HomeMy WebLinkAbout20080102Micron to IPC 1-2.pdfIdaho Public Utilties Commission
Office of the SecretaryRECEIVED
GIVE SLEY LLP DEC 3 1 2007
Boise, Idaho
lAW OFFICES
601 W. Bannock Street
PO Box 2720, Boise, Idaho 83701
TELEPHONE: 208 388-1200
FACSIMilE: 208 388-1300
WEBSITE: ww.givenspursley.com
Gary G. Ailen
Peter G. Barton
Christopher J. Beeson
Clint R. Bolinder
Erik J. Bolinder
Willam C. Cole
Michael C. Creamer
Amber N. Dina
Kristin Bjorkman Dunn
Thomas E. Dvorak
Jeffrey C. Fereday
Martin C. Hendrickson
Steven J. Hippler
Debora K. Krstensen
Anne C. Kunkel
Jeremy G. ladle
Michael P. lawrence
Franklin G. lee
David R. Lombardi
John M. Marshail
Kenneth R. McClure
Keily Greene McConneil
Cynthia A. Meliilo
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L. Edward Miiler
Patrick J. Miler
Judson B. Montgomery
Deborah E. Nelson
W. Hugh O'Riordan, lL.M.
G. Andrew Page
Angela M. Reed
Scott A. Tschirgi, lL.M.
J. WiilVarin
Conley E. Ward
Robert B. White
Tem R. Yost
RETIRED
Kenneth L. Pursley
Raymond D. Givens
James A. McClure
December 31, 2007
Via Hand Delivery
Jean Jewell
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
472 W. Washington
P.O. Box 83720
Boise, ID 83720-0074
Re:
Our File:
In the Matter of the Application of Idaho Power Company for
Authority to Increase its Rates and Charges for Electrc Service to
Electrc Customers in the State of Idaho - Case No.: IPC-E-07-08
4489-29
Dear Jean:
Enclosed for fiing are an original and four (4) copies of Micron Technology,
Inc.'s Response to Idaho Power Company's First Production Request in connection with
the above-captioned matter.
If you have any questions, please call me.
j=\n.aJ~
Tina M. Adornetto
Assistant to Conley Ward
CEW/tma
cc: Service List (w/enclosures)
S:\CLIENTS\4489\29\T A to Jewell re Micron Response to ¡PC i st Production Request.DOC
Conley E. Ward (ISB No. 1683)
GIVENS PURSLEY LLP
601 W. Bannock Street
P. O. Box 2720
Boise, ID 83701-2720
Telephone No. (208) 388-1200
Fax No. (208) 388-1300
cew(0givenspurs1ey,com
Ido Put;';" ¡.'I."..'t', vi'! '~s COffce of l~e'š ommission
R E C E, v~~taiy
DEC 3 f 2007
Boise, Idaho
Attorneys for Micron Technology, Inc.
S:\CLlENTS\4489129\Micron Response to IPC 1st Producton.DOC
BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION
IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION
OF IDAHO POWER COMPAN FOR
AUTHORITY TO INCREASE ITS RATES
AND CHARGES FOR ELECTRIC SERVICE
TO ELECTRIC CUSTOMERS IN THE STATE
OF IDAHO
Case No. IPC-E-07-08
MICRON TECHNOLOGY, INC.'S
RESPONSE TO IDAHO POWER
COMPANY'S FIRST PRODUCTION
REQUEST
COMES NOW Micron Technology, Inc., by and through its attorneys of record, Givens
Pursley LLP, and hereby responds to Idaho Power Company's First Production Request to
Micron Technology, Inc. as follows:
REQUEST NO.1: Please provide copies of testimony and exhibits or comments Dr.
Peseau has prepared and/or presented in utility revenue requirement cases during the past five (5)
years which address the use of forecasted test years, and utility cost of service issues. Testimony
and comments presented in cases in which Idaho Power was a party do not need to be provided.
RESPONSE TO REQUEST NO.1: Copies attached hereto.
MICRON TECHNOLOGY, INCo'S RESPONSE TO IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S FIRST
PRODUCTION REQUEST - IPC-E-07-08 - PAGE 1
REQUEST NO.2: During the time when Dr. Peseau was employed by the Public
Utilities Commissioner of Oregon, did the Oregon Commissioner approve a forecast test year. If
yes, please describe the forecast structure approved by the Oregon Commissioner.
RESPONSE TO REQUEST NO.2: No.$J
DATED this 3/ day of December, 2007.
~~7
GIVENS PURSLEY LLP
Attorneys for Micron Technology, Inc.
MICRON TECHNOLOGY, INCo'S RESPONSE TO IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S FIRST
PRODUCTION REQUEST - IPC-E-07-08 - PAGE 2
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
I HEREBY CERTIFY that on this 3\~ day of December, 2007, I caused to be sered
a true and correct copy of the foregoing by the method indicated below, and addressed to the
following:
Jean Jewell
Idaho Public Utilties Commssion
472 W. Washington Street
P.O. Box 83720
Boise, il 83720-0074
)Z
U.S. Mail
Hand Delivered
Overnght Mail
Facsimile
E-Mail
Baron L. Kline
Monica B. Moen
Idaho Power Company
P.O. Box 70
Boise, il 83707
email: bklineG!idaopower.com
x U.S. Mail
Hand Delivered
Overnght Mail
Facsimile
E-Mail
JohnR. Gale
Vice President Regulatory Affairs
Idaho Power Company
P.O. Box 70
Boise, il 83707
email: rgaleG!idaopower.com
)(U.S. Mail
Hand Delivered
Overght Mail
Facsimle
E-Mail
Peter 1. Richardson
Richadson & O'Lear
515 N. 27th Street
Boise, il 83702
email: peterG!nchadsnadoleai.com
x U.S. Mail
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Enc L. Olsen
Racine, Olson, Nye, Budge & Bailey Charered
P.O. Box 1391
201 E. Center
Pocatello, Idaho 83204-1391
email: rcbßYcinelaw.net
)(U.S. Mail
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Anthony Yanel
29814 Lake Road
Bay Vilage, Ohio 44140
email: yanelG!attbi.com
)( U.S. Mail
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E-Mail
Lu.s.MailHand Delivered
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Dr. Don Reading
6070 Hil Road
Boise, Idaho 83703
email: dreadiniWmindspnng.com
MICRON TECHNOLOGY, INC/S RESPONSE TO IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S FIRST
PRODUCTION REQUEST - IPC-E-07-08 - PAGE 3
..
Weldon Stutzman
Neil Price
Deputy Attorney Generals
Idaho Public Utility Commssion
472 W, Washington (83702)
P,O, Box 83720
Boise, Idaho 83720-0074
Email: weldon.stutzrnan(~iipuc.idaho,gov
N eil.príce(êílpuc. idaho, g ov
Michael Kur, Esq.
Kur J. Boehm Esq.
Boehm Kur & Lowr
36 E, Seventh Street, Suite 1510
Cincinnati, OH 45202
email: mlqii;!z(qiEKlJit\yllrm,çQm
k!_Q.I):)l.l(~m~KLl:l~'\i1i;1.çQm
LotH. Cooke
United States DOE
1000 Independence Ave, SW
Washington, DC 20585
email: lot.cooke(mhq.doe.gov
Dale Swan
Exeter Associates, Inc.
5565 Sterrett Place, Suite 310
Columbia, MD 21044
Email: dswan(w.exeterassociates.com
Electronic Copies Only:
Dennis Goins
Email: dgoinsprng(mcox~net
Arthur Perry Bruder
Email: l\rthur.bmder((l)hq.doe.goíí
~us.Mail
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-¥ US, Mail
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MICRON TECHNOLOGY, INC.'S RESPONSE TO IDAHO POWER COMPANY'S FIRST
PRODUCTION REQUEST - IPC-E-07-08 - PAGE 4
HALE LANE
ATTORNEYS AT LAW
171 F.asl Wiliam Si0:1 I Suii.:i! Cai:'n Ciiy. NUYad¡i K9701
TelephQne (775) 684-6UOo . I'a"simile P75)t,Sl-61
,liww.liaklati.,coll
March 19, 2007 . :~
~~
. ,-.1'..
::;
Crystal Jackson
Commission Secretar
1150 E. Wiliam Stret
Carson City, NV 89701
::~:. ~
: ;~~l.fJ'¿.
_.--_.
õ.(¿';'r\
"'.1':J
.-:
~..
RE: DOCKET NO. 06- i 1022
C."o ,'0')(::,
Dear Ms. Jackson
Please accept for fiing the enclosed original and nine copies of the Direct Testimony of
Dennis E. Peseau in Phase iv on behalf of Southern Nevada Water Authority in the abovc.
referenced docket.
Should you have any questions regarding this lilng, please contact meat (775) 684-6000.
Sincerely,:4~~
i:red Schmidt, Esq.
FJS:taw
Enclosures
cc: Parties of Record
HALE I.AN"; PEEK Dl.NNISON..\ND HOWARD
RE"IO oii:ICE: 5441 Kiekclaiiei Swund fluor I Rci. Neii"d.i .951111,1,01'" 1175j3~1.3UOO I facsimile (115) 786-61ì9
LAS VEGAS OFFICE: 39311 Hu\\ iird Hu&hes Parkway I F'1\nh flour I Lo. Ve¡\l, i"ev;id &9161 I i'hue (702) 222.2500 I YIK.imilc (702) :l5.6'l40
:'OIlMAII'CDOS\IILltNODOCSI612368\1
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BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA
Docket No. 0&-11022 ~
C~ !4..r.~5-.J ~.._;¡
Direct Testimony of
. Dennis E. Peseau
;.:1 _,';,-i
. '.~I: -)~; ::: :~~
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on behalf of
Southern Nevada Water Authority
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PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUSINESS ADDRESS.
My name is Dennis E. Peseau. My business address is 1500 Ubert Stret S.E.,
Suite 250, Salem, Oregon 97302.
BY WHOM ÁND IN WHAT CAPACITY ARE YOU EMPLOYED?
I am President of Utilit Resources, Inc. The firm consults on a number of economic,
financial, and engineering matters for various private and public entities.
ON WHOSE BEHALF ARE YOU TESTIFYNG IN THIS PROCEEDING?
I am testifng on behalf of the Southern Nevada Water Authoriy (IlSNWAIt) and it
constituent members.
DOES ATTACHMENT 1 ACCURATELY DESCRIBE YOUR BACKGROUND AND
EXPERIENCE?
Yes.
WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR TESTIMONY?
::ODM\PLROOOC1202\1 Page 1
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My testimony in this Phase IV cost of servce and rate design portion of Docket No.
o 06-11022 focuses on tw narrw cost of service and rate design issues. Nevada
Power in its Certifcation and originally-filed cost of servce stuy has made a
signifcant and inconsistent change in the manner in which it allocates costs to the
water pumping classest compared with the tw prir general rate cases Docket Nos.
01-10001 and 03-10001.
The purpse of my testimony is to show that the change made to the cost
allocation is only to the water pumping classes, is discriminatory, unreasonable and
unjust. Correting this change or error wil have an insignificant effect on all other rate
classes, although the corrction win measurably affect water pumping classes.
Correcting Nevada Power's errr will also ensure that the same consistent cost
allocaors are use for all rate classs.
Du to the fact that Nevada Power carries its cost of servce results from its
bundled rate design to distrbution-only or DOS rates, i also propose a small corrcton
to related DOS rates to time differentiate demand charges.
WHAT RECOMMENDATION DO YOU MAKE WITH RESPECT TO THE TWO COST
OF SERVICE AND RATE DESIGN ISSUES YOU DESCRIBE ABOVE?
In order to eliminate the clearly discriminatory rates produced by Nevada Power's cost
of service changes only to water pumping classes, i recommend that the Commission
order the Company to correct the cost allocation to water pumping classes to:
For the Traditional Bundled Water Pumping IWP) Rate Schedules:
1. Allocte the cO$ of distribution demand nonrevenue
feeders on the basis of probabilty of peak ("POP") for water
pumping classes, just as Is done for every other rate clas and as
the Commission previously adopted in Docket No. 01-1001;
::ODM'oCDOCLROOOCS\612n82\1 Page2 '
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2.Alternatively, the Company should scale thse
nonrevenue feeder costs on the same basis as it recommended and
the Commission adopted In Docket No. 03-10001, that is, on time
differentiated kwhs', or the coIncident peak demands (probabilty of
peak) of otherwise applicable classes ("OAC").
For Distrbution Onli.Service (DOSLC'asses:
3. The DOS rate design should be Improved to include a
time-diffrentiated kW demand charge consistent wit its
calculation of time difrentiated nonrevenue feeder demand costs
for other demand metered rate schedules.
WHAT is THE ISSUE YOU RASE REGARDING THE MANNER IN WHICH NEVADA
POWER PROPOSES TO ALLOCATE DISTRBUTION DEMAND COSTS?
Nevada Power has deviated from the method for allocating distribution demand costs
to all water pumping classes ordered in both Docket Nos. 01-10001 and 03-1,0001.
explain the technical aspects of this change below.
WHAT AR "DISTRIBUTION DEMAND COSTS?"
In Nevada Power's Certification filing, it provides its revised cost of service study
(exibit-Walsh Certiftion-2). As has been customary, the cost stdy establishes all
required revenues as a funcn of distrbuton, transmission and generation before
classifyng into demand, energy and customer cost functions.
For reference, the distrbution demand cost category I am concmed wih and
address is th residual distributon category of -nonrevenue feeder". ~age 8 of 55, line
, 45, of Exhibit-Walsh Certlflcaion-2 calculates the marginal. demand revenues for this
distributon demand to be $188.8 millon.
::ODMA\PCDOLR0D01201 Page 3
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As shown on page 8 of this exhibit, this $188.8 milion is allocated to On, Mid,
Of and Other demand periods because they are cause by probabilit of distributin
coincident peak demands by time of use. Despite its conclusion in this regard,
Nevada Power makes an unexplained exception here for all Wp. rate schedules by
allocating these distrbution demand costs only to WP schedules on a new and
inconsistent basis. This new and unjustified change is not only inconsistent with
coincident peak allocation, but is inconsistent with the decisions made by the
Commission In both Docket Nos. 01-10001 and 03-10001.
WHAT IS THE EFFECT OF THIS CHANGE PROPOSED BY NEVADA POWER?
This single change reults in rates propose for the water pumping classes that are
discriminatory, in that only these crasses are arrocated costs in this manner. Art other
classes have allocators based on previusly approved cost of servce principles
applied consistently and equally across all classes except for water pumpers. The
resulting rates to water pumping classes proposed by the Company are unjust and
unreasonable because. as i calculate below, the arbitrary change proposed here
results in a five-fold increase In costs allocated to water pumping rate classes. And,
while colTcting this cost allocation to the water pumping schedules has no signifcant
impac on all othr rate schures, Nevada Power's change nevertheless reslt in
overall water pumping rates being almost 10% higher than they would be under prior
Commission-approved cost allocatins.
WHAT IS THE HISTORY OF THIS ISSUE IN PRIOR GENERAL RATE CASES,
DOCKET NOS. 01-10001 AND 03.10011
On behalf of the SNWA, our finn discovere an errr made by Nevada Power in
Docket No. 01-10001 Wih repec to it cost of sece aJlocation of distrbutn
demand costs for the water pumping (WP) rate scedules.
::ODM\PCDS\HLRNOOCS\6120821 Page 4
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The errr was simply that the Company had elected to use customer usage or
biling detenninant data, not frm the actal and readily available WP usage dat by
time of use, but instead frm what it termed "otherwise appUcabJe classes "(OAe)
usage data regardless of time of use.
The Commission recognized the Companys inconsistency and found at
Ordering Paragraph 585:
The Commission finds that the proposal of the SNWA to
base the scedule LGS-WP and LGS-X-WP classe' energy
BTGRs upon the marginal cost study and not the classes'
otherwise applicable rates is reasonable and approved.
As a,result, the WP rates in that case were based on WP usage data by actual
time of use, not the Copany's proposed method of using OACs' energy or kWh data.
reardless of time of use.
WAS THE SAME ISSUE DELIBERATED IN DOCKET NO. 03-100011
Yes.
WHAT WAS THE COMMISSION DECISION ON THIS ISSUE IN DOCKET NO. 03-
100017
The Commission revised its prior decision and found that Nevada Power could
allocate WP demand costs on the basis of the energy data of otherise applicable
classes or "OAC.1t This decision increased WP rates signifcantl over the rates that
would have resulted if actual WP data had been use.
SO, IS THE ISSUE YOU RASE IN REGARD TO WP DISTRIBUTION DEMAND
ALLOCATION IN THE PRESENT CASE MERELY A REHASH OF THE ISSUE WP
CLASSES RAED IN DOCKE NO. 03-100011
No. , provide thIs history so the Commission has a frme of reference for the new
discriminatory approach applie by Nevada Power to the detriment of water pumpIng
::ODMA'lDO\HLRNDO\612081 Page 5
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rate scheules in this case. The issue is new, as Nevada Power has not use either
of the specifc allocators approve in the previous general rate ~ses. I also provie, .
~is background to carefully demonstrate that in the present case, Nevada Power has
inexplicably deviated from the very same method on this issue that it argued and won
in Docket No. 03-10001.
This new method propose for allocating distbution demand costs to WP
classes results in an approximately five-fold incrase in demand cots allocated tó the
WPclasses.
HOW DO YOU PROPOSE TO EXPLAIN THIS RATHER TECHNICAL ISSUE?
i develop below tw tables intended to clearl identif th disribution demand costs at
issue here; to highlight that all other rate classes, including residential and LGS
class, are aJJocted these distbution demand costs based on a diferent, and
proper, basis; that Nevada Power no longer uses Its propod and authorize OAe
_ rate frm OAe kilowatt hours approved Docket No. 03-10001; and, finally, that use of
the Commission approved method in Docket No. 03-.10001, while higher than use of
actual WP time of use data, would allocate fewer demand costs to WP classes than
Nevada Powets new and unexplained noncolncident methd.
WHAT ARE THE DISTRIBUTON DEMAD COSTS AT ISSUE HERE?
The distrbution demand costs at issue here are calculated by Nevada Power as a
and substation demand investment and facilities22residual after all other fixed
23 investmnts are removed:
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Total New Distribution Plant Investment ($)
less - Demand-Related Substation ($)
less - Non-DemandlFacifites ($)
less Facilities Investment ($)
equals = Residual Demand-Drien Distrbuton Investment ($)
This residual demand..rlven investment ;s sometimes referr to by Nevada
Power and others as Iinon-revenue feeder demand." I will simply refer to this reidual
as distribution demand.
WHAT ARE THE ACCEPTED COSTING PRINCIPLES FOR ALLOCAnNG
DISTRIBUTON DEMAND COSTS?
Nevada Powets cost study determines and calculates the extent to which these
demand costs are caused by system peak demands and the probabilty of when these
demands occr. After concluding this, the Nevada Power cost of servce study then
goes on to calculate precise "Probabilit of Peak" or POP coincident peak allocators
used to separate these demand costs into the approprite peak, mid peak, off peak
and "other" time of use periods. System peak demand allocators are measure by the
POP, or similar measures of coincident peak demands in Nevada Powets cost study.
The Company does, in fact, arrocate cost of distbution demand on the basis of POP
for all rate classes, except for water pumping, as Is shown in Appendix A, Workaper
3. page 23 of 55 in Exhibit..Walsh Certifcation-2.
The basis for using such POP demand allocators is usually the result of these
demand costs being caused by time-iferentiated peak and off-peak cot causation.
Nevada Powets cost study determined that over 90% of the reidual distrbution
demand costs are allocated to summer peak periods becuse 90% of the probabilit of
::ODMA'lCDO\HLR0D1201 Page 7
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HOW DOES NEVADA POWER ALLOCATE THESE DEMAND COSTS TO THE WP
CLASES?
Unlike the Docket No. 03-10001 cåse where Nevada Power requested and was
authorized to set WP rates on the basis of energy billing determinants for otherwse
applicable cfasses (1I0AC"). the Company in the present case uses what ;s referred to
as a "noncoincident" load allocator for the WP classes only. Non concient peak
demands have no time of use component. This is simply 8 sum of customer or class
maximum demands reardless of when they ocr.
. IF, AS NEVADA POWER'S STUDY CONCLUDES, OVER 90% OF THE
DISTRBUTION DEMAND COSTS AR CAUSED BY COINCIDENT PEAK LOADS.
IS IT PROPER TO ALLOCATE DISTRIBUTION DEMAND COSTS TO WP CLASSES
ON NONCOINelDENT LOADS?
No. 1 make tw. points in this regard. Firs, there Is never a basis fg mixing. .
coincident and noncoincident demand allocators among difrent customer classes as
Nevada Power has propose. If system peak loads are driing the need for
distrbuion investment, then logically all classes should face these time diferential
rate or price signals. If these demand costs are not driven by sysem peak, thn none
of the costs of rate classs shOLl1d be allocated on the POP basis.
The second point is that this unexplained and peculiar exception made for th
WP classes has a disproportonate and advers rate impact on WP classs.
1 See exhibit Walsh Certiftion page 8 of 55, line 45. ratio of -on- to -Total-.
::00'ILRN12082\1 PageS
1 Q.WHERE IN NEVADA POWER'S TESTIMONY OR COST STUDY IS THIS WP
2 EXCEPTION IDENTFIED OR EXPLANED?
3 A.Nowhere. The only way in which one can identif this discnminatory treatment of the
4 WP classes is to carefully examine fonnulae for actal cost allocations In the
5 Company Workpapers.
6
7 Q.HOW DID YOU DETERMINE THAT THE COMPANY'S NEW WP DISTRIBUTON
8 DEMAND ALLOCATOR HAS A DISPROPORTIONATELY ADVERSE EFFECT ON
9 THE WP CLASSES?
10 A.I detennined this by companng the Company's proposed cost allocation to the WP
ll classs using it new distrbuton deman allocaor, compared with th cost allotions
12 that would have resulted from using eitr the Docket No. 01-10001 or the Docket No.
13 03-10001 approved alloctors. as shown:
14
15 Kwh Scaed Prosed
POP Allocted OnOAC NCPScaed
16 (#01-10001)(#03-10001 )
17 LGS-2-WPS 104,927 151,132 570,584
18 LGS-2-WPP 41,092 40,820 74,214
19 LG5-2-WPT
20 LG$-3-WPS 9,058 81,635 160,54
21 LG5--WPP 73,107 192.279 474,446
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23 Tota 228,183 465.866 1,279,791
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::OD\PCOLRNDO\612081 Page 9
1 Q. WHAT DOES THIS TABLE SHOW?
2 A. The table compares the diferences in the amount of distrbution demand costs
3 allocated to the WP rate classes frm the allocators authorize in Docket No. 01-10001,
4 Docket No. 03-10001, and the Company's newly proposed non~incldent caNep") allocator,
5 which is not based upon the same time diferentited allocators used for other classes.
6 For ease of comparin, I index the lowest level of costs as -1- and the higher
7 allocators are scled accrdingly. As is evident, Nevada Powets new distribution demand
8 allocator rNCP allocator") increases the amount of these distribution demand costs
9 dramatical1y, up to 550% over the allocation factor previously used for the WP classes, and
to that used in the present study for all other bundled retail rate classes. The WP classes have
11 been unfairly single out here, and with an allocator that is not in accrdance wih the pri
12 system peakalloctors use forWP classes and presently for all other rate classs.
13
14 Q. IS YOUR OBJECTION TO THIS ALLOCATOR BASED SOLELY ON THE FACT
15 THAT IT SIGNIFICANTLY INCRESES THE AMOUNT OF DEMAND COSTS TO WP
16 CLASSES OVER THAT WHICH WOULD RESULT FROM PREVIOUSLY APPROVED
17 DEMAND AlLOCATORS?
18 A. No, although higher costs and resulting higher rates are always a concern for WP
19 classes and, for that matter, all Nevaa Power customers. However, in the present instanc,
20 Nevada Powets selection of an allocator unrelated to peak period demands is not at all
21 consistent with its findings that over 90% of these demand costs occur in the on peak peri.
22 If Nevada Power relly believed in the theoretical superiority of this allocator, then it certainly
23 should have applied it evenhandedly to all classes. Again, Nevada Powets proposal with
24 regard to this alloctor to WP rate classes is discriminatory, unjust and unreasonable.
25
26 Q. DO YOU HAVE A RECOMMENDATION TO MODIFY NEVADA POWER'S COST OF
27 SERVICE STUDY TO CORRECT THE WP SCHEDULES' DISTRIBUTION DEMAND
28 ALLOCATOR?
::ODMA\PCDOLRNODOIØ12081 Page 10
1 A. Yes. As I summarized in my opening te~imony, I recommend eiter of tw findings
2 by the Commission that would restore its prior findings. In this case the Commission should
3 order Nevada Power to be consistent in this regard with the POP allocator used for all non-
4 WP classes by ordering the pertinent POP WP rate class alloctors, as it did in Docket No.
S 01-10001. My Exhibit DEP-1 contains the summary of my cost of service study that underiies
6 my remmenatin.
7 In the alternative, the Commission shuld order Nevada Power to use the kwh scled
8 allocator that the Company argued for and was authorized to use in Docket No. 03-10001; in
9 other words. assign costs base upon allocors used for the otherwse applicable classes.
10
i i Q. WOULD THIS LOWERING OF ALLOCATED COSTS TO THE WP SCHEDULES
12 RASE OTHER CLASES' RENUE REQUIREMENTS?
13 A. The retum to use of allocators previously use In prior dockets for WP schedules
14 would have a very minimal eff on some rate schedules, and no effec on others. The
15 maximum incrase to any single rate scedule fr this corrtion in WP demand allocators
16 is no more than .05 of 1%.
17
is Q. WHAT IS THE AFFECT ON WP BUNDLED RATES OF REVRTING BACK TO
19 THESE PREVIOUSLY AUTHORID ALLOCATORS?
20 A. While the impact of using my recommended alloctors is minimal for other schedules.
21 the impaq on the bundled WP rate scedules is large. Taken as a whole. this fix to the
22 distribution demand alloctors would reduce the rates for these classs by approximately
23 $600,000. This would change the Company conclusion that WP scedules be at the cap, to
24 no change over currnt rates.
25 If"
26 /III
27 /III
28 fill
::ODMA\PCOo\HLR0D01201 Page 11
1 IMPROVE DOS RATE CAlCULATION
2
3 Q. WHT IS THE ISSUE YOU RASE WITH RESPECT TO NEVADA POWER'S
4 CALCULATION OF THE PROPOSED DOS RATES?
5 A. Company winess Mr. Ghiglieri briefly outlines the development of DOS rates in his
6 testimony at Page 26, Lines 14-19.
7 If I may paraphrase to my own words wih respect to the distributon (nonrevenue
8 feeder) demand component: the DOS distributon rat component for the DOS water
9 pumping classes is the same as that developed for the correponding bundled water
10 pumping dass. Thus, the same noncolncident seted allocator used by the Company, and
i i crticized by me in the preceding pages, pertains to the DOS rate as well. This is becuse
12 the DOS raes are not subject to a separate marginal cost study, but instead borred frm
i 3 the bundled cot stdy.
14
15 Q. WHAT MODIFICATION DO YOU RECOMMEND BE ORDERED FOR THE
,
16 DISTRIBUTION DEMAND DOS COMPONENT?
17 A. ' No additional modifcation to the DOS distribution is necessary if the Commission
18 requires Nevada Power in it bundled cost of servce study to retum to one of the tw prior
19 POP or kw scaled allocators. This corrion would as a matter of corse be picked up In
20 this component of respective WP DOS rates.
21
22 Q. WOULD THIS CHANGE REDUCE DOS RATES?
23 A. Minimally. I calculate the total savings from all six WP DOS classes to be
24 $12,OOO/year. But this corron would allow the design of bettr DOS rates, as I discss
2S next.
26
27 Q. WHAT RATE DESIGN MODIFICATION TO DOS RATES ARE YOU REQUESTING
28 BE MADE IN THESE PROCEEDINGS?
::ODMA~CDO\HLRODO\6120821 Page 12
i A. Consistent with the Company's findings in their cost of service study that its
2 distrbution demand rates are highly correlated with tirne-of-use ("TOU.), the Company
3 should implement a TaU-DOS demand charge, rather than Its proposed fixed racheted
4 demand or kw charge.
5
6 Q. PLEASE EXPLAN.
7 A. Nevada Power proposes to simply sum the facilities demand costs for DOS customers
8 with the distrbution demand charges that, again, have been shown to be infuence by
9 coincient peak loads.
i 0 A better means to present customers wi meaningfl price signals would be to keep
11 the facilities' charges as proposed, but collect the TOU-related distnbution demand costs of
12 DOS customers through peak. mid, off and other perid per kw charges. as is done for
13 bundled tlme-of-use rate schedules. While collecting an equivalent amount of revenue
14 requirement, my proposal has the benefit of prvIding a further incentive to shif demand off
15 peak to lower cost peris, reducng additonal distnbuton investment for Nevada Power.
16
t 7 Q. HOW WOULD SUCH TOU DEMAND CHARGES BE CALCULATED FOR THE DOS
18 CLASES?
i 9 A. All data nessary to compute these peak and off peak per kw charges are contained
20 in Nevada Powts cost of selVoe study. These rates are developed and shown In my
21 Exibit DEP-2.
22 These rates are based upon th time of use distnbution demand costs. developed for
23 the OAC classes. Due to the Interrptible provisions and rates of present bundled WP
24 classes, the OAC costs are more relevant, since DOS rates do not have an interrptible
25 feature.
26
27 Q. WOULD THESE TIME DIFFERENTIATED DOS DISTRIBUnON DEMAND RATES
28 ON EXHIBIT DEP..2 BE OF BENEFIT TO NEVADA POWER AND ITS CUSTOMERS?
::ODM\PCDOCL.DO2081 Page 13
1 A. Yes. These rates, beuse they are time differentiated. provide appropriate, cost-
2 based incentivs to move demand to mid and off peak periods. Accrding to Nevada
3 Power's cost study, significant amounts of new distribution investment could be avoided that
4 would otherwse be required to provide peak demand servce. These time of use rates
5 provie a more effcient usage of present and new distribution investment and all customers
6 save money.
7
8 Q. DOES THE PRESENT NEVADA POWER PROPOSAL TO CHARGE RATES FOR
9 THIS DISTRIBUTION DEMAND AS IF IT WERE NOT nME DIFFERENnATED PROVIDE
10 POOR PRICE SIGNAlS?
11 A. Yes. At present, water pumping operators are instructed to make all reasonable
12 effrt to shif its pumping operations away from Nevada Power's coincident system peak
13 period. These shifts, of course, allow energy bils to be managed, bu also invofve incurrng
14 signifcant distribution costs to keep demand shifed prmarily to off peak periods.
15
16 Q. DOES THE RATE DESIGN PROPOSED BY NEVADA POWER REMOVE SOME OF
17 THESE COST BENEFITS TO WP, DOS AND OTHER RETAIL CUSTOMER CLASSES?
18 A. Yes. Again. the Company's proposaf to charge a flt demand charge for these time
19 sensitive demand costs reduces water pumper incentives to manage its demand in the best
20 manner.
21 The time differentiated rates I provide in Exhibit DEP-2, while covering the demand
22 costs Incurred by the Company, promote effcient usage and conservation.
23
24 Q. WHAT ARE YOUR CONCLUSIONS"'
25 A. I have identified a major change made by th Company to the methodology it uses to
26 allocate distribution demand costs to bundled WP rate schedules. These changes were not
27 identifed or discussed anywere in the Copany's filing, and they contradict the rationale for
28
::ODMA\PS\HLNODO\B12082\1 Page 14
::ODV'CSLR0D01201 Page 15
AFIRTION
I, Dennis E. Peseau, puruat to NAC 703.710 hereby afmi that the foregoing preard
tesmony was prepared by me or under my diection and is corrt to the be of my knowledge.
il~~
Dei Peseau
Dated: ¡'/aft' 'i9¡1 ,;eq
Attchment 1
Ok" 06-11022
Witnes: D.E. Peseau
Page 1 of3
STATEMENT OF OCCUPATIONAL AND
EDUCATIONAL HISTORY AND QUALIFICATIONS
DENNIS E. PESEAU
Dr. Peseau has conducted economic and financial studies for regulated
Industries for the past twenty-eight years. In 1972, he was employed by Southern
California Edison Company as Assciate Economic Analyst, and later as Economic
Analyst. His responsibilites Included review of financial testimony. incremental cost
studies, rate design, econometric estimation of demand elasticities and various areas
in the field of energy and economic growth. Also, he was asked by Edison Electl
Institute to study and evaluate several prominent energy models as part of the Ad
Hoc Commitee on Economic Growth and Energy Pricing.
From 1974 to 1978, Dr. Peseau was employed by the Public Utilty
Commissioner of Oregon as Senior Economist. There he conducted a number of
economic and financial studies and prepare testimony pertaining to public utilities.
In 1978 Dr. Peseau established the Northwest offce of Z1nder
Companies, Inc. He has since submitted testimony on economic and financial
matters before state reulatory commissions in Alaska, California, Idaho. Marand.
Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, Washington, Wyoming, the Distct of Columbia, the
Bonneville Power Administration and the Public Utilties Board of Alberta on over one
hundred occasions. He has conducted marginal cost and rate design studies and
Attahment 1
Dkt. 06-11022
VV~ness: D.E. Peseau
Page 20f3
prepared testimony on these matters in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryand,
Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, Washington and in the District of Columbia. He has
also conducted cost and rate studies regarding PURPA issues in the states of
Alaska, California, Idaho. Montana, Nevada, New York, Washington, and
Washington, D.C.
Dr. Paseau holds B.A., M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in economics.
He has co-authored a book in the field of industral organiztion entitled,
§ize. Profits and Executive Compensation in the Large Corporation, which devotes
a chapter to regulated industnes.
Dr. Peseau has published articles in the following professional journals:
Beviewof Economics and Statistics. Atlantic Economic Journal. Journal of Financial
Management. and Journal of Regional Science. His articles have been read before
the Econometric Society, the Western Economic Association, the Financial
Management Association, the Regional Science Assodation and univrsities in the
United Kingdom as we" as in the United States.
He has guest lecture on marginal costing methods in seminars in New
Jersy and California for the Center of Professional Advancement. He has also
guest lecture on cost of capital for the public utility industr before the Pacific Coast
Gas and Elecnc Association, and for the Executive Seminar at the Colgate Darden
Graduate School of Business, University of Virginia.
Attchment 1
Dkt. 06~11022
Witness: D.E. Pesu
Page 3 013
Dr. Peseau and his firm have partcipated with and been members of the
American Economic Association, the American Financial Asciation, the Western
Economic Association, the Atlantic Economic Assciation and the Financial
Management Assocition. He was formerly a member of the Staff Subcommittee on
Economics of the National Association of Regulatory Utilty Commissioners.
Dr. Peseau has been President of Utilty Resourcs. Inc. since 1985.
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SNWA Pi
Time of Use OOS Rate lo WP Schdules
Base upon Otle AppDcable Classs
DiSbbuton Time Diffntte Coat Based Rates
Line
No. Co Compone:-8-
lGS-2S
10 Distbuton SelCs
11 C\ Cl (pe Cust per Mo.)
12 FscCh (pelcW, peMo.)
13 Prima(perkW, peMo,)
14 On Pea
15 Mid Pek16 OfPNk18 OUer
19 TotlOisbbuton ServsClum:
LGS-2P
23 OislrbUlon S~S
24 Cu Ch (per Ous, pe Mo.)
25 FacChg(pekW.perMo.)
26 Priary (per kW, perMo.)
27 On Peak
28 Mid Peak
29 Of Pea30 0l
31 Tol Dibuton S8iC8$
Checksum:
LGS-3S
36 Olatbuton Ses
37 CcCl(peCU peMo.)
38 Fac Chg (pe kW. pe Mo.)
39 Prry (per kW. pe Mo.)
40 OnPeelc41 Mid Pek
42 OIfPeak43 Oll
44 ,. ola' Dislrbuton S8rva
Chedm:
lG5-P
49 Oilt Seiv
50 Cu Ch (pe cust per Mo.)
51 FacChg (perkW. peMo.)
52 Prfma (per leW, pe Mo.)
53 On Peek54 MldPe55 OIfPeak56 Oter
57 Tota DlsbUln SÐces
Checksum:
2,06,211
Marginl Coat Baed RasalClssRalesatClsCOS
Revenue Marginal Co Renue Ba Rev-0--E--F--G-
$2,478 $178.88 $1.92 $138,94
$4,282 $0.61 $3..$0.7
$20,113 $10.16 S 15,622 $7.89
$2.063 $1.01 $1.603 $0.79
$373 $0.11 $290 $0.08
$2930 $22766
$2930 $22.766
$91 $295,04 $71 $229.16
$59 $0.30 $46 $0.23
$48 $10.25 $379 $7,96
$51 $0.97 $40 $0,75
$9 $0,08 $7 $0.06
$698 $542
$698 $542
$468 $185.02 $364 $14372
$1.441 $0.38 $1.119 $0,29
12.04 $10.73 $9.357 $8.34
$1.271 $1.10 $987 $0,86
S 221 $0,11 $172 $0,09
$15.448 $11.99
$15.448 $11.99
$316 $29,48 $246 $ 227.97
$1.009 $0.25 $784 $0.19
$12,841 $11.06 $9.974 $8.59
$1,363 $1,14 $1.059 $0.88
$225 $0.11 $115 $0.8
$15,754 $12,23
$'15.754 $12.238
Bllling Uni--
13,852
7.029.526
1,98,010
2,034,133
3.494.008
310
196.974
47.57
62,53
108.69
2,532
3,840.335
1.122,311
1.153.534
1.973.457
1,078
4,05.861
1,160,551
1.200.08
Line No_
Pese - DEP.2
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PROOF OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that I mailed the foregoing Direct Testimony of Dennis E. Peseau in Phase TV
Cost of Serice and Rate Design in Dkt. 06-11022 on behalf of the Southern Nevada Water Authority
via electronic mail and by delivering to the U.S. Post Offce copies thereof~ properly addressed for
mailng to the following persns and entities:
Nancy Barker
Nevada Power Compay
6226 W. Sahar Ave. MS 3A
Las Vegas, NY 89146
nbarker(fiievp.com
Marisa Cardena, Rate Analyst
Nevada Power Compay
6100 Neil Road
Reno, NV 89511
mcardenasiIspoc.com
Eric Witkoski, Consumer Advocate
Bureau of Consumer Protection
Oflce ofihe Attorney General
555 E. Washington, #3900
Las Vegas, NV 8910 i
epwiikosíaiag.state .nv .us
Charles Radal, Business Manager
IBEW Local 396
3520 Boulder Highway
Las Vegas, NV 89120
Mark Russell, Esq.
Mirage Hotel and Casino
3400 Las Vegas Blvd. South
Las Vegas, NV 89109
ml11sselli£mirage.eom
Donald Brookhyser, Esq.
Alcantar & Kah LLP
1300 SW Fift Ave., Ste. 1750
Portland, OR 97201
debúòa-kJaw.eom
Dan Waite, Esq.
Beckley Singleton, Chtd.
530 Las Vegas Blvd. South
Las Vegas, NV 89101
dwaite(ã)beckleylaw.com
::ODM¡\\PCDS\HI.RNOOO\612179\ I
Jan Cohen, Esq.
Public Utilties Commission of Nevada
101 Convention Center Drive, Suite 250
Las Vegas, NV 89109
jcohen~puc.state.nv .us
Alaina Burtcnshaw
Public Utilties Commission of Nevada
101 Convention Center Dnve, Suiie 250
Las Vegas, NV 89109
aburens~puc.staic.nv.us
Phil Wiliamson
Bureau of Consumer Protection
Offce of the Attorney General
100 N. Carson Streel
Carson City, NY 89701-4717
pjwilliaßiag.stte. nv. us
Francis J. Mortn, Esq.
IBEW
)).0. Box 370955
Las Vegas, NV 89137
Martha J. Ashcratì
Lewis and Roca LLP
3993 Howard Hughes Parkway, SuIle 600
Las Vegas, NV 89169
MAshcrafi'i LR Law.com
D. George
The Kroger Co.
1014 Vine St., 0-07
Cincinnaii, OH 45202
dgeorgetq1kroger.com
Dale Swan
Exeter Associates, Inc.
5565 Sterrett Pluec, Suite 3 i 0
Columbia, MD 21044
dswan!âexeterassociates.coni
Page 1
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1
Kur Boehm, Esq.
2 Michael Kur Esq.
Boelu, Kurz & Lowr3 36 E. Seventh St., Ste. 1510
4 Cincinnati, OR 45202
kboehm(gBKLlawfnn.com
5 mkIaw(ßol.com
6
Dated this 19t day of Marh, 2007.
::QDMA\PDO\HLRI21791 Page 2
Lawrce A. Gollomp
Assistant Gener Counel
Lot H. Cooke, Attorney
U.S. Deparent of Ener
1000 hidepdene Avenue, SW
Wasinon, DC 20685
Lawrce.GolIompCW.doe
lot.cookW?.dod.gov
¿~
An employee of HAL LANE PEEK
DENNISON AND HOWARD
HALE LANE
ATTORNEYS AT LAW
1n Ea WiBiam Sin I Suile 200 I Cii Cil. Nevada 8910 I
'felcpe (175) 6l I Faciuule tl1S) 684-6001
WW.belilll.L'11I
September 13, 2006
Crystal Jackson
Commission Secreta
I 150 E. Wilia Stret
Caron City, NV 89701
RE: SNWA DIRECT TESTIMONY DOCKET NO. 06-06051
Dear Ms. Jackson:
Please accept for filing the enclosed original and nine copies of the Direct Testimony of
Dennis Peseau on behalf of SNW A in Docket No. 06.0605 i .
Should you have any questions regarding ths filing, please contact me at (775) 684-6000.
Sincerely,
5/Md~
Fred Schmidt, Esq.
FJS:taw
Enclosures
cc: Paries of Record oCl
(/')
eJ.
HALE LAN": PEEK DENNISON AND HOWARD
RENO OFFICE: 5441 Kiot Lan I Seçond Floo I Ri:o. Neva 895111 Ph (715) 327-3000 1 Facsimile (115) 786-6179
LAS VEGAS OFFICE: 3930 Howad H"ghes Piay I Fourh Floor I Li Vegas, Neva 891691 /'one (702) 222-2S00 I Facshnìlc (702) 365-6940
::ODMA\PDOSIHLRNODOS\566781\1
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BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA
Docket No. 06-06051
Direct Testimony of
Dennis E. Peseau
"l ".
Ct '~':~
en :':E:en :,-,rr .:;: i:";-:.!;:. ~'r-rt
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!:i:lN"~~."0%""Ii
on behalf of
Southern Nevada Water Authority
PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUSINESS ADDRESS.
My name is Dennis E. Peseau. My business address is 1500 Libert Street S.E.,
Suite 250, Salem, Oregon 97302.
BY WHOM AND IN WHAT CAPACITY ARE YOU EMPLOYED?
, am President of Utility Resources, Inc. The firm consults on a number of economic,
financial, and engineering matters for various private and public entities.
ON WHOSE BEHALF ARE YOU TESTIFYING IN THIS PROCEEDING?
I am testifying on behalf of the Southern Nevada Water Authority ("SNWA1') and its
constituent members.
DOES ATTACHMENT 1 ACCURATELY DESCRIBE YOUR BACKGROUND AND
EXPERIENCE?
Yes.
WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR TESTIMONY?
::OOM\PCOOCSLRNOOOCS\56656\1 Page 1
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The purpose of my testimony is to express SNWA's general but cautionary support for
Nevada Power Company's ("Nevada Power" or "the Company") filed Integrated
Resource Plan ("IRP") in the instant docket. The urge for caution that I express below
derives from the enormit of the Company's plan, the very infant or "greenfield" nature
of the bulk of the generation and transmission request, and the capital intensiveness
and the long-lead times required to determine the feasibilty of the IRP.
In this regard, I propose that the Commission and parties provide sufficient
support and endorsement for the beginning elements of Nevada Powers filed IRP, but
stop short of the numerous and, in my opinion. premature granting of complete
financial assurances requested by the Company. Specifically. I recommend that the
Commission rule as premature the Company's request for Critical Facilities
designation and instead approve up to $300 milion in the requested preliminary EEC
and Intertie studies, to be treated under normal AFUDC accounting (no CWIP) and set
a procedure for eventually issuing a final ruling on Critical Facilities status and related
accounting issues at a later date as the project develops or not.
In the alternative! I recommend that the Commission deny Nevada Power's
request for Critical Facilities designation for the Ely Energy Center ("EEC") and the
500kV Nort/South Intertie ("Intertie") unless and until such time as the costs, budget,
timing, and rates resulting from completing Phase One can be shown to be
reasonable, not unduly burdensome, and in the public interest. i discuss these cost
and financial issues below.
WHAT ARE SNWA'S PRIMARY INTERESTS IN THESE PROCEEDINGS?
As the principal water purveyor for the burgeoning southern Nevada economy, the
SNWA has enormous interests in the outcome of this resource plan case, both as a
retail electric customer (for DOS and vertically integrated services) and as a
transmission customer. The outcome of these and similar proceedings could have a
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significant impact on the abilty of the SNWA to continue to economically serve the
water needs of southern Nevada.
The SNWA has underway its own water importtion plan, requiring it to be
served with energy in eastern Nevada as far north as White Pine County. Regardless
of the eventual shape of its water importation plan, the SNWA must protect its
customers and control its water pumping costs by developing the best possible
transmission and generation options to accommodate its needs. It is critical for SNWA
to have the transmission infrastructure to serve its importation plan in place when
water pumping needs commence.
To this end the SNWA has been developing a trànsmission plan to meet the
needs of the water pumping requirements associated with its water importation plan.
When the SNWA became aware of Nevada Power's plans last winter to construct
proposed 500kV lines in the same general area as that planned by the SNWA for its
water importation project, the SNWA initiated meetings with Nevada Power to discuss
possible common interests. At that time, SNWA had already identified electncal
transmission needs in Clark, Lincoln, and White Pine Counties as part of its proposed
water importation project. One topic of discussion was the potential to jointly share
ownership of the Nevada Power proposed transmission expansion described in this
filing.
DOES THERE APPEAR TO BE ENOUGH SIMILARITY IN THE TIMING,
CERTAINTY, AND ENGINEERING OF THE INTERTIE TO EXPECT THAT A JOINT
OWNERSHIP ARRANGEMENT WOULD MEET SNWA'S CRITICAL TIME PATH?
While there are some similarities in timing and location, it is not clear that. Nevada
Powets Intertie wil meet the electrical needs of SNWA. Most of SNWA's needs in
eastern Nevada require a smaller transmission size. The SNWA has, by necessity,
been proceeding with alternative plans to complete a lesser capacity, 230kV
transmission system of its own, designed to transfer power from Utah to numerous
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNODOCS\566656\1 Page 3
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SNWA receipt points. The SNWA has a 100MW ownership interest in the
Intermountain Power Project's new coal facilties ("IPP3"). This independent course by
the SNWA is necessary to assure its ability to complete in a timely fashion the water
delivery system required by southern Nevada. And, while I have not been heavily
involved in the ongoing coordination efforts, I have been assured that the SNWA
intends to continue coordinating with Nevada Power in recognition of the needs of
both parties.
HAS THE SNWA CONSIDERED TAKING TSA SERVICE OFF OF THE NEVADA
POWER PROPOSED 500KV LINES RATHER THAN CONSTRUCTING ITS OWN
LINES?
Yes. This is not at all an option satisfactory to the SNWA because of the inabilty to
use its low cost capital to construct the lines, the inabilty to require all critical
deadlines for construction to be met, and the need for lower voltage service. TSA
service and its expected higher transmission rates is not considered to be a feasible
option to the SNWA. Additionally, SNWA has other public partners with additional
ownership interests in IPP3 with which it is now coordinating. J provide this
background to inform the Commission that Nevada Power and SNWA are in continual
dialogue regarding the coordination and cooperation of both parties' proposed
transmission facilties. At this time SNWA's direct involvement in Nevada Power's
Intertie does not appear likely.
IS SNWA REQUESTING THE COMMISSION TO ORDER NEVADA POWER TO DO
ANYTHING SPECIFIC IN THIS DOCKET TO ACCOMMODATE SNWA'$
TRANSMISSION NEEDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SNWA WATER IMPORTATION
PROJECT?
::ODMA\PCOOCS\HLRNOOOCS\56656\1 Page 4
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No. SNWA wil continue to discuss possible involvement in the Intertie with Nevada
Power and commits to also discussing right-of-way and EIS issues with Nevada Power
as those issues arise.
WHAT SPECIFIC CONCLUSIONS HAVE YOU REACHED IN REGARD TO THE IRP,
ENERGY SUPPLY PLAN ("ESP") AND ACTION PLAN FILED BY NEVADA
POWER?
A. I conclude that:
Plan Endorsement
1. Although the preferred plan is not at all the least costly of the plans reviewed, it
provides generation capacity which is eventually needed in the Nevada Power
system and should generally be supported by this Commission. ESP, Action
Plan Application, pp. 35.37.
Critical Facilty Designation
2. Any designation of the EEC and Intertie as Critical Facilities or a denial of this
designation is premature at this time and should await more maturity in
development of the plan. A final ruling on this matter should be deferred until at
least sometime in 2008.
3. The Commission should approve the plan as modified in its discretion, but allow
AFUDC on construction work in progress (CWIP), not CWIP in rate base, until
such time as it makes a final determination on Critical Facilties.
4. Nevada Power should be required to clarify its request for an incentive
return" . . . calculated at 2% above Sierra's authorized weighted return on
equity. . ." (Application, p. 14 of 16, i. 4-5, and elsewhere). Specifically, a 2%
weighted return on equity, calculated at a 40% equity ratio, translates to a
requested incentive ROE adder of 5% to the presently allowed equity return.
Even a" 2% ROE adder to an unweighted ROE amounts to a $935 millon
excess pretax bonus to shareholders over and above its fair rate of return and
should be rejected.
5. The Commission, in following the recommendation to defer final determination
of whether the EEC and the Intertie are Critical Facilties, or not, should require
certain milestones to have been reached, including, but not limited to, the
granting of a final air permit from the Nevada Departent of EnvironmentalProtection, scheduled for January 2008. '
fill
~I1
::ODMA\PCOOCS'HLRNODOCS\566656\1 Page 5
1 Plan Endorsement
WHAT IS SNWA'S POSITION WITH RESPECT TO NEVADA POWER'S
PROPOSED IRP, ENERGY SUPPLY, AND ACTION PLAN?
The SNWA generally endorses moving forwrd with the planning and permitting of the
Ely Energy Center. related transmission facilities, including the I
nterte , other
transmission facilities in Clark County, and the approximate 600 MWs of quick start
combustion turbines at Clark Station. (Application, Items 5,6, 7, 8.)
The SNWA did not review in detail, and therefore remains silent on, the
proposed load and sales forecast and the fuel and energy market forecasts.
(Application, Items 3 and 4.)
The SNWA opposes at this time the Company's request to have the
Commission designate Phase One of the EEC and Intertie as Critical Facilties.
(Application, Item 9.)
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WITH RESPECT TO THE EEC, THE INTERTIE, AND THE CLARK STATION
ADDITIONS, WHY IS YOUR ENDORSEMENT ONLY "GENERAL"?
Nevada Power should be encouraged to proceed with its extremely ambitious plans
with respect to these facilties. For decades now, the Company has been deficient in
own-generation facilities. The recent additions of the Silverhawk and Lenzie
generating plants. together with the 2,100 MW of requested coal and CT plants, could
shield Nevada Power and its customers from the risk of capacity cost swings possible
from any potentia' future resource shortges.
The reason that the SNWA endorsement is cautious is due to the extreme
uncertinty with respect to any actual building of Phase One of EEC, and the
interdependence of the associated transmission, the Intertie and even the Clark ÇTs.
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNODOCS\566656\1 Page 6
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Quite some time has elapsed since the completion of major coal facilties in the
western U.S. and, according to the testimony of Nevada Power, the Company is stil
assessing the viabilty of various supercritical boiler and emissions control
technologies (Sims, p. 9, i. 15-18). i am aware of no U.S. projects identical to the
Company proposal that have been completed on a commercial basis in recent years.
i understand that certin types of supercritical facilties have been built in Asia. And,
while the relatively stable nature of the price of coal makes new coal facilities
attractive, we are all aware of the potential siting, environmental, and transmission
diffculties associated with large planned coal plants. Today, there exist both strong
proponents and opponents of major new coal generating facilities. And, while EEC is
represented to include ". . . the latest clean-eoal technologies. . ." (June 30, 2006,
NPC press release), the siting, water, transmission construction, permitting, and public
endorsement of the facilty wil certainly pose a significant challenge. For these
reasons, the SNWA urges the Commission to grant only preliminary approval, but
require extraordinary updating and progress reports with appropriate off ramps should
the project become mired in diffculties.
WHY DO YOU CHARACTERIZE PHASE ONE OF EEC, RELATED
TRANSMISSION, THE INTERTIE, AND THE CLARK CTS AS INTERDEPENDENT?
The IRP planning process evaluates the totality of the existing electric system,
together with all of the proposed preferred and alternative plan additions. The need
for and optimality of each component is crucially dependent on the succssful
completion of each and all other proposed facilities. Withou knowledge of the
completion of, say, the preferred plan as proposed, there is no expectation that the
project is economic (has lowest present worth of revenue requirements, PWRR).
For example, the demise of either the ECC or the Intertie individually would require
complete rethinking of the remaining project. And, due to the need to economically fil
Nevada Power's load duration curves, loss of either the EEC or the Intertie would call
::ODMA\PCDOCSIHLRNOOOCS\566656\1 Page?
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into question the feasibilty of the Clark Station CTs, versus perhaps the more effcient
technology of combined cycle CTs. These considerations underscore the need for
timely updates, status reports, and possible alterations of the preferred plan.
DO THE UNCERTAINTIES YOU HAVE REFERENCED REQUIRE CHANGES TO
THE GENERATION ADDITIONS SECTION (VOL. 1, PAGE 35) OF THE RESOURCE
PLAN?
No. With the exception of the request for Critical Facilties designation, i don't believe
that the requested ESP and Action Plan require changes for my proposal to require
frequent status updates. Nevada Power's request for approval for up to $300 milion
through 2008, qualified by its successful receipt of its air permit should allow Nevada
12 Power to move forward unless and until any subsequent plan obstacles are
13 encountered.
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i 5 Critical Facilties Designation
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WHAT ISSUES DO YOU HAVE WITH RESPECT TO NEVADA POWER'S REQUEST
TO HAVE THE COMMISSION DESIGNATE PHASE ONE OF THE EEC AND THE
INTERTIE AS CRITICAL FACILITIES?
Under NAC 704.9484, I understand that Nevada Power may request that a facility of
the utility be designated as a Critìcal Facility. I also understand that the Commission.
upon such a request, may determine whether to designate such a facility as criticaL. In
its order in Docket 04-6030, the Commission approved a.similar request by Nevada
Power to designate the (now-named) Lenzie Energy Facility as a Critical Facilit.
The issue I raise in regard to the Company's request for Critical Facility designation for
the EEC and Intertie facilties is that at the present time it is simply not possible to
conclude that these proposed facilities may meet any of the purposes listed in
paragraphs (a) to (e) of the code. The facilities should not, therefore, be designated
as Critical at this point. Such a finding would be premature at best.
::ODM\PCDOS\HLRNODOCS\56656\1 Page 8
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WHY DO YOU CONCLUDE THAT THE EEC AND INTERTIE FACILITIES CANNOT
NOW BE FOUND TO COMPLY WITH PARAGRAPHS (A)-(E) OF NAC 704.9484?
These paragraphs set the standards of:
(a) Protecting reliabilty;
(b) Promoting diversity of supply and demand side sources;
(c) Developing renewable energy resources;
(d) Fulfillng specific statutory mandates;
(e) Promoting retail price stabilty;
(f) Any combination of paragraphs (a) to (e), inclusive.
Given the greenfield nature of these proposed facilities, the lack of a definitive
location to site the EEC, an undetermined and unproven new emissions control
technology, uncertain water supply , permitting activities stil in process, and
considerable lead times necessary to bring such coal facilities into commercial
operation, no meaningful conclusions can be reached at this time with regard to the
degree, if any, to which the EEC and 'ntertie may eventually enhance system
reliability, diversity of resources or price stability to the Nevada Power system.
ARE YOU INDICATING THAT THE EEC AND INTERTIEWILL NOT BE BUILT?
No. As I have stated, the SNWA supports the continued study and potential
development of these facilties. But, in stark contrast to the Lenzie facilty that was
well underway and partially constructed and purchased at a large discount to market
prices for new construction, the EEC and Intertie are stil in the very early, or
"greenfield" stage of development.
WHY DO YOU CHARACTERIZE THE EEC AND INTERTIE AS BEING IN A VERY
EARLY OR "GREENFIELD" STAGE OF DEVELOPMENT?
This is the same characterization used by Nevada Power (Sims, p. 3, i. 16-19). Also,
according to Nevada Power witness David Sims, Nevada Power and Sierra Pacifc
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNODOCS\566656\1 Page 9
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have together expended only $1 millon in .. . . . preliminary development costs and
studies on the project. . ." (Sims, p. 10, i. 19-20.)
Thus, to date, only .027% of the expected project costs have been expended,
and this on preliminary development. According to Mr. Sims, some of the preliminary
work includes:
-Identifcation of two potential sites (p. 3, i. 7)
-Review for "greenfield" development of coal generation (p. 3, i. 19)
-Participating in two studies to assess the viability of new emissions control
technologies (p. 7, i. 17-18)
-Overcoming the fact that the "only proven process" for reducing C02
emissions would consume roughly one-third of a plant's power output
and increase the cost of its electricity by 60-80%. (Cite)
Nevada Power; to its credit, candidly admits to the infancy of the study and
development of the EEC facilty. At present, there are no site, air permits, water,
proven technologies, emissions plan, fuel supplies, and transporttion or definitive
approvals for the EEC. In my opinion, there is no basis for concluding at this time that
the EEC and Intertie are in any way critical among the numerous supply plans
reviewed and analyzed. The Commission should postpone its determination of
cnticality and await the attainment of milestones prior to making this decision.
WHAT TYPE OF MilESTONES MIGHT THE COMMISSION REQUIRE?
In addition to awaiting the engineering and design to take shape, the awarding of a
final air permit by the Nevada Department of Environmental Protection (estimated
January 2008), the final EIS (estimated May 2008), and the BlM Record of Decision
(estimated July 2008) would be good indicators of whether the actual project is
progressing.
Also, a report from Bums & McDonnell indicating whether it has or has not been
able to determine from its study whether the various supercritical boiler and emissions
technologies, and site construetabiJty are viable would be very useful (Sims, p. 9, i.
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNODOCS\566656\1 Page 10
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15-29). After this it may be possible, with at least some degree of confidence, to begin
to predict whether and when these facilities are likely to add reliability, diversity and
price stabilit to the Nevada Power system and its customers.
IF THE COMMISSION CHOOSES TO DEFER ITS DETERMINATION REGARDING
THE REQUEST FOR CRITICAL FACILITY DESIGNATION, HOW DO YOU
RECOMMEND THAT EXPENDITURES ON THESE FACILITIES BE ACCOUNTED
FOR?
I recommend that, prior to final Critical Facilities designation, all such expenditures be
treated for accounting purposes consistent with current accounting methods. The
expenditures would earn AFUDC, but not CWIP in rate base at this time. Thus, upon
any eventual future designation as Critical Facilties, only expenditures subsequent to
the determination would be eligible for favorable treatment and then only if granted at
that time by the Commission.
ARE YOU GENERALLY IN FAVOR OF ALLOWING CWIP IN RATE BASE?
No, not generally. In my opinion, awaiting a final determination of rate base treatment
until facilities are clearly "used and useful" has been a superior form of regulatory
treatment for new construction.
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
The arguments against a regulatory convention granting CWIP in rate base are not
new to Nevada. In the instant proceedings, however, the uncertainty, magnitude and
preliminary nature of the proposed plan argue further for not allowing CWIP in rate
base at this time. The primary shortcomings of Nevada Power's request for CWIP in
rate base at this time are twofold. One, the long lead time, coupled with the
preliminary status and accompanying completion risk of the project at this time, would
::ODMIPCDOCS'lLRNODOCS\56656\1 Page 11
1 significantly raise present customers' rates far in advance of any genuine expectation
2 of the "used and usefulness" of the preferred plan.
3 Secondly, the Commission should always attempt to align, to the extent
4 possible, the benefits of resource additions with the customers receiving such benefits.
5 Under the Company's preferred plan l the long and probable lengthening of the
6 suggested lead times to reach commercial operation of Phase One of the EEC and
7 Interti$, would necessitate significantly higher rates in the next several years to be
8 borne by customers prior to commercialization. Correspondingly, the rates to
9 custoniers consuming energy from the date of commercialization and extending over
lO the life of the EEC and 'ntertie projects would be lower. The accounting convention of
11 AFUDC better aligns project costs with customers enjoying the benefits of the projects.
12 The arguments i have just cited are not meant to argue absolutely against the granting
13 of CWIP in rate base, as NAC 704.9484 clearly allows this consideration, but instead
14 to point out the serious objections of granting the request so far in advance of the
15 reasonable knowledge of the success of the proposed projects.
16
18 Q.
17 ROE Incentive Return
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20 A.
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WHAT ARE YOUR ISSUES WITH RESPECT TO NEVADA POWER'S REQUEST
FOR AN INCENTIVE RETURN ON EQUITY FOR THE EEC AND THE INTERTIE?
The primary issue i raise with respect to the Company's requested 2% ROE adder is
the excessive burden it pl~ces on ratepayers, especially in light of the fact that the
preferred plan with EEe and the Intertie is not the least cost of plans analyzed by
\
Nevada Power.
First, however, there is a need for clarification with respect to the Company's
2% ROE adder request.
WHAT CLARIFICATION DO YOU SEEK WITH RESPECT TO THE COMPANY'S
REQUEST FOR A 2% ROE ADDER?
::ODMA\PCDOCS\lLRNODOCS\56656\1 Page 12
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In at least three places in its filing, Nevada Power requests an ROE incentive
return ". . . calculated at 2% above Nevada Power's authorized weighted return on
equity "(Application, p. 14, i. 5-6; Yackira direct, p. 14, i. 15-16; Vol. 1 ESP, p. 36,11 4)
(emphasis added).
The term "weighted return on equity" in cost of capital parlance indicates that
the Company is requesting far more than a simple addition of 2% to its authorized
equity return of 10.25%. The authorized 10.25% equity return is an unweighted equity
return. To reach an overall allowed rate of return on capital, the unweighted equity
return is multiplied by the equity ratio and added to the unweighted debt cost multiplied
by the debt ratio. The reason that the issue of whether the Company really is
requesting a 2% adder to the weighted equity return is so important is because a 2%
equity return added to the authorized weighted equity return actually grants the
Company the equivalent of a 5-6% ROE adder.
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
My Exhibit 1 (DEP-1) demonstrates the significant difference between adding a 2%
ROE adder to the authorized unweighted return and adding a 2% ROE adder to the
authorized weighted equity return. For clarity of example, the comparison is made
assuming a 10.25% authorized equity return, 7% debt costs, and a 57/43% debt-
equity to capital ratio. As shown in the exhibit, if the requested 2% ROE incentive is
added to the weighted return (the 4.41 %) As literally requested by Nevada Power. the
result is to actually grant shareholders a 14.9% overall equity return.
DID YOU ATTEMPT TO CLARIFY THIS ISSUE WITH NEVADA POWER?
Yes. In response to SNWA-1, the Company indicated that it would apply the 2% ROE
adder to the unweighted return on equity. . I attach a copy of this response as Exhibit 2
(DEP-2). Since the Company filing stil indicates that the 2% ROE adder is to be
::ODMA\PCDOCSIHLRNOOOCS\S666561 Page 13
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added to the weighted return on equity, my testimony above is intended to note this
inconsistency and clarify the intent and extent of the ROE incentive adder.
HOW WAS THE 2% ROE ADDER TREATED WITH RESPECT TO THE INCENTIVE
RETURN ON THE LENZIE ENERGY FACILITY IN DOCKET 04-60301
The 2% ROE adder was added to the unweighted equity return (Order, Page 23).
ASSUMING THAT NEVADA POWER'S REQUESTED 2% EQUITY RETURN
INCENTIVE IS MEANT TO BE ADDED TO THE AUTHORIZED UNWEIGHTED
EQUITY RETURN OF 10.25%, WHY DO YOU CHARACTERIZE THE 2% AS
EXCESSIVE?
If allowed, the requested 2% incentive adder on the unweighted equity return wil
provide investors with a $935 milion bonus in nominal dollars over the life of the
projectl If the Company's request is for the adder to be on the weighted equity return,
that bonus is increased to approximately $2.1 billon. And, at the same time, the
additions of the Lenzie and Silverhawk plants, together with the completion of more
than $4 billon in new generation, transmission, and DSM facilties (Vol. II, Action Plan,
Table AP-1) wil greatly increase the present level of rate base of Nevada Power and
provide investors with growing returns.
WHY DO YOU SAY THAT NEVADA POWER'S REQUESTED 2% ROE BONUS
WILL 'PROVlpE INVESTORS WITH $935 MILLION IN ADDITIONAL PROFITS?
The essentials of this calculation are shown in Exhibit 3 (DEP-3). The budgeted
expenditures for the EEC and Intertia investment are capitalized and given the
additional 2% ROE adder over the life of the assets.
Exhibit 3 (DEP-3) calculates a total incentive-related revenue requirement over
the lives of the assets of $935.024,000 (for 100%). 80% of which is proposed to be
charged to Nevada Power customers.
;:ODMA\POOCS\HLRNODOCS\5666561 Page 14
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WHY DO YOU CHARACTERIZE THE $935 MILLION INCENTIVE BONUS TO
INVESTORS AS EXCESSIVE?
First, and perhaps foremost, the propose new EEC and Intertie facilities, while a
welcome change from exposure to market power, will already be a boon to investors
without a $935 millon bonus.
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
In recent years, Nevada Power investors have been disadvantaged by the Company's
lack of generation resource additions dating back to the early 1990s. I realize that
Nevada. like a number of other states, had an interlude where the advent of market
competition required a pause in utilty generation additions. As a result, the bulk of the
Company's revenue requirement in the last decade and a half has been comprised of
significant expenses upon which investors earn no money. Relative to many other
electric utilties, Nevada Power's preference for market purchases, combined with
significantly depreciated existing generation facilties, has made the Company less
attractive in terms of investors' earnings base.
15 THE LACK OF CAPITAL INTENSIVENESS CHANGING FOR NEVADA POWER?
Yes, very much so. And again, this is a good thing, for the. most part, for both the
Company's shareholders and its customers, if rates can be kept from increasing
unnecessarily. The requested 2% ROE incentive adder is entirely unnecessary.
Nevada Power's rate -base in 2005, according to the filing in Docket No. 06-
01016, was $2.3 bilion. Upon completion of the proposed EEC, the Intertia, and other
transmission facilties, the Company's rate base could easily be $6 or 7 billon, or 3
times the 2005 leveL. In my opinion, the recent positive financial strides experienced
by Nevada Power and the favorable increases in earnings assets just noted wil allow
the Company to reach investment grade status very soon and does not require the
additional $935 milion incentive.
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNODOCS\566656\1 Page 15
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HAVE INVESTOR INSTITUTIONS RECOGNIZED THE POSITIVE INVESTMENT
AND GROWING ASSET OUTLOOK FOR NEVADA POWER?
Yes. For example, on September 11, 2006, Deutsche Bank upgraded SPR from a
hold to a buy recommendation, increasing its stock pnce target from $14.50 to $16.50
as a result of infrastructure growth. My Exhibit 4 (DEP-4) contains excerpts from
press releases on this topic.
ARE THERE OTHER REASONS WHY YOU CONSIDER THE COMPANY'S
REQUESTED 2% ROE ADDER EXCESSIVE?
Yes. No one should forget that the last few years have arguably been as diffcult for
Nevada Powets customers as it has been for its shareholders.
In 1999, for example, Nevada Power retail rates were relatively low compared
with other western electrics. Today, Nevada Powets rates rank among the highest in
the West, exceeded only by the most expensive California electrics, as clearly
illustrated in the Supplemental Testimony of Company witness Anthony J. Karr.
Given this, the rapidly increasing earnings base being experienced by the
Company, and the fact that management is just doing its job in building adequate
resources to serve its load, customers ought not be burdened with also paying greater
profits to shareholders.
IS NEVADA POWER'S REQUESTED PREFERRED PLAN THE LEAST COST
AMONG THE NUMEROUS PLANS IT ANALYZED?
No, a number of the plans analyzed by the Company have lower lifetime costs. As
summarized in Technical Appendix II, Supply Side Book at least four of the alternative
plans analyzed by Nevada Power have lower costs than the preferred plan. These are
Case Nos. 13, 15,4 and 12.
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNOOOCS\566656\1 Page 16
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DO THE FOREGOING FACTS REGARDING THE MORE EXPENSIVE REQUESTED
PREFERRED PLAN ARGUE FOR REJECTION OF NEVADA POWER'S REQUEST?
No, as I have stated, despite the fact that the preferred plan is more costly than others,
the SNWA supports at least the initial pursuit of the plan.
My criticism in this regard is that Nevada Power's requested $935 millon
excess burden on this plan is on top of an analysis that even absent this bonus, the
preferred plan is considerably more expensive than several alternatives. This, and
consideration of the preferred pIan's clear benefits for shareholders. lead me to
conclude that in fairness to customers, at no penalty to shareholders, the Nevada
Power request for the 2% ROE adder be denied at this time.
PLEASE SUMMARIZE YOUR CONCLUSIONS
The SNWA generally endorses the proposed IRP. At this stage. however, there
clearly exist numerous elements to be studied and analyzed before full approval
should be granted by th'e Commission. Specific and frequent. updates and progress
reports $hould be required to be provided by the Company as a means of confirming
the viabilty and feasibilty of the proposed resource plan, Energy Supply Plan, and
associated Action Plan.
The Commission, in my opinion, lacks any signifcant information at this time
regarding how useful and "critical" the proposed plan wil eventually be. As a result, a
judicious step would be to postpone and defer any requested ruling on Critical
Facilties status until at least sometime in 2008.
Any conclusions on the approval of, or extent of any favorable accounting and
equjty return incentives, should also be postponed and evaluated again later in light of
the balance between customer and shareholder interests.
..
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNODOCS\566561 Page 17
AFIRTION
I, Denns E. Peseau, puruant to NAC 703.710 hereby af that the foregoíng prepared
testimony was prepared by me or under my direction and is correct to the best of my knowledge.
dJ'dRdDen ¥Peseau
Dated: 1-13 - Ð (0
Page 18
Atthment 1
Dkt 06-08051
Witnes: D,E. Peseau
Page 1 of3
STATEMENT OF OCCUPATIONAL AND
EDUCATIONAL HISTORY AND QUALIFICATIONS
DENNIS E. PESEAU
Dr. PeseaU has conducted economic and financial studies for regulated
industries for the past twenty-eight years. In 1972, he was employed by Southern
California Edison Company as Associate Economic Analyst, and later as Economic
Analyst. His responsibilities included review of financial testimony, incremental cost
studies, rate design, econometric estimation of demand elasticities and various areas
in the field of energy and economic growth. Also, he was asked by Edison Electrical
I nstitute to study and evaluate several prominent energy models as part of the Ad
Hoc Committee on Economic Growth and Energy Pricing.
From 1974 to 1978, Dr. Peseau was employed by the Public Utilty
Commissioner of Oregon as Senior Economist. There he conducted a number of
economic and financial studies and prepared testimony pertaining to public utilties.
In 1978 Dr. Peseau established the Northwest offce of Zinder
Companies, Inc. He has since submitted testimony on economic and financial
matters before state regulatory commissions in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryland,
Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, Washington, Wyoming, the District of Columbia, the
Bonnevile Power Administration and the Public Utilties Board of Alberta on over one
hundred occasions. He has conducted marginal cost and rate design studies and
Attachment 1
Dkt. 06-06051
Witness: D.E. Peseau
Page 2 of 3
prepared testimony on these matters in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryand,
Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, Washington and in the District of Columbia. He has
also conducted cost and rate studies regarding PURPA issues in the states of
Alaska, California, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New York, Washington, and
Washington, D.C.
Dr. Peseau holds B.A., M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in economics.
He has co-authored a book in the field of industrial organization entitled,
Size, Profits and Executive Compensation in the Large Corporation, which devotes
a chapter to regulated industries.
Dr. Peseau has published articles in the following professional journals:
Review of Economics and Statistics, Atlantic Economic Journal, Journal of Financial
Management, and Journal of Regional Science. His articles have been read before
the Econometric Society, the Western Economic Association, the Financial
Management Association, the Regional Science Association and universities in the
United Kingdom as well as in the United States.
He has guest lectured on marginal costing methods in seminars in New
Jersey and California for the Center of Professional Advancement. He has also
guest lectured on cost of capital for the public utility industry before the Pacific Coast
Gas and Electric Association, and for the Executive Seminar at the Colgate Darden
Graduate School of Business, University of Virginia.
Attachment 1
Dkt. 06-06051
Witness: D,E. Peseau
Page 3 of3
Dr. Peseau and his firm have participated with and been members ofthe
American Economic Association, the American Financial Association, the Western
Economic Association, the Atlantic Economic Association and the Financial
Management Association. He was formerly a member of the Staff Subcommittee on
Economics of the National Association of Regulatory Utilty Commissioners.
Dr. Peseau has been President of Utilty Resources, fnc. since 1985.
Old. 0606051
Peseau Direct Testimony
Exhibit DEp.1
Page 1 of 1
Nevada Power Company
Effec Of 2% ROE Il1centlv on Weighted and Unwejghted EqUity Return
Sourc
Debt
Preferred Equity
COmmon Equity
Marginal Cost of Ca~tal . Base
Unwelghted
Cost
7.00%
0.00%
10.60%1
Weight
57.00%
0.00%
43.00%J
Welghtèd
Cost
3.99%
0.00%
4.56%1
Tota 8.55%
Marinal Cost of caitl. 2% ROE Incenti Added to Weighted Equlty Cost
Unweiht WeighledCost Weight Cost'
7.00% 57.00% 3.99%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15.25% 43.00%1 6.5:%1
Source
Oébt
Prefe Equft
COmmo Equit
Tota 10.55%
Margnal Cos of Cspil-2% ROE InC$ti added to Unweihtd EQuJ Cot
Unweghted WeighteCo Wetaht Cost
7.00% 57.ooDIo 3.99%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
12,60%1 43.00% 5.42%
800rc
Deb
Prefed EquIty
Comon Equity
Tota 9-41%
Dkt. 06-0051
Peseau Testimony
Exhibit DEP-2
Nevada Power Company
RESPONSE TO INFORMATION REQUEST
DOCKET NO.:
REQUEST NO.:
REQUESTER:
06-06051 REQUEST DATE:8/23/2006
SNWA1
RESPONDER:Karr, Tony
REQUEST:
Please confimi tht Nevada Power Company ("NPC") intends, as Îs stated in Yackira
Direct, p. 14, i. 15-16 and p. 36, ESP, Vol. I, to request an incentive return ti. , .
caJcuJated at 2% above Nevada Power's authorized weighted return on equity. . . ." or is
the request for 2% above its unweighted return on equity? Please provide a detailed
example of the calculation of the incentive return as requested by Nevada Power for
eventual cost recovery.
CONFIDENTIAL (yes or no): No.
RESPONSE:
Nevada Power Company would apply the requested incentive ROE of 2.00% to the
unweighted return on equity. Assuming the authorized ROE is equal to the cost of capital
of 10.60% (used in this filing), the unweighted equity component wil equal 12.60%.
The marginal weighted cost of capital with the ROE incentive would total 9.41 %. This is
an increase of 86 basis points from the total weighted cost of capital of 8.55% used in
the filing.
Marginal Weighte cost ot Capn.i i.sc Welgnt Weigted
Cost
Debt 7,00%57.00%3.99%
Prferred Eauity 0.00%0.00%0,00%
I,ommon Equit 1Z.6oYo 4::.00%5.42%
Total 9.41%
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Dkt. 0606051
Peseau Testimony
Exhibit DEP-4. 1 of 2
frWBûšìèš · Markets . Analyst News · Technoiogy News . Press Releases · By Industry · My Portfolio News
Sierra Pacific Resources upped at
Deutsche Bank
6:11:10 AM ET 9/11/2006
LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Deutshe Bank
upgraded electric utilty Sierra Pacific
Resources (SRP) to buy from hold and raised
its price target to $16.50 from $14.50, citing
required infrastructure growth in its Las
Vegas and Surrounding Nevada service
territories.
.. = -_.. ~--~
==''==..~i;__a.._~..''~~
ie:'l~-:;'''-i~..=~~~~~~..::
i:wmi. =: -= 2 .-
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Market1latch
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! i .~;~~..:. . .
! t:..~:l\.:r:":.-. ffo I'-.r~~i:~ l .; "--~..!"....,,,
I
Okt. 06-06051
Peseau Direc Testimony------~,------.-__Exhibit.OEP.,_4,_
Page 2 of2
Subject: Reuters.com - UPDATE 1-RESEARCH ALERT-Deutsche Bank upgrades Sierra Pacific - Man Sep 11,2006
11:46AM ET
REUTERS :;D
UPDATE 1.RESEARCH ALERT-Deutsche Bank upgrades Sierra Pacific
Man Sep 11, 200611:46 AM ET
(Changes sourc, adds details)
Sept 11 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank on Monday raised its rating on Siena Pacifc Resources .cSRP.N~ to "buy from -hold" and
incresed its 12-month price taret by $2 to $16.50.
In a research note, the brokerage said the upgrade was based on its updated work on the utUit ownets require infrastructure
growth in its Las Vegas and surrounding Nevada servce territories.
The "preferred" Ely Energy Centr pulvrized col integrated resource plan is the lower cost and most atractive generaion
development proram for ratepayers over the long term, compared to higher cot and volatile natural gas fired generation, the
broerage said.
This, along with the potential for critical facilty status, has the added benefit of additional gain and value creation for
shareholders, it added.
Shares of the company rose over 2 percent to $14.70 in morning trade on the New York Stock Exchange. (Reporting by Sweta
Singh and John TUak in BangaJore)
......... ._.. .... ......----.. _......__.... .. .... .....__.........___...__.__.. ..._.. ...... ___".__M_ .._. __.._. ,_..___.._. _ _.'_.'___ ......._ .. ___..~_ .. ....__ .
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9112/2006
2
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ã 00 00~ ~g ti ~13.~ ~ )-i: fI ~C Z 14
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4) i-~ l"18:i
19
20
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PROOF OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that I served the foregoing Direct Testimony of Dennis E. Pescau on behalf of
SNWA in Docket 06-0605) by sending via electronic mail to the following addresses and by
delivering to the U.S. Post Offce copies thereof, properly addressed for mailng and postage pre-paid
to the following persons:
Douglas Brooks, Esq.
Sierr Pacific Power Company
P.O. Box 98910
6226 West Sahar Avenue
Las Vegas, Nevada 89 i 51
dbrooksCWneyp.com
Staff Counel
Public Utilties Commission of Nevada
i 150 E. Wiliam Street
Carson City, NY 89701-3109
uttingerl§puc.state.nv. us
Elizabeth Ellot, Esq.
Sierra Pacific Power Company
6100 Neil Road
Reno, NY 895 I 1
bellott!sppc.com
Alaina Burtenshaw
Public Utilties Commission
101 Convention Center Drive, Suite 250
Las Vegas, NV 89109
aburtens~puc.state.nv. us
Paul Stuhff
Burau of Consuer Protection
555 E. Washington Street, Ste. 3900
Las Vegas, NV 89101
pestuhffi§ag.state.nv.us
Nancy Barker
Nevada Power Company
6226 W. Sahar Ave.. MS3A
Las Vegas, NY 89146
nharker(ßnevp.com
Dale Stransky, Senior Engineer
Bureau of Consumer Protection
lOON. Caron Street
Carson City, NV 89701
dastrans(gag.state.nv. us
Kathleen M. Drakulich, Esq.
Kummer Kaernpfer Bonner. et aI.
3800 Howard Hughes Parkway, 7th Floor
Las Vegas, NV 89109.0907
kdrakulichWdbr.com
Ernest K. Nielsen, Esq.
Washoe County Senior Law Project
1155 E. Ninth Street
Reno, NV 89512
enielseni§ashoecounty. us
Wiliam Bible
Nevad Resort Association
3773 Howard Hughes Parkway, Ste. 320 N
Las Vegas, NV 89109
bbible(gnevadaresons.org
E. Leif Reid, Esq.
Lewis and Roca LLP
5335 Kietze Lane, Suite 220
Reno, NV 89511
Jreidi§lrlaw.com
Sleven D. Kång, Asst. City Attorney
City of Fallon
P.O. Box 1203
Fallon, NY 89407
::ODMA \PCDOCS\HLRNODOCS\566670\1 Page 1 of2
i
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
'2 10\'o
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ã ¡; ü 17.. t"or-'; I'18::
19
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21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
Bil Kockenmeister, Esq.
P.O. Box 71583
Reno, NV 89570
Ibdask6~char.net
Marha 1. Ashcraf, Esq.
Lewis and Roca LLP
3993 Howard Hughes Parkway, Ste. 600
Las Vegas, NV 89169
Mashcraf~lrlaw.com
Douglas Davie
Wellhead Electric Company
650 Bercut Drive, Ste. C
Sacraento, CA 95814
Patrick V. Fagan, Esq.
P.O. Box 646
Carson City, NV 89702
pfaga~allisonmackenzie.com
Donald Bookhyser, Esq.
Alcanta & Kahl
1300 SW Fift, Ste. 1750
Portland, OR 97201
deb~a.klaw.com
Ellen Allman
Caithness Operating Company LLC
9790 Gateway Dr. #220
Reno, NV 8951 i
David Lloyd
Saguaro Power Company, L.P.
c/o NRG Energy, Inc.
1819 Aston Ave., Suite 105
Carlsbad, CA 92008
Michael J. Bertrand, CPA
Energy Control Systems, Inc.
50 1 S. Carson Street, 8te. 206
Carson City, NV 89701
Mark Russell, General Counsel
Mirage Hotel and Casino
3400 Las Vegas Blvd. South
Las Vegas, NY 89109
Chip Little
Mirat Americas, Inc.
1155 Perimeter Center West
Atlanta, GA 30338
Mo Klefeker
Las Vegas Cogeneration II, LLC
350 Indiana St., Suite 400
Golden, CO 80401
Scott Carer
LS Power Development LLC
Two Tower Center, 20th Floor
East Bruswick, N.J. 08816
DATED this 13th day of September, 2006._~.~~:J
An employee of HALE LANE PEEK
DENNISON AND HOWARD
::ODMA \PCDOS\HLRNODOS\S 66670\1 Page 2 of2
,
BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA
2
3
o
C.~
~
4 Investigation to analyze the stengths and weakesses)
of marginal cost of service studies, embedded cost )
5 of service studies, the reconcilation process and )
how they impact rate classes. )6 )Dkt. 06-05007 ~j
. .:i
:"_:1
v.,
7
8
9
~ 0 10 SOUTHERN NEV ADA WATER AUTHORITY ("SNW A"), puruat to NAC chapter 703~o
£ ~ Õ 1 1 and the Request for Comments in this docket dated May 31, 2006, hereby submits its Reply Comments... '"
'5 ~ ~ 12 to the Public Utilties Commission of Nevada ("Commission") regarding cost of service
0= t'o ~ 13 th d i .ø me 0 0 ogies.
'â~£
~ .~ i 14 Sumar Conclusions
t E Õ 15 The July 17, 2006 opening comments of Nevada Power Company ("NPC") and Sierr Pacifico~ =
~ t; S 16 Power Company ("Sierra"), the Bureau of Consumer Protection, PUCN Staf, and Southern Nevada
3 ~ U 17 Water Authority regarding marginal and embedded cost of service studies ar in substatial general0'"-;'" 18 t:i agremen .
SOUTHERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY'S
REPLY COMMENTS ON MARGINAL AND EMBEDDED COSTIG
PREPARED BY DR. DENIS PESEAU
19 Key conclusions include:
20 1.Marginal costs should continue to be a primar basis for estimating costs and
21 setting rates in Nevada.
22 2.Some type of equi-proportional scaling of marginal costs to revenue
23 requirements should be continued, whether to overal revenue requirement or individual
24 functions.
25 3.The revenue requirement should continue to be fuctionalized prior to marginal
26 cost reconcilation.
27 1111
28 IIII
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4. The use of inverse elasticity to allocate costs has been correctly dismissed by the
2 Commssion in the past due to the lack of credible elasticity studies both for customer classes and
3 demand, energy, and customer cost categories.
4 Differences surfaced with respect to:
5 1.Whether embedded cost of service stdies need to be taken all the way to the
6 individua customer class levels, as opposed to only fuctions.
7 2.Whether or not, and the basis by which, the "next generating unit" afects
8 marginal capacity cost calculations.
3.Whether or not, and the extent to which, margial capacity costs can differ from
those of the least costly peakng unit.
DISCUSSION
A. Usefulness of Embedded Cost Studies
The opening comments of SNW A supported the filing of embedded costs broken down to
fuctions. The SNW A sees no need to continue such stdies disaggregated and classified to the
customer class leveL. There is a theoretical shortcoming of historical embedded cost classification and
allocation factors (e.g. maximum, peak and average demands) compared with marginal cost factors.
Secondly, embedded cost of service studies taen to the customer class level presume that the
historical cost and resoure mix of a utilty provides reasonable prices going forward. The SNW A
concludes that the marginal cost of servce studies tyically conducted in Nevada provide superior
pricing information to consuers.
B."Next Generating Unit"
22 There is some confusion surounding the estimate of generation capacity cost and the "next
23 generating unit" in the utilities' resource plan. This confusion appear to stem from the lack of a
24 careful distinction between "long-ru" and "short-ru" margial costs.
25 Nevada has always adhered principally to Long-Run Incrementa Costs (LRIC). Ths concept
26 is, admittedly, purely a theoretical constrct, full of convenient assumptions (e.g. instataeous
27 adjustment of all factors of production). LRIC is the basis for the peaker method of estimating
28 generation marginal costs and the "NERA Method" used in Nevada. Under ths method, the utilty and
::ODMA\PDOS\HLRNODOS\555270\1 Page 2 of5
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1 the entire interconnected electrcal grd is assumed to be in perfect equilibrium at all times. In such
2 instaces, with no excesses or shortages of capacity allowed, the marinal cost of capacity mus
3 necessaly be equal to the cost of a peer. This, of coure, holds only because of the convenent
4 assumptions. With no allowance for shortges, excesses, or suboptimal generating unit mixes,
marginal capacity costs never depar above or below this peak cost regardless of the cost of the actual
next unit planed on the system.
All the above conclusions change dratically under margina costing principles tht ar not
purely and theoretically "long-ru." Care must be taen not to mix concepts of "long-ru" and shorter-
19
20
21
22
term marginal costs. Under the latter, marginal capacity cost of generation ca move radically upward
or downward. Mathematically, shorter-term marginal cost must be modeled carefully with
sophisticated capacity expansion and production cost models. Under such circumstaces, the actua
operating circumstances of the utility determine the marginal capacity cost. In such cases, the fuel
savings by actual more effcient new plants can be a credit or offset to capacity cost potentially
resulting in marginal capacity costs lower than a peer. Or, conversely, in times of regional capacity
shortages, brown-outs and black-outs give rise to so-called "sbortge costs" of capacity that can
greatly exceed the marginal cost of a peaker.
Ths potential for wide swngs in marginal capacity costs, and reulting swings in customer-
class revenue requirements, has led may state regulatory jursdictions, including Nevada, to remain
with the long ru incremental or marginal costing methods.
CONCLUSION
The SNW A addresses the followig, more speific, remarks of other paries:
1.The Companes' conclusion is correct that the marginal cost of generation,
23 under Nevada's application oflong ru marginal costs, is not infuenced by the next unt to be
24 built. (Sierrevada opening comments, p. 4, lines 2-16)
25 2.The Companies' arguments that there is a logical consistncy in separtely
26 reconcilng distrbution marginal costs, but lumping into one category an remaining cost, is
28 1111
27 incorrect. While the SNW A does not in ths case oppose the Companes' proposal, the issue of
::ODMA\PDOS\HLRNODOS\SSS270\1 Page 3 of5
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reconcilng unbundled functionalized costs should be made on a case-by-case basis as a mean
to avoid unntentional subsidies. (p. 3, lines 8-24) As a general matter, the reconciling of costs
according to the tota of all fuctions wil best reflect marginal costs. The reconcilng of costs
according to individua functions better reflects embedded costs.
3. The BCP's coinents regarding the netting of fuel savings and/or market price
from the cost of a peakng unit (p. 3) is not appropriate under Nevada's purely long ru costing.
When we assume that all generation is always in exact equilibrium, there can be no additional
fuel savings or market price discrepancies.
4. The discussion of Hoover B is not appropriate for reconcilng marginal costs.
Hoover B power is the cheapest resource on Nevada Power's system and therefore would never
be on the margin or influence the marginal cost study.
RESPECTFLLY SUBMITTD ths 31 st day of July, 2006.
BY:0~~
FRED SCHMIDT
Hale Lane Peek Dennson and Howard
777 Eas Wiliam Street, Suite 200
Carson City, NV 89701
(775) 684-6000
and
CHAES K. HAUSER
General Counsel, SNW A
1001 S. Valley View Blvd.
Las Vegas, NV 89153
(702) 258-7167
Attorneys for the SOUTHERN NEVADA
WATER AUTHORITY
::ODMA\PDOS\LRNODOSS270\1 Page 4 of5
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PROOF OF SERVICE
I hereby certfy that I mailed the foregoing Southern Nevada Water Authority's Reply
Comments on Marginal and embedded Costing in Docket 06-05007 by delivering via U.S.P.S. copies
thereof, properly addressed for mailing to the following persons: .
Louise Uttinger, Assistant Sta Counsel
Public Utilties Commission of Nevada
1150 E. Willam Street
Carson City, NV 89701-3109
uttingeg~puc.state.nv .US
Wiliam Staley
Senior Deputy Attorney General
Bureau of Consumer Protection
100 N. Caron Street
Carson City, NV 89701-4717
wbstane~ag.state.nv.us
Dated ths 31st day of July, 2006.
::ODMA\PDO\HLRNODOS\55270\J
Alaina Burenshaw
Public Utilities Commssion
101 Convention Center Dr., #250
Las Vegas, NY 89109
aburens~puc.stte.nv.us
Elizbeth Ellot
Assistt Sta Counsel
Nevada Power Company/SPPCo.
6100 Neil Road
Reno, NY 8951 1
bemot~pc.com
. ;¿.~. ~
C ,,:U t ~ Ú' ¿¿t/~
Teresa A. Wiliams
Page 5 of5
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BEFORE THE PUBIJIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA n
C:¡ic.
Investigation to analyze the strengts and weakesses)
of marginal cost of service studies, embedded cost )
of service studies, the reconciliation process and )
how they impact rate classes. )
)
SOUTHERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY'S
COMMENTS ON MARGINAL AND EMBEDDED COSTING
PREPARED BY DR. DENNIS PESEAU
Dkt. 06-05007
f....")û
SOUTHERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY ("SNWA"), pursuat to NAC chapter 703
and the Request for Comments in this docket dated May 25, 2006, hereby submits its Conuents to the
Public Utilties Commission of Nevada ("Commission") regarding cost of service methodologies.
INTRODUCTION
The so-called "Arab oil embargo" of the early 1970s had a dramatic impact on the costs and
rates of electrc utilties thoughout the world. In the U.S., ths embargo, and the subsequent ru-up in
the prices of most fossil fuels, changed the historical predictabilty of these utilties' grwt rates,
costs, and revenue requirements.
The changes to the utilties' cost environment and shift to new an vared generation
technologies had the effect of heightening utilties', regulators', and cusmers' interests in
ratemaking. A major study in 1973 designed to carefuly define cert ratemakng and rate settng
principles culminated in the National Association of Reguatory Utilty Commissioners' ("NARUC")
publication Electrc Utilty Cost Allocation ManuaL. In subsequent stdies conducted in the mid to late
1 970s, joint efforts of regulators and publicly and prvately owned electrc utilties ("te E~RI
studies") resulted in several volumes of costing and ratemaking studies designed to captue the
changing and time-differentiated natue of the costs in the electrc utilty industr. These and
subsequent studies led many regulatory jursdictions, including Nevada, to begin endorsing rates that
were in some degre based on economic or marginal costs.
1/1
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1 Enactment of the national Public Utilties Regulatory Policies Act of 1978 ("PURP A")
2 imposed significant new requirements on private utilities to compile and record costs and other data
3 necessar to better set customer rates.
4 Tension Between Embedded and Marginal Cost Rates
5 A peculiar tension has arsen, and remains today, between "accounting costs" and "economic
6 costs" for ratemaking. These terms are often described as rates based on embedded costs compared
7 with rates based on marginal costs.
The debate arses initially because of the statutory requirement to begin the ratemakng process
with a tota sum of revenues, the revenue requiement that does indeed reflect those costs expected to
be incured by the utilty. The revenue requirement will generaly reflect the normal accounting costs,
both capital and varable, presently being incured by the utilty. These costs are embedded, that is,
averaged over the varous fuel and other expenses, and over varous generating and other investment in
place, perhaps adjusted or "normalized" to the test year. These varous costs can then be
fuctionalized, classified, and allocated to varous customer classes on the basis of these actu
averaged or embedded costs.
But, as economists often stress, historical cost-based rates may not provide reasnable
customer rates or "price signals." A price signal, it is argued, is necessar to provide incentive for
customers to consume according to the cost strctue facing the utility in a going-forward basis, not on
where the utilty has been.
However, as is made apparent by the issues posed by the Commission for consideration in this
docket, estimating forward-looking costs requires, in some cases, signficant depares from past
recorded costs, thereby requiring assumptions and forecasts. The comments made here by the
Southern Nevada Water Authority do not attempt to define and explain the nuances of the embedded
and marginal costing methods, but instead provide a context for the present methods of ratemaking in
Nevada and, as a general matter, to encourage a continuance of ratemaking that is closely aligned with
valid marginal cost estimates.
1//1
//11
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A. Functionalizing Marginal and Embedded Costs to Revenue Requirement
Functionalizing the tota revenue requirement involves dividing the tota costs into generation,
trsmission, and distribution costs or fuctions. Under embedded cost of servce, these fuctions ar
largely already prescribed under the FERC Uniform System of Accounts. Since the embedded cost
process begins with the allowed revenue requirement, setting customer rates according to these
fuctions, although complicated, provides a somewhat stghtforward basis for collecting the
prescribed revenue requirement.
Marginal cost of service stdies look to the cost of the new or next increments of generating
plants, transmission, and voltage-differentiated distrbution servces. The maginal or incremental
costs of new generation, transmission, and distrbution will not, in genera, equal the utilty's revenue
requirement and therefore wil have to be "reconciled" or scaled upward or downward to equal the
revenue requirement. Varous economic theories and models demonstte the superior "effciencies"
of having rates reflect the present cost increments of generation, tranission and distbution
facilties.
The Commission has for decades adopted marginal cost stdies that fuctionaze costs makg
up revenue requirement according to marginal cost that ar scaled or reconciled to average or
embedded costs. The SNW A strongly endorses ths procedure and recommends that the Commission
continue the policy.
B. Guidelines for Marginal Generating Unit
As discusd above, costs functionalized to genertion will, in a marginal cost study~ be basd
upon the next increment of generating facilties. In practice, the "next" generating increment could be
a combustion tubine (now usd in Nevada), a combined-cycle facilty, varous typs of coal plants,
renewables, and refubishment to existing plants, among others.
The significance of the choice of marginal generating unt is largely in the "classification" of
generation costs into demand (capacity) and energy. And, because different customer classes have
different usage patterns, or "load factors", different classifications of relative demand and energy costs
will bear differently on respective customer classes' share of tota revenue requirements.
1111
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For nearly the decades ths Commission has adopted the "NERA Method" of selecting the
marinal generating unit. Ths method essentially assumes that. in equilbrium, the next generating
unit wil be a natual gas-fired combusion turbine. Thus, generation costs have ben classified in
Nevada to demand and energy on the basis of the relative capacity and energy costs of a combuson
turbine. Larger, more effcient generation technologies generally have a higher capacity or demand
cost component than does a combusion tubine, but are more fuel effcient (have a lower heat rate),
therby resulting in fuel savings over which the higher additional capacity costs ca be jusfied.
Linear and similar mathematical programng models have been developed to more precisely assess
the economics of what actuly should be the "next or incrementa generation unit." The only
advantage of using the NERA Method is that it is relatively simple to compute and is arguably
accurate enough for ratemaking. Given the contiuing rapid growt of both Nevada utilties, it may be
wortwhile to consider or fuer study other available methods more consistent with the specific
resource charcteristics and load baances of Nevada's utilties.
Many improvements are now available that allow more precise choices of "the next"
generating unt. However, the modeling effort in such estimates become more ~omplicated and may
not be wort the effort. The SNW A is available to elaborate on th issue in upcoming workshops.
For the present, the SNW A contiues to support the pas Commission decisions to base rates on
the cost classification resulting from a combustion turine marginal unt.
C. Using Margina Cost of Servce to Set General Rates
As it has in the past, the Commission should continue to base cusomer class rates on marginal
costs. Marginal cost-based rates provide a clear, but not exact, direction for providing appropriate cost
responsibilty and price signals for making consumption decisions and investents in energy effcient
equipment. Marginal cost-basd rates also provide the Commission with a meas of how equitable
are the relative cusomer class rates. When compared with respective costs, class rates allow
identification and grdua elimination of interclass subsidies.
Marginal cost-based rates also provide the means by which costs can be seasonally
differentiated. Moving toward seasonally-differentiated BTER rates, for example, would reduce or
eliminate the need for Nevada electric utilities to finance the BTER sumer revenue shortfalls caused
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by the present averaging of the high summer fuel and purchasd power costs with the lower non-
2 sumer fuel and purchased power costs. The SNW A raised this issue in Nevada Power's recent
3 DEAA case, Docket 06-01016, and the Company proposed that the issue be fuher reviewed outside
4 of a DEAA proceeding.
5 Nevada Power's BTER marginal costs have been shown to var signficantly by season. These
6 costs should, therefore, be reflected in seasonal rates for purses of equity, effciency; and price
7 signals. Appropriate seasonalization of the BTER would also reuce anomalies from the averge
8 BTER, including the need in certn instances to chage negative BTER rates to some classes because
9 the BTER to these same classes were set too high.
D. Filing of Embedded Cost Stuies in the Genera Rate Case (GRC)
A filing of a detailed embeded cost study as support for the present Statement 0 cost studies
filed in a general rate case could be very usefuL. Presently, the functionalized marinal costs ar
reflected in tn.e Companies' Statement O. However, the comparable fuctionalized embeded costs,
from which the reconciled costs are derived, are not directly available. Including this aspect of
embedded cost results in each genera rate cas could provide a basis for checking the reasonableness
of the utilty's embedded cost allocations.
E. Usefulness of Embeded Cost Study
Embedded cost studies could be usful to reconcile marginal costs back to the overall genera
revenue requirement of the utilties. Furermore, the embedded costs studies could indicate the
reasonableness or not of the utilities' functionalization and classification of the actual average or test
year costs.
1111
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1111
//1/
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CONCLUSION
SNW A continues to support the use of marginal costs in deriving the actul rates of customer
classes. As explained above, SNW A also believes there may be some value in having Nevada's
utilities develop and present embedded cost studies as a means of comparson. SNWA is interested in
continuing to paricipate in ths docket and requests that it be added to the servce list.
RESPECTFULLY SUBMITTED ths 17th day of July, 2006.
BY:~~~
FRED SCHMIDT
Hale Lae Peek Dennson and Howard
777 Eat Wiliam Street, Suite 200
Carson City, NV 89701
(775) 684-6000
and
CHAES K. HAUSER
Genera Counsel, SNW A
1001 S. Valley View Blvd.
La Vegas, NV 89153
(702) 258-7167
Attorneys for the SOUTHERN NEVADA
WATER AUTHORITY
::ODMA\PDOS\HLRNODOS\552493\1 Page 6 of7
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PROOF OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that I mailed the foregoing Southern Nevada Water Authority's Comments on
Marginal and embedded Costing in Docket 06-05007 by deliverng via U.S.P.S. copies thereof,
properly addressed for mailing to the following persons:
Sta Counsel
Public Utilities Commission of Nevada
1 150 E. Wiliam Street
Caon City, NV 89701-3109
Eric Witkoski, Consumer Advocate
Bureau of Consumer Protection
100 N. Carson Street
Carson City, NV 89701-4717
epwitkos(gag.stte.nv.us
Dated this 17th day of July, 2006.
Alaia Burenshaw
Public Utilties Commission
101 Convention Center Dr., #250
Las Vegas, NV 89109
aburens(gpuc.state.nv. us
~ó~"n · ")d_.ILML,mlt
Teresa A. Wiliams
::ODMA\POO\HLRNODOS\SS2493\I Page 7 of7
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Investigation to review processes, theories
and methodologies that may be used to
establish just and reasonable rates in general
rate cases.
BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA
C~R~O~ g/v ~F~,8
NOV - 22005
DEN~~~~ ~t~DE HPEEI(v aWARD
)
) Docket No. 05-7048
)
)
)
SOUTERN NEV ADA WATER AUTHORI'S COMMENTS
REGARING RATE MAKG MECHANISMS
SOUTHERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY ("SNW A''), puruant to NAC chapter 703
and the Request for Comments in this docket dated August 26, 2005, hereby submits its Comments to
the Public Utilities Commssion of Nevada ("Commission'') regarding processes, theories, and
methodologies that may be used to establish just and reasonable rates in genera rate cases puruant to
Section 7 of Senate Bil ("S.B'') 238.
INTRODUCTON
On August 26, 2005, the Public Utilties Commission of Nevada ("Commssion'') requested
comments on a number of ratemakg issues, designated as Docket No. 05-7048. The Commission
directed the comments to avoid gener discussion of the issues, so the intrduction below is limited
and provided solely as a mean to introduce the most common technical points contained in the
specific questions rased in the Commission's Request for Comments.
The the topics for comment rased by the Commsion address the conceptually simple, but
practically more diffcult, task of matchig the utility's likely test year revenues to its likely costs.
Properly constrcted, either an adjusted, normalized historical test year or a near-ter future test year
can be equally effective as a mean to match costs and revenues over the penod in which rates are to
be in effect. Factors afecting the accurcy of either adjusted historical or futue test year ar:
. Precision of the baseline or benchmark cost and revenue inormation;
. Precision of the assumptions pertaining to cusomer grwt, investment grwt, load growth
and the incremental cost strctue and revenues associated with each; and
· Precision of and the lengt of projections or forecasts for individual cost and revenue
categories.
C:\oUME-I\mitchclI\LOCALSI\Templnote523F4B\-137764.00Page i of 6
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COMMENTS ON SPECIFIC COMMISSION TOPICS
1.Ratemaking mechanisms that wil allow for the consideration of customer growth,
infrastructure growth and load growth during periods when rates are to be in effect
Ratemaking mechansms to deal with these issues reuire a distinction between fixed and
varable costs. Fixed costs and the reovery of them in the face of customer, investment, and load
grwth reuire the estimation of marginal or incremental costs and comparson of same to revenues.
Varable costs require considertion of a mechansm capable of varng or at least trking and
accounting for these costs independently of customer, investment and load grwt. The following
points discuss this distinction and the fact that the Commission over time has dealt well with these
challenges.
. Use of a futur test perod for setting base tarff energy rate ("BTER'l costs and use of deferred
accounting for fuel and purchased power costs is suffcient to deal with grwth in fuel and
purchased power costs durng the period when rates are to be in effect. No other mechanism is
necessar for that major rate component.
. Mechansms to deal with cost and rae components, other than fuel and purchased power, are
only necessar if incremental cost is grater than increental revenue for customer and load
growt investment durng the period rates will be in effect. If incremental cost is close to
increental revenue, then growt wil generate suffcient revenues to offset the non-fuel and
19 purchased power costs caused by customer and load. growt. The evidence for Nevada
20 suggests that incremental cost is not suffciently grater than incremental revenue so as to cause
21 any major earngs shortfalls for Nevada Power. In fact, the Commission aleady minimizes
22 the chance of this occurng by allowing the use of an end-of-period rate base and a subsequent
23 cerfication perod for updating revenue requirement.
24 . Even though incremental revenue and cost may be reasonably close for normal rate base and
25 expense increases caused by growt, the lumpy natu of some utilty investments such as
26 major power plant, transmission lines, and substation additions may cause futue revenue to fall
27 short of the incremental revenue requirement associated with futue rate base additions. Those
28 unque types of capital additions are easily identified and able to be mitigated by such vehicles
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as AFC, CWIP, recording of regulatory assets, etc. These mechanisms have been used by
2 the Commission in the past when unusual and large capital additions are under constnction but
3 not yet providing service to ratepayer.
4 · If the Commission detennines that additional measures are necessar to alleviate the potential
5 problems of growth, the Commission could also consider a fonn of deferrd accounting and
6 cost recovery for cost shortfalls for major investments so that the cost of delay in recovery can
7 be reognzed.
8 2.Mechanisms by which the State of Nevada can transition away from the historical
9 test year for purposes of ratemaking.
· The State of Nevada has in place a number of policies that provide means to avoid the staleness
of purly historical test year. The question is whether these measurs are adequate in light of
customer grwt, cost escalation and general inflation. A major advantage of using a historical
test year as an initial point of depare and reference is that the costs and revenues are known
and measurle. Trasitioning to a fully futue test year relaces known and measurble data
for predictions of costs and revenues. Ths raises a whole rage of challenges includig the
ådditional step of prearng foreasts of all test year cost and revenue components for revenue
requirement detennination, and the issue of how forecas mayor may not be used in customer
class cost allocation and rate design. Ths increes the rate case parcipation costs of all
paries necessar to evaluate the predictions of test year costs and revenues. In addition, it
increases the number of contested issues in rate cases because of use of predictions rather than
actual data.
· Whle it may seem that matching costs and revenues for the period rates will be in effect is
extremely desirable, it is not always a necessar condition. In fact, if unt costs ar reasonably
constant, rates set using an adjusted historical test year will be nearly identical to rates based on
a future test year. In such a case, use of a historical test year will not cause earings shortfalls.
C:\OUME-I \mitehcIiLOALSl\em\i0te23F4B\-13n64.ooPage 3 of 6
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1 Only mismatches between incremental cpst and incremental revenue cause shortalls. i And, while
updated incremental generation, transnlission and distrbution system. cost studies are always
necessar, past experience in Nevada has not identified a signficant mismatch between
2
3
incremental cost and revenue.
· The desire result of using actual cost and revenue data and allowing a reasonable opportnity
to ear the allowed rate of retu can be accomplished with adjusted historic number. Known,
measurable, and reasonably estimable rate base additions and expense changes can be easily
reognzed without resorting to use of a full futue test year. This is often accomplished by
using known and measurble costs with out of period adjustments. Revenue requireent
impacts of major rate base additions and expense changes that can be predicted with a high
degree of certy can be pro formed into test year revenue requirement to reduce the chance of
earngs shortfalls. The State of Idaho handles such matters with out of perod adjustments.
The State of Iowa also uses a hybrid approach that begins with a historical test yea and makes
adjustments for cerai major events predicted to occur afer the test period.
3. Examples of future test year and/or other forward-looking rate making
mechanisms.
· The State of Idaho's use of out of perod adjustment for reasonable known and measurable
major rate base and expense changes has. already been refernced above. Idaho incorporates
into the historical test year results of operations, the estmated rate base and expense changes of
significant and known item for a perod beyond the end of the test year. Idao also requires
utilties to include revenue generating and expense reducing elements in test year results when
utilties elect to include out of period adjustments in rate cases.
· A reent surey conducted for presentation to the Iowa Utilties Board indicated that
approximately 30 states use a historical test period and an additional six sttes use a hybrid
approach beginning with a historical perod, but allowing adjustments with futue, predicted
i For exale, iflast year a business produced io unts at a cost, includig reasonale profit, of$IOO an on tht
basis decided to chae $10 per unt for next yea, it would not suffer any shortalls if the incrementa cost ofadditiona
unts was $10, the same as last year. If it sold IS unts in the year, it would generte revenes of$150 and incur costs of
$ i 50. Ony if the incremental costs were substatially greater than $10 per unt would it suffer shortalls.
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information. A copy of the report, which was prepared by the Iowa Utilities Board in response
to a request from its state legislatue, is atthed as Exhibit A.
· If the Commission determines that it is appropriate to consider events occurng during the
period when rates wil be in effect, the SNW A recommends tht rather than beginning with
fully forecasted data and results of opertions, that known and measurable data frm a
historical period should be the basis for establishing benchmark cost and revenue data.
Historical test year data could then be adjusted for major. known and accurately predictable
near future events such as is done in Idaho and Iowa and sever other states that use a hybrid
test year.
RESPECTFLY SUBMITD this 31st da
,
BY:
T
Hale Lae P Denson and Howard
777 East Wiliam Street, Suite 200
Caron City, NY 89701
(775) 684-6000Attomeyfor
SOUTRN NEVADA WATER AUTORITY
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PROOF OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that I mailed the foregoing Southern Nevada Water Authority's Comments
Regarding Rate Making Mechanisms in Docket 05-7048 by delivering via U.S.P .S. copies thereof,
properly addressed for mailing to the following perns:
Staf Cowiel
Public Utilties Commission of Nevada
1150 E. Wiliam Street
Caron City, NY 89701-3109
Alaia Burenshaw
Public Utilties Comission
101 Convention Center Drve, Suite 250
Las Vegas, NY 89109
Adriana Escobar-Chanos, Consumer Advocate
Bureau of Consumer Protection
555 E. Washington Ave., Suite 3900
Las Vegas, NY 89101
Collee Rice
Nevada Power Company
6226 West Sahar Avenue
Las Vegas, Nevad 8915i
Dated this 31st day of October, 2005.
V:\LEOAL\Pblic Serice Conssoi\Dket OS-7048\ComlS.ooPage 6 of 6
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2
BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA
3 Investigation to review processes, theories
and methodologies that may be used to
4 establish just and reasonable rates in general
rate cases.
5
6
7
)
) Docket No. 05-7048
)
)
)
SOUTHERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY'S SUPPLEMENTAL
COMMENTS REGARDING RATE MAKING MECHANISMS
8 SOUTHERN NEV ADA WATER AUTHORITY ("SNW A"), pursuant to NAC chapter 703
9 and the Request for Comments in this docket dated December 15, 2005, hereby submits its
Supplemental Comments to the Public Utilties Commission of Nevada ("Commission") regarding
processes, theories, and methodologies that may be used to establish just and reasonable rates in
general rate cases pursuant to Section 7 of Senate Bil ("S.B") 238.
INTRODUCTION
The Commission's proactive assessment of alternative ratemakng mechansms is timely in
light of Sierra Pacific Resources recent anouncement of its planed $3 bilion investment in new
generation and transmission facilties, in addition to the recent purchases of the Silverhawk and Lenzie
plants in southern Nevada, and the Tracy Combined Cycle Project planed in northern Nevada.
In light of these planed investments, the challenge facing the Commission is to continue
practices that most accurately balance the utilities' revenues and costs over the period in which rates
are to be in effect. After decades of meeting astonishing growth, primarly through outside power
purchases, the electric utilities, paricularly Nevada Power Company, propose to more than double rate
base and transition to principally generating operating companies over the next few years. Thus, a
reassessment of the processes, theories, and methodologies currently used in Nevada is timely.
COMMENTS ON SPECIFIC COMMISSION TOPICS
In its comments of October 3 i, 2005 in this docket, the SNW A stressed the importance of
distinguishing between fixed and variable cost considerations when assessing any of the alternative
test year ratemaking mechanisms (see SNWA, p. 2-3, 1. 7). The utilties' ratio of fixed to varable
costs appears as if it may change dramatically in the near future. For puroses of ensurng cost
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recovery of varable costs in an accurate and timely maner, the SNW A continues to support the
present DEAA mechanism. The specific comments below pertaining to the four alternatives posed by
the Commission in the second Request for Comments in this docket dated December 15, 2005 are,
therefore, primarily aimed at fixed cost, general rate case considerations.
With regard to the four alternative ratemaking methodologies identified by the Commission,
SNW A offers the following observations:
i. Alternative I: Full future test year
a. This methodology has the potential to reflect growth in cost of service, but is also most
likely to misrepresent cost of service because of the need to forecast every element of rate
base, expenses and load, and the resulting uncertainty. Improvement in accuracy is
uncertain and unlikely.
b. Ths alternative is the least cost effective because of the need for all paries to forecast and
evaluate every component of cost of service and load. Increased cost and effort does not
necessarily increase effectiveness because of the anticipated increased uncertainty resulting
from forecast error. Empirical evidence regarding the accuracy of key varables such as
interest rates and prices is not encouraging.
c. Ths methodology increases the burden and imposes a fiscal impact on state and local
agencies (including SNWA and others) because of the need to fully evaluate all forecast
components of the futue test period. This methodology also necessitates paricipation in
extensive legislative and administrative proceedings required to develop the new
methodology. We also anticipate increased electric rates for state and local agencies from
the first application due to the uncertainty referred to above.
d. A full futue test year requires the most changes in procedures and mechanisms because of
the need for a totally new ratemaking mechanism and the need for more thorough analysis
of all rate case elements and forecasts.
II. Alternative 2: Adjust i 2 month historic test year for known and measurable data up to 7
months forward.
a. This methodology has the potential to reflect growth because of adjustment for 7 month of
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?\ vdata beyond the fiing date for known and measurable items. This methodology is ()less
likely to misrepresent cost of service than Alternative 1 because it is based on 12 months of
actual data which will reduce uncertainty.
b. This alternative is generally cost effective because it is based on current and known
methods with a requirement to only analyze reasonably known and measurable changes for
7 months beyond the fiing date.
c. This methodology is least likely to have any major impact on state and local agencies
because of minimal changes from curent ratemaking mechanisms. The mechanism merely
updates the curent certification process by several additional months.
d. Since this alternative is similar to curent ratemakng with minimal changes it would
require few changes in procedures and mechansms. The most obvious problem would be
the need to identify new procedures for the timing of the updated information related to the
discovery and hearng schedule. Some additional standards would have to be developed to
determine what is reasonably known and measurable but yet to be experienced data.l\.
Alternative 3: Adjust 12 month historic test year for known and measurable data for the period ~
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when rates are in effect.?~a. This methodology also has the potential to reflect growt, but requires less precise
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estimates for adjustments by virte of the indefinite time frame for" . . . the period rates are
in effect." The more distant the time frame, the more likely there will be a cost/revenue
discrepancy either for shareholders or customers. If the interval between rate case filings is
short, this concern lessens.
b. This alternative is cost ineffective compared with Alternatives 2 and 4, but is probably
more cost effective than Alternative 1.
c. The cost impact on state and local agencies is likely to be less than Alternative i because
the uncertainty of solely future forecasts are tempered with a base of historic information.
However, the need to review and evaluate a full historic period and a full futue period may
be more costly for review and will clearly increase costs for rate case paricipation over
Alternative 2.
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d. This alternative requires some additional framework and guidelines to determine the
"period rates are in effect" (i.e. which portion of the one or two years rates remain in effect)
and how to identify futue data which is "reasonably known and measurable".
iv. Alternative 4: Most recent 12 months with adjustments up to period rates in effect.
a-d. The SNW A's comments on this methodology are the same as for Alternative 2 above.
Although this method is called a "historic test year" and Alternative 2 is called a "future test
year", the alternative methodologies are identical in the Commission's notice~ Alternative 2
calls for adjustments up to seven months beyond the filing date which, given the suspension
period of 2 i 0 days now contained at NRS 704. 110, is the same period as the point up toC V/when new rates will be placed into effect as described in Alternative 4. If the ~mmssion
intended to solicit comments on another period different from Alternative 2, SNW A will be
glad to provide additional comments at the workshop on Februar 7, 2006.
In response to topic 2 requesting an opinion on the legislation, procedures, and mechansms
necessar to authorize and implement the alternative ratemakng methodology alternatives, the SNW A
offers the following general opinions. SNW A has not offered specific statutory or regulation languge
for any of the above alternatives at this point in the proceeding because SNW A prefers the status quo
methodology which has been in place for a substantial period of time and requires no changes to
curent law.
If the Commission does adopt any of the alterntives above (except for Alternative 2 applied to
natural gas utilties, given the statutory change already adopted by the 2005 Nevada Legislatue in S.B.
256), NRS 704. 110 must be rewrtten because it curently limits utilties to an historic test period
which may only be updated with information up to six months afer the end of that period. If any form
of future test year is desired, a substantial rewrte of NRS 704.110 will be required. If only an update
to the historic period is made several months beyond the curent system or up to the time rates take
effect, then only a smaller revision to NRS 704.110, as it curently reads, is required. If any of the
alternatives identified by the Commission in ths docket are to be implemented, a lengty rulemaking
to rewrite the schedules and filing requirements in NAC Chapter 703.2201, et seq. will be necessar.
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CONCLUSION
Growth has the potential to complicate the effort to set rates that accurately reflect cost of
service. As discussed in more detail in the prior SNW A comments, the relationship between
5generation and transmission incremental costs and incremental revenues (rates) determine.. whether
growth is revenue or cost enhancing. The chances of this happening' in Nevada may be reduced
because of the use of essentially a futue test period for fuel costs. For example, it is clear from recent
DEAA filings that use of a future test year doesn't necessarily reflect futue cost of service, otherwse
DEAA balances would be small, which they are not. We should not assume that a more " extended
future test year applied in a general rate proceeding will accommodate growth and more accurately
reflect cost of service simply by basing rates on forecasts of all rate case elements, or that growth will
necessarly have a predictable positive or negative impact on earings.
In Nevada there is no clear evidence, aside from fuel and purchased power costs (which are
already based on a futue test year), that incremental cost is growing considerably more rapidly th
incremental revenue. It is not clear at all that rate payers or shareholders would benefit by basing rates
on a fully forecasted cost of service because that would dramatically increase all paries' costs of
evaluating rate cases and would introduce a great deal more uncertainty in the process which may not
even reflect growth any more accurately than an" historic test year.
Given the added cost, the greater uncertainty, and the added burden on the process, it seems
much more cost effective to begin with the most recent historic test year data available and then make
adjustments for major, reasonably known, and measurable rate case elements for a short period of time
into the future. This can be accomplished with minimal changes to current processes and procedures,
minimal added burden on all rate case paricipants, and at minimal added costs. In addition, since
these major known and measurable future events are the most likely to cause futue cost of service to
deviate from curent cost of service, growth is adequately accommodated. To the extent that major
25 1/11
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plant additions may fall outside the test year, the electric utilities' should consider the more efficient
course of filing timelier rate cases, since they are only obligated to file every two years but are entitled
to file more frequently in interim periods if necessar.
RESPECTFULL Y SUBMITTED this i 7th day of Januar, 2006.
BY:
FRED SCHMIDT
Hale Lane Peek Dennison and Howard
777 East Wiliam Street, Suite 200
Carson City, NV 89701
(775) 684-6000
Attorney for
SOUTHERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY
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PROOF OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that I mailed the foregoing Southern Nevada Water Authority's Supplemental
Comments Regarding Rate Making Mechanisms in Docket 05-7048 by delivering via U.S.P.S. copies
thereof, properly addressed for mailng to the following persons:
Staff Counsel
Public Utilities Commission of Nevada
1150 E. Wiliam Street
Carson City, NV 89701-3109
Alaina Burtenshaw
Public Utilties Commission
101 Convention Center Drive, Suite 250
Las Vegas, NV 89 i 09
Ernext Figueroa
Bureau of Consumer Protection
555 E. Washington Ave., Suite 3900
Las Vegas, NY 89101
edfiguro~ag.state.nv. us
Chad Duval
Moss Adams LLP
3121 W. March lane, Ste. 100
Stockton, CA 95219
chad.duval~ossadams.com
Conne Silveira
Sierr Pacific Power Company
6100 Neil Road
Reno, NV 895 i 1
csilveira~sppc.com
Dan Foley
SBC Nevada Bell General Attorney
P.O. Box 11010
645 E. Plumb Lane, Room B 132
Reno, NV 89520
Debra Jacobson
Southwest Gas Corp.
5241 Spring Mountain Road
Las Vegas, NV 89150
Debra.Jacobson~swgas.com
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1 Eric Heath
2
Spnnt of Nevada
330 S. Valley View Boulevard
3 Las Vegas, NV 89107
eric.s.heath~sprint.com
4
Karen Peterson
5 Allison, Mackenzie, et aL.
P.O. Box 646
6 Carson City, NV 89702
7 kpeterson~allisonmackenze.com
8 Kathleen Drakulich
Kumer Kaempfer, et aL.
9 5250 S. Virginia Street, Suite 220
'0 Reno, NY 89520
~o 10 kdrakulich~kkbr.com~oON..11 Linda Stinar=20... t-
Sprint of Nevada
1 :: Ct 12f/ 00
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04,('13 Las Vegas, NY 89107.~ ~ ~Linda.c.stinar~ail.spnnt.comf/Z 14
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15 Shawn Elicegui
.... ...4,::U Lionel Sawyer & Collns4, ~ i=
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19 Steve Lubertozzi
Sky Ranch Water Service Corp.
20 2235 Sanders Rd.
Northbrook, IL 60062
21
22 Timothy Shuba
Goodwin Procter LLP
23 901 New York Ave. N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20001
24 tshuba~goodwinprocter.com
25 Dated this 17th day of Janua, 2006.
26
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BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA
Investigation to review processes, theories
and methodologies that may be used to
establish just and reasonable rates in general
rate cases.vJ
)
) Docket No. 05-7048
)
)
)
SOUTHERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY'S REPLY
COMMENTS REGARING RATE MAKIG MECHANISMS
SOUTHERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY ("SNWA"), pursuant to NAC chapter 703
and the Request for Comments in this docket dated December 15, 2005, hereby submits its Reply
Comments to the Public Utilties Commission of Nevada ("Commission") regarding processes,
theories, and methodologies that may be used to establish just and reasonable rates in general rate
cases pursuant to Section 7 of Senate Bil ("S.B") 238.
INTRODUCTION
The reply comments contained herein are intended to synthesize the Southern Nevada Water
Authority's ("SNWA") general position with positions on rate making mechanisms presented by other
paries on Januar 17, 2006. As made clear by the sum and substance of the comments to date, a
single, clear, specific application of a test year methodology will be diffcult to attain.
The SNW A nonetheless continues to support the general objective espoused by it, the utilties,
and indirectly by other paries that the test year constrct should be intended to strke a balance
between costs and revenues over the near term. The SNW A has offered its view on test year
pariculars designed to balance costs and revenues in its previous two rounds of wrtten comments.
While the comments reveal a clear division between the recommendations of the utilties and
other paries on the value of the four alternatives designated by this Commssion, there appears to be
consensus that a fully forecasted test year (Alternative 1) is the most costly and most contentious of the
alternatives. It is most costly because it would represent a completely new forecast paradigm for
estimating costs and the estimated test year costs would undoubtedly be higher than test year costs
estimated under Alternatives 2-4. Having said this, the SNWA is also of the opinion that a completely
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Un..", 1 ..t'.c.1(.5'" J. V.L..
Draft SNWA 1/30106 Test Year Comments
INTRODUCTION
The reply comments contained herein are intended to synthesize the Southern
Nevada Water Authority's general position on the issues and positions on rate making
mechanisms presented by parties on January 17,2006. As made clear by the sum and
substance of the comments to date, a single, clear specific application of a test year
methodology wil be difficult to attain.
The SNW A nonetheless continues to support the general objective espoused by it,
the utilities and indirectly by other parties, thatthe test year construct should be intended
to strike a balance between costs and revenues over the near term. The SNW A has
offered its view on test year particulars designed to balance costs and revenues in its
previous two rounds of wrtten comments.
While the comments reveal a clear division between the recommendations of the
utilties and other paries on the value of the 4 alternatives designated by this
Commission, there appeared to be consensus that a fully forecast test year (Alternative I)
is the most costly and most contentions of the alternatives. It is most costly because it
would represent a completely new forecast paradigm for estimating costs and the
estimated test year costs would undoubtedly be higher than test year costs estimated
under Alternatives 2-4. Having said this, the SNWA is also of the opinion that a
completely historic and unadjusted test year is also likely to be an inaccurate mechanism
if near term significant cost events are occuring.
ABIDING RATE MAKING PRICIPLES
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I historic and unadjusted test year is also likely to be an inaccurate mechanism if near term significant
2 cost events are about to occur.
3 ABIDING RATE MAKING PRICIPLES
4 The SNW A proposes that this Commission consider the following principles in assessing
5 alternatives to test year mechanisms:
· Both fully historic and fully future test year mechanisms are most inaccurate in times of rapid
growth and growth events (such as major capital investment).
· Modified, forward looking historical-based test years are most accurate in periods of rapid
growt and growth events, so long as rate cases are fied timely and regularly, and updates are
made for both costs and revenues.
For these reasons, the SNWA strongly recommends that the Commission, utilities, and other
paries work cooperatively and intentionally to devise a test year mechanism based upon historical
data, but adjusted for near-tenn likely events beyond the rate case test year. The SNW A is ready,
willng, and able to work with the Commission and other parties to define the appropriate adjustment
period and the parameters for recognizing likely events.
CONCLUSION
The SNW A makes this recommendation largely because of the significant changes and
challenges facing the Commission, utilities and rate payers in Nevada. As discussed in the SNWA
supplemental comments, the electric utilities' recently anounced plans to expend $3 bilion for new
generation and transmission facilities, over and above the Silverhawk, Lenzie and Tracy plants already
underway, is likely to drastically alter the present cost strcture of those electric utilities. With
unprecedented changes in costs, especially the changing ratio of fixed to variable costs, the SNW A
1/11
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The SNW A proposes that this Commission consider the following principles in
assessing alternatives to test year mechanisms:
· Both fully historic and fully future test year mechanisms are most inaccurate in
times of rapid growth and growth events (such as major capital investment)
· Modified, forward looking historical-based test years are most accurate in periods
of rapid growth and growth events, so long as rate cases are filed timely.
For these reasons, the SNWA strongly recommends that the Commssion, utilities and
other paries work cooperatively and intentionally to devise a test year mechanism
based upon historical data, but adjusted for likely events 7-12 months beyond the rate
case filing data.
CONCLUDING REMARKS
The SNW A makes this recommendation largely because of the significant
changes and challenges facing the Commission, utilities and rate payers in Nevada.
As discussed in the SNW A supplemental comments, the utilities recently anounced
plans to expend $3 bilion for new generation and transmission facilities, over and
above the Silverhawk, Lenzie and Tracy plants already underway wil drastically alter
the utilities present cost structure. With unprecedented changes in costs, especially
the changing ratio of fixed to variable costs, it is best to look at real and anticipated
rather than forecast changes. i
i In its prior comments the SNW A has stressed the need to focus on incremental generation, transmission
and related costs in assessing the balance of costs and revenues. References to year experiences of the fewother jurisdictions attempting future test years is unlikely to be valuable under the circumstances facing
growth in Nevada.
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believes it is best to look at real and anticipated information in conjunction with actual experience,
rather than rely solely on forecasted or estimated changes. i
RESPECTFULL Y SUBMITTED this 30th day of January, 2006.
BY:
FRED SCHMIDT
Hale Lane Peek Dennison and Howard
777 East Wiliam Street, Suite 200
Carson City, NV 89701
(775) 684-6000Attorney for
SOUTHERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY
i In its prior comments the SNW A has recognized and stressed the need to focus on incremental generation,
transmission, and related costs in assessing the balance of costs and revenues. References to the experiences of the few
other jurisdictions which employ future test year methodology is unlikely to be valuable to that focus under the unique
circumstances facing growth in Nevada. It is also worrisome for customers to note that Nevada's neighbor, California,
which has implemented a full future test year for ratemaking, according to the data submitted by Sierra PacificlNevada
Power clearly has the highest electric utilty rates in the Western United States. As Nevada has learned from the Western
Energy Crisis during the last decade, following California's lead in utilty regulation, while appealing in theory, can prove
very costly.
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PROOF OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that I mailed the foregoing Southern Nevada Water Authority's Supplemental
Comments Regarding Rate Making Mechanisms in Docket 05-7048 by delivering via U.S.P.S. copies
thereof, properly addressed for mailing to the following persons:
Wiliam Staney
Public Utilities Commission of Nevada
1150 E. Willam Street
Carson City, NV 89701-3109
Alaina Burtenshaw
Public Utilties Commission
i 0 i Convention Center Dr., #250
Las Vegas, NV 89 i 09
Ernext Figueroa
Bureau of Consumer Protection
555 E. Washington Ave., Suite 3900
Las Vegas, NY 89101
edfiguro~ag.state.nv. us
Chad Duval
Moss Adams LLP
3121 W. March Lane, Ste. 100
Stockton, CA 95219
chad.duvalcÐossadams.com
Connie Silveira
Sierra Pacific Power Company
6100 Neil Road
Reno, NV 895 i i
csilveira~sppc.com
Dan Foley
SBC Nevada Bell General Attorney
P.O. Box 11010
645 E. Plumb Lane, Room B 132
Reno, NY 89520
Debra Jacobson
Southwest Gas Corp.
5241 Spring Mountain Road
Las Vegas, NV 89150
Debra.Jacobson~swgas.com
Eric Heath
Sprint of Nevada
330 S. Valley View Boulevard
Las Vegas, NV 89 i 07
eric.s.heath~sprint.com
Karen Peterson
Allson, Mackenzie, et aL.
P.O. Box 646
Carson City, NY 89702
kpeterson~allsonmackenzie.com
Katheen Drakulich
Kumer Kaempfer, et al.
5250 S. Virginia Street, Suite 220
Reno, NV 89520
kdrakulich~kkbr.com
Linda Stinar
Sprint of Nevada
330 S. Valley View Blvd.
Las Vegas, NV 89107
Linda. c.stinar~mail.sprint.com
Shawn Elicegui
Lionel Sawyer & Collns
i i 00 Ban of America Plaza
50 W. Liberty Street, Suite i 100
Reno, NV 89501
selicegui~lionelsawyer.com
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Steve Lubertozzi
Sky Ranch Water Service Corp.
2235 Sanders Rd.
Northbrook, IL 60062
Timothy Shuba
Goodwin Procter LLP
901 New York Ave. N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20001
tshuba~goodwinprocter.com
Dated this 30th day of Januar, 2006.
\'
Teresa A. Willams
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Ed Evett Hale
(1929.1993)
Ste Lane
J. Stli Peek
Karen D. Dennin
R. Cig Howan
Step V. NO~'ik
Richard L. Elmre
Ridrd Dennett
Robn C, Andn
A1elt I. I'ngls
lallL. Keny
KeDy TCSlin
N. Patrk Flanagan
Matew Ii Woohtad
Roiir W. Jepps
Lalle C. Ea
Jeremy J. Nork
David A. Garcia
FJis F. Cadish
Timoth A. Lulu
Fnirielc J. Schmidt
James NewnTon R. So
Patck J. Reily
Seolt D. Fleming
Sc SeIi
Anthony L. Hall
Frederi1c R. BaitJir
Mallli B, Hipple
Brad M. Johns
Ji: M. Sn)'r
Brent C. Eckerleyliri C. HalsMatd J. KreUl
Brye K, KunimoinDola C. FIoJustin C, Jons
Nicole M. Vance
Kini Rohy
Dora V. DjiliaßO'l
Simon Jolm.
Sarah E. L. ClsR. IC Mc lC..
Ilelm E. Mardroian
OfCowil
Roy Farrow
Pauline Ng Lee
Andrew Perl
.AI ÎI He Vart.. 1'.. Jc..1).. A4Ï1ciiI ("..liRn Oty
HALE LANE
ATTORNEYS AT LAW
m East Wiliam Str I Suite 200 I Carn City, Neva 8910t
Telephone (775) 684- I Fac.imile (775) 684-(Ol
ww.llebneco
March 7, 2006
Crystal Jackson'
Commssion Secretar
1150 E. Wiliam Street
Carson City, NV 89701
RE: SNWA DIRCT TESTIMONY DOCKET NO. 06-01016
Dear Ms. Jackson:
Please accept for filing the enclosed original and nine copies of the Direct
Testimony of Dennis Peseau on behalf of SNW A in Docket No. 06-01016.
Should you have any questions regarding this filing, please contact me at (775)
684-6000.
:ii' nee ¡ely,~J. .Ijdmdf.,,'~ k.
Fred Schmidt, Esq.
FJS:taw
Enclosures
cc: Pares of Record
HAtE LANE PEEK DENNISON AND HOWARD
REO OFFICE: 5441 Kietze La I Send Floo I Ren. ~ewda 89511 I Phne (715)321.300 I Facsiniile (715) 786-6119
LAS VEGAS OFFICE: 2300 Wesi Saha Avenuc I Eighth Floor I Boii H I Las Vega. Neva 891021 Phone (702) 222.2500 i Facsimle (102) 365-6940
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BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA
Docket No. 06-01016
Direct Testimony of
Dennis E. Peseau
on behalf of
Southern Nevada Water Authorit
PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUSINESS ADDRESS.
My name is Dennis E. Peseau. My business address is 1500 Libert Street S.E.,
Suite 250, .Salem, Oregon 97302.
BY WHOM AND IN WHAT CAPACITY ARE YOU EMPLOYED?
I am President of Utilit Resources, Inc. The firm consults on a number of economic,
financial, and engineering matters for various private and public entities.
'~J.- ':'..o ~,,"ON WHOSE BEHALF ARE YOU TESTIFYING IN THIS PROCEEDING? en .,~s:: r,n, :zu . ';.=
i am testifing on behalf of the Southern Nevada Water Authority ("SNVYA"):äi1~ its
.. ~:,:.constituent members. :-:.~~
~ L-~:~-; ;/i;:.. .--,
DOES ATTACHMENT 1 ACCURATELY DESCRIBE YOUR BACKGROUN AND
EXPERIENCE?
Yes.
WHAT IS THE SUBJECT OF YOUR TESTIMONY?
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The subject of my testimony pertains to both the level and the design of Nevada
Power Company's ("Company") proposed Base Tariff Energy Rate ("BTER") in these
proceedings, Docket No. 06-10106. The Company's Application in these procedings
seeks a combined residential and non-residential BTER designed to recover an
annualized revenue increase of $264.1 milion, which includes both BTER and DEA
synchronization. In its subsequent BTER update in this docket, filed February 24,
. 2006, the Company reduced its request to $137.7 milion. The former requested
increase of $264.1 milion is based on Nevada Power's use of a December 28, 2005
price forecast. The update to the BTER was based on a forecast made only a month
later, January 27,2006. This large reduction in requested revenues demonstrates the
significant impact and variation inherent in even near-term market energy price
forecasts.
WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR DIRECT TESTIMONY?
The purpose of my testimony is twofold:
1. To demonstrate that implementation of a seasonal BTER. instead of an annual
BTER, is at present necessary to relieve customers of excess carrying charges,
to relieve Nevada Power of its chronic summer BTER revenue shortlls, and to
reduce the excessive debt financing and credit rating stress promoted by an
annualized BTER; and
2. To demonstrate that the continued decrease in forecast energy prices from the
time of the Company's BTER update wil provide an easy transition to a
seasonally-based BTER.
WHAT CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS DO YOU MAKE?
My conclusions lead to the following recommendations:
1. A seasonally-based BTER that tracks Nevada Power's higher summer fuel and
purchased power costs, and lower non-summer costs, should be implemented.
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2. A seasonally-based BTER would provide customers with prices that more
accurately reflect their consumption decisions, and therefore promote better
conservation decisions at times when costs are high.
3. A seasonally-based BTER, implemented in time for this summer season, would
reduce or eÍiminate Nevada Power's need for an additional $200 millon in debt
financing this Summer.
4. A seasonally-based BTER would permanently reduce a signifcant amount of
debt necessary to finance the predictable summer BTER revenue shortalls.
5. The reduction in financing faciltated by a seasonally-based BTER would relieve
customers of milions of dollars in additional carring charges.
6. The Commission should leave the annual average BTER reflected in current
rates essentially unchanged for the next year, because fuel and purchased
'power prices have dropped dramatically since Nevada Powets February 24,
2006 update. However, by implementing a seasonally based summer BTER,
the rate to be implemented commencing May 1, 2006 should be about
$0.062/kwh, or about the same rate reflected in the February 24, 2006 updated
filng by Nevada Power.
PRESENT BTER STRUCTURE
WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO THE PRESENT STRUCTURE OF THE
BTER?
The first issue i raise is the same whether the BTER is calculated using either a set of
historical or forecasted data. As amended NAC 704.130 now provides, Nevada Power
has offered both historical and forecasted prices. In either case, the BTER is
estimated by averaging monthly price information into a single rate for each of the
residential and non-residential categories.
The averages reflect a compressionof high prices of fuel and purchased power
faced and paid by Nevada Power in the summer, with the lower prices paid in shoulder
and winter months. An average BTER is not designed to cover the Company's high
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2. A seasonally-based BTER would provide customers with prices that more
accurately reflect their consumption decisions, and therefore promote better
conservation decisions at times when costs are high.
3. A seasonally-based BTER, implemented in time for this summer season, would
reduce or eÍiminate Nevada Power's need for an additional $200 milion in debt
financing this summer.
4. A seasonally-based BTER would permanently reduce a significant amount of
debt necessary to finance the predictable summer BTER revenue shortalls.
5. The reduction in financing faciltated by a seasonally-based BTER would relieve
customers of milions of dollars in additional carring charges.
6. The Commission should leave the annual average BTER reflected in current
rates essentially unchanged for the next year, because fuel and purchased
power prices have dropped dramatically since Nevada Power's February 24,
2006 update. However, by implementing a seasonally based suml1r BTER,
the rate to be implemented commencing. May 1, 2006 should be about
$0. 062/kh , or about the same rate reflected in the February 24, 2006 updated
filng by Nevada Power.
PRESENT BTER STRUCTURE
WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO THE PRESENT STRUCTURE OF THE
BTER?
The first issue I raise is the same whether the BTER is calculated using either a set of
historical or forecasted data. As amended NAC 704.130 now provides, Nevada Power
has offered both historical and forecasted prices. In either case, the BTER is
estimated by averaging monthly price information into a single rate for each of the
residential and non-residential categones.
The averages reflect a compression of high pnces of fuel and purchased power
faced and paid by Nevada Power in the summer, with the lower prices paid in shoulder
and winter months. An average BTER is not designed to cover the Company's high
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2. A seasonally-based BTER would provide customers with pnces that more
accurately reflect their consumption decisions, and therefore promote better
conservation decisions at times when costs are high.
3. A seasonally-based BTER, implemented in time for this summer season, would
reduce or èÍiminate Nevada Power's need for an additional $200 milion in debt
financing this Summer.
4. A seasonally-based BTER would permanently reduce a significant amount of
debt necessary to finance the predictable summer BTER revenue shortalls.
5. The reduction in financing faciltated by a seasonally-based BTER would relieve
customers of milions of dollars in additional carrying charges.
6. The Commission should leave the annual average BTER reflected in current
rates essentially unchanged for the next year, because fuel and purchased
power prices have dropped dramatically since Nevada Power's February 24,
2006 update. However, by implementing a seasonally based summer BTER,
the rate to be implemented commencing May 1 r 2006 should be about
$0.062Ikh, or about the same rate reflected in the February 24, 2006 updated
filng by Nevada Power.
PRESENT BTER STRUCTURE
WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO THE PRESENT STRUCTURE OF THE
BTER?
The first issue I raise is the same whether the BTER is calculated using either a set of
historical or forecasted data. As amended NAC 704.130 now provides, Nevada Power
has offered both historical and forecasted prices. In either case, the BTER is
estimated by averaging monthly pnce information into a single rate for each of the
residential and non-residential categones.
The averages reflect a compression of high prices of fuel and purchased power
faced and paid by Nevada Power in the summer, with the lower prices paid in shoulder
and winter months. An average BTER is not designed to cover the Company's high
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summer costs, and requires at least short-term financing to pay for such costs.
Nevada Power explains in several places in its Application and testimony In this case.
and in its Docket No. 06-01018 Application, that even if it requested BTER is granted
in its entirety. it expects to experience accrued deferrals of up to $200 millon.
The specifc Issue I am raising is the inabilty of the BTER, if estimated and set
at an average level over the entire test year, to track the out-of-pocket costs for fuel
and purchased power incurred by the Company.
SEASONAL BTER
WHAT DO YOU PROPOSE TO REPLACE THE CURRENT METHOD OF
ESTIMATING AND SETTING THE BTER ON AN AVERAGE ANNUAL BASIS?
I propose that the monthly calculations that are currently developed for the BTER not
be reduced to a single annual figure, but instead be set and charged on a seasonal
basis. The summer BTER would be based on the forecast prices for the months June
through September, while the non-summer BTER would be based on the forecast
prices for the months of October through May.
WHY DO YOU MAKE THIS PROPOSAL?
First and foremost, as an economist who has worked before this Commission for many
years, I recognize that whenever possible and practical rates to customers have been
based on costs, particularly marginal costs. A seasonally-based BTER would promote
an alignment of rates with the pronounced seasonality of fuel and purchased power
costs.
Under the existing annual BTER, customers have little or no knowledge of the '
prevalence of high summer fuel and purchased power costs as compared to non-
summer months, nor do they have the ability to shape or avoid consumption that can
reduce their power bils. All customers now pay too little for power consumed in
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summer costs, and requires at least short-term financing to pay for such costs.
Nevada Power explains in several Rlaces in its Application and testimony in this case,
and in its Docket No. 06-01018 Application, that even if its requested BTER is granted
in its entirety, it expects to experience accrued deferrals of up to $200 milion.
The specifc issue i am raising is the inabilit of the BTER, if estimated and set
at an average level over the entire test year, to track the out..of-pocket costs for fuel
and purchased power incurred by the Compcmy.
SEASONAL BTER
WHAT DO YOU PROPOSE TO REPLACE THE CURRENT METHOD OF
ESTfMATING AND SEmNG THE BTER ON AN AVERAGE ANNUAL BASIS?
i propose that the monthly calculations that are currently developed for the BTER not
be reduce to a single annual figure, but instead be set and charged on a seasonal
basis. The summer BTER would be based on the forecast prices for the months June
through September, while the non-summer BTER would be based on the forecast
prices for the months of October through May.
WHY DO YOU MAKE THIS PROPOSAL?
First and foremost, as an economist who has worked before this Commission for many
years, I recognize that whenever possible and practical rates to customers have been
based on costs, particularly marginal costs. A seasonally-based BTER would promote
an alignment of rates with the pronounced seasonality of fuel and purchased power
costs.
Under the existing annual BTER, customers have little or no knowledge of the
prevalence of high summer fuel and purchased power costs as compared to non-
summer months, nor do they have the ability to shape or avoid consumption that can
reduce their power bils. All customers now pay too little for power consumed in
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summer months and too much for power consumed the rest of the year. A seasonally-
based BTER promotes effcient usage decisions, as well as economic conservation.
WHAT OTHER BENEFITS DERIVE FROM THE REDESIGN OF THE ANNUAL
BTER TO A SEASONALL V-BASED BTER?
The corollary to thè annual BTER-induced customer uflderpayment of the high
summer months' fuel and purchased power costs is the shortall of revenues collected
by Nevada Power in the summer months. The Company speaks to this revenue
shortall throughout its filing (Application, p. 4, lines 18-20; p. 17, i. 25-27; Yackira
Direct, p. 1~, i. 11-21; and in its Application in Docket 06-01018. p. 12, i. 5-18).
Depending on a number of factors, Nevada Power indicates the need for up to $200
millon in additional financing to cover accumulated and prospective BTER revenue
shortalls. Seasonalizing the BTER to track seasonal fuel and purchased power costs
should eliminate the need for this financing by providing substantial additional revenue
and cash flow to pay for higher fuel and purchased power costs during summer
months.
WOULD THE SEASONALLY-BASED BTER POSITIVELY AFFECT NEVADA
POWER'S FINANCIAL FUNDAMENTALS?
Yes. As I indicated, the seasonally-based BTER improves the Company's cash flow
and rerjuces the need for substantial new debt. As many have noted in recent years,
Nevada Power and its parent, Sierra Pacific Resoúrces, have been excessively debt
leveraged for some time. In my opinion, any and all positive steps toward reducing the
Company's need for debt would have favorable consequences for Nevada Power's
customers, shareholderS, and bondholders: Credit rating agencies such as Moody's
and Standard & Poor's have implored the Company to improve the important debt-
equity ratio. The net effect of a more balanced capital structure is a lower cost of
capital through lower debt costs.
::ODMA\PCDOCSlHlRNODOCI522278\1./Page 5
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WHAT OTHER BENEFITS WOULD ACCOMPANY THE IMPLEMENTATION OF A
SEASONALLY -BASED BTER?
As noted in the testimony of Company witness Mr. Yackira. p. 10, 1.16-17, substantial
carrying charges of $23.4 millon are included in DEA5 balances. In addition, Period
6 deferred balance could reach $178 milion under an annualized average BTER. A
seasonally-based BTER designed to avert the summer months under recovery would
minimize deferred balances and save customers the 9.03 percent carrying charge rate
which is applied to these balances. If the entire $200 milion in new debt requested in
Docket 06-01018 is avoided, the seasonally-bas€d BTER could minimize or eliminate
annualized carrying charges of up to $18 milion.
CALCULATING A SEASONALLY-BASED BTER
HAVE YOU CALCULATED A SEASONALLY-BASED BTER BASED ON NEVADA
POWER'S FEBRUARY 24, 2006 FILING?
Yes. My Exhibit DEP-1 summarizes Nevada Power's February 24, 2006 updated
price forecasts and associated annual BTER. This exhibit then seasonally
diferentiates the Company's revised annual BTER of $0.063253 into seasonal
components.
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
Exhibit DEP-1 distinguishes by month. by season, and by test year the fuel and
purchased costs forecast by the Company. For example, dividing the total test year
sales of 20,243,888 mwhs into the net retail cost (after removing the FERC allocation)
of $1,277,325,000, we obtain Nevada Power's requested annual BTER of
$0.06325/kh, before adjustment for Hoover B. To seasonalize this annual BTER, the
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNODOCS\522278\1 Page 6
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forecast of summer and winter fuel and purchased power costs is divided by the
related forecast energy sales.
The Hoover B adjustment of approximately $7,177,000 in favor of the
residential class result in a net reduction of $.00083 for residential, and a net addition
of $.00062 for non-residential. The final seasonal BTERs based on Nevada Powets
February 24, 2006 update are shown at the bottom of Exhibit DEP-1, $0.06242 for
residential and $0.06387 for non-residentiaL.
ARE YOU RECOMMENDING THAT NEVADA POWER'S PROPOSED ANNUAL
BTER LEVEL BE ADOPTED AND THEN SEASONALIZED IN THESE
PROCEEDINGS?
No.
WHY NOT?
After i noticed the significant decrease in Nevada Power's proposed BTER from its
January 17, 2006 filing forecast to its February 24, 2006 revised forecast, i further
updated the fuel and purchased power forecast to March 1, 2006. The seasonally-
based BTER I develop below and recommend in these proceedings is calculated with
this later, more current forecast.
After i noted that Nevada Power's original January 17, 2006 BTER filing
prOposed to collect $264.1 milion in revenues, the Company's update of February 24,
2006 reduced its request to $137.7 million, a reduction of over $126 milion.
BEFORE YOU EXPLAIN YOUR REVISED SEASONALLY-BASED BTER
CALCULATIONS BASED ON YOUR MARCH 1 FORECAST, PLEASE ÉXPLAIN
HOW YOUR PRICE FORECASTS AND RELATED SEASONALLY-BASED BTER
COMPARE TO THE FORECASTS AND BTER PROPOSED BY NEVADA POWER
ON FEBRUARY 24, 2006.
::ODMA\PCDOCS'lLRNODOCS\52227B\1 Page 7
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Pnces for both fuel and purchased power for the test year are now forecasted to be
lower than the forecasts used ay Nevada Power. This, of course, results in a lower
estimated annual BTER forecast. But, due to the seasonally higher summer BTER
rates I calculate below, use of the seasonal BTER will pose no greater risk of revenue
under-recovery than the BTER propoed by the Company on February 24, 2006. This
is due essentially to the fact that my proposed summer BTER is estimate to be very
nearly the same as the updated BTER proposed by Nevada Power. The diference is
that the non-summer rate i estimate is approximately $8/mwh lower, but this lower rate
should not go into effect unti October of this year, when fuel and purchased power
costs normally decrease, barrng no significant changes in fuel and purchased power
markets by that time.
PLEASE EXPLAIN YOUR UPDATE OF FUEL AND PURCHASED POWER
MARKETS AND THE DERIVATION OFSEASONALlY.BASED BTER BASED
UPON THAT FORECAST.
My update, and recommended seasonally-based BTER, is shown on my Exhibit DEP-
2. All significant data and assumptions used by Nevada Power were also used in my
revised analysis, with the notable exception of its fuel and purchased power forecast.
Upon review of the forward market natural gas and electric prices, i found that prices
had continued the downward trend found by Nevada POVler by the end of January. In
fact, the March 1, 2006 natural gas price markets had fallen slightly over 10 percent
from the forecast used by Nevada Power.1 The fuel and purchased power costs for
the summer and winter periods shown on Exhibit DEP-2 reflec this decrease in costs.
These fuel and purchased power prices adjusted to March 1, 2006 are then
developed into seasonally-based BTERs on Exhibit DEP-2, in the same fashion as
those in Exhibit DEP-1.
28 1 For example, this was derived from observing a decrease in natural gas NYMEX price of $1.37/mmbtu
from Nevada Power's prices. Purchased power pnces were also lower since they are heavily influenced by
natural gas costs.
::ODMA\PCOOCS\HLRNOOOS\52228\1 Page 8
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The final result of these adjustments result in my proposed seasonally-based
BTERs in these proceings.
Proposed BTERs
Summer Winter
Residential $0.06125
$0.06270
$0.05318
$0.05463Non-Residential
The summer BTER is generally applicable to months June through September, while
the non-summer BTER is applicable for months October through May.
ARE YOU AWARE OF THE FACT THAT NEVADA POWER IS REQUESTING THAT
THE BTER BE IMPLEMENTED BEGINNING MAY 1, 2006?
Yes, and this could cause a bit of discontiauity in terms of rate design, as the lower
non-summer rate is really most appropriate for May 1, 2006. However, the
Commission may not wish to implement the lower rate for one month, followed by the
higher summer BTER, especially since May is a shoulder month with consumption and
costs. nearly approaching summer month levels.
DO YOU HAVE A RECOMMENDATION IN THIS REGARD?
Yes. i recommend that the higher summer BTER be implemented on May 1, 2006 as.
a special circumstance related to the Company's request for early summer
implementation.
WHY DO YOU MAKE THIS RECOMMENDATION?
i make this recommendation for several reasons. First, implementation in May
provides some rate continuity. Second, the Company indicates that it wil be carring
positive deferral balances into this new test year, thus there is no reason to lower
current BTER rates for one month. Lastly, it wil provide some cushion for summer
::ODMA\PCDOCLRNOOOS\52278\1 Page 9
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costs, although my updated forecast indicates that the Company-predicted summer
revenue shortall should be largely, if not entirely, eliminated, as well be the need for,
its referenced $200 millon additional debt financing.
DO YOU HAVE A PROPOSAL FOR IMPLEMENTING THE NON-8UMMER BTER?
Yes. If the most recent forecast is accurate, the approximately 8 mil/kwh reduction in
the BTER would commence October 1, 2006.
However, as a transitional accommodation, i recommend that Nevada Power
be allowed to update the natural gas and electric forecasts by the end of August if
there is signifcant change from the March 1, 2006 forecasted prices. This
accmmodation is simply to eliminate the risk of market change against it at that time,
and to allay any angst from the financial institutions that the transition to seasonal
rates could be negative to the Company. Since a higher BTER wil already be in
place, the abilty to accommodate a change in forecasted prices would also be easy to
implement if it just meant not lowering the non-summer BTER as much as estimated
for October 1, 2006.
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
PLEASE SUMMARIZE YOUR CONCLUSIONS.
I recommend that:
1. The seasonal rates summarized in my Exhibit DEP-2 be implemented in
this case.
2. The higher summer BTER rate, ordinarily put in place for the first
summer month of June, be implemented as a one-time exception this
May 1, 2006.
3. Nevada Power be allowed to re-file a fuel and purchase power update
in August that might, or might not, afect the degree to which the non-
summer rates to be implemented October 1, 2006 are reduced.
DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR DIRECT TESTIMONY?
Yes.
::ODMA\PCDOCSlRNODOCS\52278\1
. .
Page 10
AFFIRMATION
I, Dennis E. Peseau, pursuant to NAC 703.710 hereby affirm that the
foregoing prepared testimony was prepared by me or under my direction and is
correct to the best of my knowledge.
Signed
Dated
12,~-
~- t:'1 t)'
ATTACHMENT 1
Attachment 1
Dkt. 06-01016
Witness: D.E. Peseau
Page 1 of3
STATEMENT OF OCCUPATIONAL AND
EDUCATIONAL HISTORY AND QUALIFICATIONS
DENNIS E. PESEAU
Dr. Peseau has conducted economic and financial studies for regulated
industries for the past twenty-eight years. In 1972, he was employed by Southern
California Edison Company as Associate Economic Analyst, and later as Economic
Analyst. His responsibilties included review of financial testimony, incremental cost
studies, rate design, econometric estimation of demand elasticities and various areas
in the field of energy and economic growth. Also, he was asked by Edison Electrical
Institute to study and evaluate several prominent energy models as part of the Ad
Hoc Committee on Economic Growth and Energy Pricing.
From 1974 to 1978, Dr. Peseau was employed ,by the Public Utilty
Commissioner of Oregon as Senior Economist. There he conducted a number of
economic and financial studies and prepared testimony pertaining to public utilties.
In 1978 Dr. Peseau established the Northwest offce of Zinder
Companies, Inc. He has since submitted testimony on economic and financial
matters before state regulatory commissions in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryland,
Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, Washington, Wyoming, the District of Columbia, the
Bonnevile Power Administration and the Public Utilties Board of Alberta on over one
hundred occasions. He has conducted marginal cost and rate design studies and
Ii
i I
Attachment 1
Dkt. 06-01016
VVUness: D.E. Peseau
Page 2 of3
prepared testimony on these matters in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryland,
Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, Washington and in the District of Columbia. He has
also conducted cost and rate studies regarding PURPA issues in the states of
Alaska, California, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New York, Washington, and
Washington, D.C.
Dr. Peseau holds B.A., M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in economics.
He has co-authored a book in the field of industrial organization entitled,
Size, Profits and Executive Compensation in the Large Corporation, which devotes
a chapter to regulated industries.
Dr. Peseau has published articles in the following professional journals:
Review of Economics and Statistics, Atlantic Economic Journal, Journal of Financial
Management, and Journal of Regional Science. His articles have been read before
the Econometric Society, the Western Economic Association, the Financial
Management Association, the Regional Science Association and universities in the
United Kingdom as well as in the United States,
He has guest lectured on marginal costing methods in seminars in New
Jersey and California for the Center of Professional Advancement. He has also
guest lectured on cost of capital for the public utility industry before the Pacific Coast
Gas and Electric Association, and for the Executive Seminar at the Colgate Darden
Graduate School of Business, University of Virginia.
Attachment 1
Dkt. 06-01016
Witness: D.E. Peseau
Page 3 of3
Dr. Peseau and his firm have participated with and been members of the
American Economic Association, the American Financial Association, the Western
Economic Association, the Atlantic Economic Association and the Financial
Management Association. He was formerly a member of the Staff Subcommittee on
Economics of the National Association of Regulatory Utilty Commissioners.
Dr. Peseau has been President of Utilty Resources, Inc. since 1985.
I
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'.
Month
Nevada Pow Company
Calculation of Seasonallz Bas Tariff Energy Rates
AnnuaUze for Uie Twelve Months Ended Novmber 30, 2005
Foreat fo the Tweve Mo Ended April 30, 2007
(000$1
Exhibit DEP-1
Page 1 of1
Peseau
Fuel and Purcse Powr Cost Forecasted Mw Ene SalesNevadaSummerWinterTotalSurnl!Nevada Wintl!FERC Totl98,574 1.711.457 4.59130.203 1.987.807 9,283169.496 2.497.571 13,940158.747 2.251,98 13.868124.419 1.748.82790.426 1.288.9674.349 1.487.914 81784.310 1.523.952 1,2099.033 1.53.124 2.51468.34 1.30,185 1.17085.695 1.44,839 24476.796 1.39,025
582,865 697,528 1.26,393 8.86.193 11.709.892 47.803 20.243.888
2.381 687 3.068
58.48 696.841 1.277.325
$0.06840 $0.05951 $0,06325
May-0June
July-06
August-oSepte-0
Ocber.Q6Novber-0
Decmbe.Q
Januaiy-07
Febriy.Q7
Mard-07
Apri7
Total
Less FERC Alloction
Nel Retail Co
Cot per kWh befor Hoove
Adjustments for Hoover B
Hover B Benefit
Allocn of Hoo B to Non-
Residential
Alloction of Hoovl! B
Befit to Residential
Residential Sales
Non-Residential Sals
Total Sales
Net Ho B Ben to
Resideal pe kWh
Net Hoor B Cot to Non-
Residential per kWh
Cost per kWh Afer Hoover
Re&ienlial
Non-Residential
12.545
7.177
(7.177)
6.641.455
11.55.629
20.196.08
($0.0083)
$0,002
Summ Winter Total
$0.06757
$0,06902
$0.05868
$0,06013
$0.06242
$0.06387
Sourc: Exhibit E(Rev) and Exhibit E-1 (Re)
Page 16
.. . ..
Month
May-oJun
July-o
August-oSepter-060c-0
NOveer-06Dec-o
January-07
Febrry-07
Marc-07
Aprii-07
Total
Less FERC Allocn
Net Retail Co
Cost per kWh before Hoo
Adjustmnt for Hooer B
Hoover B Benet
AUoction of Hoover B to Non-Resideti
AUoctin of Hover B
Benefit to Residential
Resdential Sas
Non-Resktial Sales
TolalSales
Net Hoover B Benefi to
Residential pe kWh
Net Hoove B Cost to Non.
Residential per kWh
Cost pe kWh Afr Hooer
Residential
Non.Residetial
Exibi DEP-2
Page 1 of 1
Peseau
Neva Powr Company
Calculaton of SeasonaUz Base Tariff Energ Rates
Annualiz for the Twelv Month End November 30, 2005
URI Adjusted Forst for the Twe Mon Ended April 30, 2007
(00$)
Fue and Purcase Power Cot Foreste Mw Ene Sale
NevadaSummerWinterTotlSumme Nevada Winte FERC Tolal89,46 1,711,457 4.759118,168 1,987,807 9,28153,829 2,497,571 13,94144.074
2,251,988 13,86112,919 1,748,82782,068 1,288,39667,477 1,467,914 81776,517 1,523,952 1,20889,879 1,538,124 2,51480;179 1,300,185 1,17077,774 1,440,839 24469,698 1,43.025
528.991 633,055 1,162,04 8,48,193 11,709,892 47,80 20,243,888
2,160 624 2,784
526,830 63,431 1.159,262
$0,06208 $0,051 $0.05740
12,545
7,177
(7,177)
8.641,45
11.55,629
20,196,084
($0,00083)
$0,00062
Summr Winter Tolal
$0.06125
$0,06270
$0,05318$0.05 $0.0567
$0,0582
Source: Exhibit E(Rev) and exibit E-1(Rev)
Page 17
! .
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PROOF OF SERVICE
3 ' I hereby certif that I have this day served a copy of the foregoing Direct Testimony of
4 Dennis E. Peseau on behalf of Southern Nevada Water Authority in Docket 06-0101~upon
5 each of the parties listed below by hand delivery or by electronic mail and U.S. Mail, properly
6 addressed, with postage prepaid to:
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28 /111
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Elizabeth Ellot
Associate General Counsel
Nevada Power Company
6100 Neil Road
Reno, NV 89520
Fax: 775-834-4098
Email: bellot(§sppc.com
Julia E. Sullvan
Law Offce of Julia E. Sullvan, LLC
219 A Duke of Gloucester Stret
Annapolis, MD 21491
Fax: 410-990-9461
Email: juliasullvanCëjeslaw.us
Staff Counsel
Public Utilities Commission
1150 E. Wiliam Street
. Carson City, NV 89701
Email: aburtens(cpuc.state.nv.us
Richard Hinckley, Esq.
Public Utilties Commission
1150 E. Wiliam Street
Carson City, NV 89701
Fax: 775-834-4098
Email: hincklevtpuc.state.nv.us
Dale Swan
Exeter Associates, Inc.
5565 Sterrett Place, Ste. 310
Columbia, MO 21044-2690
Fax: 410-992-3445
Email: dswan4ìexéterassociates.com
::ODMA\PDOCS\HLRNODOCS\22746\1
Mark Russell, Esq.
Mirage Hotel and Casino
3400 Las Vegas Blvd. South
Las Vegas, NV 89109
Fax: 702-792-7628
Email: mrusseiiøimirage.com
Jon Wellnghoff, Esq.
Beckley Singleton Chtd.
530 Las Vegas Blvd. South
Las Vegas, NV 89101
Fax: 702-385-9447
Email: jwellnghoff(§beckleylaw.com
Charles K. Hauser, Esq.
Southern Nevada Water Authority
1001 S. Valley View Blvd.
Las Vegas, NV 89153
Fax: 702-258-3268
Eric Witkoski, Esq.
Consumer Advocate
Bureau of Consumer Protection
555 E. Washington Street, Suite 3900
Las Vegas, NV 89101
Email: epwitkostmag.state.nv.us
Phil Wiliamson, Financial Analyst
Bureau of Consumer Protection
100 N. Carson Street, Suite 200 '
Carson City, NV 89701
Fax: n5-687 -6304
Email: pjwillaCtag.state.nv.us
Page 18
Lawrence A. Gollomp
Assistant General Counsel
2 U.S. Department of Energy
1000 Independence Avenue, SW
3 Washington, D.C. 20585
Fax: 202-586-7479
4 Email: Lawrencè.Gollomp(hq.doe.gov
5 Dated this ~ay of March, 2006.
6 ¿Z2~)7
An employee of Hale Lane Peek
8 Dennison and Howard
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Page 19
"
Conley E. Ward (ISB No. 1683)
GIVENS PURSLEY LLP
601 W. Banock Street
P.O. Box 2720
Boise, ID 83701-2720
Telephone No. (208) 388-1200
Fax No. (208) 388-1300
cew~givenspurley .com
RECEIVED. inFiLED 0
llfll ~lUN 21 PH 3: 34
IDA,HO PUElIC
UnUTiES COMNlSSlON
.7/7/1141
l' E~C l IitJ ç.J
Attorneys for Potlatch Corporation.
S:IC1ESlJ3I4\S4\P Dire Tcsimon,DQ
BEFORE TH IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION
IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION
OF AVISTA CORPORATION FOR THE
AUTORITY TO INCREASE ITS RATES
AND CHARGES FOR ELECTRIC AND
NATUL GAS SERVICE TO ELECTRC
AND NATURA GAS CUSTOMERS IN
TH STATE OF IDAHO.
Case Nos. AVU-E-04-1
AVU-G-041
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU
ON BEHALF OF POTLATCH CORPORATION
June 21, 2004
.OR1GtNAL
1 Q.PLEASE STATE YOUR NAM AN BUSINSS ADDRESS.
2 A.My nae is Dennis E. Peseau. My business address is Suite 250, 1500 Libert Street,
3 S.E., Salem. Oregon 97302.
4 Q.BY WHOM AND IN WHT CAPACITY AR YOU EMPLOYED?
5 A.I am the President of Utility Resources. Inc. ("UR"). UR has consted on a number of
6 economic, financial and engineerig mattrs for varous private and public entities for
7 more than twenty years.
8 Q.PLEASE DESCRIBE YOUR EDUCATIONAL BACKGROUND AND WORK
9 EXPERINCE.
10 A.My resume is attached as Exhibit No. 201.
11 Q.HAVE YOU PREVIOUSLY TESTIFIED BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES
12 COMMISSION?
13 A.Yes, on many occasions.
14 Q.FOR WHOM ARE YOU APPEARG IN THIS CASE?
15 A.I am appearng on behaf of Potlatch Corporation ("Potlatch").
16 Q.WHT IS TH PUROSE OF YOUR DIRECT TESTIMONY?
17 A.I have been asked to review Avista's applications in ths case and make appropriate
18 recommendations to the Commssion.
19 Q.PLEASE PROVIDE A SUMMRY OF YOUR TESTIMONY.
20 A.My testimony deals with four major issues, all concerning the application for an increase
21 in electric rates. Afer reviewi the evidence, I conclude that:
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 2
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-041 and A VU-G-041
...................1 .. ........~...
1 1.The Coyote Springs 2 generating plant should be excluded from rate base on
2 severa grounds, not the least of which is that the plant is not "used and usefu" in
3 providing service to Avista's ratepayers.
4 2.A vista should not be allowed to recover the cost of natural gas hedges or swaps
5 put on in April and May of 200 1 because they were imprudent and intended to benefit
6 Avist's unegulated activities at the ratepayers' expense.
7 3.Avista's use of a 2002 test year, adjusted for allegedly known and measurble
8 chages, produces a mismatch of expenses and rate base, on the one hand, and revenues
9 on the other. I offer 3 alternative methods of correctig ths mismatch.
10 4.Avist's inclusion of Potlatch's Lewiston Facilty in Schedule 25 for rate design
11 purses is unreasonable on its face, and Avista's cost of service study overstates the
12 anua cost of servng Potlatch by approximately $1.4 milion per year.
13 In addition, John Thornton will present Potlatch's cost of capita testimony and its
14 recommendation for a retur on equity for A vista. However, in the recently completed
15 Idaho Power rate case, I offered a critique of Dr. Avera's testimony that showed that
16 updated data and a consistent application of his methodology demonstrate that his cost of
17 equity is overstated, even if one accepts his assumptions. I fear that if I were to not
18 perform a similar analysis in this case, the Commission would draw the unwaranted
19 inference that my critique is no 10nger valid. To forestl ths inference, I have prepared
20 and atthed an Appendix to this testimony that once again shows that simple updates to
21 Dr. Avera's data and the use ofinternally consistent data employed within his retu on
22 equity methods, dramatically lower his ret on equity estimate below the 10.4% to
23 1 i .9% equity cost range (afer the addition of flotation costs) he estimates for benchmark
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 3
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G4-1
...................t....
1 electric utilities in the western U. S.. and below the 11.5% equity retu he endorses for
2 Avista.
3 Coyote Springs 2
4 Q.WOULD YOU PLEASE EXPLAIN TH ISSUES CONCERNING TH COYOTE
5 SPRIGS 2 GENERATIG PLANT?
6 A.Before I do so, a short preface is in order. The two topics I next discuss in ths testiony
7 raise very distubing issues about the relationship between Avista's regulated and
8 ungulated ar. In order to underand the significace of these issues. the
9 Commission needs to have a clear understading of A vista's peculiar corporate stctue.
10 Consequently, I have reproduced below Scott Morrs' Avista organzational cha from
11 his Exhbit No.1. page 5 of 5:
DIRCl TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 4
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU-G1
...................f ......."...,...
1
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Avista Corporation Company Overview
ô
-I AVÍ Ei I
o .clleab..,entiy
o . de.. au opdii diviri or lin ofbu
EihlllNo.1S.MoI.Avtsl Corpallon
PLEASE DESCRIE TH ENTIS AN OPERATING DIVISIONS ON THE
CHART.
Avista's wieguated enterrises appear on the right hand side of the char. Avist
Capita is a holding company for these enterprises. A vist Advantage provides
inormtion services and related business servces. Neither it nor the operating division
labeled "Other" figue in my testimony. The two entities engaged in "Energy Marketig
and Resource Management," on the other hand, playa prominent role in the followig
discussion.
Avista Power is Avista Corpration's il-fated entr into the merchat power
business. It was originally designed to build or acquir generatig plants and other
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 5
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-4-1 and AVU-G041
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resources to serve the uneguated wholesale electrcity markets. According to Avista's
testimony it is now inctive, but it was the original owner of the Coyote Sprigs 2
generating plant and it stil own 49% of the Rathdr merchant plant.
Avista Energy is Avista Corporation's energy trading ar. Its pr purose is
to trade in both the electrcity and natual gas markets. In addition, it brokers deas for
Avita Utilities, although the Washington Utilties and Trasporttion Commssion
recently ordered the termination of ths relationsp with respect to natural gas purhaes.
At the peak of its activity it generated revenues far in excess of A vista Corporation's
regulated public utility sales.
YOU EARIER DESCRIED AVISTA CORPORATION'S ORGANIZATIONAL
CHAT AS "PECULIAR." WHT DID YOU MEAN?
The right hand side of the char is not at all unusual for a utilty. Most utilities place
uneguated activities in separate entities. The left hand side is quite the opposite. All of
the utilities I am familar with organize the utility fuction as a separte business entity,
which makes its own purchases and business deas separte and apar from the
unegulated enterprises. But in Avista's case, there is no separate utility entity, only an
operating division. In effect, "A vista Utilities" is simply a name for the residua holder
of A vista Corporation assets that are not claimed by one of the unegulated entities.
WHAT DIFFERENCE DOES AVISTA'S ORGANIZATION MA?
It blurs the distction between regulated and uneguated activities. In the last A vista
rate case, I complaied, apparently not stenuously enough, that Avista's corporate
strtue, and its practce of not contemporaneously marking trades to its regulated or
non-regulated ar, left it with the latitude to subsequently alocate tres based on their
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 6
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-041 and AVU-G-1
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profitabilty. I characterized ths situation as analogous to a stockbroker who makes
investents and then, months or even years later, decides whether the purchases were for
his own or his customer's account.
is THIS STILL A PROBLEM?
In fact, the present case is far worse. In the case of Coyote Sprigs 2 ("CS2"), the
uneguated entity (Avista Power) purchased a plant that subsequently proved to be a
disaster. What is the Company's afer the fact position? "We (Avista Corpration)
ordered that traction by our unegulated subsidiar (A vist Power) for the 'benefit' of
our regulated customers." Ths is analogous to a broker buying a stock for his own
account, and then two years later, when the trade is hopelessly under water, declarng tht
the trade was really for the cusomer's account.
HOW DID CS2 GET STARTED?
The CS2 fiasco began, like many other recent energy debacles in the West, with Enron
playing i: prominent role. CS2 was onginaly a Portland General Elecc ("PGE")
project to be built as a companion to PGE's Coyote Spnngs 1 generating station located
near Boardman, Oregon. PGE was a regulated Enron subsidiar dunng the entirety of the
CS2 saga.
DID ENRON PLAY ANY ROLE IN TH DEVELOPMENT OF CS2, OTHR THN
BEING PGE'S PARET CORPORATION?
Yes. On May 4, 1999 Enron ordered the turbine for CS2 from GE at a contract pnce of
$35,889,000.
HOW DID A VISTA BECOME INOLVED WITH CS2?
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 7
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU-G-Ø1
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i A.In mid-1999, Enron and PGE decided to sell CS2. On October 4, 1999, Avista Power
2 entered into an "evaluation agreement" with PGE that allowed it to begin its due
3 diligence investigation of the plant. I assume that other potential buyers were also
4 investigatig the purchase at about the same time.
5 Q HOW WAS THE PROPOSED SALE STRUCTUD?
6 A.By the tie it was completed, the deal was classic Enron in its quirkiness. On October 1,
7 1999, three days before Avista Power signed its evaluation agreement, Enron
8 incorporated Coyote Springs 2, LLC ("LLC") as a wholly owned subsidiar. On
9 December 22, 1999, Enron and PGE agreed to transfer CS2 to LLC, contigent upon a
10 subsequent sale to an unidentified third par. The December 22nd agreement also
11 divided up the proceeds of the potential sale as follows-both PGE and Enron would first
12 recover their "cost basis" in CS2 and the tubine, plus their out of pocket ánd allocated
13 costs of development. Thereafer, the fit $10.47 millon of profit was allocated to PGE,
14 the next $12 millon to Enron, and any additional amounts were to be split.
15 Q.DID THS PGE AN ENRON DEAL CONTEMPLATE A SALE TO AVISTA
16 POWER?
/
17 A.Not originally. Apparently it was strctued for a sale to an undentified third par who
18 ultimately backed out. Then Avista Power re-entered the picture. On March 4,2000,
19 Avista Power signed a Letter of Intent ("LOI") with Enron to buy both CS2 and the
20 tubine. The LOI set the purchae price at $19.5 millon for CS2, and $40 milion for the
21 tubine. PGE's and Enron's collective cost basis and development costs for CS2 were
22 identified as $ 8,450,000, with the remainig $11,050,000 labeled as a "premium."
23 Q.WHT DID AVISTA POWER INTEND TO DO WITH THE CS2 PLANT?
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU - 8
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-Ø4-1 and A VU-G-61
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As in the case of the Rathdr plant, A vista Power presumably intended to operate CS2
as a merchant plant sellig into Western wholesae electrcity markets. I base ths
presumption in par on the plant's location, which is il suited to serve Avista Utilties
10ad centers that are located far to the east of CS2.
DID TH PURCHASE CLOSE AS PLANED?
No. On June 20,2000, the LOI was amended to reallocate the purchase price as $16.5
milion for CS2 and $43 milion for the turbine. I canot find an explanation for ths
change in any of the discovery documents we received, although I surse it may have
been the result of a reduction in the previous estimate of development costs.
An even stranger development took plac approximately thee weeks later, on
July 7, 2000, when Enron assigned its rights to the GE tubine to Avista Power. On the
same day, Enron created another subsidiar, LJM2-Coyote ("LJM"). For a price of
$3,540,000, LJM2 provided A vista Power with a two week "put option" on the tubine.
In other words, from July 7t1 though July 21 st, A vista Power could require LJM to
repurchase the tubine for the sum of$39,960,000. This put option was never exercised
because, on July 21,2000, Enron assigned its interest in LLC to Avista Power, thus
giving A vista Power ownership of CS2 as well as the tubine.
WHY is TH LJM2 TRASACTION STRNGE?
I can think of no legitimate business reason for A vista Power to enter into the put option
agrement. In the first place, tubines were in short supply at the time, and A vista would
have had little diffculty re-sellng the tubine if the CS2 deal somehow collapsed.
Moreover, it is difficult to understad why, if Avist Power feared the exposue of
holdig the tubine before it secured the CS2 rights, it didn't simply insist on a
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 9
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
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simultaneous transfer of the two components. Instead it allowed Enron to impose a twO-
week gap on the signng of the two agreements and, in effect, sell it $3.5 millon of
insurance to cover the miimal exposure tht gap created. Finally, why would any
reasonable businessperson pay $3.5 millon for a two week "insurance policy" issued by
an empty corporate shell, with no assets and an operating history ofless than a day, even
ifEnron guateed the put? Ths simply doesn't pass even a minimal smell test,
paricularly when the counter pary is naed Enron.
WHEN ALL WAS SAID AND DONE, WHAT DID A VISTA PAY FOR CS2 AN
TH TUIN?
The total purchae price, includig the option, was approximately $59.5 millon, for a
plant that, by my calculations, appeared to have an all-in cost of approximately $42
millon.
WHT WAS THE BOOK VALUE OF TH TRANSFERRD ASSETS?
The book value of the tubine would have been the same as its purchase price,
$35,889,000. The A11ocation Agreement dated July 21, 2000 listed CS2's book value as
$3,755,409, with an additional $2,287,591 allocated to project development expenses.
Consequently, the book value would have been $39,644,409 without the development
expenses, and $41,932,000 if development expenses were capitalized and added to book
value.
WAS THAT TH END OF AVISTA POWER'S INVOLVEMENT WITH ENON?
Not quite. In April of 2002, CS2's prie contrctor, another Enron afliate, fied for
banptcy and CS2 lost the benefit of its fixed price consction contract while at the
DffECT TESTIMONY OF DEN E. PESEAU - 10
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-01 and A VU-G-84-1
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same time incurng the cost of replacing the prie contrctor and setting with
subcontrtors.
WAS THAT TH ONLY PROBLEM THAT OCCURRD DURING TH
CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION OF CS2?
No. It is fair to say tht CS2 has been, and continues to be, an economic and operationa
nightme. In May of2002, approxitely a month before the scheduled completion of
the plant, a fire destroyed the tranformer purchaed from a Turkish supplier. This not
only prevented the completion of the plant, it also resuted in an environmenta incident
when water used to douse the fire overran the splash pond built to contai the
transformer's contents in the event of an accident Clean-up costs as of December 31,
2003 were approximately $1.7 milion, half of which are Avista's responsibilty.
A replacement trasformer arved at the site in December, 2002, but an
inpection revealed it could not be instaled because of shipping damage. Repairs to this
transformer delayed CS2's commercial operation date for more than a year, to July, 2003.
Thereafer, the plant was in service for approxiately six months. It then experienced
another round of transformer problems that shut it down again. The projected date for a
retur to service is now August of2004.
YOU JUST DESCRIBED CS2 AS AN ECONOMIC NIGHTMAR. AR YOU
REFERRG TO SOMETHG BEYOND ITS CONSTRUCTION PROBLEMS?
Yes. The constrction problems have caused the estimated cost of A vista's haf of the
plat to swell from approximately $94 milion to $109 millon. In addition, the natual
gas swaps I will discuss in detail later in my testimony produced losses in excess of $62
DIRCl TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 11
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-4-1 and AVU-G-01
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millon. The bottom line is that A vista overpaid for the plant in the original purchase,
and every tum of the cards since then has only added to the misery.
so WHO PAYS FOR ALL THIS?'
Under Avist's proposal "to rate base the entirety of the plant's cost, Avist ratepayers
will pay for all of these problems. If Avista's proposal is accepted, the only entities tht
wal away from ths trn wreck uncathed are the plant's origial owner, Avista Power,
and its parent, A vista Corpration.
HOW DOES A VISTA POWER ESCAPE ANY RESPONSIBILITY FOR CS2'S
PROBLEMS?
In December of 2000, A vista Corporation anounced it would acquire CS2 from Avista
Power. But it did not in fact follow though on this anouncement. Instead, it vacilated.
Internal A vista memos indicate that A vista Power was tring to sell the entire plant to
third pares in the suer and fall of 2001. But A vista Power received only one ful
price offer from Mirant, and that prospective deal fell apar when Mirant ran into cash
flow problems. Ultimately, Avista Power ended up sellng 50 percent of the plant to
Mirt, and 50 percent to A vista Corporation.
WHEN DID THESE SALES OCCUR?
Avista Power assigned a 50 percent interest in LLC to Mirat on December 12, 2001.
But it did not transfer the other 50 percent of the plant to A vista Corporation until
Janua 1,2003, afer the close of the test year in ths case.
GIVEN THS HISTORY, WHT IS TH APPROPRIATE RATEMAG
TRATMNT FOR CS2?
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU . 12
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-01
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I have two recommendations concernng CS2. The first is that the cost of the plant
should not be included in rate base in ths case. CS2 is demonstrably not used and useful,
and its trck record does not inspire confdence it will be used and usefu in the near
futue. Avist ha had thee tres at completing the plant and gettng it rug on a
reliable basis. It has strck out all thee ties. Given ths history, the plant's costs
should not be eligible for recovery in regulated rates until it ha a demonstrated track
record of usefulness and reliabilty.
Furennore, if and when the plant does become eligible for inclusion in rate
base, the rate based costs should be limted to the plant's fair market value, as descnbed
below, as of the transfer date of Janua I, 2003.
WH ARE YOU PROPOSING TO REDUCE THE PLAN'S COST IN THIS
MAR?
I am simply applying stdard ratemag precepts to the purchase. A vista Power is an.
unegulated Avista Corporation subsidiar, and tranactions between it and Avista
Corporation are clearly not at an lengt. I am not an attorney, but I have spent enough
years in the regulatory field to state that, in jurisdctions I am familar with, when a utility
purchases goods or services from an umgulated afliate, the burden is on the utility to
prove tht the purchase pnce did not exceed fair market value. In the present case,
because of alI the constrction disasters, it is quite clear that transferrng CS2 to A vista
Corporation at cost creates a purchase pnce that is well in excess of fair market value.
These excess costs should be disallowed. It is patently unjus to ask the
ratepayers to relieve A vista Power of the unortate consequences of its half ownership
ofCS2.
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 13
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
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DOES THE FACT THAT AVISTA CORPORATION PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED
AN INTENTION TO ACQUIRE THE PLANT MA ANY DIFFERENCE IN THS
CASE?
No. A vista's anounced intentions came afer A vista Power had already overpaid for the
assets it purchaed from PGE and EnOll so an adjustment to fair market value would
have been in order even then. In addition, even though the boards of directors of the
involved companies authonzed their executives to proceed with the tranaction, the
companies never acted on those resolutions. Avist's discovery responses contan no
contrct, memorandum of understding, or any other document that would evidence an
intention to proceed with the sale. Under those circumstances, A vist Power was under
no legal obligation to sell to A vista Corpration, and it in fact tred to sell the plant to
thrd paries month afer the anouncement. Eventuly it did sell half to Mirant.
Avist unlaterally chose to purhase CS2 though its unegulated subsidiar,
thereby avoiding any regulatory constraints on its use or disposition of the assets. Let us
suppose tht Avista Power had succeeded in the sumer of2001 in selling the plant at a
Pl'fit. Would Avista Power have volunteered to share the proceeds with the ratepayers
just because at one time it intended to sell the plant to Avista Corporation? Ths is the
same A vista that resisted shang the Centralia sale proceeds with ratepayers. A vista
would have argued tht the deal was never consumated, and tht ratepayers never
acquired an equitable interest in the plant though the payment of depreciation.
HOW DO YOU PROPOSE TO DETERME THE FAI MARKT VALUE OF CS2?
The Commssion could conduct fuer proceedings for the express purose of makng
such a determnation, but there is a much easier metod readly available. Just two years
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU -14
IPUC Case Nos. AVU.E-4-1 and AVU-G-01
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ago, the Commssion conducted an extensive investigation to determine the cost of a 270
megawatt combined cycle natual gas plant to use as a suogate avoided resource
("SAR") for the purose of calculating avoided cost rates. On August 2, 2002, one
month afer CS2's origina scheduled completion date, and five months before the
trsfer of CS2 to A vista Corporation, A vista filed rebutt testmony identifying the
most recent constrction cost estimates for the SAR as $604/klowatt. I see no reason
why A vist should not be held to its own contemporaeous estiate of the cost of
constrcting a plant nearly identical to CS2. This figue, after all, represents the
maxmwn value A vista Corporation was willng to pay for the purchase of resources
from unelated thrd paries just before it acquired CS2 from A vista Power. Using the
$604 figue produces a fair market value for CS2 of $84,560,000 for Avista's share of
CS2. The Commission should not allow costs above ths amount in rate base at any time.
The Natural Gas Hedges
WHAT is TH ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO THE "DEAL A" AN "DEAL B"
HEDGE TRSACTIONS IN THE COMMISSION'S ORDER ON AVISTA'S 2003
PCAFILING?
To its credit, the Commssion recognzed the peculiar nature of both Deal A and Dea B
in the 2003 PCA proceedig and deferred a decision on the cost of these deals into the
present genera rate case. As I explai below, the high costs associated with each deal ate
the result of imprudent decisions and self-dealing between A vist Corpration and Avist
Energy. Avista's actions have resulted in excess natual gas costs of more than $62
milion on a system-wide basis.
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU . 15
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU-G-041
1 Q.HAVE MOST OF THE INORMTION, DATA, AND FACTS NECESSARY TO
2 UNDERSTAND THE NATUR OF DEAL A AND DEAL B BEEN TRATED AS
3 CONFIDENTIAL BY AVISTA?
4 A.Yes. Ths is unfortate, as most of the confdential trading data necessar to understad
5 Deal A and Deal B are public and available on the FERC website as par of the FERC's
6 show-cause proceeding that culated in its March 2003 P A02-02 report Final Report
7 on Price Manpulation in Western Markets. There is, therefore, no valid reason to
8 continue to treat historica trding data as confidential.
9 Q.WHAT IS THE DIFFERECE BETWEN TH NATURL GAS TRNSACTIONS
10 OF DEAL A AND DEAL B AND NORM NATUL GAS TRASACTIONS?
11 A.There are at least thee distinct aspects of the Deal A and Deal B transactions tht ar
12 peculiar. The first distinction is that the Deal A and Deal B trades were financia as
13 opposed to physical tranactions.
14 Q.WHT IS THE DISTICTION BETWEN NATUL GAS FINANCIA AND
15 PHYSICAL TRANSACTIONS?
16 A.A physical traction is the more norm and common purchase of an actual, physical
17 quatity of natual gas at specified pricing, tenns and conditions. In physical gas
18 transactions, there are no winners or losers. The buyer receives a specific quatity of gas
19 at agreed upon pricing tenns. The seller receives a payment for providig the physical
20 gas to the buyer.
21 A financial natual gas transaction involves no actua exchange of physical gas.
22 Instead, a financial deal is agreed upon by buyer and seller in which the buyer bets that
23 futue gas prices will increase, while the seller bets that futu gas prices will decrease.
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 16
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-01
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Depending upon the futue monthly movement of gas prices, the loser, or the
counterpar on the wrong side of the bet wrtes a monthly check or "settles" with the
other par. The FERC report just referenced defies financial gas swaps similar to Deal
A and Deal B as:
In a swap, two counterpares execute a trade in which the buyer pays a
fixed, known pnce for some notional quatity of gas and the seller pays a
pnce that will var with the market pnce (generaly based on some agred
upon pnce index), which will only be known later. Thus, the buyer in a
swap transaction is going long - makng a bet that the market price will
nse - and the seller is bettng that pnces will fall.
(page II-51)
On the four days Apnl 10, Apnl 11, May 2 and May 10,2001, Avista Energy
entered into tie financial swaps, Deal A and Deal B, on behaf of A vista Utilities that
were of unprecedented length and lost over $62 millon for ratepayers. At no time dunng
the term of these two deals were these ficial trdes "in the money," or profitable for
A vista Utilties. The deals were extordinanly profitable for the thee seller
counterparies.
WHO WERE TH COUNTERP ARTIES TO THESE TRSACTIONS?
BP and Miant were the counterparies on Deal A. Incredible as it may seem, A vista
Energy was the counterar for Deal B.
WHY WOULD THE SAM ORGANIATION SIMLTANEOUSLY TAK
OPPOSITE SIDES OF THE BET ON THE DEAL B SWAP? ISN'T THS A "ZERO
SUM GAME?'
The fact tht the PCA protected A vista Corpration is the only thng that made this an
attactive traction for Avist Corporation. The PCA insulated the shaeholders of the
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 17
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-041 and A VU-G04-1
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parent company by passing. though to ratepayers the excess of the locked in hedged
natual gas prices over and above the actual market prices tht existed at the time.
MIGHT THS BE SIMLY A CASE OF BAD LUCK FOR AVISTA'S CUSTOMERS?
No. The only maner in which a financial swap can be consumated is with a willng
buyer and a willng seller. The reason for entering a swap on either side is because one's
inormation on market pricing makes the risk of this bet wortwhile. Again, the only
possible reason for Avista Utilities to buy the long-ter financial swap that it did was
because it was predicting gas prices would continue to increase. If futue gas prices at
the time the swap was entered were expected either to remai at the then high levels, or to
decrease then entering the fixed price swap could only har the buyer. On the other side,
the seller A vista Energy apparently had information suggesting that future gas prices
were not going to rise above the agreed upon price per decatherm over the subsequent 17
months, or it would have been foolish to sell the swap. Unless A vist Energy based its
action on information that prices would either remain at their high levels or fall, it would
have been acting diectly agaist the best intersts of its shareholders. If natu gas
prices trly were expected to increase over the subsequent 17 month, the best action for
both A vista Utilities and A vista Energy would have been for A vist Utilities to buy the
fixed-price swap from a less informed counterpar.
is THERE ANYTHING ELSE UNSUAL ABOUT AVISTA CORPORATION'S
DECISION TO MAKE THE SWAP?
Yes. At the time, A vista Energy brokered all of the natural gas and electrc tres made
for the benefit of A vista Utilities. Avista's justification for ths practce was tht A vist
Energy's continuous maket parcipation provides it with market insights and knowledge
DIRCT TESTIONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 18
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-041 and A VU-G-1
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tht the utilty division doesn't have. Avista Energy's role as a broker for the utilty
division placed it in a fiduciar position that required it to disclose the fact that it
considered Deal B (and by implication, Deal A) to be a bad deal for Avista Utilties. If
A vista Energy did disclose tht fact and the additional fact that it wa tang the other
side of the swap, it was obviously imprudent for Avista Utilities to proceed with swaps
tht the par with superior knowledge regarded as foolish. If Avista Energy did not
disclose its role, then it violated its fiduciar responsibilties, and that alone would be
grounds for disallowing the cost of both deals in rates.
WHT WAS THE RESULT OF THE DEAL B SWAP WIH AVISTA ENERGY?
The result was tht A vista Utilties immediately began monthy transfers of what tured
out to be millons of dollars to Avista Energy.
HOW COULD THERE BE AN IMMDIATE TRNSFER OF CASH? I THOUGHT
THE SWAP WAS FOR GAS TO BE DELIVERED IN THE FUTU.
The immediate impact occured because of the way financial trades such as this are
setted. As I stated earlier, swaps like ths are literally bets on the direction of prices.
Consequently, they sette monthy based on the futues price of gas for the time period
covered. In any month in which the futues price is less th the fixed price, the buyer
(Avista Utilities) loses his bet and must cut a check to the seller (Avista Energy) for the
difference. i
WHT IS TH ULTIMTE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE WAY THESE TRAES AR
SETTLED?
i A vista converted Deal B to a physical purhase at an equivalent fixed price on June 20, 2~2.
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENN E. PESEAU - 19
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A vu-G04i
1 A.It explains why the Commission really ha no choice but to disallow Deal B. Any other
2 decision would provide Idaho utilities tht have a PCA or PGA with a blueprint on how
3 to raid ratepayers' pockets for the benefit of shareholders.
4 Q.HOW DOES AVISTA UTILITIES ATTMPT TO mSTIY ITS DECISION TO
5 ENTER INTO "BUYS" IN BOTH DEAL A AN DEAL B?
6 A.Avista witness Mr. Lafert discusses these two deals (actuly four transactions) in
7 pages 29-56 of his testmony. The attmpted jusification, while sometimes repetitive, is
8 outlned as follows: Deal A and Deal B were made because:
9 1.A vista was in an electrc resource deficit or a "short-positi~n" durg the hedge
10 periods. (pp. 31-32,37-40,42-47)
11 2.The high hedge prices of Deal A and Deal B still compared favorably to forward
12 market prices of electrc purchases at the time. (pp. 32-36)
13 3.Electric market prices in Janua-May 2001 were high, and federal opposition to
14 price caps suggested no relief in market prices. (pp. 40-42, 41-42)
15 4.The 36 month and 17 month duration of Deal A and Deal B were not unusual terms
16 for company hedges of ths sort. (pp.48-52)
17 5.The company did not expect tht forward natual gas prices would decline as they
18 did. (pp. 52-53)
19 6.The terms of Deal A and Deal B were consistent with market conditions on April 10
20 and May 10. (pp. 53-54)
21 Q.WOULD TH DEFICIT ELECTRIC RESOURCE POSITION IDENTIFIED BY THE
22 COMPANY mSTIFY BUYG FINANCIA HEDGES LIKE DEAL A AN DEAL
23 B?
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 20
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-041 and A VU-G1
1 A.
2
3
4
5 Q.
6
7 A.
8
9
10
II
12
13
14
15
16
17 Q.
18
19 A.
20
21
22
23
No. I fist want to make clear that Potlatch does not want in any way to discourge
appropriate resource acquisitions to maintai the reliabilty of serice to customers.
However, I am quite surrised that the company testimony in ths regard suggests that
somehow Dea A and Deal B in any way assiste in covering a resource-short position.
WHY DO YOU INDICATE THAT DEAL A AND DEAL B DID NOT ASSIST
A VISTA IN COVERIG AN RESOURCE DEFICIT?
Fincial fixed-for-floatng swaps such as Deal A and Dea B never provide for any
physical quantities of natul gas. Again, Deal A and Deal B are strctly the tag of
"price positions" between two pares, a buyer and seller. For example, if! thought that
natual gas prices were going to increase in the near-tenn, and I could locate a pary
thinkng the opposite, I could buy a natu gas fincial swap and reap gais or sufer
losses according to my accuracy, and never be involved with actu physical quantities of
gas.
If I need natual gas to close an electrc resource deficit, I would need to enter into
distict physica gas contrac as a buyer. Deal A and Deal B did not entitle A vista to
even a molecule of methane.
IF A VISTA NEEDED ADDITIONAL NATUL GAS SUPPLY TO COVER TH
PERCEIVED DEFICIT, HOW DID IT ACQUIRE SUCH SUPPLIES?
The company on March 13 and March 22, 2001, entered into 36 month and 17 month
physical trades for 27,658 and 20,000 decathenns per day at market index-based prices.
These two gas contrts alone filled the need to cover the resource deficits discussed by
the Company. Dea A and Deal B merely expressed the perceived dirction that natual
gas prices would tae over the ensg 36 and 17 month periods between the bettng
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 21
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-01
...................,,..................
1
2 '
3 Q.
4
5
6 A.
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15 Q.
16 A.
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
pares. The Commssion should reject any notion that these fiancial swaps can be
peddled to customers on the basis of enhcing system reliabilty.
WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF MR. LAFFERTY'S DISCUSSION ON PAGES 32-36 OF
HIS TESTIMONY THT SUGGESTS TH DEALS WERE PRUDENT BASED ON
THE THE FORWAR MARKT PRICES?
The analysis at pages 32-36 of Mr. Lafery's testimony attempts to demonstrate that the
varable cost of power produced by Avista's generators would have been below the
predcte futue market power prices at the gas prices in Deal A and Deal B. That is,
A vista was predicting that at the Deal A and Deal B fixed swap prices, buying gas for
internal generation would be cheaper th buying on the electrc market. This assumes,
of course, that the existing forward power prices at mid-Columbia represented a good
predictor of actual prices in the futue.
While this anysis is mathematically correct, it hardly demonstes that the Deal
A and Deal B trades were prudent.
PLEASE EXPLAI.
The analysis presented is the stag point for an "arbitrgen trade. An arbitrage is the
simultaneous buying and sellng of fugible commodities in different market in order to
mae an imediate, riskless profit. For clarfication of the proper use of Mr. Laferty's
analysis I refer to the Coyote Spnngs 2 table at the bottom of page 32 of his testiony.
The first row indicates tht the Deal B gas fixed price is $6.56 per decather and, at the
CS2 plants' heat rate, Deal B gas could produce electrcity at a varable cost of
$46.06/MWh. The forward electrc prices, according to Avist, showed power prices at
the tie of$126.75 and $105.38/MWH.
DlRcr TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 22
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G1
1
2
3
4
5
6 Q.
7
8
9 A.
10
11
12
13
14 Q.
15
16 A.
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
A power trader facing these circumstances would, if the market held,
simultaeous lock in a buy at the $6.56 gas price and a sae at the $126.75 and
$105.38IMWh electric prices to insure a riskless profit equa to the difference between
these two energy sale pnces and the $46.06/M the electrcity would cost to produce.
This would be a rational use of Mr. Lafert's analysis.
DOES TH ANALYSIS PRESENTED BY MR. LAFFERTY DEMONSTRATE THT
DEAL A AND DEAL B WERE PRUDENT AT TH TIM FOR THE PURPOSE OF
PROTECTING RATEPAYERS?
No. Unlike the arbitrage case where a certin outcome (the riskless profit) is locked in by
a conscious decision to forego possible upside and avoid all downside, the open hedges
conducted by Avista did the opposite. Avista's hedges in essence locked in the downide
- by fixing gas prices at near record levels for up to 36 month - and precluded the
ratepayers gettng any upside if gas pnces retued to more normal historic levels.
WOULD AVISTA ENERGY HAVE ENTRED TH SELL SIDE OF THESE
HEDGES IF IT EXPECTED NATU GAS PRICES TO CONTIUE UPWAR?
Absolutely not. Doing so would have been a direct contradiction of management's
fiduciar responsibilty to shaeholders. A vista Energy made a calculated bet that the
very high natual gas maket prices could not be sustaned. By sellng Deal B to the
utility for prices that exceeded $6.00/decatherm it stood to reap all the profit from falling
pnces. If prices simply remained at the then high levels, A vist Energy stood to 10se
nothing. Only Ü gas prices increasd fuer from these high levels, did it risk losing
money. The end result is tht A vista Energy made an obvious bet and reaped more than
$18 millon in benefits from its parent utlity.
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENN E. PESEAU - 23
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-04-1 and AVU-G-4-1
............................ ...... ..................................... ........................................................... ................-............................................ ....... .... ..................................................
1 Q.
2
3 A.
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16 Q.
17
18
19 A.
20
21
22
23
PLEASE ADDRESS MR. LAFFERTY'S DISCUSSION ON PAGES 40.42
REGARING TH PRUDENCE OF THESE TRASACTIONS.
Beginnng on line 17 of his page 40, Mr. Lafert suggests that a pnident person would
have viewed the high winter prices of2000.2001, and the federal governent's position
against the implementation of price caps, as reasons to "go long" with the natual gas
hedges. I have just two short comments on this point.
First, the pnident man at A vista who was buying the fixed-price hedge on behaf
of the utilty wa the same man who was sellng it on behalf of A vista Energy. Takng
simultaeous and opposite positions on the same tranaction caot each be deemed
pnident. The same market observation of high prices and price caps could not have led a
single individual or committee to opposite conclusions regarding the futue near-term
trend in gas prices.
Second, other utilities and market parcipants in the western U.S. observed the
same market phenomena discussed by Mr. Lafert and did not tae long-term price
positions tht anticipated fuer gas price increases.
PLEASE DISCUSS MR. LAFFERTY'S TESTIMONY ON PAGES 48-52 THAT
SUGGESTS THAT TH 36 MONTH AN 17 MONTH HEDGES ARE COMMONLY
MADE BY THE UTILITY.
Mr. Lafert's discussion here involves only physical resource acquisitions, not fiancial
hedges. I certnly agre with him that any resource portolio should have varous short
medium, and long-term resources. In ths light, I do not cha1enge or tae issue with
Avista's enterig into its March 13 and March 22 long-term physical gas purchase
contrct, as I previously noted.
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU - 24
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-041 and A VU.G-01
The issue here, of coure, is that A vist took an unprecedented long-ter price
2 view in the form of finacial hedges and, in combination with its subsidiar A vista
3 Energy, Avista Corporation, took both sides of the transaction. Mr. Lafferty is silent on
4 these points.
5 Q.HAS AVISTA EVER, TO YOUR KNOWLEDGE, ENTERED INO FINANCIA
6 HEDGES AS LONG AS THE 36 MONTI AND 17 MONT TERMS OF DEAL A
7 ANDEALB?
8 A.No. In response to Potlatch's data requests, Avista provided a list of all recent financial
9 hedges and fixed price contracts. Of the 67 fixed-price tranactions provided, the
10 overwhelmng majority of the contracts were for terms of 1-3 months, with a few with
11 terms of one year. Only the Deal A and Deal B trsactions were for such long periods.
12 I conclude that it is not Avista's normal business practce to enter into long-term price
13 hedges.
14 Q.HAVE YOU REVIEWED OTHR DATABASES FOR INORMA nON TO
15 DETERM WHTIER TH 36 AND 17 MONT TERMS OF DEAL A AND
16 DEAL B AR COMMONPLACE IN TH INUSTRY?
17 A.Yes. In conjunction with its investgation of electrc and natual gas prce mapulation
18 in western U.S. markets, the FERC compiled massive databases regarding both physical
19 and fiancial natual gas tres. As a check on the frequency of long-term fmancial
20 hedges, I reviewed the FERC data fie for all natual gas financial hedges that were
21 entered into dwig May 2001, the sae period as Deal A and Deal B.
22 Accordig to the data base file, there were 37,472 such transactions durng May
23 2001. The huge preponderace of these fiancial hedges was for the immediate month or
DIRCT TESTIONY OF DENN E. PESEAU - 25
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-1
1
2
3
4 Q.
5
6 A.
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18 Q.
19
20 A.
21
22
quarer ahead, although some were for quaerly periods endig as late as December
2002. I found no other financial trades that extended as long as the 36 and 17 month
term contaed in Deal A and Deal B.
PLEASE ADDRESS MR. LAFFERTY'S TESTIMONY THAT TH DECLINE IN
NATUL GAS PRICES WAS UNFORESEEABLE.
Mr. Lafert's testmony on pages 52-53 states that ''te Company" did not expect that
forward natual gas prices would decline, as of course they did (Page 52, lines 3-6). I
canot from the context of the sttement ascertain just what ''te Company" is. Certinly,
A vista Energy expected a decline in natual gas prices, or it would not have sold the fied
price swap.
Furer, Mr. Laffert's explantion does not justify the utility buying the swap.
As I explaied earlier, buying the fied-price swap only gave the utiity protection from
fuer increaes in gas prices, not from the then existing level of high prices. Mr.
Laferty explais only that". .. the Company expected the price for natual gas would
remain high for some time into the futue..." (page 52, lines 5-6). He does not make the
arguent that the Company expected gas prices to continue to increase, which would be
the only legitimate reason for the swaps.
WERE THE TERMS OF DEAL A AND DEAL B CONSISTENT WITH MAT
CONDITIONS ON APRIL 10 AND MAY 10,2001, AS MR. LAFFERTY ARGUES?
As I have previously indicated, there were apparently no other natu gas hedge
tranactions occurng tht were comparable to Deal A and Deal B. The references Mr.
Lafert makes to forward price cures at that time certainly is no indication of what an
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU - 26
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-041 and AVU-G04-1
..... ..........,.............'.... .
1 ar-lengt buyer and seller might agree upon for financial hedges of up to 36 month in
2 length.
3 Q.WHT is YOUR RECOMMNDATION WITH RESPECT TO TI FINANCIAL
4 LOSSES CLAIMED BY TH UTILITY IN CONJUCTION WIH DEAL A AND
5 DEALB?
6 A.The fmancial losses incured by the utilty in Deal A and Deal B are sumarzed in my
7 Exhbit No. 202. As of March 31, 2004, the cumulative losses to the utility on the hedges
8 were $62,446,000. These losses represent the difference between what the utility would
9 have paid for natu gas on the maket (absent the hedges) and the high fixed gas price
10 tht it agreed to pay by virtue ofthe hedges. The market prices for gas are shown for the
11 Malin receipt point, and are compared to the weighted average price of the hedges,
12 labeled "Average $/dt." For Deal A, the cumulative financial loss was $44,175,600. For
13 Deal B, the cumulative loss wa $18,270,400.
14 Since Deal B involves self-dealing and a direct trfer of the utilty's losses to
15 shareholder profits, the entie $18.3 milion must be disallowed, adjusted of coure for
16 the Idao jursdictional share and for the PCA test period. Deal A did not involve self
17 dealing, but it wa certy imprudent and it is fuer suspect due to the unprecedented
18 term of 36 month and the high locked in prices. I believe it should likewise be
19 disallowed. But if the Commssion for some reason rejects ths proposal, I propose, in
20 the alternative, a lesser adjustment based on a more norm hedging strategy.
21 Q.PLEASE EXPLAIN THE LA TIR RECOMMNDATION.
22 A.Deal A represents two hedge contrcts of 10,000 decatherms each for a perod of 36
23 months. The naed counte paries to these Deal A contrts are private entities with no
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNI E. PESEAU - 27
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU.G-04-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11 Q.
12
13 A.
14
15
16
17
18
19 Q.
20 A.
21
22
23
apparent legal connection to Avista. According to the Company's response to Potlatch's
data requests, A vista did not have either of these entities "sleeve," (conduct the trade for
Avista Energy's benefit) the trsaction. Thus, there was no apparnt enchment of
Avista's shaeholders. But Deal A was neverteless an imprudent $44.2 milion hedge
given its duration and the fact that it was put on contr to A vista Energy's position.
I base my adjustment on Avista's normal hedge strategies for all its other fied
price gas purchases. As I stated earlier, Avista normally hedges for gas deliveries in
ensuing seasons and occaionaly for periods as long as one year. If Avist had followed
its normal hedging strtegy it would have avoided the disastrous 36 month Deal A fixed
price of $6.45/decatherm.
HOW is THIS INFORMATION USED TO CALCULATE AN ADJUSTMENT FOR
DEAL A?
My review of Avist's confdential information on other hedges reveals that Avist's
normal hedges were established approxiately six month prior to a seaon (November-
March or April-0ctober). I therefore used the Malin natural gas contract prices in effect
six month prior to each upcoming season as a base price. For example, May 1, 2001
prices were used for the November 200l-March 2002 season. These prices are then
subtracted from the Deal A prices. The results are sumard in my Exhbit No. 203.
WHT DOES EXlITNO. 203 SHOW?
That exhbit indicates tht, if Avista had not entered into Deal A and instead hedged in
the same maner that it was hedging other natual gas purchases in the same tie frame,
gas costs would have been $30,365,240 lower. I alternatively propose tht, should the
Commssion not disallow the entiety of the Deal A costs, it should disallow $30.4
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 28
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-041 and A VU-G-01
1
2
3
4 Q.
5
6
7 A.
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18 Q.
19 A.
20
21
22
23
millon of Deal A costs, adjusted for both the Idaho jursdiction as well as the PCA test
period.
The Test Year Mismatch
YOU EARIER STATED THT AVISTA'S CASE CONTAINS A MISMATCH OF
REVENUES AN EXPENSES. PLEASE EXPLAIN WHAT YOU MEAN BY THE
WORD "MISMATCH."
Avista calculates its test year revenues in a straightforward maer. Test year revenues
consist of 2002 actu figues, "normalized" for weather and other stadard Commission
approved adjustments. On the other side of the ledger, however, expenses and rate base
are treated in a much different maner. Avista pro forms increases in selected expense
items, such as pension, ince, and labor costs, to 2004 levels. A vista also includes in
rate base a number of projects that were placed in servce afer the test year, as well as
constrction work in progress that is scheduled for completion in 2004. These
adjustments produce operating and maintenace increases of approximately $5.4 milion,
rate base additions of $54 millon, and associated depreciation increases of $2.3 milion.
The net effect is a mismatch of 2002 revenues agaist year-end 2004 expenses and rate
base.
IS THIS AN ACCEPTABLE RA TEMAKING PROCEDUR?
No. For unown reasons, Avista chose a 2002 test year, rather th 2003. Having made
that choice, it should not be allowed to unlateraly alter the test year relationship between
revenues, expenses and rate base. It is a fudamenta principle of reguation tht a
utility's rate bas and expenses should be matched against revenues for the same period.
A vist's pro forma results clealy violate this priciple.
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENN E. PESEAU - 29
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G041
1 Q.AR YOU SUGGESTING PRO FORMA CHANGES TO A TEST YEAR BASE CASE
2 SHOULD BE REJECTED OUT OF HAD?
3 A.No. Addig known and measurable changes to a test year base case is a legitimate
4 regulatory tool, but it must be used with extreme caution because of the high potential for
5 abuse. In a rate case, utilties have every incentive to identify changes that increase the
6 revenue requiement, but no incentive at all to find revenue enhancing changes.
7 Consequently, it comes as no surrise that all of Avista's proposed known and
8 measurable changes produce an increase in revenue requiement. These changes should
9 either be rejected or accompaned by a corresponding adjustment to revenUes.
10 Q.CAN YOU PROVIDE AN EXALE OF THE TYPE OF KNOWN AND
11 MEASURALE CHANGE THT SHOULD BE ACCEPTED?
12 A.The classic example is a post-test year change in ta rates. Plugging the new ta rates
13 into the revenue requirement calculation does not distub the relationship between test
14 revenues and expenses and is obviously equitable.
15 Q.WHT RULES SHOULD BE APPLIED TO POST-TEST YEAR KNOWN AN
16 MEASURALE CHAGES?
17 A.Post-test year expense and rate base adjusents should only be accepted when they are
18 in fact try known and measurable. In order to quaify, a proposed adjustment must be
19 virtually certin to occur, and its revenue requirement impact must be precisely and
20 reliably quatifiable. Furennore, there mus be some limit on the time interval between
21 the test year and pro fonna adjusents.
22 Q.AR AVISTA'S PRO FORM ADJUSTMENTS CONSISTENT WITH THE RULES
23 YOU HAVE JUST DESCRIED?
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 30
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-1
...................
1 A.
2
3
4 Q.
5 A.
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15 Q.
16
17 A.
18
19
20
21
22
No. In the case of its pro forma expense adjustments, the time lag between the 2002 test
year and adjustments based on 2004 data or projections makes these adjustments
inequitable.
WHY is THE TIME LAG IMPORTANT?
For most utilities, expenses tend to increase every year, but ths is offset in whole or in
par by effciency improvements and load growt. If this were not so, utilties would
automatically fie rate cases every year. Avista's own rate case history nicely ilustrates
this point. Its last rate case occurred in 1998, and the one before that was several years
earlier.
Avista's pro forma expense adjustments for items like increased labor, insurance,
and simiar cost are simply 2004 budget esates. It is absolutely inapproprate to
match these expenses agaist 2002 revenues because normal load growt will recoup
some or alI of these costs. The Commssion should either reject the 2004 adjustents or
impute revenue increaes to the 2002 test year to correct ths mismatch.
AR AVISTA'S PRO FORMA ADDITIONS TO RATE BASE SUBJECT TO THE
SAME OBJECTIONS?
Only in par. Additions to Avista's generating capacity were added to the power supply
model, and ths preswnably adds revenues or decreases expenses as a result of the pro
forma plant additions. I have not attempted to confrm that this modeling change was
properly implemented, but I asswne Stawill do so. If the implementation was correctly
done, I have no objection to these pro form adjustments as such, although i have
proposed the removal of Coyote Springs 2 on other grounds, as discussed above.
DIRECT TESTIONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU . 31
IPUC Case Nos. A VU.E-4-1 and A VU-G-041
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
. 11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21 Q.
22 A.
23
24
25
26
27 Q.
But there is no siilar revenue adjustment for the $26,300,000 in 2003 and 2004
transmission projects A vista pro forms into the rate base, even though these additions will
also produce either additional revenues or operational savings. Like other businesses,
utilities generaly do not make additional investents or increase their expnses uness
they can generate additiona revenues and profits, either by serving additional customers,
or by cuttg costs or increasing margins. There is no reason to assume ths is not the
case here. The projected expenditues A vista has identified must be presumed to
generate additional revenues or other benefits that would offset their costs, in whole or in
par. Avista has made no attempt to identify these offsettng benefits.
As the Commission pointed out in its recent order in the Idao Power rate case:
Generally speang, the Commssion expects all utilties to attmpt to identify
expense saving and revenue producing effects when proposing rate base
adjustments for major plant additions. It is unfair to ratepayers to assume that the
investment in these plants will not increase Company revenues or decrease
Company expenses in the futue. Furer, it is uneasonable to expect the
Commssion to allow ful recovery of plant investment as if the plant had been in
operation the ful year without a corresponding adjustment to revenues and
expenses.
Order No. 29505, p. 7.
HOW SHOULD THIS MISMATCH BE CORRCTED?
There are basically the alterntive remedies available to correct ths rate base mismatch.
The first would be to reverse the pro forma entres and properly match test year averages
on both sides of the ledger. The second alternative is to update revenues to the 2004 level
in the same maner as rate base and expenses. Finally, the thrd alternative is to employ
the rate base adjustments the Commission adopted in the Idao Power rate cae.
DO YOU HAVE A PREFERECE BETWEEN THSE THE ALTERNATIVES?
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNI E. PESEAU - 32
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU-e-64-1
A.As I have stated in other cases, I th anualizig revenues to 2004 year-end levels is the
2 preferable course for two reaons. First, it is much simpler to anuaize revenues than to
3 back out pro fonna adjustments from numerous expense and rate base categories.
4 Moreover, adjusting revenues produces a more forward-lookig result than reversing the
5 expense and rate base anuaizations.
6 I recognize, however, that the Commission adopted a third course of action to
7 correct similar nnsmatches in the recent Idao Power rate case. In that case, the
8 Commssion adopted a proxy for increased revenues and reduced expenses. Whle the
9 Commission stated that it did not necessary regard that adjustment as precedent for
10 futue cases, the circumstaces in ths case are very similar to the Idaho Power case. I
11 lack the precise data to calculate a simlar remedy of the mismatch in ths case, but I note
12 that in the recent Idaho Power decision the Commssion adjusted total revenues on the
13 order of 5 percent of the rate base additions.
14 Cost of Service Issues
1.5 Q.HAVE YOU REVIEWED AVISTA'S COST OF SERVICE STUDY AND TIE
16 RESULTIG RATE DESIGN?
17 A.Yes. The stuy sponsored by Ms. Tara Knox generally follows the methods approved in
18 the pas, with a major exception descrbed below. I recommend two improvements to
19 allocators contaned in the Company's study.
20 Avista's Proposed "Four Factor" Allocator for Common Costs
21 Q.DOES WITNESS TAR KNOX PROPOSE A CHAGE FROM TH PREVIOUS
22 APPROVED COST OF SERVICE METHODOLOGY USED IN CASE NO. WW-E-
23 98-11?
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 33
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-Ø4-1 and A VU-G04-1
.. ..............'1
A.Yes. As noted on Pages 6.7 of her direct testimony, the Company proposes to allocate
2 "common costs" on the basis of four factors: direct O&M expenses, diect labor, net
3 direct plant, and number of customers. Previously, A vista had allocated these common
4 cost to customer groups with a 60% customer/40% energy allocation factor.
5 Q.WHT ARE "COMMON COSTS?"
6 A.Common costs are tyically defined as those costs necessar for the utilty to fuction,
7 but which are left over afer most directly assignable costs have been identified and
8 "fuctionaized" to production, tranmission, distrbution or customer accounts. These
9 remainig common costs include general and common plant investment costs and
1 0 admiistrative and general expenses. Offce buildings, future, transporttion
11 equipment, certin inventories, computer costs and a portion of mangement salares
12 typically comprise common costs.
13 Q.ARE TH SPECIFIC FOUR FACTORS USED BY MS. KNOX TO ALLOCATE
14 COMMON COSTS PARTIALLY VALID?
15 A.Yes and no. Yes, the four factors, if correctly defined, are legitite bases upon which to
16 allocate common costs. However, the method Ms. Knox uses to calculate the actual
17 weights of the four-factor allocations has a serious flaw, one that renders her calculations
18 highly volatile and incorrect.
19 Q.PLEASE EXPLAIN.
20 A.In order to better explain this issue, I list the proposed four factors chosen for the
21 common cost allocations:
22
23
24
25
1.
2.
3.
4.
Direct O&M Expenses
Dirct Labor Expenses
Net Direct Plant Expnses
Number of Customer
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 34
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU-Gi
1 The issue I raise involves only one of the four factors - Direct O&M Expenses. Simply
2 put, Ms. Knox fails to remove a porton of these direct O&M expenses, an adjusent
3 that is necessar for the proper allocation of common costs.
4 Q.WHAT AR DIRECT O&M EXPENSES?
5 A.Direct O&M expenses in Avista's cost of service study are listed as FERC Accounts 500-
6 916 on pages 4-10 in Ms. Knox's Exhibit 16. Schedule 2. For reference, the sum of the
7 expenses in these O&M accounts is $97,699.000 (Line 369, Page 10 of 59. Exhibit 16,
8 Schedule 2).
9 By using the sum of all the dollars in all of the O&M accounts, and their
10 allocators (energy, demand, customer) as one ofthe four factors used, Avista and Ms.
11 Knox are suggesting that common costs are caused in a fashion similar to the cause of the
12 O&M costs. Properly defined, O&M expenses form a reasonable means with which to
13 allocate common costs. but Avista's O&M expense definition fails in ths regard.
14 Q.
15 IMPROPERLY DEFIND ITS DIRECT O&M EXPENSES AS ONE OF TH FOUR-
WHAT IS TH BASIS FOR YOUR STATEMENT THAT AVISTA HAS
16 FACTORS TO ALLOCATE COMMON COSTS?
17 A.Thee distinct reasons support my conclusion that Avista's first factor, the Direct O&M
18 Expense, incorrectly allocates common costs:
19 1.Avista's O&M expense allocator is extremely volatile from year to year,
20 and common costs are not volatile.
21 2.Avista's anua common cost from 1998-2003 are actually inversely
22 related to its defition of O&M expenses.
DIRCT TESTIONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 35
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-01 and A VU-G041
2
3
4
5 Q.
6
7
8 A.
9
10
11
12 Q.
13
14
15 A.
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
3. A statistica regression analysis support the conclusion that the common
cost allocator using A vista's Direct O&M Expenses is valid if, and only if,
variable fuel and purchased power expenses are removed.
Avista's Volatile Direct Expense Definition
WHT is TH ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO THE VOLATILITY OF USING
A VISTA'S DEFINITION OF DIRECT O&M EXPENSE TO ALLOCATE COMMON
COSTS?
Simply put, Avista's definition ofO&M expenses includes fuel and purchaed power
costs as an element from which the relatively fixed common costs are allocated. I offer
clea evidence below tht common costs simply do not var in any relation to changes in
fuel and purchased power costs.
APART FROM ACCOUNTING AND STATISTICAL DATA, is THRE A COMMON
SENSE EXPLANATION AS TO WHY COMMON COSTS SHOULD NOT BE
ALLOCATED ON TH BASIS OF FUEL AND PURCHASED POWER COSTS?
Yes. As we are all awae, fuel and purchased power prices have risen, fallen, and agai
risen by as much as several hundred percent on a year-to-year basis. Ifwe assume; as
A vista has done, that common costs are caused by chages in fuel and purchased power
costs, then we wil be changing the common cost allocator by as much as several hundred
percent year-by-year.
Another way of stating the misapplication is that A vista is implying tht its
expenditues on offce buildings, fuitue, pars inventories, vehicles, computers, offce
supplies, employee pension and benefits, rents and general plant maintenance can be
expected to var directly with the recent huge swings, both up and down, in fuel and
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 36
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-041 and A VU-G-1
1 purchaed power prices. (See Exhbit 16, Schedule 2, Pages 10-11 for complete list of
2 common (A&G) cost items.)
3 Q.DOES THIS DISTORT THE COST OF SERVICE RESULTS?
4 A.The distortion is huge, because fuel and purchasd expenses from year to yea comprise
5 the overwhelmng majority of Direct O&M expenses. For example, of the total test year
6 O&M expenses of $97.7 millon (Exhbit 16, Schedule 2, Page 10, Line 369) $66.5
7 millon, or 68 percent of the total is fuel and purchased power expenses. The effect on
8 customers of allocating relatively fixed common costs on volatie fuel and purchased
9 power prices is to cause huge swings in the levels of common costs allocated to each
10 customer class. These swings have nothing to do with the common costs of servng these
11 customer classes.
12 Q.IS THERE AN EASY, COST-BASED FIX TO A VISTA'S VOLATILE AND
13 INACCURATE COMMON COST ALLOCATOR?
14 A.Yes, apar from the inclusion of ful and purchased power expenses, the remaining Direct
15 O&M Expense factor is fairly indicative of, and related to the need to incur, common
16 costs. The easy fix is to simply remove the fuel and purchased power expenses and use
17 the remaining non-fuel and purchased power O&M expenses as one of the four-factors
18 for common cost allocator proposed by A vista.
19 Avista's Histoncal Common Costs are Inversely Related to Fuel
20 and Purchased Power Expenses
21 Q.OTHR THA YOUR COMMON SENSE DISCUSSION, HAVE YOU ATTMPTED
22 TO ESTABLISH EMPIRICALLY THAT AVISTA'S EXPENITURS FOR FUEL
23 AN PURCHASED POWER DO NOT DlREClL Y RELATE TO, OR CAUSE
24 AVISTA'S COMMON COSTS?
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU - 37
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-1
1 A.
2
3
4 Q.
5 A.
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13 Q.
14
15
16 A.
17
18
19
20
21 Q.
22 A.
23
Yes. My Exhbit No. 204 is a graph of the recent history of Avist's anual varations in
tota fuel and purchased power expenses comparng them with Avista's actu A&G
(common) costs, 1998-2003.
WHAT DOES EXHIBIT NO. 204 SHOW?
Exhibit No. 204 confrms what we know to be tre - tht Avist's fuel and purchased
power costs have vared trmendously on a year-to-year basis since 1998.
The exhibit also confrms the point I was making above, that Avista's common
(A&G) costs have been virtally const since 1998. Use of the fuel and purchaed
power expense component within A vista's Direct O&M factor would therefore generate
widely fluctuating allocations of common costs to different customer classes, distortng
the intent of a common cost allocator.
Statistical Relationship Between O&M and Common Costs
WHT STATISTICAL VERIFICATION DO YOU HAVE THAT INDICATES THAT
A VISTA'S INCLUSION OF FUEL AND PURCHASED POWER EXPENSES IN ITS
COMMON COST ALLOCATOR IS INCORRCT?
The use offormal statistcal analysis to prove tht volatile, varable costs for fuel and
purchasd power are not correlated with fied common costs may be overkill, but I
neverteless offer a statistical regression analysis supportng my arguments. The
statistical tests or "hypotheses" I review also indicate tht fuel and purchased power costs
should be excluded from the allocator used to allocate common costs.
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
The regression anysis I performed simply anwers the question of whether Avista's
incurrence of common costs is fudamentally related to a definition of O&M expenses
DIRCT TESTIONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 38
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G4-1
2
3
4
5
6
7 Q.
.8 A.
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17 Q.
18 A.
19
20
21 Q.
22 A.
23
that includes or çloes not include fuel and purchased power expenses. As our goal in the
cost of service study is to identify the causative factors of common costs, we searh
statistically for the accounts makg up O&M expenses tht do, and those tht do not,
cause A vista to incur common costs. Then, in the allocation of common costs to
customer classes, we use only those O&M accounts that do relate to, or "cause" common
costs.
WHT DOES YOUR STATISTICAL REGRESSION ANALYSIS SHOW?
The analysis shows that common cost ar much more related to, or "correlated with,"
O&M expenses that have had fuel and purhased power expenses removed. The
regression analysis was conducted for two different equations:
1. Common Costs related to (O&M minus F&PP expenses); and
2. Common Costs related to (O&M with F&PP expenses)
where F&PP refers to fuel and purchased power.
Exhibit No. 205 sumanzes the results of regressions for these two equations.
For completeness, common cost data were developed two ways: first meaured as A&G
costs; second, as dollar levels of Avista's genera plant accounts.
HOW WERE TH DATA DERIVD?
All data were taen from the 2003 FERC Form I s, for A vista and the five other western
electrc utities listed in Exhbit No. 205. The other five utilities provide a
representational cross section of similarly situated electc utilities.
PLEASE SUMMARIZE THE QUANTITATIVE FINDINGS.
Regardless of whether A&G expenses or general plant is used as the measure of common
cost, the regression results strongly indicate that O&M expenses less fuel and purchased
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENN E. PESEAU - 39
¡PUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-Gi
1
2
3
4
5
6 Q.
7 A.
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22 Q.
23
power expenses is a superior allocator, compared with Avist's proposed change of
including fuel and purchased power expenses. This anlysis support the common sense
reasoning and graphic evidence presented earlier, and it demonstrates that Avista's
proposed change in these proceedings to include fuel and purchased power expenses to
allocate common costs should be rejected.
HOW SHOULD COMMON COSTS BE ALLOCATED IN THESE PROCEEDINGS?
I believe that the Commssion is left with two reasonable alternatives. First the
Commssion could adopt in principle Avista's four-factor common cost allocator concept,
but simply order the Company to remove fuel and purhased power expenses from the
one factor, Direct O&M Expense. In this way, each of the factors in the four-factor
method would closely track common costs. I have paricipated in cost of servce stdies
in the past where FERC ha similarly removed fuel and purchased power expenses from
the Direct O&M Expense accounts.
Alternatively, the Commission could order Avista to continue to use the
previously approved common cost allocator, where cost were allocated 40% on energy
and 60% on cusmer counts. The allocations resulting from the two alternatives are
similar in ths case. My Exhbit No. 205 reflects the cost of service results from the four-
factor "Direct O&M less F &PP expenses" method.
My recommendation to the Commission is to use the four-factor Direct O&M less
F&PP expenses method.
Avista's Transmission Cost Allocator
DOES AVISTA'S COST OF SERVICE STIY CORRCTLY ALLOCATE ITS
TRASMISSION COSTS?
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 40
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-1
...... ...... ....
1 A.
2
3
4
5 Q.
6
7 A.
8
9
10
11 Q.
12 A.
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
Transmission costs are incured to meet peak demands, and are therefore appropriately
allocated to customer classes on the basis of demand (capacity) allocators. Avista's
proposed cost-of-service study allocates a signficant amount of transmission costs, not
on demad, but on an energy basis. This is no longer defensible.
DID AVIST A'S COST OF SERVICE STIY IN WW-E-98-AA ALLOCATE
TRNSMISSION COSTS SIMIARLY ON A DEMA AND ENERGY BASIS?
Yes. Unlike the previous issue on the four-factor method, the transmssion allocation
issue I raise here clealy would require the Commission to modify its position in the
previous rate case, and adopt the same methodology it recently approved in the Idao
Power rate case. But I believe the evidence supportng this chage is compellng.
PLEASE EXPLAI.
My proposal to allocate transmission costs stctly on a demand basis is based on thee
distinct propositions:
1. A vista's and virtualy all other transmission systems are planed, sized,
and built to meet maximum instataeous, or peak demads.
2. Avista's proposed demand/energy tranmission allocator is inconsistent
with, and contrictory to, the same tranmission system rates it has ha
approved, and indeed charges, to wholesale customers though its Open
Access Transmission Tariff ("OA TI").
3. The Commission has just weeks ago approved the demand allocator for
transmission costs that I propose here in the recently completed Idaho
Power general rate case.
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 41
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-1 and A VU-G1
1 Q.
2
3
4 A.
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15 Q.
16
17
18
19 A.
20
21
22
23
WHAT is TH BASIS FOR YOUR CONCLUSION THAT A VISTA'S
TRSMISSION SYSTEM is CONSTRUCTED TO MEET ITS PEAK DEMAN
REQUIREMETS?
Our firm ha examned system planng methods and models for many years. For
generation systems, a hydro-electrc dam being a good example, constction costs can be
incured to meet both demand and energy considerations. In the Pacific Nortwest, for
example, we know that hydro generation costs are incured or "caused" not only by peak
demand requirements, but also by the need to store energy. Generation costs are
routinely allocated to both demand and energy.
Transmission system, whie they obviously trmit energy, are planed for, and
the cost is caused by, the need to meet peak demands. Once the costs are incurred and
the facilties constrcted, no additional costs are incurd to transmit energy. Thus, the
pnnciple of cost-causation leads us to allocate transmission on the basis of demand
(capacity) usage only.
HOW is A VISTA'S PROPOSED DEMANDIEERGY TRANSMISSION
ALLOCATOR INCONSISTENT WITH TH TRSMISSION COST ALLOCATION
AND RESULTING RATES IT HAS IN PLACE FOR WHOLESALE TRANSMISSION
USERS?
The open access policies implemented by FERC some years ago, as we know, requie
Avista and other utilities to fie and maintai OATTs, the rates of which must be based
on cost of service. I have reviewed the curent A vista OA TT and determined that the
Company allocates its transmission system costs (the same system contaied in its
present tranmission cost of service) not on the basis of the demand/energy allocator
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU - 42
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU-G-1
1
2
3
4 Q.
5
6 A.
7
8
9
10 Q.
11
12
13 A.
14
15
16
17
18 Q.
19
20 A.
21
22
23
proposed in ths general retal rate case, but rather on the same demand basis that I am
proposing here. There is no reasonable justification to have two different sets of
transmission costs and rates for the same identical system.
HOW DO YOU KNOW THAT THE APPROVED OAIT RATE is BASED ON A
DEMAND-ONLY ALLOCATOR?
In my Exhibit No. 207 I attch a copy of the relevant pages of Avista's present OA IT.
The rates posted there are denved stnctly on a "per kW" or demand basis. This indicates
that the OAIT rates and the trmission costs contaned therein are based solely on a
demand allocator.
DO PROBLEMS ARSE FROM ALLOCATING TH SAM TRASMISSION
COSTS OF SERVICE ON TH BASIS OF TWO DIFFERENT ALLOCATORS, AS
A VlSTA is PROPOSUNG?
Yes, obviously so. First, the demand method is correct and the demand/energy is not.
Therefore, one set of rates is correct and the latter is not. Ther is no sound reason why
identical retai or wholesale trmission customers should have their respective cost
allocations and therefore their rates differ for the same usage. This is disparity is not only
ilogical; it is also potentially discriminatory.
WHAT TRSMISSION COST ALLOCATION METHOD DID THIS COMMISSION
ADOPT IN TH RECENT IDAHO POWER GENRAL RATE CASE NO. IPC-03-13?
The Commssion based its rate design on Idaho Power's basic cost of service stdy,
which allocated the Company's trsmission costs on the basis of demand only. Idao
Power's approved OA IT rates are also based on demand-only transmission cost
allocators.
DIRCT TESTIONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 43
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-1
1 Q.
2
3 A.
4
5
6
7 Q.
8
9
10 A.
11
12
13
14
15
16
17 Q.
18
19 A.
20
21
22
23
HAVE YOU PREPARD A COST OF SERVICE STUY THAT INCORPORA'iS
THE CHANGES YOU RECOMMND?
Yes. Exhbit 206 is a sumar of the results of my cost of service study incorporating the
proper 4-factor and transmission capacity allocator. Whle the changes to the allocations
to the varous customer classes ar not dramatic, they are signifcat and necessar to
propely capture cost of servce.
WHAT DOES YOUR COST OF SERVICE STUDY SHOW WITH RESPECT TO TH
PRESENT CONTRUTIONS THAT DIFFERE CUSTOMER CLASSES ARE
MAKG TOWARD RESPECTIE COSTS OF SERVICE?
The swnmar results indicate, consistent with the conclusions of Avist's cost of service
study, that residential customers, Schedule 1, and large general service customers,
Schedule 25, are receiving substatial subsidies from al remaining customer classes,
including Potlatch. Page 1 of Exhbit 206 shows that the residential and generl service
customer classes' rates generate rates of retu that are significantly below the system's
average rate of retu, thus indicating tht other classes' rates are set too high in order to
make up the shortall.
HOW SHOULD THE COMMISSION DEAL WITH TH ELIMINATION OF THSE
SUBSIDIES?
In the recent Idaho Power generl rate case I testified that a huge subsidy, in tht case to
the irrgation pwnping class, needed to be systematically and unequivocally reduced to
zeo, necessitating a large increase to the irrgators. The same pnnciples apply here,
although the levels of subsidies to the residential and genera servce customers are not so
large as in the Idaho Power case. In principle, I believe these subsidies should be
DIRCT TESIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 44
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-G4-1 and A VU-G-1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14 Q
15 A.
16
17
18
19
20
21
22 Q.
eliminated immediately. However, I am also aware the Commission has expressd
concerns about the ''rate shock" that could result from very steep increases for a
parcular customer class.
Accordigly, I propose in these proceedings tht, if the overl approved increase
is ten percent or less, all customer classes should be moved to ful cost of service. If the
increase is greater th ten percent, the Commission order should order residential and
large genera service rates moved at leas hafway toward rate of retu party, with two
anua automatic adjustents thereaer to close the remaining cost of service gap.
Under the latter alternative, the other customer classes (Schedules 11-12, Schedules 21-
22, and Potlatch) would continue to pay a subsidy in the near term, but would receive
assurances that the remainig subsidy would be eliminated over the next two year. Ths
is, I believe, more than fai to the subsidized customer classes.
Rate Design Issues
DO YOU HAVE ANY COMMENTS ON AVISTA'S RATE DESIGN PROPOSALS?
Yes. My first obseration is that Avista's proposal to include Potlatch's Lewiston
Facilty ("Facilty") in Tariff Schedule 25 should be rejected. Becaus of the huge
disparity in size between the Facilty and the other Schedule 25 customers, it makes no
sense to include the Facilty in that schedule. For customers the size of the Facilty, the
Commission has always used separate taiffs for each special contrct customer, and it
should do so in ths case as well. The Facilty is approximately thre times the size of all
the entie Schedule 25 class.
IS TH FACILITY IN FACT A SPECIAL CONTRCT CUSTOMER?
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 45
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU-G--1
1 A.Yes. The A vista and Potlatch power supply agreement ("Agreement") is a unque
2 contrct tht governs Avist's serice to only one custmer- the Facilty. In that
3 Agreement, the pares agreed to the tempora use of Schedule 25 rates for service to the
4 Facilty, pending the next rate case. But Potlatch did not agree to become a Schedule 25
5 customer. The Facilty has always been a "special contract customet' in the past, and the
6 Agreement clearly contemplates that ths statu will continue in the futue.
7 Q.is IT DIFFICULT TO SEPARTE mE FACILITY'S COST OF SERVICE FROM
8 SCHEDULE 25?
9 A.No. The A vista cost of service study, and my own, already compute all cost of service
10 elements for the Facilty on a std-alone basis, in recogntion of the fact that the Facilty
11 is indeed a customer class unto itself. Given this, the Commssion should require A vist
12 to preserve these cost elements treating the Facilty as the cusomer class tht it is. It
13 makes no sense to subsequently meld the Facilty with the much smaller Schedule 25
14 class. In order to set rates for the Facilty withn the Schedule 25 class, A vista in this
15 case ha to resort to major rate design changes in order to properly assure that Potlatch
16 would not be overcharged.
17 Creating a stand-alone rate schedule for the Facilty will not afect the Facilty's
18 cost of serice or rates. It is simply a preventive measure. The concer is tht in the
19 futue this distinction could be blured in a subsequent study in a maner tht causes the
20 Facilty to pay costs for which it should not be accountable. The distinction between the
21 Facilty and the Schedule 25 customers should be clarfied by placing the Facilty in a
22 separte rate schedule.
23 Q.DOES THS COMPLETE YOUR TESTIONY?
DIRCT TESTONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 46
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU-G1
1 A.Yes, it does.
2
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 47
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-1 and AVU-G-01
1
2 Q.
3
4 A.
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17 Q.
18
19 A.
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
Appendi A-Update to Dr. Avera's Analysis
WHAT is TH CORRCT RETU ON EQUITY RAGE USING DR. AVERA'S
METHODS FOR ESTIMATING EQUITY RETUS?
I conclude that consistent application of the discounted cash flow (DCF) and risk
premiwn methods used by Dr. Avera reduces his recommendations as follows:
Avera EstimatenIROE Method Peseau Update
DCF
Risk Premiwn I
Risk Premiwn II
CAPM
10.4%
11.4
10.8
11.9
9.3%
10.8%
9.2% to 10.1%
10.9%
_n1 includes flotation costs of 20 basis points.
Updates that are consistent with the methods Dr. Avera utilizes do not support his rage
of 10.4% to 11.9% and certnly do not support a recommended ROE of 11.5%. See
Exhbit No. 211.
WHAT GENERAL COMMENTS DO YOU HAVE REGARING TH TESTIMONY
AND ANALYSES OFFERED BY DR. AVERA?
Dr. Avera offers 70 pages of testimony covering a nwnber oftopics. Twenty-four of
these pages cover discussion of flotation costs and the quantitative equity retu methods
and estimates commonly considered by this Commission. The rest of the testiony is
concerned with general and fudaental economic and finacial topics that are normally
and effciently taken into account by investors when bidding on and purchasing common
stock and other assets. Financial initutions and investors know the finacial and
operational characteristics of Avist every bit as well as Dr. Avera and use ths
information to make formal investment decisions. A well-known financial principle is
tht investors are not normally, nor do they expect to be, compensated for nonmarket or
DffECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 48
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-4-1 and A VU-G-01
1
2
3
4
5
6 Q.
7 A.
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19 Q.
20
21 A.
22
23
company-specific risks that are not systematic. These risks are diversifable and do not,
and should not form the basis of rate of retu "adders." The methods of determining
cost of equity used by Dr . Avera and others in this case measure retus that are
commensurate with similar risk-adjusted investments and should not be adjusted for
exogenous risks.
PLEASE SUMMARZE DR. AVERA'S ESTIMATES.
Dr. Avera presents four quatitative analyses of the cost of equity for a "benchmark"
group of western electric utilties from which he derives a 10.2% to 11.7% equity cost
range. He presents a discounted cash flow ("DCF") analysis for a benchmark group of
electrc utilties in the western U. S., two risk premium approaches, and an estimate based
on the capita asset pricing model ("CAPM"). From his DCF analysis, he estimates that a
benchmark sample of western electrc utilities requires a return on equity of 10.2% (page
45). Based on two risk premium models, he concludes that the cost of equity for the
respective reference samples of electrc utilties is 11.2% (page 49) and 10.6% (page 50).
And, from his CAPM approach, he derives a cost of eqty estiate for the western
electrc utilties of 11.7% (page 51). Basd on that inormation, and an adder of 20 basis
points for flotation costs and additional premium he argues are required for risk specific
to Avista he endorses an ROE of i 1.5%.
HOW DOES HE REACH TH CONCLUSION TIT AVISTA SHOULD BE
AUTHORIED AN EQUITY RETURN IN EXCESS OF 11.5%?
Dr. Avera presents lengty discussions of company-specific risks that he contends are
faced by A vista and should be recognized in setting the authorized retu. That analysis
of unque risks is the basis for his contention that the Company requies an equity retu
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 49
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G4-1
1
2
3
4
5 Q.
6 A.
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
near the top of his estimate of the equity cost range for other western electric utilties.
But as I just explaied, these company specific risks are incorporated into his results, and
a subjective adder for such risks is unwaranted.
Update to Dr. Avera's DCF Approaches
DO YOU HAVE ANY COMMNTS ABOUT HIS DCF ANALYSIS?
Yes. Recall that the DCF method under stadard ficial assumptions reduces to the
equation:
ROE = DilPo + g
where ROE =requied equity retur
D¡=first penod dividend rate
Po =today's stock pnce
g =
growt rate
Dr. Avera's estimate ofa 10.2% retur results from his estimate of the DCF components:
10.2% = 4.2% (yield) + 6.0% (growt)
I update the 6.0% growt rate and his dividend yield. The growt rate g is growt that is
expected in the future by investors. It is by natue forward looking. But I note that on
Dr. Avera's Schedule WEA-2, he used not only the typical benchmark for expected
growt, as reported by the investor institutions mES, Value Line, First Call and Multex
Investor, but also histoncal rates of earngs growt for both five and ten year past
penods:
DIRCT TESTIONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 50
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-041 and A VU-G-4-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 Q.
11
12
13 A.
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
Dr. Avera's Expected Growt Rates
Value First Past PastmESLineCallMultexlOYr.5 Yr.
Average Expected
Growt Rate 5.1 2.4 5.2 5.4 7.3 8.1
Whle the simple average of these growth rates is 5.6%, Dr. Avera inexplicably uses a
6.0% figure to develop his 10.2% retu.
IN YOUR OPINION, IS DR. A VERA'S USE OF TH HISTORICAL GROWT
RATES IN HIS AVERAGE AN APPROPRIATE BASIS FOR ESTIMATING THE
DCF REQUIRED FUTURE EXPECTED GROWT RATE?
No. To the extent that past growt might be of an importce to investors, the anysts'
forecasts Dr. Avera reports for mES, Value Line, First Call and Multex have already
taen that information into acount. David A. Gordon, Myron 1. Gordon and Lawrence i.
Gould, "Choice Among Methods of Estimating Share Yield," Journal of Portfolio
Management, pp. 50-55 (Spring i 989), did a study that found analysts' forecasts of
growt provide a better explanation of stock prces than thee backward-lookig
measures of growt. They explai that their findings make sense because analysts would
tae into account past growt as well as any new inormation when they form their
forecasts. Roger Mori report the resuts of other empirical studies and concludes
analysts' forecasts "are more accurate than forecasts based on historical growt."
Regulatory Finance: Utiities Cost of Capital, page 154. My restatement of Dr. Avera's
DCF anysis recognizes four of the growt forecasts Dr. Avera relied upon, but gives no
weight to the measures of pas growt Dr. Avera reportd.
DIRCl TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 51
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-04-1 and AVU-G...1
1 Q.HOW HAVE YOU MODIFIED DR. AVERA'S DCF EXPECTED GROWT RATE
2 VARILE TO REMOVE TH EFFECTS OF HISTORICAL GROWTH?
3 A.My Exhbit No. 208 shows those resuts. To determe an updated and consistnt
4 estimate for the DCF expected growt rate for each of the utilities in Dr. Avera's sample,
S I updated his reported estimates of investor institution projections in Schedule WEA-2 as
6 well as his estate of sustaiable growt in his Schedule WEA-3. Exhibit No. 208
7 shows an average of four growt forecasts; the curent esates reported by IBES, First
8 Call and Reuters (formerly Multex) and the higher of the two forecasts made with Value
9 Line data. Exhbit No. 208 shows that the correct average for the projected or expected
10 growt rate is 5.1 %, close to the bottom of the 5% to 7% range adopted by Dr. Avera.
1l Q.DID YOU UPDATE DR. A VERA'S DIVEND YILDS?
12 A.Yes. I used data published by Value Line, dated June 4,2004, and the method Dr. Avera
13 used to compute dividend yields to make that update. These updated dividend yields ar
14 also reported in Exhbit No. 208.
iS Q.BASED ON YOUR UPDATES AN UTILIZA nON OF ONLY THE FORWARD-
16 LOOKIG GROWT RATES REPORTED BY DR. A VERA, WHT is YOUR
17 RESTATEME OF DR. AVERA'S DCF RESULTS?
18 A.Based on his sample and the restatements discussed above, the indicated average cost of
19 equity for the western electric utilities is 9.3% (4.1 % dividend yield and 5.1 % growt,
20 after rounding), 90 basis points less than the 10.2% estimated by Dr. Avera.
21 Q.DO YOU HAVE OTIR CONCERNS WITH DR. AVERA'S DCF ANALYSIS?
22 A.Yes. The DCF method he proposes is incorrect. At page 32, Dr. Avera presents the
23 genera form of the DCF modeL. It clealy shows that expected dividends per shae
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 52
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-4-1 and AVU-G1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 Q.
13
14 A.
15
16
17
18
19
20 Q.
21 A.
22
23
(DPS) are the cash flows that are of interest to investors. He adopts Value Line ~
forecasts of dividends for the next ye~ but ignores Value Line ~ forecasts of dividends for
other futue years. His DCF approach is incorrect becaus it does not incorporate all of
the inormation on dividend growt that investors consider when they price the shares of
common stock in his sample. Had Dr . Avera made his DCF estmates with a multi-stage
DCF model that recognized that dividend growt is expected to be less than half as rapid
as forecasted earings and sustainable growt for the period 2004 to 2008, the DCF
equity cost estimate would be less than 9.3%. But because I limit my testmony to a
restatement of the methods Dr. Avera ha relied upon, I have not presented such an
analysis.
Update to Dr. Avera's Risk Premium Approaches
PLEASE DESCRIE THE RISK PREMIUM APPROACH TO ESTIMATIG A
UTILITY'S REQUIRED RETUR ON EQUITY.
Whereas the DCF method adds estimates of dividend yield to expected growth rate to get
equity cost estimates, risk premium methods recognze that over tie common stock is
riskier tha most debt securties (bonds) and therefore requires a premium, or adder, over
and above the retu on bonds. Ths adder is oftn termed a risk premium. As yields on
bonds are generaly directly observable and measurable, equity cost estimates may be
derived if reliable risk premiums can be determned.
HOW DOES DR. AVERA UTILIZE TH RISK PREMIUM METHOD?
Dr. Avera uses a risk premium method based on authorized equity returs, another based
on actul or realize return and, finally, the more academically rigorous risk premium
method, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
DffECT TESTONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 53
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G4-1
1 Q.
2
3 A.
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15 Q.
16 A.
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
WHT EQUITY RETURN DOES DR. AVERA ESTIMATE USING HIS
AUTHORIED RETURN RISK PREMIUM METHOD?
1 1.2%. He derives ths by adding a December 2003 bond yield of 6.61 % to a risk
premium estimate of 4.58% that is derived in his Schedule WEA-4. Schedule WEA-4
uses regression analysis to attempt to determine the historical relationship between
allowed equity retus and bond yields, and the difference between the two, to establish
the risk premium. The theory is that if the regression analysis can determine the
relationship between the bond yield and the appropriate risk premium, then one can
observe today's bond yield, add to it the estiate of risk premium appropriate for the
bond yield and add the two to get an equity retur estimate. From Schedule WEA-4, Dr.
A vera estimates the relationship as:
(ROE - Bond Yield) = .073 + (-.435 x Bond Yield)
Whle I have no quael with the basic methodology, Dr. Avera uses interest rates or bond
yields that are internally inconsistent in his method.
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
Dr. Avera uses a low yield bond to compute his historical risk premium. Use of ths 10w
bond yield when subtrcted from allowed equity rets, produces an exaggerated or
higher risk preum than if a consistent bond rate is used. The bond yield used by Dr.
A vera, shown on Schedule WEA-4 is an average of AA, AA, A and BBB rated bonds.
Since the highy rated bonds AA, AA and A will have the lowest interest rates, the
composite rate Dr. Avera uses is low. Subtracting a low interest rate from an authoried
retur yields an arficially high risk premium. Then, on Page 49, Line 10, he adds this
high risk premium to the highest bond yield, that of a trple-B bond. Ths mixig of
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - S4
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-04-1 and AVU-G-Ø4-1
1
2
3 Q.
4 A.
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18 Q.
19
20
21 A.
22
23
different bonds for the regression analysis and for computig the equity retu biases
upward Dr. Avera's estimate of an equity retur.
HAVE YOU AITMPTED TO REMOVE DR. AVERA'S INCONSISTENCY?
Yes. An appropriate calculation would use the same measure of bond rating in the
regression analysis as in the recommended equity ret. In makg my restatement. I
have used A-rated utility bonds to compute the risk premiums. to ru the regressions and
to estimate the equity cost. I ,chose the A-rated utilty bond rates because Dr. Avera relies
on A-rated bonds in Schedule WEA-5. Also, curent quotations for A-rated utilty bond
rates are widely available and published by Value Line every week. I also used trple-B
rates, as a second approach in another regression as well, because that is what Dr. Avera
uses on his Page 49.
The results of the revised analysis ar shown in my Exhibit No. 209. pages 1. and
2. Combinng the revised regression result with a June 4, 2004 Value Line quotation of
6.08% for A-rated utility bond rates gives an indicated cost of equity for the benchmark
electrc utilities of 10.8%, 40 bais points lower than Dr. Avera's estimate of 11.2%.
Using the triple-B regrssions with the curent trple-B rate of 6.56% reported June 4.
2004 gives a cost of equity estimate of 10.9%.
DO YOU HAVE ANY COMMTS ABOUT DR. AVERA'S RISK PREMI
APPROACH BASED ON THE REALIZED-RATE-OF-RETU APPROACH THAT
HE PRESENTED IN SCHEDULE WEA-5?
Yes. First, as he did with his other rik premium approach. Dr. A vera used one type of
bond to determine the averge risk premium and then incorrectly added that risk premium
to a trple-B public utility bond rate. In ths analysis the risk premium was established as
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 55
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-01
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15 Q.
16
17 A.
18
19
20
21
22
the average difference between anual retus on stocks and A-rated bonds and thus the
risk premium will be larger than if the premium were established for trple-B bonds. To
make Dr. Avera's approach internly consistent, I added the current A-rated bond to the
premium for A-rated bonds. This change alone reduces Dr. A vera's equity cost estimate
to 10.1%. See Exhibit No. 210.
My other observation is that Dr. Avera's approach assues that investors
typically have holding periods of only one year, when investors probably expect to hold
shares of utility stocks for longer perods. If investors have very long holding periods, a
risk premium based on differences in geometric average retu would be the appropriate
risk premium. If, for example, investors have 57-year holding perods, the correct
estimate of the risk premium would be 3.11% instead of4.01%. See Exhbit No. 210. I
expect that investors typically have holding periods longer than one-year but much
shorter than 57 years. In such a case ths appoach would indicate the cost of equity
would be between 9.2% and 10.1 % but closer to 10.1 %.
DO YOU HAVE ANY COMMENTS ABOUT DR. AVERA'S CAPITAL ASSET
PRICING MODEL EQUITY COST ESTIMATE?
Yes. Although the CAPM's derivation is steeped in a good deal of financial theory and
mathematica determination, the final specifcation, like the DCF method, is fairly
straightforward:
Equity Cost = Risk Free Rate + Beta x Market Risk Premium
There are a number of different ways the CAPM can be implemented and a number of
ways that estimates of the risk fre rate and market risk premium can be derived. I limit
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 56
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-4-1 and A VU-Gi
2
3 Q.
4 A.
5
6
7 Q.
8 A.
9
10 Q.
11 A.
12
13
14
15
16 Q.
17 A.
18
19
20
21
22
23
my comments to an update of Dr. Avera's risk free rate and his estimate of the market
risk premium (M). I will not contest his meaur of market risk, "beta. n
WHT is TH RISK-FREE RATE USED BY DR. AVERA?
Dr. Avera uses as a meaure of the risk-free rate the average yield on long-tenn
governent bonds. He indicates tht this measure of the risk-fre rate as of December
2003 was 5.2%.
WHT is THE RECENT YILD ON LONG-TERM GOVERNT BONDS?
The yield reported by Value Line at June 4, 2004 is 5.32%. i use tht value in my updte
of Dr. Avera's CAPM estimate.
HOW DOES DR. A VERA ESTIMATE THE MARKT RISK PREMIU ("MRP")?
Whle I do not agee with his method of estimating the MRP, I use his method here with
a simple update.
Dr. Avera derives a forecast ofthe tota average market retu for the stock
market of 13.7%, then, to estite the market premium he subtracts his risk free rate of
5.2%, which results in an 8.5% MRP.
WHAT UPDATE HAVE YOU MADE TO DR. AVERA'S MRP?
Whereas the long-term governent bond rate is diectly observable and is set in
competitive markets, the other component of the risk premium approach used by Dr.
Avera, the projected market retu, is not directly observable or measurable. The
projected market retur is simply the opinion about the futue made by different investor
institutions and can change frequently. Use of a projected market retu of 13.7%, as of a
single point in time, therefore makes the prediction of tota market retur highly varable,
as I now show. For reference, the long-tenn average market risk premium durng the
DffECT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU . 57
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-Gt
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16 Q.
17
18
19 A.
20
21
22
23
period 1926 to 2003 is 7.2%, not the 8.5% used by Dr. Avera. Investors that use CAPM
would undoubtedly give weight to that long-term average market risk premium.
Dr. Avera's tota market retur estate was made prior to recent stock maket
activity that has occurred since December 2003. Investors now understand that a short-
term gai as large as 13.7% is no longer realistic. For example, the Value Line forward-
lookig tota market retur for the 1700 stocks it follows, as of June 4, 2004, was
12.55%, not the 13.7% used by Dr. Avera. Ths huge potential for varation in these
"curnt" MR estimates makes rate of retur settng for regulatory puroses diffcult.
Nevertheless, using the updated market retu forecas of 12.55%, the implied MR is
7.23% (12.55% - 5.32%), not the 8.5% used by Dr. Avera. At this time, the indicated
"curent" market risk premium and the long-ter averge market risk premium are both
7.2%. If investors consider either indicator of the market risk premium, an update of Dr.
Avera's CAPM equity cost estimate is 10.9% as shown below:
Equity cost = RF + beta x MR
Equity cost = 5.32% + .77 x 7.2% = 10.9%
PLEASE SUMMARE YOUR UPDATES AND RESTATEMES OF DR.
AVERA'S QUANTITATIVE ESTIMTES OF TH COST OF EQUITY FOR
BENCHM ELECTRIC UTITIES.
I conclude my strghtforwd updates of Dr. Avera's estimates of the cost of equity do
not support a recommended ROE range of 10.4% to 11.9% and certinly do not support
an equity retu for A vista of 11.5%. My su Schedule DEP-4 shows that a simple
average of the updated equity cost estimates is 140 basis points below the 11.5% ROE
that Dr. Avera recommends for Avista.
DIRCT TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - 58
IPUC Case Nos. A VU-E-64-1 and A VU-G.1
Q.DO THE DIRCTIONS IN TRNDS OF FINANCIAL MATS SUPPORT YOUR
2 RECOMMENDATIONS?
3 A.Yes. My Exhbit No. 212 shows monthy interest rate data for lO-year Treasur bonds
4 and for Baa corporate bonds for the period October 2001 though April 2004. as reported
5 by the Federal Reserve. Generally, rates for gOVernent bonds and Baa corporate bonds
6 have decreased by 145 basis points since October 2001. I conclude that, given the drop
7 in capital costs, Avista's cost of equity is well below its 1998 cost.
DIRECT TESTIMONY OF DENNI E. PESEAU - 59
IPUC Case Nos. AVU-E-4-1 and AVU-G041
........................
Conley E. Ward (ISB No. 1683)
GIVENS PURSLEY LLP
601 W. Banock Street
P.O. Box 2720
Boise,ID 83701-2720
Telephone No. (208) 388-1200
Fax No. (208) 388-1300
cew~givenspursley.com
HECEIVEO mFiLED 0
ZLLU11 JUL -9 PH 3: 51
i~~$t\~ ~o ¡..'UBLlC
UTlUliES COf1MISSION
Attorneys for Potlatch Corporation.
S:\CLIENTI3 14\S4\P..u Rett Tesûmony.DOC
BEFORE TH IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMSSION
IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION
OF AVISTA CORPORATION FOR THE
AUTHORITY TO INCREASE ITS RATES
AND CHARGES FOR ELECTRC AND
NATU GAS SERVICE TO ELECTRC
AND NATURAL GAS CUSTOMERS IN
THE STATE OF IDAHO.
Case Nos. AVU-E-04-1
AVU-G-04-1
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU
ON BEHALF OF POTLATCH CORPORATION
June 21, 2004
ORIGINAL
Q.ARE YOU THE SAME DENNIS PESEAU WHO PREVIOUSLY FILED DIRECT
2 TESTIMONY IN THIS CASE?
3 A.Yes.
4 Q.WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR REBUTTAL TESTIMONY?
5 B.I have five areas ofbriefrebutt:
6 1.Staff witness Hessing should not have accepted the Deal A excess gas costs
7 because his compellng arguments to disallow Deal B gas costs apply to Deal A as
8 welL.
9 2.Staf witnesses overlooked the signficant change in cost of service methods
10 proposed by A vista witness Knox.
11 3.Staff witnesses Schune's and Hessing's proposal to move varous rate schedules
12 only 20% of the way to cost of service will perpetuate the longstanding subsidies
13 between customer classes.
14 4.Coeur Silver Valley witness Yanel's proposal to directly assign primar costs to
15 Schedule 25 class has merit.
16 5.Stafs proposal to change the method of computing PCA rates should be rejected
17 or modified.
18 Deal A and Deal B Financial Transactions
19 Q.WHAT ARE THE PRIMARY ISSUES YOU ADDRESS IN YOUR REBUTTAL
20 TESTIMONY OF MR. HESSING REGARING DEAL A AND DEAL B?
21 A.In a nutshell, I agree wholehearedly with Mr. Hessing's recommendation to exclude all
22 the excess financial costs of the so-called Deal B. In fact, his approach is quite similar to,
23 and parallels, the rationale I provide for excluding Deal B in my direct testimony. There
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 2 of 16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
1 is no need to elaborate on our similar approaches and our identical conclusions with
2 respect to Deal B, other th to point out that our statements of the amounts in dispute
3 differ, primarily because I used system numbers while Mr. Hessing's figures are for the
4 Idaho jursdiction and test year only.
5 My issue with Mr. Hessing's testimony is that the very compellng circumstances and
6 facts that lead Mr. Hessing to appropriately deny A vista recovery of Deal B costs, with
7 one exception, should have also compelled him to recommend disallowance of Deal A
8 costs. My testimony recommends the disallowance of the costs of both Deal A and Deal
9 B.
10 Q.WHT is TH ONE EXCEPTION TO THE SIMILARITY OF CIRCUMSTANCES
11 SURROUNING BOTH DEAL A AND DEAL B?
12 A.The one dissimilar circumstce is that Avista Energy was the counterpary to Deal B. In
13 Deal A the apparent counterparies were Mirant and BP. Thus, the Deal A counterparies
14 that profited so greatly were not par of Avista Corporation's corporate stctue. But in
15 all other respects both Mr. Hessing's and my observations and criticisms regarding the
16 impropriety and imprudence of Deal A and Deal B are the same for both deals.
17 Q.IS THE FACT THAT A VISTA CORPORATION ITSELF DID NOT PROFIT FROM
18 DEAL A SUFFICIENT TO JUSTIFY RECOVERY OF THE DEAL'S EXCESS GAS
19 COSTS IN TH PCA?
20 A.No. Mr. Hessing's other compellng arguments for denying recovery of Deal B costs on
21 the basis of imprudence also hold for Deal A. Both Mr. Hessing's direct testimony and
22 my own explain at lengt the numerous peculiarities and irregularities of both Deal A and
23 Deal B that lead tÇ) the conclusion that each of these deals was imprudent. In fact, the
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU - Page 3 of 16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
extended period of 3 Yi years for the Deal A swap actually makes the bet the utilty made
2
3 Q.
4
5 A.
6 '
7
8
9 Q.
10
11
12
13 A.
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
on Deal A prices far more speculative and imprudent than Deal B.
HOW DOES MR. HESSING EXPLAIN HIS PROPOSAL TO DISALLOW DEAL B
BUT ACCEPT DEAL A?
On pages 15-16 of his direct testiony, Mr. Hessing offers two reasons for not
disallowing Dea A. First, as explained above, the counterparies to Deal A were not
A vista affiliates. Second, Mr. Hessing opines that Deal A did not put A vista over "the
long limit contained in its Risk Policy."
YOU HAVE ALREADY EXPLAIED YOUR POSITION ON DEAL A
COUNTERP ARTIES NOT BEING A VISTA AFFILIATES. WHAT is YOUR
RESPONSE TO MR. HESSING ALLOWING DEAL A BECAUSE IT WAS STILL
UNDER THE "LONG LIMIT?"
As I discussed in more detal in my direct testimony, Deal A and Deal B were both
financial trades, not physical transactions. In other words, Deal A and Deal B did not
purchase any natual gas. On page 5, lines 14-24 of his testimony, Mr. Hessing describes
both the physical index-priced gas purchases and the subsequent financial trsactions as
if they were all pars of Deal A and Deal B. But the proposed Deal A and Deal B cost
adjustments are strctly related only to the financial imprudence of these transactions, and
not in any way to the procurement of the physical natual gas. Therefore, i find it
irrelevant that the physical purchases were, or were not, over some designated volumetrc
or long limit. Neither of the Deal A and Deal B financial trades was prudent on behalf of
the utility's custmers for reasons explained in Mr. Hessing's and my testimony. i urge
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 4 of 16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
PAGE 5 is CONFIDENTIAL
...........................................................................................................................................-..... ................ .................................................................................
1
2
3
4
5 Q.
6
7 A.
8
9
10
11
12
13
14 .
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
other reckless and unprecedented featues of both deals that Mr. Hessing and I identitY in
our direct testimony, compels the conclusion that both should be excluded from rates on
the grounds that their costs were imprudently incurd.
Staff Fails to Acknowledge the Importance of Avista's Incorrect 4-Factor Allocator
WHAT is YOUR RESPONSE TO STAFF'S ADOPTION OF AVISTA'S COST OF
SERVICE METHODOLOGY?
Both Mr. Hessing and I testify that Avista's cost of service methodology generally
follows that ordered in prior Commission orders. However, I point out that there is a
significant change in Avista's newly proposed "4-factor" allocator for common costs.
While i indicate tht a 4-factor allocator is not objectionable on its face, the maner in
which A vista witness Knox constcts ths allocator is incorrect and unacceptable.
My issue here is with Mr. Hessing's characterization of Avista's study as consistent
with that used in its last general rate case "with mior modifications" (Hessing, page 4.
lines 1-2). What I want to make clear, and demonstrate quantitatively, is that his
characterization of "minor modifications" holds only if the newly proposed 4-factor
method of allocating common (overhead) costs is corrected as I propose on pages 33-40
of my direct testimony. As I show below, the corrected 4-factor allocator I developed
represents a less extreme departure from the previously adopted allocator. In the case of
Potlatch's Lewiston Facilty, the prior method and my corrected 4-factor allocator should,
and in fact do, produce similar cost allocations, both of which differ significantly from
the A vista results.
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 6 of 16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
....... ........j ..................-.............-........................... ......... ..........-........................................... ......... ................. .............................................. ...................................................
Q.HOW DO YOU PROPOSE TO DEMONSTRATE THAT THE INCORRCT
2 ALLOCATOR PROPOSED BY A VISTA IS NOT, AS MR. HESSING STATES, A
"MINOR MODIFICATION"?3
4 A.Below I list three columns summarizing the rate schedule rates of retu from 1) the
5 "40% energy/60% customer" used and adopted in prior proceedings, 2) Avista's newly
6 proposed but incorrect 4-factor allocator and 3) my corrected Avista's 4-actor allocatorl:
Class
Schedule 1
General Service
Large General Service
Schedule 25
Potlatch Lewiston
Pumping
Lighting
AVERAGE
7 Q.
40%/60%
Method
1.04%
9.35%
9.26%
2.07%
5.61%
7.79%
6.52%
4.71%
Avista
4-Factor
1.97%
9.70%
8.12%
1.17%
5.24%
7.24%
4.55%
4.71 0/0
Potlatch
4-Factor
1.84%
9.52%
8.16%
1.28%
5.60%
7.22%
4.15%
4.71%
PLEASE EXPLAIN THIS TABLE.
8 A.My intent here is to show that Avista's incorrect 4-factor allocator is much more than a
9 "minor modification." As I discussed in my direct testimony, Avista's results are skewed
10 by its inappropnate inclusion of variable fuel and purchase power expenses in the
11 definition of O&M. By including these energy costs in an allocator meant to allocate
12 fixed common costs, A vista improperly shifts costs to higher load facor customers.
13 While the percentage shift is relatively small, the effect in absolute terms is not. Avista's
14 flawed cost of service change increases Potlatch Lewiston's cost of service by
15 approximately $1,000,000 per year. A shift of this magnitude in common costs defies
16 common sense.
i The Potlatch-calculated retu differ from those in my direct testimony because, in order to make accurate
comparisons, I do not here change the transmission allocator, as I recommend in my direct testimony.
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 7 of 16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7 Q.
8
9 A.
10
11
12 Q.
13
14 A.
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22 Q.
Correcting Avista's mistaen inclusion of fuel and purchased power expenses, as I
show in the colum headed "Potlatch 4-Factor," produces final allocations that are less
prejudicial to high load factor customers and more consistent with prior orders than
Avista's approach. My rebutt Exhibit 213 sumarzes the derivation of the Potlatch 4-
Factor method. The other colwns are developed from Avista Exhbit 16, Schedules 2
and 3.
HOW DO YOU RECOMMND THAT THE COMMISSION RESOLVE THESE
DISPARATE COST OF SERVICE RESULTS?
I recommend that the Commission either stick with its previously adopted "40%/60%"
method, or adopt the corrected 4- factor method that I propose.
Staff's Proposed 20%, Movement to Cost of Service is Inadequate
WHT IS TH ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO STAFF'S PROPOSAL TO MOVE EACH
RATE SCHEDULE 20% TOWAR COST OF SERVICE?
Both Staff witnesses Messrs. Hessing and Schune proposed to limit the movement of
each customer class's rates to 20% of the discrepancy with cost of service, with the
remaining revenue requirement deficiency being made up by spreading the deficiency on
the basis of an equal percentage to each rate class.
iMy issue here is that the Staff proposal once again blunts any meaningful movement
to cost of servce, thereby continuing indefinitely the longstanding inter-class rate
subsidies. The concurrent PCA reduction makes this an ideal time to finally make some
progress toward rate party.
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 8 of16
Case Nos. AVU-E-04-1 and AVU-G-04-1
1 A.Staff justifies its proposal to make minimal progress toward cost of service on the basis
2 of avoiding rate shock. The unortate consequence of limiting rate increases of
3 customer classes curently being subsidized is that it generates a corresponding rate shock
4 to rate classes that are already paying well in excess of cost of service (Potlatch's
5 Lewiston Facilty). For example, staff proposes an overall average rate increase of
6 15.8%. As my char on page 7 of ths testimony points out, the residential class's rates
7 currently generate roughly 20% to 40% of the average rate of retu no matter which
8 cost of service method is adopted. Yet staff proposes to limit the increase to the
9 residential class to 18.8%. On the other hand, Potlatch's current rates generate returns
10 well in excess of the system average return, yet Staffs proposal results in a 14.9% rate
11 increase for Potlatch. Stated another way, depending on the cost of service methodology
12 chosen, Potlatch is generating a rate of retu that is approximately 3 to 5 times that of
i 3 the residential class, but the Staf proposes only a 3.9% difference in the percentage rate
14 increase assigned to the two classes. I respectflly submit this result is neither just nor
15 reasonable.
16 Q.HOW DOES STAFF'S RECOMMENDATION IN THIS CASE SQUARE WITH ITS
17 RECOMMENDATIONS IN THE PAST?
18 A.As I understad it, in the previous A vista general rate increase Staff proposed thee cost
i 9 of service options-to move rates one-third, one-half, or entirely to respective costs of
20 service. The Commission instead selected 20% as the overall cap on the movement to
21 cost of service.
22 Q.DID THAT INITIATIVE IN FACT RESULT IN A PARTIAL CORRCTION OF
23 RELATIVE RATE OF RETU DISPARTY?
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 9 of 16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
1 A.Unfortnately, no. In fact the inter-class subsidy of the residential class has increased,
2 rather than decreased, since the last Avista rate case. Under these circumstances, the rate
3 shock argument is wearng very thin. There has been no progress toward the elimination
4 of this subsidy for roughy five years, and I suspect Stafs proposal, if adopted, will be
5 revealed to produce little or no progress when the next A vista rate case rolls around. I
6 fuly realize ths is a tough issue for the Commission, but the indefinite continuation of a
7 subsidy of ths magnitude is simply intolerable. It is bad economics and bad policy and,
8 at best, it only postpones the day of reckonig when the residential class will ultimately
9 have to pay its full cost of servce, or something very close to it. At that point, the rate
10 shock will be far worse than it would be in this case.
11 Q.AR THERE CIRCUMSTANCES IN TH PRESENT CASE THAT WOULD SOFTE
12 TH RATE IMPACT OF MOVING MORE BOLDLY TOWARD COST OF SERVICE?
13 A.Yes, the proposed PCA reduction provides an offset to any rate increase the Commission
14 ultimately approves. For example, if the Commission adopts the Stafs proposed 15.8%
15 general rate increase, the net increase for the Idaho jursdiction afer the PCA adjustment
16 is only 2.4%. Under Staffs 20% proposal, the net increase in residential rates would be
17 only 5.1 % in ths scenao. There is clearly room to make a more meanngful move than
18 this to equal class rates of retur without causing rate shock.
19 Q.WHAT DO YOU RECOMMEND THAT TH COMMISSION ADOPT IN TERMS OF
20 MOVEMENT TOWARD COST OF SERVICE?
21 A.I recommend that the Commission do two things. First, it should order that customer
22 class rates move 50% toward cost of service in this case. Second, the Commission
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU - Page 10 of 16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
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should express the intent that in subsequent cases, or within 2 year if no general rate
case is fied, rates wil be moved an additional 50% toward cost of service.
Coeur Silver Valley's Direct Assignment of Primary Distribution Costs
I NOTICE YOU DID NOT DISCUSS SCHEDULE 25, THE OTHER CUSTOMER
CLASS THAT APPEARS TO BE REA VIL Y SUBSIDIZED, IN THE PRECEEDING
SECTION OF YOUR TESTIMONY. WHY is THAT?
Afer reading Mr. Anthony Yanel's direct testimony on behalf of Coeur Silver Valley, I
am convinced that all of the cost of servce studies in this case, including my own,
significantly overstate Schedule 25' s cost of service. Mr. Yankel points out that it is
possible and practical to directly identify all those A vista primary facilties necessar to
serve all Schedule 25 customers from the Company's accounting records. Since ths is
possible, Mr. Yanel argues that it is always more accurate to directly assign those
facilties' costs to Schedule 25 customers, rather than average these customer-specific
costs into all other residential and smaller general service customers and then allocate
them on a less accurate basis.
WHAT IS YOUR POSITION WITH RESPECT TO THIS ISSUE?
While I have not fully reviewed Mr. Yanel's analysis, I can state that his position that
directly assigned costs are more accurate than those derived by a computed allocation is
correct.
The reason tht directly assigned costs better reflect cost of service is rather
straightforward. If I can directly identify those investments made specifically to serve a
customer, I can clearly trace both the cause and the costs of those investments to that
customer. Mr. Yanel has identified the direct costs of primary distribution facilities
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 11 oft6
Case Nos. A VU-E-04- i and A VU-G-04-1
used to serve Schedule 25 customers and, as I understand it, proposes to directly assign
2 these identifiable costs to the Schedule 25 class. I certainly agree in principle that this
3 direct assignment is preferable to an indirect cost allocation.
4 According to Mr. Yanel's calculations, this direct assignment of primar distibution
5 facilties signficantly reduces the purrted subsidy of Schedule 25 customers. I have
6 not attempted to verify his calculations. But as I have just noted, Mr. Yanel's
7 adjustment is correct in principle, and uness someone can demonstrte that it has been
8 improperly implemented or calculated, his ultimate conclusion-that Schedule 25's cost
9 of service is overstated-is correct as well.
10 Staffs Proposal to Change Basis for Computing peA Rates
1 I Q.DOES STAFF PROPOSE TO CHANGE THE BASIS UPON WHICH PCA RATES
12 ARE COMPUTED?
13 A.Yes, on pages 22-24 of his testimony, Mr. Hessing proposes that the Commission change
14 from the curent method of spreading peA account balances to customer class rates on an
15 "equa percentage" basis to a method of spreading balances on an equal cents per kwh
16 basis.
17 Q.WHT IS YOUR POSITION ON THIS ISSUE?
18 A.I oppose the proposal on both theoretical and practical grounds. First, I have always
19 argued that power supply costs are not 100% energy or kwh-based and should not,
20 therefore, be spread on an energy-only basis. There is both a fixed or capacity
21 component and a seasonally-differentiated cost component to power supply costs that
22 makes spreading balances on a flat, equal kwh basis inaccurate. Recovering power
REBUTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 12 ofl6
Case Nos. AVU-E-04-J and A VU-G-04-1
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supply adjustments on a per kwh basis is inconsistent with the way we establish base
rates. and should be rejected as a matter of principle.
WHAT IS YOUR PRACTICAL OBJECTION TO THE PROPOSAL?
In theory. whether PCA changes are recovered through percentage changes or energy rate
adjustments should be a matter of indifference to ratepayers. Ifbase rates are properly
set, a customer who pays more under an energy only recovery of a surcharge wil also
receive a proportionately larger benefit from any PCA "rebate," Over the long haul, each
customer's tota PCA exposure should be the same under either recovery method.
But as a practical matter, high load factor customers such as Potlatch who compete in
national or global markets are not really indifferent. Switching to a per kwh recovery
method will make these customers' rates much more volatile, because the surcharges and
rebates will both be greater than under the curent system. In short. their high rates will
be higher and their low rates 10wer under Mr. Hessing's proposal. This is a concern for
Potlatch and other industral customers because it makes business planing and
management more diffcult. Furthermore, rate increases can cause disruptions and losses
that cannot be recovered by corresponding decreases in subsequent years. To cite but one
example, a PCA rate increase can potentially shut an industrial customer off from some
markets or. in an extreme case. render production uneconomic in all markets. Losses like
these are not likely to be adequately compensated by benefits from PCA rebates in good
year.
ARE THERE AN OTHER PRACTICAL PROBLEMS WITH STAFF'S PROPOSAL?
Yes. On page 23, line7 to page 24, line 2, Mr. Hessing carefully explains that, due to the
fact that there are curently positive balances in the PCA accounts, and these accounts
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 13 of 16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04- i and A VU-G-04- i
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were collected on the present equal percentage basis, it would be very unfair to high load
factor customers to now change and attempt to recover these balances on a new, energy
only basis. He proposes that any change approved in the PCA methodology not be
implemented until the present deferral balances are cleard. I simply want to underscore
that this mixing of methods to accumulate and then to recover such balances is potentially
highly prejudicial to high 10ad factor customers unless it is implemented when balances
are essentially zero.
DO YOU HAVE A SECOND RECOMMENDATION REGARING THIS ISSUE?
Yes. If the Commission decides to make the change Mr. Hessing recommends in the
name of consistency, it should take the proposal to its logical conclusion. If the
Commission really believes tht power supply adjustments are incured on a "per kwh"
basis, the "cents per kwh" recovery should be "seasonalizd" on a monthly or quarterly
basis in a maner similar to avoided cost rates. Doing so would allow PCA rates, like
other cost components, to track the actual changes in power costs as they var overthe
year. It is an easy matter to calculate the actual monthly kwh rate that cause the PCA
deferral balances to change, and from this information determine the basis for adjusting
the PCA rate seasonally. All the benefits of cost-causation and price signal
considerations that apply to base customer rates would then apply to PCA rates.
DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR TESTIMONY?
Yes.
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 14 of 16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
I HEREBY CERTIFY that on this 9th day of July 2004, I caused to be served a
true and correct copy of the foregoing document by the method indicated below, and
addressed to the following:
Jean Jewell
Idaho Public Utilties Commission
472 W. Washington Street
P.O. Box 83720
Boise, ID 83720-0074
( ) U.S. Mail
( JJ Hand Delivered
( 1 Overnight Mail
( 1 Facsimile
Scott Woodbur
Lisa Nordstrom
Idaho Public Utilities Commission
472 W. Washington Street
P.O. Box 83720
Boise,ID 83720-0074
swoodbu($puc.state.id. us
Inordst($puc.state.id.us
( ) U.S. Mail
( ./ Hand Delivered
( 1 Overnght Mail
( ) Facsimile
( 1 E-Mail
David J. Meyer
Senior Vice President and General Counsel
A vista Corporation
P.O. Box 3727
1411 E. Mission Ave., MSC-13
Spokane, WA 99220-3727
david.meyer($avistacorp.com
( 1 U.S. Mail
( 1 Hand Delivered
( J1 Overnght Mail
( 1 Facsimile
( 1 E-Mail
Kelly Norwood
Vice President, State and Federal Regulation
A vista Utilties
P.O. Box 3727
1411 E. Mission Ave., MSC-7
Spokane, W A 99220-3727
kelIy.norwood($avìstacorp.com
( ) U.S. Mail
( 1 Hand Delivered
(/1 Overnight Mail
( 1 Facsimile
( 1 E-Mail
Dennis E. Peseau, Ph.D.
Utilty Resources, Inc.
1500 Liberty Street SE, Ste. 250
Salem, OR 97302
dpeseau($excite.com
( ./ U.S. Mail
( 1 Hand Delivered
( ) Overnight Mail
( ) Facsimile
( J E-Mail
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNS E. PESEAU - Page 15 of16
Case Nos. A VU-E-04-1 and A VU-G-04-1
'"
Charles L.A. Cox
EVANS, KEANE
111 Main Street
P.O. Box 659
Kellogg,ID 83837
ccox~usamedia.tv
( ) U.S. Mail
( J Hand Delivered
( J) Overnight Mail
( ) Facsimile
( J E-Mail
Anthony J. Yanel
29814 Lake Road
Bay Vilage, OH 44140
( J U.S. Mail
(JJ Hand Delivered
( J Overnight Mail
( J Facsimile
( J E-Mail
( ) U.S. Mail
( ) Hand Delivered
( J) Overnight Mail
( ) Facsimile
( ) E-Mail
J U.S. Mail
( ) Hand Delivered
( Jj Overnght Mail
( J Facsimile
( ) E-Mail
Brad M. Purdy
Attorney at Law
2019 N. 17th Street
Boise, ID 83702
bmpurdy~otmail.com
Michael Kar
147 Appaloosa Lane
Bellingham, W A 98229
michael~awish.net
REBUTTAL TESTIMONY OF DENNIS E. PESEAU - Page 16 of16
Case Nos. AVU-E-04-1 and AVU-G-04-1
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Edwrd Evett Hale
(1929.1993)
Ste Lane
J. Step Peek
Kaen D. Deison
R. Crag Howrd
Stehen V. Novaek
Riclird 1- E1moie
Ricli Benntt
Alex J. P1anga
Kñtin B. McMillan
Jams 1- Kelly
Kelly Testolin
N. Patrck flanag
Mattew E. Wooad
Michelle D. Mullin
Roge W. Jepon
Lancc C. EarlJem)'J.Norl
Davi A, Garcia
Pr D. Gibs lJ
Elissa f. Cadish
Timotly A. Lukas
fnerk J. Schmdt
James New
David G. LCtlnd
Julia S. Gold
Torr R. Someri
Patrck J. Reily
Sctt D. Flemng
Jerr M. Snyd
Brent C. Eckersley
Frerick R. Batther
PalTcia C. llalstr-4d
Matllew J. Kreutz
Maiicw B, Hippler
Brad M. Jolion
Bry K. KinlinlOlo
Douglas C, P10we
lusin C, Jones
Alexis G. Michaud
Thomas R. Ryan
Dor V. OjiJillva
OfCOUlI...el
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Pauline Ng Lee
Andw Pearl
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ATTORNEYS AT LAW
m East WiUia Strt I Suite 200 I ClIß City. Nevda 89701
Telephone (775) 684.60 1 Facsimile (775) 684-01
Website: hit://www.halelane.com
04 OCT 28 Fri 3: 2 U
October 28, 2004
Ms. Crystal Jackson
Secreta
Public Utilities Commission of Nevada
1150 Wiliam Street
Caron City, NY 89701
Dear Ms. Jackson:
Please accept for filing an original and nine copies of the prefied direct
testimony of Dr. Dennis E. Peseau on behalf of the Souther Nevada Water Authority
in Docket No. 04-8022.
fiing.
Please call Fred Schmidt at 684-6008 if you have any questions regarding this
Sincerly,
-
HALE LANE PEEK DENNISON AND HOWARD
RENO OFFICE: S441 Kietz Lane I Secnd Floor I Re. Nevda 89511 IPhone (775) 327.3000 I Fac.imile (775) 786.6179LAS VEGAS OFFICE: 2300 Wesi Sahara Avenue I Eigth Floor I Box 8 I Las Vegas. Nevad 891021 l1one (702) 222-2500 I Facsimile (702) 365.6940
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04 OCT 28 PH ": 'j 0
BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA . .J t.,
Docket No. 04-8022
Direct Testimony of
Dennis E. Peseau
on behalf of
Southern Nevada Water Authority
1 Q.PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUSINESS ADDRESS.
2 A.My name is Dennis E. Paseau. My business address is Suite 250, 1500
3 Liberty Street, S.E., Salem, Oregon 97302.
4
5 Q.BY WHOM AND IN WHAT CAPACITY ARE YOU EMPLOYED?
6 A.I am President of Utility Resources, Inc. My firm consults on a number of
7 economic, financial and engineenng matters for various private and public
8 entities.
9
10 Q.ON WHOSE BEHALF ARE YOU TESTIFYING IN THIS PROCEEDING?
11 A.I am testifying on behalf of the Southern Nevada Water Authority (SNWA).
12
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DOES ATTACHMENT 1 ACCURATELY DeSCRIBE YOUR BACKGROUND
AND EXPERIENCE?
Yes.
WHAT IS THE PURPOSe" OF YOUR TESTIMONY IN THESE
PROCEEDINGS?
The primary purposes for the SNWA involvement in this case are to re-affrm
its support for Nevada Power's request to have the Commission approve the
HAM 500 kV component of the Centennial Project; to confirm with Nevada
Power that the significant transmission needs of the Colorado River
Commission (CRC) and the SNWA are in no way compromised by any
Company request made in its filing; and to propose that a mutually beneficial
joint ownership between Nevada Power and the SNWA of the HAM 500 kV
project be considered and Nevada Power be ordered to report back to the
Commission the results of discussions with SNWA to consider such a joint
ownership option. Ms. Gail Bates describes in more detail the second issue of
confirming levels and reliability of CRC/SNWA needs.
WHAT CONCLUSIONS HAVE YOU REACHED?
I conclude that:
1. Nevada Power's technical studies in this case confirm the
economic and engineering superiority ofthe HAM 500 kv project
over altematives. However, there are important unresolved
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33 APPROVE THE HAM 500 KV PROJECT
e e
questions regarding the amount of the line that wil be
subscnbed. The SNWA therefore conditions its support for the
HAM project on the successful discussion on joint ownership Idiscuss below. '
2.The Commission should require in these proceedings that
Nevada Power commit to providing to the CRC/SNWA all
contractual and generally åccepted levels of transmission
service necessary to protect the integrity of the Southern
Nevada water system and represent that the proposed removal
of the previously approved McCullough 500/250 kV transformer
and the Clark Substation from the HAM 500 kV project would
not affect service to CRC/SNWA.
3.The Commission should encourage Nevada Power to
immediately investigate the feasibilty of and discuss with the
CRC/SNWA the joint development and ownership of the HAM
500 kV project to identify the potential mutual benefits for
Nevada Power shareholders, ratepayers and SNWA and water
purveyor customers summanzed below. The Commission
should order Nevada Power to report back to the Commission
within 90 days the results of such discussions. I believe this to
be a "win-win" opportunity for all parties.
4.The SNWA does not oppose Nevada Power's request to keep
the $15.56 millon in investment reduction due to cancellation of
the McCullough transformer component of the HAM project by
placing this sum into the contingency fund, but requests that this
sizeable sum be sep~rately earmarked as a budget line item, to
be used only for newly identified facilties, not merely cost
overrns on existing planned facilities.
34
35 Q.WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO COMMISSION APPROVAL OF
36 THE PROPOSED HAM 500 KV PROJECT?
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The Action Plan contained in the Company's proposed Third Amendment
Filng (Pages 2-3) requests among other things that the Commission reaffrm
its approval of the HAM 500 kV project.
WHAT IS THE SNWA'S POSITION ON THIS REQUEST?
The SNWA considers this HAM 500 kV component of the overall Centennial
Project to be extremely important for the long-term economics and reliability
of Nevada Power's electric system.
The HAM 500 kV project is an important enhancement to southern
Nevada's transmission network and is an ideal facilty to integrate future
facilities needed by SNWA to power the existing and planned water system
infrastructure. The HAM 500 kV line is considered so important that the
SNWA requests that it be allowed to assist in its financing, and development
and ownership with Nevada Power, as I explain below.
HAVE YOU REVIEWED THE TRASMISSION ALTERNATIVES TO THE
HAM 500 KV PROJECT STUDIED BY NEVADA POWER IN ITS THIRD
AMENDMENT FILING?
Yes. On Pages 6-12 of the direct testimony of Nevada Power witness Larr
Luna, and Pages 8-11 of the Third Amendment, the Company discuses the
numerous advantages of the HAM 500 kV project over five alternative
transmission projects. While I am not a transmission engineer, the clear
findings that the HAM 500 kV project is cost competitive, has greater capacity
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Commission's affrmative role in bringing about the recent highly successful
sale of power from SNWA's Silverhawk combined cycle plant to Nevada
Power as an example of benefits which can be derived with Commission
ordered encouragement. The expected outcome of joint ownership of the HAM
500 kV project has even greater benefits to Nevada Power's customers and
shareholders, as well as SNWA's, and its member agencies' customers.
WHY SHOULD THE COMMISSION REQUIRE THAT A STUDY OF THE
BENEFITS OF JOINT OWNERSHIP OF THE HAM 500 KV PROJECT
BETWEEN NEVADA POWER AND THE SNWA BE UNDERTAKEN?
The prospect of such joint ownership is, in my opinion. clearly a "win-win"
sitation, for at least the economic and planning reasons I list below.
WHY IS SNWA SEEKING JOINT OWNERSHIP?
The SNWA is unique among other parties or customers that either "buy fmmii
or "sell into" Nevada Power's system. The SNWA is neither a usual customer
of nor usual generator of electricity. The SNWA certainly has, and distributes
to, large loads in the Nevada Power system. But the SNWA also has a 125
MW interest in the Silverhawk generating plant and the eRe, largely on the
SNWA's behalf, owns the extensive River Mountains transmission facilities
located in Nevada Power's service territory. The large and regionally
disparate loads served by the SNWA and the necessity of moving power in
different directions depending. on Silverhawk and other power source
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availabilty make partial ownership of the HAM 500 kV project by SNWA a
significant opportunity upon which to build up its water system infrastructure in
coming years. Simplifing somewhat, the SNWA must, in order to meet the
growth in demand for water that it faces, both develop water sources distant to
the Las Vegas Valley and be in a position to obtain and distribute electric
power to its new water sources in order to pump such supplies to market.
WHAT INCREASES IN SNWA ELECTRIC LOADS ARE ANTICIPATED TO
SERVE THESE DEVELOPMENTS?
While the estimates are preliminary and subject to change, the electnc power
eventually expected to be required for new water resource development is in
excess of 150 MW of new load in addition to load growth associated with use
of the existing water system. A 10% ownership of the HAM 500 kv project
would well serve these SNWA pumping requirements.
WHAT POSITIVE FINANCIAL BENEFITS DO YOU FORESEE FROM JOINT
OWNERSHIP OF THE HAM 500 KV LINE?
Due to the present excellent credit standing of the SNWA, its abilty to finance
100% with low cost debt and the present huge capital expenditure budget of
Nevada Power, I expect a number of positive financial outcomes to develop:
· The financial community and leading credit rating agencies wil
perceive this joint ownership as a win-win for investors since it
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1 reduces near~term huge capital requirements, improving times
2 interest coverage ratios, liquidity and lowers debt costs.
3
4 · The SNWA's wilingness to discuss means to better integrate
5 the existing CRC/SNWA and Nevada Power transmission
6 systems provides opportunities for additional import capabilty,
7 system reliabilty as additional interconnection to CRC and
8 SNWA's existing transmission is developed.
9
10 · Opportunities to study the potential for the SNWA to finance
11 additional ownership portions of the HAM 500 kV line and
12 transfer benefits "at cost" to Nevada Power could greatly benefit
13 . both investors and ratepayers.
14
15 I offer the above not as an exhaustive list of benefits, but as a few examples of
16 many possible mutual benefits to the parties from sitting down and
17 constructively studying these opportunities.
18
19 Q. WHAT FRACTION OF NEVADA POWER'S TOTAL CAPITAL
20 EXPENDITURES BUDGET WOULD A PROPOSED 10% JOINT
21 OWNERSHIP BY SNWA COMPRISE?
22 A. The relief to Nevada Power's shareholders and customers of the reduction
23 in the Company's near-term capital budget is modest. For example, at a
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budget of approximately $100 milion for the completion of the HAM 500 kV
project, a 10% joint ownership by the SNWA reduces the near-term budget
by $ 10 millon. This amount is, of course, a smaller percentage of Nevada
Powets overall capital budget of nearly $ 300 milion per year.
But the absolute percentage relief in Nevada Powets capital budget
is not the prime consideration here. The announcement effect to investors
and credit rating agencies that Nevada Power, its regulators and its
customers are encouraging ways to stem the trend in excessively
leveraged investment requirements wil improve the Company's investment
standing.
To the extent that this joint venture opens Nevada Power to
additional investment opportunities to invest in interconnections and
infrastructure not otherwise available, investors wil understand that this
joint venture does not deny present investment opportunities, but rather
shifts them into near-term future opportunities when Nevada Power is in an
even better financial condition to invest in such assets.
IS THE SNWA INDICATING A WILLINGNESS TO COOPERATE TO
PURSUE PROJECTS OF USE TO NEVADA POWER AS WELL?
Yes, and while I am not providing a list of specific items, certainly a study of
interconnection possibilities between Nevada Power and the CRC/SNWA
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would identify such details. There are apparently very significant joint projects
that deserve further study to determine whether they can be undertaken .
IS JOINT OR MULTIPLE OWNERSHIP OF TRANSMISSION FACILITIES
RARE?
No. Throughout the United States, multiple ownership of high voltage
transmission lines is common. For example, the huge AC and DC
transmission lines connecting the Pacific Northwest with Northern and
Southern California, having a capacity of several thousand megawatts, are
owned by multiple public and private entities which work together to optimize
the physical and ecnomic operation of the transmission system.
IS PARTIAL OWNERSHIP OF THE HAM 500 kV PROJECT AN UNUSUAL
UNDERTAKING FOR AN ENTITY LIKE THE SNWA?
No, not at all. As I have stated, the SNWA,does not fit the simple profile of an
energy consumer. The SNWA is faced with the tasks of enhancing and
developing new souræs of water supplies to Southern Nevada. It is unique
among other entities and customers in this regard. Joint ownership now of the
HAM 500 kV project would greatly reduce the costs and administrative
burdens to the SNWA and Nevada Power in numerous OA TT and other filings
before FERC and this Commission.
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WHAT SPECIFIC ACTIONS DO YOU REQUEST OF THE COMMISSION
WITH RESPECT TO THE HAM PROJECT IN THESE PROCEEDINGS?
SNWA requests that the Commission encourage Nevada Power to meet with
SNWA to discuss the possibilty of joint ownership of the HAM 500 kV project
and order Nevada Power to report back to the Commission the results of such
discussions within 90 days of the date of the Order of the Commission in this
docket.
WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO NEVADA POWER'S REQUEST
TO KEEP THE $15.56 MILLION IN BUDGET FOR THE CANCELLED
MCCULLOUGH TRASFORMER?
On page 3, lines 9.26 of his testimony, Nevada Power witness Mr. Luna
requests that the Company be allowed to cancel the addition of a $15.56
transformer that was previously seoped and budgeted for the HAM 500 kV
project. But, rather than reduce the previous budget by the amount of $15.56
millon, he instead requests that this amount simply be added to the
Centennial Project's Risk and Contingency budget. The overall budget
therefore remains unchanged.
WHAT IS YOUR RECOMMENDATION TO THIS $15.56 MILLION
REQUEST?
The SNWA does not oppose keeping these funds available, but requests that
this sizeable sum be separately earmarked as a budget line item, to be used
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only for newly identifed facilities, not merely cost overrns on existing planned
facilties.
DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR TESTIMONY?
Yes.
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AFFIRTION
I, Denns E. Peseau, pursuant to NAC 703.710 hereby affir that the foregoing preare
testimony was prepared by me or under my direction and is correct to the best of my knowledge.
1L,~Dennis E. Peseau
Dated:10-28-01
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ATTACHMENT 1
e Achment1
Page 1 of3
STATEMENT OF OCCUPATIONAL AND
EDUCATIONAL HISTORY AND QUALIFICATIONS
DENNIS E. PESEAU
Dr. Peseau has conducted economic and financial studies for regulated
industries for the past twenty-eight years. In 1972, he was employed by Southern
California Edison Company as Associate Economic Analyst. and later as Economic
Analyst. His responsibilties included review of financial testimony, incremental cost
studies, rate design, econometncestimation of demand elasticities and various areas
in the field of energy and economic growt. Also, he was asked by Edison Electrical
Institute to study and evaluate several prominent energy moels as part of the Ad
Hoc Committee on Economic Growt and Energy Pricing.
From 1974 to 1978, Dr. Peseau was employed by the Public Utilty
Commissioner of Oregon as Senior Economist. There he conducted a number of
economic and financial studies and prepared testimony pertining to public utilities.
In 1978 Dr. Peseau established the Northwest offce of Zinder
Companies, Inc. He has since submited testimony on economic and financial
matters before state regulatory commissions in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryand,
Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, Washington, Wyoming, the Distnct of Columbia, the
Bonnevile Power Administration and the Public Utilites Board of Albert on over one
e ~chment1
FJge 20f3
hundred ocsions. He has conducted marginal cost and rate design studies and
prepared testimony on these matters in Alaska, Califrnia, Idaho, Maryand,
Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, Washington and in the District of Columbia. He has
also conducted cost and rate studies regarding PURPA issues in the states of
Alaska, California, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New York, Washington, and
Washington, D.C.
Dr. Peseau holds the B.A., M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in economics.
He has coauthored a bok in the field of industnal organization entitled,
Size. Profits and Executive Compensation in the Large Corporation, which devotes
a chapter to regulated industries.
Dr. Peseau has published articles in the following professional journals:
Review of Economics and Statistics, Atlantic Economic Journal, Journal of Financial
Management, and Journal of Regional Science. His articles have been read before
the Econometric Society, the Western Economic Association, the Financial
Management Associatin, the Regional Science Association and universities in the
United Kingdom as well as in the United States.
He has guest lectured on marginal costing methods in seminars in New
Jersey and California for the Center of Professional Advancement. He has also
guest lectured on cost of capital for the public utlity industry before the Pacifc Coast
e _chment 1
Page 30f3
Gas and Electric Association, and for the Executive Seminar at the Colgate Darden
Graduate School of Business, Universit of Virginia.
Dr. Peseau and his firm have partcipated with and been members of the
American Economic Association, the American Financial Association, the Western
Economic Association, the Atlantic Economic Association and the Financial
Management Association. He was formerly a member of the Staff Subcommitee on
Economics of the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners.
Dr. Peseau has been President of Utility Resources, Inc. since 1985.
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~O.ON..11o:.~~
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500 coa+¿1 13
.~ ß 4)gooz
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~.. 0 16II rt ~5~u 17,-h..o t"
o¡ t"18ii
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CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
e
I hereby certify that I have this day served a copy of the foregoing DIRECT TESTIONY OF
DENNS E. PESEAU ON BEHALF OF SNWA in Docket No. 04- 8022 upon each of the paries listed
below by facsimile servce as follows:
Conne Westadt
Sierr Pacific Power Company
6100 Neil Road
P.O. Box 10100
Reno, NY 89520-0024
Facsimile (775) 834-4811
Sherr McDonad, Manger
Regulatory Servces
Sierra Pacific Power Company
6100 Neil Road
P.O. Box 10100
Reno, NV 89520-0024
Facsimile (775) 834-481 1
Mar Simmons
Sierr Pacific Power Company
6100 Neil Road
P.O. Box 10100
Reno, NY 89520-0024
Facsimle (775) 834-48 11
Staff Counsel
Public Utilties Commission
1150 E. Wiliam Street
Caron City, NV 89701-3109
Facsimile (775) 687-6110
Alaina Burtenshaw
Public Utilties Commission
101 Convention Center Drive, Suite 250
Las Vegas, NV 89109
Facsimile (702) 486-7206
Tim Hay, Consuer Advocte
Bureau of Consumer Protection
1000 E. Wiliam St., #200
Caron City, NY 89701-3117
Facsimile (775) 687-6304
;:ODMA\POOS\LRNODOS\ 14968\1 Page 1 of2
.e .
I Gerad Lopez
2
Senior Deputy Attorney General
Colorado River Commission
3 555 E. Washington Ave., Suite 3100
Las Vegas, NY 89101-1065
4 Facsimile (702) 486-2695
5 Bil Kockenmeiser, Esq.
6
6005 Plumas St.~ Suite 301
Reno, NV 89509
7 Facsimile (775) 829-6165
8 Patnck V. Fagan Esq.
Allson, MacKenze, Russell, et al
9 P.O. Box 646
~o 10
Caron City, NV 89702
Facsimile (775) 882-7918~o
o C' ..11c: So Charles Hauser,.- l"Southern Nevada Water Authority1 :: 0\12l' 00
i: If-3 100 i S. Valley View Blvd.
g ~ t'13 Las Vegas, NV 89153
'B ~Facsimile (702) 258-3803l'Z 14
Q.si
15 Dennis Peseau..-'1"o~()Utilty Resources4) =.c .. 0 16 1500 Libert St., Suite 250
i~~Salem~ OR 97302
. i- I"17 Facsimile (503)370-9566ul"
'; r-18 Jacqueline Rombardoc:
19 BCP
1000 E. Wiliam St., Suite 200
20 Caron City, NV 89701
Facsimile (775) 687-6304
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Date this 'Z6lk day of Octobe, 2004.
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::ODMA\PCOO\HLRN0OO14968\1 Page 2 of2
...
;t,4~ ..
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It'._'.,, .. ;-. ~.,,." ..', . RECEl'lt:O t-~'
BEFORE TH PUBLIC UTIITIES COMMSION OF~~WP~S ,~OH!;t,,:~l?~i. . . . .-. . ,", ""; .
03 SEP 1-9 AM 10= 36
In re Application ofNEV ADA POWER COMPANY to )
Amend its Amended Demand-Side Plan of Action for its )
Refied 2000 Resource,Plan. )
)
Docket No. 03-6056
In re Filng by NEVADA POWER COMPAN FOR
Approval of its 2003-2021 Electc Resource Plan. .
)
) CDÕek"'t'No:-03'ö700::
)
i
PREPAR TESTIMOmOF
DENIS E. PESEAU
~,/" Submitted by:
~~.Fre SClini4t ".
Hale Lane Peek Dennson an Howa
777 Eas Wiliam Stret, Suite 200
Carn City, NV 89701
(775) 684-6000
Attrneys for
SOUTHRN NEVADA WATER AUlHORITY.
.'e.e
1 . Q. WH~T TYPE OF IICUSTOMIZED PRODUCTS" DOES NEVADA poweR
2 INDICATE rT NEEDS TO FILL ITS OPEN POSITION?
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A.In VoJume IV, the Load Fore~ast and Market Fundamentals, Page 17, the
Company describes the need for power products for capacity and energy of
relatively narrow intervals of a few hours to meet needle peaking nature of it
6 . system.
7 Q. DO THE WATER PUMPERS HAVE THE ABILITY TO PROVIDE NEV~DA'
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POWER WITH SIGNIFICANT QUANTITIES OF SUCH. CUST,OMIZED
. PRODUCTS?
10 A.. Yes. The water pumpers have a significant amount of both demand side and
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supply side products. The abilty to provid~ these custom proQucts. ~s, af
course, subject to, Nevada Power's willngness to take advantage of such
opporlùnitiEs.
14 . Q. PLEASE GENERALLY DESCRIBE THE POSSIBLE DEMAND SIDE AND
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SUPPLY SIDE CUSTOM PRODUCTS .THAT COULD BE OFFERED BY ..
WATER PUMPERS.
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17 A.Demand side prod.ucts include those that provide. the abilty for Neva~a Power
. to avoid purcl)asing otherwise. scarce and expensive on~peak power supplies... ..18
19.In the case of the retail water pumping loads served by Nevada Power, under
appropriate terms and conditons, the water pumpers can interrupt capacit' .20
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facility located at Apex, Nevada. . The energy produced from this locàl
generator is capable of shaping to accommodate a maximum. of output,
consumption in the off peak for water pumping, leaving the plants peak
capacity and energy available for customers of Nevada Power~
Finally, Nevada Power is requesting in its filing to êxpend $500,000
over the next two years to study the feasibilty of an undesignated coal plarat.
As part of its ongoing efforts to minimize energy costs and satisfy its gro~ing. .
. , load requirement, the SNWA for some time hås been exploring the economic, .
feasibilit of owning a share of a coal plant and has already committed
$1,000,000 to study new coal generation feasibilty. Just as Nevada Power's,
Reid Gardner 4. coal plant Jointly owned .by Nevada Power a.nd the water
pumping California State Agency (DWR) is an example of a succes~ful
private/publicpartnership in electric generation, the study of a 'cò.venture
between Nevada Power and the SNWA could be very beneficial to Southern
Nevada. It is also important to reconize that SNWA's DoubleM- credit '
rating from Standard & Poor's is certinly unique among power producers aliØ
'electric utilties in general.
Q.WHAT DO YOU SPECIFICALLy'RECOMMEND? .
, A,Nevada Power should pursue resource options with SNWA and report back
to the Commission within six months or at least prior to the 2004 peaking
season. In the interim, the Commission should defer approval of Nevada
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and energy supplied for most of their internal load requirement for four or so
hours on summer peak days. Of course, this doesn't even up to include
several hundred additional MWs of SNWA load supplied by'CRC. Nevada
Power was unable to locate and purchase this type of custom product in the
past few summer seasons.
Another very valuable demand side custom product potentially available
to Nevada Power is an enhanced abilty to protect system reliabilty ,by
coordination of load shedding abilities off of SNWA transmission laterals und~r
instances of system emergencies.
Q.WHAT WATER PUMPING RESOURCES ARE POTENTIALLY AVAILABLE
TO FILL NEVADA POWER'S OPEN POSITION?
A.In the near-term, the water pumpers either have, or wil have substantial power
under contract to meet its own loads that are not served by Nevada' Power.
Typically. the economics of minimizing costs dictates that the power provided
under these contract be .shaped into a maximum amount of off peak usage
for water pumping, and the remainder resold into higher priced peak
,
wholesale markets. This large amount of peak capacity and energy product
is likely to be a near pertect match'to fill Nevada Power's needle p~akirigload
profile.
By next summer, the SNWA intends to add to its power supply program
the 125. megawatt share of the Silverhawk combined cycle combustion turbine
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1 Powets three. year action plan request for approval of $500,000 on a coal. . . .
2 project feasibi!it study.
3 NEVADA POWER'S CAPITAL EXPENDITURE BUDGET IS AT RISK
4 . Q. . WHAT 15 THE ISSUE WITH RESPEC.TTO NevADA POWER'S PROPOSED
'5 , CAPITAL EXPENDITURE BUDGET?
A.Even with a modest level of required capital expenditures Nevada PQwer
would be challenged to finance investment on reasonable terms at reasonable
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.: cost~. Nevada Powets projected budget for capital expenditures is anything
but modest. Table 4-3, page 298 of Technical Appendix II in the Company's
filing reflect the following total capital budget:
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1'Capital.
12 Year Re.guire'ment
13 2004 $347,435,000
14 2005 .448,151,000
15 2006 448,505,000
16 2007 399,885,000
17 2008 440,861,000
18 2009 566,409,000
19 2010 477,753,000
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,Attachment -A of the Company response to Bep 2-28; inctuded as my
Exhibit.,_.(DEP-1). breaks down the annual capital investment by function. For
the period of the Action Plan. 2004-:2006 alone, the capital requirements are
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1 $ 1.2 billon. The issue is whether Nevada Power's desire to begin iss,uing
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dividends of $53 millon per year, beginning January 1, 2004 is consistent
with the financial stature necessary to raise, such large amounts of capital
while maintaining a healthy capital structure", .
5, .Q.
6 A.
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WHAT IS A HEALTHY CAPITAL STRUCTURE?
A healthy capitl structure is a balanced proportion of outstanding debt ,~nd
common equity suffcient to attr,act additional 'capital- both debt and equity:-
on reasonable terms. Nevada Power for years has had far'too much debt,
also termed excessive "leverage", in itS' capitl structure. Recognizing 'this
high degree of le,verage, and the reluctance of Nevada Power to issue ample
, common stock, the Commission .in Docket 02-4037 prohibited the CQmp~ny
from issuing dividends to Sierra Pacific Resources until either thè Company
hit a target of 42% equity ratio as a perèEmtage of total capital. or becemb,er
31,2003.
.'.
15 Q. WHAT IS THE CURRENT EQUITY RATIO OF NEVADA POWER?
16 A. 35%; as indicated on page 82 of Volume Vl of the Integrated Resource Pla~
'17 2003.
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.1 Q.WHAT ARE THE FINANCIAL CONSEQUENCES OF THE 3~%. EQUITY
: ..2 RATIO?
3 A.There are two very negative consequences attched to this row equity ratio.
4.One, the low equity ratio means too high of a debt ratio. Too high of a debt
.'
5 ratio raises the interest rate which Nevada Power must pay for new qebt..
6 . Second, the low equit ratio disqualifies Nevada Power from regajning
7 investment grade credit .ratings. Nevada Powets debt is currently raie~.at
8 åjunk..level, or below investmel1t grade.
..
9 Q.DOES NEVADA POWER HAVE A TARGET. EQUITY RATIO?
10 A.Yes.The Company's target equity ratio. is 42% (page 82, Vol. Vi, IRP).
11 Nevada Power indicates that a 44% actual equity ratio is needed to. regain
..12 investment grade ratings (pagé 85, Vol. Vi, IRP).
13 Q. HOW IS THE EQUITY RATIO INeREASED?
14 A. The equit ratio can be increased by financing the capital budget with new
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issuances of common stock, and/or through internally generatèd funds in the
form of retained earnings.
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1 . Q. DOES NEVADA POWER INTEND TO ISSUE NEW COMMON STOCK?
2 A.. No, not until at least the year 2010. My Ex~ibit..jDEP-2) reproduces .thè
3 external financing plans of the Company (pg. 298, Tech. App.lI). All financing- ,.
4 .prior to 2010 is debt.
5 Q. DOES NEVADA POWER INTEND TO' REDUCE ITS EXTERNAL
6 . FINANCINGS BY MAXMIZING INTERNAllY GENERATED c;APITAL
FUNDS?7
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A.No. Nevada Power intends to rèduce its intemally.generated funds by åt least
. $ 53 milion per year .and issue a like amount to its parent in the form of
divdends for years 2004, 2005 and 2006 (pg. 80, Financial Plan, Vol~ VI).
,.
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11 Q TOWHÄT OTHER PURPOSE SHOULD NEVADA POWER APPLYTHE $ 53
. 12 MILLION PER YEAR IN DIVIDENDS?
13 A. .. A more prudent use of the annual cash of $ 53 millon is to reduce the annual
14 amount of projected debt issuances by an eqùal amount., Nevada Power
15 presently and wil for years fåce a diffcult market for its debt. In its most,
16 recent finance docket. Nevada Power had to refinance unsecured .6% debt for
17 secured 9% debt despite the fact that market interest rates had not moved.
18 Nevada power's plan to issue $ 53 milion in dividends to its parent simply
19 . removes this amount of otherwise readily available capital from internal funds
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and requires a like amount of expensive, poorly rated debt to be issued,
further .Iowering its equity ratio.
3 . Q. WILl NEVADA POWER FACE ADDITIONAL DEMANDS FOR ITS CASH IN
4 THE NEAR FUTURE?
A.. .Yes., Unless the recent decision of the U.S.. bankruptcy court is reversed,
Nevada Power wil need approximately $ 229 millon in cash in the nearfuture.
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7 Q. WHAT PRACTICAL CONSEQUENCES WILL RESULT FROM NEVADA
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POWER'S DIVIDEND PROPOSAL?
A.The proposed dividends and their êffect of rèducing the already low equit
10 ., , ratio. wil significantly increase the likelihood that Nevada Power wil. ~ot be
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able to meet the level of capital expenditures contained in its resourcèplan.
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With its 3000 megawatt open position and its modest amount of self owned
generation, the transmission and generation expenditures in the budget are
crucial for mainiaining system .reliabilty in southern Nevada.. As was the .
position in the last resource pla~ docket, the SNWA continues to recommend.
that the capital budget be maintained at the highest levels. In particular. .16
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Nevada Power should conserve its internal funds to ensure the timely
completion of the Centennial Transmission Project prior to the 2007 peak.
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NEVADA POWER'S REQUEST FOR PRE-APPROVAL'
OF DEFERRED ENERGY COSTS SHOULD BE 'DENIED
.
Q. WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO NEVADA POWER'S REQUEST
TO HAVE THE COMMISSION IN THESE PROCEEDINGS PRE-APPROVE
COST RECOVERY REVIEWED IN DEFERRED ENERGY.AND GENERAL
RATE CASES?
A. T~roughout the Company filing, the request is made to approve a
"Recommended Gas Hedging Strategy".1 While resource plans, action plans,
strategies and specific 3-year capital expenditures are normal!y in the purview
of IRP proceedings, the Company requests regarding the approval. of a uGas
. .
Hedging Strategy" apparently goes far beyond resource plan proce~dings., .
Nevada Power's request is actually for the pre-approval of several hundred
millon dollars of natural gas costs for gas. yet to be purchased, but normally. , . .
reviewed in deferred energy proceedings.
Q.PLEASE EXPLAIN.
A.Nevada Power's proposed Hedging Strategy requests approval fortwo distinct
expenses: one, the recovery of natural gas costs in 2004 incurred for both its .
own plants and the cost of the e'~ctricit purchased through the anticipated
tollng agreements to fin its 3000 megawatt open position and, two, recovery
for the expenses attributable to the prop~sed call option~ on 100% of the gas
1 SeèApplication Pages 7-8; Yachira. Page 6. L1nes 17.21; Ivery, Page 3, Lines 6-9; Action Plan, Pages
2-3; Vol. I. Page 16; Vol. II. Pages 2, 45.
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for both its plants and tolled purchases at a strike price that is $0.50 "out..f-
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5 Q. ARE FUEL AND FUEL ACQUISITION COSTS NORMALLY APPROVED IN
6 'ADVÅNCE OF PURCHASES?
7 A., No, in the several fuel cost recovery proceedings in which I have participated,. . . .
8 . recovery of fuel costs is granted subsequent ,to the actual incurring, of these
9 , costs.
10, Q., ARE FUEL AND FUEL ACQUisitiON COSTS USÚÀLL Y APPRÒVED IN
"11, RESOURCE PLANNING PROCEEDINGS?" '
12 A. No, not in Nevada. .
13 ' Q. PLEASE ESTIMATE THE LEVEL OF FUEL AND F~EL ACQUISITION
14 EXPENSES FOR 2004 ALONE THAT THE COMPANY IS SEEKING.
15 A.The following table summarizes the four distinct areas of
' cost recovery lhet '
.16 Nevada Power is. requesting for fuel and fuel acquisition costs: '
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Annual Exp~nse
(milions)
Natural Gas for Own Generation 1
Call Options for Own Generation2
Exposure for Tolled Generaliòn3
.Call ,Options for Tolled Generation"
$196
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370
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Total. NPC Cost Recovery Request $6Ó4 milion
As shown in the table, the single point fuel cost estimate for the 2004 recovery
request of Nevada Power is $604 milion, which includes the cost of physical
: gas and hedges .for its own generation resources, plus the cost of physical ga~
and hedges for the gas that is procured for the tollng agreements associated
with the proposed RFP. The estimate assumes that the cost of call options
is only $.025 per mcf and the tallng capacit factor is 45%, each of which 'may .
be conservative.
Q.WHAT APPROXIMATE AMOUNT OF THE TOTAL DEFERRED ÈNERGY
COSTS NORMALLY REVIEWED IN DEFERRED ENERGY COST.
PR.OCEEDINGS DOES THE $604 MILLION REPRESENT?
1Psge 3~. voi. II
2Assumed $.25 price of option altough it is likely this number's much higher. .
3Exhibit ~ (DEP.3)
4Assumed $.25 price of option although it is likely this number is much higher.
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1 A. Up to 80% when compared to total fuel and purchased power BTER expenses'
2 in Docket No. 02-11021. The only significant remaining costs left aut of this
3 ';hedging strategy" are those associated with coal, oil and certain. other
4 miscellaneous items. Most of the purchased power (tollng) and natural gas
5 costs are included in the hedging strategy.
6 Q. WHAT iS YOUR RECOMMENDATION WITH REGARD TO APPROVING
7 THE HEDGING STRATEGY?
8 A. The hedging strategy is nothing mare than making natural gas purchases .on .
9 the spot market at market prices, with a call aptian for strike prices. out of the
10 money. I recommend that the Commission defer any explicit or. implicit ..
11 approval of the costs incurred as a result of any purchasing. and hedging
12. strategy to the next deferred eriergy cost proceedings.
13
14 DEFER DECISION ON PRUDENCE OF COSTS OF GAS CALL OPTIONS
15 Q. WHAT IS THE ISSUE REGARDING NEVADA POWER'S RECOVERY OF
16 THE COSTS IT INCURS TO SECURE CALL OPTIONS FOR NATURAL
17 GAS?
18 A. In the previous deferred energy proceeding, Nevada Power indicated that,
19 while call options pravidè protection, they have a significant cost (Reid
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Deposition, Exhibit 2) the October 15, 2001 memo toRN1C. Given the
significant cost of call options then, Nevada Power decided to cover a small
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portion of its natural gas purchases with these options. T~e issue here is
whether the Commission in this resource plan proceeding should authorize or. .
endorse the level of costs that the Company would incur in going' now to a
100% call option strategy..
. '5 Q. WHAT WILL BE NEVADA POWER'S COST OF CALL OPTIONS UNDER
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ITS 100% PROPOSAL IN THE RECOMMENDED GAS HËDGING.
. STRATEGY?
A.We, of course, don't know in advance. In Nevad~ Power testimony rlÌ rJcket
No. 02-11021, the Company indicated that "collar options" which are less, .
expensive than the call options proposed in its Recommended strategy, we,re
5-10 cents per mcf (Reid, Direct, Page 5, Lines 13~14l as modified órally at
hearings).
The cost of natural gas call options as of the time ,of the writing of. my . .
testimony was between. 70 cents and 84 cents per met for December 2003
natural gas. Call options for periods beyond December would be much
higher., ,
As an "orders of magnitude" estimate for,the call options propnsed by ., .
Nevada Power, i use a 7.5 cent per met cost, and the gas quantities I
developed in Exhibit ~ (DEP-3). The estimate of the cost of j'ust these
financial instruments, with no physical gas associated wih it, is.$85 millon per
year (.75/5 · 566).
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2
Q.HOW DO YOU RECOMMEND THE ISSUE OF THE RECOVERY OF CALL
OPTION COSTS BE CONSIDERED BY THE COMMISSION?
3 A.First, I recommend that Nevada Power provide additional testimony on its
4 position on this issue, given that the market price for call options. has .
5 increased so much from the time its strategy was originated.
6 Second, 'given the uncertainty and t~emendous costs today of. call
7 options, the Commission should defer any decision on the appropriate levels. .
8 . of options costs into the more appropriate setting of the deferrd energy
9. proceedings. In this way the timing and prudence of the options could be. . . .
10 appropriately evaluated...
.11 . REQUIRE ADDITIONAL ANALYSIS BEFORE
12 LOCKING INTO 100% LONG TERM CONTRACTS. .
,.13 .Q. WHAT IS THE ISSUE REGARDING NEVADA POWER'S REQUEST TO BE
14 AUTHORIZED TO ENTER LONG~ TERM PURCHASED POWER
CONTRACTS TO FILL ITS LARGE OPEN POSITION?15
16 A.. Nevada Powets request for approval of its long-term RFP process and a.
18
100% hedged position for its financial gas exposure will lock ratepayers into
a huge financial. commitment.
17
19 I am generally not opposed to a considerable intermediate or long-term
purchased power position, but any such decisions must be weig~ed with risk
and portolio mix considerations.. The issue is whether the timing of this ..
20
21
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20
A.
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resource plan coupled with the extremely weak finance position of Nevada. .
Power make this a prudent time to lock significantly into lorig-term RFP
contract.
Q.PLEASE EXPLAIN.
A.Prior proceedings, have made evident. the very weak. finàncial position of
Nevada Power and the credìt.risk considerations that all vendors will ~eigh.
when proposing to sell to Nevada Power.' Credit-risk premiums grow
exponeritialfy with time. Thus, the terms and conditions under which a power .
supplier would sell to Nevada Power must become much more onerous u~der
a ten year contract than under, say, a one~year summer peaking contract.
The proposed toiling agreements have little effect on these risk premiums.
Q.WHAT IS YOUR RECOMMENDATION ONTHE ISSUE OF NEV~DAPOWER
LOCKING INTO SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LONG. TERM PURCHASED
POWER CONTRACTS?
The actual dégree to which customers are going to be asked to assume a
credit risk premium cannot be known until the long term RFP process is:
completed and Nevada Power has filed its Amended Plan. I urge the .
Commission to set aside suffcient time to evaluate the results of this process. .
and order any changes to the purchased power resource mix that it concludes
is warranted.
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1 Q. DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR DIRECT TESTIMONY?
2 A. Yes:'
-26-
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Exhibit (DEP 2)
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Yen Debt Jlr~m'ÐlClUr Tr.tl
2003 iso,oo .... '. 350,002.10000 ...100,(1
20$.......~203.00 ....203.00
200 179,00 .." ..I7MlO..;."200 264.00 . '.~~,OO20690,00 ....00,00
2010 (132.00)..44Ó;o'.' .30&00
2011 oiSS.CJ ..199.00 ßl.ÐO
:101i 152.00 ...n5.00 261.00 .
2013 71fI ..-'5400 U1.00
2014 186.00 ..133.00 31l.ÐO
~i$17200 ..124ÐO 298.00
ioi6 161.00 ..- 1J6.00 "11,00
2017 n.oø ..5200 12.4,(1
2l)iS I~OO ...is.oo 20.00
2.019 l~OO ..&5.00 241.00
202 109,00 ..5.00 114.00
101 (1,00).(1.00 (200)
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AFFIRMATION
e
I, Dennis E. Peseau, pursuant to NAC 703.710 hereby affirm that the.
foregoing prepared testimony was prepared by me or under- my ,direction and is
correct to the best of rry knowledge.
Signed !2;a4U.
Dated September 19 t 2003
rl
e,e Attachmeit "1
Page 1 of 3
STATEMENT OF OCCUPATIONAL AND
EDUCATIONAL HISTORY AND QUALIFICATIONS
DENNIS E. PESEAU
Dr. Peseau has conducted economic and financial studies for regulated
industries for the past twenty-eight years. In 1972, he was employed by Southern
California Edison Company as Associate Economic Analyst, and later as Economic.
. Analyst. His responsibilties included review of financial testimony, incre~ental cost
, studies, rate design, econometric estimation of demand elasticities and various a~eas" '
in the field of energy and economic growth. AI~oi he was asked by Edison Electrical
Institute to study and evåluate several prominent energy models as 'part of.the Ad
Hoc Committee on Economic Growth and Energy Pricing.
From 1974 to 1978, Dr. Peseau 'was en:Ployed by the Public Util~ty
Commissioner of Oregon as Senior Economist. "There he conducted a number of .
economic and financial studies and prepare testimony pertaining to public utilites.
In 1978 Dr. Peseau established the Northwest offce of Zinder
Companies, Inc. He has since submitted testimony on economic and financial. . . .
matters before state reg~lat~ry commissions in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryland,
Minnes~ta, Montanà. Nevada, Washington, Wyoming, the District of Columbia," t~e
Bonnevile Power Administration and the Public Utilties Board of Alberta on over one
h"undred occasions. He has conducted marginal cost and rate design studies and
e,.e Attachment 1
Page20f3
prepared testimony on these matters in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryland,
Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, Washington ~nd in the District of Columbia. He has
. also conducted cost and rate studies regårding PURPA issues in the states of
Alaska, California, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New York, 'Washington, and
Washington, D.C.
Or. Peseau holds the B.A., M.A. and Ph:D. degrees in economics... , ,. . ,
He has co-authored a book in the field of industrial organization en~tl~, "
Size. Profits and Executive Compensation in the Large' Corooration, which devotes
a chapter to regulated industres.
Dr. Peseau' has published articles in the following professional journals:
Review of Economics and Statistics, Atlantic EconC?mic Journal, Journal of Financial
Management, and Journal of Regional Science. His articles have been read before
the Econometric Society, the Western Econ~mic' Association, the Financial
~anagement Association, the Regional Science Association and universities in the
United Kingdom as well as in the United State.
He has guest lectured on marginal costing methods in seminars in New
Jersey and California for the Center ,of Profession~1 Advancement. He ha.s also
guest lectured on cost of capital for the public utilty industry before the Pacific Coast, .
Gas and Electric Association, and for the Executive Seminar at the Colgate Darden
. Graduate School of Business, University of Virginia.
.e Attachment 1
Page 3 013
, .
Dr. Peseau and his firm have participated with and been members of ~e
Ameriçan EConomic Association, the American Financial Association, the Western. ~ .
Economic Association, the Atlantic Economic Association and the Financial
Management Association. He was formerly a member of the Staff Subcommittee on
Economics of the National Association of Regulatory Utilit Commissioners.
Dr. Peseau has been President of Utilty Resources, Inc. since 1985.
"
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PROOF OF SERVICE'
I hereby certify that I mailed the foregoing Prefiléd Testony of Dens PeSea
in Dockets 03-6056 and 03-7004 by delivenng to the U.S. Post Offce copies therf,
properly addressed for mailing to the followig persOns:
Conne Westadt
Nevada Power Company
P.O. Box 10100
Reno, NV 89520
. Cheryl Hachman
Nevada Power Company
P.O. Box 10100
Reno, NV 89520
Tim Hay
Burau of Consuer Protection
1000 E. Willam Str
Carson City, NV 89701
John Nielsen
Wester Resources Advocates
2260 Baseline Road, Suite 200
Boulder, CO 80302 .
Jon Wellnghoff
.Beckley Singleton
530 La Vegas Blvd. South
Las Vegas, NV. 89101
Gerad Lope
Colorado River Commission
555 E. WaShington Avenue, Suite 3100
Las Vegas, NV 89101.
James Ross .
RCSIDc.
500 Chesterfeld Center, Suite 320 .
Chesteld, MO 63017
e .
Michael Alcata
Alcanta & Kah LLP
1300 S. W. Fift Svenue, Suite i 750
Portand, OR 97201
John Gezelin
436 Cour Street
Reno, NV 89501
Wiliam Gehlen
Teeo Power Serice
702 N. Fralin Strt
Tam~ FL 33602 .
Dale Stransky .
Buráu of Consumer Protection
1000 E. Wiliam Street, Suite 200
Caron City, NV 89701
Erc Witkoski
Bureau of Consuer Protection
555 E. Washington, Suite 3900
La Vegas, NV 89101
John Nielsen
Energy Project Director
Wesern Resour Advocate
2260 Baseline Road, Suite 200
Boulder, CO 80302
Dated: Septeniber 19,2003
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B~FORE THE P,UBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA
pocket No. 03-7004.
Direct Testimony of
Dennis E. Peseau
on behalf of
Southern Nevada Water Authorit
1 Q. PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUSINESS ADDRESS.
2 A. My name is Dennis E. Peseau. My business address is SU,ite 250: 15QO
3 , ,Libert Street, S.E., Salem, Oregon 97302.
4 Q. BY WHOM AND IN WHAT CAPACITY ARE YOu" EMPLOYED?
5 A. I am President of Utilit Resources, Inc. My firm consults on a numbår ~f
. 6
7
economiè, financial and engineering matters for various' privåte a~d public
entities.
8 Q. ON WHOSE BEHALF ARE YOU TESTIFYING IN THIS PROCEEDING?
9 A. I am testifing on behalf of the Southern Nevada Water Authorit (SNWA).
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1 Q. . DOES ATTACHMENT 1 ACCURATELY DESCRIBE YOUR BACKGROUND
2 AND EXPERIENCE?
3 A.Yes.
4 Q.
5 A.
6
7
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'13
14
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18
19
20 .
21
WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR TESTIMONY?
My testimony focuses primarily on five areas or issues which I iØenti below.
To place these issues in perspective, l note that the overall tenòr of., "
Nevada Power's filed Resource Plan is the commitment to an ambitious'
capital expenditure program to greatly expand the.Company's own generation
and transmission plant over the next decade. The SNwA has provided
.'
testimony in prior Nevada Power dockets including resource plans and
continues now to recognize and point out the inadequate level.of internal, .
generation and transmission resource additions made to the Nevada Power.
system over the last decade or mote. New i:dditions are necessary and vital
to the electrical systems,.relíabilty in southern. Nevada. The SNWA heartil, .
supports the timely completion of necessary transmission and generation
facilities.
But a number of Nevada Power's financial proposals in its filing, and
circumstances external to its Plan, are simply incompatible . with the
. Company's proposed new generation and transmis~ion expenditures, and its
abilty to maintain any se~blanCe of financial stabilit at rate le,relsthat are
acceptable to its customers.
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1 I point specifcally to its plans to issue over $1.7 bilion in debt but rio
equity over the period 2003-2009 and its decision to begin using projected2
3 available cash to spend in dividends rather than finance new generation and
4 transmission facilties. The most recent external circumstance I refer to is the
5 August 29. 2003 adverse ruling by a U.S. bankruptcy court to issue summary
6
7
judgment for Enron against Sierra Pacific Resources regarding Enron's tlaim
for liquidated damages. Instead of outlining corrective measures to regàiri it
finanCial foothold while making crucial investments. Nevada Power instea~
requests a pre-approval of some $400-600 milion per year in expenses that
have historically been scrutinized in deferred energy and general rate cases.
This testimony wholeheartedly supports and encourages the generation
8
9
10
11
12
13
and transmission investment necessary to meet present and growing
electricity requirements and offerS alternatives to Nevada Powe'r's'proposals.
14 Q.
15 A.
16
17
18
19
.20
21
'22
23
24
25
26
WHAT ARE THE FIVE PRIMARY ISSUES YOU ADDRESS?
The five issues are:
1. Nevada Power should avail itself of purchased power products
that are suited to its unique summer needle peaking load profile.
rather than continued excessive reliance upon 6x16 or similar
high energy products purcliased previously. The SNWA has a
uriiq'ue load profile and its. own signifcant resource products
which Nevada Power should avail itself of or fully evaluate to
help avoid the large credit-risk premiums being demanded of the
Company by vendors on the open market.
2. Nevada Power proposes in this proceeding to begin giving $53
millon per year of its scarce cash flow to its parent Sierra Pacific
Resources beginning January 2004. Given Nevada Powers
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deteriorating capital structure, such an action is even more ii-
advised than when the Commission restrcted such dividends1n
Docket 02-4037. The Company's abilit to complete the
important Centennial and Harry Allen-ta-Mead new transmission
projects, as well as its proposed generation will not be able to be,
financed at reasonable'costs if Nevada Power gives up this cash
flow.
8
9
10
11
12
13
.14
3. Nevada Power proposes perhaps the most.', sweeping
guaranteed cost recovery mechanism in Nevada's regulatóry
history in this Resource Plan docket Some $400-600 milion in
fuel. and purchased power costs per year are being requested
to be pre-approved in this docket, removing .the typical and
appropriate revie\Vgiven these expenses in deferrd energ and
general rate cases; .
15
16
17
18.
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27
28
4. In conjunction with its request for pre-approval óf most fuel and
PP-expenses, Nevada Power requests that the Commission.
approve the cost of the call options it has already entered into
and those it proposes to enter. Recovery of these costs is
appropriately decided outside of a resource plan proceeding.
Any decision regarding call option hedging strategies should be
evaluated in deferred energy rate proceedings.
5. Nevada Power is proposing to move from its policy in recent
years of purchasing wholesale power 100% on tl1e short-term
market to, in this case, purchasing aa signifc~nt" amount on the .
long-term wholesale market. Proper risk diversification.
techniques would. suggest a more balanced or aportalio" mix of
purchases. Nevada Power has not provided adequate risk
. analysis in this regard.
29 CONCLUSiONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
30 Q. PLEASE SUMMARIZE YOUR. RECOMMENDATIONS.
31 A..I recommend that the Commission:
32
33
1.Order Nevada Power to fill its huge open position with den:and
and supply side resources that both fit its load profile ~~d
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minimize costs. Nevada .Power should, during the next six
.months explore with the SNWA the unique load characteristics
and resources SNWA has available in Nevada Power's service
territory. The $500,000 in thre year action plan funds
requested by Nevada Power for a coal study should be deferred
until Nevada Power reports, back on its progress with SNWA.
Order, . or put Nevada Power on notice that it wil order the
Company to conserve cash by prohibiting dividends to "is parent
until a 42~d equity ratio is reached.
Deny Nevada. Powets request for approval .of ,itsuRec9mmerided Gas Hedging Strategy" in th~se proceedings
and defer any such decision to the next deferred energy case.
4. ' Defer any decision on the appropriate expenses for Nevada
Powets proposed natural gas call options to the next deferred
energy case.
2.7
8
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16,
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20
3.
" .
. 5. . Require Nevada Power to furt~er study and report back on .an
appropnate purchased power portolio mix before enacting its
proposed movement from the previous policy of purchasing
100% on the short-term market to purchasing ås much as 100% .on the long-term market. .
,21 FILLING NEVADA POWER'S 3.000 MEGAWATT-OPEN POSITION.
.'
22 Q.WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO NEVADA POWER'S FILLING OF .
23
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25
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ITS HVGE POWER SUPPLY SHORTFALL?
A.As the Company. explains throughout the supply side plan, energy supply plan
and financial analysis plan portions of it filing, Nevada Power has tlie
daunting task of procuring at least half of its required power supply from
source~ as yet unidentifed. The Company proposes to fiU the deficit C?f up to
3,000 megawatts per year by the issuance of-an RFP designed ,ta acquire28
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4
5
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8
long-term purchased power contracts'of 3-1. 0 years. While Nevaaa Power has
recently been unsuccessful. according to its testimony in other pròceedings"
in attracting responses from vendors in RFPs, I agree with its assessmentthat
the temporary apparent adequacy or even slight surplus of regional generation
may change these generators willngness to respond to long-tenn contracts.
The issue is whether Nevada Power wil be able to attract the rather. unique
and ,specialized energy products it requires to optimally fill its needle-pea~i~g
load shapes.
9 Q. WHY DO YOU QUESTION WHETHER.NEVADA POWER CAN ATIRACT
10 THE PARTICULAR PURèHASED POWER PRODUCTS IT NEEDS?
11 A. In the last two deferred energy proceedings Nevada Power argued for cost
.12 recovery for losses it incurred from having to resell excess energy resulting
13 from contract based upon almost exclusively 6x16 purchases. That is.
14 Nevada Power felt that in order to fill its open position it was force to enter
15 contracts requiring it to purchase energy six days a week, for sixteen hours pér
16. day. Since Nevada Power typically only needs peak energy for four to eight
17 hours per day. these previous 6x16 energy contracts caused Nevada power
18 to acquire substantially more energy than it needed. The excess was sold at
.19 huge losses.
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1 The question that arises in this filing is whether Nevad~ Powerwil h~ve
opportunities through its proposed RFP process ,to obtain othér than 6x16
energy product.
2
3
4 Q. DOES NEVADA POWER'S RESOURCE PLAN FILING EXPRESS THE
A.
,HOPE THAT IT MAY THROUGH ITS RFP PROCESS, FIND WILLING
PARTICIPANTS TO ENTER INTO SYNTHETIC TOLLING AGREEMENTS
FOR POWER, THEREBY REDUCING ITS 6X16 OBLIGATIONS?
Yes. The possibilty of entenng synthetic tollng agreements is mentioned at
: a number of places in the Company's. application, testimony and exhibits.
5
6
7
8
9
10 Q. WHAT IS,A "SYNTHETIC. TOLLING" AGREEMENT?.. .
11 A. Tollng is a means bY which a utilit such as Nevada Power can àcquire leg~1
12
13
14
15
16
17
rights to çapacity of a particular ge'neratiiig plant owned by an independe~t
part by agreeing to pay (usually) fixed demand charges. . A synthetic tollng
agreement is similar"but not necessarily'tied to a particular plant. A.nyenergy .
outpul requested by Nevada Power is charged to the Company by the .
independent part on the basis of the market price of gas and a heat rate, or
by Nevada Power actually acquiring and providing the actual supply.
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1 . Q. IS THE EXPECTATION BY NEVADA POWER OF THE OFFERING OF. " . .
2
3
4
'.5
6
7
8
TOLLING .AGREEMENTS BY OTHERS REASONABLE?
A.At s~me set of prices and' terms this expectation is reasonable due to .an
apparent present adequate or surplus of independently owned generating .
'capacity in the western U.S. i~ independent owne~ of. generation can
, negotiate tollng prices and terms that exceed those they could get on the: '
. open 'market, it is reasonable .to assume they wouid.r~spond to. Nevada
Power's proposed RFP.
.9 Q.: IN YOUR OPINION WILL NEVADA PÒWER FACE PAYING A CREDIT ..RISK
10
11
PREMIUM FOR ANY SUCH TOLLING AGREEMENT?
A.Yes. Due to Nevada Power's financial cirçumstances it is reasonable to, .
12 assume that any long-term agreement. trillng or otherwise, wil have an
, . .13 associated credit premium attached to it.14'
15 Q. WILL THE HOPED-FOR TOLLING AGREEMENTS LIKELY PROVIDE
16
17
18
19
20.
POWER SUPPLY OFFERS THAT WILL IMPROVE UPON THE PAST 6X16 .
LONG..TERM PURCHASES?
A.Yes, although the more.concentrated the purchases are made to confo,rm to
only the highest peak hours of the day, the higher wil be the capacity and,
probably, energy premium charges associated ~ith any tollng contràct. Thé
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2
value to Nevada Power and its customers of such narrower peak power is, of
course, enhanced as well.
3 Q.
. .
WILL NEVADA POWER liKELY BE ABLE TO FILL MOST OF ITS
PROJECTED 3,000 MEGAWATT OPEN POSITION WiTH TOLLING
AGREEMENTS?
4
5
6 A.. The Company does not identif what percentage of its RFP process might be
7 filled with tollng agreements. Nevada Power'does, however; indicate that it
prefers to fill its open position largely with long-term 3-10 year contrct. .8
9 Q.WHAT. OTHER PURCHASED POWER PRODUCTS SHOU~D NEVADA
POWER ATTEMPT TO ACQUIRE TO FILL ITS OPEN POSITION EITHe:R
THROUGH ITS RFP OR OTHER NEGOTIATIONS?
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A.The SNWA and its member agencies, or "water pumpers,!'. together have. . .
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electric loads today in excess 01-200 megaWatt inside the "load control" area .
of Nevada Power. Although most of that load is not actually supplied by
Nevada Power this load will increase to over 300 megawatts by 2005. The
combination of the water pumpers'typically off-peak pumping, the abilit to be
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interrupted within limits during on-peak hours, their own significant capacity
and energy requirements and a strong financial market credit rating together
provide an almost perfect profile to fit Nevada Power's peaking requirements.
I am confident that a good faith effort on the part of Nevada Power and the
-9-
;_.re
1 water pumpers could lead to the most economical resource to fill a signifi~nt
portion of their open position immediately. ' .
Furthermore, the recent activities of the SNWA to become a 125 MW
participant in the local Silverhawk combined cycle generating plan (w~iCh. is .
scheduled. oriline by. next spring), their recent effort. to secure firm
. transmission rights, and significant but preliminary analyses into the viabílty
. and sitng of fluidized-bed coal-fired generation faciltiè~ could grea~1y assist
Nevada Power in its effort to secure additional supply.
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9 Q., PLEASE BRIEFLY DESCRIBE THE NATURE OF THE WATER PUMPERS'
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ELECTRICAL SYSTEM, LOADS AND REQUIREMENTS. .
'A The water pumpers' electrical needs are servea. within Nevad.a Powets
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service territory both as a customer of Nevada Power and' as a wholesal~
customer served by the Colorado River 'Commission (eRe). At present, a
significant amount of megawatt water pumping load is served by Nevada
Power and up to 125 megawatts p~rchased through .the CRC pnmarily to
operate the vast Saddle Island complex (which SNWA owns) comprising .
facilties and pipelines necessary to pump water up and into and within the
Las Veg~s valley.
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-10,:
;:
.e"-'--'"e
r t~C ~l~/ CO
p!':'.1 .... I. I ¡: :r~~'.: (:,::n-,.. :"!,!-!BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVAòA ... ", ':'
04 JAH 2 7 PI; 3: 25
Application ofNEV ADA POWER COMPANY for authority
to increase its annual revenue requirement for general rates
charged to all classes of electrc customers and for properly
related thereto.
)
)
)
)
)
Docket No. 03-100Òl..,- - . ..~
Application ofNEV ADA POWER COMPANY for approval
Of new and revised depreciation and amortization rates.)
)
)
Docket No. 03- 10002
PREPARED TESTIMONY OF
DENNIS E. PESEAU
Phase Three - Rate Design
Submitted by:
~~~
Fred Schmidt
Hale Lae Peek Dennson and Howard
777 East Willam Street, Suite 200
Carson City, NV 89701
(775) 684-6000
Attorneys for
SOUTERN NEVADA WATER AUTHORITY
".,e e
BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA
DOCKET NO. 03-10001
Direct Testimony of
DENNIS E. PESEAU
On behalf of
Southern Nevada Water Authority
Phase Three - Rate Design
PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND ADDRESS.
My name is Dennis E. Peseau. My business address is Suite 250, 1500 libert
Street, S.E., Salem, Oregon 97302
BY WHOM AND IN WHAT CAPACITY ARE YOU EMPLOYED?
I am President of Utility Resources, Inc. My firm consults on a number of economic,
financial and engineering matters for various private and public entities.
ON WHOSE BEHALF ARE YOU TESTIFYING IN THIS PROCEEDING?
I am testifying on behalf of the Southern Nevada Water Authority (SNWA).
DOES ATTACHMENT 1 ACCURATELY DESCRIBE YOUR BACKGROUND AND
EXPERIENCE?
Yes.
::ODMA\PDOS\HLRNODOS\369790\1 Page 1 of 12
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WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR TESTIMONY?
My testimony in this rate design phase of this docket addresses two issues. One. I
discuss a means to help reduce the greatly increased rate subsidy identified by
Nevada Power Company ("Nevada Power") that does not raise the electric rates of
residential customers above levels proposed by Nevada Power. Two, i identify and
correct a major error in Nevada Power's marginal cost of service study which affects
all water pumping rate classes.
WHAT CONCLUSIONS HAVE YOU REACHED?
i conclude that:
1. Nevada Power's marginal cost study is flawed and does not follow Commission
orders. An error in the marginal transmission and distribution study has resulted in
a $1.295.188 excess allocation of costs to the water pumping customer classes.
This error is specific only to these WP water pumping classes.
2. The rate subsidy discussed by Nevada Power that has increased in this case to
$106 milion per year should be reduced only to the extent that Nevada Power in
this rate case does not receive authorization to raise its revenue requirement by its
requested amount. However, reductions to the Company's request to increase
rates could be used to reduce the level of the rate subsidy.
::ODMA\PCDOS\HI.RNODOCS\369790\1 Page 2 of 12
"e e
1 0oYER-ALLOCATION OF COSTS TO WP WATER PUMPING CLASSES
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HAVE YOU TESTIFIED PREVIOUSLY THAT THE WATER PUMPING CUSTOMER
CLASSES HAVE UNIQUE USAGE AND INTERRUPTIBILITY CONSIDERATIONS
THAT MUST BE ADDRESSED IN ANY NEVADA POWER MARGINAL COST OF
SERVICE STUDY?
Yes. In Nevada Powets last general rate case, Docket No. 01-10001, I testified on
rate design on behalf of the water pumping classes for the Southern Nevada Water
Authority. In that docket I pointed out that the marginal cost study and resulting water
pumping classes' rates sponsored by Nevada Power were in error. They were in error
because the Company's cost study ignored the usage characteristics of water
pumping classes, instead. the cost study just assumed that these classes' costs were
the same as "otherwise applicable classes." By usage characteristics, I mean the
unique off-peak patterns of energy usage of water pumpers relative to other customer
classes.
DID THE COMMISSION AGREE IN THOSE PROCEEDINGS THAT THE MARGINAL
COST STUDY AND WATER PUMPING CLASSES' RATES PROPOSED BY
NEVADA POWER WERE IN ERROR?
Yes. Ordenng paragraph 583 of the Commission order stated:
"NPC's marginal cost of service study included separate base general rate
energy related information for schedules LGS-WP and LGS-X-WP, but NPC did not
use this information to develop separate rates. Due to curtailments, the rates
proposed would be lower than that for otherwise applicable tariff."
::ODMA\I"COOS\HLRNODOS\369790\ I Page 3 of 12
e e
DID THE COMMISSION REQUIRE NEVADA POWER TO BASE RATES TO THE
WATER PUMPING CLASSES ON THE MARGINAL COSTS OF THESE CLASSES,
RATHER THAN ON OTHER WISE APPLICABLE RATES?
Yes. Ordering paragraph 585 of that same order stated:
"The Commission finds that the proposal of the SNWA to base the schedule
LGS-WP and LGS-X-WP classes' energy BTGRs upon the marginal cost study and
not the classes' otherwise applicable rates is reasonable and approved."
DO YOU HAVE SIMILAR ISSUES WITH RESPECT TO NEVADA POWER'S COST
STUDY TREATMENT OF THE WATER PUMPING CLASSES' USAGE
CHARACTERISTICS AND RESULTING MARGINAL COSTS AND CLASS RATES
IN THE PRESENT PROCEEDINGS?
Yes, as I explain below.
DOES THE MARGINAL COST STUDY SPONSORED IN THE PRESENT
PROCEEDINGS BY NEVADA POWER COMPLY WITH THE COMMISSION'S
ORDER IN Docket No. 01-10001 WITH RESPECT TO WATER PUMPING
CLASSES' MARGINAL COSTS?
No, the marginal cost study filed does not comply with the Commission order in the
last general rate case with respect to water pumping marginal costs. Nevada Powets
deviations from the methods ordered in the last case result in its proposing rates in
this case that are highly inequitable and discriminatory to the WP water pumping
classes.
::ODMA\PCDOS\HLRNODOS\369790\1 Page 4 of 12
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DOES NEVADA POWER TESTIFY IN THE PRESENT CASE THAT ITS MARGINAL
COST STUDY FOLLOWS PREVIOUS COMMISSION ORDERS?
Yes. On page 3, lines 16-18 of Ms. Walsh's testimony she indicates:
.....The marginal cost of service method utilzed for this case is primarily that
used in previous cases, with a few enhancements and changes to comply with
previous Commission orders... "
The enhancements and changes made by Nevada Power to comply with previous
orders later described in the testimony of Ms. Walsh do not go to the errors in the
study with respect to the water pumping classes that I describe below.
DOES MS. WALSH INDICATE THAT THERE ARE EXCEPTIONS TO HER USING
OF INDIVIDUALLY IDENTIFIED MARGINAL COSTS IN HER STUDY?
Yes. although she indicates that these exceptions "...are few and consistent with past
practice and/or Commission orders..." (page 12. i. 14-15.) Unfortunately, the
exception to using the available individual marginal transmission and distribution
demand cost by Ms. Walsh is very costly to the water pumping classes.
WHAT DO YOU MEAN BY YOUR STATEMENT THAT MS. WALSH MAKES AN
EXCEPTION TO USING THE AVAILABLE INDIVIDUAL MARGINAL COST FOR
WATER PUMPERS' TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION DEMAND COSTS?
Ms. Walsh states on page 12, lines 20-22 of her testimony that .....Optional WP
classes do have marginal cost individually calculated and values shown in Table 1 for
the majority of their cost functions..." It is true that the majority of the WP or water
pumping cost functions are calculated individually. But Ms. Walsh makes an important
exception. similar to that which she made for the WP classes in the previous case by
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNODOS\J69790\1 Page 5 of 12
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using "otherwise applicable" classes' data instead of WP-specific data that were
readily available elsewhere in her study. On page 12, lines 22-26 of her testimony,
Ms. Walsh identifes what I consider to be her unnecessary and highly discriminatory
data "substitution":
u... The exception for WP is for the marginal cost of transmission and
distribution costs for the non-optional class from which they came, re-scaled to the WP
class sales... " (underlining added).
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
i express in my own words this same quotation from Ms. Walsh in a more specific, but
equivalent way. Ms. Walsh had all the data for each WP water pumping class
necessary to compute their respective marginal transmission and distribution demand
costs, just as she possessed the equivalent data for the residential, general service
and large general servce classes. For all these other classes that were not water
pumping, she applied each of the respective class' time of use (Le. peak, mid, off and
other) usage data appropriately to spread the transmission and distribution costs on
the basis of each class' contribution to the particular time periods costs. That is,
classes with relatively high on-peak usage, for example, receive relatively high
allocation of the on-peak transmission and distribution costs, and so forth for the mid,
off and other rating or usage periods.
Although Ms. Walsh also had this same appropriate usage data for peak, mid,
off and other time periods for all of the water pumping class schedules (LGS-2-WPS,
LGS-2-WPP, LGS-2-WPT, LGS-3-WPS, LGS-3-WPP, LGS-3-WPT), she did not use
these classes' data to spread transmission and distribution costs to the respective WP
::ODMA\PCDOLRNOOOS\369790\1 Page 6 of12
e e
classes. Instead, she ignored these time of usage data and chose annual average
numbers applied from the LGS classes.
DOES MS. WALSH EXPLAIN WHY SHE CHOSE NOT TO USE THE AVAILABLE
WP USAGE DATA TO DETERMINE WP MARGINAL COST OF TRANSMISSION
AND DISTRIBUTION IN THE SAME FASHION AS SHE DID FOR ALL OTHER
MAJOR CUSTOMER CLASSES?
No. Without explanation, Ms. Walsh ignores all these available WP time period usage
data and instead uscales" marginal transmission and distribution costs with an average
annual WP usage scaling factor. That is, she added up all kwh energy sales for the
year for a WP class, say LGS-2-WPS, and divided this annual sum by the total kwh
energy sales for the year for what she calls an "otherwise applicable" class, or "non-
optional" class, say LGS-2-S. The result of this gives nothing but an annual
percentage of LGS-2-WPS sales to total LGS-2-S sales, which ignores all of the WP
water pumping time period or time of usage characteristics.
IS IT CORRECT TO ESTIMATE WP CLASS SHARES OF MARGINAL
TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION DEMAND COSTS ON THE BASIS OF
AVERAGE ANNUAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION?
No. Marginal transmission and distribution costs are time sensitive. That is, usage
during peak periods imposes a greater cost to Nevada Power's system than usage
during off peak periods. Accordingly, customer class usage during peak periods
results, or at least should result, in higher costs being spread to those classes with
relatively more peak period usage. Customer class, rates should be developed
::ODMA\POOS\iILRNOOO\369790\1 Page 7 of 12
e e
according to these usage periods to provide price signals to customers and, possibly
to provide price incentives to shift usage to lower cost off peak periods.
WHAT IS THE QUANTITATIVE EFFECT OF NEVADA POWER'S SPREADING OF
MARGINAL TRANSMISSION AND DISTIBUTION DEMAND COSTS TO THE WP
CLASSES ON THE BASIS OF ANNUAL AVERAGE, RATHER THAN ON THEIR
RESPECTIVE PEAK, MID AND OFF PEAK USAGES?
The effect is to over-allocate costs to the WP classes by $1,295,188 per year. This
occurs because the water pumping classes usage characteristics, compared with most
other customer classes, shift large amounts of power consumption to the lower cost
mid and off peak time periods. These shifs to the lower cost periods are good for the
transmission and distribution systems and for other customers' costs as well. Nevada
, Power's marginal cost study ignores these benefits by removing the actual WP usage
data and substituting instead an incorrect assumption that the water pumpers have the
same average usage across all time periods.
WHAT CHANGE TO NEVADA POWER'S FILED MARGINAL COST STUDY
WOULD CORRECT THE PRESENT EXCESS ALLOCATION OF COSTS TO THE
WATER PUMPING CLASSES?
Nevada Power simply needs to follow the same method of using the water pumping
usage data by time period for developing WP marginal costs as it has for every other
major customer class in the study, and as it has done for all major customer classes,
including the WP classes, in each and every marginal cost study filed previously since
at least 1992. Nevada Power's proposed study discriminates against the WP classes
by not allowing them to reduce costs by shifting usage to off peak periods.
::ODMA\PDOS\HLRNODOSI36979O1 Page 8 of 12
e e
HAVE YOU MADE THE CHANGES TO NEVADA POWER'S MARGINAL COST
STUDY THAT YOU RECOMMENDED IN THE QUESTION AND ANSWER
IMMEDIATELY ABOVE?
Yes. My three page Exhibit DEP-7 summarizes the changes to WP marginal
transmission and distribution demand costs necessary to reflect the actual WP usage
data.
PLEASE EXPLAIN.
Exhibit DEP-7 replicates a number of data series from Nevada Power's Certification
marginal cost study. For easy reference, I include as Exhibit DEP-8 select pages from
the Company's cost study in the Application which contains some of these data. At
the top of each of the three pages of Exhibit DEP-7 I present the individual class
usage data for all of the LGS, the LGS WP schedules, as well as the "Ratio of WP
Kwh to LGS Kwh."
WHAT DO THESE RATIOS SHOW?
These show the ratios of WP to LGS usage for the peak, mid, off and other periods
that should have been used by Nevada Power in spreading marginal transmission and
distribution demand costs to water pumping classes. Also. shown is the total annual
average WP usage that was incorrectly used in Nevada Power's study. For example,
on page 1 of Exhibit DEP-7 the time differentiated WP ratio for Nevada Powets peak
period is shown to be 1.34%, which Nevada Power should have used in order to be
comparable to its treatment of all other customer classes. Instead, Nevada Power
used the higher average annual kwh ratio of 1.84%, also shown on page 1 of Exhibit
::ODMA\PDOCS\HLRNOllOS\369790\1 Page 9 of 12
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DEP-7 . To be consistent with other classes and with its past marginal cost studies,
Nevada Power should have use the peak, mid, off and other time period ratios in
place of its annual average ratio.
DOES EXHIBIT DEP-7 CALCULATE THE WATER PUMPING MARGINAL COST OF
TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION DEMAND BASED ON THE TIME
DIFFERENTIATED WP USAGE DATA?
Yes. Pagè 1 of the exhibit applies the WP time diferentiated usage data by rating
period to marginal transmission costs in a manner consistent with Nevada Powets
methods for other major rate classes. Page 1 at the bottom compares the total
marginal transmission costs spread to the WP classes using the correct usage data by
time period. As shown, Nevada Power allocates $798,911 in transmission costs to the
WP classes, whereas the time period allocation should be $360,173.
WHAT DO PAGES 2 AND 3 OF 3 OF EXHIBIT DEP-7 SHOW?
Pages 2 and 3 of the exhibit correspond to page 1 but apply to distribution substation
and non-revenue feeders, rather than the transmission cost shown on page 1. Page 2
computes WP marginal substation costs of $204,996 rather than Nevada Powets
annual average calculation of $545,550. Page 3 computes WP marginal non-revenue
feeder costs of $310,554 rather than Nevada Power's annual average calculation of
$826,441.
::ODMA\POOS\HLRNOOOSU69790\1 Page 100f12
e e
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WHAT IS THE TOTAL DIFFERENCE IN WP MARGINAL COST OF TRANSMISSION
AND DISTRIBUTION DEMAND FROM CORRECTING NEVADA POWER'S STUDY
TO REFLECT WP TIME OF USAGE?
A. Page 3 of Exhibit DEP.7 indicates that Nevada Power's Study allocates excess costs
to the WP classes of $1,295,188. The SNWA requests that the Commission. order
Nevada Power to correct this inconsistent and harmful defect in its proposed study.
PRESENT RATE SUBSIDY
WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO THE RATE SUBSIDY DISCUSSED BY
NEVADA POWER?
Exhibit L1W-6 in Nevada Power's cost study calculates that the rates it proposes in this
case result in the residential rate subsidy increasing by $23 millon per year over that
decided in Docket No. 01.10001. The rate subsidy in Nevada Power's study is
approximately $106 milion, whereas in the last general case it was approximately $83
milion. On pages 22.25 of Ms. Laura Walsh's testimony she addresses the sticky
issue of how this subsidy might be reduced. She discusses the last Commission
general rate case order wherein the Commission for a number of reasons decided to
suspend movement of rates closer to costs in that case, but predicted revisiting the
issue in this 2003 general rate case. Nevada Power's exhibits then offer alternative
means of reducing the present subsidy. While the Company is to be commended for
identifying alternative means, unfortunately its presentations result in rates for
residential customers that arè higher than Nevada Power originally proposed.
;;ODMA\PDQS\HLRNODOSI36979CI\I Page 11 of 12
~.e e
DO YOU HAVE AN ALTERNATIVE PROPOSAL FOR REDUCING THE SUBSIDY
THAT DOES NOT RESULT IN RESIDENTIAL RATES HIGHER THAN THOSE
PROPOSED BY NEVADA POWER?
Yes. My review of the cost of capital and other revenue requirement testimony in the
first two phases of these procedings indicates that a number of parties are
recommending significant downward adjustments to Nevada Power's requested
increase in revenue requirement. To the extent that the Commission is persuaded to
authorize revenue requirements below that sought by the Company, some level of
these reductions could go first to reduce rates of customer classes that are currently
paying the subsidy while not increasing residential rates. After some target reduction,
say back to the level of the subsidy in the previous GRC, any remaining reduction
should be shared in some fashion with the residential classes. I recommend this
because the high level of subsidy is better to be reduced gradually so as to minimize
any rate shock to residential customers
DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR DIRECT TESTIMONY?
Yes.
::ODMA \PDOS\HLRNODOS\369790\ I Page 12 of12
e e Attachment 1
Page 1 of3
STATEMENT OF OCCUPATIONAL AND
EDUCATIONAL HISTORY AND QUALIFICATIONS
DENNIS E. PESEAU
Dr. Peseau has conducted economic and financial studies for regulated
industries for the past twenty-eight years. In 1972, he was employed by Southern
Calìfornia Edison Company as Associate Economic Analyst. and later as Economic
Analyst. His responsibilties included review of financial testimony, incremental cost
studies, rate design, econometric estimation of demand elasticities and vanous areas
in the field of energy and economic growth. Also. he was asked by Edison Elecrical
Institute to study and evaluate several prominent energy models as part of the Ad
Hoc Committee on Economic Growth and Energy Pncing.
From 1974 to 1978. Dr. Peseau was employed by the Public Utilit
Commissioner of Oregon as Senior Economist. There he conducted a number of
economic and financial studies and prepared testimony pertaining to public utilties.
In 1978 Dr. Peseau established the Northwest offce of Zinder
Companies, Inc. He has since submitted testimony on economic and financial
matters before state regulatory commissions in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryland,
Minnesota, Montana. Nevada. Washington. Wyoming. the District of Columbia. the
Bonnevile Power Administration and the Public Utilties Board of Alberta on over one
e e Attachment 1
Page 2 of3
hundred occasions. He has conducted marginal cost and rate design studies and
prepared testimony on these matters in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryland,
Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, Washington and in the District of Columbia. He has
also conducted cost and rate studies regarding PURPA issues in the states of
Alaska, California, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New York, Washington, and
Washington, D.C.
Dr. Peseau holds the B.A., M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in economics.
He has co-authored a book in the field of industrial organization entitled,
Size. Profits and Executive Compensation in the Large Corporation, which devotes
a chapter to regulated industries.
Dr. Peseau has published articles in the following professional journals:
Review of Economics and Statistics, Atlantic Economic Journal, Journal of Financial
Management, and Journal of Regional Science. His articles have been read before
the Econometric Society, the Western Economic Association, the Financial
Management Association, the Regional Science Association and universities in the
United Kingdom as well as in the United States.
He has guest lectured on marginal costing methods in seminars in New
Jersey and California for the Center of Professional Advancement. He has also
guest lectured on cost of capital for the public utilty industry before the Pacifc Coast
e e Attachment 1
Page 3 of3
Gas and Electric Association, and for the Executive Seminar at the Colgate Darden
Graduate School of Business, University of Virginia.
Dr. Peseau and his firm have participated with and been members ofthe
American Economic Association, the American Financial Association, the Western
Economic Association, the Atlantic Economic Association and the Financial
Management Association. He was formerly a member of the Staff Subcommittee on
Economics of the National Association of Regulatory Utilty Commissioners.
Dr. Peseau has been President of Utility Resources. Inc. since 1985.
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AFFIRMATION
I, Dennis E. Peseau. pursuant to NAC 703.710 hereby affirm that the
foregoing prepared testimony was prepared by me or under my direction and is
correct to the best of my knowledge.
S'J-.~ ,¡;¿U~
Da1 J?#
,,e It
BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMSSION OF NEVADA
Application of NEVADA POWER COMPAN for authority
to increase its annual revenue requirement for genera rates
chaged to all classes of electric customers and for properly
related thereto.
Application of NEVADA POWER COMPANY for approval
Of new and revised depreciation and amortzation rates.
DENNIS E. PESEAU TESTIMONY
Phase Three - Rate Design
Work Papers
)
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Docket No. 03-10001
Docket No. 03-10002
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Comparison of Annual Scaling of Marginal Cost and Cost Period Scaling
Kwh UsageClassPeakMidOff Other Total PeakLGS-2S 219,745,127 211,641,143 338.506,134 1,253,012,472 2.022,904,876LGS.2P 5,750,377 5,768,765 10,121.915 39,501,303 61,142,360LGS.2T 529,718 529,282 1.038,548 4,619,734 6,717,282LGS-3S 152,057,158 151,344,631 267,992,836 959,997,859 1,531,392,484LGS-3P 115.749.939 116,368,262 206,915,802 759,704,813 1,198,738.816LGS-3T 12,453,610 12,111.991 25.669,047 100,145,694 150,380,342Total LGS 506.285,929 497,764,074 850,244.282 3.116,981,875 4,971,276,160 Cost
lGS-2S-WP 2,954,581 4.513,214 18,179,426 11,573,345 37.220,566 1,34%LGS-2P-WP 619,127 596,932 1.056,769 3,160,750 5,433,578 10.77%LGS-2T-WP 72,172 177,327 479,108 965,360 1,693,967 13.62%LG8-3S-WP 531,406 4,297,122 17,135,268 26,299,801 48,263,597 0.35%LGS-3P-WP 1,078,606 3.590,065 22,963,717 45,636,797 73,269,185 0.93%LGS-3T-WP 4,084,771 6,217,490 19,531,761 51,783,634 81.617.656 32.80%TotalWP 9,340,663 19,392,150 79,346,049 139,419,687 247,498,549 1.84%
lGS Marginal Transmission Costs
Class Peak Mid Off Other TotalLGS.2S 6,939,330 812,920 241 70.899 7,823,390LGS-2P 186,662 22,391 7 1,924 210,984LGS-2T 15,271 1.820 1 173 17,265LGS-3S 4,747.758 569,520 175 48,885 5,366,338LGS-3P 3,511,175 420,025 128 35,002 3,966,330LGS-3T 360,005 42,161 16 3,729 405,911Total17,790,218
WP Marginal Transmission Cost Using Annual Kwh Scaling WPMargClassPeakMidOffOtherTotalPeakLGS-2S-WP 127,681 14,957 4 1,305 143,947 93,303LGS-2P-WP 16,588 1,990 1 171 18,750 20,097lGS-2T-WP 3,851 459 0 44 4,354 2.081LGS-3S-WP 149,631 17,949 6 1,541 169,126 16,592LGS-3P-WP 214,610 25,673 8 2.139 242,430 32.719LGS-3T-WP 195,390 22,883 9 2,024 220,305 118,081Total798.911
LGS Marginal Substation Costs
Class Peak Mid Off Other TotalLGS-2S 6,592,480 772,288 229 67,355 7,432,352lGS-2P 177,332 21.272 7 1,828 200,439LGS-2T
lGS-3S 4,510,449 541,054 166 46,441 5,098,110LGS-3P 3.335,675 399,031 122 33,252 3,768,080lG8-3T
Total 16,498.981
. WP Marginal Substation Costs Using Annual Scaling WPM
.e e
Class Peak Mid Off Other Total PeakLGS-2S-WP 121,299 14,210 4 1,239 136,752 88,639LGS-2P-WP 15,759 1,890 1 162 17,813 19,093LG5-2T-WP 0 0 0 0 0LGS-3S-WP 142,152 17,052 5 1,464 160,673 15,763LGS-3P~WP 203,883 24,390 7 2,032 230,312 31,083LGS-3T-WP 0 0 0 0 0Total545,550
Class
LGS-2S
lGS-2P
LGS-2T
lGS-3S
LGS-3P
LGS-3T
Total
Class
LGS-2S-WP
LGS-2P-WP
LGS-2T-WP
LGS-3S-WP
LGS-3P-WP
LGS-3T-WP
Total
LGS Marginal NonRevenue Feeder CotsPeak Mid Off Other
9,986,80 1,169,922 347
268,636 32,224 10
Total
102,034 11,259,107
2,769 303,639
o
7,723.016
5,708,182
o
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6,832.781
5,053.141
819,630
604,483
252
185
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50,373
WP Mar9in~1 NonRevenue Feeder Costs Using Annual ScalingPeak Mid Off Other Total
183,753 21,526 6 1,87723,873 2,864 1 246o 0 0 0
215,343 25,832 8 2,217
308.858 36,947 11 3,079o 0 0 0
WP Margin
Peak
207.163
26,984
o
243,400
348,895
o
826,441
134.277
28,923
o
23,879
47,087
o
Total all Scaled Marginal cost 2,170,902
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Mid Off Other
Period Ratio of WP Kwh to LGS kwh
2.13%
10.35%
33.50%
2.84%
3.09%
51.33%
3.90%
5.37%
10.44%
46.13%
6.39%
11.0%
76.09%
9.33%
0.92%
8.00%
20.90%
2.74%
6.01%
51.71%
4.47%
Total
Annual Ratio
WP/LGS
1.84%
8.89%
25.22%
3.15%
6.11%
54.27%
4.98%
inal Tranmsission Cost Using Time of Use Kwh ScalingMid Off Other Total17,335 13 6552.317 1 154610 0 3616.170 11 1,339
12.958 14 2,10321.643 12 1,928
arginal Substation Cost Using Time of Use Scaling
111,306
22,569
2.727
34,113
47,794
141.664
360.173
e
Percent $
Difference Difference
29.33% -32.641
.16.92% 3.819
59.66% -1.627
395.78% -135.013
407.24% -194.636
55.51% -78.640
121.81% -438,738
Percent $
.e e,"
Mid Off Other Total Difference Difference16,469 12 622 105,742 29.33%-31,0102.201 1 146 21,441 -16.92%3,62800000.00%0'15,362 11 1,272 32,408 395.78%-128,26512,310 14 1.998 45,405 407.24%-184,90700000.00%0
204,996 166.13%-340,553
al NonRevenue Feeder Costs Using Time of Use ScalingMid Off Other Total24,948 19 9423,334 1 222o 0 023,272 16 1,92718,649 21 3,026o 0 0
Percent $
Difference Difference
29.33% -46,976-16.92% 5,4970.00% 0
395.78% -194,305
407.24% -280,1120.00% 0
166.13% -515,897
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..e e
NPC Distribution Marginal Costs
. DistributionClass
RM 57468 14,69%-3766 37,853 37,853RS19594150.09%-2306 139,597 139,597 "
LRS 938 0.24%-16 663 663 ;;;~GS 20602 5.27%-280 14,640 14,640 ~"'.LGS-1 54660 13.97%-70 39.515 39 515 ~
, '-:"1LGS-2S 25920 6.63%-1 18.771 18,771 ïLG8-2P 640 0.16%463 463 ,LGS-2T 308 0.08%223 223 '~'l=-LGS-3S 15875 4.06%745 12,242 12.242 -',LGS-3P 10865 2.78%583 8,452 8,452LGS-3T 1301 0.33%73 1.015 1,015LGS-XS 82 0.02%9 68 26 94LGS-XP 2795 0.71%298 2,322 2291 4,613LGS-XT 312 0.08%378 60 867 1,471LGS-2-WPS 636 0.16%18 479 479 -77.98527LGS-2-WPP 70 0.02%3 54 54 9.125091LGS-2-WPT 36 0.01%1 27 27 0LGS-3-WPS 571 0.15%23 437 437 -322.5703LGS-3-WPP 764 0.20%36 589 589 465.0197LGS-3-WPT 193 0.05%40 180 180 0SST°0.00%0 0SL7180.18%76 -6 590 590RS-PAL 137 0.04%99 99
GS-PAL 349 0.09%253 253AIWP00.00%0 °
- 391181 2283 -6445 279136 3185 282321 . -856.4502
283298 282,320
Cost PwrFac Addl Fac Total - - Cost RRClassRRPercentAdjContractsCost RR Base
RM 155,172 10.95%155,172 155.172RS563,365 39.77%563,365 563,365LRS3,078 0.22%3.078 3,078GS50,902 3.59%50,902 50,902LGS-1 229,886 16.23%14 1 229,901 229,901LGS-2S 134,597 9.50%44 134.641 134,641
LGS-2P 3.800 0.27%1 6 3.807 3,807LGS-2T 540 0.04%0 540 540LGS-3S 95,932 6.77%34 95,966 95,966lGS-3P 72,287 5.10%26 36 72,349 72,349lGS-3T 8,364 0.59%2 8,366 8,366LGS-XS 1,060 0.07%4 1,064 1,064LGS-XP 37,184 2.62%203 75 37,462 37,462LGS-XT 42,473 3.00%21 75 42,569 42.569LGS-2-WPS 2,346 0.17%2 2,348 2,348lGS-2-WPP 383 0.03%1 384 384
..e e
LGS-2-WPT 94 0.01%94 94LGS-3-WPS 1,983 0.14%1 1,984 1.984LGS-3-WPP 2,930 0.21%2.930 2.930LGS-3-WPT 3,666 0.26%3,666 3,666SST00.00%12 0 0SL5,978 0.42%5.978 5,978RS-PAL 140 0.01 %140 140GS-PAL 375 0.03%375 375AIWP00.00%0 01,416,537 365 193 1,417,083 1,419.524
1.417.081
2443
.'e e
with Scling Adjustment , Transmission Costs
Total Adjust5746814.72%37,944 37,944 .9778 10.91%728119594150.20%139,908 139,908 39783 44.38%296249380.24%665 665 188 0.21%140206025.28%14,673 14,673 2578 2.88%19205466014.00%39,602 39,602 13808 15.40%10282259206.64%18,812 18,812 7823 8.73%58256400.16%465 465 211 0.24%1573080.08%224 224 17 0.02%13158754.07%12,267 12,267 1:5366 5.99%3996108652.78%8,469 8,469 3966 4.42%295313010.33%1,017 1,017 406 0.45%302820.02%69 95 60 0.07%4527950.72%2,327 4,618 2050 2.29%15273120.08%604 1,471 2746 3.06%2045558.01473 0.14%423 -56 423 144 0.16%107 -32.6410879.125091 0.02%60 7 60 19 0.02%14 3.819349360.01%27 0 27..6 0.01%4 .3.117909248.42975 0.06%203 -233 203 169 0.19%126 -135.0132298.98028 0.08%253 -336 253 242 0.27%180 -194.6361930.05%180 0 180 -'220 0.25%164 -78.6404600.00%0 0 0 0.00%07180.18%591 591 62 0.07%461370.04%99 99 0 0.00%03490.09%253 253 0 0.00%000.00%0 0 0.00%0390324.55 279,136 -618 89642 100.00%66752 -40.2293
-1296.679
Present Percent First First First First First FirstPercentRevIncreaseCapReallocRemainPercentAllCap10.95%144051 7.72%o .155171.7 18.39%17643.4 172,81539.76%424559 32.69%464866 98499.27 0 0.00%0 464,8660.22%2803 9.81%3069 8.913007 .0 0.00%0 3,0693.59%46716 8.96%0 50902.08 6.03%5787.693 56,69016.22%238967 -3.79%0 229901.4 27.25%26140.36 256,0429.50%:u..
15308.97 149.950144581-6.88%0 134640.6 15.96%0.27%3934 -3.22%0 3807.46 0.45%432.9176 4,2400.04%347 55.59%397 142.889 0 0.00%0 3976.77%104259 -7.95%0 95965.69 11.37%10911.54 106,8775.11%75826 -4.59%0 72349.35 8.57%8226.3 80.5760.59%8654 -3.33%0 8366.169 0.99%951,2541 9,3170.08%1188 .10.42%0 1064.245 0.13%121,0073 1,1852.64%36816 1.75%0 37461.87 4.44%4259.507 41,7213.00%40123 6.10%0'.42568.64 5.05%4840.16 47,4090.17%2145 9.45%0 2347.7 0.28%266.9393 2,6150.03%315 22.04%360 24.4263 .0 0.00%0 360
.e e
0.01%94 0.49%0 94.4567 0.01%10.73996 1050.14%2298 -13.66%0 1983.997 0.24%225.5854 2,2100.21%3317 -11.67%0 2929.791 0.35%333.1245 3,2630.26%3905 -6.11%0 3666_327 0.43%416.8705 4.0830.00%0 0.00%0 0 0.00%0 00.42%8719 -31.43%8719 -2740.514 0 0.00%0 8,7190.01%150 -6.42%0 140.371 0.02%15.96053 1560.03%410 -8.48%0 375.2129 0.04%42.66264 4180.00%0.00%0 0 0.00%0 012939999.49%95934.99 84737
e e
Generation Energy wlo Total wlO Energy RR
Savings Demand Hoover Hoovers Percent w/o Hoover97780.109617 7317.131 50888 96350 147238 10.45%112,800397830.445989 29770.65 222305 302974 525279 37.28%402,7411880.002108 140.6853 1061 1985 3046 0.22%2,33525780.028901 1929.184 15489 29247 44736 3.17%34,300138080.154795 10332.88 77373 157330 234703 16.66%179,95178230.0877 5854.154 42843 100535 143378 10.17%109,9312110.002365 157.896 1194 2951 4145 0.29%3,178170.000191 12.72154 89 307 396 0.03%30453660.060156 4015.517 28887 74996 103883 7.37%79,64939660.04461 2967.861 21689 57676 79365 5.63%60.8514060.004551 303.8203 2295 6891 9186 0.65%7,043600.000673 44.89956 322 879 1201 0.09%92120500.022982 1534.068 10918 29556 40474 2.87%31,03227460.030784 2054.903 15107 36782 51889 3.68%39,784111.3589 0.001248 83.33277 .24 632 1767 2399 0.17%1,83922.81935 0.000256 17.07631 3 132 267 399 0.03%3062.882091 3.23E-05 2.156744 .2 8 77 85 0.01%6533.98683 0.000381 25.43322 -100 99 2189 2288 0.16%1,75447.36398 0.000531 35.44369 -145 201 3244 3445 0.24%2,641141.3595 0.001585 105.783 -58 797 3612 4409 0.31%3,38000000.00%0620.000695 46.39621 291 6675 6966 0.49%5,34100056560.00%430001591590.0%12200000.00%089201.77 1 66752 .326 492620 916505 1409125 1 1080403
First Second Reveue Second Second Secnd Second Second Third
% Change Cap For Reali Remain Percent All CapRR % Change Cap19.97%157721.4 15,094 0 0 0 157721.4 9.49%09.49%0 0 0 0.00%0 464866 9.49%09.49%0 0 0 0.00%0 3069 9.49%021.35%53485.15 3,205 0 0.00%0 53485.15 14.49%07.15%0 0 229901.4 38.79%7729.633 263771.4 10.38%03.71%0 0 134640.6 22.71%4526.819 154476.3 6.84%07.79%0 0 3807.46 0.64%128.0125 4368.39 11.04%014.41%0 0 0 0.00%0 397 14.41%02.51%0 0 95965.69 16.19%3226.511 110103.7 5.61%06.26%0 0 72349.35 12.21%2432.494 83008.14 9.47%07.67%0 0 8366.169 1.41%281.2832 9598.706 10.92%0-0.23%0 0 1064.245 0.18%35.78151 1221.034 2.78%013.32%0 0 37461.87 6.32%1259.524 42980.9 16.75%42150.6418.16%45936.82 1,472 0 0.00%0 45936.82 14.49%021.89%2455.811 159 0 0.00%0 2455.811 14.49%014.29%0 0 0 0.00%0 360 14.29%0
e e
11.91%0 0 94.4567 0.02%3.175777 108.3724 15.29%107.6206-3.85%0 0 1983.997 0.33%66.70497 2276.287 -0.94%0-1.63%0 0 2929.791 0.49%98.50399 3361.42 1.34%04.56%0 0 3666.327 0.62%123.2674 4206.465 7,72%00.00%0 0 0 0.00%0 0 0.00%00.00%0 0 0 0.00%0 8719 0.00%04.22%0 0 140.371 0.02%4.719485 161.051 7.37%01,92%0 0 375.2129 0.06%12.61522 430.4908 5.00%00.00%0 0 0 0.00%0 0 0.00%019,929 592746.9
e e
i'.NPC Scaling
Hoover Energy , Total Adjusted SNWa
Adj Total . CostRR CostRR Difference dOnly,-2980 109,910 155,04 155,172 -127
-9055 393,686 562,908 563,365 -458
-63 2,272 ~3,076 3,078 .2
34,300 50,860 50,902 -42
179,951 '..229,749 229,886 .138
109,931 ;,134,527 134,597 -70
3,178 v 3,799 3,800 -2
304 539 540 .1
79,649 95,887 95,932 -45
60,851 ~.72,256 72,287 -32
7,043 8,361 8,364 -4
921 1,060 1,060 0
31,032 37,172 37,184 -12
-838 38,946 42,462 42,473 -11
1,839 2,425 2,346 79 79
306 374 383 -10 -10
65 97 94 2 2
1,754 2,317 1,983 334 334
2,641 3,411 2,930 481 481
3,380 :3,724 3,666 58 58
° .,1 0 0 °
5,341 .5,977 5,978 -1
-2 41 #.140 140 0.122 '375 375 -1
0 0 0 0
.12938 1067465 'I'1416537 1416537 -8.58E-12 944.5003t:
Rev for Third .. Third Third Third Third Fourth
Reali Remain ., Percent Alloc C8pRR % Change Cap
0 0 0 0 157721.4 9.49%0;.
464866 9.49%00o 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 3069 9.49%0
0 o ,r 0 0 53485.15 14.49%0
0 229901.4 .0.414095 344.1189 264115.6 10.52%0
0 134640.6 "0.242512 201.5314 154677.9 6.98%0
0 3807.46 .0.006858 5.699046 4374.089 11.19%0
0 0.'0 0 397 14.41%0
0 95965.69 ;:0.172852 143.6424 110247.4 5.74%0
0 72349.35 .0.130314 108.2933 83116.44 9.61%0
0 8366.169 -0.015069 12.52257 9611.229 11.06%0
0 1064.245 .0,001917 1.592973 1222.627 2.91%0
830.2632 0 0 0 42150.64 14.49%0
0 o 'u'0 0 45936.82 14.49%0
0 o .0 0 2455.811 14.49%0
0 0'0 0 360 14.29%0
e e
0.751843 0,.,0 0 107.6206 14.49%0
0 1983.997 ;0.003574 2.969667 2279.257 -0.82%0
0 2929.791 0.005277 4.385342 3365.805 1.47%0
0 3666.327 .~0.006604 5.487796 4211.953 7.86%0
0 0 0 0 0 0.00%0
0 0 0 0 8719 0.00%0
0 140.371 0.000253 0.210109 161.2611 7.51%0
0 375.2129 "-0.000676 0.561623 431.0524 5.13%aa00000.00%0831.0151 555190.6 4.61E+08
e e
Certification Kwh
LGS-2S-WP 2.954,581 4.513,214 18,179,426 11.573,345 37.220.566 LGS.2S 219,745,127LGS-2P-WP 619.127 596,932 1,056,769 3.160,750 5,433,578 LGS-2P 5,750,377LGS-2T-WP 72,172 177,327 479,108 965.360 1,693,967 LGS-2T 529,718LGS-3S-WP 531,406 4,297,122 17,135,268 26,299,801 48,263,597 LGS-3S 152,057,158LGS-3P-WP 1,078,606 3,590,065 22,963,717 45,636,797 73,269,185 LGS-3P 115,749,939LGS-3T-WP 4,084,771 6,217,490 19,531,761 51,783,634 81,617,656 LGS-3T 12,453,610
9,340.663 19,392,150 79,346,049 139,419,687 247,498,549 506,285,929
LGS-2S-WP 7.94%12.13%48.84%31.09%100.00%LGS-2S 10.86%LGS-2P-WP 11.39%10.99%19.45%58.17%100.00%LGS-2P 9.40%LGS-2T-WP 4.26%10.47%28.28%56.99%100.00%LGS-2T 7.89%LGS-3S-WP 1.10%8.90%35.50%54.49%100.00%LGS-3S 9.93%LGS-3P.WP 1.47%4.90%31.34%62.29%100.00%LGS-3P 9.66%LGS-3T-WP 5.00%7.62%23.93%63.45%100.00%LGS-3T 8.28%3.77%7.84%32.06%56.33%100.00%10.18%
Peak Only Percent
LGS-2S-WP 11.52%17.60%70.88%100.00%LGS-2S 28.54%LGS-2P-WP 27.24%26.26%46.50%100.00%LGS-2P 26.57%LGS-2T-WP 9.91%24.34%65.76%100.00%LGS-2T 25.25%LGS-3S-WP 2.42%19.56%78.02%100.00%LGS-3S 26.61%LGS.3p.WP 3.90%12.99%83.10%100.00%LGS-3P 26.36%LGS-3T-WP 13.69%20.84%65.47%100.00%LGS.3T 24.79%8.64%17.94%73.41%100.00%27.30%
Last Case Certification Kwh
LGS-2S-WP 2,594,784 3,456,756 16,088,819 7,654,423 29,794,782
LGS.2P-WP 110,542 131,481 306,113 790,036 1,338,172
lGS-2T-WP 89,968 188,171 448,921 927.859 1,654,919
LGS-3S-WP 1,135,933 2,668,807 15,162,796 33,722,011 52.689,54 7
LGS-3P-WP 1,966,055 3,910,641 17,589,600 39,665.609 63,131,905
LGS-3T-WP 2,332,478 5,762,965 23.918,299 72,296,858 104,310,600
8,229,760 16,118,821 73,514,548 155,056,796 252,919,925
LGS-2S-WP
LGS-2P-WP
LGS-2T-WP
LGS-3S-WP
8.71%
8.26%
5.44%
2.16%
11.60%
9.83%
11.37%
5.07%
54.00%
22.88%
27.13%
28.78%
25.69%
59.04%
56.07%
64.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
..e e
lGS-3P-WP 3.11 %6.19%27.86%62.83%100.00%LGS-3T-WP 2.24%5.52%22.93%69.31 %100.00%
3.25%6.37%29.07%61.31%100.00%
.-e e
211.641,143 338,506,134 1,253,012.472 2.022.904,876
5,768,765 10,121,915 39,501,303 61,142.360
529,282 1,038,548 4,619,734 6,717,282
151,34,631 267,992,836 959,997,859 1,531,392,484
116,368,262 206.915,802 759,704,813 1,198,738.816
12,111,991 25,669,047 100,145,694 150,380,342
497,764.074 850,244.282 3.116,981,875 4,971,276,160
10.46%16.73%61.94%100.00%
9.43%16.55%64.61%100.00%
7.88%15.46%68.77%100.00%
9.88%17.50%62.69%100.00%
9.71%17.26%63.38%100.00%
8.05%17.07%66.59%100.00%
10.01%17.10%62.70%100.00%
27.49%43.97%100.00%
26.66%46.77%100.00%
25,23%49.51%100.00%
26.49%46.90%100.00%
26.51%47.13%100.00%
24.11%51.10%100.00%
26.84%45.85%100.00%
.."e e
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
J hereby certify that I have this day sered a copy of Southern Nevada Water Authority's
Prefied Testimony of Denns Peaseau, Phase II - Rate Design upon each of the parties listed
below by placing the same in the U.S. Mail postage prepaid, or electronically, to the following:
Kathleen Draklich
Sierr Pacific Power
6100 Neil Road
Reno, Nevada 89520
kdrakliCh~ç.com
smcdonald šPpc.com
nellianotmevp.com
csilviera(gppc.com
Staff Counsel
Public Utilities Commission of Nevada
1150 East Wiliam Street
Carson City, NV 89701
troberts~puc.stte.nv .us
Alaina Burtenshaw
Public Utilties Commission
101 Convention Center Drive, Suite 250
La Vegas, NV 891109
aburtens(guc.state.nv.us
Tim Hay
Attorney General's Bureau of Consumer Protection
1000 East Wiliam, Suite 200
Carson City, NV 89701
tdhayt!ag.state.nv. us
Eric Witkoski
Attorney General's Bureau of Consumer Protection
555 E. Washington St., Suite 3900
Las Vegas, NV 89101
epwitkos(!ag.state.nv.us
Robert Crowell
Crowell, Susich, Owen & Tackes
P.O. Box 1000
Carson City, NV 89702
rcrowelllfadvocacy.net
¡'e e
Doris Knesek
USAN
P.O. Box 1823
Caron City, NV 89702
doris~usan.carn-city.nv .US
Lawrence Gollomp
USDE
1000 Independence Ave., SW
Washington, D.C. 20585
Lawrnce.GaUomp(á.doe.gov
Dale Swan
Exeter Associates. Inc.
5565 Sterrett Place. Suite 310
Columbia, MD 21044
dswanMYexeterassociates.com
Mark Russell
Mirage Casino-Hotel
3400 Las Vegas Blvd. South
Las Vegas. NY 89109
mrussell(iirge.com
mashcraft(âlaw.com
Richard Emmons
Michael Kostrinsky
Harrah's Operating Company, Inc.
One Har's Court
La Vegas, NV 89119-4132
mkostrinsàlharr.coin
remmons(âarrs.com
Dan Reaser
Shawn Elicegui
50 West Libery Street. S1. 1100
Reno, NV 89501
drserMYlionelsawyer.com
seliceguiMYlionelsawyer .com
mbowant.lionelsawyer.com
Marie Marin-Kerr and Phil Wiliamson
Bureau of Consumer Protection
1000 E Wiliam St., Suite 200
Carson City. NV 89701-3 i 17
mmerrCfag.state.nv.us
pwiliamsonØJag.state.nv.us
\ ~'.e e
Bil Kockenmeister
6005 Plumas St., Suite 301
Reno, NV 89509
bily§alns.com
Martha Ashcraf
3993 Howard Hughes Parkway
Suite 600
Las Vegas, NV891 09
mashcraft(Btrlaw.com
Michael P. Alcantar
Donald Brookhyser
Alcanta & Kahl LLP
1300 SW Fifth, Suite i 750
Portland, OR 97201
deb§a-klaw_com
mpaCfa-klaw.com
James Ross
RCS, Inc.
500 Chesterfeld Center, Suite 320
Chesterfield, MO 63017
jimross(f-e-s-inc.com
Michael Kur
Boehm, Kurt & Lowr
36 East Seventh Street, Suite 21 10
Cincinnati, OH 45202
mkurtlawtW..oL.com
MikePinnau
Chemical Lime Company
3700 Hulen Street
Ft. Worth, TX 76107
mpinnau(Bchemjcallime.com
-J.: ~.. .......e
Scott Craigie
Present, Alrus Consulting
6005 Plumas, Suite301
Reno, NV 89509
Dated this 27th day of Januar, 2004.
e
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BEFORE THE PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION OF NEVADA - .. ' : : !
Docket No. 02-11021
Direct Testimony of
Dennis E. Peseau
on behalf of
the Southern Nevada Water Authority
Q. PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUSINESS ADDRESS.
A. My name is Dennis E. Peseau. My business address is Suite 250, 1500
Libert Street, S.E., Salem, Oregon 97302.
Q. BY WHOM AND IN WHAT CAPACITY ARE YOU EMPLOYED?
A. I am President of Utilty Resources, Inc. My firm consults on a number of
economic, financial and engineering matters for various private and public
. entities.
Q. ON WHOSE BEHALF ARE YOU TESTIFYING IN THIS PROCEEDING?
A. I am testifying on behalf of the Southern Nevada Water Authority (SNWA).
Q. DOES ATTACHMENT 1 ACCURATELY DESCRIBE YOUR BACKGROUND
AND EXPERIENCE?
A. Yes.
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Q. WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR DIRECT TESTIMONY?
A. In this Docket No. 02-11021, Nevada Power Company ("Nevada Power")
seeks authority to adjust the current Deferred Energy Accounting Adjustment
("OEM") rate and Sase Tari Energy Rate ("STER") such that the proposed
adjusted rates result in an overall rate reduction of 5.6% for residential
customers and a rate reduction of 5.1 % for nonresidential customers. These
percentage decreases are the result of Nevada Power proposing to amortize
its additional accumulated OEM balances of $195 million over a three year
period, but reduce its BTER in this case by almost 20% over the present level
to net to the resultant proposed overall rate decreases.
In its Application and filing, Nevada Power also requests two specific
waivers from deferred energy accounting provisions. Nevada Power first
requests a waiver to deviate from regulations to defer and carry forward to the
next deferred energy period "the accrued but unpaid costs associated with the
disputed (Enron, Cal Pine, Morgan Stanley, Reliant, Sempra, Trans-Canada)
claims of terminating suppliers", which it claims total $229 millon.
(Application, Page 15). Nevada Power makes a second request to deviate
from the regulations and seeks Commission approval for a new methodology
for setting the BTER in this proceeding.
The purpose of my testimony is to propose certain adjustments to the
DEA rate and BTER rate based upon my differing opinions as to the
appropriate levels of prudent fuel costs incurred by Nevada Power in its test
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year October 2001-September 2002.My testimony also makes
recommendations on Nevada Power's requests to deviate from normal
deferred energy accounting regulations.
Q. WHAT CONCLUSIONS HAVE YOU REACHED REGARDING THE
PRUDENCE OF THE $195.7 MILLION IN ADDITIONAL DEA RECOVERY
SOUGHT BY NEVADA POWER IN THESE PROCEEDINGS?
A. I conclude that in this case Nevada Power's request is overstated by at least
$90.8 milion. This overstatement appears to be the result of imprudent and
unauthorized purchases for fuel that, peculiarly, were made at the exact same
time for this test period as transactions that were found to be imprudent during
the previous test period in Docket No. 01-11029. In other words, in the very
same period of time, February-April 2001, ¡nwhich Nevada Power was found
in Docket No. 01-11029 to have made imprudent and excessive power
pu rchases, I find in the present case that imprudent transactions made at that
time also affect an amount of its test year October2001-September 2002
expenses.
In particular, i conclude that:
1. Although Nevada Power indicates in its filing that it incurred
$265.9 milion in net natural gas and transportation costs in the
test year, the Company incurred only $140.8 milion of actual
costs for delivered natural gas. Nevada Power lost the
difference, a net of some $125 millon, by speculating in
financial derivatives.
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2. The Company neglected in this filing to reduce test year
purchased power costs to comply with the Commission order in
Docket No. 01-11029 that found that Nevada Power had
imprudently overbought power during early 2001and that
Nevada Power was required to reduce the OEM for not
acquiring 25% of its forward power requirements in late 1999 at
a price based upon a "Merril Lynch" proxy for the price of
forward power. I did not have access to necessary
documentation to complete either the overbought or Merril
Lynch adjustment as i explain below. Although appropriate for
the Commission to continue its precedent in this case, i have
not developed the related adjustments and have focused solely
on the new issue of imprudence as a result of speculation in
natural gas financial derivatives.
3. The BTER rate set in this case should be adjusted upward in a
manner that approximately offsets the $90.8 milion
disallowance to DEA balances i am proposing, plus any and all
other adjustments the Commission finds appropriate in this
case, including the Merril Lynch adjustment. so as to preserve
the abilit of Nevada Power to reduce rates to residential and
nonresidential customers by 5.6% and 5.1 % respectively but
also maintain the cash flow level requested by Nevada Power in
this case.
NEVADA POWER'S GAS COSTS
AND FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
Q. WHAT IS THE ISSUE WITH RESPECT TO THE TEST YEAR RECOVERY
OF NATURAL GAS COSTS SOUGHT BY NEVADA POWER?
A. In Nevada Power's Exhibits E-2, Line 21 and E-3, Page 2 of 2, Line 26, the
Company claims that it incurred Test Period Natural Gas Costs of
$250,256,132, net of inventory adjustment. This amount is carried forward
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with other test year fuel and purchased power costs to form the basis for
establishing and collecting test year costs through an adjusted OEA rate.
The $250,256,132 of gas costs is derived from Nevada Power Exhibit
E-11.6, Page 3 of 6, Lines 21-31, Column (aa) as the difference betwen
column (a a) subtotal of $265,860,683 and an adjustment of $15,604,551.
Line 21 indicates that Total (delivered) Gas and Transportation costs in the
test year were only $140,830,145. Line 23 of this same exhibit shows a line
labeled "Less:Sales," that is, the revenues derived by Nevada Power from the
sellng off of any excess or unused natural gas. But the sales revenues on
Line 23 are added to, rather than subtracted from, the Line 21 total gas costs.
In other words, by adding the sales revenue figure of Line 23 to Line 21,
Nevada Power is in effect indicating that it paid parties in the test year
$125,030,538 to take its excess gas. i initially assumed that the accounting
here was simply in error, with an inadvertent error in sign, from negative to
positive.
The issue here is just what this "Less:Sales" figure of $125,030,538
represents, and why is the figure being added to test year costs and proposed
to be charged to ratepayers?
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Q. HAVE YOU DETERMINED THE SOURCE OF THE $125,030,538 THAT
NEVADA POWER INCLUDES AS A NATURAL GAS COST?
A. Yes. In a partial response to Data Request SNWA 17, a copy of which is
shown in my Exhibit _ (DEP.,1), Nevada Power explains that the
$125,030,538 is the sum of actual sales revenues for its excess gas, and
losses it incurred in the use of financial derivatives, or financial trades during
the test year. The figure of $125,030,538 is the sum of the sales revenues
from resellng excess natural gas (and therefore a negative entry) and the
actual losses of $133,184,681 the Company incurred by making "financial
trades." This is why I qualified in my conclusions above that Nevada Power
lost a "net" of $125 millon. It actually lost the $133.2 million.
Q. WERE ANY ACTUAL OR PHYSICAL QUANTITIES OF NATURAL GAS
PURCHASED OR RECEIVED IN THIS FINANCIAL TRADING?
A. No, the $133,184,681 that Nevada Power is attempting to recover did not
purchase a single molecule of gas. Nevada Power paid an additional sum of
$140,830,145 for the actual gas that it burned in the test year.
Q. WHERE IN NEVADA POWERlS FILING IS THE TOPIC OF THE LOSSES
FROM FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES OF $133.2 MILLION ADDRESSED?
A. This topic is neither addressed nor explained in the Company's filing, except
for a one page vague reference to hedging strategy in the testimony of witness
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Lorelei Reid, Direct, Page 4, Line 12, to Page 5, Line 15. This general
discussion never references any of the financial consequences or
circumstances under which these financial derivatives were entered or even
that Nevada Power incurred such losses.
Q. WHICH OF THE NEVADA POWER WITNESSES ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR
ADDRESSING THE PRUDENCE OF TEST YEAR NATURAL GAS
EXPENSES?
A. The testimony of Mr. Coyle and the deposition of Mr. Branch both identify Ms.
LoreLei Reid as the only witness addressing the issue of the prudence of test
year natural gas expenses.
Q. WHAT DOES MS. REID TESTIFY TO REGARDING THE COMPANY'S
FINANCIAL OR IIHEDGING" STRATEGY FOR NATURAL GAS?
A. From a literal reading of her testimony, Page 4, Line 12 to Page 5, Line 15, i
inferred that at the September 5, 2001 Risk Management Committee ("RMC")
meeting, which was just prior to the October 2001 start to the test year in this
case, the RMC approved some form of hedging strategy for test period
supplies of natural gas. Had this happened, the timing would have been
almost perfectly consistent with the hedging strategies that Nevada Power and
the RMC followed in the year prior. That is, on or about September 20, 2000
Nevada Power began engaging in hedging strategies (basis swaps and fixed
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for floating swaps) gradually over a course of six or seven months for the
Docket No. 01-11029 test year, which began October 2000.
But, when I reviewed the September 5, 2001 RMC minutes referenced
by Ms. Reid in the present case, I noted that the minutes reflected a request
by her and subsequent approval by the RMC to hedge only 10.000 Dthlday for
Nevada Power. Her testimony, Page 5, Line 5, indicates that the Company's
needs were approximately 150,000 Dth/day. No RMC minutes subsequent to
September 5, 2001, nor did the confidential gas purchase transaction sheets,
indicate any later hedging activities.
Q. WHAT DID YOU CONCLUDE FROM THESE MINUTES, AND MS. REID'S
TESTIMONY?
A. I concluded that Nevada Power either took a gas purchase position that was
indexed to actual market prices for its remaining gas needs of approximately
140,000 Dthlday, or had conducted hedging activities prior to the September
5, 2001 time frame but was without a reference by or any discussion of in Ms.
Reid's testimony. The latter conclusion seemed most plausible, as i could not
understand. how the hedging position of the relatively modest quantity
of1 0,000 Dth/day could have led to the huge test year losses of $133.2 milion.
A gas purchase position that would have been indexed to the market pnce
could not have produced any financial losses.
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Q. HAVE YOU BEEN ABLE TO DETERMINE THE SOURCES AND CAUSES
OF THE $133.2 MILLION LOSSES FROM HEDGING?
A. Yes. Several months prior to September 5, 2001, over a period of just four
specific days, February 22, and April 11, 12 and 27, Nevada Power entered
into a limited number of very high priced basis hedges that produced the
overwhelming percentage of its test year financial losses. The taking of these
huge positions was inconsistent with an appropriate buy over time hedging
strategy that was in place, as well as inconsistent with the gas hedging
strategy that Nevada Power had implemented in the purchase of its Docket
No. 01-11029 test year natural gas supplies. As I show below, had Nevada
Power remained with its buy-over-time strategy, it could have reduced its test
year natural gas costs that it attributes to financial derivatives in the present
case test year by at least $91 millon.
Q. WHAT NATURAL GAS PROCUREMENT POLICY WAS IN EFFECT AT
NEVADA POWER DURING THE PERIOD IN WHICH THE TEST YEAR GAS
HEDGES WERE MADE?
A. There was no written natural gas procurement strategy in effect during the
time frame that the hedging that took place on February 22, April 11,12 and
27,2001 (Reid dep., page 104, lines 12-24 and page 162, Lines 9-15). In
addition, there were no discussions that could be recalled by Ms. Reid
concerning these hedges prior to the February 22 or April 11 , 12 and 27, 2001
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purchases despite statements by Nevada Power that such discussions and
pre-approvals are usual practice. Although Company protocol required
signatures on trades by superiors, the approvals for the trades in question
here were not obtained until after the trades had been executed (Reid dep.,
Page 55, Line 1 to Page 56, Line 24, and Page 143, Lines 3-16).
Q. ARE THERE DOLLAR VALUE LIMITS ON THE RISK ASSOCIATED WITH
THE FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS THAT NEVADA POWER PERSONNEL
CAN ENTER INTO?
A. Yes. During the period in question, the dollar value limit for Ms. Reid to enter
into natural gas transactions was $2 milion per trade. I am unable to explain
how the February 22 and April 11 , 12 and 27 trades could have been entered
into consistent with this restriction, given the eventual $133.2 milion losses
associated with them.1 Ms. Reid's total of only six individual transactions on
February 22 and April 11,12 and 27 for basis swaps alone totaled loss
positions of over $90 millon. One trade was conducted on February 22, two
trades conducted on April1, one trade on April 12 and two trades conducted
on April 27. The losses associated with each trade ranged from over $5
millon individually for one trade, to over $30 milion.
1The dollar value limits of $2 milion were increased to $5 milion subject to
Board approval, later at the May 23, 2001 RMC meeting.
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Q. CAN YOU DETERMINE WHETHER THE RISK MANAGEMENT COMMITIE
WAS OPERATING UNDER ANY DEFINED GAS PROCUREMENT
DISCIPLINE?
A. Minutes of an RMC meeting date February 29, 2001, Page 2, attached as my
Exhibit _ (DEP-2) indicate that all members approved a motion to II ...
continue the current buy over time strategy with respect to Nov.-Mar. 2002 ..."
with respect to natural gas purchases. This same motion, however, required
that"... by next meeting an outline of a fuel procurement strategy with respect
to coal/gas be prepared assuming no divestiture of generation "... No such
outline was prepared for the next RMC meeting of March 14, 2001, nor was
any discussion or outline prepared prior to any of the February 22 and April
11, 12 and 27 trades made by Ms. Reid. I wish to make clear here that these
February-April financial trades at that point in time were not for the coming
summer months, but for the following 2002 winter and summer months.
QUANTIFYING THE LOSSES OF
THE GAS FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
Q. JUST WHAT DID NEVADA POWER DO IN TERMS OF TRANSACTIONS
WITH FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES TO INCUR $133.2 MILLION IN LOSSES?
A. There are two fundamental components to delivered gas costs: the actual or
physical gas ("commodity") cost, and the transportation cost to the point of
receipt ("pipeline" or "basis"). Unless Nevada Power holds contract capacity
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on the pipelines serving Southern Nevada subject to FERC cost of service
rates, the cost of each ofthese two components varies in today's gas markets
under natural gas deregulation by the FERC. Therefore, in order for Nevada
Power to completely fix a test year price of gas delivered to its system, which it
apparently wished to do, the Company hedged both commodity prices ("fxed
for floating or FFSWAP") and transportation delivery prices ("basis swap").
The $133.2 millon in financial hedging losses were the result of the market
prices of both commodit and basis fallng dramatically after the hedges were
put in place. From Exhibit 1 attched to the deposition of Lorelei Reid, the test
year losses for each hedge can be seen as:2
Commodit: $36.8 milion loss
Basis: $99.7 milion loss
Q. SHOULD NEVADA POWER HAVE HEDGED GAS COMMODITY AND/OR
BASIS IN THE MANNER IN WHICH IT DID?
A. Absolutely not. At least three issues need to be addressed prior to entering
such hedges:
1. Should hedges or fixed-price financial derivatives be used at all,
or should the gas have been bought at indexed prices with no
possible financial impact on the Company or its customers?
2. Did Nevada Power possess or feel that it possessed superior
trading prowess or knowledge to "beat the market, II which in this
instance meant that it knew that both commodity and basis
prices would be higher over the October 2001-September 2002
2 Reid Deposition Exhibit 1, page 18 Grand Total for mark to market losses for FFSWAP
(commodity) and page 32 Grand Total for mark to market losses for BASISSWAP.
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test year, than the hedges it conducted in the February and April
2001 time period?
3. If Nevada Power did not possess superior market knowledge or
abilities, then a hedge should always be done in increments,
over time, to avoid taking a "price view" that is, making a bet that
prices would continue upward.
Q. PLEASE ADDRESS THE ISSUE OF WHETHER FIXED PRICE HEDGES
SHOULD HAVE BEEN ENTERED.
A. In retrospect the answer is easy. No. Gas costs would have been $133.2
milion lower absent the hedges. But the issue here regarding hedges is
whether or not Nevada Power should be taking on such financial risk when it
was anticipating to be or actually was under a deferred energy mechanism.
The corollary issue is whether this risk should be borne by shareholders or
ratepayers.
Q. WHY DO YOU STATE THAT NEVADA POWER COULD HAVE AVOIDED
THE USE OF FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES AND ASSOCIATED FINANCIAL
RISK BY SIMPLY ENTERING INTO GAS CONTRACTS WITH PRICES
INDEXED TO MARKET PRICES AT THE TIME OF GAS DELIVERY?
A. Financial hedges are nothing more than bets between a part and
counterpart. One part bets that prices are going to rise and the counterpart
bets that prices wil decrease. In each financial hedge that was undertaken by
Nevada Power, the Company was betting that gas prices would continue
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upward. That is all that a financial hedge is: a contractual commitment to
make a financial (only) settlement that is based upon the relationship between
the hedged contract price, and the actual market price at the time of gas
delivery.
With gas that is purchased with prices that are indexed to market
prices, no bet has been made, and no financial gains or losses are incurred.3
In such cases, Nevada Power simply receives and pays for natural gas at the
prevailng market price and has no additional financial responsibility.
Q. DID NEVADA POWER POSSESS SUPERIOR TRADING ABILITIES OR
INFORMATION WHEN EXERCISING THE TEST YEAR HEDGES?
A. No. As I explained above, there is no evidence of anything other than a buy
over time gas purchase strategy in place at the Company prior to the
February-April financial hedges and there were not even any discussions of
pending expected commodity or basis price increases at the time in February
and April 2002 when the hedges were made. Again, unless Nevada Power
held strong, informed convictions that commodity and basis prices were going
to rise above the then record level, then the financial hedges it entered could
only have resulted in monetary losses.
3 Ms. Reid acknowledges this in regard to indexed prices "...Since the terminated supply contract
were priced at index, the terminations had no financial impact on the Company or its customers,.. ..Direct, page 4, I 2-5). -14-
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Q. WERE THERE IN FACT DISCUSSIONS OR FORECASTS PRESENTED TO
NEVADA POWER THAT COMMODITY AND BASIS PRICES WERE GOING
TO DECREASE, NOT INCREASE AS IT BET?
A. Yes, and subsequent price decreases that actually did ensue are what
eventually led to the large financial losses. In March 2001 the investment
banking firm of Goldman, Sachs & Co. made a presentation to Sierra Pacific
Resources. A copy ofthe Goldman, Sachs & Co. presentation accompanies
the minutes ofthe RMC meeting of March14, 2001. This presentation shows
commodity and basis prices well below those that Nevada Power entered into
on April 11, 12 and 27, 2001. Knowledge of these forecasts, but exercising
the hedges anyway, greatly increased the financial risk ofthe Company's April
2001 hedges for the test year in this proceeding.
Q. WHY DO YOU MAINTAIN THAT IN THE ABSENCE OF SUPERIOR
MARKET KNOWLEDGE, HEDGES SHOULD ONLY BE IMPLEMENTED IN
INCREMENTS, OVER TIME?
A. If Nevada Power did not have a "price view," that is, a strong analysis or view
that prices were going to rise, but stil wanted to fix its test year gas prices, the
best procedure is to buy over time. This is sometimes referred to as price
averaging. Buying over time is an acknowledgment that one does not expect
to, at any point in time, beat the market. As commodities such as natural gas
have price patterns that are cyclical, buying overtime moderates or eliminates
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price risk. Some supplies are purchased at points on the price cycle below
average prices; some supplies are purchased at points on the price cycle
above average prices. Many studies indicate that commodity price
movements are somewhat random and unpredictable and, in order to remove
timing risk, should be bought overtime, thereby maximizing the probabilties of
buying at averages over time. My Exhibit _(DEP-3) is an excerpt from the
Company response to an oral request made at the deposition of Lorelei Reid
and contains a WEFA consulting report made to Nevada Power that
underscores the point that commodit prices and unpredictable.
Q. DID, IN FACT, NEVADA POWER ENTER THESE COMMODITY AND
TRANSPORTATION HEDGES AT THE "WRONG" TIME?
A. Yes, Neva~a Power clearly entered these transactions at the top or high side
of the price cycle. During the February-April 2001 time frame, both gas
commodity and market basis prices were at all time record levels. Locking into
hedges at this time is imprudent unless Nevada Power had strong information
and advice that prices were to continue setting new record levels. As one
might expect with commodity prices that are cyclical, actual gas commodity
and basis prices plummeted two months after the execution ofthe hedges and
huge financial losses ensued. My Exhibit_(DEP-4) shows the historical
behavior of gas commodity and basis prices before, during and after the
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February- April hedging. Nevada Power's timing could not have been worse,
as both ofthese prices plummeted in the following two months.
Q. DID NEVADA POWER USE A BUY OVER TIME HEDGING STRATEGY FOR
ITS DOCKET NO. 01-11029 TEST YEAR NATURAL GAS PURCHASES?
A. Yes. The test year for Docket No. 01-11029 was October 2000-September
2001. From a review of files of transactions sheets for gas hedging provided
by Nevada Power, I was able to determine that the Company's hedging
positions in this prior deferred energy test year occurred over an approximate
six month period beginning in September 2000. Over this period, Nevada
Power purchased approximately equal quantities of gas in a disciplined
manner over time.
If the Commission rules that it was prudent for Nevada Power to use
financial derivatives at all in acquiring natural gas supplies, then i recommend
that the Commission impose a buy over time hedging strategy that re-prices
Nevada Power's present test year hedges according to a six month gradual
purchase period.
Q. WHY DO YOU MAKE THIS RECOMMENDATION?
A. I realize that dealing in financial hedges is risky business. Financial
derivatives do not reduce gas costs over time, they only introduce price
certinty. But there is no means to know ahead whether these certain prices
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are above or below market. In order to benefit at all from these financial
hedges, the hedging must be done gradually over time.
BENEFICIARIES OF GAINS FROM NEVADA
POWER SPECULATION IN FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES
Q. DID THE COUNTERPARTIES TO THE FEBRUARY-APRIL FINANCIAL
HEDGES WITH NEVADA POWER MAKE SUBSTANTIAL MONETARY
GAINS?
A. Yes. In these few hedging transactions, Nevada Power's losses were the
counterparties' gains. Counterpartes gained over $133 milion on these few
financial hedges, in a penod of a few days.
Q. WHO BENEFITTED FROM NEVADA POWER'S HEDGED
TRANSACTIONS?
A. Interestingly, only three counterparties were involved in all of the commodity
and basis transactions with Nevada Power.
GAS COST ADJUSTMENTS TO
REFLECT PRUDENT HEDGING
Q. HOW DO YOU PROPOSE TO ADJUST THE FINANCIAL LOSSES FROM
NEVADA POWER'S HEDGING TO REFLECT A GRADUAL, BUY OVER
TIME PROCUREMENT STRTEGY?
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A. I propose to re-price the actual hedging transactions made by Nevada Power
by using the actual market prices for these hedging instruments that existed at
mid-month in each of the six months prior to the period of gas delivery. In
other words, rather than use the commodity and basis prices that Nevada
Power locked into because of its concentrated purchases, I use the actual
market prices of such financial derivatives that Nevada Power would have
experienced had it followed its buy over time strategy.
Q. PLEASE EXPLAIN.
A. My Exhibit _ (DEP-5) reflects two hedging strategies. The left-most box of
this exhibit, "NPC Acquisitions," shows the actual commodity (NYMEX Fixed
for Floating Swaps) and basis (SoCal Basis Swaps) trnsactions that Nevada
Power entered into. The purchases are broken into the typical gas contract
winter and summer periods, November 2001-March 2002 and April 2002-
October 2002, respectively.
For example, the commodity hedges entered by Nevada Power for the
gas in winter of the test year were for 70,000 MMBTUlday at an average
winter price (for the commodity only) of $4.91. For the summer, the position
was for 55,000 MMBTU/day at an average price of $3.10.
Similarly, the winter basis or transportation component of gas also had
a position of 70,000 MMBTU/day. but was entered at an average price of
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$4.14. The summer position of 50,000 MMBTUlday had an average price of
$4.94.
Q. WHAT DOES THE BUY OVER TIME STRATEGY IN YOUR EXHIBIT
_(DEP-5) SHOW?
A. The right-most box of Exhibit _(DEP-5) shows the differences in the
financial commodit and basis prices that would have occurred had Nevada
Power more closely adhered to its buy over time strategy, and had it not
attempted to time the market in the February and April time frame.
The Buy Over Time Strategy re-pnces Nevada Powets trades
according to mid-month commodit and basis trades in each of the six months
prior to seasonal requirements. The re-pnced positions result in commodity
prices of $3.95 and $2.78 for winter and summer periods, respectively. The
re-pnced positions result in basis prices of $1.04 and $.04 for winter and
summer periods, respectively.
Q. WHAT DOES YOUR EXHIBIT _ (DEP-6) SHOW?
A. Exhibit _ (DEP-6) computes the adjustment to test year natural gas costs
that is necessary to reflect the reduced commodity and basis pnces that
should have been experienced under Nevada Power's stated purchasing
policy.
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The total financial derivatives cost is computed for Nevada Powets
financial derivatives cost as well as the financial derivatives cost of the buy
overtime strategy. Had Nevada Power followed its buy overtime strategy, its
test year natural gas costs would have been $90,763,715 lower. This amount
of unnecessary additional cost was incurred imprudently and should be
removed from the OEM balances in this case.
Q. EXHIBIT _ (DEP-6) REFLECTS NATURAL GAS COST DIFFERENTIALS
FOR ONLY THE ELEVEN MONTH PERIOD NOVEMBER 2001-
SEPTEMBER 2002. WHY?
A. Although October 2001 is in the current test year, the gas supplies for this
month were obtained as part of the summer acquisitions made for the
previous test year. As i find no fault with the procurement policies from the
last test year, I make no adjustment for October 2001.
SOUTHWEST GAS COMPANY COSTS OVER SAME PERIOD
Q. DID YOU COMPARE THE PURCHASE STRATEGIES AND RESULTING
GAS COSTS WITH OTHER NATURAL GAS PURCHASERS IN THE
REGION?
A. Yes. My Exhibit_(DEP-7) compares the unit gas costs experienced by
Nevada Power and Southwest Gas Company over the course of the test year.
While Nevada Power paid an average price of $6.39/0th in this test year,
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Southwest Gas paid an average of only $3.88/Dth. The Commission has
determined that the average cost paid by Southwest Gas was prudent for this
period in the most recent PGA case. Had Nevada Power an average price of
$3.88/Dth, its test year gas costs would have been $98.4 millon lower.
OVERBOUGHT AND MERRILL LYNCH ADJUSTMENTS
Q. WHAT ARE THE ISSUES WITH RESPECT TO YOUR REFERENCES TO
THE OVERBOUGHT AND MERRILL LYNCH ADJUSTMENTS?
A. In Docket No. 01-11029 the Commission found that Nevada Power had
continued to purchase power even after it had reached its stated objective
of107% of average peak loads. The Commission quantified the amount of
imprudent costs associated with the excess purchases and denied the
recovery of such costs. In the present case, Nevada Power's load and
resource balances appear to indicate a lesser, although significant amount of
excess purchases in certain months of the test year. Nevada Power has
proposed no adjustment in this case for excess purchases. I have not been
able to estimate the amount of any imprudent expenses for an overbought
position in this case; due in part to lack offull access to necessary documents
data. I did not participate in the FERC proceedings for the terminated
purchased power contracts, nor did I have access to the terms and conditions
for the Duke Energy contract renegotiations. I have not reviewed the Duke
contracts as they are confidential and have not been given to me.
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With respect to the Merril Lynch adjustment, I did not consider this
issue in Docket No 01-11029, although I understand that the Commission ordered
that this adjustment be made. Nevada Power has apparently not followed
through in this case with the Commission ordered Merrill Lynch adjustment.
Although I have not been able to follow through with an independent Merrill Lynch
calculation of my own in the present case, I do not disagree wih the Commission
order on this issue. I have also seen the Nevada Power response to MGM 6-01 in
this case that contains additional details of the terms and conditions of the Merril
Lynch transaction. I understand that certain other parties are addressing this
issue in the present case.
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
Q. PLEASE SUMMARIZE YOUR RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS.
A. My review and recommended adjustments in this case have been limited to
the test year natural gas costs incurred by Nevada Power. My review
indicates that Nevada Power lost $ 133.2 milion through financial derivatives
intended to speculate that gas commodit and basis prices were going to rise,
despite a lack of analysis to support this speculation.
i have re-priced these hedging losses to reflect the level of losses that
would have been incurred by Nevada Power if it had followed its stated
strategy of purchasing on a "buy over time" basis. My analysis indicates that
an amount of $90.8 milion of losses were the result of imprudent decisions
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resulting from the Company deviating from its own strategy. i re1h
the Commission order Nevada Power to remove $90.8 millon from its
proposed OEM balances.
The BTER issue has been a moving target throughout discovery and
depositions in that Nevada Power has requested approval of the new
purchased power contracts, but has not responded to requests to demonstrate
the effect of these contract prices and provisions on the BTER. Thus the
rationale and justification given in the direct testimony is not applicable. The
costs developed. in his testimony are no longer a reliable basis upon which to
estimate fuel and purchased power costs for the BTER. Natural gas price
have also increased somewhat since the filing of Mr. Branch's testimony.
Without information on the degree of hedging undertaken by the Company
and the terms of the proposed contracts, i cannot reliably quantify a BTER. i
propose that the Commission order Nevada Power to exactly offset the DEA
adjustments that i, and others propose, and which the Commission accepts,
with an upward adjustment to the BTER proposed by Nevada Power in this
case.
Q. DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR DIRECT TESTIMONY?
A. Yes.
-24-
~.e ~ Exhi~it (DEP 1)
Page 1 or2,
NEVADA POWER COMPANY
RESPONSE TO INFORMATION REQUEST
DOCKET NO.:
REQUEST NO.:
REQUESTR:
02-11021 REQUEST DATE: Jan 29, 2003
WITNESS:SNWA17
Dennis Peseau RESPONDER:Rice, Bruce
REQUEST:
Regarding Exibit E 11.6, pages 2 and 3 of 6=
Lines 23 of pages 2 and 3 of 6 show posive entris for "Sales". Sales revenues shold
be used to reduce total gas costs, yet line 23 is added to line 21. increasing total gas
cots:
a. Should line 23 actually show negatie dollar values to reflec offsets to
gas cots? Pleae explain.
b. Why were th fine 23 Sales revenues reflected as negative values in the
corresponding schedules in Docket No. 01-11 029?
c. If NPC intends for line 23 reerenced above to actlly be poitve in this
fifing. is NPC paying partes to take its gas supplies? Please explain.
d. Please provide all workpapers. supporting docmentation and invoice
pertining to all Exibit E- 11.6.
RESPONSE:
The "sales" shown on fine 23 represent net activity of sales (gas sold
to c~stomers) and financial trades (hedges). Generally, NPC '
subtracts the sales of gas from total gas and transportation costs,
thereby reducing total gas costs.
The expenses of the financial trades (hedges) were greater than the
sales for the test period ending September 2002. This resulted in a
positive amount that is added to total gas and transportation costs.
Please see the attached spreadsheet that details by month the
amounts for sales and financial trades for both the current filing as
well as Docket 01-11029.
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Page i orZ
, 'Mizmes fo th PL En Ri MaeiEi M. Comm~
Feb 29, 2001, 1:30PM - 3:30Pli
heen ii.)) :R Holb Jef ~ Bül Bim Dae Bå, aD:M Smart(rc a qu). . "\ . .Guea: Ioii"Par. C:g Be Bar Al Cbc Bun, Mi Wei, Ga
Cmyf ~ Joy Ái Au an Lo Rcd. '. .
Absen MaRu an Bil Pe in cour in Ca Ci iedi th moon to
st~ r: ra iic:f by th ea. .
Mi Sm oped th me at i:30 PM
.. ...
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.Cmg Be pn the: EMC wi an avew orth NP CE RF wh -w scou oIll~ 3d, 201 an Btnnir th pr wh we re 01. .
Fcb 23 . 20 1. Th RF wa se ou to" 36 cn 8 ic wee ie
Ct is a sica cODC be ra by tb re~. JdT -M corI fomc hi im pt=t noton mJ du to th 201 icac ai_,acn er te (~ m: in âb tlod pIcÇ iDte
'. ~)' ar ,an.by ap ofth Jd re craupP.t: .Cr bidic th RF. . .ictc is in lbpr Dfcopict m inca '~ofpdcc an ~
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" me ~ thmo otfb bi Il iiJl êh to 1b ui drstar th aiiD in th we tb coi fi"!sJ sion a: ui
icgu is an ëo st M a ie a cm' copa a: wi bo,. diff. Som o!ib reìi a pi.to ad NPs 201 se
buÌJ~ w) õtb did no. Th mite is al séc ~c. bids th ci.lb 2001 se.bu re~em an in on NPC-s plicare fopo du 2t..2010. 'I alve bid st wi8l NP
to ~y dd 1b cost of th 2001 Je st fr th co oftbNPC"s phys powmre . .. . .. . .'
I.ei ltd cU ~li 'ga ti åD suly üs A confider1Ù
eg 'W sigo with Kc Ri Pi to al fo tb reea of
th :m
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in rq to a sc spli of th Ker pipeli exn. WPS ba st DOt si in
rcpr 10 1h Tus exoo SPPCO b lm to si bc th bc if. we do not dive th copay re an ad lev of opoii 1hgb mullo
pl ownp, SPPC i: in th, fi st of ncgoai for 24.s of
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Page 2 of 2 '
i
Loreei an An Au t)'prec tw baut (oi for NPC th. oth fo SPPCo)
shog 2001 sa poSIom pe th buge phys te and :6cialy hedged as of
2101. Mi ma a. motiODcons oftb pa (1) bf nc mcc an otd of .a. fu pren st wi n: to coga be pre as no dive .'..
of genoD, (2) fi th reeidcr of th Ap.( op po at (3) cont tlc
cu bu oyer ti ~ with ieto Nov-Ma 200 .A mebe iivc the
moon in atance "
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wbchis ba on i 07 of avenge $h pe 1h rets oftb amys wi bembm ai th ne EMC me .. .
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re~ to FAS 133 en bowc 1r ii~. ~vc an~1roi ~ wi .
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Price ($/mmbtu)
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Jan-97
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e e Exhibit (DEP 6)
Docket No. 02-11021
Southern Nevada Water Authont
Adjustment for Over Time Buying
NPC Financial Trades
Nymex FFSwaps
Nov,01-Mar,02 Apr,02-5ept,02 Total
MMBtu/Day 70,000 55,000
Volume (MMBtu)10,570,000 9,615,000 20,185,000
Total Cost 51,928,900 29,778,525 81,707,425
$/MMBtu 4.91 3.10 4.05
SoCal Basis Swaps
Nov,01-Mar,02 Apr,02-Sept,02 Total
MMBtulDay 70,000 50,000
Volume (MMBtu)10,570,000 9,150,000 19,720,000
Total Cost 43,752,250 45,155,250 88,907,500
$/MMBtu 4.14 4.94 4.51
NPC Hedging Cost 95,681,150 74,933,775 170,614,925
Over Time Hedging Cost 52,745,055 27,106,155 79,851,210
Adjustment (42,936,095)(47,827,620.0)(90,763,715)
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Page 1 of 3
. '
STATEMENT OF OCCUPATIONAL AND
EDUCATIONAL HISTORY AND QUALIFICATIONS
DENNIS E. PESEAU
Dr. Peseau has conducted economic and financial studies for regulated
industries for the past twenty-eight years. In 1972, he was employed by Southern
California Edison Company as Associate Economic Analyst, and later as Economic
Analyst. His responsibilties included review of financial testimony, incremental cost
studies, rate design, econometric estimation of demand elasticities and various areas
in the field of energy and economic growth. Also, he was asked by Edison Electrical
Institute to study and evaluate several prominent energy models as part of the Ad
Hoc Commitee on Economic Growth and Energy Pricing.
From 1974 to 1978, Dr. Peseau was employed by the Public Utilty
Commissioner of Oregon as Senior Economist. There he conducted a number of
economic and financial studies and prepared testimony 'pertaining to public utilties.
In 1978 Dr. Peseau established the Northwest offce of Zinder
Companies, Inc. He has since submitted testimony on economic and financial
matters before state regulatory commissions in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryland,
Minnesota. Montana, Nevada, Washington, Wyoming, the District of Columbia, the
Bonnevile Power Administration and the Public Utilties Board of Alberta on over one
hundred occasions. He has conducted marginal cost and rate design studies and
e .achment 1
Page 2 of3
prepared testimony on these matters in Alaska, California, Idaho, Maryland,
Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, Washington and in the District of Columbia. He has
also conducted cost and rate studies regarding PURPA issues in the states of
Alaska, California, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New York, Washington. and
Washington, D.C.
Dr. Peseau holds the B.A., M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in economics.
He has co-authored a book in the field of industrial organization entitled,
Size. Profits and Executive Compensation in the Large Corporation. which devotes
a chapter to regulated industries.
Dr. Peseau has published articles in the following professional journals:
Review Qf Economics and Statistics, Atlantic Economic Journal. Journal of Financial
Management, and Journal of Regional Science. His articles have been read before
the Econometric Society, the Western Economic Association, the Financial
Management Association, the Regional Science Association and universities in the
United Kingdom as well as in the United States.
He has guest lectured on marginal costing methods in seminars in New
Jersey and California for the Center of Professional Advancement. He has also
guest lectured on cost of capital for the public utility industry before the Pacific Coast
Gas and Electric Association, and for the Executive Seminar at the Colgate Darden
Graduate School of Business, University of Virginia.
e 4ttachment 1
Page 3 of 3
I .
Dr. Peseau and his firm have participated with and been members ofthe
American Economic Association, the American Financial Association, the Western
Economic Association, the Atlantic Economic Association and the Financial
Management Association. He was formerly a member of the Staff Subcommitee on
Economics of the National Association of Regulatory Utilty Commissioners.
Dr. Peseau has been President of Utility Resources, Inc. since 1985.
. ' , ..e .
AFFIRMATION
I, Dennis E. Peseau, pursuant to NAC 703.710 hereby affirm that the
foregoing prepared testimony was prepared by me or under my direction and is
correct to the best of my knowledge.
Signed ¡L fAuc~
Dated "'/Í~1- Z /idOi;
. ..
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
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19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
.
PROOF OF SERVICE
.
I hereby ceify that I mailed the foregoing Prepared Testimony of Dennis Peseau in
Docket 02-11021 by delivering to the U.S. Post Offce copies thereof, properly addressed for
mailing to the following persons:
Beth Ellot
Nevada Power Company MS 3A
6226 W. Sah Avenue
Las Vegas, NV 89151
Timothy Hay
Consumer Advocate
Bureau of Consumer Protection
i 000 E. Wiliam Street, Suite 200
Carson City, Nevada 89701
Lawrence Gollomp
U.S. Deparent of Energy
1000 Independence Avenue SW
Washington, DC 20585
Staf Counel
Public Utilities Commission
1150 East Wiliam Street
Carson City, NV 89701
Jon Wellnghoff
Beckley Singleton Chtd.
530 Las Vegas Blvd. South
Las Vegas, NV 89101
Mark Rusell
Mirage Hotel & Casino
3400 La Vegas Blvd. South
Las Vegas, NV 89109
Eric Witkoski,
Nevada Attorney General's Offce
555 E. Washington St., Suite 3900
Las Vegas, NV 89101
::ODMA\PDOS\HLRNOOOS\3234 73\ 1 Page 10f2
~
.' .
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
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19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
e
Jim Polito
Bureau of Consumer Protection
1000 E. Wiliam Street, Suite 200
Carson City, NV 89701
Robert Crowell
Crowell, Susich, Owen & Tackes, Ltd.
P.O. Box 1000
Carson City, NV 89702
Joyce Newman
Utility Shareholders Association
P.O. Box 1823
Carson City, NV 89702
Gerald Lopez
Colorado River Commission of Nevad
555 East Washington Avenue, Suite 3100
La Vegas, NV 89101
David J. Gildersleeve
Nevada Energy Buyers Network
8685 W. Sahar Avenue, S1. 200
Las Vegas. NY 89117
Dale Swan
Exeter Associates, Inc,
12510 Prosperity Drive, S1. 350
Silver Spring, MD 20904
James D. Salo
Colorado River Commission of Nevada
555 East Washington Avenue, St. 3100
Las Vegas, NY 89101
Dated: March 7, 2003
.
lsi
An em
DISON AND HOWARD
777 E. Wiliam Stree Suite 200
Carson City, Nevada 89701
::ODMA\PCDOCS\HLRNODOS\23473\1 Page 2 of2