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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20130701Tom Harvey DI.pdfl-ir-, .ii'-rll!..-l.r.-i. i.-.J ?*:: -li:i 2;1 Fli l+: 0l+ !- r'. -'r i-"-: i -::,,t t--tr :'U I lr-i i i --.- L.,,-r -.,: i ,': !.. BEEORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILTTIES COMMISSION rN THE MATTER OE rDAHO POV{ER ) COMPANY' S APPLICATION EOR A ) CERTIFICATE OF PUBLIC CONVENIENCE ) CASE NO. IPC-E_13-16 AND NECESSITY EOR THE INVESTMENT )IN SELECTIVE CATALYTIC REDUCTION ) CoNTROLS ON JrM BRTDGER UNrTS 3 ) AND 4. ) ) IDAHO POWER COMPANY DIRECT TESTIMONY OF TOM HARVEY 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1t L2 13 L4 15 L6 L7 18 t9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 O. Pl-ease state your name and business address. A. My name is Tom Harvey and my business address is 7221 Illest Idaho Street, Boise, Idaho. O. By whom are you employed and in what capacity? A. f am employed by Idaho Power Company ("Idaho Power" or "Company") as the Joint Projects Manager. O. Please describe your educational- background. A. I have a Bachelor of Business Administration in business management from Boise State University. f also attended the Utility Executive Course in 2011. O. Please describe your work experJ-ence with Idaho Power. A. I was hired by Idaho Power in JuIy 1980 and worked in the Plant Accounting Department and continued working in the accounting area through 1985. Erom 1985 through 2009, I was the Fuels Management Coordlnator and then was promoted to my current position of Joint Projects Manager. o. matter? What is the purpose of your testimony in this A.The purpose of my testimony is to provide the Idaho Public Util-ities Commission with information regarding proposed capital investments in Sel-ective Catalytic Reduction ("SCR") emj-ssions control equipment for the Company's Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 in support of the HARVEY, DI 1 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 10 11 !2 13 t4 15 L6 L1 18 19 20 2t 22 23 24 25 Company's application for a Certificate of PubIic Convenience and Necessity (*CPCN") . O. addresses. Please summarize the topics your testimony A.My testimony describes the following: (1) the Jim Bridger power plant ("Jim Bridger Plant") and emission control projects, (2) the environmental regulations that ultimately directed the Company to instal1 the SCRs on Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4, (3) time frame of investments, (4) the economic analysis performed by the Company and the alternatives considered, and (5) pending environmental regulations. I. iIIM BRIDGER PIJAT{T AIID SCR PROJECT DETAIL O. Describe the Jim Bridger Plant and the operating features of Units 3 and 4. A.The Jlm Bridger Pl-ant consists of four coal-- fueled units which are two-thirds co-owned by PacifiCorp and one-third co-owned by Idaho Power. The Jim Bridger Plant is maintained and operated by PacifiCorp. Water for operation i-s conveyed approximately 40 miles through a pipeline originating at a diversion from the Green River. The Green Rj-ver water is supplemented by water delivered to the Jlm Bridger Plant from the adjacent Bridger CoaI Company. Unit 3 began commercial- operation in 7916 and Unit 4 foll-owed in 1,9'79. Unit 3 and Unit 4 have nominal HARVEY, DI 2 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 t2 13 L4 15 76 t7 18 t9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 net (or "net rel-iabl-e") generation capacities of 523 and 530 megawatts ("MW"), respectively, of which the corresponding Idaho Power one-third share j-s L7 4 MVI and 117 MW. Both units are configured with Al-stom .(formerly Combustion Engineering) controlled circulation, tangentially-fired, pulverized coal boilers and General Electric steam turbine-generators. Nominal- steam conditions are 2,400 pounds per square inch gauge pressure at 1r 000 degrees Eahrenheit at the turbine-generator throttl-e valve. Both units are configured with cl-osed loop circulating water cooling systems that include mechanical draft cooling towers and electrostatic precipitators. Unit 4 was originally equipped with a sodium-based wet FIue Gas Desul-furization ("EGD") system, and Unit 3 was retrofitted in 1985 with a sodium-based wet FGD system. The Jim Bridger Pl-ant is adjacent to Idaho Power's and PacifiCorp's co-owned BrJ-dger Coal- Company mine, which supplies approximately six million tons per year of sub- bituminous coal to the plant along a 2.A-mile 1ong, A2-inchr wide overl-and belt conveyor at a rate of approximately 1,500 tons per hour. Additionally, approximately 2 to 3 million tons per year of sub-bituminous coal are currently delivered to the Jim Bridger Plant from the Black Butte mine via rall. Coal- combustion residuals are disposed of on plant property j-n a sol-id waste landfill and a EGD waste HARVEY, DI 3 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 72 13 L4 15 L6 L'7 18 19 20 27 22 23 24 25 surface impoundment. The Jim Bridger Plant also utilizes evaporation ponds, which makes it effectively a "zero- dJ-scharge" facility. AIso, the Jim Bridger Plant currently employs approximately 350 personnel. O. Please describe the specific emissions control- investments planned for Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 for which the Company is seeking a CPCN. A.The Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 emj-ssions control investments proposed in this CPCN are SCR systems and associated ancil-lary equipment for each unit. Each SCR system would be comprised of two separate universal reactors, with multiple catalyst l-evels; inlet and outlet ductwork; a shared ammoni-a reagent system; an economizer upgrade; structural reinforcement of the boiler and flue gas path ductwork and equipment; and extension of the existing plant distributed control system. An induced draft fan upgrade and an associated auxiliary power system variable frequency drive insertion are requi-red on Unit 4 on1y. II. WTOMING AI{ID FEDERAI EIWIRONMENTAL REGT'LATIONS O. Please describe the primary environmental regulations requiring the install-ation of SCR for Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4. A. The installati-on of the SCRs for Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 are required to comply wj-th the Clean Air Act HARVEY, DI 4 ldaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 10 11_ L2 13 L4 15 t6 L7 r_8 L9 20 27 22 23 24 25 Regional Haze Rules and the resulting Wyoming Regional Haze State Implementation Plan ("Wyoming Regional Haze SIP"). O. Pl-ease describe the significance of the Regional Haze Rul-es. A. Through the 7917 amendments to the Clean Air Act, Congress set a national goal for visibility to remedy impairment from man-made emissions in 156 designated national parks and wilderness areas (Cl-ass I areas). This goal resul-ted in development of the Regional Haze Ru1es, adopted in 2005 by the United States Environmental Protection Agency ("EPA"). Under these regulations, states are required to develop strategies to reduce emissions that contrj-bute to regional haze and demonstrate "reasonabl-e progress" toward emissions reductions. o.Pl-ease describe the main requirements under the Regional Haze Rules. A.The Cl-ean Alr Act requires each state to develop plans to meet various air quality requj-rements, including protection of visibility. The plans developed by a state are referred to as State Implementation Plans (*SIP"). The state must submit its SIP to the EPA for approval and once it is approved, the SIP is enforceable by the EPA. 0. Pl-ease describe the function of a SIP under the Regional Haze Rules. HARVEY, DI 5 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 x 9 10 11 72 13 L4 15 76 t1 1B t9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 A. Regional Haze Rul-es SIPs must assure reasonable progress towards the national goal of achieving natural visibility conditions in Class I areas by the year 2064. The Clean Alr Act requires states to revise their SIPs to contain such measures as may be necessary to make reasonable progress towards the natura1 visj-bil-ity goa1, including a requirement that certain categori-es of existing major stationary sources permitted or buil-t between L962 and 7911 procure, install, and operate the "Best Availabl-e Retrofit Technology" ("BART") as determined by the state as the first phase. Under the Regional Haze Rufes, states are directed to conduct BART determinations for such "BART- ellgible" sources that may be anticipated to cause or contribute to any visibility impairment in a Class I area. In connection with the BART phase of the EPA's Regj-onal Haze Rul-es are the Reasonable Progress Goal-s (second phase), which wil-l- determine the "Long Term Strategy" Lo continue to reduce regional haze in these Class I areas. o. A. What must states consider in determining BART? In determinlng BART, states must consider the five statutory factors in section 169A of the Clean Air Act: (1) the costs of compliance, (2) the energy and non- air quality environmental impacts of compliance, (3) any existing pollution control technology in use at the source, (4) the remaining useful life of the source, and (5) the HARVEY, DI 6 Idaho Power Company 1_ 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 L2 13 L4 15 t6 t1 18 t9 20 27 22 23 24 25 degree of j-mprovement in visibility which may reasonably be anticipated to result from the use of such technology. o.Please describe the efforts taken to evaluate availabl-e emissions control- technologies for BART-eIigible sources. A.As part of the BART review of Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4, Idaho Power and PacifiCorp had CH2MHILL prepare an evaluation of several other technologies on their ability to economically achieve compliance and support an integrated approach to control criteria pollutants (e.g., sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxide ("NOx"), and particul-ate matter for the facility), if it were to continue to operate and to burn coal-. The "BART Analysis" for Units 3 and 4 are attached as Exhibit Nos. 1 and 2 Lo my testlmony, respectiveJ-y. The BART analyses reviewed avail-able retrofit emj-ssion control technol-ogies and thej-r associated performance and cost metrics. Each technology was reviewed against its ability to meet a presumptive BART emission limit based on technology and fuel- characteristics. The BART analyses outlined the avail-able emission control- technologies, the cost for each, and the projected improvement in visibility which can be expected by the installatj-on of the respective technology. For each unit or source subject to BART, the state environmental regulatory agencj-es identify the approprj-ate HARVEY, DI 7 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 t-1 L2 13 74 15 1,6 L1 1B 19 20 2t 22 23 24 25 control technology to achieve what the air quality regulators determine are cost-effecti-ve emission reductions. Wyoming's NOx BART determj-nation for Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 included the instal-l-ation of Iow NO* burners and overfire air ports. The 1ow NO" burners and overflre air ports were j-ncorporated into both the BART permits issued for the Jim Bridger Plant as wel-l- as the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP, and were subsequently instal-l-ed on aII four units. The SCRs are also incl-uded in the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP as part of the Long Term Strategy to meet the "Reasonable Progress Goal-s. " To comply wlth Wyoming Regional Haze SIP requirements, PacifiCorp has moved forward with its permitting and competitive procurement processes to specify, evaluate, and ultimately select the preferred provider for the projects. O. Pl-ease describe the EPA action on the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP on May 23, 2013, ds it relates to the instal-Iation of SCR on Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4. A.The EPA chose to approve and dj-sapprove portions of the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP in its "re- proposal" on May 23, 2013, with final- approval expected in November 2013. In its re-proposal, the EPA accepted the determination of Jim Bridger Units 1-4 as being BART- eligible and determined that low NO" burners and overfire air ports is BART. The EPA also proposed to approve HARVEY, DI 8 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 10 11 t2 13 L4 15 16 L7 18 1,9 20 27 22 23 24 25 Wyoming's determination of the Long Term Strategy of installing SCRs on Units 3 and 4 in 201,5 and 2016 and Units 2 and 1 in 202I and 2022, respectively. The EPA proposed approvj-ng the timel-ine for install-ation of the Jim Bridger power plant SCRs on Units 7-4, even though the EPA is seeking comment on an alternative proposal- to accelerate the Jim Bridger Units 1 and 2 SCR instal-l-ations. The EPA established NO, Iimlts for Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 at an SCR-based emissions limit of 0.07 \blMMBtu. III. TIME FRA}IE OF INVEST!{ENTS O. Does the Company need to make the j-nvestments for Jim Bridger Unj-ts 3 and 4 if it expects to continue operating these unj-ts? A.Yes. In order to comply with the requirements that are set forth in the BART Appeal Settl-ement Agreement and the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP, attached as Exhibit Nos. 3 and 4 of my testimony, it is necessary to instal-l- and operate the controls in question. The Company has an obligation to operate its facil-ities in compliance with its permit requirements and the applicable laws and regulations, as well as satisfy the Company's other statutory and regulatory requirements. Installing and operating the proposed emissions control equipment that allows the unj-ts to continue operating is the lowest cost HARVEY, DI 9 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 L2 13 L4 15 L6 L1 18 79 20 2L 22 23 24 25 and least risk option to meet all the applicabJ-e requirements, dS indicated by the Company's analyses, which I will discuss later in my testimony. O. Pl-ease explain the BART Appeal Settlement between PacifiCorp and State of Wyoming pertaining to the Jim Bridger Plant. A. PacifiCorp filed an appeal in 201-0 of certain BART permits in Wyoming, incl-udj-ng those requiring SCR for NO* emissions control on Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4. Vrlyomi-ng was the first state to make the determination that BART required the instal-Iation of SCR controls for NO" emissj-ons, and also to impose long-term strategy requirements for SCR in a BART permit. PacifiCorp disagreed with the determination that SCR was BART and asserted that Appendix Y of 40 Code of Federal Regulation Part 51 did not contemplate the install-ation of post-combustion controls l-ike SCR. The Company further disagreed that a long-term strategy requirement coul-d be incl-uded in a BART permit. o. A. Has this appeal been resolved? Yes. In November 2070, PacifiCorp settl-ed the Wyoming BART appeal to resol-ve the matter in a way that did not require more control-s and woul-d not impose additional- costs earl-j-er than originally proposed in the Wyoming Department of Environmental- Quality's ("Wyoming DEQ") BART permits. To provide maximum flexibility 1n the event that HARVEY, DI 10 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 1,2 13 74 15 t6 L1 18 L9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 other envlronmental requirements or uncertainties arose, PacifiCorp and the Wyoming DEQ included terms in the BART Appeal Settlement Agreement that woul-d address a modification if future changes in either federal or state requirements or technology wou1d material-1y alter the emi-ssions contro]s and rates that woul-d otherwise be required. A revised BART permit for the Jim Brj-dger Plant incorporating the terms of the settlement agreement was issued by the Wyoming DEQ on November 24, 201,0. a.By what date must Idaho Power and PacifiCorp instal-1 the emissions control equipment investments for Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4. A. The BART Appeal Settlement Agreement and the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP require the installation of SCR on Unit 3 by the end of 2075 and on Unit 4 by the end of 20L6. On May 23, 20L3, the EPA recommended approval of the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP for instal-l-ation of SCR on Jim Bridger Unj-ts 3 and 4 in 201,5 and 2016, respectively. The EPA has indicated it will sign a notice of final rulemaking on November 21, 20L3. This would make these emission reduction requirements at Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 f ederal-Iy enf orceable as well. o.Can instal-lation of emissions control HARVEY, DI 11 fdaho Power Company equipment be prudently deferred? 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 72 13 74 15 1,6 77 18 L9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 A.No. The Company, along with PacifiCorp, has been engaged in Regional Haze Rules compliance planning with the state of Wyoming since the promulgation of the Regional Haze Rul-es. During the initial 2003 to 2008 pJ-anning period, the Wyoming Department of Envj-ronmental- Quality Air Quality Division ("WDAQ") required detailed BART reviews to be conducted for the Jim Bridger Plant. It was the initial- expectation of the western states' Regional Haze program that individual states woul-d establish BART emission limits for BART eligible units and would require installation of appropriate control-s by 2013. As the majority owner and plant operator, PacifiCorp originally submitted these evaluations of its BART eligible facil-ities i-n Wyoming in January 2007, with revisions submitted in October 2007. Addenda to individual- facility BART reviews were developed in March 2008. WDAQ completed its final review of the BART evaluations and the associated permit applications and issued air quality permits (construction permits) for individual- emissions control- projects. WDAQ followed up by issuing BART permits for individual emissions control projects; the BART Appeal Settlement Agreement was executed in November 20L0, followed by j-ssuance of amendments to certaj-n BART permits j-n December 2070. Once complete, the emissions control HARVEY, DI L2 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 5 7 8 9 10 11 72 13 t4 15 t6 71 1B 1,9 20 2L 22 23 24 25 proj ects presented j-n the Company' s Application wil-l- satisfy its obligations in this regard. o.Do the timel-j-nes discussed above provlde a reasonable progression of evaluation, agency coordination, and decision making for the respective emissions control proj ects ? A.Yes. Emissions control projects of the types discussed above and included in this Application are extremely complex and requJ-re a significant amount of eval-uation and planning to bring to fruition. The permitting processes described above define the technical requirements necessary to move forward with establ-ishing competitive pricing for the work and ultimately executing the projects. The timeline for securing contracts for this type of work through project completion often has a multi- year duration. 0. Is waiting to install controls until al-l the environmental- regulations are considered, finalized, and quantified a feasible approach for the Company? A.No. The resulting delay would put the facil-ities at substantial risk of noncompliance. Emission reduction projects are complex, multi-year projects. Trying to install multiple controls, which are by themsel-ves generally multi-year projects, within the same short time frames poses a significant risk of noncompliance HARVEY, DI 13 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 10 11 t2 13 74 15 76 t7 18 19 20 27 22 23 24 25 with penalties that can be substantial. If the environmental upgrades are not installed within the time frame given by the EPA, Idaho Power would be forced to stop generating from these units. Unl-awfully operating the units j-n violation of federal and state regulations is not an option. Another factor making a delay in installation not a feasible approach is that the structure of the EPA and the nature of its rulemaking processes are not conducive to the agency producing coordinated air quality, waste, and water rul-es for the electricity sector; these rules address different issues through varying methods with different compliance time frames. Nonetheless, the Company undertakes efforts to ensure that the potential compliance requirements for al-I these rulemaking activities are understood and reflected in its plans, making decisions based on the best available information, and updating that information as additional details on requirements become available. O. Has a contract been signed to proceed with the instal-Iation of the SCRs for Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4? A. Yes. Because of the scope of the project and the extended period of time it takes to pIan, permit, engineer, procure, and construct SCR systems, the uncertainty of the final ruling from the EPA on approval of HARVEY, DI L4 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 5 7 8 9 10 11 t2 13 74 15 76 L7 1B L9 20 21, 22 23 24 25 the portion of the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP that addresses the SCRs at Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4, and the fact that the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP deadl-ines are legally binding, a Limited Notice to Proceed ("LNTP") was signed with the successful bidder on May 31, 201,3. The Company and PacifiCorp determined this to be a prudent approach that al-Iows for consideration of the Company's Application for a CPCN whil-e waiting for final approval of the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP by the EPA. The LNTP concept was also used to reduce the risk and upfront costs of a Ful-l- Notice to Proceed ("ENTP") until the final- ruling from the EPA is released, while ensuring the Engineering, Procurement, and Constructj-on ("EPC") contractor can meet the deadl-ines for instal-Iation as per the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP. The Company and PacifiCorp must make a decision on the ENTP prior to December 20L3. a. Please explain the bidding process that resulted in the EPC contract for installation of SCR on Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4. A. A competj-tive Request for Proposal ("RFP") process was undertaken by PacifiCorp, as operator of the Jim Bridger Plant, to establ-ish a l-east-cost EPC contract associated with the Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 SCR installations. With input from Idaho Power, PacifiCorp developed a REP package which included a detailed scope of HARVEY, DI 15 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 tr 6 7 I 9 10 11 L2 13 74 15 !6 77 18 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 work, performance based technical specifications, concept drawings, expected performance guarantees and commerci-al requirements. PacifiCorp developed a bid eval-uation matrix establishing sel-ection criteria which allowed for a bal-anced outcome for tradeoffs between cost, technical advantages, and commercial terms. Responses to the REP were evaluated with a number of rounds of additional information requests and clarifications. The results of this extensive evaluation resul-ted in a short l-ist of the two lowest-cost evaluated respondents that presented the best va1ue. PacifiCorp held further technical and commercial negotiations with the short-listed respondents. Based on these negotiations, the EPC contract was awarded to the respondent that the Company and PacifiCorp felt provided the best overall va1ue. IV. ECONOMIC A}IAIYSIS A}ID COMPLIA}ICE AITERNATI\IES o.Please describe the analysis the Company used t.o determine the cost-effectiveness of the SCR investment. A.The Company evaluated the cost-effectiveness of the SCR investment for Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 in the Coal Unit Environmental Investment Analysis ("CoaI Study") conducted for all four units at the Jim Bridger Plant in Wyoming and the two units at the North Valmy power pJ-ant in Nevada. The CoaI Study was undertaken in response to the Publ-ic Utility Commission of Oregon's directive in Order HARVEY, DI 1,6 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 Y 10 11 L2 13 L4 15 L6 L1 18 t9 20 2t 22 23 24 25 No. 12-1,77 and was filed with the Idaho Public Util-ities Commj-ssion in Eebruary 2073 as part of the Company's 2077 Integrated Resource Plan ("IRP") Update in Case No. IPC-E- 11- 11 . The methodology used j-n the Coal- Study examined future investments required for environmental compliance in existj-ng coal units. Those investments were then compared to the costs of two alternatj-ves: (1) replace such units with combined-cycIe combustion turbines ("CCCT") or (2) convert the existing coal--fired units to natural gas. Eor the complete evaluation, Idaho Power used a combination of third-party analysis, input from the operating partners of each coal plant, and a final economic dj-spatch analysis conducted by the Company to assure a complete and fair assessment of the alternatives. O. A. Please provide an overview of the Coal Study. The Coal Study consi-sts of two parts. The first part of the analysis is a unj-t specific forecasted (static) annual generation analysis performed by Science Applications International- Corporation (*SAIC"). A copy of the confidential final report by SAIC i-s provided as Exhibit No. 5 to my testimony. The second part of the Coal- Study was an economj-caIIy dispatched (dynamic) total portfolio resource cost analysis performed by Idaho Power incorporating HARVEY, DI 71 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 10 11 t2 13 t4 15 16 71 18 19 20 2t 22 23 24 25 portions of the SAIC study resul-ts. A copy of that report is provided as Exhibit No. 6 to my testimony. O. What were the objectives of the analysis conducted by SAIC? A. Specifically, Idaho Power had the following objectives for the SAIC analysis: o Review the Company's assumptions regarding the capital costs of the proposed environmental compliance upgrades; o Review of the Company's assumptions regarding the variable costs of the proposed environmental compliance upgrades and replacement capacity; o Develop estimates of the costs for each unit going forward, incl-uding total costs reflectlng environmental compliance upgrade investments as weII as total replacement costs; and o Provide conclusions as to the economic feasibility of the environmental- compliance upgrades and ret j-rement option. Idaho Power's prj-mary goal for the SAIC study was to obtaj-n specific direction regarding upgrading each of the units at the North Valmy and Jim Bridger power plants. SAIC used extensive forecast and operational data provlded by the Company for each of the units to compile a comprehensive analysis of each option's total cost for the HARVEY, DI 18 Idaho Power Company 1 duratj-on of the study period. These costs were then 2 compared to other options for each unit on a net present 3 value basis. 4 Q. What were the results of the SAIC analysis for 5 Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4? 6 A. AII Jim Bridger Pl-ant units were examined for 7 the same three scenarios: (1) upgrade (install SCR), (2) 8 natural- gas conversion (SCR not instal-Ied) , and (3) 9 retire/replace with CCCT (SCR not installed). Each of 10 these three scenarios was evaluated under nine different 11 20-year annual generation forecasts. The nine generation 12 forecasts correspond to the impacts of varying natural gas 13 prices (1ow case, planning case, and high case) as well as 1,4 future carbon regulation compliance costs (low case, 15 planning case, and high case). 76 The planning case (planning case carbon/planning 77 case natural gas) resul-ts for both Jim Bridger Units 3 and 18 4 indicate that the cumul-ative net present value power L9 costs assocj-ated with the upgrade option is the least cost 20 option. As shown in Eigure 3 on page 15 of Exhibit No. 6, 21, the cumulative present value power costs assocj-ated with 22 the upgrade option for Unit 3 is $371 mil-Iion l-ower than 23 the next l-east-cost compliance al-ternati-ve. The results 24 for the Unit 4 upgrade option are $332 million lower than 25 the next least-cost compliance alternative. HARVEY, DI 19 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 't 8 9 10 11 T2 13 L4 15 L6 L7 18 19 20 27 22 23 24 25 O. How did the Company use the SAIC resul-ts the second part of the Coal Study, the dynamic portion the comprehensive analysis? A.The CoaI Study performed by Idaho Power utilized the AURORAxmp@ model ("AURORA" or "Aurora Mode]") to determine the total- portfolio cost of each investment alternative analyzed by SAIC. AURORA applies economic assumptions and dispatch cost simul-ations to model the relationships between generation, transmission, and demand to forecast future electric market prices. AURORA is Idaho Power's primary tool used to simul-ate the economic performance of different resource portfolios evaluated in the IRP process. The Company used the simul-ated operational- performance of each investment alternative relative to the existing resource under varying future natural gas prj-ce forecasts and carbon adder assumptions. The Net Present Value (*NPV") total- portfolio cost was cal-cul-ated over a 20-year planning hori-zon (2073 through 2032). The fixed costs used by SAIC were incorporated into ofthe Idaho Power study. SAIC reviewed the fixed costs each investment alternative and scheduled the costs annually for the various investment alternatives for 20-year study period. These annual costs included environmental- capital investments, ongoing capital the HARVEY, DI 20 Idaho Power Company l_n of 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 I 9 10 11 72 13 t4 15 16 L7 18 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 expenditures, unit replacement capital, and the fixed operations and maintenance costs for the specific unit configuration. The Company's analysis combined the NPV of the fixed costs from the SAIC model with the NPV of the 20- year AURORA generated total- portfolio costs to form the basis for the quantitative evaluation of the investment al-ternatives. O. Why is the Aurora Model an appropriate tool for anal-yz:-ng incremental environmental investments required for coal resources? A. The Aurora Model is the appropriate modeling tool- when evaluating capital investment decisions and alternatives to those investments that might include early retirement and replacement or conversion of assets to natura1 gas because it j-s capable of determining capacity and energy cost tradeoffs between investment alternatives. The Aurora Model- captures the operating and energy market cost implications of prospective investment decisions by evaluating total portfolio power costs over the 2l-year study period. When the AURORA costs are coupled with the capital costs for the 20-year period, a comprehensive total cost for an i-nvestment alternative is avail-abl-e for comparison under varying forecasted future scenarios. O.What conclusions did the Company derive from HARVEY, Dr 2L Idaho Power Company the Coal Study? 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 Y 10 11 !2 13 74 15 16 ].'t 18 79 20 2L 22 23 24 25 o. A.The planning case (planning case carbon/planning case natural gas) results for both Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 indicate that the cumulative net present value power costs associated with the upgrade option is the least cost option. The NPV of the total portfolio costs under the planning case for Unit 3 is $254 million less than the next least-cost compliance alternative. The resul-ts are similar for Unit 4 and are $237 mil-lion less than the next least-cost compliance al-ternative. Eigure 4 on page 76 of Exhibit No. 6 summarizes the results from the Idaho Power analysis. Has the Company applied least-cost, risk adjusted principles to the selection of its emissions control investments? A. Yes. The analysis performed and described above demonstrate application of least-cost, risk adjusted principles by the Company in support of its request for CPCN approval of the Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 emj-ssions control investments. o.Did PacifiCorp perform a similar analysis for the SCR upgrade at Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4? A.Yes. PacifiCorp performed an in-depth economic analysis that was used to support 1ts application for a CPCN in the state of Wyoming related to the SCR investments for Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 as well as a HARVEY, DI 22 Idaho Power Company l_ 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 72 13 L4 15 t6 77 18 19 20 2L 22 23 24 25 "voluntary request for approval of resource decj-sion to construct SCRs on Jim Bri-dger Units 3 and 4" in the state of Utah. PacifiCorp's economic analysis calcul-ates a present value revenue requirement differential (*PVRR(d) ") of the SCR investments at Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 as compared to a number of compliance al-ternat j-ves. The PVRR (d) calculated under each scenario was favorable to the SCR and other incremental environmental investments required to contj-nue operating Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 as coal-fueled assets. O. Have PacifiCorp's applications to install the SCRs received approval from the public util-ity commissions in Utah and Wyoming? A.Yes. As described in more detail by Michael J. Youngblood in his direct testi-mony and in the documents themsel-ves found as Attachments 2 and 3 to the Company's ApplicatJ-on, PacifiCorp received orders in both Utah and Wyoming approving the install-ation of the SCRs at Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4. V. PEIIDING REGI'I,ATIONS O. Have emerging environmental regulations been factored into the eva.l-uation of Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 emissions control investments? A. Yes. As descri-bed in more detail within the Coal Study, the Company considered the following HARVEY, DI 23 Tdaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 q 6 7 I 9 10 11 L2 13 74 15 1,6 7't 18 79 20 2t 22 23 24 25 envi-ronmental regulations in its analysis: Mercury and Air Toxi-c Standards RuIe ("MATS"), proposed National Ambient Air Quality Standards, proposed Clean Water Act 316 (b) water j-ntake rulemaking, greenhouse gas (COz) emj-ssj-ons, and coal- combustion residual-s regulation. o.What impact did the pending environmental regulations have on the analysis? A.Based on the Company's evaluation of the emerging regulatj-ons, the Company's Jim Bridger Plant will- require additional- investment in environmental- control- technology to comply with the MATS regulations with a projected completion date of 2075. The anticipated investments related to the MATS regulations were included in the CoaI Study and were determined to be cost-effective. However, those specific investments are not within the scope of this CPCN request. o.Is the Company obligated to install emissions controls required by state permi-ts, regardless of whether the EPA finally approves of the Wyoming Regional- Haze SIP? A.Yes. The BART Appeal Settlement Agreement and construction permits issued by the state of Wyoming for the instal-l-ation of SCR include stand-alone requirements enforceable by the laws of the state of WyomJ-ng. These requirements are enforceabl-e independent of whether EPA has approved the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP. NotwithstandJ-ng HARVEY, DI 24 Idaho Power Company I the underJ-ying state requirements, the EPA has proposed to 2 approve the installation of the SCR control-s, which would 3 also make the obligation federal-Iy enforceable upon final 4 approval-. 5 Q. Does the Company bel-ieve that any of the 6 planned emissions control equipment will not be necessary 7 as a result of future environmental requirements? I A. No. The Company does not anticipate that 9 environmental regulations wil-I become less stringent and 10 history demonstrates that regulations become more stringent 11 over time. Idaho Power's CoaI Study evaluates reasonably L2 anticipated environmental compliance requirements and the l-3 results of the Coal- Study show the continued operation of L4 Jim Bridger Units 3 and 4 to be the l-owest cost option. 15 O. What process is in place to explore ongoing 16 investment in the Company's coal- units? L7 A. The Company's existing IRP process conducted 18 for Idaho and Oregon provides the forum to analyze and 79 address ongoing investment in the Company's coal units 20 versus alternatives including retj-rement, replacement, and 2l natural gas conversj-on. The Company's 2073 IRP analysis is 22 described in more detail by Mr. Youngblood and is incl-uded 23 as Attachment 4 to the Company's Application. 24 25 HARVEY, DI 25 Idaho Power Company I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 t2 13 !4 15 76 77 18 19 20 27 22 23 24 25 this case is required to comply with current federal and state envj-ronmental regulations. The economic analysis performed by the Company demonstrates that installing the SCRs is the least-cost option and the installation of the SCRs a1lows for the continued operation of a low-cost coal- fired generation facility, while achi-eving significant environmental improvements . o. A. o. A. vr. coNclusroN Please summarize your testimony. The emissions control- equipment presented in Does that conclude your testimony? Yes, it does. HARVEY, DI 26 Idaho Power Company 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 I 9 10 11 72 13 t4 15 16 77 18 79 20 2! 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 STATE OE County of IDAHO ) ) Ada ) AETESTATION OF TESTIIONY SS. I, Tom Harvey, having been duly sworn to testify truthfully, and based upon my personal knowledge, state the following: f am employed by fdaho Power Company as the Joint Projects Manager in the Power Supply Department and am competent to be a witness in this proceeding. I declare under penalty of perjury of the l-aws of the state of Idaho that the foregoi-ng pre-fiIed testimony and exhibits are true and correct to the best of my information and belief. DATED this 28th day of June 2013. 4^n-^n*-^ Tom Harvey AND SWORN to before me this 28th day ofSUBSCRIBED June 201,3. HARVEY, DI 21 Idaho Power Company No-tary Pub1ic f Idaho Residing at: expr-reMy commj-ssion BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION GASE NO. IPG.E.I3.16 IDAHO POWER COMPANY HARVEY, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO. 1 Final Rrport BART Analysis for Iim Bridger Unit 3 Prepared For: PacifiCorp 1407 West North Temple Salt Lake City, Utah 84116 December 2007 Prepared By: GH21UIHILL 215 South State Street, Suite 1000 Salt Lake City, Utah 84111 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 of97 F inal Rrp or t BART Analysis for Iim Bridger Unit 3 Submitted to PacifiCorp December 2007 GH2lvlHILL Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 2 of 97 Executive Summary Background In response to the Regional Haze Rule and Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) regulations and guidelines, CH2M HILL was requested to perform a BART analysis for PacifiCorp's Jim Bridger Unit 3 (hereafter referred to as Jim Bridger 3). Best Available Retrofit Technology analysis has been conducted for the following criteria pollutants: nitrogen oxide (NO*), sulfur dioxide (SOz), and particulate matter less than l0 micrometers in aerodynamic diameter (PMro).The Jim Bridger Station consists of four 530 megawatt (MW) units with a total generating capacity of 2,120 MW. Because the total generating capacity of the Jim Bridger Station exceeds 750 MW, presumptive BART emission limits apply to Jim Bridger 3, based on the United States Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) guidelines. BART emissions limits must be achieved within five years after the State Implementation Plan (SIP) is approved by the EPA. A compliance date of 2014 was assumed for this analysis. ln completing the BART analysis, technology alternatives were investigated and potential reductions in NO*, SOz, and PM16 emissions rates were identified. The following technology alternatives were investigated, listed below by pollutant: o NO, emission controls: Low-NO* burners (LNB) with over-fire air (OFA) Rotating opposed fire air (ROFA) LNB with selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR) system LNB with selective catalytic reduction (SCR) system o SOz emission controls: Optimize current operation of existing wet sodium flue gas desulfurization (FGD) system Upgrade wet sodium FGD system to achieve an SOz emission rate of 0.10 lb per MMBtu New dry FGD system o PMro emission controls: Sulfur trioxide (SO3) injection flue gas conditioning system on existing electrostatic precipitator (ESP) Polishing fabric filter Exhibit No. 1 -^Case No. IPG-E-13-16 ES-l T. Harvey, IPC Page 3 of 97 JMS EY1 ()2OO7OOl SLC\BART_JB3_OCI2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 BART Engineering Analysis The specific steps in a BART engineering analysis are identified in the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) at 40 CFR 5l Appendix Y, Section IV. The evaluation must include: . The identification of available, technically feasible, retrofit control options o Consideration of any pollution control equipment in use at the source (which affects the availability of options and their impacts) . The costs of compliance with the control options o The remaining useful life of the facility o The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance o The degree of visibility improvement that may reasonably be anticipated from the use of BART The following steps are incorporated into the BART analysis: . Step I - Identifu All Available Retrofit ControlTechnologies . Step 2 - Eliminate Technically Infeasible Options The identification of available, technically feasible, retrofit control options Consideration of any pollution control equipment in use at the source (which affects the applicability of options and their impacts) . Step 3 - Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Control Technologies . Step 4 - Evaluate Impacts and Document the Results The costs of compliance with the control options The remaining useful life of the facility The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance o Step 5 - Evaluate Visibility Impacts The degree of visibility improvement that may reasonably be anticipated from the use ofBART Separate analyses have been conducted for NO*, SOz, and PMro emissions. All costs included in the BART analyses are in 2006 dollars, and costs have not been escalated to the assumed 2014 BART implementation date. Coal Characteristics The main source of coal burned at Jim Bridger 3 will be the Bridger Underground Mine. Secondary sources are the Bridger Surface Mine, the Bridger Highwall Mine, the Black Butte Mine, and the Leucite Hills Mine. These coals are ranked as sub-bituminous, but are closer in characteristics to bituminous coal in many of the parameters influencing NO* formation. These coals have higher nitrogen content than coals from the Powder River Basin (PRB), Exhibit No. 1 -^,Cr"" rtro fPC-E-1 3-16 ES-2 T. Harvey, IPC Page 4 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7()O1 SLC\BART-JB3-OCT2OOT.FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 which represent the bulk of sub-bituminous coal use in the U.S. This BART analysis has considered the higher nitrogen content and different combustion characteristics of PRB coals, as compared to those coals used at Jim Bridger 3, and has evaluated the effect of these qualities on NO* formation and achievable emission rates. Recommendations CH2M HILL recommends these BART selections, which include installing low NO* burners with over-fire air, upgrading the existing FGD system, and operating the existing electrostatic precipitator with an SOr flue gas conditioning system. This combination of control devices is identified as Scenario I throughout this report. NO, Emission Control The BART presumptive NO* limit assigned by EPA for tangentially-fired boilers burning sub-bituminous coal is 0.15 lb per MMBtu. However, as documented in this analysis, the characteristics of the Jim Bridger coals are more closely aligned with bituminous coals, with a presumptive BART NO* limit of 0.28 lb per MMBtu. CH2M HILL recommends low-NO* burners with over-fire air (LNB with OFA) as BART for Jim Bridger 3, based on the projected significant reduction in NO* emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of no additional power requirements or non-air quality environmental impacts. NO* reductions are expected to be similar to those realized at Jim Bridger 2. CH2M HILL recommends that the unit be permitted at a rate of 0.26Ib per MMBtu. SOz Emission Control CH2M HILL recommends upgrading the existing wet sodium FGD system as BART for Jim Bridger 3, based on the significant reduction in SOz emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of minimal additional power requirements and minimal non-air quality environmental impacts. This upgrade approach will meet the BART presumptive SOz limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. PMro Emission Control CH2M HILL recommends finalizing the permitting of the flue gas conditioning system to enhance the performance of the existing ESP as BART for Jim Bridger 3, based on the significant reduction in PMro emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of minimal additional power requirements and no non-air quality environmental impacts. BART Modeling Analysis CH2M HILL used the CALPUFF modeling system to assess the visibility impacts ot emissions from Jim Bridger 3 at Class I areas. The Class I areas potentially affected are located more than 50 kilometers, but less than 300 kilometers, from the Jim Bridger Plant. ExhibitNo._1_ _ _Fs_3Case No. IPC-E-13-16'"- T. Harvey, IPC Page 5 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7()O1 SLC\BART-JB3_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 The Class I areas include the following wildemess areas (WAs): . Bridger WA. Fitzpatrick WA. Mt. Zirkel WA Because Jim Bridger 3 will simultaneously control NO*, SOz, and PMlp emissions, four post-control atmospheric dispersion modeling scenarios were developed to cover the range of effectiveness for combining the individual NO*, SO2, and PMro control technologies under evaluation. These modeling scenarios, and the controls assumed, are as follows: . Scenario 1: New LNB with OFA modifications, upgraded wet FGD system, and flue gas conditioning for enhanced ESP performance. As indicated previously, this scenario represents CH2M HILL HILL's preliminary BART recommendation. . Scenario 2: New LNB with OFA modifications, upgraded wet FGD system, and new polishing fabric fi lter. . Scenario 3: New LNB with OFA modifications and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system, and flue gas conditioning for enhanced ESP performance. . Scenario 4: New LNB with OFA modifications and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system, and new polishing fabric filter. Visibility improvements for all emission control scenarios were analyzed, and the results were compared utilizing a least-cost envelope, as outlined in the New Source Review Workshop Manual.l Least-cost Envelope Analysis EPA has adopted the least-cost envelope analysis methodology as an accepted methodology for selecting the most reasonable, cost-effective controls. Incremental cost-effectiveness comparisons focus on annualized cost and emission reduction differences between dominant alternatives. The dominant set of control alternatives is determined by generating what is called the envelope of least-cost alternatives. This is a graphical plot of total annualized costs for total emissions reductions for all control alternatives identified in the BART analysis. To evaluate the impacts of the modeled control scenarios on the three Class I areas, the total annualized cost, cost per deciview (dV) reduction, and cost per reduction in number of days above 0.5 dV were analyzed. This report provides a comparison of the average incremental costs between relevant scenarios for the three Class I areas; the total annualized cost versus number of days above 0.5 dV, and the total annualized cost versus 986 percentile delta- deciview (AdV) reduction. Results of the least-cost envelope analysis validate the selection of Scenario l, based on incremental cost and visibility improvements. Scenario 2 (LNB with OFA, upgraded wet FGD, and polishing fabric filter) is eliminated, because it is to the left of the curve formed by the dominant control altemative scenario, which indicates a scenario with lower 1 epA, t990. New Source Review Wo*shop Manual. Draft. Environmental Protection Agency. October, 1990. Exhibit No. I Case No. IPC-E-1 3-16 ES-4 T. Harvey, IPC Page 6 of 97 JMS EYlO2()OTOOlSLC\BART-JB3-OCI2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 improvement and/or higher costs. Scenario 3 (LNB with OFA and SCR, upgraded wet FGD, and flue gas conditioning for enhanced ESP performance) is not selected due to very high incremental costs, on the basis of both a cost per day of improvement and cost per dV reduction. While Scenario 4 (LNB with OFA and SCR, upgraded wet FGD, and polishing fabric filter) provides some potential visibility advantage over Scenario l, the projected improvement is less than half a dV, and the projected costs are excessive. Therefore, Scenario 1 represents BART for Jim Bridger 3. Just-Noticeable Differences in Atmospheric Haze Studies have been conducted that demonstrate only dV differences of approximately 2.0 dV or more are perceptible by the human eye. Deciview changes of less than 1.5 cannot be distinguished by the average person. Therefore, the modeling analysis results indicate that only minimal,if any, observable visibility improvements at the Class I areas studied would be expected under any of the control scenarios. Thus, the results indicate that only minimal discernable visibility improvements may result, even though PacifiCorp will be spending many millions of dollars at this single unit, and over a billion dollars when considering its entire fleet of coal-fired power plants. ExhibitNo-1 _._._ES_5Case No. IPC-E-13-16-" T. Harvey, IPC Page 7 of 97 JMS EY1 O2O()7()O1 SLC\BART_JB3_OCI2OO7-FINAL.DOC Contents 1.0 2.0 3.0 Introduction................ ............ 1-1 Present Unit Operation............ .................2-1 BART Engineering Analysis. ...................3-13.1 Applicability ...............3-l3.2 BART Process ............3-l3.2.1 BART NO* AnaIysis............... ..........3-23.2.2 BART SO2 Ana1ysis................ ........3-143.2.3 BART PM16 Ana1ysis.............. ........3-17 BART Modeling Analysis.... .....................4-14.1 Model Selection.... ......4-l4.2 CALMET Methodology................ ...................4-l4.2.1 Dimensions of the Modeling Domain ..................4-l4.2.2 CALMET Input Data.. ....4-44.2.3 Validation of CALMET Wind Field.......... ..........4-64.3 CALPUFF Modeling Approach ....4-64.3.1 Background Ozone and Ammonia............... ........4-64.3.2 Stack Parameters .......... .....................4-64.3.3 Emission Rates......... ......4-74.3.4 Post-control Scenarios. ......................4-74.3.5 Modeling Process ...........4-84.3.6 Receptor Grids.......... ......4-84.4 CALPOST ................4-104.5 Presentation of Modeling Results....... ............4-l I4.5.1 Visibility Changes for Baseline vs. Preferred Scenario........4-l I Preliminary Assessment and Recommendations.............. ...........5-15.1 Least-cost Envelope Analysis .......5-15.1.1 Analysis Methodology ................ ...... 5-l5.1.2 Analysis Results .............5-95.2 Recommendations ......5-95.2.1 NO, Emission Control. ......................5-95.2.2 SOz Emission Control ....5-95.2.3 PMro Emission Control .....................5-95.3 Just-Noticeable Differences in Atmospheric Haze ...........5-10References ............ Gl Exhibit No. I ... Case No. IPC-E-13-'lh T. Harvey, IPC Page I of97 4.0 5.0 6.0 P:\PAClFlCORn348295BART\DAVEJOHNSTON3_FINALSUBMITTAL\BART_JB3_OCT2007_FINAL.DOC CONTENTS (CONTINUED) Tables2-l Unit Operation and Study Assumptions 2-2 Coal Sources and Characteristics 3-l CoalCharacteristicsComparison3-2 NO* Control Technology Projected Emission Rates 3-3 NO" Control Cost Comparison 3-4 SOz Control Technology Emission Rates 3-5 SOz Control Cost Comparison (lncremental to Existing FGD System) 3-6 PMro Control Technology Emission Rates 3-7 PMro Control Cost Comparison (lncremental to Existing ESP) 4-l User-specified CALMET Options 4-2 BART Model Input Data4-3 Average Natural Levels of Aerosol Components 4-4 Costs and Visibility Modeling Results for Baseline vs. Post-Control Scenarios at Class I Areas 5- I Control Scenario Results for the Bridger Class I Wilderness Area 5-2 Control Scenario Results for the Fitzpatrick Class I Wilderness Area5-3 Control Scenario Results for the Mt. Zirkel Class 1 Wilderness Area5-4 Bridger Class I Wilderness Area Incremental Analysis Data 5-5 Fitzpatrick Class I Wilderness Area IncrementalAnalysis Data 5-6 Mt. Zirkel Class I Wilderness Area Incremental Analysis Data Figures3-l Illustration of the Effect of Agglomeration on the Speed of Coal Combustion3-2 Plot of Typical Nitrogen Content of Various Coals and Applicable Presumptive BART NO* Limits3-3 Plot of Typical Oxygen Content of Various Coals and Applicable Presumptive BART NO* Limits3-4 First Year Control Cost for NO* Air Pollution Control Options3-5 First Year Control Cost for PM Air Pollution Control Options4-l Jim Bridger Source-Specific Class I Areas to be Addressed4-2 Surface and Upper Air Stations Used in the Jim Bridger BART Analysis5-l Least-cost Envelope Bridger Class I WA Days Reduction5-2 Least-cost Envelope Bridger Class I WA 98th Percentile Reduction5-3 Least-cost Envelope Fitzpatrick Class I WA Days Reduction5-4 Least-cost Envelope Fitzpatrick Class I WA 98th Percentile Reduction5-5 Least-cost Envelope Mt. ZirkelClass I WA Days Reduction5-6 Least-cost Envelope Mt. ZirkelClass I WA 98th Percentile Reduction AppendicesA Economic Analysis B 2006 Wyoming BART Protocol Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-1b T. Harvey, IPC Page 9 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OOTOOlSLC\BART_J83-OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC Acronyms and Abbreviations oF Degree Fahrenheit BACT Best Available Control Technology BART Best Available Retrofit Technology CALDESK Program to Display Data and Results CALMET Meteorological Data Preprocessing Program for CALPUFF CALPOST Post-processing Program for Calculating Visibility Impacts CALPUFF GaussianPuffDispersionModel COHPAC Compact Hybrid Particulate Collector dV Deciview AdV Delta Deciview, Change in Deciview DEQ Department of Environmental Quality ESP Electrostatic Precipitator EPA United States Environmental Protection Agency FGC Flue Gas Conditioning FGD Flue Gas Desulfurization kW Kilowatt kW-Hr Kilowatt-hour LNB Low-NO* Burner lb Pound MMBtU Million British Thermal Units MM5 Mesoscale Meteorological Model, Version 5 MW Megawatts NO* Nitrogen Oxides OFA Over Fire Air PM Particulate Matter PMz.s Particulate Matter less than 2.5 Micrometers in Aerodynamic Diameter PMro Particulate Matter less than l0 Micrometers in Aerodynamic Diameter PRB Powder River Basin ROFA Rotating Opposed Fire Air S&L Sargent & Lundy SCR Selective Catalytic Reduction SIP State Implementation Plan Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 10of97 JMS EY1O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JBs.OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC ACRONYMS ANO ASBREVIATIONS (CO,ITINUED) SNCR Selective Non-catalytic Reduction SOz Sulfur Dioxide SO: Sulfur Trioxide USGS U.S. Geological Survey WA Wilderness Area WDEQ-AQD Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality -Air Quality Division Exhibit No. 1 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,IPC Page 11 of97 JMS EYlO2()OTOOlSLC\BART-JB3-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC 1.0 lntroduction Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) guidelines were established as a result of United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) regulations intended to reduce the occurrence of regional haze in national parks and other Class I protected air quality areas in the United States (40 CFR Part 5l). These guidelines provide guidance for states when determining which facilities must install additional controls, and the type of controls that must be used. Facilities eligible for BART installation were built between 1962 and 1977, and have the potential to emit more than 250 tons per year of visibility-impairing pollutants. The Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) BART regulations state that each source subject to BART must submit a BART application for a construction permit by December 15,2006. PacifiCorp received an extension from the Wyoming DEQ to submit the BART report for Jim Bridger Unit 3 (hereafter referred to as Jim Bridger 3) by January 12, 2007.The BART Report that was submitted to WDEQ in January 2007 included a BART analysis, and a proposal and justification for BART at the source. This revised report- submitted in October 2O07-incorporates editorial revisions and new model runs since the January 2007 version. The State of Wyoming has identified those eligible, in-state facilities that are required to reduce emissions under BART, and will set BART emissions limits for those facilities. This information will be included in the State of Wyoming State Implementation Plan (SIP), which the State has estimated will be formally submitted to the EPA by early 2008. The EPA BART guidelines also state that the BART emission limits must be fully implemented within 5 years of EPA's approval of the SIP. Five elements related to BART address the issue of emissions for the identified facilities: . Any existing pollution control technology in use at the sourceo The cost of the controlso The remaining useful life of the sourceo The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance. The degree of improvement in visibility that may reasonably be anticipated from the use ofsuch technology This report documents the BART analysis that was performed on Jim Bridger 3 by CH2M HILL for PacifiCorp. The analysis was performed for the pollutants nitrogen oxide (NO*), sulfur dioxide (SOz), and particulate matter less than l0 micrometers in aerodynamic diameter (PMro), because they are the primary criteria pollutants that affect visibility. Section 2 of this report provides a description of the present unit operation, including a discussion of coal sources and characteristics. The BART Engineering Analysis is provided in Section 3, by pollutant type. Section 4 provides the methodology and results of the BART Modeling Analysis, followed by recommendations in Section 5. References are provided in Section 6. Appendices provide more detail on the economic analysis and the 2006 Wyoming BART Protocol. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 1-1 T. Harvey, IPC Page 12 ot 97 JMS EY1 O2O()7()O1 SIC\BART_JB3_OCT2()O7_FINAL.DOC 2.0 Present Unit Operation The Jim Bridger Station consists of four units with a total generating capacity of 2,120 megawatts (MW). Jim Bridger 3 is a nominal 530 net MW unit located approximately 35 miles northeast of Rock Springs, Wyoming. It is equipped with a tangentially fired pulverized coal boiler with low NO* burners manufactured by Combustion Engineering. The unit was constructed with a Flakt wire frame electrostatic precipitator (ESP). The unit contains a Babcock & Wilcox wet sodium flue gas desulfurization (FGD) system with three absorber towers installed in 1988. An Emerson Ovation distributed control system (DCS) was installed in 2003. Jim Bridger 3 was placed in service in 1976.lts current economic depreciation life is through 2040; however, this analysis is based on a2D-year life for BART control technologies. Assuming a BART implementation date of 2014, this will result in an approximate remaining useful life for Jim Bridger 3 of 20 years from the installation date of any new or modified BART-related equipment. This report does not attempt to quantifu any additional life extension costs needed to allow the unit and these control devices at Jim Bridger 3 to operate until2040. Table 2-l lists additional unit information and study assumptions for this analysis. The BART presumptive NO* limit for tangential-fired boilers burning sub-bituminous coal is 0.15 lb per MMBtu and the BART presumptive NO* limit for burning bituminous coal is 0.28 lb per MMBtu. The main sources of coal burned at Jim Bridger 3 are the Bridger Mine and secondarily the Black Butte Mine and Leucite Hills Mine. These coals are ranked as sub-bituminous, but are closer in characteristics to bituminous coal in many of the parameters influencing NO* formation. These coals have higher nitrogen content than coals from the Powder River Basin (PRB), which represent the bulk of sub-bituminous coal use in the U.S. This BART analysis has considered the higher nitrogen content and the different combustion characteristics of PRB coals, as compared to those coals used at Jim Bridger 3, and has evaluated the effect of these qualities on NO*formation and achievable emission rates. Coal sources and characteristics are summarized in Table 2-2.The primary source of coal will be the Bridger Underground Mine, and data on coal from this source were used in the modeling analysis. For the coal analysis that is presented in Section 3.2.l,the data from all the coal sources were used. Exhibit No. 1 ^.Case No. IPC-E-13-16 '-' T. Harvey, IPC Page 13 of97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO.I SLC\BART_JB3-OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 TABLE 2.1 Unit Operation and Study Assumptions Jin Bridger 3 General Plant Data Site Elevation feet above MSL Stack Height (feet) Stack Exit lnternal Diameter (feet) /Exit Area (square feet) Stack Exit Temperature (degrees Fahrenheit) Stack Exit Velocity (feet per second) Stack Flow (actual cubic feet per minute) Latitude (degree: minute: second) Longitude (degree: minute: second) Annual Unit Capacity Factor (percentage) Net Unit Output (megawatts) Net Unit Heat Rate (British thermal unit [Btu]/kilowatt- hour)(100% load) Boiler Heat lnput (million British thermal units [MMBtu] per hour)(100% load) Type of Boiler Boiler Fuel Coal Sources Coal Heating Value (Btu/ per pound [b])(") Coal Sulfur Content (percentage by weight twt. %]) c) Coal Ash Content (wt. %)(") Coal Moisture Content (wt. 7of"l Coal Nitrogen Content (wt. %)(4 Current Nitrogen Oxide (NO") Controls NO* Emission Rate (lb per MMBtu) Current Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) Controls SOz Emission Rate (lb per MMBtu) Current PMro Controls PMro(c) Emission Rate (lb per MMBtu)(b) 6669 500 241452.4 140 84.04 2,281,182 41:44:18.54 north 108:47:12.82 west 90 530 10,400 (as measured by fuel throughput) 6,000 (as measured by continuous emission monitoring) Tangentially fired Coal Bridger Mine, Black Butte Mine, Leucite Hills Mine 9,660 0.58 10.3 19.3 0.98 Low NO" burners 0.45 Sodium based wet scrubber 0.267 Electrostatic Precipitator 0.057 NOTES:(")Coal characteristics based on Bridger Underground Mine (primary coal source) (b) Based on maximum historic emission rate from 1999-2001 , prior to installation of the SOg injection ..system.(c)PMro refers to particulate matter less than 10 micrometers in aerodynamic diameter Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 14 of97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC Ooe =I FOoI @ IFd 6o U @ = cqo)o q':q(frNo as @a oqo q(o(o oq $ \tqo rtNqc? oooJ u?o qqoF- (O oo\\s(r, ooqaoo qq(.) (.)S(o o(f)dd(f, N ooosoo @(a(.)(frN E Rgo)=o c? @6 F-cio qqo :9d aqcO)(')rr (\ 0,E, ILC. o= l =9Vo oor .= .E, EO : ci=ti = E Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 15 of97 9oqq('rs qqF- : Poi F-Orlr)aqc.l @@q\aooo \q.:@o(o(O F- (O (o(oaqc.{sss ooo(?)os(olr)(o('r(') (, (\I oaqc?ooo o-.OoS NPor=o) qqoqrr) (o(.) \r (f, a?aol(.) rr) o)(o(oN Noq(oojPN ooci-cci(\IN o 6==YEE E.E E := 6oo (E =.9E, (l) (u (Eoo)o oo0) o_ E(Eooz oorr,(o @u?o ==o -clo(UoUl'-(E(! ooI 5.o .aa6 0,(Y)EE 66oo oo(E(E c.joo(occ =5oo oo dE'g-(E(5 EEEEcD cDf:ooOcEajoc)'oo zz 0, E= E eoI = =grz .E FEE, il Eor = = qoqc!("1r) qog\(os (o(7rs ^la: oo\qqooo aoc?5 +3 @o)oc?qqsstf NNO)q\aooo ooosoo(') lr)(o (o (7, oooo)oo(o@oo, o, o) qqqco(o(') s (o a?u?qNro(f, (f, (o qqo P Soi lr)lr)ddF-N o .E =EcLOOo = =s€=E'-- (! .=@.D = = aN oq N6l NF-ci (\I oi(o (oqrf @u?o ==o-oo(!(o@'tr'E(o(E(u ooE 9.9 .oaa d99COE;(\,oooEEao.EE Ngg(\i t,o(')cE =foo oo 4(E(E (E.uEO o) o)ffoo('rccoj<r)0)'oo zz N F-(., orE =E E cbP = =ss=='=E (u .=of = = co(D xo EoC"o =z .9,oGIt Bts Io.>6E 0, o E == ===o o..tLoo oE'ot I 9!= 6 --o#1EEE E'tE>o =^ =e-o L.cE!!s6.g E;== E s'E au t EEsirg- s Eo Est g 6s6- = oo .E = ooo oE(E (E-o-,c(E u, oa*Sb E€Hall tE rs 3's Ez-GU(,od.6 =&o aa z Fe 6 3.0 BART Engineering Analysis This section presents the required BART engineering analysis. 3.1 Applicability In compliance with regional haze requirements, the State of Wyoming must prepare and submit visibility SIPs to the EPA for Class I areas. The State has estimated that the formal submittal of the SIPs will occur by early 2008. The first phase of the regional haze program is the implementation of BART emission controls on all BART eligible units, within 5 years after EPA approval ofthe SIP. 3.2 BART Process The specific steps in a BART engineering analysis are identified in the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) at 40 CFR 5l Appendix Y, Section IV. The evaluation must include: . The identification of available, technically feasible, retrofit control options . Consideration of any pollution control equipment in use at the source (which affects the availability of options and their impacts) o The costs of compliance with the control options o The remaining useful life of the facility . The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, and o The degree of visibility improvement that may reasonably be anticipated from the use of BART The following steps are incorporated into the BART analysis: . Step I - Identifi All Available Retrofit Control Technologies . Step 2 - Eliminate Technically Infeasible Options The identification of available, technically feasible, retrofit controloptions Consideration of any pollution control equipment in use at the source (which affects the applicability of options and their impacts) . Step 3 - Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Control Technologies . Step 4 - Evaluate Impacts and Document the Results The costs of compliance with the control options The remaining useful life of the facility The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance Exhibit No. 1 &1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 16 of97 JMS EYl()2()OTOOlSLC\BART_JB3_OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 . Step 5 - Evaluate Visibility Impacts The degree of visibility improvement that may reasonably be anticipated from the use ofBART In order to minimize costs in the BART analysis, consideration was made of any pollution control equipment in use at the source, the costs of compliance associated with the control options, and the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance using these existing control devices. In some cases, enhancing the performance of the existing control equipment was considered. Other scenarios with new control equipment were also developed. All costs included in the BART analysis are in 2006 dollars (not escalated to 2014 BART implementation date). 3.2.1 BART NO, Analysis Nitrogen oxide formation in coal-fired boilers is a complex process that is dependent on a number of variables, including operating conditions, equipment design, and coal characteristics. Formation of NO, During coal combustion, NO* is formed in three different ways. The dominant source of NO* formation is the oxidation of fuel-bound nitrogen. During combustion, part of the fuel-bound nitrogen is released from the coalwith the volatile matter, and part is retained in the solid portion (char). The nitrogen chemically bound in the coal is partially oxidized to nitrogen oxides (nitric oxide and nitrogen dioxide) and partially reduced to molecular nitrogen. A smaller part of NO* formation is due to high temperature fixation of atmospheric nitrogen in the combustion air. A very small amount of NO* is called "prompt" NO*. Prompt NO* results from an interaction of hydrocarbon radicals, nitrogen, and oxygen. In a conventional pulverized coal burner, air is introduced with turbulence to promote good mixing of fuel and air, which provides stable combustion. However, not all of the oxygen in the air is used for combustion. Some of the oxygen combines with the fuel nitrogen to form NO*. Coal characteristics directly and significantly affect NO* emissions from coal combustion. Coal ranking is a means of classifuing coals according to their degree of metamorphism in the natural series, from lignite to sub-bituminous to bituminous and on to anthracite. Lower rank coals, such as the sub-bituminous coals from the PRB, produce lower NO* emissions than higher rank bituminous coals, due to their higher reactivity and lower nitrogen content. The fixed carbon to volatile matter ratio (fuel ratio), coal oxygen content, and rank are good relative indices of the reactivity of a coal. Lower rank coals release more organically bound nitrogen earlier in the combustion process than do higher rank bituminous coals. When used with low- NO* burners (LNBs), sub-bituminous coals create a longer time for the kinetics to promote more stable molecular nitrogen, and hence result in lower NO* emissions. Coals from the PRB are classified as sub-bituminous C and demonstrate the high reactivity and low NO* production characteristics described above. Based on data from the Energy Information Administration, PRB coals currently represent 88 percent of total U.S. sub-bituminous production and 73 percent of western coal production (Energy Information Administration,2006). Most references to "western" coal and sub-bituminous coal infer PRB origin and characteristics. Emissions standards differentiating between bituminous and sub- Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 17 of97 JMS EY1O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART JB3-OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 bituminous coals are presumed to use PRB coal as the basis for the sub-bituminous standards, due to its dominant market presence and unique characteristics. There are a number of western coals that are classified as sub-bituminous, however, they border on being ranked as bituminous and do not display many of the qualities of PRB coals, including most of the low NO* forming characteristics. Coals from the Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills mines fall into this category. As defined by the American Society for Testing and Materials, the only distinguishing characteristic that classifies the coals used at Jim Bridger 3 as sub-bituminous rather than bituminous - that is, they are "agglomerating" as compared to "non-agglomerating". Agglomerating as applied to coal is '1he property of softening when it is heated to above about 400'C in a non-oxidizing atmosphere, and then appearing as a coherent mass after cooling to room temperature." Because the agglomerating property of coals is the result of particles transforming into a plastic or semi-liquid state when heated, it reflects a change in surface area of the particle. Thus, with the application of heat, agglomerating coals would tend to develop a non-porous surface while the surface of non-agglomerating coals would become even more porous with combustion. As shown by Figure 3-1, the increased porosity provides more particle surface area resulting in more favorable combustion conditions. This non-agglomerating property assists in making sub-bituminous coals more amenable to controlling NO* by allowing less air to be introduced during the initial ignition portion of the combustion process. The coals from the Bridger, Black Butte and Leucite Hills mines just barely fall into the category of non-agglomerating coals. While each of these coals is considered non-agglomerating, they either do not exhibit those properties of non-agglomerating coals or exhibit them to only a minor degree. The conditions during combustion of typical non-agglomerating coals that make it easier to control NO* emissions do not exist for the Bridger blends of coals. FIGURE 3.1 lllustration of the Effect of Agglomeratron on the Speed of Coal Combustion Jim Bridger 3 IHE EFFECT OF AGGTOTIERATING IEIIDENCY UPON COMBUSTION r{oNAGGtoiltrAflNG lGNllloil0 /160lomEtlrlilco IAl -l A in I /ra,^.:,#t::,-l qylq_JJutrn + DEVOLAIITIZAIIOT{ AND COIABUSTION Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 18 of97 JMS EYlO2OOTOOlSLC\BART_JB3_OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 Table 3-l shows key characteristics of a typical PRB coal compared to coals from the Bridger Mine, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills, as well as Twentymile, which is a representative western bituminous coal. TABLE 3-1 Coal Characterislics Comparison Jim Bridger 3 Parameter TypicalPowder BridgerRiver Mine Basin Black Butte Leucite Hills Twentymile Nitrogen (percentage dry) Orygen (percentage dry) Coal rank 1.10 1.26 16.2 13.2 Sub C Sub B 1.47 13.4 Sub B 1.48 13.2 Sub B 1.85 7.19 Bituminous high volatility B As shown in Table 3-1, although Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills are classified as sub-bituminous, they all exhibit higher nitrogen content and lower oxygen content than the PRB coal. The higher nitrogen content is an indication that more nitrogen is available to the combustion process and higher NO* emissions are likely. Oxygen content can be correlated to the reactivity of the coal, with more reactive coals generally containing higher levels of oxygen. More reactive coals tend to produce lower NO* emissions, and they are also more conducive to reduction of NO* emissions through the use of combustion control measures, such as low NO* burners and over-fire air (OFA). These characteristics indicate that higher NO* formation is likely with coal from the Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills mines, rather than with PRB coal. The Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills coals all contain quality characteristics that fall between a typical PRB coal and Twentymile. Twentymile is a clearly bituminous coal that produces higher NO*, as has been demonstrated at power plants burning this fuel. Figures 3-2 and 3-3 graphically illustrate the relationship of nitrogen and oxygen content to the BART presumptive NO* limits for the coals listed in Table 3-1. Each chart identifies the presumptive BART limit associated with a typical bituminous and sub-bituminous coal, and demonstrates how the Jim Bridger coal falls between these two general coal classifications. The Bridger blend data point represents a combination of coals from the Bridger Mine, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills that has been used at Jim Bridger 3, and indicates the average NO* emission rate achieved during the years 2003-2005. The Jim Bridger 2 data point consists of the same blend of coals as Jim Bridger 3, and represents the NO* emission rate achieved after installation of Alstom's current state-of-the-art TFS2000 LNB and OFA system. The long-term sustainable emission rate for this system is expected to be 0.24 lb per MMBtu. All four units at Jim Bridger consist of identical boilers; while there may be some differences in performance among them, installation of the TFS2000 firing system at Jim Bridger 3 would likely result in performance and NO* emission rates comparable to those at Jim Bridger 2. Figures 3-2 and 3-3 both demonstrate that for the Jim Bridger units-with the TFS2000 low NO" emission system installed, and burning a combination of the Bridger, Black Butte, and Exhibit No. 1 Case No. lPc-E-13-16 3-4 T. Harvey, IPC Page 19 of97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3_OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 Leucite Hill coals-the likely NO* emission rate will be closer to the bituminous end (0.28) of the BART presumptive NO* limit range, rather than the BART presumptive NO* limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu for sub-bituminous coal. All of these factors are consistent with the observed sustainable rate of 0.241b per MMBtu. FIGURE 3.2 Plot of Typical Nitmgen Content of Various Coals and Applicable Presumptive BART NO, Limib Jim Bridger3 to. 0.3.a= "EJ O.25xo2 A Bridger Blend ---{---Bituminous Presumpti're Limit - 0.28 lb/MMBtu Twentymile Bituminous \,m Bridger 2 PRB Subbituminous Subbituminous Presumptive Limit - 0.15 lb/MMBtu 'r.00 1.30 1.40 1.50 1.60 1.70 Typicll Nitrogen Contsnt (%-Ory Ba3is) 0.2 0.1 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 20 of 97 JMS EY1O2OO7()O1 SLC\BART-JB3-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC &5 BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 Io- 0.3-o3 .EJ 0.25xoz FIGURE 3.3 Plot of Typical Orygen Content of Various Coals and Applicable Presumptive BART N0, Limits Jim Bridger 3 0.35 ABridger Blend Twentymile Bituminous -{-Bituminous Presumptive Limit - 0.28 lb/MMBtu \.limBrioger2 PRB Subbituminous 0.1 6.00 10.00 12.00 't4.00 Typical Orygen Content (%-Ory Ba3i.) Coal quality characteristics also impact the design and operation of the boiler and associated auxiliary equipment. Minor changes in quality can sometimes be accommodated through operational adjustments or equipment changes. It is important to note, however, that consistent variations in quality or assumptions of "average" quality for performance projections can be problematic. This is particularly troublesome when dealing with performance issues that are very sensitive to both coal quality and combustion conditions, such as NO* formation. There is significant variability in the quality of coals bumed at Jim Bridger 3. In addition to burning coal from Black Butte and Leucite Hills, Jim Bridger 3 burns coal supplied from the Bridger Mine consisting ofthree sources: underground, surface, and highwall operations. Each of these coal sources has different quality characteristics, as well as inherent variability in composition of the coal within the mine. Several of the coal quality characteristics and their effect on NO* formation have been previously discussed. There are some additional considerations that illustrate the complexity of achieving and maintaining consistent low NO* emissions with pulverized coal on a shorter term, such as a 30-day rolling average basis. Good combustion is based on the "three Ts": time, temperature, and turbulence. These parameters along with a "design" coal are taken into consideration when designing a boiler and associated firing equipment such as fans, burners, and pulverizers. If a performance requirement such as NO* emission limits is subsequently changed, conflicts with and between other performance issues can result. 0.2 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 3-6 T. Harvey, IPC Page21 of97 JMS EYlO2OOTOO,ISLC\BART_JB3_OCI2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 Jim Bridger 3 is located at an altitude of 6,669 feet above sea level. Atmospheric pressure is lower at this elevation, I l.5 pounds per square inch, as compared with sea level pressure of 14.7 pounds per square inch. This lower pressure means that less oxygen is available for combustion for each volume of air. In order to provide adequate oxygen to meet the requirements for efficient combustion, larger volumes of air are required. When adjusting air flows and distribution to reduce NO* emissions using LNB and OFA, original boiler design restrictions again limit the modifications that can be made while still achieving satisfactory combustion performance. Another significant factor in controlling NO* emissions is the fineness of the coal entering the burners. Fineness is influenced by the Hardgrove Grindability Index of the coal. Finer coal particles promote release of volatiles and assist char burnout due to more surface area being exposed to air. NO* reduction with high volatile coals is improved with greater fineness and with proper air staging. The lower rank sub-bituminous coals such as PRB coals are quite friable and easy to grind. Coals with lower Hardgrove Grindability Index values, such as those used at Jim Bridger 3, are more difficult to grind and can contribute to higher NO* levels. In addition, coal fineness can deteriorate over time periods between pulverizer maintenance and service as pulverizer grinding surfaces wear. In summary, when all the factors of agglomeration versus non-agglomeration, nitrogen and oxygen content of the coals, and the grindability index are taken into account, this analysis demonstrates that, for the coal used at Jim Bridger 3, the more applicable presumptive BART limit for NO* emissions is 0.28 lb per MMBtu. The BART analysis for NO* emissions from Jim Bridger 3 is further described below. Step 1: ldentify Al! Available Retrofit Control Technologies The first step of the BART process is to evaluate NO* control technologies with practical potential for application to Jim Bridger 3, including those control technologies identified as Best Available Control Technology (BACT) or lowest achievable emission rate (LAER) by permitting agencies across the United States. A broad range of information sources have been reviewed in an effort to identify potentially applicable emission control technologies. NO* emissions at Jim Bridger 3 are currently controlled through the use of good combustion practices and OFA. The following potential NO* control technology options were considered: o New/modified LNBs with advanced OFAo Rotating Opposed Fire Air (ROFA) o Conventional selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR) systemo Selective catalytic reduction (SCR) system Step 2: Eliminate Technically lnfeasible Options For Jim Bridger 3, a tangential-fired configuration burning sub-bituminous coal, technical feasibility will primarily be determined by physical constraints, boiler configuration, and on the ability to achieve the regulatory presumptive limit (used as a guide) of 0.28 lb NO* per MMBtu. Jim Bridger 3 has an uncontrolled NO* emission rate of 0.45 lb per MMBtu. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 x7 T. Harvey, IPC Page 22 ot 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB3-OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 For this BART analysis, information pertaining to LNBs, OFA, SNCR, and SCR were based on the Multi-Pollutant Control Report (Sargent and Lundy, 2}0Z,hereafter referred to as the S&L Study). Updated cost estimates for SCR and SNCR were used (Sargent & Lundy, 2006\. PacifiCorp provided additional emissions data and costs developed by boiler vendors for LNBs and OFA. Also, CH2M HILL solicited a proposal from Mobotec for their ROFA technology. With SNCR, an amine-based reagent such as ammonia, or more commonly urea, is injected into the furnace within a temperature range of 1,600 degrees Fahrenheit ('F) to 2, 1 00oF, where it reduces NO* to nitrogen and water. NO* reductions of up to 40 to 60 percent have been achieved, although l5 to 30 percent is more realistic for most applications. SNCR is typically applied on smaller units. Adequate reagent distribution in the furnaces of large units can be problematic. Table 3-2 summarizes the control technology options evaluated in this BART analysis, along with projected NO* emission rates. All technologies can meet the applicable presumptive BART limit of 0.28 lb per MMBtu. TABLE 3.2 N0, Control Technology Projected Emission Rates Jim Bridger 3 Technology Projected Emission Rate (pounds per million British thermal units) Presumptive Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) Limit Low-NO, burners (LNBs) with over-fire air (OFA) Rotating Opposed Fire Air LNB with OFA and Selective Non-catalytic Red uction (SNCR) LNB with OFA and Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) 0.28 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.07 Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Contro! Technologies Preliminary vendor proposals, such as those used to support portions of this BART analysis, may be technically feasible and provide expected or guaranteed emission rates; however, the proposals include inherent uncertainties. These proposals are usually prepared in a limited time frame, may be based on incomplete information, may contain over-optimistic conclusions, and are non-binding. Therefore, emission rate values obtained in such preliminary proposals must be qualified, and it must be recognized that contractual guarantees are established only after more detailed analysis has been completed. The following subsections describe the control technologies and the control effectiveness evaluated in this BART analysis. New LNBs with OFA System. The mechanism used to lower NO* with LNBs is to stage the combustion process and provide a fuel rich condition initially; this is so oxygen needed for combustion is not diverted to combine with nitrogen and form NO*. Fuel-rich conditions favor Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 &8 T. Harvey, IPC Page 23 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB3_OCT2OO7-FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 the conversion of fuel nitrogen to nitrogen instead of NO*. Additional air (or OFA) is then introduced downstream in a lower temperature zone to burn out the char. Both LNBs and OFA are considered to be a capital cost, combustion technology retrofit. For LNB retrofits to units configured with tangential-firing such as Jim Bridger 3, it is generally necessary to increase the burner spacing; this prevents interaction of the flames from adjacent burners and reduces burner zone heat flux. These modifications usually require boiler waterwall tube replacement. Information provided to CH2M HILL by PacifiCorp-based on the S&L Study and data from boiler vendors-indicates that a new LNB and OFA retrofit at Jim Bridger 3 would result in an expected NO* emission rate of 0.24Ib per MMBtu. PacifiCorp has indicated that this rate corresponds to a vendor guarantee, not a vendor prediction, and they believe that this emission rate can be sustained as an average between overhauls. This emission rate represents a significant reduction from the current NO* emission rate, and is below the more applicable presumptive NO* emission rate of 0.28 lb per MMBtu. Rotating Opposed Fire Air. Mobotec markets ROFA as an improved second generation OFA system. Mobotec states that o'the flue gas volume of the furnace is set in rotation by asymmetrically placed air nozzles. Rotation is reported to prevent laminar flow, so that the entire volume of the furnace can be used more effectively for the combustion process. In addition, the swirling action reduces the maximum temperature of the flames and increases heat absorption. The combustion air is also mixed more effectively." A typical ROFA installation would have a booster fan(s) to supply the high velocity air to the ROFA boxes, and Mobotec would propose two 4,000 to 4,300 horsepower fans for Jim Bridger 3. Mobotec proposes to achieve a NO* emission rate of 0.18 lb per MMBtu using ROFA technology. An operating margin of 0.04 lb per MMBtU was added to the expected rate due to Mobotec's limited ROFA experience with western sub-bituminous coals. Under the Mobotec proposal, which is primarily based on ROFA equipment, the operation of existing LNB and OFA ports would be analyzed. While a typical installation does not require modification to the existing LNB system and the existing OFA ports are not used, results of computational fluid dynamics modeling would determine the quantity and location of new ROFA ports. The Mobotec proposal includes bent tube assemblies for OFA port installation. Mobotec would not provide installation services, because they believe that the Owner can more cost effectively contract for these services. However, they would provide one onsite construction supervisor during installation and startup. Selective Non-catalytic Reduction. With SNCR-a process generally utilized to achieve modest NO* reductions on smaller units-an amine-based reagent such as ammoni4 or more commonly urea, is injected into the furnace within a temperature range of l,600oF to 2,100oF, where it reduces NO* to nitrogen and water. NO* reductions of up to 60 percent have been achieved, although 20 to 40 percent is more realistic for most applications. Reagent utilization, which is a measure of the efficiency with which the reagent reduces NO*, can range from 20 to 60 percent, depending on the amount of reduction, unit size, operating conditions, and allowable ammonia slip. With low reagent utilization, low temperatures, or inadequate mixing, ammonia slip occurs, allowing unreacted ammonia to create problems Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 &e T. Harvey, IPC Page 24 ot 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB3_OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 downstream. The ammonia may render fly ash unsaleable, react with sulfur to foul heat exchange surfaces, andlor create a visible stack plume. Reagent utilization can have a significant impact on economics, with higher levels of NO* reduction generally resulting in lower reagent utilization and higher operating cost. Reductions from higher baseline concentrations (inlet NO*) are lower in cost per ton, but result in higher operating costs, due to greater reagent consumption. To reduce reagent costs, S&L has assumed that combustion modifications including LNBs and advanced OFA, capable of achieving a projected NO* emission rate of 0.24Ib per MMBtu. At a further reduction of l5 percent in NO" emission rates for SNCR would result in a projected emission rate of 0.20 lb per MMBtu. Selective Catalytic Reduction. While working on the same chemical principle as SNCR, SCR uses a catalyst to promote the chemical reaction. Ammonia is injected into the flue-gas stream, where it reduces NO* to nitrogen and water. Unlike the high temperatures required for SNCR, in SCR the reaction takes place on the surface of a vanadium/titanium-based catalyst at a temperature range between 580oF to 750"F. Due to the catalyst, the SCR process is more efficient than SNCR and results in lower NO* emissions. The most common type of SCR is the high-dust configuration, where the catalyst is located downstream from the boiler economizer and upstream of the air heater and any particulate control equipment. . In this location, the SCR is exposed to the full concentration of fly ash in the flue gas that is leaving the boiler. The high-dust configuration is assumed for Jim Bridger 3. In a full-scale SCR, the flue ducts are routed to a separate large reactor containing the catalyst. With in-duct SCR, the catalyst is located in the existing gas duct, which may be expanded in the area of the catalyst to reduce flue gas flow velocity and increase flue gas residence time. Due to the higher removal rate, a full-scale SCR was used as the basis for analysis at Jim Bridger 3. S&L prepared the design conditions and cost estimates for SCR at Jim Bridger 3. As with SNCR, it is generally more cost effective to reduce NO* emission levels as much as possible through combustion modifications, in order to minimize the catalyst surface area and ammonia requirements of the SCR. The S&L design basis for LNB with OFA and SCR results in a projected NO* emission rate of 0.07 lb per MMBtu. Additional catalyst surface was included in the SCR design to accommodate the characteristics of the coal used at Jim Bridger 3. Level of Confidence for Vendor Post-control Emissions Estimates. In order to determine the level of NO* emissions needed to consistently achieve compliance with an established goal, a review of typical NO* emissions from coal-fired generating units was completed. As a result of this review, it was noted that NO, emissions can vary significantly around an average emissions level. Variations may result for many reasons, including coal characteristics, unit load, boiler operation including excess air, boiler slagging, burner equipment condition, coal mill fineness, and so forth. The steps utilized for determining a level of confidence for the vendor expected value are as follows: o Establish expected NO* emissions value from vendor. o Evaluate vendor experience and historical basis for meeting expected values. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 3-10 T. Harvey, IPC Page 25 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3_OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 o Review and evaluate unit physical and operational characteristics and restrictions. The fewer variations there are in operations, coal supply, etc., the more predictable and less variant the NO* emissions are. o For each technology expected value, there is a corresponding potential for actual NO" emissions to vary from this expected value. From the vendor information presented, along with anticipated unit operational data, an adjustment to the expected value can be made. Step 4: Evaluate lmpacts and Document the Results This step involves the consideration of energy, environmental, and economic impacts associated with each control technology. The remaining useful life ofthe plant is also considered during the evaluation. Energy lmpacts. Installation of LNBs and modification to the existing OFA systems are not expected to significantly impact the boiler efficiency or forced draft fan power usage. Therefore, these technologies will not have energy impacts. The Mobotec ROFA system would require installation and operation of two 4,000 to 4,300 horsepower ROFA fans (6,410 kW total). The SNCR system would require approximately 520 kW of additionalpower. Selective catalytic reduction retrofit impacts the existing flue gas fan systems, due to the additional pressure drop associated with the catalyst, which is typically a 6- to 8-inch water gage increase. Total additional power requirements for SCR installation at Jim Bridger 3 are estimated at approximately 3,220 kW, based on the S&L Study. Environmentallmpacts. Mobotec has predicted that carbon monoxide emissions, and unburned carbon in the ash, commonly referred to as loss on ignition, would be the same or lower than prior levels for the ROFA system. The installation of SNCR or SCR systems could impact the saleability and disposal of fly ash due to ammonia levels, and could potentially create a visible stack plume, which may negate other visibility improvements. Other environmental impacts involve the storage of ammonia (especially if anhydrous ammonia is used), and the transportation of the ammonia to the power plant site. Economic lmpacts. Costs and schedules for the LNBs and OFA, SNCR, and SCR were furnished to CH2M HILL by PacifiCorp, developed using S&L's internal proprietary database, and supplemented (as needed) by vendor-obtained price quotes. The relative accuracy of these cost estimates is stated by S&L to be in the range of plus or minus 20 percent. Cost for the ROFA system was obtained from Mobotec. A comparison of the technologies on the basis of costs, design control efficiencies, and tons of NO* removed is summarized in Table 3-3, and the first year control costs are presented in Figure 3-4. The complete economic analysis is contained in Appendix A. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 26 of 97 JMS EY,I ()2OO7()()1 SLC\BART_JB3_OCTMOT_FINAt,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 TABLE 3.3 NO' Control Cost Comparison Jim Bridger 3 Low-NO, Bumerc (LNBs) with Over-fire Air (oFA) Mobotec Rotating Opposed Fire Air(ROFA) LNB with OFA and Selective Non- Catalytic Reduction (sNcR) LNB with OFA and Selective Catalytic ReducUon (scR) Total lnstalled Capital Costs Total First Year Fixed and Variable Operation and Maintenance Costs Total First Year Annualized Cost Power Consumption (megawatts [MW] ) Annual Power Usage (million MW-hours per year) NO, Design Control Efficiency NO" Removed per Year (Tons) Nitrogen Oxide (NO,) Design Control Efficiency lncremental Control Cost (dollars per ton [$/ton] of NO, Removed) $8.7 million $0.'t million $0.9 million 0 0 46.7o/o 4,967 $181/ton $181/ton $20.5 million $2.6 million $4.6 million 6.4 50.6 51.1% 5,440 $843/ton $7,797lton 22.0 million $1.5 million $3.6 million 0.5 4.1 5s.6% 5,913 $61O/ton $2,863/ton $129.6 million $3.3 million $15.6 million 3.3 25.4 84.4o/o 8,987 $1,734lton $3,896/ton Preliminary BART Selection. CH2M HILL recommends selection of LNBs with OFA as BART for Jim Bridger 3 based on its significant reduction in NO* emissions, reasonable control cost, and no additional power requirements or environmental impacts. Low-NO* burners with OFA does not meet the EPA presumptive limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu for sub-bituminous coal, but it does meet an emission rate that falls between the presumptive limit of 0.28 lb per MMBtu for bituminous coal and the limit of 0.15 Ib per MMBtu for sub-bituminous coal. As discussed in the section on coal quality, the recommended technology and the achieved emission rate are deemed appropriate as BART for NO* emissions from the coals combusted at Jim Bridger 3. Step 5: Evaluate Visibility lmpacts Please see Section 4, BART Modeling Analysis. Exhibit No. 1 . Case No. IPC-E-13-16 t12 T. Harvey, IPC Page27 of97 JMS EYl O2OO7()O1 SLC\BART_JB3_OCTMOT-FINAL.DOC tOa od l'Lo cozJ LLo mzI o(J 6 c o6 CoEo s oo u I o(J E coOo oo oo I ! tOza od LLo m.9z. cLJo o troo tro =oo- .! LLot Ooo = EOO 6 FE dO = ooooooooooooo- o_ o_ o^ o- o-F-(O()S(')N (ps^ouau xON uol/g) lso3 torluo3 ooooooor@ a=Eo o C Co:_=oo_.= Oz. o oo(-) o 8.,so bo69u (l)-Xg>-6dE sEii= Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-'13-16 T Harvey, IPC Page 28 of 97 BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 3.2.2 BART SOz Analysis Sulfur dioxide forms in the boiler during the combustion process, and is primarily dependent on coal sulfur content. The BART analysis for SOz emissions on Jim Bridger 3 is described below. Step 1: ldentify A!! Available Retrofit Contro! Technologies A broad range of information sources were reviewed, in an effort to identiff potentially applicable emission control technologies for SOz at Jim Bridger 3. This included control technologies identified as BACT or LAER by permitting agencies across the United States. The following potential SOz control technology options were considered: o Optimize current operation of existing wet sodium FGD system. Upgrade wet sodium FGD system to meet SOz emission rate of 0.10 lb per MMBtuo New dry FGD system Step 2: Eliminate Technically lnfeasible Options Technical feasibility will primarily be based on the regulatory presumptive limit (used as a guideline) of 95 percent reduction in SOz emissions, or 0.15 lb per MMBtu. Based on the coal that Jim Bridger 3 currently burns, the unit would be required to achieve an 87 .5 percent SO2 removal efficiency to meet the presumptive limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. Table 3-4 summarizes the controltechnology options evaluated in this BART analysis, along with projected SOz emission rates. Only one technology option can meet the applicable presumptive BART limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. TABLE 3.4 SOz Control Technology Emission Rates Jim Bridger 3 Technology Projected Sulfur Dioxide (SOz) Emission Rate (pound per million British thermal units) Presumptive Best Available Retrofit Technology Limit Upgrade Existing Wet Sodium System Optimize Existing Wet Sodium System New Dry Flue Gas Desulfurization System 0.15 0.10 0.20 0.21 Wet Sodium FGD System. Wet sodium FGD systems operate by treating the flue gas in large scrubber vessels with a soda ash solution. The scrubber mixes the flue gas and alkaline reagent using a series ofspray nozzles to distribute the reagent across the scrubber vessel. The sodium in the reagent reacts with the SOz in the flue gas to form sodium sulfite and sodium bisulfite, which are removed from the scrubber and disposed. Exhibit No-f^ 3-,r4Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 29 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BARI_JB3_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 The wet sodium FGD system at Jim Bridger 3 currently achieves approximately 78 percent SO2 removal to achieve an SOz outlet emission rate of 0.27 lb per MMBtu. Optimizing the existing wet FGD system would achieve an SOz outlet emission rate of 0.20 lb per MMBtu (83.3 percent SOz removal) by partially closing the bypass damper to reduce routine bypass flue gas flow used to reheat the treated flue gas from the scrubber, relocating the opacity monitor, and modifring the system to minimize scaling problems. Upgrading the wet FGD system would achieve an SOz outlet emission rate of 0.10 lb per MMBtu (91.7 percent SOz removal) by closing the bypass damper to eliminate routine bypass flue gas flow used to reheat the treated flue gas from the scrubber, relocating the opacity monitor, adding new fans, adding a stack liner and drains for wet operation, and using a refined soda ash reagent. It is considered technically infeasible for the present wet FGD system to achieve 95 percent SOz removal (0.06 lb per MMBtu) on a continuous basis, since this high level of removal must be incorporated into the original design of the scrubber. Optimizing the existing wet sodium scrubbing FGD system is projected to achieve an outlet emission rate of 0.20 lb per MMBtu which would not meet the presumptive limit of 0.1 5 lb SOz per MMBtu. Therefore, this option is eliminated as technically infeasible for this analysis. An upgraded wet sodium scrubbing FGD system is projected to achieve an outlet emission rate of 0.10 lb per MMBtu (91 .7 percent SOz removal) which would meet the presumptive limit of 0.15 lb SO2 per MMBtu for Jim Bridger 3. New Dry FGD System. The lime spray dryer typically injects lime slurry in the top of the absorber vessel with a rapidly rotating atomizer wheel. The rapid speed of the atomizer wheel causes the lime slurry to separate into very fine droplets that intermix with the flue gas. The SOz in the flue gas reacts with the calcium in the lime slurry to form dry calcium sulfate particles. At Jim Bridger 3, this dry particulate matter would be captured downstream in the existing ESP, along with the fly ash. A lime spray dryer system typically produces a dry waste product suitable for landfill disposal. The dry FGD system with the existing ESP is projected to achieve 82.5 percent SOz removal at Jim Bridger 3. This would result in a controlled SOz emission rate of 0.21 lb per MMBtu, based on an uncontrolled SOz emission rate of 1.20 lb per MMBtu. Therefore, this option cannot meet the presumptive limit of 0.15 lb SOz per MMBtu, and is eliminated from further analysis as technically infeasible. Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Control Technologies When evaluating the control effectiveness of SO2 reduction technologies, each option can be compared against benchmarks of performance. One such benchmark is the presumptive BART emission limit because Jim Bridger 3 is required to meet this limit. As indicated previously, the presumptive limit for SOz on a BART-eligible coal burning unit is 95 percent removal, or 0.15 lb per MMBtu. The projected emission rate for an upgraded wet sodium FGD system for Jim Bridger 3 would be 0.10 lb per MMBtu. This option would meet the presumptive SOz limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. Exhibit No-_1^ 3_15Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 30 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB3_OCT2OO7_FINAL.OOC EART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 Step 4: Evaluate lmpacts and Document the Results This step involves the consideration of energy, environmental, and economic impacts associated with each controltechnology. The remaining useful life ofthe plant is also considered during the evaluation. Energy lmpacts. Upgrading the existing wet sodium FGD system would require an additional 520 kW of power. Environmental lmpacts. There will be incremental additions to scrubber waste disposal and makeup water requirements. Another environmental impact is a reduction of the stack gas temperature from l40oF to l20oF due to elimination of the bypassed flue gas which had provided approximately 20'F of reheat. Economic lmpacts. A summary of the costs and amount of SOz removed for the upgraded wet sodium FGD system is provided in Table 3-5. The complete economic analysis is contained in Appendix A. TABLE 3.5 S0z Control Cost Comparison (lncremental to Existing FGD System) Jin Bridger Unit 3 Upgraded Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD) Total lnstalled Capital Costs Total First Year Fixed and Variable Operation and Maintenance Costs Total First Year Annualized Cost Additional Power Consumption (megawatts [MW]) Additional Annual Power Usage (1000 MW-hours per year) lncremental Sulfur Dioxide (SOz) Design Control Efficiency lncremental Tons SOz Removed per Year First Year Average Control Cost (dollars per ton [$/Ton1 of SOz Removed) lncremental Control Cost ($ffon of SOz Removed) $13.0 million $1.3 million $2.5 million 0.5 4.1 62.5yo (91.7oh based on Uncontrolled SO2) 3,950 632 632 Preliminary BART Selection. CH2M HILL recommends upgrading the existing wet sodium FGD system as BART for Jim Bridger 3 based on its significant reduction in SOz emissions (meeting presumptive limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu), reasonable control costs, and the advantages of minimal additional power requirements and environmental impacts. Step 5: Evaluate Visibility lmpacts Please see Section 4, BART Modeling Analysis. Exhibit No-J^ 116Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 31 of97 JMS EYlO2OOTOOlSLC\BART J83 OCT2OOT_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 3.2.3 BART PMro Analysis Jim Bridger 3 is currently equipped with an ESP. Electrostatic precipitators remove particulate matter (PM) from the flue gas stream by charging fly ash particles with a very high direct current voltage, and attracting these charged particles to grounded collection plates. A layer of collected PM forms on the collecting plates and is removed by periodically rapping the plates. The collected ash particles drop into hoppers below the precipitator and are removed periodically by the fly ash-handling system. Historically, the ESP at Jim Bridger 3 has controlled PM16 emissions to levels below 0.057 lb per MMBtu. The BART analysis for PMro emissions at Jim Bridger 3 is described in this section. For the modeling analysis in Section 4, PMle was used as an indicator for PM, and PMto includes particulate matter less than 2.5 micrometers in aerodynamic diameter (PMz.s) as a subset. Step 1 : ldentify All Available Retrofit Control Technologies Two retrofit control technologies have been identified for additional PM control: . Flue gas conditioningo Polishing fabric filter (baghouse) downstream of existing ESP Another available control technology is replacing the existing ESP with a new fabric filter. Because the environmental benefits of replacing the fabric filter are also achieved by the lower-cost option of installing a polishing fabric filter downstream of the existing ESP, installation of a full fabric filter was not considered in the analysis. Step 2: Eliminate Technically lnfeasible Options Flue Gas Conditioning. If the fly ash from coal has high resistivity, such as fly ash from sub-bituminous coal, the ash is not collected effectively in an ESP. This is because the high resistivity makes the particles less willing to accept an electrical charge. Adding flue gas conditioning (FGC), which is typically accomplished by injection of sulfur trioxide (SO3), will lower the resistivity of the particles so that they will accept more charge and allow the ESP to collect the ash more effectively. Flue gas conditioning systems can account for large improvements in collection efficiency for small ESPs. Polishing Fabric Filter. A polishing fabric filter could be added downstream of the existing ESP at Jim Bridger 3. One such technology is licensed by the Electric Power Research Institute, and referred to as a COHPAC (Compact Hybrid Particulate Collector). The COHPAC collects the ash that is not collected by the ESP, thus acting as a polishing device. The ESP needs to be kept in service for the COHPAC fabric filter to operate effectively. The COHPAC fabric filter is about one-half to two-thirds the size of a full-size fabric filter, because the COHPAC has a higher air-to-cloth ratio (7 to 9: l), compared to a full-size pulse jet fabric filter (3.5 to 4: l). Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Control Technologies The existing ESP at Jim Bridger 3 is achieving a controlled PM emission rate of 0.057 lb per MMBtu. Utilizing flue conditioning upstream of the existing ESP is projected to reduce PM emissions to approximately 0.030 lb per MMBtu. Adding a COHPAC fabric filter downstream of the existing ESP is projected to reduce PM emissions to approximately 0.015 lb per MMBtu. Exhibit No- 'l 3.17Case No.IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 32 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3-OCT2OO7_FINAt.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 The PMrocontrol technology emission rates are summarized in Table 3-6. TABLE 3.6 PMro Control Technology Emission Rates Jim Bridger 3 Short-term Projected PMro@l control rechnology EmissionRateo(pound per British therma! units) Flue Gas Conditioning Polishing Fabric Filter 0.030 0.015 NOTES:(") PMro refers to particulate matter less than 10 micrometers in aerodynamic diameter Step 4: Evaluate lmpacts and Document the Results This step involves the consideration of energy, environmental, and economic impacts associated with each control technology. The remaining useful life ofthe plant is also considered during the evaluation. Energy lmpacts. Energy is required to overcome the additional pressure drop from the COHPAC fabric filter and associated ductwork. Therefore, a COHPAC retrofit will require an internal diameter fan upgrade and upgrade of the auxiliary power supply system. The COHPAC fabric filter at Jim Bridger 3 would require approximately 3.3 MW of power, equating to an annual power usage of approximately 26.3 million kW-Hr. There is only a small power requirement of approximately 50 kW associated with flue gas conditioning. Environmental lmpacts. There are no negative environmental impacts from the addition of a COHPAC polishing fabric filter or flue gas conditioning system. Economic lmpacts. A summary ofthe costs and PM removed for COHPAC and flue gas conditionings are recorded in Table 3-7, and the first-year control costs for flue gas conditioning and fabric filters are shown in Figure 3-5. The complete economic analysis is contained in Appendix A. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-'16 $'18 T. Harvey, IPC Page 33 of 97 JMS EY,IO2OOTOOlSLC\BART J83 OCT2OOT_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 TABLE 3.7 PMro Control Cost Comparison (lncrementalto Existing ESP) Jim Bridger 3 Factor Flue Gas Conditioning Polishing Fabric Filter Total lnstalled Capital Costs Total First Year Fixed and Variable Operations and Maintenance Costs Total First Year Annualized Cost Additional Power Consumption (MW) Annual Power Usage (million kilowatt-hours per year) lncremental Particulate Matter (PM) Design Control Efficiency lncremental Tons PM Removed per Year First Year Average Control Cost (dollars per ton [$/Ton1 of PM Removed) lncremental Control Cost ($/Ton of PM Removed) $o $0.2 million $0.2 million 0.0s 0.4 47.4o/o 275 $48.4 million $1.7 million $ 6.3 million 3.43 26.3 73.7% 993 6,381 17,371 639 275 Preliminary BART Selection. CH2M HILL recommends selection of flue gas conditioning upstream of the existing ESP as BART for Jim Bridger 3 based on the significant reduction in PM emissions, reasonable control costs, and advantages of minimal additional power requirements and no environmental impacts. Step 5: Evaluate Visibility lmpacts Please see Section 4, BART Modeling Analysis. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 34 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BARI_JB3_OCI2OO7_FINAL.DOC oO g coo EcoEo O5 oo iIt o E coOooG o 6o Ir Ooe = OO F( 6O oooooooooooooooooooooo-o_o-o_qo-o-qo-qo@@$NO@@$NNr o =Io-oI ooo o coo o oo- o,cc =Eco 6(, oltr @co:o o co G.o =Eo_ =o_ o oo(-) o 5 .,,.oo bmHQ>u (r).lJoz >- /i6eFEi!- Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 35 of 97 (po^ourau Wd uol/$) lsoC loJtuoo iz=GU(9st6 dO q z e 6 4.0 BART Modeling Analysis 4.1 Model Selection CH2M HILL used the CALPUFF modeling system to assess the visibility impacts of emissions from Jim Bridger 3 at nearby Class I areas. The Class I areas potentially affected are located more than 50 kilometers but less than 300 kilometers from the Jim Bridger 3 facility. The Class I areas include the following wildemess areas (WA): . Bridger WAo Fitzpatrick WAo Mt. Zirkel WA The CALPUFF modeling system includes the CALMET meteorologicalmodel, a Gaussian puff dispersion model (CALPUFF) with algorithms for chemical transformation and deposition, and a post processor capable of calculating concentrations, visibility impacts, and deposition (CALPOST). The CALPUFF modeling system was applied in a full, refined mode. Version numbers ofthe various programs in the CALPUFF system used by CH2M HILL were as follows: o CALMET Version 5.53a, Level040716o CALPUFF Version 5.7lla, Level040716o CALPOST Version 5.51, Level 030709 4.2 CALMET Methodology 4.2.1 Dimensions of the Modeling Domain CH2M HILL used the CALMET model to generate a three-dimensional wind field and other meteorological parameters suitable for use by the CALPUFF model. A modeling domain was established to encompass the Jim Bridger 3 facility and allow for a 5O-kilometer buffer around the Class I areas that were within 300 kilometers of the facility; the grid resolution was 4 kilometers. Figure 4-l shows the extent of the modeling domain. Except when specifically instructed otherwise by the Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality - Air Quality Division (WDEQ-AQD), CH2M HILL followed the methodology spelled out in the WDEQ-AQD BART Modeling Protocol, a copy of which is included as Appendix B. CH2M HILL used the Lambert Conformal Conic map projection for the analysis due to the large extent of the domain. The latitude of the projection origin and the longitude of the central meridian were chosen at the approximate center of the domain. Standard parallels were drawn to represent one-sixth and five-sixths of the north-south extent of the domain to minimize distortion in the north-south direction. Exhibit No. 1 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 36 of 97 JMS EYlO2OOTOO1SLC\BART JB3 OCT2OOT FINAL.DOC JJ II =N E0 E ot+E IgEE ur(,l t,ri Ei!o6.oo9 sr.= r!fi1 EO.=oago trgoIJ -Il. U tr G T. Harvey, IPC Page 37 of 97 =E=-o)v(Y)Y o C.i K PC\+ xF-oC) ra (.osf + o r6i aEO E(E= o-!u6 bEo- EEp,- €€ =E6 Pa6 g c'o EooFlrJ J o! 'll E-€:Iu= =l : i o9 oaci ri9NY oE!o J6 +n @. oo o o! @tE'ag sibfi @N l. iE 'Olz i I BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 The default technical options listed in TRC Companies, Inc.'s (TRC) current example CALMET.inp file were used for CALMET. Vertical resolution of the wind field included ten layers, with vertical face heights as follows (in meters): o 0,20,40, 100, 140,320,580, 1020, 1480,2220,3500 Other user-specified model options were set to values established by WDEQ-AQD which appear in Table 3 of Appendix B. Table 4-l lists the key user-specified options used for this analysis. TABLE 4.1 User-specified CALMET Options Jim Bridger 3 CALMET lnput Parameter Value CALMET lnput Group 2 Map projection (PMAP) Grid spacing (DGRIDKM) Number vertical layers (NZ) Top of lowest layer (m) Top of highest layer (m) CALMET lnput Group 4 Observation mode (NOOBS) CALMET lnput Group 5 Prog. Wind data (IPROG) (RMAX1) (RMAX2) Terrain influence (TERRAD) (Rl) (R2) CALMET lnput Group 6 Max mixing ht (ZIMAX) Lambert Conformal 4 10 20 3500 3500 14 30 50 15 5 25 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 38 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7()O1 SLC\BART.JB3_OCT2O()7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNII 3 4.2.2 CALMET Input Data CH2M HILL ran the CALMET model to produce three years of analysis: 2001,2002, and 2003. WDEQ-AQD provided l2-km resolution Mesoscale Meteorological Model, Version 5 (MM5) meteorological data fields that covered the entire modeling domain for each study year. These three data sets were chosen because they are current and have been evaluated for quality. The MM5 data were used as input to CALMET as the "initial guess" wind field. The initial guess wind field was adjusted by CALMET for local terrain and land use effects to generate a Step I wind field, and further refined using local surface observations to create a final Step 2 wind field. Surface data for 2001 through 2003 were obtained from the National Climatic Data Center. CH2M HILL processed the data from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System network for all stations that are in the domain. The surface data were obtained in abbreviated DATSAV3 format. A conversion routine available from the TRC Web site was used to convert the DATSAV3 files to CD-144 format for input into the SMERGE preprocessor and CALMET. Land use and terrain data were obtained from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Land use data were obtained in Composite Theme Grid format from the USGS, and the Level I USGS land use categories were mapped into the l4 primary CALMET land use categories. Surface properties such as albedo, Bowen ratio, roughness length, and leaf area index were computed from the land use values. Terrain data were taken from USGS l-degree Digital Elevation Model data, which primarily derive from USGS l:250,000 scale topographic maps. Missing land use data were filled with values that were assumed appropriate for the missing area. Precipitation data were obtained from the National Climatic Data Center. All available data in fixed-length,TD-3240 format were obtained for the modeling domain. The list of available stations that have collected complete data varies by year, but CH2M HILL processed all available stations/data within the domain for each year. Precipitation data were prepared with the PXTRACT/PMERGE processors in preparation for use within CALMET. Upper-air data were prepared for the CALMET model with the READ62 preprocessor for the following stations: o Denver, Colorado. Salt Lake City, Utaho Riverton, Wyoming. Rapid City, South Dakota Figure 4-2 shows the locations of surface and upper air stations within the MM5 modeling domain. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 39 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OOTOOlSLC\BART JB3,OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC JJ II =NI0 $ o.9ts oofi =.: o ,98 i.L ots)uo4cO€a .E -91o.2i1 o=CL, CLft,tr(E ooGE5o zUo 5o @oo oxEooo(, tU(,otdr =joU)LI G,UFzlIah U dE.L496ooJ@ oJo tr EToIJIll- U tr G T. Harvey, IPC Page 40 of 97 =-o) Y(Y)- ooiR Pfu+ x--o3s I r6i .tEp E(E? a.!EE brJ-o- EE-'^-:trIJl!(U!2E.=EE Pb6 g oco (E EiNECOEo\o(EE6€6i h a ifi=8 [ :IE o E=9,€ RE E!o J6 <'q 3oPO -Ao\ t o o- ol>{Eo.- AO EEt<ai = -B 3o- <.gg B, EE EOii! <z oE PB_3* c 'E|-9 8iiE @N EART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 4.2.3 Validation of CALMET Wind Field CH2M HILL used the CALDESK data display and analysis system (v2.97, Enviromodeling Ltd.) to view plots of wind vectors and other meteorological parameters to evaluate the CALMET wind fields. The CALDESK displays were compared to observed weather conditions, as depicted in surface and upper-air weather maps (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Admin istration, 200 6). 4.3 CALPUFF Modeling Approach For the BART control technology visibility improvement modeling, CH2M HILL followed WDEQ-AQD guidance provided (WDEQ-AQD, 2006\. CH2M HILL drove the CALPUFF model with the meteorological output from CALMET over the modeling domain described earlier. The CALPUFF model was used to predict visibility impacts for the pre-control (baseline) scenario for comparison to the predicted impacts for post-control scenarios for Jim Bridger 3. 4.3.1 Background Ozone and Ammonia Hourly values of background ozone concentrations were used by CALPUFF for the calculation of SOz and NO. transformation with the MESOPUFF II chemical transformation scheme. CH2M HILL obtained hourly ozone data from the following stations located within the modeling domain for 2001, 2002, and2003: . Rocky Mountain National Park, Coloradoe Craters of the Moon National Park, Idahoo Highland, Utaho Thunder Basin National Grasslands, Wyomingo Yellowstone National Park, Wyominge Centennial, Wyomingo Pinedale, Wyoming For periods of missing hourly ozone data, the chemical transformation relied on a monthly default value of 44 parts per billion. Background ammonia was set to 2 parts per billion. Both of these background values were taken from the guidance document (WDEQ-AQD, 2006). 4.3.2 Stack Parameters The stack parameters used for the baseline modeling reflect those that are in place under the current permit for Jim Bridger 3. Post-control stack parameters reflect the anticipated changes associated with installation of the control technology alternatives that are being evaluated. The maximum heat input rate of 6,000 MMBtu per hour was used to calculate a maximum emission rate. Measured velocities and stack flow rates were used in the modeling to represent a worst-case situation. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 41 of97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3_OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 4.3.3 Emission Rates Pre-control emission rates for Jim Bridger 3 reflect peak 24-hour average emissions that may occur under the source's current permit. The emission rates reflect actual emissions under normal operating conditions, as described by the EPA in the Regional Haze Regulations and Guidelines for Best Available Retrofit Technologt Determinations; Final Rule (40 CFR Part 5l). CH2M HILL used available continuous emission monitoring data to determine peak 24-hour emission rates. Data reflected operations from the most recent 3- to 5-year period unless a more recent period was more representative. Allowable short-term (24-hour or shorter period) emissions or short-term emission limits were used if continuous emission monitoring data were not available. Emissions were modeled for the following pollutants: . SOz. NO*. Coarse particulate (PMz s<diameter<PM16). Fine particulate (diameter<Pl\zl2 5). Sulfates Post-control emission rates reflect the effects of the emissions control scenario under consideration. Modeled pollutants were the same as those listed for the pre-control scenario. 4.3.4 Post-controlScenarios Four post-control modeling scenarios were developed to cover the range of effectiveness for the combination of the individual NO*, SO2, and PM controltechnologies being evaluated. The selection of each control device was made based on the engineering analyses described in Section 3 for reasonable technologies that would meet or exceed the presumptive BART levels for each pollutant. . Scenario 1: New LNB with OFA modifications, upgraded wet FGD system and flue gas conditioning for enhanced ESP performance. As indicated previously, this scenario represents CH2M HILL's preliminary BART recommendation. . Scenario 2: New LNB with OFA modifications, upgraded wet FGD system and new polishing fabric fi lter. . Scenario 3: New LNB with OFA modifications and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system and flue gas conditioning for enhanced ESP performance. . Scenario 4: New LNB with OFA modifications and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system and new polishing fabric filter. The ROFA option and LNB with OFA & SCR option for NO* control were not included in the modeling scenarios because their control effectiveness is between the LNB with OFA option and the SCR option. Modeling of NO*, SOz, and PM controls alone was not performed because any final BART solution will include a combination of control technologies for NO*, SOz, and PM. ExhibitNo.J^ _._.^ 4.7Case No. IPC-E-13-16 ' T. Harvey, IPC Page 42 ot 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OOl SLC\BART-JB3-OCT2OO7-FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 Table 4-2 presents the stack parameters and emission rates used for the Jim Bridger 3 analysis for baseline and post-control modeling. In accordance with the WDEQ BART modeling protocol, elemental carbon stack emissions and organic aerosol emissions were not modeled. 4.3.5 Modeling Process The CALPUFF modeling for the controltechnology options for Jim Bridger 3 followed this sequence: . Model pre-control (baseline) emissions. Model preferred post-control scenario (if applicable). Determine degree of visibility improvement. Model other control scenarios. Determine degree of visibility improvement. Factor visibility results into the BART'ofive-step" evaluation 4.3.6 Receptor Grids Discrete receptors for the CALPUFF modeling were placed at uniform receptor spacing along the boundary and in the interior of each area of concern. Class I area receptors were taken from the National Park Service database for Class I area modeling receptors. The TRC COORDS program was used to convert all latitude/longitude coordinates to Lambert Conformal Conic coordinates, including receptors, meteorological stations, and source locations. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 43 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3_OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC E Eg60EEo.g.ED E.eiEp.>ooo9co'-_ o 91 o.z BE EEo-6eEg99 EEa- EqENo! PEEO AEE: E_8!b o9 5.9 !ioE=3.9 Eoh t:o o b: !LO!t c 6+'! E Cf,r > !PE; A9p.E lib B of: E Egi T E:.i E @'*H{EE'- I gE! e ;Es I E oo = ioo f Ecr = oo- z o BE I E ?ftEEH= 7 Eoo c I s'g .f toN E P;9 U E9Y t c3E8Fox - 6ot O !Efl ? 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E --E fu -oa-o8 !E .E; <EE. 22iBa0Ez) 3;-E9ss Et=gE .g a 9^'EO O:blEA6: e: =!Eg6 ioEl-t fi -!pa[:6E;: EE::EE EEE!;o E:t3oa o:e! a!o. o c 0 E Co? o! o Coo E co? oG .9 C o6 Co? oG o Ca o E Co? oE E E o =gB3tQ 3=S BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 4.4 CALPOST The CALPOST processor was used to determine 24-hour average visibility results with output specified in deciview (dV) units. Calculations of light extinction were made for each pollutant modeled. The sum of all extinction values were used to calculate the delta-dv (A dV) change relative to natural background. The following default light extinction coefficients for each pollutant were used: o Ammonium sulfateo Ammonium nitrateo PM coarse (PMro)o PM fine (PMzs) o Organic carbon. Elemental carbon 3.0 3.0 0.6 1.0 4.0 10.0 CALPOST visibility Method 6 was used to determine the visibility impacts. Monthly relative humidity factors were used in the light extinction calculations to account for the hygroscopic characteristics of nitrate and sulfate particles. Table 5 ofthe Wyoming BART Air Modeling Protocol (Appendix B) lists the monthly relative humidity factors for the Class I areas. These values were used for the particular Class I area being modeled. The natural background conditions as a reference for determining the delta-deciview (AdV) change represented the 20 percent best natural visibility days. The EPA BART guidance document provided dV values for the l0 percent best days for each Class I are4 but did not provide individual species concentration data for the 20 percent best days. Species concentrations corresponding to the 20 percent best days were calculated for each Class I area by scaling back the annual average species concentrations given in Table 2-l of Guidance for Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions Under the Regional Haze Rule (EPA, 2003). A separate scaling factor was derived for each Class I area such that, when multiplied by the Guidance table annual concentrations, the 20 percent best days dV value for that area would be calculated. This procedure was taken from Protocolfor BART-Related Visibility Improvement Modeling Analysis in North Dakota (North Dakota Department of Health, 2005). The Wyoming BART Air Modeling Protocol (see Appendix B) did provide natural background concentrations of aerosol components to use in the BART analysis. Table 4-3 lists the annual average species concentrations from the BART protocol. Exhibit No-l _ .^ .^ +10Case No. IPC-E-13-16 ' T. Harvey, IPC Page 45 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BARI_JB3-OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 TABLE 4.3 Average Natural Levels of AerosolComponents Jim Bridger 3 AverageNaturalConcentration AverageNaturalConcentration Aerosol component (micrograms per cubic meter) (macrogmms per cubic meter) for Mt Zirkel Class I for Fitspatrick and Bridger Glass I Wilderness Area Wilderness Areas Ammonium Sulfate Ammonium Nitrate Organic Carbon Elemental Carbon Soil Coarse Mass 0.046 0.038 0.179 0.008 0.190 1.141 0.045 0.038 0.178 0.008 0.189 1.136 NOTES: Source: Table 6 of the Wyoming BART Air Modeling Protocol 4.5 Presentation of Modeling Results This section presents the results of the CALPUFF visibility improvement modeling analysis for Jim Bridger 3. 4.5.1 Visibility Changes for Baseline vs. Preferred Scenario CH2M HILL modeled Jim Bridger 3 for the baseline conditions and post-control scenarios. The post-control scenarios included emission rates for NO*, SOz, and PMro that would be achieved if BART technology were installed on Jim Bridger 3. Baseline (and post-control) 98ft percentile results were greater than 0.5 AdV for the Bridger WA, Fitzpatrick WA, and Mt. Zirkel WA. The 98fr percentile results for each Class I areaare presented in Table 4-4. Exhibit No. 1 case llo IPC-E-13-16 411 T. Harvey, IPC Page 46 of 97 JMS EY102OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3-OCT2OO7-FINAL,DOC = I a Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harey, IPC Page 47 of 97 oooi< <@zz d oP@o-{o!s*3 Hl*p@64 Nct @oo-_ $- q? dotc, -iESEti6#= oooNNNry6{N_NNN $- 9- $- NNN @-ry .j 6i ONa.!@ ;dci o(9r o;oo o dooE o uo '-s @G2.9 +eoo'-c EA ad 5Eid 33Ns;;6 @o@ o- i- FloooFtsN ct |j ri !:o EE* ;;6 N-aN- N-a@-ONN p xN6#= NNN Edd.d o@oONNq.!nooo c?qe o(,u ci u o]-ooo t(.) _o od<E 6€ =o:c >u ,EF hode d<<3zzd NOO cidci ^oo=oN+o_$- gNN6g; *P-Eii-:;-9 c,3d-s doteiN-O {dd -iE8-sii6#= ooo3.3.q NNNN. N. 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NNNotdot oo@st:9ooo oood-- b .9 o cioI oao o e u 'z 6io o 8E6E o*9 rjrJ.dONF E@.N- S"r;-i;aa gEn&E< o- o- o- o-d.t ctdd ci-; oor ci I o;o o <P OE ';b @ozt)a..u 38 9*3 oo@ \c?.!OO- -6agEn6#s caU ct r i =,9 Eoo in.go o6 ;.9.s;3:p<!EEi65.!e TTEE3: Ei =EEE EsE co Eo 6\t 93co O<od2 oo o; iE JE .i:?i;3 3.c ;ozz :c3t 33 € Oca5;t E63 o.=i c ois = !; 6=Fa =) ct E E = o a -qo ,9 I o o .=6 6 e = E'ah5i+- e+ E.E'leQ =3q a = 5.1 5.0 Preliminary Assessment and Recommendations As a result of the completed technical and economic evaluations, and consideration of the modeling analysis for Jim Bridger 3, the preliminary recommended BART controls for NO*, SOz, and PM are as follows: . New LNBs and modifications to the OFA system for NO* control. Upgrade wet sodium FGD for SO2 control. Add flue gas conditioning upstream of existing ESPs for PM control The above recommendations were identified as Scenario 1 for the modeling analysis described in Section 4. Visibility improvements for all emission control scenarios were analyzed, and the results are compared below, utilizing a least-cost envelope, as outlined in the New Source Review ll'orlcshop Manual (EPA, 1990).The purpose of this analysis is to use an objective, EPA-approved methodology to evaluate and make the final recommendation of BART control technology. Least-cost Envelope Analysis For the control scenarios modeled in Section 4, Tables 5-l through 5-3 list the total annualized cost, cost per dV reduction, and cost per reduction in number of days above 0.5 dV for each of the three Class I areas. A comparison of the incremental results between selected scenarios is provided in Tables 5-4 through 5-6. Figures 5-l to 5-6 show the total annualized cost versus number of days above 0.5 dV, and the total annualized cost versus 98th percentile AdV reduction, for the three Class I areas. 5.1.1 AnalysisMethodology On page B-41 of the New Source Review Worlcshop Manual, the EPA states that: "Incremental cost-effectiveness comparisons should focus on annualized cost and emission reduction differences between dominant alternatives. Dominant set of control alternatives are determined by generating what is called the envelope of least-cost alternatives. This is a graphical plot of total annualized costs for a total emissions reductions for all control alternatives identified in the BACT analysis..." An analysis of incremental cost effectiveness has been conducted. This analysis was performed in the following way. First, the control option scenarios are ranked in ascending order of annualized total costs, as shown in Tables 5-l through 5-3. The incremental cost effectiveness data, expressed per day and per dV, represents a comparison of the different scenarios, and is summarized in Tables 5-4 through 5-6 for each of the three wilderness areas. Then the most reasonable smooth curve of least-cost control option scenarios is plotted for each analysis. Figures 5-l through 5-6 present the two analyses (cost per dV reduction and cost per reduction in number of days above 0.5 dV) for each of the three Class I areas impacted by the operation of Jim Bridger 3. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 49 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OOl SLC\BART-JB3_OCT2OOT.FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 In Figure 5-1, the four scenarios are compared as a graph of totalannualized cost versus number of days above 0.5 dV. EPA states that "in calculating incremental costs, the analysis should only be conducted for control options that are dominant among all possible options." In Figure 5-1, the dominant set of control options, Scenarios l, 3 and 4, represent the least-cost envelope depicted by the curvilinear line connecting them. Scenario 2 is an inferior option and should not be considered in the derivation of incremental cost effectiveness. Scenario 2 represents inferior controls, because Scenario I provides approximately the same amount of visibility impact reduction for less cost than Scenario 2.The incremental cost effectiveness is determined by the difference in total annual costs between two contiguous scenarios, divided by the difference in emissions reduction. TABLE 5.1 Control Scenario Results for the Bridger Class I Wildemess Area Jim Bidger 3 Scenario Controls ggth Percentile Deciview (dv) Reduction Average Number of Days Above 0.5 dv (Days) Total Annualized Cost (Million$) Cost per dV Reduction (Million$/dV Reduced) Cost per Reduction in No. of Days Above 0.5 dV (Million$/Day Reduced) Base Current Operation with Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD), Electrostatic Precipitator (ESP) Low-NO, Burners (LNBs) with Over Fire Air (OFA), upgraded wet FGD system, flue Gas Conditioning (FGC) for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA, upgraded wet FGD system, and new polishing fabric filter LNB with OFA and Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR), upgraded wet FGD system, FGC for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system, new polishing fabric filter 0.00 0.43 0.46 0.63 0.64 11.3 14.3 15.0 24.4 21.2 28.5 37.9 0.00.00.00.0 0.37.93.410.7 0.9 1.3 9.7 18.1 1.6 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 50 of97 JMS EYlO2OOTOO1SLC\BART JB3 OCT2OOT FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 TABLE 5.2 Control Scenario Results for the Fitzpatrick Class I Wildemess Area Jin Bridoer 3 Scenario Gontrols ggrh Percentile dv Reduction Average Number ofDays TotalAbove Annualized 0.5 dV Cost(Days) lMillion$) Cost per Reduction in No. of Days Above 0.5 dV (Million$/Day Reduced) Cost per dV Reduction (Million$/dV Reduced) Cunent Operation with Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD), Electrostatic Precipitator (ESP) Low-NO, Burners (LNBs) with Over Fire Air (OFA), upgraded wet FGD system, flue Gas Conditioning (FGC) for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA, upgraded wet FGD system, and new polishing fabric filter LNB with OFA and Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR),, upgraded wet FGD system, FGC for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system, new polishing fabric filter 0.00 0.24 0.25 0.35 0.35 4.7 7.0 0.0 0.63.45.3 2.138.59.7 14.2 52.3 2.6 70.0 18.1 3.524.47.0 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 51 of97 JMS EY,I O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB3-OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 TABLE 5-3 Control Scenario Results for the lfi. Zirkel Class I Wildemess Area Jim Bridoer 3 Scenario Controls ggth Percentile dv Reduction Average Number of Days Above 0.5 dv (Days) Total Annualized Cost (Mittion$) Cost per dv Reduction (Million$/dV Reduced) Cost per Reduction in No. of Days Above 0.5 dv (Million$/Day Reduced) Base Current Operation with Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD), Electrostatic Precipitator (ESP) Low-NO, Burners (LNBs) with Over Fire Air (OFA), upgraded wet FGD system, flue Gas Conditioning (FGC) for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA, upgraded wet FGD system, and new polishing fabric filter LNB with OFA and Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR), upgraded wet FGD system, FGC for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system, new polishing fabric filter 0.00 0.56 17.0 0.60 17.7 0.87 27.3 0.88 28.3 $0.0 $18.1 $24.4 $0.0 $16.1 $20.9 $27.8 $0.0 $0.6 $0.7 $0.9 TABLE 5.4 Bridger Class I Wildemess Area lncremental Analysis Data Jin Bridoer 3 Options Compared lncremental Reduction in Days Above 0.5 Deciview (dv)(Days) lncremental lncremental dV lncrementa! Cost CostReductions Effectiveness Effectiveness(dV) (Million$/Days) (Million$/dV) Baseline and Scenario 1 Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 Scenario 1 and Scenario 4 10.7 0.7 3.7 4.3 0.43 0.03 0.20 0.21 $0.32 $9.5 $4.0 $4.9 $7.9 $221.1 $72.5 $98.6 Exhibit No. '1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 52 of97 JMS EYl O2OO7OO1 SLC\BARI_JB3_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC MRT ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 TABLE 5.5 FiEpatrick Class I Wildemess Area lncrementalAnalysis Data Jim Bridger 3 Options Compared lncrcmental Reduction in Days Above 0.5 Deciview (dv) (Days)) lncremental lncrcmental dV lncrcmental Cost CostReductions Effectiveness Effectiveness(dV) (Million$/Days) (Million$/dV) Baseline and Scenario 1 5.3 Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 NA Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 1.7 0.24 $0.64 0.01 NA 0.11 $8.8 Scenario 1 and Scenario 4 1.7 0.1'1 $12.6 $14.2 $463.8 $137.7 $191,7 TABLE 5-6 Mt. Zirkel Class I Wildemess Area lncrementalAnalysis Data Jim Bridger 3 Options Compared !ncremental Reduction in Days Above lncremental dV 0.5 Deciview Reductions (dV) (Days) (dv) lncrcmental lncrcmental Cost CostEffectiveness Effectiveness(Million$/Days) (Million$/dV) Baseline and Scenario 1 Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 Scenario 1 and Scenario 4 17.0 0.7 10.3 1't.3 0.56 0.05 0.31 0.32 $1.9 $6.09 $134.9 $47.6 $65.6 $0.20 $9.5 s1.4 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 53 of 97 JMS EY,I O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC MRT ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIOGER UNIT 3 F]GURE 5.1 Least-cost Envelope Bridger Class I WA Days Reduction Jin Bridger3 $30.0 t25.0 0 i3 $20.0 oooE$ ots.o trIE E 010.0 oF FIGURE 5.2 Least-cost Envelope Bridger Class I WA 98t' Percentile Reduction Jin Bridger3 $30.0 $0.0 0.fi) 68'r0 Reductlon !n Days of Exceedlng 0.5 dV (dayr) 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.s0 98th Percentlle Delta-Declvlew Reductlon (dV) '12 $25.0 c) ! seo.o oooE$ ots.o E Etr E $10.0 o $5.0 Exhibit No. 1 Case No.IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page 34 of 97 (t Scenario 4 , II /scenaao e I II a, lcenaaozr' Baseline - -fJ"o"rio t -t' tEcenario I I f*.no.I aI Sc€nario2 aa Basetine - -'t*n^o' JMS EY 1 0&07001 SLC\8ART_J B3_OCT2007_F|NAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 FIGURE 5-3 Leastcost Envelope FiEpatrick Class I WA Days Reduclion Jin Bridger3 $30.0 t) =. $20.0 oo(, E .$ ots.o o =E E 910.0 o FIGURE 54 Least-cost Envelope FiEpatrick Class IWA 9St,Percentile Reduction Jin Bridger 3 s30.0 $0.0 0.00 O - s2o.o sooE$ ots.o I EE E $10.0 o 345 Reducuon in Day. of Exceedlng 0.5 dV (days) 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 98th Percentlle Delta-Declvlew Reductlon (dV) Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 55 of 97 oScenario 4 ? ,Scenario 3 IIt, Scenario 2 Baseline - - - -'scenariol t) Scenario 4 OScenario 3I I , Sconario 2 aa Baseline a - - {""n"no, JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART.JB3-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC 5-7 BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 FIGURE 5.5 Leastcost Envelope Mt. ZirkelClass I WA Days Reduction Jin Bridger 3 $30.0 O - $20.0 ItooE$ sts.o I5Etr E $10.0 o FIGURE 56 Leastcost Envelope Mt. ZirkelClass IWA 98u'Percentile Reduction Jim Bridger i s30.0 $0.0 0.00 0.20 $25.0 a =J ozo.o,ooEf; sts.o o =Et ; 310.0 o s5.0 t0 15 20 ReducUon ln Days of Exceedlng 0.5 dV (dey.) 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 98th Percentlle Delta-Dsclvlew Reductlon (dV) Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 56 of 97 Scenario 4 t tII aI, Sconario 3 I III I Scenario 2 ---'-- Basaline I" I f s""n",io s / Scenerio2 // Baseline JMS EY1 ()2()O7()O1 SLC\BART_JB3_OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 5.1.2 Analysis Results Results of the least-cost Analysis, shown in Tables 5-l through 5-6 and Figures 5-l through 5-6 on the preceding pages, confirm the selection of Scenario l, based on incremental cost and visibility improvements. Scenario 2 is eliminated because it is to the left of the curve formed by the "dominant" control alternative scenarios, which indicates a scenario with lower improvement and/or higher costs. Scenario 3 is not selected due to very high incremental costs for both a cost per day of improvement and a cost per dV reduction. While Scenario 4 provides some potential visibility advantage over Scenario l, the projected improvement is less than half a dV, and the projected costs are excessive. Analysis of the results for the Jim Bridger Class I WA in Tables 5-l and 5-4 and Figures 5-l and 5-2 illustrates these conclusions. The greatest reduction in 98fr percentile dV and number of days above 0.5 dV is between the Baseline and Scenario 1. The incremental cost-effectiveness for Scenario l----compared to the Baseline for the Bridger WA, for example-is reasonable at S320,000 per day and $7.9 million/dV. However, the incremental cost effectiveness for Scenario 3 compared to Scenario l, again for the Bridger WA, is excessive at $4.0 million per day and $72.5 million per dV. The same conclusions are reached for each of the three wilderness areas studied. Therefore, Scenario I represents BART for Jim Bridger 3. 5.2 5.2.1 Recommendations NO, Emission Control The BART presumptive NO,limit assigned by EPA for tangentially-fired boilers burning sub-bituminous coal is 0.15 lb per MMBtu. However, as documented in Section 3.2.1, the characteristics of the Jim Bridger coals are more closely aligned with bituminous coals, and have been assigned a presumptive BART NO* limit of 0.28 lb per MMBtu. CH2M HILL recommends LNB with OFA as BART for Jim Bridger 3, based on the projected significant reduction in NO* emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of no additional power requirements or non-air quality environmental impacts. NO, reductions are expected to be similar to those realized at Jim Bridger 2. CH2M HILL recommends that the unit be permiffed at a rate of 0.26 lb per MMBtu. 5.2.2 SOz Emission Control CH2M HILL recommends upgrading the existing wet sodium FGD system as BART for Jim Bridger 3, based on the significant reduction in SOz emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of both minimal additional power requirements and non-air quality environmental impacts. This upgrade approach will meet the BART presumptive SOz limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. 5.2.3 PMro Emission Control CH2M HILL recommends finalizing the permitting of the FGC system to enhance the performance of the existing ESP as BART for Jim Bridger 3, based on the significant reduction in PMro emissions, reasonable controlcosts, and the advantages of minimal additional power requirements and no non-air quality environmental impacts. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 on T. Harvey, IPC Page 57 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OOl SLC\BART_JB3_OCT2OO7-FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 3 5.3 Just-Noticeable Differences in Atmospheric Haze Conclusions reached in the reference document "Just-Noticeable Differences in Atmospheric Haze" by Dr. Ronald Henry (2002), state that only dV differences of approximately 1.5 to 2.0 dV, or more are perceptible by the human eye. Deciview changes of less than 1.5 cannot be distinguished by the average person. Therefore, the modeling analysis results indicate that only minimal, if any, observable visibility improvements at the Class I areas studied would be expected under any of the scenarios. Thus the results indicate that even though many millions of dollars will be spent, only minimal if any visibility improvements may result. Finally, it should be noted that none of the data were corrected for natural obscuration. Water in various forms (fog, clouds, snow, or rain) or other naturally caused aerosols may obscure the atmosphere and reduce visibility. During the period of 2001 through 2003, there were several mega-wildfires that lasted for many days, with a significant impact on background visibility in these Class I areas. If natural obscuration lessens the achievable reduction on visibility impacts modeled for BART controls at the Jim Bridger 3 facility, the overall effect would be to increase the costs per dV reduction that are presented in this report. Exhibit.No- 1 - -^ -^ r1oCase No. IPC-E-13-16' ' T. Harvey, IPC Page 58 of 97 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3.OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC 6.0 References 40 CFR Part 51. Regional Haze Regulations and Guidelinesfor Best Available Retrofit Technology Determinations; Final Rule. July 6,2005. Energy Information Administration, 2006. Official Energt Statistics from the U.S. Government: Coal. http://www.eia.doe.eov/fuelcoal.html. Accessed October 2006. EPA, 2003. Guidancefor Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions Under the Regional Haze Rul e. Environmental Protection Agency. EPA-454/8-03 -005. September 2003. EPA, 1990. New Source Review Worleshop Manual-Prevention of Significant Deterioration and Nonattainment Area Permitting. Draft. October 1990. Henry, Ronald, 2002. "Just-Noticeable Differences in Atmospheric Haze," Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association. Volume 52, p.1238. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,2006. U.S. Daily Weather Maps Project. http://docs.lib.noaa.eov/rescue/dwm/data_rescue_dailv_weather_maps.htnl. Accessed October 2006. North Dakota Department of Health, 2005. Protocolfor BART-Related Yisibility Improvement ModelingAnalysis in North Dakota. North Dakota Department of Health. October 26, 2005. Sargent & Lundy, 2002. Multi-Pollutant Control Report. October 2002. Sargent & Lundy, 2006. Multi-Pollutant Control Report. Revised. October 2006. WDEQ-AQD,2006. BART Air Modeling Protocol-Individual Source Visibility Assessments for BART Control Analyses. Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality - Air Quality Division. September 2006. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 59 of 97 JMS EY1 O2()O7OO1 SLC\BART-JB3_OCT2()O7_FINAL.DOC Economic Ana Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 60 of 97 I6Eo = 2z Zz Zz 22 >o6=aci.1oio(,()()-L66'=aoo c c!o 60.9 < < <E = [ [ [@i; o o oid < E -o;- ] 3- ]-- 5[ J J[ J[ Z;E ;P :E :i :Er E: Er EL EfiF .HF .qp .qp fr "E oop o 2ZZ 2ZZ 2ZZ 2Z ggPe r [ [ [;io o o o: , '- ;!{i }.F6 6 0 6_ d*z z= z.; z.; 9 ,rN! O- t-o6 oH oP o-osu Eri E5 E5ga E3 E5 E5 oo :I 'co 3. i q@o YU oE e36r :> i ooo ooo ooo9 dNN T$I NNGo ooo ooo NNcu ljrjN d@ @ dri+ oioicL 6@@ NNN NtsNtr ooo ENN ooo i$l: ooo ooo o@o lssNNA6:L o@4 c44 c@6 c@4 s-: g g E E..g < < < <E^E E b= B 3EY O E Tg E^ G'i! 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Haryey, IPC Page 74 ol 97 o o=iro -o(o TL o)o.9OcC) .oq= tLOO o oo 6 trooc .9 :oo.t o) =O^€6(ULL o)o_f od LLatY <-r>U) mzJ otro CLo 6 troo tr .9 :6o- a o ooo Go o.= TL o xF-o o I.9o GC .o EocoOt!Ft m c.)m-o- oO o_ I o-o- (JJa oof.-ooNo tU od tr1zaazJ LLot LLo =mzJ ooooooooooooooooooo_ o^ o- o- o- o- o- o- o-ooooooooooooooooooo_ o^ o- o- o^ o- o- o- o_@(ovNoco(osN Exhibit No. 1 Case No IPC-E-'I3-16 T Harvey, IPC Page 75 of 97 ($) lsoC ree^ ls.rlJ o o =LLo NtL o)o.=(Uc C) .oe= LLOO o xNo o I.utU' (,c .9 Eocoo UJFt co c.)co-o_ oOo_ I o_o- OJa oof.-OoNo I.IJ 6 =En3U(!LL(noo-c1.9 CLotE tL=g^n b>; o2E f=oo-odL lLea51za@zJ LLot- LLa3 cozJ OOoO^ OoO.oN OOooo- o_ooOOo- o^OO@(o otr .9oo E troo .9 =oo- a o ooo o =trooo o- ooooooooooooo- o- o- o- o- o-ooooooooooooo_ o^ o- o- o^ o-ooooootNo€(os ($) efl''l luEld JeeA raAO lsog quol luasald Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 76 of 97 APPENDIX B BART PTOIOCOI Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page77 ot97 BART Air Modeling Protocol Individual Source Visibility Assessments for BART Control Analyses September,2006 State of Wyoming Departmeut of Environmental Quali$ Air Quality Division Cheyenne, WY 82AAz Exhibit No. 'l Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 78 of 97 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC 2 Page 79 of 97 1.0 INTRODUCTION The U.S. EPA has issued final amendments to the Regional Haze Regulations, along with Guidelines for Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) Determinations.(r) The guidelines address the methodology for detennining which facilities must apply BART (sources subject-to-BART) and the evaluation of control options. The State of Wyoming used air quality modeling in accordance with the EPA Guidelines to determine the Wyoming sources which are subject-to-BART. This Protocol defines the specific methodology to be used by those sources for determining the improvement in visibility to be achieved by BART controls. The methodology presented in this Protocol is consistent with EPA guidance and the Air Quality Division (AQD) determination of subject-to-BART sources. It is intended that all Wyoming sources that must conduct BART analyses will use this Protocol for their evaluation of contol technology visibility improvement. Any deviations from the procedures described herein must be approved by the Division prior to implementation. (r) 40 CFR Part 5l: Regional Haze Regulations and Guidelines for Best Available Reuofit Technology (BART) Determinations; Final Rule. 70 Federal Register, 39103-39172, July 6, 2005. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 80 of 97 2.0 OVERVIEW Wyoming AQD determined that eight facilities (sources) in the state are subject- to-BART. The sources are listed in Table 1. Division modeling indicated that each of these sources causes or contributes to visibility impairment in one or more Class I areas. Each source must conduct a BART analysis to define Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) applicable to that source, and quantify the improvement in Class I visibility associated with BART controls. This Protocol sets out the procedures for quantifying visibility improvement. Other aspects of the full BART analysis are not addressed here. There are mauy Class I areas within and surrounding Wyomiug (See Figure 1). On the basis of distance from subject-to-BART sources, topography, meteorolog% and prior modeling, the AQD has determined that only five Class I areas need be addressed in BART individual source analyses. These are Badlands and Wind Cave National Parks in South Dakota, ML Zirkel Wilderness Area in Colorado, and Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wildemess Areas in Wyoming. Sources in eastem Wyoming have been shown to have greatest visibility impacts at the two South Dakota Class I areas, and western Wyoming sources have maximum impacts at Bridger and Fitzpakick Wilderness Areas, and Mt. Zirkel. Visibitity improvement at these highest impact areas wili provide the best measure of the effectiveness of BART contrcls. Each facility should carry out modeling with the CALPUFF modeling system for the Class I areas specified in Table 2. The AQD will provide meteorological input for CALMET for the years 2001, 2002, and 2003. Tlie model domain covered by the AQD meteorological data is centered in southwest Wyoming, and extends roughly from Twin Fa1ls, ID in the west to the Missouri River in the east, and from Denver in the south to Helen4 MT in the north. The domain is shown, along with Class I areas, in Figure 1. Sources may wish to utilize a smaller domain for CALPUFF modeling. Smailer domains are acceptable if they provide aciequate additional area beyond the specific source and Class I areas being addressed. Figure 1 includes a "southwest Wyoming" domain which represents the minimum acceptabie area for sources impacting the Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wildemess Areas, and the Mt, Zirkel Wilderness Area, and a "noltheast Wyoming" domain as a minimum area for Badlands and Wind Cave National Parks modeling. The CALPUFF model should be used with each of the three years of meteorological data to calculate visibility impacts for a baseline (existing ernissions) case, and for cases reflectirig BART controis. The control scenarios are to include individual scenarios for proposed BART controls for each pollutant (SO2, NO*, and particulate matter), and a combined sceualio representing application of all proposed BART controls. If desired, additional modeling may be pedormed for controls that are not selected as BART. This might be done, for example, to provide data useful in identifying the control technologies that represent BART. Howeveq visibility modeling is required only for the proposed BART controls. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC 4 Page 8'l of 97 Basin Electric Laramie River Power Plant Boilers #1.2.3 FMC Comoration Granser Soda Ash Plant Boilers #1.2 FMC Comoration Green River Sodium Plant Three boilers General Chemical Co.Green River Soda Ash Two boilers PacifiCom Dave Johnson Power Plant Boilers #3,4 PacifiCom Jim Brideer Power Plant Boilers #i-4 PacifiCom Nauehton PowerPlant Boilers #L.2-3 PacifiCom V/yodak Power Plant Boiler Table 1. Wyoming Sources Subject-to-BART Results of visibility modeling will be presented as a comparison between baseline impacts and those calculated for the BART conhol scenarios. Quantitative measures of impact will be the 98th percentile deciview change (Adv) relative to the 20% best days natural background, and the number of days with deciview change exceeding 0.5 (EPA Regional Haze Regulations and Guidelines for Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) Determinations, 70 FR 39103). Results should be presented for each year. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 5T. Harvey, IPC Page 82 of97 e ec Source Class I Areas to be Evaluated Basin Electric Laramie River Wind Cave NP, Badlands NP FMC Corporation Granser Soda Ash Bridger WA, Fitzpatrick WA FMC Corporation Sodiurn Products Bridger WA, Fitzpatrick WA General Chemical Green River Soda Ash Bridger WA, Fitzpatrick WA Pacificorp Dave Johnston Wind Cave NP, Badlands NP Pacificorp Jim Brideer Bridger WA, Fitzpatick WA, Mt. Zirkel WA Pacificorp Nauehton Plant Bridger WA, Fitzpatrick WA Pacificorp Wvodak Wind CaveNP, Badlands NP Tabl Source-S ific Class I Areas to be Addressed Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16- T. Harvey, IPC O Page 83 of 97 3.0 EMISSIONS DATA FOR MODELING CALPUFF model input requires source (stack) - specific emission rates for each pollutant, and stack parameters (height, diameter, exit gas temperature, and exit gas velocity), Per EPA BART guidance, these pararneters must be representative of maximum actual 24-hour average emitting conditions for baseline (existing) operation, and maximum proposed 24-hour average emissions for futrue (BART) operations. 3.1 Baseline Modeling Sources are required to utilize representative baseline emission conditions if data are available; baseline emissions must be documented. Possible sources of emission data are stack tests, CEM data, fuel consumption data, etc. Remember that emissions should represent maximum 24-hour rates. EPA BART guidance states that you should "Use the 24-hour average actual emission rate from the highest emitting day of the meteorological period modeled (for the pre-control scenario)." Thus, baseline conditions should reference data fiom 2001 through2003 (or 2004). As a minimum, modeled emissions must include: SOz sulfur dioxideNO* oxides of nitrogenPMz.s particles with diameter less tlan 2.5pm PMro-z.s particles with diameters greater than 2.5pm but iess than or equal to 10 prn If the fraotion of PMro in the PMz.s (fine) and PMro-z.s (coarse) categories cannot be determined ali particulate matter should be assumed to be PMz.s. In addition, direct emissions of sulfate (SOa) should be included where possible. Sulfate can be emitted as sulfiric acid (H2SO4), sulfur trioxide (SOa), or as sulfate compounds; emissions should be quantified as the equivalent mass of SOa. When test or engineering data arc not available to speciff SOa emissions or the relative fractions of fine and coarse particles, use can be made of speciation profiles available from Federal Land Managers at the website htlpllww2.nature.nps.gov/airlpermits/ect/index.cfrn. Prohles are avaiiable for a number of source type and control technology combinations. The FLM speciation factors are acceptabie ifdata are available for the appropriate source type. Emissions of VOC (volatile organic compounds), condensable organics measured in stack tests, and elemental carbon components of PMro do not need to be included for BART modeling. The only other pollutant noted in EPA BART guidance is ammonia OIH3). Though ammonia is not believed to be a signifrcant contributor to visibility Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-'|3-16 'T. Harvey, IPC t Page 84 of 97 impairment in most cases in Wyomiug, it could be important for sources with significant ammonia emissions - for example from some NO* control systems. Sources that are expected to emit ammonia (in pre-or post-control configurations) should include ammonia emissions in their model input. If quantitative baseline emissions data are unavailable and sources believe that the marcirnum 24-hotv emission rates estimated by the Division (presented in the Subject{o- BART final report) are representative of baseline conditions for their facility, they may be used for baseline modeling. However, emissions of sulfate and ammonia (if applicable) should be included based on the best available test information or speciation factors from current literature. 3.2 Post-Control Modeling Ail pollutants described above should be included for each post-control scenario. PosGcontrol emissions (maximum Z4-hoar average) will generally be the baseline emissions multiplied by a control factor appropriate to the BART control. However, some proposed controls may simply increase the efficiency of existing controls; others may result in an increase in emissions of one pollutant while controlling another. These factors must all be considered in defining emission rates for post-control modeling. Any changes in stack parameters resulting from control application must also be included. The required visibility assessment will include the effect of each proposed BART control. For example, if a source proposes to add a scrubber for SOz control, low NO* burners for NO* control, and a baghouse for particulate conffol, four sets of visibility results should be developed: o LJse of SOz control aloneo Use of NO* control aloneo Use ofparticulate conhol aloner Use of proposed combination of all three conhols AII pollutants should be modeled in each CALPUFF model run, but the modeled emissions should reflect only the specific controls or combination of controls addressed in that run. Additional modeliug could be necessary situations where a facility comprised of more than one subject-to-BART source, and different BART controls are applicable to different sources. Excessive modeling to address multiple control combinations is not necessary; however, visibility modeling should quantify the effect of BART controls on ali affected sources for each pollutant, and of all facility BART controls combined. Exhibit No. 'l Case No. IPC-E-13-16., T. Harvey, IPC o Page 85 of 97 4.O METEOROLOGICAL DATA Wyoming AQD will provide MM5 meteorological data fields for years 2001, 20A2, and 2003 that can be utilized as input to CALMET. The MM5 output wiil have 12 kilometer resolution and cover the fulI domain shown inFigure l. Mesoscale meteorological data CMM5) were developed and evaluated as part of the AQD's southwest Wyoming NO2 increment analysis. Three years of MM5 data at 36 krn resolution were used to initialize 12 krr, MM5 simulations. The 12lan MM5 modeling used identical physics options to the original 36 km runs. CALMM5 was then used as a preprocessor to produce CALMET - ready MM5 data input files. Quality assurance was perforrned by comparing the original MM5 output on the 361ffi national RPO gdd to the 12lsn MM5 output and observations. The CAIMET model (version 5.53a,level 040716) should be used to prepare meteorological input for CALPUFF. The user may select a domain smaller than the MM5 domain for CALMET and CALPUEF modeling if desired. Figure 1 shows minimum domain areas for modeling of westem and eastern 'il/yoming BART sources. Four kilometer resolution should be specified for CALMET output. CALMET processing should use the AQD MM5 data, and appropriate surface, upper air, and precipitation data. Figure 2 shows the locations of surface and upper air stations within the MM5 model domain. The MM5 data are used as the initial guess wind field; this wind field is then adjusted by CALMET for terrain and land use to generate a step I wind fie14 and refined using stuface and upper air data to create the final step 2 wind field. Surface, upper air, and precipitation data can be obtained from the National Climatic Data Center. Land use and terrain data are available from the U.S. Geological Survey. Data can be formatted for use in CALMET with standard conversion and processing programs available with the CALMET/CALPUFF software. Table 3 provides a listing of applicable CALMET input variables for BART meteorological processing. The table includes rnputs that are specific to Wyoming BART modeling. Inputs not shown in Table 3 are not relevant to the present application, are dependent on the specific model domain of the user, use model default values, or are obvious from the context. Exhibit No. 'l Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC 9 Page 86 of 97 Table 3. CALMET Control File Inputs Variable Descriotion Value Input Group 1 IBYR Year 200r 2002 2003 TBTZ Base time zone 7 IRTYPE Run twe 1 LCALGRD Compute data fields for CALGRID T Input Group 2 PMAP Map proiection LCC DGRIDKM Grid soacine (km)4 NZ Number of lavers t0 ZFACE Cell face heiehts (m)0 20 40 100 t40 320 580 1020 1480 2220 3500 Inout Grouo 4 NOOBS No observation Mode 0 Inout Grouo 5 IWFCOD Model selection variable 1 IFRADJ Froude number adiustment 1 IKINE Kinematic effects 0 IOBR Use O'Brien procedure 0 ISLOPE Slope flow effects I IEXTRP Extrapolate surface wind observations -4 iCALM Exhapolate calm surface winds 0 BIAS Biases for weights of surface and upper air statious A1l0 RMIN2 Minimum distance fol extrapolation -1 IPROG Use sridded prosnostic model output t4 ISTEPPG Time Step (hours)I LVARY Use varyins radius of influence F Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC 10 Page 87 of 97 Table 3. CALMET Conhol File Inputs (continued) Variable Description Value RMAX I Maximum radius of infiuence (km)30 RMAX 2 Maximum radius of influence fl<rn)50 RMIN Minirnum radius of influence (km)0.1 TERRAD Radius of influence for terrain ftm)15 RI Relative weighting of first guess wind field and observations &m) 5 R2 Relative weiehtine aloft (kn)25 iDIOPT 1 Surface temperahrre 0 IDIOPT 2 Uooer air laose rate 0 ZIJPT Laose rate deoth (m)200 IDIOPT 3 Average wind components 0 IUPWND Upoer air station -l zrJPwND (1) ZUPWND (2) Bottom and top of layer for domain scale winds (m) 1,1000 1, 1000 TDIOPT4 Surface wind components 0 IDIOPT5 Uooer air wind comoonents 0 Innut Grouo 6 IAVEZI Soatial averasins I MNMDAV Max search radius I HAFANG Half anele for averaeine (dee)30 TLEVZT Laverof winds in averagins I ZfrVIAX Maximum overland mixins heieht (m)3500 ITPROG 3D temperature source 1 IRAD Intemolation tvoe 1 TRADKM Radius of influence - temoerature fl<rn)s00 NUMTS Maximum number of Stations 5 IAVET Spatial averaging of temperatures I NFLAGP Precipitation intemolation 2 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16., T. Harvey, IPC I I Page 88 of 97 5.0 CALPUFF MODEL APPLICATION The CALPUFF model (version 5.7lla,level 040716) will be used to calculate pollutant concentmtions at receptors in each Class 7 uea. Application of CALPUFF should, in general, follow the guidance presented in the Interagency Workgroup on Air Quality Modeling (IWAQM) Phase 2 report (EPA - 454lR98-019) and the EPA Regional Haze Regulations and Guidelines for BART Determinations (70 FR 39103). Appropriate CALPUFF control file inputs are in Table 4. Note should be taken of the basis for several of the recommended CALPUFF inputs. . Building downwash effects need not be included. Because of the transport distances involved and the fact that most sources have tall stacks, building downwash is unlikely to have a significant effect on model-predicted concentrations Puff splitting is not required. The additional computation time necessary for puff splitting is not justified for purposes of BART analyses. Hourly ozone files should be used to define background ozone concentration. Dataarc available from the following sites within the model domain- Rocky Mountain NP, CO Craters of the Moon NP, ID AIRS -Highland UT Mountain Thunder, WY Yellowstone NP, WY Centenaial, WY Pinedale, WY The background ozone concentration shown in Table 4 is used only when hourly data are missing. A constant background ammonia concenkation of 2.0 ppb is specified. This value is based upon monitoring data from nearby states and IWAQM guidance. Experience suggests tbat 2.0 ppb is conservative in that it is unlikely to significantly limit nitrate formation in the model computations. MESOPLIFF II chemical transformation rates should be used. The species to be modeled should be the seven identified in CALPUFF' SOz, SOe, NO*, IINOg, NO:, PMz.s, and PM16-2.5. If antmonia (NH:) is emitted it should be added to the species list. In most cases, all pollutants modeled will also be emitted, except for HNO: and NOr. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC lZ Page 89 of 97 Concentration calculations should be made for receptors covering the areas of the Class I areas being addressed. Receptors in each Class I area lvill be those designated by the Federal Land Managers ard available from the National Park Service website. Tabie 4. CALPUFF Control File Inputs Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16. ^T. Harvey, IPC IJ Page 90 of 97 Variable Description Value Inout Group 1 METRLIN Control oarameter for runnins a]l neriods in met file 1 IBYR Starting year 2001 2402 2003 reTZ Base time zone 7 NSPEC Number of chemical soecies modeled 7 (or 8) NSE Number of soecies emitted 5 (or 6) METFM Meteorolosical data format Inout Group 2 MGAUSS Vertical distribution in near field MCTADJ Terrain adiustment method 3 MCTSG Submid scale comolex terrain 0 MSLUG Elonsated puffs 0 MTRANS Transitional olume rise I MTIP Stack tio downwash 1 MSHEAR Vertical wind shear 0 MSPLiT Puff solittine allowed?0 MCHEM Chemical mechanism I MAOCHEM Aqueous phas e transformation 0 MWET Wet removal I MDRY Drv deposition 1 MDISP Di spersion Co efficients 3 MROUGH Adiust sigma for roushness 0 MPARTL Partial olume oenetration of inversions I MPDF PDF for convective conditions 0 Input Group 4 PMAP Mao proiection LCC DGRIDKM Grid soacine 4 Table 4. CALPUFF Control File Inputs (continued) ZFACE CeIl face heiehts (m)0 20 40 r00 t40 320 580 rc20 1480 2220 3s00 hrout Grouo 6 NHILL Number of terrain features Inout Group 7 0 Dry Gas Depo Chemical pammeters for dry gas deposition Defaults Input Grouo 8 DryPart. Depo Size parameters for dry particle deposition SOa, NO:, PM25 PMlO Defaults 6.5. 1.0 input Group 11 MOZ Ozone Input option 1 BCKO3 Background ozone all months (oob) 44.0 BCKNH3 Background ammonia - all months (pob) 2.0 Input Grouo 12 ){NTAXZI Maximum mixing height (m) 3500 )il\4INZ Minimum mixing height (m) 50 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC 14 Page 91 of97 6.0 POST PROCESSING Visibility impacts are calculated from the CALPUFF concentration results using CALPOST. CALPOST version 5.51, level 030709 should be used; the output from CALPOST will provide the highest deciview impact on each day from all receptors within each Class Ixeamodeled. For some CALPIIFF applications such as deposition calculations, the POSTUTIL program is used prior to CAIPOST, POSTUTIL is also used to repartition total nitato by accounting for ammonia limiting. The ammonia limiting calculation in POSTUTIL should not be applied for Wyoming BART modeling. If you believe that amrnonia limiting is appropriate for a specific BART analysis, justification should be discussed with the Division prior to its used. Visibility calculations by CALPOST for BART purposes use Method 6. This method requires input of monthly relative humidity factors, f(RH), for each Class I area, The EPA guidance document provides appropriate data for each area. Table 5 lists monthly f(RlI) factors to use for the Wyoming, Colorado, and South Dakota areas to be addressed in BART modeling. The factors shown in Table 5 include averages for the adjacent Class I areas, and are within 0.2 units of the Guideline table values for the individual Class I areas. Natural backgror:nd conditions as a reference for determination of the delta-dv change due to a source should be representative of the 20Yo best natural visibility days. EPA BART guidance provides the 20o/o best days deciview values for each Class I area on an arurual basis, but does not provide species concentration data for the 20% best background conditions. These concentrations are needed for input to CALPOST. Annual species concentrations corresponding to the 20Yo best days were calculated for each Class I area to be addressed, by scaiing back the annual average concentrations given in Guidance for Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions Under the Regional Haze Rule (Table 2-1). A separate scaling factor was derived for each Class I area such that, when multiplied by the Guidance table annual concentrations, the 20% best days deciview value for that area would be calculated. The scaled aerosol concentrations lvere averaged for the Bridger and Fitzpahick WAs, and for Wind Cave and Badlands NPs, because of their geographical proximity and similar anaual background visibility. The 20o/o best days aerosol concentrations to be used for each month for Wyoming BART evaluations are listed in Table 6. Table 7 is a list of inputs for CALPOST. These inputs should be used for a1l BART visibility calculations. Output from CALPOST should be configured to provide a ranlced list of the highest delta-deciview values in each Class I area. The 981h percentile delta-deciview value and the number of values exceeding 0.5 can then be deterrnined directly from the CALPOST output. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-'|3-16- - T. Harvey, IPC t) Page 92 of97 Table 5. Monthlv f(RI Factors for Class I Areas Month Wind Cave NP Badlands NP Bridger WA Fitzpatrick WA Mt. Zirkel WA Januarv 2.65 2.50 2.20 Febmarv 2.65 2.30 2.20 March 2.65 2.30 2.00 April 2.55 2.10 2.t0 Mav 2.70 2^10 2.20 June 2.60 1.80 1.80 Julv 2.30 1.50 1.70 August 2.30 1.50 1.80 Septernber 2.20 1.80 2.00 October 2.25 2.00 1.90 November 2.75 2.50 2.r0 December 2.65 2.40 2.10 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,IPC 16 Page 93 of 97 Table 6. Natural Background Concentrations of Aerosol Components for 20% Best Days Wind Cave NP Badlands NP Mt. Zirkel V/A Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-14 - T. Harvey, IPC L t Page 94 of 97 Table 7. CALPOST Control File Variable Description Value Input Group 1 ASPEC Species to Process VISiB ILAYER Laverldeposition code A.B Scalins factors 0.0 LBACK Add backeround concentrations?F BTZONE Base time zone 7 LVSO4 Species to be included in extinction T L\TNO3 T LVOC F L\rPMC T LVPMF T LVEC F LVBK Include backsround?T SPECPMC Species name for particulates PMlO SPECPMF PM25 EEPMC Extinction effi ciencies 0.6 EEPMF 1.0 EEPMCBI(0.6 EES04 3.0 EENO3 3.0 EEOC 4.0 EESOIL 1.0 EEEC 10.0 MVISBK Visibilitv calculation method 6 RHFAC Monthlv RH adiustment factors Table 5 BKS04 Backpnound concentrations Table 6 BKNO3 Table 6 BKPMC Table 6 BK OC Table 6 BKSOIL Table 6 BKEC Table 6 BEXTRAY Extinction due to Ravleieh scatterins 10.0 Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC l8 Page 95 of 97 7.0 REPORTING A report on the BART visibility analysis should be submitted that clearly compares impacts for post-control emissions to those for baseline emissions. Data for baseline and BART scenarios should include both the 98ft percentile values and the number of days with delta-deciview values exceeding 0.5. Results should be given for each model year. Table 8 is an exarnple of a recommended format for presentation of model input and model results. The exarnple is for baseline conditions; sirnilar tables should be provided for each contol scenario (SOz, NOr, and PM10) and for the combination of all BART controls. Your report tables need not follow the exact format shown in Table 8; but the same idonnation should be provided in a concise and clear form. If additional scenarios were modeled or you wish to present supplemental information, they should be provided in an appendix or separate from the qpecified final results. Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-1q o T. Harvey, IPC L/ Page 96 of 97 U)P @4)dE a o.E oEokra(Ho o d ovtol<O{lr€€d LioE-oa EltxtI.l od c) -odF .=,,P g- ,5 6.6 Sr-E v iu0Otrrd'5'= a-gE 5e)Z dA* B-'ae EElv HnO -- }i.i'6 L q F EE S -Hi tqv sa€B B E'H.oOJ (J Eaa3< A U, (!)tr (!)a(E pq Exhibit No. 1 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 97 of97 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION GASE NO. IPC-E-13-16 IDAHO POWER GOMPANY HARVEY, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO.2 Final Rrport BART Analysis for Jim Bridger Unit 4 Prepared For: PacifiCorp 1407 West North Temple Salt Lake City, Utah 84116 December 2007 Prepared By: CH2tl,lHILL 215 South State Street, Suite 1000 Salt Lake City, Utah 841 11 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 'l of 96 Final Rrport BART Analysis for Jim Bridger Unit 4 Submitted to PacifiCorp December 2007 GH2IUIHILL Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 2 of96 Executive Summary Background In response to the Regional Haze Rule and Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) regulations and guidelines, CH2M HILL was requested to perform a BART analysis for PacifiCorp's Jim Bridger Unit 4 (hereafter referred to as Jim Bridger 4). A BART analysis has been conducted for the following criteria pollutants: nitrogen oxides (NO,.), sulfur dioxide (SOz), and particulate matter less than l0 micrometers in aerodynamic diameter (PM16). The Jim Bridger Station consists of four 530-megawatt (MW) units with a total generating capacity of 2,120 MW. Because the total generating capacity of the Jim Bridger Station exceeds 750 MW, presumptive BART emission limits apply to Jim Bridger 4, based on the United States Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) guidelines. BART emissions limits must be achieved within 5 years after the State Implementation Plan (SIP) is approved by the EPA. A compliance date of 2014 was assumed for this analysis. In completing the BART analysis, technology alternatives were investigated and potential reductions in NO*, SOz, and PMls emissions rates were identified. The following technology alternatives were investigated, listed below by pollutant: o NO* emission controls: Low-NO* bumers (LNBs) with over-fire air (OFA) LNBs with rotating opposed fire air (ROFA) LNBs with selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR) system LNBs with selective catalytic reduction (SCR) system . SOz emission controls: Dry flue gas desulfurization (FGD) system with existing electrostatic precipitator (ESP) Dry FGD system with new polishing fabric filter Wet FGD system and new stack with existing ESP o PMro emission controls: Sulfur trioxide (SO3) injection flue gas conditioning system on existing ESP Polishing fabric filter Exhibit No. 2 -^Case No. IPC-E-13-16 ES-' T. Harvey, IPC Page 3 of 96 JMS EY1O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2OOT.FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 BART Engineering Analysis The specific steps in a BART engineering analysis are identified in the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) at 40 CFR 51, Appendix Y, Section IV. The evaluation must include: o The identification of available, technically feasible, retrofit control options . Consideration of any pollution control equipment in use at the source (which affects the availability of options and their impacts) The costs of compliance with the control options The remaining useful life of the facility The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance The degree of visibility improvement that may reasonably be anticipated from the use of BART The following steps are incorporated into the BART analysis: . Step I - Identifr All Available Retrofit ControlTechnologies . Step 2 - Eliminate Technically Infeasible Options The identification of available, technically feasible, retrofit control options Consideration of any pollution control equipment in use at the source (which affects the applicability of options and their impacts) . Step 3 - Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Control Technologies . Step 4 - Evaluate lmpacts and Document the Results The costs of compliance with the control options The remaining useful life of the facility The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance . Step 5 - Evaluate Visibility Impacts The degree of visibility improvement that may reasonably be anticipated from the use ofBART Separate analyses have been conducted for NO*, SOz, and PMro emissions. All costs included in the BART analyses are in 2006 dollars, and costs have not been escalated to the assumed 2014 BART implementation date. Coal Characteristics The main source of coal burned at Jim Bridger 4 will be the Bridger Underground Mine. Secondary sources are the Bridger Surface Mine, the Bridger Highwall Mine, the Black Butte Mine, and the Leucite Hills Mine. These coals are ranked as sub-bituminous, but are closer in Exhibit No. 1 _ .- -^ES_2Case No. IPC-E-13-16 -'' T. Harvey, IPC Page 4 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO.I SLC\8ART-JB4-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 characteristics to bituminous coal in many of the parameters influencing NO* formation. These coals have higher nitrogen content than coals from the Powder River Basin (PRB), which represent the bulk of sub-bituminous coal use in the U.S. This BART analysis has considered the higher nitrogen content and different combustion characteristics of PRB coals as compared to those coals used at Jim Bridger 4, and has evaluated the effect of these qualities on NO* formation and achievable emission rates. Recommendations CH2M HILL recommends installing the following control devices, which include LNBs with OFA, upgrading the existing FGD system, and operating the existing electrostatic precipitator with an SOr flue gas conditioning system. This combination of control devices is identified as Scenario I throughout this report. NO, Emission Control The BART presumptive NO* limit assigned by the EPA for tangentially fired boilers burning sub-bituminous coal is 0.15 pound (lb) per million British thermal units (MMBtu). However, as documented in this analysis, the characteristics of the Jim Bridger coals are more closely aligned with bituminous coals, and have been assigned a presumptive BART NO* limit of 0.28 lb per MMBtu. CH2M HILL recommends LNBs with OFA as BART for Jim Bridger 4, based on the projected significant reduction in NO* emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of no additional power requirements or non-air quality environmental impacts. NO* reductions are expected to be similar to those realized at Jim Bridger 2. CH2M HILL recommends that the unit be permitted at a rate of 0.26 lb per MMBtu. SOz Emission Control CH2M HILL recommends upgrading the existing wet sodium FGD system as BART for Jim Bridger 4, based on the significant reduction in SOz emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of minimal additional power requirements and minimal non-air quality environmental impacts. This upgrade approach will meet the BART presumptive SOz limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. PMro Emission Control CH2M HILL recommends finalizing the permitting of the flue gas conditioning (FGC) system to enhance the performance of the existing ESP as BART for Jim Bridger 4, based on the significant reduction in PMro emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of minimal additional power requirements and no non-air quality environmental impacts. BART Modeling Analysis CH2M HILL used the CALPUFF modeling system to assess the visibility impacts of emissions from Jim Bridger 4 at Class I areas. The Class I areas potentially affected are located more than 50 kilometers, but less than 300 kilometers, from the Jim Bridger Plant. ExhibitNo-1_.- .-ES_3Case No. IPC-E-13-15-" T. Harvey, IPC Page 5 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL.OOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 The Class I areas include the following wilderness areas: . Bridger Wilderness Area. Fitzpatrick Wilderness Area. Mt. Zirkel Wilderness Area Because Jim Bridger 4 will simultaneously control NO*, SO2, and PMro emissions, four post-control atmospheric dispersion modeling scenarios were developed to cover the range of effectiveness for combining the individual NO*, SO2, and PMro control technologies under evaluation. These modeling scenarios, and the controls assumed, are as follows: . Scenario 1: New LNB with OFA modifications, upgraded wet FGD system, and FGC for enhanced ESP performance. As indicated previously, this scenario represents CH2M HILL's preliminary BART recommendation. . Scenario 2: New LNB with OFA modifications, upgraded wet FGD system, and new polishing fabric filter. . Scenario 3: New LNB with OFA modifications and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system, and FGC for enhanced ESP performance. . Scenario 4: New LNB with OFA modifications and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system, and new polishing fabric filter. Visibility improvements for all emission control scenarios were analyzed, and the results were compared using a least-cost envelope, as outlined in the New Source Review Workshop Manual.l Least-cost Envelope Analysis The EPA has adopted the least-cost envelope analysis methodology as an accepted methodology for selecting the most reasonable, cost-effective controls. Incremental cost-effectiveness comparisons focus on annualized cost and emission reduction differences between dominant altematives. The dominant set of control alternatives is determined by generating the envelope of least-cost altematives. This is a graphical plot of total annualized costs for a total emissions reductions for all control alternatives identified in the BART analysis. To evaluate the impacts of the modeled control scenarios on the three Class I areas, the total annualized cost, cost per deciview (dV) reduction, and cost per reduction in number of days above 0.5 dV were analyzed. This report provides a comparison of the average incremental costs between relevant scenarios for the three Class I areas; the total annualized cost versus number of days above 0.5 dV, and the total annualized cost versus 98ft percentile delta-deciview (AdV) reduction. Results of the least-cost envelope analysis validate the selection of Scenario l, based on incremental cost and visibility improvements. Scenario 2 (LNB with OFA, upgraded wet FGD, and polishing fabric filter) is eliminated, because it is to the left of the curve formed by 1 f pn, t990. New Source Review Workshop Manua!. Draft. Environmental Protection Agency. October, 1990. Exhibit No. 2 -^c""" r.ro. rpt-E-13-10 Es-4 T. Harvey, IPC Page 6 of 96 JMS EYlOMOTOOl SLC\BART-JB4-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 the dominant control altemative scenario, which indicates a scenario with lower improvement and/or higher costs. Scenario 3 (LNB with OFA and SCR, upgraded wet FGD, and FGC for enhanced ESP performance) is not selected due to very high incremental costs, on the basis of both a cost per day of improvement and cost per dV reduction. While Scenario 4 (LNB with OFA and SCR, upgraded wet FGD, and polishing fabric filter) provides some potential visibility advantage over Scenario l, the projected improvement is less than 0.5 dV, and the projected costs are excessive. Therefore, Scenario I represents BART for Jim Bridger 4. Just-Noticeable Differences in Atmospheric Haze Studies have been conducted that demonstrate only dV differences of approximately 1.5 to 2.0 dV or more are perceptible by the human eye. Deciview changes of less than 1.5 cannot be distinguished by the average person. Therefore, the modeling analysis results indicate that only minimal, if any, observable visibility improvements at the Class I areas studied would be expected under any of the control scenarios. Thus, the results indicate that only minimal discernable visibility improvements may result, even though PacifiCorp will be spending many millions of dollars at this single unit, and over a billion dollars when considering its entire fleet of coal-fired power plants. Exhibit No. 2 -^case r.ro. tpt-e-t g-to ES-u T. Harvey, IPC Page 7 of 96 JMS EY1 OMOTOO,I SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2O()T.FINAL.DOC Contents 1.0 2.0 3.0 Introduction..............,. 1-1 4.0 BART 4.1 4.2 Model Selection............4-l 5.0 4.2.1 Dimensions ofthe Modeling Domain...... .................4-l 4.2.2 CALMET Input Data. .........4-3 4.2.3 Validation of CALMET Wind Field.......... ...............4-64.3 CALPUFF Modeling Approach.. ....................4-6 4.3.1 Background Ozone and Ammonia................ ............4-6 4.3.2 Stack Parameters........... ......4-6 4.3.3 Emission Rates.......... ..........4-7 4.3.4 Post-control Scenarios ........4-7 4.3.5 Modeling Process...... ..........4-8 4.3.6 Receptor Grids......... ...........4-84.4 CALPOST .................4-104.5 Presentation of Modeling Results .................4-11 4.5.1 Visibility Changes for Baseline vs. Preferred Scenario.............4-l I Preliminary Assessment and Recommendations ......5-15.1 Least-cost Envelope Analysis.... ......................5-1 5.1.1 Analysis Methodology................ ...........5-l 5.1.2 Analysis Results....... ...........5-95.2 Recommendations...... ...................5-9 5.2.1 NO* Emission Control ........5-9 5.2.2 SO2 Emission Control .........5-9 5.2.3 PMle Emission Control .......5-95.3 Just-Noticeable Differences in Atmospheric Ha2e...... ...5-10References ............6-l Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 8 of 96 6.0 P:\PACIFICORN34S295BARNDAVEJOHNSTON3-FINALSUBMITTAT\BART_J84-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC CONTENTS (CONTINUED) Tables2-l Unit Operation and Study Assumptions2-2 Coal Sources and Characteristics 3-l CoalCharacteristicsComparison 3-2 NO* Control Technology Projected Emission Rates 3-3 NO* Control Cost Comparison 3-4 SOz Control Technology Emission Rates 3-5 Sulfur Dioxide Control Cost Comparison (Incrementalto Existing Flue Gas Desulfurization System) 3-6 PMro ControlTechnology Emission Rates 3-7 PMro ControlCost Comparison (Incremental to Existing ESP) 4-l User-specified CALMET Options 4-2 BART Model Input Data 4-3 Average Natural Levels of Aerosol Components 4-4 Costs and Visibility Modeling Results for Baseline Vs. Post-Control Scenarios at Class I Areas5-l Control Scenario Results for the Bridger Class I Wilderness Area 5-2 Control Scenario Results for the Fitzpatrick Class I Wilderness Area 5-3 Control Scenario Results for the Mt. Zirkel Class I Wilderness Area 5-4 Bridger Class I Wildemess Area Incremental Analysis Data 5-5 Fitzpatrick Class I Wilderness Area Incremental Analysis Data 5-6 Mt. Zirkel Class I Wilderness Area Incremental Analysis Data Figures3-1 Illustration of the Effect of Agglomeration on the Speed of Coal Combustion3-2 Plot of Typical Nitrogen Content of Various Coals and Applicable Presumptive BART NO* Limits3-3 Plot of Typical Oxygen Content of Various Coals and Applicable Presumptive BART NO* Limits 3-4 3-5 4-l 4-2 5-1 5-2 5-3 5-4 5-5 5-6 First Year Control Cost for NO* Air Pollution Control Options First Year Control Cost for PM Air Pollution Control Options Jim Bridger Source-specific Class I Areas to be Addressed Surface and Upper Air Stations Used in the Jim Bridger BART Analysis Least-cost Envelope Bridger Class I WA Days Reduction Least-cost Envelope Bridger Class I WA 98th Percentile Reduction Least-cost Envelope Fitzpatrick Class I WA Days Reduction Least-cost Envelope Fitzpatrick Class I WA 98th Percentile Reduction Least-cost Envelope Mt. Zirkel Class I WA Days Reduction Least-cost Envelope Mt. Zirkel Class I WA 98th Percentile Reduction AppendicesA Economic AnalysisB 2006 Wyoming BART Protocol Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-'!3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 9 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC Acronyms and Abbreviations BACT BART CALDESK CALMET CALPOST CALPUFF COHPAC OC OF dV Adv DEQ ESP EPA Fuel NO* FGC FGD ,r(RH) ID kw kW-Hr LAER lb LNB LOI MMBtU MM5 MW Nz NO NO* NWS Best Available Control Technology Best Available Retrofit Technology Program to Display Data and Results Meteorological Data Preprocessing Program for CALPUFF Post-Processing Program for Calculating Visibility Impacts Gaussian Puff Dispersion Model Compact Hybrid Particulate Collector Degrees Celsius Degrees Fahrenheit Deciview Delta Deciview, Change in Deciview Department of Environmental Qual ity Electrostatic Precipitator United States Environmental Protection Agency Oxidation of Fuel Bound Oxides of Nitrogen Flue Gas Conditioning Flue Gas Desulfurization Relative Humidity Factors Internal Diameter or Induced Draft Kilowatts Kilowatt-Hour Lowest Achievable Emission Rate Pound(s) Low-NO* Burner Loss on Ignition Million British Thermal Units Mesoscale Meteorological Model, Version 5 Megawatts Nitrogen Nitric Oxide Nitrogen Oxides National Weather Service Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 10 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS (CONTINUED) OFA Over-fire Air PMro Particulate Matter Less than l0 Micrometers in Aerodynamic Diameter PRB Powder River Basin ROFA Rotating Opposed Fire Air S&L Sargent & Lundy SCR Selective catalytic Reduction System SIP State Implementation Plan SNCR Selective Non-Catalytic Reduction System SOz Sulfur Dioxide SO: Sulfur Trioxide Thermal NO* High Temperature Fixation of Atmospheric Nitrogen in Combustion Air USGS U.S. Geological Survey WA Wilderness Area WDEQ-AQD Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality-Air Quality Division Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 11 of96 JMS EYlO2OOTOOlSLC\BART-JB4.OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC 1.0 lntroduction Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) guidelines were established as a result of United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) regulations intended to reduce the occurrence of regional haze in national parks and other Class I protected air quality areas in the United States (40 CFR Part 5l). These guidelines provide guidance for states when determining which facilities must install additional controls, and the type of controls that must be used. Facilities eligible for BART installation were built between 1962 and 1977, and have the potential to emit more than 250 tons per year of visibility-impairing pollutants. The Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality (UfDEQ) BART regulations state that each source subject to BART must submit a BART application for a construction permit by December 15,2006. PacifiCorp received an extension from the WDEQ to submit the BART report for Jim Bridger Unit 4 (hereafter referred to as Jim Bridger 4) by January 12,2007 . The BART Report that was submitted to WDEQ in January 2007 included a BART analysis, and a proposal and justification for BART at the source. This revised report-submitted in October 2O07-incorporates editorial revisions since the January 2007 version. The State of Wyoming has identified those eligible in-state facilities that are required to reduce emissions under BART, and will set BART emissions limits for those facilities. This information will be included in the State of Wyoming State Implementation Plan (SIP), which the State has estimated will be formally submitted to the EPA by early 2008. The EPA BART guidelines also state that the BART emission limits must be fully implemented within 5 years of EPA's approval of the SIP. Five elements related to BART address the issue of emissions for the identified facilities: . Any existing pollution control technology in use at the sourceo The cost of the controlse The remaining useful life of the source. The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of complianceo The degree of improvement in visibility that may reasonably be anticipated from the use ofsuch technology This report documents the BART analysis that was performed on Jim Bridger 4 by CH2M HILL for PacifiCorp. The analysis was performed for the pollutants nitrogen oxides, (NO*), sulfur dioxide (SOz), and particulate matter less than l0 micrometers in aerodynamic diameter (PMro), because they are the primary criteria pollutants that affect visibility. Section 2 of this report provides a description of the present unit operation, including a discussion of coal sources and characteristics. The BART Engineering Analysis is provided in Section 3. Section 4 provides the methodology and results of the BART Modeling Analysis, followed by recommendations in Section 5 and references in Section 6. Appendices provide more detail on the economic analysis and the 2006 Wyoming BART Protocol. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 '-' T. Harvey, IPC Page 12 of96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4-OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC 2.0 Present Unit Operation The Jim Bridger Station consists of four units with a total generating capacity of 2,120 megawatts (MW). Jim Bridger 4 is a nominal 530 net-MW unit located approximately 35 miles northeast of Rock Springs, Wyoming. Unit 4 is equipped with a tangentially-fired pulverized coal boiler with low NO* burners (LNBs) manufactured by Combustion Engineering. The unit was constructed with a Flakt wire frame electrostatic precipitator (ESP). The unit contains a Babcock & Wilcox wet sodium flue gas desulfurization (FGD) system with three absorber towers installed in 1982. An Emerson Ovation distributed control system was installed in 2004. Jim Bridger 4 was placed in service in 1979.lts current economic depreciation life is through 2040; however, this analysis is based on a20-year life for BART control technologies. Assuming a BART implementation date of 2014, this will result in an approximate remaining useful life for Jim Bridger 4 of 20 years from the installation date of any new or modified BART-related equipment. This report does not attempt to quantifl any additional life extension costs needed to allow the unit and these control devices at Jim Bridger 4 to operate until2040. Table 2-l unit information and study assumptions for this analysis. The BART-presumptive NO* limit for tangential-fired boilers burning sub-bituminous coal is 0.15 lb per MMBtu and the BART-presumptive NO* limit for burning bituminous coal is 0.28 lb per MMBtu. The main sources of coal bumed at Jim Bridger 4 are the Bridger Mine and secondarily the Black Butte Mine and Leucite Hills Mine. These coals are ranked as sub-bituminous, but are closer in characteristics to bituminous coal in many of the parameters influencing NO* formation. These coals have higher nitrogen content than coals from the Powder River Basin (PRB), which represent the bulk of sub-bituminous coal use in the U.S. This BART analysis has considered the higher nitrogen content and different combustion characteristics of PRB coals as compared to those coals used at Jim Bridger 4, and has evaluated the effect of these qualities on NO* formation and achievable emission rates. Coal sources and characteristics are summarized in Table 2-2. The primary source of coal will be the Bridger Underground Mine, and data on coal from this source were used in the modeling analysis. For the coal analysis that is presented in Section 3.2.l,the data from all the coal sources were used. Exhibit No. 2 ^.Case No. IPC-E-13-16 '-' T. Harvey, IPC Page 13 of96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2OOT.FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 TABLE 2.1 Unit Operation and Study Assumptions Jim Bridoer 4 General Plant Data Site Elevation (feet above mean sea level) Stack Height (feet) Stack Exit lnside Diameter (feet) and Exit Area (square feet) Stack Exit Temperature (degrees Fahrenheit) Stack Exit Velocity (feet per second) Stack Flow (actual cubic feet per minute) Latitude deg: min : sec Longitude deg: min : sec Annual Unit Capacity Factor (percentage) Net Unit Output (megawatts) Net Unit Heat Rate (British thermal units [Btu] per kilowatt- hour)(100% load) Boiler Heat lnput (million Btu [MMbtu] per hour)(100% load) Type of Boiler Boiler Fuel Coal Sources Coal Heating Value (Btu per pound)* Coal Sulfur Content (wt. o/of") Coal Ash Content (M. %)(") Coal Moisture Content (*t. %)(") Coal Nitrogen Content (wt. %14 Current NO, Controls NO, Emission Rate (pound per MMBtu) Current Sulfur Dioxide Controls Sulfur Dioxide Emission Rate (pound per MMBtu) Current PMro Controls(b) PMro Emission Rate (pound per MMBtu) (") 6669 500 31 t75s 120 42.4 1,920,610 41:44:20.82 norlh 108:47:15.17 west 90 530 10,400 (as measured by fuel throughout) 6,000 (as measured by CEM) Tangentially fired Coal Bridger Mine, Black Butte Mine, Leucite Hills Mine 9,660 0.58 10.3 19.3 0.98 Low-NO, burners 0.45 Sodium based wet scrubber 0.167 Electrostatic Precipitator 0.030 NOTES:(")Coal characteristics based on Bridger Underground Mine (primary coal source)(b)PM,o refers to particulate matter leis than 10 micrometers'in aerodynamic diameter(")Based on maximum historic emission rate from 1999 - 2001 , prior to installation of the SOg injection system. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 14 of 96 JMS EYIO2OOTOO.ISLC\BART_JB4 OCT2OOT FINAL,DOC c = I FooIo IFd @ O N Ua = aqqso)o Lr) F- ci tfNqc? ooqq o ood-N(O oo\\\t(') ooq.qoo o(')(.id(f, N qoP..; cq(., F.-N Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 15 of 96 q (f) oa @ci o <c;(o oc! \i \lqo ooosoo oo(" (.) N o9o3 il8cD=@ a?gq @(r)(f,("s(f) Nci(') q ao, 0)ED I: E C0r= = =-99eE i =-3=R ; = u?qN : 3oi aoqq(f, s O) tr,qq @\aoo rOci<ol- (O (oqq{< @lr,ci t-a Nd(o (o.t $ l.c,ao otr)sto) q rr,(r) (o c"j(') c.{ CD ociN ooo(fros(o lr)(o (') (') 6t (oqc?oo ps o? oq(oS(9 ao?lr, o)(') N og@o N :q @(\I 0, =E)=.I-- E cE.E X :E oor.)(., @tr) ci ==EEo(uoO'E'El'-(E(E oo .9. .9ooro>-> o)('rEE 66oo .9 ..!!(E(U rioo(r)EE oo oo .G6o (5(EEEt.co) o)ffoooccdorc)'oo zz o =- c -gE = E0, I = =EDU E trEE E :E qoqq(f, rr) .!oq\(o$ (o(o$6{4.: ooNOr(Oci ci ci 9oa?5 $3 @a?s t-loo lrro,ri ; (f) (., u?o Soi rr,|r)ciNN oO)(?)O) od(o c? N(o qo oi o)oqq\t$ NO)\aoo oooo@oo) o) o)o -tcis(') o .EEc-Lo = Eoo = =E".E E FEE f := aN oq Nq (\l FT c; (oq sl N F-(Y) otr) ci ==_o -ooo(U(oL c(o(Eo oo .9, .ooo;] EE(rE6 GEoo 66 Ng.g..i,,,,(oEc oo oo ;(E(U (u.EooT Eo) o)ffoo(occoioo'oo zz orE =d q _ crg = =8s =E'trE G' .=03 = = Eo to CD xo oCDo =z ==f(t, o.Ct 1!o coE"o!, I !r! = 6 --ltE< t='6Er!6Eo =ro .cEEr6O E EE=i;Eo=- E.e E e6vf EE^9ESir3- s lt 6' 6te'6- = .oo(E.(tets .12o.>(!E !,t! E =l OrE9=!;5,;= oo .E = ao .9. c,o(E (E=OE'c(Eg, \t*gE* 8.ts596 ESs Ezl dU(, _oGo =EoLI@ z Fd @ 3.0 BART Engineering Analysis This section presents the required BART engineering analysis. 3.1 Applicability In compliance with regional haze requirements, the State of Wyoming must prepare and submit visibility SIPs to the EPA for Class I areas. The State has estimated that the formal submittal of the SIPs will occur by early 2008. The first phase of the regional haze program is the implementation of BART emission controls on all BART eligible units, within 5 years after EPA approval ofthe SIP. 3.2 BART Process The specific steps in a BART engineering analysis are identified in the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) at 40 CFR 51, Appendix Y, Section IV. The evaluation must include: . The identification of available, technically feasible, retrofit control options r Consideration of any pollution control equipment in use at the source (which affects the availability of options and their impacts) o The costs of compliance with the control options o The remaining useful life of the facility o The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance . The degree of visibility improvement that may reasonably be anticipated from the use of BART The following steps are incorporated into the BART analysis: o Step I - Identiff All Available Retrofit Control Technologies . Step 2 - Eliminate Technically Infeasible Options The identification of available, technically feasible, retrofit control options Consideration of any pollution control equipment in use at the source (which affects the applicability of options and their impacts) . Step 3 - Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Control Technologies . Step 4 - Evaluate Impacts and Document the Results The costs of compliance with the control options The remaining useful life of the facility The energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-'|3-16 31 T. Harvey, IPC Page 16 of96 JMS EY1O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 . Step 5 - Evaluate Visibility Impacts The degree of visibility improvement that may reasonably be anticipated from the use ofBART To minimize costs in the BART analysis, consideration was made of any pollution control equipment in use at the source, the costs of compliance associated with the control options, and the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance using these existing control devices. In some cases, enhancing the performance of the existing control equipment was considered. Other scenarios with new control equipment were also developed. Separate analyses have been conducted for NO*, SO2, and PM16 emissions. All costs included in the BART analysis are in 2006 dollars, and costs have not been escalated to the assumed 2014 BART implementation date. 3.2.1 BART NO, Analysis Nitrogen oxide formation in coal-fired boilers is a complex process that is dependent on a number of variables, including operating conditions, equipment design, and coal characteristics. Formation of NO* During coal combustion, NO* is formed in three different ways. The dominant source of NO* formation is the oxidation of fuel-bound nitrogen. During combustion, part of the fuel-bound nitrogen is released from the coal with the volatile matter, and part is retained in the solid portion (char). The nitrogen chemically bound in the coal is partially oxidized to nitrogen oxides (nitric oxide and nitrogen dioxide) and partially reduced to molecular nitrogen. A smaller part of NO* formation is due to high temperature fixation of atmospheric nitrogen in the combustion air. A very small amount of NO* is called prompt NO*. Prompt NO* results from an interaction of hydrocarbon radicals, nitrogen, and oxygen. In a conventional pulverized coalburner, air is introduced with turbulence to promote good mixing of fuel and air, which provides stable combustion. However, not all of the oxygen in the air is used for combustion. Some of the oxygen combines with the fuel nitrogen to form NO*. Coalcharacteristics directly and significantly affect NO" emissions from coal combustion. Coal ranking is a means of classifoing coals according to their degree of metamorphism in the natural series, from lignite to sub-bituminous to bituminous and on to anthracite. Lower rank coals, such as the sub-bituminous coals from the PRB, produce lower NO* emissions than higher rank bituminous coals, due to their higher reactivity and lower nitrogen content. The fixed carbon to volatile matter ratio (fuel ratio), coal oxygen content, and rank are good relative indices of the reactivity of a coal. Lower rank coals release more organically bound nitrogen earlier in the combustion process than do higher rank bituminous coals. When used with LNBs, sub-bituminous coals create a longer time for the kinetics to promote more stable molecular nitrogen, and therefore result in lower NO* emissions. Coals from the PRB are classified as sub-bituminous C and demonstrate the high reactivity and low NO* production characteristics described above. Based on data from the Energy Information Administration, PRB coals currently represent 88 percent of total U.S. sub- bituminous production and 73 percent of western coal production (Energy Information Administration, 2006). Most references to westem coal and sub-bituminous coal infer PRB Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 t2 T. Harvey, IPC Page 17 of96 JMS EYlO2OOTOOlSLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OOT.FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 origin and characteristics. Emissions standards differentiating between bituminous and sub- bituminous coals are presumed to use PRB coal as the basis for the sub-bituminous standards, due to its dominant market presence and unique characteristics. There are a number of western coals that are classified as sub-bituminous, however, they border on being ranked as bituminous and do not display many of the qualities of PRB coals, including most of the low NO" forming characteristics. Coals from the Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills mines fall into this category. As defined by the American Society for Testing and Materials, the only distinguishing characteristic that classifies the coals used at Jim Bridger 4 as sub-bituminous rather than bituminous-that is, they are "agglomerating" as compared to o'non-agglomerating". Agglomerating as applied to coal is "the property of softening when it is heated to above about 400 degrees Celsius ('C) in a non-oxidizing atmosphere, and then appearing as a coherent mass after cooling to room temperature." Because the agglomerating property of coals is the result of particles transforming into a plastic or semi-liquid state when heated, it reflects a change in surface area of the particle. Thus, with the application of heat, agglomerating coals would tend to develop a non-porous surface, while the surface of non-agglomerating coals would become even more porous with combustion. As shown by Figure 3-1, the increased porosity provides more particle surface area, resulting in more favorable combustion conditions. This non- agglomerating property assists in making sub-bituminous coals more amenable to controlling NO*, by allowing less air to be introduced during the initial ignition portion of the combustion process. The coals from the Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills mines just barely fall into the category of non-agglomerating coals. While each ofthese coals is considered non- agglomerating, they either do not exhibit the properties of non-agglomerating coals or exhibit them to only a minor degree. The conditions during combustion of typical non-agglomerating coals that make it easier to control NO* emissions do not exist for the Bridger blends of coals. FIGURE 3-1 lllustration of the Effect of Agglomeration on the Speed of Coal Combustion Jim Bidger4 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 18 of96 i gb^;#ia'*-lfnrPirH IHE E'TEfi OF AGGLOMERAIING IR{DENCY UPON COMBUSTION IGNINON CHAR I0 GGIOiITIAIINOo A. tcs5sutfac:arn/i ast II IUTNSsr.owtt@ oevotltrtrzarrox IlxD coMlusfloN ' JMS EY1 O2M7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 Table 3-1 shows key characteristics of a typical PRB coal compared to coals from the Bridger Mine, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills, as well as Twentymile, which is a representative westem bituminous coal. TABLE 3.1 Coal Characteristics Compadson lim Flidnorl Parameter Typical PRB Bridger Mine Leucite Hills TwentymileBlack Butte Nitrogen (% dry) Oxygen (% dry) Coal rank 1.'t0 16.2 Sub C 1.26 13.2 Sub B 1.47 13.4 Sub B 1.48 13.2 Sub B 1.85 7.19 Bitum. high volatility B As shown in Table 3-1, although Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills are classified as sub-bituminous, they all exhibit higher nitrogen content and lower oxygen content than the PRB coal. The higher nitrogen content is an indication that more nitrogen is available to the combustion process and higher NO* emissions are likely. Oxygen content can be correlated to the reactivity of the coal, with more reactive coals generally containing higher levels of oxygen. More reactive coals tend to produce lower NO, emissions, and they are also more conducive to reduction of NO* emissions through the use of combustion control measures, such as LNBs and over-fire air (OFA). These characteristics indicate that higher NO* formation is likely with coal from the Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills mines, rather than with PRB coal. The Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills coals all contain quality characteristics that fall between a typical PRB coal and Twentymile. Twentymile is a clearly bituminous coal that produces higher NO*, as has been demonstrated at power plants burning this fuel. Figures 3-2 and 3-3 graphically illustrate the relationship of nitrogen and oxygen content to the BART-presumptive NO* limits for the coals listed in Table 3-1. Each chart identifies the presumptive BART limit associated with a typical bituminous and sub-bituminous coal, and demonstrates how the Jim Bridger coal falls between these two general coal classifications. The Bridger blend data point represents a combination of coals from the Bridger Mine, Black Butte, and Leucite Hills that has been used at Jim Bridger 4, and indicates the average NO* emission rate achieved during the years 2003 through 2005. The Jim Bridger 2 data point consists of the same blend of coals as Jim Bridger 4, and represents the NO* emission rate achieved after installation of Alstom's current state ofthe art TFS2000 LNB and OFA system. The long-term sustainable emission rate for this system is expected to be 0.24 lb per MMBtu. All four units at Jim Bridger consist of identical boilers; and while there may be some differences in performance among them, installation of the TFS2000 firing system at Jim Bridger 4 would likely result in performance and NO* emission rates comparable to those at Jim Bridger 2. Figures 3-2 and 3-3 both demonstrate that for the Jim Bridger units with the TFS2000 low-NO* emission system installed and burning a combination of the Bridger, Black Butte, and Leucite Hill coals, the likely NO* emission rate will be closer to the bituminous end (0.28) of the BART-presumptive NO* limit range, rather than the BART-presumptive NO* limit of 0.1 5 lb Exhibit No. 2 Case No. lPc-E-13-16 34 T. Harvey, IPC Page 19 of96 JMS EY1 02OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4-OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 per MMBtu for sub-bituminous coal. All these factors are consistent with the observed sustainable rate of 0.24Ib per MMBtu. FIGURE 3-2 Plot of Typical Nitrogen Content of Various Coals and Applicable Presumptive BART N0, Limih Jim Bridger4 E T 9".IJ o25 T 0.3 o.25 o.2 0.45 0.45 o35 Bridger Blend ::l:':: :':"1:'l':"_'l'. "'" "111* _ _ _,v:1 11._"iTl"_.1"_ '*-'Jim B.idger 2 Subbitum inous Presumptive Lim it - O.'1 5 lb/MMBtu L30 1 .40 1 50 1.50 1.70 Typi€l Nit.ogan Contcni (96-Dry Br3is) FIGURE 3-3 Plot of Typical Orygen Content of Various Coals and Applicable Presumptive BART NO, Limits Jim Bridger4 o2 o.15 0.1 6 10.00 12.oo 1a oo Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 20 of 96 ABridger Blend Twentymile Bituminous -.{ -Bituminous Presumotive Limit - 0.28 lb/MMBtu ''-Jim Bridger2 --:-_:_-_-__--:_---_-:_-:-----------a---_-..=Subbituminous Presumotive Limit - 0.1S|b/MMBtu pRL SrOOitrminors JMS EY102007001 SLC\BART_JB4_0CT2007_FTNAL.DOC Typical Oxygcn Cont nt(%-Ory B.!is) BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIOGER UNIT 4 Coal quality characteristics also impact the design and operation of the boiler and associated auxiliary equipment. Minor changes in quality can sometimes be accommodated through operational adjustments or changes to equipment. It is important to note, however, that consistent variations in quality or assumptions of "average" quality for performance projections can be problematic. This is particularly troublesome when dealing with performance issues that are very sensitive to both coal quality and combustion conditions, such as NO* formation. There is significant variability in the quality of coals burned at Jim Bridger 4. In addition to burning coal from Black Butte and Leucite Hills, Jim Bridger 4 burns coal supplied from the Bridger Mine consisting of three sources: underground, surface, and highwall operations. Each of these coal sources has different quality characteristics, as well as inherent variability in composition of the coal within the mine. Several of the coal quality characteristics and their effect on NO* formation have been previously discussed. There are some additional considerations that illustrate the complexity of achieving and maintaining consistent low NO* emissions with pulverized coal on a shorter term, such as a 30-day rolling average basis. Good combustion is based on the e'three Ts": time, temperature, and turbulence. These parameters, along with a "design" coal, are taken into consideration when designing a boiler and associated firing equipment such as fans, burners, and pulverizers. If a performance requirement such as NO* emission limits is subsequently changed, conflicts with and between other performance issues can result. Jim Bridger 4 is located at an altitude of 6,669 feet above sea level. At this elevation, atmospheric pressure is lower ( I 1.5 lbs per square inch) as compared with sea level pressure of 14.7 lbs per square inch. This lower pressure means that less oxygen is available for combustion for each volume of air. [n order to provide adequate oxygen to meet the requirements for efficient combustion, larger volumes of air are required. When adjusting air flows and distribution to reduce NO* emissions, using LNBs and OFA, original boiler design restrictions again limit the modifications that can be made and still achieve satisfactory combustion performance. Another significant factor in controlling NO* emissions is the fineness of the coal entering the burners. Fineness is influenced by the grindability index (Hardgrove) of the coal. Finer coal particles promote release of volatiles and assist char burnout as a result of more surface area exposed to air. NO* reduction with high volatile coals is improved with greater fineness and with proper air staging. The lower rank sub-bituminous coals such as PRB coals are quite friable and easy to grind. Coals with lower Hardgrove Grindability Index values, such as those used at Jim Bridger 4, are more difficult to grind and can contribute to higher NO* levels. In addition, coal fineness can deteriorate over time periods between pulverizer maintenance and service as pulverizer grinding surfaces wear. ln summary, when all the factors of agglomeration versus non-agglomeration, nitrogen and oxygen content of the coals, and the grindability index are taken into account, this analysis demonstrates that, for the coal used at Jim Bridger 4, the more applicable presumptive BART limit for NO* emissions is 0.28 lb per MMBtu. The BART analysis for NO* emissions from Jim Bridger 4 is further described below. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 21 of96 JMS EYl O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART JB4-OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 Step 1 : ldentify AII Available Retrofit Control Technologies The first step of the BART process is to evaluate NO* control technologies with practical potential for application to Jim Bridger 4, including those control technologies identified as Best Available Control Technology (BACT) or lowest achievable emission rate (LAER) by permitting agencies across the United States. Broad-ranging information sources were reviewed in an effort to identifu potentially applicable emission control technologies. NO*emissions at Jim Bridger 4 are currently controlled through good combustion practices and OFA. The following potential NO* control technology options were considered: o New/modified LNBs with advanced OFAo Rotating opposed fire air (ROFA)o LNB with OFA and conventional selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR) systemo LNB with OFA and selective catalytic reduction (SCR) system Step 2: Eliminate Technically lnfeasible Options For Jim Bridger 4, a tangential-fired configuration burning sub-bituminous coal, technical feasibility will primarily be determined by physical constraints, boiler configuration, and the ability to achieve the regulatory presumptive limit of 0.28 lb per MMBtu. Jim Bridger 4 has an uncontrolled NO,. emission rate of 0.45 lb per MMBtu. For this BART analysis, information pertaining to LNBs, OFA, SNCR, and SCR were based on the Multi-Pollutant Control Report (Sargent and Lundy, 2002,hereafter referred to as the S&L Study). Updated cost estimates for SCR and SNCR were used (Sargent & Lundy, 2006). PacifiCorp provided additional emissions data and costs developed by boiler vendors for LNBs and OFA. Also, CH2M HILL solicited a proposal from Mobotec for their ROFA technology. With SNCR, an amine-based reagent such as ammonia, or more commonly urea, is injected into the fumace within a temperature range of 1,600 degrees Fahrenheit ('F) to 2,100oF, where it reduces NO* to nitrogen and water. NO* reductions of up to 40 to 60 percent have been achieved, although l5 to 30 percent is more realistic for most applications. SNCR is typically applied on smaller units. Adequate reagent distribution in the furnaces of large units can be problematic. Table 3-2 summarizes the control technology options evaluated in this BART analysis, along with projected NO* emission rates. All technologies can meet the applicable presumptive BART limit of 0.28 lb per MMBTU. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 22 ot 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2OOT,FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNII 4 TABLE 3-2 NO, Control Technology Projected Emission Rates Jin Bridoer4 Technology Projected Emission Rate (pounds per million British thermal units) Presumptive Best Available Retrofit Technology Limit Low NO, Blower (LNB) with Over-Fire Air (OFA) Rotating Opposed Fire Air LNB with OFA and Selective Non-Catalytic Reduction System LNB with OFA and Selectlve Catalytic Reduction System 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.07 Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Control Technologies Preliminary vendor proposals, such as those used to support portions of this BART analysis, may be technically feasible and provide expected or guaranteed emission rates; however, the proposals include inherent uncertainties. These proposals are usually prepared in a limited timeframe, may be based on incomplete information, may contain over-optimistic conclusions, and are non-binding. Therefore, emission rate values obtained in such preliminary proposals must be qualified, and it must be recognized that contractual guarantees are established only after more detailed analysis has been completed. The following subsections describe the control technologies and the control effectiveness evaluated in this BART analysis. New LNBs with OFA System. The mechanism used to lower NO* with LNBs is to stage the combustion process and provide a fuel-rich condition initially; this is so oxygen needed for combustion is not diverted to combine with nitrogen and form NO*. Fuel-rich conditions favor the conversion of fuel nitrogen to Nz instead of NO*. Additional air (or OFA) is then introduced downstream in a lower temperature zone to burn out the char. Both LNBs and OFA are considered to be capital cost, combustion technology retrofits. For LNB retrofits to units configured with tangential-firing such as Jim Bridger 4, it is generally necessary to increase the bumer spacing; this prevents interaction of the flames from adjacent bumers and reduces burner zone heat flux. These modifications usually require boiler waterwall tube replacement. Information provided to CH2M HILL by PacifiCorp-based on the S&L Study and data from boiler vendors-indicates that new LNB and OFA retrofit at Jim Bridger 4 would result in an expected NO* emission rate of 0.24lb per MMBtu. PacifiCorp has indicated that this rate corresponds to a vendor guarantee, not a vendor prediction, and they believe that this emission rate can be sustained as an average between overhauls. This emission rate represents a significant reduction from the current NO* emission rate, and is below the more applicable presumptive NO* emission rate of 0.28 lb per MMBtu. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 18 T. Harvey, IPC Page 23 of 96 JMS EY,I O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART.JB4-OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 ROFA. Mobotec markets ROFA as an improved second generation OFA system. Mobotec states that "the flue gas volume of the furnace is set in rotation by asymmetrically placed air nozzles. Rotation is reported to prevent laminar flow, so that the entire volume of the fumace can be used more effectively for the combustion process. In addition, the swirling action reduces the maximum temperature of the flames and increases heat absorption. The combustion air is also mixed more effectively." A typical ROFA installation would have a booster fan(s) to supply the high velocity air to the ROFA boxes, and Mobotec would propose two 4,000 to 4,300 horsepower fans for Jim Bridger 4. Mobotec proposes to achieve a NO* emission rate of 0.18 lb per MMBtu using ROFA technology. An operating margin of 0.04 lb per MMBtu was added to the expected rate due to Mobotec's limited ROFA experience with western sub-bituminous coals. Under the Mobotec proposal, which is primarily based on ROFA equipment, the operation of existing LNB and OFA ports would be analyzed. While a typical installation does not require modification to the existing LNB system and the existing OFA ports are not used, results of computational fluid dynamics modeling would determine the quantity and location of new ROFA ports. The Mobotec proposal includes bent tube assemblies for OFA port installation. Mobotec would not provide installation services, because they believe that the Owner can more cost-effectively contract for these services. However, they would provide one onsite construction supervisor during installation and startup. SNCR. Selective non-catalytic reduction is generally used to achieve modest NO* reductions on smaller units. With SNCR, an amine-based reagent such as ammonia----or more commonly urea-is injected into the furnace within a temperature range of l,600oF to 2,100oF, where it reduces NO* to nitrogen and water. N0* reductions of up to 60 percent have been achieved, although 20 to 40 percent is more realistic for most applications. Reagent utilization, which is a measure of the efficiency with which the reagent reduces NO*, can range from 20 to 60 percent, depending on the amount of reduction, unit size, operating conditions, and allowable ammonia slip. With low reagent utilization, low temperatures, or inadequate mixing, ammonia slip occurs, allowing unreacted ammonia to create problems downstream. The ammonia may render fly ash unsaleable, react with sulfur to foul heat exchange surfaces, and/or create a visible stack plume. Reagent utilization can have a significant impact on economics, with higher levels of NO* reduction generally resulting in lower reagent utilization and higher operating cost. Reductions from higher baseline concentrations (inlet NO*) are lower in cost per ton, but result in higher operating costs, due to greater reagent consumption. To reduce reagent costs, S&L has assumed that combustion modifications including LNBs and advanced OFA, capable of achieving a projected NO* emission rate of 0.24Ib per MMBtu. At a further reduction of l5 percent in NO* emission rates for SNCR would result in a projected emission rate of 0.20 lb per MMBtu. SCR. SCR works on the same chemical principle as SNCR, but SCR uses a catalyst to promote the chemical reaction. Ammonia is injected into the flue-gas stream, where it reduces NO* to nitrogen and water. Unlike the high temperatures required for SNCR, in SCR the reaction takes place on the surface of a vanadium/titanium-based catalyst at a temperature range between 580'F to 750oF. As a result of the catalyst, the SCR process is more efficient than SNCR and Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 }e T. Harvey, IPC Page 24 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OOl SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2()OT,FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 results in lower NO* emissions. The most common type of SCR is the high-dust configuration, where the catalyst is located downstream from the boiler economizer and upstream of the air heater and any particulate control equipment. In this location, the SCR is exposed to the full concentration of fly ash in the flue gas that leaves the boiler. The high-dust configuration is assumed for Jim Bridger 4.ln a full-scale SCR, the flue ducts are routed to a separate large reactor containing the catalyst. With in-duct SCR, the catalyst is located in the existing gas duct, which may be expanded in the area of the catalyst to reduce flue gas flow velocity and increase flue gas residence time. Due to the higher removal rate, a full-scale SCR was used as the basis for analysis at Jim Bridger 4. S&L prepared the design conditions and cost estimates for SCR at Jim Bridger 4. As with SNCR, it is generally more cost effective to reduce NO* emission levels as much as possible through combustion modifications, in order to minimize the catalyst surface area and ammonia requirements of the SCR. The S&L design basis for LNB with OFA and SCR results in a projected NO* emission rate of 0.07 lb per MMBtu. Additional catalyst surface was included in the SCR design to accommodate the characteristics of the coal used at Jim Bridger 4. Leve! of Confidence for Vendor Post-Control Emissions Estimates. To determine the level of NO* emissions needed to consistently achieve compliance with an established goal, a review of typical NO* emissions from coal-fired generating units was completed. As a result of this review, it was noted that NO* emissions can vary significantly around an average emissions level. Variations may result for many reasons, including coal characteristics, unit load, boiler operation including excess air, boiler slagging, bumer equipment condition, coal mill fineness, and so forth. The steps used for determining a level of confidence for the vendor expected values are as follows: l. Establish expected NO* emissions value from vendor. 2. Evaluate vendor experience and historical basis for meeting expected values. 3. Review and evaluate unit physical and operational characteristics and restrictions. The fewer variations there are in operations, coal supply, etc., the more predictable and less variant the NO* emissions are. 4. For each technology expected value, there is a coresponding potential for actual NO* emissions to vary from this expected value. From the vendor information presented, along with anticipated unit operational data, an adjustment to the expected value can be made. Step 4: Evaluate lmpacts and Document the Results This step involves the consideration of energy, environmental, and economic impacts associated with each controltechnology. The remaining useful life ofthe plant is also considered during the evaluation. Energy lmpacts. Installation of LNBs and modification to the existing OFA systems are not expected to significantly impact the boiler efficiency or forced-draft fan power usage. Therefore, these technologies will not have energy impacts. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 310 T. Harvey, IPC Page 25 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 The Mobotec ROFA system would require installation and operation of two 4,000 to 4,300 horsepower ROFA fans (6,410 kilowatts [kW] total). The SNCR system would require approximately 530 kW of additional power. SCR retrofit impacts the existing flue gas fan systems, due to the additional pressure drop associated with the catalyst, which is typically a 6- to 8-inch water gage increase. Total additional power requirements for SCR installation at Jim Bridger 4 are estimated at approximately 3,360 kW, based on the S&L Study. Environmental lmpacts. Mobotec has predicted that carbon monoxide (CO) emissions, and unburned carbon in the ash, commonly referred to as loss on ignition (LOI), would be the same or lower than previous levels for the ROFA system. SNCR and SCR installation could impact the saleability and disposal of fly ash due to ammonia levels, and could potentially create a visible stack plume, which may negate other visibility improvements. Other environmental impacts involve the storage of ammonia, especially if anhydrous ammonia is used, and the transportation of the ammonia to the power plant site. Economic Impacts. Costs and schedules for the LNBs, OFA, SNCR, and SCR were furnished to CH2M HILL by PacifiCorp, developed using S&L's intemal proprietary database, and supplemented (as needed) by vendor-obtained price quotes. The relative accuracy ofthese cost estimates is stated by S&L to be in the range of plus or minus 20 percent. Cost for the ROFA system was obtained from Mobotec. A comparison of the technologies on the basis of costs, design control efficiencies, and tons of NO* removed is summarized in Table 3-3, and the first year control costs are presented in Figure 3-4. The complete economic analysis is contained in Appendix A. Preliminary BART Selectaon. CH2M HILL recommends selection of LNBs with OFA as BART for Jim Bridger 4 based on its significant reduction in NO* emissions, reasonable control cost, and no additional power requirements or environmental impacts. LNB with OFA does not meet the EPA-presumptive limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu for sub-bituminous coal, but it does meet an emission rate that falls between the presumptive limit of 0.28 lb per MMBtu for bituminous coal and the limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu for sub-bituminous coal. As discussed in the section on coalquality, the recommended technology and the achieved emission rate are deemed appropriate as BART for NO* emissions from the coals combusted at Jim Bridger 4. Step 5: Evaluate Visibility lmpacts Please see Section 4, BART Modeling Analysis. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 26 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SIC\BART-JB4_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC MRT ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 TABLE 3-3 NO' Control Cost Comparison Jin Bridoer 4 Low NO. Blower (LNB) with Over- Firc Air (oFA) Rotating Opposed Fire Air LNB with OFA& Selective Non- Catalytic Reduction System LNB with OFA Selective Catalytic Reduction System Total lnstalled Capital Costs Total First Year Fixed & Variable Operation and Maintenance Costs Total First Year Annualized Cost Power Consumption (megawatts) Annual Power Usage (1000 megawatt-hours per year) Nitrogen Oxides Design Control Efficiency Nitrogen Oxides Removed per Year (Tons) First Year Average Control Cost ($ per Ton of Nitrogen Oxides Removed) lncremental Control Cost ($ per Ton of Nitrogen Oxides Removed) $8.7 million $0.1 million $0.9 million 0 0 46.7o/o 4,967 $181/ton $181/ton $20.5 million $2.6 million $4.6 million 6.4 50.6 51.1Yo s,440 $843/ton $7,797lton 22.1 million $1.5 million $3.6 million 0.5 4.2 55.60lo 5,913 $613/ton $2,885/ton $147.6 million $3.4 million $17.4 million 3.4 26.5 84.4o/o 8,987 $1,936/ton $4,479/ton Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 27 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OOTOOISLC\EART-JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL.OOC x. (_)a 06 LLo d)zJ -aoO IEoOtsczEAo06P LLOa96€ #a*rv o trooco =oo- s:ozMO OooG o 6o zLt OOo z O 6 E 6O oooooooooooc)o- o_ o_ o_ c)- c)- N(O6$(.)N (peroueg xglg uogg) lsoC lorluoo I Exhibit No 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 28 of 96 OO . ooooo- o-o@ @Eo'=oO o EoOco.F =oo_.= oz. o @oC) o Ew =(J h,-k5u0)}Jd>-r;6CEf,ir= BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 3.2.2 BART SOz Analysis Sulfur dioxide forms in the boiler during the combustion process, and is primarily dependent on coal sulfur content. The BART analysis for SOz emissions on Jim Bridger 4 is desuibed below. Step 1 : ldentify All Available Retrofit Control Technologies A broad range of information sources were reviewed, in an effort to identiff potentially applicable emission control technologies for SOz at Jim Bridger 4. This included control technologies identified as BACT or LAER by permitting agencies across the United States. The following potential SOz controltechnology options were considered: o Optimize current operation of existing wet sodium FGD system . Upgrade wet sodium FGD system to meet SOz emission rate of 0.10 lb per MMBtuo New dry FGD system Step 2: Eliminate Technically lnfeasible Options Technical feasibility will primarily be based on the regulatory presumptive limit (used as a guideline) of 95 percent reduction in SOz emissions, or 0.15 lb per MMBtu. Based on the coal that Jim Bridger 4 currently bums, the unit would be required to achieve an 87 .5 percent SO2 removal efficiency to meet the presumptive limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. Table 3-4 summarizes the controltechnology options evaluated in this BART analysis, along with projected SOz emission rates. Only one technology option can meet the applicable presumptive BART limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. TABLE 3.4 S0z Control Technology Emission Rates Jim Bridoer4 Technology Proiected Emission Rate (pounds per million British thermal units) Presumptive Best Available Retrofit 0.15 Technology Limit Upgrade Existing Wet Sodium System 0.10 Optimize Existing Wet Sodium System 0.17 New Dry Flue Gas Desulfurization 0.21 System Wet Sodium FGD System Wet sodium FGD systems operate by treating the flue gas in large scrubber vessels with a soda ash solution. The scrubber mixes the flue gas and alkaline reagent using a series ofspray nozzles to distribute the reagent across the scrubber vessel. The sodium in the reagent reacts with the SOz in the flue gas to form sodium sulfite and sodium bisulfite, which are removed from the scrubber and disposed. The wet sodium FGD system at Jim Bridger 4 currently achieves approximately 86 percent SO2 removal to achieve an SOz outlet emission rate of 0.17 lb per MMBtu. Upgrading the wet FGD system would achieve an SOz outlet emission rate of 0.10 lb per MMBtU (91.7 percent SOz Exhibit No. 2 Case No. lPc-E-13-16 x14 T. Harvey, IPC Page 29 of 96 JMS EY.I O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4-OCI2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 removal) by closing the bypass damper to eliminate routine bypass flue gas flow used to reheat the treated flue gas from the scrubber, relocating the opacity monitor, adding new fans, adding a stack liner and drains for wet operation, and using a refined soda ash reagent. It is considered to be technically infeasible for the present wet FGD system to achieve 95 percent SOz removal (0.06 lb per MMBtu) on a continuous basis since this high level of removal must be incorporated into the originaldesign of the scrubber. The wet FGD system is achieving an outlet SO2 emission rate of 0.17 lb per MMBtu. It is not expected that any significant additional SOz reduction would occur with optimization of the wet sodium scrubbing FGD system. This option would not meet the presumptive limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. Therefore, this option is eliminated as technically infeasible for this analysis. An upgraded wet sodium scrubbing FGD system is projected to achieve an outlet emission rate of 0.10 lb per MMBtu (91.7 percent SOz removal), which would meet the presumptive limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu for Jim Bridger 4. New Dry FGD System. The lime spray dryer typically injects lime slurry in the top of the absorber vessel with a rapidly rotating atomizer wheel. The rapid speed of the atomizer wheel causes the lime slurry to separate into very fine droplets that intermix with the flue gas. The SOz in the flue gas reacts with the calcium in the lime slurry to form dry calcium sulfate particles. At Jim Bridger 4 this dry particulate matter would be captured downstream in the existing ESP, along with the fly ash. A lime spray dryer system typically produces a dry waste product suitable for landfill disposal. The dry FGD system with the existing ESP is projected to achieve 82.5 percent SOz removal at Jim Bridger 4. This would result in a controlled SOz emission rate of 0.21 Ib per MMBtu, based on an uncontrolled SOz emission rate of 1.20 lb per MMBtu. Therefore, this option cannot meet the presumptive limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu, and is eliminated from further analysis as technical ly infeasible. Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Control Technologies When evaluating the control effectiveness of SOz reduction technologies, each option can be compared against benchmarks of performance. One such benchmark is the presumptive BART emission limit because Jim Bridger 4 is required to meet this limit. As indicated previously, the presumptive limit for SOz on a BART-eligible coal burning unit is 95 percent removal, or 0.15 lb per MMBtu. The projected emission rate for an upgraded wet sodium FGD system for Jim Bridger 4 would be 0.10 lb per MMBtu. This option would meet the presumptive SOz limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. Step 4: Evaluate lmpacts and Document the Results This step involves the consideration of energy, environmental, and economic impacts associated with each control technology. The remaining useful life of the plant is also considered during the evaluation. Energy lmpacts. Upgrading the existing wet sodium FGD system would require an additional 520 kW ofpower. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 g1s T. Harvey, IPC Page 30 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCI2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 Environmental lmpacts. There will be incremental additions to scrubber waste disposal and makeup water requirements. Economic lmpacts. A summary of the costs and amount of SOz removed for the upgraded wet sodium FGD system is provided in Table 3-5. The complete economic analysis is contained in Appendix A. TABLE 3.5 Sulfur Dioxide Control Cost Comparison (lncremental to Existing Flue Gas Desulfurization System) Jim Bridoer4 Upgraded Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization Total lnstalled Capital Costs Total First Year Fixed & Variable O&M Costs Total First Year Annualized Cost Additional Power Consumption (megawatts) Additional Annual Power Usage (1000 megawatt- hours per year) lncremental Sulfur Dioxide Design Control Efficiency lncremental Tons Sulfur Dioxide Removed per Year First Year Average Control Cost ($ per Ton of Sulfur Dioxide Removed) lncremental Control Cost ($ per Ton of Sulfur Dioxide Removed) $5.8 Million $0.7 Million $1.2 Million 0.5 4.2 40.1o/o (91.7o/o based on Uncontrolled Sulfur Dioxide) 1,585 761 761 Preliminary BART Selection. CH2M HILL recommends upgrading the existing wet sodium FGD system as BART for Jim Bridger 4 based on its significant reduction in SOz emissions (meeting presumptive limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu), reasonable control costs, and the advantages of minimal additional power requirements, and environmental impacts. Step 5: Evaluate Visibility lmpacts Please see Section 4, BART Modeling Analysis. 3.2.3 BART PMro Analysis Jim Bridger 4 is currently equipped with an ESP. ESPs remove particulate maffer from the flue gas stream by charging fly ash particles with a very high direct current voltage, and attracting these charged particles to grounded collection plates. A layer of collected particulate matter forms on the collecting plates and is removed by periodically rapping the plates. The collected ash particles drop into hoppers below the precipitator and are removed periodically by the fly ash-handling system. Historically, the ESP at Jim Bridger 4 has controlled PMro emissions to levels below 0.030 lb per MMBtu. The BART analysis for PMro emissions at Jim Bridger 4 is described below. For the modeling analysis in Section 4, PMle was used as an indicator for particulate matter, and PMro includes PMzs as a subset. Exhibit.No- 2^ 316Case No. IPC-E-13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 31 of96 JMS EY.I O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4-OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANATYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 Step 1: ldentify Al! Available Retrofit Control Technologies Two retrofit control technologies have been identified for additional particulate matter control: . Flue gas conditioning (FGC). Polishing fabric filter (baghouse) downstream of existing ESP Another available control technology is replacing the existing ESP with a new fabric filter. However, because the environmental benefits that would be achieved by a replacement fabric filter are also achieved by installing a polishing fabric filter downstream of the existing ESP at lower costs, installation of a full fabric filter was not considered in the analysis. Step 2: Eliminate Technically lnfeasible Options Flue Gas Conditioning. Ifthe fly ash from coal has high resistivity, such as fly ash from sub-bituminous coal, the ash is not collected effectively in an ESP. This is because the high resistivity makes the particles less willing to accept an electrical charge. Adding FGC, which is typically accomplished by injection of sulfur trioxide (SO:), will lower the resistivity of the particles so that they will accept more charge and allow the ESP to collect the ash more effectively. FGC systems can account for large improvements in collection efficiency for small ESPs. Polishing Fabric Filter. A polishing fabric filter could be added downstream ofthe existing ESP at Jim Bridger 4. One such technology is licensed by the Electric Power Research Institute, and referred to as a Compact Hybrid Particulate Collector (COHPAC). The COHPAC collects the ash that is not collected by the ESP, thus acting as a polishing device. The ESP needs to be kept in service for the COHPAC fabric filter to operate effectively. The COHPAC fabric filter is about one-half to two-thirds the size of a full size fabric filter, because the COHPAC has a higher air-to-cloth ratio (7 to 9: I ), compared to a full size pulse jet fabric filter (3.5 to 4.1). Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness of Remaining Contro! Technologies The existing ESP at Jim Bridger 4 is achieving a controlled particulate matter emission rate of 0.030 lb per MMBtu. Using FGC upstream of the existing ESP is projected to not reduce particulate matter emissions, but it would help maintain long term operation at an emission levelof 0.030 lb per MMBtu. Adding a COHPAC fabric filter downstream of the existing ESP is projected to reduce particulate matter emissions to approximately 0.015 lb per MMBtu. The PMrocontrol technology emission rates are summarized in Table 3-6. TABLE 3.6 PMro Control Technology Emission Rates Jin Bridoer4 Control Technology Short-Term Expected PMro Emission Rate (pounds per million British thermal units) Flue Gas Conditioning Polishing Fabric Filter 0.030 0.015 Exhibit No- 2^ ,.17Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 32 of96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 Step 4: Evaluate lmpacts and Document the Results This step involves the consideration of energy, environmental, and economic impacts associated with each control technology. The remaining useful life ofthe plant is also considered during the evaluation. Energy lmpacts. Energy is required to overcome the additional pressure drop from the COHPAC fabric filter and associated ductwork. Therefore, a COHPAC retrofit will require an induced draft (lD) fan upgrade and upgrade of the auxiliary power supply system. A COHPAC fabric filter at Jim Bridger 4 would require approximately 3.4 MW of power, equating to an annual power usage of approximately 26.7 million kilowatt-hours (kW-Hr). There is only a small power requirement of approximately 50 kW associated with FGC. Environmental lmpacts. There are no negative environmental impacts from the addition of a COHPAC polishing fabric filter or flue gas conditioning system. Economic lmpacts. A summary of the costs and particulate matter removed for COHPAC and FGCs are recorded in Table 3-7, and the first-year control costs for FGC and fabric filters are shown in Figure 3-5. The complete economic analysis is contained in Appendix A. TABLE 3.7 PMro Control Cost Comparison (lncremental to Existing ESP) Jin Eridoer 4 Flue GasGonditioning Polishing Fabric Filter Total lnstalled Capital Costs $0 $48.4 million Total First Year Fixed & Variable O&M Costs $0.2 million $1.8 million Total First Year Annualized Cost $0.2 million $ 6.4 million Additional Power Consumption (megawatts) 0.05 3.39 Additional Annual Power Usage (Million kilowatt-hours per 0.4 26.7 year) lncremental Particulate Matter Design Control Efficiency 0.0Yo 50.0% lncremental Tons Particulate Matter Removed per Year 0 355 First Year Average Control Cost N/A 17,946 ($ per Ton of Particulate Matter Removed) lncremental Control Cost N/A 17,452 ($ per Ton of Particulate Matter Removed) Preliminary BART Selection. CH2M HILL recommends selection of FGC upstream of the existing ESP as BART for Jim Bridger 4 based on the significant reduction in particulate matter emissions, reasonable control costs, and advantages of minimal additional power requirements and no environmental impacts. Step 5: Evaluate Visibility lmpacts Please see Section 4, BART Modeling Analysis. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. lPc-E-13-16 $18 T. Harvey, IPC Page 33 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART.JB4-OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC ir oO ec 96co Eooc oo irI o9o coO oogo 6o u! tr.9oo o2oo o =oo. o.sc.o=Eco(J o(, olL oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo@@sAio@@$oiNF aco'- o o co(-) CoF =E CL-= o_ aooE cov,?o boEQ)U (l).}Jd>-r*6esf,i!- Ooa = FOo 6 Ft @ O = Exhibit No.2 Case No. IPC-E-'13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 34 of 96 (pa^ouou tfld uoUS) lso3 toJluoC Lz)G QE@ = do a z E 4.0 BART Modeling Analysis 4.1 Model Selection CH2M HILL used the CALPUFF modeling system to assess the visibility impacts of emissions from Jim Bridger 4 at nearby Class I areas. The Class I areas potentially affected are located more than 50 kilometers but less than 300 kilometers from the Jim Bridger 4 facility. The Class I areas include the following wilderness areas: o Bridger Wilderness Areao Fitzpatrick Wildemess Areao Mt. Zirkel Wilderness Area The CALPUFF modeling system includes the CALMET meteorological model, a Gaussian puff dispersion model (CALPUFF) with algorithms for chemicaltransformation and deposition, and a post processor capable of calculating concentrations, visibility impacts, and deposition (CALPOST). The CALPUFF modeling system was applied in a full, refined mode. The following version numbers of the various programs in the CALPUFF system were used by CH2M HILL: o CALMET Version 5.53a, Level040716o CALPUFF Version 5.7lla, Level040716o CALPOST Version 5.51, Level 030709 CALMET Methodology Dimensions of the Modeling Domain CH2M HILL used the CALMET model to generate a three-dimensional wind field and other meteorological parameters suitable for use by the CALPUFF model. A modeling domain was established to encompass the Jim Bridger 4 facility and allow for a 50-km buffer around the Class I areas that were within 300 km of the facility. Grid resolution was 4 km. Figure 4-l shows the extent of the modeling domain. Except when specifically instructed otherwise by the Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality-Air Quality Division (WDEQ-AQD), CH2M HILL followed the methodology spelled out in the WDEQ-AQD BART Modeling Protocol, a copy of which is included in this report as Appendix B. CH2M HILL used the Lambert Conformal Conic map projection for the analysis due to the large extent of the domain. The latitude of the projection origin and the longitude ofthe central meridian were chosen at the approximate center of the domain. Standard parallels were drawn to represent one-sixth and five-sixths of the north-south extent of the domain to minimize distortion in the north-south direction. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 35 of 96 4.2 4.2.1 JMS EY1O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC JJ -I E 0tII fJ - (Jt+E EgEE tr(,, EiE gi !o6-oao $t61 EO.=oaso zUo Io =ooNE ox ooIo IEuo6d6 ='6UJIcg EUFzlIoh0 odc49EaoJ9oJa B.EoLJI IJ. U tr *_* T. Harvey, IPC Page 36 of 96 io) Yd)-: ociR Pc.t+ xri o3s I r6i oEg EEE 9.!u6 dtro- EEp i53*.cEE Pb6 g C'6 EooFtu o! 'll 6"g:IHE -l i i (E o!oo =oa oE c3 ril "6 !!o JO +.! oE PB g 'E; -9 -oAoJifr @N BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 The default technical options listed in TRC Companies, Inc.'s (TRC) current example CALMET.inp file were used for CALMET. Vertical resolution of the wind field included ten layers, with vertical face heights as follows (in meters): . 0,20,40, 100, 140,320,580, 1020, 1480,2220,3500 Other user-specified model options were set to values established by WDEQ-AQD, which appear in Table 3 of Appendix B. Table 4-l lists the key user-specified options used for this analysis. TABLE 4.1 User-specifi ed CALMET Options Jim Bidoer4 CALMET lnput Parameter CALMET lnput Group 2 Map projection (PMAP) Grid spacing (DGRIDKM) Number vertical layers (NZ) Top of lowest layer (m) Top of highest layer (m) CALMET lnput Group 4 Observation mode (NOOBS) CALMET lnput Group 5 Prog. Wind data (IPROG) (RMAX1) (RMM2) Tenain influence (TERRAD) (R1) (R2) CALMET lnput Group 6 Max mixing ht (ZIMAX) Lambert Conformal 4 10 20 3500 0 14 30 50 15 5 25 3500 4.2.2 CALMET Input Data CH2M HILL ran the CALMET model to produce 3 years of analysis: 2001,2002, and 2003. WDEQ-AQD provided l2-km resolution Mesoscale Meteorological Model, Version 5 (MM5) meteorological data fields that covered the entire modeling domain for each study year. These three data sets were chosen because they are current and have been evaluated for quality. The MM5 data were used as input to CALMET as the "initial guess" wind field. The initial guess wind field was adjusted by CALMET for local terrain and land use effects to generate a Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 37 of 96 JMS EY1 O2O()7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 Step I wind field, and further refined using local surface observations to create a final Step 2 wind field. Surface data for 2001 through 2003 were obtained from the National Climatic Data Center. CH2M HILL processed the data from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) network for all stations that are in the domain. The surface data were obtained in abbreviated DATSAV3 format. A conversion routine available from the TRC Web site was used to convert the DATSAV3 files to CD-144 format for input into the SMERGE preprocessor and CALMET. Land use and terrain data were obtained from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Land use data were obtained in Composite Theme Grid format from the USGS, and the Level I USGS land use categories were mapped into the 14 primary CALMET land use categories. Surface properties such as albedo, Bowen ratio, roughness length, and leaf area index were computed from the land use values. Terrain data were taken from USGS l-degree Digital Elevation Model data, which primarily derive from USGS l:250,000 scale topographic maps. Missing land use data were filled with values that were assumed appropriate for the missing area. Precipitation data were obtained from the National Climatic Data Center. All available data in fixed-length,TD-3240 format were obtained for the modeling domain. The list of available stations that have collected complete data varies by year, but CH2M HILL processed all available stations/data within the domain for each year. Precipitation data were prepared with the PXTRACT/PMERGE processors in preparation for use within CALMET. Upper-air data were prepared for the CALMET model with the READ62 preprocessor for the following stations: o Denver, Colorado. Salt Lake City, Utaho Riverton, Wyomingo Rapid City, South Dakota Figure 4-2 shows the locations of surface and upper air stations within the MM5 modeling domain. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 38 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART.JB4-OCI2OO7_FINAL.DOC JJ III EilII0 3I o.9rfs oolh =.= q ,98 fE oF)tro4cOOr.'Eoltl Eto.2te o=EL.o.ft ooo .E L =o =E=o)Yd)- oIR PN+ xFro Ora (O$+ o -6i opa E(E= t,.!86 btro- EPc;-€E =EE P@6 g oco (Ut./)5C(l)'t.a\o(Eo E6€aZ. l-.4 E fr = H, H :l (E oJooEfoU) ! 9E ri!NY oE3o'i! +q @- oo Iro o = 3 =Uo< 5 Ua E oE6EEdEo 3 6 tL(,) - EDalc.E oo5P.s-d137 *8 3 EE adsP <1 oE PE:r ei c? :&, ! 'E -9 8i 5E ON T. Harvey, IPC Page 39 of 96 BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 4.2.3 Validation of CALMET Wind Field CH2M HILL used the CALDESK data display and analysis system (v2.97, Enviromodeling Ltd.) to view plots of wind vectors and other meteorological parameters to evaluate the CALMET wind fields. The CALDESK displays were compared to observed weather conditions, as depicted in surface and upper-air weather maps (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2006). 4.3 CALPUFF Modeling Approach For the BART controltechnology visibility improvement modeling, CH2M HILL followed WDEQ-AQD guidance provided in the document titled BART Air Modeling Protocol-Individual Source Visibility Assessments for BART Control Analyses (September, 2006). CH2M HILL drove the CALPUFF model with the meteorological output from CALMET over the modeling domain described earlier. The CALPUFF model was used to predict visibility impacts for the pre-control (baseline) scenario for comparison to the predicted impacts for post-control scenarios for Jim Bridger 4. 4.3.1 Background Ozone and Ammonia Hourly values of background ozone concentrations were used by CALPUFF for the calculation of SOz and NO" transformation with the MESOPUFF II chemical transformation scheme. CH2M HILL obtained hourly ozone data from the following stations located within the modeling domain for 2001, 2002, and2003: o Rocky Mountain National Park, Coloradoo Craters ofthe Moon National Park, Idaho. Highland, Utaho Thunder Basin National Grasslands, Wyomingo Yellowstone National Park, Wyomingo Centennial, Wyomingr Pinedale, Wyoming For periods of missing hourly ozone data, the chemical transformation relied on a monthly default value of 44 parts per billion. Background ammonia was set to 2 parts per billion. Both of these background values were taken from the guidance document (WDEQ-AQD, 2006). 4.3.2 Stack Parameters The stack parameters used for the baseline modeling reflect those that are in place under the current permit for Jim Bridger 4. Post-control stack parameters reflect the anticipated changes associated with installation of the control technology altematives that are being evaluated. The maximum heat input rate of 6,000 MMBtU per hour was used to calculate a maximum emission rate. Measured velocities and stack flow rates were used in the modeling to represent a worst-case situation. Exhibit No. 2 Cr"" flo fPC-E-13-16 4-6 T. Harvey, IPC Page 40 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 4.3.3 Emission Rates Pre-control emission rates for Dave Johnston 3 reflect peak 24-hour average emissions that may occur under the source's current permit. The emission rates reflect actual emissions under normal operating conditions, as described by the EPA in the Regional Haze Regulations and Guidelines for Best Available Retrofit Technologt Determinations; Final Rule (40 CFR Part 5l). CH2M HILL used available continuous emission monitoring data to determine peak 24-hour emission rates. Data reflected operations from the most recent 3- to 5-year period, unless a more recent period was more representative. Allowable short-term (24-hour or shorter period) emissions or short-term emission limits were used if continuous emission monitoring data were not available. Emissions were modeled for the following pollutants: . SOz. NO*. Coarse particulate (PM2 5<diameter<PM16). Fine particulate (diameter<PM2 5). Sulfates Post-control emission rates reflect the effects of the emissions control scenario under consideration. Modeled pollutants were the same as those listed for the pre-control scenario. 4.3.4 Post-control Scenarios Four post-control modeling scenarios were developed to cover the range of effectiveness for the combination of the individual NO*, SO2, and PM control technologies being evaluated. The selection of each control device was made based on the engineering analyses performed in Section 3 for reasonable technologies that would meet or exceed the presumptive BART levels for each pollutant. . Scenario 1: New LNB with OFA Modifications, upgraded wet FGD system and FGC for enhanced ESP performance. As indicated previously, this scenario represents CH2M HILL's preliminary BART recommendation. . Scenario 2: New LNB with OFA modifications, upgraded wet FGD system and new polishing fabric filter . Scenario 3: New LNB with OFA modifications and SCR, upgraded wet FCD system and FGC for enhanced ESP performance. . Scenario 4: New LNB with OFA modifications and SCR, upgraded wet FGD system and new polishing fabric filter. The ROFA option and LNB with OFA and SCR option for NO* control were not included in the modeling scenarios because their control effectiveness is between the LNB with OFA option and the SCR option. Modeling of NO*, SOz, and particulate maffer controls alone was not performed because any final BART solution will include a combination of control technologies for NO*, SOz, and particulate matter. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page41 of96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 1 Table 4-2 presents the stack parameters and emission rates used for the Jim Bridger 4 analysis for baseline and post-control modeling. In accordance with the WDEQ BART modeling protocol, elemental carbon stack emissions and organic aerosolemissions were nol modeled. 4.3.5 Modeling Process The CALPUFF modeling for the control technology options for Jim Bridger 4 followed this sequence: . Model pre-control (baseline) emissions. Model preferred post-control scenario (if applicable). Determine degree of visibility improvement. Model other control scenarios. Determine degree of visibility improvement. Factor visibility results into the BART "five-step" evaluation 4.3.6 Receptor Grids Discrete receptors for the CALPUFF modeling were placed at uniform receptor spacing along the boundary and in the interior of each area of concern. Class I area receptors were taken from the National Park Service database for Class I area modeling receptors. The TRC COORDS program was used to convert all latitude/longitude coordinates to Lambert Conformal Conic coordinates, including receptors, meteorological stations, and source locations. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 42 of 96 JMS EYl()2OOTOOlSLC\BART-JB4-OCT2OOT.FINAL,DOC iiooE6t o 6E ocI 'EeEEo-oo23ooo-oiio E oPa; E.PE E'X. t' @<= 6 E E: ?, 8 EE 39x b x;ES Y EBH ':uc i:E! €EE.E 39o h 2.El o 6;eE Bi8s E6Go-too 6= o-o! a9od 6 -t uP*^E 3gf'" 3H;E g ooL- oo _j.$Pc =-o6s 88 q >o giooxE 4 cE€: 3 -lo .2o o=g3= n ;o9 go!, o otoo-95-C xe.g! 6 ETE TUEO EEEE ZEgg dEq., 3 orF nb-es qao! +-oo !f FF =D--E$$ d.;ri ri I*11 eaSEE} AF*Odo 3@@ E2Ai d ts Exhibit No. 2 Ces No. IPC-E-1316 T. Hemy, lrc Page 43 of 96 e;;H3$p:!ip Es$3 ootO@OqONNoN(rNON@ioddqlddooYNdsFN-6ON6-F-F6O- e;ss 9;sS 9;ss oScq\.trE :e6333 o9o{oN-I 3PFP33 B EeiBB:J.f-N-oo E o66-c9EEOu=;tA=Hb -!g srs5E^ c aEu EiEgE?=? =E gagggggggEgggflgggr -acqOEo,E: f6so:E E= 6!zlJOof I ;E E -= EiEiE!:giui =E e! E-9fsE EAEHE E;EEMo oo260JVE 5B-.g!=!Eog -o-b<.EE!looEz EBOL2J =€ 3 e:giE EsEEI iE!EE !se::3 !E: :E*- E E.isio gIg 3.,8 o a4s E!o- o aao E co? od o co @ E Co? oE o Coo eco? oE o C o E CoI oG s a0 o =!NE 9+;l3rd3gs BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 4.4 CALPOST The CALPOST processor was used to determine 24-hour average visibility results with output specified in deciview (dV) units. Calculations of light extinction were made for each pollutant modeled. The sum of all extinction values were used to calculate the delta-dv (AdV) change relative to natural background. Default light extinction coefficients for each pollutant, as follows, were used. . Ammonium sulfate. Ammonium nitrate. Particulate matter coarse (PMro). Particulate matter fine (PMz s). Organic carbon. Elemental carbon 3.0 3.0 0.6 1.0 4.0 10.0 CALPOST Visibility Method 6 was used to determine the visibility impacts. Monthly relative humidity factors t/GH)] were used in the light extinction calculations to account for the hygroscopic characteristics of nitrate and sulfate particles. Table 5 of the Wyoming BART Air Modeling Protocol (Appendix B) lists the monthly,ffiH) factors for the Class I areas. These values were used for the particular Class I area being modeled. The natural background conditions as a reference for determining the delta-dV (AdV) change represented the 20 percent best natural visibility days. The EPA BART guidance document provided dV values for the l0 percent best days for each Class I area, but did not provide individual species concentration data for the 20 percent best background conditions. Species concentrations corresponding to the 20 percent best days were calculated for each Class I area by scaling back the annual average species concentrations given in Table 2-l of Guidancefor Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions Under the Regional Haze Rule (EPA, 2003). A separate scaling factor was derived for each Class I area such that, when multiplied by the guidance table annual concentrations, the 20 percent best days dV value for that area would be calculated. This procedure was taken from Protocol for BART-Related Visibility Improvement Modeling Analysis in North Dakota (North Dakota Department of Health, 2005). However, the Wyoming BART Air Modeling Protocol (see Appendix B) provided natural background concentrations of aerosol components to use in the BART analysis. Table 4-3 lists the annual average species concentrations from the BART protocol. Exhibit No. 2 case r.ro. rPc-E-13-16 +10 T. Harvey, IPC Page 44 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL,DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 TABLE 4.3 Average Natural Levels ofAerosol Components Jim Bidoer 4 Aerosol Component Average Natural Concentration (micrograms per cubic meter) for ltlt. Zirkel Class I Wilderness Area Average Natural Concentration (micrograms per cubic meter) for Fitzpatrick and Bridger Class ! Wilderness Areas Ammonium Sulfate Ammonium Nitrate Organic Carbon Elemental Carbon Soil Coarse Mass 0.046 0.038 0.1 79 0.008 0.190 1.141 0.045 0.038 0.178 0.008 0.189 1.136 NOTE: Source: Table 6 of the Wyoming BART Air Modeling Protocol 4.5 Presentation of Modeling Results This section presents the results of the CALPUFF visibility improvement modeling analysis for Jim Bridger 4. 4.5.1 Visibility Changes for Baseline vs. Preferred Scenario CH2M HILL modeled Jim Bridger 4 for the baseline conditions and four post-control scenarios. The post-control scenarios included emission rates for NO*, SOz, and PM16 that would be achieved if BART technology were installed on Unit 4. Baseline (and post-control) 98s percentile results were greater than 0.5 AdV for the Bridger, Fitzpatrick, and Mt. Zirkel Wilderness Areas. The 98ft percentile results for each Class I area are presented in Table 4-4. Exhibit No. 2 case No. tpt-e-tg-to a-11 T. Harvey, IPC Page 45 of 96 JMS EYlO2OOTOOlSLC\BART_JB4-OCT2OO7-FINAL,DOC 4 I a Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. 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Harey, IPC Page 47 of 96 lsq s;3 o=NtYo d9d o=o oo__ HEp oNs @@N@s@ N- ts- O-NSNo@N ':EsEip xN&#s 333 ridctooo@_@@ c\\ cidc; 6:o s9la= dbOE2grcoo<UIoo3 EEoEz- ri q:qohr 36 N<<o_zz8- oPoi* I3.-5iEe o@ =9X9P3 --@ NSO@vo@N@NNNO$-6rvo 5:i 6xNE#*= dddtsFtst_ {- t- ssQd"ip octo o I ] ol r 't9 2.9 ..i goo 5E ad tr\ "j ".i P os@o- @^ o-@oo@N@ sE8 -Nr;6E: @Arh {:i !xNE,{= N" N- a{ ooo 6i oi 6i cioo oou ci(,I !oDp 8E-o<Eot =oic6AZu .sE bo6e Qrcl9FN qan :ii8En;#i o U ct r .E'i oo E ii 6 o E oo <@@ dd RPHo_;q 6S6o;-qoX@3-.34Aa E3nd-e3sEisH -9op$t 6i! -@to i=-b.8-9p iiN&!< NNNo- o_ o_ o- o- o_ @NOc,9 : c?ooo cidci 3o ool d @ G ;€6szq $.9.96Eocx86@[ HiN <'1 s'g 6!eN o=N N99i@:o Jf,o oN!:}H +ototo-\9- ri;8Ei6#= 333 dctdooo@-@-q NNO.!:-looo 6;oos!rge dE()E60;oeoo@<Uo8 aE =Ereooo(,Er 86@L zzz NONn.!qooo o.! SPBs-;@-3$Ejje- E.N.E SEt EI Eg. ONN rjddN-@-a s*i !ls* E F= @- @- @- oooNNNt- t- t- oooci;- o I a o <uo '=e @e2.9 ..i goo Ea .*I NO@a.!9 o- @- o" :{p$qE d9{ s55 5!inE#*= ooo NNN qqq r ci I oa E 5c+8 <EotEOiI6@ZUJ! .eE bo;"e 9-3 cici; ul.q \ T:=b.Pgp xNfig* o@U ct I 3 't o Goo E ii G6 oo Eio.; o d2 -3 =t.E E;Lo c €= E.iEg -3i33.Or-oi;9d5z ! EEo6!E5EE>gE9; c;e E!9<i 3.1r63 3E E2o ?;eE 3E i3 6-Fri 1 !o o c =) co E Eo = g>6go>i6 Eg a = so E oj d @ =( =Ew ES*- a+=ty3;6 E3S 5.1 5.0 Preliminary Assessment and Recommendations As a result of the completed technical and economic evaluations, and consideration of the modeling analysis for Jim Bridger 4, the preliminary recommended BART controls for NO*, SOz, and PMro are as follows: . New LNBs and modifications to the OFA system for NO* control. Upgrade wet sodium FGD for SOz control. Add flue gas conditioning upstream of existing ESPs for PM control These recommendations were identified as Scenario I for the modeling analysis described in Section 4. Visibility improvements for all emission control scenarios were analyzed, and the results are compared below, utilizing a least-cost envelope, as outlined inthe New Source Review Worltshop Manual (EPA, 1990, hereafter referred to as NSR Manual). Least-cost Envelope Analysis For the control scenarios modeled in Section 4, Tables 5-l through 5-3 list the total annualized cost, cost per dV reduction, and cost per reduction in number of days above 0.5 dV for each of the three Class I areas. A comparison of the incremental results between selected scenarios is provided in Tables 5-4 through 5-6. Figures 5-l to 5-6 show the total annualized cost versus number of days above 0.5 dV, and the total annualized cost versus 98th percentile AdV reduction, for the three Class I areas. 5.1.1 AnalysisMethodology On page B-41 of the New Source Review (NSR) Manual, EPA states that "Incremental cost-effectiveness comparisons should focus on annualized cost and emission reduction differences between dominant alternatives. Dominant set of control alternatives are determined by generating what is called the envelope of least-cost altematives. This is a graphical plot of total annualized costs for a total emissions reductions for all control alternatives identified in the BACT analysis..." An analysis of incremental cost effectiveness has been conducted. This analysis was performed in the following way. First, the control option scenarios are ranked in ascending order of annualized total costs, as shown in Tables 5-l through 5-3. The incremental cost effectiveness data, expressed per day and per dV, represents a comparison of the different scenarios, and is summarized in Tables 5-4 through 5-6 for each of the three wilderness areas. Then the most reasonable smooth curve of least-cost control option scenarios is plotted for each analysis. Figures 5-l through 5-6 present the two analyses (cost per dV reduction and cost per reduction in number of days above 0.5 dV) for each of the three Class I areas impacted by the operation of Jim Bridger 4. ExhibitNo.2 -. Case No. IPC-E-13-16 '-' T. Harvey, IPC Page 48 of96 JMS EY1 02007001 SLC\BART_JB4_0CT2007_FTNAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 In Figure 5-1, the tbur scenarios are compared as a graph of total annualized cost versus number of days above 0.5 dV. The EPA states that "ln calculating incremental costs, the analysis should only be conducted for control options that are dominant among all possible options." In Figure 5-1, the dominant set of control options (Scenarios l, 3, and 4) represent the least-cost envelope depicted by the curvilinear line connecting them. Scenario 2 is an inferior option and should not be considered in the derivation of incremental cost effectiveness. Scenario 2 represents inferior controls because Scenario 1 provides approximately the same amount of visibility impact reduction for less cost than Scenario 2. The incremental cost effectiveness is determined by the difference in total annual costs between two contiguous scenarios divided by the difference in emissions reduction. TABLE 5.1 Control Scenario Results for the Bridger Class I Wildemess Area Jin Bridoer Unit 4 Scenario Controls ggth Percentile deciview (dv) Reduction Reduction in Average Number of Days Above 0.5 dv (days) Total Annualized Cost (mittion$) Cost per dv Reduction (million$ per dv reduced) Cost per Reduction in No. of Days Above 0.5 dV (million$ per day reduced) Base Current Operation with Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD), Electrostatic Precipitator (ESP) Low-NO" Burner (LNB) with Over-Fire Air (OFA), upgrade wet FGD and Flue Gas Conditioning (FGC) for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA, Upgrade Wet FGD, new polishing fabric filter LNB with OFA and Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) System, upgrade wet FGD and FGC for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA and SCR, upgrade wet FGD, new polishing fabric filter $o.o0.0 $2.10.38 7.3 0.00 0.38 7.3 $o.o $8.5 $s.6 $22.1 $19.9 $o.o $0.3 $1.2 $1.6 $1.2 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 49 of 96 JMS EY,I O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 TABLE 5.2 Control Scenario Results for he Fitzpatrick Class I Wildemess Area Jim Bridoer Unit 4 Scenario Controls ggth Percentile deciview (dv) Reduction Reduction in Average Number of Days Above 0.5 dv (days) Total Annualized Cost (miIion$) Cost per dv Reduction (million$ per dV reduced) Cost per Reduction in No. of Days Above 0.5 dV (million$ per Day reduced) Current Operation with Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD), Electrostatic Precipitator (ESP) Low-NO, Burner (LNB) with Over-Fire Air (OFA), upgrade wet FGD and Flue Gas Conditioning (FGC) for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA, Upgrade Wet FGD, new polishing fabric filter LNB with OFA and Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) System, upgrade wet FGD and FGC for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA and SCR, upgrade wet FGD, new polishing fabric filter 6.7 $25.0 $8s.4 0.00 0.19 0.19 0.29 0.29 $0.00.0 $8.s $18.6 $o.o $11.3 $M.4 $64.7 $o.o $1.7 $3.1 $3.7 5.0 6.0 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 50 of 96 JMS EYIO2()OTOOISLC\BART JB4 OCI2O()T FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 TABLE 5-3 Control Scenario Results for the lvlt. Zirkel Class I Wildemess Area Jim Bridger4 Scenario Controls ggth Percentile deciview (dv) Reduction Reduction in Average Number of Days Above 0.s dv (days) Total Annualized Cost lmittion$) Cost per dv Reduction (million$ per dV reduced) Cost per Reduction in No. of Days Above 0.5 dV (million$ per Day reduced) Base Current Operation with Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD), Electrostatic Precipitator ( ESP) Low-NO, Burner (LNB) with Over-Fire Air (OFA), upgrade wet FGD and Flue Gas Conditioning (FGC) for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA, Upgrade Wet FGD, new polishing fabric filter LNB with OFA and Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) System, upgrade wet FGD and FGC for enhanced ESP performance LNB with OFA and SCR, upgrade wet FGD, new polishing fabric filter 0.00 0.s1 0.52 0.81 0.82 12.3 22.7 23.3 0.0 11.7 $o.o $2.1 $8.s $18.6 $o.o $4.1 $16.2 $22.9 $30.4 $o.o $0.2 $0.7 $0.8 $1.1$2s.0 TABLE 5.4 Bridger Class I Wildemess Area lncrementalAnalysis Data Jim Eridoer Unit 4 Options Compared lncrementa! Reduction in Days Above lncremental dV 0.5 deciview Reductions (dV) (days) (dv) lncremental Cost-Effectiveness (million$ per days) lncremental Cost-Effectiveness (million$ per dV) Baseline and Scenario 1 Scenario I and Scenario 2 Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 Scenario 1 and Scenario 4 7.3 0.0 4.7 12.7 0.38 0.01 0.20 0.88 $0.29 N/A $3.5 $1.8 $5.61 $734.6 $81.9 $26.0 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 51 of96 JMS EY1O2OO7OO1 SLC\BARI_JB4_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 TABLE 5.5 FiEpatrick Class I Wildemess Area lncrementalAnalysis Data Jin Bridoer Unit 4 Options Compared lncremental Reduction in Days Above 0.5 deciview (dv) (days) lncremental dV lncrementalReductions Cost-Effectiveness(dV) (million$ per days) Incrcmental Cost-Effectiveness (million$ per dV) Baseline and Scenario 1 Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 Scenario 1 and Scenario 4 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.7 0.19 0.00 0.10 0.11 $0.42 NA $16.5 $13.7 $4s.s4 $1,364.3 $162.8 $215.0 TABLE 5.6 Mt. ZirkelClass I Wilderness Area lncrementalAnalysis Data Jim Bridoer Unit 4 Options Compared lncremental Reduction in lncrcmenta! dV Days Above Reductions 0.5 dV (days) (dv) lncremental Gost-Effectiveness (million$/days) lncremental Cost-Effectiveness (million$ per dV) Baseline and Scenario 1 Scenario 1 and Scenario 2 Scenario 1 and Scenario 3 Scenario 't and Scenario 4 11.7 0.7 11.0 11.7 0.51 0.01 0.30 0.31 $0.18 $9.5 $1.5 $2.0 $4.12 $516.2 $55.1 $73.5 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 52 of 96 JMS EYIO2O()T()OlSIC\BART_JB4-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 FIGURE 5.1 Least-cost Envelope Bridger Class I WA Days Reduction Jin Bridger Unit 4 $30.0 0 - s20.0 oo(, ES srs.o .E Ec E $10.0 oF FIGURE 5.2 Leastost Envelope Bridger Class I WA 98t'Percentile Reduction Jim BrfuerUnit4 s30.0 s0.0 0.00 46810 Roductlon in Days of Exceedlng 0.5 dV (days) 0.20 0.30 0.40 98th Percentlle Delta-Decivlow Reductlon (dV) 0 g s2o.o ttootS Ers.o o =tc g $t0.0 oF Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,IPC Page 53 of 96 Scenario 4 Scenario 3 ?,,IIII a Scenario 2 Baseline Scenario 4 | I t, ,Sc6nario 3t ,I ,III o Scenario 2 , Baserine ---a"a;;r-"' JMS EY.IO2OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4-OCI2()O7-FINAL.DOC MRT AMLYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 'l FIGURE 5.3 Leastcost Envelope FiEpatrick Class I WA Days Reduction Jim Bridger Unit 4 $iio.0 O - $20.0 oo() E$ srs.o G E t $10.0 o FIGURE 5.I Least-cost Envelope FiEpatrick Class IWA 98tt'Percentile Reduction Jim Bridger Unit4 $30.0 $25.0 $0.0 0.00 0.'10 0.15 98th Percentlle Delta-Deciview Reductlon (dV) 0 ! szo.o 5ooEll srs.o 6tEE 5 $10.0 o 2345 Reductlon in Days of Exceeding 0.5 dV (days) 0.20 0.25 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page 54 of 96 Scenario 4 at sienario 3 I I a , t, Ia Scenario 2 II Baseline -t'- - - {i.narior I I I Scenario 4 ,t Scenario 3 I, , aScenario2 aa Baseline ,aa - " lt*"n ao't JMS EYlO2OOTOOISLC\BART_JB4-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC MRT ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 G !!. $20.0 oooE .$ srs.o G!c E Sr0.0 oF FIGURE 5.5 Least-cost Envelope Mt. Zirkel Class I WA Days Reduction Jin Bridger Unit 4 $30.0 10 15 Reductlon ln Dayr of Exceedlng 0.5 dV (dayr) 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 98th Percentllo Deltaooclvlow Reductlon (dV) FIGURE 5.6 Least-cost Envelope Mt. ZirkelClass I WA 98t Percentile Reduction Jin Bridger Unit 4 $30.0 925.0 s20.0 815.0 $r0.0 $5.0 $o.o 0.00 O- oo(, EoN=6t 6o Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 55 of 96 Scenario 4 f It , ?Scenario 3 I, ,t a Scenario 2 Baserine --o]^i"1 - -'- I Scenario I I a , Scenario 3 , t,, Oscenario 2 I Bassrine *."!"in"l ' "' JMS EY,IO2OOT()O1SLC\BART_JB4-OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIM BRIDGER UNIT 4 5.1.2 Analysis Results Results of the least-cost analysis, shown in Tables 5-l through 5-6 and Figures 5-l through 5-6 on the preceding pages, confirm the selection of Scenario l, based on incremental cost and visibility improvements. Scenario 2 is eliminated because it is to the left of the curve formed by the "dominant" control alternative scenarios, which indicates a scenario with lower improvement and/or higher costs. Scenario 3 is not selected due to very high incremental costs for both a cost per day of improvement and a cost per dV reduction. While Scenario 4 provides some potential visibility advantage over Scenario l, the projected improvement is less than 0.5 dV, and the projected costs are excessive. Analysis of the results for the Jim Bridger Class I Wilderness Area in Tables 5-l and 5-4 and Figures 5-l and 5-2 illustrates the conclusions stated above. The greatest reduction in 98m percentile dV and number of days above 0.5 dV is between the Baseline and Scenario l. The incremental cost effectiveness for Scenario I compared to the Baseline for the Bridger Wilderness Area, for example, is reasonable at $290,000 per day and $5.6 million per dV. However, the incremental cost effectiveness for Scenario 3 compared to Scenario l, again for the Bridger Wilderness Are4 is excessive at $3.5 Million per day and $81.9 million per dV. The same conclusions are reached for each of the three wilderness areas studied. Therefore, Scenario I represents BART for Jim Bridger 4. 5.2 Recommendations 5.2.1 NO, Emission Control The BART presumptive NO* limit assigned by EPA for tangentially-fired boilers burning sub-bituminous coal is 0.15 lb per MMBtu. However, as documented in Section 3.2.1, the characteristics of the Jim Bridger coals are more closely aligned with bituminous coals, and have been assigned a presumptive BART NO* limit of 0.28 lb per MMBtu. CH2M HILL recommends LNBs with OFA as BART for Jim Bridger 4, based on the projected significant reduction in NO* emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of no additional power requirements or non-air quality environmental impacts. NO* reductions are expected to be similar to those realized at Jim Bridger 2. CHZMHILL recommends that the unit be permitted at arate of 0.26Ib per MMBtu. 5.2.2 SOz Emission Control CH2M HILL recommends upgrading the existing wet sodium FGD system as BART for Jim Bridger 4, based on the significant reduction in SOz emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of minimal additional power requirements and minimal non-air quality environmental impacts. This upgrade approach will meet the BART presumptive SOz limit of 0.15 lb per MMBtu. 5.2.3 PMro Emission Control CH2M HILL recommends finalizing the permitting of the FGC system to enhance the performance of the existing ESP as BART for Jim Bridger 4, based on the significant Exhibit No- 2- _ ._ _- s_eCase No. IPC-E-1 3-16 - ' T. Harvey, IPC Page 56 of 96 JMS EY1 O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC BART ANALYSIS FOR JIIV BRIDGER UNIT 4 reduction in PMro emissions, reasonable control costs, and the advantages of minimal additional power requirements and no non-air quality environmental impacts. 5.3 Just-Noticeable Differences in Atmospheric Haze Conclusions reached in the reference document "Just-Noticeable Differences in Atmospheric Haze" by Dr. Ronald Henry of the University of Southern California (Henry, 2002), state that only dV differences of approximately 1.5 to 2.0 dV, or more are perceptible by the human eye. Deciview changes of less than 1.5 cannot be distinguished by the average person. Therefore, the modeling analysis results indicate that only minimal, if any, observable visibility improvements at the Class I areas studied would be expected under any of the scenarios. Thus the results indicate that even though many millions of dollars will be spent, only minimal if any visibility improvements may result. Finally, it should be noted that none of the data were corrected for natural obscuration. Water in various forms (fog, clouds, snow, or rain) or other naturally caused aerosols may obscure the atmosphere and reduce visibility. During the period of 2001 through 2003, there were several mega-wildfires that lasted for many days, with a significant impact on background visibility in these Class I areas. If natural obscuration lessens the achievable reduction in visibility impacts modeled for BART controls at the Jim Bridger 4 facility, the overall effect would be to increase the costs per dV reduction that are presented in this report. Exhibit No. 2 -c""" rlo. rpt-E-13-16 s"1o T. Harvey, IPC Page 57 of 96 JMS EY1 02OO7OO1 SLC\BART-JB4_OCT2OO7-FINAL.DOC 6.0 References 40 CFR Part 51. Regional Haze Regulations and Guidelines for Best Available Retrofit Technologlt Determinations; Final Rule. July 6,2005. Energy Information Administration, 2006. Official Energt Statistics frorn the U.S. Government: Coal. http://www.eia.doe.eov/fuelcoal.html. Accessed October 2006. EPA, 1990. New Source Review Worleshop Manual-Prevention of Significant Deterioration and Nonattainment Area Permitting. Draft. October 1990. EPA, 2003. Guidancefor Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions Under the Regional Haze Rule. Environmental Protection Agency. EPA-454/8-03-005. September 2003. Henry, Ronald, 2002. "Just-Noticeable Differences in AtmosphericHaze," Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association. Volume 52, p. 1238. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2006. U.S. Daily Weather Maps Project. http://docs.lib.noaa.gov/rescue/dwm/data_rescue_daily_weather_maps.html. Accessed October 2006. North Dakota Department of Health, 2005. Protocol for BART-Related Visibility Improvement Modeling Analysis in North Dakota. North Dakota Department of Health. October 26, 2005. Sargent & Lundy, 2002. Multi-Pollutant Control Report. October 2002. Sargent & Lundy, 2006. Multi-Pollutant Control Report. Revised. October 2006. WDEQ-AQD,2006. BART Air Modeling Protocol-Individual Source Visibility Assessments for BART Control Analyses. Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality - Air Quality Division. September 2006. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 58 of 96 JMS EYl O2OO7OO1 SLC\BART_JB4_OCT2OO7_FINAL.DOC APPENDD(A Economic Ana Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. 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OONOONOON-NFFNt=NO<doA@ONOOOots+Nooo-O6odO@F$oF@@NoOON-OOOtsF<d d d @ @ rj rj rj dt dt dt ot dt o o d - '- oio o-? o F oooooootoo6@66FFF60c@OO6OFOrOOOco66-ONFC69O-OOOO@OOOOo-OiO@C Gi o s d d rj Fj co- oi ci - ci d ri ai { ci oi cia{s{$+stsso666660606G o F-NNNNNNNNNNOOOC)oooooooooooooooooooc!NNNNNNNNN FNoto@N@OO-NOIO@N@Oc I o '6>Gc .9 Eo o UFu 6 6 o o oosoJoooNoo U Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T Harvey, IPC Paqe 72 of 96 Lox IL(, L!GIL t E, otrE o .Et t!ea,T,t:l:oitF @6NF6<t@o@O@O@O@O@@q++c666ts6oFOOOOO@OONt66eNOt6@6OOFN{O@@OOaN@@@@@O@O@OOOOOOOOOCFFEFFN' ,o_ I(, ita9it i 6t+6N66FOOO@@Ne6OOFC+6Eio6O6o-o@N@OO-OOr66666+-66N6@ts<O@FOOc<t ; Fj d Ai ci oi dioi doi ri o, d <i d { c,i -:c666i-O6N@-OOO60FNFNFOa<<o66@@tststsO@OOOOF!@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@FFFF 8Ea_ioc D. o EI tuoFt0u NNNNNNNNtststsNNtsNtsNFtsF666666660066600@60096dd6666600666600000sNNNdNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNCoo66600000000000000c6666666@@@@@@@@@@@@(+d++++{++d{{{{{++++- r$ a-aP6 t !)ira<(C i:) +66oF6oF@d6OOO@OON6O66ts;c66O-66!NFtFOF@-6F6F6NON@FN-6O@@OtsOc66N@o@dO@O{{$@@FOO@Co66dN6+NF6oONFOOiOOq66ENN66oooOOOFFNNNOcFFFNNNNNNNN' >ar-@\l6ON D. ;( D!il! t66+6666FNO6O@O<O+NC3E5E8gEhNh858PF8E38;d Ai di Fi ct <i + d ri <i ci.: d ci oici ci ci ci go66-aF6d@oN@ON@OOFOTo6d++{6666@@@NNFO600 oS9a')- e!N{ d ^ oFN6o6<NA@tsNOt@tF@-C<<6oN@66{N{@NOOFONO<O- O- F_ !_ ts_ N^ o- @_ 6_ o- N_ o_ 6_ a @" o" @_ a o. ?o@N6<-ts+-@ooooAOFO€tsoOFrd6O<AO@FO@OOFNNCooo606000000000tnt9\ o;r o0o- oo C o & d c r!i(:.i ;c iritii 6e6o666OdFOO@@NOFO@q+6+6E+6<NtsNO-O@OtsNO<F- O^ O- O- N- O- @- F_ @_ @- \ 6. 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LL o)r* .9 CLo066 LLtra\t o =(J o5a cmO J! oo- 06.= +rv()1zmazI otr .9 CLo 6 troo tro ) =oo- .= o ooo (Eo o':lr oIf.-o o I.ao.>(trc .o Eoco() uJFt co $m--) oOo- I o- OJ(/) oof.-ooNo t.lJ LLot LLo =mzJ OOOOOOOOOOOooooooooooo- o- o^ o- c)- o- o^ o- o- o-ooooooooooooooooooooo- o- o- o^ o- o- o- o- o- o-o6(0sNo@(osNN ($) lsoC rEaA lsrll Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T Harvey, IPC Page 74 of 96 o 0)=iro -o(I' LL (r)o.Soco.9q= tLOO tt xr.-o o I.9 U) (,c .o Eocoo uJFt ms@-o- oOo- I o_o_ (-)Ja oof.-ooNo tu c) =EA€Uou-o)oo-er.9 CLo;eri=o* bE; O coE (J f=oo.odL LEa6 =z6 c/)zJ LLot LLo =mzI oc .9 CLo 6 troo o J=oo- a o ooo Lo =trooo o- oooooooooooooooooo- o_ o_ o- o- o^ o^ o-ooooooooooooooooo_ o- o^ o_ o- o^ o- o-oooooooo@.tNoco(osc\ ooOOo- o-OOOOo- o-OOocoN Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 75 of96 ($) afl''l luetd JEaA ra^O lso3 qUoi luasard APPENDIX B BART Protocol Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 76 of 96 BART Air Modeling Protocol Individual Source Visibility Assessments for BART Control Analyses September,2006 State of Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality Air Quality Division Cheyenne, WY 82002 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,IPC Page 77 of 96 Exhibit No. 2 Case No.IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC 2 Page 78 of 96 1.0 INTRODUCTION The U.S. EPA has issued final amendments to the Regional Haze Regulations, along with Guidelines for Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) Determinations.(r) The guidelines address the methodology for detemrining which facilities must apply BART (sources subject-to-BART) and the evaluation of control options. The State of Wyoming used air quality modeling in accordance with the EPA Guidelines to determine the Wyorning sources which are subject-to-BART. This Protocol defines the specific methodology to be used by those sources for d.etermining the improvement in visibility to be achieved by BART controls. The methodology presented in this Protocol is consistent with EPA guidance and the Air Quality Division (AQD) determination of subject-to-BART sources. It is intended that all Wyoming sources that must conduct BART analyses will use this Protocol for their evaluation of conhol technology visibility improvement. Any deviations from the procedures described herein must be approved by the Division prior to impiementation. tt) 49 gpa Part 5 1: Regional Haze Regulatioas and Guidelines for Best Available Rerofit Technology (BART) Determinatious; Final Rule. 70 Federal Register, 39103-39172, July 6, 2005. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 ^T. Harvey, IPC J Page 79 of 96 2.0 OVERVIEW Wyoming AQD detennined that eight facilities (sources) in the state are subject- to-BART. The sources are listed in Table 1. Division modeling indicated that each of these sources callses or contributes to visibility impairment in one or more Class I areas. Each source must conduct a BART analysis to define Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) applicable to that source, and quantify the improvement in Class I visibility associated with BART controls. This Protocol sets out the procedures for quantifying visibility improvement. Other aspects of the full BART analysis are not addressed here. There are many Class I areas within and surrounding Wyoming (See Figure 1). On the basis of distance from subject-to-BART sources, topography, meteorology, and prior modeling, the AQD has determined that only five Class I areas need be addressed in BART individual source analyses. These are Badlands and Wind Cave National Parks in South Dakota, Mt. Zirkel Wildemess Area in Colorado, and Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas in Wyoming. Sotuces in eastem Wyoming have been shown to have greatest visibility impacts at the two South Dakota Class I areas, and western Wyoming sources have maximum impacts at Bridger and Fitzpakick Wilderness Areas, and Mt. Zirkel. Visibility improvement at these highest impact areas wiii provide the best measure of the effectiveness of BART controls. Each facility should calry out modeling with the CALPUFF modeling system for the Class I areas specified in Table 2. The AQD will provide meteorological input for CALMET for the years 2001, 2002, and 2003. The model domain covered by the AQD meteorological data is centered in southwest Wyoming, and extends roughly from Twin Falls, ID in the west to flre Missouri River in the east, and from Denver in the south to Helen4 MT in the nofih. The domain is shown, along with Class I areas, in Figure 1. Sources may wish to utilize a smalier domain for CALPUFF modeling. Smaller domains are acceptable if they provide aciequate additional area beyond the specific source and Class I areas being addressed. Figur-e I includes a "southwest Wyoming" domain which represents the minimum acceptable area for sources impacting the Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wildemess Areas, and the Mt. Zirkel Wilderness Alea, and a "northeast Wyoming" domain as a minimum area for Badlands and Wind Cave National Parks modeling. The CALPUFF model should be used with each of the three years of meteorological data to calculate visibility impacts for a baseline (existing ernissions) case, and for cases reflecting BART controls. The control scenarios are to include individual scenarios for proposed BART controls for each pollutant (SOz, NO*, and particulate matter), and a combined scenario representing application of all proposed BART controls. If desired, additional modeling may be performed for conhols that are not selected as BART. This might be done, for example, to provide data useful in identifying the control technologies that represent BART. However, visibility modeling is required only for the proposed BART controls. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC 4 Page 80 of 96 Basin Electric Laramie River Power Plant Boiiers #l-2-3 FMC Comoration Granser Soda Ash Plant Boilers #1.2 FMC Comoration Green River Sodium Plant Three boilers General Chemical Co.Green River Soda Ash Two boilers PacifiCom Dave Johnson Power Plant Boilers #3,4 PacifiCoro Jim Brideer Power Plant Boilers #1-4 PacifiCom Nauehton PowerPlant Boilers #1.2.3 PacifiCom Wvodak Power Plant Boiler Table 1. Wyoming Sources Subjectto-BART Results of visibility modeling will be presented as a comparison between baseline impacts and those calculated for the BART contol scenarios. Quantitative measures of impact will be the 98th percentile deciview change (Adv) relative to the 20% best days natural background, and the number of days with deciview change exceeding 0.5 (EPA Regional Haze Regulations and Guidelines for Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) Determinations, 70 fR 39103). Results should be presented for each year. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 5T. Harvey, IPC Page 81 of96 I'able 2-rtic Class I Areas to be Addressed Source Class I Areas to be Evaluated Basin Electric Larrmje River Wind Cave NP, Badlands NP FMC Corporation Granser Soda Ash Bridger WA, Fitzpatrick WA FMC Corporation Sodium Products Bridger WA, Fitzpatrick WA General Chemical Green River Soda Ash Bridger WA, Fitzpatrick WA Pacificorp Dave Johnston Wind CaveNP, Badlands NP Pacificorp Jim Brideer Bridger WA, Fitzpatick WA, Mt. Zirkel WA Pacificorp Naushton Plant Bridger WA, Fitzpatrick WA Pacificorp Wvodak V/ind Cave NP, Badlands NP Exhibit No. 2 Case No.lPC-E-13-16, T. Harvey, IPC 6 Page 82 of 96 3.0 EMISSIONS DATA FOR MODELING CALPUFF model input requires source (stack) - specific emission rates for each pollutant, and stack parameters (height, diarneter, exit gas temperature, and exit gas velocity), Per EPA BART guidance, these parameters must be representative of maximum actual 24-hour average emitting conditions for baseline (existing) operation, andmaximum proposed 24-hour average emissions forfuture (BART) operations. 3.1 Baseline Modeling Sources are required to utilize representative baseline emission conditions if data are available; baseline emissions must be documented. Possible sources of emission data are stack tests, CEM data, fuel consumption data, etc. Remember that emissions should represent maximum 24-hour rates. EPA BART guidance states that you should "Use the 24-hour average actual emission rate from the highest emitting day of the meteorological period modeled (for the pre-control scenario)." Thus, baseline conditions should reference data from 2001 through 2003 (or 2004). As a minimum, modeled emissions must include: SOz su1fur dioxide NO,, oxides of nitrogenPMz.s particles with diameter less than 2.5pm PMro-z.s particles with diameters greater than 2.5prm but iess than or equal to 10 prn If the fraction of PMle in the PMz.s (fine) and PMro-z.s (coarse) categories cannot be determined all particulate matter should be assumed to be PMz.s. In addition, direct emissions of sutflate (SOa) should be included where possible. Sulfate can be emitted as sulfruic acid (H2SOa), sulfur trioxide (SOl), or as sulfate compounds; emissions should be quantified as the equivalent mass of SO+. 'V/hen test or engineering data are not available to speciff SOa emissions or the relative fractions of fine and coarse particles, use cau be made of speciation profiles available from Federal Land Managers at the website hftpJlww2.nature.nps.gov/airlpermits/ecUindex.cfrn. Profiles are available for a number of source tlpe and control technology combinations. The FLM speciation factors are acceptable if data are available for the appropriate sowce type. Emissions of VOC (volatile organic compounds), condensable organics measured in stack tests, and elemental carbon components of PMro do not need to be included for BART modeling. The only other pollutant noted in EPA BART guidance is ammonia (NrH3). Though ammonia is not believed to be a significant contributor to visibility Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-'!3-'16 , T. Harvey, IPC t Page 83 of 96 3.2 impairment in most cases in Wyomiug, it could be important for sources with significant ammonia emissions - for example from some NO* control systems. Sources that are expected to emit ammonia (in pre-or post-control configurations) should include ammonia emissions in their model input. If quantitative baseline emissions data are unavailable and sources believe that the maximum Z4-hour emission rates estimated by the Division (presented in the Subjectto- BART final report) are representative of baseline conditions for their facility, they may be used for baseline modeling. However, emissions of sulfate and ammonia (if applicable) should be included based on the best available test information or speciation factors from current literature. Post-Control Modeling All pollutants described above should be included for each post-conko, ,""nuno. Post-conhol emissions (maximum 24-hour average) will generally be the baseline emissions multiplied by a control factor appropriate to the BART control. However, some proposed controls may simply increase the efficiency of existing controls; others may result in an increase in emissions of one pollutant while controiling another. These factors must all be considered in defining emission rates for post-control modeling. Any cllanges in stack parameters resulting from control application must also be included. The required visibility assessrnent will include the effect of each proposed BART control. For example, if a source proposes to add a scrubber for SOz control, lor,v NO* burners for NO* control, and a baghouse for particulate conffol, four sets of visibility results should be developed: o Use of SOz control aloneo IJse ofNO* control aloneo Use ofparticulate control alone. Use ofproposed combination of all three conilols AII pollutants should be modeled in each CALPUFF model run, but the modeled emissions should reflect only the specific controls or combination of controls addressed in thatrun. Additional modeling could be necessary in situations where a facility is comprised of more than one subject-to-BART source, and different BART contrcls are applicable to different sources. Excessive modeling to address multiple control combinations is not necessary; however, visibility mocleling should quantify the effect of BART controls on all affected sources for each pollutant, and of all facility BART controls combined. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16o T. Harvey, IPC o Page 84 of 96 4.0 METEOROLOGICAL DATA Wyoming AQD will provide MM5 meteorological data fields for years 2001, 2002, and 2003 that can be utilized as input to CALMET. The MM5 output will have 12 kilometer resolution and cover the full domain shown in Figure 1. Mesoscale meteorological data (MM5) were developed and evaluated as part of the AQD's southwest Wyorning NOz increment analysis. Three years of MM5 data at 36 km resolution were used to initiaiize t2 km MM5 simulations. The 12[<rn MM5 modeling used identical physics options to the original 36 km runs. CALMMS was then used as a preprocessor to produce CALMET - ready MM5 data input files. Quality assurance was performed by comparing the original MM5 output on the 36km national RPO gdd to the 12 km MM5 output and observations. The CAIMET model (version 5.53a, level 040716) should be used to prepare meteorological input for CALPUFF. The user may select a domain smaller than the MM5 domain for CALMET and CALPUFF modeling if desired. Figure 1 shows minimum domain areas for modeling of westem and eastern Wyoming BART sources. Four kilometer resolution should be specified for CALMET output. CALMET processing should use the AQD MM5 data, and appropriate surface, upper air, and precipitation data. Figure 2 shows the locations of surface and upper air stations within the MM5 model domain. The MM5 data are used as the initial guess wind field; this wind field is then adjusted by CALMET for tenain and land use to generate a step 1 wind field, and refined using surface and upper air data to create the final step 2 wind field. Surface, upper air, and precipitation data can be obtained from the National Climatic Data Center. Land use and terrain data are available from the U.S. Geological Survey. Data can be formatted for use in CALMET with standard conversion and processing progrums available with the CALMET/CALPUFF software. Table 3 provides a listing of applicable CALMET input variables for BART meteorological processing. The table includes rnputs that are specific to Wyoming BART modeling. lnputs not shown in Table 3 are not relevant to the present application, are dependent on the specific model domain of the user, use model defauli values, or are obvious from the context. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 ^T. Harvey, IPC Y Page 85 of 96 Table 3. CALMET Control File Inputs Variable Description Value Inout Group I IBYR Year 2001 2002 2003 ]BTZ Base time zone IRTYPE Run type i LCALGRD Compute data fields for CALGRID T lnput Grouo 2 PMAP Map oroiection LCC DGRIDKM Grid soacine (km)4 NZ Number of lavers 10 ZFACE Cell face heishts (m)0 20 40 100 140 320 580 1020 1480 2224 3500 lnput Group 4 NOOBS No observation Mode 0 Input Group 5 IWFCOD Model selection variable 1 TFRADJ Froude number adiustment I IKINE Kinematic effects 0 TOBR Use O'Brien procedure 0 ISLOPE Slope flow effects I IEXTRP Extrapolate surface wind observations -4 ICALM Extrapolate calm surface winds 0 BIAS Biases for weights of surface and upper air stations A1l0 RMIN2 Minimum distance for extrapolation -1 IPROG Use sridded proqrostic model outDLrt l4 ISTEPPG Time Steu fliours)I LVARY Use varvins radius of influence F Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC 10 Page 86 of 96 Table 3. CALMET Control File Lrputs (continued) Variable Description Value RMAX I Maximum radius of inJiuence (km)30 RMAX 2 Maximum radius of influence (krn)50 RMIN Minirnum radius of influence (lor)0.r TERRAD Radius of influence for tenain (km)15 RI Relative weighting of first guess wind fieid and observations &m) 5 R2 Relative weiehtine aloft 0rrr)25 iDIOPT 1 Surface temperahrre 0 IDIOPT 2 Uooer air lanse rate 0 ZIJPT Lapse rate depth (m)200 IDIOPT 3 Average wind components 0 IUPWND Uooer air station 1 zrJPwND (1) ZUPWND (2) Bottom and top of layer for domain scale winds (m) 1,1000 1.1000 IDIOPT4 Surface wind components 0 IDIOPT5 Uooer air wind components 0 lnout Grouo 6 IAVEZT Snatial averasins I MNMDAV Ma:< search radius I HAFANG Half anele for averasins (dee)30 LI-EYZT Laver of winds in averagins I ZIMAX Maximum overlurd mixins heisht (m)3500 ITPROG 3D temnerature source I IRAD Intemolation tvoe 1 TRADKM Radius of influence * temperature (lon)500 NUMTS Maximum number of Stations 5 IAVET Spatial averaging of temperatures I NFLAGP Precipitation intemolation r.,L Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-'t6,, T. Harvey, IPC r r Page 87 of 96 5.0 CALPUFF MODEL APPLICATION The CALPUFF model (version 5.7lla,level 040716) will be used to calculate pollutant concentrations at receptors in each Class I area. Application of CALPUFF should, in general, follow the guidance presented in the Lrteragency Workgroup on Air Quality Modeling (IWAQM) Phase 2 repofi (EPA - 454lR98-019) and the EPA Regional Haze Regulations and Guidelines for BART Determinations (70 FR 39103). Appropriate CALPUFF conhol file inputs are in Table 4. Note should be taken of the basis for several of the recommended CALPUFF inputs. r Building downwash effects need not be included. Because of the transport distances involved and the fact tliat most sources have tall stacks, building downwash is unlikely to have a significant effect on model-predicted concentrations Puff splitting is not required. The additional computation time necessary for puff splitting is not justified for purposes of BART analyses. Hourly ozone files should be used to define background ozons concentration. Dataare available from the following sites within the model domain. Rocky Mountain NP, CO Craters of the Moon NP, ID AIRS -Highland UT Mountain Thunder, WY Yellowstone NP, WY Centennial, WY Pinedale, WY The background ozone concentration shown in Table 4 is used only when hourly data are missing. A constant background ammonia concenh'ation of 2.0 ppb is specified. This value is based upon monitoring data fiom nearby states and I\r\iAQM guidance. Experience suggests that 2.0 ppb is conservative in that it is unlikely to significantly limit nitrate formation in the model computations. MESOPUFF II chemical transformation rates should be used. The species to be modeled should be the seven identified in CALPUFF: SOz, SOa, NO*, HNOr, NOr, PMz,s, and PMle-2.5. If ammonia (NH:) js emitted it should be added to the species list. In most cases, all pollutants modeled will also be emitted, except for HNOI and NO3. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC 12 Page 88 of 96 Concentration calculations should be made for receptors covering the areas of the Class I areas being addressed. Receptors in each Class I area lvill be those designated by the Federal Land Managers and available from the National Park Service website. Table 4. CAIPITFF Control File Inputs Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16. "T. Harvey, IPC 'tr Page 89 of 96 Variable Description Value lnout Group I METRLIN Conhoi parameter for runnine all periods in met file I IBYR Starting year 200r 2402 2003 reTZ Base time zone NSPEC Number of chemical soecies modeled 7 (or 8) NSE Number of species emitted 5 (or 6) METFM Meteoro lo gical data format Inout Group 2 MGAUSS Vedical distribution in near field I MCTADJ Terrain adi ustment method 3 MCTSG Subsrid scale comolex terrain 0 MSLUG Eiongated puffs 0 MTRANS Transitional plume rise 1 MTIP Stack tip downwash MS}IEAR Vertical wind shear 0 MSPLIT Puff solittine allowed?0 MCHEM Chemical mechanism i MAQCIIEM Aoueous ohase kansformation 0 MWET Wet removal 1 MDRY Drv deposition 1 MDISP Di spersion Coefficients 3 MROUGH Adiust sisma for roushness 0 MPARTL Partial olume oenehation of inversions 1 MPDF PDF for convective conditions 0 Input Group 4 PMAP Mao proiection LCC DGRIDKM Grid spacine 4 Table 4. CALPTIFF Control File Inputs (continued) ZFACE Cell face heiehts (m)0 20 40 100 1,40 320 580 t020 i480 2220 3500 hrput Group 6 NHILL Number of terrain features Input Group 7 0 Dry Gas Depo Chemical parameters for drv sas deposition Defaults Inout Grouo 8 Dry Part. Depo Size parameters for dry particle deposition SO+, NOr, PM25 PMlO Defaults 6.5, 1.0 Input Group 11 }/IOZ Ozone Input option 1 BCKO3 Background ozone all months (oob) 44.0 BCKNH3 Background ammonia * all months (ppb) 2.0 Input Grouo 12 XNIA]{ZI Maximum mixing height (m) 3500 )C\4INZI Minimum mixing height (m) 50 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC 14 Page 90 of 96 6.0 POST PROCESSING Visibility impacts are calculated from the CALPUFF concentration results using CALPOST. CALPOST version 5.51, level 030709 should be used; the output from CALPOST will provide the highest deciview impact on each day from all receptors within each Class I area modeled. For some CALPUFF applications such as deposition calculations, the POSTUTIL program is used prior to CALPOST. POSTUTIL is also used to repartition total nitrate by accounting for ammonia limiting. The ammonia limiting calculation in POSTUTIL should not be applied for Wyoming BART modeling. If you believe that amnaonia limiting is appropriate for a specific BART analysis, justification should be discussed with the Division prior to its used. Visibility calculations by CALPOST for BART purposes use Method 6. This method requires input of monthly relative humidity factors, f(RH), for each Class I area. The EPA guidance document provides appropriate data for each area. Table 5 lists monthly f(REI) factors to use for the Wyoming, Colorado, and South Dakota areas to be addressed in BART modeling. The factors shown in Table 5 include averages for the adjacent Class I areas, and are within 0.2 units of the Guideline table values for the individual Class I areas. Natural background conditions as a reference for determination of the delta-dv change due to a source should be representative of the 20% best natural visibility days. EPA BART guidance provides tbe 20o/o best days deciview values for each Class I area on an annuai basis, but does not provide species concentration data for the 20% best background conditions. These concentrations are needed for input to CALPOST. Annual species concentrations corresponding to the 20Yo best days were calculated for each Class I area to be addressed, by scaling back the annual average concentrations given in Guidance for Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions Under the Regional Haze Rule (Table 2-l\. A sepaxate scaling factor was derived for each Class I area such that, when multiplied by the Guidance table annual concentrations, the 20% best days deciview value for that area would be calculated. The scaled aerosol concentrations were averaged for the Bridger and Fitzpatrick WAs, and for Wind Cave and Badlands NPs, because of their geographical proximity and similar arrnual background visibility. T\e 20o/o best days aerosol concenkations to be used for each month for Wyoming BART evaluations are listed in Table 6. Table 7 is a list of inputs for CALPOST. These inputs should be used for all BART visibility calculations. Output from CALPOST should be configured tg provide a ranked list of thehighest delta-deciview values in each Class I area. The 98th percentile delta-deciview value and the number of values exceeding 0.5 can then be detennined directly from the CALPOST output. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-1e -T. Harvey, IPC l) Page 91 of96 able 5. Monthlvl(RI Factors for Class I Areas Month Wind Cave NP Badlands NP Bridger WA Fitzpatrick V/A Mt. Zirkel WA January 2.65 2.50 2.20 Februarv 2.65 234 z.2a March 2.6s 2.30 2.00 Aoril 2.55 2.70 2.t0 Mav 2.70 2.r0 2.24 June 2.60 1.80 1.80 July 2.30 1.50 1.70 August 2.30 1.50 1.80 Seoternber 2.20 1.80 2.00 October 2.25 2.00 1.90 November 2.75 2.50 2.r0 December 2.65 2.40 2.10 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey,lPC 16 Page 92 of 96 for BART Anal Aerosol Component Wind Cave NP Badlands NP Fitzpatrick WA BridserWA Mt. Zirkel WA Ammonium Sulfate .047 .445 .046 Ammonium Mtate .040 .038 .038 Orsanic Carbon .186 .t78 .1,79 Elemental Carbon .008 .008 .008 Soil .198 .189 .190 Coarse Mass 1.191 1.136 1.14i Table 6. Natural Background Conceutrations of Aerosol Components for 20Yo Best Days Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-14 -T. Harvey, IPC L t Page 93 of 96 Table 7.CA LPOST Control File Variable Descriotion Value Input Grouo 1 ASPEC Species to Process VISIB ILAYER Layerldeposition code I A,B Scaline factors 0.0 LBACK Add b ackeround concentrations?F BTZONE Base time zone LVS04 Species to be included in extinction T L\TNO3 T LVOC F LVPMC T LVPMF T LVEC F LVBK Include backeround?T SPECPMC Species name for oarticulates PMlO SPECPMF PM25 EEPMC Extinction efficiencies 0,6 EEPMF 1.0 EEPMCBK 0.6 EESO4 3.0 EENO3 3.0 EEOC 4.0 EESOIL 1.0 EEEC 10.0 MVISBI(Visibilitv calculation method 6 RHFAC Monthly RH adiustment factors Table 5 BKSO4 Back$ound concentrations Table 6 BKNO3 Table 6 BKPMC Table 6 BK OC Table 6 BKSOIL Table 6 BKEC Table 6 BEXTRAY Extinction due to Ravleieh scatterins 10.0 Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC 18 Page 94 of 96 7.0 REPORTING A report on the BART visibility analysis should be subrnitted that clearly compares impacts for post-control emissions to those for baseline emissions. Data for baseline and BART sienarios should include both the 98th percentile values and the number of days with delta-deciview values exceeding 0.5. Results should be given for each model year. Table 8 is an exarrple of a recommended format for presentation of model input and model results. The exarnple is for baseline conditions; similar tables should be provided for each contol scenario (SOz, NOx, and PM10) and for the combination of all BART controls. Your report tables need not follow the exact forrnat shown in Table 8; but the same infonnation should be provided in a concise and clear form. if additional scenarios were modeled or you wish to present supplemental information, they should be provided in an appendix or separate from the specified final results. Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-1q o T. Harvey, IPC tl Page 95 of 96 c$(ta o a) o tntro rc, oO C) c)<DcdE U)P v,cMEci{) E oEoHa(Ho o (g oa0)lrp< }r€€cl lio F&o r). E6x tr.l fi; o.oadF trboOEH dE f,r Hg b b.=)Z nx ,-E#* €E'E p4 btr.fi 9 p U) otr ()a(g ca Exhibit No. 2 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 96 of 96 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIG UTILITIES GOMMISSION GASE NO. IPG-E-13-16 IDAHO POWER COMPANY HARVEY, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO.3 4.*, i,lil, *r^'b{}/,' /., -'Ab-r,n.\, - 1 ,,IIAR'I. APPI|AL SE'l"l'Lt NlE,N'l' AGI{"LL}IIjN'1"h,'.'!1 o r,ra"r)!:oun, '' ).'ua'').''ua ^'T'hc \\;r',rrrring Dcpartrrrcrnt rrf Enlironllrcntxl (.)rralitr. .,\rr Qualitl I)ir rsitrrr (tlie '"urr'lbao. "DEQ,.AQD") an(l Pacili('orp lincrg\,. a tlivisiott o1-Plcifl('orp 1"Pat:iliC'orp"). entcl irrlo this 'rrriia? tlARl- Appcal Scttlcrrrcrtt ,\grr:ctncnt (thc "Scttlcntcnt Aqrccnreut") lo lirllr, anrl fjnallt les,,ir t ''t/ PrrciiiCoryr's rtppual hc[irrc lhc \\ivottrinu I:ni'rrrrntucntal Qtralitl ('trrrrrcjllthc "FQC"'trn l)rrt:kcl ir,tr l(t-l8o I u'lrct'ci:r I)acili('oqr e hallert-ucd uertartr uotrtlitions rrl'll,{ll T pe nnit \t's. \,1 l)-rrtt-lt) nnd\1I)-6(i'.12firrthc.lirlliridgcrautl Naughlr)npo\\'cr'plants.'llrcI)F.(.)AQDarrdPr.'ili(',r'p arc collcctilcly rclcrrctl to heretn as thc "Partics" ancl sonrctirlcs individuallr us "l)ar1l."'l'lrc Setllernent Agrcernerrl slrlll bc ell'cr:tive bclu'cstt lhc l)at'tics ort lltc datr.'thrrt thc lirst sisrtilLlru i.s ll'fixcd [rc.]orr, (tlrc "Etl'ce tivc [)atc"'). c()l](liti()nc(i on lIPrrlr,al ht,thc llQ('ai tlcscribe<] hcrurrr. \\'r.o Strt. I6-.t-11)7(rr)tttrcl (-lralrtcr' l. I I I ol'llrc Dfi()'s l{ulcs rrl [)riicliuc & I]r'r,,.:,.'rltrrr pt.oi itlu li,l lS. tlrs|o:.ilitrtl ol tlti: e{rt"rlc,\ir:(l *tru h\ .trprtlati,in ol llte l';rr'lrir ill)(rt1 .rppl'r,r.rl i'n' tlte F(.)( \tltlitiorrirll-r. \\'rtr. Stlrt tr 3-s-ll-lll elnl't(1\\c'rs tltu [:()( to \)]'(lcl lhr nrtrtlilielrtr,rrr ,,1 tJ.LR I I'urrnit \os \ll)-6(l-{o atttl \'lD-6(Ul to rustrlre thrs uontLrslctl r",usc. .l-qi that crrtj. [)ircrli( rrr'p arrr] llrc DF-Q'AQD. ctitrtliti<ltte:d r,n tltc iiltpr(,\rl ol'thc IQ('. hcrclrv stipr-rl:rtc untl llll-cLl it\ lirl ltlrVs. Illcligrouncl: As part ol its oblrgation undcr lhc ('ler,in lir' ,.\r't's lteuit,niil llilzc l)r()lrrur'n. tlte Statc ol\\:l'orninl:. lhrotrLlh the t)i:(l AQI). Ironrulo.rtctl luuul.rli,,n: rucluiringthe installatii,ti ol'Besl Arailat-rlu Ilelr,rlit Tcclirt,rloql ("Ii{lL l"')r,rr cL'rtaill cligiblc facilitrcs. l'aci liCorp tiniclv ct'-rrnplicd rlith thcse lcgulirti,n.; h\ lilirrg applications fttr Il.{RT pcnttits lirr its eligible lacilitics. incluciirrg lrr allpliclrtirrn lor its liridgcr pr)wcr plunt on .lirnuar'1' 16. l()()7. lnd rts .\auulrt()ll llo\\:cr plartt on Iehruan' l]. l(X)7 Prrcili('oryr tirltlrcr tllcd rrcldrtional inlirrrlatii,rr rvith llrc DEQ/r\QD relrting ttl thesc applications. Ftrllorr ing yrublic n,rtie c uurl cL)rnl'ncrll. antl public hcarings. thc DE()iAQD issucd IlAIll'pentrit \os. NID- ri0-10 firr the Bricl_ucl'po\\'cl'plrint rnd \1D-()0:12 lil'thc NaLruhtorr [r(,\\'cl'PlunI rrn Dcccnrbcr.l l.l()0q. On Fcbrtnrrr, l(,. l()l(). Prtuill( orp titnelr. tllc,l au :rpltcirl i1r tlre [.:()('rrl'ccrlitin pto"'tsitrtts in B.'\llf ltcrrlit Ntrs. \,lD-(r()Ji] irrtrl \,1 D-()()41 Litigutiorr ettsttctl. irtclLrtlirt!. tlisctiicn antl rirtrtit,rr 1'llrreticc. l-lris Scttlerncrrt .\greerrtertl resrrlrcs all tsst-tcs t-ursutl itr thitl lrtiglrtrrrrl..{lso. irt rorrrrr:etiort rvith llris Scttlcrncul r\grct'ntcnt. [)lci tlCur-p lurs;'rr,rviilt'rl lo [)l (.),.\QD thc ll)li)rnlatir)i) attuchcd ls [:rhrbrt A u.hrelt tlte- lurlies lntun(l t() hc rrscrl rn lh,.' \\.'y.onirrtg Rcgitrnrrl IIezc SIP fls llrilt lcnlr is tlcserihcrl l.clrrt. Dctlnitions: As uscd irt tltis Agre'clncnt. thc tbllou'iug tr:rnrs arc,lelllcrl ls: "BAl11'Pernit Appeal'" r'llcrir"ls: Paci{iC'orp's Arrtrcal anci Petitirin lbr Revien ot' BART Pcrrrits rcgurtling thc Briclgcr 8..\tl'f Pcrrrrit arrd tlrc Nluglrr,rrr llAl{ I Pcrlrit. rclcn-crl lrr its I)rrckct No. l(f-lfi( ll. bcli'r'r: ll)c l-.(-)('. .'U.\lt L,\ppclls .'\rgtttttcttls'' ntci.urs: Ihe argLrrrrcnls lurrurl [rr Itlre rll('orp rrr thr. I]..\R I-I'r'nnil .,\Ppcll. irttlrr,lirtu its \'lolirrn lirr P',''t '', -\trr'rlrrurr..l urlgrrrcrrr rirr,l Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 of 17 {J E t +] :r.rl)pon ln1l \.1,rtion Jbl' "\aLtglthrn I)1.Q,\Ql-) I'1e,.ranrl.rn. lllctl Jrinc i().2011). a:rrl its Ilepll,in SrrIp'rr,l'lts Prrrtitrl Srrnrnltrr' .luclgrlcnl. illcil Aulusl .rr l. l()lit tl,\ltl' Pcrrnit" lllcal'is L3Ali.'l pcrruil \tr. \1D-6r),il as rs:ucr.j hr, rhc <rn [)ecr'rrrher' ] l. llt()tt "Britlgcr ilAl{'l [)crnrit" r'llcans: uAIl'l- pcrrnit \o \41)-h0.+(t iis issrrcel llr, rlrc DEQ,,\()D on Decr:nrtrer -l I . 2(X)9. "\\rrrrn'ririg [{cgit,rr;.rl l]irzc Sl['" rnci]ns: tlrc llrrll \ersrr)r'l ol'tlrc \\'r.rrrluru Strrc lllrlllulllclltLttititt I)llttt rcgurLling ''lcui()nul lur.zc" lrrrti ltltl;c.srrrl r'r..grrr1iil irlrzi. l-cqLtirctttttlls filt' \\'r'r,ttttt.t-u ruuntllltrrt' ('lass 1 trcus urrtlcr' .1r) ('[rl( ,,\-i I .l()(](! ] ils l.ltcpai'crtl h! tht, I)L.Q.r\QD ltrttl suhinittetl to F['.,\ lirr t'criclv tnd rrltlrr'or.al. :\s trl' tltc tlrtcrrl'this Sctllcllct'rt Aur.tcrrrcrrt. rhc D[(.) .lel) has trrrt corrr]rlctctl llrc llrrll \ urslt\ll rl'llrc \Vi otttittg llelrrottal Iiazu S II' irr':tl inslcail lras pre ltirlecl a rlr.l11 ol' tltat tlouurnerrt clutcd ,{ugusl l5- 100q. ri,lrich l)1.(.),,\eD rcl*rsctl Pr.r:r.irrLrslr, lirr lltrblic cirlt.lttlclll. lJasc(l ttt pltr{ on lirose c(}lllltL'ltls. DE()'.\QIl rnlcptls itr rclc,lrsc art tlPtlateci t'crsiott trl the <lraii \\'r,ornirrg I,l.esronl'l Ilrz..SII) li rr lirl<li(ilrrlrl 1.rLrblr.c{)n'ri'}1cti1 bclirrc tlic cntl trl'l() I tt. Agrcentcnt: 'l'hc l)ltrtrcs har c utrgagcd in rtcsotratlrrrt-\ to rcuuir ri scltlctj t'croltitiolt lo tllis etrrltcslt'tl t'iISC. l"lrri [);rrlics har c alrcctl. Lip()t] lltc tcntls c\)lllulllc(l liurcttt- to scttlc alrcl ctrrnprorrrise l)ueilt('or'1r's LJi\l{ I l)crntrt ,\plrcirl. i nr:l Lrr-l i u-g thc 8.,\ R l- .\ plterrl s,.\ rgrrm en r s. I'crlirrtrtattcc hY I''.rcifiCorJl: ln rclilrrcc uporr tlrc rulcrsr.s. irslcenrelrl\. i1l(l rt:llrescntulit'rlls tr1'lltc DtiQ,AQD irr this Scttlerrenl Aslcenrclil. arrrl conclitionetl trltort lltc I-.tlC's altlrl'r)\'al ol'this Settletnertt,\srceprent arrrl its tcl.llts, I)itcill( (rtl) sltitll tlt, the lbllori irrg: \rtt:shtort - PlcifiC'oqr shall u.irlrilrari,its Il,,\R-[',\P1"rcals,\rgurlerrr: regarcling tlrc Nrughton p()wcr llilnt. r'lisrrriss ils Bi\R f pr.nnil ,\plrclrl ir: rt rclatis tr) thr' \artglttr)n l)o\\ct ltliutl. Lllj(l aql.ec to lrlrirlc hr. lhe lcnrrs ll .l;c N,irrghlrrrr t].\l{ I I'r.'r'rrrit: (h)ilritlgt r - l'rsitl(-'t,rI slrrill rvjrhth'ir*,rls Il.\l{'l Appcurs Ar.:tuturls I'clltrdin;i the Lllirlrrcr l)()\\cl-1.rlrrnt. disrrrr-ss rts [J \lt I l)cr.rlrl .\ppe1l lrs il t,elulcs lo the lJliclgcr p()\\'cr 1.rlurtt. lrrrrl ilsl'c(: r{) ulrrrlc the lcr.rns ol'llrc BIitlgcr Ll.{l(l' i'ur"rnit lr: rrrotliller.l br tirr: I:t]c iri ;rc(t,rtlance rr rrlr tiris Sultlunrcnt..\slccr)lr'nr"inclrrrlingtlre renrt,rul ol'('t,rrrlilrt,ns lTrrrrrl IS: {ci )r( )r ('ortllrrl liir lJritlr.r';r' t-,uits I ullrl -.1 \\ illr lesPce't lr' llrirl "r.r'Llrirts.\ (al rirrri J. Prre itl('orp .h.rll: (i) insrall edrrl|ol srslctris: "r' (iir) tillrr-'ni,ise ll. rnrnl]trr .l(i-(l:l\ rolling lr\ ut.itr(. S( lt: tii) rrrrt:rll irllcrnrrrir r' lrlti-rrr.: \( Jr tcrlttee \( )r c.rtrrssitrlts ir, ituhr,.:r e .l ().t); \( tt t'nrissir\lt\ r'r.rt('.'['lrcsc instl.r]luti,,:r: :l]irl] t,t't!rr. rill(i (rr llri. t'nrisrrr,rl rrlt. \\ill hc lir.lricrr:ri. r,rr I rlri .l |r-itrr tr, Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page2 of 17 (d) Drlccrrrhcr l l. 2t)l 5 anti I lrri( .{ irrior trr l)t'ccrnbcr' l l . ]0 l( -l lrcsc installutitrr.ts shall occut'. attd c,r this errissitrrt ratc uill bc uclticvcd. irr conjunction rvrth PacifiCorp's planned ovcrhaul sclreclule lirr thcsc urrts and pursuant to a constnrclion orother pernril application to hc subnrittcd by PacifiCoqr to AQD no later tlran Dcccmber -J I . 20.l2: arrd NOr Corttrol for Bridrer Urrrts I anrl 2 -- \\'ith rcspect to Britlgr:r' Lnits I and 2, PacifrC'orp shall:(i)install SCR:tii)instirll lllomati\.c add-on NOr eorrtrrtl svsLerls; or (iii) otherrvisc rcrluce NOr cnrissir)ns lrol to crueetl rr 0.07 lb/nrnrBtu 30-dar,rolling averaqe Nfjx ernissitrns rate. Thcsc irrslallationr sltall occur. artd,rrr llris ctljssitrn t'lrte rvill br aclricvccl. r,tr trnitl[1'11r1 11r[)L'cet]lbcrll.lt)lllrnrl l'rrit lpli,rrtoD"^.,,'rn",'.f l.l0ll Ilre:;c iustallalic'ns slrall ()rcur'. an(l rrr {his crriision ratc ri'ill lre irr.:hirlcrl. irt cottjr.rnctiott u'tth Ptcilj('orll's platttrcrl ()\'crltaul scltcdtrlc ti'r tltcsc urrrti antl put'srtatrt 1rr u r:txslrttctirlrt rrr otltcr'pr.:rrnil altlllication tr'i l-rc suhnrittctl hr Pacitl('orp to AQI) no later lhan [)':ccnrbcri l. ].t)l? I'erl'orntance b1' the l)EQ/AQD: ln rclilrtcc uporr tltc rclc;rscs. ir!:rccr"lrcnti iu)(l rcpl'escntitti(rns trf'Pacifi('or1t irt this Scttletrtt'rtl ,\grecnrunt. irntl eonditi\rncd ui)(,n thc [:Q(''s nl]pr(.)\al ol this Sl'tllcurcrrt Apccrrrr:nl urrrl ttt len)rs. llie Dl:(J ;\(.)l) sltall rlt, thL' llrllou inr: (;r)Naugtttrrrr ' '1'lrc DEQ';\QD shull. prlrsuln.rl lrr itrr ortlcr by,thc [rQ(' ill)l)rr)\ illS tlris Scttlcrrrurrt :\grccnr,rrrt. iricltrtle irr thr'\\'__r'rrrnirrg [(cgitrrral llirz-r: Sll) a slulctnettl t'xpl;rirtirrg tlrat thc uost tllttrc NaLrglrton [.rrrt -i lraghrruse rs rcasortablc ti,hcn ctrusidcriirg ull llrctors rclating to thc c\tstil]S PN1 controls in addition l() thosc consiclclcd ilrrring tlrc R.AI{'l'irrr:rl,r:;i.. Britlqer "l'lte DI:Q;.4qD slrnll. pursuilrll lo rnr ortler trt tlrc EQ( approvirrg tltis Scttlerrlerrl ,,\grccrr.rcrrt. rlcletc ('onrlitions I7 arrtl IS liorri thc Rritlgcr L].{1t1" Penttit altd. in lie u ol ('ontlitiorrs ll unrl ls. rrcltipt ilrc lc'tlttirctttcrtls ol'prtr iigttl,'hs llui ltnrl -1tr.i ) trl tliis Sctllcrnc:rt r\srccrrrcnl litt() lltc \Vr'otttitrg Rcgtritrul I-lazc Sll'ur Ilt't ol \\'11'111111;'s l.-trtt$- lentt Slr';rleur, irrltl trr Reirsrirt;rhlc J)rtrqrcsS ( iolils: iurrl I'acill('rrrrl's ('outpliarre c r itlr [3;\RT uld I-l'S l{equirrnrcrrts - [lic t)EQ ,\()D slrirll rrot rL'([lit'c lirrthcr l'it] or N(J.r rctluctitirrs at Nauslrton t.lrrit J. ol lr:tluire lurther NOx r-eductiolts irl Br1(lg,r,r'L-inits I {. lirr lrurlloscs 1ri'111cc'tirig BARI-. I-orrq--l'cun Str-ille,*_\'rcc1r-ri|crrrcrrls 0ri(l (\l llcasr.rrralrlc Prtt{ress (ioals itt tlte \\ \trt.tting R.gior-ltl Illzc Sll'tltrotrqlr 2023. (t) Clouditions of Scttle nrcllf : -l'hu Partier' rlulics- r'i.u.hts arrd r,lrliu;rlrorrs ll thrs Sclll!'nl'Jnl .trtrcctttctrt itrc (:olt(llli()ltctl rtPurt. lrrrti ll',.'l);rrlit's slrlill rrr:lorrrl liritl, d()()l)LrrillU t(l Jchi(j\ c. tltc lirllt'ii irt!: Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 3 of '17 5. (h) (a) (b) The EQC and any other requircd Wyoming governing authority must approve this Settlement Agreement and its tenns; PacifiCorp and the DEQ/AQD must file a joirrt stipulatcd motion with the EQC requesting dismissal of PaciflC'orp's BART Pennit Appeal, and the EQC urust disntiss thc BART Pcnuit Appcal on approvalof thc tcnns contained herein subject only to EQC's continuing jurisdiction as described irr Section 7 bclowl 'fhe EQC musl order the Bridger BART Pemit be rnodified as requiretl herein: and (d) EPA must approve those portions of tlre Wyoming Regional Haz-e SIP that are consistent rvith the tenns of this Settlernerrt Agreernent. Proviiled. horvcver, that unless EPA affinlatively disapprr:ves such pofijons of thc Wyorning Regional Haze SIP in a final rulernaking. the parties slrall continue to abide by the tenns of this Settlenrent Agleement. Changcd Circunrstances: Thc Parlies agrce that this Scttlenrent Agreement lnav be subjc'ct to rrrodificatitin if future changes iu either: (i) federal or state rceluircrlcrits trr (ii) tcchntrlogv u'ould nrateriall-v altel thc enrissitrns controls arrd rates that otherr.visc arc rccluircd hcrcundcr. ln tlrat casc. cithcr Party niay rcquest that thc other Party cnter into an anrendment to lhis Sclllement Agreement sonslstenl rvith sucl.r changes. Thc Partics slrall negotiate in good faith to arncnd thc aflected Settlernent Agrcernent provisiou(s) consistent with the changed f'ederal or state requirements or tecl-urology and u'ith the pLlrposes of this Settlement Agreemeut. if the Parties cannot agree on the ploposetl amentlrlerrt, thcn eitlter Party rnay request the EQC to determine if the prtrposed amendnrcnt is ccrnsistent vvith tlre chrnged ledcral or state requirerlents or teclrnolclgl,autl rvith the purposes ot'this Settlemenl Agreement. Irr that case. the Parlies anticipate that the EQC dctcrnrination rvjll be incorporated into arl EQC order that requires the Parties to prtlccecl irr accordance ivith its tenrs, iucluding the possibility of cntcring into the proposcd amenchncnt. Tlrs Panies turthcr anticipate that the EQC rvill retain continuing jurisdictitrn over the BART Pernrit Appeal and this Sottlemcnl Ag'eernent fbr the foregoing purposes only. Rcscrvation of Rights: PaciliCorp reserves the right to appeal or challengc any actions by AQD, EQC or EPA that are inconsistent with this Settlernent Agreernent. In addition. if the EQC takes any action whic-h is materially inconsistent with or in any way rnaterially alters this Settlement Agreement. then this Settlernent Agreeruent shall be voidable at the option of the Parly nrateriallv all'ected by thc iiQC's actions. 'l'his Scttlcrni:nt Agreeurent sl-rall be adrnissrble by cither Party u,ithoul objectiorr by the tltlter Parry in any subsequent action betrveen these Parties to entirrcc the tcrr:rs hcrcof or as olherwisc required herein. Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 4 of 17 (c) 1 I 8. t0.Neither Party shall have any claim against the other lor attonrey fccs or othcr costs incurred with tlre issues resolved. Each Party shall bear its clrvn atLorncv f'ees ar-rd costs, i1'any,incun'ed in ctrnnection with thc BART Pcnnit Appcal and this Settlenreut Agreement. Eaclt Pa(y assurnes tlrc risk of any liability arising from its orvn conduct, n-either Parly aglees to insure, ciefend or inderrrnity tlre otlrer. 'I'his Settlement Agreement is hincling upon PacitiCorp, its successors antl assigns, and upott the DEQ/AQD. This Scttlement Agreeurent may only be amended in writing, sigued hy both Parties. r.'*either the DEQiAQD nor thc Statc of Wyoming nor any of its Asencies slrall bc hcld as a party to auy contracts or agreenlents entered into by PacitiCory to irnplcnrent any condition of this Agreemcnt. Nothing in tlris Agreement relieves PacifiCorp of its duty to comply with all applicable requireurents uuder the Wyorning Environmental Quality Act (WEQA), and rules, regulations. and standards adopted or pemrits issued thereuncler. DEQ/AQD does not walrant or aver that PacillCorp's cornpletion of any aspect of this Agreement rvill result irr compliauce with the WEQA and rules. regulations and standards adopted <lr pennits issued thereunder. The State of Wyoming and the DEQ/AQD do not u,aive sovereign imnrunity by cntcring rnto this Settlenrcnt Agreenrent, and specitically rctain all immunity and all def'enses to theni as sovereigns pursuant to Wyo. Stat. ts I -39- 104(n) lrrd all other state larv. Thc Partics do not intcnd to crcatc iu anv other indiviclual or entity the status of third party lreneficiary. and this Agreenrcnt shall not be corrstruecl so as to creatc such status. The rights, duties ancl obligations contained in this Agreernent shall operate only arnong the Parties to this Agr cement. Should auy portion of this r\greement be.ludiciatly dctcnninecl to be illegal or unenforceable, the remaiuder olthis Agreerneut shall contiuue in firll force and effect, ancl either Parly nray renegotiate the ternrs aff'ected by the severancc. The construction. interprctation aud enfbrccrnent of this Agrecmcut sliall bc govemecl by the larvs of the State of Wyoming. The Courts of the State of Wyorning shall have jurisdiction over this Agreenrent and the parlics, and thc venue shall be the First Judicial District, Laranrie County. Wyorniug. This Agreerncnt rnay ire executed in any rrunrber ot'separate counterparls any one of rvhrch need not c:ttntain the signatures of nrore tharr one ['arty but all ot'suclr Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 5 of 17 t2. I '1, lt. l9 t4. t5. 16. l'7 lB. 70. 71. counterparts together will constitute one Agreement. The separste counterparts nray contairr r:riginal, plrotocopy, or fhcsirnile transmissions of signatures. The persons sigrring this Settlernent Agreement certiry that they are duly authorized to bind their respective Party to this Settlement Agreement. This agreement is not binding between the Parties until fully executed by each Party. / ! Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 6 of 17 PACIFICORP ENERCY division of PacifiC []r: \liirrre Title: Date:/ l- ? -7,Oto 1'I{ E \\'\'O}IINC D[iP.\R'TNI l.]NI' O IT l,-\\ I RO\ It r:\'1"\ t. Qr "il.l't'\ De..x n Par sra^j tr, I'H[" \\',\ O\il\(; I)l;P,\R',l'\Ilf N'r 0F EN\' ! RON \{ F,\'r,\ t . Qt i.\ Lt'T'\'i DIYI S I O\ 0F,\ I R Qt"rAl-t't Y llr: N arrt c: Titlc: Datc: By: Nanrc: I'it I r:: I)alc: Approvu<l As -l"rr Ironrr // srEvEN A. arerr<rclt AQ0 - Aot^{^lrsrnATo<, il-3- to Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC PageT of 17 aor+* t/, Lx,atl lnu\ {ll()nlc\' (i r-:rrcla I November 2.2010 Exhibit A PacitiCorp's Emissions Rcductions Plarr ln corurcction with rts Best Available Retrofit Tcclrnologv t"BARl'') rletenninalions ancl its other regional haze planning activities. tlte Wyoming Departrnent of Environntental Quality. Air Quality Divisiorr ("AQD") asked PacifiCorp to plovicle additional intonnation about its ovcrall emissiou reduction plans lhror.rgh 2023. The purpose is to more tully address the costs of compliance on both a unit and systenr-rvide basis. PacitlCorp is cornmitted to reduce emissions in a reasonable, systematic, economically sustainable and environnrentally sound manner whilc meeting applicable legal requirements. These legal requiremeuts include complying with thc regional ltazc rules which enconrpass a nalional goal to aclrieve uatural visibility conditions in C'lass I ilrcas bv 206;l Sunrmarl' PacifiCorp orvns and operates l9 coal-fueled generating units in tltah ant.l t'von'ring. and orvns 1009/o of Cholla Unit 4, rvhiclr is a cr:al-fueled generating unit located in Arizona. PacitiCorp is in tlre process of implernenting an emission reduction progranr that has reduced. and rvill contirrue to significantly reduce emissions at its existing coal-fueled gcneration units over thc next s*'eral years. From 2005 through 2010 PacitlCorp has spcnt morc than !i1.2 billion in capital dollars. It is auticipatcd that the total costs tirr all projects tlrat havc been conrrnittcd to will excecd $2.7 billion by the cnd ol'2022. The t()tal costs (whrch rnclude capital,()&lvl and olher costs) that rvill have bccn incurred bv customcrs to pay fbr these pollution r'.ontx)l projcets during tlre ;rcriod 2005 through 202-1. are expected to exceed S4.2 billion. and by 2021 the annual costs to customers for these projects will havc reached $360 millron per year. Envirorrnreutal henefits. irrcluding visibility irlprt'rvernents will flow from tl:ese planned emission reductions. PacifiCorp believes that the emission reduction projects and their tinring appropriately balance thc necd fbr emission reduclions over time with the cost and othcr concems of our customers, our state utility regulatory cornnlissions, and other stakeholders. PacifiCoqr believes this plan is conrplen:entary to and consistcnt rvith thc state's BART and regioual haz.c planning requirerttettts. and tlrat it is a r,jasonable approach to achiering ernission recluctious in Wvorning and othcr statcs. PacifiCiovp's Long-I'crnr Enrission Reducfion Conrnritnrent Tahle I belon, identifics the crnission reduction projects and relatecl construction schcdr.rles as currently included in PacifiCorp's reduction plan. Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 8 of 17 l":.rlrihit ,\ - Prruiti('r,r p's fitttissrltts llcrltreliutl Pli'itt \r',r enrbcr' l. 2() I0 l)agc ) ol'l()'l'ablc I : l.rrrrg-'l'cnn llcduction Plan I'lent Nanrc S( t2 Scrubhci's Instrilation - I LJnuradcs - U I os Nt)r LJu rlcr lnstailatious llnelrousc hr sta IIati,:,ns Stltrrs t'l S( )-' I \rJ [Jaslrousr: [)crnrittinu Iclc(t r\ c C lrtal1'tiu Rt'cltrclrorr IILrnicr I 2014 - L l0l-1 l0l l I)trnri t I ':rl llrruter'l l()l I - (i l(1il l0l l I inr.ii:r ('rrislnrt rit,rr I lLrrrrcr l I'-rrstlrt:l(xls I:rt:lrrg ('trlttnlt'lctl I lulllj]l,jl()n I l()i () - t -l{}l(l0 lil l'rrrlcl ('(,;t sln rc'. irin Ilulriiuslorr 1 2(r()7 - I l(){);lrX l ( tr:t11tlc1g1l I):rve .lohrtslott -l l()l{)- l l(l I ()lr )i r)('r:rnt:lrli'tl I)lr c .lohnston .1 :(ll l ( i0(l itl I tt r lr.r ( .tnslfLrrl rr'l lrrtl lJrtrltct' I l()l() - |.'()l(r (. t.tttpIct"'tl lr )l .lrrrr I-irirlgcr l l0(]9 - Lr l1)i)5 ('rrlll!1lr'l('(l lrrl ) Iltn 1]rrrlut'r l l0lI - t l( ){)i l)rrt'l):tllrr(i Irtii Irrrr I-:ir-rrlrct'-l l()i,s - (l( )()l ('r,ttttrlt tr'rl lr)l() \l Ll!lili r! l lrllr-,Iril l t rtdr-t ( ()ltsl11r(:lirrl) \ltirr'lltt,rn l l(ill-l lolI I I rri. r' ( oris'irLtcltott Nar"r[lrttur ]l0ll - Ll l(ll{l() I .1 I Jathotrte I)cnnrttctl lt) \\'r,'r:d:tk 10il - l oII l()ll [ ]ndcr L'r)ll St rlCt ir ,ll ('hoila 4 20f)[ - I-l00s 100,1 (-ourolctcr'l Ilrc lirllrrrViltg chirls r'(prcscnl tltc rcrlr.rr.:liruts in enrssi('ils llllil urll oCt:trI irt r.rrlils (r\\r'r('tl lr\ l)lreili('rrr'p irr t ltalr. \\'r.onrirtg Jll(l Ari/()r'ra lt rs srgrrrlieirnt [() ll(rte llr;rt pcrrrrittrng lrls l)rlcn c()nlplct-([ filr rll hul t]rc SCR Pru.jccts. 1'x'r-rrrittirtg, for tlrc S('R pro.jeets sill l',c c()nlplutc(l irs ncctlcti irt irrliiurcc ol'plrr.ieul conrtlllcti()t'r. l-he cntissj(lt Lrstillriltus shlrsn in tltcsc cltarls ltinc l"rccrr crrlculi:rc(l usillg. l)r'ojcelc(l Llnit r"lclrurilliou ilrrrl ltcrt tiitu cletir in cor'rjulr(tio11 rvillr uaclr urrrt's t)lrl'l.ltittLrd entission ratc. In tlt0sc r:lscs \\'crc tltr' Ilrrits do nol hlr\ r' cnrissi(rlls corrt|ol< thc csliluatcs lravc bccn ll0serl otr Projections ol'tlre lrtturc ('()il1 (}r'llity. All p|ir.fcctitrrls r-rSr'cl aIC liorrr l'acifi( orp's tclt--\,clr llusiucss Plart..Actual lirturr: cntissiorts ivill ltc lcss ll)ln tlr()sc ustinlrtcrl i,r tlrcsc clrarts sinuc llrt'Lrrrits ri.ill operulc lrclrtti tlrcir"pcnnitlc(l r':lles i'.lirl;( r,r| 15.tlrU ii la,llil , \\lt(l ('i r',,.r1-ltrClr',-t Itt.trrtti :r j I r'(lult-crlt! ilts .tttJ i,rt u ltie lt l "r.'t li( i,r1l i:tlrl;it.s lrl L-r,l,rt.lr1r .lll(i \1,)tilir,L:r llrlr{ trtr's,tl.trtl l,,t\'Il',1:.'l it.t. r ,.r:ll ;tt.ttt :ls\riCt-tlL'J a()\is (ri ir)lt\sr{Ii\ , {\ilifrrl\ Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 9 of 17 Exhrbit A - Pacih('tirp's Emissions Reduction Plarr Novcnrber 2. 201 0 Pagc 3 t"rl'l() 120.o00 I r2.500 l(15.il1() 9? 5l1U !1,.(I r(, tl.ilt(r 7ri.{)l{t t,?.)(,0 h{r,(}(x} 53.J00 45"00{) -1r.5ul lt).4[)r] ::.J00 Lt,(rull ?.1()r l li \ cxr ! lrl.rx)(r I r,li,ltl(i 1ilr,r x r{, \u.tnxI :ri.(ll r I ()(1.(,( ll) 5{},0n0 4o,0ro :0.o(rt) :{l.txrl) i 1:.1 tlt(l |crr 2005 - 2009 Actu al &nd 2010 - 2023 Projected SO2 Emissions PacifiCorp's Arizona, tltah & \Yl oming Coal-Iired Units i?010 enrisr'on! htve beJr ertirirared trv r -tldale emissio.! to fFpreSe nt a I u'l veal a, t ?_ ffi 2004- 2009.Actual nud 2010 - 2023 Projectrd FOr Enrissions PecifiCorp'sArizonR. Utnh & \\'yoming Coal-Fired Lnits prolencdlfnrrurpns l r0!O e mironl hrvr bcr ^ .ilrulilnd uriag trvll ytar it o em6r0n,&esl Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 10 of 17 Exhibit A - PacifiCorp's Emissions Reduction Plan Novembor 2, 20li) Page4ofl0 Project Installation Schedule Emission reduction prolects of the number and sizc described above take many years to engineer. plan arrd build. Wlren considering a flect the size of PacifiCorp's, there is a practical lirlitation on available construction resources ancl labor. There is also a linrit on the number of units that rlay be taken oul of service at ally given tirne as well as the level of construction activities that can be sr.rppofied by the local infrastructures at and around these facilities. Such lirnitations direcrly impact both tlre overall tirning of these projects as well as their timing in relation to eaclr otlrer. Additional cost arrd construction timing limitations irrclude the loss of large generating resources during some parts of construction and the associated impact on the reliahility ot' PacifiCorp's electrical system during these extended outages. In other words, it is nr:t practical, and it is unduly expensive, to expect to build these emission reduction projects all al once or even in a compressed time period. The pressurc on cmission reduction equipment and skilled labor is likely to be exacerbated by the sigTrificant emission reductiou requirenrelrts necessitated by the Environrnental Protection Agency's Clcan Air -lransport Rule u'hich rcquires ernissir'rn reductiorrs in 3l Eastem states and tlre District ol'Ctllunrbia beginning in 2012 and 2014. The Errvironrnental Protection Aeency has indicated that a sccond Transporl Rule is likely to be issued in 201l. requinng additional reductions in the Eastenr U.S. beyond tlrosc etl'ectir,c in 20.l4. The balancing,rf these conccn'rs is rcllccted in the tirning of PacifiCorp's crnission reducti orr com rrr itrnents. Priority of Emission Reductions PacifiCorp's initial focus has been on installing controls to reduce SO: emissions rvhich arc thc most sigmificant cr:ntributors to regional haze in the westcrn US. ln addition. PacitiCorp continues lo rely on the rapid installation of low NO, bunters ttl significanlly reduce NOx emissions, Also. the installation of tive SCRs (or similar NOx-reducing technokrgies) will be completcd by 2023 and reduce NOx emissions even further. PacifiCoryr's comnritnrent also includes tire installation of several baghouses to control particulate rnatler emissions. For thosc units rvhiclr utilize drv scrubbers. baglrouses have tl'le added benefit of inrproving SO2 rcmoval. Baghouses also sigrificantly reduce mercury ernissions. lu additiun to rcducing cmissions at e.\isting t'acilities, PacifiCorp has avoided increasing enrissiorrs by adding more than 1,4()0 rlegawatts of reuewable generation betwesn 2006 and 2010. ln ordcr to mcet growiug dcmand tor clectncity. PacitiCoqr added non-emitting rvind generation to its portfolio at a cost of ovcr $2 billion and has disn,issed further consideratiou of a nerv coul-fuclcd unil. Enrission Rcductions nnd BART Deadlines As depicted in the table and charts abovc. PacifiCorp began inrplementing its ernissiorr rutluctrorr corlrnitnrents rn 2005. This was rvell ahead of the ernission reducliorr tinrelines untler the regional haze rules rvhich require BART tr: be installed rro later tlran fir,e years tbllorvrng apprtx,al ol'tlre applicahle Regional Haze SlP, Tltis also provides a g:'aphic der:ronstration olthc ootlstruction sclredule and othcr linlitatiorts clescnbed abovc. as PacitrC<lrp was rcqr.rired to bcgin installing emission corltrol projects at sorre units earlier in orcler to completc projects at other' Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page11ot17 Exhibit A - PaciiiCorp's En:issions Reduction Plan November 2, 2010 Page 5 of 10 units u,ithin the fir,c years after SIP approval. The table above denroustratcs that most of the projects to be built betweeu 2010 and 2014.likervise, will be installed in advance of the required completion date under BART requirenrents. Customer Impacts The followirrg charts identify tlre tinring and magnitude of the capital and O&M expenses that will be incurred due to the projects identified in Table l. The charts identify: 1. The timing and magnitude of the capital costs. 2. 'Ihe O&M expenses that will be incurred due to these projects. 3. The expected ar:nual costs2 through 2023 that customers will be incur as a rcsult of these specitic pollution control projects. Capital Expendltures to Add Pollution Control Equipnrent onPacifiCorp's Arizona, Utah & \Y1'onring Coal-Fired Units s600.000 li0l).{l()0 s{il1).1t{n } sl()().u0{) s200.000 s I 0().000 50 r l'acifiCorp lras nrade every attenlpt lo provide ar) accurate estimitte of the antrcipared incre ase in amrual revenue requiremeuts that will ultinrately be translated to increases in cuslonrers'electricity rares. llou'erer. llrere are several variablcs such as interest rates, intlation rates. discouut ratcs. deprcciation lives. and llnal corrstnrclion cosls and operating aud nrainlenance e\penses that rvill bc considered at thc timc'thcsc pro.iccts actually go into rate basc and rvill inl'luence the actual rel,enue requireurents lssociated with these caprtal pro.jects. Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page'12 ol 17 a =;==-.latalFrcl Fr al al at al .l -t rl al a{ ar a! aJ at .1 al .l \esr Exhibit A - PacifiCorp's Emissions Reduction Plan November 2. 20 l0 Page 6 of l0 s50,000 s40.0(xl ll{).rr(I) s:0.1l((r s I {J.('00 so s400.1100 $150,000 tr.100,000 5l50,uix) sl(,(),0(,{r 5 I 50,{r(10 s I (x),{x,0 5.sl),{nx) SO o tr o lncreases Ir O&M Expenses Due ro Addltlonal Pollutlon Control llquipment on Arizona, Utah & W--voming Coal-Fired Units oc-rrts,tr.9--aldarai.lalFttraj \turm Annual Incrcase to Customers Duc to.Additional Pollution Control Equipment on Arizona, Utah & Wl,oming Corl-Fired Units i-r - t, Ee--Nr,.l Fl al .r Nf{rr-l.t.i II *rc- ar al tl al :.1 :t6c: FIN Yclr @ ,l=-Fl-, ==c]i]A9l.r .l .l -r Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 13 of 17 lirlribit A - l,aciti(' Novcr:rber 2. 20I0 l)agc 7 ol' l0 s I:rrissions Rcductit-,rt As eurt bc secn iioni tlrc 1'lrc'r'ious charts. thc'ratc rncreascs ftrr PacillCorp custolltct's assr,cialc<l witlt I)acill('orp's ernission recluction slrill,egv alurrc'"r'ill hc signtlicant. ln tlrc ei'cnt thal l'acili(. rrr'p is rctittircd tr) accelrrlrtt: or adtl lo thc plant'tcil lrr:tisiiort rstlilclirru lrrojc'ets. tlre r-'ost nlrl)ilcls t() ()ur cus{()nters ean he txlteetcd lo iltct'ea-c.'irrcrcrrrerrtalli'. partilularlv as plarrt ()ulitge rr-rhctlulcs rrrc ertcntlctl rrrd thc nccd lor skillctJ lrb,ll anti nrirtcrial incrcrrscs ir'r thc rrr:ar.tcrnr. OI pur-iieular-r1olu. lhu 1'l'tr.icclerl uosts rcllt'ct onlv llru in..l:rllirtion ol tlic rrrite'tl r'n.rscillt lr'tlrrtliolr cqttil'ltttertt. 'l ltcse cost ittcrcascs tlo tt,rl lllcludc otl](r eosts exl)eelcrl ttr l.rc'irtctilrurl rn tlrc IirtLrrc t() ntcct lurthcr crllssi()lr rcdrrcl.irtn rlrcasurcs tlr lrrltlrcss ulhcr cnvironntcntcl rrri1i,rtr.,cs. irrclrrtiitrr: hul rrrrl linritccl 1() ((e c Altae Irnrcnt I ): l llll)lcrlr'rllilliott ttl I t;ilr': Lr,ttt-l"ctrtt Slt'rtlr'trr li,t trtrulntg l"r'1-ltoliill lr:r,,t'rctitrttorrcn{: ,lLu'rrrg t1,t. l(t I l-l,tl.l 1i1111: 1'rt'1'1,,tl. ['lt'arltlitirrrl (,1'l]tet'cttl'r. cott{rol r:tllrilttttrttt tltti.ict tlrc Iu(luil'L'lttcttt: ol tltu ttlrctr11ii11i lncrcllr'\' i\.1r\('"t provisiorls Pacili(,'i,rI cslin)i-rtcs thrt SoS rlillion in errl:itll ir ill hr; incurlctl lrl l0l5 anel anrrual olrcrrtiu{.r. cxpcnscs t'ill incrcase lrr \llrr:illiorr pcr' \'citr lrr uornllr,irilh rneltLrr!,r'ctlut:tii.rn letltrilr'r:.rerrts. Iu irtltlitirrn. lnt]ciPuletl r-rgulllilrr to acltlt'css 11()n-nrereur'\, llazitr(l()us lrr' pollut.tnt (l Ir\l':) e nlissions trt.r\ r'c(luirc sigrritluult adtlitionirl rerluCtirrns ol'S0:. its il Precursor 1r, sulliric llcld llli{1. fi orl nt,ri-i].1 l{ [' rnrits that currcrrtll, do not have spccrlic c()nfICll\ [i) l'L]cluL:c SC)1 crtrissrrrr:s. ilitrulrtirtg irtt(l collt1'rrlli11r 1 1;. t'ltltssipt.ts. \\'ltilc ( tttt{rcsr ltus ltrrl !rll plssctl trrrttirrtltctt.irc t'lint:rtc tltltr..]t' lt'.qr:lultrrtr. itt l)cccnthrr l()0tr. tlrc .\tlrlrrrisirill()r ()t'llic I rrt t;r,trticrtlrti l)l()tc!'tl()tl {g.'rrcr i]rl.l(lc :.r lirttiirtg th;.rt lil L:eirlr()r.t:c r.l;l\c\ in tltc ;lttltr',rpltct-r' llirt'.rlult llrt'Itrhli. lrc,rltli ,rr,.l r'.cl1ri|c trl r'ultt'nl rtrttl lul:rr'.' l1jr'r\'r'ti'i'ns llavinu nrirrle ths ro-erllr;ti "cntiungunlcrrl llntlinq." [:.1).-\ r:.suctl lhc Iiir,il sr del]h()lrsL rlrr\ tailoring rLrlc. r:l'l'ective.llrtuarv 2. 2(lll. rrhiclr uill rcquirc grcclillur.lsri Sls ci)rissi(\r'r5 r(, be addrcsscd under I']SD and -[itlr: V pcrruits'. l-ikcu isc. rrrrurlattrr. r'eporlinu ol' grL'cnhousg gas unrissiorts to tltc Iln'r'irortrttcrtl.ll Prrltcction Aucrtuv cir)rricrlcc(l begirrnirrg irr .larrrraly 20 1 0. ln aritliti0u. tlrcrc' lrrc a nu|ni)er $l rcilirlrrill 1'grgrrliltrrr'1 irritilitir r:s. iuclur.ling titc \\'cstei.n (''lrttrlrlt' Irritirttir c tltitl ttlil\ tillitturt,.'1,, irtr|;1,.'1 P,reill('t'r'P's r'tr.rl-lirelcrl lltt'rlrtier. l':rcrli( \)t'll s rtanuilililll1 uritts rtt-c ttttlizcrl [i\ :cl'\ u Lr.ist(]lll('rs ut ltt rtirtcs \\'1,i111111g. l,l,tlr.r. l.'t;tlr. \\rrslttttulott. (-)tcgtrtt rtrttl ('lrlilirrrrirr. ( irlilirr'rri;r. \\'irsltillll,rrr irrrti ()]r'rlrr trtt' l)iu1i(lIiuiis rn tlic \\rcrturrt ('linrlte lrtitirtir c. il e i)n'llll-r'licrlsl\ e rcgiorral r'llirrt ttr ru(irrcLl g|eelrlrousc .1ril\ cttrissi(]rts bi' |5",, hcltrrr' l()(]5 lc\cls [ri f(i2tl ll'r|trillh ir r'il1,-iln(l-irir(l(' plilgli.ur.r thal inclurlcs Ihc r'lcc1r'ici1l. scr:tor': cue lt stlrtu lus inrf lcnrcllled stlitc-lc\ el cntissi()ns redrre tirrrt golrls. ('alilirrriit. Wlshingl()l'l an(l ()r'cq(,n l,lli c irlso ur,lop11',1 tl'ccnhousc gtrs srri.isi()ns lrc:-1irIrttrtnec st.ln(l.ll'tls Ii'r'hlsc loail clr-'ilIrell !l!'IllIirtu!! r'os()Lrrccs rrnclur r,, ltich crrrjssitrns r)rusl r)(rl c\ecc(l I,lOi ) Poritrtl:,rl f'().' l)('l lr)r:q.i\\ltrl l lrt' I ;rr lFrntltr'nlli l)li\lri tl(rn \!r ili\ r',, l.,r,lr'( ,,r;lrt I lt ':rrr.i,':,r l, t:r'irri llris r),)l \(l llrl:liilrr:rl rt. [r 'r1t \C:. !.1..('\. Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 14 of 17 E.xhibit A - I'asifiCoqr's Emissions Reduction Plan November 2,2010 Page 8 of l0 hour. Tl:e emissions performance standards generally prohibit electric utilities from entering into long-tenn financial corunitments (e.g.. new ownership investments. rupgrades, or new or renerved contracts u,ith a tentt of 5 r:r nrore years) unless tlte base load generaticln supplied under long-tenr finarrcial comnrihrents comply with the greenhouse gas emissions performarrce stanc.lards. While these requirements lrave not been irnplenreuted in Wyorning, due to tlre treabnent of PacitlCorp's generation on a system-wide basis (i.e., electricity generated in Wyoming nlay be deerred to be corlsullled in Califomia based on a multi-state protocoli, PacifiCorp's facilities may bc subj ect to out-of'-state requiremetrts. 5. Regulations associated u'ith coal corrtbustion hyproducts. In Jutte 201 0, the Enviromental Protecticrn Agency published a proposal to rcgulate thc disposal of coal combustion byproducts trnder the Resource Conservatirrn aud Recovery Act's Subtitlc C or D. Urrder cither regulatory scenario, regulatcd cntities. inclucling PacitiCorp, u,oultlbe requirecl. at a utininrunr; to retrofltiupgraclc or cliscontinrc utilization of existing surfacc inrpounclments within five vears atier tlre Enl'irournenlal Protection Agency issues a flnal rule and state adoption of the appropriate controllingregulatious. It is anticipaled that the requirements under the final rule ivill irnpose sig,nificant costs on PacitiCorp's coal- fueled facilities rvrthin tlte nexl eight to ten years. 6, l'he installation of sigrri['icant arfiounts of nen' generaticln. including gas-fueled gen et'ati on ancl retrervabl e resources. 1. The addition of major transmission lines to suppofl the renewable resources and o[hcr' adr.lecl gencration. 8. hrcreasirrg escalation rates on fuel costs and other commodities BART and Regional Haze Compliance PacitiCorp tinnly believes that the comr:litrnents described above nreet the letter and intcnt of thc reg3onaI liaze rulcs, irrcluding the guidance provided by the EPA known as "Appendix Y." The rcg:ional haze program is a long-tcnn eff,ort r,r,itlr long-tenn guals ending in 2064. lt must bc approached ti-om that perspective. It rvas never intended to require SCR on BART-eligible units rvithin the first fir,e years of the program. Rather. it calls 1br a transition to lower emissions exactiy as PacifiCorp has implemented to date and as it has propttscd going fbnvard thr,.:ugh 2AT. In its evaluation of emission reductittns lbr regional haze purposes. the state should also consider several other variables rvhich rvill significantly affect etnissions aud costs over tlre next ten years. 'i"hese include such tlrings as the devel()pnrent of nerv enrission ccintrol teclmology. anticipated rrew entissiotr t'eclustit)n legislation ancl rules, tlre new ozorre standard, the one hour SO2 antl NOl srantiards. rhe PMl .s standard. poteutial CO2 regulatiou and costs, an aging l1eet. and changiug econonric condirions. All of these variables nlatter ancl rvill atl'est the ltlng-term viability of caclt PacrfiCorp coal unit and will corttribute to the reduction ot'regiotrul hazc in thc coursc ot'thc Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 15 of 17 Exhibit A - Pacit.rCorp's Emissions Reduction PIan November 2,2OlA Page9ofl0 implementation of these pmgrams. This, in turn, will affect the controls, costs and furure operational expectations associated with these generating resources. Conclusion PacifiCorp has made a significant, long-term commitrnent to reducing emissions from its coal- fueled facilities and requests that the AQD consider this commitment as a reasonable approach to achieving emission reduetions in Wyoming. Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 16 of 17 E6Bl I s gJ g B =Es B il I EstEEEiE . >o;\ m l E EI(A .6 rEO--- gsFe*oo() -c d: EE o'E3.8 3 cL d F =o-xq)2 E ii t- o:)a)C .= 3 o) o aco Eo.t-:)crot o $ ct)ox. N Co ECot-'5 c LrJ o q) .sE Etr oE'a oo o_ tF.*,tro o(! gE(ro!r cL'=xJO(2o c?(r: =r!Ec IIJ t!g JO -.bEEoX rEEE F !IoL:9-c ts(J :E CL I 3E<.9<aGd o=coE(J g:(J= v?6l oo3d. EoOc cL-g3 E; F eEEtE-3 a 6 xb!c(,990 E;3 Es EpBs ;aI F3g F(J oE<= o---....- E r !.1,,d: e,E I ! TE Y6.o.x^C)rto(o= 90.E ('ET3zclt sg3a-iz IR1 eE<E()EoE,t--1-- Et rgorlt CL6oxtsoz EE 8t)<F z, 'i6cooa!oa q,goNo r.1 al La) q.l Z .oProc.E og =.9 5 !!<60.H Exhibit No. 3 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 17 of 17 llllsllo-I E]!IhxJeshec;t,i l,E' E E-.Eo:CO d,o..]g (J 9rEE'H = EX{a**'ef 3oo- -ooi .!o,53Es'3e53.d - CL G- :EE YAf,Efrad8&E*uE X.6 E3sEE F,fdt t .fi oe. BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION GASE NO. IPC-E-I3-16 IDAHO POWER COMPANY HARVEY, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO.4 WYOMING STATE IMPLEMENTATION PLAI\ RegionalHaze Addressing Regional Hrze Requirements for Wyoming Mandatory Federal Class I Areas Under 40 CFR 51.309(g) Grand Teton National Park Yellowstone National Park Bridger Wilderness Fitzpatrick Wilderness North Absaroka Wilderness Teton Wilderness Washakie Wilderness January 7r20ll Prepared By The Wyoming Department of Environmental Quatity Air Quality Division Herschler Building, 122 West 25th Street Cheyenne, Wyoming 82002 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page 1 of206 Table of Contents Page Chapter 1. General Plan Chapter 2. Wyoming Class I Areas; Baseline, Natural and Current Visibility Conditions..3 2.1 Description of the Yellowstone Monitoring Site (YELL}) Class I Areas....................3 2.1 .I Grand Teton National Park........... ........3 2.1.2 Teton Wilderness ...............5 2.1.3 Yellowstone National Park ........... ........7 2.1.4 Monitoring Strategy and Location - YELL2 Monitoring Site.......................8 2.1.5 Assessment of Baseline, Natural and Current Conditions -YELL2 Class I Areas ....................10 Description of the North Absaroka Monitoring Site (NOABI) Class I Areas...........13 2.2.1 North Absaroka Wilderness ................13 2.2.2 Washakie Wilderness.............. ............15 2.2.3 Monitoring Strategy and Location - NOABI Monitoring Site....................16 2.2.4 Assessment of Baseline, Natural and Current Conditions - NOABI Class I Areas ....................18 Description of the Bridger Monitoring Site (BRfDl) Class I Areas .......21 2.3.1 Bridger Wilderness ............... ..............21 2.3.2 F\tzpatrick Wilderness.......... ..............23 2.3.3 Monitoring Strategy and Location - BRIDI Monitoring Site......................24 2.3.4 Assessment of Baseline, Natural and Current Conditions - BRIDI Class I Areas ....................26 Chapter 3. Pollutants Causing Visibility Impairment in Wyoming Class I Areas ...............29 3.1 Yellowstone National Park, Grand Teton National Park and Teton Wildemess........32 3.2 North Absaroka and Washakie Wilderness Areas ................35 3.3 Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas... ......37 Chapter 4. Statewide Emission Inventory .......................40 4.1 Introduction.......... ........40 4.2 SO* Emission Inventory... ...............41 4.3 NO* Emission Inventory... ..............42 4.4 OC Emission lnventory... ................43 4.5 EC Emission Inventory... ................44 4.6 Fine PM Emission Inventory ..........45 4.7 Coarse PM Emission Inventory ......46 4.8 Ammonia Emission Inventory ........47 4.9 Inventories Utilized For Emissions Projections............... ........................47 4.10 PRP18b.............. ........48 2.2 2.3 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 2 ol 206 Chapter 5. 5.1 5.2 5.3 Chapter 6. 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 Source Apportionment and Regional Haze Modeling............ ...........50 Overview... ...................50 5.1 .l Source Apportionment Analysis - PSAT and WEP... ...............50 5.1.2 Regional Haze Modeling - CMAQ ........................51 Major Source Categories Contributing to Haze in Wyoming ..................53 5.2.1 PSAT RegionalContribution to Sulfate on20Yo Worst Days.....................54 5.2.2 PSAT Regional Contribution to Sulfate on20Yo Best Days........................57 5.2.3 PSAT RegionalContribution to Nitrate on20o/o Worst Days.....................61 5.2.4 PSAT Regional Contribution to Nitrate on20oh Best Days........................64 5.2.5 WEP Potential Contribution to OC on20Yo Worst Days ............................67 5.2.6 WEP PotentialContribution to OC on20o/o Best Days ............70 5.2.7 WEP Potential Contribution to EC on20Yo Worst Days.............................72 5.2.8 WEP Potential Contribution to EC on20Yo Best Days.. ...........74 5.2.9 WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM on 20% Worst Days....................76 5.2.10 WEP PotentialContribution to Fine PM on20%o Best Days.....................78 5.2.11 WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM on 20% Worst Days..............80 5.2.12 WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM on 20o/oBest Days.................82 CMAQ 2018 Projected Visibility Conditions................. ......84 5.3.1 CMAQModelingBreakdownbyPollutantfor20YoWorstDays...............S5 Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) ...................89 Introduction ..................89 SO2: Regional SOz Milestone and Backstop Trading Program ..............90 Overview of Wyoming's BART Regulations .......................92 SIP BART Requirements From EPA's Regional Haze Rule.. .................92 Facility Analysis ..........99 6.5.1 FMC Wyoming Corp. - Granger Facility ..............99 6.5.2 FMC Wyoming Corp. - Green River - Westvaco Facility...........................99 6.5.3 General Chemical - Green River Works................. ................100 6.5.4 PacifiCorp - Jim Bridger Power Plant ......... ........102 6.5.5 PacifiCorp - Dave Johnston Power P|ant.......... ......................104 6.5.6 PacifiCorp - Naughton Power P1ant.......... ...........106 6.5.7 PacifiCorp - Wyodak Power P1ant.......... .............108 6.5.8 Basin Electric Power Cooperative - Laramie River Station ......................109 Chapter 7. Reasonable 7.1 Overview.............. ......113 7.2 Process for Establishing Reasonable Progress Goals .........114 7.3 Four Factor Analysis Performed for Wyoming Sources... .....................1 l5 7.3.1 Detailed Description of the Four Factors................. ...............1 l6 7.3.2 Source Selection Process for Four Factor Analysis.... ............1 l7 7.3.3 PacifrCorp Dave Johnston Electric Generating Station ..........1l8 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 3 of 206 7.3.4 Mountain Cement Company, Laramie P1ant.......... ................120 7.3.5 Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Field Operations ....123 7.4 309 SIP and 309(9) ....127 7.5 Setting Reasonable Progress Goa1s......... .........127 7.6 Demonstration That the RPGs for 20 Percent Best and Worst Days areReasonable .................128 Chapter 8. 8.1 Overview... .................132 8.1.1 Summary of all Anthropogenic Sources of Visibility Impairment Considered in Developing the Long-Term Strategy..... ..........132 8.1.2 Summary of Interstate Transport and Contribution.......... ......132 8.1.2.1 Other States'Class I Areas Affected by Wyoming Emissions...l32 8.1.2.2 Wyoming Class I Areas Affected by Other States, Nations and Areas of the Wor1d........ ................135 8.1 .3 Summary of Interstate Consultation ................ ....138 8.1.4 Estimated International and Global Contribution to Wyoming Class I Areas ................. 138 Required Factors for the Long-Term Strategy..... ...............141 8.2.1 Emission Reductions Due to Ongoing Air Pollution ControlPrograms...l4l 8.2.1.1 New Source Review Program ...............141 8.2.1.1.1 Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) Program ...............l4l 8.2.1.1 .2 Minor Source BACT Program ..................142 8.2.1.2 Title V Operating Permit Program..... ......................142 8.2.1.3 New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) ..........143 8.2.1.4 MACT - HAPs Program ....150 8.2.1 .5 Phase I Visibility Rules - Wyoming Reasonably Attributable Visibility Impairment Ru1es......... .........160 8.2.1.6 Ongoing Implementation of Federal Mobile SourceRegulations .....160 8.2.1.7 Ongoing Implementation of Programs to Meet PMro NAAQS..l6l 8.2.1 .7 .l Nonattainment SIP (PM r o) - City of Sheridan ............. I 6 I 8.2.1.7.2 Natural and Uncontrollable Sources Program - Natural Events Action P1an........... ......162 8.2.2 Measures to Mitigate the Impacts of Construction Activities...................163 8.2.3 Emission Limitations and Schedules of Compliance ................................163 8.2.4 Source Retirement and Replacement Schedules.. ...................163 8.2.5 Agricultural and Forestry Smoke Management Techniques .....................164 8.2.6 EnforceabilityofWyoming'sMeasures................. ....,...........165 AdditionalMeasures in the Long-Term Strategy ...............166 8.3.1 Future FederalMobile Programs ......166 8.3.2 Efforts to Address Offshore Shipping.... ..............167 8.3.3 Long-Term Control Strategies for BART Facilities ...............168 8.2 8.3 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 4 of 206 llt Chapter 9. Chapter 10. Chapter I1. I1.1 tt.2 I 1.3 Chapter 12. Chapter 13. l3.l 13.2 13.3 t3.4 13.5 8.3.4 Evaluation of Control Strategies for Sources ldentified in the Reasonable Progress - Four-Factor Analysis .......169 8.3.5 Oiland Gas ....................169 8.3.6 Projection of the Net Effect on Visibility ................ ...............170 OngoingMonitoringandEmissionlnventoryStrategy ..................178 Comprehensive Periodic Implementation Plan Revisions ...............................1 8l Wyoming Regional Haze SIP Development and Consultation State to State Consultation ..........1 82 State and Federal Land Manager Coordination .......... ......185 Tribal Consultation ................ .....1 86 Determination of the Adequacy of the Existing Plan .......... .......... I 87 Technical Information and Data Relied Upon in This Plan ............................188 The WRAP and Technical Support.. ..............188 WRAP Committees and Work Groups ..........188 WRAP Forums...... ......................191 WRAP TSS........... ...................... r93 IMPROVE Monitoring ...............193 13.5.1 Background on IMPROVE Monitoring................. ...............193 Formula for Reconstructed Light Extinction.......... :.................. ..........194 Wyoming IMPROVE MonitoringNetwork .....................196 13.6 13.7 List of Tables Table 3-1. IMPROVE Monitor Aerosol Composition................. ...........30 Table 4.2-1. Wyoming SO* Emission Inventory - 2002 and 2018................ ............41 Table 4.3- I . Wyoming NO* Emission Inventory - 2002 and 201 8 ................ ...........42 Table 4.4- L Wyoming OC Emission Inventory - 2002 and 2018................ .............43 Table4.5-1. WyomingECEmissionlnventory-2002and2018................ .............44 Table 4.6-l. Wyoming Fine PM Emission Inventory - 2002 and 2018........................................45 Table 4.7-1. Wyoming Coarse PM Emission Inventory -2002 and 2018....................................46 Table 4.8-1. Wyoming Ammonia Emission Inventory -2002 and 2018......................................47 Table 4.9-1. Net Change From PRPI Sa to PRPl Sb Emission Inventories ..............48 Table 5.3-l. CMAQ Modeling Results for 20Yo Worst Days and Z}YoBest Days for Wyoming Class I Areas ...............85 Table 5.3.1-l . Pollutant Breakdown on20Yo Worst Days for Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP. and Teton Wilderness Area.......... ..................86 Table 5.3. I -2. Pollutant Breakdown on 20o/o Worst Days for North Absaroka and Washakie Wildemess Area.......... .................87 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 5 of 206 Table 5.3.1-3. Pollutant Breakdownon20o/o Worst Days for Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas .......................88 Table 6.2-1. Regional Sulfur Dioxide Emissions and Milestone Report Summary.....................90 Table 6.2-2. Visibility - Sulfate Extinction On1y........... ......91 Table 6.4-1. BART Determinations for Wyoming Sources ...................94 Table 7.2-1. 20% Best and Worst Days Baseline, Natural Conditions, and Uniform Rate of Progress Goal for Wyoming Class I Areas......... .........1 l5 Table 7.3.3-1. Estimated Costs of Potential Emission Control Devices for Two Boilers at the Dave Johnston Electric Generation Station....... ......................1 l9 Table 7.3.3-2. Estimated Energy and Non-Air Environmental Impacts of Potential Emission Control Devices for Two Boilers at the Dave Johnston Electric Generating Station ..................120 Table 7.3.4-1. Estimated Costs of Potential Emission Control Devices for One Cement Kiln at the Mountain Cement Company, Laramie Plant........... .......121 Table 7.3.4-2. Estimated Energy and Non-Air Environmental Impacts of Potential Emission Control Devices for Kiln #2 atthe Mountain Cement Company, LaramieP1ant.......... ...........123 Table 7.3.5- I . Estimated Costs for Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Equipment.......... 126 Table 7.5- I . Reasonable Progress Goals for 20%o Worst Days and 20% Best Days for Wyoming Class I Areas ..............128 Table 8.1 .2.1- I . Nitrate Contribution to Haze in Baseline Years .........134 Table 8.1 .2.1-2. Sulfate Contribution to Haze in Baseline Years......... ...................135 Table 8.3.6-1. Class I Area Visibility Summary for YELL2 on20oh Worst Days....................171 Table 8.3.6-2. Class I Area Visibility Summary for NOABI on20%o Worst Days...................172 Table 8.3.6-3. Class I Area Visibility Summary for BRIDI on20%o Worst Days.......... ...........173 Table 8.3.6-4. Class I Area Visibility Summary for YELL2 on 20Yo Best Days ....174 Table 8.3.6-5. Class I Area Visibility Summary for NOABI on20Yo Best Days......................175 Table 8.3.6-6. Class I Area Visibility Summary for BRIDI on20o/o Best Days........................176 Table 9-1. The Wyoming IMPROVE Monitoring Network................. ...................179 Table 13.7-1. The Wyoming IMPROVE MonitoringNetwork.... ........196 List of Figures Figure 2.1-1. NationalParks and Wilderness Areas in Wyoming (Class I Areas).........................3 Figure 2.1.1-1. Mormon Row ........... ..................3 Figure 2.1.1-2. Grand Teton NP Class I Boundary. ...............4 Figure 2.1 .2-1. Gravel Creek in 1996. Burned in giant Huck Fire of 1988 ................5 Figure 2.1.2-2. Pendergraft Peak l99l ...............5 Figure 2.1.2-3. Teton Wilderness Class I Boundary... ...........6 Figure 2.1.3-1. Hot Pool Near Red Cone Geyser ................ .....................7 Figure 2.1.3-2. Yellowstone National Park Boundary.............. ................8 Figure 2.1.4-1. YELLZ Monitoring Site Location................ ....................9 Figure 2.1.4-2. Looking South Toward the YELL2 Monitor .................10 Figure 2.1.5-1. YELLZ Monitor - Baseline Best Days ........1 I Figure 2.1 .5-2. YELLZ Monitor - Baseline Worst Days .......... ..............1 I Figure 2.1 .5-3. YELLZ Monitor - Natural Best Days.. ........12 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 6 of 206 Figure 2.1.5-4. YELLZ Monitor - Natural Worst Days.......... ................12 Figure 2.2.1-1. Pilot and Index Peaks ...............13 Figure 2.2.1-2. North Absaroka Wilderness Boundary .......14 Figure 2.2.2-1. Piney Creek With Part of Carter Mountain at Head of Canyon.. ......15 Figure 2.2.2-2. Washakie Wilderness Class I Area Boundary ............. .....................16 Figure 2-2.3-1. NOABI Monitoring Si1e............ .................17 Figure 2.2.3-2. Looking South Toward the NOABI Monitor .................18 Figure 2.2.4-1. BRIDI Monitor - Baseline Best Days.. .......19 Figure 2.2.4-2. BRIDI Monitor - Baseline Worst Days.......... ...............19 Figure 2.2.4-3. BRIDI Monitor - Natural Best Days ..........20 Figure 2.2.4-4. BRIDI Monitor - Natural Worst Days.......... .................20 Figure 2.3.1-1. Slide Lake........... ......................21 Figure 2.3.1-2. Bridger Wilderness Monitoring Site and Partial Boundary ..............22 Figure 2.3.1-3. Bridger Wilderness Boundary... ..................22 Figure 2.3.2-1. The Wind Rivers From the Wind River Indian Reservation .............23 Figure 2.3.2-2. Fitzpatrick Wilderness Class I Boundary... ....................24 Figure 2.3.3-1. BRIDI Monitoring Si1e............ ...................25 Figure 2.3.3-2. Looking North Toward BRIDI Monitor... .....................25 Figure 2.3.4-1. BRIDI Monitor - Baseline Best Days.. .......27 Figure 2.3.4-2. BRIDI Monitor - Baseline Worst Days.......... .,.............27 Figure 2.3.4-3. BRIDI Monitor - Natural Best Days ....-.....28 Figure 2.3.4-4. BRIDI Monitor - Natural Worst Days.......... .................28 Figure 3-1. Light Extinction by Pollutant Species for Wyoming Class I Areas ZU%oBest Days (2000-2004) .......31 Figure 3-2. Light Extinction by Pollutant Species for Wyoming Class I Areas 20% Worst Days (2000-2004) .......32 Figure 3.1-1. Yellowstone IMPROVE Site - Average Pollutant Species Contribution to 20%oBestand20o/o Worst Days Baseline (2000-2004)............. ..........33 Figure 3.1-2. Yellowstone IMPROVE Site - Monthly Average Pollutant Species Variation for All Days Sampled During the Baseline Period (2000-2004)............. ..............33 Figure 3.1-3. Yellowstone IMPROVE Site - Pollutant Species Variation for All Days Sampled in2004 ......34 Figure 3.1-4- Yellowstone IMPROVE Site - Baseline Worst Day Aerosol Composition Compared to Visibility Improvement Needed by 2018 &2064... .......34 Figure 3.2-1. North Absaroka IMPROVE Site - Average Pollutant Species Contribution to 20YoBest and20oh Worst Days Baseline (2000-2004) ............. ..........35 Figure 3.2-2. North Absaroka IMPROVE Site - Monthly Average Pollutant Species Variation for All Days Sampled During the Baseline Period (2000-2004)............36 Figure 3.2-3. North Absaroka IMPROVE Site - Pollutant Species Variation for All Days Sampled in2004 ......36 Figure 3.2-4- North Absaroka IMPROVE Site - Baseline Worst Day Aerosol Composition Compared to Visibility Improvement Needed by 201 8 & 2064... .......37 Figure 3.3-1. Bridger IMPROVE Site - Average Pollutant Species Contributionto20%o Best and 20% Worst Days Baseline (2000-2004)............. .....,.............38 Figure 3.3-2. Bridger IMPROVE Site - Monthly Average Pollutant Species Variation for All Days Sampled During the Baseline Period (2000-2004)..................................38 vl Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 7 of 206 Figure 3.3-3. Bridger IMPROVE Site - Pollutant Species Variation for All Days Sampled in 2004 .....................39 Figure 3.3-4. Bridger IMPROVE Site - Baseline Worst Day Aerosol Composition Compared to Visibility Improvement Needed by 201 8 &.2064.... ......39 Figure 5.2.1-1. PSAT Sulfate Contribution at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness on 20%o Worst Visibility Days .......... ...........55 Figure 5.2.1-2. PSAT Sulfate Contribution at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20o/o Worst Visibility Days.......... ....................56 PSAT Sulfate Contribution at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20Yo Worst Visibility Days.......... ....................57 PSAT Sulfate Contribution at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20YoBesr Visibility Days.......... ........................59 PSAT Sulfate Contribution at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas onZUoh Best Visibility Days .............60 PSAT Sulfate Contribution at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas onZ0o/o Best Visibility Days .............61 PSAT Nitrate Contribution at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20% Worst Visibility Days .......... .....................62 PSAT Nitrate Contribution at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20Yo Worst Visibility Days.......... ....................63 PSAT Nitrate Contribution at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on 20Yo Worst Visibility Days.......... ....................64 PSAT Nitrate Contribution at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20% Best Visibility Days.......... ........................65 PSAT Nitrate Contribution at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20Yo Best Visibility Days .............66 PSAT Nitrate Contribution at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wildemess Areas on20%o Best Visibility Days .............67 WEP Potential Contribution to OC at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20% Worst Visibility Days.......... ..........68 WEP Potential Contribution to OC at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20Yo Worst Visibility Days...............................69 WEP Potential Contribution to OC at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20%o Worst Visibility Days.......... ...................69 WEP Potential Contribution to OC at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20YoBest Visibility Days.......... .............70 WEP Potential Contribution to OC at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20Yo Best Visibility Days..... ..........71 WEP Potential Contribution to OC at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20Yo Best Visibility Days ............71 WEP Potential Contribution to EC at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20% Worst Visibility Days.......... ..........72 WEP Potential Contribution to EC at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20oh Worst Visibility Days...............................73 WEP Potential Contribution to EC at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20Yo Worst Visibility Days.......... ...................73 Figure 5.2.1-3. Figure 5.2.2-1. Figure 5.2.2-2. Figure 5.2.2-3. Figure 5.2.3-1. Figure 5.2.3-2. Figure 5.2.3-3. Figure 5.2.4-l . Figure 5.2.4-2. Figure 5.2.4-3. Figure 5.2.5-1. Figure 5.2.5-2. Figure 5.2.5-3. Figure 5.2.6-1. Figure 5.2.6-2. Figure 5.2.6-3. Figure 5.2.7-l . Figure 5.2.1-2. Figure 5.2.7-3. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 8 of 206 vll Figure 5.2.8-1. WEP Potential Contribution to EC at Yellowstone NP. Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20% Best Visibility Days.......... .............74 Figure 5.2.8-2. WEP Potential Contribution to EC at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20Yo Best Visibility Days..... ..........75 Figure 5.2.8-3. WEP Potential Contribution to EC at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20%o Best Visibility Days ............75 Figure 5.2.9-1. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20% Worst Visibility Days.........................76 Figure 5.2.9-2. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on 20o/o Worst Visibility Days.......... .....................77 Figure 5.2.9-3. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20oh Worst visibility Days..............................77 Figure 5.2.10-1. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20%oBest Visibility Days..........................78 Figure 5.2.10-2. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20Yo Best Visibility Days..... ........79 Figure 5.2.10-3. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20Yo Best Visibility Days ...........79 Figure 5.2.1 l-1. WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM at Yellowstone NP. Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20% Worst Visibility Days.......................80 Figure 5.?.ll-2. WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20Yo Worst Visibility Days......................81 Figure 5.2.1l-3. WEP PotentialContribution to Coarse PM at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20%o Worst Visibility Days ...........................81 Figure 5.2.12-1. WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20% Best Visibility Days..........................82 Figure 5.2.12-2. WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20%o Best Visibility Days.........................83 Figure 5.2.12-3. WEP PotentialContribution to Coarse PM at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on 20Yo Best Visibility Days ...........84 Figure 5.3.1-1. Glide Slope by Pollutant on20oh Worst Days for Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP. and Teton Wilderness Area.......... ........................86 Figure 5.3.1-2. Glide Slope by Pollutant on2|Yo Worst Days tbr North Absaroka and Washakie Wilderness Areas .......................87 Figure 5.3.1-3. Glide Slope by Pollutanton20o/o Worst Days for Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas .....................88 Figure 6.5.8-1. Additional Cumulative NO* Reductions From Wyoming BART Sources........l l2 Figure 7.6-1. Time Series Plot by Pollutant on20Yo Worst Days for Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area .......... ......130 Figure 7 .6-2. Time Series Plot by Pollutant on 20o/o Worst Days for North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas..... .............13 I Figure 7.6-3. Time Series Plot by Pollutant on20%o Worst Days for Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas ......................131 Figure 8.1.2.1-1. Wyoming, South Dakota, Montana, Idaho, Utah, Colorado and North Dakota Class I Areas......... .....................133 Figure 8.3.6-7. Additional Cumulative NO" Reductions From Wyoming Sources....................177 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 9 of206 vlil Figure 9-1. Links to Site Locations and Monitors............... .......-.........179 Figure I l.l-1. Regional Planning Organizations............... ...................185 Figure 13.5.1-1. Schematic of the IMPROVE Sampler Showing the Four Modules With Separate Inlets and Pumps ..............194 lx Exhibit No.4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,IPC Page 10 of206 CHAPTER 1 GENERAL PLAN PROVISIONS Section l694 of the Clean Air Act establishes a national goal for protecting visibility in Federally-protected scenic areas. These Class I areas include national parks and wilderness areas. Regional haze is a type of visibility impairment caused by air pollutants emitted by numerous sources across a broad region. On July 1,1999, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued regional haze rules to comply with requirements of the Clean Air Act. Under 40 CFR 51.308, the rule requires the State of Wyoming to develop State Implementation Plans (SIPs) which include visibility progress goals for each of the seven Class I areas in Wyoming, as well as emission reduction strategies and other measures to meet these goals. Under 40 CFR 51.309, the rule also provided an optional approach to Wyoming and eight other western states to incorporate emission reduction strategies issued by the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission (GCVTC) designed primarily to improve visibility in l6 Class I areas on the Colorado Plateau. On December 29,2003, the State of Wyoming submitted a visibility SIP to meet the requirements of 40 CFR 51.309. The 2003 309 SIP and subsequent revisions to the 309 SIP address the first phase of requirements, with an emphasis on stationary source SOz emission reductions and a focus on improving visibility on the Colorado Plateau. In the 2003 submittal, Wyoming committed to addressing the next phase of visibitity requirements and additional visibility improvement in Wyoming's seven Class I areas by means of a State Implementation Plan meeting the requirements in 309(g). Since the 2003 submittal of the 309 SIP, EPA has revised both 40 CFR 51.308 and 309 in response to numerous judicial challenges. As a result of revisions to the Federal rules, the State of Wyoming submitted revisions to the December 29, 2003, 309 SIP under separate cover, on November 21,2008. This 309(g) SIP submission serves as a supplement to the 309 SIP submittal. Pursuant to the requirements of 5 1.309(g), the State of Wyoming submits this Plan with: a demonstration of expected visibility conditions for the most impaired and least impaired days at the additional mandatory Class I areas; provisions for establishing reasonable progress goals for Wyoming's seven Class I areas complying with 51.308(dXl )-(4); long-term strategies that build upon emission reduction strategies developed in the first 309 SIP submittal; and finally provisions to address long-term strategies and Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) requirements for stationary source Particulate Matter (PM) and Nitrogen Oxide (NO.) emissions pursuant to 51.308(e). The State of Wyoming commits to participate in a Regional Planning Process with Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, Nofth Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, Utah, and Washington, and commits to continue participation through future SIPs. The Regional Planning Process describes the process, goals, objectives, management and decision making structure, deadlines for completing significant technical analyses and developing emission management strategies and a regulation implementing the recommendations of the regional group. All Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) Work Plans and the WRAP Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 11 of206 2008-2012 Strategic Plan, which document the Rqgional Planning Process, are contained in Chapter I of the Wyoming Technical Support Document (TSD). Fursuant to the Tribal Authority Rule, any Tribe whose lands are surrounded by the State of Wyoming have the option to develop a regional haze TIP for their lands to assure reasonable progress in the seven Class I areas in Wyoming. As such, no provisions of this Implementation Plan shall be construed as being applicable to Indian Country. Exhibit No. 4 Case No.IPC-E-13-'to T. Harvey,IPC Page 12 of206 CHAPTER 2 WYOMING CLASS I AREAS; BASELINE, NATT]RAL Al\D CI]RRENT VISIBILITY CONDITIONS 2.1 Description of the Yellowstone Monitoring Site (YELL2) Class I Areas The monitoring site designated as "YELL2" is the representative regional haze monitoring station for three Wyoming Class I areas (Grand Teton National Park, Yellowstone National Park and Teton Wilderness). Each of these Class I areas are described below. ENP Gra Tet T \ ',,11 Figure 2.1-1. National Parks and Wilderness Areas in Wyoming (Class I Areas) (http://www.coha.dri.edu/web/state_analysis/Wyoming\ilyoming.html) 2.1.1 Grand Teton National Park Figure 2.1.1-1. Mormon Row (Courtesy of National Park Service) Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 13of206 Grand Teton National Park occupies 309,995 acres along the Teton Range and adjacent Jackson Lake. The Teton Range borders the west side of the National Park, with elevations exceeding 12,000 feet, and 13,770 feet at the summit of the Grand Teton. The Teton Range, a 4O-mile-long mountain front, was formed from earthquakes that occurred over the past 13 million years along a fault line. The eastern half of the Park consists of Jackson Lake and valley of the upper Snake River. Where the Snake River exits the Park at the south boundary, the elevation is the lowest at 6,800 feet. The Park is adjacent to the Teton Wildemess to the northeast and is 6 miles south of Yellowstone National Park and the headwaters of the Snake River (Figure 2.1-l). Seven glacial lakes lie at the base of the range, while over 100 alpine lakes can be found in the backcountry. Elk, moose, mule deer, bison, pronghorn and black bears can be found in the Park. Grizzlies can also be found, but are located in more remote areas. Over 300 species of birds, including bald eagles, peregrine falcons and trumpeter swans can be observed in the Park. Lcgcnd '.-- .i q"ol gorrto"ry i Ho$taln Peaks I Lakes ild Rivers Bcvtlon iLhrt !ua-r,zsz ffi*ffi r,ese- t,ses f r,seo-r,et f r,ers- z,arz I z,zrs- z,szr f z,rr:-:,ees f emo- o,r:e ! s,ze- r,sse f qssr-:,aar l---l s,s6e - r,:t a N A 0510uJ I r r rl, rr I Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page 14 of206 Figure 2.1.1-2. Grand Teton NP Class I Boundary (ttttp:Zwww.cona.ari.ea 2.1.2 Teton Wilderness Figure 2.1.2-1. Gravel Creek in 1996. Burned in giant Huck Fire of 1988. (Courtesy of Ralph Maughan) (trttp:/ wvw.forwolves.org/m ) Figure 2.1.2-2. Pendergraft Peak l99l (Courtesy of U.S. Forest Service) ftttp:/ wvw.fsvisimages ) The Teton Wildemess encompasses 585,468 acres which straddle the Continental Divide in westem Wyoming. It is bordered by Yellowstone National Park to the north, Grand Teton National Park to the west, and the Washakie Wilderness to the east (Figure 2.1-l). Elevations Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 15 of206 range from 7,500 to 9,675 feetwest of the Continental Divide, while east of the Continental Divide elevations are generally higher with the summit of Younts Peak reaching 12,165 feet. At Two Ocean Pass, Two Ocean Creek straddles the Continental Divide, sending waters to both the Atlantic and the Pacific Oceans. As with Grand Teton National Park, ellg moose, mule deer, bison, pronghorn and black bears can be found in the Teton Wilderness. Bighorn sheep, mountain lions, wolves, grizzlies and at least 75 other mammal species are also found here, as well as over 300 species of birds and 30 species of fish. Lrgcnd f;'l oassl aounory a tioJntaln Psel€ I llksserdRlvsre Ecvdm tlrnr. Ine- t,ets ffi r,oo- z,ors I aoo- z,ars !r,al- r,roz Ialoe- z,szt iz,rz- z,rrs f ezeo- z,ees Iu,mo- e,oos l:,mr- a,:zz l---lqzs- a,ast N A 0510 Zl Komalerc Figure 2.1.2-3. Teton Wilderness Class I Boundary (htto://www.coha.dri.edu/imageVcliparUwy_20km_terain_teton j og) Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 16 of 206 2.1.3 Yellowstone National Park (http://www.nos.gov/archive/yell/slidellle/thermall'eatures/hotspringstenaces/others/lmages/06202 j pg) Yellowstone National Park became the world's first national park on March 1,1872, and occupies 2,221,766 acres in northwestem Wyoming, overlapping into Montana and Idaho (Figure 2.1-l). The highest elevation is I 1,358 feet at the summit of Eagle Peak on the southeastern Park boundary, while the lowest elevations (5,314 feet) are found where the Yellowstone River exits the Park on the north boundary. Yellowstone Lake is the largest high- altitude lake in North America and is centered over the Yellowstone Caldera, the largest supervolcano on the continent. The caldera, considered an active volcano, has erupted several times in the last two million years. Fifty percent of the world's geothermal features are in Yellowstone, fueled by this ongoing volcanic activity. Wildlife abounds in the Park, with the more common species being elk, bison, grizzlies and wolves. [n2007, approximately 3,151,373 people visited Yellowstone National Park, bringing the total number of visitors to over 142,681,000 since the park opened in 1872. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 17 of206 Figure 2.1.3-1. Hot Pool Near Red Cone Geyser (Courtesy National Park Service) Fl*o':il oh-6 | ; lkahfr 6.*,d l+..-..*={,* 6 a.aa-t-dEEIE4dwdIrydalrySEdEiAEE -b-85 Bffi h*ffit6 dDs..d.bdtutbtffidrc. a:\ SirO3rl,BAumru1 roR€s?.1 EBo+?erc6 rIn$rilr-ckir Figure 2'ts-2' '""i;frT,H,:il:.'*;;[#;';$?N!'r'J.ffir.;iilationar Park service) 2.1.4 Monitoring Strategy and Location -YELL2 Monitoring Site The IMPROVE site designated as the monitor representing Grand Teton National Park, Teton Wildemess and Yellowstone National Park is YELL2. The Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality, Air Quality Division (the Division), considers the YELL2 site as adequate for assessing reasonable progress goals of the three above-mentioned Class I areas and no additional monitoring sites or equipment are necessary at this time. The Air Quality Division routinely participates in the IMPROVE monitoring program by attending Western States Air Resources Council (WESTAR) and Westem Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) meetings and maintaining memberships in both organizations. Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 18 of206 YELL2 is located in cental Yellowstone National Park near the north shore of Yellowstone Lake. It is 37 miles north of Grand Teton National Park, across the Continental headwaters divide between the Yellowstone River and Snake River watersheds. YELLZ is 30 miles north and west ofthe nearest Teton Wilderness boundary. The YELL2 site elevation is 7,954 feet, which is220 feet above Yellowstone Lake. The nearest metropolitan area to the YELL2 monitor, Billings, Montana (over 149,650 population), is situated approximately 124 miles northeast of the monitor. The metropolitan area of Boise, Idaho (over 635,450 population) lies approximately 295 miles to the southwest of the monitor and the mefiopolitan area of Salt Lake City, Utah (over 1,099,000) is located approximately 273 miles to the southwest. Lcgend O lnprwe Sits l-] mn ts brroundsta a. hfountain peaks I Lakesandrivers Ecvatlon Ivh*s! ue- rsu @ tsts-z,oze lzoru-z2nlzzn-zpnlz,an -z,str lznz-z,tx! z,zeo- z,aes I zru-e,om !:,mr- s,zze l---l s2B- e,3s2 N A 0510 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,IPC Page 19 of206 Figure 2.1.+1. YELL2 Monitoring Site Location (http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/viewsAileb/SiteBrowser/SiteBrowser.aspx) Assessment of Baseline, Natural and Current Conditions - YELL2 Class I Areas Figure 2.1.4-2. Looklng South Toward the YELL2 Monitor Natural visibility represents the visibility condition that would be experienced in the absence of human-caused impairment. Based on EPA guidance, Grand Teton National Park, Teton Wildemess and Yellowstone National Park Class I areas have an established natural visibility of 0.43 deciviews for the 20 percent best days and 6.44 deciviews for the 20 percent worst days. This is based on on-site data at the YELL2 IMPROVE monitoring site. Baseline visibility is determined from the YELL2 monitoring site (located in central Yellowstone Park) for the 20 percent best and 20 percent worst days for the years 2000 through 2004 as specified in the Regional Haze regulations under 40 CFR 51.308(dx2)(i). The baseline visibility for Grand Teton National Park, Teton Wilderness and Yellowstone National Park Class I areas is 2.58 deciviews for the 20 percent best days and I 1.76 deciviews for the 20 percent worst days, which, for this first SIP submittal, is also the same as the cunent visibilitv. These best and worst 20 percent conditions are also calculated based on EPA guidance. This technical information was obtained from the "Haze Planning" section ofthe Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) Technical Support System (TSS) by choosing the "Monitoring" section followed by the "Deciview Glide Slope" information at http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tss/. Further description of this technical information can be found in Chapter 13. Photographs representing similar visibility conditions on best and worst days for baseline and natural conditions are included in Figures 2.1.5-l through 2.1.5-4. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,IPC Page 20 of 206 10 Figure 2.1.5-1. YELL2 Monitor - Baseline Best Days http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data/Photos/YELL/start.htm Baseline Best Days Vista Reference: Avalanche Peak (Yellowstone National Park) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Ht1= 3 Deciviews B".t = 14 Mm-1 Visual Range = 280 kml174 mi Baseline Worst Days Vista Reference: Avalanche Peak (Yellowstone National Park) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Ht; = 12 Deciviews B"rt = 33 Mm-1 Visual Range = 12O kmf/S mi http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data/Photos/YELL/start.htm ll Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 21 of206 Figure 2.1.5-2. YELL2 Monitor - Baseline Worst Days Figure 2.1.5-3. YELL2 Monitor - Natural Best Days http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/DatalPhotoVYELL/start.htm Natural Best Days Msta Reference: Avalanche Peak (Yellowstone National Park) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Ht) = 0 Deciview B"*t = 10 Mm-1 Msual Range = 390 kml242 mi Natural Worst Days Vista Reference: Avalanche Peak (Yellowstone National Park) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze Index (Ht1= 6 Deciviews B"rt = 18 Mm-1 Visual Range = 220 km/137 mi Figure 2.1.il. YELL2 Monitor - Natural Worst Days http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data/Photos/YEll/start.htm Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page22ot206 t2 2.2 Description of the North Absaroka Monitoring Site (NOABI) Class I Areas The monitoring site designated as'NOABl" is the representative regional haze monitoring station for two Wyoming Class I areas (North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness). Each of these Class I areas are described below. 2.2.1 North Absaroka Wilderness ElrlllFFF'' Figure 2.2.1-1. Pilot and Index Peaks (Courtesy of Wikipedia and National Park Service) (.http ://commons.wikimedia.ordwiki/User:MONGO/Public_Domain Images) The North Absaroka Wilderness is part of the Greater Yellowstone Area of northwestern Wyoming, located along the northeastern boundary of Yellowstone National Park, east ofthe Continental Divide, and occupies 350,488 acres (Figure 2.1-1). Elevations range from approximat ely 7 ,200 feet to more than I 0,000 feet on several summits, with the highest elevation being 12, 216 feet on Dead Indian Peak. The terrain is very rugged and mountainous and dissected by numerous creeks. Only a few lakes exist but the streams contain cutthroat, brown, brook, and rainbow trout. The wildemess is home to griu,ly bears, and big-game hunters come by the hundreds for bighorn sheep, elk, and moose. Marmots and pikas dominate many of the talus slopes. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 23 of 206 13 Figure 2.2.1-2. North Absaroka Wilderness Boundary http://www.publiclands.ore/explore/quadrant map.php?id:I560&site-name:North%20Absaroka%20Wilderness& quad:WY_O2&PHPSES SID=23 cfebTc9 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page24 ol 2OG t4 2.2.2 Washakie Wilderness Figure 2.2.2-1. Piney Creek With Part of Carter Mountain at Head of Canyon (Courtesy of Ralph Maughan) (http ://www.forwolves.orey'raloh/WageVwashakie.htm) The Washakie Wildemess Area encompasses 704,529 acres around the headwaters of the South Fork of the Shoshone River in northwestern Wyoming. [t is bordered on the west by the Teton Wilderness and Yellowstone National Park, and the North Absaroka Wilderness Area lies to the north across the North Fork of the Shoshone River (Figure 2.1-l). Elevations range from approximately 6,000 feet to 13,153 feet (Francs Peak) on the eastem boundary. Terrain is rugged and difficult to maneuver in many areas of this wilderness. Wildlife is bountiful, with mule deer, white-tailed deer, moose, elk, grizzly and black bear, pronghorns and bighorn sheep being some of the more common species. This area has fewer lakes than some ofthe other areas, so fishing opportunities are more limited. However, there are several streams and rivers which do support trout. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 25 of 206 l5 Lcgend Oass 1 Boudary Bcvdlon tt.or3 ffi sze- r,asr fTTl 1,2s8- 1,sss ! r,seo- r,st f r,os- a,:rz lfz.xe-z.str f e,sre- z,aes f z,mo- e,zza ! a,zs- s,sso f r,ssr- a,aes l---l r,ees . +,ar a N A 0510 20 KlmctcB (ttto:lwww.cona.ari.ea ) 2.2.3 Monitoring Strategy and Location - NOAB1 Monitoring Site The IMPROVE site designated as the monitor representing the North Absaroka and Washakie Wilderness Areas is NOABI. Collection of data at the NOABI monitoring site is subsidized by the Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality. The Division considers the NOABI site as adequate for assessing reasonable progress goals of the two above-mentioned Class I areas and no additional monitoring sites or equipment are necessary at this time. The Air Quality Division routinely participates in the TMPROVE monitoring program by attending Western States Air Resources Council (WESTAR) and Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) meetings and maintaining memberships in both organizations. NOABl is located in Dead Indian Pass, approximately 25 miles northwest of Cody, Wyoming and about 3 miles northeast of the closest North Absaroka Wilderness Area boundary. It is 25 miles north of the Washakie Wilderness boundary. The NOABI monitoring site elevation is 8,134 feet, which is 538 feet below the summit of Dead Indian Hill to the northeast and 66 feet above Dead Indian Pass and State Highway SR 296. The nearest metropolitan area to the NOABI monitor, Billings, Montana (over 149,650 population), is situated approximately 83 miles northeast of the monitor. The metropolitan area of Boise, Idaho (over 635,450 population) lies approximately 348 miles to the southwest of the Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 26 of 206 Figure 2.2.2-2. Washakie Wilderness Class I Area Boundary l6 monitor and the metropolitan area of Salt Lake City, Utah (over 1,099,000) is located approximately 301 miles to the southwest. Lcgcnd i-, IMPRO\/E Site I ZOm buffer around site Chss I boundary - Mounlain peaks Lakes and rivers Elcvation M.t.13 [---le2B"1Eoo f--ltEoo-t,zm I r,zm-r,goo I tgoo-z,too ! z,roo-z,aoo I z,:m-z,soo ! zsm-z,zoo ! zzm-z,uoo F.--rfl zgoo -r,roo [----l 3,r oo - 3,300 N A 5 10 20 Kiloh6tffi Figure 2.2.3-1. NOABI Monitoring Site http://rvww.coha.dri.edu/imaees/clipart/wy-20km terrain northabsarokajpg Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page27 o1206 t7 Figure 2.2.3-2. Looking South Toward the NOABI Monitor (http ://vi sta.cira.colostate. edr.r/vi ewsAMeb/S iteBrowser/S iteBrowser.aspx) 2.2.4 Assessment of Baseline, Natural and Current Conditions - NOABI Class I Areas Natural visibility represents the visibility condition that would be experienced in the absence of human-caused impairment. Based on EPA guidance, the North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Class I areas have an established natural visibility of 0.58 deciviews for the 20 percent best days and 6.83 deciviews for the 20 percent worst days. This is based on on- site data at the NOABI IMPROVE monitoring site. Baseline visibility is determined from the NOABI monitoring site (located in Dead Indian Pass, about 25 miles northwest of Cody, Wyoming) for the 20 percent best and 20 percent worst days for the years 2002 through 2004 as specified in the RegionalHaze regulations under 40 CFR 51.308(dx2)(i). The baseline visibility for the North Absaroka and Washakie Wilderness Class I areas is 2.02 deciviews for the 20 percent best days and I 1.45 deciviews for the 20 percent worst days, which, for this first SIP submittal, is also the same as the current visibilitv. These best and worst 20 percent conditions are also calculated based on EPA guidance. This technical information was obtained from the "Haze Planning" section of the Western RegionalAir Partnership (WRAP) Technical Support System (TSS) by choosing the "Monitoring" section followed by the "Deciview Glide Slope" information at http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tss/. Further description of this technical information can be found in Chapter 13. The historic visibility photo record is limited and does not include the North Absaroka or Washakie Wilderness areas. Photos depicting similar visibility scenarios from the Bridger Wilderness (Mt. Bonneville) have been substituted as Figures 2.2.4-l through 2.2.4-4 for the baseline and natural conditions on the best and worst days. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 28 of 206 l8 http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data./Photos/BRlD/start.htm Baseline Best Days Msta Reference: Mt. Bonneville (Bridger Wilderness) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Ht) = 2 Deciviews B"rt = 12 Mm-1 Msual Range = 330 km/205 mi Baseline Worst Days Msta Reference: Mt. Bonneville (Bridger Wilderness) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Ht; = 11 Deciviews B"rt = 30 Mm-1 Msual Range = 130 km/81 mi Figure 2.2.4-2. BRIDI Monitor - Baseline Worst Days http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data./Photos/BRID/start.htm Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 29 of 206 Figure 2.2.+1. BRIDI Monitor - Baseline Best Days Figure 2.2.44. BRIDI Monitor - Natural Best Days http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data"/Photos/BRlD/start.htm Natural Best Days Msta Reference: Mt. Bonneville (Bridger Wilderness) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Hl) = 1 Deciview B""t = 11 Mm-1 Visual Range = 350 kml217 mi Natural Worst Days Msta Reference: Mt. Bonneville (Bridger Wilderness) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Ht; = 7 Deciviews B"x = 20 Mm-1 Msual Range = 200 kml124 mi http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data/PhotoVBRlD/start.htm Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 30 of 206 BRIDI Monltor - Natural Worst Days 20 2.3 Description of the Bridger Monitoring Site @RIDI) Class I Areas The monitoring site designated as "BRIDI" is the representative regional haze monitoring station for two Wyoming Class I areas (Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness). Each of these Class I areas are described below. 2.3.1 Bridger Wilderness Figure 23.1-1. Slide Lake (Photo Courtesy of Ralph Mrughan) ftttp:/ wvw.forwolves.org/m ) The Bridger Wilderness, consisting of 428,169 acres, is situated on the west slope of the Wind River Range in Wyoming and extends approximately 80 miles along the western slope ofthe Continental Divide. The wilderness lies south of the other six Class I areas and is on the west border of the Fitzpatrick Wilderness (Figure 2.1-l). The Bridger Wilderness is a combination of jagged granite rock, alpine forest and open alpine meadows and is the headwaters for the Green River. This wilderness forms a triple divide for three major watersheds: the Columbia River, the Colorado River, and the Missouri River. The Wind River Range contains numerous peaks, some exceeding 13,000 feet, the highest of which is Gannett Peak (13,804 feeQ located on the boundary between the Bridger Wilderness and the adjacent Fitzpatrick Wilderness to the east. This wilderness contains seven of the ten largest glaciers in the U.S. (lower 48). Some of the more common species found in the Bridger Wilderness are mule deer, moose, elk, bighorn sheep, gray wolf, and both grizzly and black bear. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 31 of206 Lcgcnd O lmprove Site:- -' Class I boundary ! ZOttn bufier around sits ffi L.k.r and rivers Ecvdlon Mrmrs flsze- z2so ffi.ffi z:so -z,loo f z,rm-zpso f z,sso. z,zoo !z,zm-z,asoIz,m-smoI:,m -e,rso ! s,rso - a,aoo !r,am -s,nso [--l:,lso-:,soo N A Figure 2.3.1-2. Bridger Wilderness Monitoring Site and Partial Boundary http://www.coha.dri.edu/images/cliearUwy 20km_terrain_bridger.ipg Flgure 2.3.1-3. Bridger Wilderness Boundary http://www.publiclands.ore/explore/quadrant_map.php?id:1742&site name:Bridger%2OWildemess&quad:WY_O 8 Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 32 of 206 22 Figure 2.3.2-1. The Wind Rivers From the Wind River Indian Reservatlon (Courtesy of Ralph Maughan) The Fitzpatrick Wilderness Area (191,103 acres) is located on the east slope of the northem Wind River Range in Wyoming along the Continental Divide, which makes up its western border. It shares its western border with the Bridger Wilderness Are4 while its eastern border is shared with the Wind River Indian Reservation. Elevations range from approximately 5,575 feet at the western side of the upper Wind River Basin at river level to east slope elevations of 8,200 feet. Gannett Peak claims the highest elevation (13,804 feet) and is on the Divide boundary between the Fitzpatrick Wilderness and the adjacent Bridger Wilderness to the east. Precipitous canyons formed by glaciers from granite and limestone rock are found throughout the area. Alpine meadows, stands of timber and rocky plateaus are also common sights. There are more than 60 lakes and at least 75 miles of streams which tout excellent trout fishing. Abundant wildlife includes elk, mule deer, moose, bighorn sheep, black bear, bobcats and coyotes. Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,IPC Page 33 of 206 23 Legend CIB1 Bqr(ky ffffi Larcsacniws - lilourtah P6*s ElcY.tlon Matar3 ffitrgze- rgrs I rpre-zFzs lzuen-zztzlz4t-zptlztn-zFttlzFtz-zttslu:r.-zwe !zsm-amalwu-tnt l---.l sex -s3er N A 0 5 10 A) Klm?t6 Figure 2.3.2-2. Fitzpatrick Wilderness Class I Boundary htto :/iwww.coha.dri.edu/imaees/cliparUwy_20km-terrain fi tzoatrick jpg 2.3.3 Monitoring Strategy and Location - BRID1 Monitoring Site The IMPROVE site designated as the monitor representing the Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas is BRIDI. The Division considers the BRIDI site as adequate for assessing reasonable progress goals ofthe two above-mentioned Class I areas and no additional monitoring sites or equipment are necessary at this time. The Air Quality Division routinely participates in the IMPROVE monitoring program by attending Western States Air Resources Council (WESTAR) and Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) meetings and maintaining memberships in both organizations. BRIDI is located at the White Pine Ski Are4 l0 miles northeast of Pinedale, Wyoming and approximately 2 miles outside of the southwestern Bridger Wilderness boundary. The monitoring site sits on a small hilltop in a high basin on the west slope of the Wind River Range at an elevation of 8,553 feet. The site is approximately 1,148 feet above Fremont Lake which lies slightly over I mile to the west, and about the same distance below the elevation of the nearest Bridger Wilderness boundary to the northeast. BRIDI is approximately 1,378 feet higher than the upper Green River Basin town of Pinedale. The nearest metropolitan area to the BRIDI monitor, Salt Lake City, Utah (over 1,099,000), is located approximately 187 miles to the southwest. The metropolitan area of Billings, Montana (over 149,650 population), lies approximately 203 miles to the northeast of the monitor and the Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page 34 of 206 24 metropolitan area of Boise, Idaho (over 635,450 population), is situated approximately 329 miles southwest of the monitor. Legend ,-r lmprove Site Class I boundary I zot, buffer around site Lakes an d riv ers Elevation Meter5 i -'-l s:e . z,zso f--l z,zso-z,aoo f z,aoo - z,sso ! z,sso-z,roo [iE]:,zoo-z,eso! z,aso-:,ooo !:,ooo .:,rso !:,rso-s,soo fl:,soo-s,aso[ ]:,aso -:,aoo A Figure 2.3.3-1. BRIDf Monitoring Site http://www.coha.dri.edu/imaees/cl ipart/wy_20km_terrain brid gerjpg hup://vista.cira.colostatc.edullmages/Photos/IMPROVD/BRIDI/BRlDl-2005 N IN.JPG 20 Kilonete6 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T Harvey, IPC Page 35 of 206 Figure 2.3.3-2. Looking North Toward BRIDI Monitor 25 2.3.4 Assessment of Baseline, Natural and Current Conditions - BRIDI Class I Areas Natural visibility represents the visibility condition that would be experienced in the absence of human-caused impairment. Based on EPA guidance, the Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Class I areas have an established natural visibility of 0.28 deciviews for the 20 percent best days and 6.45 deciviews for the 20 percent worst days. This is based on on-site data at the BRIDI IMPROVE monitoring site. Baseline visibility is determined from the BRIDI monitoring site (located at the White Pine Ski Area, l0 miles northeast of Pinedale, Wyoming) for the 20 percent best and 20 percent worst days for the years 2000 through2004 as specified in the RegionalHaze regulations under 40 CFR 51.308(d)(2)(i). The baseline visibility for the Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Class I areas is 2.I deciviews for the 20 percent best days and I I .12 deciviews for the 20 percent worst days, which, for this first SIP submittal, is also the same as the current visibility. These best and worst 20 percent conditions are also calculated based on EPA guidance. This technical information was obtained from the "Haze Planning" section of the Westem Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) Technical Support System (TSS) by choosing the "Monitoring" section followed by the "Deciview Glide Slope" information at http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tss/. Further description of this technical information can be found in Chapter 13. Photographs representing similar visibility conditions on best and worst days for baseline and natural conditions are included in Figures 2.3.4-l through 2.3.4-4. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 36 of 206 26 Figure 2.3.4-1. BRIDI Monitor - Baseline Best Days http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data/Photos/BRID/start.htm Baseline Best Days Msta Reference: Mt. Bonneville (Bridger Wilderness) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Ht) = 2 Deciviews B""t = 12 Mm-1 Msual Range = 330 km/205 mi Baseline Worst Days Vista Reference: Mt. Bonneville (Bridger Wilderness) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Ht1 = 11 Deciviews B"rt = 30 Mm-l Msual Range = 130 km/81 mi Figure 2.3.4-2. BRIDI Monitor - Baseline Worst Days http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data./PhotoVBRlD/start.htm Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 37 of 206 27 Figure 2.3.4-3. BRIDI Monitor - Natural Best Days http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/DatawarehouseAMPROVE/Data/Photos/BRlD/start.htm Natural Best Days Vista Reference: Mt. Bonneville (Bridger Wilderness) Photo Taken at 9:00 AM Haze lndex (Ht) = 1 Deciview B".t = 11 Mm-1 Msual Range = 350 kml217 ml Natural Worst Days Msta Reference: Mt. Bonneville (Bridger Wilderness) Photo Taken at 3:00 PM Haze lndex (Ht; = 6 Deciviews B".t = 18 Mm-1 Visual Range = 220 km/137 mi Figure 2.3.44. BRIDI Monitor - Natural Worst Days http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data./PhotoVBRID/start.htm Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 38 of 206 28 CHAPTER 3 POLLUTAI\TS CAUSING VISIBILITY IMPAIRMENT IN WYOMING CLASS I AREAS This chapter provides a summary of regional haze monitoring data from the IMPROVE monitoring sites in Wyoming, and the pollutants that affect visibility impairment in each of Wyoming's Class I areas. A summary of the visibility improvement needed from baseline (2000-2004) to the 2018 uniform rate of progress (URP) milestone. and to the2064 natural condition goal is also provided. Depictions of Wyoming IMPROVE monitoring sites are provided in Chapter 2. The haze index (F11) in deciview (dv) units, as discussed in EPA's 2003 Guidance for Tracking Progress Under the Regional Haze Rule, is a visibility metric based on the light-extinction coefficient that expresses incremental changes in perceived visibility. A change in the,F11of one dv is approximately equal to a llYo change in extinction coefficient. The haze index is defined by:IIl = lOln(&"" /10) The value of the haze index is approximately zero dv for a pristine atmosphere. This value increases as visibility degrades. EPA's 2003 guidance for calculating light extinction is based on the original protocol defined by the IMPROVE program in 1988. In December 2005, the IMPROVE Steering Committee voted to adopt a revised algorithm for use by IMPROVE as an alternative to the original approach. The revised algorithm for estimating light extinction is calculated as recommended for use by the IMPROVE steering committee using the following equations: b",,=2.2 x f,(RH) x [Small Amm. Sulfate] + 4.8 x fL(RH) x [Large Amm. Sulfate] + 2.4 x f,(RH) x [Small Amm. Nitrate] + 5.1 x fL(RH) x [Large Amm. Nitrate] + 2.8 x [Small POM] + 6.1 x [Large POM] + l0 x [EC]+ I x [Soil]+ 1.7 x f,.(RH) x [Sea Salt] + 0.6 x [CM] + 0.33 x [No2(ppb)] + Rayleigh Scattering (Site Specific) The revised algorithm splits ammonium sulfate, ammonium nitrate, and POM concentrations into small and large size fractions as follows: Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 39 of 206 29 ror[rotat]< 2opg/r! ror [rotrtJ I zopgor, [trgE] = [rrot] Chapter l3 provides additional information on light extinction. The following table identifies the different pollutant species that contribute to haze, and their abbreviations, as they appear in the figures in this section. References to sulfate and nihate in this section are intended to reflect ammonium sulfate and ammonium nitrate, respectively. Table 3-1. IMPROVE Monitor Aerosol C ition Pollutant IMPROVE Abbreviation Ammonium Nitrate ammno3f bext Ammonium Sulfate ammso4lbext EC (Elemental Carbon)ecf bext OMC (Organic Mass Carbon)omcf bext CM (Coarse Mass)cm bext Soil (Fine Soil)soilf bext Sea Salt seasalt bext The figures which follow in this chapter provide information for each Class I area (based on representative IMPROVE monitoring site) for the Z0o/obestand}OYo worst days during the baseline period, monthly averages of all monitored days, and the improvement needed by 2018 and2064. Figures 3-l and 3-2 summarizethe distribution of pollutant species in Wyoming's Class I areas, for the current (2000-2004 baseline) Z0Yobest and20Yo worst days. [P*.r=qp*[rot r] 1 [s-"u]:[r't r]-tr*e.l Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 40 of 206 30 Figure 3-1. Light Extinction by Pollutant Species for Wyoming Class I Areas 20ohBest Davs (2000-2004) Y E =3tro o ;:x IrJ 1 YELL2 Yellowstone NP Grand Teton NP Teton Wilderness NOAB1 North Absaroka Wi lderness Washakie Wilderness BRIDl Bridger Wilderness Fitzpatrick Wilderness Amm.Sulfate tAmm.Nitrate rOMC r EC r Soil " CM t Sea Salt 3t Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 41 of206 Days (2000-2004) E =Eo oc xtu 28 25 24 22 20 18 15 14 L2 10 8 5 4 2 0 YELL2 Yellowstone NP Grand Teton NP Teton Wilderness NOABl North Absaroka Wilderness Washakie Wilderness BRIDl Bridger Wilderness Fitzpatrick Wilderness Amm.Sulfate r Amm. Nitrate r OMC r EC r Soil I CM r Sea Salt Figure 3-2. Light Extinction by Pollutant Species for Wyoming Class I Areas 207o Worst As the above figures indicate, Wyoming's Class I areas are dominated by sulfate and organic carbon on the 20%obest days, and organic carbon and sulfate on the 20oZ worst days. On the 2DYobest days, sulfate is significant in all ofthe Class I areas. The majority of this can be affributed to point sources. On the 20oZ worst days, organic carbon is the most signifrcant species in all of the Class I areas, with natural fire having the largest contribution. The following sections provide an additional breakdown of the pollutant species that contribute to each Class I area. The first frgure in each section shows a simple pie chart of the 2Do/obest and}Ooh worst days, similar to the bar chart figures above. The second figure in each section shows the pollutant species based on monthly averages for all days (including best or worst) during the baseline period, as an example of the seasonal variation in Class I areas. The third figure in each section presents a closer look at the daily variation during a given year-in this case 2004. The fourth figure in each section shows the improvement needed (shown in reduction in deciview) for each Class I area, from the baseline year to the 2018 milestone, and to 2064 natural conditions. 3.1 Yellowstone National Park, Grand Teton National Park and Teton Wilderness As depicted in the following figures, on the best20Yo days sulfate is the dominant species, but organic carbon is the largest contributor on the worst 207o days. Both sulfate and nitrate Exhibit No. 4 Case No.IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 42 of 2QO 32 pollutant species fluctuate during the year. Significant spikes of organic carbon, however, are evident especially in the warmer months, most likely due to wildfire activity. Figure 3.1-4, indicates a 1.3 deciview reduction would be needed to meet a2018 URP, and a 5.4 deciview reduction would be needed to meet a2064 URP. While 5 I .308(d)( I XiXB) requires that the State disclose the incremental change required to meet a URP goal, there is no requirement to meet a URP goal. This is discussed in more detail in Chapter 7. Figure 3.1-1. Yellowstone IMPROVE Site - Average Pollutant Species Contribution to 20oh Best and 20oh Worst Days Baseline (2000-2004) (http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/dev/web/AnnualSummaryDev/Composition.aspx) Figure 3.1-2. Yellowstone IMPROVE Site - Monthly Average Pollutant Species Variation for All Dtys Sampled Dglilggg x$ll,n93j49q q0!0-10!{) Monrtoring Data fsrAll IMPROVE Sampled Days Class I Areas - Grand Teton NP, WY: Red Rock Lakes NWRW, MT: Teton W, WY: Yellowslone NP, WY I i ; , SeaSalt Extinction fficM rxtin*ion lsol extinctron trc enn*ion ! ff*c Extinction !ruot rxtinaion S0l Efirr{ion ooooooNN ti,RAp Ts - lorr,4m ooooooNN 60.0 50.0 5 E 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 (WRAP TS S - http://vi sta.cira.colostate.edu/tss/) NNNNNooooooooooNN({NN N!lt)(!O ooooNN rf6 ooooooNN @o ooooNN o6l (r,mooootritrtt\looooooooooooooooootroooooNNCINNNNNNNNN,i+;;;,i,i+.;;,i Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 43 of 206 I I I Best 20% Aarosolbcxt=4Mn-1 Daily range . 'l .7 to 6.7 Mm-I YELL2 2000-2004 Wbrs{ 20% *f "1""""r9 :"* r= ff ,,to$ l,--, 2.56% 0.25% 3.89% 0.08% Iammno3f-bext amnso4f-bext , 'cm-be)i !ecf-bert Iorcl-bxt seasdt-bext lsonf-bcxt 33 Sampled in 2004 320 280 at 20.0T E re.o 12.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 Monitoring Data forAll IMPR0IE $ampled Days Class I Areas - orand Tehn NP, WY: Red Rock Lales l$flRVY, ilT: Tsbn tY, lYy: Yellqrs&ne NP, WY t I I lr r I ir I I lil 1,.l.r I I Ir l.ill,.1 I lr IHJ. HHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHfr HHHHHHENRITEft $[EBE$ifi Hf EiEBTEIEP[fi i&unr1ls:Cai-r;, N N o o t t s o o F" 6 o o t .j F - : : $ S [-]sematr*unn Icur*oin Isor*inam trcrrtuton lorcexmrcr frcrermmn [sotr*nam (WRAP TS S - http ://vista.cira.co lostate. edu/tssA Figure 3.1-3. Yellowstone IMPROVE Site - Pollutant Species Variation for All Days Figure 3.1-4. Yellowstone IMPROVE Site - Baseline Worst Day Aerosol Composition Compared to Visibili8 Improvement Needed by 2018 & 2064 40 Yellowstone NR Grand Teton NP and Teton Wilderness Area YELL2 IMPROVE Site (New IMPROVE Algorithm) Rcduction Needed = 1.3 dv 5E2s =EotoEoc, *, I)x IJJ 10 l l I I l I 1 l -L Reductlon Nccdcd = 5.4 dv r Sea Salt rCM r Soil rEC I oMc r Amm. Nitrate Amm. Sulfate 2000-2004 Baseline Conditions 20L8 Uniform Rate of Progress TarBet 2064 Natural Conditions Exhibit No. 4 Case No.lPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 44 of 206 34 3.2 North Absaioka and Washakie Wildemecs Areas As depicted in the following figures, on the best20o/o days sulfate is the dominant species, but organic carbon is the largest contributor on the worst 20Yo days. Both sulfate and nitrate pollutant species fluctuate dwing the year. Like the Yellowstone IMPROVE site, the Norttr Absaroka IMPROVE site shows significant spikes of organic carbon, especially in the warmer months most likely due to wildfire activity. Figure 3.24, indicates a 1.1 deciview reduction would bc needed to meet a 2018 URP, and a 4.7 deciview reduction would be needed to meet a 2064 LJRP. While 51.308(dXlXtXB) requires that the State disclose the incremental change required to meet a URP goal, there is no requirement to meet a URP goal. This is discussed in more dctail in Chapter 7. 20Yo Best arnil 20Yo Worst Baseline Figure 3.2-1. North Absaroka IMPROVE Site - Average Pollutant Species Contribution to Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-1&16 T. Harvey,IPC Page 45 of 206 35 Figure 3.2-2. North Absaroka IMPROVE Site - Monthly Average Pollutant Species Monitoring Data forAll IMPROVE Sampled Days Class I Areas - North Absaroka W, VYY: Washakie ruY, lt^fY ooooooNNNNNNooooofl,t!fIftt!l600o000(]0(]C]000000000 0QoQoEao0ao6600o0000000l]000000000(1000000N N N N Nft ff N N ff N N 6i N NN N Ni fi il N N N N NN N N f.I N .-6'-t. O 6 E} N N !i 6 {' O N N t @ O O N N t O O O N N t O O O NIIURA9TSS-|iIAirIIBiFrFrrFr (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.c ira. colostate. edu/tss/) Figure 3.2-3. North Absaroka IMPROVE Site - Pollutant Species Variation for All Days Sampled in 2004 Monitoring Data forAll IMPRO\E Sampled Days Class I tueas - Norlh Absaroka W, WY:Washakie YV, WY l L.-SeaSalt Exthctbn fficN emnction Isol extinaion Iec rxtinaion !otlc e*inction luor rxtinction , S04 Extindion 32.0 28.0 24.0 - 20.0 EE 16.0 12,0 8,0 4.0 0.0 ss88888888888EEOOOOOOOOOOONNt{flst{attttFNRtNeft$erfiil$N NO M rr ltr EINIIITTB 88888S9888888888trooooooooooooooott{tt{qq{NNN{{{roooro$OOONrf6hoF(,1TifldTfl6IQIN}[flINO ts O O O O O Or r r N N Itr $ o Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 46 of 206 (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. c ira. co lostate.edu/tss/) 36 Figure 3.2-4. North Absaroka IMPROVE Site - Baseline Worst Day Aerosol Composition to Visibil Neededbv2018 &2064 North Absaroka and Washakie Wilderness Areas NOABI IMPROVE Site (New IMPROVE Algorithm) 5E2s =Ezo oE,v lfxlrJ r Sea Salt ICM r Soil IEC r oMc I Amm. Nitrate Amm. Sulfate 2000-2004 Baseline Conditions 2018 Uniform Rate of Progress Target 2064 Natural Conditions 3.3 Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas As with all other Wyoming Class I areas, on the best 20Yo days sulfate is the dominant species, but organic carbon is the largest contributor on the worst 20olo days. Both sulfate and nitrate pollutant species fluctuate during the year. Like the other Class I sites, the Bridger IMPROVE site shows significant spikes of organic carbon, especially in the warmer months most likely due to wildfire activity. Figure 3.3-4, indicates a l.l deciview reduction would be needed to meet a 2018 URP, anda4.6 deciview reduction would be needed to meet a2064 URP. While 5 I .308(d)( I XD(B) requires that the State disclose the incremental change required to meet a URP goal, there is no requirement to meet a URP goal. This is discussed in more detail in Chapter 7. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page47 ot206 37 Figure 3.3-1. Bridger IMPROVE Site - Average Pollutant Species Contributionto 20oh Best and 207o Worst Davs Baseline 2004 EGsi z)% Aerosd bext = 3.4 [h-1odl, rmgE . 0.9to 5.9 Mm-1 BR|D{ 2000-2004 Vvorst 20% Aaosd bcxt = 22.5llln-'l Ddy rilgE - 13.'lto 104.8 Mll}I !ammno3f-bcxl .hrDso4l_b6xt : iem-bc( !ect-bcd !onrcl-bexl i - I seasalt-bext Isoill-bexl (http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/dev/web/AnnualSummaryDev/Composition.aspx) Figure 3.3-2. Bridger IMPROVE Site - Monthly Average Pollutant Species Variation for i,-,SeaSalt Extinction fficuexmaon Isoitemnctlon Iec rxmction lcrmerirnalon Inogrniraioni sor Edindion 28.0 24.0 20.0 E 16.0 =12.0 OOOOOOTFTFFINNNNNooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN wn^prss-r#d@ o P H * t o'P E N n o * P 4.0 0.0 ri$$lfnooooooooooNNNNN Nt@6o Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 48 of 206 All Davs Samoled Durins the Baseline Period (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.c i ra.col ostate.edu/tssl) Monitoring Data forAll IMPRO\IE Sampled Days Class I Areas - Bridqer W, WY: FiBatick W, WY 38 Monitoring Data forAll IMPROVE Sampled Days WY:Fit&aticlttill; l4Y Isuuerrrmr Ecuemaion lsolr*uton Iectgiffirt lomce*rom Imseaaour [ ]soteuirabn 32.0 2E.0 21.0 ; l0o E i6.o 12.0 8.0 {0 0.0 HEEHEHEEHEEHEHEFEEH|o Oo N oo ooddriiN(i 88S88886clclE,c,0E,flNSt{qqEl\ONOO]\lN(ti?E{NNOOtIV tt88ENONEqBSmqtls.ffiED l Figure 3.3-3. Bridger TMPROVE Site - Pollutant Species Variation for All Days Sampled in 2004 (WRAP TS S - http ://v ista.cira.colostate. edu/tss/) Figure 3.3-4. Bridger IMPROVE Site - Baseline Worst Day Aerosol Composition Com to Visibil rovement Needed bv 2018 & 2064 Bridger and FiEpatrick Wilderness Areas BRID1 IMPROVE Site (New IMPROVE Algorithm) r Sea Salt *cM r Soil tEC I OMC r Amm. Nitrate Amm. Sulfate 2000-2004 Baseline Conditions 20L8 Uniform Rate of Progress Targ,et 35 E25 =520 oc,P IJxlU Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 49 of 206 39 2064 Natural Conditions CHAPTER 4 STATEWIDE EMISSION II\'VENTORY 4.1 Introduction The process for inventorying sources is similar for all species of interest. The number and types of sources is identified by various methods. For example, major stationary sources report actual annual emission rates to the EPA national emissions database. Wyoming collects annual emission data from both major and minor sources and this information is used as input into the emissions inventory. In other cases, such as mobile sources, an EPA mobile source emissions model is used to develop emission projections. Population, employment and household data are used in other parts of the emissions modeling to characterize emissions from area sources such as home heating. Thus, for each source type, emissions are calculated based on an emission rate and the amount of time the source is operating. Emission rates can be based on actual measurements from the source, or EPA emission factors based on data from tests of similar types of emission sources. In essence all sources go through the same process. The number of sources is identified, emission rates are determined by measurements of those types of sources and the time of operation is determined. By multiplying the emission rate times the hours of operation in a day, a daily emission rate can be calculated. A second inventory is created to predict emissions in2018 based on expected controls, grofih, or other factors. Additional inventories are created for future years to simulate the impact of different control strategies. While the Division attempts to make sound estimates of all sources of emissions in the State, they are only estimates at one point in time. Oil and gas emission estimates are some of the more complicated emission inventories that the Division collects, and the Division is working hard to improve those estimates. The following presents the Wyoming emissions from the WRAP TSS. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 50 of 206 40 Net Change From Plan 02d to PRP18b 4.2 SO* Emission Inventory Sulfur oxides (SO*) are compounds of sulfur and oxygen molecules. Sulfur dioxide (SO2) is the predominant form found in the lower atmosphere. Sulfur dioxide emissions produce sulfate particles in the atmosphere. Ammonium sulfate particles have a significantly greater impact on visibility than other pollutants like dust from unpaved roads due to the physical characteristics causing greater light scattering from the particles. Sulfur dioxide emissions come primarily from coal combustion at electrical generation facilities, but smaller amounts come from nafural gas combustion, mobile sources and even wood combustion. There are natural sources of sulfur dioxide such as volcanoes. A16% statewide reduction in SO* emissions is expected by 2018 due to planned controls on existing sources, even with a growth consideration in generating capacity for the State. Similar reductions are expected from other states as BART or other planned controls take effect by 2018. Exhibit No. 4 Gase No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 51 of206 4l 4.3 NO* Emission Inventory able 4.3-1.Emission lnventorv -2OO2 and 2O18 Source Cateqorv Plan02d (tov) PRP18b (tov) Net Change From PlanO2d to PRP18b (Percent) Point 117.806 110.109 -7 Area 15.192 19.663 29 On-Road Mobile 38.535 9.728 -75 Off-Road Mobile 76.637 49.677 -35 Oil& Gas 14.725 34.142 132 Road Dust 0 0 0 Fuoitive Dust 0 0 0 Windblown Dust 0 0 0 Anthro Fire 782 484 -38 Natural Fire 8.372 8.372 0 Biooenic 15.925 15.925 0 Total 287.974 248.100 -14 Nitrogen oxides 6NO.) are generated during any combustion process where nitrogen and oxygen from the atmosphere combine together under high temperature to form nitric oxide, and to a lesser degree nitrogen dioxide, and in much smaller amounts other odd oxides of nitrogen. Nitrogen oxides react in the atmosphere to form nitrate particles. Nitrogen oxide emissions in Wyoming are expected to decrease by 2018, primarily due to significant improvements in mobile sources. It is projected that off-road and on-road vehicles emissions will decline by more than 55,760 tons per year from the Plan02d emissions total of ll5,l72 tons per year. Point sources are also projected to decrease statewide emissions by about 7,700 tons per year. A power plant would be a typical example of a point source. Oil and gas development is expected to increase statewide emissions from 2002 to 2018 by about 19,400 tons per year. With population increases and more construction, fugitive dust emissions will also increase. Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 52 of 206 42 4.4 OC Emission Inventory Organic carbon particles emitted directly from the combustion of organic materials are called primary organic aerosols. A wide variety of sources contribute to this classification including byproducts from wood and agricultural burning with emissions from natural fires as the largest contributor to organic carbon emissions. Since it is impossible to predict future emissions from natural fires, this category was held constant and organic carbon emissions from all sources are expected to show a3Yo decline. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 53 of 206 43 4.5 EC Emission Inventory able 4.5-1.EC Emissaon lnventory - zooz and 2018 Wyoming Planning and Prelimlnary Reasonable Progress Emission lnventories Source Cateoorv Plan02d (tov) PRP18b (tov) Net Change From PlanO2d to PRP18b (Percent) Point 104 180 73 Area 304 335 10 On-Road Mobile 443 86 -81 Off-Road Mobile 1.986 1.161 -42 Oil & Gas 0 0 0 Road Dust 2 2 0 Fuqitive Dust 7 I 29 Windblown Dust 0 0 0 Anthro Fire 298 153 -49 Natural Fire 4.922 4.922 0 Bioqenic 0 0 0 Total 8,066 6,848 -15 Elemental carbon is the carbon black, or soot, a byproduct of incomplete combustion. It is the partner to primary organic aerosols and represents the more complete combustion of fuel producing carbon particulate matter as the end product. A carbon particle has a sixteen times greater impact on visibility than that of a coarse particle of granite. Reductions in manmade emissions in elemental carbon are largely due to mobile sources and expected new Federal emission standards for mobile sources, especially for diesel engines. Fleet replacement will also play a part in the reduction. Elemental carbon emissions are predicted to decrease approximately 15%by 2018. As with organic carbon, however, the overwhelming source for elemental carbon is from wildfires which the Division cannot control or predict future emissions. Exhibit No. 4 Case No.lPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 54 of 206 44 4.6 Fine PM Emission Inventory Table 4.&1. Wyoming Fine PM Emission lnventory - 2002 and 2018 Source Cateoorv -Plan02d (tov) PRP18b (tov) Net Change From PlanO2d to PRP18b (Percent) Point 11.375 15,709 38 Area 1.601 1,756 10 On-Road Mobile 0 0 0 Off-Road Mobile 0 0 0 Oil & Gas 0 0 0 Road Dust 160 206 29 Fuqitive Dust 2.082 2.882 38 Windblown Dust 5,838 5,838 0 Anthro Fire 242 129 -47 NaturalFire 1.535 1,535 0 Biooenic 0 0 0 Total 22.433 28,055 23 Fine soil emissions are largely related to agricultural and mining activities, windblown dust from construction areas and emissions from unpaved and paved roads. A particle of fine dust has a relative impact on visibility one tenth as great as a particle of elemental carbon. On any given visibility event where poor visual air quality is present in a scene, the impact of dust can vary widely. Agricultural activities, dust from unpaved roads and construction are prevalent in this source category and changes in emissions are tied to population and vehicle miles traveled. Since soil emissions are not directly from the tailpipe ofthe vehicle, the category of mobile sources does not show any emissions and all vehicle related emissions from paved and unpaved roads show up in the fugitive dust and road dust categories. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 55 of 206 45 4.7 Coarse PM Emission Inventory Table 4.7-1. Wyoming Coarse PM Emission lnventory -2002 and 2018 Source Cateoorv Plan02d(lov)PRP18b (tov) Net Change From Plan02d to PRP18b (Percent) Point 24.751 30,619 24 Area 409 653 60 On-Road Mobile 171 165 -4 Off-Road Mobile 0 0 0 Oil & Gas 0 0 0 Road Dust 1j25 1.449 29 Fuqitive Dust 18,030 25.144 39 Windblown Dust 52.546 52,546 0 Anthro Fire 259 109 -58 NaturalFire 5,369 s,369 0 Biooenic 0 0 0 Total 102.660 116.054 13 Coarse mass particles emissions are closely related to the same sources as fine soil emissions but other activities like rock crushing and processing, material transfer, open pit mining and unpaved road emissions can be prominent sources. Coarse mass particles travel shorter distances in the atmosphere than some other smaller particles but can remain in the atmosphere sufficiently long enough to play a role in regional haze. Coarse mass particulate matter has the smallest direct impact on regional haze on a particle-by-particle basis where one particle of coarse mass has a relative visibility weight of 0.6 compared to a carbon particle having a weight of 10. Increases in coarse mass are seen in the fugitive and road dust categories, as well as point and area source categories. These increases are largely affributable to population growth, vehicle miles traveled and employment data. Exhibit No. 4 Case No.IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 56 of 206 46 4.8 Ammonia Emission Inventory Table 4.8-1. Wyoming Ammonia Emission Inventory - 2002 and 2018 Wyoming Planning and Preliminary Reasonable Progress Emission lnventories Source Cateoorv Plan02d (tov) PRP18b (tov) Net Change From PlanO2d to PRP18b lPercent) Point 685 1.398 104 Area 29,776 29,901 0 On-Road Mobile 538 724 35 Off-Road Mobile 41 57 39 Oil & Gas 0 0 0 Road Dust 0 0 0 Fuqitive Dust 0 0 0 Windblown Dust 0 0 0 Anthro Fire 218 119 -45 Natural Fire 1.775 1.775 0 Bioqenic 0 0 0 Total 33,033 33,974 3 Ammonia emissions come from a variety of sources including wastewater treatment facilities, livestock operations, and fertilizer application and to a small extent, mobile and point sources. Increases in ammonia emissions are correlated to population statistics and increased vehicular traffic. Ammonia is directly linked to the production of ammonium nitrate and ammonium sulfate particles in the atmosphere when sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides eventually convert over to these forms of particles. Mobile source emissions are expected to rise due to increases in vehicle miles traveled. Future point source emissions are also expected to increase by 2018, however, little to no overall increases in ammonia are predicted for 2018. 4.9 Inventories Utilized For Emissions Projections The WRAP Regional Modeling Center (RMC) developed multiple annual emissions inventories for a2002 actual emissions base case, a planning case to represent the 2000-04 regional haze baseline period using averages for key emissions categories, and a 2018 base case of projected emissions determined using factors known at the end of 2005. All emission inventories were developed using the Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions (SMOKE) modeling system. These inventories have undergone a number of revisions throughout the development process to arrive at the final versions used in CMAQ and CAMx air quality modeling. represents the actual conditions in calendar year 2002 with respect to ambient air quality and the associated sources of criteria and particulate matter air pollutants. The Base02 emissions inventories are used to validate the air quality model and associated databases Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 57 of 206 47 and to demonstrate acceptable model performance with respect to replicating observed particulate matter air quality. and represents baseline emission patterns based on average, or "typical", conditions. This inventory provides a basis for comparison with the future year 2018 projected emissions, as well as to gauge reasonable progress with respect to future year visibility. Plan 02d, used by the State of Wyoming in these inventories, was last revised in October, 2008. "Basel8". represents conditions in future year 2018 with respect to sources of criteria and particulate matter air pollutants, taking into consideration growth and controls. Modeling results based on this emission inventorv are used to define the future vear ambient air quality and visibility metrics. based on the preliminary reasonable progress emissions inventories. generated in early 2007. This scenario includes corrections, refinements and additions to the 2018 Base Case, as well as estimates of controlling SOz and some NO" from BART sources. The PRP 18b analysis series. used by the State of Wyoming in these inventories, was last revised in August, 2009. The CMAQ and CAMx air quality models are explained in more detail in Chapter 5. 4.10 PRPl8b A "base case" emissions projection inventory was compiled by the WRAP in January of 2006. In June 2007, a revision to this inventory named 2018 Preliminary Reasonable Progress version "a" (PRPl8a) updated the first set (base case) of projections. The most recent projections, 2018 Preliminary Reasonable Progress version "b" (PRPl Sb), provides a more current assessment of the reasonable progress toward visibility goals by the WRAP. Table 4.9-l below depicts the net change from the PRP I 8a NO* emission inventories to the PRP I 8b emission inventories. The off-road mobile category showed a l6Yo decrease in NO* emissions, 89% of which was attributable to locomotives. The remaining I l7o was attributable to off-road equipment. A Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 58 of 206 able 4.9-1. Net Chanee From PRP 8a to PRPl8b Emission Inventories Source Category PRP18a NO* Emission Inventory (tov) PRP18b NO* Emission Inventory (tov) Net Change From PRPl8a to PRPl8b (tov) Net Change From PRP18a to PRP18b (ohl Point 133,216 I 10,109 -23.107 -17% Area (includes Oil& Gas)53,806 53.805 No Change No Change On-Road Mobile 9.728 9.728 No Chanse No Chanse Off-Road Mobile 59.378 49,676 -9.702 -16% 48 decrease of l7%o in point source NO* emissions was achieved, with 89% of the decrease due to BART. Area and on-road source categories remained virtually unchanged. Three ERG Technical Memorandums, documenting PMlSa and PRPISb emission inventories, can be found in Chapter 4 ofthe Wyoming TSD. Exhibit No.4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page 59 of 206 49 CHAPTER 5 SOURCE APPORTIONMENT ANID REGION AL IJAZE' MODELING 5.1 Overview Visibility impairment occurs when pollutants emitted into the atmosphere scatter and absorb light, thereby creating haze. These pollutants can remain suspended in the atmosphere for long periods and be transported long distances, thereby contributing to regional-scale impacts on visibility in Class I areas. Air quality models offer the opportunity to better understand how these impacts occur, by identiffing the sources that contribute to haze, and helping to select the most effective emissions reduction strategies to improve visibility. Wyoming Class I area visibility is affected by a combination of local and regional transport of air pollutants. Chapter 4 provided information on emission inventories, as the first step in identifring significant source categories causing visibility impairment. This chapter describes the results of (l) source apportionment analysis showing the in-state and regional contribution of haze sources, for the 207o worst and best visibility days, and (2) regional modeling projections of visibility conditions by the 2018 benchmark or milestone, based on application of the regional haze strategies outlined in this Plan, including BART. The source apportionment information and regional modeling results are the basis for the demonstration of reasonable progress for the 20oZ worst and best days, described in Chapter 7. Additional explanation of the source apportionment and modeling methodology can be found in the WRAP Air Quality Modeling methods document in Chapter 5 of the Wyoming TSD. 5.1.1 Source Apportionment Analysis - PSAT and WEP In order to determine the significant sources contributing to haze in Wyoming's Class I areas, the Division has relied upon source apportionment analysis techniques provided by the WRAP for this RegionalHaze Plan. This information can be found on the WRAP TSS website at htto://vista.cira.colostate.edu/TSS/Results/HazePlannine.aspx. There were two techniques used for source apportionment of regional haze. One was the Particulate Matter Source Apportionment Technology (PSAT) tool, used for the attribution of sulfate and nitrate sources only. The second was the Weighted Emissions Potential (WEP) tool, used for attribution of sources of sulfate, nitrate, organic carbon, elemental carbon, fine PM, and coarse PM. PSAT uses the CAMx air quality modelto show nitrate-sulfate-ammonia chemistry and applies this chemistry to a system of tracers or "tags" to track the chemical transformations, transport and removal of NO* and SOz. Emission scenarios used for the PSAT analyses were the Plan02c and Basel Sb. PSAT results were not regenerated for use in this document using the more recently updated Plan02d and PRPl8b emissions scenarios because of the time and resources that would have been required. No significant changes were anticipated with additional modeling runs. These two pollutants are important because they tend to originate from anthropogenic (human-caused) sources. Therefore, the results from this analysis can be useful in determining contributing sources that may be controllable, both in-state and in neighboring states. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 60 of 206 50 WEP is a screening tool that helps to identifu source regions that have the potential to contribute to haze formation at specific Class I areas. Unlike PSAT, this method does not account for chemistry or deposition. The WEP combines emissions inventories, wind patterns, and residence time of air mass over each area where emissions occur, to estimate the percent contribution of different pollutants. Like PSAT, the WEP tool compares baseline (2000-2004) to 2018, to show the improvement expected by the 2018 URP, for sulfate, nitrate, organic carbon, elemental carbon, fine PM, and coarse PM. As described in Section 5.2 below, the Division believes PSAT is a better toolthan WEP for identiffing the contribution of sulfates and nitrates to Wyoming Class I areas, because PSAT does account for chemistry and deposition, and is better at identifying regional contribution of sources from outside the WRAP region (see discussion in 5.2 below). For these reasons, the Division has relied upon the PSAT results as the primary source apportionment tool for sulfates and nitrates, and thus the better tool for identifying anthropogenic sources. The results from the WEP analysis were used by the Division primarily to identiff the pollutants more commonly associated with non-anthropogenic (natural) sources. Even though these sources are mostly uncontrollable, it is still important to consider their relative contribution to haze. The review of PSAT results in this chapter (discussed in 5.2 below) focus on the contribution on sulfates and nitrates, while the WEP results focus on the contribution of organic carbon, elemental carbon, fine PM, and coarse PM. 5.1.2 Regional Haze Modeling - CMAQ The primary tool utilized by the Division for modeling regional haze improvements by 2018, and for determining Wyoming's Reasonable Progress Goals (see Chapter 7), was the Community Multi-Scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model. The CMAQ model was used to estimate 2018 visibility conditions in Wyoming and all Westem Class I areas, based on application of the regional haze strategies presented in this Plan, including assumed controls on BART sources. A more in depth description of the CMAQ model used to project 2018 visibility conditions can be found in the WRAP Air Quality Modeling document referenced in Chapter 5 of the Wyoming TSD. The modeling was conducted by the RegionalModeling Center (RMC) at the University of California Riverside, under the oversight of the WRAP Modeling Forum. Results can be found on the WRAP TSS website at http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tss/Results/FlazePlanning.aspx. The CMAQ model was designed as a "one atmosphere" modeling system to encompass modeling of multiple pollutants and issues, including ozone, PM, visibility, and air toxics. This is in contrast to many earlier air quality models that focused on single pollutants. CMAQ takes into account emissions, advection and dispersion, photochemical transformation, aerosol thermodynamics and phase transfer, aqueous chemistry, and wet and dry deposition of trace species. The model requires inputs of three-dimensional gridded wind, temperature, humidity, cloud/precipitation, and boundary layer parameters. The current version of CMAQ can only utilize output fields from the MM5 meteorological model. MM5 is a state-of-the-science Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page61 of206 5l atmosphere model that has proven useful for air quality applications and has been used extensively in past local, state, regional, and national modeling efforts. MM5 has undergone extensive peer review, with all of its components continually undergoing development and scrutiny by the modeling community. The RMC developed air quality modeling inputs including annual meteorology and emissions inventories for a2002 actual emissions base case, a planning case to represent the 2000-2004 regionalhaze baseline period using averages for key emissions categories, and a2018 base case of projected emissions determined using factors known at the end of 2005. All emission inventories were prepared for CMAQ using the Sparse Matrix Operator Kemel Emissions (SMOKE) modeling system. Each of these inventories underwent a number of revisions throughout the development process to arrive at the final versions used in CMAQ modeling. The development of each of these emission scenarios is documented under the emissions inventory sections of the TSS. The 2018 visibility projections were made using the Plan02d and PRPI8b CMAQ 36-km modeling results. Projections were made using relative response factors (RRFs) for each species: l) RRF: [2018 Modeled Species/Baseline Modeled Species] 2) Projected Species Mass: Baseline IMPROVE Species x RRF 3) Projected Species Extinction: Conversion via IMPROVE Algorithm of Projected Species Mass There are three RRF calculation methods. These methods differ in how the days for the calculation are selected. The Specific Days (EPA) method is the EPA default method, and single species' RRFs are calculated across observed (IMPROVE) worst or best days in the base model year. The Specific Days (EPA) method was the method utilized by the State of Wyoming. The second method is the Quarterly Weighted method, whereby four quarterly species' RRFs are calculated from the 20oZ worst or best days in each quarter, in spite of how those days compare to the overall annual worst and best days. The third method is the Monthly Weighted method, whereby twelve monthly species' RRF are calculated from the 20%obest or worst days in each month, regardless of how those days compare to the overall annual worst and best days. More information on how to use the visibility tool in connection with RRF factors can be found at http://vista.cira.colostate.edr:/tss/help/GettingStarted.aspx#MP, and specific information regarding how RRF factors are calculated can be found in Section 6.4 of the 2007 EPA document "Guidance on the Use of Models and Other Analyses for Demonstrating Attainment of Air Quality Goals for Ozone, PM2 5, and Regional Haze" at http://www.epa.gov/scramO0l/guidance/guide/final-03-pm-rh-guidance.pdf. This EPA guidance was followed for setting up the "EPA Specific Days" option and other inputs on the WRAP TSS Visibility Projections Tool, so all Class I areas in the WRAP region used their IMPROVE site-specific monitoring and modeling data to derive the RRFs. Generally, emissions inputs were prepared by individual states and tribes for point, area, and most dust emissions categories. The following WRAP Forums were relied upon to summarize this data and provide it to the RMC: Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 62 of 206 52 Point Source emissions were obtained from projects commissioned by the Stationary Sources Joint Forum and the Emissions Forum. Area Source emissions were obtained from projects commissioned by the Stationary Sources Joint Forum and the Emissions Forum. Mobile Source emissions were from projects commissioned by the Emissions Forum. Fire (natural and anthropogenic) emissions were from projects commissioned by the Fire Emissions Joint Forum. Ammonia. Dust. and Biogenic emissions were from projects commissioned by the Dust Emissions Joint Forum and the Modeling Forum. Emissions from Pacific offshore shipping were from a project conducted by the RMC. r Other emissions from North America were from projects commissioned by the Emissions Forum and the Modeling Forum. The Mexico emissions are from 1999, and were held constant for 2018. Canada emissions are from 2000 and were held constant for 201 8. Boundary conditions reaching North America from the rest of the world were from a project commissioned by the VISTAS Regional Planning Organization, on behalf ofthe five regional planning organizations working on regional haze. The results from the CMAQ regional modeling analysis are discussed later in this section. Because some WRAP states are still going through the diflicult case-by-case BART determinations for each EGU, the WRAP was not able to model all of the emission reductions from BART and State long-term strategies in the most recent modeling effort. Therefore, the modeling results and all graphics associated with the modeling results do not include BART and long-term strategy reductions proposed in this SIP or any other WRAP SIPs that were not available at the time WRAP modeled. The WRAP was only able to include enforceable reductions that were on the books at the time of the last model run. 5.2 Major Source Categories Contributing to Haze in Wyoming Figures in this section show profiles of the relative contribution of in-state vs. out-of-state sources contributing to emissions in Wyoming's Class I areas, for the 207o worst and best days, for the baseline (2000-2004) and future year (2018) scenarios, using the PSAT and WEP techniques. The Wyoming Class I areas are grouped by general location (based on representative IMPROVE monitoring sites). As previously described, there are several differences between the PSAT and WEP techniques. PSAT focuses on sulfate and nitrate contribution only, taking into account chemistry and deposition. PSAT also estimates the contribution from all regions--the WRAP states, CENRAP states2, Canada, Mexico, Pacific offshore (shipping), and "outside the domain" (global transport). The WEP does not address sulfate and nitrate chemistry and deposition, and while it I See WRAP TSS website under "Resources", "Emissions", and "Offshore Emissions" for summary, or go to http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/docs/wrap/emissions/OffshoreEmissions.doc. ' CENRAP is a regional planning organization similar to the WRAP that is comprised of Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas. Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, and Louisiana. * * * * * * * * Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 63 of 206 53 does estimate the contribution from Canada and Pacific offshore regions, it does not include other regional contribr,rtions. Based on these differences, the figures provided below focus on PSAT results for identiffing the contribution of sulfates and nitrates (the primary anthropogenic source pollutants) and WEP results for identifying the contribution of organic carbon, elemental carbon, fine PM, and coarse PM (commonly associated with non-anthropogenic sources). Sections 5.2. I through 5.2.4 below show 20% worst- and best-day PSAT profiles on the contribution of sulfate and nitrate at each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the Class I areas in Wyoming. The pie charts display relative regional contributions to total annual modeled sulfate and nitrate mass at the respective sites. The WRAP contribution is separated from the rest of the pie for easy identification. The remaining pie slices are outside the Western United States, for the regions described above. The PSAT bar charts below the pie charts display source region and source category contributions of sulfate and nitrate mass. There are five source categories listed-point, area, mobile, anthropogenic fires (controlled burning), and natural and biogenic sources (mostly wildfire and windblown dust). Estimated contributions outside the modeling domain (Outside Domain) are also shown, and include Mexico, Canada, and Pacific offshore emissions. Sections 5.2.5 through 5.2.12 present WEP profiles for organic carbon, elemental carbon, fine PM, and coarse PM, at Class I areas in Wyoming. Unlike the PSAT figures, the WEP figures are bar charts only and summarize weighted emissions by state and region for 12 source categories. These categories are windblown dust, fugitive dust, road dust, off-road mobile, on-road mobile, off-shore, WRAP area oil and gas, area, biogenic. natural fire, anthropogenic fire, and point. This analysis used more source categories than the PSAT analysis to account for the additional pollutant types, and the more natural origins contributing to these pollutants, including dust and fire sources. 5.2.1 PSAT Regional Contribution to Sulfate on20o/o Worst Days Figures 5.2.1-l through 5.2.1-3 in this section illustrate the state and regional contribution of sulfate to the 20o/o worst days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on PSAT profiles for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. The figures below consist of a pie chart that shows the estimated contribution of the major regions (WRAP states, Pacific Offshore, CENRAP, Eastern U.S., Canada, Mexico, and Outside Domain (global)). The bar chart is the WRAP source region portion, depicting Wyoming and other western states. Note that in all the figures in this section, the majority of sulfate emissions originate outside the WRAP region. However, the nitrate contribution, discussed in Sections 5.2.3 and 5.2.4, is much higher within the WRAP region. The WRAP contribution is about one-third of the total, with the exception of the Bridger site" where the contribution is more than one-half. The largest contributor is outside the domain, or "global". Among the other regions (not including the Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 64 of 206 54 k W 201 I Sulfate 0.5 ug/m3 M 2002 WRAP region), Canada, followed by Pacific Offshore and Mexico are the next sizable contributors. Also indicated in these figures, the largest contributor of sulfate is generally from point sources. The variation in sulfate contribution is based on the location of the Class I area monitoring site in the State. For example, the contribution of sulfate from Canada and Montana are the highest in the northernmost Class I area monitoring site, the North Absaroka Wilderness area. Similarly, the sulfate contribution from Mexico is highest in the southernmost Class I area monitoring site, the Bridger Wilderness area. In terms of comparison of 2002 and 2018, it can be seen that the WRAP portion of the pie chart remains nearly unchanged, with only slight increases in 201 8. The source category that accounts for this slight increase is primarily point. Figure 5.2.1-1. PSAT Sulfate Contribution at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness on20oh Worst Visibi Regional Contributions to Sulfate 0n Worst 2070 Visibility Days Class lAreas - Grand Telon NP, WY. Red R0ck Latrcs NWRW, MT: Teton W V\ ': Yellowstone NP, WY IA,RAP S Pacific Olfshore CENRAP EaEtern U.S. Wcanada Mexho ' lOrlside Dornain Sulfate 0.5 ug/m3 IJUEAF TS - III/,E/EIIE WRAP Source Regionffype Contributions ts Sulfate on Worst 20% Visibilrty Days Class I Areas - Grand Teton NP, WY: Red Rock Lakss NWRW, MT:Teton W, V\rY:Yellow$tone NP, WY l I I II rOdside Domail Ipon Enrea lNotite I*ttno. rires [ - Nat. Fires I Bio, or E 0.06 j a ^^^ --rEI?EIll',l =}EEiiii6064Nfl (WRA P T S S - http ://v i sta. c i ra.co lostate. edu/tss/) 0.24 r-.. l+_ I Ii- l L_ i ^ 0.21o $0,' E o.rs E E 0.12 o $ o.os u3eoo6FH= UURAP TES. IMBIM fl 35$E3 HfiHHE zo60xEoHoA;Eiz.;Pr!e;EEfiHHRE Exhibit No.4 Case No.lPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 65 of 206 55 It is interesting to note that for the 20o/o worst days at Yellowstone, the point source sulfate contribution is approximately the same from Idaho as from Wyoming, most likely due to the proximity of industrial sources and wind direction. There is also a noticeable contribution from point sources in Canada, and a sizeable contribution from Mexico. Area and mobile sources from Wyoming and Idaho are much less. Close to half of the sulfate comes from the area outside the domain. Figure 5.2.1-2. PSAT Sulfate Contribution at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20o/o Worst Visibilitv Da Regional Contributions to Sulfate 0n Worst 20% Visibilily Days Class lAreas - N0rth Ahsaroka W, WY:WashaHe W, WY l ,llAP ffi Pacitic Olfshore I ]CENRAP Eastern U.S $! canada Mexbo llolside Don 201 I Sulfate 0.5 ug/mS \A/RAP Source Region/Type Contributions to on Worst 20olo Visibility Days . lorisiJe Dfln8il IP,,irt €lrea INorin! lnttro. rires Il t&t. r-nes a Eio. 'j k-."-E*L."&Kalry%ffi.,Y 2002 .-.. Sulfate 0.5 ug/mS WBAP T5S.III2EJZIIE M i u8rfiI'ooi@I FFSEl3jffs6:loqry_ I . (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. cira.colostate.edu/tss/) It should be noted that for the20Yo worst days at North Absaroka, point source sulfate contribution is higher from Canada and Montana than from Wyoming, most likely due to the proximity of industrial sources and wind direction. There is a much larger sulfate contribution from Canada at the North Absaroka monitoring site than the other two monitoring sites (Yellowstone and Bridger). Area and mobile sources are very minimal contributors to sulfate in Wyoming. Approximately one half of the sulfate source is generated from the area outside the domain. o.27 ^ 0.24 $ o.zr3 E o.r8 .e E o.tsEI o.rztroo 0,090 E o.m =an 0.03 0.00 BsRB5gEsEHHHfHHE:EE?+E=fiEE ooof.U o- Exhibit No. 4 Case No.lPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 66 of 206 Class I Areas - Norfi Absaroka W, WY: Washakie W, WY 56 Figure 5.2.1-3.PSAT Sulfate Contribution at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on 20oh Worst Visibility Days Regional Contrihutions to Sulfate on Worst 20% Visibility Days Class lAreas - BridgerW, tlV'r': FiEpatrickW, WY V\rIlAP ElPacific Offshore CENRAP Eastern U.s. fficanada Mexico Odside Dona[r uunAp Tss - illaEIlB 201 I Sulfate 0.6 ug/m3 WRAP Source Region/Type Contributions t0 Sulfate 0n Worst 20% Visibility Days Class I Areas - BridgerW. WY: Fi@ahickW, t/VY r.,OdslleDmain Ip.*,t [*ea IN*le !nrho.rires ; lltt. Fres & Bio For the 20Yo worst days at the Bridger monitoring site, overall sulfate levels are slightly higher compared to the Yellowstone and North Absaroka monitoring sites. The majority of the sulfate originates from point sources in Wyoming, Idaho, and Utah. There are also considerable contributions from Canada and Mexico. Area and mobile sources, again, contribute a small amount of sulfate in Wyoming. Approximately one-third of the sulfate is generated from the area outside the domain. 5.2.2 PSAT Regional Contribution to Sulfate on20oh Best Days Figures 5.2.2-l through 5.2.2-3 in this section illustrate the state and regionalcontribution of sulfate to the 20%o best days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on PSAT profiles for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. The figures below consist of a pie chart that shows the estimated contribution of the major regions (WRAP states, Pacific Offshore, CENRAP, Eastern U.S., Canada, Mexico, and Outside Domain .--fi #H 2Ag2 Sulfate 0.6 ug/m3 zE P B 5 g i 3:'ffHEEEEEH Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 67 of 206 57 (global)). The bar chart is the WRAP source region portion, depicting Wyoming and other western states. Note that in all the figures in this section, the majority of sulfate emissions originate outside the WRAP region. However, the nitrate contribution. discussed in Sections 5.2.3 and 5.2.4, is much higher within the WRAP region. The WRAP contribution is about one-third to just less than one-half of the total. The largest contributor is outside the domain, or "global". Among the other regions (not including the WRAP region), Canada, followed by Pacific Offshore are the next sizable contributors. Also indicated in these figures, the largest contributor of sulfate is generally from point sources. The variation in sulfate contribution is based on the location of the Class I area monitoring site in the State. For example, the contribution of sultate from Canada is the highest in the northernmost Class I area monitoring site, the North Absaroka Wilderness area. Similarly, the sulfate contribution from Idaho is highest in the southernmost Class I area monitoring site, the Bridger Wi lderness area. In terms of comparison of 2002 and 201 8, it can be seen that the WRAP portion of the pie chart increases only slightly in 2018. The source category that accounts for this slight increase is primarily point. Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 68 of 206 58 Figure 5.2.2-1. PSAT Sulfate Contribution at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20%o Best Visibility Days Regional Conffibutions to Sulfate on Best 20% Visibility Days Class lAreas - Grand Teton NP, Urd'Y: Red Rock Lakes NWRW, MT:Teton W V\rY: Yellowston e NP, WY WRAP W Pacific Offshore l CENR,S.F Eastern U.S. 6Canada Mexico I iOutside Dornain 201 I Sulfate 0.4 ug/m3 Region/Type Contibutions to Sulfate on Best 20% Visibility Class I Areas - Grand Telon NP, WY: Red Rock Lakes IWYRW, MT:Tston W, WY: Yellowstone NP, WY I ,ottsibDsarri1 Ip.irt ffiara Itvtotite IArttro- rfes L,i Na. rres e go. M 2AE2 Sulfate 0.4 ug/m3 T TFAPTSS-| $t@ I € o.ra 6 f o.rs o p o.rz o E o.*(J fi o.* Jo o.o3 0m B6off trua*prce -uafu (WRAP T S S - http ://vi sta.c ira.col ostate. edu/tss/) It is interesting to note that for the 20Yobest days at Yellowstone, the point source sulfate contribution is approximately four times greater fiom ldaho and more than twice as much from Canada as from Wyoming, most likely due to the proximity of industrial sources and wind direction. There are also noticeable contributions from point sources in Utah, Montana, Nevada. Washington and Oregon. The largest area and mobile source contribution comes from ldaho, followed by Pacific Offshore and Canada. About half of the sulfate comes from the area outside the domain. e =6 E 9 rt 5 3:;EiiiidiiHERREFE t6ooiioo o o -fu ,rll;Et'+B5gi3HfiHEH l-oo o Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 69 of 206 Figure 5.2.2-2. PSAT Sulfate Contribution at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Regional Contrihutions to Sulfate 0n Best 20% Visibility Days Class lAreas - North Absaroka W, V{Y:Washakie W, tArY IAfiAP 6Pacitic Olfshorc i.CENRAF Eastern U.S. &canada '. lMexico f-loutsiue ooman Sulfate 0.5 ug/mSWEAPISS-UD@g l Wilderness Areas on 20oh Best Visibil Class lAreas - North Absaroka W. VYY: Washakis W. WY 0.2r1 ^o.xo $0.,'u E o.rs E f, o.rr o ,E o.* 0 E o.ffi Jo o.B 0.00 lp** Elnr"o luotiu !ndro. rircs f iiht. Fres I Bio. T Eo-!-.,HiAf TSS- Mo4ltD a oN zz<Uoq = E E I3t s E 3 5 $ E 3tlEEEHHHfiEfiHHEE o0 o =U (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.cira.co lostate.edu/tss/) It should be noted that for the 20o/o best days at North Absaroka, point source sulfate contribution is several times higher from Canada and ldaho than from Wyoming, most likely due to the proximity of industrial sources and wind direction. There is a much larger sulfate contribution from Canada at the North Absaroka monitoring site than the other two monitoring sites (Yellowstone and Bridger). Area and mobile sources are very minimal contributors to sulfate in Wyoming. Approximately one half of the sulfate source is generated from the area outside the domain. Exhibit No.4 Case No.lPC-E-'13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 70 of 206 WRAP Source Regionffype Confibutions to Sulfate on Best 20% Visibility Days 60 Figure 5.2.2-3. PSAT Sulfate Contribution at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20oh Best Visibility Days Regional Contributions t0 Sulfate on Best 20% Visibility Days Class lArees - BridgerW, VW' FiEpatrickW, VUf \h E$I 2002 Sulfate 0.3 ug/m3 WNAF TS. "II4III9 t- o.re-] oN UXRAf, TES. lm <uoa (WRAP TSS - http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tssO For the 20o/obest days at the Bridger monitoring site, overall sulfate levels are approximately the same as Yellowstone and slightly lower than the North Absaroka monitoring site. The majority of the sulfate originates from point sources in ldaho, with much smaller amounts from Wyoming, Utah, and Nevada, respectively. Area and mobile sources, again, contribute a small amount of sulfate in Wyoming. Well over one-half of the sulfate is generated from the area outside the domain. 5.2.3 PSAT Regional Contribution to Nitrate on 20oh Worst Days Figures 5.2.3-l through 5.2.3-3 in this section illustrate the state and regional contribution of nitrate to the 20Yoworst days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on PSAT profiles for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. In all the figures in this section, most of the nitrate originates from within the WRAP region, as opposed to the sulfate contribution, which is mostly derived from outside the WRAP. The WRAP contribution ranges from approximately one-half to nearly three-quarters of the total. u BsgEs ffHHHH edE.=:!9.4REHff oo?d WRAP M Pacific Olfshore CENRAP Eastern U.S. @canada Mexico iOulside Domain 20'tB Sulfate 0.4 ug/m3 VI/RAP Source Region/Type ConBibutians to Sulfate on Best 20% Visibility Days Class I Areas - Bridger I'Y, WY: Fitrpalrick W. yfY 0.15 0.12 0.09 0.(E 0.m 0.00 I itlo1fiY l.Etd lo to1L'lo]G tflUt : orrskle Domail lpcint ffiArea lNooite !nr*no. rires [-] iH. rres I Bio {;U o -, --l+r+-,.? .?+?qTo6@@o o60 6l Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 71 of 206 Other sizeable contributions of nitrate are generated from outside the domain, and to a much lesser extent, Canada and Pacific offshore. Contributions from other regions are negligible. These figures indicate that overall, the majority of nitrate stems from mobile sources. In all but one of the Class I area monitors (Bridger), contributions from other states and Canada are much larger than contributions from inside Wyoming. In terms of comparison of 2002 and 2018, these figures indicate that the WRAP portion of the pie chart has a significant decrease in nitrate by 2018. Most of this decrease can be attributed to the numerous Federal and state "on-the-books" requirements for mobile sources (see Chapter 8, Long-Term Strategy). Figure 5.2.3-1. PSAT Nitrate Contribution at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 207o Worst Visibilitv Da WRAP Source Regionffype Contributions to Nitrate on Worst 20% Visibility Days Class I Areas - Grand Tetgn NP, WY: Red R0ck Lakes NVVRW, MT: Teton W, WY: Yellowstone NP, WY0.09 1--rl o.tlB -, . ., OdsidB Domah Ipoirt El,qrea INooite l*ttro.ries INat. Flres & Bio. 0.01 0.m T?i+iqHHHTHHHsff5HHHHHu3 PE8R zz<uUO tqrFAr lss - lu48 m (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. c ira. co lostate.ed u/tss/) For the 20oZ worst days at Yellowstone, significant nitrate contributions can be seen from ldaho, Washington, and to a lesser extent, Oregon, Utah and Wyoming. Mobile sources make up the majority of the overall contributions. However, the projected 201 8 area source contributions for Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 72 of 206 Regional Contributions to Nitrate on Worst 20% Visibility Days Class lAreas - Grand Teton NP, WY: Red Rock Lakes NWRVY, MT:Teton W WY: Yellowstone NP, lfifY VI,EAP Seacitic Offshoe I . ;CENE,AP Eastern U.S. @canada , Mexico i.-joutsioe oomain 62 Idaho and Wyoming exceed the mobile source contribution. In most cases, nitrate contributions are projected to decline significantly by 2018, with the exception of a small increase within Wyoming. Figure 5.2.3-2. PSAT Nitrate Contribution at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on 20oh Worst Visibi Regional Contributions t0 Nitrate on Worst 20% Visibility Days Class lAreas - North Ahsaroka W, WY:Washakie W, VUf V\,RAP M Paeific offshore CENRAF Eastern U.S. Ecanada"' Mexico i---iOtfiside Dornah 2802 Nitrate 0.3 ug/m3 T,IIFAPTSS-TOEEEIIB ] 201 I Nitrate 0.3 ug/m3 WRAP Source Region/Type Contributions to Nitrate 0n Worst 20% Visibility Days class lAreas - Noffi Abqaroka W,IrY:-UE!!q!lB_ryJ[ I l w 7l-F I ! - r - -r _--r!J----EF-.t-r-+ r t E q.. - T I ! I iqqEETH:s!?++Tq??+ E-H * ; f * E fi ff fi fi H H E E H E (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. cira. co lostate. edu/tssA For the 207o worst days, significant nitrate contributions for North Absaroka can be seen from Idaho, Montana, and Canada. The extent of contribution from Montana and Canada is greater at this monitoring site due to their close proximity. The extent of Idaho's contribution is less at this site compared to the Yellowstone site, also due to proximity. Smaller contributions of nitrate originate from Wyoming, Washington, Utah, and Oregon. Mobile sources appear to be the dominant contributor overall; however, point sources in Montana are a large factor. -l-l . tolsirleDonah IPr*r,t ffinrea Itrtouite !*ttro.nires [ ]ruat.FresaBio. >oEo ogHa Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 73 of 206 63 Figure 5.2.3-3. PSAT Nitrate Contribution at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on 20oh Worst Visibil Regional Contributions to Nitrate 0n Worst 20% Visibility Days Class I Areas - BridgerW, WY: FiEpatrickW, WY IEcm-EH,T@ffi;e#r-- 2002 _, Nitrate 0.2 ug/m3 WRAP Source Region/Type Contributions to Nitrate on Worst 28% Visibilily Days 1/\,RAP @ Pacific Offshore . CENRAP Eastan U.S. & canada trilexho :"-lOr,riside Domain 0.04 5 o.oef oEE 0.020oEoU0t 0.01 z 201 I Nitrate 0.1 ug/m3 _.-l ooq??{? !!!99oRRFHF EEE}5 Sg.;;;;R EHFF (WRAP TSS - http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tssA Unlike Yellowstone and North Absaroka, for the 20oZ worst days the largest nitrate contribution for Bridger originates within Wyoming. Point sources in 2002 and projected area and point sources in 2018 appear to be the largest contributors within Wyoming. The next highest contribution comes from Utah, followed by ldaho. It is interesting to note that contributions from California (mostly mobile source) in2002 were greater than contributions from Canada or Montana. 5.2.4 PSAT Regional Contribution to Nitrate on2Ooh Best Days Figures 5.2.4-l through 5.2.4-3 in this section illustrate the state and regional contribution of nitrate to the 20%o best days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on PSAT profiles for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. In allthe figures in this section, most of the nitrate originates from within the WRAP region, as opposed to the sulfate contribution, which is mostly derived from outside the WRAP. The i T I I I-T-_- I II I !noint [*ea INooite IArdhro. Fires f .l Nat. Fircs s Bio E Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 74 of 206 64 WRAP contribution ranges from approximately one-half to nearly three-quarters of the total. Other sizeable contributions of nitrate are generated from outside the domain, and to a much lesser extent, Canada and Pacific offshore. Contributions from other regions are negligible. These figures indicate that overall, the majority of nitrate stems from mobile sources. Point and area sources are the next largest categories ofnitrate contribution, especially at the Bridger monitoring site, where Wyoming's area and point source contribution is the most sizeable. In all but one of the Class I area monitors (Bridger), contributions from other states and Canada are much larger than contributions from inside Wyoming. In terms of comparison of 2002 and 2018, these figures indicate that the WRAP portion of the pie chart has a significant decrease in nitrate by 2018. Most of this decrease can be attributed to the numerous Federal and state "on-the-books" requirements for mobile sources (see Chapter 8, Long-Term Strategy). Figure 5.2.4-1. PSAT Nitrate Contribution at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20olo Best Visibili Regional Contributions to Nitrate on Best 20% Visibility Days Class lAreas - Orand Teton NP, WY: Fled Rock Lakes NWRW, MT: Teton W V\nf: Yellowstone NP, WY TAIRAP @ Pacific Offshore CENRAP Eastern U.S. ffi!Canada . Mexico I rOr,rtside Domain J002 Nitrate 0.7 ug/m3 UUEAF TS. "2II,2IIB 2018 Nitrate 0.5 ug/m3 WRAP Source Region/Type Contributions to Nitrate on Best 20% Visibility Days Odside Domdn Ipoirt elArea !tntouib IArttno. Fires r- tld. Fires I Bio. (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.c ira.colostate. edu/tss/) 5$E3HffiH Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 75 of 206 E " '' IE o.1o ;-,EIIo.oai-ci()0.06 i rto*- I=;:i.-[fi 65 T I For the 20o/obest days at Yellowstone, significant nitrate contributions can be seen from ldaho, Utah, California and Washington, and to a lesser extent, Canada, Montana, Oregon and Wyoming. Mobile sources make up the majority of the overallcontributions. Nitrate contributions are projected to decline significantly by 201 8. Figure 5.2.4-2.PSAT Nitrate Contribution at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on 20oh Best Visibi Regional Contributions to Nitrate on Best 20% Visibility Days Class lAreas - North Absaroka W, tAff: Washaltie W, lAff IARAP M Pacific Olfshore CENRAP Eas:tern U.S. ElCanaua Mexico Or,rtside Domain 2002 Nitrate 0.6 ug/m3 WEAP TSE - a,Al4[tS WRAP Source Regiory'Type Contributions to Nkate on Best 2tl% Visibilrty class lAreas - Norlh Absaroka w, WY:Washakie W, WY Odside Ddnah lp.int ilarea Iuooite !nilmo. Fires L l i.*at. Fres & Bio. (WRAP TS S - http ://vi sta. c ira.co lostate.edu/tss/) For the 20o/obest days, significant nitrate contributions for North Absaroka can be seen from Idaho, Canada, Utah, California and Montana. The extent of contribution from these states and Canada is due in part to wind direction and proximity. The extent of ldaho's contribution is less at this site compared to the Yellowstone site, due mostly to proximity. Smaller contributions of nitrate originate from Washington, Nevada, Oregon, Wyoming and North Dakota. Mobile sources appear to be the dominant contributor overall; however, point sources in Utah and California and area sources in Idaho and Canada are a large factor. 201 B Nitrate 0.5 ug/m3 0.18 E ortg c.9 0.12EtI 0.0scot o.oe6tsz o.B 0.m =z E E B 5 g E 3 99EPPq9!egRRRRRFFER Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 76 of 206 66 Figure 5.2.4-3. PSAT Nitrate Contribution at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20o/o Best Visibility Davs Regional Contributions to Nitrate on Best 20% Visibility Days Class lAreas - BridgerW, VW: FiEpatrickW, Vtn' 2002 Nitrate 0.6 ug/m3 WRAP TSA- artrrilg 201 I Nitrate 0.5 ug/mS WRAP ffi Pacific offshore CENRAP Eas'tern U.S. ffi canada Mexico iOutside Domain Odsile Dom€lil lPolrt flnrea !uourc !nrlho. rires [- I Hat. fles a Aio WRAP Source Region/Type Contributions t0 Nitrate on Best 20% Visibilrty Days Class I Areas - Bridger W, WY: Fitspatrick W, VfY 0.m I Eafl MRAPTS.lm ___it F i -,r.--, t!--.* - -Ilr!q+ r3 E q H: g F ? 14 q T ?0 o ::;;siq"l;;;*EEFHR=REEEHFF 5#i3H*rr (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. c i ra. co lostate. edu/tss/) For the 20Yobest days the largest nitrate contribution for Bridger originates within Utah. Mobile and point sources appear to be the largest contributors within Utah. The next highest contribution comes from Idaho, followed by Wyoming and California. It is interesting to note that contributions from California (mostly mobile source) were greater than contributions from Canada or Montana. 5.2.5 WEP Potential Contribution to OC on 20oh Worst Days Figures 5.2.5-l through 5.2.5-3 in this section represent the contribution of organic carbon to the 20Yoworst days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on the WEP profile for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. In general, the figures below primarily reflect the contribution of fire sources - mostly natural fire (wildfire) and to a lesser degree, anthropogenic or controlled burning (forestry, agricultural, and residential burning). Area source organic carbon is from woodstoves and other urban related Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 77 o'f 2OG 67 sources. Area source contributions of organic carbon are the lowest at the Yellowstone Class I area monitoring site due to its location, which is not near any urban areas. When comparing 2002 and,2018, the figures show a slight reduction in future years, mainly due to a projected drop in anthropogenic fires. Most other sources remain fairly constant. The WRAP TSS website states that the Primary Organic Aerosol parameter represents organic carbon compounds emitted directly as particulates, but not secondary organics which condense from a gaseous state after being emitted. Figure 5.2.5-1. WEP Potential Contribution to OC at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 207o Worst Visibili (WRAP TS S - http ://vista. cira. colostate.edu/tssA For the 20oZ worst visibility days at Yellowstone, the most sizeable organic carbon contribution is from Wyoming natural fre sources, and to a minimal extent, anthropogenic fire followed by area sources. A much smaller contribution from these sources in ldaho can be seen. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 78 of 206 68 Figure 5.2.5-2. WEP Potential Contribution to OC at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on 20oh Worst Visibility Days- - potentiaf Sources and A,€,as of Pnmary OrSan'c Aerosof gmissions on Worst ZOyo Vrsrnrtrty Oays 2000-04 Baseline & 201 I PRPb Class lAreas - Norlh Absaroka W. yYY: WashakiE W. WY 44.m 40.m 36.m 32.m 28.m ! a+.m X zo.oo 16.00 t2.m E.m 4.m 0.m Iuootst i:lFudiv" oust Inmaousl ,Oir.Rmdi/t*ile lon-Road luobie ffilott-strorc IT RAP Arca o8G [fr]*cc , lefraeric l&lwd Fie IAr{tro Rre Ipoit (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. cira. co I ostate. edu/tss/) For the 20Yo worst visibility days at North Absaroka, the most sizeable organic carbon contribution is from Wyoming natural fire sources, and to a minimal extent, anthropogenic fire followed by area sources. However, a large contribution from these sources also comes from Idaho, followed by Montana, and to a lesser extent, Oregon. Figure 5.2.5-3. WEP Potential Contribution to OC at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Iua oust D Fuqitive oust lRord Dusi 'Oll-Road l,lotib Iorrtoaxoolc [--'] ott-strore Ivrnap arer oac ffilarm I eiogEnic Ndurd Fire Ier*ro Rre !roir For the 20oh worst visibility days at Bridger, the most sizeable organic carbon contribution is from Wyoming natural fire sources, and to a minimal extent, area sources, followed by r838383t863t38t8$8E8t8E8B838Et38Et3t HqHqEEHqHqHqEqHqEq HqHEFq+qqIBEEqEqEE ,r*i *eeare0gHddE[** d di*irddppdaii*** * 3838BLBLo*6* s*EI Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 79 of 206 anthropogenic fire. Idaho, Oregon, Utah and California are the next largest contributors, respectively. 5.2.6 WEP Potential Contribution to OC on 20o/o Best Days Figures 5.2.6-l through 5.2.6-3 in this section represent the contribution of organic carbon to the 20%obest days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on the WEP profile for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. In general, the figures below primarily reflect the contribution of fire sources - mostly natural fire (wildfire) and to a lesser degree, anthropogenic or controlled burning (forestry, agricultural, and residential burning). Area source organic carbon is from woodstoves and other urban related sources. Area source contributions of organic carbon are the lowest at the Yellowstone Class I area monitoring site due to its location, which is not near any urban areas. When comparing 2002 and 2018, the figures show a slight reduction in future years, mainly due to a projected drop in anthropogenic fires. Most other sources remain fairly constant. The WRAP TSS website states that the Primary Organic Aerosol parameter represents organic carbon compounds emitted directly as particulates, but not secondary organics which condense from a gaseous state after being emitted. Figure 5.2.6-1. WEP Potential Contribution to OC at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20oh Best Visibil Potential Sources and lreas of Primary Organic Aerosol Emissions on Best 20% Visibility Days Class I Arees - Grand Telon NP. WY: Red Rock LakBS60.0o 70.fi) 60.m 50.00t $ +o.ooo i1*t1 Iwe oust il FugftivE Dud Iamo oust '' ott*motrtooru Ionnoao uoOitc ffitrott-smreI\ rtAP Area o8o Baro I iBogpnic Nrlural Fire I,qmroRre Ipoit 30.m 20.00 t0.(I) 0.m WUPN- 666 EEH Ii3t^@ t E o t3838t8383888 88t6383888t838t836 EHEHEEEHEEEEEHEHEEE*EEEHEEEHEEE eEEetpnrdq{** de* **i*dddd811 jf ii (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.cira.co lostate.edu/tss/) For the 20Yo best visibility days at Yellowstone, the most sizeable organic carbon contribution is from Wyoming natural fire sources, and to a minimal extent, anthropogenic fire followed by area sources. A much smaller contribution from these sources in Idaho can be seen. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 80 of 206 2000-04 Baselins & 201 S PRPb MT: Teton W. WY:Yellowstone NP. WY I 70 Iuao,st LlFugiivc Ous leoao oust Oll-Rocd Mobih Ionaoao uooite ffiIot-srrorc IURAPlraoao &l*aa llaogdic l,ldurd Fla Iennro Rre Ipon (WRAP TS S - http ://vista.c ira.co lostate.edu/tss/) For the 20Yobest visibility days at North Absaroka, the most sizeable organic carbon contribution is from Wyoming natural fire sources, and to a minimal extent, anthropogenic fire followed by area sources. However, a contribution from these sources nearly equal in size comes from Idaho. Oregon, Montana and California, respectively, are the next largest contributors. Wilderness Areas on20oh Best Visibi 3838383e38t88t36t8t8t83838383838t838 AEA*HEHEHEHEHEHEHE EEHEEEEEHEEEHEEENE o*,*#**=f eeed gpaaf U** iit*tididddail**ii €q€4€ EEEEfroE{== ooIN c HE o9Qdu a@EE oo 3838383qIqqqIq ssSEEts o@Er N oo6( N J_ r i. i ----f--+- I ---+ l+til l ++ l Iue06r nFuglivs oud lnuc oua , Oltffoad irbtil" lonloaa uoola fjott-gmrc Irrynap ara oao E,cro,AoqBric tldurd Fi6 Iart*o rirc Ipc*r la-iwurm-ure (WRAP TSS - http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tss0 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 81 of206 Figure 5.2.6-3. WEP Potential Contribution to OC at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick 71 For the 20ohbest visibility days at Bridger, the most sizeable organic carbon contribution is from Wyoming natural fire sources, and to a minimal extent, area and anthropogenic fire sources. Idaho, Oregon, California and Utah are the next largest contributors, respectively. 5.2.7 WEP Potential Contribution to EC on 20oh Worst Days Figures 5-2.7-l through 5.2.7-3 in this section represent the contribution of elemental carbon to the 20%o worst days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on the WEP profile for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. In general, the figures below primarily reflect the contribution of fire sources - mostly natural fire (wildfire) and to a much lesser degree, off-road mobile and anthropogenic or controlled burning (forestry, agricultural, and residential burning). Off-road mobile elemental carbon contributions are minimal to none at Yellowstone compared to North Absaroka and Bridger. When comparing 2002 and 2018, the figures show a reduction in future years, mainly due to a projected drop in off-road mobile and anthropogenic fire emissions. Most other sources remain fairly constant. Figure 5.2.7-1. WEP Potential Contribution to EC at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20%o Worst Visibilitv Da Potential Sources and Areas of Elemental Carbon Emissions on Worst 209o Visibility D4ys 200&04 Bassline & 201 I PRPb Class I Areas - Grand Teton NP. WY: Red Rock Lakes llllRw. MT:Teton W. WY:Yellor /Stone NP. VUY70.(I} 50.ff) 50.00 1 40.006 Ea 3o.oo 20.m luaoust mFugfiw Dusl IRoad Dusti Olt-nma NoOin Ionnoaa uoone ffiott-strrc fYneParcaoeo &lrca''Bogaie lt{durd Fic IarttroRrc Ipoint 10m 0.oo rErOrArnr4carElrtEtEtDtEo66666660006060666 0606606666000@O600 HEAEHEAEHEHEHEHEHEHE$EEEHEEEHEHEEEHE **,*,;# J * g g g e e * * s a; f U * * ird**, * d d d d d I = 1f s g E (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.cira.colostate. edu/tss/) For the 20oZ worst visibility days at Yellowstone, the most sizeable elemental carbon contribution is from Wyoming natural fire sources, and to a minimal extent, anthropogenic fire. A much smaller contribution from these sources, except for off-road mobile, can be seen in Idaho. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-'l3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 82 of 206 72 Figure 5.2.7-2. WEP Potential Contribution to EC at North Absaroka Wilderness and 2000-04 BaselinE & 201 I PRPh Washakie Wilderness Areas on20Yo Worst Visibi Potential Sources and Areas of Elemental Carbon Emissions on Worst 20% Visibility Days - Norlh Abseroka W. wY:40.m 36.00 I +I Iuaust Drugtva Erusl Inuaoust Olr-RmdMd'lc lOnnoaO UoUle &ffiot-grorcI\ ,RAp Arca oec BEarca .. j Boo|dic N*rdFrs IAdrroFira Ipoi* 28Itr 24.00tI rono d t 6.ct) t2.m 8.m 4.8 0.m 't5.(Il 5.U' L .--.-t --1- --t'. _..-- f -,tl I t (WRAP TSS - http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tssA At North Absaroka for the 20olo worst visibility days, natural fire sources from Wyoming is the largest contributor to elemental carbon, followed by anthropogenic fire and off-road mobile, and to a much lesser extent, area sources and on-road mobile. Idaho contributes a significant amount of these sources, followed by Montana and to a lesser extent, Oregon. California, Washington and Utah, respectively, also show some measurable contributions from these sources. Figure 5.2.7-3. WEP Potential Contribution to EC at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on 20oh Worst Visibi arbon Emissions on Worst 20% Visibility Dq/s ttEtt83838Et3t3ttt3€88tt3t38r83838r8 fi qHEHq$qHqFqEqHEEq +qEqBq$qHqHqHqHEFq "m:.r#itf =ggssgSaaf f ** dd**itddsddBi*f *** 35m 30.q, 25.U' 20.00 Ir tdl' I$aqrsi {flFuglivc Du$ Iamooust Olr-Road iihbil€ IO$Road Mobit] ffiott-slae IIA,RAP Are{ O8G ff3arta-lBoqenb lldural Fic Iamrorirc !roit (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.c ira.co lostate.edu/tss/) Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 83 of 206 200tr04 BaselinE & ?01 I PRPb Class lArBas - Eridqer W, VYY: FitspalrickW. nrY I I 73 For the 20ohworst visibility days at Bridger, Wyoming is the largest contributor. Natural fire is the largest component of contribution followed by off-road mobile, anthropogenic fire, area and on-road mobile, respectively. Idaho, Utah, Oregon and California, respectively, have the next sizeable contributions from these sources at this site. 5.2.8 WEP Potential Contribution to EC on 20oh Best Days Figures 5.2.8-l through 5.2.8-3 in this section represent the contribution of elemental carbon to the 20oh best days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 201 8, based on the WEP profile for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. In general, the figures below primarily reflect the contribution of fire sources - mostly natural fire (wildfire) and to a much lesser degree, off-road mobile and anthropogenic or controlled burning (forestry, agricultural, and residential burning). Off-road mobile elemental carbon contributions are smaller at Yellowstone compared to North Absaroka and Bridger. When comparing 2002 and 2018, the figures show a reduction in future years, mainly due to a projected drop in off-road mobile and anthropogenic fire emissions. Most other sources remain fairly constant. Figure 5.2.8-1. WEP Potential Contribution to EC at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 207o Best Visibi Visibility Days 70.s, 60.tu 50.m E 40.00o bd 3o.m 20.fi) 200&04 Basellns & 201 B PRPb Class I Areas - Grand Tston NP, WY. REd Rock Lakes NlryRW MT: Tebn w, WY: Yellowston8 NP I I I '']-_ --+- 1 l I ai it- ,1 -..".1.__- l i .-,-.--,-..+...... l Iuaoust ffifuglive orr* IRmdtust il otnoaa mouB lon-noau lrtoottc ffior-$oic lunap arca oao &E sraa l. iaossi" t{durd F?e l*rttno Rre Ipolnt 10.00 0.m r83838383838383888 38363888383838388t H EEq HEH qHq HEHqHq Bq EqiiqHq HqHq EqEqq q fr E ***.,#r*= g gEdB gPa;f r** Ad**=tidpdds lif *i I (WRAP TSS - http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tss0 For the 20Yobest visibility days at Yellowstone, the most sizeable elemental carbon contribution is from Wyoming natural fire sources, and to a minimal extent, anthropogenic fire followed by off-road mobile. A smaller contribution from these sources, except for off-road mobile, can be seen in ldaho. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-'|3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 84 of 206 74 Figure 5.2.8-2. WEP Potential Contribution to EC at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20oh Best Visibili8 Days At North Absaroka for the 20Yobest visibility days, natural fire sources from Wyoming, Idaho, Oregon and Montana are the largest contributors to elemental carbon. The next largest source is off-road mobile, mainly originating in Idaho and Utah. Anthropogenic fire, area sources and on- road mobile contribute to a much smaller degree in comparison to natural fire and off-road mobile. Idaho contributes the most significant amount of elemental carbon overall, followed by Wyoming, Oregon, Montana, Utah and Califomia, respectively. Figure 5.2.8-3. WEP Potential Contribution to EC at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on20o/o Best Visibili Potential Sources and Areas of 200$04 Basslins & 20'18 PRPb Class lAreas - BridqerW,lryY: FitrpatickVT, WY IttOOust il Fugftivr Dust IRoad Dust lOr-Road }loblla Ion-noao ltouie ffilot-strora ItanaP arca oeo Eara , rHogcric Ldural Fii6 Ianuro nra leoint tD?otrioiDtoooo606060606 EEEEEEHEHEET s E e e aaEs f * I E Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 85 of 206 !v,ao,,rst mFugitiv. Dust lRoad Dust '-loll-Rord Mokilc lol8o*lloole ffB ott-srrore lrrnre lrca oec Eerca ,,.ieogic !,ldurd Flc Iamnro rira Ipont --Potential Sources and Areas of Elernental Carbon E @ 200G0{ Baseline & 201 I PRPb $m 30.m 27.00 24.00 2t.00 t8.m 15.(x) t2m 9m 6.m 3.00 0.m 38S8r838383t883836 3tt8t838t8t8E8E83t HEHEENATHEHEHEHEHEFEEEHEEEEETEHEHEHE ,*,*.,#t,i f =ef eIg*aaf g** ii**i*ddddd8iii*i* (WRAP TS S - http ://vista.c ira.co I ostate.edu/tss/) 44.(x) {0.m 36.m 32.0r1 28.@ E zc.me8 zo.oo i6.m t2.m Lm 4.00 0.00 75 For the 20Vobest visibility days at Bridger, Wyoming is the largest contributor. Natural fire is the largest component of contribution followed by off-road mobile, anthropogenic fire, area and on-road mobile, respectively. Idaho, Utah, Oregon and California, respectively, have the next sizeable contributions from these sources at this site. 5.2.9 WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM on 207o Worst Days Figures 5.2.9-l through 5.2.9-3 in this section illustrate the contribution of fine PM to the 20Yo worst days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and,20l8, based on the WEP profile for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. In general, the figures below represent contributions which consist predominantly of dust sources (mining, construction, unpaved roads and agriculture), with smaller contributions from area sources (woodstoves, etc.) and point sources, followed by natural fire and anthropogenic fire. Note that the largest contribution from natural fire in all three figures originates in Wyoming, with the most sizeable contribution affecting the Yellowstone monitoring site. When comparing 2002 and 2018, these figures indicate a consistent increase in most cases in fine PM emissions, primarily from dust sources. However, at the Bridger site, a small increase in point source contribution is noted. Figure 5.2.9-1. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20%o Worst on 200F04 BasEllnB & 201 I PRPb Clas6 I Arsas - OrandTeton NP. tr$t': Red Rock Lekss V\rY: YsllolYstone NP. WY fim 77fi 24.S 21.00 I rs.$ b ts.mc 12.m 9.00 8ff 3.(n 0.m Iraa* $lrr4ruaoua lrcaoua L-lomocoxoolr lo*noaauoofc 5gfl-shorg funnrercoeo Iaraa ilaqen* l-l n*ure rrc IrrtroFlrc Ipon r888t838383838 HEHEHEHEHEHEHE,tdddddal=*r*r (WRAP TS S - http ://vi sta.cira.co lostate. edu/tssA The 20Yo worst visibility days at Yellowstone are dominated by fine PM contributions from dust sources in Idaho and Montana. Idaho also contributes a sizeable amount of fine PM area source emissions. Wyoming's fine PM contributions are slightly higher than Montana's, but originate mainly from natural fire sources, followed by dust sources. Less significant PM contributions from dust sources are noted in Washington, Oregon, Canada, and Utah, respectively. Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 86 of 206 76 Figure 5.2.9-2. WEP Potential Contributions to Fine PM at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on20oh Worst Visibili--Potential S-ources and Areas of Fine PM Emtsstons on Wor$ 20 ltty Days- 200tL04 BasBlinE & 201 g PRPb Class lArEas - Norlh Absaroka W, YYY: Washakie 150.m +- 40.m f :o.oo Iot5t*i 20.m t l - *-- i----i-Il,l-1ir-f il*-li+ +lilr T_i I -r- l--t*;i,L] l -f .,-t-_ I ! i -'-1- i_-__t_I l l ll i L Iureur* fl Fuqliv? Dust Inoao ous loffadd ltotitc lornoaa uoule Mlott-srme ltanlpercaoeo i$aro i j aoganac . l|dwdFiB !erttrorre lpr,rr Itaeoust n Fugilv? Dud Inoau orst ollfodlibtib lon*oaa uoarc fifl ott-snore IwnaP erca oag &M araa i aogeric Murd Frc IenrroR. Ipoit (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.cira.colostate. edu/tssl) Dust sources in Montana are the overwhelming fine PM contributor for the 20o/o worst visibility days at North Absaroka, mainly due to the proximity of the monitoring site. The next largest contributor is ldaho, followed closely by Wyoming and Canada. The second largest source in Wyoming is natural fire, and in ldaho and Montana it is area sources. Dust sources in Washington and Oregon contribute to fine PM at North Absaroka, but to a much lesser degree. Figure 5.2.9-3. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at Bridger Wilderness and Wilderness Areas on20oh Worst Visibilitv Da Sources and Areas of Fine PM Emissions on Worst 20% Visibility Days 200&0{ Baseline & 201 I PRPb WY 33.00 -+ 383r386t8836388888 38S8S8E8E8EtEtE63t EEHEHEBEEEEEEEfl EEE HEHEHEHEf; EBEHEHEEE .*,*.,# J ttd f eeBpgaann** ii**i*iddddai=**tl o@o6 R*HBfgtl <EtDtonEto66066608O6 lFf-l-lFl-HftEftRftHEEE ZZESePaSs5 HEEEdi** 30.00 27.@ 24m -[-- 21m 18.00 15.00 12.00 9.00 6.00 3.m 0.m r33338388833388t3€ HqHqHqEqFqqqqqEqqq **,:._*** * * g g r g e I g g ; d E E * = (WneP-rss --ht6//,irt".t."6i". . i -t l Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 87 of 206 77 For the 20olo worst visibility days at Bridger, Wyoming is the dominant contributor to fine PM. Contributions are split fairly evenly between dust sources, point sources and natural fire, with dust sources being slightly more predominant. Idaho has quite sizeable contributions consisting of dust sources, followed by area sources. Utah is the next largest contributor with dust sources followed by point sources making up the majority of the components. Montana, Oregon, Washington, Califomia and Canada, respectively, all have sizeable contributions of fine PM as well. 5.2.10 WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM on 207o Best Days Figures 5.2.10-l through 5.2.10-3 in this section illustrate the contribution of fine PM to the20Yo best days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on the WEP profile for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. In general, the figures below represent contributions which consist predominantly of dust sources (mining, construction, unpaved roads and agriculture), with smaller contributions from area sources (woodstoves, etc.) and point sources, followed by natural fire and anthropogenic fire. Note that the largest contribution from natural fire in all three figures originates in Wyoming, with the most sizeable contribution affecting the Yellowstone monitoring site. When comparing 2002 and 2018, these figures indicate a consistent increase in most cases in fine PM emissions, primarily from dust sources. However, in all three figures, a small increase in point source contribution is noted. Figure 5.2.10-1. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 20ohBest and Areas on Visibility 200&0{ BasslinB & 20'10 PRPb $m g).m 27fr 24.00 2Iltr ! ra.m & rs.o l2.m 9.ul 8.m 3ID 0.qt Class I AreeE - Orand Teton NP. tryY: Red Rock Lakes WY:YBllorchns NP.WY (WRAP TS S - http ://v ista.cira.colostate.edu/tss/) The20o/o best visibility days at Yellowstone are dominated by fine PM contributions from dust sources in ldaho, Wyoming and Montana. Idaho also contributes a sizeable amount of fine PM area source emissions. Wyoming's fine PM contributions originate mainly from natural fire Iuao,nt ErqgfiYs Du!* lnoaua]st fJot-noaomuc !onto*xorc Eot-sruc lrrnrf *ca OeO !rratlsore l-.lneurl nra IAt*.sfira IPoil lD*ECAlreDraca*D*E!oQoErtDioaoloqa06660d666686060606000@ HEEEEEEEHEEEHEEEHEEEBEEEHEBEHEHEEE ,i ,i f esred*si;nf ** id**t***ddda****** oo EE -:{ co H Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 88 of 206 78 sources, followed by dust sources. Significant PM contributions from dust sources are also noted in Utah and Oregon, and to a lesser degree in California, Canada, Washinglon and Nevada. Figure 5.2.10-2. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on 20oh Best V ;nd Areafif FinePlvl Erniisions on 2000-04 Bas8linE & 201 I PRPb 33.00 30.m 2?.W 24.m 2tm S ra.mo & rs.m 12.(I) 9_(I) 6.m 3.m 0.m Class lAreas - North Absaroka W, WY: Washakis W, WY (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. c ira. colostate. edu/tss/) Dust sources in Montana and Idaho are the overwhelming fine PM contributors for the 20% best visibility days at North Absaroka. The next largest contributor is Wyoming, followed closely by Utah, Oregon, Canada, Washington and California, respectively. The second largest source in Wyoming is natural fire, and in Montana and Idaho it is area sources. Figure 5.2.10-3. WEP Potential Contribution to Fine PM at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on 20%o Best Visibility Days Potential Sources and Areas of Fine PM Emissions on Best 20% Visibilrty Days $.m 1-----p- -}--- t']" Ii -]--* -l+lr Iuoulst U Fudivs Dusl Iaoao oust i torfodtiditc Ion*oaxofia ffilot-grorc IunaParcaoeo &*"c L-j aoccric i NawdF a ler*ro fra Ipon Iuoa:st nFu(liv! tlst lnaoous Or-Ro.d l,lotil" lorr*oanooie []ot-storc lr,rnee*aoeo Haro. Eogcric tlalwal FiB IedroFira Ipoit 3838r8r8383ttt8888 3t3ttt3t38rt3t38r8 BE*EBgEPHEgEHETEHE TEEEBEHE$EHEHEHETE "*,*,# 3 i f = 6 E d d g H a a n r * * id**z i d d d d d B i i * * * i 363t3638Et3Et838E838Sttt3t3t36Et3t3t qqEqFEFqEEEqEqFq+qHqEqEEEq$qEqEq{q8q **,*-,nTj s s 3 3 E E e e H H " o E E = = 22ta B i I5I I I I5 s 1f ! I 12.m, i j 6.m.i--l 3.m 0.m 5r{ Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 89 of 206 200U-04 BaselinB & 201 I PRPb (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. c i ra. co lostate. edu/tss/) 79 For the 20%obest visibility days at Bridger, Idaho is the dominant contributor to fine PM, followed by Wyoming and Utah. Dust sources are predominant, followed by natural fire, point, and area sources. Montana, Oregon, California, Nevada and Washington, respectively, are the next largest contributors. Dust sources, followed by area and point sources, make up the majority of the contribution components from these states. 5.2.11 WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM on2Ooh Worst Days Figures 5.2.1l-l through 5.2.11-3 in this section illustrate the contribution of coarse PM to the 20oZ worst days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on WEP profiles for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. The figures below show that the profile for coarse PM is dominated by road dust, windblown dust, and to a lesser extent, fugitive dust. These dust sources are generated mainly from Montana and ldaho, with the exception of the Bridger site, where most of the coarse PM emissions are generated in Wyoming. These dust sources are a combination of natural and human activity, such as construction, mining, unpaved and paved roads, and agriculture. There is some contribution from natural fire sources, mainly from Wyoming and Idaho, as well as contributions from point sources in Wyoming, Utah and Montana. When comparing 2002 and 2018, most figures show increases in fugitive dust and road dust mainly due to population growth. Windblown dust remains constant in all figures. Figure 5.2.11-1. WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area on 207o Worst Visib PoEntial Sources and Areas of Coarse 0n 200+04 BassllnB & 201 I PRPb 33.m $l.m 27fr 2{.m 21fr f, ram & rsm 12.m sgl E.m 3.m 0.m fmors Sru$woua lnoao,rst Dortaoouoola IOrraoxmolc 3ot-strorr ltanae araa oeo ll,crci nsogfiic {"tttatura*a lrmroRrs Ipon Et3tttE8E838t838t8 38t8r83ff 88388888t8 EEREHEEEHEEEHENNHE EEHEHEEEEEHEAEHEEN "*,*,# i 6 B d d r e O g * d d E [ * * d ii*;* d i d d d a i = * * i i (WRAP TS S - http ://v ista.cira. colostate.edu/tss/) For the 2004 worst visibility days at Yellowstone, the most sizeable coarse PM contributions are from dust sources originating in Montana and Idaho. Wyoming is the third largest contributor of coarse PM, with slightly less than 50% coming from natural fire sources and the remainder Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 90 of 206 Clae6 I Araas - orand Teton NP, Wt Rsd Rock LakBB I'llrdRW, MT: Teton W, WY: Yall0','rstonB NP. !4ff 80 mainly from dust sources. To a much lesser extent, Utah, Oregon, Washington and Canada also contribute coarse PM to the Yellowstone monitoring site. Figure 5.2.11-2. WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM at North Absaroka Wilderness and Washakie Wilderness Areas on 20oh Worst Visibility Days Potential Sources and Areas of Coaiie-plvt =m-isslona on W-orst 20.rVrsrOitiV b-iys 2000-04 Baseline & 201 I PRPb 70.00 I ' l l 60.00 'i 50.00.i l r 40.ff +- - I som ] Norlh Absaroka W, V\tY: Washakie W, WY (WRAP TS S - http : //v i sta.c i ra. co I ostate. edu/tss/) Dust sources from Montana, by far, are the largest contributor to coarse PM on the 20olo worst visibility days at North Absaroka. Idaho and Wyoming are the next largest contributors. followed by Canada. Figure 5.2.11-3. WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM at Bridger Wilderness and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on 20"h Worst Visibility Days ffidArc 2000-04 Baseline & 201 I PRPb Class lAreas - BridgerW, WY: FiEpalrick W, WY-i-T 30.0 r '---1"-Iuoous ] Fugtivc Dusl lnmo ous Oll-Road Mobib I on-aoao t*looita l . Olf-StBe IvwAP ArBa o8G lll *ea Biogeric Ndural Fire Iammorire !roirt 24 00 Iwa ousr L-l rugitlve Oust I Road Dust Oll-Road [4otil3 Ion.Road Mobile rLlort-stue I\ 4iAP Area oaG fi*ea Oog6rrc l,lalural Fie Ian*orire Ipon qFqH ESsH fI 60 EH 9e0 --]l, ,,t,f--J+F- ,{DnD*D{Oo6060606l-l-l-l-vcvcvdvaHEHTHEHEtrtt E 5 a I dxdrHEHE Egll HEEE aa55 *Dtr*no60606l-l-l-!d9c9dHTHEHE {E==ee E'18.00 b ls.ff)e ca=o+a<oco30t! ?otocotctoionDconoo606000@o@o@o60@o@o@o@o@o@6@o@ooo@o@ EEHEHEE&HqHIEIEqCE CCEEEIEBHIHIEEHIEI E E = = pe=tzzEE R I I a 5 5 g * i I Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 91 of 206 - 'r-I, I -tlll- 6060 EHEE sEEg EI For the 20% worst visibility days at Bridger, Wyoming is the largest contributor of coarse PM, followed closely by Idaho, Utah and Montana, respectively. Point and natural fire sources from Wyoming comprise approximately one-third of the coarse PM contribution, while dust sources make up roughly two-thirds of the contribution. Oregon, Canada, California, Washington and Nevada contribute coarse PM to a much lesser extent at this site. 5.2.12 WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM on 20o/o Best Days Figures 5.2.12-l through 5.2.12-3 in this section illustrate the contribution of coarse PM to the Z|%obest days in Wyoming Class I areas for 2002 and 2018, based on WEP profiles for each IMPROVE monitoring site representing the nearest Class I areas. The figures below show that the profile for coarse PM is dominated by road dust, windblown dust, and to a lesser extent, fugitive dust. These dust sources are generated mainly from Montana and ldaho, with the exception of the Bridger site, where most of the coarse PM emissions are generated in ldaho, Wyoming and Utah, respectively. Montana generates approximately one-third of the amount of dust compared to Idaho at the Bridger monitoring site. These dust sources are a combination of natural and human activity, such as construction, mining, unpaved and paved roads, and agriculture. There is some contribution from natural fire sources, mainly from Wyoming and Idaho, as well as smaller contributions from point sources in Utah, Wyoming, and Montana. When comparing 2002 and 2018, most figures show increases in fugitive dust and road dust mainly due to population growth. Windblown dust remains constant in all figures. Figure 5.2,12-1. WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM at Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP. and Teton Wilderness Area on 20oh Best Visibili Areas 200tI0{ Basellne & 2U18 PRPb Class I ArBas - Orand Telon NP. wY: Red Rock Leke6 lIT: Tebn W, WY: Yellowsbne NP. WY srn cr.@ 27fi 21.fi 2l.m 1=I rB.@tq is.oo r2.(I, 9m B.m 3.m 0.m Iuaor:sl &ruilvcoua Inoao Arst [*]ott-aoao trt*tc Igr*o*mua Mlott-strorc lunmarcaoac Iarua naoccdc [-l n*urat rr" I*trorira!p*r +alE-DialtcDt!tDt! rrlaeoEolDtota-E?E o6666666 Eq{qEqEqHqHqEEHqHq FqEqEEFEEqFEFqqqqI o**.,#,i,i d g E Ed d g g i a r r + * ii*z* * r sd d d I = 1 * f * r (WRAP TS S - http ://vi sta.cira.colostate. edu/tssA For the 20o/obest visibility days at Yellowstone, the most sizeable coarse PM contributions are from dust sources originating in ldaho and Montana. Wyoming is the third largest contributor of Exhibit No. 4 Case No.lPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 92 of 206 82 coars€ PM, with approximately 5V/o eoming from natural fire sources and50o/o from dust sources. Utatr is the fourth largest conhibutor, with the majority attributable to dust sources, and a smaller amount coming from point sources. To a much lesser extent, Oregon, Canadq Nwada" Califomia and Washington also conhibute coamo PM to the Yellowstone monitoring site. Figure 5.2.12-2. WEP Potential Confilbutlon to Coarse PM at North Abserokr Wilderness and lYashakie \Yildernecs Arees on 207o Best (WRAP TSS - Dust sources from Montana and Idaho are the largest confiibutors to ooarse PM on the 20% best visibility days at North Absaroka. Wyoming and Utah are the next largest eontributors, followed by Oregon, Canada and Washington. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 93 of 206 83 Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas on 20oh Best VisibiliW Days Potential Sources and Areas of Coarse PM Emissions on Eest 2tl7o Msibility Days 200tr04 Bassline & 201 I PRPb YYY: FEoamckv{. WY g).m 27II' 24.00 a.m ! rem 8 rs.m t2.m 9.m 8.aL 3.m 0.00 Iuau"rs &ruCivcu,lrt lnoca ouc i-lotnoaoluis lon.aoauoolc &ot.srrorc lv'nretcaoeo Eerca llaopio l -ituura rira Ier*rorr. Ipon t8 Hg EtG:-mri' 3ttt36tt38383838 tSEtEtttStttstSSrt EEHEHEHEEEEEHEHE HEEEHETEHEHEHEHEHE ,i ,gf geadglia;f f ** di**i*didsdBi=***ixut Figure 5.2.12-3. WEP Potential Contribution to Coarse PM at Bridger Wilderness and (WRAP TS S - htto ://vi sta. c ira. co lostate.edu/tss/) For the 20o/obest visibility days at Bridger, Idaho is the largest contributor of coarse PM, followed by Wyoming, Utah and Montana, respectively. Dust sources are the dominant component of the coarse PM emissions at the Bridger site, followed by natural fire and point sources. 5.3 CMAQ 2018 Projected Visibility Conditions This section summarizes the regional haze improvements projected using the CMAQ model for Wyoming's Class I areas. The CMAQ model was used to estimate 2018 visibility conditions in Wyoming and allWestern Class I areas, based on emission inputs described in Section 5.1.2 of this chapter. The Division relied upon the results of the CMAQ modeling in establishing the Reasonable Progress Goals described in Chapter 7. These visibility projections were calculated from modeled results by multiplying a species- specific relative response factor (RRF) with the baseline monitored result, and then converting to extinction and deciview. The RRF is defined as the ratio of future-to-current modeled mass. Chapter 7 details how the 2018 projected visibility conditions were used for setting Reasonable Progress Goals. Analysis of the WRAP 2018 preliminary reasonable progress modeling runs are contained in an August2009 ENVIRON Memorandum in Chapter 5 of the Wyoming TSD. Table 5.3-l shows the 2018 visibility projections for the 207o worst and best days, compared to the 2018 Uniform Rate of Progress (URP) for Wyoming Class I areas (grouped by IMPROVE monitoring site). These 2018 projections are shown in deciview, and in the percent of the URP achieved by 2018 for the 20%o worst days (first shaded column). Also indicated is whether the 20%obest days for 2018 are projected to be under the 2000-2004 baseline (second shaded column). Exhibit No. 4 Case No.lPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 94 of 206 84 This table shows that Wyoming's Class I areas are slightly less than half way to meeting the 20 I 8 URP for the 20% worst days. Section 5.3. I provides a breakdown by pollutant species to analyze the cause of this. For the 20%obest days, all Class I areas are under the baseline, and thus show no visibility degradation by 2018. Table 5.3-1. CMAQ Modeling Results for 20o/o Worst Days and 20ohBest Days for Class I Areas (WRAP TS S - http ://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tssA 5.3.1 CMAQ Modeling Breakdown by Pollutant for 207o Worst Days As indicated by the 2018 visibility projections using CMAQ modeling, none of the Class I areas meet the URP goal for 2018 for the 207o worst days. In order to determine the cause, it is necessary to break down these results to identifu individual pollutants. The information provided below shows the contribution of each pollutant in extinction (Mm-l) to the total extinction level for each Class I area. As pointed out earlier in this chapter, it is important to note whether the pollutants affecting the modeling are anthropogenic, such as sulfates or nitrates, or the other pollutants that are mostly natural in origin (OC, EC, and PM). This assessment is important in the determination of reasonable progress, described in Chapter 7. Figures 5.3.1-l through 5.3.1-3 provide a breakdown of individual pollutant contribution (in extinction) by showing the glide slope of each pollutant in each Class I area, from the baseline to 2018, and beyond, for the 20%o worst days. Below each figure is a table that shows the 2018 projections for each pollutant, and whether the projection is under the 2018 URP goal, and the percent improvement toward the 2018 URP goal. The results of this breakdown by pollutant shows that at all Class I areas, nitrate exceeds or meets the 201 8 URP goal. For sulfate, while none of the Class I areas meet the 2018 URP goal, the improvement is as high a.s 82Yo at the Bridger Class I area. Conversely, these tables and figures show that organic carbon is the highest contributor to extinction, and projections for 2018 show very little improvement. Much of the organic carbon can be attributed to fire, of which the majority is wildfire, and thus non-anthropogenic in origin. For fine soil there is no progress toward the 2018 URP goal because the projected 201 8 values are higher than or equal to baseline conditions. Chapter 7 provides further discussion related to Reasonable Progress Goal demonstration. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 95 of 206 2018 URP Goal Yellowstone National Park Grand Teton National Park Teton Wilderness North Absaroka Wilderness Washakie Wilderness 85 Figure 5.3.1-1. Glide Slope by Pollutant on20o/o Worst Days for Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP, and Teton Wilderness Area 2018 PRPI Bb Visibility Conditions 0n Worst 20% Visibility Days - EPA Specific Days Class I Areas - Grand Telon NP, WY: Red Rock Lekes llWRW, MT: Teton W, trVY: Yellowstone NP, WY d2s {.iO3Eihctbn- So4Edhcto,l *oiilc Edirrrin +ECExii16'tim + Clt Exthotidl +Sofl E:dirction {' Scasd ExtiEtim ra,00r0r4BdrAvarag. ..-,... lgt... a,mmrE-xl@, (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. cira.co lostate.edu/tssA Table 5.3.1-1. Pollutant Breakdown on20o/o Worst Days for Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP. and Teton Wilderness Area *No progress towards URP goal because projected 2018 values are higher than or equal to baseline conditions. (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.c ira. co lostate. edu/tss/) I'lI 120 100 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 96 of 206 2000-04 Baseline (Mm-1) 2018 URP Goal (Mm-1) 2018 Projected Visibitity (Mm-1) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm-1) 2018 Under URP Goal? oh of URP Goal Sulfate 4.3 3.4 3.7 0.8 No 670h Nitrate 1.8 1.5 1.4 0.6 Yes >100o/o Organic Carbon 13.5 rr.0 12.9 4.6 No 24o/o Elemental Carbon 2.5 2.0 2.2 0.4 No 600h Fine Soil 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 Yes None* Coarse Material 2.6 )1 2.6 3.0 Yes >1000h Sea Salt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Yes 1000h 86 Figure 5.3.1,-2. Glide Slope by Pollutant on20o/o Worst Days for North Absaroka and Washakie Wilderness Areas 2018 PRP'IBb Visibility Condtions on Worst 20% Visibility Days - EPA Specific Days 12.0 11I) 100 9I) 8.0 7.0 EeoI 5.0 10 30 2.0 t.0 0.0 Class lAreas - Nortl Absaroka w, WY: Washalde w, vYY , .1991 __ . ^mlilrE-titm (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.cira.co lostate.edu/tss/) Table 5.3.1-2. Pollutant Breakdown on20o/o Worst Days for North Absaroka and Washakie Wilderness Area *No progress towards URP goal because projected 2018 values are higher than or equal to baseline conditions. (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.cira.co I ostate.edu/tss/) t&* j._ - _I +NO3Enhciln SO'l Enhcdo.r *oMCE{irctim +EC Exti1clion *CIlExMion +SoiEffbn " ScasafiliElin r20m44 Basdnc ,Av6ragc o 2061NArdCdrfrims Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 97 of 206 2000-04 Baseline (Mm-1) 2018 URP Goal (Mm-1) 2018 Projected Visibility (Mm-1) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm-1) 2018 Under URP Goal? oh of URP Goal Sulfate 4.9 3.8 4.5 0.8 No 450 Nitrate 1.6 1.4 1.3 0.8 Yes >100o/o Organic Carbon 11.6 9.8 11.0 4.6 No 33,,h Elemental Carbon 1.9 1.5 1.6 0.4 No 750h Fine Soil 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 No None* Coarse Material 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.4 Yes >1000 Sea Salt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Yes t000 87 Wilderness Areas (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta.cira.co lostate. edu/tss/) Figure 5.3.1-3. Glide Slope by Pollutant on 20o/o Worst Days for Bridger and Fitzpatrick Projected 2018 PRPIBb Visibility Conditions on Worst 20% Visibility Days - EPA Specific Oays 11 .0 10.0 90 8.0 7t -60er s.o 10 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 = .l.t{O3 Erfidho r So'lB(trt0on +olicEdhclin *EcExtirdim + Ctl E &Etion *SotE{hdim/ SasdE{h(tfil r2!00{4 Basch;AErag6 .. 1Sn 2(mmrlsB-?itm' Table 5.3.1-3. Pollutant Breakdown on 20oh Worst Days for Bridger and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas *No progress towards URP goal because projected 2018 values are higher than or equal to baseline conditions. (WRAP TS S - http ://vi sta.c ira.co lostate.edu/tss/) Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 98 of 206 2000-04 Baseline (Mm-1) 2018 URP Goal (Mm-l) 2018 Projected Visibility (Mm-1) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm-1) 2018 Under URP Goal? "h of URP Goal Sulfate 5.0 3.9 4.1 0.8 No g20h Nitrate 1.4 1.3 1.2 0.8 Yes >100o/o Organic Carbon 10.6 9.0 10.3 4.6 No t90h Elemental Carbon 2.0 1.6 1.8 0.4 No 50o/o Fine Soil 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 No None* Coarse Material 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.7 Yes >1000h Sea Salt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Yes l00o/o 88 CHAPTER 6 BEST AVAILABLE RETROFIT TECHNOLOGY (BART) 6.1 Introduction One of the principal elements of Section l69,4 of the 1977 Clean Air Act Amendments addresses the installation of Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) for certain existing sources of pollution. The provision, l69A(b)(2), demonstrates Congress' intent to focus attention directly on pollution from a specific group of existing sources. The U.S. EPA's Regional Haze Rule requires certain emission sources that may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in downwind Class I areas to install BART (see 40 CFR 51.308(e); see also 64 Fed. Reg. 35714 et seq. (July l, 1999)). These requirements are intended to reduce emissions from certain large sources that, due to age, were exempted from other requirements of the Clean Air Act. BART requirements pertain to 26 specified major point source categories including power plants, cement kilns and industrial boilers. To be considered BART-eligible, sources from these categories must have the potential to emit 250 tons or more of haze forming pollution and must have commenced operation in the l5-year period prior to August 7, 1977. In addition to source-by-source command and control BART implementation. EPA has allowed for more flexible alternatives if they achieve greater progress toward the State's visibility goals than the standard BART approach. On July 1,1999, the EPA published regulations to address regionalhaze visibility impairment. The regulations required states to address BART requirements for regionalhaze visibility impairment, and allowed nine western states to develop plans that were based on the GCVTC recommendations for stationary SOz sources in lieu of BART. In 2000 the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) submitted an Annex to the GCVTC recommendations that provided more details regarding the regional SOu milestones and backstop trading program that had been recommended in the GCVTC Report, and included a demonstration that the milestones achieved greater reasonable progress than would have been achieved by the application of BART in the region. The Annex was approved by EPA in 2003, but this approval was later vacated by the DC Circuit Court of Appeals in 2005 due to problems with the methodology that was required in the regionalhaze rule for demonstrating greater reasonable progress than BART. ' On July 6,2005 EPA revised the Regional Haze Rule in response to the judicial challenges to the BART requirements. On October 13,2006 EPA published additional revisions to address alternatives to source-specific BART determinations. 3 Centerfor Energt and Economic Development v. EPA, February 18, 2005; Amertcan Corn Growers Association v. EPA,llay 24.2002. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 99 of 206 89 Five western states (Arizona. New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, and Wyoming) had submitted State Implementation Plans (SIPs) in 2003 under 40 CFR 51.309. Four of those states (Arizona, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming) have updated their SIPs to include new SO2 milestones that are based on more recent emission inventories as well as the revised BART requirements in the Regional Haze Rule. The fifth state, Oregon, is no longer participating in the program. Details on the altemative to the BART program are contained in the 309 SIP submittal to EPA under a separate action. 6.2 SOz: Regional SO2 Milestone and Backstop Trading Program Wyoming is a $309 state participating in the Regional SOz Milestone and Backstop Trading Program. $308(e)(2) provides states with the option to implement or require participation in an emissions trading program or other alternative measure rather than to require sources subject to BART to install, operate, and maintain additional control technology to meet an established emission limit on a continuous basis. However, the alternate program must achieve greater reasonable progress than would be accomplished by installing BART. A demonstration that the alternate program can achieve greater reasonable progress is prescribed by $308(e)(2)(i). Since the pollutant of concern is SOz, this demonstration has been performed under $309 as part of the State Implementation Plan. $309(dX4Xi) requires that the SOz milestones established under the Plan "...must be shown to provide for greater reasonable progress than would be achieved by application of BART pursuant to $51.308(e)(2)." Wyoming participated in creating a detailed report entitled Demonstration That the SOz Milestones Provide Greater Reasonable Progress Than BART covering SOz emissions from all states participating in the Regional SOz Milestone and Backstop Trading Program. The document was submitted to EPA in support of the $309 Wyoming RegionalHaze SIP in November of 2008. As part of the $309 program, participating states, including Wyoming, must submit an annual Regional Sulfur Dioxide Emissions and Milestone Report that compares actual emissions to pre- established milestones. Participating states have been filing these reports since 2003. Each year, states have been able to demonstrate that actual SO2 emissions are well below the milestones. The actual emissions and their respective milestones are shown below: Table 6.2-Sullur Dioxide Iimissions and Milestone Report S Year Reported SO2 Emissions (tons) 3-year Milestone Average (tons) 2003 330.679 447.383 2004 337.970 448.259 2005 304.591 446.903 2006 279.134 420.194 2007 273.663 420.637 ummary In addition to demonstrating successful SOz emission reductions, $309 states have also relied on visibility modeling conducted by the WRAP to demonstrate improvement at Class I areas. The Exhibit No. 4 Case No.lPC-E-'!3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 100 of206 90 Table 6.2-2.- Sulfate Extinction On Class I Area Monitor (Class I Arear Represented) 207o Worst VisibiHty Days (MonthlvAverase. Mm{) 20o/o Balsf Visibility Days Monthly Averaqe. Mm-r) 2018 I Base Case (Base 18b) 2018" Preliminary Reasonable Progress Case (PRP18a) 2019 I Base Case @ase 18b) 2018' Preliminary Reasonable Progress Case (PRP18a) Bridger, WY (Bridser WA and Fitzoatrick WA)5.2 4.3 1.6 1.3 North Absaroka, WY (North Absaroka WA and Washakie WA)4.8 4.5 l.l I.t Yellowstone, WY (Yellowstone NP. Grand Teton NP and Teton WA)+.-)3.9 1.6 1.4 Badlands. SD 17.8 16.0 3.5 3.r Wind Cave. SD r3.0 t2.1 2.7 2.5 Mount Zirkel, CO (Mt. Zirkel WA and Rawah WA)4.6 4.1 t.4 1.3 Rocky Mountain, CO 6.8 6.2 3 Gates of the Mountains. MT 5.3 5.1 0 0 UL Bend. MT 9.7 9.6 8 7 Craters of the Moon- ID 5.8 5.5 5 5 Sawtooth,ID 3.0 2.8 2 Canyonlands, UT (Canyonlands NP and Arches NP)5.4 4.8 2.1 1.9 CapitolReef, UT 5.7 5.4 1.9 1.8 complete modeling demonstration showing deciview values was included as part of the visibility improvement section of the $309 SIP, but the SO2 portion of the demonstration has been included as Table 6.2-2 to underscore the improvements associated with SOz reductions. Represents20l8BaseCasegrowthplusall establishedcontrolsasofDec.2004. NoBARTorSO2Milestoneassumptionsrvereincludedr Represents 2018 Preliminary Reasonable Progress groMh estimates and established SOz limis (including milestone levels established at the time of the model run). All Class I areas in the surrounding states show a projected visibility improvement for 2018 with respect to SOz on the worst days and no degradation on the best days. More discussion on the visibility improvement of the $309 program can be found in the Wyoming $309 Regional Haze SIP revision submitted to EPA in November 2008. Therefore, in accordance with $308(e)(2), Wyoming's $309 RegionalHaze SIP, and WAQSR Chapter 6, Section 9, sources will not be required to install BART controls to meet an SOz emission limit. Instead, sources will be required to participate in the Regional SO2 Milestone and Backstop Trading Program authorized under Chapter l4 of the WAQSR. The remainder of this section, therefore, focuses on how Wyoming has satisfied the BART requirements with respect to NO* and PM in EPA's Regional Haze Rule. Wyoming's review process is described and a list of BART-eligible sources is provided. A list of sources that are subject to BART is also provided, along with the requisite modeling analysis approach and justification. Wyoming made its BART determinations using the methodology in EPA's Guidelines for BART Determinations Under the Regional Haze Rule, 40 Fed. Reg. 39104 et seq. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 10'1 of 206 9l (July 6, 2005) (hereinafter "Appendix Y"), and the Wyoming Air Quality Standards and Regulations (WAQSR) Chapter 6, Permitting Requirements, Section 9, Best available retrofit technoloey (BART). EPA's Guidelines for BART Determinations and Chapter 6, Section 9 of the WAQSR can be found in Chapter 6 of the Wyoming TSD. 6.3 Overview of Wyoming's BART Regulation Wyoming's Environmental Quality Council approved a State-only BART regulation (Chapter 6, Permitting Requirements, Section 9, Best available retrofit technology (BART)) on October 10, 2006, that became effective in December 2006. The provisions of the regulation required BART-subject sources to submit an application, according to a schedule determined by the Air Quality Division, for a BART determination. Wyoming's BART Rule is based largely upon EPA's BART Rule and related Appendix Y. which includes procedures to be followed when making BART determinations for individual sources. States are only required to follow Appendix Y procedures for sources which are electric generating units (EGUs) with greater than 750 MW generating capacity. EPA's BART Rule has no specific requirements for conducting BART determinations for sources that are not electric generating plants with greater than 750 MW capacities. EPA encourages states to use its guidelines for all source categories, but states are not required to do so. 6.4 SIP BART Requirements From EPA's Regional Haze Rule The following sections address the SIP elements relative to BART contained in EPA's Regional Haze Rule. Section numbers refer to provisions in section 308(e), the BART provision of the Regional Haze Rule. 308(e)(l)(i) - A list of all BART-eligible sources within the State. The U.S. EPA regulations for best available retrofit technology (BART) are contained in 40 CFR part 5 l, Appendix Y, published July 6,2005 in the Federal Register, and provide the guidelines for BART determinations. Section II of Appendix Y discusses a three-step procedure for identifying BART-eligible sources. A source was BART-eligible if it l) belonged to one of the 26 listed categories,2) was "in existence" on AugustT,1977, but not "in operation" before August 7 , 1962, and 3) had the potential to emit greater than 250 tons per year of any single visibility impairing pollutant. If a facility met all three criteria mentioned, then a screening analysis was used to determine if it was "subject to BART", per Section III of Appendix Y. Using Appendix Y as a guideline, the State of Wyoming determined that there were fourteen (14) facilities with BART-eligible emission units. These facilities are listed below: PacifiCorp - Jim Bridger PacifiCorp - Naughton FMC - Granger FMC - Green River Basin Electric - Laramie River GeneralChemical P4 Production OCI Wyoming Dyno Nobel Sinclair - Casper Refinery Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page '102 of 206 92 PacifiCorp - Wyodak PacifiCorp - Dave Johnston Black Hills - Neil Simpson I Sinclair - Sinclair Refinery Not Subject to BART P4 Production OCI Wyoming Dyno Nobel Sinclair - Casper Refinery Black Hills - Neil Simpson I Sinclair - Sinclair Refinery The Division completed a BART screening analysis on the fourteen facilities to determine which facilities had a significant impact on visibility in Class I areas in Wyoming, South Dakota, and Colorado. As specified in the Division's BART Air Modeling Protocol dated March 2006 (see Chapter 6 of the Wyoming TSD), a source was deemed to produce a significant impact to visibility on a Class I area if the source had a modeled impact to visibility value greater than 0.5 deciview (dv) to determine a daily maximum change in visibility (Adv) value for each Class I area and year of meteorological data. The visibility impact threshold to determine BART sources is a 98th percentile ihange in visibility (Adv) of 0.5 dv above background conditions. Therefore, if the 8th highest Adv value was equal to or greater than 0.5 dv, the source was considered to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in the subject Class I area. and therefore was "subject to BART". However, if the 8th highest value for all three years at each Class I area in a given domain was less than 0.5 dv, the source was not subject to BART. Using these criteria, the fourteen facilities were screened for BART subjectivity. The BART Facilities Emissions Inventory in Chapter 6 of the Wyoming TSD details the emission units at the BART-eligible sources. Screening results, which provide the maximum change in visibility, number of days >0.5 dv, and 8th high values, are summarized in the WY BART Screening Analysis Results and the WY BART Screening Analysis Results DV Frequency, which can also be found in Chapter 6 of the Wyoming TSD. After evaluating the results of the screening analysis, the following facilities were found to be subject to BART or not subject to BART. Subject to BART PacifiCorp - Jim Bridger PacifiCorp - Naughton FMC - Granger FMC - Green River Basin Electric - Laramie River PacifiCorp - Wyodak PacifiCorp - Dave Johnston General Chemical 308(e)(l)(ii) - A determination of BARTfor each BART-eligible source in the State that emits any air pollutant which may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment of visibility in any mandatory Class I Federal area. All such sources are subject to BART. The following table summarizes the Division's BART determinations for sources that cause or contribute to visibility impairment in Class I areas. These BART determinations are part of this Regional Haze SIP that will be submitted to EPA. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 103 of206 93 Table 6.4-1. BART Determinations for Wyoming Sources Unit NO, Control Tvoe NO, Emission Limit Particulate Control Tvne PMln Emission Limit (r) Basin Electric - Laramie ('' River Unit I (550 MW) LNB + OFA 0.21 lbAv{MBtu (3O-dav rollins) ESP 0.030lbAvlMBtu Basin Electric - Laramie ('' River tjnit 2 (550 MW) LNB + OFA 0.21 lb/MMBtu (30-dav rollins,) ESP 0.0301b/MMBtu Basin Electric - Laranrie " River Unit 3 (550 MW) LNB + OFA 0.21 lba,IMBtu (30-dav rollins,) ESP 0.030 lh/N,tMBtu FMC Wyoming - Granger l4 (358.5 MMBIU) n/a nla n/a nla FMC Wyoming - Granger l5 (358.5 MMBtu) nla n/a nla nla FMC Wyoming - Westvaco NS-IA (887 MMBIU) LNB + OFA 0.35 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling) ESP 0.05 lb/MMBtu FMC Wyoming - Westvaco NS-IB (887 MMBtu) LNB + OFA 0.35 lbAv{MBtu (3O-day rolting) ESP 0.05Ib/MMBtu FMC Wyoming - Westvaco PH-3 (333.6 MMBtu) nla nla nla nla General Chemical - Green River GR-2-L (534lb/lvlMBtu) LNB + SOFA or equivalent technolosv 0.28lb,MMBtu (3O-day rolling) ESP 0.09lb/NIMBtu General Chemical - Green River GR-3-W (880Ib/MMBtu) LNB + SOFA or equivalent technolosv 0.28 tb,MMBtu (3O-day rotling) ESP 0.091b/lvlMBtu PacifiCorp - Dave Johnston unit 3 (230 MW) LNB + OFA 0.28lb/IVtMBtu (30-dav rollins) Fabric Filter 0.015 tbAvlMBtu PacifiCorp - Dave Johnston Unit 4 (330 MW) LNB + OFA 0.t5lb,&,tMBru (3O-dav rollins) Fabric Filter 0.0l5lb/lvlMBtu Pac Uni fiCorp - Jim Bridger I (530 MW) LNB + OFA 0.26 lb/I\,tMBtu (3O-dav rollins) ESP + FGC 0.030lb/N4MBtu Pac Uni fiCorp - Jim Bridger 2 (530 MW) LNB + OFA 0.26|blMMBtu (30-dav rollins) ESP + FGC 0.030Ib/MMBtu Pac Uni fiCorp - Jim Bridger 3 (530 MW) LNB + OFA 0.261blMMBtu (3O-dav rolline) ESP + FGC 0.030lb/MMBtu Pac Uni fiCorp - Jim Bridger 4 (530 MW) LNB + OFA 0.261blMMBtu (30-dav lolline) ESP + FGC 0.0301b/\4MBtu PacifiCorp - Naughton Unit I (160 Mw) LNB + OFA 0.26IblMMBtu (30-dav rollins) ESP + F'GC 0.0401b/MMBtu PacifiCorp - Naughton Unit 2 (210 Mw) LNB + OFA 0.261blMMBtu (30-dav rolline) ESP + FGC 0.040lb/lvlMBtu PacifiCorp - Naughton Unit 3 (330 MW) LNB + OFA + SCR 0.07Ib/MMBtu (3O-dav rolline) Fabric Filter 0.015 tb/MMBtu PacifiCorp - Wyodak Unit I (33s MW) LNB + OFA 0.23 lb,&lMBtu (30-dav lolline) Fabric Filter 0.0l5lbA4MBtu Filterable portion only: t" These emission limits reflect condition 7c in the Settlement Agreement between DEQ/AQD and Basin Electric, EQC Docket No. l0-2802. ESP : electrostatic precipitator; FGC : flue gas conditioning; LNB : low NO* bumers: n/a: not subject to BART; OFA: overlire air; SCR: selective catalytic reduction; SOFA: separated overfire air Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 104 of206 94 L The Five-Factor Analysis 308(e)(1)(iil@) - The determination of BART must be based on an analysis of the best system of continuous emission control technologt available and associated emission reductions achievable for each BART-eligible source that is subject to BART within the State. In this analysis, the State must take into consideration the technologt available, the costs of compliance, the energt and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, any pollution control equipment in use at the source, the remaining useful lfe of the source, and the degree of improvement in visibility which may reasonably be anticipated to resultfrom the use of such technologt. Details of how each of these factors is taken into consideration during the BART determination process are found below in the Facility Analysis section. IL Compliance With Appendix Y 308(e)(l)(ii)(B) - The determination of BARTforfossil-fuelfired power plants having a total generating capacity greater than 750 megawatts must be made pursuant to the guidelines in appendix Y of this part (Guidelines for BART Determinations Under the Regional Haze Rule). EPA's guidelines are only mandatory with respect to plants greater than 750 megawatts (see 70 Fed. Reg. at 39108, 3913 I ). EPA does not require that the guidelines be followed for other source types (see id.). ln fact, EPA concluded that it "would not be appropriate for EPA to require states to use the guidelines in making BART determinations for other categories of sources" (id. at 39108). States thus "'retain the discretion to adopt approaches that differ from the guidelines" (id. at 39158). The following fossil-fuel fired power plants have atotal generating capacity greater than 750 megawatts: Basin Electric Power Cooperative - Laramie River ( 1,650 MW) PacifiCorp - Dave Johnston (772 MW) PacifiCorp - Jim Bridger (2,120 MW) EPA's guidelines in Appendix Y were followed for the three facilities listed above. Details of how the guidelines were followed are found in the Facility Analysis section below. III. Expeditious Installation and Operation of BART 308(e)(I)(iv) - A requirement that each source subject to BART be required to install and operate BART as expeditiously as practicable, but in no event later than 5 years after approval of the implementation plan revision. This requirement is addressed in Wyoming's BART Rule and compliance with this requirement is discussed in the specific Facility Analysis for each source below. IV. Proper Maintenance and Operation of Control Equipment 308(e)(l)(v) - A requirement that each source subject to BART maintain the control equipment required by this subpart and establish procedures to ensure such equipment is properly operated and maintained. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 105 of206 95 This requirement is addressed is discussed in Section V. Wyoming's BART Rule and compliance with this requirement V. Monitoring and Recordkeeping Requirements Startup Notification: The owner or operator shall furnish the Administrator written notification of: (i) the anticipated date of initial startup not more than 60 days or less than 30 days prior to such date, and; (ii) the actual date of initial startup within I 5 days after such date in accordance with Chapter 6, Section 2(i) of the WAQSR. Chapter 6, Section 3 Operating Permit: The owner or operator shall modify their Operating Permit in accordance with Chapter 6, Section 9(e)(vi) and Chapter 6, Section 3 of the WAQSR. Initial Performance Tests: The owner or operator shall conduct initial performance tests in accordance with Chapter 6, Section 2O of the WAQSR. within 30 days of achieving a maximum design rate but not later than 90 days following initial startup, and a written report of the results shall be submitted. If a maximum design rate is not achieved within 90 days of startup, the Air Quality Division Administrator may require testing be done at the rate achieved and again when a maximum rate is achieved. Periodic Particulate Performance Testing: Particulate testing shall be conducted annually, or more frequently as specified by the Air Quality Division Administrator following the test methods specified in this section. Test Methods: NO* Emissions - Compliance with the NO* 30-day rolling average shall be determined using a continuous emissions monitoring system (CEMS) certified in accordance with 40 CFR part 60 (Non-EGUs) or 40 CFR part75 (EGUs). PM/PMr0 Emissions - Testing shall follow 40 CFR 60.46 and EPA Reference Test Methods l-4 and 5. Prior to any testing, a test protocol shall be submitted to the Division for approval, at least 30 days prior to testing. Notification should be provided to the Division at least l5 days prior to any testing. Results of the tests shall be submitted to the Division office within 45 days of completing the tests. NO* CEM Requirements: At all times after the compliance deadline specified in Section 6.5, the owner/operator of each BART unit shall maintain, calibrate. and operate a CEMS in full compliance with the requirements found at 40 CFR part 60 (Non-EGUs) or 40 CFR part 75 (EGUs), to accurately measure NO*, diluent (CO2 or O2), and stack gas volumetric flow rate from each BART unit. The CEMS shall be used to determine compliance with the NO* BART emission limits for each BART unit. BART Limits: The NO* limits in terms of lb/lVIMBtu, lb/hr and tpy apply at all times, including periods of startup and shutdown. The PM/PMro limits in terms of lb/hr and tpy apply at all Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 106 of206 96 times, including periods of startup and shutdown. The PM/PMr0 limits in terms of lb/lVIMBtu apply at all times except during startup. Emissions in excess of the BART limits due to unavoidable equipment malfunction are not considered a violation if the event is covered under Chapter l, Section 5 of the WAQSR. The burden of proof is on the owner or operator of the source to provide sufficient information to demonstrate that an unavoidable equipment malfunction has occurred. BART NO* Limits: lb/IVIMBtu and lb/hr shall be 30-day rolling averages and the tpy shall be a calendar year total. Exceedances of the NO, limits shall be defined as follows: Any 30-day rolling average which exceeds the lb,MMBtu NO* limits as calculated using the following formula: 11. Iro, Eou, = h=l"n Where: Eous : Weighted 30-day rolling average emission rate (lb/MMBtu). C - l-hour average emission rate (lb/lvlMBtu) for hour "ft" calculated using valid data from the CEM equipment certified and operated in accordance with part 75 and the procedures in 40 CFR part 60, Appendix A, Method 19. V alid data shall meet the requirements of WAQSR, Chapter 5, Section 2O. Valid data shall not include data substituted using the missing data procedure in Subpart D of part 75, nor shall the data have been bias adjusted according to the procedures ofpart 75. The number of unit operating hours in the last 30 successive boiler operating days with valid emissions data meeting the requirements of WAQSR. Chapter 5, Section 2O. A "boiler operating day" shall be defined as any 24-hour period between l2:00 midnight and the following midnight during which any fuel is combusted at any time at the steam generating unit. Any 30-day rolling average which exceeds the lbihr NO* limits as calculated using the following formula: I(c),E -h=luorg - "Where: E*e : Weighted 30-day rolling average emission rate (lb/hr). Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 107 of206 97 l-hour average emission rate (lb/hr) for hour "&" calculated using valid data (output concentration and average hourly volumetric flowrate) from the CEM equipment cerlified and operated in accordance with part 75. Valid data shall meet the requirements of WAQSR, Chapter 5, Section 2O. Valid data shalI not include data substituted using the missing data procedure in Subpart D of part 75, nor shall the data have been bias adjusted according to the procedures ofpart 75. The number of unit operating hours in the last 30 successive boiler operating days with valid emissions data meeting the requirements of WAQSR, Chapter 5, Section 2O. A "boiler operating day" shall be defined as any 24-hour period between l2:00 midnight and the following midnight during which any fuel is combusted at any time at the steam generating unit. Any l2-month rolling emission rate which exceeds the tpy NO* limit as calculated using the following formula: f, = I(c), h=l 2,000 Where: C: l-hour average emission rate (lb/hr) for hour "h" calculated using data from the CEM equipment required by 40 CFR part 75. For monitoring data not meeting the requirements of WAQSR, Chapter 5, Section 2O, Basin Electric shall provide substituted data for an emissions unit according to the missing data procedures of 40 CFR part 75 during any period of time that there is not monitoring data. E : l2-month rolling emission rate (tpy). iv. Any calendar year total calculated using valid data (output concentration and average hourly volumetric flow rate) from the CEM equipment and operating data from the boiler which exceeds the tpy NO* limit. Valid data shall meet the requirements of WAQSR Chapter 5, Section 2O. For EGUs, the owner or operator shall use EPA's Clean Air Markets reporting program to convert the monitoring system data to annual emissions. The owner or operator shall provide substituted data according to the missing data procedures of 40 CFR part 75 during any period of time that there is no monitoring data. BART PM/PMr0 Limits: lb/IvIMBtu and lb/hr limits shall be a 1-hour average based on the average of three performance tests. Compliance with lb/lv{MBtu and lb/hr shall be determined from the initial and annual performance tests. Annual emissions (tpy) shall be a calendar year total calculated using the lb/NIMBtu performance test result and boiler operating data. lll. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 108 of206 98 Recordkeeping and Reporting: The owner or operator shall comply with all reporting and recordkeeping requirements as specified in WAQSR Chapter 5. Section 2(g) and 40 CFR part 60, Subpart D. All excess emissions shall be reported using the procedures and reporting format specified in WAQSR Chapter 5, Section 2(g). Records shall be maintained for a period of at least five (5) years and shall be made available to the Division upon request. 6.5 Facility Analysis Note that the following discussions of BART determinations are based upon proposed BART permit conditions that are undergoing public review and comment. Following issuance of final BART permits as required by Chapter 6, Section 9 of the WAQSR, the State of Wyoming will supplement the SIP with revised descriptions of the BART determinations, if necessary. 6.5.1 FMC Wyoming Corp. - Granger Facility The State of Wyoming performed a refined CALPUFF visibility modeling analysis for the two BART-eligible units at the FMC Wyoming Granger Facility, and demonstrated that the predicted 98th percentile impacts at Bridger WA and Fitzpatrick WA would be below 0.5 dv for all meteorological periods modeled. This modeling used higher-resolution meteorological data as compared to the data used by the Division for the initial screening modeling that identified the facility as "subject" to BART. A single source is exempt from BART if the modeled 98th percentile change is less than 0.5 dv at all Class I areas for each year modeled, in accordance with Chapter 6, Section g(dXiXC) of the WAQSR. Therefore, the State of Wyoming has determined that the two BART-eligible units at the FMC Wyoming Granger Facility are not subject to BART. 6.5.2 FMC Wyoming Corp. - Green River - Westvaco Facility I. The Five-Factor Analysis After considering (l) the costs of compliance. (2) the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, (3) any pollution equipment in use or in existence at the source. (4) the remaining useful life of the source, and (5) the degree of improvement in visibility (all five statutory factors) from each proposed control technology, the Division determined BART for NO* and PMro emitted from two units at the Westvaco Facility. The State of Wyoming concluded that a third unit at the facility, a gas-fired boiler, was not a significant contributor to regional haze and a BART determination was not made for that source. For control of NO* emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that FMC install and operate low NO* burners (LNB) with enhanced overfire air (OFA) as BART for boilers NS- I A and NS- I B. The use of LNB and enhanced OFA willresult in a 1,360-ton reduction in annualNO* emissions from each boiler. LNB/OFA on boilers NS-lA and NS-lB is cost effective, with an average cost effectiveness of $304 per ton of NO* removed for each unit over a twenty-year operational life. Combustion control using LNB/OFA does not require non-air quality environmental mitigation for the use of chemical reagents (i.e., ammonia or urea) and there is a minimal energy impact. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 109 of 206 99 For control of PM/PMro emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that FMC utilize the existing ESPs as BART for boilers NS- I A and NS- l B. Visibility impacts were addressed in a comprehensive visibility modeling analysis covering three visibility impairing pollutants and associated control options. The cumulative 3-year averaged visibility improvement from the baseline across Bridger WA and Fitzpatrick WA achieved with LNB/OFA (based on the 98th percentile modeled results) was 0.2 Adv from each of the two boilers. The State of Wyoming considers the BART-determined permit limit to be equivalent to the control effectiveness of a control technology. The limit is based on continuous compliance when the control equipment is welI maintained and operated in a manner consistent with good air pollution control practices for minimizing emissions. Unit-by-unit BART determinations for NO*and PM/PMro: Filterable portion onlyESP : electrostatic precipitatorLNB = low NO*bumersOFA : overfire air III. Expeditious Installation and Operation of BART The State of Wyoming requires that FMC installand operate new LNB with enhanced overfire aironboilersNS-lAandNS-lBtoachievetheBARTemissionslimitsforNO*. Installationof LNB and enhanced overfire air has been completed. LNB with OFA will continue to operate on boilers NS-lA and NS-lB. The State of Wyoming requires that FMC continue the use of the existing ESPs on boilers NS-lA and NS-l B to achieve the BART emissions limits for PM/PMr6. Initial performance tests for NO* and PM/PM16 have been completed for both boilers. NO* and PM/PMr0 compliance deadlines for both boilers was on or before October 17,2009. IV. Proper Maintenance and Operation of Control Equipment The State of Wyoming requires that FMC follow the monitoring and recordkeeping requirements of Section 6.4V. to ensure proper maintenance and operation of control equipment. 6.5.3 General Chemical - Green River Works L The Five-Factor Analysis After considering (l) the costs of compliance, (2) the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, (3) any pollution equipment in use or in existence at the source, (4) the Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 10 of 206 Units Pollutant ControlType lb/MMBtu lb/hr tpy NS-IA NO*LNB/OFA 0.35 (30-day rolling)284.0 (30-day rolling)t244.0 PM/PMls(u)ESP 0.05 45.0 197.0 NS-IB NO*LNB/OFA 0.35 (30-day rolling)284.0 130-day rolling)1244.0 PM/PM16(")ESP 0.05 45.0 197.0 100 remaining useful life ofthe source, and (5) the degree of improvement in visibility (all five statutory factors) from each proposed control technology, the Division determined BART for NO* and PMro emitted from the two boilers at Green River Works. For control of NO* emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that General Chemical install and operate LNB and SOFA or an equivalent performing control technology as BART for boilers C and D. The use of LNB and SOFA will result in a 512-ton reduction from baseline for Boiler C and a737-ton reduction from baseline fbr Boiler D. LNB and SOFA on boilers C and D is cost effective, with an average cost effectiveness of $ I ,280- I ,480 per ton of NO* removed for each unit over a twenty-year operational life. Combustion control using LNB and OFA does not require non-air quality environmental mitigation fbr the use of chemical reagents (i.e.. ammonia or urea) and there is a minimal energy impact. Affording General Chemicalthe option to install an equivalent performing control technology does not change the basis of the BART determination as the BART determination is made based on curently available controls (e.g., existing LNB with new SOFA, SNCR, SCR), which were all deemed reasonable. Allowing the company to install an equivalent performing technology provides additional flexibility to control emissions to the specified BART levels, presumably in the most cost-effective manner. For control of PM/PMro emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that General Chemical utilize the existing ESPs as BART for boilers C and D. Visibility impacts were addressed in a comprehensive visibility modeling analysis covering three visibility impairing pollutants and associated control options. The cumulative 3-year averaged visibility improvement from the baseline across Bridger WA and Fitzpatrick WA achieved with LNB and OFA (based on the 98th percentile modeled results) was 0.41 Adv from the two boilers. The State of Wyoming considers the BART-determined permit limit to be equivalent to the controleffectiveness of a controltechnology. The limit is based on continuous compliance when the control equipment is well maintained and operated in a manner consistent with good air pollution control practices for minimizing emissions. Unit-by-unit BART determinations for NO*and PM/PMro: Filterable portion onlyESP : electrostatic precipitator LNB : low NO. bumers SOFA : separated overfire air Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1'l'l of 206 Units Pollutant Control Type lb/\4MBtu lb/hr tpy C NO, LNB/SOFA or equivalent technolosv 0.28 i30-day rolling)149.5 (f O-day rolling)654.9 PM/PMro (u)ESP 0.09 50 219.0 D NO, LNB/SOFA or equivalent technolosv 0.28 (30-day rolling)246.4 (30-day rolling)1,079.2 PM/PMro (")ESP 0.09 80 3s0.4 l0t IlL Expeditious Installation and Operation of BART The State of Wyoming requires that General Chemical install and operate low NO,, burners with SOFA or equivalent performing technology on boilers C and D, in accordance with the Division's BART determination, and conduct the required initial performance tests to demonstrate compliance as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than five years after EPA approvalofthe state implementation plan revision. The State of Wyoming requires that General Chemical continue the use of the existing ESPs on boilers C and D to achieve the BART emissions limits. Initial performance tests for PM/PM1e have been completed for both boilers. The PM/PM16 compliance deadline for both boilers was on or before November I l, 2009. IV. Proper Maintenance and Operation of Control Equipment The State of Wyoming requires that General Chemical follow the monitoring and recordkeeping requirements of Section 6.4Y. to ensure proper maintenance and operation of control equipment. 6.5.4 PacifiCorp - Jim Bridger Power Plant I. The Five-Factor Analvsis After considering (l) the costs of compliance, (2) the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance. (3) any pollution equipment in use or in existence at the source, (4) the remaining useful life of the source, and (5) the degree of improvement in visibility (all five statutory factors) from each proposed control technology, the Division determined BART for NO* and PM/PMro emitted from the four units subject to BART at the Jim Bridger Power Plant. In addition to the five-factor analysis. the Division also considered the unique situation PacifiCorp is in since they own and operate l9 coal-fired generating units in the West. The Division believes that the size of PacifiCorp's fleet of coal-fired units presents unique challenges when reviewing costs, timing of installations, customer needs, and state regulatory commission requirements. Information has been supplied by PacifiCorp elaborating on additional factors to be considered in PacifiCorp's BART determination (see "PacifiCorp's Emissions Reductions Plan" in Chapter 6 of the Wyoming TSD). For control of NO* emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate LNB with separated OFA as BART for Units I through 4. Annual NO* emission reductions from LNB with separated OFA on Units l, 3, and 4 are 4,493 tons per unit for a total annual reduction at the Jim Bridger Power Plant of 13,479 tons per year. There are no NO" reductions from Unit 2 as LNB separated OFA is baseline for the unit. LNB with separated OFA on Units l, 3, and 4 is cost effective, with an average cost effectiveness of $255 per ton of NO* removed for each unit over a twenty-year operational life. LNB with separated OFA on Unit 2 did not require any additional capital cost or annual O&M cost. Combustion control using LNB with separated OFA does not require non-air quality environmental mitigation for the use of chemical reagents (i.e., ammonia or urea) and there is a minimal energy impact. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 112 ot 206 102 For control of PM/PMro emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp utilize the existing electrostatic precipitators (ESPs) with the addition of flue gas conditioning (FGC) as BART tbr Units I -4. The control technology is cost effective for each unit, with costs per ton removed of S1,544 for Unit l, $526 for Unit 2, and $857 for Unit 3. Unit 4 does not require additional capital cost. No negative non-air environmental impacts are anticipated from the use of the existing ESPs with FGC. Visibility impacts were addressed in a comprehensive visibility modeling analysis covering three visibility impairing pollutants and associated control options. The cumulative 3-year averaged 98th percentile visibility improvement from the baseline across the three Class I areas (Bridger, Fitzpatrick, and Mt. Zirkel wilderness areas) achieved with LNB with separated OFA. upgraded wet FGD, and FGC for enhanced ESP control was 1.070 Adv from Unit l, 0.199 Adv from Unit 2, 1.068 Adv from Unit 3, and 0.892 Adv from Unit 4. While the visibility improvement attributable to the installation of FGC on existing ESPs can't be directly determined from the visibility modeling, the Division does not anticipate the contribution from PM to be significant when compared to the contributions from NO* and SOz. The State of Wyoming considers the BART-determined permit limit to be equivalent to the control effectiveness of a controltechnology. The limit is based on continuous compliance when the control equipment is well maintained and operated in a manner consistent with good air pollution control practices for minimizing emissions. Unit-by-unit BART determinations for NO,and PM/PM;o: Filterable portion onlyESP = electrostatic precipitator FGC = flue gas conditioningLNB = low NO. burnersOFA : overfire air III. Expeditious Installation and Operation of BART The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate new LNB with separated OFA on Unit l, in accordance with the Division's BART determination, and conduct the required initial performance tests to demonstrate compliance as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than five years after EPA approval of the state implementation plan revision. Installation of LNB and separated OFA has been completed and initial performance tests have been completed on Units 2, 3, and 4. The NO* compliance deadline for Units 2-4 was on or before March 31, 2010. With respect to particulate matter, the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp continue the use of the existing ESPs on Units I through 4 with FGC to achieve the BART emissions limits. Initial performance tests have been conducted and the PM/PMro compliance deadline for Units I -4 was on or before March 3 l, 2010. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 113 of206 Units Pollutant ControlType lb/TvIMBtu lb/hr tpy 1,2,3, & 4 NO*LNB/OFA 0.26 (:o-aay rolling)1,560 (:o-aay rolling)6,833 t,2,3, &.4 PM/PMro(")ESP + FGC 0.030 180 788 103 IV. Proper Maintenance and Operation of Control Equipment The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp conduct initial NO* performance tests on Unit l, after the installation of LNB and separated OFA, within 30 days of achieving a maximum design rate, but not later than 90 days following initial start-up. If a maximum design rate is not achieved within 90 days of start-up, the AQD Administrator may require testing be done at the rate achieved and again when a maximum rate is achieved. A test protocol shall be submitted for Division approval prior to testing and a written report of the test results shall be submitted to the Division. Testing required by the WAQSR Chapter 6, Section 3 operating permit may be submitted to satisfy the testing required. The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp follow the monitoring and recordkeeping requirements of Section 6.4 V. to ensure proper maintenance and operation of control equipment. 6.5.5 PacifiCorp - Dave Johnston Power Plant I. The Five-Factor Analvsis After considering (l) the costs of compliance, (2) the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, (3) any pollution equipment in use or in existence at the source, (4) the remaining useful lifb of the source, and (5) the degree of improvement in visibility (all five statutory factors) from each proposed control technology, the Division determined BART for NO* and PMro emitted from the two units subject to BART at the Dave Johnston Power Plant. For control of NO* emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate LNB with advanced OFA as BART for Units 3 and 4. The State of Wyoming will require a NO* control level of 0.28 lb/MMBtu on a 30-day rolling average, below EPA's applicable presumptive limit of 0.45 lb/\4MBtu for cell-fired boilers burning subbituminous coal, for Unit 3. For Unit 4, the State of Wyoming will require a NO* control level of 0.15 lbA4MBtu on a 30- day rolling average, equal to EPA's applicable presumptive limit for tangential-fired boilers burning subbituminous coal. AnnualNO* emission reductions from LNB with advanced OFA on Unit 3 and 4 are 2,723 tons and 6, 142 tons, respectively. LNB with advanced OFA on Units 3 and 4 is cost effective, with an average cost effectiveness of $648 per ton of NO* removed for Unit 3 and $ 137 per ton for Unit 4. Combustion control using LNB with advanced OFA does not require non-air quality environmental mitigation for the use of chemical reagents (i.e., ammonia or urea) and there is a minimal energy impact. For control of PM/PMro emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate new full-scale fabric filters on Units 3 and 4 to meet corresponding BART emission limits on a continuous basis. When considering all the factors above and beyond the benefits associated with regionalhaze which include the existing precipitator's current condition and performance and end of life issues, the ability of the current electrostatic precipitator to meet an ESP BART rate of 0.23 lb/]vlMBtu on a continuous basis and the enhanced mercury removal co- benefits the baghouse provides, the Wyoming Air Quality Division has determined that the costs associated with the installation of a new full-scale fabric filter are reasonable. A full-scale fabric Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 14 of 206 104 filter is the most stringent PM/PMro control technology and therefore the Division accepts it as BART. The Division considers the installation and operation of the BART-determined PM/PMro controls of a new full-scale fabric filter on Unit 3 at Dave Johnston, as recently permitted in Air Quality Permit MD-5098, to meet the requirements of BART. When considering all the factors above and beyond the benefits associated with regionalhaze which include the existing venturi scrubber's current condition and performance and end of life issues, the ability of the current venturi scrubber to meet a venturi scrubber BART rate of 0.21 lb/\4MBtu on a continuous basis and the enhanced mercury removal co-benefits the baghouse provides, the Wyoming Air Quality Division has determined that the costs associated with the installation of a new full-scale fabric filter are reasonable. A full-scale fabric filter is the most stringent PM/PMro controltechnology and therefore the Division accepts it as BART. The Division considers the installation and operation of the BART-determined PM/PMr0 controls of a new full-scale fabric filter on Unit 4 at Dave Johnston. as recently permitted in Air Quality Permit MD-5098, to meet the requirements of BART. Visibility impacts were addressed in a comprehensive visibility modeling analysis covering three visibility impairing pollutants and associated control options. The cumulative 3-year averaged 98th percentile visibility improvement from baseline, summed across all four Class I areas (Badlands and Wind Cave national parks, and Mt. Zirkel and Rawah wilderness areas) and achieved with LNB with advanced OFA, dry FGD, and a new full-scale fabric filter. was 3.558 Adv from Unit 3 and 1.963 Adv from Unit 4. The State of Wyoming considers the BART-determined permit limit to be equivalent to the control effectiveness of a control technology. The limit is based on continuous compliance when the control equipment is well maintained and operated in a manner consistent with good air pollution control practices for minimizing emissions. Unit-by-unit BART determinations for NO*and PM/PMro: Filterable ponion onlyLNB = low NO. bumersOFA = overlire air IlL Expeditious Installation and Operation of BART The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate new low NO* burners with advanced OFA on Units 3 and 4, in accordance with the Division's BART determination, and conduct the required initial performance tests to demonstrate compliance as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than five years after EPA approval of the state implementation plan revision. The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp installnew full-scale fabric filters on Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 15 of 206 Unit Pollutant ControlType lb/MMBtu lb/hr tpv J NO*LNB/OFA 0.28 (30-day rolling)784 1:O-aay rolling)3,434 PM/PMro(")Fabric Filter 0.015 42.1 184 4 NO*LNB/OFA 0.1 5 (30-day rolling)615 (30-dayrolling;2,694 PM/PMro(")Fabric Filter 0.0r5 6r.5 269 105 Units 3 and 4, in accordance with the Division's BART determination, and conduct the initial performance tests required to demonstrate compliance as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than five years after EPA approval of the state implementation plan revision. IV. Proper Maintenance and Ooeration of Control Equipment The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp follow the monitoring and recordkeeping requirements of Section 6.4 V. to ensure proper maintenance and operation of controlequipment. 6.5.6 PacifiCorp - Naughton Power Plant I. The Five-Factor Analysis After considering (l) the costs of compliance, (2) the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, (3) any pollution equipment in use or in existence at the source, (4) the remaining useful life of the source, and (5) the degree of improvement in visibility (all five statutory factors) from each proposed controltechnology, the Division determined BART for NO* and PMro emitted from the three units subject to BART at the Naughton Power Plant. For control of NO* emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate LNB with advanced OFA as BART for Units I and2, and tune the existing LNB/OFA system on Unit 3 and install SCR. AnnualNO. emission reductions from baseline for LNB with advanced OFA on Units I and 2 are 2.334 and 2,649 lons, respectively. Annual NO* emission reductions from baseline achieved by tuning the existing LNB/OFA and installing SCR on Unit 3 are 5,542 tons. LNB with advanced OFA on Units I and 2 is cost effective, with an average cost effectiveness of $426 and $357, respectively, per ton of NO* removed for each unit over a twenty-year operational life. Combustion control using LNB with advanced OFA for Units I and 2 does not require non-air quality environmental mitigation for the use of chemical reagents (i.e., ammonia or urea) and there is a minimal energy impact. The cost effectiveness of tuning the existing LNB with OFA and installing SCR on Unit 3 was reasonable, with a value of $2,830 per ton of NO* removed. For control of PM/PMro emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp utilize the existing ESPs and add FGC as BART for Units I and2. The controltechnology is cost effective for each unit, with costs per ton removed of $ 1,721 for Unit I and $949 for Unit 2. No negative non-air environmental impacts are anticipated from the use of existing ESPs with FGC. For controlof PM/PM19 emissions from Unit 3. the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate a new, full-scale fabric filter to meet a corresponding BART emission limit on a continuous basis. When considering all the factors above and beyond the benefits associated with regionalhaze which include the existing precipitator's current condition and performance and end-of-life issues, the ability of the current electrostatic precipitator to meet an ESP BART rate of 0.04 lb/MMBtu on a continuous basis, the enhanced mercury removal co-benefits the baghouse provides. and the reduced ash loading on the SOz scrubber which will enhance the scrubber performance, the Wyoming Air Quality Division has determined that the costs Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 16 of 206 106 associated with the installation of a new full-scale fabric filter are reasonable. A full-scale fabric filter is the most stringent PM/PMro control technology and therefore the Division accepts it as BART. The Division considers the installation and operation of the BART-determined PM/PMro controls of a new full-scale fabric filter on Unit 3 to meet the statutory requirements of BART. Visibility impacts were addressed in a comprehensive visibility modeling analysis covering three visibility impairing pollutants and associated control options. The cumulative 3-year averaged 98th percentile visibility improvement from the baseline across Bridger WA and Fitzpatrick WA achieved with LNB with advanced OFA, wet FGD, and FGC for enhanced ESP control was I .716 Adv from Unit I and I .934 Adv from Unit 2. While the visibility improvement attributable to the installation of FGC on existing ESPs can't be directly determined from the visibility modeling, the Division does not anticipate the PM contribution to be significant when .o*pu.id to the Nb* and SOz contributions. For Unit 3, the cumulative 3-year averaged 98th percentile visibility improvement from the baseline summed across both Class I areas achieved by tuning the existing LNB with OFA, wet FGD and installing a new full-scale fabric filter, was 0.826 Adv. The installation of SCR on Unit 3 produces an additional I .023 Adv in cumulative, 3-year averaged 98fi percentile modeled visibility improvement across the two Class I areas. The State of Wyoming considers the BART-determined permit limit to be equivalent to the control effectiveness of a control technology. The limit is based on continuous compliance when the control equipment is well maintained and operated in a manner consistent with good air pollution control practices for minimizing emissions. Unit-by-unit BART determinations for NO* and PM/PMro: Filterable portion onlyESP : electrostatic precipitator FCIC = llue gas conditioningLNB : low NO. burnersOFA = overfire air III. Expeditious Installation and Operation of BART The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate new low NO* burners with advanced OFA and install flue gas conditioning on the existing ESPs on Units I and 2, in accordance with the Division's BART determination, and conduct the required performance tests to demonstrate compliance as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than five years after EPA approval of the state implementation plan revision. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 117 of206 Units Pollutant ControlType IbiTVIMBtU lb/hr tpy I NO,LNB/OFA 0.26 (30-day rolling)48 I 1fO-Aay rolling)2,107 PMiPMro c)ESP + FGC 0.040 74 324 2 NO*LNB/OFA 0.26 (30-day rolling)624 pO-aay rolling)2,733 PM/PMro (u)ESP + FGC 0.040 96 421 3 NO*Tune LNB/OFA + SCR 0.07 (30-day rolling)259 Oo-aay rolling)1,134 PM/PMro (')Fabric Filter 0.0r5 56 243 107 The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp shalltune the existing low NO* bumers with OFA and install selective catalytic reduction and a full-scale fabric filter on Unit 3, in accordance with the Division's BART determination to demonstrate compliance as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than five years after EPA approval of the state implementation plan revision. IV. Proper Maintenance and Ooeration of Control Equipment The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp follow the monitoring and recordkeeping requirements of Section 6.4 V. to ensure proper maintenance and operation of controlequipment. 6.5.7 PacifiCorp - Wyodak Power Plant I. The Five-Factor Analysis After considering ( I ) the costs of compliance, (2) the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, (3) any pollution equipment in use or in existence at the source, (4) the remaining useful life of the source, and (5) the degree of improvement in visibility (all five statutory factors) from each proposed controltechnology, the Division determined BART for NO* and PMro emitted from the single unit subject to BART at the Wyodak Power Plant. For control of NO* emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate LNB with advanced OFA as BART for Unit l. AnnualNO* emission reductions from baseline with LNB with advanced OFA on Unit I are 1,483 tons. LNB with advanced OFA on Unit I is cost effective, with an average cost effectiveness of $881 per ton of NO. removed over a twenty- year operational life. Combustion control using LNB with advanced OFA does not require non- air quality environmental mitigation for the use of chemical reagents (i.e., ammonia or urea) and there is a minimal energy impact. For controlof PM/PMro emissions from Unit 1, the State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install and operate a new, full-scale fabric filter to meet a corresponding BART emission limit on a continuous basis. When considering all the factors above and beyond the benefits associated with regionalhaze which include the existing precipitator's current condition and performance and end of life issues, the ability of the current electrostatic precipitator to meet an ESP BART rate of 0.10 lbA4MBtu on a continuous basis, and the enhanced mercury removal co-benefits the baghouse provides, the Wyoming Air Quality Division has determined that the costs associated with the installation of a new full-scale fabric filter are reasonable. A full-scale fabric filter is the most stringent PM/PMro control technology and therefore the Division accepts it as BART. The Division considers the installation and operation of the BART-determined PM/PMr0 controls of a new full-scale fabric filter at Wyodak, as recently permitted under Air Quality Permit MD-7487, to meet the requirements of BART. Visibility impacts were addressed in a comprehensive visibility modeling analysis covering three visibility impairing pollutants and associated control options. The cumulative 3-year averaged 98th percentile visibility improvement from the baseline summed across both Class I areas (Badlands and Wind Cave national parks) achieved with LNB with advanced OFA, upgrading the dry FGD, and a new full-scale fabric filter was 0.996 Adv. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 18 of 206 r08 The State of Wyoming considers the BART-determined permit limit to be equivalent to the control effectiveness of a control technology. The limit is based on continuous compliance when the control equipment is well maintained and operated in a manner consistent with good air pollution control practices for minimizing emissions. Unit-by-unit BART determinations for NO, and PM/PMro: Filterable portion onlyLNB : low NO* bumersOFA : overfire air III. Expeditious Installation and Operation of BART The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp install new low NO* burners with advanced OFA and a new full-scale fabric filter on Unit l, in accordance with the Division's BART determination, and conduct the initial performance tests to demonstrate compliance as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than five years after EPA approval of the state implementation plan revision. IV. Proper Maintenance and Operation of Control Equipment The State of Wyoming requires that PacifiCorp follow the monitoring and recordkeeping requirements of Section 6.4 V . to ensure proper maintenance and operation of control equipment. 6.5.8 Basin Electric Power Cooperative - Laramie River Station The Air Qualtty Division issued a BART permitfor Basin Electric Power Cooperative - Laramie River Station on December 31,2009 under Permit No. MD-6047. A surnmary of the Division's Jive-factor analysis performed to support the BART permit issued on December 31, 2009 is includ.ed below. The detailedftve-factor analysis is included in Attachment A of this SIP. I. The Five-Factor Analysis After considering (l) the costs of compliance, (2) the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, (3) any pollution equipment in use or in existence at the source, (4) the remaining useful life ofthe source, and (5) the degree of improvement in visibility (all five statutory factors) from each proposed control technology, the Division determined BART for NO, and PMls emitted from the three units at the Laramie River Station. For control of NO* emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that Basin Electric install new LNB with OFA as BART for Units I through 3. AnnualNO,, emission reductions from new LNB Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 19 of 206 Unit Pollutant ControlType Ib,MMBtU lb/hr tpy NO,LNB/OFA 0.23 (30-day rolling)1,08 1.0 (3O-da;- rolting)4,735 PM/PMro(")Fabric Filter 0.015 '71.0 309 with OFA on Units I , 2, and 3 are I ,862-l ,910 tons per unit for a total annual reduction of 5,645 tons. LNB with separated OFA on Units I through 3 is cost effective, with an average cost effectiveness of $2,036-$2,088 per ton of NO* removed for each unit over a twenty-year operational life. Combustion control using LNB with OFA does not require non-air quality environmental mitigation for the use of chemical reagents (i.e., ammonia or urea) and there is a minimal energy impact. For control of PM/PMrs emissions, the State of Wyoming requires that Basin Electric utilize the existing ESPs as BART for Units I through 3. The cost of compliance for the sole technically feasible control option, a retrofit fabric filter on the Unit 3 ESP, is not reasonable over a twenty- year operational life. No negative non-air environmental impacts are anticipated fiom use of the existing ESPs. Visibility impacts were addressed in a comprehensive visibility modeling analysis covering three visibility impairing pollutants and associated control options. The cumulative 3-year averaged visibility improvement from the baseline across Wind Cave NP and Badlands NP achieved with new LNB with OFA at the 30-day limit of 0.23 lb/\4MBtu (based on rhe 98th percentile modeled results) was 0.14 Adv from each of the three units. The expected visibility improvement over the course of a full annual period would be even greater due to the annual BART limit that is based on 0.19 lb/MMBtu. The State of Wyoming considers the BART-determined permit limit to be equivalent to the control effectiveness of a control technology. The limit is based on continuous compliance when the control equipment is well maintained and operated in a manner consistent with good air pollution control practices for minimizing emissions. Unit-by-unit BART determinations for NO*and PM/PMro: Filterable portion onlyESP : electrostatic precipitatorLNB = lor.r'NO. bumersOFA : overtire air The performance/efficiency-based, 3O-day rolling average emission rate of 0.23 lb/IVIMBtu is set to allow for continuous compliance with proper operation of the control equipment, while taking into account the normal operational variability that is typical for a boiler. The 30-day limits that Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page '120 of 206 Units Pollutant ControlType 1b/MMBtu lb/hr tpy I NO*LNB/OFA 0.23 (:O-aay rolling)1,348 130-day rolling;5,343 (12-month rollins) PM/PMro (")E,SP 0.030 193 844 2 NO*LNB/OFA 0.23 130-day ro[ingl 1,348 130-day rollingl 5,343 112-month rollins) PM/PMro(u)ESP 0.030 r93 844 3 NO*LNB/OFA 0.23 (30-day rolling)1,386 (30-day rolting)5,493 112-month rollins) PM/PM1e (")ESP 0.030 198 867 n0 are expressed in terms of mass emissions (lb/hr) are based on 0.21 lb/N4MBtu. Because reduced steam loads on a boiler can result in periods of increased emissions in terms of lbAvtMBtu but lower emissions in terms of lb/hr, the Division has chosen to set the dual 30-day limits, one set at 0.23 lbA4MBtu and one expressed in lb/hr based on 0.21 lbA4MBtu. For the l2-month rolling emission limits, the Division considered the ability of the source to maintain a lower emission rate over a longer time period and set the long-term limit (expressed in tpy) based on 0.19 lb/\'lMBtu. III. Expeditious Installation and Operation of BART The State of Wyoming requires that Basin Electric install new low NO* burners with separated OFA on Units I through 3, in accordance with the Division's BART determination, and conduct the required initial performance tests to demonstrate compliance as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than five years after EPA approval of the state implementation plan revision. The State of Wyoming requires that Basin Electric continue the use of the existing ESPs on Units I through 3 to achieve the BART emissions limits. The PM/PM16 compliance deadline was March 3 l, 2010. IV. Proper Maintenance and Ooeration of Control Equioment The State of Wyoming requires that Basin Electric follow the monitoring and recordkeeping requirements of Section 6.4Y. to ensure proper maintenance and operation of controlequipment. Subsequent NO, BART Determinations On March 8, 2010, Basin Electric Power Cooperative appealed the BART permitfor the Laramie River Station before the lltyoming Environmental Quality Council (EQC). The Department of Environmental Quality entered into a settlement agreement on November 76, 2010 with Basin Electric Power Cooperative (Docket No. 10-2802). On December 8,2010, the Division held a State Implementation Plan (SIP) Hearing on Regional Haze. The SIP hearing was held in Cheyenne, Wyoming at the Laramie County Library, 2200 Pioneer Avenue. At that time, the Division collected public comment on the Regional Haze SIP revisions. After carefully considering all comments on revisions to the State Implementation Plan to address Regional Haze, the Division has determined that the following table, taken from the Settlement Agreement Filed November 16,2010 before the Wyoming EQC and incorporated into the EQC Order approving the Settlement, shall establish the BART limits for three units at Laramie River Station with respect to NO*and NOronly, and that these BART limi* shall replace the BART limitsfor NOrdetermined by the Division in Permit MD-6047 issued on December 31,2009. The Division has remodeled the emission limits established through this Settlement to determine the resulting visibility impacts. This impact analysis is included in Attachment A. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 121 of206 Effective upon completion of the initial perforntance tests to verifu the emission levels below, emissionsfrom Laramie River Statian Units I through 3 shall not exceed the levels below. 0.21 (30-day rolling)Unit 1: 1,220 Unit 2: 1,220 Unit 3: 1,254 30-dav rollin Unit 1: 4,780 Unit 2: 4,780 Unit 3: 4,914 all l2-month Overall NO* Reductions in Wyoming In the State of Wyoming, significant additional NO* reductions will be made at the completion of the BART process. The overall cumulative NO* reductions from Wyoming BART sources over time are demonstrated in the figure below. If regional funding becomes available, future regional modeling will demonstrate the additional progress towards 2018 visibility goals. Tota|BARTEGU & NonEGU NOrEmission Reductions (tons! ,s,t d) dl dP ,S d ,*t d ,st dP d,t d| ,"{' d 4t0m 40,0m 3tom 30,0m 210m 20,0m 15,0m 10,0m tm0 0 re 6.5.8-1. Additional Cumulative Reductions From BART Sources Exhibit No. 4 Gase No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page 122 of 206 tt2 CHAPTER 7 REASONABLE PROGRESS GOALS 7.1 Overview The fundamental purpose of the Regional Haze Rule (RHR) is to restore visibility in all mandatory Class I areas across the United States to natural conditions by the year 2064. As required by the RHR, each state must submit a State Implementation Plan (SIP) that addresses visibility reductions in Class I areas for the initialplanning period of 2005-2018, with successive revisions occurring every ten years after 2018. In order to demonstrate incremental visibility improvement during the first planning period, the State of Wyoming was required to establish reasonable progress goals (RPGs) for the seven Class I areas within the state. Reasonable progress goals listed in Section 7.5 of this chapter are used to gauge the progress that the State of Wyoming can reasonably make towards improving visibility to natural conditions in Class I areas within the state. Each Class I area RPG consists of two visibility values, expressed as deciviews (dv), that represent the most impaired visibility days (i.e., the average of the 20Yo most impaired days over an entire year) and the least impaired visibility days (i.e., the average of the 20Yo least impaired days over an entire year). While the reasonable progress goals are not enforceable, the control measures adopted by the State of Wyoming are enforceable. To determine if reasonable progress is being made in improving visibility, the State will need to collect and analyze air quality data and update the 5- year visibility averages for the 20oZ worst visibility days and the 20%o best visibility days and compare the 5-year average with the baseline conditions (after 201 8, the 5-year average will be compared to the impairment levels reported in the previous SIP revision). If the control measures set by the State do not result in a reduction in visibility impairment equal to or greater than the RPG for 201 8, then the State of Wyoming can either revise its control strategies to meet the RPG or revise the RPG for the next planning period. RPGs are non-enfbrceable, interim goals, expressed in deciviews, which represent interim visibility improvement in an effort to eventually achieve natural visibility conditions in Class I areas. When RPGs are established, they must provide for visibility improvement for the 20%o worst visibility days and ensure that there is not a reduction in visibility for the least impaired days,calculatedasthe20Yobestvisibilitydays,through20lS. ForstateswithmultipleClassl areas, RPGs can be established separately for each one. The established goals must represent greater visibility improvement than what would result from the other requirements of the Clean Air Act (CAA). States must revisit their reasonable progress goals in 201 8, as discussed in Chapter I 0, by evaluating the progress towards natural conditions and the effectiveness of the long-term strategy for achieving the goals. If progress towards natural visibility conditions is unsatisfactory, the reasonable progress goals can be revised. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 123 of 206 I l3 7.2 Process for Establishing Reasonable Progress Goals Several steps for establishing reasonable progress goals were outlined in the RHR and are discussed in the following subsections. o Calculate/Estimate Baseline and Natural Visibility Conditions Baseline visibility conditions were determined by the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) Technical Support System (TSS) using the Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments (IMPROVE) algorithm. The IMPROVE algorithm followed the established guidelines presented in the RHR. To determine baseline visibility conditions, the average degree of visibility (expressed as dv) for the 20Yo least impaired days and the 20%o worst impaired days was calculated, using IMPROVE air quality monitoring data, for each calendar year from 2000 to 2004. The IMPROVE monitoring program collects speciated PMz.s, and PMz s and PMro mass. IMPROVE is a nationwide network which began in 1988 and expanded significantly in 2000 in response to the EPA's Regional Haze Rule (RHR). The RegionalHaze Rule specifically requires data from this program to be used by states and tribes to track progress in reducing haze. The annual values were then averaged over five years to determine the baseline visibility condition values. Baseline visibility is discussed in detail in Chapter 2. Natural conditions are an estimate of the amount of visibility impairment that would occur if no human-caused visibility impairment existed. Natural conditions were determined by the WRAP through the Natural Haze Levels II Committee for the20Yo worst visibility days andthe20Yo best visibility days using available monitoring data and the IMPROVE algorithm. The Natural Haze Levels II Committee was established in 2006 to review and refine the default approach. The committee included representatives from NOAA, NPS, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA), Regional Planning Organizations (RPOs) and industry representatives, and other participants. The final report of the committee can be found at: http://wrapair.ore/forums/aoh/meetines/060726den/NaturalHazelevelsllRepon.pdf. Additional information about the baseline and natural visibility impairment calculations can be found in Chapter 13. o Determine the Uniform Rate of Progress (URP) The URP (also known as the glide slope), which was determined by the State of Wyoming for all mandatory Class I areas within the state, is the rate of visibility change necessary to achieve natural visibility conditions by the year 2064. The URP represents the slope between baseline visibility conditions in 2004 and natural visibility conditions in2064. Using interpolation, the improvement necessary by 2018 to achieve natural visibility conditions in2064 can be calculated as shown in Table 7.2-1. The URP is discussed in greater detail in Chapters 3 and 5. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 124 ol 206 lt4 Goal for mins Class I Areas IMPROVE Monitor Name Wyoming Class I Areas 20% WorstDavs 20% Best Davs 2000-04 Baseline (dv) 20t 8 URP Goal (dv1 201 8 Reduction Needed (dv; 2064 Natural Conditions (dv; tuture uate ior Reaching Natural Conditions at Current Rate 2000-04 Baseline (dv) 2064 Natural Conditions (dv1 YELL2 Yellorvstone Nattonal Park Grand Teton National Park Teton Wildemess Il8 105 l3 6.4 2130 26 o4 NOABI North Absaroka Wildemess Washakie Wildemess I t.5 10.4 lt 6.8 2136 2.0 06 BRIDI Bridger Wilderness FitzDatrick wilderness I l.l 10.0 l.l 6.5 2165 2.t 0.3 Table 7.2-1. 20oh Best and Worst Days Baseline, Natural Conditions, and Uniform Rate of (WRAP TS S - http ://v ista.c ira.co lostate.edu/tssl) o Four Factor Analysis In an effort to reduce visibility impairing air pollutants, emission control measures had to be evaluated. The four factor analysis process was established in the RHR and is discussed in detail in Section 7.3 of this chapter. Each emission control strategy, as required by the four factor analysis guidelines, was evaluated based on l) the cost of compliance, 2) time necessary for compliance, 3) the energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, and 4) the remaining useful life of any existing source subject to such emission controls. o Consultation With Other States According to the RHR, the State of Wyoming must consult with other states that may cause or contribute to visibility impairment in Wyoming Class I areas. For the State of Wyoming, consultations with other states contributing to visibility impairment in Class I areas were conducted through the WRAP. Additional information on the state consultations can be found in Chapter I l. o Determination of Reasonable Progress Goals Reasonable progress goals, when established, demonstrate the amount of visibility improvement the State of Wyoming believes to be feasible, based on the four factor analysis and Clean Air Act (CAA) requirements, during the first planning period. The reasonable progress goal may be the same, less stringent, or more stringent than the visibility improvement based on the URP. The reasonable progress goals, and the logic used to determine the goals, are discussed in Sections 7 .5 and 7.6 of this chapter. 7.3 Four Factor Analysis Performed for Wyoming Sources The four factor analysis, which is presented in the RHR, is a method for evaluating potential control strategies for facilities that are not eligible for Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) or better-than-BART programs. The analysis considers l) the cost of compliance, 2) the time necessary for compliance, 3) environmental impacts of compliance, and 4) the remaining useful life of the facility. Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 125 of206 I l5 The WRAP hired EC/R Incorporated (EC/R), headquartered in ChapelHill, North Carolina. to complete the four factor analysis. Control measures for NO* and direct particulate matter emissions were evaluated for selected sources in Wyoming. A four factor analysis is not required for SOz since the State of Wyoming has addressed visibility impairment associated with this pollutant under the 309 SIP previously submitted to EPA. 7.3.1 Detailed Description of the Four Factors o Cost of Compliance Both control costs and net annual costs were analyzed for all control measures identified by EC/R. Control costs cover direct and indirect capital costs. Examples of direct capital expenses includes the costs associated with purchased equipment, construction, installation, instrumentation and process controls, ductwork and piping, electrical components, and structural and foundation components. Indirect capital expenses include costs such as engineering and design, contractor fees, startup and performance testing. contingency costs, and process modifications. Net annual costs include the expenses associated with the typical operation of the control equipment over a year. Annual costs include items such as the utility expenses, labor, waste disposal expenses, and amortized costs of the capital investment. All cost estimates calculated by EC/R were updated to 2007 dollars using the Marshall and Swift Equipment Cost Index or the Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index, which are both published in the journal Chemical Ensineering. o Time Necessary for Compliance The time necessary for compliance includes the time needed for the State of Wyoming to develop and implement regulations for emissions controls, as well as the time the sources require to procure the capital to purchase the emission control equipment, design and fabricate the equipment, and to install the emission controls. When a retrofit control device is required, the time necessary for compliance includes the time for capital procurement, device design, fabrication, and instal lation. . Energy and Other Non-Air Quality Environmental Impacts Emission control devices often require some form of energy input to operate. To determine the energy requirements for a particular control device, the electricity needs, steam requirements, increased fuel requirements, and any additional energy inputs required were quantified. Only the direct energy requirements were considered; indirect energy needs, such as the amount of energy required to produce the fuel for the control device. were not analyzed. In addition, any impacts the control technologies had on other source processes, such as boiler efficiency, were not evaluated. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 126 of206 116 While the control devices reduce air pollution, they often produce waste. Environmental impacts of each control technology were analyzed by EC/R and included the waste generated, the wastewater generated, additional CO2 produced, reduced acid deposition, and reduced nitrogen deposition. If available, the benefits from PMz s and ozone reductions were also evaluated. o Remaining Equipment Life at Source The remaining equipment life of the source will impact the cost of emission control technologies if the expected life of the source is less than the lifetime of the pollution control device being considered. Therefore, if the remaining equipment life is less than the lifetime of the pollution control device, the capital cost of the pollution control device is amortized for the remaining life of the emission source. To determine the annual cost of the emission control device if the expected life of the source is less than the expected life on the control device, the following equation can be used: At:Ao+Cx t-(1*r)-- 1-(1*r)-* where: A,1 : the annual cost of control for the shorter equipment life ($) 4.6: the original annual cost estimate ($) C : the capital cost of installing the control equipment ($) r: the interest rate (0.07) m : the expected remaining life of the emission source (years) n : the projected lifetime of the pollution control equipment 7.3.2 Source Selection Process for Four Factor Analysis To select the sources that would undergo the required four factor analysis, emission data for sources in Wyoming had to first be collected. This was accomplished using the WRAP Emissions Data Management System (EDMS), which contains inventories from stationary sources, fires, area sources, on-road mobile sources, off-road mobile sources, windblown dust, and biogenic sources across the state. After evaluating the emissions, it was determined that the primary emissions from anthropogenic sources, which are sources the State of Wyoming can regulate, were NO* and SOz based on Tables 4.2-l and 4.3-1, and Figures 5.2.1-l through 5.2.1- 3 and 5.2.3-l through 5.2.3-3 found in Chapters 4 and 5. Since sources of SOz were addressed in great detail in the previous 309 submittal, this screening process focuses on NO* sources. A basic screening technique, referred to as the Quantity over Distance or "Q over D" analysis, was implemented by the State of Wyoming in order to select the sources to undergo the four factor analysis. There is no requirement to use this technique, but it has been employed by EPA and other states to roughly determine which sources had the largest contributions of visibility impairing pollutants in Class I areas in Wyoming and surrounding states. It is a basic, intuitive tool that allows the State to evaluate emissions from sources of concern. The sources of concem in this first SIP were the large sources that were similar in magnitude to the sources covered under BART, but were not covered by the timeframe requirements of BART. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page127 o1206 lt7 The screening technique included sources when the following was met: 3=ro where Q represents the maximum emission rate, in tons per year, of the source and D is the distance in kilometers to the nearest Class I area. A spreadsheet showing all of the sources with a Q/D greater than l0 can be found in Chapter 7 of the Wyoming TSD. Three emission units were identified in the state having f = to and thereby selected to undergo the four factor analysis. 7.3.3 PacifiCorp Dave Johnston Electric Generating Station Two units, BW4l and BW42, at the Dave Johnston Electric Generating Station were selected for the four factor analysis in Wyoming. Both units are sub-bituminous coal-fired boilers capable of producing up to I 14 megawatts (M\[D. Emissions are currently controlled with a cold-side electrostatic precipitator (ESP). Four possible emission control devices were identified and analyzed using the four factor analysis process for the boilers: low NO* burners (LNB), low NO* burners with overfire air (LNB w/OFA), selective non-catalyic reduction (SNCR), and selective catalytic reduction (SCR). LNB technology reduces the amount ofNO* produced by reducing the flame temperature. The flame temperature is reduced by controlling the fuel and air mixing, which creates a larger, branched flame. LNB w/OFA reduces NO* emissions by separating the combustion air into primary and secondary flows. When the combustion air is separated, a more complete burn occurs and forms N2 rather than NO*. With SNCR, an aqueous reagent, typically either ammonia or urea, is injected into the hot flue gas. The reagent reacts with the NO* in the gas to form Nz and water vapor. Similar to the SNCR technology, SCR technology uses ammonia to reduce NO* to Nz and H2O. However, with SCR the NO" in the flue gas reacts with the ammonia within a catalyst bed. o Cost The estimated capital costs, annual costs, and the cost effectiveness for the possible emission control devices at the Dave Johnston Electric Generating Station are shown in Table 7 .3.3-1. The capital costs, which are expressed in terms of cost per MW size, were estimated based on a cost estimate document produced by the EPA.4 The capital costs for the Dave Johnston boilers had to be extrapolated from the cost estimate data provided by the EPA reference due to their large size. To determine the annual costs for the control devices, the capital costs were amortized over 20 years at an interest rute of 7o/o and then multiplied by a factor to account for operation and maintenance (O&M) costs. While SCR is expected to be far more efficient in controlling NO* emissions than LNB or LNB ilOFA, the estimated capital and annual costs are far higher than the costs associated with LNB or LNB w/OFA. As shown in Table 7.3.3-1, NO* oeea IZOOZ;, EPA Air Pollution Control Cost Manual,6th ed.,EPN452ts-02-001, U.S. EPA, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, RTP, NC, Section 5 - SO2 and Acid Gas Controls, pp l-30 through l-42, http://www.epa. gov/ttncatc I /products.html#cccinfo. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 128 of206 l18 reductions using LNB or LNB WOFA technology are far more cost effective than the SNCR and SCR technologies. Table 7.3.3-1. Estimated Costs of Potential Emission Control Devices for Two Boilers at the Dave Johnston Electric Generation Station* Cost Estimates UnitID Control Technology Estimated Control Fflirienru 1ol.\ Estimated Capital Cost/(\Annual Cost ($&eaO Cost Effectrveness ($/ton) BW4l LNB LNB w/OFA SNCR SCR 5l 65 40 80 4.030.000 5.760.000 4, l 60,000 I I 500 000 631.000 962,000 2,490,000 3.390.000 528 632 2,659 I.810 BW42 I,NB LNB w/OFA SNCR SCR 5l 65 40 80 4.030,000 5,760,000 4, l 60,000 I 1.500.000 631,000 962,000 2,490.000 3.390.000 538 644 2,709 1.8,t4*All values listed in Table 7.3.3-l were obtained from the ECIR Incorporated report "Supplementary Inlbrmation for Four-Factor Analyses for Selected Individual Facilities in Wyoming" and is included in Chapter 7 of the Wyoming TSD. o Time Necessary for Compliance EC/R estimated that it would take nearly five and a half years for NO* reduction strategies to become effective. It was determined that roughly two years would be necessary for the State of Wyoming to develop the necessary regulations to implement the selected control measures. EC/R estimated that it would take up to a year for the source to secure the capital necessary to purchase emission control devices. Based on estimates calculated by the Institute of Clean Air Companies (ICAC), approximately l8 months would be required for a company to design, fabricate, and install SCR or SNCR technology. Since there are two boilers being evaluated at Dave Johnston, an additional year may be required for staging the installation process. . Energy and Non-Air Quality Environmental Impacts The energy required to operate the emission control devices, including electricity and steam, and the waste produced by the emission control devices, such as solid waste and wastewater, are shown in Table 7.3.3-2. As illustrated by the values in Table 7.3.3-2, none of the four technologies are expected to produce solid waste or wastewater. However, it should be noted that the SCR technology would periodically produce solid waste when the catalyst would need to be changed. While LNB and LNB dOFA do not require steam, both SNCR and SCR require steam to operate. None of the technologies are expected to increase fuel consumption, though LNB and LNB ilOFA may reduce the fuel consumption due to optimized fuel combustion. In addition, LNB and LNB WOFA technologies need roughly l/6th the electricity required by SNCR and l/150tr the electricity required by SCR. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 129 of206 l19 Table 7.3.3-2. Estimated Energy and Non-Air Environmental Impacts of Potential Emission Control Devices for Two Boilers at the Dave Johnston Electric Generation Station* F-nerfl anr A Jmnant< UnitID Control Technology Estimated Control F.fficienru /o/"\ bleculclty Requirementslkw\ Steam Requirements /lh/hr) Solid Waste Generated (ton/hr) Wastewater Produced (gallmin) BW4t LNB LNB WOFA SNCR SCR 5l 65 40 80 5.4 5.4 3l 825 N/A N/A 439 527 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A BW42 LNB LNB ilOFA SNCR SCR 5l 65 40 80 54 5.4 3l 825 N/A N/A 431 517 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A All values listed in Table 7 .3.3-2 were obtained from the ECIR Incorporated report "Supplementary Information for Four-Factor Analyses fbr Selected Individual Facilities in Wyoming" and is included in Chapter 7 of the Wyoming TSD. o Remaining Life of the Boilers The remaining life of the boilers at the Dave Johnston facility is not expected to have an impact on the cost ofthe control technologies. . Dave Johnston Boilers BW4l and BW42 Four Factor Analysis Conclusion As discussed previously, the LNB and LNB w/OFA emission control technologies have a relatively low cost effectiveness value when compared with the SCR and SNCR technologies. While the LNB and LNB w/OFA estimated control efficiencies are between fifteen and twenty- nine percent lower than the SCR technology, the electricity requirements are far lower for LNB and LNB dOFA and neither requires steam. In addition SCR will produce solid waste every time the catalyst must be replaced. Therefore, based on the relatively low cost effectiveness, the reasonable control efficiency, possible reduction in fuel usage, low electricity requirements, and the fact that solid waste and wastewater will not be produced, the LNB or LNB w/OFA seem to be the most reasonable choice for the Dave Johnston Electric Generating Station boilers BW4l and BW42 based on the four factor analysis. The implementation of new control technologies on the two boilers are discussed in further detail in Chapter 8 (Section 8.3.4), Long-Term Strategy. 7.3.4 Mountain Cement Company, Laramie Plant At the Mountain Cement Company, Laramie Plant, only one unit was selected for the four factor analysis. The selected source, Cement Kiln #2, is a long dry kiln that can produce up to 1,500 tons of clinker per day. Several options are available for the control of NO" emissions and include both combustion and NO* removal controls. Combustion control options include direct-fired low NO* burners (LNB), indirect-fired LNB, and the CemStar process. NO* removal control options include biosolid injection, LoTO*rM, selective catalytic reduction (SCR), selective non-catalyic reduction (SNCR), and NO*OUT. Low NO* burners, whether installed on direct or indirect-fired kilns, reduce the flame turbulence, delay the fuel/air mixing, and establish fuel-rich zones for initial Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page '130 of 206 120 combustion. These three factors contribute to a reduction in thermal NO* formation. The CemStar process introduces a small amount of steel slag to the kiln feed, which helps reduce the ki ln operating temperature. Biosolid injection uses wastewater treatment plant solids to reduce the kiln temperature required to produce clinker. The LoTO* system (licensed by the BOC group), which injects ozone into the kiln, oxidizes NO* and the resulting higher oxides of nitrogen are then removed by a wet scrubber. SCR technology uses a catalyst such as titanium dioxide or vanadium pentoxide to convert NO* to Nz and H2O. SNCR, while similar to SCR, uses ammonia or urea to reduce NO* formation, but does not require a catalyst. NO*OUT is similar to SNCR and uses urea to convert NO* to nitrate and oxygen, but also has a proprietary additive that allows for a wider temperature range than the typical SNCR system. o Cost The estimated capital costs, annual costs, and the cost effectiveness for the possible emission control devices compiled by EC/R for the Mountain Cement Company, Laramie Plant are shown in Table 7.3.4-L Two options, SCR and LoTO*rM have high control efficiencies that are predicted to be over 80%. However, no cost data was available for the LoTO*rM system, making it impossible to evaluate its viability at the Laramie facility. SCR, while an effective control technology, has a cost effectiveness value that makes it cost prohibitive. Of the more cost effective options, SNCR using either urea or ammonia appears to be the most reasonable. SNCR provides a control efliciency similar to many of the other control technologies, but with a far better cost effectiveness ratio. Table 7.3.4-1. Estimated Costs of Potential Emission Control Devices for One Cement Kiln at the Mountain Cement Companv. Laramie Plant.* 'All values listed in Table 7.3.4-l were obtained from the EC/R Incorporated report "Supplementary Intbrmation tbr Four-Factor Analyses for Selected Individual Facilities in Wyoming" and is included in Chapter 7 of the Wyoming TSD. o Time Necessary for Compliance EC/R estimated that it could potentially take seven years to achieve emission reductions at the Laramie facility. This estimate includes the two years that will be necessary for the State of Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 131 of206 ement uom Cost Estimates Unit ID Control Technology Estimated Control Ffficiencv loZ\ Pollutant Controlled Estimated Capital Cost /s\ Annual Cost ($/year)Cost Effectiveness ($/ton) Kiln #2 LNB (indirect) LNB (direct) Biosolid Injection NO"OUT CemSTAR LoTO*rM SCR SNCR (urea) SNCR (ammonia) 30-40 40 50 35 20-60 80-90 80 35 35 NO- 826,000 2.460,000 474,000 960,000 Unknown Unknown 27,042,000 Unknown Unknown 205,000 449,000 -t27,000 507,000 Unknown Unknown 7,553,000 Unknown Unknown 6,568-4,9 I 0 I 3,853 1,324 8,023 Unknown Unknown 82,535 1,223 1.223 Fabric Filter Drv ESP 99 os-or PMro 5.26t.000 o qr6 nno 4.45 t .000 A 17S nnn 262,489 48f 156 - 470 292 Fabric Filter Dry ESP 99 95-98 PMzs 5,261,000 I O q?6 nOO 4,451,000 6 475 nOO 647,4'72 I.242.915-I.t60.054 121 Wyoming to implement new regulations and the I year Mountain Cement will likely need to obtain the necessary capital for the purchase of new emission control technology. However, the total time necessary varies based on the control technology selected. For example, it is predicted that one and a half years willbe required to design, fabricate, and install SCR or SNCR technology, while over two and a half years will be required to design, fabricate, and install LoTO*rM technology. o Energy and Non-Air Quality Environmental Impacts Table 7 .3.4-2 details the energy requirements and waste produced by the potential emission control devices. Energy requirements include direct electricity and steam requirements. but do not include the energy required to produce the steam and electricity. None of the NO* control technologies require additional fuel and some are even predicted to increase fuel efficiency. The options that are expected to increase fuel efficiency are indirect and direct LNB, biosolid injection, and CemSTAR. However, there is no data indicating the expected fuel efficiency increase. Without adequate data, it is not possible to determine if the increase in fuel efficiency is substantial and if there is any advantage to selecting an option that increases fuel efficiency over an option that does not increase fuel efficiency. Several of the NO* control technologies are expected to require electricity and include both direct and indirect LNB, LoTO,rM, and SNCR using urea or ammonia. Many of the technologies did not have sufficient data to quantify the energy requirements. This made it difficult to adequately evaluate the control options based on electricity requirements. However, some of the NO* control technologies are not predicted to have electricity requirements, which could make those options potentially more attractive. Those options include SCR, CemSTAR, NO*OUT, and biosolid injection. None of the NO* controltechnologies are expected to require steam. Only a few of the NO, control technologies are expected to produce waste, whether solid waste or wastewater. LoTO* is expected to produce both solid waste and wastewater, but estimates on the amount are not available at this time. Spent catalyst for SCR systems must be replaced periodically, which becomes solid waste. In addition, some fine particulate matter is produced by SCR systems that must be collected by a fabric filter or dry electrostatic precipitator (ESP). The particulate matter collected by a fabric filter or dry ESP must be disposed of as solid waste; the presence of fine particles from the catalyst may require disposal as a hazardous waste. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 132 of206 t22 Table 7.3.4-2. Estimated Energy and Non-Air Environmental Impacts of Potential Emission Control Devices for Kiln #2 atthe Mountain Cement Company, Laramie Plant* a - The control technology is expected to improve fuel efficiency. b - Impact not expected. c - Electricity requirements are expected to be high, but not enough data to quantiry. d - Technology expected to have an impact, but insul'ficient data available to evaluate requirements. e - Spent catalyst will have to be disposed ofon occasion. 'All values listed in Table7.3.4-2 were obtained from the EC/R Incorporated report "Supplementary Information for Four-Factor Analyses tbr Selected Individual Facilities in Wyoming" and is included in Chapter 7 of the Wyoming TSD. o Remaining Equipment Life If Mountain Cement chooses to replace kiln #2, then the cost of the control technologies for the currently operating kiln would likely be cost prohibitive. If Mountain Cement decides not to replace kiln #2, then the remaining life of the kiln would likely be indefinite. Under this scenario, the lifetime of the selected control technology could be assumed to be equal to or less than the lifetime of the cement kiln. The capital cost of the control technology would not have to be amortized over the kiln lifetime, thus eliminating the impact of the remaining equipment life on the cost of the controltechnology. The implementation of new controltechnologies on the cement kiln is discussed in Chapter 8 (Section 8.3.4), Long-Term Strategy. 7.3.5 Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Field Operations Oil and gas production, which is not limited to just one area of Wyoming, is an important and critical component of the state economy. Sources associated with oil and gas production emit NO* and PM. Sources include turbines, diesel engines, glycol dehydrators, amine treatment units, flares and incinerators. Emissions from large stationary oil and gas sources in the WRAP region have been well quantified over the years, while smaller field and production sources are not as well understood. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 133 of206 Energy and Non-Air Pollution Impcts (oer ton ofemission reduced) Unit ID Control Technology Potentlal Emission Reductions (1000 tonVvr) Pollutant Controlled Additional Fuel Requirements (o/"\ Electricity Requirements (kW-hr) Steam Requirements (lb/hr) Solid Waste Generated (ton/hr) Wastewater Produced (gallmin) Kiln #2 LNB (indirect) LNB (direct) Biosolid Injection NO.OUT CemSTAR LoTO*rM SCR SNCR (urea) SNCR (ammonia) 157-210 2lo 262 lE3 105-314 419472 419 183 183 NO, a a a b a b b b b t82 182 b b b b d A b b b b b b b b b b b b b b d e b h b b b b b d b b h Fabric Filter Drv ESP 37 l5 PMro b b d d b b b b Fabric Filter Drv ESP 36-37 l4-15 PM:s b h d A b h b h 123 To better understand the emissions from all oil and gas sources across the region, the WRAP region instituted a three-phase emission inventory project. Phase I, which was completed in 2005, was an emission inventory project that estimated regional emissions from oil and gas field operations for the first time. Phase II, completed in late 2007, was an effort to more fully characterize the oil and gas field operations emissions. The WRAP inventory currently addresses only large stationary sources and a consistent reporting system for oil and gas emissions for WRAP member states has not yet been developed. Members of the Independent Petroleum Association of Mountain States (IPAMS) felt that still more improvement in the accuracy of these emission estimates was needed. So, in late 2007, IPAMS initiated a Phase III regional oil and gas emission inventory project funded by their organization. The project was undertaken in conjunction with the WRAP to assure that the products from Phase ill were widely distributed among non-industry stakeholders (state/local agencies, tribal air programs, Federal Land Managers, environmental groups and EPA). Phase III results will not be ready for this SIP review. While inventory work has not been completed on the oil and gas industry, the WRAP did engage EC/R to assist with the four factor analysis for oil and gas. ECIR evaluated control technologies for common emission sources in the oil and gas industry: reciprocating engines and turbines, process heaters, flares and incinerators, and sulfur recovery units. For compressor engines and gas-fueled reciprocating engines, potential control options presented by EC/R include air-fuel ratio controls (AFRC), ignition timing retard, low-emission combustion (LEC) retrofit, selective catalyic reduction (SCR), selective non-catalyic reduction (SNCR), and replacement with electric motors. LEC retrofit technology requires modification of the combustion system to increase the air-to-fuel ratio, which creates very lean combustion conditions. Currently in Wyoming, many of the rich-burn engines associated with compressor stations utilize SNCR in conjunction with AFRC, while lean-burn engines often utilize an oxidation catalyst to reduce emissions. Regulating drill rig engines is problematic for states. Drill rig engines are, for the most part, considered mobile sources and emission limits for mobile sources are set by the Federal government under Section 202 of the CAA. Several control options exist and include ignition timing retard, exhaust gas recirculation, SCR, replacement of Tier 2 engines with Tier 4 engines, and diesel oxidation catalyst. Other common oil and gas exploration and production equipment also have emission control device options. Turbine emissions can be controlled by water or steam injection, low NO* burners, SCR, and water or steam injection with SCR. NO* emission controltechnologies for process heaters include LNB, ultra-low NO, burners (ULNB), LNB with flue gas recirculation (FGR), SNCR, SCR, and LNB installed in conjunction with SCR. Glycol circulation rates on glycol dehydrators can be optimized to reduce VOC emissions. Controlmeasures for flares, incinerators, and sulfur recovery units evaluated by EC/R control only SOz emissions and are not addressed in this SIP. NO* emissions vary based on the equipment and fuel source. Emissions from individual natural gas-fired turbines at production operations can be as high as 877 tons of NO, per year (tpy), Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 134 of206 124 while emissions from individual natural gas turbines at exploration operations can reach l3 I tpy. Individual gas reciprocating engines have comparable NO* emissions with up to 700 tpy at production operations and2l0 tpy at exploration operations. Diesel engine emissions can approach 46tpy for production operations and l0 tpy for exploration operations. r Cost Table 7.3.5-l lists the various controltechnologies identified by EC/R for oil and gas field operations. Both the capital and annual costs for each technology is dependent on the engine size or on the process throughput. For several of the control technologies listed in Table 7.3.5-1, cost estimate ranges are provided. The lower end of the cost estimates represent the cost per unit for the larger units or higher production due to economy of scale, while the higher end of the cost estimates represent the cost per unit for the smaller units or lower production. Flares, incinerators, sulfur recovery units, and glycol dehydrators were not included because the controltechnology evaluated by EC/R for those sources were only applicable for SOz or VOCs, which are not addressed by this SIP. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 135 of 206 r25 able 7.3.5-1. Estimated Costs for Oil and Gas Exoloration and Production Eouinmen Cost Estimates Source Type Control Technology Estimated Control F{finipncw Iol^\ Pollutant Controlled ESTMAteC Capital Cost($/unit) Annual Cost ($&earlunit)Units Cost Effectiveness (S/ton) Compressor Engines Air-fuel ratio control (AFRC)I 0-40 NO-5.3 - 42 0.9 - 6.8 hp 68 - 2.500 Ignition timing retard I 5-30 NO*N/A l-3 hp 42 - 1,200 LEC retrofit 80-90 NO..120-820 30 - 210 ND 320 - 2.500 SCR 90 NO.100-450 40 -270 hD 870-31.000 SNCR 90 -99 NO't7 -35 3-6 ND 16 - 36 Replacement with electric motors 100 100 100 NO. PMro PMrr 120- 140 38-44 hp I 00 - 4,700 >79,000 >79.000 Drilling Rig Engines and Other Engines lgnition timing l5-30 NO.t6 - 120 t4-66 hp I,000 - 2,200 Exhaust gas recirculation (EGR)40 NO*100 26-67 hp 780 - 2,000 SCR 80-95 NO.tno-, noo dn- | ,no nn 3000-7700 Replacement of Tier 2 engines with Tier 4 87 85 85 NO- PM,n PMri 125 20 hp 900 - 2,400 25,000 - 68,000 25.000 - 68.000 Diesel oxidation catalvst 25 25 PMro PMri l0 1.7 hp I.400 Turbines Water or steam iniection 68-80 NO*4.4 - 16 2-5 IOOO BTU s60 - 3,100 Low NO" bumers rI NRI 68-84 NO.8-22 2.7 -8.5 I OOO BTU 2.000- 10,000 SCR 90 NO -14 5 I - t3 1000 BTII I 000-6 700 Water or steam iniection with SCR 93-96 NO-tt-14 5 t -13 IOOO BTU I.000 - 6.700 Process Heaters LNB 40 NO"3.8 - 7.6 0.41 - 0.81 IOOO BTU 2.1 00 - 2.800 Ultra-Low NO, Bumers /l II -NB)75-85 NO"4.0- l3 043-1.3 I OOO BTU l, 500 - 2,000 LNB and FGR 48 NO,l6 1.7 IOOO BTU 2_600 SNCR 60 NO.to-22 - 24 to00 BTII 4.700 - 5.200 SCR 70-90 NO.33-48 3.7 -5.6 IOOO BTU 2.900 - 6.700 LNB and SCR NU.-))4-63 I 000 qt)ft - 6 ?llt All values listed in Table 7.3.5-l were summal'ized t-rom the EC/R Incorporated report "Supplementary Intbrmation for Four Factor Analyses by WRAP States" and is included in Chapter 7 of the Wyoming TSD. Based on available State permitting data, some of the larger compressor engines in the state can approach 2,900 hp, while coal bed methane engines can be as small as 98 hp. Some of the emissions control technologies for compressor engines, such as SCR, can become quite costly based on the horsepower (hp) of the engine. This also holds true for other oil and gas exploration and production equipment depending on the engine size or production. Drilling rig engines can range from 550 hp for diesel engines up to 2,119 hp for naturalgas engines, with I ,47 6 hp engines common in the field. Turbines are generally around I I 2 MMBtU/hr, though turbines can be as small as 0.4 MMBtu/hr or as large as 380 MMBtu/hr. Process heaters in Wyoming commonly range from 0.87 MMBtu/hr to 1.5 MMBtu/hr, with process heaters having a throughput of 0.75 MMBtuftrr being common in the state. In the case of compressor engines, many facilities throughout the state have already installed control equipment. For lean bum engines, oxidation catalysts are commonly installed while SNCR catalysts with AFRC are commonly installed for rich burn engines. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page '136 of 206 126 o Time Necessary fbr Compliance ECIR predicted that up to two years would potentially be required for Wyoming to develop the necessary regulations. It is estimated that companies would require a year to procure the necessary capital to purchase the control equipment. The time required to design. fabricate, and install control technologies vary based on the control technology selected and other factors. It is predicted that I 3 months would be required for the design, fabrication, and installation of SCR or SNCR technology, though some regulators have found that the time required is closer to l8 months. If multiple sources at a facility are to be controlled, an additional l2 months may be required for staging the installation process. The implementation of new controltechnologies for oil and gas operations is discussed in further detail in Chapter 8, Long-Term Strategy. 7.4 309 SIP and 309(9) 51.309(g) allows the State to demonstrate reasonable progress for Wyoming's seven Class I areas by building upon and taking full credit for the strategies already adopted, and taking full credit for the strategies already adopted for protecting the 16 Class I areas on the Colorado Plateau with a primary emphasis on controlling SO2 and anthropogenic smoke. AII of those strategies have been submitted to EPA under a 309 SIP. Furthermore, those strategies have been included in the WRAP regional modeling demonstration establishing expected visibility conditions on the most impaired and least impaired days for all of Wyoming's Class I areas. A comparative review of Wyoming SOz source impact on the Colorado Plateau Class I areas and the Wyoming Class I areas shows that reductions in SOz have a much greater impact on Wyoming Class I areas than those on the Colorado Plateau. This Plan, which is submitted under 309(g), contains many additional measures focused on controlling NO* and PM. The combined SO2 control strategies of the 309 SIP and the 309(9) SIP, which have been modeled by the WRAP, provide the basis for established reasonable progress goals in Wyoming's Class I areas. 7.5 Setting Reasonable Progress Goals Under Section 308(dXl) of the Regional Haze Rule, states must "establish goals (expressed in deciviews) that provide for reasonable progress towards achieving natural visibility conditions" for each Class I area of the state. These RPGs must provide for an improvement in visibility for the most impaired visibility days, and ensure no degradation for the least impaired visibility days over the same period. The RPGs are interim goals that represent incremental visibility improvement over time. in this case out to the year 2018, to be compared to the 2018 Uniform Rate of Progress (URP) glide slope. Based on the steps outlined in SectionT.2 and the Four- Factor Analysis in Section 7.3,the Division has established RPGs for each of Wyoming's seven Class I areas, as described below. These RPGs are based primarily on results of the CMAQ modeling described in Section 5.1 .2, and on the four-factor analysis on major source categories. These goals do not reflect additional improvements in visibility from controls that were not included in the 2018 WRAP modeling. [t would be difficult to set goals lower than the anticipated target without additional modeling. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-'13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 137 of206 Table 7.5-1. Reasonable Progress Goals for 20o/o Worst Days and 20ohBest Days for Yellowstone National Park Grand Teton National Park Teton Wilderness North Absaroka Wilderness Washakie Wilderness Table 7.5-l shows that for the20Yo best days, the RPGs show an improvement over baseline conditions, and thus ensure no visibility degradation. For the 207o worst days, the RPGs are short of the 2018 URP, but can be justified based on the demonstration provided in Section 7.6. Class I Areas (WRAP TSS - http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/tss/) 7.6 Demonstration That the RPGs for 20 Percent Best and Worst Days are Reasonable EPA guidance indicates that "States may establish an RPG that provides for greater, lesser or equivalent visibility improvement as that described by the glidepath." The 2018 RPGs identified in Table 7.5-l for 20 percent worst days show an improvement in visibility, although less than the 2018 URP. The Division believes that RPGs are reasonable based on the following factors: I . Emissions from natural sources greatly affect the State's ability to meet the 2018 deciview URP goal. The analysis in Chapters 4 and 5 of this Plan containing summaries of emissions data, source apportionment, and modeling shows the contribution from natural or nonanthropogenic sources, such as natural wildfire and windblown dust is the primary reason for not achieving the 2018 URP in Wyoming's Class I areas. The State has little or no control over OC, EC, PMz.s, coarse PM and soil emissions associated with natural fire and windblown dust. Prolonged droughts in the West have resulted in extensive wildfires and increased dust emissions. The idea of setting deciview URP goals was developed before the causes of haze in the West were well understood. The extensive technical analysis of the causes of haze conducted by the WRAP has led to a better understanding of the role of wildfire and dust in visibility impairment. As long as there are wildfires in the Western United States, there will be significant impact to visibility in Class I areas and there is little states can do about it. 2. Emissions from sources outside the WRAP modeling domain (international emissions) also affect the State's ability to meet the 2018 URP goal. The analysis in Chapter 5 of this Plan containing monitoring and modeling results shows the emissions from international sources are a significant contributor to sulfate and nitrate concentrations at the monitors in most Western Class I areas, including those in Wyoming. The State has little or no control over emissions coming from other countries in the world. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 138 of206 128 5. Major reductions in SOz emissions established in the previously submitted Wyoming 309 SIP demonstrate the State's commitment to reducing visibility impairment. Tremendous progress has already been made toward capping and controlling SO2 emissions from major point sources from the four states that have elected to participate in the Westem Backstop Trading Program, including Wyoming. The largest point source category of NO, emissions is coal-fired power plants. In Wyoming. significant reductions from these plants will be achieved through the implementation of BART levels established in this Plan, as well as additional reductions committed to in the long-term strategy. The second largest category of stationary sources in the West is oil and gas development and production. Increased oil and gas development is expected in many areas of the West, due in large part to increased leasing to oil and gas operators on Federal land. The WRAP has developed the first comprehensive oil and gas inventory in the Western United States, and many states are moving forward with evaluating control options. Wyoming is evaluating and testing many of the control strategies, but the specific strategies are not ready for incorporation into this first round of regional haze SIPs. Control options for ozone are being evaluated simultaneously and the State believes that many co-benefits from controlling emissions for ozone will be realized under the regional haze program. Numerous additional emission reductions from oil and gas are expected over the next ten-year period. Wyoming Class I areas have some of the cleanest air in the United States. The haziest days in Wyoming generally have the same level of visibility impairment as the clearest days in the Eastern United States. Monitors at visibility sites in Wyoming Class I areas show fine particle loadings that are a fraction of those in the East, and Rayleigh, or natural light scattering, dominates the clearest days in the West. Therefore, it is more difficult to show improvement in visibility over time in Wyoming than it is in an Eastern state because the state is starting out so clean. Wyoming is not alone in setting reasonable progress goals which do not achieve the uniform rate of progress. The vast majority of sites in the Westem United States will not come close to URP goals primarily because controllable emissions are only a small fraction of the total contribution to visibility impairment in the Western Class I areas.t Reasonable progress goals in Wyoming have been based on the control strategies of fwo major State Implementation Plans - 309 and 309(9). Major work undertaken by the State of Wyoming along with three other Western states and one local entity to cap and reduce SOz emissions represents major progress towards controlling SO2. Capping and reducing SOz from all of Wyoming's 100-ton sources has a bigger impact on nearby Wyoming Class I areas than Class I areas on the Colorado Plateau. The 309 program provides a declining cap for all non-BART 100-ton SO2 sources through 201 8. Visibility t Source Contributions to Visibility Impairment in the Southeastern and Western United States (Patricia Brewer and Tom Moore) 3. 4. 7. 8. 6. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 139 of206 129 improvement, as it relates to sulfate extinction, has been demonstrated at all of Wyoming's Class I areas as a result of the application of the 309 program. This visibility information is shown in Chapter 6 of this SIP in Table 6.2-2. Additional work completed for the 309(9) requirements, which is spelled out in great detail in this SIP, provides still fumher improvement. 9. Wyoming air quality monitoring for visibility pollutants has not shown a trend toward degraded visibility resulting from anthropogenic sources thus far, in spite of industrial growth. Time series plots of individual chemical species measured for visibility on the worst days are shown below. While organic carbon measurements (primarily from forest fires) show a high degree of variability from year to year, sulfates and nitrates (primarily from anthropogenic sources) have not shown a significant degree of variation over time. Figure 7.6-1. Time Series Plot by Pollutant on}Ooh Worst Days for Yellowstone NP, Grand Teton NP. and Teton Wilderness Area (WRAP TS S - http ://vi sta.c ira.colostate. edu/tssA Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 140 of206 Monibring Data forWorst 2090 Visibili$ Days Class I Areas- or€nd Tslon NP, WY: Red R0rlr LakBS NlryEW, HT:TBtonlrY. WY:YellowshnB NP, tryY 20.0 't8.0 16.0 t{0 12.0 E ro.oE 80 6.0 1.t] 2.0 0.0 il S0{Edinc'tim +N03Ertindin +otlcE$irclim +EC Ediqdkn +SrrilEdirrlion *CllEffiin 130 Figure 7.G2. Time Series Plot by Pollutant on 20o/o Worst Days for North Absaroks and Washakie Wildernees Aroas Figure 7.G3. Time Series Ptot by Pollutant oa20o/o Worst Days for Brldger and lVildemcss Arees Exhibit No.4 Case No.IPC-E-1&16 T. Harvey,lPC Page 141 of206 13t CHAPTER 8 LONG-TERM STRATEGY 8.1 Overview The RegionalHaze Rule requires states to submit a l0-15 year long-term strategy (LTS) to address regional haze visibility impairment in each Class I area in the state, and for each Class I area outside the state which may be affected by emissions from the state. The LTS must include enforceable measures necessary to achieve reasonable progress goals, and identiff all anthropogenic sources of visibility impairment considered by the state in developing the long- term strategy. Where the state contributes to Class I visibility impairment in other states it must consult with those states and develop coordinated emission management strategies, and demonstrate it has included all measures necessary to obtain its share of the emission reductions. If the state has participated in a regional planning process, the state must include measures needed to achieve its obligations agreed upon through that process. 8.1.1 Summary of all Anthropogenic Sources of Visibility Impairment Considered in Developing the Long-Term Strategy Section 51.308(dx3)(iv) of the Regional Haze Rule requires the identification of "all anthropogenic sources of visibility impairment considered by the State when developing its long- term strategy." Chapter 4 of this Plan describes Wyoming statewide emissions, including projections of emissions reductions from anthropogenic sources from 2002 to 2018. Chapter 5 of this Plan provides source apportionment results, including projected reductions from anthropogenic sources during the same period. Chapter 5 addresses anthropogenic sources from all potential sources in the world. Chapter 7 includes the results of a screening analysis which identifies the major anthropogenic sources in the State of Wyoming. Together, these three chapters show the major anthropogenic sources affecting regional haze in Wyoming and in the West. Chapter 7 further describes the major anthropogenic source categories evaluated through the four-factor analysis. 8.1.2 Summary of Interstate Transport and Contribution Sections 51.308(dx3)(i) and (ii) of the Regional Haze Rule requires that the Long-Term Strategy address the contribution of interstate transport of haze pollutants between states. Chapter 4 of this Plan illustrated Wyoming statewide emissions, while Chapter 5 identified interstate transport of pollutants and larger source categories based on source apportionment results. 8.1.2.1 Other States' Class I Areas Affected by Wyoming Emissions Wyoming used baseline period visibility data from the IMPROVE monitors along with the WRAP baseline modeling results to estimate Wyoming's emissions impact on neighboring states'Class I areas (see Figure 8.1.2.1-l). Wyoming focused on anthropogenic emissions transported to other states, primarily sulfates and nitrates. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 142 ot 206 132 Figure 8.1.2.1-1 Wyoming, South Dakota, Montaro, ldaho, t Sawtoothfildemess YellowstoneNP * rakiawitrtames< : i Grandreton ruei;ffiashakiewildemess i { l- Teton wirdemess (Red) ;4-padlands NP Craters of the Moon NM I ;*"; l ' t Wind Cave NP5 or Ine Moon r\n ; t Fitzpatrick wildemess BridgerWfldern""" \-J i-- -- -- 1 Wyomingrii1,l l.*_._.._.._ . uorntiilr witd;;-l- -1 *"*"n *ua".""": ' t --''--- Utah - I t RockYMountainNP Flat I ops vYlldemess i \ Eagles Nest Wildemess I \ Maroon Bells-Snowmass Wildemess' Arches NP I -1..-. :-'--:'.-"-..-l I rf WestElkWildemesscanitol Reer NP \ canfiranas rue ;"I#;:, or the Gunnison/ \ - '- I *rt'o"1%Y11"{::fr- . f r' i ' , GreatSandDunesNPZion National Park ;q Bryce Canyon Nationai park Weminuche Wildemess: '' Mesa Verde NP GOlOfadO \ . ..\ Utah, North Dakota and Colorado Class I Areas ,o\Wildemess ? ,r-i*\::ga-\ _ 5ilil;;**d".;;.*-] south Dakota I Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 143 of 206 In the table below, the first column shows the contribution of nitrates to visibility impairment at surrounding Class I areas calculated from the IMPROVE monitoring data measured during ths baseline period to provide perspective on the role of nitrates to overall impairment. The second column shows Wyoming's contribution to particle mass calculated from the modeled concentrations of nitrate for the baseline years. The table below illustrates two things: l) the role of nitrates in visibility impairment at the Class I area, and 2) the probable share of Wyoming emissions contributing to the pollutant species. Table 8.1.2.1-1. Nitrate Contribution to Haze in Baseline Years When modeled, Wyoming NO, emissions contribute up to l8 percent of the nitrate concentrations at some neighboring states on worst days. As shown in the above table, however, nitrate contributes only l4 percent of the visibility impairment at the corresponding nearest Class I areas in neighboring states. Hence, only a small portion of out-of-state visibility degradation is due to nitrate formed from Wyoming emissions. By 2018, NO* emissions from Wyoming are projected by the WRAP to decrease by 39,861 tons, which will help reduce Wyoming's impact to out of state Class I areas. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 144 ol 206 State and Mandatory Class I Area 2000-2004 Average Annual Nitrate Share of Particle Light Extinction (measured values) 2000-2004 Wyoming's Average Annual Share of Nitrate Concentration (based on modelins) Worst Davs Best Davs Worst Davs Best Davs South Dakota Wind Cave National Park l4Yo 5%t8%34% Badlands National Park t0%6%t2%34% Colorado Mount ZirkellRawah Wilderness*7%4%t0%8% Rocky Mountain National Park l3Yo 3%t0%8% Utah Arches/Canyonlands National Park*gYo 4Yo 20 3% Idaho Craters of the Moon NationalMonument 27%8%3%<lYo Montana Anaconda-P intler/Selway-B itterroot*3%3%3%<lYo Gates of the Mountains Wilderness 6%4%2%<lYo North Dakota Theodore Roosevelt National Park 22o/o 7%4Vo 704 Lostwood National Wildlife Refuse 3lYo \Yo 30h 2% *These Class I areas share one monitor. 134 Table 8.1.2.1-2. Sulfate Contribution to Haze in Baseline Years State and Mandatory Class I Area 2000-2004 Average Annual Sulfate Share of Particle Light Extinction (measured values) 2000-2004 Wyoming's Average Annual Share of Sulfate Concentration (based on modelins) Worst Davs Best Davs Worst Days Best Davs South Dakota Wind Cave National Park 26%t5%ll%22% Badlands National Park 33%t7%6%20% Colorado Mount Zi rkel/Rawah Wi lderness*t7%t3%7%t2% Rockv Mountain National Park t9%t1%5%t0% Utah Arches/Canvonlands National Park*t8%t5%3%8% Idaho Craters of the Moon National Monument 14%t0%2%t% Montana Anaconda-Pi ntl erlSe lway-B itterrootx tt%8%2%<1Yo Gates of the Mountains Wilderness t7%8o/o t%<lYo North Dakota Theodore Roosevelt National Park 28%t7%2%t% Lostwood National Wildlife Refuee 29Yr l9%lv,<lYo * These Class I areas share one monitor. When modeled, Wyoming sulfate emissions contribute up to I I percent of the sulfate concentrations at some neighboring states on worst days. As shown in the above table, sulfate contributes 26 percent of the visibility impairment at the corresponding nearest Class I areas in neighboring states. By 2018, SOz emissions from Wyoming are projected by the WRAP to decrease by 22,794 tons, which will help reduce Wyoming's impact on out of state Class I areas. 8.1,2.2 Wyoming Class I Areas Affected by Other States, Nations and Areas of the World The contribution of neighboring states of South Dakota, Colorado, Utah, Idaho and Montana to Wyoming Class I areas was examined to determine where significant emissions might be coming from. In the case of both nitrates and sulfates on best and worst days, the most significant impacts on all Wyoming Class I areas came from sources outside the modeling domain. These would be emissions from other parts of the world. This review has focused on nitrates and sulfates since those emissions tend to focus on anthropogenic sources. Data for this impact analysis comes from the PSAT runs performed by the WRAP and documented in the TSS. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 145 of206 135 Yellowstone National Park. Grand Teton National Park. and Teton Wilderness Area . Sulfates On the best days in the baseline years, 50 percent of the sulfates come from sources outside of the modeling domain. The next largest contribution of sulfates comes from Idaho showing a l4 percent contribution to sulfate extinction in the baseline years. Sulfates, overall, contribute llohto visibility impairment in these Class I areas on the best days. Similarly. on the worst days, most of the impact (a7%) comes from sources outside the modeling domain. The next largest contribution is from ldaho showing an eight percent contribution to sulfate extinction in the baseline years. Sulfates, overall, contribute l2%oto visibility impairment in these Class I areas on the worst days. Other states surrounding Wyoming showed smaller contributions (less than five percent). Canadian impacts were between six and nine percent on the worst and best days, respectively. Wyoming has worked with Idaho through the WRAP process and believes that Idaho is working to reduce sulfate impacts to these Class I areas. Idaho is projected by the WRAP to reduce sulfate related emissions by 13,272 tons by 2018. o Nitrates On the best days in the baseline years, 25 percent of the nitrates come from sources outside the modeling domain. 22 percent is attributed to ldaho and approximately l4 percent to Utah. Other states surrounding Wyoming, and including Wyoming, showed less than five percent impact. Overall impact of nitrates on visibility impairment on the best days is six percent in these Class I areas. On the worst days in the baseline years, 3l percent of the nitrates come from sources outside of the modeling domain, and 28 percent is attributed to ldaho sources. Other states surrounding Wyoming, and including Wyoming, showed impacts between zero and eight percent. Overall impacts from nitrates on worst days in these Class I areas is five percent. Wyoming has worked with both Idaho and Utah through the WRAP process and believes that both states are working to reduce nitrate impacts to these Class I areas. Idaho is projected by the WRAP to reduce nitrate causing emissions by 32,418 tons by 2018 and Utah is projected by the WRAP to reduce nitrate causing emissions by 71,678 tons by 2018. Brideer and Fitzpatrick Wilderness Areas o Sulfates On the best days in the baseline years, 56 percent of the sulfates come from sources outside of the modeling domain. The next largest contribution of sulfates comes from ldaho, showing an l8 percent contribution to sulfate extinction in the baseline years. Other states, including Wyoming, show less than nine percent contribution. Sulfates, overall, contribute l2%oto visibility impairment in these Class I areas on the best days. Similarly, on the worst days, most of the impact (31%) comes from sources outside the modeling domain. The next largest contribution is from Wyoming, showing a l5 percent impact to sulfate extinction in the baseline years. Other states in the region showed less than eight percent impact. Sulfates, overall, contribute l6Yoto visibility impairment in these Class I areas on the worst days. Wyoming has worked with Idaho through the WRAP process and believes that Idaho is working to reduce Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-'I3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 146 of206 136 sulfate impacts to these Class I areas. Idaho is projected by the WRAP to reduce sulfate related emissions by 13.272 tons by 2018. Emission reductions from Wyoming sources are addressed through the 309 SIP, previously submitted to EPA. o Nitrates On the best days in the baseline years, 30 percent of the nitrates come from sources outside the modeling domain. 24 percent is attributed to Utah and approximately I 5 percent to Idaho. Other states surrounding Wyoming, and including Wyoming, showed less than nine percent impact. Overall impact of nitrates on visibility impairment on the best days is three percent in these Class I areas. On the worst days in the baseline years, 22 percent of the nitrates come from sources outside of the modeling domain, and l9 percent is attributed to Wyoming. Utah and ldaho are estimated to contribute l6 and I I percent, respectively. Other states surrounding Wyoming showed impacts between one and seven percent. Overall impacts from nitrates on worst days in these Class I areas is five percent. Wyoming has worked with both ldaho and Utah through the WRAP process and believes that both states are working to reduce nitrate impacts to these Class I areas. Idaho is projected by the WRAP to reduce nitrate causing emissions by 32,418 tons by 2018 and Utah is projected by the WRAP to reduce nitrate causing emissions by 71,678 tons by 201 8. Wyoming is committed to reducing projected WRAP emissions by at least 39.861 tons by 2018. North Absaroka and Washakie Wilderness Areas r Sulfates On the best days in the baseline years, 50 percent of the sulfates come from sources outside of the modeling domain. The next largest contribution of sulfates comes from Canada, showing an l8 percent contribution to sulfate extinction in the baseline years. Other states, including Wyoming, show less than ten percent contribution. Sulfates, overall, contribute nine percent to visibility impairment in these Class I areas on the best days. Similarly, on the worst days, most of the impact (50%) comes from sources outside the modeling domain. The next largest contribution is from Canada, showing a l3 percent contribution to sulfate extinction in the baseline years. States in the region showed less than seven percent impact. Sulfates, overall, contribute l5Yo to visibility impairment in these Class I areas on the worst days. EPA is working with Canadian officials to develop cooperative strategies for reducing sulfate emissions from Canada and the U.S. r Nitrates On the best days in the baseline years, 29 percent of the nitrates come from sources outside the modeling domain. l4 percent is attributed to ldaho, l3 percent to Canada, and approximately I I percent from Utah. Other states surrounding Wyoming, and including Wyoming, showed less than seven percent impact. Overall impact of nitrates on visibility impairment on the best days is three percent in these Class I areas. On the worst days in the baseline years, 3l percent of the nitrates come from sources outside of the modeling domain, and l7 percent is attributed to ldaho. Montana and Canada are estimated to contribute l5 and l2 percent, respectively. Other states Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 147 of206 137 surounding Wyoming showed impacts between zero and five percent. Overall impacts from nitrates on worst days in these Class I areas is five percent. Wyoming has worked with ldaho through the WRAP process and believes that Idaho is working to reduce nitrate impacts to these Class I areas. Idaho is projected to reduce nitrate causing emissions by 32,418 tons by 2018. Montanaos emissions are being addressed by EPA through a Federal Implementation Plan, and nitrate emissions are projected to decrease by 63,099 tons by 2018. EPA is also working with Canadian officials to develop cooperative strategies for reducing nitrate emissions from Canada and the U.S. The Division consulted with neighboring states as part of this review, and discussed the need for coordinated strategies to address interstate transport. Based on this consultation, no significant contributions were identified that supported developing new interstate strategies. Both Wyoming and neighboring states agreed that the implementation of BART and other existing measures in state regionalhaze plans were sufficient to address the contributions discussed below. This interstate consultation is an on-going process and continuing commitment between states. See Chapter 1l for further information. 8.1..3 Summary of Interstate Consultation In addition to evaluating interstate transport, the affected states are required to consult with each other under Section 51.308(dx3)(i), in order to develop coordinated emission management strategies. See Section I l.l for information on the state-to-state consultation process. 8.1.4 Estimated International and Global Contribution to Wyoming Class I Areas Although not specifically addressed under the RegionalHaze Rule in terms of interstate transport, it is impo(ant to identifr the contribution to visibility impairment in Wyoming from international sources, such as Canada and Mexico, offshore marine shipping in the Pacific Ocean, and "global" sources of haze. The PSAT and WEP results in Chapter 5 describe the amount of contribution to visibility impairment in Wyoming from Canad4 Mexico, offshore marine shipping in the Pacific and general global or "outside domain" sources. Because the State of Wyoming does not have any authority over any ofthe above-mentioned international sources, the Division is not pursuing any new strategy for haze impacts due to international sources. The following text was extracted from EPA responses to state questions posed by the WRAP Implementation Work Group in March 2007: The U.S. and Canada have been working on addressing transboundary emissions issues through the bilateral l99l Canada-United States Air Quality Agreement. lnformation, including progress reports and articles, on this agreement can be found at http://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/resource/usaqa-resource.html. Under the agreement, Canada and the United States have looked at addressing transboundary air pollution, namely, acid rain and ground-level ozone. Over the last two years, Canada and the United States have continued to successfully reduce their emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxides (NO*), the major contributors to acid rain and also to regional haze. Both countries have also made considerable Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 148 of206 138 progress in meeting the requirements of the Ozone Annex to reduce emissions of NO" and volatile organic compounds (VOCs), the precursors to ground-level ozone. Canada and the United States have focused their actions on reducing these emissions tiom major sources such as electric generating units, industrial sources, and on-road and nonroad transportation. This Agreement has provided important opportunities for collaboration between Canada and the United States and has produced impressive results, not just in environmental improvements, but also in diplomacy and working relationships. Both countries rely on the Agreement as the mechanism to address air pollution issues and are committed to its continuing viability and relevance as new bilateral issues emerge. The Agreement's flexibility provides opportunities to go beyond the challenges identified by the Acid Rain and Ozone annexes, and the Parties look forward to considering whether and how to address bilateral issues associated with particulate matter, mercury, and other air pollutants. EPA Region l0 has been meeting with their counterparts in the British Columbia Ministry of Environment for the past five years to identifu air quality issues in the Georgia-Basin-Puget Sound Airshed, and to develop an International Airshed Strategy (lAS) to address these issues. The IAS includes protection of visibility as a goal, and the Canadian-United States Air Quality Agreement also addresses visibility. At the most recent IAS meeting in January 2007, the air program director of the BC Ministry of Environment gave a presentation on the process for developing a visibility rule in BC. This rule would be the first of its type in Canada and could be a model for the rest of Canada. This BC visibility rule would establish a visibility management framework and identif, policies needed to achieve visibility protection. A Discussion Paper is being developed on this topic and will be the focus of a workshop this spring with representatives from Canadian air quality agencies, Canadian Tourism, Parks (National and Provincial). Forestry, U.S. EPA, Washington Dept. of Ecology, and U.S. National Park Service. The relationship between the air quality improvement programs in Mexico and the United States received formal recognition through the Agreement between the United States and Mexico for Cooperation on the Environment on the U.S.-Mexico Border (the La Paz Agreement of 1983). This recognition provided the authority for EPA and Mexico's Environmental Ministry to conduct cooperative activities to reduce air pollution. In September 1989 the two countries signed Annex V to the LaPaz Agreement through which they agreed to cooperatively monitor air quality in sister cities along the U.S.-Mexico border; Annex V was formally expanded in 1996. In February 1992,the environmental authorities of both Federal governments released the Integrated Border Environmental Planfor the U.S.-Mexico Area (fBEP). The IBEP, a two-year plan, was the first bi-national Federal initiative created under the assumption that increased liberalization of trade would place additional stress on the environment and human health along the border. The Border XXI Program was initiated in 1996 to build on the experiences of and improve the specific efforts undertaken under the IBEP and earlier environmental agreements. Pursuant to the LaPaz Agreement of 1983, the Administrator of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) and the Secretary of the Secretariat for the Environment and Natural Resources (SEMARNAT) agreed on October 2001 to work jointly with the ten border states and the U.S. border tribes to develop a new bi-nationalten year plan to improve the environment and reduce the highest public health risks on the U.S.-Mexico border. On April 4, Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 149 of 206 139 2003, the representatives of the U.S. EPA, the Secretary of the Secretariat for the Environment and Natural Resources (SEMARNAT), the ten Border States, and the 26 U.S. Tribes, met in Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico to mark the beginning of a ten year joint effort, the Border 2012: U.S.-Mexico Environmental Program replacing the Border XXI Program. The United States and Mexico, in partnership with border tribal, state, and local governments, have worked to increase the knowledge about air pollution sources and their impacts on both sides ofthe border, establish monitoring networks in several key areas, conduct emissions inventories, and build local capacity through training. Pollutants from a number of sources including motor vehicles, power plants and industrial facilities, agricultural operations, mining, dust from unpaved roads, and open burning have affected urban and regional air quality along the U.S.-Mexico border. The most common and damaging pollutants from these sources include sulfur dioxide, suspended particulate matter (PMro and PM2 5), nitrogen dioxide, ground-level ozone, and carbon monoxide. To provide technical assistance about air quality planning and management to government, academia, industry, and the general public in the border region, the U.S. and Mexico established the Centro de Informacion sobre Contaminacion de Aire (CICA, or Border lnformation Center on Air Pollution). The CICA Program, which is implemented by the Clean Air Technology Center of EPA's OfTice of Air Quality Planning and Standards, has established a website at http ://www. epa. eov/ttn/catclc ica. The Big Bend Regional Aerosol and Visibility Observational (BMVO) Study was conducted to quantifu the contribution to visibility degradation at Big Bend National Park (BBNP) from various air pollution source regions and source types in the U.S. and Mexico. The study included evaluation of the impacts from the Carbon l-2 power plants in Coahuila, l8 miles from the U.S. border. Findings from the BRAVO study can be found at http ://www2.nature.nps. eov/airlstudies/bravo/index.htm. Beginning in 2003 an effort was undertaken to understand better the smoke/haze from spring burning in CentralAmerica,/Mexico, which prompted State Department of Health alerts for up to 70%o of the population of Texas on some days. Components of this effort include an ambient study of particle chemical constituents to determine the sources of haze; remote sensing analysis to evaluate locations of the burning and to assess the potential seriousness of such buming to transport of particles in Texas; and on-the-ground assessment of ways to fight the fires and mitigate damage. Under the Border 2012 Program bi-national efforts have continued with the transfer of the northern Baja Califomia network to the State of Baja California, update of existing emissions inventories, and the completion of the first Mexico National Emissions Inventory. Additionally, the United States and Mexico in partnership with border tribal, state, and local governments, are working together on projects such as retrofitting diesel trucks and school buses with either diesel oxidation catalysts or diesel particulate filters to operate on ultra low sulfur Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 150 of206 140 diesel fuel. constructing "lower polluting" or "environmentally friendly" brick kilns, and road paving to reduce the levels of particulate matter in the border region. 8.2 Required Factors for the Long-Term Strategy As required in Section 51.308(dx3)(v) of the Regional Haze Rule, the State must consider, at a minimum, the following factors: l) emission reductions due to ongoing air pollution control programs; 2) measures to mitigate the impacts of construction activities; 3) emission limitations and schedules for compliance; 4) source retirement and replacement schedules; 5) smoke management techniques for agricultural and forestry burning; 6) the enforceability of emission limitations and control measures; and 7) the anticipated net effect on visibility over the period of the long-term strategy. These factors are discussed in the following pages along with all measures to mitigate the impacts of anthropogenic sources. The seventh factor is discussed at the end of the Long-Term Strategy Chapter. 8.2.1 Emission Reductions Due to Ongoing Air Pollution Control Programs The following summary describes ongoing programs and regulations in Wyoming that directly protect visibility, or can be expected to improve visibility in Wyoming Class I areas, by reducing emissions in general. This summary does not attempt to estimate the actual improvements in visibility that will occur, as many of the benefits are secondary to the primary air pollution objective of these programs/rules. and consequently would be extremely difficult to quantifu due to the technical complexity and limitations in current assessment techniques. 8.2.1.1 New Source Review Program The New Source Review (NSR) Program is a permit program for the construction of new sources and modification of existing sources as established by WAQSR Chapter 6, Section 2. Permit requirements for construction. modification and operation and Chapter 6, Section 4, Prevention of sisnificant deterioration. Section 2 of Chapter 6 first became a State rule in 1974, with the most recent revision being in March of 2000. Section 2 was submitted to EPA on September 12,2003, approved by EPA on July 28,2004, and became effective on August 27. 2004. The primary purpose of the NSR Program is to assure compliance with ambient standards set to protect public health, assure that Best Available Control Technology (BACT) is utilized to reduce and eliminate air pollution emissions, and to prevent deterioration of clean air areas. Any amount of air contaminant emissions from a facility subjects it to Wyoming's NSR Program. 8.2.1.1.1 Prevention of Signilicant Deterioration (PSD) Program Generally, Wyoming considers its Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) program as being protective of visibility impairment from proposed major stationary sources or major modifications to existing facilities. Wyoming has a fully-approved PSD program, and has successfully implemented this program for many years. Wyoming's PSD rules (Chapter 6, Section 4, of the Wyoming Air Quality Standards and Regulations (WAQSR)) were revised effective October 6,2006, to conform with Federal NSR Reform rules. These changes were Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 151 of206 l4l submitted to EPA on December 13, 2006, approved by EPA on July 16, 2008, and became effective on August 15, 2008. 8.2.1.1.2 Minor Source BACT Program The BACT process is most appropriately defined as the elimination of pollutants from being emitted into the air whenever technically and economically feasible to do so. For example, by application of minor source BACT, the Division has required controls of NO* and formaldehyde in coalbed methane (CBM) development and controls of NO*, VOC and Hazardous Air Pollutant (HAP) emissions in oil and gas production development. The Division takes the State- required BACT review in minor source permitting actions very seriously, as the bulk of the Division's workload is made up of minor sources. The Division will continue to review BACT considerations on each source type and size on a case-by-case basis with consideration to the technical practicability and economic reasonableness of eliminating or reducing the emissions from the proposed facility. The application of BACT in the minor source permitting program has resulted in minimized emissions in the state as a whole and will continue to do so as the Division continues to receive NSR permit applications for new and modified sources. 8.2.1.2 Title V Operating Permit Program As required by Title V of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 and the implementing regulations in 40 CFR part70, Wyoming established an Operating Permit Program under Chapter 6, Section 3 of the WAQSR. Wyoming's proposed program was submitted to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for approval on November 22, 1993. Notice of Interim Approvalwas published in the Federal Register on January 19, 1995. Final EPA approvalofthe Wyoming Operating Permit Program was published on February 22,1999, and the approval was effective April 23, 1999. A Title V Operating Permit consolidates all air quality regulatory requirements in a single document, so a permittee can clearly determine compliance with the air quality environmental laws governing its operation. The Title V Operating Permit also establishes appropriate compliance assurance monitoring on a pollutant-by-pollutant basis for large emission sources with add-on pollution control equipment, and/or establishes periodic monitoring for other regulated pollutants. The process of issuing the Operating Permit is designed to allow participation by the public, the EPA and nearby states to avoid misinterpretation of air quality regulatory requirements. This permitting is done to enhance enforceability by clearly defining the playing field for all concerned parties. such that all regulated industry is governed by the same rules. These permits are issued for a term of five years and must be renewed and updated to incorporate current regulatory requirements. Nationally, this program is intended to set minimum standards for all states to implement, in an attempt to foster consistency in air quality permitting from state to state. The Operating Permit Program is intended to be self supporting, and states are required under the Clean Air Act to charge regulated industry fees based upon their actual air pollutant emissions on an annual basis; thus, Title V permittees pay for the operation of the regulating program. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 't52 of 206 142 The Operating Permit Program currently affects only major sources of air pollution operating in the State. A major source is defined as a source which emits, or has the potential to emit, 100 tons per year of an air pollutant, or any source which emits, or has the potential to emit, l0 tons per year of an individual hazardous air pollutant (or 25 tons per year of any combination of hazardous air pollutants) which has been listed pursuant to section I l2(b) of the Clean Air Act. The number of Title V sources within the State is highly variable but has typically ranged from 150 to 160 sources at any given time. In December of 2000, WAQSR Chapter 6, Section 3 Operating permits, was revised to incorporate compliance assurance monitoring (CAM). CAM is intended to provide a reasonable assurance of compliance with applicable requirements under the Clean Air Act for large emission units that rely on pollution control device equipment to achieve compliance. Monitoring is conducted to determine that control devices, once installed or otherwise employed, are properly operated and maintained so that they continue to achieve a level of control that complies with applicable requirements. The Division is addressing the complex implementation of CAM in renewals, significant modifications and new permits, as applicable. The implementation of CAM willresult in documenting continued operation of controldevices, within ranges of specified indicators of performance. that are designed to provide reasonable assurance of compliance with applicable requirements. 8.2.1.3 New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) The Air Quality Division annually incorporates by reference the Federal New Source Performance Standards (NSPS). These standards are incorporated via the Wyoming Air Quality Standards and Regulations, Chapter 5, Section 2. Section 2 first became an effective State rule in November 1976. with the latest revision becoming effective in May 2008. Section 2 was last submitted to the EPA on August 27,2008, approved by EPA on March 9,2009, and became effective on March 9,2009. The list of NSPS incorporated by reference include: 40 CFR part 60, Subpart D -Standards of Performance for Fossil-Fuel- Fired Steam Generators for Which Construction is Commenced After August t7,t97t Standards of Performance for Electric Utility Steam Generating Units for Which Construction is Commenced After September 18, 1978 Standards of performance for Industrial- Commercial-lnstitutional Steam Generating Units 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Da - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Db - Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 153 of206 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Dc - Standards of Performance for Small Industrial-Commercial-Institutional Steam Generating Units 40 CFR part 60, Subpart E - Standards of Performance for Incinerators 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Ea - Standards of Performance for Municipal Waste Combustors for Which Construction is Commenced After December 20, 1989 and on or Before September 20,1994 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Eb - Standards of Performance for Large Municipal Waste Combustors for Which Construction is Commenced After September 20, 1994 or for Which Modification or Reconstruction is Commenced After June 19, 1996 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Ec - Standards of Performance for HospitaliTvledical/Infectious Waste Incinerators for Which Construction is Commenced After June 20. 1996 40 CFR part 60, Subpart F - Standards of Performance for Portland Cement Plants 40 CFR part 60, Subpart G - Standards of Performance for Nitric Acid Plants 40 CFR part 60, Subpart H - Standards of Performance for Sulfuric Acid Plants 40 CFR part 60, Subpart I - Standards of Performance for Hot Mix Asphalt Facilities 40 CFR part 60, Subpart J - Standards of Performance for Petroleum Refineries 40 CFR part 60, Subpart K - Standards of Performance for Storage Vessels for Petroleum Liquids for Which Construction, Reconstruction, or Modification Commenced After June 1 l, 1973, and Prior to May 19, 1978 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 154 of 206 144 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Ka - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Kb - 40 CFR part 60, Subpam L - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart M - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart N - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Na - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart O - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart P - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Q - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart R - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart S - Standards of Performance for Storage Vessels for Petroleum Liquids for Which Construction, Reconstruction, or Modification Commenced After May I 8, 1978, and Prior to July 23, 1984 Standards of Performance for Volatile Organic Liquid Storage Vessels (lncluding Petroleum Liquid Storage Vessels) for Which Construction, Reconstruction, or Modification Commenced After July 23, 1984 Standards of Performance for Secondary Lead Smelters Standards of Performance for Secondary Brass and Bronze Production Plants Standards of Performance for Primary Emissions from Basic Oxygen Process Furnaces for Which Construction is Commenced After June I l,1973 Standards of Performance for Secondary Emissions from Basic Oxygen Process Steelmaking Facilities for Which Construction is Commenced After January 20, 1983 Standards of Performance for Sewage Treatment Plants Standards of Performance for Primary Copper Smelters Standards of Performance for Primary Zinc Smelters Standards of Performance for Primary Lead Smelters Standards of Performance for Primary Aluminum Reduction Plants Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 155 of206 40 CFR part 60, Subpart T - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart U - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart V - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart W - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart X - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Y - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Z - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart AA 40 CFR part 60, Subpart AAa - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart BB - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart CC - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart DD - Standards of Performance for the Phosphate Fertilizer Industry: Wet-Process Phosphoric Acid Plants Standards of Performance for the Phosphate Fertilizer Industry: Superphosphoric Acid Plants Standards of Performance for the Phosphate Fertilizer Industry: Diammonium Phosphate Plants Standards of Performance for the Phosphate Fertilizer Industry: Triple Superphosphate Plants Standards of Performance for the Phosphate Fertilizer Industry: Granular Triple Superphosphate Storage Facilities Standards of Performance for Coal Preparation Plants Standards of Performance for Ferroalloy Production Facilities Standards of Performance for Steel Plants: Electric Arc Furnaces Constructed After October 21, 1974 and on or Before August 17, 1983 Standards of Performance for Steel Plants: Electric Arc Fumaces and Argon-Oxygen Decarburization Vessels Constructed After August 17, 1983 Standards of Performance for Kraft Pulp Mills Standards of Performance for Glass Manufacturing Plants Standards of Performance for Grain Elevators Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 156 of206 146 40 CFR part 60, Subpart EE - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart GG - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart HH - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart KK - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart LL - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart MM - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart NN - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart PP - 40 CFR part 60, Subpam QQ - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart RR 40 CFR part 60, Subpart SS - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart TT - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart UU - Standards of Performance for Surface Coating of Metal Furniture Standards of Performance for Stationary Gas Turbines Standards of Performance for Lime Manufacturing Plants Standards of Performance for Lead-Acid Battery Manufacturing Plants Standards of Performance for Metallic Mineral Processing Plants Standards of Performance fbr Automobile and Light-Duty Truck Surface Coating Operations Standards of Performance for Phosphate Rock Plants Standards of Performance for Ammonium Sulfate Manufacture Standards of Performance for the Graphic Arts Industry: Publication Rotogravure Printing Standards of Performance for Pressure Sensitive Tape and Label Surface Coating Operations Standards of Performance for Industrial Surface Coating: Large Appliances Standards of Performance for Metal Coil Surface Coating Standards of Performance for Asphalt Processing and Asphalt Roofing Manufacture Standards of Performance for Equipment Leaks of VOC in the Synthetic Organic Chemicals Manufacturing Industry Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 157 of206 40 CFR part 60. Subpart VV 147 40 CFR part 60, Subpart WW - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart XX - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart AAA - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart BBB - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart DDD - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart FFF - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart GGG - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart HHH - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart III - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart JJJ - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart KKK - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart LLL - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart NNN - Standards of Performance for the Beverage Can Surface Coating Industry Standards of Performance for Bulk Gasoline Terminals Standards of Performance for New Residential Wood Heaters Standards of Performance for the Rubber Tire Manufacturing Industry Standards of Performance for Volatile Organic Compound (VOC) Emissions from the Polymer Manufacturing Industry Standards of Performance for Flexible Vinyl and Urethane Coating and Printing Standards of Performance for Equipment Leaks of VOC in Petroleum Refineries Standards of Performance fbr Synthetic Fiber Production Facilities Standards of Performance for Volatile Organic Compound (VOC) Emissions From the Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing Industry (SOCMI) Air Oxidation Unit Processes Standards of Performance for Petroleum Dry Cleaners Standards of Performance for Equipment Leaks of VOC From Onshore Natural Gas Processing Plants Standards of Performance for Onshore Natural Gas Processing: SO2 Emissions Standards of Performance for Volatile Organic Compound (VOC) Emissions From Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing Industry (SOCMI) Distillation Operations Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 158 of206 148 40 CFR part 60, Subpart OOO - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart PPP - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart Qaa - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart RRR - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart SSS - 40 CFR part60, Subpart TTT - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart UUU - 40 CFR part60, Subpart VVV - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart WWW - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart AAAA - 40 CFR part 60, Subpart CCCC - Standards of Performance for Nonmetallic Mineral Processing PIants Standards of Performance for Wool Fiberglass Insulation Manufacturing Plants Standards of Performance for VOC Emissions From Petroleum Refinery Wastewater Systems Standards of Performance for Volatile Organic Compound Emissions from Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing Industry (SOCMD Reactor Processes Standards of Performance for Magnetic Tape Coating Facilities Standards of Performance for Industrial Surface Coating: Surface Coating of Plastic Parts for Business Machines Standards of Performance for Calciners and Dryers in Mineral Industries Standards of Performance for Polymeric Coating of Supporting Substrates Facilities Standards of Performance for Municipal Solid Waste Landfills Standards of Performance for Small Municipal Waste Combustion Units for Which Construction is Commenced After August 30, 1999 or for Which Modification or Reconstruction is Commenced After June 6,2001 Standards of Performance for Commercial and lndustrial Solid Waste Incineration Units for Which Construction is Commenced After November 30, 1999 or for Which Modification or Reconstruction is Commenced on or After June l, 2001 Exhibit No. 4 Case No.IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 159 of 206 149 40 CFR part 60, Subpart EEEE -Standards of Performance for Other Solid Waste Incineration Units for Which Construction is Commenced After December 9,2004, or for Which Modification or Reconstruction is Commenced on or After June 16, 2006 8.2.1.4 MACT - HAPs Program The Air Quality Division annually incorporates by reference the Federal National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAPs). To the extent that NESHAPs regulate visibility impairing pollutants through surrogates, these programs may prove helpful in reducing visibility impairment. These standards are incorporated via the Wyoming Air Quality Standards and Regulations, Chapter 5, Section 3. Section 3 first became an effective State rule in August of 1997, with the latest revision becoming effective in May 2008. The delegation request for Section 3 was submitted to the EPA in June of 2008. The list of NESHAP (MACT) standards incorporated by reference include: 40 CFR part 63, Subpart D -Regulations Governing Compl iance Extensions for Early Reductions of Hazardous Air Pollutants National Emission Standards for Organic Hazardous Air Pollutants From the Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing Industry National Emission Standards for Organic Hazardous Air Pollutants From the Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing Industry for Process Vents, Storage Vessels, Transfer Operations, and Wastewater National Emission Standards for Organic Hazardous Air Pollutants for Equipment Leaks National Emission Standards for Organic Hazardous Air Pollutants for Certain Processes Subject to the Negotiated Regulation for Equipment Leaks 40 CFR part 63, Subpart F - 40 CFR part 63. Subpart G - 40 CFR part 63, Subpan H 40 CFR part 63, Subpart I - Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page '160 of 206 150 40 CFR part63, Subpart J - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart L - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart M - 40 CFR part63, Subpart N - 40 CFR part63, Subpart O - 40 CFR part63, Subpart Q - 40 CFR part63, Subpart R - 40 CFR part63, Subpart S - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart T - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart U - National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Polyvinyl Chloride and Copolymers Production National Emission Standards for Coke Oven Batteries National Perchloroethylene Air Emission Standards for Dry Cleaning Facilities National Emission Standards for Chromium Emissions From Hard and Decorative Chromium Electroplating and Chromium Anodizing Tanks Ethylene Oxide Emissions Standards for Sterilization Facilities National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Industrial Process Cooling Towers National Emission Standards for Gasoline Distribution Facilities (Bulk Gasoline Terminals and Pipeline Breakout Stations) National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants from the Pulp and Paper Industry National Emission Standards for Halogenated Solvent Cleaning National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutant Emissions: Group I Polymers and Resins Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 161 of206 l5t 40 CFR part 63, Subparr W - 40 CFR part63, Subpart X - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart Y - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart AA - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart BB - 40 CFR part63, Subpart CC - 40 CFR part63, Subpart DD - 40 CFR par'|63, Subpart EE - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart GG - 40 CFR pafi63, Subpart HH National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Epoxy Resins Production and Non-Nylon Polyamides Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants from Secondary Lead Smelting National Emission Standards for Marine Tank Vessel Loading Operations National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants From Phosphoric Acid Manufacturing Plants National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants From Phosphate Fertilizers Production Plants National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants From Petroleum Refineries National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants from Off-Site Waste and Recovery Operations National Emission Standards for Magnetic Tape Manufacturing Operations National Emission Standards for Aerospace Manufacturing and Rework Facilities National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants From Oil and Natural Gas Production Facilities Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 162 of206 152 40 CFR part 63, Subpart II - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart JJ - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart KK - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart LL - 40 CFR part63, Subpart MM - 40 CFR part63, Subpart OO - 40 CFR part 63, Subpatt PP - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart QQ - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart RR - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart SS - 40 CFR part63. Subpart TT - 40 CFR part 63. Subpart UU - National Emission Standards for Shipbuilding and Ship Repair (Surface Coating) National Emission Standards for Wood Furniture Manufacturing Operations National Emission Standards for the Printing and Publishing Industry National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Primary Aluminum Reduction Plants National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Chemical Recovery Combustion Sources at Kraft, Soda, Sulfite. and Stand-Alone Semichemical Pulp Mills National Emission Standards for Tanks - Level I National Emission Standards for Containers National Emission Standards for Surface Impoundments National Emission Standards for Individual Drain Systems National Emission Standards for Closed Vent Systems, Control Devices, Recovery Devices and Routing to a Fuel Gas System or a Process National Emission Standards for Equipment Leaks - Control Level I National Emission Standards for Equipment Leaks - Control Level 2 Standards Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 163 of206 153 40 CFR part63, Subpart VV - 40 CFR part63, Subpart WW - 40 CFR part63, Subpart XX - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart YY - 40 CFR part63, Subpart CCC - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart DDD - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart EEE - 40 CFR part63, Subpart GGG - 40 CFR part63, Subpart HHH - National Emission Standards for Oil-Water Separators and Organic- Water Separators National Emission Standards for Storage Vessels (Tanks) - Control Level 2 National Emission Standards for Ethylene Manufacturing Process Units: Heat Exchange Systems and Waste Operations National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants tbr Source Categories: Generic Maximum Achievable Control Technology Standards National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Steel Pickling - HCI Process Facilities and Hydrochloric Acid Regeneration Plants National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Mineral Wool Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants from Hazardous Waste Combustors National Emission Standards for Pharmaceuticals Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants From Natural Gas Transmission and Storage Facilities National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Flexible Polyurethane Foam Production Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 164 of206 40 CFR part63, Subpart III - 154 40 CFR part 63. Subpart JJJ - 40 CFR part63, Subpart LLL - 40 CFR part63, Subpart MMM - 40 CFR part63, Subpart NNN - 40 CFR part63, Subpart OOO - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart PPP - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart aaa - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart RRR - 40 CFR parl63, Subpart TTT - 40 CFR part63. Subpart UUU - National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutant Emissions: Group IV Polymers and Resins National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants From the Portland Cement Manufacturing Industry National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Pesticide Active Ingredient Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Wool Fiberglass Manufacturing National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutant Emissions: Manufacture of Am ino/Phenolic Resins National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Polyether Polyols Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Primary Copper Smelting National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Secondary Alum inum Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Primary Lead Smelting National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants tbr Petroleum Refineries: Catalytic Cracking Units, Catalytic Reforming Units, and Sulfur Recovery Units Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 165 of206 155 40 CFR part63, Subpart VVV - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart XXX - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart AAAA 40 CFR part63, Subpart CCCC - 40 CFR part63, Subpart DDDD - 40 CFR parl63, Subpart EEEE - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart FFFF 40 CFR part63, Subpart GGGG - 40 CFR part63, Subpart HHHH - 40 CFR part63, Subpart IIII - National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Publicly Owned Treatment Works National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Ferroal loys Production : Ferromanganese and Silicomanganese National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Municipal Solid Waste Landfills National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Manufacturing of Nutritional Yeast National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Plywood and Composite Wood Products National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Organic Liquids Distribution (Non-Gasoline) National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Miscellaneous Organic Chem ical Manufacturing National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Solvent Extraction for Vegetable Oil Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Wet- Formed Fiberglass Mat Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Surface Coating of Automobiles and Light- Duty Trucks Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 166 of206 40 CFR part63, Subpart JJJJ 40 CFR part 63, Subpart KKKK - 40 CFR part63, Subpam MMMM - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart NNNN - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart OOOO - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart PPPP - 40 CFR part63, Subpart aaaa - 40 CFR part63, Subpart RRRR - 40 CFR part63, Subpart SSSS - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart TTTT - National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Paper and Other Web Coating National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Surface Coating of Metal Cans National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Surface Coating of Miscellaneous Metal Parts and Products National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Surface Coating of Large Appliances National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Printing, Coating, and Dyeing of Fabrics and Other Textiles National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Surface Coating of Plastic Parts and Products National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Surface Coating of Wood Building Products National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Surface Coating of Metal Furniture National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Surface Coating of Metal Coil National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Leather Finishing Operations National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Cellulose Products Manufacturing Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 167 of 206 40 CFR part63. Subpart UUUU - 157 40 CFR part63, Subpart VVVV - 40 CFR part63, Subpart WWWW - 40 CFR part63, Subpart XXXX - 40 CFR part63, Subpart YYYY - 40 CFR part63, Subpart ZZZZ - 40 CFR part63, Subpart AAAAA - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart BBBBB - 40 CFR part63, Subpart CCCCC - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart DDDDD - National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Boat Manufacturing National Emissions Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Reinforced Plastic Composites Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Rubber Tire Manufacturing National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Stationary Combustion Turbines National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Stationary Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines National Emissions Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Lime Manufacturing PIants National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Sem iconductor Manufacturin g National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Coke Ovens: Pushing, Quenching, and Battery Stacks National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Industrial. Commercial, and Institutional Boilers and Process Heaters National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Iron and Steel Foundries Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 168 of206 40 CFR part 63, Subpart EEEEE - 158 40 CFR part63, Subpart FFFFF - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart GGGGG - 40 CFR part63. Subpart HHHHH - 40 CFR part63, Subpart IIIII - 40 CFR part 63, Subpart JJJJJ - 40 CFR part63, Subpart KKKKK - 40 CFR part63, Subpart LLLLL - 40 CFR part63, Subpart MMMMM - 40 CFR part63, Subpart NNNNN - National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Integrated Iron and Steel Manufacturing Faci lities National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Site Remediation National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Miscellaneous Coating Manufacturing National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Mercury Emissions From Mercury Cell Chlor-Alkali Plants National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Brick and Structural Clay Products Manufacturing National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Clay Ceram ics Manufacturing National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Asphalt Processing and Asphalt Roofing Manufacturing National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Flexible Polyurethane Foam Fabrication Operations National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Hydrochloric Acid Production National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Engine Test Cells/Stands Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 169 of 206 40 CFR part 63, Subpart PPPPP - 159 40 CFR part63, Subpart QaaQa - NationalEmission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Friction Materials Manufacturing Facilities 40 CFR part 63, Subpart RRRRR - National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Taconite Iron Ore Processing 40 CFR part 63, Subpart SSSSS - National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Refractory Products Manufacturi ng 40 CFR part 63, Subpart TTTTT - National Emissions Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Primary Magnesium Refining The Air Quality Division also determines case-by-case MACT determinations through Chapter 6, Section 6. 8.2.1.5 Phase I Visibility Rules - Wyoming Reasonably Attributable Visibitity lmpairment Rules In response to EPA's Phase I visibility rules, Wyoming adopted the Wyoming State Implementation Plan for Class I Visibility Protection, effective May 10, 1988. It was approved by the U.S. EPA by notice in the Federal Register on February 15, 1989. under 40 CFR part 52, and became effective on April 17, 1989. This visibility rule contains short and long-term strategies for making reasonable progress toward the national goal, related to addressing reasonably attributable impairment in the State's Class I areas through visibility monitoring and control strategies. This rule incorporates PSD requirements for visibility protection from new or modified major stationary sources, and if necessary applying BART to existing stationary sources if certified as causing reasonably attributable visibility impairment. 8.2.1.6 Ongoing Implementation of Federal Mobile Source Regulations The Federal Motor Vehicle Control Program (FMVCP) has produced and is continuing to produce large reductions in motor vehicle emissions of NO*, PM, and VOCs. Beginning in 2006, EPA mandated new standards for on-road (highway) diesel fuel, known as ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD). This regulation dropped the sulfur content of diesel fuel from 500 ppm to l5 ppm. ULSD fuel enables the use of cleaner technology diesel engines and vehicles with advanced emissions control devices, resulting in significantly lower emissions. Diesel fuel intended for locomotive, marine and non-road (farming and construction) engines and equipment was required to meet the low sulfur diesel fuel maximum specification of 500 ppm sulfur in2007 (down from 5,000 ppm). By 2010, the ULSD fuel standard of l5-ppm sulfur will apply to all non-road diesel fuel. Locomotive and marine diesel fuel will be required to meet the ULSD Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 170 of206 160 standard beginning in2012, resulting in further reductions of diesel emissions. These rules not only reduce SOz emissions, but also NO* and PM emissions. In addition to the ULSD standard, listed below are several other significant Federal programs: Federal On-Road Measures o Tier 2 vehicle emission standards and Federal low-sulfur gasoline o National low emissions vehicle standards (NLEV) o Heavy-duty diesel standards Federal Non-Road Measures o Lawn and garden equipment o Tier 2 heavy-duty diesel equipment o Locomotive engine standards o Compression ignition standards for vehicles and equipment o Recreational marine engine standards In addition, the Renewable Fuel Standard Under Section 2l l(o) of the Clean Air Act as Amended by the Energt Policy Act of 2005, is determined annually (must be published in the Federal Register by November 30 of each year) by EPA and is applicable to refiners, importers and blenders of gasoline. 8.2.1.7 Ongoing Implementation of Programs to Meet PMrg NAAQS Currently, only one community in Wyoming, Sheridan, is designated as a nonattainment area under the PMro NationalAmbient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS). The significance of this nonattainment area in terms of regional haze is that significant reductions in PMro emissions have been made in the last ten years, by adopting strategies to address the primary emission sources in the community. The major contributing sources causing nonattainment in this community are road dust, residential woodstoves, outdoor burning, and to a lesser degree, industry. 8.2.1.7.1 Nonattainment SIP (PMro) - City of Sheridan Because Sheridan, Wyoming was designated a Group I area under the PMro Regulations promulgated by the EPA on July 20, 1987, the Air Quality Division was required to develop a State Implementation Plan outlining control strategies with a demonstration of attainment and maintenance of the standards. In cooperation with the Sheridan City government, a plan was developed which addressed four PMle control measures. The first control measure involved implementing a sanding plan or air quality maintenance plan (AQMP), which aimed to reduce PMro emissions by designating specific limitations/guidelines for sanding routes, sanding mediums, application rates, and street cleaning. The second control measure was a voluntary curtailment of solid fuels combustion. whereby an ordinance was enacted allowing the designation of voluntary'ono burn days" when PMro Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-'|3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 171 of206 concentrations exceed or are predicted to exceed established criteria levels. The Division collects "real time" particulate data and uses the information in conjunction with weather predictions to trigger requests for burning curtailment. Fugitive dust concerns comprised the third control measure. Several industrial areas in the City of Sheridan were identified as significant sources of fugitive dust. The Division required that these facilities submit a dust control plan speciffing as a minimum, application of asphalt, oil, or suitable chemical dust control agents on unpaved roads within their operations. One facility was asked to use more durable washed sand rather than scoria for skid control. Because some of the streets of Sheridan are maintained by the County and the Highway Department, as a fourth control measure these agencies were also contacted by the Division in an effort to implement similar sanding practices in the City. Sanding plans were submitted by both the County and Highway Department specifying sanding mediums. routes, and application rates. 8.2.1.7.2 Natural and Uncontrollable Sources Program - Natural Events Action Plan On May 30, 1996, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued a Natural Events Policy (NEP) which recognized that certain uncontrollable natural events, such as high winds. wildland fires, and volcanic/seismic activity can result in adverse consequences for the National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS). The NEP set forth procedures for protecting public health through the development of a Natural Events Action Plan (NEAP) which implements Best Available Control Measures (BACM) for human-generated particulate emissions in areas where the PMro (particulate matter having a nominal aerodynamic equal to or less than l0 microns) standard may be violated due to these uncontrolled natural events. The NEP also provides that if an approved NEAP is implemented. future air quality exceedances due to uncontrollable natural events may be flagged, and, if demonstrated to be a natural event, not be considered when determining the region's air quality designation if BACM measures are being implemented. A number of Federal Reference or Equivalent PMro monitors are located in Wyoming's Powder River Basin (PRB) at several large mining operations. Some of the monitors have recorded exceedances of the 24-hour NAAQS for PMro. Each of the monitored exceedances was associated with high winds and blowing dust resulting from prolonged periods of low precipitation and consequential low soil moisture content. Recognizing the need to protect public health in the Powder River Basin where measured PM16 values exceeded the NAAQS because of wind generated dust, in early 2007 the State of Wyoming, with the aid of stakeholders, prepared a Natural Events Action Plan based on EPA Natural Event Policy (NEP) guidance. This plan outlines specific procedures to be taken in response to future high wind events. In short, the purpose of the plan is to: e Educate the public about the problem;o Mitigate health impacts on exposed populations during future events; ando Identify and implement Best Available Control Measures (BACM) for significant. anthropogenic sources of windblown dust. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 172 ol 2OO 162 Allcoalmines in the Wyoming PRB employ Best Available ControlTechnology (BACT). This Natural Events Action Plan for the Powder River Basin identifies BACT measures in place as the result of existing permit requirements, additional potential control measures identified as BACM, and reactionary control measures directed at transient problem sites that may be implemented during Natural Events. Implementation of BACT, BACM, and reactionary control measures will assure that anthropogenic dust emissions from the coal mines in the PRB are controlled to the greatest extent possible. The goal is to protect public health and to minimize exceedances of the PMro NAAQS through the continued implementation of BACT, and implementation of BACM and reactionary control measures. The Natural Events Action Plan may be accessed at: http://deq.state.wy.us/aqdA.,lEAP.asp. 8.2.2 Measures to Mitigate the Impacts of Construction Activities Chapter 3 of the Wyoming Air Quality Standards and Regulations (WAQSR) establishes limits on the quantity, rate, or concentration of emissions of air pollutants, including any requirements which limit the level of opacity, prescribe equipment, set fuel specifications, or prescribe operation or maintenance procedures. Specifically, Chapter 3, Section 2(f), prescribes measures to ensure the control of fugitive dust emissions during construction or demolition activities, handling, storage and transporting of materials and agricultural practices. Chapter 3, Section 2(f) was originatly adopted by the State of Wyoming on February 22,1972. The entire section was restructured on October 29,1999. Section 2(f) was revised on March 30, 2000 and submitted to EPA on August 13,2001, then resubmitted on September 12,2003 as part of the restructuring of the rules. Revisions to Chapter 3 were most recently approved by EPA on July 28,2004. The State believes these regulations address common construction activities. Wyoming believes point and area sources of emissions from these regulated sources are in part attributed to impacting regional haze in Wyoming. Wyoming relies on the particulate emission control measures specified in Chapter 3 to most directly address these sources of fine and coarse particles known to have a minor, but measured, impact on visibility in Class I areas of the state. 8.2.3 Emission Limitations and Schedules of Compliance The implementation of BART, as described in Chapter 6, will contain emission limits and schedules of compliance for those sources either installing BART controls or taking Federally enforceable permit limitations. The four-factor analysis identifies some additional measures that are appropriate for this first Regional Haze Plan. The evaluation of non-BART sources as part of the LTS identifies additional emission reductions and improves visibility by 2018. 8.2.4 Source Retirement and Replacement Schedules Part of this LTS contains an evaluation of non-BART sources, described in Sections 8.3.4 and 8.3.5. The Division is not currently aware of any specific scheduled shutdowns, retirements in upcoming years, or replacement schedules, such as planned installation of new control equipment to meet other regulations or routine equipment replacement or modernization. As the Division becomes aware of such actions, they will be factored into upcoming reviews. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 173 of206 163 8.2.5 Agricultural and Forestry Smoke Management Techniques Wyoming Air Quality Standards and Regulations (WAQSR) Chapter 10, Smoke Management, was originally adopted by the State of Wyoming on February 10, 1970. Chapter l0 has been revised several times, most recently becoming an effective State rule on April 5, 2005. Chapter l0 was submitted to EPA on April 23,2004 and is awaiting EPA approval. A smoke management certification was submitted to EPA on November 17,2005. The last EPA approval was part ofthe entire restructuring of the rules, approved on July 28,2004. Chapter l0 is utilized in Wyoming to establish restrictions and requirements on specific burning practices. Section 2 regulates refuse burning; open burning of trade wastes, for salvage operations, for fire hazards. and for firefighting training; and vegetative material open burning. Section 2 includes the permitting of prescribed fires occurring on Federaland State lands, and requires Federal land and State land managers to perform modeling to determine meteorological conditions under which burning can occur and maintain compliance with ambient air quality standards. Section 3 specifically regulates emissions from wood waste burners. Section 4 regulates sources of vegetative burning for the management of air quality emissions and impacts from smoke on public health and visibility. A Smoke Management Program Guidance Document was developed in November 2004, to assist burners in understanding the requirements and aid in the implementation of Section 4. The intent of Chapter l0 is to provide an equitable and workable program for all burners that is simple to implement and is the least burdensome possible, thereby focusing on the most common situations rather than extreme or isolated circumstances. Burners must comply with all local (city and county), State and Federal laws, regulations and ordinances relating to burning in addition to complying with the regulatory requirements for air quality. Division staff actively participate in the WRAP Fire Emissions Joint Forum (FEJF), formed to address both policy and technical issues concerning smoke effects that are caused by wildland and agricultural fires on public, tribal, and private lands. The FEJF is guided by the recommendations contained in the GCVTC Final Report and the requirements of the Regional Haze Rule regarding fire emissions and visibility. The FEJF has developed several policies for the WRAP through a stakeholder-based consensus process to assist the WRAP states and tribes in addressing emissions from fire sources. In these policies, the WRAP seeks to provide a consistent framework that states and tribes can use to efficiently develop their individual regional haze implementation plans. long-term strategies, and periodic progress reports. The WRAP has advanced the following policies developed by the FEJF as viable tools for both Section 308 and 309 states to meet the requirements of the Rule. o The WRAP Policyfor Categorizing Fire Emissions6 was developed to clarify the complex relationship between what is considered a natural source of fire and what is considered a human-caused source, as acknowledged in the Rule. A methodology to categorize fire emissions as either "natural" or "anthropogenic" is the basis of the Policy; 6 Western Regional Air Partnership, Fire Emissions Joint Forum, Natural Background Task Team, Policy for Categorizing Fire Emissions, November 15, 2001. Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-13-'t6 T. Harvey, IPC Page 174 ot 206 t64 thus providing the foundation for fire's inclusion in natural background condition values and ultimately, the tracking of reasonable progress. The WRAP Policy on Enhanced Smoke Management Programs for VisibitityT defines the enhanced smoke management program as smoke management efforts that specifically address visibility, thereby, going beyond the EPA Interim Policy and the AAQTF Air Quality Policy specific guidance provided for smoke management programs that address public health and nuisance concerns. The Policy identifies for states/tribes in the WRAP region the elements of an enhanced smoke management program to address visibility effects from all types of fire that contribute to visibility impairment in mandatory Federal Class I areas. o The WRAP defines the annual emission goal as a quantifiable value that is used to measure progress each year toward the desired outcome of achieving the minimum emission increase from fire. lnthe WRAP Policy on Annual Emissions Goals for Fireg, the WRAP outlines a process by which states/tribes may establish annual emission goals, based on the utilization of currently available emission reduction techniques, to include in their Regional Haze SIPs. o It is the position of the WRAP Policy on Fire Tracking Systemse that it is necessary to track fire activity information in the WRAP region using a fire tracking system, which will also provide the information essential to create a fire emissions inventory. The Policy identifies seven essential components of a fire tracking system that represent the minimum spatial and temporal fire activity information necessary to consistently calculate emissions and to meet the requirements of the Rule. The Air Quality Division is required to conduct an Annual Program Evaluation to assess the adequacy of the design, impact and implementation of Wyoming's Smoke Management Program. The first Evaluation covered the program implementation during calendar years 2005 and 2006. 8.2.6 Enforceability of Wyoming's Measures Section 5l.308(dX3XvXD of the Regional Haze Rule requires states to ensure that emission limitations and control measures used to meet reasonable progress goals are enforceable. Wyoming has ensured that all existing emission limitations and control measures, for which the State of Wyoming is responsible, used to meet reasonable progress goals are enforceable at the State level through the Wyoming Air Quality Standards and Regulations (WAQSR) or State- issued permits. Many of the actions included in the SIP are already federally enforceable. 7 Western Regional Air Pannership. Fire Emissions Joint Forum, Enhanced Smoke Management Task Team, WRAP Policy on Enhanced Smoke Management Programs fbr Visibility, November 12,2002. 8 Western Regional Air Partnership, Fire Emissions Joint Forum. Annual Emission Goals Task Team. WRAP Policy on Annual Emission Goals for Fire, DRAFT December 16,2002. e Western Regional Air Partnership, Fire Emissions Joint Forum, WRAP Policy on Fire Tracking Systems, DRAFT December 19,2002. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 75 of 206 165 However, BART permit conditions and long-term strategy commitments for the Laramie River Station and the Jim Bridger Power Plant are currently only enforceable at the State level. Once EPA approves this SIP, these measures will be federally enforceable. The BART determinations are summarized in Table 6.4-l and the long-term strategy commitments can be found in Section 8.3.3. 8.3 Additional Measures in the Long-Term Strategy This section of the LTS identifies new measures being proposed by the Division for achieving reasonable progress. These reasonable progress measures will be evaluated and discussed in the next Plan update in 2013. 8.3.1 Future Federal Mobile Programs A new rule, "Control of Emissions of Air Pollution from Locomotives and Marine Compression- Ignition Engines Less Than 30 Liters per Cylinder", was signed on March 14,2008. EPA estimates that by 2030, this program will reduce annual emissions of NO* by about 800,000 tons and PM emissions by 27,000 tons. Emission reductions are expected to continue as fleet turnover is completed. These standards are intended to achieve these large reductions in emissions through the use of technologies such as in-cylinder controls, aftertreatment, and low sulfur fuel, perhaps as early as 201 l. In June 2009, EPA announced a rule (Control of Emissions from New Marine Compression- Ignition Engines at or Above 30 Liters per Cylinder) proposing more stringent exhaust emission standards for the largest marine diesel engines used for propulsion on oceangoing vessels (called Category 3 engines). The proposed engine standards are equivalent to the nitrogen oxides limits recently adopted in amendments to Annex VI to the [nternational Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Ships (MARPOL). The near-term standards for newly-built engines would apply beginning in 201 I . Long-term standards would begin in 2016, and are based on the application of high-efficiency aftertreatment technology. By 2030, this strategy to address emissions from oceangoing vessels is expected to reduce annual emissions of NO* in the U.S. by approximately 1.2 million tons and particulate matter emissions by about 143,000 tons. When fully implemented, the coordinated strategy is anticipated to reduce NO* emissions by 80 percent and PM emissions by 85 percent, compared to the current limits applicable to these engines. A proposed rule, the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS2), was signed by Administrator Jackson on May 5, 2009. EPA is proposing that this rule take effect on January l, 2010; however, this date is tentative and it could be mid-2010 or January 1,201I before this rule becomes final. This rule intends to address changes to the Renewable Fuel Standard program as required by the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA). The revised statutory requirements establish new specific volume standards for cellulosic biofuel, biomass-based diesel, advanced biofuel, and total renewable fuel that must be used in transportation fuel each year. The revised statutory requirements also include new definitions and criteria for both renewable fuels and the feedstocks used to produce them, including new greenhouse gas emission (GHG) thresholds for renewable fuels. The regulatory requirements for RFS will apply to domestic and foreign producers and importers of renewable fuel. It is estimated that annual GHG emissions from Exhibit No. 4 Case No.lPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 176 of206 166 transportation will be reduced by approximately 160 million tons, the equivalent of the removal of 24 million vehicles from the highways. In addition, 36 billion gallons of renewable fuelwill displace approximately I I % of gasoline and diesel consumption in 2022. The majority of the reductions are expected to come from reduced petroleum imports. 8.3.2 Efforts to Address Offshore Shipping As depicted by PSAT results in Chapter 5, offshore marine vessel emissions contribute to Wyoming Class I areas. Wyoming has no authority to regulate offshore shipping emissions and must rely upon other states such as California for adoption of regulations. On February 28,2003 EPA adopted emission standards for new marine diesel engines installed on vessels flagged or registered in the United States with displacement at or above 30 liters per cylinder. Also adopted in this rulemaking were additional standards for new engines with displacement at or above 2.5 liters per cylinder but less than 30 liters per cylinder. This rule established a deadline of April 27, 2007 for EPA to promulgate a second set of emission standards for these engines. Because much of the information necessary to develop more stringent Category 3 marine diesel engines standards has become available only recently, a new deadline for the rulemaking to consider the next tier of Category 3 marine diesel engine standards has been set for December 17, 2009. On December 7,2007, EPA announced an advance notice of proposed rulemaking regarding the above-referenced standards, first set in 2003. The advanced notice of proposed rulemaking stated that EPA was considering standards for achieving large reductions in oxides of nitrogen (NO.) and particulate matter (PM) through the use of technologies such as in-cylinder controls, aftertreatment, and low sulfur fuel, starting as early as 201 l. On July 24,2008, the State of California adopted new strict regulations for marine vessels within 24 miles of shore. The Division expects that implementation of these new regulations for marine vessels will have benefits in Wyoming. In October 2008, Member States of the International Maritime Organization (lMO) adopted new international standards for marine diesel engines and their fuels (2008 Amendments to MARPOL Annex VI) that apply gtobally, and establishes additional, more stringent emission requirements for ships that operate in specially-designated coastal areas where air quality problems are acute. Under the new global standards, NO. emissions will be reduced, and the fuel sulfur cap will drop to 5.000 ppm in 2020 (pending a fuel availability review in 2018). Under the new geographic standards, ships operating in designated areas will be required to use engines that meet the most advanced technology-forcing standards for NO* emissions, and to use fuel with sulfur content at or below 1,000 ppm. On March 27,2009, the United States submitted a joint proposal with Canada to the IMO to designate specific areas of our coastal waters as an Emission Control Area (ECA). Compared to fuels used in ships today, ECA standards will lead to a 96 percent reduction in sulfur in ships' fuels, as well as a cut in emissions of PM by 85 percent and NO* by 80 percent. To achieve these reductions, ships must use fuelwith no more than 1,000 parts per million sulfur beginning in 2015, and new ships will have to use advanced emission control technologies beginning in 2016. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page177 ot206 8.3.3 Long-Term Control Strategies for BART Facilities In addition to the control strategies identified in Chapter 6 (Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART)) as BART determinations, the following requirements will be established through permit conditions or orders from the Environmental Quality Council for the individual BART facil ities listed below: Laramie River Station: On March 8, 2010, Basin Electric Power Cooperative appealed the BART permit for the Laramie River Station before the Wyoming Environmental Quality Council (EQC). The Department of Environmental Quality entered into a settlement agreement on November 16,2010 with Basin Electric Power Cooperative to modifu the BART permit. On December 8, 2010, the Division held a State Implementation Plan (SIP) Hearing on RegionalHaze. The SIP hearing was held in Cheyenne, Wyoming at the Laramie County Library, 2200 Pioneer Avenue. At that time, the Division collected public comment on the Regional Haze SIP revisions. After carefully considering all comments on revisions to the State Implementation Plan to address Regional Haze, the Division has determined that the following requirements for further NO* reduction taken from the Settlement Agreement Filed November 16, 2010 before the Wyoming EQC and incorporated into the EQC Order approving the Settlement, shall establish the NO* reduction requirements under the Long-Term Strategy of the Wyoming Regional Haze SIP for three units at Laramie River Station with respect to NO* and NO* only. l.Total NO" emissions from Laramie River Station Units I ,2 and 3 shall be further reduced to a plant-wide emission limit of 12,773 tons of NO" per year by December 31,2017 and continuing thereafter, unless changed pursuant to new regulatory or permit requirements. Basin Electric Power Cooperative shall submit to the Division a permit application for the 12,773 ton plant-wide NO* emission limit at the Laramie River Station by December 3 l, 2015. Jim Bridger Power Plant (Units I and 2): With respect to Bridger Units I and2, PacifiCorp shall: (i) install SCR; (ii) installalternative add-on NO* control systems; or (iii) otherwise reduce NO, emissions not to exceed a0.07 lb/lr4MBtu 30-day rolling average NO" emissions rate. These installations shall occur, and/or this emission rate will be achieved, on Unit 2 prior to December 31,2021 and Unit I prior to December 31,2022. These installations shall occur, and/or this emission rate will be achieved, in conjunction with PacifiCorp's planned overhaul schedule for these units and pursuant to a construction or other permit application to be submitted by PacifiCorp to AQD no later than December 31,2017. 2. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 178 of 206 168 Jim Bridger Power Plant (Units 3 and 4): With respect to Bridger Units 3 and 4, PacifiCorp shall: (i) install SCR; (ii) install alternative add-on NO,. control systems; or (iii) otherwise reduce NO* emissions to achieve a 0.07 lb/\4MBtu 3O-day rolling average NO* emissions rate. These installations shall occur, and/or this emission rate will be achieved. on Unit 3 prior to December 31,2015 and Unit 4 prior to December 31,2016. These installations shall occur, and/or this emission rate will be achieved, in conjunction with PacifiCorp's planned overhaul schedule for these units and pursuant to a construction or other permit application to be submitted by PacifiCorp to AQD no later than December 31,2012. 8.3.4 Evaluation of Control Strategies for Sources ldentified in the Reasonable Progress - Four-Factor Analysis The previous chapter evaluated certain non-BART sources through a four-factor analysis for additional controls, as was required by the Federal Regional Haze Rule. This evaluation was limited, in that no guidance was provided for identiffing "significant sources", and no contribution to visibility impairment thresholds were established (a potential fifth factor). The Division applied a "Quantity over Distance" (Q/D) process for screening out the most significant stationary source contributors, but that was only the first step in identiffing control options. The Air Quality Administrator cannot, per Wyoming Statute 35-ll-202, establish emission control requirements except through State rule or regulation. Furthermore, the Wyoming statute requires the Administrator to consider the character and degree of injury of the emissions involved. In this case, visibility modeling would be required to assess the degree of injury caused by the emissions. Modeling is not available at this time to determine impacts from emission reduction. The State believes it has taken a strong and reasonable first step in identifying potential contributors to visibility impairment, and that the next step of creating an appropriate rule or regulation will be accomplished in the next SIP revision. The visibility progress was designed as a long-term program going out to 2064. 8.3.5 Oil and Gas As discussed in Section 7.3.5, oil and gas production, which is not limited to just one area of Wyoming, is a large, important, and critical component of the State economy. However, the sources associated with oil and gas production emit NO*, and to a lesser extent, PM. An extensive fleet of field equipment and an array of processing plants operate continuously conducting exploration, production, and gathering activities. Exploration and drilling includes seismic studies, engineering, well testing, drilling operations, and transportation of personnel or equipment to and from sites. Oil and gas production includes operation, maintenance, and servicing of production properties, including transportation to and from sites. Sources include turbines, drill rig engines, glycol dehydrators, amine treatment units, flares and incinerators. Understanding the sources and volume of emissions at oil and gas production sites is key to recognizing the impact that these emissions have on visibility. To better understand the emissions from these sources, the WRAP instituted a three-phase project. One of the issues was Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 179 of206 t69 to quantiff emission inventories from stationary and mobile equipment operated as part of oil and gas field operations. Phase I, which was completed in 2005, was an emission inventory project that estimated regional emissions from oil and gas field operations. Phase II, completed in late 2007, was an effort to more fully characterize the oil and gas field operations emissions. Phase III which began in late 2007 with the Independent Petroleum Association of Mountain States (IPAMS) in conjunction with WRAP initiating a regional oil and gas emission inventory project is underway. The Division cannot complete the evaluation of oil and gas on visibility until this study has been completed. 8.3.6 Projection of the Net Effect on Visibility The WRAP has projected the net effect on visibility from emission reductions by point, area and mobile sources throughout the WRAP region through 2018. The first emission projection inventory was compiled in 2006. The inventory was revised in 2007 to make preliminary evaluations of reasonable progress towards Class I areas visibility goals. The2007 inventory focused on the most significant point and area sources of visibility impairing pollution in states and Native American Reservations. This effort included updating projections of electric generating units and incorporating known and presumed BART emission levels. Then, in the spring of 2009, the WRAP once again updated emission inventory projections for point and area sources in the WRAP region to give the most current assessment of reasonable progress towards visibility goals. Again, the updated projection inventory reflected new information about BART determinations and projection of future fossil fuel plants needed to achieve 2018 Federal electrical generation demands. More information on the specifics of the most recent emission inventory work collected for the 2018 visibility projections is contained in Chapter 4 of the Wyoming TSD in the April 29,2009 ERG Technical Memorandum. Chapter 5 of this Plan shows the specific results of the CMAQ modeling which was used to make all projections of visibility. Those results show anthropogenic emissions sources generally declining across the West through 2018. However, natural sources such as wildfires and dust, international sources in Mexico and Canada, global transport of emissions and off shore shipping in the Pacific Ocean all appear to offset improvements in visibility from controls on manmade sources. In spite of the large number of growing uncontrollable sources in the WRAP region, however, Wyoming does see a net visibility improvement at the Wyoming Class I areas through 2018. The net effect of all of the reductions in the WRAP region, known at the time of the most recent model run is demonstrated in the WRAP Class I Summary Tables shown below for each of the Class I areas in Wyoming. Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 180 of206 170 Table 8.3.6-1. Class I Area Visibility Summary for YELL2 on20o/o Worst Days 20 I 8 Uniform Rate of Progress Target for Best 20YoDays is not defined. Results based on Weighted Emissions Potential analysis using the 2000-04 Baseline (plan02d) & 2018 PRPb (prp I 8b) emissions scenarios. Visibilitv omiections not available due to model oerformancr issues. (WRAP TS S - http ://v i sta. c ira. co lostate. edu/tssA l) 2) 3) Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 181 of206 Class I Area Visibility Summary: Grand Teton NP, WY: Red Rock Lakes NWRW, MT: Teton W, WY: Yellowstone NP, WY Visibility Conditions: Worst 20o/o Days RRF Calculation Method: Specific Days (EPA) Emissions Scenarios: 2000-04 Baseline (nlan02d) & 2018 PRPb (orolSb) Monitored Estimated Proiected 2000-04 Baseline Conditions (Mm-l) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm-l) 2018 Uniform Rate of Progress Target (Mm-l)r 2018 Projected Visibility Conditions (Mm-l) Baseline to 20lE Change In Statewide Emissions (tons / o/o) Baseline to 2018 Change In Upwind Weighted Emissions2 (o/o\ Baseline to 20lE Change In Anthropogenic Upwind Weighted. Emissions' (o/o\ Sulfate 4.26 0.76 3.35 3.7r -22,794 -l5o/o -26Yo -32o/o Nitrate 1.77 0.63 1.5 1.36 -39,861 -14%-260/o -34o/o Organic Carbon 13.48 4.61 11.02 t2.87 -730 -3o/o -4o/o -29o/o Elemental Carbon 2.48 0.43 1.97 2.2 -1,217 -l5Yo llo/o -50Yo Fine Soil 0.95 t.02 0.97 1.04 5,223 3t%l4o/o 25o/o Coarse Material3 2.58 2.99 2.67 Not Aoolicable 13,394 27o/o l9o/o 42o/o Sea Salt3 o.o2 0.03 0.02 Not Aoolicable Total Light Extinction 34.55 19.47 30.25 32.77 Deciview t1.76 6.44 10.52 11.23 t7l Table 8.3.6-2. Class I Area Visibility Summary for NOABI on20o/o Worst Days 1) 20 I 8 Uniform Rate of Progress Target for Best 207o Days is not defined.2) Results based on Weighted Emissions Potential analysis using the 2000-04 Baseline (plan02d) & 2018 PRPb (prplSb) emissions scenarios. 3) Visibility projections not available due to model performance issues. (WRAP TS S - http : //vi sta. cira. co I ostate. edu/tss/) Exhibit No. 4 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 182 of206 Class I Area Visibility Summary: North Absaroka W, WY: Washakie W, WY Visibility Conditions: Worst 20%o Days RRF Calculation Method: Specific Days (EPA) Emissions Scenarios: 2000-04 Baseline (olan02d) & 2018 PRPb (oml8b) Monitored Estimated Proiected 2000-04 Baseline Conditions (Mm-l) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm-l) 2018 Uniform Rate of Progress Target (Mm-l)l 2018 Projected Visibility Conditions (Mm-l) Baseline to 2018 Change In Statewide Emissions (tans /o/o) Baseline to 20lE Change In Upwind Weighted Emissions2 (o/o\ Baseline to 2018 Change In Anthropogenic Upwind Weighted Emissions2 (o/o\ Sulfate 4.E7 0.8 r 3.8 4.5 -22,794 -l5o/o -tt%-l2o/o Nitrate t.6l 0.7s 1.4 t.29 -39,86r -l4o/o -22o/o -28o/o Organic Carbon 11.64 4.62 9.75 ll -730 -3o/o -5o/o -2lo/o Elemental Carbon 1.86 0.44 l.5l 1.59 .1,217 -l5o/o -l7o/o -47% Fine Soil 0.8s 0.92 0.86 0.95 5,223 3lo/o 17o/o 28% Coarse Material3 2.91 3.44 3.03 Not Aoolicable 13,394 27o/o 20%35o/o Sea Salt3 0.01 0.03 0.01 Not Aoplicable Total Light Extinction 32.74 20.02 29.21 3r.25 Deciview I 1.45 6.E3 10.3E ll 172 Class I Area Visibility Summary: Bridger W, WY: Fitzpatrick W, WY Visibility Conditions: Worst 20oh Days RRF Calculation Method: Specific Days (EPA) Emissions Scenarios: 2000-04 Baseline (planO2d) &,2018 PRPb (prplSb) Monitored Estimated Proiected 2000-04 Baseline Conditions (Mm-l) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm-l) 201 8 Uniform Rate of Progress Target (Mm-l)' 2018 Projected Visibility Conditions (Mm-l) Baseline to 2018 Change In Statewide Emissions (tons / %) Baseline to 2018 Change In Upwind Weighted Emissions2 (o/"\ Baseline to 2018 Change In Anthropogenic Upwind Weighted Emissions' (o/"\ Sulfate 4.99 0.82 3.89 4.06 -22,794 -15%-31%-32% Nitrate 1.43 0.79 t.27 t.24 -39,861 -14%-l9o/o -2lo/o Organic Carbon 10.55 4.64 8.98 10.31 -730 -3o/o -4%-l8o/o Elemental Carbon r.99 0.39 1.59 r.77 -1,217 -l5o/o -l7o/o -50o/o Fine Soil 1.1 1.07 l.l 1.19 5,223 3lo/"l3o/o 23o/o Coarse Material3 2.51 2.67 2.55 Not Aoolicable 13,394 27o/o l60/o 39o/o Sea Salt3 0.04 0.04 0.04 Not Aoolicable Total Light Extinction 3 1.6 19.42 28.23 30.t2 Deciview I t.l2 6.45 10.03 10.63 Table 8.3.6-3. Class I Area Visibility Summary for BRIDI on20yo Worst Days I ) 20 I 8 Uniform Rate of Progress Target for Best 20% Days is not defined.2) Results based on Weighted Emissions Potential analysis using the 2000-04 Baseline (plan02d) & 2018 PRPb (prplSb) emissions scenarios. 3) Visibility projections not available due to model performance issues. (WRAP TS S - http ://vista. cira.colostate. edu/tss/) Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 183 of206 173 Class I Area Visibility Summary: Grand Teton NP, WY: Red Rock Lakes NWRW, MT: Teton W, WY: Yellowstone NP, WY Visibility Conditions: Best 20o/o Days RRF Calculation Method: Specific Days (EPA) Emissions Scenarios: 2000-04 Baseline (plan02d) &,2018 PRPb (pml8b) Monitored Estimated Proiected 2000-04 Baseline Conditions (Mm-l) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm-l) 2018 Uniform Rate of Progress Target (Mm-l)r 2018 Projected Visibility Conditions (Mm-l) Baseline to 2018 Change In Statewide Emissions (tons / %) Baseline to 201 8 Change In Upwind Weighted Emissions2 (oA\ Baseline to 2018 Change In Anthropogenic Upwind Weighted Emissions2 (o/"\ Sulfate 1.47 0.33 Not Applicable 1.43 -22,794 -l5o/o -20o/o -260/o Nitrate 0.72 0.29 Not Aoolicable o.57 -39,861 -74o/"-27o/o -360/o Organic Carbon l.l3 0.48 Not Aoolicable l.I -730 -3o/o -3%-28o/o Elemental Carbon 0.3 r 0.07 Not Aoolicable 0.22 -1,217 -l5o/"-l0o/o -5Oo/o Fine Soil 0.1 0.08 Not Aoolicable 0.14 5,223 3lo/"l3o/o 25o/o Coarse Material3 0.24 0.2 Not Aoolicable Not Applicable 13,394 27o/"l8o/"44o/o Sea Salt3 0.01 0 Not Applicable Not Applicable Total Light Extinction 12.99 10.45 Not Applicable 12.7 | Deciview 2.58 0.43 Not Applicable 2.36 Table 8.3.6-4. Class I Area Visibility Summary for YELL2 on20o/o Best Days I ) 201 8 Uniform Rate of Progress Target for Best 2O%o Days is not de{ined.2) Results based on Weighted Emissions Potential analysis usingthe 2000-04 Baseline (plan02d) & 2018 PRPb (prplSb) emissions scenarios. 3) Visibility projections not available due to model performance issues. (WRAP TS S - http ://v ista.cira. colostate.edu/tssA Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 184 of 206 174 Class I Area Visibility Summary: North Absaroka W, WY: Washakie W, WY Visibility Conditions: Best 20Yo Days RRF Calculation Method: Specific Days (EPA) Emissions Scenarios: 2000-04 Baseline (plan02d) &2018 PRPb (pml8b) Monitored Estimated Proiected 2000-04 Baseline Conditions (Mm-l) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm-l) 2018 Uniform Rate of Progress Target (Mm-l)' 2018 Projected Visibility Conditions (Mm-l) Baseline to 2018 Change In Statewide Emissions (tons / %) Baseline to 2018 Change In Upwind Weighted Emissions2 (o/"\ Baseline to 2018 Change In Anthropogenic Upwind Weighted Emissions2 (o/"\ Sulfate l.ll 0.27 Not Annlicahle l.l -22,794 -15%-22%-24o/o Nitrate 0.37 0.23 Not Aoolicable 0.33 -39,861 -l4o/o -28Yo -34o/o Organic Carbon 0.8 0.46 Not Aoolicable 0.77 -730 -3o/o -6%-23o/o Elemental Carbon 0. l6 0.05 Not Aoolicable 0. l4 -1,217 -l5o/o -2lo/o -5Oo/o Fine Soil 0.12 0.1 I Not Aoolicable 0.15 5,223 3lo/o l60/o 26% Coarse Material3 0.71 0.49 Not Anolicable Not Apolicable 13,394 27Yo l9Yo 4OY" Sea Salt3 0.02 0.02 Not Aoplicable Not Applicable Total Light Extinction 12.28 10.6r Not Aoplicable 12.22 Deciview 2.02 0.58 Not Aoplicable t.97 Table 8.3.G5. Class I Area Visibility Summary for NOAB1 on20yo Best Days I ) 20 I 8 Uniform Rate of Progress Target for Best 207o Days is not defined. 2) Results based on Weighted Emissions Potential analysis using the 2000-04 Baseline (planO2d) & 2018 PRPb (prpl Sb) emissions scenarios. 3) Visibility projections not available due to model performance issues. (WRAP TS S - http : //v i sta. c ira. co lostate. edu/tss/) Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 185 of 206 175 Table 8.3.6-6. Class I Area Visibility Summary for BRID1 on20oh Best Days I ) 20 I 8 Uniform Rate of Progress Target for Best 20% Days is not defined.2) Resuls based on Weighted Emissions Potential analysis using the 2000-04 Baseline (planO2d) & 2018 PRPb (prpl8b) emissions scenarios.3) Visibility projections not available due to model performance issues. (WRAP TS S - http ://v ista.cira.co lostate.edu/tss/) Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 186 of206 Class I Area Visibility Summary: Bridger W, WY: Fitzpatrick W, WY Visibility Conditions: Best 20Yo Days RRF Calculation Method: Specific Days (EPA) Emissions Scenarios: 2000-04 Baseline (planO2d) & 2018 PRPb (pml8b) Monitored Estimated Proiected 2000-04 Baseline Conditions (Mm-l) 2064 Natural Conditions (Mm-l) 2018 Uniform Rate of Progress Target (Mm-l)r 2018 Projected Visibility Conditions (Mm-l) Baseline to 2018 Change In Statewide Emissions (tons / %) Baseline to 2018 Change In Upwind Weighted Emissions2 (o/o\ Baseline to 2018 Change In Anthropogenic Upwind Weighted Emissions2 lo/"\ Sulfate 1.45 0.28 Not Apolicable 1.35 -22,794 -l5o/o -31%-33% Nitrate 0.43 0.25 Not Applicable 0.41 -39,86 r -14o/o -2lo/o -25o/" Organic Carbon 0.8 0.41 Not Applicable 0.8 -730 -3o/o -5o/o -23% Elemental Carbon 0.36 0.08 Not Applicable 0.29 -1,217 -l5o/o -20o/o -53% Fine Soil 0.09 0.07 Not Applicable 0.12 5,223 3lo/o t3%23% Coarse Material3 0.25 0.2 Not Applicable Not Apolicable 13,394 27o/o 160/,42o/o Sea Salt3 0.01 0.01 Not Applicable Not Applicable Total Light Extinction t2.38 10.3 Not Aoplicable 12.22 Deciview 2.1 0.28 Not Aoplicable t.97 176 Since the Regional Haze process has proved to be much more complicated than the rule writers ever imagined, the entire process has taken longer than originally estimated. While most east coast states accepted EPA's determination that CAIR satisfied BART for electric generating units, some western states are still going through the difficult case-by-case BART determinations for each EGU. As a result, the WRAP was not able to model all of the emission reductions from BART and State long-term strategies in the most recent modeling effort. In the State of Wyoming, significant additional NO* reductions will be made at the completion of the BART and long-term strategy. The overall cumulative NO,. reductions from Wyoming sources over time are demonstrated in the figure below. Any additional future modeling will most likely demonstrate additional progress towards the 2018 visibility goals. re 8.3.6-7. Additional Cumulative NO, Reductions From Sources 70,00 60,0@ 50,0m 40,0m 30,0m 20,0m 10,0m 0 I Long Term Strategy I I'lon-EGU BART I EGU EART NQ Emission Reductions (tonsl ,et "S dl ,S "d sf ,ot "$ "o,t dP d,t ,O ,S "S Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page 187 of206 177 CHAPTER 9 ONGOING MONITORING AI\D EMISSION INVENTORY STRATEGY The State of Wyoming will rely upon a Regional Planning Organization's provision of adequate technical support to meet its commitment to conduct the analyses necessary to meet the requirements of 5 I .308(dX4). The State of Wyoming will depend on the Inter-Agency Monitoring of PROtected Visual Environments (IMPROVE) monitoring program to collect and report aerosol monitoring data for long-term reasonable progress tracking as specified in 40 CFR 5 I .308(d)(4) of the Regional Haze Rule (RHR). Because the RHR is a long-term tracking program with an implementation period nominally set for 60 years, the Division expects that the IMPROVE program will provide data based on the following goals: l) Maintain a stable configuration of the individual monitors and sampling sites, and stability in network operations for the purpose of continuity in tracking reasonable progress trends;2) Assure sufficient data capture at each site of all visibility-impairing species;3) Comply with EPA quality control and assurance requirements; and4) Prepare and disseminate periodic reports on IMPROVE program operations. The State of Wyoming is relying on the IMPROVE program to meet these monitoring operation and data collection goals, with the fundamental assumption that network data collection operations will not change, or if changed. will remain directly comparable to those operated by the IMPROVE program during the 2000-2004 RHR baseline period. Technical analyses and reasonable progress goals in this Implementation Plan for Regional Haze are based on data from these sites. As such, the State asks that the IMPROVE program identify potential issues affecting RHR implementation trends and/or notify the State before changes in the IMPROVE program affecting a RHR tracking site are made. Further. the State of Wyoming notes that the human resources to operate these monitors are provided by Federal Land Management agencies. Beyond that in-kind contribution, resources for operation and sample analysis of a complete and representative monitoring network of these long-term reasonable progress tracking sites by the IMPROVE program are a collaborative responsibility of EPA, states, tribes, and FLMs and the IMPROVE program steering committee. The State of Wyoming will collaborate with the EPA, FLMs, other states, tribes, and the IMPROVE committee to assure adequate and representative data collection and reporting by the IMPROVE program. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 188 of206 I78 re 9-Links to Site Locations and Monitors Site Name Site Location Link BRIDI VIEWS WRAP TSS IMPROVE http:/ivista.cira.colostate.edu/views/Web/SiteBrowser/SiteBrowser.aspx http ://vista.cira.colostate. edu/T S S/Tool s/AOI.aspx httn://vista.cira.colostate-edr-r/Datawarehouse/IMPROVE/Data/Photos/BRID/start.htm NOABI VIEWS WRAP TSS http://vista.cira.colostate.edr/viewsAileb/SiteBrowser/SiteBrowser.aspx httn://vi sta.cira^colostate.edu/TS S/Too I s/AC)I.asnx YELL2 VIEWS WRAP TSS IMPROVE http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/viewsAileb/SiteBrowser/SiteBrowser.aspx http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/TSS/Tools/AOI.aspx htto://vista.cira.colostate.edr.r/DatawarehouseAMPROVE/Data"/Photos/YELL/start.htm Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(dx4)(i), the State of Wyoming depends on the following TMPROVE program-operated monitors at the following sites for tracking RHR reasonable progress: Table 9-1. The W IMPROYE Mon Network In accordance with provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(dx4xii), the State of Wyoming will use data reported by the TMPROVE program as part of the regional technical support analysis tools found at the Visibility Information Exchange Web System (VIEWS) and the Technical Support System (TSS), as well as other analysis tools and efforts sponsored by a Regional Planning Organization. Wyoming will participate in the ongoing regional analysis activities of a Regional Planning Organization to collectively assess and veriff the progress toward reasonable progress goals, also supporting interstate consultation as the RHR is implemented, and collaborate with members of a Regional Planning Organization to ensure the continued operation of these technical support analysis tools and systems. Wyoming may conduct additional analyses as needed. The State of Wyoming will depend on the routine, timely reporting of haze monitoring data by the IMPROVE program for the reasonable progress tracking sites to the EPA air quality data systems, VIEWS and TSS as set forth in 40 CFR 51.308(dx4)(iv). The State of Wyoming will collaborate with members of a Regional Planning Organization to ensure the continued operation of these technical support analysis tools and systems. Per requirements of 40 CFR 5 1.308(dX4Xv), the State of Wyoming has prepared a statewide inventory of emissions that can reasonably be expected to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in Federal Class I areas. Chapter 4 of this Plan summarizes the emissions by pollutant and source category. Exhibit No.4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 189 of206 2483 m 8t46 ft North Absaroka Wildemess Washakie Wilderness Grand Teton National Park Teton Wilderness Yellowstone National Park 7lUt996 179 The State of Wyoming commits to updating statewide emissions periodically. The updates will be used for state tracking of emission changes, trends, and input into a Regional Planning Organization's evaluation of whether reasonable progress goals are being achieved and other regional analyses. The inventories will be updated every three years on the same schedule as the every three-year reporting required by EPA's Consolidated Emissions Reporting Rule. As a member of a Regional Planning Organization, the State of Wyoming will use the Regibnal Planning Organization-sponsored data system(s) to store and access emission inventory data for the region. The State of Wyoming will also depend upon and participate in additional periodic collective emissions inventory efforts by a Regional Planning Organization. Further, the State of Wyoming will depend on and use the capabilities of a Regional Planning Organization- sponsored modeling center to simulate the air quality impacts of emissions for haze and other related air quality planning purposes. The State of Wyoming will collaborate with members of a Regional Planning Organization to ensure the continued operation of these technical support analysis tools and systems. The State of Wyoming, in accordance with provisions of 40 CFR 5l.308(dx4)(vi), will track data related to RHR haze plan implementation for sources for which the State has regulatory authority, and will depend on the IMPROVE program and a Regional Planning Organization- sponsored collection and analysis efforts and data support systems for monitoring and emissions inventory data, respectively. To ensure the availability of data and analyses to report on visibility conditions and progress toward Class I area visibility goals, the State of Wyoming will collaborate with members of a Regional Planning Organization to ensure the continued operation of the IMPROVE program and Regional Planning Organization-sponsored technical support analysis tools and systems. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 190 of 206 180 CHAPTER 10 COMPREHENSIVE PERIODIC IMPLEMENTATION PLA]\ REVISIONS 40 CFR 51.308(0 requires the Division to revise its Regional Haze Implementation Plan and submit a Plan revision to the USEPA by July 31,2018 and every ten years thereafter. In accordance with the requirements listed in Section 51.308(0 of the Federal rule for regional haze, Wyoming commits to revising and submitting this Regional Haze Implementation Plan by July 3 l, 201 8 and every ten years thereafter. In addition, 51.308(9) requires periodic reports evaluating progress towards the reasonable progress goals established for each mandatory Class I area. In accordance with the requirements listed in 5l.308(g) of the Federal rule for regional haze, the Division commits to submitting a report on reasonable progress to the USEPA every five years following the initial submittal of the SIP. The report will be in the form of a SIP revision. The reasonable progress report will evaluate the progress made towards the reasonable progress goal for each mandatory Class I area located within Wyoming and in each mandatory Class I area located outside Wyoming which may be affected by emissions from within Wyoming. The requirements listed in 51.308(9) include the following: l. A description of the status of implementation of all measures included in the implementation plan for achieving reasonable progress goals for mandatory Class I Federal areas both within and outside the state; Summary of emission reductions achieved thus far; Assessment of changes in visibility conditions at each Class I area (current vs. baseline), expressed as 5-year averages of annual values for least impaired and most impaired days; Analysis of emissions changes over the 5-year period, identified by source or activity, using the most recent updated emissions inventory; Analysis of any significant changes in anthropogenic emissions in or out of the state which have impeded progress; Assessment of the sufficiency of the implementation plan to meet reasonable progress goals; Review of the State's visibility monitoring strategy and any modifications to the strategy as necessary. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 191 of206 t8l CHAPTER 11 WYOMING REGIONAL IJAZE SIP DEVELOPMENT AND CONSULTATION PROCESS 11.1 State to State Consultation Pursuant to 40 CFR Section 51.308(dXiv), the State of Wyoming consulted with other states through a regional planning organization, the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP), in developing reasonable progress goals. The WRAP is a collaborative effort of tribal governments, State governments and various Federal agencies to implement the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission's recommendations and to develop the technical and policy tools needed by western states and tribes to comply with the U.S. EPA's regional haze regulations. The WRAP is administered jointly by the Western Govemors' Association and the National Tribal Environmental Council. WRAP activities are conducted by a network of committees and forums composed of WRAP members and stakeholders who represent a wide range of viewpoints. The WRAP recognizes that residents have the most to gain from improved visibility and that many solutions are best implemented at the local, state, tribal or regional level with public participation. The following states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming have agreed to work together to address regional haze in the Western United States. The goals, objectives, management and decision making structure of the WRAP are described in Work Plans and a Strategic Plan provided in Chapter 1 of the Wyoming TSD. This consultation effort began with all states in the WRAP region contributing information to a technical support system (TSS) which allows all states to better understand the causes of haze and the levels of contribution from all sources to each Class I area. This project has involved many hours of consultation between states on regional emission inventories, monitoring and modeling to determine the causes of visibility impairment in each mandatory Class I Federal area in the regional planning area. WRAP forums involved in the technical consultation between states are as follows: Air Pollution Prevention Forum Dust Emissions Forum Economic Analysis Forum Emissions Forum Fire Emissions Forum Mobile Sources Forum Sources In and Near Class I Areas Forum Stationary Sources Forum Technical Analysis Forum The next step in state consultation in the development of reasonable progress goals was through the lmplementation Work Group (lWG) of the WRAP. The State of Wyoming participated in the IWG which took the products of the technical consultation process discussed above and developed a process for establishing reasonable progress goals in the Western Class I areas. A description of that process and the determination of reasonable progress goals for each ofthe Class I areas in the State of Wyoming is described in Chapter 7. The following states have agreed to work together through the IWG in the development of reasonable progress goals: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana. Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 192 of206 182 Opportunities for consultation on development of reasonable progress goals provided through the WRAP Implementation Work Group have been documented in calls listed on the Implementation Work Group section of the WRAP website at: http ://www.wrapair.org/forums/iwe/meetines.html. Pursuant to 40 CFR Section 51.308(d)(iv), the State of Wyoming also gave opportunity for neighboring states to comment on the State of Wyoming's reasonable progress goals for each Class I area located within the state. Opportunity for comment from other states was offered through a public hearing on the State Implementation Plan (SIP), held in accordance with 40 CFR Section 51.102. The following states in the WRAP region were notified of the SIP public hearing: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, Utah, Washington, Nevada, and Hawaii. The following states in the neighboring Central States Regional Planning Organization (CENRAP) were notified of the SIP public hearing: [owa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebrask4 Oklahom4 and Texas. Consultation correspondence between Wyoming and other states will be included in Chapter I I of the Wyoming TSD. Comments were received from the following states, on the State of Wyoming's reasonable progress goals for Class I areas located within the State of Wyoming. The State of Wyoming took the following actions to resolve the disagreement: The State of Wyoming did not receive any comments from other states indicating disagreement on the reasonable progress goals established for the following Class I areas: Bridger Wildemess, Fitzpatrick Wilderness, Grand Teton National Park, North Absaroka Wilderness, Teton Wilderness, Washakie Wilderness, and Yellowstone National Park. Pursuant to 40 CFR 5l .308(dx3)(i), the State of Wyoming has participated in regional planning and coordination with other states in developing emission management strategies if emissions from within the state contribute to visibility impairment in a mandatory Class I Federal area outside the state, or if emissions from another state, regional planning organization, country, tribal area, or offshore location contribute to visibility impairment in any Class I Federal area within the state. This participation was through the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP). A more detailed description of the goals, objectives, management, and decision-making structure of the WRAP has been included in Work Plans and a Strategic Plan provided in Chapter I of the Wyoming TSD. The following WRAP forums have provided consultation opportunities between states on emission management strategies: Air Pollution Prevention Forum Dust Emissions Forum Economic Analysis Forum Emissions Forum Fire Emissions Forum Mobile Sources Forum Sources In and Near Class I Areas Forum Stationary Sources Forum Technical Analysis Forum Opportunities for consultation on emission strategies provided through the WRAP have been documented in calls and meetings on the WRAP website at: http ://www.wrapair.org/callcalendar.php. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 193 of206 A description of the selected emission management strategies for the State of Wyoming is described in Chapter 8 of this Plan. The State of Wyoming views the development of coordinated emission management strategies to be a long-term commitment, and therefore, the State of Wyoming agrees to continue to participate in the WRAP or an alternative Regional Planning Organization in developing coordinated emission management strategies for SIP revisions in 2013 and 2018. Pursuant to 40 CFR 5l.308(hX2), the State of Wyoming has determined this first State Implementation Plan is adequate to ensure reasonable progress for the first planning period of the regional haze long-term planning effon which extends out to the year 2064. While emissions from sources outside of the State of Wyoming have resulted in a slower rate of improvement in visibility than the rate that would be needed to attain natural conditions by 2064, most of these emissions are beyond the control of any state in the regional planning area of the WRAP. The emission sources include: emissions from outside the WRAP domain; emissions from Canada and Mexico; emissions from wildfires and windblown dust; and emissions from offshore shipping. A more detailed description and quantification of these uncontrolled emissions is included in the Source Apportionment and Regional Haze Modeling chapter of this SIP. Additional strategies to address emissions beyond the control of any state in the WRAP under the jurisdiction of EPA are discussed in the Long-Term Strategy chapter of this SIP. Through the WRAP consultation process the State of Wyoming has reviewed and analyzed the contributions from other states that reasonably may cause or contribute to visibility impairment in Wyoming's Class I areas. Wyoming acknowledges that the long-term strategies adopted by Colorado, South Dakota, and Idaho in their SIPs and approved by EPA will include emission reductions from a variety of sources that will reduce visibility impairment in Wyoming's Class I areas. Exhibit No. 4 Case No.IPC-E-13-'16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 194 of206 184 Figure 1 1.1-1. Regional Planning Organizations Regional Planning Organizations Urltlitr lmrousnnil Shb rnd trtrl lcroclti Air Planning Association 11.2 State and Federal Land Manager Coordination 40 CFR Section 51.308(i) of the Regional Haze Rule requires coordination between states and the Federal Land Managers (FLMs). Wyoming has provided agency contacts to the FLMs as required under 5 1.308(iX I ). During the development of this Plan, the FLMs were consulted in accordance with the provisions of 5l .308(i)(2). Numerous opportunities were provided by the Westem Regional Air Partnership for FLMs to participate fulty in the development of technical documents developed by the WRAP and included in this Plan. This included the ability to review and comment on these analyses, reports, and policies. A summary of WRAP-sponsored meetings and conference calls is provided on the WRAP website at: http://www.wrapair.org/callcalendar.php. The State of Wyoming has provided an opportunity for consultation, in person and at least 60 days prior to holding any public hearing on the SIP. As required by 40 CFR Section 51.308(iX3), the FLM comments and State responses, as well as email exchanges from the FLM community to the Division explaining their review preferences of the SIP, will be included in Chapter I I of the Wyoming TSD. 40 CFR Sections 51.308(Gh) establish requirements and timeframes for states to submit periodic SIP revisions and progress reports that evaluate progress toward the reasonable progress goal for each Class I area. As required by 40 CFR Section 51.308(D(4), Wyoming will continue to Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page '195 of 206 185 coordinate and consult with the FLMs during the development of these future progress reports and Plan revisions, as well as during the implementation of programs having the potential to contribute to visibility impairment in mandatory Class I areas. The progress and Plan reviews are to occur at five-year intervals, with a progress report between each required Plan revision. This consultation process shall provide on-going and timely opportunities to address the status of the control programs identified in this SIP, the development of future assessments of sources and impacts, and the development of additional control programs. The consultation will include the status of the following specific implementation items: 1.Implementation of emissions strategies identified in the SIP as contributing to achieving improvement in the worst-day visibility. Summary of major new permits issued. Status of State actions to meet commitments for completing any future assessments or rulemakings on sources identified as likely contributors to visibility impairment, but not directly addressed in the most recent SIP revision.4. Any changes to the monitoring srategy or monitoring stations status that may affect tracking of reasonable progress.5. Work underway for preparing the 5-year review and/or lO-year revision.6. Items for FLMs to consider or provide support for in preparation for any visibility protection SIP revisions (based on a 5-year review or the l0-year revision schedule under EPA's RHR).7. Summary of topics discussion (meetings, emails, other records) covered in ongoing communications between the State and FLMs regarding implementation of the visibility program. The consultation will be coordinated with the designated visibility protection program coordinators for the National Park Service, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Bureau of Land Management, and the U.S. Forest Service. At a minimum, the State of Wyoming will meet with the Federal Land Managers on an annual basis through the Western Regional Air Partnership or an alternative Regional Planning Organization. 11.3 Tribal Consultation Although tribal consultation is not required under the RegionalHaze Rule, the Division views this as an important part of the consultation process, and actively pursued this during the development of the Regional Haze Plan. Not unlike the state consultation process, consultation with tribes involved reviewing major emission sources and regionalhaze strategies to address visibility issues. Consultation correspondence between Wyoming and tribal contacts will be included in Chapter I I of the Wyoming TSD. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 196 of206 186 CHAPTER 12 DETERMINATION OF TIIE ADEQUACY OF THE EXISTING PLAI\ Depending on the findings of the five-year progress report, Wyoming commits to taking one of the actions listed in 40 CFR 51.308(h). The findings of the five-year progress repon will determine which action is appropriate and necessary. List of Possible Actions (40 CFR 51.308(h)) l. The Division determines that the existing SIP requires no further substantive revision in order to achieve established goals. The Division provides to the EPA Administrator a negative declaration that further revision of the SIP is not needed at this time. 2- The Division determines that the existing SIP may be inadequate to ensure reasonable progress due to emissions from other states. which participated in the regional planning process. The Division provides notification to the EPA Administrator and the states that participated in regional planning. The Division collaborates with states and FLMs through the regional planning process to address the SIP's deficiencies. 3. The Division determines that the current SIP may be inadequate to ensure reasonable progress due to emissions from another country. The Division provides notification, along with available information, to the EPA Administrator. 4. The Division determines that the existing SIP is inadequate to ensure reasonable progress due to emissions within the state. The Division will consult with FLMs and revise its SIP to address the Plan's deficiencies within one year. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 97 of 206 CHAPTER 13 TECHNICAL INFORMATION AND DATA RELIED UPON IN THIS PLAN This chapter describes the information relied upon by the Division in developing this Regional Haze Plan. The first portion of this chapter describes the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) and the work products of this organization which have been utilized by the Division. 13.1 The WRAP and Technical Support The WRAP is a voluntary organization of western states, tribes and Federal agencies which was formed in 1997 as the successor to the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission (GCVTC). It is a regional planning organization that provides assistance to western states like Wyoming in the preparation and implementation of RegionalHaze Plans. The WRAP is also instigating regional planning processes to improve visibility in all Westem Class I areas by providing the technical and policy tools needed by states and tribes to implement the Federal Regional Haze Rule. The WRAP is administered jointly by the Western Governors' Association (WGA) and the National Tribal Environmental Council (NTEC). The WRAP is comprised of westem states, tribes and Federal agencies. The states include Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon. South Dakota, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. Tribal board members include Campo Band of Kumeyaay Indians, Confederated Salish and KootenaiTribes, Cortina Indian Rancheria, Hopi Tribe, HualapaiNation of the Grand Canyon, Native Village of Shungnak, Nez Perce Tribe, Northern Cheyenne Tribe, Orutsararmiut Native Council, Pueblo of Acoma, Pueblo of San Felipe, Pueblo of Zuni, and Shoshone-Bannock Tribes of Fort Hall. Representatives of other tribes participate on WRAP forums and committees. Participation is encouraged throughout the western states and tribes. Federal participants include the Department of Interior (National Park Service and Fish & Wildlife Service), the Department of Agriculture (Forest Service), and the Environmental Protection Agency. 13.2 WRAP Committees and Work Groups o Air Managers Committee The Air Managers Committee (formerly the Northern Air Managers Committee) is made up of state and tribal caucuses, each representing the interests of state and tribal air managers. The committee is expected to provide air managers with a forum for discussing WRAP related matters of concern to them. These matters may cover a spectrum of air quality issues. The committee also provides a mechanism for communication and guidance to the technical and policy forums as to what air managers believe is needed to support their regional planning efforts. o CommunicationsCommittee The WRAP Communications Committee facilitates the exchange of information between the standing committees and forums of the WRAP, and is also charged with developing materials Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 198 of206 188 that help the general public understand the WRAP process and take part in its decision making. Some of the products of the Communications Committee have included outreach materials to encourage direct participation, the development of internal and external communications plans and the construction of the WRAP website. o Planning Team The Planning Team is convened as needed to address long-term planning and administrative issues, such as annualWRAP work plans and the WRAP strategic plan. Some of the functions performed by the Planning Team were previously performed by the Coordinating Group, which no longer exists. o Initiatives Oversight Committee The Initiatives Oversight Committee (lOC) provides general oversight for the coordination and development of air quality strategies necessary to promote the implementation of the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission's recommendations. The IOC oversees the development of other air quality policies and strategies at the direction of the WRAP, refers issues to forums, reviews recommendations from forums and makes recommendations to the WRAP. o Technical Oversight Committee The Technical Oversight Committee (TOC) provides general oversight to the technical activities of the WRAP. The TOC identifies technical issues and tasks necessary to support the activities of the WRAP and refers these issues to the technical forums. The TOC identifies issues to be addressed by the forums, based on input, priorities, and directions from the WRAP. The TOC reviews any recommendations made by the forums and subsequently makes its own recommendations to the WRAP. . Implementation Work Group The purpose of the WRAP Air Managers Committee Implementation Work Group is to help states and tribes prepare their Regional Haze lmplementation Plans to meet the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308 and 401 CFR 51.309(9). The work group is comprised of state and tribal representatives to accommodate the needs of states and tribes by recognizing the variety of regulatory and statutory authorities and range of technical and policy expertise. o Oil and Gas Emissions Work Group Significant air pollutant emissions come from production of oil and gas from wells located on state-regulated and tribal lands, as well as from the interconnected gathering networks interlacing the WRAP region. These emissions result from operation of an extensive fleet of field equipment and an array of processing plants, operating continuously across the West. These field operations include exploration, production, and gathering activities. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 199 of 206 189 Historically, emissions from large stationary point sources processing this energy for the oil and gas fuels markets were pretty well quantified through existing regulatory agency permitting programs, but quite a number of pieces of smaller oiland gas field equipment (compressor engines, drill rigs, heaters, dehydrators, flares, etc.) traditionally fell below agency permitting thresholds. Although individual emissions from this field equipment could be considered minor, with increasing energy demand and continuing oil and gas field development the cumulative totals for oil and gas basins, producing states and the WRAP region as a whole were thought to present an entirely different picture. But prior to WRAP involvement, present and future area source emissions from westem field oil and gas production operations were generally incompletely quantifi ed. The WRAP recognized this deficiency and formed the Oil and Gas Emissions Work Group to look more closely at this industry and take steps to address the deficiencies. In late 2005 the WRAP completed the Phase I oil and gas emission inventory project to estimate for the first time, regional emission totals from these field operations. As a "first cut" Phase I had a number of uncertainties identified, thus the work group subsequently initiated the Phase II project, completed in fall2007, to more fully characterize the oil and gas field operations emissions. These WRAP inventories identified over 100,000 TPY of NO* emissions in the WRAP region which had not previously been included in regional air quality assessments, as well as significant totals of other air pollutant species (VOC's primarily) critical in the evaluation of regional haze and other air quality management issues. Members of the Independent Petroleum Association of Mountain States (IPAMS) felt that still more improvement in the accuracy of these emission estimates was needed and available. So in late 2007 IPAMS initiated a Phase III regional oil and gas emission inventory project funded by their organization. The project was unde(aken in conjunction with the WRAP to assure that the products from Phase III were widely distributed among non-industry stakeholders (state/local agencies, tribal air programs. Federal Land Managers, environmental groups and EPA). This wider participation was viewed as necessary to assure review and feedback such that the final inventories were understood and more universally accepted by those parties interested in and affected by oil and gas development in the lntermountain West. o Tribal Data Development Work Group The mission of this work group is to assist and advise WRAP on gathering tribal air quality data and other air quality issues related to the WRAP mission from tribes in the WRAP area. They work with the other WRAP forum and non-tribal communities to improve understanding communities of protocols and processes for obtaining and using tribal data. In addition to assisting in gathering existing air quality and air emissions data, this work group aids in devising plans for filling the gaps in the tribal data. Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 200 of 206 I90 13.3 WRAP Forums r Air Pollution Prevention Forum The Air Pollution Prevention Forum (AP2) was created by the WRAP to examine barriers to use of renewable energy and energy efficient technologies, identify actions to overcome such barriers, and recommend potential renewable energy and energy efficiency programs and policies that could result in a reduction of air pollution emissions from energy production and energy end-use sectors in the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Region. o Dust Emissions Joint Forum In the summer of 2002, the WRAP Oversight Committees established a Dust Emissions Joint Forum to consolidate the WRAP's efforts involving dust. Previously. three forums had worked on dust issues: the Mobile Sources Forum, the Research and Development Forum, and the Emissions Forum. The new DEJF concentrates on improving how dust emissions are estimated and subsequently treated by air quality models. The forum also examines strategies to effectively reduce the impact of dust emissions on visibility in Class I areas. o Economic Analysis Forum The mission of the Economic Analysis Forum (EAF) is to provide the WRAP and WRAP forums with projections of econometric parameters needed to forecast changes in emissions, and assessments of the economic effects of pollution controls on the region and sub-regions, including Indian Country. Specifically, the EAF is seeking to: develop a better definition of what states, tribes and stakeholders expect from the economic analyses provided with WRAP products; develop a common economic analysis framework, which will include incorporating existing studies' economic analyses; assist states and tribes as they prepare their Implementation Plans; and provide overall analytical support and analysis as states and tribes gage the economic components of their Regional Haze Plans. o Emissions Forum The Emissions Forum oversees the development of a comprehensive emissions tracking and forecasting system which can be utilized by the WRAP, or its member entities, monitors the trends in actual emissions, and forecasts the anticipated emissions which will result from current regulatory requirements and alternative control strategies. In addition, this forum is responsible for the oversight of the assembly and quality assurance of the emissions inventories and forecasts to be utilized by the WRAP forums. o Fire Emissions Joint Forum The Fire Emissions Joint Forum (FEJF) was formed to assist the WRAP in addressing the Grand Canyon Visibility Transport Commission's (GCVTC) Recommendations on fire. The term fire refers inclusively to wildfire, prescribed natural fire/wildland fire managed for resource benefits, prescribed fire, and agricultural fire. The forum addresses a broad definition of smoke effects Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 201 of206 l9l which includes consideration of public nuisance, public health and visibility/regional haze. The FEJF follows its consensus based Work Plan which addresses four major topics. Criteria for implementation of different stringencies of smoke management programs are being developed as well as specific smoke management program elements. Fire emissions are being directly assessed in terms of pollutant estimation methods. emission projections and tracking. An assessment is being done of the potential applicability and utility of non-burning alternatives to fire. The use of alternatives and other emission reduction methods relates directly to the potential application of annual emission goals. A public education and outreach program related to fire and smoke effects is being developed. All recommendations to the WRAP and methods developed by the forum are intended for Western U.S. application and represent a consensus of FEJF members. Collaboration and cooperation with other entities addressing smoke management issues in the West have been included in the Work Plan of the FEJF. o Mobile Sources Forum The Mobile Sources Forum (MSF) investigates and recommends mobile source emission control measures. Mobile sources includes both on-road sources (e.g., cars, trucks, buses. and motorcycles) and off-road sources (e.g., aircraft and its support equipment, locomotives, commercial marine and pleasure craft, and equipment used for construction, logging, mining, agriculture, and lawn and garden care). Since emission standards fbr new on-road and off-road sources can only be set by the U.S. EPA (on-road standards can also be set by California), the MSF focuses more on the impact and treatment of existing sources. especially off-road sources. The MSF also participates in technical activities related to mobile sources. During its first couple of years (2000-02), the MSF led the development of a WRAP-wide mobile source emission inventory and worked with the Air Quality Modeling Forum to define and analyze the significance of mobile sources with respect to the requirements of $309 of the Regional Haze Rule. o Sources In and Near Class I Areas Forum The Crand Canyon Visibility Transportation Commission (GCVTC) developed recommendations to address emissions from sources in and near Class I areas on the Colorado Plateau. The Sources In and Near Class I Areas Forum (ln and Near Forum) helps implement those recommendations by working with parks and local communities to develop and implement strategies to minimize emissions and the resulting visibility impacts. . Stationary Sources Joint Forum The Stationary Sources Joint Forum (SSJF) was established in January 2004 and replaces the Market Trading Forum (MTF). The SSJF focuses more broadly on stationary source issues throughout the WRAP and their relationship to Section 308 SIP requirements. Major topics for the SSJF include BART, reasonable progress for stationary sources, technical analyses, and Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 202 ot 206 192 evaluating the effect of and integration with other regulatory and legislative developments at the national level. o Technical Analysis Forum The TAF coordinates and manages the processing, display, delivery, and explanation of technical data for regional haze planning activities. The TAF assumes responsibility for combining the participants and maintaining the activities and ongoing projects of the Ambient Air Monitoring & Reporting Forum, the Air Quatity Modeling Forum, and the Attribution of Haze Workgroup. 13.4 WRAP TSS The primary purpose of the TSS is to provide key summary analytical results and methods documentation for the required technical elements of the Regional Haze Rule, to support the preparation, completion, evaluation, and implementation of the Regional Haze Implementation Plans to improve visibility in Class I areas. The TSS provides technical results prepared using a regional approach, to include summaries and analysis of the comprehensive datasets used to identify the sources and regions contributing to regional haze in the Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) region. The secondary purpose of the TSS is to be the one-stop-shop for access, visualization, analysis, and retrieval of the technical data and regional analytical results prepared by WRAP Forums and Workgroups in support of regional haze planning in the West. The TSS specifically summarizes results and consolidates information about air quality monitoring, meteorological and receptor modeling data analyses, emissions inventories and models, and gridded air quality/visibility regional modeling simulations. These copious and diverse data are integrated for application to air quality planning purposes by prioritizing and refining key information and results into explanatory tools. A detailed description of the TSS website, "WRAP Technical Support System Web Site Description (November 16,2009 Draft)", can be found in Chapter l3 of the Wyoming TSD. 13.5 IMPROVE Monitoring 13.5.1 Background on IMPROVE Monitoring The Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments (IMPROVE) program is a cooperative measurement effort governed by a steering committee composed of representatives from Federal and regional-state organizations. The IMPROVE monitoring program was established in 1985 to aid the creation of Federal and State Implementation Plans for the protection of visibility in Class I areas (156 nationalparks and wilderness areas) as stipulated in the 1977 amendments to the Clean Air Act. The objectives of IMPROVE are: (1) to establish current visibility and aerosol conditions in mandatory Class I areas; (2) to identiff chemical species and emission sources responsible for existing man-made visibility impairment; (3) to document long-term trends for assessing progress towards the national visibility goal; (4) and with the enactment of the Regional Haze Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 203 of 206 193 Rule, to provide regional haze monitoring representing all visibility-protected Federal Class I areas where practical. IMPROVE has also been a key participant in visibility-related research, including the advancement of monitoring instrumentation, analysis techniques, visibility modeling, policy formulation and source attribution field studies. An IMPROVE sampler, depicted below, consists of four separate modules used for collecting the various pollutant species. Figure 13.5.1-1. Schematic of the IMPROVE Sampler Showing the Four Modules With Separate Inlets and Pumps (http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/improveiOverview/IMPROVEProgram-files/frame.htm) The IMPROVE monitoring network consists of aerosol and optical samplers. The network began operating in 1988 with 20 monitoring sites in Class I areas. By 1999 the network expanded to 30 monitoring sites in Class I areas and 40 sites using IMPROVE site and sampling protocols operated by Federal and State agencies. With the enactment of the Regional Haze Rules the IMPROVE network has been expanded by 80 new sites. Photographs of Wyoming Class I area IMPROVE monitoring sites are provided in Chapter 2. 13.6 Formula for Reconstructed Light Extinction The IMPROVE program has developed methods for estimating light extinction from speciated aerosol and relative humidity data. The three most common metrics used to describe visibility impairment are: along a sight path due to scattering and absorption by gases and particles, expressed in inverse Megameters (Mm-l). This metric is useful for representing the contribution of Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 204 ot 206 Motluh B Prra.C (nybn) rull{e,rnnfeivrl Motlule A ru2.s (Tclbn) mmc, eLmenlg abso.Bio.r Morluh C Pile.s ({ufltr) oQr*. elfinadd earb,r [rodulo D PMIO fidon) nEaS 194 each aerosol species to visibility impairment and can be practically thought of as the units of light lost in a million meter distance. seen on the horizon, expressed in kilometers (km) or miles (mi). Rule. The deciview index was designed to be linear with respect to human perception of visibility. A one deciview change is approximately equivalent to a l0Yo change in extinction, whether visibility is good or poor. A one deciview change in visibility is generally considered to be the minimum change the average person can detect with the naked eye. The IMPROVE network estimates light extinction based upon the measured mass ofvarious contributing aerosol species. EPA's 2003 guidance for calculating light extinction is based on the original protocol defined by the IMPROVE program in 1988. (For further information, see http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/improve/Publications/GuidanceDocs/guidancedocs.htm.) In December 2005, the IMPROVE Steering Committee voted to adopt a revised algorithm for use by IMPROVE as an alternative to the original approach. The revised algorithm for estimating light extinction is calculated as recomm€nded for use by the IMPROVE steering committee using the following equations: b,,,=2.2 x f.GrD x [Small Amm. Sulfate] + 4.8 x fLGH) x [Large Amm. Sulfate] + 2.4 x f,(RH) x [Small Amm. Nitrate] + 5.1 x fL(RH) x [Large Amm. Nitrate] + 2.8 x [SmallPOM] + 6.1 x [Large POM] + l0 x [EC]+ I x [Soil]+ 1.7 x f,,(RH) x [Sea Salt] + 0.6 x [CM] + 0.33 x [NOz0pb)] + Rayleigh Scattering (Site Specific) The revised algorithm splits ammonium sulfate, ammonium nitrate, and POM concentrations into small and large size fractions as follows: [P*.1=#*[roat]Fw[Totat]< 2opglm3{ lS-"ut = [rotar] - [I-arge] Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 205 of 206 For [Total] > 2opg/mr, [Lrge] = [rorat] 195 13.7 \tryoming IMPROVE Monitoring Network In Wyoming there are three IMPROVE monitors which are described in the table below. There are seven Class I areas in Wyoming; therefore, some monitors serve multiple Class I areas. Although it is desirable to have one monitor for each Class I area, in most cases one monitor is "representative" of haze conditions in nearby Class I areas. Locations and descriptions of the IMPROVE monitors were presented in Chapter 2. Table 13.7-1. The W IMPROVE Network 2627 m 8619 ft North Absaroka Wilderness Washakie Wilderness Grand Teton National Park Teton Wilderness Yellowstone National Park 7ly1996 Exhibit No. 4 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 206 of 206 196 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-I3-16 IDAHO POWER COMPANY HARVEY, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO.5 EXHIBIT NO.5 IS CONFIDENTIAL AND WI LL BE PROVI DED TO THE APPROPRIATE PARTIES UPON REAUEST AND EXECUTION OF THE PROTEGTIVE AGREEMENT BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION cAsE NO. IPC-E-I3-16 IDAHO POWER COMPANY HARVEY, DI TESTIMONY EXHIBIT NO.6 2OI1 IRP UPDATE Coal Unit Environmental lnvestment Analysis For The Jim Bridger and North Valmy Coal-Fired Power Plants Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 1 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 1 of30 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary.... Financial and Economic Assumptions.................. Description and Existing MaJor Envlronmental lnvestments in Coal Units............. Recent Environmental Regu1ations.................. lnvestment Alternatives Base Alternatives. Compliance Timing Alternatives. Enhanced Upgrade Alternatives........... Results.. 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 11 11 13 13 SAIC lndividual Unit Analysis.... ldaho Power Portfolio Analysis. Conclusions and Recommendations.... North Valmy Units #1 and #2.......... Jim Bridger Unit #1 Jim Bridger Unit #2 Jim Bridger Unit #3 Jim Bridger Unit #4.. Review Process and Action Plan... 74 L4 15 77 L7 19 19 22 23 25 26 28 30 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page2 Exhibit No. 6 Case No.lPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 2 of 30 Executive Summary The Coal Unit Environmental lnvestment Analysis (Study) examines future investments required for environmental compliance in existing coal units and compares those investments to the costs of two alternatives: (1) replace such units with Combined Cycle Combustion Turbine (CCCD units or (2) converting theexistingcoal unitstonatural gas. ldahoPowerusedacombinationofthird-partyanalysis,operating partner input and an ldaho Power analysis to assure a complete and fair assessment of the alternatives. This Study consists of two parts: 1. A unit specific forecasted (static) annual generation analysis performed by Science Applications lnternational Corporation (SAIC). ldaho Power conducted a competitive procurement process to select SAIC. 2. An economically dispatched (dynamic)total portfolio resource cost analysis performed by ldaho Power using the SAIC study results. The SAIC analysis included a review of ldaho Power's estimated capital costs and variable costs associated with the proposed environmental compliance upgrades, coal unit replacement with CCCT's and naturalgas conversion. SAIC developed the cost estimates for replacing the coal units annual generation, under three natural gas and three carbon futures. These estimates served as the foundation for SAIC's capital investment analysis which allowed assets with different lengths of operation as well as different implementation dates to be compared equitably. The results of the SAIC analysis served as planning recommendations regarding the three investment alternatives to be used in the second part of the comprehensive Study. The second part of the Study performed by ldaho Power utilized the AURORAxmp'Model (AURORA) to determine the total portfolio cost of each investment alternative analyzed by SAIC. The total portfolio cost is estimated over a twenty-year planning horizon (2013 through 2032). The Key Assumptions section of this report provides additional details on the carbon adder assumptions and natural gas price forecasts. Analvsis Results for North Valmv Currently, the only notable investment required at the North Valmy plant is to install a Dry Sorbent lnjection (DSl) system for compliance with the Mercury and Air Toxic Standards (MATS) regulation on Unit #1. North Valmy is not subject to Regional Haze (RH) Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) regulations; therefore, no additional controls will be required for compliance with this regulation. No other notable investments in environmental controls at the North Valmy plant are required at this time. lnstallation of DSI was the lowest cost result for most of the sensitivities analyzed by SAIC including the planning case scenario (planning case naturalgas/planning case carbon). The AURORA analysis, performed by ldaho Power, shows installing DSI as the least cost option in four of the nine sensitivities analyzed including the planning case scenario (planning case naturalgas/planning case carbon). The scenarios in which Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 3 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 3 of 30 DSI was not the preferred option are the extreme low natural gas and high carbon cases, which have a lower proba bility of occu rring. ldaho Power's conclusion is that installing the DSI system is a low cost approach to retain a diversified portfolio of generation assets including the 126 MW's of Unit #1's capacity for our customers benefit. The continued operation of Unit #1 as a coal-fired unit will provide fuel diversity that can mitigate risk associated with high naturalgas prices. ln the event that North Valmy requires significant additional capital or operation and maintenance costs (O&M) expenditures for new environmental regulations, both the SAIC and the ldaho Power analyses advise further review to justify the additional investment. Analvsis Results for Jim Bridser Jim Bridger is currently required to install Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) on allfour units for RH compliance and mercury controls for compliance with MATS. Both the SAIC and ldaho Power evaluations identify additional investments in environmental controls on all fourJim Bridger units as prudent decisions that represent the lowest cost and least risk option when compared to the other investment alternatives. ldaho Power recommends proceeding with the installation of SCR and other required controls on Units #3 and #4 and including the continued operation of all four Jim Bridger units in ldaho Powe/s future resource planning. Compliance Timing Alternatives ldaho Power also evaluated the economic benefits of delaying coal unit investments required under the emerging environmental regulations. To perform this evaluation ldaho Power assumed that it could negotiate with state and federal entities a five-year period where no additional environmental controls are installed in exchange for shutting the unit down at the end of the five-year period. These compliance timing alternative cases are strictly hypothetical. ldaho Power may not have any basis under current regulations to negotiate this delay and the relevant regulatory authorities have not offered any such delay. These alternatives are included in the alternatives summary table. Unit Ownershio and Ooeration It should be noted that, although a partial owner of the Jim Bridger (one-third) and the North Valmy (one- half) coal plants, ldaho Power does not operate any of the coal-fired units and ldaho Power does not have the sole rights to alter the compliance plan in place for these units. Any decision regarding environmental investments, plant retirement orconversion to natural gas must be coordinated and agreed to bythe other owners/operators of the plants and their regulators. Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 4 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 4 of 30 Kev Assumptions The undertaking of any analysis of this nature requires that assumptions be made regarding uncertain costs and regulations that may impact the economics of the coal plants. ln fact, two of the most influential inputs tothe analysis are also amongthe least known overthe long-run and are related tofuture carbon regulation and future natural gas prices. ln order to evaluate these uncertainties ldaho Power has used low, planning and high case natural gas and carbon adder futures. These forecasts provide a range of outcomes to assess the impact of natural gas price and carbon adder uncertainty on the economic evaluation of the investment alternatives. ldaho Power is currently preparing its 2013 IRP covering the 2013-2032 planning horizon. As that process is well underway, key assumptions for this Study are aligned with the 2013 IRP assumptions. These key assumptions include: Natural Gas Price Forecast - For the purpose of being consistent with ldaho Case No. GNR-E-11-03, Order No. 32697 (December 18,2O12l,ldaho Power is using the Energy lnformation Administration (ElA)Annual Energy Outlook (Henry Hub spot price) for the 2013 IRP planning case natural gas price forecast. The high and low cases are +/- 30% from the planning case forecast. All cases were adjusted to reflect an ldaho citygate delivery price. These forecasts are provided in Figure 1. Figure 1. NaturalGas Price Forecast Natural Gas Price Forecast =o .E Eo =@ ==oCL -goo S18.oo Srs.oo s14.00 S12.oo S1o.oo S8.oo So.oo Sa.oo Sz.oo So.oo % % % %%%%%%.,+ .,+ ++.,+."+ %+ % % %."* % -High Gas -pl3nnipg Q35 -l6p s65 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 5 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 5 of 30 Load Forecast - The 2013 IRP load forecast is ldaho Power's most current load forecast and was used in the preparation of this Study. Financial and Economic Assumotions - The 2013 IRP financial and economic assumptions were also used for this Study. Carbon Adder Assumptions - For the 2013 lRP, three carbon adder assumptions have been developed and include a low case of no carbon tax, a planning case with a 2018 start date at S14.54 per ton of COz emitted escalated at 3% and a high case with a 2018 start date at 535.00 per ton of CO2 emitted escalated at 9%. These forecasts are provided in Figure 2. Figure 2. Carbon Adder Assumptions Carbon Adder Assu mptions Srzo Srro 3. Sroo lE.E Sso Et sso j szo : sooo: ssoof saog seooo szo Sro So %%% % %%%%.,+ ++ %."+.,.".,+.,+ % % %.E ++ onls Carbon -pls6ni6g Carbon -High Carbon Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 6 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 6 of 30 Description and Existins Maior Environmental lnvestments in Coal Units Jim Bridser The Jim Bridger coal-fired power plant consists of four units and is located near Rock Springs, Wyoming. ldaho Power owns one-third of Jim Bridger with the other two-thirds owned by PacifiCorp. PacifiCorp is the operator of the Jim Bridger plant. These units have the following current net dependable capacity ratings: Jim Bridger unit #1 (JB1) 531 MW Jim Bridger unit #2 (JB2) 527 MW Jim Bridger unit #3 (JB3) 530 MW Jim Brideer unit #4 (JB4) 523 MW Total Plant -2,111 MW (703.7 MW ldaho Power Share) The following major emission control equipment has been previously installed on each unit at the Jim Bridger plant: Pollutants NO, Opacity Soz North Valmv The North Valmy coal-fired power plant consists of two units and is located near Winnemucca, Nevada. ldaho Power owns one-half of North Valmy with the other one-half owned by NV Energy. NV Energy is the operator of the North Valmy plant. These units have the following current net dependable capacity ratings: North Valmy unit #1(NV1) 252 MW North Valmv unit #2 (NV2) 272 MW Total Plant -524 MW (262 MW ldaho Power Share) The following major emission control equipment has been previously installed at the North Valmy plant: Pollutants Controls Controls New Generation Low NO, Burners Electrostatic Precipitators Wet Scrubbers Current Emission Limits 0.251blMMBtu 20% Opacity 0.15Ib/MMBtu Current Emission Limits 0.46 lb/MMBtu (averaged) 2O% Opacity 70% removal NO,Early Generation Low NO, Burners Opacity Baghouse SOz (Unit 2) Dry Lime Scrubber Coal Unit Environmental Analysis PageT Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 7 of 30 Recent Environmental Reeulations The new regulations that have been proposed by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) over the last few years have caused great concern among utilities that own coal-fired generation. The impact of the proposed regulations will require extensive installation of emissions controls in a short period of time. ln addition, these proposed regulations often override state decisions relating to control requirements. The effectiveness of the regulations on health and visibility is controversialand highly debated. Finol Mercury and Air Toxic Standords (MATS) RuIe ln April 2010, the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia approved, by consent decree, a timetable that would require the EPA to finalize a standard to control mercury emissions from coal-fired power plants by November 2011. ln March 2011, the EPA released the rule to control emissions of mercury and other Hazardous Air Pollutants (HAPs)from coal- and oil-fired Electric utility steam Generating Units (EGUs) under the federal Clean Air Act (CAA). ln the same notice, the EPA further proposed to revise the New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) for fossilfuel-fired EGUs. Both the proposed HAPs regulation and the associated NSPS revisions were finalized on February L6,20L2. The regulation imposes maximum achievable controltechnology and NSPS on all coal-fired EGUs and replaces the former Clean Air Mercury Rule. Specifically, the regulation sets numeric emission limitations on coal-fired EGUs for total particulate matter (a surrogate for non-mercury HAPs), hydrochloric acid (HCL), and mercury. ln addition, the regulation imposes a work practice standard for organic HAPs, including dioxins and furans. For the revised NSPS, for EGUs commencing construction of a new source after publication of the final rule, the EPA has established amended emission limitations for particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen oxides. Utilities have three years for compliance, with a one year compliance extension for any utility or plant that cannot feasibly installthe pollution controls during the three year compliance window. ldaho Power does not need nor can ldaho Power qualify for the one year extension, so all controls were assumed to be completed within the three year time frame. Notionol Ambient Air Quoltty Stondards (NAAQS): The CAA requires the EPA to set ambient air quality standards for six "criteria" pollutants considered harmful to public health and the environment. The six pollutants are carbon monoxide, lead, ozone, particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide, and sulfur dioxide. States are then required to develop emission reduction strategies through State lmplementation Plans (SlP) based on attainment of these ambient air quality standards. Recent developments related to three of the pollutants - PMz.s, NO,, and SOz are relevant to ldaho Power. . Paniculor Motter (PM. sl. ln L997, the EPA adopted NMQS for fine particulate matter of less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter (PM2.5 standard), setting an annual limit of 15 micrograms per cubic meter (gg/m3), calculated as a three-year average. ln 2006, the EPA adopted a 24-hour NAAQS for PM2 5. of 35 pg/m3. All of the counties in Nevada, Oregon, and Wyoming have been designated as "attainment" with these PM2.5 standards. However, on December 74,2072, the EPA released final revisions to the PM2.5 NAAQS. The revised annual standard is L2 1q1lm3, calculated as a three-year average. The EPA retained the existing 24-hour standard of 35 Ug/m3. Now that the PM2.5 NMQS has been finalized, states will make recommendations to the EPA regarding designations of attainment or non-attainment. States also will be required to review, modify, and supplement their SlPs, which could require the installation of additional controls and requirements for ldaho Power's coal-fired generation plants, depending on the level ultimately finalized. The revised NAAQS would Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 8 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 8 of 30 also have an impact on the applicable air permitting requirements for new and modified facilities. The EPA has stated that it plans to issue nonattainment designations by late 2014, with states having until 2020 to comply with the standards. @r ln 2010, the EPA adopted a new NAAQS for NO, at a level of 100 parts per billion averaged over a one-hour period. ln connection with the n.* 1141AQS, in February 2012 the EPA issued a final rule designating all of the counties in Nevada, Oregon, and Wyoming as "unclassifiable/attainment" for NO,. The EPA indicated it will review the designations after 2015, when three years of air quality monitoring data are available, and may formally designate the counties as attainment or non- attainment for NO,. A designation of non-attainment may increase the likelihood that ldaho Power would be required to install costly pollution control technology at one or more of its plants. SOz. ln 2010, the EPA adopted a new NAAQS for SO2 at a level of 75 parts per billion averaged over a one-hour period. ln 201-1, the states of Nevada, Oregon, and Wyoming sent letters to the EPA recommending that all counties in these states be classified as "unclassifiable" underthe new one- hour S02 NAAQS because of a lack of definitive monitoring and modeling data. Clean Woter Ad Sedion 376(b): ln March 2011, the EPA issued a proposed rule that would establish requirements under Section 316(b) of the federal Clean Water Act for all existing power generating facilities and existing manufacturing and industrialfacilities that withdraw more than two million gallons per day (MGD) of water from waters of the U.S. and use at least 25 percent of the water they withdraw exclusively for cooling purposes. The proposed rules would establish national requirements applicable to the location, design, construction, and capacity of cooling water intake structures at these facilities by setting requirements that reflect the Best Technology Available (BTA)for minimizing adverse environmental impact. ln June 2012, the EPA released new data, requested further public comment, and announced it plans to finalize the cooling water intake structures rule by June 2013. New Source Performonce Standords (NSPS) for Greenhouse Gos Emissions for New EGUs: ln March 2012, the EPA proposed NSPS limiting Carbon Dioxide (COz) emissions from new fossil fuel-fired power plants. The proposed requirements would require new fossil fuel-fired EGUs greater than 25 MW to meet an output- based standard of 1,000 pounds of COz per MWh. The EPA did not propose standards of performance for existing EGUs whose COz emissions increase as a result of installation of pollution controls for conventional pollutants. Clean Air Act (CAA) - Regionol Haze Rules: ln accordance with federal regional haze rules under the CAA, coal-fired utility boilers are subject to RH BART if they were permitted between 1962 and 7977 and affect any Class I areas. This includes allfour units at the Jim Bridger plant. However, North Valmy is not subject to the regulation as it was permitted after L977. Under the CAA, states are required to develop a SIP to meet various air quality requirements and submit them to the EPA for approval. The CAA provides that if the EPA deems a SIP submittal to be incomplete or "unapprovable," then the EPA will promulgate a federal implementation plan (FlP) to fill the deemed regulatory gap. ln May 20L2, the EPA proposed to partially reject Wyoming's regional haze SlP, submitted in January ZOtt, for NO, reduction at the Jim Bridger plant, instead proposing to substitute the EPA's own RH BART determination and FlP. The EPA's primary proposal would result in an acceleration of the installation of Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR)additions atJBl and Page 9 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 9 of 30 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis JB2 to within five years after the FlP, or a SIP revised to be consistent with the proposed FlP, is adopted by the EPA. The EPA had stated that it planned to adopt the FlP, or approve the revised Wyoming SlP, by late 2012. However, in December 2012 the EPA announced that it would re-propose the plant-specific NO, control provisions of its RH FIP in March 2013 and would not finalize the RH FIP until September 2013. Cool Combustion Residuals (CCR): The EPA has proposed federal regulations to govern the disposal of coal ash and other CCR's under the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA). The agency is weighing two options: regulating CCR's as hazardous waste under RCRA Subtitle C, or regulating them as non-hazardous waste under RCRA Subtitle D. EPA is not expected to issue a final rule sometime in 2013. As a result of recent environmental regulation, ldaho Power's coal-fired plants will require additional investment in environmental control technology as described below: Jim Bridger will require the installation of the following controls to meet the RH BART and MATS regulations: Unit Pollutants Controls Regulation New Emission Limits JB1 NO, SCR (2022) RH 0.071blMMBtu Js2 NO, SCR (2021) RH 0.071blMMBtu JB3 NO, SCR (2015) RH BART 0.071blMMBtu JB4 NO, SCR (2015) RH BART 0.071blMMBtu All Units Mercury CaBrz, scrubber MATS 1.0lbI'Btu additive, activated carbon injection (2015) North Valmy will require the installation of a DSI system, for controlling HCL for acid gas compliance, to meet MATS regulations: Unit Pollutants Control Resulation New Emission Limits Nv1 HcL DSI (201s) MATS 0.00201b/MMBtu Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 10 Exhibit No. 6 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 10 of 30 lnvestment Alternatives Base Alternatives The Study analyzes three base alternatives for each unit. Each alternative is analyzed under the three carbon and three natural gas sensitivities. The alternatives include: lnstall environmental upgrade - lnstall the required environmental controls to comply with a current, proposed or reasonably anticipated regulation. For Jim Bridger this includes cost for compliance with RH, MATS, CCR and the Clean Water Act Section 315(b). For North Valmy this includes the cost for compliance with MATS Retire the unit and replace with a CCCr - The capital cost estimate for the CCCT capacity used to replace the retired coal-fired capacity in this Study was based on the installed cost of ldaho Power's Langley Gulch plant that became commercially operational in June 2012. The CCCT's are sized to replace the capacity of ldaho Power's share of the coal unit being replaced. For example, if a 100 MW coal-fired unit is retired, it is replaced with 100 MW of CCCT capacity at a Langley Gulch cost per kW. Of course, actual costs may be different, but for this Study however, we believe that using the Langley Gulch cost per kW is a reasonable assumption. The CCCT units are assumed to be located within the ldaho Power service territory. 3l Conversion of the unit to burn natural gas - Natural gas for Jim Bridger is assumed to be provided by a pipeline approximately two miles from the plant. Natural gas for North Valmy is assumed to be provided by a pipeline located approximately 13 miles north of the plant. The naturalgas conversion capital and O&M costs used in this Study included installing a pipeline to the plant, modifications to the boiler, and changes in heat rate or capacity due to firing with natural gas instead of coal. The following table summarizes the base alternatives that were analyzed. lncluded are the potential compliance deadlines for installing environmental controls and effective dates for the retirement and replacement with CCCT and natural gas conversion alternatives: 1l 2l Page 11 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 11 of30 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Base Alternatives Environmental Compliance Deadline Retire/Replace dCCCT & Natural Gas Conversion Effective Date North Valmy Unit #1 lnstall DSI Retire/Replace with CCCT (DSl not installed) Natural gas conversion (DSl not installed) Jim Bridger Unit #1 lnstall SCR Retire/Replace with CCCT (SCR not installed) Naturalgas conversion (SCR not installed) Jim Bridger Unit #2 lnstallSCR Retire/Replace with CCCT (SCR not installed) Naturalgas conversion (SCR not installed) Jim Bridger Unit #3 lnstall SCR Retire/Replace with CCCT (SCR not installed) Natural gas conversion (SCR not installed) Jim Bridger Unit #4 lnstallSCR Retire/Replace with CCCT (SCR not installed) Naturalgas conversion (SCR not installed) 3l3tl2O7s 4lLl2ots 4/Ll2O7s L2l3u2022 Lhl2023 Llu2023 1213712027 tltl2022 1/Ll2022 7213L120L5 LlLl2OL6 thl2ot6 L2/3u2076 LlLlzOtT 1lLl2017 ln addition to the base alternatives, ldaho Power was directed in Order No. L2-777, issued by the Public Utilities Commission of Oregon (OPUC or Commission) in Action item 11 as follows: "ln its next IRP Update, ldaho Power will include an Evaluation of Environmental Compliance Costs for Existing Coal-fired Plants. The Evaluation will investigate whether there is flexibility in the emerging environmental regulations that would allow the Company to avoid early compliance costs by offering to shut down individual units prior to the end of their useful lives. The Company will also conduct further plant specific analysis to determine whether this tradeoff would be in the ratepayers' interest." ln accordance with the Commission's directive ldaho Power analyzed hypothetical scenarios including compliance timing and the enhanced upgrade alternatives described below. Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page L2 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 12 of30 Comoliance Timinq Alternatives (CTAI ln addition to the base alternatives, ldaho Power analyzed avoiding the installation of required or reasonably anticipated emission controls by delaying the compliance requirement by five years in exchange for shutting theunitdownattheendofthefiveyearperiod. Anegotiateddelayisnotanoptionthatcurrentlyexistsbut the Study quantifies the financial results of these alternatives. ldaho Power co-owns all of its coal-fired generation, and ldaho Power is not the operating partner for any of the coal-fired plants, Not being an operating partner removes flexibility that other utilities may have for regulations allowing emission totaling, substitution or reductions at one facility to compensate for lower reductions at another plant, or the option of shutting down a unit or plant in place of reductions at another plant, or delaying installation of environmental controls for a guaranteed early shutdown. As IPC is not the operating partner of Jim Bridger or North Valmy, it is highly unlikely ldaho Power would have the ability to negotiate alternative scenarios as described above. The following table summarizes the CTA alternatives that were analyzed. lncluded are the potential compliance deadlines for installing environmental controls and effective dates for the retirement and replacement with CCCT and natural gas conversion alternatives: Enhanced Alternatives The enhanced upgrade alternative was included for North Valmy which takes into account the possibility of future environmental regulations that would require the installation of SCR and Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization (WFGD) for compliance. At this time, there are no regulations requiring the installation of the emission controlsthat are included in the enhanced upgrade alternative. Anyfuture regulations are expected to have at least a five- year compliance period. A five- year compliance window would require any investment or replacement to be installed and in-service by 2018. The following table summarizes the enhanced alternatives: Page 13 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 13 of 30 Compliance Timing Alternatives (CTAI Environmental Compliance Deadline Retire/Replace {CCCT & Natura! Gas Conversion Effective Date North Valmy Units #1 & #2 Retire both units Retire/Replace with CCCI (SCR & WFGD not installed) Natural Gas Conversion (SCR & WFGD not installed) Jim Bridger Units #3 & #4 Retire both units Retire/Replace with CCCT (SCR not installed) Natural Gas Conversion (SCR not installed) L2l3L/2022 L2 / 37 I 2020 & 72 I 3 L / 2021 7lLl2O23 uLl2o23 tlLl20zt&uu2l22 LIL/202t & 7/L/2022 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Enhanced Alternatives Environmental Compliance Deadline Retire/Replace w/CCCT & Natural Gas Conversion Effective Date North Valmy Unit #1 Enhanced Upgrade (installation of SCR & WFGD) Retire/Replace with CCCI (SCR & WFGD not installed) Natural gas conversion (SCR & WFDG not installed) North Valmy Unit #2 Enhanced Upgrade (installation of SCR & WFGD) Retire/Replace with CCCI (SCR & WFGD not installed) Naturalgas conversion (SCR & WFGD not installed) L2l3Ll2077 72l3tl2Ot7 Ll7l2018 LlLlzO78 uLlz0ts utl2o78 Results SAIC lndividual Unit Analvsis The SAIC analysis included the following objectives: I Review ldaho Power/s assumptions for capital costs of the proposed environmental compliance upgrades, including SCR, DSl, WFGD, and other systems, as well as the costs of replacement capacity. I Review ldaho Power's assumptions for variable costs of the proposed environmental compliance upgrades, coal replacement with CCCTs and natural gas conversion. ldaho Power provided SAIC forecasted generation output for each unit from AURORA. ldaho Power also provided plant operational data obtained from the coal unit's co-owner and operator; PacifiCorp for the Jim Bridger units and NV Energy for the North Valmy units. r Develop cost estimates for replacing the coal units annual generation, under three natural gas and three carbon futures, with three investment alternatives: (1) installing environmental compliance upgrades, (2) retiring the unit and replacing with CCCT or (3) converting the unit to natural gas. These total costs include capital costs, O&M, decommissioning costs and unrecovered investments of the existing coal units. r Develop a capital investment analysis allowing assets with different lengths of operation as well as different implementation dates to be compared equitably. ! Provide planning recommendations regarding the three investment alternatives. The following table summarizes the results from the SAIC analysis. The left column groups each unit with the investment alternatives. The columns to the right show the net present value (NPV) of operating and capital costs over the twenty-year period 2OL3-2032 in 2013 dollars. The green highlighted cell indicates the least cost option for the unit under each scenario. SAIC's investment recommendations, which can be found in their report Coal Environmental Compliance Upsrade lnvestment Evaluation Section 5 Conclusions. The SAIC results are summarized in Figure 3 below: Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 14 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 14 of 30 Figure 3. SAIC Analysls Summary Results by Scenarlo for the 2Olt-2O12 Forecast Perlod ($ZOff Mlllions) ldaho Power Portfolio Analvsis ldaho Power utilized the AURORA model to determine the total portfolio cost of each investment alternative analyzed by SAIC. The total portfolio cost is estimated over a twenty-year planning horizon (2013 through 20321. ldaho Power used the simulated operational performance of each investment alternative relative to the existing resource under varying future natural gas price forecasts and carbon adder assumptions. ldaho Power conducted the simulation using the AURORA model. The AURORA model applies economic assumptions and dispatch cost simulations to model the relationships between generation, transmission, and demand to forecast future electric market prices. AURORA is ldaho Power's primary tool used to simulate the economic performance of different resource portfolios evaluated in the lntegrated Resource Planning (lRP) process. The fixed costs used by SAIC are incorporated into the ldaho Power Study. SAIC reviewed the fixed costs of each investment alternative and scheduled the costs annually for the various investment alternatives for the twenty-year study period. These annual costs included environmental capital investments, ongolng capital expenditures, unit replacement capital and the fixed O&M costs for the specific unit configuration. The ldaho Power Study combines the Net Present Value (NPV) of the fixed costs from the SAIC model; with the NPV of Page 15 Exhibit No. 5 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 15 of 30 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis the twenty-year Aurora generated total portfolio cost to form the basis for the quantitative evaluation of the investment alternatives. Figure 4, below, summarizes the combined NPV results of ldaho Power's Aurora analysis and SAIC's fixed costs analysis for each investment option under varying carbon and natural gas futures. The planning case (planning case carbon/planning case naturalgas) is denoted in bold. The left column groups each unit with the investment alternatives. The columns to the right show the NPV of the total portfolio costs over the twenty-year period l20t3-20321in 2013 dollars. The green highlighted cell indicates the least cost option for the unit under that scenario. The preponderance of least cost outcomes and the relative cost difference between alternatives helps determine the investment recommendation. Figure 4. Total Portfollo Costs ldaho Power Company Coal Environmental lnvestment Modeling Results Total Portfolio Costs (Aurora Portfolio Cost + SAIC Fixed Costs ) For the 20 year forecast period 20132032 NPV in 2013 SMillions NPV of the Total Portfolio Cost for the 3 natural ras and 3 carbon adder futures lnvstment Ahernatives NG High 3o, So NG High co, s14 NG High co, S35 NG Low lo, S0 NG Low :o, S14 NG Low :o, S35 NG )lanning lo, S0 NG ,lanning :o2 S14 NG Dlanning 30, S35 /almy 1(V1) DSI /1 2015 r?tire/replace with CCCI /1 2015 natural tas conversion 5,805 3,955 3.922 4,8(x)6,889 5.E79 4,079 3,869 4,800 4,681 4,032 3,92? 4,749 a,7t26,775 4,722 6,785 6,797 /1 V2 Enhanced Upgradr (SCR & WFGD) 2018 /1 V2 retire/replace with CCCT 2018 /1 V2 natural gas conversion 2018 5,t67 5,t24 7,388 5,961 4,580 4,283 5,?72 4,983 7,139 4,174 4,179 5,3:t2 5,Gt6 7,428 4,403 4,335 5,959 6,979 :TA - V1 V2 Enhanced Upgrade (SCR & WFGD) 2023 fA - V1 V2 rctire/replace with CCCT 2023 :TA - V1 V2 natural gas conversion 2023 5,063 7,316 1,512 5,315 7,370 4,373 5,255 7,377 4,256 4,301 5,093 7,47 4,275 5,0@ 7,075 4,335 5,113 7,L08 im sridger 1 (JB1) tnstall scR 81 rctirc/replace with CCCT 2023 81 natural gas conversion 2023 4,O54 4,084 4,979 4,9L1 6,962 7,005 4,156 4,165 4,942 /t,965 6,943 4,L49 4,167 4t66 +gaa 6,9,13 7,Otz im BridSer 2 u82)lnstatl scR 82 retire/replace with CCCT 2022 82 natural tas conversion 2022 1,LL7 4105 4,935 4,928 7,N9 7,008 4,198 4,162 4,981 4,959 6,935 1,20t 4,L79 5,015 a,rxn 6,980 200!t im Bridger 3 (JB3) lnstall SCR 83 rrtire/replace with CCCT 2016 83 n.tural 8as conversion 2016 4,231 4.207 5,016 4.989 7,022 7,O20 4,207 4,15/t 4,94? 4,927 6,853 4,253 4.21O 5,030 il,gtt 6,931 6.959 im Eridg.r 4 (lB/t) lnstall SCR 84 retire/replac€ with CCCT 2017 84 natural tas conversion 2017 4,205 4,180 d985 4,961 5,984 6,983 4,189 4,141 4 935 4,915 6,825 4,23s 4,195 5,00!' 1,97L 6903 6,934 IA - JB3 JB4 tnstall sCR IIA - JB3 JB4 retire/replace w CCCr 2O2O-21 lfA - lB3 JB4 natural tas conversion 2020-21 4,895 4.980 5,575 s,698 7,351 7,545 4,539 4,572 5,20!t 5,300 1,712 LAOT 5,ir25 5.51.:t7,W 7-351 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 16 Exhibit No. 6 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 16 of 30 Conclusions and Recommendations North Valmv Unit #1 North Valmy is a critical facility for the reliability of the electric system in northern Nevada. With the exception of the installation of DSI for MATS compliance, under current and proposed regulations further environmental investment is not required for the continued operation of NV1. lnstallation of DSI was the lowest cost result for most of the sensitivities analyzed by SAIC. The SAIC results show installing DSI as the least cost option in six of the nine sensitivities analyzed including the planning scenario (planning natural gas/planning carbon). The AURORA analysis, performed by ldaho Power, shows installing DSI as the least cost option in four of the nine sensitivities analyzed including the planning scenario (planning natural gas/planning carbon). The majority of scenarios not supporting the installation of DSI are the extreme low natural gas and high carbon cases which have a lower probability of occurring. ldaho Power's conclusion is that the option to make the DSI investment represents a low cost approach to retain a diversified portfolio of generation assets including the 125 MW's of NV1 capacity for our customers benefit. The continued operation of NV1 as a coal-fired unit will provide fuel diversity that can mitigate risk associated with high natural gas prices. While noting that ldaho Power does not recommend the retire/replace with CCCT option or the conversion of the unit to natural gas, it is also important to recognize that such replacements and conversions do not happen instantaneously. Conversion to natural gas could require from three to six years for permitting, installation of the natural gas pipeline, and boiler modifications. Permitting and construction of a CCCT would require approximately four years. Based on these results, ldaho Power recommends installing DSI and continuing to include NV1 in its generation portfolio for the 2013 IRP and future resource planning. Figure 5 illustrates the results of the Study for installation of DSI at NV1 and Figure 5 contains a comparison of the costs of the DSI investment to the retire/replace with CCCT and natural gas conversion alternatives: Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 17 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 17 of 30 Figure 5. NV1 DSI lnstallation Results North Valmy Unit #1 S8,ooo E s7,ooo = s5,000 rltH ss,ooog e, S4ooo oi s3,ooo oE s2,fi)oAB S1,ooo2 So .**1;J-l\f*:,";-":.l"--T"i-:.o:::,il$}:$* .::tli*"'-" ttF' Sensitivities Figure 5. NVl DSI lnstallation Cost Dehas Hlth NG Hirh NG Hith NG HI* aO. Low NG Low @r Low NG tow NG HIrh COr Pl.nnlnt NG l6w6' Praltilfi{G ilG DL XXIXGCG Pl.nnint NG lnstrll DSI 36 8os Sq q6s 3a Boo (6-889 36-879 R.tlr./R.pl.cq 34.o7s Sr-8oo S3.922 34-032 3a.7a9 Nrhrr.l Gas Convarsion S3.a69 34.681 S6.77s 51.722 s6.7t6 s3.927 sa.r32 s6.797 lnstall DSl. 14201 (252I 168 42 177 lL1 r17Sl Iril 2ta lntbll DSI- NG convdsion l2tol 4112t 30 as 7e 1O/t l71l t2t a2 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 18 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 18 of 30 North Valmv Unit f2 At this time, under current and proposed regulations, further environmental investment is not required for the continued operation of NV2. Additional analysis will be performed if future regulations require significant environmental investments in NV2. ldaho Power recommends including NV2 in its generation portfolio for the 2013 IRP and future resource planning. North Valmv Units #1 and #2 (Combined Analvsisl The assumption in the North Valmy Enhanced Upgrade alternative is both units are upgraded, replaced or converted to burn naturalgas at the same time. The Enhanced Upgrade alternative includes installation of SCR and WFGD. Consequently, a combined investment analysis is made for both units. Under both the SAIC and AURORA analyses, proceeding with the Enhanced Upgrade environmental investments at NV1 and NV2 are not supported. However, as there are no current or proposed regulations requiring this investment, ldaho Power recommends including NV1 and NV2 in its planning and as part of ldaho Power's generation portfolio. Figure 7 illustrates the results of the Study for the Enhanced Upgrade at NV1 and NV2 and Figure 8 contains a comparison of the Enhanced Upgrade costs to the retire/replace with CCCT and natural gas conversion: Page 19 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 19 of 30 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Figure 7. NVl and NV2 Enhanced Upgrade Results North Valmy Units #1 and #2 UIco= =lrloN<t| 6 5ouo=oEoA rz s8,ooo s7,000 56,ooo s5,ooo S+ooo S3,ooo s2,000 s1,000 So ! lnsrall scR & WFGD r Retire/Replace W/CCCT I Natural Gas Conversion -*-;1;*,i"':::I-$*lti*,-l""**1'i1[};;ffi "'* rt}$ Sensitivities Hiih NG Low COr Hlth NG Hith NG Hbh aO. Low NG Low NG Low NG Hbh aO. Pl.nning NG Iow COr PlAilr{r{G ilG PLAt{tf,{G COr Pl.nnin! NG Hi.h co. lnst ll SCR & WFGD qq 167 37 qgt s4,580 (s i7,(7 4?s .A LaL 3t31,97 t7Z Rcti rc/Rrpl. cG wlccfr (t-lo!3t 124 s6.961 54,283 s4.983 qa r7E lBna6 lnltrllSCR&WFGD Rdi?./Rilr..ls128l 343 s127 s298 S389 s535 s9s 32t6 S45o lnst ll SCR & WFGD NG conwsion r3601 S103 3a60 S415 sas3 SaTo 31a7 a32a Saso Figure 8. NVl and NV2 Enhanced Upgrade lnstallation Cost Deltas Additional analysis was performed using the compliance timing alternative. The results of delaying the implementation date do not support proceeding with the Enhanced Upgrade environmental investments on NV1 and NV2. ln the event additional environmental controls are required for NV1 and NV2, the compliance requirements and available control technologies will be analyzed to determine whether installing the environmental controls are the least cost/least risk option. Page 20 Exhibit No. 6 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 20 of 30 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Figure 9 illustrates the results of the Study for the Enhanced Upgrade compliance timing alternative at NV1 and NV2 and Figure 10 contains a comparison of the compliance timing alternative Enhanced Upgrade costs to the retire/replace with CCCT and natural gas: Figure 9. NVl and NV2 Enhanced Upgrade Compliance Tlming Altematlve Results North Valmy Units #1 and #2 oco =n!dC't{vI tl UIoIo=o oe a.2 s8,000 S7,ooo s5,ooo 55,ooo Sa,ooo S3,ooo s2,frX) s1,ooo So r tnstall scR & wFGo I Retire/Replace VCCCT t Natural Gas Conversion *-*;y-$"::-""-I*':l\iill'1l.1f1$iffi "'"" rtN Sensitivities Figure 10. NVl and ltlV2 Enhanced Upgrade Compliance Timlng Ahernative Cost Deltas Hiah NG low COr Hi3h NG Hlah NG Hkh ln. low NG Low N6 Low tlc Hlrh aG Plrnnlr|t NG Low CO; PIAIIT{EIG T{6 ,lxf,MrG Pl.nnint NG Hlrh ao. lnst ll SCR & WFGD Ss.oE3 s7.:116 st-512 ss-315 s7.!t70 Srl.373 35.25S s7.371 Nsturel G.s Convars I on s4.301 s5.093 (7 o47 34-27s (s-ooo l7.O7S sa-!lls 3s-11r s7.108 tBt il scR&WFGD' Rltirr Rrolacc (3801 s21 s339 S248 s332 34u s65 i17.s354 lnst!ll scn & WFGD- NG convssion (s1241 (s31)s269 9237 s315 s294 S38 sra2 s263 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page2l Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey,lPC Page21 of30 Jim Bridser Unit #1 Under both the SAIC and AURORA analyses, proceeding with environmental investments at J81 is the lowest cost option for the majority of the carbon and natural gas scenarios. ln the most probable scenario, the ldaho Power planning scenario which identifies a planning carbon and planning natural gas future, the environmental upgrade option is overwhelmingly the least cost option. The installation of SCR, which is the most significant of the environmental investments analyzed, is far enough in the future to make the forecast assumptions highly speculative. As ldaho Power nears the actual SCR investment decision point, a more detailed analysis will be performed with updated assumptions. Based on these results, ldaho Power recommends continuing to include J81 in its generation portfolio for the 2013 IRP and future resource planning. Figure 11 illustrates the results of the Study for installation of required environmental controls at JB1 and Figure 12 contains a comparison of the installation of required em ission controls to the retire/replace with CCCT and natural gas conversion options: Figure 11. JBl Results Jim Bridger Unit #1 6co!E =.rtr{oN{^ o oiJo o oG o.z S8,ooo s7,ooo Se,ooo Ss,ooo $4ooo S3,ooo S2,ooo Sr,ooo So --.;5.$ll"::."$.-:Tl155.1".$|;{,!5ffi ""'"- ,r,.},$ Sensitivities Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page22 Exhibit No. 6 Case No.IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 22 of 30 High NG Low CO: High NG Plannin! CO, High NG Hirh an" Low NG tow NG Low NG Hirh an. Planning NG low COr PtA[t{ttG J{6 Pr.at{t{rJ{G co, Planning llc Hirh art" Reti re/Replace wlcccl s4.OS4 s4.879 s6.952 s4.156 s4.942 s4.149 s4965 s6.943 Natural Gas Convssion s4.084 s4.911 s7.00s s4.165 s4.96s s5.943 s4.167 sa3&t s7,012 lnstall controls- letire/Replace cCcT (s4291 (s35s)ls191l ls225l ls177'.l s8 ts326t ls270l (s98t lnstall controls- NG convdsion {s4s9}ts397t ls23sl (s234t ls200l 1S881 (s3ttsl ts2ril (s1571 Figure 12. JB1 installatlon of Emisslon Controls Cost Deltas Jim Bridqer Unit #2 Under both the SAIC and AURORA analyses, proceeding with environmental investments at J82 is the lowest cost option for the majority of the carbon and natural gas scenarios. ln the most probable scenario, the ldaho Power planning scenario which identifies a planning carbon and planning natural gas future, the environmental upgrade option is ovennhelmingly the least cost option. The installation of SCR, which is the most significant of the environmental investments analyzed, is far enough in the future to make the forecast assumptions highly speculative. As ldaho Power nears the actual SCR investment decision point, a more detailed analysis will be performed with updated assumptions. Based on these results, ldaho Power recommends continuing to include J82 in its generation portfolio for the 2013 IRP and future resource planning. Figure 13 illustrates the results of the Study for installation of required environmental controls at J82 and Figure 14 contains a comparison of the installation of required emission controls to the retire/replace with CCCT and natural gas conversion options: Page 23 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 23 of 30 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Figure 13. JBz Results Jim Bridger Unit #2 6co =lrtraonlr^ 56o o oEoA a-2 Sg,ooo s7,000 s5,ooo S5,ooo 54,ooo S3,ooo s2,ooo s1,0()o SO *"g.l,T*:lS*'.)ft 5$,T'gS"gqftffi $'*'"0' qr) Sensitivities Figure 14. JB2 installation of Emission Controls Cost Deltas Hish NG Hith NG Pl.nnihr aO, Hiah NG Hlrh CO, Low t{G t6w ad, Lou NG 'hhlhr a6, Low l{G Hlrh 46. Pl.nnint NG LN CO. PLAiITTIG ]IG Pl.nnlnt ilG Rcti rc/Rcpl . c! sa-117 sa 93S S7 oo9 sa 193 sa 9al 34-2o1 3s-otq S6-98o l{aurral Gar Convdrion s4,10s s4,928 s7,(x,8 s4.152 s4,r6e s6,935 s4.179 3.992 (7 ms ls452l fstsll ls2ml rs2r8l a31a7t s2s t33a9t rs2a9l t310sl a[ conrots conwrtign (s450)(s3841 (s20el (s2021 ls174l ts50t (9327)ls265l (s13sl Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page24 Exhibit No. 6 Case No.|PC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 24 of 30 Jim Bridger Unit #3 Under both the SAIC and AURORA analyses proceeding with environmental investments at J83 is the lowest cost option for the majority of the carbon and natural gas scenarios. ln the most probable scenario, the ldaho Power planning scenario which identifies a planning carbon and planning natural gas future, the environmental upgrade option is overwhelmingly the least cost option. Based on these results ldaho Power concludes that making the environmental investments in J83 is the most prudent action and provides the lowest cost and least risk option. Based on these results, ldaho Power recommends proceeding with the installation of all identified environmental controls (including SCR) and continuing to include J83 in its generation portfolio for the 2013 IRP and future resource planning. Figure 15 illustrates the results of the Study for installation of required environmental controls at J83 and Figure 15 contains a comparison of the installation of required emission controls to the retire/replace with CCCT and natural gas conversion options: Figure 15. JB3 Results Jim Bridger Unit #3 6co =rYtor{lrt 6qouo=o!o4 c2 Se,ooo S7,ooo Ss,ooo S5,ooo S4,ooo s3,ooo s2,000 s1,ooo So I lnstall Controls I Retire/Replace w/CCCT I Natural Gas Conversion _-.;y.$i-\f$.-:T\5$I.":5\i1$5ffi "'"- -t|$ Sensitivities Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page 25 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 25 of 30 High NG High NG High NG Low NG Low NG Low NG Plannin3 NG PLAT'IIT{G TT6 Planning NG lrti r./R!ol a cc w/cccl s4.231 s5.016 s7.O22 s4.201 s4.947 s4.253 s5rr30 s5.931 Natural Gas conv6si on s4.207 s4.9r9 s7.O20 s4,1s4 s4-.927 s6.r53 s4.210 sa.918 s5.959 lnstall contols- Reti relRrolacc CCCT (s558)(s454)1s214)(s233t IS144t s13s (33931 ts295l ts49l lnstall controls-NG converSion l5s,l4l ls437l (s2111 ls186t ts124t s39 (s3s0l ls2sal (s871 Figure 16. JB3 installation of Emission Controls Cost Deltas Jim Bridger Unit #4 Under both the SAIC and AURORA analyses proceeding with environmental investments at J84 is the lowest cost option for the majority of the carbon and natural gas scenarios. ln the most probable scenario, the ldaho Power planning scenario which identifies a planning carbon and planning natural gas future, the environmental upgrade option is overwhelmingly the least cost option. Based on these results ldaho Power concludes that making the environmental investments in J84 is the most prudent action and provides the lowest cost and least risk option. Based on these results, ldaho Power recommends proceeding with the installation of all identified environmental controls (including SCR) and continuing to include J84 in its generation portfolio for the 2013 IRP and future resource planning. Figure 17 illustrates the results of the Study for installation of required environmental controls at JB4 and Figure 18 contains a comparison of the installation of required emission controls to the retire/replace with CCCT and natural gas options: Page26 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 26 of 30 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Figure lT.lBtl Results Figure 18. JB4 installation of emission controls Cost Deltas s8,000 E s7,ooo = s6,ooo nlE ss,ooov)E s4,ooo oi s3,ooo oE 52,0q) Ae S1,oooz SO Jim Bridger Unit S4 ---1;*,$\:$$*:l,l"-'5l.lt3'I*::.:.1":;;$!t::$*' ttli Sensitivities High NG tow CO' High NG High NG !l.h aG Lour NG l-ow Co, l-ow NG Plannin! Co. Low NG Clrh aG Planning NG l-ow CO' PIAI{ilrtG il6 PlAIll{IIG OOr Planning NG Hlrh an. xt[rre/xeprace w/cccr s4.205 s4.985 s6,984 S4,189 34,935 s4.23s s5109 (8.9o3 Natural Gas Conwrsion s4.180 S/t.961 s6,983 s4,141 s4915 s5'E25 s4.195 3a9?1 S6.sil lnstall controls- R.tlrG/Rslac€ CCCT lss42l ls433l (s17st ts221t ls132l s157 (s3751 l327rl (s211 lnstell controls- NG convgsion (5518)ls/to91 Is17st (3173t (s1121 s68 (s3351 l323rl (ss2l Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page27 Exhibit No. 6 Case No.IPC-E-I3-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 27 of 30 Jim Brideer Units il3 and f4lCombined Analvsisl The assumption in the compliance timing alternative is both JB3 and J84 are not upgraded and are replaced or converted to burn natural gas with a five year delay. Consequentially, a combined investment analysis is made for both units. As shown in the figure above, the results of the compliance timing alternative still support the installation of emission controls on JB3 and JB4. Figure 19 illustrates the results of the Study for the installation of controls compliance timing alternative at JB3 and J84 and Figure 20 contains a comparison of the compliance timing alternative costs to the retire/replace with CCCT and natural gas conversion options: Figure 19. JB3 and JB4 Compliance Timing Alternative Results Jim Bridger Units #3 and #4 Compliance Timing Alternatives 5tro = =dtod1r> 0 o o=oEoA o.z S8,ooo s7,0oo s6,ooo S5,ooo s4,000 S3,ooo s2,ooo s1,ooo 5o ! lnstall Controls ! Retire/Replace W/CCCT I Natural Gas Conversion --$:,I$.'11,$-'-::l*:;$i:::i$$::;:-$l-:.:::li-"'"- Sensitivities Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page28 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 28 of 30 Figure 20. JB3 and JB4 Compliance Timlng Alternative Cost Deltas Hirh NG 16wm' Hlth NG Hish NG LwNG Low NG Low NG Pl.nnlnt NG ptAilil[IG r{G Dttxf,txc co, Plannint NG Hirh COu R.tl r./R.pl.cq w/ccsr 34.89s ss-s76 s7.3s1 s4-539 s5.209 s4.712 Ss126 ilatural Gas C-nvrrrion s4.980 ss,598 s7,54s s4,s72 s5,300 s7.086 s4.807 s55r2 s7.354 lnst ll controls- Rctirc/Rcel.c. CCCT a31.oo1l rs793)ls312l ls339t ls17St 3339 ls5s0l lsa60l E8 lnst ll controlr-NG convarsion 131.085)(s915)(ss0sl ts373)ls266l 338 ls71Sl tssail lS2rr0l Coal Unit Environmental Analysis Page29 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 29 of 30 The objective of this Study is to ensure a reasonable balance between protecting the interests of customers, meeting the obligation to serve the current and reasonably projected future demands of customers, and complying with environmental requirements, while recognizing that the regulatory environment is uncertain. ln a commitment to honor these goals ldaho Power intends to perform systematic reviews, similar to this analysis, whenever certain triggering events occur. These triggering events include: A significant change in the current state of environmental regulation A significant change in the estimated cost of anticipated environmental controls Within a year of committing to a major environmental upgrade Whenever ldaho Power files an lntegrated Resource Plan ln conclusion, this Study shows the economics of incremental environmental investments is highly dependent upon the assumptions for both natural gas and carbon adders. This Study highlights the challenge in making investment decisions today in the face of significant uncertainties. Despite these uncertainties, certain environmental control equipment investment decisions must be made in the near-term. ldaho Power will continue to work with regulatory agencies and stakeholders to analyze these major investment decisions prior to commitment and implementation. a a a a Page 30 Exhibit No. 6 Case No. IPC-E-13-16 T. Harvey, IPC Page 30 of 30 Coal Unit Environmental Analysis