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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20050118Hadaway Exhibit No. 4.xlsPages 1-2 \A AUTHORIZED INDICATED RISK PREMIUM INTEREST RATE DIFFERENCE INTEREST RATE CHANGE COEFFICIENT ADUSTMENT TO AVG RISK PREMIUM BASIC RISK PREMIUM INTEREST RATE ADJUSTMENT EQUITY RISK PREMIUM INDICATED COST OF EQUITY SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations Intercept Coefficients t Stat BOND YIELD (1) RETURNS (2) (2) Regulatory Focus, Regulatory Research Associates, Inc. Multiple R ANOVA Regression Residual Total df SS MS F Significance F P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% X Variable 1 Sources: (1) Moody's Investors Service MOODY'S AVG ANNUAL YIELD DURING STUDY MOODY'S AVERAGE PUBLIC UTILITY ELECTRIC AVERAGE INDICATED EQUITY RETURN Risk Premium Analysis PROJECTED AVG UTILITY BOND YIELD 9/2004 PacifiCorp Idaho PPL Exhibit 204 Page of 1980.00 0.13 0.14 0.01 1981.00 0.16 0.15 -4.00E-03 1982.00 0.15 0.16 4.50E-03 1983.00 0.13 0.15 0.02 1984.00 0.14 0.15 0.01 1985.00 0.12 0.15 0.03 1986.00 0.09 0.14 0.04 1987.00 0.10 0.13 0.03 1988.00 0.10 0.13 0.02 1989.00 0.10 0.13 0.03 1990.00 0.10 0.13 0.03 1991.00 0.09 0.13 0.03 1992.00 0.09 0.12 0.04 1993.00 0.08 0.11 0.04 1994.00 0.08 0.11 0.03 1995.00 0.08 0.12 0.04 1996.00 0.08 0.11 0.04 1997.00 0.08 0.11 0.04 1998.00 0.07 0.12 0.05 1999.00 0.08 0.11 0.03 2000.00 0.08 0.11 0.03 2001.00 0.08 0.11 0.03 2002.00 0.08 0.11 0.04 2003.00 0.07 0.11 0.04 0.06 0.11 0.04 0.10 0.13 0.03 0.07 0.10 -0.03 -0.42 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.11 PacifiCorp Idaho Risk Premium Analysis 0.92 0.84 0.83 5.14E-03 25.00 1.00 3.17E-03 3.17E-03 120.08 1.32E-10 23.00 6.07E-04 2.64E-05 24.00 3.78E-03 0.07 3.82E-03 18.43 2.87E-15 0.06 0.08 0.06 0.08 -0.42 0.04 -10.96 1.32E-10 -0.50 -0.34 -0.50 -0.34 Average Utility Interest Rates Equity Risk Premiums Authorized Equity Risk Premiums vs. Utility Interest Rates (1980-9/2004)