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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOC IDA050511.pdf Please see page 5 for rating definitions, important disclosures and required analyst certifications Wells Fargo Securities, LLC does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report and investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. May 5, 2011 Equit Research IDACORP, Inc. IDA: Strong Q1 Results & Outlook Intact - Still Waiting on UCAP • Summary. IDA reported Q1 EPS of $0.60, above our $0.45 estimate and vs. $0.34 last year. Improved results were primarily driven by the full-year impact of the mid-10 rate increase and a return to more normal weather. Mgmt affirmed ’11 EPS guidance of $2.80-2.95. Our ’11-13E EPS remain $2.87, $2.95 and $3.05. We are reiterating our Outperform rating and increasing our valuation range to $42-43 per share from $41-42 per share. • Tax Update. IDA continues to await approval of the uniform capitalization (UCAP) tax settlement from the U.S. Congress Joint Committee on Taxation and believes the IRS’ recent finalization of the ’09 tax year review increases the likelihood of a 2011 determination. If the UCAP settlement is approved, Idaho Power would recognize the $60mm benefit and expects an ongoing benefit of $5- 6mm per year. • EPS Outlook. IDA affirmed ’11 EPS guidance of $2.80-2.95, which continues to embed $15mm of accelerated ADITC amortizations and reflects a slightly improved hydro outlook (8.5-10.5mm MWh vs. 7.5-9.5mm MWh previously). The company highlighted that if the UCAP agreement is approved in ‘11 then ADITC amortizations would not be required and pre-sharing EPS could approximate $3.15-3.25 (under the ’09-11 rate plan earnings above a 10.5% ROE are shared 50/50 with customers). Our ’11-13E EPS remain $2.87, $2.95 and $3.05. Idaho Power plans to file an Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) this summer, which will likely provide insight into potential base rate growth opportunities. • Upcoming Rate Filing. Idaho Power filed a notice of intent with the IPUC, which allows the company to file a general rate case as early as 6/1/11 for new rates effective 1/1/12. While our EPS estimates beyond ’11 assume traditional regulatory constructs, we continue to believe Idaho Power may have an opportunity to extend the existing rate plan, which we estimate represents at least $0.05-0.10 upside to our ’12E & ‘13E EPS. Approval of the UCAP tax settlement would increase the likelihood of an extension of the current plan, in our view. • Reiterate Outperform. We are attracted to IDA’s healthy balance sheet and favorable LT growth trends in Idaho Power’s service territory. In addition, we believe there may be upside potential to our EPS ests should (1) base rate growth opportunities arise out of the upcoming IRP or (2) current rate constructs are extended beyond ’11. In addition, valuation remains reasonable as shares trade at 1-2% discounts to Small-Cap Regulated Electric peers on ’12E & ‘13E EPS. Valuation Range: $42.00 to $43.00 from $41.00 to $42.00 We value IDA under P/E multiple (apply a 14.5X multiple to our 12E EPS of $2.95) and dividend discount analyses. Risks to our valuation include project delays/cancellations, negative regulatory developments and consistently below average hydro conditions. Investment Thesis: We rate shares Outperform. We are attracted to IDA's increasingly constructive regulatory environment, attractive service territory and strong rate base growth potential. Outperform Sector: Regulated Electric Utilities Market Weight Earnings Reported 2010A 2011E 2012E EPS Curr. Prior Curr. Prior Q1 (Mar.) $0.34 $0.60 0.45 NE Q2 (June) 0.82 0.67 0.72 NE Q3 (Sep.) 1.39 1.22 1.19 NE Q4 (Dec.) 0.41 0.38 0.50 NE FY $2.95 $2.87 NC $2.95 NC CY $2.95 $2.87 $2.95 FY P/E 13.2x 13.6x 13.2x Rev.(MM)$1,036 $1,069 $1,117 Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates, and Reuters NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate, NM = Not Meaningful V = Volatile, = Company is on the Priority Stock List Ticker IDA Price (05/05/2011) $38.91 52-Week Range: $31-40 Shares Outstanding: (MM) 49.4 Market Cap.: (MM) $1,922.2 S&P 500: 1,335.10 Avg. Daily Vol.: 209,468 Dividend/Yield: $1.20/3.1% LT Debt: (MM) $1,487.3 LT Debt/Total Cap.: 47.7% ROE: 10.0% 3-5 Yr. Est. Growth Rate: 4.0% CY 2011 Est. P/E-to-Growth: 3.4x Last Reporting Date: 05/05/2011 Before Open Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates, and Reuters Neil Kalton, CFA, Senior Analyst (314) 955-5239 / neil.kalton@wellsfargo.com Sarah Akers, CFA, Associate Analyst (314) 955-6209 / sarah.akers@wellsfargo.com Jonathan Reeder, Associate Analyst (314) 955-2462 / jonathan.reeder@wellsfargo.com WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 2 Company Description: IDACORP (IDA) is the holding company for Idaho Power Company (IPC), a regulated electric utility serving more than 485,000 customers in southern Idaho, including Boise and surrounding areas, and eastern Oregon. In addition, IDACORP Financial Services (IFS), a non-utility business, invests in affordable housing tax credits. WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 3 ( i n t h o u s a n d s e x c e p t p e r s h a r e d a t a ) 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Re v e n u e s $ 8 7 9 , 3 9 4 $ 9 6 0 , 4 1 4 $ 1 , 0 4 9 , 8 0 0 $ 1 , 0 3 6 , 0 2 9 $ 1 , 0 6 8 , 6 2 7 $ 1 , 1 1 6 , 5 7 5 $ 1 , 1 8 6 , 4 6 2 $ 1 , 2 1 8 , 0 3 9 $ 1 , 2 4 9 , 2 0 7 Ex p e n s e s P u r c h a s e d P o w e r * 2 8 9 , 4 8 4 2 3 8 , 3 8 7 1 6 7 , 1 9 8 1 4 3 , 7 6 9 3 5 7 , 7 6 1 3 6 0 , 8 8 5 3 6 4 , 0 4 0 3 6 7 , 2 2 7 3 7 0 , 4 4 5 F u e l E x p e n s e 1 3 4 , 3 2 2 1 4 9 , 4 0 3 1 4 9 , 5 6 6 1 5 9 , 6 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 T h i r d P a r t y T r a n s m i s s i o n E x p e n s e 1 0 , 4 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 P o w e r C o s t A d j u s t m e n t ( 1 2 1 , 1 3 1 ) ( 4 7 , 4 1 3 ) 6 6 , 7 1 0 5 1 , 2 2 6 0 0 0 0 0 O t h e r O & M 2 7 6 , 0 4 0 2 8 6 , 2 7 5 2 9 2 , 8 1 3 2 9 3 , 9 2 5 3 0 8 , 6 2 1 3 1 9 , 4 2 3 3 3 0 , 6 0 3 3 4 2 , 1 7 4 3 5 4 , 1 5 0 D e p r e c i a t i o n 1 0 3 , 0 7 2 1 0 2 , 0 8 6 1 1 0 , 6 2 6 1 1 5 , 9 2 1 1 2 0 , 5 6 7 1 2 5 , 2 8 3 1 2 9 , 6 2 9 1 4 0 , 0 5 1 1 4 4 , 8 8 2 O t h e r T a x e s 1 7 , 6 3 4 1 9 , 0 8 3 2 1 , 0 6 9 2 4 , 0 4 6 2 5 , 2 4 8 2 6 , 0 0 6 2 6 , 7 8 6 2 7 , 5 8 9 2 8 , 4 1 7 O t h e r 1 7 , 4 2 5 2 1 , 9 2 6 3 8 , 2 3 5 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 4 8 , 7 9 9 To t a l E x p e n s e s $7 2 7 , 3 1 6 $7 6 9 , 7 4 7 $8 4 6 , 2 1 7 $8 3 7 , 3 5 9 $8 6 0 , 9 9 7 $8 8 0 , 3 9 6 $8 9 9 , 8 5 6 $9 2 5 , 8 4 1 $9 4 6 , 6 9 4 EB I T $ 1 5 2 , 0 7 8 $ 1 9 0 , 6 6 7 $ 2 0 3 , 5 8 3 $ 1 9 8 , 6 7 0 $ 2 0 7 , 6 3 1 $ 2 3 6 , 1 7 9 $ 2 8 6 , 6 0 6 $ 2 9 2 , 1 9 9 $ 3 0 2 , 5 1 3 Ot h e r I n c o m e 6 , 7 9 7 ( 1 6 6 ) 1 5 , 9 6 4 1 8 , 1 7 3 1 9 , 0 3 3 2 4 , 5 3 3 8 , 8 3 7 1 3 , 2 3 2 2 0 , 1 3 8 In t e r e s t E x p e n s e 6 3 , 3 4 1 7 3 , 0 5 6 7 2 , 8 1 0 7 5 , 1 1 4 6 0 , 7 0 6 5 8 , 8 5 6 7 6 , 4 0 0 8 0 , 1 3 7 8 4 , 0 2 9 Cu s t o m e r S h a r i n g 0 0 0 0 0 0 In c o m e T a x e s 1 3 , 7 3 1 1 9 , 2 0 0 2 2 , 3 6 2 ( 7 3 1 ) 2 2 , 8 6 8 5 4 , 0 0 8 6 5 , 5 1 7 6 6 , 1 6 6 6 8 , 4 1 4 Ta x R a t e 1 5 % 1 6 % 1 5 % - 1 % 1 4 % 2 7 % 3 0 % 2 9 % 2 9 % Ea r n i n g s In c o m e f r o m C o n t i n u i n g O p e r a t i o n s $ 8 1 , 8 0 3 $ 9 8 , 2 4 5 $ 1 2 4 , 3 7 5 $ 1 4 2 , 4 6 0 $ 1 4 3 , 0 9 0 $ 1 4 7 , 8 4 8 $ 1 5 3 , 5 2 7 $ 1 5 9 , 1 2 8 $ 1 7 0 , 2 0 8 Dis c o n t i n u e d O p e r a t i o n s ( 6 7 ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ad j u s t m e n t f o r N o n - C o n t r o l l i n g I n t e r e s t 4 6 9 1 6 9 ( 2 5 ) Ne t I n c o m e $ 8 2 , 3 3 9 $ 9 8 , 4 1 4 $ 1 2 4 , 3 5 0 $ 1 4 2 , 4 6 0 $ 1 4 3 , 0 9 0 $ 1 4 7 , 8 4 8 $ 1 5 3 , 5 2 7 $ 1 5 9 , 1 2 8 $ 1 7 0 , 2 0 8 Av g . D i l u t e d S h a r e s O u t s t a n d i n g 4 4 , 3 6 5 4 5 , 3 7 9 4 7 , 1 8 2 4 8 , 3 4 0 4 9 , 7 7 2 5 0 , 1 0 2 5 0 , 3 5 0 5 0 , 5 8 4 5 0 , 8 0 4 EP S $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 7 $ 2 . 6 4 $ 2 . 9 5 $ 2 . 8 7 $ 2 . 9 5 $ 3 . 0 5 $ 3 . 1 5 $ 3 . 3 5 No n - R e c u r r i n g 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 0 Op e r a t i n g E P S * $ 1 . 8 6 $ 2 . 1 7 $ 2 . 6 4 $ 2 . 9 5 $ 2 . 8 7 $ 2 . 9 5 $ 3 . 0 5 $ 3 . 1 5 $ 3 . 3 5 Su p p l e m e n t a l I n f o r m a t i o n 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Di v i d e n d I n f o r m a t i o n Div i d e n d s P e r S h a r e - Y E R a t e $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 0 $ 1 . 2 6 $ 1 . 3 5 $ 1 . 4 4 $ 1 . 5 4 Div i d e n d s P a i d P e r S h a r e 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 0 1 . 2 6 1 . 3 5 1 . 4 4 1 . 5 4 Pa y o u t R a t i o 6 5 % 5 5 % 4 6 % 4 1 % 4 2 % 4 3 % 4 4 % 4 6 % 4 6 % St a t i s t i c s EB I T D A / S h a r e $ 5 . 7 5 $ 6 . 4 5 $ 6 . 6 6 $ 6 . 5 1 $ 6 . 5 9 $ 7 . 2 1 $ 8 . 2 7 $ 8 . 5 5 $ 8 . 8 1 Ca s h F l o w / S h a r e 1 . 8 2 3 . 0 2 6 . 0 4 6 . 3 4 4 . 6 4 4 . 0 6 4 . 9 6 5 . 0 7 5 . 1 6 Bo o k V a l u e / S h a r e ( y e a r e n d ) 2 6 . 7 9 2 7 . 7 5 2 9 . 1 6 3 1 . 0 0 3 2 . 7 3 3 4 . 4 6 3 6 . 2 0 3 7 . 9 4 3 9 . 7 9 Av e r a g e B o o k V a l u e / S h a r e 2 6 . 2 0 2 7 . 2 7 2 8 . 4 5 3 0 . 0 8 3 1 . 8 6 3 3 . 5 9 3 5 . 3 3 3 7 . 0 7 3 8 . 8 7 RO E o f I D A C O R P 7 . 1 % 8 . 0 % 9 . 3 % 9 . 8 % 9 . 0 % 8 . 8 % 8 . 6 % 8 . 5 % 8 . 6 % RO E o f I d a h o P o w e r C o m p a n 7. 2 % 8 . 2 % 1 0 . 0 % 1 0 . 5 % 9 . 6 % 9 . 4 % 9 . 3 % 9 . 1 % 9 . 2 % *2 0 1 1 E - 2 0 1 5 E " P u r c h a s e d P o w e r " l i n e i t e m i n c l u d e s e s t i m a t e d f u e l , t h i r d p a r t y t r a n s m i s s i o n a n d P C A c o s t s . *O p e r a t i n g E P S e x c l u d e n o n - r e c u r r i n g i t e m s ; 0 9 E P S i n c l u d e s b o n u s d e p r e c i a t i o n b e n e f i t , t a x s e t t l e m e n t a n d O r e g o n d e f e r r a l ; 1 0 in c l u d e s r e p a i r s - r e l a t e d t a x b e n e f i t . So u r c e : W e l l s F a r g o S e c u r i t i e s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s Ea r n i n g s M o d e l WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 4 Ca s h F l o w M o d e l ( i n t h o u s a n d s ) 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Op e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w Ne t I n c o m e $ 8 1 , 8 7 0 $ 9 8 , 2 4 5 $ 1 2 4 , 3 7 5 $ 1 4 2 , 4 6 0 $ 1 4 3 , 0 9 0 $ 1 4 7 , 8 4 8 $ 1 5 3 , 5 2 7 $ 1 5 9 , 1 2 8 1 7 0 , 2 0 8 D e p r e c i a t i o n & A m o r t i z a t i o n 1 0 8 , 1 7 1 1 0 9 , 8 4 2 1 1 8 , 6 0 0 1 2 1 , 8 4 9 1 3 0 , 5 6 7 1 3 5 , 2 8 3 1 3 9 , 6 2 9 1 5 0 , 0 5 1 1 5 4 , 8 8 2 N e t O t h e r ( 9 6 , 2 8 8 ) ( 3 9 , 4 5 7 ) 7 8 , 2 4 0 1 9 , 5 2 0 ( 4 3 , 2 6 3 ) ( 8 0 , 3 9 3 ) ( 4 4 , 3 3 8 ) ( 5 3 , 3 0 0 ) ( 6 3 , 7 6 4 ) W o r k i n g C a p i t a l ( 1 3 , 1 5 2 ) ( 3 2 , 1 1 7 ) ( 3 6 , 7 9 0 ) 2 1 , 5 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t O p e r a t i n g C a s h F l o w $ 8 0 , 6 0 1 $ 1 3 6 , 5 1 3 $ 2 8 4 , 4 2 5 $ 3 0 5 , 4 0 0 $ 2 3 0 , 3 9 4 $ 2 0 2 , 7 3 9 $ 2 4 8 , 8 1 7 $ 2 5 5 , 8 7 9 $ 2 6 1 , 3 2 6 In v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w Co n s t r u c t i o n E x p e n d i t u r e s ( $ 2 8 7 , 2 1 9 ) ( $ 2 4 3 , 5 4 4 ) ( $ 2 5 1 , 9 3 7 ) ( $ 3 3 8 , 2 5 2 ) ( $ 3 2 4 , 5 0 0 ) ( $ 2 4 0 , 0 0 0 ) ( $ 2 3 4 , 6 6 7 ) ( $ 3 1 0 , 4 1 7 ) ( $ 3 3 6 , 1 8 9 ) In v e s t m e n t s i n A f f o r d a b l e H o u s i n g P r o j e c t s 3 4 8 ( 8 , 3 1 4 ) ( 5 , 8 0 2 ) ( 1 3 , 3 9 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( 5 , 0 0 0 ) Ot h e r 1 9 , 7 6 1 4 9 , 0 3 4 1 5 , 3 3 4 2 3 , 3 0 8 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t I n v e s t i n g C a s h F l o w ($ 2 6 7 , 1 1 0 ) ( $ 2 0 2 , 8 2 4 ) ( $ 2 4 2 , 4 0 5 ) ( $ 3 2 8 , 3 3 4 ) ( $ 3 2 9 , 5 0 0 ) ( $ 2 4 5 , 0 0 0 ) ( $ 2 3 9 , 6 6 7 ) ( $ 3 1 5 , 4 1 7 ) ( $ 3 4 1 , 1 8 9 ) Fi n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w Is s u a n c e o f L T D e b t $ 2 4 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 2 0 , 0 0 0 $ 2 3 0 , 0 0 0 $ 2 0 0 , 0 0 0 $ 4 0 , 0 0 0 $ 2 1 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 3 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 2 0 , 0 0 0 $ 1 4 0 , 0 0 0 Is s u a n c e o f T e r m L o a n s $ 1 7 0 , 0 0 0 ( $ 1 7 0 , 0 0 0 ) $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f L T D e b t ( 9 5 , 0 3 3 ) ( 1 1 , 3 4 9 ) ( 8 9 , 1 7 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 2 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 0 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 7 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) ( 1 , 0 6 4 ) Pu r c h a s e o f P o l l u t i o n C o n t r o l B o n d s ( 1 6 6 , 1 0 0 ) 1 6 6 , 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Re t i r e m e n t o f P r e f e r r e d S t o c k o f I D P o w e r 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Div i d e n d s o n C o m m o n S t o c k ( 5 3 , 0 1 2 ) ( 5 4 , 2 3 9 ) ( 5 6 , 8 2 0 ) ( 5 7 , 8 7 2 ) ( 5 9 , 5 4 7 ) ( 6 2 , 9 4 0 ) ( 6 7 , 6 8 0 ) ( 7 2 , 7 5 5 ) ( 7 8 , 1 8 8 ) ST D e b t 5 7 , 4 4 5 ( 3 9 , 0 9 5 ) ( 9 3 , 6 0 0 ) 1 3 , 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 Co m m o n S t o c k I s s u e d 3 7 , 1 8 1 5 0 , 8 6 3 2 4 , 3 2 8 4 8 , 6 4 4 1 5 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 1 0 , 0 0 0 Ac q u i s i t i o n o f T r e a s u r y S h a r e s ( 3 4 6 ) ( 3 0 4 ) ( 1 , 4 4 1 ) ( 8 6 9 ) 0 0 0 0 0 Ot h e r ( 1 , 6 5 2 ) ( 2 , 6 0 3 ) ( 7 , 2 5 4 ) ( 3 , 3 6 5 ) 0 0 0 0 0 Ne t F i n a n c i n g C a s h F l o w $1 8 4 , 5 8 3 $ 6 7 , 1 7 3 $ 2 , 1 3 9 $ 1 9 8 , 6 2 4 ( $ 1 2 5 , 6 1 1 ) $ 5 5 , 9 9 6 $ 1 , 2 5 6 $ 5 6 , 1 8 1 $ 7 0 , 7 4 8 Ne t C h a n g e i n C a s h ( $ 1 , 9 2 6 ) $ 8 6 2 $ 4 4 , 1 5 9 $ 1 7 5 , 6 9 0 ( $ 2 2 4 , 7 1 7 ) $ 1 3 , 7 3 5 $ 1 0 , 4 0 7 ( $ 3 , 3 5 6 ) ( $ 9 , 1 1 4 ) Ca s h a t b e g i n n i n g o f p e r i o d 9 , 8 9 2 7 , 9 6 6 8 , 8 2 8 5 2 , 9 8 7 2 2 8 , 6 7 7 3 , 9 6 0 1 7 , 6 9 5 2 8 , 1 0 2 2 4 , 7 4 6 Ca s h a t e n d o f p e r i o d $ 7 , 9 6 6 $ 8 , 8 2 8 $ 5 2 , 9 8 7 $ 2 2 8 , 6 7 7 $ 3 , 9 6 0 $ 1 7 , 6 9 5 $ 2 8 , 1 0 2 $ 2 4 , 7 4 6 $ 1 5 , 6 3 2 Ca p i t a l S t r u c t u r e 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 E 2 0 1 2 E 2 0 1 3 E 2 0 1 4 E 2 0 1 5 E Co m m o n E q u i t y $1 , 2 0 7 , 3 1 5 $ 1 , 3 0 2 , 4 3 7 $ 1 , 3 9 7 , 3 3 5 $ 1 , 5 3 2 , 1 1 3 $ 1 , 6 3 0 , 6 5 6 $ 1 , 7 2 5 , 5 6 4 $ 1 , 8 2 1 , 4 1 1 $ 1 , 9 1 7 , 7 8 4 $ 2 , 0 1 9 , 8 0 5 Lo n g - T e r m D e b t 1, 1 5 6 , 8 8 0 1 , 1 8 3 , 4 5 1 1 , 4 0 9 , 7 3 0 1 , 4 8 8 , 2 8 7 1 , 4 0 7 , 2 2 3 1 , 5 1 6 , 1 5 9 1 , 5 7 5 , 0 9 5 1 , 6 9 4 , 0 3 1 1 , 8 3 2 , 9 6 7 Sh o r t - T e r m D e b t 19 7 , 9 0 1 23 7 , 7 7 8 63 , 0 9 0 18 9 , 4 7 2 18 9 , 4 7 2 18 9 , 4 7 2 18 9 , 4 7 2 18 9 , 4 7 2 18 9 , 4 7 2 To t a l C a p i t a l i z a t i o n $ 2 , 5 6 2 , 0 9 6 $ 2 , 7 2 3 , 6 6 6 $ 2 , 8 7 0 , 1 5 5 $ 3 , 2 0 9 , 8 7 2 $ 3 , 2 2 7 , 3 5 1 $ 3 , 4 3 1 , 1 9 5 $ 3 , 5 8 5 , 9 7 8 $ 3 , 8 0 1 , 2 8 7 $ 4 , 0 4 2 , 2 4 4 % E q u i t y 47 4 8 4 9 4 8 5 1 5 0 5 1 5 0 5 0 % L o n g - T e r m D e b t 45 4 3 4 9 4 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 % S h o r t - T e r m D e b t 8 9 2 6 6 6 5 5 5 So u r c e : W e l l s F a r g o S e c u r i t i e s , L L C e s t i m a t e s a n d c o m p a n y f i l i n g s WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC IDACORP, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 5 Required Disclosures $18.00 $20.00 $22.00 $24.00 $26.00 $28.00 $30.00 $32.00 $34.00 $36.00 $38.00 $40.00 $42.00 $44.00 4/3 0 / 0 8 5/2 8 / 0 8 6/2 5 / 0 8 7/2 3 / 0 8 8/2 0 / 0 8 9/1 7 / 0 8 10 / 1 5 / 0 8 11 / 1 2 / 0 8 12 / 1 0 / 0 8 1/7 / 0 9 2/4 / 0 9 3/4 / 0 9 4/1 / 0 9 4/2 9 / 0 9 5/2 7 / 0 9 6/2 4 / 0 9 7/2 2 / 0 9 8/1 9 / 0 9 9/1 6 / 0 9 10 / 1 4 / 0 9 11 / 1 1 / 0 9 12 / 9 / 0 9 1/6 / 1 0 2/3 / 1 0 3/3 / 1 0 3/3 1 / 1 0 4/2 8 / 1 0 5/2 6 / 1 0 6/2 3 / 1 0 7/2 1 / 1 0 8/1 8 / 1 0 9/1 5 / 1 0 10 / 1 3 / 1 0 11 / 1 0 / 1 0 12 / 8 / 1 0 1/5 / 1 1 2/2 / 1 1 3/2 / 1 1 3/3 0 / 1 1 4/2 7 / 1 1 Se c u r i t y P r i c e IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price PerformanceIDACORP, Inc. (IDA) 3-yr. Price Performance Date Date Publication Price ($) Rating Code Val. Rng. Low Val. Rng. High Close Price ($) 4/30/2008 Kalton 4/30/2008 NA 2 31.00 33.00 32.44 z 12/18/2008 29.19 2 30.00 32.00 29.24 z 2/19/2009 24.39 2 26.00 27.00 24.39 z 8/6/2009 27.79 2 27.00 29.00 27.79 z 9/10/2009 28.37 2 29.00 30.00 28.37 z 11/10/2009 29.52 2 30.00 31.00 29.52 z 12/14/2009 31.18 2 32.00 33.00 31.54 z 2/25/2010 33.94 2 35.00 36.00 33.89 z 8/6/2010 35.75 2 36.00 37.00 36.05 z 10/29/2010 37.00 2 38.00 39.00 36.80 cz 11/15/2010 36.34 1 40.00 41.00 36.52 z 2/9/2011 38.22 1 41.00 42.00 38.05 Source: Wells Fargo Securities, LLC estimates and Reuters data Symbol Key Rating Code Key d Rating Downgrade ‹ Initiation, Resumption, Drop or Suspend 1 Outperform/Buy SR Suspended c Rating Upgrade „ Analyst Change 2 Market Perform/Hold NR Not Rated z Valuation Range Change ˆ Split Adjustment 3 Underperform/Sell NE No Estimate Additional Information Available Upon Request I certify that: 1) All views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers discussed; and 2) No part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by me in this research report. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC maintains a market in the common stock of IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates managed or comanaged a public offering of securities for IDACORP, Inc. within the past 12 months. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates intends to seek or expects to receive compensation for investment banking services in the next three months from IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates received compensation for investment banking services from IDACORP, Inc. in the past 12 months. WELLS FARGO SECURITIES, LLC Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DEPARTMENT 6 ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wells Fargo Securities, LLC. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC provided investment banking services to IDACORP, Inc. ƒ IDACORP, Inc. currently is, or during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of the research report was, a client of Wells Fargo Securities, LLC. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC provided noninvestment banking securities-related services to IDACORP, Inc. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC received compensation for products or services other than investment banking services from IDACORP, Inc. in the past 12 months. ƒ Wells Fargo Securities, LLC or its affiliates may have a significant financial interest in IDACORP, Inc. IDA: Risks to our valuation include project delays/cancellations, negative regulatory developments and consistently below average hydro conditions. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC does not compensate its research analysts based on specific investment banking transactions. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC’s research analysts receive compensation that is based upon and impacted by the overall profitability and revenue of the firm, which includes, but is not limited to investment banking revenue. STOCK RATING 1=Outperform: The stock appears attractively valued, and we believe the stock's total return will exceed that of the market over the next 12 months. BUY 2=Market Perform: The stock appears appropriately valued, and we believe the stock's total return will be in line with the market over the next 12 months. HOLD 3=Underperform: The stock appears overvalued, and we believe the stock's total return will be below the market over the next 12 months. SELL SECTOR RATING O=Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. M=Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. U=Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months. VOLATILITY RATING V = A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has fluctuated by +/-20% or greater in at least 8 of the past 24 months or if the analyst expects significant volatility. All IPO stocks are automatically rated volatile within the first 24 months of trading. As of: May 5, 2011 45% of companies covered by Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Equity Research are rated Outperform. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC has provided investment banking services for 42% of its Equity Research Outperform-rated companies. 52% of companies covered by Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Equity Research are rated Market Perform. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC has provided investment banking services for 47% of its Equity Research Market Perform-rated companies. 3% of companies covered by Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Equity Research are rated Underperform. Wells Fargo Securities, LLC has provided investment banking services for 41% of its Equity Research Underperform-rated companies. Important Disclosure for International Clients EEA – The securities and related financial instruments described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. For recipients in the EEA, this report is distributed by Wells Fargo Securities International Limited (“WFSIL”). WFSIL is a U.K. incorporated investment firm authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. For the purposes of Section 21 of the UK Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“the Act”), the content of this report has been approved by WFSIL a regulated person under the Act. 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