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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOC IDA060909.pdf Please refer to pages 8-9 of this report for detailed disclosure and certification information. Institutional Equity Research IDACORP, INC. June 9, 2009 IDA – NYSE Rating: NEUTRAL Price: (6/9/09) $23.97 Price Targets: 12-18 month: $24 5-year: $35 Industry: Utilities James L. Bellessa, Jr., CFA 406.791.7230 jbellessa@dadco.com Company Description: Boise, ID -- IDACORP, Inc. is the holding company for the Idaho Power Company, an electric public utility that serves an approximate 24,000 square mile area in Southern Idaho and Eastern Oregon. Non- regulated subsidiaries include an affordable housing project finance company and an operator of small hydroelectric generation projects. FY (Dec) 2008A 2009E Y-O-Y Growth 2010E Y-O-Y Growth Revenue ($M) $960.4 $1,033.9 8% $1,074.5 4% Previous - NC NC Price/Revenue ratio 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x EPS Revised $2.17 $2.20 1% $2.39 9% Previous - NC NC Price/EPS ratio 11.1x 10.9x 10.0x EBITDA ($M) $316.9 $340.4 7% $367.3 8% EV/EBITDA ratio 8.1x 7.5x 7.0x Quarterly Data: EPS EPS Revenue Revenue EBITDA Previous ($M) Previous ($M) 3/31/09A $0.40 - $228.6 - $73.7 6/30/09E $0.45 NC $254.1 NC $78.6 9/30/09E $1.09 NC $313.5 NC $120.4 12/31/09E $0.26 NC $237.7 NC $67.6 Valuation Data Trading Data Long-term growth rate (E) 5% Shares outstanding (M) 47.1 Total Debt/Cap (3/31/09) 53.6% Market Capitalization ($M) $1,130 Cash per share (3/31/09) $1.89 52-week range $20.91 - $33.89 Book value per share (3/31/09) $27.76 Average daily volume (3 mos.) (K) 409 Dividend (yield) $1.20 (5.0%) Float 97% Return on Equity (T-T-M) 8% Index Membership S&P 400 MidCap Utility Provides Regulatory and Contract Update. Response to Langley Gulch Challenge Outlined. • Idaho and Oregon regulatory issues decided. On June 8th, IDACORP, Inc. filed a Form 8-K that discussed several recent regulatory decisions, as well as other issues. The orders handed down in Idaho and Oregon were generally in line with expectations (these items are summarized on pages 3 and 5). While the orders will boost revenues to enable the utility to recover its operating costs (particularly power costs), very little will benefit the bottom line. Accordingly, our 2009 and 2010 EPS estimates remain unchanged. • Electric deliveries to Hoku pushed back. The company divulged an amended Electric Service Agreement (ESA) with Hoku Materials, Inc. (HOKU - $4.40), which will be filed with the IPUC for approval. Idaho Power does not believe the amended ESA will have a material impact on 2009 earnings. • Utility seeks to accelerate Langley Gulch, not delay it. Idaho Power responded to a request by intervenors for a stay of a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity (CPCN) for the proposed Langley Gulch power plant, and announced its intention to accelerate the plant’s completion from December 2012 to June 2012. A decision about the stay by Idaho regulators should be made in the next few weeks. • Maintaining NEUTRAL rating and target price. We are maintaining our 12- 18 month target price of $24, or ~10x our 2010 EPS estimate. At the current share price, we are maintaining a NEUTRAL rating for total return investors, including a 5% yield. D.A. Davidson & Co. 2 Price Chart Source: Thomson One D.A. Davidson & Co. 3 The Idaho Public Utilities Commission (IPUC) issued final orders on May 29th surrounding Idaho Power’s Fixed Cost Adjustment Mechanism (FCA), Idaho Energy Efficiency Rider (ERR), Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI), and Power Cost Adjustment (PCA). These orders were in line with expectations, hiking rates by $106.3 million (+13.5%), of which $25.5 million (+3.1%) will help to lift and/or hold up earnings. The AMI decision is the only item that affects Idaho Power’s rate base, adding $3.8 million. The allowed annual revenue increase for AMI is $10.5 million, including $9.2 million of accelerated depreciation expense for the metering equipment that is being replaced. The incremental $1.3 million of AMI revenues should lift the utility’s earnings power slightly. The $2.7 million of allowed FCA funding mitigates the earnings loss that occurs from reduced usage due to efficiency and conservation programs. While none of the funding for the other two orders increases earnings, the $84.3 million (+10.2%) PCA funding increase pays off power supply expenses and the $12.3 million (+2.25%) EER funding increase helps to pay energy efficiency and conservation expenses. A rate order was handed down by Oregon regulators granting a $3.9 million (+11.46%) rate increase for the Annual Power Cost Update, which has no impact on earnings. Additionally, regulators accepted a stipulated agreement for 2007-2008 Excess Power Supply Costs, which defers $5.5 million of expenses for later recovery. Regarding other issues, the company divulged an amended Electric Service Agreement (ESA) with Hoku Materials, Inc. which will be filed with the IPUC for approval. Hoku is building a polysilicon plant in Pocatello, Idaho, which will be served by Idaho Power. The amendment calls for a 6-month delay of the starting date to December 1, 2009 for commencement of Hoku’s required electric purchases under the ESA, and changes in some of the terms of the original ESA. Idaho Power does not believe the amended ESA will have a material impact on earnings in 2009, as initial revenues would have largely been offset by the initial costs to provide electric service to Hoku, and additional costs will flow through the utility’s power cost adjustment mechanism. Regarding the request by intervenors for a stay of a Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity for the Langley Gulch power plant, Idaho Power disclosed a number of details about the project, including vendor penalties from delaying the project. Idaho Power plans to oppose the request for stay, and will be filing its response on June 12th. Instead of moving back the project as the intervenors suggested, the utility announced its intent to accelerate the plant’s completion from December 2012 to June 2012 to satisfy expected customer load needs, including the demand from Hoku. We are maintaining our 12-18 month target price of $24, or ~10x our 2010 EPS estimate. At the current share price, we are maintaining a NEUTRAL rating for total return investors, including a 5% yield. Idaho Regulatory Issues Decided Oregon Regulatory Issues Decided Hoku ESA Revised Response to Langley Gulch Motion to Stay Maintaining Rating and Target Price D.A. Davidson & Co. 4 IDACORP 2009-2011 CAPITAL SPENDING BUDGET ($ in millions) 2009E 2010-2011E Capital Requirements for Regulated Operations Ongoing capital expenditures $150-155 $400-410 Advanced Metering Infrastructure 20-22 40-50 Major Projects 1 50-53 95-105 Minimum Transmission for Baseload Resource - 20-25 Total capital expenditures $220-230 $555-590 * Boardman-Hemingway Line: New 500 kV transmission line between Boardman, Oregon and Hemingway, Idaho. The project is expected to relieve existing congestion by increasing transmission capacity and improving reliability, with the initial project phase estimate of $50 million will be funded by Idaho Power. Cost estimates for the project (including initial phase project estimate and construction costs of the line) are approximately $600 million. Idaho Power is seeking partners for up to 50% of the project when construction commences. The estimated in-service date has been delayed from 2013 to 2015 subject to siting, permitting and regulatory approvals, so construction costs are not included in the 2009-2011 CapEx budget. * Gateway West Project: Joint venture with PacifiCorp to build transmission lines between Douglas, Wyoming and Hemingway, Idaho. Initial phases of the project could be completed by 2014 depending on the timing of rights-of-way acquisition, siting and permitting, and construction sequencing. Idaho Power's estimated total construction cost of $500-600 million are not currently included in the 2009-2011 forecast. IDACORP, Inc. - Capital Expenditures * Langley Gulch Power Plant (2012 Baseload Resource): 300 MW natural gas-fired facility which the utility now hopes to be operational by June 2012 at an estimated cost of $427 million. Construction of the facility is subject to approval from the Idaho Public Utilities Commission (IPUC) and intervenors have requested a motion to stay the proceedings for at least ten months. The IPUC is expected to issue its decision in June 2009 on the issue of recently-filed motion to stay. Unless the motion to stay is granted, the IPUC is expected to approve or deny the utility's request for approval to build the facility before September 1, 2009. Idaho Power expects to spend $45-50 million during 2009 on the project. * Hemingway Station: New 500 kV station needed to meet growth, capacity and operating constraints at an estimated total cost of $52 million. The station was originally part of the Gateway West Project but was accelerated to 2010 to meet forecast deficits and improve reliability. * Hemingway-Hubbard Transmission Line: Part of the Hemingway Station Project, expected to provide power to the Treasure Valley in southwest Idaho by 2010 at an estimated total cost of $25 million. Notes to Capital Expenditures Plan 1 Construction costs for the Langley Gulch Power Plant are not included in the 2009-2011 CapEx budget. Major projects include: Source: Company reports and estimates D.A. Davidson & Co. 5 REGULATORY RATE CASE SUMMARY Revenue Increase Average Rate Base Return on Equity Return on Rate Base Equity Ratio 2009-2010 Idaho Power Cost Adjustment (PCA)1 Application, April 2009 $93.8 (+11.4%) Revised & Approved, May 2009 $84.3 (+10.2%) Oregon Annual Power Cost Update (APCU)2 Requested & Approved, May 2009 $3.9 (+11.46%) Application, June 2008 $66.6 (+9.9%) $2,093 11.25% 8.55% 49.27% Approved, January 2009 $20.9 (+3.1%) $2,094 10.5% 8.18% 49.27% Revised, March 2009 $27.0 (+4.0%) $2,094 10.5% 8.18% 49.27% FERC Open Access Transmission Tariff (OATT) Case4 Application, March 2006 $11.0 11.25% Calculation Change Approved, June 2006 $11.0 11.25% Stipulation, August 2007 $8.2 10.7% ALJ Initial Decision, August 2007 $6.8 10.7% Revised/Appealed, January 2009 $6.8 10.7% Application, June 2007 $64 (+10.35%) 11.5% 8.10% Approved, February 2008 $32.1 (+5.2%) 5 The 2007 Idaho general rate case was decided under a "black box" settlement agreement. Therefore, no data is given for line items including allowed ROE, rate base, etc. Notes to Rate Case Summary 3 As part of the 2008 general rate case, ongoing finance costs of ~$10 million (allowance for funds used during construction (AFDUC)) for the relicensing of the Hells Canyon Project were allowed in rate base for the first time since the company’s relicensing efforts started ten years ago in order to support cash flows for the utility’s credit rating purposes (but not profits), even though the company’s relicensing efforts are still ongoing. Also included in the rate case were a lowering of the load growth adjustment rate (LGAR) from $28.14/MWh to $26.63/MWh, and a new residential tiering rate schedule was enacted. ($ in millions) 2008 Idaho General Rate Case 3 2007 Idaho General Rate Case 5 4 The new OATT calculation allowed the utility to move from a fixed rate to a formula rate which would be updated annually. The Administrative Law Judge's (ALJ) initial decision required refunds of $5.4 million. On appeal, the ALJ’s initial decision was upheld in most respects and Idaho Power was required to reduce its rates to FERC jurisdictional customers and refund $13.3 million to these customers for the period since the new rates went into effect in June 2006. The utility has filed a request for rehearing with the FERC. 1 The PCA mechanism is a pass-through mechanism and does not contain a profit component. It provides annual adjustments to rates by tracking differences between actual net power supply costs and power supply costs recovered in retail rates. Although Idaho Power's original 2009 PCA request was for a rate increase of $93.8 million (+11.4%), the utility subsequently revised its request based upon its updated operating plan, to approximately $84.3 million (+10.2%) and the revised request was approved. The 2009-2010 PCA reflects a new methodology that utilizes Idaho Power's most recent operating plan to forecast power supply expenses rather than the previous method (based on a forecast of Brownlee Reservoir inflow and a regression formula). Effective February 1, 2009, the PCA mechanism provides that 95% of deviations in power supply costs are reflected in Idaho Power’s rates for both the forecast and the true-up components. The significant size of this PCA filing includes a true-up for higher than projected power costs last year as well as higher expected costs in the coming year. 2 In addition to granting Idaho Power's APCU, the OPUC issued an order on May 28, 2009 adopting a stipulation in the utility's net power supply deferral. The deferral was granted in anticipation of higher than normal power supply expenses (Idaho Power's forecast of excess power supply costs in its Oregon jurisdiction equaled $5.7 million) due to below-normal hydrogeneration. Under current rules, the $5.7 million deferral will not be collected until after power supply cost deferrals from older periods have been recovered. Source: Company reports and regulatory filings D.A. Davidson & Co. 6 IDACORP, Inc. Balance Sheet $ thousands -- Fiscal year ends 12/31 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 3/31/2009 ASSETS: Electric Plant: In Service (At Original Cost) $3,324,816 $3,477,067 $3,583,694 $3,796,339 $4,030,134 $4,077,121 Accumulated Provision For Depreciation (1,316,125) (1,364,640) (1,406,210) (1,468,832) (1,505,120) (1,520,896) In Service - Net 2,008,691 2,112,427 2,177,484 2,327,507 2,525,014 2,556,225 Construction Work In Progress 152,427 149,814 210,094 257,590 207,662 186,662 Held For Future Use 2,636 2,906 2,810 3,366 6,318 6,653 Other Property, Net Of Accum. Depreciati 45,708 29,294 28,692 28,089 19,171 19,270 Property, Plant And Equipment - Net 2,209,462 2,294,441 2,419,080 2,616,552 2,758,165 2,768,810 Investments And Other Property 223,061 191,593 202,825 201,085 198,552 185,532 Current Assets: Cash And Cash Equivalents 23,403 52,356 9,892 7,966 8,828 89,113 Receivables: Customer 92,258 94,469 62,131 69,160 64,733 70,919 Allowance For Uncollectible Accounts (43,108) (33,078) (7,168) (7,505) (1,724) (1,482) Employee Notes Receivable 3,523 2,951 2,569 2,128 179 Other 8,806 21,377 11,855 10,957 10,260 15,099 Total Receivables Energy Marketing Assets 9,203 23,859 12,069 Taxes Receivable 18,111 9,710 Accrued Unbilled Revenues 33,832 38,905 31,365 36,314 43,934 35,751 Materials And Supplies (At Avg. Cost) 28,008 30,451 39,079 43,270 50,121 52,778 Fuel Stock (At Average Cost) 6,539 11,739 15,174 17,268 16,852 13,941 Prepayments 30,035 17,876 9,308 9,371 10,059 9,878 Deferred Income Taxes 23,407 23,922 28,035 25,672 37,550 14,792 Regulatory Assets -- Derivatives 5,510 3,064 Refundable Income Tax Deposit 44,903 46,083 Other Current Assets 2,956 3,993 6,023 7,381 8,956 Assets Held For Sale 6,673 3,326 Total Current Assets 221,416 297,520 266,531 266,707 266,284 319,455 Other Assets: American Falls And Milner Water Rights 31,585 31,585 30,543 29,501 26,332 25,008Company-Owned Life Insurance 35,765 35,401 34,055 30,842 29,482 30,036 Energy Marketing Assets -- Long-Term 16,635 22,189 Regulatory Assets Associated With Taxes 433,271 415,177 423,548 449,668 696,332 692,270 Long-Term Receivables 2,895 4,015 3,802 3,583 4,012 3,844 Other 60,082 46,239 43,670 55,370 43,686 44,723 Assets Held For Sale 25,966 21,076 Total Other Assets 580,233 580,572 556,694 568,964 799,844 795,881 Total Assets $3,234,172 $3,364,126 $3,445,130 $3,653,308 $4,022,845 $4,069,678 Capitalization And Liabilities: Capitalization: Common Stock Equity Common Stock $589,440 $598,706 $638,799 $675,774 $729,576 $731,756 Retained Earnings 424,312 437,284 493,363 537,699 581,605 586,408 Other Comprehensive Income (888) (3,425) (5,737) (6,156) (8,707) (9,458) Treasury Stock (4,578) (998) (2,242) (2) (37) (20) Unearned Compensation (6,316) Total Common Stock Equity 1,008,286 1,025,251 1,124,183 1,207,315 1,302,437 1,308,686 Noncontrolling Interest 4,478 4,434 3,987 Preferred Stock Long-Term Debt 979,549 1,023,545 928,648 1,156,880 1,183,451 1,279,504 Total Capitalization 1,987,835 2,048,796 2,052,831 2,368,673 2,490,322 2,592,177 Current Liabilities: Long-Term Debt Due Within One Year 78,603 16,307 95,125 11,456 86,528 81,502 Notes Payable 36,270 60,100 129,000 186,445 151,250 150,700 Accounts Payable 79,156 80,324 86,440 85,116 96,785 53,010 Energy Marketing Liabilities 9,420 24,093 13,532 Taxes Accured 46,318 72,652 47,402 8,492 Interest Accrued 14,426 14,616 12,657 18,913 16,727 24,054 Uncertain Tax Positions 26,764 4,119 4,509 Other 21,265 19,577 23,572 38,129 40,259 47,017 Liabilities Held For Sale 5,916 2,606 Total Current Liabilities 285,458 293,585 410,334 375,315 395,668 360,792 Other Liabilities: Term 16,635 22,189 Deferred Income Taxes 555,774 519,563 498,512 466,182 515,719 511,281 Regulatory Liabilities - Other 275,854 345,109 294,844 274,204 276,266 282,440 Other 112,616 124,833 179,836 168,934 344,870 322,988 Liabilities Held For Sale 10,051 8,773 Total Other Liabilities 960,879 1,021,745 981,965 909,320 1,136,855 1,116,709 Total Capitalization And Liabilities 3,234,172 3,364,126 3,445,130 3,653,308 4,022,845 4,069,678 Shares Outstanding (000's)42,217 42,632 43,834 45,063 46,920 47,145 Book Value per Share $23.88 $24.05 $25.65 $26.79 $27.76 $27.76 % of Total Capitalization Long-Term Debt 49.3% 50.0% 45.2% 48.8% 47.5% 49.4% Noncontrolling Interest/Preferred 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% Common 50.7% 50.0% 54.8% 51.0% 52.3% 50.5% D.A. Davidson & Co. 7 IDACORP, Inc. Consolidated Statements of Income $ thousands -- Fiscal year ends 12/31 2007 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 2008 1Q09 2Q09E 3Q'09E 4Q'09E 2009E 2010E REVENUES: Electric Utility: General business $668,303 $167,313 $188,748 $246,639 $181,611 $784,311 $187,927 $203,347 $263,156 $192,691 $847,121 $865,273 Off system sales 154,948 33,363 25,641 34,637 27,789 121,430 28,530 37,903 37,678 32,305 136,416 155,723 Other revenues 52,150 12,120 14,556 16,831 6,828 50,335 11,572 12,200 12,200 12,200 48,172 50,000 Total Electric Utility Revenues 875,401 212,796 228,945 298,107 216,228 956,076 228,029 253,450 313,035 237,196 1,031,710 1,070,997 Diversified Operations: Other 3,993 644 1,281 1,609 804 4,338 545 650 500 500 2,195 3,500 Total Revenues 879,393 213,440 230,226 299,716 217,032 960,414 228,574 254,100 313,535 237,696 1,033,905 1,074,497 EXPENSES: Electric Utility: Purchased power 289,484 45,299 50,089 79,513 56,237 231,138 32,795 61,261 81,799 57,080 232,934 259,098 Fuel expense 134,322 37,237 28,681 46,467 37,018 149,403 39,133 34,216 43,825 40,323 157,497 160,649 497 906 Power cost adjustment (121,131)(17,744)(829)(20,105)(8,735)(47,413)15,859 0 (9,000)(2,000)4,859 (21,000) Total Power Supply 302,675 65,289 77,941 105,875 84,520 333,128 88,693 95,477 116,624 95,403 395,290 398,747 Impairment of assets Other Operations and Maintenance 286,510 68,430 75,617 74,778 74,708 293,533 68,769 76,035 72,311 70,447 287,562 294,524 Energy efficiency programs 13,487 3,364 3,928 5,956 5,631 18,879 4,057 5,800 5,900 6,000 21,757 24,000 Gain on sale of emission allowances (2,754)(346) (158)(504)(228) (172)(400) 0 Depreciation 103,072 25,750 26,617 25,717 24,001 102,085 25,963 24,500 24,750 25,000 100,213 102,000 Taxes other than income taxes 17,634 4,803 4,800 4,827 4,653 19,083 5,062 5,069 5,009 4,981 20,121 20,349 Total Electric Utility Expenses 720,624 167,636 188,557 216,995 193,513 766,204 192,316 206,709 224,593 201,831 824,543 839,620 Other: 6,692 1,048 1,140 1,144 (286)3,046 624 1,200 1,200 1,200 4,224 5,000 Total Operating Expenses 727,316 168,684 189,697 218,139 193,227 769,747 192,940 207,909 225,793 203,031 829,673 844,620 OPERATING INCOME Electric Utility 154,777 45,160 40,388 81,112 22,715 189,375 35,713 46,741 88,441 35,365 206,260 231,376 Other Diversified Operations (2,699)(404)141 465 1,090 1,292 (79)(550)(700)(700)(2,029)(1,500) Equity in Earnings of Partnerships Operating Income 152,078 44,756 40,529 81,577 23,805 190,667 35,634 46,191 87,741 34,665 204,231 229,876 TOTAL OTHER INCOME: 20,524 3,741 4,302 2,038 (6,250)3,831 6,921 2,950 2,950 2,950 15,771 12,400 Earnings of Uncons. Eq-method Inv. (4,824)(4,036) (3,278) 2,642 675 (3,997)402 (1,000) (1,000) (1,000)(2,598) (4,000) TOTAL OTHER EXPENSES: 8,903INTEREST EXPENSE AND OTHER: Interest on long-term debt 59,961 16,876 15,744 17,226 17,404 67,250 16,639 18,200 18,250 18,300 71,389 75,000 Other interest 3,380 596 1,313 1,310 2,587 5,806 836 1,300 1,300 1,300 4,736 5,500 Total interest expense and other 63,341 17,472 17,057 18,536 19,991 73,056 17,475 19,500 19,550 19,600 76,125 80,500 INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES: 95,534 26,989 24,496 67,721 (1,761)117,445 25,482 28,641 70,141 17,015 141,279 157,776 INCOME TAXES: 13,731 5,584 6,941 15,809 (9,134)19,200 6,796 7,447 18,237 4,424 36,903 41,022 Income from Continuing Operations 81,803 21,405 17,555 51,912 7,373 98,245 18,686 21,195 51,905 12,591 104,376 116,754 Losses from Disc. Ops. (net of tax) 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Net Income 81,870 21,405 17,555 51,912 7,373 98,245 18,686 21,195 51,905 12,591 104,376 116,754 Adjustment for noncontrolling interest 469 311 (40) (173) 71 169 198 50 50 50 348 400 Net Income Available for Common 82,339 21,716 17,515 51,739 7,444 98,414 18,884 21,245 51,955 12,641 104,724 117,154 Earnings per share from cont. ops.$1.85 $0.48 $0.39 $1.15 $0.16 $2.17 $0.40 $0.45 $1.09 $0.26 $2.20 $2.39 Losses from Discontinued Operations $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 EPS $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.16 $2.17 $0.40 $0.45 $1.09 $0.26 $2.21 $2.40 Dividends paid per share of common stock $1.20 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $1.20 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $1.20 $1.20 Avg. common shares outstanding (000)44,291 45,004 45,096 45,194 46,027 45,330 46,876 47,276 47,676 48,076 47,476 48,876 Segment breakdown of EPS Idaho Power Company $1.73 $0.47 $0.39 $1.05 $0.17 $2.08 $0.41 $0.44 $1.09 $0.26 $2.20 $2.35 IDACORP Energy ($0.00)(0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)($0.00)(0.00) Ida-West Energy $0.05 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.00 $0.05 0.00 IDACORP Financial $0.16 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 $0.08 0.00 Holding Company ($0.08)(0.01)(0.04)0.05 (0.03)($0.03)(0.02) EPS from Continuing Operations $1.85 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.16 $2.17 $0.40 $0.45 $1.09 $0.26 $2.20 $2.39 IdaTech IDACOMM (Losses) from Discontinued Operations $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Reported EPS $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.16 $2.17 $0.40 $0.45 $1.09 $0.26 $2.21 $2.39 D.A. Davidson & Co. Two Centerpointe Drive, Suite 400 • Lake Oswego, Oregon 97035 • (503) 603-3000 • (800) 755-7848 • www.dadavidson.com Copyright D.A. Davidson & Co., 2009. All rights reserved. 8 Required Disclosures D.A. Davidson & Co. expects to receive, or intends to seek, compensation for investment banking services from this company in the next three months. D.A. Davidson & Co. is a full service investment firm that provides both brokerage and investment banking services. James L. Bellessa, Jr., CFA, the research analyst principally responsible for the preparation of this report, will receive compensation that is based upon (among other factors) D.A. Davidson & Co.’s investment banking revenue. However, D.A. Davidson & Co.’s analysts are not directly compensated for involvement in specific investment banking transactions. I, James L. Bellessa, Jr., CFA, attest that (i) all the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the common stock of the subject company, and (ii) no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Ratings Information D.A. Davidson & Co. Ratings Buy Neutral Underperform Risk adjusted return potential Over 15% total return expected on a risk adjusted basis over next 12-18 months >0-15% return potential on a risk adjusted basis over next 12-18 months Likely to remain flat or lose value on a risk adjusted basis over next 12-18 months Distribution of Ratings (as of 3/31/09) Buy Hold Sell Corresponding Institutional Research Ratings Buy Neutral Underperform and Distribution 47% 47% 6% Corresponding Private Client Research Ratings Outperform Market Perform Underperform and Distribution 86% 9% 5% Distribution of Combined Ratings 51% 44% 6% Distribution of companies from whom D.A. Davidson & Co. has received compensation for investment banking services in last 12 mos. Institutional Coverage 2% 3% 9% Private Client Coverage 0% 0% 0% Distribution of Combined Investment Banking 2% 3% 8% D.A. Davidson & Co.’s Institutional Research Rating Scale (maintained since 7/9/02): Buy, Neutral, Underperform D.A. Davidson & Co. Two Centerpointe Drive, Suite 400 • Lake Oswego, Oregon 97035 • (503) 603-3000 • (800) 755-7848 • www.dadavidson.com Copyright D.A. Davidson & Co., 2009. All rights reserved. 9 Target prices are our Institutional Research Department’s evaluation of price potential over the next 12-18 months and 5 years, based upon our assessment of future earnings and cash flow, comparable company valuations, growth prospects and other financial criteria. Certain risks may impede achievement of these price targets including, but not limited to, broader market and macroeconomic fluctuations and unforeseen changes in the subject company’s fundamentals or business trends. Other Disclosures Information contained herein has been obtained by sources we consider reliable, but is not guaranteed and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. Any opinions expressed are based on our interpretation of data available to us at the time of the original publication of the report. These opinions are subject to change at any time without notice. Investors must bear in mind that inherent in investments are the risks of fluctuating prices and the uncertainties of dividends, rates of return and yield. Investors should also remember that past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future performance and D.A. Davidson & Co. makes no guarantee, express or implied, as to future performance. Investors should note this report was prepared by D.A. Davidson & Co.’s Institutional Research Department for distribution to D.A. Davidson & Co.’s institutional investor clients and assumes a certain level of investment sophistication on the part of the recipient. Readers, who are not institutional investors or other market professionals, should seek the advice of their individual investment advisor for an explanation of this report’s contents, and should always seek such advisor’s advice before making any investment decisions. Further information and elaboration will be furnished upon request.