23 deficiency beginning in 2025. 24 ELLSWORTH, DI 18 Idaho Power Company Q. Based on your most recent evaluation of system 1 reliability, how has the capacity deficiency changed since 2 Idaho Power’s request in Case No. IPC-E-23-05 was filed? 3 A. While continued procurement of additional 4 resources have contributed to a reduction in the capacity 5 deficiencies, following enhancements to the system 6 reliability calculations and continued load growth since 7 completion of the load and resource balance used for the 8 2021 IRP, Idaho Power estimates a capacity deficiency of 8 9 MW still exists in 2024 while the capacity deficiency in 10 2025 is 178 MW, with both of these deficiencies assuming 11 the Company can compress the American Falls outages into 12 nine-months, and maintain full American Falls capacity 13 through the summer-months. 14 Q. Are you indicating the resource procurements 15 identified in Case No. IPC-E-23-05 will not be sufficient 16 to satisfy the 2024 resource needs? 17 A. Yes. Following updates to the system 18 reliability evaluation, including (1) the reduced winter 19 resource availability associated with CBM, (2) 20 identification of an over-allocation of capacity of a 21 resource in the LOLE calculation, and (3) the unexpected 20 22 MW derate at Langley Gulch, the Company has determined that 23 the combined 100 MW solar PV PPA and 72 MW of four-hour 24 battery storage resources for which Idaho Power is 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 19 Idaho Power Company requesting approval and a CPCN in Case No. IPC-E-23-05, 1 will not be sufficient to meet the identified 2024 resource 2 needs. As I discussed previously, during the near-term 3 resource decision-making phase, Idaho Power continually 4 assesses system reliability. However, when the Company is 5 repeatedly matching near-term resource procurements with 6 the capacity need identified at a point in time, it is not 7 possible to specifically align procurement of resources 8 with the fluctuating need. The newly identified additional 9 capacity need in 2024 is the result of trying to target a 10 near-term resource need during a very fluid capacity 11 deficit period. 12 IV. MEETING THE CAPACITY DEFICIENCY 13 Q. Did Idaho Power evaluate any alternative 14 solutions for meeting the capacity deficiencies to avoid 15 building a new resource? 16 A. Yes. Prior to filing the request for a CPCN in 17 Case No. IPC-E-22-13, Idaho Power evaluated alternative 18 solutions for meeting the 2023 capacity deficiency to avoid 19 building a new resource, including modifications to 20 existing demand response programs, expansion of the 21 existing pricing programs, and the potential for other 22 short-term market solutions. 23 Modifications to Existing Demand Response Programs 24 ELLSWORTH, DI 20 Idaho Power Company As mentioned earlier, Idaho Power modified its 1 demand response programs, which were approved with 2 Commission Order No. 35336, effective for the 2022 demand 3 response season. Although the demand response program 4 modifications resulted in a higher ELCC than previous 5 programs, it alone did not prove to be viable for meeting 6 the 2023 resource deficiency nor have any circumstances 7 changed within the past 12 months that would have indicated 8 demand response could provide a solution for meeting the 9 2024 and 2025 resource needs. 10 Evaluation of Existing and Potential Pricing Programs 11 Idaho Power evaluated the Company’s current Time-of-12 Use (“TOU”) offering and the potential for other pricing 13 programs as possible options for meeting the capacity 14 deficiency. The Company has existing TOU offerings in both 15 its Idaho and Oregon jurisdictions, with 1,000 customers 16 enrolled in the Idaho offering and five customers enrolled 17 in the Oregon pilot program. With the level of customer 18 participation data, the sample used to develop a 19 comprehensive and reliable assessment of residential peak 20 shifting would be outside an acceptable margin of error 21 tolerance limit at approximately +/- 60 percent. As such, 22 circumstantial behavioral changes could misrepresent peak 23 shifting impacts when expanded to the full residential 24 ELLSWORTH, DI 21 Idaho Power Company customer class. Idaho Power continues to assess the 1 programs and how to encourage customer participation. 2 Short-Term Market Solutions 3 To test the transmission deliverability and resource 4 market availability of a replacement resource for Valmy 5 Unit 2, the Company issued a request for proposals (“RFP”) 6 on April 26, 2021, for the delivery of firm capacity and 7 energy during the summer months beginning 2023. Idaho 8 Power received no bids, indicative of the evolving market 9 conditions leading to revised transmission import 10 assumptions in the system reliability evaluation. Idaho 11 Power continually monitors the availability of 12 energy/capacity deliveries to the Company’s border as well 13 as transmission availability that would allow for the 14 delivery of energy from a market hub to Idaho Power’s 15 system. 16 Q. Has Idaho Power taken any actions to acquire 17 resources to meet the capacity deficits? 18 A. Yes. Under Idaho law, Idaho Power has an 19 obligation to provide adequate, efficient, just, and 20 reasonable service on a nondiscriminatory basis to all 21 those that request it within its certificated service area.4 22 In order to meet its obligations to reliably serve customer 23 load, and given the extremely short turn-around to 24 4 Idaho Code §§ 61-302, 61-315, 61-507. ELLSWORTH, DI 22 Idaho Power Company construct a resource to meet the first deficit in the 1 summer of 2023, particularly in the midst of supply chain 2 disruption, ongoing COVID-19 impacts, and constraints in 3 the industry and in ancillary industries, on June 30, 2021 4 the Company conducted a competitive solicitation through an 5 RFP seeking to acquire up to 80 MW of peak capacity 6 resources to meet the 2023 capacity deficit - seeking 7 projects to be online by June of 2023 (“2021 RFP”). As 8 presented in Case No. IPC-E-22-13 for which the Commission 9 granted a CPCN with Order No. 35643, the RFP process 10 resulted in the procurement of 120 MW of dispatchable four-11 hour duration energy storage as well as execution of a 20-12 year PPA for 40 MW of solar, all of which were necessary to 13 adequately address 2023 capacity deficits. 14 As indicated by Order No. 35643, Idaho Power is 15 responsible for planning and managing its load and resource 16 portfolio and the Commission expects “the Company to 17 closely monitor its projected capacity needs going forward 18 and to act proactively to ensure a robust RFP process can 19 be completed.”5 Therefore, similar to the RFP issued to 20 address the 2023 deficiency, given the short turn-around to 21 construct a resource to meet the deficit in the summer of 22 2024, on December 30, 2021, the Company conducted a 23 competitive solicitation through an RFP seeking to acquire 24 5 Page 13. ELLSWORTH, DI 23 Idaho Power Company energy and capacity to help meet Idaho Power’s previously 1 identified capacity needs of 85 MW in 2024 and an 2 incremental 115 MW in 2025 (“2022 RFP”). 3 Q. What actions has Idaho Power taken to satisfy 4 the capacity deficiencies? 5 A. As detailed in Company witness Mr. Hackett’s 6 testimony, through the Company’s robust competitive bidding 7 process, the RFP resulted in the selection of a 150 MW 8 energy storage project, consisting of a 20-year Energy 9 Storage Agreement (“ESA”) for a 150 MW battery storage 10 facility and 77 MW of Idaho Power-owned battery storage at 11 Happy Valley station to meet the 2025 capacity deficiency. 12 In addition, for the newly identified capacity need in 13 2024, an additional 24 MW of Idaho Power-owned battery 14 storage at Hemingway was procured to ensure the Company is 15 able to continue to provide safe, reliable service to its 16 customers in 2024 and beyond. 17 Q. You mentioned previously in your testimony 18 that Idaho Power estimates a capacity deficiency of 8 MW in 19 2024 and 178 MW in 2025. Why is the Company requesting a 20 CPCN for a cumulative 251 MW of battery storage additions 21 in 2024 and 2025? 22 A. The 186 MW represents the estimated capacity 23 deficiency, while the 251 MW represents the nameplate 24 capacity of the resource additions. The nameplate capacity 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 24 Idaho Power Company must be adjusted to reflect the ELCC of these resource 1 additions. 2 Q. What is the Company’s resulting capacity 3 balance position for 2024 and 2025 following the 4 procurement of the ESA and the combined 101 MW of four-hour 5 duration battery storage? 6 A. Assuming the Company and its contractors are 7 successful restoring the American Falls power plant to full 8 capacity prior to the summer of each year, the Company 9 anticipates a 13 MW capacity length in 2024, and a 6 MW 10 capacity length in 2025. If Idaho Power is unable to 11 restore American Falls to full capacity for the summer, the 12 Company estimates 0 MW of capacity length in 2024 and an 8 13 MW capacity deficit in 2025. 14 Q. Do you believe there is sufficient support for 15 the procurement of the ESA and the combined 101 MW of four-16 hour duration battery storage resources to be online in 17 2024 and 2025? 18 A. Yes, I do. The acquisitions were pursued and 19 procured as a least cost/least risk method of meeting the 20 capacity deficits first identified in the Company’s 2021 21 IRP and subsequently with the results of system reliability 22 evaluation. The fluidity of the capacity deficit period and 23 continued high load growth further supports these resource 24 procurements. 25 ELLSWORTH, DI 25 Idaho Power Company V. CONCLUSION 1 Q. Please summarize your testimony. 2 A. Idaho Power’s most recent system reliability 3 evaluation has identified a capacity deficiency of 8 MW 4 still exists in 2024 and the capacity deficiency in 2025 is 5 178 MW. In response to this resource need, the Company has 6 executed an ESA for a 150 MW battery storage facility and 7 procured a combined 101 MW of four-hour duration battery 8 storage resources to satisfy the identified capacity needs 9 in 2024 and 2025. 10 Q. Does this complete your testimony? 11 A. Yes, it does. 12 ELLSWORTH, DI 26 Idaho Power Company DECLARATION OF JARED L. ELLSWORTH 1 I, Jared L. Ellsworth, declare under penalty of 2 perjury under the laws of the state of Idaho: 3 1. My name is Jared L. Ellsworth. I am 4 employed by Idaho Power Company as the Transmission, 5 Distribution & Resource Planning Director for the Planning, 6 Engineering & Construction Department. 7 2. On behalf of Idaho Power, I present this 8 pre-filed direct testimony in this matter. 9 3. To the best of my knowledge, my pre-filed 10 direct testimony is true and accurate. 11 I hereby declare that the above statement is true to 12 the best of my knowledge and belief, and that I understand 13 it is made for use as evidence before the Idaho Public 14 Utilities Commission and is subject to penalty for perjury. 15 SIGNED this 26th day of May 2023, at Boise, Idaho. 16 17 Signed: ________________________ 18 Jared L. Ellsworth 19