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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20120719Attach ICL 4 -1.pdf Memorandum 1375 Walnut Suite 200 Boulder CO 80302 303.728.5700 phone 312.583.5701 fax To: Don Jones, PacifiCorp/Rocky Mountain Power From: David Basak, Navigant Date: 06/04/2012 Re: Idaho Home Energy Savings Program Cost-Effectiveness Results This memo presents the cost effectiveness findings for the analysis of the Idaho Home Energy Savings (HES) Program. The memo addresses the following: • Avoided Costs: The team performed an analysis using the Residential Whole House decrement cost scenario for “Medium” carbon streams provided in the 2011 PacifiCorp Integrated Resource Plan. • Modeling Inputs: Navigant utilized individual measure savings and administration costs provided by PECI in the file ID HES State Savings Summary_06042012.xlsx. • New/Revised measures: Navigant ran benefit-cost tests for both the old and new/revised measures strictly for the program summary. The individual measure level results presented below only include the new/revised measures. • Benefit/Cost Tests: Multiple benefit/cost tests are reported including; PacifiCorp Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC), Total Resource Cost Test (TRC), Utility Cost Test (UCT), Rate Impact Test (RIM), and Participant Cost Test (PCT). This memo will begin by addressing the program level results which include the complete list of measures (old and new/revised) included in the Idaho HES program. The cost-effectiveness results are as follows: Table 1 –Cost Effectiveness Analysis Inputs Parameters Values Discount Rate for all B/C Tests 7.17% Line Loss Factor - Energy (%) 9.96% Residential Energy Rate ($/kWh) $0.094 Inflation Rate 1.8% ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -1 Attach ICL 4 -1.pdf page 1 of 5 Memorandum to Don Jones, PacifiCorp 06/04/2012 Page 2 of 5 Table 2 – Idaho HES Overall Costs for PY 2012 (Old and New/Revised Measures) Idaho Home Energy Savings (HES) Program Year 2012 Incentives ($) Program Labor ($) Program Direct ($) Program Marketing Direct ($) P-Corp Admin ($) Total Program ($) Non-Lighting Measures $224,358 $287,536 $32,254 $33,000 $27,958 $605,105 Lighting Measures $115,633 $4,057 $935 $1,168 $27,958 $149,751 Total Program Costs $339,991 $291,593 $33,189 $34,168 $55,915 $754,856 Table 3 - Idaho HES Overall Gross/ Net Savings for PY 2012 (Old and New/Revised Measures) Idaho Home Energy Savings (HES) Program Year 2012 Gross Annual Energy Savings at site (kWh ) Net Annual Energy Savings at Site (kWh) Non-Lighting Measures 712,449 601,639 Lighting Measures 1,316,892 1,081,336 Total Program Costs 2,029,341 1,682,975 Table 4 - Idaho HES Cost-Effectiveness Summary for PY 2012 (Old and New/Revised Measures) Benefit/Cost Test Performed Costs Benefits B/C Ratio Total Resource Cost Test (PTRC) $1,114,925 $1,482,630 1.33 Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) $1,114,925 $1,347,846 1.21 Utility Cost Test (UCT) $754,856 $1,347,846 1.79 Rate Impact Test (RIM) $2,200,784 $1,347,846 0.61 Participant Cost Test (PCT) $360,069 $2,078,242 5.77 Levelized Cost ($/kWh) $14,210,789 $1,114,925 0.08 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -1 Attach ICL 4 -1.pdf page 2 of 5 DRAFT Memorandum to Don Jones, PacifiCorp 06/04/2012 Page 3 of 5 The measure level benefit-cost results for program year 2012 are as follows: Table 5: Measure Level Results for Program Year 2012 - Appliances Idaho Home Energy Savings Program (HES) Appliances TRC Benefits ($) TRC Costs ($) TRC Test P-TRC Benefits ($) P-TRC Costs ($) P-TRC Test Utility PV Benefits ($) Utility PV Costs ($) Utility Cost Test Part. PV Benefits ($) Part. PV Cost ($) Part. Cost Test Ratepayer PV Benefits ($) Ratepayer PV Costs ($) RIM Test Clothes Washer (2.2 + MEF)$108.68 $151.79 0.7 $119.54 $151.79 0.8 $108.68 $50.00 2.2 $182.71 $101.79 1.8 $108.68 $164.13 0.7 MEF 2.2: CEE Tier 2+: Electric DHW & Electric Drye $153.76 $151.79 1.0 $169.13 $151.79 1.1 $153.76 $50.00 3.1 $237.75 $101.79 2.3 $153.76 $211.47 0.7 MEF 2.2: CEE Tier 2+: Electric DHW & Gas Dryer $71.08 $151.79 0.5 $78.19 $151.79 0.5 $71.08 $50.00 1.4 $136.80 $101.79 1.3 $71.08 $124.65 0.6 MEF 2.2: CEE Tier 2+: Gas DHW & Electric Dryer $85.33 $151.79 0.6 $93.86 $151.79 0.6 $85.33 $50.00 1.7 $154.20 $101.79 1.5 $85.33 $139.61 0.6 MEF 2.2: CEE Tier 2+: Gas DHW & Gas Dryer $2.58 $151.79 0.0 $2.84 $151.79 0.0 $2.58 $50.00 0.1 $53.16 $101.79 0.5 $2.58 $52.71 0.0 Dishwasher $29.54 $69.66 0.4 $32.49 $69.66 0.5 $29.54 $20.00 1.5 $56.43 $49.66 1.1 $29.54 $51.33 0.6 CEE Tier 1 (.75 EF) Electric DHW $25.75 $69.66 0.4 $28.32 $69.66 0.4 $25.75 $20.00 1.3 $51.75 $49.66 1.0 $25.75 $47.31 0.5 CEE Tier 1 (.75 EF) Gas DHW $33.61 $69.66 0.5 $36.97 $69.66 0.5 $33.61 $20.00 1.7 $61.45 $49.66 1.2 $33.61 $55.65 0.6 Evaporative Cooling - Permanent $409.15 -$1,388.10 0.0 $450.06 -$1,388.10 0.0 $409.15 $150.00 2.7 $589.70 -$1,538.10 0.0 $409.15 $470.98 0.9 Evaporative Cooling - Portable $72.99 $139.20 0.5 $80.29 $139.20 0.6 $72.99 $50.00 1.5 $123.80 $89.20 1.4 $72.99 $109.04 0.7 Electric Water Heater $94.59 $55.56 1.7 $104.05 $55.56 1.9 $94.59 $50.00 1.9 $165.33 $5.56 29.7 $94.59 $149.19 0.6 Room AC $24.64 $36.00 0.7 $27.10 $36.00 0.8 $24.64 $20.00 1.2 $47.67 $16.00 3.0 $24.64 $39.93 0.6 Refrigerator $86.07 $66.18 1.3 $94.68 $66.18 1.4 $86.07 $40.00 2.2 $145.58 $26.18 5.6 $86.07 $130.80 0.7 Freezer $94.70 $21.51 4.4 $104.17 $21.51 4.8 $94.70 $20.00 4.7 $136.17 $1.51 90.0 $94.70 $119.90 0.8 Heat Pump Water Heater $876.65 $838.35 1.0 $964.32 $838.35 1.2 $876.65 $400.00 2.2 $1,468.88 $438.35 3.4 $876.65 $1,319.24 0.7 CFL Fixture $35.58 $17.20 2.1 $39.14 $17.20 2.3 $35.58 $20.00 1.8 $62.94 -$2.80 0.0 $35.58 $56.93 0.6 LED Fixture $20.22 $17.20 1.2 $22.25 $17.20 1.3 $20.22 $20.00 1.0 $44.41 -$2.80 0.0 $20.22 $40.99 0.5 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -1 Attach ICL 4 -1.pdf page 3 of 5 Memorandum to Don Jones, PacifiCorp 06/04/2012 Page 4 of 5 Table 6: Measure Level Results for Program Year 2012 - Weatherization Idaho Home Energy Savings Program (HES) Weatherization TRC Benefits ($) TRC Costs ($) TRC Test P-TRC Benefits ($) P-TRC Costs ($) P-TRC Test Utility PV Benefits ($) Utility PV Costs ($) Utility Cost Test Part. PV Benefits ($) Part. PV Cost ($) Part. Cost Test Ratepayer PV Benefits ($) Ratepayer PV Costs ($) RIM Test Installed Insulation - Attic - Electric (R-49)$1.68 $0.57 2.9 $1.85 $0.57 3.2 $1.68 $0.50 3.4 $2.44 $0.07 32.9 $1.68 $2.19 0.8 Electric FAF Heating System $1.50 $0.58 2.6 $1.65 $0.58 2.9 $1.50 $0.50 3.0 $2.53 $0.08 32.5 $1.50 $2.27 0.7 Heat Pump Heating System $1.23 $0.58 2.1 $1.36 $0.58 2.3 $1.23 $0.50 2.5 $2.01 $0.08 25.8 $1.23 $1.81 0.7 Zonal Heating System $1.32 $0.58 2.3 $1.45 $0.58 2.5 $1.32 $0.50 2.6 $2.29 $0.08 29.4 $1.32 $2.06 0.6 Installed Insulation - Attic - Gas Heat w/CAC (R-49)$0.01 $0.58 0.0 $0.01 $0.58 0.0 $0.01 $0.08 0.2 $0.10 $0.50 0.2 $0.01 $0.09 0.1 Insulation - Attic -Electric- Self Install $1.68 $0.29 5.9 $1.85 $0.29 6.4 $1.68 $0.25 6.7 $2.19 $0.04 59.1 $1.68 $1.94 0.9 Electric FAF Heating System $1.50 $0.29 5.2 $1.65 $0.29 5.7 $1.50 $0.25 6.0 $2.28 $0.04 61.5 $1.50 $2.02 0.7 Heat Pump Heating System $1.23 $0.29 4.3 $1.36 $0.29 4.7 $1.23 $0.25 4.9 $1.76 $0.04 47.3 $1.23 $1.56 0.8 Zonal Heating System $1.32 $0.29 4.6 $1.45 $0.29 5.1 $1.32 $0.25 5.3 $2.04 $0.04 55.0 $1.32 $1.81 0.7 Insulation - Attic - Gas Self Install $0.01 $0.29 0.0 $0.01 $0.29 0.0 $0.01 $0.08 0.2 $0.10 $0.21 0.5 $0.01 $0.09 0.1 Installed Insulation - Floor $3.07 $1.19 2.6 $3.38 $1.19 2.8 $3.07 $0.50 6.1 $4.05 $0.69 5.9 $3.07 $3.59 0.9 Electric FAF Heating System $2.69 $1.19 2.3 $2.96 $1.19 2.5 $2.69 $0.50 5.4 $4.14 $0.69 6.0 $2.69 $3.67 0.7 Heat Pump Heating System $1.63 $1.19 1.4 $1.79 $1.19 1.5 $1.63 $0.50 3.3 $2.49 $0.69 3.6 $1.63 $2.23 0.7 Zonal Heating System $2.57 $1.19 2.2 $2.82 $1.19 2.4 $2.57 $0.50 5.1 $3.98 $0.69 5.8 $2.57 $3.53 0.7 Installed Insulation - Floor - Self Install $3.07 $0.60 5.2 $3.38 $0.60 5.7 $3.07 $0.25 12.3 $3.80 $0.35 11.0 $3.07 $3.34 0.9 Electric FAF Heating System $2.69 $0.60 4.5 $2.96 $0.60 5.0 $2.69 $0.25 10.7 $3.89 $0.35 11.3 $2.69 $3.42 0.8 Heat Pump Heating System $1.63 $0.60 2.7 $1.79 $0.60 3.0 $1.63 $0.25 6.5 $2.24 $0.35 6.5 $1.63 $1.98 0.8 Zonal Heating System $2.57 $0.60 4.3 $2.82 $0.60 4.7 $2.57 $0.25 10.3 $3.73 $0.35 10.8 $2.57 $3.28 0.8 Installed Insulation - Wall $3.63 $0.84 4.3 $4.00 $0.84 4.7 $3.63 $0.65 5.6 $4.85 $0.19 25.0 $3.63 $4.31 0.8 Electric FAF Heating System $3.25 $0.84 3.9 $3.58 $0.84 4.2 $3.25 $0.65 5.0 $5.06 $0.19 26.1 $3.25 $4.49 0.7 Heat Pump Heating System $2.62 $0.84 3.1 $2.88 $0.84 3.4 $2.62 $0.65 4.0 $3.84 $0.19 19.8 $2.62 $3.43 0.8 Zonal Heating System $2.83 $0.84 3.4 $3.11 $0.84 3.7 $2.83 $0.65 4.4 $4.49 $0.19 23.2 $2.83 $3.99 0.7 Gas Heat w/CAC $0.01 $0.84 0.0 $0.01 $0.84 0.0 $0.01 $0.20 0.1 $0.22 $0.64 0.3 $0.01 $0.21 0.1 Windows Tier 1 (U-0.30)$3.10 $0.77 4.0 $3.41 $0.77 4.4 $3.10 $1.50 2.1 $5.08 -$0.73 0.0 $3.10 $4.62 0.7 Electric FAF Heating System $2.78 $0.77 3.6 $3.05 $0.77 3.9 $2.78 $1.50 1.9 $5.27 -$0.73 0.0 $2.78 $4.78 0.6 Heat Pump Heating System $2.23 $0.77 2.9 $2.46 $0.77 3.2 $2.23 $1.50 1.5 $4.23 -$0.73 0.0 $2.23 $3.87 0.6 Zonal Heating System $2.42 $0.77 3.1 $2.66 $0.77 3.4 $2.42 $1.50 1.6 $4.78 -$0.73 0.0 $2.42 $4.36 0.6 Windows Tier 2 (U-0.22)$7.68 $1.96 3.9 $8.45 $1.96 4.3 $7.68 $3.00 2.6 $11.89 -$1.04 0.0 $7.68 $10.73 0.7 Electric FAF Heating System $6.88 $1.96 3.5 $7.57 $1.96 3.9 $6.88 $3.00 2.3 $12.34 -$1.04 0.0 $6.88 $11.12 0.6 Heat Pump Heating System $5.60 $1.96 2.9 $6.16 $1.96 3.1 $5.60 $3.00 1.9 $9.84 -$1.04 0.0 $5.60 $8.95 0.6 Zonal Heating System $5.99 $1.96 3.1 $6.58 $1.96 3.4 $5.99 $3.00 2.0 $11.12 -$1.04 0.0 $5.99 $10.06 0.6 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -1 Attach ICL 4 -1.pdf page 4 of 5 Memorandum to Don Jones, PacifiCorp 06/04/2012 Page 5 of 5 Table 7: Measure Level Results for Program Year 2012 – HVAC/Weatherization and HVAC/Lighting Idaho Home Energy Savings Program (HES) HVAC/Weatherization and HVAC/Lighting TRC Benefits ($) TRC Costs ($) TRC Test P-TRC Benefits ($) P-TRC Costs ($) P-TRC Test Utility PV Benefits ($) Utility PV Costs ($) Utility Cost Test Part. PV Benefits ($) Part. PV Cost ($) Part. Cost Test Ratepayer PV Benefits ($) Ratepayer PV Costs ($) RIM Test Central Air Conditioning—15+SEER/12.5 EER $90.45 $338.92 0.3 $99.50 $338.92 0.3 $90.45 $150.00 0.6 $246.04 $188.92 1.3 $90.45 $221.07 0.4 Heat Pump Tune-Up $200.29 $193.50 1.0 $220.32 $193.50 1.1 $200.29 $125.00 1.6 $402.48 $68.50 5.9 $200.29 $363.63 0.6 Duct Sealing & Insulation - Electric $3,739.47 $694.88 5.4 $4,113.42 $694.88 5.9 $3,739.47 $450.00 8.3 $4,944.10 $244.88 20.2 $3,739.47 $4,314.93 0.9 Duct Sealing & Insulation - Electric FAF w CAC $3,431.26 $694.88 4.9 $3,774.39 $694.88 5.4 $3,431.26 $450.00 7.6 $4,573.69 $244.88 18.7 $3,431.26 $3,996.38 0.9 Duct Sealing & Insulation - Electric FAF w/o CAC $3,328.87 $694.88 4.8 $3,661.75 $694.88 5.3 $3,328.87 $450.00 7.4 $4,450.63 $244.88 18.2 $3,328.87 $3,890.55 0.9 Duct Sealing & Insulation - Electric Heat Pump $4,371.25 $694.88 6.3 $4,808.38 $694.88 6.9 $4,371.25 $450.00 9.7 $5,703.37 $244.88 23.3 $4,371.25 $4,967.90 0.9 Duct Sealing & Insulation - Gas FAF w/ CAC $102.40 $694.88 0.1 $112.63 $694.88 0.2 $102.40 $200.00 0.5 $323.06 $494.88 0.7 $102.40 $305.83 0.3 Duct Sealing Only - Pre-Insulated Ducts $2,188.19 $462.68 4.7 $2,407.00 $462.68 5.2 $2,188.19 $250.00 8.8 $2,879.76 $212.68 13.5 $2,188.19 $2,511.60 0.9 Duct Sealing & Insulation - Electric FAF w CAC $2,229.14 $462.68 4.8 $2,452.06 $462.68 5.3 $2,229.14 $250.00 8.9 $2,928.99 $212.68 13.8 $2,229.14 $2,553.93 0.9 Duct Sealing & Insulation - Electric FAF w/o CAC $2,189.21 $462.68 4.7 $2,408.13 $462.68 5.2 $2,189.21 $250.00 8.8 $2,880.99 $212.68 13.5 $2,189.21 $2,512.65 0.9 Duct Sealing & Insulation - Electric Heat Pump $2,108.32 $462.68 4.6 $2,319.15 $462.68 5.0 $2,108.32 $250.00 8.4 $2,783.78 $212.68 13.1 $2,108.32 $2,429.05 0.9 Heat Pump Upgrade to 8.5 HSPF with Best practice $2,909.95 $1,467.85 2.0 $3,200.95 $1,467.85 2.2 $2,909.95 $700.00 4.2 $4,389.30 $767.85 5.7 $2,909.95 $3,872.79 0.8 Heat Pump Upgrade to 9.0 HSPF with Best practice $3,094.37 $1,476.88 2.1 $3,403.81 $1,476.88 2.3 $3,094.37 $800.00 3.9 $4,723.11 $676.88 7.0 $3,094.37 $4,173.87 0.7 Heat Pump Conversion to 8.5 HSPF (Tier 1)$4,782.30 $2,962.23 1.6 $5,260.53 $2,962.23 1.8 $4,782.30 $700.00 6.8 $6,763.10 $2,262.23 3.0 $4,782.30 $5,914.26 0.8 Tier 1 Convert EFAF W/CAC to 8.5 HSPF ASHP $5,029.81 $2,378.06 2.1 $5,532.79 $2,378.06 2.3 $5,029.81 $700.00 7.2 $7,076.90 $1,678.06 4.2 $5,029.81 $6,184.13 0.8 Tier 1 Convert EFAF WO/CAC to 8.5 HSPF ASHP $4,534.79 $3,546.39 1.3 $4,988.27 $3,546.39 1.4 $4,534.79 $700.00 6.5 $6,449.30 $2,846.39 2.3 $4,534.79 $5,644.40 0.8 Heat Pump Conversion to 9.0 HSPF (Tier 2)$5,261.79 $4,439.11 1.2 $5,787.97 $4,439.11 1.3 $5,261.79 $800.00 6.6 $7,471.01 $3,639.11 2.1 $5,261.79 $6,537.07 0.8 Tier 2 Convert EFAF W/CAC to 9.0 HSPF ASHP $5,509.30 $3,854.94 1.4 $6,060.23 $3,854.94 1.6 $5,509.30 $800.00 6.9 $7,784.81 $3,054.94 2.5 $5,509.30 $6,806.93 0.8 Tier 2 Convert EFAF WO/CAC to 9.0 HSPF ASHP $5,014.28 $5,023.27 1.0 $5,515.71 $5,023.27 1.1 $5,014.28 $800.00 6.3 $7,157.21 $4,223.27 1.7 $5,014.28 $6,267.20 0.8 Best Practices Installation and Proper Sizing $2,614.88 $370.07 7.1 $2,876.37 $370.07 7.8 $2,614.88 $250.00 10.5 $3,565.20 $120.07 29.7 $2,614.88 $3,101.07 0.8 Ductless Heat Pump $3,397.21 $2,930.02 1.2 $3,736.93 $2,930.02 1.3 $3,397.21 $800.00 4.2 $5,107.05 $2,130.02 2.4 $3,397.21 $4,504.06 0.8 95% Gas Furnace w/ECM Blower $429.14 $344.00 1.2 $472.05 $344.00 1.4 $429.14 $250.00 1.7 $860.57 $94.00 9.2 $429.14 $775.09 0.6 GSHP Upgrade from ASHP $4,563.91 $10,915.98 0.4 $5,020.30 $10,915.98 0.5 $4,563.91 $700.00 6.5 $6,486.21 $10,215.98 0.6 $4,563.91 $5,676.14 0.8 GSHP Conversion from FAF w/o CAC $12,157.16 $14,761.04 0.8 $13,372.87 $14,761.04 0.9 $12,157.16 $1,100.00 11.1 $16,513.09 $13,661.04 1.2 $12,157.16 $14,355.26 0.8 Heat Pump Conversion Bundle $13,405.20 $6,075.26 2.2 $14,745.72 $6,075.26 2.4 $13,405.20 $2,350.00 5.7 $19,277.19 $3,725.26 5.2 $13,405.20 $16,907.38 0.8 Heat Pump Upgrade Bundle $8,469.66 $3,478.59 2.4 $9,316.63 $3,478.59 2.7 $8,469.66 $2,100.00 4.0 $12,794.91 $1,378.59 9.3 $8,469.66 $11,297.63 0.7 Ductless Heat Pump Bundle $4,638.69 $3,501.23 1.3 $5,102.56 $3,501.23 1.5 $4,638.69 $1,750.00 2.7 $7,586.32 $1,751.23 4.3 $4,638.69 $6,769.24 0.7 Gas Furnace w/AC Bundle $769.69 $2,003.97 0.4 $846.65 $2,003.97 0.4 $769.69 $1,000.00 0.8 $2,099.58 $1,003.97 2.1 $769.69 $1,945.64 0.4 LEDs $13.78 $26.74 0.5 $15.16 $26.74 0.6 $13.78 $10.00 1.4 $27.02 $16.74 1.6 $13.78 $24.47 0.6 LED General Purpose Lamp $13.50 $26.75 0.5 $14.85 $26.75 0.6 $13.50 $10.00 1.3 $26.67 $16.75 1.6 $13.50 $24.17 0.6 LED Specialty Lamp $9.36 $23.66 0.4 $10.29 $23.66 0.4 $9.36 $6.00 1.6 $17.55 $17.66 1.0 $9.36 $15.82 0.6 LED Downlight (Specialty) Lamp $20.35 $29.82 0.7 $22.39 $29.82 0.8 $20.35 $10.00 2.0 $35.14 $19.82 1.8 $20.35 $31.37 0.6 CFL General Purpose Lamp $5.17 $2.34 2.2 $5.68 $2.34 2.4 $5.17 $1.63 3.2 $8.40 $0.71 11.9 $5.17 $7.39 0.7 CFL Specialty Lamp $6.19 $4.27 1.5 $6.81 $4.27 1.6 $6.19 $2.29 2.7 $10.41 $1.98 5.3 $6.19 $9.19 0.7 ID PAC-E-12-11 ICL 4 Attachment ICL 4 -1 Attach ICL 4 -1.pdf page 5 of 5