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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20141001PAC to Staff Attach 2.4.pdf Appendix 2 2013 Idaho Cost Effectiveness ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 1 of 19 Page 2 of 19 Table of Contents Portfolio and Sector Level Cost Effectiveness ............................................................................................... 3 Program Level Cost Effectiveness ................................................................................................................. 6 Home Energy Savers Program................................................................................................................... 6 Refrigerator Recycling (See ya later, refrigerator®) .................................................................................. 9 Low Income Weatherization – Schedule 21 ........................................................................................... 11 FinAnswer Express .................................................................................................................................. 13 Agricultural Energy Services (Irrigation Energy Savers) .......................................................................... 15 Energy FinAnswer – Schedule 125 .......................................................................................................... 18 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 2 of 19 Page 3 of 19 Portfolio and Sector Level Cost Effectiveness The tables below present the cost-effectiveness analysis for the Idaho DSM Portfolio based on Rocky Mountain Power’s 2013 costs and savings estimates. Individual program cost- effectiveness is provided in the following pages. Table 1 lists the utility sector-level inputs. Table 2 lists the portfolio costs, Table 3 through Table 5 provide the cost-effectiveness results for: • Idaho 2013 Total DSM Portfolio, Including Non-Energy Benefits • Idaho 2013 C&I DSM Portfolio, Including C&I Evaluation Costs • Idaho 2013 Residential DSM Portfolio, Including Residential Evaluation Costs and Non- Energy Benefits The overall energy efficiency portfolio and component sectors were cost effective on a PacifiCorp Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC), Total Resource Cost Test (TRC), Utility Cost Test (UCT), and Participant Cost Test (PCT) basis.Table 1. Portfolio Utility Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 6.88% Residential Line Loss 11.47% Commercial Line Loss 10.75% Industrial Line Loss 7.52% Irrigation Line Loss 11.45% Residential Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.1062 Commercial Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.0885 Industrial Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.0689 Irrigation Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.0898 Inflation Rate1 1.90% 1 Future rates determined using a 1.9% annual escalator. ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 3 of 19 Page 4 of 19 Table 2. Portfolio Costs 2013 Cost Value Commercial & Industrial Evaluation Costs $73,655 Residential Evaluation Costs $129,658 Technical Reference Library $23,705 DSM Central $13,566 Low Income Weatherization Portfolio Costs $25,000 Total $265,584 Table 3. Idaho 2013 Total DSM Portfolio Cost-Effectiveness Results (Including Non-Energy Benefits) Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.079 $6,690,405 $8,444,627 $1,754,222 1.26 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.079 $6,690,405 $7,692,854 $1,002,449 1.15 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.056 $4,794,085 $7,230,136 $2,436,051 1.51 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $12,639,711 $7,977,986 ($4,661,724) 0.63 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $6,476,925 $12,605,285 $6,128,360 1.95 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000096705 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 2.96 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 4 of 19 Page 5 of 19 Table 4. Idaho 2013 C&I DSM Portfolio Cost-Effectiveness Results (Including C&I Evaluation Costs) Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.078 $5,096,620 $6,298,157 $1,201,537 1.24 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.078 $5,096,620 $5,725,597 $628,978 1.12 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.053 $3,480,612 $5,725,597 $2,244,985 1.64 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $9,269,473 $6,473,448 ($2,796,025) 0.70 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $5,546,717 $8,860,499 $3,313,782 1.60 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000081373 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 4.94 Table 5. Idaho 2013 Residential DSM Portfolio Cost-Effectiveness Results (Including Residential Evaluation Costs and Non-Energy Benefits) Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.078 $1,531,514 $2,146,470 $614,955 1.40 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.078 $1,531,514 $1,967,256 $435,742 1.28 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.063 $1,251,202 $1,504,538 $253,336 1.20 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $3,307,967 $1,504,538 ($1,803,429) 0.45 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $930,209 $3,744,787 $2,814,578 4.03 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000037411 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 0.99 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 5 of 19 Page 6 of 19 Program Level Cost Effectiveness Home Energy Savers Program The tables below present the cost-effectiveness results for the Idaho Home Energy Savers program based on Rocky Mountain Power’s 2013 costs and savings estimates. The utility discount rate is from the 2013 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2013 IRP east residential house 35% load factor decrement for all measure groups except for lighting, for which the 2013 IRP east residential lighting 48% decrement was used. Table 1 lists the utility inputs. Table 2 lists the annual program costs. Table 3 shows the annual energy savings and measure lives. Table 4 shows the annual program non-energy benefits. Table 5 provides the cost-effectiveness results including non-energy benefit. Table 6 provides the cost-effectiveness results excluding non-energy benefits. The Home Energy Savings program was cost-effective from all perspectives except for the rate impact test (RIM). Table 3. Home Energy Savings Utility Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 6.88% Residential Line Loss 11.47% Residential Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.1062 Inflation Rate1 1.90% 1 Future rates determined using a 1.9% annual escalator. Table 4. Home Energy Savings Annual Program Costs Measure Utility Admin Program Management Incentives Total Utility Costs Gross Customer Costs Appliances $13,541 $114,959 $274,233 $402,733 $354,673 HVAC $3,116 $26,455 $19,225 $48,796 $82,109 Lighting $2,196 $18,646 $82,862 $103,705 $298,730 Weatherization $13,478 $114,431 $142,307 $270,216 $194,697 Total $32,332 $274,491 $518,627 $825,450 $930,209 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 6 of 19 Page 7 of 19 Table 5. Home Energy Savings Annual Energy Savings Measure Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net-to-Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Appliances 377,302 100% 377,302 86% 324,480 15 HVAC 86,827 100% 86,827 86% 74,671 20 Lighting 1,672,771 100% 1,672,771 85% 1,421,855 5 Weatherization 375,567 100% 375,567 87% 326,744 30 Total 2,512,467 2,512,467 2,147,750 Table 6. Home Energy Savings Annual Non-Energy Benefits Measure Annual Value Perspective Adjusted Clothes Washer $20,445 PTRC,TRC, PCT CFL General Purpose $58,020 PTRC,TRC, PCT CFL Specialty $21,511 PTRC,TRC, PCT Table 7. Home Energy Savings Cost-Effectiveness Results (Including Non-Energy Benefits) Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.068 $1,105,762 $1,831,982 $726,220 1.66 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.068 $1,105,762 $1,707,503 $601,741 1.54 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.051 $825,450 $1,244,786 $419,335 1.51 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $2,529,679 $1,244,786 ($1,284,893) 0.49 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $930,209 $3,044,229 $2,114,020 3.27 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000026654 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 1.13 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 7 of 19 Page 8 of 19 Table 8. Home Energy Savings Cost-Effectiveness Results (Excluding Non-Energy Benefits) Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.068 $1,105,762 $1,369,264 $263,502 1.24 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.068 $1,105,762 $1,244,786 $139,023 1.13 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.051 $825,450 $1,244,786 $419,335 1.51 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $2,529,679 $1,244,786 ($1,284,893) 0.49 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $930,209 $2,502,119 $1,571,911 2.69 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000026654 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 1.58 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 8 of 19 Page 9 of 19 Refrigerator Recycling (See ya later, refrigerator®) The tables below present the cost-effectiveness results for the Idaho See Ya Later Refrigerator® (SYLR) program based on Rocky Mountain Power’s 2013 costs and savings estimates. Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2013 IRP east residential house 35% load factor decrement for refrigerators and freezers and the 2013 IRP east residential lighting 48% load factor decrement for kits. Table 1 lists modeling inputs. Table 2 lists annual program costs. Table 3 provides the annual energy savings and measure lives. Table 4 shows the program cost- effectiveness results. The program is cost-effective from all perspectives except for the RIM. Table 1. SYLR Utility Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 6.88% Residential Line Loss 11.47% Residential Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.1062 Inflation Rate1 1.90% 1 Future rates determined using a 1.9% annual escalator. Table 2. SYLR Annual Program Costs Measure Utility Admin Program Admin Program Development Incentives Total Utility Costs Refrigerators $7,230 $39,543 $7,566 $13,110 $67,448 Freezers $2,106 $11,517 $2,204 $3,870 $19,697 Kits $292 $1,599 $306 $3,011 $5,208 Total $9,628 $52,659 $10,075 $19,991 $92,353 Table 3. SYLR Annual Energy Savings Measure Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net-to-Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Refrigerators 520,030 86% 447,226 54% 241,502 7 Freezers 134,289 97% 130,260 48% 62,525 5 Kits 38,480 47% 18,086 100% 18,086 6 Total 692,799 595,572 322,112 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 9 of 19 Page 10 of 19 Table 4. SYLR Program Cost-Effectiveness Results Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.047 $92,353 $150,452 $58,099 1.63 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.047 $92,353 $136,774 $44,421 1.48 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.047 $92,353 $136,774 $44,421 1.48 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $286,133 $136,774 ($149,359) 0.48 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $0 $377,135 $377,135 N/A Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000007506 Discounted Participant Payback (years) N/A ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 10 of 19 Page 11 of 19 Low Income Weatherization – Schedule 21 The tables below present the cost-effectiveness results for the Idaho Low Income Weatherization program based on Rocky Mountain Power’s 2013 costs and savings estimates. The utility discount rate is from the 2013 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2013 IRP east residential house 35% load factor decrement. Table 1 lists the utility inputs. Table 2 lists the annual program costs. Table 3 provides the annual energy savings and measure life. Table 4 shows the program’s non-energy benefits. Table 5 shows the program cost-effectiveness results. The program is cost-effective only from the participant cost test (PCT) perspective. Table 1. Low Income Weatherization Utility Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 6.88% Residential Line Loss 11.47% Residential Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.1062 Inflation Rate1 1.90% 1 Future rates determined using a 1.9% annual escalator. ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 11 of 19 Page 12 of 19 Table 2. Low Income Weatherization Annual Program Costs Utility Admin Program Admin Program Development Incentives Total Utility Costs Low Income Weatherization $20,847 $17,866 $361 $164,667 $203,741 Table 3. Low Income Weatherization Annual Energy Savings Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net-to-Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Low Income Weatherization 101,771 100% 101,771 100% 101,771 25 Table 4. Low Income Weatherization: Present Value of Non-Energy Benefits Non-Energy Benefit Program Impact Perspective Adjusted Health, Safety and Repair Costs $28,760 PTRC Table 5. Low Income Weatherization Cost-Effectiveness Results Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.143 $203,741 $164,036 ($39,705) 0.81 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.143 $203,741 $122,978 ($80,763) 0.60 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.143 $203,741 $122,978 ($80,763) 0.60 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $362,497 $122,978 ($239,519) 0.34 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $0 $323,423 $323,423 N/A Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000005332 Discounted Participant Payback (years) N/A ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 12 of 19 Page 13 of 19 FinAnswer Express The tables below present the cost-effectiveness results for the Idaho FinAnswer Express program based on Rocky Mountain Power’s 2013 costs and savings estimates. The utility discount rate is from the 2013 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2013 IRP east system 70% load factor decrement. Table 1 lists the utility inputs. Table 2 lists the annual program costs. Table 3 shows the annual energy savings and measure lives. Table 4 provides the cost-effectiveness results. The program was cost-effective from all perspectives except for the rate impact test (RIM). Table 9. FinAnswer Express Utility Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 6.88% Commercial Line Loss 10.75% Industrial Line Loss 7.52% Commercial Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.0885 Industrial Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.0689 Inflation Rate 1.90% 1 Future rates determined using a 1.9% annual escalator. Table 10. FinAnswer Express Annual Program Costs Engineering Costs Utility Admin Program Admin Program Development Incentives Total Utility Costs Gross Customer Costs Commercial $52,352 $23,288 $155,334 $12,472 $353,933 $597,379 $1,043,566 Industrial $12,914 $18,503 $60,222 $26,646 $261,855 $380,140 $608,131 Total $65,266 $41,791 $215,556 $39,118 $615,788 $977,519 $1,651,697 Table 11. FinAnswer Express Annual Energy Savings Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net-to-Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Commercial 2,207,504 101% 2,229,579 67% 1,493,818 12 Industrial 3,148,539 101% 3,180,024 67% 2,130,616 12 Total 5,356,043 5,409,603 3,624,434 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 13 of 19 Page 14 of 19 Table 12. FinAnswer Express Cost-Effectiveness Results Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.045 $1,468,368 $2,318,209 $849,841 1.58 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.045 $1,468,368 $2,107,463 $639,095 1.44 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.030 $977,519 $2,107,463 $1,129,944 2.16 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $3,474,481 $2,107,463 ($1,367,018) 0.61 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $1,651,697 $4,342,597 $2,690,900 2.63 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000045975 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 2.62 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 14 of 19 Page 15 of 19 Agricultural Energy Services (Irrigation Energy Savers) The tables below present the cost-effectiveness results for the Idaho Agricultural Energy Savers program based on Rocky Mountain Power’s 2013 costs and savings estimates. The utility discount rate is from the 2013 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2013 IRP east commercial cooling 20% load factor decrement. Table 1 lists the utility inputs. Table 2 lists the program costs. Table 3 shows the annual energy savings. Table 4 lists program cost-effectiveness results. Table 5 lists the system redesign cost-effectiveness results. The Agricultural Energy Savers program was cost-effective only from the utility cost test perspective (UCT). The system redesign measure group is cost- effective from all perspectives. Table 1. Utility Agricultural Energy Savers Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 6.88% Irrigation Line Loss 11.45% Irrigation Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.0898 Inflation Rate1 1.90% 1 Future rates determined using a 1.9% annual escalator ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 15 of 19 Page 16 of 19 Table 2. Agricultural Energy Savers Annual Program Costs Engineering Costs Utility Admin Program Admin Program Development Incentives Total Utility Costs Gross Customer Costs Equipment Exchange - 5,234.47 68,008.80 4,649.85 $48,538 $126,431 $41,404 Pivot/Linear Upgrade - 15,541.09 201,917.59 13,805.38 $381,260 $612,524 $897,420 System Redesign 133,939.50 1,825.98 23,724.00 1,622.04 $280,508 $441,620 $992,073 Total $133,940 $22,602 $293,650 $20,077 $710,307 $1,180,575 $1,930,897 Table 3. Agricultural Energy Savers Annual Energy Savings Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net to Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Equipment Exchange 443,942 - - 57% - 5 Pivot/Linear Upgrade 4,584,301 (0.71) (3,254,854) 57% (1,855,267) 5 System Redesign 2,293,300 1.69 3,875,677 93% 3,604,380 7 Total 7,321,543 620,823 1,749,113 Table 4. Agricultural Energy Savers Cost-Effectiveness Results Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.201 $2,848,015 $2,628,705 ($219,310) 0.92 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.201 $2,848,015 $2,389,731 ($458,284) 0.84 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.149 $2,100,564 $2,389,731 $289,167 1.14 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $4,042,206 $3,137,582 ($904,624) 0.78 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $3,242,915 $2,798,093 ($444,822) 0.86 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000045463 Discounted Participant Payback (years) N/A ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 16 of 19 Page 17 of 19 Table 5. Agricultural Energy Savers System Redesign Cost-Effectiveness Results Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.047 $1,083,740 $2,628,705 $1,544,965 2.43 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.047 $1,083,740 $2,389,731 $1,305,992 2.21 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.019 $441,620 $2,389,731 $1,948,112 5.41 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $2,383,261 $2,389,731 $6,471 1.00 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $992,073 $2,368,294 $1,376,221 2.39 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) ($0.000000325) Discounted Participant Payback (years) 2.12 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 17 of 19 Page 18 of 19 Energy FinAnswer – Schedule 125 The tables below present the cost-effectiveness results for the Idaho Energy FinAnswer program based on Rocky Mountain Power’s 2013 costs and savings estimates. The utility discount rate is from the 2013 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2013 IRP east system 70% load factor decrement. Table 1 lists the utility inputs. Table 2 lists the annual program costs. Table 3 shows the annual energy savings and measure lives. Table 4 provides the cost-effectiveness results. The program is cost- effective from all perspectives except for the rate impact test (RIM). Table 13. Energy FinAnswer Utility Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 6.88% Commercial Line Loss 10.75% Industrial Line Loss 7.52% Commercial Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.0885 Industrial Energy Rate ($/kWh) (base year 2013) $0.0689 Inflation Rate1 1.90% 1 Future rates determined using a 1.9% annual escalator. Table 14. Energy FinAnswer Annual Program Costs Engineering Costs Utility Admin Program Development Incentives Total Utility Costs Gross Customer Costs Commercial $9,394 $8,932 $3,374 $52,925 $74,625 $106,353 Industrial $70,726 $11,769 $22,014 $149,740 $254,249 $545,752 Total $80,120 $20,701 $25,388 $202,665 $328,873 $652,105 Table 15. Energy FinAnswer Annual Energy Savings Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net-to-Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Commercial 425,205 83% 352,920 89% 314,099 15 Industrial 1,914,074 83% 1,588,681 89% 1,413,926 15 Total 2,339,279 1,941,602 1,728,025 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 18 of 19 Page 19 of 19 Table 16. Energy FinAnswer Cost-Effectiveness Results Cost-Effectiveness Test Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.039 $706,582 $1,351,243 $644,662 1.91 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.039 $706,582 $1,228,403 $521,821 1.74 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.018 $328,873 $1,228,403 $899,530 3.74 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $1,679,131 $1,228,403 ($450,728) 0.73 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $652,105 $1,719,808 $1,067,703 2.64 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000013118 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 3.43 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-4 19 of 19