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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20061219Tatum direct.pdfr,r-' '"U r'~ ' " ,'- "\~ '.- " i.. ZO05 DEC I Pfi 3: ID/\hC ,J\.d:LiC UTILiTIES COivJ\;ISSIO:, BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY TO IMPLEMENT A DEMAND SIDE MANAGEMENT INCENTIVE ) CASE NO. IPC-O6-6;;(PILOT PROGRAM IDAHO POWER COMPANY DIRECT TESTIMONY TIMOTHY E. TATUM please state your name and business address. My name is Timothy E. Tatum and my business address is 1221 West Idaho Street, Boise, Idaho. By whom are you employed and in what capacity? I am employed by Idaho Power Company (Company) as a Senior pricing Analyst in the Pricing and Regulatory Services Department. Please describe your educational background. I received a Bachelor of Business Administration degree in Economics from Boise State University in 2001.In 2005, I earned a Master of Business Administration degree from Boise State University.I have also attended electric utility ratemaking courses including Practical Skills For The Changing Electrical Industry " a course offered through New Mexico State University s Center For Public Utili ties,Introduction to Rate Design and Cost of Service Concepts and Techniques " presented by Electric Utili ties Consultants, Inc. and Edison Electric Institute Electric Rates Advanced Course. Please describe your work experlence with Idaho Power Company. I became employed by Idaho Power Company in 1996 as a Customer Service Representative in the Company Customer Service Center.Over the first two years I handled customer phone calls and other customer-related transactions. In 1999, I began working in the Customer Account Management Center where I was responsible for customer account maintenance in the area of billing and metering. TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company In June of 2003, after seven years in customer service, I began working as an Economic Analyst on the Energy Efficiency Team.As an Economic Analyst, I maintained proper accounting for Demand-Side Management (DSM) expenditures prepared and reported DSM program accounting and activity to management and various external stakeholders, conducted cost- benefi t analyses of DSM programs, and provided DSM analysis support for the Company s 2004 Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). In August of 2004 , I accepted a position as a Pricing Analyst in Pricing and Regulatory Services.As a pricing Analyst, I provided support for the Company s various regulatory activities including tariff administration regulatory ratemaking and compliance filings, and the development of various pricing strategies and policies. In August of 2006, I was promoted to Senior pricing Analyst. As a Senior Pricing Analyst my responsibilities have expanded to include the development of complex financial studies to determine revenue recovery and pricing strategies. In my current position , I also provide regulatory support for the Company s DSM programs and other DSM related activities. What is the scope of your testimony? My testimony will describe the purpose and structure of a proposed performance-based DSM incentive pilot program (Pilot), detail the proposed mechanisms for providing performance incentives and penalties, and provide an estimate of the financial impact of the proposed mechanisms. Why is the Company proposing to implement a performance-based DSM incentive pilot program? TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company Commission Order No. 29558 established Case No. IPC-04-15 and approved the use of workshops for the purpose of assessing the financial disincentives to investing in energy efficiency by Idaho Power (Workshop). On January 27, 2006, Idaho Power filed an Application in Case No. IPC-04- requesting authority to implement a rate adjustment mechanism that would adjust the Company s rates upward or downward to recover the Company s fixed costs, independent of the volume of Company energy sales (FCA Mechanism). Within Case No. IPC-04- 15, the Company and other parties have filed a settlement stipulation that would implement an FCA Mechanism on a pilot basis. If the FCA Mechanism is approved by the Commission and operates as expected, it will significantly reduce the financial disincentives to investing in energy efficiency by Idaho Power. However, during the Workshop process the parties that signed the stipulation all agreed that with the FCA Mechanism alone, the Company does not have an incentive to pursue all cost effective DSM; it simply no longer has a disincentive. At the suggestion of the Northwest Energy Coali tion and others, the parties agreed that the Company should test a performance-based DSM incentive mechanism on a pilot basis. The performance-based DSM incentive mechanism combined with the FCA Mechanism will create an economic environment that will encourage Idaho Power to aggressively pursue DSM resource acquisition. If a performance-based incentive program is desirable , why is the Company proposing a pilot program? A. Introducing the performance-based incentive program TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company as a pilot program will allow the Company to test the effects of the proposed performance-based DSM incentive mechanism on a limited basis. The Company intends to learn from the pilot with the ultimate goal of developing a broader performance- based DSM incentive mechanism that can be applied to the Company s entire portfolio of DSM programs. How was the proposed pilot structure developed? The proposed pilot structure is the result of a collaborative effort between the parties involved in the Workshop including representatives from the Company, the Idaho Public utili ties Commission Staff (Staff) and the NW Energy Coali tion. Please describe the purpose of the proposed performance-based DSM pilot. The purpose of the pilot is to test the effects of a performance-based DSM incentive mechanism designed to reward the Company for executing its DSM program at a level that exceeds agreed-upon goals and impose a penalty if the DSM program s performance falls below its 2006 performance level. The Company will not earn an incentive or a penalty for DSM program performance between the goal level and the historical level. In the Pilot, the performance incentive and penalty mechanism will be tested on one of the Company s current DSM Programs. What is the proposed effective period of the pilot? pilotThe proposed effect for three beginning con tinuing2007and throughJanuaryyears December 31 , 2009. TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company incentivethedeterminingForpurposes penalty under the Pilot when will the Company s DSM program operational performance be evaluated? The operational performanceCompanyDSMprogram will be evaluated annually for the purpose of determining an incentive or penalty under the proposed pilot structure. Which DSM program does the Company propose to use for the pilot? The Company proposes to use the ENERGY STAR~ Homes Northwest program in the pilot. Please provide a brief description of the ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest program. ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest is an incentive-based program that encourages the onsite construction of energy efficient single-family homes. ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest is the program currently operated by the Company to acquire the resources identified in the Residential New Construction Option in the 2004 IRP. This program was developed by the Uni ted States Environmental Protection Agency/Department of Energy, the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance (NEEA) and Pacific Northwest electric utili ties.There are three implementation partners for this program in the Company servlce territory; NEEA , Idaho Energy Division (lED) and Idaho Power. The essential feature this program prescriptive building standard,also called a builder option package or BOP that establishes building standards that will approxima telyresul t efficiency30%thangrea ter energy TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company existing Idaho residential building codes.Under the program, the provides incentive $750Company thepaYffien t builder for each home built to the higher standard and also provides marketing to encourage participation in the program. certifies arethathomes builtlED the standard and conducts quality provides theprocess.NEEAassurance builder outreach and training components of the program. What estimated annualthe savingsenergy home built to the ENERGY STAR standard as compared to a home built to existing Idaho residential building codes? On average a home constructed to the ENERGY STAR savestandardwillIdaho kilowatt-hours078 (kWh) annually as measured at the meter or 2,305 kWh including line losses.This estimate is based on an engineering simulation study,conducted for the early 2004Company Ecotope Consul ting determine the savings potentialprogram Idaho. What are the Company s performance goals for ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest for each of the years 2007 - 2009? The performance goal for ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest is a market-share percentage goal that compares the number of new ENERGY STAR Homes built to the total number of new homes buil t The market-sharein the Company Idaho service area. goals for 2007 through 2009 are equal to NEEA's market-share goals for utility incentive-funded ENERGY STAR Homes built in Pacific same years.NEEA ' s market-the Northwest for those share goals for ENERGY STAR Homes are detailed in Exhibit the RSI New Construction Renewal Proposal dated June 26, 2006. TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company The following Table 1 details the market-share goal for ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest during the pilot period: Table 1: Market-share Goal ENERGY STAR Homes Market- Year share 2007 2008 2009 11. Idaho normally establishes cost-effectivePower energy savings targets for its DSM programs through the IRP process. Why has the Company adopted a different goal setting method for the pilot? The establishes long- termCompanyIRPprocess energy savings goals for DSM programs based on assessments of DSM potential and load forecasts. The long-term nature of the IRP energy targets does not allow for annual adjustments to for economic variabili ty from year.Theaccountyear Workshop parties all agreed that,for the thepurpose pilot,a goal based on a percentage of new homes built would programappropriateforevaluationannualmore performance.market-share goal allows for the targeted number buil t adjusteachENERGYSTARHomesyear proportion to the new home construction market conditions in each year. Why is the Company proposing to use the NEEA market- share goals for establish the pilothomesENERGYSTAR goals? TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company It was suggested by Staff during the Workshop that the NEEA market-share goals for 2007 through 2009 would establish a good target for the pilot,it would align Idaho Power program targets with NEEA' s goals for ENERGY STAR Homes in the region. Furthermore, by achieving NEEA's market- share goals for utility funded ENERGY STAR Homes,the Company will also meet its IRP energy savings targets for ENERGY STAR Homes. What is the total number of new homes estimated to be constructed in the Pacific Northwest during 2007 through 2009 and how those home s expectedmanyneware utility-funded ENERGY STAR Homes? Table has been according Exhibi tprepared 1 ; NEEA's RSI New Construction Renewal Proposal dated June 26, 2006.Table 2 details NEEA's projected market-share for 2007 through built2009forhomes the STAR standardENERGY receiving utility incentives: Table 2:NEEA Market-Share Goals ENERGY STAR Homes Market- shareTotal(Receivlng Homes ENERGY Utility Year Estimate STAR Homes Incentives) 2007 89,461 306 2008 905 087 2009 96,482 11,273 11. NEEA RBI New Construction Renewal Proposal dated June 26,2006, Page 15. How will the determine the numberCompany new homes its serviceconstructed for theareause TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company computation of its market-share achievement? that the Bank IdahoWellsFargopropose Construction newReport be used determine the number homes constructed in Idaho Power service area.The report will be adjusted to include only homes served by Idaho Power. Is the tracking of building permits as a determinant of the single-family home construction totals consistent with NEEA's method for deriving its market-share projections? itsYes.NEEA states RSI Newpage Construction Renewal Proposal dated June 26,2006 that single family home construction permits form the basis of its market- share proj ections At what performance level will the Company incur a penal ty under the proposed pi lot? The Company will be subj ect to a penalty when the ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest program fails to reach the market- share percentage achieved by the program in 2006. The program is expected achieve a market-share of 4.9% in 2006.The 2006 market-share percentage is calculated as the number of Idaho Power-funded ENERGY STAR Homes constructed in 2006 divided by the number single family home building permits recorded within Idaho Power s service area in 2006 as reported in the Wells Fargo Bank Idaho Construction Report ( 400 ENERGY STAR Homes 7 8,185 Total Homes = 4.9%). How does the Company propose to compute the incentive and performance penalty through the pilot? Whenever the Company s DSM program operational performance is at a level that triggers an incentive or TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company penal ty, both the incentive and penalty dollar amounts will be derived as a percentage of the present value life-cycle net benefi ts of the DSM program from a Total Resource Cost perspecti ve.A program s net benefit represents the dollar difference between the present value life-cycle gross benefits of the efficiency measures installed and the Total Resource Cost. If program performance falls between the penalty threshold and the performance goal, the Company will not earn a penalty or incentive. What is the Company s preferred method for quanti fying the gross benefits of a DSM program? Idaho Power calculates the gross benefits of a DSM program as the present value life-cycle energy savings resul ting from a DSM program based on the avoided energy cost of the next best generation alternative as reported in the most recent IRP. The DSM Alternative Costs in Table 3 below represent the value energythe from the next bestpresentcost alternative the expected loadMWhbasedresourceper profile for ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest. Exhibit 2 details the calculation of the DSM Alternative Costs.The DSM Al terna ti ve Cost per unit of energy varies depending upon the load profile associated with efficiencythe encouragedmeasures particular program.Al ternative listedTheEnergyCosts Table 3 are applicable only to energy savings associated with STAR Homes built and should not be used as2007ENERGY avoided costs for any other resource valuation applications. TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company The DSM Alternative Costs are the same as those used to pre- IRP.A detailedfor the Company s 2006screen DSM programs description of the DSM Alternative Costs can be found on pages 65-68 of the 2006 IRP Technical Appendix. Table 3: 2005 DSM Alternative Costs (Present value based on a 25 Year Measure Life) Alternative Energy Cost ($/annual MWh) ENERGY STAR~ Homes NW * Costs include line losses of 10.9%. 1284. Does the Company plan to use the energy savings per home estimates from the Ecotope Consulting study to quantify the energy savings achieved each year under the pilot? No. The energy savings per home estimate of 2,078 kWh annually as measured at the meter or 2 305 kWh including line losses has been used only in analyses of potential effects of the pilot. The Company or a third-party consulting firm will conduct an updated evaluation of ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest program energy savings during 2007. The updated evaluation results will serve as the basis for the quantification of the energy savings achieved by the program throughout the remainder of the pilot. What are the expected program costs for ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest required to achieve the 7.0% market-share goal for 2007? TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company The ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest program costs for 2007 are estimated at $850,000 and will be funded through the Idaho Energy Efficiency Rider (Rider). Program costs funded by the Rider include the cost of planning, developing, implementing, monitoring and evaluating DSM programs included in the pi lot.Evaluation costs of the programs in the pilot are not to exceed 5% of program costs and will be included in the cost-effectiveness calculation.The Total Resource Cost, which includes the cost to a customer for participating in the program, is estimated to be approximately $1 100,000 in 2007. Will a portion of the costs associated with NEEA' s regional ENERGY STAR Homes initiative be included in the calculation of Total Resource Costs in the pilot? No. While NEEA's regional ENERGY STAR Homes initiative contributes to the success of the Company s current program, NEEA's ultimate goal for its current expenditures is a transformed market where ENERGY STAR homes are constructed without receiving utility incentives. In order to achieve its market transformation goal, NEEA is making investments today to develop a support network for the construction of ENERGY STAR homes. These investments include, but are not limited to, the training of ENERGY STAR home builders and inspectors, energy efficiency research and supporting improvements in building codes and efficiency standards. Each of these activities benefits the Company s current program while building a foundation for future energy savings. Since it is difficult to determine what share of the NEEA expenditures benefi t utility progams and what share results in market TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company transformation savings, NEEA and its members have agreed to keep the accounting of costs and savings associated with NEEA initiatives separate from the accounting of utility program acti vi ties. If the Company s ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest program exceeds its market-share goal during the Pilot , how will the Company s percentage share of the program s net benefits (incentive) be determined? The propo s ed performance incentive design uses sliding scale approach that increases the incentive amount as program performance increases.As can be seen from the detai in Table incentive would be awardedbelow,performance when the market-share achieved exceeds 100%the target level.The incentive amount awarded increases for each whole percentage point over the market-share goal and will be capped at 110% of the goal. Table Per f ormance Incentive Thresholds 100%110%Percent Market-share Goal Achieved 101%102%103%104%105%106%107%108%109%andlessGrea ter Share Program Net Benefits (TRC)1. 0%10. I f the Company s ENERGY STAR Homes Northwes t program fails to achieve its minimum market-share threshold of 4. during the pilot, how will the Company s penalty amount be determined? Like the incentive determination , the penalty will be calculated as a share of the program s life-cycle net benefits from the Total Resource Cost perspective. However , in TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company the penalty calculation , the Company will pay a fixed 50% share of the "lost" net benefits resulting from the unsatisfactory performance level. Lost net benefits are equivalent to the difference in the net benefit amount that would have occurred had the program performed to the minimum market-share level and the actual net benefits at the lower performance level. For example, if the ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest program achieves a 2.5% market-share level in 2007 resul ting in net benefits of $100,000 and the net benefits at 9% market-share threshold are equal to $150,000, the penalty amount would be $25,000 or 50% of the difference in net benefi ts. What is the range of potential incentive and penalty payouts at various program performance levels? Table 5 details the possible effects of the proposed pilot as applied to the Company s ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest program market-share goals for 2007.The estimated incentive and penalty amounts shown in Columns E and F of Table 5 are for illustrative purposes only.Actual incentive and penalty will depending program costs andamoun t s actualvaryupon benefits.Table 5 provides the potential incentive amount or penal ty amount associated with various levels of market-share attained program.through the findexample,theFor estimated performance incentive amount for 2007 if the Company achieves a 7.7% market-share,110% of its goal , refer to Table 5, Column D, Row TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company Table:pilot Analysis Potential Incentive/Penalty Amounts At Various Performance Levels ENERGY STAR~Homes 2007 Market Share Target 7%,Penal Threshold % of Market % of Company Share Penal ty Company Penal ty Market Target Threshold Incentive (50% Share Achieved Met (10% Cap)share) 80%40%57%$127,344 20%60%86%$42,396 60%80%100% 00%100%100% 35%105%100%$30,960 70%110%100%$66 168 74%125%100%$78,910 10.49%150%100%$100 147 If Company earns an incentive or incurs a penalty during the Pilot, how will the amount of the incentive or penalty be transferred between the Company and its customers? Should the Company earn an incentive or incur a penalty under the pilot , the dollar amount of the incentive or penalty will be determined by the Company and submitted for Commission review no later than March 15 of each year. Upon Commission approval , any incentive amount will be applied as an additional energy rate to all customer classes over a 12- month period beginning June 1. Conversely, any penalty amount will be applied as a reduction to the energy rate over the same period. The resulting dollar amount applied to customers bills will not appear as a separate line item on each bill. For the purpose of bill presentment, the dollar amount will be combined wi th the existing "Conservation Program Funding Charge " line item. TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company Is it your opinion that the implementation of the proposed pilot is in the public interest? Yes. The proposed Pilot will provide an environment where the incentive mechanism can be tested on a limited basis to determine its potential to encourage the Company to aggressively pursue cost-effective energy efficiency. Furthermore, the pilot is consistent with the National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency introduced last summer and endorsed by many entities including the National Association of Regulatory Commissions and the Edison Electric Institute. Does this conclude your testimony? Yes it does. TATUM, DI- Idaho Power Company EFO RE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O6- ID AH POWER CO MP ANY EXHIBIT NO. TIM OTHY E. TATUM DIRECT TES TIM 0 NY t~ ::~~:, ~'::~. T ENERGY EFFICIENCY ALLIANCE June 26, 2006 TO: FROM: SUBJECT: Board of Directors Anne Brink RSI New Construction Renewal Proposal SUMMARY: Project Name:RSI New Construction Sector:Residential Market:New single-family residential construction Description:Residential new construction includes promoting a market- based component called ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest well as efforts to demonstrate emerging products and improve codes and code implementation. ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest is based on EP A's ENERGY STAR brand for new homes, adapted to meet the unique needs of the Northwest. The ENERGY STAR label serves as the mechanism to both differentiate builders and the homes they build as well as to provide consumers with an easy way to identify the home as efficient. Marketing and home certification and labeling efforts are designed to increase the market share of ENERGY STAR homes. Year Budget:040 000 ($7 240 000 implementation, $800 000 eval.) Timeframe:1/1/07 -12/31/09 CRITERIA FOR PROJECT SELECTION: Projected electricity savings Renewal period (2007-2009): Long Term 2007-2015: 1 aMW Regional Total: 5.4 aMW Utility, 0.6 aMW Alliance 35 aMW Regional Total: 19 aMW Utility, 14 aMW Alliance Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 1 of 18 Cost Effectiveness:CE Index : 1.8 Levelized Cost : $- 02/kWh Geographic Balance: Customer Class Reach: Private Sector Co-Investment: Yes - all four states Addresses residential sales of new homes Yes - Cooperative marketing with builders and trade allies at a $2 to every $1 of Alliance funding. IMPLEMENTATION: Strategy and Approach Status through 2005: The first two years of the Residential New Construction component has been focused on bringing ENERGY STAR Homes to the market. The market actors are largely relying on the Alliance, its contractors and utilities to achieve success in the market. We have been focused on building the market infrastructure, signing on builders and moving homes through the certification process. During that time period the following has been accomplished: Established a solid infrastructure of verifiers and performance testing technicians. Established processes for certification and quality assurance that are working and are continuously examined for improvement in efficiency and effectiveness. Signed 305 builders total in 2004 and 2005. Market Progress Evaluation Report 2 indicates participating builders are currently satisfied with the initiative. Certified 988 homes in 2005 and 57 homes in 2004. Developed and implemented key components of the marketing elements and gained participation from builders, HV AC contractors and verifiers. Established relationships with national market players such as the EP A and RESNET (Residential Energy Services Network - a national organization of professionals providing energy analysis and consulting for existing and new residential construction). Progress Planned for 2006 In 2006 the new construction component will add to this success in the following ways: Fill in the gaps that exist in some geographic areas for performance testing and verification infrastructure. Gain more participation from the existing builder base in co-marketing and selling Energy Star homes to the consumers. Begin to engage the HV AC community in selling the ENERGY STAR Homes brand. Leverage the federal tax credit program to establish a higher bar for potential future ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest specifications and gain incremental savings. Utilize demonstration proj ects to assist with this effort. Begin to establish manufacturer relationships in lighting and HV AC and develop co- investment opportunities with these players. Engage the Realtor community in selling ENERGY STAR Homes. 1 Total Resource Perspective 2 Total Resource Perspective Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 2 of 17 Leverage EP A funding and local utility efforts for increased consumer marketing. Support builders in successfully meeting the lighting requirement through builder and verifier trainings and showroom support. Objectives and Strategies for 2007-2009 The objective for the renewal period will be to achieve 14% market share by the end of20093 and to have the marketplace take ownership ofthe ENERGY STAR Homes initiative s success. Encouraging the verifiers and builders and other market actors to take ownership of the success of this effort is a critical step in market transformation and the first step of a long-term exit strategy. The new homes team will continue to recruit ENERGY STAR builders but increase efforts to enable HV AC contractors and verifiers to recruit the builders. In addition, more emphasis will be placed on engaging the lighting and HV AC channel in promoting ENERGY STAR Homes. ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest Projected Market Share Total Homes ENERGY STAR ENERGY STARear Estimate Homes Market Share 2007 2008 2009 89,461 905 96,482 710 10,220 508 11. 14. * Total Homes Estimated are derived as follows: 2004 single family permits pulled from the 2004 Census. 2005 numbers assumed a 10% increase based on data through mid year. 2006 through 2009 assumes a 3.85% growth based on Northwest Power Plan. ENERGY STAR market share is for certified ENERGY STAR homes only. The following strategies will be pursued to achieve this objective: Homebuyer Market Leverage Alliance funds to obtain co-investment from EP A and utilities for consumer advertising. Continue to focus marketing efforts primarily on reaching current homebuyers vs. broad based consumer marketing. 3 The 14% market share goal has been reduced from the origina120% goal (as indicated in the Project Description for ENERGY STAR Home Northwest dated July 10 2003) as a result of2 years of program start up experience. This adjustment is due to full program roll out completing approximately 10 months later than anticipated and the sales cycle to bring a builder on board and fully transition their building practices to the ENERGY STAR standard is longer than fIrst anticipated. Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 3 of 17 Builders, Realtors, Lenders and Appraisers . Move beyond the recruitment of builders who are early adopters, those who use the brand to differentiate themselves, to the early majority, those builders who begin to sign on because they want to be a part of the success. Increase builder participation in marketing ENERGY STAR homes to consumers. Continue to engage the Realtor community in selling ENERGY STAR Homes. Engage the lending and appraisal industry to recognize the increased value of ENERGY STAR Homes. Heating and Cooling (HV AC) Fully engage the HV AC contractors in pro actively selling ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest as a means to improve their profitability. Primary focus will be dedicated to their support of the ENERGY STAR Homes specification, however these efforts will also support component improvements in the new homes market place. Dramatically increase participation and co-investment from HV AC equipment manufacturers. Participation might include sponsoring training for builders and HV contractors, providing manufacturer rebates on equipment or co-investing in consumer marketing or builder marketing activities. Lighting4 and Appliances Continue to work with builders and verifiers to ensure quality installations of ENERGY STAR lighting. Continue to work with manufacturers, lighting showrooms and electrical distributors to ensure quality products are available for builders. Engage manufacturers and showrooms in pro actively supporting ENERGY STAR lighting in new homes. Work with builders and manufacturers on promoting ENERGY STAR appliance packages to new homeowners. Support the use of lighting fixtures to meet the specifications of ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest in those markets where utilities are supporting the sales oflighting fixtures. Work with the Puget Sound area utilities on a fixture pilot that works with lighting showrooms and distributors to improve their support of ENERGY STAR fixtures sales. Verification, Certification and Quality Assurance Develop the verifier network to be professional, proactive, self-sustaining businesses. . Move to a point where certification fees, training fees and HV AC manufacturer support fully fund the training, QA and certification aspects of the initiative. Incorporate quality assurance results into builder, verifier and HV AC training to ensure continuous improvements in the quality of ENERGY STAR Homes. 4 See appendix 8 , " Lighting Strategy in ENERGY STAR Homes NW " for more details. 5 See appendix C , " ENERGY STAR Fixture Pilot in New Construction" for more details. Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 4 of 17 Goals: Original Goal:Progress through 2006 anticipated 2007 - 2009 2005 progress Increase the market share of 988 homes certified 3500 homes Achieve 14% ENERGY STAR Homes in in 2005- an certified - an market share by the NW from effectively 0%estimated 1.1 %anticipated 4.1 %end of2009. to ~20% within 5 years of market share. 57 share. project start-up.homes certified in 2004 Increase inclusion of key NW BOP National BOP spec Potential spec ENERGY STAR products develop ed- developed revision in late (windows, lighting,includes 50%compatible with the 2009 for 2010 appliances) in new homes lighting and NWBOP, includes Option appliance dishwasher spec min. lighting req.packages Develop sufficient Total 305 signed Fill in geographic Infrastructure infrastructure for building builders, 130 gaps in HV AC and services become ENERGY STAR homes (ie.performance testing verifier successful performance testing,technicians and 79 infrastructure.business model verification, certification)verifiers.to sustain brand support. Demonstrate emerging energy Oregon and Idaho and efficiency products and Washington demo Montana demo services to foster wide-spread projects begIn projects are adoption of promising completed products and construction approaches. Facilitate improvements in ENERGY STAR Support the NW energy codes and compliance inspections for Best effort linking energy efficiency energy code (regional guidelines programs and building energy compliance in for voluntary code upgrades.Idaho jurisdictions residential initiatives supporting this and future code change proposals)strategy. Other market actors and trade Estimate $100 000 Estimate allies are spending their own in market funds $500 000 resources marketing support the cumulative in ENERGY STAR homes. initiative market funds support the initiative Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 5 of 17 Budget: The budget for the 2007 through 2009 cycle is $7 120 000 broken out by category in the chart below. ENERGY STAR Homes NW Budget Market Coordina- Technical ear ar e mg Ig mg 0 a u reac Ion uppo 2007 2008 2009 $ 941 500 $ 542,300 $ 536,200 $ 350 000 $ 240,000 $ 2 610 000 $ 921 250 $ 529,250 $ 524,500 $ 175 000 $ 240,000 $ 2 390 000 $ 909 000 $ 500,250 $ 515 750 $ 125,000 $ 190 000 $ 2,240,000 l~2~;iI~4~JI)~ Market Outreach, Coordination and Marketing are currently elements of the new construction component. Market Outreach includes staff dedicated to selling, educating and supporting builders and HV AC contractors as well as travel expenses associated with the outreach activities. 6 FTE is currently budgeted for this category. Coordination expenses include staff dedicated to managing the new construction component database support, internal builder support and utility coordination. Marketing expenses included co-op ad funds, public relations support, advertising dollars, builder training materials and merchandising materials. The team will work to maintain as much marketing funding as possible to address the need for additional consumer education as recommended by the Market Progress Evaluation Report 2. Technical support services are provided by the State Certification Organizations: Oregon Depart of Energy (ODOE), Washington State University Energy Services (WSU), Idaho Energy Division (lED) and National Center for Appropriate Technology (NCAT) in Montana. These services include quality assurance, certification, verifier training and support and HV AC performance testing training and support. This budget category also includes demonstration proj ects in Idaho and Montana for the 2007 time period. (Oregon and Washington are scheduled for 2006.) This is the net Alliance funding after revenues from certification fees for each home certified ENERGY STAR are netted out. Lighting budget includes lighting support for builders; showroom, distributor and manufacturer engagement ; and the promotion of appliance packages to homebuyers' purchasing appliances beyond the built in appliance spec for ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest. It also includes $40 000 allocated to the ENERGY STAR Fixture Pilot in New Construction in 2007 and 2008. 6 See appendix 8 , " Lighting Strategy in ENERGY STAR Homes NW"for more details. 7 See appendix C , " ENERGY STAR Fixture Pilot in New Construction" for more details. Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 6 of 17 The new construction component of the RSI initiative brings in certification fees as project revenue offsetting the costs of technical support, quality assurance and certification from the State Certification Organizations. Over the course of the 3 year period Alliance funding support is reduced and certification revenue increases to offset reduced Alliance expenditures as pictured in the chart below. ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest Alliance Budget and Project Revenue 000 000 500,000 000 000 500 000 000,000 $500,000 III Alliance Funding . Project Re\,,€nue 2007 2008 2009 Year Cost Effectiveness Energy Savings. The RSI Energy Star New Homes project was modeled for cost-effectiveness on the basis of a weighted average cost and savings across three different building types (1 800 ft 200 ft2 and 3 300 ft , five climate zones (Portland, Seattle, Spokane, Boise, and Missoula) and four heating system types (heat pump, zonal electric, gas with air-conditioning, gas without air conditioning). Table 1 below indicates the average electric and gas savings by heating system type. It also indicates the amount of savings allocated to lighting in each of the homes. Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 7 of 17 Table 1. Energy Savings by Heating System Heat Pump Zonal Electric Gas + AC Gas (No AC) Total Electric (kWh)970 839 108 Lighting (w/o hvac)992 992 992 Gas (therms)153 Weighting 35. 992 992 153 49. Using the data and weights in Table 1 , the regional average savings per home amount to 1 533 kWh/yearlO and 131.4 therms/year. Costs. Using the same weighting and incremental first costs, the weighted regional average incremental first cost of the Energy Star Home is $1 349 per home. Because the home represents a package of measures, some of which will last for the life of the home and others with much shorter life, the cost of replacements are modeled and then computed as a present value which is added to the incremental first cost of the home in the ACE model. Including this present value replacement costs raises the total cost of the weighted average home to $2 373.78. 8 Savings for heat pumps are based on the increment between HSPF 8.5/SEER 13 and the new federal standard of HSPF 7/SEER 13. 9 Air-conditioners in gas homes are modeled as SEER 13 units in both Energy Star and base case; savings result only from reduced internal gains from lighting and lower fan energy from reduced fan run time due to reduced leakage in ducts. 10 CFLs contribute to savings at 992 kWH/year/home with HV AC Interactions that result in net savings of 795 to 1052 kWh depending on the HV AC system type. Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 8 of 17 Market Penetration. The market for Energy Star homes is one and two family homes built at the location. The graph below indicates the share of new home construction counted towards baseline utility incented and net market effect units. % of Annual Market 100% 90% 80% 70% 60%Net Market Effects 50% 40% 10% --.- Utility 30% 20%Baseline 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Market penetration of all homes built to ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest standards (including baseline homes) is estimated to grow from just over 1 % in 2005 to 14% by 2009 and to 34% by 2015. Utility and baseline units make up the majority of the units in 2007-2009. Utility units are forecasted to level off as the market share increases beyond 20%. A more detailed summary of the cost-effectiveness analysis is included in Appendix A. Evaluation The RSI Energy Star New Homes project evaluation for 2007 - 2009 will include three MPERs and an Impact Evaluation report. The evaluation will measure the project's progress toward the goals stated above. In addition, the following measurable progress indicators will be tracked as indicators of market progress: Builders use the ENERGY STAR label to differentiate themselves in the marketplace. . Consumers, builders, and other market actors link ENERGY STAR homes and home quality/value. Builders are convinced of the long-term cost savings from reductions in call-backs that should result from performance testing and quality assurance practices; Increased awareness by builders and subcontractors of key efficiency and quality issues. Other market actors and trade allies are spending their own resources marketing ENERGY STAR Homes and matching Alliance investments. Builders and their subcontractors have expanded knowledge and skills necessary to treat key energy efficiency and quality issues, particularly performance testing ofHV AC ducts and equipment. Increasing recognition of the ENERGY STAR label and understanding what it means for new homes. Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 9 of 17 Multiple Listing Services include whether a home is certified ENERGY STARin their listings. The value of efficiency upgrades is automatically included in the appraisal process. Residential energy codes are upgraded to incorporate some or all of the current ENERGY STAR requirements. A new level of efficiency for ENERGY STAR is adopted based on successful demonstration of new and emerging technologies. ENERGY STAR home purchasers are highly satisfied with their homes and recommend them to others Evaluation Components The ENERGY STAR Homes evaluation for 2007-2009 will include the following components. Table 2 shows the anticipated schedule for conducting each of these components. Process Evaluation/Assessment: The evaluator will summarize project activities since the previous MPER based on status reports, in-depth interviews with key market actors (such as builders, verifiers etc); contractor staff and proj ect contractors. Findings will be incorporated into each MPER. Market Characterization: Evaluation reports will include a review of current conditions in the new home market including potential market size and market share; and forecasted market growth. Data from the tracking database will be analyzed in conjunction with the market characterization to estimate ENERGY STAR current and projected market share. Homebuyer Survey: A third wave of the homebuyer survey previously conducted in 2004 and 2006 will be conducted in 2008. The survey will track progress on homebuyer awareness knowledge, understanding, attitudes, and purchasing behavior surrounding ENERGY STAR homes. This includes general awareness and understanding of the ENERGY STAR home label and its meaning, and the value placed on the various benefits offered by ENERGY STAR homes. Builder Survey: A third wave of the builder survey previously conducted in 2004 and 2006 will be conducted in 2008. The survey will track builder knowledge, attitudes, and sales behavior regarding ENERGY STAR Homes as reflected in their attitudes and perceptions ofthe ENERGY STAR homes label, marketing efforts, and individual efficiency components such as duct testing and sealing. Satisfaction with the ENERGY STAR Homes Northwest component will also be measured. Market Actor Interviews: In-depth interviews with builders, contractors, verifiers, lighting market channels, and project staff will be conducted each year in order to gain an in-depth understanding of ongoing market barriers and opportunities. This information will be used to inform the process evaluation and adaptive management process. Post-Occupancy Survey: A post-occupancy survey will be conducted in 2007 to assess purchaser satisfaction with ENERGY STAR homes and to determine the retention rate of CFLs, which are a Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 10 of 17 critical component of electricity savings. The evaluator will attempt to conduct these surveys on- site to allow the most reliable possible measurement of CFL retention. Impact Evaluation: The evaluator will initiate an impact evaluation in 2007 that will provide an analysis of actual realized savings per ENERGY STAR new home, based on homes constructed in 2006-2007. This effort will include a field survey to characterize the building and occupant characteristics ofES new homes in the region, and may include sub-metering of homes with heat pumps. It is assumed that the Residential New Construction Building Characteristics Study will serve as a baseline for this impact evaluation. Table 2 2007 2008 2009 Process Evaluationl Market Characterization Homebuyer Survey Builder Survey Market Actor Interviews Post-Occupancy Survey Impact Evaluation X~~ For the funding period of2007 through 2009, the estimated evaluation budget for ES New Homes is $800 000. 2007 2008 2009 Total 2007-2009 ES Homes Market Progress $125K $125K $50K $300K Impact $250K $250K $500K Total $375K $375K $50K $800K Contracts. This project is part of the Residential Project Management Contract (PMC) which was competitively bid in late 2003 and awarded to PECI in 2004 and extended through 2006. While implementation of a majority of the project is through the PMC contract, the Alliance contracts with each of the state energy offices (ODOE, WSU, lED and NCAT) to implement the certification and quality assurance components. Current contracts run through 12/31/06. The Fixture Pilot Program funding for 2007 and 2008 of $80 000 will be combined with Bonneville funding and competitively bid separately. Contractor Qualifications. 11 See page 2 of Appendix C: ENERGY STAR Fixture Pilot in New Construction. Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 11 of 17 Staff recommends a competitive bid of the PMC work through 12/31/09. Staff recommends extending the sole source contracts of the state certification organizations (ODOE, WSU, IDWR and NCAT) on an annual basis. These state agencies are uniquely qualified to provide credible quality assurance and local technical expertise and code integration. The nature of these contracts is such that fees collected from market actors for certification and QA of homes and for training are supplementing and will eventually replace Alliance funding. Alliance Internal Resource Requirements. Internal resources required to manage this project are estimated to be approximately 1.0 FTE. These resources are assumed to be available within current staffing levels approved by the Board. Local Utility Coordination. This initiative assumes a high degree of coordination with local utilities and is designed accordingly. It is also designed to work with the full range of potential utility interest from full implementation to complete lack of participation. There are a number of areas of utility interaction with this initiative. These include, but are not limited to the following: CQ:ffiQne.n.fElem:~nt . ENERGY STAR Home Verification ~otei1~aIIJtjJj . . Uderactio:n Utility could provide inspection services to builders and consumers as desired Utilities can cooperatively fund marketing with local builders and Alliance activities Utilities could co-fund, or incent builders and/or HV AC contractors to attend training and purchase equipment necessary to do PTCS Utilities could employ financial incentives based on the energy savings to encourage participation from builders and increase demand from consumers. ENERGY STAR cooperative marketing & promotion Builder/contractor training and certification Builder/Consumer Incentives Coordination with Other Stakeholders. There are a number of stakeholders engaged in this market. First, the state energy offices and similar entities (Idaho Department of Water Resources Energy Division (IDWR), Montana Department of Environmental Quality, National Center for Appropriate Technology, Oregon Department of Energy, and Washington State University Energy Program ) have been working with the national level Energy Star program as well as the regional Energy Star manufactured housing. Additionally, the Alliance is coordinating with the EP A and RESNET (Residential Energy Services Network) to ensure the Northwest is aligned with national programs and is up to date on new national developments. Each ofthe State Certification Organizations are RESNET approved providers. The Alliance and CSG are RESNET members as well. Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 12 of 17 Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 13 of 17 Appendix A. Cost- Effectiveness Energy Star New Site-built Single Family Homes I Project Number:C04-XXX Sector:Residential Market:Residential Stage:Converted !Analysis Unit:Weiohted Avo. Estar Home Creation Date: March 3, 2006 ProCost Ver. ProCost 1. Run Date: 6/23/067:45 AM Analyst: Jeff Harris Project Start: 2003 Project End: 2015 Energy Efficiency Measures Weightino in 2015 Load Shape Measure 1:Heat Pump S~e-Built Home 24.ResSHNEW Measure 2:Zonal Elec S~e-Built Home 12.ResSHNEW Measure 3:Gas+AC S~e-Built Home 26.ResSHNEW Measure 4:Gas (No AC)S~e-Built Home 32.ResSHNEW Measure 5:MEF-86 (Reolo ES Clotheswasher ResSHNEW Measure 6:Packaoe 100% CFL ResSHNEW Measure 7:100.ResSHNEW Breakeven Results (Total Resource Cost)2015 Maximum Alliance Investment Unit First Cost (NPV First Cost)First Year (avg)Project End (avg)2015 (avg)Weighted First Year Cost ($/Unit)349.349.349.349.26 I Replacement Cost ($/Unit)349.349.349. NPV First Cost ($/Unit)373. Annual Benefits & Costs Per Year 126.20 Includes natural gas 22. Unit Energ 532.9 kWh! ear 99.97 lID $0.065 /kWh 132.755 Therms/ ear 123.478 $0.93 fTherm Electric Natural Gas Consumer Perspective Ann. Savings First Year Project End 2015 Payback (years) (electric)99.967 13.13.13. w/Non-Energy-O&M 222.961 Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 14 of 17 Energy Star New Site.built Single Family Homes Summary Page 2 Market:Residential % of Annual Market 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% ----- Net Market Effects 20% 10% --.- Utility40% 30% -- Baseline 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 New Efficient Units Installed Each Year & Total Regional Energy Savings Cumulative Total Efficient Retired Efficient Net Efficient Net Energy Savings Regional Energy Year Market Units/year Units/year Units/year Units/year aMW/year Savings aMW 1997 60,547 1998 342 1999 56,810 2000 52,336 2001 587 2002 547 2003 907 2004 75,410 2005 82,951 988 988 2006 86,145 500 500 2007 89,461 700 700 2008 905 220 1 0,220 2009 96,482 505 13,505 2.4 2010 100,197 033 033 2011 104,054 811 20,811 12. 2012 108,061 946 946 17. 2013 112,221 30,258 258 22. 2014 116,541 35,642 35,642 28. 2015 121 028 40,882 40,882 35.4 Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 15 of 17 Cumulative Net Units & Energy Savings by Participant Baseline Utility, PBA & Others Net Market Effects Year Cumulative Units aMW/year Cumulative Units aMW/year Cumulative Units aMW/year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 014 2006 310 180 2007 117 10,616 512 2008 240 703 3.4 522 2009 483 30,976 5.4 511 2010 955 225 823 2011 855 59,158 10.4 801 2012 513 73,131 12.21,116 2013 6,405 86,814 15.34,799 2014 11,060 209 17.391 2015 841 107,734 18.78,967 13. Totals 6/2312006 Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 16 of 17 Energy Star New Site-built Single Family Homes Summary Page 3 Cum. Energy Savings, Peak, & Carbon Baseline Project End 2015 2025 aMW 26. MWpeak (Local only)3872 kWp/Unit 61.4 Carbon Dioxide (tons)012 tons/aMW 12,403 12,403 106,990 Local Utilities Project End 2015 2025 aMW 18.18.21.4 MWpeak (Local only)3872 kWp/Unit 41.49.4 Carbon Dioxide (tons)012 tons/aMW 897 897 86,027 Alliance Project End 2015 2025 aMW 13.13.92. MWpeak (Local only)3872 kWp/Unit 30.213. Carbon Dioxide (tons)012 tons/aMW 898 54,898 371,491 Cum. Enerav Savinas Reaional Total Project End 2015 2025 aMW (Regional savings)35.4 35.4 140. MWpeak (Local only)3872 kWp/Unit 79.324. Carbon Dioxide (tons)012 tons/aMW 142,198 142 198 564,507 Cost Effectiveness Metrics Project End 2015 Total Resource Cost CE Index Levelized Cost (Cents/kWh)(1.93)(1.93) Alliance Perspective C/E Index 13.13. Levelized Cost (Cents/kWh)(0.99)(0.99) Levelized Cost based on 4% & 15 yrs, T &D & non-energy benefits negative costs. 6/2312006 Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 17 of 17 C1) :I: C1) s::: C1) C1) ...:::-,.... C1) s::: oqo :.. ::IrJ) ....CDOOQ)COOOQ)NOr--N .... r-- co r-- co N N CD CD r-- .... C') .... 10 r--, r-- C') .... .... -.t CD CD 0 CD CD r-- 10 CO N ai .... C\i .0 ....- oj ri LCi ci ....- ci ciCD r-- N 0 -.t Q) -.t .... N Q) C') Q).... -.tC') N Q) N CD CD .... N CD CO r-- Q) C') -.tC\i ~ cD ri ci ai cD ~ C\i ai r-: .0 ri .0.... 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TATUM DIRECT TESTIMONY Idaho Power Company DSM Alternative Cost Calculation ENERGY STAR CID Homes Northwest 2007 Inputs Discount Rate Escalation Rate Line Losses 930% 00% 10.90% Summer (Jun. 1 - Aua. 31) Costing Periods Hours per Costing Period Energy Savings per Costing Period ENERGY STAR(!j) Homes NW On-Peak 512 Mid.Peak 960 Off-Peak 736 14.13%23.38%11.47% Non-summer (Sept. 1 - May 31) Mid-Peak 3616 Off-Peak 2936 32.82%18.19% DSM Alternative Cost Combined Capacity and Energy $/kWh Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Summer (Jun. 1 - Aua. 31) On-Peak Mid-Peak Off-Peak $0.218 $0.069 $0.052 $0.222 $0.Q70 $0.052 $0.216 $0.066 $0.048 $0.215 $0.066 $0.049 $0.194 $0.050 $0.037 $0.195 $0.056 $0.041 $0.196 $0.068 $0.051 $0.198 $0.072 $0.054 $0.200 $0.074 $0.056 $0.203 $0.078 $0.059 $0.206 $0.082 $0.062 $0.209 $0.090 $0.067 $0.212 $0.092 $0.071 $0.216 $0.098 $0.075 $0.219 $0.103 $0.079 $0.213 $0.097 $0.076 $0.216 $0.104 $0.081 $0.220 $0.109 $0.085 $0.223 $0.114 $0.090 $0.226 $0.120 $0.096 $0.220 $0.124 $0.099 $0.224 $0.128 $0.102 $0.228 $0.132 $0.105 $0.231 $0.135 $0.108 $0.236 $0.140 $0.111 25-Year Present Value (Mid-Year) Weighted' DSM Alt. Cost in $/kWh (includes losses) I ENERGY STAR(!j) Homes NW Non-summer (Sept. 1 - May 31) Mid-Peak Off-Peak $0.078 $0.066 $0.079 $0.066 $0.069 $0.056 $0.068 $0.055 $0.053 $0.042 $0.054 $0.043 $0.065 $0.052 $0.068 $0.054 $0.070 $0.056 $0.074 $0.060 $0.079 $0.064 $0.086 $0.Q70 $0.090 $0.073 $0.095 $0.077 $0.100 $0.080 $0.094 $0.077 $0.101 $0.081 $0.106 $0.086 $0.111 $0.090 $0.118 $0.096 $0.122 $0.098 $0.125 $0.101 $0.129 $0.104 $0.133 $0.108 $0.137 $0.111 $2.563 $1.000 $0.761 $0.999 $0.809 Total $0.402 $0.259 $0.097 $0.364 $0.163 $1.2846 Notes: , DSM Alternative Costs are weighted by the percentage of energy that is expected to occur within each costing period according to the values shown in the Inputs section under the heading "Energy Savings per Costing Period. Exhibit No. Case No. IPC- T. Tatum, IPC Page 1 of 1