HomeMy WebLinkAbout20130311SRA Additional Comments.pdfSNAKE RIVER
ALLIANCE
IOa16 NUCLE*A WATcH0 & OEAN EtGY ADATE
nwenakerIver.ItIenc..orØ
RECEJVc:r)
?W MAR —8 PM 2: 56
March 8, 2013
HTLII;
To: Idaho Public Utilities Commission
'tommissioner Paul Kjellander
Commissioner Marsha Smith
Commissioner Mack Redford
Randy Lobb - Commission Staff
LuAnn Westerfield - Commission Staff
Wayne Hart - Commission Staff
From: Snake River Alliance
Re: Idaho Power 2011 Integrated Resource Plan Update [IPC-E-11-11}
Dear Commissioners:
On June 28, 2012, Snake River Alliance staff had an opportunity to meet with you and members
of your staff to discuss a variety of issues, including the Alliance's concerns regarding the use of
coal-fired power generation by Idaho's regulated electric utilities and plans by those utilities to
not only retain their coal assets but also to make significant investments of ratepayer dollars in
their coal plants to keep them in compliance with state and federal health and environmental
regulations.
The Alliance understands and appreciates that our regulated electric utilities face profound
decisions regarding the future use of ratepayer dollars to fulfill their obligation to provide
adequate and affordable power to their customers. Our electric utilities, like similarly situated
utilities across the United States, have been deliberating the wisdom and prudence of
maintaining some or all of these supply-side resources or whether to replace them with
alternatives that are less vulnerable to an unknown regulatory future. Our Idaho utilities rely on
coal-fired power plants to various degrees, but they have so far indicated no intent to begin
planning to reduce these regulatory risks and exposure to existing or expected environmental
laws or regulations by reducing their reliance on coal-fired power generation.
Incremental Investments
Sequential or piecemeal utility investments in coal assets as enunciated by Idaho Power in its
recent 2011 Integrated Resource Plan Update amount to defacto development of new supply-
side energy resources that if not for their incremental nature would otherwise be subject to
CPCN review. While we are concerned about all utilities' use of coal, Idaho Power's recent IRP
Update and its Coal Study bring the issue to the fore. These investments are intended to
prolong the life of particular power plants, but their impact is also to add significantly to the
balance of the assets' debt that must be retired well beyond the original, expected life of the
plants as initially approved by the Idaho Public Utilities Commission [Commission, Idaho PUC]
for purposes of cost recovery.
Furthermore, unless such investments are thoroughly scrutinized by utility regulators, once a
generation asset such as a coal plant comes online and its costs sunk into rates, these repeated
upgrades will almost always compare favorably to the overnight costs of new, low-risk,
resources or even market purchases.
It was suggested during our June meeting with the Commission that the interests of Idaho
electricity consumers might be well served if such investments were subject to the same
Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity [CPCN] review employed by the Commission
when reviewing other significant capital investments by a regulated utility.
In reviewing Idaho Power's 2011 Integrated Resource Plan Update, [IRP Update] filed with the
Commission on Feb. 14, 2013, and for other reasons outlined more fully below, we believe the
time to do so has arrived and we ask the Commission to implement the CPCN mechanism in
reviewing these proposed investments.
We believe a thorough vetting of these proposed investments through a CPCN process will not
only protect the interests of Idaho Power customers,but also of the company itself and its
shareholders as we seek to avoid investments that may be determined imprudent and not
recoverable at a later date - an experience endured by one of Idaho Power's coal-plant
partners, PacifiCorp.
In its IRP Update [or at least those portions available for review and not considered proprietary
or confidential by Idaho Power or its coal plant co-owners PacifiCorp and NV Energy], Idaho
Power indicates it may spend a sum of $400 million over the course of its 20-year IRP planning
period to ensure its coal assets continue to operate in compliance with a variety of state and
federal health and environmental laws and regulations. It is important to remember that such
investments would do nothing to control carbon dioxide emissions from the plants, and that
the likelihood of a carbon assessment on those emissions in one form or another is high over
the course of the life of the plants.
The proposed investments are delineated in the "Coal Unit Environmental Investment Analysis"
[Coal Study] that were included in the IRP Update. Yet the Update falls short in attempting to
meaningfully estimate the costs of such upgrades, leaving interested parties and the public
unable to assess specific financial commitments proposed by Idaho Power. Some of this
information has been deemed proprietary by Idaho Power, which employs extremely broad
2
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
cost estimate "ranges" that challenge the level of scrutiny required in a prudency
determination. In its most recent annual report filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission, and referenced in more detail below, Idaho Power acknowledges that it
"anticipates that a number of new and impending EPA rulemakings and proceedings
addressing, among other things, ozone and fine particulate matter pollution, emissions, and
disposal of coal combustion residuals could result in substantially increased operating and
compliance costs in addition to the amounts set forth above, but Idaho Power is unable to
estimate those costs given the uncertainty associated with pending regulations."
Yet here we are, confronting a Company proposal in the form of an IRP Update that would
nonetheless commit Idaho Power customers to such unknown investments, and that would
require the Commission to divine the prudency of those investments to fulfill its regulatory
responsibilities.
The Alliance does not propose that such costs must be known with a level of precision that
would be uselessly speculative, difficult to provide or that would stymie infrastructure
investment decisions. The difference here is that, in deciding to make these investments in
what all agree are tremendously expensive environmental retrofits over the course of time, the
Company is asking the Commission to send ratepayers on a nearly irrevocable path toward
additional investments in the future.
It is likely that, once investments are made that rival or surpass the original value of the asset
itself, further investments to meet new but unknown requirements will be harder to resist. This
build-and-retrofit model common to extending the life of coal-fired power plants is analogous
to the "Company Store" model: Once ratepayers are hit with the initial sticker shock, they are
drawn into a pattern of repeated additional investments in the name of economics but which in
fact can be unnecessarily onerous compared to other alternatives.
Compounding this possibility is Idaho Power's assertion that additional coal investments are
also desirable in order to maintain a "diversified portfolio of generation assets and fuel diversity
that can mitigate risk associated with increases in natural gas prices" [Idaho Power 2012 10-K,
P 161. We question whether throwing good money after bad in coal plant investments to
maintain a diverse fuel mix is appropriate, particularly given there are other fuel sources, as
well as demand-side alternatives, that are cost competitive and that do not expose customers
to such a high degree of risk.
These other resources can be called upon to help diversify the Company's generation portfolio
at competitive costs, yet it does not appear they had the benefit of analysis during the
preparation of the Coal Study. Rather than "diversify" the portfolio, these proposed plant
upgrades would instead galvanize and extend Idaho Power's outdated model of centralized
power generation in an era in which utilities are protecting their interests and those of their
customers by employing more distributed generation.
3
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
Urgency of Idaho Power's Investment Timeline
One of the most concerning examples of the urgency of Commission attention to the 2011 IRP
Update is the timeline for some of the proposed capital expenditure projects contained in the
Update's Near-Term Action Plan [P. 33][emphasis added]:
Idaho Power has revised the near-term action as part of the 2011 IRP Update:
1.2013 Integrated Resource Plan - Prepare and file by June 30, 2013.
2.Boardman to Hemingway Transmission Line - Ongoing permitting, planning studies, and
regulatory filings.
3.Gateway West Transmission Line - Ongoing permitting, planning studies, and regulatory
filings.
4.North Va/my Unit Number 1 [Nt/i] Dry Sorbent Injection [DSI] - To comply with the
Mercury and Air Toxics Standards regulation, Nt/i will require a DSl system to be
operational by March 2015. Idaho Power anticipates the company will be required to
commit to the installation of the DSI system no later than the third quarter of 2013.
5.Jim Bridger Unit Number 3 [JB3] Selective Catalytic Reduction [SCR] - To comply with the
Regional Haze-Best Available Retrofit Technology regulation, JB3 will require SCR to be
operational by December 31, 2015. Idaho Power anticipates the company will be
required to commit to the installation of the SCR by the second quarter of 2013.
6.Jim Bridger Unit Number 4 [JB4] Selective Catalytic Reduction [SCR] - To comply with the
Regional Haze-Best Available Retrofit Technology regulation, JB4 will require SCR to be
operational by December 31, 2016. Idaho Power anticipates the company will be
required to commit to the installation of SCR by the second quarter of 2013.
Idaho Power intends to implement the six items identified in the near-term action plan.
It is clear based on the above that Idaho Power believes these investment decisions must be
made in the very near future - certainly within the current year - and in the heart of a
regulatory climate that Idaho Power portrays as uncertain if not chaotic. Given the lack of
certainty described by Idaho Power regarding the possibility of the need for these
environmental retrofits, we are very concerned about a decision to "commit" such a large
amount of ratepayer dollars for power plants with unknown futures. We do not believe such a
time frame as that described by the company above, regardless of whether the Commission
decides to review this IRP Update for "acceptance" purposes or hold a public workshop or in
some other way involve the affected public in these spending decisions, can be made in the
time frame proposed by the 2011 IRP Update.
It appears that, given today's discussion between the Commission and staff and Idaho Power
regarding the Update, there is a probability that Idaho Power may commit to these investments
before it submits the 2013 IRP for Commission review, even though that IRP will be based in
large part on these investments and the assumption that the plants will remain in the
Company's portfolio for the foreseeable future.
4
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
It is debatable whether Idaho Power will even be in a position to commit to the expenditures in
the time frame identified above. As the Commission is aware, the majority owner of the Jim
Bridger plants, PacifiCorp/Rocky Mountain Power, is currently seeking a CPCN before the
Wyoming Public Service Commission for SCR additions to Jim Bridger Units 1 and 3 [(Docket No.
2000-418-EA-12]. In addition and in conjunction with Idaho Power's filing of this 2011 IRP
Update with the Idaho Commission, the company made a similar filing in its Case LC-53 before
the Oregon Public Utility Commission, where it is seeking Commission acknowledgement of its
filing:
"The IRP Update also includes a revised near-term action plan that addresses several
emission control investments at the Company's coal-fired plants, as described in detail in
the Coal Study. Because the 2011 IRP Update includes changes to the action plan
acknowledged by the Commission in Order No. 12-177, Idaho Power requests that the
Commission acknowledge the revised action plans items." [Application by Idaho Power
to Oregon Public Utility Commission for Acknowledgement of 2011 Integrated Resource
Plan Update, P. 2].
Given the magnitude of the investments sought by Idaho Power, it must be asked whether
approval of these investments would place utility customers on an irreversible course toward
future investments of unknown size as the utility has clearly determined it plans to extend the
life of these coal plants as long as possible. Given that Commission "acknowledgment" or
"acceptance" is viewed as an IRP complying with Commission rules, they do not commit a
Commission to subsequent approval of capital investments contained in an IRP's action plan.
Nonetheless, we understand why Idaho Power asked the Oregon Commission to acknowledge
the IRP Update. For these reasons and others outlined below, it would seem reasonable if the
Idaho Commission considered a similar path inasmuch as this IRP Update is in many ways more
substantive than others.
If this filing were a simple update and revision to the 2011 IRP, things would be much different.
But this filing instead constitutes a major commitment to supply side resource acquisition by
our largest electric utility. Oregon regulators will no doubt provide Idaho Power's customers
and stakeholders in that state with proper review of this request; we ask only that those
interests in Idaho be accorded the same opportunity. On top of the magnitude of the change to
the 2011 IRP is the clear urgency for public participation and also because Idaho Power's plans
to upgrade these plants is based on what we believe is an inadequate analysis of its coal assets.
As well, there are other elements of the 2011 IRP Update, such as the wind integration study
report and the ill-fated solar demonstration pilot project, that are appropriate for public
review.
Prudency of Investments Difficult to Assess
The Alliance believes that the Coal Unit Analysis performed by Idaho Power and its consultant,
5
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
Science Applications International Corporation [SIAC] does not provide the Idaho PUC or
affected customers adequate information to determine the prudence of such investments.
More troubling is the fact that such investments, so far as the Alliance is able to determine, may
not be subject to public scrutiny, review, and comment before the investments are made. In
effect, and based on the information available at present, Idaho Power is proposing that the
PUC grant what amounts to a blank check for an undetermined amount to complete an
undetermined scope of improvements that may or may not be made on some or all of the coal
plants in which Idaho Power has an interest.
That such proposed investments were disclosed in an analysis that has not been subject to the
rigors of a CPCN review should be reason enough for the Commission to initiate a CPCN process
as requested above to allow a more thorough vetting of the proposed investments and also to
better protect the interests of Idaho Power customers and shareholders. At a minimum, Idaho
Power's IRP Update should be subject to the same level of review for Commission acceptance
as the 2011 IRP it is designed to update.
It is asking too much of the Commission or affected Company customers to decide whether coal
plants should be retired or retained when the only options presented are switching the plants
to run on natural gas or replacing them with gas plants altogether. For instance, in the case of
the early retirement Portland General Electric's Boardman coal plant [in which Idaho Power is a
10 percent partner] the decision was made based on the threat of required regulatory retrofits
and uncertainties. The retirement decision was not made based on what will replace
Boardman's energy output: That determination has yet to be made.
The Alliance has been very involved in Idaho Power's IRP process for several years, including
this year as Idaho Power prepares its 2013 IRP. Because we place a premium on the value of the
IRP process, we have a keen interest in the 2011 IRP Update. Given the IRP-altering nature of
the Update, we believe the issues regarding Idaho Power's Coal Analysis, particularly the
company's projected timelines for decisions on whether to commit to various coal plant retrofit
investments must be reviewed by the Commission before Idaho Power submits its 2013 IRP to
the Commission in June and before the public has an opportunity to comment on it to the PUC
later this year.
We also believe the material changes to the 2011 IRP that are contained in the 2011 IRP Update
demand an opportunity for public scrutiny and an opportunity for the Commission to accept
the 2011 IRP Update. While Idaho Power requested that the Oregon Public Utilities Commission
acknowledge its 2011 IRP Update [Application for Acknowledgment of 2011 Integrated
Resource Plan, Oregon Public Utilities Commission, Case LC 53], it did not ask the same of the
Idaho Commission.
The Oregon PUC also directed Idaho Power to examine "whether there is flexibility in the
emerging environmental regulations that would allow the Company to avoid early compliance
[;1
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
costs by offering to shut down individual units prior to the end of their useful lives." Idaho
Power's Coal Study says it did look at such "Compliance Timing Alternatives" but described a
negotiated early plant retirement as "strictly hypothetical" and said it may lack the ability to do
so in any case because it doesn't manage the Bridger or Valmy plants, its partners do. We note
that this scenario made it possible to retire the Boardman coal plant early, and also that many
of the inputs used in the Coal Study [natural gas or CO2 price projections, for instance] are
similarly "strictly hypothetical."
Also, Idaho Power told Oregon regulators that "Notably, none of the relevant regulatory
authorities have offered or agreed to any such delay, and the study does not conclude that
Idaho Power can legally implement such a delay even if the plant operator agreed." However, it
does not mention whether Idaho Power has even sought to negotiate such a delay if it would
avoid some retrofit investments in exchange for an early plant retirement.
A CPCN Review of Proposed Coal Plant Retrofit Investments is Appropriate
We believe that the magnitude of the coal plant investments proposed by Idaho Power qualify
for an application for a CPCN as per Idaho Code § 61-541 (2) [emphasis added]:
A public utility that proposes to construct, lease or purchase an electric generation
facility or transmission facility, or make major additions to an electric generation or
transmission facility, may file an application with the commission for an order specifying
in advance the ratemaking treatments that shall apply when the costs of the proposed
facility are included in the public utility's revenue requirements for ratemaking purposes.
For purposes of this section, the requested ratemaking treatments may include
nontraditional ratemaking treatments or nontraditional cost recovery mechanisms.
[a] In its application for an order under this section, a public utility shall describe the
need for the proposed facility, how the public utility addresses the risks associated with
the proposed facility, the proposed date of the lease or purchase or commencement of
construction, the public utility's pro posalfor cost recovery, and any proposed
ratemaking treatments to be applied to the proposed facility."
In addition, 61-541 [4] states:
(a) In reviewing the application, the commission shall also determine whether:
(i)The public utility has in effect a commission-accepted integrated resource plan;
(ii)The services and operations resulting from the facility are in the public interest
and will not be detrimental to the provision of adequate and reliable electric
service;
(ill) The public utility has demonstrated that it has considered other sources for long-
term electric supply or transmission;
(iv) The addition of the facility is reasonable when compared to energy efficiency,
demand-side management and other feasible alternative sources of supply or
7
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
transmission; and
(v) The public utility participates in a regional transmission planning process.
The Alliance understands and appreciates that Idaho Power has a commission-accepted
integrated resource plan, and also that the Company participates in regional transmission
planning processes. We are concerned, however, that the public interest in seeing the Company
satisfy the above CPCN requirements cannot be served until Idaho Power is also able to
demonstrate that it has considered other sources for long-term electric supply or transmission;
or that the addition of the facility is reasonable when compared to energy efficiency, demand-
side management and other feasible alternative sources of supply or transmission.
Certainly, neither of the two requirements [had Idaho Power applied for a CPCN or if the
Commission requires one] have been met in the cases above, at least not in a way that the
public can scrutinize.
In fact, we reiterate that Idaho Power's Coal Study considers only two alternatives for the
future of the company's existing coal fleet and both entail switching to natural gas as a
replacement for coal. The Analysis presents no information on how Idaho Power's chosen
alternative - to retain the plants and invest in their environmental upgrades - might compare
to replacing some or all of the generation from those plants with energy efficiency, demand-
side management and other feasible alternative supply side and demand side resources. The
Commission should require that Idaho Power's analysis of its coal assets for purposes of
resolving the "retire or retrofit" question includes the examination of renewable energy
alternatives for some or all of the generation from the plants.
Following up on Commissioner Smith's inquiry to Idaho Power during today's meeting at the
Commission's offices, we also would support some form of "workshop" or public hearing on
Idaho Power's filing, as is expected in Oregon, according to a comment from Idaho Power
today.
However, such a "workshop" or related opportunity for a public airing of the IRP Update should
not serve as a replacement for affirmative Commission action on the filing itself. Providing the
public an opportunity to raise any concerns they may have about the 2011 IRP Update is
important, but it cannot be a substitute for a procedure that allows stakeholders to inquire in
more depth about the Study, its conclusions, and how it was prepared. Furthermore, it appears
that, in the Oregon case, parties to the 2011 IRP docket before the Oregon Commission may
have an opportunity to review the confidential portion of Idaho Power's filing through the
routine practice of executing a protective agreement. Because no case has been initiated in
Idaho and because the IRP Update has been filed in a closed case, we cannot see how
interested parties can 1) Intervene in this case as a party and 2) review all relevant documents
contained in the filing.
8
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
Investments Would Further Expose Utility, Customers to Added Risk
In its most recent 10K annual report to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, filed Feb.
21, 2013, Idaho Power laid out the potential risks the company, its customers, and its
shareholders face due to the uncertain environmental regulatory landscape before it as it
prepares to navigate the uncertain world of state and federal health and environmental
regulations:
"A number of federal, state, and local environmental statutes, rules, and regulations
relating to air quality, water quality, natural resources, and health and safety are
applicable to Idaho Power's operations," the utility wrote in its report. "These laws and
regulations generally require Idaho Power to obtain and comply with a wide variety of
environmental license, permits, inspections, and other approvals, and may be enforced
by both public officials and private individuals. Some of these regulations are changing
or subject to interpretation, and failure to comply with them may result in penalties or
other adverse consequences. Environmental regulations have created the need for Idaho
Power to install new pollution control equipment at, and may cause Idaho Power to
perform environmental remediation on, its owned or co-owned Jim Bridger power plant
in 2015 and 2016 at a cost of approximately $120 million, and a second set of control
apparatus in 2021 and 2022. Idaho Power expects that there will be other costs relating
to environmental regulations, and those costs are likely to be substantial. Idaho Power is
not guaranteed recovery of those costs. For instance, in December 2012 the Oregon
Public Utility Commission disallowed in part cost recovery for certain environmental
upgrades made to a coal plant by one of Idaho Power's Northwest region peer utilities,
citing an insufficient cost analysis. If Idaho Power is similarly unable to recover in full its
costs through the ratemaking process, such non-recover would negatively impact
IDA CORP'S and Idaho Power's financial conditions and results of operations"
Idaho Power's February SEC filing continued:
"Moreover, there are many legislative and rulemaking initiatives pending at the federal
and state level that are aimed at the reduction of fossilfuel plant emissions. Idaho Power
cannot predict the outcome of pending or future legislative and rulemaking proposals, or
the compliance costs Idaho Power would incur in connection with that legislation. Future
changes in environmental laws or regulations governing emissions reduction may make
certain electric generating units (especially coal-fired units) uneconomical and subject to
shut-down, may require the adoption of new methodologies or technologies that
significantly increase costs or delay in-service dates, and may raise uncertainty about the
future viability of fossil fuel as an energy source for new and existing electric generation
facilities."
This is the future that Idaho Power is proposing to buy into. Clearly, the company understands
9
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
the risks associated with such a significant new investment in coal-fired power generation.
The Idaho Power Northwest region peer utility, which saw some requested costs disallowed by
the Oregon PUC, was PacifiCorp. Pacific Power sought recovery of the Oregon portion of $661
million for capital investments in emissions control equipment at seven of the company's 19
coal-fueled generation units, including Jim Bridger No. 3, which Idaho Power in this case
proposes to retrofit. In its Order [12-493, Case No. LIE 246], the Oregon Commission said that
Pacific Power's "imprudent and inadequate analysis and decision-making put ratepayers at
risk," although when it came to determining the amount of the disallowance, the Oregon
Commission said that, "Quantifying the impact of Pacific Power's imprudence has been
hindered by the very actions that underlie our finding of imprudence - the utility's inadequate
analysis and decision-making." Oregon regulators determined that Oregon's share of the
contested investments was about $170 million, and that their decision to disallow 10 percent of
those investments amounted to a $17 million disallowance for Pacific Power in that case.
The actions of PacifiCorp [Pacific Power, Rocky Mountain Power] in the above-referenced
Oregon case should not reflect on Idaho Power other than the fact that Idaho Power relied to
an extent on PacifiCorp's analysis for inputs into its own analysis for the Bridger units.
Will the Proposed Power Plant Upgrades be "Used and Useful"?
That Idaho Power understands the necessity to reduce its carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions,
which are not addressed in any of the current or proposed EPA regulations or the
environmental retrofits proposed by the Company is clear in its commitment to reduce its CO2
emissions intensity. In response to a 2009 resolution that was adopted by company
shareholders, Idaho Power says it intends to reduce its CO2 emissions intensity through a
number of means, including, according to the Company [Emphasis Added]:
- A more effective use of the company's hydropower assets;
- Benefitting from above-average stream flows;
- The addition of the new Langley Gulch natural gas-fired power plant;
- Reduced use of company-owned coalfacilities.
The Alliance wholeheartedly agrees with the need for Idaho Power to reduce its reliance on its
coal assets while at the same time meeting current and future load requirements. We believe
only so much carbon reduction can be attainted by further hydropower enhancements, and
that makes it more important to deliberately reduce coal plant operations as the primary
means to meet CO2 reduction goals. That raises questions about the "used and useful" metric
in determining the prudence of these coal plant investments.
If the Company's position on the one hand is to dial back its use of coal generation, how on the
other hand can it justify these retrofits not just one or two plants, but across its entire coal
fleet? It seems intuitive that an investment of several hundred million dollars or so in fleet-wide
10
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
retrofits should be targeted at supply side or demand side resources that the company intends
to maximize, not power plants it says it intends to use less.
As acknowledged by Idaho Power and the proposed power plant upgrades notwithstanding, the
cost of the proposed upgrades to these plants cannot be determined with precision. What is
known is that these investments, should they be approved at some future point by the
Commission, will commit Idaho Power's customers to hundreds of millions of dollars in
environmental retrofits without customers being able to determine whether more cost
effective alternatives are possible.
Such a package of investments would rival the cost of the new Idaho Power Langley Gulch
natural gas plant, which went online in the summer of 2012. The next Idaho Power rate case is,
by most accounts, more than a year away from being decided [depending on when it is filed],
and that is well beyond the company's expected decision timelines for the Valmy and Jim
Bridger coal plants. If Idaho Power's timetable were to be met, and absent an elevated form of
regulatory and public review of the proposed investments, the Company could find itself in the
position of risking possible disallowance of some of its investments of ratepayer dollars.
The Regulator's Perspective
The issue of how - or whether - a utility recovers costs such as those for coal plant upgrades
contemplated in Idaho Power's 2011 IRP Update rests with the Commission, which must decide
whether the utility prudently incurred the costs on behalf of its customers, whether the utility
adequately analyzed all reasonable alternatives, and whether costs for those alternatives were
properly allocated for purposes of the study. This is all the more important given that, in many
cases, the cost of major environmental retrofits for a coal plant can be greater than the plant's
original cost. It's also important because, as stated earlier, the potential for piecemeal upgrades
to power plants to accumulate means that ratepayers may end up "paying twice" for the same
power plant just to keep it operating legally.
The Regulatory Assistance Project [RAP, www.rap.org ] released its analysis of this
phenomenon, "Incorporating Environmental Costs in Electric Rates: Working to Ensure
Affordable Compliance With Public Health and Environmental Regulations," by Jim Lazar and
David Farnsworth, in October 2011.
"Regulators should expect to receive piecemeal requests from utilities for preapproval
and rate case approval of their investment in emission control measures at older power
plants and the operating expenses associated with these emissions controls. Rather than
seek appro val for the full suite of improvements needed to address S02, NOx, hazardous
air pollutants like mercury, CO2, and other environmental compliance issues, it is likely
that many applications will address only one pollutant at a time, so that the full picture
of long-run costs is never before regulators in a single docket. To be fair, it may be that
specifics of some of the future rules are not fully known at any point. A comprehensive
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
analysis can include an estimate of future compliance costs for regulators to evaluate.
Some of these requests will likely seek recovery for emission management costs as part
of a general rate case. In many cases, however, the request will seek dollar-for-dollar
recovery through adjustment clauses rather than consideration in general rate cases and
inclusion in base rates Some requests will come in the form of preapproval requests for
such things as budget approval, certificates of public convenience and necessity (CPCN),
and integrated resource plan (IRP) proceedings. Other requests will come to regulators
only after the expenditures are made in general or special purpose rate cases."
Idaho Power's Coal Study provides an example of such bit-by-bit upgrades to its coal fleet. The
Company is considering installing new selective catalytic reduction (SCR) additions to each of
the four Jim Bridger coal units in 2015, 2016, 2021, and 2022, as well as a dry sorbent injection
(DSI) upgrade to one of the North Valmy coal plants in Nevada. All of the Bridger units may also
receive new controls to reduce mercury emissions. Such requests, sometimes coming in myriad
forms for various capital investment spending, present utility regulators with a new challenge -
and an opportunity to implement new alternatives to addressing the old problem of power
plant upgrades. In the case of Idaho Power's Coal Study, for example, it cannot be determined
from information available to the public whether the company calculated the transmission
benefits of energy efficiency and distributed generation that would spare the utility and its
customers from electricity lost to transmission line losses and other infrastructure
requirements.
A review in a case such as Idaho Power's proposed coal plant upgrade regime should include
such minimal requirements as an analysis of available alternative and conventional generation
options as well as a similar analysis of available demand-side resources, including demand
response opportunities. Failure to provide such basic baseline information, Lazar and
Farnsworth argue, should shift the financial burden for cost recovery from customers in rate
cases to shareholders:
"For example, if the utility prepares a partial analysis considering only NOx and SO2
costs, but not costs such as combustion residuals management or CO2, then the
regulator should make it clear that the utility is at risk for future incremental costs that
were not considered.
This is most important to prevent piecemeal evaluation. The utility may fear that
presenting a complete picture may lead to the regulator rejecting a request for cost
recovery of retrofit costs. That rejection could leave the utility with a non-operable plant,
and recovery of the remaining investment may be at risk."
It is also critical for regulators, when faced with proposed power plant updates such as those
being promoted by Idaho Power, to ensure the ability for the public to weigh in, whether in a
12
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
rate case, a CPCN case, or both, according to the RAP report.
"Regulators can protect consumers by insisting that utilities seeking approvalfor
compliance strategies prepare a comprehensive plant-specific and fleet-wide analysis of
known and potentialfuture costs, and present that to the regulator at the earliest point
in time for possible review. Interested parties, including both supporters and skeptics of
renovation, should be invited to comment on the analysis and participate in the
evaluation. At a minimum, utilities should be required to examine these potential costs
when actual compliance proposals are submitted. Ideally, utilities will examine the
potential costs through an integrated process, in which retrofit or other compliance costs
can be compared with all generation and non-generation alternatives."
Conclusion
For reasons stated above, the Snake River Alliance believes the proposed power plant additions
identified by Idaho Power in its 2011 IRP Update Coal Unit Environmental Analysis for the Jim
Bridger and North Valmy Coal-Fired Power Plants must undergo rigorous review and public
evaluation similar to that employed in a certificate of public convenience and necessity (CPCN)
procedure.
We are not asking the Commission at this stage to attempt to determine the merits of the Coal
Study contained in the 2011 IRP Update. Rather, we believe there are several ways for the
Commission to provide for public review of a proposal that will have long-lasting and major
impacts on Idaho Power customers. Specifically, we suggest:
- A formal fact-finding procedure such as a CPCN review is important, particularly given
the likelihood that these proposed investments, if made, may be challenged before or
after ratepayer dollars are committed;
- The Commission should consider an IRP "acceptance" or similar procedure that allows
public comment and input not only on the Coal Study portions of the 2011 IRP Update,
but other elements as well;
- The 2011 Update should be made available for public review and comment on the
Commission's web site and through other traditional means of soliciting public input
regularly used in cases before the Commission. Currently, the information is filed in the
"closed cases" section of the Commission web site.
- The Commission should consider issuing a news release notifying the public of the Idaho
Power 2011 IRP Update filing. Such a news release would also inform the public on how
to locate and review the Update and its associated documents, as well as how to
comment on the filing to the Commission.
The Alliance understands our recommendations for pre-construction Commission review of the
capital improvement proposals by Idaho Power is out of the ordinary. But then so is the breadth
and potential impacts of Idaho Power's 2011 IRP Update. Never before have American electric
13
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212
utilities faced so much regulatory uncertainty about the future of their assets as they do today,
and we appreciate the difficult decision-making processes that brought Idaho Power to this
point. However, the consequences of imprudent investments of ratepayer dollars on a scale
this large could be severe. While this 2011 IRP Update is intended to freshen the original 2011
IRP and resolve some questions that by necessity were left unanswered, it is guaranteed that
the regulatory climate will be no less settled as Idaho Power completes its 2013 IRP.
For these reasons, we recommend that the Commission consider raising the bar of regulatory
approval as it considers Idaho Power's proposed investments associated with its recently
submitted Coal Study.
Respectfully submitted,
Ken Miller
Clean Energy Program Director
Snake River Alliance
P.O. Box 1731
Boise, ID 83701
(208) 344-9161 (o)
(208) 841-6982 (c)
kmiller@snakeriveralliance.org
www.snakeriveralliance.org
14
350 9th Avenue North, Suite BlO Box 425
Boise, ID 83702 Pocatello, ID 83204
208/344-9161 208/233-7212