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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOC IDA050808.pdf Please see page 5 for rating definitions, important disclosures and required analyst certifications. WCM does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report and investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. A publication of WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC Equity Research IDACORP, Inc. IDA: Lowering 2008 EPS Estimate To Reflect Hydro Regulatory Developments Encouraging • IDA reported Q1 2008 EPS of $0.48, below our estimate of $0.66 and consensus of $0.61 and vs. $0.56 in the year-ago period. Lower earnings were primarily due to higher supply costs caused by lower hydro output. Partially offsetting this drag were higher retail sales, which benefited from both colder weather and customer growth, and increased revenue related to IDA’s recent rate increase. • ’08 Estimate Lowered on Poor Hydro Outlook. IDA lowered its hydro generation forecast to 6-8 million megawatt hours (MWh) from 7-9 MWh. This compares to 6.2 million MWh last year and normal production around 8.5 million MWh. In light of the deteriorating hydro outlook, we are lowering our 2008E EPS to $2.10 from $2.20. Our 2009E EPS remains $2.30. • Positive Momentum on the Regulatory Front. As part of a recent settlement, IDA and the Staff of the IPUC agreed to conduct workshops on a forecasted test year and the load growth adjustment mechanism. As a result of a 3/12 workshop, the parties resolved the test year issue. Essentially, the Staff expressed support for the use of forecasted data for a 2008 test year (this is not a “forward” looking test year). IDA plans to file a general rate case in the next few months with new rates effective in early ’09. A workshop to address the LGAR is expected to occur later in '08. Additionally, on 4/28 the OPUC approved a settlement establishing a power cost adjustment mechanism in Oregon. The PCAM will mitigate IDA’s exposure to excess power supply costs in Oregon. While only roughly 5% of IDA’s operations are in Oregon, the lack of a PCAM has had a negative EPS impact. • Rate Base Growth Opportunities. IDA is pursuing opportunities to invest in regulated transmission and generation. The Gateway West Project, two 500 kV lines that IDA is exploring with PacifiCorp, represents an $800-1,200 million opportunity in 2012-14. The project has been submitted for review to the Western Electricity Coordinating Council in conjunction with a regional planning report. IDA is also participating in technical studies with neighboring utilities for another 500 kV line that could be in-service in 2012. On the generation front, IDA plans to bid a combined cycle unit into its 2012 baseload RFP as a self-build proposal. Valuation Range: $31 to $33 We value IDA under P/E multiple and dividend discount analysis, which indicate a 12- 18 month valuation range of $31-33 per share. We apply a P/E multiple of 13.5X (a modest discount to the Regulated peer group to reflect Idaho's below average regulatory environment) to our estimated 2010 EPS range of $2.40-2.60 and discount back the resulting share price by one year to derive a 12-18 month share price of approximately $31. Risk to our valuation analysis include project delays or cancellations and consistently below average hydroelectric conditions. Investment Thesis: We rate shares Market Perform. IDA's EPS growth outlook is strong driven by a likely material increase in regulated infrastructure, which is needed to accommodate Idaho's fast-growing population. However, while it appears to be improving, Idaho's regulatory environment continues to be a concern. Market Perform Sector: Regulated Electric Utilities, Market Weight May 8, 2008 Earnings Estimate Revised Down 2007A 2008E 2009E EPS Curr. Prior Curr. Prior Q1 (Mar.) $0.56 $0.48 A 0.66 NE Q2 (June) 0.41 0.48 NC NE Q3 (Sep.) 0.65 0.78 0.77 NE Q4 (Dec.) 0.23 0.36 0.29 NE FY $1.86 $2.10 2.20 $2.30 NC CY $1.86 $2.10 $2.30 FY P/E 16.8x 14.9x 13.6x Rev.(MM) $879.4 $929.4 $980.7 Source: Company Data, Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC estimates, and Reuters NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate, NM = Not Meaningful Ticker IDA Price (05/08/2008) $31.31 52-Week Range: $28-37 Shares Outstanding: (MM) 45.0 Market Cap.: (MM) $1,409.0 S&P 500: 1,397.68 Dividend/Yield: $1.20/3.8% LT Debt: (MM) $1,155.3 LT Debt/Total Cap.: 44.0% ROE: 8.0% 3-5 Yr. Est. Growth Rate: 7.0% CY 2008 Est. P/E-to-Growth: 2.1x Last Reporting Date: 05/08/2008 Before Open Source: Company Data, Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC estimates, and Reuters Utilities Neil Kalton, CFA, Senior Analyst (314) 955-5239 / neil.kalton@wachovia.com Sarah Akers, Associate Analyst (314) 955-6209 / sarah.akers@wachovia.com Jonathan Reeder, Associate Analyst (314) 955-2462 / jonathan.reeder@wachovia.com WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 2 Company Description: IDACORP (IDA) is the holding company for Idaho Power Company (IPC), a regulated electric utility serving over 475,000 customers in southern Idaho, including Boise and surrounding areas, and eastern Oregon. In addition, IDACORP Financial Services (IFS), a non-utility business, invests in affordable housing tax credits. WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 3 ( i n t h o u s a n d s e x c e p t p e r s h a r e d a t a ) 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 E 2 0 0 9 E 2 0 1 0 E 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Re v e n u e s $ 8 4 2 , 8 6 4 $ 9 2 6 , 2 9 1 $ 8 7 9 , 3 9 4 $ 9 2 9 , 4 4 2 $ 9 8 0 , 6 5 1 $ 1 , 0 4 7 , 5 3 4 $ 1 , 1 2 5 , 4 4 1 $ 1 , 2 4 2 , 3 8 6 $ 1 , 33 2 , 8 8 6 $ 1 , 4 0 3 , 9 5 6 $ 1 , 4 5 3 , 6 1 4 Ex p e n s e s P u r c h a s e d P o w e r * 2 2 2 , 3 1 0 2 8 3 , 4 4 0 2 8 9 , 4 8 4 2 9 9 , 0 01 2 9 5 , 5 0 9 3 0 2 , 2 0 4 3 0 9 , 0 9 3 3 1 6 , 18 0 3 2 3 , 4 7 1 3 3 0 , 9 7 2 3 3 8 , 6 9 0 F u e l E x p e n s e 1 0 3 , 1 6 4 1 1 5 , 0 1 8 1 3 4 , 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 P o w e r C o s t A d j u s t m e n t ( 2 , 9 9 5 ) ( 2 9 , 5 2 6 ) ( 1 2 1 , 1 3 1 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 O t h e r O & M 2 4 2 , 3 8 1 2 6 4 , 8 1 0 2 8 6 , 5 1 0 2 9 6 , 4 2 4 30 4 , 5 6 1 3 1 2 , 9 2 9 3 2 1 , 5 3 3 3 3 0 , 38 1 3 3 9 , 4 8 0 3 4 8 , 8 3 7 3 5 8 , 4 5 9 D e p r e c i a t i o n 1 0 1 , 4 8 5 9 9 , 8 2 4 1 0 3 , 0 7 2 1 1 8 , 1 3 1 12 7 , 2 8 1 1 3 8 , 4 8 2 1 5 8 , 1 3 0 1 8 2 , 13 5 2 0 0 , 2 8 1 2 1 5 , 3 3 6 2 2 6 , 7 5 7 O t h e r T a x e s 2 0 , 8 5 6 1 8 , 6 6 1 1 7 , 6 3 4 1 7 , 9 8 7 1 8 , 3 4 6 1 8 , 7 1 3 1 9 , 0 8 8 19 , 4 6 9 1 9 , 8 5 9 2 0 , 2 5 6 2 0 , 6 6 1 O t h e r 2 , 1 8 2 1 2 , 6 1 7 1 7 , 4 2 5 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 17 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 17 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 2 0 , 1 7 9 To t a l E x p e n s e s $6 8 9 , 3 8 3 $7 6 4 , 8 4 4 $7 2 7 , 3 1 6 $7 5 1 , 7 2 2 $7 6 5 , 8 7 7 $7 9 2 , 5 0 7 $8 2 8 , 0 2 3 $8 6 8 , 3 4 5 $9 0 3 , 2 7 0 $9 3 5 , 5 8 0 $9 6 4 , 7 4 6 EB I T $ 1 5 3 , 4 8 1 $ 1 6 1 , 4 4 7 $ 1 5 2 , 0 7 8 $ 1 7 7 , 7 2 1 $ 2 1 4 , 7 7 4 $ 25 5 , 0 2 7 $ 2 9 7 , 4 1 8 $ 3 7 4 , 0 4 1 $4 2 9 , 6 1 6 $ 4 6 8 , 3 7 6 $ 4 8 8 , 8 6 7 Ot h e r I n c o m e 8 , 4 0 2 6 , 7 2 3 7 , 2 6 6 5 , 4 7 4 5, 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 5 , 4 7 4 In t e r e s t E x p e n s e 5 9 , 7 2 9 6 0 , 9 7 5 6 3 , 3 4 1 6 3 , 2 2 6 67 , 8 7 4 7 5 , 5 5 3 9 2 , 0 0 3 1 1 3 , 27 6 1 2 7 , 7 4 4 1 3 7 , 6 2 5 1 4 3 , 3 0 5 In c o m e T a x e s 1 7 , 6 1 0 1 5 , 3 7 7 1 3 , 7 3 1 2 4 , 7 8 9 4 5 , 42 6 6 0 , 1 3 0 7 2 , 2 4 7 9 5 , 8 3 3 1 1 1 , 8 6 5 1 2 3 , 1 2 8 1 2 8 , 9 0 4 Ta x R a t e 1 9 % 1 4 % 1 5 % 2 2 % 3 1 % 3 4 % 3 5 % 3 7 % 3 7 % 3 7 % 3 7 % Ea r n i n g s In c o m e f r o m C o n t i n u i n g O p e r a t i o n s $ 8 4 , 5 4 4 $ 9 1 , 8 1 8 $ 8 2 , 2 7 2 $9 5 , 1 7 9 $ 1 0 6 , 9 4 8 $ 1 2 4 , 8 1 9 $ 1 3 8 , 6 4 2 $ 17 0 , 4 0 6 $ 1 9 5 , 4 8 1 $ 2 1 3 , 0 9 8 $ 2 2 2 , 1 3 2 Di s c o n t i n u e d O p e r a t i o n s 2 2 , 0 5 5 ( 7 , 3 2 8 ) ( 6 7 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t I n c o m e $ 6 2 , 4 8 9 $ 9 9 , 1 4 6 $ 8 2 , 3 3 9 $ 9 5 , 1 7 9 $ 1 0 6 , 9 4 8 $ 1 2 4 , 8 1 9 $ 1 3 8 , 6 4 2 $ 1 7 0 , 4 0 6 $1 9 5 , 4 8 1 $ 2 1 3 , 0 9 8 $ 2 2 2 , 1 3 2 Av g D i l u t e d S h a r e s O u t s t a n d i n g 4 2 , 3 6 2 4 2 , 8 7 4 4 4 , 2 91 4 5 , 4 1 0 4 6 , 4 1 1 4 7 , 9 3 0 5 2 , 2 8 9 5 7 , 9 2 6 6 1 , 1 0 6 6 2 , 7 7 8 6 2 , 4 9 1 EP S $ 1 . 4 8 $ 2 . 3 1 $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 0 $ 2 . 3 0 $ 2. 6 0 $ 2 . 6 5 $ 2 . 9 4 $ 3 . 2 0 $ 3 . 3 9 $ 3 . 5 5 No n - R e c u r r i n g ( 0 . 3 9 ) 0 . 4 8 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0.0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 Op e r a t i n g E P S * $ 1 . 8 7 $ 1 . 8 3 $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 0 $ 2 . 3 0 $ 2 . 6 0 $ 2 . 6 5 $ 2 . 9 4 $ 3 . 2 0 $ 3 . 3 9 $ 3 . 5 5 Su p p l e m e n t a l I n f o r m a t i o n 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 E 2 0 0 9 E 2 0 1 0 E 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Di v i d e n d I n f o r m a t i o n Di v i d e n d s P e r S h a r e - Y E R a t e $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 .2 0 $ 1 . 3 0 $ 1 . 4 0 $ 1 . 5 0 $ 1 . 6 0 $ 1 . 7 0 $ 1 . 8 0 $ 1 . 9 0 $ 2 . 0 0 Di v i d e n d s P a i d P e r S h a r e 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 3 0 1 . 4 0 1 . 5 0 1 . 6 0 1 . 7 0 1 . 8 0 1 . 9 0 2 . 0 0 Pa y o u t R a t i o 6 4 % 6 6 % 6 5 % 6 2 % 6 1 % 5 8 % 6 0 % 5 8 % 5 6 % 5 6 % 5 6 % St a t i s t i c s EB I T D A / S h a r e $ 6 . 0 2 $ 6 . 0 9 $ 5 . 7 6 $ 6 . 5 2 $ 7.3 7 $ 8 . 2 1 $ 8 . 7 1 $ 9 . 6 0 $ 1 0 . 3 1 $ 1 0 . 8 9 $ 1 1 . 4 5 Ca s h F l o w / S h a r e 3 . 8 2 3 . 9 7 1 . 8 3 6 .4 6 5 . 4 8 5 . 9 1 5 . 9 1 6 . 1 7 6 . 4 4 6 . 6 7 7 . 5 0 Bo o k V a l u e / S h a r e ( y e a r e n d ) 2 4 . 0 4 2 5 . 5 3 2 6. 7 9 2 7 . 7 2 2 8 . 9 1 3 0 . 4 0 3 2 . 9 6 3 5 . 0 5 3 6 . 8 6 3 8 . 6 3 3 9 . 7 4 Av e r a g e B o o k V a l u e / S h a r e 2 3 . 9 6 2 4 . 7 8 2 6 . 16 2 7 . 2 6 2 8 . 3 1 2 9 . 6 5 3 1 . 6 8 3 4 . 0 0 3 5 . 9 6 3 7 . 7 5 3 9 . 1 8 RO E o f I D A C O R P 7 . 9 % 8 . 2 % 7 . 1 % 7 . 7 % 8 . 1 % 8 . 8 % 8 . 4 % 8 . 7 % 8 . 9 % 9 . 0 % 9 . 1 % RO E o f I d a h o P o w e r C o m p a n 7. 7 % 9 . 6 % 7 . 2 % 7 . 9 % 8 . 3 % 9 . 1% 9 . 0 % 9 . 2 % 9 . 4 % 9 . 5 % 9 . 5 % *2 0 0 8 E - 2 0 1 5 E " P u r c h a s e d P o w e r " l i n e i t e m i n c l u d e s e s t i m a t e d f u e l a n d P C A c o s t s . *O p e r a t i n g E P S e x c l u d e n o n - r e c u r r i n g i t e m s . So u r c e s : W a c h o v i a C a p i t a l M a r k e t s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s Ea r n i n g s M o d e l WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 4 Ca s h F l o w M o d e l ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 E 2 0 0 9 E 2 0 1 0 E 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Op e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w Ne t I n c o m e $ 7 2 , 9 8 3 $ 6 3 , 6 6 1 $ 1 0 7 , 4 0 3 $ 8 2 , 3 3 9 $ 9 5 , 1 7 9 $ 1 0 6 , 9 4 8 $ 1 2 4 , 8 1 9 $ 1 3 8 , 6 4 2 $ 1 7 0 , 4 0 6 $ 1 9 5 , 4 8 1 $ 2 1 3 , 0 9 8 2 2 2 , 1 3 2 D e p r e c i a t i o n & A m o r t i z a t i o n 1 2 4 , 1 9 2 1 2 4 , 1 2 4 1 2 2 , 6 4 1 1 2 0 , 3 6 8 1 3 8 , 1 3 1 1 4 7 , 2 8 1 1 5 8 , 4 8 2 1 7 8 , 1 3 0 2 0 2 , 1 3 5 2 2 0 , 2 8 1 2 3 5 , 3 3 6 2 4 6 , 7 5 7 N e t O t h e r ( 1 1 , 8 1 1 ) ( 3 4 , 5 2 0 ) ( 5 8 , 9 0 2 ) ( 1 2 4 , 0 6 9 ) 6 0 , 0 0 0 0 0 ( 7 , 5 0 0 ) ( 1 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 2 2 , 5 0 0 ) ( 3 0 , 0 0 0 ) 0 W o r k i n g C a p i t a l 9 , 3 3 2 8 , 2 3 1 ( 1 , 3 6 4 ) 2 , 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t O p e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w $ 1 9 4 , 6 9 6 $ 1 6 1 , 4 9 6 $ 1 6 9 , 7 7 8 $ 8 0 , 7 4 1 $ 2 9 3 , 3 1 1 $ 2 5 4 , 2 2 9 $ 2 8 3 , 3 0 0 $ 3 0 9 , 2 7 3 $ 3 5 7 , 5 4 1 $ 3 9 3 , 2 6 2 $ 4 1 8 , 4 3 3 $ 4 6 8 , 8 9 0 In v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w Co n s t r u c t i o n E x p e n d i t u r e s ( $ 1 9 9 , 7 7 0 ) ( $ 1 9 3 , 3 1 4 ) ( $ 2 2 5 , 0 4 8 ) $ 0 ( $ 2 8 2 , 7 5 0 ) ( $ 3 2 7 , 2 5 0 ) ( $ 4 1 9 , 4 3 5 ) ( $ 8 9 0 , 4 7 3 ) ( $ 7 0 9 , 8 6 7 ) ( $ 4 9 9 , 8 7 1 ) ( $ 5 0 3 , 7 3 7 ) ($ 2 5 7 , 7 1 9 ) In v e s t m e n t s i n A f f o r d a b l e H o u s i n g P r o j e c t s ( 7 , 6 5 5 ) ( 4 , 9 9 2 ) ( 5 , 0 5 9 ) 0 ( 2 5 , 0 0 0 ) 1 2 , 5 0 0 ( 1 2 , 5 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 ) Pr o c e e d s f r o m S a l e o f N o n - U t i l i t y A s s e t s 5 , 5 5 4 1 , 0 1 9 1 4 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Oth e r ( 2 7 , 7 6 9 ) 1 0 8 , 3 3 7 ( 2 3 , 0 7 9 ) 2 0 , 1 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t I n v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w ($ 2 2 9 , 6 4 0 ) ( $ 8 8 , 9 5 0 ) ( $ 2 5 3 , 0 4 0 ) $ 2 0 , 1 5 3 ( $ 3 0 7 , 7 5 0 ) ( $ 3 1 4 , 7 5 0 ) ( $ 4 3 1 , 9 3 5 ) ( $ 9 0 0 , 4 7 3 ) ( $ 7 1 9 , 8 6 7 ) ( $ 5 0 9 , 8 7 1 ) ( $ 5 1 3 , 7 3 7 ) ( $ 2 6 7 , 7 1 9 ) Fi n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w Is s u a n c e o f L T D e b t $ 1 0 6 , 4 4 2 $ 6 4 , 9 9 2 $ 1 1 6 , 3 0 0 $ 2 4 0 , 0 0 0 $ 7 5 , 0 0 0 $ 1 8 5 , 0 0 0 $ 1 4 5 , 0 0 0 $ 4 8 5 , 0 0 0 $ 3 6 5 , 0 0 0 $ 2 0 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 5 0 , 0 0 0 $ 2 5 , 0 0 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f L T D e b t ( 7 9 , 8 9 0 ) ( 8 3 , 0 6 7 ) ( 1 3 2 , 6 4 2 ) ( 9 5 , 0 3 3 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 8 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 2 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 0 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 7 0 , 0 0 0 ) 0 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f P r e f e r r e d S t o c k o f I D P o w e r ( 5 2 , 3 5 1 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Di v i d e n d s o n C o m m o n S t o c k ( 4 5 , 8 3 8 ) ( 5 0 , 6 9 0 ) ( 5 1 , 2 7 2 ) ( 5 3 , 0 1 2 ) ( 5 9 , 0 3 3 ) ( 6 4 , 9 7 6 ) ( 7 1 , 8 9 5 ) ( 8 3 , 6 6 2 ) ( 9 8 , 4 7 4 ) ( 1 0 9 , 9 9 0 ) ( 1 1 9 , 2 7 8 ) ( 1 2 4 , 9 8 2 ) ST D e b t ( 5 8 , 2 5 0 ) 2 3 , 8 3 0 6 8 , 9 0 0 5 7 , 4 4 5 ( 3 0 , 0 0 0 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Co m m o n S t o c k I s s u e d 1 1 5 , 6 9 0 6 , 2 9 6 4 1 , 4 6 5 3 7 , 1 8 1 2 5 , 0 0 0 5 0 , 0 0 0 7 0 , 0 0 0 3 0 0 , 0 0 0 1 9 5 , 0 0 0 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 6 5 , 0 0 0 ( 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 ) Ac q u i s i t i o n o f T r e a s u r y S h a r e s ( 1 , 4 2 0 ) 0 ( 2 1 3 ) ( 3 4 6 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Oth e r ( 1 , 1 9 5 ) ( 4 , 9 5 4 ) ( 1 , 7 4 0 ) ( 1 , 6 5 2 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t F i n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w ($ 1 6 , 8 1 2 ) ( $ 4 3 , 5 9 3 ) $ 4 0 , 7 9 8 $ 1 8 4 , 5 8 3 $ 9 , 9 0 3 $ 8 8 , 9 6 0 $ 1 4 2 , 0 4 1 $ 5 8 0 , 2 7 4 $ 3 6 0 , 4 6 2 $ 1 2 0 , 0 1 0 $ 9 5 , 7 2 2 ( $ 1 9 9 , 9 8 2 ) Ne t C h a n g e i n C a s h ( $ 5 1 , 7 5 6 ) $ 2 8 , 9 5 3 ( $ 4 2 , 4 6 4 ) $ 2 8 5 , 4 7 7 ( $ 4 , 5 3 6 ) $ 2 8 , 4 4 0 ( $ 6 , 5 9 3 ) ( $ 1 0 , 9 2 6 ) ( $ 1 , 8 6 4 ) $ 3 , 4 0 1 $ 4 1 8 $ 1 , 1 8 8 Ca s h a t b e g i n n i n g o f p e r i o d 7 5 , 1 5 9 2 3 , 4 0 3 5 2 , 3 5 6 9 , 8 9 2 7 , 6 1 8 3 , 0 8 2 3 1 , 5 2 2 2 4 , 9 2 9 1 4 , 0 0 2 1 2 , 1 3 8 1 5 , 5 3 9 1 5 , 9 5 8 Ca s h a t e n d o f p e r i o d $ 2 3 , 4 0 3 $ 5 2 , 3 5 6 $ 9 , 8 9 2 $ 2 9 5 , 3 6 9 $ 3 , 0 8 2 $ 3 1 , 5 2 2 $ 2 4 , 9 2 9 $ 1 4 , 0 0 2 $ 1 2 , 1 3 8 $ 1 5 , 5 3 9 $ 1 5 , 9 5 8 $ 1 7 , 1 4 6 Ca p i t a l S t r u c t u r e 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 E 2 0 0 9 E 2 0 1 0 E 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Co m m o n E q u i t y $1 , 0 0 8 , 2 8 6 $ 1 , 0 2 5 , 2 5 1 $ 1 , 1 2 4 , 1 8 3 $ 1 , 2 0 7 , 3 1 5 $ 1 , 2 6 8 , 4 6 2 $ 1 , 3 6 0 , 4 3 4 $ 1 , 4 8 3 , 3 5 8 $ 1 , 8 3 8 , 3 3 9 $ 2 , 1 0 5 , 2 7 0 $ 2 , 2 9 0 , 7 6 1 $ 2 , 4 4 9 , 5 8 0 $ 2 , 4 4 6 , 7 3 0 Lo n g - T e r m D e b t 97 9 , 5 4 9 1 , 0 2 3 , 5 8 0 9 2 8 , 6 4 8 1 , 1 5 6 , 8 8 0 1 , 2 3 0 , 8 1 6 1 , 3 3 4 , 7 5 2 1 , 4 7 8 , 6 8 8 1 , 8 4 2 , 6 2 4 2 , 1 0 6 , 5 6 0 2 , 2 3 6 , 5 6 0 2 , 3 8 6 , 5 6 0 2 , 4 1 1 , 5 6 0 Sh o r t - T e r m D e b t 11 4 , 8 7 3 76 , 4 0 7 22 4 , 1 2 5 19 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 16 7 , 9 0 1 To t a l C a p i t a l i z a t i o n $ 2 , 1 0 2 , 7 0 8 $ 2 , 1 2 5 , 2 3 8 $ 2 , 2 7 6 , 9 5 6 $ 2 , 5 6 2 , 0 9 6 $ 2 , 6 6 7 , 1 7 9 $ 2 , 8 6 3 , 0 8 7 $ 3 , 1 2 9 , 9 4 7 $ 3 , 8 4 8 , 8 6 4 $ 4 , 3 7 9 , 7 3 1 $ 4 , 6 9 5 , 2 2 2 $ 5 , 0 0 4 , 04 1 $ 5 , 0 2 6 , 1 9 1 % E q u i t y 48 4 8 4 9 4 7 4 8 4 8 4 7 4 8 4 8 4 9 4 9 4 9 % L o n g - T e r m D e b t 47 4 8 4 1 4 5 4 6 4 7 4 7 4 8 4 8 4 8 4 8 4 8 % S h o r t - T e r m D e b t 5 4 1 0 8 6 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 So u r c e s : W a c h o v i a C a p i t a l M a r k e t s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 5 Required Disclosures $23.00 $24.00 $25.00 $26.00 $27.00 $28.00 $29.00 $30.00 $31.00 $32.00 $33.00 $34.00 $35.00 $36.00 $37.00 $38.00 $39.00 $40.00 $41.00 $42.00 $43.00 $44.00 $45.00 $46.00 5/3 / 0 5 5/3 1 / 0 5 6/2 8 / 0 5 7/2 6 / 0 5 8/2 3 / 0 5 9/2 0 / 0 5 10 / 1 8 / 0 5 11 / 1 5 / 0 5 12 / 1 3 / 0 5 1/1 0 / 0 6 2/7 / 0 6 3/7 / 0 6 4/4 / 0 6 5/2 / 0 6 5/3 0 / 0 6 6/2 7 / 0 6 7/2 5 / 0 6 8/2 2 / 0 6 9/1 9 / 0 6 10 / 1 7 / 0 6 11 / 1 4 / 0 6 12 / 1 2 / 0 6 1/9 / 0 7 2/6 / 0 7 3/6 / 0 7 4/3 / 0 7 5/1 / 0 7 5/2 9 / 0 7 6/2 6 / 0 7 7/2 4 / 0 7 8/2 1 / 0 7 9/1 8 / 0 7 10 / 1 6 / 0 7 11 / 1 3 / 0 7 12 / 1 1 / 0 7 1/8 / 0 8 2/5 / 0 8 3/4 / 0 8 4/1 / 0 8 4/2 9 / 0 8 Se c u r i t y P r i c e IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price PerformanceIDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price Performance Date Date Publication Price ($) Rating Code Val. Rng. Low Val. Rng. High Close Price ($) 5/23/2005 Hamlin ‹ 5/23/2005 NA 2 25.00 27.00 27.76 z 6/27/2005 NA 2 28.00 30.00 30.00 „ 2/14/2006 Brothwell z 5/12/2006 NA 2 30.00 32.00 33.50 z 8/10/2006 NA 2 35.00 38.00 36.93 z 1/19/2007 NA 2 34.00 37.00 37.22 dz 2/16/2007 NA 3 31.00 33.00 35.60 z 5/10/2007 NA 3 30.00 33.00 32.84 z 6/11/2007 NA 3 30.00 32.00 31.78 z 8/9/2007 NA 3 32.00 34.00 34.77 c 8/30/2007 32.29 2 32.00 34.00 32.52 z 11/1/2007 34.89 2 33.00 35.00 33.70 „ 11/14/2007 Kalton z 11/14/2007 33.79 2 34.00 35.00 33.85 z 2/15/2008 32.04 2 31.00 33.00 31.46 Source: Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC estimates and Reuters data Symbol Key Rating Code Key d Rating Downgrade ‹ Initiation, Resumption, Drop or Suspend 1 Outperform/Buy SR Suspended c Rating Upgrade „ Analyst Change 2 Market Perform/Hold NR Not Rated z Valuation Range Change ˆ Split Adjustment 3 Underperform/Sell NE No Estimate Additional Information Available Upon Request I certify that: 1) All views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers discussed; and 2) No part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by me in this research report. ƒ Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC or its affiliates intends to seek or expects to receive compensation for investment banking services in the next three months from IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC or its affiliates received compensation for investment banking services from IDACORP, Inc. in the past 12 months. WACHOVIA CAPITAL MARKETS, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 6 ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC provided investment banking services to IDACORP, Inc. ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC provided nonsecurities services to IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC received compensation for products or services other than investment banking services from IDACORP, Inc. in the past 12 months. Risk to our valuation analysis include project delays or cancellations and consistently below average hydroelectric conditions. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC does not compensate its research analysts based on specific investment banking transactions. WCM’s research analysts receive compensation that is based upon and impacted by the overall profitability and revenue of the firm, which includes, but is not limited to investment banking revenue. STOCK RATING 1 = Outperform: The stock appears attractively valued, and we believe the stock's total return will exceed that of the market over the next 12 months. BUY 2 = Market Perform: The stock appears appropriately valued, and we believe the stock's total return will be in line with the market over the next 12 months. HOLD 3 = Underperform: The stock appears overvalued, and we believe the stock's total return will be below the market over the next 12 months. SELL SECTOR RATING O = Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. M = Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. U = Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. VOLATILITY RATING V = A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has fluctuated by +/-20% or greater in at least 8 of the past 24 months or if the analyst expects significant volatility. All IPO stocks are automatically rated volatile within the first 24 months of trading. As of: May 8, 2008 46% of companies covered by Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC Equity Research are rated Outperform. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC has provided investment banking services for 31% of its Equity Research Outperform-rated companies. 51% of companies covered by Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC Equity Research are rated Market Perform. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC has provided investment banking services for 24% of its Equity Research Market Perform-rated companies. 3% of companies covered by Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC Equity Research are rated Underperform. Wachovia Capital Markets, LLC has provided investment banking services for 48% of its Equity Research Underperform-rated companies. Important Disclosure for International Clients The securities and related financial instruments described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. For certain non-U.S. institutional reader (including readers in the EEA), this report is distributed by Wachovia Securities International Limited (“WSIL”). For the purposes of Section 21 of the UK Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“the Act”), the content of this report has been approved by WSIL a regulated person under the Act. WSIL does not deal with retail clients as defined in the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive 2007, therefore clients will automatically be deemed to be a professional or an eligible counterparty. This research is not intended for, and should not be relied upon, by retail clients. 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