HomeMy WebLinkAbout20061019Revised Appendix D.pdfRevised October 12 2006
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Appendix O-Technical Appendix
For the 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
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IDAHO
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POWER
An IDACORP company
Acknowledgement
Resource planning is a continuous process that Idaho
Power Company constantly works to improve, Idaho Power
prepares and publishes a resource plan every two years and
expects the experience gained over the next few years will
lead to modifications in the 20-year resource plan presented
in this document. Idaho Power invited outside participation
to help develop both the 2004 and 2006 Integrated
Resource Plans.
Idaho Power values the knowledgeable input, comments
and discussion provided by the Integrated Resource Plan
Advisory Council and the comments provided by other
concerned citizens and customers, Idaho Power looks
forward to continuing the resource planning process with
its customers and other interested parties,
You can learn more about Idaho Power s resource planning
process at www.idahopower.com,
Safe Harbor Statement
This document may contain forward-looking statements, and it is important to note that the future results
could differ materially from those discussed, A full discussion of the factors that could cause future results to
differ materially can be found in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission,
Printed on recycled paper
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Glossary of Terms., ...............................,..........................,.....,.. ................................................................... v
Sales and Load Forecast Data.....................,...........................,.,............................................................,.....
Average Annual Forecast Growth Rates......... ....................."....,...,.,.,......,..,..............,.......,..,.......,.,.....
Expected Case Load Forecast.........................,.,.,.,.,......................................,.,..,.,...."............,.............
Monthly Summary........................................,.,.,.,.,..........................................................................
Annual Summary .............................,........................,.,.,.............................................................. ..
70th Percentile Load Forecast....................,..............................,.................,.....,.......,..,.".,.....,.,......,.., .
Monthly Summary ...........,.,.,.,.......................,.,.,...........................................................................
Annual Summary .............,.,.........................................................................,.................................
Existing Resource Data..............................,.,.......................,.,.,.....,...................................................,....,..
Hydroelectric and Thermal Plant Data ..........................,.,.....,...,.,.......................................................46
Qualifying Facility Project Data...................,...,.,..............................................,...........,.....................4 7
Fuel Data...................................................................,................................................................................
Gas and Coal Forecast-Data and Graphs.......................................................................................... ...48
Natural Gas Price Forecast-Comparison to Other Forecasts...............................................................49
Natural Gas Price Forecast-Comparison to Previous Integrated Resource Plans ...............................
Coal Price Forecast-Comparison to Previous Integrated Resource Plans...........................................
Supply-Side Resource Data.............,.....,.............................,.,.................................................................. .
Key Financial and Forecast Assumptions.........................,....................................................,..,..,.......
Energy and Capacity Levelized Cost Data.......................................................................................... 54
Brownlee Reservoir Inflow Record..........,...,....................................,.............,....".,.,..,...,................ ..
Monthly Wind Energy Distribution ............,.,....,........................... ...................,..................................
Demand-Side Resource Data.....................,..........................,.,..........,.,.................,................,..,...,."....,.. ,
DSM Analysis and Screening Criteria..............................,.......,..,.,......,..................,.............,.....,.,..,..
DSM Program Development........,.,...,...,....................."..,........,.,..,..,.,.,...........,.,........,.,..,..,..,.,....
Screening Criteria....,........,............................,.,.,.......................................................................... .
Static Cost-Effectiveness Analysis...........................,.,...,........,.................................,.,..,.,..,.,.,.... ,
Total Resource Cost Test (TRC)......,.,..........................,..................,.......................................
Utility Cost Test .....,....,.,...,.,............................,......................................................................
DSM Analysis Calculation Definitions ...............,..,...,...,......,..,..,...,.........,.......,.,....,....,..,.,.,..
Program Benefits Calculations ................,....,................................................................................
Dynamic Modeling...............,.,.,.........................,.,.,..,................................................................. ..
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page i
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Surplus/Deficit Analysis Data and Results.................... ....................... .....................................................
Monthly Average Energy Surplus/Deficiency Data.............................. ........... ................................... 7
50th Percentile Water, 50th Percentile Load Chart................................................................... .......
70th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load Chart..........................................................................
90th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load Chart...
................................................................. ......
Peak-Hour Load Surplus/Deficiency Data.................................,.....,.,..,..,..,.,..,................................... 78
50th Percentile Water, 90th Percentile Peak-Hour Load Chart .......................................................
70th Percentile Water, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Load Chart .......................................................
90th Percentile Water, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Load Chart .......................................................
Northwest Transmission Constraint Surplus/Deficiency Data........................................................ ....
50th Percentile Water, 90th Percentile Peak-Hour Load Chart .......................................................
70th Percentile Water, 95 th Percentile Peak-Hour Load Chart .......................................................
90th Percentile Water, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Load Chart .......................................................
Northwest Transmission Constraint Surplus/Deficiency Detailed Data..............................................
50th Percentile Water, 90th Percentile Peak-Hour Load (MW) ......................................................
70th Percentile Water, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Load (MW) ......................................................
90th Percentile Water, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Load (MW) ......................................................
Portfolio Analysis-Results and Supporting Documentation .
............................................................,...,...
Portfolio Summary and Description ......,.,...........................................................................................
Coal Based Technology Assessment Executive Summary (Draft)......................................................
CO2 Adder Survey Data..............................,.,.,.,.........,................................................,.....................107
Description of Aurora Computer Model...... ......................................................................................108
PDR580 Results ..,.....,.,.....,.,.,.,.....................................,...........,....,.,.......,.,....,.,.,.,.,...,...,.....,............111
50th Percentile Water, 50th Percentile Load .................................................................................111
70th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load............................................................................... ..121
90th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load.. ............... ................... ........................ .............. .......131
Scenario Sensitivity Ranking ofInitial Portfolios......................................
.................. ......... .......... ..
141
Finalist Portfolio Details.............................................,....................................................,...,.,..,....,.. ,142
Portfolio Fl...................,.....,....,.,.,...............................,..,...,.,.,..,.,.......,...................................... .142
Portfolio F2 ..............,.,.,.,.,.,.....................................,.............,....,.,..,......,.,.,.,...,......................... .144
Portfolio F3 ....................................,.........,.................................................................................. .146
Portfolio F 4..,............................................,.,.,.....,.,..................................,.......,...,.....,....,....,.,..., .148
Capacity Planning Reserve for Finalist Portfolios........................................................................... ..150
Portfolio FI ...................................,.,.,.,...,....................................................................................150
Page ii 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Portfolio F2 .................,.,.......................,.......................................,........,....,.,........,..,................. ,151
Portfolio F3 ..,.................,.,.,........................,.,.,.,........................................................................ ..152
Portfolio F 4...,.,......................,.....................,...,.,........................................................................ .153
Resource Investment Schedule ..........,...,.,...............................................................,.....,...........,.......154
Portfolio Fl.............,...,.....................,.,.,............................,.,.......,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,....,..,..,...........,...... ..154
Portfolio F2 ,.....................,............................................................,.,.................................,......... .15 5
Portfolio F3 .,..........................,.....................,.,.,...,...................................................................... .156
Portfolio F 4..................................,.,.,.,..........................,............................................................. .157
Summary of Northwest Utility Planning Criteria......................... ............................
........... ............ ....... .
158
IRP Advisory Council Roster ......,....,..,..................,...,.,..........................................................................160
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page iii
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Page iv 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
GLOSSARY OF TERMS
A/C - Air Conditioning
AIR - Additional Information Request
Alliance - Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance
aMW - Average Megawatt
BOR - Bureau of Reclamation
BP A - Bonneville Power Administration
C&RD - Conservation and Renewable Discount
CAMR - Clean Air Mercury Rule
CCCT - Combined-Cycle Combustion Turbine
CDD - Cooling Degree-Days
CFB - Circulating Fluidized Bed
CFL - Compact Fluorescent Light
CHP - Combined Heat and Power
CO2 - Carbon Dioxide
CRC - Conservation Rate Credit
CSPP - Cogeneration and Small Power Producers
CT - Combustion Turbine
DOE - U.S. Department of Energy
DG - Distributed Generation
DSM - Demand-Side Management
EA - Environmental Assessment
EEAG - Energy Efficiency Advisory Group
EIA - Energy Information Administration
EIS - Environmental Impact Statement
ESA - Endangered Species Act
FCRPS - Federal Columbia River Power System
FERC - Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
GDD - Growing Degree-Days
HDD - Heating Degree-Days
IDWR - Idaho Department of Water Resources
IGCC - Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle
INL - Idaho National Laboratory
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page v
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
IOU - Investor-Owned Utility
IPC - Idaho Power Company
IPUC - Idaho Public Utilities Commission
IRP - Integrated Resource Plan
IRP AC - Integrated Resource Plan Advisory Council
kV - Kilovolt
kW - Kilowatt
kWh - Kilowatt Hour
LIW A - Low Income Weatherization Assistance
MAF - Million Acre Feet
MMBTU - Million British Thermal Units
MW - Megawatt
MWh - Megawatt Hour
NEP A - National Environmental Policy Act
NWPCC - Northwest Power and Conservation Council
NOx - Nitrogen Oxides
OPUC - Oregon Public Utility Commission
PCA - Power Cost Adjustment
PM&E - Protection, Mitigation, and Enhancement
PP A - Power Purchase Agreement
PTC - Production Tax Credit
PUC - Public Utility Commission
PURPA - Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978
PV - Present Value
QF - Qualifying Facility
REC - Renewable Energy Credit
Rider - Energy Efficiency Rider
RFP - Request for Proposal
RPS - Renewable Portfolio Standard
RTO - Regional Transmission Organization
SO2 - Sulfur Dioxide
SCCT - Simple-Cycle Combustion Turbine
W ACC - Weighted Average Cost of Capital
WECC - Western Electricity Coordinating Council
Page vi 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Average Annual Forecast Growth Rates
(%)
2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2025
Sales
Residential Sales.............
Commercial Sales...........
Irrigation Sales.................
Industrial Sales................2.44
Additional Firm Sales.......0.46
Firm Sales.......................
System Sales..................
Firm Off-System Sales....
Total Sales......................
Loads
Residential Load..............
Commercial Load............
Irrigation Load..................
ndustrial Load.................
Additional Firm Load........0.46
Firm Load Losses............
Firm Load........................
System Load...................
Firm Off-System Load.....
Total Load.......................
Firm Requirement Load...
Peaks
Firm Peak........................
System Peak...................
Firm Off-System Peak.....
Total Peak.......................
Firm Requirement Peak...
Winter Peak.....................1.48
Summer Peak..................
Customers
Residential Customers.....
Commercial Customers...2.40
Irrigation Customers........1.49 1.41
Industrial Customers........
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 1
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Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
ResidentiaL.."..".....".....,.."
Commercial.."""..."",.."..."
Irrigation",..",..,.."".."",...",
Industria!..."....,.."....",..",..,
Additional Firm....................
Firm Sales
Expected Case Sales and Load Forecast Annual Summary
2006
862,268
800 997
643,080
2,421 451
182 934
910 730
2007
028,163
938 173
639 190
2,485,427
143,360
14,234,313
Billed Sales (Megawatt-hours)2008 2009 2010 2011
129,950 5 218,358 5 315,450 5,373,289
061 269 4 177 796 4 293,773 4 384 049
633,080 1 629,431 1,626,475 1 617 721
537 510 2 596 445 2 656,152 2 708 334
162 503 1,177 194 1 194,104 1 210 114
524 313 14 799 225 15,085 955 15,293,506
2012
5,407 204
4,469,715
615,071
765,435
227 715
15,485,140
2013
507 578
587,155
612,422
823,076
240,656
15,770 885
2014
603 702
702,480
609 760
881 748
257,431
055 122
2015
699,278
818 204
612 308
949,296
274 235
353 323
System Sales 13 910 730 14 234 313 14 524 313 14,799 225 15,085,955 15 293 506 15,485,140 15,770,885 16,055,122 16,353 323
Firm Off-System Sales........
Total Sales 13,910 730 14 234 313 14,524 313 14 799 225 15,085,955 15,293 506 15,485 140 15,770,885 16,055,122 16,353 323
ResidentiaL........",......,.."",
CommerciaL,.....""...".."..",
Irrigation,...........,..".....".....,
Industria!....."",..""..."..",..,
Additional Firm....................
Firm Sales
2006
872 705
807,410
643 102
2,425,530
182 934
931 681
2007
034 133
943 800
639,191
2,488 836
143,360
249,320
eneration Month Sales (Megawatt-hour2008 2009 2010 2011
151,940 5 223,934 5 318 318 5,374,513
077 862 4,182 961 4 297,571 4 387 575
633,086 1,629 432 1 626,473 1 617 722
548,189 2,600 283 2 659,566 2 712 026
162 503 1,177 194 1 194,104 1 210 114
573,580 14 813 805 15,096,033 15 301 949
2012
5,430,481
4,487 202
615,077
776,742
227 715
15,537 217
2013
512 941
592,111
612,423
826,856
240,656
15,784 986
2014
608,872
707 351
609 762
885 549
257,431
068 965
2015
704,471
823 108
612 309
953 105
274 235
367 228
System Sales 13,931 681 14 249,320 14 573,580 14 813,805 15,096 033 15,301 949 15,537 217 15 784 986 16,068,965 16,367 228
Firm Off-System Sales.......,
Total Sales 13 931 681 14 249,320 14 573 580 14,813 805 15,096,033 15 301 949 15,537 217 15,784 986 16,068,965 16 367 228
Loss.................................... 360 067 1 394 827 1,427 012 1,451 237 1,479,180 1,499 115 1 521 363 1 546,529 1 574 734 1,603 795
Required Generation 15 291 747 15,644,147 16 000,592 16 265 042 16,575,213 16 801 064 17 058,580 17,331 515 17 643 699 17 971 023
ResidentiaL"..""...,..,..,..",..
CommerciaL,..",.."..",.."..."
Irrigation..,...""...".."..",..,..,
IndustriaL,..",..,...."..",..",..,
Additional Firm....................
Loss"...",...,........"",...."",..
Firm Load
Light Load...........................
Heavy Load.........................
System Load
Firm Off-System Load........,
Total Load
Energy Efficiency (MW)......,
Demand Response.............
Firm Peak Load
System Peak (1 Hour)
Firm Off-System Peak........,
Loss"..,.."",...",.....,..",..",..
Total Peak Load
2006
556
435
188
277
135
155
746
2006
121
2007
575
450
187
284
130
159
786
588
870
746
746
2007
-46
208
121
121
Average Load (Average Megawatts)08 2009 2010 2011587 596 607 614464 478 491 501186 186 186 185290 297 304 310133 134 137 139162 166 169 171822 1 857 1 892 1 918
624
913
786
657
951
822
689
988
857
721
025
892
744
054
918
918
3,459
459
2012
618
511
184
316
140
173
942
2012
-43
522
766
080
942
942
522
522
2013
629
524
184
323
142
177
978
2013
-48
597
799
119
978
978
597
597
2014
640
537
184
329
144
180
014
2014
673
832
157
014
014
673
673
2015
651
551
184
337
146
183
051
866
197
051
051
2015
754
754
754
Page 22
786 822 857 892
Peak Load (Megawatts)09 201026 -73 -
326 3 396
2008
268
2011
3,459
208 268 326 396
208 268 326 396
2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
ResidentiaL"..".....",....""...
Commercia!..,.",.."",....",....
Irrigation"....",.,.."....."...,.",
IndustriaL........",...."",.."",.
Additional Firm...............,....
Firm Sales
Expected Case Sales and Load Forecast Annual Summary
2016
795,818
935 524
614 777
016,981
293 573
656 674
2017
895 126
055,838
617,289
086 155
306,995
961,402
Billed Sales (Megawatt-hours)2018 2019 2020 2021
997 530 6,100,905 6,206 045 6 314 869
179 326 5 304 556 5,432,315 5,563,441
619 769 1 622 199 1,624,614 1 626 988
156,872 3,229 166 3 303,072 3,378,626
322 898 1 339 087 1 356,188 1,368,805
17,276 395 17 595 913 17 922,235 18,252,730
2022
6,427 310
698,184
629 358
3,455,865
383,131
18,593,847
2023
541 021
834,756
631,660
534 826
396,756
18,939,019
2024
655,530
972 690
633,955
615 548
1,413,077
19,290 800
2025
772,209
112 112
636,206
698 070
1,424 582
643,178
System Sales 16,656,674 16 961,402 17 276,395 17 595 913 17 922 235 18,252 730 18,593,847 18,939,019 19 290 800 19,643 178
Firm Off-System Sales........
Total Sales 16,656,674 16,961,402 17 276 395 17 595,913 17 922 235 18,252 730 18,593,847 18,939 019 19 290 800 19,643,178
ResidentiaL..".."....."..",....,
CommerciaL"".."..",...."..."
Irrigation""".."...".....".."""
IndustriaL"""",..".."",..",..,
Additional Firm....................
Firm Sales
2016
819,653
954,054
614,783
029,177
293 573
16,711 241
2017
900,622
060,951
617 291
090,135
306,995
975,992
Generation Month Sales (Megawatt-hours)2018 2019 2020 2021
003 045 6 106,491 6,231 254 6 320 840
184,474 5 309 777 5,452 375 5,568,897
619,771 1 622 200 1 624 620 1,626,990
160,940 3 233 325 3,316,393 3,382,972
322,898 1 339 087 1 356,188 1 368,805
291,128 17 610 880 17 980,831 18,268,505
2022
6,433 315
703,674
629,359
3,460,308
383,131
18,609,786
2023
547 027
840,255
631 661
539,368
396,756
18,955,068
2024
682,049
994 219
633 962
630 098
413,077
19,353,405
2025
778,394
117 660
636 207
702 817
1,424 582
659 660
System Sales 16 711 241 16,975,992 17 291 128 17 610,880 17,980,831 18 268 505 18 609 786 18 955 068 19,353,405 19,659,660
Firm Off-System Sales........
Total Sales 16,711,241 16,975 992 17 291 128 17 610,880 17 980 831 18,268,505 18,609,786 18,955 068 19 353,405 19,659 660
Loss.................................... 1 636,984 1,663 237 1 694 077 1 725,346 1,761 219 1 789,845 1 823 395 1 857 361 1,896,072 1,926,598
Required Generation 18,348 226 18,639,228 18,985,205 19 336 227 19 742 050 20,058,349 20,433,181 20,812 430 21 249,476 21 586 259
ResidentiaL".."..",.."..,.."...
CommerciaL......"....",..".....
Irrigation."..."..",.."....."...",
IndustriaL...."......."..",....""
Additional Firm...................,
Loss.."",."".."...,.."...""..."
Firm Load
Light Load...........................
Heavy Load........................,
System Load
Firm Off-System Load.........
Total Load
Energy Efficiency (MW).......
Demand Response.............
Firm Peak Load
System Peak (1 Hour)
Firm Off-System Peak.........
Loss"...".""....",.".."",..",..
Total Peak Load
2016
663
564
184
345
147
186
089
2016
836
900
237
089
089
836
836
2017
674
578
185
353
149
190
128
2017
919
Average Load (Average Megawatts)2018 2019 2020 2021685 697 709 722592 606 621 636185 185 185 186361 369 378 386151 153 155 157193 197 201 204167 2 207 2 248 2,290
935
279
128
971
322
167
007
364
207
044
2,407
248
082
2,451
290
290
263
263
2022
734
651
186
395
158
208
333
2022
352
121
498
333
333
352
352
2023
747
667
186
404
160
212
376
2023
4,443
160
545
376
376
4,443
4,443
2024
761
682
186
413
161
216
2,419
2024
534
200
591
2,419
2,419
534
534
2025
774
698
187
423
163
220
2,464
241
639
2,464
2,464
2025
627
627
627
2006 Integrated Resource Plan
128 167 207 248
Peak Load (Megawatts)2019 202054 -78 -088 4 175
2018
003
2021
263
919 003 088 175
919 003 088 175
Page 23
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Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
ResidentiaL..",..,...""".."...
CommerciaL"..,....,..".."..,..
Irrigation,....,....,.."".."."..".,
IndustriaL"""..",......"",..",.
Additional Firm....................
Firm Sales
70th Percentile Sales and Load Forecast Annual Summary
2006
998 197
841 226
788,305
2,422 952
182 934
233,615
2007
167 721
979,546
784 413
2,485,427
143,360
560,466
Billed Sales (Megawatt-hours)2008 2009 2010 2011
273 003 5 364 603 5,464,619 5 525 263
103 786 4 221 377 4,338,345 4,429 590
778,302 1 774 653 1 771 697 1 762 943
537,510 2 596,445 2 656,152 2,708,334
162 503 1 177 194 1 194 104 1 210 114
855 104 15 134 273 15 424,917 15 636 244
2012
561 958
516 234
760,293
765,435
227 715
831 635
2013
665 098
634 665
757 644
823,076
240,656
121 137
2014
763,903
750,970
754,982
881 748
257,431
16,409,035
2015
862 138
867,680
757 530
949,296
274 235
16,710,880
System Sales 14 233 615 14 560,466 14,855,104 15 134 273 15,424 917 15,636 244 15 831 635 16,121,137 16,409,035 16,710,880
Firm Off-System Sales........
Total Sales 14 233,615 14 560,466 14 855,104 15,134 273 15,424 917 15,636,244 15,831,635 16,121,137 16,409,035 16 710,880
ResidentiaL".."......",...".....
CommerciaL....,....,..".."..",
Irrigation,..,......,.."............",
IndustriaL.",....",....,.."..",..,
Additional Firm....................
Firm Sales
2006
008,756
847,698
788 324
2,425 530
182 934
253 242
2007
173 895
985 286
784,413
2,488,836
143,360
575,789
eneration Month Sales (Megawatt-hours)2008 2009 2010 2011
295,628 5,370,326 5,467 617 5,526,613
120,615 4 226,640 4 342 236 4,433,210
778,308 1 774 655 1 771,695 1,762 944
548 189 2 600 283 2 659,566 2 712 026
162 503 1 177 194 1,194,104 1 210 114
14,905 243 15 149 098 15,435,220 15 644 906
2012
585,838
533,961
760 299
776 742
227 715
884 555
2013
670,580
639,717
757 645
826,856
240,656
135,452
2014
769 186
755 936
754,984
885 549
257,431
16,423,086
2015
867 442
872 680
757,531
953,105
274,235
16,724,994
System Sales 14 253,242 14 575 789 14 905,243 15,149,098 15,435 220 15,644 906 15,884 555 16,135,452 16,423 086 16 724 994
Firm Off-System Sales........
Total Sales 14 253 242 14 575,789 14 905,243 15,149 098 15,435,220 15,644,906 15,884 555 16,135,452 16,423,086 16,724 994
Loss..........................,......... 396,358 1,431 623 1,464 372 1,489,006 1 517 378 1 537 731 1,560,455 1 585,976 1 614 586 1 644 050
Required Generation 15 649 599 16,007,412 16,369 615 16 638 104 16,952,598 17 182 637 17 445 010 17 721,429 18,037,673 18,369,045
ResidentiaL......"..,.."..,..,....
CommerciaL,.....".....".."..",
Irrigation",.."",.....".."",..""
IndustriaL...."....."....."..",..,
Additional Firm...................,
Loss"..",..,.........,.."..."..",..
Firm Load
Light Load...........................
Heavy Load..............,..........
System Load
Firm Off-System Load.........
Total Load
Energy Efficiency (MW)......,
Demand Response (MW)....
Firm Peak Load
System Peak (1 Hour)
Firm Off-System Peak........,
Loss..,.."."".."""......,..,...."
Total Peak Load
2006
572
439
204
277
135
159
786
2006
2007
591
455
204
284
130
163
827
625
914
786
786
163
2007
-46
251
Average Load (Average Megawatts)08 2009 2010 2011603 613 624 631469 482 496 506202 203 202 201290 297 304 310133 134 137 139167 170 173 176864 1 899 1 935 1 961
662
958
827
695
996
864
727
034
899
760
072
935
784
100
961
961
506
506
2012
636
516
200
316
140
178
986
2012
-43
570
806
127
986
986
570
570
2013
647
530
201
323
142
181
023
2013
-48
647
840
167
023
023
647
647
2014
659
543
200
329
144
184
059
2014
723
872
205
059
059
723
723
2015
670
556
201
337
146
188
097
907
246
097
097
2015
805
805
805
Page 44
163
163
827 864 899 935
Peak Load (Megawatts)09 201026 -73 -372 3,442
2008
312
2011
506
251 312 372 3,442
251 312 372 3,442
2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
ResidentiaL",.......,.."..,....",
CommerciaL,.,..."..,.."...."",
Irrigation",...""..,.",....."..,..,
IndustriaL.....,..,.",..,.."....,..,
Additional Firm,................,..
Firm Sales
70th Percentile Sales and Load Forecast Annual Summary
2016
961 354
986,002
759,999
016,981
293,573
017 910
2017
063 348
107 332
762,512
086,155
306 995
326 341
Billed Sales (Megawatt-hours)2018 2019 2020 2021
168,444 6,274 528 6 382,438 6,494 082
231 854 5,358,132 5 486 963 5,619,179
764 992 1 767 421 1,769 836 1 772 211
156 872 3,229,166 3,303 072 3,378,626
322 898 1 339,087 1 356 188 1 368,805
645,060 17,968,334 18 298,498 18,632 903
2022
609,379
755,039
774 580
3,455,865
383,131
18,977 993
2023
725,979
892 744
776 882
534 826
396 756
19,327 187
2024
843,410
031 827
779,178
615,548
1,413 077
683 040
2025
963,033
172,410
781,428
698,070
1,424 582
20,039,523
System Sales 17 017 910 17 326 341 17 645 060 17 968,334 18,298,498 18,632 903 18,977 993 19,327 187 19 683 040 20,039,523
Firm Off-System Sales.......,
Total Sales 17 017 910 17 326,341 17 645 060 17 968,334 18,298,498 18 632 903 18 977 993 19 327 187 19,683,040 20,039,523
ResidentiaL..""..",.."..,.."",
CommerciaL"..."....."....",..
Irrigation.....,....",.."..,.."..,..,
IndustriaL"".."",.,....",....""
Additional Firm....................
Firm Sales
2016
985 795
004 786
760,006
029,177
293,573
073,337
2017
068,954
112 545
762 513
090,135
306,995
341 140
Generation Month Sales (Megawatt-hours)2018 2019 2020 2021
174,068 6 280 223 6,408,266 6,500,162
237,103 5 363,456 5,507 297 5 624,743
764 993 1 767,423 1,769 843 1 772 212
160 940 3,233,325 3,316 393 3,382 972
322 898 1 339,087 1,356 188 1 368,805
660 002 17 983,513 18,357 987 18,648,895
2022
615,491
760,638
774 581
3,460 308
383,131
18,994 149
2023
732,091
898,354
776 884
539 368
396 756
19,343,454
2024
870,558
053,651
779 184
630 098
1,413 077
746 568
2025
969,319
178,073
781,429
702 817
1,424,582
20,056 220
System Sales 17,073 337 17 341 140 17 660,002 17 983 513 18,357 987 18,648,895 18,994 149 19,343,454 19,746,568 20 056 220
Firm Off-System Sales........
Total Sales 17 073,337 17 341,140 17,660 002 17 983,513 18,357,987 18 648 895 18 994 149 19 343,454 19,746,568 20,056,220
Loss..................................., 1,677 711 1 704 311 1,735,564 1 767 251 1 803,616 1,832 610 1,866,602 1,901,014 1,940,245 1 971 159
Required Generation 18,751 049 19,045,451 19 395 566 19,750,764 20,161 603 20,481 505 20,860 751 21 244,468 21 686 813 22,027 379
ResidentiaL,..",...."..",....",
CommerciaL...",.."..,.."..,..,.
Irrigation.,.."",...."..",.."",..,
IndustriaL...."..."....",..".....,
Additional Firm....................
Loss..",..".....,...."""....",....
Firm Load
Light Load..........................,
Heavy Load.........................
System Load
Firm Off-System Load.........
Total Load
Energy Efficiency (MW)......,
Demand Response (MW)....
Firm Peak Load
System Peak (1 Hour)
Firm Off-System Peak........,
Loss..",...""..""".."..",..,..,.
Total Peak Load
2016
681
570
200
345
147
191
135
2016
888
941
286
135
135
888
888
2017
693
584
201
353
149
195
174
2017
972
Average Load (Average Megawatts)2018 2019 2020 2021705 717 730 742598 612 627 642201 202 201 202361 369 378 386151 153 155 157198 202 205 209214 2,255 2 295 2 338
977
329
174
013
372
214
050
2,415
255
087
2,458
295
126
503
338
338
321
321
2022
755
658
203
395
158
213
381
2022
4,411
165
550
381
381
4,411
4,411
2023
769
673
203
404
160
217
2,425
2023
503
205
598
2,425
2,425
503
503
2024
782
689
203
413
161
221
469
2024
595
245
644
2,469
2,469
595
595
2025
796
705
203
423
163
225
515
286
693
515
515
2025
689
689
689
2006 Integrated Resource Plan
174 214 255 295
Peak Load (Megawatts)2019 202054 -78 -144 4 231
2018
058
2021
321
972 058 144 231
972 058 144 231
Page 45
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Hydroelectric and Thermal Plant Data
Hydroelectric Power Plants
American Falls...............................
Bliss...............................................
Brownlee.....................,..................
Cascade........................................
Clear Lake.....................................
Hells Canyon.................................
Lower Salmon..,.............................
Malad - Lower................................
Malad - Upper................................
Milner.............................................
Oxbow............................................
Shoshone Falls..............................
Strike, C J......................................
Swan Falls.....................................
Thousand Springs.........................
Twin Falls.......................................
Upper Salmon "
..........................
Upper Salmon "
..........................
Total Hydro
Thermal, Natural Gas,
and Diesel Power Plants
Estimated
Non-
Coincidental
Nameplate Maximum
kVA
102 600 340 112,420
250 000 000
650,444 585,400 728 000
800 12,420 000
125 500 (1)2,400
435 000 391 500 450 000
000 000 000
500 500 000
650 270 000
890 59,448 59,448
211 112 190,000 220,000
900 500 (1)500
000 800 000
600 000 547
000 800 (1)000
175 737 300
000 000 20,000
000 500 000
897 046 706 715
Generator Nameplate Rating
Gross kV A Gross kW
Estimated
Maximum
Dependable
Capability
(MDC)
Net kW
Bridger (IPC Share).......................
Boardman (IPC Share)..................
Valmy (IPC Share).........................
Total Thermal
Bennett Mountain...........................
Evander Andrews (Danskin)..........
Total Natural Gas
Salmon DieseL..............................
TotaliPC Generation
811 053 770 501
000 (2)050 (2)
315 000 283,500
185 053 110 051
192 000 172 800
105 882 000
297 882 262 800
880 000
386 862 084 566
500
706 667
500 (3)
260,650
025 817
171 900
100 000
271 900
(1) A power factor rating of 0.8 is assumed on four units (Clear Lake, Unit #2 at Shoshone Falls, and
Units #1 and #2 at 1000 Springs) with a total kVA rating of 6 127 kVA on which there is no
nameplate kW rating.
(2) The Boardman generator nameplate ratings increased from 59 000 gross kVA to 67 600 gross kVA
and from 56 050 gross kW to 64 200 gross kW. This was due to a rotor rewind, addition of H2
coolers, and static exciter.
(3) The HPIIP turbine was upgraded to boost generator output to 58,500 net kW.
Page 46 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Idaho Power Company
Qualifying Facilities
Cogeneration and Small Power Production Projects
Contract
On-line Date End DateProject Project
Contract
On-line Date End Date
Hydro Projects
Barber Dam....,..........,.............,...... Apr-1989 Apr-2024
Birch Creek...................................., Nov-1984 Oct-2019
Black Canyon #3,.,...,....................., Apr-1984 Apr-2019
Blind Canyon,..................,.............,. Dec-1994 Dec-2014
Box Canyon....,............,.................. Feb-1984 Feb-2019
Briggs Creek...........,.,..................... Oct-1985 Oct-2020
Bypass....,....,..,........................,...... Jun-1988 Jun-2023
Canyon Springs...........,..............,... Oct-1984 Non firm
Cedar Draw.......................,............. Jun-1984 May-2019
Clear Springs TrouL...,............,..... Nov-1983 Oct-2018
Crystal Springs................................ Apr-1986 Mar-2021
Curry Cattle Company...........,.,...... Jun-1983 Jun-2018
Dietrich Drop............................,...... Aug-1988 Aug-2023
Elk Creek..,...........,.......,................. May-1986 May-2021
Falls River..............................,........ Aug-1993 Aug-2028
Faulkner Ranch.,.,..,...............,....... Aug-1987 Aug-2022
Fisheries Development Co............, Jul-1990 Non firm
Geo Bon #2,......,.,.........,.,............... Nov-1986 Nov-2021
Hailey CSPP..,.........................,....., Jun-1985 Jun-2020
Hazelton A..,...,..,.............,..,.,......... Jun-1990 Jun-2010
Hazelton B.................,.....,.............. May-1993 Apr-2028
Horseshoe Bend Hydroelectric.,.,... Sep-1995 Sep-2030
Jim KnighL..................................., Jun-1985 Jun-2020
Kasel and Witherspoon...............,.. Mar-1984 Feb-2019
Koyle Small Hydro.....,..................., Apr-1984 Mar-2019
Lateral #10,................,...........,......., May-1985 Apr-2020
Lemoyne.,.....".,..........,.,................. Jun-1985 Jun-2020
Little Wood Rvr Res.............,.......... Feb-1985 Feb-2020
Littlewood-Arkoosh.......,...,....,....... Aug-1986 Jul-2021
Low Line Midway Hydro..,............... Mar-2007 Estimated
Lowline #2..,...............,.................,.. Apr-1988 Apr-2023
Total Hydro Nameplate MW Rating
Thermal Projects
Magic Valley....,.......,........,.....,....,...
Magic West"""""""",.."""",.".,..,
Nov-1996
Dec-1996
Nov-2016
Nov-2016
Total Thermal Nameplate MW Rating 37.
Biomass Projects
CO-GEN CO......."..............,...,......,
Emmett Facility,.,.."".,..,.,.,."."".""
Hidden Hollow Landfill Gas............,
Jan-2006
Dec-2007
Oct-2006
Jan-2007
Estimated
Sep-2026
Total Biomass Nameplate MW Rating 43.
Wind Projects
Arrow Rock Wind..........,................. Dec-2007 Estimated
Burley Butte Wind....,........,....,.....,.. Dec-2007 Estimated
Cassia Farm...............,.............,..... Dec-2007 Estimated
Cassia Gulch...,....,........................, Dec-2007 Estimated
Fossil Gulch Wind...,............,......,... Sep-2005 Sep-2025
Golden Valley Wind.......,...........,.... Dec-2007 Estimated
Horseshoe Bend Wind Park,.,....,... Feb-2006 Feb-2026
Lava Beds Wind..............,............,. Dec.2007 Estimated
Total Wind Nameplate MW Rating
Lowline CanaL...,.,.....,................,..,
Magic Reservoir...............,.,............
Malad River...,...............,.......,...,..."
Marco Ranches,.".,.""""""""""""
Mile 28.............,....,......,............,.....
Mitchell Butte...........,..........,..........,
Mora Drop",..""""".."""""""".,.",
Mud Creek S&S.............................,
Mud Creek White...............,............
Owyhee Dam CSPP.......................
Pigeon Cove,...,....,.,..,.....,..............
Pristine Springs.,...,.,..,.""""""""",
Pristine Springs #3..,.......................
Reynolds Irrigation,.........."..........."
Rim View"""""""""""",.,.,.."""""
Rock Creek #1...............................,
Rock Creek #2.........................,......
Sagebrush.,.",.,.",.,.,.".,."."."""""
Sahko Hydro..........,..,............,.......,
Schaffner.,.".,.,...,.",.,.,.""",..,.""",
Shingle Creek,.,.....,...,......,.....,.......
Shoshone #2,.,.,..".",."""""",..,.,.,.
Shoshone CSPP."",..,.,.,.".,.".".".,
Snake River Pottery............,......,...,
Snedigar.,..",.,.",.,.".,..,.,.".,.,.,.."",
Sunshine Power #2......,...,..............
Tiber Dam.,.",.,.",.,.,.,.".,.""""""",
Trout-Co.,.,.,."",."",.,.,.".,.,.,..,.,.,."
Tunnel #1..,.......,.......,.............,.......
White Water Ranch..............,........,
Wilson Lake Hydro........,...............,
141.
Simplot Pocatello.""",.",.".,.,.,..,.,.,
TASCO-Nampa",.,.,.".,.,.,..,.,."...",
TASCO-Twin Falls........................,
Pocatello Waste..........,............,..,..,
Tamarack CSPP..,....,........".,...,..,..
Treasure Valley digester.................
Vaagen Brothers Lumber Inc..........
Lewandowski Farms...............,......,
Milner Dam Wind......,....................,
Notch Butte Wind..........,...,.............
Oregon Trail Wind..........................
Pilgrim Stage Station Wind.............
Salmon Falls Wind............,.............
Thousand Springs Wind.................
Tuana Gulch Wind..,...,...................
206.
Geothermal Projects
Raft River Geothermal #1........,...... Jan-2007 Estimated
Total Geothermal Nameplate MW rating 10.
Total Nameplate MW Rating 438.
May-1985
Jun-1989
May-1984
Aug-1985
Jun-1994
May-1989
Oct-2006
Feb-1982
Jan-1986
Aug-1985
Oct-1984
May-2005
May-2005
May-1986
Nov-2000
Sep-1983
Apr-1989
Sep-1985
Jun-2006
Aug-1986
Aug-1983
May-1996
Jun-1982
Nov-1984
Jan-1985
Dec-1987
Jun-2004
Dec-1986
Jun-1993
Aug-1985
May-1993
Mar-2006
Sep-2003
Aug-2001
Dec-1985
Jun-1983
May-2007
Sep-1995
Mar-2005
Dec-2007
Dec-2007
Dec-2007
Dec-2007
Dec-2007
Dec-2007
Dec-2007
Apr-2005
May-2024
Apr-2019
Jul-2020
May-2029
May-2024
Estimated
Feb-2017
Jan-2021
Aug-2015
Oct-2019
Apr-2015
Apr-2015
May-2021
Non firm
Sep-2018
Mar-2024
Aug-2020
Non firm
Jul-2021
Jul-2018
Apr-2031
Jun-2017
Nov-2019
Dec-2019
Dec-2022
May-2024
Nov-2021
May-2028
Jul-2020
May-2028
Feb-2016
Aug-2008
Aug-2006
Dec-2020
May-2018
Estimated
Aug-2010
Mar-2010
Estimated
Estimated
Estimated
Estimated
Estimated
Estimated
Estimated
Cogeneration and Small Power Production Project (CSPP) Generation Information
The above is a summary of the Nameplate rating for the CSPP projects under contract with Idaho Power. In the case of CSPP projects
Nameplate rating of the actual generation units is not an accurate or reasonable estimate of the actual energy these projects will deliver to
Idaho Power. Historical generation information, resource specific industry standard capacity factors, and other known and measurable
operating characteristics are accounted for in determining a reasonable estimate of the energy these projects will produce, The application of
this information to the portfolio of CSPP projects resulted in the average annual MW from CSPP projects being 130 MW,
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 47
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Coal and Natural Gas Price Forecasts Used in Aurora Modeling
($/MMBTU Delivered-Nominal)
Sumas Henry Hub Henry Hub Henry Hub
Wyoming Regional Natural Gas Natural Gas Natural Gas Natural Gas
Year Specific Coal Coal (Expected (Expected)(Low
2006 $1.$1.$8.$8.$11.$4.
2007 $1.$1.$8.$8.$10.$4.
2008 $1.$1.$8.$8.$10.43 $4.
2009 $1.$1.$7.$8.$10.$5.
2010 $1.$1.$5.$6.$9.$5.
2011 $1.$1.49 $5.$6.$9.$5.
2012 $1.$1.$6.$6.$9.$5.
2013 $1.$1.$6.$6.$9.$5.
2014 $1.$1.$6.$6.$8.$6.
2015 $1.$1.$6.$6.$9.$6.
2016 $1.$1.$6.$7.$9.$6.
2017 $1.$1.$7.$7.$9.$6.
2018 $1.$2.$7.$7.$9.$6.40
2019 $1.$2.$7.$8.$9.$6.
2020 $1.40 $2.$8.$8.41 $10.$6.
2021 $1.$2.41 $7.$7.$10.$6.
2022 $1.$2.$7.$8.$10.$6.
2023 $1.45 $2.$8.$8.$11.$7.
2024 $1.$2.$8.$8.$11.40 $7.
2025 $1.$2.$8.$8.$11.$7.
1 Used in the Aurora analysis for a Wyoming specific coal resource.
2 Used in the Aurora analysis for a non-location specific, regional coal resource.
2006 IRP Fuel Forecast
$12
$11
$10
:J $7
...
Iii $5
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
..
i-""""
\..
-Wyoming Specific Coal-Sumas Natural Gas (Expected)
.. ..
.. Henry Hub Natural Gas (High)
-Regional Coal-Henry Hub Natural Gas (Expected)
- - -
Henry Hub Natural Gas (Low)
Page 48 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Natural Gas Forecast Source Comparison
$/MMBTU (Nominal)
$11.
.,/ .,/.................... ""'--.-"...-:;:;
1--
""",-:..".,..-'..............""""".,/""' ,,
1--
""'"..--!..
$10,
$9,
$8.
$7,
$6.
$5,
$4,
$3,
$2,
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
-NYMEX -IGI Resources ~NPPC-Low -NPPC-Med -NPPC-High -EIA -2006 IRP
Natural Gas Forecast Comparison
$/MMBTU (Nominal)
$11.
..........
.JII'
"'---- .,/"'"----
-+-1V--
L..--
$10.
$9,
$8.00
$7,
$6,
$5,
$4,
$3.
$2.
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
-2006 IRP -2004 IRP -2002 IRP -2000 IRP
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 49
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Coal Forecast Comparison
$/MMBTU (Nominal)
$2,
$1.40
....,/ .......,,/, ~
r:::J-"/ I
,,/
f--
---.........----=.,-""':: :::--
I--"I--
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::-----
f.--c..--
---
I--
$2,
$1,
$1,
$1,
$1,
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
-2006 IRP-Generic Coal -2004 IRP -2002 IRP -2000 IRP
Page 50 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Key Financial and Forecast Assumptions
Resource Cost Analysis
Financing Cap Structure and Cost
Composition
~~""",.,',.".,.,"""",.,""""",."..,"",..."."""""".."",."""
Preferred".."..".""""""",.,.",...."..",..,.",'..".",.."""",.."",
Common"",.",.."."""""..",.""",."."""."'..'"".""""""",,.,
TotaL,.."."""",..,..",.",.""..",.."".."."""",..,..""..,..".".,
Cost
Deb!.".".".""""..""",.."".,.""""""",""""""""..".",.",.".
Preferred""""".."".""",."..."..."."""""".,.""""".",."..,."
Common""",..."..."..."""""""..".""".".",...,."",.",."."""
Average Weighted Cos!..,....".....,.."................,.....,....",
50,54%
00%
49.46%
100,00%
65%
00%
10,50%
05%
Financial Assumptions and Factors
Plant Operating (Book) Life....,...,...................,......,..........,....., 30 Years
Discount Rate (aka WACC)...,................,..............................., 6,93%
Composite Tax Rate............,.........,.............,...,...,.................., 39,10%
Deferred Rate,......",....,....",.,.,..,.,...."....."......."....",..,.."...... 35,00%
General O&M Esc Rate..,.................................,......,...,.........., 3,00%
Emission Adder Esc Rate..............,...................,.....,....,...,..,... 2.26%
Annual Prop Tax Rate (% if Invest).......................,.,....,........., 0.41%
Prop Tax Esc Rate................................................................... 0,00%
Annual Insurance Prems (% of Invest)..................................., 0,25%
Insurance Esc Rate."..",...,.....,....,......,.."..."..,.."..,..."...,...,." 5,00%
AFUDC Rate (Annual)....,.",......,....,..,........."....,..,..,..."......,.., 6,75%
Prod Tax Credits (First 10 years of operations)..........,............ $19/MWh'
Prod Tax Credits Esc Rate....,................................................, 3,00%
1 For those wind and geothermal projects in service by 12-31-2008
Emission Adder Costs (2006 Dollars)
(adders are brought into the analysis beginning in 2012)
CO2..,..,............... $13,62 per ton
NOx...................., $2 600 per ton during May-September
Mercury..,............, $1 ,443/oz in years 2012-2017; $1 ,731/oz in year 2018 and beyond
CO2......,..,...",..",
NOx.."......,.......,..
Mercury......."....,..
Pulv. Coal
800
00002
Emissions Limits (pounds per MWh by technology)IGCC IGCC w/Seq. CFB Coal717 258 1 8001 1,1 1,00002 0,00002 0,00002
SCCT
164
CCCT
822
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 51
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Fuel Forecast Base Case ($ per MMBTU)
Minemouth
Year Gas Generic Coal'Nuclear Biomass Wyoming Coal'NW Railed Coal
2006 $8,$1,$0,$2,$1,$1,
2007 $8,$1.48 $0,$2,$1,$1,
2008 $8,$1,$0.40 $2.$1,$1,
2009 $7.$1,$0.40 $2,$0,$1,
2010 $5,$1,$0,$2,$0,$1.
2011 $5,$1,$0.$2,$0,$1,
2012 $6.$1,$0.40 $2,$1.$1,
2013 $6.$1.49 $0,$2,$1,$1,
2014 $6,$1,$0,$2,$1,$1,
2015 $6,$1,$0.40 $2,$1,$1,
2016 $6.$1,$0,$2,$1,$2,
2017 $7,$1,$0,$2,$1.$2.
2018 $7,$1.$0.40 $2.$1,$2,
2019 $7,$1,$0.40 $2,$1,$2,
2020 $8,$1,$0,$2,$1,$2,
2021 $7,$1.$0.40 $2,$1,$2.42
2022 $7,$1,$0.40 $2,$1,$2,
2023 $8,$2,$0,$2,$1,$2,
2024 $8.$2,$0,$2.$1,$2,
2025 $8,$2.$0.40 $2,$1,$2.
2026 $8,$2,$0,$2,$1.$2,
2027 $8.44 $2,$0,$2,$1,$3.
2028 $8.$2.$0.40 $2.$1.49 $3,
2029 $9,$2,$0,$2,$1,$4,
2030 $9.48 $3,$0,$2.$1,$4,
2031 $9.$3,$0.40 $2.$1,$4,
2032 $9,$3.$0.40 $2,$1.$4.
2033 $9,$3,$0,$2,$1,$5,
2034 $10,$3,$0.40 $2.$1,$5,
2035 $10,$3.$0.40 $2,$1,$5.
1 Used to estimate costs in the resource stack for the southern Idaho pulverized coal resource,
2 Used to estimate costs in the resource stack for the Wyoming pulverized coal resource,
3 Used to estimate costs in the resource stack for the regional pulverized, regional fluidized bed, regionallGCC with carbon sequestration, and regionallGCC coal projects,
Page 52 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
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Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Levelized Resource Cost Tables
Energy-Levelized Cost per Mwh
Supply-Side Resources
Geothermal Flash Steam with PTC (50 MW)....,.............,..............
Geothermal Flash Steam without PTC (50 MW).....,.................,....
Advanced Nuclear (1 100 MW)...........,.,......,............,......,....,........
Small Hydro Existing Facility (10 MW)....................,..,.......,...........
Geothermal Binary Cycle with PTC (50 MW).,........................,......
Combined Heat and Power (6 MW)....................,.........................,
Wind with PTC (100 MW).........................................,........,.......,...
Wyoming Pulverized Coal (575 MW).,.......................................,..,
Regional Pulverized Coal (600 MW).............................................,
South Idaho Pulverized Coal (600 MW)...........,.............................
Geothermal Binary Cycle without PTC (50 MW)............................
Regional Fluidized Bed Coal (600 MW)........,.....,..........................
Wind without PTC (100 MW),......................................,.................
RegionallGCC with Carbon Sequest. (600 MW)..........,....,...........
CCCT (540 MW),...........,......,.,......................"...,.....,....................
RegionallGCC (600 MW),..,...,.........,......,..........,.........................,
Small Hydro New Facility (10 MW),................................................
Wood Residue Biomass (25 MW).......................,...,.........,............
Industrial Simple Cycle CT (162 MW)..........,..,.............................,
Aero Simple Cycle CT (47 MW)........,...........................................,
Solar Thermal (100 MW)..........,...........,.......................................,
Solar Photovoltaic (5 MW),..........................................,.....".....,...,
Cost of Capital
26.
26,
33.
41.
39.
12.
54.
28,
28,
24.
39.
31,
54,
44.
10.
39.44
67.
31.49
10.
15.
83.48
173.
on-Fuel O&
21,
15.
12.
16.49
6.49
28,
10.
18,
13.
7.47
11.
14,
36.
17,
33,
23,
Fuel Emission Adders Total
36,
48,
4.41 53,
53.
56.
38.60.
60.
11,11.60.
16,11.66.
21,11,67,
68,
17,11.70.
73,
15.76.
53,76.
15,10.77.29
81.
29,98.
80.107,
76,115.
117.
196.
Energy Emission Adders Total
60.64.
60,69.
60,76.
60.76.
60.78.
60,79.49
60.79,
60.81.
60.81.
60.81.
Fuel Emission Adders Total
34.
39,
43.
Transmission Plus Market Purchase Alternatives
Transmission-From NW Lolo to IPC System (60 MW)..................
Transmission-From NW McNary to IPC System (180 MW)...........
Transmission-From NW McNary to Boise (180 MW).....................
Transmission-From Montana to IPC System (225 MW)...............,
Transmission-From Montana to Boise (225 MW).......................,..
Transmission-From Wyoming to IPC System (225 MW)...............
Transmission-From Nevada South to IPC System (225 MW).......
Transmission-From Wyoming to Boise (225 MW),.....,............,.....
Transmission-From NW Lolo to Boise (60 MW)......................,.....
Transmission-From Nevada South to Boise (225 MW).................
Cost of Capital
14,
14.
16.
17,
18.
19.
19.
20.20
on-FueIO&
1.46
DSM Programs
Commercial In-Place Construction (18 aMW)................................
Industrial Efficiency Expansion (41 aMW).............,.....,..,...............
Residential In-Place Construction (29 aMW)....................,............
Cost of Capital Non-FueIO&M
34,
39.
43.
Page 58 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Supply-Side Resources
Industrial Simple Cycle CT (162 MW).......,..................................,.
CCCT (540 MW)......,...,.,...,.,.,......,...,..,....",.,............,....,.....,..'.,...
Aero Simple Cycle CT (47 MW).,...........,..,.............,...........,..........
Combined Heat and Power (6 MW)..........,...............,.,......,...........
Wind (100 MW)...,...".,...."..............,..........,...............,.,....,.,.....,....
South Idaho Pulverized Coal (600 MW)....,...,.....,......,......,....,.......
Small Hydro Existing Facility (10 MW).,.,......,............................,...
Regional Pulverized Coal (600 MW).........................,.............,......
Wyoming Pulverized Coal (575 MW)...........,.....,.....,......,.........,....
Regional Fluidized Bed Coal (600 MW).....,..,.....................,..,......,
RegionallGCC (600 MW)..............................,.....................,......,..
Wood Residue Biomass (25 MW)..,...........................,.,.,...,...........
RegionallGCC with Carbon Sequesl. (600 MW)........,...,....,.........
Advanced Nuclear (1 100 MW),........,........................,....,.,......,.....
Geothermal Flash Steam (50 MW)......,.........,......,.......,................
Small Hydro New Facility (10 MW)..,...........,...........,....,........,.......,
Solar Thermal (100 MW)..............,............,...........,........,..............
Solar Photovoltaic (5 MW)........,.,.,.............,.......,..........................
Geothermal Binary Cycle (50 MW).......,.....,...,...,....,......,..............
Levelized Resource Cost Tables
Capacity- Levelized $/kW/month
Cost of Capital Non-Fuel O&M61 1.6.44 1.58 1,38 1.12.43 3,
15.92 3.
18.19 3,
18.59 3.
18,60 3.
19,93 4.
23.03 4,
18.39 12.
26.11 5.40
22.02 9,
18.67 15,
29.56 4,
25.60 10.
38.05 5.
27.51 18.
Fuel Emission Adders Total
16.40
19,
21.
22.46
22.46
24,
27,
31.
31.
31.
33,
33,
35,
43.
45.
Energy Emission Adders Total
Fuel Emission Adders Total
13.
15,
16,
Transmission Plus Market Purchase Alternatives
Transmission-From NW Lolo to IPC System (60 MW)..................
Transmission-From NW McNary to IPC System (180 MW)...,.......
Transmission-From NW McNary to Boise (180 MW).,...................
Transmission-From Montana to IPC System (225 MW)..,.............
Transmission-From Montana to Boise (225 MW)...................,......
Transmission-From Wyoming to IPC System (225 MW).....,........,
Transmission-From Nevada South to IPC System (225 MW)...,...
Transmission-From Wyoming to Boise (225 MW).........................
Transmission-From NW Lolo to Boise (60 MW)........................,...
Transmission-From Nevada South to Boise (225 MW)..........,......
Cost of Capital Non-Fuel O&M
DSM Programs
Commercial In-Place Construction (34 MW Peak).........................
Industriai Efficiency Expansion (76 MW Peak)...............................
Residential In-Place Construction (55 MW Peak).,....,...................
Cost of Capital Non-Fuel O&M
13.
15,
16.
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 59
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Brownlee Reservoir Inflow Record (Million Acre-Feet)
Record Used for 2006 IRP Modeling of Idaho Power Hydropower System
Based on (1) Idaho Department of Water Resources computed Snake River Basin record for January 1928-September 2002
and (2) observed streamflow record for October 2002-December 2004.
Brownlee April-July Brownlee Annual Brownlee April-July Brownlee Annual
Inflow Volume (MAF)Inflow Volume (MAF)Inflow Volume (MAF)Inflow Volume (MAF)
1928 15.1967 11,
1929 3.4 1968 3.4 10.
1930 8.4 1969 15,
1931 1970 14.
1932 10.1971 10.22.
1933 1972 20.
1934 2.4 1973 11.4
1935 1974 20.
1936 10.1975 17.
1937 1976 16,
1938 13.1977
1939 10.1978 12.
1940 10,1979 10,
1941 10.1980 13.2
1942 11.1981 4.2 11,
1943 18.1982 21.
1944 1983 10,23.
1945 11,1984 11.4 24.4
1946 15.1985 13,
1947 12.1986 8.4 20,
1948 12,1987 9.4
1949 12.1988
1950 6.4 14.1989 10.
1951 16.1990
1952 10.19.4 1991
1953 13,1992
1954 12.1993 12.
1955 1994
1956 17,1995 14,
1957 16.1996 19.
1958 7.4 15.1997 10.24.
1959 10.4 1998 8.4 17.
1960 10,1999 17.
1961 2000 11.
1962 10.2001 2.4
1963 11.2002 3.4
1964 13,2003
1965 8.4 19.2004
1966 10,
Page 60 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Wind Distribution Profile (from NWPCC's Fifth Power Plan-2005)
Project Size (MW): 100
Annual Capacity Factor: 35%
Flat Monthly Output (aMW): 35
Normalized Monthly Wind Energy Distribution (Basin and Range)
Annual
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec A \terage
Estimated Monthly Output (aMW)
Annual
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec A\terage
Normalized Monthly Wind Energy Distribution (Basin and Range)
1.40
0.40
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oet Nav Dee Annual
Average
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 61
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
DSM Analysis and Screening Criteria
DSM Program Development
In November 2004, Quantum Consulting of Berkeley, California, (now Itron Inc. of Oakland
California) completed a study for Idaho Power assessing the energy savings potential within the
residential and commercial sectors. The study served as the basis for the residential and commercial
retrofit program options analyzed in this IRP. The Company filed the Quantum study with the IPUC in
December 2004 as an addendum to the 2004 IRP, In order to meet the guidelines of the 2006 IRP, the
study output was later expanded with support from Quantum for program extension from 10 to 20 years
of utility operation.
The assumptions and energy estimates that support the industrial efficiency program extension were
developed internally by Idaho Power s engineering staff. The industrial program expansion and the
residential and commercial retrofit program options were each designed to maximize the potential
energy benefits of the resource while remaining cost-effective from a total resource perspective,
All DSM program options analyzed as part of the 2006 IRP included the following cost components:
Administrative costs
Marketing and advertising costs
Incentive payments
Participant costs
Once the program design and costing phase was completed, each new program was put through a series
of static screening analyses prior to being introduced into the dynamic IRP portfolio analysis in Aurora.
Screening Criteria
DSM screening criteria are designed to assess a program s potential to maximize benefits at the lowest
cost for all stakeholders. In addition to the strategic criteria listed in Chapter 5 of the 2006 IRP Plan, key
screening elements are:
Programs will be cost-effective. From a total resource perspective, estimated program benefits
must be greater than estimated program costs.
Programs will be customer-focused. From the participants' perspective, programs will offer real
benefits and value to customers. The Idaho Public Utilities Commission stated in Order
No. 29026
, "
It is our hope that the programs created by the DSM rider will empower customers
to exercise control over their energy consumption and reduce their bills.
Programs will be equitably distributed, From the customers' perspective, programs will be
selected to benefit all groups of customers. Over time, programs will be offered to customers in
all sectors and in all regions of the company s service territory.
Programs will be as close to earnings-neutral as possible. From the utility's perspective
programs will be selected to minimize the negative impact on shareowners.
Page 62 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
These criteria are used as guidelines in selecting a new program or initiative. A program that doesn
meet all of these criteria is not excluded from consideration, but would have to be further evaluated for
other valued characteristics. Ultimately, all programs must be cost-effective in order to be considered as
ordered by the IPUC.
Static Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
The cost-effectiveness analysis is the primary focus of the screening criteria. The static cost-
effectiveness analysis of DSM programs at Idaho Power is performed using the methods described in the
EPRI End-Use Technical Assessment Guide Manual as well as The California Standard Practices
Manual: Economic Analysis of Demand-side Programs and Projects.2 The proposed DSM programs
considered for inclusion into the 2006 IRP are evaluated from Utility Cost Test and Total Resource Cost
test perspectives.
Total Resource Cost Test (TRC)
The TRC test is a measure of the total net resource expenditures of a DSM program from the point
of view of the utility and its customers as a whole. Costs include changes in supply costs, utility
costs, and participant costs. (Transfer payments between customers and the utility are ignored).
The following are the calculations performed by this test:
Net Present Value: A net present value of zero or greater indicates that the program is cost-
effective from the total resource cost perspective.
Benefits-Cost Ratio: A benefit-cost ratio of 1.0 or greater indicates the program is cost-effective
from the total resource cost perspective.
Levelized Cost: This measurement makes the evaluation of potential demand-side resources
comparable to that of supply side resources. The cost stream of DSM resource (in this case, the
stream of utility costs and participant costs) is discounted and then divided by the stream of
discounted kW or kWh that is expected from the program.
Utility Cost Test
The Utility Cost test is a measure of the total costs to the utility to implement a DSM program.
IPUC Order No. 29026, May 20, 2002
2 www.cpuc.ca.gov/static/energy lelectric/energy+efficiency Iru Ie maki ng/std + practice+ ma n ua I. doc
3 EPRI End-Use Technical Assessment Guide (End-Use TAG), Volume 4: Fundamentals and Methods, Barakat and
Chamberlin, Inc, April 1991
4 EPRI End-Use Technical Assessment Guide (End-Use TAG), Volume 4: Fundamentals and Methods, Barakat and
Chamberlin, Inc, April 1991
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 63
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
The following are the calculations performed by this test:
Net Present Value: A net present value of zero or greater indicates that the program is cost-
effective from the Utility Cost perspective.
Benefits-Cost Ratio: A benefit-cost ratio of 1,0 or greater indicates the program is cost-effective
from the Utility Cost perspective.
Levelized Cost: This measurement attempts to put demand side resources on equal ground with
supply-side resources, As with supply-side resources, the cost stream ofDSM resource is
discounted and then divided by the stream ofkW and kWh that is expected from the program.
Payback: Number of years required for the energy benefits to equal the participants' costs for a
program.
DSM Analysis Calculation Definitions
Net Present Value: Calculated as the discounted stream of program benefits minus the discounted
stream of program costs using the Company s weighted average cost of capital (W ACC) for resource
planning.
Program Benefits
T=I (1+ WACC)t-
(minus)Program Costs
T=I (1+WACC)t-
Where: N = the total number of years, t = the incremental year, and WACC = the Company
weighted average cost of capital.
Benefits-Cost Ratio: Calculated as the discounted stream of program benefits divided by the
discounted stream of program costs.
Proaram Benefits
t=1 (1+WACC)t-
Proaram Costs
t=1 (I+WACC)t-
Levelized Costs: The present value of total costs of the resource over the life of the program in the
base year divided by the discounted stream of energy or demand savings, depending on how the
resource size has been defined.
Proaram Costs
T=I (1+ WACC)t-
Enerav Savinas
T=I (1+WACC)t-
Payback: Number of years from the initial program participation to the point at which the
cumulative benefits exceed the cumulative undiscounted costs for participants.
Page 64 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Incremental Costs: The additional cost incurred by choosing to select one option over another.
Total Installed Cost of Energy Efficient Option
Total Installed Cost of a Non-Energy Efficient Option
= Incremental Cost
Program Benefits Calculations
To quantify the "benefit" portion of the calculation five costing periods were created for the year that are
consistent with the IPUC approved rate schedule 19 tariff rate pricing periods. Each costing period
contains a price that reflects the alternative cost of energy and capacity at the associated time period.
The alternative cost represents the cost of energy resources that would most likely be the alternative at
that time period. Each time segment has a different alternative cost associated with it depending on the
expected price for that period.
Two methodologies were developed, at the request of the IRP AC, to evaluate the potential benefits
associated with alternative supply costs: peak oriented (gas turbine) and baseload oriented (thermal
plant) resource alternatives.
The peak alternative resource methodology employs five costing periods for each year to reflect the
market dynamics impacting costs associated with different times of the day or seasonally. Each costing
period contains a price that reflects the alternative cost of energy and capacity at the associated time
period, The alternative cost represents the cost of energy resources that would most likely be an
alternative including peak plant or the market cost of energy depending upon the load profile associated
with the program. Each time segment has a different alternative cost associated with it depending on the
expected price for that period. The baseload alternative utilized the capacity and variable cost associated
with a thermal (coal plant) alternative which applied to all hours of the year.
The results of the analyses showed all programs to be cost-effective under both the peak and the
baseload alternative resource cost methodologies. All programs showed greater benefits associated using
the peak resource alternative, however, the industrial efficiency program showed the showed highest
benefits using the baseload analysis. This benefit differential is attributable to the unique seasonal load
profiles associated with each program.
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 65
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
The following tables illustrate the time of day and time of year costing period definitions used in the
peak static program screening analysis:
SUMMER SEASON
June 1 through August 35
Hour Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Holiday
SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP
SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP
SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP
SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP
SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP
SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP
SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP
SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP
SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP
SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP
SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP
SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP
SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP
SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP
SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP
SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP
SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP
SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP
SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP
SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP
SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP
SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP
SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP
SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP
SOFP = Summer Off-Peak
SMP = Summer Mid-Peak
SONP = Summer On-Peak
Page 66 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
NON-SUMMER SEASON
September 01 through May
Hour
NSOFP = Non-Summer Off-Peak
NSMP = Non-Summer Mid-Peak
Market prices were developed within Aurora using the Preferred Portfolio as a resource basis (May
Aurora - 2006IRP - P3 - hrly _zone --'prices _20yr So Idaho). The values beyond 20 years are extended by
escalating the final year of the forward market price schedule for the additional years needed for the
analysis using the Company s escalation rate of 3.0% for capital investments.
The costing period prices are calculated using the following method:
. NSMP = Average of heavy load prices in January-May and September-December.
. NSOFP = Average of light load prices in January-May and September-December.
SOFP = Average oflight load prices in June-August.
SMP = Average of heavy load prices in June-August.
SONP = IPC variable energy and operating cost of a 162 MW Simple-Cycle Gas Turbine
Annual = IPC variable energy and operating cost of thermal coal plant
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 67
Appendix D-Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
The following table shows the schedule of variable and market alternative costs used to calculate the
benefit value of each program in the static analysis:
kff~f~~;~~tjiA"...~X'":~~roative E;ij~.rgy.c:~st ($/Mvvhr'
IPC Variable
Peak Cost Seasonal Market Price Forecast
Year SONP SMP SOFP NSMP
$91.$68.$51.$77.$65.$15.
$95,$69.$51.$78,$65.$15.
$88.$65.$48.$68.$55.$15,
$88.$66.$48.$68.$55.$15.
$67.$50.43 $37.$52.$42.$15.
$67,$55.$41.$54.$42.$15.43
$68.$67.$50.$64.$51,$31.
$71.$71.$54.$68.$54.$31.
$73.$74.$56.$70.$56.$32.
$75,$78.45 $59.$74.$59,$33.43
$78.$82.40 $62.$78.$63.$34.43
$82.$90.$66,$86.$69.$35.
$85,$92.$70.$90.$72,$36.43
$89.$98.$75.$95.$76.$37,
$92.$102,$79.$100.$80.$38.
$86.$97.$75.$94.42 $76,$39.40
$89.$104.$80.$101.$81.28 $40.
$93.$108,$84.$105.$85.$41.
$95.$114.48 $90.$111,$90.$42.
$99.47 $120.$96.$118.$95.$44.
$93,$123.$98.$121.$98.42 $45.
$97.$127.$101.$125.40 $101.$49.
$100.$131.$104.$129.$104.41 $51.20
$104.46 $135.46 $108.$133.$107.$52.
$108,$139.$111,$137.$110.$54.49
$110.$143.$114.$141,$114,$57.
$112.$148.$118.$145.$117.$58.
$114,$152.46 $121.$149.$121.$60.
$115.$157,$125.$154.$124,$62.
$117.42 $161.$129.$158,$128.42 $64.
Fixed plant costs were combined with the variable costs for developing total alternative costs. For the
peak alternative, a 162MW Simple Cycle Combustion Turbine plant was used as the cost basis, for the
baseload alternative, a coal thermal plant served as the cost basis. The levelized capacity cost factors
applied were $64.92/KW (peak) and $247.52(baseload).
DSM program analysis includes the assumption that the energy savings will continue beyond the
measure life time period for each program participant. This assumption is based on the principle that it is
reasonable to assume that once a person participates in the program, they will not revert back to a less
efficient behavior after the measure life expires. As a result, the energy savings schedule for each
program shows a ramp-up period followed by a sustained maximum level for the entire analysis period,
In the 2004 IRP the total period for analysis was 20 years. For the 2006 IRP this period was 30 years.
Page 68 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Dynamic Modeling
The results of the levelized cost analysis showed that the proposed DSM programs had sufficiently
lower costs than all but the geothermal supply-side resources. This result allowed the DSM portfolio to
be included in the dynamic modeling (Aurora simulation model) as a fixed resource for all supply-side
alternative portfolio analyses. This approach differs from the analysis in the 2004 IRP where the
programs were introduced in an equivalent manner as were the supply-side resources to determine the
beneficial impacts to the overall resource portfolio.
The following tables show the annual costs and energy savings associated with the DSM programs.
Energy Savings
MWh (Including Transmission Losses)
All Residential Commercial Industrial
Year Programs Retro Retro Expansion
2006
2007 280 462 817 000
2008 753 639 24,451 663
2009 158 607 980 301 327
2010 244 160 554 615 990
2011 320 054 134 876 106,525 78,653
2012 387 019 165 874 122 828 98,316
2013 446,812 192 391 136,441 117 980
2014 499,130 214 746 146,741 137 643
2015 544 700 233,456 153 938 157 306
2016 585,249 249,083 159 197 176 970
2017 604 010 248 180 159,197 196 633
2018 624 520 248,987 159 237 216 296
2019 645,510 249,796 159 754 235 960
2020 666 299 250,483 160 193 255,623
2021 686 887 251 047 160 554 275 286
2022 707 270 251,486 160 835 294 949
2023 727 346 251 738 160 996 314 613
2024 747 319 251 926 161 116 334 276
2025 767 085 251 989 161 157 353 939
2026 786 749 251 989 161 157 373 603
2027 786 749 251 989 161 157 373 603
2028 786 749 251 989 161 157 373 603
2029 786,749 251 989 161 157 373 603
2030 786,749 251 989 161 157 373,603
2031 786 749 251 989 161 157 373 603
2032 786 749 251 989 161 157 373 603
2033 786,749 251 989 161 157 373 603
2034 786,749 251 989 161 157 373 603
2035 786,749 251 989 161 157 373 603
2036 786 749 251 989 161 157 373,603
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 69
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Average Peak Reduction
aMW (Including Transmission Losses)
All Residential Commercial Industrial
Year Programs Retro Retro Expansion
2006
2007
2008 7.4 2.4
2009 18.
2010 27.11.4
2011 36.15.4 12.2
2012 44,18.14,11,
2013 51.22,15.13.
2014 57.24,16.15,
2015 62.2 26.7 17.18.
2016 66.28.4 18.2 20.2
2017 69.28.18.22.4
2018 71.28.4 18.2 24,
2019 73.28.18.26.
2020 76,28.18,29.2
2021 78.4 28.18.31.4
2022 80.28.18.4 33,
2023 83,28.18.4 35.
2024 85.28.18.4 38.2
2025 87.28,18.4 40.4
2026 89,28.18.4 42,
2027 89.28.18.4 42.
2028 89.28,18.4 42.
2029 89.28.18.4 42.
2030 89.28.18.4 42.
2031 89.28,18.4 42.
2032 89.28,18.4 42,
2033 89.28.18.4 42,
2034 89,28.18.4 42,
2035 89.28.18.4 42.
2036 89.28.18.4 42.
Page 70 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
July Peak Reduction
MW (Including Transmission Losses)
All Residential Commercial Industrial
Year Programs Retro Retro Expansion
2006
2007 4.4
2008 15,
2009 44,29.5.2
2010 70.48,14.4
2011 91,63.4 17.10,
2012 110.4 76.20.13.
2013 126,88.22.15.
2014 140.97.24,18.
2015 152,105,25.20,
2016 162.112.26,23,
2017 165.112.2 26.26.2
2018 167.112.26.28.
2019 170.112.4 26,31.4
2020 173,112.26.34.
2021 176,112.27.36.
2022 179.112.27.39.
2023 181.113,27.41.
2024 184.113.27.44,
2025 187.113.27.47.
2026 189.113.27.49.
2027 189.113,27,49.
2028 189.113.27,49,
2029 189,113.27.49.
2030 189.113.27,49,
2031 189.113.27,49.
2032 189,113,27.49,
2033 189.113,27.49.
2034 189,113.27.49.
2035 189.113.27,49.
2036 189.113.27.49.
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 71
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Utility Costs (Revised 10/12/06)
(OOOs-Present Value)
All Residential Commercial Industrial
Year Programs Retro Retro Expansion
2006
2007 558 318 361 $878
2008 995 664 958 374
2009 $17 299 $9,625 238 $3,436
2010 $16 581 327 $3,983 271
2011 $15 611 755 $3,770 086
2012 $14,486 936 639 911
2013 $13,789 065 $3,595 $3,128
2014 $12 218 236 $3,033 949
2015 $10 693 $5,491 $2,421 780
2016 895 846 115 934
2017 599 $499 $336 765
2018 $3,377 $480 $291 606
2019 148 $439 $252 $2,456
2020 174 $401 $219 555
2021 983 $386 $190 $2,407
2022 784 $351 $164 268
2023 599 $319 $142 138
2024 $2,427 $288 $123 016
2025 $2,437 $259 $107 071
2026 276 $231 $93 952
Total $148 928 $66 917 $32 030 $49 981
Page 72 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Total Resource Cost (Revised 10/12/06)
(ODDs-Present Value)
All Residential Commercial Industrial
Year Programs Retro Retro Expansion
2006
2007 107 893 937 276
2008 $14,434 075 249 $5,110
2009 $30,427 $14 522 974 931
2010 $28 266 $14 009 718 $6,539
2011 $25 776 $13 063 571 $6,142
2012 $23,307 $11 747 $5,791 769
2013 $21 503 $10,353 $5,349 $5,801
2014 $18 834 032 353 $5,448
2015 $16,334 855 362 118
2016 $14 775 841 814 120
2017 321 030 $482 809
2018 791 $876 $398 517
2019 312 $736 $332 244
2020 127 $622 $279 226
2021 753 $547 $235 $3,970
2022 $4,401 $471 $200 730
2023 083 $408 $171 505
2024 798 $357 $146 $3,294
2025 $3,707 $314 $126 267
2026 $3,455 $277 $108 $3,070
Total $247 510 $101 028 $54 597 $91 885
DSM Portfolio Options-2006 IRP (Revised 10/12/06)
Present Value
Savings Costs (ODDs)Levelized Costs B/C Ratio ack ..
Summer Annual
Peak Energy Utility TRC TRC
aMW MWh Cost Cost ($/kWh)($/kWh)TRC
Residential
Existing 28,113,251 989 $66 917 $101 028 $0.029 $0.044
Commercial
Existing 18.4 27,161 157 $32 030 $54 597 $0,020 $0,035 3.4
Industrial
Expansion 40.4 47,353 939 $49,981 $91 885 $0,022 $0.040 3.4
Total 87.187,767 085 $148 928 $247 510
. Based on Cumulative Savings in 2025
.. Based on December 2005 Rate Schedule
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 73
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Monthly Average Energy Surplus/Deficiency Data
th Percentile Water, 50th Percentile Load, 90th Percentile Peak-Hour Load
Year Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nav Dec
2006 666 437 556 285 232 196 159
2007 668 505 650 263 119 180 152
2008 643 485 752 230 157 121
2009 572 455 724 190 1252010495422603163 109
2011 535 413 597 134
2012 492 393 579 114 (21)
2013 422 359 551 (65)
2014 347 321 515 (121)
2015 255 288 485 (171)(34)
2016 180 255 455 (225)(83)
2017 104 222 425 (277)(134)(38)
2018 188 394 (11)(331)(187)(81)(75)
2019 153 362 (46)(384)(240)(25)(129)(8)(112)
2020 (65)118 331 (81)(1)(440)(296)(69)(167)(44)(150)
2021 (103)(37)298 (117)(49)(497)(353)(114)(205)(81)(189)
2022 (142)(74)265 (154)(99)(559)(409)(160)(245)(118)(228)
2023 (181)(111)231 (192)(149)(619)(468)(207)(285)(157)(268)
2024 (221)(147)(29)197 (230)(201)(678)(528)(255)(325)(195)(308)
2025 (260)(187)(67)163 (269)(253)(741)(590)(303)(366)(234)(348)
th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load, 90th Percentile Peak-Hour Load
Year Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nav Dec
2006 326 370 201 (35)154
2007 319 438 294 (88)139
2008 255 417 396 115
2009 185 386 368 (15)
2010 107 354 247 (67)
2011 118 355 220 (93)
2012 335 201 (11)(128)(87)
2013 296 173 (43)(173)(1)(145)
2014 213 137 (82)(229)(57)(185)(7)
2015 (18)(15)153 106 (117)(32)(281)(109)(31)(28)(219)(43)
2016 (53)(46)120 (150)(76)(335)(158)(72)(63)(253)(79)
2017 (89)(82)(184)(120)(388)(210)(114)(99)(287)(116)
2018 (126)(117)(219)(166)(443)(264)(157)(135)(322)(153)
2019 (163)(153)(17)(255)(215)(497)(318)(200)(172)(358)(191)
2020 (200)(186)(71)(291)(261)(554)(375)(244)(210)(394)(229)
2021 (239)(225)(32)(108)(328)(310)(611)(432)(290)(249)(432)(269)
2022 (278)(262)(70)(141)(365)(360)(675)(489)(337)(289)(470)(308)
2023 (318)(300)(107)(175)(404)(411)(736)(549)(384)(329)(508)(349)
2024 (357)(336)(145)(210)(442)(465)(796)(610)(433)(369)(547)(389)
2025 (398)(377)(184)(245)(482)(518)(859)(672)(481)(411)(586)(430)
th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Load
Year Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nav Dec
2006 224 (97)(12)
2007 285 128 (150)(20)
2008 192 230 (32)
2009 153 202 (4)(77)
2010 (13)121 (32)(129)(0)(42)
2011 (33)(63)(155)(25)(90)
2012 (29)(50)(85)(190)(59)(11)(113)
2013 (110)(87)(117)(235)(103)(29)(69)(146)(14)
2014 (144)(119)(29)(156)(41)(291)(159)(77)(114)(186)(55)
2015 (186)(160)(97)(191)(83)(343)(211)(121)(151)(220)(91)
2016 (221)(191)(159)(224)(127)(397)(260)(162)(188)(254)(127)
2017 (257)(227)(228)(258)(171)(450)(312)(204)(222)(288)(164)
2018 (294)(262)(13)(285)(293)(217)(505)(366)(247)(258)(323)(201)
2019 (331)(298)(48)(317)(329)(266)(559)(420)(290)(295)(359)(239)
2020 (368)(331)(83)(349)(365)(312)(616)(477)(334)(335)(395)(277)
2021 (407)(370)(119)(382)(402)(361)(673)(534)(380)(372)(433)(317)
2022 (446)(407)(157)(415)(439)(411)(737)(591)(427)(412)(471)(356)
2023 (486)(445)(194)(449)(478)(462)(798)(651)(474)(452)(509)(397)
2024 (525)(481)(232)(484)(516)(516)(858)(712)(523)(494)(548)(437)
2025 (566)(522)(271)(519)(556)(569)(921)(774)(571)(534)(587)(478)
1 Final values after thermal peaking resources were applied,
Page 74 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
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Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Monthly Peak-Hour Load Surplus/Deficiency Data (Revised 10/12/06)
th Percentile Water, 50th Percentile Average Load, 90th Percentile Peak-Hour LoadYear Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct2006 309 237 267 595 (246) (152) (187) (81) 46 3782007 258 476 208 423 (287) (216) (273) (104) 3532008 319 458 178 409 (337) (91) (167) 32 128 4992009 470 611 592 358 (223) (148) (223) (31) 43 4722010 431 579 551 499 (284) (210) (307) (108) (19) 4402011 433 615 541 497 (347) (270) (363) (128) (62) 4172012 428 597 546 378 (404) (335) (438) (190) (115) 3952013 388 578 507 351 (463) (411) (524) (264) (169) 3612014 350 551 463 317 (528) (485) (614) (341) (231) 3162015 306 516 425 689 (588) (561) (688) (427) (327) 2892016 266 491 387 393 (648) (636) (775) (502) (370) 2572017 230 458 349 801 (708) (713) (863) (580) (424) 2232018 190 427 309 606 (768) (790) (955) (656) (481) 1872019 190 427 309 606 (768) (790) (955) (656) (481) 1872020 150 398 269 577 (828) (869) (1 048) (733) (531) 1532021 68 337 186 519 (949) (1 024) (1 222) (901) (681) 2022 26 305 144 488 (1 011) (1 104) (1 315) (986) (726) 2023 (17) 273 101 458 (1 071) (1 189) (1,410) (1 060) (774) 2024 (59) 242 56 593 (1 133) (1 266) (1 518) (1 149) (844) (38)2025 (103) 208 13 397 (1 194) (1 352) (1 611) (1 224) (885) (80)
th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Average Load, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour LoadJan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct203 191 252 532 (252) (231) (257) (126) (24) 402152 432 190 377 (295) (297) (345) (146) (62) 378212 413 159 356 (349) (175) (241) (11) 66 521364 565 570 292 (233) (226) (299) (75) (36) 495311 559 525 403 (361) (351) (440) (174) (135) 444315 541 529 254 (425) (420) (517) (235) (187) 420315 541 529 254 (425) (420) (517) (235) (187) 420287 504 488 225 (488) (501) (606) (309) (239) 388251 495 439 188 (556) (579) (697) (387) (304) 341207 460 392 558 (611) (647) (771) (475) (417) 315167 434 348 258 (676) (727) (860) (551) (452) 284128 402 306 663 (742) (807) (950) (630) (505) 24990 372 265 466 (806) (887) (1 046) (706) (563) 21350 342 224 434 (870) (969) (1 142) (784) (610) 18010 313 186 381 (723) (1 052) (1 241) (860) (667) 129(34) 280 134 343 (989) (1 123) (1 318) (955) (778) 107(76) 243 89 310 (1 054) (1 207) (1,412) (1 038) (817) (119) 205 48 276 (1 143) (1 310) (1 508) (1 114) (860) (159) 169 407 (1 184) (1 373) (1 622) (1 203) (939) (11)(202) 128 (40) 206 (1 251) (1,466) (1 716) (1 279) (970) (54)
Year
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
90th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Average Load, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour LoadJan Feb March April May June July AuQ Sept Oct126 41 124 367 (327) (353) (323) (212) (211) 34792 245 62 211 (372) (419) (412) (231) (247) 319146 195 14 190 (426) (298) (310) (94) (119) 461288 344 323 126 (307) (349) (365) (165) (223) 435236 256 307 263 (369) (413) (451) (241) (284) 408201 191 278 237 (440) (473) (510) (269) (327) 383195 174 284 88 (506) (544) (588) (329) (379) 359156 155 246 60 (569) (624) (681) (403) (430) 328121 128 197 23 (639) (701) (771) (480) (495) 27575 93 158 355 (693) (771) (844) (576) (607) 25136 66 120 23 (758) (849) (935) (651) (643) 218(3) 35 84 388 (824) (930) (1 024) (729) (696) 182(42) 45 161 (891) (1 009) (1 122) (804) (754) 145(82) (25) 129 (955) (1 092) (1 219) (883) (802) 112(122) (54) (37) 99 (795) (1 174) (1 319) (958) (859) (165) (87) (85) 66 (1 072) (1 247) (1 395) (1 059) (966) (207) (119) (131) 35 (1 140) (1 329) (1,490) (1 142) (1 007) (3)(251) (151) (173) (1) (1 234) (1,432) (1 587) (1 217) (1 050) (41)(290) (182) (218) 131 (1 271) (1,495) (1 702) (1 307) (1 130) (84)(333) (215) (262) (70) (1 339) (1 588) (1 797) (1 380) (1 162) (135)
1 Final values after thermal peaking resources were applied.
Nay Dec
145
114
127 266
218
231
271
218
(39)159
(78)107
(113)
(139)
(161)(57)
(199)(117)
(199)(117)
(257)(176)
(321)(282)
(363)(341)
(387)(403)
(420)(451)
(490)(521)
Nay Dec
(191)
(226)
101 (75)
(128)
(127)
(186)
(186)
(66)(251)
(104)(304)
(138)(358)
(164)(418)
(184)(480)
(224)(542)
(283)(605)
(272)(656)
(344)(719)
(387)(783)
(411)(850)
(444)(891)
(514)(971)
Nay Dec
(264)
(299)
138 (148)
105 (203)
(246)
(203)
(261)
(32)(326)
(69)(380)
(104)(435)
(129)(496)
(148)(557)
(188)(621)
(248)(684)
(236)(733)
(309)(799)
(352)(864)
(376)(929)
(407)(969)
(478)050)
Page 78 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
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Monthly Northwest Transmission Constraint Deficiency Data
th Percentile Water, 50th Percentile Average Load, 90th Percentile Peak-Hour Loadan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct
(12)
(51) (108) (5) (179) (78) (262) (43) (165) (354) (5) (46) (237) (443) (290) (58) (113) (328) (534) (199) (100) (180) (412) (627) (247) (110) (242) (497) (754) (363) (219) (314) (577) (815) (418) (444) (239) (715) (906) (539) (344) (441) (743) (1 054) (652) (374) (508) (840) (1 106) (741) (495) (576) (929) (1 265) (774) (545)
(640) (1 012) (1 384) (891) (621)
(713) (1 108) (1,410) (995) (670)
th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Average Load, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Loadan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct
(51)
(10) ~6) (151) (29) (247) (105) (307) (116) (63) (185) (399) (56) (23) (129) (269) (490) (348) (143) (196) (353) (582) (268) (185) (260) (436) (676) (316) (221) (328) (521) (838) (443) (307) (393) (606) (866) (461) (526) (338) (804) (963) (614) (423) (529) (778) (1 142) (721) (480) (597) (865) (1 161) (814) (589) (663) (952) (1 356) (824) (637)
(731) (1 042) (1,482) (945) (723)
(800) (1 130) (1,470) (1 056) (758)
Year
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Year
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Year
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Average Load, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Loadan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct
(115)
(39) (179) (181)
~~
(115) (331) (1) (93) (8) (140) (336) (27) (316) (80) (220) (428) (168) (219) (144) (362) (522) (446) (343) (209) (382) (615) (362) (383) (277) (496) (710) (376) (398) (343) (629) (927) (532) (506) (411) (640) (903) (546) (727) (344) (941) (1 001) (704) (622) (553) (807) (1 234) (820) (574) (610) (894) (1 204) (912) (787) (729) (987) (1,448) (909) (835)
(747) (1 076) (1 575) (1 010) (922)
(851) (1 166) (1 518) (1 176) (958)
1 Final values after thermal peaking resources were applied.
Nov Dec
(43)
(105)
Nov Dec
(43)
(101)
(162)
(223)
(287)
(350)
(414)
(478)
Nov Dec
(50)
(112)
(170)
(231)
(294)
(358)
(422)
(486)
Page 82 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
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Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Monthly Northwest Transmission Constraint Deficiency Data with Peakers (2006-2015)th Percentile Water, 50th Percentile Load, 90th Percentile Peak.Hour Load (MW)
2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak-Hour Sup./Def.(64)(175)
Bennett Mountain 180 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Eyander
Deficiency
2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak-Hour Sup./Def,(131)(263)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Eyander
Deficiency (12)
2008 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak-Hour Sup./Def,(42)(177)(319)(13)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Eyander 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency
2009 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(96)(225)(383)(270)(78)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Eyander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency
2010 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(159)(287)(467)(187)(105)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Eyander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (51)
2011 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(225)(359)(525)(204)(187)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (108)
2012 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(281)(428)(595)(265)(242)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (5)(179)
2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(348)(501)(678)(325)(470)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (78)(262)(43)
2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(417)(588)(770)(427)(371)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (165)(354)(5)
2015 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Noy Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def,(478)(660)(859)(712)(485)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (46)(237)(443)(290)(58)
Page 86 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Monthly Northwest Transmission Constraint Deficiency Data with Peakers (2016-2025)
th Percentile Water, 50th Percentile Load, 90th Percentile Peak-Hour Load (MW)
2016 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def,(545)(751)(951)(622)(527)(9)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (113)(328)(534)(199)(100)
2017 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def,(611)(835) (1 044)(669)(538)(66)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (180)(412)(627)(247)(110)
2018 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(674)(920) (1 170)(785)(646)(127)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (242)(497)(754)(363)(219)
2019 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(745) (1 000)232)(840)(871)(9)(182)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (314)(577)(815)(418)(444)
2020 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(671) (1 138)323)(961)(771)(46)(251)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (239)(715)(906)(539)(344)
2021 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(28)(872) (1 166)(1,470)075)(801)(88)(310)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (441)(743)054)(652)(374)
2022 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(71)(940) (1 263)522)164)(922)(130)(360)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (508)(840)106)(741)(495)
2023 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(113)007) (1 352)681)197)(972)(174)(421)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (576)(929)265)(774)(545)
2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def,(159)072)435)(1,800)313)(1,049)(332)(491)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (640)012)384)(891)(621)(43)
2025 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(204)145) (1,531)827)(1,417)097)(261)(553)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Oanskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (713) (1 108)(1,410)(995)(670)(105)
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 87
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Monthly Northwest Transmission Constraint Deficiency Data with Peakers (2006-2015)
th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Load (MW)
2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak-Hour Sup./Def.(15)(85)(213)(20)
Bennett Mountain 180 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander
Deficiency
2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak-Hour Sup./Def.(60)(154)(302)(20)(32)(2)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander
Deficiency (51)
2008 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee
Peak-Hour Sup./Def.(112)(196)(357)(59)(80)(26)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency
2009 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(173)(256)(426)(324)(152)(78)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (10)
2010 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(236)(321)(512)(245)(209)(119)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (96)
2011 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(303)(383)(567)(270)(265)(87)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (151)
2012 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def,(361)(452)(663)(339)(324)(136)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (29)(247)
2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee
Peak Hour Sup./Def,(422)(528)(723)(364)(543)(195)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (105)(307)(116)
2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def,(494)(608)(815)(478)(450)(254)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (63)(185)(399)(56)(23)
2015 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dee
Peak Hour Sup./Def,(561)(692)(907)(771)(570)(312)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (129)(269)(490)(348)(143)
Page 88 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Monthly Northwest Transmission Constraint Deficiency Data with Peakers (2016-2025)
th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Load (MW)
2016 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(627)(775)(998)(691)(612)(370)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (196)(353)(582)(268)(185)
2017 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(692)(859) (1 092)(738)(649)(429)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (260)(436)(676)(316)(221)
2018 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(759)(944) (1 254)(865)(734)(6)(492)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (328)(521)(838)(443)(307)(43)
2019 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(36)(825) (1 028)283)(884)(953)(47)(550)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (393)(606)(866)(461)(526)(101)
2020 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def,(83)(770) (1 227)379)036)(850)(87)(610)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (338)(804)(963)(614)(423)(162)
2021 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(129)(961) (1 200)558)143)(907)(129)(671)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (529)(778)142)(721)(480)(223)
2022 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(173)029) (1,288)577)236)017)(170)(735)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (597)(865)161)(814)(589)(287)
2023 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(216)(5)094) (1 375)773)246)064)(215)(798)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (663)(952)356)(824)(637)(350)
2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(259)(54)163)(1,464) (1 898)368)150)(368)(863)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (731)042) (1 482)(945)(723)(414)
2025 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour Sup./Def.(306)(108)231) (1 553)886)(1,478)185)(301)(927)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (800) (1 130)(1,470)056)(758)(478)
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 89
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Monthly Northwest Transmission Constraint Deficiency Data with Peakers (2006-2015)th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load, 95th Percentile Peak.Hour Load (MW)
2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak-Hour Sup./Def,(32)(116)(243)(74)(102)
Bennett Mountain 180 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander
Deficiency
2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak-Hour Sup./Def.(75)(215)(366)(125)(187)(8)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander
Deficiency (115)
2008 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak-Hour Sup./Def.(129)(231)(387)(161)(232)(32)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency
2009 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef,(187)(320)(455)(412)(347)(85)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (39)
2010 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef.(251)(350)(596)(329)(298)(127)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (179)
2011 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef,(316)(412)(598)(359)(463)(95)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (181)(35)
2012 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef,(376)(538)(747)(424)(520)(144)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (115)(331)(1)(93)
2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef,(439)(563)(753)(449)(743)(203)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (8)(140)(336)(27)(316)
2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef.(512)(643)(845)(590)(646)(262)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (80)(220)(428)(168)(219)
2015 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef,(575)(785)(938)(869)(770)(320)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (144)(362)(522)(446)(343)
Page 90 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D-Technical Appendix
Monthly Northwest Transmission Constraint Deficiency Data with Peakers (2016-2025)
th Percentile Water, 70th Percentile Load, 95th Percentile Peak-Hour Load (MW)
2016 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef,(641)(805) (1 032)(785)(810)(377)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (209)(382)(615)(362)(383)
2017 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef.(13)(708)(919) (1 126)(798)(825)(435)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (277)(496)(710)(376)(398)
2018 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef.(54)(775) (1 052)343)(954)(933)(498)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (343)(629)(927)(532)(506)(50)
2019 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef.(96)(842) (1 063)319)(969) (1 154)(26)(560)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (411)(640)(903)(546)(727)(112)
2020 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef.(140)(776) (1 364)(1,417)126)050)(63)(618)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (344)(941)001)(704)(622)(170)
2021 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef.(190)(35)(985) (1,230)650)242)001)(105)(679)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (553)(807)234)(820)(574)(231)
2022 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef,(234)(82)042)317)621)(1,334)214)(147)(742)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (610)(894)204)(912)(787)(294)
2023 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef.(275)(6)(130)(1,161) (1,410)864)331)(1,262)(191)(806)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (729)(987)448)(909)(835)(358)
2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef.(319)(38)(179)178) (1 499)991)433)349)(6)(327)(870)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (747) (1 076)575)010)(922)(422)
2025 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Peak Hour SupJDef,(367)(74)(232)283) (1 589)934)598)385)(19)(280)(934)
Bennett Mountain 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Danskin
Evander 180 178 176 174 172 168 165 168 170 175 177 178
Deficiency (851) (1 166)518)176)(958)(486)
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 91
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Portfolio Summary and Description
Portfolio P.1 - Green
DSM 2007-2025 187 Energy 926
Wind 2008, 2009, 2011 500 Transmission 450
Geothermal (Binary) 2009 2011- 2014 2016-
18, 2020 490 Peak 1099
CHP 2010 2013 150 Total Name Plate 2027
Transmission McNary 2014, Montana 2018 450
Nuclear 2022 250
Total Name Plate 2027
Portfolio P I comprises a high degree of renewable energy generating resources and a large reliance on
market purchases via upgraded transmission paths to meet peak capacity needs. Portfolio PI represents
the lowest carbon exposure.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $306,212
Resource Total 348 136
Market Sales 670 626
Total 983 722
Portfolio P2 - Transmission
DSM 2007-2025 187 Energy
Wind 2008 100 Transmission
Geothermal (Binary) 2009 Peak
CT 2010 170 Total Name Plate
Transmission Lolo 2011 , McNary 2013
Montana 2018, White Pine 2024 1260
Nuclear 2022 250
Total Name Plate 2017
394
1260
662
2017
Portfolio P2 explores the implications of extensive transmission upgrades and reliance on the market to
provide the bulk of the new base load and peaking needs.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $958 789
Resource Total 600 116
Market Sales 207 782
Total 351 123
Page 92 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Portfolio P3 - 2004 IRP with diversified additions
DSM 2007-2025
Wind 2008 2012
Geothermal (Binary) 2009, 2021 , 2022
CHP 2010, 2020
Transmission McNary 2012, Lolo 2019
Coal 2013
IGCC 2017
Nuclear 2022
Total Name Plate
187
250
225
110
285
250
250
250
1807
Energy
Transmission
1139
285
1284
1807
Peak
Total Name Plate
Portfolio P3 adjusts and extends the 2004 IRP with a diversified mix of renewable, transmission, and
thermal resources.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $517 744
Resource Total $6,313,858
Market Sales 866,829
Total 964 772
Portfolio P4 - Basic Thermal
DSM 2007-2025 187 Energy 1187
Wind 2008 100
CHP 2008 Peak 1562
Geothermal (Binary) 2009 1657
Coal 2012 2016 2020 850
CT 2018 170
Nuclear 2022 250
Total Name Plate 1657
Portfolio P4 satisfies the base load and peak growth with a heavy reliance on new pulverized coal and
natural gas peaking generation. It contains no transmission upgrades. This portfolio has the greatest
carbon exposure.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $270,096
Resource Total 227 009
Market Sales 655,419
Total 841 685
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 93
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Portfolio P5 - Clean Coal Portfolio
DSM 2007-2025
Wind 2008
CHP 2008
Geothermal (Binary) 2009
IGCC 2012 2016
CT 2018
CCCT 2021
Nuclear 2022
Total Name Plate
187 Energy 1104
100 Transmission
Peak 1537
Total Name Plate 1632
600
170
225
250
1632
Portfolio P5 examines heavy thermal portfolio with IGCC coal and a large combines cycle natural gas
resources.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $297 995
Resource Total $7,431 968
Market Sales $2,463,595
Total 266 369
Portfolio P6 - 2004 IRP with Heavy Geothermal and Combustion Turbines (CT)
DSM 2007-2025 187 MW EnergyWind 2008 100 MW TransmissionCHP 2008 100 MW Peak
Geothermal (Binary)
2010 2013 2018
CT 2012 2020,2021
Coal 2013 2017
IGCC 2022
Total Name Plate
1042
1752
150
510
500
300
1847
Total Name Plate 1847
Portfolio P6 adjusts and extends the 2004 IRP with three 170 MW natural gas CT's , 220 MW s of
Geothermal and a 300 MW IGCC coal plant. Idaho Power generation requirements are predominantly
peak driven which requires a large capacity for a relatively few peak hours per year. CT's are one way to
provide this capacity and P6, P7, P8, and P9 examines heavy CT reliance,
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $289 365
Resource Total 156,598
Market Sales 501 643
Total 944 319
Page 94 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Portfolio P7 2004 IRP with Heavy Geothermal and Combustion Turbines with some Transmission
DSM 2007-2025 187 MW EnergyWind 2007 100 MW TransmissionGeothermal (Binary) 2010 50 MW PeakCHP 2010 50 MW Total Name PlateTransmission McNary 2011 225
Coal 2013 2018 500
CT 2020, 2021 340 IGCC 2022 300 Total Name Plate 1752
901
225
1432
1752
Portfolio P7 adjusts and extends the 2004 IRP similarly to P6 but with increased transmission enabling
greater import capacity and consequently market purchases to provide for some of the system peaking
requirements and offsetting a CT and some geothermal and CHP generation.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $412 236
Resource Total $6,650,659
Market Sales 065 285
Total 997 609
Portfolio P8 2004 IRP with Outrageous CT's and some Geothermal
DSM 2007-2025 187
Wind 2007 , 2011 350 CHP 2008 48
Geothermal 2010-2013 2018 250 Coal 2013 250
CT 2012 2017 2020 2021 680 IGCC 2021 300 Total Name Plate 2065
Energy
Transmission
Peak
Total Name Plate
948
1721
2065
Portfolio P8 starts with the 2004 IRP and builds the most peaking focused portfolio. CT's are relatively
cheap to build and if not run a lot of hours provide a good choice to provide capacity. P8 examines the
addition of 4 170 MW CTs. Additionally, some of the pulverized coal identified in the 2004 IRP was off
set with Geothermal resources.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $321 042
Resource Total 026,768
Market Sales 535,129
Total 812 681
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 95
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Portfolio P9 2004 IRP Heavy CTs and IGCC sequestration
DSM 2007-2025 187Wind 2007 100CHP 2008 100
Geothermal (Binary) 2010 2013 2018 150
CT 2012 2020 2021 510
Wyo IGCC w/seq 2013 250Coal 2017 250IGCC 2022 300Total Name Plate 1847
Energy
Transmission
1042
1752
1847
Peak
Total Name Plate
Portfolio P9 begins with the 2004 IRP and focuses on peaking and geothermal resources with carbon
sequestered coal generation.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $289,882
Resource Total 182 044
Market Sales 501 215
Total 970,712
Portfolio P10 - Heavy Pulverized Coal
DSM 2007-2025 187 Energy 1356
Wind 2008 100 Transmission 225
CHP 2009 100 Peak 1592
Geothermal (Binary) 2009 Total Name Plate 1912
Transmission McNary 2014 225
Coal 2012 2016 2018,2023 1000
Nuclear 2021 250
Total Name Plate 1912
Portfolio PIO focuses on pulverized coal with four 250 MW projects over the planning period.
Pulverized coal is a proven and reliable technology with a plentiful fuel source. Portfolio PI0 is
distinguished as the portfolio that adds the most base load generation.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $265 690
Resource Total 503 565
Market Sales 797,467
Total 971 787
Page 96 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D-Technical Appendix
Portfolio P11 - Transmission Bridger to Boise with Wyoming Wind
DSM 2007-2025 187
Wind 2009 2016,2018 2020 1100 CHP 2009 100
Geothermal (Binary) 2009 50
Transmission
Energy
Transmission
Peak
Total Name Plate
1016
1475
893
3412
Wyoming 2012, McNary 2014
Coal 2013
Nuclear 2020
Total Name Plate
1475
250
250
3412
Portfolio Pl1 explores increasing the transmission capacity between Wyoming and Boise, There was
enthusiastic support for this configuration among some of the IRPAC members. The rational is to
provide a means of accessing the high capacity wind area that are located in Wyoming. This portfolio
has the distinction of including the most facility nameplate.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $410,636
Resource Total 860 774
Market Sales $2,401 375
Total 870 035
Portfolio P12 Nuclear
DSM 2007-2025 187 Energy 1289
Wind 2008 100 Transmission 225
CHP 2009 100 Peak 1492
Geothermal (Binary) 2009 Total Name Plate 1812
Coal 2013 250
Transmission McNary 2014 225
Nuclear 2016, 2018, 2023 900
Total Name Plate 1812
Portfolio P12 incorporates a nuclear resource solution to Idaho Power generation growth requirements.
Expected Case Aurora Years 1-20 NPV ($000)
Market Purchases $262 189
Resource Total 500 132
Market Sales 966 285
Total 796,034
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 97
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Summary of Initial Portfolios
Resource P10 P11 P12
CCCT 225
CHP 150 110 100 100 100 100 100
Coal 250 850 500 500 250 250 000 250 250
170 170 170 510 340 680 510
DSM 187 187 187 187 187 187 187 187 187 187 187 187
Geothermal
(Binary)490 225 150 250 150
IGCC 600 300 300 300 300
Nuclear 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 900
Transmission 450 260 285 225 225 1,475 225
Wind 500 100 250 100 100 100 100 350 100 100 100 100
Wyo IGCC
w/seq 250
Total
Nameplate 027 017 807 657 632 847 752 065 847 912 3,412 812
Energy 926 394 139 187 104 042 901 948 042 356 016 289
Transmission 450 260 285 225 475 225
Peak 099 662 284 562 537 752 432 721 752 592 893 492
Page 98 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Coal Based Generation Technology Assessment
Executive Summary
DRAFT
With the recent increase in natural gas prices and gas delivery restrictions, coal based power
generation is regaining a stronghold in the power generation industry. When considering the
many common and developing coal generation technologies available for utility application, it is
important to understand the relative benefits and potential pitfalls associated with various options
currently being considered for new power generation facilities.
The purpose of this white paper is to present a summary level comparison of key parameters
associated with each of the most prevalent commercial coal-fired generation technologies
currently being considered in today s power generation market. The technologies addressed
include the following:
Sub-critical pulverized coal combustion.
Super-critical pulverized coal combustion.
Ultra-super-critical pulverized coal combustion.
Circulating fluidized bed combustion.
Integrated gasification combined cycle technologies.
Pressurized fluidized bed combustion.
The relative perfonnance, environmental emissions, and electrical generation costs for each of the
technologies for a western coal application are compared. In addition, the sensitivity of
generation cost for the most prominent technologies to unit size, capital costs, and key
environmental risks for mercury control and carbon dioxide emissions are addressed.
The comparison assumes a typical 600 MW unit, located on a western US plant site, designed to
utilize western bituminous and sub-bituminous coal supplies.
1.1 Overview of Technologies
The following is a brief description of each of the coal generation technologies considered in this
assessment.
Pulverized Coal (PC) Boilers.PC boiler technology is a well-proven technology that is
dominating the current market for large projects under development and construction. This boiler
technology is characterized by firing coal which has been pulverized to a fine particle size (50
microns or smaller) and then blown into the boiler with combustion air and rapidly combusted.
The combination of the fuel particle size and direct injection with combustion air results in very
high combustion rates when compared to other technologies such as circulating fluidized bed
boilers. Pulverized coal boilers consist of a membrane-wall furnace or combustion zone
consisting of either vertical or spiral-wound water tubes. This membrane wall serves as the
evaporative section of the boiler. In the furnace, fuel and combustion air are injected through
wall-mounted burner assemblies with staging of combustion air to minimize the fonnation of
NOx. Some steam superheater surface is often located in the furnace in the form of pendant heat
exchange surfaces, The combustion products or flue gases flow upward through the furnace and
enter a backpass, or convective section which includes steam superheaters, reheaters
economizers, selective catalytic NOx reduction systems, and air heaters. Split backpass sections
061506-
Cummins & Barnard
DRAFT
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 99
Appendix D-Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
in which the flue gas flows through two parallel gas paths, are often utilized to assist in steam
temperature control and to minimize the use of water spray attemperation,
The thermodynamic steam cycle for large pulverized coal fired units have been implemented in
three basic steam cycles:
Subcritical drum type units with maximum continuous throttle pressures up to 2,400 psig
and typically 1000 OF /1000 of superheat/reheat steam temperatures. Overpressure (OP)
design conditions for this cycle would typically allow for temporary operation at a
throttle pressure of2 520 psig.
Supercritical units with throttle pressures at 3 500 psig, (3 675 psig-OP) and with 1 000
f to 1 100 of superheat and reheat temperatures and typically would be applicable for
units greater than 400 MW class designs. Supercritical technologies operate on a once-
through steam/water cycle concept with no steam drum in the steam generator flow path.
Water is circulated through the boiler heat transfer surfaces, evaporated within the boiler
tubes, superheated and/or reheated, and directed to the steam turbine generator.
Supercritical cycles have typically been implemented with a single steam reheat system,
Ultra-supercritical units with throttle pressures as high as 4 200 psig and 1 100 o
superheat and reheat steam temperatures that are generally applied to extremely large
units (1,000 MW class). These units have been successfully implemented in Europe and
Japan with little operating experience in the United States. Further development and
advancement of the ultra-supercritical technologies is focusing on the development of
new piping and equipment materials required to further elevate the steam cycle
conditions and improve overall thermal cycle efficiency. Ultra-supercritical technologies
are similar to the supercritical technologies with respect to the use of a once-through
steam/water cycle. While supercritical cycles have typically been limited to single reheat
systems, ultra-supercritical units may utilize double reheat steam cycles.
Circulatin2 Fluidized Bed (CFB) Boiler.CFB boiler technology represents a mature
technology in which crushed fuel and limestone (and/or other inert bed materials) are injected
into the furnace where they are suspended in a fluidized bed by combustion air that flows
vertically through the furnace. The elutriation of the fuel particles and bed material allows for
long residence time for combustion as the gas stream moves from the bottom of the furnace
through a particulate separation device and exits through a standard convective heat transfer
section at the backend of the boiler. Due to the low combustion temperatures and the use of
limestone as a bed material, emissions of NOx and SO2 emissions from CFB boilers are
inherently lower than those of PC boilers. The separator device located at the furnace gas outlet
collects bed material entrained in the flue gas for recycle back into the furnace; thus, the term
circulating fluidized bed is applied. The particle separator at the furnace exit can take many
forms ranging from the typical cyclone design with a vortex finder and J-valve to internal U-
Beam devices which form a tortuous path where particulate collects via impaction with the U-
Beams. CFB boiler designs are adaptable to a wide range of fuels, allowing utilization of low
rank coals, waste fuels, and opportunity fuels such as petroleum coke.
Selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR) systems are typically employed to help further reduce
NOx emissions without the need for a SCR catalyst. SO2 removal efficiencies as high as 95
percent have been achieved through injection of limestone directly into the furnace.
061506-
Cummins & Barnard
DRAFT
Page 1 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
CFB boiler technology applications to date have utilized sub-critical thermal cycles. The first
supercritical, 450 MW, once-through CFB unit is currently under construction in Poland by
Foster Wheeler. There are no technical concerns for this enhancement of the technology other
than the threshold criteria of about 400 MW were supercritical designs become more
economically viable, However, designs are offered by other suppliers for larger, supercritical
once through CFB boilers up to 600 MW in size, but to date no units have been built. The current
size limit ofCFB boilers is 400 MW.
Intee:rated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC).IGCC is a developing clean-coal technology
that combines the gasification of coal to syngas and integrates this with a standard gas turbine
combined cycle power plant. Gasification processes have and are operating in the chemical
industry for many years with a number of proven utility-size IGCC power plants. IGCC
development projects are prevalent in today s market, but are focused on a select number of
utilities and independent power producers that are funding up-front front-end engineering and
design (FEED) analyses to definitively establish design, performance, and cost information.
Most of the development projects are funding FEED efforts for high sulfur bituminous and
petroleum coke-type fuels, Presently, there appears to be limited interest in developing western
bituminous or sub-bituminous fuel designs by the prominent gasification suppliers (OEMs).
For the gasification process coal is reacted in a gasifier, producing a raw fuel gas that is cleaned
and combusted in a gas turbine as part of a combined-cycle power block. Coal gasification
involves the partial oxidation of coal at an elevated temperature and pressure which produces the
syngas that has combustible components, including hydrogen, carbon monoxide and methane.
Gasification takes place in a gasifier/reactor, where coal is processed in three steps: drying
(evaporating moisture), pyrolysis (decomposition / transformation of chemical compounds) and
gasification (partial oxidation). The syngas from the coal gasifier is then quenched and/or cooled
through a series of integrated heat exchangers and then scrubbed for removal of particulates and
sulfur.
Typical syngas compositions leaving the gasification system have low heating values compared
to natural gas, Clean syngas is combusted in one or more gas turbines, which exhaust to multiple
pressure, sub-critical heat recovery steam generators (HRSGs). The HRSGs produce steam for a
conventional steam turbine cycle as well as steam required for the gasification process. Oxygen
required for the gasifier (either air-blown or oxygen-blown) is often provided via the gas turbine
compressor. For oxygen-blown designs, a cryogenic air separation unit is required,
Since the volume of the syngas produced is significantly less than the flue gas produced by the
combustion turbines, removal of pollutants is generally more efficient than with other coal
generation technologies. This characteristic is very attractive and has good potential for
economically achieving aggressive pollutant emissions standards. The key area of future benefit
is associated with the capability for carbon dioxide capture for sequestration (CCS) that can be
adapted through this technology.
Pressurized Fluidized Bed Combustion (PFBC).PFBC coal technology can be characterized
as a standard combined cycle facility with an external combustor for the combustion turbine. The
combustor is a pressurized combustor supplied with coal and combustion air from the combustion
turbine compressor. The combustion units are fairly compact and operate at pressures consistent
with the combustion turbine design, typically in the range of 145 to 220 psig, and combustion
temperatures in the range of 1400 to 1600o
061506-
Cummins & Barnard
DRAFT
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 101
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Hot pressurized flue gas from the combustor is used to directly produce steam and is also sent
through hot cyclones and supplied to a gas turbine for expansion and power production. Gas
turbine exhaust gas is then sent through a heat recovery steam generator for additional steam
production for steam turbine power generation. Ultimately the steam turbine will create
approximately 80% of the plant power with the combustion turbine providing the other 20%. The
key challenge to this cycle design is having a gas turbine design that can accept a flue gas with
residual solid particles.
Due to the limited commercial deployment of this technology, the complexity of the various plant
systems, mixed performance results from recent applications, and the limited apparent benefits of
the technology (i,e. lack of significantly improved cycle efficiencies and emissions as compared
to other technologies), PFBC technology is not currently considered a realistic option for a 600
MW power generating facility.
Table 1.1-1 provides a summary level side-by-side comparison of the key differentiators between
the technologies included in this evaluation.
061506-
Cummins & Barnard
DRAFT
Page 102 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
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Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
2 Comparison of Performance
The relative performance of the various coal generation technologies is presented in Table 1.
This includes the expected plant efficiency, water consumption, waste generation, and emissions
for the various options,
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Gross OutDut (MW 649,649.649,435,730,
Auxiliary Power (MW 49,49.49,35,130,
Net Output (MW 600,600,600,400,600.
Net Cycle Heat Rate (Btu/kWH HHV 9371 8955 8859 289 131
Net Cycle Efficiencv (% HHv)36.42%38,11%38,53%36,74%41,98%
Environmental Considerations
NOx Emissions (lb/MMBtu)07 to 0.45 04 to 0,04 to 0.07 to 0,18 03 to 0,
S02 Emissions Ib/MMBtu)1 to 0,06 to 0.06 to 0,1 to 0,015 to 0.
CO2 Emissions (T/MWH (net))
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Waste / Byproduct Generation
Flv Ash Clb/MWH)52,50.49.67,
Bottom Ash/Slao (Ib/MWH)13,12,12,17,47,
Gypsum Clb/MWH)20,19,19,
Sulfur (H2 (Ib/MWH)
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Table 1.2-1. Technology Performance Summary
In reviewing the relative performance of the various technologies, the combined cycle
efficiencies of IGCC technologies are better relative to the other technologies. The expected
thermal efficiency of a 600 MW IGCC plant is 3 to 4 percent better than the supercritical options
(both super-critical and ultra-supercritical) for the PC and CFB technologies. The IGCC
efficiency is also 5 to 6 percent greater than that of the sub-critical thermal cycles. As expected
for PC and CFB combustion technologies, thermal cycle efficiencies improve as the steam cycle
pressures and steam temperatures increase. The ultra-supercritical heat rates are only slightly
better than those of the super-critical cycles.
With regard to emissions, both the PC and the CFB technologies have established Best Available
Control Technology (BACT) standards for control of emissions from plants. It is assumed that
IGCC and PFBC plants, if applicable, can easily attain comparable levels as part of a plant
permitting process, The IGCC technologies appear to be capable of achieving emissions
standards that are equivalent or possibly better than current BACT standards for PC and CFB
technologies; although, further investigation of the total emissions from an IGCC (including
emissions during process start-up and shut-down) is warranted relative to PC and CFB
technologies. The approach for capture of mercury emissions for each of the technologies
appears to be similar (i.e. adsorption with activated carbon) based on current technology
indications; however, given the lower volumes of gas to be treated, the IGCC applications would
have a significant cost advantage.
It should be noted that CO2 sequestration (i.e. permanent disposal of collected CO2) is a
developing concept. If a CO2 control strategy is employed for any of the technologies
implementation of a sequestration strategy would involve a comparable level of equipment and
costs for each of the technologies.
061506-
Cummins & Barnard
DRAFT
Page 1 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
3 Comparative Costs
Table 1.3-1 presents a comparison of capital, fixed and variable operating and maintenance
(O&M) costs, as well as estimates of the costs of electrical generation for each of the coal
generation technologies, It should be noted that this analysis is based on coal firing only without
any supplemental fuels. For this reason, the availability of power generated from the IGCC
facility is limited to a rather aggressive value of 80 percent based upon 100 percent gasifier
capacity and no spare units available. With a spare gasifier, the availability of the IGCC facility
has been increased to 85 percent which is consistent with the remaining technology options.
~ cc.
Capital Cost
First Year Cost of Generation
CaDi1a1 Recoverv
Fixed O&M Cosls
Variable O&M Costs
Consumable O&M Costs
Fuel Costs
Tolal First Year COG
Levellzed Cost of Generation
CaDilal Recovery
Fixed O&M Costs
Variable O&M Costs
Consumable O&M Costs
Fuel Costs
Tolal Levelized COG
Un.ltS
($/kW net)
$/MWH
$/MWH
$IMWH
$/MWH
$/MWH
($IMWH)
$/MWH)
$/MWH)
$/MWH\
$/MWH\
$/MWH)
($/MWH)
'" ... .
:' c' "Pul!limZeCli!;io.J '
,' . '
$\I~~. '$I!~~~~L '~~T:. ..$.!!!M!~~r ~~!!i;i! 'Wl#!j~
$1,814 $1 907 $1,913 $2,073 $2,290 $2.430
$25,
$6,
$0.42
$2,
$13.
$48.42
825,
$6,
$1,
$1,
$18.
$53,
Table 1.3-1. Technology Cost Summary
1.4 Cost Sensitivity to Unit Size
$27,
$6,
80.42
82,
$13,
$49,
$27,
$6,
$1,
$1.
$17,
$54,
827,
$6,
$0,
$2,
$13,
$49,
$27.
$6,
$1,
$1.78
$17,
$54.
$29,
$7.Q1
$0.43
82,
$13,
$53,
$29.
$6,
$0,
$2,
$18.40
$57,
$34.
$8,
$1,
$1,
$12,
$57.47
$34,
88.
81,
$1.
$12,
$57,
$34,
$7,
$1.97
$0.
$16,
$61,
$34,
$7.
$1,
$0,
$16,
$60,
As an indication of the sensitivity of generating costs to plant size, Table 1.4-1 presents estimated
capital, fixed and variable O&M, and COG for 300 MW, 600 MW, and 750 MW subcritical
plants and 600 MW and 750 MW supercritical PC generating facilities. As would be expected
the estimated COG decreases as unit size increases due to the economy of scale realized through
the larger generating units,
300 MW Sub. 600 MW Sub-Critical PC Critical PC
325 MW Gross 649 MW Gross
531,0 867.
666.1 1088.
750 MW Sub.
Critical PC
810 MW Gross
1032.0
1294.
Project EPC Cost
Total Project Cost
Fixed O&M Costs
Variable O&M Costs
Consumable O&M Costs
Fuel Cost
Capital Recovery
($JMWH)
($/MWH)
($/MWH)
($/MWH)
($IMWH)
Fixed O&M Costs
Variable O&M Costs
Consumable O&M Costs
Fuel Cost
Capital Recovery
($IMWH)
($IMWH)
($IMWH)
($IMWH)
($IMWH)
$8,
$0.47
$2,
$13.
$31.41
$56.
$8.
$1.
$1,
$18.
$31.41
Total Levelized COG (WH) $61.
Table 1.4-1. Unit Size Cost Comparison
061506-
Cummins & Barnard
DRAFT
$6,
$0.
$2,
$13,
$25,
$5,
$0,
$2.
$13,
$24,
53.$51,
600 MW Super 750 MW SuperCritical PC Critical PC
649 MW Gross 810 MW Gross912 1083.
1144.1 1359.
$6,$6,
$0.42 $0.41
$2,$2,
$13,$13.
$27,$25,
$49.$47.
$6,$5,
$1,$1.
$1,$1.
$17.$17,
$27,$25,
$54,$52.15
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 105
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
1.5 Impact of Environmental Risks
Two key environmental risk issues associated with coal-fueled power generation are limitations
on greenhouse gas emissions (namely carbon dioxide, CO2) and limitations on mercury
emissions, Technologies for removal of both constituents are rapidly developing. For mercury,
air quality control equipment suppliers have offered emissions guarantees for new power projects.
Technologies exist for removal of CO2; however, these technologies have not reached a level of
maturity where guarantees have been offered in support of a project.
Table 1.1 presents the estimated costs for removal and sequestration of CO2 emissions from PC
and IGCC plants. Costs for capture of mercury are also presented. The lower costs for
controlling CO2 and mercury emissions from an IGCC plant are directly related to the volume of
syngas that needs to be treated relative to the flue gas volumes of PC and CFB units,
i'
' . .
i "li"U pI!~~~"~,b.i~I"'II
j~~;
i~'
. '
PQ' '
Mercury Emissions Control
Total First Year Cost for Mercury Removal $IMWH $1,$1,$1,$0,$0.23 $0,
Total Levelized Cost for Mercury Removal $/MWH $1.28 $1,$1,$2,$0.26 $0,
First Year Cost of Mercury Removal $nb $22 559 $22 887 $22 739 $18 266 358 290
CO2 Emissions Control
Estimated Cost for CO2 Capture $/MWH $19 to $23 $19 to $23 $19 to $23 $19 to $23 $10to$15 $10 to $15
Table 1.1. Emissions Removal Cost Expectations
061506-
Cummins & Bamard
DRAFT
Page 106 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D-Technical Appendix
CO2 Adder Survey Data
Organization Assumption/Targets/Source
Stanford Energy Modeling Forum ........................... CO2 to 1990 levels by 2010 ..................,....................
CO2 to -7% 1990 levels by 2010...............................
EIA
"........,..,....,.,.,....,.,.,.........,......,....,.,..,....,.,.,..,.
Climate Stewardship Act..,..,....,..,..........,...,.,.".,.,....,
CO2 to -7% 1990 levels by 2012...............................
Interlaboratory Working Group
"."""."."""'....""""
CO2 to 1990 levels by 2010 .............................,.........
Springer Study Summaries """".".""""""."""""" Kyoto-liberal trading ....,...........,........,......................
Kyoto-Trading limited to Annex B countries ............
National Commission for Energy Policy (NCEP)..... "Ending the Energy Stalemate
........,..........,.............,
$ Per Ton CO2
$5,00-37.
$12.50-69.
$15,00-45.
$34.00-41,
$12,
$1.00-22,
$9,00 average
$4.00-74.
$27.00 average
$7.00 in 2010
$15,00 in 2026
NWPPC..............,....".,..,..,.,..........,.............,..,...,..., Fifth 2005.........,...,..,...,..........,.....,...,.....,.,......,...,....., 67% likelihood
$0.00-15,00 in 2008
$0.00-30.00 in 2016
CPUC...,................,............,....,............................... Energy and Environmental Economics Inc. report.....
Reported cost of offset emission projects ..................
Dutch , UK, and World Bank trading markets...................,....,..........,.......................................................,..
EU ETS """"".""""."'."""........"""""'.""""".""" June 2005 for 2006 settlement ..,...............................
$5.00 near-term
$12.50 in 2008
$17,50 in 2013
$7.50 median
$7,
$27.
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 107
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
EPIS, Inc AURORA'5!JJ P
AURORA xtrp Electric :Market Model
Overview of AURORAxmp
AURORA xmp Electric Market Model is price
forecasting and analysis software for the
competitive electric market. AURORA xmp
forecasts:
Electric energy prices.
The market value of electric generating
units,
The market value of contracts and
portfolios; and
AURORAxmp analyzes the effect of market
uncertainty,
AURORA xmp applies economic principles
dispatch simulation and bidding strategies to
model the relationships of supply,
transportation, and demand for electric
energy.
AURORA xmp forecasts market prices and
operation based on forecasts of key
fundamental drivers such as demand, fuel
prices, and hydro conditions.
AURORA xmp is able to forecast point
estimates in seconds and minutes, and
produce Monte Carlo stochastic analyses in
minutes and a few hours.
In addition to market prices, AURORAxmp
provides information on resource value
portfolio value, net power cost, risk and
uncertainty analysis, and resource planning.
With appropriate inputs, AURORAxmp can be
used for near-tenn analysis (next day/week)
to very long-tenn analysis (20 plus years).
Furthennore, the user can make changes to
data (using spreadsheet-like grids) in the
database and run scenarios and what-if cases.
Users are able to add their own proprietary
data to create their own databases.
Modeling Methodology
AURORA xmp is specifically designed to model
wholesale electricity prices in a deregulated
generation market.
In a deregulated generation market, at any
given time, prices should be based on the
marginal cost of production. In a competitive
electricity market, prices will rise to the point
of the variable cost of the last generating unit
needed to meet demand.
One of the principal functions of
AURORAxmp is to estimate this hourly
market-clearing price at various locations in
the national electric market. AURORNmp
uses a fundamentals approach in estimating
prices, reflecting the economics and physical
characteristics of demand and supply.
AURORA xmp estimates prices by using hourly
demands and individual resource-operating
characteristics in a transmission-constrained
chronological dispatch algorithm.
The operation of resources within the electric
market is modeled to determine which
resources are on the margin for each area in
any given hour. The database includes all the
NERC reliability areas in the North American
national electric market.
The AURORAxmp database includes long-term
average demand and hourly demand shapes
The information herein is copied in part with permission from the AURORATM Electric Market Model - Technical Information on
Model Software and Databases document, for the intent and purpose of the Idaho Power Company 2004 Integrated Resource Plan,
All or parts of this information may not be reproduced without the written permission of EPIS,
I() Copyright 2002 EPIS, Inc, All rights reserved,
Page 108 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
AURORA'mp Technical Summary
2004 I ntegrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company
Page 2 of 3
for all the areas in the database. These
demand areas are connected by transmission
links with specified transfer capabilities
losses, and wheeling costs.
Existing supply-side generating units are
defined and modeled individually with
specification of a number of cost components
and physical characteristics and operating
constraints. Hydro generation for each area
with instantaneous maximums, off-peak
minimums , and sustained peaking constraints
are also input. Demand-side resources and
price-induced curtailment functions are
defined, allowing the model to balance use of
generation against alternatives to reducing
customer demand.
AURORNmp uses this information to build an
economic dispatch for the markets, Units are
dispatched according to variable cost, subject
to non-cycling and minimum run constraints
until hourly demand is met in each area.
Transmission constraints, losses, wheeling
costs and unit start-up costs are reflected in
the dispatch. The market-clearing price is
then determined by observing the cost of
meeting an incremental increase in demand in
each area. All operating units in an area
receive the hourly market-clearing price for
the power they generate.
AURORAxmp also has the capability to
simulate the addition of new-generation
resources and the economic retirement of
existing units. New units are chosen from a
set of available supply alternatives with
technology and cost characteristics that can be
specified through time. New resources are
built only when the combination of hourly
prices and frequency of operation for a
resource generate enough revenue to make
construction profitable; that is, when
investors can recover fixed and variable costs
with an acceptable return on investment.
AURORA xmp uses an iterative technique in
these long-term planning studies to solve the
interdependencies between prices and changes
in resource schedules.
Existing units that cannot generate enough
revenue to cover their variable and fixed
operating costs over time are identified and
become candidates for economic retirement.
To reflect the timing of transition to
competition across all areas, the rate at which
existing units can be retired for economic
reasons is constrained in these studies for a
number of years.
In sununary, AURORAxmp simulates the economic
dispatch of resources to meet detruUld
requirements. AURORAxmp:
Solves the whole system dispatch
simultaneously.
Dispatches hourly (with sampling
capabilities, where appropriate).
Determines the market-clearing prices
from marginal costs.
Values all the resources in the system.
Provides price and value forecasts for each
time period being studied.
Drivers and Inputs
AURORAxmp uses the fundamental economic
drivers of the electric market to make its
forecast. That information includes:
Electricity demand by geographic area;
annually and monthly including hourly
shapes.
Supply-side resources (all major
generating units) in the system. Resource
heat rates, fuel types, resource-
conunitment data and other resource
information. Future resource alternatives
are used in long-term optimization
studies.
Demand-side resources including an
interruptible price curve.
The information herein is copied in part with permission from the AURORATM Electric Market Model - Technical Information on
Model Software and Databases document, for the intent and purpose of the Idaho Power Company 2004 Integrated Resource Plan,
All or parts of this information may not be reproduced without the written permission of EPIS.
(Q Copyright 2002 EPIS, Inc, All rights reserved,
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 109
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
AURORA"mp Technical Summary
2004 I ntegrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company
Page 3 of 3
Fuel prices by fuel type and location,
Hydro infonnation for AURORAxmp,
hydro-optimization logic,
Transmission costs and constraints.
For uncertainty analysis, Monte Carlo
sampling from statistical distributions for
demand, fuel prices, hydro conditions and
other drivers is used to forecast price
distributions.
Users manage the cases and analyze the
drivers to electricity-market forecasts by
selecting the underlying assumptions of the
analysis. The projections are created using
assumptions for the chosen inputs, such as
electricity demand growth, fuel prices, and
gas-fired combined-cycle generation efficiency
and cost. For example, the low electricity
market scenario could include low-demand
growth, low fuel prices, and optimistic
assumptions about combined-cycle
combustion turbines. The combination of
assumptions may consist of outcomes that the
user believes are plausible. A user can model
the conditions, cases and options a decision-
maker wants to evaluate. Without any
programming, you determine the assumptions
used in each forecast or study.
The information herein is copied in part with permission from the AURORATM Electric Market Model - Technical Information on
Model Software and Databases document, for the intent and purpose of the Idaho Power Company 2004 Integrated Resource Plan,
All or parts of this information may not be reproduced without the written permission of EPIS.
(Q Copyright 2002 EPIS, Inc, All rights reserved.
Page 110 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
20
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Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Initial Portfolios Scenario Sensitivity Ranking
Total Cost-Expected, GHG $50, GHG $0, High Gas (PV 20 Years 2006-2025)
Portfolio
P1 Green Portfolio (F1)
P2 Transmission Trans, CT, Nuc
P3 2004 Preferred Portfolio (F2)
P4 Thermal Portfolio (F3)
P5 Thermal Clean Coal, NG, Nuc
P6 2004 Preferred Coal, NG, Geo
P7 2004 Preferred Coal, NG, Trans
P8 2004 Preferredd NG, Coal, Wind
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P11 Transmission Portfolio (F4)
P12 Nuclear
Expected
983,722
$5,351,123
$4,964,772
841 685
$5,266,369
944 319
997 609
812 681
970 712
971 787
$5,870,035
796,034
otal Cost
Years 1-GHG50 GHGZero
$6,552,013 $4,337,781
520,496 $4,497 314
190,763 $4,056,509
$7,455,705 $3,774,511
609,253 $4 295 187
$7,384 550 $3,945,024
525 667 $3,975,240
$6,934 922 $3 930 606
$6,993,532 $4 132 351
580,152 $3 895 904
$4,999 247 $4,999,247
696 660 $3 989,497
HighGas Average
$4,305,141 $5,044,664
297 094 $5 666 507
$4,511,564 $5,180,902
$4,124,336 $5,049,059
603 822 $5,443 658
$4,416,225 $5,172 530
477 690 $5,244 052
$4,421 864 $5,025 018
$4,442 368 $5,134 741
242 195 $5 172 510
$5,295,614 $5,291,036
008 331 $4 872 631
Average
Rank
Ranking Expected GHG50 GHGZero HighGP1 Green Portfolio (F1) 10
P2 Transmission Trans, CT, Nuc 11 11
P3 2004 Preferred Portfolio (F2)
P4 Thermal Portfolio (F3)
P5 Thermal Clean Coal, NG, Nuc 10 12
P6 2004 Preferred Coal, NG, Geo
P7 2004 Preferred Coal, NG, Trans 10
P8 2004 Preferredd NG, Coal, Wind P9 = P6 - IGCC w CS
P10 All Coal , Nuc, Trans 11
P11 Transmission Portfolio (F4) 12 12 P12 Nuclear
Total pts
Portfolio
P1 Green Portfolio (F1)
P2 Transmission Trans, CT, Nuc
P3 2004 Preferred Portfolio (F2)
P4 Thermal Portfolio (F3)
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P6 2004 Preferred Coal, NG, Geo
P7 2004 Preferred Coal, NG, Trans
P8 2004 Preferredd NG, Coal, Wind
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P12 Nuclear
Expected
$7,348 136
$5,600,116
$6,313,858
$7,227,009
$7,431 968
156 598
650 659
026 768
182 044
503,565
860,774
500 132
Resource Cost (Excludes Market Purchases and Sales)
Years 1-GHG50 GHGZero
$8,164,025 $6,509,463
368 985 $4 796 771
$7,531,485 $5,331,752
$8,920,298 $5,999,133
936,119 $6 315 641
723,322 $6 022 322
$8,138,429 $5 534 508
$8,301 288 $6 015,482
328 189 $6,212,225
299 812 $6,241,472
$6,863,462 $6,863,462
$8,748,451 $6,484,438
HighGas Average
505,962 $7 381 896
596 582 $5 590 614
$6,408,199 $6,396,324
$7,330 232 $7,369 168
531,453 $7 553 795
$7,411 142 $7 328 346
$6,742 242 $6,766,460
$7,418,093 $7 190,408
$7,438 398 $7 290 214
658 642 $7 675 873
$8,003,789 $7,397 872
650 356 $7 595,844
Rank by
otal pts
Average
Rank
Rank by
Ranking Expected GHG50 GHGZero HighGas Total pts Total pts
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P4 Thermal Portfolio (F3)
P5 Thermal Clean Coal , NG, Nuc
P6 2004 Preferred Coal , NG, Geo
P7 2004 Preferred Coal , NG, Trans
P8 2004 Preferredd NG , Coal, Wind
P9 = P6 - IGCC w CS
P10 All Coal, Nuc, Trans
P11 Transmission Portfolio (F4)
P12 Nuclear
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 141
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
(Revised 10/12/06)
Green Portfolio (originally P1)
Total Total
On-Line Average Peak Total Average Energy Total
Date Resource Nameplate Peak Energy DSM Trans Peak Energy DSM Trans
2006
2007
2008 Wind 100
2009 Geothermal (Binary)100
2009 Wind 200 110 156
2010 CHP 186 211
2011 Wind 200 217 283
2011 Geothermal (Binary)267 331
2012 Geothermal (Binary)335 387
2013 CHP 100 100 451 484
2013 Wyoming Pulv. Coal 250 250 220 701 704
2014 Geothermal (Binary)765 757
2015 777 763
2016 McNary-Boise 225 225 787 768 225
2017 LoLo to IPCo 790 771 285
2018 Geothermal (Binary)843 821 285
2019 Geothermal (Binary)896 871 285
2020 Geothermal (Binary)949 922 285
2021 Geothermal (Binary)002 972 285
2022 INL Nuclear 250 250 230 254 204 285
2023 257 207 285
2024 259 209 285
2025 262 211 285
835 075 124 187 285
Resource Summary
Wind 500 Peak 262
Geothermal (Binary)400 Average Energy 211
Coal 250 Transmission 285
CHP 150 DSM Peak 187
Transmission 285 DSM aMW
Max Energy Deficit (312)
Nuclear 250
Total Nameplate 835
Page 142 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
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2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 143
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
(Revised 10/12/06)
2004 IRP Preferred Portfolio (originally P3)
Total Total
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Date Resource Nameplate Peak Energy DSM Trans Peak Energy DSM Trans
2006
2007
2008 Wind 100
2009 Geothermal (Binary)100
2010 CHP 176 149
2011 197 159
2012 Wind 150 223 213
2012 McNary-Boise 225 225 223 213 225
2013 Wyoming Pulv. Coal 250 250 220 489 440 225
2014 503 446 225
2015 515 452 225
2016 525 457 225
2017 RegionallGCC Coal 250 250 200 778 660 225
2018 780 662 225
2019 LoLo to IPCo 783 664 285
2020 CHP 100 100 886 757 285
2021 Geothermal (Binary)939 806 285
2022 Geothermal (Binary)992 857 285
2023 INL Nuclear 250 250 225 244 084 285
2024 247 086 285
2025 250 089 285
585 063 001 187 285
Resource Summary
Wind 250 Peak 250
Geothermal (Binary)150 Average Energy 089
Coal 500 Transmission 285
CHP 150 DSM Peak 187
Transmission 285 DSM aMW
Max Energy Deficit (312)
Nuclear 250
Total Nameplate 585
Page 144 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
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(Revised 10/12/06)
Basic Thermal Portfolio (originally P4)
Total Total
On-Line Average Peak Total Average Energy Total
Date Resource Nameplate Peak Energy DSM Trans Peak Energy DSM Trans
2006
2007
2008 Wind 100
2008 CHP
2009 Geothermal (Binary)150 139
2010 176 149
2011 197 159
2012 Wyoming Pulv, Coal 250 250 220 465 387
2013 482 394
2014 496 400
2015 507 405
2016 Regional Pulv Coal 300 300 264 818 674
2017 820 677
2018 170 170 993 679
2019 996 682
2020 IGCC 300 300 240 299 924
2021 301 926
2022 INL Nuclear 250 250 225 554 154
2023 557 156
2024 560 158
2025 562 161
1,470 375 073 187
Resource Summary
Wind 100 Peak 562
Geothermal (Binary)Average Energy 161
Coal 850 Transmission
CHP DSM Peak 187
Transmission DSM aMW
170 Max Energy Deficit (312)
Nuclear 250
Total Nameplate 1,4 70
Page 146 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
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Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
(Revised 10/12/06)
Bridger to Boise Transmission Portfolio (originally P11)
- - -
Total Total
On-Line Average Peak Total Average Energy Total
Date Resource Nameplate Peak Energy DSM Trans Peak Energy DSM Trans
2006
2007
2008 Wind 100
2009 CHP 100
2009 Geothermal (Binary)150 139
2010 176 149
2011 197 159
2012 McNary-Boise 225 225 215 167 225
2013 232 174 225
2014 246 180 225
2015 257 185 225
2016 Bridger- Boise 900 525 268 190 750
2017 Wyoming Pulv. Coal 250 250 220 520 413 750
2018 Geothermal (Binary)573 463 750
2019 Geothermal (Binary)626 514 750
2020 Wind 100 636 555 750
2021 Wind 100 646 595 750
2022 Wind 100 657 635 750
2023 Wind 100 667 672 750
2024 INL Nuclear 250 250 225 920 899 750
2025 923 902 750
325 736 814 187 750
Resource Summary
Wind 500 Peak 923
Geothermal (Binary)150 Average Energy 902
Coal 250 Transmission 750
CHP DSM Peak 187
Transmission 125 DSM aMW
Max Energy Deficit (312)
Nuclear 250
Total Nameplate 325
Page 148 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
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5
14
1
21
2
18
5
18
5
80
8
17
3 50
-
22
5
52
5
25
0
38
6
39
7
57
8
14
,
12
.
4
%
17
6
22
5
52
5 50
4
17
9
22
5
52
5
25
0
1,
4
0
8
42
9
10
,
18
2
22
5
52
5
25
0
1,4
1
9
35
3
20
2
4
20
2
5
c:
:
::
T
::E (1
)
..
,
33
9
4,
4
2
8
15
3
36
5
15
3
36
5
-.:
:
70
7
26
1
16
5
16
5
14
1
70
7
26
1
16
5
16
5
14
1
21
2
21
2
18
5
18
5
15
4
24
4
28
.
18
5
22
5
52
5
25
0
25
0
18
7
22
5
52
5
25
0
25
0
(1
)
(1
)
("
)
::
T
(1
)
67
2
67
4
51
7
43
1
11
,
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Portfolio F1
Estimated Total Resource Investment (Including AFUDC)-By In-Service Year
(In $OOOs)
Resource
vvindJW~ MW)
Geothennal (50 MW)
Wind (200 MW) "
cliPj~Q!0~L" -
Wind (200 MW)
GeOthermal(50M-
G~0t~e~al.i5Q IViW) -
CHP (100 MW)
WyomiilgCoal (250 MWj
Geoitiennal (50 MWj , -
- ,.
Mc:NiirytoIPC ansrriissior;-(2iS-r\i1wj -
Lolot~ll".c:lrimsm~~~C:)I'~~O MW
ge()tt1.e
~~~
(50~L.eothe~~O MWL _m- -~eothennal 50 MW1
Geothennal (50 MW)
~N.!: Nuclear (250 M..v:vI- -
Geo~henn~1 (50MWL n ,
Backbone Transmission
2006 2007
, -, ,on_.- -_.231 9,710
Real Dollars............,...,...,......"...,....,....,
Present Value............"......,......,..,..."....
Cumulatll.e MWs.,....,.".,....".....".,.........
Cumulatil.e Real Dollars..,.,...,.................,
Cumulatil.e PV..,..,......"....,......,....,........,
PPA Real Dollars....,..,......,..............,......
Cumulatil.e PPA Real Dollars...................
PV PPA Real Dollars..............................
Cumulatil.e PV PPA Real Dollars....,........
Ownership Real Dollars,.........,......,......,..
Cumulatil.e Ownership Real Dollars..........
PV Ownership Real Dollars.....................,
Cumulatil.e PV Ownership Real Dollars....,
Resource
231
231
231
231
231
231
231
231
2016
Wind (100 MW)
Geothennal (50 MWj'
wIlid(26OMWj--"'-
CHP (50 MW)
Wind(200MW)
-_.._-~
Geothermal (50 MW)
----"-'
Geotheiinal (50 MW)---,____n
CHP('100 MW
~--- -- -
Wyoming CoaI(250'MW)
__m___. ". -
Geothermal (50'M _n_,____m, n,,- -
cNarii6jpc Transmlssiori(22S-rViW-
- ,
112 904
LolotOIF'C";:ansri1lssion (60 MW)
~~9~!i:~~~j~0~W) -
----_.....",,--, ---
(3~.~thel111~I IVIIJV) ,
Geothennal (50 MW)
(fe()~~rTnal (5
~N!-nN~cl~ar (2~0IlJ1W)
(3~,o!_e~~l
(~~_
IVIIfII) ,
Backbone Transmission
Real Dollars.....,..,..,........,..,......,..,......,..
Present Value..,..,..".."......,......,..,........,
Cumulatil.e MWs........,..,..........,..,......,..,
Cumulatil.e Real Dollars...........................
Cumulatil.e
PPA Real Dollars.................,.................,
Cumulatil.e PPA Real Dollars...................
PV PPA Real Dollars.............................,
Cumulatil.e PV PPA Real Dollars............,
Ownership Real Dollars...........................
Cumulatil.e Ownership Real Dollars.........,
PV Ownership Real Dollars.....................,
Cumulatil.e PV Ownership Real Dollars.....
112 904
727
325
510,936
2,458 000
984,304
1,456,470
112 904
526 632
727
001,530
710
080
941
311
710
941
080
311
2017
16,332
332
809
385
527,269
2,465,808
984 304
1,456,470
16,332
542 965
809
009 338
2008
177 691
21,005
198,696
173,749
100
213,636
188,060
177,691
177 691
155 381
155,381
005
35,946
368
32,679
2018
264 219
232
267,451
119,577
1,435
794 720
585,386
264 219
248,523
118,132
574,602
232
546,196
445
010 783
2009
202,502
366,043
2010
150
2011
388 335
214,834
2012
221,280
49,315 119,731
617,860
505,232
350
831,496
693 292
568 545
746,235
464 906
620,288
49,315
85,261
40,326
004
2019
-_..,----
272 146
329
275,475
115,173
1,485
070,194
700 559
272 146
520,669
113 782
688,384
329
549 525
392
012 175
175 882
134 490
400
007 378
827 781
150
802,386
42,936
663 224
119 731
204 992
554
164,558
2020
280,310
220
284 530
111 241
535
354,725
811 800
280,310
800 979
109,592
797 976
220
553 745
650
013,825
2013
122,714
655,366
135,218
738 387
527 982
650
745,765
355,763
603,169
1,405 555
431,295
094 518
135 218
340 210
687
261 245
2021
288,720
34,613
323 333
118,210
585
678,057
930,011
288 720
089 699
105,556
903,531
34,613
588,358
655
026,479
262,510
483 790
323,488
700
229,555
679,252
221 280
626,834
147,960
242,478
262 510
602 720
175 529
436,774
2022
999 272
45,343
044 614
357 131
835
722,672
287 142
999 272
088 971
341 630
245,161
45,343
633,701
15,502
041 981
153,869
931 949
582 722
050
161 504
261 973
122 714
749,549
76,730
319 208
809 235
1,411 955
505,992
942 766
2023
835
722,672
287 142
088 971
245,161
633 701
041,981
2014
234,755
773
236,529
138,299
100
398 033
400 273
234 755
984 304
137 262
456,470
773
1,413,729
037
943 803
2024
315,492
383
317 875
030
885
040,547
382 172
315,492
4,404,463
318
339,479
383
636 084
713
042,694
2015
100
398 033
400 273
984,304
456,470
413,729
943,803
2025
885
040,547
382 172
4,404,463
339,479
636 084
042,694
Page 154 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Portfolio F2
Estimated Total Resource Investment (Including AFUDC)-By In-Service Year
In $OOOs
Resource
Wind (100 MW)
Geothermal (50 M
CHP (50 MW)
Wind (150 MW) ..,
-,."._,.. .-
McNary to IPC TransmissTon .(22SMW)
. ~-. ..
omin Coal (250 MW)
ReQionaTTGcc Coal (250 MW)
Lolo to IPC System (60 Mwf
cH'PTI06.MW)
Geothermal (50 MWr-' , .
.,. ,
Geothermal (siH\jl - u_-,-
INC-Nuclear(250 MW) -u_--"
BackboneTransmTSslOn
---,--,...,.
Resource
Wind (100 MW)
~~h.e~aIT~OMW)
~ri~J(j,Q..~~l
Y"!n (1(jQ.~_V\ll -
-,""'--- ...-
McNary to IPC Transmission (225 MW)
Wy"oming CoaT(250"MlNj- - -
ReglonaliGCC Coal (250 MIN)
LOfotolPCSystem(6OMWf -
- -
CHP (100 MW)
Geothermaf'(SOMW)
Geotherm~ (50
' ,=====:
~f'!~I'Juc::!~~50 _MW)
Backbone Transmission
Real Dollars,.............."..,..........,..,..,......
Present Value..,..".,........,..,..,.......,..,.....
Cumulatil.e MWs.".,..,......."......,.,....,..,..
Cumulatil.e Real Dollars..............,..........,.
Cumulati\€ PV"".".""..,..".".,.""""""",
PPA Real Dollars.......,........,.....,............,
Cumulati\€ PPA Real Dollars........,..,.......
PV PPA Real Dollars.....,..,.....,.......,..,....
Cumulati\€ PV PPA Real Dollars.............
Ownership Real Dollars,..........................
Cumulati\€ Ownership Real Dollars....,....,
PV Ownership Real Dollars,..,..,...............
Cumulati\€ PV Ownership Real Dollars..,.,
. no."-,---,,
, ._,.,-",-",-,,_..
Real Dollars..........,..,.."..,..,........,..,......,
Present Value,......,..".....,..,...,..,..,.....,..,
Cumulati\€ MWs....,.........,.....,..,..".....,..
Cumulati\€ Real Dollars..........................,
Cumulati\€ PV..,..,........,.."..,..,..,..,.........
PPA Real Dollars..,....,.......,..,................,
Cumulati\€ PPA Real Dollars................,..
PV PPA Real Dollars,....,........................
Cumulati\€ PV PPA Real Dollars.,..,..,....,
Ownership Real Dollars,......,..,................
Cumulati\€ Ownership Real Dollars..........
PV Ownership Real Dollars......................
Cumulati\€ PV Ownership Real Dollars,...,
2006
2016
723
723
29,514
825
253 047
551,252
736,332
564,495
57,723
516,716
29,514
986,757
2007
237
237
237
237
237
074
074
13,161
311
20,398
074
311
13,161
20,398
2008
177 691
'"'
003
189,694
165 878
100
211,005
186 275
177 691
177 691
155 381
155,381
003
314
10,496
894
2018
._-,-----", ...
267
267
120
075
120,427
965,955
736 332
564,495
267
364,095
120
401,461
2009
202 502
25,278
227 780
186,258
150
438 785
372 534
202 502
380,193
165,589
320 970
25,278
58,592
670
564
2019
. --
_u_
. -, --,
2010
150
583
111,733
85,438
200
550,518
457,972
56,150
436 343
42,936
363,906
583
114 175
502
066
2020
2011
70,023
70,023
069
200
620 541
508 041
436,343
363 906
70,023
184,198
50,069
144 136
2021
2012
299,988
100 313
299,931
700,233
468 214
575
320,773
976 255
299,988
736,332
200 589
564,495
400,244
584,442
267,625
411 761
.,., - ,-- --,."._".,--" ., -,..
2022
2013
655,366
198 893
854,259
534,144
825
175,032
510,399
736,332
564,495
854 259
1,438,701
534,144
945 905
2023
--'.In'.-
------.."""-. .......
327
,""---
649
19,976
352
135
140,403
974 307
736,332
564,495
976
2,404 072
352
1,409,813
_,.,_
150 923
- .."".,-..
288,720
(3,756)"." 31 657
147,167
537
235
287 570
031 844
150 923
887,255
59,006
623 500
(3,756)
2,400 315
469)
1,408,344
320,376
117 129
285
607,947
148,973
288,720
175 974
105 556
729,056
657
2,431 972
574
1,419 918
2014
6,433
6,433
761
825
181,465
514,161
736 332
564,495
6,433
445 133
761
949 666
2024
297 381
029,250
176,299 "162,500-
473,680
161 941
355
081 626
310,914
297 381
473 355
101 668
830,724
176,299
608,271
273
1,480 190
191,846
381 030
585
273,473
691 944
029,250
502,606
329 048
159,772
162 596
770,867
51,982
532 172
585
273,473
691 944
502,606
159,772
770 867
532,172
2015
859
13,859
578
825
195,324
521,738
736 332
564,495
859
1,458 992
578
957 244
2025
585
273,473
691 944
502 606
159,772
770,867
532 172
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 155
237
237
237
237
2017
913,616
(46,503)
867 112
414 584
075
120 159
965,836
736,332
564,495
867 112
383 828
414 584
1,401,341
Appendix D-Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Portfolio F3
Estimated Total Resource Investment (Including AFUDC)-By In-Service Year
In $OOOs
Resource
Wind (100 MW)
CHP (SOMWr- "
Geothermal (50 MW) 'u,
Wyoming Coal(250MW)
RegionaiCoaiT30iHv1wj " '
Industrial C'f(1 i6rv;WY" -
.--
RegiOnallGCCCoal (300MWY
INL NuClear(250-MW)
"'...'
Backbone Transmission ,. ,
.._. ..
423
Real Dollars,..,."".,."""""".",.,."".""".
Present Value..,..,..,...,...........,........,....,.
Cumulati..e MWs.,..,......,....,.,................,
Cumulati..e Real Dollars..........................,
Cumulati..e PV,.,..,........,......,..,....,..........
PPA Real Dollars..,....,.,...............,.......,..
Cumulati..e PPA Real Dollars......,............
PV PPA Real Dollars..,...,........,.............,
Cumulati..e PV PPA Real Dollars,...,........
Ownership Real Dollars.,...............,.........
Cumulati..e Ownership Real Dollars..........
PV Ownership Real Dollars.........,............
Cumulati..e PV Ownership Real Dollars.....
2006 2007 2008
177 691
927O' .202,502
- '
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
636,277
423
423
423
423
423
423
423
423
....
356 356
' -, .
25,423 240116(5,260)697 (88,273)356
116 225,358 205 199 356 356 548,004 356 25,423 240
979 197,064 167 794 860 545 366,426 974 865 36,765
150 200 200 200 450 450 450 450
540 227 898 433 097 439,453 445 809 993,813 000,169 025,592 092,833
2,402 199,466 367 261 372,121 376,665 743,091 747,065 761,930 798,695
230,618 202 502
230,618 433 120 433,120 433,120 433,120 433,120 433 120 433,120
201 663 165,589
201 663 367 252 367,252 367 252 367 252 367 252 367 252 367 252
116 (5,260)697 356 356 548,004 356 25,423 240
540 720)(23)333 12,689 560,693 567,049 592,472 659,713
979 (4,599)206 860 545 366,426 974 14,865 36,765
2,402 197)869 9,413 375,839 379,813 394,678 431 443
,. -~~.- ,- .
n -
~_.
Resource
Wind (100 MW)
CHP (50 MW)
Geothemlal (50rIl1"") ,-~,--,-
wyom;n9COai(i56MWj . -
--"
Regional Coal (300 MW
) -
~_'.m' 735,814
Industrial CT (170 MW)
.. "'-_.,,~_._~"
Regional IGCC Coal (300 MW)
Ti'iL:'NUclear (250 MW)
~,,' ,
Backbone Transmission
-- .--,.-,..
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
,.--., ~~-.", ._..,._,-,..,.....,-_.~-,.__._.. ,,.. ,.,. .,-.,.- ,-~~~__~. '~--
121 858.. mn
' ,,-.-,...--,.,
197;999-'-.
,- ""-.--.-,-------.._'-
U_.._'._~---_
_'--"----'--' ..-..,.,-.----.- ,.. -,-.---,-.
158,156
999,272
(111;944)8';767" "'-'5;"'fO6.--132~465 -133,566272,737
- .
(3,288)'. 22,261
Real Dollars.".,..,."",..""""""....,...,..,..,893,970 272 737 118,570 261 086,055 767 004 378 132,465 133,566
Present Value.................,..,.............,..,..457,081 130,401 53,012 307 424 610 205 343,375 349 39,930
Cumulati..e MWs........,......"......,.........,..750 750 920 920 220 220 470 1,470 1,470 470
Cumulati..e Real Dollars........,..................986 803 259,540 378 109 2,400 370 3,486,425 495,192 4,499,570 632,035 765,601 765 601
Cumulati..e PV....,....,..........,................,..255,776 386 177 1,439,189 448,496 873 106 876,311 219,686 262 035 301 965 301 965
PPA Real Dollars....................................999 272
Cumulati..e PPA Real Dollars..................,433,120 433,120 433 120 433,120 433,120 433 120 1,432 392 1,432 392 432,392 1,432 392
PV PPA Real Dollars..............................341,630
Cumulati..e PV PPA Real Dollars.............367,252 367 252 367 252 367,252 367 252 367 252 708,882 708,882 708,882 708,882
Ownership Real Dollars...........................893 970 272 737 118 570 261 086,055 767 106 132,465 133,566
Cumulati..e Ownership Real Dollars..........553 683 826,420 944,989 967 250 053,305 062,072 067,178 199,643 333,210 333 210
PV Ownership Real Dollars......................457 081 130 401 53,012 307 424 610 205 746 349 930
Cumulati..e PV Ownership Real Dollars....,888,524 018,925 071 937 081 244 505 854 509,059 510 805 553 154 593 084 593,084
Page 156 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Portfolio F4
Estimated Total Resource Investment (Including AFUDC)-By In-Service Year
In $OOOs
Resource
Wind (100 MW)
eothermal(scHlj1W)
CHP(50MWr" ' -
McNarjTolPCSyslem (225MWf'
Ifridgerlo jPCfransmissToii(90"OMwj ..
Wyoml Coar(250 MWf----"'--'
GeoU,eiTnal(50MWf----
~~~~~~!J~,~vv2
Wind (100 MW)
Wii-id(1QO Mwf
._,
WiiidlioO MvV)
- .
\iV~ndJ1QQI\;1.VV) - ,INL Nuclear (250 MW)
Backbone Transmisslol1
2006 2007 2008
177 691
, -- ----"--
' O'.- ,,_uO'
Real Dollars"""""""".".",..,.,.,..,..,.,.,..,
Present Value....,............".,................".
Cumulatil.e MWs......,......,."......,..,....,....
Cumulati-.e Real Dollars........,............,..,..
Cumulati-.e PV............,.......,......"......,....
PPA Real Dollars.........,..,.............,...,....,
Cumulati-.e PPA Real Dollars..,...............,
PV PPA Real Dollars...........,...............,.,
Cumulati-.e PV PPA Real Dollars............,
Ownership Real Dollars.........,.................
Cumulati-.e Ownership Real Dollars,.........
PV Ownership Real Dollars....,.,..........,...,
Cumulati-.e PV Ownership Real Dollars....,
Resource
Wind (100 MW)
Geothermal (50 MW)
CHP (50 MW) ---"u
McNary to IPC System (225 M'W)
Bri~~.E:rto IPC Transmission (9Q~_vvjWyoming Coal (250 MW)
GeOtllermal(56 MW)
--------
Geolhermal(M'vv)
----------' -..-
~in~li!J!Cr0..\lVr
- ._..~=-=:_
VVind (1QtJ_fv1V\lL
\lVir1~,~1.o.Q,~""L
""!rl~J~,.o.2..~l....._-L Nuclear (250 ~IJI/)-
Backbone Transmission
Real Dollars.,..,..,......."..,....,.,...............,
Present Value....,..,...."...............,..,.,..,..
Cumulati-.e MWs....,..........,...."....,....,....
Cumulati-.e Real Dollars...........................
Cumulati-.e PV..,.....................,..,..,....,....
PPA Real Dollars.....,...................,...,......
Cumulati-.e PPA Real Dollars....,....,..,...,.,
PV PPA Real Dollars..........,............,.....,
Cumulati-.e PV PPA Real Dollars.............
Ownership Real Dollars..............,.........,..
Cumulati-.e Ownership Real Dollars,.........
PV Ownership Real Dollars......................
Cumulati-.e PV Ownership Real Dollars....,
10,515
10,515
10,515
10,515
10,515
515
515
10,515
10,515
2016
25,953
953
269
36,469
785
25,953
36,469
24,269
34,785
2017
,,-,-,,--, ,,,----...,..,,- ,......_._--,- ,
34,251
211 941
185,332
100
248,410
220 117
177,691
177,691
155,381
155,381
34,251
70,720
951
735
2018
, -."'
--'_u
'."
144,931
""",-"""" ,- '_.._-" "
2009
202 502
54,51'5
994
279,011
228 151
200
527,421
448,267
257 017
434 708
210,166
365 547
994
713
984
720
2019
"".""
-"'-' u615377
- ,-----_...,,---...-, ....
49,301 12 586
194 233
610 603
325
2,456,493
560,880
434,708
365,547
194,233
021 785
610,603
195 332
627 963
300 242
575
084,456
861,121
434 708
365,547
627,963
649,748
300 242
1,495,574
264,219
---...---"-.,-
272 146
108
292 327
130,699
625
376 783
991,821
264,219
698,927
118,132
483,680
108
677 856
567
508,141
116,642
388 788
162 549
675
765,571
154,369
272 146
971,073
113,782
597,461
116,642
794 498
48,767
556 908
2010
781
781
242
200
589 202
495 509
434,708
365,547
781
154,495
47,242
129,962
2020
, --..--."-... .......
2011
257,419
257,419
184,067
200
846 621
679 576
434,708
365,547
257,419
411 913
184 067
314 028
2021
2012
100,313
246 485
346 799
231,889
425
193 420
911,464
434,708
365,547
346,799
758,712
231 889
545,917
2022
2013
225
225
143
425
201,644
916 607
434,708
365,547
225
766,936
143
551 059
2023
. u
._,--_._,-.."_._,..
-,.,, ,-, _"m...
_...., "'.""--' .,,
253 344
125 644
379,188
148,249
775
144,759
302,619
253,344
224 417
049
696,510
125,844
920,342
49,200
606,108
,,-_,..' ._
260 945
326
352 271
128,790
875
4,497 029
2,431,408
260,945
1,485,362
95,401
791,911
91,326
011 668
389
639,497
268,773
222
357 995
122 391
975
855,024
553,799
268,773
754 135
888
883,799
89,222
100,889
30,503
670 000
2014
13,893
13,893
123
425
215,537
924 730
434 708
365 547
893
780 829
123
559,183
2024
2015
46,723
46,723
547
425
262 260
950,277
434 708
365 547
723
827 552
25,547
584,729
2025
276 836
060,128
(18;181) ."(14,471)
258,655
691
075
113,679
636,490
276,836
030 971
504
972,303
(18,181)
082,708
(5,813)
664 187
045 657
312 604
325
159,336
949,095
060,128
091,099
316 931
289,233
(14,471)
068,237
326)
659 861
325
159,336
949 095
091,099
289,233
068,237
659 861
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 157
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
SUMMARY OF NORTHWEST UTILITY PLANNING CRITERIA
Avista Corporation Peak Load: The maximum one-hour load obligation on the expected average coldest
day in January. 5
Peak Resource Capability: The maximum one-hour generation capability of company
resources, plus the net contract contribution. !
Planning Reserve: Ten percent (10%) of the one-hour system peak load, plus 90 MW.
Confidence Interval: Eighty percent (80%) confidence interval based on the monthly
variability of load and hydroelectric generation. "This means that for each month there is
only a 10% chance that the combination of load and hydro variability would exceed the
planning criteria,
Bonneville Power
Administration
Load and Resource Balances: System firm energy loads are compared with Federal
system energy resources for each month of Operating Year 2002-2007 (August 2001-
July 2007) under 1937 water conditions. Firm capacity surpluses or deficits are
determined in the same period under 1937 water conditions.
Energy: Based on current generation capability under critical stream flow conditions.
The critical period is defined as historical stream flows that occurred from September 1
1936 through April 30, 1937.
Surplus Energy Analysis: Defined as the amount of generation that can be produced in
excess of firm loads under critical water conditions.
Regional Firm Monthly Peak Load Projections: The peak loads are estimated based
on normal weather conditions using a 50-percent probability that the forecasted peak
load will be exceeded. Total Federal peaking capacity reduced by reserves for forced
outages that are calculated as fifteen percent (15%) oflarge thermal project output plus
five percent (5%) of the output of other resources.
Hydroelectric Energy Capability: Uses OY 1937-water conditions (the 12-month
period from August 1936 through July 1937) to estimate the firm hydro energy
capability in low water conditions,
Hydroelectric Capacity: The monthly instantaneous capacity of hydroelectric projects
is defined as the full-gate-flow maximum generation available at each project, based on
the average monthly elevation resulting from 1937-water reservoir levels. BPA assumes
1937-water levels to estimate the regional hydroelectric capacity because that year
approximates a peaking capability that is consistent with the reliability criteria set forth
in the PNCA.3
2005 Integrated Resource Plan Avista Utilities, Chapter 2.
2002 Final Power Rate Proposal Loads and Resources Study, Bonneville Power Administration, WP-02-FS-BPA-
May 2000, Sections 2.3.4.
2002 Pacific Northwest Loads and Resources Study, Bonneville Power Administration, December 2002 , Section 2, Pages 4
and 38.
Page 158 2006 Integrated Resource Plan
Idaho Power Company Appendix D- Technical Appendix
Idaho Power
Company
Hydro Conditions: 70th percentile hydro conditions based upon historical data from
1928-2003.
Load Forecast: Based upon 50th percentile weather conditions.
Monthly Average Energy: Based on 70th percentile water and 70th percentile average
load conditions.
Capacity: Based on monthly peak-hour Northwest transmission deficit assuming
90th percentile water, 70th percentile average load and 95th percentile peak-hour load
conditions.
Northwest Power
and Conservation
Council
Utilizes a fully probabilistic model: Prospective plans are tested against 20 years of
future conditions defined by probabilistic simulations of principal uncertainties
including hydro conditions, loads, fuel prices, CO2 control requirements, import and
export markets and resource availability. Each case is compared to the previous and
ranked according to risk and cost.
PacifiCorp Hydro Conditions: Median water conditions. 10
Loads: Average energy requirements based upon nonnal weather conditions.
Capacity: Nonnal weather peak-hour loading plus a 15% planning margin.
Portland General
Electric Company
Hydro Conditions: Nonnallmedian water conditions based upon 59 years of hydro
history. 11
Loads: NonnallMedian load conditions,
Capacity: Nonnal weather peak-hour loading plus 12% (6% operating margin
6% planning margin). Then subtract 500 MW (to be filled in with short-tenn market
purchases).
Puget Sound
Energy
PSE uses the expected peak load for long-tenn capacity planning. The expected peak
load is the maximum hourly load expected to occur when the hourly temperature during
the winter months (November-February) is 23 degrees at SeaTac Airport.
PSE uses an hourly regression equation to obtain monthly peak load forecasts. The
equation provides both nonnal and extreme peak loads for residential and
non-residential customers. The regression equation is based on data collected from
January 1991 through February 2004.
Design Temperatures: 230 F for nonnal peak and 130 F for extreme peak, both
occurring in January.
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Idaho Power Company, September 2006.
The Fifth Northwest Electric Power and Conservation Plan Northwest Power and Conservation Council, 2005.
10 2006 Integrated Resource Plan PacifiCorp, due to be filed in December 2006.
11 Final Action Plan, 2002IRP Portland General Electric, March 2004, Appendix 2.
12 Least Cost Plan Puget Sound Energy, April 2005, Appendix K. ,
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Page 159
Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company
Idaho Power Company
2006 Integrated Resource Plan Advisory Council Members
Customer Participants
Micron - Dale Eldridge
Simplot - David Hawk
INL - Tom Moriarty
Heinz Frozen Foods - Steve Munn
AARP - Joe Gallegos
Idaho Retailers - Pam Eaton
Agricultural Representative - Sid Erwin
Meridian Joint School District #2 - Wayne Hanners
Commission Participants
Idaho PUC - Rick Sterling
Oregon PUC - Bill McNamee
Environmental Participants
Natural Resource Defense Council - Devra Wang, Audrey Chang or Ralph Cavanagh
Advocates for the West - Bill Eddie
Other Participants
IDEQ - Larry Koenig
Governor s Office - Jim Yost
Idaho State Legislature - Representative Steve Smylie
Northwest Power and Conservation Council- Jim Kempton or Shirley Lindstrom
Consultant - Dan Violette - Summit Blue Consulting, LLC
Page 160 2006 Integrated Resource Plan