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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20090831Answer to ICIP Motion to Compel.pdfBARTON L. KLINE Lead Counsel 1SIDA~POR~ An IDACORP Company August 28, 2009 VIA HAND DELIVERY Jean D. Jewell, Secretary Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington Street P.O. Box 83720 Boise, Idaho 83720-0074 Re: Case No. IPC-E-09-03 LANGLEY GULCH POWER PLANT Dear Ms. Jewell: Enclosed for filing are an original and seven (7) copies of Idaho Power Company's Answer to the Industrial Customers' of Idaho Power's Motion to Compel in the above matter. Very truly yours,~~ Barton L. Kline BLK:csb Enclosures P.O. Box 70 (83707) 1221 W. Idaho St. Boise. ID 83702 BARTON L. KLINE (ISB No. 1526) LISA D. NORDSTROM (ISB No. 5733) Idaho Power Company P.O. Box 70 Boise, Idaho 83707 Telephone: 208-388-2682 Facsimile: 208-388-6936 bkline((idahopower.com Inordstrom((idahopower.com Idaho PU~/ic Utilities Commission Office of the Secretary RECEIVED AUG 282009 Boise, IdahoAttorneys for Idaho Power Company Street Address for Express Mail: 1221 West Idaho Street Boise, Idaho 83702 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR A CERTIFICATE OF PUBLIC CONVENIENCE AND NECESSITY FOR THE LANGLEY GULCH POWER PLANT. ) ) CASE NO. IPC-E-09-03 ) ) IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ) ANSWER TO THE INDUSTRIAL ) CUSTOMERS' MOTION TO COMPEL ) COMES NOW, Idaho Power Company ("Idaho Powet' or "Company") and, in accordance with RP 057, answers the Motion to Compel filed by the Industrial Customers of Idaho Power ("ICIP") on August 21, 2009. ICIP's Motion to Compel is based on several faulty assumptions and should be denied. 1. ICIP's Motion to Compel incorrectly characterizes the record regarding what, if any, role the Company's 2009 annual load forecast should play in the Commission's consideration of a Certificate for Public Convenience and Necessity ("CPCN") for Langley Gulch. In its Motion, ICIP asserts that during the July 2009 IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ANSWER TO THE INDUSTIRAL CUSTOMERS' MOTION TO COMPEL - 1 technical hearing, the Company promised to file the updated economic forecast with the Commission prior to the Commission completing its deliberation in this docket. (Motion to Compel, p. 1.) ICIP's assertion is not correct. During the July 2009 hearing, Idaho Power offered to expedite the completion of the 2009 annual forecast and provide the 2009 annual load forecast to the Commission for use in its deliberations in this case if the Commission desired the Company to do so. The conditional nature of the offer by the Company is confirmed in the portion of Mr. Gale's testimony quoted on page 2 of ICIP's Motion to CompeL. The tension is the timing of information that can preclude that from happening. One of the key pieces of information as I detect the Commissioner questions is what's this August load forecast going to show and what is the resource balance resulting from it, and I would represent to you if it's the Commission's desire that we would provide that to you during the process of your deliberations, to the other parties as well, so it would be at least one additional piece of information when you're trying to make a decision on 2012 or not and i that that's the implication it has. (Emphasis added.) Tr.1208. The Motion to Compel assumes that the Commission has expressed a desire to supplement the record in this case to include the 2009 annual load forecast. That assumption is incorrect. On July 28, 2009, the Commission sent an information request to the Company. The Commission's information request specifically referred to Mr. Gale's offer to provide post-hearing evidence. In its July 28,2009, information request, the Commission requested data concerning actual weather normalized monthly energy sales data from August 2008 through July 2009. It also asked the Company to provide the August 2008, December 2008, and May 2009 monthly energy forecasts that were IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ANSWER TO THE INDUSTIRAL CUSTOMERS' MOTION TO COMPEL - 2 made for 2009 for conditions of 50 percent load probabilty. The Company provided the requested information on August 11, 2009. Copies of the Commission's information request and the Company's response to that information request are enclosed as Attachment Nos. 1 and 2 to this Answer. If the Commission believed it was necessary to supplement the record in this case to include the 2009 annual load forecast, it certainly could have made that a part of its production request. It did not. 2. ICIP's production request is unreasonably late. ICIP argues on pages 1 and 2 of its Motion to Compel that because the Company did not object to the Commission's July 28, 2009, production request, precedent had been set and ICIP should be allowed to pursue post-hearing discovery. ICIP incorrectly characterized the Commission's July 28, 2009, information request as coming from the Commission Staff. (Page 1, Motion to CompeL.) Attachment No. 1 clearly shows that the information request is coming directly from the Commission, not the Staff. It is also directed strictly to evidence already in the record in this case. As a result, contrary to ICIP's argument, the July 28, 2009, information request from the Commission did not reopen the record in this case to allow for additional discovery. As the Company noted in its objection to ICIP's production request, the Commission's Notice of Scheduling issued in this case on April 20, 2009, established a June 5, 2009, cut-off on production requests. 3. On the bottom of page 3 of its Motion to Compel, the ICIP states, "Since the Company no longer intends to update its forecasts, the urgency in delaying a decision is underscored, especially given the fact that the Company is poised to release its 2009 forecast shortly after the Commission's final order is issued." ICIP's Motion IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ANSWER TO THE INDUSTIRAL CUSTOMERS' MOTION TO COMPEL - 3 indicates that it does not understand how the Company updates its load forecasts. It is true that the Company intends to release its 2009 annual load forecast in the very near future. The 2009 annual load forecast wil be used in the preparation of the Company's 2009 Integrated Resource Plan ("I RP"), which wil be fied with the Commission by the end of the year. As Company witness Gale noted in his response to a question by Commissioner Smith during the technical hearing, the annual 2009 load forecast is the first foundational step in putting together the Company's IRP. (Tr. 1232.) Idaho Power will initially distribute copies of the load forecast used to prepare the 2009 IRP to the members of its Integrated Resource Plan Advisory Council ("IRPAC") for their review and comment prior to its final inclusion in the IRP document. In fact, the Company intends to provide the IRPAC with the 2009 annual load forecast results today or Monday. ICIP's conclusion that the Company is not updating its load forecast is simply incorrect. The Company is updating its load forecast but it is doing so within the IRP process, in the same manner it always does. 4. As the Company noted in its Objection to ICIP's production request, the Commission already has substantial, competent evidence in the record in this case to make a determination as to whether or not it wil issue a CPCN for the Langley Gulch project. The record in this case shows that the Company's May 2009 load forecast is a reasonable forecast of future loads that can be relied upon to support issuance of a CPCN for Langley Gulch. ICIP has already stated that it and the other Intervenors have no intention of accepting the 2009 annual load forecast if it shows that a resource like Langley Gulch is needed in 2012 or later. (Joint Motion to Renew Request for Stay, p. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ANSWER TO THE INDUSTIRAL CUSTOMERS' MOTION TO COMPEL - 4 10.) It should also be noted that the ICIP and the Irrigation Pumpers Association presented testimony from three expert witnesses criticizing the Company's load forecasts. But neither Intervenor presented its own load forecast. In the final analysis, about the only thing we know for sure about any load forecast is that it is probably going to be incorrect in some respects and that it wil be followed by another load forecast. Time-consuming discovery on the 2009 annual load forecast is not going to change that. For all of these reasons, Idaho Power respectfully request that the Commission deny ICIP's Motion to CompeL. DATED this 28th day of August 2009. ~~BARTO L. KLINE Attorney for Idaho Power Company IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ANSWER TO THE INDUSTIRAL CUSTOMERS' MOTION TO COMPEL - 5 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY that on this 28th day of August 2009 I served a true and correct copy of the within and foregoing document IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ANSWER TO THE INDUSTRIAL CUSTOMERS' MOTION TO COMPEL upon the following named parties by the method indicated below, and addressed to the following: Commission Staff Scott Woodbury Deputy Attomey General Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington P.O. Box 83720 Boise, Idaho 83720-0074 Industrial Customers of Idaho Power and Northwest and Intermountain Power Producers Coalition Peter J. Richardson, Esq. RICHARDSON & O'LEARY PLLC 515 North 27th Street P.O. Box 7218 Boise, Idaho 83702 Dr. Don Reading Ben Johnson Associates 6070 Hil Road Boise, Idaho 83703 Snake River Allance Ken Miler Snake River Allance P.O. Box 1731 Boise, Idaho 83701 Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association, Inc. Eric L. Olsen RACINE, OLSON, NYE, BUDGE & BAILEY, CHARTERED P.O. Box 1391 201 East Center Pocatello, Idaho 83204-1391 -. Hand Delivered U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email Scott.Woodburv((puc.idaho.gov Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email peter((richardsonandoleary.com Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email dreading((mindspring.com Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email kmiller((snakeriverallance.org Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email elo((racinelaw.net IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ANSWER TO THE INDUSTIRAL CUSTOMERS' MOTION TO COMPEL - 6 Anthony Yankel Yankel & Associates, Inc. 29814 Lake Road Bay Vilage, Ohio 44140 Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email tony((yankel.net Idaho Conservation League Betsy Bridge Idaho Conservation League 710 North Sixth Street P.O. Box 844 Boise, Idaho 83701 Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email bbridge((wildidaho.org Northwest and Intermountain Power Producers Coalition Susan K. Ackerman 9883 NW Nottage Drive Portland, Oregon 97229 Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email Susan.k.ackerman((comcast.net Community Action Partnership Association Of Idaho Brad M. Purdy Attorney at Law 2019 North 1 ¡th Street Boise, Idaho 83702 Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email bmpurdy((hotmail.com in~ Barton L. Kline IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ANSWER TO THE INDUSTIRAL CUSTOMERS' MOTION TO COMPEL - 7 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTiliTIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-09-03 IDAHO POWER COMPANY ATTACHMENT NO.1 Bearry, Christa Cc: Subject: Brenda Sorrell (Brenda.Sorrelicæpuc.idaho.gov) Tuesday, July 28, 2009 2:41 PM Kline, Bart; Betsy Bridge; Brad Purdy; Don Reading; Eric Olsen; Ken Miler; Pete Richardson; Robert Kahn; Scott Woodbury; Susan Ackerman; Tony Yankel Scott Woodbury Commission Information Request -- Case No. IPC-E-09-03 From: Sent: To: Bart Kline Lisa Nordstrom Idaho Power Company PO Box 70 Boise, ID 83707-0070 Re: Case No. IPC-E-09-03 (Langley Gulch) Commission Information Request As per Commission request and as a follow-up to an offer of evidence at hearing by Company witness Ric Gale, please provide weather normalized monthly energy sales from August 2008 through July 2009. In addition, please provide the August 2008, December 2008, and May 2009 monthly energy forecasts that were made for 2009 for conditions of 50% load probability. Include a brief narrative to describe and discuss the data. Brenda Sorrell Legal Administrative Assistant (208) 334-0324 brenda.sorrellt&puc.idaho.gov CONFIDENTIAITY NOTICE: Ths e-mai message is for the sole use of the intended recipient(s) and may contai information that is privieged, confidential and exempt from public disclosure under applicable law. If you are not the intended recipient, any review, disclosure, copyig or distrbution is strictly prohibited and may be unawf. If you have received ths e-mai in error, please notify the sender by reply, then imediately delete and destroy al copies of ths e-mai. Thank you. i BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-09-03 IDAHO POWER COMPANY ATTACHMENT NO.2 BARTON L. KLINE, IS8 #1526 LISA D. NORDSTROM, ISB #5733 Idaho Power Company P.O. Box 70 Boise, Idaho 83707 Telephone: 208-388-2682 Facsimile: 208-388-6936 bklinecæidahopower.com Inordstromcæidahopower.com Attorneys for Idaho Power Company Street Address for Express Mail: 1221 West Idaho Street Boise, Idaho 83702 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S APPLICATION FOR A CERTIFICATE OF PUBLIC CONVENIENCE AND NECESSITY FOR THE LANGLEY GULCH POWER PLANT. ) ) CASE NO. IPC-E-D9-D3 ) ) IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S ) RESPONSE TO THE COMMISSION'S ) POST-HEARING INFORMATION ) REQUEST COMES NOW, Idaho Power Company ("Idaho Powet' or lithe Company"), and in response to the Commission's July 28, 2009, post-hearing information request, herewith submits the following information: IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S RESPONSE TO THE COMMISSION'S POST-HEARING INFORMATION REQUEST-1 REQUEST: As per Commission request and as a follow-up to an offer of evidence at hearing by Company witness Ric Gale, please provide weather normalized monthly energy sales from August 2008 through July 2009. In addition, please provide the August 2008, December 2008, and May 2009 monthly energy forecasts that were made for 2009 conditions of 50% load probabilty. Include a brief narrative to describe and discuss the data. RESPONSE TO REQUEST: The requested information is enclosed and includes: 1. Weather Normalized Energy Sales - January 2008 through July 2009; 2. Sales Forecast - August 2008; 3. Sales Forecast - December 2008; and 4. Sales Forecast - May 2009. Idaho Power prepares an annual load forecast. It is used for several different purposes, including resource planning, financial forecasting, and preparation of the Operating Plan for risk management purposes. During the course of a year, the load forecast may be updated to account for new information and material changes. In Mr. Bokenkamp's testimony in this case, he discussed the three load forecasts that are presented in this Response. The earliest of the three forecasts, the August 2008 forecast, was used to start the preparation of the 2009 IRP, which wil be filed by the end of this year. The December 2008 forecast is an update to the August 2008 forecast that was performed in response to the deteriorating conditions that were becoming evident in the Company's service area at that time. The December 2008 update adjusted the IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S RESPONSE TO THE COMMISSION'S POST-HEARING INFORMATION REQUEST - 2 residential and commercial sector to reflect a prolonged slowdown in housing and consumer spending. Residential new customer growth rates (initially forecasted to decline until the first quarter of 2009) were extended to continue the decline into 2010 and later rebound to the point of the original new customer forecast in 2016. Commercial customer growth counts were lowered based on a model driven by residential customer growth. Because economic conditions continued to degrade, the Company penormed another update to its load forecast in May of 2009. This update addressed the forecast -' loads for special contract customers. In this update, the load forecast was reduced again, with the largest reductions (94 aMW and 97 MW during peak hours) occurring in late 2009. Load forecasts are generally differentiated to reflect a range of load uncertainty due. to weather. The three case load forecasts prescribed in this Response assume median temperatures and median precipitation, i.e., there is a 50 percent chance that loads wil be higher or lower than the expected case loads due to colder-than-median or hotter-than-median temperatures or wetter-than-median or dryer-than-median precipitation. The weather normalized energy sales and forecast energy sales in each of the three sales forecasts are reported in megawatthours ("MWhs"). In addition, the weather normalized energy sales and energy sales in the three forecasts are sales that occur on a billing month basis and do not include line losses. The Company's weather- adjustment model adjusts actual biling month electricity sales for abnormal weather, IDAHO POWER COMPAN'S RESPONSE TO THE COMMISSION'S POST-HEARING INFORMATION REQUEST - 3 and the resulting weather-adjusted billed sales are the most accurate data to compare to forecast data to measure forecast accuracy. Weather-adjusted sales for July 2009 were just 18,191 MWh (24 aMW) lower than predicted in the May 2009 forecast, a 1.3 percent difference. In addition, the May 2009 forecast included 6,696 MWh in July 2009 for Hoku Materials, Inc. ("Hoku"), a customer that has recently reconsidered their initial ramp-up schedule and are now expected to begin operation in December of 2009. Excluding Hoku, the July 2009 forecast would have only been 0.8 percent higher than the July 2009 weather adjusted sales figure. Excluding Hoku, the December 2008 and August 2008 forecasts would have only been 1.7 percent and 2.3 percent, respectively, higher than the July 2009 weather adjusted sales figure. The recession that began in December 2007 turned out to be far more severe than expected. As a result, each successive Idaho Power load forecast was lowered as economic conditions worsened. The recession also caused the delay in the rollout plans that Hoku had originally planned. Conditions also changed at Micron Technology and their loads contracted by 30 percent. The national economy is now bottoming and the latest economic forecasts project that the reession wil be over by late this year. With the recession nearing its end, the economic growth prospects for southern Idaho are good. The response to this Request was prepared by Barr Smith, Planning Analyst, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline, Lead Counsel, Idaho Power Company. IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S RESPONSE TO THE COMMISSION'S POST-HEARING INFORMATION REQUEST-4 DATED at Boise, Idaho, this 11" day of A~c9 BARTON L. KLINE Attorney for Idaho Power Company IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S RESPONSE TO THE COMMISSION'S POST-HEARING INFORMATION REQUEST - 5 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY that on this 11th day of August 2009 I served a true and correct copy of IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S RESPONSE TO THE COMMISSION'S POST-HEARING INFORMATION REQUEST upon the following named parties by the method indicated below, and addressed to the following: Commission Staff Scott Woodbury Deputy Attomey General Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington P.O. Box 83720 Boise, Idaho 83720-0074 Industrial Customers of Idaho Power and Northwest and Intermountain Power Producers Coalition Peter J. Richardson, Esq. RICHARDSON & O'LEARY PLLC 515 North 27th Street P.O. Box 7218 Boise, Idaho 83702 Dr. Don Reading Ben Johnson Associates 6070 Hil Road Boise, Idaho 83703 Snake River Alliance Ken Miler Snake River Allance P.O. Box 1731 Boise, Idaho 83701 Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association, Inc. Eric L. Olsen RACINE, OLSON, NYE, BUDGE & BAILEY, CHARTERED P.O. Box 1391 201 East Center Pocatello, Idaho 83204-1391 -. Hand Delivered U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -X Email Scott.Woodburypuc.idaho.gov Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -. Email peter(grichardsonandoleary.com Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Ovemight Mail FAX -. Email dreading(gmindspring.com Hand Delivered -. U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -- Email kmilertsnakeriverallance.org Hand Delivered -. u.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -l Email eloCcracinelaw.net IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S RESPONSE TO THE COMMISSION'S POST-HEARING INFORMATION REQUEST - 6 Anthony Yankel Yankel & Associates, Inc. 29814 Lake Road Bay Vilage, Ohio 44140 Hand Delivered -2 u.s. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX i. Email tony(âankel.net Idaho Conservation League Betsy Bridge Idaho Conservation League 710 North Sixth Street P.O. Box 844 Boise, Idaho 83701 Hand Delivered -X U.S. Mail _ Ovemight Mail FAX i. Email bbridgetæwildidaho.org Northwest and Intermountain Power Producers Coalition Susan K. Ackerman 9883 NW Nottage Drive Portland, Oregon 97229 Hand Delivered -2 U.S. Mail _ Ovemight Mail FAX i. Email Susan.k.ackermantæcomcast.net Community Action Partnership Association Of Idaho Brad M. Purdy Attomey at Law 2019 North 17th Street Boise, Idaho 83702 Hand Delivered -- U.S. Mail _ Overnight Mail FAX -X Email bmpurdytæhotmail.com ~/tL Barton L. Kline IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S RESPONSE TO THE COMMISSION'S POST-HEARING INFORMATION REQUEST - 7 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-09-03 IDAHO POWER COMPANY RESPONSE TO COMMISSION'S POST-HEARING INFORMATION REQUEST We a t h e r A d j u s t e d S a l e s (m e g a w a t t h o u r s ) Mi c r o n Si m p l o t Re s i d e n t i a l Co m m e r c i a l Ir r i g a t i o n In d u s t r i a l Te c h n o l o g y Fe r t i l z e r IN L Ra f t Riv e r HO K U To t a l Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 8 60 4 , 1 0 1 35 0 , 9 8 5 1, 5 7 5 20 3 , 2 4 0 56 , 9 7 9 16 , 9 4 9 23 , 8 9 8 6, 2 3 2 0 1, 2 6 3 , 9 6 0 Fe b r u a r y 2 0 0 8 55 9 , 0 9 3 33 9 , 6 3 0 1, 3 7 4 20 1 , 0 7 4 53 , 3 4 9 15 , 8 2 3 21 , 8 S 0 5, 2 9 4 0 1, 1 9 7 , 4 8 7 Ma r c h 2 0 0 8 47 4 , 6 5 6 31 9 , 7 2 8 1, 6 0 5 18 3 , 2 5 3 S6 , 4 1 2 16 , 4 7 4 19 , 4 1 3 5, 1 6 0 ° 1, 0 7 6 , 6 9 9 Ap r i l 2 0 0 S 40 6 , 0 4 7 30 6 , 7 2 7 17 , 7 4 3 18 3 , 0 9 3 54 , 1 2 6 15 , 9 7 9 16 , 1 2 7 4, 5 8 6 ° 1, 0 0 4 , 4 2 8 Ma y 20 0 8 34 4 , 7 0 6 29 3 , 9 4 2 13 2 , 6 4 6 18 5 , 9 0 7 S6 , 4 8 1 13 , 8 4 2 17 , 3 5 2 4, 4 1 1 0 1, 0 4 9 , 2 8 7 Ju n e 2 0 0 8 33 1 , 0 7 6 31 3 , 4 0 3 29 7 , 3 1 5 19 1 , 5 8 1 55 , 3 0 1 10 , 9 5 1 15 , 4 3 5 4, 2 0 4 0 1, 2 1 9 , 2 6 5 Ju l y 2 0 0 8 37 3 , 3 7 8 33 7 , 3 2 1 42 9 , 1 6 0 19 4 , 4 0 9 58 , 1 0 9 14 , 8 0 5 16 , 3 1 8 4, 3 6 4 0 1, 4 2 7 , 8 6 3 Au g u s t 2 0 0 8 42 9 , 9 6 3 35 3 , 0 8 2 42 8 , 3 7 6 20 0 , 3 7 5 57 , 8 4 4 16 , 0 1 0 16 , 5 5 9 4, 2 4 6 0 1, S 0 6 , 4 5 2 Se p t e m b e r 2 0 0 8 39 7 , 3 5 1 34 8 , 8 4 1 34 3 , 1 4 7 19 9 , 6 3 0 54 , 4 9 4 15 , 6 4 9 13 , 2 7 3 3, 9 4 6 0 1, 3 7 6 , 3 3 2 Oc t o b e r 2 0 0 8 33 1 , 4 6 3 32 4 , 6 6 9 16 8 , 5 7 9 18 1 , 7 7 5 55 , 2 3 8 15 , 7 6 5 16 , 3 7 8 4, 2 9 7 0 1, 0 9 8 , 1 6 3 No v e m b e r 2 0 0 8 39 2 , 1 4 3 31 1 , 4 0 0 18 , 9 6 4 19 5 , 4 9 8 51 , 5 9 3 15 , 1 3 3 18 , 0 0 3 4, 5 0 8 0 1, 0 1 3 , 2 4 2 De c e m b e r 2 0 0 8 51 6 , 6 3 6 33 8 , 5 4 8 2, 3 8 6 18 8 , 6 2 4 51 , 1 2 7 13 , 8 8 8 20 , 3 7 9 5, 6 2 5 0 1, 1 3 7 , 2 1 4 Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 9 60 8 , 4 4 9 33 2 , 3 1 6 1, 5 8 7 19 0 , 6 5 0 50 , 9 4 7 14 , 1 6 4 22 , 4 1 6 5, 4 7 4 0 1, 2 2 6 , 0 0 2 Fe b r u a r y 2 0 0 9 54 6 , 1 6 9 33 6 , 5 2 8 1, 4 4 7 17 8 , 6 7 2 45 , 5 0 7 14 , 5 4 8 19 , 2 8 7 4, 8 2 8 0 1, 4 6 , 9 8 6 Ma r c h 2 0 0 9 47 5 , 3 9 5 31 1 , 6 4 3 1, 7 9 3 17 0 , 2 5 2 48 , 7 2 0 16 , 1 4 8 19 , 6 2 9 4, 9 0 7 0 1, 0 4 8 , 4 8 7 Ap r i l 20 0 9 41 1 , 9 7 3 30 3 , 8 5 1 18 , 6 3 S lS 0 , 2 9 S 46 , 1 7 5 LS , 6 0 4 17 , 1 0 9 4, 4 0 6 0 99 8 , 0 5 4 Ma y 20 0 9 33 2 , 9 7 7 28 2 , 1 7 8 13 2 , 9 2 3 16 9 , 9 1 8 47 , 1 5 6 11 , 5 5 1 15 , 5 7 1 4, 2 9 4 0 99 6 , 5 6 8 Ju n e 2 0 0 9 32 7 , 2 2 6 30 1 , 0 0 7 25 3 , 2 8 9 18 7 , 1 3 2 45 , 3 0 6 3, 0 8 8 15 , 2 8 S 3, 7 0 6 0 1, 1 3 6 , 0 3 9 ju l y 2 0 0 9 36 9 , 0 3 7 31 S , 1 5 4 43 6 , 7 6 6 18 3 , 8 7 1 46 , 7 0 5 15 , S 3 1 12 , 9 0 8 4, 1 0 1 0 1, 3 8 7 , 3 7 4 Ma y 2 0 0 9 S a l e s F o r e c a s t - S O / 5 0 P r o b a b i l t y (m e g a w a t t h o u r s ) Fo r e c a s t Mi c r o n Si m p l o t vs W e a t h e r Pe r c e n t Re s i d e n t i a l Co m m e r c i a l Ir r i g a t i o n In d u s t r i a l Te c h n o l o g y Fe r t i l z e r IN L Ra f t R i v e r HO K U To t a l Ad j u s t e d Di f e r e n c e Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 8 60 4 , 1 0 1 35 0 , 9 8 5 l, S 7 5 20 3 , 2 4 0 56 , 9 7 9 16 , 9 4 9 23 , S 9 S 6, 2 3 2 ° 1, 2 6 3 , 9 6 0 0 0. 0 % Fe b r u a r y 2 0 0 8 55 9 , 0 9 3 33 9 , 6 3 0 1, 3 7 4 20 1 , 0 7 4 53 , 3 4 9 15 , S 2 3 21 , S 5 0 5, 2 9 4 0 1, 1 9 7 , 4 8 7 0 0. 0 % Ma r c h 2 0 0 S 47 4 , 6 S 6 31 9 , 7 2 8 1, 6 0 5 18 3 , 2 5 3 S6 , 4 1 2 16 , 4 7 4 19 , 4 1 3 5, 1 6 0 0 1, 0 7 6 , 6 9 9 0 0. 0 % Ap r i l 2 0 0 S 40 6 , 0 4 7 30 6 , 7 2 7 17 , 7 4 3 18 3 , 0 9 3 54 , 1 2 6 15 , 9 7 9 16 , 1 2 7 4, 5 8 6 0 1, 0 0 4 , 4 2 8 0 0. 0 % Ma y 20 0 8 34 4 , 7 0 6 29 3 , 9 4 2 13 2 , 6 4 6 18 S , 9 0 7 S6 , 4 8 1 13 , 8 4 2 17 , 3 5 2 4, 4 1 1 0 1, 0 4 9 , 2 8 7 0 0. 0 % Ju n e 2 0 0 8 33 1 , 0 7 6 31 3 , 4 0 3 29 7 , 3 1 S 19 1 , 5 8 1 55 , 3 0 1 10 , 9 5 1 15 , 4 3 5 4, 2 0 4 0 1, 2 1 9 , 2 6 5 0 0. 0 % Ju l y 2 0 0 8 37 3 , 3 7 8 33 7 , 3 2 1 42 9 , 1 6 0 19 4 , 4 0 9 58 , 1 0 9 14 , 8 0 5 16 , 3 1 8 4, 3 6 4 0 1, 4 2 7 , 8 6 3 0 0. 0 % Au g u s t 20 0 8 42 9 , 9 6 3 35 3 , 0 8 2 42 8 , 3 7 6 20 0 , 3 7 5 57 , 8 4 4 16 , 0 1 0 16 , 5 S 9 4, 2 4 6 0 1, 5 0 6 , 4 5 2 0 0. 0 % Se p t e m b e r 2 0 0 S 39 7 , 3 5 1 34 8 , 8 4 1 34 3 , 1 4 7 19 9 , 6 3 0 54 , 4 9 4 15 , 6 4 9 13 , 2 7 3 3, 9 4 6 0 1, 3 7 6 , 3 3 2 0 0. 0 % Oc t o b e r 2 0 0 8 33 1 , 4 6 3 32 4 , 6 6 9 16 8 , 5 7 9 18 1 , 7 7 5 55 , 2 3 8 15 , 7 6 5 16 , 3 7 8 4, 2 9 7 0 1, 0 9 8 , 1 6 3 0 0. 0 % No v e m b e r 2 0 0 8 39 2 , 1 4 3 31 7 , 4 0 0 18 , 9 6 4 19 5 , 4 9 8 51 , 5 9 3 15 , 1 3 3 18 , 0 0 3 4, 5 0 8 0 1, 0 1 3 , 2 4 2 0 0. 0 % De c e m b e r 2 0 0 8 51 7 , 1 2 3 33 8 , 6 9 5 2, 3 8 6 18 8 , 6 2 4 51 , 1 2 7 13 , 8 S 8 20 , 3 7 9 5, 6 2 7 0 1, 1 3 7 , 8 4 9 63 5 0. 1 % Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 9 60 9 , 1 4 9 33 2 , 5 5 2 1, 5 8 7 19 0 , 6 5 0 50 , 9 4 7 14 , 1 6 4 22 , 4 1 6 5, 4 7 3 0 1, 2 2 6 , 9 3 8 93 5 0. 1 % Fe b r u a r y 2 0 0 9 54 6 , 4 9 0 33 6 , 6 1 5 1, 4 4 7 17 8 , 6 7 2 45 , 5 0 7 14 , 5 4 8 19 , 2 8 7 4, 8 3 1 0 1, 1 4 7 , 3 9 8 41 1 0. 0 % Ma r c h 2 0 0 9 47 5 , 7 0 2 31 1 , 7 5 3 1, 7 9 3 17 0 , 2 5 2 48 , 7 2 0 16 , 1 4 8 19 , 6 2 9 4, 9 0 7 ° 1, 0 4 , 9 0 5 41 7 0. 0 % Ap r i l 20 0 9 41 3 , 5 2 6 30 4 , 3 9 3 17 , 1 6 1 18 0 , 2 9 8 46 , 1 7 5 15 , 6 0 4 17 , 1 0 9 4, 5 0 2 0 99 8 , 7 6 8 71 3 0. 1 % Ma y 20 0 9 34 0 , 3 6 4 29 8 , 5 3 8 12 0 , 7 0 0 18 3 , 8 2 5 48 , 0 7 2 16 , 6 2 8 17 , 5 0 0 4, 3 8 7 0 1, 0 3 0 , 0 1 3 33 , 4 4 5 3. 4 % Ju n e 2 0 0 9 32 6 , 0 0 5 31 9 , 8 7 4 27 7 , 8 2 4 19 3 , 0 1 6 44 , 8 3 9 10 , 1 2 8 16 , 0 0 0 4, 1 6 5 0 1, 1 9 1 , 8 5 0 55 , 8 1 1 4. 9 % Ju l y 2 0 0 9 37 4 , 9 2 3 35 0 , 2 8 6 39 3 , 2 6 0 19 7 , 6 1 2 44 , 8 5 0 16 , 6 8 8 17 , 1 0 0 4, 1 5 1 6, 6 9 6 l, 4 0 S , S 6 5 18 , 1 9 1 1. 3 % 20 1 0 B a s e c a s e F o r e c a s t - E x p e c t e d C a s e S c e n a r i - S L . 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