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HomeMy WebLinkAboutROS12151.txt 1 BOISE, IDAHO, WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 15, 1993, 9:30 A. M. 2 3 4 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Good morning, let's take 5 up our hearing in Idaho Public Utilities Commission 6 Case IPC-E-92-31. Let's start, as we usually do, with the 7 appearances of the parties. Mr. Orndorff. 8 MR. ORNDORFF: Owen H. Orndorff, Orndorff, 9 Peterson, et al., for Rosebud Enterprises. 10 COMMISSIONER MILLER: And for the Respondent. 11 MR. KLINE: Here on behalf of Idaho Power 12 Company is Bart Kline and Larry Ripley. 13 COMMISSIONER MILLER: And for intervenors. 14 IEP? 15 MR. RICHARDSON: Peter J. Richardson on behalf 16 of the Independent Energy Producers of Idaho. 17 COMMISSIONER MILLER: And PacifiCorp. 18 MR. FELL: James F. Fell of Stoel, Rives, 19 Boley, Jones and Grey on behalf of PacifiCorp, and, 20 Mr. Chairman, with me is John Eriksson who is a member of 21 the Utah Bar and we'd move for his admission for purposes of 22 this proceeding. 23 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, for the 24 purposes of this proceeding, we'll grant that motion. I 25 think there were other parties who had previously 144 CSB REPORTING COLLOQUY Wilder, Idaho 83676 1 intervened. Anybody here today on behalf of the Irrigation 2 Districts. 3 MR. BURLEIGH: Yes, sir, Richard Burleigh of 4 Hawley Troxell Ennis and Hawley on behalf of the Irrigation 5 Districts. 6 COMMISSIONER MILLER: And that's Burleigh? 7 MR. BURLEIGH: Burleigh, B-u-r-l-e-i-g-h. 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Would you spell that one 9 more time, please? 10 MR. BURLEIGH: B-u-r-l-e-i-g-h. 11 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Thank you, 12 Mr. Burleigh. All right, before we proceed to take the 13 testimony, are there any preliminary matters in the nature 14 of motions or objections or other problems? Perhaps we 15 should get the appearance of the Commission Staff, too. 16 Mr. Woodbury. 17 MR. WOODBURY: Scott Woodbury, Deputy Attorney 18 General, for the Commission Staff. 19 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Thank you, and I 20 apologize for overlooking you. 21 MR. RICHARDSON: Just one little matter, 22 Mr. Chairman. I've talked to the Commission Staff, Idaho 23 Power and the Complainant regarding the order of witnesses 24 and all three of those parties have agreed that we could 25 call our witness first given his schedule. He has to be out 145 CSB REPORTING COLLOQUY Wilder, Idaho 83676 1 of town later this morning. With leave of the Chair, I 2 would appreciate that consideration. 3 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, is there any 4 objection to taking Mr. Mooney out of order? If not, that 5 will be our first order of business. Before that, any party 6 desire opening statements of any kind? 7 If not, I think we're prepared to proceed. 8 Mr. Richardson. 9 MR. RICHARDSON: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. The 10 Independent Energy Producers of Idaho calls Robert Mooney to 11 the stand. 12 13 E. ROBERT MOONEY, 14 produced as a witness at the instance of the Independent 15 Energy Producers of Idaho, having been first duly sworn, was 16 examined and testified as follows: 17 18 DIRECT EXAMINATION 19 20 BY MR. RICHARDSON: 21 Q Good morning, Mr. Mooney. Would you please 22 state your name and business address for the record? 23 A My name is Bob Mooney. My business address is 24 1161 West River, Suite 200, Boise, 83702. 25 Q By whom are you employed and in what capacity? 146 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 A I'm currently employed as president of 2 Consolidated Pumped Storage, and also I'm a senior 3 vice president of the parent company Consolidated Hydro. 4 Q Are you the same Robert Mooney who caused 5 prefiled testimony and an exhibit numbered 501 to be filed 6 in this proceeding? 7 A I am. 8 Q Mr. Mooney, if I were to ask you the same 9 questions you were asked in your prepared testimony, would 10 your answers be the same today? 11 A They would. 12 Q And do you have any corrections or additions 13 to make to your testimony? 14 A I do not. 15 MR. RICHARDSON: Mr. Chairman, I would move 16 that the prefiled testimony of Mr. Mooney be spread upon the 17 record as if it were read in full and Exhibit No. 501 be 18 marked for identification purposes. 19 COMMISSIONER MILLER: If there's no objection, 20 we'll spread the testimony on the record as if read and we 21 will mark Exhibit 501. With respect to exhibits, let me 22 inquire whether generally any party anticipates objections 23 to any of the exhibits that have been prefiled. If there 24 are anticipated objections, I would propose to take up the 25 admission of the exhibits as they're offered. If there are 147 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 no anticipated objections, we could simply defer admission 2 until the end of the hearing. 3 All right, with that, then, we'll just mark 4 that exhibit and defer admission until later. 5 (The following prefiled testimony of 6 Mr. Robert Mooney is spread upon the record.) 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 148 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 Q PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUSINESS ADDRESS. 2 A E. Robert Mooney, 1161 W. River 3 Street, Suite 200, Boise, Idaho 83702. 4 Q BY WHOM ARE YOU EMPLOYED AND IN WHAT 5 CAPACITY? 6 A I am President of Consolidated Pumped 7 Storage, a subsidiary of Consolidated Hydro, Inc. of 8 which I am Senior Vice President. Consolidated Hydro 9 operates seven hydro projects in Idaho, five of which are 10 owned by Consolidated Hydro. A copy of my resume is 11 attached as Exhibit No. 501. 12 Q ON WHOSE BEHALF ARE YOU TESTIFYING? 13 A I am testifying on behalf of the 14 Independent Energy Producers of Idaho, also known as the 15 IEPI. 16 Q WHAT IS THE IEPI? 17 A The IEPI is an unincorporated 18 association of businesses interested in the development 19 of cogeneration and small power production facilities 20 which are also known as CSPP. 21 Q WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR TESTIMONY IN THIS PROCEEDING? 22 A First, I want to be clear on what we 23 do not want to do in this proceeding. 24 Q PLEASE EXPLAIN. 25 149 MOONEY, Di IEPI 1 A We are not interested in injecting 2 ourselves into the midst of a dispute between Rosebud and 3 Idaho Power. We are not interested in issues dealing 4 with the level of negotiations between those two 5 companies or the status of the Rosebud facility. 6 Q WHAT, THEN, IS YOUR PURPOSE FOR PARTICIPATING IN THIS CASE? 7 A Our industry depends for its very 8 existence on the regulatory climate this Commission 9 fosters for the purchase by regulated utilities of our 10 product. 11 Q WHY IS THAT? 12 A It is common knowledge that 13 regulated, investor-owned utilities would prefer to build 14 and own their own generating plants than purchase 15 electric power from independent sources. Without this 16 Commission's commitment to the implementation of PURPA 17 through the publishing of administratively determined 18 avoided cost rates, and consistent application of those 19 rates and related contract terms, there would be no 20 independent power industry in the state of Idaho. 21 Q WHY IS IT IMPORTANT FOR THE 22 INDEPENDENT POWER INDUSTRY TO HAVE STABILITY AND PREDICTABILITY IN THE RATES, TERMS AND CONDITIONS THAT 23 ARE ASSOCIATED WITH POWER PURCHASE AGREEMENTS? 24 A The independent power industry is an 25 important contributor to Idaho Power's system. Contrary 150 MOONEY, Di IEPI 1 to the assertions of some, the CSPP industry is a cost 2 competitive provider of new resources on Idaho Power's 3 system. In addition, the CSPP industry provides 4 ancillary public interest benefits that utility owned 5 projects typically do not. 6 Q WHAT ANCILLARY BENEFITS? 7 A For example, a cogeneration project 8 at a food processing plant adds value to the product that 9 the product would not otherwise have, thereby making the 10 Idaho processing plant more competitive. Another example 11 is the small hydro project on a canal drop which makes 12 the water flowing through the canal more valuable and 13 therefore makes the farmer more competitive. Typically 14 utility owned projects do not offer those important 15 ancillary benefits while at the same time providing cost 16 effective, dependable electric power. 17 Q WHAT ARE THE IEPI'S CONCERNS RELATIVE TO THE ROSEBUD PROCEEDING? 18 A It appears to us, from the pleadings 19 that have been filed in this case, that Idaho Power would 20 like to change several fundamental assumptions that 21 underlay the development of avoided cost rates without 22 first obtaining authorization from the PUC. 23 Q WHAT ASSUMPTIONS IS IDAHO POWER 24 ATTEMPTING TO ALTER? 25 151 MOONEY, Di IEPI 1 A Idaho Power's insistence on 2 dispatchability for projects greater than ten megawatts 3 is novel. I do not believe that Idaho Power has ever 4 insisted on such a contract provision in the past for 5 projects greater than ten megawatts. I also do not 6 believe the Commission requires such dispatchability in 7 its PURPA implementing orders. 8 Q WHAT OTHER ASSUMPTIONS IS IDAHO POWER ATTEMPTING TO ALTER WITHOUT FIRST OBTAINING AUTHORIZATION 9 FROM THE PUC? 10 A The calculation of its load resource 11 deficit date. Idaho Power is apparently not using what 12 has come to be known as "Appendix A" (which has been 13 approved by the PUC) for calculating load resource 14 deficit dates and instead is relying on a deficit date 15 other than the one approved by the PUC. 16 Q WHAT IS THE SOURCE OF THAT DATE? 17 A The power company's Resource 18 Management Report and Least Cost Plan. 19 Q WHY DOES THE IEPI OBJECT TO IDAHO POWER'S RELIANCE ON THOSE DOCUMENTS FOR IDENTIFYING ITS 20 LOAD RESOURCE DEFICIT YEAR? 21 A I am not saying the use of a least 22 cost plan or resource management report for purposes of 23 calculating load resource deficit dates is necessarily 24 wrong. 25 152 MOONEY, Di IEPI 1 Q WHEN WOULD IT BE APPROPRIATE TO USE THE RESOURCE MANAGEMENT REPORT AND LEAST COST PLAN FOR 2 CALCULATING IDAHO POWER'S AVOIDED COST RATES. 3 A Only after the Commission has held a 4 hearing for that purpose. In such a hearing we would 5 participate and possibly offer adjustments to those 6 documents that would be appropriate in the avoided cost 7 context that might not be appropriate in the Resource 8 Management Report context. 9 Q WHAT SORT OF ADJUSTMENTS? 10 A Without going into detail I would 11 guess that some of the adjustments we would recommend 12 would be to use a shorter term planning horizon for load 13 growth projections. In addition our expert witness might 14 recommend the elimination of unrealized conservation 15 projections. But those issues are not really our main 16 concern here. 17 Q WHAT, THEN, IS YOUR MAIN CONCERN? 18 A The concern that Idaho Power, or any 19 other utility, can, without going through the PUC and 20 public hearings, change the ground rules for avoided cost 21 contract rates and negotiations. 22 Q WHAT EFFECT DOES IDAHO POWER'S INDEPENDENT ALTERATION OF ITS LOAD RESOURCE DEFICIT DATE 23 HAVE ON THE CSPP INDUSTRY? 24 A The effect is devastating for several 25 reasons. 153 MOONEY, Di IEPI 1 Q WHAT REASONS? 2 A First, and most obviously, Idaho 3 Power chooses to use a deficit date that is into the next 4 century causing a radical reduction in avoided cost 5 rates. 6 Q IS THERE ANOTHER REASON? 7 A Yes, the uncertainty of allowing 8 utilities to, on their own, change the Commission's 9 avoided cost orders and rates is intolerable from a 10 financing and planning perspective. It seems to me that 11 allowing utilities to alter Commission requirements also 12 injects substantial uncertainty in the implementation and 13 administration of avoided cost rates and contracts. 14 Q WHAT IS YOUR RECOMMENDATION? 15 A The Commission should hold Idaho 16 Power accountable by requiring the Company to offer to 17 Rosebud (if it is otherwise entitled to a contract) 18 avoided cost rates and terms that are comparable to the 19 rates and terms it has offered to other greater-than-ten- 20 megawatt QFs and that are consistent with the existing 21 avoided cost methodology. 22 Q DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR TESTIMONY? 23 A Yes. 24 25 154 MOONEY, Di IEPI 1 (The following proceedings were had in open 2 hearing.) 3 MR. RICHARDSON: Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and 4 thank you for your consideration in allowing Mr. Mooney to 5 testify out of order this morning. Mr. Mooney is now 6 available for cross-examination. 7 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Orndorff. 8 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, I have no 9 questions. 10 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right. 11 Mr. Burleigh, do you have questions? 12 MR. BURLEIGH: No, I do not. 13 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Fell. 14 MR. FELL: No questions. 15 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Woodbury. 16 MR. WOODBURY: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 17 18 CROSS-EXAMINATION 19 20 BY MR. WOODBURY: 21 Q Mr. Mooney, beginning on Page 3, around 22 Line 19 of your testimony, you begin to discuss IEP's 23 perception that Idaho Power in this case is attempting to 24 change several fundamental assumptions in avoided cost 25 without a hearing, and on Page 4, Line 1, you talk about, 155 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 you cite its insistence on dispatchability for QFs larger 2 than 10 megawatts. As an example, does IEP have a position 3 with respect to Idaho Power's insistence on dispatchability? 4 A The IEPI has discussed dispatchability at some 5 length. We understand from a utility planning standpoint 6 that dispatchability is desirable. However, in the past, 7 that has not been a requirement, to the best of my 8 knowledge, and it's typical that there is either some 9 compensation given for dispatchability or at least 10 provisions made to cover capital and/or variable costs in a 11 form that permits a dispatchable project to be economically 12 feasible; so it's really the approach to establishing the 13 concept other than in some kind of a general proceeding 14 where we would have a chance to input and comment on those 15 that is really the source of our question at this point. 16 Q You also cite a few lines down the Company's 17 use of its resource management report or, as it refers to it 18 now, its integrated resource plan for calculating 19 load/resource deficit as opposed to the Appendix A which the 20 Commission has approved. Does the IEP have any preference 21 for utilizing either the Appendix A or the IRP for purpose 22 of calculating first deficit date? 23 A Again, at this point it's really our intent to 24 bring up the matter of procedure. We have not studied 25 carefully which one is preferable. It's quite obvious from 156 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 simply looking at the results that what you would come to a 2 conclusion from Exhibit A which is the currently in place 3 methodology versus what you would come to in the IRP are 4 quite different. 5 As a person who participated in the integrated 6 resource planning process as a member of the technical 7 advisory panel, I was unaware that and even had asked 8 questions as to would this be used in terms of looking at 9 either avoided cost, avoided resources and was assured that 10 that was not the case; so ours, again, is one of procedure. 11 If there is a general discussion of which is the approach, 12 there's currently one that's been adopted by the 13 Commission. We think it's appropriate to use that until the 14 Commission changes. 15 Q Would it be fair to summarize IEP's position 16 that you really have no strong objection to either of those 17 changes; however, you feel that there should be a hearing 18 that precedes any adoption of that type of change in 19 methodology? 20 A I wouldn't use we have a strong feeling one 21 way or another. We have not carefully studied the two 22 approaches. We do think that a proceeding is appropriate to 23 adopt changes of that magnitude. 24 Q If the Commission were to utilize the 25 Company's integrated resource plan as a basis for avoided 157 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 cost determination with whatever appropriate adjustments are 2 deemed necessary, what procedure should be followed if the 3 Company wants to change something that affects the rate? 4 Have you given that any thought? 5 A We think the Commission has gone through a 6 process like that in the past and we think one of that 7 nature is appropriate and that would be a consideration of 8 all matters that reflect and have some impact on the setting 9 of the avoided cost and the terms and conditions that would 10 apply to how that is used with individual contracts. 11 Q I'm just having a difficult time hearing you. 12 A Excuse me. 13 COMMISSIONER MILLER: I might say that the 14 court reporter has asked me to remind all the parties to use 15 their microphones and to speak into their microphones. 16 Q BY MR. WOODBURY: On Page 6 of your testimony 17 starting about Line 7, you state that allowing utilities to 18 unilaterally or I think you just might say change, 19 unilaterally change Commission avoided cost orders and rates 20 is intolerable from a financing and planning perspective. 21 Let me ask you, from a planning and financing perspective, 22 is the change any more tolerable if done pursuant to 23 Commission order? 24 A The principal difference that I see as well as 25 other members of the IEPI is that there is a process, there 158 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 is a time frame which things that are currently in the 2 planning process can revolve around. You can bring along 3 bankers and others who are interested in the eventual 4 outcome, investors in projects, whatever, with at least the 5 certainty of some Commission proceeding. As it comes up in 6 a project-by-project basis, it really appears to me to be a 7 very short kind of time frame that's very difficult in the 8 development business to plan with or around and particularly 9 as an entire development or cogen community to react to; so 10 our feeling, again, is that the process needs to be one that 11 is a full Commission process to get the changes like we were 12 talking about that are being proposed. 13 Q You further state that allowing utilities to 14 alter Commission requirements also injects substantial 15 uncertainty in the implementation and administration of 16 avoided cost rates and contracts. Doesn't the Company 17 application requesting a change in Commission requirements 18 also inject an element of uncertainty into the process? 19 A It does. Again, it's more a matter of input 20 and considered change as opposed to a specific proposal by a 21 utility to an individual developer. The Commission has 22 given careful thought to the ones they've done in the past 23 and at least have weathered the test of time. 24 MR. WOODBURY: Thank you, Mr. Mooney. 25 Mr. Chairman, I have no further questions. 159 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Kline. 2 MR. KLINE: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 3 4 CROSS-EXAMINATION 5 6 BY MR. KLINE: 7 Q Mr. Mooney, who are the members of the 8 Independent Energy Producers of Idaho? 9 A The IEPI or Independent Energy Producers of 10 Idaho is a loose coalition of those interested in the 11 cogeneration business. In each particular proceeding before 12 the Commission, it may be comprised of a different set of 13 people with interest in that particular proceeding. In this 14 particular proceeding, we have Basic American Foods, 15 J. R. Simplot Company, Sithe Energy, Consolidated Hydro, 16 LBI, and Intermountain Gas. 17 Q What is your role in the management of the 18 Independent Energy Producers of Idaho? 19 A Again, you give us the benefit of the doubt by 20 saying that there's management in IEPI. It really is an 21 ad hoc collection of those with a particular interest in a 22 case. There is no management, per se. There is no 23 agreement other than to share costs and to discuss the 24 aspects of a case and to, in this instance, I at least 25 agreed to be the policy witness for the group. It just as 160 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 well could have been someone else; so I have no particular 2 position in the group other than my company, Consolidated 3 Hydro, does operate projects in the state and has a 4 considerable interest in how the QF industry does in 5 general. We also have been quite supportive of attempting 6 to look for some other win-win propositions that aren't 7 necessarily of the QF kind of characterization. 8 Q Well, you said that you agree to share costs. 9 Is there an equal sharing of legal costs and those kinds of 10 things among the members? 11 A There is. 12 Q And you're here today, I guess, testifying on 13 policy issues on behalf of the IEPI. In preparing your 14 testimony, with whom did you consult among the members of 15 the IEPI to develop the policy that you're announcing in 16 your testimony? 17 A My recollection is that it was principally 18 shaped from a couple of conference calls that would have had 19 the members or those participating in this case present; so 20 the general thrust of the testimony is that of the 21 collective will of the group. 22 Q In response to a question posed to you by 23 Mr. Woodbury, you discussed the role that dispatchability 24 would play in a contract negotiation and I guess I kind of 25 want to put this in context, Mr. Mooney. What we have here 161 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 is a complaint proceeding in which Rosebud Enterprises is 2 alleging that Idaho Power has failed to negotiate in good 3 faith, and I'm interested in whether it is the position of 4 the IEPI that in a negotiating context is it improper for 5 the utility to talk about the dispatchability of a project 6 within the context of negotiations; is that your position? 7 A The IEPI has not expressed a position in that 8 particular instance. I can offer my viewpoint. 9 Q I'm assuming that you're speaking on behalf of 10 the IEPI? 11 A I'm willing to offer it on behalf of IEPI, but 12 as long as what is currently considered and currently 13 accepted by the Commission, as long as that is one of the 14 alternatives, to discuss other ones I don't believe to be 15 inappropriate. 16 Q The Commission would have to approve all of 17 the things that the utility might conceivably negotiate with 18 an individual large cogenerator prior to that even being 19 placed on the table? 20 A I'm simply saying that since there from our 21 viewpoint is considerable precedence in the form of one or 22 more contracts of greater than 10 megawatt variety that have 23 been put in place that at least from our viewpoint is the 24 standard against -- is as least one of the things that we 25 believe should be offered. Now, should the Company elect to 162 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 offer other things in the process of negotiation, I find no 2 problem with that. 3 Q So the question of dispatchability you think 4 would be a legitimate item of discussion in a negotiation 5 with a thermal project; is that correct? 6 A I don't find it inappropriate as long as you 7 have the backdrop of at least consistency with the procedure 8 and the process that's happened in the past and that it's 9 not an either or, I mean, it's not a take it or leave it. 10 Q All right. Now, you also testified in 11 response to a question by Mr. Woodbury that you had 12 participated in the technical advisory panel that Idaho 13 Power convenes as a part of the development of its 14 integrated resource plan; is that correct? 15 A That is correct. 16 Q Did you participate in all of the meetings, 17 some of the meetings, do you recall? 18 A I would say approximately three-quarters of 19 the meetings. 20 Q All right, and based on your participation in 21 that forum, I guess I would be interested to get your 22 response as to what you think the integrated resource 23 planning process is supposed to do as far as determining and 24 evaluating various resource additions that Idaho Power would 25 make. 163 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 A Again, you would like my viewpoint or what was 2 expressed at the beginning of the IRP process? 3 Q I'd like your viewpoint as to what you think 4 the IRP process that you participated in was designed to 5 do. 6 A It's my understanding that the process would, 7 was something that first was required or at least suggested 8 by the Utilities Commission as an approach that the 9 utilities, the regulated utilities, in the state would 10 follow in looking at the future and it had a variety of 11 implications which I personally and professionally don't 12 necessarily agree with, but such aspects as approach to 13 conservation, approach to externalities, approach to 14 development of resources of a variety of kinds, either 15 Company-owned or independently developed and is an attempt 16 to come up with a least cost plan. I think that was clear 17 from the beginning. 18 The thing that I think was at least somewhat 19 cloudy and remained cloudy, I think perhaps on purpose, was 20 the link or any potential link to what had gone on in the 21 past in the resetting of avoided cost rates, and 22 specifically to that point upon some questions as to if you 23 considered resources, if you considered the avoided cost, 24 choose a number 10 percent above the currently set avoided 25 cost, you choose a number 10 percent below the currently 164 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 avoided cost, how would that influence the resources that 2 might be available that should be considered in the 3 integrated resource plan or the RMR. 4 I think the statement was made that that was 5 not something that was necessarily a matter of the 6 integrated resource planning process. That was a separate 7 venue or approach. The two at some point needed to be 8 reconciled; so at least my observation was, my strong 9 feeling from participating in the meetings was, at some 10 point in the future after some Commission determination and 11 proceeding there may in fact be an integration between what 12 has happened in the past in the avoided cost world and the 13 integrated resource plan or the RMR, that it was really, I 14 would say, convincingly stated that the two were not to be 15 mixed in that process; so that at least is my observation. 16 Q BY MR. KLINE: Just a second. 17 (Off the record.) 18 Q BY MR. KLINE: Again going back, Mr. Mooney, 19 to why we're here, a complaint proceeding from a qualifying 20 facility, 40 megawatts, certainly above the 10 megawatt 21 threshold, in your judgment, is there any question that 22 there is a different procedure that the Commission has 23 initiated or traditionally followed in how utilities will 24 acquire resources larger than 10 megawatts, QF resources? 25 A Would you ask that one more time? 165 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 Q Sure. Is there any question in your mind that 2 the Commission has established a separate and distinct 3 procedure whereby utilities negotiate the acquisition of QF 4 resources larger than 10 megawatts as compared to resources 5 smaller than 10 megawatts? 6 A No, there is not. 7 Q And when you're dealing with a project that's 8 larger than 10 megawatts, what is the process that the 9 utility is supposed to follow? 10 A It's my understanding that the utility is to 11 use what has been established for the less than 10 megawatt 12 administratively-set rate and determine the appropriate 13 considerations in offering something for a resource that 14 would be larger than that category. 15 Q So the larger than 10 megawatt resource is 16 entitled to the same prices as the projects smaller than 17 10 megawatts; is that correct? 18 A It's my understanding that that is to be used 19 for the basis for beginning negotiations. 20 Q If you have that as the ending point, I guess, 21 as far as the rate is concerned, what do you negotiate? 22 A Again, I believe I said that it was the 23 beginning point. If that's the ending point, then it's not 24 too difficult of a negotiation I wouldn't expect. 25 Q I think that's why we're here today, 166 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 Mr. Mooney. Well, all right, if it's the starting point, 2 what are the things that are left to negotiate? 3 A Well, at least as I understand the current 4 process, it would be a consideration of what is the time of 5 need and that has some influence and is one of the things 6 that's currently taken into account in how Exhibit A works 7 to the best of my knowledge, and other things that would 8 relate to the specific treatment that it might receive until 9 such time as it clearly is needed by the utility, and I'm 10 only generally familiar with some of the other ones that 11 have been attempted by the Company in the past, such as 12 Auger Falls; so in general, that's the only one I know is 13 that the timing of need and the adjustment of either 14 Exhibit A or the approach to looking at the value to the 15 Company and particularly what happens in the years before 16 it's absolutely needed. 17 Q As I understand your answer, one of the 18 legitimate issues that could be negotiated between the large 19 QF and the utility is at what point in time does the utility 20 need the resource; is that correct? 21 A That's my understanding and I think that's 22 appropriate. 23 MR. KLINE: I believe that concludes my 24 cross-examination. 25 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right. 167 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 Commissioner Nelson, do you have questions? 2 COMMISSIONER NELSON: Thank you. 3 4 EXAMINATION 5 6 BY COMMISSIONER NELSON: 7 Q One question, Mr. Mooney, you were just 8 discussing the items you would negotiate in a contract. I'm 9 wondering for a project of 40 megawatts, how important is it 10 where it lies on the utility's transmission grid? 11 A I would think that would be very important or 12 the cost of integration be considered. 13 Q Relative to a 10 megawatt project, how 14 important is that? 15 A I would certainly think that there are fewer 16 places you can put a 40 megawatt facility with any kind of 17 reasonable integration cost on the system than 10 and 18 somewhat relative, but closer to the load than farther from 19 the load, but available transmission would be important. 20 COMMISSIONER NELSON: All right, thank you 21 very much. 22 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Commissioner Smith. 23 COMMISSIONER SMITH: Just one, Mr. Mooney. 24 25 168 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (Com) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 EXAMINATION 2 3 BY COMMISSIONER SMITH: 4 Q To the extent that the Idaho Power Company has 5 now filed an avoided cost case, are some of the concerns 6 that you've raised here alleviated in the fact that we now 7 have a process? 8 A That we think is appropriate and, yes, they 9 are. 10 COMMISSIONER SMITH: Thank you. 11 THE WITNESS: What we would like to make sure 12 is that this case doesn't necessarily decide the outcome of 13 that one and we also have, as we've expressed, similar 14 concerns with the other utilities that we not have to appear 15 in multiple proceedings to virtually the same issues. 16 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Redirect. 17 MR. RICHARDSON: Just a couple, Mr. Chairman. 18 19 REDIRECT EXAMINATION 20 21 BY MR. RICHARDSON: 22 Q When you were referring to Exhibit A, both in 23 response to Mr. Woodbury and Mr. Kline, you in fact meant 24 Appendix A; correct? 25 A I'm sorry, I did. Thank you for that 169 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 correction. 2 Q What document, to your knowledge, does this 3 Commission currently use to determine when the utility needs 4 new resources? Is it the Appendix A or is it the integrated 5 resource plan? 6 A Appendix A is my understanding. 7 MR. RICHARDSON: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 8 That's all I have. 9 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Perhaps for the record, 10 I think you could do it, Mr. Mooney, could you more clearly 11 define what is Appendix A and where is it found? 12 THE WITNESS: If I could get some help from 13 Counsel as to a specific description, it might be more 14 accurate. 15 MR. RICHARDSON: Appendix A is the appendix, 16 Mr. Chairman, to the Commission's initial avoided cost order 17 in the Idaho Power Company, I believe it's IPC-E -- I'm not 18 sure of the case number. 19 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Somebody just say the 20 order number for the record. 21 MR. WOODBURY: Commission Order No. 24911 in 22 Case No. IPC-E-93-4 and it's entitled, "Idaho Power Company 23 Energy Load/Resource Balance for Avoided Cost 24 Determination." 25 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, I think that 170 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 helps the record. 2 MR. KLINE: Excuse me, but it also goes on to 3 say for projects smaller than 10 megawatts. 4 COMMISSIONER MILLER: My preference at this 5 point was or the purpose here is merely to identify for the 6 record what that document is. What that document says we 7 will take up at some later time. 8 MR. RICHARDSON: Mr. Chairman, that is in fact 9 the Appendix A that Mr. Mooney has been referring to. 10 THE WITNESS: That is correct. 11 MR. RICHARDSON: Mr. Chairman, that concludes 12 the direct case of the Independent Energy Producers of 13 Idaho. 14 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right. Can 15 Mr. Mooney be excused? 16 MR. KLINE: No objection. 17 MR. ORNDORFF: No objection. 18 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, Mr. Mooney, 19 you're free to stay or go as you wish. 20 THE WITNESS: Thank you. 21 (The witness left the stand.) 22 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, I think we're 23 now ready for the Rosebud case. Mr. Orndorff, how would you 24 like to proceed with the presentation of your case? 25 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, I would propose 171 CSB REPORTING MOONEY (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 IEPI 1 to call my first witness Mr. Roberts. 2 COMMISSIONER MILLER: And some of your 3 witnesses have both direct and rebuttal. Could you tell us 4 your intention with respect to those? 5 MR. ORNDORFF: My intention right now is do 6 rebuttal and direct at the same time. I think it will speed 7 the proceeding up and I don't think we'll lose very much 8 substance if we use that abbreviated form. 9 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, we'll assume 10 there will be no objection to that. For the purpose of 11 planning, I guess my proposal would be to take the Rosebud 12 case, then the PacifiCorp case, then the Staff case, then 13 Idaho Power Company. Would that be agreeable? 14 All right, Mr. Orndorff, let's proceed with 15 your witnesses. 16 MR. ORNDORFF: I'd like to call our first 17 witness Mr. R. Lee Roberts. 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 172 CSB REPORTING COLLOQUY Wilder, Idaho 83676 1 R. LEE ROBERTS, 2 produced as a witness at the instance of Rosebud 3 Enterprises, Inc., having been first duly sworn, was 4 examined and testified as follows: 5 6 DIRECT EXAMINATION 7 8 BY MR. ORNDORFF: 9 Q Mr. Roberts, would you give us your full name 10 and business address? 11 A My name is R. Lee Roberts, 1087 West River 12 Street, Suite 200 in Boise. 13 Q Now, Mr. Roberts, are you the same Mr. Roberts 14 who caused to have certain testimony prepared in this case? 15 A I am. 16 Q Are you sponsoring any exhibits to your 17 testimony? 18 A Only those exhibits that were attached to my 19 testimony when filed. 20 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, I don't believe 21 there are any exhibits that he is sponsoring to his 22 testimony. 23 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Was there an Exhibit 24 No. 5? 25 MR. ORNDORFF: Yes, Mr. Chairman, I'm sorry, 173 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 there is an Exhibit No. 5. It's a rather long document. 2 I'd move to have it marked. 3 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, if there's no 4 objection, we'll mark Exhibit 5 and spread Mr. Roberts' 5 testimony on the record as if it had been read in full. 6 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, may I ask if he 7 has any corrections before we spread? 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Certainly. 9 Q BY MR. ORNDORFF: Do you have any corrections 10 in your testimony, Mr. Roberts? 11 A No, I do not. 12 MR. ORNDORFF: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. With 13 that, I would tender Mr. Roberts for cross-examination. 14 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, thank you, 15 Mr. Orndorff. 16 (The following prefiled testimony of 17 Mr. R. Lee Roberts is spread upon the record.) 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 174 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q Please state your name, business title and 2 business address. 3 A My name is R. Lee Roberts, 1087 W. River 4 Street, Boise, Idaho and I am President of Rosebud 5 Enterprises, Inc. 6 Q Please describe your professional experience. 7 A I serve as a Director, Vice President and 8 General Counsel of Billings Generation, Inc. (BGI) and I am 9 also a Vice President and Director of Rosebud and Rosebud 10 Operating Service, Inc. (ROSI). My principal occupation is 11 as senior partner of the law firm of Roberts and Kerner. 12 Prior to founding Roberts and Kerner, I served as a senior 13 partner of Hanna and Morton, a Los Angeles firm with an 14 energy law practice dating back to its inception in 1915 and 15 prior to Hanna and Morton I was Manager of Fuel Supply 16 Services for Southern California Edison Company. I have 17 been actively involved in all aspects of alternate energy 18 project development since 1978. 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 175 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 Q Please describe the purpose of your testimony. 2 A My testimony generally covers the following 3 topics: 4 (1) A brief summary of Rosebud Enterprises and 5 its affiliated and operating power projects; 6 (2) Why Rosebud believes petroleum coke presents 7 a unique opportunity for obtaining a low cost 8 fuel for generation in Idaho; 9 (3) Other potential fuels; 10 (4) Potential other economic development which 11 could be forthcoming from Rosebud's project; and 12 (5) Several policy concerns I offer the 13 Commission concerning economic development in 14 Idaho and the need for thermal generation in 15 Idaho. 16 I. Rosebud Enterprises 17 18 Q Please describe Rosebud Enterprises. 19 A Rosebud Enterprises, Inc. is an Idaho 20 corporation located in Boise, Idaho. Rosebud was created 21 specifically to serve as a development entity for qualified 22 facilities burning solid fuel similar to the Colstrip 23 facility previously described by Ronald D. Blendu. Rosebud 24 is a closely held private business owned by five individuals 25 of whom both Mr. Blendu and I are included. 176 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 Rosebud and its affiliates presently have the Colstrip 2 facility under operations, the Billings, Montana Yellowstone 3 Energy Limited Partnership project (with an Exxon affiliate 4 as limited partner) under construction, and the Kalamazoo, 5 Michigan project in development with construction now 6 scheduled to start at the James River Power Plant site 7 sometime in mid-1994. In addition, Rosebud affiliates are 8 presently seeking to develop a project at Montpelier, Idaho 9 with PacifiCorp as the purchaser of energy and capacity, and 10 have a contract to build a project at Healy, Alaska with 11 Golden Valley Electric Association of Fairbanks, Alaska. 12 Essentially, Rosebud believes that its solid fuel plants 13 offer a long term new resource for energy and capacity. 14 Rosebud is actively seeking to convince recalcitrant 15 utilities of such benefits and has become accustomed to 16 regulated utilities refusing to select any independent 17 option of a new resource when other higher cost utility 18 options are available. 19 The market place for new resources is generally divided 20 by the debate between providers of natural gas projects and 21 solid fuel technology. While natural gas offers initial 22 lower capital costs to ratepayers and utilities, Rosebud's 23 strategy is to focus on the long term projects without the 24 extreme fuel risk attendant to natural gas projects 25 dependent on gas transmission and price variability as occurred in the early 1980's. 177 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 Q Have your reviewed the costs for circulating 2 fluidized bed (CFB) boilers discussed by Idaho Power in 3 their most recent resource plan? 4 A Yes. Based on Rosebud's actual experience, it 5 is clear to me that Idaho Power was unfamiliar with the CFB 6 technology when their latest resource draft was prepared. 7 Generally, a plant such as Rosebud's Mountain Home facility 8 should cost approximately $1500-$1550 per KW of capacity and 9 the consumption of limestone is not a significant economical 10 factor in the operations of the plant. Other than obtaining 11 financing on a reasonable schedule, Rosebud's understanding 12 is that generally Idaho Power has no right to inquire into 13 project economics. 14 Q Has a Rosebud affiliate recently closed a 15 project development phase and started construction of a 16 project? 17 A Yes, Rosebud's affiliate BGI, recently 18 completed development efforts and construction is presently 19 under way in Billings, Montana. As with the Mountain Home 20 project, the BGI project burns petroleum coke and sells up 21 to 57 MW of capacity and energy to Montana Power Company. 22 The plant also delivers 140,000 pounds of steam per hour to 23 the Exxon refinery. An affiliate of Exxon Corporation is a 24 limited partner with BGI. 25 178 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 Attached as Rosebud Exhibit Number 5 is a copy of the 2 BGI and Yellowstone Energy Limited Partnership (between BGI 3 and the Exxon affiliate) Official Statement with which 4 Morgan Stanley, Inc. acting as the underwriter recently sold 5 $120,000,000 of non-recourse revenue bonds issued by the 6 Montana Board of Investments. I call the Commission's 7 attention to the independent engineers study of combusting 8 petroleum coke which may be helpful in understanding the CFB 9 technology and specifically how it applies to combusting 10 petroleum coke. 11 Unless Idaho laws were altered to permit a similar tax 12 exempt financing, I would expect that Rosebud would attract 13 conventional, taxable equity and bank financing for the 14 Mountain Home project. Given a future need to attract low 15 cost generation to Idaho, the Legislature may in the future 16 opt to amend the tax exempt law to provide similar tax 17 benefits for plants in Idaho instead of allowing neighboring 18 state's tax advantages to produce lower cost resources for 19 their competitive benefit. 20 II. Petroleum Coke 21 Q Please briefly describe petroleum coke. 22 A Petroleum coke is a by-product of refining 23 where what would otherwise be residual fuel oil is 24 converted to a solid to maximize the amount of 25 gasoline a refiner can extract. When 179 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 crude stocks contain significant amounts of sulfur, the 2 petroleum coke as the residue from the refinery process 3 typically has high sulfur content. Such sulfur makes the 4 petroleum coke impossible to burn in a conventional boiler 5 while remaining in compliance with environmental 6 requirements. As Ronald Blendu described in his testimony, 7 CFB technology with injection of limestone allows combustion 8 of higher sulfur fuels in an environmentally acceptable way. 9 Indeed, a CFB is regarded today as "Best Available Control 10 Technology", or BACT. 11 Q Why is petroleum coke economically available 12 to the Mountain Home project? 13 A During the course of developing the BGI 14 project, Rosebud identified additional sources of high 15 sulfur petroleum coke produced in Montana, Wyoming, Canada, 16 and Minnesota which are presently disposed of at significant 17 negative costs to refineries which are presently shipping 18 large quantities of high sulfur coke to Europe and Japan 19 where environmental restrictions are less restrictive. 20 Given Idaho's geographic advantage (avoidance of large 21 transportation costs to overseas markets), Rosebud concluded 22 that a low cost (or zero cost) fuel opportunity may exist in 23 Idaho thereby eliminating the significant transportation coal 24 25 180 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 fuel and transmission costs if an avoided plant was 2 otherwise built at the SAR Wyoming site. After preliminary 3 discussions with representatives of refineries, Rosebud 4 confirmed the potential for low cost fuel but cannot commit 5 to a long term petroleum coke agreement until Idaho Power 6 has agreed to purchase capacity and energy at rates which 7 will support the project. Given the economic advantage to 8 any refinery supplying petroleum coke, it is possible that 9 an affiliate of the refining entity may become a partner in 10 the Mountain Home project similar to BGI's relationship with 11 an Exxon affiliate. Since October of 1992, Rosebud has been 12 seeking an avoided cost consistent with existing rates and 13 to date Idaho Power has refused to make an offer consistent 14 with existing rates offered to Meridian Energy and Auger 15 Falls. 16 III. Other Available Fuel 17 Q If petroleum coke were not available, are 18 there other unmarketable fuels which Rosebud could use at 19 Mountain Home? 20 A Yes, Rosebud has contacted several Montana and 21 Wyoming coal mines and determined that a significant supply 22 of unmarketable waste coal exists which could fuel the 23 Mountain Home project as an alternative to petroleum coke. 24 The project could maintain its QF status under either waste 25 coal or petroleum coke. 181 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 Waste coal is typically created in the mining operations 2 by a strip mine spoiling the top 12-18 inches of a seam to 3 remove ash or sulfur. The spoiled waste is typically 4 deposited in the reclaimed pit by the mine and is otherwise 5 lost for any productive use. Existing boilers such as the 6 Valmy plants cannot use such waste coal because of higher 7 ash and sulfur content. 8 IV. Other Economic Development 9 Q Is there a possibility of attracting 10 additional economic development to Mountain Home if Rosebud 11 obtains a Power Sales Agreement from Idaho Power? 12 A Yes, Rosebud's plant as presently envisioned 13 will be designed only to produce electric energy. However, 14 if Rosebud can obtain a Power Sales Agreement from Idaho 15 Power, Rosebud can minimally alter its design to allow for a 16 slightly larger plant to sell low cost steam to adjacent 17 industries such as the arrangement with the Billings project 18 which is providing low cost steam to the Exxon refinery. 19 By Rosebud obtaining a Power Sales Agreement, Rosebud 20 and economic development agencies can offer prospective 21 Idaho industries an attractive economic advantage to locate 22 in Idaho and specifically in Mountain Home. 23 24 25 182 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 A steam park for new industry could attract significant 2 new industries which otherwise would not locate in Idaho. 3 Without a Power Sales Agreement from Idaho Power, Idaho and 4 Mountain Home will loose any possibility of attracting new 5 industries to a steam park. 6 V. Competitive Options for New Resources 7 Q Do you have thoughts as generally to policy 8 concerns on selection of new resources which you would like 9 to share with the Commission. 10 A Yes, since the inception of PURPA no regulated 11 utility which I know of has been a willing participant to 12 competition. A project like that proposed by Rosebud and 13 Rosebud affiliates is not paid by ratebasing but rather 14 through the maximization of kilowatt hours delivered, which 15 of course requires a reliable plant capable of attaining 16 high capacity factors. While a large investment provides 17 maximum returns to Idaho Power's shareholders, Rosebud's 18 returns are solely driven by kilowatt hour production. As 19 Idaho Power continues to experience record or near record 20 growth, larger QFs than 10 MW offer the only independent 21 competitive resource in the future which will avoid 22 construction of significant new ratebased resources. 23 Developers cannot afford to obtain federal hydro licensing 24 any longer for small projects. Natural gas projects 25 183 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 are possible to build at less than 10 MW but lose 2 significant economics while maintaining the gas 3 fuel/transmission risk. In short, larger QFs have a place 4 in the market place and no regulated utility should simply 5 be able to refuse to purchase from a QF at its whim because 6 of a potential large utility or EWG project. Idaho Power 7 should not be able to avoid Rosebud's project through the 8 use of offering unreasonable avoided costs while Idaho Power 9 seeks to justify its favored projects (litigation settlement 10 at Meridian Energy and Idaho affiliated projects at Twin 11 Falls & Milner). Indeed, Congress passed PURPA to eliminate 12 the very practices Idaho Power is now employing. 13 Q Do you believe there are economic development 14 policy reasons to favor Idaho projects over out-of-state 15 resources? 16 A Yes, Idaho Power has a long and somewhat 17 puzzling history of never developing any thermal projects in 18 Idaho. Only independents have built thermal projects in 19 Idaho such as Boise Cascade's Emmett facility and the 20 Tammerack plant. In recent history, Idaho Power proposed 21 the unfortunate 1000 MW Pioneer facility which remains today 22 as unreasonable as it was over fifteen years ago. The state 23 of Idaho needs reasonable thermal generating resources and 24 should not forever remain dependent on adjacent states to 25 provide resources in droughts without those states being 184 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 tempted to propose stiff generating taxes for Idaho 2 residents to pay such as recently proposed by Montana for 3 Oregon and Washington residents. 4 On a policy basis, Rosebud's plant offers a reasonable 5 generating resource from which Idaho Power should be 6 required to purchase capacity and energy. Idaho Power no 7 longer has a monopoly over providing generating resources. 8 The plant sizing should not be an issue that eliminates 9 competition and market place alternatives to projects the 10 utility wishes to foster. Minimum risk to ratepayers and 11 reliable generating resources should be a policy goal. Huge 12 new generating plants, whether gas or coal, bring to 13 ratepayers huge financial risks which are small enough to 14 meet load growth but large enough to allow economies of 15 scale. 16 Q Does this conclude your testimony? 17 A Yes. 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 185 ROBERTS (Di) Rosebud 1 (The following proceedings were had in open 2 hearing.) 3 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Richardson. 4 MR. RICHARDSON: We have no questions, 5 Mr. Chairman. 6 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Burleigh. 7 MR. BURLEIGH: We have no questions. 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Fell. 9 MR. FELL: No questions. 10 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Woodbury. 11 MR. WOODBURY: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 12 13 CROSS-EXAMINATION 14 15 BY MR. WOODBURY: 16 Q Mr. Roberts, I believe I only have one 17 question. Regarding your testimony starting at Pages 9 and 18 10, you talk about competitive options for new resources, 19 and you state on Page 10 that Idaho needs reasonable thermal 20 generating resources and not remain forever dependent on 21 adjacent states to provide resources in droughts without 22 those states being tempted to propose stiff generating taxes 23 for Idaho residents, and you make reference to a recently 24 proposed tax by Montana for Oregon and Washington 25 residents. Do you know how that's played out? 186 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 A Yes. That proposed tax was part of a sales 2 tax proposal by the legislature which was subject to a 3 public vote and was voted down. In the sales tax, a small 4 existing electric generation tax was increased dramatically 5 and would have had an impact on the cost of any power sold 6 either internally or outside of the state by generation 7 resources within the State of Montana. 8 Q Are you aware of any other states that are 9 considering similar proposals? 10 A I am not. 11 MR. WOODBURY: Thank you. Mr. Chairman, I 12 have no more questions. 13 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Kline. 14 MR. KLINE: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 15 16 CROSS-EXAMINATION 17 18 BY MR. KLINE: 19 Q Mr. Roberts, could you please direct your 20 attention to Page 4 of your prefiled testimony, and the 21 testimony doesn't have line numbers, so what I'm referring 22 to here is your first answer on Page 4, and in that answer, 23 you were kind of critical, I guess, of Idaho Power's 24 unfamiliarity with the technology that you discuss, the CFB 25 technology, and in the second sentence of your answer there, 187 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 you state that generally, a plant such as Rosebud's Mountain 2 Home facility should cost approximately $1500-1550 per kW of 3 capacity. Do you see that? 4 A I do. 5 Q I'm kind of confused, Mr. Roberts, and I'm 6 going to have to ask you to take a look at Mr. Blendu's 7 testimony. 8 A I'll need a copy of that. I don't have a copy 9 in my possession. 10 Q Do you have some available? 11 A No, I do not. 12 MR. KLINE: Do you have it available? 13 MR. ORNDORFF: No, I do not. 14 MR. RIPLEY: Is that the same place you've got 15 Exhibit 5, Owen? 16 Q BY MR. KLINE: Turn to Page 3 of Mr. Blendu's 17 testimony, if you would, please, Mr. Roberts. Are you 18 there? 19 A I am. 20 Q Mr. Blendu testifies that the Mountain Home 21 facility will have a construction cost of $72 million and he 22 testifies that it's a 4,000 kW facility, and unless my math 23 is off, I read that as being $1,800 per kW. 24 MR. ORNDORFF: Objection, mischaracterizes the 25 testimony. He did not testify it was a 4,000 kW project. 188 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 MR. KLINE: It's a 40 megawatt project. 2 COMMISSIONER MILLER: One moment, please. My 3 attitude on objections of the nature just stated is that 4 considerable latitude ought to be allowed in formulating the 5 predicate of questions. If a question becomes so far off 6 base as to be argumentative, then I think an objection of 7 that nature is properly sustained, made and sustained; so 8 I'd ask the parties to be guided that principle, but within 9 that range of latitude try and be careful in the formulation 10 of questions so that there isn't room for dispute about the 11 subject of the question; so I'll overrule the objection. 12 Q BY MR. KLINE: Mr. Roberts, what is the 13 capacity in kilowatts of the proposed Mountain Home project? 14 A We have generally discussed it in terms of a 15 40,000 net kilowatt capacity or 40 megawatt net capacity. 16 Q And what is the cost per kilowatt of the 17 project? 18 A Well, I see that Mr. Blendu testified that he 19 estimated that it would have a construction cost of $72 20 million. We don't have a contract in place for construction 21 of that facility since we don't have a utility contract. 22 Q If you divide the construction cost by the per 23 kW, by the kilowatt amount of the project, do you not get 24 $1,800 per kilowatt? 25 A I haven't done that arithmetic. 189 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q Subject to check, would you accept that? 2 A Rather than check, I'll just do it. Yes, you 3 do. 4 Q So your statement on Paragraph 4 of your 5 testimony that it will cost approximately $1500-1550 per kW 6 is incorrect? 7 A Absolutely not. 8 Q Then Mr. Blendu's testimony as to the cost per 9 kW is incorrect? 10 A I clearly differ with Mr. Blendu's estimate if 11 that testimony was meant to be the construction cost of the 12 facility. I don't know and cannot tell from his testimony 13 whether he's including soft costs in there and, if so, what 14 the basis was for his estimate of soft costs. I would 15 expect $1500-1550 a kilowatt to be the appropriate hard cost 16 or construction contract cost for a 40 megawatt net solid 17 fueled facility, and that's fully consistent with the costs 18 of projects currently under construction and with the cost 19 in construction contracts currently being executed by other 20 parties. 21 Q Thank you, Mr. Roberts. On Page 3 of your 22 testimony, second paragraph, you talk about regulated 23 utilities seeking to develop utility options that are more 24 expensive than QF options. Are you there? 25 A I am. 190 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q All right, but in this specific complaint 2 case, Mr. Roberts, isn't the, I don't know, the gravamen or 3 the nubbin of this dispute the fact that lower cost options 4 are available to Idaho Power, costs that are lower than 5 those proposed by Rosebud? In that situation, isn't it 6 appropriate for the utility to attempt to negotiate a lower 7 price? 8 A I think you've mischaracterized the gravamen 9 of this proceeding and of federal law. PURPA requires that 10 a utility pay its avoided cost to a qualified facility or 11 offer to pay it. Avoided cost is cost to the utility had it 12 provided that resource by other means than purchasing from 13 the qualified facility. By definition, if that process is 14 adhered to and followed by the Commission, there cannot be 15 any overpayment for a qualified facility resource. 16 Rosebud has never asked that it be given a 17 contract at above avoided cost. Rosebud has asked that it 18 be given a contract at avoided cost and Idaho Power Company 19 has refused to give Rosebud a contract and that's the 20 gravamen of this proceeding. 21 Q But this is a project that's larger than 22 10 megawatts, is it not? 23 A It is. 24 Q And under the Commission's procedures, 25 projects larger than 10 megawatts, the purchase price, the 191 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 terms and conditions are negotiated by the utility and the 2 QF. Isn't it reasonable when the utility has lower cost 3 options available to it that those be taken into 4 consideration in the negotiations with the qualifying 5 facility? 6 A You keep referring to lower cost options and I 7 have to keep insisting on what federal law is, which is, 8 among other things, the cost of a qualified facility is 9 irrelevant. The price it is paid is relevant and the price 10 that is required is the utility's avoided cost, whatever 11 that is. In our case, the negotiations stopped immediately 12 upon requesting a contract when we were informed by letter 13 that we would not be offered a contract which necessitated 14 originating this proceeding. 15 Q Wait a minute, Mr. Roberts, it's your 16 testimony that Idaho Power has refused to negotiate with 17 Rosebud? 18 A Yes, by letter authored by you dated 19 December 10th, 1992, and I quote, "Because Idaho Power does 20 not need to add any new resources for such a long period of 21 time, it would be imprudent for Idaho Power to contractually 22 commit at this time to a 40 megawatt, 35-year purchase 23 beginning in either 1998 or 2000. There are simply too many 24 variables that could intervene between now and 2000 that 25 could affect the reasonableness of any such major resource 192 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 commitment." 2 Q And at that point in time Rosebud filed the 3 complaint; correct? 4 A Within a few days, I believe. 5 Q And subsequent to that time, have there been 6 negotiations between the parties? 7 A There have been negotiations. 8 Q And are those same negotiations the one that 9 was terminated in 15 minutes by Rosebud? 10 A It's my understanding that there are still 11 negotiations going on. It kind of depends on how one 12 defines the term negotiation. 13 Q I think that probably is a key discussion in 14 this case, Mr. Roberts. In your testimony, you discuss fuel 15 sources for this proposed project. Does Rosebud have a fuel 16 contract or a firm option for fuel for the Mountain Home 17 facility? 18 A Rosebud, as we discussed when you took my 19 deposition, has not attempted to secure a firm fuel contract 20 because no fuel supplier commits to firm future deliveries 21 of their product when the potential purchaser doesn't have a 22 contract, utility contract, for their facility. 23 Q What about an option, a firm option, for 24 fuel? Do you have anything like that? 25 A An option is the same thing as a contract. 193 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q How about fuel transportation, have you 2 obtained any kind of commitment or contract for fuel 3 transportation to the Mountain Home facility? 4 A We wouldn't contract to transport fuel we 5 don't have under contract and a railroad would not engage in 6 meaningful negotiations of actual tariff rates for 7 hypothetical transactions. 8 Q So your answer is you don't have a fuel 9 contract and you don't have a fuel transportation contract? 10 A Correct. 11 MR. KLINE: One second. 12 (Off the record.) 13 Q BY MR. KLINE: In your answers, you keep 14 referring to the fact that a fuel supplier or a fuel 15 transporter won't commit to a contract unless there is an 16 avoided cost contract from the utility. What is the avoided 17 cost in the case of a negotiated contract for a project 18 larger than 10 megawatts? 19 A It's my understanding that the cost initially 20 should be the cost for contracts less than 10 megawatts 21 adjusted for the impact of that specific project on the 22 utility, which could, depending upon the utility's 23 alternative, result in either an increase or a decrease in 24 that avoided cost amount. If, for instance, the qualified 25 facility resource is closer to a load center, then the 194 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 resource utilized to develop the less than 10 megawatt 2 price, the avoided cost based solely on location 3 geographically would be higher assuming adequate 4 transmission capacity at that closer location, but in any 5 event, it's an adjustment for the impact of that facility on 6 the utility's system. 7 Q So each individual project larger than 8 10 megawatts is going to have its own individual 9 characteristics, its own individual impacts on the utility's 10 system, its own individual values to the utility; is that 11 correct? 12 A It's my understanding that the Commission 13 determined that each should be individually assessed if it's 14 larger than 10 megawatts. 15 Q And those kinds of issues are legitimate 16 issues for negotiation, then, are they not? 17 A Yes, so long as there's a means to resolve 18 disputes if negotiations don't result in agreement. 19 MR. KLINE: That's all the questions I have. 20 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Commissioner Nelson. 21 COMMISSIONER NELSON: I have no questions. 22 Thank you. 23 COMMISSIONER SMITH: Neither do I. 24 COMMISSIONER MILLER: I guess I have no 25 questions. 195 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Redirect. 2 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, I have no 3 questions. 4 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Roberts, thank you 5 very much for your help. 6 COMMISSIONER SMITH: I did have a question. I 7 should have looked at my page first. 8 9 EXAMINATION 10 11 BY COMMISSIONER SMITH: 12 Q I guess being unfamiliar with your industry 13 and maybe the construction industry in general, I wasn't 14 sure what you meant by soft costs and hard costs. 15 A Normally, in our business we negotiate and 16 sign a fixed price or guaranteed maximum price contract with 17 a contractor whereby the contractor guarantees for a given 18 amount of money to build a plant that will perform in 19 accordance with the performance guarantees in that 20 contract. That's the hard cost. We pay that contractor 21 that money to build the plant. If he can build it cheaper 22 and can meet the performs guarantees, then he makes more 23 money. If he underestimated, then he pays out of his pocket 24 for the overrun. 25 In addition to the costs that you pay the 196 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (Com) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 contractor, you have costs of financings or you have the 2 costs of lawyers for the banks and the various parties and 3 your own lawyers, and those costs, plus loan fees that you 4 have to pay at the time you take the loan or things, I'm 5 referring to as soft costs. 6 COMMISSIONER SMITH: Thank you for that 7 clarification. 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, Mr. Roberts, 9 thank you again for your help. 10 (The witness left the stand.) 11 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Can Mr. Roberts be 12 excused if he so desires? 13 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, my next witness 14 is Ronald D. Blendu. I'll call him if you wish to proceed 15 or proceed to another -- 16 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Why don't we see how far 17 we can get with Mr. Blendu. 18 MR. ORNDORFF: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I 19 call Mr. Blendu. 20 21 22 23 24 25 197 CSB REPORTING ROBERTS (Com) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 RONALD D. BLENDU, 2 produced as a witness at the instance of Rosebud 3 Enterprises, Inc., having been first duly sworn, was 4 examined and testified as follows: 5 6 DIRECT EXAMINATION 7 8 BY MR. ORNDORFF: 9 Q Mr. Blendu, would you give your full name and 10 business address for the record, please? 11 A My name is Ronald D. Blendu, 1087 West River 12 Street, Suite 200, Boise, Idaho. 13 Q Mr. Blendu, are you the same Mr. Blendu that 14 caused certain testimony to be filed in this case? 15 A I am. 16 Q Are you sponsoring any exhibits to your 17 testimony in this case? 18 A No. 19 MR. ORNDORFF: Let the record show he is 20 sponsoring Exhibits 1 through 4. 21 THE WITNESS: I am. 22 MR. ORNDORFF: And I would ask that they be 23 marked. 24 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, we'll mark 25 Exhibits 1 through 4. 198 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q BY MR. ORNDORFF: Now, Mr. Blendu, if I were 2 to ask you the same questions that are in your testimony, 3 would you have any corrections? 4 A No. 5 MR. ORNDORFF: With that, Mr. Chairman, I 6 would ask that his testimony be spread on the record and I 7 tender him for cross-examination. 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: If there's no objection, 9 the testimony of this witness will be spread on the record 10 as if read. 11 (The following prefiled testimony of 12 Mr. Ronald Blendu is spread upon the record.) 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 199 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q Please state your name, business title and 2 business address. 3 4 A Ronald D. Blendu, 1087 W. River Street, Boise, 5 Idaho and I am Vice President/Operations for Rosebud 6 Enterprises and for all Rosebud affiliated projects such as 7 the Mountain Home Project. 8 9 Q Please describe your professional experience 10 in operating solid fuel plants. 11 12 A I serve as a Director and Vice President of 13 Bilings Generation, Inc. (BGI). I have extensive 14 experience in managing alternative energy power plants. 15 From March 1983 through June 1989, I was employed by 16 UltraSystems, Inc. of Irvine, California, serving in the 17 capacities of Plant Manager and later as Director of 18 Operations overseeing the operation of eight circulating 19 fluidized bed cogeneration plants. My duties also included 20 administering engineering and construction contracts and 21 servicing as general manager for 22 23 24 25 200 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 equity owners. Prior to 1993, I worked for the Procter & 2 Gamble Co. in various positions of technical and operation 3 management. I hold a Bachelor of Science degree in 4 Engineering from the United States Coast Guard Academy and 5 served as an officer in the Coast Guard for four years. 6 7 Q Please describe the purpose of your testimony. 8 9 A My testimony is divided into three parts, all 10 generally designed to describe the plant Rosebud proposes to 11 build at Mountain Home. 12 13 First, I discuss the plant, its size, cost, technology and 14 projected employment. 15 16 Second, I discuss briefly the air and water emissions 17 together with the emission control equipment which is the 18 best available control technology (BACT) as determined by 19 the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). 20 21 Lastly, I discuss plant operations and the reliability of 22 the unit. 23 24 25 201 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 I. Description of the Plant 2 Q Please describe Rosebud's proposed plant. 3 4 A Rosebud's proposed plant is intended to be 5 identical to Rosebud's present operating facility located in 6 Colstrip, Montana of which Rosebud Energy Corp. is the 7 general partner of Colstrip Energy Limited Partnership 8 (CELP). CELP's limited partners are affiliates of Pacific 9 Gas and Electric and Bechtel Corporation. 10 11 Attached as Exhibit Number 1 is a line diagram generally 12 describing the facility and its operating components. I 13 believe similar information was previously provided Idaho 14 Power Company in correspondence dated October 8, 1992. (See 15 Rosebud Exhibit Number 2.) 16 17 The Mountain facility will produce a guaranteed 40 MW net of 18 capacity and approximately 323,000,000 kWh of energy in any 19 twelve month period, assuming no dispatchability. Because 20 the facility will utilize an air cooled condenser instead of 21 a water cooling tower, the facility will be capable in 22 winter, spring and fall of operating in excess of 40 MW. 23 24 The Mountain Home facility will have a construction cost of 25 $72,000,000 assuming Rosebud is able to obtain a Power Sales 202 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 Agreement in 1993 and shortly thereafter (as soon as permits 2 have been obtained) execute a construction contract. The 3 plant will be scheduled to commence operations January 1, 4 1998. 5 The Mountain Home facility will utilize a high pressure 6 circulating fluidized bed (CFB) steam boiler capable of 7 combusting high sulfur fuels such as petroleum coke. The 8 Boiler will also be capable of burning such conventional 9 fuels (if necessary) as oil or run-of-mine coal. A CFB 10 Boiler essentially injects fuels into a hot mixture of air 11 and sand to obtain a very efficient combustion of carbon and 12 other fuel components. This unique Boiler design permits an 13 operator to inject certain reagents, such as limestone, to 14 capture undesirable emissions such as SO2. In Rosebud's 15 Colstrip plant (and the same will be true for the Mountain 16 Home facility), Rosebud injects sufficient limestone to 17 reduce SO2 emissions to whatever operating permit 18 limitations are required by governmental agencies. Using 19 the CFB technology, sulfur is combined with calcium 20 contained in limestone to form gypsum. This technology 21 allows for the capture and disposal of SO2 in a dry state 22 without using excessive quantities of water or having large 23 settling ponds. 24 The ash from the Colstrip facility has been determined to be 25 non-hazardous. Rosebud expects that the Mountain Home ash can 203 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 be landfilled as Rosebud's ash is presently disposed of in 2 Montana. Enclosed as Exhibits 3 and 4 are air emissions and 3 ground water pollution prevention permits presently in 4 effect for Rosebud's Colstrip facility which may be helpful 5 to the Commission in assessing the likelihood of Rosebud's 6 plant successfully being permitted by state and federal 7 agencies. 8 The Mountain Home facility will employ up to approximately 9 400 construction workers during the 29 month construction 10 period and thereafter approximately 30 full time employees. 11 Other jobs will be created as a result of limestone 12 trucking, quarrying of the limestone, fuel handling 13 services, and disposal of ash. 14 In the course of this proceeding, I would like to extend to 15 the Commission, Intervenors and its Staff the same 16 invitation Rosebud has made to Idaho Power to visit the 17 Colstrip operating plant. Rosebud looks forward to hosting 18 any visit the Commission, Intervenors or Idaho Power would 19 like to arrange to view first hand the operations of a CFB 20 Boiler and the state of the art technology for combusting 21 solid fuel. Rosebud believes that any comparison between 22 Idaho Power's Valmy plant and a plant similar to Colstrip 23 will show that "smaller can be better" because of the 24 significant environmental advantages smaller plants are 25 capable of offering. 204 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 II. Project Emission Controls 2 3 Q Please describe the Mountain Home Project's 4 emissions controls. 5 6 A Rosebud believes that the emissions controls 7 and technology will be similar to those provided for in 8 Montana. (See Rosebud Exhibit Numbers 3 and 4). 9 10 The Mountain Home Project's CFB Boiler will capture in 11 excess of 90% of all sulfur in the petroleum coke fuel by 12 injecting limestone into the Boiler. Based on current 13 projections, Rosebud expects the plant will be limited to no 14 more than 410 pounds of sulfur dioxide emitted per hour. 15 Inherently, CFB technology generates low NOx levels which 16 are expected to be approximately 205 pounds per hour. 17 18 The ash from the facility will be landfilled either by 19 Rosebud or a commercial landfill facility. Ash from this 20 facility should be similar to cement in that when combined 21 with water the ash will set up like concrete. The ash does 22 not leach and will not be classified as hazardous waste. As 23 with many power plants, Rosebud hopes to commercially sell 24 its ash to cement companies or other manufacturers of cinder 25 block and similar products. 205 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 Given the recent extension of water and sewer facilities to 2 the vicinity of Rosebud's Mountain Home site, Rosebud 3 anticipates using city water and sewer. 4 Based upon the Colstrip facility experience, it is 5 anticipated the Mountain Home plant will use approximately 6 70-80 gpm (gallons per minute) of water. The facility's 7 cooling and condensing of turbine exhaust steam will be done 8 by using a air cooled condenser that utilizes no water. A 9 facility similar to the Mountain Home project using 10 conventional technology would require a water source for 11 cooling of several hundred gallons per minute which is 12 continuously contaminated and discharged to ponds or other 13 disposal places. 14 Once Rosebud has obtained a Power Sales Agreement, Rosebud 15 will commence obtaining the necessary permits. Prior to 16 permitting being commenced with state and federal agencies, 17 it is necessary to know the amounts of power to be generated 18 and fuel consumed so that emission levels can be quantified. 19 Dispatchability of such energy and any other unique 20 requirements which may be negotiated with Idaho Power can 21 greatly effect permit conditions. In addition, federal and 22 state permitting agencies have limited resources and are 23 unwilling to expend such resources to permit a hypothetical 24 facility which has yet to even have a market to sell its 25 energy and capacity. 206 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 III. Plant Operating and Reliability 2 3 Q Please describe the Mountain Home facility; 4 plant operations. 5 A The facility will be operated by an affiliate 6 of Rosebud Enterprises, Rosebud Operating Services, Inc. 7 (ROSI). ROSI is an Idaho corporation and is responsible for 8 the management and operations of the Billings Generation 9 facility, a 50 MW coke fired project at the Exxon refinery 10 in Billings, Montana. ROSI is also responsible for managing 11 the operation of the Colstrip plant. 12 13 Q Where will ROSI be located? 14 A ROSI is headquartered in Boise. The on site 15 plant manager will be responsible for all plant operations 16 and compliance with permits and plant production. Both 17 Rosebud Enterprises and ROSI are Idaho corporations. 18 19 Q Who will Rosebud employ to operate the plant? 20 A A core group of existing ROSI personnel will 21 be supplemented with new employees. Rosebud expects to hire 22 operators generally based on their experience and a highly 23 selective screening and testing program. Such operators 24 will have an educational background in solid fuel boiler 25 operations which 207 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 will be significantly more advanced than their utility 2 counterparts. 3 Q Please describe Rosebud's expected plant 4 operations objectives. 5 A Rosebud will finance the project based on an 6 expected 90% plant capacity factor (assuming no 7 dispatchability) of its firm 40 MW of capacity. In 8 addition, Rosebud should be able to demonstrate to equity 9 and debt financiers a reliable incremental ability to 10 deliver energy above 40 MW during the spring, winter and 11 fall. The construction contractor and key vendors will be 12 required to guarantee the minimum generation levels thereby 13 assuring Idaho Power and its ratepayers of achieving a 14 reliable energy and capacity source. 15 Q Do you expect the Mountain Home facility to 16 achieve plant reliability significantly greater than the 17 minimums for obtaining financing? 18 A Yes, Colstrip was guaranteed by vendors and 19 the general contractor to produce 35 MW of capacity and 20 262,000,000 kWh per year. Because of significant penalties 21 in construction contracts if vendors do not provide the 22 minimum guarantee production, vendors and the general 23 contractor typically provide an "insurance margin" to avoid 24 penalties. At 25 208 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 Colstrip, the project produces, based on its original 35 MW 2 rated capacity, at approximately a 100% capacity factor 3 (306,400,000 kWh for contract year 1992) and has an actual 4 capacity of 38 MW. While Rosebud cannot guarantee a plant 5 similar to Colstrip's outstanding performance, I expect that 6 the vendor guarantees will assure a margin of performance 7 above the minimums vendors and the general contractor 8 guarantee financiers. 9 Q What do you then anticipate the Mountain Home 10 facility will produce in both energy and capacity? 11 A I expect the facility will produce more than 12 40 MW in the summer hot season, perhaps up to 41 MW (2.5% 13 vendor insurance margin), and up to 43 MW in the cooler 14 seasons (7.5% margin). Based on these assumptions, the 15 plant's 40 MW of contract capacity should be able to produce 16 for Idaho Power and its ratepayers approximately 340,000,000 17 kWh over the contract year. 18 19 In any case, Rosebud will commit and appropriate and 20 guarantee Idaho Power the minimum vendor levels of vendor 21 guaranteed output or 40 MW of capacity and 323,000,000 kWh 22 per contract year. 23 Q Do all independent power plants operate in the 24 industry as 25 209 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 well as you expect the Mountain Home project? 2 3 A No. Many independent projects have 4 historically not insisted on stringent vendor guarantees 5 (and paid for such guarantees) and in some cases have 6 utilized used equipment. Since Rosebud or its affiliates 7 intend to own and operate the facility, Rosebud will not 8 purchase used equipment and will have contractor/vendor 9 guarantees that assure Rosebud, Idaho Power and Idaho 10 Power's ratepayers a reliable plant. Additionally, earlier 11 projects utilizing non-typical fuels, such as waste 12 products, did not have an established technology base from 13 which to work. Currently Rosebud and many other project 14 sponsors have considerable experience with this type of 15 project and consequently have proven track records. 16 17 Q Does this conclude your testimony? 18 19 A Yes. 20 21 22 23 24 25 210 Mthblend.tes Agr. III 1 (The following proceedings were had in open 2 hearing.) 3 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Richardson. 4 MR. RICHARDSON: We have no questions, 5 Mr. Chairman. 6 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Burleigh. 7 MR. BURLEIGH: We have no questions, 8 Mr. Chairman. 9 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Fell. 10 MR. FELL: No questions. 11 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Woodbury. 12 MR. WOODBURY: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 13 14 CROSS-EXAMINATION 15 16 BY MR. WOODBURY: 17 Q Mr. Blendu, how are you this morning? 18 A Fine, thank you. 19 Q Referring to your testimony on Page 4, you 20 start talking about the CFB and you state that to reduce -- 21 actually, with this boiler design, limestone is injected in 22 order to reduce sulfur dioxide emissions to whatever 23 operating permit limitations are required by governmental 24 agencies. Is it possible to inject enough limestone to 25 eliminate the sulfur dioxide completely? 211 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 A No, I would qualify this statement within 2 technical or practical capabilities of our technology 3 today. Whether you use circulating fluidized bed or other 4 types of scrubbers, there becomes a practical limitation or 5 impossibility in terms of percent sulfur removals that can 6 be obtained with our technology. Both the scrubbers and the 7 CFBs approach that practical limit in that they're able to 8 get between 90 to 95 percent from a practical standpoint 9 sulfur removal, and so with the CFB, what I was referring to 10 is when I said it could comply with anticipated state 11 requirements, I didn't mean to zero. I meant to what 12 practical limit that is typically required by the states. 13 Q You speak about the process that sulfur is 14 combined with calcium contained in limestone to form gypsum, 15 and you say that this allows for the capture and disposal of 16 the sulfur dioxide in a dry state without using excessive 17 quantities of water. A little further in your testimony, on 18 Page 7, you talk about connection to city water and sewer 19 supplies and you talk about project needs for about 70 to 80 20 gallons per minute. Is that for this purpose? 21 A The CFB itself and the process of using 22 limestone for the recovery or capture of SO2, that process 23 uses no water. The 70 to 80 gallons per minute would refer 24 to approximately 15 to 20 gallons per minute of sanitary 25 sewers, meaning showers, toilets and drinking water. There 212 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 would be the difference in processed waters used for bearing 2 cooling, softening water for the boiler treatment. The 3 boiler would use probably 10 to 12 gallons a minute in the 4 production of steam and the remainder would be for the 5 processes of cooling that I mentioned. 6 Q So then this particular process of adding the 7 limestone, would it be -- you say without using excessive 8 quantities of water or having large settling ponds, then as 9 to that particular process, it would be without using any 10 water at all? 11 A It would use no water. In our Colstrip 12 facility, we take project waste water and because the ash 13 comes out in a very dry, less than five percent moisture, 14 state, it has the ability to absorb water and it behaves 15 like concrete, like cement and forms a concrete-like 16 material; so we do have the capability to dispose of the 17 waste water by adding it to the ash so that it combines with 18 the ash and forms a concrete, but the disposal of ash in and 19 of itself or the production of ash in and of itself does not 20 require the use of any water. 21 Q You state that ash from Colstrip has been 22 determined to be non-hazardous ash that can be landfilled. 23 We're looking at the facility in Mountain Home to be, I 24 think you indicated, identical to the Colstrip facility. 25 A Nearly identical. 213 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q Nearly identical. Has the ash ever been 2 classified as hazardous? Maybe it's been reclassified? 3 A I'm not sure what Idaho requires. In many of 4 the states, ash is treated separately in its -- you're 5 instructed to treat it as if it were hazardous unless you 6 demonstrate it's non-hazardous. In Montana and in the other 7 states that we've been involved with we have demonstrated 8 through EPA toxicity tests that the material is 9 non-hazardous. We are assuming that we would be required to 10 demonstrate it as non-hazardous in Idaho as well. 11 Q Are there any precautions that must be taken 12 in handling? 13 A The only one that comes to mind is in the 14 handling of ash and discharging it from the ash hopper to 15 the truck we require our people to wear long-sleeved 16 clothing and things of that nature, because of some residual 17 lime in the ash when mixed with sweat, it can cause a skin 18 irritation; so we do have in-plant safety procedures for 19 that. Other than that, there are no safety precautions or 20 material handling requirements that I'm aware of. 21 Q Are you familiar with how many, what quantity 22 of ash is necessary to dispose of per day? 23 A It depends on the fuel and the sulfur 24 content. 25 Q What's been your experience with the Colstrip 214 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 facility? 2 A In Colstrip, using a reasonably high sulfur 3 coal of under three percent, averaging about 18 percent ash, 4 for a facility this size, we dispose of in the neighborhood 5 of 75,000 tons per year. 6 Q Are you proposing the same fuel for the 7 Mountain Home facility? 8 A We're considering several fuel options, from 9 petroleum coke to waste coals. 10 Q Does the petroleum coke have a higher sulfur 11 content? 12 A Generally, petroleum coke has a higher sulfur 13 content, but it has almost no ash content. It's usually 14 less than one percent ash. 15 Q Referring to your Exhibit 3 -- 16 A I don't have it with me. I'm assuming it's 17 one of the -- 18 Q This was the air quality permit. 19 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, if I could 20 approach the witness, I think I might have Exhibits 1 21 through 4. 22 COMMISSIONER MILLER: That would be helpful. 23 (Mr. Orndorff approached the witness.) 24 Q BY MR. WOODBURY: Have you recently reviewed 25 that exhibit? 215 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 A Yes. 2 Q Are you generally familiar with the air 3 quality licensing and permitting requirements in Idaho? 4 A I'm not generally familiar with Idaho. I'm 5 generally familiar with neighboring states in air quality 6 permitting, but I have not been involved in a specific 7 permitting process in Idaho. 8 Q Looking at Page 1 of that exhibit, Section I, 9 Permitted Facilities, under B, you speak of a water storage 10 and cooling tower. It's my understanding that there will be 11 a change in Idaho that this will be an air-cooled facility? 12 A There would not be a change. Colstrip has an 13 air-cooled -- this project that you're looking at is for the 14 Colstrip project in Montana which we propose to duplicate. 15 It has an air-cooled condenser. Along with the air-cooled 16 condenser, there is a very small cooling tower that's used 17 to chill water to provide bearing coolers to pumps and 18 motors and cool air compressors; so the permit recognizes 19 that that cooling tower by itself is not a part of the 20 process for the generation of steam or electricity. 21 Q Would you expect the facility requirements and 22 the plant emissions in Idaho in the Mountain Home facility 23 to be the same as reflected in this Exhibit 3? 24 A Ask your question again, please. 25 Q Would you expect the required facilities and 216 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 the allowed emissions in Idaho to be similar to those 2 reflected in Exhibit 3? 3 A I would expect them to be similar. 4 Q And that would be true with respect to both 5 your Exhibit 3, air quality permit, and your Exhibit 4 for 6 water? 7 A Yes. 8 Q Is it Rosebud's testimony that there will be 9 no discharge ponds at this facility of any nature? 10 A I think we've indicated we would not 11 anticipate having discharge ponds at this facility. 12 Q You also indicate that dispatchability 13 requirements can greatly affect permit conditions. Do you 14 know what changes that would require? 15 A Most of the states start from the basic 16 federal guidelines and using federal guidelines for NOx 17 removal and control and percent reductions, then each state 18 through their regulatory agencies adds some refinements, 19 either for the state as a whole or for local and specific 20 areas, and so in that, I would expect some refinements in 21 Idaho, either site specific to Mountain Home or general 22 requirements of the state. The general organization of 23 those permits would still be required to comply under EPA, 24 and so generally from experience and knowledge of what's 25 been required under EPA and in other ones, I don't know 217 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 exactly what would be required in Idaho, but I have a 2 general idea of where we would get to. 3 Q Did you take part in any of the negotiations 4 with Idaho Power? 5 A No. 6 MR. WOODBURY: Thank you. Mr. Chairman, I 7 have no further questions. 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Kline, how much 9 cross do you anticipate? 10 MR. KLINE: It may be -- I think maybe now 11 would be a good time to take a break. 12 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, why don't we 13 do that. Let's reconvene at five minutes to 11:00. 14 (Recess.) 15 COMMISSIONER MILLER: If we could take our 16 chairs, we'll reconvene. 17 Mr. Kline, I think we're ready for your 18 cross-examination. 19 MR. KLINE: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 20 21 CROSS-EXAMINATION 22 23 BY MR. KLINE: 24 Q Mr. Blendu, during the course of 25 Mr. Woodbury's cross-examination, you spent quite a bit of 218 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 time talking about the various permits that the project will 2 need to acquire prior to construction or operation. I guess 3 I don't recall whether you talked about any zoning or land 4 use permits that will be necessary to be acquired. Are you 5 aware of what those would be? 6 A At this point I have not participated in the 7 investigation of those kinds of permits for the siting and 8 construction of the plant. 9 Q But you would anticipate, would you not, that 10 the City of Mountain Home or Elmore County or somebody is 11 going to make a determination as to where the site of that 12 project is an acceptable location? 13 A Yes. 14 Q Have you made any applications for those 15 permits? 16 A Not to my knowledge. That's not to say there 17 haven't been some made. 18 Q Who would know if there were? 19 A Mr. Orndorff. 20 MR. KLINE: Okay, I think we do need to know 21 if any of those permits have been applied for, 22 Mr. Orndorff. 23 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, I am not a 24 witness in this case and I have complied with all of the 25 discovery orders on a continuing basis with Counsel and 219 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Counsel should rely upon that in answering his question. 2 COMMISSIONER MILLER: I think at this point, 3 Mr. Kline, what we'll do is suggest that you proceed with 4 your cross-examination of this witness to the extent it's 5 possible and then at some later time we will take up any 6 motions you have to compel further production of evidence. 7 Q BY MR. KLINE: All right, then, Mr. Blendu, to 8 the best of your knowledge, no permit applications have been 9 made for any kind of land use or zoning for the location of 10 this project at Mountain Home? 11 A I'm just ignorant on the subject. 12 Q Well, you're not ignorant, I guess, about the 13 permits that will be necessary for the requirements, meeting 14 the requirements for air quality; is that correct? 15 A I have not met with people from the State of 16 Idaho, air quality board or permitting agencies such that I 17 know what percent sulfur removals may be specifically 18 required by those agencies. I am familiar and I think I 19 have a good working understanding of what major permits will 20 be required and what they might look like. 21 Q And have any applications for permits been 22 made to the State of Idaho, air quality 23 department/environmental quality people? 24 A Normally, you would not approach the state and 25 burden them with the task of undertaking a permitting 220 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 process until you're certain that you have a project to 2 permit; in other words, for us to enter the permitting 3 process and for me to sign myself and members of my staff to 4 that lengthy undertaking and to ask them to do the same 5 thing on a maybe is not something, one, that I would even 6 want to approach a regulatory agency on, and I'm not exactly 7 sure how that would be received. 8 Q So, again, your answer is at this stage you 9 have made no application to the necessary agencies who would 10 authorize or who would issue the air quality permits? 11 A I think that's right. 12 Q How about the agencies that would regulate any 13 ash disposal, made any applications for permits to dispose 14 of ash? 15 A Well, I think the same thing applies. I mean, 16 I would not approach the County of Ada and ask them for a 17 building permit on a home if I didn't know I was going to 18 build a home or not; so I think in this case the same 19 principle applies. We don't have a contract to build a 20 project. I don't have a contract to sell the electricity 21 and I think it would be inappropriate to ask anyone to 22 expend substantial amounts of efforts to permit something at 23 that stage. 24 Q Again, your answer is you have not made that 25 application? 221 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 A No. 2 Q How about for the discharge of any water that 3 will be necessary? 4 A We can run through a litany of them. To the 5 best of my knowledge, we have not applied for any kind of 6 the permits environmentally that fall into that category. 7 Q So no applications for any environmental 8 permissions that you'll need, no applications for any land 9 use permits that you'll need; correct? 10 A Correct. 11 Q And you were present in the room when 12 Mr. Roberts testified that there are no fuel contracts nor 13 fuel transportation contracts; is that correct? 14 A That's correct. 15 Q And it's your testimony that you will need to 16 have a power sales contract prior to the commencement of the 17 permitting process; is that correct? 18 A That has not been my testimony. From my 19 experience in the industry, it would not be fruitful to even 20 approach people to obtain those kinds of contracts without a 21 power sales agreement in place and the ability to show a 22 pro forma that shows some reasonable chance of being 23 financially viable. 24 Q Did you participate in the development of 25 Rosebud's Billings facility? 222 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 A Yes, I did. 2 Q And what's the name of the entity that 3 developed that project? 4 A It initially started as Rosebud Enterprises. 5 Subsequently, an independent entity was formed with the name 6 Billings Generation, Incorporated, BGI. 7 Q Isn't it true at the Billings facility you in 8 fact made numerous applications for permits prior to the 9 time you received a power sales agreement from Montana 10 Power? 11 A I don't recall making permit applications 12 formally until we were well down the path on the power sales 13 agreements and had in hand a pretty good understanding of 14 the pricing. 15 Q In fact, some of those permits were nine and 16 ten months prior to the time you received a power sales 17 permit at Billings, were they not? 18 A I beg your pardon? 19 Q Power sales contract? 20 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, I'd like to 21 object. I don't think this line of questioning is going 22 anywhere in this case. As to what happened in Billings or 23 didn't happen is immaterial and lacks any relevance to the 24 proceeding at hand. 25 MR. KLINE: Mr. Chairman. 223 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 COMMISSIONER MILLER: I think I'll overrule 2 the objection. The witness previously testified that he 3 knows from experience that you can't get those sorts of 4 permits until you have a power sales contract. Mr. Kline is 5 now attempting to explore that question; so I think it's 6 permissible. 7 MR. KLINE: What I'd like to do, if I might, 8 Mr. Chairman, I think it will expedite the completion of 9 this line of cross-examination, is to distribute an exhibit 10 and I'd like the exhibit to be identified as Exhibit 205. 11 COMMISSIONER MILLER: I think you already have 12 an Exhibit 205, don't you? 13 MR. KLINE: I think 4 was our last, wasn't it? 14 MR. ORNDORFF: No, you were all the way up to 15 9, 209. 16 MR. KLINE: Not in this case. 17 COMMISSIONER MILLER: I think the last number 18 I have for you is 213. 19 MR. KLINE: Well, let's mark it 214. 20 (Mr. Ripley distributing documents.) 21 (Idaho Power Company Exhibit No. 214 was 22 marked for identification.) 23 Q BY MR. KLINE: What I have given to you, 24 Mr. Blendu, is a package of documents that relate to 25 Rosebud's Billings Generation project, and the exhibit 224 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 consists of a first summary page and attached documents that 2 are the source of the dates that are contained in the 3 summary page. Do you see that? 4 A Yes. 5 Q And Exhibit 205 [sic] shows that the power 6 sales agreement between BGI and the Montana Power Company 7 was executed on March 1st, 1991. 8 MR. WOODBURY: Bart, 214. 9 Q BY MR. KLINE: Do you see that? 10 A Yes. 11 Q Is that your recollection that that's the date 12 of the power sales agreement for the BGI project? 13 A I'll take it, I'll accept the fact that you 14 submitted that with that being the correct date. 15 Q All right. As you go down Page 1 of 16 Exhibit 205 -- 214, the first item is the air quality permit 17 application and, obviously, in that case, the air quality 18 permit application was filed substantially prior to the time 19 that the power sales agreement was signed; isn't that right? 20 A What I'd like to point out, and, again, I'm 21 not trying to be evasive because this was a long time ago, 22 at this point in time, and if you'll refer to Page 6 of the 23 power sales agreement, at that point in time, we were well 24 down the path of the power sales agreement. I don't 25 remember back in 1989 and 1990 the specific series of 225 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 events, but if you see on Page 6 of the power sales 2 agreement, it says, "File the Air Quality Permit," which was 3 a task milestone by July 15th of 1990. 4 In order for a date like that to have been in 5 this power sales agreement, the power sales agreement would 6 have to be well down the path of its conclusion. The fact 7 that it didn't get formally signed until March 1st of 1991 8 does not mean that there wasn't substantial evidence in 9 place that a power sales agreement was going to be obtained 10 and certainly to the level to give enough confidence to the 11 regulatory agencies that we were a viable entity, and I 12 think the same would go true with the close of financing and 13 the commencing of construction, and if you look at the 14 milestone schedules, the contract couldn't have been written 15 the way it was if we hadn't been substantially well on the 16 way with the utility. 17 Q Well, I don't want to beat this thing to 18 death, Mr. Blendu, but I think you need to understand the 19 reason why we keep talking about these permits and the fact 20 that you have not even applied for them. Isn't it correct 21 that in preparing an application for a permit, you at least 22 need to have the basic data regarding the site, regarding 23 the type of equipment that's going to be used, the type of 24 fuel that's going to be used, the land use, all of those 25 things go into the filing of one of these applications; 226 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 correct? 2 A Generally, in a broad context, that's correct. 3 Q And one of the issues we're looking at in this 4 case, Mr. Blendu, is in fact the readiness or the ability of 5 the Mountain Home project and Rosebud Enterprises to demand 6 a contract from Idaho Power. If they haven't achieved 7 according to the orders of this Commission a certain level 8 of readiness or an ability to contract, then they're not 9 entitled to file a complaint against Idaho Power saying you 10 haven't negotiated. That's one of the issues in this case. 11 MR. ORNDORFF: I'm going to object, 12 Mr. Chairman. Mr. Kline is not giving testimony. 13 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Sustained. 14 Q BY MR. KLINE: Would you agree that there is a 15 point on a continuum, on a series of events, that have to 16 progress in the licensing of a project before a utility 17 should be obligated to sign a contract? 18 A I think on the very literal answering of your 19 question I would agree there are certain things that a 20 utility is entitled to have in place before it signs a 21 contract and executed as was demonstrated in the scenario of 22 events that you pointed out on the Billings project. By the 23 same token, I think testimony has been provided that we have 24 the technology, we have a price in place pretty close to 25 what the actual costs are, we have a good predictor of what 227 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 the emissions are going to be, and we have a good handle on 2 what our soft costs are. 3 We cannot go forward and I can't assign my 4 staff to go forward technically or assisting a permitting 5 effort until I can get the other side of the equation to 6 price the revenues against the cost, and so the answer is I 7 believe you have been provided with the technology we will 8 use, the amount of emissions we'll have, the quantities of 9 fuel that will be used for several fuel sources. What 10 assurances beyond that you need are unclear to me to 11 convince you that this project is viable. I don't know what 12 more you need at this stage. 13 Q And what you've presented today is essentially 14 a conceptual project at Mountain Home. What you haven't 15 done is take any of the steps -- 16 MR. ORNDORFF: Again, I object. Mr. Kline is 17 not here to testify. 18 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Let's let him conclude 19 the question and then it would be proper to rule on the 20 objection. 21 Q BY MR. KLINE: What you have presented today 22 in your testimony describes projects in Billings, Montana, 23 and Colstrip, Montana; is that correct? 24 A What we have presented is the fact that we 25 would intend to build a project in Mountain Home nearly the 228 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 same as the project we built in Colstrip. 2 Q So at this stage, the Mountain Home project is 3 a concept based on those projects and your testimony is that 4 there are no concrete applications for permits or any of the 5 necessary regulatory requirements; isn't that true? 6 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman. 7 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Orndorff. 8 MR. ORNDORFF: I object. Mr. Kline is not 9 here to testify that the project is a concept. If Mr. Kline 10 wants to testify, I suggest he be given an opportunity, but 11 he cannot do it on the questioning side. 12 MR. KLINE: I'm entitled to ask leading 13 questions and that's what I'm doing. 14 COMMISSIONER MILLER: My opinion is that that 15 question does come very close to being argumentative; so I'm 16 going to sustain that objection. 17 MR. KLINE: Okay. 18 Q BY MR. KLINE: All right, Mr. Blendu, Rosebud 19 Enterprises is asking Idaho Power to enter into a long-term 20 firm sales contract today prior to your having received any 21 of these necessary permits; correct? 22 A I think that's correct. 23 Q In the event that the contract is signed and 24 the permits are not required, not obtained, what happens? 25 A Typically, what happens, as is contained in 229 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 the power sales agreement you just gave me, the utility 2 protects itself with milestone schedules and security 3 deposits such that they have a mechanism in place if the 4 permits are not obtained in a manner timely enough to 5 prevent some undesirable happening to occur, then either the 6 power sales agreement terminates or there are forfeitures of 7 the security deposit. 8 Q And are those security deposits supposed to be 9 large enough to compensate the utility for the loss of the 10 resource? 11 A I have seen all kinds of security deposits. I 12 don't presume to be able to testify on what the logic behind 13 some of them are. 14 Q Wouldn't that be a reasonable security deposit 15 to be requested? 16 A It would be reasonable if the utility says I 17 don't need a resource that they had a zero security deposit. 18 MR. KLINE: No more questions. 19 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Commissioner Nelson. 20 COMMISSIONER NELSON: I don't. 21 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Commissioner Smith. 22 COMMISSIONER SMITH: Yes, just out of 23 curiosity I do. 24 25 230 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 EXAMINATION 2 3 BY COMMISSIONER SMITH: 4 Q Your previous testimony is that this project 5 is going to be identical to the Montana plant? 6 A Nearly identical. Where there would be 7 differences is in the selection of fuel and the kinds of 8 equipment used to receive the fuel. 9 Q Did you want to alter your testimony on Page 3 10 where you said it's intended to be identical? Are you just 11 clarifying now what you really meant? 12 A I'm sorry now, please, where is that? 13 Q It's the first line of your answer. 14 A I would prefer to alter my testimony that it 15 would be intended to be nearly identical. 16 Q And then you clarified that by it's some 17 difference in fuel? 18 A Fuel receiving equipment would be the primary 19 difference. For example, if you received run-of-mine coal, 20 the same kind of fuel used at Colstrip, the plant would 21 essentially be identical. If we used petroleum coke, there 22 would be some differences in the fuel receiving equipment, 23 but when I say identical, to me a plant means the boiler and 24 the turbine and the condenser, and so those things would be 25 the same. 231 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (Com) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q So the project in Montana does not burn waste 2 coke? 3 A It burns waste coal. 4 Q Educate me. 5 A Petroleum coke is a by-product of the refining 6 industry. As they take crude oil and extract various cuts, 7 as they call it, of gasoline and diesel oils and things of 8 that nature, they're left with asphalt. That's used to 9 either pave the roads or, in the case of our Billings 10 project, the refinery has a process in place that extracts 11 one more cut of gasoline and results in a solid material 12 called petroleum coke. It's primarily a form of carbon; so 13 that's what we burn or will burn in Billings. 14 In the Colstrip project, in the mining 15 process, as they strip the overburden or dirt that's laying 16 on top of the coal down to the coal seam, the upper six 17 inches to a foot of coal is high in ash content and high in 18 sulfur content and is unsuitable for use at Colstrip units 19 1, 2, 3, and 4, and so historically, that top of the coal 20 seam was wasted back to spoils and just buried in the 21 ground. 22 Because of the CFB technologies and the 23 strides that were made since Colstrip units 1 through 4, our 24 Colstrip project is able to take that material that was 25 previously just re-buried and burned in the CFB; so one is a 232 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (Com) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 coal and the other is a by-product of refining oil. 2 Q What is it you intend to use in Mountain Home? 3 A Right now we are maintaining the flexibility 4 to burn either. 5 Q And is this waste coal, as you call it, what 6 you mean when you said run-of-mine coal? 7 A Run-of-mine coal is the generic name for the 8 "good coal"; in other words, once you take this waste coal 9 off the top, you get down to run-of-mine coal which they 10 just take out of the mine and ship right to the user. 11 Q Would either the Mountain Home project or the 12 your Montana project be able to burn the run-of-mine coal? 13 A Technically, they would burn it very well. 14 Q Do they ever do that? 15 A Generally do not burn it because of the fuel 16 pricing differences. The run-of-mine coal is more 17 expensive. 18 COMMISSIONER SMITH: Thank you. 19 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Redirect, Mr. Orndorff. 20 MR. ORNDORFF: I just have one question, 21 Mr. Chairman. 22 23 24 25 233 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (Com) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 REDIRECT EXAMINATION 2 3 BY MR. ORNDORFF: 4 Q Mr. Blendu, do you remember when in 1990 5 Montana Power gave us a draft contract? 6 A As I said to Mr. Kline, I don't remember the 7 scenario of events back there. 8 MR. ORNDORFF: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 9 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Blendu, thank you 10 very much for your help. 11 (The witness left the stand.) 12 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Can this witness be 13 excused? 14 MR. KLINE: As far as I'm concerned. 15 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Blendu, you're free 16 to come or go as you wish. 17 Mr. Orndorff. 18 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, I can call my 19 next witness. It will be Dr. Richard Slaughter if you want 20 to proceed on. 21 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Why don't we get 22 started. I may want to confer with the Commissioners and 23 adjourn just a few minutes before noon, but we have some 24 time that we can spend between now and then. 25 MR. ORNDORFF: Okay, I'd call, then, 234 CSB REPORTING BLENDU (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Dr. Richard Slaughter. 2 3 RICHARD A. SLAUGHTER, 4 produced as a witness at the instance of Rosebud 5 Enterprises, Inc., having been first duly sworn, was 6 examined and testified as follows: 7 8 DIRECT EXAMINATION 9 10 BY MR. ORNDORFF: 11 Q Would you state your full name and business 12 address? 13 A My name is Richard A. Slaughter. My business 14 address is P.O. Box 4126, 7201 Swift Lane, Boise, Idaho. 15 Q Are you the same Dr. Slaughter that caused to 16 be prepared certain testimony that is presented in this 17 case? 18 A Yes. 19 Q Are you sponsoring any exhibits? 20 A Yes, I'm sponsoring Exhibit 6 through 9. 21 Q Does that include the exhibits on your 22 rebuttal testimony? 23 A I believe I did not have any additional 24 exhibits on rebuttal. 25 Q Thank you, Dr. Slaughter. Did you also not 235 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 cause rebuttal testimony to be prepared in this case? 2 A Yes, I did. 3 Q If I were to ask you the questions that are in 4 both your rebuttal and your direct, would your answers be 5 the same? 6 A Yes, they would. 7 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, I'd like to have 8 the exhibits marked, and with that, I would tender 9 Mr. Slaughter for cross-examination and have his testimony 10 spread on the record. 11 MR. WOODBURY: Mr. Chairman, could I interrupt 12 at this point? 13 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Woodbury. 14 MR. WOODBURY: With respect to exhibits to 15 Mr. Slaughter's rebuttal testimony, I would point 16 Mr. Slaughter to Page 7, Line 5. Starting there he makes 17 reference to Appendices B and C which he says are attached. 18 I did not receive them. I don't think that they were 19 provided and I don't know whether that was an oversight or 20 whether there was no intention of providing them. 21 THE WITNESS: There should have been two Data 22 Resources articles attached as Appendices B and C. I 23 haven't seen the testimony after it went through the 24 production process; so they may not have been distributed. 25 I expected that they would be. 236 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 COMMISSIONER MILLER: What page, 2 Mr. Woodbury? 3 MR. WOODBURY: Page 7, beginning around Line 5 4 of the rebuttal testimony. The reference is actually on 5 Line 10 of that Page 7. 6 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Woodbury and 7 Mr. Orndorff, what do you propose here? We have testimony 8 that refers now to exhibits or appendices that apparently 9 don't exist or at least are not part of the record. We 10 could either supplement the record with those appendices or 11 we could, I assume, strike the paragraph or at least 12 Lines 5 through 16 of that paragraph that refers to -- 13 MR. ORNDORFF: Well, Mr. Chairman, I would 14 propose over the lunch hour to find another copy of the 15 exhibits and hand them out. I believe they were filed at 16 the Hearing Room and we've been having some problems in 17 getting exhibits attached to testimony and I don't know if 18 they're on my end or at the filing room, but we will try to 19 get down and get Exhibits B and C. 20 MR. KLINE: We did not receive of a copy 21 either. 22 COMMISSIONER MILLER: I take it that no other 23 party ever came into possession of what are referred to here 24 as Appendices B and C? Apparently not. During the lunch 25 hour, then, Mr. Orndorff, would you locate those documents 237 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 and make sufficient photocopies of them and then I think it 2 would probably be best to label them as exhibit numbers 3 rather than Appendices B and C; so if you could label those 4 as Exhibits 11 and 12, that would probably keep our record 5 most clear. 6 MR. ORNDORFF: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I'm 7 sorry for the inconvenience. 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, with that 9 understanding, then, Exhibits 6 through 9 will be marked, 10 and the direct and rebuttal testimony of Dr. Slaughter will 11 be spread on the record as if read. Thank you for pointing 12 that out, Mr. Woodbury. 13 (The following prefiled direct and rebuttal 14 testimonies of Dr. Richard Slaughter are spread upon the 15 record.) 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 238 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (Di) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q Please state your name and business address 2 for the record. 3 A My name is Richard Slaughter. I am owner of 4 Richard A. Slaughter Associates, First Interstate Center, 5 Suite 700, Boise, Idaho 83702. 6 Q Have you prepared a statement of your 7 qualifications to offer testimony in this proceeding? 8 A I have. It is attached to this testimony as 9 Appendix A. 10 Q Are you offering any exhibits? 11 A Yes. I have prepared and offer exhibits 6 12 through 9. 13 Purpose and Scope 14 Q What is the purpose and scope of your 15 testimony? 16 A My testimony is on behalf of Rosebud 17 Enterprises, Inc. The purpose of my testimony is to examine 18 the reasonableness of the Idaho Power and Commission load 19 forecasts as they apply to the first deficit date for Idaho 20 Power, Order No. 24911; the impact of the proposed Rosebud 21 plant at Mt. Home on Idaho Power Company's load/resource 22 balance; the appropriate avoided cost rates to be applied to 23 the Rosebud facility; and the issue of dispatchability 24 raised by Idaho Power. 25 239 1 Summary 2 Q Please summarize your testimony. 3 A Idaho Power Company desires to apply its 4 current resource management plan and in-house load estimates 5 to the Rosebud Mt. Home facility. The Company has long 6 believed that its true avoided cost can be determined only 7 by the Company and not by the Commission, and that prior 8 Commission orders allow for such Company discretion in the 9 case of plants over ten megawatts 10 11 / 12 13 / 14 15 / 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 240 1 capacity. This testimony finds that exactly the opposite is 2 true with regard to Commission decisions. Following the 3 Company's logic, while it might promise produce short term 4 ratepayer and shareholder benefits, produces an impossible 5 policy result. It also finds that Idaho Power's load 6 forecast, while reasonable in its parts, is so low overall 7 as to expose the ratepayer to unnecessary risk of power 8 deficits; and it develops a reasonable non-levelized avoided 9 cost structure for the Rosebud plant. 10 Issues Appropriate to this hearing 11 Q Idaho Power, in its response to the Rosebud 12 complaint identifies several issues to be addressed at a 13 special hearing on a Rosebud agreement: 14 1. "...whether Idaho Power needs to acquire 15 any large additional resources prior to the year 2000", 16 involving a Commission "review of Idaho Power's respective 17 load and resource analyses;" 18 2. " whether additional take and pay, 19 non-dispatchable energy purchase contracts like the one 20 demanded by Rosebud, will maintain ratepayer indifference;" 21 and 22 3. "...the impact of additional 23 non-dispatchable, take and pay contracts on the Company's 24 debt-equity requirements." 25 Are these questions appropriate for a hearing on Idaho 241 1 Power's obligations under current Commission orders and 2 Rosebud's rights and obligations? 3 A No, they are not. The issues properly before 4 the Commission include the impact of the Rosebud facility on 5 Idaho Power's 6 7 / 8 9 / 10 11 / 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 242 1 load/resource balance, as determined by Commission order for 2 purposes of avoided cost; the proper avoided cost rates to 3 serve as the starting point for negotiations; whether any 4 contract negotiated by Idaho Power and Rosebud adheres to 5 Commission orders; and whether the load forecast utilized by 6 Commission staff in determining the first deficit year is 7 reasonable. 8 The issues as stated by Idaho Power attempt to re-open 9 generic avoided cost in the guise of a contract hearing, and 10 attempt to substitute the utility's internal planning 11 process for the lengthy public hearing process conducted by 12 the Commission. The Commission has previously determined 13 that the utility can not be judge and jury in its own case, 14 and that avoided cost issues must be decided in a case 15 directed to that end. 16 "The utility is in a unique position when 17 negotiating with CSPPs. It controls the 18 resources and data by which a determination 19 can be made as to whether its scheduled 20 avoided costs are in synch with its perceived 21 "true" avoided costs. If it perceives a 22 significant change then, it is incumbent upon 23 the utility to initiate an appropriate filing 24 with the Commission." ... 25 [emphasis added] 243 1 "IT IS HEREBY ORDERED that the foregoing 2 discussion be interpreted as a declaratory ruling and be 3 used as an instructive guide in the conduct of CSPP rate 4 negotiations between utilities and QFs greater than 10 5 megawatts." (P-300-12, Order 15746, p.5). 6 This language has never been overturned by the 7 Commission. The general questions of policy and methodology 8 raised by Idaho Power are not at issue here. They are 9 appropriate for a general avoided cost case, which at this 10 date has not been filed. 11 Load Forecast 12 Q The Idaho Power load forecast in the 1993 13 Integrated Resource Plan shows long term load growth 14 averaging 1.4% per year, 2.1% 15 16 / 17 18 / 19 20 / 21 22 23 24 25 244 1 between 1992 and 1998, while the Commission has adopted a 2 load growth assumption of 3.25%. How would you evaluate 3 these forecasts? 4 A Over a long period of time, point estimates 5 are almost always wrong, and it is frequently impossible to 6 know either how far they will be wrong, or in which 7 direction. A forecast should be examined for the 8 reasonableness of both its components of a forecast to all 9 be biased in the same direction -- conservative or 10 optimistic -- such that although the individual forecasts 11 each reasonable, the overall projection becomes unreasonably 12 high or low. 13 Q Have you prepared an exhibit to help analyze 14 the forecasts? 15 A Yes. Exhibit 6 shows the Idaho Power load 16 history and forecast, from 1988 through 2000. It shows 17 total load and the component loads for Idaho Power Company. 18 Q What are the results of your analysis? 19 A On Exhibit 6, lower half of the page, under 20 the column "Compound Rate of Increase, Since 1990", note 21 that the compound rate of increase by 2000 falls to 1.7%, 22 from 6.4% growth in 1991. It is characteristic of the 23 forecast, whether to 1998 or 2014, that the out years are 24 expected to grow more slowly than the near term. Note that 25 the year to year growth estimated by the Company "Reported 245 1 Total Load - %", shows negative growth in 1996 and is 2 virtually flat after that time. 3 The analysis based on 1988 shows a higher rate of 4 growth. Because the latter analysis includes the rapid 5 growth years of 1989 6 7 / 8 9 / 10 11 / 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 246 1 and 1991, it shows a higher overall rate even with the 2 dampening effect of the projections after 1995. 3 Q How do the individual projections explain this 4 result? 5 A Taking the component markets in turn, 6 Residential load appears to grow strongly after 1992, though 7 the 1993 projection of 4% might be low considering the 8 dampening effect of weather in 1992. Employment and 9 population growth (Exhibit 8) are estimated by the Division 10 of Financial Management and the Bonneville Power forecast. 11 Sales and income tax collections, showing surpluses over 12 projected receipts every year but one since 1988, indicate 13 that the Company's projection may low. Given this data, 14 together with continuing declines in the relative price of 15 electricity, one might expect more than 4% residential load 16 growth in 1993. 17 The Commercial sector is projected to grow at a pace in 18 line with history through 1995, though it then declines to 19 2% annually. This projection, again, is defensible in 20 itself but more likely to be too low than too high. 21 Industrial loads show strong growth throughout the 22 decade, but decline below recent experience after 1994. 23 Irrigation growth in 1992 was clearly due in part to 24 drought, and may well show a growth pattern much like the 25 forecast. FMC loads are best predicted to stay flat, as are 247 1 additional firm loads resulting from specific contracts. 2 Q You have not mentioned off-system firm loads. 3 How do they impact the forecast? 4 A The load forecast portrays a policy of 5 shedding firm off-system loads. After rising 59% in 1991, 6 they fell 12% in 1992 and are 7 8 / 9 10 / 11 12 / 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 248 1 projected to fall a further 20% in 1995 and 14% in 1996. 2 Eventually the Company shows all off-system firm contracts 3 being eliminated. It is this managed decline, together with 4 low growth expectations in the residential and commercial 5 markets that allow the Company to state that new resources 6 are not needed until 2006. 7 Q Are the residential and commercial 8 projections, which you characterize as "low growth," 9 unreasonably low? 10 A No, they are not. They could very well occur. 11 None of the forecasts, individually, is unreasonable, and 12 the Company has the option of ending firm off-system 13 contracts. Over the decade and the forecast horizon, 14 however, they collectively say that recent growth in the 15 state and the service area is an aberration, and will soon 16 end. 17 Q What is your assessment of that scenario? 18 A In the 1970s Idaho experienced rapid growth 19 due to inflation, the baby book, and high demand for Idaho 20 resources. During the 1980s, the excesses of that growth 21 became evident and the state experienced several slow years. 22 Current growth is qualitatively different. It is far 23 broader, and less dependent on natural resources. It is not 24 inflation driven. It is grounded more in reduced 25 transportation and communications costs, factors that are 249 1 less subject to near term reversal than were the conditions 2 of growth in the 1970s. It can be expected to be more 3 persistent than past growth. 4 Q What are the risks in Idaho's current growth 5 scenario? 6 A There are two engines of our current growth 7 that could turn negative. The first is that we are the 8 beneficiary of bad economic 9 10 / 11 12 / 13 14 / 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 250 1 times in California. Eventually this source of growth will 2 end, but the end is not likely to be found during the next 3 four or five years. 4 A second source of growth, linked to the first, is the 5 electronics industry, which has entered a rapid growth phase 6 following an incubation of about fifteen years. The Boise 7 area has, in a very real sense, become a successor to 8 Silicon Valley. This engine of growth can turn at any time. 9 That turn, however, is not likely until such time as the 10 costs of growth begin to affect the economics of the 11 industry, as has occurred in California. That time may be 12 another quarter century away. 13 Risk Assessment 14 Q We all know the costs of surplus capacity: if 15 firm markets can not be found, the retail price may be a few 16 mills higher than in the optimum situation. But what is the 17 cost of a serious deficit? 18 A One of the absolute requirements of the 19 electronics industry is clean and dependable power, in very 20 large quantities. The equipment they operate can not handle 21 voltage fluctuations, and heavy reliance on uninterruptable 22 power supply (UPS) systems to maintain clean power is very 23 expensive. Continued growth, even the persistence of 24 existing electronics manufacturing, is dependent on high 25 quality, available power. 251 1 If Idaho Power, as a result of failing to fully project 2 load growth, were to enter a period of deficits while the 3 region remained in surplus, there might be little effect. 4 Debate before the Commission would center on appropriate 5 least cost resources and life would go on. If, on the other 6 hand, off-system sales have been curtailed, the region 7 8 / 9 10 / 11 12 / 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 252 1 goes into deficit, and the Idaho Power service area also 2 goes into deficit, near term choices would have to be made. 3 Such choices could be very costly. 4 Q Idaho Power has produced five forecast 5 scenarios and performed an uncertainty analysis prior to 6 doing a least-cost analysis. Is this procedure not an 7 adequate safeguard? 8 A This is the area where forecasting becomes art 9 more than science. There are two areas of weakness. The 10 first is that the company's highest scenario is for 2.1% 11 average growth. During the 1970s, a decade of admittedly 12 high growth and declining relative electricity price, the 13 compound rate was 5.9%. In the 1980s, even with years of 14 contraction and rising relative electrical prices, the 15 compound rate was 1.9%. The current decade so far shows 16 strong, broad-based economic growth with level prices. 17 Given this background, a low near-term forecast would appear 18 suspect. The economic forecast shows five scenarios, but 19 the load forecast is done only with the base case of 1.4%. 20 The second difficulty is that an 80% confidence interval 21 for any model with multiple, complex equations looks like 22 the bell on a bass horn. It is just not possible to be 23 confident that load growth over the decade, much less the 24 forecast horizon, will be 1.4%, + .2%, as is necessary to 25 sustain the resource plan. 253 1 During the near term, between 1992 and the date the 2 Rosebud plant would become operational, the Commission 3 growth estimate of 3.25% appears to be reasonable and more 4 likely than the Idaho Power projection of 2.1% growth. 5 6 / 7 8 / 9 10 / 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 254 1 Future Conservation and QF Resources 2 Q The Company's resource plan includes several 3 conservation resources between 1993 and 2006, which help to 4 defer need for future capacity. The Appendix A schedule 5 does not include these resources. Which is appropriate for 6 the Rosebud facility? 7 A The procedure followed in the Appendix A 8 schedule is appropriate for all PURPA planning. The 9 Commission has made clear several times that the meaningful 10 difference between plans under 10 MW in size and those over 11 that threshold is their effect on the surplus period. Since 12 the trigger is set at 30 MW, a plant in excess of that size 13 will automatically reset the surplus calculation. The 14 Rosebud plant, for example, will move the estimate of 15 deficit back from 1997 to 1998. 16 Conservation resources are not to be used in making the 17 surplus calculation for several reasons, not the least of 18 which is that their actual impact is problematic. The 19 Commission, in Order No. 22636, July 27, 1989, stated: 20 "...as a result of the evidence presented to date, 21 it is clear that estimated future conservation and QF 22 resources should not be included as resources for 23 determining avoided costs. The cost effectiveness and 24 quantity of QF/conservation resource additions are dependent 25 on the avoidable costs of traditional resources. Using 255 1 QF/conservation resource estimates to extend a utility's 2 surplus for determination of avoided cost rates is a 3 circuitous process that falsely reduces QF rates." (Order 4 No. 22636, p. 70) 5 QF resources already contracted for are clearly 6 legitimate components of the resource stack. Projected 7 resources, however, are just that. There is absolutely no 8 basis in logic or Commission decisions for the Company to 9 include in its least cost plan unknown future QF resources 10 under 10 MW in size in order to avoid purchase 11 12 / 13 14 / 15 16 / 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 256 1 of a known facility of 40 MW. The trigger process, whereby 2 the surplus period is extended as capacity is added, 3 automatically adjusts market signals to prospective power 4 developers. 5 Q How dependent is the Company's least cost plan 6 on estimated conservation resources? 7 The near term resource stack (Exhibit 7) is heavily 8 weighted toward conservation resources, many of which have 9 not been implemented. These resource include 67.5 MW 10 of "Agricultural Choices" in 1994 and 36.2 MW of "Commercial 11 Futures" in 2000. The Commission has, prudently, removed 12 those resources from its calculations. 13 Other than these speculative resources and the Shoshone 14 Falls rebuild in 2004 (108 MW), all of the identified 15 resources through 2012 are thermal plants that the 16 Commission specifically wishes to avoid, or are mired in 17 controversy (Wiley). All except Wiley carry 1993 cost 18 estimates higher than avoided cost. 19 Surplus Sales 20 Q The Company's calculation of first deficit 21 year in 2006 incorporates shedding its off-system firm 22 loads. Those loads decline from 152 MWa in 1992 to 115 MWa 23 in 1998 and 6 MWa in 2004. Is shedding of this load an 24 appropriate way to avoid new resources? 25 A It is risky, and may not be appropriate. The 257 1 Commission, in Decision No. 24375, Case No. IPC-E-92-6, 2 determined that at least until the next biennial review 3 off-system firm sales should be included in the Schedule A 4 list of requirements. The Company's filing of Schedule A in 5 Case IPC-E-93-4 continues this practice, 6 7 / 8 9 / 10 11 / 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 258 1 though the Company does not believe it appropriate. The 2 Commission notes in Order 24911 that 3 "In Order No. 24375 the Commission accepted 4 Idaho Power's offer to defer resolution of 5 this issue until the next biennial review of 6 avoided costs and avoided cost methodology." 7 Two points are in order. First, this proceeding is not 8 the next biennial review of avoided costs. Reduction of 9 loads by means of shedding firm off-system sales is thus not 10 appropriate at this time, for determination of the first 11 deficit year. Second, the strategy poses what may be 12 unnecessary risks for ratepayers. As the Company is fully 13 aware, economic and load forecasts are fraught with 14 potential for error, especially in the medium to long term. 15 An unexpected uptick in growth rates, persisting for several 16 years, could easily lead to shortages. Coupled with a 17 severe drought, the result could be off-system purchases at 18 high prices if there were no sales contracts coming due. In 19 short, off-system sales under contracts that expire in a 20 rolling fashion provide an element of resource and rate 21 security that cannot be found elsewhere. 22 Rate Structure 23 Q What are current non-level avoided costs? 24 A Exhibit 9 shows non-level avoided costs for 25 Idaho Power Company, effective May 21, 1993. These rates 259 1 are exclusive of the adjustable rate, set at 9.9 mills, 2 effective July 1, 1993. 3 Q Are these rates applicable to the Rosebud 4 facility? 5 A Yes. Past Commission decisions have made 6 clear that these rates are the basis for negotiation. 7 "...Such facilities [larger than 10,000 kW] 8 ...represent a significant generating resource on the 9 system and may require 10 11 / 12 13 / 14 15 / 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 260 1 special operating and scheduling procedures unlike those 2 for smaller units. The published rates would still form 3 the starting point for negotiations, but individualized 4 consideration would be given to issues such as losses, 5 reliability, ability to schedule and so forth." 6 [emphasis added] 7 "This approach,...was endorsed by virtually every 8 participant to the June hearings. Idaho Power alone 9 envisioned a somewhat different procedure. ...Each 10 contract would, however, be individually negotiated in 11 all details. ...This procedure appears to us to be too 12 cumbersome for all parties and involves the Commission 13 too closely in the dealings between the parties. ..." 14 (Case P-300-12, Order 15746, p. 34). 15 Q If negotiation does not start at zero with 16 regard to rates, what does it incorporate? 17 A A large QF presents issues with regard to 18 timing and the shape of power delivery that may impact the 19 Company's system. These matters are legitimate areas for 20 negotiation. In addition, the Commission has frequently 21 requested the parties to consider dispatchability of large 22 plants. 23 Q Idaho Power has proposed a dispatchable rate 24 structure to Rosebud. Why is that structure not an 25 appropriate starting point for negotiations? 261 1 A Because it does not reflect avoided costs. 2 The Commission has made clear that avoided costs are the 3 basis for negotiation for a dispatchable plant: 4 In the -170 case, the Commission made it clear that 5 avoided costs were the starting point for negotiations, and 6 that impact on the surplus ending date was the primary 7 reason for adjustment to the published rates: 8 "Large projects shall be subject to adjustments to 9 the published rates to reflect their effect on the 10 utility's load-resource balance." (Case U-1500-170), 11 Order 22636, p. 68). 12 13 / 14 15 / 16 17 / 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 262 1 Earlier in the same Order, the Commission points out 2 that unless a contract incorporates dispatchability or other 3 enhancements, the avoided cost should be a ceiling rate: 4 "...to be acceptable the present value of such 5 rate structures must not exceed the present value of 6 the Commission established rates, except to the extent 7 that any additional cost is offset by the value to the 8 utility and its ratepayers resulting from 9 dispatchability or other enhancements." (U-1500-170, 10 Order No. 22865, p. 15). 11 The fact that a plant is to be dispatched does not 12 reduce the value of its generation. Rather, its value to 13 the system is increased relative to a plant receiving take 14 and pay avoided cost rates. A dispatchable rate structure 15 must at a minimum reflect the levelized avoided capital 16 cost, currently 54.48 mills/Kwh for a plant with a 75% plant 17 factor. The Company's offer of March 1992 reflected a 18 levelized avoided capital cost of 36 mills/Kwh. The 19 Commission's past declarations on dispatchability have 20 clearly reflected an intent that the Company offer a premium 21 for dispatch because it carriers a premium value. 22 That the Commission is interested in dispatchability is 23 also clear. Later in the same order, 24 "...We encourage... utilities to develop 25 alternative rates to applicable to dispatchable QFs. 263 1 We presume such rates would include a fixed capacity 2 portion substantially lower than the capacity portion of 3 the rates resulting from this case..." 4 and 5 "Whether the blended dispatchable rate is more or 6 less than the nondispatchable rate developed hereunder 7 will depend on the value of dispatchability to the 8 utility, the sharing of future variable cost risks, etc." 9 (U-1500-170, Order 22636, p. 56). 10 11 / 12 13 / 14 15 / 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 264 1 Clearly, the Commission envisaged that the level of 2 capacity payment offered be determined by the value of 3 dispatchability to the utility. A capacity payment lower 4 than that required for the SAR would be appropriate in the 5 event that the CSPP desired capacity payments but the 6 utility had no need for further dispatchable resources. In 7 the event that the utility has a strong preference for 8 dispatchable resources, dispatchability carries a premium 9 value, which should be recognized in a payment structure 10 more heavily weighted to capacity payments. 11 Q Idaho Power has stated in its Integrated 12 Resource Plan, and in filings in this case, that its RMR is 13 the basis for rates offered to plants over ten megawatts in 14 size. Is there any basis in Commission decisions for that 15 position? 16 A No. Idaho Power has consistently maintained 17 that its avoided cost rates be based on its own internal 18 planning process. It now offers SAR avoided costs to plants 19 of 9.9 MW and below, but continues to insist on its own 20 current resource stack for all other proposals. 21 From Idaho Power's internal perspective, this position 22 makes sense. Small power, large plants in particular, carry 23 the potential of causing changes in the company's resource 24 stack. They also result in a meaningful deferral of large 25 additions to rate-based generating capital. 265 1 From a ratepayer standpoint, however, the company's 2 resource stack is a mixture of known resources, estimated 3 costs of potential future resources, estimated cost of 4 current and future conservation programs, and other 5 elements. It is constantly subject to change in 6 7 / 8 9 / 10 11 / 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 266 1 both its composition and cost, and is the product of 2 internal Company processes. 3 For the Commission to delegate to the Company its 4 responsibility for setting avoided cost would subject the 5 ratepayer to a high degree of potential manipulation and 6 abuse. The Company is primarily responsible to its 7 shareholders, whose interests are different than those of 8 ratepayers. The Company cannot be put into the position of 9 being judge and jury in its own case. Avoided costs, for 10 all projects, must be set by the Commission, not the 11 Company. 12 Q Does this complete your testimony? 13 A Yes. 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 267 1 Q Please state your name and business address 2 for the record. 3 A My name is Richard Slaughter. I am President 4 of RSA, Inc., 7201 Swift Lane, Boise, Idaho 83702. 5 Q Are you the same Richard Slaughter who has 6 previously testified in this proceeding? 7 A I am. 8 Q Have you reviewed the prefiled testimony of 9 Idaho Power witnesses in this docket? 10 A Yes, I have. 11 Economic and Load Forecast 12 Q Mr. Church makes clear his conclusion that 13 your testimony attempted to impeach the IRP economic and 14 load forecast as being deliberately manipulated: "(planting 15 the rather obvious inference that the Company's forecast is 16 bias [sic] downward)" [p. 9], "deliberately abbreviated 17 numbers" [p. 9], "desired 3.25% rate of growth" [p. 5], 18 "... implies ... the Company is biasing the forecast" 19 [p. 6]. Was that your intent? 20 A No. Mr. Church does excellent work, and I 21 would never expect a forecast prepared under his supervision 22 to be anything other than careful, considered, and honest. 23 In the context of this proceeding, the accuracy of the 24 economic or load forecast to 2014 is not at issue, nor is it 25 relevant. What is relevant are the risks facing ratepayers 268 1 of excess generation capacity on the one hand and 2 insufficient capacity on the other. The Company's witnesses 3 take great pains to elaborate on the risk and cost of excess 4 capacity, and none whatsoever to examine the cost of 5 insufficient capacity. 6 7 / 8 9 / 10 11 / 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 269 1 Mr. Church misunderstands the thrust of my direct 2 testimony. My testimony considers the possibility that the 3 Idaho Power near term (prior to 1998) forecast may be 4 exceeded, and that the forecast contained in the Appendix A, 5 Order No. 24911 may be more useful for that period; that the 6 probability of the Idaho Power forecast being exceeded is 7 high enough that the consequences are worth considering; and 8 that the Idaho Power IRP contains no strategy for 9 under-estimating load growth. My testimony is certainly no 10 more eclectic than the Company's assertion, in its IRP and 11 its position paper, Staff Exhibit 108, referenced by 12 Mr. Packwood, that low-cost non-firm energy will continue to 13 be available through the remainder of the decade and beyond. 14 Q Has Mr. Church provided evidence of the 15 magnitude of risk involved in the load forecast? 16 A Yes. Mr. Church assigns a probability of .40 17 to his base case forecast, .22 to the medium high forecast, 18 and .08 to the high forecast. In addition, Figure 7, p. 38 19 of the IRP, shows the "Potential Cost Impact of 20 Uncertainties" in the load forecast. These estimates result 21 from sensitivity analyses performed by the Company. The 22 illustration makes clear that there is a wide range of 23 potential error in the point estimate forecast account for 24 about 90% of all uncertainties. 25 Q Mr. Church at one point complains of an 270 1 "apples and oranges" comparison between the Idaho Power 2 economic forecast and those of BPA and the Idaho Division of 3 Financial Management. Is his point well taken? 4 5 / 6 7 / 8 9 / 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 271 1 A Certainly, if I were criticizing his forecast 2 for not agreeing with the other works. In point of fact, he 3 makes my case. He states it this way: 4 "... I am sure Mr. Slaughter knows that a forecast is 5 predicated on a view of the world and it's [sic] prospects 6 based on knowledge at a particular point in time. He has 7 failed to point out that the forecast comparisons to the 8 Idaho Power forecast he presents are based on different time 9 frames." 10 Mr. Church implies that the forecast should not be 11 examined on the basis of later data. If the question were 12 the validity of the forecasting procedures, he would be 13 absolutely correct. But the question is the validity of a 14 1998 point estimate. For that purpose, more recent data is 15 definitely a consideration. 16 The relevant question here is not so much Mr. Church's 17 forecast, but the reasonableness of the load forecast 18 contained in Appendix A to Order No. 24911. For purposes of 19 this proceeding, it is my recommendation that the forecast 20 contained in that schedule applies to the present docket 21 unless Idaho Power can demonstrate otherwise. That schedule 22 anticipates 3.14% compound growth in loads from 1992 to 23 1998. Application of the trigger for the Rosebud plant 24 would move the first deficit year to 1998. The accuracy or 25 reasonableness of point forecasts beyond that date are not 272 1 at issue. 2 The economic forecast used for the IRP, prepared in 3 August 1992 (Church, Di, p. 7), anticipates 1992 growth of 4 6,761 residential customers. The Company's 1992 Financial 5 and Statistical Report, p. 2, indicates that actual growth 6 was 8,333 customers, for growth 23% higher than predicted in 7 August (3.4% opposed to a predicted 2.8%). The August 1992 8 economic forecast anticipated total non-agricultural 9 10 / 11 12 / 13 14 / 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 273 1 employment growth in the service area of 2.8%, whereas the 2 estimate contained in the March 1993 Statistical Report is 3 of 3.2% growth. 4 These data do not impeach the forecast contained in 5 Appendix A of Order No. 24911. Further, the native load 6 forecast shown by Mr. Church in his Exhibit 211 indicates 7 anticipated growth of 3.6% in 1993, 3.2% in 1994, 2.7% in 8 1995, 1.3% in 1996, and 1.8% in 1997. If the turning point 9 anticipated by Mr. Church is but delayed two years, then the 10 Appendix A forecast will be fulfilled. 11 Combined Cycle Combustion Turbines and Ratepayer Risk 12 Q The Company's testimony speaks of using 13 combustion turbines to firm non-firm purchases. Is there 14 evidence that such a strategy may not be wise? 15 A Yes. The strategy depends on non-firm energy 16 continuing to be available except for short periods of time. 17 The general consensus, however, is not one of continuing 18 surplus but of impending deficit. To quote the 1991 19 Northwest Power plan, 20 "... The region is in what utility planners call 21 `load/resource balance.' This means that there is just 22 about enough power supplied by the existing system to meet 23 regional electricity needs at their present level. ... 24 "Despite the progress [in implementing conservation] 25 of the last 10 years, the region enters the 1990s without 274 1 the capability to successfully run conservation programs in 2 all sectors of the economy and without an inventory of 3 resources that can be developed quickly. Even with moderate 4 growth, the region will need an additional 2,000 megawatts 5 by the turn of the century." (1991 Northwest Power Plan, 6 Vol. I, p. 6). 7 Q Dr. Wilmorth, in Exhibit 206, shows the base 8 case used by the Company in modeling its proposed Rosebud 9 rates. Do you have comments on that exhibit? 10 11 / 12 13 / 14 15 / 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 275 1 A Yes. Exhibit 206 shows Idaho Power's 2 anticipated monthly surplus/deficiency and resource plan, 3 including several demand side management programs: 4 Agricultural Choices and Commercial Lighting in 1994, 5 Commercial Custom Measure in 1996, Industrial Futures A in 6 1998, and so on. It then shows combustion turbines in 2006 7 and 2009. 8 I have already testified on the inclusion of 9 conservation resources in the stack (Slaughter, Di, 10 p. 9-10). The first thermal resources in the stack are 11 combined cycle CTs. Combustion plants are essentially 12 peaking and cycling units, not base load. Their inclusion 13 as base load units has the effect of shutting out competing 14 fuels and shifting risk to the ratepayer. 15 Q Please explain that statement. 16 A If combustion turbines are the effective 17 surrogate resource, rates will be set such that only 18 gas-fired combustion units can be built. The capital 19 portion of the rate is too low to support construction of 20 other facilities, so only gas-fired generation will be 21 built. The adjustable portion of the rate will be tied to 22 gas prices. With natural gas as the fuel, the adjustable is 23 large. If gas prices do not rise, the ratepayer reaps the 24 benefit of which the Company speaks. On the other hand, if 25 gas supplies become tight, the ratepayer pays the full cost. 276 1 Other fuels, with lower susceptability to supply constraints 2 and fuel substitution, will have a reduced presence in the 3 market. 4 Any non-gas facility that anticipates continuing 5 increases in gas prices can be bankrupted if the forecast 6 does not come true, because the fixed capital portion of the 7 rate will not cover debt service. For that reason, such 8 facilities will not be able to obtain financing, and will not 9 10 / 11 12 / 13 14 / 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 277 1 be built. Thus, truly renewable and waste fuel projects, 2 such as Rosebud, will not be proposed, and the region will 3 become more dependent on natural gas, a non-renewable fuel. 4 Q There is some precedent in the 1991 Northwest 5 Power Plan (Northwest Power Planning Council, 1991) for the 6 use of combined cycle combustion turbines (CT's) as a low 7 cost thermal resource. Is such a resource a suitable 8 substitute for the coal-fired resource currently included in 9 the Idaho avoided cost methodology? 10 A Combined Cycle CTs are included in the BPA 11 portfolios as hydrofirming resources, not as base load 12 resources. The Plan makes clear that there is far too much 13 price and availability risk with natural gas to depend on 14 those resources for base load. As such, they are 15 inappropriate for the Surrogate Avoided Resource. 16 The 1991 Power Plan does, in some portfolios, use a 17 CCCT as the defining unit, for purposes of hydro-firming, 18 but only up to the point that further hydro-firming is 19 useful for the system. At the same time, the Council 20 recognizes the extreme price escalation risk inherent with 21 gas-fired plants, and strongly recommends that 22 "To hedge against too much reliance on natural 23 gas-fired technologies for hydro firming, the Council 24 recommends that at least two-thirds of the combustion 25 turbine capacity should be at sites that have the ability to 278 1 switch to goal gasification or other fuels. 2 "... To facilitate this conversion, sites that are 3 developed for combustion turbines also should have the 4 necessary land, access to coal supply, and permits to allow 5 for conversion to coal gasification in the future. (1991 6 Northwest Power Plan, Vol. I, page 38)." 7 Q Does the Idaho Power IRP include cost 8 estimates associated with the Council's recommended strategy 9 of switching to coal gasification, siting, and permits? 10 11 / 12 13 / 14 15 / 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 279 1 A No. Inclusion of those costs might well 2 eliminate the perceived cost advantage of gas-fired 3 generation. 4 Q Do you have other evidence that dependence on 5 gas fuels represents high risk for ratepayers? 6 A Yes. Data Resources, Inc. has recently raised 7 concerns about the predictability of the gas market. In two 8 articles published in the May 1993 Review of the U.S. 9 Economy - Ten Year Projection, DRI analysts examine recent 10 low drilling levels, growth of demand since 1988, and the 11 resulting reduction of the supply bubble that has kept 12 prices low. (Attached as Appendices B and C). They 13 conclude that there is substantial risk of gas price 14 strengthening during the 1990's. The analysts note that the 15 longer term price stability is dependent on higher prices 16 producing an increase in the drilling rate that has so far 17 not materialized. (Data Resources, Inc., "New Moves in 18 Natural Gas and Oil Prices," Ten-Year Projections, May 1993, 19 p. 53). 20 The Northwest Power Plan speaks specifically to risks 21 posed by gas: 22 "During the 1980s, there were abundant supplies of 23 natural gas at low prices, but only a decade earlier, price 24 and availability of natural gas were problems. The massive 25 shift to natural gas that is occurring not only in the 280 1 electric power industry, but also in other industrial 2 sectors and among residential consumers, could once again 3 constrict availability of this fuel. For this reason, a 4 heavy dependence on gas-fired electric power generation may 5 bring particular risks to the region." (1991 Northwest 6 Power Plan, Vol. I, P. 27) 7 In Portfolio 4, which deals with natural gas 8 uncertainty, the Plan anticipates no cogeneration, very 9 little hydrofirming from a CCCT, and growing use of coal 10 gasification as early as 1995. It also anticipates a 11 contribution from WNP-1 and/or WNP-3 as early as 12 13 / 14 15 / 16 17 / 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 281 1 1997 to meet medium high loads. The Council's Action Plan 2 contains specific recommendations for dealing with the risks 3 posed by natural gas. 4 Risk Strategies 5 Q You have been criticized for suggesting that 6 limited term firm sales for resale might be retained as a 7 hedge against rapid demand increases. Do you have comment? 8 A Yes. While the Company has no obligation to 9 build (or buy) resources to serve those loads, Dr. Wilmorth's 10 response and criticism begs the question that I posed: How 11 does the plan handle the risk of unexpected rising demand in 12 the context of a regional deficit? 13 The company indicates that "... continued availability 14 [of non-firm energy] is anticipated" over the forecast 15 horizon ("Acquisition of Supply-Side Resources," Idaho Power 16 Company, September 1993). The entire thrust of the IRP is 17 predicated on that assumption. Totally apart from the 18 ability of forecasters to know the future, there is little 19 consideration of the risk to ratepayers and the economy of a 20 capacity deficit. The proposal I put forward is one way of 21 insuring against that risk for a very low premium. 22 The IRP assigns probabilities of .08 and .22 to load 23 growth scenarios higher than the base forecast, while at the 24 same time the IRP indicates that the preponderant portion of 25 potential cost from uncertainties in the IRP is derived from 282 1 the load forecast (Integrated Resource Plan, March 1993, 2 Figure 7, p. 38). I would be much more comfortable with the 3 IRP if it contained a strategy, much like that 4 5 / 6 7 / 8 9 / 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 283 1 adopted by the Regional Power Council, for handling the 2 consequences of a too-low forecast (see 1991 Northwest 3 Conservation and Electric Power Plan, Vol. I, p. 36, 4 "Objective 2: Reduce Resource Lead Times"). I might point 5 out that Idaho Power is itself playing a role in BPA's risk 6 strategy through its Ida-West subsidiary. Ida-West announced 7 in June 1993 that BPA has selected the Ida-West Hermiston 8 co-generation project to be part of the BPA Resource 9 Contingency Program (Idaho Statesman, June 10, 1993). 10 As Dr. Reading points out in his testimony, in the 11 late 1970's an Idaho Power executive put out bumper stickers 12 with the slogan "Let the Bastards Freeze," because the 13 Commission and others saw a developing regional surplus that 14 was not visible to Idaho Power. Today, the Northwest Power 15 Council and BPA foresee a developing regional deficit which 16 does not appear visible to Idaho Power. While the IRP 17 recognizes the impact of errors in the load forecast, the 18 action plan contains no strategy for it. The entire process 19 is geared to the threat of the past ten years instead of the 20 next ten. The strategy of looking to peaking units for base 21 load power essentially shifts base load responsibility to 22 QFs and the risk to the ratepayer. The company bears no 23 cost for being wrong. 24 Use of the Company's IRP to Set Avoided Cost Rates 25 Q Do any of the Idaho Power witnesses address 284 1 your concerns, Mr. Faull's concerns, or the language of 2 prior Commission orders with regard to the applicability of 3 administratively determined avoided costs to projects over 4 10 MW in size? 5 6 / 7 8 / 9 10 / 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 285 1 A No. Dr. Wilmorth's testimony and Mr. Packwood's 2 testimony continue to presume that the Commission has made a 3 sharp distinction between projects under and over 10 MW, and 4 that modeling the IRP is an approved method for determining 5 rates for larger projects. Dr. Wilmorth states that when 6 the base case for modeling Rosebud was built, the "resulting 7 plan to meet expected load growth included the same 8 conservation, power system efficiency improvements, and 9 hydro upgrade projects as were contained in the IRP, and did 10 not alter their timing" [Wilmorth, Di, p. 6, lines 12-16. 11 Emphasis added]. He criticizes Rosebud for insisting that 12 negotiations start with the published rates instead of with 13 the IRP. 14 Q Why are their presumptions not valid? 15 A Other than its disregard for Commission 16 orders, which Mr. Faull and I have spoken to and need not 17 repeat here, their procedure further assumes that all of the 18 assumptions and conclusions of the IRP are valid. Dr. 19 Reading has described several reasons why they should be 20 suspect, and how adoption of such a method carries with it 21 several policy implications for the Commission. Further, 22 the IRP has not been through an adversarial hearing before 23 the Commission, and therefore cannot be binding on the 24 Commission or on developers as regards avoided cost rates. 25 Q Dr. Parkinson describes an ideal method for 286 1 avoided cost price determination, cites examples of 2 utilities flooded with capacity as a result of setting a 3 too-high avoided cost rate, and describes the nature of 4 costs paid by the ratepayer when utilities enter into long 5 term fixed price agreements. Do you have any comments? 6 7 / 8 9 / 10 11 / 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 287 1 A Yes. First, Dr. Parkinson's think piece makes 2 for interesting reading, and he makes many useful points, 3 many of which (e.g., the effects of NEPA) are irrelevant to 4 this case. His paper is not relevant to this proceeding, 5 because this complaint proceeding does not concern changing 6 the Commission's avoided cost methodology. Second, his 7 excessive cost examples do not take the Idaho trigger into 8 account. While Dr. Wilmorth (Wilmorth, Di, p. 16, lines 9 12-21) does not like the method of its operation, the 10 trigger mechanism does in fact work to reduce the avoided 11 cost as the first deficit date moves further out. The Idaho 12 Commission has never, to my knowledge, required a utility to 13 purchase all power offered at a given rate, irrespective of 14 impact on its load/resource balance. 15 Finally, Dr. Parkinson's allusion to the cost of lost 16 investment flexibility when entering into long term 17 contracts (Parkinson, Di, pp. 25-28), like other company 18 arguments, begs the question of the cost of foregoing 19 opportunity. Risk works both ways. Making a commitment, at 20 the bottom of the market, to spot prices for future needs is 21 a lot like a homeowner opting for 5.5% variable instead of 22 6.5% fixed. There is very little opportunity for rates to 23 move downward in comparison with their opportunity to move 24 up. The difference here is that the Company takes none of 25 the risk. 288 1 During the 1970s and early 1980s the Idaho economy 2 benefited considerably from the insulation provided by 3 stable electric rates when oil and gas prices were rising 4 rapidly. Since then, relative gas prices have been falling, 5 and the Company desires that acquisition policies be shifted 6 toward the spot market, in order to maximize the gain from 7 that trend. The Company and Dr. Parkinson ignore the risk 8 associated 9 10 / 11 12 / 13 14 / 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 289 1 with their proposed policy: that the market may tighten 2 quickly, leaving ratepayers fully exposed to changes in fuel 3 price. 4 Dr. Parkinson is also concerned with potential retail 5 wheeling, and indicates that high cost utilities may have 6 trouble in the potential new environment. He does not 7 explain how, given that "Idaho Power is one of the nation's 8 lowest cost providers of electric service" (Packwood, Di, 9 p. 14, line 13-15), it could fail to be advantaged in such a 10 market. 11 I submit that the Company can not have it both ways. 12 The Commission's policy has been to promote acquisition of 13 long term resources at prices which reflect long term base 14 load acquisition costs. This policy may, arguably, fail to 15 maximize the near term benefit to the ratepayer during 16 periods of falling fuel prices. On the other hand, it 17 protects the ratepayer from both sharp upturns in fuel costs 18 (e.g., the "drought" increase recently granted to Idaho 19 Power -- no qualified facility will have its payments 20 increased as a result) and the step effect of acquiring 21 large rate-based facilities such as Valmy or a combined 22 cycle turbine large enough to realize economies of scale. I 23 recommend that the Commission reject this attempt to change 24 fundamental policy outside the appropriate adversarial 25 process. 290 1 Q Does this complete your testimony? 2 A Yes. 3 4 / 5 6 / 7 8 / 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 291 1 (The following proceedings were had in open 2 hearing.) 3 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Richardson. 4 MR. RICHARDSON: We have no questions for this 5 witness, Mr. Chairman. 6 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Burleigh. 7 MR. BURLEIGH: No questions. 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Fell. 9 MR. FELL: No questions. 10 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Woodbury. 11 MR. WOODBURY: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 12 13 CROSS-EXAMINATION 14 15 BY MR. WOODBURY: 16 Q Mr. Slaughter, referencing your testimony 17 beginning Page 1, around Lines 11 through 14, you make 18 reference to Commission Order No. 24911, which I believe is 19 in Case Idaho Power-E-93-4, to the Appendix A attached to 20 that, and also you make reference to Idaho Power's 21 integrated resource plan. Is it your contention or the 22 contention of Rosebud that Order No. 24911, Appendix A, 23 load/resource schedule and revised first need for capacity, 24 is the appropriate schedule to use for Rosebud for 25 determination of first deficit year and avoided cost 292 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 determination? 2 A Yes. 3 Q Do you believe that it's preferable to Idaho 4 Power's integrated resource plan? 5 A In this proceeding I believe it is preferable 6 to Idaho Power's resource plan and I go into some of the 7 issues for that. It's my recommendation that the resource 8 plan not be part of this proceeding partly because it's not 9 part of the avoided costs that were established prior to 10 this complaint being filed. It is not currently part of the 11 avoided costs. Idaho Power has now, I believe last week, 12 filed a case that proposes to incorporate the integrated 13 resource plan, but that plan raises a large number of issues 14 that need to be examined in an adversarial proceeding before 15 it could be used for establishing avoided costs. 16 Q Conceptually, do you, assuming that we have a 17 hearing and determine what's appropriate to include or 18 exclude from the integrated resource plan, do you see that 19 as a better source for determining first deficit need than 20 the Appendix A that we've already established? 21 A I'm sorry Mr. Woodbury, I'm not picking up the 22 first part of your question. Just a little louder, if you 23 may. 24 Q Assuming that we have a hearing on Idaho 25 Power's integrated resource plan and determine what's 293 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 appropriate or inappropriate for inclusion, do you believe 2 that the integrated resource plan as a whole is a better, I 3 guess, starting document for determining first deficit year 4 than the Appendix A that we've established? 5 A I'm not sure that's an answerable question, 6 Mr. Woodbury. My recommendation -- with regard to the 7 question, to the extent as I understand it, I would say that 8 the IRP process is an alternative way to come up with the 9 kind of information that is necessary for an Appendix A or a 10 document that does what Appendix A does, and it is my 11 recommendation that if the IRP process is to be so used that 12 it go through an adversarial proceeding prior to such use. 13 Q Did you participate in the hearing where we 14 established an Appendix A? 15 A I participated in the 1500-170 case. I 16 participated in the early rounds of the -- the first round 17 of the utility specific cases. I did not participate in the 18 Water Power appeal. 19 Q Do you believe that the Appendix A that we use 20 to determine the first deficit year is deficient in any way? 21 A Is deficient? No, I don't. 22 Q In the Notice of Case Status in this case 23 issued on February 19th, the Commission summarized Rosebud's 24 position in the following way: "Rosebud seeks an avoided 25 cost rate to ascertain project viability." Do you believe 294 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 that this summary of position is still accurate? 2 A I would answer a qualified yes to that in that 3 I don't have the entire document in front of me right now, 4 but I would expect that -- I would say yes, it is. 5 Q Have you reviewed or are you familiar with 6 party correspondence in this case? 7 A Correspondence? I have reviewed it. I may 8 not remember all the details. 9 Q Are you familiar with correspondence dated 10 May 25th from Rosebud to Idaho Power regarding an offer or 11 in it the following language appears: "Rosebud hereby 12 offers to provide Idaho Power Company firm capacity and 13 energy based on the identical contract Meridian Energy 14 signed including rates, terms and conditions excepting only 15 the site, fuel, initial date of operations changed to 16 January 1, 1998, and sizing of the project"; do you remember 17 reading that letter? 18 A Yes, I do. 19 Q Do you interpret that as an unequivocal and 20 firm commitment to sell with respect to those rates? 21 A Yes. 22 Q And do you know what Idaho Power's response to 23 that offer was? 24 A I can't say off the top of my head exactly 25 what the response was, no. 295 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q Are you familiar with the three rate offers 2 that Idaho Power made to Rosebud? I believe those are in 3 Company Exhibits 207 and 208 and 209. Have you reviewed 4 those? 5 A Yes. 6 Q And with respect to Exhibit No. 207, which I 7 believe is, it's called Full Utility Dispatch - Capacity 8 Payments Commencing 2006, did Rosebud find that offer to be 9 acceptable? 10 A My memory would indicate that they found it to 11 be unacceptable. 12 Q Is it your understanding that all of the rate 13 offers of Idaho Power were for, were estimates and were not 14 firm commitments on behalf of the Company? I believe that 15 there's qualifying language at the bottom of each rate 16 offer. Do you have those exhibits in front of you? 17 A I have the exhibits and, for example, on 18 Exhibit 207, Page 1 of 1, Footnote 2, the values, and 19 footnote -- well, Footnote 2, "The values in this column are 20 estimates for discussion purposes." They do not represent 21 an offer to purchase rates, yes. 22 Q Could you explain why the rates offered in 23 Exhibit 207 do not comport with the project that Rosebud 24 proposes to build? 25 A Well, one fundamental reason is that the 296 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 capacity value doesn't begin until the year 2006, which is 2 the year identified in the IRP as the first deficit year; 3 whereas, Appendix A adjusted for the impact of Rosebud would 4 indicate the year 1998. A second reason is that the 5 estimated annual dispatch amount is less than, is either at 6 or a little less than, 10 percent of the capacity of the 7 plant. 8 Q And what changes would that require in how the 9 plant is built, if any? 10 A I don't know that I can answer the question or 11 respond to what it would require in how the plant was 12 built. My expectation would be that the plant couldn't be 13 built under a revenue stream produced from this schedule. 14 Q Is it your understanding that although they 15 factor in an eight percent dispatchable, well, rates based 16 on -- is it eight percent or ten percent dispatchability? 17 A I haven't calculated it, I can, but my 18 understanding of the output of the plant at a 75 percent 19 capacity factor is 330, 340,000 megawatts a year; so this is 20 around 10 percent. 21 Q Would that limit the amount of energy that 22 Idaho Power could require from the facility? 23 A Would it limit the amount of energy Idaho 24 Power could require? You mean to dispatch from the 25 facility? 297 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q Yes. Could they require that Rosebud be 2 dispatched on a 24-hour basis, 365 days year? 3 A I would expect that, yes, they could. 4 Q Exhibit 208, how do those rates differ from 5 those in 207? 6 A Exhibit 208 presents energy only rates that 7 are indicated to be non-dispatchable. They also contain an 8 indication of a rate structure that's flat at $21.20 per 9 megawatt-hour through 2005. 10 Q Do you know what rate that compares to? Is 11 that comparable to the Company's or equivalent to the 12 Company's Schedule 86 non-firm rate? 13 A The 21.20? I would expect that it is, yes. 14 Q And those were the two rates that were offered 15 prior to the negotiating session that took place on 16 April 1st? 17 A That is my understanding. 18 Q Did you participate in the negotiation session 19 that took place? 20 A No, I did not. 21 Q Do you know whether Rosebud was provided with 22 workpapers supporting the calculation of the rates that were 23 offered? 24 A No, I do not. 25 Q Subsequent to your April 1st -- subsequent to 298 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 the April 1st negotiation session, an additional set of 2 rates was prepared by Idaho Power and presented to Rosebud 3 and those are reflected in the Company's Exhibit 209. Do 4 you know how those rates compare to the other two sets that 5 were provided? 6 A Well, Exhibit 209 purports to, again, offer 7 full utility dispatch and, again, the estimated average 8 annual dispatch is the same schedule as that shown in 9 Exhibit 207. The energy value when dispatched is the same 10 as that shown in Exhibit 207. The capacity value begins in 11 1998. 12 Q And did Rosebud find those rates to be 13 acceptable? 14 A Finds them to be acceptable? 15 Q Acceptable. Did Rosebud find those rates to 16 be acceptable? 17 A No, I don't believe so. 18 Q And in determining the acceptability of any of 19 the rates that were offered, again we're looking at whether 20 those rates would make the project viable? 21 A That would be a basic criterion for myself, 22 yes. 23 Q Did you participate at all in the evaluation 24 of any of those rates? 25 A No, I did not. 299 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q Are you familiar with Commission notices and 2 orders in this case? Have you reviewed those? 3 A Yes, I have. 4 Q The Commission Notice, which is dated 5 July 12th, 1993, does that form a more accurate statement of 6 party positions than the original Complaint and Answer? 7 MR. KLINE: Objection. 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Sustained. 9 Q BY MR. WOODBURY: Does it form a more accurate 10 statement of Rosebud's position than the original Complaint? 11 A I'm sorry, Mr. Woodbury, I don't have that in 12 front of me, I don't believe. I can look for it. 13 MR. ORNDORFF: Mr. Chairman, if I might, I'm 14 not sure this witness is offering testimony as to the 15 negotiations and specifically trying to compare the 16 Complaint to the Commission's July 12th Order. 17 MR. WOODBURY: Could you speak into your 18 microphone? 19 COMMISSIONER MILLER: I don't think 20 Mr. Woodbury heard you, Mr. Orndorff. 21 MR. WOODBURY: Am I asking questions of the 22 wrong witness? 23 MR. ORNDORFF: I think probably that's how it 24 boils down. Dr. Slaughter has not been in the testimony. 25 He is not a policy witness as to what the Complaint says and 300 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 how it's changed and where the processes have evolved to in 2 July of 1993 and where it might have evolved to, if it has, 3 from July of 1993. He really hasn't offered testimony. 4 I've kind of encouraged the testimony because I think they 5 are good questions and they're helpful in getting to some of 6 the issues, but I'm just not sure that Dr. Slaughter is 7 capable of responding. 8 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Woodbury. 9 MR. WOODBURY: I think that what I had asked 10 were prefatory questions, but I can ask more direct 11 questions in relation to his testimony on Page 2; so maybe 12 if I could proceed. 13 COMMISSIONER MILLER: It does appear to me 14 that much of what we've gone through in the last few minutes 15 is beyond the scope of Dr. Slaughter's direct testimony; so 16 from now we'll ask you to confine your questions to matters 17 that are within the scope of his direct testimony. 18 MR. WOODBURY: All questions -- 19 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All questions. 20 MR. WOODBURY: -- or just this particular 21 area? 22 Q BY MR. WOODBURY: On Page 2, starting around 23 Line 9 through 21, you talk about the identification of 24 issues of Idaho Power Company. 25 A Yes. 301 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 MR. KLINE: This is the direct testimony I 2 take it? 3 MR. WOODBURY: Yes, it is. 4 Q BY MR. WOODBURY: And you identify the issues 5 as an attempt to reopen generic avoided cost issues and an 6 attempt to substitute the utility's integrated resource plan 7 for Appendix A. On Page 3, Line 26 -- 8 MR. KLINE: Is there a question there? Excuse 9 me. 10 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Are we working toward a 11 question, Mr. Woodbury? 12 MR. WOODBURY: Of course. 13 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right. 14 Q BY MR. WOODBURY: You state: "The general 15 questions of policy and methodology raised by Idaho Power 16 Company are not at issue." We previously discussed 17 Commission Notice dated July 12th -- 18 MR. KLINE: I'm going to object. He didn't 19 even have that in front of him at the time that the question 20 was asked; so there wasn't really any discussion. 21 COMMISSIONER MILLER: I think the objection is 22 a little premature. Let's see if we can get to a real 23 question that is capable of being either answered or 24 objected to. 25 Q BY MR. WOODBURY: In that particular Notice, 302 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 the Commission stated: "The parties' identification of 2 issues appears to be a fair depiction of what will be 3 considered in this case. Idaho Power contends that the 4 rates, terms and conditions should be negotiated based on 5 need, dispatchability and other least cost planning 6 criteria." My question then is, is it still your testimony 7 that the general questions of policy and methodology raised 8 by Idaho Power Company are not at issue? 9 A Well, it was my testimony and that it is my 10 testimony that, and I don't have the July 12th decision in 11 front of me, is that while those issues may be discussed in 12 the context of this case that my understanding is that there 13 are existing avoided cost rates that have been filed. There 14 is an existing Appendix A, and that these issues which are 15 appropriate to a biennial review and I believe some of the 16 issues were considered by the Commission -- in a previous 17 order there is language speaking of deferring consideration 18 of some of these issues to the next biennial review, and my 19 point there is that this is not that review and that my 20 feeling is that they're inappropriate for this case. 21 Q I'd like to move on to another area now. With 22 respect to load forecasting, your testimony starting Page 3, 23 around Line 29 and going forward, you speak of the load 24 growth assumption contained in the existing methodology of 25 3.25 percent. That's the load growth that's contained and 303 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 used in the Exhibit A load/resource schedule; is that 2 correct? 3 A Yes. 4 Q And you state on Page 4, Line 4, that point 5 estimates are almost always wrong. I'm wondering, have you 6 had the opportunity to review Mr. Church's testimony for 7 Idaho Power? 8 A Yes, I have. 9 Q Mr. Church states at Page 3, Line 7, of his 10 direct that the actual 1988-92 native load growth without 11 firm off-system sales was 2.25 percent. 12 MR. KLINE: Can you give me that page 13 reference again, Scott? I'm sorry. 14 MR. WOODBURY: Church testimony, Page 3, 15 Line 7. 16 MR. KLINE: Okay. 17 Q BY MR. WOODBURY: Do you believe that the 18 number cited by Mr. Church has any relevance with respect to 19 continued use of the 3.25 percent which is in Appendix A? 20 A As I believe I pointed out in my rebuttal or, 21 I'm sorry, yes, in my rebuttal testimony, and then I will 22 preface that I did not go through Mr. Church's comments one 23 by one because what I'm concerned with here is not the use 24 of a 3.25 percent load growth infinitely, you know, the 25 growth from 2010 to 2015 for my purposes is not at issue in 304 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 this case, the load growth from 2000 to 2010 is not at 2 issue, and I would definitely agree with Mr. Church that to 3 use 3.25 percent for the period from now until then would be 4 excessive. The question is whether or not the load growth 5 assumptions in Appendix A are reasonable for the period of 6 time between now and 1998. 7 Q And 1998 being the date that you propose to 8 bring your project on line or the date that is the first 9 deficit year? 10 A I believe it works out to be the same thing. 11 Q I know, but why are you choosing 1998? 12 A Because if the Rosebud plant were to come on 13 line in 1998 or any time prior to that, it would according 14 to Appendix A move the first deficit date back to 1998. 15 Q On Page 6, Line 18, you indicate that current 16 growth can be expected to be more persistent than past 17 growth. Is there -- I guess you cite the reasons as past 18 growth was dependent on inflation, baby boom and high demand 19 for Idaho resources. Are there any other reasons that you 20 would point as supporting your statement that the growth 21 cycle that we're in now should be more persistent? 22 A To the extent that the growth cycle we are in 23 now is compared to the growth experienced during the 1970s, 24 these are the fundamental reasons: Growth in the 1970s was 25 largely driven by inflation and driven by demographics. 305 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 Q Is this your opinion or is that conclusion 2 reached by other forecasters? 3 A Well, to a large extent you can characterize 4 that as my opinion. Let's see, the first time I came across 5 that view was in, I think it was, the Pacific Northwest 6 Regional Economic Conference in Spokane in about 1981 or 7 1982 and the reference was made by the, by a vice president 8 and chief economist of First Interstate Corporation. I've 9 reflected considerably on that view since that time and it 10 makes a great deal of sense. 11 During the 1980s, a lot of the contraction 12 that Idaho experienced was due to working off of the excess 13 growth, as I view it, in the 1970s; that is, the structure 14 of the timber industry changed, the structure of the mining 15 industry changed, and a great many jobs were lost in these 16 high wage industries, export industries, during that period 17 of time. 18 Growth in the 1990s is far, has a far broader 19 base than it did in the 1970s and it is being experienced in 20 a period of low or zero inflation. 21 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Why don't we take our 22 noon recess now if that would be all right, Mr. Woodbury. 23 MR. WOODBURY: Fine. 24 COMMISSIONER MILLER: Mr. Orndorff, I think we 25 will reconvene at 1:30 which should give you a few extra 306 CSB REPORTING SLAUGHTER (X) Wilder, Idaho 83676 Rosebud 1 minutes if you need them to make those photocopies. 2 MR. ORNDORFF: Thank you, Mr. Chairman. 3 COMMISSIONER MILLER: All right, we'll see you 4 all at 1:30. 5 (Noon recess.) 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 307 CSB REPORTING COLLOQUY Wilder, Idaho 83676