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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20140415Direct T. Tatum.pdfBEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OE THE APPLICATION OE IDAHO POWER COMPANY FOR AUTHORITY TO IMPLEMENT POWER COST ADJUSTMENT (*PCA") RATES EOR ELECTRIC SERVICE EROM JUNE 7, 2074, THROUGH MAY 31, 20L5, AND TO UPDATE BASE RATES IN COMPLIANCE WITH ORDER NO. 33OOO. CASE NO.rPC-E-14-05 IDAHO POWER COMPANY DIRECT TESTIMONY OE TTMOTHY E. TATUM 1_ 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 72 13 1-4 1_5 16 77 18 t9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 o. A. o. A. address is t22I West Idaho Street, Boise, Idaho 83102. O. By whom are you employed and in what capacity? A. I am employed by Idaho Power Company ("Idaho Power" or "Company") as the Senior Manager of Cost of Service in the Regulatory Affairs Department. Pl-ease state your name and busj-ness address My name is Timothy E. Tatum and my business Please describe your educational background. I have earned a Bachelor of Business Administration degree in Economics and a Master of Busj-ness Administration degree from Boise State University. I have also attended electric utility ratemaking courses, including "Practicaf Skills for The Changing Electrical Industry, " a course offered through New Mexico State University's Center for Public Utilities, "Introduction to Rate Design and Cost of Service Concepts and Techniques" presented by El-ectric Utilities Consultants, Inc., and Edison Electric Institute's "E1ectric Rates Advanced Course." In 20!2, I attended the Utility Executive Course at the University of Idaho. O. Pl-ease describe your work experience wj-th Idaho Power. A. I began my employment with Idaho Power in 7996 as a Customer Service Representative in the Company's Customer Service Center where I handled customer phone TATUM, DI 1 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 L2 13 t4 15 76 L7 18 79 20 2L 22 23 24 25 call-s and other customer-rel-ated transacti-ons. In 7999, began working in the Customer Account Management Center where I was responsible for customer account maintenance the areas of bil-Iing and metering. In June of 2003, after seven years in customer service, I began working as an Economic Analyst on the Energy Efficiency Team. As an Economic Anal-yst, I was responsible for ensuring that the demand-side management ("DSM") expenses were accounted for properly, preparing and reporting DSM program costs and actj-vities to management and varj-ous external stakeholders, conducting cost-benefit analyses of DSM programs, and providing DSM anal-ysis support for the Company's 2004 Integrated Resource Plan (*rRP"). In August of 2004, T accepted a position as a Regulatory Analyst in Regulatory Affairs. As a Regulatory Analyst, f provided support for the Company's various regulatory activities, including tariff administration, regulatory ratemaking and compl-i-ance filings, and the development of various pricing strategies and policies. In August of 2006, T was promoted to Senior Regulatory AnaJ-yst. As a Senior Regulatory Analyst, my responsibil-ities expanded to include the development of complex financial studies to determj-ne revenue recovery and TATUM, DI 2 Idaho Power Company IN 1 pricing strategies, including the preparation of the 2 Company's cost-of-service studies. 3 In September of 2008, T was promoted to Manager of 4 Cost of Service and in April of 20L1, I was promoted to 5 Senior Manager of Cost of Service. As Senior Manager of 6 Cost of Service, I oversee the Company's cost-of-service 7 activities such as power supply modeling, jurisdictional 8 separation studies, class cost-of-service studies, and 9 marginal cost studies. 10 O. Pl-ease revj-ew the intent and design of the 11 Power Cost Adjustment ("PCA") mechanism? 72 A. The PCA is a rate mechanism that quantifies 13 and tracks annual differences between actual net power 74 supply expenses (*NPSE") and the normalized level of NPSE 15 recovered in the Company's base rates ("base level NPSE") 16 for recovery or credit through an annual- rate change each 77 June 1. The PCA mechanism utilizes a 12-month test period 18 of April through March (*PCA Year") and i-s composed of a 19 forecast component (*PCA Eorecast") and a true-up component 20 (*PCA True-Up"). The PCA Eorecast is based on the 2t Company's March Operating Plan and represents the 22 difference between the NPSE forecast from the March 23 Operating Plan and the base level NPSE recovered in the 24 Company's base rates. The PCA True-Up incl-udes a backward- 25 looking tracking of differences between the prior year's TATUM, DI 3 Idaho Power Company 1 PCA Forecast and actual NPSE j-ncurred by the Company during 2 the prior PCA Year. The PCA True-Up contains a second 3 component that tracks the collection of the prior year's 4 true-up amount, referred to as the "True-Up of the True- 5 up." 6 With the exception of Public Utility Regulatory 7 Policies Act of L97B (*PURPA") expenses and demand response 8 incentive costs, the PCA allows the Company to pass through 9 to customers 95 percent of the annual dlfferences in actual- 10 NPSE as compared to the base l-evel NPSE, whether positive 11 or negatj-ve. The PCA is also the rate mechanism used by 72 the Company to provide any revenue sharing benefits 13 resulting from the revenue sharing mechanism approved by L4 Order No. 32424. 15 O. What is the Company requesting in this case? 1,6 A. The Company is making three requests in this L7 case. First, Idaho Power is requesting a determination by 18 the fdaho PubIic Utilities Commission ("Commission") that 19 the Company has correctly calculated new base rates in a 20 manner that complies with Commission Order No. 33000 1n 27 Case No. IPC-E-13-20.1 If the Company's calculation is lOrder No. 33000 approved a new normalized or base l-evel- NPSE of $305,684,869 to be utilized 1) to update base rates on June 1,201,4, and 2) as the basis for quantifying the 2014-2015 PCA rates that wouldalso become effective June 1, 201,4. The order al-so directed the Companyto implement the change to base level NPSE in a manner that will haveno net impact to the overall revenue col-lected through customer rates and is "revenue neutral" for all c.l-asses of ldaho customers. TATUM, DI 4 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 t2 13 t4 15 L6 L7 18 L9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 approved, the newly establ-ished base rates will provide for collection of an additional $99.3 million in base level- NPSE as dj-rected in Order No. 33000. Second, the Company is requesting approval of the 201,4-20!5 PCA amount of $87.5 million, a decrease of approximately $72.L mil-Iion as compared to 2013-2014 PCA collection. If approved, the net effect of the change in base rates and the PCA would be an increase in annual bi1led revenue of approximately $27.L million to become effective on June L, 2074. Lastly, the Company is requesting that the Commission approve a one- time PCA mitigation measure intended to lessen the impact of this year's PCA on customers by utiliz:-r,g $16 million of surplus Idaho Energy Efficiency Rider (*DSM Rider") funds as an offset to this year's PCA col-Iection resulting in an adjusted net increase of approximately $11.1 miIlion. O. Pl-ease provide an overview of the Company' s CASC. A.Mr. Scott Wright is the Company witness j-n this case who will present the development of the 2074-2075 PCA rates. Mr. Wright will explain that the methodology used to determine the 201,4-2075 PCA rates is consi-stent with that approved by the Commission in prior PCA rate proceedings. Mr. Wright will al-so descrj-be the changes to the PCA rate inputs that have occurred since last year's PCA. Einally, Mr. Wright wil-I present for the Commission's TATUM, DI 5 Idaho Power Company 1 approval an update to the rate l-isted on Schedul-e 89, Unit 2 Avoided Energy Cost of Cogeneration and Small Power 3 Production. The update to the Schedule 89 rate ref1ects 4 the newly established base level NPSE as required by Order 5 No. 32758. 6 My testimony in this case wil-I present the 7 quantification of the base rate increase pursuant to Order 8 No. 33000 and describe the factors that have i-mpacted this 9 year's PCA quantification (including revenue sharing) . 10 Einal1y, my testimony wiII present the Company's rationale 11 for proposing a one-time PCA mitigation measure intended to \2 lessen the impact of this year's PCA on customers. 13 O. How is your testimony organi-zed? 14 A. My testimony is organized into seven secti.ons. 15 The first section presents the quantification of the base 16 rate update pursuant to Order No. 33000 and details the l7 implementation plan which will- result in no net impact to 18 the overal1 revenue col-l-ected through customer rates and 19 wil-I al-so be "revenue neutral" for al-I classes of Idaho 20 customers. The second section provides a high-Ieve1 27 discussion of the 20L4-2075 PCA amount and the year-over- 22 year differences that contribute to this year's PCA rate 23 change. Beginning with the third section of my testimony, 24 I wil-l- focus on individual components of the PCA. The 25 third section provides a review of the factors that TATUM, DI 6 Idaho Power Company t_ 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 t_0 11 1,2 13 L4 15 t6 t1 18 1,9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 contributed to this year's true-up amount. The fourth section presents the determination of this year's revenue sharing amount. The fifth section describes the PCA forecast amount and the mai-n drivers of that amount. In the sixth section of my testimony, I present a one-time PCA rate impact mitigation alternative for the Commission's consideration. The final- section of my testimony summarizes the Company's request. I. RE\IENT'E NEUTRAI BASE RATE UPDATE O. Please provide a brief summary of the Commission's Order No. 33000 in Case No. IPC-E-13-20. A. On March 27, 2074, the Commission issued Order No. 33000 approving the Company's request to establish a new normallzed or base level NPSE of $305,684,869 to be utilized l-) to update base rates on June L, 2014, and 2) as the basis for quantifying the 2074-20L5 PCA rates that would al-so become effective June 7, 2074. The order also directed the Company to implement the change to base level- NPSE in a manner that will- have no net impact to the overall revenue col-lected through customer rates and is "revenue neutral" f or al-l- classes of Idaho customers. (Order No. 33000, p. 9.) O. How does the Company propose to implement the newly establ-ished base level NPSE of $305,684,869 to achj-eve a revenue neutral base rate adjustment? TATUM, DI 1 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 12 13 74 15 L6 L7 1B t9 20 27 22 23 24 25 A.The Company's request in this case incl-udes a PCA determination based upon a measurement of the forecast April 2074 through March 2015 NPSE compared to the newly established 2013 base l-evel- NPSE of approximately $305.7 million. Because the new base leve1 NPSE is greater than the previous base level NPSE, the resulting j-ncremental PCA col-lection amount will be lower. Pursuant to Order No. 33000, the Company has quantified the base rate increase required to offset the reduction in incremental- PCA collection on June L, 2074. In other words, base rates are to be increased in a manner that will generate the same l-evel of revenue that would have otherwise been allowed for recovery through the PCA. O. What is the difference between the previous base level NPSE and the newly established 2013 base l-evel- NPSE that will become effective on June 7, 20L4, per Order No. 33000? A.The difference between the previous base l-eve1 NPSE and the newly established 2013 base level- NPSE per Order No. 33000 that wil-l become effectlve on June 7, 20L4, is $105,69L,09L on a total- system-level. The fol-Iowing Table 1 presents on a detailed component basis the differences that exist on a total- system-basis between the current base l-evel NPSE and the 20L3 base l-evel- NPSE that will become effective on June 7, 201,4: TATUM, D] B Idaho Power Company Tab].e 1. System-Level PCjA Accounts: FERC Account Cunent Effective 611114 Difference Account 501, Coal Account 536, Water for Power Account 547, Other Fuel Account 555, Purchased Power Non-PURPA Account 565, 3rd Party Transmission Account 447, Surplus Sales Account 4y'.2,Hoku 1st Block Base NPSE 5 L67,tgz,7q 7,929,6N 5L,934,20L 45,510,093 8,262,W (124915,153) .23,92L,4661 Base NPSE S 108,503,180 S 2,380,597 33,367,563 62,606,593 5,455,955 (51,735,153) (5&689,564) 551,957 (18,555,538) 17,096 500 (2,806,045) 73,181,m0 23,921,466 Net 95% Accounts Account 555, PURPA Account 555, Demand Response lncentives S 125,890,059 5 62,8sr,454 1L,252,265 160,578,735 s 133,853,859 s L1,252,265 u,688,676 77,m,2,475 s s Total s 199,993,778 5 305,684,869 s 105,591,091 2 3 Q. What is the Idaho jurisdictional share of the 4 $105.7 million difference in system-Ievel base NPSE? 5 A. Based upon the current energy-based al-focatlon 6 used for PCA computational purposes of 95.48 percent, the 7 Idaho jurisdictional share of the $105.7 million difference 8 in system-level- base NPSE would be approximately $100.9 9 million. 10 O. Does the $100.9 mil-Iion represent the increase 11 to Idaho jurlsdictional base rates that the Company is 72 proposing as part of this filing? 13 A. No. To maintain the same overall- level of !4 revenue recovery from base rates and the PCA in aggregate, 15 it is necessary to adjust the $100.9 million difference in 76 Idaho jurisdictional base level- NPSE to reflect the 95/5 11 customer to Company sharing provision that exists in the TATUM, DI 9 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 72 13 T4 15 L6 t7 18 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 PCA. With the exception of PURPA expenses and demand response incentive costs, the PCA all-ows the Company to pass through to customers 95 percent of the annual differences in actual NPSE as compared to the base leve1 NPSE, whether positive or negative. As can be seen on Table 7, the total- system-1evel difference in NPSE within the Eederal Energy Regulatory Commission ("EERC") accounts that are subject to 95 percent recovery (or credit) under the PCA is approximately $34.7 million. Under the PCA mechanism, the Company would recover 95 percent of the Idaho jurlsdictional share of the $34.7 million difference or $31.5 million ($34.7 mil-l-ion x 95.48% x 95.00? $31.5 mill-ion) . When the $31.5 mi]Iion of all-owed recovery j-s combined with 100 percent of the difference in the Idaho jurisdictional- share of FERC Account 555, PURPA, of $67.8 mil-Iion ($2f .0 million x 95.48% : $67.8 million) , the total- al-l-owed recovery under the PCA would be $99.3 million. Therefore, the Company's implementation of Order No. 33000 will result in an increase to base rates of approximately $99.3 milli-on, which includes a $1.6 million "PCA sharing" reduction to the total difference in Idaho jurisdictional base level NPSE of $100.9 million. This $1.6 mi1lion "PCA sharing adjustment" will- continue to be reflected in base rates TATUM, Dr 1_0 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 !2 13 74 15 t6 1-1 18 t-9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 i-n of until the Company fil-es its next general rate case or it is otherwise adjusted by Commission order. o.Has the Company determined the new base rates a manner that will be "revenue neutral" for all classes customers as directed by Order No. 33000? A Yes. The Company has determined new base rates by apportloning the approxi-mately 999.3 million base rate increase to each customer cl-ass using the same energy allocation basj-s that would exist under the PCA; that is, in proportj-on to each class's annual energy consumption. By using the same energy all-ocatj-on basis applied in this year's PCA filing, each customer class will contribute exactly the same amount of revenue to offset NPSE that would exist under the PCA col-lection. Attached as Exhibit No. 1 to my testimony is a schedul-e which demonstrates that the Company's proposal would result in no change to the total amount of revenue by customer class from base rates and the PCA, in aggregate. As can be seen on Exhibit No. l, a comparison of cofumns (D) and (H) demonstrates a revenue neutral shift of $99.3 million from the PCA into base rates. O. Are there any other steps that must be taken to ensure that the requested base rate increase is "revenue neutral" for all classes of Idaho customers? TATUM, Dr 11 Idaho Power Company I A. Yes. Idaho Power's current level of DSM Rider 2 collection is four percent of base rate revenues. The 3 approval to increase the Company's l-evel- of base rate 4 revenues by $99.3 million effective June l, 2014, will 5 result in approximately $A millj-on per year of additional 6 DSM Rider funds. To ensure the base rate increase 7 associated with the new base level of NPSE approved in Case B No. IPC-E-L3-20 is revenue neutra] for aII classes of 9 customers, it is appropriate to offset the increase in DSM 10 Rider revenue by moving $4 million out of the DSM Rider 11 balancing account and providing that amount as a credit to L2 customers in the 2074-2015 PCA. This adjustment should 13 continue to be included in future PCA rate determinations 1,4 until the level- of NPSE recovery in base rates is re- 15 established as part of a general rate case or otherwise 76 adjusted by Commission order. 11 rr. 2014-2015 PCA OVERVTET{ 18 O. What is the total 2014-2015 PCA amount as 19 measured from the newl-y established 2013 base level NPSE 20 for the 20L4-2015 PCA Year? 2L A. The 2074-2015 total PCA amount (including 22 revenue sharing and a $q million DSM Rider adjustment) as 23 measured from the newly established 2013 base level- NPSE is 24 $87.5 mil-Iion. This represents a year-over-year reduction 25 in PCA collection of $72.L million when measured from the TATUM, Dr 72 Idaho Power Company 7 20L3-2074 PCA amount of $159.6 mil-l-ion. However, when 2 comblned with the base rate j-ncrease of $99.3, the total 3 change in annual billed revenue would be an increase of 4 approximately ;27.7 mil-Iion. The following Table 2 5 presents the year-over-year difference in biIled revenue 5 that would become effective June 7, 2074, segmented into 7 the fj-ve components: 1) the PCA Eorecast, 2) the PCA True- B Up, 3) Revenue Sharing, 4) DSM Rider Transfer, and 5) Base 9 Rate Adjustment. 10 Tab1e 2. BilJ.ed Revenu@_ Table 2: Billed Revenue Comparison (ldaho Jurisdictional Amounts) 2013-2014 PCA* 2014-2015 PCA Difference PCA Forecast PCA True-Up Revenue Sharing DSM Rider Transfer 5LL!,969,Lo7 54,885,285 (7,276,2031 0 527,8L6,2r4 77,231,295 (7,602,0431 (3,97O,276l, (s90,152,893) 22,345,OO9 (325,840) 8.970.2751 PCA Total $159,579,189 587,475,L9O ($72,103,999) Base NPSE Update 0 99,250,892 99,2sO,892 Total S159,579,189 s185,726,081 $27,146,892* For comparison purposes, 20L3-2014 PCA component amounts represent the Commission-approved 2013-2014 PCA rate applied to the June 2014 through May 2015 sales forecast 11 t2 13 74 15 1,6 71 1B O. Please describe the information contained in Table 2. A.Table 2 demonstrates the extent to which each PCA and base rate component contributes to the year-over- year change in required revenue. As can be seen on Table 2, this year's PCA Forecast component is $2L,8L6,21,4 which is $90,1,52,893 l-ess than l-ast year's PCA Eorecast of TATUM, Dr 13 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 72 13 L4 15 L6 L7 18 19 20 2t 22 23 24 25 $111,969,707. This year's PCA True-Up component j-s $71,23L,295. The difference between this year's PCA True- Up component and last year's PCA True-Up component is an increase of $22,345r009. This year's revenue sharing component is a credit of $7,602,043, which is $325,840 greater than l-ast year's revenue sharing amount of $7,276,203. The *DSM Rider Transfer" that is necessary to ensure a revenue neutral implementation of the newly establ- j-shed base Ievel NPSE is $3 , 97 0 ,27 6 . Fina11y, when the base rate increase of $99,250,892 mill-ion is included, the net increase in total annual billed revenue is $21,746,892 milllon. III. PCA TRT'E-UP o.What is the most significant factor contributing to this year's PCA True-Up amount of approximately $77 .2 million? A.The most significant factor contributing to this year's PCA True-Up amount was lower actual hydro generation during the PCA Year as compared to the 2073-2074 forecasted amount. The lower actual hydro generation contributed to lower surplus energy sales revenue ("surplus saIes"), which serves to offset power suppJ-y expenses recovered from customers. In the 2073-20!4 PCA Year, surplus sales were forecasted to be approximately $98.5 million. Actual TATUM, Dr 74 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 t2 13 t4 15 t6 77 18 T9 20 27 22 23 24 25 surplus sales in the 2073-2074 PCA Year were approximately $66.8 million, or approximately 68 percent of the forecasted amount. Attached as Exhibit No. 2 to my testj-mony is a memo prepared at my direction that provides additional detail regarding the factors contributing to reduced surplus sales during the 201,3-201,4 PCA Year. O. How did actual hydro generation compare to the forecasted amount of hydro generation j-n the 2073-20!4 PCA Year? A.As can be seen on page 1 of Exhibit No. 2, hydro generation for the 20L3-2074 PCA Year was forecast to be 6.8 mill-ion megawatt-hours (*MWh"). Actual hydro generation for the 20\3-2014 PCA Year was 5.7 million MWhs, 1.1 million MWhsr or 16 percent, less than had been forecasted. The forecast of Brownl-ee Reservoir inflows for the 20L3-20L4 PCA Year included in last year's March Operating Plan was 9.42 mil-l-ion acre feet ("MAF") . Actual inflows for the PCA Year were 1.91 MAE, 16 percent lower than the forecasted amount. Detall- regarding the Company's hydro generation for the 201,3-2014 PCA Year is presented on page 2 of Exhibit No. 2. O. Were there any other factors that contributed to higher than projected NPSE during the 2073-201-4 PCA Year? TATUM, Dr 15 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 72 13 74 15 76 L7 18 19 20 2t 22 23 24 25 A. Yes. Customer loads during the 20!3-2074 PCA Year were higher than forecasted in the March 20L3 Operating Plan by approximately one percent. Higher customer loads contributed to higher than forecasted power costs and lower surplus sales. O. To what extent did the True-Up of the True-Up contribute to this year's overal-1 true-up bal-ance? A. Of the $77.2 million overall true-up balance, approximately $19.1 million is associated with the True-Up of the True-Up. o.What led to a True-Up of the True-Up balance of approximately $19.1 million? A.As mentioned earlier i-n my testimony, the True-Up of the True-Up is the part of the PCA mechanism that tracks the collection of the prior year's true-up amount. Because col-lection of the PCA does not begin until June of each year, there is a two month lag between when the PCA rates are calculated based on March 31 balances and when collection/crediting actually begins in June. Therefore, when the PCA True-Up of the True-Up component of the PCA is developed, the bal-ance only reflects approximately l-0 months of col-Iection. The impact of the Iag in col-Iection of the True-Up of the True-Up balance was compounded in this case because the 20L2-201,3 PCA True-Up component was a credit rate. As a result, revenue TATUM, Dr 1,6 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 L2 13 L4 15 L6 l1 18 19 20 27 22 23 24 25 crediting rather than col-l-ection of the true-up bal-ance was occurring during the billing months of April and May of 2073 also contributing to the True-Up of the True-Up balance. In summary, this year's True-Up of the True-Up ba]ance reflects the standard ten months of annual col-l-ection plus the impact of the revenue crediting that existed during the billing months of April and May of 20!3 under the prior year's PCA rate. a. On ApriJ- 2, 2073, the Commission lssued Order No. 32776 (Case No. IPC-E-L2-29) temporarily suspending two of three Idaho Power demand response programs for 2073. Did the suspension of the two demand response resources result in net benefits to customers? A. Yes. O. Have you quantified the savings associated with the reduction in the incentive payments to the program participants? A. Yes. Idaho Power estimates that the two temporarily suspended programs reduced program incentive expenses by more than $10.0 million. The reduced demand response program incentj-ve costs were reflected in the 2013/2074 PCA Forecast. TATUM, Dr L] Idaho Power Company O. Did the Company incur additional power supply 2 expenses in order to obtain the $10.0 million in incentive 3 payment reductions? A. Yes, but only to a very limited extent. Idaho 5 Power estimates that 1t incurred additional power supply 6 expenses of less than $10,000 associated with the 7 suspension of the two programs. Therefore, the suspensi-on 8 of the two demand response programs in 2073 resul-ted in a 9 net benefit to customers of nearly $10.0 million doll-ars. 10 11 IV. REVENT'E SEARTNG O. What impact does revenue sharing have on thls TATUM, Dr 18 Idaho Power Company t2 year's PCA? 13 A. The Company's 20L3 Idaho jurisdictional L4 earnings were at a level that provides for approximately 15 $7.6 mill-ion in direct benefits to customers as part of 76 this year's PCA. This represents an j-ncrease in the level- 71 of sharing of approximately $326 thousand as compared to 18 l-ast year's sharing amount. 19 O. What j-s the total benefit customers will 20 receive as a result of revenue sharing based on the 27 Company's actual year-end 2013 financial results? 22 A. After tax gross-up, the combination of a 23 $1,602,043 reduction to PCA rates and a $16,5L2,853 24 reduction to the pensj-on balancing account results in an 25 overall- customer benefit of $24,L74,895. 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 10 11 t2 13 L4 15 16 L1 18 t9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 0.Have you prepared an exhibit that details the Company's quantl-fication of the ldaho jurisdictional 20L3 Return on Equity ("ROE") and year-end earnings j-n excess of 10 percent? A.Yes. Exhibit No. 3 details the Company's quantification of the fdaho jurisdictional 201-3 ROE and year-end earnings in excess of 10 percent. As can be seen on l-ine 46 of Exhiblt No. 3, the 20L3 Idaho jurisdictional ROE was 1,1.22 percent. As quantified on l-ine 73 of Exhibit No. 3, rn 2013, the Company's earnings exceeded an Idaho jurisdictional year-end ROE of 10 percent by $22,668,223. O. How did the Company determj-ne the portion of the $22,668,223 that is to be shared with customers? A.fn accordance with the terms of the settlement stj-pulation approved in Order No. 32424, revenue sharing based on year-end 2013 financial results is to be provided to customers in two tiers. The first tier refl-ects customers' 50 percent share of the 20L3 Idaho jurisdictional year-end earnings in excess of 10 percent ROE up to and including 10.5 percent. The first tier, calculated at 50 percent of $9,259,492, results in a customer benefit prior to tax gross-up of $4,629,146. After tax gross-up, customers recej-ve a total rate reductj-on of $7,602,043. These amounts are displayed in Exhibit No. 3 on l-ine 69. TATUM, Dr 19 Idaho Power Company I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 t2 13 L4 15 76 T1 18 L9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 The second tier reflects customers' 75 percent share of the 20!3 ldaho jurisdictional- year-end earnings in excess of 10.5 percent ROE. The second tier, calculated at 75 percent of $13r408r731, results in a customer benefit prj-or to tax gross-up of $10,056,549. After tax gross-up, customers receive a total- benefit of $1-6,572,853 in the form of an offset to the Company's pension balancing account. These amounts are displayed in Exhibit No. 3 on Iine 17. An accounting entry was made to reduce the pension deferral balancing account by $16,5L2,853 with an effective date of December 31, 2073, to ref]ect this benefit. o.How does the Company propose to a.l-Iocate the $1,602,043 revenue sharing to customer classes? A.The Company proposes to al-l-ocate the $7,602,043 revenue sharing as a rate reduction to customer classes based on each class's proportional share of the forecasted base revenues for the June t, 201,4, through May 31, 2015, shari-ng period. This is the same methodology used to allocate the revenue sharing in 2011, and 20L2. o.What is the impact of al1ocating the proposed rate reduction to customer classes proportionally to base revenues ? TATUM, Dr 20 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 L2 L3 74 15 t6 t1 18 19 20 27 22 23 24 25 A.As displayed in column G of Exhj-bit No. 4, each customer class receives a decrease of approximately 0 .7 6 percent rel-ative to current base revenues. o.How does the Company propose to j-nclude the class-allocated revenue sharing benefits in rates? A.With the exception of the Special Contracts for Micron, the U.S. Department of Energy, and J.R. Simplot, Inc. ("Special Contracts"), the Company proposes to include the class-allocated revenue sharing benefits as an offset to the 2074 PCA rates effective June 7, 2014, through May 31, 20L5r ds detailed in this case by Mr. Scott Wright. Column E of Exhibit No. 4 details the proposed class-specific revenue sharing rates I have provided to Mr. Wright to be included as an offset in the 2014 PCA rates. o.What is the Company's proposal for providing revenue sharing benefits to its Specj-a1 Contracts? A.Consistent with the methodology used to share 2017 and 20L2 revenues, the Company proposes to provide the Special Contracts a flat dollar-per-month credit in twelve equal portions to serve as an offset to monthly invoj-ces bil-Ied for June 2074 through May 2015. V. PCA FORECAST O. How does the Company's forecast of NPSE for the 2074-201-5 PCA compare to the forecast in last year's PCA? TATUM, Dr 27 Idaho Power Company 1 A. The PCA Forecast on a total- system 2 the 20L4-20L5 PCA Year is $330,026,256, which is 3 $70,52L,190 higher than last year's PCA Forecast 4 $319,505,066. Table 3 presents a comparison of 5 PCA Forecast to last year's PCA Forecast by PCA 6 on a total- system basis. 7 Table 3. PCA Forecast Conparison: basis for of this year' component 8 9 10 11 72 t_3 L4 15 a. What are the mai-n factors contributing to the increase in the PCA Forecast this year? A. As can be seen in Table 3, Coal and Gas production costs are expected to increase from l-ast year's forecast by a combj-ned $10.9 mil-l-ion. That increase is expected to be offset by decreases in Water for Power expense and Third Party Transmission expense as wel-l- as an TATUM, Dr 22 Idaho Power Company Table 3: PCA Forecast Comparison (TotalSvstem-Levell 20L3-20,4 Forecast 20t4-20t5 Forecast Difference Coal Water for Power Gas Non-PURPA 3rd Party Transmission Hoku First Block Surplus Sales L69,424,879 1,751,000 73,941,673 61,996,853 6,645,775 (126,166,913) 3,473,487 (603,374t. 7,405,609 2L,9L6,319 (46,610) (27,656,7441 165,951,392 2,354,374 56,536,064 40,080,534 6,692,395 (98,510,159) Net 95% accounts s 183,104,580 5 t87,593,267 5 4,488,687 PURPA Demand Response lncentive sSs134,L42,386 8,290,603 2,41O,860 3,62t,643 L3L,73t,526 4,669,950 100% accounts s 135,400,486 5 t42,432,999 s 6,032,503 Total PCA Forecast s 3t9,505,066 5 330,026,256 s 10,521,190 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 t2 13 l4 15 1,6 L7 t_8 t9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 increase in net Surplus Sales. The combined increase j-n the expense categories under which Idaho Power is all-owed 95 percent recovery of deviations from base level NPSE is approximateJ-y $4. 5 mj-ll-ion. PURPA and Demand Response Incentive expenses are expense categories under which Idaho Power is allowed 100 percent recovery of deviations from base l-eveI NPSE. These two expense categories combined account for almost 60 percent of the increase over last year's forecast or approximately $6. 0 million. o.What is driving the increase in Demand Response Incentive expenses? A.The increase is due to'increased incentive payments assocj-ated with the A/C Cool Credit and Irrigation Peak Rewards programs that wil-I be operational again in 201,4 as a result of the settlement agreement approved by Order No. 32923. Based on enrollment as of April J, 20L4, fdaho Power expects 392 megawatts of demand response load reduction at the generation level- for the 2014 season. O. Recent reports suggest near normal snow pack for the basins above the Brownlee Reservoir. Based on the status of this year's snow pack conditions, is Idaho Power expecting near normal hydro production? A. Unfortunately, no. The Company's expectation for hydro production included in the March 2073 Operating TATUM, Dr 23 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 72 13 74 15 16 71 18 79 20 2t 22 23 24 25 PIan is not materially different from last year's hydro production forecast. The Company is forecasting 6.9 mill-ion MWhs of hydro generation for the 2014-20!5 PCA Year, nearly the same as last year's forecast of 6.8 million MWhs. The 3O-year average annuaf hydro generation for f daho Power's system j-s approximately 8.0 mil-Iion MWhs placing the 20L4-201-5 PCA forecast of hydro generation at about 86 percent of the normal expectation. The 2074-2075 PCA hydro generation forecast is based on projected Brownlee j-nflow volumes of 3.6 MAF for April through July and 8.8 MAE for the PCA Year of April 20\4 through March 2015. The historical 3O-year averages for the same peri-ods are 5.5 MAE and 13.1 MAF, respectively. The l-ower anticipated hydro generation will contribute to increased coal- and gas production costs and lower surplus sal-es revenue as compared to normal- levels. O. ff snowpack level-s in the basins above the Brownlee Reservoj-r are at or near normal- level-s, then why is the Company expecting lower than normal hydro generation? A. The hydro generation forecast for the 2014- 201,5 PCA Year is impacted primarily by the persistent dry weather conditions that occurred during 201,3 and through January 20L4. The impacts of these dry conditj-ons to the TATUM, Dr 24 Idaho Power Company I 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 l_0 11 L2 13 74 15 16 t1 18 t9 20 21, 22 23 24 25 hydro generation forecast incl-ude significantly low upstream reservoir levels, considerabl-e reductions in irrigation returns impacting reach gains, and continued dry soil conditions in parts of the Snake River Basin. Boise flows this Federal reservoj-rs in the Upper Snake, Payette, and basins greatly impact the magnitude and timing of to Idaho Power's hydro system. At the beginning of water year, October L, 20t3, the major federal- treservoirs above Brownlee were 38 percent of normal storage. This carryover storage level- would rank as the fifth lowest when compared to the \98\-2010 period. In order to refill from the low carryover storage level, the reservoirs would require significantly above normal snowpack, measured in terms of snow water equivalent ('SWE"). When the upstream reservoirs fail- to refill, Idaho Power, along with al-1 other downstream water users, are likeIy to experlence bel-ow normal reservoir releases. The l-ate season precipitation over the recent months has greatly improved the forecast for projected releases from upstream reservoir systems, but the inflow forecast remains below normal. Detail regardlng these events and their impact on the Company's forecast hydro generation is presented on pages 2-4 of Exhibit No. 2. TATUM, Dr 25 fdaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 L2 13 !4 15 16 L7 18 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 VI. IDAIIO POITER' S PCA MITIGATION ATTERNATI\IE o.Did the Company eval-uate potential options to mitigate the impact of this year's PCA on customer rates? A.Yes. The Company be1ieves it woul-d be appropriate for the Commission to consider allowing a one- time transfer of an additional $16 million from the DSM Rider balancinq account to offset this year's PCA. This action woul-d result in a total- transfer of $20 million of DSM Rider funds into this year's PCA. o. proposal? What is the Company's rational-e for this A.Idaho Power's current level- of DSM Rider collection is four percent of base rate revenues or approxl-mately $36 million annually. The June L, 2074, DSM Rider balance is expected to be a surplus of about $12.2 million. DSM Rider-funded expenses are forecasted to be approximately $20 million per year on average over the next two years. Without the proposed one-time transfer, the DSM Rider balance is forecasted to be a surplus of $26 mill-ion by May 31, 2015, and Idaho Power expects to continue to accumul-ate a surplus of energy efficiency funding in the near-term. In order to mitj-gate the customer impact of the requested PCA increase, Idaho Power is proposing a one-time transfer of $16 million of surplus DSM Rider funds back to customers through the PCA. TATUM, DI 26 Idaho Power Company O. How does the Company propose to allocate the 2 $16 million DSM Rider transfer to individual- customer 3 classes? A. The Company proposes to all-ocate the $16 5 million DSM Rider transfer to individual customer classes 6 as a rate reduction based on each class's proportional 7 share of the forecasted base revenues for the June 7, 20L4, 8 through May 31, 2015, PCA collection period. This 9 allocation method will- ensure that each customer class 10 receives the PCA rate credit j-n a similar proportion to the 11 initial- DSM Rider collection. 72 O. What are the benefits assoclated with Idaho 13 Power's proposal for a transfer of surplus DSM Rider funds L4 to offset this year's PCA? 15 A. In addition to providing immediate rate 16 reJ-ief, the Company believes that a one-time transfer of l7 DSM Rider funds will help to manage the DSM Rider balance 18 in the near-term without impacting the longer-term l-eve1 of 19 funding provided by the DSM Rider. 20 O. What would be the impact to the DSM Rider 27 bal-ance if the Commission were to approve the Company's PCA 22 mitigation proposal? 23 A. A transfer of $20 mil-Iion in DSM Rider funds 24 to offset the PCA would bring the DSM Rider bal-ance to an 25 estimated surplus of $9.8 million at May 31, 2075. The TATUM, Dr 21 Idaho Power Company 1 Company believes that customers woul-d prefer a rate credit 2 tn this year's PCA rather than Idaho Power holding on to 3 funds that are not expected to be used in the next few 4 years. 5 Q. You stated that the transfer of $20 million in 6 DSM Rider funds includes the $a million of DSM Rider funds 7 associated with the increase in base rate revenues B effective June L, 20L4. Does the Company believe that the 9 $4 mil-lion transfer shou]d conti-nue in future PCAs? 10 A. Yes. fn order to maintain a "revenue neutral" 11 rate adjustment, the Company believes that it would be 72 appropriate to transfer $4 mil-l-j-on each year from the DSM 13 Rider balance to serve as an offset to the PCA until- the L4 next general rate case. 15 O. How will the additional one-time transfer of L6 $16 mil-Iion from DSM Rider funds to the PCA impact the 77 Company's energy efficiency activities? 18 A. A total- transfer of $20 million in surplus DSM 19 Rider funds wil-l- have no impact on existing or new energy 20 efficiency activities. Idaho Power will continue to offer 27 a ful-I portfolio of energy efficiency programs for al-l- 22 customer sectors. Regardl-ess of the DSM Rider's balance, 23 the Company is committed to energy efficiency j-nitiatives 24 and pursing al-l- cost-effective energy efficlency. 25 TATUM, DI 28 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 tr 6 7 I 9 10 11 72 13 t4 15 76 L7 18 79 20 27 22 23 24 25 a. What impact will the total $20 mil-l-ion transfer of DSM Rider funds have on the DSM Rider balancing account in the near-term? A.As I mentioned earlier, the DSM Rider balance is expected to be approximately $72.2 million on June 7, 201,4. Even with the transfer of $20 million and forecasted energy efficiency expenses, Idaho Power estimates the DSM Rider balancing account wil-l- be in a collected status again by September 2074. By managing the DSM Rider ba1ance today, no changes to the level of DSM Rider fund col-l-ection are being reconrmended at this time. O. You indicated the DSM Rider balance will be a deficit for three months, in June, July, and August 20L4. Will customers pay an additional interest charge on the deficit balance for those months? A.No, not on a net basis. The current deposit rate used to cal-culate the annual carrying charge on deferred balances, which incl-udes both the DSM Rider balancing account and the PCA, is one percent. Although customers will pay interest on the DSM Rider deficit bal-ance for three months, the DSM Rider funds transferred to the PCA will reduce the amount of interest that would accrue on the PCA balance by the same amount, resulting in a net change of zero in the amount of interest customers would pay. TATUM, Dr 29 Idaho Power Company 1 Q. Has the Company shared its planned proposal to 2 Lransfer funds from the DSM Rider to offset this year's PCA 3 balance with external- stakehol-ders? 4 A. Yes. On Monday, March 71, 2014, fdaho Power 5 held a conference caII with its Energy Efficiency Advisory 6 Group (*EEAG") to inform EEAG members that the Company was 7 considering using DSM Rider funds to achieve a revenue 8 neutral implementation of the new base level NPSE and to 9 possibly mitigate the impact on customers of a PCA 10 increase. The Company also solicited feedback from the 11 EEAG members regarding the proposal as part of the call. 72 In this call-, the Company informed the EEAG that, if 13 the Commission approved Idaho Power's request to set a new L4 level of net power supply expense, base rate revenue would 15 increase by approximately $100 mi11i-on, resulting in an L6 additional $4 million (approximate) per year in DSM Rider 71 revenue (4 percent x $100 mil-Iion : $a million). In this 18 event, the Company planned to request authority to transfer 79 $+ mill-ion out of the DSM Rider balancing account and 20 provide that amount as a uniform rate credit in the 2074- 2L 2015 PCA, thus keeping the net power supply expense filing 22 revenue neutral- for customers. 23 The Company al-so shared with the EEAG that, if the 24 PCA was an j-ncrease, the Company was considering a one-time 25 TATUM, Dr 30 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 12 13 L4 15 16 t1 18 19 20 21, 22 23 24 25 transfer of additional DSM Rider funds to the PCA, which woul-d reduce the impact of the PCA on customers. O. What was the overall- sentiment from the EEAG members regardj-ng the transfer of funds from the DSM Rider to mitigate the PCA balance? A.Of the participating members who attended the telephonic meeting, there were several clarifying questions asked, some concerns expressed, as well as comments of support. EEAG members also expressed gratitude for the company bringing this concept to their attention and the opportunity to discuss the issue. O.What is the adjusted billed revenue impact that would result from applying the Company's PCA mitigation alternative? A.Should the Commission wish to apply the mitigation adjustment presented by the Company, this year's net increase in billed revenue would be reduced from $27.L mil-Iion to $11.1 million, as presented in Table 4 below. The $11-.1 mi]lion represents an overal-l- increase of approxJ-mately 1.0 percent over current billed revenue. TATUM, Dr 31 Idaho Power Company 1 2 Table 4. Updated Bil1ed Revenue Comparison: *For comparison purposes,20t3-20L4 PCA component amounts represent the Commission- approved 2Ot3-20L4 PCA rate applied to the June 2014 through May 2015 sales forecast O.Why should the Commisslon consider approving the Company's mitigation alternative in this case? ft is my bel-ief that when the Commission has considered PCA mitigation in the past it has tried to bal-ance the impact that any mitigation may have on the financial heal-th of Idaho Power with a desire to maintain falr rates and rate stabillty. The Company believes that its mitigation proposal wou1d have no financial impact on the Company and would al-so satisfy the Commission's desire to maintain fair rates and rate stability. The Company's proposed PCA mitigation al-ternative wou1d simply util-ize surplus customer funds from the DSM Rider balancing account to offset excess power costs in this year's PCA. Unlike other PCA mitigation options consj-dered by the Commission in the past, this approach would not defer any PCA coll-ection to a subsequent period, but rather would use TATUM, DI 32 Idaho Power Company 3 4 5 6 1 I Y 10 11 L2 13 t4 15 L6 t1 1B 19 20 A. Table 4: Billed Revenue Comparison (!daho Jurisdictional Amounts) 2013-2014 PCA* 2014-2015 PCA Difference PCA Forecast PCA True-Up Revenue Sharing DSM Rider Transfer (Ongoing) DSM Rider Transfer (One-time) s111,959,107 54,886,285 17,276,203], 0 0 5zL,gL6,zL4 77,237,295 (7,602,043l, (3,97O,276l' (t6,o29,724!' (s90,152,893) 22,345,009 (325,840) (3,970,276l, {.L6,O29,724], PCA Total S159,579,189 s71,445,466 (s88,133,7241 Base NPSE Update 0 99,250,892 99,250,892 Total s159,579,189 Suo,6g6,357 Su,u7,168 1_ 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 10 11 t2 13 L4 15 16 L1 18 L9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 funds already col-lected from customers to offset currently known costs. VII. CONCLUSION O. Please summarize the Company's request in this case? A. Idaho Power is requesting that the Commission issue an Order that 1) approves the Company's cal-culation of new base rates resultj-ng in approximately $99.3 million of additional base rate recovery of net power supply expense annually in compliance with Order No. 33000, 2) approves the 2014-2075 PCA recovery amount of approximately $87.5 million, as the measured deviation from newly established base rates, resulting in a net j-ncrease j-n annual billed revenue of approximately $27.1 mi-11ion, and 3) approves a one-tj-me PCA mitigation measure intended to Iessen the impact of this year's PCA on customers by utilizing an additional $16 mil-lion of surplus DSM Rider funds to offset this year's PCA collection resulting j-n an adjusted net increase of approximately $11.1 mill-ion to become effective June L, 2014. o.Has the Company prepared revised tariff schedul-es that present the updated base rates and PCA rates that would result from applying the Company's mitigation alternative? TATUM, Dr 33 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 E 6 7 8 9 10 11 t2 13 L4 15 L6 71 18 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 A.Yes. Attachment 1 to the Application is revised tariff schedules, in both clean and legislative formats, specifying the proposed base rate and PCA rate changes for providing el-ectric service to customers in the state of Idaho with a net change of $11.1 mill-ion in total bill-ed revenue to be collected during the 20!4-2075 PCA Year. O. Does this conclude your testimony? A. Yes, it does. TATUM, Dr 34 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 tr 6 7 8 9 10 11 72 13 L4 15 76 L1 18 t9 20 27 22 23 24 25 26 27 2B STATE OF IDAHO County of Ada ATTESTATION OF TESTIMOIIY aq T, Timothy E. Tatum, having been duly sworn to testify truthfully, and based upon my personal knowledge, state the following: f am employed by Idaho Power Company as a Senior Manager in the Regulatory Affairs Department and am competent to be a witness in this proceedi-ng. I declare under penalty of perjury of the laws of the state of Idaho that the foregoing pre-fil-ed testimony and exhibits are true and correct to the best of my information and belief. DATED this 15th day of April, 20L4 SUBSCRIBED AND April , 2074. SWORN to before me this 15th day of c for Idaho Residing at: My commissio Timoth E. Tatum S-1"^,Ad/*n expires: IJ-Jo -J-4 TATUM, DI 35 Idaho Power Company 4$ts'l tir ea' )13 6114 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION GASE NO. IPC.E.I4.O5 IDAHO POWER COMPANY TATUM, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO, 1 N6'@-orJ)N.o)(D o ooQ- lsto-o,o @ oot-€oo{ ro(r, q oc)(o_ <ooN-6o(r, o No6_ohsloo, @ rtF.r,() 6)_og,€ 6 (o(oor-*(oo-€or1o_o o,GIN-(o6)* o) o)(o cr,-_q -Glt_ g)- q oi-FttF_ <)_to)e6t_ (!)_ O- @ otr,t@(o- o-loN O- I--(o At @ <D (()ott(o- c)-ONo('rl.)- F_ -oN @ o) o)(o(Y) -- t- -(cl*- (.r- q OFtot- or-o) o,6No- €-6(O rto6o)_ \t F-_Nct) o 6()o_ 6l6(r_ No, o av)N6)-roo6lloo o @ _6-o (D- F-6o, @ r.)@or- NtN. No, @ oo _(o- N(o d(oo e, oo)(o_(oo6-(t,<o(o- N (o6t.{(o(nt g, o6o)o@_ tt-(ooONO- --@@(lr6jF o)oc6F o,p -d.o_o> Uo8prioFOocN'E-a!(ro i.E =ErO*B50.NO-oF!tol!co gl ;r!il30 (o o)NN Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-14-05 T. 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IPC-E-14-05 IDAHO POWER COMPANY TATUM, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO.2 Date: April 11,2014 To: Tim Tatum, Cost of Service Manager From: Philip DeVol, Resource Planning Leader Subject: 2013-2014 Surplus Sales Forecast Compared to Actual 2014-2015 Surplus Sales Forecast This memo is intended to address the variances between the 2013-2014 PCA forecast and the actual amounts for both the hydro generation and surplus sales components of the PCA, and to provide an explanation for the 2014-2015 PCA forecast. 2013-2014 Surplus Sales Forecast Gompared to Actual The differences between forecasted and actualamounts are shown below. Forecast Actual Variance Hydro Generation (000s MWh)6,826 5,702 1,124 Surplus Sales (000s MWh)3,115 1,998 1,117 Surplus Sales (000s of dollars)98,510 66,785 31,725 Surplus Sales Surplus sales were impacted primarily by lower hydro generation. Surplus sales were also impacted by lower production at Langley Gulch power plant, particularly during October 2013 and March 2014. However, these sales were mostly offset by decreased Langley Gulch fuel costs, resulting in a minimal overall impact to the PCA. The dollar variance (in thousands of dollars) is shown by month in the table below. The graph below the table further demonstrates the variance of forecasted MWh sales volume as compared to actual MWh sales volume by month. 4rbt3 slm' 6t't Tl,,ra o-rt"''irll1"t*to1#"* rr-, Dtan tr,ot4 2r,,t4 rrmt4 rotarFoBei 6,054 6,64i1 39,f 911 1,040 9,935 12,21e 12,11A 6,361 10,24 11,171 15,420 98,510 &l8l 1.21 _!ll0 2.3ss 6.1b _5,21 9.126 7.1s2 9.811 10.814 JEJ!5vn{Ie (4611) (s,420) r,67 1,87 992 (3,s0s) (s,e88) (2,ee2l (910) (1,852) (4363) (1506) l31,12,5l PrGCnt 3c -1ffi -ADi 268iA 153% 9596 -3596 49,1 -25fi -11X -L8,6 -37* -3& -32* SurplusSales (MWh) 600,000 50o,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 s/2071 612073 7120L3 8/2013 9/2073 1O/2O13 1t/2O13 t2l20L3 -ActualSurplus Sales - - Forecastsurplus Sales Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-14-05 T. Tatum, IPC Page 1 of4 Two months requiring special explanation are October 2013 and March 2014. For both months, the 2013-2014 PCA forecast included the full dispatch of Langley Gulch in support of surplus sales. However, the plant ultimately was not dispatched in October 2013 due to required maintenance and was not dispatched in March 2014 due to lower market prices. While surplus sales for the two months were impacted by the lower than forecast production from Langley Gulch, the impact on the overall PCA was minimal because of a corresponding decrease in Langley Gulch fuel expense. With the exception of October 20'13 and March 2014, the lower than forecast surplus sales are primarily explained by a decline in hydro generation. Hydro Generation Actual hydro generation was lower than anticipated in almost every month and for the PCA year was nearly 1.1 million MWh, or 16 percent, lower than forecast. Hydro generation is directly related to Brownlee Reservoir inflow, which was also lower than forecast in nearly every month and for the PCA year was 1.5 million acre-feet (MAF), or 16 percent, lower than forecast. The following tables show hydro generation and Brownlee inflow by month. ,m' st2o13 ,tzots ,,*u"!iffll"';r:.?"'[%lll"lll#, *ro* Ltzou ztn, ilma rotar Forecast 558 78L 686 5E 514 491 43L 4LZ 497 587 551 793 6,826 Actuar '-M. '-E@ 'J3 '-s '-w.'-jf.4 '-453 '-s '&'-3,5.'-3!f.' E9s s,loz vailance ' Loz' 22L' 203' 19 ' 94' 6!' (zzl' ro' 55 t 162' rl-s' 98 L,rz4 Percentage -L8fA -28P6 -WA -4oA -ttri6 -f2P/o 5% -4oA -LL% -28,6 -21% -LTA -t6% arn, st2n13 612013 rmB ,rrl'*i'ff,It.r:r$f' qx^, r2r2o.s ttzou ztzou yxn4 rotar Forecat O.92 1.15 1.00 0.56 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.73 O.7L 0.68 O.74 1.09 9.42 Actual 0.66 0.86 0.63 0.45 0.48 0.60 0.68 0.54 0.53 0.62 0.77 O.gt 7.9L variance (0.26) (0.2s) (0.37) (0.11) (0.0e) o.o2 (0.00) (0.08) (0.08) (0.07) (0.03) (0.1s) (1.s1) Percentage -28A -E% -17/. -2CPA -16% 4% tr/o -Lt% -71% -lCA -4% -L4o/o -16% 201 4-201 5 Hydro Generation Forecast The hydro generation forecast for the 2014-2015 PCA year is 6.9 million MWh. The hydro generation forecast for the 2014-2015 PCA year is impacted primarily by the persistent dry weather conditions that occurred during 2013 and through January 2014. The impacts of these dry conditions to the hydro generation forecast include significantly low upstream reservoir levels, considerable reductions in irrigation returns impacting reach gains, and continued dry soil conditions in parts of the Snake River Basin. A discussion of these impacts follows. Reservoir Levels Federal reservoirs in the Upper Snake, Payette, and Boise basins greatly impact the magnitude and timing of flows to ldaho Powe/s hydro system. ln a normal year, the company's hydro system generates with flow releases from these reservoir systems associated with the company's primary storage right in American Falls Reservoir, federal flow augmentation to aid downstream salmon outmigration, and flood control. ln addition, ldaho Power currently has a contract agreement in place to release water leased from the Shoshone-Bannock Tribal Water Supply Bank. The volume of these releases is directly related to the amount of reservoir storage. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-14-05 T. Tatum, IPC Page2 of 4 At the beginning of this water year, October 1, 2013, the major federal reservoirs above Brownlee were at 38 percent of normal storage. This carryover storage levelwould rank as the fifth lowest when compared to the 1981-2010 period. ln order to refill from the low carryover storage level, the reservoirs would require significantly above normal snowpack, measured in terms of snow water equivalent (SWE). When the upstream reservoirs fail to refill, ldaho Power, along with all other downstream water users, risk below normal reservoir releases. Precipitation during the snow accumulation months of November through January ranked the 15th lowest of the 119 years of record for the state of ldaho. The estimated weighted SWE above Brownlee Reservoir on January 31,2014, was at 9.7 inches, or 72 percent of normal, and major federal reservoirs above Brownlee were at 65 percent of normal storage. February and March precipitation was normal or above normal for much of the region, improving the Brownlee SWE to 22.2 inches, or 109 percent of normal, and major federal reservoir levels rose to 80 percent of normal storage. The table below shows the combined reservoir storage for the major federal reservoirs above Brownlee and the estimated weighted SWE above Brownlee Reservoir at three critical dates: the beginning of the water year, January 31,2014, and March 31,2014. Reservoir Storage at Major Reservoirc Above Brownlee SWE at Brownlee Actual Norma! Percent of (MAFI (MAF) Norma! October L,2OL3 1.05 2.74 38% January 3t,20t4 LM 3.73 65% March 3t,20t4 3.45 4.30 Wo Actual Normal Percent of (inches) (inches) Normal 9.7 13.5 72% 22.2 20.3 LWo This late season precipitation greatly improved the forecast for projected releases from upstream reservoir systems, but the inflow forecast remains below normal. The PCA forecast was prepared near the end of March and incorporated the latest information from ldaho Power's own models, including the most current snowpack and soil conditions, projected upstream reservoir releases, and forecasted irrigation demand. The March flow forecast included upstream reservoir releases for all of the company's primary storage right at American Falls Reservoir, 93 percent of federal flow augmentation for salmon outmigration, and 75 percent of the full Shoshone-Bannock water lease. The March forecast also assumes no flood control releases from the Upper Snake River basin past Milner Dam, since any additional water will be captured by American Falls and Palisades Reservoirs. However, the forecast does include some flood control releases from the Boise and Payette basins. The table below shows the progression of the forecast assumptions over the course of the water year as compared to normal water year assumptions. Forecast Assumptions (Percent of Normal) Primary Flow Leased Storage Augmentation Water October t,20t3 January 31,20L4 March 31.,2OL4 L$U/o LWo two 3 650/0 47o/o 93% 2s% 25o/o 75o/o Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-14-05 T. Tatum, IPC Page 3 of 4 Continued Dry Soil Gonditions and Decreased lrrigation Returns Although the amount of precipitation that fell throughout the basin during February and March 2014 was significantly above average, the amount of precipitation from the beginning of the water year in October remains below normal. This is most apparent in the southern tributaries as well as the lower elevations throughout the basin. The impact of low overall precipitation is that soil conditions throughout the Snake Basin remain low, affecting the forecasted amount of subsurface flow and snowpack runoff entering the river system. Due to the significantly dry conditions throughout the basin during the 2013 irrigation season, irrigators more efficiently managed their water supplies to utilize less water. Growing seasons were shortened, modifications to sprinkler heads were made to make systems more efficient, and monitoring equipment was installed in some areas of the basin. The result to the hydro generations forecast is that irrigation return flows back to the river during subsequent months has been and is projected to continue to be greatly reduced. This reduction in irrigation return flows is currently reflected in the 2014-2015 hydro generation forecast. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-14-05 T. Tatum, IPC Page 4 of 4 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIG UTILITIES COMMISSION GASE NO. IPC-E-14-05 IDAHO POWER COMPANY TATUM, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO.3 IDAHO POWER COTPANY ADDITIO},IAL Ii'IVESTTiIEI{T TAX GREDIT ANALYSIS For th. TFlv. toith. Endod D.comb.r 31, 20l3 r.. suffitARyoFREsuLrs... RETURN ON YEAR.ENO COMMON EQUITY EARNTNGS ON COMMON STOCK @ 9.50 ROE EARNTNGS ON COMMON STOCK @ 10 ROE EARNTNGS ON COMMON STOCK @ 'r0.50 ROE ACTUAL YEAR.ENO RESULTS. AFTER ITC ADJUSTMENT: INVESTMENT TAX CREDIT ADJUSTMENT AOJUSTED EARNINGS ON COMMON STOCK ADJUSTED COMMON EOUITY AT YEAR-END ADJUSTED RETURN ON YEAR-ENO COMMON EQUITY SYIIIjT IDAES 2,001.810,,428 2,781,135,627 SYSYEI IDAHO September Allo€tions/Ratios @ 1,109,330 208 140 422 703 1,210,752,e11 762,4ri9,304 122,073,203 7,57'r,050 30,500,E23 56,176 65,218.600 (775,313) 9,91E,700 5.409.764 t.002.592.306 !q!g-r 95 0% roaHo % 10 11 12 DEVELOPMENTOF NET INCOME 13 11 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 21 25 26 27 2A 29 30 3l 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 3S 40 41 42 ACTUAL YEAR-END RESULTS - EEFORE ITC ADJUSTMENT 13 EARNINGSON COMMON STOCK11 COMMON EOUITYAT YEAR ENO RETAIL SALES REVENUES (lnci {49.1 Rev) OTHER OPERATING REVENUES TOTAL OPERATING REVENUES OPERATING EXPENSES OPERATION & MAINTENANCE EXPENSES DEPRECIATION EXPENSE AMORTIZATION OF LIMITEO TERM PLANT TAXES OTHER THAN INCOME REGULATORY OEBITS/CREOITS PROVISION FOR OEFERREO INCOME TAXES INVESTMENT TAX CREDIT ADJUSTMENT FEDEML INCOME TAXES STATE INCOME TAXES TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES OPERATING INCOME ADD: IERCOOPERATING INCOME OPERATING INCOME BEFORE OTHER INCOME & OEDUCTIONS AOO: AFUDC EQUITY ADO: OTHER INCoME AND DEDUCTIoNS INCOME BEFORE INTEREST CHARGES LESS: INTEREST CHARGES NET INCOME 852,279.026 812,821.840 DiectAssEn100,732.831 96 800,192 96.1% 953,0'11,E57 000.622,032 1,057,998,566 DirectAsson134.9,t0,560 96.1% 1,192,939,1 26 563,941,726 534,440,756 91 1 38,716 87,333,709 5.467.478 5 244.936 23242,609 21 610,259 42.132 046,297.181 44,562,002(524,128) (s02,605) 20,853,067 20 749,033 4.445,665 4,367,369 75.1.S04,,i49 717.E05.45E '198,10r,/t08 191,E'16,57,t1,A21,703 4,616 496 202,935.111 196,433.070 9,{.8% s5.E% 95.9% 93.0% 0.0% 96.3% 95.9% 99.5% 98.2% 722,582,911 1 16,976,6S3 7,262,886 24,111,508 0 62,771,262 o43,476) I,E{19,210 5,102,902 952.530.032 2,t0,3s9.1S4 6.111,022 246,8't0,2't 6 11,212,250 3,266,289 264,31E,755 77,313,549 187,005,206 187,(x)5,208 t,666,708,489 11.22Yo 91.8% 95.6% 95.0% 93.0% 0.0% 96.3% 95.S% 99.5% 9E2% 95.6% 97.2% ss.s% (L'r0) 07.2% (L 33) s5.9% (L 10) 95.9% (L10) 2,t7,160,605 ss 6% _______lI-93,!39_ 253,&r,a,e3,l 14,857,580 3,359,652 272,0E2.105 80,653,8,{5 't91,428,320 101.428,320 1 ,738,71 7.851 .t 1.01% 185.178.1S6 t73,E7't,785 tE2.505,374 45 46 17 4E 49 50 5l 52 53 54 55 56 57 56 59 60 6t 62 63 6,4 65 67 B8 69 70 71 72 737t t54,337,308 (L44' 9.5%) t66,670,Le (144 . 10%) 175,00,t,391 (14,(' 10.5%) (31,877 ,237' (L4E-143) / 0-9.5%) 155,327.969 r,635,031,252 9.50% PBpa.ed by: Kelley N@ on l-'14-'t,a Revi*ed by: _ ADDITIONAL tTC ADJUSTMENT (Anoualized) lf L 54 is negatiw, then 0; if positive, then smaller of L5,{ or t25,000,000 IOAHO RETURil Oil COIlrOil EAUIY (Lln.,aB) >109t IDAHO EARNINGS GREATER THAN IO% ROE BUT LESS THAN 10,5% IDAHO RETURN Ot{ COIilOI EQUITY (Lin.48) >10.5% INCREMENTAL IDAHO EARNINGS GREATER THAN 10,50% ROE *321211 0 9,259,4S2 (Ls0-149y0-10%) 13,408,731 (143-150)41-10.5%) ROE betwen'10%-10.5% -CUSTOMER SHARE - 50% (Reduc{ion to ratos) ROE between 10%-10.5% -COMPANY SHARE - 50% RoE greaterthan 10.5% (nqomental) - cusToMER SHARE - 75% (offset lo Pension balance) ROE grcaterthan 10.5% (n@ment.l) -coMPANY SHARE - 25%3,352,163 22.68.223 Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-14-05 T. 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