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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20120719Attach ICL 4 -2.pdf Date: May 9, 2012 To: Don Jones, Jr. From: Aaron Jenniges and Andy Eiden Re: Idaho FinAnswer Express 2012-2014 Cost-Effectiveness The tables below present the cost-effectiveness findings of the Idaho FinAnswer Express program based on projected 2012, 2013, and 2014 costs and savings estimates provided by PacifiCorp in a spreadsheet entitled “ID CE inputs 4-26-2012 3 + DLJ adds for RR NTG and measure life 042712.xlsx”. The Utility discount rate is from the 2011 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. Cost-effectiveness was tested using the 2011 IRP medium 69% east system load factor decrement. Table 1 lists modeling inputs, and Table 2 shows the annual cost and savings information provided by PacifiCorp. Table 3 provides measure lives (from 2011 annual report cost-effectiveness analyses) for each bundle, provided by PacifiCorp, as well as realization rates and net-to-gross ratio for each bundle’s savings values (from the 2006-2008 program evaluation). Table 4 outlines the administrative costs. Overall, the FinAnswer Express program is cost-effective from four of the five standard cost-benefit tests. It does not pass the RIM test. Cost-effectiveness results for the entire program and each measure group are provided starting in Table 5. Results are shown for the 2012, 2013, and 2014 program years combined. ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -2 Attach ICL 4 -2.pdf page 1 of 8 Don Jones, Jr. May 9, 2012 Page 2 Table 1: FinAnswer Express Inputs Parameter Value Discount Rate 7.17% Commercial line loss 9.326% Industrial line Loss 9.055% Commercial energy rate ($/kWh)1 2012 $0.0800 2013 $0.0815 2014 $0.0829 Industrial energy rate ($/kWh)2 2012 $0.0572 2013 $0.0582 2014 $0.0593 1 The 2011 commercial energy rate is $0.0786 / kWh. The 2011 rate is escalated by 1.8% (inflation rate from 2011 IRP) annually to estimate 2012-2014 rates. 2 The 2011 industrial energy rate is $0.0562 / kWh. The 2011 rate is escalated by 1.8% (inflation rate from 2011 IRP) annually to estimate 2012-2014 rates. ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -2 Attach ICL 4 -2.pdf page 2 of 8 Don Jones, Jr. May 9, 2012 Page 3 Table 2: FinAnswer Express Annual Costs and Savings by Year and Measure Type FinAnswer Express Gross kWh Gross KW Participant End Use Savings Savings Incentives Incremental Cost 2012 Appliances 4,306 0 $700 $1,634 Compressed Air 39,600 3 $5,980 $25,082 Envelope 9,507 2 $3,806 $8,783 Farm Equipment 20,400 4 $2,872 $7,217 Food Service 92,603 22 $13,475 $27,245 HVAC 131,303 34 $22,775 $83,668 Irrigation 0 0 $0 $0 Lighting Equipment 1,230,869 137 $47,782 $271,922 Motors 351,965 4 $21,504 $61,279 Office Equipment 3,182 0 $287 $412 Non Trade-Ally 188,373 35 $23,961 $47,093 2012 Total 2,072,108 241 $143,143 $534,335 2013 Appliances 4,306 0 $700 $1,634 Compressed Air 79,200 7 $11,959 $50,164 Envelope 10,748 2 $4,267 $9,922 Farm Equipment 40,800 7 $5,745 $14,434 Food Service 123,983 30 $19,038 $36,838 HVAC 148,727 38 $25,285 $92,553 Irrigation 0 0 $0 $0 Lighting Equipment 1,307,799 146 $50,769 $288,917 Motors 432,517 4 $26,513 $75,547 Office Equipment 3,668 0 $308 $448 Non Trade-Ally 215,175 40 $27,370 $53,794 2013 Total 2,366,922 274 $171,953 $624,250 2014 Appliances 5,304 0 $850 $2,004 Compressed Air 88,030 8 $13,293 $55,757 Envelope 12,096 3 $4,881 $11,130 Farm Equipment 45,350 8 $6,385 $16,043 Food Service 127,383 30 $19,838 $36,255 HVAC 168,678 44 $30,920 $109,946 Irrigation 0 0 $0 $0 Lighting Equipment 1,000,081 112 $38,823 $220,937 Motors 510,856 5 $31,341 $89,434 Office Equipment 4,154 0 $329 $484 Non Trade-Ally 196,193 36 $24,956 $49,048 2014 Total 2,158,125 247 $171,615 $591,039 All Years Appliances 13,916 1 $2,250 $5,272 Compressed Air 206,830 18 $31,231 $131,003 Envelope 32,351 7 $12,954 $29,835 Farm Equipment 106,550 19 $15,002 $37,694 Food Service 343,968 82 $52,350 $100,338 HVAC 448,707 116 $78,980 $286,166 Irrigation 0 0 $0 $0 Lighting Equipment 3,538,749 395 $137,375 $781,776 Motors 1,295,338 13 $79,357 $226,260 Office Equipment 11,004 1 $924 $1,344 Non Trade-Ally 599,741 111 $76,288 $149,935 All Years Total 6,597,154 762 $486,710 $1,749,623 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -2 Attach ICL 4 -2.pdf page 3 of 8 Don Jones, Jr. May 9, 2012 Page 4 Table 3: FinAnswer Express Measure Lives, Realization Rates, and NTG by Measure Type Measure Realization Net-to- End Use Life Rate Gross Appliances 12 0.96 0.76 Compressed Air 12 0.96 0.76 Envelope 12 0.96 0.76 Farm Equipment 12 0.96 0.76 Food Service 12 0.96 0.76 HVAC 12 0.96 0.76 Irrigation 12 0.96 0.76 Lighting Equipment 12 0.96 0.76 Motors 12 0.96 0.76 Office Equipment 12 0.96 0.76 Non Trade-Ally 12 0.96 0.76 Table 4: Program Costs Year Third Party Program Delivery Services Incentives Design and Program development Evaluation Marketing Utility Labor Engineering + Lighting inspections Total 2012 $190,694 $143,143 $20,000 $196,650 $30,000 $65,000 $80,000 $725,487 2013 $211,177 $171,953 $20,000 $10,000 $30,000 $65,000 $80,000 $588,129 2014 $191,561 $171,615 $20,000 $95,851 $30,000 $65,000 $80,000 $654,027 Total $593,432 $486,710 $60,000 $302,501 $90,000 $195,000 $240,000 $1,967,643 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -2 Attach ICL 4 -2.pdf page 4 of 8 Don Jones, Jr. May 9, 2012 Page 5 Table 5: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Entire Program FinAnswer Express - Entire Program East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0635 $2,630,578 $4,301,764 $1,671,186 1.635 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0635 $2,630,578 $3,910,695 $1,280,117 1.487 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0445 $1,843,710 $3,910,695 $2,066,985 2.121 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $5,154,993 $3,910,695 ($1,244,298) 0.759 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $1,631,420 $4,809,963 $3,178,543 2.948 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000035916 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 3.59 Table 6: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Appliance Measures FinAnswer Express - Appliances East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0428 $3,727 $8,651 $4,924 2.321 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0428 $3,727 $7,865 $4,138 2.110 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0240 $2,093 $7,865 $5,771 3.757 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $9,164 $7,865 ($1,299) 0.858 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $4,904 $11,396 $6,493 2.324 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000000037 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 3.97 Table 7: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Compressed Air Measures FinAnswer Express – Compressed Air East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0717 $91,531 $125,560 $34,028 1.372 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0717 $91,531 $114,145 $22,614 1.247 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0225 $28,712 $114,145 $85,433 3.976 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $103,213 $114,145 $10,932 1.106 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $120,436 $126,740 $6,304 1.052 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) ($0.000000316) Discounted Participant Payback (years) 12.23 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -2 Attach ICL 4 -2.pdf page 5 of 8 Don Jones, Jr. May 9, 2012 Page 6 Table 8: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Envelope Measures FinAnswer Express - Envelope East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.1042 $21,076 $21,238 $162 1.008 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.1042 $21,076 $19,307 ($1,769) 0.916 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0595 $12,037 $19,307 $7,270 1.604 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $28,436 $19,307 ($9,129) 0.679 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $27,732 $33,615 $5,883 1.212 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000000264 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 8.99 Table 9: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Farm Equipment Measures FinAnswer Express – Farm Equipment East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0401 $26,337 $74,153 $47,817 2.816 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0401 $26,337 $67,412 $41,075 2.560 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0210 $13,792 $67,412 $53,620 4.888 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $52,172 $67,412 $15,240 1.292 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $34,654 $64,292 $29,638 1.855 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) ($0.000000440) Discounted Participant Payback (years) 5.33 Table 10: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Food Service Measures FinAnswer Express – Food Service East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0330 $70,820 $211,991 $141,171 2.993 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0330 $70,820 $192,719 $121,899 2.721 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0226 $48,511 $192,719 $144,208 3.973 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $222,996 $192,719 ($30,277) 0.864 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $93,184 $278,097 $184,913 2.984 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000000874 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 2.95 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -2 Attach ICL 4 -2.pdf page 6 of 8 Don Jones, Jr. May 9, 2012 Page 7 Table 11: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, HVAC Measures FinAnswer Express - HVAC East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0720 $201,974 $294,535 $92,561 1.458 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0720 $201,974 $267,759 $65,785 1.326 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0261 $73,289 $267,759 $194,470 3.653 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $300,709 $267,759 ($32,950) 0.890 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $265,755 $372,526 $106,771 1.402 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000000951 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 7.90 Table 12: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Irrigation Measures FinAnswer Express - Irrigation East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder $0.000 $0 $0 $0 NA Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder $0.000 $0 $0 $0 NA Utility Cost Test (UCT) $0.000 $0 $0 $0 NA Rate Impact Test (RIM) $0 $0 $0 NA Participant Cost Test (PCT) $0 $0 $0 NA Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.00000000 Discounted Participant Payback (years) NA Table 13: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Lighting Measures FinAnswer Express – Lighting Equipment East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0250 $557,744 $2,317,599 $1,759,855 4.155 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0250 $557,744 $2,106,908 $1,549,164 3.778 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0058 $128,957 $2,106,908 $1,977,951 16.338 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $1,936,166 $2,106,908 $170,743 1.088 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $733,873 $2,506,863 $1,772,990 3.416 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) ($0.000004928) Discounted Participant Payback (years) 3.35 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -2 Attach ICL 4 -2.pdf page 7 of 8 Don Jones, Jr. May 9, 2012 Page 8 Table 14: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Motors Measures FinAnswer Express - Motors East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0197 $159,326 $849,303 $689,978 5.331 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0197 $159,326 $772,094 $612,768 4.846 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0091 $73,530 $772,094 $698,564 10.500 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $728,714 $772,094 $43,380 1.060 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $209,639 $935,614 $725,975 4.463 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) ($0.000001252) Discounted Participant Payback (years) 2.68 Table 15: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Office Equipment Measures FinAnswer Express – Office Equipment East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0138 $951 $6,837 $5,886 7.188 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0138 $951 $6,215 $5,264 6.535 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0125 $861 $6,215 $5,354 7.220 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $6,440 $6,215 ($225) 0.965 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $1,251 $8,197 $6,946 6.550 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000000006 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 1.92 Table 16: FinAnswer Express Cost Effectiveness, All Years, Non Trade-Ally Measures FinAnswer Express – Non Trade-Ally East System 69% (2011 medium ) Levelized $/kWh Costs Benefits Net Benefits Benefit/Cost Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) + Conservation Adder 0.0282 $106,395 $391,898 $285,503 3.683 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) No Adder 0.0282 $106,395 $356,271 $249,876 3.349 Utility Cost Test (UCT) 0.0189 $71,229 $356,271 $285,042 5.002 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $376,289 $356,271 ($20,018) 0.947 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $139,993 $472,623 $332,630 3.376 Lifecycle Revenue Impacts ($/kWh) $0.000000578 Discounted Participant Payback (years) 2.74 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -2 Attach ICL 4 -2.pdf page 8 of 8