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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOC IDA_RBC_Note_2009_05_08_1Q09.pdfPRICE TARGET REVISION | COMMENT MAY 7, 2009 IDACORP, Inc.(NYSE: IDA) Weak 1Q09, offset by decoupling and hydro outlook Sector Perform Above Average Risk Price:24.01 Shares O/S (MM):45.2 Dividend:1.20 NAVPS:30.00 Debt to Cap:51% Price Target:30.00 ¯31.00 Implied All-In Return:30% Market Cap (MM):1,085 Yield:5.0% P/NAVPS:0.8x IDA reported 1Q09 adjusted EPS of $0.40 vs. our estimate of $0.48 and consensus of $0.55 Lowering CNAV and target price to $30 from $31. Maintaining SP rating. 1Q09 results reflect PCA allocation changes Year-over-year, IDA realized a $0.08-$0.09 negative impact due to the timing of PCA cost recovery allocation. While notable for the quarter, this timing issue should not affect annual results. Energy usage was also down for the quarter, but the affect is offset by the LGAR and FCA (decoupling) mechanisms. Proposed plant signals growth, could set regulatory precedent The ID state legislature recently passed SB1123, which permits regulators to grant prior-approval for certain capital projects. The new parameters should provide for easier access to capital markets for these projects. The proposed Langley Gulch 330MW CCGT plant would qualify under this new legislation. IDA applied for a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity for the plant, which estimated to cost $427MM. This filing will test the implementation of the new SB1123. Possibility of equity issuances for 2009 diminished Given current forecasts for customer growth and operating costs for 2009, IDA estimates that there is now very little need for equity issuances from its shelf registration. Last year the company issued ~$50 from this shelf and had previously stated that 2009 issuances would be less. This excludes any possible equity financing associated with the Langley Gulch power plant. Debt issuance demonstrates financial flexibility IDA issued $100MM in 1sr Mortgage Bonds at 6.15% due 2019. The issuance was part of IDA's shelf registration and funds will be used for general corporate purposes. Conclusion: Despite a continued regulatory disconnect with the investor community, the decoupling mechanism currently being piloted in IDA should help the company perform in line with its peers in 2009. Additionally, hydrology levels are above last year's levels, although still below normal, which should support positive investor sentiment. We also expect to see positive benefits throughout the year from the recent rate increase. Longer term, the Langley Gulch power plant and transmission projects should add steady rate base growth. Adjusting estimates to reflect 1Q09 results 2009E to $2.12 from $2.22, 2010E stays at $2.33, 2011E stays at $2.38. Priced as of prior trading day's market close, EST (unless otherwise noted). RBC Capital Markets Corp. Lasan Johong (Analyst) (212) 428-6462; lasan.johong@rbccm.com Emily Christy (Associate) (212) 428-6970; emily.christy@rbccm.com Ella Vuernick (Associate) (212) 428-6492; ella.vuernick@rbccm.com FY Dec 2007A 2008A 2009E 2010E Adj EPS - FD 1.86 2.16 2.12 2.33 Prev.2.22 P/AEPS 12.9x 11.1x 11.3x 10.3x Adj CFPS - FD 1.77 3.59 4.98 4.40 Prev.4.47 4.64 P/ACFPS 13.6x 6.7x 4.8x 5.5x EBITDA (MM) 262.0 292.0 338.0 372.0 Prev.359.0 380.0 FCFPS - FD (2.63) (2.51) 0.88 (0.35) Prev.(2.59) 0.79 (0.08) P/FCF NM NM 27.3x NM Adj EPS - FD Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007 0.56A 0.42A 0.65A 0.23A 2008 0.48A 0.35A 1.14A 0.19A 2009 0.40A 0.32E 1.09E 0.31E Prev.0.48E 0.38E 1.11E 0.25E Adj CFPS - FD 2007 0.98A 0.30A 0.50A 0.00A 2008 1.02A 1.08A 1.19A 0.33A 2009 1.74A 0.84E 1.59E 0.81E Prev.1.03E 0.96E 1.67E EBITDA (MM) 2007 70.0A 62.0A 76.0A 54.0A 2008 71.0A 66.0A 112.0A 42.0A 2009 69.0A 72.0E 127.0E 71.0E Prev.83.0E 78.0E 129.0E 69.0E All values in USD unless otherwise noted. For Required Disclosures, please see Page 7. 2 Details Snowpack levels have improved Hydrology for 2009 is forecasted to be below average, but improved year-over-year with snowpack at 91% of normal and reservoir levels at 8%above normal. IDA's 2009 outlook is unchanged with forecasted hydrogenation is 6.5-8.5 MM MWh, compared to 2008 results of 6.9 MM MWh and normal average of 8.5 MM MWh. Load and customer growth are still projected to be flat to modest. Capital spending is expected to be $220-$230MM for 2009 and $780-$800MM for 2009-2011, excluding the Langley Gulch plant. Langley Gulch plant application IDA applied for a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity (CPCN) for a 330MW baseload CCGT plant estimated to cost $427.4MM. If there are no significant delays in financing or permitting, IDA expects the plant to be online by December, 2012. In the application and supporting testimony, IDA proposes two alternate rate-making mechanisms that it believes will aid in acquiring financing for the project under these difficult credit conditions. The first is to include CWIP in rates so that rate increases are softer for consumers, and cash needs are reduced for IDA. The second mechanism follows recently passed SB1123 which would provide some sort of pre-approval on the regulatory treatment of the plant once it is in service. We support the first alternative and believe that IDA has put forth a compelling case for its regulatory approval. Under the 1st scenario, overall costs would be lessened since IDA would not have to issue as much dilutive equity while the project is being constructed. The second mechanism is more of a wildcard as IDA will be the guinea pig for the new legislation, but could result in a strong regulatory precedent to ease project financing going forward. A decision on the CPCN is expected in 3Q09. Permitting delays push back Boardman transmission line Due to the large scope of the project, the process of siting the line has taken longer than expected and the expected online date is now 2015 instead of 2013. The line spans 300 miles from northeast OR to southwest ID and is expected to cost $600MM. IDA is seeking partners for the project of up to 50% ownership. This line is not currently in the capex forecast and we have not modeled the potential impact at this early stage. Annual Power Cost Adjustment On April 15th IDA filed its annual PCA true-up in which it requested a rate increase of $93.8MM to cover the over/under collection of power costs over the past year, and the expected costs for the next year. The increase is largely the result of higher than forecasted energy costs over the last year due to poor hydroelectric production. Fixed Cost Adjustment IDA requested $2.7MM increase to rates, which translates into a 0.82% increase, for June 1, 2009 – May 31st, 2010, based on 2008 actual results. In 2008 customer growth was higher than demand growth, therefore resulting in a revenue deficiency. Last year's adjustment was -$2.4MM. IDA requested that the application be considered without a hearing. Under this mechanism the amount is trued-up annually, but monthly updates are provided to the commission in its PCA filings so the end result should not be surprising. Energy Efficiency Rider IDA requested an increase in the energy efficiency rider to 4.75% of rates instead of the 2.5% currently approved. For 2008, the rider produced a deficit of $3.9MM which is expected to grow to $16.2MM by the end of 2009 if rates do not change. The 2008 deficit is included in the 4.75% increase in addition to future program cost expectations. Key changes to the programs that have prompted the filing include increases to the Irrigation Peak Rewards program and a new program for commercial and industrial customers, in addition to greater participation for existing programs. Total costs for 2009-2011 are projected to be $29.6MM, $29.5MM and $31.8MM, respectively, as compared to 2008 costs of $21.3M. IDA currently has 13 programs supporting this rider. The filing also requests that the matter be examined through filings rather than a hearing. Advanced Metering Initiative IDA requested a revenue requirement increase of $11.2MM, a 1.61% increase, in order to proceed with the program. If funding becomes a concern for the company in general, AMI is likely to be delayed so that capital can be deployed to more urgent projects. Total investment by 5/31/10 is projected to be $37.5MM, which is $4.6MM higher than proposed due to timing differences. Vendors have been more available to meet IDA's needs that previously expected. Cost elements include: $23.9MM in accelerated depreciation for existing meters, $9.7MM in depreciation for new meters, and O&M savings of $1.5MM during the initial years. Demand Side Incentives IDA proposed cancellation of current Energy Star incentive program due to abnormal housing metrics and the benign effect of the program on the utility. IDA proposes an open docket for this issue and workshops designed to evaluate new program mechanisms and issues. Valuation Valuation:Our target price and our calculated net-asset-value (CNAV) is $30. We determine our CNAV based on a full discounted cash flow model using an average of Free Cash Flow to the Firm and Free Cash Flow to Equity. We apply a multistage growth rate with a IDACORP, Inc.May 7, 2009 3 terminal multiple of 11.8x based on a dynamic WACC with an initial rate of 7.64%. The terminal value is calculated approximately 25 years forward. As a pure-play electric utility with a significant hydroelectric generation fleet, IDA operates in a heavily regulated environment. Considering the risk management policies of IDA, the Idaho regulatory structure, solid operations and the above-average population growth for the service territory, the company continues to perform as expected. Price Target Impediment Volatile hydrology, unfavorable regulatory decisions, poor growth project selections, operational setbacks, changes in credit ratings, environmental regulations, cost overruns with the capex projects, access to capital markets, and weather. Company Description IDACORP is a holding company for the following subsidiaries: Idaho Power Company, IDACORP Financial, and Ida-West Energy. Idaho Power Company (IPC) is a regulated utility serving approximately 472,000 customers in Idaho and western Oregon. Through its regulated operations, IPC generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electric power. Through its 17 hydroelectric power plants, IPC is one of few utilities with a predominant hydro generating base. The company also owns and operates coal and natural gas-fired plants to round out its approximately 3,300MW power portfolio. Additionally, IPC has 4,600 miles of transmission lines and 26,000 miles of distribution lines. IDACORP Financial is an investment company with a focus on affordable housing and historic preservation projects. Ida-West Energy is an independent power project development company with 44.6MW of combined interest in nine hydroelectric power plants in California and Idaho. IDACORP, Inc.May 7, 2009 4 Global EnErGy and PowEr ConfErEnCE June 1-2, 2009 | The ritz-Carlton new york, battery Park RBC is pleased to invite you to attend our annual Global Energy and Power Conference on June 1-2, 2009 at the Ritz-Carlton Battery Park, New York, NY. This conference will primarily focus on one-on-ones, small group meetings, breakout sessions, along with in-depth panel discussions. Attending the RBC Capital Markets Global Energy and Power Conference will enable investors to access over 100 corporate and operating executives from the Exploration and Production, Oilfield Services, Energy Technology and Power sectors. A list of attending companies is provided via the link below. For additional information and to receive an invitation to this conference, please contact your RBC sales representative or the conference planner. Please note this conference is for RBC Capital Markets’ clients only. ConfErEnCE loCaTion The ritz-Carlton new york, battery Park Two West Street New York, New York 10004 Hotel Telephone: (212) 344-0800 Hotel Web site: www.ritzcarlton.com for morE informaTion or To rEGisTEr for This ConfErEnCE Please contact your RBC Capital Markets Representative. This conference is by invitation only. IDACORP, Inc.May 7, 2009 5 Ticker Symbol IDA Year Quarter EPS Oper. CF EBITDA FCF EFCF Capital Type Amount %Type % of Total Assumptions Rate 03/2009 ($MM) 2008 1 $0.48 $1.02 $71 ($0.63)$0.24 Equity Capital $1,308.7 49%Equity 5.54% DCF Start Year 2009 2008 2 $0.35 $1.08 $66 ($0.02)$0.36 Preferred Stock $0.0 0%Preferred 0.00% DCF Start Month 4 2008 3 $1.14 $1.19 $112 $0.64 $3.85 Total Debt $1,361.0 51%Debt 2.10% Current Beta of Company 0.90 2008 4 $0.19 $0.33 $42 ($2.47)($4.20) Total $2,669.7 100% WACC 7.64% Static or Variable Beta (S/V)V Total 5 $2.16 $3.59 $292 ($2.51)$0.17 Normalized Long-Term Risk-free Rate 5.00% Market Return 12.00%2009 1 $0.40 $1.74 $69 $0.42 $2.00 Terminal Value Multiple Terminal Value Multiple Current Equity Discount Rate 11.30%2009E 2 $0.32 $0.84 $72 ($0.09)($0.82)Multiple of FCF 11.8 x Multiple of EFCF 10.8 x Current Cost of Preferred Stock 0.00%2009E 3 $1.09 $1.59 $127 $0.66 $0.06 Current Cost of Debt Capital 6.35%2009E 4 $0.31 $0.81 $71 ($0.11)$0.30 Term. Val. in Months 291 Term. Val. in Months 291 Current WACC 7.64% Total 5 $2.12 $4.98 $338 $0.88 $1.55 Basic Shares Outstanding (MM) 46.8 Category Valuation Category Valuation Diluted Shares Outstanding (MM)46.9 03/2009 Assumed Tax Rate 35%Calc. Ent. Value $2,555.7 Equity FCF Value $1,376.9 Assumed Inflation Rate 3.50%Preferred Stock $0.0 Cash Balance @ Start Minimum Cash Balance Required $25 2010E Total Debt ($1,271.9) of Valuation $89.1 Revolver Overflow Alert Total 5 $2.33 $4.40 $372 ($0.35)$1.21 Equity Value $1,283.8 Equity Value $1,466.0 Current Stock Price of IDA ($/Sh.)$23.70 Shares NAV Average Shares NAV Current Book Value per Share $27.92 Basic $27.41 $29.36 Basic $31.30 Current Price-to-Book Ratio 0.8 x Diluted $27.39 $29.33 Diluted $31.27 Current Market Cap ($MM)$1,109.9 2011E Current Market Ent. Value ($MM)$2,470.9 Total 5 $2.38 $4.53 $394 ($0.04)$1.21 Ratios P/NAV P/NAV Ratios P/NAV Per Share Estimates Capital Structure Cost of Capital Net Asset Value Cash Flow Valuation Current Market Ent. Value Per Sh. $52.76 Basic 0.9 x 0.8 x Basic 0.8 x Current Book Ent. Value ($MM)$2,669.7 Diluted 0.9 x 0.8 x Diluted 0.8 x Current Book Ent. Value Per Sh.$57.01 Ratios P/Book Names of Regions Name Basic 0.8 x Region 1 Idaho Power Company (IPC) Region 2 Idacorp Financial Services (IFS)Criteria Multiple 2010ERow #Multiple Analysis Region 3 Idacorp Energy (IE)Ratios Region 4 Other Year P/EP/Oper. CFEV/EBITDA EV/FCF P/EFCF Net Debt per Share N/A $41.41 497 N/A Basic Shares Out N/A 46.8 166 N/A 2008 11.0 x 6.6 x 8.5 x N/M 140.6 x P/E 12.9 x $2.33 174 $30.00 2009 11.2 x 4.8 x 7.3 x 59.7 x 15.3 x P/CF 6.8 x $4.40 363 $30.00 2010 10.2 x 5.4 x 6.6 x N/M 19.5 x EV/EBITDA 9.0 x $7.95 190 $30.00 2011 10.0 x 5.2 x 6.3 x N/M 19.5 x Average $30.00 Sources: Company reports; RBC Capital Markets estimates; Lasan Johong (212) 428-6462 lasan.johong@rbccm.com; Emily Christy (212) 428-6970, emily.christy@rbccm.com; Ella Vuernick (212) 428-6492, ella.vuernick@rbccm.com IDACORP, Inc.May 7, 2009 6 IDA 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2011 SUMMARY FINANCIALS ($ Millions)2007 Q1A Q2A Q3A Q4A 2008 Q1A Q2E Q3E Q4E 2009 2010E 2011E GENERATION (MWh)13,548.0 3,642.0 3,493.3 4,035.0 3,201.1 14,371.3 3,549.6 3,697.9 3,440.6 3,140.4 13,828.5 13,781.4 13,866.6 INCOME STATEMENT TOTAL NET REVENUE $879.4 $213.4 $230.2 $299.7 $217.0 $960.4 $229.1 $208.9 $307.8 $218.9 $964.7 $968.4 $1,040.6 DOC (Incl. Cost of Fuel and Plant O&M)$312.2 $95.9 $103.8 $110.0 $107.4 $417.0 $129.4 $123.4 $126.8 $126.9 $506.5 $491.1 $512.9 Other Direct Operating Costs $307.1 $50.1 $54.9 $84.3 $60.9 $250.2 $37.9 $16.8 $51.6 $26.7 $133.0 $126.3 $156.1 General & Administrative Expenses $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 DIRECT OPERATING COSTS $619.3 $146.0 $158.7 $194.3 $168.3 $667.2 $167.3 $140.1 $178.4 $153.7 $639.5 $617.4 $669.0 GROSS PROFIT $260.1 $67.5 $71.5 $105.4 $48.8 $293.2 $61.8 $68.7 $129.4 $65.3 $325.2 $351.0 $371.6 Depreciation, Amortization and Expl. Exp.$103.1 $25.8 $26.6 $25.7 $24.0 $102.1 $26.0 $27.5 $26.6 $26.8 $106.9 $110.4 $115.0 Other Operating Costs $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 TOTAL OPERATING COSTS $722.4 $171.7 $185.3 $220.0 $192.3 $769.3 $193.3 $167.6 $205.0 $180.5 $746.4 $727.8 $784.0 OPERATING INCOME $157.0 $41.7 $44.9 $79.7 $24.7 $191.1 $35.8 $41.2 $102.8 $38.5 $218.4 $240.5 $256.6 Non-Operating Expenses ($7.3)($0.0)($1.0)($4.5)$5.5 ($0.0)($6.6)($3.3)$2.6 ($5.5)($12.7)($21.3)($21.9) EARNINGS BEFORE INTEREST & TAXES $164.3 $41.7 $45.9 $84.2 $19.2 $191.1 $42.4 $44.5 $100.2 $43.9 $231.1 $261.9 $278.5 Net Interest Expense, Incl. TCP Dividend $63.3 $17.5 $17.1 $18.5 $20.0 $73.1 $17.5 $21.9 $21.6 $21.9 $83.0 $95.0 $108.1 PRE-TAX INCOME $100.9 $24.3 $28.9 $65.7 ($0.7)$118.0 $24.9 $22.6 $78.6 $22.0 $148.1 $166.9 $170.5 Income Tax Expense $13.7 $5.6 $6.9 $15.8 ($9.1)$19.2 $6.8 $7.9 $27.5 $7.7 $49.9 $58.4 $59.7 Minority Interest, Pref. Dividend & Other $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 ($0.2)($0.2)($0.2)($0.2)($0.8)($0.8)($0.8) NET INCOME PRE-X-ITEMS $82.3 $21.7 $15.7 $51.7 $8.9 $98.0 $18.9 $14.9 $51.3 $14.5 $99.5 $109.3 $111.6 Extraordinary Items & Other $0.0 $0.0 ($1.8)$0.0 $1.4 ($0.4)$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 NET INCOME $82.3 $21.7 $17.5 $51.7 $7.4 $98.4 $18.9 $14.9 $51.3 $14.5 $99.5 $109.3 $111.6 NET INCOME PRE-X-ITEMS PER SHARE $1.86 $0.48 $0.35 $1.14 $0.19 $2.16 $0.40 $0.32 $1.09 $0.31 $2.12 $2.33 $2.38 Extraordinary Items & Other $0.00 $0.00 ($0.04)$0.00 $0.03 ($0.01)$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 NET INCOME PER SHARE $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.16 $2.17 $0.40 $0.32 $1.09 $0.31 $2.12 $2.33 $2.38 CASH FLOW STATEMENT Adjustments to Revenue and Income ($6.3)$0.0 $0.0 ($3.8)($3.7)($7.4)$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 Depreciation, Amortization and Expl. Exp.$120.4 $30.8 $32.5 $29.9 $29.2 $122.4 $31.2 $27.5 $26.6 $26.8 $112.1 $110.4 $115.0 Deferred Income Taxes $11.0 $12.6 $4.2 ($0.7)($11.4)$4.7 $14.7 $4.0 $4.0 $4.0 $26.7 $16.0 $16.0 Other Operating Cash Flow Items ($129.0)($19.4)($5.7)($23.6)($6.5)($55.1)$16.8 ($7.2)($7.2)($7.2)($4.8)($29.5)($30.2) Changes in Working Capital $2.1 ($24.8)($15.9)$8.3 $6.0 ($26.4)($37.0)$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 ($37.0)$0.0 $0.0 OPERATING CASH FLOW $80.6 $20.9 $32.6 $61.9 $21.1 $136.5 $44.6 $39.2 $74.6 $38.1 $196.5 $206.2 $212.4 Cap. Ex., Acquisitions, Investments ($294.2)($65.1)($57.2)($51.9)($37.4)($211.6)($50.4)($56.4)($56.4)($56.4)($219.7)($279.0)($282.7) Proceeds from Sales $27.1 $0.0 $6.5 $2.2 $0.1 $8.8 $9.8 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $9.8 $0.0 $0.0 Other Investing Cash Flow Items $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 ($1.4)($1.4)($1.4)($4.2)($6.0)($2.3) INVESTING CASH FLOW ($267.1)($65.1)($50.7)($49.7)($37.3)($202.8)($40.6)($57.8)($57.8)($57.8)($214.1)($285.0)($285.0) Net Equity Financing $37.2 $2.2 $1.8 $8.2 $38.3 $50.6 $1.1 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $1.1 $0.0 $0.0 Net Debt Capital & Other Financing $202.4 $55.3 $31.4 $163.2 ($176.4)$73.5 $90.7 ($20.0)($14.2)$33.8 $90.3 $135.0 $128.8 Financing Costs $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 Common and Preferred Dividends ($53.0)($13.5)($13.5)($13.5)($13.7)($54.2)($14.4)($14.0)($14.0)($14.0)($56.5)($56.2)($56.2) Other Financing Cash Flow Items ($2.0)($0.4)($0.0)($1.3)($0.9)($2.6)($0.9)$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 ($0.9)$0.0 $0.0 FINANCING CASH FLOW $184.6 $43.6 $19.7 $156.6 ($152.7)$67.2 $76.6 ($34.0)($28.3)$19.7 $33.9 $78.8 $72.6 CHANGE IN CASH ($1.9)($0.6)$1.5 $168.8 ($168.9)$0.9 $80.3 ($52.7)($11.4)$0.0 $16.2 ($0.0)$0.0 OP. CF BEFORE W/C PER SHARE $1.77 $1.02 $1.08 $1.19 $0.33 $3.59 $1.74 $0.84 $1.59 $0.81 $4.98 $4.40 $4.53 BALANCE SHEET Cash and Equivalents $8.0 $7.4 $8.9 $57.7 $8.8 $8.8 $89.1 $36.4 $25.0 $25.0 $25.0 $25.0 $25.0 Accounts Receivables $74.7 $74.4 $74.7 $83.7 $91.6 $91.6 $84.5 $84.5 $84.5 $84.5 $84.5 $84.5 $84.5 Inventory, Fuels and Materials $60.5 $64.4 $74.0 $75.7 $67.0 $67.0 $66.7 $66.7 $66.7 $66.7 $66.7 $66.7 $66.7 Other Current Assets $324.5 $323.1 $308.7 $299.4 $297.5 $297.5 $264.6 $264.6 $264.6 $264.6 $264.6 $264.6 $264.6 TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS $467.8 $469.4 $466.3 $516.5 $464.8 $464.8 $505.0 $452.3 $440.9 $440.9 $440.9 $440.9 $440.9 TOTAL PP&E $2,616.6 $2,649.0 $2,687.8 $2,717.2 $2,758.2 $2,758.2 $2,768.8 $2,796.2 $2,824.5 $2,852.6 $2,852.6 $3,027.2 $3,197.2 Other Long-term Assets $569.0 $591.1 $594.5 $617.7 $799.8 $799.8 $795.9 $805.8 $815.7 $825.6 $825.6 $854.4 $883.8 TOTAL ASSETS $3,653.3 $3,709.5 $3,748.6 $3,851.3 $4,022.8 $4,022.8 $4,069.7 $4,054.3 $4,081.1 $4,119.1 $4,119.1 $4,322.4 $4,521.8 Accounts Payables $271.6 $302.0 $348.1 $270.1 $248.0 $248.0 $203.7 $203.7 $203.7 $203.7 $203.7 $203.7 $203.7 Short-term Debt & Current Portions $11.5 $11.3 $8.6 $7.8 $86.5 $86.5 $81.5 $88.2 $68.2 $48.2 $48.2 $168.2 $185.5 Other Current Liabilities $92.3 $100.5 $95.2 $108.5 $61.1 $61.1 $75.6 $75.6 $75.6 $75.6 $75.6 $75.6 $75.6 TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES $375.3 $413.9 $452.0 $386.5 $395.7 $395.7 $360.8 $367.4 $347.4 $327.4 $327.4 $447.4 $464.8 Long-term Debt and Other Obligations $1,156.9 $1,155.3 $1,153.5 $1,273.0 $1,183.5 $1,183.5 $1,279.5 $1,252.9 $1,258.6 $1,312.4 $1,312.4 $1,327.4 $1,438.9 Deferred Income Taxes $466.2 $479.6 $468.9 $473.8 $515.7 $515.7 $511.3 $515.3 $519.3 $523.3 $523.3 $539.3 $555.3 Other Long-term Liabilities $447.6 $443.2 $449.6 $447.3 $625.6 $625.6 $605.4 $605.4 $605.4 $605.4 $605.4 $605.4 $605.4 TOTAL LONG-TERM LIABILITIES $2,070.7 $2,078.1 $2,072.0 $2,194.1 $2,324.7 $2,324.7 $2,396.2 $2,373.6 $2,383.4 $2,441.1 $2,441.1 $2,472.1 $2,599.6 Long-term Financings $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $4.0 $3.8 $3.6 $3.4 $3.4 $2.6 $1.8 TOTAL LIABILITIES $2,446.0 $2,492.0 $2,523.9 $2,580.6 $2,720.4 $2,720.4 $2,761.0 $2,744.8 $2,734.4 $2,771.9 $2,771.9 $2,922.2 $3,066.2 Equity and Additional Paid-in Capital $675.8 $678.7 $682.1 $691.2 $729.6 $729.6 $731.8 $731.8 $731.8 $731.8 $731.8 $731.8 $731.8 Retained Earnings $537.7 $545.9 $549.8 $588.0 $581.6 $581.6 $586.4 $587.2 $624.4 $624.9 $624.9 $678.0 $733.4 Other Stockholders' Equity ($6.2)($7.2)($7.3)($8.5)($8.7)($8.7)($9.5)($9.5)($9.5)($9.5)($9.5)($9.5)($9.5) TOTAL STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY $1,207.3 $1,217.5 $1,224.6 $1,270.7 $1,302.4 $1,302.4 $1,308.7 $1,309.5 $1,346.7 $1,347.2 $1,347.2 $1,400.2 $1,455.6 TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY $3,653.3 $3,709.5 $3,748.6 $3,851.3 $4,022.8 $4,022.8 $4,069.7 $4,054.3 $4,081.1 $4,119.1 $4,119.1 $4,322.4 $4,521.8 Sources: Company reports; RBC Capital Markets estimates. Lasan Johong - (212) 428-6462; lasan.johong@rbccm.com IDACORP, Inc.May 7, 2009 7 Required Disclosures Explanation of RBC Capital Markets Rating System An analyst's 'sector' is the universe of companies for which the analyst provides research coverage. Accordingly, the rating assigned to a particular stock represents solely the analyst's view of how that stock will perform over the next 12 months relative to the analyst's sector average. Ratings Top Pick (TP):Represents best in Outperform category; analyst's best ideas; expected to significantly outperform the sector over 12 months; provides best risk-reward ratio; approximately 10% of analyst's recommendations. Outperform (O):Expected to materially outperform sector average over 12 months. Sector Perform (SP):Returns expected to be in line with sector average over 12 months. Underperform (U):Returns expected to be materially below sector average over 12 months. Risk Qualifiers (any of the following criteria may be present): Average Risk (Avg):Volatility and risk expected to be comparable to sector; average revenue and earnings predictability; no significant cash flow/financing concerns over coming 12-24 months; fairly liquid. Above Average Risk (AA):Volatility and risk expected to be above sector; below average revenue and earnings predictability; may not be suitable for a significant class of individual equity investors; may have negative cash flow; low market cap or float. Speculative (Spec):Risk consistent with venture capital; low public float; potential balance sheet concerns; risk of being delisted. Distribution of Ratings For the purpose of ratings distributions, regulatory rules require member firms to assign ratings to one of three rating categories - Buy, Hold/Neutral, or Sell - regardless of a firm's own rating categories. 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RBC Capital Markets is a trademark of Royal Bank of Canada. Used under license. Copyright © RBC Capital Markets Corporation 2009 - Member SIPC Copyright © RBC Dominion Securities Inc. 2009 - Member CIPF Copyright © Royal Bank of Canada Europe Limited 2009 Copyright © Royal Bank of Canada 2009 All rights reserved IDACORP, Inc.May 7, 2009