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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20170727Angell Direct.pdfir '=iil 1l:i'l1..,+,;,.-l'rru : L. '-',:1 Pl'i 3' 3l I BEEORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OE IDAHO POWER COMPANY' S APPL]CATION FOR AUTHORITY TO ESTABLTSH NEW SCHEDULES EOR RESIDENTIAL AND SMALL GENERAL SERVICE CUSTOMERS WITH ON-SITE GENERATION IDAHO POWER COMPANY DIRECT TESTIMONY DAVID M. ANGELL CASE NO. IPC-E_17 _1.3 OF ) ) ) ) ) ) 1 Q. Please state your name and business address. 2 A. My name is Dave Ange11. My business address 3 is L22L West Idaho Street, Boise, Idaho. 4 Q. By whom are you employed and in what capacity? 5 A. I am employed by Idaho Power Company ("Idaho 6 Power" or "Company") as the Transmission and Distribution 7 Planning Manager. 8 Q. Pl-ease describe your educational background. 9 A. I graduated in 1984 and 1986 from the 10 University of Idaho, Moscow, Idaho, receiving a Bachel-or of 11 Science Degree and Master of Engineerj-ng Degree in !2 El-ectrical Engineering, respectively. I have provided 13 electrical engineering instruction for both the University 1,4 of Idaho and Boi-se State University. Most recently I 15 instructed power system anal-ysis at Boise State University 16 during the 2009 spring semester. I am a licensed Ll professional engineer in the State of fdaho and a senior 18 member of the Institute of Electrical- and Electronic 1"9 Engineers. 20 O. Please describe your work experience with 2L Idaho Power. 22 A. From 1986 to 7996, I was employed by Idaho 23 Power as an engineer in both communications and protection 24 systems. In L996, T became the Engineering Leader of 25 System Protection and Communications. I held this posi-tion ANGELL, D] Idaho Power 1 Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 '7 8 9 until- 2004, when I transferred to Transmission and Distribution Planning. During the faIl of 2006, I accepted the positions of System Planning Leader and Manager of Delivery Planning. I have been managing Idaho Power's interconnected-transmissj-on system, sub-transmission, and distribution planning since 2006. O. What is the purpose of your testimony in this proceeding? A I will- provide an explanation of the and how the Company's residential- and small (*R&SGS") customers with on-sj-te generation 10 electrical grid 11 t2 13 L4 15 76 71 18 19 20 2t 22 general utilize the distribution system. I wil-l- then address the questlon of whether increasing levels of distributed energy resources ("DER") will contribute to the deferral- of future investment in distribution infrastructure. FinalJ-y, I will describe how smart inverters provide functional-ity that is necessary to support the ongoing stabil-ity and reliability of the dlstribution system and explain the Company's request rel-ative to a smart inverter requirement in Schedule 12 for customers who interconnect privately-owned DER to Idaho Power's system. I. THE GRID o What is meant servr_ce 23 24 A. The grid, 25 power system including by the term "the grid"? this context, is the el-ectrlc1n the conversion, transformation, ANGELL, DI 2 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 transmission, distribution, and delivery of energy in the form of electricity to customers. The conversion of energy contained in reservoirs, fossil- fuels, wind, geothermal well-sr or solar rays to electricity power occurs at generation stations. Many of the generation stations are located remote from the customers' point of use. Therefore, the electricity is transformed to extremely high voltages in order to reduce the electrical losses when transmitting the el-ectricity on transmission lines for long distances. Transformers are used throughout the grid to change the electric voltage level- to match utilization and reduce electric losses. Once the electrici-ty is transformed to a lower delivered to communities, it is voltage 10 11 72 13 t4 15 distribution. 71 The electricity on distribution at substations for l-ocal is distributed through the Iines where transformers16 l-ocaf community 18 are used to tap the line and deliver customers electricity at a reduced voltage to match their intended use. O. What klnds of services does the grid offer Idaho Power customers? A. The grid offers rel-iable electricity delivery, in the context of dependability and balance of supply, across large regions in the amount and at the instant of customers' demand. The grid also provides fl-exibil-ity by allowing the utility access to a diverse portfolio of L9 20 2l 22 23 24 25 ANGELL, DI 3 Idaho Power Company I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 resources for power generation, even 1f those resources are located far from where the power is needed. O. What functions does Idaho Power perform in order to maintain a safe and reliabl-e dlstributj-on system and grid? A. In order to provide safe and reliable energy on demand, fdaho Power must perform the following functions: voltage control, system protection, scheduling, dispatching, and load balancing. These functions are commonly referred to and col-lectively known as ancillary services. O. How does Idaho Power control voltage to maintain a safe and reliable distribution system and grid? A. Voltage control is achieved by managing the voltage throughout the grid at the generator, transmission, and distribution systems. Automatic voltage regulating devices control- the voltage output of the generators to match the grid operators set voltage. At the substations, grid operators also remotely switch substation capacitors and inductors to raise and lower the transmission voltage, respectiveJ-y. Automatic voltage management occurs at the distribution substation transformers with voltage control based on 1oad, known as J-oad tap changers. Additional automatic control signals are sent to swltched distribution circuit capacitors based on substation transformer loading. ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 10 11 !2 13 t4 15 16 71 18 19 20 2t 22 23 24 4 Company 25 1 Fina11y, voltage control occurs at substations that service 2 large commercial and industrial customers. 3 Q. What is system protection? 4 A. System protection is the detection and 5 isolation of both short circuits and system operation that 6 may damage generation, transmissj-on, substation, and 7 distribution faci-Iities. ldaho Power coordinates the 8 protection equi-pment to isolate only the failed component 9 and al1ow the remaining grid to continue to supply energy. 10 O. How do scheduling, dispatchi.g, and load 11 balancing help Idaho Power maintain a safe and reliable L2 distribution system and grid? 13 A. The Idaho Power-owned generation stations are L4 controlled by grid operations personnel. These personnel 15 schedul-e a generator's electrical output ahead of time 76 based on the l-oad forecast and its optimal use in Ll consideration of energy market economics. Duri-ng each hour 18 of the duy, the operators efficiently dispatch the 19 generation fl-eet to maintain the balance between production 20 and forecasted use. They operate the generation stations 27 within a set of operational, environmental, and economic 22 constraints to maximize customer val-ue. Some of these 23 generation stations are also configured with the nearly 24 instantaneous ability to automatically adjust the electric 25 output to balance the generated electricity with the actual ANGELL, D] Idaho Power 5 Company 1 use, known as automatic generation control. Additlonal 2 generation capability is held in reserve and is available 3 for dispatch if the actua1 load exceeds the forecast or if 4 some of the dispatched generation is forced out of service 5 unexpectedly. 6 Q. How do wind and solar resources i-mpact this 7 scheduli-ng, dispatchj-ng, and load balancing? I A. Independently-owned wind and solar generation 9 resources differ from fdaho Power-owned and operated 10 generation stations because their production is difficul-t 11 to forecast and they cannot be dlspatched by Idaho Power's 72 grid operators. Because the actual output from these 13 independently-owned resources typically varies from the 74 forecast, they place increased demands on the dispatch and 15 utilization of the automatic generation control and reserve 16 generation. 17 O. Does DER located on the customer side of the 18 meter increase the complexity of forecasting? 19 A. Yes. While on an individual- basis a small 20 independently-owned on-site generation system (capacity of 22 automatic generation control, the aggregate amount of DER 23 installed across Idaho Power's system is noticeable and 24 does increase the complexity of forecasting. As of June 25 30, 20L1, Idaho Power's net metering service had a ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 6 Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 cumulative nameplate capacity of 11 megawatts including customers who had submitted applications for net metering servj-ce. Because the net metered systems are installed on the customer side of the meter, Idaho Power is not abl-e to detect the amount of DER at any given moment, whi-ch increases complexity of both forecasting and l-oad following. O. You have described the overall servj-ces that the grid provides to Idaho Power's customers and the functions that Idaho Power performs to maintain a reliable grld. Does the grid provide other services that are specific to a person with privately-owned generation? A. Yes. The grid provides the following services that customers with privately-owned generation require: inverter operatj-on, motor starting, energy balancing, and standby service. O. What is an inverter? A. fnverters convert direct current ("DC") electricity into alternating current (*AC") electricity. Inverters are used in both off-grid and on-grid applications. An j-nverter is required for customers who install a photovol-taic ("PV") generation system because solar panels produce DC electricity and the home appliances requj-re AC power supplied by the inverter. ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 1 Company 10 t-1 L2 1_3 L4 15 L6 t7 18 79 20 27 22 23 24 25 1 Q. What is the difference between an "off-grid" 2 application and an "on-grid" application? 3 A. An off-grid generation system is one that is 4 not interconnected to the electric grid; the off-grid 5 system provides all electric needs of the owner they are 6 independent of the utility. In the case of an off-grid 7 solar PV system, the DC el-ectricity generated by the PV I system is used to charge a battery bank connected to the 9 customer's equipment through an off-grid inverter, which 10 does not require the grid to operate. 11 On the other hand, an on-grld generatj-on system is 12 one that is interconnected to the electric grid. For on- 13 grid systems, the DC el-ectricity generated by the PV system 14 is sent directly to an on-grid inverter which converts the 15 electriclty to AC for use by the DER customer or other 16 customers through the grid. 77 O. How does the grid provide services for on-grid 18 system inverter operation? 79 A. Without the grid, the customer's generation 20 system woul-d not operate because these line commutating 21, inverters wou1d not be able to develop voltage or del-iver 22 energy. In other words, the grid must be present for 23 customers with on-grid inverters to operate their 24 generation system. 25 ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 6o Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Eor the remainder of my testimony, al-I discussions in regard to inverters. o. generation to A. i-nverters wiIl be specific to on-grld How does the grid enable a customer with self- Electro-mechanical devices such as generators and motors transfer energy via the interaction of magnetic in additionfields. These magnetic fields to the current associated with additional current is known as requJ-re current the energy transfer. This interconnected with the Idaho Power start a motor? 10 reactive current. The 11 induction motor, the most widely used motor, is constructed 12 with an electro-magnet which relies on a power source to 13 develop a magnetic field. When energi-zed, the motor has no !4 magnetic fiel-d to impede the current flow from the power 15 source. Therefore, during motor starting, a current draw L6 of about six times the fu]l load value occurs. Most L] inverters currently not able1B 19 20 2t 22 23 24 system are continuous to supply reactive currents. and capacitors, supplies the reactive current. fn other generation woul-d not be able these high starting and The grid, via its generators motor starting and continuous words, a customer with on-site to turn on certain equipment and household motors without ANGELL, DI 9 Idaho Power Company Iike air conditioners, being connected to the pumps, grid. 25 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 O. How is standby service provided by the grid beneficial to a customer with self-generation? A. When a customer's self-generati-on system is not able to meet their demand, that customer must rely on power from the grld. Al-so, when a customer's system is not generating because of weather conditions, time of day or operational- malfunction, the customer relj-es on power from the grid to meet their el-ectricity demands. a. Is it a requj-rement for someone with privately-owned generation to be connected to the grid? A. No. A person with privately-owned generati-on is not requj-red to be connected to the grid. However, most customers voluntarily choose to connect to the grid in order to receive the services that the grid provides as described above. II. USE OF THE GRID BT STAT{DARD SERVICE CUSTOMERS AND CUSTOMERS WITH ON-SITE GEIIERLTION 10 11 12 13 74 15 l6 11 18 t9 20 use 27 ZZ o. the grid A. How do R&SGS customers with on-site generation compared to R&SGS standard service customers? The prlmary difference is that the R&SGS 23 customer with on-site generation uses the grid in a bi- directional manner by both consuming energy from the grid and delivering excess net energy to the grid when not consuming aII generation on-site. The standard service residential- customer only consumes energy from the grid. 24 25 ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 10 Company 26 1 Furthermore, while the daily demand requirements of the two 2 customers may be sj-miIar, the net monthly energy may not 3 reflect the utilization of the grid by the on-site 4 generation customer. 5 Q. What is meant by the term "net zero" customer? 6 A. A net zero customer i-s one that, over the 7 course of a year, generates as much or more energy I (kilowatt-hours ('kV0h") ) than they consume. That is, 9 during certain hours of the year, the customer is a net 10 exporter of energy to the grid, and during other hours of 11 the year, the customer is a net consumer of energy from the t2 grid. 13 O. Does the net zero customer util-ize the t4 distrlbution system less than the standard service 15 residential customer? L6 A. No. A net zero customer utilizes all aspects Ll of Idaho Power's grid during the hours they are consuming 18 energy (including the generation, transmission, and 19 distribution systems) and utillzes the distribution system 20 during the hours they are exporting energy to the grid. 2l To illustrate this, the Company selected a single 22 residential net metering customer who netted their usage to 23 zero during 2016. Figure 1 demonstrates the hourly usage 24 of that residential- net zero net metering customer on the 25 Company's 20tG adjusted system peak day (June 29) and ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 11 Company 1 2 3 compares that customer's hourly usage to a standard servj-ce customer's usage whose home is nearby the net metering customer. 4 Figure 1. Residential. Net ![etering Customer vs. Standard 5 Service Residential Customer (June 29, 2016) a Would you characterize these customers' usage as simil-ar? A. No. While the daily absolute demand requirements of the two customers are similar, the net monthly energy consumed by the net metering customer j-s not representative of their usage of the grid. O. Why is the net monthly energy not representative of the customer's use of the grid? A. When a net metering customer exports excess net energy to the grid, their retail- meter "spj-ns backwardsr " or in the case of a modern meter, subtracts usage electronically. Later, during other hours of the day or month when the customer is consumlng energy from the 6 1 I 9 10 11 12 13 L4 15 16 71 18 ANGELL, DI 72 Idaho Power Company 8 6 4 2 (21 (4) (6) t 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011t2L3L4L5t6t7 18192021222324 Hour Ending r "Net Zero" Net Metering Customer r Standard Service Residential Customer 3.Y 19 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 grid, the meter "spins forwardr " and adds usage electronically. On a monthly basis, the net metering customer is using the grid, every hour, every day, but because usage is measured for bil-ling purposes on a monthly basis, that net metering customer appears to have "zero usage" for the month. To understand the extent to which the net metering customer uses the grid, you can use the absolute value of the energy being transacted to and from the net metering customer. Figure 2 represents the same day as Eigure L, but shows all of the energy as positive, that is, the total amount of energy that is being transacted between the net metering customer and the Company's grid regardless of which direction the energy is flowing. Fignrre 2. UtiJ.ization of the Distribution System by Residential Net l[etering Customer vs. Standard Service Residential Customer (ilune 29 20t51 10 11 72 13 L4 15 1,6 l'7 ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 13 Company 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 L 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 1011L2L314L5t617 18192021222324 Hour Ending r Net Metering E Exported Net Excess r Standard Service EI 18 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 The sum of the hourly consumed standard service residential customer 11.1 kwh, and the sum hourly energy for the energy for the on June 29, 20L6, was of the absolute val-ue of the net residential net metering customer was the standard service residential 55.4 kwh. Yet, when looking at thelr meter reads from that 10 day, it would appear customer transacted 71.1 kWh of energy, while the residential net metering customer's meter would register that customer transacted 11.28 kwh. When looking at the sum of all of the individual hours wi-thin the month of June for those same two customers, the sum of the hourly consumed energy for the standard servj-ce residential customer was t,480 kwh, and ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 11 72 13 1,4 the sum of the absol-ute val-ue of the net hourly energy for 15 the residential net meterj-ng customer was t,323 kwh. Yet, 16 when looking at their meter reads for the month, it would L7 appear the standard service residential customer transacted 18 7,480 kwh of energy, while the residential net metering 19 customer's meter woul-d register that customer exported 20 excess net energy of 440 kwh, to be carried forward to 2L offset consumption in a future month, and that customer 22 would be billed for zero kwh. 23 This demonstrates how the net monthly energy as a 24 basis for billing does not reflect a net metering 25 customer's util-ization of the grid L4 Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 rII. LOCAL DISTRIBTITION II{I\IESIIIEIiIT O. Has Idaho Power studied the relationship between distributed, rooftop solar PV and its distribution system operations? A. Yes. In 2015, the Company performed a study comparing solar intensity variations and distribution circuit demand. This study is attached as Exhibit No. 74. A portion of the study sought to determine if there was a relationship between solar i-ntensity and distribution cj-rcuit loading. The Company's system peak load is largely driven by the Treasure Valley residentj-a1 and commercial 1oads. Therefore, weather stations with irradiance sensors were installed on a Treasure Va11ey distribution circuit that supplied primarily residential and some commercial customers. Three irradi-ance sensor orientations at three locations were used. The orientations were southerly facing at a 35o til-t, horizontal- and westerly facing at a 53o tiIt. The study demonstrated that there was a significant time delay between peak solar j-ntensity and peak distributlon circuit demand. O. What did the study conclude? A. The study demonstrated that a southerl-y facing sensor peaked approximately four hours prior to the distribution circuit peak load and a westerly faclng sensor peaked approximately two hours prj-or to the distrlbution ANGELL, DI 15 Idaho Power Company 10 11 72 13 t4 15 16 L1 18 19 20 21, 22 23 24 25 1 circuit peak l-oad. In both cases, similarly orj-ented PV 2 systems will not significantly reduce a distribution circuit 3 peak load. Additionally, the measurements demonstrate that 4 the western facing PV system will create a steep decline in 5 production at the end of the day that will result in a rapj-d 6 change in circui-t voltage and require enhanced voltage 7 regulating abil-ities to respond to this rapid decline. 8 As the study concluded, even a system oriented west 9 will not peak during peak load hours of the suflrmer peak on 10 a specific distribution circuit or substation. The 11 distribution circuit peak load occurred from 17:00 through L2 19:00 hours. At 19:00 hours, the contribution from a PV 13 array wil-I be about 20 percent if faced southerl-y and about 14 55 percent if faced westerly. PV generation would only 15 shift the peak load to 20:00 hours and decrease it by 10 16 percent. To illustrate this, Figure 3 presents a typical 71 nominalizedl load shape with the irradiance shape for the 18 southerl-y-configured sensor and the resulting l-oad shape 79 less the solar irradiance. 20 2L 22 1 To find relati-onships between so1ar intensity and l-oad, the data was nominafized so that each varj-able ranged between 1 and 0. That al-1owed the two correlated time-series to be more easily refatable when graphed. ANGELL, DI 76 Idaho Power Company 1 Figrure 3. Southerly SoJ.ar Irradiance Shape vs. Load Shape 1.0 0.8 o?-c =El1|N; c,E C,(ga 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0:00 2:00 4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 1 4:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 ?2:00 24:00 Hour Load (Std) S lnadiance (Sld) - Load'lrradiance 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 Si-mi1arly, Fj-gure 4 presents a typical shape with the irradiance shape for the nominalized load sensor and the resulting load shape l-ess irradiance. westerly-configured the solar 10 11 72 ANGELL, DI Idaho Power L7 Company 13 1 Figrure 4. Westerly Solar Irradiance Shape vs. Load Shape 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0:00 2:00 4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00 24:00 Hour Load (Std) W lrradiance (Sld) - Load-lrradiance O. Why is the planning horlzon fj-ve years? A. Idaho Power is able to forecast di-stribution circuit and substation capacity requirements with some certainty five years into the future. This planning horizon peri-od all-ows the Company to investigate options to avoid facility overloads, select more cost-effective options, and design and construct improvements to meet the identified overl-oads. O. Can Idaho Power forecast on-site generatj-on installations by distribution circuit and substation? gt.= =E(lI .trE(!E C,G' (f) 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 72 ANGELL, DI 18 Idaho Power Company ,l )I \l t I I I I \ III 13 1 A. No. A customer's interest and abil-ity to 2 invest in an on-site generation system is based on many 3 factors such as their ability to flnance a system, risk 4 tolerance, the local economy, and electricity prlces. The 5 last two factors are incorporated into the forecasts used 6 in the Integrated Resource Plan analysis for on-site 7 generation additions for the service area. However, it is I extremely difficult to build a reasonable forecast with 9 those same assumptions for specific circuits and 10 substations. 11 O. Can increased levels of rooftop PV reduce 12 local distribution infrastructure investment? 13 A. Only has infrastructure in place to serve all customers during and undertakepeak load hours. Idaho Power must plan distrlbution system investments in order in limited circumstances. Idaho Power t4 15 t6 77 reliable service. In order to reduce the to provide this infrastructure 18 79 20 investment, sufficient PV additions must occur on the distribution circuit during Idaho Power's five-year 2L planning o horizon. Can you provide an example where be reduced?22 infrastructure mlght Z3 A An example of a cj-rcumstance where an 24 investment coul-d be deferred is a remote section of a 25 distribution circuj-t where the load peak occurs during ANGELL, DI L9 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I Y daylight hours, customers are increasing at a slow rate, and the voltage is decllning. A tradltional solution, e.9., installation of a capacitor, might be reduced by 20 to 50 kW of PV generation. O. Has this occurred on the Idaho Power system? A. Yes. Idaho Power engineers reviewed the distribution system and found one location that met the criteria above. A pilot PV project was installed in 201,6 and the engineers are presently monitoring the performance for evaluation this fa11. O. Is the distributj-on system capable of handling increasing levels of DER without any modification? A. No. High DER penetration amounts create distribution circuj-t operatJ-on challenges, such as voltage management, short circuit detection, and islanding. Islanding occurs when a customer's generation is capabJ-e of supporting the load of other customers physically located near the customer's generator when that section of the electrical circuit is isolated from the Idaho Power system. O. Why does the presence of DER impact the distributlon cj-rcuit voltage? A. When DER is contributing power to the circuit, it changes the power requirement from the distrj-bution substation transformer as shown previously. This change j-n ANGELL, DI 20 Idaho Power Company 10 11 72 13 74 15 t6 l1 1B L9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 power flow causes the typical circuit voltage drop to change. O. What is meant by typical cj-rcuit voltage drop? A. Voltage drop (l-oss) occurs any time power flows through a conductor. Eor a typical circult, the voltage is highest at the substation (the power source) and drops to the lowest point at the end of the circuit. The rate of drop is based on the amount of current flow and conductor resistance. O. How j-s the distribution circuit voltage10 11 managed? t2 A. The distribution circuit voltage is typj-caIly 13 automatically controlled by three components: (1) the 74 substation distribution transformer load tap changer 15 ("LTC"), (2) regulators located along the circuit, and (3) 16 shunt connected capacitors. The LTC automatically adjusts Ll the substation bus voltage based on the power fl-ow through 18 the transformer. The LTC and regulators are mechanical L9 devj-ces that slowly wear with each change of tap. 20 Therefore, the controls on these devices are set with 2L sufficient bandwidth and time delay to avoid excessive wear 22 and maintain the voltage within a range for the customer's 23 equipment to function properly. The capacitor controls are 24 set to manage the reactive power flow while keeping the 25 circuit voltage within the range described above. ANGELL, DI 2I Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 O. May the controls be set to accommodate DER penetration in excess of 15 percent of peak load? A. No. The traditional LTC and regulator controls were designed assuming the cj-rcuit power would only flow from the substation to the loads on the circuit. During conditions of DER power load, these controls will sense output that exceed the l-ocal- the 10 latest models that are to increase the voltage power flow and adjust when it is not desired. to replace the controll-ers with the abl-e to detect a reverse power the voltage Idaho Power would need 11 t2 13 t4 15 76 77 18 t9 20 2L 22 condj-tj-on and adjust accordinqly. This level of PV penetratj-on can require additional- voltage adjustment (tap change) cycles in addition to the daily load cycle adjustments. Adjustments down are needed as the voltage rises with PV output peaking with the solar peak and adjustments up when the voltage decreases during the load peak while the sol-ar output wanes. Finally, the PV output will change rapidly when broken clouds pass over the PV systems. Rapid changes to output result in rapid voltage fl-uctuations that cannot be regulated by the o. Are time-del-ayed regulating devices. there operational practices or equipment ANGELL, DI 22 Idaho Power Company 23 avail-able to reduce these operational chal-lenges? 24 A. Yes. Idaho Power first replaces the 25 controllers and optimj-zes their settings for reduction of 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 voltage deviation wlthout substantially increasing the devlce wear. Beyond this, there are two options. The first option is to reduce the remaining voJ-tage deviation by decreasing the circuit lmpedance through fuII conductor replacement on a given feeder. This option is not practical given that a full conductor replacement would not be cost-effective. The second option is to require voltage regulation from the DER. rV. INVERTER EEJATT'RES AI{D EI'NCTION O. How can on-sj-te generation provide regulation? A. An on-sj-te generati-on system j-nterconnected to the grid through a smart inverter can regulate voltage if its voltage control- function is enabled. O. What is a smart inverter? A. A smart inverter provides configurable functions beyond the conversion of DC to AC. A few of the features are: voltage/reactive power control, anti- islanding, monj-toring, and remote communication. O. Have these regulation functions been demonstrated? A. Yes, multiple studies and experience from 10 11 72 13 t4 15 L6 L7 1B 79 20 2t 22 23 Germany, California, depJ-oyment of smart and Hawaii have shown that the inverters can reduce the 24 of on-site generation. The industry adoption voltage impact of smart 25 j-nverter requirements will help to mitigate circuit voltage ANGELL, DI 23 . Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 devj-ation. States like Cal-ifornia and Hawaii have already started requiring smart inverters in residential installations. Germany, the global leader in PV, has required smart inverters for the last few years. O. Is there a cost differential- between a smart inverter and a standard inverter? A. Yes, however, smart inverter costs are decreasing and with the adoption of smart inverter requi-rements in Cal-ifornia and HawaiJ-, these costs will decrease even more rapidly due to scales of production. A standard inverter costs approximately $0.23 per watt whereas a premium j-nverter with the smart inverter functionality buil-t in costs around $0.35 per watt. For example, j-f a customer were to install a 6,000 watt system, the price difference between a smart inverter and a standard inverter for this system wou1d be roughly $120. Most inverter manufacturers already provide smart inverter function capabilities in their devices; it is just a matter of upgradlng the software to enabl-e the smart inverter functionality. The manufacturers that do not currently provide smart inverter capabilities in their products are generally lower cost but they will have to offer smart inverter capabilities in the future to remain competitive in the market. The Company recognizes that ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 10 11 L2 13 l4 15 L6 L1 1B t9 20 2L 22 23 24 24 Company 25 1 there is a potential cost difference between lower cost 2 Legacy inverters and smart inverters. 3 Q. Does the Company currentl-y require that 4 customers who install privately-owned generation, 5 interconnect to the grid using a smart inverter(s)? 6 A. No. The current Schedule 72, fnterconnection 7 to Non-Utility Generation, requires that grid 8 interconnected inverters have either a certification with 9 Standard for Inverters, Converters , Control-l-ers and 10 Interconnection System Equipment for Use with Distributed 11 Energy Resources UL l7 47, Institute of El-ectrical- and L2 Electronic Engineers Interconnecting Distributed Resources 13 with Electric Power Systems Standard 1547 (*IEEE 7541") or t4 be subject to thj-rd-party testj-ng performed at the 15 customer's expense. None of the standards that are in L6 effect today include a mandate for the use of a smart L7 inverter. 18 O. Does the Company believe that it would be L9 beneficial to require Idaho Power customers with privately- 20 owned generation to interconnect to the grid through a 2L smart i-nverter? 22 A Yes.As descrj-bed previously, the Company benefits have been demonstrated23 24 believes that many associated with the use of smart inverters. In fact, the 25 Instltute of Electrical and Efectronic Engineers are in the ANGELL, DI Idaho Power 25 Company I 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 process of revising the IEEE 1547 to adopt the standards around what constitutes a smart inverter. O. When are the revisions to fEEE L547 and 7547.L anticipated to be approved? A. The IEEE 1547 and 1547.L standards are presently being balIoted. It is anticipated that IEEE 1541 could be approved as early as the end of 2077 and IEEE 154'7 .7 could be approved by mid-2018. O. What is the Company recoflrmending in this filing regarding smart inverters? A. Idaho Power requests that the Idaho Public Utilities Commission acknowledge that smart inverters provide functionality that is necessary to support the ongoing stability and reliability of the distribution system by ordering the Company to submit a compliance filing in the form of a tariff advice within 60 days of the adoption of the revised IEEE standards, or 60 days of the conclusion of this case, whichever occurs l-ater. This tariff advice will seek to modlfy Section 2 of Schedule 72 to require that customers with on-site generation install a smart inverter that meets the requirements defined in the revised IEEE standards. 0. Why would reductj-on of the voJ-tage deviation, a power quality issue, be the responsibility of the DER? ANGELL, DT Idaho Power 26 Company 10 11 72 13 !4 15 76 77 18 19 20 27 22 23 24 25 1 A. It is the DER that creates the voltage 2 deviation it j-s also the DER that can cost-effectively 3 mitigate the deviation through the install-atj-on of a smart 4 j-nverter. Establishing this as a requirement in Schedule 5 12 is simil-ar to the requirement for customers to comply 6 with Practices and Requirements for Harmonic ControL in 7 ELectric Power Systems as set forth in the current IEEE 8 Standard 519 in Rul-e K- 9 Q. Does this conclude your testimony? 10 A. Yes. 11 72 13 t4 15 T6 71 18 T9 20 21, 22 23 24 25 ANGELL, DI 21 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 ATTESTATION OF TESTIMONT STATE OF IDAHO SS. County of Ada T, David M. Ange11, having been duly sworn to testify truthfully, and based upon my personal knowledge, state the following: I am employed by Idaho Power Company as the Planning Manager in the Customer Operatl-ons Engineerj-ng and Construction Department and am competent to be a wj-tness in this proceeding. f declare under penalty of perjury of the laws of the state of Idaho that the foregoing pre-filed testimony and exhibit are true and correct to the best of my information and belief. DATED this 27th day of JuIy, 2077. David M. Ange I SUBSCRIBED AND SWORN to before me this 21th day of Ju1y, 20L7. 0Y( 10 11 L2 13 74 15 !6 L7 l_8 19 20 2t 22 23 24 25 26 21 28 29 30 31 No Re ry Ii siding at l_ or Idaho se, Idaho 7 My commission expires:t2/20/2020 ANGELL, DI 28 Idaho Power Company frO?rf .?l e(rlutc rDa-) OF TD ) ) ) aa,Ii, ,lY't -l (,t :l(: t+FIfiI?**e )t.lilrlA \ BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIG UTILITIES COMMISSION GASE NO. IPC-E-17-13 IDAHO POWER COMPANY ANGELL, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO.14 A Method for Determining the Relationship between Solar Irradiance and Distribution Feeder Peak Loading Phillip Anderson COEC Research, Development & Deployment Idaho Power Company Boise, Idaho USA PAnderson2@idahopower.com Abstruct-L method for determining the relationship between solar irradiance and distribution feeder peak loading is presented. Two research questions were posed: (l) is there a statistictl relationship between solar intensity and load and (2) what other relationships might there be between load and meteorological parameters. A distribution feeder was chosen where data from three equidistant solar irradiance weather stations (SIWSs) was coUected between June 21, and September 21,2013. The data was analyzed using a combination of cross- correlation and maximum cross-correlation / kernel density. The results of the study show that ttere geems to be a correlation between solar intensity and load, but that correlation is optimally significant when the variables are time-shifted. Index Terms-Autocorrelation, photovoltaic systems, power distribution, solar energy I. I}NRODUCTION As elecfical power utility customers install their own roof- top photovoltaic (PV) systems, the question arises whether the utility itself could benefit from PV systems that it owns and operates. The effect ofcloud cover on PV operability could be less than expected because cloud cover might also have an effect on distribution feeder loading; in other words, as the solar intensity decreases, so also might the loading on an accompanying distribution feeder decrease, or vice versa. A benefit to a utility when its residential customers begin interconnecting PV systems onto its distribution system might be to balance increasing loads, thus allowing the utility to postpone future feeder upgrades necessitated by load growth. Because ofthat benefit, a research project designed to collect solar intensity and feeder loading data simultaneously during the summer of 2013 was initiated. II. A BREF OVERVIEW OF EXISTNG RESEARCH The existing research of PV system effects on the operations of their distribution feeders yielded three broad categories: l. Research that addresses distribution feeder simulation that includes PV system interconnection. Brett Efaw and Ellen McKinney COEC Reliability and COEC T&D Planning Idaho Power Company Boise, Idaho USA 2. Research that addresses PV system interconnection that mitigates on-going distribution feeder issues.3. Research that determines how solar irradiance and cloud cover affects the operation of PV systems on distribution feeders. Among the research that addresses distribution feeder simulation are Sandia National Laboratories [1] and EPRI [2] each of whom developed software for modeling distribution feeder operation with PV systems interconnected. Additional research in feeder modeling includes determining optimal PV locations and sizing [3]-[a] as well as researching the effects of high-penetration PV onto distribution feeders t5l-t61. Among the research that addresses PV interconnection as mitigation to on-going feeder issues are using PV systems as non-traditional solutions to distribution feeder problems [7], using PV systems with energy storage for feeder load smoothing t8l-t91, and using PV systems with CVR to manage feeder voltages [0]. Among the research that determines how solar irradiance and cloud cover affects the operation of PV systems on feeders is research of a cloud shadow model to recreate the power generated by rooftop PV systems [l] as well as research ofhow PV system desigrr can change the dispersion ofPV energy across a feeder because ofpassing clouds [12]. Common to the referenced research is the focus on PV systems interconnected onto a distribution feeder. The research reported in this paper is different because it seeks to find the relationship between solar intensity / cloud cover and a distribution feeder's actual loading. In other words, this research is concemed with how sunshine or clouds may impact the amount of distribution feeder load created throughout the day. III. RESEARCHDESIGN Two questions formed the basis of the research desigrr: l. Is there a statistical relationship between solar intensity and load?2. What other relationships might there be between load and meteorological parameters? Exhibit No. 14 Case No. IPC-E-17-13 D. Angell, IPC Page 1 ofS In April 2013, a project was desigrred to answer the research questions. The scope of the project included the following tasks: . Study a residential feeder to determine weather / solar monitoring locations.r Install weather / solar stations and gather solar, weather, and load data.o Analyze the data for possible correlations. The research project included purchasing and installing solar intensity monitors, PV panels, and power metering and recording equipment. Studying the relationships between load and meteorological parameters other than solar intensity, wind speed, and ambient temperature were considered to be outside the scope ofthe project. The research was limited to data obtained from a single residential feeder typical for the installation of roof-top PV systems; feeders that might host larger, utility-scale installations were considered to be outside the project's scope. IV. SITE SELECTION CRITERL{ The study feeder is located in a city of approximately 215,000 population. The city's climate is semi-arid, with average monthly sunshine ranging from a peak of400 hours in July to 105 hours in December [3]. The distribution feeder chosen to host the solar iradiance weather stations (SIWSs) and collect solar irradiance data met the following conditions: o Covering a geographical distance greater than 3.2 kilometers in an east-to-west direction to be able to track the effects of cloud cover as the clouds move from one SIWS site to the next.. Being comprised of mostly residential and light commercial customers.. Being one where the installation of the SIWSs would be as accessible as possible, located near the operating office where the data would be analyzed. The study feeder is summer-peaking rated 34.5kV and 20MVA. A 34.5kV feeder typically covers a greater geographical area than a 12.5kV feeder, thus being more likely to meet the condition set for geographical configuration. The feeder is configured such that the distance from its eastern-most location to its western-most location is approximately 5.6 kilometers. Three SIWSs were installed on the feeder at locations that were (l) as geographically equidistant from one another as possible and (2) as free from impediments to irradiance data- gathering as possible. Each station was initially designed to include global horizontal irradiance (GHI) monitoring, point-of-array (POA) monitoring in the westerly direction, wind speed monitoring, wind direction monitoring, ambient temperature monitoring, and GPS time synchronization. POA monitoring in the southerly direction and globally was added later. Westerly POA monitoring was chosen because of the sun's location at the time of the feeder's 2012 peak. Later, the southerly POA was added to emulate typical PV system installations. V. DATACOLLECTION Solar and weather data was captured onto an SD card - at a data capacity of 2G - located in the data logger. At a set time interval, the data was collected by removing the SD card from the data logger, copylng the data from the SD card to a laptop's hard drive, deleting the data from the SD card, and replacing the SD card back into the data logger. The following data was collected from each of the SIWS sites: r UTC time. Wind speed (the average over a ten-second interval) in meters / second (m/s). Wind gust (the peak over a ten-second interval) in m/so Wind direction in degrees (with 0" being North) o Local battery voltage (over a ten-second interval)r Ambient temperature in oC r Solar irradiance POA South in watts lmeterz (watts/m2). Solar irradiance POA West in watts/m2 o Global Horizontal irradiance in watts/m2 Initially, data was collected every two weeks because of the need to ensure that a minimum amount of data would be lost should an issue with the logger arise. Data was collected on May 24, Jlulr,e 4, July I, July 15, August l, August 8, September 12, and October 2. Load data for the feeder was also collected in ten-second intervals to match the times of the collected irradiance data. VI. DATA ANALYSIS A. Cross-correlation analysis To find relationships between solar intensity and load / other meteorological parameters, the data was nominalized so that each variable ranged between I and 0. That allowed the two correlated time-series to be more easily relatable when graphed as well as to provide a corlmon axis from which to compare results for different days. Figure I shows a typical nominalized load shape and irradiance shape for the westerly- configured sensor on SIWS0I on the system peak load day of July 1,2013. Sh. 1: W..rrly SoLr .nd Ldd Srnd.idh.d S..i.r ,ot 0iJUL201 3 r.0 0.8 0.6 0.0 0:00 ::00 r0!600 8:00 r0:00 r2:m 14 00 !6:@ Hour r8:00 20:00 21100 :a00 D{.fom bi 21lo $paffih 21 413 /1t,/t / Figure l. Southerly solar and load, 7-1-2013 Exhibit No. 14 Case No. IPC-E-17-13 D. Angell, IPC Page 2 of 5 Even though data was collected at l0 second intervals, cross-correlations were calculated at 5-minute intervals to allow for quicker computation. For each correlation, the load time-series was held constant while the other time-series -southerly, global, and westerly sensor configurations; temperature; and wind speed - were shifted across a tl2- hour range. Cross-correlations were graphed for each ofthe 93 days of the study at each of the three SIWSs. Fifteen cross- correlation computations were made for each day of the study at each of the three SIWSs, resulting in the production of 4915 cross-correlation graphs. For the July l, 2013, SIWS0I, example Figures 2 through 4 show the graphs ofthe various cross-correlation calculations at +12 hours: Sir l: Soudr.rly Sohr b! Lo.d Cl64omhon FuGion lor ()lJUL20l3 1 08 0.0 0l 01 -02 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 n.0 -12 n0 -8,6 .a .2 0 I 4 6 8 10 12 L.s (Hour.) \ Figure 2. Cross-correlations for Southerly Solar and load at SIWS0 I on 7-l-2013 St I i Glob.l Solrr by Load CdrcomLtlon Fsdid io. 01 JUL2013 10 08 06 0.4 0.0 -02 .04 -0.0 -08 r0 l:-10 -8 .0 -4 -201 L.f (Hour.)t_.aFl 10 I: Figure 3. Cross-correlations for Global Solar and load at SIWS0 I on 7-1-2013 Sib l: W.srly Soa.. b, Lo.d Clw4mhid FuHfth tn olJuulolt 10 08 0_l 0_2 0_0 -0.2 -0.6 -0.8 n0 i:i0 -8 -6 -:0? bs (Hou6) I:?cil a 0 8 l0 12 Figure 4. Cross-conelations for Westerly Solar and load at SIWS0I on 7-l-2013 For the clear and sunny July l, 2013, the correlations between the sensor contiguration's time series and the load's time series are fairly significant. For the worst case westerly configuration versus load, the maximum correlation of 0.81 occurred when the feeder's load data lagged the solar intensity data by two hours. On the same day and SIWS, the maximum correlation was 0.90 when the load data lagged the solar intensity data by four hours on the southerly-facing sensor, and the maximum correlation was 0.92 when the load data lagged the solar intensity data by four hours on the global sensor. B. Maximum cross-correlations / kernel densities While the cross-correlations provided information relating to the relationships between irradiances and loads for each of the individual days of the study period, the question remained regarding if any relationships over the entire 93-day study period could be identified. To answer that question, maximum cross-correlations were calculated to create kernel densities. For each time series pair, the maximum cross-correlation and the time lag when the maximum cross-correlation occurred were identified for each day of the study period. Next, the results from each day were used to estimate a bivariate kemel density for each pair of time series. This bivariate density estimate yielded a point that represented the most common occwrence over the course of the study for the strength of the linear relationship and the amount of time the offset occurred. The ranges ofboth the linear relationship and the offset in time were also observed from the bivariate density estimates. The density plots in Figure 5 show, for SIWS0I, the estimates between the load and the southerly sensor configuration for solar intensity both 2-dimensionally and 3- dimensionally. Exhibit No. 14 Case No. IPC-E-17-13 D. Angell, IPC Page 3 of 5 Sh 1: krinum Cd}Comhon Figure 5. Example kemel density for SIWSO1 southerly solar versus load over the study period The most common daily occurrence was a strong linear relationship of 0.94 between the solar intensity and load lagged by approximately four hours. Over the course of the entire summer, the range of the strength of the relationship was generally greater than 0.80 with the lag generally between three and five hours. For each of the three SIWSs, twelve kernel densities were calculated that showed irradiances versus load relationships, irradiances versus ambient temperature relationships, and irradiances versus wind speed relationships. It was from analyzing these thirty-six calculations that the results of the study, and answers to the research questions, were formed. VII. RESULTS A. Relationships to load Firsl there seems to be a statistical relationship between solar intensity and load, but with the understanding that correlation does not imply causation. o Solar intensity analyzed at the southerly-configured sensors tends to lead load from 3.96 to 4.13 hours with a correlation of 0.94 across all three SIWS locations.r Solar intensity analyzed at the global-configured sensors tends to lead load from 4.00 to 4.02 hours with a correlation ranging from 0.95 to 0.96.. Solar intensity analyzed at the westerly-configured sensors tends to lead load from 1.76 to 1.94 hours with a correlation ranging from 0.88 to 0.91. The curves ofthe westerly-configured irradiances tend to peak closer to the time of feeder peak loads, but with lower certainty than the southerly- and global- confi gured irradiances. Next, there seems to be a strong correlation between ambient temperature and load data, but a tepid correlation between wind speed and load data. r Ambient temperature tends to lead load from 0.70 to 0.86 hours with a correlation ranging from 0.96 to 0.97 across all three SIWS locations. While not a surprising result, what was a little surprising was the range in lead time between the three SIWSs.o Wind speed tends to lead load from 1.80 to 2.38 hours with a correlation ranging from 0.68 to 0.70 across all three locations. This tepid statistical relationship between wind speed and load also was not surprising considering the low auto-correlation of wind speeds. B. Disclaimers When drawing conclusions based upon the analysis of the data, a few disclaimers need to be considered. . The conclusions are limited by the study time period. The conclusions would likely have been different ifdata had been analyzed for seasons other than summer.r The conclusions are limited by the locations of the study's SIWSs. The conclusions would likely have been different ifdata had been collected (l) from a different type of feeder or (2) from a different geographical area. These disclaimers, however, can also be considered opportunities to continue the research to test the statistical methods and analysis used in the study. VIU. DECUSSIoN A. Lessons learnedfrom the research design process As with most research, the most difficult part of the design was choosing and applying the most appropriate statistical tool. After the data was collected, an iterative process ensued, beginning with making a simple correlation between daily peak loads and daily peak irradiances, and realizing that using such a tool with two variables that were clearly unrelated yielded unsatisfactory results. Time-shifting the data, first though the auto-correlations and then cross-correlations, provided a means of accessing the daily relationships between the variables. Finally, applying maximum cross-correlations and plotting kernel densities allowed the statistical relationships - calculated over the entire 93-day study period - to emerge. Any similar research in the future will also needto implement a cross-correlational / maximum cross- correlational / kernel density approach to data analysis. A couple decisions made early in the research desigr positively affected the ability to answer the research questions: the choice to collect the data from irradiance sensors rather than from solar panels, and the choice to add a southerly- Exhibit No. 14 Case No. IPC-E-17-13 D. Angell, IPC Page 4 of 5 exposed sensor to the global and westerly sensors at each of the three SIWSs. The decision to collect data from three somewhat equidistant locations along the feeder route, while not necessary for answering the research questions, did provide the opportunity to validate the data collected and will be a source of analysis of geographical relationships between the variables. B. Possible applications ofthe research results The analyzed data set has already been implemented. The data has been used with OpenDSS software to perform generation interconnection studies of utility-scale PV systems. Other applications of the data have been in assisting with resource planning as part of the utility's integrated resource plan and in collaboration with Sandia National Laboratories for their variability and GHI to POA conversion studies. Probably the most interesting possibilities for applying the research results would be for: r Recommending preferred PV orientations to commercial customers for their rooftop applications that would best support reducing the effects of feeder summer peak loads.r Designing a demonstration project of a PV system coupled with energy storage to extend peak load reduction at the end ofa distribution feeder. C. Opportunities for further research Data continues to be collected from the three SIWSs beyond the initial study period, resulting in more than a year's worth of data having been collected. Opportunities have been identified regarding additional studies that could be made with the study data as well as with the additional data collected post-study. l) Using this research study's data. The SIWSs were geographically configured along the feeder route, spaced equidistant from one another. While that fact was not pertinent in answering the research questions, it could generate a follow-up research project to determine the geographical relationships between irradiance data collected from the three SIWS sites. The data collected could be also be used to calculate the solar energy density (Watt-hours/m2) per time interval for each site at each solar intensity orientation. Another use of the research data could be to run irradiance statistics over a multiple-day time period to see if a relationship is evident as a predictor ofthe seasonal peak load. Finally, the data could be used in combination to determine how PV installation for home- and business-owned systems could provide optimal benefit the utility. 2) Branching out from this research study data. Other interesting areas for further research can be sorted according to (l) using the additional data that has been collected subsequent to the study period and (2) implementing additional types ofresearch design protocols. Some ideas for using the additional data collected include: r Analyzing data from other seasons ofthe year, such as the time of the feeder's winter peak load or the time of the feeder's minimum peak load. r Analyzing cross-correlations of solar irradiance to wind to find any complimentary relationships.. Analyzing data collected in summer 2014 compared to data collected in summer 2013. Some ideas for implementing additional design protocols include: o Determining what effects humidity might have on solar intensity and load.o Including cross-correlations of the loads from adjacent feeders to follow the effects ofcloud cover.. Analyzing data from additional feeder types where solar might be of interest.r Including volatility in irradiance statistical analyses.o Correlating wind speed to solar volatility.o Designing a study similar to this research desigrr for a winter-peaking area. IX. REFERENCES tll M.J. Reno and K. Coogan, "Gnd Integrated Distributed PV (CrridPV)', Sandia National laboratories, SAND2O I 3-6733, August 20 I 3. 121 M. Rylander and J. Smith, "Stochastic Analysis to Derermine Feeder Hosting Capacity for Distributed Solar PV', Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), Palo Alto, CA: 2012. 1026640. t31 A. Hoke, R. Butler, J. Hambrick, and B.Kroposki, "Maximum Photovoltaic Penetration Levels on Typical Distribution Feeders", National Renewable Energy l-aboratory (NREL), NREUJA-5500- 55094, July 2012. t4l J. Quiroz and M. Reno, "Detailed Grid Integration Analysis of Distributed P\l', Sandia National Laboratories, SAND report 2012- 4s33,2012. t5l H. Thomas, K. Lynn, and A. Razon, "Current Results of the US DOE Hi gh Penetration Solar Deployment Project", Photovoltaic Spec ial ists Conference (P\SC), 2012 3* IEEE, pp.73l -736,3 - 8 June 2012. t6l P. Gotseff, J. Cale, M. Baggu, D. Narang, and K. Caroll. "Accurate Power Prediction of Spatially Distributed PV Systons using Incalized Irradiance Measurements", Power and Energt Society General Meeting, 2014 IEEE, pp. 1 - 5,28 - 3l July 2014. t7l J.E. Bigger, E.C. Kem, and M.C. Russell, "Cost-effective Photovoltaic Applications for Electric Utilities", Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, 1991, Conference Record ofthe Twenty Second IEEE, pp. 486-492, vol. 1,7- ll October 1991. t8l M.T. Arii A.M.T. Oo, A.S. Ali, and G. Shatiullah, "Impacts of Storage and Solar Photovoltaic on the Distribution Network", Universities Power Engineering Conference (AUPEC), 2012 2!d Australasian, pp. | - 6,26 -29 September 2012. t91 O. larova, F. Cheng, S. Abdollahy, H. Barsun, A Mammoli, D. Dreisigmayer, S. Willard. B. Arellano, and C. van Zeyl, "Analysis of Bettery Storage Utilization for Load Shifting and Peak Smoothing on a Distribution Feeder in New Mexico", Innovative Sman Grid Teclmologies (ISGT),2012 IEEE PES, pp. I -6, 16-20 Jarr'nry2012. [0] R. Singh, F. Tuffner, J. Fuller, and K. Schneider, "Effects of Distributed Energy Resources on Conservation Voltage Reduction (CYR)", Power and Energt Society General Meeting, 201 I IEEE, pp. 1 -7,24-29 July2011. Il] C. Chengui and D.C. Aliprantis, "Cumulus Cloud Shadow Model for Analysis of Power Systems with Photovoltaics", Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on, vol. 28, no. 4,pp. 4496 - 4506, Nov. 201 3. [12] H. Moavani, D.K. Click, R.H. Meeker, R.M. Reedy, and A Pappalardo, "Quanti$ing Solar Power Variability for a [arge Central PV Plant and Small Distributed PV Plant", Photovoltaic Specialists Conference (PVSC), 2013 IEEE 39rh, pp. 0969 - 0972,16 - 2l June 2013. [3] The Weather Network Web site http ://www. theweathernetwork.com/forecasts/statisticVc028 93, Novernber 12,2014 Exhibit No. 14 Case No. IPC-E-I7-13 D. Angell, IPC Page 5 of 5