Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout20210701Attachment 20-1.pdfBEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-E-21-04 IDAHO POWER COMPANY ATTACHMENT 1 TO REQUEST NO. 20 TO IDAHO POWER COMPANY’S RESPONSE TO THE SECOND PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE COMMISSION STAFF neea.org | info@neea.org Memorandum April 2, 2021 TO: Kathy L. Yi, Energy Efficiency Analyst, Idaho Power Company; Quentin Nesbitt, Energy Efficiency Leader, Idaho Power Company; Chad Severson, Energy Efficiency Analyst, Idaho Power Company CC: Stephanie Rider, Senior Manager, NEEA Data, Planning and Analytics FROM: Christina Steinhoff, Principal Planning Analyst, NEEA Data, Planning and Analytics; Kyle Billeci, NEEA Data, Planning and Analytics SUBJECT: Final 2020 Annual Savings Report NEEA is an alliance of utilities that pools resources and shares risks to transform markets toward energy efficiency that benefits consumers in the Northwest. NEEA’s role is to establish technology and market conditions that advance energy efficiency in markets in a sustainable way. Energy savings are enabled by the alliance’s market transformation programs, codes and standards work, and investment in tools, training, resources, data and research to support greater efficiency. The programs seek to affect sustainable changes in markets, which then result in energy savings. As such, Idaho Power has asked NEEA to report savings based on an established agreement. Based on that agreement, NEEA provides annual tracking and reporting of savings resulting from long-term market transformation efforts. This memo provides the final energy savings estimates for 2020. NEEA allocates the savings based on Idaho Power’s funding share of its regional investment. The savings are above NEEA’s market transformation baseline and are net of savings claimed through regional utility programs. Details about baseline and technical assumptions are in the attached Excel spreadsheet. Please do not hesitate to contact Christina Steinhoff at 503.688.5427 with any questions about this report. IPC-E-21-04 IPC Attachment 1 to Staff No. 20 Page 1 of 4 Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance 421 SW Sixth Avenue, Suite 600, Portland, OR 97204 503.688.5400 | Fax 503.688.5447 Page 2 of 4 Final 2020 Savings Estimate Summary NEEA estimates Idaho Power’s 2020 annual electric energy savings associated with its initiatives is 2.01 aMW (Table 1). These savings are above the NEEA baseline1 and exclude an estimate of savings that Energy Trust of Oregon, Bonneville and local utilities claim through locally run programs. NEEA allocates energy savings based on funder share. Table 1: 2020 Annual Report Savings Estimates (aMW) Total 2.01 Residential 0.98 Commercial 0.77 Industrial 0.26 Notes: The values might not add up because of rounding. These are site-based, first year electric savings. Net Market Effects= Total Regional Savings- Local Program Savings -Baseline Savings 2020 Updates to Voluntary Program Savings Approximately, 0.50 aMW come from voluntary programs like Heat Pump Heaters, Retail Products Portfolio and residential new construction. NEEA also added savings from its Extend Motors Products Program. The remining savings come from codes and standards either tied to voluntary programs or related to direct codes and standards work. The voluntary program savings is greater than the 0.33 aMW NEEA reported in February 2021 primary because: •Extended Motors Products: NEEA added the Extend Motors Products program to its savings portfolio. NEEA partnered with the League of Pacific Northwest to increase the region’s motor fleet efficiency by influencing end-users to improve motor management services. Idaho Power’s funding share of the savings increased by 0.02 aMW from the Q1 forecast. •New Construction: NEEA was able to track significantly more certified above code homes within the region. The number of certified homes increased from 7,249 in the forecast to 9,165, resulting in 0.09 more aMW of savings for Idaho Power. •Commissioning: NEEA had a conservative forecast of commissioning. NEEA updated the forecast based on its annual commissioning survey and new construction data from Dodge. Idaho Power’s funding share of the savings increased by 0.03 aMW from the Q1 forecast. 1 NEEA estimates Baseline as the savings that would have occurred without NEEA, utility, the Bonneville Power Administration, and the Energy Trust of Oregon’s market intervention. IPC-E-21-04 IPC Attachment 1 to Staff No. 20 Page 2 of 4 Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance 421 SW Sixth Avenue, Suite 600, Portland, OR 97204 503.688.5400 | Fax 503.688.5447 Page 3 of 4 More details about the other updates are available in the Programs Tab of the attached spreadsheet.2 Value of Codes & Standards The remaining savings come from codes and standards work. This work can both be tied to a program (e.g. Next Step Homes, Clothes Washers and Heat Pump Water Heaters) or not. Influencing the adoption of codes and standards is a key market transformation strategy, and, when successful, results in a sustained market change. On behalf of the region, NEEA works at state and national levels to influence the adoption of increasingly stringent building energy codes and federal appliance and equipment standards. Working in collaboration with its partners, NEEA gives the Northwest a voice in codes and standards processes and is frequently the only efficiency organization directly representing utilities in these forums. Value of Future Portfolio NEEA has several programs such as Commercial Window Attachments, Very High Efficiency Dedicated Outdoor Air Systems, and Variable Capacity Heat Pumps that are new and do not yet have associated savings rates. In the next few years, NEEA anticipates these voluntary programs will begin delivering savings. NEEA is also investigating several emerging technologies with savings opportunities for the 5-10-year horizon. These include thin triple-pane windows and ultra-high- definition televisions. Historical Updates NEEA updates its historical savings estimates based on new data. Changes to the 2019 savings estimate were not significant. More details about the historical updates are available in the 2019 Updates tab of the attached spreadsheet. 2 Note that NEEA is basing the 2020 DHP savings estimate on 2019 data and 2020 local programs data. NEEA will update these estimates in September with final data from manufacturers. IPC-E-21-04 IPC Attachment 1 to Staff No. 20 Page 3 of 4 neea.org | info@neea.org Appendix A: Methodology to Forecast Savings Allocation Methodology NEEA allocates regional savings (Idaho, Montana, Oregon, and Washington) using shares of investment by funder. These shares vary by funding cycle. Savings from previous investments receive the previous funder share. Savings from current investments receive the current funder share. Table 2 shows the funder shares. Table 2: Funder Shares Business Plan Funding Share 2020-2024 9.23% 2015-2019 8.01% 2010-2014 8.67% Prior 6.42% Baseline and Technical Assumptions This report follows NEEA’s method of measuring electric energy savings from market transformation efforts. The baseline is an estimate of the market adoption without intervention by NEEA, the Bonneville Power Administration, the Energy Trust of Oregon and utilities. Prior to reporting the savings above the baseline, NEEA removes the savings counted through the local programs. This effort avoids double counting energy savings. The technical assumptions come from third-party research including NEEA-contracted research and the Regional Technical Forum. IPC-E-21-04 IPC Attachment 1 to Staff No. 20 Page 4 of 4