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Please refer to pages 8-9 of this report for detailed disclosure and certification information.
Institutional Equity Research
IDACORP, INC.
January 26, 2009 IDA – NYSE
Rating:
BUY
Price: (1/26/09) $29.65
Price Targets:
12-18 month: $32
5-year: $39
Industry:
Utilities
James L. Bellessa, Jr., CFA
406.791.7230
jbellessa@dadco.com
Company Description:
Boise, ID -- IDACORP, Inc. is the holding
company for the Idaho Power Company, an
electric public utility that serves an
approximate 24,000 square mile area in
Southern Idaho and Eastern Oregon. Non-
regulated subsidiaries include an affordable
housing project finance company and an
operator of small hydroelectric generation
projects.
FY (Dec) 2007A 2008E Y-O-Y
Growth 2009E Y-O-Y
Growth
Revenue ($M) $879.4 $968.7 10% $1,077.7 11%
Previous - $975.9 $1,080.9
Price/Revenue ratio 1.5x 1.4x 1.3x
EPS Revised $1.86 $2.19 18% $2.32 6%
Previous - $2.30 $2.36
Price/EPS ratio 16.0x 13.5x 12.8x
EBITDA ($M) $293.0 $342.4 17% $360.7 5%
EV/EBITDA ratio 9.5x 8.1x 7.7x
Quarterly Data: EPS EPS Revenue Revenue EBITDA
Previous ($M) Previous ($M)
3/31/08A $0.48 - $213.4 - $80.0
6/30/08A $0.39 - $230.2 - $79.1
9/30/08A $1.14 - $299.7 - $116.1
12/31/08E $0.18 $0.29 $225.3 $232.6 $67.2
Valuation Data Trading Data
Long-term growth rate (E) 5% Shares outstanding (M) 45.6
Total Debt/Cap (9/30/08) 53.9% Market Capitalization ($M) $1,351
Cash per share (9/30/08) $1.27 52-week range $21.88 - $36.72
Book value per share (9/30/08) $27.88 Average daily volume (3 mos.) (K) 477
Dividend (yield) $1.20 (4.0%) Float 97%
Return on Equity (T-T-M) 8% Index Membership S&P 400 MidCap
Reducing EPS Estimates on FERC Order Lowering Wholesale Rates.
Maintaining a BUY Rating.
• FERC orders refunds. In an order handed down on January 15, 2009 and
discussed in a Form 8-K filing dated January 23, 2009, IDACORP, Inc.’s utility
subsidiary, Idaho Power, was ordered by the Federal Regulatory Commission
(FERC) to refund $13.3 million to its wholesale electric customers and to lower
transmission service rates to those customers. The order relates to Open Access
Transmission Tariffs the utility started to collect in mid-2006 subject to refund.
• Utility had previously reserved a portion of refunds. As Idaho Power had
already reserved $5.4 million of the ordered refund for the period June 1, 2006
through December 31, 2008, the utility will take a 4Q’08 pre-tax charge of
$7.9 million. Idaho Power intends to file a request for rehearing with FERC.
• Lowering 2008 and 2009 estimates. Due to the refund charge, we are lowering
our 4Q’08 EPS estimate to $0.18 from $0.29, and our full-year 2008 EPS
forecast is reduced to $2.19 from $2.30. As future wholesale rates have been
ordered, we are lowering our 2009 revenue estimate by $3.2 million (the
annualized difference between what the utility had been collecting, less reserves,
and newly-ordered rates) and lowering our EPS estimate to $2.32 from $2.36.
• Maintaining target price. Our revised 2009 EPS forecast of $2.32 will be
dependent upon a reasonable outcome in the utility’s general rate case that is
expected to be decided this week by the Idaho Public Utilities Commission (see
our Research Bulletin dated January 14, 2009). We are maintaining our 12-18
month target price of $32, or 13.8x our 2009 EPS estimate, and our BUY rating.
D.A. Davidson & Co.
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Price Chart
Source: Thomson One
D.A. Davidson & Co.
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Recent Regulatory Decisions/Filings
2008 Idaho General Rate Case
Idaho Power Company filed a request with the Idaho Public Utilities Commission (IPUC) on
June 27, 2008 for a general rate increase of $66.6 million (9.89% over current electric rates).
The requested increase equates to an 8.55% rate of return on the company’s filed $2.1 billion
rate base and is based on a 2008 test year. The requested return on equity is 11.25% on an
equity ratio of 49.3%. Idaho Power is requesting the increase in order to recover its
substantial investment in its electrical system, as well as its increasing operating and
maintenance expenses. Testimony was filed by IPUC Staff and other intervenors in the case
on October 24th, recommending an increase of $9.7 million (a 1.44% increase). Primary
reasons given for the lower revenue requirement include: A suggested ROE of 10.25% and
rate of return of 8.06%, lower operations & maintenance expenses, and a smaller-than-
requested rate base. Rebuttal testimony was filed on December 3rd, followed by public
meetings through mid-December. Idaho Power has requested that the rate increase go into
effect on February 1, 2009.
On January 9, 2009, the utility and IPUC staff filed a joint motion requesting that the
Commission defer making a ruling on the prudency determination of Energy Efficiency Rider
(EER) funds spent from 2003-2007, and issue its final order in the rate case without the
prudency determination. The utility and IPUC staff intend to hold settlement discussions
regarding the EER funds, and will file any agreement reached for the review and approval of
the Commission at a later date.
FERC Transmission Rate Case
On June 1, 2006, the FERC accepted a revision in the way open access transmission tariffs
(OATTs) were calculated for Idaho Power, the utility subsidiary of IDACORP, Inc. The new
method allowed the utility to move from a fixed rate to a formula rate which would be
updated annually. The approval translated into a revenue increase of $11 million for Idaho
Power and was subject to refund depending on the outcome of the hearing and settlement
process. Idaho Power also requested a return on equity of 11.25%.
A stipulated agreement was approved in August 2007 which settled all issues except the
treatment of certain legacy transmission service contracts. This settlement reduced the
estimated annual revenue increase to approximately $8.2 million, and required Idaho Power to
issue a refund of the rates collected in excess of the new agreed-upon rate. Also, the FERC
established an authorized return on equity of 10.7% as part of the settlement. Later that
month, the FERC’s presiding administrative law judge (ALJ) handed down an initial decision
in the case of the legacy contracts which would reduce the annual revenue increase to
approximately $6.8 million and require additional refunds of $5.4 million.
The ALJ’s decision was appealed, and on January 15, 2009 an order was handed down which
upheld the ALJ’s initial decision in most respects. One modification to the initial decision is
that Idaho Power was required to reduce its transmission rates to FERC jurisdictional
customers and refund $13.3 million to these customers for the period since the new rates went
into effect in June 2006. The refunds must be issued within 45 days of the FERC order. The
utility intends to file a request for rehearing with the FERC.
Advanced Metering Infrastructure Case
On August 4, 2008, Idaho Power filed a request with the Idaho Public Utilities Commission
for permission to install Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) technology throughout its
service territory at a cost of $71 million. The installations would begin in January 2009 and
conclude in 2011. Approximately two-thirds of the AMI costs are included in the company’s
2008-2010 capital expenditure guidance. Idaho Power noted that it will not seek a change in
customer rates at this time, even though the 2009 revenue requirement from deployment of
the AMI is estimated to be $12.2 million. However, rate impacts will be addressed in
subsequent proceedings after a deployment plan is approved by the Commission.
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2008 Idaho PCA Proceedings
Idaho Power filed its 2008/2009 Power Cost Adjustment (PCA) in April 2008, requesting
recovery of approximately $87 million in power supply and fuel expenses incurred from April
15, 2007 through April 15, 2008. However, subsequent to its PCA filing, state regulators
ordered that $16 million of proceeds plus interest from the sale of SO2 credits in 2007 be used
to reduce the impact of the PCA filing from $87 million to $70.7 million.
On May 30, 2008, the IPUC ordered a change in Idaho Power’s methodology in calculating
the PCA. The new methodology results in an equal amount of power supply costs across all
months, compared with the older, more seasonal allocation that would have recognized
significantly more power supply costs in the third quarter and less in the first and second
quarters. The new PCA mechanism, which is not expected to have a material impact on
annual financial results, went into effect on June 1st, as well as an approved increase to
existing revenues of $73.3 million (10.7%).
A stipulated agreement was accepted by the IPUC on January 9, 2009 which will allow for
annual adjustments to retail rates by tracking the difference between actual power supply
expenses and net power supply expenses currently being recovered in rates. The stipulation
addresses five aspects of the PCA, with a sixth aspect being deferred for future discussion:
• As of February 1, 2009, a new mechanism for sharing deviations in power supply
cost between the utility and its customers will be applied. The original methodology
distributed power cost deviations 90%/10% between customers and shareholders,
respectively. The stipulation changes the sharing percentage to 95%/5%.
• A new mechanism for calculating the Load Growth Adjustment Rate (LGAR) will
go into effect with the implementation of new rates from Idaho Power’s 2008 general
rate case. The LGAR is intended to eliminate recovery of power supply expenses
due to changing weather conditions, a growing customer base, or different customer
usage patterns.
• Beginning with the implementation of rates from the 2008 general rate case, third
party transmission expenses that are not already included in base rates will be
reflected in PCA computations.
• Idaho Power will be allowed to use its own forecast of net power supply expenses,
replacing the admittedly less accurate forecast of inflows into the Brownlee
Reservoir prepared by the federal government, as the starting point for the PCA.
This new methodology will become effective with the utility’s next PCA filing in
April 2009.
• Base net power supply expenses will be distributed throughout the year based on the
monthly shape of normalized revenues for purposes of the PCA deferral calculation.
This change will take effect with the implementation of rates from the 2008 general
rate case.
• The current policy of allocating PCA expenses to different customer classes on an
equal cents-per-kWh basis should be re-evaluated following Idaho Power’s current
general rate case.
2007 Idaho General Rate Case
In February 2008, state regulators approved a settlement agreement associated with Idaho
Power’s June 2007 rate request. The order approves a general electric rate increase of
$32.1 million, or 5.2%, effective March 1, 2008. The agreement did not identify a rate base,
equity ratio, or an allowed ROE. Idaho Power had originally filed its rate case requesting an
increase of approximately $64 million, or 10.35%, and a return on equity of 11.5%. The then-
allowed authorized rate of return of 8.1% remained unchanged.
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Danskin 1 Power Plant Application
On May 30, 2008 Idaho Power received authorization from the IPUC to increase customer
rates by 1.39%, translating to $8.9 million as a result of $64.2 million being added to the
company’s rate base attributed to the new Danskin CT1 natural gas power plant and associated
transmission and interconnection upgrades located near Mountain Home, ID. The 170-MW
addition to the Danskin Generating Unit is primarily used as a peaking facility and began
commercial operation on March 11, 2008. New retail rates associated with the Danskin
facility became effective on June 1, 2008.
Oregon Power Cost Adjustment Mechanism
In April 2008, state regulators in Oregon approved a stipulation agreement regarding Idaho
Power’s August 2007 filing for a purchased cost adjustment mechanism (PCAM) in the state
of Oregon. The mechanism differs from the Idaho PCA in that it reestablishes the base net
power supply costs annually. In Idaho, the base net power supply costs are set by a general
rate case. The OPUC approved the request and the new rates went into effect on June 1,
2008. The approved APCU results in a $4.8 million, or 15.69 percent, increase in Oregon
revenues.
PPL Purchase Power Agreement
On August 4, 2008, the IPUC approved Idaho Power’s proposed 2-year power purchase
agreement with PPL EnergyPlus, LLC (a PPL Montana subsidiary) which was filed on June
16th. The agreement allows IPC to buy 83 MW per hour of electricity during heavy load
times during June through August, at a price of $110 per MWh. The agreement extends
through 2011 and replaces a previous agreement which would have expired in 2009. The
Commission also approved Idaho Power’s request that the expenses associated with the
energy purchase and transmission be included in its annual PCA filing, which is made each
April and made effective on June 1st each year.
D.A. Davidson & Co.
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IDACORP, Inc. Balance Sheet
$ thousands -- Fiscal year ends 12/31 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 9/30/2008
ASSETS:
Electric Plant:
In service (at original cost) $3,220,228 $3,324,816 $3,477,067 $3,583,694 $3,796,339 $3,957,199
Accumulated provision for depreciation (1,239,604)(1,316,125)(1,364,640)(1,406,210)(1,468,832)(1,499,947) In service - net 1,980,624 2,008,691 2,112,427 2,177,484 2,327,507 2,457,252
Construction work in progress 96,091 152,427 149,814 210,094 257,590 225,965 Held for future use 2,438 2,636 2,906 2,810 3,366 6,318
Other property, net of accum. Depreciatio 9,166 45,708 29,294 28,692 28,089 27,615
Property, plant and equipment - net 2,088,319 2,209,462 2,294,441 2,419,080 2,616,552 2,717,150
Investments And Other Property 204,474 223,061 191,593 202,825 201,085 201,807
Current Assets: Cash and cash equivalents 75,159 23,403 52,356 9,892 7,966 57,726
Receivables:
Customer 93,599 92,258 94,469 62,131 69,160 78,192
Gas operations
Allowance for uncollectible accounts (43,210) (43,108) (33,078) (7,168) (7,505) (1,359) Notes
Employee notes receivable 3,347 3,523 2,951 2,569 2,128 203 Other 8,209 8,806 21,377 11,855 10,957 6,617
Total Receivables
Energy marketing assets 4,176 9,203 23,859 12,069 0
Derivative assets
Taxes receivable Accrued unbilled revenues 30,869 33,832 38,905 31,365 36,314 39,065
Materials and supplies (at avg. cost) 21,351 28,008 30,451 39,079 43,270 51,324 Fuel stock (at average cost)6,228 6,539 11,739 15,174 17,268 24,402
Prepayments 27,779 30,035 17,876 9,308 9,371 10,299
Regulatory assets associated with taxes 4,382 23,407 23,922 28,035 25,672 14,375
Regulatory assets -- derivatives 6,269 5,510 3,064 0 0
Refundable income tax deposit 44,903 46,083 24,903 Other current assets 0 2,956 3,993 6,023 8,904
Assets held for sale 0 0 6,673 3,326 0 Total current assets 238,158 221,416 297,520 266,531 266,707 314,651
Other Assets:
American Falls and Milner water rights 31,585 31,585 31,585 30,543 29,501 26,592
Company-owned life insurance 35,624 35,765 35,401 34,055 30,842 29,535Energy marketing assets -- long-term 14,358 16,635 22,189
Regulatory assets associated with taxes 427,760 433,271 415,177 423,548 449,668 502,565Regulatory asset - PCA
Regulatory assets - long-term derivatives
Regulatory assets - other
Long-term receivables 3,106 2,895 4,015 3,802 3,583 4,262
Other 62,724 60,082 46,239 43,670 55,370 54,701 Assets held for sale 25,966 21,076 0
Total other assets 575,157 580,233 580,572 556,694 568,964 617,655
TOTAL ASSETS $3,106,108 $3,234,172 $3,364,126 $3,445,130 $3,653,308 $3,851,263
CAPITALIZATION AND LIABILITIES:
Capitalization: Common stock equity
Common stock $472,902 $589,440 $598,706 $638,799 $675,774 $691,162
Retained earnings 397,167 424,312 437,284 493,363 537,699 587,998
Other comprehensive income (2,630) (888) (3,425) (5,737) (6,156) (8,461)
Treasury stock (3,158) (4,578) (998) (2,242) (2) (39) Unearned compensation (6,316)
Total common stock equity 864,281 1,008,286 1,025,251 1,124,183 1,207,315 1,270,660 Preferred stock 52,366
Long-term debt 945,834 979,549 1,023,545 928,648 1,156,880 1,273,028
Total capitalization 1,862,481 1,987,835 2,048,796 2,052,831 2,364,195 2,543,688
Current Liabilities: Long-term debt due within one year 67,923 78,603 16,307 95,125 11,456 7,817
Notes payable 93,650 36,270 60,100 129,000 186,445 203,915 Accounts payable 60,916 79,156 80,324 86,440 85,116 66,195
Energy marketing liabilities 4,317 9,420 24,093 13,532 0
Derivative liabilities 0 0 0 0 0
Taxes accured 45,601 46,318 72,652 47,402 8,492 14,736
Interest accrued 13,741 14,426 14,616 12,657 18,913 29,624 Deferred income taxes
Uncertain tax positions 26,764 27,297 Other 25,557 21,265 19,577 23,572 38,129 36,883
Liabilities held for sale 0 0 5,916 2,606 0
Total current liabilities 311,705 285,458 293,585 410,334 375,315 386,467
Other Liabilities:
Regulatory liabilities associated with
deferred investment tax credits
Energy marketing liabilities -- long-term 14,393 16,635 22,189 0 0
Derivative liabilities -- long-term 0 0 0 0 0 Deferred income taxes 554,715 555,774 519,563 498,512 466,182 473,845
Regulatory liabilities associated with
income taxes Regulatory liabilities - PCA
Regulatory liabilities - other 258,524 275,854 345,109 294,844 274,204 276,469 Other 104,290 112,616 124,833 179,836 173,412 170,794
Liabilities held for sale 0 0 10,051 8,773 0
Total other liabilities 931,922 960,879 1,021,745 981,965 913,798 921,108
TOTAL CAPITALIZATION AND
LIABILITIES $3,106,108 $3,234,172 $3,364,126 $3,445,130 $3,653,308 $3,851,263
Shares Outstanding (000's)38,207 42,217 42,632 43,834 45,063 45,576Book Value per Share $22.62 $23.88 $24.05 $25.65 $26.79 $27.88
% of Total Capitalization
Long-Term Debt 50.8% 49.3% 50.0% 45.2% 48.9% 50.0%
Preferred 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Common 46.4% 50.7% 50.0% 54.8% 51.1% 50.0%
D.A. Davidson & Co.
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IDACORP, Inc. Consolidated Statements of Income
$ thousands -- Fiscal year ends 12/31 4Q07 2007 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08E 2008E 1Q09E 2Q09E 3Q'09E 4Q'09E 2009E
REVENUES:
Electric Utility:
General business $156,966 $668,303 $167,313 $188,748 $246,639 $186,500 $789,200 $198,738 $215,892 $265,157 $201,079 $880,866
Off system sales 25,089 154,948 33,363 25,641 34,637 32,050 125,691 37,823 37,903 34,138 34,138 144,003
Other revenues 14,374 52,150 12,120 14,556 16,831 5,794 49,301 12,200 12,200 12,200 12,200 48,800
Total Electric Utility Revenues 196,429 875,401 212,796 228,945 298,107 224,344 964,192 248,761 265,995 311,495 247,417 1,073,669
Diversified Operations:
Other 1,017 3,993 644 1,281 1,609 1,000 4,534 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 4,000
Total Revenues 197,446 879,393 213,440 230,226 299,716 225,344 968,726 249,761 266,995 312,495 248,417 1,077,669
EXPENSES:
Electric Utility:
Purchased power 48,091 289,484 45,299 50,089 79,513 59,738 234,638 48,795 61,139 76,368 60,063 246,365
Fuel expense 32,598 134,322 37,237 28,681 46,467 37,017 149,402 43,533 32,983 48,282 40,576 165,375
Power cost adjustment (13,674)(121,131)(17,744)(829)(20,105)(10,000)(48,678)(5,000)(1,000)(8,000)(4,000)(18,000)
Total Power Supply 67,015 302,675 64,792 77,941 105,875 86,754 335,362 87,328 93,122 116,650 96,640 393,740
Impairment of assets
Other Operations and Maintenance 70,639 286,510 68,927 75,617 74,778 71,566 290,888 77,365 88,044 75,070 77,194 317,674
Demand-side management 4,518 13,487 3,364 3,928 5,956 5,000 18,248 5,100 5,200 5,300 5,400 21,000
Gain on sale of emission allowances (2,754)(346) (158)(504) 0
Depreciation 26,203 103,072 25,750 26,617 25,717 26,500 104,584 26,750 27,000 27,250 27,500 108,500
Taxes other than income taxes 3,366 17,634 4,803 4,800 4,827 3,590 18,020 5,473 5,320 4,984 3,959 19,735
Total Electric Utility Expenses 171,741 720,624 167,636 188,557 216,995 193,410 766,597 202,016 218,687 229,254 210,693 860,649
Other:1,910 6,692 1,048 1,140 1,144 1,200 4,532 1,200 1,200 1,200 1,200 4,800
Total Operating Expenses 173,651 727,316 168,684 189,697 218,139 194,610 771,129 203,216 219,887 230,454 211,893 865,449
OPERATING INCOME
Electric Utility 24,688 154,777 45,160 40,388 81,112 30,935 197,595 46,746 47,308 82,241 36,725 213,020
Other Diversified Operations (893)(2,699)(404)141 465 (200)2 (200)(200)(200)(200)(800)
Equity in Earnings of Partnerships
Operating Income 23,795 152,078 44,756 40,529 81,577 30,735 197,597 46,546 47,108 82,041 36,525 212,220
TOTAL OTHER INCOME:6,657 20,524 4,417 6,082 4,629 5,000 20,128 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 20,000
Earnings of Uncons. Eq-method Inv.(1,567)(4,824)(4,036) (3,278) 2,642 (1,200)(5,872)(1,200) (1,200) (1,200) (1,200)(4,800)
TOTAL OTHER EXPENSES:1,597 8,434 365 1,820 2,764 2,000 6,949 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 8,000
INTEREST EXPENSE AND OTHER:
Interest on long-term debt 16,655 59,961 16,876 15,744 17,226 17,400 67,246 17,450 17,500 17,550 17,600 70,100
Other interest (502)3,380 596 1,313 1,310 2,044 5,263 1,350 1,350 1,350 1,350 5,400
Net interest charges 16,153 63,341 17,472 17,057 18,536 19,444 72,509 18,800 18,850 18,900 18,950 75,500
Dividends on preferred stock 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total interest expense and other 16,153 63,341 17,472 17,057 18,536 19,444 72,509 18,800 18,850 18,900 18,950 75,500
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES:11,135 96,003 27,300 24,456 67,548 13,091 132,395 29,546 30,058 64,941 19,375 143,920
INCOME TAXES:840 13,731 5,584 6,941 15,809 4,892 33,226 7,386 7,515 16,235 4,844 35,980
Income from Continuing Operations 10,295 82,272 21,716 17,515 51,739 8,199 99,169 22,159 22,544 48,706 14,531 107,940
Losses from Disc. Ops. (net of tax)0 67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Income Available for Common 10,295 82,339 21,716 17,515 51,739 8,199 99,169 22,159 22,544 48,706 14,531 107,940
Earnings per share from cont. ops.$0.23 $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.18 $2.19 $0.48 $0.49 $1.04 $0.31 $2.32
Losses from Discontinued Operations $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
EPS $0.23 $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.18 $2.19 $0.48 $0.49 $1.04 $0.31 $2.32
Dividends paid per share of common stock $0.300 $1.20 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $1.20 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $0.300 $1.20
Avg. common shares outstanding (000) 44,918 44,291 45,004 45,096 45,194 45,594 45,222 45,994 46,394 46,794 47,194 46,594
Segment breakdown of EPS
Idaho Power Company $0.29 $1.73 $0.47 $0.39 $1.05 $0.21 $2.12 $0.47 $0.47 $1.03 $0.32 $2.28
IDACORP Energy 0.00 ($0.00)(0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Ida-West Energy 0.00 $0.05 0.00 0.02 0.03
IDACORP Financial 0.04 $0.16 0.02 0.02 0.02
Holding Company (0.10)($0.08)(0.01)(0.04)0.05
EPS from Continuing Operations $0.23 $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.18 $2.19 $0.48 $0.49 $1.04 $0.31 $2.32
IdaTech
IDACOMM
(Losses) from Discontinued Operations $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Reported EPS $0.23 $1.86 $0.48 $0.39 $1.14 $0.18 $2.19 $0.48 $0.49 $1.04 $0.31 $2.32
D.A. Davidson & Co.
Two Centerpointe Drive, Suite 400 • Lake Oswego, Oregon 97035 • (503) 603-3000 • (800) 755-7848 • www.dadavidson.com
Copyright D.A. Davidson & Co., 2009. All rights reserved.
8
Required Disclosures
D.A. Davidson & Co. expects to receive, or intends to seek, compensation for investment banking services from this company in the
next three months.
D.A. Davidson & Co. is a full service investment firm that provides both brokerage and investment banking services. James L.
Bellessa, Jr., CFA, the research analyst principally responsible for the preparation of this report, will receive compensation that is
based upon (among other factors) D.A. Davidson & Co.’s investment banking revenue. However, D.A. Davidson & Co.’s analysts are
not directly compensated for involvement in specific investment banking transactions.
I, James L. Bellessa, Jr., CFA, attest that (i) all the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about
the common stock of the subject company, and (ii) no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the
specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Ratings Information
D.A. Davidson & Co. Ratings Buy Neutral Underperform
Risk adjusted return potential Over 15% total return
expected on a risk adjusted
basis over next 12-18 months
>0-15% return potential
on a risk adjusted basis
over next 12-18 months
Likely to remain flat or lose
value on a risk adjusted basis
over next 12-18 months
Distribution of Ratings (as of 12/31/08) Buy Hold Sell
Corresponding Institutional Research Ratings Buy Neutral Underperform
and Distribution 48% 49% 3%
Corresponding Private Client Research Ratings Outperform Market Perform Underperform
and Distribution 95% 5% 0%
Distribution of Combined Ratings 52% 46% 2%
Distribution of companies from whom D.A. Davidson & Co. has received compensation for investment banking services in last 12 mos.
Institutional Coverage 2% 3% 0%
Private Client Coverage 0% 0% 0%
Distribution of Combined Investment Banking 2% 3% 0%
D.A. Davidson & Co.’s Institutional Research Rating Scale (maintained since 7/9/02): Buy, Neutral, Underperform
D.A. Davidson & Co.
Two Centerpointe Drive, Suite 400 • Lake Oswego, Oregon 97035 • (503) 603-3000 • (800) 755-7848 • www.dadavidson.com
Copyright D.A. Davidson & Co., 2009. All rights reserved.
9
Target prices are our Institutional Research Department’s evaluation of price potential over the next 12-18 months and 5 years, based
upon our assessment of future earnings and cash flow, comparable company valuations, growth prospects and other financial criteria.
Certain risks may impede achievement of these price targets including, but not limited to, broader market and macroeconomic
fluctuations and unforeseen changes in the subject company’s fundamentals or business trends.
Other Disclosures
Information contained herein has been obtained by sources we consider reliable, but is not guaranteed and we are not soliciting any
action based upon it. Any opinions expressed are based on our interpretation of data available to us at the time of the original
publication of the report. These opinions are subject to change at any time without notice. Investors must bear in mind that inherent
in investments are the risks of fluctuating prices and the uncertainties of dividends, rates of return and yield. Investors should also
remember that past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future performance and D.A. Davidson & Co. makes no guarantee,
express or implied, as to future performance. Investors should note this report was prepared by D.A. Davidson & Co.’s Institutional
Research Department for distribution to D.A. Davidson & Co.’s institutional investor clients and assumes a certain level of investment
sophistication on the part of the recipient. Readers, who are not institutional investors or other market professionals, should seek the
advice of their individual investment advisor for an explanation of this report’s contents, and should always seek such advisor’s advice
before making any investment decisions. Further information and elaboration will be furnished upon request.