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HomeMy WebLinkAboutIDA010212-195457.pdf Please see page 5 for rating definitions, important disclosures and required analyst certifications Wells Fargo Securities, LLC does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report and investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. January 3, 2012 Equit Research IDACORP, Inc. IDA: Increasing 13E & 14E EPS Following Rate Approvals Reiterate Market Perform • Summary. We are increasing our 13E & 14E EPS to $3.20 & $3.30 from $3.10 & $3.20 to reflect last week’s approvals of two Idaho Power Company (IPC) rate settlements. No change to our 11E & 12E EPS. We reiterate our Market Perform rating. Our 12-18 month valuation range is $44-45 per share. • Rate Actions. On 12/30/11 the Idaho Public Utilities Commission (IPUC) approved a settlement in IPC’s general rate case (GRC). The order includes a $34mm, or 4%, revenue increase including a $45.5mm base rate increase and an $11.5mm decrease in net power supply costs (NPSE). The agreement was silent on the authorized ROE and capital structure. Separately, on 12/27/11 the IPUC approved a settlement that allows IPC to accelerate the amortization of $45mm of accumulated deferred investment tax credits (ADITCs) during the period 2012-2014 in order to achieve a 9.5% ROE on year-end Idaho jurisdictional equity. IPC cannot utilize more than $25mm of ADITCs in a given year. The plan also provides for the sharing of earnings above certain ROE thresholds between ratepayers/shareholders (50/50 from 10-10.5% and 75/25 above 10.5%) – these thresholds reset if the IPUC specifies an allowed ROE in a future GRC. • EPS Outlook. We are increasing our 13E & 14E EPS by $0.10, or 3%, to $3.20 & $3.30, respectively, reflecting the ADITC settlement approval. As the 9.5% ROE is largely consistent with our previously assumed earned ROEs in ’13 & ’14, the EPS upside is primarily driven by the use of year-end Idaho jurisdictional equity versus our previously assumed average rate base estimates. • Our Thoughts. We view IPUC approval of both settlements favorably as they (1) provide base rate relief and (2) enhance earnings visibility through 2014. While acceleration of the ADITCs represents a non-cash benefit, we are encouraged that IPC is not precluded from filing for additional base rate relief and we highlight IDA’s solid financial position and cash flow outlook. We consider this yet another positive data point on the Idaho regulatory environment. • We Maintain our Market Perform Rating despite our higher EPS outlook in '13 & '14 and positive regulatory sentiment. Our neutral rating reflects valuation considerations, a below average dividend yield and a 3-4% compound annual EPS growth outlook post-2012 vs. 4-5% for peers. Of note, IDA’s Board recently adopted a dividend policy (long-term payout ratio target of 50-60%) that should drive double digit annual dividend growth for the next 3-5 years. Valuation Range: $44.00 to $45.00 We value IDA under P/E multiple (14.0X multiple on our 13E EPS of $3.20), dividend discount and residual income analyses. Risks to our valuation include project delays/cancellations, negative regulatory developments and economic weakness. Investment Thesis: We are attracted to IDA's increasingly constructive regulatory environment and attractive service territory. Our neutral rating reflects valuation considerations. Market Perform Sector: Regulated Electric Utilities Market Weight Company Note 2010A 2011E 2012E EPS Curr. Prior Curr. Prior Q1 (Mar.) $0.34 $0.60 NC NE Q2 (June) 0.82 0.42 A NC NE Q3 (Sep.) 1.39 2.16 A NC NE Q4 (Dec.) 0.41 0.22 NC NE FY $2.95 $3.40 NC $3.05 NC CY $2.95 $3.40 $3.05 FY P/E 14.4x 12.5x 13.9x Rev.(MM)$1,036 $1,070 $1,148 Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates, and Reuters NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate, NM = Not Meaningful V = Volatile, = Company is on the Priority Stock List Ticker IDA Price (12/30/2011) $42.41 52-Week Range: $33-43 Shares Outstanding: (MM) 49.7 Market Cap.: (MM) $2,107.8 S&P 500: 1,257.60 Avg. Daily Vol.: 267,456 Dividend/Yield: $1.20/2.8% LT Debt: (MM) $1,487.5 LT Debt/Total Cap.: 46.5% ROE: 10.0% 3-5 Yr. Est. Growth Rate: 4.0% CY 2012 Est. P/E-to-Growth: 3.5x Last Reporting Date: 11/04/2011 Before Open Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates, and Reuters Neil Kalton, CFA, Senior Analyst (314) 955-5239 / neil.kalton@wellsfargo.com Sarah Akers, CFA, Associate Analyst (314) 955-6209 / sarah.akers@wellsfargo.com Jonathan Reeder, Associate Analyst (314) 955-2462 / jonathan.reeder@wellsfargo.com WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 2 Company Description: IDACORP (IDA) is the holding company for Idaho Power Company (IPC), a regulated electric utility serving more than 485,000 customers in southern Idaho, including Boise and surrounding areas, and eastern Oregon. In addition, IDACORP Financial Services (IFS), a non-utility business, invests in affordable housing tax credits. WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 3 ( i n t h o u s a n d s e x c e p t p e r s h a r e d a t a ) 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Re v e n u e s $ 8 7 9 , 3 9 4 $ 9 6 0 , 4 1 4 $ 1 , 0 4 9 , 8 0 0 $ 1 , 0 3 6 , 0 2 9 $ 1 , 0 6 9 , 5 1 6 $ 1 , 1 4 7 , 5 5 2 $ 1 , 1 8 2 , 8 9 0 $ 1 , 2 0 6 , 8 7 6 $ 1 , 2 5 4 , 9 6 0 Ex p e n s e s P u r c h a s e d P o w e r * 2 8 9 , 4 8 4 2 3 8 , 3 8 7 1 6 7 , 1 9 8 1 4 3 , 7 6 9 3 5 8 , 2 3 9 3 6 0 , 0 8 3 3 6 3 , 3 1 6 3 6 6 , 5 8 7 3 6 9 , 8 9 5 F u e l E x p e n s e 1 3 4 , 3 2 2 1 4 9 , 4 0 3 1 4 9 , 5 6 6 1 5 9 , 6 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 T h i r d P a r t y T r a n s m i s s i o n E x p e n s e 1 0 , 4 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 P o w e r C o s t A d j u s t m e n t ( 1 2 1 , 1 3 1 ) ( 4 7 , 4 1 3 ) 6 6 , 7 1 0 5 1 , 2 2 6 0 0 0 0 0 O t h e r O & M 2 7 6 , 0 4 0 2 8 6 , 2 7 5 2 9 2 , 8 1 3 2 9 3 , 9 2 5 3 0 2 , 7 4 3 3 1 8 , 4 8 5 3 2 8 , 0 4 0 3 3 6 , 2 4 1 3 4 4 , 6 4 7 D e p r e c i a t i o n 1 0 3 , 0 7 2 1 0 2 , 0 8 6 1 1 0 , 6 2 6 1 1 5 , 9 2 1 1 2 0 , 8 0 6 1 3 1 , 6 5 3 1 4 2 , 7 2 1 1 4 8 , 2 5 1 1 5 3 , 8 0 5 O t h e r T a x e s 1 7 , 6 3 4 1 9 , 0 8 3 2 1 , 0 6 9 2 4 , 0 4 6 2 7 , 0 4 6 2 7 , 9 9 3 2 8 , 9 7 2 2 9 , 9 8 6 3 1 , 0 3 6 O t h e r 1 7 , 4 2 5 2 1 , 9 2 6 3 8 , 2 3 5 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 To t a l E x p e n s e s $7 2 7 , 3 1 6 $7 6 9 , 7 4 7 $8 4 6 , 2 1 7 $8 3 7 , 3 5 9 $8 5 7 , 6 3 3 $8 8 7 , 0 1 3 $9 1 1 , 8 4 8 $9 2 9 , 8 6 5 $9 4 8 , 1 8 1 EB I T $ 1 5 2 , 0 7 8 $ 1 9 0 , 6 6 7 $ 2 0 3 , 5 8 3 $ 1 9 8 , 6 7 0 $ 2 1 1 , 8 8 4 $ 2 6 0 , 5 3 9 $ 2 7 1 , 0 4 2 $ 2 7 7 , 0 1 2 $ 3 0 6 , 7 7 9 Ot h e r I n c o m e 6 , 7 9 7 ( 1 6 6 ) 1 5 , 9 6 4 1 8 , 1 7 3 1 6 , 8 6 9 1 2 , 9 3 2 4 , 9 0 3 7 , 3 8 9 1 3 , 2 9 0 In t e r e s t E x p e n s e 6 3 , 3 4 1 7 3 , 0 5 6 7 2 , 8 1 0 7 5 , 1 1 4 6 1 , 2 2 9 6 3 , 9 9 5 7 5 , 0 1 7 7 9 , 2 0 1 8 3 , 9 1 9 Cu s t o m e r S h a r i n g 0 ( 2 8 , 1 0 0 ) 0 0 0 0 In c o m e T a x e s 1 3 , 7 3 1 1 9 , 2 0 0 2 2 , 3 6 2 ( 7 3 1 ) ( 2 9 , 5 6 1 ) 5 6 , 7 3 5 4 0 , 0 5 3 3 8 , 1 7 8 6 5 , 9 4 6 Ta x R a t e 1 5 % 1 6 % 1 5 % - 1 % - 1 8 % 2 7 % 2 0 % 1 9 % 2 8 % Ea r n i n g s In c o m e f r o m C o n t i n u i n g O p e r a t i o n s $ 8 1 , 8 0 3 $ 9 8 , 2 4 5 $ 1 2 4 , 3 7 5 $ 1 4 2 , 4 6 0 $ 1 6 8 , 9 8 5 $ 1 5 2 , 7 4 1 $ 1 6 0 , 8 7 4 $ 1 6 7 , 0 2 1 $ 1 7 0 , 2 0 5 Di s c o n t i n u e d O p e r a t i o n s ( 6 7 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ad j u s t m e n t f o r N o n - C o n t r o l l i n g I n t e r e s t 4 6 9 1 6 9 ( 2 5 ) Ne t I n c o m e $ 8 2 , 3 3 9 $ 9 8 , 4 1 4 $ 1 2 4 , 3 5 0 $ 1 4 2 , 4 6 0 $ 1 6 8 , 9 8 5 $ 1 5 2 , 7 4 1 $ 1 6 0 , 8 7 4 $ 1 6 7 , 0 2 1 $ 1 7 0 , 2 0 5 Av g . D i l u t e d S h a r e s O u t s t a n d i n g 4 4 , 3 6 5 4 5 , 3 7 9 4 7 , 1 8 2 4 8 , 3 4 0 4 9 , 7 7 2 5 0 , 1 0 2 5 0 , 3 5 0 5 0 , 5 8 4 5 0 , 8 0 4 EP S $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 7 $ 2 . 6 4 $ 2 . 9 5 $ 3 . 4 0 $ 3 . 0 5 $ 3 . 2 0 $ 3 . 3 0 $ 3 . 3 5 No n - R e c u r r i n g 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 Op e r a t i n g E P S * $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 7 $ 2 . 6 4 $ 2 . 9 5 $ 3 . 4 0 $ 3 . 0 5 $ 3 . 2 0 $ 3 . 3 0 $ 3 . 3 5 Su p p l e m e n t a l I n f o r m a t i o n 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Di v i d e n d I n f o r m a t i o n Di v i d e n d s P e r S h a r e - Y E R a t e $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 3 4 $ 1 . 5 1 $ 1 . 6 9 $ 1 . 8 5 Di v i d e n d s P a i d P e r S h a r e 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 3 4 1 . 5 1 1 . 6 9 1 . 8 5 Pa y o u t R a t i o 6 5 % 5 5 % 4 6 % 4 1 % 3 5 % 4 4 % 4 7 % 5 1 % 5 5 % St a t i s t i c s EB I T D A / S h a r e $ 5 . 7 5 $ 6 . 4 5 $ 6 . 6 6 $ 6 . 5 1 $ 6 . 6 8 $ 7 . 8 3 $ 8 . 2 2 $ 8 . 4 1 $ 9 . 0 7 Ca s h F l o w / S h a r e 1 . 8 2 3 . 0 2 6 . 0 4 6 . 3 4 5 . 4 4 4 . 6 5 5 . 1 4 5 . 1 9 5 . 5 4 Bo o k V a l u e / S h a r e ( y e a r e n d ) 2 6 . 7 9 2 7 . 7 5 2 9 . 1 6 3 1 . 0 0 3 3 . 2 5 3 4 . 9 9 3 6 . 7 1 3 8 . 3 7 3 9 . 9 1 Av e r a g e B o o k V a l u e / S h a r e 2 6 . 2 0 2 7 . 2 7 2 8 . 4 5 3 0 . 0 8 3 2 . 1 2 3 4 . 1 2 3 5 . 8 5 3 7 . 5 4 3 9 . 1 4 RO E o f I D A C O R P 7 . 1 % 8 . 0 % 9 . 3 % 9 . 8 % 1 0 . 6 % 8 . 9 % 8 . 9 % 8 . 8 % 8 . 6 % RO E o f I d a h o P o w e r C o m p a n 7. 2 % 8 . 2 % 1 0 . 0 % 1 0 . 5 % 1 1 . 2 % 1 0 . 0 % 9 . 9 % 9 . 8 % 9 . 5 % *2 0 1 1 E - 2 0 1 5 E " P u r c h a s e d P o w e r " l i n e i t e m i n c l u d e s e s t i m a t e d f u e l , t h i r d p a r t y t r a n s m i s s i o n a n d P C A c o s t s . *O p e r a t i n g E P S e x c l u d e n o n - r e c u r r i n g i t e m s ; 0 9 E P S i n c l u d e s b o n u s d e p r e c i a t i o n b e n e f i t , t a x s e t t l e m e n t a n d O r e g o n d e f e r r a l ; 1 0 in c l u d e s r e p a i r s - r e l a t e d t a x b e n e f i t . So u r c e : W e l l s F a r g o S e c u r i t i e s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s Ea r n i n g s M o d e l WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 4 Ca s h F l o w M o d e l ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Op e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w Ne t I n c o m e $ 8 1 , 8 7 0 $ 9 8 , 2 4 5 $ 1 2 4 , 3 7 5 $ 1 4 2 , 4 6 0 $ 1 6 8 , 9 8 5 $ 1 5 2 , 7 4 1 $ 1 6 0 , 8 7 4 $ 1 6 7 , 0 2 1 1 7 0 , 2 0 5 D e p r e c i a t i o n & A m o r t i z a t i o n 1 0 8 , 1 7 1 1 0 9 , 8 4 2 1 1 8 , 6 0 0 1 2 1 , 8 4 9 1 3 0 , 8 0 6 1 4 1 , 6 5 3 1 5 2 , 7 2 1 1 5 8 , 2 5 1 1 6 3 , 8 0 5 N e t O t h e r ( 9 6 , 2 8 8 ) ( 3 9 , 4 5 7 ) 7 8 , 2 4 0 1 9 , 5 2 0 ( 2 9 , 6 2 5 ) ( 6 2 , 2 9 1 ) ( 5 5 , 4 6 1 ) ( 6 3 , 7 5 5 ) ( 5 3 , 5 5 1 ) W o r k i n g C a p i t a l ( 1 3 , 1 5 2 ) ( 3 2 , 1 1 7 ) ( 3 6 , 7 9 0 ) 2 1 , 5 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t O p e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w $ 8 0 , 6 0 1 $ 1 3 6 , 5 1 3 $ 2 8 4 , 4 2 5 $ 3 0 5 , 4 0 0 $ 2 7 0 , 1 6 6 $ 2 3 2 , 1 0 4 $ 2 5 8 , 1 3 4 $ 2 6 1 , 5 1 7 $ 2 8 0 , 4 5 8 In v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w Co n s t r u c t i o n E x p e n d i t u r e s ( $ 2 8 7 , 2 1 9 ) ( $ 2 4 3 , 5 4 4 ) ( $ 2 5 1 , 9 3 7 ) ( $ 3 3 8 , 2 5 2 ) ( $ 3 2 5 , 5 0 0 ) ( $ 2 4 6 , 0 0 0 ) ( $ 2 1 6 , 1 6 7 ) ( $ 2 8 7 , 9 9 2 ) ( $ 3 5 3 , 8 4 1 ) In v e s t m e n t s i n A f f o r d a b l e H o u s i n g P r o j e c t s 3 4 8 ( 8 , 3 1 4 ) ( 5 , 8 0 2 ) ( 1 3 , 3 9 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) Ot h e r 1 9 , 7 6 1 4 9 , 0 3 4 1 5 , 3 3 4 2 3 , 3 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t I n v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w ($ 2 6 7 , 1 1 0 ) ( $ 2 0 2 , 8 2 4 ) ( $ 2 4 2 , 4 0 5 ) ( $ 3 2 8 , 3 3 4 ) ( $ 3 3 0 , 5 0 0 ) ( $ 2 5 1 , 0 0 0 ) ( $ 2 2 1 , 1 6 7 ) ( $ 2 9 2 , 9 9 2 ) ( $ 3 5 8 , 8 4 1 ) Fi n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w Is s u a n c e o f L T D e b t $ 2 4 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 2 0 , 0 0 0 $ 2 3 0 , 0 0 0 $ 2 0 0 , 0 0 0 $ 0 $ 1 8 5 , 0 0 0 $ 1 1 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 1 5 , 0 0 0 $ 1 5 0 , 0 0 0 Is s u a n c e o f T e r m L o a n s $ 1 7 0 , 0 0 0 ( $ 1 7 0 , 0 0 0 ) $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f L T D e b t ( 9 5 , 0 3 3 ) ( 1 1 , 3 4 9 ) ( 8 9 , 1 7 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 2 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 0 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 7 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) Pu r c h a s e o f P o l l u t i o n C o n t r o l B o n d s ( 1 6 6 , 1 0 0 ) 1 6 6 , 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f P r e f e r r e d S t o c k o f I D P o w e r 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Di v i d e n d s o n C o m m o n S t o c k ( 5 3 , 0 1 2 ) ( 5 4 , 2 3 9 ) ( 5 6 , 8 2 0 ) ( 5 7 , 8 7 2 ) ( 5 9 , 5 4 7 ) ( 6 7 , 1 3 6 ) ( 7 5 , 5 6 5 ) ( 8 5 , 0 2 7 ) ( 9 3 , 9 3 9 ) ST D e b t 5 7 , 4 4 5 ( 3 9 , 0 9 5 ) ( 9 3 , 6 0 0 ) 1 3 , 1 5 0 2 5 , 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Co m m o n S t o c k I s s u e d 3 7 , 1 8 1 5 0 , 8 6 3 2 4 , 3 2 8 4 8 , 6 4 4 1 5 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 Ac q u i s i t i o n o f T r e a s u r y S h a r e s ( 3 4 6 ) ( 3 0 4 ) ( 1 , 4 4 1 ) ( 8 6 9 ) 0 0 0 0 0 Ot h e r ( 1 , 6 5 2 ) ( 2 , 6 0 3 ) ( 7 , 2 5 4 ) ( 3 , 3 6 5 ) 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t F i n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w $1 8 4 , 5 8 3 $ 6 7 , 1 7 3 $ 2 , 1 3 9 $ 1 9 8 , 6 2 4 ( $ 1 4 0 , 6 1 1 ) $ 2 6 , 8 0 0 ( $ 2 6 , 6 2 9 ) $ 3 8 , 9 0 9 $ 6 4 , 9 9 7 Ne t C h a n g e i n C a s h ( $ 1 , 9 2 6 ) $ 8 6 2 $ 4 4 , 1 5 9 $ 1 7 5 , 6 9 0 ( $ 2 0 0 , 9 4 5 ) $ 7 , 9 0 4 $ 1 0 , 3 3 8 $ 7 , 4 3 5 ( $ 1 3 , 3 8 6 ) Ca s h a t b e g i n n i n g o f p e r i o d 9 , 8 9 2 7 , 9 6 6 8 , 8 2 8 5 2 , 9 8 7 2 2 8 , 6 7 7 2 7 , 7 3 2 3 5 , 6 3 6 4 5 , 9 7 4 5 3 , 4 0 9 Ca s h a t e n d o f p e r i o d $ 7 , 9 6 6 $ 8 , 8 2 8 $ 5 2 , 9 8 7 $ 2 2 8 , 6 7 7 $ 2 7 , 7 3 2 $ 3 5 , 6 3 6 $ 4 5 , 9 7 4 $ 5 3 , 4 0 9 $ 4 0 , 0 2 3 Ca p i t a l S t r u c t u r e 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Co m m o n E q u i t y $1 , 2 0 7 , 3 1 5 $ 1 , 3 0 2 , 4 3 7 $ 1 , 3 9 7 , 3 3 5 $ 1 , 5 3 2 , 1 1 3 $ 1 , 6 5 6 , 5 5 1 $ 1 , 7 5 2 , 1 5 6 $ 1 , 8 4 7 , 4 6 5 $ 1 , 9 3 9 , 4 5 9 $ 2 , 0 2 5 , 7 2 5 Lo n g - T e r m D e b t 1, 1 5 6 , 8 8 0 1 , 1 8 3 , 4 5 1 1 , 4 0 9 , 7 3 0 1 , 4 8 8 , 2 8 7 1 , 3 6 7 , 2 2 3 1 , 4 5 1 , 1 5 9 1 , 4 9 0 , 0 9 5 1 , 6 0 4 , 0 3 1 1 , 7 5 2 , 9 6 7 Sh o r t - T e r m D e b t 19 7 , 9 0 1 23 7 , 7 7 8 63 , 0 9 0 18 9 , 4 7 2 21 4 , 4 7 2 21 4 , 4 7 2 21 4 , 4 7 2 21 4 , 4 7 2 21 4 , 4 7 2 To t a l C a p i t a l i z a t i o n $ 2 , 5 6 2 , 0 9 6 $ 2 , 7 2 3 , 6 6 6 $ 2 , 8 7 0 , 1 5 5 $ 3 , 2 0 9 , 8 7 2 $ 3 , 2 3 8 , 2 4 6 $ 3 , 4 1 7 , 7 8 7 $ 3 , 5 5 2 , 0 3 2 $ 3 , 7 5 7 , 9 6 2 $ 3 , 9 9 3 , 1 6 4 % E q u i t y 47 4 8 4 9 4 8 5 1 5 1 5 2 5 2 5 1 % L o n g - T e r m D e b t 45 4 3 4 9 4 6 4 2 4 2 4 2 4 3 4 4 % S h o r t - T e r m D e b t 8 9 2 6 7 6 6 6 5 So u r c e : W e l l s F a r g o S e c u r i t i e s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 5 Required Disclosures $18.00 $20.00 $22.00 $24.00 $26.00 $28.00 $30.00 $32.00 $34.00 $36.00 $38.00 $40.00 $42.00 $44.00 $46.00 $48.00 12 / 3 1 / 0 8 1/2 8 / 0 9 2/2 5 / 0 9 3/2 5 / 0 9 4/2 2 / 0 9 5/2 0 / 0 9 6/1 7 / 0 9 7/1 5 / 0 9 8/1 2 / 0 9 9/9 / 0 9 10 / 7 / 0 9 11 / 4 / 0 9 12 / 2 / 0 9 12 / 3 0 / 0 9 1/2 7 / 1 0 2/2 4 / 1 0 3/2 4 / 1 0 4/2 1 / 1 0 5/1 9 / 1 0 6/1 6 / 1 0 7/1 4 / 1 0 8/1 1 / 1 0 9/8 / 1 0 10 / 6 / 1 0 11 / 3 / 1 0 12 / 1 / 1 0 12 / 2 9 / 1 0 1/2 6 / 1 1 2/2 3 / 1 1 3/2 3 / 1 1 4/2 0 / 1 1 5/1 8 / 1 1 6/1 5 / 1 1 7/1 3 / 1 1 8/1 0 / 1 1 9/7 / 1 1 10 / 5 / 1 1 11 / 2 / 1 1 11 / 3 0 / 1 1 12 / 2 8 / 1 1 Se c u r i t y P r i c e IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price PerformanceIDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price Performance Date Date Publication Price ($) Rating Code Val. Rng. Low Val. Rng. High Close Price ($) 12/31/2008 Kalton 12/31/2008 NA 2 30.00 32.00 29.45 z 2/19/2009 24.39 2 26.00 27.00 24.39 z 8/6/2009 27.79 2 27.00 29.00 27.79 z 9/10/2009 28.37 2 29.00 30.00 28.37 z 11/10/2009 29.52 2 30.00 31.00 29.52 z 12/14/2009 31.18 2 32.00 33.00 31.54 z 2/25/2010 33.94 2 35.00 36.00 33.89 z 8/6/2010 35.75 2 36.00 37.00 36.05 z 10/29/2010 37.00 2 38.00 39.00 36.80 cz 11/15/2010 36.34 1 40.00 41.00 36.52 z 2/9/2011 38.22 1 41.00 42.00 38.05 z 5/5/2011 38.91 1 42.00 43.00 38.91 z 7/19/2011 39.83 1 43.00 44.00 39.84 z 8/4/2011 36.47 1 41.00 42.00 36.47 dz 10/24/2011 40.51 2 42.00 43.00 40.43 z 11/4/2011 41.33 2 43.00 44.00 40.43 Source: Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates and Reuters data Symbol Key Rating Code Key d Rating Downgrade ‹ Initiation, Resumption, Drop or Suspend 1 Outperform/Buy SR Suspended c Rating Upgrade „ Analyst Change 2 Market Perform/Hold NR Not Rated z Valuation Range Change ˆ Split Adjustment 3 Underperform/Sell NE No Estimate Additional Information Available Upon Request I certify that: 1) All views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers discussed; and 2) No part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by me in this research report. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC maintains a market in the common stock of IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates intends to seek or expects to receive compensation for investment banking services in the next three months from IDACORP, Inc. ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wells Fargo Securities, LLC. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC provided noninvestment banking securities-related services to IDACORP, Inc. ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wells Fargo Securities, LLC. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC provided nonsecurities services to IDACORP, Inc. WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 6 ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC received compensation for products or services other than investment banking services from IDACORP, Inc. in the past 12 months. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates may have a significant financial interest in IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates intends to seek or expects to receive compensation for investment banking services in the next three months from an affiliate of IDACORP, Inc. IDA: Risks to our valuation include project delays/cancellations, negative regulatory developments and economic weakness. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC does not compensate its research analysts based on specific investment banking transactions. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC’s research analysts receive compensation that is based upon and impacted by the overall profitability and revenue of the firm, which includes, but is not limited to investment banking revenue. STOCK RATING 1=Outperform: The stock appears attractively valued, and we believe the stock's total return will exceed that of the market over the next 12 months. BUY 2=Market Perform: The stock appears appropriately valued, and we believe the stock's total return will be in line with the market over the next 12 months. HOLD 3=Underperform: The stock appears overvalued, and we believe the stock's total return will be below the market over the next 12 months. SELL SECTOR RATING O=Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. M=Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. U=Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. VOLATILITY RATING V = A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has fluctuated by +/-20% or greater in at least 8 of the past 24 months or if the analyst expects significant volatility. All IPO stocks are automatically rated volatile within the first 24 months of trading. As of: January 3, 2012 50% of companies covered by Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Equity Research are rated Outperform. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC has provided investment banking services for 40% of its Equity Research Outperform-rated companies. 48% of companies covered by Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Equity Research are rated Market Perform. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC has provided investment banking services for 34% of its Equity Research Market Perform-rated companies. 2% of companies covered by Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Equity Research are rated Underperform. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC has provided investment banking services for 24% of its Equity Research Underperform-rated companies. Important Disclosure for International Clients EEA – The securities and related financial instruments described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. For recipients in the EEA, this report is distributed by Wells Fargo Securities International Limited (“WFSIL”). WFSIL is a U.K. incorporated investment firm authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. For the purposes of Section 21 of the UK Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“the Act”), the content of this report has been approved by WFSIL a regulated person under the Act. 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