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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20090417R A Slaughter Direct.pdf~ .~ ~ ., (":'1,:: (~'."""U.".,., 2UG9 APR 17 Pf1 4: 41 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMSSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY FOR AUTHORITY TO MODIFY ITS RULE H LINE EXTENSION TARFF RELATED TO NEW SERVICE ATTACHMENTS AN DISTRIBUTION LINE INSTALLATIONS. CASE NO. IPC-E-Ø8-22 BUILDING CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHWESTERN IDAHO DIRCT TESTIMONY OF RICHAR SLAUGHTER ORiGiNAL , ' , . 1 Q. 2 A. Pleae state your name and business address for the recrd. My name is Richard Slaughter. My business address is 907 Harson Blvd, Boise, Idao 3 83702. 4 Q.Have you prepared a statement of your quaifications to offer testimony in ths 5 proceeing? 6 A. 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Q. 19 A. I have. It is attached to this testimony as Attchment A. Expanding on the quaificaons detailed in Attchment A, betee 1998 and 200 1 I consulted in Kazakstan and Kyrgystan on tax policy and revenue estimation. The work in Kyrgystan was supprted by the Asian Development Ban ("ADB"). My reprt CR be found in ADB Techncal Assistance No. 3106-KGZ, Benchmark Reprt Section V "Economic and Tax Analysis." The implications of that work for third world economic development are presented in the Sumer 2002 issue of The National Interest, a public policy joural. My comments on the Former Soviet Union (FSU) and third world economic development are grounded in my academc work in interational politics and economics, alost fifty year as a close obserer of the Soviet Union and comparative politics, my work as Chief Economist for the Idaho Division of Financial Management, and my consulting work in the region. Are you offerng any exhibits in supprt of your testimony? Yes. I am spnsoring Exhibits 201 through 204. Page 2 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 , ' , , 1 Q.What is the purse of your testimony? 2 A.I have been asked by the Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho ("BCA") 3 to prvide to the Commission my analysis and opinions conceg Idaho Power 4 Company's ("Idaho Power" or "Company") proposed Rule H taff modfications. 5 Q.Have you previously testified before ths Commssion? 6 A.Yes. In 1995 I provided testimony to the Commssion on behalf of the BCA concerg 7 proposed modifications of the Company's Rule H taffin Case No. IPC-E-95-18. I also 8 have testified in numerous other cases before ths Commission involving avoided cost 9 and cost of capita. 10 Q.Please sumarze the scope of your analysis concerg the Company's proposed Rule H 11 tarff revsions. 12 A.I have reviewed the Company's Application and supporting testimony in this proeding 13 and the Company's responses to Staff and BCA production requests. I also have 14 reviewed the pleadings, testimony and exhbits and Commission Order in the 15 Company's prior Rule H tarff proceeing, IPC- E-95-18, as well as subsequent 16 Commission order having relevance to the Company's cost of serce, avoided costs and 17 embedded costs and rates, including the Commission's recent Order No. 30722 in the 18 Company's 2008 rate case, IPC-E-08-10. I also have analyzed available economic data 19 relative to inflation and cost pressues on Idaho Power's rate base. Page 3 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwes Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 .' . . 1 Summary 2 Q. 3 A. 4 5 6 7 8 9 Wil you also please sumarze testimony? My testimony addresses four priar areas. First, I will discuss why the Company's proposed tarff modifications are inconsistent with the Commssion's existing policy statements and with economic theory. Second, I will testify concerg the fallacy in Idaho Power's asserion that increased distbution costs ar drven by grwt itself, as opposed to inflation. Thrd, I wil address the advere economic impacts of adopting the Compay's proposed tarff modifications. Four I will propose an upted basis for computing the appropriate allowances and adinisterng vested interest refuds. 10 Company rationale and Commssion policy 11 Q. 12 A. What is your undertanding of the Company's intent in filing in ths case? In his testimony on behalf of the Company, Greg Said has made clear that Idaho Power 13 desires ultimately to impose the ful marginal cost of growt (including costs of new 14 generation, transmission and distrbution) on new development to eliminate the upwar 15 pressue that the addition of new facilities imposes on rates. This Rule H filing is merely 16 the opeing salvo in the Company's strategy. 17 Q. 18 A. Can you provide support for that conclusion frm Mr. Said's testimony? Yes. The following colloquy from Mr. Said's testiony descrbes that intent, and 19 includes Mr. Said's admission that Idao Power ultiately is as interested in trsferg Page 4 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Assocation of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 . . . . 1 generation and trsmission costs to new customer as it is in trferng line extension 2 costs: 3 "Q. Please descnòe the instrctions you gave to Mr. Spars regarding the 4 improvements that the company desired be made to Rule H. 5 "A. I identified thee primar goals for Mr. Spars to achieve. ... Third, I asked Mr. 6 Sparks to tae a close look at line instalation allowances and refuds with an eye 7 toward reducing both allowances and refuds. 8 "Q. Why is the Company desirous of reducig line instalation allowances and9 refuds? 1 0 "A. As the Commssion is well aware, the Company has fied genera rate case 11 proceedings in 2003, 2005, 2007, and 2008. In addition, the Company has also 12 filed cases for the inclusion into rate base of the Benet Mountain gas-fied plant 13 in 2005 and the inclusion of the Danskin gas-fired plant in 2008. With. the reent 14 frequency of rate proceeings, a peristent question arses: Is growt paying for 15 itselt? The clear answer is no. Additional revenues generated from the addition 16 of new customer and load growt in general is not keeing pace with the 17 additional expeses crated and required to prvide ongoing safe and reliable 18 serce to new and existing cutomers. Whle the provisions of Rule H have 19 required some contrbutions in aid of constrction for new distrbution facilities, 20 there are no requirements for contrbutions in aid of constrction for new 21 trsmission or generation facilities which (sic) are also tyically required to 22 sere customer growt. Reducing the Company's new customer-related 23 distrbution rate base by reducing allowances and refuds wil relieve one area of 24 upward pressure on rates and will tae a step toward grwt payig for itself." 25 (Said, DI, p. 5, 1 23 to p. 6, line 22) (emphasis added). 26 This statement, together with Mr. Said's instrctions to Mr. Sparks to "take a close look 27 at line installation allowance and refuds with an eye toward reducig both allowance 28 and refuds (SAID, DI, p. 4, lines 20-22)," is clea indication that Idaho Power desires 29 that new connections pay the full marginal cost of capita. His languge suggests a belief 30 that rates should forever be stable in nominal ters, and declinig in real ter, for those 31 customers who are cutly on the system and who never move to a new residence. Page 5 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Cas No. IPC-E-08-22 . ' . . 1 It is also tellng that Mr. Said's instrctions were for the purose of arbitrarly "reducing 2 both allowances and refuds." There is no attempt whatsoever to lay a theoretical or 3 empirical bas for the Rule H proposa. He does not, excet in the most general 4 conventional wisdom sense, tie the proposal to changes in the Company's specific costs, 5 nominal or rea. 6 Q.Does Mr. Said suggest that it wil be the Company's policy to recover from new 7 customer the margial costs for expansion of Idaho Power's geeration and tranission 8 plant? 9 A.Yes, that would appear to be the case. 10 Q.Please explain. 11 A.Mr. Said complai that "growt does not pay its way." He states that all aras of the 12 Company's costs have been rising, and attbutes those increases to grwt; citing several 13 Company rate cases over the past decade. He then instrcts Mr. Spars to design 14 proposals that would "take a step towar grwt payig for itself." There is no other 15 logical interretation to make. 16 Q.What has been the Commission's public policy recrd on ths issue? 17 A.Broadly speaking, inIPC-E-95-18, the Commission deterined that new customer 18 should receive credit for the embedded costs of providing distrbution/terinal serces. 19 In Order 26780, the Commission found, among other things, that: Page 6 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 . ' . .. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Q. 8 A 9 10 11 12 13 Q. 14 A. · . .. new customer are entitled to have the Company provide a level of investment equal to that made to sere existing cuomers in the same class; and · To the extent that any allowance is ordered, some porton of distrbution cost wil continue to be recver though rates. (Order 26780, IV (C) Commssion Findings, ~ 2.) What rationale supports ths policy? In par, it is the recogntion that uness new customer reeive credt for their contrbutions to the cost of new facilties and some or all of the embedded costs of existing distrbution/terinal facilties, then the rates for existig customer are suppressed below the actual cost of serce, which in tu suppresses the consumer's incentive to limit his or her electrcity use. Please explain. Embedded distrbution costs greatly undertate both the replacement cost and the 15 economic value of distrbution servces. As wil be descrbe later in my testimony, the 16 ratepayer pays for cuent deprecation and for retu on capital for the un-depreciated 17 portion of the distrbution system. Because the economic life of the system is longer than 18 the depreciation perod, much of the existing system costs nothng in rate schedles, even 19 though. value contiues to be provided to the ratepayer. 20 Q. 21 A. Is there other rationale supportng the Commission's decision in IPC- E-95-18? Yes. In the 1995 Rule H case, the BCA provided evdence concerng the advere 22 ecnomic impacts that would result ifnew cutomer were required under the Company's Page 7 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 .. .~ . . 1 proposed Rule H Tarff modifications to pay all costs of new distrbution facilities in 2 excess of embeded investment. The Commission speifically found that requing 3 payment of all these costs frm new customers could have severe ecnomic effecs. 4 Q.Has the Commission's recgntion of the rationale and policy in been cared forward in 5 subsequent order? 6 A.At least with respect to its policy of sending appropriate maret signals to the Company's 7 customers, yes. The Commission has quite recently affrmatively recognized that the 8 nee to constrain unbridled demand grwth requires that more accute market signals be 9 provided to customers. For example, average cost prcing, by design, has proteced Idaho 10 Power customer from the full effects of inflation and of the costs of fuel switchin and 11 other changes in the cost of deliverng energy. 12 In IPC-E-08-10, the Commission adopted the Company's proposed "invered block" rate 13 schedule for residential customer, in which an initial block at lowest price was set at 14 approximately 60% of the average residential monthy use, with a higher price for energy 15 in excess of that monthy amount. The Commission also cotinued to support higher 16 rates for sumer use, in recogntion of the fact that residential suer demand 17 contrbutes to the Company's pea demand. The Compay proposed, and the 18 Commission approved, an increase in the rate differtials betwee the Tier 1 and Tier 2 19 blocks to 20%, to recognize higher suer energy cost, and to "send a stronger price Page 8 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 . ' . . 1 signal to customers encourging the effcient use of energy. ..." (IPC-E-08-10 transcrpt, 2 p.728). 3 Q.Does the Company's Rule H proposa conform to both the Company's above-describe 4 intent concerng its residential rate prposal in IPC-E-08-1 0 and Commssion policy? 5 A.No. In fact Idaho Power's curent Rule H modification proposal is diametcally opposed 6 to the Company's IPC-E-08-10 proposal and the Commission's decision. 7 Q.In what way? 8 A.The proposed Rule H seeks to place the full marginal cost of distrbution system 9 expansion onto "new" customer. Rather than sending a prce signal to existing 10 customer that caital cost inflation exists, it seeks to remove growth entirely from rate 11 base. Ths would cause rate base to gradually decline over time due to depreciation. 12 The only distrbution inflation reflected in rate base under the Company's proposal 13 accres because of system maintenance and replacement, if, as, and once it occu. 14 Because the economic life of distrbution plant tends to be longer than the depreciated 15 life, un-depreciated distrbution plant, and thus rate base, will decline over time. 16 Consequently, rates wil not reflec the actal (hgher) cost of serice or the increased 17 (and accruing but not-yet-incued) cost of maitenance and replaceent of the existing 18 distrbution system. Page 9 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 . . 1 Q.What effect would Commission support for the Company's curent Rule H proposal have 20n ratepayer? 3 A.It would undercut the price signal the Commission's decision in IPC-E-08-10 was 4 intended to provide by removing inflation from a major component of energy costs. This 5 is a subsidy to existing customer. Causing cutomer to believe that energy costs les 6 than it actually does wil cause overall demand to rise above the level that might be 7 expected from cuent policy. 8 Rising costs, inßation, and market signals 9 Q.Is ther reason to believe that Mr. Said is confsing nominal with real costs, and that the 10 nominal costs for new terinal serces do not in fact represent "higher costs of grwt?" 11 A.Yes. The conclusion that "grwt does not pay its own way" can only be reached by a 12 simple comparson of embeded distrbution costs with that of new serce. In Mr. 13 Said's view, since new serice costs more than the average of the existig rate base, rapid 14 growt results in nominal rate increases. 15 Q.Is Mr. Said's comparson accuate? 16 A.No, because Mr. Said is comparng apples and oranges. First, as mentioned earlier, the 17 Company's existing system contans substtial distrbution asses that ar fully i 8 depreciated. Thus, even if inflation were zer, Idao Power's embeded costs would be 19 below that of new plant, simply beuse the economic life of new plant is longer than the Page 10 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Assocation of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 . . 1 deprecation schedules. Second, the Company's existing system is of lower quality and 2 capacity than new plant because of its age. As a result, the additional distrbution system 3 provided for new cutomer is of signficantly higher quality, has a higher capacity, a 4 longer expected life, and lower maintenance costs than the aging, depreciated system that 5 existing customer are charged for as par of their rates. 6 Q. 7 A. 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Q. 16 A. Please elaborate. For the past quaer centu the portion ofIdaho sered by Idaho Power, parcuarly the Treasure Valley, has grwn raidly. Ths growt is consistent with curent public policy of the State, the City of Boise and business and public entities in the Treasure Valley. It has caused Idaho Power's overl distrbution system to be younger than it otherise would be. Whle one result is rising average costs, the reduction in averge system age also wil caus maintenance costs to be lower than would otherse be the case - reducing costs down the road. In other words, new customer who generate the nee for new distrbution plant, in the long ru reduce real costs for all customer. So growth is not a cause of rea cost incrases? No. To quote my prior testimony, "growt, espeally acceleratig growt, will cause the 17 effects of an underlying cost change to be felt more quickly. In itself, however, growt 18 does not cause higher costs. In inflation adjusted ters, if the same facilities are 19 provided at the same real unt cost, then averge real cost per customer wil not change. 20 This is tre regardless of the rate of growt." Page 11 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 .' 1 Q.Did you provide an example? 2 A.Yes. Exhibit 203 ilustrates four hypthetical customers coming onto the system over 3 four year, each requiring a $100 investment. The investments in the examle have a 4 four-year life, depeciated strght line. 5 As the ilustration shows, tota depreation cost does indee grw, until after the four 6 year, when the last customer is added. From tht time forwar, depreiation cost remains 7 constat. Even adding replacement investment does not cause th total cost to rise. 8 Averge cost remains constant over the perod. Absent infation, growt canot cause 9 pe customer cost to rise. 10 Ths example demonstrates that the phre "grwth should pay for itself," while an 11 appaling political slogan, is devoid of analytcal insight insofar as it relates to costs of 12 serce. 13 Q.Is there a reason why Commission policy should discourge the arficial agig of the 14 distrbution system? 15 A.Yes, there are severaL. First, arificially suppessed energy prices encourage excess 16 demand, and result in higher costs later, as the Commission recgnzed in Order No. 17 30722 when it approved an invered-block rate strct for the Company. Secnd, 18 extending the economic life of distrbution assets to hold rates down can have advere 19 ecnomic consequences. Page 12 Richad A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 . , 1 Q.Please give examples: 2 A.Example 1: 3 In the former Soviet Union (FSU) the goverent used heavily subsidized utilities asa 4 social safety net, in a centrly-directed economy in which markets and prces as we 5 know them did not exist. Subsequent to independence, it has been politically impossible 6 for goverents to charge rates suffcient to supprt the existing utilty infrastrcte. 7 The result in the FSU has been a steady deteroration of trmission and distrbution 8 plant, with increasing outages and insuffciently reliable serce to support ecnomic 9 growt: 10 "Estiates of electrcal power consumption show that a full thrd is lost to poor 11 quality trsmission and distrbution systems ... . Much of the electrcal usage is 12 not metered or the meter not read. Additionally, desite the extremely low prce, 13 much of the power is not paid for, especally in rual areas. As such, it amounts to 14 a de facto subsidy to the poorest in the population. The price paid for the subsidy 15 is an uneliable and inadequate supply." (Asian Development Ban Techncal 16 Assistance No. 3106-KGZ Benchmark Reprt - Economic and Tax Analysis, 17 Page V-25) 18 "For most consumer, there is little incentive to consere electrcity and much 19 incentive to waste gas. Our house in Jalal-Abad had an electc fuace, while the 20 cokhouse had a gas stove and a gas-fired heater for washing and for the sauna. 21 The electricity was metered at six mills per kilowatt-about a fift the cost ofits 22 production and deliver. The gas was metered, too, but because the meter only 23 had thr digits, the monthy bil was negotiated with the meter reader. Ou 24 landlady would regularly tu the elecc fuace off at six ever mornng, in 25 frezig weather, to save 'that expeive eleccity,' but she cared les abut the 26 gas, even though the burer are so crde that they wase most of the energy us. 27 We once fired the sauna for four hour; because the gas pressur was low, it 28 would not heat to the required temperatue. From the stadpoint of the individual 29 consumer, such profligate behavior is entirely rational." (Richard Slaughter, "Poor 30 Kyrgysta," The National Interest, Sumer 2002) Page 13 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 Whle no one expects Idaho Power's system to deterorate to anywhere near ths extent, 2 real examples exist to validate economic theory regarg subsidies, market signals and 3 demand in the context we are discussing here today. The policy proposed in the cut 4 proceeding attempts to hide from ratepayer the tre economic value of the seces they 5 receive, and in so doing encourages excess consumption. The followig example 6 ilustrates that while not as acute, the same problem does exist with Idaho Power's 7 system: 8 Example 2: 9 The distrbution system in Boise's Nort End, like much of the Company's serce 10 tertory, is several decades old. When that system was place in serice, the average 11 home did not have today's ary of computer, kitchen appliances, saunas, hot tubs, air 12 conditioners, and other electrca consumer. Today, the distrbution system built to 13 sere a typcal 1940s load can be incapable of handling cuent demands: 14 "In December 1990 we wer livig in Boise's Nort End on 18th street. It 15 was extremely cold with perods oflows in the -20 degree rane and some 16 daily highs not exceeing zero. Durg the later par of the month we 17 experenced reoccung power outages. Dung one of the outages I 18 taed with an Idaho Power lineman who was working to restore power in 19 the aley behind our house. I asked him why the system wasn't staying on, 20 even after repair. He told me in older areas, like the Nort End, since the 21 lines were put in, homes now had signficantly more electonic items - 22 electrc heat, microwaves, computers, television sets, etc. - that put a load 23 on the system that was higher than anticipated when the system was built. 24 Therefore, due to the higher loads per household, durg an extremely 25 cold perod like we're having, the system couldn't keep up." (Don 26 Reading, former IPUC Policy Administrtor, anecdote frm peronal 27 expeence while livig on 18th stret in Boise) Page 14 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Assocation of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 Ths is anecdotal evidence. But for customer in many of Boise's older neighborhoods, 2 Dr. Reading's description of his experence over 18 year ago could be a fair statement of 3 their own contemporar serce experence in cold, or hot, or widy circstaces. 4 Another example occurred in the late i 990s when an Idaho Power transmission line, 5 heated by high load, shorted on a tree in souther Idaho causing multiple hour' power 6 outage in several states. 7 Q.Your first example compares moder utility reguation with the collapse of a centrally- 8 directed economic system. Is that appropriate? 9 A.More than Idaho Power may realize. Whle Idaho Power enjoys a monopoly-lock on its 10 eleccal customer, unlike moder telephone or cable companies, it does not enjoy a 11 lock on all energy customer, and fuel switching is not only possible, it is practice. 12 Unlke the Soviet-contrlled energy supply and distrbution system discued above, 13 Idaho Power does not have control over its own customer' choices. Idaho Power's 14 existig customer can and do shift portons of their overall demand between energy 15 soures in response to changing non-subsidized natu gas and oil prices. 16 Q.Please give an example. 17 A.There are thee specific area, each of which undercuts the Company's view that new 18 growt is the primar contrbutor to higher costs. First, most of the Company's existig 19 customer have the capacity to substitute electrc heat, through room heater, for ga or Page 15 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idah Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 oiL. As gas and oil prices rise relative to electrcity, those substitutions can be and are 2 beg made. 3 Second, there is a growing national movement to replace gasoline with electrcity 4 for short-distance automotive commuting. Whle the proposals generly envision 5 captug exsting off-peak capacity though "smar grds" and nightte recharg, 6 these emerging energy policies and technologies inevtably will reult in requirements 7 from existing customer for more generation and tranmission. 8 Thrd, average electrcity consumption is rising, as it has for the past half centu. 9 Homes now featue multiple televisions, computer, hot tubs, saunas, laundr equipment, 10 outdoor lighting, air conditioning, and many other electrc consumer - many of them 11 never fully tued off - that did not exist in prior year. These demands come from 12 existing, as well as new, customer, and are a reason for the demand management 13 policies discussed earlier. 14 Q.What does this mean for the Company's underlyig thesis? 15 A.There ar two effects, which togeter mea that ths attempt to protect existing cutomer 16 frm energy costs is futile and self-defeating. The attempt should be abandoned. 17 Q.Please elaborate. 18 A.First, it is the policy of the State and local goverents thrughout Idao, and ofIdao 19 Power for all of my memory going back to the 1950s, to encourage demand growt. Page 16 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Assocation of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 From the days of "Reddy Kilowatt" until Idaho Power recently became capacity 2 constrined, growth has be delibeely sought on the basis oflow hydro energy costs. 3 Q.How does the Company propose to handle the conflct beee the attaction oflow 4 energy prces and its capacity constraints? 5 A. 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Q. 14 A. As a short-ter strategy, the Company recently completed a customized sales agreeent with a new industral facility, Hoku Materals, whose demand excees 25 MW, for the purpse of managing the costs of ths specific large industral expansion. (Order No. 30748, Case No. IPC-E-08-21) Demand up to 25 MW is to be supplied thugh the existig large industral tarff, while demand in excess of that amount is to be supplied at the existing PURP A avoided cost rate. That rate represents Idaho Power's cost of additional energy and capacity in lieu of its marginal energy costs from capacity that is no longer in sulus. For the longer ter, the conflct is not resolved. What is the second effec you refer to? The secnd effect is fuel switching by existig cutomer, as descrbe earlier. Thus, low 15 electcity prces attact grwt, both industral and residential, which results over time in 16 new requirements for capacity and trsmission. Furer, customer can and will 17 substitute fuels to save money. You caot have it both ways, as the Company is 18 attemptig to do with ths prceeing. The attempt should be abandoned. 19 Q.Why is it useful to examine the source of nominally higher distrbution costs? Page 17 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 A.As I explained in my testimony in IPC- E-95-18, rising costs for new distrbution plant 2 can be attbuted to only thee sources: reduced density, ineffciencies, and inflation. 3 The first two of these sources can be dismissed: 4 · Density: If new constrcton is, on average, less dense than existig constrcton, then 5 for the most par the associated costs are accounted for in installation work order. For 6 that reaon, lower density should not contrbute to higher average costs becaus the 7 develop or new cutomer capitaizes line extensions. Additionally, much reidential 8 growt is to be found in high-denity development. Thus, while the averge single- 9 family reidential lot (and associated common area or ope space) may be larger than it 10 used to be, the averge line and terinal facilties costs may not be. 11 · Ineffciencies: If the Company or its contrctors have become less effcient, then they, 12 and not new grwt, wil have caused real, as well as nominal, costs to rise. I am not 13 aware of any facts disclosed in this proceeing that would indicate that the Company or 14 its contrctors have become less effcient over time, and for the purse of ths discussion 15 I will assume that Idaho Power and its contractors have not become prgressively less 16 effcient over time. 17 · Inflation: The thrd potential caus for incras distrbution facilities costs is 18 inflation or incrases in commodity or labor. In my opinion, inflation is the rean for 19 higher costs of new distrbution facilities. 20 Q.Why does ths matter for the Company's propose tarff modifcations? Page 18 Richar A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 A.Inflation is a rise in the general price level, or put another way, a deprecation of the 2 curency. Rising commodity or labor prices contrbute to higher costs, but in so doing 3 they also raise the nominal value of existing plant in the same way they contrbute to 4 increases in the nominal value of other assets, including houses. Since these prce 5 changes alone do not change the real economic value of all distrbution serces, and 6 because, as explained earlier, new facilities present lower ongoing costs to the system 7 than existig plant, there is no rationale for prtecting existing ratepayer from those 8 costs. 9 Q.In his pre-fied direct testimony, a portion of which you quoted above, Mr. Said poses, 10 and then anwer, the question "is growt is paying for itself?" His answer is that 11 "clearly the answer is no." Do you agree? 12 A.I do not agree. The only way to agree with his statement is to fuly discount the facts 13 that: 1) existing cutomer contrbute to the need for new generation, trsmission and 14 distrbution facilities when their energy consuption rises; 2) the nominal embeded 15 investment in existing plant is far less than both replaceent cost and economic value; 3) 16 inflation is the source of higher nominal costs for new plant; and 4) new customer reult 17 in the installation of higher quality facilities that have lower maintenance costs, which 18 tends to lower average costs for all ratepayer. 19 Contr to Mr. Said's conventional wisdom, growt DOES pay its own way. Actly, 20 for the reasons discused above, growt pays more than its own way when it pays costs Page 19 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 above embedded cost. That is because the plant purhased by new development is un- 2 depreciated and higher quaity than the plant represeted by embeded costs. For 3 existig customer to receive ths new plant at zero cot repents a large trfer of 4 capital value from new customer to existing cutomer. Ths shift of capitaization from 5 the Company to the customer also repreents a major change in utility regulatory policy, 6 where normally the customer effecively leases the use of plant frm the Compay. The 7 Company's contiued legal ownerhip and control of new plant fuher supports this 8 view. 9 Q.Is ths a new revelation? Are these arguents based on new facts? 10 A.No. Thes facts were before the Commssion in 1995, and supprted the Commssion's 11 findings in Order 26780 addressing the question of the level of support to be provided 12 new cutomer by the Company. The Commission's fiding in this regard bea 13 repeating here: 14 "We find that new cutomer are entitled to have the Company provide a 15 level of investment eqal to that made to sere existig cutomer in the 16 sae class. Recover of those costs in excess of embedded costs must 17 also be provided for and the impact on the rates of existing customer is an 18 important par of our consideration. We also recognze that reqring the 19 payment of all costs above embedded investment frm new customer 20 could have severe ecnomic effect." (Order 26780, IV. C. Commssion21 Findigs,.1f 2) 22 Economic effects of the proposed rule 23 Q.You have testified that the Company's prposal would fuer shift the capital cost of 24 new distrbution serces frm rae base to the developer, and by implication, to the home Page 20 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 purchaser. The home purchaser, of coure, contiues to pay for embedded capital costs 2 though rates. Does ths capital shift have ecnomic impacts other than "grwth payig 3 its way?" 4 A.Yes. Because assessed valuation for all propeies in a taxing distrct are impacted by the 5 prices of new residences, it has a potential impact on prpey taxes as well as affectng 6 the overll market and the abilty of individuals to purchase houses. 7 Q.Have you an ilustrtion of how ths works? 8 A.Yes. In a colloquy from my IPC- E-95-18 testimony, I explain the process. Note that 9 much of the problem arses from the fact that a cost formerly capitaized in the 10 Company's rate base is now (for new customer only) also capitalized in the prce - and 11 thus assessed value - of their house: 12 "A. ... I have shown that the 'cost of new distrbution facilties,' to the extent 13 they are higher than embedded costs, are higher becaus of inflation, not 14 changes in the natue of the facilities. I have also demonstrted that 15 growt itself does not cause higher costs. What the existig customer sees 16 when rates rise is an adjustment of his payment to more closely reflec 17 curent market value, NOT a new cost for which there should be a "new 18 benefit." Furer, ther is no benefit delivered to the new customer (that) 19 the existing customer does not already enjoy. 20 "Q. Is there is an offsettng cost reducton for the ratepayer, such that for all21 ratepayer there is a zero impact? 22 "A. Unfortately, no. There is prospectively an offsetng benefit frm reduced 23 rates in the futue. Becuse the fee becomes capitalized in the price of the 24 house, however, it has other undesirble consequences. 25 "Q. Pleae elaborate. Page 21 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 "A. In the longer ter, a cost increase of between $1200 and $3000 to the 2 developer wil result in a prce increase for the finished house of from 3 $2000 - $4000, since both develope and builder must mark up their costs 4 to cover overhead and profit. At the higher ranges it wil have a defite 5 effect on the abilty of buyer to enter the market, and on the payments of 6 all home buyers. 7 "Q. Can't they just buy an existing home, as suggested by one witnes? 8 "A. No, because the price increase for new prperes will be reflected in existng 9 properes as well. New and existing homes ar economic substitutes for 10 each other. Since additions to the supply of housing must for the most 11 par be new homes, the cost of development and constrction sets the 12 value of older homes as well. Aside from differences in physical 13 condition and location, the value of any existing house is deterined by its14 replacement cost. 15 "Q. That sounds as though the increase would create new wealth for all existing 16 homeowners, much as when the price of a stock rises. Why is that bad? 17 "A. Because it has occurred for arficial, non-economic reasons, and beause 18 higher values tend to trslate into higher propery taxes. It is quite 19 possible that existing ratepayer might find themselves paying more in ta20 than they save in rates. 21 "Q. Can you roughy calcuate the relative effects? 22 "A. Yes. Assume tht the additional cost is $300 to the developer, and a total of 23 $3500 to the homeowner. At 8% intert, the monthy mortgage would 24 rise by $23. Since Idaho law curently allows local goverent full 25 recver of value for new prper, his ta bil wil rise by an estimated 26 1.5% of $3500, or over $4 pe month. The increased monthy cost, which 27 would add about 4% to the average mortgage, would have a signficatly 28 negative impact on the ability of some individuas to purhas acqui29 financing. 30 "Q. Pleae esmate the rate savings. 31 "A. Intial savings on rates would of coure be zero. By the end of ten years, 32 assuming that 1 ø per kwh of curent rates is for distrbution and that 33 poon would otherse grow by 3% pe yea, the monthly savigs for all 34 customers would be .35Ø per kwh, or $3.50 per month. 35 "Q. What then is the net savings? Page 22 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Q. 9 10 11 12 A. "A. The new customer is obviously worse offby $27 per month from the beginning, because he is paying not only the additional fee but also interest on amortzation of that fee. The existig customer is also wors off. His property tax, given whatever lag is necesar for assessment and serces budgets to catch up with his increase, will have rise an estiated $4 per month. He must wait for a peod in excess of ten year for the savings on rates to amount to that much." Aside frm the Company's current intent (as extrapolated from Mr. Said's testimony) to shft the entire marginal cost of grwt (including all costs of new generation, trmission and distrbution) to new development, what if anytng is different frm its curent taff modification proposal and its previous proposal in Case No. IPC-E-95-18? The most signficant differences are the economic climate, its effects on the Company's 13 costs, and the extent of the advere economic impact that the proposed tarff modification 14 wil have. 15 Q. 16 A. Please explain. When the Company proposed its taff modification in 1995, it was expeencing - and 17 thereafter continued to expeence - a peod of relatively robust and consistent 18 cutomer growt. The signficant economic downtu beng experenced nationally and 19 locally has stuted grwth ofIdaho Power's commercial and reidential customer. In 20 fact as shown in Table 2, the numbe of new customer in these two classes has bee 21 approximately halved in each of the past two years. Consequently, the assered 22 incrasing "burden" of new growt on the Company's assets now is questionable, even if 23 one were to agree with its assumption that growt is not payig its way. Furer, the total 24 cost of new facilties above embedded costs reflects only one pecent of the Company's Page 23 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 total plant. In other words, it is insgnficant in comparson to other factors affecting 2 rates. 3 On the other hand, the serous economic impacts that the Commssion found would result 4 frm the Company's 1995 Rule H tarff modifi.cation. are only compounded in the face of 5 the cuent economic conditions. Parcuarly for souther Idaho home buyer and the 6 BCA's member who provide the materals and serces to build those homes, the 7 increase in the purchase price of a new home that would need to be imposed to recover 8 the cost-shifting proposed by Idaho Power, should be expeced to prce-out hundreds of 9 potential home buyer. 10 Using a computation metodology endorsed by the Natonal Assoation of Home 11 Builders ("NAHB") and economic data for the Boise City-Nampa, ID Metrpolita 12 Statistical Ara, the BCA estimates that for each additional $1,00 of cost in the prce of 13 a home, an additional 538 households Will be "priced-out" or unable to purchase a home. 14 I have attched the NAHB analysis supprtng these estimates as Exhbit 203 to my 15 testimony. 16 Q.Does the Company's prposal constitute discrmination againt new customers? 17 A.Definitely. While such a policy mayor may not be judged unconstutional, it clealy 18 places the two groups - existing and new customers - in ver different positions 19 relative to their cost of energy, without a rational basis for doing so. "New" customer 20 will have paid full margial cost for thei distrbution sece, while "existig" customer Page 24 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 continue to pay depeciated average cost - and, at the same time enjoy the reduced 2 maintenance cost made possible by the newer plant. Put another way, the new customer 3 will be required to fully capitalize his terinal serce - without beefit of ownerhip, 4 whie the existing customer leas capita facilities provided by the Company. And of 5 course, the new customer also is required to join the existing customer in paying the cost 6 of the existing system - essentially paying on two fronts for the same serice an exstng 7 cutomer receives. 8 Q. 9 A. 10 11 12 13 14 15 Q. Does it matter whether this discmination is judged constitutional or not? Not really. Like the laws of physics, the laws of economics tend to ignore human politics. As shown ealier, customer are not confined to Idaho Power for energy. In making their choices among fuels, they will defeat any attempt to arficially suppress the prce of one fuel relative to other. They wil move to the cheape fueL. Ths fuel switchig abilty makes expanion of supply (i.e., genertion, transmssion and distbution) inevitable, regardles of grwt. Nevereless, do you believe that cern modifications to the Company's Rule H taff 16 would be appropriate? 17 A.Yes, I do, although they are in the direcion of increaed refuds and allowances to the 18 new customer rather than their elimination, as proposed by the Compay. Page 25 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 Reconcilg allowances and inflated costs 2 Q.Do you have a proposal for calcuating an appoprate refud? 3 A.Yes. The reason that allowances and refuds fallout of date over time would appe to 4 be infation. Cernly the Company, in its application and testimony, has provided no 5 other reason, nor have they quantified the presumed disparty. 6 Thus, it is fully approprate that these costs be kept in line for perods of time betwee 7 gener rate cases, and adjusted at that point to kee the allowances and refuds in a S generlly consistent relationship with embeded costs. 9 Q.How do you propose to do that? 10 A.To keep the costs aligned with real costs, and to send the correct prce signal to 11 customer, allowances and refuds should be indexed anualy to an apropriate infation 12 measlte. Ths could be done as par of the Power Cost Adjustment mechansm, which 13 kees rates cuent with fuel prces. 14 One eaily available and consative index is the implicit prce deflator for the Grss 15 Domestic Product. Applying this deflator, PGDP, to the 1995 and prior refud 16 allowances of $SOO and $1200, respectively, yields the following information: Page 26 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-OS-22 1 Table 1 GDP Imlicit price deflator Year PGDP Refud $800 Refud $1200 1995 0.025 800 1,200 1996 0.037 830 1,244 1997 0.045 867 1,300 1998 0.042 903 1,355 1999 0.045 944 1,416 2000 0.037 979 1,468 2001 0.008 987 1,480 2002 0.016 1,003 1,504 2003 0.025 1,028 1,541 2004 0.036 1,065 1,597 2005 0.029 1,095 1,643 2006 0.028 1,126 1,689 2007 0.02 1,149 1,723 2008 0.013 1,164 1,745 2 Q.What is the curent embedded cost? 3 A.The 2008 cost of serce study used in IPC- E-08-1 0 shows distrbution rate base per 4 customer of $1,002 for residential serce (Exhbit 204). Thus, the inflation-adjusted 5 refund from IPC-E-95-18 appe to be supprted by cuent embeded costs. 6 Q.How do the per lot costs under the existing Rule H compare with this analysis? 7 A.Given the analysis provided by the Company in respnse to our prcton request 8 (Exhbit 202), under the existing Rule H total rate-based costs are $1,964, $1,140, and 9 $1,159 for developments of3,10, and 32 lots respectvely. Under the prposed Rule, 10 those costs fall to $1,187, $178, and $222. The existing Rule shows some consistency as 11 development size increaes; the proposed Rule is totally inconsistent beteen ver small Page 27 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 1 and larger developments, and attempts to force the new customer to fully capitalize these 2 costs, contr to long-standing utility costg principles. 3 Q.What do you recommend? 4 A.For reans stated above, I recommend the Commission require that terinal facilities be 5 provided and included in rate base, as they were prior to IPC-E-95-18. I fuer 6 recmmend that the per-lot refud for line extensions be raised to $ 1000 per lot and 7 indexed to the GDP implicit price deflator, adjusted anually togeter with the PCA 8 mechansm between gener rate cases. 9 Following my earlier analysis, it is wholly apropriate that new plant intruce 10 into rate bas be costed at a level slightly higher than cuent embedded cost, as would be 11 accomplished by adoption of my recommendations. Ths practice will caus additional 12 plant to be priced at a level comparble to replacement plant, appropriately reflect the 13 economic value of new plant to the sysem and to all rate payers, and avoid the 14 discrination inherent in the Company's proposal. 15 Q.Does the Company provide quatitative support for its proposal that terinal facilties 16 plus an allowance be replaced by a flat $1780 per trsformer? 17 A.No, it does not. For that reaon, and the reasons stated above, ths proposal should be 18 rejected, in favor of the practice prior to the IPC-E-95-18 cae. 19 Q.What do you recommend for general overhead? Page 28 Richar A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 . . 1 A.Overhead is an extremely diffcult area to analyze without a full audit of the CompanY'$ 2 opeations. I do not have a specific recmmendation. There are many areas of the 3 Compay's operations that have ver little to do with line extensions: generl corprate 4 opertions, generting and transmission plant, biling and receivables management, 5 power purchases and sales, and other. Engineeng is already included at cost; cerainly 6 some management, secretaral, offce, inventory, and other costs ar appropriate. So 7 while the existing overhead rate of 1.5% may be too low, adopting a company-wide rate S on an arbitr basis would appear to be excessive. It would also, pending the next 9 generl rate cae, cause double collection of those costs. 10 Q. 11 12 A. 13 14 15 16 17 is 19 20 21 How important is ths issue to Idaho Power's other ratepayer? How much presu do distrbution costs from new constrction place on rates? Not ver much, parcularly in today's economy. Residential growt has bee slowing, falling from a high of 4.0% in 2005 to just under 1 % in 200S, makng ths issue sometng less than urgent. There were 3,736 new residential customer in 2OOS. Assuming that each represents a new lot on which an $Soo was refuded, plus apprximately $3000 pe transformer, that totas just under $3 milion of new di$trbution cost, out of $445 milion of residential distrbution plant (0.9%), or of$1.5 bilion of total plant (0.27%). In fact, many of the new customer are in high~enity aparent blocks, reducing costs significantly. The impact on averge retail rates could not be more than $.06 x .01, or six-tenths of one mil, rather smaller than the 3% inflation experenced in the rest of the economy. Page 29 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Assocation of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-OS-22 1 Table 2 Idao Power Residential customer, en of year 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 200 2001 2002 2003 200 2005 2006 2007 2008 2 Cutomer 281,792 291,116 299,696 308,432 318,896 326,922 335,285 344,447 354,704 366,218 380,952 393,338 400,637 404,373 Added 8,596 9,324 8,580 8,736 10,464 8,026 8,363 9,162 10,257 11,514 14,734 12,386 7,299 3,736 % grwth 3.1% 3.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7010 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9% Source: IPCo Respnse to BCA First Producton Reques page 42 3 Q.The Company proposes that to reduce administrative costs the tie allowed for vested 4 interest refuds should be reduced frm five year to four. Can you support that 5 proposal? 6 A.No. The Company's proposal would appea to be based on the assered diffculty of 7 maintaining curent addresses for develope beyond a ver short time period. To fuer S reuce the perod for recover of vested interts is arbitr and inappopriately 9 designed for the need. 10 Q.Do you propose an alterative method? 11 A.Yes.. In today's economic environment, with grwt substatially slowed, the recver 12 perod should not be reduced, but expanded. In my opinon, a ten-year perod would Page 30 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-OS-22 . c 1 more appropriately track the connecion of new customer with distrbution facilities. 2 Ther is no reason that the Company's accounting canot track the accounts for that 3 perod oftime. 4 Q.How do you propose to handle the problem of missing addresses or contact information? 5 A.That burden could be shifted frm the Company to the owner of the vested interest. The 6 contract creating the vested interest might simply require the developer or other owner to 7 maintain cuent contact information with the Company. The Compay could then be S relieved of its refuding obligation after a reanable peod dung which a vested 9 interest owner did not have valid information on fie with the Company. 10 Q.Does ths complete your testimony? 11 A.Yes, it does. Page 31 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contrctors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-OS-22 . , BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-3-08-22 BUILDING CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHWST IDAHO SLAUGHTER, RICHAR EXHIBIT NO. 201 Cost of Growth Example Cost of Growth Example Yea-~1 2 3 4 5 Inv.~Inv.Depr.Inv.Depr.Inv.~Inv.~ Cutome 1 100 25 25 25 25 100 25 Cusom 2 100 25 25 25 25 Customer 3 100 25 25 25 Customer 4 100 25 25 Tot 100 25 100 50 100 75 100 100 100 100 Averge 25 25 25 25 25 Anua investmen an deiation co for four cusomrs over five yea. Investment for eah customer is $100, witafour.yealife. Exhibit 201 Dire Tesmony ofRichan Slaughter (BCA) IPUC Cas No. IPC-E-08-22 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-3-08-22 BUILDING CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHWST IDAHO SLAUGHTER, RICHAR EXHIBIT NO. 202 Comparison of Existing and Proposed Rule H Cost Distribution Co m p a r i s o n o f E x i s t i n g a n d P r o p o s e d R u l e H C o s t D i s t r i b u t i o n Ex i s t i n g R u l e H Pr o p o s e d R u l e H No . o f L o t s Pr o j e c t Te r m i n a l Ma x i m u m To t a l To t a l Te r m i n a l Ma x m u m To t a To t a l Co s t Fa c i l t i e s Re f u n d Cu s t o m e r Co m p a n y Fa c i l t i e s Re f u n d Cu s t o m e r Co m p a n y Al l o w a n c e Al l o w a n c e 3 $1 0 , 8 9 7 $3 , 4 9 3 $2 , 4 0 0 $5 , 0 0 4 $5 , 8 9 3 $3 , 5 6 0 $0 $7 , 3 3 7 $3 , 5 6 0 10 $1 9 , 9 2 9 $3 , 3 9 7 $8 , 0 0 0 $8 , 5 3 2 $1 1 , 3 9 7 $1 , 7 8 0 $0 $1 8 , 1 4 9 $1 , 7 8 0 32 $5 0 , 4 3 2 $1 1 , 4 9 6 $2 5 , 6 0 0 $1 3 , 3 3 6 $3 7 , 0 9 6 $7 , 1 2 0 $0 $4 3 , 3 1 2 $7 , 1 2 0 So u r c e : I d a h o P o w e r C o m p a n y ' s R e s p o n s e t o B C A p r o d u c t o n r e q u e s t , P a g e 5 Ex h i b i t 20 2 Di r e c T e s t i m o n y o f Ri c h a d S l a u g h t e r ( B C A ) IP U C C a s N o . I P C - E - Q S - 2 2 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMSSION CASE NO. IPC-3-08-22 BUILDING CONTRCTORS ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHWST IDAHO SLAUGHTER, RICHA EXHIBIT NO. 203 NAHD Calculation of Households Priced Out of a Market B' CitN ID MSA Ho hol that ca Afor to B H Wh P' Deroisampaenuyaousnneeines Mohly Taxes Minimum Houehds Morage Hose Morte and Ince That Can Ara Rate Pri Paymen Insurance Need Aford House Bo Cltmpa, 10 MSA 5.00"0 $214,99 $1,093 $172 $5,186 107,374 Boise Cit-Nmpa,IO MSA 5.00%$215,99 $1,098 $173 $5,43 106,836 Diference $1.00 $5 $1 $252 -536 Calculation assume a 10% do payment an a 45 bais pont fee for pnvae mogae insuranc. A Houhod Qualifes for a Mortage if Moga Payments, Taxe, and Insurance are 28% of Inco Boise CitNamp ID MS Household Incme Dlsbution fo 208 Incoe Range:Housds Cuative $0 to $10,397 11.33 11,33 $10,398 to $15,596 11,711 23.041 $15,597 to $2,79 9,472 32,513 $20,796 to $25,99 13,951 46.46 $25,99 to $31,192 15,471 61,93 $31.193 to $3391 13,703 75,637 $36,392 to $41,590 13,535 89.173 $41,591 to $4,789 11,839 101,012 $46,790 to $51,98 11.60 112,615 $51,989 to $6,386 22,186 134,801 $62,387 to $77,98 25,86 160,46 $77,98 to $103,977 26,465 186,931 $103,978 to $129,972 14,88 201.14 $129,973 to $155,98 7,717 20,531 $155,967 to $27,95 7,03 216,56 $207,956 to Mo 8,112 224,677 Exhibit 203 Di Tesmony of Richa Slaughter (BCA) IPUC Cas No. IPC-E-oS-22 Natonal Association of Hom Builders, bas on data from th 2007 Amercan Communit Survey, U.S. Cesus Bueau. ~NA Determing the Number of Household Priced Out of a Market The issue of hous price changes and thei impa on affordabilty arse in a numbe of contexts, such as when considerg policies that impose fee on new constcton. A relatively stghtforward approach often used by NAHB to analyze ths sitution is basd on mortgage underting standar. Under those stadas, it is relatively eay to caculate the number of housholds that ca quaify for a mortgage before an incras in a reentative home price, but not afterar. The differc.e is the number of households that are 'prced out' of the maret fora reptative home. A priced out analysis doen't answer all possble quetions about impa on housing marets, such as what the differce in home saes or housing sta would be. Although these ar important quesons, a renable attempt to answer them reui estimates of key ecnomic pareter such as the willingness of housholds to acct homes that ar somewhat smaller or have fewer amenties to achieve afordailty, the relationsips among differt seents of the housing market in question, and the adjustments builders mae in the proucts they offer in repons to chaged affordability conditions on the rise. Goo. estiates of thes paeter ar seldom available. In comparson, a priced out analysis that simply shows how many housholds in an ar crss a parcular afordabilty thold is relatively eay to undertad and can be caculated in a stghtforward maner using da tht ar available for any housing market in the U.S. According to the Amercan Housing Surey (which is fice by HU and conducted ever other year by the U.S. Cens Bureau), only about one-fift of home buyer purhase thei homes for cash. Thus, affordability for most prospecve buyer is tied tightly to abilty to qualify for a mortgage, and mortgage underting stadards prvide a resonable basis for estimatig affrdabilty. Indee in the ret ecnomic envionment charerzed by many fiancial institutions trng to rever frm pat errrs in jugment, lender have beome ver conserative and ar more likely th ever to apply conventiona underting stadar with litte flexibilty. Stadads to quaify fora mortgage are tyically expres as a frcton of prospecve buyer' income. One common standar is based on what the indutr cals a "frnt end ratio"-the pecetage of income tht would be consumed by paying principal and in interest on the mortgage, as well as prope taes and prper insurce. The front end ratio ca eaily be computed for a se of asumptions about the mortgage and houshold income. The assumptions NAHB tyicaly us in "prce-out" computations ar a downpayment equa to 10 pet of the purchas price and a 3O-yea fixed rate mortgage. For a loan with ths downpayment, lender would tyically require mortgage insurce, so NAH also assumes an anua prum of 45 basis points for private mortgage insuce. Local information about prpe taes and prope ince pe dollar of home value can be coputed fr the Censu Burea's most ret (2007) Amercan Community Survey (ACS) data. Deled 2007 income distrbutions for all states an metpolita area ar also available frm the ACS. NAHB makes relatively minor adjusents to the ACS incoe distrbutions to accunt for income and population change that may have occed since 2007. Dollar boundares of the income distbution ar adjusted based on peentage chages in the median famly income esates tht HUD produce anualy for all states and metopolita ar. The numbe of households in eah income bracket is adjusted using the 200-2007 peentage change in the number of households rerted in the ACS, assuing that this household growth rate applies evenly acss all income brackets rate in the peod after 2007. BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-3-08-22 BUILDING CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHWST IDAHO SLAUGHTER, RICHA EXHIBIT NO. 204 Idaho Power Company's Alocation of Distribution Rate Base . . Dis t r i b u t i n R a t e B a s e p e C u s t o m e r Id a h o P o w e r C o m p a n y Al l o c a t i o n o f D i s t r b u t i o n R a t e B a s e Ca s e N o . I P e - E ~ 0 8 - 1 0 a 20 0 8 T e s t Y e a l " Re s i d e n t i a l Sm a l l G e n e r a l La r g e G e n e r a l La r g e G e n e r a l Se r v i c e Se r i c e Se r v i c e Se r v I c e Pr i m a i y . Se c n d a r y (1 ) (7 ) (9 . P ) (9 - S ) $ 63 , 3 6 , 3 3 9 $ 2, 2 5 3 . 9 1 1 $ 3, 6 3 6 , 4 1 5 $ 31 , 5 7 0 , 1 4 9 13 8 , 6 2 7 , 3 9 8 8. 1 1 8 , 3 4 2 3, 8 2 9 , 6 4 7 37 , 9 4 8 , 8 1 7 21 , 7 3 7 , 9 1 0 1, 2 7 3 , 2 2 60 0 . 5 2 0 5, 9 5 0 , 6 8 5 94 , 5 6 3 , 9 2 7 5. 4 0 0 , 6 6 2, 3 3 4 , 7 9 5 27 , 2 2 6 , 3 4 7 38 , 3 7 9 , 0 4 6 2, 0 7 9 , 8 0 3 1. 8 0 9 . 6 4 1 12 , 1 4 4 , 1 4 0 13 , 9 6 7 , 2 9 5 1, 2 1 6 , 1 4 5 26 . 3 6 2 1, 1 8 4 , 1 1 0 21 , 8 3 4 , 4 2 4 S, 3 9 , 1 1 8 78 0 , 7 9 8 11 . 8 0 0 , 5 3 7 4, 0 5 7 2 $ 39 2 , 4 7 4 , 3 3 $ 24 , 1 8 1 , 0 0 $ 13 . 0 2 , 2 3 7 $ 12 7 , 8 2 4 . 7 8 5 39 1 , 5 2 5 31 , 1 7 1 14 6 26 . 7 0 2 $ 1. 0 0 2 $ 77 6 $ 89 , 1 9 3 $ 4, 7 8 7 RA T E B A E - D l S T R I B U T I O N Su b s t a o n s - G e n e r a l Li n e - P r i m a r Lin e T r a n s f o r m e r s - P r i m a i y Li n e T r a o r m e r s - S e c n d a r Li n e s . s e n d a i y Se r v i c e s Me t e r s St r t l i g h t s Ot h e r I n s t a l l a t i o n s a t C u s t o m e r s ' P r e m i s e s To t a Av e r a g e N u m b e r o f C u s t m e r s .N (a ) D i s t r b u t i o n - r e l a t e d r a t e b a s e v a l u e s c a b e f o u n d o n E x h i b i t N o . 5 5 , pa g e 1 o f 5 . C a s e N o . I P c - ' - - 1 0 . (b ) C u s t m e r n u m b e c a n b e f o u n d o n E x i b i t N o . 7 8 . p a g e 1 o f 1 , C a s e N o . J P C - E - 0 1 0 . Ex h i b i t 20 4 Di r T e s t i o n y o f l U c h S l a u g h t e r ( S C A ) IP U C C a s N o . I P C ~ E - 0 8 - 2 2 ~ CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby cerfy that on the 17th day of April, 2009, a tre and correct copy of the foregoing was sered upon the following individual(s) by the mean indicated: Jean D. Jewell, Secretar Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington Strt P.O. Box 83720 Boise, Idaho 83720-0074 Lisa D. Nordstrom Baron L. Kline Idaho Power Company POBox 70 Boise,ID 83707-0070 Inordstrom(ßidahooower.com bkline(ßidahooower.com Scott Sparks Gregory W. Said Idaho Power Company POBox 70 Boise, ID 83707-0070 ssparks(ßidahopower.com gsaid(ßidahopower.com Krstine A. Sasse Deputy Attorney General Idaho Public Utilities Commssion 472 W. Washington POBox 83720 Boise,ID 83720-0074 krs.sasser(ßpuc.idaho. gov Origial Filed: Servce Copies: U.s. Mail, postage prepid Express Mail Hand Deliver Facsimile Electonic Mail U.S. Mail, postage prepd Express Mail Hand Deliver Facsimile Electonic Mail U.S. Mail, postage prepaid Express Mail Hand Deliver Facsimile Eleconic Mail U.S. Mail, postage prepaid Express Mail Hand Deliver Facsimile Electonic Mail Page 41 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22 Matthew A. Johnson Davis F. VanderVelde White, Peteron, Gigray, Rossman, Nye & Nichols, P.A. 5700 E. Frain Rd., Ste. 200 Nampa, in 83687 mjohnnaywhitepetern.com dvandereldeaywhitepeteron.com Attorneys for The City of Nampa and The Association of Canyon County Highway Distrcts Michael Kur Kur J. Boehm Boehm, Kur & Lowr 36 E. Seventh St., Ste. 1510 Cincinnati, OH 45202 mkcqKLlawfirm.com KboehmayBKLlawfirm.com Attorneys for The Kroeger Co. Kevin Higgins Energy Strategies, LLC Parside Tower 215 S. State St., Ste. 200 Salt Lae City, UT 841 i 1 khgginsaygenergystrat.com Representing The Kroeger Co. u.s. Mail, postage prepaid Express Mail Hand Deliver Facsimile Eleconic Mail u.s. Mail, postage prepaid Express Mail Hand Deliver Facsimile Electronic Mail U.S. Mail, postage preaid Expres Mail Hand Deliver Facsimile Electronic Mail Page 42 Richard A. Slaughter Building Contractors Association of Southwest Idaho Case No. IPC-E-08-22