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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20141001PAC to Staff Attach 2.1.pdf 2010 Idaho Cost Effectiveness ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 1 of 16 Page 2 of 16 Table of Contents Portfolio and Sector Level Cost Effectiveness ............................................................................... 3 Irrigation Load Control ................................................................................................................... 5 Home Energy Savers....................................................................................................................... 6 Refrigerator Recycling (See ya later, refrigerator®) ...................................................................... 8 Low Income .................................................................................................................................. 10 Agricultural Energy Services (Irrigation Energy Savers) ............................................................. 11 Energy FinAnswer ........................................................................................................................ 13 FinAnswer Express ....................................................................................................................... 15 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 2 of 16 Page 3 of 16 Portfolio and Sector Level Cost Effectiveness The tables below present the cost-effectiveness analysis for the Idaho Energy Efficiency Portfolio based on 2010 costs and savings estimates. The Utility discount rate is from the 2008 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. Individual program cost-effectiveness follows the portfolio views. The energy-efficiency portfolio is cost-effective from all perspectives except RIM. Table 1: Common Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 7.40% Residential Line Loss 9.96% Commercial Line Loss 9.33% Industrial Line Loss 9.06% Residential Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0848 Commercial Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0715 Industrial Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0527 Table 2: 2010 Total Portfolio including Load Control Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder NA $8,192,802 $21,409,860 $13,217,058 2.613 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder NA $8,192,802 $19,463,509 $11,270,707 2.376 Utility Cost Test (UCT) NA $15,615,246 $19,463,509 $3,848,263 1.246 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $21,306,792 $19,463,509 ($1,843,283) 0.913 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $2,181,898 $15,295,888 $13,113,990 7.010 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) NA ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 3 of 16 Page 4 of 16 Table 3: 2010 Total Portfolio excluding Load Control Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0521 $3,909,409 $7,731,899 $3,822,490 1.978 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0521 $3,909,409 $7,028,999 $3,119,590 1.798 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0431 $3,231,172 $7,028,999 $3,797,827 2.175 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $8,922,718 $7,028,999 ($1,893,719) 0.788 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $2,181,898 $7,195,207 $5,013,309 3.298 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.0000417229 Table 4: 2010 C&I Energy Efficiency Portfolio Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0513 $2,242,052 $4,190,015 $1,947,963 1.869 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0513 $2,242,052 $3,809,104 $1,567,053 1.699 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0373 $1,626,686 $3,809,104 $2,182,418 2.342 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $4,428,646 $3,809,104 ($619,541) 0.860 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $1,266,986 $3,453,580 $2,186,594 2.726 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.0000256276 Table 5: 2010 Residential Energy Efficiency Portfolio Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0532 $1,667,357 $3,541,885 $1,874,527 2.124 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0532 $1,667,357 $3,219,895 $1,552,538 1.931 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0512 $1,604,486 $3,219,895 $1,615,409 2.007 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $4,494,073 $3,219,895 ($1,274,178) 0.716 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $914,912 $3,741,628 $2,826,715 4.090 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.0000600654 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 4 of 16 Page 5 of 16 Irrigation Load Control The tables below present the cost effectiveness findings of the Idaho Irrigation Load Control program based on 2010 costs and savings estimates. The Utility discount rate is from the 2008 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. Cost effectiveness was tested using $73.09/kW. Table 1 lists modeling inputs. The program is cost effective from all perspectives. Table 1: Irrigation Load Control Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 7.4% Line Loss – Irrigation 9.06% Table 2: Irrigation Load Control Annual Program Costs and Savings 2010 Costs Program Management $4,283,393 Incentive credits $8,100,681 Total program costs $12,384,074 Avoided Cost Benefits Total avoided MW all days 156,000 Value- $/MW $73.09 Line Loss 9.06% MW avoided with losses 170,126 Total value of Avoided kW $12,434,509 Table 4: Avoided Capacity @ $73.09/kW All Measures Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $4,283,393 $13,677,960 $9,394,567 3.19 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $4,283,393 $12,434,509 $8,151,116 2.90 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $12,384,074 $12,434,509 $50,435 1.00 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $12,384,074 $12,434,509 $50,435 1.00 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $0 $8,100,681 $8,100,681 NA Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) Discounted Participant Payback (years) ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 5 of 16 Page 6 of 16 Home Energy Savers The tables below present the cost-effectiveness findings of the Idaho Home Energy Savings program based on 2010 costs and savings estimates. The Utility discount rate is from the 2008 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2008 IRP 46% east residential whole house load factor decrement. Table 1 lists modeling inputs. The program is cost-effective from the TRC, UCT and PCT perspectives. The benefit/cost ratio for the RIM test is less than 1, indicating the program will have an upward influence on rates. Table 6: Home Energy Savings Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 7.4% Line Loss 9.96% Residential Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0848 Table 7: Home Energy Savings Annual Program Costs and Savings Program Management and Administration Other Program Costs Incentives Total Utility Costs Net Participant Incremental Cost Lighting $11,157 $4,835 $30,199 $46,191 $73,967 Appliance $53,211 $23,058 $151,920 $228,190 $303,251 Home Improvement $267,332 $115,844 $621,307 $1,004,483 $482,370 HVAC $820 $355 $24,975 $26,150 $40,164 Total $332,520 $144,093 $828,401 $1,305,014 $899,752 Table 8: Home Energy Savings Savings by Measure Type Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net to Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Lighting 888,561 100% 888,561 82% 726,843 5.0 Appliance 404,366 99% 400,323 82% 327,464 14.0 Home Improvement 2,031,526 88% 1,787,743 82% 1,462,374 30.0 HVAC 6,231 99% 6,169 82% 5,046 14.0 Total 3,330,684 3,082,795 2,521,727 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 6 of 16 Page 7 of 16 Table 9: IRP 46% Load Factor Decrement All Measures AC: IRP 46% LF Decrement Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0501 $1,378,383 $3,247,361 $1,868,978 2.356 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0501 $1,378,383 $2,952,147 $1,573,763 2.142 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0475 $1,305,013 $2,952,147 $1,647,134 2.262 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $3,869,975 $2,952,147 ($917,829) 0.763 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $901,771 $3,393,363 $2,491,592 3.763 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.0001034536 Discounted Participant Payback (yea 6.00 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 7 of 16 Page 8 of 16 Refrigerator Recycling (See ya later, refrigerator®) The tables below present the cost-effectiveness findings of the Idaho See-Ya-Later Refrigerator program based on 2010 costs and savings estimates. The Utility discount rate is from the 2008 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2008 IRP 46% east residential whole house load factor decrement. Table 1 lists modeling inputs. The program is cost-effective from the TRC, UCT and PCT perspectives. The benefit/cost ratio for the RIM test is less than 1, indicating the program will have an upward influence on rates. Table 10: See-Ya-Later Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 7.4% Line Loss 9.96% Residential Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0848 Table 11: See-Ya-Later Annual Program Costs and Savings Program Management and Administration Utility Admin Evaluation Incentives Total Utility Costs Net Participant Incremental Cost Refrigerators $67,927 $6,386 $24,902 $18,870 $118,084 $10,756 Freezers $23,762 $2,234 $8,711 $4,770 $39,477 $2,385 Kits $5,641 $530 $2,068 $0 $8,240 $0 Total $97,330 $9,150 $35,681 $23,640 $165,801 $13,141 Table 12: See-Ya-Later Savings by Measure Type Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net to Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Refrigerators 722,721 100% 722,721 57% 411,951 5.00 Freezers 252,825 100% 252,825 50% 126,413 5.00 Kits 60,021 100% 60,021 63% 37,813 6.60 Total 1,035,567 1,035,567 576,177 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 8 of 16 Page 9 of 16 Table 13: IRP 46% Load Factor Decrement All Measures AC: IRP 46% LF Decrement Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0551 $155,302 $196,938 $41,636 1.268 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0551 $155,302 $179,035 $23,733 1.153 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0589 $165,801 $179,035 $13,234 1.080 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $393,780 $179,035 ($214,746) 0.455 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $13,141 $251,619 $238,479 19.148 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.0000720417 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 0.27 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 9 of 16 Page 10 of 16 Low Income The tables below present the cost-effectiveness findings of the Idaho Low Income Weatherization program based on 2010 costs and savings estimates. The Utility discount rate is from the 2008 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2008 IRP 46% east residential whole house load factor decrement. Table 1 lists modeling inputs. The program is not cost-effective from any perspective. The benefit/cost ratio for the RIM test is less than 1, indicating the program will have an upward influence on rates. Table 1: Low Income Weatherization Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 7.4% Line Loss 9.96% Residential Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0848 Table 2: Low Income Weatherization Annual Program Costs and Savings Utility Admin Administration Evaluation Incentives Total Utility Costs Net Participant Incremental Cost Low Income weatherization $9,596 $97,513 $26,563 $0 $133,673 $0 Table 3: Low Income Weatherization Savings by Measure Type Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net to Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Low Income weatherization 71,346 100% 71,346 100% 71,346 30.00 Table 4: IRP 46% Load Factor Decrement All Measures AC: IRP 46% LF Decrement Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.1330 $133,672 $97,585 ($36,087) 0.730 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.1330 $133,672 $88,714 ($44,958) 0.664 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.1330 $133,672 $88,714 ($44,958) 0.664 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $230,317 $88,714 ($141,603) 0.385 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $0 $96,645 $96,645 NA Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.0000151278 Discounted Participant Payback (years) NA ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 10 of 16 Page 11 of 16 Agricultural Energy Services (Irrigation Energy Savers) The tables below present the cost-effectiveness findings of the Idaho Agriculture program based on 2010 costs and savings estimates. The Utility discount rate is from the 2008 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2008 IRP 16% east system commercial cooling load factor decrement. Table 1 lists modeling inputs. The program is cost-effective from the TRC, UCT, and PCT perspectives. The benefit/cost ratio for the RIM test is less than 1, indicating the program will have an upward influence on rates. Table 1: Agriculture Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 7.40% Commercial Line Loss 9.33% Industrial Line Loss 9.06% Commercial Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0715 Industrial Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0527 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 11 of 16 Page 12 of 16 Table 2: Agriculture Annual Program Costs and Savings Engineering Costs Utility Admin Administration Evaluation Incentives Total Utility Costs Net Participant Incremental Cost Nozzles and Gaskets $106,008 $24,774 $95,093 $28,708 $146,770 $401,353 $201,169 System Upgrade $54,758 $12,797 $49,119 $14,829 $104,154 $235,657 $211,776 Total $160,765 $37,571 $144,212 $43,537 $250,924 $637,009 $412,945 Table 3: Agriculture Savings by Measure Type Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net to Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Nozzles and Gaskets 1,658,488 100% 1,658,488 74% 1,218,989 5.00 System Upgrade 856,681 100% 856,681 74% 629,661 7.00 Total 2,515,169 2,515,169 1,848,649 Table 4: IRP 16% Commercial Cooling Load Factor Decrement All Measures AC: IRP 16% Commercial Cooling Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0825 $796,222 $933,430 $137,208 1.172 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0825 $796,222 $848,573 $52,351 1.066 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0660 $637,010 $848,573 $211,563 1.332 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $1,129,637 $848,573 ($281,064) 0.751 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $410,136 $743,551 $333,415 1.813 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.0001243095 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 4.62 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 12 of 16 Page 13 of 16 Energy FinAnswer The tables below present the cost-effectiveness findings of the Idaho Energy FinAnswer program based on 2010 costs and savings estimates. The Utility discount rate is from the 2008 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2008 IRP 65% east system load factor decrement. Table 1 lists modeling inputs. The program is cost-effective from the TRC, UCT and PCT perspectives. The benefit/cost ratio for the RIM test is less than 1, indicating the program will have an upward influence on rates. Table 1: Energy FinAnswer Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 7.40% Commercial Line Loss 9.33% Industrial Line Loss 9.06% Commercial Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0715 Industrial Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0527 Table 2: Energy FinAnswer Annual Program Costs and Savings Evaluation Engineering Costs Utility Admin Administration Incentives Total Utility Costs Net Participant Incremental Cost Commercial $30,990 $30,990 $5,903 $8,379 $0 $47,203 $0 Industrial $34,399 $34,399 $29,505 $8,402 $107,598 $321,983 $168,254 Total $65,388 $65,388 $35,408 $16,781 $107,598 $369,186 $168,254 Table 3: Energy FinAnswer Savings by Measure Type Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net to Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Commercial 0 91% 0 75% 0 15 Industrial 1,475,439 91% 1,342,649 75% 1,006,987 15 Total 1,475,439 1,342,649 1,006,987 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 13 of 16 Page 14 of 16 Table 4: IRP 65% Load Factor Decrement All Measures AC: IRP 65% LF Decrement Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0410 $429,842 $1,033,924 $604,082 2.405 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0410 $429,842 $939,931 $510,089 2.187 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0352 $369,186 $939,931 $570,745 2.546 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $955,008 $939,931 ($15,077) 0.984 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $168,254 $693,420 $525,167 4.121 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.0000008314 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 3.36 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 14 of 16 Page 15 of 16 FinAnswer Express The tables below present the cost-effectiveness findings of the Idaho FinAnswer Express program based on 2010 costs and savings estimates. The Utility discount rate is from the 2008 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2008 IRP 65% east system load factor decrement. Table 1 lists modeling inputs. The program is cost-effective from the TRC, UCT and PCT perspectives. The benefit/cost ratio for the RIM test is less than 1, indicating the program will have an upward influence on rates. Table 1: FinAnswer Express Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 7.40% Commercial Line Loss 9.33% Industrial Line Loss 9.06% Commercial Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0715 Industrial Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.0527 Table 2: FinAnswer Express Annual Program Costs and Savings Evaluation Engineering Costs Utility Admin Administration Incentives Total Utility Costs Net Participant Incremental Cost Commercial $44,036 $39,057 $31,109 $112,637 $286,639 $513,478 $676,227 Industrial $35,933 $14,317 $9,479 $40,824 $6,459 $107,012 $12,370 Total $79,968 $53,374 $40,588 $153,461 $293,098 $620,490 $688,596 Table 3: FinAnswer Express Savings by Measure Type Gross kWh Savings Realization Rate Adjusted Gross Savings Net to Gross Percentage Net kWh Savings Measure Life Commercial 3,454,427 96% 3,316,250 76% 2,520,350 12 Industrial 80,325 96% 77,112 76% 58,605 12 Total 3,534,752 3,393,362 2,578,955 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 15 of 16 Page 16 of 16 Table 4: IRP 65% Load Factor Decrement All Measures AC: IRP 65% LF Decrement Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0431 $1,015,988 $2,222,661 $1,206,673 2.188 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0431 $1,015,988 $2,020,601 $1,004,613 1.989 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0264 $620,490 $2,020,601 $1,400,111 3.256 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $2,344,001 $2,020,601 ($323,400) 0.862 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $688,596 $2,016,609 $1,328,012 2.929 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.0000855886 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 4.04 ID PAC-E-14-07 IPUC 2 Attachment IPUC 2-1 16 of 16