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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOC IDA071911.pdf Please see page 5 for rating definitions, important disclosures and required analyst certifications Wells Fargo Securities, LLC does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report and investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. July 19, 2011 Equit Research IDACORP, Inc. IDA: Raising 12E & 13E EPS By 2-3%--Reiterate Outperform • Summary. We have updated our model to better reflect the June 1 general rate case (GRC) filing and July 1 Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). We are increasing our ‘12E & ‘13E EPS to $3.05 & $3.10 from $2.95 & $3.05, respectively. We are also raising our 12-18 month valuation range to $43-44 per share from $42-43 per share based on the revised EPS outlook and higher peer group median multiples. • Raising EPS Estimates. We are raising our ‘12E & ‘13E EPS by 2-3% each to $3.05 & $3.10 to better reflect the assumptions included in Idaho Power’s 6/1 GRC filing, including a higher than expected rate base balance and modestly higher assumed equity ratio. We also made minor adjustments to our capital expenditure assumptions (slightly lower) and sales forecast (slightly higher) based on Idaho Power’s recently filed 2011 IRP. Our 11E EPS remains $2.87, consistent with company guidance of $2.80-2.95. • EPS Assumptions. Our post-2011 EPS estimates are based on traditional rate case parameters, though we continue to believe that innovative rate structures, such as an extension of the current settlement, remain possible. Our ‘12E & ‘13E EPS are based on average Idaho-jurisdictional rate bases of $2.6B and $2.9B (include Langley Gulch in mid-2012), respectively, a 50.5% equity ratio and a 9.5% earned ROE in both years. By comparison, Idaho Power filed for a 13- month 2011 average rate base of $2.4B (excludes Langley Gulch) based on 51.2% equity ratio and 10.5% ROE. A 50 basis point change in the assumed earned ROE has an approximate $0.13-0.15 EPS impact on our ‘12E & ‘13E EPS. • IRP Filings Uneventful. The 2011 IRP did not reveal any meaningful changes versus the previous IRP or our CapEx assumptions. In addition to the completion of Langley Gulch, the permitting and construction (2014-2016) of the Boardman to Hemingway transmission project appears to be the top priority. Idaho Power also plans to continue permitting activities for the Gateway West transmission plan - initial phases could come online 2015-2017. • Reiterate Outperform. We are attracted to long-term growth trends in IDA’s service territory and the company’s healthy balance sheet. In addition, we consider the valuation to be reasonable as shares trade at discounts of 6%/1% on our ‘12E/’13E EPS vs. the Small-Cap Regulated Electrics. Notably, we do not consider our modeling assumptions to be particularly aggressive. Our enthusiasm is somewhat tempered by regulatory risk as Idaho Power is requesting a 10% rate increase and, separately, a below-average 3% dividend yield. Valuation Range: $43.00 to $44.00 from $42.00 to $43.00 We value IDA under P/E multiple (apply a 14.5X multiple to our 12E EPS of $3.05) and dividend discount analyses. Risks to our valuation include project delays/cancellations, negative regulatory developments and consistently below average hydro conditions. Investment Thesis: We rate shares Outperform. We are attracted to IDA's increasingly constructive regulatory environment, attractive service territory and strong rate base growth potential. Outperform Sector: Regulated Electric Utilities Market Weight Earnings Estimates Revised Up 2010A 2011E 2012E EPS Curr. Prior Curr. Prior Q1 (Mar.) $0.34 $0.60 NC NE Q2 (June) 0.82 0.55 0.67 NE Q3 (Sep.) 1.39 1.28 1.22 NE Q4 (Dec.) 0.41 0.44 0.38 NE FY $2.95 $2.87 NC $3.05 2.95 CY $2.95 $2.87 $3.05 FY P/E 13.5x 13.9x 13.1x Rev.(MM)$1,036 $1,070 $1,150 Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates, and Reuters NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate, NM = Not Meaningful V = Volatile, = Company is on the Priority Stock List Ticker IDA Price (07/19/2011) $39.83 52-Week Range: $34-41 Shares Outstanding: (MM) 49.4 Market Cap.: (MM) $1,967.6 S&P 500: 1,327.13 Avg. Daily Vol.: 203,091 Dividend/Yield: $1.20/3.0% LT Debt: (MM) $1,487.3 LT Debt/Total Cap.: 47.7% ROE: 10.0% 3-5 Yr. Est. Growth Rate: 4.0% CY 2011 Est. P/E-to-Growth: 3.5x Last Reporting Date: 05/05/2011 Before Open Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates, and Reuters Neil Kalton, CFA, Senior Analyst (314) 955-5239 / neil.kalton@wellsfargo.com Sarah Akers, CFA, Associate Analyst (314) 955-6209 / sarah.akers@wellsfargo.com Jonathan Reeder, Associate Analyst (314) 955-2462 / jonathan.reeder@wellsfargo.com WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 2 Company Description: IDACORP (IDA) is the holding company for Idaho Power Company (IPC), a regulated electric utility serving more than 485,000 customers in southern Idaho, including Boise and surrounding areas, and eastern Oregon. In addition, IDACORP Financial Services (IFS), a non-utility business, invests in affordable housing tax credits. WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 3 ( i n t h o u s a n d s e x c e p t p e r s h a r e d a t a ) 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Re v e n u e s $ 8 7 9 , 3 9 4 $ 9 6 0 , 4 1 4 $ 1 , 0 4 9 , 8 0 0 $ 1 , 0 3 6 , 0 2 9 $ 1 , 0 6 9 , 5 1 6 $ 1 , 1 4 9 , 8 0 9 $ 1 , 2 0 0 , 3 2 4 $ 1 , 2 2 5 , 0 1 3 $ 1 , 2 4 9 , 8 8 0 Ex p e n s e s P u r c h a s e d P o w e r * 2 8 9 , 4 8 4 2 3 8 , 3 8 7 1 6 7 , 1 9 8 1 4 3 , 7 6 9 3 5 8 , 2 3 9 3 6 2 , 4 3 0 3 6 6 , 6 8 3 3 7 0 , 9 9 9 3 7 5 , 3 7 8 F u e l E x p e n s e 1 3 4 , 3 2 2 1 4 9 , 4 0 3 1 4 9 , 5 6 6 1 5 9 , 6 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 T h i r d P a r t y T r a n s m i s s i o n E x p e n s e 1 0 , 4 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 P o w e r C o s t A d j u s t m e n t ( 1 2 1 , 1 3 1 ) ( 4 7 , 4 1 3 ) 6 6 , 7 1 0 5 1 , 2 2 6 0 0 0 0 0 O t h e r O & M 2 7 6 , 0 4 0 2 8 6 , 2 7 5 2 9 2 , 8 1 3 2 9 3 , 9 2 5 3 0 8 , 6 2 1 3 1 9 , 4 2 3 3 2 7 , 4 0 9 3 3 5 , 5 9 4 3 4 3 , 9 8 4 D e p r e c i a t i o n 1 0 3 , 0 7 2 1 0 2 , 0 8 6 1 1 0 , 6 2 6 1 1 5 , 9 2 1 1 2 0 , 6 0 1 1 3 1 , 0 7 8 1 4 1 , 7 7 5 1 4 6 , 8 9 6 1 5 2 , 0 4 0 O t h e r T a x e s 1 7 , 6 3 4 1 9 , 0 8 3 2 1 , 0 6 9 2 4 , 0 4 6 2 7 , 0 4 6 2 7 , 9 9 3 2 8 , 9 7 2 2 9 , 9 8 6 3 1 , 0 3 6 O t h e r 1 7 , 4 2 5 2 1 , 9 2 6 3 8 , 2 3 5 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 To t a l E x p e n s e s $7 2 7 , 3 1 6 $7 6 9 , 7 4 7 $8 4 6 , 2 1 7 $8 3 7 , 3 5 9 $8 6 3 , 3 0 6 $8 8 9 , 7 2 3 $9 1 3 , 6 3 9 $9 3 2 , 2 7 5 $9 5 1 , 2 3 7 EB I T $ 1 5 2 , 0 7 8 $ 1 9 0 , 6 6 7 $ 2 0 3 , 5 8 3 $ 1 9 8 , 6 7 0 $ 2 0 6 , 2 1 0 $ 2 6 0 , 0 8 6 $ 2 8 6 , 6 8 5 $ 2 9 2 , 7 3 9 $ 2 9 8 , 6 4 3 Ot h e r I n c o m e 6 , 7 9 7 ( 1 6 6 ) 1 5 , 9 6 4 1 8 , 1 7 3 1 8 , 9 5 8 1 5 , 4 8 0 8 , 0 3 4 1 1 , 6 7 5 1 8 , 4 5 5 In t e r e s t E x p e n s e 6 3 , 3 4 1 7 3 , 0 5 6 7 2 , 8 1 0 7 5 , 1 1 4 5 9 , 7 5 5 6 1 , 5 3 1 7 1 , 3 5 6 7 3 , 9 6 5 7 7 , 6 1 4 Cu s t o m e r S h a r i n g 0 0 0 0 0 0 In c o m e T a x e s 1 3 , 7 3 1 1 9 , 2 0 0 2 2 , 3 6 2 ( 7 3 1 ) 2 2 , 7 0 4 6 1 , 4 3 9 6 7 , 3 1 0 6 8 , 5 1 5 6 9 , 3 0 5 Ta x R a t e 1 5 % 1 6 % 1 5 % - 1 % 1 4 % 2 9 % 3 0 % 3 0 % 2 9 % Ea r n i n g s In c o m e f r o m C o n t i n u i n g O p e r a t i o n s $ 8 1 , 8 0 3 $ 9 8 , 2 4 5 $ 1 2 4 , 3 7 5 $ 1 4 2 , 4 6 0 $ 1 4 2 , 7 0 9 $ 1 5 2 , 5 9 6 $ 1 5 6 , 0 5 3 $ 1 6 1 , 9 3 4 $ 1 7 0 , 1 8 0 Di s c o n t i n u e d O p e r a t i o n s ( 6 7 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ad j u s t m e n t f o r N o n - C o n t r o l l i n g I n t e r e s t 4 6 9 1 6 9 ( 2 5 ) Ne t I n c o m e $ 8 2 , 3 3 9 $ 9 8 , 4 1 4 $ 1 2 4 , 3 5 0 $ 1 4 2 , 4 6 0 $ 1 4 2 , 7 0 9 $ 1 5 2 , 5 9 6 $ 1 5 6 , 0 5 3 $ 1 6 1 , 9 3 4 $ 1 7 0 , 1 8 0 Av g . D i l u t e d S h a r e s O u t s t a n d i n g 4 4 , 3 6 5 4 5 , 3 7 9 4 7 , 1 8 2 4 8 , 3 4 0 4 9 , 7 7 2 5 0 , 1 0 2 5 0 , 3 5 0 5 0 , 5 8 4 5 0 , 8 0 4 EP S $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 7 $ 2 . 6 4 $ 2 . 9 5 $ 2 . 8 7 $ 3 . 0 5 $ 3 . 1 0 $ 3 . 2 0 $ 3 . 3 5 No n - R e c u r r i n g 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 Op e r a t i n g E P S * $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 7 $ 2 . 6 4 $ 2 . 9 5 $ 2 . 8 7 $ 3 . 0 5 $ 3 . 1 0 $ 3 . 2 0 $ 3 . 3 5 Su p p l e m e n t a l I n f o r m a t i o n 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Di v i d e n d I n f o r m a t i o n Di v i d e n d s P e r S h a r e - Y E R a t e $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 6 $ 1 . 3 5 $ 1 . 4 4 $ 1 . 5 4 Di v i d e n d s P a i d P e r S h a r e 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 6 1 . 3 5 1 . 4 4 1 . 5 4 Pa y o u t R a t i o 6 5 % 5 5 % 4 6 % 4 1 % 4 2 % 4 1 % 4 3 % 4 5 % 4 6 % St a t i s t i c s EB I T D A / S h a r e $ 5 . 7 5 $ 6 . 4 5 $ 6 . 6 6 $ 6 . 5 1 $ 6 . 5 7 $ 7 . 8 1 $ 8 . 5 1 $ 8 . 6 9 $ 8 . 8 7 Ca s h F l o w / S h a r e 1 . 8 2 3 . 0 2 6 . 0 4 6 . 3 4 5 . 1 4 4 . 5 7 5 . 2 8 5 . 3 2 5 . 3 5 Bo o k V a l u e / S h a r e ( y e a r e n d ) 2 6 . 7 9 2 7 . 7 5 2 9 . 1 6 3 1 . 0 0 3 2 . 7 2 3 4 . 5 4 3 6 . 3 3 3 8 . 1 3 3 9 . 9 8 Av e r a g e B o o k V a l u e / S h a r e 2 6 . 2 0 2 7 . 2 7 2 8 . 4 5 3 0 . 0 8 3 1 . 8 6 3 3 . 6 3 3 5 . 4 4 3 7 . 2 3 3 9 . 0 6 RO E o f I D A C O R P 7 . 1 % 8 . 0 % 9 . 3 % 9 . 8 % 9 . 0 % 9 . 1 % 8 . 7 % 8 . 6 % 8 . 6 % RO E o f I d a h o P o w e r C o m p a n 7. 2 % 8 . 2 % 1 0 . 0 % 1 0 . 5 % 9 . 5 % 9 . 7 % 9 . 3 % 9 . 2 % 9 . 2 % *2 0 1 1 E - 2 0 1 5 E " P u r c h a s e d P o w e r " l i n e i t e m i n c l u d e s e s t i m a t e d f u e l , t h i r d p a r t y t r a n s m i s s i o n a n d P C A c o s t s . *O p e r a t i n g E P S e x c l u d e n o n - r e c u r r i n g i t e m s ; 0 9 E P S i n c l u d e s b o n u s d e p r e c i a t i o n b e n e f i t , t a x s e t t l e m e n t a n d O r e g o n d e f e r r a l ; 1 0 in c l u d e s r e p a i r s - r e l a t e d t a x b e n e f i t . So u r c e : W e l l s F a r g o S e c u r i t i e s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s Ea r n i n g s M o d e l WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 4 Ca s h F l o w M o d e l ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Op e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w Ne t I n c o m e $ 8 1 , 8 7 0 $ 9 8 , 2 4 5 $ 1 2 4 , 3 7 5 $ 1 4 2 , 4 6 0 $ 1 4 2 , 7 0 9 $ 1 5 2 , 5 9 6 $ 1 5 6 , 0 5 3 $ 1 6 1 , 9 3 4 1 7 0 , 1 8 0 D e p r e c i a t i o n & A m o r t i z a t i o n 1 0 8 , 1 7 1 1 0 9 , 8 4 2 1 1 8 , 6 0 0 1 2 1 , 8 4 9 1 3 0 , 6 0 1 1 4 1 , 0 7 8 1 5 1 , 7 7 5 1 5 6 , 8 9 6 1 6 2 , 0 4 0 N e t O t h e r ( 9 6 , 2 8 8 ) ( 3 9 , 4 5 7 ) 7 8 , 2 4 0 1 9 , 5 2 0 ( 1 8 , 1 3 8 ) ( 6 5 , 3 6 4 ) ( 4 3 , 0 0 4 ) ( 5 0 , 7 1 5 ) ( 6 0 , 9 7 1 ) W o r k i n g C a p i t a l ( 1 3 , 1 5 2 ) ( 3 2 , 1 1 7 ) ( 3 6 , 7 9 0 ) 2 1 , 5 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t O p e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w $ 8 0 , 6 0 1 $ 1 3 6 , 5 1 3 $ 2 8 4 , 4 2 5 $ 3 0 5 , 4 0 0 $ 2 5 5 , 1 7 2 $ 2 2 8 , 3 0 9 $ 2 6 4 , 8 2 5 $ 2 6 8 , 1 1 5 $ 2 7 1 , 2 4 9 In v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w Co n s t r u c t i o n E x p e n d i t u r e s ( $ 2 8 7 , 2 1 9 ) ( $ 2 4 3 , 5 4 4 ) ( $ 2 5 1 , 9 3 7 ) ( $ 3 3 8 , 2 5 2 ) ( $ 3 2 4 , 0 0 0 ) ( $ 2 3 9 , 5 0 0 ) ( $ 2 1 7 , 1 6 7 ) ( $ 3 0 2 , 9 9 2 ) ( $ 3 4 3 , 8 4 1 ) In v e s t m e n t s i n A f f o r d a b l e H o u s i n g P r o j e c t s 3 4 8 ( 8 , 3 1 4 ) ( 5 , 8 0 2 ) ( 1 3 , 3 9 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) Ot h e r 1 9 , 7 6 1 4 9 , 0 3 4 1 5 , 3 3 4 2 3 , 3 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t I n v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w ($ 2 6 7 , 1 1 0 ) ( $ 2 0 2 , 8 2 4 ) ( $ 2 4 2 , 4 0 5 ) ( $ 3 2 8 , 3 3 4 ) ( $ 3 2 9 , 0 0 0 ) ( $ 2 4 4 , 5 0 0 ) ( $ 2 2 2 , 1 6 7 ) ( $ 3 0 7 , 9 9 2 ) ( $ 3 4 8 , 8 4 1 ) Fi n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w Is s u a n c e o f L T D e b t $ 2 4 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 2 0 , 0 0 0 $ 2 3 0 , 0 0 0 $ 2 0 0 , 0 0 0 $ 0 $ 1 7 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 5 0 , 0 0 0 Is s u a n c e o f T e r m L o a n s $ 1 7 0 , 0 0 0 ( $ 1 7 0 , 0 0 0 ) $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f L T D e b t ( 9 5 , 0 3 3 ) ( 1 1 , 3 4 9 ) ( 8 9 , 1 7 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 2 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 0 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 7 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) Pu r c h a s e o f P o l l u t i o n C o n t r o l B o n d s ( 1 6 6 , 1 0 0 ) 1 6 6 , 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f P r e f e r r e d S t o c k o f I D P o w e r 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Di v i d e n d s o n C o m m o n S t o c k ( 5 3 , 0 1 2 ) ( 5 4 , 2 3 9 ) ( 5 6 , 8 2 0 ) ( 5 7 , 8 7 2 ) ( 5 9 , 5 4 7 ) ( 6 2 , 9 4 0 ) ( 6 7 , 6 8 0 ) ( 7 2 , 7 5 5 ) ( 7 8 , 1 8 8 ) ST D e b t 5 7 , 4 4 5 ( 3 9 , 0 9 5 ) ( 9 3 , 6 0 0 ) 1 3 , 1 5 0 1 5 , 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Co m m o n S t o c k I s s u e d 3 7 , 1 8 1 5 0 , 8 6 3 2 4 , 3 2 8 4 8 , 6 4 4 1 5 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 Ac q u i s i t i o n o f T r e a s u r y S h a r e s ( 3 4 6 ) ( 3 0 4 ) ( 1 , 4 4 1 ) ( 8 6 9 ) 0 0 0 0 0 Ot h e r ( 1 , 6 5 2 ) ( 2 , 6 0 3 ) ( 7 , 2 5 4 ) ( 3 , 3 6 5 ) 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t F i n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w $1 8 4 , 5 8 3 $ 6 7 , 1 7 3 $ 2 , 1 3 9 $ 1 9 8 , 6 2 4 ( $ 1 5 0 , 6 1 1 ) $ 1 5 , 9 9 6 ( $ 2 8 , 7 4 4 ) $ 3 6 , 1 8 1 $ 8 0 , 7 4 8 Ne t C h a n g e i n C a s h ( $ 1 , 9 2 6 ) $ 8 6 2 $ 4 4 , 1 5 9 $ 1 7 5 , 6 9 0 ( $ 2 2 4 , 4 3 8 ) ( $ 1 9 5 ) $ 1 3 , 9 1 4 ( $ 3 , 6 9 6 ) $ 3 , 1 5 6 Ca s h a t b e g i n n i n g o f p e r i o d 9 , 8 9 2 7 , 9 6 6 8 , 8 2 8 5 2 , 9 8 7 2 2 8 , 6 7 7 4 , 2 3 9 4 , 0 4 4 1 7 , 9 5 8 1 4 , 2 6 3 Ca s h a t e n d o f p e r i o d $ 7 , 9 6 6 $ 8 , 8 2 8 $ 5 2 , 9 8 7 $ 2 2 8 , 6 7 7 $ 4 , 2 3 9 $ 4 , 0 4 4 $ 1 7 , 9 5 8 $ 1 4 , 2 6 3 $ 1 7 , 4 1 8 Ca p i t a l S t r u c t u r e 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Co m m o n E q u i t y $1 , 2 0 7 , 3 1 5 $ 1 , 3 0 2 , 4 3 7 $ 1 , 3 9 7 , 3 3 5 $ 1 , 5 3 2 , 1 1 3 $ 1 , 6 3 0 , 2 7 5 $ 1 , 7 2 9 , 9 3 1 $ 1 , 8 2 8 , 3 0 4 $ 1 , 9 2 7 , 4 8 3 $ 2 , 0 2 9 , 4 7 5 Lo n g - T e r m D e b t 1, 1 5 6 , 8 8 0 1 , 1 8 3 , 4 5 1 1 , 4 0 9 , 7 3 0 1 , 4 8 8 , 2 8 7 1 , 3 6 7 , 2 2 3 1 , 4 3 6 , 1 5 9 1 , 4 6 5 , 0 9 5 1 , 5 6 4 , 0 3 1 1 , 7 1 2 , 9 6 7 Sh o r t - T e r m D e b t 19 7 , 9 0 1 23 7 , 7 7 8 63 , 0 9 0 18 9 , 4 7 2 20 4 , 4 7 2 20 4 , 4 7 2 20 4 , 4 7 2 20 4 , 4 7 2 20 4 , 4 7 2 To t a l C a p i t a l i z a t i o n $ 2 , 5 6 2 , 0 9 6 $ 2 , 7 2 3 , 6 6 6 $ 2 , 8 7 0 , 1 5 5 $ 3 , 2 0 9 , 8 7 2 $ 3 , 2 0 1 , 9 7 0 $ 3 , 3 7 0 , 5 6 2 $ 3 , 4 9 7 , 8 7 1 $ 3 , 6 9 5 , 9 8 6 $ 3 , 9 4 6 , 9 1 4 % E q u i t y 47 4 8 4 9 4 8 5 1 5 1 5 2 5 2 5 1 % L o n g - T e r m D e b t 45 4 3 4 9 4 6 4 3 4 3 4 2 4 2 4 3 % S h o r t - T e r m D e b t 8 9 2 6 6 6 6 6 5 So u r c e : W e l l s F a r g o S e c u r i t i e s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 5 Required Disclosures $18.00 $20.00 $22.00 $24.00 $26.00 $28.00 $30.00 $32.00 $34.00 $36.00 $38.00 $40.00 $42.00 $44.00 $46.00 7/9 / 0 8 8/6 / 0 8 9/3 / 0 8 10 / 1 / 0 8 10 / 2 9 / 0 8 11 / 2 6 / 0 8 12 / 2 4 / 0 8 1/2 1 / 0 9 2/1 8 / 0 9 3/1 8 / 0 9 4/1 5 / 0 9 5/1 3 / 0 9 6/1 0 / 0 9 7/8 / 0 9 8/5 / 0 9 9/2 / 0 9 9/3 0 / 0 9 10 / 2 8 / 0 9 11 / 2 5 / 0 9 12 / 2 3 / 0 9 1/2 0 / 1 0 2/1 7 / 1 0 3/1 7 / 1 0 4/1 4 / 1 0 5/1 2 / 1 0 6/9 / 1 0 7/7 / 1 0 8/4 / 1 0 9/1 / 1 0 9/2 9 / 1 0 10 / 2 7 / 1 0 11 / 2 4 / 1 0 12 / 2 2 / 1 0 1/1 9 / 1 1 2/1 6 / 1 1 3/1 6 / 1 1 4/1 3 / 1 1 5/1 1 / 1 1 6/8 / 1 1 7/6 / 1 1 Se c u r i t y P r i c e IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price PerformanceIDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price Performance Date Date Publication Price ($) Rating Code Val. Rng. Low Val. Rng. High Close Price ($) 7/9/2008 Kalton 7/9/2008 NA 2 31.00 33.00 30.07 z 12/18/2008 29.19 2 30.00 32.00 29.24 z 2/19/2009 24.39 2 26.00 27.00 24.39 z 8/6/2009 27.79 2 27.00 29.00 27.79 z 9/10/2009 28.37 2 29.00 30.00 28.37 z 11/10/2009 29.52 2 30.00 31.00 29.52 z 12/14/2009 31.18 2 32.00 33.00 31.54 z 2/25/2010 33.94 2 35.00 36.00 33.89 z 8/6/2010 35.75 2 36.00 37.00 36.05 z 10/29/2010 37.00 2 38.00 39.00 36.80 cz 11/15/2010 36.34 1 40.00 41.00 36.52 z 2/9/2011 38.22 1 41.00 42.00 38.05 z 5/5/2011 38.91 1 42.00 43.00 38.91 Source: Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates and Reuters data Symbol Key Rating Code Key d Rating Downgrade ‹ Initiation, Resumption, Drop or Suspend 1 Outperform/Buy SR Suspended c Rating Upgrade „ Analyst Change 2 Market Perform/Hold NR Not Rated z Valuation Range Change ˆ Split Adjustment 3 Underperform/Sell NE No Estimate Additional Information Available Upon Request I certify that: 1) All views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers discussed; and 2) No part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by me in this research report. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC maintains a market in the common stock of IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates managed or comanaged a public offering of securities for IDACORP, Inc. within the past 12 months. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates intends to seek or expects to receive compensation for investment banking services in the next three months from IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates received compensation for investment banking services from IDACORP, Inc. in the past 12 months. ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wells Fargo Securities, LLC. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC provided investment banking services to IDACORP, Inc. WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 6 ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wells Fargo Securities, LLC. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC provided noninvestment banking securities-related services to IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC received compensation for products or services other than investment banking services from IDACORP, Inc. in the past 12 months. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates may have a significant financial interest in IDACORP, Inc. IDA: Risks to our valuation include project delays/cancellations, negative regulatory developments and consistently below average hydro conditions. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC does not compensate its research analysts based on specific investment banking transactions. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC’s research analysts receive compensation that is based upon and impacted by the overall profitability and revenue of the firm, which includes, but is not limited to investment banking revenue. STOCK RATING 1=Outperform: The stock appears attractively valued, and we believe the stock's total return will exceed that of the market over the next 12 months. BUY 2=Market Perform: The stock appears appropriately valued, and we believe the stock's total return will be in line with the market over the next 12 months. HOLD 3=Underperform: The stock appears overvalued, and we believe the stock's total return will be below the market over the next 12 months. SELL SECTOR RATING O=Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. M=Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. U=Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. VOLATILITY RATING V = A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has fluctuated by +/-20% or greater in at least 8 of the past 24 months or if the analyst expects significant volatility. All IPO stocks are automatically rated volatile within the first 24 months of trading. As of: July 19, 2011 46% of companies covered by Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Equity Research are rated Outperform. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC has provided investment banking services for 44% of its Equity Research Outperform-rated companies. 51% of companies covered by Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Equity Research are rated Market Perform. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC has provided investment banking services for 49% of its Equity Research Market Perform-rated companies. 3% of companies covered by Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Equity Research are rated Underperform. 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