HomeMy WebLinkAbout20200709Avista IRP Workshop Slides.pdfPublic Workshop
Avista Corp.
Integrated Resource Plan
Case No. AVU-E-19-01
Idaho Public Utilities Commission Staff
July 9, 2020
Introductions
Rachelle Farnsworth –Utility Analyst
Michael Eldred –Utility Analyst
Mike Morrison –Engineer
Ed Jewell –Deputy Attorney General
Adam Rush –Public Information Officer
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Workshop Participation
Online:
To open chat in WebEx, please select the icon
Type questions and comments in the chat box
Please use the “all panelists” option when using chat to
ensure your message will be seen
To speak, click the hand in the lower right corner by
your name
On the phone:
*3 is the command to raise and lower your hand
You will hear two beeps when you are unmuted
*This workshop is being recorded*
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Avista IRP Workshop Slides
Slides are available to participants:
www.puc.Idaho.gov, News Updates
Labeled ‘Avista IRP Workshop Slides’
The Avista 2020 Electric IRP Document
www.puc.Idaho.gov Select ‘Electric’
Under ‘Cases’ Select ‘Open Cases’
Under CaseNo Select ‘AVU-E-19-01’
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Avista IRP
Workshop Purpose and Flow
Explain case timeline
Explain how to submit comments for the case record
Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) overview
Present IRP highlights
Staff will present slides first
Staff will answer questions and solicit feedback
and concerns
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The Idaho Public Utilities Commission
Established in 1913.
The Idaho Public Utilities Commission regulates
Idaho’s investor-owned utilities, ensuring adequate
service and reasonable rates.
The Utility Commission is made up of three appointed
commissioners. They make the decisions.
Commission Staff reviews cases filed at the
Commission.
We are one of the parties that present evidence and
comments to the commissioners to help establish the
case record.
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Avista IRP Case Timeline
Avista 2019 IRP, started in 2018.
Early 2019: IRP delayed
Extended 6 months
Used a 25 year planning period
February 28: Avista filed the IRP
Renamed the 2020 Electric IRP
August 19, 2020 comment deadline
Staff, interested parties, and customers file comments
September 2: Avista files reply comments
Fall/Winter 2020
The Commission will issue an order acknowledging or
not acknowledging, the Avista IRP
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Important Note
This workshop is not part of the case record.
To have comments included in the official record:
Submit written comments on the Commission home page:
www.puc.idaho.gov
Under “Consumers,” click “Case Comment Form
Use Case No. AVU-E-19-01.
Mail written comments to:
Commission Secretary
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
P.O. Box 83720
Boise, ID 83720-0074
Email comments to secretary@puc.idaho.gov
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Integrated Resource Plan Goal
Identify the least cost resource plan balancing risk to
meet customer load over the next 25 years.
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Step 1: Determine
Load and Resource Balance
Load Forecast
Forecast how much energy and capacity customers will
need over the next 25 years.
Current Resources
Determine how much energy and capacity power plants
and energy efficiency can provide over the next 25 years.
Deficits
Determine when forecasted load will exceed existing
resources →need to buy/build a future resource
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Avista 2019/2020 IRP
Load and Resource Balance
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Step 2: Identify Future
Resource Options
Supply-side resources
Natural gas plants, hydro plants, solar farms, wind
farms, energy storage, biomass, etc.
Coal plant retirements
Demand-side resources
Energy efficiency, demand response, roof-top solar, etc.
Transmission resources
Large power lines to move energy from generation sites
to load centers
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Step 3: Resource Selection
Optimization model selects least cost resources while
considering risk
Model quantifies risk by varying:
Natural gas prices, forced outages, load, hydro and wind
conditions
Model was also run over 15 alternative scenarios
Preferred Resource Strategy (PRS) selected from
results
25 year plan for resources to meet load
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Step 4: Create Preferred Resource
Strategy and Action Plan
The Preferred Resource Strategy (25 year plan)
Wind resources selected by the model over solar
300 MW of Northwest and Montana wind in 2022-2023
175 MW long duration Pumped Hydro in 2026
Colstrip Units 3 and 4 retire in 2025
Two-Year Action Plan
Renewable energy Request for Proposal (RFP) in 2020
May release a capacity RFP in 2021
Continue Colstrip analysis
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Avista IRP Chapters
1.Executive Summary
2.Intro and Stakeholder Involvement
3.Economic and Load Forecast
4.Existing Supply Resources
5.Energy Efficiency
6.Demand Response
7.Long Term Position
8.Transmission and Distribution Planning
9.Supply Side Resources
10.Market Analysis
11.Preferred Resource Strategy
12.Portfolio Scenarios
13.Action Items
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Avista 2019/2020 IRP Highlights
Lower energy demand forecast than 2017 IRP
Added more solar and wind since 2017 IRP
Solar and wind make up the majority of future
generation resources
Renewable energy provides 55% winter peak
Capacity deficit appears in 2026
Energy efficiency meets 71% of new load growth
Natural gas price remains low
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EIA,CETA, and
Avista Clean Energy Goals
Washington State Requirements
EIA –Energy Independence Act
CETA -Clean Energy Transformation Act
Idaho customers are assigned 1/3 of Avista costs
Subject to approval by the Idaho Commission
Avista Clean Energy Goals
Carbon Neutral by 2027
100% clean electricity by 2045
The Company says about 55% of their portfolio is already
renewable energy
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Staff Consideration of Colstrip (1)
2017 IRP, Avista will include more Colstrip detail in the
2019 IRP
2020 Avista Colstrip Analysis
2 Colstrip retirement scenarios for 2025 and 2035
Preliminary Company position was ‘in’ for Idaho, ‘out’
for Washington, after 2025
Staff concern about passing costs on to Idaho customers
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Staff Consideration of Colstrip (2)
Filed results in February of 2020
Colstrip was ‘out’ for Idaho and Washington after 2025
Staff requested additional economic analysis
Will continue to work with Avista for further evaluation
Economic retirement dates don’t reflect Company
obligations
Washington, and Idaho customers continue to have
economic obligations
Communication of the Avista plan for Colstrip is
required
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What Do You Think?
Comments and Questions?
Do you have a position to share with Staff?
Do you support or oppose acknowledgement of the
Avista 2020 IRP?
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Workshop Participation
Online:
To open chat in WebEx, please select the icon
Type questions and comments in the chat box
Please use the “all panelists” option when using chat to
ensure your message will be seen
To speak, click the hand in the lower right corner by
your name
On the phone:
*3 is the command to raise and lower your hand
You will hear two beeps when you are unmuted
*This workshop is being recorded*21
Avista 2021 IRP Participation
The IRP process is open to the public and participation
is encouraged
Technical Advisory Committee meetings:
Meeting #2 August 6
Interested participants contact:
John Lyons
(509) 495-8515
john.lyons@avistacorp.com
Avista IRP website
https://www.myavista.com/about-us/integrated-resource-planning
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Thank You
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
www.puc.idaho.gov
(208) 334-0300
(800) 432-0369
Comments for the Official Record
Written comments must be filed by August 19, 2020.
Submit written comments on the Commission home page
at www.puc.idaho.gov. Under “Consumers,” click “Case
Comment Form,” & use Case No. AVU-E-19-01.
Mail written comments to:
Commission Secretary
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
P.O. Box 83720
Boise, ID 83720-0074
Or email comments to secretary@puc.idaho.gov
We will now mute the mic and continue to monitor
comments, questions, and participant feedback.
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