20050315Reply Comments.pdf

DAVID J. MEYER
CHIEF COUNSEL FOR REGULATORY AND
GOVERNMENT AL AFF AIRS
VISTA CORPORATION
O. BOX 3727
1411 EAST MISSION AVENUE, MSC-
SPOKANE, WASHINGTON 99220-3727
TELEPHONE: [phone]
FACSIMILE: [phone]
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BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION
IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION
OF A VISTA CORPORATION FOR AUTH-
ORITY TO INCLUDE IN BASE RATES
THE OWNERSHIP AND OPERATING
COSTS OF THE REMAINING SHARE OF
THE COYOTE SPRINGS 2 GENERATING
PLANT AND TO REDUCE THE POWER
COST ADJUSTMENT SURCHARGE TO
OFFSET THE INCREASE IN BASE RATES
CASE NO. A VU-05-
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA
CORPORATION
A vista Corporation (A vista) hereby submits the following reply to the comments of
Potlatch Corporation.
I. INTRODUCTION
On March 1 , 2005, Potlatch Corporation filed comments concernIng
Avista s Application raising a number of issues which are addressed in these Reply Comments.
Commission Staff, in its filed comments, recognized Avista s need for resources and the cost-
effectiveness of the acquisition of the second half of the CS2 project to meet those needs. In its
Reply Comments, Avista will show that:
Need For Resources:
The acquisition of the second half of CS2 is consistent with the preferred
resource strategy contained in the Company s 2003 Integrated Resource
Plan (IRP);
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION -
The updated IRP data shows an increased need for resources when
compared to the 2002 Load & Resource (L&R) data upon which the 2003
IRP data is based;
Contrary to Potlatch's assertions, average annual load and hydroelectric
generation conditions are not the proper basis upon which to determine
need for long-term resource acquisition;
Cost-Effectiveness Of The Acquisition Of The Second Half Of CS2:
The acquisition of the second half of CS2 produces a net present value
benefit of approximately $5.7 million over a 20-year life;
Net present value analysis over the life of a project is the appropriate
analytical approach for determining the value of a resource;
Cost-effective resource alternatives were examined in connection with the
Company s decision to acquire the second half of CS2;
Avista continues to examine proposals for, and to acquire, needed
resources;
A!.2uments Concernin2 The Need For Prior Commission Awroval Are Wide
Of The Mark:
The Commission was appraised of the fact that A vista had entered into a
non-binding letter of intent to purchase Mirant's half interest in CS2;
. A vista did not enter into a binding Purchase and Sale Agreement until
October 13 , 2004, and not until it had completed the necessary studies
including an independent review by N avigant;
The acquisition of Mirant's share of the CS2 project must be evaluated
under current and projected future conditions, not conditions that existed
four years ago; and
The law does not require that A vista submit the CS2 acquisition to the
Commission for consideration before it makes a commitment, nor has that
been the Commission s prior practice.
II.NEED FOR RESOURCES
Acquisition Of The Second Half Of CS2 Is Consistent With Avista s 2003 IRP
In its filed comments, Potlatch argues that:
A vista now attempts to justify this reversal of position
excerpting a single page from the 2003 IRP (A vista Application
Exhibit G) that purportedly demonstrates that the CS2 acquisition
is consistent with the 2003 IRP long-term Resource Strategy.
A vista Application at 15. The excerpt in question proves no such
thing, and it is misleading to suggest otherwise. The single IRP
page included in Exhibit G simply points out that A vista intends to
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION -
acquire a variety of resources during the IRP ten-year planning
horizon." (Comments of Potlatch at p. 3)
Contrary to Potlatch's assertions, Avista has demonstrated that the "opportunity to acquire the
remaining half of CS2, at 140 MW, is consistent with the 2003 IRP long-term Resource
Strategy.In addition to presenting current data concerning need for resources, the 2003 IRP
lays out a long-term (2004-2013) Preferred Resource Strategy that guides the utility s approach
to the portfolio of future resource acquisitions that it will pursue. It does more than simply point
to an intention to "acquire a variety of resources" as claimed by Potlatch.
As explained in Avista s Application at page 14, the 2003 IRP Resource Strategy
specifically includes a natural gas-fired combined cycle component of 149 aMW. The CS2
acquisition is, therefore, consistent with Avista s 2003 IRP Preferred Resource Strategy and is
based upon the Company s updated assessment of resource needs to serve customers at the time
of the decision. Commission Staff also concurs that
(aJs spelled out in its 2003 IRP, the preferred resource acquisition
strategy for the period 2004-2013 includes an additional 149 aMW
of gas-fired combined cycle generation as part of a blended
portfolio of wind, coal, and conservation resources. Thus, A vista
acquisition of the 140 MW second half of CS2 is consistent with
its 2003 IRP." (Staff Comments at p. 3)
Updated IRP L&R Data Demonstrates Increased Needs For Resources
Potlatch states that
, "
(iJn the present case, Avista has no need for additional generating
resources for a number of years." (Comments of Potlatch at p. 2) Avista, however, has clearly
demonstrated a need for resources and that the acquisition of Mirant's share of the CS2 project is
both a cost-effective and a good fit to meet those needs. Potlatch's claim as stated above is
simply not true. Current information supporting A vista s need for resources has been supplied
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 3
with its Application, exhibits and workpapers in this proceeding. Potlatch, however, chooses to
focus on data from the Company s 2003 IRP, rather than the more current information.
In its Application, A vista explained that its load and resource (L&R) positions are
updated periodically to reflect various load and resource additions, deletions, and modifications
as well as changes in A vista s load obligations. The presentation of the August/September 2004
L&R data filed by the Company in its Application is consistent with that presented in the
Company s 2003 Integrated Resource Plan.The annual average energy 2004 L&R data
however, has been appropriately updated from the 2002 L&R data that served as the basis for the
2003 IRP.
Also , in the spring of 2003 the Company began to consider resource options to fill the
quarterly deficits evident in the 1 S\ 3rd and 4th quarters, because the magnitude of those deficits
was much greater than that reflected in the annual average load and resource positions. Those
significant quarterly deficiencies, when combined with the electric price volatility risk in the 1 S
3rd and 4th quarters evident over the past several years, created a supply risk situation that the
Company needed to address.
The following table compares a summary of the updated annual average energy L&R
data of August/September 2004 with the 2003 IRP L&R data:
Average Annual Energy Net L&R Position 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
2003 IRP (3)(36)(83)(149)
CS2 Second Half Evaluation (August/September 2004)(21)(32)(63)(104)(156)f-----'--'-----
(29)(7)L_____~,_~_~ge ~et
p~~
(48)(27)(21)
(Data source: Application - Workpapers "Loads & Resources /Reply Comments - Exhibit 0)
Therefore, the more current August/September 2004 L&R tabulations show an increasing
need for resources beginning in 2006 on an annual average energy basis when compared to the
2003 IRP, which was based on 2002 L&R data. Annual average energy resource deficits start at
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION -
21 aMW in 2006 and increase to 156 aMW in 2010. The table shows that average annual energy
needs have increased by 48 aMW in 2006 29 aMW in 2007 27 aMW in 2008 21 aMW in 2009
and 7 aMW in 2010 compared to the 2003 IRP data. Potlatch's reliance on a statement excerpted
from A vista s 2003 IRP indicating no need for additional resources based on annual average
energy net L&R positions at that time fails to take into account current information.
Commission Staff apparently agrees, when it commented that
, "
(tJhe Company s most recent
load-resource balance calculations show annual energy and capacity deficits beginning in 2006.
(Staff Comments at p. 3)
In its Application, the Company further demonstrated that its quarterly L&R positions, at
the time the Company entered into the agreement to acquire Mirant's share of CS2, showed
energy resource deficits beginning in the 1 S\ 3rd and 4th quarters of 2005 and going forward.
Those 1 S\ 3rd and 4th quarter energy deficiencies for the 2005-2009 period are significant
summarized in the following table.
._---~-----
Ql Q3 Q4 I ~~?:~;42005) -82: -67 -71 i -73:
,,".".,".... .;, '.. ., ."...."...,..,..,...
.,i.,
.. ,...,...."...
2006! -134 -97 -106 -112.'1.,,- ,
-,..,
.M.""""""',-"""""2007: -153: -117 -127 -132
2008 186i 146 -158 -1632009 -224 -178 -212 -205
..- ~y'
~~~g~t....
:~.."""""'
:156 121 -135 -137
(Data source: Application - W orkpapers "Loads
& Resources /Reply Comments - Exhibit
Potlatch's characterization of these amounts as "relatively minor quarterly deficits" (Comments
of Potlatch at p. 3) clearly misreads Avista s load and resource position. The additional 140 MW
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 5
from the acquisition of the second half of CS2 is a good fit when compared with the average
deficiency in the table above of 137 aMW.
Commission Staff, for its part, also recognizes the resource need demonstrated by the
updated quarterly L&R data when it states that
, "
Avista s analysis shows energy deficits in 7 out
of 12 months in 2005" and "(b Jy 2008 , the energy deficits increase to 9 out of 12 months.
(Staff Comments at p. The magnitude of Avista s quarterly deficiencies are, in fact
significant and justify the acquisition of the second half of CS2.
Similarly, updated capacity L&R data shows increased needs in earlier years compared to
the 2003 IRP. A need for additional capacity beginning in 2006 is shown based upon the
updated capacity L&R data compared to the 2003 IRP data that shows capacity needs beginning
in 2009. Commission Staff notes that
, "
by 2008, capacity deficits are predicted in 7 out of 12
months." (Staff Comments at p. 3)
Excerpts from the Company s August/September 2004 energy L&R position tabulations
are included in Exhibit H of the Application. The entire set of August/September 2004 energy
L&R reports previously supplied as workpapers to all parties, has been included as Exhibit 01 of
these Reply Comments. Although the addition of the second half of CS2 adds to Avista
surplus energy during the 2nd quarter, under many operating conditions a natural gas-fired
combined cycle project such as CS2 would be displaced by lower priced power during the spring
runoff period in the 2nd quarter, and would not be running. The second half of CS2, however, is
a needed addition to A vista s resource base, in as much as it covers significant deficits in Q 1
, and Q4. Therefore, acquisition of the second half of the CS2 project is a resource that is
well-suited to meet the needs of Avista s customers.
1 These L&R reports were previsouly provided to the Commission and all parties as workpapers as part of A vista
initial Application and are attached here for ease of reference.
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 6
Average Or Normal Hydroelectric Generation And Load Conditions Are Not The
Proper Basis On Which To Determine Need For Long-Term Resources
Potlatch appears to suggest that long-term resource planning decisions should be based
upon average or normal annual hydroelectric generation and load conditions rather than, as
Potlatch characterizes it, the more "rigorous" confidence interval planning criteria used by the
Company:
(wJhile the (2003J IRP forecasts that Avista s existing energy
surplus will be eliminated in 2008 , this forecast is premised on the
use of a relatively rigorous ' 80 percent confidence interval.' Id. 9. Under average conditions, the (2003J IRP projects annual
energy surpluses through 2009 as well." (Comments of Potlatch at
2).
A vista has not used average or normal water for the determination of long-term resource
needs in its IRPs. A vista currently uses confidence interval planning , to appropriately reflect
the statistical variability in hydroelectric generation and load in its resource portfolio and in its
IRP processes in both the States of Idaho and Washington. Both State Commissions have
reviewed and accepted the confidence interval methodology for use in determining A vista
resource needs.Prior to the confidence interval methodology, A vista used critical water
planning, which took into account the variability of hydroelectric generation during a critical
water year, in its planning and determination of resource need. Both Idaho and Washington
Commissions have previously accepted critical water planning in A vista s Integrated Resource
Plans. Potlatch's implication that average hydroelectric generation and load conditions should
be used for long-term resource need determination is completely inconsistent with the
2 "Confidence Interval" (CI) represents the probability of the hydro-load variability staying within a specific MW
range. For an 80% CI, there is a 10% chance that the Company would have to purchase some amount of energy
above a specific MW amount for a given month.
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 7
Company s current and past IRP's. Adopting an average condition basis for resource planning
would increase the exposure of the Company and its customers to potentially volatile market
conditions.
III.COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF THE ACQUISITION OF
THE SECOND HALF OF CS2
Acquisition Of The Second Half Of CS2 Produces Net Present Value Benefits
Potlatch's aserts in its comments that
, "
Avista s own documents demonstrate that the
CS2 acquisition is not a cost effective method of meeting any quarterly deficits that may occur
prior to 2011." (Comments of Potlatch at p. 3)
A vista has shown in its Application that the acquisition of the second half of the CS2
combined cycle combustion turbine project is cost-effective on a net present value basis over a
20-year project life. As explained in its Application, the CS2 plant had a value of $66.7 million
in the "base case" at the time of the final decision to acquire the resource.Additionally,
Navigant Consulting performed its own independent analysis, which resulted in a $67.2 million
base case" value for CS2. Both the Avista and Navigant analyses used a net present value
calculation over a 20-year life of the CS2 project to determine the value of the project in the base
case. Avista found the CS2 project produced a net present value benefit of approximately $5.
million in its September 2004 final analysis (See Application - Exhibit J at page 10 of 10)3
These net present value analyses show positive benefits over a 20-year project life of acquisition
3 In its footnote 2 at page 4, Potlatch raises the question as to whether the subset of numbers that Potlatch selected
for their "break-even" analysis were net present value numbers: The values contained on Avista s Exhibit I
, p.
8 of
, under the column heading "62.5 MM" are annual net rate impact values and are not discounted for the time
value of money. However, the net present value of those annual rate impact amounts for CS2 over the full20-year
period is shown just below the line labeled "Net Present Values . Avista found the CS2 project produced a net
present value rate impact benefit of $7.477 million, over the 20-year period, in its initial May 2004 analysis.
REPLY COMMENTS OF AVISTA CORPORATION - 8
of the CS2 project at the $62.5 million purchase price. This is contrary to Potlatch's claim that
Avista s documents and analyses somehow show that the CS2 resource is not cost-effective. For
its part, Commission Staff has reviewed the Company s analysis and "believes it is reasonable.
(Staff Comments at p. 4)
Net Present Value Analysis Over The Life Of The Resource Is The Appropriate
Analytical Method For Determining The Value Of The Resource
Potlatch first argues that
, "
Pages 7 and 8 of A vista s Exhibit I show that the rate impact
of the CS2 acquisition will be negative until 2011. In other words, Avista s own documents
show that, even if minor quarterly deficits occur, the ratepayers will be better off if no additional
resources are acquired until at least 2011." (Comments of Potlatch at p. 3) Potlatch then asserts
that
, "
( n Jo rational businessperson would even remotely consider a capital investment that would
not be 'in the money' for at least thirteen years." (Comments of Potlatch at p. 4)
Net present value analysis over the life of a project is the appropriate analytical approach
for determining value of an asset for utility resource acquisition purposes. Different resources
have benefits that may accrue in the either the near-term or later on in a particular resource
expected life. For example, it is expected that a capital project will typically have higher front-
end costs, due to higher initial capital recovery expenses, and will typically have lower costs
over the latter portion of its life as the project is depreciated. The net present value approach
captures the value of project benefits or costs regardless of where they occur throughout the life
of the project and appropriately discounts those values to the extent they occur in the future.
Using a net present value approach, different types of projects with differing lives can be
evaluated on a common basis.
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 9
The break-even analysis suggested by Potlatch does not fairly consider the value of a
project over its life. Potlatch arbitrarily uses a shorter 13-year period, rather than the more
representative 20-year useful life. While Potlatch seems to imply that their break-even analysis
should somehow be used for resource decision-making, that type of analysis does not look at the
value of a resource over its 20-year life and, as such, does not provide a complete valuation.
Net present value analysis is the traditional method commonly employed by utilities to
evaluate various types of resources over their useful lives. Avista, in the past, has applied net
present value analysis to both demand-side and supply-side resource acquisitions. For example
net present value was used in the Company s assessment of supply-side and demand-side bids
submitted in its year 2000 Request For Proposals and was a key part of the analysis that was
evaluated in the selection of CS2 at that time.
The Commission should, therefore, recognize that Potlatch's "breakeven" analysis
fundamentally flawed, in that it only uses a subset of the data, and does not reflect the life of the
project. Nor is it consistent with normal resource evaluation processes which looks to the net
present value over the life of the project.
Finally, Potlatch refers to a break-even analysis that shows early years will have a rate
impact, and the "cross-over" point does not occur until 2018. Potlatch states that this is "
unreasonable imposition on ratepayers." (Comments of Potlatch at p. 4) As discussed above
however, the mere presence of rate impacts in the early years of analysis of a capital-asset type
generation resource should be expected as a normal characteristic of that type of resource. The
cost-effectiveness of the resource as determined by net present value analysis over the project
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 10
life is the more appropriate determination of the suitability of a particular resource for a utility
resource portfolio 4
Over the 20-year life of the project, the net present value of the rate impact for
acquisition of the second half of CS2 represents a $5.7 million positive value. In the final
analysis, however, Potlatch does not argue that Avista s net present value analysis of the CS2
resource over its useful life is incorrect.
Cost-Effective Resource Alternatives Were Examined Concurrently With The
Company s Decision To Acquire The Second Half Of CS2
Potlatch dismisses the Company s assessment of resource alternatives when it states that
Avista s 'analysis' is also completely irreconcilable with normal utility planning and its IRP
protocols because it considers the CS2 acquisition in a vacuum without examining potential
resource acquisition alternatives." (Comments of Potlatch at p. 4)
A vista and Navigant both examined the relative cost and value of the CS2 acquisition
compared to other natural gas-fired combined cycle generation in the West.Avista
investigation of the market showed that the CS2 purchase price of $62.5 million, or $439 per kW
of installed capacity, is significantly below the cost of comparable projects; moreover this
comparison even included prices for larger projects with a different configuration that tend to
have a lower cost per-kW due to economies of scale:
4 In its Application, A vista has proposed to offset the increase in base rates associated with CS2 with a decrease in
PCA rates by the same amount. This approach mitigates the immediate impact due to the increase in base rates.
Commission Staff notes that "(r)ate stability is important to customers and the Company s proposal achieves this
objective, which Staff believes, offsets the negative aspects of prolonging the recovery period." (Staff Comments at
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION -
Market Comparables for Northwest Combined Cycle Costs
Installed Cost
($/kW)
Source Notes
2nd Half CS2 Price $439 xl confi2uration
AVA 2003 IRP $757 Ix 1 configuration
NWPPC Estimate $606 2x 1 configuration
IPUC SAR $736 Order 26017, Ix!
PSE Frederickson - Low $558 WSJ article
PSE Frederickson - High $590 PSE press release
PGE Port Westward - Low $590 2x 1 configuration
PGE Port Westward - High $670 1 x 1 configuration
Idaho Power Draft' 04 IRP $617 2x 1 configuration
PacifiCorp 2003 IRP $670 Unit type unknown
PSE 2003 IRP $661 2x 1 configuration
(See Application at p. 24)
Commission Staff noted in its comments that:
.. .
the $439 per kW price for CS2 is less than the average price of
$569 per kW for other plants in the West and less than the average
price of $520 per kW for plants in the remainder of the country.
addition, the $439 per kW price for CS2 is far below the new
construction cost estimates assumed by Staff in its avoided cost
calculations, by the Northwest Power and Conservation Council
and by other regional utilities in their IRPs.(Staff Comments at
Avista Continues To Examine Alternatives When Acquiring Needed Resources
Potlatch states that
, "
(tJhere is no analysis at all of the possibility of pushing off the
deficit year beyond 2010 through smaller and less expensive incremental DSM, small power
production, or other resources. Nor is there any comparative analysis of the present value of any
resources except other gas-fired plants." (Comments of Potlatch at pp. 4 - 5)
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 12
Contrary to Potlatch's assertions, Avista has continued to evaluate and acquire DSM
small power production contracts, and other resources For example, Avista has acquired
approximately 83 aMW of demand-side resources over the past fifteen years. A vista continues
to acquire cost-effective DSM resources and anticipates acquisition of an additional 25 aMW of
DSM resource over the next five years. Furthermore, on March 10 , 2005 , the IPUC approved
Avista s proposal to substantially increase incentives offered to customers to implement cost-
effective DSM measures. Therefore, A vista is continuing to pursue cost-effective DSM.
In 2004, Avista acquired, through contract, 35 MW of cost-effective wind resource
capacity consistent with it Preferred Resource Strategy. In 2004, Avista also signed a contract to
purchase approximately 7 aMW of small hydro from the City of Spokane. A vista has acquired
approximately 34 MW of capacity and 7.5 aMW of additional energy generation over the past 5
years through upgrades to its own hydroelectric generation facilities. In addition, A vista plans to
acquire approximately 26 MW of capacity and 8 aMW of energy through future upgrades to its
hydroelectric generation facilities over the next seven years.
Therefore, the Company s resource plans and associated analyses already include other
types of resource acquisition, both past and future, including DSM resources and small power
production resources.The important point is that, even with these cost-effective resource
acquisitions included, both current and future, the Company still shows a need for a cost-
effective resource such as CS2.
5 Regarding the reference to "idled generating capacity" at the Lewiston plant at footnote 3 on page 4 of the
Comments of Potlatch: The 10-year Purchase and Sale Agreement that is currently in place between Avista and
Potlatch affords A vista the sole right to purchase approximately 70 aMW of generation. That generation is currently
idled because it is too costly to operate under current market conditions. However, should market conditions
change, that power can be provided under that Agreement. A vista has also invited Potlatch to meet with A vista to
share the specifics of generation project proposals that they may have developed. Potlatch has presented A vista with
no such proposals. A vista is open to and interested in discussions with resource providers that have well-developed
proposals for cost-effective and reliable electric supply options that meet the resource needs of its customers.
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION -
In summary, and contrary to the assertions of Potlatch, Avista s acquisition of the second
half ofCS2 is entirely consistent with normal utility planning and Avista s IRP protocols. Avista
has considered other alternative resources and has, in fact, included other alternative resources as
part of the implementation of its resource acquisition strategies. As it considered resource
alternatives, Avista found CS2 to be a good value for customers over the 20-year project life. As
accurately observed by Commission Staff
, "
the opportunity to buy the remainder of the CS2
plant exists now, and delaying that purchase is not an option. (Staff Comments at p. 3)
IV.ARGUMENTS CONCERNING THE NEED FOR PRIOR COMMISSION
APPROV AL ARE MISPLACED
The Commission Was Appraised Of The Fact That Avista Had Entered Into A Non-
Binding Letter Of Intent To Purchase Mirant's Half Interest In CS2
Potlatch contends that Avista failed to disclose the CS2 acquisition of Mirant's share
during the recent rate case, and therefore "deprived the Commission of relevant evidence and
denied the Commission and other parties a chance to evaluate the CS2 acquisition prior to
Avista s commitment" (Comments of Potlatch at p. 5) Potlatch refers to the execution of a
Letter of Intent in June 25 , 2004, between Avista and Mirant and contends that Avista "never
mentioned this fact until it signed a contract shortly after the close of the hearings.(Id.
concludes that this conduct "borders on bad faith.(Id.
Potlatch fails to mention that prior to this Commission s decision in the Company s last
rate case (Case No. A VU-04-01), the Commission was apprised of the fact that Avista had
entered into a non-binding letter of intent to purchase Mirant's half-interest in CS2. Indeed
REPLY COMMENTS OF AVISTA CORPORATION - 14
during the pendency of that prior case, Potlatch filed a Motion to Compel Discovery Responses
relating to the facts and circumstances surrounding this possible acquisition from Mirant. The
Commission, in its Order No. 29583, denied Potlatch's Motion, finding that "... the information
sought regarding what is only a 'non-binding letter of intent' would not be relevant in informing
our decision in this case.(Order at p. 3) In so ruling, the Commission referenced Avista
answer to Potlatch's Motion to Compel:
Moreover, Avista notes, it should be recognized that only a
confidential non-binding letter of intent has been executed. A
definitive Purchase and Sale Agreement has yet to be executed.
Unless and until such an agreement is reached, any such purchase
remains indefinite. At issue in this rate case, the Company
contends, are the facts and circumstances known to A vista at the
time it decided to initially acquire Coyote Springs II - not the
terms of a potential purchase several years later of Mirant's share.
Id.
Avista Did Not Enter Into A Binding Purchase And Sale Agreement Until All
Necessary Studies Were Completed
In fact, a definitive Purchase and Sale Agreement was not executed until October 13
2004. Even so, Potlatch asserts
, "
that the Navigant analysis cited as justification for the purchase
is dated September 2004, well after the Letter of Intent was signed." (Comments of Potlatch, fn.
, p.
5) Again, Potlatch conveniently chooses to ignore the fact that the Letter of Intent was, by
its terms non-binding, and was made so, in order for A vista to complete additional due
diligence, including an independent review by Navigant of the economics of the purchase.
Avista did not enter into a binding Purchase and Sale Agreement until October 13, 2004, and not
until it had completed the necessary studies.
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 15
The Second Half CS2 Acquisition Must Be Evaluated Under Current And Projected
Future Conditions
Potlatch also apparently seeks to reargue the valuation issue surrounding the first half of
CS2 that was addressed in the recently concluded case, by asserting that Avista "had in its files
an internal study showing the real value of one half of CS2 was some $40 million less than
Avista s $108 million cost and $14 million lower than Potlatch's estimates." (Comments of
Potlatch at p. 6)That so-called "internal study" presumably refers to Avista s analysis
surrounding the economics of acquiring the second half of CS2 and was prepared given the facts
and circumstances known to it in 2004 - not in 2000, when the decision was made to first
acquire CS2. In contrast, the $108 million paid for the first half of CS2 was reasonable under the
circumstances at the time, as recognized by Staff in their comments in this case. (Staff
Comments at p. 4) Moreover, Staff appropriately recognizes that the $62.5 million price for the
second half of the plant now must be evaluated "under current and future conditions " given
today s "available alternatives and current expectations of costs and revenues associated with
purchase and operations of the plant, not conditions that existed four years ago.(Id.
The Law Does Not Require That Avista Submit The CS2 Acquisition To The
Commission For Consideration Prior To Making A Commitment
Potlatch next argues that
, "
(iJf Avista had submitted the CS2 acquisition to the
Commission for consideration before A vista made a commitment, the Commission could have
made a decision on the merits without worrying about any adverse consequences to A vista if
rejected the proposed acquisition." (Comments of Potlatch at p. 6) Potlatch concludes that
Avista has "frustrate(edJ a before-the-fact review of the acquisition.
" (
Id.
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 16
Potlatch is unable to cite to any precedent that requires a regulated utility to seek prior
Commission approval (i., a "before-the-fact review ) before acquiring a resource constructed in
a different jurisdiction. Indeed, the only reference to any legal authority whatsoever by Potlatch
is a passing mention of Idaho Code 961-526 in a footnote appearing elsewhere at page 2 of its
comments. Idaho Code 961-526 pertains to the need to obtain a certificate of public convenience
and necessity before constructing a "line, plant, or system" in the State of Idaho. Potlatch even
concedes, in its footnote, that the statute "speaks only to the construction of a plant " but argues
elementary logic compels the conclusion that utilities should be similarly required to
demonstrate a need for acquired plants.(Id.at p. 2) In doing so, Potlatch ignores the plain
meaning of the statute and the fact that neither the courts nor the Commission have construed
961-526 to apply to existing resources acquired in other jurisdictions.By way of recent
example, in the just-concluded rate case (A VU-04-01), Potlatch did not even contend that
Avista should have sought a "before-the-fact" review from the Commission when it constructed
the first half of CS2. There is no basis in law or in fact for requiring such pre-approval with
respect to the acquisition of the second half of CS2.
Simply put, the law does not require that A vista submit the CS2 acquisition to the
Commission for consideration before it makes a commitment, nor has that been the
Commission s practice. The prudence of any acquisition will be ultimately addressed, but is not
required before a request is made to include the resource in rates.
In conclusion, Potlatch's arguments concerning the significance of a non-binding Letter
of Intent, the need to essentially re-examine the valuation of the first half of CS2, and the need
for prior Commission approval with respect to the second half of CS2, are all wide of the mark.
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORATION - 17
CONCLUSION
A vista has supported its Application for inclusion of the second half of CS2 in rates by
showing that it does have a need for resources and that acquisition of the second half of CS2 is
cost-effective. Commission Staff concurs with Avista s determination of resource need and
finding of resource cost-effectiveness as well as with the proposed rate-making treatment.
DATED at Spokane, Washington, thisJ.!ith day of March 2005.
VISTA CORPORATION
BY:
~/
id J. Meye
Chief Counsel for Regulatory and
Governmental Affairs
REPLY COMMENTS OF A VISTA CORPORA nON -
EXHIBIT 0
Loads and Resources
(Previously supplied as workpapers together with the Application)
Reply Comments of A vista Corporation
Case No. AVU-O5-
WORKP APERS
Loads and Resources
Application of A vista Corporation
Case No. A VU-O5-
Avista Utilities
Long- Term Energy Load and Resource Tabulation (aMW)
2005- 2024
. '. .
August 13,2004
Exhibit 0
Page 1 of 47
VERSION
LOADS
Average Load
Potlatch Net Load
CONTRA CT RI GHTS
BP Energy
Duke Buergy
EJ Paso
Grant Displl~"""nt
Haleywclt
Morgan StaDJey
PGE Capacity Rcmm
PPM WiDe:!
SmaD Power
Upriver
WNP-3
CONTRACT OBUGA nONS
Canadian EntitiemeDI
NicboJs PuJqUng
PGE Capacity
HYDR 0 RESOUR n:..~
Spokane Rivrz
Clark Fort
Mid-Columbia
THERMAL RESOURr'P.~
Boulder Part
Colstrip
Coyote Springs 2
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer
Kettle FaDs
Kettle FaDs CT
Northeast
Rathdrum
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
08113104
Based on 2OOS BIIJ'CUS forecast dated 07-27-2004.
Represents load Det of geDCrBlion, based on 2OOS Barcus forecast dated 07-27-2004.
2S MW flat from 01-01-2007 to 12-31-2010.
50 MW fiat from 01-01-2004 to 12-31-2006.
2S MW fiat from 01-01-2004 to 12-31-2006 and 75 MW flat from 01-01-2007 to 12-31-2010.
Starts 11-01-2005, expires 09-30-2011; Degotiated seUlemeDt with Gnmt for Priest aDd Wanapum.
000 MWh per JDODtb, expires 09-30-2006, expected to be JCDewed.
2S MW flat from 0I-O1-20Q4 to 12-31-2006.
Expires 12-31-2016.
Expires 03-31-2014.
sman PURPA resources - Sheep Cn:ck. PbDlips RaDcb, Deep Creek. Meyers FaDs, MinDesota MetbaDe, Jim Ford. John Day, and Den- Creek.
Expires 06-30-2004, expected to be JCDewed.
Expires 06-30-2019.
Expires 09-30-2024.
Energy is used f~ pumping at Colsbip.
Expin:s 12-31-2016.
Based on NWPP 2003-2004 Headwater Beue1its Study, modified for daily spin.
Mid-C contract expirations - Priest Rapids (10-31-2005), Wanapum (10-31-2009), Rocky Reach (10-31-2011). WeDs (09-30-2018).
Limited to 1,700 hours of operation per year, which has been applied to the period ofbigbest typjcaJ market prices.
MAIN'IENANCE AND FORMm OUI'AGEBoulder Park 95'11 availability.Colstrip 89.21J1 availability.
Coyote Springs 2 95'11 availability, 1.9CJ, line losses.
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer 95'11 availability, 1.9'11 line losses.Kettle FaDs 97.41J1 availability.Kettle FaDs CT 951J1 availability.Northeast 95'11 availability.Rathdrum 90'11 availability - peak operations.
WNP-3 Obligation
A vista Utilities
Assumed 111 highest level ofpossibJe obligation, expires 06-30-2019.
Energy L&R Exhibit 0
Page 2 of 47
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J
Energ)' Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Y Dr 2005 J8D Feb Mar Apr Mar JIID Jul Au&Sep Oct No~Dee Amw8J
WRAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
rnAnl!
A vaap Load 123 1.D77 -1,009 -881 825 824 945 984 88J 942 970 116 -uno 843 -937 010 965PoIlIICh NIIt Load :J1'::tl :!JSub-Total -1,166 -1,120 .,25 -8A -86'7 -989 -1,027 .,25 -986 -1,013 -1,160 -1,111 -817 .981 .1,0S3 -1,G08
CONTR C"T OBLJGA 'nONS
C...a"i.... 1=JI~
......
Nichols PumpiDa
PGE Capacit;r :!l :!l :!l ::!l :iaSub-Total "'2 062 -62 "'1 "'1 -60 -64 oCi4 -'2 -60 ..60 -61
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,221 -1,1B2 -1,109 -9H .,32 .,28 -1,091 .,82 -1,D4'-1,873 ". -1,216 -1,173 -949. -1,041 -1,113 -1,069
CONTRAC"T RIGHTS
BP Encrzy
Duke EDezv
B1 PlIO
GtaDt DisplICClMD1
HIlcyweat
Morpn Stanley
PGE Capacit;y Retum
PPM Wmd
Sma1) Power
Upriver
WNP-.. J.m.l2l..!Q1 ill .ti1Sub-Total 275 277 227 180 175 167 167 159 169 287 284 259 164 246 216
HYDR RESOURCES (Averap Wiler)
Spobme River 138 152 160 168 168 IS2 118 137 ISO 163 116 125
CIarIc Fort 212 276 275'369 603 613 394 263 .132 149 275 2SS 254 529 264 226 318
Mid-coJ.umbia .u!ll.Q J.m.ill illSub-Total 488 S38 537 649 I4(j 841 S87 393 266 317 4S9 467 520 780 417 414 532
(FuJJ Capability LeIs Outaacs)
Boulder Park ' 15 15
MaiDt. &. Pon:cd Outage
Coistrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 ' 222 222 222 222 " 222
Maim. &. Forced Outage
Co)'OIe Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 J28 128
Maim. &. farced Outage .06
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer
Maim. &. forced Outage
Kettle Palls
MaiDt &. Forced Outage -12
Kettle Pans CT
Maint. at farced Outage :2.
Sub-Total 406 406 406 405 395 383 406 406 406 406 406 406 406 394 406 406 403
TOTAL RESOURCES 1,161 1,221 169 1,283 1,422 1,400 160 966 831 893 151 157 1,185 1,369 987 1,066 151
POSITION 297 490 " 472 112 -125 -150 -157 420 -47
- -- -- -
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
REOUIREMENTS
8~ CcmfideDce IDIeI'YI1 208 162 195 198 155 191 261 133 -115 144 189 181 164 118 -163
WNP.3 ObliptiCIII :llSub-Total 24'-203 237 240 155 -2.13 261 133 -137 138 156 185 231 209 -17&-160 194
AKING RE OURCES (PuJ1 CapabJ1ity Less Outaps)
Nonbeut 27
Maint. IT. forced Outage
Ratbdrum 154 152 150
.,
147 14S 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 ISO 147
Maint " Porced Outage -IS -44 .J.4 .14 .14 .15
Sub-Total 139 137 13S'125 101 128 151 174 167 132 136 138 137 118 164 135 139
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION -170 -42 182 436 367 120 .162 .)06 329
Updated August 13. 2004
A vista Utilities Energy LA Exhibit 0
Page 4 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2006 J8D Feb Mar Apr Ma1 JIID Jill Sep Oc:t No.Dee AammI
WRAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
IT nAn!i:
Awnge LaId 159 -1.108 -1,041 -910 -8S2 852 977 loOn -915 975 002 154 -1,-171 970 -1,D44 997PoIJatcb Net Load
Sub-To&8J -1,203 -1,152 ~ 1,080 -'55 -89fj -896 -1,021 -1,062 .9.9 020 .1.04'-1,l99 -1,145 915 -1,015 .l,O89 -1,041
~n~
("'.-..Ii...EDtidemalt 04
...........................................
N"JCbols PumpiD&
PGE Capacity
:!!
:!2
;:g :;g
Sub-TotaJ -'0 -'0 -.9 ,56 -'0 -'0 .59
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,2Ii3 -1,212 -1,140 -1,014 .957 .955 -1,D79 -1,124 -1,014 -1,0&1 -1,106 '1.254 -1,2D5 -975 1,D73 1,148 -1,100
BP Energy
Duke Enqy '50 SCIEI Paso
Grant Displaccmem
Haleyweat
MDIJID StlDley
PGE Capacity Retum
PPM Wind
SIIJIlI
Upriwlr
WNP-lQl J.Ql J.Ql lQl.Sub-TataJ 289 291 241 2S2 210 205 193 185 176 187 290 ;JET 184 2S4
HYDRO RESOURCES (Awnp Wider)
SpokaDe Riva'138 152 160 168 168 152 118 137 ISO 163 116 125Clark rode 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 25S 2S4 529 264 226 318Mid-CoJumbja .8t !iI 1i!l !!iSub-TataJ 441 505 506 615 133 828 566 372 246 293 45J 485 760 396 406 511
.-
(Fun Capability Las Outages)
Boulder
Maim. " Farced 0II1ap
Co1strip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDt. 4:. Forced Outage -69 -47 24'-47
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
Maim. 4:. Forced Outap -61
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumcr
MaiDL 4:. Forced Outap
Keu1e Falls
MaiD1. " Forced Outap
Kettle Falls
Maint. " Forced Outage
Sub-TataJ 405 406 406 406 281 358 405 406 406 406 406 406 406 347 406 406 391
TOTAL RESOURCES 142 1,202 1.153 1,274 1,323 1,391 165 827 886 1,154 1,160 164 1,329 986 1,1)66 1,136
POSITION 120 260 366 436 -162 .187 -195 .94 -40 354 -82
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
8()'1, Coufadencc lnt.erval 204 1'"-190 193 1,..190 258 .129 .115 144 184 178 161 118 160
WNP.3 Obliplicm
:;g :;g :;g ,:g
:62
:!!
:3lSub-Tata1 .246 195 .232 2.'\4 154 .231 .258 129 -135 135 -157 -186 206 .175 159 !!II
IPEAKING (Full Capability Less Qutaaes)
Northeast
MaiDL "Farced OuIaae
RaIbdrum 154 152 150 147 145 J42 140 J40 143 147 15J 153 152 145 141 150 147MaiDL " Forced Qulap
' "
-61 1-'.15
Sub-TotaJ 139 137 12&108 128 151 174 167 132 136 1.18 132 107 164 135 135
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION -228 -69 III 320 332 -117 -155 -198 )42 134 255 -97 106
Updated August 13, 2CIO4
A vista Utilities
Exhibit
Page 5 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2007 Feb Mar Apr Ma1 Jua JuJ Aue Sep Oct No.Dee ADDUaI
A WRAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
, '"'...,..,.~
wRp LaId -1.184 130 1.062 -929 -169 -I'7J)-996 -1.935 995 -1.022 -1.178 -1.12S -18'990 -1.065 -1.017PoIlatch Nal.a8d :fi .:!Z
Sub-T.taI -l,23O -1,l'16 -1,l03 .,,6 -915 -916 -1.D42 -1,D8S -981 -1,641 -1,068 -1,225 -1,169 -935 -1,(137 -1,112 -1,1163
Jr.A'n'n"'1i:
CanadiDI BDtitlcmeat
...
. -4Nichols PumpiDa
PGE Capacily =:U :!4 .:!Z
:;g :;g
Sub-T.tal .(iO ""I .fiO -59 .5'-55 ""2 .(iO .fiO .59
TOTAL REQUIJUtMENTS -1,28'-l,23fi -1,162 -1,035 -97'1 -"5 -1,100 -1,146 -1,036 -1,103 -1,1%7 . -1,280 -1,229
-'"
-1,095 -1,171 -1.w
BP Eueq:y
Duke &agy
BI Paso
Grant Displacemalt 3D,HaJeywar . 4
Morpil StaDJey
PGE Capacily ReIum !48
....
PPM W"md
smaU Powa-
U priwIr
WNP.J.Q1.ill ill !Q!Sub-Tela)292 29.c 245 2S5 207 195 186 178 188 291 28'276 :us 187 256 2J6
J.fVnR (Awnge W8la')
Spakm: Riwr ~38 IS2 160 168 168 152 111 137 ISO 163 116 125ClaI:k Fort 212 276 27S 369 603 613 394 263 132 J49 27S ' 255 2S4 S29 264 226 318Mid-CoIumbia 11.f!QSub-Total 441 505 506 615 133 828 56fi 372 246 4551 4fi7 485 '160 406 511
(Fan Capability Less Outages)
Boulder Put 2S.
Maint. &. Forced Outage
ColsDip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 . 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222MaiD1. &. Forced Outage 24
"'"
-47 -4'1
CoyoIe Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 J28 128 128 . 128 128MaiD1. &. Fan:ed Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumcr
MaiDt.. &. Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiD1. &. Forced Outage
Kettle FaDs CT
MaiD1. &. Forced Outage
Sub-Total .cos 406 4Ofi 406 340 3fiO .cos 4Ofi 406 406 4Ofi 4OG 4Ofi 3(i8 406 4Ofi 396
TOTAL RESOURCES 145 1,2OS 1,LS6 1,277 1,385 1,3'5 1,l66 964 830 887 156 162 1,167 1,353 '88 1,067 1,143
POSITION -144 -Ii 241 408 . 419 182 206 216 -119 357 -106 -103
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
CoarIdeDce lnterYII 204 154 190 -192 154 190 2S1 -129 liS 144 184 178 161 liB 160WNP.3 Obligation :ll.:llSub-T.taI 246 195 -232 234 231 258 129 135 -135 -157 -186 225 206 -175 159 -191
IPEAKINt'".(Fun CapablliIy Less Outages)
Northeast 27
..
MaiDt. &. FORZd Outage
Ratbdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 J40 140 143 J47 1St IS3 IS2 14S 141 ISO 147
MainL &. Forced Outage 23
' '
.14 -IS -IS .19Sub-Total 139 137 121.!14 L1O 128 151 174 167 132 l36 138 134 117 164 135 138
CONTINGENCY NET POSmON 252 Ill 101 385 316 -41 138 -175 218 -166 153 269 -117 127
Upda1ed August 13. 2004
Avista Utilities Energ)' L Exhibit 0
Page 6 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
9 NFID ENTIAL
ar 2001 Felt Mar Apr Mar JUD Jul AD&Sep Oct No\'AIIDU8J
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
wrap LaId -1,220 -1,J62 -1.002 957 -895 -897 -1,D24 -1,D69 96$-1,023 -1,050 -1,213 -1,158 9J6 -1,020 -1,D!16 -1,048PotIaIch Net LaId :!l :4!Sub-Tol8I -1,266 -1,208 -1,l33 -1,004 -Nl -!142 -1,070 -1,1lS -1,011 -1,070 -J..8'6 -1,260 -1,202 -9Q -1,066 -1,142 -1,fW3
C.8ftAlli...Emitlemc:ll1
Nichols PumpiIIa
PGE Caplcit)':!l :4!:4!:!2 :!l -48Sub-Tela)-'0 -60 -59 -62 -55 -59 -59 -60 -59
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,3~-1;JGI -1,D3 -l,O64 -1,fJ03 -1,001 -1,l28 -1,177 -1,D66 -1,l31 -1,156
, .
-1,315 -l,262 -1,022 -1,124 -1,201 1,Ln
SP EDergy
Duke EDcri:1.
EI PuG
Grant DispJ-
Haleywesl
MorpII SbIIIlcy
PGE Capaci~ Rc&una
PPM WiDd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-lID..8!lID.Sub-Tela)292 289 245 255 212 '1Jf1 195 116 178 188 2511 275 22S 117 2S6 23S
(Averap WIICr)
Spokane River 138 J52 160 168 168 152 118 137 ISO 163 116 125Clark Fork 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 J49 275 2S5 2S4 529 264 226 3J8Mid-C:OJumbia .!2 1! .fiQSub- Tol8I 448 SOS . SO6 615 133 828 S66 372 246 293 467 486 760 396 406 511
(PulJ Capability Less Outaaea)
Boulder Pule 25 . 25
Maim. " Fan:cd Outage
Colslrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MainL "Farced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
MaiDL "Farced Outage -88 ' -6
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumc:r
MaiD!. " Forced Outage
Kettle FaJ1a
Maim. " Farced 0uIage -12 -12
Keulc FaUs CT
MaiDL "Forced Outage
Sub- Tol8I 406 406 405 406 304 393 405 406 406 406 406 406 406 367 406 4OG 396
TOTAL. RESOURCES 1,146 1,l99 155 1,277 1,349 1,428 166 B3O 887 1,156 162 166 1,351 988 1,DG7 143
POSITION -180 -67 213 346 ' 427 213 236 244 -154 329 -136 134
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
REOUIREMENTS
B()8I, Couf'JdcDce 1mcrvaI 204 153 190 192 .153 190 258.129 JJ5 144 183 -178 161 117 160
WNP-3 Obliptiaa :!l :!l :!l :!l :ll :llSub-Total 246 -232 234 153 231 -258 .129 -135 -135 -157 -186 -225 206 175 -159 -191
IPEAKlNG RES (Fun CapabiliI;y Less Outaaes)
Nartheut 28 " SO
MaiDL &. Forced Outage
Ratbdrum 154 152 150 147 14S 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 J41 ISO J47
MaiDL &. Forced Outage -IS 23 :.46 14:
Sub-Total 13'137 12'.102 123 121 152 174 161i 132 134i 138 134 117 164 135 138
CONTINGENCY NET POsnION 287 125 142 315 324 -67 168 206 247 :WI -186 241 -146 -158
Updated August 13, 2004
A vista Utilities Ent!
Exhibit 0
Page 7 of 47
Energy Loads and Reso~
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2009 Mar Apr MaJ Jaa Jill ADz Sep Oct N."Dee:AonuaJ
WRAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
Avera~ Load 1,261 -1,197 -1,126 9B8 92(-926 1,Q54 102 -998 055 1,D82 1.252 195 946 -1,052 130 1,DB0Potlatch Net Load :il.-46 046Sub-Total -1,3(16 -1,243 -1.1.67 -1,035 -"0 -9'71 -1,101 1,148 -1,o.w -1,101 -1,l2B -1,298 -1,239 -992 -l,IW8 -1,176 -1,126
(".......-li..n EDtitIcmeDt
Nichols PumpiJIa
roE Capacity -44
Sub-Total 061 -59 -55 .Q)-58 -58
TOTAL REQtJJREMENTS -1,366 -l,3O3 -1,227 -1,IW5 -1,D32 -1,C13O -1,158 -1,210 -1,899 -1,1G3 -1,185." -1,352 -1,2"-1,052 -1,l56 -1,234 -1,185
DP BneriY
Duke E.DI:rzy
E1 PUG
GIant DispJacemcm
HaJeywcat
Morpn StaDlB)"
roE Capacity Return
PPM W iDd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-J.m.J.m.J.m.lfiSub-Total 292 294 24S 25S 212 207 195 186 178 . 188 291 2'76 225 187 256 2J6
-'--
(Averap Wita')
Spokane River 138 152 160 168 J68 152 1)8 137 150 163 116 J25Clark 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 255 254 529 264 226 318Mid-Columbia tiQSub-Total 448 50S SO6 '15 833 128 566 372 246 293 42'7 430 485 760 383 50S
(FuD CapahilityLess Outages)
Boulder Park
MaiDL &. Forced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDt..&. Fon:cd Outa~
' -
-69 -47 -47
Coyote SpriDp 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
Maim. '&. Forced Outage,
Coyote SpriDp 2 dud bumct
MaiDL 8z. FCRCd Outage
Keale Falls
MainL &. Forced Outage
.....
Kettle Falls
MaiaL " Forced Outa~
Sub-Total 406 405 405 406 330 336 406 406 406 406 405 406 406 357 406 406 393
TOTAL RESOURCES 146 1.204 1,lSCi,1,277 1,375 1,371 167 964 830 887 1,123 125 167 1,341 989 1,644 1,135
POSITION 220 -99 182 343 340 246 269 275 -62 227 -131 289 -168 190 -50
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
OUIREMENTS
80$ ConfideDcc lDtcrvaJ 204 153 190 192 -153 J9O 2S8 129 .93 113 141 183 178 161 116 159
WNP-3 ObliptiOD :lZ
:!!
=llSub-Tol8I 246 -195 231 134 -153 -231 158 129 135 135 -155 183 225 205 -175 -158 -190
PEAKING RESOURCES (FuD Capability Less Outages)
N ortbcast . 50
Maint. &. Forced Outa~
Rathdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 150 147
MaiD1. &. Forced Outage 30
' "
-14 -15
Sub-Tol8I 139 137 120.130 128 152 174 132 136 138 131 117 164 135 137
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION 327 157 183 320 237 201 238 278 272 224 201 -178 212 -104
Updatccl August 13. 2004
A vista Utilities Energy L&R I Exhibit 0
Page 8 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2010 Feb Mar Apr May Jua Jul AuC Sep bet NOY Dee AmwaJ
WRAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
wrqc Load 1.297 -1,229 -1,157 1.016 9S0 952 1,0&2 -1,132 027 -l.oB3 -1,110 1,287 -1,227 972 -I.DB1 161 -1,110PotlaIch Net Load :!Z
Sub- To1aJ -1,.142 -1,%75 -1,198 -1,063 -996 -W7 -1,128 -1,178 .1,D73 -1,12t -1,15(i -1,333 -1,%71 -1,011 -1,127 - I;Jl17 -1,156
CaD8&ti1ll1 Eulitlcmaut
Nichols PuD:apinJ
. -
PGB Capacity -44 ::4!Sub-To1aJ .QI -57 .(iO .(iO
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,400 1,333 -1.255 -1,120 -1,OS5 -1,G54 -1,184 -1,238 1,126 -1,189 -1,213 . -1,3B7 -1,329 -1,G77 -1,183 -1,264 -1,213
NT'RA
BP E.aer&Y
Duke EDergy
EI Puo
Gnuu Disp1acemeat
HaIeywest
Morpn SIIII1Iey
PGB Capacity ReIum
PPM Wmd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-lQl .!Ql llU.
Sub-To1aJ 292 294 244 2S5 212 2If1 194 186 178 188 2!ll %76 224 186 2SG 235
HYD O RESOURCES (Avenge Water)
Spokane River 138 152 160 168 168 152 118 137 150 163 116 115
Clark Fork 212 %76 275 369 603 613 ' 394 263 132 J49 275 2S5 2S4 529 264 226 318
Mid-Co1umbia 11.Sub-Total 400 467 471 S77 810 804 539 355 226 269 427 430 44S 731 375 375 481
(Pull Capability Less Outages)
Boulder
MaiJJt. &. Fma:d Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
Maim. &. Fon:ed Outage
' -
-69 -47 -47
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
Maim. &. Forced Outap .01
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer 12.
Maim. " Forced Outage I .
KcuJc Falls
MaiuL &. Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MainL &. Forced Outage :1.Sub-To1aJ 405 405 406 406 301 360 405 405 406 ' 406 406 406 405 3SS 405 406 393
TOTAL RESOURCES 097 166 1,121 1,238 1,323 1,371 1,139 946 810 863 1,124 125 1,127 1,310 l,0J6 109
PosmON 302 167 .134 117 267 , 316 -45 292 316 326 262 202 2..'4 217 21.7 -104
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
8()'1, Confidcucc IDu:rval 198 143 184 -184 ISO 186 253 125 .113 141 176 173 157 115 -155
WNP-3 Obligatioo :7J.:liSub-Total 240 -114 225 2,26 .150 221 153 -125 133 -132 155 .183 218 201 -171 -157 186
PEAJCI G RESOURCES (FuJI Capability Less Outages)
, ,
Nmtheast 28 " 50
MainL &. Forced Outage
Ratbdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 150 147
MaiD1. &. forced Outage '-46 1.4 -IS -IS -28
Sub-Total 13'137 102 108 128 152 174 132 131i 138 124 112 164 135 134
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION -403 214 262 226 216 -146 243 283 327 109 306 -2%146 223 249 -156
UpdalCd August 13, 2004
A vista Utiliti~
Exhibit 0
Page 9 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2011 Fcb Mar Apr Mal Juu Jul AUK Sep Oct No"Dee ADnuai
WRAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
nAn~
A WDF Load 1.332 -1,260 187 1,D44 975 978 109 -1,162 1,QS7 111 -1,138 1.322 -1,260 999 -1,110 191 140Podatch Net LaId :!l :iBSub-Total -1,380 -1,3OB -1,230 -1.1193 -1,023 -1,025 -1,lS7 -1,210 -1,105 -1,1S!I -1,181i -1,370 -1,3(16 -1,047 -1,158 -1,239 -1,187
I"'nNTR
l"..an""i....EDlitJcmeat
N"lChoJs PumpiD&
PGE CapaciI)'
,:g
:S!:S!:!lSub-Total -58 -58 -58 .s7 -57 S(j -60 .s7
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1,437 -1,366 -1,287 -1,1SO -1,083 -1,081 -1,213 -1,270 -1,158 -1,219 -1,242 " -1,422 -1,364 -1,105 -1.,%14 -1,295 -l,244
SP EncrJy
Duke Encr&Y
EI Puo
GrIDt Displlccmcut
HaJeywat
Morpn SIllD1ey
PGE Clpacjl;)' Rcbma
PPM Wind
Small Power
UpriWl'10,
WNP.ill lQl.It,J.m.lQ!Sub-Tol81 192 J.9.C 144 155 112 107 171'169 176 l2oC 137 131
HYDRO RESOURCES (Averqe WaJer)
Spokme HiWI'138 152"160 168 168 152 118 137 150 163 125
Clarlc Fork 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 255 2S4 529 264 226 318
Mid-coJumma 11. .Ii ll.
Sub-Total 399 46It 470 S1'BO9 804 538 3S4 226 268 4Of 411 445 731 374 3G2 477
THERMAL RESOURCES (FuD CapabilityLcss Outqes)
Boulder fiat . 2S . 2S
MaiDL " forced Outage
Co1strip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDt. &. forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
MaiDL II. forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer
MaiDL &. farced Outage
Kettle falls
MaiDL II. forced Outage
Kettle faDs CT
MaiDL &. forced 0u1aF
Sub-Tol81 405 405 405 406 385 382 406 406 406 406 4OIi 406 405 391 406 406 402
TOTAL RESOURCES O6tt 020 1,137 1,306 1,292 1,039 846 710 743 '87 !l86 1,026 1,246 867 905 010
PosmON -441 301 '1.67 2.23 ' Z10 -174 -424 -448 -476 Z55 -436 338 141 348 391 234
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
REOUIREMENTS
8~ CoarIdcDcc lDtcrvII 198 142 183 184 150 186 -253 -125 JJ3 -139 176 173 157 -lJ4 -155
WNP-3 Oblipbaa :II.
:!!
:li
Sub-Tolld 240 -184 225 226 150 228 153 -125 -133 -131 -lSC -181 217 201 -171 156 -186
ICING RESOURCES (Pull Capability Las Outages)
N ar1heast 27 .' 50
MaiDL " forced Outage
Ralbdrum 154 152 ISO 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 150 147
MaiDt. " forced Outage -IS -46 -15
Sub-Total 139 137 102 115 128 151 174 167 132 136 138 137 115 164 135 138
CONTINGENCY NET PosmON S4Z 348 -357 137 189 276 375 -414 -476 Z73 -479 -418 354 -411 282
Updaled August 13. 2004
Avisla Utilities Energy L&R (
Exhibit 0
Page 10 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
NFID ENTIAL
Year 2012 J8D Mar Apr May Juu Jul Au&Sep Oct NO'f Dee Annual
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
Average Load 1.362 -1.286 1,212 067 .996 999 -1,132 187 -1.D81 -1,134 161 1,350 -1,286 020 134 1,216 -1,164Potlatch Net LaId :!2 :!l .:9 .:9 ::!I :!B :4l .:9Sub-Total 1,409 . -1,255 -1,116 -1,044 -1,D4(i -1.180 -1,235 -1,129 -1,183 -1,2(W -1,3'8 -1,332 . -l,OO -1,182 -l,264 -1,212-- ,--u-
Cauadillll=.Dtit~
Nichols PumpiD&
PGE Capacity ::fl :4l :8t :4l :Sl ::!I ::fl .:9Sub-Total .56 .55 .56 .58 !;1 .56
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1,466 -1,38'-1,311 -1,172 .1,103 .1.102 .1,234 -1.2'3 -1,181 .1,241 -1.,26S . -1,451 .1,3U -1,125 -1,237 -1,319 -1,268
BP Eriergy , 0Duke Buqy
El PUG
Grant Displaccmmat
Haleywea
Morgan StIIlJcy
PGE Capacil;)' RetunI
PPM WiDd
Small Power
Uprivar
WNP.ill .2l !Ql l.Ql €l.Sub-Total 175 171.127 129 172 169 157 137 113
, HYDRO RESOURCES (A'Va'Ip WIIr:t) .
Spokane Rivar 138 152 160 168 168 152 118 137 150 163 116 125
CImk Fort 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 255 2S4 529 264 226 318Mid-CoIumbia .1:!Sub-Total 373 446 ' 452 S56 789 783 515 335 210 254 409 410 423 710 354 357
(FuJI Capability Less Outqcs)
Boulder
Maim. "Fon:ed Outage
Cobtrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222Maim. " Farced Outage -69 -47 -47
Coyo1c Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 121 128 128Maim. " Farced Outage -88
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer 12 .Maim. " Fon:ed Outap
ICcUJe FalJa
Maim. " Forced Outage
Keu1c Falb CT
Maim. " Farced Outage
Sub-Total 485 485 485 406 271 348 406 406 406 406 406 406 485 341 406 406 3!1O
TOTAL RESOURCES '53 1,023 984 1,(191 140 1,206 987 807 675 729 987 985 986 146 825 899 963
POSITION 512 367 327 104 247 -486 506 512 279 -465 -403 -412 -420 304
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
OUIREMENTS
8K Ccmr 1dcDcc lDIr:rvaJ .192 135 180 179 146 184 249 120 -113 139 170 169 153 114 151WNP-3 ObliptiDD :!l
:.!!
::44 :llSub-Totlil .234 -177 221 2.20 .1".225 249 -120 -131 -131 .154 .181 211 197 .167 155 182
ICING RES URCES (Fun Capability Less Outqcs)
Northeast 27 " 50
MaiDt. " Forced Outage
Ruhdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 150 147
' ,.
MainL 8.: forced Outage -14Sub-Total 13'137 127 130 151 174 167 132 136 138 134 117 164 135 138
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION -608 -407 -421 208 344 -432 -470 510 297 508 -480 -415 -440 349
Updated August 13, 2004
A vista Utilities
Exhibit 0
Page 11 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2013 Feb M.8r Apt 1481 JuJ Aul Sep Oct N.."Dee AmwaI
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
A WftIC LaId -1.393 -1,314 1,238 1,Q91 -1,019
. -
022 156 1,213 -1,107 159 -1,186 -1,3BO 1,315 044 159 1.242 190
PoIJIdCh Net Load :!l -48
Sub-Tol81 -1,440 -1,3(il -1,281 -1,140 -1JKj1 -1,G6!1 -1,204 -1,2itl -l,155 .1,207 -1,234 -1,4%8 -1,361 -l,O9%-l,2O7 -1,290 -1,237
CIDadian Elllitlcmalt
N'1Cbols PumpiDa
PGE Capacity -44 :i2
:;g
Sub-Tol81 -57 -56 -56 -54 !!t1 !!t1
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,4'"-1,411 .1,337 -1,196 -l,12S -1,115 -l,258 .1,31'1,2OG -l,2(i5 -1,290 -1,481 1,418 -1,149 -~,2ti2 -1,346 -l,2P3
NTRA
BP EueJv
Duke Eocru
EI Puo
Gnm1 Displaccmall
Haleyweltk
Morpn StmJcy
PGE Capacity ReIIInI
PPM W iDd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP.lQ!.l2l..1Ql
Sub- Tol8I 175 177 127,12t 172 169 lS!I 137 113
HYDRO RESOURCES (Awnp Water)
SpokaDc River 13B 152 160 168 168 1S2 liB 137 ISO 163 116 12S
Clark. Port 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 2SS 2S4 529 26C 226 318
Mid-Columbia
.!!
11
Sub- Tol8I 372 44S 451 S55 788 713 514 334 209 253 408 409 422 710 354 356 460
(fuJJ Capability Less Outaps)
Boulder Park
Maint. " Farced Outage
. -
2 .
CoIstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
Maint. &:. Pon:ed Outage -69 -47 -47
Coyote SpriDgs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 12B 12B
Maim. " Forced Outage
Springs 2 duct bumcr
Maim. " Forced 0u1lF
Kettle PaDI
Maim. &:. Forced Outage -12
Kettle Palo
Maim. "Forced Outage
Sub-Total 405 406 406 405 351 348 406 406 4O(j 406 406 406 405 361 406 406 396
TOTAL RESOURCES 952 1,0%7 984 1,089 1,219 1,206 987 807 674 729 986 984 986 172 824 899 970
POSITION 545 391 354 .107 272 513 532 537 304 -496 -431 -438 -447 324
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
OUIREMENTS
8~ CoorJdence IDIa'YII -192 -135 -179 .179 146 184 249 120 -112 -139 170 169 .153 114 151
WNP-3 ObligatiDII :41 :!l
:!!
:41 =ll
Sub-Total -234 177 .221 220 .146 225 24'-120 .131 .131 154 181 1!17 .167 155 182
JaNG RESOURCES (PuD Capability Less Outages)
Nortbt:ut 28
MainL &:. Fon:ed Outage
RaIhdJvm 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 JSI 153 152 145 141 ISO J47
MainL &:. Porced 0u1lF 38
" '
-46 -IS
Sub-Tol8I 13'137 11::102 123 u:s 152 174 166 13%136 138 12!1 117 164 135 137
CO1\'TINGENCY NET POSITION 640 -431 -463 226 1(i 368 -459 -497 535 322 539 514 -441 -467 369
Updated August 13. 2004
AvisUi Utilities Energy L&R 0;Exhibit 0
Page 12 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
C p NFID ENTIAL
Ye8J' 2014 Feb Mar Apr MIl,JUD Jul Alii Sep Oct No,Dee Annual
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
".,....n~
A 'VCr8JC Load .1,426 1,343 -l.266 117 1,042 046 181 1,241 134 -1,185 1,212 412 1,345 1,(168 -1,186 -1,270 -1,217Potlatch Net Load :!l :!I :!ISub-Total -1,473 -1.3'0 -1,166 -1.0'0 -l.D93 -1,22t -1,2U -1,182 -1,233 -1,2liO -1,460 -)..391 -1,116 -1,234 -1,318 -1,265
ArwP ,.,.... "r.ATlnN~
Canadian EndtIemeat
Nichols Pumping
PGE CapICity :!l :!IISub-Total
.!j/
.55
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .1,530 1,447 -1,36S -1,2%2 -1,149 .1,14'-1,284 -l,347 -1,233 -1,291 1,316
.. .
1,513 -1,448 .1,173 1,289 .1,374 .1,320
BP EDcrgy
Duke EnerIY
BI Paso
Grant DispJacemaat
H8Ieywest
MorgaII StaDler
PGE Capacity Retum
PPM Wind
SmaD Power
UpriWll'
WNP-.un.ill .1Q J.Ql.Sub-Total 175 177 1%7 118 161 159 1%7 106
HYDRO RESOQRCES (Awrage W8Ia')
Spalame Riw:r 138 152 160 168 168 152 118 137 ISO 163 116 125
Clarlt Fart 212 276 27S 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 2SS 2S4 529 264 226 318
11.1.1 . 11
Sub-Total 371 445 451 554 788 782 513 334 2CW 253 407 408 . 421 709 354 356
(Full Capability Less Outages)
Boulder 25'
MaiDL &. Farced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MainL &. Forced Outage
Coyote Sprinp 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
MainL &. Forced Outage -61
Coyob: Springs 2 duct bumcr
MainL &. Forced Outage
Ketdc FaDs .
MaiDl. 4: Forced Outage -43 .!2
Kettle FaDs
MaiDl. &. Forced Outage
Sub-Total 406 406 406 406 303 384 406 406 406 406 406 406 406 364 406 406 39S
TOTAL RESOURCES 952 1,027 983 1,678 1,161 1,230 976 796 666 719 97S 975 986 1,156 814 889 961
POSITION 578 -420 382 .144 308 551 567 573 341 538 -461 -474 -485 360
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
REouiREMENTS
80% ConfideDcc 1nIcrvaI 192 135 -179 178 146 183 248 120 -89 112 139 170 .169 1S3 113 151
WNP-3 Obliplioo
:!!
:liSub-Total 234 -176 221 220 -146 -225 -248 120 131 .131 .154 -181 .196 -167 155 182
~AKING (Full CapabDi1y Less Outages)
N or1bcut . SO
MaiDL I:. forced Outage
Rathdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 150 147
Maint. I:. Forced Outage IS
' '
Sub-Total 139 137 13$.102 115 121 152 174 132 136 138 137 115 164 135 138
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION -673 -460 -468 262 -404 -497 532 .571 359 580 .536 -477 505 -404
Updated Auggst 13, 2004 .
A vista Utilities Exhibit 0
Page 13 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2015 Fell MIll'Apr M8J JUD Jul AUK Sep bet NOT Dee AlIJIUaJ
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
".......
venp LoId 461 1,373 1,295 -1,144 -1,D67 -I,O7J 1,207 1.270 -I,J62 -1,212 -1,239 -1,446 -1,377 1,D94 -1,214 -1,300 1,246
Potlalch Net lAIId :ll :om :om :22 :.1t!:!1 :.m
, Sub-TobIJ -1,510 1,423 -1,340 -1,U5 -1,117 -1,120 -1,2.58 -1,3%0 -1,212 -1,262 -1,289 -1,4%-1,425 -1.144 -1,264 -1,350 -1,295
l"An~1IZI EDlitlemad
Nichols PumpiD&
PGE Cap8city :!1 :42 :!1 :!1 :22 :!1 :22 :!1 :42 :!Z
:;g
Sub- TobIJ -51
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,56'7 -1,480 -1,397 -1,251 -1,176 -1,176 -1,312 -1,371 -1,264 -1,321 -l,345 . -1,541 -1,481 -1,201 -1,319 .1,405 1,351
SP Enr::IJ!Y
Duke Eucr&Y
EI Puo
Grant DisplacemcDt
HaJeywcst
Morpn StaDlcy
PGB Cap8city ReIum
PPM W" DId
Small POWII'
Upriw:r
WNP.121 l.Q1.l.Ql
Sub-Total 165 167 118 111 162 1'1 150 127 104
HYDRO RESOURCES (Avera. Water)
SpokaDe Riw:r 138 152 J60 168 168 152 118 137 150 163 116 12S
Clark Fort 212 276 275 369 fiO3 613 394 263 132 149 275 2S5 2S4 529 264 226 318
Mid-Col umbia !ti
Sub-Total 370 44C 450 553 788 782 513 333 208 252 407 408 421 3S3 35S 459
THERMAL RESOURCES (Fun Capability Less Outages)
Boulder Part
MaiDL &. Fon:cd Outage 1 '
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
M8inl " Fon:ed Outage -69 -47 -47
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
MainL " Forced 0uIap
Coyote Springs 2 duct burner
Maint. " Forced Outage
Keu1e Fa1II
MaiDt. " Forced Outage .1
KcttJe Fa1II CT
MainL " Forced Outage
Sub-Total 406 406 406 405 351 360 406 406 406 406 406 406 406 372 406 406 397
TOTAL RESOURCES 941 1,017 974 1,077 1,208 1,206 975 66Ci 718 97'974 97'164 814 888 960
POSmON 625 -463 -423 -174 337 582 -598 -603 370 -574 505 -50S 517 391
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
8K CcmfJdeDce 1DIc:rvaI .192 135 179 178 146 183 248 120 -89 112 139 170 169 153 113 151
WNP-3 . Oblipliao ::1J..:2l
Sub-Total 234 -176 -221 220 146 225 248 -120 -131 131 154 -180 211 196 -I"155 182
""A 1mI.1r-.(F1IIl CapabDity Less Outages)
Nortbcast 28
'.
MaiD1. 8.:. Forced Outage
Ratbdrum'154 152 ISO 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 150 147
MaiDt. 8.:. Forced Outage -15 .15
. "
-44 '1:7
Sub-Total 13'137 135 125 101 128 152 174 16ti 132 136 138 137 118 164 135 139
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION 720 502 -509 269 -6B -433 528 563 601 389 617 579 115 507 537 -435
Updated August 13, 2004
Avisla Utilities Encrm' L Exhibit 0
Page 14 of 47
Energy ,Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 201'Jaa Fell M8r Apr May JUD Jul Alii Sep Oct No.Dee ADDUai
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
A vaqe Load .I,49J .1,400 1,321 167 .1,DB9 .1,093 1,231 .1,295 187 1.236 .1.263 .1,475 .1.404 116 .1,238 1,325 .1,271Potlatch Net Load .::i2 - 0Sub-Total .1,S4O .1,44'.1.36'.1,211 .1,139 -1,142 -1,281 -1,345 -1,237 -1,286 -1,313 -1,52S -1,452 -1,166 -1,28B -1,375 -1,320
CONTRACT OBUGATIONS
Canadian Entidemcat
Nichols PumpiDJ
POE Capacity :!l :!I .::i2 :!l -48Sub-Total .55 .56 -5'1 -55
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,5t7 -1,505 -1,422 -1,%74 .1,197 -1,l!J8 -1,335 .1,403 .l,28'.1;344 -l,369 " .1,577 -1,501 -1,223 .1,343 .1,431 -1,376
BP Eoer&Y
Duke Eur:rgy
El Paso
Grant DisplacemeD1
HaJcywat
Morgan SIIDJey
PGE Capacity Rctuna 46
PPM Wmd
Small Power
Upriwr
WNP-!Ql ' 1QlSub-Total 165 1'1 118 118 fiG 162 161 148 127 103
(A\ICI'I8C Watr:r)
SpokImc Riwr 138 IS2 HiD J68 168 152 118 137 ISO 163 Jl6 115
CJm: Fork 212 276 275 369 tiO3 613 394 263 132 149 275 155 2S4 529 264 226 318
Mid-Columbia ,11
Sub-Tol81 370'443 449 S53 787 782 S13 333 208 2S2 406 407 420 708 3S3 354 458
THERMALRESOURCES (Full Capability Leu Outages)
Boulder Park
Maint. &. Forced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
Maint. &. Forced Outage 24 24 -69 -47 -47
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
Maim. &. Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer
Maint. &. Forced Outage
KeuJe Falla 47,
MaiDL &. Fora:d Outage
Kettle Falh
MaiDL " Forced Outage
Sub-Total 405 406 406 406 251 358 405 406 406 406 406 406 406 337 406 406 389
TOTAL RESOURCES 940 1,011 1,D77 1,107 1,203 975 795 &65 718 974 974 974 129 B87 9SO
POSmON -657 -494 -449 .197 361 -608 -623 -627 395 604 534 530 543 -426
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
REQUIREMENTS
8~ Confidcnc:c InIUYlJ 192 134 179 178 -146 248 120 -19 112 139 169 169 153 113 151
WNP-3 ObligatiDII :Ii
Sub- Totld .234 176 220 146 225 248 .120 131 -131 -154 180 196 .167 155 111
PEAKING (FuJI Capability Leu Outages)
N or1hcast 27
, .
MainL I:. Forced 0u1age
RatbdnuD 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 ISJ 153 152 145 141 150 J47
MaiDl. I:. Forced Oulage :.61 .14 14
Sub-Total 13'137 120.108 121 151 174 167 132 136 138 132 107 164 135 135
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION 751 532 550 331 .127 -458 554 587 -625 -413 -646 -613 .183 532 563 -473
UpdaIcd August 13, 2004
Avisla Utilities Encrg:
Exhibit 0
Page 15 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2017 Jau Pcb Mar Apr Mar Jam Jul AUI Sep Oct NO?Dee AmauaI
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
A verap 1..oIId -1,510 -1,416 -1,337 -1,182 102 IO!)-1,245 -1,311 -1,203 -1.251 -1.278 493 421 130 -1,253 -1,341 1,286Potlatch Net Load .:1Q :om - 0Sub-Total 1,59 -1~-1,3B2 -1,233 -1,152 -1,1S6 -1,2J5 -1,361 -1,253 -1.301 -l,328 -1,544 -1.A6'-1,180 -1,304 -1,391 -1,336
("'.JmllrliJ,n Buli'l-
NIChols Pumpiul
. -
PGE Capacity
Sub-Total
TOTAL REQUJREMENTS -l,567 -1,474 -1,390 -1,241 -1,160 -1,164 -l,3O3 -1,36'-1,261 -1,309 -l,33Ii ., -1,551 -1,477 -1,188 -1,311 -1,399 -1,344
CONTR CT R GHTS
BP EDera:Y
Duke EueraY
.EI Paso
Gl'lJlt Displacc:DJCDt
HaJeywest
Morpn Stanley
PGE Capacity Rctum
PPM WiDd
SmaD Power
Upriver
WNP-ll!l lQl l!U.Sub-Total 117 118 114 116 101
(Average Water)
Spokane Riw:r J31 152 160 . J6I J68 152 111 137 150 J63 116 J25
Clark. FOlk 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 J32 J49 275 2SS 2S4 529 264 226 318
Mid-Columbia ,U'.!QSub-Total 369 443 44'553.7B7 7B2 333 201 2S2 406 4ff7 420 708 353 354'458
MAL (Pull Capability Leu Owagca)
Boulder Park
MaiDt. &. Forced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDt. &. Forced Outage
Coyote SpriDp 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 121 128 128 121 128 128 128 128
Maim. &. Forced Outage
Coyote Sprinp 2 duct bumer
MaiDL &. Forced Outaae
Kettle PaDs
MaiDt. &. Porccd Outage
ICeule Falls
MaiDt. &. forced Outap:
Sub-Total 405 406 406 406 385 3B3 405 406 406 406 406 406 406 391 406 406 401
TOTAL RESOURCES 891 925 1,019 1,191 180 928 745 1i21 667 916 929 916 134 766 840 !l16
POSITION -676 .507 -465 212 375 -624 -639 -642 -410 622 55)545 560 -428
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
OUIREMENTS
I()CI, Cooradeocc 1ntc:rval 192 134 179 178 146 183 248 119 -89 -112 139 169 169 153 113 15J
WNP-3 ObliplilXl :liSub-Total 233 -176 220 219 -146 -225 -248 -11'-131 -131 154 180 211 196 -166 155 -182
PEAKING RESOURCES (Pull Capability Less Outages)
Northeast 27
,.
MaDtL I.:. Forced Outage
Ratbdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 ISJ 153 152 145 141 ISO 147
MaiDL I.:. Forced Outage -IS 23' I ~S3 -J".15 .19
Sub-Total 13'137 127'130 128 151 174 167 132 l3Ii 138 134 117 164 135 138
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION 771 545 558 338 -472 .569 603 640 -428 -665 627 133 548 579 -472
Updalcd August 13. 2004
Avisla Utilities Energy L Exhibit 0
Page 16 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
YaI' 2011 Jaa Feb Mar Apr M111 JUD Jul Alii Sep bet NOY Dee AlmuaJ
A VERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
, ,.\.6.
A w:rage Load 1,537 -1,440 -1,360 -1,203 -1,122 -1,126 1,266 -1.334 -1,225 272 -1,299 1,520 446 -I,ISO -1,275 1,364 1,309PDIIaIch Net LoId :8!:.a :.S!:.1!lSub-Total -1,4"-1,405 -1,254 -1,1'72 .1,176 -1,316 1,38.C -1,275 -1,323 1,349 -1,570 -1,494 .1,200 -1,326 -1;415 -1,3S8
C.nMi~EmiIleme:ut
Nichols PumpiDI
PGE Capacity
Sub-Total
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .1,595 -1,491 .1,413 .1,2fi2 .1,180 .1,1B4 .1,324 .1,391 -1,283 -1,330 -1,3S6 . -1,S77 .1,502 .1,2OB .1,333 .1,422 -1,3fi6
BP EDerJ:y
Duke EDerJ:y
BI Palo
Gnmt Displaccmeu1
HaJeywal
Morpn StIIIley
PGE Capacity btum
PPM Wind
Small Power
Upriwr
WNP-ill 1m.ill J.QlSub-Total 117 118 114 116 101
HYDRO RESOURCES (Awnp WIIIIr)
Spokane Riwr 1~8 152 160 168 168 152 118 137 150 163 116 12S
Clark Fork 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 2SS 2S4 529 264 226 318
Mid-Columbia 1.2
.!!
Sub- Tot81 369 443 449 SS3 787 782 333 208 241 393 392 420 701 3S3 342 455
RESOTIR~C:: (Full CapabllityLcss Outages)
Boulder Part
Maim. &. forced Outage 1 '
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiD1. &. FDrced Outage -69 Jt7 -47
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
MIint. &. forced Outage -61 -11
Coyote Sprinp 2 duct bumer ' 12
MaiDt. &. Fon:ed Outage
KeuIe Falls
Maim. I.: forced Outage
Kettle FaDs
MainL I.: Fon:ed Outage
Sub-Total 406 406 405 406 290 370 405 406 406 406 406 406 406 354 406 406 393
TOTAL RESOURCES 892 967 924 1,029 096 168 '28 745 621 657 913 914 926 1,(197 766 827 904
POSmON 703 531 -489 233 396 -647 662 673 -443 663 576 -111 567 595 -462
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
8M. CcmfidcDce Inlerllll 192 134 179 177 145 183 248 119 -88 112 137 169 168 152 112 150
WNP.3 ObIiptiOll :ll
:!!
-42 :J.!Sub-Total 233 -175 -220 21J -145 225 -248 -119 .129 -129 153 .179 211 196 -166 .154 181
IPEAKING RESOIIKI :"--" (Full Capability Less Outages)
N m1beast 27 ..50
MaiDL I.: Forced Outage
Ralbdnlm 154 152 150 147 145 )42 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 150 )47
Maint. " Forced Outage 23
' "
-46 -14 .14
Sub- Tota!139 137 127"102 123 128 151 174 167 132 136 138 134 117 164 135 138
CONTINGENCY NET POSmON 797 569 582 351 107 -113 -493 .592 -624 -670 -461 703 -652 -189 569 -613 506
Updated August 13, 2004
AvisUl Uulities
Exhibit 0
Page 17 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2019 JaD Fell Mar Apr May JaD JuJ Aue Sep bet NO\'Dee AmmaI
WRAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
110ADS
A venlF Laad 1.571 470 1,388 1,229 146 150 1,292 1,361 -1,252 1,299 1,32S 1,552 -1,476 -1.175 -1.302 -1,393 1,336Potlalcb Net Load :.U :!l :.USub-TolIII -1,Q2 -1,521 -1,435 -1,282 -1,l98 -1,202 - J,34.C -1,413 -1,3N -1,3S1 -U77 -1,604 -1,52Ii -1,227 .1,354 -1,445 -1,38B
.--
("Jlnarli"" J:~II..-
Nichols JIumpiDa
PGE Capacity
Sub-TolIII
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -l,629 -1,52B -1,442 -1,289 .1,2OS -1,2M -l,35l -1,420 .1,311 -1,35B .1,314 - -1,Iill -1,533 .1,2.)4 .1,361 -1,452 -1,395
BP Energy
Duke EocrJy
BI Puo
Grmt Disp1acemeat
Haleywat
Morpn StmIley
PGE Capacity Rctum
PPM Wind
Small Power
Upriwr
WNP.ill .lltl.
Sub-Total 117 118 101 '3S
HYDR (AvenIF WIIII:r)
Spokme RM:r 138 152 UiO J68 168 152 118 137 ISO 163 116 125
Clark Fork 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 2S5 2S4 529 264 226 318~umbia
Sub-TolIII 3SO 428 435 537 771 765 493 317 ISIS 241 393 392 404 692 337 342 443
(Full Capability Less Outages)
BouIdc:r Pm:
MaiDt. &. Forced Outage
Colltrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDt. &. Forced Outage -69 -47
Coyte Springs 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
MaiDt. &. PCRed Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duel bumcr
MaiDt. &. PCRed Outap
Kettle Falla
Maint. &. Forced Outage -44
Kettle Falls CT
MainL &. :Forced Outage
:!.
Sub-Total 406 405 405 406 330 336 406 406 406 406 405 406 406 357 406 406 393
TOTAL RESOURCES 873 952 !IIO 1,014 1,120 116 909 729 609 657 811 813 910 084 750 760 875
POSITION 756 -577 532 276 -442 -691 702 701 573 '798 -623 150 611 -692 520
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
OUlREMENTS
8(111, CcmfJdeDce 1DterVIl 189 129 176 174 143 182 -247 -116 -88 -112 137 166 166 15J 112 149
WNP.3 ObliptiDII :11 :.!1Sub-Total 231 -171 %17 216 .143 -223 2.47 116 -88 -88 -112 137 207 -194 151 .1U -166
AKING RESOURCES (:Full Capability Less Outages)
Nonhcast . 50
Maim. 8:. :Forced Outage
Ratbdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 150 147
MaiDL 8:. Forced Outage -15 30. ".14 -14 -14
Sub-Total 139 137 13f 130 128 152 174 166 132 13(j 138 132 117 164 135 137
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION 848 610 -629 -398 .98 188 536 -633 -624 -656 549 797 -699 227 598 669 548
Updated August 13, 2004
A vista Utilities Energy LeI Exhibit 0
Page 18 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2020 J8D Fell M8r Apr Mar Jua OctJulAueSep Nil\'Dee AmnIa!
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
t'\Anl!
A~Laad -1.602 -1,497 4J4 -1,253 -1.168 -1.17~1,315 -1,387 -1.278 1,323 1,3SO -1,582 1,504 J98 -1,327 419 -1.362
Polla1c:h Net LoIId :!l ;.U
Sub-TobIJ -1,6S3 -1,S49 -1,461 -1,306 -1,220 -1,224 -1,368 -1,439 -1,330 -1,375 -1,402 -1,634 -1,554 -1,250 -1,379 -1,471 -1,414
- -
-- I
C-.tfi.nEaddemeDI
Nichols PumpiDI
fOE Capacity
Sub-Tol81
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,66(1 -1,5S(i -1,468 -1,313 -1,227 .1,231 -1,375 -1,446 1,337 -1,382 -1,409 . -1,641 -l,S61 -1,25'7 -1,386 -1,4'78 -1,421
I"'n'-""D
BP EaqJ
Dub EaqJ
EI Palo
Gram Diap1accmall
HaJeywat
MorpII SamJey
PGE Clpacity Retum
PPM Wind
Small Power
Upriwr
WNP-
Sub- Tol81
HYDRO RESOURCES (Average Wmr)
SpokaDe RiWl'~~8 152 160 J68 168 152 118 137 JSO J63 JJ6 125
Clark Fort 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 255 2S4 529 264 226 3J8
Mid-Columbia
Sub- Tot8l 350 428 4JS 537 771 765 493 317 195 241 393 392 404 692 337 342 443
nlERMAL RESOURCES(fuI1 Capability Less Outages)
Boulder Part
Maim. & Forced ODIage
CoIsIrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDt. & Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
MaiDt. & Forced Outage -88
Coyote Springs 2 duel bumr::r
MaiDt. &. Forced Outage
Kettle FaJIs
MamL & Forced Outage
KcuIc Falls CT
MaiDL & Forced Outage
Sub-Total 405 405 406 406 316 383 405 405 406 466 406 466 405 368 405 466 396
TOTAL RESOURCES 771 8SO 1161 105 163 !)OIl 729 609 657 812 813 827 1,D78 750 760 853
POSITION 889 706 -608 350 121 -68 -466 718 728 725 597 735 .179 -636 718 568
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
REQUIREMENTS
BOCIo CcmfJdeDcc Interval 189 129 -176 174 143 182 247 115 -88 112 137 165 166 150 112 148
WNP.3 ObIipliOll
Sub-Total 189 129 -176 174 -143 -182 -247 115 -1:1 -88 112 137 165 166 -150 112 148
IPF.A
,- ----
URCES (fuI1 Capability LcsJ Outages)
N ortbcuI .50
MainL & Forced Outage
Ratbdrum 154 152 ISO 147 145 J42 J40 140 143 J47 151 153 152 J45 J41 ISO 147
MainL & Forced Outage 53 .' '.46
Sub-Total 139 137 !17.102 108 128 152 1'4 166 132 l3ti 138 124 112 164 135 134
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION 939 -697 686 -422 157 -122 561 659 650 -681 573 827 776 233 623 -695 582
Updated August 13, 2004
Avista Utilities Ene Exhibit 0
Page 19 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CO NFID EN'I1AL
Year 2021 Feb Mar Apr Mar JUD Jul Au&Sep bet Noy Dee AImu8l
' .
WRAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
vaap Load -1,634 1,525 0441 -1,278 191 -1.1S!Ci 1,340 -1,414 -1,304 1,348 -1.375 613 -1.534 -1,222 1.353 446 1.388Potlatch Net Laad .:a
Sub-Tol81 -1,685 -L,m 1,488 -1,331 -1,243 -1,248 -1,3'2 -1,46(i -1,356 -1,400 -1,4%7 -1,665 -1,5B4 -1,27"-1,4OS -1,4'.-~,440
C'IIIUIICimEDtitlcmeat
Nichols Pumpjq
PGE Capacity
Sub-Tol81 . -7
TOTAL REQumEMENTS -1,6'2 -1,584 -1,4'5 -1,331 -1,250 -1,2.55 1.39'-1,473 -1,363 -1,407 1,430&' -l,672 -1,591 -1,281 -1,412 -l,5OS -1,447
NTRA
BP EDersY
Duke Buerzy
m Paso
Grant Disp1acemeut
HaleywCII
Morpn StIDJey
PGE Capacity Retum
PPM WiDd
SmaD Power
Upriver
WNP-
Sub-Tol81 '13
(Awnae WIIa')
SpokaDc River ~3.152 160 168 168 152 118 137 150 163 116 125Clark Fork 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 2SS 2S4 529 264 226 31BMid~1umbia
Sub- Tol81 350 428 537 771 765 "'3 317 195 241 393 3'2 4OoC 692 337 342 443
(Fun Capability Less Outages)
Boulder Part
MaiD!. It. Forced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 '- 222 222 222 222 222 222 222Maim. Be farced Outage -69 047 -47
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128MaiD1. It. Forced Culage -6 .
.(j .(j .(j .(j
Coyote Springs 2 duct bunJer
Maim. It. farced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiD1. It. Forced Outage
Kettle Falls CT
Maint. Be forced Outage
Sub- Tol81 4OS 405 405 4OG 340 358 406 406 406 406 406 406 4OS 368 406 406 39'
TOTAL RESOURCES 771 850 860 130 13'!109 72'60!1 657 812 813 826 1,078 756 760 BS3
POSmON 734 635 375 -120
' -
116 -490 744 754 751 -622 859 764 202 -662 745 594
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
REOUIREMENTS
8()11, Coafidencc lntcrvaJ 189 128 J7S 174 143 IB2 246 115 -112 137 J65 J66 150 112 -J48
WNP-3 ObliptiDD
Sub- Tol81 128 -175 -17"143 -181 -24G -115 -B7 -88 -112 137 -165 166 150 -112 -148
PEAKING RESOURCES (Full Capability Less Culagel)
Northust 28 ,. SO
MaiDt. " forced Outage
Ratbdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 J40 143 J47 151 153 152 145 141 ISO 147
MainL It. forced Outage -IS IS .:.t6 -~4
Sub-Total 13'137 135.102 115 128 152 174 166 132 l3li 138 137 115 164 135 138
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION 971 725 675 -447 148 -169 584 686 -676 706 598 858 793 253 -648 71.2 604
Updated August 13, 2004
Avisia Utilities Energy U Exhibit 0
Page 20 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
Cp NFIDENTIAL
Year 20%2 JID Feb Mar ApI'May JIIII Jill Au!Sep Oct No",Dec AlmU8J
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
A venae Load 656 1,545 1,460 -1,296 -1.207 1,212 -1.357 1,433 -1.323 1.366 1.392 1,635 1,554 -1,238 -1.371 465 407
;Potlatch Net Load :.U :on :8!Sub-Totlll -1,701 -1,5H -1,507 -1,34'-1,2S9 -1,40!1 -1,48S -1,375 -1,418 -1,444 -1,Q7 -1,604 -1,290 -1,423 -1,517 -1,458
A:.
Canadian Emit1emr:Dt
Nichols PumpiDI
PGE Capacity
Sub-Tolal
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,715 -1,603 -1,5l"-1,356 -1,266 -1,271 -1,416 -1,492 -1,382 -1,425 . -1,451 .. -1,694 -1,(ill -1,2!17 -1,430 -l,S24 1,465
NTRA
SP EDmv
Duke EDcrIY
BI Paso
Gnmt Disp1accmcDt
HaIeywat
Morgan SUmley
PGE Capacity RctDnl
PPM Wmd
Small Power
Upriw:r
WNP-
Sub-Totlll
HYD RESOURCES(Averap Water)
SpokaDe Riw:r 138 152 160 J68 168 152 J37 150 163 116 125
Clark Fart 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 255 2S4 529 264 226 318
Mid-Columbia
Sub-Totlll 350 421 435 S37 771 765 493 317 195 241 393 404 337 342 443
MAL (Fun Capability Less Outaps)
Boulder Park
MainL &. Farced OutaF
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
Maiut. &. Forced Outage 06!1 -47 -47
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 J28
Maint. &. Forced Outage -6J
Coyote Springs 2 duct burner
MaiD!. &. Forced OutaF
. -
Kettle Falls
MainL &. Fon:ed Outage -I,
Kettle Falls
MaiDt. 8z. Forced Outage
Sub-Totlll 405 405 405 406 301 348 406 406 406 406 406 406 405 351 406 406 392
TOTAL RESOURCES 771 850 B6O 1,091 1,U9 90!1 729 60!1 657 812 813 126 1,061 7SO 760 149
POSITION -943 753 -654 392 -175 ' -142 507 763 773 768 -640 880 784 236 680 764 -616
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
80% Ccmf'JdcDce lnIcrvaI 188 J28 J7S J74 J43 1&2 246 115 -87 -112 137 J65 J66 150 112 148
WNP-3 Obligabaa
Sub-Total 111 128 -175 174 -143 182 24(j 115 -87 -87 -112 -137 -165 -166 150 112 -148
KING RESOURCES (Full Capability Less Outages)
Nonbcut . SO
MaiDt. 8z. Forced Outage
Ratbdrum 154 152 ISO 147 145 J42 140 J40 143 147 151 153 J52 loC5 JoCl ISO 147
MainL 8z. Fon:ed Outage 23 :53 loC
Sub- Totlll 139 137 12'1 \14 130 128 151 174 Ui7 132 136 138 134 117 164 135 131
CONTINGENCY NET POSmON 993 744 702 -472 -188 -196 -602 704 -693 723 -615 -879 815 284 666 741 -627
Updated August 13, 2004
A vista Utilities Exhibit 0
Page 21 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Yau' 2023 Feb Mar Apr May Jua JuJ Aue Sep Oct NO?Dee AIIDWII
A VERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
- ,--
Average LaId 692 1$76 -1,490 1,324 1,232 -1,231 -1,384 -1,463 1,352 -1,394 421 -1,669 -1,586 -1,264 -1,400 -1,495 436Pot1arch Net Load
::!!::!!
Sub-Total -1.745 -1,G30 -1,53'-1,3'79 -1,286 -l,m -1,43'-1,517 -l,4O6 -l,A4I -1,475 -1,'723 -l,63I -1,3D 1,454 -l,549 -1,490
CONTRACT OBLIGATIONS
('.
..."uti....EutitIcmeDt
N"acbob PumpiD&
PCiE Capacity
Sub-Total
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,7~-l,Q7 -1,546 -1,386 -1,293 -l.2'9 -l,446 -l,524 -1,413 -l,A55 -1,482 - -1,730 -1,645 -l,326 1,461 ~1,S56 1,497
CONTRACT RIGHTS
BP EDerzy
Duke EDqy
EJ Puo
Grant DispJacemeat
HaJeywest
MorpII StaDley
PGE Capacity ReIum
PPM WiDd . 0
sman Power
UpriWl'
WNP-
Sub-Total
IRVnRr (AvcraF W8IrI')
Spokane River 138 152 160 168 168 152 118 137 ISO 163 116 12SCIaJk Fork 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 2S5 2S4 529 264 226 3J8Mid-Columbia
Sub-Total 350 428 435 537 771 765 493 317 195 241 393 391 404 692 337 342 443
(Full CapabiliI)' Less Outages)
Boulder Park
Maint. " Forced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 . 222 222 222 222 . 222 222 222 222 222 222 222Maint. "Forccd Outage
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128MaiDt. ,.. For=d Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumcr
Maint. ,.. Forced Outage
Kettle FaJIs
Maint. "Farced Outage
KeuJe PaJIs
MaiDL " Farced Outage
Sub-Total 405 406 406 405 395 371 406 406 406 406 406 406 405 391 406 406 401
TOTAL RESOURCES 771 851 861 185 152 909 729 609 657 812 813 827 101 7SO 760 859
POSITION 981 786 -=686 -422 109 , -147 537 795 804 -798 -670 917 -819 225 711 796 638
CONTINGENCY
OUIREMENTS
80'1. CmrJdeucc lDler'YaI 188 128 175 173 143 182 246 -115 112 137 16.5 166 -ISO -112 148WNP-3 Obliptiaa
Sub-Total 188 128 -175 -173 -lC 182 -246 -115 -B7 -87 -IU -137 -165 -166 150 -IU -148
PJ:.OUR~-:: (FuU Capability Less Outap)
Northeast 27
..
MaiDL &. Forced Outage
RaIbdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 ISO 147Maint. &. Forced Outage 38
' "
-46 -14 -14 -15 -J5Sub-Total 139 137 111 101 123 128 151 174 lei7 132 136 138 129 117 164 135 137
CONTINGENCY l\"ET POSITION -031 777 749 -494 129 201 632 736 724 753 645 -916 -855 273 697 773 649
Updated August 13, 2004
Avista Utilities Enc'IY L&Exhibit 0
Page 22 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
C 9 NFID ENTIAL
Year 2024 Mar A:pr Ma1 JUD JuJ Au&Sep Oct Noy Dee AIIIIWII
. ,
WRAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
A vcrqe Load 726 .1,606 10519 1,350 .1,257 .1.263 .1,410 491 .1.380 -1,420 447 702 .1,617 1,290 -1,428 1,524 -1,465Potlatch Net Load :5.!
Sub--Total
-~'"
1,660 1,568 -1,405 -1,311 -1,317 -1,465 -1,545 -1,434 -1,475 -1,501 -~7S6 -1,6(i9 -1,344 -1,482 -1,578 -1,518
CaDadiIll EntitJemeul
Nichols PumpiD&
POE Capacity
Sub--Total
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .~786 -1,667 -1,5'75 1,412 .1,318 -1,324 -1,472 -1,552 -1,441 -1,482 -1,508 ,-1,1'3 -1"'6 -1,351 -1,489 -1,585 -l,525
BP Eocqy
Duke EDerI:1
EJ Paso
Grant Disp1accDICDt
HaJeywat
Morgan SI8DIey
roE Capllcity Retum
PPM W" aDd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-
Sub--Tolal
(A\IeI'8ge Wita')
Spakmc River 138 152 160 168 168 152'118 137 150 163 116 125
CIIk Fort 212 276 27S 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 25S 254 529 264 226 318
Mid-Columbia
Sub--Total -350 428 43S 537 765 493 317 195 241 393 392 404 692 337 342 443
MAL (Fun CapabJ1ity Less Outages)
BauJder Parle
MaiDL " Forted Outage -I '
CoIstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
Maint. " Forced Outage -69 -47 -47
Coyote SpriDp 2 128 128 128 121 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
MainL " Forced Outage
.(j .(j .(j .(j
CoyoIe Spri!lp 2 duct bumc:r
Maint. &. Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MamL &. Forced Outage -43
Kettle Falls
MainL " Forced Ou.
Sub-Total 406 4OCi 406 401i 229 34il 406 4OCi 406 406 406 406 406 331 406 406 387
TOTAL RESOURCES 772 851 861 1,018 1,141 908 129 609 657 812 813 1,D41 750 760 844
POSmON 015 -816 714 -448 300 . -182 563 823 -832 -825 -696 950 849 310 738 825 -681
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
REOUIREMENTS
80% Ccmf"1deDce IDtervIl 188 127 17S 173 143 .182 246 .115 -&7 112 137 .164 166 ISO 112 .148
WNP-3 Obligation
Sub-Total .188 127 175 -173 143 -182 246 .115 -17 -17 .112 137 -164 .166 150 112 148
KING RESOURCES (Full Capability Less Outages)
N or1heast 28
MaiDL ilL Forced Outage
RaIhdrum 154 152 ISO 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 I4S 141 ISO 147
15 Maint. I.:. Forced Outage -46 -IS .IS
Sub-Total 13'137 us"102 115 1:zi 152 174 166 132 IJ(i 138 137 115 164 135 138
CONTINGENCY NET POSITION .064 807 754 S:w 327 236 -657 764 753 780 -672 949 876 360 724 802 691
Updated August 13, 2004
Avisia Utilitics Enr Exhibit 0
Page 23 of 47
Energy Loads and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2025 Feb Mar Apr Mar Ju..Jul Au!:Sep Oct No,.Dee AmuIIIl
AVERAGE LOAD AND HYDRO PLANNING
"..n~
A \IaaF Load 761 636 -1,548 1,377 -1,2&2 -1,288 1,437 1,520 -1,408 1,448 474 736 649 -1,315 -1,456 -1,553 -1,493Potlatch Net Load
Sub-Total -1,81~-1,690 -1,597 1,432 -1,336 -1,342 -1,491 -1,574 -1,4(i2 -1,502 -1,528 -I,7!IO -1,701 -1,36'-1,510 -1,607 -1,546
,--
ClJUlllianEntilJcmem
Nichols PumpiIIc
PGE Capacity f.!f.!
Sub-Total
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,B21 -1,fi"-1,604 -1,43'-1,343 -1,34'-1,498 -1,5&1 -1,46'-1,5O!1 -1,535 -l,m -1,708 -1,376 -1,517 -1,fi14 -1,553
BP Enr:q:y
Duke ED=rD
mPuo
Grmt Displaccmeut
Haicywest–
Morpn Stanley
PGE Capacity Retum
PPM W"md
SmaD Power
Upriw:r
WNP-f.!Sub-Total
(Average Wiler)
Spokane Riwr 138 152 160 168 168 152 118 137 150 163 116 125. Clark Fort 212 276 275 369 603 613 394 263 132 149 275 25S 2S4 529 264 226 3J8Mid-Columbia f.!f.!
Sub-Total 350 428 435 537 771 765 493 317 195 , 241 393 392 ~04 692 337 342 443
(Full Capability Less Outages)
Boulder Park
Maim. &. Forced Outage
...
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
Maim. &; Forced Outage -69 -47 24
' -
-47
Coyote Springs 2 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128 128
MaiDL &:. Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duct burner
Maim. &; Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiDt. &:. Forced Outage
KcUle Falls CT
MaiDL &. Forced Outage f.!Sub-Total 4O(j 406 406 405 351 360 406 406 406 406 406 406 4OG 372 406 406 397
TOTAL RESOURCES ISI 861 963 140 141 909 729 609 657 812 813 8%7 1,082 750 760 854
POSITION 049 -846 744 -476 202 208 589 852 860 -852 724 .983 881 294 766 854 699
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
OUIREMENTS
80* Coor1dence lDtcrvaI J88 127 175 -173 J43 -lBJ 246 115 ll1 137 164 165 ISO 112 148
WNP-3 Obligation f.!Sub-Total -188 -175 .173 143 .181 246 -115 -17 -17 -111 137 .164 .165 .150 -IU .148
PEAKINu (Full Capability Less Outages)
Northeast 28 '" 50
MaiDL &:. Forced Outage
Ralbdrum 154 152 150 147 145 142 140 140 143 147 151 153 152 145 141 150 J470 ,.Maint. &: Forced Outage -IS -44 .15 II..J8
Sub-Total 139 137 135'125 101 lis 152 174 166 132 136 138 137 118 164 135 139
CONTINGENCY NET PosmON .09B -836 7B3 524 244 261 683 793 782 807 -699 9B2 908 342 752 831 70B
Updated August 13, 2004
" .'
A vista Utilities Energy L&Exhibit 0
Page 24 of 47
A vista till ti es
Long- Term Peak Load and Resource Tabulation (MW)
2005- 2024
, ,.
September 1, 2004
Exhibit 0
Page 25 of 47
VERSION
LOADS
Average Load
Potlatch Net Load
CONTRACT RIGHI'S
BP Energy
Duke Eucrgy
E1 Paso
Grant Disp~nt
HaJeywest
Morgan StaDley
roE Capacity RetarD
PPM Wind
SmaD Power
Upriver
WNP-
CONTRACT OBUGA TIONS
CaDadian E.otitJe~
Nicbols PwqJiDg
roE Capacity
HYDRO RESOURCES
Spokane River
CJark Fort
Mid-Columbia
THERMAL RESOURn:.~
Boulder Pad:
Colstrip
Coyote SpriDgs 2
Coyote SprlDgs 2 duct bumer
Kettle FaDs
Kettle FaDs
Northeast
Rad1drum
Avista's P'eak Load and Resources
Notes and Assumptions
09-01.04
Based on 2005 Barcus forecast dated 07-27-2004.
Rc:preseDlS load Det of g=emtiOD, based on 2OOS Barcus forecast dated 07-27-2004. ,
2S MW flat from 01-01-2007 to 12-31-2010.
SO MW ~t from 01-01-2004 to 12-31-2006.
2S MW Oat from 01-01-2004 to 12-31-2006 and 75 MW flat from 01-01-2007 to 12-31-2010.
Starts 11-01-2005, expires 09-30-20 11; uegoUated settlelDCDt with Grant for Priest BDd Waaapum.
000 MWh per moolb, expires 09-30-2006, expected to be leDewed.
2S MW flat &om 01-01-2004 to 12-31-2006. '
Expires 12-31-2016.
Expires 03-31-2014. IDcluded as zc::ro capacity to reflect possibility that wind would be UDBvailab1e when Deeded.
SmaD PURPA rcsoarces- Sheep Creek, Phillips Raocb, Deep Creek, Meyers FaDs, Mmoesobl MetbaDe, TJDl Ford, Jobo Day, BDd Derr Creek.
Expires 06-30-2004, expected to be reDewed.
Expires 06-30-20 19.
Expires 09-30-2024.
F.Dc:rgy is used for pumping at Colslrip.
Expires 12-31-2016. .
Based on NWPP 2002-2003 Headwarc:r BeDCfits "nntilll1l"8JS" Study.
Mid-C coDtraCt expirations - Priest Rapids (10-31-2005), WaDBpum (10-31-2009), Rocky Reach (10-31-2011), WeDs (09-30-2018).
Limited to 1,700 hoIn of opcnttion per year, which bas b=o appHeeI to the period of highest typicaJ market prices.
MAINTENANCE AND FORMm OUTAGEBoulder Pad: 95... availability.Colstrip 89.29& availability.
Coyote Springs 2 95... availability, 1.99& Jine losses.
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer 95... availability, 1.9'" Jine losses.Kettle faDs 97.4'" !tvailability. 0' ,
Kettle FaDs cr 95... avaDability. .Nortbeast 95... availability.Rathdrum 90... availability - peak operations.
WNP-3 Obligatioo
.6. VI1M"" I I'MI tT'I"I:l:
. '
AsSUJDed at highest level of possible obligation, expires 06-30-2019.
Exhibit 0
Page 26 of 47
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.
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
~ 0 NFID ENTIAL
Year 2005 Jag Feb Mar Api'M111 JUg Jut ABc Sep Oct NOY Dee ADmuII
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
Peak Load 1,513 455 1.369 1,207 -136 1.202 444 434 1,21J1 -1,284 -1,319 -
~ -
1,513
. -
1.202 -444 _-1.s0~
Podatch Net Load ::!i :!Z
~ ~
-44
S..Tol8I -1,SS7 -l,5OO -1,415 -1,2S3 -1,181 1.24'-1,487 -1,476 -1,24' -1,327' -1,363 -1,S49 -1,557 -1,246 -1,487 -1,S49 -1,S4~
DNTRACT OBUGA'
c-suthlll EDlidCDII:III -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13
NIChols PumpiD&
PGE Capacity :!.a ISO ISO ISO :.Ja :..Un :..Un :..Un :UQ 150 - SO :la :..UnS..Tol8I 170 170 170 170 170 170 170 -170 170 170 170 -170 170 170 -170 170 170
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,727 -1,670 -1,S8S -1,423 -l,3SO -1,415 -1,657 -1,646 -1,418 1,4"-1,533 -1,718 -1,7r1 415 -1,657 -1,718 -1,718
TRACT RIGHTS
BP Euergy
Dub Euergy
EI Paso
Gnmt Displace~t
. HaJcywest
MorpII Stanley 2S ' 2S
PGE Capacity Retum
PPM WiDd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP.
:8... Total 198 19f 161 161 119 116 110 106 108 110 2Of 212 198 116 110 212 212
HYDRO RESOURCES
SpobDe River J82 185 J84 J80 179 188 191 19J 191 191 189-J89 182 188 191 189 189
Maim. & Forced Outage
Clark Fort 77S 778 778 778 77S 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778
MainL & Forced Outage 0 .
Mid-CoIumbia 196 195 195 196 196 196'196 196 196 195 .141 141 196 196 196 141 141
MaiDt. & Forced Outap ill 11 ' :l
' !
S... Total 1,lS6 1,158 1,lSS 1,143 1,138 1,lSO 1,165 1,165 1,165 1,161 1,104 1,108 1,15'1,150, 1,165 1,108 1,108
L RESOURCES
Boulder Park 2S ' 2S 2.5
MaiDt. & Forced Outage
Colsttip 222 222 222 222 222 222 2.22 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDt. & Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 12S 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 12.5 123 129 129
Maiat. &. Forced Dutap
Coyote Springs 2 duct burucr '
MaiDt. &. Forced Outage ' 0
Kcnle Falls
MaiD!. &. Forced Outap . 0
Kettle Falls
Maim. &. Forced Outage
N onbeast 67 '
MaiDL &. Forced Outage -67
Ralhdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 J76 176 176 176 176 176
MaiDL &. Forced 0uIage J76
Sa. Tobal 688 688 687 608 6J3 624 685 687 688 688 688 624 682 688 688
. TOTAL RESOURCES 2,042 2,045 2,003 1"12 1,890 1,890 1,957 1,953 1,958 1,958 2,002 2,008 2,04%l,89O I.957 2,008 2,008
PEAK POSmON 314 375 418 488 539 474 300 307 539 461 469 289 314 474 300 289 289
RESERVE PLANNING
. ,.
PlaJmiDg Reserve Margia 246 240 232-.215 208 2 is 239 238 215 223 226 245 246 215 239 245 245
RESERVE PEAK POSmON 135 186 273 331 260 324 238 242 260
Updated Sepaember J, 2004
A vista Utilities Capacit)Exhibit 0
Page 28 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year Jaa Fell Mar Apr May Aa~ ,Sep Oct N..Dee ADaaaI
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
tl"\Ant!
Peak Load -1,559 -1,494 409 1,243 170 -1,2.~B 484 477 250 1,326 -1,360 1,553 1,559 ; -1,170 484 1,553 1,55!Potlatch Net Load -:!Z :41
~,
S~TotaJ -1,604 -1,S4O -1,456 -1,291 -1,216 1,282 -l,S28 -1,528 -1,29%-1,370 -1,415 -1,598 .1,604 -1,216 1,528 -l,S98 .1,'"
.,.
- DB'
Canadian Eatidemcal
Nichols PumpiDs
PGE CapICiI)':1a .:.U2 .:.U2 :U!!ISOSab- Total 166 166 166 166 166 166 166 166 -166 166 166 166 166 166 166 .166 166
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,770 .1,706 i22 1,457 1,381 -1,448 -l,694 .1,686 -1,457 -1,536 -1,57l -1,763 -1,770 -l,381 l,6M -1,763 -1,770
CONTRACT RIGHTS
BP Energy
Dub E.aerJ:1
BI Paso
Gnmt Displ-t
Ha1eywest -
Morgan St8Dlcy ;ZS 15'PGE Capacil)' RcIuna
PPM Wmd
smaU Power
Upriver
WNP-
Sub-Total 213 175 185 148 145 136 124 124 127 212 215 212 148 136 215
HYnRO
SpobDc River 182 185 184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 179 191 189 182MaiaL it Forced Outage
CJark Fort 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778MaiD1. it Forced Outage
Mid-Columbia 141 141 141 141 14J 141 14J 14J 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141
MaiDt. &: Forced Outap :l1 :!1 :!l :.U :l1S~Total 1,101 1,104 1,099 1,082 1,075 1,093 1,102 1,102 1,102 1,D98 1,0"1,100 1,101 1,075 1,102 1,100 1,101
RESOURrP.C:
Boulder Park
MaiDt. it Forced Outage
CoIstrip 222 222 222 ' 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222.'222 222 222 222 222
MaiD1. it Forced 0u1age 111 111 III
Coyote Springs 2 129 129 128 '128 127 115 J23 123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129MaiDL it Forced Outage 127 0 -127
Coyoac Springs 2 duct bumcr
MaiDL &: Forced Outage
Kettle FaDs 53 -
MaiD!. it Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiaL it Forced Outage
Nor1heast
MainL it Forced Outage -67 0 -Ratbdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 J76 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176MainL it Fon;cd Outap 176 :II
Sab- Total 684 681 511 297 509 678 682 68S 628 6B8 688 684 297 678 6B8 684
TOTAL RESOURCFS 1,997 2,004 874 777 1,521 747 1,!116 1,908 1,!111 l,845 2,003 1"'7 1,521 1"16 2,003 1"'7
PEAK PosmON 227 298 252 321 139 299 222 122 454 309 425 239 227 139 239 227
RESERVE PLANNING
' '
PlBDDing Rcscrvc MargiD 250 244 236 219 212 2i~243 242 2J9 227 231 150 250 212 243 150 150
IRESERVE PEAK POSITION 101 234 195 lOr 101
Updated September 1, 2004
Avista Utilities Exhibit 0
Page 29 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
(;0 NFID ENTIA L
Year 200'7 Feb Mar Apr May Jaa J8I Sep.AD&Oct NoY Dee AmmaI
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
Peak Load 1.590 1.522 435 1,268 -1,192 1.260 I.sos -1.503 -1.275 1.351 1,385 1.583 -1.590 -l.26O 1.503 1.583 1.59CPot1alch Net Load ::42 :4i :E.:!Z :E.:!Z :!lSub- Tot8J -1,63'7 -1,570 -1,484 -1,317 -1,241 -1,3D7 -1,554 -1,548 -1,3D -1,3J7 -1,432 -1,630 -1,637 -l,3O7 -1,548 -1,63D
BTlt".A110NS
c;......diIllD EatitlCDIC:III
N"achols PumpiDg
PGE Capacity illQ illQ :.!.m :!a :Ja :.!.m
' ~
:.!.m ISO :.!a :J.gJ :.!.mSab- Total -166 166 166 166 -166 166 166 -166 166 -166 166 166 166 166 166 166
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,803 -1,736 -1,650 -1,483 -l,4D6 -1,473 -1,720 -1,714 -1,485 -1,S63 -1,98 -1,796 -1,BO3 -1,473 -1,714 -1,796 -1,803
BP~
Duke EDcrgy
BI Paso
Grant DispIaceIDCDt
Haleywest
Morgan SlaDley 0 '
PGE Capacity Retum
PPM Wmd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-
Sub-Total 215 21'178 187 151 147 138 126 127 128 214 216 215.147 216 215
HYDRO RESOURCES
SpotaDc River 182 185 184 180 179 IB8 191 191 191 191 189 . 189 182 188 191 189 182
Maim. &: Forced Outage
Clark Fort 778 778 778 778 772 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 772 778 778 778
MaiDL &. Forced Outage
Mid-Colambia 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 14J 141 141 141 141 14J 141 . 141 141 141MaiDL &. Forced Outage :1 :1 :l!
:!!
:l :l :l
:!
:l :l :l
:! :!
Sub-Total 1,"3 1,'"l,O95 1,085 1,078 1,093 1,102 1,102 1,102 1,102 1,100, 1,100 1,"3 1""3 1,102 1,100
RESOURC~'tC;
Boulder Park
MaiDL &. Forced Outage
Colslrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222MaiDL &. Forced Outage IIJ -l1J l1J~ote Springs 2 129 J29 128 128 127 125 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 125 123 129 129MaiDL &. Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duct burDeI'
MaiDL &. Forced Outage
Kettle Fa11s
MaiDL &. Forced Outage -53 -53
Kettle FaDs
MaiD!. &. Forced OuIage
Northeast
MaiDL &. FOICed Outage -67
Ratbdrum J76 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 J76
MaiDL & Forccd Outage J! , :M .:n
Sub-Total 684 683 522 5Of 671 682 6B5 628 6B8 688 6B4 SO9 6B%688 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 1,992 1,99S l,B'n l,B'n 751 1,749 1,918 1,910 1,914 1,850 %,001 2,004 1"'2 1,74'910 2,004 1,992
PEAK POSmON 189 259 388 34S '1.76 197 195 4'1.8 'l87 404 '1.09 189 '1.76 195 '1.09 189
RESERVE PLANNING
. '
PllIDDing Rcsc:rvc MargiD 254 247 238.222 214 211 245 245 222 230 233 253 254 221 245 253 254
RESERVE PEAK POSITION -6.5 167 131 -48 '1.06 170 -44 -65 -49 -44
Updated September 1, 2004
Avista Utilities Capacity 1..Exhibit 0
Page 30 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year_I Jaa Feb Mar Apr MaT Jal Au~Sep Oct New Dee Ammlll
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
Peak Load 636 1,562 474 1,303 1.22S -1,294 -1.543 1.542 1,313 -1,387 421 627 636 1.225 -1.542 -1,627 -1,631Podarcb Net Load :4Z -47
:!!'
:4ZSub-Total -1,683 610 -1,523 -1,353 -1,%73 -l,348 -l,S89 -1,S87 1,357 -1,433 -l,46I -1,674 -1,683 -1,%73 1,587 -1,674 -1,68::
N11lACT OBUGATIONS
CaDldilll Emitlcmall
N"lCbok PumpiD&
PGE Capacity :!a ill2 :Jjf!150 :!a :!a 150 - 0 :.Lm :.Lm - 50Sub-Total -I"166 166 166 166 166 166 166 -166 166 166 166 166 166 166 166 166
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,84'-1,77'1,68 1,5lJ -1,43'-l,SO6 -1,755 -1,752 -1,523 1,599 -1,634 -1,840 -1,84'-1,43'-1,752 -1,840 1,849
BP EDergy
Dub EDergy
HI Paso
75'Grant Displ--I
Haleywest
Morgm StaDlC)'
roE Capacity Retum
PPM W'md 0 '
SmaD Power
Uprivw
WNP-
Sub-Total 215 21"178 187 151 147 138 126 127 128 214 216 215 151 126 216 215
RESOUR
SpokaDc River 182 185 184 180 179 188.191 191 191 191 189 189 182 179 191 189 182MaiDL " Forced Outage
Clark Fork 778 778 778 778 778 TIS TIS 778 Tl8 778 778 TIS TIS TISMaiDL "Forced Outage
0 .Mid-Columbia 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141MaiDt. "Forced Outage -8
:! :! ::!! ::!!, :! :! :! :! :! ::!!
Sub-Total 1,IW3 1,096 1,O9S 1,085 1,878 ' 1,093 1,102 1,102 1,102 1,102 1,100 '1,108 1,093 1,078 1,102 1,108 1,093
Boulder Put
MaiDL " Forced Outage -4 '
...
ColsIrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222MaiDL " Forced Outage
Coyore SpriDgs 2 129 129 128 128 127 125 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129MaiDL "Forced Outage . 0 127 127Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer
MaiDL "Forced Outage .
Kettle Falls
MaiDL "Forced Outage -53
Keale Falls cT
MaiDt. " Forccd Outage
Nortbcast
MaiDt. "Forced Outage -67 -67Ratbdrum176176176176176176176176176176176 176 176 176 176 176 176MaiDL "Forced Outage n /Sub-Total 688 683 595 401 621 678 682 68S 620 688 688 401 682 688 688
TOTAL RESOURCES '1,996 1,995 1,868 l,872 630 1,860 1,918 1,910 1,914 1,850 1,935 1,012 1,99'630 1,910 2,012 1,996
PEAK POsmON 147 219 179 353 192 354 162 157 391 251 301 172 147 192 157 172 147
RESERVE PLANNING
, , .
Planning Reserve MargiD 258 251 241 225 217 224'249 249 226 233 237 257 258 217 249 257 258RESERVE PEAK PosmON 111 -63 127 130 165 -85 111 111
Updated Scplembcr I, 2004
Avisia Utilities Exhibit 0
Page 31 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Res~urces
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2OOf JaD Feh Mar Apr Mar JIIII Jul ADz.Sep Oct NOY Dee AmmaI
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
687 607 1,517 1,343 -1,261 1,330 -1.582 1.584 -1,355 427 461 676 -1,687 1,330 1,584 676 .1,671
:!Z :!Z
:!!.:!;
-1,734 -l,6S5 -1,566 -1,392 .1,3Of -l,371 -1,628 -1,629 -1.3"1,473 -1,508 .1,723 -1,734 .1,377 -1,629 -1,723 -1,72:!
("-"",uli....EDlit1emcDl
N"ac:hols PumpiDJ
PGE Capacjty 150 ISO :!a 150 1 0 :Un 150 ill!!Sub-Total 166 166 166 166 166 166 166 166 166 -1"161 161 166 166 166 161 161
TOTAL REQUIKEMENTS -l,9OO -1,120 -1,732 -1,558 -1,475 -1,543 '794 -1,795 -lpS6S -1,63'.1,669 -1,B84 -l,9OO .1,S43 -1,795 -1,884 1,884
NTRA
BP Eaerzy
Dm EDcrD
EI Paso 75.75'
Grant DispIaceIDCllt 19.
Haleywest
Morgan StaDlc)'
PGE Capacity RcIuna
PPM WuId
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-
Sub-Total 215 216 178 187 151 147 131 126 127 121 214 216 215 147 126 216 216
RO RES
Spobmc River 182 185 184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 188 191 189 189MainL &I: Forced Outage ,
C1ark Fork 778 778 778 77B 778 778 778 778 778 77B 778 772 778 778 778MaiaL &I: Forced Outage
Mid-Columbia 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141 141
MainL. &I: Forced Outage :1 :3. :I :I
.:!
:3. :3. .:3.Sub-Total l,OJ8 1,101 1,100 1,091 1,084 1,097 1,106 1,106 1,105 1,104 1,~7 l,OJ9 1,098 1,097 1,106 1,039 1,039
Boulder Part
MaiaL & Forced Outage
CoIslrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiaL &I: Forced Outage -111 111 111
CoyOlC Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 125 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 125 123 129 129
MaiDt. &I: Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duel bumcr
MaiaL &I: Forced Outage
Kettle Fa1II
MainL & Forced Outage
Kettle Fa1II
MaiDL &I: Forced Outage
Nonbcasl .
Maim. &I: Forced Outage -67
RatbdrwD 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176
MaiDt. &I: Forced Outage
!! !!
176
Sub-Total 688 683 511 S%2 S13 682 682 68S 620 684 684 688 S13 682 684 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 2,002 2,001 1,873 789 757 1,757 1,926 1,914 1,917 1,853 1,934 1,939 2,002 757 1,914 1,939 "1,93'
PEAK POSITION 102 ISO 141 231 282 214 132 119 3S3 214 265 102 214 119
~ERVE PLANNING
. ,.
PllllUliDg Reserve MargiD 263 155 241.229 221 253 2.53 230 237 241 262 263 228 2.53 262 262
RESERVE PEAK POSITION 161 105 120 134 123 208 161 134 208 208
Updated September I, 2004
Avista Utilities Capaciry Exhibit 0
Page 32 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
~ 0 NFID ENTIAL
Year 2010 J..Feb Mar Apr MIIy Jaa Jul AuK Sep Oct NO\"Dee Amm8I
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
r\A nC!
Pc8k Load 732 647 1.555 1,378 1.294 1.363 -l.617 622 1,392 463 497 720 732 -1,294 622 720 -1.73:PodaICh Net Load :!Z :!I ::!lSub-Total I:",-1,604 -1,428 -1.342 -1,410 -l,663 -1,667 4J(j -l,SCW -1,544 -1,767 -I,TIfJ .1.342 -l,667 -1,767 -1,775
,-.yo OBU
("lInDdi"1J EDtidcmr:al
Nichols PumpiDa
PGE Capacity ill!!:!a 150 :!a 150 150 ::Un 150 :.U!lSab- Total 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 -161 161 161
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS 1"40 -l,8S6 -1,766 -1,5119 -1,503 .1,571 -1,824 1,828 -1,97 .1,670 -1,705 -1,92B I"'"-l,SO3 -l,828 -1.'28 -1.'40
BP EDcrgy
Duke EDcrs1
E1 Paso
Grut DispI8ceIllClll 18,
HalC)'wesI
Morgan StaDley
PGE Capacity Rctum
PPM Wmd
SmaD Power
Upriver
WNP-!l.!l.
Sab- Total 21S 216 178 187 151 147 l26 l26 128 214 21'215 151 126 216 215
HYDRv
SpobDe River 182 185 184 180 179 188 191 19J 19J 191 189 189 179 19J 189 J82Maim. &It Forced. Oumge
Clark Fork 778 778 778 778 772 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778MainL &It Forced. Outage
Mid-Columbia
Maim. &It Forced. Outage
:!.:!.
Sub-Total 1,032 1,035 1,834 028 1,021 1,032 1,041 1,041 1,040 1,040 1,037 1,039 032 1,021 1,041 1,039 1,032
RESOtJRrn.;
Boulder Park
MainL &It Forced. Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222MaiDL &It Forced. Outage IJJ 111 lJ1, Coyote Spriags 2 129 129 128 128 127 12S 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129MaiDt. &It Forced Outage J27 127Coyote Springs 2 duct bumcr
MaiDt. &It Forced Outage
Kettle FaDs
MaiDt. &It Forced Outage
Kettle PaDs
Maint. &It Forced Outage
N ortbeasI
MaiDt. &It Forced. Outage -67Ratbdrum176J76176J76176176176J76176176 176 176 J76 176 176 176 176
Maim. &It ForcccI Outage
Sub- T~.ta1 684 683 595 599 JSI 509 678 678 685 620 688 688 684 350 678 688 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 1.'32 1"35 l,8O7 814 1,522 1,687 1,856 1,844 l,8S2 1,788 1,J38 1,J43 1"32 1,522 1,844 l,943 1,932
PEAK POSITION 22S 117 25S 118 234
RESERVE PLANNING
. ,.
Planning Reserve Margin 268 259 250..233 224 256 257 234 241 244 267 268 224 257 267 268RESERVE PEAK POSITION 277 181 209 205 -114 224 240 123 -11 252 277 205 240 252 277
Updated September 1,2004
Avista Utilities
Exhibit 0
Page 33 of 47
Peak (:apacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2011 Feb Mar Apr MIa,.Jua Jul Sep Oct No.Dee AmmaJ
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
Peak Load 778 686 1,594 413 1,326 -1,396 652 660 -1,429 498 1.532 -1,764 778 413 -1,660 -1,764 7601
Potlatch Net Load :!ZSu.Total -1,8%7 -1,736 -1,645 1,465 1,37'-1,445 -1,100 -1,70'1 -1,4'75 -1,S46 -1,581 -1,B13 -1,8%7 -1,465 -1,'107 -1,813 -t,m
BLI A
CaDadiaD EnlitlclllCll1
Nichols PumpiDa
PGE Capacity :ljQ :la :ljQ ISO ISO :la 150 :ljQ - 0 ISO :la 150 ISOSu.Totai 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161 161
' -
159 161 161 -161 159 159
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -1,988 -I,m -1,806 -l,626 -1,53'7 -1,606 -1,861 -1,868 -1,70'1 -1,741 -VTl' -J,988 -1,626 1,868 -t,m -J,m
NTRA
BP Energy
Duke Energy
E1 Paso
Grant DisplacelllCllt
HaJ~cst
MOrgan Stanley
PGE Capacity Rerum
PPM WOUld
Small Power 3 '
Upriver
WNP-
Sa.TolaJ 115 116 Ir7 'J7 115 Ir7 'J7 'J7
OUR
SpokaDc River'182 185 184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 180.191 189 189
. MaiDL & Forced Outage
Clark Fork 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778'778 778 778 778 778 77B 778
MaiDL & Forced Outage
Mid-Columbia
MainL & Forced Outage
Sa.TolaJ 1,031 1,034 1,033 1,026 020 1,030 1,040 l,D4O 1,03'1,03'1,008 001 1,031 1,026 1,040 1,001 001
AI..
Boulder Part
MaiDL &. Forced Outage
CoLsttip 222 222 122 122 122 222 122 122 122 122 222 122 122 222 122 222 222
MaiDL &. Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 125 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 128 123 129 129
MaiDt. &. Farced Outage . 0
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer
MaiDt. &. Forced Outage . 0
ICcttlc FallsM~ &. Forced Outage
Kettle FaDs
MaiDt. &. Farced Outage
NDJtbcasI
MainL & Forccci Outage -67 -67
Ratbdnam 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176
MaiDt. &. Farced Outage :AI :AI :A1 Sa.T~taI 684 683 683 599 545 624 682 682 685 62D 621 688 684 599 682 688 688
TOTAL RESOURCES 1,830 1,834 1,794 1,713 1,615 701 760 1,747 751 668 1,716 1,786 830 1,713 1,747 786 786
PEAK POSmON 157 -64 101 120 115 186 157 120 186 186
RESERVE PLANNING . '0
PllIDIiliIg Resenre Margia 273 264 254 236 228 - 234J 260 261 238 245 248 271 273 236 261 271 271
RESERVE PEAK POSmON -430 328 266 150 149 139 361 381 123 284 272 -457 -430 ISO 381 -457 -457
Updated September 1. 2004
Avisla Utilities Capacit;Exhibit 0
Page 34 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year20U Feb Mar Api'May Jaa JuJ Au.:Sep 0c:I NOY Dee AuaaI
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
..DADS
Peak Load 815 -1,719 625 -1,442 -1,353 423 680 691 460 1,.527 1,.561 800 815 1,353 691 -1,800 81~PocIalCh Net Load :9.:!Z :42 :!lSub-Total -1,864 -1,769 -1,676 -1,4J4 -1,402 -1,471 -1,721 -1,731 -1,SO6 -1,575 611 -1,849 -l,864 -1,402 138 -1,84'-1,86'
-- OR' .1t".A Trn'N~
Canadian Entidcmcal
N"1Cho1s Pumping
. -
roE Capacity ISO :.!a 150 ISO illn ISO :.!a ISO 150 15DSub-Total -15'15'-19 -l5J 15'-19 -19 -19 -19 -19 lSJ 159
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2,023 -1,J28 -l,83S 653 -l,561 -1,630 -1,887 -l,m -1,665 -1,734 -1,769 -2,008 -2,023 -l,561 -l,m -2,008 -2,023
CO""'-
BP Energy
Dub Euergy
EI Paso
Graat DispJ~t
Halcywcst
MorpII StaDJey
PGE Capacity Rctum
PPM Wmd
Small Power
Upri\ll:l'' 8WNP-
Sub-Total
HYDRO RES
SpobDc Ri\ll:l'182 18S 184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 179 191 189 182Maint. &: Farced Outage
Clad: Fork 778 778 778 778 772 772 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778MaUlL &: Forced Outage
Mid-Columbia . 34 34,MaUlL &. F0rct:4 Outage'
:.! :.!:.!:.!
:l.:l.:l.
:.!
Sub-Total '1%'81 '88 '88 '88 '88 '85 '88
AI. RES
Boulder Part
Maiat. &: Forced Outage
Coistrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222MainL &: Forced Outage Ill -III III
CoyOlC Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 125 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129Maint. " Forced Oulap:127 127CoyOlC Springs 2 duct bumer 10,10 , 10MainL &: Forced Outage . 0
Kettle Falls
MainL &: Forced Outage ' 0
Kettle FaDs CT
MainL &: Forced Outage
Northeast
MainL &: Forced Outage -01
RaIhdnam 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176MaiDL &: Forced Oulap:!l :M
Sub-Total 684 683 59S 59S 438 S13 68Z 68Z 68S 620 688 . 688 684 431 68%688 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 1,761 1,764 1,637 632 1,426 1,508 1,680 1,676 1,681 617 1,768 1,771 761 1,426 676 771 1,761
PEAK PosmON 261 164 198 135 123 106 220 117 136 262 135 220 136 261
RESERVE PLANNING
. '.
PIlDDing Reserve MargiJI 276 267 2SS.239 230 231 263 264 241 248 251 275 276 230 264 27S 276RESERVE PEAK POSITION 538 , -431 -456 160 365 360 -469 -484 224 365 251 511 538 365 -484 511 538
Updated September I, 2004
A vista Utilities Ca,Exhibit 0
Page 35 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
C 0 NFID EN11AL
Year 2013 Ja.Pcb Mar Apr Ma,.Jal Aul Scp Oct Not Dee Ammal
PEAK LOAD AND RFSOURCE PLANNING
Peak Load 854 754 658 -1,473 -1,381 -1,452 710 724 492 1,558 -1,592 1.838 854 -1,452 724 838 85-1Podatch Net Load :ll :41 :4Z :!i :41 :41 :4ZSu.Totai -1,903 -l,8O4 -1,,"-1,S25 -1,431 -l,SOO -1,758 -1,771 _1,S38 -1,606 -1,641 -1,887 -1.'03 -l,SOO -1,771 -1,887 -l,9O~
Cauadian Eulitlemcat 2 '
Nichols PumpiDa
PGE Capacity ISO ill2 ISO :!.a ISO :Ia :!.a illQ illQ ISO 150 :.Un I 0
Sub-Total L5f L5f 1SJ -159 1.9 -159 1.9 159 L5f 1.9 159 159
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -%,062 -1,963 -l,868 -1,683 -l,S9O -1,917 -1,930 -1,697 -1,765 1,800 -%,046 -2,062 -1,659 -1,f30 -2,046 -%,062
NTRA
BP Energy
Dub Eocrgy . 0
EI Paso
Gnmt DisplacelllCllt
Halcywcst
Morpn SIaI1Iey
PGE Capacity Rctum
PPM WOUld
Small Power 5 .
Upriver
WNP.!1.
!)'
S..Totai
,.,,.,
HYD RESOURCES
SpoJame River 182 185 184 180 179 188 191 191'191 191 189 189 182 188 191 189 182
MaiDt. & Forced Outage
Clark: Fork 778 778 778 778 772 772 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778
MaiD1. & Forced Outage
Mid.columbia
MaiDL & Forced Outage :l :l :1 :l :l
:!
:1 '
:!.
Sub-Total 994 '89 '82 991 1,001 1,001 1,000 1,000 992 1,001 992
RES UR
Boulder Park
MaiDt. & Forced Outage
Coistrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDL & Forced Outage Ill JII -111
Coyote Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 12S 123 123 126 128 "129 129 129 12S 123 129 129
Maiat. & Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duct bwDer 10 0
MaiDL & Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiDL & Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiDt. & Forced Outage
Nor1hcast
MaiDL & Forced Outage -67 -67
Rathdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176
MaiDL & Fon:ed Outage
Sub-rotal 684 683 595 595 522 513 682 682 68S 620 621 688 684 513 682 688 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 1,774 1,777 64'644 1,522 1,520 693 689 1,693 1,630 1,713 784 1,774 1,520 689 ' 1,784 774
PEAK PosmON 289 186 219 -67 139 224 :'241 136 -87 262 289 139 241 262 289
RESERVE PLANNING 0 '.
Planning Rcscne MargiD 280 270 26L 242 233 240 266 267 244 251 254 279 280 240 267 279 280
RESERVE PEAK POSITION 569 456 -480 281 300 379 490 508 247 386 341 541 569 379 508 541 569
Updated September 1,2004
Avista Utilities Capacity L Exhibit 0
Page 36 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Ye8I' 2014 JIIII Fe"Mar Apr Ma1 JUD Jul AUK Bep Oct No,"Dee AaauaI
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
rnAnr
Peak Lo8d 896 791 694 1,505 411 482 742 759 1,521 1,591 615 879 896 411 759 879 -1,8~Podatc:h Net Load :ll :!l
:!!
:.m :!l
:!!
Sub-Total 1,945 -1,841 -1,745 -l,557 -1,461 -l,S31 -I,'"-1,806 -1,573 -1,0'-1,6'74 -1,t28 -l,945 -1,461 -l,8O6' -l,928 1,t4!
"0"""'" 4"'" nB'
.....
Can,""ian Euddcmcat
Nichols Pwupiq
PGE Capacity :.Lm :Un :.Lm :Un :Un :Un :La :Un :Un :!a 150 J50 ill.!JSub-Total -IS'159 -IS9 -19 -159 -19 159 -IS'-IS'-159 IS9 -19 159 159 159 15'
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2,104 I""1,tO3 -1,716 -l,-l,689 -l,949 -l,964 -1,731 -1,798 1,833 -2,08'-2,104 -l,'U -1,964 -2,08'-2,104
.--
BP Eucrgy
Duke Eucrgy
EI Paso
Gnmt DispllC"""'"
Halcywest
Margau SruJey
PGE Capacity Rctum
PPM WiDd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-
Sub-Total
HYDRO RESOURCES
Spolame River 182 185 184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 179 191 189 182
MaiDt. " Forced Outage
CIarX Fork 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778
MaiDt. " Forced Outage
M"ad-Columbia
MaiDt. "Forced Outage
:! :!
:1 :1
:!
:1
:! :!
:1 :1
:!
Sub-Total 991 994 987 980 980 991
Boulder Park 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
MaiDL "Forced Outage
Colslrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 . 222 222 222
Maim. " Forced Outage
Coyorc Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 12.5 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 '129
MaiDt. "Forced Outage 127 127
Coyorc Springs 2 duel bumcr
MaiDt. " Forced Outage
Keulc Palls
MaiDt. " Forced Outage ...S3
Kculc FaDs
MaiDt. " Forced Outage
Nonbcast 67.67 ' 67
MaUlt. "Forced Outage -67
Ratbdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 , 176 176 176 176 176 176
MaiDL "Forced Outage
Sub-Total 681 681 687 S99 401 680 678 682 685 628 681 681 688 401 682 688 681
TOTAL RESOURCFS 1,777 788 1,740 1,647 1,401 68'681 687 6'2 1,628 77'783 1,777 1,401 687 783 1,777
PEAK POSITION 327 220 163 -68 21'262 277 16'304 327 219 277 304 327
RESERVE PLANNING
. ,.
PlDDIIing Reserve MargiD 285 274 264..246 236 243 269 271 247 254 257 283 285 236 271 283 285
RESERVE PEAK POSmON -612 -494 -428 314 -455 247 531 548 286 -423 311 586 -612 -455 548 586 -612
Updated Sepacmbcr 1, 2004
A vista Utilities Capaci Exhibit 0
Page 37 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2015 Jaa Feb Mar ApI'Ma1 Jaa Jal Aac, Sep Oct N..Dee Ammal
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
. ,.. .......
776Peak Load 1.940 829 731 1,539 442 1,514 .1,795 1,563 626 660 921 940 -1,442 -1,195 921 1,94(
Potlalch Net Load :!I :ll
Sub-Total -1,991 1,88l -1,784 -1,S93 -1,4'"1,564 -1,126 .1,611 .1,67'.1,711 1,f72 .t,m .1,4,..1,844 -t,m -1,991
:.JGATJDNS
Canadian EDtiIlcmr:ul
Nichols PumpiDa
, .
7 '
PGE Capacity :.US!150 ISO :U!l :.U2 ISO 150 ISO :U!lSub-Total 1St lSJ lSJ .19 15'lSJ .lSJ 159 lSJ lSJ .159 15'
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS .2,1S1 -1,048 .1,J42 .1,752 .1,653 .1,723 -1,985 -1,003 -1,769 1,834 .1,86'.2,131 .1,1SO .1,653 .1,003 .1,131 .2,1SO
BP Eaergy
Dub Eacrgy
El Paso
Gl'IIDt DisplaccJDCDt
HaleywCSl
Morpn StaDley
PGE Capacity Retum
PPM W'IIIII . 0
smaU Power : 3 3 .
Upriver 8 .
WNP-
Sub-Tolal f)7
HYDRO RESOURCES
SpobDc River 182 lIS 184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 179 191 189 182
MaiDL " Fon:ed Outage 0 -
Clark Fort'778 778 778 778 778 778 778 77B 778 778 77B 778 778 778
MaiDt. " Forced Outage,
Mid-Columbia
MaiDt. "Forced Ouragc !l
Sab- Total 986 989 998 '89 989
Boulder Part
MaiDt. " Forced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222.222 222 222 222 ' 222 222 222
Maim. " Forced Outage
Coyote SpriDgs 2 129 129 128 128 127 12S 123.123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129
MaiDL " Forced Ouragc
Coyote SpriDgs 2 duct bumc:r 10 '10.
MaiDt. "Forced Outage ' 0 0 '
Kettle Falls . 53
MaiDL " Forced Outage - 0
Kcnlc Falls
MaiDt. " Forced Outage
NortbcasI
MaiDt. " Forced Outage -67
Rathdrum 176 176 1:76 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176
MaiDL "Forced Outage !l !l J76 176
Sub-Total 688 688 687 520 457 624 682 682 68S 6fr1 688 688 688 4S7 682 688 688
TOTAL RESOURCES 1,775 778 1,73'1,567 455 629 686 691 694 778 1,781 1,775 455 686 1,781 1,775
PEAK POSmON 374 261 203 185 198 294 317 140 349 374 198 317 349 374
RESERVE PLANNING ' f.
Plamrlng Reserve Margin 289 278 268"249 239 246 273 274 251 2S8 261 287 289 239 274 287 289
RESERVE PEAK POSITION -664 540 -472 -434 -437 341 567 591 329 398 353 -636 664 -437 591 636 -664
UpdalCd September I, 2004
A visla Utilities Capacity J Exhibit 0
Page 38 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 201'Feb Mar Apr May JaD JDI Alii'Sep Oct New Dee ADau8J
. .
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
Peak Load 978 863 763 1.569 470 1.542 8OS -1.827 1.594 -1.656 690 -1,958 978 470 -1,827 1,958 -1,978Potlalch Net Load :.U :am - I - I - ISub-Total -2,02f -1,915 -1,81'-1,623 -1,52l -1,5J2 1,855 -1,B76 642 -1,706 -1,741 -2,OIW -2,02f - -1,521 -1,8'76 -2,009 -2,029
CalladiaD EutitlclllCllt
Nichols
Pm: Capacity :U2 ISO illn :!a.ISO illn 150 ISO ISO I 0 150 ISO ISOSub-Total 159 -1S9 -159 1S9 l.9 159 -1S9 1S9 IS'.15'.1S9 .159 1S9 1S9 1S9 159 159
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2,188 .2,073 -1,975 -1,781 1,680 -1,751 -2,014 -2,035 -1,BO1 -1,864 -1.89'.2,167 .2,111 -~680 -2,035 -2,167 .2,188
. R1
B P EBerlY
DuR Energy
EI Paso
GraDl Disp1acemem
Haleywesl
Morgan StaDJey
PGE Capacity Retum
PPM WiDd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-!I.!I.
Sub-Total f)7 f)7
HYDR RESO
SpobDe River 182 185 184 180 179,188 1!J1 191 1!J1 191 189 , 18!J 182 179 191 189 182
MaiDt. at Forced Outage 0 '
Clark Fork 778 778 778 772 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 j18Maim. at Forced Outage
Mid-Columbia 29,2!J
MaiDt. at Forced Oucap :1'
Sab- Total '81 '85 'II
"..
'II '81
RMAL
Boulder Part
MaiDt. at, Forced Outage
ColsIrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDL at Forced Outage 111 111 Ill
CoyOle Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 115 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129
MaiDL at Forced Outage 127 127
Coyoce Springs 2 duct bumer ' 10
MaiDt. . at Forced Oucap
Kettle Falls 53,
MaiDL &: Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiDt. at Forced Outage
Northeast
MaiDL at Forced Outage -67
Rathdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 , 176 176 176
MaiDL &: Forced Outage 176
Sub-Total 684 688 511 'J!17 SO9 678 612 685 620 681 688 684 297 682 688 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 1,770 1,771 1,650 l,SS7 l,2!I 1,S1J 1,685 1,~6".626 I,Tn 781 1,770 I~S 685 1,781 770
PEAK POSITION -418 296 324 224 385 238 328 350 110 238 122 387 -418 385 350 387 -418
RESERVE PLANNING . t.
Planning Reserve Margin 293 281 271:.252 242 249 276 278 254 261 264 291 293 242 278 291 293
RESERVE PEAK POSITION 711 577 596 -476 .027 -487 604 627 365 -498 386 -678 711 .027 .027 -678 711
Updated September 1,2004
Avista Utilities Exhibit 0
Page 39 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Res~urces
CONFIDENTIAL
, .
Year 2017 Jaa Feb Mar A...Mar Jaa J8I AIIC. Sep Oct No.Dee Ammal
PEAK LOAD AND RFSOURCE PLANNING
, 1'\" ....eo
hat Load -2,002 1.884 783 1.588 487 -1.5S9 824 847 614 675 709 981 -2,002 -1.5S9 847 981 .2,002Potlatch Net Loed :llSa.Totai -2,853 -1,936 -1,B36 .1,642 -1,S3f -1,611 -1,874 -1,89', -1,662 -1,725 -1,760 -2,032 -2,053 -l,610 -1,896 -2,032 -2,053
CONTRACT OBUGA "ONS
Oan""illn Entidcmeat
Nichols Pumpiaa
PGE Capacity
Sa.Totai
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2,062 -1.'44 -l,845 -1,650 -1,547 -1,618 -1,B81 -l,9O5 1,670 -1,733 -1,768 -2,041 -2,062 .l,618 -l,9O5 -2,041 -2,062
BP EDergy
Dub: Euergy
EI Paso
Gnmt Displaccmeat
Haleywcst . 4
Morgan StaDlC)'0 .
PGE Capacity Rctuna
PPM Wmd
Small Power
Upriver 11,
WNP.
!!.
Su.Total
RVnRn RESnUR~~
SpotaDe River 182 185 184 180 179 188'191 191 191 191 189 189 182 188 191 189 182Maiat. &. Forced Outage
Clark Fork 778 778 778 778 772 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778
MaiaL &. Forced Outage
Mid-Columbia 29'
MaiaL &. Forced Outap O' :l :1
~.
:l :l :l :1 :l Sa. Total '88 'IS 97.'88
".,".,".,"..
'88 '88
".,
'88
Boulder Park 15'MaiaL &. Forced Outage , -4
Coistrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222MaiaL &. ForcccI Outage 111 111 111
Coyote Sprinp 2 129 129 128 128 127 115 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 115 123 129 129Maiat. &. Forced Outage
Coyote Sprinp 2 duct bumer
MaiaL &. Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiaL &. Forccd Outage
KcuIc Falls ' 7
Maiat. &. Forccd Outage
N ortbeasI
MaiaL &. Forced Outage -67
Ratbdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176
MainL &. Forced Outage :H Sa. Total 684 683 SOt 678 682 685 620 688 684 SOt 682 688 6S4
TOTAL RESOURCES 1,770 . 1,773 650 1,645 1,5D 1,512 1,685 685 690 62'1,777 780 1,770 1,512 685 780 1,770
PEAK POSmON 292 171 195 106 197 220 107 261 292 106 220 261 292
RESERVE PLANNING
' '. .
Plam1iDg RcsCM: Margin 295 284 27~.254 244 15J 277 280 256 262 266 293 295 251 280 293 295
RESERVE PEAK POSmON 587 -455 -469 259 272 357 -474 500 237 370 257 SS4 587 357 500 SS4 -587
Updated September I, 2004
A visla Utilities Capacity I Exhibit 0
Page 40 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2018 Jaa Feb Mar Api'Ma1 Jaa . Jul Aue., Sep Oct NOY Dee AmmaI
PEAK LOAD AND KESOURCE PLANNING
,., . -..
Peat Load -2.037 -1.914 813 615 1,512 1,584 -1,850 1,876 642 -1,702' -1,736 -2,015 -2.037 1,512 876 -2,015 -2.03~Potlatcb Net Load ill.:.U :11Sub-Total -2,088 -1.'"-1,B66 -1,668 -1,563 -1,635 -l,M -1,f25 -1,690 -1,752 -1,71f1 -2,066 -2,088 -1,563 -1,925 -2,066 -2,081
CONTRACT OBLIGATIONS
CanadiaD EDtillelllelll
NIChols PumpiDl
PGE Capacity
Sub-Total
TOTAL REQUIREMEN'I'S -2,096 -1,J7S -1,874 1,677 -1,S72 -1,643 -l,JOt -1,t34 -1,699 -1,7SJ -1,""-2,073 -2,'"1,572 -1.'34 -2,073 -2,'"
("0-
BP Eaergy
Duke Eaergy
E1 Paso ' 0
Gnmt DispIacemcDt
Haleywcst
Morgan StaDleJ
PGE Capacity ReIlllD
PPM Wind
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-
Sub-Total fJ7 fJ7
IHYDR
Spolame River 182 185 184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 179 191 189 182
Maiat. "forced Outage
Clark Fork 778 778 778 778 772 772 778 778 778 778 778 772 778 778 778
MaiDt. " forced Outage
Mid-Columbia
MaiDL " forced Outage :1..:l .:lSub-Total 988 985 fJ78 988 fJ97 fJ97''6'.'88 fJ78 '88
RESOURCES
Boulder Park
Mamt. "forced Outage
Colslrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiDt. "forced Outage
Coyote SpriDp 2 129 129 128 128 127 125 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129
MaiDL &; Forced Outage 127 127
Coyote Springs 2 duct buracr
MaiDt. " forced Oulage
Kcule falls
MaiDt. " forced Outage -53
Kctde Falls cr '
, MaiDL &; forced Outage
Nortbcast
Maim. &; forced Outage -67 -67
Ratbdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176.176 176 176 176 176 176
MaiDL "forced Outage
!!
:II :n
Sub- TGtaI 688 683 59S S99 401 620 671 682 685 620 6%1 688 688 401 682 688 688
TOTAL RESOURCES 774 773 646 1,645 1,3'-8 1,623 685 1,685 1,690 1.59'683 752 1,774 1,398 685 1,752 1,774
PEAK POSITION 322 202 229 174 224 249 160 Ill 320 322 174 249 320 322
KESERVE PLANNING
. "
PlaDD.ing Resene Margin 299 287 277.257 246 253 280 283 259 265 269 297 299 246 283 297 299
RESERVE PEAK posmON -621 -488 50S -289 -420 273 504 531 268 -425 380 617 -621 -420 531 -617 -621
Updaled September 1, 2004
A vista Utilities Capacily L&J Exhibit 0
Page 41 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 201'Feb Mar Apr Ma1 Jal Auc ' Sep Oct NO't'Dee Aaawd
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNJNG
IlnAD!::
Peak Load -2.,079 951 84B 647 -1,542 615 882, -1.911 617 735 769 -2.,055 -2.,079 615 911 -2.,055 -2.,055Potlatch Net Load :.USub-Total -2,132 -2,005 -1,,03 -1,703 -l,95 -1,667 -1.'34, -1.962 -1,727 -1,787 -1,122 -2,108 -2,132 -1,667 -1,962 -2,108 -2,108
..-
OS- --
CaDadian Enlidemcul
Nichols PumpiDg
PGE Capacity !l
.!!
Sub-Total
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2,13'-2,011 -1.'10 -1,710 -1,602 -1,674 -1,Nl I""734 -1,"4 -l,Jm -2,115 -2,13'-1,674 -1.'"-2,115 -2,115
CONTRACT RIGHTS
SP Energy
Duke EDcrgy
EI Paso
Gram DispIacemcDl
Haleywesl
MorpD SIaDley
PGE Capacity Return . 0PPM WmcI
Small Power
Upriver
WNP !l.
!!..!!
Sub-Total
HYDRO RESOURCES
Spobae River 182 185,184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 188 191 189 189MaiDL eft Forced Outage
Oark Fork 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778
MaiDL eft Forced Outage
Mid-Columbia
MaiDL eft Forced Outage
.!!
Sub-Total f6O f63 f62 958 '51 960 '60 967
'mERMAL RESOURCES
Boulder Park
MaiDL eft Forced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222MaiDt. eft Forced Outage -111
. -
111 111
Coyote Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 125 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 125 123 129 129MaiDL eft Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duct bwm:r
MaiDt. eft Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiDt. eft Forced Outage
Kcu1c Falls
Maim. eft Forced Outage
Northeast
MaiDt.. eft Forced Outage -67
Rathdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176
Maim. eft Forced Outage 176
Sub-TGtaI 688 683 511 5%2 513 682 682 685 620 684 684 688 513 682 684 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 746 1,745 1,618 l,53O 1,492 489 661 1,657 662 1.59'1,663 666 746 489 657 666 666
PEAK POSmON 393 267 292 180 111 185 280 312 195 165 -449 393 185 312 -449 -449
RESERVE PLANNING
. ,.
PlaDniDg Reserve Margin 303 291 280'260 2S0 257 283 286 263 269 272 301 303 257 286 301 301
RESERVE PEAK POSITION -696 558 573 -440 360 -442 563 599 334 -464 -438 750 -696 -442 599 750 750
UpdalCd September i. 2004
Avista Utilities Capacity L&J\Exhibit 0
Page 42 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CO NFID ENTIA L
Year 2020 J..Fe"Mar A...Mar Jaa Jut Aug Sep Oct N..Dee AmmaJ
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
Peak Load -2,118 1,986 881 -1,678 1,570 -1,643 912 944 709 766 800 -2,093 -2,118 1,570 -1,944 -2,093 -2,118Potlatch Net Load
S... Tol8l -2,171 -2,048 1"36 -1,734 -l,623 -1,05 -1,J64 -1."5 -1,759 -1,818 -l,8S3 -2,1"-2,171 -1,623 -1,t95 -2,1"-2,171
NIChols PuaIpia&
PGE Capacity
Sub- Tol8l
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2,178 -2,047 -1,f43 -1,741 -1.'38 -1,702 -t,m -2,002 -1,766 1,815 -l,86I -2,l53 -2,178 630 -2,002 -2,1S3 -2,178
BP Eaergy
Dulce EDcqy
BI Paso
Graul DisplaceDICIII
Haleywcst
Morgan SlaDIey
PGE Capacity Return
PPM Wmd
Small Power '
Uprlvc:r .
WNP-
Sub-Tol8l
. 15
HYDR
Spoboe River 182 185 184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182,179 191 189 182Maim. &: Forced Outage
Clark Fork 778 77B 77B 77B 778 778 778 778 77B 778 778 778Maim. &: Forced Outage
Mid-COlumbia
MaUlL &: Forced Outage !l
!! !! !! !!
!l
!! !! !!
Sub-Total '60 963 962 9S8 '60 967 960 '51
"',
960
At RESO
Boulder Part
MaUlL &: Forced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222Maim. &: Forced Outage Ill IllCoyote Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 125 123 123 i26 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129MaUlL &: Forced Outage -127 127Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer
MaUlL &: Fon:cd Outage
Kettle Fa1Is S3
Maim. "Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaUlL "Forced Outage
Northeast
MaiDt. "Fon:cdOutage -67Ratbdrum176176176176176176176176176176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176MaiDL "Forced Outage
!! !!
:M :M :M !l !l
!!
!l !l !l
!! !!
:n Sab-Total 684 6B3 3SI SOf 678 678 68S 620 688 684 350 678 688 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 660 1,663 1,577 1,577 1,320 1,484 657 653 662 I,m 1,668 670 660 1,320 1,653 670 660
PEAK POSITION 518 384 366 164 310 218 314 349 104 226 192 -483 518 310 349 -483 518
RESERVE PLANNING . t.
PI8DI1iDg Rcscrvc Margiu 307 294 284-.263 252 260 286 290 266 272 275 305 307 252 290 305 307RESERVE PEAK POSITION 825 -678 -650 -427 563 -478 -601 -639 370 -498 -467 787 825 563 -639 787 -825
Updalcd September 1, 2004
Avista Utilities
Exhibit 0
Page 43 of 47
. .
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFJD ENTIAL
Year 20%1 Feb Mar Apr May Jua Jal AuK" Sep Oct NO't'Dee AmmaI
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
II nAn~
Peak Load -2,159 -2,021 916 710 -1,599 673 -1,943' -1,978 742 798 832 -2,133 -2,159 710 978 -2,133 -2,159
Potlatch Net Load :li ::llSub-ToW -2,2U -1,D75 -I,m -1,765 -l,W -1,725 -1,"5 -2,029 -1,"2 -l,8SO -1,885 -2,186 -2,2U -1,765 -2.,029 -2,1"-2,2U
- -
BUGA 'MONS
("....."Iilln EDlidcmmt
Nichols PumpiDI
PGE Capacity
Sub-ToW
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2,28 -2,082 -1.'78 -1,772 -1,660 -1,732 -2,002 -2,036 -1,'"1,857 1,892 -2,U3 -2,21J -l,m -2,036 -2,U3 -2,219
CONTRACT RIGHTS
DP Eucrgy
Duke Eaqy
El Paso
Gnat DispIacemeDl
Haleywcst
Morgaa StaDIc=y
PGE Capacity Rctum
PPM WOUld
Small Power
Upriver ,
WNP-
.!!
Sub-Total
HYDRO RESOURCES
SpobDc River 182 185 184 180 179 -188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 180 191 189 182
Maint. &: Forced Outage
auk Farle 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 77B 778 778
MaiDL &:,Forced Outage
Mid-CoIumbia O. '
Maint. &: Forced Outage
.!!
Sub-Total '60 '63 .962 958 951 J6O 960 958 960
AI. RESOURCES
BouIdc:r Park
Maint. &: Forced Outage
CoIsIrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
MaiuL &: Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 '129 129 128 128 127 12S 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 128 123 129 129
MaiDt. &: Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumer
Maim. " Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiDt. &: Fon:ed Outage
Kettle Fa1ls
MaiDL "Forced Outage
Nonbeul
Maim. " Forced Outage -67 -67
Ralhdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 , 176 176 176 176 176
MaiDt. &: Forced Outage :.U.
Sub-T.o'"684 683 68J 599 545 624 6B2 682 68S 620 621 688 684 S99 682 6B8 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 660 663 665 1,577 1,515 600 661 657 662 1,599 1,601 670 660 1$17 657 670 660
PEAK posmON -559 -420 313 195 145 132 341 379 137 258 291 522 559 195 379 522 559
RESERVE PLANNING
' '.
Pll1IIDlDg Reserve Margin 31)298 281.267 2SS 263 290 293 269 275 278 309 3JJ 267 293 309 311
RESERVE PEAK poSmON -870 717 -600 -462 -400 395 -631 -672 -406 533 569 -831 870 -462 -672 831 -870
Updated September I, 2004
Avista Utilities Capacity U Exhibit 0
Page 44 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CO NFID ENT1AL
Year 2022 Feb Mar Apr Ma1 Jul AuK " Sep Oct New Dee Am8aI
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
'nAne
Peak LoIId -2.187 -2.046 1.939 731 619 693 965 -2.002 -1,765 820 854 -2,160 -2.187 619 -2.002 -2,160 -2.187Potlatch Net LoIId :.U :aUSa. TolIII -2,24D -2,100 -1,994 -1,7r1 1,673 -1,745 -2,017 -2,053 -1,815 -1,872 -1,M7 -2,213 -2,240 -1,6'73 -2,053 -2,2l3 -2,240
- U
Calladian EDtillemeat
Nichols PumpiDa
roE Capacity
Su.Totai
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2,247 -2,1117 -2,001 -1,"4 -1,680 -1,752 -2,024 -2,l16li -1,B22 -1,879 -l,914 -2,220 -2,247 -1,6BO -2,0611 -2,220 -2,247
BP EDerzy
Duke Euergy
El Puo
Gnat DispIaccm:a1
Haleywest
MorpD Staaley
PGE Capacil;y Retum
PPM Wmd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-
Su.Totai 111
SpokaDc River 182 185 184 180 179 188 191 191 191 191 189 189 182 179 191 189 182
MaiaL " Forced Outage
am Fed:778 778 778 778 772 772 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778
MaiDt. " For=I Outage
Mid-Columbia
Maim. " Forced Outage
Sa.ToIaI "'6 949 941 944 937 946 9SS 955 '55 '55 '53 '53 "'6 937 '55 953 946
AI. RRC:OURCE.C:
Boulder Part
MaiDt. " Forced Outage
CoIs1rip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222
Maim. "Forced Outage 111 Ill 111
Coyote Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 115 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129
MaiDt. "Forced Outage 127 127
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumcr
Maim. "Fon:ed Oulage
Kettle Falla S3.
Maim. " Forced Outage
Kettle Falts
MaUlt. "Forced Outage
Northeast
Maim. "Forced Outage , 0 -67
Rathdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176
MaUlt. "Forced Outage
!! !!
:H :M
!! !!
Su.TolaI 684 683 595 595 438 513 682 682 685 620 688 688 684 438 681 688 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 1,646 1,649 1,563 1,559 1,394 1,475 647 643 648 1,585 1,654 656 646 1,394 1,643 656 646
PEAK POSITION -601 -458 -439 235 286 278 377 -417 174 294 260 563 -601 286 -417 563 -601
RESERVE PLANNING
PlBDDing Reserve MargiD 314 300 289-.269 257 26S 292 295 272 277 281 311 314 257 29S 311 314
RESERVE PEAK POSITION 915 758 728 504 543 542 -668 712 -446 571 541 875 915 543 712 875 915
Updated SepICmbcr 1, 2004
A vista Utilities Capacity 1.&Exhibit 0
Page 45 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2023 Feb Mar Apr M81 Jail JaJ Aae Sep Oct Nov Dee Amma1
PEAK LOAD AND RESOURCE PLANNING
Peak Load -2.232 -2,086 978 767 651 726 -2,000 -2,039 -1,802 -1.855 BB9 -2,204 -2,232 726 -2,039 -2,204 -2.232Potlatch Net Load :SJ.:.USub-Tolal -2;JZI -2,142 -2,D35 -1,824 -1,707 -1,780 -2,054 -z,o,2 -1,8S4 -1,944 -2,259 -1)Z1 -1,780 -2,092 -2,259 -1)Z1
ONTR A( T
CaDadiaa Eutitlemc:D1
Nichols PumpiDI
PGE CaplCity
Sab- Tolal
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2.2'4 -2,14'-2,042 -1,831 -1,714 -1,717 -2,061 -2,m -l,861 -1,916 -l,951 -2,266 -2,294 -1,787 -2,099 -2,266 -2,2J4
OM"rD
BP Eaergy
Dula: Eaergy
EI Paso
GI'IIDt DispJacelllCllt
Haleywest
MorpD Staale1
PGE Capacity Rctum
PPM Wmd
Small Power
Upriver
WNP-
Sub-Total
RES
Spokane River J82 lIS 184 180 J79 188 J91 191 19J J91 189 189 182 188 19J 189 182
MaiuL . Forced Dulap
Cart Fori:778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778MainL &. Forced Outage
Mid-Columbia
MainL &. Forced Outage
Sab- Total '58 J6O J6O '60
RESOURCES
Boulder Park 25,MaiuL &. Forced Outap
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222MaiDL &. Forced Dulap -JlJ 111 111
Coyote Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 125 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 125 123 129 129MaiuL &. Forced Qulap
Coyote Springs 2 duct bumcr
Maint. &. Forced Outap
Kc:uIe Falls 53 -
MaiuL &. Forced Outage
KcaIc Falls CT
MainL &. Forced Outage 0 'Northeast
MainL &. Forced Outap -67 -67
Rathdrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 J76 J76MainL &. Forced Outage :M
Sub-Total 684 683 S9S 595 513 682 682 685 620 621 68B 684 513 682 688 684
TOTAL RESOURCES 660 1,663 l,m 1,573 1,492 489 661 1,657 662 l,S9J 601 670 660 48J 1,657 670 660
PEAK POsmON -634 -486 -46S 258 222 299 399 -442 199 318 350 595 -634 299 -442 595 -634
RESERVE PLANNING
. ,.
PJanning Reserve MargiD 319 304 293.272 26J 268 295 299 275 281 284 316 319 268 299 316 319
RESERVE PEAK posmON 953 790 758 531 483 567 -695 742 -475 599 -635 911'-953 567 742 911 953
Updated September I, 2004
Avisla Utilities Capacity L Exhibit 0
Page 46 of 47
Peak Capacity Load and Resources
CONFIDENTIAL
Year 2024 JaB Feh Mar Apr Ma1 JDD Jal ADI:., Sep Oct NOY Dee Amm8I
PEAK LOAD AND KESOURCE PLANNING
Peak l.o8d -2.275 -2,124 2,014 800, -682 757 -2,032 -2,075 838 889 923 -2,245 -2:1.75 631 -2,075 -2,245 -2.275
Podatch Net Load
Sub-Total -2,331 -2,110 -2,071 -1,B58 -1,'738 -l,ID -2,086 -2,l28
, -
1,DO -1,J43 -1,J78 -2,300 -2,330 -1,731 -2,128 -2,300 -2,330
. 4.M' OBUGA 110NS
C.nmfi:m EDtillemcal
Nicbob PumpiDJ:
PGE Capacity .IJ
Sub-Total
TOTAL REQUIREMENTS -2,337 -2,187 -2,078 -1,B65 -1,745 .1,818 -2,Ot3 .2,l35 1""-1,950 1,985 -1)17 .2;337 -1,745 -2,135 .1)17 -'1.,337
B P Energy
Duke Ear:rgy
E1 Paso
Grut Disp1acemcat
Haleywcst
MorpD StaDley
PGE Capacity Retana
PPM W'md
SmaD Power
Upriver
WNP-
Sub-Total
IHYDR
SpobDc Rjva'182 185 184 180 179 188 19J.J9J 19J 191 J89 189 182 J79 19J 189 182
MaiDL '" Forced Outage
Clark Fort 778 778 772 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778 778
Maim. '" Forccd Outage 0 .. 0
Mid-Columbia
MaiDL "'Forced Outage
!!
Sub-Total '60 J62'J58 '51 '60 J51
' '"
THERMAL RESOURCF~
Boulder Park
MaiDL '" Forced Outage
Colstrip 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222 222,222 222 222
MaiDt. '" Forced Outage
Coyote Springs 2 129 129 128 128 127 115 123 123 126 128 129 129 129 127 123 129 129
MaiD1. '" Forced Outage 127 127
Coyote Springs 2 duct humcr
MaiDt. '" Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiDL '" Forced Outage
Kettle Falls
MaiDL '" Forced Outage
N orthcasI
Maim. '" Forced Outage -67
Radldrum 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176 176
MaiDL '" Forced Outage
!! !! !!
:n .:M
Sub-Total 6B8 6B8 687 S99 401 680 678 682 6BS 620 6B8 6B8 688 401 682 6B8 6B8
TOTAL RESOURCES 664 667 1,66'1,m 1,371 655 1,657 657 662 1.59'668 670 664 1,371 657 1,670 664
PEAK POSITION -673 520 -409 288 374 163 -436 -478 235,351 317 -637 -673 374 -478 637 -673
RESERVE PLANNING
. ,.
Planning Reserve Margin 323 308 291.276 264 271 299 303 279 284 288 320 323 264 303 320 323
RESERVE PEAK POSITION 996 -828 706 563 -637 -434 735 781 514 -636 605 957 996 -637 781 957 996
Updated September I, 2004
A vista Utilities Exhibit 0
Page 47 of 47
Avista Corp.
1411 East Mission PO Box 3727
Spokane, Washington 99220-3727
Telephone [phone]
Toll Free 800-727-9170
:? I=- (' \J r: , " I-- ~ 1 ~- L
11 -1!;"
...-,
; v!
...::'~J
'-'""
'V'STA$
Corp.ZUO5rlAR I 5 Ai1tl ': 4'
March 14, 2005
- --, :' - ,, - - " ! .
it.) ;;u rutJLJI...
- '~-
' 1'=-
'" ",. '
U I L II t::' -- rilf"L -
State of Idaho
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
Statehouse
Boise, ill 83720
Attention: Ms. Jean Jewell, Commission Secretary
Case No. A VU-05-
Reply Comments of A vista Corporation
Enclosed for filing with the Commission is an original and seven copies of A vista Corp. ' s Reply
Comments in the above referenced case.
Computer readable copies of the Reply comments will be provided under separate cover
within three business days of this filing.
Questions regarding this filing should be directed to either David Meyer at [phone] or
myself at [phone].
Sincerely,
~ A~ &v
Kelly o. Norwood
Vice President, State & Federal Regulation
Enc I 0 sures
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
HEREBY CERTIFY that I have, as of this 14th day of March 2005, served
Avista Corporation s Reply Comments in Case A VU-05-01 by mailing a copy
thereof, properly addressed with postage prepaid to:
Jean D Jewell , Secretary
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
Statehouse
Boise, I D 83720-5983
Scott Wood bu
Deputy Attorney
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
472 W. Washington
Boise , ID 83702-0074
Conley Ward
Givens Pursley LLP
601 W. Bannock Street
PO Box 2720
Boise , ID 83701-2720
Charles L. A. Cox
Evans, Keane
111 Main Street
O. Box 659
Kellogg, ID 83837-0659
Brad M. Purdy
Attorney at Law
2019 N. 17th Street
Boise , I D 83702
Pa Olsness
Rates Coordinator