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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20210518Comments.pdfJOHN R. HAMMOND, JR. DEPUTY ATTORNEY GENERAL IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION PO BOX 83720 BOISE, IDAHO 83720.0074 (208) 334-03s7 IDAHO BAR NO. 5470 IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR AUTHORITY TO IMPLEMENT POWER COST ADJUSTMENT (PCA) RATES FOR ELECTRIC SERVICE FROM JUNE I,2O2I THROUGH MAY 3I,2022 CASE NO.IPC.E.2I.IO COMMENTS OF THE COMMISSION STAFF _ r-. :- I . ,' *.I1. -. -l!.."i, : ;'ii liitr:C3 Street Address for Express Mail: I I33I W CHINDEN BLVD, BLDG 8, SUITE 201.A BOISE,ID 837I4 Attorney for the Commission Staff BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION ) ) ) ) ) ) ) STAFF OF the Idaho Public Utilities Commission, by and through its Attomey of record, John R. Hammond, Jr., Deputy Attomey General, submits the following comments. BACKGROUND On April 15,2021, ldaho Power Company (the "Company") filed its annual power cost adjustment ("PCA") Application. The Company seeks an Order approving an update to Schedule 55 reflecting a $39.1 million increase in the PCA rates currently in effect (or an average increase of approximately 3.36Yo of current billed revenue), effective June 1, 2021 through May 3I,2022. If approved, the Company's bill to a typical residential customer would increase by about $2.57 per month. Besides the PCA, the Company recently filed its annual Fixed Cost Adjustment ("FCA") which, if approved, will impact rates for the same period. Id. at8; see also Case No. IPC-E-2L-03 1STAFF COMMENTS MAY 18,2021 If approved as filed, the proposed PCA and FCA rate adjustments would combine to increase the Company's current billed revenue by $41.2 million, or 3.55Yo, effective June I ,2021. Id. at9. STAFF ANALYSIS Staff recommends approval of the Company's proposed update to Schedule 55 reflecting a $39.1 million increase in revenue, effective June 1, 2021 through May 31,2022. This recommendation is based on Staff s audit of sampled transactions, examination of the testimony and workpapers of Company witness Nicole Blackwell, and Company responses to Staff s audit requests. Audit Review Staff examined the Company's sales and expenses for the historical 2020-2021PCA year and its forecasting methods, projected revenues, and expenses for the upcoming202l-2022Pc{ year. Staff also verified that the Company's filing and methods complied with prior, relevant, Commission Orders. Staff concludes that: 1. For the upcoming PCA year (2021-2022), the Company's forecast of electricity sales, loads, fuel consumption, fuel costs, and purchased power costs are accurate and reasonable; 2. The Company reasonably and prudently incurred actual Net Power Supply Expense ("NPSE") to serve customers during the current PCA year (2020-2021); and 3. The Company's Idaho jurisdictional202} year-end Return on Equity ("ROE") of 9.98% is accurate. Since this ROE is under the 10.0% ROE threshold for revenue sharing set in Order No. 33149, there is not a credit to customers this year. Components of Proposed PCA Increase The components of the $39.1 million increase in the PCA are shown in Table No. 1 2STAFF COMMENTS MAY t8,2021 Table No. 1: Revenue Impact bv PCA Rate Comnonent Rate Component 2020-202t PCA 2021-2022 PCA Difference PCA Forecast $113,084,635 $126,944,108 $13,859,473 PCA True-up ($42,892,18t)($17,641,954)$25,250,227 Revenue Sharing $0 $0 $0 PCA Total $70,192,455 $109,302,154 $39,109,700 The Company's power supply costs vary each year depending on several factors, including changes in river streamflow, the amount of purchased power, fuel costs, and the market price of power. The PCA mechanism trues up to yearly differences between actual power supply costs and the NPSE collected through base rates. With the PCA, the Company's customers are paying its actual NPSE, less the sharing band. The Company's power supply costs and surplus sales are subject to a95Yol5% sharing band, with the Company responsible for 5o/o of the excess NPSE compared to revenue the Company collected through base rates. The Commission created this sharing band to incentivize the Company to make careful resource acquisition and operating decisions. If actual costs are less than revenue collected, the Company keeps 5Yo of that difference. If costs are more than revenue collected, customers pay 95Yo of the excess costs and the Company absorbs 5%. Forecast Anolysis The Company used its March 25,2021Operating Plan to forecast the difference between NPSE embedded in base rates and NPSE the Company expects to recover in the coming year. The Company uses a dispatch simulation model to determine and analyze projected load, resource balance, and energy supply for the upcoming PCA year. The forecast also accounts for forward market energy prices, hydro generation, fuel prices, existing hedge transactions, and costs associated with Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act ("PURPA") and non-PURPA contracts. ln its forecast, the Company projects that hydro generation will be lower than average and market prices for energy will increase. With these two factors, the Company expects to have higher power costs at its coal and natural gas plants and fewer market purchases. 3STAFF COMMENTS MAY 18,2021 Based on its forecast, the Company expects to collect $126.9 million from ldaho customers from June 1,2021through May 31,2022. See Blackwell at 16. The over- or under- collected amount due to the difference between this forecast and actual revenues and NPSE will be trued-up in next year's PCA. True-Up Analysis The true-up deferral balance of negative $22.1 million includes six different components: (l) the difference between actual NPSE from June 1,2020 to May 31,2021and NPSE recovered through base rates; (2) forecasted revenues collected through the PCA since June 1,2020; the Company's expenses for its participation in the Westem Energy Imbalance Market ("EIM"), (3) the difference between actual Renewable Energy Credit ("REC") revenues and revenues credited through base rates; (4) the difference between actual Demand Response ("DR") incentive payments and amounts recovered in base rates; (5) the difference between actual and forecasted PCA revenues for the current PCA year; and (6) accrued interest for monthly balances over the current PCA year. Based on its review, Staff has confidence that the Company's proposed true-up deferral is accurate, conforms to past Commission orders, and that costs incurred were reasonable and prudent. StafPs review included: (i) a review and virtual audit of the true-up components; (ii) an analysis of the methods and the basis used to calculate the cost deferrals and account balances; (iii) an examination of the actual NPSE, including the Company's energy risk management policies and actions; and (iv) an analysis to determine if the Company prudently dispatched resources, purchased power, and sold power in the wholesale market. Table No. 2, below, summarizes the components of the true-up deferral balance. Positive numbers represent a cost to customers, which would raise the PCA rate on customer bills, and negative numbers represent a benefit to customers. All amounts are shown after jurisdictional allocation and the 95%15% sharing band. 4STAFF COMMENTS MAY t8,2021 Table No.2: PCA True-Un Summarv Deferral Category Deferral Amount Net Power Supply Expense Fuel Expense - Coal Fuel Expense - Gas Non-Firm Purchases Off-System Sales / Surplus Sales Third Party Transmission Expense Water for Power (Leases) Subtotal - Net Power Supply Expense Other PCA Expenses Renewable Energy Credit Sales Sales Based Adjustment Qualiffing Facilities Demand Response Incentive Payments EIM Participation Costs Subtotal - Other PCA Expenses Total PCA Expenses $l1,672,505 19,625,634 26,731,334 -11,917,999 -1,446,799 -1,712,097 $42,952,580 -4,736,347 -18,147,961 65,290,917 -4,697,614 3,026,440 $40,735,435 $83,688,015 PCA Forecasted Revenue Ending Deferral Balance (Expenses less PCA Forecasted Revenue) Interest on the Deferral Balance Total True-Up Deferral -105,761,199 -$22,073,184 -83,603 -$22,156,7871 I The "subtotal - Net Power Supply Expense" and "Total True-Up Deferral" amounts in Table No. 2 do not match their totaled amounts due to rounding. 5STAFF COMMENTS MAY 18,2021 This year's total true-up deferral reduces the PCA balance by $22.1 million, which reduces the PCA rate by 0.1535 cents per kWh. In last year's PCA, the true-up deferral lowered rates by 0.222 cents per kwh. Table No. 2 above summarizes the true-up reduction. Specific components of the true-up are discussed below. Net Power Supply Expense Deferral As stated above, Staff believes the Company prudently incurred NPSE to meet customer load. The Company's NPSE primarily consists of costs related to coal and other fuels, non- PURPA purchased power, and surplus sales. The main NPSE components are described below: 1. Fuel Expense - Coal. The Company has an ownership stake in and receives electricity from three coal plants. Staff reviewed all months of coal expenses and performed an in-depth audit for the months of June and November 2020. In the deferral year, actual coal expenses for Idaho customers were $l 1.7 million more than the coal expense included in base rates and the previous forecast, which increases PCA deferral. 2. Fuel Exoense - Gas. The Company owns and operates three gas-fired plants. Staff reviewed all months of the natural gas expenses and performed an in-depth audit for June and November 2020. The transactions were reasonable and follow the Company's energy risk management policies and standards. In the deferral year, actual natural gas expenses were $19.6 million more than the expense included in base rates and in the previous PCA forecast, increasing the deferral amount to be collected from customers. 3. Non--firm Purchases. The Company buys wholesale power as needed to supplement its own generation and to meet the Company's operating reserve margin requirements by considering its energy risk management policy, unit availability guidelines, and market conditions. In addition, the Company's EIM purchases are included as non-firm purchases; other EIM costs are included as a separate NPSE component. Staff reviewed purchases and transactions made during the PCA deferral period and found they appear to be reasonable and follow the Company's Risk Management Committee recommendations. These transactions were made with an 6STAFF COMMENTS MAY 18,2021 assortment of credit-worthy partners in a timely manner. Actual non-PURPA power purchases exceeded base amounts by $26.7 million, increasing the deferral balance. 4. Of-f-Svstem Sales. The Company's revenues from power sales were $l 1.9 million more than the amount included in base rates and in the forecast. This amount decreases the deferral balance to be recovered from customers. 5. Third-Par\t Transmission. In Order No. 30715, the Commission directed the Company to track third-party transmission costs associated with market purchases and off-system sales through the PCA. In the deferral year, third-party transmission expenses were $1.4 million less than the base amounts, which decreases the deferral balance to be recovered from customers. 6. Water Leases. The Company incurs lease expenses for water to produce hydro power. In the deferral year, actual lease expenses were $1.7 million less than those in base rates. This amount is deducted from the deferral balance. Other PCA Expenses 7. REC Sales. In Order No. 30818, the Commission required the Company to sell all RECs it receives for renewable generation, to benefit its customers. Staff audited the Company's REC transactions in the PCA deferral year and verified that the amount included in the deferral period is accurate. In the deferral year, the Company's revenues from REC sales were $4.7 million more than the expected amount in base rates. These incremental revenues decreased the deferral balance. 8. Sales-Based Ad-iustment ("SBA"l. The difference in actual and base rate sales is multiplied by the SBA rate of $26.721MWh, as set in Order No. 33307, to determine the over- or under-recovery of actual NPSE due to sales that are higher or lower than sales used to determine base rates (subject to 95Yo customer sharing) This year, the Company calculates an $18.1 million SBA decrease to the deferral balance due to the Company's over-recovery of actual NPSE. Staff audited and analyzed the Company's SBA calculations by: (1) auditing actual sales; (2) confirming the SBA rate and sales used to set base rates; and (3) verifiing the Company's method for calculating the SBA following the Commission's prior 7STAFF COMMENTS MAY 18,2021 orders. Staff believes the Company accurately calculated the SBA adjustment and complied with Commission orders. 9. Oualif.vine Facilitv/PUWA Exoense. PURPA contracts are not subject to the 95%15% sharing band but are subject to jurisdictional allocation between the Company's Idaho and Oregon customers. For the PCA deferralyear, the actual Idaho jurisdictional PURPA expense was $65.3 million above the amount embedded in rates. 10. DR Incentive Pqtments. The Company's DR incentive payments are not subject to the sharing band and are wholly allocated to Idaho. Prudency of DR incentive payments will be determined in the Company's annual Demand-Side Management prudency filing currently before the Commission (Case No. IPC-E-21-04). Any DR disallowance in that case will be reflected in next year's PCA deferral balance. Staff audited the Company's actual DR incentive payments included in the 2020- 2021PCA deferral balance. Staff confirms that actual DR incentive expenses in the deferral were $4.7 million less than the amount in base rates. That difference lowers the deferral balance to be recovered from customers. I l. EIM Participation Costs. The Company's operation and maintenance expenses attributed to its participation in the EIM are included in the PCA deferral, in compliance with Order No. 34100. The benefits of the EIM market, such as lower energy purchase prices and increased sales volume, flow through the PCA. Including participation costs appropriately matches costs with benefits. EIM costs and benefits will be reviewed in the next general rate case when the Commission will determine which costs and benefits will be included base rates. Staff reviewed EIM participation costs and believes they are appropriately recorded and accurate. Idaho's share of the EIM expenses is $3 million, which is added to the deferral balance. 12. Revenue.from the PCA Forecast The Company generated $105.7 million in revenues from its PCA Forecast rates during the current PCA year. Because the forecast rate changes each June, the deferral period reflects the rates set in the two previous PCA periods. This amount lowers the overall deferral balance for the 8STAFF COMMENTS MAY 18,2021 2020-2021deferral period. Staff verified the revenue that was collected during the PCA period. 13. Interest on the De-fenal Balance. The deferral balance accrues interest at the Commission-approved customer deposit rate of 2%o in 2020 and lYo in 2021. Staff verified the interest calculations and verified that the Company's calculation is accurate. The interest accrued during the current deferral year is $83,603, which lowers the deferral balance. Reconciliation of the True-up (True-up of the True-up) Analysis The reconciliation of the true-up tracks the recovery of the prior year's true-up amounts. It compares the revenue collected during the current PCA year (June 1,2020 to May 31,2021) from the true-up rates to the amount set in the previous year's PCA case. The difference between actual true-up rates and projected true-up rates is recovered via the reconciliation of the true-up portion of the PCA rates in the next PCA year (June 1,2021to May 31,2022.) The Company reported a $4.5 million ending balance for the reconciliation of the true-up, as shown on the line labeled "Ending True-Up of the True-Up Balance" in Blackwell's Exhibit No. 2. This year, the combined balance of the true-up and the true-up of the true-up is a credit of $17.6 million to customers. As shown in Table No. 1 above, this is $25.2 million less than the $42.9 million credited to customers last year. Staff audited the amounts booked to the reconciliation of the true-up, verified the Company's calculations, and reviewed the method used to ensure it complies with past Commission orders. As a result of its review, Staff believes that the Company correctly reconciled the true-up. Further specifics of Staff s review are discussed below. 9STAFF COMMENTS MAY 18,2021 Table No. 3: Reconciliation of the True-Un Summarv Category Amount Deferral Balances 2019-2020 True-Up Deferral Balance 2018-2019 True-Up of the True-Up Ending Balance Amount Set for Refund Revenues Collections from True-Up Rates Interest Revenues Subtotal -$31,869,646 -10,778,801 -$42,648,447 $47,168,061 True-Up Reconciliation $4,519,614 1. 2019-2020 True-up Deferral Balance. The ending true-up defenal balance from the 2019-2020 PCA period was approved in Order No. 34682. The ending deferral balance in last year's PCA was negative $31.9 million. This amount is added to the beginning balance of the reconciliation of the true-up. Staff verified that this amount was properly recorded in April 2020 in the reconciliation of the true-up for recovery. 2 )nt8-2019 Pornnril int n{ tho T-r ro f In Flnl n-no The remaining balance in the reconciliation of the true-up that was over-recovered in the previous PCA period is the beginning balance of the reconciliation of the true-up for this PCA period. This balance, $10.8 million was over-recovered in the previous period and has been properly recorded in the reconciliation of the true-up as the beginning balance. 3. Collections.from True-up Rates and Interest Staff reviewed and verified the collections from customers and the interest calculations. Staff has also verified that the collections and interest are accurately reflected in the reconciliation of the true-up. $47,542,201 -374,140 STAFF COMMENTS l0 MAY t8,2021 Revenue Sharing The revenue sharing mechanism, established in 2010 and last modified in Order No. 34071in 2018, requires the Company to share revenues with customers based on its actual Idaho jurisdictional year-end Return on Equity (ROE), if it exceeds lloh. In2020, that ROE was 9.98yo, which is below the llYo threshold for revenue sharing. As a result, there is no revenue sharing benefit to customers in the next PCA year. Staff agrees with its revenue sharing calculations after reviewing the Company's workpapers, source documents, and other supporting documentation. Rate Calculations The Company calculated its proposed PCA rate by combining the three PCA components: forecast power cost at $0.8793 cents per kwh, the true-up at -0.1535 cents per kWh, and the reconciliation of the true-up at 0.0313 cents per kWh. The sum of these components is 0.7571 cents per kwh, which is the rate for all customer classes, and is shown in the Company's proposed Schedule 55 PCA rates. Staff reviewed the components that make up this year's PCA rates and has concluded that they are fair, just, and reasonable. Staff s review of all the rate components included verification that rates were calculated accurately, and that the Company's methods comply with Commission orders. Staff confirmed that the revenue requirement was allocated across customer classes on an equal cents per kilowatt-hour basis, which ensures that customers share the PCA revenue requirement based on amount of energy consumed. PCA Simplification The Company's forecast is a substantial cause of the year-over-year variation in the PCA rate. This variation has resulted in a fluctuation of up to 14.6%o in the annual charges for a typical residential customer using 800 kWh per month. IPC-E-20-21, Staff Comments at 13. Staff believes that this variation could be reduced by replacing the forecast with a constant value of 0.5446 cents per kilowatt hour and replacing the true-up and true-up of the true-up with a simple balancing account. This simplified method would not detract from the intended purpose of the PCA. STAFF COMMENTS 11 MAY 18,2021 CUSTOMER NOTICE AND PRESS RELEASE The Company included a press release and customer notice with its Application. Staff reviewed the documents and determined that both meet the requirements of Rule 125 of the Commission's Rules of Procedure. The notice was or will be included with bills mailed to customers beginning April2T and ending May 26,2021. Customers whose bills will be mailed on May 22,25, and26 were sent a direct mail postcard, mailed no later than May 21, outlining the Company's filing. Unfortunately, even with the Company's attempt to provide earlier notice to some customers, many will not have a reasonable opportunity to file timely comments with the Commission by the May 18th comment deadline. Because the Company is proposing a rate increase, it is likely that some customers may object to the proposed rate changes. All customers should have an opportunity to file comments and have their comments considered by the Commission. Staff thus recommends the Commission accept and consider late-filed customer comments. As of May 17,202l,the Commission had received five comments, which were all opposed to raising rates. STAFF RECOMMENDATIONS Staff recommends that the Commission approve the Company's update to Schedule 55, as shown in Attachment 1, effective June 1 ,2021, for the period June l, 2021 through May 31,2022. Respectfully submitted this of May 2021 Hammond, Jr. Attomey General Technical Staff: Brad Iverson-Long Mike Monison Johan Kalala-Kasanda Curtis Thaden i:umisc:comments/ipce2l. l0jhblmmjkct comments J STAFF COMMENTS t2 MAY t8,2021 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS l8th DAY OF MAY 2021, SERVED THE FOREGOING COMMENTS OF TITE COMMISSION STAFF, IN CASE NO. IPC.E.2I-IO, BY E.MAILING A COPY THEREOF, TO THE FOLLOWING: NATHAN GARDINER REGULATORY DOCKETS IDAHO POWER COMPANY PO BOX 70 BOrSE ID 83707-0070 E-MAIL: ngardiner@idahopower.com dockets@idahopower.com MATTHEW T LARKIN TIMOTHY E TATUM IDAHO POWER COMPANY PO BOX 70 BOISE ID 83707-0070 E-MAIL : mlarkin@idahopower.com ttatum@ idahopower. com Y CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE