Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOC ValuEngine-2-3-09.pdf Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA)Feb. 03, 2009 VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION & BASIC INFORMATION Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 1 Close Price Model Price Volume Sell Hold Buy 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Pr i c e .25 .50 .75 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 Vo l u m e ( m i l l i o n ) ©ValuEngine.com 2008RECOMMENDATION negative neutral positive SELL HOLD BUY VALUENGINE RATING RECOMMENDATION FACTORS Value Rank Overall Rank top 17% Fair Value $36.41 btm 28% 1Yr Target Price $31.29 top 22% P/E Ratio 12.71 top 43% Last 1-Y Return -9.18%top 13% Market Cap(bil)$1.31 top 18% BASIC INFORMATION Last Trade $28.7 Trade Date 02/02/09 Market Cap(bil)$1.30774 Trailing P/E 12.71 Forward P/E 12.16 PEG Ratio 2.81 P/S Ratio 1.39 M/B Ratio 1.03 Sharpe Ratio -0.1 5-Y Avg Ann Return -1.95% Volatility 18.68% EPS Growth 4.52% Annual Dividend $1.20 Dividend Yield 4.18% LT Debt/Equity 1.00 Beta 0.35 VALUATION ANALYSIS IDA Today's Fair value: $36.41 21.17% undervalued Industry Electrical Utilities 21.90% undervalued Sector Public Utilities 24.60% undervalued FORECAST ANALYSIS Target Price Exp. Return 1-Month $28.74 0.14% 3-Month $28.82 0.42% 6-Month $29.48 2.71% 1-Year $31.29 9.03% 2-Year $33.75 17.60% 3-Year $35.27 22.91% Contact ValuEngine: ValuEngine, Inc. 100 Overlook Center, 2nd Floor Princeton, NJ 08540, U.S.A. (800) 381-5576 (T) support@ValuEngine.com www.ValuEngine.com VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION ValuEngine has issued a BUY recommendation for IDACORP INC. on Feb. 03, 2009. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that IDACORP INC. has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE volatility, momentum and company size. RATING OVERVIEW The ValuEngine Rating is an overall assessment of a stock's attractiveness. It combines the following five factors: 1. Fair market valuation 2. 1 year forecasted returns 3. Price/Earnings ratio 4. Momentum 5. Market capitalization Only two percent of the over 4,000 stocks that we cover receive the highest 5 rating. The ratings are the result of the cumulative of the above factors. As such, stocks with relatively poor results for any one of the five variables can still be attractive if the other four factors are strong enough. Top 5 rated stocks can be expected to outperform the overall market by 15% or more, with average annualized returns from Jan. 2000 through Jan. 2006 of over 30% per year. FAIR MARKET VALUATION PRICE Based on available data as of Feb. 03, 2009, we believe that IDA should be trading at $36.41. This makes IDA 21.17% undervalued. Fair Value indicates what we believe the stock should be trading at today if the stock market were perfectly efficient and everything traded at its true worth. For IDA, we base this on actual earnings per share (EPS) for the previous four quarters of $2.26, forecasted EPS for the next four quarters of $2.36, and correlations to the 30- year Treasury bond yield of 3.47%. There are an additional 10 firm specific and interest rate related parameters, each playing a role in the valuation analysis. FORECASTED TARGET PRICES The predictive variables used in Valuengine's forecast target price models include both proprietary and well-established forecasting variables derived from credible financial research studies and publications. Our forecasting models capture, among other things, several important tendencies that stock prices consistently exhibit: Short-term price reversals, Intermediate-term momentum continuation, and Long-term price reversals. We use a distinct forecasting model for each time horizon and for every industry. We then apply the most advanced statistical/econometric techniques to ensure that our stock return forecasts are as reliable as possible. Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) DATA SUMMARY & MARKET RATIO BASED VALUATION Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 2 OPTIMAL BUY-SELL Based solely on the Historical Mispricing of IDA, the best time to buy would be below $32.77 (or valuation below - 10.00%). The best time to sell would be above $45.15 (or valuation above 24.00%). EVALUATION & RANKINGS Value Rank Valuation -21.17%28 12-Month Return -9.18%88 5-Y Avg Ann Rtn -1.95%70 Volatility 18.68%98 EPS Growth 4.52%48 Market Cap(bill)1.31 83 Sharpe Ratio -0.1 67 P/S Ratio 1.39 36 M/B Ratio 1.03 41 P/E Ratio 12.71 58 EVALUATION & RANKINGS SUMMARY Just as important as the percentages shown for our ten predictive variables for each stock is the way they are ranked against the 7000 plus stocks in our database. This is sometimes confusing to newcomers to ValuEngine. Each of these quantitative measurements is ranked on a scale of 1 to 100. Generally the higher the ranking, the more positive the influence each measurement has on the overall attractiveness of the stock. In other words a high rank is always better. Let's take them one by one: Valuation rank 28: 72% of stocks are more undervalued • Momentum rank 88: 12% of stocks have higher momentum • Sharpe Ratio rank 67: 33% of stocks have a higher Sharpe Ratio • 5-Year Average Annual Return 70: 30% of stocks have higher average annual return • Volatility rank 98: 2% of stocks have less volatility• EPS growth rank 48: 52% of stocks have greater projected EPS growth • Size rank 83: 17% of companies have higher market capitalization • P/E rank 58: 42% of stocks have lower P/E ratios• Price/Sales rank 36: 64% of stocks have lower price/sales ratios • Market/Book rank 41: 59% of stocks have lower market/book value ratios • MARKET RATIO BASED VALUATION Portfolio managers and professionals traditionally rely on market ratios to gauge whether a stock is fair valued or overvalued. On this page, we present such a valuation based on one of three market ratios: PEG (price to trailing 4 quarter earnings ratio, divided by the consensus analyst forecasted next year EPS growth), P/E (price to forward 4 quarter earnings ratio), and P/S ratio (price to trailing 4 quarter sales). Among the three, PEG is the most informative as it reflects both the price/earnings ratio and expected future EPS growth, while P/E is better than P/S. For each given stock, we apply the PEG to give a fair value assessment if both its trailing 4 quarter EPS and forecasted EPS growth rate are positive. If its forecasted EPS growth is negative but its forward 4 quarter EPS is positive, we apply the P/E to give a fair value for the stock as of today. Otherwise, we resort to the P/S to assess its fair value. To establish a valuation standard, we use both (i) the average historical market ratio of the stock over the past 10 years (or however long there is data available for the stock), and (ii) the average market ratio today of five comparable stocks in the same sector and from companies of similar size. These two alternative perspectives should give you a good idea about where this stock's valuation stands today. 1. Valuation Based on IDA's Past PEG Over the past 10 years, IDA's average PEG is 3.34. IDA earned $2.26 per share in its recent 4 quarters. The analyst consensus estimate is $2.36 for its 4 quarter forward EPS. IDA's current sales per share is 1.39. The following assessment is based on multiplying the historical PEG with recent 4 quarter EPS and the forecasted EPS growth rate over the next 4 quarters for IDA. Fair Value Historical Average PEG 3.34 PEG-Based Fair Value $34.07 2. Valuation Based on Comparables' PEG IDA's comparables are AVA, BKH, CNL, ELP and POR. The current PEG average of these comparables is 1.75. IDA earned $2.26 per share in its recent 4 quarters. The analyst consensus estimate is $2.36 for its 4-quarter- forward EPS. IDA's current sales per share is 1.39. The following assessment is based on multiplying comparable stocks' average PEG today with IDA's recent 4 quarter EPS and the forecasted EPS growth rate over the next 4 quarters . Comparables' PEG Comparables Current PEG AVA 1.17 BKH 1.42 CNL 2.15 ELP n/a POR 2.25 Fair Value Comparable Stocks' Avg PEG 1.75 Comparable PEG-Based Fair Value $17.84 Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) COMPANY ANALYSIS Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 3 IDACORP, Inc., through its subsidiary, Idaho Power Company (IPC), engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, sale and purchase of electric energy. The company’s other subsidiaries include: IDACORP Financial Services, Inc. (IFS), an investor in affordable housing and other real estate investments; and Ida-West Energy Company (Ida-West), an operator of small hydroelectric generation projects. Utility Operations IPC's service territory covers a 24,000 square mile area in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon, with an estimated population of 982,000. IPC holds franchises in 71 cities in Idaho and nine cities in Oregon and holds certificates from the respective public utility regulatory authorities to serve all or a portion of 25 counties in Idaho and three counties in Oregon. As of December 31, 2007, IPC supplied electric energy to approximately 482,000 general business customers. IPC owns and operates 17 hydroelectric generation developments, 2 natural gas-fired plants and 1 diesel- powered generator and shares ownership in 3 coal-fired generating plants. IPC's primary commercial and industrial customers are involved in food processing, electronics and general manufacturing, forest products, beet sugar refining, and winter recreation. IPC, through its subsidiary Idaho Energy Resources Co., owns a one-third interest in Bridger Coal, which owns the Jim Bridger mine that supplies coal to the Jim Bridger generating plant (one-third owned by IPC) in Wyoming. IPC provides wholesale transmission service and provides firm and non- firm wheeling services for eligible transmission customers. IPC's system consists of 17 hydroelectric generating plants located in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon, two natural gas-fired plants located in southern Idaho and interests in three coal-fired steam electric generating plants located in Wyoming, Nevada and Oregon. The system also includes approximately 4,747 miles of high-voltage transmission lines, 23 step-up transmission substations located at power plants, 20 transmission substations, eight switching stations, 222 energized distribution substations (excluding mobile substations and dispatch centers) and approximately 64,672 miles of distribution lines. IFS IFS invests primarily in affordable housing developments, which provide a return principally by reducing federal and state income taxes through tax credits and accelerated tax depreciation benefits. IFS's portfolio also includes historic rehabilitation projects, such as the Empire Building in Boise, Idaho. The underlying investments include approximately 700 individual properties, of which all but three are administered through syndicated funds. IDA-West IDA-West operates and has a 50 percent interest in nine hydroelectric plants with a total generating capacity of 45 MW. Four of the projects are located in Idaho and five are in northern California. History IDACORP, Inc. was founded in 1915. Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) VALUENGINE RANKINGS Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 4 Just as important as the percentages shown for our ten predictive variables for each stock is the way they are ranked against the 7000 plus stocks in our database. Each of these quantitative measurements is ranked on a scale of 1 to 100. Generally the higher the ranking, the more positive the influence each measurement has on the overall attractiveness of the stock. In other words a high rank is always better. The below data points show how the rank for each data point for IDA relates to the overall industry, sector, and S&P 500 averages. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Valuation Rank IDA -21.17% 28 Industry -21.90% 34 Sector -24.60% 39 S&P 500 -30.76% 40 The ValuEngine Valuation Rank measures the relationship between a company's stock price and its Fair Value. The higher the Valuation rank, the more undervalued the stock. With a Valuation Rank of 28, IDA is in line with the average of its industry group, which carries a Valuation Rank of 34. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12-Month Return Rank IDA -9.18% 88 Industry -25.50% 70 Sector -33.16% 62 S&P 500 -40.85% 58 The ValuEngine 12-Month Return Rank reflects the relative stock performance of a stock over the recent 12 months. On a scale of 1 to 100, a higher 12-Month Return rank indicates a stronger performance. With a 12-Month Return Rank of 88, IDA is slightly higher than the industry's rank score of 70. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5-Y Avg Ann Rtn Rank IDA -1.95% 70 Industry 1.93% 75 Sector -3.77% 67 S&P 500 -6.66% 61 The ValuEngine 5-Years Average Return Rank reflects a stock's average annual return over the last 5 years, in comparison with the coverage universe. A higher rank indicates a better return performance. With a rank of 70, IDA is in line with the industry, which has a rank of 75. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Volatility Rank IDA 18.68% 98 Industry 38.53% 78 Sector 46.36% 70 S&P 500 18.24% 99 The ValuEngine Volatility Rank reflects the volatility associated with the stock. A higher Volatility Rank indicates a lower volatile percentile of stocks. IDA has a Volatility Rank of 98, which is slightly higher than the industry Rank of 78. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- EPS Growth Rank IDA 4.52% 48 Industry 10.64% 49 Sector 12.76% 49 S&P 500 -2.47% 40 The ValuEngine EPS Growth Rank indicates a stock's expected EPS growth rate. A high rank indicates a high growth rate expectation. IDA has an EPS Growth Rank of 48.This is in line with the industry rank of 49. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Market Cap(bill)Rank IDA 1.31 83 Industry 6.01 82 Sector 7.12 75 S&P 500 n/a n/a The ValuEngine Size rank signifies the company's size in terms of market capitalization. A higher rank denotes a larger market capitalization within ValuEngine's stock universe. With a Size rank of 83, IDA is in line with the industry, which has a rank of 82. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sharpe Ratio Rank IDA -0.1 67 Industry 0.04 73 Sector -0.07 67 S&P 500 -0.37 45 The ValuEngine Sharpe Ratio Rank measures the risk return tradeoff offered by a stock. Sharpe ratio is the stock's average annual return (over the last five years) divided by its annualized volatility over the same 5 years. With a rank of 67, IDA is in line with the industry, which has a rank of 73. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P/S Ratio Rank IDA 1.39 36 Industry 1.06 49 Sector 1.61 51 S&P 500 n/a n/a The ValuEngine Price/Sales rank signifies the relative position of the company based on its P/S ratio. Stocks with the lowest P/S ratio are assigned a rank of 100 while stocks with the highest P/S ratio are ranked 1. At a Price/Sales rank of 36, IDA is slightly lower than the industry rank of 49. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- M/B Ratio Rank IDA 1.03 41 Industry 1.44 37 Sector 1.63 38 S&P 500 n/a n/a The Market/Book Rank is a measure of a stock's market to book ratio relative to the stock universe. A higher rank corresponds to a lower market book value. IDA has a Market/Book rank of 41, which is in line with the industry rank of 37. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P/E Ratio Rank IDA 12.71 58 Industry 13.87 57 Sector 14.75 55 S&P 500 11.39 62 The ValuEngine P/E Rank signifies the relative standing of a company on its P/E ratio, relative to the universe. Stocks in the top P/E percentile are each assigned a rank of 1(highest P/E stocks) while those in the bottom P/E percentile are assigned a rank of 100 (traditional value stocks). With a P/E rank of 58, IDA is in line with the industry P/E rank of 57. Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) COMPARISON OF SIMILAR STOCKS* & RISk ASSESSMENT Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 5 Valuation Rank IDA -21.17% 28 CNL -9.52% 17 POR -28.33% 37 ELP -46.43% 60 BKH -21.74% 28 12-Month Return Rank IDA -9.18% 88 CNL -8.12% 89 POR -17.81% 82 ELP -33.71% 66 BKH -29.41% 71 5-Y Avg Ann Rtn Rank IDA -1.95% 70 CNL 4.00% 81 POR -15.78% 44 ELP 18.42% 96 BKH -2.01% 70 Volatility Rank IDA 18.68% 98 CNL 19.83% 97 POR 24.72% 93 ELP 42.55% 66 BKH 22.19% 96 EPS Growth Rank IDA 0.05 48 CNL 0.06 51 POR 0.05 49 ELP -0.36 17 BKH 0.1 55 Market Cap(bill)Rank IDA 1.31 83 CNL 1.4 84 POR 1.21 82 ELP 1.21 82 BKH 1.04 81 Sharpe Ratio Rank IDA -0.1 67 CNL 0.2 87 POR -0.64 26 ELP 0.43 95 BKH -0.09 68 P/S Ratio Rank IDA 1.39 36 CNL 1.3 38 POR 0.69 55 ELP 0.42 68 BKH 1.29 38 M/B Ratio Rank IDA 1.03 41 CNL 1.32 32 POR 0.9 47 ELP 0.29 87 BKH 0.91 46 P/E Ratio Rank IDA 12.71 58 CNL 13.92 54 POR 10.86 64 ELP 4.04 91 BKH 14.24 54 FORECAST COMPARISONS RETURN FORECAST: EXPECTED RETURN BKH CNL ELP IDA POR One-Month -0.12%0.05%5.80%0.14%0.21% Three-Month -0.36%-0.24%13.98%0.42%0.91% Six-Month 1.49%1.61%25.28%2.71%3.94% One-Year 6.60%7.38%58.75%9.03%12.62% Two-Year 10.69%15.38%95.35%17.60%21.63% Three-Year 18.79%18.91%126.45%22.91%28.25% RISK ASSESSMENT: CHANCE OF GAIN BKH CNL ELP IDA POR One-Month 49.24%50.34%68.16%51.06%51.16% Three-Month 48.72%49.04%74.44%51.80%52.94% Six-Month 53.79%54.57%79.96%58.13%58.92% One-Year 61.69%64.51%91.63%68.55%69.51% Two-Year 63.33%70.83%94.34%74.74%73.19% Three-Year 68.76%70.90%95.69%76.05%74.53% RISK ASSESSMENT: CHANCE OF LOSS BKH CNL ELP IDA POR One-Month 50.76%49.66%31.84%48.94%48.84% Three-Month 51.28%50.96%25.56%48.20%47.06% Six-Month 46.21%45.43%20.04%41.87%41.08% One-Year 38.31%35.49%8.37%31.45%30.49% Two-Year 36.67%29.17%5.65%25.26%26.81% Three-Year 31.24%29.10%4.31%23.95%25.47% * Comparables are companies in the same Sector and Industry and of approximately similar market capitalization value. Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) ANNUAL FINANCIALS - BALANCE SHEET (millions) Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 6 2007-12 2006-12 2005-12 2004-12 2003-12 2002-12 2001-12 2000-12 Cash and Equivalents 8 9.9 52.4 23.4 75.2 42.7 67 106.8 TOTAL CASH & SHORT TERM INVEST 8 9.9 52.4 23.4 75.2 42.7 67 106.8 Accounts Receivable 98 86.3 103.3 83 81.3 169.2 201 287.1 Other Receivables 11 11.9 22.6 8.8 8.2 15 62 15.6 Notes Receivable 2.1 2.6 3 3.5 3.3 7.6 6 4.7 TOTAL RECEIVABLES 111.1 100.8 128.9 95.3 92.8 191.9 269 307.4 INVENTORIES 60.5 54.3 44 34.5 27.6 29.8 35 34.8 Prepaid Expenses 9.4 9.3 18.5 30 27.8 34.3 32 24.6 Deferred Tax Assets, Curr 25.7 28 23.9 23.4 ------8.7 Other Current Assets 52.1 64.3 29.9 14.7 10.4 102.3 250 1681.6 TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 266.7 266.5 297.5 221.4 233.8 401 653 2163.9 Gross Property Plant and Equip.4085.4 3825.3 3678.9 3525.6 3327.9 3201.5 3106 2947.6 Accumulated Depreciation -1468.8 -1406.2 -1364.6 -1316.1 -1239.6 -1295 -1220 -1142.6 NET PROPERTY, PLANT AND EQUIP.2616.6 2419.1 2314.3 2209.5 2088.3 1906.5 1886 1805 Long-term Investments 201.1 202.8 191.6 223.1 204.5 206.3 159 157.1 Goodwill ----3.4 ---------- Other Intangibles 29.5 30.5 31.6 31.6 31.6 31.6 31 31.6 Loans Receivable, LT 2.3 2.4 2.9 3.7 4.8 ------ Deferred Charges, LT 449.7 423.5 415.2 433.3 427.8 482.2 544 442.2 Other Long Term Assets 87.5 100.2 107.7 111.6 111 225 369 39.6 TOTAL ASSETS 3653.3 3445.1 3364.1 3234.2 3101.7 3252.6 3642 4639.3 Accounts Payable 85.1 86.4 83.7 79.2 60.9 130.9 248 272.4 Accrued Expenses 27.4 60.1 87.3 60.7 49.3 63.3 15 32.6 Short-term Borrowings 186.4 129 60.1 36.3 93.7 176.2 363 120.6 Deferred Tax Liability, Current --------5.6 21.5 24 8.7 Other Current Liabilities 64.9 39.7 46.2 30.7 29.9 95 221 1734.6 TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 375.3 410.3 293.6 285.5 307.3 576.6 907 2208.6 Long Term Debt 1156.9 928.6 1023.6 979.5 945.8 898.7 843 864.1 Minority Interest --------52.4 53.4 104 105.1 Deferred Tax Liability Non-Current 466.2 498.5 521.9 555.8 554.7 595.5 590 460.5 Other Non-Current Liabilities 447.6 483.5 499.9 405.1 377.2 253.6 327 180.2 TOTAL LIABILITIES 2446 2320.9 2338.9 2225.9 2237.4 2377.8 2771 3818.4 Common Stock 675.8 638.8 598.7 589.4 473.9 470.4 454 453.1 Retained Earnings 537.7 493.4 437.3 424.3 397.2 415.3 424 370.1 Treasury Stock -0 -2.2 -7.3 -4.6 -4.2 -3.7 -3 -1.5 Comprehensive Income and Other -6.2 -5.7 -3.4 -0.9 -2.6 -7.1 -4 -0.9 TOTAL COMMON EQUITY 1207.3 1124.2 1025.2 1008.3 864.3 874.8 871 820.8 TOTAL EQUITY 1207.3 1124.2 1025.2 1008.3 864.3 874.8 871 820.8 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 3653.3 3445.1 3364.1 3234.2 3101.7 3252.6 3642 4639.3 Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) ANNUAL FINANCIALS - INCOME STATEMENT (millions) Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 7 2007-12 2006-12 2005-12 2004-12 2003-12 2002-12 2001-12 2000-12 Revenues 875.4 920.5 837.7 822.8 802.6 915.5 5635 1005.1 Other Revenues 4 5.8 21.8 21.7 20.4 13.4 13 -- TOTAL REVENUES 879.4 926.3 859.5 844.5 823 928.8 5648 1005.1 Cost Of Goods Sold 613.5 656.8 620 650.4 602.3 721.1 5252 677.4 GROSS PROFIT 265.9 269.5 239.5 194.1 220.7 207.7 396 327.7 Selling General and Admin Exp.13.5 ------24.3 28 66 -- Depr. and Amortization 103.1 99.8 101.5 100.9 97.7 93.6 87 80.3 OPERATING INCOME 149.3 169.7 138 93.3 98.7 86.1 243 247.4 Interest Expense -63.3 -61 -60.2 -63.1 -64.9 -68.6 -76 -69.3 Interest and Invest. Income 6.9 8.5 ------------ NET INTEREST EXP.-56.5 -52.5 -60.2 -63.1 -64.9 -68.6 -76 -69.3 Income/(Loss) from Affiliates -4.8 -2.9 -0.7 1 ------14.3 Other Non-Oper. Inc. (Exp.)8 1.1 9.7 15.1 10.7 7.1 21 4.3 EBT EXCL. UNUSUAL ITEMS 96 115.5 86.9 48.2 40.1 20.6 188 196.7 Gain (Loss) On Sale Of Invest.------2 -4.3 -4 ---- Gain (Loss) On Sale Of Assets ------------2 14 Asset Writedown -----------10.1 ---- Legal Settlements ---------12.1 ------ Other Unusual Items -----10.3 ---2.6 ------ EBT INCL. UNUSUAL ITEMS 96 115.5 76.6 48.2 25.5 10.5 190 210.7 Income Tax Expense 13.7 15.4 12.9 -24.8 -21.1 -51.1 65 70.8 EARNINGS FROM CONTINUING 82.3 100.1 63.7 73 46.6 61.7 125 139.9 Earnings Of Discontinued Oper.0.1 7.3 ------------ NET INCOME 82.3 107.4 63.7 73 46.6 61.7 125 139.9 NI TO COMMON INCL EXTRA ITEMS 82.3 107.4 63.7 73 46.6 61.7 125 139.9 Basic EPS 1.9 2.5 1.5 1.9 1.2 1.6 3.3 3.7 Basic EPS Excl. Extra Items 1.9 2.3 1.5 1.9 1.2 1.6 3.3 3.7 Weighted Avg. Basic Shares Out.44.2 42.7 42.3 38.4 38.2 37.7 37.4 37.6 Diluted EPS 1.9 2.5 1.5 1.9 1.2 1.6 3.3 3.7 Diluted EPS Excl Extra Items 1.9 2.3 1.5 1.9 1.2 1.6 3.3 3.7 Weighted Avg. Diluted Shares Out.44.3 42.9 42.4 38.4 38.2 37.7 37.4 37.6 Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) ANNUAL FINANCIALS - CASH FLOW STATEMENT (millions) Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 8 2007-12 2006-12 2005-12 2004-12 2003-12 2002-12 2001-12 2000-12 Net Income 82.3 107.4 63.7 73 46.6 61.7 125 139.9 Depreciation and Amortization 120.4 122.6 124.1 124.2 129.1 93.6 111 104 Amortization Of Goodwill ----------29.2 ---- DEPRECIATION AND AMORT., TOTAL 120.4 122.6 124.1 124.2 129.1 122.8 111 104 (Gain) Loss From Sale Of Asset -4.8 -25.7 -2.1 -4.5 -----2 -14 (Gain) Loss On Sale Of Invest.--------1.9 1 --28.5 Asset Writedown and Restruct. Costs --2 10.3 9.1 3.5 8.1 ---- (Income) Loss On Equity Investments -6.3 -9.6 -16.8 ---------- Tax Benefit from Stock Options -0.1 -1.4 ------------ Prov. and Write-off of Bad debts --0.1 -10.7 --2.5 0.8 20 -- Other Operating Activities -124.1 -20.6 2.9 9.7 122.9 230.2 -278 -130.5 Change In Accounts Receivable -10.3 24.3 -6.4 -1.4 96.8 28.8 41 -170 Change In Inventories --------2.2 3.6 --4.1 Change In Accounts Payable 2.2 6.7 1.8 15.8 -70.3 -145.9 4 125.7 Change In Income Taxes -9.5 -24.1 26.4 0.7 -11 99 -67 -5.7 Change In Deferred Taxes 11 -17.3 -31.8 -33.9 -62 -110.7 150 46.7 Change In Other Working Capital 19.6 5.2 0.1 2 49 48.2 -112 4.9 CASH FROM OPERATIONS 80.6 169.8 161.5 194.7 311.2 347.6 -8 133.6 Capital Expenditure -287.8 -225 -193.3 -199.8 -149.1 -134.2 -180 -140.3 Sale of Prop., Plant, and Equip.--0.1 1 5.6 ----12 17.5 Divestitures 7.3 21.5 ------------ Sale (Purchase) of Intangible assets 19.8 11.3 70.8 ---------- Invest. in Marketable and Eqty Securties -6.2 -16.4 30.4 -33.9 ---43.9 ---29.2 Other Investing Activities -0.3 -44.6 2.2 -1.5 -4.4 -8.3 -3 -0.6 CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING -267.1 -253 -88.9 -229.6 -153.6 -186.5 -171 -152.6 Short-Term Debt Issued 57.4 68.9 23.8 ------242 100.8 Long-Term Debt Issued 240 116.3 65 106.4 255.3 200 120 94.4 TOTAL DEBT ISSUED 297.4 185.2 88.8 106.4 255.3 200 362 195.2 Short-Term Debt Repaid -------58.2 -82.6 -186.3 ---- Long-Term Debt Repaid -95 -132.6 -83.1 -79.9 -230 -89.4 -144 -102.4 TOTAL DEBT REPAID -95 -132.6 -83.1 -138.1 -312.6 -275.7 -144 -102.4 TOTAL DIVIDENDS PAID -53 -51.3 -50.7 -45.8 -64.7 -70.2 -70 -69.8 Other Financing Activities -1.7 -1.7 -5 -53.5 -6.6 -53.9 -5 -0.5 CASH FROM FINANCING 184.6 40.8 -43.6 -16.8 -125.2 -185 139 14.4 NET CHANGE IN CASH -1.9 -42.5 29 -51.8 32.4 -24 -40 -4.5 Cash Interest Paid 62 60.4 57.5 55.1 58.9 62.7 70 61.8 Cash Taxes Paid 3 54.5 18.9 7.7 52.9 -39.7 -18 29.8 Net Debt Issued 202.4 52.6 5.8 -31.7 -57.3 -75.7 218 92.8 Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) QUARTERLY FINANCIALS - BALANCE SHEET (millions) Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 9 2008-06 2008-03 2007-12 2007-09 2007-06 2007-03 2006-12 2006-09 Cash and Equivalents 8.9 7.4 8 16.7 12.5 3.6 9.9 8.4 TOTAL CASH & SHORT TERM INVEST 8.9 7.4 8 16.7 12.5 3.6 9.9 8.4 Accounts Receivable 114 96.5 98 96.3 100.1 77.7 86.3 83.5 Other Receivables 7.2 7.5 11 21.3 19.9 17.1 11.9 13.4 Notes Receivable 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.7 TOTAL RECEIVABLES 123.4 106.2 111.1 120 122.3 97.3 100.8 99.5 INVENTORIES 74 64.4 60.5 62.6 58.3 57.1 54.3 52 Prepaid Expenses 8.8 7.7 9.4 10.4 8.3 7.7 9.3 14.5 Deferred Tax Assets, Curr 9.9 24.9 25.7 31.5 31.4 30.6 28 26.4 Other Current Assets 34 53.3 52.1 50.4 59.3 64.1 64.3 18.5 TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 259 263.9 266.7 291.6 292 260.4 266.5 219.2 Gross Property Plant and Equip.4167.9 4110.9 4085.4 4018.1 3947.7 3877.6 3825.3 3794.6 Accumulated Depreciation -1480.1 -1461.9 -1468.8 -1466.7 -1446.1 -1431 -1406.2 -1410.6 NET PROPERTY, PLANT AND EQUIP.2687.8 2649 2616.6 2551.4 2501.6 2446.6 2419.1 2384 Long-term Investments 207.3 205.5 201.1 201.5 200.4 198.5 202.8 199.9 Other Intangibles 26.9 27.1 29.5 29.8 30 30.3 30.5 31.6 Loans Receivable, LT 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 Deferred Charges, LT 477.9 473.1 449.7 454.1 426.4 388.7 423.5 371 Other Long Term Assets 87.2 88.5 87.5 81.8 79.6 80.4 100.2 103.2 TOTAL ASSETS 3748.6 3709.5 3653.3 3612.6 3532.3 3407.4 3445.1 3311.4 Accounts Payable 68.7 58.5 85.1 65.8 85.6 43.5 86.4 66.4 Accrued Expenses 22.1 31 27.4 28.2 19 30.4 60.1 96 Short-term Borrowings 279.4 243.5 186.4 144.8 86.9 156.4 129 32.7 Other Current Liabilities 73.1 69.6 64.9 53.4 65.6 68.4 39.7 42.7 TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 452 413.9 375.3 384.5 348.4 393 410.3 253.2 Long Term Debt 1153.4 1155.3 1156.9 1061.3 1064.6 926.9 928.6 1013.7 Deferred Tax Liability Non-Current 468.9 479.6 466.2 486 475.1 463.5 498.5 497.7 Other Non-Current Liabilities 449.6 443.2 447.6 472.7 474.7 471.2 483.5 460.3 TOTAL LIABILITIES 2523.9 2492 2446 2404.5 2362.8 2254.5 2320.9 2224.9 Common Stock 682.1 678.7 675.8 672.9 650.1 639.5 638.8 604.8 Retained Earnings 549.8 545.9 537.7 540.8 525.3 520 493.4 488.2 Treasury Stock -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 ---2.2 -2.2 Comprehensive Income and Other -7.3 -7.2 -6.2 -5.6 -5.9 -6.7 -5.7 -4.2 TOTAL COMMON EQUITY 1224.7 1217.5 1207.3 1208.1 1169.5 1152.8 1124.2 1086.6 TOTAL EQUITY 1224.7 1217.5 1207.3 1208.1 1169.5 1152.8 1124.2 1086.6 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 3748.6 3709.5 3653.3 3612.6 3532.3 3407.4 3445.1 3311.4 Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) QUARTERLY FINANCIALS - INCOME STATEMENT (millions) Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 10 2008-06 2008-03 2007-12 2007-09 2007-06 2007-03 2006-12 2006-09 Revenues 228.9 212.8 196.4 260.5 212.5 205.9 183.6 228.8 Other Revenues 1.3 0.6 1 0.9 1.2 0.8 1.2 1.7 TOTAL REVENUES 230.2 213.4 197.4 261.5 213.8 206.7 184.8 230.5 Cost Of Goods Sold 159.5 139.6 142.9 185.1 149.9 137.6 135.9 148.6 GROSS PROFIT 70.7 73.9 54.5 76.3 63.9 69.1 48.9 81.9 Selling General and Admin Exp.3.9 3.4 4.5 4.3 2.5 ------ Depr. and Amortization 26.6 25.8 26.2 26 25.6 25.3 25.4 25.3 OPERATING INCOME 40.2 44.8 23.8 46.1 35.7 43.8 23.6 56.6 Interest Expense -17.1 -17.5 -16.7 -16.6 -15.4 -15.2 -15.7 -14.8 Interest and Invest. Income ----0.5 ---------- NET INTEREST EXP.-17.1 -17.5 -16.2 -16.6 -15.4 -15.2 -15.7 -14.8 Income/(Loss) from Affiliates -3.3 -4 -1.6 -0.4 -1.6 -1.3 -0.2 -0.4 Other Non-Oper. Inc. (Exp.)4.6 4.1 5.1 4.4 3.2 2.2 -0.4 1.8 EBT EXCL. UNUSUAL ITEMS 24.5 27.3 11.1 33.5 21.9 29.5 7.3 43.2 EBT INCL. UNUSUAL ITEMS 24.5 27.3 11.1 33.5 21.9 29.5 7.3 43.2 Income Tax Expense 6.9 5.6 0.8 4.6 3.4 4.9 -10.6 10.7 EARNINGS FROM CONTINUING 17.5 21.7 10.3 28.9 18.5 24.6 18 32.5 Earnings Of Discontinued Oper.----------0.1 0.1 11.5 NET INCOME 17.5 21.7 10.3 28.9 18.5 24.6 18.1 44 NI TO COMMON INCL EXTRA ITEMS 17.5 21.7 10.3 28.9 18.5 24.6 18.1 44 Basic EPS 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 1 Basic EPS Excl. Extra Items 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 Weighted Avg. Basic Shares Out.44.9 44.8 44.8 44.4 43.8 43.7 43.1 42.7 Diluted EPS 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 1 Diluted EPS Excl Extra Items 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.8 Weighted Avg. Diluted Shares Out.45.1 45 44.9 44.5 43.9 43.8 43.3 42.9 Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) QUARTERLY FINANCIALS - CASH FLOW STATEMENT (millions) Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 11 2008-06 2008-03 2007-12 2007-09 2007-06 2007-03 2006-12 2006-09 Net Income 17.5 21.7 10.3 28.9 18.5 24.6 18.1 44 Depreciation and Amortization 32.5 30.8 29.1 30.9 30.1 30.3 31.7 30.6 DEPRECIATION AND AMORT., TOTAL 32.5 30.8 29.1 30.9 30.1 30.3 31.7 30.6 (Gain) Loss From Sale Of Asset -3.4 ---0.3 -1.8 -1.1 -1.6 -0.4 -17.7 Asset Writedown and Restruct. Costs ------------2 -- (Income) Loss On Equity Investments 0.2 0.9 -1.6 -1.7 -1.4 -1.6 -1.6 -3.3 Tax Benefit from Stock Options -----0.1 -------1.4 -- Prov. and Write-off of Bad debts ------------0.1 0.2 Other Operating Activities -22.9 0.1 -19 -44.4 -44.2 -16.5 -24.1 -55.5 Change In Accounts Receivable 0.2 1.8 -0.6 -6.7 -3.6 0.6 0.7 -2.5 Change In Accounts Payable 16.4 -29.9 22.2 -16.4 42.6 -46.1 21 -3.8 Change In Income Taxes 0.6 -5.8 5.6 -2.5 -13.2 0.6 -26.8 -11.6 Change In Deferred Taxes 4.2 12.6 -18.2 10.5 11.2 7.6 -0.9 18.6 Change In Other Working Capital -12.6 -11.3 6 9 -18.5 23.1 -18.5 24.4 CASH FROM OPERATIONS 32.6 20.9 33.4 5.7 20.4 21 -0.1 23.3 Capital Expenditure -72.5 -52.9 -84.7 -80.9 -72.6 -49.6 -56.9 -65.7 Sale of Prop., Plant, and Equip.5.7 ----------0.1 -- Divestitures ----------7.3 --21.5 Sale (Purchase) of Intangible assets 0.8 ----17.2 2.7 ----0.5 Invest. in Marketable and Eqty Securties -3.7 -11.7 -3.5 -0.8 -3 1 -5 -0.8 Other Investing Activities 19 -0.5 -0.1 -1.6 0.9 0.5 -45.2 -0.2 CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING -50.7 -65.1 -88.3 -66.1 -72 -40.8 -106.9 -44.8 Short-Term Debt Issued 32 57.1 41.6 57.9 --27.4 96.3 -- Long-Term Debt Issued ----14.9 --135 ------ TOTAL DEBT ISSUED 32 57.1 56.6 57.9 135 27.4 96.3 -- Short-Term Debt Repaid ---------69.5 -----12.5 Long-Term Debt Repaid -0.6 -1.8 ---2.3 ---2.7 -5.3 -3.1 TOTAL DEBT REPAID -0.6 -1.8 ---2.3 -69.5 -2.7 -5.3 -15.6 TOTAL DIVIDENDS PAID -13.5 -13.5 -13.4 -13.3 -13.2 -13.1 -12.8 -12.9 Other Financing Activities -0.3 -0.1 0.7 -0.2 -2.1 -0 -2 0.4 CASH FROM FINANCING 19.7 43.6 46.2 64.5 60.4 13.5 108.5 -24 NET CHANGE IN CASH 1.5 -0.6 -8.7 4.2 8.9 -6.3 1.5 -45.5 Net Debt Issued 31.4 55.3 56.6 55.6 65.5 24.7 91 -15.6 1. 2. Thank you for your interest in ValuEngine! Below is a brief description of our range of products. Please visit www.ValuEngine.com, give us a call at 1-800-381-5576 or send us an email at support@ValuEngine.com if you would like to know more about any of ValuEngine's services. Premium Stock Analysis Service: A subscription-based web site with ValuEngine's proprietary real-time quantitative analysis tools for the U.S. stock market. Here you can access Fair Valuation, Forecast Return %, Probability of Gains/Losses, Financials, multi-stock comparison, Market/Sector/Industry overview, and advanced Screening and Portfolio Creation/Optimization tools for over 4500 U.S. stocks. Sign up now for a free 14 day no-risk trial period. You can continue with your subscription for only $24.95 per month-- discounts available for long-term subscribers. Free weekly newsletters and daily bulletins are also available at www.ValuEngine.com ValuEngine View Newsletter: A monthly newsletter for busy people less concerned with the day-to-day fluctuations of the market. Editor and highly experienced fund manager Eric Stokes uses the ValuEngine models to screen for stocks and shortlists the results into a manageable 15-stock portfolio, adjusted once per month. He then goes "behind the numbers" to explain each of his picks from business and industry perspectives. All you have to do is follow the Editor! The cost is only $29.95 per month, with discounts for longer-term subscribers. The ValuEngine View newsletter portfolio has returned substantial gains since its launch in May 2005-- full statistics can be viewed at http://www.valuengine.com/nl/NLPerformance (or by visiting www.ValuEngine.com and clicking on the 'Newsletter' option). ValuEngine Institutional (VEI): VEI is a software package designed to meet the demanding requirements of Finance Professionals. VEI contains advanced features that include larger portfolio creation, customization, and data Import/Export capabilities. The software provides access to top performing Market-Neutral portfolio strategies and the ability to extract the entire 4,500 company database of ValuEngine model outputs each day. VEI is a fast, objective, accurate, and consistent computerized 24/7 Research Assistant at your beck and call. Full access to all individual company reports, such as this one, is included with every VEI subscription. Whether you are a Fund Manager, a Research House, an Independent Financial Advisor, or an Independent Broker/Dealer with hundreds of financial advisors, VEI will dramatically increase your productivity. Consultancy Services: Portfolio Strategy design, back-test and implementation services for Funds and Institutions. Tell us your financial objectives, specify your constraints, and we'll do the design, back-test, and analysis of relevant strategies. ValuEngine can help you implement your strategy via a custom data feed. Let us use ValuEngine's 10 years of experience to help you maximize your professional investment strategy. ValuEngine private-label products can be customized for funds managers, brokers, financial advisors, newsletter publishers, and web-site owners. Differentiate your firm from the competition by offering of time-proven, high- performance research to your clients! Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) VALUENGINE SERVICE DESCRIPTIONS Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 12 Wealth Accumulation Starting from $10,000 The ValuEngine View S&P 500 Index May-05Sep-05Jan-06May-06Sep-06Jan-07May-07Sep-07Jan-08May-08Sep-08Jan-09 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 20,000 We a l t h A c c u m m u l a t i o n ( $ ) 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. ValuEngine's research combines the most advanced academic concepts with real world Wall Street practice. The result is state-of-the-art fair market valuation and price forecasting technologies. ValuEngine's stock valuation employs a sophisticated, three-factor approach. Fundamental variables, such as a company's trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of the company's future 12-month EPS, and the 30-year Treasury yield, are all used to create a more accurate reflection of a company's fair value. Together with eleven additional variables, ValuEngine paints a detailed picture of a company's fair value, represented by the model price. ValuEngine's stock forecasts examine, among other things, short- term price reversals, intermediate-term momentum continuation, and long-term price reversals over six time horizons for every industry to ensure forecasts are established relative to a stock's proper peer groups. Advanced statistical/econometric techniques are used to run thousands of simulations estimating the probability of a double in stock price, as well as the probability of meeting and exceeding any given portfolio or stock investment target. The stock's engine rating is an assessment of its overall attractiveness. It combines valuation, risk-return trade-off, momentum, market capitalization and forecasted future returns. Only two percent of the stock universe receives the highest 5-engine rating. The lowest rating is a single engine. For more information on ValuEngine, its models and performance, go to www.ValuEngine.com DISCLOSURES ValuEngine offers equity recommendations and related return estimates to investors and their advisors. It uses a three-class Buy-Hold-Sell rating system. This is a consolidated version of the firm's five class rating system: most favorable and favorable ratings are buys; neutral ratings are holds and the categories unfavorable and most unfavorable are sells. STOCK RATINGS: The terms below are used to rate a stock's 12-month performance: Buy: Expected to outperform the SP500 producing above average returns. Hold: Expected to perform in line with the SP500 with average returns. Sell: Expected to underperform the SP500 producing below-average returns. ValuEngine does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. ValuEngine adheres to professional standards and abides by formal codes of ethics that put the interests of clients ahead of their own. The following are specific disclosures made by ValuEngine with regards to this research report: ValuEngine, Inc. does not make a market in this security. ValuEngine, Inc. has not received compensation from the companies discussed above in the last 12 months. ValuEngine has not managed or co-managed a public offering for any companies in the above report in the past twelve months. None of ValuEngine's management, the analysts involved, nor a member of the research analyst's household serves as an officer, director or advisory board member of the companies discussed in this report. The research analyst over this company or members of his/her household do not have a financial interest in these companies discussed in this report. ValuEngine, Inc. or its affiliates do not beneficially own 1% or more of any class of common equity securities of the subject companies. Each research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in whole or in part, certifies that with respect to each security or issuer that the analyst covered in this report: a). all of the views expressed accurately reflect his or her personal views about those securities or issuers; and b). no part of his or her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by that research analyst in the research report. DISCLAIMERS This report is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation, or an offer, to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. The report has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any specific recipient. The information contained herein accurately reflects the opinion of ValuEngine at the time the report was released. The opinions of ValuEngine are subject to change at any time without notice and without obligation of notification. ValuEngine does not provide investment banking or consulting services to the companies mentioned in this report. ValuEngine does not receive any compensation from companies mentioned in this report. The author, officers, or affiliates of ValuEngine do not hold positions in the securities of the companies mentioned in this report. No warranty is made as to the accuracy of the information contained herein. This information is intended for the sole use of clients of ValuEngine, Inc. Any other use, distribution, or reproduction is strictly prohibited. Vglu ngineETM DETAILED RESEARCH REPORT IDACORP INC.(IDA) VALUENGINE'S METHODOLOGY Copyright © 1998 - 2008 ValuEngine Inc 13 Engine Rating and Average Annual Return (Jan 1990 - Dec 2008) 1 2 3 4 5 Engine Rating 0 10 20 Av g R e t u r n ( % )