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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20090529Anderson Direct.pdfBEFORE THE Rr-ri:i't~._J..",;; 20U9 HAY 29 AM II: 43 IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION ) OF AVISTA CORPORATION FOR THE ) CASE NO. AVU-E-09-1/ AUTHORITY TO INCREASE ITS RATES) AVU-G-09-1 AND CHARGES FOR ELECTRIC AND ) NATURAL GAS SERVICE TO ELECTRIC ) AND NATURAL GAS CUSTOMERS IN THE )STATE OF IDAHO. ) ) ) DIRECT TESTIMONY OF LYNN ANDERSON IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION MAY 29,2009 1 2 record. Q.Please state your name and business address for the 3 A.My name is Lynn Anderson and my business address is 4 472 West Washington Street, Boise, Idaho. 5 6 Q.By whom are you employed and in what capacity? A.I am employed by the Idaho Public Utilities 7 Commission as a Staff economist. 8 9 Q.What are your duties with the Commission? A.Currently, my primary duties are evaluating energy 10 efficiency policy, opportunities, barriers, efforts and cost- 11 effectiveness, the results of which are used to make 12 recommendations to the Commission and other entities. 13 Additional duties include investigating utility applications, 14 customer petitions and conducting general research. 15 Q.Would you please outline your academic and 16 professional background? 17 A.I have a Bachelor of Science degree in government 18 and a Bachelor of Arts degree in sociology, both from Idaho 19 State University where I also studied economics and 20 architecture. I studied engineering at graduate and 21 undergraduate levels at Northwestern University and Brigham 22 Young University, respectively, and graduate-level public 23 administration and quantitative analysis at Boise State 24 University. 25 I have attended many training seminars and CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 1 STAFF 1 conferences regarding utility regulation, operations, 2 forecasting, marketing and program evaluation, including 3 Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory's Advanced Integrated Resource 4 Planning seminar in 1994, the Northwest Public Power 5 Association's Troubleshooting Residential Energy Use course 6 in 2001, and the International Energy Program Evaluation 7 conferences in 2003, 2005 and 2007. 8 I began my employment with the Commission in 1980 9 as a utility rate analyst. In 1983 I was appointed to the 10 telecommunications section supervisor position and in 1992 I 11 was appointed to my present position as an economist. In 12 that capacity I have been a Staff representative to the 13 Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance's Board and Cost- 14 Effectiveness Committee, Avista Utilities' External Energy 15 Efficiency Board, Idaho Power's Energy Efficiency Advisory 16 Group, the Northwest Power and Conservation Council's Demand 17 Response Initiative, the Energy Efficiency and Conservation 18 Task Force of the Idaho Strategic Energy Alliance, and work 19 groups under the National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency, 20 including Evaluation, Measurement and Verification (EM&V). 21 Since 1999 I have served the Commission as a policy 22 strategist for electricity and telecommunications issues on 23 an as-needed basis. 24 From 1975 to 1980 I was employed by the Idaho 25 Transportation Department where I performed benefit/cost CASE NOS. AVU-E- 09- 01/AVU-G- 09- 015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 2 STAFF 1 analyses of highway safety improvements and other statistical 2 analyses. 3 Q.What is the purpose of your testimony? The purpose of my testimony is to provide4A. 5 information regarding Avista Utilities' efforts to promote 6 energy efficiency (aka demand-side management or DSM) and to 7 recommend that the Commission defer a prudency finding for 8 Avista Utilities' 2008 DSM expenses until such time that the 9 Company is able to provide more comprehensive evaluations of 10 its DSM programs and efforts. 11 Prudency of Efficiency/DSM Expenses 12 Q.Does Avista's Application or the pre-filed 13 testimony of any witness in this case ask the Commission to 14 determine the prudency of the Company's past energy 15 efficiency or demand-side management (DSM) expenses? 16 A.Yes, both the Application and Company witness Bruce 17 Folsom request a prudency finding for Avista's DSM programs 18 from January through November of 2008. However, Mr. Folsom's 19 testimony and exhibit in support of the request provide DSM 20 information that is combined for both its Washington and 21 Idaho service areas. Only through discovery requests was 22 Staff able to obtain Idaho-specific DSM program costs and 23 estimated savings for this 11-month period. For example, 24 Avista' s total DSM costs for the first 11 months of 2008 are 25 purportedly shown on page 1 of Mr. Folsom's Exhibit No. 13 as CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANERSON, L. (Di) 3 STAFF 1 Utility Cost Test (UCT) costs of $12.1 million for 2 electricity programs and $5.9 million for natural gas 3 programs. Avista' s response to Staff Production Request No. 4 8 indicated that Idaho's share of the above costs were $3.7 5 million for electricity programs and $2.4 million for natural 6 gas programs. 7 Q.Beyond providing aggregated DSM data for multiple 8 states, do you question parts of Mr. Folsom's testimony? 9 A.Yes, I do. On page 9 of Mr. Folsom's pre-filed 10 testimony is a discussion of Avista's cost per kilowatt-hour 11 of savings obtained through its participation in the 12 Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance (NEEA). Mr. Folsom 13 states "In 2007, the last year for which data is available, 14 NEEA acquired 2.0 aMW applicable to Avista' s service area at 15 a cost of 0.07 cents/kWh" and that Avista's "... avoided cost 16 for a comparable time period is 0.4 cents/kWh." 1 I believe 17 these costs should have read "0.7 cents/kWh" savings and "4.0 18 cents/kWh" avoided costs. In addition to the misplaced 19 decimals, it should be noted that NEEA, for the most part, 20 has not tracked savings by utility service area. Instead, 21 NEEA has allocated its total regional savings proportionally 22 to individual utilities based only on utility funding 23 percentages. Thus, there is little or no data to support the 24 declarations of 2.0 aMW of NEEA direct savings in 2007 in 25 i The hypothetically allocated 2.0 aMW in 2007 actually represents cumulative savings from prior years through 2007. CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 4 STAFF 1 Avista's service area or the cost-effectiveness of whatever 2 actual savings there were in Avista's service area in 2007 or 3 any other year. This does not mean that NEEA has not been a 4 valuable resource for Avista' s customers, but only that a 5 verifiable measure of that value is not available. It is 6 noteworthy that NEEA's recently adopted 2010-2014 Business 7 Plan states that NEEA will report future savings at the 8 service terri tory level. 9 Q.Were you able to evaluate prudency of Avista 10 Utilities' DSM expenditures based on the Company's filing? 11 A.No, there was not sufficient information in the 12 filing to fully assess DSM prudency. Consequently, many 13 production requests and follow-up questions needed to be 14 asked and although the Company provided much information 15 about its DSM program planning and implementation, it did not 16 provide sufficient post-implementation evaluations of its DSM 17 programs to fully justify a prudency determination by the 18 Commission. For example, in Avista' s response to Staff 19 Production Request No.5, which asked for comparisons of pre- 20 implementation estimated evaluation budgets to actual 21 evaluation costs, the Company did not provide such data and, 22 instead, provided an explanation of why Avista has not 23 tracked evaluation costs in the past, e.g. the less-than- 24 formal nature of its in-house evaluations and its reliance 25 upon indirect evaluations performed by outside entities such CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-01 5/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 5 STAFF 1 as "... the Northwest Power and Conservation Council's 2 Regional Technical Forum, Energy Star, Consortium for Energy 3 Efficiency, Electric Power Research Institute, and others." 4 Importantly, this response also states that "Avista 5 is presently in the process of changing our EEM (energy 6 efficiency measure) verification system to allow for better 7 documentation of EEM's and scheduled revisiting to adjust for 8 changes in savings as well as measure costs." 9 Additional evidence of Avista's lack of sufficient 10 program evaluation was obtained in its response to Staff 11 Production Request No.6, in which the Company was asked to 12 list and provide copies of all program evaluations from 2004 13 through 2009 - the Company provided only four such "studies," 14 all but one of which consisted of just one or two pages of 15 data with little or no verbal analyses. Avista's response 16 further elaborated that while it had other examples of such 17 "studies,"". . . it would take a great deal of time and effort 18 to go through all of our proj ects from the last 5 years and 19 pull them out. For this reason, Avista planned the new 20 approach to EEM verification which we have already started to 21 implement." 22 The Company's response to Staff Production Request 23 No. 6 ended with the following statement: "In order to 24 control costs, the least data necessary and the combined 25 understanding of the analysts, program managers, and CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 6 STAFF 1 engineers is gathered to mitigate the risk of inaccurate data 2 and improper reporting of energy savings." 3 In consideration of the Avista' s responses to 4 production requests, it became clear that formal and 5 transparent post-implementation evaluation of DSM programs 6 has not been a high priority of the Company. 7 Q.How important are post-implementation evaluations 8 of DSM programs? 9 A.Such evaluations are essential to both verify cost- 10 effectiveness of programs and to further improve them, or to 11 provide evidence that they should be discontinued. It is a 12 common and accepted best-practice that DSM programs require 13 transparent, post-implementation evaluations. 14 Because Avista's evaluation of its service area- 15 specific DSM programs has been largely an informal process, 16 most evaluation results apparently exist only in the memories 17 of a few employees and their computers. Thus, Avista' s DSM 18 implementers and managers are hampered to the extent the 19 informal evaluation results are not readily available to 20 them; the Commission is hampered in its prudency 21 determination; and Avista's customers are hampered in their 22 understanding of the DSM programs and acceptance of the 23 charges on their bills to support those programs. 24 Q.Is Avista' s concern about controlling evaluation 25 costs a valid reason to skimp on DSM program evaluations? CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 7 STAFF 1 A.While cost-consciousness is important, formal, 2 credible and transparent evaluations remain essential to 3 prudent DSM program management. By" formal" I do not mean to 4 suggest that all evaluations need to be lengthy, costly 5 reports completed by outside consulting firms, although it is 6 sometimes useful and efficient to hire such consultants for 7 their specific expertise and to gain additional perspective. 8 Q.Was the Company aware of its responsibility to 9 thoroughly evaluate its DSM programs? 10 A.Clearly, Avista should have been aware of the 11 Staff's and the Commission's concerns about proper program 12 evaluation based upon the Staff's comments and the Commission 13 Order issued in Case No. AVE-E-99-04. In that case, Avista 14 sought much greater flexibility in planning and implementing 15 its DSM programs. The Staff recommended approval of the 16 request and the Commission granted the requested increased 17 flexibility. But the Staff cautioned in its filed comments 18 that" . . . the importance of program evaluation will 19 significantly increase with the increased flexibility 20 provided under the new tariffs." (p. 4). And the Commission 21 Findings in Order No. 28138 included the following caution: 22 "We share Staff's concerns regarding the sweeping nature of 23 the proposed changes as they might affect the Company's 24 ability to determine energy savings and appropriate funding 25 levels. We are encouraged by the Company's proposal to CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 8 STAFF 1 closely monitor its DSM programs. The Company remains 2 responsible for demonstrating that its Schedule 90 DSM 3 programs are a cost effective use of its Schedule 91 DSM 4 surcharge revenues." Order No. 28138 at 4 (emphasis added). 5 Q.Is there additional evidence of Avista's general 6 awareness of the necessity of transparent program 7 evaluations? 8 A.Yes. In response to Staff Production Request 9 No.5, Avista stated, "The Engineering group uses the IPMVP 10 (International Performance Measurement and Verification 11 Protocol) guidelines for their EEM verification work." 12 Beginning on page 6 of the IPMVP is a good, multi-part 13 explanation for why formal, transparent measurement and 14 verification of energy efficiency measures and programs is 15 important, including the need for increasing energy savings, 16 reducing program costs, improving program management, and 17 increasing public understanding and acceptance of the costs. 18 Based on the Company's responses to production 19 requests, Avista employees do evaluate at least some DSM 20 projects and other employees diligently track the actual 21 program by program costs and assumed savings, but very few 22 evaluations are available for inspection by the Staff, let 23 alone by the public. In fact, the four proj ect "evaluations" 24 provided to Staff were labeled as "confidential". 25 Q.Has Staff recommended a prudency finding for CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 9 STAFF 1 Avista's DSM programs since Order No. 28138 was issued in 2 1999? 3 A.Yes, in Case Nos. AVU-E-04-01/AVU-G-04-01, I stated 4 a belief that Avista reasonably and prudently managed its DSM 5 resources from 1999 through October 2003. And in its last 6 rate case (AVU-E-08-01/AVU-G-08-01), the Company, Staff and 7 Parties negotiated Stipulation Paragraph No. 11 that said 8 "The Parties agree that Avista's expenditures for electric 9 and natural gas energy efficiency programs from November 1, 10 2003 through December 31, 2007, have been prudently 11 incurred. " In the former case the Commission found that 12 Avista's DSM efforts were prudent and in the latter case it 13 accepted the negotiated Settlement Stipulation. 14 Q.In either the 2004 or the 2008 cases cited above, 15 did the Company provide post-implementation DSM program 16 evaluations? 17 A.No, the Company did not volunteer such evaluations 18 and the Staff did not specifically request them. However, 19 the fact that Staff did not request copies of evaluations in 20 the past should not have suggested to Avista that it was no 21 longer expected to evaluate its DSM programs, given that good 22 program management requires such evaluations and that Staff 23 and the Commission clearly stated in 1999 that evaluations 24 would become even more important as a result of the Company's 25 increased flexibility to plan and manage its DSM programs. CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 10 STAFF 1 2 Avista' s DSM efforts? Q.Do you have other concerns about the prudency of 3 A.In general, I believe that Avista' s employees try 4 to perform their DSM planning and implementation duties in a 5 conscientious and cost-effective manner, notwithstanding the 6 Company's need for, and already planned, evaluation process 7 improvements. However, there are a few issues that cause at 8 least some concern. These are: 1) a probable over-statement 9 of savings due to lack of net-to-gross energy savings 10 adjustments; 2) probable over-emphasis of portfolio-level 11 cost-effectiveness; and 3) probable over-emphasis of total 12 resource cost test (TRC) cost-effectiveness. 13 Q.Please explain net-to-gross adjustments of energy 14 savings. 15 Various DSM standard practice manuais2 state thatA. 16 gross energy savings observed subsequent to implementation of 17 a DSM program should be adjusted to reflect both estimated 18 savings that would have occurred absent the program and 19 savings that occur due to the program but that fall outside 20 the program's measurement metrics. To the extent that the 21 22 23 24 25 former outweighs the latter, as it does for many programs, analysts who ignore net-to-gross adjustments overstate the cost-effectiveness of DSM programs. 2 National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency's Model Energy Efficiency Program Impact Evaluation Guide, the California Standard Practice Manual: Economic Analysis of Demand-Side Programs and Projects, and the Electric Power Research Institute's End-Use Technical Assessment Guide (TAG). CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 11 STAFF 1 Q.Please explain your concerns regarding possible 2 over-emphasis of "portfolio-level" and "TRC" cost- 3 effectiveness. 4 A.Avista's policy and tariff says that TRC (total 5 resource cost) cost-effectiveness will be determined for its 6 overall portfolio of DSM programs. Company DSM managers have 7 said that it is not necessary for each measure or program to 8 be cost-effective. But, Commission Order No. 22299 issued in 9 1989 says that utilities' DSM costs should be no higher than 10 necessary and absolutely no higher than the avoided cost. 11 The Order expected that some resources would be priced at 12 full avoided cost, some at "no losers" cost, and some below 13 "no losers" cost." Clearly, the Commission did not intend 14 for utilities to evaluate cost-effectiveness for entire 15 portfolios without consideration of each measure's cost- 16 effectiveness. 17 Conceivably, there are some non-cost-effective 18 measures for which it may be prudent for utilities to provide 19 incentives if such measures can be shown to help sell cost- 20 effective measures to customers. But the burden of proof is 21 on the utility to show how the utility's overall cost- 22 effectiveness is increased, rather than decreased, by 23 inclusion of non-cost-effective measures in its portfolio. 24 Failure to do so would be an indication of imprudent DSM 25 management. CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 12 STAFF 1 It is important to note that while the TRC cost- 2 effectiveness test is a useful tool to screen possible DSM 3 measures and programs, it is not a sufficient cost- 4 effecti veness evaluation perspective. One of the reasons for 5 TRC insufficiency is that this cost-effectiveness test does 6 not count utility incentives as á cost and therefore it 7 places absolutely no limits on incentives, in other words 8 higher incentives always produce higher TRC results, even if 9 the incentive paid exceeds the actual measure cost or even 10 the avoided supply cost. Clearly , cost-effectiveness from 11 the utility cost test (UCT) perspective must also be 12 evaluated. 13 It should be noted that in spite of Avista's tariff 14 stating its reliance upon TRC cost-effectiveness, the Company 15 also consistently calculates and says it considers cost- 16 effectiveness perspectives from the UCT, participant test, 17 and non-participant test (ratepayer impact) .3 Still, this 18 tariff language seems to not conform to Order No. 22299. 19 3 20 The TRC perspective compares the value of avoided supply costs to the total of the utilities' DSM program administrative costs and the direct cost of the measure's labor and materials, including any costs incurred by customers. In the TRC, utility incentive payments are viewed as transfer payments and are ignored. The UCT perspective compares the value of avoided supply costs to only the utility's DSM costs, including administration and incentive payments to participants. Non-rebated customer costs are ignored. The UCT is a misnomer in that customers, not utilities, are the ultimate beneficiaries of programs that pass this cost-effectiveness test.The participant test compares the net costs (i. e. costs after rebates and tax incentives) incurred by program participants to their personal benefits, e.g. lower bills and increased comfort or production. The non-participant test considers whether energy rates are changed as a result of the program. 21 22 23 24 25 CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 13 STAFF 1 Recommenda tions 2 Q.What are your recommendations regarding Avista' s 3 request for the Commission to find that its DSM expenses from 4 January through November 2008 were prudently incurred? 5 I recommend that the Commission defer prudencyA. 6 determination of Avista's January through November 2008 DSM 7 costs until the Company provides appropriate DSM program 8 evaluations. I anticipate that when the Company is able to 9 provide these evaluations it will be able to request a 10 prudency finding for more than the first 11 months of 2008. 11 Historically, due to agreements reached when the 12 Company's DSM tariff rider was initiated, Avista has only 13 requested DSM prudency findings in conjunction with general 14 rate case filings. I suggest that the Commission state that 15 it will accept future applications for DSM prudency 16 determinations at any time chosen by the Company, thus 17 potentially severing this non-rate case issue from future 18 rate cases. 19 Finally, I recommend that Avista' s tariff Sheets 90 20 and 190 be modified by removal of the following sentence: 21 "The acquisition of resources is cost-effective as defined by 23 22 a Total Resource Cost test (TR) as a portfolio." Does this conclude your direct testimony in thisQ. 24 proceeding? 25 Yes, it does.A. CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-01/AVU-G-09-015/29/09 ANDERSON, L. (Di) 14 STAFF CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I HEREBY CERTIFY THAT I HAVE THIS 29TH DAY OF MAY 2009, SERVED THE FOREGOING DIRECT TESTIMONY OF LYNN ANDERSON, IN CASE NOS. AVU-E-09-1 & AVU-G-09-1, BY ELECTRONIC MAIL TO THE FOLLOWING: DAVID J. MEYER VICE PRESIDENT AND CHIEF COUNSEL AVISTA CORPORATION PO BOX 3727 SPOKANE WA 99220 E-MAIL: david.meyer(favistacorp.com DEAN J MILLER McDEVITT & MILLER LLP PO BOX 2564 BOISE ID 83701 E-MAIL: joeaYmcdevitt-miler.com CONLEY E WARD MICHAEL C CREAMER GIVENS PURSLEY LLP PO BOX 2720 BOISE ID 83701-2720 E-MAIL: cew(fgivenspursley.com mcc(fgivenspursley.com BETSY BRIDGE ID CONSERVATION LEAGUE 710 N SIXTH STREET POBOX 844 BOISE ID 83701 E-MAIL: bbridge(fwildidaho.org CARRE TRACY 1265 S MAIN ST, #305 SEATTLE WA 98144 E-MAIL: carrie(fnwfco.org KELL Y NORWOOD VICE PRESIDENT - STATE & FED. REG. A VISTA UTILITIES PO BOX 3727 SPOKANE WA 99220 E-MAIL: kelly.norwood(favistacorp.com SCOTT ATKISON PRESIDENT IDAHO FOREST GROUP LLC 171 HIGHWAY 95 N GRANGEVILLE ID 83530 E-MAIL: scotta(fidahoforestgroup.com DENNIS E PESEAU, Ph.D. UTILITY RESOURCES INC SUITE 250 1500 LIBERTY STREET SE SALEM OR 97302 E-MAIL: dpeseauaYexcite.com ROWENA PINEDA ID COMMUNITY ACTION NETWORK 3450 HILL RD BOISE ID 83702-4715 E-MAIL: RowenaaYidahocan.org BRAD MPURDY ATTORNEY AT LAW 2019 N 17TH ST BOISE ID 83702 E-MAIL: bmpurdy(fhotmail.com ~ลก:.~S~TARY CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE