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HomeMy WebLinkAbout20061218Vol II Part II.pdfcost assumptions that Idaho Power made, they assumed that there would be no incremental fixed operating costs at all other than property tax if the proj ect was located at the Evander Andrews site.I think that's probably unrealistic.At the same time they made that assumption, they assumed that all of the fixed operating costs for the last two years at Danskin, or the existing Danskin plant at the Evander Andrews site, that nearly all of those costs would have to be entirely replicated if that proj ect was located at the (**Confidential**) site. , think that's also unrealistic.Those are probably the two biggest examples that I can think of. One last question here.Should there be a limit on how much money the Company should pay to overcome their perceived assessment of risk on the non-price attributes? Well , I wouldn t necessarily say there should be a 1 imi t.I think non-price attributes need to be fairly valued and evaluated and compared to price issues.I think there is some point at which non-price issues can overcome some of the price factors, but there certainly is a limit to how much that can happen. don t know if I can cite a hard limit.In other words , I don t think any price could necessarily be overcome by non-price factors. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 184 STERLING (Di)Staff83676 Should customers be concerned in this case about the amount of money being spent to overcome an CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho assessment of non-price factor risk? Certainly. MR. WALKER:Nothing further. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Thank you. Questions? 185 STERLING (Di)Staff83676 EXAMINATION BY COMMISSIONER SMITH: I just have one question , Mr. Sterling, kind of a philosophical one, and that is your view of the Commission s responsibility when evaluating proposals to build new plants and put this in rate base , is it simply one of dollars and cents or is it something more? , I don t think it's limited to just dollars and cents.I think there are a variety of different factors and I think Idaho Power considered a variety of different factors besides just dollars and cents.There are permitting issues , there are air quality issues , there are operational issues, a whole variety of different things that need to be considered. So I guess my question is, what is the Commission s responsibility when we review it?Is it to review those same kind of factors in the same way the Company did or is it to just look at what the Company did to see if we can satisfy ourselves that it was adequate? Well , I don t think it's the Commission or the Commission Staff's responsibility to entirely replicate and reevaluate all of the same criteria, but think we do need to carefully look at what the Company CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 186 STERLING (Corn)Staff83676 and its evaluation team did, the assumptions that they made to see whether we think what they did was reasonable and fair. And in spite of your recalculation of this difference that may be the minimum of (**Confidential**) , you still believe that this is not the best proj ect? Yes, I still believe that even though it' not the (**Confidential**) difference, that it's a minimum of (**Confidential**) , I still probably would have chosen the other proposal, the (**Confidential **) proposal. Thank you.Thank youCOMMISSIONER SMITH: for your help, Mr. Sterling. (The witness left the stand. COMMISSIONER SMITH:I deduce from my notebook that you don t have other w~tnesses. MR. WALKER:That is correct, Madam Chairman. COMMISSIONER SMITH:I guess we ll go to Mr. Thompson. MR. THOMPSON:Yes, the Industrial Customers of Idaho Power would like to call Dr. Reading to the stand, Dr. Don Reading. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 187 STERLING (Corn)Staff83676 DON C. READING, produced as a witness at the instance of the Industrial Customers of Idaho Power , having been first duly sworn, was examined and testified as follows: BY MR. THOMPSON: DIRECT EXAMINATION Dr. Reading, are you the same Dr. Don Reading who caused direct testimony with Exhibit Nos. 201 CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho through 242 to be filed in this proceeding? Yes. And was that prefiled direct testimony and attached exhibits prepared by you or under your Yes. Do you have any corrections or additions to make to your testimony and/or exhibits today? Yes. Would you explain what that correction or On page 28, lines 16 and 17 , the sentence that says, "My understanding is that under PURPA regulations , projects over 80 megawatts are not considered QFs," in retrospect, a CHP or true supervision? addition is? 188 READING (Di) ICIP83676 cogeneration proj ects are exempt from that, so as was pointed out in Mr. Stokes ' testimony, he is correct and am incorrect. So how would you correct your testimony if you might have said that? I would just eliminate that paragraph. That paragraph or that I I m sorry, that sentence, right.It does not change my general conclusions , but that point is incorrect. Thank you.If I were to ask you the same questions today that you were asked in your prefiled direct testimony, would your answers be the same? Wi th that correction , yes. Thank you.With that,MR. THOMPSON: Madam Chair , I move that the prefiled direct testimony of Dr. Reading be spread upon the record in this matter as if it were read in full and Exhibit Nos. 201 through 242 be identified in the record. COMMISSIONER SMITH:If there s no obj ection, we will spread the testimony, keeping in mind what belongs in the open transcript and what is confidential. (The following prefiled direct testimony of Dr. Don Reading is spread upon the record. CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 189 READING (Di) ICIP83676 INTRODUCTION PLEASE STATE YOUR NAME AND BUISNESS ADDRESS. My name is Don Reading and my business address is Ben Johnson Associates 6070 Hill Road , Boise, Idaho. HAVE YOU PREPARED AN EXHIBIT OUTLINING YOUR QUALIFICATIONS AND BACKGROUND? Yes.Exhibit No. 201 serves that purpose. WHAT IS THE PURPOSE OF YOUR TESTIMONY IN THIS CASE? I have been retained by the Industrial Customers of Idaho Power (" ICIP") to review Idaho Power s request for a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity ("Certificate ) for the proposed Evander Andrews 170 MW gas-fired peaking plant, proposed to be constructed near Mt. Home Idaho.I am offering this testimony in order to present the evidence supporting my conclusions that Idaho Power has not demonstrated that the public convenience and necessity requirements have been met for the construction of the Evander Andrews plant. COULD YOU PLEASE PROVIDE A BRIEF 190 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-06- DESCRIPTION OF ICIP AND ITS INTEREST IN THIS PROCEEDING? ICIP is an unincorporated association of Schedule 19 customers of Idaho Power.All ICIP members receive electric utility services from Idaho Power Company.ICIP is very concerned with making sure that Idaho Power makes wise resource decisions and chooses the best and most cost-effective al ternati ves for meeting its power supply obligations. 191 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- COULD YOU PLEASE PROVIDE A BRIEF SUMMARY OF YOUR TESTIMONY? Yes.For the numerous reasons set forth in my testimony, the proposed Evander Andrews proj ect is the wrong resource for Idaho Power to be constructing at this time.The Commission should rej ect Idaho Power s application for a Certificate to construct the Evander Andrews proj ect because it has not demonstrated that the public convenience and necessity requires it. As discussed in detail below , there are several fundamental problems with Idaho Power application and the proposed proj ect.These problems include: 1) the proposed proj ect was only evaluated using information known by Idaho Power to be outdated and inaccurate; 2) the proposed proj ect does not comply with Idaho Power s 2004 Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) and is not supported by the more recent 2006 IRP; 3) Idaho Power failed to take an accurate and comprehensive look at several al ternati ves it has for meeting its peak demand and the actual loads it will be servlng; and 4) Idaho Power has not justified its selection of a natural gas plant which is substantially more expensive than other similar proj ects. 192 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06-09 II.PUBLIC CONVENIENCE AND NECESSITY DO YOU HAVE ANY CONCERNS ABOUT IDAHO POWER I S APPLICATION THAT STEM FROM THE FACT THAT THE PROPOSED PLANT IS A NATURAL GAS-FIRED COMBUSTION TURBINE? 193 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Yes I do.Natural gas electrical plants are increasingly being viewed as high risk and costly resource choices.Natural gas plants are generally expensive to operate , and have highly volatile fuel costs, which makes most of their operating costs highly variable.Addi tionally, there are questions about whether it is prudent to use gas solely to create electrici ty, given the relatively low energy efficiency of burning natural gas solely for power generation purposes. This Commission has also expressly stated concerns about Idaho Power s reliance on new natural gas-fired electric plants.In reviewing Idaho Power 2004 IRP , this Commission stated, We are also pleased to see that the Company preferred portfolio includes larger acquisitions of renewable resources, namely wind and geothermalresources. However, the Company s continued reliance on new gas-fired generation to meet summer peak causes us particular concern for two reasons.First , natural gas prices continue to be volatile. Second, the continued effects of the drought on irrigation pumping and other state actions that reduce the amount of irrigation pumping creates uncertainty regarding the need for additional peaking resources. We are also concerned about a possible over-reliance on natural gas peakers as a fall back position due to a lack of transmission capaci ty. (Order No. 29762, IPC-E-04-18, p. 10). The Commission s concerns are as valid today as they were in 2004. 194 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- WHY DOES THE COMPANY CLAIM IT NEEDS A NATURAL-GAS PEAKING RESOURCE AT THIS TIME? Idaho Power states that customer growth is the primary driving force behind the Company need for additional generating resources.(Said Direct, pp. 3-4).The 195 Reading (Di) - ICIP I PC-E-O 6-0 9 Company s stated main reason for seeking a natural gas peaking plant is that its 2004 Integrated Resource Plan (" IRP") Near-Term Action Plan included an 8 8 MW natural gas combustion turbine peaking resource.(Idaho Power Application pp. 3-4).The proposed Evander Andrews proj ect is a 170 MW resource.Al though the proposed plant is nearly double the size of the plant called for in Idaho Power s 2004 IRP , Idaho Power argues that it is consistent with the 2004 IRP.(Idaho Power Application pp. 3-4). WHY HAS IDAHO POWER COMPANY DOUBLED THE SIZE OF THE PROPOSED PLANT FROM WHAT WAS CALLED FOR IN THE COMPANY'S 2004 IRP? The Company I s explanation is that it was able to obtain economies of scale, or more capacity at a competi ti ve price.(Exhibit No. 202, Response to ICI P Request for Production No.1) .The Company is not claiming that it requires such a large plant in order to ensure that it can meet its peak loads. DO YOU AGREE THAT BECAUSE THE 2004 IRP CALLS FOR A PEAKING RESOURCE, COUPLED WITH IDAHO POWER'S CUSTOMER GROWTH IDAHO POWER HAS JUSTIFIED THE NEED FOR THE EVANDER ANDREWS PROJECT? No. It has been more than two years since the Company filed its 2004 IRP with the Commission. 196 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06-09 (IPC-E-04-18) .The information used to prepare the 2D04 IRP (obviously complied in the months before that filing) is substantially outdated.There have been significant changes in both the energy picture and Idaho Power situation since the filing of the 2004 IRP that cast doubt on the need for a large natural gas 197 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- powered peaking unit at this time. In addition , the Company has developed and provided the ICIP with a draft of its 2006 IRP in this proceeding.(Idaho Power filed its Final 2006 IRP on October 2 , 2006).The draft and final 2006 IRPs contain updated information , on a more current basis.It would be more appropriate to use the current 2006 IRP information to evaluate the question of whether to construct the Evander Andrews proj ect, or acquire other al ternati ve resources to meet the Company s load. YOU SEEM CONCERNED THE PROPOSED 170 MW FACILITY IS BEING JUSTIFIED BASED ON THE COMPANY' 2004 IRP RATHER THAN CURRENT INFORMATION.COULD YOU EXPLAIN YOUR CONCERNS FURTHER? It is not prudent for a utility to base expensive resource decisions on outdated information.Al though one can always second guess a decision with the benefit of hindsight , basing a current decision on outdated and inaccurate data is a different si tuation-one that can and should be avoided. In its decision approving the Danskin unit (currently on the site of the plant proposed in this case), the Commission stated, The Commission finds that Idaho Power is entitled to include Danskin plant costs in rate base. The extraordinary conditions that existed at the time 198 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Danskin was developed warranted a rapid response by the Company , and justify the investment in a peaking facility that by design is more costly to operate than other types of facilities. (IPUC Order No. 29505 , IPC-E-03-13, p. 18)(emphasis added).Unlike the Danskin proj ect, however, which was concei ved and constructed in the middle of the California 199 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- energy debacle, the situation for the proposed Evander Andrews proj ect differs because the Company is not facing an energy crisis like the one that was occurring when the certificate for Danskin was issued.In the case of Evander Andrews, the Commission and Idaho Power have the abili ty to make a deliberative and thoughtful resource decision based on current, accurate information , before Idaho Power begins construction of the proj ect.In this instance , the requested Certificate should be denied based on an analysis of current information.The Commission s determinations should not be based on the conditions that existed in the 2004 IRP, or even those that existed at the time Idaho Power issued its Request for Proposals for a peaking resource. Basing a Certificate determination on current information only makes good sense, and seems to be the standard backed by the Idaho Supreme Court, that stated in Cambridge Telephone Co. v. Pine Telephone, " Lt J he concept of 'public convenience and necessity should be considered in light of current and changing circumstances." 109 Idaho 875, 879 (1985). CAN YOU GIVE AN EXAMPLE OF HOW RELEVANT INFORMATION HAS CHANGED BETWEEN THE TIME OF THE 2004 IRP AND THE 2006 IRP? Yes.As an example, the forecast for 200 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC- E-O 6-0 9 natural gas prices in 2006 was projected to be $4.89 per therm in the 2004 IRP , but the 2006 IRP shows that they are now more than 65% higher at $8.23 per thermo Additionally, as compared to the assumptions in the 2004 IRP , the Company now expects natural gas prices to be more than $1.00 per therm higher over the next 29 years. Graph 1 below depicts this.Natural gas prices are now expected to be especially high in the near term. 201 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06-09 Graph 1 IPCo IRP Natural Gas Price Forecast $11. $10. --.-- ..--- --..------ - --_.- -..-------- --------- --..-- --- ---- --__m_ __----- $8.00 --- $6. $5. ------------------ ----------.---! $4. -+-20041PR --- 2006 IRP I created this graph using the 2004 IRP and the Draft 2006 IRP. YOU STATE THAT NATURAL GAS PRICES HAVE CHANGED SUBSTANTIALLY SINCE THE 2004 IRP.DIDN' IDAHO POWER UPDATE THOSE NUMBERS IN ITS EVALUATION OF WHETHER THE EVANDER ANDREWS PROJECT WAS AN APPROPRIATE RESOURCE TO BUILD? No, it did not.In direct testimony, Mr. Said states even though natural gas prices have risen substantially since the 2004 IRP, all the units bid in response to the Request For Proposals ("RFP") for a peaking resource were evaluated with the same gas price- price known to be significantly outdated and inaccurate. Mr. Said states, 202 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Forecasted natural gas prices from the 2004 IRP were used in the bid evaluation. Forecasted natural gas prices have gone up substantially since the issuance of the 2004 IRP, but the same price forecast was utilized in the evaluation of all of the natural gas-fired project proposals and, as a result,proj ects with lower guaranteed heat rates had lower fuel costs on a dollar per megawatt basis. (Said Direct, p. 15). 203 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- The ICIP followed up with a Request for Production, asking "At any time during its evaluation of the various responses to Idaho Power s RFP, did Idaho Power use an updated forecast of natural gas prices?" Idaho Power responded, Idaho Power did not use, nor was it necessary to use, an updated forecast of natural gas prices to evaluate the responses to the RFP. In bid evaluations, it is only necessary that the same gas price forecast be used to calculate estimated variable operating costs for all of the bids to allow for a consistent cost comparison among the bids. (Exhibit No. 203, Idaho Power s Response to Request for Production No. 23 of ICIP)(emphasis in original) IF ALL OF THE BIDS WERE EVALUATED USING THE SAME GAS FORECAST, AREN'T YOUR CONCERNS ABOUT RELYING ON OUTDATED INFORMATION ALLEVIATED? No.Al though using the same gas forecast (even if outdated) may have allowed the Company to determine which natural gas plant bid in response to the RFP was the least cost, Idaho Power s use of a significantly outdated gas price forecast prevented them from considering the fundamental question that must be answered before seeking a Certificate to build the gas-fired plant.That question is:gi ven the known substantial" increase in natural gas prices, is this gas-fired resource the best resource choice? 204 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- As I discuss in my testimony, there are viable alternatives to gas fired generation, such as combined heat and power, also known as cogeneration or CHP increased Demand-Side Management DSM"acti vi ty, and other proven methods for decreasing or meeting peak demand.The approach used by Idaho Power to determine that it should build the Evander Andrews plant-relying on an outdated IRP , and on stale 205 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC- E-O 6-0 9 gas price information known to be inaccurate-simply short-circui ted a meaningful inquiry into whether the plant is the best resource option given the significant changes over the past few years and current proj ections into the future. ASIDE FROM SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER NATURAL GAS PRICES, WHAT OTHER EVIDENCE SUPPORTS YOUR CONTENTION THAT CURRENT INFORMATION UNDERMINES THE PURPORTED NEED FOR A 170 MW NATURAL GAS FIRED TURBINE? The "preferred portfolio " in Idaho Power s own 2006 IRP does not call for any gas-fired combustion turbines like the Evander Andrews plant. fact, of the four resource portfolios examined in the 2006 IRP, only one contained a natural gas-fired resource (other than CHP) In its 2006 IRP, the Company explains how current and forecasted natural gas prices have affected the Company s decisions regarding future use of natural gas-fired combustion turbines.The Company states that LgJ iven current and forecasted natural gas prices purchasing energy from the regional markets, up to the limi ts of the transmission system , will most likely be more economical than operating the Lnatural gas combustion turbines as an energy resource.(Exhibit No. 204 , Idaho Power Final 2006 IRP p. 98).Addi tionally, 206 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- the Company explains that it expects to operate combustion turbines only when customer load exceeds the generation capacity of its other generation units and the import capacity of the transmission system.(Exhibit No. 204 , Idaho Power Final 2006 IRP, p.98). Thus, according to Idaho Power , it is expected to be less expensive to purchase 207 Reading (Di) - ICIP lOa I PC- E-O 6-0 9 power on the market than to incur the variable running costs of gas fired power.This would mean that the proposed plant in this case would not be run for off-system sales , and the plant would be run only when transmission constraints prevent the importation of power.The results of the Company s model runs which show the plant producing only 60,331 MWh over the next 25 years (discussed later in my testimony) also support the conclusion that Idaho Power would use the Evander Andrews plant very little. YOU STATE THAT THE 2006 IRP DOES NOT SUPPORT THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE EVANDER ANDREWS PLANT. BUT , DOESN'T THE 2006 IRP ASSUME THE EVANDER ANDREWS PLANT IS ALREADY PART OF IDAHO POWER I S RESOURCE MIX? For that reason, the 2006 IRPYes. does not provide any evaluation by Idaho Power of whether the Evander Andrews plant is a good resource choice at this time. GIVEN THAT THE 2006 IRP SIMPLY ASSUMES THE EVANDER ANDREWS PLANT IS BUILT, IS THERE ANY WAY THE 2006 IRP, OR THE INFORMATION SUPPORTING IT, CAN BE USED TO DETERMINE WHETHER EVANDER ANDREWS I S A GOOD RESOURCE CHOICE BASED ON CURRENT INFORMATION? The 2006 IRP information helpsYes. shed light on the usefulness and value of the Evander 208 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC- E-O 6-0 9 Andrews plant in a couple of ways.Al though Idaho Power did not undertake the task of using the 2006 IRP information to evaluate the Evander Andrews proj ect, I have been able to do that to some extent using the information gathered in this proceeding. 209 Reading (Di) - ICIP lla IPC-E-06- The Commission Staff asked the Company for load-resource balance data by month for each of the years 2006-2026, both with and without the Evander Andrews plant, using the data from the 2006 IRP.(Exhibit No. 206, Commission Staff 4th Production Request, No. 96) .Commission Staff stated because "2006 IRP load-resource balance data has been in use by the Company for several months during the preparation of the 2006 IRP ... Staff assumed it could also be used to re-examine the need for the Evander Andrews plant.The Company did not undertake a model run to determine the results requested by Staff. Instead, in its response the Company simply stated its guess that, if 2006 IRP data were used and the Evander Andrews plant were considered an option , rather than an assumed resource, a peaking resource like the Evander Andrews plant "would have most likely been included" in the 2006 IRP's preferred portfolio.(Exhibit No. 207 Idaho Power Response to Staff 4th Production Request, No. (emphasis added).This statement speaks nothing of95) the size of such resource, or how that determination was made. Another way that the 2006 IRP data can be used to determine whether the Evander Andrews plant is a good resource decision at this time is to use it to estimate how often the resource is expected to run. 210 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Idaho Power did provide some information on this topic at the request of Commission Staff, which demonstrated the plant is forecast to be used only rarely, and only in the near-term. In its Request for Production No.2 6, Commission Staff asked Idaho Power to provide estimates by month for the period from June 2007 to December 2027 of the number of hours the Evander Andrews plant will be expected to operate.The Company 211 Reading (Di) - ICIP 12a IPC-E-06- answered generally that the number of hours the plant will be expected to operate will depend on a variety of factors.(See Exhibit No. 208 , Response to Commission Staff's Request for Production No.2 6) . Staff then asked a follow-up question explaining that it was seeking an estimate of the actual hours the Company estimated Evander Andrews would run, as predicted by the AURORA simulation model , using the resource portfolio selected in the 2006 IRP.(Exhibi t No. 209, Commission Staff's Second Production Request at No. 100).The Company responded with an AURORA run under average water conditions, average load conditions, and 90th percentile peak-hour loads.The results of that model run showed the Evander Andrews plant producing only 60,331 MWh over the next 25 years (See Exhibit 209). the total proj ected production over the next 25 years, 93% or 56 300 MWh is expected to occur in the three years between 2008 and 2010.Further, the results showed that the Evander Andrews plant is expected to produce zero MWh under average water conditions for any year after 2015. The Company attempted to explain this surprising result by stating, Under more severe conditions for the Idaho South bubble " and the remainder of the WECC zones, such as 90th percentile water and 95th percentile peak-hour loads, the CTs are expected to dispatchmore frequently. 212 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Thus, based on the Company s best estimate, it appears that the plant may only be used to generate an amount of energy equal to 355 hours of running at full capacity under average water conditions.Almost all of that would occur between 2008 and 2010, with the plant sitting idle after 2015.Al though the Company states that it would expect the plant to be dispatched "more frequently" in more severe conditions, that is the extent of 213 Reading (Di) - ICIP 13a IPC- E-O 6-0 9 the Company s analysis. Using the $ 60 million commitment estimate for construction of the plant would mean a cost of $995 per MWh under average water conditions.This does not include the $22.8 million of estimated transmission costs required for the proj ect, which push the cost on a per MWh basis to over $1 350.Addi tionally, I would point out that the Company expects the highest usage of the plant to be over the first few years after construction the time period over which natural gas prlces are expected to remain relatively high. WHAT ELSE DOES THE 2006 DRAFT IRP SAY ABOUT SIMPLE CYCLE COMBUSTION TURBINES, SUCH AS THE EVANDER ANDREWS PROJECT? The Draft 2006 IRP , provided to ICIP in this proceeding states that L FJ easible sites and gas supply currently exist forfuture LSimple-Cycle Combustion TurbineJ development. However , the forecasted trend of high natural gas prices has reduced interest in future SSCT generation plants. (Exhibit No. 205, Draft 2006 IRP p. 46).This statement was in the August 1 , 2006 Draft of the 2006 IRP but was deleted from the final version, which I find unusual. WHY DO YOU FIND IT UNUSUAL FOR THAT PARTICULAR STATEMENT TO BE EDITED OUT OF THE FINAL 2006 IRP? 214 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Because it an accurate description of the reason for waning interest in SSCT' s in the industry. The statement indicates how conditions have changed since the Company issued their 2004 IRP, which is being used to justify the proposed proj ect in this docket.It is a bit self-serving for Idaho Power I s final IRP to eliminate talk of "reduced interest" 1 7 215 Reading (Di) - ICIP 14a IPC-E-06- in the very type of technology it is attempting to get this Commission to sanction in the form of a Certificate for Public Convenience and Necessity. GIVEN IDAHO POWER'S STATEMENT THAT RUNNING EVANDER ANDREWS WOULD ONLY BE ECONOMICAL WHEN TRANSMISSION IMPORT IS IMPOSSIBLE , DOES THE 2006 IRP CALL FOR ADDITIONAL TRANSMISSION UPGRADES TO ALLEVIATE THE LIMITATIONS ON SERVING PEAK DEMAND ECONOMICALLY? Yes.The 2006 IRP shows that Idaho Power is planning significant transmission upgrades. states that " LtJ he 2006 IRP includes 285 MW of transmission upgrades, significantly improving Idaho Power s ability to import power.(Exhibit No. 204 Idaho Power 2006 IRP , p. 98).In general, the 2006 IRP seems to recognize that building natural gas plants not a preferred approach to meeting future peak demand, and that transmission upgrades may be a more sensible course of action in comparison. ASIDE FROM UTILIZING EXISTING OR NEW IMPORT CAPABILITIES, ARE THERE OTHER WAYS IN WHICH IDAHO POWER COULD MEET ITS PEAK DEMAND WITHOUT CONSTRUCTING THE EVANDER ANDREWS PLANT? Yes.Idaho Power s claim of a need for the Evander Andrews plant does not appear to be based on an accurate and comprehensive look at the resources 216 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- that are, or will be available to Idaho Power , or the loads that Idaho Power will be serving..A comprehensive evaluation shows that the plant is not required at this time. 217 Readihg (Di) - ICIP 15a IPC-E-06-09 PLEASE EXPLAIN WHAT OTHER RESOURCES ARE AVAILABLE TO IDAHO POWER FOR MEETING ITS PEAK DEMAND. There are several resources that Idaho Power has overlooked:1) Idaho Power has not taken advantage of significant combined heat and power (CHP) proj ects that would obviate any need for Evander Andrews, 2) Idaho Power has overlooked proven methods for utilizing diversified generation to meet peak demands, Idaho Power has not effectively utilized Demand-Side Management (DSM) resources and has failed to account for future DSM savings, 4) Idaho Power has not accounted for the amount of power that will be available to it through Small Power Producer and PURPA purchases, and 5) Idaho Power has failed to look into the costs of alternatives that it has acknowledged it would turn to if the Certificate for the Evander Andrews plant were denied. * * * * * CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION FOLLOWS * * * * * 218 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06-09 The cost of the Evander Andrews plant, on the other hand , are substantially higher.The Company did not indicate in its application or testimony what it expects the cost of production for the proposed facility to be, other than the $ 60 million Commitment Estimate for the construction of the proj ect , and an estimated $22. million for necessary transmission.However , the 2004 IRP indicated a levelized cost of $89.04 per MWh for Bennett Mtn CT 2nd Unit'(162 MW), which would be a good cost proxy for the Evander plant.In the 2006 IRP, the Company states that its costs are based on the Northwest Power and Conservation Council'(NWPPC) 5th Power Plan. The NWPPC puts the benchmark cost of a simple-cycle natural gas resource, like the Evander Andrews plant, at $250 per MWh with a 5% capacity factor.The difference between these cost estimates is that, unlike CHP generation , which is generally considered more of a base-load resource, single-cycle combustion turbines such as Evander Andrews are peaking units.When calculating the cost of peaking generation facilities the assumed capacity factor - how often the plant is on-line - impacts the costs on a per MWh basis.NWPPC's estimate used a low capacity factor in the calculation of its costs resulting in the high per MWh value.Idaho Power obviously uses a significantly higher capacity factor in 228 Reading (Di) - ICIP I PC-E-O 6-0 9 its 2004 IRP. The Commission Staff , in analyzing the Bennett Mountain combustion turbine, estimated that the cost of that facility over a 10 year period with a capaci ty factor of 20% would be $ 7 8 per MWh.(Order 29410, Case IPC-E-03-, p. 8). * * * * * CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION FOLLOWS * * * * * 229 Reading (Di) - ICIP 22a IPC-E-06- As stated earlier , given that Idaho Power projects the Evander Andrews plant to run very little, the costs on a per MWh basis of the Evander Andrews plant could be as much as $1 350. ISN'T THE HIGH PRICE OF THE EVANDER ANDREWS PROJECT ON A PER MWh BAS I S S IMPL Y DUE TO THE FACT THAT IT WILL NOT RUN VERY MANY HOURS AS A PEAKER PLANT? That is characteristic of a peaker plant.However , the important question here is at what cost will the Evander Andrews plant serve Idaho Power customers during those peak hours, and what cheaper alternatives may exist for serving load.As outlined in this testimony, I believe there are many al ternati ves that Idaho Power could turn to.Many of those could meet the limited role that the Evander Andrews plant would serve, at a lower cost , or at a currently unknown cost, since Idaho Power appears to not have sufficiently analyzed them. * * * * * CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION FOLLOWS * * * * * 231 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- IN ADDITION TO DISCUSSING CHP AS A SUBSTITUTE FOR THE EVANDER ANDREWS PLANT , YOU STATED EARLIER THAT IDAHO POWER HAS OVERLOOKED OTHER PROVEN METHODS FOR UTILIZING DIVERSIFIED GENERATION TO MEET PEAK DEMANDS.PLEASE EXPLAIN. Another proven method for utilizing diversified generation (generation installed throughout a utility s service territory) to meet peak demands is through contracting with commercial and industrial facili ty owners to make use of their backup generation There appears to be a wealth of untappedfacilities. peaking capacity in Idaho Power s service territory. ON WHAT DO YOU BASE THAT ASSERTION? A report by the Northwest Power Planning Council (Feasibili ty of Emergency Electrical Genera tion Uni ts to Serve System Load Requiremen ts, Northwest Power Planning Council (August 17 , 2001)) found: " LEJ mergency generators are available in a variety of commercial and industrial buildings as well as hospi tals, high schools, colleges, jails, and public safety facilities. According to industry information Washington , Oregon, Idaho, and Montana have just over 26,000 generators within their borders. (Exhibit No. 218, Feasibility of Electrical Generation Uni ts to Serve System Load Requirements , p. 1).The report shows the State of Idaho has 1,438 generators 241 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- ranging from 50 kW to over 2 MW, with 27 generators having a capacity of at least 2 MW.(Exhibit No. 218, Feasibility of Electrical Generation Units to Serve System Load Requirements, p. 9, Table 1).This peaking capaci ty could be tapped by Idaho Power to 242 Reading (Di) - ICI P 30a IPC-E-06-09 meet its system peak load. HOW CAN YOU BE SO SURE THAT THIS PEAKING RESOURCE IS AVAILABLE TO IDAHO POWER FOR ITS USE? Because other Northwest utilities are currently running successful programs that do just that right now.For example Portland General Electric (PGE) has established a Dispatchable Standby Generation (DSG) program , though which it has acquired a significant virtual peaking plant" at a very low cost.In exchange for the ability to dispatch a standby generator for up to 4 0 0 hours per year, PGE offers support and maintenance services to the customer , and installs all necessary swi tching to allow the generator to instantaneously put power onto the grid.The system operates in parallel wi th PGE' s system so there is no service interruption. Addi tionally, if the building owner requires the emergency backup generator for backup purposes, the swi tching automatically makes that happen without interruption. Under its DSG program , PGE will: Upgrade switchgear and install control and communications hardware at no charge to the customer; Assume all maintenance and operation costs, including fuel costs, costs ofrepairs, and overhauls Provide additional sound attenuation, if needed, to quiet the generator system 243 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Provide additional fuel storage, if needed Test the generator at least once a month under full load (a benefit for the engine) Provide financing if a customer is purchasing a new generator or upgrading its system (Exhibit No. 219, Dispatchable Standby Generation) 244 Reading tDi) - ICIP 31a IPC-E-06- IT SEEMS LIKE A VERY SIMPLE SOLUTION TO PEAKING PROBLEMS AT LOAD CENTERS, CAN SUCH AN EASY SOLUTION REALLY WORK? Yes.For example , on July 24, 2006, PGE successfully dispatched 25.5 MW under its DSG program to meet its peak demand.(Exhibit No. 220, Standby generation picks up extra load during heat wave) .PGE will have a total of 45 MW available under its DSG program by the end of 2007, and estimates that it may be able to develop as much as 100 MW.(Exhibit No. 221, Portland General Electric 2002 Integrated Resource Plan Final Action Update, p. 7 (March 23 , 2006)). In describing its DSG program, PGE has stated, We have found that customer enthusiasm and adoption rates for this program have been higher than we originally anticipated. The high levels of customer interest and participation have allowed PGE to establish one of the most successful customer-based capacity programs of its kind This option, because of its distributed nature, also provides reliability benefits for PGE and the host customers. DSG is a high qualitycost-effective capacity resource that also serves as reserve capacity .... Since we have received inquiries and further interest from customers beyond our current implementation, we believe that the DSG program could potentially be expanded to help meet more of PGE' s future capaci ty needs. (Exhibi t No. 221, Portland General Electric 2002 Integrated Resource Plan Final Action Update , p. 7 (March 245 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06-09 23, 2006)(emphasis provided)) . WHAT ABOUT AIR QUALITY CONCERNS? Addressing questions about air quali ty concerns, ,PGE has found that the limited number of hours that each plant can be operated "does not impair the effectiveness of DSG as a capacity option " since it is used only during peak events.(Exhibit No. 221, Portland General Electric 2002 Integrated Resource Plan Final Action Update , p. 7 246 Reading (Di) - ICI P 32a IPC-06- (March 23, 2006)). IS THIS AN EXPENSIVE ALTERNATIVE? No.It is cheaper than Evandar Andrews, the other CHP discussed ealier in my testimony or even the generic CHP identified in Idaho Power s IRP. Significantly, documents presented to the Oregon Public Utili ty Commission by PGE regarding the program list an estimated cost of the capacity acquired under the program at about $23/KW-yr.(Exhibit No. 222, PowerPoint Presentation Stakeholder Dialogue No.4, PGE' s 2006 Integrated Resource Plan p. 46 (July 25, 2006)).This is approximately half of the costs PGE estimates Single-Cycle Combustion Turbine capacity would cost. (Exhibit No. 222 , PowerPoint Presentation, Stakeholder Dialogue No.4, PGE'2006 Integrated Resource Plan 46 (July 25, 2006)). HAS I DAHO POWER EXPLORED THIS OPTION? No,it has not. DID YOU ASK THE COMPANY SPECIFICALLY ABOUT THE USE OF EMERGENCY BACKUP GENERATORS TO MEET ITS PEAK? Yes, we did.The ICIP asked specifically whether Idaho Power made any efforts to look into the use of emergency generators to meet or reduce peak load.(See Exhibit No. 223, Response to Request for 247 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Production No. 46 of ICIP).Idaho Power s response simply describes its buy back program that was implemented in response to the 2000/2001 energy crisis. Idaho Power called the program their "Energy Exchange program under which customers were paid one half of the wholesale market price in exchange for their reducing their load by a minimum of 1 000 kw.Idaho Power 248 Reading (Di) - ICI P 33a IPC-E-06- discontinued the program shortly after it started because wholesale prices were too low to motivate customer participation.The Energy Exchange program is very different from the "virtual peaking " program implemented by PGE.Given the high cost of peaking power the Company is asking for in this Docket, a program similar to PGE' s DSG program makes more sense than constructing the Evander Andrews plant.It is also compelling evidence that Evander Andrews may not be in the public convenience and necessity. An investigation into the size of the potential peaking resources will have to be conducted prior to committing the ratepayers to paying for the Evander Andrews plant. IS IT REASONABLE TO PUT THIS CASE ON HOLD PENDING THE RESULTS OF SUCH AN INVESTIGATION? Yes. WHAT I F I DAHO POWER INCURRS ADDITIONAL COSTS CAUSED BY SUCH A DELAY? The shareholders should absorb any such additional costs. WHY SHOULD THE SHAREHOLDERS ABSORB SUCH COSTS? Because the idea of using diversified backup generation is not new to Idaho Power.I was a wi tness for ICIP in the Company s general rate case in 249 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06-09 Oregon.(U-167) .I presented testimony recommending the use of emergency generators to obviate the need for new gas-fired peaking plants in that proceeding.In that case Idaho Power expressed a willingness to investigate the potential of this approach to help in meeting its peak load concerns.In its Order in that case the Oregon Commission stated, Idaho Power voluntarily committed to exploring distributed generation opportunities with Holy Rosary Medical Center and any other Oregon 250 Reading (Di) - ICIP .34a IPC-E-06-09 customer with such potential , without direction by the Commission. See IP/600, Gale/3. Staff agrees with OICIP that dispatchable standby generation could be an important asset to meet peak load demands. See Staff brief , 19 (June , 2005). (Oregon Public Commission Order 05-871 , July 28 , 2005, 15) . The Oregon Commission did not direct Idaho Power to conduct such an investigation because Idaho Power "voluntarily" agreed to explore the possibili ty of the use of distributed generation opportuni ties.The evidence gathered in this case shows that Idaho Power has taken no steps to pursue this resource since that time.(See Exhibit No. 223, Response to Request for Production No.4 6 of ICI P) .Idaho Power failure to investigate the availability of this resource, coupled with the success other utili ties are experience in mining this resource for meeting peak is additional evidence of the imprudence of constructing the Evander facili ty at this time. YOU STATED EARLIER THAT IDAHO POWER HAS FAILED TO EFFECTIVELY UTILIZE DEMAND-SIDE MANAGEMENT (DSM) RESOURCES AND HAS FAILED TO ACCOUNT FOR FUTURE DSM SAVINGS.IS THERE ANY REASON TO BELIEVE THAT IDAHO POWER COULD IMPLEMENT, OR COULD HAVE IMPLEMENTED MORE DSM OR CONSERVATION THAN IT HAS? 251 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Yes.Idaho Power could have implemented more conservation and other DSM than it has in recent years , and it is very likely that Idaho Power could do more in the future to use DSM and conservation to meet its peak demand, and at least partially obviate any need for the Evander Andrews power plant. 252 Reading (Di) - ICIP 35a IPC-E-06-09 WHY DO YOU STATE THAT IDAHO POWER COULD HAVE IMPLEMENTED CONSIDERABLY MORE DSM AND CONSERVATION THAN IT HAS IN RECENT YEARS? Between 1995 and 2001, Idaho Power slashed its spending on DSM programs.Even though its normalized system loads between 1995 and 2000 grew from 14.7 million MWh to 15.8 million MWh , Idaho Power s total spending on DSM programs dropped from $ 6.2 million to $1.6 million.(See Exhibit No. 224, Idaho Power Response to Request for Production Nos. 1 and 4 of Northwest Energy Coalition in Case No. IPC-E-06-08). This means that over those five years, Idaho Power cut its spending on conservation and DSM by almost 75%, while its loads grew by over 8%.Only recently has Idaho Power s spending on DSM efforts come back wi thin the range of its pre-1995 spending levels.And, it has taken Idaho Power the last several ye~rs to get up to those levels, with 2004 spending still being only $3.7 million. IS SPENDING THE BEST INDICATOR OF DSM AND CONSERVATION THAT THE COMPANY IS ACHIEVING? It may not be the best indicator , but it certainly shows the Company made a deliberate and dramatic decrease in its conservation and DSM efforts for many of the past several years.Other indicators also show that Idaho Power s DSM and conservation achievements 253 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06-09 have been relatively poor. WHAT ARE SOME OF THE OTHER INDICATORS THAT IDAHO POWER'S DSM AND CONSERVATION EFFORTS HAVE BEEN RELATIVELY POOR? 254 Reading (Di) - ICIP 36a IPC-E-06-09 Idaho Power s annual energy savings as a result of its DSM programs are quite modest.Idaho Power s savings in 2004 and 2005 were only 3.26 MWa and 4. 71 MWa , respectively.From available information Idaho Power s annual energy savings from DSM programs between 2000 and 2004 have been less than 1 MWa , and essentially zero for a couple of those years.(See Exhibi t No. 225, Idaho Power s Response to Request for Production No.8 of Northwest Energy Coalition in Case No. IPC-E-06-08). Additionally, a comparison of Idaho Power s historical conservation achievements to the achievements of other regional investor-owned and publicly-owned utili ties shows that, of the surveyed utilities,Idaho Power has the lowest conservation savings as a percentage of its load.Idaho Power achievements are half of PacifiCorp ' s and less than one third of Avista ' s.(See Exhibit No. 226, Generation Options for Idaho s Energy Plan, presented to Idaho Legislature s Subcommittee on Generation Resources, August 10, 2006, p. 33). 255 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- Historical Conservation Achievements as a Share of 2003 Load 25% -------,-- 20%20% -------------- -----------..---------- 10% 15% 15% 15% 15%-- 0 14%-_-_d--___- --- ?t c;.v ~ 0~ (() ~0 o '1' .... Cj .;$:,.?'" i~ ,,-0~ o ~ ~ '?' 0 '" c; .&. G ~ ~'1' o~'1' ~o ...t.4J' '- rq ~ .q:-'" ~'" ~ ($ vO ~ ,,'If 256 - ICIP 37a IPC-E-06- Reading (Di) Finally, out of the three Idaho jurisdictional utili ties, Idaho Power is the only one that has planned conservation investments considerably below the Northwest Power and Conservation Council' targets for 2015.Idaho Power s planned conservation investment is approximately one-third of the Council' goal.(See Exhibit No. 226, Genera tion Options for Idaho s Energy Plan, Presented to Idaho Legislature Subcommittee on Generation Resources, August 10, 2006, 34) . Planned Conservation Investments vs. Power Council Target, 2015 140 120 100 C'II Idaho Power PaciflCorp Planned Conservation Investment - Power Council Target .. :-A\7'f'1i1!!ii"~?\ Avista ON A GOING-FORWARD BASIS, DO YOU BELIEVE IDAHO POWER COULD DO MORE CONSERVATION, SUCH THAT SOME OF THE NEED FOR A PEAKER PLANT COULD BE REDUCED? I understand that Idaho Power is planning to significantly increase its spending on 257 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- conservation and other DSM programs.In the 2006 IRP, for example , Idaho Power states that it plans to add several new programs as well as expanding existing programs. "(Exhibit No. 204 , Idaho Power 2006 IRP at 97) .Overall, it plans to add a set of DSM programs that are expected to reduce loads by approximately 90 aMW and 258 Reading (Di) - ICIP 32a IPC-E-06- reduce the system peak-hour load by approximately 187 MW during the summertime.(Exhibit No. 204 , Idaho Power 2006 IRP at p. 2). This focus on reducing Idaho Power s peak demand , therefore , should alleviate to some extent the need for the Evander Andrews power plant.Because the 2006 Draft IRP simply assumes that the Evander Andrews plant will be built, however , Idaho Power s analysis in the 2006 IRP is unhelpful in determining whether this increase in DSM efforts obviates the need for the Evander Andrews plant at this time.However, given the surprisingly few number of hours the Evander Plant will operate under the assumptions contained in the 2006 IRP, the need for the plant may be obviated, possibly due to a variety of factors, including increased DSM savings. According to Idaho Power s own study, Idaho Power may be underestimating the amount of peak demand savings through DSM that are available to it. late 2004 , Quantum Consulting completed a study for Idaho Power in which it set out the resources available to Idaho Power through DSM efforts.That study concluded that there was a potential for 384 MW of economic peak demand reduction by 2013 to Idaho Power through DSM programs.(Exhibit No. 227 , Idaho Power Demand-Side Management Potential Study, p. 1). 259 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06-09 DO YOU REALLY THINK THAT DSM MAY OBVIATE THE NEED TO CONSTRUCT THE EVANDER ANDREWS POWER PLANT? Yes, but not just DSM.I would like to make three points about Idaho Power s DSM programs and the need for the Evander Andrews plant:1) for the reasons stated above, I believe it is likely that future DSM efforts could substantially lessen any need for 260 Reading (Di) - ICIP 39a IPC-E-06- a peaking plant such as the Evander Andrews plant, Idaho Power s failing to implement reas onable amounts of DSM and conservation in the past several years has exacerbated any need Idaho Power may have for a peaking resource such as Evander Andrews at this time, and 3) it would be fundamentally unfair to require customers to pay for the total costs of a plant such as Evander Andrews when a lack of commitment to DSM on Idaho Power s part in recent years may be a substantial reason for its construction. Also , I would point out that utilities, in general , seem to be finding increasingly innovative ways to meet or reduce their peak demand.For example, on July 24th of this year when record peaks were set, not only on Idaho Power s system , but all throughout the region , several utili ties took creative measures to reduce and meet their peak demand.Avista, for example, reached out to its customers through personal contact and the media, and requested voluntary conservation resul ting in an approximately 30 MW reduction in its peak demand.(See Exhibit No. 228, Avista Quarterly Review August 2006).Also on July 24th , Snohomish Public Utility District, set a record peak load of 845 MW, but through placing calls to select large customers it achieved a 10 MW reduction in peak demand (approximately 261 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06-09 2 percent of its peak load) from reduced loads and self-generation by customers.(See Exhibit No. 242, Peak Load Condition , Monday, July 24 , 2006, Commission meeting August 1, 2006 p. 7).As discussed above Portland General Electric , also on July 24th , dispatched 25.5 MW through its Dispatchable Standby Generation program in order to meet its peak demand. Especially under the circumstances I describe in this testimony, allowing Idaho 262 Reading (Di) - ICIP 40a I PC- E-O 6-0 9 Power to construct a 170 MW gas-fired peaking unit will discourage Idaho Power from making these, and similar types of efforts, and could result in customers needlessly paying for Idaho Power s reluctance to do so. PLEASE EXPLAIN YOUR EARLIER STATEMENT THAT IDAHO POWER HAS FAILED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POWER THAT WILL BE AVAILABLE TO IT THROUGH CSPP AND PURPA PURCHASES. In its generation resource forecasts, Idaho Power only includes the estimated output from proj ects with signed and IPUC-approved agreements.Idaho Power does this because it claims it has no control over the development or operation of these proj ects, and that the online times vary from estimated online dates.(See Exhibit No. 229 , Response to ICIP Request No. 38). This is problematic, however , because for purposes of its claim that the Evander Andrews peaking plant is necessary, Idaho Power is assuming essentially no increase in power available from CSPP and PURPA proj ects , even though it is almost certain that significant increases will in fact be realized.Idaho Power s current internal CSPP forecast shows a potential increase of approximately 60 MW of CSPP power on an annual average basis in 2008, but it is unclear whether this potential increase was considered by Idaho Power in determining that it needed the Evander Andrews plant. 263 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E~06-09 (See Exhibit No. 230 , Response to ICIP Request No. 38) . 264 Reading (Di) - ICIP 41a IPC-E-06-09 PLEASE EXPLAIN WHAT YOU MEANT BY YOUR STATEMENT THAT IDAHO POWER HAS FAILED TO LOOK INTO THE COSTS OF ALTERNATIVES THAT IT HAS ACKNOWLEDGED IT WOULD TURN TO IF THE CERTIFICATE FOR THE EVANDER ANDREWS PLANT WAS DENIED. In its Request for Production No. 18, the ICIP asked the Company how it would expect to meet loads if the Commission denied its request for a certificate for the Evander Andrews plant.The Company responded, If the Commission denies Idaho Power s request for a certificate of public convenience and necessi ty, Idaho Power would most likely consider several alternatives to meet peak-hour loads during the summer of 2008. These al ternati ves include: (1) additional firm market purchases and the associated transmission necessary to deliver the energy to the east side of Idaho Power s system (2) transmission system expansions to increase import capacity, (3) expansion of the Irrigation Peak Rewards program (which is already being investigated), (4) developing advertising messages that ask consumers to reduce their peak-hour consumption , and (5) utilizing diesel or other temporary gensets. (Exhibit No. 231 , Response to ICIP Request No. 18). When ICIP followed up by asking what cost estimates the Company has prepared for implementing these alternatives, Idaho Power stated that it had not performed a detailed analysis.(Exhibit No. 232, Response to Request for Production of ICIP No. 40). 265 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- did, however , provide preliminary estimates for the first three alternatives, which seem to show that some of those alternatives could be substantially less expensive than the Evander Andrews plant. For example , Idaho Power indicated that a premium of $16 to $17 per MWh for additional east side purchases might apply if al ternati ve 1 was used (additional firm purchases to deliver to Idaho Power east side).Given the number of hours the Evander 266 Reading (Di) - ICIP 42a IPC-E-06~ Andrews proj ect is expected to run , however , this equates to only a little over a million dollars, in addition to the non-premium costs to import power.Given its statements in the 2006 IRP that import is cheaper than running natural-gas combustion turbines, this option may in total be considerably cheaper in total. Addi tionally, Idaho Power states that al ternati ve 2 (transmission upgrades) range in cost from $10.8 million to $282 million.(Exhibit No. 232 Response to Request for Production of ICIP No. 40). some of these upgrades are planned to occur anyway, they may prove more cost effective than constructing the Evander Andrews plant in getting the power the Company needs to serve customers.Finally, al ternati ve 3 (expansion of the Irrigation Peak Rewards program), which is already being planned , is estimated to yield an addi tional 4.5 MW of load reduction during the summer peak, for an estimated cost of $ 30 0 000. IF THERE ARE OTHER LESS-COST ALTERNATIVES FOR MEETING IDAHO POWER'S PEAK DEMAND COMPARED TO EVANDER ANDREWS, WHY DIDN'T IDAHO POWER' REQUEST FOR PROPOSALS (RFP) PROCESS LEAD TO THOSE ALTERNATIVES BEING IDENTIFIED AND SELECTED? Idaho Power s RFP process was not designed to determine the best resource for meeting its 267 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- peak load requirements.It sought, by its terms "peaking electric generating resources on a turnkey basis. (Exhibit No. 233, Idaho Power Request for Proposals, 1) .Thus, DSM, diversified generation, and smaller CHP proj ects were not able to be bid in response. Addi tionally, the RFP limited considered proj ects to those "where legal title 268 Reading (Di) - ICIP 43a IPC-E-06-09 of the generating facilities " would be conveyed to Idaho Power.(Exhibit No. 233, Idaho Power Request for Proposals, p. 1).Finally, the RFP encouraged bidders to locate their proposed plants at the existing Evander Andrews Power Complex , or the Bennett Mountain Power Plant location.Gi ven the narrowly-tailored RFP , it naturally lead to only consideration of natural-gas fired combustion turbines. PUTTING ASIDE THE APPARENT AVAILABILITY OF OTHER RESOURCES TO MEET ITS PEAK DEMAND IS THERE ANY REASON TO BELIEVE THAT IDAHO POWER'S FUTURE PEAK LOAD MAY BE LESS THAN THE LEVEL THAT IT CLAIMS JUSTIFIES THE EVANDER ANDREWS PLANT? Yes.In May of 2006, a significant increase in Idaho s Conservation Reserve Enhancement Program (CREP) was announced.Through this program farmlands will be set aside , and irrigation pumps turned off.In a recent forecast of Idaho Power s loads, Idaho Power has incorporated an annual energy r€duction over the next 15 years (2007 through 2021) of approximately because of CREP.(Exhibit No. 234 Response to ICIP Request for Production No. 41).Because a significant part of Idaho Power s peak load is caused by irrigation pumpers, this is a large decrease in Idaho Power s peak demand over prior forecasts.Idaho Power has clarified 269 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- in this proceeding, however , that " LfJ or planning purposes, Idaho Power has not incorporated any specific assumptions in the 2006 IRP regarding the ... CREP. (Exhibit No. 234 Response to ICIP Request for Production No. 41).Additionally, it has stated that " Lt J he CREP announcement had no effect on the Company decision regarding the 2005 RFP or the Evander Andrews 270 Reading (Di) - ICIP 44a IPC-E-06- plant. "(Exhibit No. 234 Response to ICIP Request for Production No. 41). WHAT IS YOUR RECOMMENDATION AS TO WHETHER IDAHO POWER SHOULD PURSUE CONSTRUCTION OF THE EVANDER ANDREWS PLANT AT THIS TIME? Idaho Power should not proceed with construction of the plant at this time.There simply seems to be too much uncertainty and too many troubling facts regarding the proposed plant, and Idaho Power should re-assess its needs , and look to other available options, which may well save signifi~ant costs to its ratepayers. Terminating or postponing construction of the Evander Andrews plant entails little risk.One . advantage of single-cycle natural gas peakers is a short construction time.Therefore, not going forward with this plant at this time would not jeopardize the long run power supply for the Company, even without the various alternatives and considerations I have laid out in my testimony.In addition, Idaho Power owns the site of the proposed Evander Andrews proj ect, and can therefore retain the site for future construction. ARE THERE OTHER REASONS FOR WHICH YOU THINK THE COMMISSION SHOULD DENY THE CERTIFICATE? I believe the Commission should also 271 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- consider the potential that the Evander Andrews plant has to reduce any incentive for Idaho Power to achieve cost-effecti ve DSM and conservation , and to prevent Idaho Power from utili zing other resources , which may be superior , to meet its peak demand for the foreseeable future. For example, the Company s incentives to achieve peak-shaving programs will 272 Reading (Di) - ICIP 45a IPC-E-06- likely be significantly reduced if the Company has a new 170 MW peaker plant to rely on to meet peak loads, even though it only claims to have needed an 88 MW plant in its 2004 IRP. Addi tionally, it appears that the fact that the Evander Andrews plant is double what was called for in Idaho Power s 2004 IRP is already leading the Company to determine that it will forego other resource development plans which may have had other posi ti ve attributes not associated with natural gas-fired combustion turbines.In its Response to ICIP' s Request for Production No. 31 , Idaho Power stated The summation of changes considered in the 2006 IRP , including the 85 MW of additional peakingcapacity Labove the 88 MW called for in the2004 IRPJ provided by the larger Evander Andrews combustion turbine , have allowed several of the resources selected in the 2004 IRP to be deferred. First the 100 MW geothermal resource originally planned to be online in 2008 in the 2004 IRP has been reduced to 50 MW and the online date deferred until2009. Second, the 62 MW combustion turbine/distributed generation/market purchase resource originally planned to be online in 2010 in the 2004 IRP has been eliminated al together , although market purchases are still anticipated in the 2006 IRP. Finally, the MW of CHP resources originally planned to be online in 2007 in the 2004 IRP have been deferred until 2010.No. 235). In effect, Evander Andrews will defer (Exhibi t geothermal , distributed generation , and CHP resources. * * * * * CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION FOLLOWS * * * * * 273 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- IV.RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSION DR. READING, BY WAY OF SUMMARY , WHAT DO YOU BELIEVE THE COMMISSION SHOULD DO IN THIS PROCEEDING? The Commission should deny Idaho Power I S application for a certificate of public convenience and necessity to construct the Evander Andrews plant. IF, CONTRARY TO YOUR RECOMMENDATION THE COMMISSION WERE TO GRANT THE CERTIFICATE , WHAT STEPS DO YOU BELIEVE THE COMMISSION SHOULD TAKE TO PREVENT UNNECESSARY HARM TO RATEPAYERS? If the Commission were to grant the certificate, it should make clear that Idaho Power will not be allowed to collect the full costs of the Evander Andrews plant , which include significant unnecessary and excessi ve construction and transmission costs. HOW DO YOU BELIEVE THE COMMISSION SHOULD DETERMINE THE AMOUNT OF COSTS TO EXCLUDE FROM IDAHO POWER I S RATEBASE? * * * * * CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION FOLLOWS * * * * * 289 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- I believe any of these actions would be justified since the costs I just described are essentially costs that the Company has decided to incur even though they are not necessary or otherwise warranted.The Company s ratepayers should not be required to pay for alternatives that do not benefit ratepayers where perfectly reasonable and sufficient lower-cost options exist. IS THIS THE APPROPRIATE PROCEEDING TO RAISE ARGUMENTS ABOUT HOW MUCH IDAHO POWER SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO RECOVER IN RATES? Even though this proceeding concerns only the Certificate to construct the Evander Andrews proj ect, Idaho Power s application makes clear that Idaho Power will interpret approval of the Evander Andrews proj ect as evidence that it will be included in the rates Idaho Power s customers will pay.Idaho Power has stated that Ul timately, it is Idaho Power s intent that the Proj ect be included in Idaho Power s rate base . .. Idaho Power requests that the Commission note in its Order ... that , in the ordinary course of events, Idaho Power can expect to ratebase the prudent capital costs for this proj ect and to recover prudent fuel costs in the Company s Power Cost Adjustment mechanism. (Idaho Power s Application , pp. 1-2).Therefore ~ I think it is important that the Commission note in its order its 291 Reading (Di) - ICIP IPC-E-06- decisions as to whether Idaho Power can or cannot expect to recover all of the Evander Andrews costs in its rates. DOES THIS CONCLUDE YOUR TESTIMONY? Yes it does. 292 Reading (Di) - ICIP 57a IPC-E-06- (The following proceedings were had in open hearing. MR. THOMPSON:Thank you , Madam Chair. Dr. Reading is now available for cross-examination. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Let's go to Mr. Walker. MR. WALKER:Commission Staff has no questions for Dr. Reading. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Okay, Ms. Moen. CROSS- EXAMINATION BY MS. MOEN: Dr. Reading, if you would please turn to page 52 of your testimony and lines 5 through you state, "It is apparent the fact that Idaho Power owned the land for the Evander Andrews proj ect and that it already had a plant at the site tipped the bid in favor of the Evander Andrews plant.Am I reading that correctly? Gi ve me the lines again just to make sure. Lines through don get gold star for listening,but will accept you read correctly. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 293 READING (X) ICIP83676 Thank you.Based on that testimony, in your estimation , is it possible that certain costs can be avoided by adding a facility to an existing development instead of constructing an identical facility on an unimproved parcel? As an economist, are you asking me if there can be economies of scale, the answer is certainly, and it depends on where, who, how.There are both economies and diseconomies of scale. Thank you.Let's assume that two sites were identical every respect except air quality. Okay. One site had greater risk non-attainment and therefore a potential existed that a peaking resource may not be able to be dispatched when needed.Would it be prudent for a utility to select the at-risk site over a non-at-risk site for development? Back on what the foundation of my last answer was, as an economist , it depends on what the costs are.It depends on what the risks are , risk versus the cost and everything else.If absolutely everything else was exactly and perfectly the same and the costs were the same, I'd have to say yes, but that's the kind of stuff we give our freshmen of examples that aren t really realistic. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 294 READING (X) ICIP83676 MS. MOEN:I have some questions that are going to entail some confidential information. COMMISSIONER SMITH:When you were in the yellow pages , I assumed you were. BY MS. MOEN:Would you please refer to page 48 of your testimony? Yes. Lines 4 to Yes. You testify that Idaho Power used non-price scores to trump price scores even though the difference in price between the Evander Andrews proj ect and the second place proj ect was almost (**Confidential**) . Correct. As an economist, would it be prudent for Idaho Power to ignore fixed operating costs associated wi th owning and managing a proposed facility? I will give you the direct answer and then explain a little.Of course not and one of the things that has concerned me with the application in this case lS the original application was 22 pages of testimony and no exhibits or attachments, and so through the course both we and the Staff have done our best to try to ferret out all of the costs that would be involved in the CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 295 READING (X) ICIP83676 proj ect , not only the capital costs that were in the original evaluation , but all of the additional costs that may be involved, what the transmission costs are, which the Company admits it can t at this point put a cap on so the fixed operating costs, of course it should include that. What I would have liked to have seen that kind of analysis made by the Company in its application so that we could evaluate the revenue requirement or the impact on customers of those kinds of factors, so to come back and ignore it , no.I would have certainly liked to have seen it before rather than reading in the testimony, under our direction , we have a new Exhibi t Dr. Reading, did the Industrial Customers of Idaho Power have the opportunity to propound discovery In this matter? Well , sure. And did Idaho Power respond to that discovery? Yes, and I might say I thought that the response over the (**Confidential**) stuff at the last minute was exceptional. So you had an opportunity to examine some of the issues that you ve raised that you felt were CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 296 READING (X) ICIP83676 lacking in the original application? Sure, and to the best of our ability and since I'm in the private sector, the financial ability of the clients that you try to keep down , we did our best. As an economist , would you say that certain risks -are hard to quantify? , sure. I f a company were uncertain whether a power plant could be dispatched when needed because of air quality issues, would that be a legitimate concern that the Company should consider? Lapsing back into my earlier one absolutely, along with a whole bushel basketful of other kinds of things that evaluate the risks, the needs, how often would it operate, what gas price risk you know all of them together. MS. MOEN:I have no further questions. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Questions from the Commissioners. COMMISSIONER HANSEN:Nothing. CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 297 READING (X) ICIP83676 EXAMINATION BY COMMISSIONER SMITH: Mr. Reading, were you present when I asked Mr. Sterling my question? Yes, I was. So in order to avoid repeating it , would you like to respond? Let's see, short-term memory at my age can you Oh, I forgot his age.The question was, what's the Commission s responsibility in reviewing these? My response to that is the Commission responsibili ty -- m going to ask a question.I assume do you mean the Commissioners or the Staff in this case? You may answer for either or both , but I was asking about the Commission. All right.The Commission s Staff should be able to review and analyze all of the aspects of a generating facility and it should have the ability to make judgments based on what the Company files, and being a former Staff member , I don t think the Staff has a responsibility to make the Company s case, and to be honest , in this particular proceeding, I saw Staff CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 298 READING (Corn) ICIP83676 struggling, attempting to make the Company s case because it wanted to do what it viewed as its job. As far as the Commissioners are concerned, they have a responsibility to review the whole record and stand back.You know , one of the issues we have here, of course , is non-price attributes , but the Commission has to stand back and look at a whole variety of issues that are non-quantifiable as well as quantifiable.You know, that's why they pay you the big bucks.That's why you the Commissioners and that's why you have to sign the orders and that kind of stuff, so my immediate reaction to your question to Mr. Sterling was well , yeah , they need to look at that, they need to look at need , they need to look at gas price risk , which , as I pointed out in my testimony, the Commission has obviously struggled wi th in the past.I quoted some orders on that.They need to look at the whole portfolio.As I pointed out in my testimony, they need to look at the freshness of the information , whether or not it would be legitimate to base it on this set of criteria or an updated set of criteria.They need to , heaven forbid, base it on political considerations. I guess if it goes to the Supreme Court, they take that one out, right , so there s a whole variety and the Commission, I guess the best way to put it is CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 299 READING (Corn) ICIP83676 we as kids down in the sandbox squabble with one another and throw sand in each other s eyes, the Commissioners job is to be grown up and stand back and try to analyze whether this is from their perspective the most prudent resource for the cost at this particular point in time. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Any redirect? MR. THOMPSON:Yes, Madam Chair , just one question. REDIRECT EXAMINATION BY MR. THOMPSON: Dr. Reading, Ms. Moen questioned you about the price difference between the (**Confidential**) -- we are in confidential, right -- the (**Confidential**) proposal and the Evander Andrews proposal.Could you turn to Exhibit 2 of Said and Youngblood's testimony? m not sure I brought it with me. COMMISSIONER SMITH:m sorry, which exhibi t was that? MR. THOMPSON:Exhibi t 2.It's the same document that I handed out earlier. (Mr. Richardson approached the witness. THE WITNESS:Yes, I have it. BY MR. THOMPSON:Dr. Reading, does this CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 300 READING (Di) ICIP83676 exhibi t in your opinion show that Idaho Power s customers will be held responsible for the same costs under either the (**Confidential**) proposal or the Evander Andrews proposal if Idaho Power is disallowed (**Confidential**) of recovery for the Evander Andrews plant? , and one of the problems I have with this exhibit is one that I had with the Said/Youngblood testimony and that is they are examining levelized fixed costs which is a different thing than revenue requirement, and from the customer s point of view , one of the things that -- well , not one of the things -- the most important thing in a cost sense is what would those what would the revenue requirements be , and when I saw this exhibit , I tried to do what we do and that's back that out and to be honest , I couldn t do it and again , to rei terate , one of the problems I've had is new information that we should have had a long time to examine isn t in the record. MR. THOMPSON:Thank you, Dr. Reading. have no more redirect. COMMISS lONER SMITH:Thank you for your help, Dr. Reading. THE WITNESS:Thank you. (The witness left the stand. COMMISSIONER SMITH:And I believe that CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 301 READING ( Di ICIP83676 was your only witness; is that correct? MR. THOMPSON:That's correct. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Okay, we re back to you, Ms. Moen. MS. MOEN:Chairman Smith , Idaho Power is prepared to offer its rebuttal testimony and in doing so request that the rebuttal testimony of Greg Said and Mike Youngblood be admitted here.I will make that formal request after I introduce the witnesses. GREGORY W. SAID produced as a rebut tal witness at the instance of Idaho Power Company, having been previously duly sworn, resumed the stand and was further examined and testified as follows: MICHAEL J. YOUNGBLOOD produced as a rebuttal witness at the instance of Idaho Power Company, having been first duly sworn , was examined and testified as follows: DIRECT EXAMINATION BY MS. MOEN: Mr. Youngblood, would you please state CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 302 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (Di-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 your full name and spell your last name for the record? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Michael J. Youngblood, o-d. address? And would you please state your business MR. YOUNGBLOOD:1221 West Idaho. And for whom are you employed? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Idaho Power Company. And in what capacity? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:m a senior pricing analyst with the pricing and regulatory department. Mr. Said, I believe that you re still under oath and you ve been introduced into the record. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho Mr. Youngblood and Mr. Said, have you previously filed direct rebuttal testimony consisting of three pages and Exhibi ts 1 to 3 on behalf of Idaho Power Company in this MR. SAID:The rebuttal testimony is 33 matter? sorry, 33 pages. MR. SAID:And three exhibits , yes. pages. Do either of you wish to make any written corrections to the testimony that you prefiled in this MR. SAID:We have just one.On page 25 matter? 303 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (Di-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 at line 23, once agaln , a word has been omitted. should be "Idaho Power, along with other electric utilities in the region " so the insertion of the word with. " Mr. Said , if I asked you the same questions today that are contained in your prefiled wri tten testimony, would your responses to those questions be the same? MR. SAID:Yes. Mr. Youngblood, if I asked you the same questions today that are contained in your prefiled written testimony, would your responses be the same? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes. MS. MOEN:Madam Chair , I move that the prefiled rebuttal testimony of Gregory Said and Michael Youngblood consisting of 33 pages be spread on the record as if read in its entirety and that Exhibits 1 to 3 be marked for identification. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Wi thout obj ection , it is so ordered. (The following prefiled rebuttal testimony of Mr. Gregory W. Said and Mr. Michael J. Youngblood is spread upon the record. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 304 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (Di-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 Please state your names and positions with Idaho Power Company ("Idaho Power " or the "Company My name is Gregory W. Said and I am the Manager of Revenue Requirement at Idaho Power.My name is Michael J. Youngblood and I am a Senior Pricing Analyst at Idaho Power. Are you the same Gregory W. Said who previously submi tted direct testimony in this proceeding? Yes , I am. Mr. Youngblood , have you previously submitted direct testimony in this proceeding? No. Mr. Youngblood, please describe your educational background and work experie~ce with Idaho Power Company. In May of 1977 , I received a Bachelor of Science Degree in Mathematics and Computer Science from the Uni versi ty of Idaho.From 1994 through 1996, I was a graduate student in the MBA program at Colorado State University. I became employed by Idaho Power Company in 1977. During my career , I have worked in several departments and subsidiaries of the Company, including Systems Development , Demand Planning, Strategic Planning and IDACORP Solutions.Most relevant to this testimony, is 305 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company my experience wi thin the Pricing and Regulatory Services Department.From 1981 to 1988 , I worked as a Rate Analyst in the Rates and Planning 306 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company Department where I was responsible for the preparation of electric rate design studies and bill frequency analyses. I was also responsible for the validation and analysis of the load research data used for cost of service allocations. From 1988 through 1991 , I worked in Demand Planning and was responsible for load research and load forecasting functions including sample design implementation , data retrieval , analysis and reporting. I was responsible for the preparation of the five-year and twenty-year load forecasts used revenue proj ections and resource plans well the presentation these forecasts the public and regulatory commissions. In 2001 , I returned to the Pricing and Regulatory Services Department and have worked on special proj ects related to deregulation , the Company s Integrated Resource Plan , and filings with this Commission and the Oregon Public Utility Commission.In 2005 , I was a member of the Peaking Resource RFP Bid Evaluation Team Evaluation Team that selected the Evander Andrews plant which is the subj ect matter of these proceedings. What is the purpose of your direct rebuttal testimony in this case? The purpose of our direct rebuttal testimony in 307 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company this case is to address , among other things,(1 ) Commission Staff witness Sterling s testimony regarding the evaluation (**Confidential information follows**) 308 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-Reb Idaho Power Company Evander Andrews plant.What is the Company s response to that recommendation? The Company is willing to provide the Commission with a Transmission Commitment Estimate not to exceed a certain sum.At this time, however , that figure cannot be provided as sufficient studies have not been conducted to provide a reliable estimate.Once those studies are completed, a Transmission Commitment Estimate can be provided. Why is the Company unable at this time to provide a Commitment Estimate for the transmission and substation facilities that would be required for the Evander Andrews site? Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ("FERC" orders and rulings define the manner in which developers of generation proj ects can interact with transmission providers that are subj ect to FERC jurisdiction.Whether the developer is Idaho Power Company or an unaffiliated party, the Company s deli very department is obligated to treat all interconnection requests consistently and in a non-discriminatory manner. FERC's orders define three distinct study phases to assess what system modifications may be required to integrate a generation proj ect into an electrical system. The three studies determine whether the system can accept 339 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company the generation proj ect output and, if not, what facility modifications will be required , and, finally, performance of the engineering and design work needed to construct the required facilities.This procedure is outlined in Idaho Power s Open Access Transmission Tariff ("OATT" In what phase of study are the transmission requirements for the Evander Andrews facility? This transmission proj ect is currently in the last phase of study, that is, engineering design work underway but not yet completed. What degree of cost accuracy will the Company delivery department provide? An interconnection customer may opt for one of two study options.Option one provides for cost estimates with an accuracy of +/- 20% to be completed wi thin 90 calendar days.Option two, which requires 180 calendar days, provides a cost estimate with + / - 10% accuracy.In order to expedite receipt of the transmission cost information , the Company s Power Supply department has requested that the cost estimate be determined with an accuracy level of 20%. Until a cost estimate within the selected accuracy level is obtained, only a non-binding good faith estimate is available to the party requesting interconnection to the Company s transmission system.Idaho Power s Power 340 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company Supply department expects to receive a cost estimate with 20% (**Confidential information follows**) 341 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company 21a . 21 resort, load curtailments. Longer-term alternatives include:(1) transmission system expansions to increase import capacity,(2) construction of base-load type resources and the associated transmission to enable the resources I output to be delivered to the Treasure Valley load center, and (3) development of additional DSM programs requiring longer lead times to implement.The Company believes that these al ternati ves would be more costly to Idaho Power customers than constructing the proposed peaking resource. How long would these al ternati ve resources be able to reliably provide electrical energy to Idaho Power s customers? Theoretically, the temporary generation units might be a solution for quite a while if the Company added enough of them.However, Idaho Power s summertime peak-hour loads are forecast to grow at about 80 MW per year.Wi thout the new unit at the Evander Andrews Complex , under the 90th percentile water and 70th percentile load and 95th percentile peak-hour load planning scenario, the July 2007 peak-hour deficit is forecast to be III MW. Assuming all other resources identified in the Company s 2006 IRP's preferred portfolio are implemented 345 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company as planned, in July of 2008, 2009 and 2010 the summertime peak-hour deficits are forecast to reach 147 MW and 154 MW and 346 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company 24a 268 MW, respectively.The 268 MW deficit forecast for 2010 incorporated an expected DSM contribution of almost 71 MW.If for some reason this reduction did not materialize as planned, the 2010 peak-hour deficit would grow to nearly 339 MW. Even if the forecast DSM contributions materialized as expected , 268 MW of temporary generation resources is excessi ve, expensive and logistically complex.A more practical solution is to have permanently installed generation capacity, such as the proposed Evander Andrews unit, to reliably serve Idaho Power s peak-hour loads. IDAHO POWER'S DSM EFFORTS On page 36 of his testimony, lines 4-, Dr. Reading asserts that between 1995 and 2001, Idaho Power slashed its spending on DSM programs from $ 6.2 Million to $1.6 Million.What attributed to this funding cut? You may recall, during that timeframe, deregulation of the electric industry was an issue on the forefront.Even in states where full retail deregulation was not expected , wholesale markets were expecting to provide future resources.As recogni zed by the Commission in its acknowledgement of the Company s 2000 IRP, Idaho Power, along with other electric utili ties in the region, began to wind down their DSM programs in the late 1990s in response to changing market expectations. In place of 347 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company utili ty direct acquisition DSM programs , Idaho Power moved to a regional approach to conservation during that period through its participation in the Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance. What DSM program spending commitments has the Company made more recently? Following the 2000-2001 western energy crisis, utili ties once again turned to more traditional concepts for supplying future resources.There was also a reemergence of integrated resource planning with a renewed emphasis on utility-based DSM programs.Idaho Power now funds DSM activities through the Energy Efficiency Rider , Schedule 91.This removes the threat of stranded investment. In 2005, the Company spent $6.7 Million on DSM acti vi ties, an increase of approximately 80% over the previous year.At the end of the third quarter of 2006, Idaho Power spent $ 6.62 Million to fund DSM acti vi ties. By the end of 2006, the Company expects to, once agaln make a significant increase in DSM spending over the previous year. Dr. Reading claims that " Idaho Power s DSM and conservation achievements have been relatively poor. Reading Direct at 35, 11 18-19.On what basis does he make that claim? 348 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company Dr. Reading s assessment concentrates on energy savings as an indicator that the Company s DSM efforts have 349 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-Reb Idaho Power Company 26a been poor.Idaho Power , on the other hand , has strategically focused its DSM efforts in recent years on programs that reduce summer peak demands Targeting summer peak demands is consistent with the recent resource acquisitions of peaking units. Summertime loads drive Idaho Power s capacity needs. Therefore, many of the Company s DSM programs are intentionally designed to provide significant load reductions during summertime peak-hour needs.It's for this reason that the Company has focused its efforts on peak reductions instead of overall energy reductions. In 2005, Idaho Power achieved a total peak load reduction of 47 MW with 43 MW resulting from its two demand response programs. Idaho Power has also focused its DSM development efforts on programs that target lost-opportunity energy savings. Since the 2004 IRP , the Company has implemented the Energy Star~ Homes Northwest and Building Efficiency 19 programs that achieve energy savings in the commercial and residential sectors that would otherwise be lost as new construction occurs. In the 2006 IRP, the Company identified additional non-lost-opportunity DSM resources, often referred to as retrofi t programs, in the residential and commercial sectors.These programs will greatly broaden Idaho 350 SAI D /YOUNGBLOOD Di - RebIdaho Power Company Power s DSM acti vi ties beyond the initial focus on summer peak 351 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company 27a reduction and lost-opportunity energy savings. In fact , as Dr. Reading acknowledges in his testimony, the Company plans to significantly increase its spending on DSM programs as it implements the new and expanded programs identified in the 2006 IRP.The addi tional DSM resources are expected to reduce loads by approximately 88 aMW (on an annual basis) and reduce the system peak-hour load by approximately 187 MW during the summertime. On page 39, lines 11-12 of his testimony, Dr. Reading states that, according to the Quantum Consulting study completed on behalf of Idaho Power , " Idaho Power may be underestimating the amount of peak demand savings through DSM that are available to it.How do you respond to that statement? Dr. Reading I s testimony mischaracterizes the conclusions drawn by Quantum Consulting.In November 2004 , at the request of Idaho Power , Quantum Consulting conducted a study to determine the potential for DSM resources through 2013 for the Company s commercial and residential sectors.The study identified a total economic potential of 384 MW of peak demand reduction , or nearly 23% of the combined residential and commercial peak demand forecast in 2013. However , there is a distinct difference between 352 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company energy savings potential that is determined to be economic " and savings potential that is determined to be achievable 1 7 353 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company 28a through utility-operated programs. Economic potential Quantum Consulting explains , " represents the savings possible if all cost-effective measures were installed in every application deemed physically feasible.See Exhibit 3 at ES-3 (emphasis added). Quantum Consulting further describes economic potential as "a theoretical quantity that will exceed the amount of potential we estimate to be achievable through even the most aggressive voluntary program acti vi ties. " See Exhibit 3 at 2-19. On the other hand , achievable potential , according to Quantum Consulting, can be viewed as a subset of economic potential which ranges from "maximum achievable or "the amount of economic potential that could be achieved over time under the most aggressive program scenario possible " to "naturally occurring " or the amount of savings estimated to occur " in the absence of any utili ty or governmental intervention.See Exhibit 3 at 2 and 2- To develop the estimates of achievable potential, Quantum Consulting modeled energy savings potential based on four different funding ratios for the incremental cost of implementing the various measures.The cost share ratios used in the assessment ranged from 100% for the maximum achievable scenario to 33% for the low funding 354 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-Reb Idaho Power Company scenario.For year 10 of the analysis, estimates of peak demand 355 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company 29a reductions corresponded directly to cost share. Peak reduction estimates ranged from 190 MW (around 11% of 2013 peak demand) for the maximum achievable scenario to 42 MW (less than 3% of 2013 peak demand) for the low funding scenario.See Exhibit 3 at ES- utilizing the estimate of economic potential rather than achievable potential , Dr. Reading is misstating the DSM conclusions drawn by Quantum Consulting in its 2004 report. To help put the Quantum Consulting results in perspecti ve, what is Idaho Power s goal for peak reduction by 2013? Idaho Power has a target of 123 MW of peak reduction from the residential and commercial sectors by 2013 , which assumes a 75% cost share. All the DSM resources identified in the 2004 IRP and 2006 IRP combined are expected to achieve 251 MW of peak reduction by 2013. Dr. Reading asserts on pages 40 and 41 of his testimony that "allowing Idaho Power to construct a 170 MW gas-fired unit will discourage Idaho Power from making any further DSM commitments J "Do you agree with Dr. Reading s assessment? No, I do not agree with the conclusion drawn by Dr. Reading.In developing the 2006 IRP , the Company 356 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company worked with the Integrated Resource Plan Advisory Council (" IRPAC") which was comprised of maj or stakeholders representing the 357 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company 30a environmental community, maj or industrial customers, irrigation customers, state legislators, public utility commission representatives, the Governor s office and others.Input from the IRPAC, including maj or industrial customers, was considered and incorporated into the 2006 IRP. The 2006 IRP assumes that the proposed Evander Andrews peaking resource that is the subj ect matter of this proceeding will be constructed and placed in service.Despite that assumption , the 2006 IRP sets forth various DSM programs that will be implemented along wi th other measures in order to meet the Company s load requirements.Thus, Idaho Power has already demonstrated through its 2006 IRP that allowing construction of the Evander Andrews peaking facility will not have a dampening effect on the Company s incentive to implement new DSM programs.Dr. Reading s testimony on this matter is unwarranted and unjustified. Wi tness Sterling testifies on page 41 , lines 8 that he believes "that no matter how carefully crafted and well-intended an RFP evaluation methodology must be,. the reasonableness of the outcome must be reevaluated at the end of the process , especially when the result comes down to a tradeoff between the price and non-price factors.Ul timately, he observes,the final 358 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company result must make sense and be justifiable.Do you agree wi th this testimony? (**Confidential information follows**) 359 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company 31a Does this conclude your testimony? Yes, it does. 361 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD Di-RebIdaho Power Company open hearing. (The following proceedings were had in MS. MOEN:The witnegses are available for cross-examination. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Okay, Mr. Walker. MR. WALKER:Madam Chairman , I would simply note my earlier obj ection to this format and this procedure. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Okay, the Chair will note the Staff counsel's continuing obj ection.Do you have any questions , Mr. Wal ker? BY MR. WALKER: MR. WALKER:Yes, I do. CROSS-EXAMINATION I would like to begin by asking which wi tness is sponsoring Exhibit No.1 and Exhibit No. CSB REPORTING Wild , Idaho MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Wi tness Mike Youngblood will speak to Exhibit No.1 and both witnesses will speak Okay.Now, there I s been a fair amount of to Exhibit No. testimony admitted into the record and in your rebuttal regarding non-price attributes and their evaluation by the RFP committee; is that a fair characterization? 362 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 ' . 24 MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes. And Mr. Youngblood, what was your role in this process for the Company? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I was a member of the RFP evaluation team. So you would best be able to answer questions directly about the evaluation of these non-price attributes? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:To the extent the evaluation of those non-price attributes was done wi thin the RFP evaluation team, yes. Okay, and would it be fair to say in short that the (**Confidential**) site requires a lower capital investment than the Evander Andrews site? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes. And in fact , the (**Confidential**) site won the point factoring if we only look at the price attribute categories; correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:The (**Confidential**) si te had a lower or , I'm sorry, had a greater point score wi th regard to just the point factoring with regard to price, correct. So if that's all we looked at, that would have been the winning bid? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I am not sure that it was CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 363 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 the lowest of all.I would have to look back , but between the two that we re looking at right now, correct, that would be the lower price in capital. So if we assume that these two we talking about were the top two and if we only look at the pricing, the (**Confidential**) site would have won on the bid, would have been selected as the winning bidder? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:If we only looked at the capital cost and the estimated transmission cost, that would be true. So then Evander Andrews was selected because the evaluation of the non-price attributes when added in made that the best choice for the committee? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Evander Andrews was selected after the complete evaluation of both price and non-price attributes were evaluated, correct. And I think it I S in your testimony on page 4 that of the non-price attributes that the (**Confidential**) attributes is the area where these two particular proposals differed the most; is that correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is correct. And you also stated at the bottom of page , going over to the top of page 5, that the magnitude CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 364 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 for some of these non-price factors, that may have decreased , but the risks remain so material that they could preclude development altogether or delay the construction; is that a fair characterization of your testimony? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I believe that while the risks -- let me go back and see.I had said that the magnitude of certain non-price attribute risks associated wi th the second place proposal may have been reduced they may have increased, also, but while they may have been reduced that there are material development differences or risks between the two proposals which may make it necessary to either delay the construction of a site, to greatly reduce or restrict the output of a site or to not build the site at all. Okay.Well, if I can direct your attention to pages 5 and 6, I believe you start to talk about the magnitude of some of these price factors or, excuse me, some of these non-price attributes. MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I talk about the non-prlce attributes, correct.m not sure I'm talking about the magnitude of them. And the first non-price attribute that you talk about would be land ownership on page, I'm on page, Now , does Idaho Power own the land upon which Bennett CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 365 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 Mountain sits? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I do not know the answer to that. Would Mr. Said have any direct knowledge as to whether the Company owns or leases the land upon which the Bennett Mountain power plant sits? MR. SAID:I believe that the conditions of use are known , but as with Mr. Youngblood , I don kn~w if we own or lease, but the property is under the control of Idaho Power at known cost. Do you know if it was the same developer who developed the Bennett Mountain plant as proposed the (**Confidential**) site, that being (**Confidential**)? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes, it was. Would it surprise you to learn that Bennett Mountain power plant is actually on leased land leased from the City of Mountain Home? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Again , I do not know. Wouldn t it be a fair statement to say that the true issue for the evaluation committee is not whether a lease with the City of (**Confidential**) could have been obtained , but rather was an issue of cost and what that would have cost? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:No.The lease with the Ci ty of (**Confidential**) had not been obtained at the CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 366 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 time of the evaluation and to my understanding has not yet been obtained, so with regard to that, we had no idea what those costs might be.We felt that there may be substantial risk associated with those costs or that those unknown.Wi th regard to your previous statement on the Bennett Mountain , I do not know whether or not we lease it.I do not know , though , whether evaluation of that property at the time of the Bennett Mountain that that was not a known and measurable quantity on the Bennett Mountain and so that the Company had fair knowledge of that.We do not have knowledge of the (**Confidential**) site like we do at the Evander Andrews site. Do you believe that a lease could not or would not have been obtained from the City of (**Confidential**) for that proj ect? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I do not know.The lease had not been obtained and so that there was risk associated with the fact that we did not know the terms of a lease had it been able to be obtained. Well , in fact, isn t it true that the evaluation committee assumed an expected lease cost for the (**Confidential**) site? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:We did assume a cost on the price side of the equation.On the non-price CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 367 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 attribute, we assessed the risk of whether or not that lease would escalate, go up, go down.Wi th regard to the value of that risk , we could not determine that. Okay, do you recall what amount it was, what amount of money it was , that the evaluation assumed for the annual lease? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I do not know that. don t have that. team.There team. Would it surprlse you if I told you that You were on the evaluation team? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I was on the evaluation was also other members of the evaluation the estimated amount was $27,000 a year escalated at 2. percent, does that sound about right? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I do not know.I will assume that that is correct, that those were the assumptions we made with regard to that.Again , that was an assumption on the part for the evaluation , but we did not know whether or not that would go up even more or less.There was associated risk with that. And now , don t you think that if we assume, like the evaluation committee did , that it' $27 000 a year for the lease, isn t that a rather small amount when we re talking about a $ 7 0 million power CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 368 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 plant? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Again Is it small or big compared to 70 million? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:On the non-price attributes , we I re not looking at price.On the non-price attributes , we re trying to assign points based up~n the risk that may be associated with any kind of known event and we did not know what may or may not happen with that lease.That lease had not been acquired. What about if we compare $27 000 a year to an assumed $22.5 million investment in transmission? MS. MOEN:That question has already been asked and answered and I obj ect to that. COMMISSIONER SMITH:m going to allow the question. MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I will go back to what we were doing with non-price attributes.Non-price attributes meant that we did not know or it was not easily able to determine what the price value of any particular issue may be.re trying to assess an associated risk with regard to those different attributes, so the knowledge of 27,000 or any other number or what the escalation may be at some future point was not part of the non-price attribute evaluation. CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 83676 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD IX ~eu) Idaho Power Company 369 BY MR. WALKER:Okay, I'd like to next direct your attention to pages 13 through 14 of your rebuttal , specifically to the area where you discuss the water supply and waste disposal , and you testify that the costs for water and sewer were unknown and therefore, they could not be considered minor issues.Is that what you testified?This would be page 13, lines 11 through 14. MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I said that they were unknown at the (**Confidential**) site.They were known at the Evander Andrews site. And again , it wasn t necessarily an issue for the evaluation committee that water and sewer could not be obtained at the (**Confidential**) site, was it? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I I m sorry, repeat the question. It wasn I t an issue that -- you didn think that the (**Confidential**) site could not obtain water and sewer service, it was more an issue of cost and magnitude; is that correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:No, the evaluation cri teria for land, as well as the water and waste treatment, the evaluation on the non-price was can those certificates and licenses be obtained in time and due wi th the schedule and so there was an associated risk CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 370 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 with the (**Confi~ential**) site in the fact that they did not have those or had not obtained those from the City of (**Confidential**) and (**Confidential**) at that point in time and we did not know whether or not those could be obtained in time with the schedule.Wi th the Evander Andrews site, those were already obtained, so it was an evaluation of risk between the two. So the water supply for (**Confidential **) was to be provided by (**Confidential**); is that correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is my understanding, correct. And the waste disposal or sewer service was going to be provided by the City of (**Confidential**) ? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is my understanding, correct. And this location is located in the City of (**Confidential**) industrial park? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes, it is. Couldn t we -- well, strike that. (**Confidential**) is an investor-owned utility regulated by this Commission; right? MS. MOEN:I obj ect to that question.The wi tness may not have personal information regarding CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 371 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 that. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Ms. Moen , I will allow the question.If the witness doesn t know the answer to that , they can tell us and if they do, they can. MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I believe they are, yes. BY MR. WALKER:And as such , they would have a publicly available tariffed price on file here at the Commission? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That would be available currently, correct. So do you think knowing the type of turbine and plant that was going to be installed, do you think we could estimate an annual water usage for the plant? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes. I f I were to give you a hypothetical example , and this may be better for Mr. Said as well ll let you two decide who wants to answer it, if we look at this particular type of turbine and we assume that it would have a maXlmum water usage of 120 gallons per minute when it's running full out and we assume 500 hours of operation over the summer which would be probably a large amount for a peaker , summer peaker CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 372 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 plant and we apply that to (**Confidential**) summer rate , would it surprise you that that yearly amount of water under those assumptions would be approximately , 500 ~aking service from (**Confidential**)? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Did you address that to Mr. Said? MR. SAID:500? Yes, approximately.Subj ect to check, would you agree if that calculation was performed that would be the result? MR. SAID:Well , I have no idea what the curr~nt rate per gallon might be, but if I did the math right, you re talking about 60 000 gallons costing 500.If the rate multiplied on a per gallon basis gave you that number, then I assume that you know how to do the math.That would tell you what the cost of water would be today and obviously, that could go up in the future. Okay; so even if we doubled that number to, say, $15 000 on an annual basis , and this may be back to Mr. Youngblood , I'm not sure, but wouldn t you consider that $15,000 to be a minor cost on a 170 megawatt gas-fired power plant? MR. SAID:If you re only looking at dollar issues.I believe that Mr. Youngblood has CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 373 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 testified that whether or not they would be provided at the time that the facility came on is another consideration. Do either of you know who provides the water supply at the Bennett Mountain plant? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:It is under the control of Idaho Power.It is a well at Bennett Mountain. apologize.I was speaking to the Evander Andrews.The two sites that we were comparing were between Evander Andrews and (**Confidential**) and at the Evander Andrews si te , Idaho Power has a well and controls that. Isn I t it true that the water supplied to the Bennett Mountain plant is supplied by the City of Mountain Home? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I do not know. That's okay.ll direct your attention now to pages 6 through 12 of your rebuttal testimony. The next non-price attribute discussed on these pages is air quality; is that correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I believe at the bottom we start talking about air quality, correct, at the bottom of 6, yes, okay. Okay, and the Company submitted as -- had a study prepared by (**Confidential **), I believe it is, and the purpose of that was to examine air quality CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 374 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 permitting issues for the top three short-listed bidders; is that correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is not correct. Okay. MR. YOUNGBLOOD:It was on three different sites.(**Confidential **) had no knowledge of the bidders at all.Independently Idaho Power asked (**Confidential**) to prepare an air quality study on three different sites:one Elmore county,one Canyon County and one in Ada County. And do you have copy your rebut tal testimony there with you? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes , I do. d like to direct you specifically to page 8, lines 13 through 15.Now , you quote that report; is that correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes. Could you please read what you quoted from the report? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Beginning where , on 10, line 10? Start with line 11 , " the DEQ. MR. YOUNGBLOOD:(**Confidential**) . Okay, and then you refer to Exhibit 1 at page 10. CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 375 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Correct. Do you have Exhibit 1 with you? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes , I do. Could you please turn to page 10? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes. Okay, and the second to the last paragraph from the bottom of the page , that's where you quoted. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho You quoted lines 1 through 3 of this paragraph that you just read to us; is that correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is correct. Okay, can you please looking at the report , could you continue on in that same paragraph and read us the remainder, lines 4 through 6, the very next MR. YOUNGBLOOD:(**Confidential**) . Okay.Now , since we have the report out, could you turn to page 1 of that report?This was submi tted as rebuttal Exhibit No.1, page This is the Executi ve Summary; correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Correct. lines? 376 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 Could you please read aloud for us the final paragraph of the Executive Summary? CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho MR. YOUNGBLOOD:(**Confidential**) . Okay.I f you would bear with me here could we stay on this report and please turn to Table I believe that's found on page (**Confidential**) ? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:m sorry, please say (**Confidential**) ? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:It shows the turbine that again. modeling results for those three sites located in Ada Elmore and Canyon County, correct. 377 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 And that would include the Evander Andrews in Elmore and the (**Confidential**) in Ada? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Correct. And in layman s terms , this shows the pollution that comes out of the machine; right? simplified. MR. SAID:I think that's -- Is that too simplified? MR. SAID:I think that may be too It's possible that that's combined emissions from the specific unit and additional units in the area. Okay; so it would be the pollution for that particular site, then? accurate. MR. SAID:I believe that would be more Okay.Now , the column , if we look to the right, the second to the last column is called the CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho Significant Impact Level;Do you know how this report defines significant impact level? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I do not recall , no. Could you look at page 3, and at the very top, very top of page 3 in parentheses, does that define significant impact level for this table? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes , I believe so. Could you please read what that definition 378 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 is? MR.YOUNGBLOOD: (* *Confiden tial * *) MR.YOUNGBLOOD:I do not know at what CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 379 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 point in time EPA starts to take action.I know that when an area is termed as a maintenance area that it headed toward non-attainment and so in that case, EPA may step in prior to exceeding these numbers. Okay.**Confidential**) MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is correct, none of the numbers .for any of the three sites. (* *Confiden tial * *) What does n/a typically stand for? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Not applicable. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 380 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD ~X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 Okay.**Confidential**) So regardless, it's pretty clear from this table that these state-of-the-art turbines don t produce a lot of emissions, do you think that would be fair to say? MS. MOEN:m going to obj ect to that question.That requires an engineering background as to emissions standards and also the quantity of emissions emitted by a 501F and Mr. Youngblood doesn t have that kind of technical history. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Mr. Walker. MR. WALKER:That's fine, I'll withdraw that question. BY MR. WALKER:All right, I think I' done with Exhibit 1 for a moment here.d like to now direct you to pages 12 and 13.This is another risk that you discuss which would be community support; is that correct? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is correct. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 381 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 You state at the bottom of page 12 and the top of page 13, "The risks continue to exist that non-support for the proj ect could result in construction delays and increased costs for the facility. MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is correct. Isn t it true that despite whatever public opposition was expressed that the (**Confidential**) site was ultimately granted a conditional use permit to construct the plant? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:It is my understanding that it has received a conditional use permit , correct. Now , if the conditional use permit has been obtained, what risk is there that community opposition will delay the construction? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Huge, I mean, and that' the evaluation.There was substantial community rej ection or opposition at the time of the announcement of these different sites and trying to go in for a condi tional use permit attainment does not say at all whether or not that community support has been mitigated. Communi ty support can still be very, very large in trying to go ahead and build and construct the plant.It just talks to the conditional use permit was granted. Is it unusual for Idaho Power to face any opposition for construction of various facilities? CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 382 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 MR.YOUNGBLOOD:unusual for them? unusual,1 i ke,say,for instance power lines through Eagle? MR.YOUNGBLOOD:That was contested. There were other power plants that have been contested. There are also power plants that have been constructed that community support was very supportive and, in fact, went through easily. How many people in the (**Confidential**) area opposed the plant at the (**Confidential**) site? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:We did not take a survey. I do know -- That was my next question.Did you do any kind of survey or study? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:During the evaluation time and during that, there were -- first of all, at the condi tional use permit, I don t recall the number.There was a substantial number of individuals that were there in opposition to the plant.During that same point in time, e-mails were sent out to a lot of the residents in the area.Myself, we received one not because I was a member of the evaluation team , because I'm a member of the soccer community and the soccer community had already come up in arms and had started posting e-mails. cannot give you a number.There was a number of things CSB . REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 383 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 that came up during that time that led us to believe strongly that there was strong opposition to the plant in (**Confidential**) . How many people in opposition does it take in order for the Company to spend more money on an al ternati ve site? MS. MOEN:I obj ect to that question. That question is argumentative. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Mr. Walker , would you like to rephrase that? MR. WALKER:ll withdraw that question. BY MR. WALKER:Do you think there would be public opposition if the public knew that Idaho Power was proposing to spend more money to locate the plant at the Evander Andrews site? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:ll go back to under community support, this was an evaluation of non-price attributes , so under community support, we were trying to determine as a non-price attribute whether one site had greater community support or less community support. this case, the Evander Andrews site it was deemed had greater community support than the (**Confidential**) site. The next area I'd like to discuss actually the next section of your testimony.It begins CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 384 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 on pages 14 through 19 and this is where you discuss proj ect cost differentials.Who would be responsible for this information? MR. SAID:That depends on the question posed. Okay, and I'm also going to be referring to the rebut tal Exhibit No.This has been referred to several times already in this proceeding.Does everybody have a copy of this? MR. SAID:We do. Have it handy?d like to spend some time discussing this, Madam Chairman.My next section will be a lengthy discussion of this.I can start it now and just break wherever if you prefer. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Well, I think we should use up this next 15 minutes. MR. WALKER:Okay. COMMISSIONER SMITH:I mean , if you have another group of questions that were shorter. MR. WALKER:I think maybe we can get a good introduction on to this exhibit. BY MR. WALKER:If we look at the very top COMMISSIONER SMITH:And remind me what re looking at. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 385 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 MR. WALKER:This would be the Company rebuttal Exhibit No.It's a one-page spreadsheet. BY MR. WALKER:Now , this page, it' divided in thirds, would that be fair to say? MR. SAID:Yes. Okay, and let's start at the very top, very left-hand side.This is, it says proj ect Costs as Evaluated , so these would be the numbers that the evaluation committee used and had before it? MR. SAID:That's correct. Okay, and the very first column there is labeled Plant Cost.Now , would this be the contract price for Evander Andrews and (**Confidential**) , is that what that number is? MR. SAID:It's the contract which is $49,990,000 and then some additional cost. Right, and it's reflected as 50 781 000 because there was a further discount after the award or at some point after the committee evaluated it, but that's the same number we re talking about, the contract right, the bid amount? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:This is the capital cost of the plant. Okay.'Now , there s no risk associated with those numbers, is there? CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 386 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 MR. SAID:That's correct.The risk is reflected in non-price attributes. Now , if we move to the next column , what' the next column? MR. SAID:The next column is Transmission Cost. Okay, and those amounts there , the 550 000 for Evander Andrews and the (**Confidential**) for (**Confidential**) , is that the transmission cost that the evaluation committee assumed for those two proj ects? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That was the information that had been given to us as estimates from our delivery department , correct. Okay, and so if we keep moving down our chart here, the next one is the proj ect Cost; is that correct? MR. SAID:Yes , it's the sum of the first two columns. Okay, and then if we look down to the number that's underlined there,(**Confidential**) , that's the difference in the two proj ect costs? MR. SAID:Yes, that number is the same as has been presented by Mr. Sterling. Okay; so that's the number that Staff CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 387 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 recommended for disallowance, would that be fair to say? MR. SAID:Yes. Okay, and then the next column , what's the MR. SAID:The next column is an evaluation of the levelized cost of the project over a CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 30-year period of time. So like it says in the note at the bottom is that number derived by levelizing the project cost as described, is that where you get that MR. SAID:Yes. next column? And the next column labeled Levelized Fixed Operating Costs, how was that derived? MR. SAID:Those amounts were quantified by the evaluation team as costs in addition to capital costs that were the differences between the two Okay, and we ll get back to those in a little bit, but what I s the next column? MR. SAID:The last column is the Annual Levelized Fixed Costs which include both capital and So correct me if I'm wrong, but this over years number from? proj ects. operating costs. 388 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 number is the preceding two added together; is that right? MR. SAID:That's correct , and those numbers were the basis of the team s evaluation for price points. Okay; so then if we move to the middle third , that's called Equal Annual Levelized Fixed Cost; ~s that correct? MR. SAID:Yes. And this one, correct me if I'm wrong, but we kind of have to start on the right-hand side when we look at this one; right? MR. SAID:That's correct. And could you describe , start at the right-hand side and take us through that calculation describe what this does and what it shows? MR. SAID:The attempt here is to take the annual levelized fixed costs associated with the (**Confidential**) proj ect and force the Evander Andrews to an equal level by changing only the levelized cost of capi tal associated with the s~me proj ects , so if you move from the right-hand column to the next to the right-hand column, you ll see that the levelized fixed operating costs are the same as they are in the top third, and then when you move to the levelized cost of capital , that CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 389 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 remains the same for the (**Confidential**) project, but is reduced at the Evander Andrews proj ect in order to force an equal annual levelized fixed cost, and then the final step ,is to convert that levelized cost of capital into an equivalent project cost if the annualized fixed costs of the two proj ects were identical. Okay; so it's fair to say that if we make the annual costs the same , this is trying to equate how much cushion there was in price for Evander Andrews compared to (**Confidential**) to make them equal; is that another way to say that? MR. SAID:Well , that's a way to say it. Okay. MR. SAID:What you re talking about is the bottom third of the chart which looks at the true Evander Andrews proj ect cost of 73 million and what the proj ect cost would have needed to be in order to have the same annual levelized fixed cost as (**Confidential**) and you can see that the difference is (**Confidential**) . Okay; so just to make sure I' understanding this correctly now , in order to pay the same amount of annual levelized costs , the Evander Andrews site had a cushion of about (**Confidential**)? MR. SAID:If you re asking for the CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 390 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 difference between the (**Confidential**) as quantified by Mr. Sterling and the (**Confidential**) as quantified by the two of us , then what we say is that Mr. Sterling overstated the difference in the cost of the two proj ects by (**Confidential**) , correct. Well , actually, what I was asking you about was in the middle of the page, the proj ect cost, the (**Confidential**) for (**Confidential**) and the seventy million eight and some odd for Evander Andrews, so if the Company pays the same amount of money on a yearly basis , that's the equivalent capital expenditure to make those equal; is that what that is? MR. SAID:That's correct. So the Company could pay, you know , my math isn t that great , but (**Confidential**) more in capi tal expenditures for Evander and because of the operating costs , those would be equal? MR. SAID:Tha t 's true. Now , when we get down to the bottom on this (**Confidential**) , isn t that the amount above that (**Confidential**) cushion that the Company actually would pay under the contracts and the process here? MR. SAID:If the ultimate costs end up exactly as quoted in the bidding process -- Okay, and if the -- CSB REPORTING Wilder, Idaho 391 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 MR. SAID:-- then the Evander Andrews project would be expected to cost (**Confidential**) more than the (**Confidential**) proj ect on an investment. So to kind of sum it up where up here on the top where Staff says you paid (**Confidential**) too much , here the Company says well, no, we really only paid (**Confidential**) too much? MR. SAID:We haven t paid any too much at this point in time. Well, over what they would have been at equal? MR. SAID:If the two plants could be built at exactly the costs that they proposed, that would be true. Okay, that's fair.Let's go back up to the top and look at the column called Levelized Fixed Operating Costs, and that'(**Confidential**) , approximately, for Evander and (**Confidential**) for (**Confidential**) . MR. SAID:That's correct. Okay.Now , what number -- let's look at Evander Andrews first , the (**Confidential**).What number was assumed for incremental fixed O&M at Evander Andrews in this calculation? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Incremental over CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 392 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 (**Confidential**) or incremental of Evander Andrews, there was zero. Okay, and for (**Confidential**) , what was the number, the assumed number , for incremental fixed O&M CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho in (**Confidential**)? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Approximately (**Confidential**) per year. Okay, and these were, as noted, they were escalated for 30 years at 2.5 percent, is that correct, in the calculation? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:I don t recall if it was 5 percent, but, yes, they were escalated. What do you get if you escalate zero for MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Zero. Isn I t the fixed O&M, is that mostly made MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Yes.Well , there are -- A substantial portion of it is the labor cost, would that be fair? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:There s -- I don t know what the portions were, yes , but there is labor, there is additional supervision , additional vehicles, different plant.I have that in my testimony. 30 years? up of labor? yeah. 393 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 So with Evander Andrews having zero incremental O&M, that assumes that there s no additional labor cost whatsoever when adding this 170 megawatt plant at an existing place? MR. SAID:The attempt was to identify the incremental cost above and beyond the Evander Andrews site for the (**Confidential**) site, so you could have added a base amount for Evander Andrews, you would have added the same amount into (**Confidential**). Well , now , isn t it true that 100 percent of the costs used to operate the Danskin plant were assigned as incremental fixed O&M escalated over 30 years and added to the (**Confidential**) site? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Please restate that.100 percent of the -- please restate it. Okay.100 percent of the -- you testified that (**Confidential**) incremental fixed O&M was added to the (**Confidential**) site. MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Correct. Okay. MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That has nothing to do wi th Dans kin.That is the incremental additional trucks, buildings, wages, salaries that would be needed at the (**Confidential**) site if the Company were to build a plant at (**Confidential**). CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 394 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 So isn t it true that those numbers were derived using historical cost data from the existing Dans kin plant? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:Probably some historical data as well as just determination of what it would cost to run an (**Confidential**) site.Supervision, there addi tional supervision or there may be vehicle mileage attributable to a supervisor going back and forth which would not have historical basis, but , yes , those were incremental costs to a site that would be built at the Evander Andrews. Okay; so I'm just trying to make sure understand what numbers were included here, so you saying that there would be zero incremental.There would be zero additional labor or incremental fixed O&M at a plant located at Evander Andrews , but yet, there would be this (**Confidential**) escalated for 30 years added to the (**Confidential**)? MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is correct.That is not to say it's zero dollars to operate Evander Andrews or zero dollars to operate the (**Confidential**) site. The incremental difference would be an additional (**Confidential**) more at the (**Confidential**) site. So if we look at this levelized fixed operating cost, this (**Confidential**) , that represents CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 395 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676 taxes , depreciation, insurance and those -- that's the only numbers represented there; is that correct?There no labor or any other overhead attributed, reflected in that (**Confidential **) MR. YOUNGBLOOD:That is correct.That is property tax, insurance. COMMISSIONER SMITH:Mr. Walker , would this be a good time to break? MR. WALKER:Sure. COMMISSIONER SMITH:I apologize doing this to your cross, but I I m sorry, I have to go, so we will reconvene at 1: 35. (Noon recess. CSB REPORTING Wilder , Idaho 396 SAID/YOUNGBLOOD (X-Reb) Idaho Power Company83676