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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20050506FERC Market Based Rate Filing.pdfS T E P TO E &J 0 HN SON LLP ATTORNEYS AT LAW Gary A. Morgans 202.429.6234 gmorgans(iYsteptoe.co m 1330 Connecticut Avenue. Washington. DC 20036-1795 Tel 202.429.3000 Fax 202.429.3902 steptoe.com Public Version -~1 May 2, 2005 r-- ~~'--"; '".,,"" c:::;::. e;;:'.? (.;.., ;"'1 , ,:::: p~-"... c;'; :""~ rrj ::" tl) :!~:~'- CJ ~2:~ ..,;n::~ Magalie Roman-Salas Secretary Federal Energy Regulatory Commission 888 First Street, NE Washington, DC 20426 eJ""C'f\ ."....,'-.~~., en;;' (j).....::;;... . N r) C~JGO -"'"...... Re:Idaho Power Company, Docket No. ER97-1481-009 Notice of Change in Status Dear Ms. Salas: Pursuant to the Commission s Final Rule issued in Docket No. RM04-14-000 on Reporting Requirements for Changes in Status for Public Utilities with Market-Based Rate Authority, Order No. 652, 110 FERC i 61 097 (2005) (hereinafter "Changes in Status Order" or Order No. 652") and the Commission s March 3, 2005 Order Accepting Updated Market Power Analysis Idaho Power Co.110 FERC i 61 219 (2005) (hereinafter "March 3 , 2005 Market Power Analysis Order ), Idaho Power Company ("Idaho Power ) hereby submits this notice of change in status. This filing consists of the following documents: 1. This transmittal letter, which, as required by the Change in Status Order describes the change in status and provides a narrati:ve explanation of whether (and if so, how) this change in status reflects a departure from the characteristics relied upon by the Commission in approving Idaho Power s market-based rate authority. 2. The affidavit of Rodney Frame of Analysis Group, which provides the applicable market power studies showing how the reported change in status affects the analysis of Idaho Power s market power. (Attachment A) WASHINGTON NEW YORK PHOENIX LOS ANGELES lONDON BRUSSELS Magalie Roman-Salas, Secretary Federal Energy Regulatory Commission May 2, 2005 Page 2 3. A draft Notice of Filing in a form suitable for publication in the Federal Register including a diskette with such Notice of Filing in electronic format. (Attachment B) As part of Attachment A, Idaho Power submits the workpapers supporting the affidavit of Rodney Frame on two CDs. One of the CDs contain proprietary information provided by Platts under an agreement that requires confidential treatment be requested for these materials, and is being submitted on a confidential basis pursuant to 18 C.R. ~ 388.112 (2004). This is the public version of the filing, and does not include the confidential CD. COMMUNICA TIONS Idaho Power requests that all correspondence and communications related to this matter be made to the following person: Gary A. Morgans Steptoe & Johnson, LLP 1330 Connecticut Avenue, N. Washington, D.C. 20036 (202) 429-6234 (202) 429-3902 (facsimile) II.BACKGROUND AND DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE IN STATUS On February 10, 2005, the Commission issued Order No. 652 establishing a reporting obligation for changes in status that apply to public utilities authorized to make wholesale power sales in interstate commerce at market-based rates. Order No. 652 specified that utilities should report changes in status in a transmittal letter that describes the change in status and provides a narrative explanation of whether (and if so, how) the change in status reflects a departure from the characteristics relied upon by the Commission in originally granting the seller market-based rate authority. Order No. 652, 110 FERC at P 93. Idaho Power is an Idaho public utility corporation with its principal place of business in Boise, Idaho. Idaho Power is authorized to do business in Idaho, Oregon, and Nevada. Idaho Power provides bundled retail electric service to 400 000 customers in a franchised electric service territory of 20 000 square miles , and is subject to the jurisdiction of the Idaho Public Utilities Commission ("IPUC") and the Oregon Public Utilities Commission ("OPUC"). It also provides wholesale requirements and coordination services. Magalie Roman-Salas, Secretary Federal Energy Regulatory Commission May 2, 2005 Page 3 Idaho Power originally field an application for authorization to sell electric energy and capacity at market-based rates on January 31 , 1997 in Docket No. ER97-1481. The Commission approved this application on March 27, 1997. Idaho Power Co.78 FERC 1(61 343 (1997). Idaho Power filed an updated market power analysis on November 13 2000. The Commission accepted this update filing in a letter order dated December 12, 2000. On October 9,2003 Idaho Power filed an updated market power analysis. The Commission did not rule on this filing. . .. On May 13, 2004, the Commission issued an Order Implementing New Generation Market Power Analysis and Mitigation Procedures. Acadia Power Partners, LLC et ai.107 FERC 1(61 168 (2004) (hereinafter "MBR Implementation Order ). The order directed utilities with pending and future three-year market-based rate reviews as well as pending and future initial applications for MBR authority to apply the Commission s newly adoptedl market power screens-the Market Share Screen ("MSS") and Pivotal Supplier Screen ("PSS"in these MBR reviews and applications. In accordance with the schedule in Appendix A of the MBR Implementation Order, Idaho Power submitted its revised MBR review on September 27, 2004. Revised Market-Based Rate Tariff Three-Year Update Filing of Idaho Power Co., submitted in Docket No. ER97 -1481-004 (hereinafter "Sept. 27 Market Power Study ). Idaho Power filed supplements on September 28 2004 and October 8, 2004 ("Sept. 28 and Oct. 8 Supplements ). On January 19 , 2005 , Idaho Power filed a response to the Division Director s Dec. 20, 2004 letter requesting additional information regarding Idaho Power s revised generation market power screen analysis. Response of Idaho Power Co. to the Division Director s Dec. 20, 2004 Letter, submitted in Docket No. ER97-1481-007 (hereinafter "Jan. 19 Response ). Idaho Power supplemented this response on February 17, 2005 ("Feb. 17 Supplemental Response ). The Commission accepted Idaho Power s updated market power analysis in its March 3, 2005 Market Power Analysis Order. This order also directed Idaho Power to timely report changes in status and to incorporate the change in status reporting requirements of Order No. 652 into its market-based rate tariff within 30 days. Idaho Power submitted a compliance filing that incorporated the change in status requirement into its MBR tariff on March 29, 2005. The Commission has not yet acted on this compliance filing. As required by Order No. 652 and the March 3 , 2005 Market Power Analysis Order, 110 FERC at P 15 , Idaho Power reports that it recently added a new generation facility to its system. The newly constructed Bennett Mountain power plant is located within the Idaho Power control area, near Mountain Home, Idaho. The plant entered commercial operation on April 1 , 2005. The facility is a natural-gas-fired plant that will primarily serve as a peaking resource. The AEP Power Marketing, Inc. et ai.107 FERC i 61 018 modified on reh' g, 108 FERC i 61 026 (2004) (hereinafter "MBR Screening Orders Magalie Roman-Salas, Secretary Federal Energy Regulatory Commission May 2 2005 Page 4 generator nameplate rating of Bennett Mountain is 172.8 MW. The net maximum dependable capacity is 164 MW. III.EXPLANA TION OF THE EFFECT OF THE CHANGE IN STATUS The Change in Status Order requires Idaho Power to explain whether (and if so, how) the addition of the Bennett Mountain generation facility reflects a departure from the characteristics the Commission relied on when it authorized Idaho Power to make sales at market-based rates. The Change in Status Order states that "the 'characteristics ' refer to the Commission s four-part (market power) test and our analysis thereof." Order No. 652, 110 FERC at P 26. After taking account of the Bennett Mountain facility, Idaho Power still passes all four parts of the Commission s market power test. Transmission Market Power, Ability to Erect Barriers to Entry, and Potential for Affiliate Abuse The Commission s four-part test evaluates a seller s generation market power transmission market power, ability to erect barriers to entry to block competition, and potential to engage in affiliate abuse. The addition of the Bennett Mountain generation facility will not affect Idaho Power s transmission market power, its ability to erect barriers to entry, or its potential for affiliate abuse. As a result, this change in status will not reflect a departure from the characteristics relied upon by the Commission in assessing these portions of its market power anal ysis. Idaho Power demonstrated in the Jan. 19 Response that it satisfies the standards for these three prongs of the Commission s market analysis. Idaho Power stated that: i) its Open Access Transmission Tariff (OA TT) mitigates any transmission market power; ii) it lacks resources to erect entry barriers for new competitors; and iii) the filing of the Commission s standard code of conduct resolves affiliate abuse concerns. See Jan. 19 Response at 14; See also Supplemental Affidavit of Rodney Frame at PP 13-, attached as Exhibit 1 to the Jan. 19 Response. The Commission s March 3, 2005 Market Power Analysis Order found that Idaho Power complied with the Commission s transmission market power standard, cannot erect barriers to entry, and satisfied the Commission s concerns with regard to affiliate abuse. 110 FERC at PP 11-13. The reasons Idaho Power satisfied these three prongs of the market power analysis will not change because of the addition of Bennett Mountain: Idaho Power s OA TT remains on file; the facility will not create barriers to entry; and Idaho Power will continue to operate under the standard code of conduct. Magalie Roman-Salas, Secretary Federal Energy Regulatory Commission May 2, 2005 Page 5 Generation Market Power The addition of the Bennett Mountain facility s capacity will affect an analysis of Idaho Power s generation market power. The Change in Status Order did not require change in status filings to automatically include an updated market analysis, but stated that an MBR seller may provide such an analysis if it chooses. Order No. 652, 110 FERC at P 95. In order to explain the effect of this change in status on its generation market power, Idaho Power updated the generation market power study it performed to support its recent three-year MBR review. This updated study demonstrates that Idaho Power, after adding Bennett Mountain, still passes both of the Commission s market power screens in all relevant control areas. In its update of the generation market power study, Idaho Power performed the MSS and PSS screens for the Idaho Power control area and for each of its six first-tier adjacent control areas. The six first-tier adjacent control areas are A vista, Bonneville Power Administration BPA"), NorthWestern-Montana, PacifiCorp-East, PacifiCorp-West, and Sierra Pacific The Affidavit of Rodney Frame explains that this updated study used the same data sources and analytical techniques as the studies performed for three-year MBR review. For example, Mr. Frame once again used 2700 MW as the Simultaneous Import Limit ("SIL") into the Idaho Power control area for the summer peak and summer off-peak periods and 2750 MW as the SIL for the winter, spring, and fall seasons.3 Idaho Power s determination of these figures and other data sources are explained in the Sept. 27 Market Power Study, as modified and clarified in the Sept. 28 and Oct. 8 Supplements, the Jan. 19 Response , and the Feb. 17 Supplemental Response. As in the Jan. 19 Response, Idaho Power performed the MSS and PSS screens under two different assumptions regarding the capacity of thermal generating units. Mr. Frame made separate complete sets of calculations for each assumption. First, he used the generating units net maximum dependable capacity ("Net MDC"), which, as explained in the Jan. 19 Response 2 In its recent three-year MBR review , Idaho Power also performed the screen analyses for the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) control area, which is not directly connected with the Idaho Power control area, because an Idaho Power affiliate, Ida-West, owns generation in the CAISO control area. Idaho Power did not analyze the CAISO control area in this update because the Bennett Mountain facility, located in the Idaho Power control area, will not have any effect on the not-directly- interconnected CAISO control area. 3 Similarly, Mr. Frame, as in the study performed for the three-year review, used data provided by the operators of the first-tier adjacent control areas to calculate SILs for those areas or made conservative assumptions if Idaho Power lacked sufficient information to determine a control area s SIL. Magalie Roman-Salas, Secretary Federal Energy Regulatory Commission May 2, 2005 Page 6 properly measures the capacity of thermal generation resources. The results using the Net MDC are shown in Attachments 1-15 to Mr. Frame s Affidavit. In his second set of calculations, Mr. Frame used nameplate values, as directed by the Division Director s Dec. 20, 2004 letter. The results under the nameplate assumptions are shown in Attachments 16-30. In determining nameplate values, Mr. Frame continued to use the lower of a plant's generator or turbine nameplate rating. His calculations also reflect the Commission s order in Consumers Energy Co.109 FERC i 61 279 (2004). Other than the addition of Bennett Mountain to the data, the main change in the update of the market power study is that Mr. Frame used 2004 data for Idaho Power where available. Mr. Frame did not use 2004 information for suppliers other than Idaho Power because much of this 2004 data for other suppliers was not available. Attachments 1 and 16 summarize the results of Mr. Frame s analysis under each of the possible treatments of thermal generating capacity. In both cases, Idaho Power passes the PSS in all seven of the different control areas. Idaho Power passes the PSS easily because its uncommitted capacity as determined under the Commission s PSS methodology is very low in all cases. Idaho Power also passes the MSS in all control areas in all seasons regardless of the assumption regarding thermal generating capacity. A clear majority of the results do not even show Idaho Power s share of uncommitted capacity above ten percent. The closest any of the results come to twenty percent is Idaho Power s share of uncommitted capacity in the Idaho Power control area during the spring season using nameplate capacities for thermal generators. Even in this instance, Idaho Power s share is only 18.6 percent. Even though Bennett Mountain did affect Idaho Power s uncommitted capacity in these circumstances, the amount was small relative to the nearly two-thousand MWs of non-applicants' uncommitted capacity. Mr. Frame provides further details of the market power study in his affidavit, the attachments thereto, and in his workpapers. Magalie Roman-Salas, Secretary Federal Energy Regulatory Commission May 2, 2005 Page 7 IV.CONCLUSION Idaho Power respectfully requests that the Commission accept this notice of change in status. If you have any questions concerning this filing, please do not hesitate to contact theundersigned. Respectfully submitted 1;/1 Gary A. Morgans A. Hunter Hodges Steptoe & Johnson LLP 1330 Connecticut Avenue, N. Washington, D.C. 20036 (202) 429-6234 (202) 429-3902 (facsimile) Attorneys for Idaho Power Company Attachments TT A CHMENT A . AFFIDAVIT OF RODNEY FRAME UNITED STATES OF AMERICA BEFORE THE FEDERAL ENERGY REGULA TORY COMMISSION Idaho Power Company Docket No. ER97-1481-009 ADDITIONAL AFFIDAVIT OF RODNEY FRAME 1. I am a Managing Principal with Analysis Group, Inc. (Analysis Group), a consulting firm that provides microeconomic, strategy and financial analyses. On September 27, 2004, I submitted an affidavit to the Commission in this proceeding (September Affidavit) applying the Commission s pivotal supplier and wholesale market share screens to Idaho Power Company (Idaho Power) and its affiliates. Attachment 1 to the September Affidavit is a copy of my resume summarizing my background and qualifications. . On January 19, 2005 , in this same proceeding, I also submitted a supplemental affidavit to the Commission (January Affidavit) making two changes from the September Affidavit. One these changes involved using nameplate capacity values for thermal generators instead of the net maximum dependable capacity values that were used in September Affidavit. The other change involved the determination of native load levels for the wholesale market share screen. In my September Affidavit, I included weekends and NERC holidays in determining the lowest daily peak each season, while in the January Affidavit I excluded weekends and NERC holidays from this process. I also provided additional analysis, in response to a request from the Commission s staff, that reduced the amount of simultaneous import capability into the Idaho Power control area not only by the amount used to bring in Idaho Power s interests in remote generating stations, as was done in the September and January Affidavits, but also by the amount of short-term firm reservations held by Idaho Power. This additional analysis was provided to the Commission on February 17, 2005. On March 3 , 2005 , the Commission issued an order accepting Idaho Power s market screen analysis (110 FERC 1(61 219). 2. On April 1 2005, Idaho Power s new 173 MW (nameplate capacity) natural gas- fired Bennett Mountain peaking generation facility entered commercial operation. Because Bennett Mountain was not operational during the historical study year used, my prior affidavits in this proceeding did not include it as an Idaho Power resource. My current affidavit provides a revised market screen analysis to reflect the addition of Bennett Mountain to the Idaho Power bucket. 3. The data sources and analytical techniques used for the current affidavit are identical to those described in my prior affidavits in this proceeding, with the principal exception that Bennett Mountain has been added as a generation resource owned by Idaho Power. Also, because 2003 represented the latest year for which the full array of the necessary data were available, the prior affidavits used it as the study year. The current affidavit updates certain information about Idaho Power (e., pertaining to loads, transmission losses from remote owned generating resources, actual hydroelectric generation, planned outages of thermal generators and short-term firm transmission reservations) to reflect a 2004 study year. However, because much of the data to do so (e., concerning hourly loads and planned outages) were not available, I did not update to 2004 the information for suppliers other than Idaho Power. Paragraph 118 of the Commission s July 8 2004 Order on Rehearing in AEP Power Marketing, Inc., et al.108 FERC 026, allows the use of data from different time periods under appropriate circumstances. 4. As in my January Affidavit, I have presented the updated results incorporating Bennett Mountain under two different assumptions about how thermal generation amounts should be determined, one using net maximum dependable capacity values and the other using nameplate values.Attachment 1 to this affidavit summarizes the results when net maximum dependable capacity values are used. 1 The two methods differ only in the determination of the capacity values for thermal generators. Hydroelectric generators are valued based upon actual output levels achieved during the past five years. These actual output levels are not dependant upon whether the capacity value is determined from nameplate or net maximum dependable capacity ratings. As indicated there, Idaho Power passes the pivotal supplier screen for the Idaho Power control area and for each of the six control areas directly interconnected with the Idaho Power control area.2 As also indicated in Attachment 1 , Idaho Power passes the wholesale market share screen in the Idaho Power control area and in each of the six directly interconnected control areas, with market shares for each season in each market that are less than 20 percent.Attachments 2- provide the detailed pivotal supplier and wholesale market share screen results for each control area to support the Attachment (net maximum dependable capaci ty) summary. 5. Attachment 16 to this affidavit summarizes the results when nameplate values are used to determine the capacities of thermal generators. As indicated there, just as is true for Attachment 1 when net maximum dependable capacity values are used Idaho Power passes the pivotal supplier screen for the Idaho Power control area and for each of the six directly interconnected control areas when nameplate capacity values are used instead. As also indicated in Attachment 16 Idaho Power passes the wholesale market share screen in the Idaho Power control area and in each of the six directly interconnected control areas when nameplate capacity values are used. Idaho Power s market shares for each season in each market are always less than 20 percent. Attachments 17-30 provide the detailed pivotal supplier and wholesale market share screen results for each control area to support the Attachment 16 (nameplate capacity) summary. 6. The raw data used for the computations provided herein, including the information required by Appendix G of the Commission s Order in AEP Power 2 These six directly interconnected control areas are operated by A vista Corporation, the Bonneville Power Administration, NorthWestern Energy, PacifiCorp (which operates both the PacifiCorp-East and PacifiCorp- West control areas) and Sierra Pacific Power Company. Because an affiliate of Idaho Power owns generation there, my prior affidavits in this proceeding also included analyses of the control area operated by the California Independent System Operator (CAISO). I have not included analyses of the CAISO control area in this updated analysis because the CAISO control area is not directly interconnected with that of Idaho Power. Because there is no direct interconnection between Idaho Power and the CAISO control area, the addition of Bennett Mountain to the Idaho Power bucket will not change the CAISO results. Marketing, Inc., et al.107 FERC i 61 018 (2004), are contained in workpapers, which are being filed on two compact disks , one of which proprietary and one of which is not. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA BEFORE THE FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION Idaho Power Company Docket No. ER97-1481-009 Affidavit of Rodney Frame Rodney Frame, being first duly sworn, deposes and says that I am the Rodney Frame referred to in the above captioned affidavit, that I have read such affidavit and is familiar with the contents thereof; and that the contents of that document are true, correct accurate and complete to the best of my knowledge, information, and belief in this proceeding. Rodney Frame Subscribed and sworn to me before this 29th of April, 2005. ~r2h Richard Peeks Notary Public My Commission Expires December 14, 2006 Attachment 1 Summary of Results Using Net Maximum Dependable Capacities for Thermal Generators Pivotal Supplier Wholesale Marketshare Screen Control Area Screen (Less than 200/0 in all seasons to pass) Pass?Summer Fall Winter Spring Idaho Power YES 12.18. A vista YES 2.4% BPA YES NorthWestern-Montana YES 2.4%9.1%11.16.4% , PacifiCorp East YES 13. PacifiCorp West YES 2.3%9.4%17.4% Sierra Pacific YES 10.1%13.13. ANALYSIS GROUP, INC. Attachment 2 Pivotal Supplier Screen Idaho Power Control Area (Net Maximum Dependable Capacity) Notes / Sources Includes Idaho Power's control area hydro and thennal plants plus 100 percent ofldaho (1)Applicant's Control Area Generation 962 Power control area facilities jointly owned by Ida-West Energy. All hydro facilities derated to reflect five year average output levels. (2)Applicant's Imports 991 Idaho Powers interest in Boardman (56 MW), Bridger (707 MW) and Valmy (261 MW), adjusted to reflect losses to bring power to the Idaho Power control area. (3)Applicant's Control Area Load 512 Data provided by Idaho Power. Figure represents the average of the daily Idaho Power native load peak demands during July 2004. (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves 117 = 0.06 * ((I) + (2)) (5)Applicant's Long-Tenn Finn Sales Idaho Power (Load following sale to NorthWestern Energy). (6)Applicant's Uncommitted Capacity = Greater of(( I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 Platts BaseCase for units other than Lucky Peak, adjusted for the de-rating of non- (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 269 applicants' hydro units. Actual output data provided by Idaho Power used to derate SCL' Lucky Peak facility. 700 MW minus (a) Idaho Powers interest in remote units (Boardman (56 MW), Bridger (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 183 (707 MW) and Valmy (261 MW)), adjusted to reflect losses to bring power back to the Idaho Power control area, and (b) Idaho Powers additional finn reservations. (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 245 Data provided by Idaho Power. Figure represents the average of the daily non-applicants native load peak demands during July, 2004. (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves = 0.06 * (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long-Tenn Firm Sales Long-tenn sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored. (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 193 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (II)) or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Capacity 193 = (6) + (12) (14)Annual Peak Load 098 Data provided by Idaho Power. Figure represents hourly control area peak demand during 2004, which occurred on July 14. (15)Native Load "Proxy 757 Data provided by Idaho Power. Figure represents the average of daily Idaho Power control area native load peak demands during July 2004. (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 341 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 851 = (13) - (16) (18)(6) 0::: (17)?YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP, INc. At t a c h m e n t 3 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n Id a h o P o w e r C o n t r o l A r e a (N e t M a x i m u m D e p e n d a b l e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 98 6 90 2 04 9 15 2 Id a h o P o w e r s c o n t r o l a r e a t h e n n a l f a c i l i t i e s p l u s I d a h o P o w e r s a n d I d a - We s t ' s h y d r o e l e c t r i c fa c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e o u t p u t l e v e l s . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s 99 1 99 1 99 3 00 2 Id a h o P o w e r s r e m o t e g e n e r a t i o n l e s s l o s s e s r e q u i r e d t o b r i n g i t t o t h e I d a h o P o w e r c o n t r o l ar e a . (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 76 1 56 8 69 9 1,4 3 3 Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s 10 6 10 2 '" 0 . 06 . ( 3 ) (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 19 2 Id a h o P o w e r . D o e s n o t s e p a r a t e l y i n c l u d e p l a n n e d o u t a g e s f o r h y d r o u n i t s , w h i c h a r e a l r e a d y ac c o u n t e d f o r i n L i n e ( I ) . (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te r m F i n n S a l e s Id a h o P o w e r ( L o a d f o l l o w i n g s a l e t o N o r t h W e s t e r n E n e r g y ) . '" G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r O. T h e s e f i g u r e s p r o v i d e a m o d e s t (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 15 8 21 1 41 2 ov e r s t a t e m e n t o f t h e a m o u n t o f c a p a c i t y I d a h o P o w e r c o u l d s e l l i n w h o l e s a l e m a r k e t s t o t h e ex t e n t t h a t I d a h o P o w e r w o u l d n e e d t o c a n y o p e r a t i n g r e s e r v e s t o s u p p o r t a n y s u c h s a l e s . Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e f o r u n i t s o t h e r t h a n L u c k y P e a k , a d j u s t e d f o r t h e d e - r a t i n g o f n o n - a p p l i c a n t s (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 25 7 13 7 11 5 20 1 hy d r o u n i t s . A c t u a l o u t p u t d a t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r u s e d t o d e r a t e S C L ' s L u c k y P e a k fa c i l i t y . SI C o f 2 70 0 M W i n t h e s u m m e r a n d 2 , 75 0 M W i n a l l o t h e r s e a s o n s , m i n u s ( a ) I d a h o P o w e r (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s 17 2 50 0 57 0 77 8 re m o t e g e n e r a t i o n a d j u s t e d f o r p l a n n e d o u t a g e s a n d l o s s e s r e q u i r e d t o b r i n g t h a t r e m o t e ge n e r a t i o n t o t h e I d a h o P o w e r c o n t r o l a r e a , a n d ( b ) I d a h o P o w e r s a d d i t i o n a l f i n n r e s e r v a t i o n s . (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 18 6 11 7 13 6 Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (I I ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s '" 0 . 06 . ( 1 0 ) Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e f o r n o n - hy d r o u n i t s . P l a n n e d o u t a g e s o f h y d r o - u n i t s a l r e a d y a c c o u n t e d f o r i n (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s de r a t i n g f o r a v e r a g e o u t p u t l e v e l s . P l a n n e d o u t a g e s f o r t h e n n a l u n i t s a s s u m e d t o f o l l o w s a m e se a s o n a l p a t t e r n a s f o r I d a h o P o w e r . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te r m F i n n S a l e s Lo n g - te n n s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e a r e i g n o r e d . (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 23 2 51 2 54 2 88 0 '" G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - ( I I ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) or 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 12 . 18 . '" ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P , IN c . Attachment 4 Pivotal Supplier Screen A vista Control Area (Net Maximum Dependable Capacity) Notes / Sources (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation Idaho Power, (2)Applicant's Imports Based on Idaho Powers zero uncommitted capacity for the Pivotal Supplier Screen under the computational procedures of the April Order. (3)Applicant's Control Area Load Data provided by Idaho Power. (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in A vista Control Area Based on zero load obligation, (5)Applicant's Long-Term Firm Sales from Generation in Avista Control Area Idaho Power. (6)Applicant's Uncommitted Capacity = Greater of((I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 988 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels, (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 347 Avista, Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase, Figure (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 540 represents the average of the daily non-applicants' native load peak demands during July, 2002, (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves = 0,06 * (9) (II)Non-Applicants' Long-Term Firm Sales Long-term sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored, (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 703 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (I I)) or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Capacity 703 = (6) + (\2) (14)Annual Peak Load 822 Data for the year ending December 3 I , 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase. Figure represents hourly control area peak demand, which occurred on July 12 2002. Data for the year ending December 3 I, 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase. Figure (15)Native Load "Proxy 540 represents the average of daily Avista control area native load peak demands during July 2002, (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 282 = (14) - (\5) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 421 = (13) - (16) (\8)(6) 0( (17)?YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP, INC, At t a c h m e n t 5 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n A v i s t a Co n t r o l A r e a (N e t M a x i m u m D e p e n d a b l e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l I W i n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s (I ) I Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n Id a h o P o w e r . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s Pr o p o r t i o n a l a l l o c a t i o n o f s i m u l t a n e o u s i m p o r t c a p a b i l i t y i n t o t h e A v i s t c co n t r o l a r e a . (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n A v i s t a C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n . (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f o r G e n e r a t i o n i n A v i s t a C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o g e n e r a t i o n i n c o n t r o l a r e a . (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te r m F i r m S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n A v i s t a C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 98 5 95 4 04 2 14 2 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o u n i t s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e ou t p u t l e v e l s . (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' lm p o r t s 34 2 66 0 91 8 62 9 Pr o p o r t i o n a l a l l o c a t i o n o f s i m u l t a n e o u s i m p o r t c a p a b i l i t y i n t o t h e A vis t ~ co n t r o l a r e a . (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 25 9 30 8 43 8 33 0 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , b a s e d o n A v i s t a F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 , (I I ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s = 0 . 06 * ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 10 1 14 4 Av i s t a s F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 ad j u s t e d t o b a c k o u t h y d r o o u t a g e s . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te n n F i n n S a l e s Lo n g - te n n s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d th e r e f o r e a r e i g n o r e d . (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 93 2 12 6 35 6 21 6 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - ( I I ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 2. 4 % = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P . I N C . Attachment 6 Pivotal Supplier Screen BP A Control Area (Net Maximum Dependable Capacity) Notes / Sources (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation Idaho Powers 56 MW Boardman interest is located in the BP A control area. Figure represents entirety ofIdaho Powers uncommitted capacity (149 (2)Applicant's Imports MW) at the time ofBPA's annual peak (February) in excess of figure in Line (I) above, (3)Applicant's Control Area Load Idaho Power. (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in BP A Control Area Based on zero load obligation, (5)Applicant's Long-Term Firm Sales from Generation in BPA Control Area Idaho Power. (6)Applicant's Uncommitted Capacity 149 = Greater of ((I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 Thermal units: Platts BaseCase and BPA FERC Form 714. Hydro units: (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 902 Platts BaseCase and FERC Form 714, with hydro capacities derated to reflect five year average output levels. (8)Non-Applicants' Imports Conservatively assumed to be equal to zero, BPA FERC Form 714 for the year ending December 31 2003. Figure (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 231 represents the average of daily BP A control area native load peak demands during February 2003. (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves 362 05 * (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long-Term Firm Sales Long-term sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored, (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 309 = Greater of((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (11)) or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Capacity 5,458 = (6) + (12) BPA FERC Form 714 for the year ending December 31 2003. Figure ( 14)Annual Peak Load 443 represents hourly control area peak demand, which occurred on February 2003. BPA FERC Form 714 for the year ending December 31 2003. Figure (15)Native Load "Proxy 231 represents the average of daily BP A control area native load peak demands during February 2003. (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 212 =(14)-(15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 4,246 = (13) - (16) (18)(6)'::(17)1 YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP, INC At t a c h m e n t 7 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n BP A C o n t r o l Ar e a (N e t Ma x i m u m D e p e n d a b l e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s So u r c e s (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n Id a h o P o w e r ' s 5 6 M W B o a r d m a n i n t e r e s t i s l o c a t e d i n t h e B P A c o n t r o l a r e a . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s 10 4 15 6 37 8 As s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o t h e e n t i r e t y o f J d a h o P o w e r s u n c o m m i t t e d c a p a c i t y ( a d j u s t e d to a d d b a c k B o a r d m a n l o s s e s ) i n e x c e s s o f f i g u r e i n L i n e ( I ) a b o v e , (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n B P A C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n . (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O ~ t a g e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n B P A C o n t r o l A r e a Id a h o P o w e r , (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - T e n n F i n n S a l e s I T o m G e n e r a t i o n i n B P A C o n t r o l A r e a ' D a t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (7 ) ' Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 15 9 21 2 41 3 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) . ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - (5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 Th e n n a l u n i t s : P l a t t s B a s e C a s e a n d B P A F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 . H y d r o u n i t s : P l a t t s (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 13 , 89 7 11 , 33 8 13 , 71 4 21 4 Ba s e C a s e a n d F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 , w i t h h y d r o c a p a c i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r av e r a g e o u t p u t l e v e l s . (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s Co n s e r v a t i v e l y a s s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o z e r o . (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 79 7 25 4 43 5 70 0 BP A F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 2 0 0 3 . (1 1 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s 29 0 26 3 32 2 28 5 = 0 , 05 ' " ( 1 0 ) Hy d r o o u t a g e s a l r e a d y a c c o u n t e d f o r i n d e t e n n i n i n g L i n e ( 8 ) v a l u e . T h e n n a l o u t a g e s (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 58 3 as s u m e d t o b e z e r o i n t h e s u m m e r , f a l l a n d w i n t e r , P l a n n e d o u t a g e f a c t o r s f o r t h e n n a l un i t s a s s u m e d t o b e 1 0 p e r c e n t o n a n a n n u a l b a s i s a n d a p p l i e d t o s p r i n g o n l y , (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te n n F i n n S a l e s Lo n g - te n n s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e a r e i g n o r e d , (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 81 1 82 1 95 8 64 6 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - ( I I ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P , IN c . Attachment 8 Pivotal Supplier Screen NorthWestern-Montana Control Area (Net Maximum Dependable Capacity) Notes / Sources (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation Idaho Power, Lesser ofIdaho Power s Uncommitted Capacity (0 MW) and the TIC (2)Applicant's Imports value from Idaho Power control area to North Western-Montana control area (337 MW), (3)Applicant's Control Area Load Data provided by Idaho Power. (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in NorthWestern-Montana Control Area Based on zero load obligation, (5)Applicant's Long-Tenn Finn Sales from Generation in NorthWestern-Montana Idaho Power.Control Area (6)Applicant's Uncommitted Capacity = Greater of ((I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 916 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels, (8)Non-Applicants lmports Conservatively assumed to be equal to zero, Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 306 BaseCase, Figure represents the average of the daily non-applicants native load peak demands during July, 2002. (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves = 0,07 * (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long-Tenn Finn Sales Long-tenn sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored, (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 518 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (11)) or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Local Capacity 518 = (6) + (12) Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts (14)Annual Peak Load 467 BaseCase. Figure represents hourly control area peak demand, which occurred on July 12 2002. Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts (15)Native Load "Proxy 306 BaseCase. Figure represents the average of daily NorthWestern- Montana control area native load peak demands during July 2002. (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 161 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 357 = (13) - (16) (18)(6)-::(17)1 YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP, INC, At t a c h m e n t 9 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n No r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a C o n t r o l A r e a (N e t M a x i m u m D e p e n d a b l e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n Id a h o P o w e r . Le s s e r o f I d a h o P o w e r s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y a n d t h e TT C va l u e f r o m (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s 15 8 21 1 33 7 Id a h o P o w e r c o n t r o l a r e a t o N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a c o n t r o l a r e a ( 3 3 7 MW ) . (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n , (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f o r G e n e r a t i o n i n N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o g e n e r a t i o n i n c o n t r o l a r e a . (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te n n F i n n S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a C o n t r o l Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . Ar e a (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 15 8 21 1 33 7 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r a (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 01 4 73 4 79 7 98 8 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o f a c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e ou t p u t l e v e l s . (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s Im p o r t s Co n s e r v a t i v e l y a s s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o ze r o . (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 08 4 03 6 13 6 04 1 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e ( b a s e d o n N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 ) , (I I ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s = 0 . 07 * ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 15 9 No r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 , a d j u s t e d t o b a c k o u t h y d r o o u t a g e s . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - T e n n F i n n S a l e s Lo n g - te n n s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e at e i g n o r e d . (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 82 6 57 5 57 2 71 5 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( l 0 ) - ( I I ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( l 3 ) ) o r O (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 2.4 % 11 , 16 . 4 % = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P , I N C , Attachment 10 Pivotal Supplier Screen PacifiCorp East Control Area (Net Maximum Dependable Capacity) Notes / Sources Idaho Power's 707 MW Bridger interest is located in the PacifiCorp East control area. However, at the peak demand time used for the Pivotal Supplie (I )Applicant's Control Area Generation Screen, Idaho Power's Bridger interest is used to serve Idaho Power's native load and therefore, because Idaho Power has no uncommitted capacity then is not available to the PacifiCorp East control area, (2) Applicant's Imports Zero, based on zero uncommitted capacity, ~3) Applicant's Control Area Load Idaho Power. (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in PacifiCorp East Control Area Based on zero load obligation, (5)Applicant's Long-Tenn Finn Sales horn Generation in PacifiCorp East Control Area See Line (I) above. (6)Applicant's Uncommitted Capacity = Greater of ((I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 582 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels, Conservatively assumed to be equal to remote generation resources included (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 083 in PacifiCorps Integrated Resource Plan and PacifiCorp East FERC Fonn 714, Peak demand taken horn PacifiCorp East FERC Fonn 714 for the year (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 005 ending December 31, 2003, Load shape taken from Platts BaseCase for PacifiCorp Planning Area, (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves 420 = 0.07 * (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long- Tenn Finn Sales Long-tenn sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored, (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 239 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (11)) or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Capacity 239 = (6) + (12) (14)Annual Peak Load 757 PacifiCorp East FERC Fonn 714 for the year ending December 31, 2003. Peak demand taken horn PacifiCorp East FERC Fonn 714 for the year (15)Native Load "Proxy 005 ending December 31, 2003, Load shape taken from Platts BaseCase for PacifiCorp Planning Area. (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 752 =(14)-(15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 488 =(13)-(16) (18)(6)-::(17)?YES(If "YES".. Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP. INc. At t a c h m e n t 1 1 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n Pa c i f i C o r p E a s t C o n t r o l A r e a (N e t M a x i m u m D e p e n d a b l e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s Id a h o P o w e r s 7 0 7 M W B r i d g e r i n t e r e s t i s l o c a t e d i n t h e P a c i f i C o r p E a s t co n t r o l a r e a b u t i s u s e d t o s e r v e I d a h o P o w e r s n a t i v e l o a d , F i g u r e (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 18 7 23 7 53 8 re p r e s e n t s l e s s e r o f 7 0 7 M W a n d I d a h o P o w e r s u n c o m m i t t e d c a p a c i t y (a d j u s t e d t o a d d b a c k B r i d g e r l o s s e s ) f o r s e a s o n c o m p u t e d a c c o r d i n g t o pr o c e d u r e s i n t h e Ap r i l O r d e r . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s Fi g u r e r e p r e s e n t s e n t i r e t y o f I d a h o P o w e r s u n c o m m i t t e d c a p a c i t y i n e x c e s s of f i g u r e i n L i n e ( I ) a b o v e , (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Id a h o P o w e r , (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n P a c i f i C o r p E a s t C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n , (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n P a c i f i C o r p E a s t C o n t r o l A r e a 10 8 Id a h o P o w e r , (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t s L o n g - Te r m F i r m S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n P a c i f i C o r p E a s t C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 18 7 23 7 43 0 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + (2 ) . ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 58 1 53 2 53 2 56 2 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o f a c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e ou t p u t l e v e l s , Co n s e r v a t i v e l y a s s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o r e m o t e g e n e r a t i o n r e s o u r c e s i n c l u d e d (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s 08 3 08 3 08 3 08 3 in P a c i f i C o r p s I n t e g r a t e d R e s o u r c e P l a n a n d P a c i f i C o r p E a s t F E R C F o r m 71 4 , Pe a k d e m a n d t a k e n f r o m P a c i f i C o r p E a s t F E R C F o r m 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 83 9 85 2 02 0 62 0 en d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 , L o a d s h a p e t a k e n f r o m P l a t t s B a s e C a s e f o r Pa c i f i C o r p P l a n n i n g A r e a , (I I ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s 33 9 34 0 35 1 32 3 = 0 , 07 * ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 14 8 Pa c i f i C o r p E a s t ' s F E R C F o r m 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 2 0 0 3 , ad j u s t e d t o b a c k o u t h y d r o o u t a g e s . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te r m F i r m S a l e s Lo n g - te r m s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e a r e ig n o r e d , (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 48 3 27 5 19 7 68 3 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( ! O ) - ( I I ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r O (I S ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 13 , = ( 7 ) 1( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P IN C , Attachment 12 Pivotal Supplier Screen PacifiCorp West Control Area (Net Maximum Dependable Capacity) Notes / Sources (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation Idaho Power. Lesser of Idaho Power s uncommitted capacity at the time of the peak (0 (2)Applicant's Imports MW) and the TTC value from the Idaho Power control area to the PacifiCorp West control area (I ,587 MW). (3)Applicant's Control Area Load Idaho Power. (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in PacifiCorp West Control Area Based on zero load obligation, (5)Applicant's Long-Term Firm Sales from Generation in PacifiCorp West Control Idaho Power,Area f-- (6)Applicants Unconunitted C~pacity = Greater of ((I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 272 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels. Conservatively assumed to be equal to the sum of 1 410 MW firm path for (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 817 Bridger through Idaho Power to PacifiCorp West and 1 407 MW of firm purchases from BP A Peak demand taken from PacifiCorp West FERC Form 714 for the year (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 647 ending December 3 I, 2003. Load shape taken from Platts Base case for PacifiCorp Planning Area, (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves 255 = 0,07 * (9) (I I J Non-Applicants' Long-Term Firm Sales Long-term sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored. (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 187 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (II)) or (13)Total Unconunitted Capacity 187 = (6) + (12) (14)Annual Peak Load 103 PacifiCorp West FERC Form 714 for the year ending December 31, 2003, Peak demand taken from PacifiCorp West FERC Form 714 for the year (15)Native Load "Proxy 647 ending December 31, 2003. Load shape taken from Platts BaseCase for PacifiCorp Planning Area, (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 456 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Unconunitted Supply 731 = (13) - (16) (18)(6) -::: (17)?YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP. INc. At t a c h m e n t 1 3 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n Pa c i f i C o r p W e s t C o n t r o l A r e a (N e t M a x i m u m D e p e n d a b l e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n Id a h o P o w e r . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s 15 8 21 I 41 2 Le s s e r o f I d a h o , P o w e r s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y a n d t h e T I C v a l u e f r o m Id a h o P o w e r c o n t r o l a r e a t o P a c i f i C o r p W e s t c o n t r o l a r e a ( 1 58 7 M W ) , (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n P a c i f i C o r p W e s t C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n , (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n P a c i f i C o r p W e s t C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o g e n e r a t i o n i n c o n t r o l a r e a , (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te r m F i r m S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n P a c i f i C o r p W e s t C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 15 8 21 1 41 2 = G r e a t e r of a l ) + ( 2 ) - (3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 28 9 29 9 46 6 52 4 Pla t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o f a c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e ou t p u t l e v e l s . Co n s e r v a t i v e l y a s s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o t h e s u m o f 1 41 0 M W f i r m p a t h f o r (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s 81 7 81 7 81 7 81 7 Br i d g e r t h r o u g h I d a h o P o w e r t o P a c i f i C o r p W e s t a n d 1 , 40 7 M W o f f i r m pu r c h a s e s f r o m B P A . Pe a k d e m a n d t a k e n f r o m P a c i f i C o r p W e s t F E R C F o r m 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 93 9 94 6 04 8 80 5 en d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 , L o a d s h a p e t a k e n f r o m P l a t t s B a s e C a s e f o r Pa c i f i C o r p P l a n n i n g A r e a , (I I ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s 20 6 20 6 21 3 19 6 = 0 . 07 * ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 12 0 37 8 Pa c i f i C o r p W e s t F E R C F o r m 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 2 0 0 3 ad j u s t e d t o b a c k o u t h y d r o o u t a g e s . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te r m F i r m S a l e s Lo n g - te r m s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e ar e i g n o r e d . (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 84 2 90 9 02 1 96 0 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - ( I I ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 2. 3 % 9.4 % 17 . 4 % = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P , IN C , Attachment 14 Pivotal Supplier Screen Sierra Pacific Control Area (Net Maximum Dependable Capacity) Notes / Sources Idaho Powers 261 MW Valmy interest is located in the Sierra Pacific control (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation area, However, at the peak demand time used for the Pivotal Supplier Screen Idaho Powers Valmy interest is used to serve Idaho Power's native load and therefore is not available to the Sierra Pacific control area, ~l Ap,lk..",I..,..,Based on zero uncommitted capacity, Idaho Power,13) I Applicant's Control Area Load -- +___M AppI;'M", """,Un. R~ fw"'" ;" S"", PKffi, Coo'" Are.Based on zero load obligation. (5) Applicant's Long-Term Firm Sales from Generation in Sierra Pacific Control See Line (I) above.Area -- -,--, (6)Applicants Uncommitted Capacity = Greater of ((I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 650 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels. (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 000 Sierra Pacific OASIS, Data for the year ending December 31 , 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase, Figure (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 557 represents the average of the daily non-applicants' native load peak demands during July, 2002. (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves 109 = 0,07 * (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long-Term Firm Sales Long-term sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored, (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 983 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (II)) or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Capacity 983 = (6) + (12) (14)Annual Peak Load 737 Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase, Figure represents hourly control area peak demand, which occurred on July 10,2002, Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase. Figure (15)Native Load "Proxy 557 represents the average of daily Sierra Pacific control area native load peak demands during July 2002, (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 180 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 804 = (13) - (16) (18)(6)-=:(17)1 YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GRoUP,INc. At t a c h m e n t 1 5 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n Si e r r a P a c i f i c C o n t r o l A r e a (N e t Ma x i m u m D e p e n d a b l e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s Id a h o P o w e r ' s 2 6 1 M W V a l m y i n t e r e s t i s l o c a t e d i n t h e S i e r r a P a c i f i c c o n t r o l a r e a (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 16 1 21 4 26 1 bu t i s u s e d t o s e r v e I d a h o P o w e r s n a t i v e l o a d , F i g u r e r e p r e s e n t s l e s s e r o f 2 6 1 MW a n d I d a h o P o w e r ' s u n c o m m i t t e d c a p a c i t y ( a d j u s t e d t o a d d b a c k V a l m y lo s s e s ) . Pr o p o r t i o n a l a l l o c a t i o n o f 1 , 00 0 M W s i m u l t a n e o u s i m p o r t c a p a b i l i t y i n t o S i e r r a (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s Pa c i f i c c o n t r o l a r e a t a k e n f r o m S i e r r a P a c i f i c O A S I S b a s e d o n u n c o m m i t t e d ca p a c i t y . (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n S i e r r a P a c i f i c C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n , (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f o r G e n e r a t i o n i n S i e r r a P a c i f i c C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a f r o m I d a h o P o w e r u s e d f o r V a l m y o u t a g e s , (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - T e n n F i r m S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n S i e r r a P a c i f i c C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 16 1 21 4 20 9 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) . ( 4 ) . ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 65 0 70 8 70 3 70 3 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o f a c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e o u t p u t le v e l s . Pr o p o r t i o n a l a l l o c a t i o n o f 1 00 0 M W s i m u l t a n e o u s i m p o r t c a p a b i l i t y i n t o S i e r r a (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s 00 0 00 0 00 0 98 8 Pa c i f i c c o n t r o l a r e a t a k e n f r o m S i e r r a P a c i f i c O A S I S b a s e d o n u n c o m m i t t e d ca p a c i t y . (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 26 5 19 9 26 8 18 4 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e . (1 1 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s = 0 , 07 ' " ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s Si e r r a P a c i f i c F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 , p l u s pr o p o r t i o n a l s h a r e o f V a l m y o u t a g e s p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te r m F i r m S a l e s Lo n g - te r m s a l e s a s s w n e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e a r e ig n o r e d . (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 29 7 42 5 34 1 36 3 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) . ( 1 0 ) - ( 1 1 ) . ( 1 2 ) - (1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 10 , 13 , 13 . = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P , IN C , Attachment 16 Summary of Results Using Nameplate Capacities for Thermal Generators Pivotal Supplier Wholesale Marketshare Screen Control Area Screen (Less than 200/0 in all seasons to pass) Pass?Summer Fall Winter Spring Idaho Power YES 10.4%12.18. Avista YES 2.4%4.4% BPA YES 2.4% NorthWestern-Montana YES 11.4%15. PacifiCorp East YES 12. PacifiCorp West YES 10.17. Sierra Pacific YES 4.4%11.14.13. ANALYSIS GROUP, INc. Attachment 17 Pivotal Supplier Screen Idaho Power Control Area (Nameplate Capacity) Notes / Sources Includes Idaho Powers control area hydro and thennal plants plus 100 percent of Idaho (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation 960 Power control area facilities jointly owned by Ida-West Energy. All hydro facilities derated to reflect five year average output levels, -'- (2)Applicant's Imports 007 Idaho Powers interest in Boardman (59 MW), Bridger (720 MW) and Valmy (261 MW), adjusted to reflect losses to bring power to the Idaho Power control area, (3)Applicant's Control Area Load 512 Data provided by Idaho Power. Figure represents the average of the daily Idaho Power native load peak demands during July 2004. --- (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves 118 = 0,06 * ((I) + (2)) I-- (5)Applicant's Long-Tenn Finn Sales Idaho Power (Load following sale to NorthWestern Energy). (6)Applicant's Uncommitted Capacity = Greater of ((I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 Platts BaseCase for units other than Lucky Peak, adjusted for the de-rating of non- (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 274 applicants' hydro units, Actual output data provided by Idaho Power used to derate SCL' Lucky Peak facility, 700 MW minus (a) Idaho Powers interest in remote units (Boardman (59 MW), Bridger (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 167 (720 MW) and Valmy (261 MW)), adjusted to reflect losses to bring power back to the Idaho Power control area, and (b) Idaho Powers additional finD reservations. (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 245 Data provided by Idaho Power. Figure represents the average of the daily non-applicants' native load peak demands during July, 2004, (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves = 0,06 * (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long-Tenn Finn Sales Long-tenn sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored. (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 181 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (11)) orO (13)Total Uncommitted Capacity 181 = (6) + (12) (14)Annual Peak Load 098 Data provided by Idaho Power. Figure represents hourly control area peak demand during 2004, which occurred on July 14. (15)Native Load "Proxy 757 Data provided by Idaho Power. Figure represents the average of daily Idaho Power control area native load peak demands during July 2004. (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 341 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 840 =(13)-(16) (18)(6)':::(17)?YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GRoUPlNC, At t a c h m e n t 1 8 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n Id a h o P o w e r C o n t r o l A r e a (N a m e p l a t e C a p a c i t y ) Su n u n e r T Fa n Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 98 5 90 1 04 7 15 0 Id a h o P o w e r s c o n t r o l a r e a t h e n n a l f a c i l i t i e s p l u s I d a h o P o w e r s a n d I d a - We s t ' s h y d r o e l e c t r i c fa c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e o u t p u t l e v e l s . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t s I m p o r t s 00 8 00 7 00 9 01 8 Id a h o P o ~ e r s r e m o t e g e n e r a t i o n l e s s l o s s e s r e q u i r e d t o b r i n g i t t o t h e I d a h o P o w e r c o n t r o l ar e a , (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 76 1 56 8 69 9 1,4 3 3 Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s 10 6 10 2 = 0 , 06 ' " ( 3 ) (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 19 2 Id a h o P o w e r , D o e s n o t s e p a r a t e l y i n c l u d e p l a n n e d o u t a g e s f o r h y d r o u n i t s , w h i c h a r e a l r e a d y ac c o u n t e d f o r i n L i n e ( I ) , (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te n n F i n n S a l e s Id a h o P o w e r ( L o a d f o l l o w i n g s a l e t o N o r t h W e s t e r n E n e r g y ) , = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 , T h e s e f i g u r e s p r o v i d e a m o d e s t (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 17 3 22 5 42 7 ov e r s t a t e m e n t o f t h e a m o u n t o f c a p a c i t y I d a h o P o w e r c o u l d s e l l i n w h o l e s a l e m a r k e t s t o t h e ex t e n t t h a t I d a h o P o w e r w o u l d n e e d t o ca n o y o p e r a t i n g r e s e r v e s t o s u p p o r t a n y s u c h s a l e s , Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e f o r u n i t s o t h e r t h a n L u c k y P e a k , a d j u s t e d f o r t h e d e - r a t i n g o f n o n - a p p l i c a n t s (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 26 2 13 7 11 5 20 1 hy d r o u n i t s , A c t u a l o u t p u t d a t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r u s e d t o d e r a t e S C L ' s L u c k y P e a k fa c i l i t y , SI C o f 2 70 0 M W i n t h e s u m m e r a n d 2 75 0 M W i n a l l o t h e r s e a s o n s , m i n u s ( a ) I d a h o P o w e r (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s 15 6 48 3 55 4 76 2 re m o t e g e n e r a t i o n a d j u s t e d f o r p l a n n e d o u t a g e s a n d l o s s e s r e q u i r e d t o b r i n g t h a t r e m o t e ge n e r a t i o n t o t h e I d a h o P o w e r c o n t r o l a r e a , a n d ( b ) I d a h o P o w e r s a d d i t i o n a l f i n D r e s e r v a t i o n s , (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 18 6 11 7 13 6 Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (1 1 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s =0 , 06 " ' (1 0 ) Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e f o r n o n - hy d r o u n i t s , P l a n n e d o u t a g e s o f h y d r o - u n i t s a l r e a d y a c c o u n t e d f o r i n (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s de r a t i n g f o r a v e r a g e o u t p u t l e v e l s . P l a n n e d o u t a g e s f o r t h e n n a l u n i t s a s s u m e d t o f o l l o w s a m e se a s o n a l p a t t e r n a s f o r I d a h o P o w e r . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te r m F i n n S a l e s Lo n g - te n n s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e a r e i g n o r e d , (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 22 0 1, 4 9 5 52 5 86 4 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - ( I I ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 10 . 4 % 12 , 18 , = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P , I N c . Attachment 19 Pivotal Supplier Screen A vista Control Area (Nameplate Capacity) Notes / Sources (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation Idaho Power. ~-- P:h Applicant's Imports Based on Idaho Powers zero uncommitted capacity for the Pivotal Supplier Screen under the computational procedures of the April Order, (3)Applicants Control Area Load Data provided by Idaho Power. ---, (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in Avista Control Area Based on zero load obligation. (5)Applicant's Long-Tenn Finn Sales from Generation in Avista Control Area Idaho Power. (6)Applicant's Uncommitted Capacity = Greater of ((1),+ (2) -(3) - (4) - (5))orO (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 036 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels. (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 347 Avista. Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase, Figure (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 540 represents the average of the daily non-applicants' native load peak demands during July, 2002, (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves = 0,06 * (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long-Tenn Finn Sales Long-tenn sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored, (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 750 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (II)) or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Capacity 750 = (6) + (12) (14)Annual Peak Load 822 Data for the year ending December 31 , 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase, Figure represents hourly control area peak demand, which occurred on July 12 2002. Data for the year ending December 31 , 2002 taken fTom Platts BaseCase, Figure (15)Native Load "Proxy 540 represents the average of daily Avista control area native load peak demands during July 2002. (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 282 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 468 = (13) - (16) (18)(6)~(l7)?YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP, INC, At t a c h m e n t 2 0 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n A v i s t a Co n t r o l A r e a (N a m e p l a t e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n Id a h o P o w e r . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s Pr o p o r t i o n a l a l l o c a t i o n o f s i m u l t a n e o u s i m p o r t c a p a b i l i t y i n t o t h e A vi s t a co n t r o l a r e a . (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m w n D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n A v i s t a C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n . (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f o r G e n e r a t i o n i n A v i s t a C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o g e n e r a t i o n i n c o n t r o l a r e a . (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te r m F i r m S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n A v i s t a C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 03 3 93 9 02 7 12 7 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o u n i t s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e ou t p u t l e v e l s , (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s 34 1 66 1 92 0 63 3 Pr o p o r t i o n a l a l l o c a t i o n o f s i m u l t a n e o u s i m p o r t c a p a b i l i t y i n t o t h e A vi s t a co n t r o l a r e a . (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 25 9 30 8 1, 4 3 8 33 0 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , b a s e d o n A v i s t a F E R C F o l i n 7 1 4 . (I I ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s = 0 . 06 * ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 10 1 14 4 A v i s t a s F E R C F o r m 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 2 0 0 3 ad j u s t e d t o b a c k o u t h y d r o o u t a g e s . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te r m F i r m S a l e s Lo n g - t e r m s a l e s a s s w n e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d th e r e f o r e a r e i g n o r e d , (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 97 9 11 2 34 3 20 6 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - ( 1 1 ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 2.4 % 4.4 % = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P IN C , Attachment 21 Pivotal Supplier Screen BP A Control Area (Nameplate Capacity) Notes / Sources (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation Idaho Power's 59 MW Boardman interest is located in the BP A control area. Figure represents entirety ofIdaho Powers uncommitted capacity (164 (2)Applicant's Imports 105 MW) at the time ofBP A's annual peak (February) in excess offigure in Line (I) above. (3)Applicant's Control Area Load Idaho Power, --- (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in BP A Control Area Based on zero load obligation, (5)Applicant's Long-Tenn Finn Sales from Generation in BPA Control Area Idaho Power. (6)Applicant's Uncommitted Capacity 164 = Greater of ((1) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 Thennal units: Platts BaseCase and BPA FERC Fonn 714. Hydro units: (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 032 Platts BaseCase and FERC Fonn 714, with hydro capacities derated to reflect five year average output levels. (8)Non-Applicants' Imports Conservatively assumed to be equal to zero, BPA FERC Fonn 714 for the year ending December 31 2003, Figure (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 231 represents the average of daily BP A control area native load peak demands during February 2003. (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves 362 = 0,05 * (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long- Tenn Finn Sales Long-tenn sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored. (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 440 = Greater of((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (lID or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Capacity 604 = (6) + (12) BPA FERC Fonn 714 for the year ending December 31, 2003, Figure (14)Annual Peak Load 443 represents hourly control area peak demand, which OCCUlTed on February , 2003. BPA FERC Fonn 714 for the year ending December 31, 2003. Figure (15)Native Load "Proxy 231 represents the average of daily BP A control area native load peak demands during February 2003. (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 212 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 391 = (13) - (16) (18)(6)":: (17)?YES(1f"YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP, INC, At t a c h m e n t 2 2 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n BP A C o n t r o l Ar e a (N a m e p l a t e Ca p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n Id a h o P o w e r s 5 9 M W B o a r d m a n i n t e r e s t i s l o c a t e d i n t h e B P A c o n t r o l a r e a . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s 11 5 16 8 39 0 As s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o t h e e n t i r e t y o f I d a h o P o w e r s u n c o m m i t t e d c a p a c i t y ( a d j u s t e d to a d d b a c k B o a r d m a n l o s s e s ) i n e x c e s s o f f i g u r e i n L i n e ( I ) a b o v e . (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n B P A C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n , (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n B P A C o n t r o l A r e a Id a h o P o w e r , (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te t m F i t m S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n B P A C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 17 4 22 7 42 8 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r a Th e t m a l u n i t s : P l a t t s B a s e C a s e a n d B P A F E R C F o t m 7 1 4 . H y d r o u n i t s : P l a t t s (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 15 , 02 8 46 9 84 5 15 , 34 5 Ba s e C a s e a n d F E R C F o t m 7 1 4 , w i t h h y d r o c a p a c i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r av e r a g e o u t p u t l e v e l s , (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s Co n s e r v a t i v e l y a s s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o z e r o . (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 79 7 25 4 43 5 70 0 BP A F E R C F o t m 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 . (1 1 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s 29 0 26 3 32 2 28 5 = 0 , 05 . . . ( 1 0 ) Hy d r o o u t a g e s a l r e a d y a c c o u n t e d f o r i n d e t e n n i n i n g L i n e ( 8 ) v a l u e . T h e t m a l o u t a g e s (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 58 3 as s u m e d t o b e z e r o i n t h e s u m m e r , f a l l a n d w i n t e r . P l a n n e d o u t a g e f a c t o r s f o r t h e t m a l un i t s a s s u m e d t o b e 1 0 p e r c e n t o n a n a n n u a l b a s i s a n d a p p l i e d t o s p r i n g o n l y , (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te t m F i t m S a l e s Lo n g - te t m s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e a r e i g n o r e d . (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 94 1 95 2 08 8 77 7 = G r e a t e r o f U 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - ( 1 1 ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 2. 4 % = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P . IN C , Attachment 23 Pivotal Supplier Screen NorthWestern-Montana Control Area (Nameplate Capacity) Notes / Sources (1 )Applicant's Control Area Generation Idaho Power. --- Lesser ofldaho Power's Uncommitted Capacity (0 MW) and the TTC (2)Applicant's Imports value from Idaho Power control area to NorthWestern-Montana control area (337 MW). (3)Applicant's Control Area Load Data provided by Idaho Power. (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in NorthWestern-Montana Control Area Based on zero load obligation, (5)Applicant's Long-Term Firm Sales from Generation in NorthWestern-Montana Idaho Power.Control Area (6)Applicant's Uncommitted Capacity = Greater of ((1) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 105 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels, (8)Non-Applicants' Imports Conservatively assumed to be equal to zero, Data for the year ending DecembeT 31, 2002 taken from Platts (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 306 BaseCase. Figure represents the average of the daily non-applicants native load peak demands during July, 2002, (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves = 0,07 * (9) (II)Non-Applicants' Long-Term Firm Sales Long-term sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored. (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 707 = Greater of((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (II)) or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Local Capacity 707 =(6)+(12) Data for the year ending December 31 , 2002 taken from Platts (14)Annual Peak Load 467 BaseCase, Figure represents hourly control area peak demand, which occurred on July 12 2002, Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts (15)Native Load "Proxy 306 BaseCase. Figure represents the average of daily NorthWestern- Montana control area native load peak demands during July 2002, (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 161 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 546 =(13)-(16) (18)(6)-:::(l7)?YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP, INC, At t a c h m e n t 2 4 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n No r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a C o n t r o l A r e a (N a m e p l a t e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n Id a h o P o w e r . Le s s e r o f I d a h o P o w e r s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y a n d t h e T T C v a l u e f r o m (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s 17 3 22 5 33 7 Id a h o P o w e r c o n t r o l a r e a t o N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a c o n t r o l a r e a ( 3 3 7 MW ) . (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a C o n t r o l A r e a ' 0 Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n . (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f o r G e n e r a t i o n i n N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o g e n e r a t i o n i n c o n t r o l a r e a , (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te n n F i n n S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a C o n t r o l Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , Ar e a (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 17 3 22 5 33 7 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 20 3 91 6 97 9 17 0 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o f a c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e ou t p u t l e v e l s . (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' Im p o r t s Co n s e r v a t i v e l y a s s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o z e r o , (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 08 4 03 6 13 6 04 1 Pla t t s B a s e C a s e ( b a s e d o n N o r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 ) . (I I ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s = 0 , 07 . ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 15 9 No r t h W e s t e r n - Mo n t a n a F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 , a d j u s t e d t o b a c k o u t h y d r o o u t a g e s . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te n n F i n n S a l e s Lo n g - te n n s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e ar e i g n o r e d , (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 01 5 75 7 75 4 89 6 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - ( I I ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 11 . 4 % 15 . = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P . IN C , Attachment 25 Pivotal Supplier Screen PacifiCorp East Control Area (Nameplate Capacity) Notes / Sources Idaho Power s 720 MW Bridger interest is located in the PacifiCorp East control area, However, at the peak demand time used for the Pivotal Supplie (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation Screen, Idaho Power's Bridger interest is used to serve Idaho Power's native load and therefore, because Idaho Power has no uncommitted capacity then is not available to the PacifiCorp East control area. (2)Applicant s Imports Zero, based on zero uncommitted capacity. (3)Applicant's Control Area Load Idaho Power, (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in PacifiCorp East Control Area Based on zero load obligation. (5)Applicant's Long-Term Firm Sales nom Generation in PacifiCorp East Control Area See Line (I) above, (6)Applicant s Uncommitted Capacity = Greater of ((I) + (2) - (3) - (4)'- (5)) or 0 (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 990 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels. Conservatively assumed to be equal to remote generation resources included (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 083 in PacifiCorp s Integrated Resource Plan and PacifiCorp East FERC Form 714, Peak demand taken nom PacifiCorp East FERC Form 714 for the year (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 005 ending December 31, 2003, Load shape taken from Platts BaseCase for PacifiCorp Planning Area, (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves 420 = 0,07 * (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long-Term Firm Sales Long-term sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored. (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 647 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (II)) or 0 (13)Total Uncommitted Capacity 647 = (6) + (12) (14)Annual Peak Load 757 PacifiCorp East FERC Form 714 for the year ending December 31,2003. Peak demand taken nom PacifiCorp East FERC Form 714 for the year (15)Native Load "Proxy 005 ending December 31, 2003, Load shape taken nom Platts BaseCase for PacifiCorp Planning Area, (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 752 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 896 = (13) - (16) (18)(6) -( (17J?YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GROUP,INC, At t a c h m e n t 2 6 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n Pa c i f i C o r p E a s t C o n t r o l A r e a (N a m e p l a t e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s Id a h o P o w e r s 7 2 0 M W B r i d g e r i n t e r e s t i s l o c a t e d i n t h e P a c i f i C o r p E a s t co n t r o l a r e a b u t i s u s e d t o s e r v e I d a h o P o w e r s n a t i v e l o a d , F i g u r e (I ) Ap p l i c a n t s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 20 1 25 2 55 2 re p r e s e n t s l e s s e r o f 7 2 0 M W a n d I d a h o P o w e r s u n c o m m i t t e d c a p a c i t y (a d j u s t e d t o a d d b a c k B r i d g e r l o s s e s ) f o r s e a s o n c o m p u t e d a c c o r d i n g t o pro c e d u r e s i n t h e Ap r i l O r d e r . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s Fig u r e r e p r e s e n t s e n t i r e t y o f I d a h o P o w e r s u n c o m m i t t e d c a p a c i t y i n e x c e s s of f i g u r e i n L i n e ( I ) a b o v e , (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Id a h o P o w e r . (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n P a c i f i C o r p E a s t C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n , (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n P a c i f i C o r p E a s t C o n t r o l A r e a 10 8 Id a h o P o w e r , (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te n n F i r m S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n P a c i f i C o r p E a s t C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 20 1 25 2 44 5 "" G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) or 0 (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 98 9 91 2 91 2 94 2 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o f a c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e ou t p u t l e v e l s , Co n s e r v a t i v e l y a s s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o r e m o t e g e n e r a t i o n r e s o u r c e s i n c l u d e d (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s 08 3 08 3 08 3 08 3 in P a c i f i C o r p s I n t e g r a t e d R e s o u r c e P l a n a n d P a c i f i C o r p E a s t F E R C F o n n 71 4 , Pe a k d e m a n d t a k e n f r o m P a c i f i C o r p E a s t F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 83 9 85 2 02 0 62 0 en d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 , L o a d s h a p e t a k e n f r o m P l a t t s B a s e C a s e f o r Pa c i f i C o r p P l a n n i n g A r e a . (I I ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s 33 9 34 0 35 1 32 3 "" 0 . 07 * ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 14 8 Pa c i f i C o r p E a s t ' s F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 , ad j u s t e d t o b a c k o u t h y d r o o u t a g e s . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - T e n n F i r m S a l e s Lo n g - te n n s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e a r e ig n o r e d . (I 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 89 1 65 5 57 7 06 3 "" G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - (I I ) - ( ) 2) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 12 . "" ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P . I N C , Attachment 27 Pivotal Supplier Screen PacifiCorp West Control Area (Nameplate Capacity) Notes / Sources (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation Idaho Power. f--- - --- Lesser of Idaho Power s uncommitted capacity at the time of the peak (0 (2)Applicant's Imports MW) and the TTC value from the Idaho Power control area to the PacifiCorp West control area (1 587 MW), (3)Applicant's Control Area Load Idaho Power, 0-- (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in PacifiCorp West Control Area Based on zero load obligation. (5)Applicant's Long-Tenn Finn Sales from Generation in PacifiCorp West Control Idaho Power.Area (6)Applicant's Unconunitted Capacity = Greater of ((I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5)) or 0 (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 316 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels, Conservatively assumed to be equal to the sum of 1 410 MW finn path for (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 817 Bridger through Idaho Power to PacifiCorp West and 1 407 MW of finn purchases from BP A. Peak demand taken from PacifiCorp West FERC Fonn 714 for the year (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 647 ending December 31, 2003. Load shape taken from Platts Base case for PacifiCorp Planning Area, (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves 255 = 0,07 . (9) (11)Non-Applicants' Long-Tenn Finn Sales Long-tenn sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored, (12)Non-Applicants' Unconunitted Capacity 231 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (II)) or 0 (13)Total Unconunitted Capacity 231 = (6) + (12) (14)Annual Peak Load 103 PacifiCorp West FERC Fonn 714 for the year ending December 31 , 2003, Peak demand taken from PacifiCorp West FERC Fonn 714 for the year (IS)Native Load "Proxy 647 ending December 31, 2003, Load shape taken from Platts BaseCase for PacifiCorp Planning Area, (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 456 =(14)-(15) (17)Net Unconunitted Supply 775 = (13) - (16) (18)(6)"=(17)1 YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANALYSIS GRoUP.INc. At t a c h m e n t 2 8 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n Pa c i f i C o r p W e s t C o n t r o l A r e a (N a m e p l a t e Ca p a c i t y ) Su m m e r Fa l l Wi n t e r I S p r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s (I ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n Id a h o P o w e r . (2 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s 17 3 22 5 42 7 Le s s e r o f I d a h o P o w e r s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y a n d t h e T T C v a l u e f r o m Id a h o P o w e r c o n t r o l a r e a t o P a c i f i C o r p W e s t c o n t r o l a r e a ( I , 58 7 M W ) , (3 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (4 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n P a c i f i C o r p W e s t C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n , (5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n P a c i f i C o r p W e s t C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o g e n e r a t i o n i n c o n t r o l a r e a . (6 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te r m F i n n S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n P a c i f i C o r p W e s t C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (7 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 17 3 22 5 42 7 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I ) + ( 2 ) - ( 3 ) . ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 (8 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 33 3 31 0 47 7 53 5 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o f a c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e ou t p u t l e v e l s . Co n s e r v a t i v e l y a s s u m e d t o b e e q u a l t o t h e s u m o f 1 41 0 M W f i n n p a t h f o r (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s 81 7 81 7 81 7 81 7 Br i d g e r t h r o u g h I d a h o P o w e r t o P a c i f i C o r p W e s t a n d 40 7 MW o f f i r m pu r c h a s e s f r o m B P A . Pe a k d e m a n d t a k e n f r o m P a c i f i C o r p W e s t F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r (1 0 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 93 9 94 6 04 8 80 5 en d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 20 0 3 . L o a d s h a p e t a k e n f r o m P l a t t s Ba s e C a s e f o r Pa c i f i C o r p P l a n n i n g A r e a . (I I ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s 20 6 20 6 21 3 19 6 = 0 . 07 * ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s 12 0 37 8 Pa c i f i C o r p W e s t F E R C F o r m 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 2 0 0 3 ad j u s t e d t o b a c k o u t h y d r o o u t a g e s . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te r m F i r m S a l e s Lo n g - te n n s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e ar e i g n o r e d . (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 88 6 92 1 03 2 97 2 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - ( I I ) - ( 1 2 ) - ( 1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 10 . 0 % 17 . = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P . IN C , Attachment 29 Pivotal Supplier Screen Sierra Pacific Control Area (Nameplate Capacity) Notes / Sources Idaho Power's 261 MW Valmy interest is located in the Sierra Pacific control (I)Applicant's Control Area Generation area, However, at the peak demand time used for the Pivotal Supplier Screen Idaho Powers Valmy interest is used to serve Idaho Power's native load and therefore is not available to the Sierra Pacific control area.f..- ,--- (2)Applicant's Imports Based on zero unconunitted capacity, (3)Applicant's Control Area Load Idaho Power, (4)Applicant's Operating Reserves for Load in Sierra Pacific Control Area Based on zero load obligation. (5)Applicant's Long-Tenn Finn Sales from Generation in Sierra Pacific Control See Line (I) above,Area (6)Applicant's UncOJnmitted Capacity = Greater of ((I) + (2) - (3) - (4) - (5D or 0 (7)Non-Applicants' Control Area Generation 677 Platts BaseCase, with hydro units derated to reflect five year average output levels, (8)Non-Applicants' Imports 000 Sierra Pacific OASIS, Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase, Figure (9)Non-Applicants' Control Area Native Load 557 represents the average of the daily non-applicants' native load peak demands during July, 2002, (10)Non-Applicants' Operating Reserves 109 = 0.07 * (9) (II)Non-Applicants' Long-Tenn Finn Sales Long-tenn sales assumed not to convey operational control and therefore are ignored. (12)Non-Applicants' Uncommitted Capacity 011 = Greater of ((7) + (8) - (9) - (10) - (lID or 0 (13)Total Unconunitted Capacity 011 = (6) + (12) (14)Annual Peak Load 737 Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase, Figure represents hourly control area peak demand, which occurred on July 10, 2002. Data for the year ending December 31, 2002 taken from Platts BaseCase, Figure (15)Native Load "Proxy 557 represents the average of daily Sierra Pacific control area native load peak demands during July 2002, (16)Wholesale Load "Proxy 180 = (14) - (15) (17)Net Uncommitted Supply 831 = (13) - (16) (18)(6)..:::(17)?YES(If "YES", Applicant passes the Pivotal Supplier Screen) ANAlYSIS GROUP, INc. At t a c h m e n t 3 0 Wh o l e s a l e M a r k e t S h a r e S c r e e n Si e r r a P a c i f i c C o n t r o l A r e a (N a m e p l a t e C a p a c i t y ) Su m m e r I Fa l l Wi n t e r Sp r i n g No t e s / S o u r c e s Id a h o P o w e r ' s 2 6 1 M W V a l m y i n t e r e s t i s l o c a t e d i n t h e S i e r r a P a c i f i c c o n t r o l a r e a (1 J Ap p l i c a n t s C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 17 5 22 8 26 1 bu t i s u s e d t o s e r v e I d a h o P o w e r s n a t i v e l o a d . F i g u r e r e p r e s e n t s l e s s e r o f 2 6 1 MW a n d I d a h o P o w e r s u n c o m m i t t e d c a p a c i t y ( a d j u s t e d t o a d d b a c k V a l m y lo s s e s ) . Pr o p o r t i o n a l a l l o c a t i o n o f 1 00 0 M W s i m u l t a n e o u s i m p o r t c a p a b i l i t y i n t o S i e r r a (2 J Ap p l i c a n t ' s I m p o r t s Pa c i f i c c o n t r o l a r e a t a k e n f r o m S i e r r a P a c i f i c O A S I S b a s e d o n u n c o m m i t t e d ca p a c i t y , (3 J Ap p l i c a n t ' s C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (4 J Ap p l i c a n t ' s O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s f o r L o a d i n S i e r r a P a c i f i c C o n t r o l A r e a Ba s e d o n z e r o l o a d o b l i g a t i o n , (5 J Ap p l i c a n t ' s P l a n n e d O u t a g e s f o r G e n e r a t i o n i n S i e r r a P a c i f i c C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a f r o m I d a h o P o w e r u s e d f o r V a l m y o u t a g e s , (6 J Ap p l i c a n t ' s L o n g - Te n n F i n n S a l e s f r o m G e n e r a t i o n i n S i e r r a P a c i f i c C o n t r o l A r e a Da t a p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r , (7 J Ap p l i c a n t ' s U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 17 5 22 8 20 8 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( I J + ( 2 J - (3 ) - ( 4 ) - ( 5 ) - ( 6 ) ) o r 0 (8 J No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a G e n e r a t i o n 67 8 67 6 67 2 67 2 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e , w i t h h y d r o f a c i l i t i e s d e r a t e d t o r e f l e c t f i v e y e a r a v e r a g e o u t p u t le v e l s . Pr o p o r t i o n a l a l l o c a t i o n o f 00 0 MW s i m u l t a n e o u s i m p o r t c a p a b i l i t y i n t o S i e r r a (9 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' I m p o r t s 00 0 00 0 00 0 98 8 Pa c i f i c c o n t r o l a r e a t a k e n f r o m S i e r r a P a c i f i c O A S I S b a s e d o n u n c o m m i t t e d ca p a c i t y . (IO J No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' C o n t r o l A r e a L o a d ( M i n i m u m D a i l y P e a k i n S e a s o n ) 26 5 19 9 26 8 18 4 Pl a t t s B a s e C a s e . (1 1 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' O p e r a t i n g R e s e r v e s = 0 . 07 * ( 1 0 ) (1 2 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' P l a n n e d O u t a g e s Si e r r a P a c i f i c F E R C F o n n 7 1 4 f o r t h e y e a r e n d i n g D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 2 0 0 3 , p l u s pr o p o r t i o n a l s h a r e o f V a l m y o u t a g e s p r o v i d e d b y I d a h o P o w e r . (1 3 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' L o n g - Te n n F i n n S a l e s Lo n g - te n n s a l e s a s s u m e d n o t t o c o n v e y o p e r a t i o n a l c o n t r o l a n d t h e r e f o r e a r e ig n o r e d , (1 4 ) No n - Ap p l i c a n t s ' U n c o m m i t t e d C a p a c i t y 32 4 39 3 30 9 33 2 = G r e a t e r o f ( ( 8 ) + ( 9 ) - ( 1 0 ) - (I I ) . ( 1 2 ) . (1 3 ) ) o r 0 (1 5 ) Ap p l i c a n t ' s S h a r e 4.4 % 11 . 14 , 13 . = ( 7 ) / ( ( 7 ) + ( 1 4 ) ) AN A L Y S I S G R O U P , IN C , . ' UNITED STATES OF AMERICA FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION Idaho Power Company Docket No. ER97-1481-009 NOTICE OF FILING Take notice that on May 2, 2005 , Idaho Power Company (Idaho Power) submitted a Notice of Change in Status pursuant to the Commission s March 3 , 2005 Order Accepting Updated Market Power Analysis Idaho Power Co.110 FERC i 61 219 (2005) and the Commission s Order on Reporting Requirements for Changes in Status for Public Utilities with Market-Based Rate Authority, Order No. 652, 110 FERC i 61 097 (2005). Idaho Power Company states that copies of the filing were served on parties on the official service list in Docket No. ER97-1481. Any person desiring to intervene or to protest this filing must file in accordance with Rules 211'and.214 of the Commission s Rules of Practice and Procedure (18 C.R. ~~ 385.211 385.214). Protests will be considered by the Commission in determining the appropriate action to be taken, but will not serve to make protestants parties to the proceeding. Any person wishing to become a party must file a notice of intervention or motion to intervene, as appropriate. Such notices, motions, or protests must be filed on or before the comment date. Anyone filing a motion to intervene or protest must serve a copy of that document on the Applicant and all the parties in this proceeding. The Commission encourages electronic submission of protests and interventions in lieu of paper using the "eFiling" link at http://www.ferc.gov Persons unable to file electronically should submit an original and 14 copies of the protest or intervention to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, 888 First Street, N., Washington, D.C. 20426. This filing is accessible on-line at http://www.ferc.gov , using the "eLibrary" link and is available for review in the Commission s Public Reference Room in Washington, D.C. There an "eSubscription" link on the web site that enables subscribers to receive email notification when a document is added to a subscribed docket(s). For assistance with any FERC Online service, please email FERCOnlineSupport(g)ferc.gov, or call (866) 208-3676 (toll free). For TTY, call (202) 502-8659. Comment Date: 5:00 pm Eastern Time on (insert date). Magalie Roman-Salas Secretary CERTIFICA TE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that I have this day served the foregoing documents by first-class mail on those parties on the official service list compiled by the Secretary in this proceeding. Dated at Washington, DC, this 2nd day of May, 2005. 1!$ A. Hunter Hodges Steptoe & Johnson LLP 1330 Connecticut Avenue, N. Washington, D.C. 20036 (202) 429-6424