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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20150423Sterling Direct.pdfBEFORE THE 1 ':I: :lJl i ''":l'S IIDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES GOMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S PETITION TO MODIFY TERMS AND CONDITIONS OF PU RPA PURCHASE AGREEMENTS IN THE MATTER OF AVISTA CORPORATION'S PETITION TO MODIFY TERMS AND CONDITIONS OF PURPA PURCHASE AGREEMENTS IN THE MATTER OF ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER COMPANY'S PETITION TO MODIFY TERMS AND CONDITIONS OF PURPA PURCHASE AGREEMENTS CASE NO. |PC-E-15-01 CASE NO. AVU.E.15.O1 GASE NO. PAC-E-{ 5-03 DIRECT TESTIMONY OF RIGK STERLING IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION APRTL 23,2015 1 2 3 4 5 5 7 I 9 l_0 11 1,2 l-3 14 15 L6 1,7 18 19 20 2t 22 23 24 25 O. Please state your name and business address for the record. A. My name is Rick Sterling. My business address is 472 West Washington St,reet, Boise, Idaho. O. By whom are you employed and in what capacity? A. r am employed by the Tdaho Pub1ic Utilities Commission as the Engineering Supervisor. O. What is your educational and professional background? A. I received a Bachelor of Science degree in Civil Engineering from the University of Idaho in 1981 and a Master of Science degree in Civil Engineering from the University of Idaho in 1983. f worked for the fdaho Department of Water Resources Energy Divisj-on from 1983 to 1,994. In 1988, I became licensed in Idaho as a registered professional Civil Engineer. I began working at the Idaho Public Utilities Commj-ssion in 1994. My duties at the Commission j-nclude analysis of a wide variety of electric and large water utility applicat,ions. I have been the lead st.aff member on all Publ-ic Utility Regulatory Policj-es Act (PURPA) dockets at the Commission sj-nce a994. In additj-on, I lead the Engineering Section and supervise a st.aff of engineers and utility analysts. a. What is the purpose of your testimony in this proceeding? cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AW-E-15-01 PAC-E- l_5 - 034/23/ts STERLING, R. (Di) ]- STAFF 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1l- t2 13 l4 15 1,6 77 L8 L9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 A. The purpose of my testimony is to address the petition of Idaho Power to reduce the maximum contract length for IRP-based (Integrated Resource Plan) PURPA contracts from the currenL 20 years to two years. I will also address similar requests by Avista and PacifiCorp for reduced contract lengths. In addition, I will make recommendations for maximum contract length for SAR-based (Surrogate Avoided Resource) PURPA contracts, including replacement contracts . a. What do you belj-eve is the real issue that needs to be addressed in t.his case? A. I believe the real issue ls the risk exposure to ratepayers that can occur due to long-term PURPA contracts. Long-Lerm contracts, by themselves, would not necessarily be problematic if the long-term avoided cost rates contained in those contracts fairly represented avoided costs over the entire duration of the contract. Unfortunately, however, I do not believe any avoided cost calculation can prove to remain accurate over a 21-year period. Absent any mechanism to periodically adjust avoided cost raLes throughout the term of the contract, shorter contract lengths appear to be one of the only viable and effective ways to reduce the risk exposure to ratepayers. O. Why don't you believe avoided cost calculatj-ons cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AVU-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 2PAC-E-].5-03 STAFF4/23/ts L 2 3 4 5 5 7 I 9 10 11 t2 13 t4 15 15 l7 l_B L9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 can prove to remain accurate over a 2l-year period? A. Under the IRP method, avoided cost rates are computed, in large part, using an hourly dispatch model that dispatches generation to meet load in each hour at the lowest possible cost. The dispatch models require extensive information about each of the generation plants, typically throughout the western U.S., as well as long- term forecasts of loads and fuel prices. While forecasts can be prepared and assumptions can be made easily enough, it is extremel-y unlikely t.hat those forecasts and assumptions will remain accurate over a long period of time. Consequently, it is equally unlikely that the avoided cost rates that emerge from the dispatch models will remain accurate. It is possible that the avoided cost rates will be too high at some times and too 1ow at other tj-mes. It is also possible, however, that the avoided cost rates will be too high or too 1ow throughout the entire contract length. Regardless of whether the avoj-ded cost rates are too high or too 1ow, 100 percent of the risk of actual prices deviating from forecasEed avoided cost raLes is borne by ratepayers and none of the risk is borne by QFs. O. Has the Commlssion Staff taken a position recently on maxj-mum contract length for PURPA contracts? A. Yes, in Case No. GNR-E-11-03, I recommended t.hat cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01-/AVU-E-l-5-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 3PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/1-5 10 11 L4 L2 13 15 L6 L7 18 19 20 2t 22 23 24 25 the Commissj-on reduce maximum contract length to five years for contracts containing rates computed under the IRP methodology. This recommendation supported fdaho Power's request in that case. O. Did the Commission accept your recommendation? A. No, the Commission did not. The Commission stated the following in Order No. 32697: We find that a 21-year contract length, alongwith other factors, has been beneficial in encouraging PURPA development in Idaho. Wecontinue to believe that 20-year contractsbetter coincide with the useful life of the renewable/cogeneration resources. While itj-s not this Commission's responsibilit.y to ensure a contract length that alIows a QF toobt,ain f inancing, we f ind t.hat reducing maximum contract length to five years wouldunduly hinder PURPA development. That is notthe Commission's objective. We believe that,by utilizing other t.ooIs t.o ensure anaccurate and up-to-date avoided cost valuat j-on, we can continue to encourage thetypes of projects that were envisioned by PURPA while maintaining the transparency forratepayers as PURPA requires. Therefore, wefind that a maximum conLract length of 20years is appropriate. The parties to a powerpurchase agreement are free to negotiate ashorter contract if that. would be mostsuitable for the project. As in the past,this Commission will consider contracts of more than 20 years on a case-by-case basis. O. The passage from Order No. 32697 you have quoted above reflects the Commission's position less than two and a half years ago. Why do you believe the Commj-ssion should consj-der a different position today? A. In the short two and a half years since the cAsE NOS. rpC-E-1-5-01-/AW-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 4PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1,2 13 1,4 15 16 L7 18 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 Order was issued, fdaho Power has signed agreements for 461- MW of new solar generation, l and, ds stated in its Petit,ion, has received pricing requests for 885 MW of additional solar generation. In response to Staff production requests, Idaho Power states that it has received additional requests for solar contracts of approximately l-20 MW since the filing of this case on January 30, 20L5. PacifiCorp has received pricing requests for 275.5 MW of new solar generation according to its Petition. Contrary to what was contemplated in the Order, it would not appear that PURPA development needs further encouragement at this time. Order No. 32697 suggested that other tools should be used to ensure accurate and up to date avoided cost rates, but I believe there are now few other tools available. Avoided cost rates can be calculated accurately at the beginning of a contract term, buL no matter how accurate they may be to start, they are bound to become inaccurate over a 21-year period for a long term contract.. a. Is the significant. increase in the cumufative amount of PURPA power a recent phenomenon? ' The Commission was recently informed by Idaho Power thatfour solar contracts representing l-41 MW have beenterminated for failure to post security. cAsE NOS. rPC-E-t-5-01/AVU-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 5PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/1-s 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 1,2 t-3 L4 15 16 1,7 18 l-9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 A. Yes, as shown in Idaho Power's Exhibit No. 1-, the total amount of PURPA power began its significant increase from 2l-6 MW in 2008, to an estimate of 21-87 MW in 2018.2 From lg82 to about 2007, Idaho Power had less than 2OO MW of PURPA generation, primarlly hydro. For approximately the first 25 years, the average size of PURPA projects was only about 2.5 MW. O. Has the Commj-ssion ever before limited contracts to five years or less? A. Yes, it has. The Commissj-on's policy with regard to contract length has evolved over the years. From 1980 when PURPA was first implemented in Idaho, through 1-987, utilities were obligated to offer QFs up to 35-year contracts. The reason for the 35-year maximum contract length was that 35 years was the amortization period allowed for slmj-Iar utility-owned facilities. A contracL length that matched the project's amortization schedule made financing easier, and in effect, helped encourage QF development. In 1,987 (See Case No. U-L500-170, Order No. 21530) the Commission shortened the standard contract ' Note that the total estimate for 2ot! includes 885 ofproposed contracts. In addition, it j-ncludes 451 MII'I of ,signed contracts. The Commission was recently notifiedthat 141 MW of signed contracts have defaulted, and thecontracts have been terminated. CASE NOS. rPC-E-1-5-01/AW-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 6PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/1,s 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1,2 13 l4 15 t6 17 l_B l_9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 length to 20 years reasoning that risk and uncertainty j-nherent in long-range forecasting increases dramatically with time and that a shorter contract term would reduce that risk. The Commission ruled that contracts longer than 20 years would be available to QFs only upon a persuasive showing of need. Nine years 1ater, in 1996, the Commj-ssion again reexamj.ned the issue of contract length. In Order No. 2557 6 in Case No. fPC-E-95-9, the Commissj-on further shortened the maxj-mum required contract length from 20 years to five years for projects 1 MW and larger. In L997, the Commission extended the five-year contract length limitation established for large QFs to smaller than l- MW QFs as weII. (See Case No. IPC-E-97-9, Order No. 27]-t1,) In 2002, t,he Commission increased maximum contract length from 5 years back to 20 years. The Commission explained that when it earlier had reduced maxj-mum contract length to five years, there was an expectation of widespread deregulati-on, more competitive markets, and greater reliance on short-Lerm market purchases. However, by 2002, the Commission recognized that each of Idaho's regulated electric utilities were constructing or had recently constructed long-term new generation resources. In restoring 20 years as the cAsE NOS. rPC-E-1s-01-/AW-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 7PAC-E-]-5-03 STAFF 4/23/1,s l_ 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1,2 13 1,4 15 16 1,7 1B 1,9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 maximum contract length, the Commission reasoned that a longer contract better coincides with the planned resource life of renewable or cogeneration resources being offered, better reflects the amortization period of generation projects constructed by the utilities themselves and will coincidentally provide a revenue stream that will facj-litate t,he f inancing of QF projects. (See Order No. 29029) O. During the approximately five and a half year period when contract length was limited to five years (September, 1,996 through May, 2002) , weren't very few PURPA contracts signed? A. Yes, there was only one PURPA contract signed in Idaho during this time frame. However, at t,he time, the eligibility threshold for published rates was also limited to facilities one megawatt or smal1er. In addition, published rates were also quite 1ow at this tJ-me, primarily due to 1ow natural gas prices. Furthermore, most PURPA hydro and cogeneration projects had already been developed, while wind, solar and biogas technology had yet to fu11y develop. The combination of all of these factors, not shortened contract. length alone, caused very few PURPA projects to be developed in Idaho during t.his time period. O. But won't a five-year limit on maximum contract cAsE NOS. rpc-E-t_s-01_/AW-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 8 PAC-E- ]-5 - 03 STAFF4/n/a5 t- 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 t2 13 L4 15 15 1-7 18 l-9 20 21" 22 23 24 25 length, if approved, 1j-mit the ability of projects to obtaj-n financing, thus making extensive project development unlikely? A. Yes, I agree that development would 1ikeIy slow considerably, at least under PURPA. However, facilities could stil1 be developed under other mechanisms. For example, if a ut,ility ident,ified a need in its IRP and if certain renewables or cogeneration possessed the characteristics and costs making it part of a preferred portfolio, then the ut,ility could acquire renewables or cogeneration with long-term contracts in response to utility requests for proposal. This was the mechanism employed by Idaho Power in signing power purchase agreements (PPAs) with the Neal Hot Springs and Raft. River geothermal projects (35 MW), and the Elkhorn wind project(101- MW) . Similarly, Avista secured a PPA for the Palouse wind project in the same way. Fina11y, PacifiCorp has ej-ther signed multiple PPAs or acquired ownership of wind projects in the same manner. QFs could also seII their output to other utilities outside of Idaho, just as some out of state projects currently seII their output to Idaho utilities. In addj-tion, projects could be developed in Idaho and seII their out.put to out of state buyers, not as QFs under PURPA, but as Exempt Wholesale Generators. At least one cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AVU-E-15-01- STERLTNG, R. (Di) 9PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/1-s 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 l_0 11 L2 13 L4 15 16 1,7 18 79 20 2t 22 23 24 25 large wind project in eastern Idaho se11s its output to Southern California Edison i-n this fashion. In fact, this is a very common mechanism for project development throughout other parts of the country. Alternatively, projects could also sign PURPA contracts and replace them every five years (or whatever maximum contract. length the Commission decides) as long as PURPA remains in effect. O. Do you believe that the Commissj-on should shoulder some responsi-bility for ensuring contract lengths are long enough to enable QFs to obtain financing? A. No, not necessarily. Where the Commission desires to boost development of PURPA projecLs, long-term contracts may accomplish that goa1. However, currently, Idaho util-ities, particularly Idaho Power, are being inundated with more projects than they need or can accommodate. In Order No. 32697, the Commission stated that it j-s not the Commission's responsibility to ensure contracts are long enough to enable projects to obtain financing. Because the Commission must also regulate the reasonableness of customer rates and the reliability of power, it is ultimately a matter of policy-how the Commission wishes to weigh its various consj-derations. A. Is a 21-year maximum contract length inconsistent with PURPA's objectives? CASE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AVU-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 10 PAC-E- ]-5 - 03 STAFF4/23/ts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 l_1 L2 13 t4 l-5 16 L7 18 L9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 A. Yes, it can be. One of the Commj-sslon's primary duties under PURPA is to set avoided cost rates that are just and reasonable to customers, in the public interest, and not discriminatory to QFs. Such rates must not exceed incremental costs to the utility. The concern arises when contracts extend for many years and the forecast of avoided cost becomes inaccurate. Long-term contracts based on forecasted rates create greater risks for customers because the rates in the later years are not reflective of avoided cosLs. O. Are there any specific requirements under PURPA regarding contract length? A. No, FERC's regulations implementing PURPA are silent on contract length. Furthermore, I am not aware of any FERC case or court decision involvj-ng a requirement for a minimum contract length. However, FERC rules do appear to contemplate less t.han 20 year contracts. Sect.ion 292.302 of the FERC rules implementing PURPA, requires utilities to make available information from which avoided costs may be derived. For energy, util-ities are required to estimate the energy component of avoided costs by year for the current. year and each of the next five years. For capacity, the utility must make available its plan for the addition of capacity by amount and type, for purchases of cAsE NOS. IPC-E-15-01/AVU-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 11PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/Ls 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 t2 l_3 1,4 15 l-5 L7 18 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 firm energy and capacity, and for capacity retirements for each year during the succeeding 10 years. Thus, these component forecasts are much less than the 2O-year contract. In Idaho, utilities do not actually submit such information t.o the Commission because FERC rules permit states to require different information for deriving avoided costs. Nonetheless, I think the mere mention of five year estimates for energy and 10 years for capacity suggests 20 year maximum contract lengths are noL necessarily expected. a. Are there other reasons why you believe that maximum contract lengt.h should be shortened to five years? A. Yes, there are. When the surrogate avoided resource (Sen; was changed from a coal--fired resource to a gas-fired resource in 1995, fuel became a much larger portion of the avoided cost rate. By comparison, fuel is a far more substantial portion of costs for a gas-fired resource Lhan for a coal-fired resource. In fact, for the gas-fired combined cycle combustion turbine (CCCT) now used as the SAR, fuel represents approxj-mat.eIy two thirds of the project costs. The fuel component of costs must be estimated based on 20-year forecasts. As history has demonstrated, it can be extremely difficult to accurately forecast gas prices just. a few years into the future, 1et cAsE NOS. rpc-E-15-01/AVU-E-l-s-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) t2PAC-E-15_03 STAFF4/23/Ls 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 L2 13 L4 15 15 1,7 18 1,9 20 2l 22 23 24 25 alone 20 years int.o the future. Similarly, under the fRP methodology, much of the cost upon which PURPA rates are based is driven by fuel prices. Gas-fired generation is on the margin much of the hours of the year; consequently, electric market prices are frequently closely tied to nat.ural gas prices. A five year contract alIows contract rates to be adjust.ed regularly to more accurately reflect current fuel prices. Moreover, a fixed price contract is more risky than one in which prices are adjusted frequently. A long- term fixed price could possibly be accurate just once during its Lerm - at the beginning of the contract when the rates are first established. The shorter the term of the contract, Ehe more frequently prices can be adjusted to ensure they accurately represent the true value of the power. A shorter term contract helps t.o minimize risk to ratepayers. O. Some people have argued over the years that PURPA projects, because the prices are established at the start of the contract term and are fixed for the 20 years of the contract, present 1itt1e or no fuel-price risk compared to gas-fired generation acquired by utilities. Do you agree? A. No, I do not. Although there may be no price uncertainty associated with long-term PURPA contracts, cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AW-E-15-01- STERLTNG, R. (Oi1 13PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/1-s 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l_0 11 1,2 13 L4 15 15 l7 18 19 20 2l 22 23 24 25 that is not the same as having no price risk. Prj-ces established at the start of a long-term contract could prove to be too high or too 1ow compared to other alternatives or to market. prices in effect throughout t.he term of the contract. A long-term contract locks in those prices, regardless of what happens with market prices. Because 100 percent of PURPA costs are passed on to customers through PCAs, ratepayers are fu11y exposed to the risk that PURPA rates prove to be too high. Fuel costs associated with utility-owned resources are also passed on to customers, partly through base rates and partly through PCAs. However, fuel costs are tracked annually and rates are adjusted accordingly. Consequently, while customers are exposed to fuel price risk for both PURPA and utility-owned resources, the annual adjustment of rates for utility-owned resources exposes customers to less risk for utility-owned resources than for PURPA resources. O. You stated earlier that ratepayers bear 100 percent of the risk when prices in PURPA contracts deviate from actual values of the power over the life of the contract. Why shouldn't ratepayers bear L00 percent of the risk? Don't they bear 100 percent of the risk for utility-owned resources ? A. Ratepayers do bear nearly all of the risk of CASE NOS. rPC-E-l-s-01/AW-E-15-01- STERLTNG, R. (Di) L4 PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/ts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 L2 13 l4 15 t6 t7 18 t9 20 21, 22 23 24 25 ut,ility-owned resources, except for relatively sma11 portions that may be borne by the utilities through cost sharing mechanisms built into PCAs. However, because of the annual power cost adjustment mechanisms, the risk for utility-owned resources is 1ess. In other words, the annual adjustment allows costs to be bracketed more accurately. PURPA resources, on the other hand, receive revenue at fixed rates over long contract terms. I can t,hink of few investments made by private investors in which the rates are fixed and the entire revenue is guaranteed for 20 year periods. Prj-vate businesses must almost always make their own assessment of the risks and rewards for new long term investments. I don't think it should be much different when private businesses invest j-n PURPA projects. O. Do you agree that a long-term PURPA contract provides long-term price protection, or a "hedge" against high prices that can benefit ratepayers? A. It is certainly possible that this could occur, but it is also possible t.hat long-term price cert.ainty could lock in high prices to the detriment of ratepayers. As I stated, price certainty and price protection are not necessarily the same thing. O. Do you support fdaho Power's request to limit CASE NOS. rpc-E-l-s-01-/AVU-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 15PAC-E-].5-03 STAFF4/23/ts l- 2 3 4 5 5 7 I 9 10 11 t2 13 l4 15 t6 t7 18 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 contract length under the IRP methodology to two years or PacifiCorp's request to limit it to three years? A. Although I agree with all three ut.ilities' rationale for two or three year maximum contract lengths, I think it. could potentially be so short t.hat QFs who did sign contracts would nearly be in perpetual negotiation to renew contracts. For some QFs, the negot.iation process can take months or even more than a year. If many QFs signed short two or three year contracts, it could be administrat,ively difficult for both the utilities and the Commission to review, approve, and manage these contracts. Therefore, for practical reasons, f think a five year maxj-mum contract length would be more reasonable. Moreover, the risk associated with 20-year contract is greatly reduced when using a contract of five years. O. Do you support Avista's request to limit contract length under the IRP methodology, similar to Idaho Power, but alIow Avista the option to sj-gn contracts for more than five years in length if a very favorable opportunity arises? (Reference Kalich, Di at p.3, lines 2-4) . A. For the same reasons just. stated for Idaho Power and PacifiCorp, I think a maximum contract length of five years is more reasonable and manageable for all three utilities. With regard to Avista's requesL to be able to cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AVU-E-Ls-01- STERLTNG, R. (Di) L6PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/ts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 L2 13 1,4 15 1,6 t7 t-8 t9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 sign contracts for a period of longer than five years in certaj-n c j-rcumstances, I believe that option has always existed. I am not opposed to that option continuing to be avaj-labIe for all three utilities, provided that contracts longer than five years can be just.ified, will benefit ratepayers, and are only used in very rare circumstances. O. What contract length have QFs historically chosen, both under the SAR and the IRP methods? A. The vast. majority of QFs in the past have chosen the maximum contract length available at the time, whet,her they were SAR or IRP contracts. Some QFs have chosen shorter contract lengths, generally less than five years/ in most cases because they did not want to be locked into certain rates for long periods of time. In some cases, QFs had some expectatj-on that rates would increase in the future, but wanted to be able to be paid for generation in the meantime until a longer term contract could be signed at more attractive rates. O. Do you know what. the maximum contract length is for PURPA contracts in other states? A. I am not familiar with all other states in the U.S. in which there is significant PURPA activity, but I do know that maxj-mum contract length is currently 20 years in Oregon, Utah, and Wyoming. It j-s 25 years in Montana, but only five years in Washington. In areas where non- cAsE NOS. rPC-E-1s-01/AVU-E-1s-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) t7PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/ts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 B 9 10 11 1,2 13 L4 15 1,6 l7 18 79 20 2L 22 23 24 25 utility generators have ready access to wholesale power markets such as P,fM, ISO New England, New York ISO, California ISO, Southwest Power Pool and ERCOT, there is no mandatory purchase obligation under PURPA, thus, flo maximum contract length. O. Do you believe there may be other options besides reducing contract lengths that could also address the problem? A. The Commission, in Order No. 32697 suggested that it believed other tools, besides shortened contract lengths, could be utilized to ensure an accurat.e and up to date avoided cost valuation. However, the Commission stopped short of suggesting what those tools should be. Trying to determine accurate avoided cost rates from the beginning of the contract is, obviously, a first step. Although I believe avoided costs are reasonably being computed t,oday under the IRP method, I also believe that there may be additional factors that are currently not being considered. For example, solar projects are currently eligible for tax credj-ts valued at up to 30 percent of the project cost. Presumably, the value of these credits is being realized by the owners or financj-ers of the projects, but is not being passed on to the utility or j-ts ratepayers. If a utilit.y acquired a comparable soLar project or its output through a cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AVU-E-15-01- STERLING, R. (Di) 18PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/ts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 B 9 10 11 1,2 13 74 15 15 17 18 t9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 competitive solicitation, I would assume the value of any tax incentives would be reflected in the purchase price and therefore passed on indirectly to ratepayers. CurrenLly, tax j-ncentives are not accounted for in the IRP methodology, yet they provide tremendous benefit to QFs. There could be other potential changes to the way in which avoided cost rates are calculated, but none would adequately address the real problem-rates becoming inaccurate over long contract lengths. a. Do you believe a periodic rate adjustment mechanism could work, while maintaining QFs' option to choose 20-year contracts? A. In theory, periodically adjusting rates throughout the term of the contract, say at two to five year j-ntervals, could help to ensure that avoided cost rates in the contract remain accurate and reflect the proper value compared to the market or other alternatives. Similarly, indexing prJ-ces in the contract based on electric market indexes or fuel prices could accomplish the same thing. a. Do you believe QFs would find periodic rate adj ustments acceptable? A. No, I do not. I expect QFs would vj-ew adjustable rates, either through reopeners or lndexing, to be nearly comparable to short term contracts. Because CASE NOS. rPC-E-L5-01/AVU-E-1s-01- STERLTNG, R. (Di) 19PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/ts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1l- 72 l_3 l4 15 1,6 t7 l_8 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 prices are the single most important element j-n a contract, periodic adjustment of those prices could be functionally equivalent to signing a new contract to QF owners and financiers. O. Do PURPA or FERC rul-es al1ow periodic rate adj ustment,s? A. FERC and various courts have made clear that avoided cost rates contained in a PURPA contract cannot be modified after the contract has been signed, although neither the Idaho nor t,he U.S. Supreme Courts have held as much. However, FERC rules do not specifically address whether adjustable rate cont,racts are acceptable in instances in which the contracting parties agree in advance to an adjustment met,hod and frequency. Consequently, I am uncertain as to whether FERC would find adjustment, mechanisms acceptable. Because of this uncertainty, and because I believe QFs would view periodic rate adjustments as funct,ionally equivalent to new contracts, I think shorter contracts are the best approach to reduce the fj-nancial or price risk of long-term contracLs. O. Do you agree that. PURPA projects will always be paid too much under 20-year contracts? A. No, not necessarJ-Iy. While it is true that avoided cost rates have exceeded comparable market prices cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AVU-E-15-01- STERLTNG, R. (Di) 20PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/1-s 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 l-1 1,2 13 l4 15 16 t7 l_8 t9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 throughout most of the hist,ory of PURPA in ldaho, there have been times when this was not true. For example, during the extreme electrj-city price spikes in late 2O0L-2002, market price far exceeded avoided cost rates for extended periods of time. Price comparisons at any single snapshot in time are generally not valid projections over a long period of time. Contractual avoided cost rates will nearly always be higher or lower than comparable market prices over the long-term such as 20 years. What is important is that the prices are close over the entire course of the contract term. Now that a few contracts have reached or are nearing their 20 or 35-year expiration, a comparison can perhaps be made. However, j-n my opinion, if avoj-ded cost rates in any contracts have proven to be accurate over time, it has been just by chance, not by design. a. Do you think it is fair for utilities to be permitted to develop or acquire long-term generation asseLs, but to only be obligated 1n the case of PURPA resources to Lwo, three, or five year contracts? A. Whenever a utility acquires a resource or signs a long-term PPA for new generation, it must identify the need in its fRP, evaluate a range of alternatj-ves, and procure the resource or contract through a competj-tive CASE NOS. 4/23/Ls rpc-E-15-01/AVU-E-l_5-0L STERLrNG, R. (Di) 2tPAC-E-15-03 STAFF 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 L2 13 t4 15 t6 L7 18 19 20 2t 22 23 24 25 process. Throughout the entire process, the utility's decisions are subject to intense scrutiny by the Commission, intervenors, and other interested parties, including customers. If the utility cannot, first demonstrate a need and second justify the cost-effective resource, it does not receive Commission approval to pursue the project. As examples of utility acquisitions of non-PURPA renewable projects, Idaho Power's Neal Hot Springs and Raft River geothermal PPAs and j-ts Elkhorn Wind PPA were signed as a result of geothermal and wj-nd resources being identified as preferred resources in the utility's IRP. Similarly, Avista's Palouse Wind Project PPA and several PacifiCorp wind projects and PPAs were identified through the IRP process and acquired through subsequent competitive procurement processes. O. Was the procurement of thermal projects by utilities, such as Idaho Power's Langley Gulch project, PacifiCorp's Lakeside II, or Avista's Lancaster PPA any different than the acquisition process employed for renewables? Aren't those examples of long-term commitments that bind ratepayers for very long periods of t.ime? A. Just like the renewabl-e projects previously di-scussed, the utilities' thermal facilities mentioned cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AVU-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 22PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/ts 1 2 3 4 5 5 7 8 9 10 11 L2 l-3 14 15 t5 77 18 1,9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 above also had to pass intense scrutiny before the utilities were permitted to procure them. While it is true that utilities are permltted to sign long-term contracts and secure long-term financing, for most projects there is no guaranteed complete cost recovery at fixed rates. For example, in the case of Idaho Power's Langley Gulch project, varj.ous costs of the facility are included in base rates for recovery over the life of the pIant. However, fuel costs, which can represent as much as two thirds of the total cost over the facility's lifetime, are subject to annual adjustment to the extent actual- costs vary from what is included in base rates. Moreover, most of these thermal generating facilities provide other benefits such as dispatchability, variable ramp rates, reserves and other ancillary services. PURPA projects, oD the other hand, are treated differently. They are currently entitled to long-term contracts at fixed rates. The utility 1s obligated to sign contracts at Commission-approved rates, with no consideration of need, with no competitive procurement process, and without regard to cost-based pricing. Recovery of PURPA contract payments by the utility is through a combinat.ion of base rates and PCAs, but always at 1-00 percent. There is no adjustment to the avoided cost rates or to the amount authorized for recovery from cAsE NOS. rpC-E-15-01-/AVU-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 23PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/t5 l- 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1,2 13 L4 15 16 L7 18 19 20 2l 22 23 24 25 ratepayers throughout the entire term of the contract. O. Can PURPA cogeneration projects like Simplot or Clearwater present additional risks over non-cogeneration PURPA projects? A. Perhaps. Cogeneration projects are always associated with some other industrial process besides generating electricity. Consequently, they face business risks independent of their electric production. If the thermal hosE for a cogeneration facility goes out of business, then the electric production cannot continue. Some examples of this have been the Magic West facility in Glenns Ferry and the Yellowstone Power project at Emmett. O. Do you believe PURPA is an effective mechanism for utilities to acquire new generation? A. No, I do not. I believe PURPA was intended to permit relatively sma11, non-utility-owned projects to be developed and to compete on an equal footing with utility- owned facilities. I do not believe PURPA was ever intended to serve as the primary, or even a major, mechanism for utj-Iity acquisition of new resources. Instead, at least for Idaho Power and perhaps PacifiCorp, PURPA resources have become major resources, forced upon them with no planning whatsoever. PURPA projects entirely circumvent the plannj-ng process and sometj-mes cause the utility to plan around them rather than planning for them. cAsE NOS. rpC-E-15-01/AVU-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 24PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/ts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 t2 l-3 14 t_5 16 l7 18 t9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 This creates a very awkward and inefficient planning process and can lead to a poorly conceived generation fleet that is not in the best interests of ratepayers. Therefore, I do not support long-term contracts to encourage PURPA at a time when util-ities would not otherwise be making long-term commitments for non-PURPA generatj-on resources . O. Each of the utilities' petitions in this case have asked to reduce the maximum length of only IRP-based conLracts; however, SAR-based contracts continue to be eligible for 20-year contracts. Do you believe 20-year maximum contract lengths should continue to be available to SAR-based contracts? A. Yes, I do. Twenty continue to be available for smaller than 100 kW, and for smaller than 10 aMW. year contracts should wind and solar projects all other project t.ypes O. If maximum contract lengths are reduced to less than 20 years in this case for lRP-based contracLs, are you concerned about the difference j-n contract length between SAR-based and IRP-based contracts? A. No, f am not. Although there would be a difference between maximum contract length for IRP and SAR-based contracts, I believe such a difference is reasonable. In the past, there have been insLances in cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AVU-E-15-01- STERLTNG, R. (Di) 25PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/1,s 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 t2 13 L4 15 t5 1,7 18 L9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 which contract rates and/or terms were much more favorable for SAR-based than for IRP-based contracts, and it has led to QF developers strongly preferring one contract type over the other. One recent example was the disparity in rates (either real or perceived) between IRP and SAR rates, which led to disaggregation of large wind farms into smaller 10 MW projects. In this case, most new PURPA projects are 1ike1y to be solar, and the size limit or eligibility cap for SAR-based solar contracts is 100 kW. Because this cap j-s l-00 kW, I believe it is unlikely a QF would be disaggregated into such sma11 pieces in order to qualify for SAR-based rates, or more importantly, for 2O-year contracts. The same would 1ikeIy be true for wind proj ects. In addition, SAR-based projects do not represent a significant portion of the cumulatj-ve amount of PURPA generatj-on. For example, wind and solar projects (both under contract and proposed) account for more than L973 MW of Idaho Power's PURPA projects according to Idaho Power Exhibit No. 1. Thus, the impact of SAR-based projects is very smal-l in comparison to the magnitude of IRP-based proj ects . O. Does your proposal to maj-ntain 20-year contracts for new SAR-based projects also apply to SAR-based CASE NOS. rPC-E-1s-01/AW-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 26PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/ts t- 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 L1 t2 t-3 t4 l_5 1,6 t7 18 L9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 contracts that will be expiring and that desire new contracts? A. Yes, it does. O. Please discuss the number and timing of expiring SAR-based contracts. A. In the comj-ng years, many existing PURPA contracts will expire and will be seeking replacement contracts. Exhibit No. 101 depj-cts graphically t,he t.iming and number (but not t.he amount of generation) of QF contracts that will be expiring. Each line on the graph represents a different contract. In the comj-ng 10 years, 94 contracts will expire and could choose to be renewed. O. Why should SAR-based contracts be permitted longer contracts than IRP-based contracts? A. Neither SAR-based nor IRP-based rates are Iike1y to remaj-n accurate over a 2)-year period. On a per kW basis, the risk for SAR-based contracts is exactly the same as for IRP based contracts. However, SAR-based contracts, because the project sizes are individually and collectively sma11, present much less risk if contract rates prove to be too high or too Iow compared to the actual value of the power. O. Should SAR-based replacement contracts be permitted 20-year terms? A. Yes, I recommend that all SAR-based cont,racts be cAsE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AW-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 27PAC-E-15-03 STAFF4/23/ts 1 2 3 4 5 5 7 8 9 l-0 11 1,2 13 t4 15 t-5 l7 18 t9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 eligible for 20-year contracts, regardless of whether they are for new projects or for replacement contracts. SAR- based projects that are renewing contract,s will receive the then current energy rates and capacity rates. Even though projects seeking replacement contracts presumably have already been financed and ret.ired their debt, for consistency sake I think it is reasonable that all SAR- based contracts fo1Iow the same rules. Contracts that were initially SAR-based, but at the time of contract replacement exceed the si-ze threshold for SAR-based rates, should be treated as new IRP-based contracts but eligible for capacity payments throughout t.he entire contract term. a. Please summarize your recommendations. A. I recommend that the maximum contract length for standard IRP-based contracts be five years for Idaho Power, PacifiCorp, and Avista. I also recommend that the maximum conLract length for SAR-based contracts remain at 20 years, both for new and for replacement contracts. A. Does this conclude your direct testimony in this proceeding? A. Yes, it does. CASE NOS. rPC-E-15-01/AW-E-15-01 STERLTNG, R. (Di) 28 PAC-E-15-03 STAFF 4/23/Ls Expiration of PURPA Contracts Over Time 1 o oo.6- Lo.rho LoIt E z c Cr$C C ,&' d| "rdP ,otr C "ror9 "r&' rrll ,rrtllll ,,ill1 ,ilil11 ,iltlllll llilililI ExhibitNo. l0l Case No. IPC-E-15-01 AW-E-15-01 PAC-E-15-03 R. Sterling, Staff 4123lt5 CBRTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 23RO DAY oF APRIL 2015, SERVED THE FOREGOING DIRECT TESTIMONY OF RICK STERLING, N CASE NOS. IPC-E-I5-01/PAC-E-15.03/AVU-E-15-01, BY E-MAILING A COPY THEREOF, POSTAGE PREPAID, TO THE FOLLOWING: DONOVAN E WALKER PETER J RICHARDSON REGULATORY DOCKETS GREGORY M ADAMS IDAHO POWER COMPANY RICHARDSON ADAMS PLLC PO BOX 70 PO BOX 7218 BOISE ID 83707-OO7O BOISE ID 83702 E-mail: dwalker@idahopower.com E-mail: peter@richardsonadams.com dockets@idahopower.com greg@richardsonadams.com DR DON READING BENJAMIN J OTTO 6070 HILL ROAD ID CONSERVATION LEAGUE BOISE ID 83703 710 N 6TH STREET E-mail: dreading@mindspring.com BOISE ID 83702 E-mail: botto@idahosonservation.ore DEAN J MILLER LEIF ELGETHUN MoDEVITT & MILLER LLP INTERMOI-INTAIN ENERGY PARTNERS 420 W BANNOCK ST LLC BOrSE rD 83702 PO BOX 7354 E-mail: ioe@mcdevitt-miller.com BOISE ID 83707 E-mail: leif@sitebasedenergy.com KELSEY JAE NI.NEZ KEN MILLER SNAKE RIVER ALLIANCE SNAKE RIVER ALLIANCE PO BOX I73I E.MAIL ONLY: BOISE ID 83701 kmiller@snakeriveralliance.org E-mail: knunez@snakeriveralliance.org TED WESTON DANIEL E SOLANDER ID REG AFFAIRS MANAGER YVONNE R HOGLE ROCKY MOLINTAIN POWER ROCKY MOLINTAIN POWER 201 S MATN ST STE 23OO 201 S MAIN ST STE 24OO SALT LAKE CITY UT 841I I SALT LAKE CITY UT 84I I1 E-mail: ted.weston@pacificorp.com E-mail: daniel.solander@pacificorp.com yvonne.ho ele@pacifi corp. com CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE DATA REQUEST RESPONSE CENTER C TOM ARKOOSH E-MAIL ONLY: ARKOOSH LAW OFFICESdatarequest@facificorp.com PO BOX 2900 BOISE ID 8370I E-mail: tom.arkoosh@arkoosh.com ERIN CECIL ERIC L OLSEN ARKOOSH LAW OFFICES RACINE OLSON NYE BUDGE E.MAIL ONLY & BAILEYerin.cecil@arkoosh.com PO BOX 1391 POCATELLO ID 83204-1391 E-mail: elo@racinelaw.net ANTHONY YANKEL RONALD L WILLIAMS 29814 LAKE ROAD WILLIAMS BRADBURY PC BAY VILLAGE OH 44104 1015 W HAYS ST E-mail: tony@yankel.net BOISE ID 83702 E-mail: ron@williamsbradbury.com IRION SANGER MICHAEL G ANDREA SANGER LAW PC AVISTA CORPORATION 1117 SW 53RD AVE I4I I E MISSION AVE PORTLAND OR 97215 MSC-23 E-mail: irion@sanger-law.com SPOKANE WA99202 E-mail: michael.andrea@avistacorp.com CLINT KALICH MATT VESPA AVISTA CORPORATION SIERRA CLUB I4I I E MISSION AVE 85 SECOND ST 2ND FLOORMSC-23 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105 SPOKANE WA99202 E-mail: matt.vespa@sierraclub.org E-mail: clint.kalich@avistacorp.com RICHARD MALMGREN FREDERICK J SCHMIDT SR ASSIST GEN COUNSEL PAMELA S HOWLAND MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC HOLLAND & HART LLP 8OO S FEDERAL WAY 377 S NEVADA ST BOISE ID 83716 CARSON CITY NV 89703 E-mail: remalmsren@micron.com E-mail: fschmidt@hollandhart.com CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE SCOTT DALE BLICKENSTAFF AMALGAMATED SUGAR CO I951 S SATURN WAY STE 1OO BOISE ID 83702 E-mail : sblickenstaff@amalsuear.com CAROL HAUGEN CLEARWATER PAPER CORPORATION E.MAIL ONLY Carol.hausen@clearwaterpaper. com ANDREW JACKURA SR VP NORTH AMERICA DEVL CAMCO CLEAN ENERGY 9360 STATION ST STE 375 LONE TREE CO 80124 E-mail: andrewjackura@,camcocleanenergy.com SECRETARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE