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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20180329PAC to Staff UT UAE Set 5 (1-29) (2).pdf1407 W.North Temple ROCKY MOUNTAIN Salt Lake City,UT 84116 POWER A DIVISION OF PACIFICORP March 15,2018 Gary A.Dodge Phillip Russell HATCH,JAMES &DODGE 10 West Broadway,Suite 400 Salt Lake City,Utah 84101 gdodge_@hjdlaw_.co_m(C) prussell@hjdlaw.com (C) Kevin Higgins Neal Townsend ENERGY STRATEGIES 215 S.State Street,#200 Salt Lake City,UT 84111 khiggins@energystrat.com (C) ntownsend@energystrat.com(C)(W) RE:UT Docket No.17-035-40 UAE 5th Set Data Request (1-29) Please find enclosed Rocky Mountain Power's Responses to UAE 5th Set Data Requests 5.4,5.7- 5.16,5.18,5.20-5.26,and 5.28-5.29.The remaining response will be provided seperately. Provided on the enclosed Confidential CD is Confidential Attachment UAE 5.18.Confidential information is provided subject to Public Service Commission of Utah (UPSC)Rule 746-1-602 and 746-1-603. If you have any questions,please call me at (801)220-2823. Sincerely, Jana Saba Manager,Regulation Enclosures C.c.Erika Tedder/DPU dpudatarequest@utah.govetedder@utah.gov(C) Dan Kohler/DPU dkoehler@davmarkea.com(C) Dan Peac/DPU dpeaco@daymarkea.com (C)(W) Aliea Afnan/DPU aafnan@daymarkea.com (W) kea.co__m (W) Philip Hayet/OCS phayet@jkenn.com (C) Béla Vastag/OCS bvastaa@utah.gov(C) Sophie Hays/UCE sophie@utahcleanenerav.org(C) Kate Bowman/UCE kate@utahcleanenergy.ore(C)(W) Emma Rieves/UCE emma@utahcleanenergy.ore(C)(W) Lisa Tormoen Hickey/Interwestlisahickey@newlawaroup.com (C) Mitch Longson/Interwest mlongson@mc2b.com(C) Nancy Kelly/WRA nkellv@westernresources.ore(C) Jennifer Gardner/WRA jennifer.gardner@westernresources.org(C) Penny Anderson/WRA penny.anderson@westernresources.org (W) Peter J.Mattheis/Nucor pjm@smxblaw.com (C) Eric J.Lacey/Nucor ejl@smxblaw.com (C)(W) William J.Evans/UIEC bevans@parsonsbehle.com Vicki M.Baldwin/UIEC vbaldwin@parsonsbehle.com(W) Chad C.Baker/UIEC cbaker@parsonsbehle.com (W) 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.4 UAE Data Request 5.4 Reference the Second SupplementalDirect Testimony of Rick T.Link,lines 81 through 85:Do PacifiCorp's nominal or levelized revenue requirement analyses consider the impacts of ongoing capital additions to,and replacements of,the proposed Aeolus-to- Bridger/Anticline D.2 transmission facilities.If no,please explain why the cost of those ongoing capital additions and replacements have been excluded. Response to UAE Data Request 5.4 PacifiCorp's revenue requirement analyses does not consider any ongoing capital additions or replacements for the proposed Aeolus-to-Bridger/AnticlineD.2 transmission facilities.The Company does not project the need for incremental post-construction capital additions or replacements across the transmission system caused by the Aeolus-to- Bridger/Anticlinetransmission line.PacifiCorp's economic analysis does includes operation and maintenance (O&M)costs of $1 million per year in 2017 dollars. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.7 UAE Data Request 5.7 Reference the January 16,2018 Supplemental Direct and Rebuttal Testimony of Rick T. Link,lines 1200 through 1204:Mr.Link states "In general,it is likelythat spot prices are somewhat systematically risky,because demand for most commodities tends to move with the economy as a whole.Thus,it is unlikely that the appropriatediscount rate for taking the present value of expected spot prices will be the risk-free rate that applies to discounting the forward price." (a)Does PacifiCorp agree that,if one were to apply a higher discount rate for expected spot prices than the risk-free discount rate applied to the forward price,as he recommends,it would indicate that the expected spot price is lower than the forward price?Please explain. (b)What interest rate does PacifiCorp believe would be most appropriately used to determine the present value of the expected spot price? (c)Did PacifiCorp make any adjustment to the forward prices included in its economic analysis to account for the higher interest rate applicable to expected spot market prices,as Mr.Link identifies in the referenced testimony?If no,please explain why the PacifiCorp has not made this adjustment. Response to UAE Data Request 5.7 (a)No.Market participants are not indifferent between options with different risks. Forward prices,being contractual,are observable with price certainty.Whereas spot prices are not observable nor certain.This lack of certainty imposes a risk that spot prices will not equal the observed forward contract price.Each market participate independently establishes its own forecast of a spot price and its own view of risk in relation to the observable forward contract price.To prevent arbitrage,the present value of a forward contract price,discounted at a risk-free discount rate,should equal the present value of the market participant's forecasted spot price,discounted at a higher discount rate.This suggests that the view of spot prices is actuallyhigher than the observed forward contract price. (b)PacifiCorp has not established a discount rate applicable to a spot price forecast. (c)No.Recognizing that market prices are uncertain,PacifiCorp uses its forward price curve (FPC)as a reasonable proxy for projected market prices over a range of different market-price scenarios (i.e.,low,medium,and high). 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.8 UAE Data Request 5.8 Reference the SupplementalDirect and Rebuttal Testimony of Rick T.Link at lines 1212 through 1219:Mr.Link states "Mr.Mullins'position here is contradicted by his testimony before the Oregon Commission earlier this year." (a)Do the economic analyses Mr.Link performed in this matter include the Day-Ahead / Real-Time modeling adjustments that were at issue in Docket No.UE 323?If no, please explain why those purported costs were excluded. (b)Does PacifiCorp expect the new Wind Projects to impact the cost of Day-Ahead / Real Time system balancing?Please explain and provide PacifiCorp's best estimate of the impact of the Wind Projects on the cost of Day-Ahead /Real Time system balancing? Response to UAE Data Request 5.8 (a)No.The day-ahead/real-time(DA-RT)adjustment discussed in the Oregon transition adjustment mechanism (TAM)(Docket UE 323)is not applied in the System Optimizer model (SO model)and Planning and Risk (PaR)model. The Company's SO model and PaR model produce a present value of revenue requirements differential (PVRR(d))that is net of two optimizations.Because the same price curves are included in both models runs,the net impact of this adjustment as used in the TAM is expected to be small. (b)Yes.The DA-RT adjustment is calculated based on the Company's historical market transactions,which indicate that when the Company's needs are high,market prices also tend to be relativelyhigh,while when the Company's needs are low,market prices also tend to be relativelylow.As a result,the average price of the Company's purchase transactions is typically higher than the average price of the Company's sales transactions as a result of timing differences.The adjustment would need to be applied in the base case (with no new wind and transmission projects)and in the new wind and transmission cases,as both cases use the same price curves for both purchases and sales.Because the new wind resources reduce the volume of system balancing purchase transactions by significantlymore than they increase the expected volume of system balancing sales transactions,and because DA-RT adjustment increases the price for system balancing purchase transactions,applying this adjustment is expected to provide additional benefits in the new wind and transmission case relative to the base case.The new wind and transmission benefits provided in testimony are therefore expected to be conservative (understated).The Company has not quantified the change in DA-RT expenses specific to the new wind and transmission resources. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.8 For example,please refer to the confidential work papers supporting the second supplemental direct testimony of Company witness,Rick T.Link,specifically folder "PaR Summary Reports",files "PaR Stochastic Summary P R17-Base-MM 1801011727.xlsm",and "PaR Summary Reports\PaR Stochastic Summary P_R17- FSLW-MM _1802091508.xlsm",and specifically the "Cost Sumary"worksheet in each file,cells Cl8:19.In the medium-gas,medium carbon dioxide (CO2)pTÏCC- policy scenario,the case with new wind increases system balancing sales by $47 million ($2,367 million minus $2,217 million).System balancing purchases are reduced by $186 million ($1,190 million minus $1,376 million).Consequently, increasing the price for system balancing purchases and decreasing the price for system balancing sales in both the base and new wind cases is expected to produce a net decrease in net power costs associated with the new wind and transmission. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.9 UAE Data Request 5.9 Reference the SupplementalDirect and Rebuttal Testimony of Rick T.Link at lines 1336 through 1340:Mr.Link states that "[t]he GRID studies and assumptions referred to by Mr.Mullins were used in the 2017 IRP,but not in the economic analysis included in this case" (a)Does PacifiCorp agree that,in preparing the economic analyses identified in the February 16,2018 Second SupplementalDirect Testimony of Rick T.Link,it has incorporated the adjustments underlyingthe referenced supplemental GRID studies into the System Optimizer and Planning and Risk models? (b)Does the PacifiCorp have any basis to conclude that the impacts of the adjustments underlyingthe supplemental GRID studies have changed materiallyafter being incorporated into System Optimizer and Planning and Risk models?If yes,please provide all studies showing what PacifiCorp believes the impact of those adjustments to be when incorporated into the System Optimizer and Planning and Risk models. (c)Does PaciflCorp's economic analysis identified in the Second SupplementalDirect Testimony of Rick T.Link still include an assumption that the transfer capability between Jim Bridger and Walla Walla is increased by 300 MW corresponding to growing participation in the Energy Imbalance Market ("EIM")?If yes,please provide PacifiCorp's best estimate of the impact of this assumption on the medium gas and medium CO2 scenario.If no,please explain. (d)Does PacifiCorp's economic analysis identified in the Second SupplementalDirect Testimony of Rick T.Link still include an assumption that the Wyomingloads are reduced to account for purported line loss benefits of the Transmission Projects?If yes,please provide PacifiCorp's best estimate of the impact of this assumption on the medium gas and medium CO2 scenario.If no,please explain. (e)Does PacifiCorp's economic analysis identified in the Second SupplementalDirect Testimony of Rick T.Link still include an assumption to account for reduced de-rates associated with constructing the Transmission Projects?If yes,please provide PacifiCorp's best estimate of the impact of this assumption on the medium gas and medium CO2 scenario.If no,please explain. Response to UAE Data Request 5.9 (a)PacifiCorp does not agree.The line loss,reliability and energy imbalance market (EIM)assumptions adopted in the 2017 Integrated Resource Plan (IRP)were previouslyevaluated in the Generation and Regulation Initiative Decision Tool (GRID).In the 2017 IRP,PacifiCorp applied the results from these GRID studies into the portfolio costs used to analyze the new wind and transmission projects.In the economic analysis presented in this proceeding,includingthe economic analysis 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.9 summarized in the Company's second supplemental direct testimony filing,these assumptions were subsequently incorporated in the System Optimizer model (SO model)and the Planning and Risk (PaR)model.Consequently,no results from GRID have been used in the Company's economic analysis presented in this case. (b)PacifiCorp has not isolated the incremental impact of referenced assumptions in the SO model and PaR model.Please refer to the Company's responses to DPU Data Request 4.3,DPU Data Request 4.13,DPU Data Request 4.14,and OCS Data Request 10.1,which provide information related to the referenced assumptions. (c)Yes.Please refer to the Company's response to subpart (b)above. (d)Yes.Please refer to the Company's response to subpart (b)above. (e)Yes.Please refer to the Company's response to subpart (b)above. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.10 UAE Data Request 5.10 Is PacifiCorp required to submit independentlybalanced EIM Base Schedules for PACE and PACW balancing area pursuant to the CAISO's EIM tariff or PacifiCorp Transmission's EIM tariff?If yes,please provide a citation to the tariff corresponding to the requirement.If no,please explain how the EIM base schedules are determined for the respective balancing areas. Response to UAE Data Request 5.10 PacifiCorp objects to this request as not reasonably calculated to lead to the discovery of relevant or admissible evidence. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.11 UAE Data Request 5.11 Does the EIM provide PacifiCorp with the ability to schedule firm energy between balancing areas in an amount exceeding the firm transmission rights that PacifiCorp possesses between the two balancing areas?If yes,please explain,with references to specific tariff provision,how transfers of such firm energy transfers may be accomplished. Response to UAE Data Request 5.11 PacifiCorp objects to this request as not reasonably calculated to lead to the discovery of relevant or admissible evidence. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.12 UAE Data Request 5.12 Please identify all scheduling information that PacifiCorp submits to the CAISO on an hour-ahead basis. Response to UAE Data Request 5.12 PacifiCorp objects to this request as not reasonably calculated to lead to the discovery of relevant or admissible evidence. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.13 UAE Data Request 5.13 Please provide a sample of the EIM Base Schedules that PacifiCorp submitted to the CAISO,includingthe most granular level of load and resource data available, corresponding to the followinghours: (a)June 26,2017,HE 1700. (b)January 16,2017,HE 800. (c)November 30,2016,HE 800. (d)July28,2016,HE 1700. Response to UAE Data Request 5.13 PacifiCorp objects to this request as not reasonably calculated to lead to the discovery of relevant or admissible evidence. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.14 UAE Data Request 5.14 Please provide uninstructed imbalance charges for the followingwind facilities on a monthlybasis (or the greatest level of granularityavailable)over the period January 1, 2015 through June 30,2017: (a)Glenrock (b)Glenrock III (c)Foote Creek (d)McFadden Ridge (e)Seven Mile Wind (f)Seven Mile II Wind (g)Top of the World Wind (h)Dunlap Wind (i)High Plains Wind (j)Mountain Wind I (k)Mountain Wind II (1)Rock River I (m)RollingHills Wind Response to UAE Data Request 5.14 PacifiCorp objects to this request as not reasonably calculated to lead to the discovery of relevant or admissible evidence. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.15 UAE Data Request 5.15 Please provide the 5 and 15 minute uninstructed imbalance associated with the following wind facilities over the period July 1,2016 through June 30,2017: (a)Dunlap Wind. (b)McFadden Ridge. (c)Top of the World Wind. Response to UAE Data Request 5.15 PacifiCorp objects to this request as not reasonably calculated to lead to the discovery of relevant or admissible evidence. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.16 UAE Data Request 5.16 For each PNode in PacifiCorp's PACE and PACW balancing area,please provide 5-and 15-minuted EIM prices over the period July 1,2016 through June 30,2017. Response to UAE Data Request 5.16 PacifiCorp objects to this request as not reasonably calculated to lead to the discovery of relevant or admissible evidence. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.18 UAE Data Request 5.18 Please identify and provide all long-term natural gas price forecasts that PacifiCorp has received through a third-partysubscription service over the period January 1,2018 through the present. Response to UAE Data Request 5.18 PacifiCorp receives long-term natural gas price forecasts from two third-party subscription services for approximately thirty hubs across North America,most of which are not applicable to this proceeding.As such,please refer to Confidential Attachment UAE 5.18 for long-term natural gas price forecasts,relevant to this proceeding,received by PacifiCorp through third-partysubscription services since January 1,2018.Note:the provided third-partyinformation is proprietary information and is provided with the permission of the third-partyvendors,and is subject to the confidentialityprotections noted below. Confidential information is provided subject to Public Service Commission of Utah (UPSC)Rule 746-1-602 and 746-1-603. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.20 UAE Data Request 5.20 Please identify any assumptions PacifiCorp has made with respect to the terminal value of the Wind Projects in the economic analyses identified in Second Supplemental Direct Testimony of Rick T.Link.Please include in your answer the identification of assumptions with respect to Wind Projects included in the final short list and those that were not included in the final short list. Response to UAE Data Request 5.20 Please refer to the Company's response to DPU Data Request 13.20. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.21 UAE Data Request 5.21 To the extent that terminal values were included in the economic analysis identified in Second Supplemental Direct Testimony of Rick T.Link,please provide a narrative explanation of the methodology used to develop the tenninal value and provide work papers supporting the calculation of the terminal value amount for each Wind Project included in the final short list and for each Wind Project that was not included in the final short list. Response to UAE Data Request 5.21 Please refer to the Company's response to DPU Data Request 13.20. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.22 UAE Data Request 5.22 Please state whether PacifiCorp assumed a terminal value for any PPA bid responsive to the 2017R RFP?If yes,please identify the PPA bid for which a terminal value was assumed,state the amount of the tenninal value assumed for each such project,provide a narrative explanation of the methodology used to develop the terminal value,and provide work papers supporting the calculation of each terminal value. Response to UAE Data Request 5.22 PacifiCorp did not assume a terminal value for any power purchase agreement (PPA)bid responsive to the 2017 Renewable Request for Proposals (2017R RFP). 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.23 UAE Data Request 5.23 Please state whether the use of terminal values in evaluating the bids responsive to the 2017R RFP affected the selection of bids for the final shortlist?If yes,please explain how it affected the final shortlist,identify the bids that would and would not have been included in the final shortlist but for the use of terminal values,and identify the terminal values associated with each such bid. Response to UAE Data Request 5.23 No,terminal values did not affect the selection of bids for the final shortlist. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.24 UAE Data Request 5.24 Has PacifiCorp identified any terminal costs,such as decommissioning costs,associated with the Wind Projects or Transmission Projects?If yes,please explain how those additional terminal costs are considered in PacifiCorp's analysis. Response to UAE Data Request 5.24 PaciflCorp's analysis includes removal (or decommissioning)costs associated with wind and transmission assets.Wind assets have an expected life of 30 years with removal costs assumed at $65 per kilowatt ($/kW).Transmission assets have an expected life of 62 years with removal costs of 16 percent of original cost based on the Company's most recent depreciation study.Removal costs are recovered from customers on a straight-line basis over the life of the asset.Please refer to the confidential work papers supporting the second supplemental direct testimony of Company witness,Rick T.Link,specifically folder "Transmission",file "Energy Gateway GM 2017 03 13 21%US Tax". 17-035-40/Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.25 UAE Data Request 5.25 Reference the Second Supplemental Direct Testimony of Rick Link Lines 439 through 438.Please provide UAE Consultant Bradley Mullins with access to work papers supporting the modeling of the solar bids in the solar sensitivity identified in the referenced testimony.Please provide those work papers in a format substantially similar to the wind project files Mr.Mullins reviewed in his site visit on February 20,2018. Response to UAE Data Request 5.25 Due to the ongoing nature of the 2017 Solar Request for Proposals (2017S RFP),the financial models associated with the 2017S RFP are considered commercially sensitive and highly confidential.The Company does not typically permit access to commercially sensitive 2017S RFP documentation until the RFP has been concluded.Please contact Jana Saba at (801)220-2823 or Yvonne Hogle at (801)220-4050 to make arrangements for review. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.26 UAE Data Request 5.26 Reference the Second Supplemental Direct Testimony of Rick Link,lines 46 through53. Please provide UAE Consultant Bradley Mullins with access to work papers supporting the modeling of each of the wind and solar bids that were received in the wind and solar RFPs but were not selected by the Company. Response to UAE Data Request 5.26 Due to the ongoing nature of the 2017 Solar Request for Proposals (2017S RFP)and the 2017 Renewable RFP (2017R RFP),the financial models associated with the 2017S RFP and 2017R RFP are considered commercially sensitive and highly confidential.The Company does not typically permit access to commercially sensitive 2017S RFP and 2017R RFP documentationuntil the RFP has been concluded.Please contact Jana Saba at (801)220-2823 or Yvonne Hogle at (801)220-4050 to make arrangements for review. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.28 UAE Data Request 5.28 Reference the Second SupplementalDirect Testimony of Rick Link,lines 68 through78: Please provide a copy of the power purchase agreement (PPA)associated with the PPA portion of the Cedar Springs bid. Response to UAE Data Request 5.28 The pro-forma power purchase agreement (PPA)associated with the Company's 2017 Renewable Request for Proposals (2017R RFP)is publicly available on PacifiCorp's website and can be accessed by utilizingthe website link provided below: http://www.pacificorp.com/sup/rfps/2017-rfp/2017R RFP Doc_and_Appendices htrnl Pursuant to the 2017R RFP process,the Company will engage in detailed negotiations of a definitive PPA with the intent of having an executable agreement negotiated by April 16,2018. 17-035-40 /Rocky Mountain Power March 15,2018 UAE Data Request 5.29 UAE Data Request 5.29 Reference the Second SupplementalDirect Testimony of Rick Link,lines 404 through 476:Please provide a copy of the proposed PPAs underlyingeach of the bids selected in the 2017S RFP. Response to UAE Data Request 5.29 PacifiCorp has not selected any bids submitted into the 2017 Solar Request for Proposals (2017S RFP).The pro-forma power purchase agreement (PPA)associated with the Company's 2017S RFP is publicly available on PacifiCorp's website and can be accessed by utilizingthe website link provided below: http://www.pacificorp.com/sup/rfps/20l7S-RFP/2017S_RFP_Doc_and_Appendices.html