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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20070910IPC to DOE 1-1 to 1-21.pdfREGE!\" IDAHO~POWER~ An IDACORP Company ZGUl SEP - 7 Pr" l\; 56 ~. ,.\L~.'~1O )~, ~~5~ ~ \ ~ S 1 0 . G I ill I Lv V'~I" .. BARTON L. KLINE Senior Attorney September 2007 Jean D. Jewell , Secretary Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 West Washington Street P. O. Box 83720 Boise, Idaho 83720-0074 Re:Case No. IPC-07- General Rate Case Filing Dear Ms. Jewell: Please find enclosed an original and two (2) copies of Idaho Power s Response to the First Production Request of the United States Department of Energy in the above- referenced matter. I would appreciate it if you would return a stamped copy of this transmittal letter in the enclosed self-addressed , stamped envelope. ~y y~~rs ~ -tl. (L---- Barton L. Kline BLK:sh Enclosure O. Box 70 (83707) 1221 W. Idaho St. Boise, 10 83702 I~ECE!\/ BARTON L. KLINE ISB #1526 LISA D. NORDSTROM ISB #5733 Idaho Power Company O. Box 70 Boise , Idaho 83707 Telephone: (208) 388-2682 FAX Telephone: (208) 388-6936 '\nr'~ Wul SEP - 7 " f,. I - ~lillFd;jj(~i,~I~S! Attorney for Idaho Power Company Street Address for Express Mail: 1221 West Idaho Street Boise , Idaho 83702 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY FOR AUTHORITY TO INCREASE ITS RATES AND CHARGES FOR ELECTRIC SERVICE TO ELECTRIC CUSTOMERS IN THE STATE OF IDAHO ) CASE NO. IPC-07- RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY COMES NOW, Idaho Power Company ("Idaho Power" or "the Company ) and, in response to the United States Department of Energy s First Set of Interrogatories and Production Requests to Idaho Power Company dated August 10, 2007 , herewith submits the following information: RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 1 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Please provide copies of all of the Company s responses to requests for information which were submitted to it by other parties in this docket. This is an ongoing request. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1- Idaho Power has provided the Department of Energy with copies of all of the Company s responses to requests for information which were submitted to it by other parties in this docket. It is the standard practice in IPUC proceedings to supply copies of responses to interrogatories and production requests to all parties to the case. Idaho Power has followed that practice in this case and will continue to do so. The response to this request was prepared by Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 2 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Referring to the direct testimony of Timothy Tatum at 10: 15-11 :2: (a) (b) Please identify the specific generation resources referenced at 10:16-17. For each generation resource identified in response (a) above, please specify the resource type, and its installed cost, in-service date , and nameplate or rated capacity. (c)For each generation resource identified in response (a) above , please provide by month , from January 2006 to the present, the resource s total hours of operation, total kWh output, and total operating cost. (d)Please quantify the ... increased investment in generation resou rces necessary to meet the summer peak load..." and state the time period over which this increased investment occurred. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1- The specific generation resources referenced at 10:16-17 of Mr. Tatum testimony include the Bennett Mountain and Evander Andrews (Danskin) natural gas power plants. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 3 The requested information is provided in the following table: Namplate Resource Resource In-Service Capacity Name Type Installed Cost Date (Gross kW) * Bennett Natural Gas $ 51 340 628 3/31/2005 172 800MountainPower Plant Evander Natural GasAndrews $ 48,574 320 9/30/2001 000 (Danskin)Power Plant Notes: * Appendix D - Technical Appendix For the 2006 Integrated Resource Plan, page 46. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 4 The requested information provided the following two tables. However, the total energy output of the two plants is presented in terms of megawatt- hours. Bennett Mountain Hours of Year Month Operation Output (MWh)Operating Cost * 2006 January 2006 February 214. 2006 March 14.338 144 582. 2006 April 233. 2006 May 62.9,491 518 587. 2006 June 98.15,404 866,123. 2006 July 50.206 387 288. 2006 August 2006 September 37.148 289,179. 2006 October 13.947 186 094. 2006 November 23.985 334 803. 2006 December 28.007 336 255. 2007 January 39.661 308,953. 2007 February 2007 March 49.40 786 516 589. 2007 April 36.103 476,372. 2007 May 62.311 680 205. 2007 June 128.19,091 315,266. 2007 July 407.111 656,722. Notes: Operating Cost includes the cost of natural gas plus transportation costs. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 5 Evander Andrews (Danskin) Unit Nos. 2 & Unit No.Unit No. Hours of Hours of Total Plant Year Month Operation Operation Output (MWh)Operating Cost * 2006 January 258. 2006 February 358 35,703. 2006 March 369 19,930. 2006 April 525. 2006 May 39.36.023 198 122. 2006 June 53.53.126 271 556. 2006 July 184.185.334 984 855. 2006 August 15.14.149 510.48 2006 September 15.17.319 66,413. 2006 October 2006 November 12.952 40,741. 2006 December 2007 January 2007 February 2007 March 15.837 031. 2007 April 17.17.554 132 075. 2007 May 10.10.833 010. 2007 June 48.47.179 260 370. 2007 July 254.244.19,227 $ 1 369 703.46 Notes: Operating Cost includes the cost of natural gas plus transportation costs. As stated in Mr. Tatum s testimony on page 12, lines 16 and 17 FERC Accounts 340-346, Other Production, contain the Company s investment in gas-fueled production plant. Specifically, the Company s investment in the Bennett Mountain and Evander Andrews (Danskin) power plants is booked to Accounts 340-346. Attached to this response are two Summary of Investments reports detailing the year-end account balances for those accounts in the years 2000 and 2006. As can be seen by comparing the two reports , the Company s investment in "Other Production" has grown by $110 313 880 between 2000 and 2006 , which is mostly attributable to the Bennett Mountain and Evander Andrews (Danskin) plant investment. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 6 The response to this request was prepared by Timothy Tatum , Senior Pricing Analyst , Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 7 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Referring to the direct testimony of Timothy Tatum at 11 :7-20: (a)Please provide all workpapaers , studies, analyses , and documents supporting and/or underlying the statement that" ... . Idaho Power has three distinct time- based production costing periods that are driven by customer load. (b)For the intermediate production costing period , please specify by month the daily hours that define the costing period. (c)For the peak production costing period , please specify by month the daily hours that define the costing period. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1- The costing periods used to determine the cost-effectiveness of demand-side management programs in the Company s resource planning process best illustrate the costing periods referenced by Mr. Tatum in his testimony. Attached to this response are two charts that detail the time of day, day of the week and seasonality of each costing period. The three costing periods of base , intermediate and peak referenced in Mr. Tatum s testimony are represented on the attached charts as off-peak, mid-peak, and on-peak respectively for the summer and non-summer seasons. These charts can also be found on pages 66 and 67 of the 2006 Integrated Resource Plan Appendix D - Technical Appendix. The response to this request was prepared by Timothy Tatum, Senior Pricing Analyst, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom, Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 8 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Referring to the direct testimony of Timothy Tatum at 11 :20-, please provide all workpapers, studies , analyses , and documents supporting and/or underlying the statement that " ... the same generation resources are typically utilized to serve both the base and intermediate loads.... RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1- The statement"... the same generation resources are typically utilized to serve both the base and intermediate loads....was made in the context of a recommendation that the Company allocate its fixed investment in steam production plant and hydro production plant differently than its fixed investment in combustion turbines. This statement is based on the notion that, although the combined output of the Company s steam and hydro resources is driven by customer loads, stream flow conditions significantly influence the proportionate share of output provided by each of the two resource categories throughout the year. Since hydro-electric output is highly dependent upon steam flows, steam production is ramped up or down according to the production capability of the hydro. Therefore , throughout the year, hydro and steam production plant are utilized at varying proportions to serve base and intermediate loads according to the production capabilities of the hydro plants. However, the combined monthly output of these two resource types does not vary significantly between the summer and non-summer months as does the output of the combustion turbines. The utilization of the Company s generation resources is detailed in a file provided in Response to Request No. 22 of Micron s First Request for Production. This file contains the monthly output , in megawatt-hours, of each of the Company generation resources over the last five years. The relationship between the monthly RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 9 output of the hydro resources and steam resources is illustrated by the data within the file. The response to this request was prepared by Timothy Tatum , Senior Pricing Analyst, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 10 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Please provide the marginal cost study(ies) used to develop Exhibit No. 39. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1- There were no marginal costs used in the development of Exhibit No. 39. However, the Company 2007 Marginal Cost Analysis is provided in Mr. Tatum workpapers, pages 48 through 55. A description of how the marginal costs were used in the current rate case proceeding is provided in Mr. Tatum s testimony, pages through 29. The response to this request was prepared by Timothy Tatum, Senior Pricing Analyst, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-: Please provide in electronic format all workpapers for the direct testimony of Idaho Power witnesses Gregory Said, Maggie Brilz, and Timothy Tatum. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1- All workpapers for the direct testimony of Gregory Said, Maggie Brilz and Timothy Tatum were provided to all interested parties with the initial filing of Case No. IPC-07-08. Hard copies along with a compact disc containing all workpapers were sent to the Department of labor by Federal Express , Priority Overnight Delivery on June , 2007. The package was delivered on June 11 , 2007 and signed for by Donna Williams. The response to this request was prepared by Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 12 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-: Please provide Exhibit Nos. 20-37 and 58-60 in Excel format with all formulas and links intact. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1- The requested information is provided on the CD enclosed with this response. The response to this request was prepared by Greg Said, Manager of Revenue Requirement, Pricing and Regulatory Services Department, Celeste Schwendiman Senior Pricing Analyst, and Maggie Brilz, Pricing Director , Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney II Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 13 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Referring to Exhibit No. 47, please explain in detail why transmission capacity marginal costs are significantly greater than generation capacity marginal costs in the months of May-September and December? RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1- The Company s 2007 Marginal Cost Analysis is provided in Mr. Tatum workpapers, pages 48 through 55. This analysis details the method used to derive the seasonalized transmission capacity and generation capacity marginal costs that appear on Exhibit 47. As can be seen on page 54 of Mr. Tatum s workpapers, the Annual Transmission Marginal Cost is $136/kW as compared to the Annual Generation Capacity Cost of $69/kW shown on page 52.The seasonalization of the annual generation and transmission capacity marginal costs is shown on Mr. Tatum s workpapers, pages 53 and 55 respectively. The annual generation capacity marginal cost is seasonalized based on the average monthly share of peak hour deficiencies for a five-year period 2007 through 2011. These data are detailed on page 78 of the 2006 IRP , Appendix Technical Appendix and are also provided on page 57 of Mr. Tatum s workpapers. The annual transmission marginal costs contain two separate components that are seasonalized using different factors. Transmission capacity costs related to the backbone and resource integration are seasonalized using the same factors used to seasonalize the generation marginal costs. The seasonalization of transmission costs related to planned system expansion is based on the monthly share of peak hour load growth between 2006 through 2011 detailed on pages 25 through 30 of the 2006 IRP Appendix D - Technical Appendix included with this response. Although the methods RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 14 used to seasonalize the annual transmission and generation marginal costs differ slightly, the significant difference between the two categories of marginal costs during the months of May-September and December is mostly attributable to the fact that the annual transmission marginal cost per kW is almost double the annual generation marginal cost per kW. The response to this request was prepared by Timothy Tatum , Senior Pricing Analyst, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 15 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Referring to the direct testimony of Timothy Tatum at 39:1- (a) Please identify the 3 combustion turbines and state the in-service date and nameplate capacity for each CT. (b)For each CT identified in response (a) above , please provide by month for each CT its kWh output since its in-service date. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1- The 3 combustion turbines Mr. Tatum was referring to in his testimony at 39: 1-3 include the two combustion turbine units at the Evander Andrews (Danskin) power plant and the single unit at the Bennett Mountain power plant. The nameplate capacity and in-service dates for each of these power plants is provided in the Company s Response to Request No. 1-2 of this production request. The requested information is attached to this response. However, the total energy output of the two plants is presented in terms of megawatt-hours. The response to this request was prepared by Timothy Tatum , Senior Pricing Analyst, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 16 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Referring to Exhibit No. 41 at 36:258: (a) (b) Please define and explain in detail "Adjustment to Revenue/Refunds. Please provide the justification for I PC's functionalization and classification of these revenues. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-10: The revenue category "Adjustments to Sales Revenues/Refunds explained by Mr. Said in his testimony, pages 30 and 31. The calculation of the amount $328 357 listed on Exhibit No. 41 , page 36, line 258 is detailed on Exhibit No. 39. The revenue category "Adjustments to Sales Revenues/Refunds functionalized and classified in the same manner as general plant; that is , according to the combined functionalization and classification of production , transmission and distribution plant investment. As Mr. Said describes in his testimony, this adjustment was made to recognize the estimated revenue associated with load growth to be served by the facilities additions. Since the additional facilities are considered to be "general plant" in nature, the associated revenues were functionalized and classified in the same manner to match the revenue with the investment. The response to this request was prepared by Timothy Tatum , Senior Pricing Analyst, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom, Attorney Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 17 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Referring to Exhibit No. 41 at 36:260: (a)Please provide the justification for IPC'classification of Account 447 revenues. (b)Please provide in Excel format Account 447 Opportunity Sales by month from Janaury 2002 through the present showing for each transaction the total kWh sold total revenue received , and whether the transaction was priced using a one-or multi-part rate. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-11: FERC Account 447 , System Opportunity Sales, was classified as energy- related and allocated on that basis in the Company s jurisdictional separation study and the class cost-of-service study. The revenues booked to Account 447 are revenues resulting from the sale of energy and , therefore, are allocated on that basis. The requested information is provided on the CD enclosed with this response. The response to this request was prepared by Timothy Tatum , Senior Pricing Analyst , Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 18 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Referring to IPUC Tariff No. 29: (a)Please provide all workpapers , studies, analyses, and documents supporting and/or underlying the proposed voltage-differentiated demand charges in Schedules 9 and 19. (b)Please provide all studies and/or analyses of system losses by service voltage prepared by or for Idaho Power in the past five years. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-12: (a)The Company proposed the implementation of voltage-differentiated charges for Schedules 9 and 19 as part of its 1994 general rate case proceeding, Case No. IPC-94-The Company s proposed rate structure was authorized by the Commission through Order No. 25880 and service-level , or voltage-differentiated , rates were implemented effective May 16, 1995. The testimony and exhibits of Company witness Ms. Brilz in that case detailed and supported the proposed service-level pricing for Schedules 9 and 19. Attached to this response are pages 41 through 54 of the testimony of Ms. Brilz from Case No. IPC-94-5 which detail the proposed service-level pricing for Schedules 9 and 19. Also attached to this response is Exhibit No. 39 Summary of Charges and Basis for Rates, from Case No. IPC-94-5 which illustrates in summary format the proposed rates for metered service and the basis for those proposed rates. Finally, pages 93 and 94 of Ms. Brilz s workpapers from Case No. IPC- 94-5 are attached to this response. These workpapers show the calculations made to determine the proposed demand and energy charges for the Schedule 9 and Schedule 19 service levels taking system loss factors into account. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 19 As part of each general rate case proceeding since the adoption of service-level pricing in 1995 (Case No. IPC-03-, Case No. IPC-05-, and Case No. IPC- 07-8), the Company has proposed that the pricing relationship between service levels for Schedules 9 and 19 be maintained. Consequently, no additional analyses taking system loss factors into account in the determination of voltage-differentiated demand charges have been performed since 1995. (b)Idaho Power last updated its system loss analysis is 2003. The tables summarizing the results of the Company s 2003 loss study are enclosed with this response. No other studies or analyses of system losses by service voltage have been prepared in the past five years. The response to this request was prepared by Maggie Brilz , Pricing Director Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom, Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 20 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-: Please provide copies of Mr. Avera direct and rebuttal testimony (and supporting exhibits) on cost of capital in IPC Docket IPC-03-13. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-13: Copies of the requested testimony and exhibits are enclosed. The response to this request was prepared by Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom, Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 21 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Please provide copies of all credit rating reports pertaining to I PC that have been issued since January 1 , 2006. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-14: Copies of the requested credit rating reports are enclosed. The response to this request was prepared by Steve Keen , Vice President and Treasurer, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 22 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-: Please provide a copy of IPC's most recent presentation to credit rating agencies. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-15: Idaho Power objects to this request on the grounds that it would require disclosure of material non-public information in violation of Securities and Exchange Commission Regulation FD. Regulation FD prohibits disclosure of material non-public information to selected market participants thereby giving them an advantage in the buying and selling of the Company s stock. Without waiving that objection, Idaho Power has enclosed a copy of the requested information with the material non-public information redacted. The response to this request was prepared by Steve Keen , Vice President and Treasurer, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 23 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-16:Please provide copies of all presentations by IPC and/or Ida/Corp management to securities analysts since January 2007. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-16: The requested presentation, dated November 2006 , has been used thus far in 2007 and is enclosed. The response to this request was prepared by Steve Keen, Vice President and Treasurer, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 24 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Please provide Dr. Avera s opinion regarding I PC's business risk today as compared to its business risk at the time of its 2003 rate case. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-17: Pursuant to IPUC Rule of Procedure 225.01 (a), Idaho Power objects to this request as it calls for a statement of opinion that has not been previously written or published. The response to this request was prepared by Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 25 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-18:Please provide any supporting calculations (including an identification of key assumptions) concerning IPC' projections of its year-end common equity balance. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-18: Idaho Power seeks to maintain, to the extent possible , a 50%-50% balance between debt and equity. The issuance of common equity depends on multiple factors including, but not limited to, market receptivity, debt issuance and capital expenditures. Because these factors are not static, Idaho Power has no formal plan or timetable for the issuance of common equity. The response to this request was prepared by Steve Keen , Vice President and Treasurer, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney II, Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 26 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-19:Please provide the following concerning any public issuance of common stock by IdaCorp parent company, 2004 2005,2006 and 2007 (to date): (a) (b) date of issuance; net proceeds; and (c)expenses associated with issuance , including underwriting fees. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-19: The requested information is below: Year of Issuance Description Net Proceeds Issuance Expenses 2004 Secondary Offering Issuance 115 520,392.211 769. 2004 Other Issuance *169,608. 2005 Other Issuance *296 000.470 166. 2006 Continuous Equity Issuance 20,841 762.210,495. 2006 Other Issuance *623 238.189,460. 2007 - YTD through Continuous Equity Issuance 040 859.212. June. 2007 - YTD through Other Issuance *4,410 140.306. June. Other Issuance includes original issue shares for Dividend Reinvestment Program and various employee plans. The response to this request was prepared by Steve Keen, Vice President and Treasurer and Randy Mills , Finance Team Leader, Idaho Power Company, consultation with Barton L. Kline , Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom, Attorney II Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 27 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-Please provide any plans for a public common stock issuance by IdaCorp during 2007-2009 , indicating approximate amount of issuance. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-20: Idaho Power seeks to maintain , to the extent possible, a 50%-50% balance between debt and equity. The issuance of common equity depends on multiple factors including, but not limited to, market receptivity, debt issuance and capital expenditures. Because these factors are not static, Idaho Power has no formal plan or timetable for the issuance of common equity. The response to this request was prepared by Steve Keen , Vice President and Treasurer, Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney Idaho Power Company. RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 28 REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-21: Please indicate Standard & Poor current Business Profile rating for IPC. RESPONSE TO REQUEST FOR PRODUCTION NO. 1-21: Please see attached Standard & Poor s current Business Profile rating for IPC. The response to this request was prepared by Lawrence F. Spencer, Director of Investor Relations , Idaho Power Company, in consultation with Barton L. Kline, Senior Attorney and/or Lisa D. Nordstrom , Attorney II , Idaho Power Company. DATED at Boise, Idaho, this 7-1---day of September, 2007. l~J~ BARTON L. KLINE Attorney for Idaho Power Company LISA D. NORDSTROM Attorney for Idaho Power Company RESPONSE OF IDAHO POWER TO THE FIRST PRODUCTION REQUEST OF THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY - 29 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE . \" I HEREBY CERTIFY that on this day of September, 2007, I served a true and correct copy of the within and foregoing document upon the following named parties by the method indicated below, and addressed to the following: Commission Staff Weldon Stutzman Deputy Attorney General Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 W. Washington (83702) O. Box 83720 Boise, Idaho 83720-0074 Donovan Walker Deputy Attorney General Idaho Public Utilities Commission 472 W. Washington (83702) O. Box 83720 Boise, Idaho 83720-0074 Industrial Customers of Idaho Power Peter J. Richardson , Esq. Richardson & O'Leary 515 N. 2ih Street O. Box 7218 Boise , Idaho 83702 Don Reading Ben Johnson Associates 6070 Hill Road Boise, Idaho 83702 Idaho Irrigation Pumpers Association, Inc. Eric L. Olsen Racine, Olson , Nye, Budge & Bailey O. Box 1391 201 E. Center Pocatello , Idaho 83204 -LHand Delivered - U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX -X. Email Weldon. stutzman C9? puc.idaho.Qov -LHand Delivered - U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX -X. Email Donovan.walkerC9?puc.idaho.Qov Hand Delivered ---2LU.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX Email peterC9? richardsonandolearv.com Hand Delivered ---2LU.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX Email dreadinq C9? mindsprinQ.com Hand Delivered ---2LU.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX Email eloC9?racinelaw.net Anthony Yankel 29814 Lake Road Bay Village , OH 444140 Kroger Co. Fred Meyer and Smiths Michael L. Kurtz Kurt J. Boehm Boehm, Kurtz & Lowry 36 East Seventh Street, Suite 1510 Cincinnati, Ohio 45202 The Kroger Co. Attn: Corporate Energy Manager (G09) 1014 Vine Street Cincinnati , Ohio 45202 Micron Technology Conley Ward Michael C. Creamer Givens Pursley 601 W. Bannock Street O. Box 2720 Boise , Idaho 83701 Dennis E. Peseau, Ph. Utility Resources, Inc. 1500 Liberty Street SE, Suite 250 Salem, OR 97302 Department of Energy Lot Cooke Arthur Perry Bruder Office of the Attorney General United States Department of Energy 1000 Independence Ave., SW Washington , DC 20585 Routing Symbol GC- 76 Hand Delivered~U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX..x Email tonV(g)yankel.net Hand Delivered~U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX..x Email mkurtz(g)bkllawfirm.com kboehm (g) bkllawfirm.com Hand Delivered~U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX Email Hand Delivered~U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX Email cew(g)qivenspursleV.com mcc (g) qivenspu rslev .com Hand Delivered ~ U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX --X Email dpeseau(g)excite.com Hand Delivered - U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX --X Email lotcooke(g)hq.doe.qov arthur.bruder(g) hq.doe.qov Dennis Goins Potomac Management Group 5801 Westchester Street O. Box 30225 Alexandria, VA 22310-8225 Hand Delivered - U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX Email DGoinsPMG ~cox.net Dale Swan Ammar Ansari Exeter Associates 5565 Sterrett Place, Suite 310 Columbia, MD 20904 Hand Delivered 1- U.S. Mail Overnight Mail FAX Email dswan~exeterassociates.com aansari ~ exeterassociates.com +jCL-. Barton L. Kline BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTiliTIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O7- IDAHO POWER COMPANY TT A CHMENT 1- Lo c a t i o n Sa l m o n D i e s e l P o w e r P l a n t GP S A D P 0 1 $ TO T A L O T H E R TO T A L G E N E R A T I N G S Y S T E M Lo c La n d & La n d R i g h t s Ac c t 3 4 0 St r u c t u r e s & I m p r o v Ac c t 3 4 1 $1 1 95 9 . 08 $ ID A H O P O W E R C O M P A N Y OT H E R G E N E R A T I N G S T A T I O N S SU M M A R Y O F I N V E S T M E N T S A S O F D E C E M B E R 3 1 , 2 0 0 0 Fu e l H d r s , Pr o d & A c c Ac c t 3 4 2 30 6 . 39 $ Pr i m e Mo v e r s Ac c t 3 4 3 $1 1 95 9 . 08 $ 61 , 30 6 . 39 $ Ge n e r a t o r s Ac c t 3 4 4 Ac c e s s o r y M l s c El e c t E q u i p Eq u i p Ac c t 3 4 5 Ac c t 3 4 6 To t a l St e a m Pl a n t St r u c t u r e s & I m p r o v Ac c t 3 5 2 52 1 94 6 . 84 $ 3 7 05 5 . 54 $ 1 4 2 . 64 $ 63 2 , 4 1 0 . 4 9 $ 52 1 94 6 . 84 $ 3 7 05 5 . 54 $ 1 4 2 . 64 $ 6 3 2 41 0 . 4 9 $ NO T E : T h e r e i s a n a d d R l o n a l s t e p - u p I n v e s t m e n t o f $ 3 3 8 17 7 . 57 r e p r e s e n t i n g i n - pl a n t e q u i p m e n t s t o r e d a t n o n - pr o d u c t i o n l o c a t i o n s . St a t i o n Eq u i p m e n t Ac c t 3 5 3 To t a l St e p - u p Eq u i p m e n t To t a l Pl a n t 63 2 , 4 1 0 . 63 2 41 0 . 4 9 $ 1 38 6 78 0 . 11 9 . II )C1 ) ... . . Lo c a t i o n Be n n e t t M t P o w e r P l a n t Da n s k l n P o w e r P l a n t Sa l m o n D i e s e l P o w e r P l a n t TO T A L O T H E R "- . . ,, ' ID A H O P O W E R C O M P A N Y OT H E R G E N E R A T I N G S T A T I O N S SU M M A R Y O F I N V E S T M E N T S A S O F D E C E M B E R 3 1 , 2 0 0 6 La n d & La n d R i g h t s Ac c t 3 4 0 Fu e l H d r s , Pr o d & A c e Ac c t 3 4 2 Pr i m e Mo v e r s Ac c t 3 4 3 Ac c e s s o r y Ele c t E q u i p Ac c t 3 4 5 Mi s e P P Eq u i p Ac c t 3 4 8 To t a l St e a m Pl a n t 23 5 38 7 . 01 2 , 94 0 . 02 5 , 88 1 . 28 0 , 07 5 . 47 , 97 7 , 78 1 . 51 9 , 41 0 . 13 2 . 53 , 82 0 , 22 3 . 37 0 , 63 6 . 04 4 , 52 7 . 41 5 , 16 4 . 40 2 , 74 5 . 27 6 83 2 . 1, 4 3 3 42 3 . 28 , 67 6 95 8 . 16 6 , 03 4 . 87 7 , 12 7 . 38 0 , 10 7 . 52 , 21 3 , 22 9 . 44 6 , 82 6 . 14 9 , 79 3 . 59 6 , 61 9 . 11 , 95 9 . 61 , 30 6 . 54 1 64 4 . 28 5 , 13 9 . 00 4 . 90 1 , 05 4 . St r u c t u r e s & I m p r o v Ac c t 3 4 1 Ge n e r a t o r s Ac c t 3 4 4 St r u c t u r e s & I m p r o v Ac c t 3 5 2 $ 4 0 2 , 74 5 . 39 $ 5 , 30 1 73 2 . 54 $ 3 , 52 0 , 61 1 . 44 $ 2 9 95 7 , 03 3 . 95 $ 6 1 68 5 , 46 1 . 58 $ 4 68 1 , 67 8 . 28 $ 38 5 , 24 4 . 04 $ 1 0 6 , 93 4 , 50 7 . 22 $ 81 7 , 46 2 . 66 $ St a t i o n Eq u i p m e n t Ac c l 3 5 3 To t a l St e p - u p Eq u i p m e n t To t a l Pl a n t 80 9 , 84 8 . 90 1 , 05 4 . 19 4 , 32 0 . 80 $ 4 , 01 1 , 78 3 . 4 6 $ 11 0 94 6 29 0 . (t ) :I : "t J :s = - :I : "t J :J J :J J "t J :I : "t J :s = - . ,Appendix D- Technical Appendix Idaho Power Company The following tables illustrate the time of day and time of year costing period definitions used in the peak static program screening analysis: SUMMER SEASON June 1 through August 35 Hour Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Holiday SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP SMP SONP SONP SONP SONP SONP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SMP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP SOFP = Summer Off-Peak SMP = Summer Mid-Peak ... SONP = Summer On-Peak Page 66 2006 Integrated Resource Plan \Ii. ... NSOFP = Non-Summer Off-Peak 1ft "'-loana t""ower l,;ompany Appendix D- Technical Appendix NON-SUMMER SEASON September 01 through May Hour NSMP = Non-Summer Mid-Peak Market prices were developed within Aurora using the Preferred Portfolio as a resource basis (May Aurora - 2006IRP - P3 - hrly _zone J'rices - 20yr So Idaho). The values beyond 20 years are extended by escalating the final year of the forward market price schedule for the additional years needed for the analysis using the Company s escalation rate of 3.0% for capital investments. The costing period prices are calculated using the following method: . NSMP = Average of heavy load prices in January-May and September-December. . NSOFP = Average of light load prices in January-May and September-December. SOFP = Average of light load prices in June-August. SMP = Average of heavy load prices in June-August. SONP = IPC variable energy and operating cost ofa 162 MW Simple-Cycle Gas Turbine Annual = IPC variable energy and operating cost of thermal coal plant 2006 InteQrated Resource Plan D~~~ ~7 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTiliTIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O7- IDAHO POWER COMPANY TT A CHMENT 1- (j ) .. . . .. , .. . . :: u fJ I.., , " U ::J Re s i d e n t i a l . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Co m m e r c i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Ir r i g a t i o n . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . In d u s t r i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . , . . . Ad d i t i o n a l F i r m . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Lo s s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . Fi r m L o a d Ja n . 2 0 0 7 79 7 48 4 28 2 13 6 15 0 84 9 Fe b . 2 0 0 7 71 5 46 5 27 7 13 7 14 0 73 4 Ma r . 2 0 0 7 61 0 44 2 27 1 13 2 12 8 58 7 70 t h P e r c e n t i l e S a l e s a n d L o a d F o r e c a s t :: J -.: : Av e r a g e L o a d ( A v e r a g e M e g a w a t t s ) r. 2 0 0 7 Ma y . 2 0 0 7 Ju n . 2 0 0 7 Ju l . 2 0 0 7 Au g . 2 0 0 7 Se p . 2 0 0 7 Oc t . 2 0 0 7 No v . 2 0 0 7 De c . 2 0 0 7 47 4 44 5 50 4 58 2 57 9 47 8 48 8 61 9 79 8 39 5 41 3 45 9 49 4 49 7 44 2 42 9 44 7 49 1 10 6 29 4 54 3 61 8 47 7 30 1 81 27 4 27 2 28 4 28 4 28 6 30 0 30 1 29 5 28 2 13 0 12 7 12 0 13 1 13 0 12 6 12 8 13 3 13 7 15 6 17 9 19 0 21 1 19 6 16 1 13 6 14 4 16 7 53 5 1 72 9 2 , 10 1 2 , 32 1 2 , 16 6 1 , 80 8 1 , 56 4 1 , 64 2 1 , 87 6 Li g h t L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 0 1 , 4 6 8 38 3 55 2 89 9 08 0 93 9 61 4 40 1 52 5 74 1 He a v y L o a d . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 9 82 2 67 3 65 6 86 9 24 8 52 8 32 9 97 8 68 2 73 5 99 2 Sy s t e m L o a d 84 9 73 4 58 7 53 5 72 9 10 1 32 1 16 6 80 8 56 4 64 2 87 6 Fi r m O f f - Sy s t e m L o a d . . . . . . . . . To t a l L o a d 84 9 73 4 58 7 53 5 72 9 10 1 32 1 16 6 80 8 56 4 64 2 87 6 Ja n . 2 0 0 7 Fe b . 2 0 0 7 Ma r . 2 0 0 7 En e r g y E f f i c i e n c y ( M W ) . . . . . . . De m a n d R e s p o n s e ( M W ) . . . . Fi r m P e a k L o a d 53 0 44 5 34 2 Sy s t e m P e a k ( 1 H o u r ) 53 0 2, 4 4 5 34 2 Fir m O f f - Sy s t e m P e a k . . . . . . . . . Lo s s . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . To t a l P e a k L o a d 53 0 2, 4 4 5 34 2 Pe a k L o a d ( M e g a w a ~ t s ) Ap r . 2 0 0 7 M a y . 20 0 7 Ju n . 2 0 0 7 Ju l . 2 0 0 7 Au g . 2 0 0 7 S e p . 20 0 7 Oc t . 2 0 0 7 No v . 2 0 0 7 De c . 2 0 0 7 5 - 9 - 13 - 14 - 12 - 9 - 7 - 5' - 0 - 44 - 46 - 44 97 1 2 , 72 1 3 , 18 6 25 1 2 , 97 5 2 66 2 2 , 05 6 2 , 35 5 2 , 83 2 97 1 72 1 18 6 25 1 97 5 66 2 05 6 35 5 83 2 97 1 72 1 18 6 25 1 97 5 66 2 05 6 35 5 83 2 :: J :: r :: J ::J ::: J ... . . ii3... . . ;: 0 .. , (" ) ::: J -- - " - - - ' . . - - , - -, , - - . -- - _ . -- -- - - - - " " 70 t h P e r c e n t i l e S a l e s a n d L o a d F o r e c a s t D: I Av e r a g e L o a d ( A v e r a g e M e g a w a t t s ) Ja n . 2 0 0 8 Fe b . 2 0 0 8 Ma r . 2 0 0 8 Ap r . 2 0 0 8 Ma y . 2 0 0 8 Ju n . 2 0 0 8 Ju t 2 0 0 8 Au g . 2 0 0 8 Se p . 2 0 0 8 Oc t . 2 0 0 8 No v . 2 0 0 8 De c . 2 0 0 8 Re s i d e n t i a l , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 0 72 6 61 9 48 1 45 3 51 8 60 0 59 7 49 0 49 8 63 0 81 0 Co m m e r c i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49 7 47 8 45 6 40 8 42 6 47 5 51 2 51 4 45 7 44 2 45 9 50 4 Ir r i g a t i o n . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 6 ;2 9 2 54 1 61 6 47 6 30 0 (" ) ::: J In d u s t r i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 8 28 3 27 7 28 0 27 7 29 0 29 0 29 2 30 6 30 8 30 2 28 8 ::: J Ad d i t i o n a l F i r m . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 9 13 7 13 5 13 1 12 9 12 2 13 3 13 1 12 9 13 0 13 5 13 9 Lo s s . . , . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 3 14 3 13 0 15 9 18 2 19 4 21 6 20 0 16 4 13 9 14 7 17 0 Fi r m L o a d 88 6 76 7 62 1 56 5 76 1 14 0 36 7 84 5 59 8 67 6 91 2 21 1 ::: J Lig h t L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 7 74 4 64 8 50 0 1, 4 1 0 58 1 93 4 12 1 98 0 64 8 1, 4 3 1 77 4 He a v y L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 9 85 6 71 6 67 8 90 3 30 4 56 0 39 4 00 4 71 8 78 0 02 0 Sy s t e m L o a d 88 6 76 7 62 1 56 5 76 1 14 0 36 7 21 1 84 5 59 8 67 6 91 2 Fi r m O f f - Sy s t e m L o a d . . . . . . . . . To t a l L o a d 88 6 76 7 62 1 56 5 76 1 14 0 36 7 21 1 84 5 59 8 67 6 91 2 Pe a k L o a d ( M e g a w a t t s ) Ja n . 2 0 0 8 Fe b . 2 0 0 8 Ma r . 2 0 0 8 Ap r . 2 0 0 8 Ma y . 2 0 0 8 Ju n . 2 0 0 8 Ju l . 2 0 0 8 Au g . 2 0 0 8 Se p . 20 0 8 Oc t . 2 0 0 8 No v . 2 0 0 8 De c . 2 0 0 8 En e r g y E f f i c i e n c y ( M W ) . . . . . . . De m a n d R e s p o n s e ( M W ) . . . . Fi r m P e a k L o a d 56 7 2, 4 6 9 38 0 99 3 77 7 23 5 31 2 02 0 71 6 08 8 39 0 85 9 Sy s t e m P e a k ( 1 H o u r ) 56 7 2, 4 6 9 38 0 99 3 77 7 23 5 31 2 02 0 71 6 08 8 39 0 85 9 Fi r m O f f - Sy s t e m P e a k . . . . . . . . . Lo s s . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . To t a l P e a k L o a d 56 7 2, 4 6 9 38 0 99 3 77 7 23 5 31 2 02 0 71 6 08 8 39 0 85 9 D:I ;; : r D: I :: : J 0. . 0 : : : - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - I\ . ) 70 t h P e r c e n t i l e S a l e s a n d L o a d F o r e c a s t II ) (j ) :: : : : I Av e r a g e L o a d ( A v e r a g e M e g a w a t t s ) "'U Ja n . 2 0 0 9 Fe b . 2 0 0 9 Ma r . 2 0 0 9 r. 2 0 0 9 . 2 0 0 9 Ju n . 2 0 0 9 Ju l . 2 0 0 9 . 2 0 0 9 20 0 9 Oc t . 2 0 0 9 No v . 2 0 0 9 De c . 2 0 0 9 Re s i d e n t i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 1 73 5 62 7 48 7 46 0 53 0 61 6 61 3 50 1 50 6 63 9 82 2 (1 ) .. . . (1 ) Co m m e r c i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 9 49 1 46 9 41 9 43 9 49 0 52 8 53 0 47 1 45 5 47 1 51 6 Ir r i g a t i o n . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . 10 6 29 2 54 0 61 5 47 5 29 9 (1 ) In d u s t r i a l . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 4 28 9 28 3 28 7 28 4 29 7 29 7 29 9 31 4 31 5 30 9 29 5 (J I II ) Ad d i t i o n a l F i r m . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 0 14 0 13 6 13 3 13 1 12 3 13 4 13 3 13 1 13 2 13 8 14 0 :: : : : I -.. : : .. , Lo s s , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 6 14 6 13 3 16 1 18 6 19 8 22 0 20 5 16 7 14 2 15 0 17 3 (1 ) Fi r m L o a d 92 1 80 2 65 3 59 4 79 1 17 8 70 9 "'U 2, 4 1 2 25 6 88 2 63 0 94 7 ::: : : I Lig h t L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 6 68 0 52 9 1, 4 3 6 60 8 96 9 16 1 02 0 68 0 1 , 4 6 0 58 8 80 7 He a v y L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 03 5 89 4 75 0 70 9 94 9 33 0 60 9 2, 4 4 2 04 4 75 3 81 5 05 8 Sy s t e m L o a d 92 1 80 2 65 3 59 4 79 1 17 8 2, 4 1 2 25 6 88 2 63 0 70 9 94 7 Fir m O f f - Sy s t e m L o a d . . . . . . . . . To t a l L o a d 92 1 80 2 65 3 59 4 79 1 17 8 2, 4 1 2 25 6 88 2 63 0 70 9 94 7 Pe a k L o a d ( M e g a w a t t s ) Ja n . 2 0 0 9 Fe b . 2 0 0 9 Ma r . 2 0 0 9 Ap r . 2 0 0 9 Ma y . 20 0 9 Ju n . 2 0 0 9 Ju l . 2 0 0 9 Au g . 2 0 0 9 Se p . 20 0 9 Oc t . 2 0 0 9 No v . 2 0 0 9 De c . 2 0 0 9 En e r g y E f f i c i e n c y ( M W ) . . . . . . . De m a n d R e s p o n s e ( M W ) . . . . Fir m P e a k L o a d 59 6 2, 4 9 7 41 0 00 7 83 4 28 9 37 2 07 3 76 9 11 8 2, 4 2 3 90 9 Sy s t e m P e a k ( 1 H o u r ) 59 6 49 7 2, 4 1 0 00 7 83 4 28 9 37 2 07 3 76 9 11 8 2, 4 2 3 90 9 Fi r m O f f - Sy s t e m P e a k . . . . . . . . . Lo s s . . . . . . . . . . :. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . To t a l P e a k L o a d 59 6 2, 4 9 7 2, 4 1 0 00 7 83 4 28 9 37 2 07 3 76 9 11 8 2, 4 2 3 90 9 "'U (1 ) I\ . ) '" " ): - (1 ) ::: : : I (1 ) :: : : : I ('5 ' ): - (1 ) :: : : : I 70 t h P e r c e n t i l e S a l e s a n d L o a d F o r e c a s t ): . t\ ) Av e r a g e L o a d ( A v e r a g e M e g a w a t t s ) Ja n . 2 0 1 0 Fe b . 2 0 1 0 Ma r . 2 0 1 0 Ap r . 2 0 1 0 Ma y . 2 0 1 0 Ju n . 2 0 1 0 Ju t 2 0 1 0 Au g . 2 0 1 0 Se p . 20 1 0 Oc t . 2 0 1 0 No v . 2 0 1 0 De c . 2 0 1 0 Re s i d e n t i a l . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 3 74 6 63 6 49 3 46 8 54 2 63 4 63 0 51 3 51 5 64 9 83 1 Co m m e r c i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 2 50 3 48 2 43 1 45 2 50 6 54 5 54 7 48 4 46 7 . 4 8 3 52 6 Ir r i g a t i o n . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 6 29 1 53 9 61 4 47 5 29 9 In d u s t r i a l . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 1 29 6 29 0 29 3 29 0 30 4 30 4 30 6 32 1 32 2 31 6 30 1 Ad d i t i o n a l F i r m . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 2 14 2 13 8 13 5 13 3 12 6 13 8 13 6 13 2 13 3 14 0 14 2 Lo s s . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 9 14 9 13 6 16 4 18 9 20 1 22 5 20 9 17 1 14 5 15 3 17 6 ): . 74 2 97 7 Fi r m L o a d 95 7 83 6 68 5 62 3 82 3 21 7 45 9 30 2 92 0 66 4 61 9 Li g h t L o a d . . . . . . . . ,. . . . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . 80 9 71 2 55 9 1 , 4 6 3 63 6 00 5 20 3 06 1 71 4 1, 4 9 0 83 5 He a v y L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 08 4 92 9 77 6 74 1 98 3 37 3 64 3 2, 4 9 2 08 5 80 0 84 1 08 9 Sy s t e m L o a d 95 7 83 6 68 5 62 3 82 3 21 7 2, 4 5 9 30 2 92 0 66 4 74 2 1; 9 7 7 Fi r m O f f - Sy s t e m L o a d . . . . . . . . . To t a l L o a d 95 7 83 6 68 5 62 3 82 3 21 7 2, 4 5 9 30 2 92 0 66 4 74 2 97 7 Pe a k L o a d ( M e g a w a t t s ) Ja n . 2 0 1 0 Fe b . 2 0 1 0 Ma r . 2 0 1 0 Ap r . 2 0 1 0 Ma y . 2 0 1 0 Ju n . 2 0 1 0 Ju l . 2 0 1 0 Au g . 2 0 1 0 Se p . 20 1 0 Oc t . 2 0 1 0 No v . 2 0 1 0 De c . 2 0 1 0 En e r g y E f f i c i e n c y ( M W ) . . . . . . . De m a n d R e s p o n s e ( M W ) . . . . Fi r m P e a k L o a d 63 4 52 6 2, 4 5 0 03 2 89 1 34 8 3, 4 4 2 14 0 82 3 14 9 2, 4 5 7 94 8 Sy s t e m P e a k ( 1 H o u r ) 63 4 52 6 2, 4 5 0 03 2 89 1 34 8 3, 4 4 2 14 0 82 3 14 9 2, 4 5 7 94 8 Fir m O f f - Sy s t e m P e a k . . . . . . . . . Lo s s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . To t a l P e a k L o a d 63 4 52 6 2, 4 5 0 03 2 89 1 34 8 3, 4 4 2 14 0 82 3 14 9 2, 4 5 7 94 8 .. , t\ ) :: : 0 (J ) .. , .. , (' ) t\ ) -. : : -- - - - - - - - - - , - - - - - - - - .. . . . - - - - - - f\ . ) 70 t h P e r c e n t i l e S a l e s a n d L o a d F o r e c a s t t\ ) :3 ' Av e r a g e L o a d ( A v e r a e M e g a w a t t s ... . . Ja n . 2 0 1 1 Fe b . 2 0 1 1 Ma r . 20 1 1 , r. 2 0 1 1 . 2 0 1 1 Ju n . 2 0 1 1 Ju l . 2 0 1 1 . 2 0 1 1 20 1 1 Oc t . 2 0 1 1 No v . 2 0 1 1 De c . 2 0 1 1 ii3 Re s i d e n t i a l . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 9 75 0 64 0 49 6 47 2 55 2 64 7 64 4 52 1 52 1 65 5 83 6 .. , ... . . Co m m e r c i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 1 51 2 49 2 44 0 46 2 51 8 55 9 56 0 49 5 47 7 49 1 53 4 Ir r i g a t i o n . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 6 29 0 53 6 61 2 47 2 29 8 In d u s t r i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 7 30 2 29 5 29 9 29 6 31 0 30 9 31 2 32 7 32 8 32 2 30 7 t\ ) Ad d i t i o n a l F i r m . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 3 14 3 14 0 13 7 13 4 12 8 14 0 13 7 13 4 13 6 14 1 14 4 -.: : : .. , Lo s s . . . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 1 15 0 13 7 16 6 19 1 20 4 22 8 21 2 17 3 14 7 15 5 17 8 Fi r m L o a d 98 1 86 0 70 9 64 5 84 5 24 6 2, 4 9 4 33 7 94 9 68 9 76 6 00 0 Li g h t L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 2 73 4 58 1 1 , 4 8 2 65 7 03 1 23 5 09 3 74 0 51 3 64 1 85 6 He a v y L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 0 95 4 80 1 76 4 00 8 40 4 71 7 51 4 11 6 82 7 86 6 10 3 Sy s t e m L o a d 98 1 86 0 70 9 64 5 84 5 24 6 2, 4 9 4 33 7 94 9 68 9 76 6 00 0 Fi r m O f f - Sy s t e m L o a d . . . . . . . . . To t a l L o a d 98 1 86 0 70 9 64 5 84 5 24 6 49 4 33 7 94 9 68 9 7G 6 00 0 Pe a k L o a d ( M e g a w a t t s ) Ja n . 2 0 1 1 Fe b . 2 0 1 1 Ma r . 2 0 1 1 Ap r . 2 0 1 1 Ma y . 2 0 1 1 Ju n . 2 0 1 1 Ju l . 2 0 1 1 Au g . 2 0 1 1 Se p . 20 1 1 Oc t . 2 0 1 1 No v . 2 0 1 1 De c . 2 0 1 1 En e r g y E f f i c i e n c y ( M W ) . . . . . . . De m a n d R e s p o n s e ( M W ) . . . . Fi r m P e a k L o a d 65 9 54 5 2, 4 7 5 04 9 94 5 39 6 50 6 17 3 87 7 17 2 48 1 91 8 Sy s t e m P e a k ( 1 H o u r ) 65 9 54 5 2, 4 7 5 '2 , 04 9 94 5 39 6 50 6 17 3 87 7 17 2 2, 4 8 1 91 8 Fi r m O f f - Sy s t e m P e a k . . . . . . . . . Lo s s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . To t a l P e a k L o a d 65 9 54 5 2, 4 7 5 04 9 94 5 39 6 50 6 17 3 87 7 17 2 2, 4 8 1 91 8 t\ )f\. ) ): - . - c :3 ' ('j ' ): - 70 t h P e r c e n t i l e S a l e s a n d L o a d F o r e c a s t -6 ' Av e r a g e L o a d ( A v e r a g e M e g a w a t t s ) f: J Ja n . 2 0 1 2 Fe b . 2 0 1 2 Ma r . 2 0 1 2 Ap r . 2 0 1 2 Ma y . 20 1 2 Ju n . 2 0 1 2 Ju l . 2 0 1 2 Au g . 2 0 1 2 Sa p . 2 0 1 2 Oc t . 2 0 1 2 No v . 2 0 1 2 De c . 2 0 1 2 Re s i d e n t i a l . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 1 75 2 64 2 49 7 47 4 55 8 65 8 65 4 52 7 52 4 65 8 84 4 Co m m e r c i a L . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 9 52 1 50 1 44 9 47 2 53 0 57 2 57 2 50 6 48 6 50 0 54 4 en ' Ir r i g a t i o n . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , 10 6 28 9 53 5 61 1 47 2 29 7 :: r In d u s t r i a l . . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . 31 3 30 8 30 2 30 5 30 2 31 6 .3 1 6 31 9 33 4 33 5 32 9 31 3 Ad d i t i o n a l F i r m . . . . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 5 14 4 14 1 13 9 13 6 12 9 14 2 13 9 13 6 13 8 14 4 14 5 Lo s s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 3 15 2 13 9 16 8 19 3 20 7 23 1 21 5 17 6 14 9 15 6 18 0 Fi r m L o a d 00 2 87 7 72 9 66 4 86 7 27 5 52 9 97 6 71 1 78 8 02 9 37 1 Li g h t L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~.. . 85 0 75 0 60 0 1 , 4 9 9 67 6 05 7 26 6 12 3 76 4 53 3 66 1 88 3 He a v y L o a d . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , 12 1 97 1 82 3 79 6 01 7 2, 4 3 5 75 4 55 0 16 1 84 0 88 9 15 4 Sy s t e m L o a d 00 2 87 7 72 9 66 4 86 7 27 5 52 9 37 1 97 6 71 1 78 8 02 9 Fi r m O f f - Sy s t e m L o a d . . . . . . . . . To t a l L o a d 00 2 87 7 72 9 66 4 86 7 27 5 52 9 37 1 97 6 71 1 78 8 ' 02 9 Pe a k L o a d ( M e g a w a t t s ) Ja n . 2 0 1 2 Fe b . 2 0 1 2 Ma r . 2 0 1 2 Ap r . 2 0 1 2 Ma y . 20 1 2 Ju n . 2 0 1 2 Ju l . 2 0 1 2 Au g . 20 1 2 Se p . 2 0 1 2 Oc t . 2 0 1 2 No v . 2 0 1 2 De c . 2 0 1 2 En e r g y E f f i c i e n c y ( M W ) . . . . . . . -4 1 -4 3 De m a n d R e s p o n s e ( M W ) . . . . Fi r m P e a k L o a d 66 4 56 0 2, 4 7 2 03 7 99 9 3, 4 5 8 57 0 23 4 93 1 19 3 50 3 96 3 Sy s t e m P e a k ( 1 H o u r ) 66 4 56 0 2, 4 7 2 03 7 99 9 3, 4 5 8 57 0 23 4 93 1 19 3 50 3 96 3 Fi r m O f f - Sy s t e m P e a k . . . . . . . . . Lo s s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , . . . To t a l P e a k L o a d 66 4 56 0 2, 4 7 2 03 7 99 9 3, 4 5 8 57 0 23 4 93 1 19 3 50 3 96 3 .. . , ::: 0 ... , :: r :: E ., . , , ( ) -.. : : :t : - :: E : "t J :t : - :: J : :t : - "t J "t J :: J : "t J :t : - Response To Request for Production DOE 1-9 b Bennett Mountain Hours of Year Month Operation Output (MWh) 2005 January 2005 February 16.101 2005 March 57.053 2005 April 183 2005 May 3.42 501 2005 June 28.918 2005 July 145.41 605 2005 August 89.022 2005 Septem ber 667 2005 October 2005 November 2005 December 19.844 2006 January 2006 February 2006 March 14.338 2006 April 2006 May 62.9,491 2006 June 98.15,404 2006 July 50.206 2006 August 2006 September 37.148 2006 October 13.947 2006 November 23.985 2006 December 28.007 2007 January 39.661 2007 February 2007 March 49.40 786 2007 April 36.103 2007 May 62.311 2007 June 128.19,091 2007 July 407.60,111 Response to Request for Production DOE 1-9 b Evander Andrews (Dans kin) Unit Nos. 2 & 3 Unit No.Unit No. Hours of Hours of Total Plant Year Month Operation Operation Output (MWh) 2005 July 33.29.363 2005 August 37,15.120 2005 September 11.487 2005 October 13.539 2005 November 82.675 2005 December 26.312 2006 January 2006 February 358 2006 March 369 2006 April 2006 May 39.36.023 2006 June 53.53.126 2006 July 184.185.334 2006 August 15.14.149 2006 September 15.17.319 2006 October 2006 November 12.952 2006 December 2007 January 2007 February 2007 March 15.837 2007 April 17.17,554 2007 May 10,10.833 2007 June 48.47.179 2007 Jul 254.244.19,227 Response to Request for Production DOE 1-9 b Evander Andrews (Dans kin) Unit Nos. 2 & 3 Unit No.Unit No. Hours of Hours of Total Plant Year Month Operation Operation Output (MWh) 2001 September 15.344 2001 October 97.112.185 2001 November 43.57.048 2001 December 82.76.601 2002 January 18,24.902 2002 February 23.35.2,411 2002 March 50.85.164 2002 April 20,048 2002 May 35.1 ,439 2002 June 67.85.789 2002 July 242,238,19,097 2002 August 14,14.136 2002 September 24.40 917 2002 October 72.260 2002 November 2002 December 19.47 16.500 2003 January 2003 February 18.789 2003 March 693 2003 April 1.43 2003 May 68.44.244 2003 June 52.48.080 2003 July 284.281.22,629 2003 August 120.120.44 696 2003 September 666 2003 October 2003 November 15.15.394 2003 December 2004 January 2004 February 697 2004 March 163 2004 April 256 2004 May 2004 June 36.31.46 564 2004 July 125.135.10,110 2004 August 74.81.942 2004 September 14.410 2004 October 37.22.786 2004 November 29.27 17.49 294 2004 December 2005 January 2005 February 12.623 2005 March 2005 April 2005 May 253 2005 June 8.41 541 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTiliTIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O7-8 IDAHO POWER COMPANY ATTACHMENT 1-12a ; I vol ts less or where the definitions of Primary service and Transmission Service do not apply.Pr imary service is service taken at 12 500 volts or 34 500 volts. Transmission Service is service taken at 44, 000 volts or higher. Why is the Company proposing to add service levels to Schedules 9 and 19? The Company is proposing to add service levels for several First the costsreasons. providing service are associated with the voltage level at which service is received.For example , customers receiving service at transmission voltage do not impose the same distribution-related costs on the Company I system that recei ving pr imaryservicecustomers voltage impose.the prices charged toAs a result Transmission theServiceshouldreflectcustomers differences in costs.The Company I s current practice of giving high voltage customers a credit on their billed demand does not adequately reflect the differences in the costs providing service transmission versus distr ibution voltage.By establishing service levels based on voltage, prices can be established which more accurately and fairly reflect the costs of providing service. Second , establishing voltage based service BRILZ, Di Idaho Power Company levels will improve the Company's ability to provide service to customers both from an administrative and customer service line extensionperspective.Any payments or facilities beyond the point of delivery will be determined at the time service is established.There will be no need for any. adjustments or refunds at a later date should the customer subsequently qualify for a different schedule.As a result , transitions between Schedules 9 and 19 , as customers' loads change , will be simplified since customers will move to the same service level under the appropriate schedule. Finally,service levelsvoltagebased coupled with a cost-of-service aligned revenue allocation to the classes , should reduce the wide discrepancy in prices now experienced by customers who transfer between Schedules 9 and 19. How will customers currently taking service under Schedule 9 and Schedule 19 be classified as either Secondary, Primary, or Transmission Service customers? Customers currently taking service under Schedule will classified ServiceSecondary customers.The 41 current Schedule 19 customers who no longer qualify for service under that schedule with the 000 kW threshold will be classified as Schedule 9 Primary Service customers.There are no customers at BRILZ , Di Idaho Power Company this time who will qualify for Schedule 9 Transmission Service .The five Schedule 19 customers who currently are receiving service at 44 000 volts or higher will be classified as Schedule 19 Transmission Service customers. All remaining Schedule 19 customers will be classified as Primary Service customers.No customers qualify at this time for Schedule 19 Secondary Service. What is the present rate structure for Schedule 9? Customers taking service under Schedule 9 pay both an Energy Charge and a Demand Charge for the metered usage.In addition , Schedule 9 customers are subj ect to a $15. 00 minimum charge.Approximately two percent of the total billings for Schedule 9 during the 1993 test year were minimum billings representing about one-half of one percent of the total class revenue. What is the present rate structure for Schedule 19? Customers taking service under Schedule 19 pay an Energy Charge and a BasicDemand Charge Charge.The Energy Charge is applied to the actual metered energy for the billing period.The Demand Charge is applied to the metered demand; however, the minimum billing demand is 750 kW.The Basic Charge is applied to the Basic Load Capacity which is the average of the two BRILZ , Di Idaho Power Company highest billing demands during the current 12-month period but not less than 750 kW.In addition , customers pay a Facilities Charge of 1. 7 percent per month on any Company-owned facilities beyond the point of delivery. Please describe the rate design proposal for Schedule In addition to raising the ceiling for service eligibility from 750 kW to 1,000 kW and to creating Secondary,Primary,and Transmission Service levels , the Company is proposing to add a Customer Charge and a Basic Charge to Schedule For customers taking Primary Service or Transmission Service , a Facilities Charge of 1. 7 percent is also being added.The rate design proposals for Schedule 9 are shown on pages 4 through 6 of Exhibit No. 36. What is the Customer Charge for Schedule 9? The Custome~ Charge for Secondary Service under Schedule This amount represents$5.50. approximately 15 percent of the cost-of-service result of $35.81 shown at line 420 on page 3 of Exhibit No. 35. The Customer Charge for Primary and Transmission Service is $85.This amount is the same charge established for Schedule 19 Primary Service and Schedule 19 Transmission Service associated with thethecostandref lects electronic .metering of customers at these voltage levels. BRILZ, Di Idaho Power Company What is the Company s proposal for adding a Basic charge to Schedule The propos ing tha t BasicCompany Charge to be applied to each kW of Basic Load Capacity be added to Schedule What is Basic Load Capacity? Basic Load Capacity is a demand-related billing component which is computed at the time the customer's bill is prepared by averaging the two highest non-zero billing demands during the 12-month period ending with the current billing period. What is the Basic Charge for Schedule 9? The Basic Charge for Secondary Service is $ . 36 per kW of Basic Load Capacity.The $. 36 charge reflects the cost of service for distribution lines and transformers as shown at line 420 on page 3 of Exhibit No. 35.For Primary Service, the Basic Charge is $. per kW of Basic Load Capaci ty .The Basic Charge for Transmission Service is $.39.The Basic Charge for primary Service and the Basic Charge for Transmission Service are the same as those for Schedule 19.The derivation of the $.76 and $.39 charges is detailed later in my discussion of the Schedule 19 rate design. What is the Demand Charge for Schedule 9? The Demand Charge for Secondary Service is BRILZ , Di Idaho Power Company decreased from $ 3 . 2 2 $3.For pr imaryper kW Service , the Demand Charge is $3.04 per kW.The Demand Charge for Transmission Service is $2.95 per kW.Again, the charges for Secondary,Pr imary ,and Transmission Service are the same as those for Schedule 19 and are detailed in my discussion of the Schedule 19 rate design. What is the Energy Charge for Schedule 9? The Energy Charge for Secondary Service is decreased from 2.93469 to 2.61559 per kWh.For Pr imary Service the Energy Charge is 2.14909 per kWh.The Energy Charge for Transmission Service is 2.10119 per kWh. How were the Energy Charges derived? The Energy Charge for Secondary Service was derived to recover the residual revenue requirement once the Customer, Basic , and Demand Charges were established. The Primary Service Energy Charge is set at 5 percent over the Schedule 19 Primary Service Energy Charge.The Transmission Service Energy Charge is set equal to the Schedule 9 Primary Service Energy Charge adjusted to reflect losses avoided taking servicethe transmission voltage. Why was the Primary Service Energy Charge set at 5 percent over the Schedule 19 Primary Service Energy Charge? BRILZ, Di Idaho Power Company The Company wants to ensure that a price signal given there limitedcustomers incentive to use additional energy in order to qualify for Schedule 19.The Energy Charge was set at 5 percent over the Schedule 19 Primary Service Energy Charge to provide differential prices between the two schedules which, when considered with the minimum Billing Demand and Basic Load capacity provisions under Schedule , provides the appropriate price signal. What provision for a Facilities Charge is included in your rate design proposal for Schedule Customers taking Service andPr imary Transmission Service will be responsible ei therfor owning all facilities , including the transformers , beyond the point delivery paying the Company facilities charge in the amount of 1.7 percent times the Company s investment in the facilities beyond the point of delivery. What requirementtherevenue recovered from Schedule 9? Based on Mr. Gales's Exhibit No.4 6 , the total annual revenue to be collected from customers taking service under Schedule 9 is $78 042 429.This revenue requirement includes the revenue to be collected from existing Schedule 33 customers moved to Schedule 9 BRILZ, Di Idaho Power Company ,,- as well as from existing Schedule 19 customers targeted to be Schedule 9 Pr imary Service customers. What is the impact of this rate design on Large General Service customers? As can be seen from page 4 of Exhibit No. 37, approximately 69 percent of the existing customers taking service under (Secondary Service)Schedule receive a reduction in their annual bills as a result the proposed rate design.Of the customers receiving a reduction, approximately 40% receive a decrease greater than the 3.78 percent recommended by the Company for the Secondary Service customers as a whole. What are the usage characteristics of the Secondary Service decreases andreceivingcustomers increases under your proposal? Page 4 of Exhibit No. 37 shows the average load factoI;"' for customers in each "percent range " group. As can be seen from this Exhibit , the percent decrease or increase received through the rate design is associated with the customer I s load factor.Specif ically, customers whose monthly demand remains fairly steady and close to the Basic Load Capacity will tend to receive a decrease in their annual billings.Conversely, customers whose monthly demand throughout the year varies relatively widely from the Basic capaci ty willLoad generally BRILZ , Di Idaho Power Company receive an increase in their annual billings.Examples the usage characteristics receivingcustomers decreases and increases under the rate design proposed are included in my workpapers. What is the impact of your rate design proposal on customers transferring from Schedule 33 to Schedule 9? All customers transferring from Schedule 33 to Schedule 9 will be served at Secondary Service.Page 5 of Exhibit No.3 7 shows the impact of the proposed rate design by range of percent change.As can be seen from this Exhibit approximately 45 percent of the Schedule customers receive a decrease in their annual billing under the Schedule 9 rate design.Of the remaining 226 customers who recei ve an increase under Schedule 9 , 52 percent receive an increase of less than 5 percent which is the overall class increase which would be required to bring the existing Schedule 33 customers to cost of service as shown on Mr. Gales' Exhibit No.4 6. What is the impact of your rate design proposal customers taking underpr imary Service Schedule 9? Page 6 of Exhibit No.3 7 shows the impact of the rate design proposal on Primary Service customers by range of percent change.Page 7 of Exhibit No.3 7 BRILZ, Di Idaho Power Company shows the impact of the rate design proposal on each Primary Service customer.Compared to the existing Schedule the proposed Pr imaryratesSchedule Service rates result in an increase in annual billings for all but one customer.Page 8 of Exhibit No.3 7 shows the impact of the rate design proposal compared to the proposed rates for Schedule 19 Primary Service.As can be seen on page 8 of Exhibit No. 37 , all but 5 customers have lower annual bills under the proposed Schedule 9 Primary Service than under the proposed ' Schedule Primary Service.Page 9 of Exhibit No. 37 shows the impact of the proposed rate design compared with the proposed ~chedule 19 Primary service rate design by individual customer. What fordes igntherate proposal Schedule 19? In addition to raising the threshold from 750 kW to 1 , 000 kW and adding Secondary, pr imary , and Transmission Service levels to Schedule 19 , a Customer Charge is being added. There are no other changes in rate structure proposed for Schedule 19.The rate design proposals are shown on pages 8 through 10 of Exhibit No. 36. What is the Customer Charge for Schedule 19? BRILZ , Di Idaho Power Company For Primary and Transmission Service the Customer Charge is $85.Eighty-five dollars reflects approximately 30 percent of the $292.74 amount supported by cost of service as shown at line 480 on page 4 of Exhibi t No.For Secondary Service the Customer35. Charge is $5.50.This amount is the same as that for Schedule 9 Secondary Service. You stated earlier that one of the pricing objectives of your rate design proposal was to establish the Customer Charge at 15 percent of cost of service. Why are you proposing the Customer Charge be set at 30 percent for Primary and Transmission service? All of the customers who will be classified Primary and Transmission customers underService ei ther Schedule 9 or Schedule 19 are currently taking service under Schedule 19.These customers are among the Company I S largest and most sophisticated users. placing more emphasis on the Customer Charge for this group of customers , the Energy Charge and Demand Charge can be set closer to cost of service than they otherwise would be , thus benefitting the most efficient customers. What is the Basic Charge for Schedule 19? The Basic Charge for Secondary Service is 36, the same as that for Schedule 9 Secondary Service. For Primary Service the Basic Charge is $. 76 which BRILZ, Di Idaho Power Company reflects the cost of service for distribution facilities as shown at line 480 on page 4 of Exhibit No. 35.For Transmission Service the Basic Charge is $.39.Again this service forrepresentscostchargethe distribution facilities used to serve customers taking service at transmission voltage. What is the Demand Charge for Schedule 19? The Demand Charge for primary Service is $3.04.This Demand Charge was computed to recover the residual revenue requirement once the Customer, Basic and Energy Charges were determined.For Transmission Service the Demand Charge is $2.95.This Demand Charge was derived by deducting from the $3.04 Primary Service Demand Charge the losses which are avoided by service being taken at the transmission level.The Demand Charge for Secondary Service is $3.13 which was derived by adding to the $3.04 Primary Service Demand Charge losses incurred by service being taken at secondary voltage. Consistent with increase the threshold forthe eligibility from 750 kW to 1,000 kW, the minimum billing demand is also increased from 750 kW to 1,000 kW. What is the Energy Charge for Schedule 19? The for Pr imary ServiceEnergyCharge remains unchanged from its current level of 2.0467(:.The Energy Charge for Transmission Service is 2.0011(: per BRILZ , Di Idaho Power Company kWh.This amount reflects an adjustment to the 2. 0467C to take into account the losses which are avoided by service being taken at transmission voltage.The Energy Charge for Secondary Service is set at the Schedule 9 secondary Service Energy Charge less 4 . 75 percent to reflect the same degree of difference in Energy Charges as is established for Schedule 9 Primary Service and Schedule 19 Primary Service. Does your rate design proposal include any revisions to the provision for a Facilities Charge under Schedule 19? No.Customers taking Primary Service and Transmission Service will continue to be required to either own all facilities , including transformers , beyond the point of delivery or pay the Company a Facilities Charge of 1. 7 percent times the Company's investment in those facilities.Customers taking Secondary Service will not be subject to a Facilities Charge. What revenueannualthetota I requirement to be collected from Large Power Service customers? Based on Mr. Gales's Exhibit No. 46, the total annual revenue requirement to be collected from Schedule 19 is $44 860,097. What is the impact of the rate design on BRILZ , Di Idaho Power Company Large Power Service customers? Pages 10 through 12 of Exhibit No.show the impact the rate design for Pr imary Service customers.the Schedule Pr imary Service customers , . 37 receive an increase of less than 5. 75 percent, which is the overall increase for the Primary Service customer group as a whole.The impact on the Schedule 19 Transmission Service customers is detailed on page Exhibit No.37.Of the five customers receiving Transmission Service , two receive an increase less than the overall increase for the group of. 5. percent. What are the usage characteristics of the customers receiving increases less than and greater than the overall increases for the respective groups as a whole? general pr imary and Transmiss ion Service customers who have monthly billing demands which remain fairly steady and close to the Basic Load Capacity tend to have less of an increase in their annual billing than do customers whose monthly demand throughout the year varies from the Basic Load Capacity.Also , because the rate design proposal places an increased emphasis on capaci ty, the higher the customer's load factor , the more beneficial the rate structure tends to be in terms of the BRILZ, Di Idaho Power Company Sc h e d u l e 1 Sc h e d u l e 7 Sc h e d u l e 9 Sc h e d u l e 1 9 Sc h e d u l e 2 4 (I n - Se a s o n ) mb . 8/ 2 7 / 9 4 . RA T E S U M . 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XL S -- - - - " Sc h e d u l e 9 Bi l l i n g C o m p o n e n t C h a r g e s C a l c u l a t i o n Ca l c u l a t i o n o f S e r v i c e L e v e l E n e r g y C h a r g e s lo s s e s En e r g y % C h a n g e En e r g y $ 00 0 04 7 1. 0 4 7 04 4 8 9 0 02 0 8 9 1 05 3 05 3 00 5 6 9 8 02 1 0 1 1 07 7 07 7 02 2 2 8 4 02 1 4 9 0 10 8 10 8 02 7 9 7 8 02 6 1 5 5 Ca l c u l a t i o n o f S e r v i c e L e v e l D e m a n d C h a r g e s 05 3 06 7 10 1 13 3 00 0 05 3 06 7 10 1 13 3 05 0 3 3 2 01 3 1 2 1 03 0 8 8 1 02 8 2 4 4 Pa g e 3 ,r - ' " '-- - - " " "- - " , , Sc h e d u l e 1 9 Bil l i n g C o m p o n e n t C h a r g e s C a l c u l a t i o n Ca l c u l a t i o n o f S e r v i c e L e v e l E n e r g y C h a r g e s Ge n e r a t i o n L e v e l Tr a n s m i s s i o n St a t i o n Di s t r i b u t i o n P r i m a r y Al l O t h e r Lo s s e s En e r g y % C h a n g e En e r g y $ 00 0 04 7 04 7 04 4 8 9 0 01 9 8 9 7 05 3 05 3 00 5 6 9 8 02 0 0 1 1 01 7 07 7 02 2 2 8 4 02 0 4 6 7 10 8 10 8 02 7 9 7 8 02 1 0 4 0 Ca l c u l a t i o n o f S e r v o c e L e v e l D e m a n d C h a r g e s Ge n e r a t i o n L e v e l 00 0 Tr a n s m i s s i o n 05 3 05 3 05 0 3 3 2 St a t i o n 06 7 06 7 01 3 1 2 1 Di s t r i b u t i o n P r i m a r y 10 1 10 1 03 0 8 8 1 Al l O t h e r 13 3 13 3 02 8 2 4 4 3. t 3 mb . 6/ 2 4 / 8 4 . R 1 8 P R I C P . XL S Pa g e 2 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTiliTIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O7- IDAHO POWER COMPANY ATTACHMENT 1-12b .. ' System Level Transmission Distribution Station Distribution Primary Distribution Secondary System Level Transmission Distribution Station Distribution Primary Distribution Secondary Idaho Power Company Average System Loss Coefficients Typical Peak Demand Coefficients 1985 1986 1987 050 063 104 139 061 072 099 128 059 066 100 131 2001 Average old average 050 058 095 123 055 065 100 ' 130 . 057 067 101 133 Annual Energy Coefficients 1985 1986 1987 2001 Average 041 038 046 040 041 041 052 049 053 048 051 051 079 066 078 070 073 074 110 093 115 1.111 107 106 . Distribution Secondary includes distribution line transformers DLS 5/30/03 Exchange In Utility Purchases PS Generation Utility Purchases PS Generation Utility Purchases PS Generation 564 954 168,337 251,969 277 ,579 515 Figure 1: Idaho Power Company 2001 Energy Loss Coefficients Diagram Values in MWh Transmission System Input -985,260 Losses =657 609 ::: Output 16,327,651 Loss Coefficient =0403 13,432,375 To Distribution Distribution Stations Input -13,432 375 ::: Losses =102 178 Output =330,197 Loss Coefficient =0077 575 000 To Distribution Prim Distribution Primary Input 860 094 Losses =254 222 Output =11,605,872 Loss Coefficient =1.0219 033,111 To Distribution Sec Distribution Secondary Input =033,111 Losses =330,044 Output =703 067 Loss Coefficient =0379 Exchange In = Utility Purchases = PS Generation = Total Input = Exchange Out = HV Sales = Station Sales = Dist. Secondary Sales = Total Output = Total Losses = Totals 564 954 445,916 259,484 270,354 508 070 387,206 755 197 275 828 15,926,301 344 053 508 070 Exchange Out 387 206 HV Sales 691 711 Direct Station Sales 63,486 Irrigation Sales ary 572,761 Direct Sales ondary 703 067 Distribution Sales ,,- Exchange In Utility Purchases PS Generation Utility Purchases PS Generation Utility Purchases PS Generation 430. 363. 556. Figure 2: Idaho Power Company 2001 Typical Peak Loss Coefficients Values in MW Transmission System Input -349. ... Losses =112. Output 237. Loss Coefficient =0504 161.9 To Distribution Distribution Stations Input 161. Losses =16. Output =145. Loss Coefficient =0075 042.3 To Distribution Prima Distribution Primary Input 067. Losses =70.4 Output =996. Loss Coefficient =0353 996.9 To Distribution Seco Distribution Secondary Input =996. . Losses =50. ... Output =946. Loss Coefficient =0261 25. Totals Exchange In = 430. Utility Purchases = 388. PS Generation = 556. Total Input = 2,374. Exchange Out = 0, HV Sales = 75.4 Station Sales = 103. Dist. Secondary Sales = 946. Total Output = 2,125. Total Losses = 249. 0 Exchange Out 75.4 HV Sales 92.7 Direct Station Sales 10.8 Irrigation Sales 0 Direct Sales ndary 946.1 Distribution Sales BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O7- IDAHO POWER COMPANY TT A CHMENT 1- BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY FOR AUTHORITY TO INCREASE ITS RATES AND CHARGES FOR ELECTRIC SERVICE TO ELECTRIC CUSTOMERS IN THE STATE OF IDAHO. ) CASE NO. IPC-O3- IDAHO POWER COMPANY DIRECT TESTIMONY WILLIAM E. AVERA TABLE OF CONTENTS (For Convenience of Reader) I: .I:NT!lODUCTI:ON ......................................... 1 Qualifications .....................................Overview.. ............ ...... ....... .... ..........'. 4 C. Summary of Conclusions ............................. 6 I:I: .~AL ANALYSES .... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 A. Idaho Power Company. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 B. Electric Power Industry. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 C. Capi tal Markets and Economy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 I: I: I: . CAPI:TAL MARKET EST~TES ............................ 30 Economic Standards .................... ~........... B. Discounted Cash Flow Analyses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 C. Risk Premium Analyses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 D. Proxy Group Cost of Equity....... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 :IV .RETORN ON EQUI:TY FOR I:DAHO POWER COMPANY............ 66 Capital Structure ................................. Other Factors ..................................... C. Implications for Financial Integrity.............. 76 Conclusions ....................................... Exhibi t Exhibi t Exhibi t Exhibi t Exhibi t Exhibi t Exhibi t No. No. No. No. No. No. 10 No. 11 - DCF Model - Dividend Yield - DCF Model - proj ected Earnings Growth - DCF Model - li b x r " Growth - Risk Premium Method - Authorized Returns - Risk Premium Method - Realized Returns - Ri sk Premium Method - CAPM - Qualifications of William E. Avera INTRODUCTION Please state your name and bu~iness address. William E. Avera, 3907 Red River, Austin, Texas, 78751. What is your present occupation? I am a financial, economic, and policy consultant to business and government. A. Qua1ificatioDS What are your qualifications? I received a B. A. degree wi th a maj or in economics from Emory Uni versi ty .After serving in the Uni ted States Navy, I entered the doctoral program in economics at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.Upon receiving my Ph.D., I joined the faculty at the Uni versi ty of North Carolina and taught finance in the Graduate School of Business.I subsequently accepted a position at the University of Texas at Austin where I taught courses in financial management and investment analysis.I then went to work for International Paper Company in New York City as Manager of Financial Education, a position in which I had responsibility for all corporate education programs in finance, accounting, and economics. In 1977, I joined the staff of the Public Utility Commission of Texas ("PUCT") as Director of the Economic AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company Research Division.During my tenure at the POCT, I managed a division responsible for financial analysis, cost allocation and rate design, economic and financial research, and data processing systems, and I testified in cases on a variety of financial and economic issues.Since leaving the POCT in 1979, I have been engaged as a consul tant. I have participated in a wide range of assignments involving utility-related matters on behalf of utilities, industrial customers, municipalities, and regulatory commissions.I have previously testified before the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ("FERC") , as well as the Federal Communications Commission ("FCC"), the Surface Transportation Board (and its predecessor, the Interstate Commerce Commission), the Canadian Radio- Television and Telecommunications Commission, and regulatory agencies, courts, and legislative committees in 30 states, including the Idaho Public Utilities Commission the Co~ssion " or "IPUC" Wi th the approval of then-Governor George W. Bush, I was appointed by the PUCT to the Synchronous Interconnection Committee to advise the Texas legislature on the costs and benefits of connecting Texas to the national electric transmission grid.Currently, I serve an outside director of Georgia System Operations Corporation, the system operator for electric cooperatives AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company in Georgia. I have served as Lecturer in the Finance Department at the University of Texas at Austin and taught in the evening graduate program at St. Edward's University for In addition, I have lectured on economic andtwenty years. regulatory topics in programs sponsored by universities and industry groups.I have taught in hundreds of educational programs for financial analysts in programs sponsored by the Association for Investment Management and Research, the Financial Analysts Review, and local financial analysts societies.These programs have been presented in Asia, Europe, and North America, including the Financial Analysts Seminar at Northwes tern Uni vers i ty .I hold the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA ) designation and have served as Vice President for Membership of the Financial Management Association. I have also served on the Board of Directors of the North Carolina Society of Financial Analysts.I was elected Vice Chairman of the National Association of Regulatory Commissioners ("NARUC") Subcommittee on Economics and appointed to NARUC's Technical Subcommittee on the National Energy Act.I have also served as an officer of various other professional organizations and societies.A resume containing the details of my experience and qualifications is attached as Exhibit No. 11. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company case? B. Overview What is the purpose of your testimony in this The purpose of my testimony is to present to the Commission my independent evaluation of a fair rate of return on equity ("ROE") range for Idaho Power Company Idaho jurisdictional electric utility operations. Please summarize the basis of your knowledge and conclusions concerning the issues to which you are testifying in this case. To prepare my testimony, I used information from a variety of sources that would customarily be relied on by a person in my area of expertise.I am familiar with the organization and operations of Idaho Power from my prior participation before the Commission on behalf of the Company in Case No. IPC-94-In connection with the present filing, I considered information relevant to Idaho Power obtained through discussions with corporate management and from my review of numerous documents relating to the Company and its parent, IDACORP, Inc. IDACORP" ) . These included financial reports and filings, prior regulatory proceedings and orders, as well as bond rating agency reports.I also reviewed information relating generally to current capital market conditions and specifically to investor perceptions, requirements, and AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company expectations for vertically integrated electric utilities like Idaho Power.These sources, coupled wi th experience in the fields of finance and utility regulation, have given me a working knowledge of investors ' ROE requirements confronting Idaho Power as it competes to attract capital, and form the basis of my analyses and conclusions. What is the role of ROE in setting a utility rates? The rate of return on common equity serves to compensate investors for the use of their capital to finance the plant and equipment necessary to provide utility service.Investors only commit money in anticipation of earning a return on their investment commensurate with that available from other investment alternatives having comparable risks.Consistent with both sound regulatory economics and the standards specified in the Bluefield (Bluefield Water Works Improvement Co. v. Pub. Serv. Comm ' n, 2 62 u. s. 679 ( 1923 )) and Hope Fed. Power Comm n v. Hope Natural Gas Co., 320 u.s. 591 (1944)) cases, the return on investment allowed a utility should be sufficient to: 1) fairly compensate capital invested in the utility, 2) enable the utility to offer a return adequate to attract new capital on reasonable terms, and 3) maintain the utility s financial integrity. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company How did you go about developing your conclusions regarding a fair rate of return on equity range for Idaho Power? I first reviewed the operations and finances of Idaho Power and the general conditions in the electric utility industry and the economy.With this as a background, I developed the principles underlying the cost of equity concept and then conducted various generally accepted quantitative analyses to estimate the Company current cost of equity.These included discounted cash flow DCFn analyses and risk premium methods applied to a reference group of electric utili ties, as well as reference to earned rates of return expected for utilities and industrial firms.Based on the cost of equity estimates indicated by my analyses, the Company s ROE was evaluated taking into account the relative strengths and weaknesses of the al ternati ve methods, as well as other factors (e. g. flotation costs) that are properly considered in setting the ROE for Idaho Power s electric utility operations in Idaho. C. U1lllftAry of Conclusions Please summarize your findings regarding the fair rate of return on equity for Idaho Power. My quantitative analyses of the cost of equity included applications of the DCF model and risk premium AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company methods to a benchmark group of eight electric utili ties opera ting in the wes tern U. S .Based on the results of these approaches, I concluded that the fair rate of return on common equity for Idaho Power is presently in the range of 10.6 to 11.9 percent. In evaluating the ROE for Idaho Power, it is important to consider investors I continued focus on the unsettled conditions in western power markets and the unique risks imposed by the Company s much greater reliance on hydroelectric generation to meet its energy needs. Regulatory uncertainties, along with unfavorable capital market conditions, compound the investment risks associated with the jurisdictional utility operations of Idaho Power. Coupled with investors ' expectations for higher utility bond yields going forward, these greater risks support the reasonableness of my 10.6 to 11.9 percent ROE range. The cost of fully funding the Company s return on common equity is small relative to the potential benefits that a financially sound utility can have in providing reliable service at reasonable rates and supporting economic growth.Considering the importance of ensuring investor confidence and maintaining Idaho Power s financial flexibility and the ability to attract needed capital, an ROE in the 10.6 to 11.9 percent range is both necessary and reasonable at this critical juncture. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company II. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSES What is the purpose of this section? This section examines the risks and prospects for the electric utility industry as a whole and conditions in the capi tal markets and the general economy. understanding of these fundamental factors that drive the risks and prospects of electric utilities is essential to developing an informed opinion about current investor expectations and requirements that form the basis of a fair rate of return on equity.In addition, as a predicate to my economic and capital market analyses, this section briefly describes Idaho Power and reviews its operations and finances. A. :Idaho Power Company Briefly describe Idaho Power. Headquartered in Boise, Idaho Power is a wholly-owned subsidiary of IDACORP and is principally engaged in providing integrated retail electric utility service in a 20,000 square mile area in southern Idaho and During the most recent fiscal year, Idahoeastern Oregon. Power s energy deliveries totaled 15.0 million megawatt hours ("mWh Sales to residential customers comprised 34 percent of retail sales, with 27 percent to commercial, 25 percent to industrial end-users and 14 percent attributable to irrigation pumping.Idaho Power also AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company supplies firm wholesale power service to various utili ties and municipalities, as well as three large customers under sales contracts.Idaho Power s service area has experienced strong population growth, expanding over 10 percent in the last decade compared with the national average of 3.8 percent. At year-end 2002, Idaho Power had total assets of $2.7 billion and during the most recent fiscal year total electric revenues amounted to approximately $867 million. Principal industries in the area include food processing, lumber, electronics and general manufacturing, fertilizer production, and year-round recreational facilities, such as those in the Sun Valley resort area.Idaho Power anticipates total capi tal expenditures of approximately $675 million over the next three years.The Company recently approved a development contract, subj ect to Commission approval, for construction of a 160 megawatt MW") gas-fired generating plant near Mountain Home, Idaho.Total cost of the project, which includes plant construction and necessary transmiss1on system upgrades, $61 million,with Idaho Power taking ownership once the faci Ii ty has been fully tested and operational.In order to provide addi tional support for its capi tal expenditure program, Idaho Power s Board of Directors ("Board") voted to cut its common stock dividends for the next quarter by AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company more than $6 million, prompting IDACORP to announced that it was reducing annual common dividends some 35 percent from $1.86 to $1.20 per share. 1 With a combined capacity of approximately 3,117 MW, Idaho Power s existing generating units include hydroelectric generating plants located in southern Idaho and interests in three coal-fired plants located in Oregon, Nevada, and Wyoming.During 2002, company-owned generation accounted for 82.1 percent of the electric energy provided by Idaho Power, wi th the balance being obtained through power purchases.The electrical output of its hydroelectric plants is dependent on streamflows, which have fallen below normal levels for the last three years. As a result, approximately 45 percent of Idaho Power total system generation in 2002 was provided by hydroelectric generation, as compared with 57 percent under normal conditions.Snowpack and upstream reservoir storage for 2003 have fallen below measurements for the previous year and Idaho Power is experiencing its fourth consecutive year of below-normal water condi tions . Idaho Power I s transmission system interconnects the Company with other western electric utilities.Coupled wi th Idaho Power s membership in the Western Electricity Coordinating Council, the Western Systems Power Pool, the Northwest Power Pool and the Northwest Regional AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company Transmission Association, these transmission interconnections permit the interchange, purchase, and sale of power among all major electric systems in the west. Idaho Power is subject to state retail regulation in Idaho and Oregon and at the federal level by FERC. Addi tionally, Idaho Power s hydroelectric facilities are subject to licensing under the Federal Power Act, which is administered by FERC, as well as the Oregon Hydroelectric Act.Currently, the permanent licenses for five of Idaho Power s hydroelectric facilities have expired.Idaho Power is actively seeking relicensing under a process that could continue for up to 15 years.Relicensing is not automatic under federal law, and Idaho Power must demonstrate that it has operated its facilities in the public interest, which includes adequately addressing environmental concerns.The most significant of Idaho Power's relicensing efforts concerns its Hells Canyon Complex, which represent 68 percent of the Company s hydro capacity and 40 percent of its total generating capability.After a prolonged period of planning and consultation with interested parties, Idaho Power has developed a draft license application that includes various protection, mitigation, and enhancement measures in order to address environmental concerns while preserving the peak and load following operations of the facili ties.The estimated cost of these measures is $78 AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company million in the first five years of the license. How are fluctuations in Idaho Power operating expenses caused by varying hydro and power market conditions accommodated in its rates? Beginning in May 1993, Idaho Power implemented a power cost adjustment mechanism ("PCA"), under which rates are adjusted annually to reflect changes in variable power production and supply costs.When hydroelectric generation is reduced and power supply costs rise above those included in base rates, the PCA allows Idaho Power to increase rates to recover a portion of its additional Conversely, if increased hydroelectric generationcosts. were to lead to lower power supply costs, rates would be reduced.Although the PCA provides for rates to be adj us ted annually, it appl i es to 9 a percent 0 f the deviation between actual power supply costs and normalized As a result, the net amount of power supply costsrates. not recovered through the PCA mechanism totaled approximately $55.2 million over the past three years. What credit ratings have been assigned to Idaho Power and its parent, IDACORP? Idaho Power and its parent, IDACORP are both currently assigned a corporate credit rating of "" by Standard & Poor's Corporation S&pn Meanwhi 1 e , Moody Investors Service ("Moody s) has assigned issuer credit AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company ratings of "A3" and "Baal" to Idaho Power and IDACORP, respectively.S&P recently revised its outlook on both companies downward from "positive " to "stable , primarily due to expected weakness attributable to Idaho Power ongoing recovery of deferred power costs, poor water condi tions , and lower than expected sales. B. Electric Power Xndustry What are the general conditions in the electric power industry? For almost twenty years, electric utili ties and their consumers have enj oyed a respi te from the volatility characteristic of the late 1970s and early 1980s.More recently, however, these general economic factors have been overshadowed by structural changes in the electric utility industry resulting from market forces, decontrol initiatives, and judicial decisions. Please describe these structural changes. At the federal level, FERC has been an aggressive proponent of regulatory driven reforms designed to foster greater competition in markets for wholesale power supply.The National Energy Policy Act of 1992, whi ch reformed the Public Utility Holding Company Act of 1935,and to a limited extent,the Federal Power Act, greatly increased prospective competition for the production and sale of power at the wholesale level. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company April 1996, FERC adopted Order No. 888, mandating "open access " to the transmission facilities of jurisdictional electric utili ties.FERC also has pushed for the regionalization of transmission system control by establishing frameworks for creation of Regional Transmission Organizations ("RTOs") in its Order No. 2000 and through subsequent policy statements. Open access has, in the view of most market observers, resulted in more competi tion and competitors in wholesale power markets, but not without the introduction of substantial risks. policies affecting competition in the electric power industry vary widely at the state level, but over 25 jurisdictions have enacted some form of industry restructuring.This process of industry transition has led to the disaggregation of many formerly integrated electric utilities into three primary components - generation, transmission, and distribution.Presently, however, Idaho Power is, and is expected to remain, a fully integrated public utility. What impact has the western power crisis had on investors ' risk perceptions for firms involved in the electric power industry? AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company During the course of the last several years, investors have dramatically altered their assessment of the relative risks associated with the electric 'power industry. A well-publicized energy crisis throughout the west, which originated in California, has wreaked havoc on the region customers, utilities, and policymakers.It also has had dramatic repercussions for western wholesale power markets and investors and utili ties nationwide.Beyond causing state regulators and legislators to re-evaluate their restructuring initiatives for the retail sector of the electric industry, the financial implications of the California experience demonstrated the risks facing all segments of the electric power industry. . The massive debts owed by California s retail utilities to banks, power producers and other creditors shattered their financial integrity and the subsequent bankruptcy filing of Pacific Gas and Electric Company PG&E") brought the uncertainties associated with today power markets into sharp focus for the investment communi ty .Enron ' s, and now Mirant Corporation bankruptcies only served to magnify the risks associated with the power sector and increased investors I reluctance to commit capital in the energy industry, as FERC Commissioner Massey succinctly recognized: Sadly, the tsunami of the western energy crisis, AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company coupled with the collapse of Enron, have left a devastating wake within the industry. Investor confidence has been shaken by these events, by a declining national economy, indictments of energy traders, accounting irregularities, downgrades by rating agencies, and continuing investigations by the FERC, CFTC, the SEC, and the Justice Department. ...The flight of capital from the industry has been severe since the collapse of Enron . While the case of California and PG&E represents an extreme example, there is every indication that investors risk perceptions for electric utili ties have shifted sharply upward as events in the western U. s. continued to unfold.The resolution is far from over, as even today, FERC, federal and state courts, and other agencies continue their investigations to determine the underlying causes of the volatility, high prices and erratic supply patterns characteristic of western wholesale power markets in 2000 and 2001. Have these events affected electric utili ties' credit standing? Yes.The last several years have witnessed a steady erosion in credit quality throughout the electric utility industry, both as a result of revised perceptions of the risks in the industry and the weakened finances of the utilities themselves.For example, during 2002, S&P recorded 182 downgrades in the electric power industry, versus only 15 upgrades, while Moody s downgraded 109 AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company utili ty issuers and upgraded one; an acceleration of the trend in bond rating changes during the previous two years. The fourth quarter of 2002 alone witnessed 48 downgrades as the negative pressure on utility creditworthiness continued unabated. What is the impact of these capital and credit market conditions on the ability of electric utilities to raise funds? Combined with a stagnant economy and global uncertainties, the dramatic upward shift in investors' risk perceptions and the weakened financial picture of most industry participants, have combined to produce a severe liquidity crunch in the electric power industry.S&P cited the debilitating impact of these developments on investors willingness to provide capital: The last 24 months have witnessed extraordinary turmoil for power and energy debt, unprecedented since Samuel Insull' s utility empire collapsedduring the 1930s. Events ranging from the creditcollapse of the California utili ties, through the Enron bankruptcy and subsequent marketdisruptions for u.s. energy merchant companies have destroyed billions of dollars of value for investors. Wall Street has virtually shut down new investment in this sector. Increasingly constrained capital market access as a result of investor skepticism over accounting practices and disclosure, more and more federal and state investigations and subpoenas, audits, and failing confidence in future financial performance has created a liquidity crisis. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company utilities, In light of the challenges faced by electric financing acti vi ty actually declined some 14 percent in 2002, with many utilities being forced to rely increasingly on bank debt.Access to the commercial paper markets, long the low-cost staple of high-grade utility credi ts for meeting working capital needs, virtually disappeared for certain companies.S&P noted that the falloff in financing activity was partly attributable to capital market jitters, especially for those firms that are most in need of capital market access. As a result, at the same time that industry uncertainty and market volatility has increased the importance of financial flexibi1i ty, electric utili ties are facing limited access and higher costs for the capital required to maintain sufficient liquidity.Moreover, credi t qua1i ty has continued to decline.S&P reported an unprecedented 88 ratings downgrades during the first half of 2003 alone, an acceleration of the downward trend witnessed during the previous year. Similarly, Moody s downgraded 51 utilities between January and June 2003, while upgrading only one firm.S&P also noted that constrained access to capital markets and investor skepticism was contributing to the bleak credi t picture. How has Idaho Power been impacted by the turmoil in the electric power industry? AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company Like others, Idaho Power was swept up in the maelstrom of the western energy crisis in 2000 and 2001. Because of Idaho Power s dependence on hydroelectric generation, it has always faced the uncertainties associated with year-to-year fluctuations in water condi tions .Nevertheless, the degree of price volatility that participants in the western power markets were forced to assume was unprecedented and variability in short-term market prices bore no resemblance to fluctuations encoun tered in the pas t . Increased wholesale prices and rate structures that did not capture full costs of acquiring fuel and purchased power led to depressed earnings.As of December 31, 2001, for example, Idaho Power had recorded a regulatory asset of $290 million related primarily to power cost deferrals resulting from low hydroelectric generation and higher purchased power prices. To varying degrees, utili ties throughout the western U. s. were confronted with the difficult task of maintaining reliable service and financial integrity in a power market characterized by short supply and unprecedented price volatility.Municipal utilities in the Northwest were also forced to approve or propose significant rate increases to recover rising fuel and purchased power costS. Even for electric utili ties such as Idaho Power that AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company have permanent fuel and purchased power adjustment mechanisms in place, there can be a significant lag between the time the utility actually incurs the expenditure and when it is recovered from ratepayers.One example of this regulatory lag was noted by The Value Line Investment Survey (Value Line) ; A lag in the recovery of sharply higher power costs is hurting Sierra Pacific Resources. Power prices in the West have soared since the second quarter of 2000, and until recently, SPR' s two utilities lacked a mechanism for recovering these increases. The Nevada Commission has granted one, but it won t solve the utilities' problem right away. That's because the mechanism tracks power costs over a trailing 12-month period and because the amount by which the utili ties can raise rates each month is capped. Because Idaho Power was dependent on wholesale power markets in the west to meet the gap in its resource needs created by reduced hydro generation, the chaotic market conditions were felt directly.The continuing prospect of further turmoil in western power markets cannot be discounted.From the standpoint of the capital markets, the west is risky - and Idaho Power's exposure to wholesale markets in meeting shortfalls in hydroelectric generation compounds these uncertainties. Investors recognize that volatile markets, unpredictable stream flows, and Idaho Power s dependence on wholesale purchases to meet the needs of its customers can AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company create a "perfect storm , exposing the Company to the risk of reduced cash flows and unrecovered power supply costs. In response to the risks inherent in substantial reliance on wholesale power markets for electricity supply, and recognizing the continuing uncertainty concerning the availability of hydroelectric generation, Idaho Power has proposed a plan to expand its electric utility system, including the construction of additional generating resources at Mountain Home.Accordingly, maintaining Idaho Power s financial integrity and flexibility will be instrumental in attracting the capital necessary to fund these projects in an effective manner. What are the implications of the recent power outages recently experienced in the upper Midwest and Northeas t ? These events underscore the continuing risks inherent in the industry and the uncertain state of affairs with respect to the industry s structure.The massive blackout, which stretched from New York to Detroit and from Ohio into Canada, was the largest power outage in U. s. history .This single event has galvanized the attention of all industry stakeholders - utilities, consumers, regulators, and investors - on the urgent need to improve the nation s electricity infrastructure, especially in light of the additional stress that deregulated wholesale AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company markets have placed on the network.The importance of rapidly stimulating investment in electric power infrastructure has been almost universally cited as the key to ensuring that further outages are avoided.As FERC Chairman Wood noted: If we draw any conclusions from this blackout, it is the urgent need for more investment in the nation s transmission grid to serve broad regional needs. Indeed, as noted earlier, Idaho Power is committed to expanding the scope and reliability of its utility system in order to provide customers with reliable service while attempting to insulate them from the potential impact of power market anomalies. Are investors likely to consider the impact of industry uncertainty in assessing their required rate of return for Idaho Power? Absolutely.While electric utility restructuring has not been actively pursued in Idaho, the Company continues to face the prospect of FERC-driven changes in the transmission sector of their business, as well as fundamental reforms in the operation of wholesale markets.Idaho Power is an active participant in the formation of a proposed RTO ("RTO West"), an independent enti ty that will operate the transmission grid in seven While RTO West received Stage II approvalwestern states. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company from FERC, substantial additional filings will be necessary before federal and state approval are received. Indeed, the pace of policy evolution -in the transmission area has been brisk.Investors' focus on regulatory change in their assessment of risks and prospects was exemplified by S&P: The FERC is in the process of changing every aspect of the electric utility landscape, with industry sages anticipating further transmission and wholesale market development guidance, which could affect the segment I s credit prospects and quality. ...Significant uncertainty still exists for transmission companies that may operate under an RTO or ISO structure, which will significantly impact the full scope of capital expenditures necessary to ensure reliability and increase capacity in the future. Uncertainty will exist until operating rules are in place and havestabilized. Virtually all industry stakeholders have recognized that regulatory uncertainty increases the risks associated with the electric industry.FERC Commissioner Massey says that regulatory uncertainty is "part of the problem " explaining under-investment in electric utility infrastructure. The Department of Energy ("DOE") identified "reducing regulatory uncertainty " as critical in stimulating increased investment in the power industry and has noted that lack of clarity in the regulatory structure was inhibi ting planning and investment. The DOE also recognized the impact that this regulatory uncertainty has AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company on investors ' required rates of return for electric utilities; Because transmission assets are long lived, regulatory uncertainty increases the risks toinvestors and, therefore, increases the returns they need to justify transmission system investments. In remarks before NARUC, a representative of MBIA Insurance Corporation, the world's largest financial guaranty insurance company, noted the increased risks posed by inconsistent regulatory decision-making "have made access to the capital markets very difficult and very expensive. ,, Similarly, while the Consumer Energy Council of America recognized that improvements in electric utility infrastructure are necessary to ensure reliability and support the economy, they concluded that regulatory uncertainty "has contributed to a fear of instability for the entire system . 22 The recent blackout has only served to reinforce the importance of regulatory risks for investors.The Wall Street Journal cited the debilitating impact of an unsteady regulatory environment" and the "chaotic combination of regulated and deregulated markets " in explaining inhibitions to increased investment in the electric utility system. Similarly, FERC Chairman Wood concluded in his initial comments on the power outages AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company that: Clearly, we need regulatory certainty and other incentives for investment. Nevertheless, S&P recently warned investors that the partial reforms presently characterizing wholesale power markets invites dysfunction and that elevated risks will discourage new capital, U or at least make it more expensi ve. S&P observed: Investors should not expect that such risk will dissipate any time soon. Instead, credit risk could actually intensify if the politically charged debate over reform continues for years, as it might very well do. And even if policy makers succeed in crafting a comprehensive solution to the problems of the nation s energy grid, the regulatory treatment of the costs needed to upgrade the infrastructure remains uncertain. Because of potential dependence on wholesale markets, the risks of transmission uncertainties and potential market volatility are intensified for utilities that must meet shortfalls in resource needs through power purchases. Thus, Idaho Power s greater dependence on hydroelectric generation, which fluctuates with changes in streamflows, exposes the Company and its investors to the ongoing regulatory uncertainties and other risks imposed by federal restructuring of wholesale power markets and magnifies the importance of maintaining financial flexibility. Are these uncertainties the only risks being AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company faced by electric utilities? Apart from these factors, the industryNo. continues to face the normal risks inherent in operating electric utility systems, including the potential adverse effects of inflation, interest rate changes, growth, and regulatory uncertainty and lag.Electric utili ties are confronting increased environmental pressures that leave them exposed to uncertainties regarding emissions and potential contamination.S&P recognized the potential financial challenges posed by such uncertainties: Pension obligations, environmental liabilities, and serious legal problems restrict flexibility, apart from the obligations ' direct financial implications. Capi tal Markets and Economy What has been the pattern of interest rates over the last decade? Average long-term public utility bond rates, the monthly average prime rate, and inflation as measured by the consumer price index since 1990 are plotted in the graph below.After rising to approximately 10 percent in mid-l990, the average yield on long-term public utility bonds generally fell as economic conditions weakened in the aftermath of the 1991 Gulf war, with rates dipping below 7 percent in late 1993.Yields subsequently rose again in 1994, before beginning a general decline, with investors AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company requiring approximately 6.8 percent from average public utility bonds in August 2003; i:!8 6 Inflau . ,\,. -, -"'...-' -- ....-- -' ,.......---- \"'.-, oJ Are investors likely to anticipate any substantial decline in interest rates going forward? Since early 2001, a great deal ofNo. attention has been focused on the actions of the Federal Reserve as they have moved successively to lower short-term interest rates in response to weakness in the United States But while interest rates are currently ateconomy. relatively low levels, investors are unlikely to expect any further significant declines going forward.The general expectation is that, as econoncic growth strengthens, interest rates will begin to rise.For example, the Energy Information Administration ("ErA"), a statistical agency of the DOE, routinely publishes a 25-year forecast for energy markets and the nation I s economy.The most recent forecast, released November 20, 2002, anticipates that the double-A public utility bond yield will increase from 6. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company percent in 2002 to 8.10 percent by 2005, with the average being 7.49 percent over the next 10 years. Similarly, the most recent long-term projections from GlobalInsight (formerly DRI/WEFA) anticipate that public utility bond yields will increase to 8.19 percent by 2007 and average approximately 7.8 percent over the intervening years. How has the market for common equi ty capi tal performed? Between 1990 and early 2000 stock prices pushed steadily higher as the longest bull market in United States history continued unabated.While the S&P 500 had increased over four times in value by August 2000, mounting concerns regarding prospects for future growth, particularly for firms in the high technology and telecommunica tions sectors, pushed equity prices lower, some cases precipitously.While equity prices have recovered from recent lows, the market has become increasingly volatile, with share values repeatedly changing in full percentage points during a single day trading.The graph below plots the performances of the Dow-Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500, and the New York Stock Exchange Utility Index since 1990 (the latter two indices were scaled for comparability); AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company 500 500 12,500 10,500 II)500 6,500 500 500 5()() ---~--'- ~ . NY~~ Uti lit (xlO " ""' J-O2 What is the outlook for the United States economy? During the decade through the first quarter of 2001, the United States economy enjoyed the longest Monetary and fiscalpeacetime expansion in history. policies resulted in modest inflation during this period, with unemployment rates falling to their lowest levels since the 1960s.A revolution in information technology, rising productivity, and vibrant international trade all contributed to strong economic growth.However, even before the events of September 11, 2001, there were increasing signs that the economic expansion would not be sustainable.Concerns regarding the slowing pace of economic activity have been exemplified by the Federal Reserve I S sequential lowering of interest rates.The economy continues to chart an uneven course, corporate profits remain under pressure, capital spending continues to be weak, and businesses have been reluctant to expand AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company hiring. More recently, uncertainties over the fragility the economy have been magnified by the aftermath of war in Iraq and ongoing instability in the Middle East, which undermines consumer confidence and contributes to global economic uncertainty.These factors cause the outlook to remain tenuous, with persistent stock and bond price volatility providing tangible evidence of the uncertainties faced by the United States economy. How do these economic uncertainties affect electric utili ties? The weakened state of the economy and the uncertainty of recovery have combined to heighten the risks faced by electric utili ties.Stagnant economic growth would undoubtedly mean flat electric sales, while the potential for higher inflation and interest rates that would likely accompany an economic recovery would place addi tional pressure on the adequacy of existing service While the economy may ultimately return to a pathrates. of steady growth and the volatility in the capital and energy markets may abate, the underlying weaknesses now present cause considerable uncertainties to persist, which increase the risks faced by the electric utility industry. I1:I. CAPITAL MARKET ESTIMATES What is the purpose of this section? AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company, In this section, capital market estimates of the cost of equity are developed for a benchmark group of electric utili ties.First, I examine the concept of the cost of equity, along with the risk-return tradeoff principle fundamental to capital markets. Next, DCF and risk premium analyses are conducted to estimate the cost of equi ty for a reference group of electric utili ties. A. Economic Standards What role does the rate of return on common equity play in a utility's rates? The return on common equity is the cost of inducing and retaining investment in common shares.This investment is necessary to finance the asset base needed to provide utility service.Competition for investor funds is intense and investors are free to invest their funds wherever they choose.They will commit money to a particular investment only if they expect it to produce a return commensurate with those from other investments with comparable risks.Moreover, the return on common equity is integral in achieving the sound regulatory objectives of rates that are sufficient to: 1) fairly compensate capital investment in the utility, 2) enable the utility to offer a return adequate to attract new capital on reasonable terms, and 3) maintain the utility s financial integrity. What fundamental economic principle underlies AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company this cost of equity concept? Unlike debt capital, there is no contractually guaranteed return on common equity capital since shareholders are the residual owners of the utility. Nonetheless, common equity investors still require a return on their investment, with the cost of equity being the minimum rent" that must be paid for the use of their This cost of equity typically serves as themoney. starting point for determining a fair rate of return on common equi ty . The cost of equity concept is predicated on the notion that investors are risk averse and willingly bear addi tional risk only if paid for doing so.In capi tal markets . where relatively risk-free assets are available (e. g ., U. S. Treasury securi ties) investors can be induced to hold more risky assets only if they are offered a premium, or additional return, above the rate of return on a risk-free asset.Since all assets - including debt and equity - compete with each other for scarce investors' funds, more risky assets must yield a higher expected rate of return than less risky assets in order for investors to be willing to hold them. Given this risk-return tradeoff, the required rate of return (k) from an asset (i) can be generally expressed as: AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company . 14 ki = Rf + RPi where;Rf = Risk-free rate of return; and RPi = Risk premium required to hold -risky asset i. Thus, the required rate of return for a particular asset at any point in time is a function of: 1) the yield on risk- free assets, and 2) its rela ti ve risk, with investors demanding correspondingly larger risk premiums for assets bearing greater risk. Does the risk-return tradeoff principle actually operate in the capital markets? Yes.The risk-return tradeoff is observable in certain segments of the capital markets where required rates of return can be directly inferred from market data and generally accepted measures of risk exist.Bond yields, for example, reflect investors ' expected rates of return, and bond ratings measure the risk of individual bond issues.The observed yields on government securities, which are considered free of default risk, and bonds of various rating categories demonstrate that the risk-return tradeoff does, in fact, exist in the capital markets. Does the risk-return tradeoff observed with fixed income securities extend to common stocks and other assets? It is generally accepted that the risk-return tradeoff evidenced with long-term debt extends to all AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company assets.Documenting the risk-return tradeoff for assets other than fixed income securities, however, is complicated by two factors.First, there is no standard-measure of risk applicable to all assets.Second, for most assets - including common stock - required rates of return cannot be directly observed.Nevertheless, it is a fundamental tenet that investors exhibit risk aversion in deciding whether or not to hold common stocks and other assets, just as when choosing among fixed income securities.This has been supported and demonstrated by considerable empirical research in the field of finance and is confirmed by reference to historical earned rates of return, with realized rates of return on common stocks exceeding those on government and corporate bonds over the long-term. Is this risk-return tradeoff limited to differences between firms? The risk-return tradeoff principleNo. applies not only to investments in different firms, but also to different securities issued by the same fi~. Debt, preferred stock, and common equity vary considerably in risk because they have different characteristics and priori ties. When investors loan money to a utility in the form of long-term debt (or bonds), they enter into a contract under which the utility agrees to pay a specified amount of AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company interest and to repay the principal of the loan in full at the maturity date.The bondholders have a senior claim on a utility s available cash flow for these payments, and if the utility fails to make them, they may force it into bankruptcy. Following first mortgage bonds are other debt instruments also holding contractual claims on the utili ties cash flow, such as debentures and notes. Similarly, when a utility sells investors preferred stock, the utility promises to pay specified dividends and, typically, to retire the preferred stock on a predetermined schedule.The rights of preferred stockholders to available cash flow for these payments are junior to creditors, and preferred stockholders cannot compel bankruptcy, their claims are senior to those of common shareholders. The last investors in line are common shareholders. They receive only the cash flow, if any, that remains after all other claimants - employees, suppliers, governments, lenders, have been paid.Because cash flows to common shareholders are not contractually defined, dividend payments may be eliminated altogether or substantially reduced, as illustrated by the recent actions of Idaho Power s Board and IDACORP.As a result, the rate of return that investors require from a utility s common stock, the most junior and riskiest of its securities, is considerably AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company higher than the yield on the utility s long-term debt. What does the above discussion imply with respect to estimating the cost of equity? Although the cost of equity cannot be observed directly, it is a function of the prospective returns available from other investment al ternati ves and the risks to which the equity capital is exposed.Because it is unobservable, the cost of equity for a particular utility must be estimated by analyzing information about capital market conditions generally, assessing the relative risks of the company specifically, and employing various quantitative methods that focus on investors ' current required rates of return.These various quantitative methods typically attempt to infer investors' required rates of return from stock prices, interest rates, or other capi tal market data. Have you relied on a single method to estimate the cost of equity for Idaho Power? No. In my opinion, no single method or model should be relied upon to determine a utility s cost of equi ty because no single approach can be regarded as wholly reliable.As the Federal Communications Commission recognized: Equity prices are established in highly volatile and uncertain capital markets... Different forecasting methodologies compete wi th each other AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company for eminence, only to be superceded by other methodologies as conditions change... In these circumstances, we should not restrict ourselves to one methodology, or even a series of methodologies, that would be appliedmechanically. Instead, we conclude that we should adopt a more accommodating and flexible posi tion. Therefore, in addition to the DCF model, I applied the risk premium method based on data for electric utilities and using forward-looking estimates of required rates of return.In addition, I also evaluated my results using a comparable earnings approach based on investors' current expectations in the capital markets.In my opinion, comparing estimates produced by one method with those produced by other approaches ensures that the estimates of the cost of equity pass fundamental tests of reasonableness and economic logic. B. Discounted Cash Flow Analyses How are DCF models used to estimate the cost of equity? The use of DCF models is essentially an attempt to replicate the market valuation process that sets the price investors are willing to pay for a share of a company s stock.The model rests on the assumption that investors evaluate the risks and expected rates of return from all securities in the capital markets.Given these expected rates of return, the price of each stock is AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company adjusted by the market until investors are adequately compensated for the risks they bear.Therefore, we can look to the market to determine what investors believe a share of common stock is worth.By estimating the cash flows investors expect to receive from the stock in the way of future dividends and capital gains, we can calculate their required rate of return.In other words, the cash flows that investors expect from a stock are estimated, and given its current market price, we can "back-into " the discount rate, or cost of equity, that investors presumptively used in bidding the stock to that price. What market valuation process underlies DCF models? DCF models are derived from a theory of valuation which assumes that the price of a share of common stock is equal to the present value of the expected cash flows (i.e., future dividends and stock price) that will be received while holding the stock, discounted at investors required rate of return, or the cost of equity. Notationally, the general form of the DCF model is as follows; 1 O 2 O t P +... + 0 (1+k )1 (1+k )2 (1+k )t (1+k where:Po = Current price per share; Pt = Expected future price per share in period AVERA, Dr Idaho Power Company Dt = Expected dividend per share in period Ke = Cost of equity. That is, the cost of equity is the discount rate that will equate the current price of a share of stock with the present value of all expected cash flows from the stock. Has this general form of the DCF model customarily been used to estimate the cost of equity in rate cases? No.In an effort to reduce the number of required estimates and computational difficulties, the general form of the DCF model has been simplified to a constant growth" form.But converting the general form of the DCF model to the constant growth DCF model requires a number of strict assumptions.These include: A constant growth rate for both dividends and earnings; A stable dividend payout ratio; The discount rate exceeds the growth rate; A constant growth rate for book value and price; A constant earned rate of return on book value; No sales of stock at a price above or below book val ue ; A constant price-earnings ratio; A constant discount rate (i.e., no changes in risk or interest rate levels and a flat yield curve); and All of the above extend to infinity. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company Given these assumptions, the general form of the DCF model can be reduced to the more manageable formula of; p = 0 ke - 9 Where: g = Investors ' long-term growth expectations. The cost of equity (Ke) can be isolated by rearranging terms : k = ......!.+ e p This constant growth form of the DCF model recognizes that the rate of return to stockholders consists of two parts: 1) dividend yield (DdPo), and 2) growth (g).In 0 ther words, investors expect to receive a portion of their total return in the form of current dividends and the remainder through price appreciation. Are the assumptions underlying the constant growth form of the DCF model always fully met? In practice, none of the assumptions required to convert the general form of the DCF model to the constant growth form are ever strictly met.Nevertheless, where earnings are derived from stable acti vi ties, and earnings, dividends, and book value track fairly closely, the constant growth form of the DCF model may be a reasonable working approximation of stock valuation that AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company can provide useful insight as to investors ' required rate of return. How did you implement the DCF model to estimate the cost of equity for Idaho Power? Application of the DCF model directly to Idaho Power is hindered because, as a wholly-owned subsidiary, the Company does not have publicly traded common stock. Meanwhile, as discussed earlier, Idaho Power and, in turn, IDACORP recently elected to cut common dividend payments significantly in order to improve cash flow and help maintain the strong credit ratings necessary to support the Company s capital expansion plan.Under the DCF approach, observable stock prices are a function of the cash flows that investors ' expected to receive, discounted at their required rate of return.Because dividend payments are a key parameter required to apply DCF methods, this approach is not well-suited for firms that do not pay common dividends or have recently cut their payout. As an alternative, the cost of equity is often estimated by applying the DCF model to publicly traded companies engaged in the same business acti vi ty .In order to reflect the risks and prospects associated with Idaho Power s jurisdictional utility operations, my DCF analyses focused on a reference group of other electric utilities composed of those companies included by Value Line in their AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company Electric Utili ties (West) Industry group.Excluded from my analyses were four firms that do not pay common dividends and two that were rated below investment grade by S&P. 31 Given that these eight utilities are all engaged in electric utility operations in the western region of the u. S., investors are likely to regard this group as facing similar market conditions and having comparable risks and There are important factors distinguishingprospects. western utilities from those located in other regions, as the Electric Consumers Resource Council recently reported: The West is different than the East in terms of electricity grid operations, according to Marsha Smith, a Commdssioner with the Idaho Public Utilities Commission and Chair of (NARUC). The vast geographic areas served by western utilities mean electricity is being transmitted over much longer distances that in other regions,particularly the East, and there are fewer customers per mile of transmission line, resul ting in greater line loss, Ms. Smith said. She also said the West's reliance on hydroelectric energy makes planning moredifficult than in the East. Hydropower cannot be forecast, and the amount of winter snow determines how much may be shipped each spring and summer to power-dependent areas such asCalifornia. Reliance on hydropower makes long- term planning difficult and plays havoc with the day-ahead market, envisioned in FERC' s proposed standard market design (SMD) rule. Indeed, as noted earlier, the uncertainties associated with relying on hydroelectric generation is an important consideration in evaluating investors ' required rate of AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company return for Idaho Power. What other considerations support the use of a proxy group in estimating the cost of equity for Idaho Power? Apart from recognizing the inherent risks and prospects for an electric utility operating in the west, reference to a proxy group of electric utili ties is essential to insulate against vagaries that can result when the stochastic process involved in estimating the cost equity is applied to a single company.The cost of equity is inherently unobservable and can only be inferred indirectly by reference to available capital market data. To the extent that the data used to apply the DCF model does not capture the expectations that investors have incorporated into current stock prices, the resulting cost of equity estimates will be biased.For example, the potential for mergers or acquisitions or the announced sale of a major business segment would undoubtedly influence the price investors would be willing to pay for a utility common stock.But because such factors are not typically reflected in the growth rates used to apply the DCF model, cost of equity estimates for any single company may fail to reflect investors' required rate of return.Indeed, using even a limited group of companies increases the potential for error, as the FERC noted in its July 3, 2003 Order on AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company Initial Decision in Docket No. RPOO-107-000; Both Staff and Williston agreed that a proxy group of only three companies presented problems because ~a single company will have a magnified influence on the group results.It was with those changing market dynamics in mind that wi tnesses of both Staff and Williston proposed to expand the group of proxy companies to determine a zone of reasonableness. A proxy group composed of western electric utili ties is consistent not only with the shared circumstances of electric power markets in the west, but also with the need to ensure against the potential that a single cost of equity estimate may not reflect investors' required rate of return . What form of the DCF model did you use? I applied the constant growth DCF model to estimate the cost of equity for Idaho Power, which is the form of the model most commonly relied on to establish the cost of equity for traditional regulated utilities and the method most often referenced by regulators. Other forms of the general, or non-constant DCF model, such as ~two-stage n or ~multi-stage " analyses can be used to estimate the cost of equity; however, such approaches increase the number of inputs that must be estimated and add to the computational difficulties.While such methods might be warranted when investors expect a discontinuity in the operations of a particular firm or AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company industry, they generally require several very specific assumptions regarding investors ' expected cash flows that must occur at given points in the future.This makes the results of non-constant growth DCF applications sensitive to changes in assumptions and, therefore, subject to greater controversy in a rate case setting. Moreover, to the that extent each of these time- specific suppositions about future cash flows do not reflect what real-world investors actually anticipate, the resulting cost of equity estimate will be biased. Indeed, the benchmark for growth in a DCF model is what investors expect when they purchase stock.Unless we replicate investors I thinking, we cannot uncover their required returns and thus the market cost of equity. In practice, applying a non-constant DCF model would lead to error if it ignores the requirements of real-world investors. Are there circumstances where a multi-stage DCF model might be preferable to the constant growth form? The greater complexity of the non-Yes. constant growth DCF model is sometimes warranted when it is evident that investors anticipate a well-defined shift in growth rates over the horizon of their expectations.For example, in response to structural reforms introduced in the early 1990s, it was widely anticipated that certain segments of the electric power industry would transition AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company from fully regulated to cornpeti ti ve businesses.Because of the difficulty associated with capturing these expectations in the single growth measure of the constant growth DCF model, many witnesses, including myself, chose to apply a mul ti-stage approach.A number of regulatory commissions also departed from the simplicity of the constant growth DCF model that they had traditionally favored in order to recognize the transition to competition that was anticipated by investors. But acceptance of the multi-stage DCF model was predicated on very specific assumptions tailored to investors ' actual expectations at the time.As discussed earlier, however, investors are no longer anticipating that such a transi tion will take place going forward.Broad- reaching structural changes once anticipated by investors at the state and federal levels have been largely effectuated to the extent investors expect them to occur. In the minds of investors, any new initiatives focused. on deregulation of the electric utility industry at the retail level have been indefinitely postponed or abandoned altogether.This is certainly true in Idaho, where retail deregulation is not being actively pursued. While the complexity of non-constant DCF models may impart an aura of accuracy, there is no evidence that investors ' current view of electric utili ties anticipates a AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company series of discrete, clearly defined stages.As a result, despi te the considerable uncertainties now confronting the electric utility industry, there is no discernable transition that would support use of the multi-stage DCF approach. How is the constant growth form of the DCF model typically used to estimate the cost of equity? The first step in implementing the constant growth DCF model is to determine the expected dividend yield (Dl/PO) for the firm in question.This is usually calculated based on an estimate of dividends to be paid in the coming year divided by the current price of the stock. The second, and more controversial, step is to estimate investors I long-term growth expectations (g) for the firm. Since book value, dividends, earnings, and price are all assumed to move in lock-step in the constant growth DCF model, estimates of expected growth are sometimes derived from historical rates of growth in these variables under the presumption that investors expect these rates of growth to continue into the future.Alternatively, a firm internal growth can be estimated based on the product of its earnings retention ratio and earned rate of return on equi ty .This growth estimate may rely on either historical or projected data, or both.A third approach is to rely on securi ty analysts I proj ections of growth as proxies for AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company investors I expectations.The final step is to sum the firm s dividend yield and estimated growth rate to arrive at an estimate of its cost of equity. How was the dividend yield for the reference group of electric utili ties determined? Estimates of dividends to be paid by each of these electric utilities over the next twelve months, obtained from Value Line, served as Dl.This annual dividend was then divided by the corresponding stock price for each utility to arrive at the expected dividend yield. The expected dividends, stock price, and resulting dividend yields for the firms in the reference group of electric utilities are presented on Exhibit No.As shown there, dividend yields for the eight firms in the electric utility proxy group ranged from 3.2 percent to 6.0 percent, with the average being 4.4 percent. What are investors most likely to consider in developing their long-term growth expectations? In constant growth DCF theory, earnings, dividends, book value, and market price are all assumed to grow in lockstep and the growth horizon of the DCF model is inf ini te .But implementation of the DCF model is more than just a theoretical exercise; it is an attempt to replicate the mechanism investors used to arrive at observable stock prices.Thus, the only "g" that matters in applying the AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company DCF model is that which investors expect and have embodied in current market prices.While the uncertainties inherent with common stock make estimating investors ' growth expectations a difficult task for any company, in the case of electric utili ties, the problem is exacerbated due to the ongoing turmoil in the power industry. Are dividend growth rates likely to provide a meaningful guide to investors I growth expectations for electric utilities? While the dividend yield is an importantNo. component of DCF applications and investors look to dividends as one indicator of a firm's financial health, trends in dividends are unlikely to reflect the long-term presumed by the DCF model.As illustrated by the recent decision of the Board and IDACORP to significantly reduce their payout, dividend policies for electric utilities have become increasingly conservative as business risks in the industry have become more accentuated.Thus, while earnings may be expected to grow significantly, dividends have remained largely stagnant as utilities conserve financial resources to provide a hedge against heightened uncertainties.Investors I focus has increasingly shifted from dividends to earnings as a measure of long-term growth as payout ratios for firms in the electric utility industry have been trending downward AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company from approximately 80 percent historically to on the order of 65 percent. As a result, growth in earnings, which ultimately support future dividends and share prices, is likely to provide a more meaningful guide to investors long-term growth expectations. What other evidence suggests that investors are more apt to consider trends in earnings in developing growth expectations? The importance of earnings in evaluating investors I expectations and requirements is well accepted in the investment communi ty .As noted in Finding Reali in Reported Earnings published by the Association for Investment Management and Research: (E)arnings, presumably, are the basis for the investment benefits that we all seek. "Healthy earnings equal heal thy investment benefits " seems a logical equation, but earnings are also a scorecard by which we compare companies, a filter through which we assess management, and a crystal ball in which we try to foretell the future. Value Line's near-term projections and its Timeliness Rank, which is the principal investment rating assigned to each individual stock, are also based primarily on various quantitative analyses of earnings.As Value Line explained; The future earnings rank accounts for 65% in the determination of relative price change in the future; the other two variables (current earnings AVERA, Dr Idaho Power Company rank and current price rank) explain 35%. The fact that investment advisory services, such as Value Line and I/B/E/S International, Inc. (~IBES~), focus on growth in earnings indicates that the investment community regards this as a superior indicator of future long-term Indeed, Financial Analysts Journal reported thegrowth. results of a survey conducted to determine what analytical techniques investment analysts actually use. Respondents were asked to rank the relative importance of earnings, dividends, cash flow, and book value in analyzing securi ties.Of the 297 analysts that responded, only 3 ranked dividends first while 276 ranked it last.The article concluded: Earnings and cash flow are considered far more important than book value and dividends. What are security analysts currently projecting in the way of earnings growth for the firms in the electric utility proxy group? AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company The consensus earnings growth proj ections for each of the firms in the reference group of electric utilities reported by lBES and published in S&P's Earnings Guide are shown on Exhibi t No.Also presented are the earnings growth projections reported by Value Line, First Call Corporation ("First Call"), and Mul tex Investor Mult~x ), which is a service of Reuters.As shown there, wi th the exception of Value Line s estimates, these security analysts I projections suggested growth the order of 5.0 to 5. 5 percent for the reference group of electric utilities: Electric Utility Proxy Group Service IBES Value Line First Call Mul tex Growth Rate What other earnings growth rates might be relevant in assessing investors ' current expectations for electric utilities? Short-term projected growth rates may be colored by current uncertainties regarding the near-term direction of the economy in general and the spate of challenges faced in the electric power industry specifically.Consider the example of Value Line, which recently noted that the electric utility industry "is still AVERA, Dl Idaho Power Company in a state of flux 39 and that: ... this industry still faces problems. The after- effects of the turbulence in the power markets still exist, some companies are stressed financially, and even for traditional utilities, regulatory risk is often a potential problem. Value Line also reduced its Timeliness ranking, a relative measure of year-ahead stock price performance for the 98 industries it covers, for the electric utility industry from 70 to 89.While this cautious outlook may explain the fact that Value Line s near-term growth estimates are out of line with other analysts' projections, it is not necessarily indicative of investors ' long-term expectations for the industry. Given the unsettled conditions in the economy and electric utility industry over the near-term, historical growth in earnings might also provide a meaningful guide to investors ' future expectations.Accordingly, earnings growth rates for the past 10- and 5-year periods reported by Value Line for the firms in the electric utility group are also presented on Exhibit No.As shown there, 10- year historical earnings growth rates for the group of eight electric utili ties averaged 7.3 percent, or 8. percent over the most recent 5 year period. How else are investors I expectations of future long-term growth prospects often estimated for use in the AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company constant growth DCF model? In cons tan t growth theory, growth in book equity will be equal to the product of the earnings retention ratio (one minus the dividend payout ratio) and the earned rate of return on book equity.Furthermore, if the earned rate of return and payout ratio are constant over time, growth in earnings and dividends will be equal to growth in book value.Al though these condi tions are seldom, if ever, met in practice, this approach may provide investors with a rough guide for evaluating a firm s growth Accordingly, conventional applications of theprospects. constant growth DCF model often examine the relationships between retained earnings and earned rates of return as an indication of the growth investors might expect from the reinvestment of earnings within a firm. What growth rate does the earnings retention method suggest for the reference group of electric utilities? The sustainable, u b x r " growth rates for each firm in the reference group is shown on Exhibit No.For each firm, the expected retention ratio (b) was calculated based on Value Line's projected dividends and earnings per share.Likewise, each firm s expected earned rate of return (r) was computed by dividing projected earnings per share by projected net book value.As shown there, thi AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company method resulted in an average expected growth rate for the group of electric utilities of 4.7 percent. What did you conclude with respect to investors I growth expectations for the reference group of electric utili ties? I concluded that investors currently expect growth on the order of 5.0 to 7.0 percent for the average firm in the electric utility proxy group.This determination was based on the growth proj ections discussed above, but giving little weight to Value Line projections, which deviated significantly from the more broadly-based consensus growth rate projections reported by IBES, First Call, and Mul tex, as well as past experience. What cost of equity was implied for the reference group of electric utili ties using the DCF model? Combining the 4.4 percent average dividend yield with the 6.0 percent midpoint of my representative growth rate range implied a DCF cost of equity for this group of electric utili ties of 10.4 percent. C. Risk Premium Analyses What other analyses did you conduct to estimate the cost of equity? As I have mentioned previously because the cost of equity is inherently unobservable, no single method should be considered a solely reliable guide to investors' AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company required rate of return.Accordingly, I also evaluated the cost of equity for Idaho Power using risk premium methods. My applications of the risk premium method provide alternative approaches to measure equity risk premiums that focused specifically on data for electric utili ties and forward-looking estimates of investors ' required rates of return. Briefly describe the risk pre~ um method. The risk pre~um method of estimating investors' required rate of return extends to common stocks the risk-return tradeoff observed with bonds.The cost of equity is estimated by first determining the additional return investors require to forgo the relative safety of bonds and to bear the greater risks associated with common stock, and then adding this equity risk premium to the current yield on bonds.Like the DCF model, the risk premium method is capital market oriented.However, unlike DCF models, which indirectly impute the cost of equity, risk premium methods directly estimate investors ' required rate of return by adding an equity risk premium to observable bond yields. How did you implement the risk premium method? The actual measurement of equity risk premiums is complicated by the inherently unobservable nature of the cost of equi ty .In other words, like the cost of equi AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company itself and the growth component of the DCF model, equity risk premiums cannot be calculated precisely.Therefore, equity risk premiums must be estimated, with adjustments being required to reflect present capital market conditions and the relative risks of the groups being evaluated. I based my estimates of equity risk premiums for electric utilities on (1) surveys of previously authorized rates of return on common equity for electric utili ties, (2) realized rates of return on electric utility common stocks; and (3) forward-looking applications of the Capital Asset Pricing Model ("CAPM"Authorized returns presumably reflect regulatory commissions ' best estimates of the cost of equity, however determined, at the time they issued' their final order, and the returns provide a logical basis for estimating equity risk premiums.Under the realized-rate-of-return approach, equity risk premiums are calculated by measuring the rate of return (including dividends, interest, and capital gains and losses) actually realized on an investment in common stocks and bonds over historical periods.The realized rate of return on bonds is then subtracted from the return earned on electric utility common stocks to measure equity risk premiums.The CAPM approach measures the market-expected return for a security as the sum of a risk-free rate and a risk premium based on the portion of a security s risk that cannot be AVERA, Dr Idaho Power Company eliminated by holding a well-diversified portfolio.Under the CAPM, risk is represented by the beta coefficient (~), which measures the volatility of a security s price relative to the market at a whole.Even before the widely cited study by Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, considerable controversy surrounded the validity of beta as a relevant measure of a utility s investment risk. Nevertheless, the CAPM is routinely referenced in the financial literature and in regulatory proceedings. While these methods are premised on different assumptions, each having their own strengths and weaknesses, they are widely accepted approaches that have been routinely referenced in estimating the cost of equity for regulated utilities. How did you implement the risk premium approach using surveys of allowed rates of return? While the purest form of the survey approach would involve querying investors directly, surveys of previously authorized rates of return on common equity are frequently referenced as the basis for estimating equity risk premiums.The rates of return on common equity authorized electric utilities by regulatory commissions across the U. S. are compiled by Regulatory Research Associates ("RRA") and published in its Regulatory Focus In Exhibi t No.8, the average yield on publicreport. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company utility bonds is subtracted from the average allowed rate of return on common equity for electric utili ties to calculate equity risk premiums for each year between 1974 and 2002.Over this 29-year period, these equity risk premiums for electric utili ties averaged 3.08 percent, and the yield on public utility bonds averaged 9.81 percent. Is there any risk premium behavior that needs to be considered when implementing the risk premium method? Yes.There is considerable evidence that the magnitude of equity risk premiums is not constant and that equity risk premiums tend to move inversely with interest In other words, when interest rate levels arera tes . relatively high, equity risk premiums narrow, and when interest rates are relatively low, equity risk premiums widen.To illustrate, the graph below plots the yields on public utility bonds (shaded bars) and equity risk premiums (solid bars) shown on Exhibi t No. 15% ~ l l.,III L l 00 0 oo:t oo:tr- 0\ 10% I 8 Bond Yield 8 Equity Risk Premium I AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company The graph clearly illustrates that the higher the level interest rates, the lower the equity risk premium, and vice The implication of this inverse relationship isversa. that the cost of equity does not move as much as, or in lockstep with, interest rates.Accordingly, for a 1 percent increase or decrease in interest rates, the cost of equi ty may only rise or fall, say, 50 basis points. Therefore, when implementing the risk premium method, adjustments may be required to incorporate this inverse relationship if current interest rate levels have changed since the equity risk premiums were estimated. What cost of equity is implied by surveys of allowed rates of return on equity? As illustrated above, the inverse relationship between interest rates and equity risk premiums is evident. Based on the regression output between the interest rates and equity risk premiums displayed at the bottom of Exhibit No.8, the equity risk premium for electric utilities increased approximately 43 basis points for each percentage point drop in the yield on average public utility bonds. As shown there, with the yield on public utility bonds in August 2003 being 302 basis points lower than the average for the study period, this implied a current equity risk premium of 4.39 percent for electric utilities.Adding this equity risk premium to the August 2003 yield on AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company single-A public utility bonds of 6.79 percent implies a current cost of equity for Idaho Power of approximately 11. 2 percent. How did you apply the realized-rate-of-return approach? Widely used in academia, the realized-rate-of- return approach is based on the assumption that, given a sufficiently large number of observations over long historical periods, average realized market rates of return will converge to investors ' required rates of return.From a more practical perspective, investors may base their expectations for the future on, or may have come to expect that they will earn, rates of return corresponding to those realized in the past. By focusing on data for electric utilities specifically, my realized rate of return approach avoided the need to make assumptions regarding relative risk (e. g., beta) that are often embodied in applications of this method. Stock price and dividend data for the electric utilities included in the S&P 500 composite Index ("S&P 500") are available since 1946.Exhibi t No.9 presents annual realized rates of return for these electric utilities in each year between 1946 and 2002.As shown there, over this 57-year period realized rates of return for these utili ties have exceeded those on single-A public AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company utility bonds by an average of 4.01 percent.The realized- rate-of-return method ignores the inverse relationship between equity risk premiums and interest rates and assumes that equity risk premiums are stationary over time; therefore, no adjustment for differences between historical and current interest rate levels was made.Adding thi s 4. 01-percent equity risk premium to the August 2003 yield of 6.79 percent on single-A public utility bonds suggests a current cost of equity for Idaho Power of approximately 10.8 percent. Please describe your application of the CAPM. The CAPM is a theory of market equilibrium that measures risk using the beta coefficient.Under the CAPM, investors are assumed to be fully diversified, so the relevant risk of an individual asset (e. g. common stock) is its volatility relative to the market as a whole.Beta reflects the tendency of a stocks price to follow changes in the market.A stock that tends to respond less to market movements has a beta less than 1.00, while stocks that tend to move more than the market have betas greater than 1. 00.The CAPM is mathematically expressed as: Rj = Rf +~j (Rm - Where:Rj = required rate of return for stock Rf = risk-free rate; Rm = expected return on the marketportfolio; and, AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company ~j = beta, or systematic risk, for stock Exhibit No. 10 presents an application of the CAPM to the eleven companies in the electric utility proxy group based on a forward-looking estimate for investors I required rates of return from common stocks.Ra ther than us ing historical data, the expected market rate of return was estimated by conducting a DCF analysis on the firms in the S&P 500.The dividend yield was obtained from S&P, wi th the growth rate equal to the average of the composite earnings growth proj ections published by IBES for each firm.As shown there, subtracting a 5.39 percent risk-free rate based on the August 2003 average yield on 20-year government bonds from the 14.24 percent forward-looking rate of return produced a market equity risk premium of 85 percent.Mul tip lying this risk premium by the average Value Line beta of 0.71 for the firms in the electric utility group, and then adding the resulting risk premium to the long-term Treasury bond yield, resulted in a current cost of equity of approximately 11.7 percent. D. Proxy Group Return on Equity What did you conclude with respect to the cost of equity for the benchmark group of electric utilities? Consistent with the results of my quantitative analyses, I concluded that the cost of equity for the proxy AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company group is presently in the 10.4 to 11.7 percent range. What other considerations are relevant in setting the return on equity for a utility? The common equi ty used to finance the investment in utility assets is provided from either the sale of stock in the capital markets or from retained earnings not paid out as dividends.When equity is raised through the sale of common stock, there are costs associated with "floating " the new equity securities. These flotation costs include services such as legal, accounting, and printing, as well as the fees and discounts paid to compensate brokers for selling the stock to the public.Also, some argue that the "market pressure " from the additional supply of common stock and other market factors may further reduce the amount of funds a utility nets when it issues common equity. Is there an established mechanism for a utility to recognize equity issuance costs? No.While debt flotation costs are recorded on the books of the utility, amortized over the life of the issue, and thus increase the effective cost of debt capital, there is no similar accounting treatment to ensure that equity flotation costs are recorded and ultimately recognized.Alternatively, no rate of return is authorized on flotation costs necessarily incurred to obtain a portion AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company of the equity capital used to finance plant.In other words, equity flotation costs are not included in a utility s rate base because neither that portion of the gross proceeds from the sale of common stock used to pay flotation costs is available to invest in plant and equipment, nor are flotation costs capitalized as an intangible asset.Unless some provision is made to recognize these issuance costs, a utility s revenue requirements will not fully reflect all of the costs incurred for the use of investors ' funds.Because there is no accounting convention to accumulate the flotation costs associated with equity issues, they must be accounted for indirectly, with an upward adjustment to the cost of equity being the most logical mechanism. What is the magnitude of the adjustment to the bare bones " cost of equity to account for issuance costs? There are any number of ways in which a flotation cost adjustment can be calculated, and the adjustment can range from just a few basis points to more than a full percent.One of the most common methods used to account for flotation costs in regulatory proceedings is to apply an average flotation-cost percentage to a utility s dividend yield.Based on a review of the finance literature, Roger A. Morin concluded; The flotation allowance requirescost AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company estimated adjustment to the return on equity of approximately 5% to 10%, depending on the size and risk of the issue. Applying these expense percentages to a representative dividend yield for an electric utility of 4.4 percent implies a flotation cost adjustment on the order of 20 to 40 basis points. What then is your conclusion regarding a fair rate of return on equity for the companies in your benchmark group? After incorporating a minimum adjustment for flotation costs of 20 basis points to my "bare bones " cost of equity range, I concluded that a fair rate of return on equi ty for the proxy group of electric utili ties is currently in the 10.6 to 11.9 percent range. :IV. RETURN ON EQU:ITY FOR :IDAHO POWER COMPANY What is the purpose of this section? This section addresses the economic requirements for Idaho Power's return on equity. examines other factors properly considered in determining a fair rate of return, such as market perceptions of Idaho Power s relative investment risks and comparable earnings for utilities and industrial firms.This section also discusses the relationship between ROE and preservation of a utility s financial integrity and the ability to attract AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company capital. A. Capital Structure Is an evaluation of the capital structure maintained by a utility relevant in assessing its return on equi ty? Other things equal, a higher debt ratio,Yes. or lower common equity ratio, translates into increased financial risk for all investors.A greater amount of debt means more investors have a senior claim on available cash flow, thereby reducing the certainty that each will receive his contractual payments.This increases the risks to which lenders are exposed, and they require correspondingly higher rates of interest.From common shareholders standpoint, a higher debt ratio means that there are proportionately more investors ahead of them, thereby increasing the uncertainty as to the amount of cash flow, if any, that will remain. What common equity ratio is implicit in Idaho Power s requested capital structure? Idaho Power s capital structure is presented in the testimony of Dennis C. Gribble.As summarized in his testimony, the common equity ratio used to compute Idaho Power's overall rate of return was approximately 44. percent. How does Idaho Power s common equi ty ratio AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company compare with those maintained by the reference group of utilities? For the eight firms in the Electric Utility (West) group, common equity ratios at year-end 2002 ranged from 37.4 percent to 60.6 percent and averaged 45. percent. How does Idaho Power's capital structure compare with other widely cited financial benchmarks for electric utili ties? The financial ratio guidelines published by S&P specify a range for a utility s total debt ratio that corresponds to each specific bond rating.Widely cited the investment community these ratios are viewed in conjunction with a utility business profile ranking, which ranges from 1 (strong) to 10 (weak) depending on a utility s relative business risks.Thus, S&P' s guideline financial ratios for a given rating category (e.g., triple- B) vary with the business or operating risk of the utility. In other words, a firm with a business profile of "2" (i.e., relatively lower business risk) could presumably employ more financial leverage than a utility with a business profile assessment of "9" while maintaining the same credi t rating. Consistent with S&P' s current guidelines and Idaho Power s S&P business profile ranking of ", a utility AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company would be required to maintain a ratio of total debt total capital of 46.0 percent to qualify for a single- bond rating. This benchmark equates to total equity ratio of 54.0 percent. What implication does the increasing risk of the electric power industry have for the capital structures maintained by utili ties like Idaho Power? The challenges imposed by evolving structural changes in the industry imply that utili ties will be required to incorporate relatively greater amounts of equi ty in their capital structures.Moody s noted early on that utilities must adopt a more conservative financial posture if credit ratings are to be maintained: The key issue," says the analysts in a recent special comment, "is that the competitive industries have much lower operating andfinancial leverage and that utili ties must streamline both in order to be effective competitors.Analysts say the utilities must do this in order to post stronger financial indicators and maintain their current ratingslevel. More recently, Value Line reported that the average common equity ratio for all firms in the electric utility industry is expected to increase from 43 percent in 2003 to 50 percent over the next three to five years. Indeed, continued pressure on credit quality in the electric industry is indicative of the need for utilities to AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company strengthen financial profiles to deal with an increasingly uncertain market.S&P ci ted the inadequacy of current balance sheets in the electric industry as one of the key factors explaining this deterioration: The downward slope in the power industry s credit picture can be traced to higher debt leverage andoverall deterioration in financial profiles, constrained access to capital markets as a result of investor skepticism over accounting practices and disclosure, liquidity problems, financial insolvency, and investments outside the traditional regulated utility business, principally merchant generation facilities and related energy marketing and trading acti vi ties. A more conservative financial profile is consistent with the increasing uncertainties associated with restructuring in wholesale power markets and the imperative of maintaining continuous access to capital, even during times of adverse capital market and industry condi tions . What other indications confirm the reasonableness of Idaho Power s capital structure policies? In the wake of Enron ' s collapse, bond rating agencies and investors are closely scrutinizing debt levels.For those firms with higher leverage, this intense focus has led not only to ratings downgrades, but to reduced access to capital and increased borrowing costs. The Wall Street Journal reported that even firms with stock prices at recent lows have been forced to issue new common equi ty and quoted a credit analyst with Fitch, Inc. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company " (B) anks are fearful to put more money into the sector " and it is making credit analysts nervousas well. The smart companies, he says, are the ones that voluntarily "get their balance sheets in line " and the let the market know they I re charge of their destiny...since the market clearly has the heebie-jeebies. " The article went on to note the crucial role that financial flexibility plays in ensuring that the utility has the wherewi thaI to meet the needs of customers; All the belt tightening spells bad news for the continued development of the nation' s energyinfrastructure. Companies that can borrow more money and stretch their dollars, quite simply, can build more plants and equipment. Companies that are increasingly dependent on equity financing - particularly in a bear market - can do less. What did you conclude with respect to Idaho Power s requested capitalization? Idaho Power's proposed capital structure is in-line with the ranges maintained by the comparable group of electric utilities, although its equity ratio falls somewhat below the guideline specified by S&P for a single- A rated utility.The reasonableness of Idaho Power requested capital structure is reinforced by the ongoing uncertainties associated with the electric power industry, the need to support system expansion, and the imperative of maintaining continuous access to capital, even during times of adverse industry and market conditions. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company B. Other Factors How does Idaho Power s credi t rating compare to those of the reference groups? Corporate credit ratings for the eight firms in the Electric Utility (West) group used to estimate the cost of equity range from "BBB-" to "As noted earlier, Idaho Power s senior debt is also currently rated , comparable to the firms in the benchmark group. What else should be considered in evaluating the relative risks of Idaho Power? Because approximately one-half of Idaho Power s total energy requirements are provided by hydroelectric facilities, the Company is exposed to a level of uncertainty not faced by other utili ties, which are less dependent on hydro generation.While hydropower confers advantages in terms of fuel cost savings and diversity, investors also associated hydro facilities with risks that are not encountered with other sources of generation. Reduced hydroelectric generation due to below-average water condi tions forces Idaho Power to rely on less efficient thermal generating capacity and purchased power to meet its resource needs.As noted earlier, in the minds of investors, this dependence on wholesale markets entails significant risk, especially for a utility located in the Indeed, the ongoing risks associated withwest. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company uncertainty in western power markets has been recognized by the Commission.In dec ining to spread recovery 0 f power cost deferrals over multiple years, the Commission recognized that; ... the Commission is very concerned about the unknown water and market conditions that lie ahead. ...A one-year recovery will take care of nearly all the deferred costs remaining from a sustained period of extraordinarily high wholesale prices at the same time that hydro- dependent Idaho Power customers were experiencing the second worst drought in 75 years. ...However, as we have learned over the past two years, there are no guarantees about future stream flows or market prices. Apart from exposure to market uncertainties, Idaho Power also confronts the complexities associated with obtaining the necessary licenses to operate its hydroelectric stations.The process of relicensing is prolonged and involved and often includes the implementation of various measures to address environmental and stakeholder concerns.These measures can impose significant additional costs and/or lead to reduced generating capacity and flexibility.Moody s recently noted that " (Idaho Power s) rating outlook is negative as the utility continues to cope with difficult power supply markets in its region 51 and concluded the Company s bond ratings could be reduced based on the following factors: Continued delay in return to more normal hydro AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company and weather conditions in combination with unexpected harsh treatment from Idaho regulators in the upcoming general rate proceedings. Significant increases in relicensing costs and/or stringent operational constraints impose as part of the license renewal process. Similarly, S&P recently observed that: Utili ties in the Pacific Northwest continue to face a host of challenges. If the western power crisis left a large number of them, investor- owned as well as publicly-owned, in dire financial straits, weak economic conditions and the uncertain hydro situation have hamperedrecovery prospects. S&P went on to note the significant potential costs and risks imposed by uncertainty over fish-conservation measures that might be required to meet federal law and continued volatility in wholesale power markets, concluding that "managing hydro risk has assumed a critical importance to credit quality. What other factors would investors likely consider in evaluating their required rate of return for Idaho Power? Investors have clearly recognized that structural change and market evolution in the electric power industry have led to a significant increase in the risks faced by industry participants. For a firm caught between expanding wholesale competition in the industry and the constraints of regulation, as are electric utilities, these risks are further magnified.As S&P recognized: AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company Al though the move to competi tion from regulationis obviously negative for credit quality general, the transition period can often be worse for bondholders than would be a fully competitiveindustry. In the interim, companies can be saddled with many of the disadvantages of being regulated (e. g., limits on return on capital and higher costs to comply with regulatory mandates) while simultaneously being gradually exposed to marketplace risks. Similarly, the Wall Street Journal recently highlighted the risks that investors associate with the interface between competition and regulation in the power industry; Now, with the power industry hovering uneasily between regulation and deregulation, it faces the prospect of a market that combines the worstfeatures of both; return to governmentrestrictions, mixed with volatility and price spikes as companies struggle to meet the nation energy needs. Moreover, investors recognize that regulation has its own risks.In some circumstances regulatory uncertainty can eclipse all of the other risk factors facing particular utili ties.Considering the magni tude of the events that have transpired since the third quarter of 2000, investors ' sensitivity to market and regulatory uncertainties has increased dramatically.The sharpened focus on the risks associated with unrecoverable wholesale power costs, for example, was noted by RRA: The potential for volatility in wholesale powerelectrici ty markets, as highlighted by the temporary price spikes experienced in the Midwest in June 1999 and, more recently, by the ongoing AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company severe capacity shortage/pricing crisis in California, has raised investors I level of awareness and concern with regard to the ability of electric utilities to recover increased wholesale power costs and fuel expenses- from customers. Investors ' required rates of return for utilities are premised on the regulatory compact that allows the utili ty an opportunity to recover reasonable and necessary costs. By sheltering utilities from exposure to extraordinary power cost volatility, ratepayers benefit from lower capital costs than they would otherwise bear. Of course, the corollary implies that, if investors believe that the utility might face continued exposure to potentially extreme fluctuations in power supply costs while remaining obligated to provide service at regulated rates, their required return would be considerably increased.As S&P noted, the August 14th blackout is unlikely to ease investors ' concerns; Clearly, the blackout has highlighted the complexity of the system, the diversity of its many stakeholders and the susceptibility of the industry to political and regulatory risk. C. Implications for Financial Integrity Why is it important to allow Idaho Power an adequate rate of return on equity? Gi ven the social and economic importance of the electric utility industry, it is essential to maintain AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company reliable and economical service to all consumers.While Idaho Power remains commi t ted to deliver reliable electric service at the lowest possible price, a utility s ability to fulfill its mandate can be compromised if it lacks the necessary financial wherewithal. What lessons can be learned from recent events in the energy industry? Events in the western U. S. provide a dramatic illustration of the high costs that all stakeholders must bear when a utility s financial integrity is compromised. California s failed market structure led to unprecedented volatili ty in the region s wholesale power costs.For many utili ties, recovery of purchased energy costs that they were forced to buy to serve their customers was either prevented and/or postponed.As a result, they were denied the opportunity to earn risk-equivalent rates of return and access to capital was cut off.Regional economies have been jolted and consumers have suffered the results of higher cost power and reduced reliability.Moreover, while the impact of the utilities ' deteriorating financial condition was felt swiftly, stakeholders have discovered first hand how difficult and complex it can be to remedy the situation after the fact. Do you have any personal experience regarding the damage to customers that can result when a utility AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company financial integrity deteriorates? Yes.I was a staff member of the PUCT when the financial condition of El Paso Electric Company ("EPE" began to suffer in the late 1970s.I later observed first- hand the difficulties in reversing this slide as a consul tant to Asarco Mining, EPE I S largest single customer. EPE's ultimate bankruptcy imposed enormous costs on customers and absorbed an undue amount of the PUCT' resources, as well as those of the Attorneys General and other state agencies.Now I am serving as a consultant to the utility as it continues its struggle to fully recover its financial health.There is no question that customers and other stakeholders would have been far better off had EPE avoided bankruptcy by maintaining its financial resilience. What danger does an inadequate rate of return pose to Idaho Power? AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company While Idaho Power has been successful in maintaining its financial flexibility, it is important to remember that, once lost, investor confidence is difficult to recover and the damage is not easily reversible. Consider the example of bond ratings.To res tore a company s rating to a previous, higher level, rating agencies generally require the company to maintain its financial indicators above the minimum levels required for the higher rating over a period of time.Considering investors ' sharp focus on the risks associated with the west and the uncertainties imposed by the Company relative reliance on hydroelectric generation, the perception of a lack of regulatory support would almost certainly lead to a decline in Idaho Power s credit quality and financial flexibility. At the same time, Idaho Power plans to add significant plant investment, such as the Mountain Home generating facility, to ensure that the energy needs of its service terri tory are met.While providing the infrastructure necessary to support economic growth is certainly desirable, it imposes significant responsibilities on Idaho Power.To meet these challenges successfully and economically, it is crucial that the Company receive adequate support for its credit standing. Finally, maintaining Idaho Power s access to capital on AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company reasonable terms has the added benefit of preserving the Company s independence and ability to maintain quality service based on the interests of Idaho ratepayers. D. Conc1usions What is your conclusion regarding a fair rate of return on equi ty range for Idaho Power? Based on the capital market research presented earlier and the economic requirements discussed above, it is my conclusion that a return on equity in the range 10.6 to 11.9 percent represents a conservative estimate of investors ' required rate of return for Idaho Power in today ' s capi tal markets. In evaluating the rate of return for Idaho Power, it is important to consider investors I continued focus on the unsettled conditions in western power markets.These uncertainties are compounded by the Company s continued reliance on hydroelectric power for a relatively greater portion of its energy supply, as well as other risks associated with the power industry, such as heightened exposure to regulatory uncertainties. How does your recommended fair rate of return on equity range for Idaho Power compare wi th other benchmarks that investors would consider? Reference to rates of return available from alternative investments can also provide a useful guideline AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company in assessing the return necessary to assure confidence in the financial integrity of a firm and its ability to a t tract capi tal.This comparable earnings approach avoids the complexities and limitations of capital market methods and instead focuses on the returns earned on book equity, which are readily available to investors. Indeed, the most recent edition of Value Line reports that its analysts expect average rates of return on common equity for the electric utility industry of 11. percent and 11.8 percent for 2003 and 2004, respectively, with their three to five year projections anticipating a return on equity of 12.0 percent. Similarly, expected rates of return for gas distribution utilities are expected to average 11.5 percent over Value Line ' s forecast horizon,60 while the 696 industrial, retail, and transportation companies included in Value Line s Composite Index are expected to earn 16.0 percent on book equity during the 2006-2008 time frame. Accordingly, these expected earned rates of return confirm the reasonableness of my recommended rate of return on equity range for Idaho Power. My recommended ROE range is further supported by the fact that investors are likely to anticipate increases in utility bond yields going forward.Moreover, an ROE in the 10.6 percent to 11.9 percent range is reasonable at this AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company critical juncture, given the importance of supporting the financial capability of Idaho Power as it invests the capi tal that is needed to develop and enhance utility infrastructure.As the recent power failures amply demonstrated, the cost of providing Idaho Power an adequate return is small relative to the potential benefits that a strong utility can have in providing reliable service and fostering growth.Considering investors ' heightened awareness of the risks associated with the electric power industry and the damage that results when a utility financial flexibility is compromised, supportive regulation is perhaps more crucial now than at any time in the past. Does this conclude your direct testimony in this case? Yes, it does. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company ENDNOTES 1 IDACORP, Inc., "IDACORP Reduces Dividend To Strengthen Balance Sheet, n News Scans (Sep. 18, 2003). 2 Standard & Poor's Corporation, "IDACORP and Unit Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Revised to Stable,RatingsDirect (Oct. 2003). Regional Transmission Organizations, Order No. 2000 (Dec. 2 0, 1999), 89 FERC i 61, 2 8 5 . 4 Remedying Undue Discrimination through Open Access Transmission Service and Standard Electricity Market Design, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, IV FERC Stats. & Regs. i 32,563 (2002) ("SMD NOPRn ); FERC White Paper, Wholesale Power Market Platform, April 28, 2003, available at http: / /www. ferc. gov /Electric/RTO/Mrkt-Strct-comments/ Whi te paper. pdf . Remarks by William L. Massey, Center for Public Utilities Advisory Council, "The Santa Fe Conference " (March 17, 2003) . 6 Standard & Poor s Corporation, 2002 Power Energy Credit Conference: Beyond the Crisis (Jun. 12, 2002). 7 Standard & Poor s Corporation, "S. Power Industry Experiences Precipitous Credit Decline in 2002; Negative Slope Likely to Continue RatingsDirect (Jan. 15, 2003). Id. 9 Standard & Poor s Corporation, "Credit Quality For U. Utilities Continues Negative Trend,RatingsDirect (Jul. 24, 2003). 10 Moody s Investors Service, Moody s Credi Perspectives (Jul. 14, 2003) at 33-34. 11 Standard & Poor's Corporation, "Credit Quality For U. Utilities Continues Negative Trend, n RatingsDirect (Jul. 24, 2003).12 Idaho Power Company, Form 10-K Report (2001). 13 Standard & Poor'Corporation, Public Power Companies in Northwest Increase Rates Due to Low Water, Skyrocketing Prices , Infrastructure Finance, p. 1 (January 18, 2001). 14 The Value Line Investment Survey, p. 1758 (November 17, 2000) . AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company 15 Statement of Pat Wood, III, Chairman, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, On the Power Failure in the u.S. and Canada, Press Release (Aug. 15, 2003). 16 See, g., Remedying Undue Discrimination through Open Access Transmission Service and Standard Electrici ty Market Design, 67 Fed. Reg. 55,451, FERC Stats. & Regs. ~ 32,563 (2002) ("SMD NOPR") and FERC White Paper, Wholesale Power Market Platform, April 28, 2003, available http: / /www.ferc.gov/Electric/RTO/Mrkt-Strct- comments /Whi te-paper . pdf 17 Standard & Poor I s Corporation, "Electric Transmission at the Starting Gate RatingsDirect (May 10, 2002). 18 Massey, William L., "Restoring Confidence in Energy Markets , Remarks at the 9th Annual Spring Conference for the New England Energy Industry (May 21, 2002). 19 U.S. Department of Energy, National Transmission Grid Study (May 2002), at 24 and 31. 20 Id. at 31. 21 Draft Remarks of Kara M. Silva, Vice President, MBIA Insurance Corporation, NARUC Joint Committee onElectricity, Gas, and Finance and Technology (Feb. 26, 2003). 22 Consumer Energy Council of America, "Positioning the Consumer for the Future: A Roadrnap to an Optimal Electric Power System (Apr. 2003) at XVII. 23 Smith, Rebecca, "Overloaded Circuits Blackout Signals Maj or Weakness in U. S. Power Grid," The Wall Street Journal (Aug. 18, 2003). 24 Statement of Pat Wood, III, Chairman, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, On the Power Failure in the u.S. and Canada, Press Release (Aug. 15, 2003). 25 Standard & Poor s Corporation, "Electric Utility Blackouts Put Spotlight on Political and Regulatory Credit Risk"RatingsDirect (Aug. 21, 2003). 26 Id.27 Standard & Poor s Corporation, Corporate Ratings Cri teria at 29, available at www. standardandpoors. com/ratings. 28 Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2003, at Table 20, Nov. 20, 2002, available ht tp; / /www . eia. doe. gov / oiaf / aeo /pdf / aeo base . pdf . AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company 29 Global Insight The U.S. Economy, The 25-Year Focus (Winter 2003) at Table 33. 30 Federal Communications Commission, Report .and Order 42- 43, CC Docket No. 92-133 (1995). 31 The financial stress and lack of stability that accompanies below investment grade bond ratings greatly complicates any determination of investors ' long-term expectations that form the basis for DCF applications to estimate the cost of equity. 32 Idaho Commissioner Meets with ELCON, ELCON Report (No. 2003) at 7. 33 Williston Basin Interstate Pipeline Co., 104 FERC i 61,036, at 14-15 (Jul. 3, 2003). 34 See, g., The Value Line Investment Survey (Sep. 15, 1995 at 161, Sep. 5, 2003 at 154). 35 Association for Investment Management and Research, Finding Reality in Reported Earnings; An Overview , p. 1 (Dec. 4 , 199 6) 36 The Value Line Investment Survey, Subscriber s Guide, 53. 37 Block, Stanley B., "A Study of Financial Analysts: Practice and Theory Financial Analysts Journal (July/August 1999) . 38 Id. at 88. 39 The Value Line Investment Survey (July 4, 2003) at 695. 40 The Value Line Investment Survey (Aug. 15, 2003) at 1776. 41 Fama, Eugene F. and French, Kenneth R., "The Cross- Section of Expected Stock Returns The Journal of Finance (June 1992). 42 Indeed, average realized rates of return for historical periods are widely reported to investors in the financial press and by investment advisory services as a guide to future performance. 43 Roger A. Morin, Regulatory Finance: Utilities ' Cost Capi tal, 1994, at 166. 44 Standard & Poor s, Corporate Ratings Criteria at 58, available at www. standaredandpoors. com/ratings. 45 Moody s Investors Service, Credit Risk Commentary, p. 3 (July 29, 1996). AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company 46 The Value Line Investment Survey, p. 1776 (Aug. 15, 2003) . 47 Standard & Poor s Corporation, Credit Quality For U.Utili ties Continues Negative Trend, RatingsDirect, Jul. 24, 2003.48 Smith, Rebecca, "Rating Agencies Crack Down on Utilities , The Wall Street Journal, p. Cl (December 19, 2001) . 49 Id. 50 Idaho Power granted $256 million deferral, but bond plan denied, Idaho Public Utili ties Commission (May 13, 2002). 51 Moody s Investors Service, Opinion Update: Idaho Power Company (Jun. 20, 2003). 52 Id. 53 Standard & Poor s Corporation, "Legal Developments Add to Utilities ' Disquiet in u.S. Northwest,Utilities Perspectives (July 21, 2003) at 2- 54 Id.55 Standard & Poor 's, CreditWeek, Nov. I, 2000, at 31. 56 Rebecca Smith, Shock Waves, The Wall Street Journal, Nov. 30, 2001, at AI. 57 Regulatory Research Associates, "Recovery of Wholesale Power Costs: Who is at Risk and Who is Not?"Regulatory Focus, p. 1 (February 28, 2001). 58 Standard & Poor s Corporation, "Electric Utility Blackout Puts Spotlight on Political and Regulatory Credit Risk, RatingsDirect (Aug. 21, 2003). 59 The Value Line Investment Survey (Aug. 15, 2003) at i 776. 60 The Value Line Investment Survey (June 20, 2003) at 458. 61 The Value Line Investment Survey, Selection Opinion (July 18, 2003) at 2857. AVERA, DI Idaho Power Company DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW MODEL Exhibit WEA-5 Page 1 of 1 EXPECTED DIVIDEND YIELD (a)(a) Estimated Stock Dividends Implied Sym Com Price Next 12 Mos.Dividend Yield BKH Black Hills Corp.$ 31.$1. Hawaiian Electric $ 41.$2. MDU MDU Resources Group $ 32.$1. PNM PNM Resources Group $ 26.$0. PNW Pinnacle West Capital $ 33.$1. PSD Puget Energy, Inc.$ 21 .$1. SRE Sempra Energy $ 28.$1. XEL Xcel Energy $ 14.$0. Average (b)Summary and Index, The Value Line Investment Survev (August 22.2003). EXHBIIT NO. CASE NO. IPC-03- W. AVERA, IPCo PAGE 1 OF 1 DI S C O U N T E D C A S H F L O W M O D E L Ex h i b i t W E A - Pa g e 1 o f 1 EA R N I N G S G R O W T H R A T E S Pr o j e c t e d Hi s t o r i c a l (a ) (b ) (c ) (d ) (b ) (b ) Va l u e Fi r s t Mu l t e x Pa s t Pa s t Sv m Co m IB E S Li n e Ca l l In v e s t o r 10 Y r 5 Y r BK H Bl a c k H i l l s C o r p . 8. 0 % 8. 0 % 15 . Ha w a i i a n E l e c t r i c MD U MD U R e s o u r c e s G r o u p 12 . PN M PN M R e s o u r c e s G r o u p NM F 19 . PN W Pi n n a c l e W e s t C a p i t a l NM F PS D Pu g e t E n e r g y , I n c . NM F NM F SR E Se m p r a E n e r g y XE L Xc e l E n e r g y NM F 1. 4 % NM F Av e r a g e NM F - - N o M e a n i n g f u l F i g u r e NA - - N o t A v a i l a b l e (a ) (b ) (c ) (d ) I/ B / E / S I n t e r n a t i o n a l g r o w t h r a t e s f r o m S t a n d a r d & P o o r Ea r n i n a s G u i d e , ( A u g u s t 2 0 0 3 ) . Th e V a l u e L i n e I n v e s t m e n t S u r v e y ( A u g u s t 1 5 , 2 0 0 3 ) . N e g a t i v e g r o w t h r a t e s r e c o r d e d No M e a n i n g f u l F i g u r e . Fi r s t C a l l E a r n i n g s E s t i m a t e s f r o m w w w . f i n a n c e . ya h o o . co m ( S e p t e m b e r 1 , 2 0 0 3 ) . Mu l t e x I n v e s t o r e a r n i n g s g r o w t h r a t e s f r o m w w w . mu i t e x i n v e s t o r . co m ( S e p t e m b e r 1 , 2 0 0 3 ) . EX H B I I T N O . CA S E N O . I P C - 03 - W. A V E R A , I P C o PA G E 1 O F 1 DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW MODEL Exhibit WEA-7 Page 1 of PROJECTED "B x R" GROWTH (a)(a)(a) Proj.Proj.Proj.b" x " Svm Com EPS DPS BVS Growth BKH Black Hills Corp.$2.$1.$26.50.55%10. Hawaiian Electric $3.$2.$33.17.33% MDU MDU Resources Group $2.$1.$26.58.55%10. PNM PNM Resources Group $2.$1.$30.50.23% PNW Pinnacle West Capital $3.$2.$35.35.45% PSD Puget Energy, Inc.$2.$1.$20.44.00% SRE Sempra Energy $3.$1.$24.69.23%13. XEL Xcel Energy $1.$0.$14.40.74% Average (a)The Value Line Investment Survey (August 15, 2003). EXHBIIT NO. CASE NO. IPC-03-13 W. AVERA, IPCo PAGE 1 OF 1 RISK PREMIUM APPROACH Page 1 of 1 ANALYSIS OF AUTHORIZED RATES OF RETURN ON EQUITY FOR ELECTRIC UTILITIES (a)(b) AVERAGE PUBLIC UTILITY BOND YIELD RISK PREMIUMYEAR 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Average ALLOWED ROE 13.10% 13.20% 13.10% 13.30% 13.20% 13.50% 14.23% 15.22% 15.78% 15.36% 15.32% 15.20% 13.93% 12.99% 12.79% 12.97% 12.70% 12.55% 12.09% 11.41 % 11.34% 11.55% 11.39% 11.40% 11.66% 10.77% 11.43% 11.08% 11.16% 27% 88% 17% 58% 22% 10.39% 13.15% 15.62% 15.33% 13.31% 14.03% 12.29% 46% 98% 10.45% 66% 76% 21% 57% 56% 30% 91% 74% 63% 00% 55% 09% 72% 53% 81% 83% 32% 93% 72% 98% 11% 08% 0.40% 45% 05% 29% 91% 4.47% 01% 34% 31% 94% 34% 52% 85% 04% 64% 65% 77% 66% 22% 34% 36% 63% 08% Constant Std Err of Y Est R Squared No. of Observations Degrees of Freedom 07343 00576 77401 Current EQuity Risk Premium Avg. Yield over Study Period 81% Aug. 2003 Avg. Utility Bond Yield 79% Change in Bond Yield 02% Risk Premium/Interest Rate Relationship 43.46% Adjustment to Average Risk Premium 31% Average Risk Premium over Study Period 08% Adjusted Risk Premium 39% Regression Output X Coefficient(s) Std Err of Coet. -0.43462 04520 (a) Major Rate Case Decisions, Regulatory Focus, Regulatory Research Associates (January 22, 2003 January 24,2001 & January 16 1990); UtnityScope Reaulatorv Service, Argus (January 1986). (b) Moody's Public Utility Manual (2001); Moody's Credit Perspectives (various editions). EXHBIIT NO. CASE NO. IPC-E-Q3- W. AVERA,lPCo PAGE 1 OF 1 RISK PREMIUM APPROACH Exhibit WEA-9 Page1of1 ANALYSIS OF REALIZED RATES OF RETURN ON EQUITY FOR THE S&P ELECTRIC POWER COMPANIES S&P ELECTRIC COMPANIES S&P SINGLE.A PUBLIC UTILITY BONDS /b\ CLOSE ANNUAL CLOSE ANNUAl, PRICE DIV REALIZED RETURN YIELD PRICE REALIZED RETURN 1945 $16.(c)73%(d) 1946 $15.$0.49%72%$100.91% 1947 $12.$0.12.17%04%$94.41% 1948 $12.$0.1.47%05%$99.86% 1949 $14.$0.24.49%70%$105.93% 1950 $14.49 $0,27%81%$98.75% 1951 $16.$0.17.25%31%$92.03% 1952 $18.$0.19.66%25%$101.37% 1953 $18.$0.19%33%$98.93% 1954 $22.$1.23.46%15%$102.18% 1955 $24.$1.12.33%39%$96.-0.61% 1956 $23.$1.83%19%$88.01% 1957 $24.$1.10.29%97%$103.39% 1958 $33.$1.38.35%51%$92.42 61% 1959 $33.42 $1.77%80%$96.60% 1960 $39.$1.21.84%64%$102.06% 1961 $49.$1.28.89%66%$99.25% 1962 $48.$1.70%33%$104.39% 1963 $51.$1.10.29%51%$97.49 82% 1964 $58.$1.15.36%4.47%$100.10% 1965 $58,$1.99%86%$94.82% 1966 $53.49 $2.34%61%$90.55% 1967 $49.$2.67%50%$89.-4,78% 1968 $51.$2.66%01%$94.75% 1969 $42.$2.13.42%8 .43%$85.7.11% 1970 $45.$2.12.59%8.44%$99,34% 1971 $44.$2.47 26%70%$107.16.22% 1972 $43.$2.19%74%$99.37% 1973 $32.$2.18.71%10%$96.98% 1974 $22.$2.25.36%25%$89.63% 1975 $30.$2.50.39%63%$96.89% 1976 $35.$2.23.53%37%$112.22.21% 1977 $35.$2.21%81%$95.08% 1978 $31.$2.78%75%$91.36% 1979 $28.$3.51%11.47%$86.94% 1980 $27.$3.86%13.39%$86,05% 1981 $29.$3.42 20.45%15.66%$86.-0,54% 1982 $36.$3.35.59%12.21%$126.41.86% 1983 $37.$3.13.36%12.95%$94.83% 1984 $42.$4.24.72%12.39%$104.17,11% 1985 $48.$4.25.34%10.54%$115.28,16% 1986 $58.$4.28.06%12%$113.23.90% 1987 $49.$4.31%10.09%$91.49 61% 1988 $53.$4.17.16%10.02%$100.10.71% 1989 $66.$4.31.48%36%$106.16,13"k 1990 $63.$4.06%60%$97.18% 1991 $77.25 $4.28.91%93%$106.16.01% 1992 $76.$4.45%64%$102.11.77% 1993 $81.$4.12.56%74%$99.67% 1994 $66.$4.13.17%68%$100.33% 1995 $81.$4.30.15%97%$107.16.00% 1996 $76.$4.-0.32%57%$104.12.23% 1997 $91.$4.25.03%07%$105.13.12% 1998'$100.$4.15.04%00%$100.85% 1999 $77.42 $4.18.93%25%$87.61% 2000 $113.$4.51.67%8.40%$98.76% 2001 $92.$3.14.78%8.46%$99.40 80% 2002 $75.08 $4.14.41%82%$106.15.16% AVERAGE 1946-2002 10.28%27% REALIZED RATE OF RETURN S&P ELECTRIC COMPANIES 10.28%EXHBIIT NO. SINGLE-A PUBLIC UTILITY BONDS 27%CASE NO. IPC-E-O3- EQUITY RISK PREMIUM 01%W. AVERA, IPCa PAGE 1 OF 1 (a) S&P'Seeur~Y Price Index Record (1992), The Analvsts' Handbook (1967, 1999, 2001 , Monthly Supplement March 2002). (b) S&P'Security Price Index Record (1996). Current Statistics (Jan. 1 ' Mar, 1998 . Dec. 1999, Feb. 2001, Jan. 2002, & Jan. 2003). (e) Computed by adding gain or loss (ending stock price - beginning stocK rice) to annual dividends and dividing by beginning stock price. (d) Computed as sum of cap~aI gain or loss plus interest income, divided b beginning price. Note: Dividend data not available prior to 1946. RISK PREMIUM METHOD CAPIT AL ASSET PRICING MODEL Market Rate of Return (a) Dividend Yield Growth Rate Market Return Risk-Free Rate (b) August 2003 Average 20-Year Treasury Bond Yield Market Risk Premium (c) Electric Utility Proxy Group Beta (d) Electric Utility Proxy Group Risk Premium (e) Implied Cost of Equity (f) 70% 12.54% Exhibit WEA-10 Page 1 of 1 14.24% 39% 85% 28% 11.67% (a) Average for the stocks in the S&P 500 Index at June 15, 2003. Dividend yield for month-end June 2003 from www.standardandpoors.com. Individual company growth rates based on IBES growth projections reported in Standard & Poor Earninas Guide (June 2003). (b) Average yield on Long-term (::-25 years) government bonds for August 2003 reported by the U. Department of the Treasury at www.treas.gov. (c) (a) - (b). (d) The Value Line Investment Survey (August 15, 2003). (e) (c) x (d).(f) (b) + (e).EXHBIIT NO.1 0 CASE NO. IPC-03- W. AVERA, IPCo PAGE 1 OF 1 WILLIAM E. AVERA FINCAP, 1Ne. Financial Concepts and Applications Economic and Financial Counsel Page 1 of 6 WilliAM E. AVERA 3907 Red River Austin, Texas 78751 (512) 458-4644 FAX (512) 458-4768 fmcap (g) texas.net Summary of Qualifications Ph.D. in economics and finance; Chartered Financial Analyst (CF A (6)) designation; extensive expert witness testimony before courts, alternative dispute resolution panels, regulatory agencies and legislative committees; lectured in executive education programs around the world on ethics investment analysis, and regulation; undergraduate and graduate teaching in business and economics; appointed to leadership positions in government, industry, academia, and the military. Emplovment Principal, FINCAP, Inc. (Sep. 1979 to present) Director, Economic Research Division Public Utility Commission of Texas (Dec. 1977 to Aug. 1979) Manager, Financial Education, International Paper Company New York City (Feb. 1977 to Nov. 1977) Financial, economic and policy consulting to business and government. Perform business and public policy research, costlbenefit analyses and financial modeling, valuation of businesses (over 100 entities valued), estimation of damages, statistical and industry studies. Provide strategy advice and educational services in public and private sectors, and serve as expert witness before regulatory agencies, legislative committees, arbitration panels, and courts. Responsible for research and testimony preparation on rate of return, rate structure, and econometric analysis dealing with energy, telecommunications, water and sewer utilities. Testified in major rate cases and appeared before legislative committees and served as Chief Economist for agency. Administered state and federal grant funds. Communicated frequently with political leaders and representatives from consumer groups media, and investment community. Directed corporate education programs in accounting, finance, and economics. Developed course materials, recruited and trained instructors , liaison within the company and with academic institutions. Prepared operating budget and designed financial controls for corporate professional development program. EXHIBIT NO. 11 CASE NO.IPC-O3- W. AVERA, IPCo PAGE 1 OF 6 WILLIAM E. AVERA Lecturer in Finance The University of Texas at Austin (Sep. 1979 to May 1981) Assistant Professor of Finance (Sep. 1975 to May 1977) Assistant Professor of Business University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (Sep. 1972 to Jul. 1975) Education Ph., Economics and Finance University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (Jan. 1969 to Aug. 1972) B.A., Economics, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia (Sep. 1961 to Jun. 1965) Page 2 of 6 Taught graduate and undergraduate courses in financial management and investment theory. Conducted research in business and public policy. Named Outstanding Graduate Business Professor and received various administrati ve appointments. Taught in BBA, MBA, and Ph.D. programs. Created project course in finance, Financial Management for Women, and participated in developing Small Business Management sequence. Organized the North Carolina Institute for Investment Research, a group of financial institutions that supported academic research. Faculty advisor to the Media Board, which funds student publications and broadcast stations. Elective courses included financial management, public finance, monetary theory, and econometrics. Awarded the Stonier Fellowship by the American Bankers Association and University Teaching Fellowship. Taught statistics, macroeconomics, and microeconomics. Dissertation: The Geometric Mean Strategy as a Theory of Multiperiod Portfolio Choice Active in extracunicular activities, president of the Barkley Forum (debate team), Emory Religious Association, and Delta Tau Delta chapter. Individual awards and team championships at national 'collegiate debate tournaments. Professional Associations Received Chartered Financial Analyst (CF A) designation in 1977; Vice President for Membership, Financial Management Association; President, Austin Chapter of Planning Executives Institute; Board of Directors, North Carolina Society of Financial Analysts; Candidate Cuniculum Committee, Association for Investment Management and Research; Executive Committee of Southern Finance Association; Vice Chair, Staff Subcommittee on Economics and National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners (NARUC); Appointed to NARUC Technical Subcommittee on the National Energy Act. EXHIBIT NO. 11 CASE NO. IPC-03- W. AVERA, IPCo PAGE 2 OF 6 WILLIAM E. AVERA Page 3 of 6 Teachina in Executive Education Proarams University-Sponsored Prof!rams:Central Michigan University, Duke University, Louisiana State University, National Defense University, National University of Singapore, Texas A&MUniversity, University of Kansas, University of North Carolina, University of Texas. Business and Government-Sponsored Programs:Advanced Seminar on Earnings Regulation American Public Welfare Association, Association for Investment Management and Research Congressional Fellows Program, Cost of Capital Workshop, Electricity Consumers Resource Council, Financial Analysts Association of Indonesia, Financial Analysts Review, Financial Analysts Seminar at Northwestern University, Governor s Executive Development Program of Texas Louisiana Association of Business and Industry, National Association of Purchasing Management, National Association of Tire Dealers, Planning Executives Institute, School of Banking of the South State of Wisconsin Investment Board, Stock Exchange of Thailand, Texas Association of State Sponsored Computer Centers, Texas Bankers' Association, Texas Bar Association, Texas Savings and Loan League, Texas Society of CP As, Tokyo Association of Foreign Banks, Union Bank of Switzerland, U.S. Department of State, U.S. Navy, u.S. Veterans Administration, in addition to Texas state agencies and major corporations. Presented papers for Mills B. Lane Lecture Series at the University of Georgia and Heubner Lectures at the University of Pennsylvania. Taught graduate courses in finance and economics in evening program at St. Edward's University in Austin from January 1979 through 1998. Expert Witness Testimony Testified in nearly 200 cases before regulatory agencies addressing cost of capital, rate design, and other economic and financial issues. Federal AJ!encies:Federal Communications Commission, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, Surface Transportation Board Interstate Commerce Commission, and the Canadian Radio-Television and Telecommunications Commission. State ReJ!ulatorv AJ!encies:Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut Delaware, Florida, Hawaii, Idaho, lllinois, Indiana, Kansas, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. Testified in over 30 cases before federal and state courts, arbitration panels, and alternative dispute tribunals (over 60 depositions given) regarding damages, valuation, antitrust liability, fiduciary duties, and other economic and financial issues. Board Positions and Other Professional Activities Audit Committee and Outside Director, Georgia System Operations Corporation (electric system operator for member-owned electric cooperatives in Georgia); Chainnan, Board of Print Depot, Inc. and FINCAP, Inc.; Co-chair, Synchronous Interconnection Committee, appointed by Governor George Bush and Public Utility Commission of Texas; Operator of AAA Ranch, a certified organic producer of agricultural products; Appointed to Organic Livestock Advisory Committee by Texas Agricultural Commissioner Susan Combs; Appointed by Texas Railroad Commissioners to study group for The UP/SP Merger: An Assessment of the Impacts on the State of Texas; Appointed by EXHIBIT NO. 11 CASE NO. IPC-O3- W. AVERA, IPCo PAGE 3 OF 6 WILLIAM E. AVERA Page 4 of 6 Hawaii Public Utilities Commission to team reviewing affiliate relationships of Hawaiian Electric Industries; Chairman, Energy Task Force, Greater Austin-San Antonio Conidor Council; Consultant to Public Utility Commission of Texas on cogeneration policy and other matters; Consultant to Public Service Commission of New Mexico on cogeneration policy; Evaluator of Energy Research Grant Proposals for Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board. Community Activities Board Member, Sustainable Food Center; Chair, Board of Deacons, Finance Committee, and Elder, Central Presbyterian Church of Austin; Founding Member, Orange-Chatham County (N.c.) Legal Aid Screening Committee. Militarv Captain, u.S. Naval Reserve (retired after 28 years service); Commanding Officer, Naval Special Warfare (SEAL) Engineering Support Unit; Officer-in-charge of SWIFT patrol boat in Vietnam; Enlisted service as weather analyst (advanced to second class petty officer). BiblioQraphv Monographs Ethics and the Investment Professional (video, workbook, and instructor s guide) and Ethics Challenge Today (video), Association for Investment Management and Research (1995) Definition of Industry Ethics and Development of a Code" and "Applying Ethics in the Real World," in Good Ethics: The Essential Element ofa Firm s Success, Association for Investment Management and Research (1994) On the Use of Security Analysts' Growth Projections in the DCF Model," with Bruce H. Fairchild in Earnings Regulation Under Inflation J. R. Foster and S. R. Holmberg, eels. Institute for Study of Regulation (1982) An Examination of the Concept of Using Relative Customer Class Risk to Set Target Rates of Return in Electric Cost-oj-Service Studies, with Bruce H. Fairchild, Electricity Consumers Resource Council (ELCON) (1981); portions reprinted in Public Utilities Fortnightly (Nov. 11, 1982) Usefulness of CulTent Values to Investors and Creditors Research Study on Current-Value Accounting Measurements and Utility, George M. Scott, ed., Touche Ross Foundation (1978) The Geometric Mean Strategy and Common Stock Investment Management " with Henry A. Latane in Life Insurance Investment Policies David Cummins, ed. (1977) Investment Companies: Analysis of Current Operations and Future Prospects with J. Finley Lee and Glenn L. Wood, American College ofUfe Underwriters (1975) Articles Should Analysts Own the Stocks they Cover?" The Financial Journalist (March 2002) Liquidity, Exchange Listing, and Common Stock Performance " with John C. Groth and Kerry Cooper, Journal of Economics and Business (Spring 1985); reprinted by National Association of Security Dealers EXHIBIT NO. 11 CASE NO. IPC-O3- W. AVERA, IPCo PAGE 4 OF 6 WILLIAM E. AVERA Page 5 of 6 The Energy Crisis and the Homeowner: The Grief Process,Texas Business Review (Jan.Feb. 1980); reprinted in The Energy Picture: Problems and Prospects, J. E. Pluta, ed., Bureau of Business Research (1980) Use oflFPS at the Public Utility Commission of Texas,Proceedings of the IFPS Users Group Annual Meeting (1979) Production Capacity Allocation: Conversion, CWIP, and One-Anned Economics,Proceedings of the NARUC Biennial Regulatory Information Conference (1978) Some Thoughts on the Rate of Return to Public Utility Companies," with Bruce H. Fairchild in Proceedings of the NARUC Biennial Regulatory Information Conference (1978) A New Capital Budgeting Measure: The Integration of Time, Liquidity, and Uncertainty," with David Cordell in Proceedings of the Southwestern Finance Association (1977) Usefulness of Current Values to Investors and Creditors," in Inflation Accountingflndexing and Stock Behavior (1977) Consumer Expectations and the Economy,Texas Business Review (Nov. 1976) Portfolio Performance Evaluation and Long-run Capital Growth " with Henry A. Latane Proceedings of the Eastern Finance Association (1973) Book reviews in Journal of Finance and Financial Review. Abstracts for CFA Digest. Articles in Carolina Financial Times. Selected Papers and Presentations The Who, What, When, How, and Why of Ethics , San Antonio Financial Analysts Society (Jan. 16,2002). Similar presentation given to the Austin Society of Financial Analysts (Jan. 17 2002) Ethics for Financial Analysts " Sponsored by Canadian Council of Financial Analysts: delivered in Calgary, Edmonton, Regina, and Winnipeg, June 1997. Similar presentations given to Austin Society of Financial Analysts (Mar. 1994), San Antonio Society of Financial Analysts (Nov. 1985), and St. Louis Society of Financial Analysts (Feb. 1986) Cost of Capital for Multi-Divisional Corporations," Financial Management Association, New Orleans, Louisiana (Oct. 1996) Ethics and the Treasury Function " Government Treasurers Organization of Texas, Corpus Christi Texas (Jun. 1996) A Cooperative Future " Iowa Association of Electric Cooperatives, Des Moines (December 1995). Similar presentations given to National G & T Conference, Irving, Texas (June 1995), Kentucky Association of Electric Cooperatives Annual Meeting, Louisville (Nov. 1994), Virginia, Maryland, and Delaware Association of Electric Cooperatives Annual Meeting, Richmond (July 1994), and Carolina Electric Cooperatives Annual Meeting, R~eigh (Mar. 1994) Information Superhighway Warnings: Speed Bumps on Wall Street and Detours from the Economy," Texas Society of Certified Public Accountants Natural Gas, Telecommunications and Electric Industries Conference, Austin (Apr. 1995) EconomiclWall Street Outlook," Carolinas Council of the Institute of Management Accountants Myrtle Beach, South Carolina (May 1994). Similar presentation given to Bell Operating Company Accounting Witness Conference, Santa Fe, New Mexico (Apr. 1993) EXHIBIT NO. 11 CASE NO. IPC-O3- W. AVERA, IPCo PAGE 5 OF6 WILLIAM E. AVERA Page 6 of 6 Regulatory Developments in Telecommunications " Regional Holding Company Financial and Accounting Conference, San Antonio (Sep. 1993) Estimating the Cost of Capital During the 1990s: Issues and Directions," The National Society of Rate of Return Analysts, Washington, D.C. (May 1992) Making Utility Regulation Work at the Public Utility Commission of Texas," Center for Legal and Regulatory Studies, University of Texas, Austin (June 1991) Can Regulation Compete for the Hearts and Minds of Industrial Customers," Emerging Issues of Competition in the Electric Utility Industry Conference, Austin (May 1988) The Role of Utilities in Fostering New Energy Technologies," Emerging Energy Technologies in Texas Conference, Austin (Mar. 1988) The Regulators' Perspective," Bellcore Economic Analysis Conference , San Antonio (Nov. 1987) Public Utility Commissions and the Nuclear Plant Contractor," Construction Litigation Superconference, Laguna Beach, California (Dec. 1986) Development of Cogeneration Policies in Texas," University of Georgia Fifth Annual Public Utilities Conference, Atlanta (Sep. 1985) Wheeling for Power Sales " Energy Bureau Cogeneration Conference, Houston (Nov. 1985). Asymmetric Discounting of Infonnation and Relative Liquidity: Some Empirical Evidence for Common Stocks" (with John Groth and Kerry Cooper), Southern Finance Association, New Orleans (Nov. 1982) Used and Useful Planning Models," Planning Executive Institute, 27th Corporate Planning Conference, Los Angeles (Nov. 1979) Staff Input to Commission Rate of Return Decisions," The National Society of Rate of Return Analysts, New York (Oct. 1979) Electric Rate Design in Texas," Southwestern Economics Association, Fort Worth (Mar. 1979) Discounted Cash Life: A New Measure of the Time Dimension in Capital Budgeting," with David Cordell, Southern Finance Association, New Orleans (Nov. 1978) The Relative Value of Statistics of Ex Post Common Stock Distributions to Explain Variance with Charles G. Martin, Southern Finance Association, Atlanta (Nov. 1977) An ANOV A Representation of Common Stock Returns as a Framework for the Allocation of Portfolio Management Effort " with Charles G. Martin, Financial Management Association, Montreal (Oct. 1976) A Growth-Optimal Portfolio Selection Model with Finite Horizon," with Henry A. Latane American Finance Association, San Francisco (Dec. 1974) An Optimal Approach to the Finance Decision," with Henry A. Latane, Southern Finance Association, Atlanta (Nov. 1974) A Pragmatic Approach to the Capital Structure Decision Based on Long-Run Growth," with Henry A. Latane, Financial Management Association, San Diego (Oct. 1974) Multi-period Wealth Distributions and Portfolio Theory," Southern Finance Association, Houston (Nov. 1973) Growth Rates, Expected Returns, and Variance in Portfolio Selection and Petfonnance Evaluation," with Henry A. Latane, Econometric Society, Oslo, Norway (Aug. 1973) EXHIBIT NO. 11 CASE NO. IPC-O3- W. AVERA, IPCo PAGE 6 OF 6 BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTILITIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O3-13 IN THE MATTER OF THE APPLICATION OF IDAHO POWER COMPANY FOR AUTHORITY TO INCREASE ITS INTERIM AND BASE RATES AND CHARGES FOR ELECTRIC SERVICE. IDAHO POWER COMPANY DIRECT REBUTTAL TESTIMONY WILLIAM E. AVERA Texas,78751. INTRODUCTION Please state your name and business address. William E. Avera, 3907 Red River, Austin, Are you the same William E. Avera that previously submitted direct testimony in this case? Yes, I am. What is the purpose of your rebuttal testimony? The purpose of my testimony is to respond to the direct testimony of Ms. Terri Carlock, submitted on behalf of the staff of the Idaho Public utilities Commission ("IPUC"In addition, I will also rebut the recommendations contained in the direct testimony of Mr. Dennis E. Peseau testimony, on behalf of Micron Technology, Inc., concerning the cost of equity for Idaho Power Company Idaho Power" or "the Company" ) . Please summarize the conclusions of your rebuttal testimony. With respect to the testimony of Ms. Carlock, I concluded that her discounted cash flow ("DCF" results were biased because of her exclusive reliance on AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company IDACORP, Inc.IDACORP"), whose recent dividend cut violates the assumptions of this method.Additionally, Ms. Carlock's approach ignored other accepted methods of estimating the cost of equity, as well as the flotation costs necessary to raise equity capital.Finally, Ms. Carlock's assessment of Idaho Power s relative risks focused exclusively on the Company's low rates, while ignoring the substantial uncertainties that investors must bear in order to provide the benefits of lower electricity costs to Idaho Power s customers.After excluding Ms. Carlock's flawed DCF results and considering investors' risk perceptions and an adjustment for flotation costs, the resul ts of Ms. Carlock's comparable earnings approach support Idaho Power's requested fair rate of return on equity in this case. Meanwhile, Mr. Peseau did not conduct any independent analyses of the cost of equity to Idaho Power. Instead, his recommendations were based entirely on updates" and "revisions" to my analyses.Much like the Holy Roman Empire, however, neither of these two terms accurately describes Mr. Peseau ' s selective - and baseless - alteration of my original analyses, which must be AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company rej ected in their entirety. II.TERRI CARLOCK How did Ms. Carlock arrive at her 10. percent cost of equity recommendation for Idaho Power? Ms. Carlock estimated the cost of equity by applying the constant growth DCF model directly to Idaho Power's parent, IDACORP.She concluded that the results of this single DCF application indicated a cost of equity in the 7.4 to 8. 8 percent range.Ms. Carlock also applied the comparable earnings approach, which resulted in an indicated cost of equity in the 10.0 percent to 11. percent range.Based on these two analyses, Ms. Carlock concluded that the cost of equity was in the 9.5 to 10. percent range, selecting the 10.0 percent midpoint as her recommendations for Idaho Power. Do the results of Ms. Carlock' s DCF analysis represent a reliable basis on which to establish Idaho Power s rate of return on equity? No.Because she restricted her DCF analysis to a single company - IDACORP - Ms. Carlock's results are extremely susceptible to measurement error and bias.As I discussed at length in my direct testimony, estimating the AVERA, Di-Reb Idaho Power Company cost of equity is a stochastic process.In other words, because the cost of equity is unobservable, it can only be inferred by indirect reference to other available data in the capital markets.But for any single cost of equity estimate, there is always the potential that the data used to apply the DCF model will not reflect the expectations and required returns that investors considered in arriving at the stock prices we can observe in the capital markets. As a result, it is essential to insulate against this bias by referencing a proxy group or electric utilities with comparable risks. Why is this particularly critical in the case of IDACORP? As discussed in my direct testimony, Idaho Power and, in turn, IDACORP recently elected to cut common dividend payments significantly in order to improve cash flow and help maintain the strong credit ratings necessary to support the Company's capital expansion plan.Under the DCF approach, observable stock prices are a function of the cash flows that investors' expected to receive, discounted at their required rate of return.Because dividend payments are a key parameter required to apply DCF methods, AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company this approach is not well-suited for firms that do not pay common dividends or have recently cut their payout. Indeed, Ms. Carlock recognized in her testimony that changes in the markets and the dividend cut for IDACORP" complicated any assessment of representative data for the DCF model. Indeed, IDACORP's decision to reduce annual common di vidends by some 35 percent severely violates the assumptions underlying the constant growth DCF model that Ms. Carlock used to estimate the cost of equity. explained in my direct testimony, this approach is based on the presumption of stable conditions, with earnings dividends, and book value all growing at a constant rate. Such is hardly the case for IDACORP in light of its decision to substantially alter its dividend payout. Ms. Carlock recognized the importance of matchin~ the growth rate with a consistent dividend yield "so that investor expectations are accurately reflects.But by choosing to focus only on IDACORP in implementing the DCF model, Ms. Carlock needlessly introduced significant additional complexity into an already challenging process. Indeed, the fact that the 8.1 percent midpoint of Ms. AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company Carlock's DCF range falls almost 200 basis points below the lower bound of her comparable earnings analysis illustrates the problems of bias associated with her limited DCF analysis.The proxy group of western electric utilities referenced in my analyses is consistent not only with the shared circumstances of electric power markets in the west, but also with the need to ensure against the potential that a single cost of equity estimate may not reflect investors' required rate of return. Did Ms. Carlock apply the risk premium approach to estimate the cost of equity for Idaho Power? No.While Ms. Carlock stated that "much of the theoretical approach" that she used was consistent with my testimony, Ms. Carlock did not use the risk premium approach to estimate the cost of equity.The risk premium method is widely recognized as a meaningful approach to estimate the cost of equity.No single method or model should be relied upon to determine a utility's cost of equity because no single approach can be regarded as wholly reliable.This is especially the case in light of the fact that Ms. Carlock's DCF range was based on the results of a single company.Indeed, as documented in my direct AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company testimony, applications of the risk premium approach provide further evidence of the downward bias inherent in Ms. Carlock's DCF results. Did Ms. Carlock recognize that the investment risks associated with electric utilities have increased? Yes.Ms. Carlock noted that a plethora of changes have impacted investors ' risk perceptions, observing that: The competitive risks for electric utilities have changed with increasing non-utility generation, deregulation in some states, open transmission access, and changes in electricity markets. Ms. Carlock concluded that, because of these greater uncertainties, the difference in risk between industrial firms operating in a competitive market and electric utilities "is not as great as it used to be. Did Ms. Carlock consider this increase in risk in her analysis of the cost of equity for Idaho Power? No.Ms. Carlock ignored this trend in investment risks for electric utilities, asserting instead that Idaho Power s "competitive risks" are lower because of AVERA, Di-Reb Idaho Power Company its "low-cost source of power and the low retail rates. Ms. Carlock also asserted that the Power Cost Adjustment mechanism ("PCA") reduces Idaho Power's risks relative to other electric utilities. Does this represent an accurate assessment of the investment risks investors' associate with Idaho Power? No.While I agree with Ms. Carlock that Idaho Power s relatively low rates provide benefits to customers and may improve the Company's competitive position, this one-sided view ignores the substantial uncertainties that Idaho Power assumes to realize these benefits.As explained in detail in my direct testimony, because approximately one-half of Idaho Power's total energy requirements are provided by hydroelectric facilities, the Company is exposed to a level of uncertainty not faced by other utilities, which are less dependent on hydro generation.While hydropower confers advantages in terms of fuel cost savings and diversity, investors also associated hydro facilities with risks that are not encountered with other sources of generation. Reduced hydroelectric generation due to below- AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company average water conditions forces Idaho Power to rely on less efficient thermal generating capacity and purchased power to meet its resource needs.As the Commission has noted, there are no guarantees about future stream flows or market prices,7 and in light of the recent past, this dependence on wholesale markets entails significant risk in the minds of investors, especially for a utility located in the west.Investors recognize that volatile markets, unpredictable stream flows, and Idaho Power's dependence on wholesale purchases to meet the needs of its customers exposes the Company to the risk of reduced cash flows and unrecovered power supply costs. Apart from exposure to market uncertainties, Idaho Power also confronts the complexities associated with obtaining the necessary licenses to operate its hydroelectric stations.The process of relicensing is prolonged and involved and often includes the implementation of various measures to address environmental and stakeholder concerns.These measures can impose significant additional costs and/or lead to reduced generating capacity and flexibility. Does the fact that Idaho Power has a PCA AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company absolve investors from risks of volatility in wholesale power markets, as Ms. Carlock seems to imply? No.The fact that Idaho Power has been granted a PCA does not translate into lower risk vis-a-vis other electric utilities.First, adjustment mechanisms to account for changes in power supply costs are the rule, rather than the except ion,so that Idaho Power PCA merely moves its risks closer to those of other utilities. Second,the PCA does not prevent the lag bet ween the time Idaho Power actually incurs power supply expenses and when it is actually recovered from ratepayers.Investors are well aware that the significant reduction in cash flows associated with mounting deferrals can have a debilitating impact on a utility s financial position. Moreover, the PCA does not apply to 100 percent of the difference between the actual cost of purchased power and the amount collected through rates, with Idaho Power shareholders remaining at risk for 10 percent of any discrepancy.Indeed, Idaho Power and its investors has already experienced the impact that chaotic market conditions can have when the Company is forced to rely on wholesale purchases to meet the gap in its resource needs AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company created by reduced hydro generation.Investors cannot afford to discount the continuing prospect of further turmoil in western power markets.Ms. Carlock's focus on "low retail rates " entirely ignores market realities and the substantial risks that investors must assume to provide customers with the resulting benefits. Did Ms. Carlock adj ust the results of her quantitative methods to reflect flotation costs? No.Ms. Carlock entirely failed to address the issue of flotation costs, which, as discussed in my direct testimony are a necessary cost incurred in connection with raising common equity capital.When equity is raised through the sale of common stock, there are costs associated with "floating" the new equity securities. Unlike debt flotation costs, which are recorded on the books of the utility, amortized over the life of the issue, there is no established mechanism for a utility to recognize equity issuance costs. Unless some provision is made to recognize these issuance costs, a utility s revenue requirements will not fully reflect all of the costs incurred for the use of investors' funds and investors will not have the opportunity to earn their required rate of AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company return.Because there is no accounting convention to accumulate the flotation costs associated with equity issues, I recommended a minimum upward adjustment to the cost of equity of 20 basis points. In light of the shortfalls in Ms. Carlock' DCF approach and her failure to meaningfully address Idaho Power's relative investment risks or the issue of flotation costs, what is your conclusion regarding her recommendations in this case? In my opinion, Ms. Carlock's recommended 10.0 percent cost of equity significantly understates the rate of return that investors require from Idaho Power. Idaho Power plans to add significant plant investment , such as the Mountain Home generating facility, to ensure that the energy needs of its service territory are met.To meet these challenges successfully and economically, it is crucial that the Company receive adequate support for its credit standing.Because of the shortfalls in her analyses, Ms. Carlock's recommended cost of equity is inadequate to meet this goal. At the very least, the Commission should rej ect the result of Ms. Carlock's DCF analyses, which is unreliable AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company and downward biased because of its focus on a single company - IDACORP - that has significantly cut its common di vidends .Meanwhile, Ms. Carlock's comparable earnings approach resulted in a cost of equity range of 10.0 to 11. percent, with Ms. Carlock noting that, in selecting a point estimate from within a range, "any point within (the) range is reasonable. "Considering the ongoing risks associated with Idaho Power's continued exposure to wholesale power markets, a rate of return at the upper end of this range is warranted.Combining the 11.0 percent upper end of Ms. Carlock's comparable earnings range with a 20 basis point minimum allowance for flotation costs results in a rate of return on equity of 11.2 percent, which is equal to what Idaho Power has requested in this case. III. DENNIS E. PESEAU How did Dr. Peseau evaluate the cost of equity for Idaho Power? It is important to note that Dr. Peseau' opinions were not based on any independent analyses of the cost of equity to Idaho Power.Rather , he arrived at his recommendations based on a purported "update " of my analyses by making "revisions" to my methods. AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company What updates"and "modifications"did Dr. Peseau make to your cost equity analyses? Apart from conducting no analyses of his own, Dr. Peseau did not actually update my analyses. Rather, he "simply plugs in an updated figure for dividend yieldn1O to my DCF model.Thus, Dr. Peseau' s "update" completely ignored the other half of the constant growth DCF equation; namely, the growth rate.To the extent that investors' expectations for growth increase, this would serve to offset any decline in dividend yields.Apart from this incomplete "update", Dr. Peseau s remaining modifications consisted of ignoring historical trends in earnings growth in applying the DCF model, using alternative bond yields to apply my risk premium approaches, and substituting a lower market return in the CAPM.Finally, Dr. Peseau completely ignored the flotation cost adjustment supported in my direct testimony. What was the basis for Dr. Peseau revision" to exclude historical growth rates from his update " of your DCF analyses? While Dr. Peseau granted that my methodology is not unreasonable, "11 he asserted that AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company historical growth rates should be discarded because I excluded firms rated below investment grade from my comparable group. Does your decision to exclude utilities with junk bond ratings from your proxy group represent an "implementation flaw," as Dr. Peseau asserts (p. 15)? Absolutely not.The purpose of employing a proxy group to estimate the cost of equity is to avoid potential bias by focusing on firms facing comparable risks and prospects.As I noted in my direct testimony, the financial stress and lack of stability that accompanies below investment grade bond ratings greatly complicates any determination of investors' long-term expectations required to implement the DCF model.Moreover, the move from investment grade to junk bond ratings implies a quantum increase in investment risks.It is hypocritical for Dr. Peseau to assert that my proxy group is "not representative" of electric utilities in the west, while simultaneously arguing that firms with junk bond ratings should be considered comparable to Idaho Power. What about Dr. Peseau ' s contention that the companies in your group "are not really a sample of AVERA, Di-Reb Idaho Power Company electric utilities" (p. 16)? The fact that these firms may- be engaged in other lines of business is hardly remarkable, as the same can be said about virtually every electric utility operating in the U. S .Nevertheless, the fact that investors regard these firms as electric utilities is evidenced by the fact that The Value Line Investment Survey Value Line") classifies them in its Electric Utility (West) industry group.Moreover, the statistics cited by Dr. Peseau do not convey an accurate portrayal of the importance of utility operations to the firms in my proxy Consider Black Hills, for example.While Dr.group. Peseau reports that electricity sales accounted for 38 percent of total revenues, he failed to report that Black Hills ' electric power generation and utility operations accounted for approximately 84 percent and 65 percent of operating earnings and total assets, respectively, for 2003.Contrary to Dr. Peseau's assertions, the firms included in my proxy group provide a reasonable basis on which to estimate the cost of equity for an electric utility in the western region. Does Dr. Peseau' s reference to earnings AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company growth trends for PNM Resources ("PNM") provide any basis to exclude historical growth rates from your DCF analysis? No.Dr. Peseau simply notes that PNM' earnings per share in 1987 of $2.00 are equal to what Value Line is projecting for 2004.But this observation says nothing about what investors might reasonably expect for future growth based on more recent historical trends. fact, Dr. Peseau s observation implies that investors would anticipate zero growth, which would produce a cost of equity for PNM equal to its dividend yield, or 3.2 percent. Of course, this is clearly a nonsensical result that is unrelated to a determination of investors' future expectations.In fact, variability in historical earnings serves to illustrate the increasing risks associated with an investment in electric utility common stocks.But given the unsettled conditions over the near-term direction of the economy and the spate of challenges faced in the electric power industry, the historical growth trends reported by Value Line provide a meaningful benchmark in implementing the DCF model.As a result, when assessing investors' expectations of future growth it is entirely appropriate to consider historical trends in earnings, AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company along with securities analysts' projections, as I have done. Is there any basis for Dr. Peseau ' s statement that Idaho Power's requested 11.2 percent cost of equity is "unreasonable on its face" (p. 18)? No.Based on changes in bond yields, Dr. Peseau impl ies that the cost of equity for Idaho Power has dropped "by 200 basis points or more. ,,But Dr. Peseau' s observation is meaningless.First, he ignores the dramatic increase in the level of risks that investors now associate with electric utilities.As discussed in my direct testimony, these uncertainties are heightened for a utility operating in the western U. S., especially given Idaho Power s ongoing exposure to potential volatility in wholesale power markets.Moreover, as I also explained in my direct testimony, there is considerable evidence tha~ when interest rates are relatively low, equity risk premiums widen. Accordingly, the cost of equity does not move in lockstep with interest rates.In fact, the only way to assess the relative impact of changes in risks and capital market conditions since the Commission s last decision in 1995 is to conduct an independent analysis of AVERA, Di-Reb Idaho Power Company the cost of equity - something Dr. Peseau did not even attempt. Is there any merit to Dr. Peseau' s suggestion that there are inconsistencies in your risk premium approaches that lead to an upward bias in your results (pp. 13-14)? No.The bond yields used in my applications of the risk premium method were consistent with the underlying data sources used to compute the equity risk premiums, as well as with the investment risks corresponding to Idaho Power's single-A grade credit rating.In developing risk premiums based on authorized rates of return on equity on Exhibit WEA-B, I matched the average allowed rates of return in each year with the average yield on public utility bonds reported by Moody Investors Service ("Moody This composite interest rate reflects the average risk profile of the electric utility industry, and there is simply no basis for Dr. Peseau s insinuation that this somehow results in upward bias.Similarly, my analysis of realized rates of return reported on Exhibit WEA-9 was based on a consistent set of data, as reported by Standard & Poor's Corporation ("S&P" AVERA, Di-Reb Idaho Power Company Because S&P does not publish an average public utility bond yield, my analyses relied on the yield on single-A rated issues as a proxy for the average risk of the industry. Moreover, the interest rates that Dr. Peseau cites in his update" to not correspond to other published sources.For example, Moody s reported that the average yield on single- A public utility bonds for February 2004 was 6.15 percent, considerably higher than the 5. 7 percent rate cited by Dr. Peseau. How did Dr. peseau "update" your application of the Capital Asset Pricing Model ("CAPM" Dr. Peseau did not update or otherwise address my CAPM approach.Rather, he ignored it entirely and instead substituted a market risk premium into my analysis that was based on an entirely different method. As explained in my direct testimony, I applied the CAPM based on a forward-looking estimate of the market risk premium that relied on investors' current expectations in the capital markets.Meanwhile, Dr. Peseau simply asserted that " (t) he correct market risk premium to use at this time " is 7.00 percent. In fact, however, this 7. percent risk premium is based on historical realized AVERA, Di-Reb Idaho Power Company returns, not on the forward-looking expectations that drive investors' required rate of return in today ' ~ capital markets.The end result of Dr. Peseau's thinly veiled shell game is not an update or revision to my analysis, but instead a CAPM cost of equity that fails to reflect investors ' current required rate of return. Did Dr. peseau consider the need to account for past flotation costs? No.Dr. Peseau does not take issue with my testimony that an adjustment for flotation costs is reasonable in establishing a fair rate of return for Idaho Like Ms. Carlock, however, Dr. Peseau entirelyPower. ignored the issue of flotation costs in conducting his As discussedrevisionsn and "updates n to my analyses. earlier and in my direct testimony, flotation costs are legi timate and necessary, and unless an adj ustment is made to the cost of equity, investors will not have the opportunity to earn their fair rate of return. I s there any meri t to Dr. Peseau ' s contention that your characterization of conditions within the electric utility industry is "too bleakn (p. II)? No.It is curious that Dr. Peseau takes AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company issue with my description of the challenges that investors have confronted in the electric power industry, while simul taneously granting that "all of these observations are accurate enough." 16 Moreover, the simple fact that the majority of utilities have "weathered the recent disasters"17 says nothing about the risks that investors now associate with the industry.As I documented in my direct testimony, observable measures such as bond ratings clearly illustrate the revised perceptions of the risks in the industry and the weakened finances of the utilities themselves.Moreover, while Dr. Peseau suggests that this assessment just reflects a pessimistic bias on my part, my personal opinions are irrelevant and were not the basis of my analyses.What matters are the opinions of investors, who, demonstrated in my direct testimony, recognize that the risks inherent in the electric utility industry have increased significantly.Indeed, as noted earlier, Ms. Carlock also granted that electric utilities now face greater uncertainties than in the past. Does Dr. Peseau ' s reference to a single earned rate of return (p. 11) provide any meaningful basis to evaluate investors risk perceptions or their required AVERA, Di-Reb Idaho Power Company rate of return? No.The fact that Idaho Power' shareholders may have earned positive returns in a single, historical period says nothing about their forward -looking assessment of investment risks or their return requirements.In fact, as Dr. Peseau grants, "the previous few years produced some negative returns. "Dr. Peseau' observations regarding the seemingly high variability of returns to Idaho Power s shareholders are more supportive of my contention that the investment risks associated with electric utilities, including Idaho Power, have increased. Indeed, Dr. Peseau grants that the recent "boom and bust" has "produced wildly erratic year to year results ... for most of the utilities in the western United States. "For investors, "wildly erratic" is synonymous with a level of investment risk far in excess of what Dr. peseau presumes. Does this conclude your direct rebuttal testimony in this case? Yes, it does. AVERA, Di -Reb Idaho Power Company ENDNOTES Carlock Direct 11. Id. Carlock Direct Id. Id.6 Carlock Direct at 8 - Idaho Power granted $256 million deferral, but bond plan denied, Idaho Public Utilities Commission (May 13, 2002). 8 Carlock Direct at 13. 9 Peseau Direct at 13. 10 Id.11 peseau Direct at 15. 12 Peseau Direct at 18. 13 Moody s Investors Service, 2004) . Credi Perspectives (Mar. Peseau Direct 14. Id. peseau Direct 11. Id. Peseau Direct 11. Peseau Direct 16. AVERA, Di-Reb Idaho Power Company BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTiliTIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O7- IDAHO POWER COMPANY ATTACHMENT 1- FitchRatings KNOW YOUR RISK FITCH AFFIRMS IDA & IPC'S RATINGS; OUTLOOK STABLE Fitch Ratings-New York-15 June 2007: Fitch Ratings has affmned the ratings ofIDACORP, Inc. - and its primary subsidiary, Idaho Power Company as follows: IDACORP: Long-term Issuer Default Rating (!DR) at 'BBB' Short-term Issuer Default Rating (!DR) at 'F2' Commercial paper rating at 'F2' Idaho Power Co. Long-term Issuer Default Rating (!DR) at 'BBB' Short-term Issuer Default Rating (!DR) at 'F2' Senior secured debt rating at ' Senior unsecured debt rating affnmed at 'BBB+' Commercial paper rating affirmed at F2. The Rating Outlook is Stable. Approximately $1.2 billion of debt securities are affected by the rating action. The IDA and IPC ratings affinnation and Stable Rating Outlook reflect IPC's earnings and cash flow prospects, the beneficial effects of the utility's power cost adjustment mechanism and a reasonable regulatory environment in Idaho. Fitch assumes constructive rate treatment of IPC' 2007 - 2009 capital investment in utility infrastructure, normal precipitation in 2008 and 2009 and that external funding of its relatively large capital investment program will be supplied through a balanced mix of new debt and equity. While the negative effects of below-normal water conditions in five of the past six years and anticipated drought conditions in 2007 are a source of concern, the impact is partially mitigated by the utility's power cost adjustment (PCA) mechanism. IPC's PCA mechanism passes through 90% of net power supply costslbenefits to ratepayers, which has, and is expected to continue to, offset a significant proportion of the negative impact of higher production costs during periods of below normal hydrogeneration output. The primary concern for IDA and IPC fixed income investors is potential lower earnings and cash flow as the result of regulatory disallowance of investment in utility plant in pending and anticipated rate proceedings andlor significant cost over-runs. A continuation of prolonged drought conditions in the region is also a concern for investors on a secular basis. Fitch expects IDA will reach a reasonable settlement in the company s appeal of the IRS disallowance of approximately $45 million of tax deductions related to the capitalized cost methodology. Contact: Philip Smyth, CFA +1-212-908-0531 or Robert Hornick +1-212-908-0523, New York. Media Relations: Brian Bertsch, New York, Tel: +1212-908-0549. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency s public site , ' www.fitchratings.com . Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate fIrewall compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. F i tchRa ti11gS KNOW YOUR RISK FITCH RATES IDAHO POWER'S $140MM SECURED MTNS ' OUTLOOK STABLE Fitch Ratings-New York-2l June 2007: Fitch Ratings has assigned an '' rating to Idaho Power Company s (IPC) anticipated $140 million issuance of 6.30% First Mortgage Bonds (FMB) due June 2037, secured medium term notes (MTN), series F. Proceeds from the offering will be used to repay short-term debt and for general corporate purposes. The Rating Outlook is Stable. IPC is a wholly-owned subsidiary of IDACORP, Inc. (IDA; issuer default rating (IDR) 'BBB'; Outlook Stable) Idaho Power Company s (IPC) ratings and Stable Outlook consider the earnings and cash flow volatility associated with the company s largely hydro-based generating portfolio, the beneficial effects of the utility's power cost adjustment (PCA) mechanism and a reasonable regulatory environment in Idaho. The PCA mechanism allows IPC to pass through 90% of net power supply costs/benefits to retail ratepayers in Idaho. The effectiveness of the PCA during a string of below normal water years has offset a significant portion of the negative impact of higher thennal production costs allowing IPC to maintain a relatively stable financial profile. However, below nonnal winter 2006-2007 snow pack is likely to result in reduced hydro output and lower 2007 earnings and cash flow. The inability of IPC to recover its large projected capital investment program on a timely basis through rates is a primary source of concern of IPC investors, along with the potential continuation of drought conditions in the longer term. For further information, please refer to the IDACORP, Inc. press release dated June 15, 2007, titled Fitch Affirms IDA & IPC's Ratings; Outlook Stable' on Fitch's web site 'www.fitchratings.com Contact: Philip Smyth, CFA + 1-212-908-0531 or Robert Hornick +1-212-908-0523, New York. Media Relations: Brian Bertsch, New York, Tel: +1 212-908-0549. Fitch's rating definitions and the tenns of use of such ratings are available on the agency s public site , ' www.fitchratings.com . Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, aff11iate firewall compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. FitchRatings KNOW YOUR RISK Corporate Finance Global Power/North America Credit Analysis IDACORP, Inc. Ratings Security Class Long-Term IDR Short-Term IDR CorrmeroialPaper F2 IDR - Issuer default rating. NR - Not rated RaUngWatch................................................ None RBtIng ,Outlook............................................ Stable CUrrent PrevIous DateRaUng RatIng Ch81g8d 121&Q5F2 NR 1:?J6.00 5t1 002 Analysts Philip W. Smyth, CFA + 121290&-0531 phili p. sm~fitc hratings.com Robert Hornick + 1 21290&-0523 robert.hornic~tchratings.com Profile IDA's primary subsidiary, IPC, provides integrated electric service to more than 472,000 customers in a 24,000 square-mile service territory in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. Approximately 95% of IPC's retail utility revenue is from its Idaho service territory. IDA's strategy is focused on the core utility business, and it has exited several unregulated operations in recent years, Its remaining unregulated businesses are IFS and Ida-West Energy. In 2006, utility operations accounted for 99% of IDA's consolidated revenues and all of its operating earnings. Key Credit Strengths Recovery of 90% of net power supply costs through PCA. Competitive IPC rates. . Above-industry average utility growth prospects. Key Credit Concerns Potential capital expenditure cost over-runs and or prudence disallowance. Continuation of poor hydro generation conditions in the longer term. July 9, 2007 Rating Rationale IDACORP, Inc.'s (IDA) ratings and Stable Rating Outlook, which were affnmed by Fitch Ratings on Jme 15 2007, primarily reflect the earnings and cash flow volatility of its core operating utility subsidiary, Idaho Power Co. (IPC, issuer default rating (!DR) 'BBB', Stable Rating Outlook), as the result of its significant reliance on hydrogeneration to meet its load requirements. The ratings and Stable Rating Outlook also consider the reasonable regulatory environment in Idaho and assume timely recovery of !pc's 2007-2009 capital investment in utility infrastructure and normal precipitation in 2008 and 2009, following a below normal water year in 2007. In addition, Fitch assumes that IDA will fimd its external capital investment requirements with a balanced mix of new debt and equity. While the negative effects of below-normal water conditions in five of the past six years and anticipated drought conditions in 2007 are a source of concern for IDA's core electric utility subsidiary, IPC , the effect is partially mitigated by the utility's power cost adjustment (PeA) mechanism. !pc's PCA mechanism passes through 90% of net power supply costslbenefits to retail ratepayers in Idaho, which has and is expected to continue to, offset a significant proportion of the negative effect of higher production costs during periods of below- normal hydrogeneration output. Primary concerns for IDA fixed-income investors include potential lower earnings and cash flow as the result of regulatory disallowance of investment in utility plant in pending and anticipated rate proceedings as well as significant cost over-runs. A continuation of prolonged drought conditions in the region is also a concern for investors on a secular basis. The ratings also assume a reasonable outcome regarding the company s appeal of an Internal Revenue Service (IRS) disallowance of $45 million of tax deductions related to the capitalized cost methodology. Recent Developments Regulatory Update On Jme 8, 2007, IPC f1led a general rate case (GRC) with the Idaho Public Utility Commission (IPUC) seeking to increase rates $63.9 million (10.3%) based on an 11.5% return on equity (ROE) and a 50.3% equity ratio. The requested rate increase is needed to recover investments in IPC's electric system to enhance reliability and meet service tenitory growth. Since !pc's last GRC in 2005, the company estimates that it will have placed in service an additional $300 million in its electric system dming 2006 and 2007. Of the $300 million, approximately $200 million was invested in transmission and distribution (T &D) improvements, including 650 miles of new T &D V'NNI.fitchratings.com FitchR,ati n gs KNOW YOUR RISK Corporate Finance Debt Maturity ($ Mil. 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Company reports, 121 lines and 10 new substations. In addition, !PC invested approximately $80 million to improve existing power plants including environmental protections, equipment upgrades and relicensing of its hydroelectric projects. Hydrogen.ratlon Conditions The latest available snow pack data indicates snow pack in the Snake River Basin at 45% of normal and another below-normal year of hydro output in 2007. Stream flows into the Brownlee Reservoir are projected to be 2.7 million acre feet during April through July 2007, 57% below the 6.3 million acre feet 30-year average inflow for the April through July period. As a result. hydro generation output is estimated at 5.5 million-0 million megawatt-hours (mwh), which is 15%-33% below the 8.25 million mwh of total output produced by lPC's hydro resources in a normal water year. All else equal greater reliance on relatively expensive thermal and purchase power resources result in lower earnings and cash flows at IPC. Secular drought conditions in southern Idaho beyond 2007 could have negative ramifications for IDA's credit quality. Liquidity and Debt Structure At March 31, 2007, IDA had cash and cash equivalents of $3.6 million. Short- and long-term debt at the end of the fast quarter of 2007 was $251 million and $927 million, respectively, for a total of $1.178 billion. IDA renegotiated its five-year corporate credit facility, reducing its bon-owing capacity to $100 million from $150 million. The new revolver matures on April 25, 2012. Maturities appear manageable, with approximately $318 million of debt scheduled to mature during 2007-2011. See the Debt Maturity table below for details. Capital Expenditure Program IDA's capital program will be driven by investmentby the core utility operations. IPC'capital expenditures are expected to be meaningfully higher in 2007-2009 compared to 2004-2006, reflecting the need to replace and update aging plant while meeting growth and reliability requirements. The remaining nonutility operations are expected to be self-fimding. Projected IPC 2007-2009 capital expenditures are expected to average $282 million per annmn, a 42% increase compared to the $199 million average annual run rate during 2004-2006. Approximately 47% of projected 2007-2009 capital expenditures is earmarked for T &D projects and 39% for generation investment. accoooting for more than 86% of the total budget The capital program includes upgrades and component replacement at IPC's aging hydroelectric facilities, new high-voltage transmission and distribution lines and a 170-megawatt (mw) combustion turbine facility scheduled to enter commercial operation in 2008. The company s planned build-out is not expected to be funded entirely with internal resources and will likely require meaningful debt and equity issuance over the next few years. The effect on the IDA's credit quality will turn, in Fitch's opinion, on the utility's ability to recover its prospective investment in rates on a timely basis. The inability of IPC to recover its prudently incurred investment in rates on a timely basis could weaken IDA's earnings, cash flows and credit quality. Equity Issuance In the fourth quarter of 2006, IDA issued 536 518 shares of common stock at an average price of $39. per share (approximately $21 million). The shares were issued ooder a sales agency agreement entered into by the company with BNY Capital Markets, Inc. (BNY) on Dec. 15, 2005. Factoring in dividend reinvestment, 401K and other stock issuance plans IDA raised approximately $41.5 million of common stock in total during 2006 (1.2 million shares). Proceeds from the common stock sales were used to fimd lPC's capital expenditure program. In December 2004, IDA issued 4 million shares of common stock raising $120 million before transaction costs. IDACORP, Inc. FitchR.atings KNOW YOUR RISK Corporate Finance Nonutility Operations IDA's l.U11"egulated operations consist of IDACORP Financial Services (IPS) and Ida- West Energy. IPS, with total assets of $132 million (4% of total assets), is self-funding and provides tax benefits to IDA. IPS' contribution to IDA's consolidated per share 2006 earnings of $2., before discontinued operations, was $0.22. Ida-West Energy owns and operates nine small hydro generation projects in Idaho totaling 45 mw of capacity. Ida-West contributed $0.06 to 2006 consolidated IDA per share earnings. No further investment in Ida-West Energy is anticipated. IDA completed the sale of IDACORP Technologies IDc" its fuel cell business, in the second quarter of 2006, booking a gain of $12 million after tax. In the fll'St quarter of 2007 , IDA closed on the sale of IDACOMM. Rating Outlook Rationale The Stable Rating Outlook assumes a return to normal hydrogeneration output following drought conditions in 2007 and continued management focus the core utility operation. The Stable Rating Outlook also assumes efficient execution of its capital expenditure program and timely recovery ofIPC's investment in rates. What Could Lead to Positive Rating Action? . A prolonged period of above-normal water conditions. What Could Lead to Negative Rating Action? Lower cash flow and earnings due to cost over-fWlS and/or disallowances related to IPC's relatively large capital program. Continuation of poor hydro generation conditions in the longer teml. IDACORP, Inc. FitchR.atings Corporate Finance KNOW YOUR RISK Financial Summary - IDACORP, Inc. ($ Mil., Years Ended Dec. 31) LTM 3/31107 2006 2006 2004 2003 2002 Fundamental Ratios (x) Funds from Operationsllnterest Expense Cash from Operetionsllnterest Expense Debt/Funds from Operations Operating EBITllnterest Expense Operating EBITDAllnterest Expense Debt/Operating EBITDA Common Dividend Payout (%)48.47.79.62.139.113. Intemal Cash/Capital Expenditures (%)32,52.57.74.165.206. Capital Expenditures/Depreciation (%)224.4 225.4 190.198.153.146. Profitability Revenues 859 926 843 844 823 929 Net Revenues 557 557 520 506 501 513 O&M Expense 272 264 241 256 221 207 Operating EBITDA 263 262 256 194 182 169 Depreciation and Amortization Expense 101 100 101 101 Operating EBIT 163 163 155 Interest Expense Net Income for Common 107 107 O&M % of Net Revenues 48.47.46.50.44.40. Operating EBIT % of Net Revenues 29.29.29.18.4 16,14. Cash Flow Cash Flow from Operations 125 170 161 195 313 353 Change in Working Capital (16)(1) Funds from Operations 140 171 153 185 256 326 Dividends (52)(51)(51)(46)(65)(70) Capital Expenditures (226)(225)(193)(200)(150)(137) Free Cash Flow (153)(107)(83)(51)146 Net Other Investment Cash Flow (61)(61)(2), (0) Net Change in Debt (32)(57)(76) Net Change in Equity (36) Capital Structure Short-Term Debt 156 129 176 Long-Term Debt 021 024 040 058 014 988 Total Debt 178 153 100 094 107 164 Preferred and Minority Equity Common Equity 153 124 025 008 864 875 Total Capital 330 277 125 103 024 093 Total DebtITotal Capital (%)50.50.51,52.54.55. Preferred and Minority EquitylTotal Capital (0/0) Common EquitylTotal Capital (%)49.49.48.48.42.41. L TM - Latest 12 months. Operating EBIT - Operating income before nonrecurring items. Operating EBITDA - Operating incorre before nonrecurring Items plus depreciation and amortization experse. O&M - Operations and rrairtenarce. Note: Numbers rray not add due to rounding and are adjusted for interest and principal payments on transition j:fOpBrty securitization certificates. Long-term debt includes trust preferred securities. Source: Rrancial data obtained from SNL Energy Information System, provided under licerse I:1f SNL Financial, LC of Ctarlottesville, Va, Copyright C 2007 by Fi1cl1, Inc., Fi1l:l1 Ratiog. Ltd. and;lo 01Ib0idiaDe0. ODe S1BIe Street Plaza, NY, NY 10004. Te!ejilone: 1-800-753-4824, (212) 908-0500. FlOC (212) 480-4435. Reproduction ar retI1msIIUsaion in whole or in part is jmln1rited except by peuniAion. All rightB ""erved. All of1he infomullion co11IBiDed heroin is booed CI1 infarmation obtained fum ioooen, o1her obligors, underwri1sn, BOd other ooorces whioh Fitch believes to be reliable. F'1Id1 does JWt oodil ar veriJY the truth er occmacy of my ond1 infoanation. M a reml~ the infmmlllion in tbiJ roport is provided ..", isft without anyreplellentBlion ar wmanty of any kind. A Fitdt m1ing is m opDrion .. 10 1he creditwortbin... ofasecmity. ThonIiDg doe8 notaddlOll81herilkoflOl8 due '" riob other1han creditriok, unl....uchriokis opeciIical1ymmlioned. Fitch is nol eJJgBgOdin tho olferoroa1e any security. A roport ~dirJg a Fib:h m1ing is neither a prospectno ncr a oubotimm for the infcomation -....bled, verified muI preoenIed to iIMatoro by 1he iB8IIer md;lo &genlo in amnedion with the oa1e of the oecurities. Ratingo may be changed, ousponded, ar withdrawn at anytime far my reooon in the sole _on of F'rtdL Fib:h does not prcMde investment advice of lilY oar!. RaIiogo "",notarocommenda1ion to buy, oeD, or hold any security. RaIinp do DOlcanment on tho adequacy ofDllllutprice, the mitabiJityofanyoecmity far a psrticolar investor. ar1he1Bx- exempt nature er taxa1ility of ~- mode in '" any .ecarity. H1I:I1 receiveo Ieeo Iian ioooen, in8omB, gomardoro, olber oliigon, and undenvritm far m1ing oecoritieo. Such Mo gemnlly VIIIY Iian USSI OOO '" USS750 OOO (ar 1he applicable cmrmcy equivalent) per iowe. In certain coo... F'1Id1 willmte all ar a number ofimleo io&ued by a particnlar ioouer, ar inoured ar guomnteed by a particular inomur er gaarantcr, fer a oiDgle IIIIIIDII1 fee. Such "'" "'" to VIIIY from USSIO OOO '" USSI,sOO,OOO (ar 1he appicable cmrau:y equivalent). The ..oignmart, pnliicotion, or diooemination of a mting by Fitch ohaIl not COII81iIo12 by F'1Id1 '" uoe i1o name .. m eotperI in ~CI1 any fe!!iBtmtion otaI:ement filod 1II1der the United S1Bteo ......me. laW1J, 1he Financial Servi... and Marketo Act of 2000 of Oreal Britain, or 1he securiti.. I..... of any particuIBr joriodiction. Doe '" 1he nIlative efficimcy of electronic publiohing muI diotribulion, Fitch reoearch mIY be available to elec1lonic oubocriben up '" three days earlier 1han '" print onbsaiben. IDACORP, Inc. I STAND,ARD. 0 P IrSlJl IRATINGSDIRECT RESEARCH \.. lmmary: IDACORP Inc. 08-Feb-2006 Swami Venkataraman, CFA, San Francisco (1) 415-371-5071; swam i - ven katara man em sta n dardand poors. co m Michael Scheider, San Francisco 415-371-5013; michael- scholderemstandarda ndpoors. co m Publication date: Primary Credit Analyst: Secondary Credit Analyst: Credit Rating:BBB+/Stable/A- Rationale The credit quality of IDACORP Inc. is based on the consolidated credit quality of IDACORP and its subsidiaries, primarily Idaho Power Co. Small, unregulated operations, such as the IDATECH fuel cell business and the IDACOMM communications business, do not have a material impact on Idaho Power credit quality. The ratings reflect the stability provided by: . A generally supportive state regulatory regime . A strong power cost adjustment (PCA) mechanism . An efficient, low-cost generating fleet, and . The absence of material, unregulated businesses. e strengths are tempered by: Significant exposure to hydrological variations on the Snake River and poor water flows in the past six years that have reduced hydroelectric production and increased deferred power costs, and . More than $500 million in capital expenditure requirements primarily for new generation and hydro relicensing in the next two years. The PCA mechanism allows Idaho Power to set annual power costs and then pass through to customers 90% of the cost that exceeds that planned power costs level. Also, resource planning rules allow the company to use 70th percentile water and load levels for planning, rather than a median level approach that was applied previously. So water and load conditions could, on a probability basis, be worse than expected only 30% of the time , rather than 50%. In an average year, hydroelectric resources provide about 56% of total generation needs, significantly exposing Idaho Power to water flow variations. Following the western U.S. power crisis, Idaho Power financial recovery was hampered by the drought that adversely impacted stream flows in the Snake River for six consecutive years , substantially reducing low-cost hydroelectric generation, and requiring purchases of more expensive replacement power. As a result, deferred revenues have not been eliminated since the power crisis. Although 90% of the Idaho jurisdiction costs are recovered through the PCA, these higher costs and the high current gas price environment may contribute a to reluctance on the part of the Idaho Public Utilities Commission to raise rates as may be requested in its latest rate case where Idaho Power is seeking a 7.8% general rate increase. The latest information for Idaho Power s hydroelectric generation watershed appears favorable. Early reports indicate that this is not a drought year and the anticipated water-flows may help to start refilling the reservoirs in 2006. Inl~lovement in its financial profile is essential for the utility to maintain its rating. The benefits of its December 2004 equity issue were expected to be realized in 2005 and onwards, with funds from operations coverage of interest and debt expected to improve to about 4.0x and 18.5%, respectively. However, for the rolling 12-month period ended Sept. 30, 2005, IDACORP's funds from operations coverage of interest and debt were only 3.2x and 13., respectively, Those ratios are weak for the BBB+' rating. Further, IDACORP has more than $500 million in capital requirements in the next two years for which siqnificant external fundinQ wililikeiv be required, The potential impact on Idaho Power of the IRS' new uniform capitalization rules for Internal Revenue Code s!Jction 263A poses additional financial risk. The previous interpretation had enabled Idaho Power to , reduce its tax liability by about $60 million for the fiscals 2002-2004. S.....,rt-term credit factors 2' rating on its short-term debt reflects the consolidated short-term credit quality at IDACORP and incorporates adequate liquidity, moderate need to access external capital to fund capital expenditure requirements, and the expectation for Idaho Power to continue to generate stable cash flow. The PCA mechanism in Idaho, as well as the integrated resource plan that allows Idaho Power to make forecasts based on 70th percentile load and water levels rather than average conditions, as was the policy in 2000 and 2001 significantly mitigate the risks that price spikes could result in another build-up deferred power costs and deplete liquidity. The 90-MW peaking plant built in 2001 and the new gas-fired, simple cycle plant also contribute to decrease exposure to wholesale power prices and mitigate short-term risks. The consolidated liquidity position is adequate, In March 2004 IDACORP replaced a $175 million, one- year revolver and a $140 million , three-year revolver with a single $150 million, five-year facility, reflecting the lower liquidity requirements at IDACORP following its exit from energy trading. Idaho Power also replaced its $200 million , one-year credit facility with a five-year facility of equal amount in March 2004. IDACORP's cash on hand as of Sept. 30, 2005 totaled $13.3 million. Debt maturities are moderate at $81 million in 2006 and 2007, IDACORP has more than $500 million in capital requirements in the next two years, forwhich significant external funding will likely be required, Outlook The stable outlook reflects Standard & Poor s expectation for stable cash generation from the utility and the absence of any significant unregulated businesses. However, continued poor hydro conditions have prevented IDACORP from achieving financial ratios consistent with benchmarks for the 'BBB+' rating. A substantial debt financed capital expenditure program and the risks posed by the IRS ruling could pose a thro::lt to IDACORP's rating or outlook over the near term, especially if general rate case revenues come in . than expected. Upside potential is limited at this time since the length of the drought has significantly depleted storage reservoirs; however, a return to average water conditions for a few successive years would increase margins from wholesale sales, expedite deferred cost recovery, and lay the foundation for a stronger financial profile. Analytic services provided by Standard & Poor s Ratings Services (Ratings Services) are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of ratings opinions. The credit ratings and observations contained herein are solely statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold , or sell any securities or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly, any user of the information contained herein should not rely on any credit rating or other opinion contained herein in making any investment decision. Ratings are based on information received by Ratings Services. Other divisions of Standard & Poor s may have information that is not available to Ratings Services. Standard & Poor has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during the ratings process. Ratings Services receives compensation for its ratings. Such compensation is normally paid either by the issuers of such securities or third parties participating in marketing the securities. While Standard & Poor s reserves the right to disseminate the rating, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees. Copyright ~ 1994-2006 Standard & Poor , a division of The McGraw-Hili Companies. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Notice /;:.j;; TheMcGraw'H1UJmpan~ ,;;ii..~' , "'~ . STANDARD &POOR'S I RATtNGSDIRECT RESEARCH Research Update: IDACORP , Subsidiary Idaho Power Co. Rating Outlook Revised To Negative; '888+' CCR Affirmed Publication date: Primary Credit Analyst: 27-Mar-2006 Michael Scholder, San Francisco 415-371-5013; michael scholder(1i2standardandpoors.com Credit Rating: BBB+/Negative/A- Rationale On March 27 , 2006, Standard & Poor s revised its rating outlook to negative from stable on IDACORP and its primary subsidiary, Idaho PowerCo. (IPC). Additionally, Standard & Poor s affirmed its 'BBB+' corporate credit ratings on IDACORP and IPC, and its '' rating on IPC's seniorsecured' debt. Additionally, IDACORP and IPC '' BBB I senior unsecured debt rating and I A-2' CP rating debt were affirmed. The ' BBB+' rating reflects the stability provided by a generally supportive regulatory regime in Idaho, a strong power cost adjustment (PCA) mechanism, an efficient, low-cost generating fleet, and the absence of significant unregulated businesses. Offsetting factors include significant exposure to hydrological variations in the Snake River and substantial upcoming capital expenditures for new generation and hydrorelicensing. IPC filed a general rate case in October 2005, requesting the Idaho Public Utili ties Commission (I PUC) to approve an annual increase to its Idaho retail base rates of $44 million, although actual results subsequent developments lowered the revenue requirement significantly. In late February 2006, the IPC, the IPUC staff, and representatives of customer groups filed a proposed stipulation with the IPUC that, if approved, they would settle this case. The stipulation calls for an $18.1 millionincrease, or 3.2%, in IPC' s annual electric rates. The financial projections include the impact of this proposed settlement.After a six-year drought, the 2006 precipitation into IPC' s hydroelectric generation watershed appeared to provide the opportunity for significant excess generation. However, the Idaho House of Representatives voted for legislation, House Bill 800, which would allow the state to take some water from the Snake River available to generate power and instead recharge an eastern Idaho aquifer, which has been depleted through drought and groundwater pumping. The measure has gone to the Senate. An estimate by IPC sets the potential worst-case financial impact of such water diversion to ratepayers at $120 million per year. Although compensation for diverted water through the PCA mechanism is likely, IPC would likely have to pursue a general rate case increase to cover the deficiency, i. e. , the 10% ($12 million) not covered by the PCA. The passage of the measure could also have negative long-term implications for IPC' s water rights. IPC filed a general rate case in October 2005, requesting the IPUC to approve an annual increase to its Idaho retail base rates of $44 million, al though actual results lowered the revenue requirement significantly. In late February 2006, the IPC, the IPUC staff, and representatives of customer groups filed a proposed stipulation with the IPUC that, if approved, they would settle this case. The stipulation calls for an $18.million increase, or 3.2%, in IPC' s annual electric rates. The financial proj ections include the impact of this proposed settlement. New IRS guidance on Internal Revenue Code Section 263A uniform capitalization rules has created the potential for a full or partial return of previous tax benefits from many electric utili ties. For its fiscals 2002 through 2004, the simplified service cost (SSC) method decreased IPC I S income tax expense by approximately $ 60 million and resulted in cash refunds from federal and state tax authorities of approximately $75 million. Because these previous tax savings benefited the ratepayers, it is expected that the ratepayers would absorb the costs of any adverse tax determinations. However, to the extent that any adverse tax costs are not allocated to the ratepayers, the IPC could be negatively impacted. Finally, IDACORP expects to receive $10.25 million from a recentsettlement with California utili ties, state agencies, and FERC enforcement staff, although the pending settlement calls for IDACORP to forgo $24. million in unpaid receivables from California spot markets during 2000-200l. IPC's service territory exhibits good economic characteristics overall and IPC achieved a record for annual general business customer growth in 2005 with a gain of 16,737 customers, which represents a 3. increase year-over-year. IPC served this load with 3,004 MW including 17 hydroelectric plants with a total nameplate capacity of 1,731 MW,coal-fired generation of 1,023 MW, a 90-MW gas-fired peaking resource, and its new 160-MW gas-fired generating plant. In a median year, hydroelectric sources are expected to deliver about 55% of total generation needs, thereby exposing IPC to substantial volumetric and replacement power price risk in the event of adverse water flows. The PCA mechanism allows IPC to set annual power costs and then pass through 90% of the cost that exceeds this amount, together with interest, to its customers. It also requires refunds when costs are below forecasts. Resource planning rules allow the company to use 70th percentile water and load levels for planning, rather than a median level approach. This means that, on average, only 30% of the time the water and load conditions will be worse than planned, rather than 50%. IDACORP's financial profile has improved since the power crisis, aided by the IPUC' s decision to let IPC recover all its deferred energy costs in slightly more than a year. However, a combination of factors delayed full financial recovery. The drought in the Snake River area, which continued for the six consecutive years, raised costs for customers by depressing hydro output and slowing collection of deferred revenues (leaving a balance $43.5 million for Idaho and Oregon customers as of Dec. 31, 2005). For 2005, IDACORP realized weaker financial ratios, adjusted funds from operations (FFO) coverage of interest of 2. 8x, FFO coverage of average total debt of about 12%, and debt to total capitalization at 55%. The drought has finally abated in 2006 and $28 million of deferrals in Idaho are planned for recovery during the 2006-2007 PCA rate year. Gi ven the proposed new rate settlement and upcoming capital expenditures, Standard & Poor s expects IDACORP to achieve adj usted funds fromoperations (FFO) coverage of interest of 3. 8x on a three-year average annual basis. While this FFO coverage of interest is consistent with the BBB+ I rating, the FFO coverage of average total debt and debt to total capitalization are expected to be somewhat weak at about 17% and moderate at 56%, respectively. Short-Term Credit Factors IDACORP's short-term rating is '2 " reflecting adequate liquidity, a moderate need to access external capital to fund capital expenditure requirements, and the expectation for IPC to continue to generate stable cash flow. IDACORP's liquidity position is adequate. In May 2005, IDACORP replaced a $150 million facility scheduled to expire on March 2007 with a $150 million, five-year credit agreement. Also, in May 2005, IPC replaced a $200 million credit agreement ending in March 2007 with a $200 million, five-year credit facility. Both of the credit facilities expire on March 31, 2010. Debt maturities are moderate at$16.6 million in 2006 and $95.2 million in 2007. However , IPC has more than $720 million in capital requirements in the next three years, for which moderate external fundinq will be required. Outlook IDACORP's 2005 results were slightly weaker than forecast and several recent developments could strain its prospective financial ratios to levels that are not sufficient to support the current rating. The negative outlook reflects the potential for weakened financial metrics as a result of several factors, including possible passage of the water diversion legislation and uncertainty regarding the final federal and state tax treatment and allocation of previous refunds of about $75 million. A further but less substantial concern is the cost uncertainty for the relicensing of the 1, 167-MW Hells Canyon Complex, which IPC is operating under annual license renewals after the expiration of the proj ect ' license in 2005. A downward rating action could occur if IPC is unable to achieve its projected financial metrics. Possible cost pressures include the inability to recover, or a significant delay in the recovery of, substantial costs arising from the passage of Idaho House Bill 800 or other similar water diversion legislation, a substantial tax liability from the prior SSC method related cash tax refunds, or other negative circumstances. A return to rating stability will depend on the restoration of adequate financial performance, sufficient rate adj ustments with modest reliance on power cost deferrals and financial exposure, related to any water diversion legislation or changes in the tax treatment of the prior SSC method related tax benefits. Ratings List IDACORP Corporate Credit Rating BBB+/Negative/A-Senior Unsecured Debt BBB Commercial Paper A- From BBB+/Stable/A-2 Idaho Power Corp. CCR Senior Secured Debt Senior Unsecured Debt BBB+/Negative/A- BBB BBB+ / Stable/A- Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect, Standard & Poor s Web-based credit analysis system, at www.ratingsdirect. com. All ratings affected by this rating action can be found on Standard & Poor s public Web site at www. standardandpoors. com; under Credit Ratings in the left navigation bar, select Find a Rating, then Credit Ratings Search. Analytic services provided by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services (Ratings Services) are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of ratings opinions. The credit ratings and observations contained herein are solely statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly, any user of the information contained herein should not rely on any credit rating or other opinion contained herein in making any investment decision. Ratings are based on information received by Ratings Services. Other divisions of Standard & Poor's may have information that is not available to Ratings Services. Standard & Poor's has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during the ratings - process. Ratings Services receives compensation for its ratings. Such compensation is normally paid either by the issuers of such securities or third parties participating in marketing the securities. While Standard & Poor's reserves the right to disseminate the rating, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees. (31-Mar-2006) BULLETIN: Defeat Of Water Rights Bill Favorable But Credit Neutral T...Page I of I S TAN POQR'S I RATINGS DIRECT RESEARCH BULLETIN: Defeat Of Water Rights Bill Favorable But Credit Neutral To IDACORP, IPC Publication date: Primary Credit Analyst: Secondary Credit Analyst: 31-Mar-2006 Michael Scholder, San Francisco 415-371-5013; michael- scholder~standardandpoors.com Swami Venkataraman, CFA, San Francisco (1) 415-371-5071; swamL venkataraman~standardandpoors.com SAN FRANCISCO (Standard & Poor s) March 31, 2006--Standard & Poor s Ratings Services said today that its ratings on IDACORP and Idaho Power Co. (IPC) remain unchanged after the Idaho Senate voted yesterday to stop a bill that would have allowed the state to take some water from the Snake River available to IPC for power generation and instead recharge a depleted eastern Idaho aquifer. IPC had estimated the potential worst-case financial impact of such water diversion to ratepayers at $120 million per year with 90% of IPC's costs recoverable through its power cost adjustment mechanism. The passage of the measure could also have had negative long-term implications for IPC' s waterrights. This legislation and other factors had led to a rating outlook change to negative from stable on March 27, 2006. While the defeat of the legislation removes a significant near-term credit concern for IDACORP and IPC, the outlook remains negative due to other factors, including a weaker-than-expected financial profile and an unresolved outcome for approximately $75 million in cash refunds from federal and state tax authorities from the simplified service cost method that is now disallowed. Analytic services provided by Standard & Poor's Ratings Services (Ratings Services) are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of ratings opinions. The credit ratings and observations contained herein are solely statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly, any user of the information contained herein should not rely on any credit rating or other opinion contained herein in making any investment decision. Ratings are based on information received by Ratings Services. Other divisions of Standard & Poor's may have information that is not available to Ratings Services, Standard & Poor's has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during the ratings process. Ratings Services receives compensation for its ratings. Such compensation is normally paid either by the issuers of such securities or third parties participating in marketing the securities. While Standard & Poor's reserves the right to disseminate the rating, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees. Copyright (g 1994-2006 Standard & Poor s, a division of The McGraw-Hili Companies. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Notice httn'//UTUTUr Tl'lt;no~iI;TP.C'.t C'.oml Anm:/RD/controllerl Artic1e?id=501317&tvue=&oumutTVDe= ... 4/2/2006 RESEARCH Bulletin: Extended Heat Wave Unlikely To Affect Idacorp And Idaho Power s Credit Ratings Publication date: Primary Credit Analyst: 18-Jul-2007 Antonio Bettinelli, San Francisco (1) 415-371-5067; antonio - bettinell i(g)standardand poors.com SAN FRANCISCO (Standard & Poor s) July 18, 2007--Standard & Poor s Ratings Services said today that while the ongoing heat wave and record breaking temperatures in Idaho, which have led to all-time high demands for electricity and an increased reliance on more-expensive imported electricity, represents a credit risk, it does not expect these events to trigger a rating change for Idacorp (BBB+/Negative/A-2) or Idaho Power Co. (BBB+/Negative/A-2). Unanticipated wholesale purchases are not included in baseline rates that the utility charges but are usually collected the following year, subject to a sharing mechanism. However, the company bears the power costs as it awaits customer collections, representing a near-term liquidity risk and temporary weakening of financial metrics- Standard & Poor I s anticipates that 90% of unexpected power costs will be passed through the companies ' power cost adjustment mechanism. Through this mechanism, an annual rate increase or decrease is filed each year to true-up actual power costs with revenues collected. The company s ability to pass unanticipated power costs through to customers mitigates the impact on its long-term financial performance - The current deferral balance of approximately $40 million may increase or decrease by year end- Idaho Power set a new system record last Friday when usage reached 3,193 megawatts at about 4 p.m., marking the third power usage record this month. Records are typically set in July as air conditioning usage coincides with irrigation demand. At times, up to 33% of the energy was acquired throughoff-system purchases -- more than would have been purchased if poor hydrological conditions were not hampering the company s baseload capacity- Analytic services provided by Standard & Poors Ratings Services (Ratings Services) are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of ratings opinions. The credit ratings and observations contained herein are solely statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly, any user of the information contained herein should not rely on any credit rating or other opinion contained herein in making any Investment decision. Ratings are based on information received by Ratings Services, Other divisions of Standard & Poor's may have information that is not available to Ratings Services. Standard & Poor's has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during the ratings process. Ratings Services receives compensation for its ratings- Such compensation is normally paid either by the issuers of such securities or third parties participating in marketing the securities. While Standard & Poor s reserves the right to disseminate the rating, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees. Copyright ~ 2007 Standard & Poor s, a division of The McGraw-Hili Companies. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Notice 11re McGraw-Hili \i*I~' Idaho Power Co. Credit Rating: BBB+/NegativclA- The 'BBB+' coIpOI3.te credit rnting on Idaho Power Co. (IPC) is based on its satisfactory business profile 5' on a 10-point scale , where '1' is excellent) and an intermediate financial risk profile. Additionally, IPC' s senior secured debt is rnted 'A,.' while the senior unsecured debt is rnted 'BBB' Primaty CretDI Analysts. Michael Scholder San Francisco 415-371-5013 michael scholder(1!) standardandpoors.com Secondary Credit Analysts. Swami Venkataraman CFA San Francisco (1) 415-371-5071 swamLvenkataraman(1!) standardandpoors.com The rntings on IDACORP and subsidiaxy IPC are based on its vertically integrated electric utility ope~tions in Idaho and an improving financial profile. The 'BBB+' rnting reflects the stability provided by a generally supportive regulatory regime in Idaho, a strong power cost adjustment (PeA) mechanism, an efficient, low.cost genernting fleet, and the absence of significant unregulated businesses, Offsetting factors include significant exposure to hydrological variations in the Snake River and substantial upcoming capital expenditures for new generntion and hydro relicensing. RatingsDirect PIAI/ication Date Jan. 9, 2007 IDACORP Inc.'s financial rntios continue to improve to levels conunensurnte with its 'BBB+' rnting primarily due to the financial results for its primary subsidiaxy, IPC, following the regional drought' s end. Power sales revenues increased along with opernting income, the latter by almost 30% in the first nine months of 2006 versus 2005 results. Also, IDACORP continued to divest unprofitable, non.core assets, agreeing to sell IDACOMM to American Fiber Systems, Inc. No significant financial impact is expected from the closing of that tJ:ansaction. Some unresolved issues that could pressure the rnting include the ultimate treatment of the disallowed tax accounting methodology, the potential reduction in water rights from aquifer recharging negatively effecting hydroelectric generation, and possible adverse customer late changes from the application of benefits accounting rules. For its fiscal ~rs 2002 through 2004, the simplified service cost (SSC) capitalization method decreased IPC' s income tax expense by approximately $60 million and resulted in cash refunds from federal and state tax authorities of approximately $75 million. The Internal Revenue SeIVice (IRS) began a routine examination ofIDACORP'staxretums for 2001-2003 in March 2005. ldalw Power Co. In August 2005, the IRS and the T reasUlY Department issued guidance inteIpreting the meaning of "routine- and repetitive" for putpOses of the SSC and simplified production methods, effectively disallowing th~ sSC as previously utilized by many utilities. In October 2006, the IRS issued its report and assessment for lOACO RP' 200 1-2003 tax )'ears resulting in a federal tax assessment of $45 million. lOACO RP disagreed with this conclusion and plans to appeal the issue. Since these previous tax savings benefited the ratepa~rs, it is expected that the ratepayers would absorb the costs of any final adverse tax determinations, However, to the extent that any adverse tax costs are not allocated to the ratepa~rs, then !PC could be negatively affected. Another rating consideration is the effort to divert from the Snake River water available for power generation in order to recharge an eastern Idaho aquifer depleted through drought and groundwater pumping. IPC and the state of Idaho entered into a stipulation agreement in which IPC and the state recognized that IPC's water rights are subordinate to these water right permits. IPC cannot calculate the financial impact of the stipulation agreement on !PC and its customers until recharge programs under the two water pennits are established. IPC estimated that the potential maximum impact in a median water vmr could be about $30 million. Although compensation for diverted water through the PCA mechanism is likdy, !PC would then have to pursue a general rate case increase to cover the 10% not covered by the PCA. Further, there could be adverse consequences from the application of benefits accounting rules. lOACORP is required to recognize the funded status of its defined benefit postretirement plan and to provide the required disclosures in its Dec. 31, 2006, financial statements. The provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (S FAS) No. 158 will increase lOACO RP' s and IPC's liabilities and reduce each company s common equity when adopted in the fourth quarter of 2006. Since their plans' benefit obligations exceeded the plans assets, SFAS 158 reduced their equity by $80 million as ofJan. 1, 2006. An equity reduction could in turn decrease their customer rates since IPC's conunon equity balance is a component in the determination of retail rates. !PC expects to pursue special ratemaking treatment to offset any adverse rate impact, The previous drought in the Snake River area, which continued for six consecutive vmrs, raised costs for customers by depressing h)dro output and slowing collection of deferred revenues. For 2005, on a consolidated basis with its parent, IDACORP, IPC realized weaker financial ratios, adjusted funds from operations (FFO) coverage of interest of 2.8x, FFO coverage of ave~ total debt of about 12%, and debt to total capitalization at 55%. The drought finally abated in 2006 and $28 million of deferrals in Idaho are planned for recovery during the 2006-2007 PCA rate~. Some financial metrics stabilized or improved in the 12-month period ending Sept. 30 2006. The adjusted FFO coverage of interest improved to 3x, while FFO coverage of average total debt slide to 11% with debt to total capitalization rising slightly to 56%. liquidity lOACORP's liquidity is satisfactory, with $8.4 million in cash and a $150 million revolver plus a $200 million revolver at Idaho Power, neither with any draws, offset by $32 million of conunercial paper outstanding as of Sept. 30, 2006. The $150 million, five~ credit agreement in place at IDACORP and a $200 million, five-)'ear credit facility at IPC, both mature in March 2010. Outlook The negative outlook reflects the potential for weakened financial metrics as a result of several factors, including the effects of any recharge programs under the stipulation agreement until they are clarified, uncertainty regarding Standard Poor I ANALYSJS Idaho Power Co. the final federnl and state tax treatment and allocation of previous refunds of about $ 7 5 million, and reductions in customer rates due to the pension accounting rules. A downward rating action could occur if I.PC is unable to achieve its projected financial metrics. Conversely, an oudook or a rating improvement will depend on the restoration of adequate financial performance, sufficient rate adjustments with modest reliance on power cost defenals, and minimal or no ultimate financial consequences from the aquifer recharge program or other new or existing issues www.standardandpoors.com Published by Standard & Poor's, a Division of The McGraw-Hili Companies, Inc. 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Analytic services provided by Standard & Poor s Ratings Services ("Ratings Services ) are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and ol1jectivity of ratings opinions. Credit ratings issued by Ratings Services are solely statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly, any user of aedit ratings issued by Ratings Services should not rely on any such ratings or other opinion issued by Ratings Services in making any investment decision. Ratings are based on information received by Ratings Services, Other divisions of Standard & Poor s may have information that is not available to Ratings Services. Standard & Poors has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public information received during the ratings process. Ratings Services receives compensation for its ratings. Such compensation is normally paid either by the issuers of such 5eClJ'ities or by the underwriters participating in the distribution thereof. The fees generally vary from US$2,OOO to over US$l,500,OOO. While Standard & Poors reserves the right to disseminate the rating, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications, Permissions: To reprint. translate, or quote Standard & Poors publications, contact: Client Services, 55 Water Street, New York, NY 10041; (1) 212-438,9823; or by e-maii to: research request~standardandpoors.com. The McGraw'HiII (ompan~'XWl~' RESEARCH IDACORP Inc. Publication date: Primary Credit Analyst: Secondary Credit Analyst: 11-May-2007 Antonio Bettinelli, San Francisco (1) 415-371-5067; anton io - bettinelli(!j) standardand poors.com Masako Kuwahara, New York (1) 212-438-7916; masako - kuwah ara(g) stan d ard and poors . co Major Rating Factors Strengths; . A generally supportive state regulatory regime; . A strong power cost adjustment (PCA) mechanism; . An efficient, low-cost generating fleet; and . The absence of material, unregulated businesses. Corporate Credit Rating BBB+/Negative/A- Weaknesses; Significant exposure to hydrological variations on the Snake River and poor water flows in the past six years that have reduced hydroelectric production and deferred power costs recovery, and . More than $820 million in capital expenditure requirements for IPC based on the companies Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) primarily for new generation and delivery in the next three years. Rationale Standard & Poor s Ratings Services affirmed the corporate credit ratings on IDACORP and its primary subsidiary, IPC, at 'BBB+. The rating on the senior secured debt at IPC is affirmed at '' and on senior unsecured debt at IDACORP and IPC is affirmed at 'BBB'. The CP rating at both companies is affirmed at . Based on recent developments, the outlook on all ratings is negative. The 'BBB+' rating reflects the stability provided by a generally supportive regulatory regime in Idaho; a strong PCA mechanism; an efficient, low-cost generating fleet; and the absence of significant unregulated businesses. Offsetting factors include significant exposure to hydrological variations in the Snake River and substantial upcoming capital expenditures for new generation and hydro relicensing, The PCA mechanism allows IPC to set annual power costs and then pass 90% of the cost that exceeds this amount, together with interest, to its customers. It also requires refunds when costs are below forecasts. Resource planning rules allow the company to use 70th percentile water and load levels for planning, rather than a median level approach. This means that, on average, only 30% of the time the water and load conditions will be worse than planned, rather than 50%. Idaho Power's business risk profile score is '5' (satisfactory). (Utility business risk profiles are categorized from '1' (excellent) to '10' (vulnerable)). IPC's service territory exhibits good economic characteristics overall. IPC achieved a record for annual general business customer growth in 2006 with a gain of 16,149 customers, which represents a 3. increase year-over-year. The peak summer demand in 2006 was 3,084 MW while the peak winter demand was2 318MW. IPC served this load with 3,085 MW, substantially by using its own generation capacity, including 17 hydroelectric plants on the Snake River and its tributaries with a total nameplate capacity of 1 707 MW. The company also owns 1 110 MW of coal-fired generation; a 90 MW gas-fired peaking resource; and its new $61 million, 160 MW gas-fired generating plant In a median year, hydroelectric sources are expected to deliver about 55% of total generation needs, thereby exposing IPC to substantial volumetric and replacement power price risk in the event of adverse water flows. IDACORP's financial profile has rebounded since the power crisis, aided by the Idaho Public Utilities Commission s (IPUC's) decision to let IPC recover all its deferred energy costs in just over a year. However, a combination of factors delayed full financial recovery. Expected lower water in the medium term will increase its use of generally more expensive thermal generation resource and purchase power. At the same time, continuing decline in Snake River base flow and over-appropriation of water might reduce hydroelectric generation and revenue and increase costs. Although 90% of the Idaho jurisdiction costs are recovered through the PCA, higher costs might have contributed to a reluctance on the part of the IPUC to raise rates under the prior general rate case. Given the proposed new settlement and upcoming capital expenditures, Standard & Poor's expects that IDACORP should achieve adjusted funds from operations (FFO) coverage of interest of 3.8x on a three-year average annual basis. While FFO coverage of interest is consistent with the '888+' rating, the forecast ratio of FFO-to-average total debt and debt-to-total capitalization ratios will be somewhat weak for the rating level, at about 14% at 57%, respectively. Liquidity IDACORP's short-term rating is ', reflecting adequate liquidity, a moderate need to access external capital to fund capital expenditure requirements, and the expectation for IPC to continue to generate stable cash flow. The PCA mechanism in Idaho and the lAP allow IPC to plan based on 70th percentile load and water levels rather than average conditions, which was the policy in 2000 and 2001. This higher benchmark significantly mitigates the risk that price spikes could result in another buildup of deferred power costs and deplete liquidity. The 90 MW peaking plant built in 2001 and the new 160 MW gas-fired combined cycle plant further mitigate the hydrology risk and decrease exposure to wholesale power prices and short-term liquidity needs, IDACORP's liquidity position is adequate. In addition to cash flows, support is provided by a $100 million five-year credit agreement at IDACORP and a $300 million, five-year credit facility at Idaho Power Company (IPC). Debt maturities are moderate at $95.2 million in 2007 and $11.5 million in 2008. However IPC has more than $828 million in capital requirements in the next three years, for which moderate external funding will be required. Outlook The negative outlook reflects the potential for weakened financial metrics in accordance with expected large capital expenditures and increase generation cost. Also the uncertainty of the effect of the recharge programs under the stipulation agreement and uncertainty regarding the IRS's assessment of a $45 million tax liability are factors. A downward rating action could occur if IPC is unable to achieve its projected financial metrics. Conversely, an outlook or a rating improvement will depend on the restoration of adequate financial performance, with modest reliance on power cost deferrals, and minimal or no ultimate financial consequences from the aquifer recharge program. Accounting IDACORP's financial statements are prepared in accordance with U.S. GMP. These statements received an unqualified opinion by IDACORP's independent auditor Deloitte & Touche LLP in 2006. IACORP prepares its financial statements according to SFAS No. 71 "Accounting for Effects of Certain Types of Regulation." Subject to SFAS No. 71 , IDACORP has recorded certain regulatory assets and liabilities at Dec. 31 2006 in the amount of $425.0 million and $294.8 million, respectively. When calculating credit measures, Standard & Poor's considers off-balance-sheet (OBS) obligations such as operating lease to fixed commitments, imputed debt, and interest components, including these amounts in adjusted financial ratios. With respect to operating leases, Standard & Poor's calculates an 08S amount for debt, interest expense, and depreciation and includes these amounts when calculating its adjusted ratios. The present value of the companys operating leases is treated as a debt equivalent and determined using a 5.8% discount rate, which is Standard & Poor s estimate of the company s average cost of debt in 2006. Operating lease interest expense and depreciation expense are also computed. The amounts relating to operating leases that were included in IDACORP's adjusted ratios as of Dec. 31 2006, were $18.6 million for CBS debt, $1.1 million for imputed interest, and $4.4 million for depreciation. Standard & Poor's also calculates a purchased power debt equivalent by taking the net present value of future annual capacity payments (discounted at the companies' average cost of debt). Standard & Poor will add to the balance sheet only a portion of this amount, recognizing that such contractual arrangements are not entirely the equivalent of debt. The percentage that is added is a function of Standard & Poor's qualitative analysis of the specific contracts and the extent to which market, operating, and regulatory risks are borne by the utility. As of Dec. 31, 2006, Standard & Poor's had assigned a risk factor of 30% to IPC' power purchase agreements, which translates into a debt equivalent of $154.8 million. Risk factors are subject to change based on revisions to Standard & Poor s rating criteria, which could affect the level of debt imputation ascribed to purchased power obligations. We also adjust reported financial result for pension and postretirement obligations(on tax-adjusted basis). For IDACORP, this increase adjusted debt by $62.9 million for unfunded pension bond obligations and reduces FFO by $6.6 million. Table 1 iDACORP !nc.Peer Comparison Industry Sector: INTEGRATED Average of past three fiscal years Portland General Electric IDACORP Inc. puget Energy Inc. Avista Corp. Co. BBB+/Negative/A-2 BBB-/Stable/-- BB+/Pos~iveIB-1 BBB+/Negative/A-Rating as of May 9, 2007 ($ Mil. Revenues Net income from cont. oper. Funds from operations (FFO) Capital expenditures Cash and investments Debt Preferred stock Common equity Total capital Adjusted raUos EBIT interest coverage (x) FFO into coV. (X) FFO/debt ('Yo) Discretionary cash flow/debt (%) Net Cash Flow / Capex (%) DebVtMal capn~ (o/~ Return on common equity ('Yo) Common dividend payout ratio (un-adj. ) (%) Fully adjusted (including postretirement obligations). Table 2 IDACORP (nc.Financial Summary Industry Sector: INTEGRATED Rating history ($ Mil. Revenues Net income from continuing operations Funds from operations (FFO) Capit~ expenditures Cash and Investments Debt Preferred stock Common equity Total capital Adjusted ratios EBIT interest coverage (x) FFO into coV. (x) FFO/debt ('Yo) Discretionary cash flow/debt (%) Net Cash Flow / Capex (%) DebVtotal capit~ ('Yo) Return on common equity ('Yo) 865. 88. 171.8 205. 28. 303. 016. 320. 339. 51. 194. 168. 56. 399. 18. 787. 205, 473. 75. 285. 278. 112. 249. 182. 431. 682. 126. 428. 669. 21. 295. 889. 190. 13. (6.0016) 59. 56. 55.4 13. (12.6457) 50. 63. 73. 13. (3.1109) 100. 63. 51. 22. (7.1590) 81. 51.4 78. Fiscal year ended Dec. 312006 2005 2004 2003 2002 BBB+lNegativelA-2 BBB+/Stable/A-2 BBB+/Stable/A-2 A-/Stable/A-2 A-/Positive/A- 926.842.827.823.928. 100.85.SO.46.61, 133.195.186.238.315. 225,192.196.153.134. 52.23.75.42. 389.347,175,179.235. 52.53. 124.967.5 956.818.822. 513.314.132.049.111. 14.15.20.25. (8.703)(4.940)(4.026)11. 36.74.71.113.182. 55.58.55.57.58. Common dividend payout ratio (un-adj. ) (%) Fully adjusted (including postretirement obligations). Table 3 51.59.56.139.113. Reconciliation Of IDACORP Inc. Reported Amounts 'With S1andard & Poor s Adjusted Amounts($ MiL) Fiscal year ended Dec. 31 , 2006 IDACORP Inc. reported amounts Operating OperatingIncome Income Debt (before D&A) (before D&A) 152.8 269.5 269.Reported Standard & Poor's adjustments Operating leases 18, Postretirement benefit 62. obligations Capitalized interest Power purchase agreements Reclassification of nonoperating income (expenses) Reclassification of working-capijal cash flow changes Total adjustments (1.048)(1.048) 154. 13.236. Operating Cash flow Cash flowIncome Interest from from Capital (after D&A) expense operations operations expenditures 169.7 61.0 162.5 162.5 225. 4.4 (1.048)(6.605)(6.605) (4.000)(4.000) (22.735) 15.14.(6.(29, (4.000) Standard & Poor's adjusted amountsOperating Cash flow FundsIncome Interest from from CapitalDebt (before D&A) EBITDA EBIT expense operations operations expendituresAdjusted 1,389.1 282.8 278.185.4 75.0 156.2 133.5 225. IDACORP Inc. reported amounts shown are taken from the company? financial statements but might include adjustments made by data providers or reclassifications made by Standard & Poors analysts. Please note that two reported amounts (operating income before D&A and cash flow from operations) are used to derive more than one Standard & Poor adjusted amount (operating income before D&A and EBITDA, and cash flow from operations and funds from operations, respectively). Consequently, the first section in some tables may feature duplicate descriptions and amounts. Ratings Detail (As Of 11-May-2007) *q'. 0"0 --.. IDACORP Inc. Corporate Credit Rating Commercial Paper Local Cu"sncy Senior Unsecured ~9aJ9J."-f!,,(;Y Corporate Credit Ratings History 27-Mar-2006 29-NoY-2004 15-Jun-2004 03-Oct-2003 27-Jun-2002 ........ '.... Business Risk Profile Related Entities Idaho Power Co. Issuer Credit Rating Commercial Paper Local CU"sncy Preferred Stock Local Cu"sncy Senior Secured Local Currency Senior Unsecured Local Currency BBB Unless otherwise noted, all ratings In this report are global scale ratings. Standard & Poo~s credit ra~ngs on the global scale are comparable across countries, Standard & Poors credit ratings on a national scale are relative to obligors or obligations within that specific country. BBB+/Negative/A- BBB BBB+/Negative/A- BBB+/StablelA- lWatch Neg/A- A-/Stable/ A- /Positive/A- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 BBB+/Negative/A- BBB- Analytic services provided by Standard & Poor s Ratings Services (Ratings Services) are the result of separate activities designed to preserve the independence and objectivity of ratings opinions. The credit ratings and observations contained herein are solely statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold. or sell any securities or make any other investment decisions. Accordingly. any user of the information contained herein should not rely on any credit rating or other opinion contained herein in making any investment decision. Ratings are based on infonnation received by Ratings Services. Other divisions of Standard & Poor s may have information that is not available to Ratings Services. Standard & Poor has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of non-public infonnation received during the ratings process. Ratings Services receives compensation for its ratings. Such compensation is nonnally paid either by the issuers of such securities or third parties participating in marketing the securities. While Standard & Poor s reserves the right to disseminate the rating, it receives no payment for doing so, except for subscriptions to its publications. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees. Copyright ~ 2007 Standard & Poors, a division of The McGraw-Hili Companies. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Notice The McGraw' Hill CcmpaJile$tifi!iJ~; ~;,;' "'!!:;,, Global Credit Research Summary Opinion 06 Oct 2006 Moody s Investors Service Summary Opinion: Idaho Power Company Idaho Power Company Opinion Company Profile Idaho Power Company (IPC) is a regulated investor-owned utility and the principal wholly-owned subsidiary of IDACORP, Inc., a holding company which also serves as parent for other modest-sized non-utility businesses. As an all-electric utility, IPC provides retail electric service to more than 464 000 residential, irrigation, commercial and industrial customers within a 24,OOO-square mile service area encompassing southwestern Idaho and eastern Oregon. IPC generates nearly half of the electricity it sells from 17 hydroelectric developments on the Snake River and its tributaries. IPC also serves a portion of its electric load from three coal-fired power plants in Wyoming, Nevada, and Oregon and from the natural gas-fired Bennett Mountain Power Plant and Evander Andrews Power Complex in Mountain Home, Idaho. The utility also buys electricity from the regional wholesale market to meet its customers' needs for electricity. On a stand-alone basis, IPC represents over 90% of IDACORP's consolidated revenues, net income, and asse1s. IPC's customers have been weighted tDwsrd the residential class, with about 44.9% of 2005 general business revenues derived from sales tD residential customers, which are typically more predictable and stable sources of revenue. We do not expect this to change materially in the foreseeable future, The remainder of IPC's 2005 revenues was derived from electricity sales to commercial customers (26%), industrial customers (17.7%), and irrigation customers (11.4%). IPC's retail rates are subject tD the regulatory jurisdiction of the Idaho Public Utilities Commission (IPUC) and the Oregon Public Utility Commission. Wholesale activities and interstate activities are subject to the jurisdiction of the Federal Energy RegulatDry Commission. Rating Rationale Key factors affecting IPC's Baa1 senior unsecured debt rating indude its generally low business risk profile, reasonably supportive regulatory treatment of late, increasing capital expenditures to add capacity, financial metries within an acceptable range for a regulated electric utility in the Baa rating category, and access to sufficient liquidity. IPC's ratings also take into account that IPC's retail rates remain below national averages, and that it is pursuing strategies to control operating expenses and conservatively finance utility investments. Significantly Higher Utility Capital Expenditures To Be Met With Cash Plus External Funding IPC will face significantly higher capital expenditure needs over the next few years, primarily to meet customer and demand growth. IPC expects tD continue financing its large utility construction program and other capital requirements, estimated at $720 million over the next three years, with internally generated funds and externally financed capital. Its internally generated cash after dividends is expected tD provide approximately 58% of its 2006 capital requirements. In the face of external financing needs, it is possible that IPC will seek to maintain capitalization ratios close to the June 30, 2006 level through periodic additional common equity infusions from its parent company. Balanced RegulatDry Treatment In A SetUed Rate Case Uesln Contrast To Less Supportive 2004 Litigated Decision Need for further general rate increases at IPC: The 3.2% general rate case setUement increase to IPC's Idaho retail base rates implemented on June 1, 2006 was a partirolarly encouraging sign of a more transparent working relationship between the IPUC and IPC, The setUed outcome was much more supportive of IPC's need for rate relief to address certain cost pressures and lies in significant contrast to IPC's 2004 general rate case decision in Idaho when the IPUC (through a fully litigated decision) only approved a litUe more than half of the company s requested rate increase. We also note that the utility's management is adhering to a conservative financing plan that should help produce reasonable financial resuits going forward, especially given the return tD above nonnal hydro conditions. Moreover, management has shown a greater willingness to collaborate with the IPUC by undertaking smaller and more frequent general rate increases to temper any potential rate shock to custDmers when cost pressures arise. Consistent with this tendency, we would not be surprised to see management approach the IPUC for additional albeit smaller rate increases, as uti&ty capital spending plans continue tD unfold. Rate reduction for nonnalized hydro conditions: IPC's credit quality also reflects the end of drought conditions that had persisted in Idaho for about six years until this past spring. Improved water conditions in the Snake River Basin this year enabled IPC to make better use of its hydroelectric generating system and helped to reduce net power supply costs. Our ratings take into consideration the longstanding existence of a Power Cost Adjustment (PCA) mechanism in Idaho. Under the terms of the PCA, (PC annually adjusts its rates charged to Idaho retail customers for 90% of the difference (with interest) between the actual and forecasted costs of fuel and purchased power less off-system sales. We generally view the existence of PCA mechanisms to be beneficial to a utility's overall credit profile because such a mechanism can help minimize the negative 'effects on earnings and cash flow when net power supply costs exceed forecast levels in existing rates. This is especially so when the cash recovery period is relatively short We note that IPC's most recent PCA filing resulted in a 19% PCA credit, reflecting the reduced net power costs due to improved hydro conditions. This credit more than offsets the impact on customers' bills due to the 3.2% general rate increase noted above. IPC and State of Idaho sign aquifer recharge agreement: Earlier concerns about potential toss of benefits from operating IPC's significant hydroelecbic system were placated when IPC and the State of Idaho signed a stipulation agreement on April 11 , 2006, that positions the state to move folWard with efforts to provide water for aquifer recharge to agricultural interests under two permits that protect the utility's water rights while reducing the impact of recharge on its customers to an estimated potential maximum of $30 million. A proposed Idaho bill, House Bill 800, would have rolled back an Idaho Law passed in 1994 containing protections for the public benefit of low-cost hydroelectric generation but was defeated in the Idaho Senate on March 30. FInancial Memes For the trailing 12-months ended June 30, 2006, IPC's cash flow from operations exclusive of working capital changes (hereafter referred to as FFO) provided coverage of interest and debt by 3.8x and 15.6%, respectively, reflecting improvement over levels reported for fiscal year end 2005. These metrics are still considered marginally acceptable relative to IPC's Baa1 senior unsecured debt rating. Looking ahead, IPC's financial performance will likely remain subject to the vagaries of water flow conditions, the adequacy and timeliness of rate relief afforded to IPC by the IPUC in likely future general rate case proceedings, and higher than historical utility capital expenditures for the near term. Our ratings assume that the IPUC will address any future regulatory filings by IPC in a way that allows for supportive rate base treatment of utility capital spending, thus supporting improvement in IPC's FFO coverage of interest and debt over the next couple of years that would strengthen its standing within the Baa1 senior unsecured rating category. Sale of sulfur emission allowances generates cash: In late 2005 and early 2006, (PC sold 78,000 sulfur dioxide emission allowances on the open market for approximately $81.6 million. In accordance with a stipulation by the IPUC, IPC may retain only 10%, or $4.7 million after-tax, of emission allowance net proceeds as a shareholder benefit, while the remaining 90% was recorded as a customer benefit and included in its annual PCA true-up. This one-time cash windfall lifted second quarter earnings and will also be reflected in next year s annual PCA filing. IPC retains about 32,000 excess allowances, which it intends to keep for now just in case it may need them in conjunction with new planned coal-fired generation plants. After considering Moody's standard adjustments, IPC has benefited from a modest reduction in its overaH debt leverage ratio from 422% at December 31, 2003 to 41,5% as of June 30, 2006. The calculation of this ratio includes deferred income taxes as part of capitalization. The adjusted debt ratio leaves IPC comfortably positioned relative to the range typically expected for a Baa-rated regulated electric utility company. The improvement in IPC's debt ratio is partly attributable to higher retained earnings resulting from a 35% reduction in the parent' dividend payout level in 2003. Against the backdrop of higher than historical capital spending at IPC over the near term, we have factored into existing ratings the possibility that prospective debt leverage could creep slightly higher. Uquidity On balance, IPC has sufficient liquidity, including cash on hand and its ample unused capacity under its bank facility.IPC's bank facility, which is sized at $200 million, expires March 31 , 2010 and contains less restrictive telTTlS and conditions than its former agreement Cash proceeds from the sale of non-regulated businesses have enabled IDA to infuse additional equity into IPC in support of the utility's capital expenditures. Management still may decide to further support IPC's capital program and bolster consolidated capitalization and cash flow coverage of debt metrics by periodic issuances of additional common equity. Meanwhile, we continue to believe that management's future strategies will focus on a back-to-basics core energy-related and largely regulated utility business. Rating OuUook IPC's stable rating outlook refIecIs a continued focus on regulated electric utility operations, which have a relatively low business risk profile and with the help of a PCA mechanism tend to be a stable source of earnings and cash flow, The outlook also assumes that IPC canadequately cope with its remaining challenges, including through prudent management of its large capital program such that state regulators are likely to be supportive of IPC's future requests for recovery of and return on those investments. What Could Change the Rating. Up Near term challenges related to a large capital program make an upgrade unlikely in that time frame, However, IPC's outlook or rating could improve over the intermediate term through a combination of continued normaized hydro conditions, greater regulatory support in future rate proceedings, and reduced capital spending that results in positive free cash flow being used to significantly reduce debt. What Could Change the Rating. Down Lower than anticipated eamings and cash flow, perhaps due to the recommencement of drought conditions or lack of regulatory support in rate proceedings related to impending capital invesbnents, could JeSuit in a negative rating action, Additionally, negative pressure could stem from one or more of the following: significant increases in relicensing costs and/or stringent operational constraints imposed as part of-- the license renewal process; any unexpected change that compromises the PCA mechanism; any shift by IDACORP to pursue significant debt-financed investment in more risky non-regulated businesses that increases demand on IPC cash flow. (9 Copyright 2002 by Moody s Investors Service, 99 Church Street, New York, NY 10007. All rights reserved. Copyright 2006, Moody s Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates induding Moody's Assurance Company, Inc. (together, MOODY'). All rights reserved. MDDrIy'S lnveat- Service . Global Credit Research Liquidity Risk Assessment 15 NOV 2006 ~i' -:;;;;::- Liquidity Risk Assessment: Idaho Power Company Idaho Power Company Boise, Idaho, United States Broad Industry: Specific Industry: Short Tenn Rating: Contacts Public Utility Integrated Electric Utility Analyst Kevin G. Rose/New York J. SabatellelNew York William L. Hess/New York Phone 212.553.1653 Opinion Idaho Power Company's (IPC) Prime-2 short-term debt rating for commercial paper reflects management' proactive approach to ensuring the company has sufficient liquidity to meet its needs. The company's long-term ratings include its A3 rating for senior secured debt and its Baa1 rating for senior unsecured debt. The utility' rating outlook is stable. IPC is following a disciplined strategy to minimize its reliance on short-term debt in the future. This strategy includes cost control efforts and takes into account the effects that below normal water conditions (albeit finally abated after persisting at severe levels for six consecutive years) can often times have on forward looking wholesale prices for power purchases in the region. We expect that IPC will continue to be the principal source of cash flow for its parent holding company, IDACORP (Baa2 Issuer Rating; stable rating outlook), to pay modest parent-company short-term debt obligations and the roughly $51 million annual dividend to common shareholders. IPC's commercial paper balances outstanding for the trailing 12-months ended September 30 2006 averaged $0.9 million, compared to $8.2 million for the trailing 12-rnonths ended September 30 2005. During the 12- months ended September 30, 2006,IPC experienced a peak short-term debt borrowing of $27.2 million in September 2006, which was incurred to meet short-term working capital needs. Moody's notes that the utility reported $27.2 million of short-term debt outstanding and a $4.4 million unrestricted cash balance as of September 30, 2006. The cash on hand has steadily declined from the level of $49.3 million reported at December 31 , 2005, largely reflecting use of a significant portion of the remaining proceeds from earlier sales of a portion of IPC's emission allowance credits to supplement operating cash flow and meet short-term capital requirements. We expect the modest cash balances at IPC to remain the norm over the next 12 months. IPC has only modest sinking fund payments starting in 2007 and its next material scheduled long-term debt maturity is $80 million of first mortgage bonds, which are due in December 2007. Although IPC had $27.2 million of commercial paper outstanding at September 30, 2006 (compared to zero earlier this year), this amount could increase to as much as $150 million over the next 12 to 18 months. Whether IPC's commercial paper issuance actually reaches the high point of $150 million will depend in part on weather conditions during the upcoming winter and summer seasons, as well as the extent to which improved hydro conditions favorably impact the wholesale market, thereby reducing IPC's net power supply costs. The amount of reliance on commercial paper could also be influenced by the timing of IPC's tax payments and dividends to IDACORP and the pace of 2007 capital spending related to generation and energy delivery infrastructure construction projects. IPC periodically relies on issuance of short-term debt as a bridge to long-term funding of a portion of its capital program. We note that IPC's peak borrowings usually occur in the first or fourth quarter due to seasonal influences. IPC currently has approval from the IPUC to issue unsecured short-term debt in an aggregate principal amount up to $250 million. IPC may issue commercial paper up to the amount supported by its $200 million in bank credit facilities. Moody's notes that the 5-year facility has a March 31 , 2010 expiration and can be increased by up to $100 million at any time, subject to certain conditions. Also, the facility does not require IPC to represent and warranty that no material adverse change (MAC) has occurred as a prerequisite to any funding beyond the initial closing date, does not contain any rating triggers that would cause default, acceleration, or puts, and still contains a maximum 65% debt to total capitalization ratio covenant. Moody s believes that the change related to the MAC clause when this facility was negotiated is a particularly significant improvement in IPC's altemate liquidity because the change removes earlier concems that IPC's access to the facility could have been jeopardized at a time of greatest need. We note that there was ample cushion with respect to the financial covenant as of September 30, 2006 when IPC's leverage as defined in the credit facility was 51%. ~ Copyright 2006, Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors including Moody s Assurance Company, Inc. (together , " MOODY'S"). All rights reserved. :' ',;', ' ,c, ." ,., , i, : , c ' '..' , . ''.., ,, ,', ,,,;,,' """,,' 'r,o , ' :':c: , ," " '" '.,," '" ," ,' ;: .":::', ,",:: ;,' .o,,':.., , I' ':""':;" 0" :' "\':: , l, ", 'o~ , " '~" ::;':);", ,",,:',:,(' , '" ,. ',...., ,. ""':" ;i;" , , ' f";" "" ,,", ;) O'i , "', ,;: ",';;'' ,~ , ,:- ,e :' " .., ",,;, 'i - " ' , ",:;, ;'" "il ", c" ':',:':, ",,:: ' " I' : , ,. ' -' -, :' .:c, Ir" , , 'co " .-",."..,.. "." :,':C"' ",;, ", ,: /" '," ' ,c- " ~"" - ,;,:",:-' , ' cc, ": , c, ;' :!, '' ::~, ,: c",iI, " : I :Co ", ,, ' C' ,' ",,, " 1"' " ". ,':";,", ,".. ';;,,.., ,,"," ',:,,.. , " ':1 'i ,' ,:' ~ , :' c,", c"i"C , '.I 'co' """-':"1, ;.;' ..., :' !, - , 'f:'",., r ", , ,;'," '" "." " BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTiliTIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O7- IDAHO POWER COMPANY ATTACHMENT 1- RESEARCH IDACORP Inc. Publication da1e: Primary Credit Analyst: Secondary Credit Analyst: 11-May-2007 Antonio Bettinelli, San Francisco (1) 415-371-5067; antonio - bettinelfi(g)standardandpoors.com Masako Kuwahara, New York (1) 212-438-7916; masako - kuwahara(g) stand ardand poors .com Major Rating Factors Strengths : . A generaRy supportive slate regulatory regime; . A strong power cost adjustment (PCA) mechanism; . An efficient, low-cost generating fleet; and . The absence of material, unregulated businesses. Corporate Credit RatIng BB8+JNega1iveI A - Weaknesses ; SignifICant exposure to hydrological variations on the Snake River and poor water flows in the past six years that have reduced hydroelectric production and deferred power costs recovery. and . More than $820 million in capital expenditure requirements for IPC based on the companies Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) primarily for new generation and delivery in the next three years. Rationale Standard & Poor's Ratings Services affirmed the corporate credit ratings on IDACORP and i8s primary subsidiary. IPC. at '8BB+. The rating on the senior secured debt at IPC is affirmed at '' and on senior unsecured debt at IDACORP and IPC is affirmed at 'BBB'. The CP rating at both companies is affirmed at Z. Based on recent developments, the outlook on all ratings is negative. The '888+' rating reflects the stability provided by a generally supportive regulatory regime in Idaho; a strong PCA mechanism; an efticie~ Iow-cost generating fleet; and the absence of significant unregulated businesses. OffseUing factors include significant exposure to hydrological variations in the Snake River and substantial upcoming capital expenditures for new generation and hydro relicensing. The PCA mechanism allows IPC to set annual power costs and then pass 90% of the cost that exceeds this amount. together with interest, to its customers. It also requires refunds when costs are below forecasts. Resource planning rules allow the company to use 70th percentile water and load levels for planning. rather than a median level approach. This means that. on average. only 30% of the time the water and load conditions will be worse than planned. rather than 50%. Idaho Power's business risk profile score is '5' (satisfactory). (Utility business risk profiles are categorized from '1' (excellent) to '10' (vulnerable)). ;:::::::::. ::t IPC's service territory exhibits good economic characteristics ovEKaH. IPC achieved a record for annual general business customer growth in 2006 with a gain of 16,149 customers, which represents a 3. increase year-over-year. The peak summer demand in 2006 was 3,084 MW while the peak winter demand was 2.318 MW. IPC served this load with 3.085 MW. substantially by using its own generation capacity, including 17 hydroelectric plants on the Snake River and its tributaries with a total nameplate capacity of 1 707 MW. The company also owns 1 110 MW of coaHired generation; a 90 MW gas-fired peaking resource; and its new $61 million. 160 MW gas-fired generating plant In a median year. hydroelectric sources are expected to deliver about 55% of total generation needs, thereby exposing IPC to substantial volumetric and replacement power price risk in the event of adverse water flows. IDACORP's financial profIle has rebounded since the power crisis. aided by the Idaho Public Utilities Commissions (IPUC's) decision to let IPC recover all its deferred energy costs in just over a year. However. a combination of factors delayed full financial recovery. Expected lower water in the medium term will increase its use of generally more expensive thermal generation resource and purchase power. At the same time. continuing decline in Snake River base flow and over-appropriation of water mightreduce hydroelectric generation and revenue and increase costs. Although 90% of the Idaho jurisdiction costs are recovered through the PCA, higher costs migtt have contributed to a reluctance on the part of BEFORE THE IDAHO PUBLIC UTiliTIES COMMISSION CASE NO. IPC-O7- IDAHO POWER COMPANY TT A CHMENT 1- iI ' .... (I.) (I.) .... ..c: (.).... Or g a n i z a t i o n S t r u c t u r e 20 0 6 -- ID A H O a. : ! ! PO W E R An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Re g u l a t e d No n - Re g u l a t e d ID A H O a. : ! ! PO W E R An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y L' E I r ID A C O M M An I D A C D R P c o m p a n y An I D A C O R P c o m p a n y ~~ u u . ID A T E C H ~ An I D A C O R P c o m p a n y ID A H O ~P O W E R 0 Or g a n i z a t i o n S t r u c t u r e 20 0 7 An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y DA C O R P . Re g u l a t e d No n - Re g u l a t e d ID A H O 1D A a R ' ID A . W E S T -. : ! ! PO U V E R -. : ! ! F I NA N C I A L EN E R C Y An I D A C O R P co m p a n y An I D A C O R P co m p a n y ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Ba c k - t e - Ba s i c s Ba c k - to - ba s i c s s t r a t e g y e m p h a s i z e s I d a h o P o w e r a s I D A C O R P ' s c o r e bu s i n e s s Re g u l a t e d , v e r t i c a l l y i n t e g r a t e d u t i l i t y 70 7 11 0 26 8 08 5 Mw H y d r o Mw C o a l Mw O t h e r As o f D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 20 0 6 mo r e t h a n 4 7 1 , 77 6 g e n e r a l bu s i n e s s c u s t o m e r s Se c o n d a r y Di s t r i b u t i o n Tr a n s m i s s i o n Su b s t a t i o n Ho u s e ID A H O ~P O W E R 0 An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Vi s i o n Va l u e s Mi s s i o n To b e R e g a r d e d a s a n Ex c e p t i o n a l U t i l i t y In t e g r i t y , S a f e t y a n d R e s p e c t Pr o s p e r b y p r o v i d i n g r e l i a b l e re s p o n s i b l e , f a i r - pr i c e d e n e r g y se r v i c e s , t o d a y a n d t o m o r r o w . Cr i t i c a l S u c c e s s F a c t o r s Fi n a n c i a l S t r e n g t h Ql s t Q ' me " f' ! , $ a l l s f a e t l . i . . . " ." " " . ' " " " , .. , ./ " .. " .. . ." , ./ . ,. / i i / " LV " t. l l i ~ I ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ I ~ ~ / ~2 2 X ~ J ~ ! ~ J ~ ~ J l l r ! i l l l i l l ~~ ~ ~ ;~ i ~ i : ~ + J s~ ~ ~ ~ ~ t i v e )~ +i ' ~ ~ ~ f ~ / ) ~ X \ / ~ d i t , ~ En h a n c e R e l a t i o n s h i p s a n d C o m m u n i c a t i o n w i t h a l l o u r S t a k e h o l d e r s ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ Th r e e - pa r t Ca p i t a l P r o g r a m An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Cu s t o m e r g r o w t h ~ E x p a n d e d re l i a b i l i t y s t a n d a r d s ~~ Ma i n t a i n i n g o u r r e s o u r c e b a s e - H y d r o pr o j e c t r e l i c e n s i n g En v i r o n m e n t a l u p g r a d e s a t t h e r m a l f a c i l i t i e s ID A H O ~P O W E R 0 An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Re s o u r c e C o r n e r s t o n e s Pr e s e r v e t h e b a s e ~ E n e r g y ef f i c i e n c y . R e n e w a b l e en e r g y r e s o u r c e s Co n v e n t i o n a l b a s e l o a d r e s o u r c e s ID A H O .: ! ! PO W E R An I D A C O R P co m p a n y He l l s C a n y o n R e l i c e n s i n g Fi n a l t w o r e l i c e n s i n g c o m p o n e n t s ES A c o n s u l t a t i o n a n d 40 1 wa t e r q u a l i t y c e r t i f i c a t i o n - C o m p a n y is w o r k i n g w i t h N O A A F i s h e r i e s & U . S. f i s h a n d W i l d l i f e Se r v i c e t o s a t i s f y E S A re q u i r e m e n t s f o r a n a d r o m o u s f i s h & b u l l t r o u t Go a l - r e n d e r a bi o l o g i c a l o p i n i o n f o r F E R C l i c e n s e o r d e r ~, I P C f i l e d r e v i s e d ' 40 1 ' a p p l i c a t i o n s w i t h I d a h o & O r e g o n i n Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 7 - ' Re s p e c t i v e D E Q s a r e r e v i e w i n g t h e s e a p p l i c a t i o n s ~) F E R C i s n o w e x p e c t i n g t o i s s u e i t s f i n a l e n v i r o n m e n t a l i m p a c t st a t e m e n t i n t h e s u m m e r 2 0 0 7 De p e n d e n t u p o n o u t c o m e o f b o t h E S A c o n s u l t a t i o n a n d 40 1 c e r t i f i c a t i o n ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P co m p a n y He l l s C a n y o n R e l i c e n s i n g Se c t i o n 7 E S A C o n s u l t a t i o n 40 1 W a t e r Q u a l i t y C e r t i f i c a t i o n Au g u s t 2 0 0 6 : F E R C i s s u e s D E I S a n d l e t t e r in i t i a t i n g f o r m a l E S A c o n s u l t a t i o n . Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 7 : I P C f i l e d r e v i s e d 4 0 1 ce r t i f i c a t i o n r e q u e s t s w i t h I d a h o a n d Or e g o n D E Q s . Se p t e m b e r 2 0 0 6 : F W S a n d N M F S a d v i s e FE R C t h a t t h e a g e n c i e s n e e d a d d i t i o n a l in f o r m a t i o n t o i n i t i a t e c o n s u l t a t i o n . Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 7 t o P r e s e n t : 4 0 1 c e r t i f i c a t i o n re q u e s t u n d e r r e v i e w b y I d a h o a n d O r e g o n DE Q s . Se p t e m b e r 2 0 0 6 t o P r e s e n t : I P C , F W S NM F S , a n d F E R C a r e w o r k i n g co o p e r a t i v e l y t o a d d r e s s E S A c o n c e r n s , re s u l t i n g i n a B i o l o g i c a l O p i n i o n . FE R C i s s u e s f i n a l N E P A d o c u m e n t , w h i c h in c o r p o r a t e s 4 0 1 c e r t i f i c a t i o n s f r o m I d a h o a n d Or e g o n , a l o n g w i t h t h e r e s u l t o f t h e f o r m a l E S A co n s u l t a t i o n . D a t e d e p e n d s o n t i m i n g o f E S A co n s u l t a t i o n a n d 4 0 1 w a t e r q u a l i t y c e r t i f i c a t i o n . II 1 I \ H O PO W E R ~ An I D A C O R P Co m p a n y $," " " /' ' " , " , ' , " ' Re g u l a t o r y O v e r v i e w ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Re g u l a t o r y P r o c e e d i n g s Id a h o R e t a i l J u r i s d i c t i o n St a t e m e n t o f P o l i c y a n d C o d e o f C o n d u c t DS M i n c e n t i v e p r o g r a m Ac c o u n t i n g o r d e r r e g a r d i n g p e n s i o n a n d p o s t r e t i r e m e n t b e n e f i t s 20 0 6 I n t e g r a t e d R e s o u r c e P l a n ( I R P ) Fi x e d C o s t A d j u s t m e n t ( F C A ) m e c h a n i s m ID A H O .: ! ! PO W E R Re g u l a t o r y P r o c e e d i n g s co n t i n u e d ) An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y ~, O r e g o n R e t a i l J u r i s d i c t i o n De f e r r e d a c c o u n t i n g r e q u e s t ( p o w e r s u p p l y e x p e n s e s ) - P U R P 20 0 6 I R P FE R C J u r i s d i c t i o n - O p e n Ac c e s s T r a n s m i s s i o n T a r i f f ( O A T T ) f i l i n g St a n d a r d o f C o n d u c t N O P R ID A H O ~P O W E R 0 Id a h o P o w e r Hi s t o r y o f t h e PC A An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y ~i PC A a p p r o v e d i n 19 9 2 19 9 3 t o 2 0 0 0 A d j l l s t m e n t s Fi v e i n c r e a s e s a m o u n t i n g t o $ 6 1 . 1 m i l l i o n Th r e e d e c r e a s e s a m o u n t i n g t o $ 5 7 . 6 m i l l i o n 20 0 1 T w o I n c r e a s e s : - M a y $ 1 6 8 M (1 y e a r ) - ' Oc t o b e r $ 4 9 M (1 y e a r ) ~ 2 0 0 2 in c r e a s e o v e r b a s e r a t e s o f $ 2 4 0 . 5 m i l l i o n 20 0 3 i n c r e a s e o v e r b a s e r a t e s o f $ 8 1 . 0 m i l l i o n ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ Po w e r C o s t Ad j u s t m e n t Me c h a n i s m An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y An n u a l a d j us t m e n t t o I d a h o j u r i s d i c t i o n a l r a t e s t o c r e a t e a r e v e n u e s t r e a m t h a t m o r e cl o s e l y m a t c h e s p o w e r s u p p l y e x p e n s e s i n c l u d i n g f u e l a n d p u r c h a s e d p o w e r n e t o f o f f - sy s t e m s a l e s . PC A a l l o w s I d a h o P o w e r t o s e t a n n u a l p o w e r c o s t s i n I d a h o a n d p a s s 9 0 % o f t h e c o s t th a t e x c e e d s t h i s a m o u n t o n t o c u s t o m e r s . M e c h a n i s m m i t i g a t e s h y d r o p r e c i p i t a t i o n va r i a t i o n . PC A I n c r e a s e s O v e r B a s e R a t e s ( P C A Y e a r ) 30 0 25 0 20 0 15 0 10 0 25 5 19 9 3 19 9 4 19 9 5 19 9 6 19 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 20 0 0 2 0 0 1 20 0 2 2 0 0 3 20 0 4 2 0 0 5 20 0 6 Mo o d y s I n v e s t o r Se r v i c e s Me e t i n g Ma r c h 2 2 , 2 0 0 7 ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ Or g a n i z a t i o n St r u c t u r e 20 0 6 Re g u l a t e d ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y No n - Re g u l a t e d LT E r An I D A C D R P C o m p a n y ~~ u u . An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y ID A C O M M An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y ID A 1 E C H ~ An I D A C O R P c o m p a n y ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ Or g a n i z a t i o n St r u c t u r e 20 0 7 An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ DA C O R P . Re g u l a t e d No n - Re g u l a t e d w. ~T E ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y An I D A C O R P co m p a n y ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Ba c k - I e - Ba s i c s Ba c k - to - ba s i c s s t r a t e g y e m p h a s i z e s I d a h o P o w e r a s I D A C O R P ' s c o r e bu s i n e s s Re g u l a t e d , v e r t i c a l l y i n t e g r a t e d u t i l i t y ;;" , 70 7 11 0 26 8 08 5 Mw H y d r o Mw C o a l Mw O t h e r 62 9 m i l e s o f hi g h - v o l t a g e tr a n s m i s s i o n l i n e s Pr i m a r y Di s t r i b u t i o n ~- - - - Se c o n d a r y " - . . Di s t r i b u t i o n ' ,- , Tr a n s m i s s i o n Su b s t a t i o n Ho u s e ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P co m p a n y Vi s i o n Va l u e s Mi s s i o n To b e R e g a r d e d a s a n Ex c e p t i o n a l U t i l i t y In t e g r i t y , S a f e t y a n d R e s p e c t Pr o s p e r b y p r o v i d i n g r e l i a b l e , re s p o n s i b l e , f a i r - pr i c e d e n e r g y se r v i c e s , t o d a y a n d t o m o r r o w . Cr i t i c a l S u c c e s s F a c t o r s Fi n a n c i a l S t r e n g t h IC u s ' t o m ' er S a , tl s f a c t I Q R " , " , " .., ., , " ... . . . ' .. ' ." ' .' i i :. ; , " , ,; j " , , , ' ' , " , " " , , I ' , " t~ a f ~ , I: q g ~ ~e d & i E f f e ct i ve E m p l Q y e e s i. . .. i . ./ i ii " .i J , " " , ' , " . ' " , , ' , " , , ' " " ' , , " ' " " , , " , , , , ' , ,' , , , " , ~: , :, , En h a n c e R e l a t i o n s h i p s a n d C o m m u n i c a t i o n w i t h a l l o u r S t a k e h o l d e r s ID A H O -. : ! ! PO W E R Th r e e - pa r t Ca p i t a l P r o g r a m An I D A C O R P co m p a n y 1f f p Cu s t o m e r g r o w t h . E x p a n d e d re l i a b i l i t y s t a n d a r d s Ma i n t a i n i n g o u r r e s o u r c e b a s e - H y d r o pr o j e c t r e l i c e n s i n g En v i r o n m e n t a l u p g r a d e s a t t h e r m a l f a c i l i t i e s ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Re s o u r c e C o r n e r s t o n e s \W t Pr e s e r v e t h e b a s e e E n e r g y ef f i c i e n c y '" R e n e w a b l e e n e r g y re s o u r c e s ~1 j Co n v e n t i o n a l b a s e l o a d r e s o u r c e s ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y He l l s C a n y o n R e l i c e n s i n g ;O J ! Fi n a l t w o r e l i c e n s i n g c o m p o n e n t s ES A c o n s u l t a t i o n a n d 40 1 wa t e r q u a l i t y c e r t i f i c a t i o n - C o m p a n y is w o r k i n g w i t h N O A A F i s h e r i e s & U . S. f i s h a n d W i l d l i f e Se r v i c e t o s a t i s f y E S A re q u i r e m e n t s f o r a n a d r o m o u s f i s h & b u l l t r o u t Go a l - r e n d e r a bi o l o g i c a l o p i n i o n f o r F E R C l i c e n s e o r d e r ~ I P C fi l e d r e v i s e d 40 1 ' a p p l i c a t i o n s w i t h I d a h o & O r e g o n i n Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 7 Re s p e c t i v e D E Q s a r e r e v i e w i n g t h e s e a p p l i c a t i o n s ~ F E R C is n o w e x p e c t i n g t o i s s u e i t s f i n a l e n v i r o n m e n t a l i m p a c t st a t e m e n t i n t h e s u m m e r 2 0 0 7 De p e n d e n t u p o n o u t c o m e o f b o t h E S A c o n s u l t a t i o n a n d 40 1 c e r t i f i c a t i o n ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y He l l s C a n y o n R e l i c e n s i n g Se c t i o n 7 E S A C o n s u l t a t i o n 40 1 W a t e r Q u a l i t y C e r t i f i c a t i o n Au g u s t 2 0 0 6 : F E R C i s s u e s D E I S a n d l e t t e r in i t i a t i n g f o r m a l E S A c o n s u l t a t i o n . Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 7 : I P C f i l e d r e v i s e d 4 0 1 ce r t i f i c a t i o n r e q u e s t s w i t h I d a h o a n d Or e g o n D E Q s . Se p t e m b e r 2 0 0 6 : F W S a n d N M F S a d v i s e FE R C t h a t t h e a g e n c i e s n e e d a d d i t i o n a l in f o r m a t i o n t o i n i t i a t e c o n s u l t a t i o n . Ja n u a r y 2 0 0 7 t o P r e s e n t : 4 0 1 c e r t i f i c a t i o n re q u e s t u n d e r r e v i e w b y I d a h o a n d O r e g o n DE Q s . Se p t e m b e r 2 0 0 6 t o P r e s e n t : I P C , F W S , NM F S , a n d F E R C a r e w o r k i n g co o p e r a t i v e l y t o a d d r e s s E S A c o n c e r n s re s u l t i n g i n a B i o l o g i c a l O p i n i o n . FE R C i s s u e s f i n a l N E P A d o c u m e n t , w h i c h in c o r p o r a t e s 4 0 1 c e r t i f i c a t i o n s f r o m I d a h o a n d Or e g o n , a l o n g w i t h t h e r e s u l t o f t h e f o r m a l E S A co n s u l t a t i o n . D a t e d e p e n d s o n t i m i n g o f E S A co n s u l t a t i o n a n d 4 0 1 w a t e r q u a l i t y c e r t i f i c a t i o n . -D A t I ) PO W E R An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y "f e Re g u l a t o r y O v e r v i e w ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Re g u l a t o r y P r o c e e d i n g s Id a h o R e t a i l J u r i s d i c t i o n St a t e m e n t o f P o l i c y a n d C o d e o f C o n d u c t DS M i n c e n t i v e p r o g r a m Ac c o u n t i n g o r d e r r e g a r d i n g p e n s i o n a n d p o s t r e t i r e m e n t b e n e f i t s 20 0 6 I n t e g r a t e d R e s o u r c e P l a n ( I R P ) Fi x e d C o s t A d j u s t m e n t ( F C A ) m e c h a n i s m ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ Re g u l a t o r y P r o c e e d i n g s co n t i n u e d ) An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y ~ O r e g o n Re t a i l J u r i s d i c t i o n De f e l T e d a c c o u n t i n g r e q u e s t ( p o w e r s u p p l y ex p e n s e s ) - P U R P 20 0 6 I R P ~ F E R C Ju r i s d i c t i o n - ' Op e n A c c e s s T r a n s m i s s i o n T a r i f f ( O A T T ) f i l i n g St a n d a r d o f C o n d u c t N O P R ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ Id a h o P o w e r Hi s t o r y o f t h e PC A An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y $. P C A a p p r o v e d i n 19 9 2 19 9 3 t o 2 0 0 0 A d j u s t m e n t s Fi v e i n c r e a s e s a m o u n t i n g t o $ 6 1 . 1 m i l l i o n Th r e e d e c r e a s e s a m o u n t i n g t o $ 5 7 . 6 m i l l i o n 20 0 1 T w o I n c r e a s e s : - M a y $ 1 6 8 M (1 y e a r ) Oc t o b e r $ 4 9 M (1 y e a r ) ~ 2 0 0 2 in c r e a s e o v e r b a s e r a t e s o f $ 2 4 0 . 5 m i l l i o n \1 A i 20 0 3 i n c r e a s e o v e r b a s e r a t e s o f $ 8 1 . 0 m i l l i o n ID A H O PC M I E R 0 An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Po w e r C o s t Ad j u s t m e n t Me c h a n i s m An n u a l a d j u s t m e n t t o I d a h o j u r i s d i c t i o n a l r a t e s to c r e a t e a r e v e n u e s t r e a m t h a t m o r e cl o s e l y m a t c h e s p o w e r s u p p l y e x p e n s e s i n c l u d i n g f u e l a n d p u r c h a s e d p o w e r n e t o f o f f - sy s t e m s a l e s . PC A a l l o w s I d a h o P o w e r t o s e t a n n u a l p o w e r c o s t s i n I d a h o a n d p a s s 9 0 % o f t h e c o s t th a t e x c e e d s t h i s a m o u n t o n t o c u s t o m e r s . M e c h a n i s m m i t i g a t e s h y d r o p r e c i p i t a t i o n va r i a t i o n . oi! i PC A I n c r e a s e s O v e r B a s e R a t e s ( P C A Y e a r ) 30 0 25 0 20 0 15 0 10 0 25 5 19 9 3 19 9 4 19 9 5 19 9 6 19 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 20 0 0 20 0 1 20 0 2 2 0 0 3 20 0 4 2 0 0 5 20 0 6 DA C O R P . St a n d a r d & P o o r s M e e t i n g La M o n t K e e n Pr e s i d e n t & C E O Ma r c h 7 , 2 0 0 7 Or g a n i z a t i o n S t r u c t u r e 20 0 6 ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Re g u l a t e d ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ " N o n - Re g u l a t e d An 1 0 A C O R P C o m p a n y LT E m r ID A C O M M An I D A C D R P c o m p a n y An I D A C O R P c o m p a n y II I F In q c O R P FI N A N C I A L ID A T E C H ~ An I D A C O R P c o m p a n y ID A H O PO U V E R ~ Or g a n i z a t i o n St r u c t u r e 20 0 7 An I D A C O R P co m p a n y ID A H O a3 ! PO W E R DA C O R P . Re g u l a t e d No n - Re g u l a t e d w. ~T E ~ An I D A C O R P co m p a n y An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I O A C O R P C o m p a n y Ba c k - t o - Ba s i c s Ba c k - to - ba s i c s s t r a t e g y e m p h a s i z e s I d a h o P o w e r a s I D A C O R P ' s c o r e bu s i n e s s Re g u l a t e d , v e r t i c a l l y i n t e g r a t e d u t i l i t y i! j As o f D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 2 0 0 6 47 1 , 77 6 g e n e r a l bu s i n e s s c u s t o m e r s Pr i m a r y Di s t r i b u t i o n Se c o n d a r y Di s t r i b u t i o n Tr a n s m i s s i o n Su b s t a t i o n Ho u s e Vi s i o n Va l u e s Mi s s i o n To b e R e g a r d e d a s a n Ex c e p t i o n a l U t i l i t y In t e g r i t y , S a f e t y a n d R e s p e c t Pr o s p e r b y p r o v i d i n g r e l i a b l e , re s p o n s i b l e , f a i r - pr i c e d e n e r g y se r v i c e s , t o d a y a n d t o m o r r o w . Cr i t i c a l S u c c e s s F a c t o r s Fi n a n c i a l S t r e n g t h ' ' .. . ' , . , ' ' , .. ' .. ' . . . ' ' . ' " " ' ' !$ a f e , En g a g e d .E f f e c t i v e Em p l o y e e s i.' .." / . . ' ... .i. ' .. ' En h a n c e R e l a t i o n s h i p s a n d C o m m u n i c a t i o n w i t h a l l o u r S t a k e h o l d e r s ID A H O .: ! ! PO W E R Th r e e - pa r t Ca p i t a l P r o g r a m An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Cu s t o m e r g r o w t h ~ E x p a n d e d re l i a b i l i t y s t a n d a r d s Ma i n t a i n i n g o u r r e s o u r c e b a s e - H y d r o pr o j e c t r e l i c e n s i n g En v i r o n m e n t a l u p g r a d e s a t t h e r m a l f a c i l i t i e s ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P co m p a n y Re s o u r c e Co r n e r s t o n e s ;2 ) Pr e s e r v e t h e b a s e ~ E n e r g y ef f i c i e n c y ~ R e n e w a b l e en e r g y r e s o u r c e s Co n v e n t i o n a l b a s e l o a d r e s o u r c e s ID A H O PO W E R An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y ;; ; f , ~ " Y'; ' " . f; g ~ : . St a n d a r d & P o o r Me e t i n g Ri c G a l e VP R e g u l a t o r y A f f a i r s Ma r c h 7 , 2 0 0 7 ID A H O ~P O W E R ~ An I D A C O R P co m p a n y Re g u l a t o r y P r o c e e d i n g s 1$ ' Id a h o R e t a i l J u r i s d i c t i o n St a t e m e n t o f P o l i c y a n d C o d e o f C o n d u c t DS M i n c e n t i v e p r o g r a m Ac c o u n t i n g o r d e r r e g a r d i n g p e n s i o n a n d p o s t r e t i r e m e n t b e n e f i t s 20 0 6 I n t e g r a t e d R e s o u r c e P l a n ( I R P ) Fi x e d C o s t A d j u s t m e n t ( F C A ) m e c h a n i s m Re g u l a t o r y P r o c e e d i n g s (c o n t i n u e d ) ID A H O ~P O W E R 0 An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y ~ O r e g o n Re t a i l J ll r i s d i c t i o n De f e l T e d a c c o u n t i n g r e q u e s t ( p o w e r s u p p l y ex p e n s e s ) - P U R P 20 0 6 I R P ~ F E R C Ju r i s d i c t i o n - ' Op e n A c c e s s T r a n s m i s s i o n T a r i f f ( O A TT ) f i l i n g St a n d a r d o f C o n d u c t N O P R ID A H O ~P O W E R 0 Id a h o P o w e r Hi s t o r y o f t h e PC A An I D A C O R P co m p a n y PC A a p p r o v e d i n 19 9 2 19 9 3 t o 20 0 0 Ad j u s t m e n t s Fi v e i n c r e a s e s a m o u n t i n g t o $ 6 1 . 1 m i l l i o n Th r e e d e c r e a s e s a m o u n t i n g t o $ 5 7 . 6 m i l l i o n 20 0 1 Tw o I n c r e a s e s : - M a y $ 1 6 8 M (1 y e a r ) - ' Oc t o b e r $ 4 9 M (1 y e a r ) 20 0 2 in c r e a s e o v e r b a s e r a t e s o f $ 2 4 0 . 5 m i l l i o n 20 0 3 in c r e a s e o v e r b a s e r a t e s o f $ 8 1 . 0 m i l l i o n ID A H O ~P O W E R e An I D A C O R P C o m p a n y Po w e r C o s t Ad j u s t m e n t Me c h a n i s m An n u a l a d j us t m e n t t o I d a h o j u r i s d i c t i o n a l r a t e s t o c r e a t e a r e v e n u e s t r e a m t h a t m o r e cl o s e l y m a t c h e s p o w e r s u p p l y e x p e n s e s i n c l u d i n g f u e l a n d p u r c h a s e d p o w e r n e t o f o f f - sy s t e m s a l e s . PC A a l l o w s I d a h o P o w e r t o s e t a n n u a l p o w e r c o s t s i n I d a h o a n d p a s s 9 0 % o f t h e c o s t th a t e x c e e d s t h i s a m o u n t o n t o c u s t o m e r s . M e c h a n i s m m i t i g a t e s h y d r o p r e c i p i t a t i o n va r i a t i o n . '0 ; PC A I n c r e a s e s O v e r B a s e R a t e s ( P C A Y e a r ) 30 0 25 0 20 0 15 0 10 0 25 5 19 9 3 19 9 4 19 9 5 19 9 6 19 9 7 19 9 8 19 9 9 20 0 0 2 0 0 1 20 0 2 2 0 0 3 20 0 4 20 0 5 20 0 6 :t : - :I : "t J :t : - (' ) :I : :t : - (' ) "t J "t J (' ) (' ) :I : (' ) "t J '" " - J :t : - .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . EE l F i n a n c i a l C o n f e r e n c e An a l y s t I n f o r m a t i o n La s V e g a s , N e v a d a No v e m b e r 2 0 0 6 .~ ~.. . . . .. . ~.. . . . . . w w .. . . . . . . ~.. . . .. . .. . . . . . DA C O R P . Fo r w a r d L o o k i n g In f o r m a t i o n Bo i s e , I d i i h o - ba s l ' d I D A C O R P , I' o r m e d i n 1 9 9 8 , i s a h o l d i n g c o m p a n y c o m p r i s e d o r I d a h o P o w e r C o m p a n y , a r e g u l a t e d e l e c t r i c ut i l i t y ; I D A C O R P Fi n a n c i a l , a h o l d e r o r a f f o r d a b l e h o u s i n g p r o j e c t s a n d o t h e r r e a l es t i i t e i n v e s t m e n t s ; I D A C O M M . a p r o v i d e r o r t e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n s e r v i c e s a n d co m m e r c i a l l n t e r n l ' ! s e r v i c e s ; a n d I L i a - We s t E n e r g y . a n o p e r a t o r o r s m a l l h y d r o e l e c t r i c g e n e r a t i o n p r o j e c t s t h a t s a t i s l ' y th e r e q u i r e m e n t s o r L h e P u b l i c Ut i l i t y R e g u l a t o r y P o l i c i e s A c t o r 19 7 ' 1 ' " Ce r t a i n s L a t e m e n t s c o n t a i n e d i n t h i s p r e s e n t a t i o n . i n c l u d i n g s t a l e m e n t s w i t h r e s p e c t t o r u t u r e e a r n i n g s . o n g o i n g o p e r a t i o n s . a n d l'i n a n c i a 1 c o n d i t i o n s ar c " I' o r w a r d - Io o k i n g s l a t e m e n ( s " w i l h i n t h e m e a n i n g o r I' ~ d e r a l s e c u r i t i e s l a w s . Al l h o u g h I D A C O R P a n J l ( h ~ l O P o w e r b e l i e v e t h a t t h e e x p e c t a t i o , an d a s s u m p t i o n s r e l k c t e d i n t h e s e r o r w a r d - Io o k i n g s t a t e m e n t s a r c r e a s o n a b l e , t h e s e s l a t e m e n t s i n v o l v e a n u m b e r o r r i s k s a n d u n c e r t a i n t i e s , a n d a c t u a l re s u l t s m a y d i l l e I ' m a t e r i a l l y I ' r o m l h e r e s u l t s d i s c u s s e d i n t h e s t a t e m e n t s . F a c ( o r s t h a t c o u l d c a u s e ac t u e d r e s u l t s 1 0 e l i / l e I ' m a t e r i a l l y I'r o m t h e I ' o r w a r d - !o o k i n g s t a t e m e n t s i n c l u d e : c h a n g e s i n g o v e r n m e n t a l p o l i c i e s , i n c l u d i n g n e w i n t e r p r e t a t i o n s o r e x i s t i n g p o l i c i e s , an e l r e g u l a t o r y a c t i o n s a n d re g u l a t o r y a u d i t s , i n c l u d i n g t h o s e o r t h e F e d e r a l E n e r g y R e g u l a l o r y C o m m i s s i o n , t h e I d a h o P u b l i c U t i l i t i e s C o m m i s s i o n . ( h e O r e g o n P u b l i c U t i l i t y Co m m i s s i o n a n d I h e I n t e r n a l R e v e n u e S e r v i c e w i t h r e s p e c l l o a l l o w e d r a t e s o r r e t u r n , i n d u s t r y el i l d r a t e s t r u c t u r e . c l a y - eo - cl a y b u s i n e s s o p e r u t i o n s el c l J u i s i t i o n a n d d i s p o , sa l o r a s s e t s a n d I ' a e i l i t i e s , o p e r a t i o n a n d c o n s t r u c t i o n o f p l a n t f a c i l i t i e s , r e l i c e n s i n g o r h y d r o e l e c t r i c p r o j e c t s , r e c o v e r y o r pu r c h a s e d p o w e r e x p e n s e s . r e c o v e r y o r o t h e r c a p i t a l i n v e s t m e n t s , p r e s e n t o r p r o s p e c t i v e w h o l e s a l e a n d r e t a i l c o m p e t i t i o n ( i n c l u d i n g b u t n o t l i m i ( e d t o re t a i l w h e e l i n g a n d t r a n s m i s s i o n c o s t s ) a n d o t h e r r e r u n d p r o c e e d i n g s ; c h a n g e s a r i s i n g f r o m ( h e E n e r g y P o l i c y A c t o r 2( ) ( ) 5 : l i t i g a t i o n a n d r e g u l a t o r y pr o c e e d i n g s . i ~ l c l u d i n g t h o s e r e s u ! ( i n g I ' r o m t h e e n e r g y s i t u a t i o n i n t h e w e s te r n U n i t e ~ 1 S t a t e s , a n d , tt l e m e n t s t h a t i n f l u e n c e b L ~s i n e s s a n d p r o f i t a b i l i t y ; ch a n g e s i n a n d c o m p l i a n c e w i t h e n v i r o n m e n t a l , e n d a n g e r e d s p e c i e s a n d s a f e t y l a w s a n d p o l i c i e s ; w e a t h e r v a r i a t i o n s a f f e c t i n g h y d r o e l e c t r i c ge n e r a t i n g c o n d i t i o n s a n d c u s t o m e r e n e r g y u s a g e : o v e r - a p p r o p r i a t i o n o f su r l ' a c e a n d g r o u n d w a t e r i n t h e S n a k e Ri v e r B a s i n r e s u l t i n g i n r e d u c e d ge n e r a t i o n a t h y d r o e l L ' c t r i c r a c i l i t i e s : c o n s t r u c t i o n o r p o w e r g e n e r a t i n g f a c i l i t i e s i n c l u d i n g in a b i l i t y t o o b t a i n r e q u i r e d g o v e r n m e n t a l p e r m i t s a n d ap p r o v a l s , a n d r i s k s r e l a t e d t o c o n t r a c t i n g , c o n s t r u c t i o n a n d s t a r t - u p : o p e r a t i o n o f p o w e r g e n e r a t i n g f a c i l i t i e s i n c l u d i n g b r e a k d o w n o r f a i l l i r e o f eq u i p m e n t , p e r r o r m a n c e b e l o w e x p e c t e d l e v e l s , c o m p e t i t i o n , f u e l s u p p l y . i n c l u d i n g a v a i l a b i l i t y , t r a n s p o r t a t i o n a n d p r i c e s , a n d t r a n s m i s s i o n : i m p a c t s I'r o m t h e p o t e n t i a l I ' o r m a t i o n o f a r e g i o n a l t r a n s m i s s i o n o r g a n i z a t i o n a n d t h e d i s s o l u t i o n o f G r i d W e s t ; po p u l a t i o n g r o w t h r a t e s a n d d e m o g r a p h i c pa t t e r n , s; m a r k e t d e m a n d a m i p r i c e s f o r e n e r g y , i n c l u d i n g s t r u c t u r a l m a r k e t c h a n g e s ; c h a n g e s i n o p e r a t i n g e x p e n s e s a n d c a p i t a l e x p e n d i t u r e s a n d rl u c t u a t i o n , s i n s o u r c e s a n d u s e s o r c a s h ; r e s u l t s 0 1 ' f i n a n c i n g e l T o r t s , i n c l u d i n g t h e a b i l i t y t o o b t a i n I' i n a n c i n g o n f a v o r a b l e t e r m s . w h i c h c a n b e ;t l l e c t e d b y I ' a c l o r , s s u c b a s c r e d i t r a t i n g s a n d g e n e r a l e c o n o m i c c o n d i t i o n s : a c t i o n s b y c r e d i t r a t i n g a g e n c i e s . i n c l u d i n g c h a n g e s i n r a t i n g c r i t e r i a a n d ne w i n t e r p r d a t i o n s o r e x i s t i n g c r i t e r i a : h o m e l a n d s e c u r i t y . na t u r a l d i s a s t e r s , a c t s o r w a r o r t e r r o r i s m ; m a r k e t c o n d i t i o n s a n d t e c h n o l o g i c a l de v e l o p m e n t s t h a t c o u l d a l l e e t t h e o p e r a t i o n s a n d p r o , sp e c t s o r I D A C O R P ' s s u b s i d i a r i e s o r t h e i r c o m p e t i t o r s ; i n c r e a s i n g h e a l t h c a r e c o s t s a n d t h e re s u l t i n g e l T e c t o n h e a l t h i n s u r a n c e p r e m i u m s p a i d I ' o r em p l o y e e s ; p e r l ' o r m a n c e o f t h e s t o c k m a r k e t a n d t h e c h a n g i n g i n t e r e s t r a t e e n v i r o n m e n t . wh i c h al T e c l t h e a m o u n t o f r e q u i r e d c o n t r i b u t i o n s t o p e n s i o n p l a n s . a s w e l l a s t h e r e p o r t e d c o s t s o r p r o v i d i n g p e n s i o n a n d o t h e r p o s t r e t i r e m e n t b e n e f i t s ; in c r e a s i n g c o s t s o r i n s u r a n c e , c h a n g e s i n c o v e r a g e t e r m s a n d t h e a b i l i t y t o o b t a i n i n s u r a n c e ; c h a n g e s i n t a x r a t e s o r p o l i c i e s , i n t e r e s t r a t e s o r r a t e s o r in f l a t i o n : ;l d o p t i o n o f o r c h a n g e s i n ' c r i t i c a l a c c o ~l I l t i n g p o l i c i e s o r e s t i m a t e s ; a n d n e w a c c o u n t i n g ~) r S e c u r i t i e s a n d E x c h a n g e C o m m i s s i o n re q u i r e m e n t s . o r n e w i n t e r p r e t a t i o n o r a p p l i c a t i o n o r e x i s t i n g r e q u i r e m e n t s . A n y f o r w a r d - lo o k i n g s t a t e m e n t s p e a k s o n l y a s o r t h e d a t e o n w h i c h s u c h st a t e m e n t i s m a d e . N e w I' a c t o r s e m e r g e r r o m t i m e t o t i m e a n d it i s n o ( p o s s i b l e f o r m a n a g e m e n t t o p r e d i c t a l l s u c h I' a c t o r s . n o r c a n i t a s s e s s th e im p a c t o r a n y s u c h r a c t o r o n t h e b u s i n e s s o r t h e e x t e n t t o w h i c h a n y f a c t o r , o r c o m b i n a t i o n o f I ' a c t o r s , m a y c a u s e r e s u l t s t o d i f f e r m a t e r i a l l y f r o m tb o s e c o n t a i n e d i n a n y f o r w a r d - lo o k i n g s t a t e m c n t . .~ .. . . . . ~.~ . . . ._ ~ . ~ _ . . . -.. ~_ . . . _ . _ . _ - .- - - - - . Ta b l e o f C o n t e n t s . " " , , , ~ . , . . . - , p , ' ~f f '~ ; i , tJ : , . ' DA C O R P . ~~ ' Ov e r v i e w Or g a n i z a t i o n s t r u c t u r e '- , Ou r c o r e b u s i n e s s Se r v i c e t e r r i t o r y 20 0 6 a c c o m p l i s h m e n t s t o d a t e St o c k p r i c e c o m p a r i s o n To t a l s h a r e h o l d e r r e t u r n ID A C O R P s u b s i d i a r y c o n t r i b u t i o n s Cr e d i t r a t i n g s Id a h o P o w e r o v e r v i e w Id a h o P o w e r b i l l i n g c o m p a r i s o n s Re g u l a t o r y p r o c e e d i n g s - r e t a i l In t e g r a t e d R e s o u r c e P l a n ( I R P ) 2 0 0 6 p r e f e r r e d p o r t f o l i o 20 0 6 I R P g o a l s IR P p u b l i c p o l i c y i s s u e s Hy d r o p o w e r p r o j e c t r e l i c e n s i n g s c h e d u l e Hy d r o s y s t e m m a p FE R C ' s c u r r e n t s c h e d u l e Br o w n l e e r e s e r v o i r i n f l o w s 30 & 9 0 - da y t e m p e r a t u r e f o r e c a s t 30 & 9 0 - da y p r e c i p i t a t i o n f o r e c a s t I 1 r- -~ ~ - ~ ~ - ~- - - - -~ ~ - - ~ ~ - ~ ~~ - -- ~ - - ~ - ~- ~ ~ - ~ - ~ - - . 81 8 DA C O R P . Ov e r v i e w Ve r t i c a l l y i n t e g r a t e d r e g u l a t e d e l e c t r i c u t i l i t y Ra t e s a n d p r o d u c t i o n c o s t s a n l o n g l o w e s t i n n a t i o n So l i d i n v e s t m e n t g r a d e r a t i n g Re g u l a t o r y a c h i e v e m e n t s Fo c u s o n c o r e u t i l i t y Du a l g o a l s : Re l i a b l e e l e c t r i c s e r v i c e a t f a i r p r i c e s f o r t h e c l l s t o l n e r s Co n s i s t e n t l y r e g i s t e r s t r o n g f i n a n c i a l p e r f o n n a n c e f o r t h e s h a r e o w n e r s r - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ~ - - -- ~ - - - ~ - - - - - - - - - - ~ - - - - ~ DA C O R P . Or g a n i z a t i o n S t r u c t u r e DA C O R P . Re g u l a t e d DA I - I ) ~P O W E R $ An I D A C O R P co m p a n y . C o m b i n a t i o n h y d r o - th e r m a l u t i l i t y . C u s t o m e r g r o w t h 3 . 2% C A G R . O v e r 4 6 4 00 0 r e t a i l c u s t o m e r s i n I d a h o / Or e g o n .2 4 00 0 s q m i l e s e r v i c e t e r r i t o r y .3 , 08 5 M W o f g e n e r a t i o n c a p a c i t y ID A - W E S T EN E R G Y No n - Re g u l a t e d An I D A C O R P co m p a n y . T o t a l p o r t f o l i o c o n s i s t s o f 7 0 0 pr o p e r t i e s l o c a t e d i n P u e r t o Ri c o , t h e U S V i r g i n I s l a n d s an d a l l U S s t a t e s e x c e p t Al a s k a . . $ 1 7 5 m i l l i o n p o r t f o l i o . . O w n s & o p e r a t e s 9 h y d r o e l e c t r i c pr o j e c t s i n I d a h o a n d C a l i f o r n i a wi t h a t o t a l g e n e r a t i o n c a p a c i t y of a p p r o x i m a t e l y 4 5 M W . No t e : ID A C O M M c l a s s i f i e d a s d i s c o n t i n u e d o p e r a t i o n s p~ ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ W ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ . ~ . W ~~ ~ ~ . ~ . ., . DA C O R P . Ou r C o r e B u s i n e s s At D e c e m b e r 3 1 , 2 0 0 5 70 7 11 0 26 8 08 5 Mw H y d r o Mw C o a l Mw O t h e r 69 1 m i l e s o f hi g h - v o l t a g e tr a n s m i s s i o n l i n e s 63 , 36 5 m i l e s o f di s t r i b u t i o n l i n e s (w i r e ) At J u n e 3 0 , 2 0 0 6 mo r e t h a n 4 6 4 , 00 0 ge n e r a l b u s i n e s s cu s t o m e r s Tr a n s m i s s i o n 20 t r a n s m i s s i o n su b s t a t i o n s / ~ " ' " / . ' - ~ / ~; : , -~ ' - " _ / ; / / . /; ' / :: ~ -- - . . -: / : - : : / -- - ;~ . , . " . ~ ' ~ Pr i m a r y Di s t r i b u t i o n Se c o n d a r y Di s t r i b u t i o n u- _ . . _~ , Su b s t a t i o n Ho u s e .~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ - ~ ~ ~ ~ . DA C O R P . Id a h o P o w e r C o m p a n y Se r v i c e T e r r i t o r y WA S H l N ( ; ' I ' O N mA I I O I., . .. , OR E ( ; O N Pa y e t t e Bo i s e . . . .. . * .. .NE V A D A I , OW e i ' S a l m o n lI e l l s ( ; a l l " o l l MO N T A N A WY O M I N ( ; Hy d r o e l e c t r i c F a c i l i t i e s a n d Na m e p l a t e C a p a c i t i e s 17 F a c i l i t i e s w i t h 1 , 70 7 M w C a p a c i t y Th e r m a l F a c i l i t i e s a n d Na m e p l a t e C a p a c i t i e s .. . 6 F a c i l i t i e s wi t h 1 37 8 M w C a p a c i t y Pla n n e d 1 7 0 M w N a t u r a l G a s T u r b i n e - O n - li n e 2 0 0 8 .. . "" ' , : J I I r Po c a t e l l o Tw i n F a l l s UT A H Sh o s h o l l t ~ F a l l s r - - ~ ~ ~ - ~ - - - - ~ - - ~ - - ~ ~ - -- ~- - - -- - - ~ - - - ~ - - ~ - -- - . 20 0 6 Ac c o m p l i s h m e n t s To Da t e DA O O R P . Cu s t o m e r g r o w t h r e m a i n s s t r o n g Cu s t o m e r s a t i s f a c t i o n s o u n d Il 1 c r e a s e d b a s e r a t e s i n Id a h o 3 . 2 p e r c e n t - e f f e c t i v e Ju n e 1 , 2 0 0 6 He l l s C a n y o n r e l i c e n s i n g - o n t r a c k So l d SO l ex c e s s e m i s s i o n a l l o w a n c e s ... . , Re t a i n e d a p o r t i o n o f e m i s s i o n a l l o w a n c e s f o r f u t u r e f l e x i b i l i t y . M a n a g e d el e c t r i c s y s t e m t h r o u g h s e r i e s o f n e w p e a k s - N e w sy s t e n l p e a k - 3 08 4 M w - J u l y 2 4 , 2 0 0 6 So l d I D A C O R P T e c h n o l o g i e s Co n t r a c t t o s e l l I D A C O M M r~ ~. . ~ ~ . ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~~ ~ ~ . ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ . ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ . ~~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ ~ DA C O R P . St o c k P r i c e C o m p a r i s o n Ja n u a r y 1 - Se p t e m b e r 2 9 , 2 0 0 6 14 5 . 14 0 . 00 - - -I D A -D J U A S& P 5 0 0 13 0 . 00 - -P E E R S -A V A 12 5 . 00 - - -P S D "- - . - - , 13 5 . 00 - 12 0 . 11 5 , 00 - 11 0 , 00 - 10 5 . 00 10 0 . 00 - 95 . 00 - 90 . 00 - 85 , Ja n - Fe b - Ma r - Ap r - Ma y - Ju n - Ju l - Au g - Se p - .. .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . DA C O R P . To t a l S h a r e h o l d e r Re t u r n 10 Y e a r 9/ 2 9 / 9 6 - 9/ 2 9 / 0 6 5 Y e a r 9/ 2 9 / 0 1 - 9/ 2 9 / 0 6 1 Y e a r 9/ 2 9 / 0 5 - 9/ 2 9 / 0 6 1 0 0 15 0 EJ I D A S& P 5 0 0 . D o w Jo n e s U t i l i t i e s 12 . 29 , 20 0 25 0 30 0 35 0 40 0 .. .. . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . , DA C a F . ID A C O R P Su b s i d i a r y C o n t r i b u t i o n s 12 M o n t h s En d e d CY 2 0 0 2 CY 2 0 0 3 CY 2 0 0 4 CY 2 0 0 5 Ju n e 3 0 , 2 0 0 6 Id a h o P o w e r C o m p a n y $ 2 . 1. 7 1 1. 7 0 1. 9 9 ID A C O R P E n e r g y c( O . 39 : : : - c( O . 25 : : : - ID A C O R P Fi n a n c i a l Id a - W e s t E n e r g y c( O . 14 : : : - c: : 0 . 13 : : : - Id a - Te c h , I D A C O M M , e t c c: : 0 . 31 : : : - c: : O . ll : : : - c: : 0 . 30 : : : - c: : 0 . 64 ~ * c: : 0 . 62 : : : - ( * To t a l 1. 6 3 1. 2 2 1. 5 0 1. 8 0 ) I n c l u d e s w r i t e - o f f o f G o o d w i l l I m p a i r m e n t C h a r g e .. .. . . . . .. . . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . DA m R P . Cr e d i t R a t i n g s Co r p o r a t e C r e d i t R a t i n g Se n i o r S e c u r e d D e b t Se n i o r U n s e c u r e d D e b t Co m m e r c i a l P a p e r Ra t i n g O u t l o o k Da t e o f L a s t A c t i o n St a n d a r d a n d P o o r Mo o d y Fi t c h m C A Id a h o P o w e r ID A C O R P Id a h o P o w e r ID A C O R P Id a h o P o w e r ID A C O R P BB B + BB B + Ba a l Ba a 2 No n c No l l c ;\ - No l l e N O I l C /\ - No l l e BB B BB B Ba a l Ba a 2 BB B + BB B /\ - /\ - 1" - Ne g a t i v e Ne g a t i v e St a b l e St a b l e St a b l e St a b l e Ma r c h 2 ( ) ( ) 6 De c e m b e r 2 0 0 4 Ja l l u a r y 2 ( ) ( ) ) Th e s e s e c u r i t y r a t i n g s r e f l e c t t h e v i e w s o f t h e r a t i n g a g e n c i e s . A n y r a t i n g c a n b e r e v i s e d up w a r d o r d o w n w a r d o r w i t h d r a w n a t a n y t i m e b y a r a t i n g a g e n c y i f i t d e c i d e s t h a t t h e ci r c u m s t a n c e s w a r r a n t t h e c h a n g e . .. .. . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . .. . . . Id a h o P o w e r O v e r v i e w Id a h o P o w e r C o n l p e t i t i v e R e t a i l R a t e s (f / k W h ) 10 . Re s i d e n t i a l C o m m e r c i a l In d u s t r i a l Id a h o P o w e r C o m p a n y Na t i o n a l A v e r a g e DA C O R P . St r o n g C u s t o l n e r G r o w t h (O O O s ) 47 0 46 4 45 0 43 0 41 0 39 0 37 0 20 0 1 20 0 2 20 0 3 20 0 4 20 0 5 20 0 6 a t Ju n e 3 0 So u r c e : E E l T y p i c a l B i l l s a n d A v e r a g e R a t e s ( R e p o r t a s o f J a n u a r y 1 , 2 0 0 6 ) .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . Id a h o P o w e r Bi l l i n g Co m p a r i s o n s Re s i d e n t i a l E l e c t r i c S e n ' i c e Mo n t h l y C a s t f e r 1 . 0 0 0 k w h As o f J a n u a r y 1 , 2 0 0 6 pO lI o n " " , l u 'k I ' 9 S . DA C O R P . Me d i u n l C o m m e r c i a l E l e c t r i c S e n ' i c e Mo n t h t y C a s t f o r 40 kW a n d 1 4 , 00 0 . k W h As o f J a n u a r y 1 , 2 0 0 6 .0 II o n a l u l u Sm a l l I n d u s t r i a l E l e c t r i c S e n i c e Mo n t h l y C o s t f o r 1 , 00 0 k W a n d 4 0 0 , 00 0 k W h As o f J a n U i l I Y 1 , 2 0 0 6 .0 ll o n o l u i u ~1 G 7 , () . So u , . " , f f l R e , I ~ " , " ' ~ c " m m e r c b l , " " , . " , 1 3 1 ~I I I " "" " " " " " " ' " " L O l l " Ie , . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . 4 DA C O R P . Re g u l a t o r y P r o c e e d i n g s Re t a i Id a h o Ce r t i f i c a t e o f P u b l i c C o n v e n i e n c e a n d N e c e s s i t y 17 0 M w In t e g r a t e d R e s o u r c e P l a n - 2 0 0 6 . P C A - Lo a d g r o w t h ad j u s t l l 1 e n t f a c t o r . N e w PU R P A S t a n d a r d s Ne t l1 1 e t e r i n g Fu e l s o u r c e s Fo s s i l f u e l e f f i c i e n c y Sl 1 1 a r t l 1 1 e t e r i n g In t e r c o n n e c t i o n Fi x e d C o s t A d j u s t l l 1 e n t 11 1 e c h a n i s 1 1 1 (F C A ) Gr i d W e s t d e f e r r a l ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . DA C O R P . Re g u l a t o r y P r o c e e d i n g s Re t a i Or e g o n De f e r r e d a c c o u n t i n g r e q u e s t ( p o w e r s u p p l y e x p e n s e s ) Em i s s i o n a l l o w a n c e s ( e x c e s s S O . P U R P Id a h o P o w e r g e n e r a l r a t e c a s e Gr i d W e s t d e f e r r a l .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . .. . . . . In t e g r a t e d R e s o u r c e Pl a n (I R P ) 2 0 0 6 P r e f e r r e d P o r t f o l i o (2 0 0 6 - 20 2 5 ) Ul n n 1 a r y Re s o u r c e Wi n d 25 0 Ge o t h e r m a l ( B i n a r y ) 15 0 CI - I P 15 0 Tr a n s m i s s I o n 28 5 Co a l 25 0 Re g i o n a l I G C C C o a l 25 0 Nu c l e a r 25 0 To t a l N m n e p l a t e 58 5 DA a R ' . Ti I n e l i n e Ye a . " Re s o u r c e M\ V 20 0 8 Wi n d ( 2 0 0 5 R F P ) 10 0 20 0 9 20 1 0 20 1 2 20 1 2 20 l J 20 1 7 20 1 9 20 2 0 20 2 1 20 2 2 20 2 J Ge o t h e r m a l (: 2 0 0 6 R F P ) CH P Wi n d !5 0 Tr a n s m i s s i o n M c N a r y - Bo i s e 22 5 Wy o m i n g Pl l l v c r i z . c c l C o a l 25 0 Re g i o n a l I G C C C o a l 25 0 Tr a n s m i s s i o n L o l a - IP C CH P 10 0 Ge o t h e r m a l Ge o t h e n n a l lN L N u c l e a r 25 0 To t a l N a m e p l a t e 58 5 * A s f i l e d w i t h I d a h o P u b l i c U t i l i t i e s C o m m i s s i o n o n S e p t . 2 9 . 20 0 6 , n o t y e t a c k n o w l e d g e d . .. .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . DA C O R P . 20 0 6 I R P G o a l s Pr i m a r y G o a l s Id e n t i f y s u f f i c i e n t r e s o u r c e s t o r e l i a b l y s e r v e t h e g r o w i n g d e n l a n d f o r e n e r g y wi t h i n I d a h o P o w e r s s e r v i c e a r e a t h r o u g h o u t t h e 2 0 - ye a r p l a n n i n g p e r i o d En s u r e t h e p o r t f o l i o o f s e l e c t e d r e s o u r c e s b a l a n c e s c o s t , r i s k , a n d en v i r o n l l 1 e n t a l c o n c e r n s Se c o n d a r y G o a l s Gi v e e q u a l a n d b a l a n c e d t r e a t n l e n t t o b o t h s u p p l y - s i d e r e s o u r c e s a n d de m a n d - s i d e m e a s u r e s In v o l v e t h e p u b l i c i n t h e p l a n n i n g p r o c e s s i n a m e a n i n g f u l w a y Ex p l o r e t r a n s m i s s i o n a l t e r n a t i v e s In v e s t i g a t e a n d e v a l u a t e c l e a n - c o a l t e c h n o l o g i e s .. .. . . . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . IR P P u b l i c P o l i c y Is s u e s DA C O R P . We w i l l u s e t h e 2 0 0 6 I R P t o c o m m u n i c a t e I d a h o P o w e r s p o s i t i o n in v i t e c o m m e n t s , a s s e s s l e v e l o f p u b l i c s u p p o r t a n d l a u n c h e f f o r t s t o re s o l v e t h e s e i s s u e s : En v i r o n m e n t a l a t t r i b u t e s o r g r e e n t a g s Em i s s i o n o f f s e t s Fi n a n c i a l d i s i n c e n t i v e s f o r D S M p r o g r a m s . I G C C te c h n o l o g y r i s k As s e t o w n e r s h i p .. . .. . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . DA C O R P . Hy d r o p o w e r P r o j e c t Re l i c e n s i n g S c h e d u l e FE R C Na m e p l a t e Cu r r e n t Fi l e F E R C Li c e n s e Ca p a c i t y Li c e n s e Li c e n s e Pr o j e c t Nu m b e r (M w ) Ex p i r e s Ap p l i c a t i o n He l l s C a n y o n C o m p l e x 19 7 1 1 , 16 7 Ju l y 2 0 0 5 * Ju l y 2 0 0 3 Sw a n F a l l s 50 3 Ju n e 2 0 1 0 Ju n e 2 0 0 8 Bl i s s 19 7 5 Au g . 2 0 3 4 Ju l y 2 0 3 2 Lo w e r S a l m o n 20 6 1 Au g . 2 0 3 4 Ju l y 2 0 3 2 Up p e r S a l m o n A 27 7 7 Au g . 2 0 3 4 Ju l y 2 0 3 2 Up p e r S a l m o n B 27 7 7 Au g . 2 0 3 4 Ju l y 2 0 3 2 Sh o s h o n e F a l l s 27 7 8 Au g . 2 0 3 4 Ju l y 2 0 3 2 J. S t r i k e 20 5 5 Au g . 2 0 3 4 Ju l y 2 0 3 2 Up p e r / L o w e r M a l a d 27 2 6 Ma r c h 2 0 3 5 Fe b . 2 0 3 3 :; : Op e r a t i n g u n c l e r a n n u a l r e n e w a l o f e x i s t i n g l i c e n s e .. .. . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . DA a R ' . Hy d r o S y s t e m Ma p 1J l ~ ~ N /\ ) 'l (. ' R R ~ ' ! t ' I "U N N ' 'L s, D ~ ~ - - " . ~ AR ' O W ,. . . " , f ~ R ' W A N T - ") lf ; ET A ,. r ~~ , ' .'N 'fo N =' '. ' LJ ' I . - , 9 U'B Y ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ HO R n ' MO N T A N A -/ ~ 1 & M r:. ~ E T OX O H ... " , F. 0/ . aO R D ' - , , :, . ' O" " O H F A L L S n t , ~ r- . ( ~ , U" R R t - ~ -- " ~, " -- - - . r ~ : . - .. . , UP P E R S A L M O N R I V E R FI S H P L A N T I N G A R E A "" - d - L" " ' " L O ' , MO H U M ' N T A L 0 " " t' C : . . . . . . n ~ f l r l' , . . . N ' -" ' - ~ wr N " ~ F- ' " "' \ . I t - " .m e , (Ir , Im . . H . . , c ~l. r ! . . 0 " 6 2 DO O S ' l: : ~ J IC ' H A R D O R " ~ - , , - ; - ~" ' ~r l t '- - - - - . . BR I T I S H ;, - CO L U M B I A WA S H I N G T O N \ AI " . ' " " c " 1:: ~ : & ~~ " c o f: j ~ ; J : ' m " " " " ,., c o , Io m h l " " " :: : r , c ; . m m "' """ ' m _ ' " , W t "" ' C , "" " " "" " " " c , , vo , . , c o , W." F , " . 0 . . F ~ ' VO , . . . F , " ' m " RI. . H.. . C O , "" " c o , 0.. c o , "' . " c " ,. . co , '~ " c o , Ho " t , , . , " , "" " ' ~ . c o , - . . - b OR E G O N LE G E N D ID A H O P O W E R D A M S FE D E R A L O A M S A L l A G E N C I E S OT H E R D A M S ID A H O P O W E R F I S H FA C I L I T I E S ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . DA C O R P . FE R C ' s C u r r e n t S c h e d u l e Da v s FE R C : ' ! sg u ~ r ' ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ in i t i a t i n g f o r m a l c o n s u l t a t i o n . Au g u s t 1 , 2 0 0 6 30 d a y s , ' (' " ' FW S 7 ~ M F S ' iS s u ' ~s : " ft ~ \ f ; li l i ' "" " ad e q u a c y o f i n f o r m a t i o n . Se p t e m b e r 1 , 2 0 0 6 60 ra y s .. , . . , , , " ~" " " " " " , , , ! : ; - " ' ~" " " ' " " " " " 9 " ; " Fo r m a l c o n s u l t a t i o n c o m p l e t e . No v e m b e r 1 , 20 0 6 45 d a y s 10 5 12 0 " ~ ! ~ ! 1 ' , J ( * ~ ~ ~ W ' . l ' ; i ( ; ' l" p r : ' ! ! " - W ' o / i l ' ; ' , ' I' ! ' ~ "': " FW S / N M F S i s s u e s ' ' " , ' bi o l o g i c a l o p i n i o n . De c e m b e r 1 , 2 0 0 6 13 5 :~ " " " ) " ' ", " " i " "" " " ", , ' . ' ; ! f i . . e D r u a r y " 2 0 U 7 ! C " " " ~ i " " " , :" : . .." . , ' ' " ' FE R C i s s u e s fi n a l NE P A d o c u m e n t . 40 1 W / Q C ; ~ ? ? ~ . :t ~ ~ .. .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . 4 DA C O R P . Br o w n l e e R e s e r v o i r In f l o w s 10 .1. 0 19 9 9 Ap r i l t o J u l y (M i l l i o n A c r e - Fe e t ) No r m a l 6 . 20 0 0 20 0 1 20 0 2 20 0 3 20 0 4 * N o r t h w e s t R i v e r F o r e c a s t C e n t e r .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . .. . . . 4 8: 8 DA C O R P . Br o w n l e e R e s e r v o i r In f l o w s 19 6 0 t o 2 0 0 6 Ap r i l t o J u l y (M i l l i o n A c r e - Fe e t ) 19 6 0 19 7 0 19 8 0 19 9 0 20 0 0 20 0 6 .. . . . . .. . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . .. . . . 4 NW S 3 0 & g O - Da y Te m p e r a t u r e F o r e c a s t Oc t o b e r 2 0 0 6 DA C O R P . Oc t o b e r - De c e m b e r 2 0 0 6 No t e s o n f o r e c a s t m a p s : 1. EC = e q u a l c h a n c e s ( 3 3 % ) o f b e l o w n o r m a l , n o r m a l , a n d a b o v e n o r m a l t e m p e r a t u r e s 2. A = e l e v a t e d c h a n c e ( g r e a t e r t h a n 3 3 % ) o f a b o v e n o r m a l t e m p e r a t u r e s w i t h a s s o c i a t e d pr o b a b i l i t y c o n t o u r s 3. B = e l e v a t e d c h a n c e ( g r e a t e r t h a n 3 3 % ) o f b e l o w n o r m a l t e m p e r a t u r e s w i t h as s o c i a t e d p r o b a b i l i t y c o n t o u r s 4, N = e l e v a t e d c h a n c e o f n o r m a l t e m p e r a t u r e s Ma p s i s s u e d b y N W S S e p t e m b e r 2 1 , 2 0 0 6 .. .. . . . . .. . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . .. . DA C O R P . NW S 3 0 & g O - Da y Pr e c i p i t a t i o n F o r e c a s t Oc t o b e r 2 0 0 6 No t e s o n f o r e c a s t m a p s : Oc t o b e r - De c e m b e r 2 0 0 6 EC = e q u a l c h a n c e s ( 3 3 % ) o f b e l o w n o r m a l , n o r m a l , a n d a b o v e n o r m a l p r e c i p i t a t i o n A = e l e v a t e d c h a n c e ( g r e a t e r t h a n 3 3 % ) o f a b o v e n o r m a l pr e c i p i t a t i o n w i t h a s s o c i a t e d p r o b a b i l i t y c o n t o u r s B = e l e v a t e d c h a n c e ( g r e a t e r t h a n 3 3 % ) o f b e l o w n o r m a l pr e c i p i t a t i o n w i t h a s s o c i a t e d p r o b a b i l i t y c o n t o u r s Ma p s i s s u e d b y N W S S e p t e m b e r 2 1 , 2 0 0 6 .. .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 8 4 Fo r Ad d i t i o n a l I n f o r m a t i o n DA a J R P . La w r e n c e F . S p e n c e r Di r e c t o r o f I n v e s t o r R e l a t i o n s (2 0 8 ) 3 8 8 - 26 6 4 LS p e n c e r &J id a h o p o w e r . c o m St e v e n R . K e e n Vi c e P r e s i d e n t a n d T r e a s u r e r (2 0 8 ) 3 8 8 - 26 0 0 SK e e n & J i d a h o p o w e r . c o m Da r r e l T . A n d e r s o n Sr . V i c e P r e s i d e n t - Ad m i n i s t r a t i v e S e r v i c e s Ch i e f F i n a n c i a l O f f i c e r (2 0 8 ) 3 8 8 - 26 5 0 An d e r s o n &J id a h o p o w e r . c o m