Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOC IDA080708.pdf Please see page 5 for rating definitions, important disclosures and required analyst certifications. WCM does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report and investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. A publication of WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC Equity Research IDACORP, Inc. IDA: Solid Q2 Driven By Idaho Power Regulatory Improvements On The Horizon? • On 8/7, IDA reported 2Q EPS of $0.39, above our estimate of $0.33 but below consensus of $0.42. This compares to $0.41 in the year-ago period. Despite a roughly $0.12 per share headwind resulting from the implementation of an even power supply cost distribution methodology (which has a zero net impact over a 12-month period), Idaho Power Company’s (IPC) EPS contribution rose $0.02 largely driven higher retail rates (partially offset by the negative impact of weather in the quarter) and better (albeit still below average) hydro conditions. Earnings growth at IPC was more than offset by a lower contribution from IDACORP Financial Services (IFS) and the parent company. • IDA Targets PCA in Regulatory Workshops. Having made progress on the test year in a previous workshop, IDA takes aim at the Power Cost Adjustment Mechanism this summer to address issues such as the load growth adjustment mechanism (LGAR) and 90/10 sharing formula. Sustained below average hydro conditions coupled with strong customer growth in recent years have prevented IDA from earning its allowed ROE as a result of the PCA design, spurring the company to seek changes in the regulatory arena. We would view any improvements to the PCA mechanism positively as they would likely improve both IDA’s EPS outlook and regulatory risk profile. It is our understanding that there could be action on the regulatory front by the end of the year. • 08 Outlook Update. Feeling the impact of a slowing economy, IDA trimmed 08 CapEx to $255-270mm from $270-290mm based on lower expected new customer connections and timing issues. In addition, mgmt increased the expected effective tax rate at the consolidated level to 22-26% from 20-24% based on a larger EPS contribution from Idaho Power than previously expected. Turning to hydro, mgmt tightened the range of expected hydro generation to 6.5-7.5mm MWh from 6.0-8.0 mm MWh. We are maintaining our 08E-09E EPS of $2.10 and $2.30, and look to the outcome of the pending rate case and opportunities to invest in regulated transmission and generation projects as key earnings growth drivers going forward (along with the aforementioned potential for positive regulatory developments). Valuation Range: $31 to $33 We value IDA under P/E multiple and dividend discount analysis, which indicate a 12- 18 month valuation range of $31-33 per share. We apply a P/E multiple of 13.5X (a modest discount to the Regulated peer group to reflect Idaho's below average regulatory environment) to our estimated 2010 EPS range of $2.40-2.60 and discount back the resulting share price by one year to derive a 12-18 month share price of approximately $31. Risk to our valuation analysis include project delays or cancellations and consistently below average hydroelectric conditions. Investment Thesis: We rate shares Market Perform. IDA's EPS growth outlook is strong driven by a likely material increase in regulated infrastructure, which is needed to accommodate Idaho's fast-growing population. However, while it appears to be improving, Idaho's regulatory environment continues to be a concern. Market Perform Sector: Regulated Electric Utilities, Market Weight August 7, 2008 Earnings Reported 2007A 2008E 2009E EPS Curr. Prior Curr. Prior Q1 (Mar.) $0.56 $0.48 A NC NE Q2 (June) 0.41 0.39 A 0.33 NE Q3 (Sep.) 0.65 0.88 0.93 NE Q4 (Dec.) 0.23 0.35 0.36 NE FY $1.86 $2.10 NC $2.30 NC CY $1.86 $2.10 $2.30 FY P/E 16.0x 14.1x 12.9x Rev.(MM) $879.4 $929.4 $980.7 Source: Company Data, Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC estimates, and Reuters NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate, NM = Not Meaningful Ticker IDA Price (08/07/2008) $29.66 52-Week Range: $28-37 Shares Outstanding: (MM) 45.2 Market Cap.: (MM) $1,341.8 S&P 500: 1,266.07 Dividend/Yield: $1.20/4.0% LT Debt: (MM) $1,153.5 LT Debt/Total Cap.: 43.3% ROE: 8.0% 3-5 Yr. Est. Growth Rate: 7.0% CY 2008 Est. P/E-to-Growth: 2.0x Last Reporting Date: 08/07/2008 Before Open Source: Company Data, Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC estimates, and Reuters Utilities Neil Kalton, CFA, Senior Analyst (314) 955-5239 / neil.kalton@wachovia.com Sarah Akers, Associate Analyst (314) 955-6209 / sarah.akers@wachovia.com Jonathan Reeder, Associate Analyst (314) 955-2462 / jonathan.reeder@wachovia.com WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 2 Company Description: IDACORP (IDA) is the holding company for Idaho Power Company (IPC), a regulated electric utility serving over 475,000 customers in southern Idaho, including Boise and surrounding areas, and eastern Oregon. In addition, IDACORP Financial Services (IFS), a non-utility business, invests in affordable housing tax credits. WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 3 ( i n t h o u s a n d s e x c e p t p e r s h a r e d a t a ) 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 E 2 0 0 9 E 2 0 1 0 E 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Re v e n u e s $ 8 4 2 , 8 6 4 $ 9 2 6 , 2 9 1 $ 8 7 9 , 3 9 4 $ 9 2 9 , 4 4 2 $ 9 8 0 , 6 5 1 $ 1 , 0 4 7 , 5 3 4 $ 1 , 1 2 5 , 4 4 1 $ 1 , 2 4 2 , 3 8 6 $ 1 , 3 3 2 , 8 8 6 $ 1 , 4 0 3 , 9 5 6 $ 1 , 4 5 3 , 6 1 4 Ex p e n s e s P u r c h a s e d P o w e r * 2 2 2 , 3 1 0 2 8 3 , 4 4 0 2 8 9 , 4 8 4 2 9 9 , 0 0 1 2 9 5 , 5 0 9 3 0 2 , 2 0 4 3 0 9 , 0 9 3 3 1 6 , 1 8 0 3 2 3 , 4 7 1 3 3 0 , 9 7 2 3 3 8 , 6 9 0 F u e l E x p e n s e 1 0 3 , 1 6 4 1 1 5 , 0 1 8 1 3 4 , 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 P o w e r C o s t A d j u s t m e n t ( 2 , 9 9 5 ) ( 2 9 , 5 2 6 ) ( 1 2 1 , 1 3 1 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 O t h e r O & M 2 4 2 , 3 8 1 2 6 4 , 8 1 0 2 8 6 , 5 1 0 2 9 6 , 4 2 4 3 0 4 , 5 6 1 3 1 2 , 9 2 9 3 2 1 , 5 3 3 3 3 0 , 3 8 1 3 3 9 , 4 8 0 3 4 8 , 8 3 7 3 5 8 , 4 5 9 D e p r e c i a t i o n 1 0 1 , 4 8 5 9 9 , 8 2 4 1 0 3 , 0 7 2 1 1 8 , 1 3 1 1 2 7 , 2 8 1 1 3 8 , 4 8 2 1 5 8 , 1 3 0 1 8 2 , 1 3 5 2 0 0 , 2 8 1 2 1 5 , 3 3 6 2 2 6 , 7 5 7 O t h e r T a x e s 2 0 , 8 5 6 1 8 , 6 6 1 1 7 , 6 3 4 1 7 , 9 8 7 1 8 , 3 4 6 1 8 , 7 1 3 1 9 , 0 8 8 1 9 , 4 6 9 1 9 , 8 5 9 2 0 , 2 5 6 2 0 , 6 6 1 O t h e r 2 , 1 8 2 1 2 , 6 1 7 1 7 , 4 2 5 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 To t a l E x p e n s e s $6 8 9 , 3 8 3 $7 6 4 , 8 4 4 $7 2 7 , 3 1 6 $7 5 1 , 7 2 2 $7 6 5 , 8 7 7 $7 9 2 , 5 0 7 $8 2 8 , 0 2 3 $8 6 8 , 3 4 5 $9 0 3 , 2 7 0 $9 3 5 , 5 8 0 $9 6 4 , 7 4 6 EB I T $ 1 5 3 , 4 8 1 $ 1 6 1 , 4 4 7 $ 1 5 2 , 0 7 8 $ 1 7 7 , 7 2 1 $ 2 1 4 , 7 7 4 $ 2 5 5 , 0 2 7 $ 2 9 7 , 4 1 8 $ 3 7 4 , 0 4 1 $ 4 2 9 , 6 1 6 $ 4 6 8 , 3 7 6 $ 4 8 8 , 8 6 7 Ot h e r I n c o m e 8 , 4 0 2 6 , 7 2 3 7 , 2 6 6 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 In t e r e s t E x p e n s e 5 9 , 7 2 9 6 0 , 9 7 5 6 3 , 3 4 1 6 3 , 2 2 6 6 7 , 8 7 4 7 5 , 5 5 3 9 2 , 0 0 3 1 1 3 , 2 7 6 1 2 7 , 7 4 4 1 3 7 , 6 2 5 1 4 3 , 3 0 5 In c o m e T a x e s 1 7 , 6 1 0 1 5 , 3 7 7 1 3 , 7 3 1 2 4 , 7 8 9 4 5 , 4 2 6 6 0 , 1 3 0 7 2 , 2 4 7 9 5 , 8 3 3 1 1 1 , 8 6 5 1 2 3 , 1 2 8 1 2 8 , 9 0 4 Ta x R a t e 1 9 % 1 4 % 1 5 % 2 2 % 3 1 % 3 4 % 3 5 % 3 7 % 3 7 % 3 7 % 3 7 % Ea r n i n g s In c o m e f r o m C o n t i n u i n g O p e r a t i o n s $ 8 4 , 5 4 4 $ 9 1 , 8 1 8 $ 8 2 , 2 7 2 $ 9 5 , 1 7 9 $ 1 0 6 , 9 4 8 $ 1 2 4 , 8 1 9 $ 1 3 8 , 6 4 2 $ 1 7 0 , 4 0 6 $ 1 9 5 , 4 8 1 $ 2 1 3 , 0 9 8 $ 2 2 2 , 1 3 2 Dis c o n t i n u e d O p e r a t i o n s 2 2 , 0 5 5 ( 7 , 3 2 8 ) ( 6 7 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t I n c o m e $ 6 2 , 4 8 9 $ 9 9 , 1 4 6 $ 8 2 , 3 3 9 $ 9 5 , 1 7 9 $ 1 0 6 , 9 4 8 $ 1 2 4 , 8 1 9 $ 1 3 8 , 6 4 2 $ 1 7 0 , 4 0 6 $ 1 9 5 , 4 8 1 $ 2 1 3 , 0 9 8 $ 2 2 2 , 1 3 2 Av g D i l u t e d S h a r e s O u t s t a n d i n g 4 2 , 3 6 2 4 2 , 8 7 4 4 4 , 2 9 1 4 5 , 4 1 0 4 6 , 4 1 1 4 7 , 9 3 0 5 2 , 2 8 9 5 7 , 9 2 6 6 1 , 1 0 6 6 2 , 7 7 8 6 2 , 4 9 1 EP S $ 1 . 4 8 $ 2 . 3 1 $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 0 $ 2 . 3 0 $ 2 . 6 0 $ 2 . 6 5 $ 2 . 9 4 $ 3 . 2 0 $ 3 . 3 9 $ 3 . 5 5 No n - R e c u r r i n g ( 0 . 3 9 ) 0 . 4 8 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 Op e r a t i n g E P S * $ 1 . 8 7 $ 1 . 8 3 $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 0 $ 2 . 3 0 $ 2 . 6 0 $ 2 . 6 5 $ 2 . 9 4 $ 3 . 2 0 $ 3 . 3 9 $ 3 . 5 5 Su p p l e m e n t a l I n f o r m a t i o n 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 E 2 0 0 9 E 2 0 1 0 E 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Di v i d e n d I n f o r m a t i o n Div i d e n d s P e r S h a r e - Y E R a t e $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 3 0 $ 1 . 4 0 $ 1 . 5 0 $ 1 . 6 0 $ 1 . 7 0 $ 1 . 8 0 $ 1 . 9 0 $ 2 . 0 0 Div i d e n d s P a i d P e r S h a r e 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 3 0 1 . 4 0 1 . 5 0 1 . 6 0 1 . 7 0 1 . 8 0 1 . 9 0 2 . 0 0 Pa y o u t R a t i o 6 4 % 6 6 % 6 5 % 6 2 % 6 1 % 5 8 % 6 0 % 5 8 % 5 6 % 5 6 % 5 6 % St a t i s t i c s EB I T D A / S h a r e $ 6 . 0 2 $ 6 . 0 9 $ 5 . 7 6 $ 6 . 5 2 $ 7 . 3 7 $ 8 . 2 1 $ 8 . 7 1 $ 9 . 6 0 $ 1 0 . 3 1 $ 1 0 . 8 9 $ 1 1 . 4 5 Ca s h F l o w / S h a r e 3 . 8 2 3 . 9 7 1 . 8 3 6 . 4 6 5 . 4 8 5 . 9 1 5 . 9 1 6 . 1 7 6 . 4 4 6 . 6 7 7 . 5 0 Bo o k V a l u e / S h a r e ( y e a r e n d ) 2 4 . 0 4 2 5 . 5 3 2 6 . 7 9 2 7 . 7 2 2 8 . 9 1 3 0 . 4 0 3 2 . 9 6 3 5 . 0 5 3 6 . 8 6 3 8 . 6 3 3 9 . 7 4 Av e r a g e B o o k V a l u e / S h a r e 2 3 . 9 6 2 4 . 7 8 2 6 . 1 6 2 7 . 2 6 2 8 . 3 1 2 9 . 6 5 3 1 . 6 8 3 4 . 0 0 3 5 . 9 6 3 7 . 7 5 3 9 . 1 8 RO E o f I D A C O R P 7 . 9 % 8 . 2 % 7 . 1 % 7 . 7 % 8 . 1 % 8 . 8 % 8 . 4 % 8 . 7 % 8 . 9 % 9 . 0 % 9 . 1 % RO E o f I d a h o P o w e r C o m p a n 7. 7 % 9 . 6 % 7 . 2 % 7 . 9 % 8 . 3 % 9 . 1 % 9 . 0 % 9 . 2 % 9 . 4 % 9 . 5 % 9 . 5 % *2 0 0 8 E - 2 0 1 5 E " P u r c h a s e d P o w e r " l i n e i t e m i n c l u d e s e s t i m a t e d f u e l a n d P C A c o s t s . *O p e r a t i n g E P S e x c l u d e n o n - r e c u r r i n g i t e m s . So u r c e : W a c h o v i a C a p i t a l M a r k e t s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s Ea r n i n g s M o d e l WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 4 Ca s h F l o w M o d e l ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 E 2 0 0 9 E 2 0 1 0 E 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Op e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w Ne t I n c o m e $ 7 2 , 9 8 3 $ 6 3 , 6 6 1 $ 1 0 7 , 4 0 3 $ 8 2 , 3 3 9 $ 9 5 , 1 7 9 $ 1 0 6 , 9 4 8 $ 1 2 4 , 8 1 9 $ 1 3 8 , 6 4 2 $ 1 7 0 , 4 0 6 $ 1 9 5 , 4 8 1 $ 2 1 3 , 0 9 8 2 2 2 , 1 3 2 D e p r e c i a t i o n & A m o r t i z a t i o n 1 2 4 , 1 9 2 1 2 4 , 1 2 4 1 2 2 , 6 4 1 1 2 0 , 3 6 8 1 3 8 , 1 3 1 1 4 7 , 2 8 1 1 5 8 , 4 8 2 1 7 8 , 1 3 0 2 0 2 , 1 3 5 2 2 0 , 2 8 1 2 3 5 , 3 3 6 2 4 6 , 7 5 7 N e t O t h e r ( 1 1 , 8 1 1 ) ( 3 4 , 5 2 0 ) ( 5 8 , 9 0 2 ) ( 1 2 4 , 0 6 9 ) 6 0 , 0 0 0 0 0 ( 7 , 5 0 0 ) ( 1 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 2 2 , 5 0 0 ) ( 3 0 , 0 0 0 ) 0 W o r k i n g C a p i t a l 9 , 3 3 2 8 , 2 3 1 ( 1 , 3 6 4 ) 2 , 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t O p e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w $ 1 9 4 , 6 9 6 $ 1 6 1 , 4 9 6 $ 1 6 9 , 7 7 8 $ 8 0 , 7 4 1 $ 2 9 3 , 3 1 1 $ 2 5 4 , 2 2 9 $ 2 8 3 , 3 0 0 $ 3 0 9 , 2 7 3 $ 3 5 7 , 5 4 1 $ 3 9 3 , 2 6 2 $ 4 1 8 , 4 3 3 $ 4 6 8 , 8 9 0 In v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w Co n s t r u c t i o n E x p e n d i t u r e s ( $ 1 9 9 , 7 7 0 ) ( $ 1 9 3 , 3 1 4 ) ( $ 2 2 5 , 0 4 8 ) $ 0 ( $ 2 8 2 , 7 5 0 ) ( $ 3 2 7 , 2 5 0 ) ( $ 4 1 9 , 4 3 5 ) ( $ 8 9 0 , 4 7 3 ) ( $ 7 0 9 , 8 6 7 ) ( $ 4 9 9 , 8 7 1 ) ( $ 5 0 3 , 7 3 7 ) ($ 2 5 7 , 7 1 9 ) In v e s t m e n t s i n A f f o r d a b l e H o u s i n g P r o j e c t s ( 7 , 6 5 5 ) ( 4 , 9 9 2 ) ( 5 , 0 5 9 ) 0 ( 2 5 , 0 0 0 ) 1 2 , 5 0 0 ( 1 2 , 5 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) Pr o c e e d s f r o m S a l e o f N o n - U t i l i t y A s s e t s 5 , 5 5 4 1 , 0 1 9 1 4 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ot h e r ( 2 7 , 7 6 9 ) 1 0 8 , 3 3 7 ( 2 3 , 0 7 9 ) 2 0 , 1 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t I n v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w ($ 2 2 9 , 6 4 0 ) ( $ 8 8 , 9 5 0 ) ( $ 2 5 3 , 0 4 0 ) $ 2 0 , 1 5 3 ( $ 3 0 7 , 7 5 0 ) ( $ 3 1 4 , 7 5 0 ) ( $ 4 3 1 , 9 3 5 ) ( $ 9 0 0 , 4 7 3 ) ( $ 7 1 9 , 8 6 7 ) ( $ 5 0 9 , 8 7 1 ) ( $ 5 1 3 , 7 3 7 ) ( $ 2 6 7 , 7 1 9 ) Fi n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w Is s u a n c e o f L T D e b t $ 1 0 6 , 4 4 2 $ 6 4 , 9 9 2 $ 1 1 6 , 3 0 0 $ 2 4 0 , 0 0 0 $ 7 5 , 0 0 0 $ 1 8 5 , 0 0 0 $ 1 4 5 , 0 0 0 $ 4 8 5 , 0 0 0 $ 3 6 5 , 0 0 0 $ 2 0 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 5 0 , 0 0 0 $ 2 5 , 0 0 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f L T D e b t ( 7 9 , 8 9 0 ) ( 8 3 , 0 6 7 ) ( 1 3 2 , 6 4 2 ) ( 9 5 , 0 3 3 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 8 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 2 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 0 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 7 0 , 0 0 0 ) 0 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f P r e f e r r e d S t o c k o f I D P o w e r ( 5 2 , 3 5 1 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Di v i d e n d s o n C o m m o n S t o c k ( 4 5 , 8 3 8 ) ( 5 0 , 6 9 0 ) ( 5 1 , 2 7 2 ) ( 5 3 , 0 1 2 ) ( 5 9 , 0 3 3 ) ( 6 4 , 9 7 6 ) ( 7 1 , 8 9 5 ) ( 8 3 , 6 6 2 ) ( 9 8 , 4 7 4 ) ( 1 0 9 , 9 9 0 ) ( 1 1 9 , 2 7 8 ) ( 1 2 4 , 9 8 2 ) ST D e b t ( 5 8 , 2 5 0 ) 2 3 , 8 3 0 6 8 , 9 0 0 5 7 , 4 4 5 ( 3 0 , 0 0 0 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Co m m o n S t o c k I s s u e d 1 1 5 , 6 9 0 6 , 2 9 6 4 1 , 4 6 5 3 7 , 1 8 1 2 5 , 0 0 0 5 0 , 0 0 0 7 0 , 0 0 0 3 0 0 , 0 0 0 1 9 5 , 0 0 0 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 6 5 , 0 0 0 ( 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 ) Ac q u i s i t i o n o f T r e a s u r y S h a r e s ( 1 , 4 2 0 ) 0 ( 2 1 3 ) ( 3 4 6 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ot h e r ( 1 , 1 9 5 ) ( 4 , 9 5 4 ) ( 1 , 7 4 0 ) ( 1 , 6 5 2 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t F i n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w ($ 1 6 , 8 1 2 ) ( $ 4 3 , 5 9 3 ) $ 4 0 , 7 9 8 $ 1 8 4 , 5 8 3 $ 9 , 9 0 3 $ 8 8 , 9 6 0 $ 1 4 2 , 0 4 1 $ 5 8 0 , 2 7 4 $ 3 6 0 , 4 6 2 $ 1 2 0 , 0 1 0 $ 9 5 , 7 2 2 ( $ 1 9 9 , 9 8 2 ) Ne t C h a n g e i n C a s h ( $ 5 1 , 7 5 6 ) $ 2 8 , 9 5 3 ( $ 4 2 , 4 6 4 ) $ 2 8 5 , 4 7 7 ( $ 4 , 5 3 6 ) $ 2 8 , 4 4 0 ( $ 6 , 5 9 3 ) ( $ 1 0 , 9 2 6 ) ( $ 1 , 8 6 4 ) $ 3 , 4 0 1 $ 4 1 8 $ 1 , 1 8 8 Ca s h a t b e g i n n i n g o f p e r i o d 7 5 , 1 5 9 2 3 , 4 0 3 5 2 , 3 5 6 9 , 8 9 2 7 , 6 1 8 3 , 0 8 2 3 1 , 5 2 2 2 4 , 9 2 9 1 4 , 0 0 2 1 2 , 1 3 8 1 5 , 5 3 9 1 5 , 9 5 8 Ca s h a t e n d o f p e r i o d $ 2 3 , 4 0 3 $ 5 2 , 3 5 6 $ 9 , 8 9 2 $ 2 9 5 , 3 6 9 $ 3 , 0 8 2 $ 3 1 , 5 2 2 $ 2 4 , 9 2 9 $ 1 4 , 0 0 2 $ 1 2 , 1 3 8 $ 1 5 , 5 3 9 $ 1 5 , 9 5 8 $ 1 7 , 1 4 6 Ca p i t a l S t r u c t u r e 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 E 2 0 0 9 E 2 0 1 0 E 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Co m m o n E q u i t y $1 , 0 0 8 , 2 8 6 $ 1 , 0 2 5 , 2 5 1 $ 1 , 1 2 4 , 1 8 3 $ 1 , 2 0 7 , 3 1 5 $ 1 , 2 6 8 , 4 6 2 $ 1 , 3 6 0 , 4 3 4 $ 1 , 4 8 3 , 3 5 8 $ 1 , 8 3 8 , 3 3 9 $ 2 , 1 0 5 , 2 7 0 $ 2 , 2 9 0 , 7 6 1 $ 2 , 4 4 9 , 5 8 0 $ 2 , 4 4 6 , 7 3 0 Lo n g - T e r m D e b t 97 9 , 5 4 9 1 , 0 2 3 , 5 8 0 9 2 8 , 6 4 8 1 , 1 5 6 , 8 8 0 1 , 2 3 0 , 8 1 6 1 , 3 3 4 , 7 5 2 1 , 4 7 8 , 6 8 8 1 , 8 4 2 , 6 2 4 2 , 1 0 6 , 5 6 0 2 , 2 3 6 , 5 6 0 2 , 3 8 6 , 5 6 0 2 , 4 1 1 , 5 6 0 Sh o r t - T e r m D e b t 11 4 , 8 7 3 76 , 4 0 7 22 4 , 1 2 5 19 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 To t a l C a p i t a l i z a t i o n $ 2 , 1 0 2 , 7 0 8 $ 2 , 1 2 5 , 2 3 8 $ 2 , 2 7 6 , 9 5 6 $ 2 , 5 6 2 , 0 9 6 $ 2 , 6 6 7 , 1 7 9 $ 2 , 8 6 3 , 0 8 7 $ 3 , 1 2 9 , 9 4 7 $ 3 , 8 4 8 , 8 6 4 $ 4 , 3 7 9 , 7 3 1 $ 4 , 6 9 5 , 2 2 2 $ 5 , 0 0 4 , 04 1 $ 5 , 0 2 6 , 1 9 1 % E q u i t y 48 4 8 4 9 4 7 4 8 4 8 4 7 4 8 4 8 4 9 4 9 4 9 % L o n g - T e r m D e b t 47 4 8 4 1 4 5 4 6 4 7 4 7 4 8 4 8 4 8 4 8 4 8 % S h o r t - T e r m D e b t 5 4 1 0 8 6 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 So u r c e : W a c h o v i a C a p i t a l M a r k e t s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 5 Required Disclosures $24.00 $25.00 $26.00 $27.00 $28.00 $29.00 $30.00 $31.00 $32.00 $33.00 $34.00 $35.00 $36.00 $37.00 $38.00 $39.00 $40.00 $41.00 $42.00 $43.00 $44.00 $45.00 $46.00 8/2 / 0 5 8/3 0 / 0 5 9/2 7 / 0 5 10 / 2 5 / 0 5 11 / 2 2 / 0 5 12 / 2 0 / 0 5 1/1 7 / 0 6 2/1 4 / 0 6 3/1 4 / 0 6 4/1 1 / 0 6 5/9 / 0 6 6/6 / 0 6 7/4 / 0 6 8/1 / 0 6 8/2 9 / 0 6 9/2 6 / 0 6 10 / 2 4 / 0 6 11 / 2 1 / 0 6 12 / 1 9 / 0 6 1/1 6 / 0 7 2/1 3 / 0 7 3/1 3 / 0 7 4/1 0 / 0 7 5/8 / 0 7 6/5 / 0 7 7/3 / 0 7 7/3 1 / 0 7 8/2 8 / 0 7 9/2 5 / 0 7 10 / 2 3 / 0 7 11 / 2 0 / 0 7 12 / 1 8 / 0 7 1/1 5 / 0 8 2/1 2 / 0 8 3/1 1 / 0 8 4/8 / 0 8 5/6 / 0 8 6/3 / 0 8 7/1 / 0 8 7/2 9 / 0 8 Se c u r i t y P r i c e IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price PerformanceIDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price Performance Date Date Publication Price ($) Rating Code Val. Rng. Low Val. Rng. High Close Price ($) 8/2/2005 Hamlin 8/2/2005 NA 2 28.00 30.00 31.11 „ 2/14/2006 Brothwell z 5/12/2006 NA 2 30.00 32.00 33.50 z 8/10/2006 NA 2 35.00 38.00 36.93 z 1/19/2007 NA 2 34.00 37.00 37.22 dz 2/16/2007 NA 3 31.00 33.00 35.60 z 5/10/2007 NA 3 30.00 33.00 32.84 z 6/11/2007 NA 3 30.00 32.00 31.78 z 8/9/2007 NA 3 32.00 34.00 34.77 c 8/30/2007 32.29 2 32.00 34.00 32.52 z 11/1/2007 34.89 2 33.00 35.00 33.70 „ 11/14/2007 Kalton z 11/14/2007 33.79 2 34.00 35.00 33.85 z 2/15/2008 32.04 2 31.00 33.00 31.46 Source: Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC estimates and Reuters data Symbol Key Rating Code Key d Rating Downgrade ‹ Initiation, Resumption, Drop or Suspend 1 Outperform/Buy SR Suspended c Rating Upgrade „ Analyst Change 2 Market Perform/Hold NR Not Rated z Valuation Range Change ˆ Split Adjustment 3 Underperform/Sell NE No Estimate Additional Information Available Upon Request I certify that: 1) All views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers discussed; and 2) No part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by me in this research report. ƒ Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC or its affiliates intends to seek or expects to receive compensation for investment banking services in the next three months from IDACORP, Inc.. ƒ Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC or its affiliates received compensation for investment banking services from IDACORP, Inc. in the past 12 months. ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC provided investment banking services to IDACORP, Inc.. WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 6 ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC provided noninvestment banking securities-related services to IDACORP, Inc.. ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC provided nonsecurities services to IDACORP, Inc.. ƒ Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC received compensation for products or services other than investment banking services from IDACORP, Inc. in the past 12 months. Risk to our valuation analysis include project delays or cancellations and consistently below average hydroelectric conditions. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC does not compensate its research analysts based on specific investment banking transactions. WCM’s research analysts receive compensation that is based upon and impacted by the overall profitability and revenue of the firm, which includes, but is not limited to investment banking revenue. STOCK RATING 1 = Outperform: The stock appears attractively valued, and we believe the stock's total return will exceed that of the market over the next 12 months. BUY 2 = Market Perform: The stock appears appropriately valued, and we believe the stock's total return will be in line with the market over the next 12 months. HOLD 3 = Underperform: The stock appears overvalued, and we believe the stock's total return will be below the market over the next 12 months. SELL SECTOR RATING O = Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. M = Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. U = Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. VOLATILITY RATING V = A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has fluctuated by +/-20% or greater in at least 8 of the past 24 months or if the analyst expects significant volatility. All IPO stocks are automatically rated volatile within the first 24 months of trading. As of: August 7, 2008 45% of companies covered by Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC Equity Research are rated Outperform. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC has provided investment banking services for 44% of its Equity Research Outperform-rated companies. 52% of companies covered by Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC Equity Research are rated Market Perform. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC has provided investment banking services for 32% of its Equity Research Market Perform-rated companies. 4% of companies covered by Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC Equity Research are rated Underperform. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC has provided investment banking services for 50% of its Equity Research Underperform-rated companies. Important Disclosure for International Clients The securities and related financial instruments described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. For certain non-U.S. institutional reader (including readers in the EEA), this report is distributed by Wachovia Securities International Limited (“WSIL”). For the purposes of Section 21 of the UK Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“the Act”), the content of this report has been approved by WSIL a regulated person under the Act. WSIL does not deal with retail clients as defined in the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive 2007, therefore clients will automatically be deemed to be a professional or an eligible counterparty. This research is not intended for, and should not be relied upon, by retail clients. WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 7 Important Information for Australian Recipients Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC (“WCM”) is exempt from the requirements to hold an Australian financial services license in respect of the financial services it provides to wholesale clients in Australia. WCM is a registered broker-dealer registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, and a member of the New York Stock Exchange, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, and the Securities Investor Protection Corp. WCM is regulated under U.S. laws which differ from Australian laws. Any offer or documentation provided to you by WCM in the course of providing the financial services will be prepared in accordance with the laws of the United States and not Australian laws. Important Information for Recipients in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People's Republic of China ("Hong Kong") For recipients resident in Hong Kong, this research is issued and distributed in Hong Kong by Wachovia Securities Asia Limited. Wachovia Securities Asia Limited is a Hong Kong incorporated investment firm licensed and regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission to carry on types 1, 4, 6 and 9 regulated activities (as defined in the Securities and Futures Ordinance [the "SFO"]). This research is not intended for, and should not be relied on by, any person other than professional investors (as defined in the SFO). The securities and related financial instruments described herein are not intended for sale nor will be sold to any person other than professional investors (as defined in the SFO). Any sale of any securities or related financial instruments described herein will be made in Hong Kong by Wachovia Securities Asia Limited. Please consult your Wachovia Securities Asia Limited sales representative or the Wachovia Securities Asia Limited office in your area for additional information. Important Information for Japanese Recipients This material is distributed in Japan by Wachovia Securities (Japan) Co., Ltd., a foreign securities company registered with the Financial Services Agency in Japan. Additional Disclosures WCM is a U.S. broker-dealer registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and a member of the New York Stock Exchange, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority and the Securities Investor Protection Corp. Wachovia Securities International Limited is a U.K. incorporated investment firm authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. This report is for your information only and is not an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, the securities or instruments named or described in this report. Interested parties are advised to contact the entity with which they deal, or the entity that provided this report to them, if they desire further information. The information in this report has been obtained or derived from sources believed by Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC, to be reliable, but Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC, does not represent that this information is accurate or complete. Any opinions or estimates contained in this report represent the judgment of Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC, at this time, and are subject to change without notice. For the purposes of the U.K. Financial Services Authority's rules, this report constitutes impartial investment research. Each of Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC, and Wachovia Securities International Limited is a separate legal entity and distinct from affiliated banks. Copyright © 2008 Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC. SECURITIES: NOT FDIC-INSURED/NOT BANK-GUARANTEED/MAY LOSE VALUE