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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOC IDA021909.pdf Please refer to pages 9-10 of this report for detailed disclosure and certification information. Institutional Equity Research IDACORP, INC. February 23, 2009 IDA – NYSE Rating: BUY ↑ Price: (2/20/09) $24.25 Price Targets: 12-18 month: $28 ↓ 5-year: $35 ↓ Industry: Utilities James L. Bellessa, Jr., CFA 406.791.7230 jbellessa@dadco.com Company Description: Boise, ID -- IDACORP, Inc. is the holding company for the Idaho Power Company, an electric public utility that serves an approximate 24,000 square mile area in Southern Idaho and Eastern Oregon. Non- regulated subsidiaries include an affordable housing project finance company and an operator of small hydroelectric generation projects. FY (Dec) 2008A 2009E Y-O-Y Growth 2010E Y-O-Y Growth Revenue ($M) $960.4 $1,036.1 8% $1,073.0 4% Previous $968.7 $1,046.3 - Price/Revenue ratio 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x EPS Revised $2.17 $2.28 5% $2.37 4% Previous $2.19 $2.24 - Price/EPS ratio 11.2x 10.6x 10.2x EBITDA ($M) $325.0 $354.0 9% $368.9 4% EV/EBITDA ratio 7.7x 7.1x 6.8x Quarterly Data: EPS EPS Revenue Revenue EBITDA Previous ($M) Previous ($M) 3/31/09E $0.48 $0.43 $232.1 $233.6 $81.7 6/30/09E $0.45 $0.39 $253.6 $255.0 $80.3 9/30/09E $1.09 NC $313.0 $311.2 $122.3 12/31/09E $0.26 $0.32 $237.4 $246.5 $69.7 Valuation Data Trading Data Long-term growth rate (E) 5% Shares outstanding (M) 45.6 Total Debt/Cap (12/31/08) 52.2% Market Capitalization ($M) $1,105 Cash per share (12/31/08) $0.19 52-week range $21.88 - $33.89 Book value per share (12/31/08) $28.58 Average daily volume (3 mos.) (K) 657 Dividend (yield) $1.20 (4.9%) Float 97% Return on Equity (T-T-M) 8% Index Membership S&P 400 MidCap Shares Appear Oversold, Upgrading to BUY • IDACORP reported 4Q'08 EPS of $0.16, compared to $0.23 in 4Q'07. We were forecasting $0.18 and the consensus estimate of four analysts was $0.24. • Increased utility revenues offset by higher expenses. Idaho Power posted EPS of $0.17 for the quarter, versus $0.29 last year. Although revenues increased due to rate relief, the benefit was eclipsed by higher operating and maintenance expenses and a FERC-mandated refund to its transmission service customers (-$0.11). Unexpectedly, quarterly results were also held back by an impairment of equity securities (-$0.09), partially offset by a settlement of prior years’ tax returns (+$0.06). • Raising 2009 EPS estimate. Our 2009 EPS forecast is being increased from $2.24 to $2.28 to reflect lower O&M and depreciation expenses than we previously projected, offset in part by a higher expected tax rate and share count. • Initiating 2010 estimate. In this report we are introducing our 2010 EPS estimate of $2.37. We expect results will be helped by additional rate relief in both Idaho and Oregon. • Lowering target price. Due to lower utility sector valuations, we are reducing our 12-18 month target price of $29 to $28, or ~12x the average of our 2009 and 2010 EPS estimates. Over the past decade, IDACORP has traded at a median multiple of 14.8x price-to-year-forward EPS estimates. Given the recently reduced share price, we are upgrading our stock rating from Neutral to BUY for total return investors, including a 4.9% current yield. D.A. Davidson & Co. 2 Price Chart Source: Thomson One D.A. Davidson & Co. 3 IDACORP reported 4Q'08 EPS of $0.16, compared to $0.23 in 4Q'07. We were forecasting $0.18 and the consensus estimate was $0.24. The company’s principal subsidiary, the Idaho Power Company (IPC), reported 4Q’08 EPS of $0.17, compared to $0.29 a year ago and our forecast of $0.21. As expected, utility EPS took a $0.10 per share hit from a FERC order which increased the utility’s Open Access Transmission Tariff (OATT) refund to transmission service customers (see our details in the Regulatory Update section). Unexpectedly, quarterly results at the utility were also held back by a $0.09 per share impairment charge on equity investments set aside to help meet future obligations relating to a non-qualified benefit plan. The investments (maintained by the plan’s trustees) are a broadly diversified group of exchange-traded index funds which were negatively impacted by the poor performance of the stock market in 4Q’08. The company’s non-regulated businesses and holding company activity reported a 4Q’08 loss of $0.01 per share, compared to a loss of $0.06 per share in 4Q’07. The loss narrowed due to a $0.06 per share benefit in recent quarter from the settlement of prior years’ tax returns. Included in the non-regulated businesses is IDACORP Financial Services (IFS), which contributed EPS of $0.03, a decline from $0.04 a year ago because of lower tax benefits from aging affordable housing project investments. Electric revenues of $216 million increased 10% from $196 million, with the bulk of the $20 million improvement coming from general business revenues, which benefited from rate relief over the past year, customer growth, and power cost adjustment (PCA) recoveries. Offsetting the increase in electric revenues was a $22 million, or 13%, climb in electric operating expenses to $194 million. Primary drivers behind the higher expenses were higher power supply, O&M, and demand-side management expenses. These expense increases were partially offset by lower depreciation expense. On September 12, 2008, the IPUC approved a revision to IPC’s depreciation rates, retroactive to August 1, 2008. The new rates are based on a settlement reached by IPC and the IPUC Staff, and result in an annual reduction of depreciation expense of $8.5 million based upon depreciable electric plant in service as of December 31, 2006. Our 2009 EPS forecast is being raised from $2.24 to $2.28, to reflect lower O&M and depreciation expenses than we previously projected, offset in part by a higher-than-assumed tax rate and share count. As part of the company’s belt tightening, management is guiding to 2009 O&M expenses of $280-$290 million, down from $294 million in 2008. With a declining tax shelter from IFS, the company’s overall tax rate should rise to 24%-28% in 2009 from 16% in 2008. Also, the company should continue to use its continuous equity plan (CEP) to issue common stock to maintain its equity ratios in the 45%-50% range. In 2008, IDACORP raised $51 million through stock issuances, including $42 million from the issuance of 1.5 million shares through the CEP. Management does not provide an EPS guidance range. We are initiating our 2010 EPS estimate of $2.37. We expect results will be helped by an improving economy, as well as a boost from a new Oregon and possibly Idaho general rate cases that should be filed later this year. With utility valuations retreating to near their October 2008 lows, we are reducing our 12-18 month target price of $29 to $28, or ~12x the average of our 2009 and 2010 EPS estimates. Over the past decade, IDACORP has traded at a median multiple of 14.8x price-to-year- forward EPS estimates. Given the recently reduced share price, we are upgrading our stock rating from Neutral to BUY for total return investors, including a nearly 5% current yield. EPS Falls 29% Rate Relief and PCA Recovery Boost Revenues Adjusting 2009 EPS Estimate; Initiating 2010 Lowering Tar et Price, but Raisin Rating D.A. Davidson & Co. 4 REGULATORY UPDATE On January 30, 2009, the IPUC issued its final order in Idaho Power’s 2008 general rate case. The utility was granted a revenue increase of ~$20.9 million (+3.1%), less than a third of the utility’s request for an increase of $66.6 million (+9.9%). In its order, the IPUC expressed its view that the utility will need to adjust to “new realities” in the current economic environment, and if Idaho Power is to attain the allowed ROE it will have to achieve it by reducing operating costs and increasing efficiencies, and not through its sought-for rate increase. The new rates went into effect on February 1st. The bulk of the nearly $46 million of costs not allowed by the IPUC were comprised of three items: $13.0 million of operating & maintenance expenses, $12.7 million due to the allowed ROE of 10.5% compared to the requested 11.25%, and $10.6 million of net power supply costs. Regarding this last rejected cost, it is important to note that under a new power cost adjustment (PCA) mechanism accepted on January 9th, 95% of the company’s net power supply costs over the amount in base rates are paid for by ratepayers. Therefore, lowering the amount included in base rates by $10.6 million just means that if the costs are indeed higher (as the utility forecasted in its rate case filing), then the company will collect 95% of that excess and only absorb 5%. Previously the mechanism called for a 90%/10% cost sharing. Positive points in the decision include: Idaho Power’s rate base for its Idaho jurisdiction essentially remained unchanged at the company’s ~$2.1 billion recommendation (with an 8.2% allowed rate of return); the utility’s equity ratio of 49.27% was accepted as submitted; a “higher” ROE was allowed (10.5% versus 10.25% in the last adjudicated decision); a year forward test year was accepted for the first time as opposed to a historical test year; the load growth adjustment rate has been lowered from $28.14/MWh to an estimated $26.52/MWh; a new residential tiering rate schedule was enacted; and ongoing finance costs of $6.8 million (allowance for funds used during construction) for the relicensing of the Hells Canyon Project were allowed in rate base for the first time since the company’s relicensing efforts started ten years ago, in order to support cash flows for the utility’s credit rating purposes (but not profits), even though the company’s relicensing efforts are still ongoing. Idaho Power’s management expressed their disappointment in the decision and filed a petition for reconsideration and/or clarification on February 19th, stating that the IPUC decision on certain issues was “unreasonable, erroneous, unduly discriminatory, not in conformity with the facts of record and/or the applicable law, and result in a revenue requirement and rates which are confiscatory.” In the filing, Idaho Power challenges several issues in the IPUC’s order that aggregate approximately $8 million annually. The key issues include the method used in calculating the utility’s labor expense, apparent accounting errors used in the computation of the revenue requirement, and the deduction of credits from a 2006 FERC case from the revenue requirement which the utility believes to be illegal “retroactive ratemaking.” IPC also asked for clarification on how to implement certain aspects of the rate order. The IPUC has a 28-day deadline to consider the petition, and if the petition is granted the Commission’s decision would be handed down by the end of July 2009. Regardless of the outcome of the petition for reconsideration, Idaho Power has the ability to file a fresh Idaho rate case in 2009. Idaho Power filed its 2008/2009 PCA in April 2008, requesting recovery of approximately $87 million in power supply and fuel expenses incurred from April 15, 2007 through April 15, 2008. However, subsequent to its PCA filing, state regulators ordered that $16 million of proceeds plus interest from the sale of SO2 credits in 2007 be used to reduce the impact of the PCA filing from $87 million to $70.7 million. On May 30, 2008, the IPUC ordered a change in Idaho Power’s methodology in calculating the PCA. The new methodology results in an equal amount of power supply costs across all months, compared with the older, more seasonal allocation that would have recognized significantly more power supply costs in the third quarter and less in the first and second quarters. The new PCA mechanism, which is not expected to have a material impact on 2008 Idaho General Rate Case 2008 Idaho PCA Proceedings D.A. Davidson & Co. 5 annual financial results, went into effect on June 1st, as well as an approved increase to existing revenues of $73.3 million (10.7%). A stipulated agreement was accepted by the IPUC on January 9, 2009 which will allow for annual adjustments to retail rates by tracking the difference between actual power supply expenses and net power supply expenses currently being recovered in rates. The stipulation addresses five aspects of the PCA, with a sixth aspect being deferred for future discussion: • As of February 1, 2009, a new mechanism for sharing deviations in power supply cost between the utility and its customers will be applied. The original methodology distributed power cost deviations 90%/10% between customers and shareholders, respectively. The stipulation changes the sharing percentage to 95%/5%. • A new mechanism for calculating the LGAR will go into effect with the implementation of new rates from Idaho Power’s 2008 general rate case (we estimate that the new methodology will result in a LGAR of $26.52 per MWh). The LGAR is intended to eliminate recovery of power supply expenses due to changing weather conditions, a growing customer base, or different customer usage patterns. • Beginning with the implementation of rates from the 2008 general rate case, third party transmission expenses that are not already included in base rates will be reflected in PCA computations. • Idaho Power will be allowed to use its own forecast of net power supply expenses, replacing the admittedly less accurate forecast of inflows into the Brownlee Reservoir prepared by the federal government, as the starting point for the PCA. This new methodology will become effective with the utility’s next PCA filing in April 2009. • Base net power supply expenses will be distributed throughout the year based on the monthly shape of normalized revenues for purposes of the PCA deferral calculation. This change will take effect with the implementation of rates from the 2008 general rate case. • The current policy of allocating PCA expenses to different customer classes on an equal cents-per-kWh basis should be re-evaluated following Idaho Power’s current general rate case. On June 1, 2006, the FERC accepted a revision in the way open access transmission tariffs (OATTs) were calculated for Idaho Power, the utility subsidiary of IDACORP, Inc. The new method allowed the utility to move from a fixed rate to a formula rate which would be updated annually. The approval translated into a revenue increase of $11 million for Idaho Power and was subject to refund depending on the outcome of the hearing and settlement process. Idaho Power also requested a return on equity of 11.25%. A stipulated agreement was approved in August 2007 which settled all issues except the treatment of certain legacy transmission service contracts. This settlement reduced the estimated annual revenue increase to approximately $8.2 million, and required Idaho Power to issue a refund of the rates collected in excess of the new agreed-upon rate. Also, the FERC established an authorized return on equity of 10.7% as part of the settlement. Later that month, the FERC’s presiding administrative law judge (ALJ) handed down an initial decision in the case of the legacy contracts which would reduce the annual revenue increase to approximately $6.8 million and require additional refunds of $5.4 million. The ALJ’s decision was appealed, and on January 15, 2009 an order was handed down which upheld the ALJ’s initial decision in most respects. One modification to the initial decision is that Idaho Power was required to reduce its transmission rates to FERC jurisdictional customers and refund $13.3 million to these customers for the period since the new rates went into effect in June 2006. The refunds must be issued within 45 days of the FERC order. The utility has filed a request for rehearing with the FERC. FERC Transmission Rate Case D.A. Davidson & Co. 6 Idaho Power mentioned in its recent earnings press release that it will seek approval from its Board of Directors and the Idaho Public Utilities Commission (IPUC) to construct a new baseload energy resource. As the company is still evaluating proposals and has not made a decision on what form the resource would take, the cost associated with this power source was not included in the utility’s 2009-2011 capital expenditures budget of $780-$800 million (this capex budget does include expenditures for the siting and permitting of several major transmission projects). The application is expected to be submitted during the first quarter of 2009, with a decision expected to come forth later this year. On August 4, 2008, Idaho Power filed a request with the Idaho Public Utilities Commission for permission to install Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) technology throughout its service territory at a cost of $71 million. The installations would begin in January 2009 and conclude in 2011. Approximately two-thirds of the AMI costs are included in the company’s 2008-2010 capital expenditure guidance. Idaho Power noted that it will not seek a change in customer rates at this time, even though the 2009 revenue requirement from deployment of the AMI is estimated to be $12.2 million. However, rate impacts will be addressed in subsequent proceedings after a deployment plan is approved by the Commission. In February 2008, state regulators approved a settlement agreement associated with Idaho Power’s June 2007 rate request. The order approves a general electric rate increase of $32.1 million, or 5.2%, effective March 1, 2008. The agreement did not identify a rate base, equity ratio, or an allowed ROE. Idaho Power had originally filed its rate case requesting an increase of approximately $64 million, or 10.35%, and a return on equity of 11.5%. The then- allowed authorized rate of return of 8.1% remained unchanged. On May 30, 2008 Idaho Power received authorization from the IPUC to increase customer rates by 1.39%, translating to $8.9 million as a result of $64.2 million being added to the company’s rate base attributed to the new Danskin CT1 natural gas power plant and associated transmission and interconnection upgrades located near Mountain Home, ID. The 170-MW addition to the Danskin Generating Unit is primarily used as a peaking facility and began commercial operation on March 11, 2008. New retail rates associated with the Danskin facility became effective on June 1, 2008. On August 4, 2008, the IPUC approved Idaho Power’s proposed 2-year power purchase agreement with PPL EnergyPlus, LLC (a PPL Montana subsidiary) which was filed on June 16th. The agreement allows IPC to buy 83 MW per hour of electricity during heavy load times during June through August, at a price of $110 per MWh. The agreement extends through 2011 and replaces a previous agreement which would have expired in 2009. The Commission also approved Idaho Power’s request that the expenses associated with the energy purchase and transmission be included in its annual PCA filing, which is made each April and made effective on June 1st each year. In April 2008, state regulators in Oregon approved a stipulation agreement regarding Idaho Power’s August 2007 filing for a purchased cost adjustment mechanism (PCAM) in the state of Oregon. The mechanism differs from the Idaho PCA in that it reestablishes the base net power supply costs annually. In Idaho, the base net power supply costs are set by a general rate case. The OPUC approved the request and the new rates went into effect on June 1, 2008. The approved PCAM results in a $4.8 million, or 15.69 percent, increase in Oregon revenues. Plans for New Baseload Energy Resource Advanced Metering Infrastructure Case 2007 Idaho General Rate Case Danskin 1 Power Plant Application PPL Purchase Power Agreement Oregon Power Cost Adjustment Mechanism D.A. Davidson & Co. 7 IDACORP, Inc. Balance Sheet $ thousands -- Fiscal year ends 12/31 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 ASSETS: Electric Plant: In service (at original cost) $3,220,228 $3,324,816 $3,477,067 $3,583,694 $3,796,339 Accumulated provision for depreciation (1,239,604)(1,316,125)(1,364,640)(1,406,210)(1,468,832) In service - net 1,980,624 2,008,691 2,112,427 2,177,484 2,327,507 Construction work in progress 96,091 152,427 149,814 210,094 257,590 Held for future use 2,438 2,636 2,906 2,810 3,366 Other property, net of accum. Depreciatio 9,166 45,708 29,294 28,692 28,089 Property, plant and equipment - net 2,088,319 2,209,462 2,294,441 2,419,080 2,616,552 2,758,165 Investments And Other Property 204,474 223,061 191,593 202,825 201,085 198,552 Current Assets: Cash and cash equivalents 75,159 23,403 52,356 9,892 7,966 8,828 Receivables: Customer 93,599 92,258 94,469 62,131 69,160 Gas operations Allowance for uncollectible accounts (43,210) (43,108) (33,078) (7,168) (7,505) Notes Employee notes receivable 3,347 3,523 2,951 2,569 2,128 Other 8,209 8,806 21,377 11,855 10,957 Total Receivables 91,380 Energy marketing assets 4,176 9,203 23,859 12,069 0 Derivative assets Taxes receivable Accrued unbilled revenues 30,869 33,832 38,905 31,365 36,314 Materials and supplies (at avg. cost) 21,351 28,008 30,451 39,079 43,270 Fuel stock (at average cost)6,228 6,539 11,739 15,174 17,268 Prepayments 27,779 30,035 17,876 9,308 9,371 Regulatory assets associated with taxes 4,382 23,407 23,922 28,035 25,672 Regulatory assets -- derivatives 6,269 5,510 3,064 0 0 Refundable income tax deposit 44,903 46,083 Other current assets 0 2,956 3,993 6,023 166,076 Assets held for sale 0 0 6,673 3,326 0 Total current assets 238,158 221,416 297,520 266,531 266,707 266,284 Other Assets: American Falls and Milner water rights 31,585 31,585 31,585 30,543 29,501 Company-owned life insurance 35,624 35,765 35,401 34,055 30,842Energy marketing assets -- long-term 14,358 16,635 22,189 Regulatory assets associated with taxes 427,760 433,271 415,177 423,548 449,668 696,332Regulatory asset - PCA Regulatory assets - long-term derivatives Regulatory assets - other Long-term receivables 3,106 2,895 4,015 3,802 3,583 Other 62,724 60,082 46,239 43,670 55,370 103,512 Assets held for sale 25,966 21,076 0 Total other assets 575,157 580,233 580,572 556,694 568,964 799,844 TOTAL ASSETS $3,106,108 $3,234,172 $3,364,126 $3,445,130 $3,653,308 $4,022,845 CAPITALIZATION AND LIABILITIES: Capitalization: Common stock equity Common stock $472,902 $589,440 $598,706 $638,799 $675,774 Retained earnings 397,167 424,312 437,284 493,363 537,699 Other comprehensive income (2,630) (888) (3,425) (5,737) (6,156) Treasury stock (3,158) (4,578) (998) (2,242) (2) Unearned compensation (6,316) Total common stock equity 864,281 1,008,286 1,025,251 1,124,183 1,207,315 1,302,437 Preferred stock 52,366 Long-term debt 945,834 979,549 1,023,545 928,648 1,156,880 1,183,451 Total capitalization 1,862,481 1,987,835 2,048,796 2,052,831 2,364,195 2,485,888 Current Liabilities: Long-term debt due within one year 67,923 78,603 16,307 95,125 11,456 86,528 Notes payable 93,650 36,270 60,100 129,000 186,445 151,250 Accounts payable 60,916 79,156 80,324 86,440 85,116 96,785 Energy marketing liabilities 4,317 9,420 24,093 13,532 0 Derivative liabilities 0 0 0 0 0 Taxes accured 45,601 46,318 72,652 47,402 8,492 Interest accrued 13,741 14,426 14,616 12,657 18,913 Deferred income taxes Uncertain tax positions 26,764 Other 25,557 21,265 19,577 23,572 38,129 61,105 Liabilities held for sale 0 0 5,916 2,606 0 Total current liabilities 311,705 285,458 293,585 410,334 375,315 395,668 Other Liabilities: Regulatory liabilities associated with deferred investment tax credits Energy marketing liabilities -- long-term 14,393 16,635 22,189 0 0 Derivative liabilities -- long-term 0 0 0 0 0 Deferred income taxes 554,715 555,774 519,563 498,512 466,182 515,719 Regulatory liabilities associated with income taxes Regulatory liabilities - PCA Regulatory liabilities - other 258,524 275,854 345,109 294,844 274,204 276,266 Other 104,290 112,616 124,833 179,836 173,412 349,304 Liabilities held for sale 0 0 10,051 8,773 0 Total other liabilities 931,922 960,879 1,021,745 981,965 913,798 1,141,289 TOTAL CAPITALIZATION AND LIABILITIES $3,106,108 $3,234,172 $3,364,126 $3,445,130 $3,653,308 $4,022,845 Shares Outstanding (000's)38,207 42,217 42,632 43,834 45,063 46,900Book Value per Share $22.62 $23.88 $24.05 $25.65 $26.79 $27.77 % of Total Capitalization Long-Term Debt 50.8% 49.3% 50.0% 45.2% 48.9% 47.6% Preferred 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Common 46.4% 50.7% 50.0% 54.8% 51.1% 52.4% D.A. Davidson & Co. 8 IDACORP, Inc. Consolidated Statements of Income $ thousands -- Fiscal year ends 12/31 4Q07 2007 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 2008 1Q09E 2Q09E 3Q'09E 4Q'09E 2009E 2010E REVENUES: Electric Utility: General business $156,966 $668,303 $167,313 $188,748 $246,639 $181,611 $784,311 $181,312 $202,649 $262,325 $192,084 $838,370 $863,730 Off system sales 25,089 154,948 33,363 25,641 34,637 27,789 121,430 37,823 37,903 37,678 32,305 145,710 155,723 Other revenues 14,374 52,150 12,120 14,556 16,831 6,828 50,335 12,200 12,200 12,200 12,200 48,800 50,000 Total Electric Utility Revenues 196,429 875,401 212,796 228,945 298,107 216,228 956,076 231,335 252,752 312,204 236,589 1,032,880 1,069,454 Diversified Operations: Other 1,017 3,993 644 1,281 1,609 804 4,338 800 800 800 800 3,200 3,500 Total Revenues 197,446 879,393 213,440 230,226 299,716 217,032 960,414 232,135 253,552 313,004 237,389 1,036,080 1,072,954EXPENSES: Electric Utility: Purchased power 48,091 289,484 45,299 50,089 79,513 56,237 231,138 48,838 61,261 81,799 57,080 248,977 264,205 Fuel expense 32,598 134,322 37,237 28,681 46,467 37,018 149,403 38,170 34,122 43,709 40,220 156,220 160,418 Power cost adjustment (13,674)(121,131)(17,744)(829)(20,105)(8,735)(47,413)(8,000)0 (9,000)(2,000)(19,000)(20,000) Total Power Supply 67,015 302,675 64,792 77,941 105,875 84,520 333,128 79,008 95,382 116,507 95,300 386,198 404,623 Impairment of assets Other Operations and Maintenance 70,639 286,510 68,927 75,617 74,778 74,708 294,030 69,401 75,826 72,119 70,267 287,612 294,100 Demand-side management 4,518 13,487 3,364 3,928 5,956 5,631 18,879 5,700 5,800 5,900 6,000 23,400 24,000 Gain on sale of emission allowances (2,754)(346) (158)(504) 0 0 Depreciation 26,203 103,072 25,750 26,617 25,717 24,001 102,085 24,250 24,500 24,750 25,000 98,500 102,000 Taxes other than income taxes 3,366 17,634 4,803 4,800 4,827 4,653 19,083 5,089 5,055 4,995 4,968 20,108 20,320 Total Electric Utility Expenses 171,741 720,624 167,636 188,557 216,995 193,513 766,701 183,448 206,563 224,272 201,535 815,818 845,042 Other:1,910 6,692 1,048 1,140 1,144 (286)3,046 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 4,800 5,000 Total Operating Expenses 173,651 727,316 168,684 189,697 218,139 193,227 769,747 184,648 207,763 225,472 202,735 820,618 850,042 OPERATING INCOME Electric Utilit 24,688 154,777 45,160 40,388 81,112 22,715 189,375 47,887 46,189 87,932 35,054 217,062 224,412 Other Diversified Operations (893)(2,699)(404)141 465 1,090 1,292 (400)(400)(400)(400)(1,600)(1,500) Equity in Earnings of Partnerships Operating Income 23,795 152,078 44,756 40,529 81,577 23,805 190,667 47,487 45,789 87,532 34,654 215,462 222,912 TOTAL OTHER INCOME:6,657 20,524 4,417 6,082 4,629 (3,267)11,861 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 20,000 21,000 Earnings of Uncons. Eq-method Inv.(1,567)(4,824)(4,036) (3,278) 2,642 675 (3,997)(1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000)(4,000) (4,400) TOTAL OTHER EXPENSES:1,597 8,434 365 1,820 2,764 2,912 7,861 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 8,000 8,200 INTEREST EXPENSE AND OTHER: Interest on long-term debt 16,655 59,961 16,876 15,744 17,226 17,404 67,250 17,450 17,500 17,550 17,600 70,100 72,500 Other interest (502)3,380 596 1,313 1,310 2,587 5,806 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 8,000 8,000 Net interest charges 16,153 63,341 17,472 17,057 18,536 19,991 73,056 19,450 19,500 19,550 19,600 78,100 80,500 Dividends on preferred stock 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total interest expense and other 16,153 63,341 17,472 17,057 18,536 19,991 73,056 19,450 19,500 19,550 19,600 78,100 80,500 INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES:11,135 96,003 27,300 24,456 67,548 (1,690)117,614 30,037 28,289 69,982 17,054 145,362 150,812 INCOME TAXES:840 13,731 5,584 6,941 15,809 (9,134)19,200 7,810 7,355 18,195 4,434 37,794 39,211 Income from Continuing Operations 10,295 82,272 21,716 17,515 51,739 7,444 98,414 22,227 20,934 51,787 12,620 107,568 111,601Losses from Disc. Ops. (net of tax)0 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Net Income Available for Common 10,295 82,339 21,716 17,515 51,739 7,444 98,414 22,227 20,934 51,787 12,620 107,568 111,601 Earnings per share from cont. ops.$0.23 $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.16 $2.17 $0.48 $0.45 $1.09 $0.26 $2.28 $2.37 Losses from Discontinued Operations $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 EPS $0.23 $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.16 $2.17 $0.48 $0.45 $1.09 $0.26 $2.28 $2.37 Dividends paid per share of common stock $0.300 $1.20 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $1.20 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $1.20 $1.20 Avg. common shares outstanding (000) 44,918 44,291 45,004 45,096 45,194 46,027 45,330 46,627 47,027 47,427 47,827 47,227 47,027 Segment breakdown of EPS Idaho Power Company $0.29 $1.73 $0.47 $0.39 $1.05 $0.17 $2.08 $0.47 $0.44 $1.08 $0.25 $2.24 $2.34 IDACORP Energy (0.00)($0.00)(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)($0.00) Ida-West Energy 0.00 $0.05 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.00 $0.05 IDACORP Financial 0.04 $0.16 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 $0.08 Holding Company (0.10)($0.08)(0.01)(0.04)0.05 (0.03)($0.03) EPS from Continuing Operations $0.23 $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.16 $2.17 $0.48 $0.45 $1.09 $0.26 $2.28 $2.37 IdaTech IDACOMM (Losses) from Discontinued Operations $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Reported EPS $0.23 $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.16 $2.17 $0.48 $0.45 $1.09 $0.26 $2.28 $2.37 D.A. Davidson & Co. Two Centerpointe Drive, Suite 400 • Lake Oswego, Oregon 97035 • (503) 603-3000 • (800) 755-7848 • www.dadavidson.com Copyright D.A. Davidson & Co., 2009. All rights reserved. 9 Required Disclosures D.A. Davidson & Co. expects to receive, or intends to seek, compensation for investment banking services from this company in the next three months. D.A. Davidson & Co. is a full service investment firm that provides both brokerage and investment banking services. James L. Bellessa, Jr., CFA, the research analyst principally responsible for the preparation of this report, will receive compensation that is based upon (among other factors) D.A. Davidson & Co.’s investment banking revenue. However, D.A. Davidson & Co.’s analysts are not directly compensated for involvement in specific investment banking transactions. I, James L. Bellessa, Jr., CFA, attest that (i) all the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the common stock of the subject company, and (ii) no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Ratings Information D.A. Davidson & Co. Ratings Buy Neutral Underperform Risk adjusted return potential Over 15% total return expected on a risk adjusted basis over next 12-18 months >0-15% return potential on a risk adjusted basis over next 12-18 months Likely to remain flat or lose value on a risk adjusted basis over next 12-18 months Distribution of Ratings (as of 12/31/08) Buy Hold Sell Corresponding Institutional Research Ratings Buy Neutral Underperform and Distribution 48% 49% 3% Corresponding Private Client Research Ratings Outperform Market Perform Underperform and Distribution 95% 5% 0% Distribution of Combined Ratings 52% 46% 2% Distribution of companies from whom D.A. Davidson & Co. has received compensation for investment banking services in last 12 mos. Institutional Coverage 2% 3% 0% Private Client Coverage 0% 0% 0% Distribution of Combined Investment Banking 2% 3% 0% D.A. Davidson & Co.’s Institutional Research Rating Scale (maintained since 7/9/02): Buy, Neutral, Underperform D.A. Davidson & Co. Two Centerpointe Drive, Suite 400 • Lake Oswego, Oregon 97035 • (503) 603-3000 • (800) 755-7848 • www.dadavidson.com Copyright D.A. Davidson & Co., 2009. All rights reserved. 10 Target prices are our Institutional Research Department’s evaluation of price potential over the next 12-18 months and 5 years, based upon our assessment of future earnings and cash flow, comparable company valuations, growth prospects and other financial criteria. Certain risks may impede achievement of these price targets including, but not limited to, broader market and macroeconomic fluctuations and unforeseen changes in the subject company’s fundamentals or business trends. Other Disclosures Information contained herein has been obtained by sources we consider reliable, but is not guaranteed and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. Any opinions expressed are based on our interpretation of data available to us at the time of the original publication of the report. 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