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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20110906CAPAI to PAC 1-50 Attach.pdfJean Jewell From: Sent: To: Cc: Subject: Attachments: brad purdy (bmpurdy~hotmail.comi Tuesday, September 06, 2011 3:45 PM Daniel Solander; Ted Weston; Neil Price Beverly Barker; Randy Lobb; Jean Jewell Case PAC-E-11-13: CAPAI's 1st Discovery Requests to RMP CAPAI1st Discovery Request to RMP.docx; Oakridge Labs-Schweitzer-Tonn Study.pdf Attached, please find CAPAI's 1st Discovery Requests to Rocky Mountain in the above-referenced case. In addition, a study referred to in Request No.4 and titled "Non-Energy Benefits from the Weatherization Assistance Program: A Review of the Literatue" (Marin Schweitzer and Bruce Tonn: (Oak Ridge National Laboratory Report ORNL/CON-484, April 2002), is also attached. Given the importce, scope and complexity of the issues involved in this case, CAPAI intends to fie a motion with the Commission by tomorrow seeking an extension of the Sept. 28 comment deadline for 14 days (Oct. 12). I have spoken with Daniel Solander who stated no objection to such an extension and am waiting to hear back from Neil Price. I will delay fiing any motion until the end of the day in the event any par believes this motion to be inadequate or inappropriate in any respect, in which case CAP AI is open to the possibilty of amending the motion. Please contact me as soon as possible should this be the case. Brad M. Purdy Attorney at Law 2019 N. 17th st. Boise, ID 83702 208-384-1299 Land 208-484-9980 Cell 208-384-8511 Fax bmpurdY\9hotmail.com ~ ;0-0 mI 0'" m .":x cac.\. ': ¡; 1 Ri:cr-¡,ir~'\ r- 'J t: t ",j ,'- r J~ ~ '",~. ...,; Brad M. Purdy Attorney at Law BarNo. 3472 2019 N. 17th St. Boise, ID. 83702 (208) 384-1299 (Land) (208) 384-8511 (Fax) bmpurdy(ßhotmail.com ISB No. 3472 Attorney for Petitioner Community Action Parnership Association of Idaho zon SEP -6 PH 3: 5' IDfti.Jt¡tJi!LlTlts- BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION OF ) PACIFICORP DBA ROCKY MOUNTAIN ) POWER TO SUSPEND FUTURE PROGRAM ) EVALUATIONS OF SCHEDULE 21, LOW ) INCOME WEATHERIZATION SERVICES ) OPTIONAL FOR INCOME QUALIFYING )CUSTOMERS ) ~CASE NO. E-l1-13 FIRST DISCOVERY REQUESTS OF CAPAI TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN POWER The Community Action Parership Association ofIdaho (CAP AI), by and through its attorney of record, Brad M. Purdy and, pursuant to Rule 225 of the Commission's Rules of Procedure, IDAPA 31.01.01, requests that Rocky Mountain Power Company (Company; Rocky Mountain) provide the following documents and information as soon as possible, but no later than WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2011. Pursuant to Rule 225(01) of the Commssion's procedural rules, each discovery request below is to be sequentially numbered. Also pursuat to Rule 225, as well as the Idaho Rules of Civil Procedure, some of the requests are production requests, some are interrogatories, and others are requests for admission. Each request will be identified as to its form. This Discovery Request is to be considered as continuing, and Idaho Power Company is requested to provide, by way of supplementary responses, additional documents that it or any person acting on its behalf may later obtain that will augment the documents or information produced. CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 1 Please provide answers to each question, supporting workpapers that provide detail or are the source of information used in calculations, and the name, job title and telephone number of the person preparng the documents. Please identify the name, job title, location and telephone number of the record holder. In addition to the written copies provided as response to the requests, please provide all Excel and electronic files on CD with formulas activated. Many, if not most, of the production requests contained herein refer to the "CADMUS" study upon which the Company's Application in this case is based. Unless indicated otherwse, references to page, section or line numbers refer to the CADMUS study. Finally, all references to work performed by "CADMUS," please include the work of "Quantec LLC" as well. Request No.1: Interrogatories. Reference page 6 of CADMUS study. Given that qualitative non-energy benefit questions were asked to only 22 paricipants, please explain why Cadmus did not use a non-energy "adder" to account for non-energy benefits and identify all states in which non-energy benefits have been accounted for in evaluating low- income weatherization programs using a percentage adder? Request No.2: Request for Production. Please identify and produce copies of all evaluations where non-energy benefit adders have been used by Cadmus. Request No.3: Request for Production. Please produce copies of all studies prepared by Cadmus that explicitly use non-energy benefits in the calculation of a cost-benefit determination. Request No.4: Interrogatories. Reference p. 6 of CADMUS. Please indicate for each "non-energy benefit" identified in the publication "Non-Energy Benefits from the Weatherization Assistance Program: A Review of the Literatue" (Marin Schweitzer and Bruce Tonn: (Oak Ridge National Laboratory Report ORNL/CON-484, April 2002), a copy of which is attached hereto: a. Whether the non-energy benefit was considered in the evaluation of the Rocky Mountain Power program; b. If not, please provide a detailed explanation of why not for each specific non- energy benefit not considered; CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 2 c. Whether the non-energy benefit was quantified in the evaluation ofthe Rocky Mountain Power program; d. If not, please provide a detailed explanation of why not for each non-energy benefit not quantified; e. If the non-energy benefit identified was deemed to be non-quatifiable based on the Rocky Mountain Power sureyor biling/payment data, was the non-energy benefit given the quatification identified by Schweitzer and Tonn; f. If not, provide a detailed explanation of why not for each non-energy benefit for which the Schweitzer and Tonn quatification was not used. Request No.5: Request for Admission. Reference pages 1 and 8 of CADMUS. Admit that households weatherized under Rocky Mountain's LIWA program using Rocky Mountain dollars involve homes whose primar heat source is electrc. Request No.6: Request for production. If the foregoing request for admission is denied, please produce the number of paricipants and nonparicipants respectively that were electrically-heated and that were non-electrically heated homes using the Company's most recent, accurate data. Request No.7: Request for production. Reference pages 1 and 8 of CADMUS. If the response to Request No.2 was anyting other than an unqualified confirmation, please produce the following: a. A restated Table 10 separately disaggregating electric heating and non-heating homes; b. A restated Table 11 separately disaggregating electric heating and non-heating homes; c. A restated Table 16 separately disaggregating electric heating and non-heating homes; d. A restated Figure 3 separately disaggregating electric heating and non-heating homes; e. A restated Table 17 separately disaggregating electric heating and non-heating homes; f. A restated Table 18 separately disaggregating electric heating and non-heating homes; CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 3 g. A restated Table 21 separately disaggregating electric heating and non-heating homes; h. A restated Table 22 separately disaggregating electric heating and non-heating homes; 1. A restated Table 23 separately disaggregating electric heating and non-heating homes. Request No.8: Interrogatory. Reference page 9 of CADMUS. Please explain in detail the analysis done to determine the comparabilty of non-paricipants and paricipants based on the Weatherization Assistance Program's prioritization of homes with elderly, young children and handicapped. Request No.9: Interrogatory. Reference p. 13 of CADMUS. Please explain in detail how you accounted for the fact that income eligibilty for "energy assistance" in Idaho is set at 60% of state median income while income eligibilty for weatherization assistance using Rocky Mountan Power fuding is set at 150% of Federal Povert Level (page 9, note 7). Request No. 10: Interrogatory. Reference page 13 of CADMUS. Please indicate whether the "energy assistance" used to establish the non-paricipant population involved basic LIHEAP cash grants, LIHEAP "crisis" grants or both. Separately indicate the number of non-paricipants whose energy assistace grant used to qualify them for the non-paricipant population was: (a) a basic LIHEAP cash grant; or (b) a LIHEAP crisis grant: a. Of the 664 non-paricipants used in the consumption analysis; b. Of the 1,429 non-paricipants used in the payment analysis. Request No. 11: Interrogatory. Reference pages 13 and 16 of CADMUS. Please indicate the number of nonparticipants used in the study who would not have been income-qualified to receive weatherization assistace using Rocky Mountain Power funding: a. For the usage study component; b. For the payment study component. Request No. 12: Interrogatory. Reference pages 14 CADMUS: Please indicate the number of weatherized homes that did not have matching names and account numbers, but were matched to utility records based on address and site: a. Out of the 64 paricipants from 2007; CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 4 b. Out of the 89 paricipants from 2008; c. Out of the 113 participants from 2009 d. Out of the 166 participants used in the usage analysis; e. Out ofthe 664 non-paricipants used in the usage analysis. Request No. 13. Request for Production. Reference page 14 CADMUS. Please provide a restated Table 8 setting forth the number of paricipants by year used in the payment analysis. Separately indicate the number of weatherized homes that did not have matching names and account numbers, but were matched to utility records based on address and site; a. Out of the number of paricipants from 2007; b. Out of the number of paricipants from 2008; c. Out of the number of paricipants from 2009 d. Out of the 229 paricipants used in the payment analysis; e. Out of the 1,429 non-paricipants used in the payment analysis. Request No. 14. Interrogatory. Reference page 14. a. Out of the 113 paricipants from 2009, please distribute the number of units on which weatherization was completed in 2009, by month of completion. b. Of the 113 paricipants used in the final 166 paricipants used, please distribute the number of units on which weatherization was completed in 2009 by month of completion. c. Of the 229 paricipants used in the payment analysis, please indicate the number of participants on which weatherization was completed in 2009. d. Of the number of units on which weatherization was completed in 2009 used in the payment analysis, please distrbute the number of units on which weatherization was completed in 2009 by the month of completion. Request No. 15: Request for Production. Reference page 14 CADMUS. Please provide a copy of all "anual reports" referenced "to determine average anual savings and paricipant levels." Indicate specific page citations to the data used from such anual reports. Request No. 16: Interrogatory. Reference page 16 of CADMUS. Please explain how, given that weatherized homes were matched based on site identification and address and not on specific accounts or customers, addresses could have: CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 5 a. Fewer than 10 months of pre-biling; b. Fewer than 10 months of post-biling; c. Fewer than 250 pre-biling days; d. Fewer than 250 of post-biling days. Request No. 17: Interrogatory. Reference page 16 CADMUS. Please define the term "biling days" and separately indicate the number of biling days for a hypothetical customer meeting the following conditions: (a) a biling period of June 1 through June 30; (b) a biling date subsequent to June 30: a. If the customer had no disconnection of service for nonpayment during the biling period; b. If the customer was disconnected for nonpayment on June 10 and reconnected on June 15; c. If the customer was disconnected for nonpayment on June 10 and reconnected subsequent to July 1. Request No. 18: Interrogatory. Reference page 16. Please indicate the number of the original 266 paricipants who were excluded from the usage analysis because: a. Fewer than 10 months of pre- and post-biling data were available; b. Fewer than 250 biling days or more than 400 biling days in either the pre- or post-period; c. Total anual pre- or post-consumption of less than 1000 kWh; total anual pre- or post- consumption more tha 50,000 kWh; d. An account changing usage from the pre- to post-period by more than 70 percent. e. More than one of the above. Request No. 19: Interrogatory. Reference page 17: Please provide restated Tables 21 and 23 using the 1,308 savings: a. Using the upper bound of the savings estimate (specifying the upper bound); b. Using the lower bound ofthe savings estimate (specifying the lower bound). Request No. 20: Interrogatory. Reference page 17. a. Please provide the "relative precision at the 90 percent confidence level for the arearage savings" (i.e., the arearage equivalent to the 26% for usage savings). CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 6 b. Please provide restated Tables 21 and 23 using the $31 arearage savings: 1. Using the upper bound of the arearage reduction estimate (specifying the upper bound); 11. Using the lower bound of the arearage reduction estimate (specifying the lower bound) Request No. 21: Interrogatory. Reference page 18. Ofthe 13% of nonparicipants who had their homes weatherized "solely with federal dollars," please provide a distribution of the years in which those homes had been weatherized using only federal dollars. Request No. 22: Interrogatory. Reference page 18. a. Please provide a detailed explanation of how the "non-paricipant savings estimate" was "adjusted" to account for homes previously weatherized solely with federal dollars. b. Please provide a detailed explanation of how the "non-paricipant usage" was "adjusted upward to account for weatherized homes." c. Please provide a detailed explanation of how the non-participant arearages were adjusted to account for homes previously weatherized solely with federal dollars. d. Please provide a detailed explanation of how the non-paricipant net shortfall was adjusted to account for homes previously weatherized solely with federal dollars. e. Please provide the calculation described in response to "a" through "d" immediately above in a spreadsheet with all formulae intact. Request No. 23: Request for Admission. Reference page 18. Please admit that the Cadmus study finds that the impact of a 44% rate increase and the u.s. economic recession would be less on the paricipation population than on the non-participant population (i.e., there is a typographical error on page 18, with the word "paricipating" in the last line of the page intended to be "non-paricipating"). Request No. 24: Interrogatory. If the response to the preceding request for admission is anything other than an unqualified confirmation, provide a detailed explanation of why the 44% rate increase and the economic recession would be more for the weatherized paricipants than on the non-weatherized non-paricipants. CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 7 Request No. 26: Interrogatory. Reference page 18. Assuming that the savings impact of the 44% rate increase and economic recession would be greater for the non-paricipant population than for the paricipant population, please explain how the disproportionate savings impact was removed for puroses of calculating net savings and program cost- effectiveness. Request No. 27: Interrogatory. Reference page 18. Assuming usage decreases occured due to the impact of the 44% rate increase and economic recession, please compare the persistence of those usage reductions to the persistence of the savings generated by the weatherization measures installed through the program. Request No. 28: Interrogatory. Reference page 18. Please provide a detailed explanation of how differences in the persistence of savings attbutable to the 44% rate increase and economic recession and the persistence of savings attbutable to program measures were accounted for: a. In the savings analysis; b. In the payment analysis; c. In the cost-benefit analysis. Request No. 29: Interrogatory. Reference page 23. Please indicate the number of overlaps between: a. The 166 paricipant population used in the consumption analysis and the 229 paricipants used in the payment analysis. b. The 664 non-paricipants used in the consumption analysis and the 1,429 non- paricipants used in the payment analysis. Request No. 30: Interrogatory. Reference page 23. Please provide a detailed explanation of how paricipants or non-paricipants who were eliminated from the analysis due to usage characteristics could be included in the payment analysis with resulting payment impacts attributable to "program impacts." Request No. 31: Interrogatory. Reference page 23. Referrng to Request No. 29, please indicate the number of: a. The 229 who were not also in the 166; b. The 1,429 who were not also in the 664. CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 8 c. The 166 paricipants who would have been excluded had the screening tests on page 23 been applied to them; d. The 1,429 non-participants who would have been excluded had the screening tests on page 23 been applied to them. Request No. 32: Interrogatory. Reference page 24. Please indicate the amount of "external payment" that was (a) basic LIHEAP cash grant money; (b) LIHEAP crisis grant money; or (c) non-LIHEAP money, for: a.The $226; b.The $307; c.The $110; d.The $438. Request No. 33: Interrogatory. Reference page 24. Please provide a detailed explanation of: a. Which numbers presented in Table 16 were used in the cost-benefit analysis presented in Tables 21 and 23. b. The maner in which the numbers identified in response to subsection "a" of Request No. 32 were used in the cost-benefit analysis. Request No. 34: Interrogatory. Reference Table 16. For each of the total biled amounts, please indicate the amount attributable to monthly charges for curent usage (including, for example, fixed monthly customer charges, consumption charges, riders, but excluding cash security deposits, late payment charges, reconnect fees and customer service fees). a. For each of the total biled amounts, please indicate the amount attributable to monthy charges for curent usage (including, for example, fixed monthly customer charges, consumption charges, riders, but excluding cash security deposits, late payment charges, reconnect fees, and customer service fees). b. For each ofthe customer payment amounts, please indicate the amount attibutable to payment of monthly charges for curent usage (as defined immediately above). CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 9 c. Provide a restatement of Table 16 excluding all Late Payment Charges and miscellaneous customer service fees (including securty deposits) from both bils and payments. d. Provide a restatement of Figure 3 excluding all Late Payment Charges and miscellaneous customer service fees (including cash security deposits) from both bils and payments. Request No. 35: Interrogatory. Reference Table 16. Provide a detailed explanation of how the results in Table 16 were incorporated into the cost-benefit analysis. Request No. 36: Reference Tables 16,21,23. Provide a detailed explanation of how the following were incorporated into the cost-benefit analysis based on the results of Table 16: a. Avoided credit and collection costs; b. Avoided lost sales; c. Avoided bad debt; d. Avoided working capital; e. Added revenue attbutable to redirecting credit and collection activities to accounts with arears not reduced. Request No. 37: Interrogatory. Reference Table 17. Provide a detailed explanation of how the results in Table 17 were incorporated into the cost-benefit analysis. Request No. 38: Interrogatory. Reference Tables 17,21 and 23. Provide a detailed explanation of how the following were incorporated into the cost-benefit analysis based on the results of Table 17: a. Avoided credit and collection costs; b. Avoided lost sales; c. Avoided bad debt; d. Avoided working capital; e. Added revenue attrbutable to redirecting credit and collection activities to accounts with arears not reduced. Request No. 39: Interrogatory. Reference Tables 16, 17 and 18. Provide a restatement of Tables 16, 17 and 18: a. Using a paricipant population meeting the screen tests on both pages 16 and 23. CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 10 b. Using a nonparicipant population meeting the screen tests on both pages 16 and 23. Request No. 40: Interrogatory. Reference: page 26 (Table 18). Provide a detailed explanation of how: a. Participant arears increased $54 (Table 18) when the net shortfall between bils and payments increased $126 (Table 17); b. Non-paricipant arears increased $104 (Table 18) when the net shortfall between bils and payments increased $267. Request No. 41: Interrogatory. Reference page 23. Please provide: a. The number of the 229 paricipant accounts that had arears on their last biling of the 2006 pre-period; b. The number of the 1,429 non-paricipant accounts that had arears on their last biling of the 2006 pre-period; c. The aggregate arears of accounts having arears on the last biling of the 2006 pre-period from the 229 paricipant population; d. The aggregate arears of accounts having arears on the last biling of the 2006 pre-period from the 1,429 non-paricipant population; e. The number of the 229 paricipant accounts that had arears on their last biling of the post-period; f. The number of the 1,429 non-paricipant accounts that had arears on their last biling of the post-period; g. The aggregate arears of accounts having arears on the last biling of the post- period from the 229 participant population; h. The aggregate arears of accounts having arrears on the last biling ofthe post- period from the 1,429 non-paricipant population. Request No. 42: Interrogatory. Please reconcile the change in net shortfall in Table 16 with the change in arears in Table 18 and indicate why there are differences between the change in arrears and the change in net shortfalL. Request No. 43: Interrogatory. Reference: page 25. Please explain the process for tallying the total number of disconnections for nonpayment when the paricipant and non- paricipant populations: CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 11 a. Removed sites with fewer than 330 biling days in the measurement period; b. Removed sites with fewer than 11 bils in the measurement period. Request No. 44: Interrogatory. Reference page 26 (Table 18). Provide a detailed explanation of how monthly credit balances (i.e., bil balances less than $0) were treated in the examination of the "ending balance amount across the 12-month period." Were they considered negatives or were they considered "O"s or something else. Request No. 45 Interrogatory. Reference page 28. Please provide a detailed explanation of how "the analysis used a weighted average measure life of25 years." Indicate each number in Table 20 affected by this "weighted average measure life." Request No. 46: Interrogatory. Reference page 28. Please reconcile the statement that Table 20 used a "weighted average measure life of25 years" based on "frequency of installations" with the statement at page 15 that the analysis "reflects the number of homes that have received a specific tye of measure. . .rather than the total number of individual measures installed through the program." In the reconciliation statement, specifically address how the weighting occured in the absence of the number of individual measures installed. Request No. 47: Interrogatory. Reference page 29 (Table 22). Please provide a spreadsheet with all formulae intact showing the derivation of the $8,331 "arearage" benefit. Request No. 45: Interrogatory. Reference page 29 (Table 22). a. Please indicate whether the $8,331 "arearage" benefit is a Year-l benefit. b. Separately indicate how the arearage reductions over the "weighted average measure life of 25 years" was calculated; c. Separately indicate how the arearage reduction over the "weighted average benefit life of25 years" was incorporated into the cost-benefit analysis. Request No. 48: Interrogatory. Reference page 29 (Table 21). For each "cost" figure presented in Table 21, please indicate the allocation of costs between: a. Deparment of Energy Weatherization Assistance Program (W AP) fuding; b. LIHEAP weatherization fuding; c. Rocky Mountain Power Company weatherization fuding; d. Paricipant fuding. CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 12 Request No. 49: Request for Production. Reference page 29 (Table 21). Please provide all spreadsheets, with all formula intact, with showing the derivation of the "benefits" in Table 21. Request No. 50: Request for Production. Reference: page 29. Please provide a restated Table removing Rocky Mountain Power fuding for health and safety measures from program costs for: a. Table 21 b. Table 23 DATED, this 6th day of September, 2011. Brad M. Purdy CAPAlS FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST TO ROCKY MOUNTAIN 13 r~ r:""~i;,.. f'¡;_,~i 2m \ SEP -6 Pr'l 3: 51 ORNL/CON-484 NONENERGY BENEFITS FROM THE WEATHERIZATION ASSISTANCE PROGRA: A SUMMARY OF FINDINGS FROM THE RECENT LITERATURE Martin Schweitzer Bruce Tonn OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY DOCUMENT AVAILABILITY Reports produced after January 1, 1996, are generally available free via the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Information Bridge. Web site http://ww.ostLgov/bridge Reports produced before January 1, 1996, may be purchased by members of the public from the following source. National Technical Information Service 5285 Port Royal Road Springfield, VA 22161 Telephone 703-605-6000 (1-800-553-6847) TDD 703-487-4639 Fax 703-605-6900 E-mail info~ntis.fedworld.gov Web site http://w.ntis.gov/supportordernowabout.htm Reports are available to DOE employees, DOE contractors, Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDE) representatives, and International Nuclear Information System (INIS) representatives from the following source. Office of Scientific and Technical Information P.O. Box 62 Oak Ridge, TN 37831 Telephone 865-576-8401 Fax 865-576-5728 E-mail reports~adonis.ostLgov Web site http://ww.ostLgov/contact.html This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States Government. Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liabilty or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any agency thereof. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the United States Government or any agency thereof. ORNL/CON-484 NONENERGY BENEFITS FROM THE WEATHERIZATION ASSISTANCE PROGRA: A SUMMARY OF FINDINGS FROM THE RECENT LITERATURE Martin Schweitzer, Bruce Tonn OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY Date Published: April 2002 Prepared for U. S. Departent of Energy Office of Building Technology Assistance Budget Activity Number EC 1701 000 Prepared by OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LAB ORA TORY Oak Ridge, Tennessee 37831 managed by UT -BATTELLE, LLC for the u.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY under contract DE-AC05-000R22725 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARy.................................................... vii 1. INTRODUCTION .......................................................... 1 1.1 BACKGROUN .................................................... 1 1.2 METHODS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1.3 SCOPE OF REPORT ................................................. 3 2. RA TEPA YER BENEFITS .................................................... 5 2.1 PAYMNT-RELATED BENEFITS .....................................6 2.2 SERVICE PROVISION BENEFITS. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 3. BENEFITS TO HOUSEHOLDS .............................................. 11 3.1 AFFORDABLE HOUSING BENEFITS ................................. 12 3.2 SAFETY, HEALTH, AND COMFORT BENEFITS. . . ........... . . . ..... ..15 4. SOCIETAL BENEFITS ..................................................... 17 4.1 ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS ...................................... 17 4.2 SOCIAL BENEFITS ................................................ 20 4.3 ECONOMIC BENEFITS.............................................. 21 5. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS ...........................................23 6. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ...................................................27 7. REFERENCES............................................................ 29 iv EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The purpose of this project is to summarize findings reported in the recent literature on nonenergy benefits attributable to the weatherizing of low income homes. This study is a follow-up to the seminal research conducted on the nonenergy benefits attributable to the Department of Energy's national Weatherization Assistance Program by Brown et aL. (1993). For this review, nonenergy benefits were broken into three major categories: (1) ratepayer benefits; (2) household benefits; and (3) societal benefits. The ratepayer benefits can be divided into two main subcategories: payment-related benefits and service provision benefits. Similarly, there are two key types of household benefits: those associated with affordable housing and those related to safety, health, and comfort. Societal benefits can be classified as either environmental, social, or economic. Fig. E.S. 1 presents point estimates of the average lifetime moneta value per weatherized home resulting from low income weatherization programs for the key benefit types listed above. These benefits represent net present value estimates (i.e., estimates of the current Point Estimate (2001 $ perparticipating household: Net Present Value) 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100o. . . .~. ~. ~. ~.~~~ ~~ ~t: ~~l;~e ~e ~e ...o~ ~e it~ ~e ~oq,e ~ q,e ~~ q,e o~ q,e o~ e'" ~..9? e'" ..0 ~~ e ~ ~~,. Cì~~ ~e ~~,.(l ~o ~ ~o ~u e'Q ai'- ~ .c." e ,.'l 'le 'l~~, '!.... ~(; ~u ~~,~ (l tl'l e"- ~o '!O ~o #C. '" ~e ~ev:' e;'l 1123 ci. . ci.~~ ~ .~~. ~~e ~'l e~ ~ e ;.c.q,e ~e(: q,e(: 0¿"1 q,e(: o~ ~~ 0(: ~~ C. ~~ 0(:¿,e 4.~ ¿,e ¿,e ~v e;0 ~~ e;0 e;0 Fig. E.S.l Summary of Nonenergy Benefits by Category and Subcategory vi wort of all benefits expected over the lifetime of the weatherization measures), assuming a 20-year lifetime for installed energy efficiency measures and a 3.2% discount rate. Overall, societal benefits are estimated to be substantially larger than ratepayer and household benefits. Ranges for the societal benefits are also much greater than for the other two categories of nonenergy benefits. The total monetized value for all nonenergy benefit categories associated with weatherizing a home is estimated to be $3346, in 2001 dollars. This represents a national average which, like any point estimate, has considerable uncertainty associated with it. This figure is substantially higher than the total value of nonenergy benefits presented a decade ago in the national weatherization evaluation (Brown et aL. 1993) because the current study quantified a much broader array of benefits than did the earlier work. The net present value of $3 346 for all nonenergy benefits is slightly greater than the average net present value of energy savings for houses heated by natural gas, which is $3174 in 2001 dollars. In comparison, the average total cost per weatherization is $1779, also in 2001 dollars. The "societal" benefit/cost ratio, which compares all benefits to all costs, is approximately 3.7. Low and high values for the societal benefit/cost ratio, using low and high nonenergy benefit estimates, are 2.0 and 52.5, respectively. It should be noted that the total monetized nonenergy benefit estimate is lower than it could be because the estimate does not contain some benefits that have not been expressed in monetary terms. vii 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 BACKGROUND The national Weatherization Assistance Program provides energy effciency improvements for low-income residences throughout the country. The program is sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy and is implemented by state and local agencies in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Since its inception in 1976, the Weatherization Assistance Program has weatherized approximately five milion dwellng units for their low-income occupants. Common weatherization measures include: caulking and weather stripping around doors and windows and sealing other unnecessary openings to reduce air infitration; installng attic, wall, and floor insulation; and wrapping water heaters and pipes with insulating materiaL. A national evaluation of the program conducted by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORN) almost a decade ago (Brown et al. 1993) focused on energy and cost savings, but it also contained a detailed discussion of the nonenergy benefits associated with low-income weatherization activities. Since the time of the national evaluation, a substantial amount of research has been conducted to examine the nature and magnitude of the non energy benefits that result from weatherization programs. The purpose ofthis report is to use the findings from the large body ofpost-1993 research to update ORNL's previous estimates of the Weatherization Assistance Program's nonenergy benefits. ORN's national weatherization evaluation (Brown et al. 1993) identified an extensive range of non energy benefits associated with the Weatherization Assistance Program. A total of fifteen benefits were identified, but monetized values could be calculated for only about half of them. As shown in Table 1, all the monetized values combined had a net present value, over the lifetime of the weatherization measures installed, of $976 (in 1989 $). 1.2 METHODS The primary research method used for this study was a comprehensive review of the literature on nonenergy benefits written since the national weatherization evaluation was completed in 1993. Many different articles and reports have been written about the nonenergy benefits oflow- income weatherization activities since that time. Some present the findings from primary research conducted on the subject, usually focusing on a weatherization program operated by a given state or utility company (e.g., Magouirk 1995; Blasnik 1997; Hil et al. 1998). Others take a meta- analysis approach and report the findings from a number of studies conducted in different locations (e.g., Riggert et al. 1999; Riggert et al. 2000; Howat and Oppenheim 1999). One set of articles that was especially useful for this study (Skumatz and Dickerson 1997; Skumatz and Dickerson 1998; Skumatz and Dickerson 1999) focused on two 1 Nonenergy Benefit Enhanced property value and extended lifetime of dwellng Reduced fires Table 1. Nonenergy Benefits Monetized in National Weatherization Evaluation (1993) Net Present Value of Benefi per Dwellng (1989 $) 126 3 32Reduced arearages Federal taxes generated from direct employment Income generated from indirect employment A voided costs of unemployment benefits Total of all non energy benefis 55 506 82 in $976 Environmental externalities low- income weatherization programs operated by Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E), using primary data pertaining to those programs and also making use of importnt findings from a comprehensive review of studies performed by other researchers elsewhere in the country. Because much ofthe information analyzed by Skumatz and Dickerson came from a variety oflocations, and because the PG&E programs they studied are very similar to other full-scale weatherization efforts undertaken throughout the country, the findings from the Skumatz and Dickerson articles are considered broadly applicable to DOE's Weatherization Assistance Program. From a thorough review of the literature, we identified a complete set of non energy benefits and organized them into major categories and subcategories. Our approach was informed by the post-1993 articles and reports reviewed as well as by the ideas presented in the national weatherization evaluation (Brown et aL. 1993). Then, a range of monetary values was identified for each nonenergy benefit, drawing from all recent studies that provided dollar values for nonenergy benefits and that employed methods that we considered reasonable and legitimate, even if the numbers themselves appeared to be somewhat extreme. In fact, many of the value ranges presented in this report are very broad. After a range of monetized values was identified from the literature for all nonenergy benefits, we used our professional judgment to select a reasonable point estimate for each one to represent the average value of that benefit associated with weatherization efforts nationwide. Even where the entire continuum of possible values was very large, it was common for most of the suggested values to cluster around a fairly narrow range. In such cases, we tended to select a preferred point estimate that was close to the midpoint of the clustered values. Where one extremely high value led to an extended range, it was often the case that the clustered values and our point estimate fell toward the low end of that range. However, it is important to note the inherent uncertinty associated with any point estimate that is made. Clearly, a single point estimate for any given nonenergy benefit cannot represent the benefits associated with every weatherization effort in each separate locale because ofthe substantial variation that occurs among different programs and 2 geographic areas. Even where, as in this report, a point estimate is based on a number of different studies and is intended to represent a national average, there is stil good reason to be cautious. As the name implies, a point estimate is only an estimate of a savings value and is based on various assumptions about program operations and effectiveness rather than on systematic measurement, and subsequent weighting and averaging, of program outcomes throughout the country. Nearly all of the nonenergy benefits addressed in this report occur everywhere, but a couple only apply to certain types of households (i.e., those receiving low-income rate subsidies or those using natural gas). In such cases, the magnitude of the benefits reported in the literature is adjusted downward to make it an average value for the entire nation. Of course, even where benefits do apply universally, the actual magnitude wil vary from place to place, as noted above. When point estimates for all the benefits addressed in this report are aggregated, they represent the average benefit for a typical low-income u.s. household. However, that point estimate wil not necessarily apply to each individual household. In cases where a particular benefit does not apply, the total value of all nonenergy benefits would tend to be lower than indicated in this report, provided that all other conditions affecting the magnitude of benefits are typicaL. Monetary values for the various nonenergy benefits provided in the recent articles and reports that we reviewed are generally treated as ifthey are in 2001 dollars. We consider this to be a reasonable approach because (l) most of the works reviewed were written during the last two or three years and inflation has been very modest during that period, and (2) the dollar values provided in the literature tend to be estimates and approximations and are not precise enough to warrant adjustment by a few percentage points. The principal exception to this is in the case of values that are taken from the national weatherization evaluation (Brown et al. 1993). Because the data in that study date from 1989, it was considered prudent to adjust the relevant numbers upward, using the inflation factors contained in the Consumer Price Index (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2001). Many of the monetized values presented in the literature are listed in terms of dollars per participating household per year. We converted those annual benefits into net present value (NV) per household, assuming that: (1) the useful life ofthe installed weatherization measures is 20 years (which is consistent with past evaluations of the Weatherization Assistance Program); and (2) the appropriate discount rate is 3.2 % (the rate suggested by the Offce of Management and Budget for program evaluation). Based on these assumptions, a benefit that has an annual value of$l 0 per year would have a NPV of$146. We are aware that different parties are likely to apply different discount rates when calculating the value of a given investment. However, the 3.2% discount rate is used in this report for all categories of benefits to be consistent and to reflect the fact that this document is written from the perspective of the federal agency that sponsors the Weatherization Assistance Program. 1.3 SCOPE OF REPORT The subsequent chapters of this report present key findings from our study of the nonenergy benefits associated with low-income weatherization efforts. In order to present a complete picture ofthe nonenergy benefits associated with weatherization programs, these benefits are described from 3 three distinct perspectives: that of utilty ratepayers; that of participating households; and that of society as a whole. It should be noted that a couple of the nonenergy benefis addressed in this report are discussed under more than one major category, to reflect the fact that there are different groups of beneficiaries. For example, "avoided shut-offs and reconnections" are discussed both from the ratepayer and the household perspective. The value of the benefit received by each set of actors in different, and double-counting is avoided because ratepayers and participating households receive different, and non-overlapping, values from the benefit in question. Chapter 2 discusses the benefits received by utility companies and passed on to their ratepayers. These fall under the broad headings of benefits related to the payments that utilties receive from their customers and benefits related to the utilties' provision of services. In this chapter, as in the following ones, each individual benefit is described, a range of possible monetized values and a point estimate are given for each benefit, and a brief explanation is provided of the methods used to calculate the values. In Chapter 3, benefits experienced by the low-income households that receive weatherization services are described. Such benefits can be grouped into two categories: affordable housing benefits and benefits related to the occupants' safety, health, and comfort. Chapter 4 addresses societal benefits, which can be subdivided into environmental benefits, social benefits, and economic benefits. Finally, Chapter 5 summarizes the full set of nonenergy benefits and their monetary values, examines the relative magnitude of the different types of non energy benefits, and compares the size of these benefits with the energy benefits generated by the Weatherization Assistance Program. 4 2. RATEPAYER BENEFITS Utilty ratepayers receive two distinct types of nonenergy benefits as a result of low-income weatherization efforts. Point estimates of the average lifetime monetary value associated with each type of benefit are shown in Fig. 1. The first type of benefit is related to the payments that utilties receive (or do not receive) from their customers and includes six different items: (I) avoided rate subsidies; (2) lower bad debt write-off; (3) reduced carring cost on arrearages; (4) fewer notices and customer calls; (5) fewer shut-offs and reconnections for delinquency; and (6) reduced collection costs. The second type of benefit is related to the provision of services and has three components: (1) fewer emergency gas service calls; (2) transmission and distribution (T&D) loss reduction; and (3) insurance savings. While all of the benefits listed above initially accrue to utilty companies, they tend to be passed on to the utilties' customers and are therefore classified in this report as ratepayer benefits. Each of these benefits is discussed in more detail below. 200 181 Point Estimate (2001 $ per 100 participating household: Net Present Value) 150 o ø~~.f~ilLL0 ø ~'Ç ø~ø~ ~~ (l~ .o~.~~.:t?~~ ø" (l..oø~ø ~~,c; ø~Cj Fig. 1. Average Lifetime Monetary Value of Ratepayer Benefits, by Type 5 2.1 PAYMENT-RELATED BENEFITS Rate Subsidies Avoided Many utilties provide lower, subsidized rates for their low-income customers. Accordingly, each unit of energy consumed by low-income customers represents an expense for the utilty and for its other customers, whose payments help subsidize the discount rate. When the amount of energy used by low-income customers is reduced as a result of a weatherization program, the number of subsidized units of energy sold decreases and the utilty and its other ratepayers save money. The literature reviewed for this study presented a number of different estimates of the dollar value of rate subsidies avoided as a result oflow-income weatherization programs. Many of these estimates were presented in terms of annual savings per household but, as explained in Chapter 1, these were all converted to net present value over the lifetime of the measures installed. The estimated lifetime savings range from a low of$38 to a high of $467. However, the estimates of benefits found in the literature typically describe only those instances in which rate subsidies are available and used by low-income customers. In order to represent average savings across the nation as a whole, those savings numbers should be adjusted downward to reflect the proportion of low-income customers actually receiving such subsidies. Based on information compiled by the National Center for Appropriate Technology (2001), we know that only about 15% oflow-income customers nationwide get rate subsidies. Accordingly, we multiplied the range of benefits presented in the literature by 0.15, resulting in an adjusted range of $6 to $70 (Table 2). Our preferred point estimate for this benefit is $21 but, as explained previously, any single estimate made for the entire low-income Weatherization Assistance Program is necessarily imprecise and the associated uncertinty must be recognized. Table 2. Ratepayer Benefits: Payment-Related Nonenergy Benefi Rate subsidies avoided Lower bad debt write-off Reduced caring cost on arearages Fewer notices and customer calls Fewer shut-offs and reconnections for delinquency Reduced collection costs Range of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 6 -70 15-3462 4-110 Point Estimate of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 21 89 57 0-23 6 2-15 8 Not Available Not Available 6 The point estimate of $21 suggested above is derived from the midpoint of the range of possible dollar savings from avoided rate subsidies presented by Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) for the Low-Income Weatherization Program operated by PG&E. The savings estimate was calculated by taking the average rate subsidy received by participating households and multiplying it by the amount (in percentage terms) by which participants' energy use is likely to be reduced. We then adjusted this amount downward, as described above, to make it represent the average savings distributed over all low-income customers and not just those receiving rate discounts. Lower Bad Debt Write-off When customers cannot pay all or part of their bils for an extended period of time, the utilty might have to write off the unpaid portion as bad debt. When the occupants of weatherized units experience reductions in their utilty bils, they are better able to make their payments and the amount of bad debt written off is likely to decrease. Actually, there are two parts to this reduction in bad debt: a decrease in the average size of bad debt written off and a decline in the number of such accounts. The range of possible dollar benefits presented in the literature for lower bad debt write- off was extremely broad, with a minimum NPV of $15 and a maximum of $3462 (Table 2). Although one very high value was noted, all the other benefit levels described in the literature clustered at the lower end of the range. We suggest a point estimate of $89, based on the findings from a well-designed study of the nonenergy benefits resulting from Public Service Company of Colorado's Energy $avings Parters Program (Magouirk 1995). That study measured the post-weatherization reduction in the amount of bad debt written off by participating households. In addition, the decrease in the number of accounts that were written off was measured. The two factors combined yielded the $89 NPV reported above. That number is near the high end of the range suggested by Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) for two California low-income programs but at the low end ofthe range suggested in an extensive study of the values of nonenergy benefits conducted for the state of California (TecMRKT Works et aL. 2001). Reduced Carrying Cost on Arrearages Weatherization programs lower energy consumption for participating customers, thereby reducing the size of their energy bils and making it possible for them to pay a larger portion of those bils. This in turn reduces the amount of customers' bils that are in arrears. As these arrearages decline, the carring costs borne by utilties (i.e., the interest on the amount in arrears) are also reduced. According to the literature reviewed, the net present value of this benefit ranges from $4 to $110 (Table 2). As a point estimate, we chose $57, which is the midpoint of the savings calculated by Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) for two low-income programs in California. (PG&E's Low-Income Weatherization Program and its Venture Partners Pilot Program). The Skumatz and Dickerson study calculated savings based on likely program-induced reductions in 7 arrearage balances, the magnitude of pre-weatherization arrearages in eligible households, and prevailng interest rates. Fewer Notices and Customer Calls As noted above, households that receive weatherization services tend to lower their energy consumption as a result, leading to lower energy bils, which are easier for them to pay. Consequently, utilties are required to send out fewer notices in response to late payments and wil receive fewer customer calls regarding these situations. All of this results in a savings to utilties for staff time and materials. As shown in Table 2, the NPV of this benefit reported in the literature ranges from $0 to $23. Our suggested point estimate is $6, which is at the high end of the range suggested by Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) but toward the lower end of the full range of benefits reported when other studies are included. The monetized benefits reported here represent a combination of the numbers calculated separately for late payment notices and for customer calls. An 18% reduction in the number of notices and calls was assumed, based on previous empirical findings on the incidence of reductions in the number of accounts written off for bad debt as a result of weatherization efforts (Magouirk 1995). This was multiplied by the annual cost per household of notices and customer calls to produce an estimate of savings per participant. Fewer Shut-offs and Reconnections for Delinquency As explained above, weatherized households are less likely to fall behind on their bil payments, meaning that they are less likely to have their utilty service cut off for nonpayment. Because utilties incur costs to disconnect customers and to reconnect those households in the future, they experience a monetary savings as the result of customers being better able to pay their bils and retain service. The net present value of this benefit ranges from $2 to $15 (Table 2). As a point estimate, we chose $8, which is the midpoint of the range of potential savings calculated by Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) for two PG&E low-income programs. This value is also very close to the benefits reported in several other studies of low-income weatherization efforts. The savings reported here were estimated based on the weatherization-induced reduction in the incidence of disconnections and the estimated costs of service shutoff and the portion of reconnection costs not covered by the customer. Reduced Collection Costs If fewer customer payments are delinquent, utilties spend less time and resources trying to collect what is owed them. However, it can be diffcult to separate these reduced collection costs from the benefit associated with fewer late notices and customer calls, discussed above. A few of the reports reviewed for this study estimated collection costs per incident but did not put this in terms of the dollar value per all weatherized households. Because of the current lack of reliable estimates for this benefit, we wil not attempt to assign it a monetary value. 8 2.2 SERVICE PROVISION BENEFITS Fewer Emergency Gas Service Calls As part of the home weatherization process, deteriorating or malfuctioning gas appliances can be serviced or replaced and new connectors can be installed. This proactive service reduces the subsequent need for utilties to make emergency service calls when appliances or connectors break or malfunction. By avoiding these emergency calls, utilties save staff time and resources, which constitutes a monetary benefit. The literature reports that the NPV of this benefit ranges from $77 to $394. However, because this benefit can only occur where houses are fueled by natural gas, the reported values must be adjusted downward if they are to describe the nation as a whole. To reflect the fact that 50.9% of U.S. households are heated by natural gas (U.S. Energy Information Administration 2000), the numbers reported above were multiplied by 0.509, yielding an adjusted range of $39 to $201 for this benefit, as shown in Table 3. We suggest $101 as a reasonable point estimate. This number is at the midpoint of the range of values reported by Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) for two PG&E low-income programs and near the midpoint reported in the TecMRKT Works (2001) study (after their adjustment to reflect natural gas usage). The range of numbers reported in the Skumatz and Dickerson paper were calculated based on plausible ranges of service call costs and weatherization-induced reductions in the incidence of such calls (which dropped from 27% of households before weatherization to only 7% afterward, according to Magouirk, 1995). Nonenergy Benefit Fewer emergency gas service calls T &D loss reduction Table 3. Ratepayer Benefits: Service Provision Range of Benefits Point Estimate of Benefis (in 2001 $ per participating (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) household: Net Present Value) 39 - 201 101 Insurance savings 33-80 0-2 48 1 Transmission and Distribution Loss Reduction As a natural consequence of transporting electric power along transmission and distribution lines, a certin amount of energy is lost. These T &D losses are borne by the responsible utilty and its customers. Because weatherization programs cause reductions in household electricity use, they likewise reduce the amount of electricity that must be transported and this results in a decrease in the T &D losses that occur. These savings often occur even in dwellngs that are not electrically heated, because electricity usage for a number of purposes (e.g., furnace fans and pumps, air conditioning, lighting) can be affected by home weatherization measures. 9 The net present value ofT&D loss reductions reported in the literature range from $33 to $88 (Table 3). Our suggested point estimate is $48, the midpoint of the possible benefit values reported by Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) for PG&E's Low Income Weatherization and Venture Partners Pilot Programs. The monetized value of the T&D losses reported here were calculated by multiplying the percentage of power that is typically lost through transmission and distribution (approximately 10%) by the avoided cost of power. Insurance Savings To the extent that the services performed by weatherization programs include the fixing of gas leaks and the repair or replacement of faulty appliances, the result is likely to be a reduction in the risk of household explosions and fires. This, in tum, would tend to lower the utilty's insurance costs. Such cost savings are expected to occur whether the utilty is self- insuring or buys coverage from another company. The net present value of this benefit ranges from $0 to $2 (Table 3). As a point estimate, we chose $1, which is the midpoint of this range of potential savings values. The savings in insurance expenses reported here were estimated based on the magnitude of claims made in a typical year and the risk reduction associated with weatherization efforts. Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) assumed that the reduction in claims would fall by roughly the same factor that gas emergency calls would be reduced, as reported by Magouirk (1995). 10 3. BENEFITS TO HOUSEHOLDS Low-income households that participate in weatherization programs are the recipients of two different types of nonenergy benefits. Point estimates of the average lifetime value of each are provided in Fig. 2. First, there are benefits that relate in some way to the affordabilty of low-income housing. These include: (1) water and sewer savings; (2) property value benefits; (3) avoided shut-offs and reconnections; (4) reduced mobility; and (5) reduced transaction costs. The other type of household benefit concerns the safety, health, and comfort of residents and has three components: (1) fewer fires; (2) fewer ilnesses; and (3) improved comfort and related factors. Each of these household benefits is discussed in its own section, below. Point Estimate (2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 o 783 123 i~~ -l0 ~0~0 ~0 ~~ tlo~~ ~~'l~l:~~0 v:0'l~0 ~0~'kO'C t?'l(p~ Fig. 2. Average Lifetime Monetary Value of Household Benefits, by Type 11 3.1 AFFORDABLE HOUSING BENEFITS Water and Sewer Savings Many of the homes serviced by a weatherization program receive low-flow showerhead and faucet aerator retrofits as part of the package of energy-effciency measures installed. In addition to saving energy, these measures result in reduced household water use. Accordingly, households receiving these services save money on their water bils and, because sewer charges are generally based on the amount of water consumption, on their sewer bils as well. A number of different estimates of the magnitude of water and sewer savings was presented in the literature reviewed for this study. Although most of those estimates were presented in terms of annual savings per household, they are presented here in terms of their net present value over the lifetime of the measures installed. The NPV of these savings ranges from $62 to $1607 (Table 4). Our best current estimate for this benefit is $271 but, as explained previously, there is substantial uncertinty associated with any point estimate made for the entire low-income Weatherization Assistance Program. Table 4. Household Benefits: Affordable Housing Nonenergy Benefit Water and sewer savings Propert value benefits t Avoided shut-offs and reconnections Range of Benefits (in 2001 $ per partcipating household: Net Present Value) 62-1607 0-5413 0-52 Point Estimate of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 271 180 17 Reduced mobilty 0-1460 Reduced transaction costs 0-131 t occurs one time only in year weatherization is performed 278 37 The point estimate of$271 suggested above is based on information provided by Skumatz (2001) on average annual water savings per participating household resulting from the installation of faucet aerators and low-flow showerheads. This average household savings number was multiplied by the mean cost per gallon of water nationwide (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 1997). The resulting number was updated to 2001 dollars using the multiplier suggested by the Consumer Price Index (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2001). Propert Value Benefits In many cases, weatherization programs make some strctural repairs and improvements to the houses they service in addition to installng energy effciency measures. The strctural improvements that are provided typically increase the propert value of the homes receiving 12 them. This represents a monetary benefit for the affected households that goes beyond the dollar savings associated with the energy effciency improvements that are made. In addition, structural repairs can extend the useful lifetime of the affected dwellngs and preserve the existing stock of affordable low-income housing. According to the literature reviewed, the propert value increase associated with home weatherization ranges from a minimum net present value of $0 to a maximum of $5413 (Table 4). Although one document (Riggert et a1. 1999) suggests using the high value shown at the top of the range, all the other articles and reports reviewed for this study present values that cluster around the lower end of the scale. Those lower values are typically based on the assumption that the propert value increase is equal to the cost of strctural repairs made to the home in question. We suggest a point estimate of $180 for this benefit, based on the findings of the national weatherization evaluation (Brown et a1. 1993). That study found that, in 1989, the average amount spent on materials for structural repairs nationally was $126. By adjusting that figure to 2001 dollars using the multiplier of 1.428 suggested by the Consumer Price Index (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2001), we get the $180 noted above. Avoided Shut-offs and Reconnections As explained in Chapter 2, weatherization programs result in decreased energy consumption for the homes serviced and this, in tum, means lower energy bils. Accordingly, weatherized households are less likely to fall behind on their bil payments and are less likely to have their utilty service shut off for nonpayment. By avoiding service terminations, low-income customers experience a two-fold benefit. First, they get to retain the full use of their dwellng unit, the value of which is equivalent to the rent that would be "lost" if it were paid for a house (or portion of a house) that was unusable due to the lack of utility service. Also, the affected customers avoid having to pay a subsequent restart fee. While some authors include the perceived "value of service" experienced by the customer (i.e, how much it is worth to the customer to avoid a service disruption) as an additional benefit, this measure is not included here because of the diffculty of objectively assigning a dollar value to it. The values for avoided shut-offs and reconnections presented in the literature range from $0 to $52 (Table 4). These numbers exclude the "value of service" benefit described in some studies, as noted above. A reasonable point estimate for this benefit is $17, which represents the upper end of the range given by Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) for lost rental value and cost to restart in their study of PG&E's Venture Partners Pilot Program. This value is considered reasonable to use here because a newer study (TecMRKT works et a1. 2001) suggests a somewhat higher value for this benefit, putting the $ 1 7 figure roughly in the middle of the full range. Skumatz and Dickerson calculated lost rental value based on the likely reduction in termination rates and the assumed rent for a housing unit over a limited shut-off period. The cost to restart service was based on the projected reduction in termination rates and the restart costs per household, which include a reconnection fee and the value of lost work time. 13 Reduced Mobility When household energy costs are high, less money is available for other purposes, including paying rent or making mortgage payments. This can be especially diffcult for low-income households, where funds are very limited. In some cases, high energy costs can lead occupants to voluntarily move out of their current dwellng in favor of one with lower energy bils. In other instances, households with insuffcient funds to cover all their expenses can be evicted for a failure to make housing payments or can be forced to move after utilty service is discontinued. While the freedom to choose to be mobile is generally considered desirable, the mobilty discussed here is associated with economic hardship and a lack of options. This kind of mobilty, which is characterized by frequent and unwanted moves, can have the side effect of increasing school drop-out rates in the affected households. In tum, this can lead to a lifetime of lower earnings for those who prematurely terminate their education. By lowering household energy bils, weatherization programs can reduce mobilty, thereby preventing some youth from dropping out of school and increasing their earning potentiaL. That increase in earnings is a monetary benefit of weatherization that can be quantified. The values for reduced mobilty presented in the literatue range from $0 to $1,460 (Table 4). Our suggested point estimate for this benefit is $278, which is the average of the point estimates presented by Skumatz (2001) for two different low-income weatherization programs. Skumatz calculated the value of reduced mobilty based on: (1) the estimated effect of weatherization efforts on reducing the school drop-out rate; and (2) the estimated difference in lifetime earnings between high school graduates and drop-outs. Reduced Transaction Costs If they were not served by a weatherization program, some low-income households might choose to install certain energy-efficiency measures on their own. However, to do so, they would first have to become familar with the needed retrofit measures and locate the necessary materials. The time and effort required for that represent a set of "transaction costs" for low-income households, and avoiding those transaction costs amounts to a benefit for those receiving weatherization services. By assigning a monetary value (approximating minimum wage) to the time saved by participants, the magnitude of transaction costs can be identified. As shown in Table 4, the net present value of reduced transaction costs reported in the literature range from $0 to $131. Our suggested point estimate is $37, the midpoint of the possible benefit values reported by Skumatz and Dickerson (1999) for PG&E's Low Income Weatherization and Venture Parters Pilot Programs. The reduced transaction costs reported here were calculated based on the number of compact fluorescent lamps installed per household under the programs studied and the estimated reduced transaction costs per bulb. That monetized benefit was then doubled to reflect the fact that weatherization programs include many more measures than compact fluorescent bulbs alone. The resulting value seems conservative in light of the fact that home weatherization involves the installation of a number of different products (e.g., insulation, sealants, low-flow showerheads, storm windows, 14 programmable thermostats) which consumers would have to locate and learn about if they were to perform the work themselves. 3.2 SAFETY, HEALTH, AND COMFORT BENEFITS Fewer Fires Many low-income homes have old and poorly-maintained space and water heating systems. These present a risk of fire resulting from gas leaks. Also, low-income households sometimes use dangerous supplemental heat sources like gas grils or electric space heaters, and this is especially problematic in those instances where the primary heating source is disconnected due to nonpayment. Weatherization programs can improve the operation of space and water heating systems and reduce the need for supplemental heating. As a result, fewer fires occur in weatherized homes, and this represents a real benefit to the affected households. The net present value of fewer fires reported in the literature ranges from $0 to $555 (Table 5). We suggest using $68 as a point estimate for this benefit. This value of fewer fires over the lifetime of the weatherization measures installed is based on the anual per household value for this benefit presented by Brown et aL. (1993) in the national weatherization evaluation, adjusted to 2001 dollars using the multiplier suggested by the Consumer Price Index (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2001). The study by Brown et aL. estimated the number of fires prevented by the national Weatherization Assistance Program, using national statistics on the occurrence of fires and fire death rates, and attributed a value to the associated propert damage and deaths based on residential fire-loss statistics and the projected value offuture lifetimt earnings. Table 5. Household Benefits: Safety, Health, and Comfort Nonenergy Benefi Fewer fires Fewer ilnesses Improved comfort and related factors Range of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 0-555 0-2191 Point Estimate of Benefis (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 68 55 Not Available Not Available Fewer Illnesses Some authors have suggested that people living in houses with sufficient and continuous heat during the colder months of the year are likely to get fewer colds. When adults get fewer colds, it means that they experience fewer lost days of work and the accompanying loss of wages. In addition, when children are sick, a parent or guardian often has to miss work to care for them, again at the cost oflost wages. Accordingly, weatherization improvements that result in warmer and less draft homes could lead to fewer ilnesses and the monetary benefits that go 15 along with that. It should be noted that tightening up homes could lead to increases in indoor air pollution and associated ilnesses. However, properly conducted energy audits allow for adequate air changes in the home to minimize this risk. The net present values reported in the literature for fewer ilnesses range from a low of $0 to a high of$219L. We suggest a point estimate of$55. This value was calculated using the method described in Skumatz (2001). Skumatz developed a point estimate for the benefit of fewer ilnesses associated with low-income weatherization efforts, based on survey findings regarding the number of lost workdays avoided and an assumed average wage earned by the affected workers. Improved Comfort and Related Factors Because houses tend to become warmer and less draft after they are weatherized, their occupants are likely to experience increased comfort levels. In addition, the improvements made to homes during the weatherization process often make them less noisy and can improve their appearance. All of these represent benefits that are real but are very difficult to measure objectively. Some innovative work has been performed in this area, most notably in the form of survey research that asks respondents to characterize the value of various nonenergy benefits relative to the energy savings that they have received as a result of program participation (Skumatz et aL. 2000). However, it is not clear whether the values calculated by such approaches, which assign a dollar value to a given benefit based on its perceived importnce to the recipient, are either valid or reliable given the very hypothetical nature of the task set to the respondents. Accordingly, we wil not attempt to assign a dollar value to comfort, noise, and aesthetic benefits at this time. Improved indoor air quality is another benefit associated with weatherization programs. Faulty furnaces can release carbon monoxide into houses, with very negative health effects. Improvements to heating equipment made during the weatherization process can prevent such releases, and the installation of carbon monoxide monitors can alert household occupants to the presence of this dangerous gas. Despite its importance, we wil not attempt to assign a monetary value to the benefit of improved indoor air quality because of the current lack of reliable estimates. Weatherization providers are required to give a booklet on the hazards of lead-based paint (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 2001) to households in which such paint could be present. This booklet presents information on the dangers of lead poisoning and how they can be reduced or eliminated. Because lead can have very adverse impacts on those exposed to it-especially children-educational efforts like the one described above can have the positive effect of protecting the health of household residents. Due to a lack of information on the monetar value of this benefit, we do not attempt to quantify its worth. 16 4.0 SOCIETAL BENEFITS Following the literature, the societal nonenergy benefits attributable to weatherizing low income homes are broken into three categories: environmental, social and economic. Fig. 3 gives point estimates of the average lifetime monetary value associated with each of the three benefit types. The findings distiled from the literature are reported in sub-sections 4.1, 4.2, and 4.3, respectively. Point Estimate (2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 o 1123 ~~"'~0~~t: ~'r:0~~O~tl ~:l;~ ~t: r:tl~0 ~(, o~o~~(J tusing natural gas estimates for air emissions ~il r:0~tl ~~~o Fig. 3. Average Lifetime Monetary Value of Societal Benefits, by Type 4.1 ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS Environmental benefits pertin to how the environment can be improved by weatherizing low income homes. The most frequently studied environmental benefits arise from the reduction of air pollutants due to the reduction in the burning of fossil fuels, either in the home (e.g., natural gas) or at central power stations to produce electricity. Other categories of environmental benefits quantified in the literature include less impingements upon fish around power plant water sources, and reduced water use and, subsequently, less sewage. Table 6 provides ranges and point estimates for these environmental benefits. 17 Nonenergy Benefit Air Emissions - Natural Gas Carbon (C02) Sulfur Oxides (SOx) Nitrogen Oxides (NOJ Carbon Monoxide (CO) Methane (CH4) Particulate Matter (PM) Subtotal Air Emissions - Electricity Carbon (C02) Sulfur Oxides (SOJ Nitrogen Oxides (NOJ Carbon Monoxide (CO) Methane (CH4) Particulate Matter (PM) Subtotal Other Benefits Heavy Metals (air emissions) Fish Impingement Waste Water and Sewage Subtotal Table 6. Environmental Benefits Range of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 40 - 32,189 .02 - 6015 .02 - 2254 .21 - 758 .07 - 269 .01 - 6983 40 - 49,176 167 - 97,857 31 - 40,872 11 - 17,290 36 - 81 .68 - 1.15 .27 -704 246 - 156,805 1.39 - 17,205 23.44 - 23.44 3.36 - 657 28 - 17,885 Point Estimate of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 102 23 48 46 92 9 320 305 92 523 39 .91 14 974 380 23.44 146 549 Totait 68 - 67,061 t uses natural gas estimates for air emissions 18 869 With respect to air emissions, the literature contains a wide range of estimates for several factors that are needed to estimate benefits. These factors include (1) the number of pounds of pollutants emitted per unit of energy service delivered (e.g., Ibs/ mmbtu), (2) average energy savings per weatherized home, (3) reductions in pounds of pollutants emitted per weatherization, and (4) value in dollars associated with reducing units of air pollutants (e.g., $/ton of carbon dioxide emissions reduced). The approach followed to estimate the range of benefits was to take the lowest (highest) value for each factor to calculate the lower (upper) bound. The approach taken to develop a point estimate varied by each type of air emission. In general, mid-range and frequently mentioned estimates were used. Sources used for the environmental benefit review include: Brown et a1. (1993), Berr (1997), Skumatz and Dickerson (1997, 1999), Skumatz (2000), Riggert et a1. (1999), Riggert et a1. (2000), Hil et a1. (1999), Burtaw et a1. (1997), Burtraw and Toman (1997), TecMRKT Works et a1. (2001), Biewald et a1. (1995), and National Research Council (2001). The ranges in benefits associated with reducing air emissions are large and arise due to a host of methodological issues. Two key problems are related to choice of benefit estimation method and where studies had been conducted. The former problem is particularly acute with respect to valuing emission reductions. Generally, one of two methodological approaches is taken. One approach is to value emission reductions equal to the value of emission permits that are being traded in an emissions market (or the expected value for such permits if the market does not yet exist). This value approximates the cost faced by emitters for complying with emission reduction regulations. These values are attractive for benefit estimation exercises because they can be documented, if the market exists, or closely estimated, if the market does not yet exist. The market valuation method tends to yield lower values for emission reductions than the second method, which calls for a comprehensive estimation of the benefits associated with emission reductions. In other words, a drawback to using the market values of emissions permits is that these values do not directly encompass important benefits accruable to society from the emissions reductions. For example, the market values do not reflect improvements to human health and ecosystems or decreasing rates of deterioration of the exterior of buildings and other materials exposed to the pollutants. Estimating all these benefits can lead to dramatically higher values for reducing harmful emissions to the air. The large ranges in benefits shown in Table 6 are mostly attributable to studies that adopted one or the other of the two methodologies. It must be noted that adopting a comprehensive benefits estimation methodology also increases the uncertainty in the valuation process because estimating health and ecosystem benefits is extraordinarily diffcult. Because each method has significant strengths and weakness, neither has been universally accepted and wide ranges of benefits estimation can be expected to continue into the foreseeable future. In this study, we tended to favor the market valuation approach when generating point estimates of environmental benefits. Where studies have been done is a second source of variation in the numbers presented in Table 6. This is because spatial factors can greatly impact the reductions in emissions per weatherized home. It is well known that the number of heating degree days, which vary across the country, is tightly correlated with energy savings and, ultimately, with air emission 19 reductions due to weatherization. Thus, findings by studies done in California wil be different from studies done in Vermont; both may not be generalizable to the entire country but a value somewhere in the range probably is. Cooling degree days also vary by climate zone but these savings are usually not included in energy savings estimates, and, conversely, not in air emission reduction estimates. Fuel used for heating also varies across the countr. Studies conducted in areas dominated by natural gas are different than studies done in areas more reliant on electricity. What types of fuels are used to generate electricity are also important, as coal types vary considerably and coal is considerably different from natural gas, for example. Generally, emission reduction estimates do not encompass homes that use multiple fuels for heating (e.g., electricity and wood are common in the Pacific Northwest). Impacts upon other energy end uses, such as air conditioning, are also not incorporated in these analyses. Studies done in limited market areas with unique fuel mixes and climate yield large ranges in results and this is also indicated in the ranges exhibited in Table 6. It should also be noted that the environmental benefits listed in Table 6 are not comprehensive. Categories of environmental benefits not apparently quantified in the literature include reductions in water pollution (e.g., from run-offs from power plant sites, leaching of toxics into the groundwater from mining operations), land use changes (e.g., associated with extraction of natural resources), and solid waste (e.g., fly-ash from electric generation plants). The literature also does not include complete life cycle assessments that would encompass all pollutants associated with each phase of a home heating fuel (i.e., from extraction of raw materials to materials processing to consumption of the fuel to waste disposal issues) to allow comparison with the environmental implications associated with materials used to weatherize homes (e.g., assessing the life cycle emissions -- extraction, processing, manufacturing, transportation, use, and end-of-life disposal of insulation). For example, not included in this analysis are environmental costs associated with the production of fiber glass insulation, epoxy- based window caulking, double-pane windows, and other measures commonly installed in weatherized homes. 4.2 SOCIAL BENEFITS Social benefits represent a catch-all category of benefits attibutable to weatherization that are clearly not environmental or economic. In this sub-section we wil focus on one such benefit that is discussed in the literature and for which the effects have been monetized: avoided unemployment benefits. This refers to the employment of people in the course of weatherizing homes who would have been unemployed otherwise. Sources for these benefits include Brown et aL. (1993), Skumatz and Dickerson (1999), and Riggert et aL. (1999). Other social benefits which have not been monetized include: social equity (Berr et aL. 1997, National Consumer Law Center 1999), and improvement in community pride through improvement in the local housing stock. 20 The range for avoided unemployment benefits (Table 7) was developed by using the low and high estimates found in the literature. To establish a point estimate, the value reported by Brown et aL. (1993) was adjusted to 2001 dollars based on the Consumer Price Index (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2001). Factors that impact the reliabilty of estimated benefits include the availability of jobs in various areas of the countr and over time. In areas having numerous job opportunities, it is harder to argue that there are avoided unemployment benefits. However, since low income weatherizations are often conducted in economically distressed communities that typically do not benefit from national or even regional upturns in the economy, it can be more strongly argued that avoided unemployment benefits are valid. Table 7. Social Benefits Nonenergy Benefit Range of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 0-183 Point Estimate of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 117Avoided Unemployment Benefitst t occurs one time only in year weatherization is performed 4.3 ECONOMIC BENEFITS Weatherizing low income homes can yield a variety of economic benefits. One group of benefits is related to spending money on weatherization. These expenditures can directly result in new jobs and increases in personal income which can translate into increases in federal income tax collections. Additionally, weatherization expenditures can impact the local economy as a portion of every dollar prevented from leaving the community to import energy is spent within the community. This is known as the multiplier effect. Most studies only focus on the impacts within economically distressed areas and do not address the broader economy, where jobs and incomes may be lost, for example in energy production and distribution operations. Given the scale and scope of the energy production and distribution industries and the fact that energy consumption has continued to increase over time, it is highly unlikely that any job losses in those industries can be attributed to weatherization activities. Of course, saving energy has national security implications, too, by reducing the need for energy imports. Lastly, it has been hypothesized that owners of rental units may benefit from the weatherization of rental units if the low income households save enough money on energy bils to better be able to pay their monthly rents. Table 8 contains ranges and estimates for the economic-related factors listed above. Sources for these estimates include the Weatherization Network (1999), Nevin et aL. (1998), Brown et aL. (1993), TecMRKT Works et aL. (2001), Riggert et aL. (1999), Skumatz and 21 Dickerson (1997), Skumatz (2001 and 1998), Berr et aL. (1997), Hil et aL. (1998), RPM Systems (1995), Galvin (1999), National Research Council (2001), and Offce of Transportation Technology (2001). Table 8 indicates that the direct and indirect economic benefits of low income weatherization programs can be quite significant. Table 8. Economic Benefits Nonenergy Benefit Range of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 115 - 4354 Point Estimate of Benefits (in 2001 $ per participating household: Net Present Value) 801Direct and Indirect Employmentt Lost Rental 0-2.19 75 - 3286 1.14 321National Security Total 190 - 7642 1123 t occurs one time only in year weatherization is performed Numerous factors impact the validity of the estimates contained in Table 8. As discussed above, the availabilty of jobs in an area impacts the job creation and increased federal benefits. The degree to which a local economy is sheltered from needing to import goods and services wil impact the local multiplier effect, and housing availabilty wil impact the lost rental benefit. 22 5. SUMMAY AND CONCLUSIONS Table 9 summarizes the results of the literature review presented in the preceding three chapters. Overall, societal benefits are estimated to be substantially larger than ratepayer and household benefits. Ranges for the societal benefits are also much greater than for the other two categories of nonenergy benefits. The total point estimate for nonenergy benefits in all categories associated with weatherizing a home is $3346, in 2001 dollars. As explained in Chapter 1, this represents a national average figure which, like any point estimate, has substantial uncertainty Nonenergy Benefit Category/Subcategory Ratepayer Benefits Payment-Related Benefits Service Provision Benefits Table 9. Summary of Benefits for Each Major Category and Subcategory Range of Benefits (in Point Estimate of 2001 $ per participating Benefits (in 2001 $ per household: Net Present participating household:Value) Net Present Value) Total for this Category 27-3680 72-283 99-3963 181 150 331 Household Benefits Affordable Housing Benefits Safety, Health, and Comfort Benefits Total for this Category 62-8663 783 0-2746 62-11,409 123 906 Societal Benefits Environmental Benefits Social Benefits Economic Benefits Total for this Category 68-67,061 869 0-183 117 190-7642 1123 258-74,886 2109 419-90,258 3346Total for All Benefit Categories associated with it. Actual benefits wil be higher or lower in specific households and locales based on what programs exist, what fuels are used, the magnitude of energy savings, and other factors. More important than the precise dollar figures is the indisputable fact that nonenergy 23 benefits represent a significant addition to the energy savings benefit achieved by the Weatherization Assistance Program. The point estimate for total nonenergy benefits given above is substantially higher than the total value presented a decade ago in ORN's national weatherization evaluation (Brown et aI. 1993). The magnitude of all nonenergy benefits discussed in that study, when adjusted for inflation, is $1394 in 2001 dollars. The difference between that figure and the $3346 reported in this document is due almost entirely to the fact that our study quantified a much broader array of nonenergy benefits than was addressed in the earlier work. For instance, the only ratepayer benefit discussed in the national evaluation was the reduced carring cost on arrearages. In contrast, our treatment of this topic also included avoided rate subsidies, lower bad debt write-off, fewer emergency gas service calls, transmission and distribution loss reduction, and several other factors. Similarly, our examination of household benefits included a number of factors-such as water and sewer savings, reduced mobilty, and fewer ilnesses-that were not considered in the earlier work. In the realm of societal benefits, our values are very similar to those presented in the earlier study for both social and economic factors. For environmental benefits, the values reported in this document are substantially higher than those presented in the earlier report but, once again, this is largely due to our treatment of additional factors. While Brown et aI. only assessed the benefits of reductions in two types of air emissions, sulfur dioxide (S02) and NOx, our study looked at a variety of other air emissions (e.g., CO2, CO, CH4) plus other environmental factors such as heavy metals and fish impingement. An additional explanation for the difference between the value of environmental benefits reported in the two documents is that our study was based on an updated, and substantially higher, amount of average household energy savings, which directly affects the magnitude of emissions reductions. In all nonenergy benefit categories, where our report dealt with the same specific benefits addressed by Brown et aI., our values tended to be very similar. The combined net present value of $3346 for all nonenergy benefit categories compares to an average net present value of energy savings of $3174 and an average total cost per weatherization of$I779, once again in 2001 dollars. The energy savings figure is based on the value of savings for houses heated by natural gas taken from a meta-evaluation of the Weatherization Assistance Program performed by ORN (Berry et aI. 1997) to update findings from the national evaluation. The value of annual energy savings reported in that study was inflated to account for future energy prices using long-term projections developed by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (2001) and discounted using the discount rate recommended by the Office of Management and Budget. The figure used here for weatherization costs represents total costs (including labor and materials as well as program overhead and management) for the average weatherized dwellng and was generated by taking the most recent available information from the Weatherization Assistance Program's grants management data system and adjusting the average cost per weatherized unit to 2001 dollars using the Consumer Price Index multiplier. It is important to note that total estimated non energy benefits are slightly greater than the value of energy savings over the lifetime of the weatherization measures installed. The benefit/cost ratio for gas-heated houses, combining both energy and nonenergy benefits and 24 comparing that figure to total costs (labor, materials, and overhead) for the average weatherized horne, is approximately 3.7, meaning that $3.70 in benefits are realized for every dollar spent. This comparison of all benefits to all costs is referred to as the "societal perspective." Low and high values for the societal benefit/cost ratio, using low and high nonenergy benefit estimates, are 2.0 and 52.5, respectively. Whatever assumptions are made, the total estimated value for all nonenergy benefit categories combined is lower than it could be, because the estimate does not contain some benefits that have not been monetized. It must also be noted that there are numerous uncertainties in the estimates reported above. The environmental benefit calculations in particular are subject to wide ranges in assumptions about air emissions prevented per weatherized horne and the dollar values associated with reducing each air pollutant. In addition, nonenergy benefits in many different categories are likely to vary widely by climate, fuel type, and local economic conditions. In general, our point estimates are conservative and tend to be much closer to the lower than the upper end of the full range of values presented in the literature. Potentially important future research projects on the subject of nonenergy benefits include the following: assessing subjective nonenergy benefits that participants receive from weatherization (e.g., improved comfort); following a panel of weatherized homes over time to assess the benefits of weatherization provided to successive occupants; and conducting comprehensive life cycle assessments to better understand all the environmental benefits and costs associated with energy use reductions and installation of energy effciency measures. 25 6. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We wish to acknowledge two major sources for this literature review. The first source is the compendium of high quality work performed in this area over the last several years by Lisa Skumatz and several of her collaborators. The second extremely helpful source is the meta-study conducted by Jeff Riggert and his colleagues in 1999. In addition, we would like to thank Linda Berr and Joel Eisenberg for providing help and encouragement throughout the course of this project and for their valuable comments on this report. 27 7. REFERENCES Berr, L. 1997. State-Level Evaluations of the Weatherization Assistance Program in 1990-1996: A Metaevaluation That Estimates National Savings, ORNL/CON-435, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, January. Berr, L., Brown, M., and Kinney, L. 1997. Progress Report of the National Weatherization Assistance Program, ORNL/CON-450, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, September. Biewald, B. et al. 1995. Societal Benefits of Energy Effciency in New England, Tellus Institute. Blasnik M.1997. "A Comprehensive Evaluation of Ohio's Low-Income HWAP: Big Benefits for Clients and Ratepayers," 1997 Energy Program Evaluation Conference, Chicago, Ilinois. Brown, M., Berr, L., Balzer, R., and Faby, E. 1993. 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"Finding Methods to Estimate Social Benefits of Low-Income Energy Efficiency Programs," 1994 ACEEE Conference Proceedings, Asilomar, California. Mils, E. and Rosenfeld, A. 1994. "Consumer Non-Energy Benefits as a Motivation for Making Energy-Effciency Improvements," 1994 ACEEE Conference Proceedings, Asilomar, California. National Center for Appropriate Technology 2001. 2000 - 2001 State-by-State Supplements to Energy Assistance and Energy Effciency, Compiled by the LIHEAP Clearinghouse. ww.ncat.org/liheap/tables/stsupup2.htm. National Consumer Law Center 1999. Analysis of Low-Income Benefits in Determining Cost- Effectiveness of Energy Effciency Programs, Draft, March 18. National Research Council200L. Energy Research at DOE: Was It Worth It? National Academy Press, Washington, DC. Nevin, R. and Watson, G. 1998. "Evidence of Rational Market Valuations for Home Energy Efficiency." The Appraisal Journal. p. 403. Offce of Transporttion Technology 2001. OTT Program Analysis Methodology: Quality Metrics 2002, U.S. Departent of Energy, Washington, DC, May 9. Pigg, S., Dalhoff, G., and Gregory, J. 1995. "Measured Savings from Iowa's Weatherization Program," 1995 Energy Evaluation Conference, Chicago, Ilinois. Pye, M. 1996. Energy Effciency Programs for Low-Income Households: Successful Approaches for a Competitive Environment, ACEEE, Washington, DC, August. Riggert, J., Hall, N., Reed, J., and Oh, A. 2000. "Non-Energy Benefits of Weatherization and Low-Income Residential Programs: The 1999 Mega-Meta-Study," 2000 ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Buildings Conference Proceedings, 8.305. 30 Riggert, J., Oh, A., Hall, N. P., Reed, J. H. 1999. An Evaluation of the Energy and Non-energy Impacts ofVermonts Weatherization Assistance Program, TecMRT Works. Oregon, WI. November. RPM Systems, Inc. 1995.1994 Filng With Pennsylvania Public Utilty Commission, New Haven, CT. Sheehan, M. 1994. Energy Effciency and the Low-Income Consumer: Planning, Designing and Financing, Fisher, Sheehan and Colton, Belmont, MA, October. Skumatz, L. and Dickerson, C. 1997. "Recognizing All Program Benefits: Estimating the Non- Energy Benefits ofPG&E's Venture Partners Pilot Program (VPP)," 1997 Energy Evaluation Corierence, Chicago, Ilinois. Skumatz, L. and Dickerson, C. 1998. "Extr! Extra! Non-Energy Benefits Swamp Load Impacts for PG&E Program!" 1998 ACEEE Corierence Proceedings, Asilomar, California. Skumatz, L. and Dickerson, C. 1999. "What Do Customers Value? What Benefits Utilties? Designing to Maximize Non-Energy Benefits form Efficiency Programs in the Residential Sector," 1999 Energy Program Evaluation Corierence, Denver, Colorado. Skumatz, L., Dickerson, C., and Coates, B. 2000. "Non-Energy Benefits in the Residential and Non-Residential Sectors-Innovative Measurements and Results for Participant Benefits," 2000 ACEEE Corierence Proceedings, Asilomar, California. Skumatz, L. 2000. Non-Energy Benefits Analysis for Selected PG&E Residential Programs, Skumatz Economic Research Associates, Inc. Seattle, Washington, February. Skumatz, L. 2001. Non-Energy Benefits (NEBS): Understanding and Measuring All Net Program Benefits, Draft, Skumatz Economic Research Associates, Inc., Superior, Colorado, March. TecMRKT Works, Skumatz Economic Research Associates Inc., and Megdal Associates 2001. Low Income Public Purpose Test (LIP PT) 3rd Technical Memorandum, Draft. U.S. Energy Information Administration 2000. Type of Heating in Occupied Housing Units, Selected Years, 1950 -1999. ww.eia.doe.gov/emeu/aer/txt/tab0207.htm. u.S. Energy Information Administration 2001. Annual Energy Outlook 2002 with Projections to 2020, DOEÆIA-0383 (2002), Washington, DC, December. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 1997. Community Water System Survey, Volume 1: Overview, EPA 815-R-97-001, Washington, DC, January. u.S. Environmental Protection Agency 2001. Protect Your Family from Lead in Your Home, EPA747-K-99-001, Washington, DC, September. 31 Vermont Energy Investment Corporation 1995. Impact Evaluation of the 1993-1994 Vermont Weatherization Assistance Program, December 22. Weatherization Network 1999. Weatherization Plus: Opportunities for the 2¡st Century, Milennium Committee Report. ORN/CON-484 INTERNAL DISTRIBUTION 1. L. G. Berr 2. M. A. Brown 3. W. G. Craddick 4. T. R. Curlee 5-22. M. T. Eady 23. J. F. Eisenberg 24. E. C. Fox 25. M. B. Gettings 26. S. G. Hildebrand 27. M. Schweitzer 28. R. B. Shelton 29. B. E. Tonn 30-32. ESD Library 33. ORN Central Research Library 34. ORNL Laboratory Records-RC EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION 35. Mr. Kevin Abbott, Community Action Agency of Northeast Alabama, P.O. Box 1487, Rainsvile, AL 35986. 36. Mr. Robert Adams, National Association for State Community Service Programs, 400 N. Capitol Street, NW, Suite 395, Washington, DC 20001. 37. Mr. Eric Beaton, U.S. DOE Boston Regional Offce, Weatherization Program Manager, JFK Federal Building, Room 675, Boston, MA 02203-0002. 38. Ms. Beth M. Cahall, U.S. DOE Philadelphia Regional Offce, Weatherization Program Manager, 1880 John F. Kennedy Boulevard, Suite 501, Philadelphia, PA 19103-7483. 39. Mr. James Childs, U.S. DOE, EE-42, Room: 5£-066, Offce of Technology Assistance, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20585. 40. Mr. Rob DeSoto, U.S. DOE Golden Regional Offce, Weatherization Program Manager, 1617 Cole Boulevard, Golden, CO 80401. 41. Ms. Jean M. Diggs, U.S. DOE, EE-42, Room: 5£-080, Office of Technology Assistance, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20585. 42. Mr. Jerome Dion, U.S. DOE, EE-40, Room: 5£-052,1000 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20585. 43. Mr. Denis J. Feck, U.S. DOE, EE-42, Room: 5£-098, Offce of Technology Assistance, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20585. 44. Ms. Carole Gates, U.S. DOE Seattle Regional Office, Weatherization Program Manager, 800 Fifth Avenue, Suite 3950, Seattle, W A 98104. 45. Mr. John Howat, National Consumer Law Center, 77 Summer Street, 10th Floor, Boston, MA 02110-1006. 46-55. Ms. Gail N. McKinley, U.S. DOE, EE-42, Room: 5£-080, Offce of Technology Assistance, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20585. 56. Mr. Jerrold Oppenheim, 57 Middle Street, Gloucester, MA 01930. 57. Mr. Michael Peterson, U.S. DOE Chicago Regional Offce, Weatherization Program Manager, One South Wacker Drive, Suite 2380, Chicago, IL 60606. 58. Dr. Meg Power, Economic Opportunity Studies, 444 N. Capitol Street, Suite G-80, Washington, DC 20001. 59. Mr. Gregory M. Reamy, U.S. DOE, EE-42, Room: 5£-066, Offce of Technology Assistance, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, DC 20585. 60. Mr. JeffRiggert, TecMRKT Works, 165 W. Netherwood, Oregon, WI 53575. 61. Mr. P. Richard Rittelmann, FAIA, Executive Vice President, Bur Hil Kosar Associates, 400 Morgan Center, Butler, PA 16001-5977. 62. Ms. Bernadette Ruffn, U.S. DOE AtlantaRegional Offce, Weatherization Program Manager, 730 Peachtree Street, NE, Suite 876, Atlanta, GA 30308. 63. Dr. Lisa A. Skumatz, Skumatz Economic Research Associates, Inc., 762 Eldorado Drive, Superior, CO 80027. 64. Mr. David Terr, NASEO, 1414 Prince Street, Suite 200, Alexandria, VA 22314. 65. Dr. Susan F. Tierney, The Economic Resource Group, Inc., One Miffln Place, Cambridge, MA 02138.